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1976 Allsvenskan Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Halmstad

38 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Halmstad

8.15 points above expected

38 points · 29.85 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Orgryte

9.13 points below expected

10 points · 19.13 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Halmstad 26 17 4 5 38 56 27 +29 29.85 +8.15
2 Malmo 26 12 11 3 35 37 21 +16 31.99 +3.01
3 Oster 26 12 8 6 32 51 39 +12 31.06 +0.94
4 Landskrona 26 12 8 6 32 34 34 0 25.53 +6.47
5 Orebro 26 9 11 6 29 42 34 +8 26.13 +2.87
6 Kalmar 26 10 7 9 27 38 43 -5 24.47 +2.53
7 AIK Stockholm 26 6 13 7 25 38 35 +3 26.07 -1.07
8 Hammarby 26 10 4 12 24 40 33 +7 27.88 -3.88
9 Norrkoping 26 10 4 12 24 47 48 -1 25.38 -1.38
10 Elfsborg 26 8 8 10 24 42 48 -6 22.49 +1.51
11 Djurgarden 26 9 6 11 24 32 38 -6 25.07 -1.07
12 IFK Sundsvall 26 9 4 13 22 43 57 -14 24.71 -2.71
13 Atvidaberg 26 6 6 14 18 34 46 -12 24.24 -6.24
14 Orgryte 26 3 4 19 10 24 55 -31 19.13 -9.13

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Halmstad 38 29.85 +8.15
2 Landskrona 32 25.53 +6.47
3 Malmo 35 31.99 +3.01
4 Orebro 29 26.13 +2.87
5 Kalmar 27 24.47 +2.53

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Orgryte 10 19.13 -9.13
2 Atvidaberg 18 24.24 -6.24
3 Hammarby 24 27.88 -3.88
4 IFK Sundsvall 22 24.71 -2.71
5 Norrkoping 24 25.38 -1.38

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kalmar 3 Aug 26 – Sep 2 1 in 52
2 IFK Sundsvall 3 Apr 11 – Apr 24 1 in 45
3 Landskrona 4 Sep 26 – Oct 24 1 in 31
4 Djurgarden 3 Sep 5 – Sep 18 1 in 28
5 Halmstad 4 Sep 25 – Oct 24 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IFK Sundsvall 4 May 16 – Jun 3 1 in 149
2 Hammarby 4 Sep 12 – Oct 3 1 in 94
3 Atvidaberg 4 Jun 10 – Aug 5 1 in 75
4 Elfsborg 3 Apr 19 – May 2 1 in 27
5 Orgryte 4 Jun 3 – Jun 21 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Orebro 10 Aug 19 – Oct 17 1 in 72
2 Landskrona 7 Apr 19 – May 23 1 in 40
3 Elfsborg 7 Aug 15 – Sep 12 1 in 38
4 Malmo 13 May 2 – Aug 19 1 in 36
5 AIK Stockholm 8 Sep 2 – Oct 24 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Atvidaberg 10 May 6 – Aug 5 1 in 78
2 Orgryte 16 Jun 3 – Oct 3 1 in 43
3 Oster 6 Apr 24 – May 23 1 in 41
4 IFK Sundsvall 7 Jun 30 – Sep 2 1 in 40
5 AIK Stockholm 7 Apr 11 – May 20 1 in 28

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Halmstad 1677 38 +42 8 5.6 +2.4
Malmo 1654 35 +19 8 5.9 +2.1
Landskrona 1563 32 +42 9 5.5 +3.5
Oster 1617 32 -36 2 5.6 -3.6
Orebro 1568 29 +19 5 4.9 +0.1
Kalmar 1509 27 +31 6 4.9 +1.1
AIK Stockholm 1555 25 +12 7 6.2 +0.8
Djurgarden 1514 24 +20 6 4.7 +1.3
Elfsborg 1520 24 +18 5 4.3 +0.7
Norrkoping 1491 24 -24 3 4.6 -1.6
Hammarby 1496 24 -54 2 4.5 -2.5
IFK Sundsvall 1415 22 -64 2 4.7 -2.7
Atvidaberg 1443 18 -27 4 5.0 -1.0
Orgryte 1339 10 +3 3 3.5 -0.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS ATV DJU ELF HAL HAM IS KAL LAN MAL NOR ORE ORG OST
AIK Stockholm —
0-1-1
3.13
1-1-0
2.93
1-0-1
3.25
1-0-1
2.26
1-1-0
2.11
1-0-1
3.32
0-2-0
2.87
0-1-1
2.74
0-2-0
1.92
0-1-1
2.50
0-2-0
2.80
1-1-0
3.45
0-1-1
2.10
Atvidaberg
1-1-0
2.31
—
0-1-1
2.72
1-0-1
2.86
0-0-2
2.39
0-0-2
2.65
1-0-1
2.55
0-0-2
2.71
0-2-0
2.56
0-1-1
1.81
0-0-2
2.56
1-1-0
2.45
2-0-0
3.07
0-0-2
1.94
Djurgarden
0-1-1
2.51
1-1-0
2.71
—
1-1-0
3.05
0-1-1
2.22
1-0-1
2.48
1-1-0
2.38
0-0-2
2.83
0-0-2
2.72
0-0-2
1.87
1-0-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.43
2-0-0
3.16
1-1-0
1.92
Elfsborg
1-0-1
2.19
1-0-1
2.58
0-1-1
2.38
—
0-0-2
2.45
1-1-0
2.69
1-1-0
2.00
1-1-0
2.51
1-0-1
2.24
1-0-1
1.78
1-1-0
2.13
0-1-1
2.38
0-1-1
3.08
0-1-1
2.02
Halmstad
1-0-1
3.18
2-0-0
3.06
1-1-0
3.23
2-0-0
3.00
—
2-0-0
3.04
1-1-0
2.96
2-0-0
3.04
1-0-1
3.07
0-1-1
2.56
2-0-0
3.16
1-1-0
3.11
1-0-1
3.74
1-0-1
2.53
Hammarby
0-1-1
3.32
2-0-0
2.80
1-0-1
2.97
0-1-1
2.75
0-0-2
2.39
—
1-0-1
3.14
0-1-1
3.04
0-1-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.05
1-0-1
3.04
1-0-1
3.33
2-0-0
3.80
1-0-1
2.32
IFK Sundsvall
1-0-1
2.12
1-0-1
2.89
0-1-1
3.06
0-1-1
3.44
0-1-1
2.47
1-0-1
2.30
—
2-0-0
2.75
0-1-1
2.70
0-0-2
2.21
0-0-2
2.97
1-0-1
2.56
1-0-1
3.47
2-0-0
1.84
Kalmar
0-2-0
2.57
2-0-0
2.72
2-0-0
2.61
0-1-1
2.94
0-0-2
2.39
1-1-0
2.40
0-0-2
2.69
—
1-0-1
2.53
1-0-1
1.70
1-0-1
2.77
0-2-0
2.65
2-0-0
3.42
0-1-1
2.00
Landskrona
1-1-0
2.70
0-2-0
2.87
2-0-0
2.72
1-0-1
3.20
1-0-1
2.36
1-1-0
2.46
1-1-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.91
—
0-1-1
2.07
1-0-1
2.72
1-1-0
2.79
2-0-0
3.71
0-1-1
2.18
Malmo
0-2-0
3.52
1-1-0
3.65
2-0-0
3.58
1-0-1
3.67
1-1-0
2.87
1-0-1
3.40
2-0-0
3.23
1-0-1
3.75
1-1-0
3.38
—
1-1-0
3.55
0-2-0
3.24
1-1-0
4.19
0-2-0
2.55
Norrkoping
1-1-0
2.93
2-0-0
2.88
1-0-1
2.62
0-1-1
3.31
0-0-2
2.27
1-0-1
2.40
2-0-0
2.47
1-0-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.71
0-1-1
1.90
—
0-0-2
2.93
1-1-0
3.55
0-0-2
2.53
Orebro
0-2-0
2.63
0-1-1
2.98
1-0-1
3.01
1-1-0
3.06
0-1-1
2.33
1-0-1
2.11
1-0-1
2.87
0-2-0
2.79
0-1-1
2.65
0-2-0
2.20
2-0-0
2.51
—
2-0-0
3.39
1-1-0
2.11
Orgryte
0-1-1
2.01
0-0-2
2.37
0-0-2
2.29
1-1-0
2.35
1-0-1
1.73
0-0-2
1.65
1-0-1
1.97
0-0-2
2.02
0-0-2
1.74
0-1-1
1.30
0-1-1
1.90
0-0-2
2.07
—
0-0-2
1.56
Oster
1-1-0
3.34
2-0-0
3.50
0-1-1
3.53
1-1-0
3.43
1-0-1
2.92
1-0-1
3.12
0-0-2
3.60
1-1-0
3.46
1-1-0
3.25
0-2-0
2.88
2-0-0
2.90
0-1-1
3.33
2-0-0
3.92
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.43 +5.8
Allowed 0.62 -5.5
Differential 0.84 +4.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.59%6.04%6.04%4.12%0.82%0.82%24.45%
16.04%12.64%6.59%4.12%1.37%1.37%32.14%
26.04%6.59%6.59%1.92%1.10%1.37%23.63%
34.12%4.12%1.92%1.10%0.55%0.27%12.09%
40.82%1.37%1.10%0.55%——3.85%
5+0.82%1.37%1.37%0.27%——3.85%
Total24.45%32.14%23.63%12.09%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.53 +0.00
SD 1.40 1.40 2.04
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 9 9 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%7.69%———23.08%
13.85%26.92%3.85%7.69%——42.31%
23.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
3—3.85%—7.69%——11.54%
4———————
5+3.85%—3.85%———7.69%
Total23.08%38.46%19.23%19.23%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.35 +0.12
SD 1.39 1.06 1.58
CV 0.95 0.78 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%3.85%———26.92%
1—11.54%15.38%7.69%7.69%3.85%46.15%
2———3.85%——3.85%
33.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
4——7.69%———7.69%
5+———————
Total15.38%30.77%30.77%11.54%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.77 -0.46
SD 1.26 1.31 1.73
CV 0.96 0.74 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—19.23%11.54%3.85%—3.85%38.46%
13.85%7.69%————11.54%
211.54%11.54%15.38%3.85%——42.31%
33.85%—————3.85%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+———————
Total19.23%38.46%26.92%11.54%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.46 -0.23
SD 1.14 1.17 1.75
CV 0.93 0.80 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%7.69%11.54%—3.85%38.46%
13.85%3.85%————7.69%
23.85%3.85%19.23%—3.85%3.85%34.62%
37.69%—————7.69%
4———————
5+—3.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%
Total23.08%19.23%30.77%15.38%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.85 -0.23
SD 1.72 1.57 2.41
CV 1.07 0.85 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
1—7.69%—3.85%——11.54%
211.54%23.08%7.69%———42.31%
311.54%7.69%————19.23%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+—7.69%————7.69%
Total23.08%57.69%11.54%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.15 1.04 +1.12
SD 1.57 0.82 2.01
CV 0.73 0.79 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%15.38%7.69%3.85%—42.31%
13.85%3.85%11.54%3.85%——23.08%
23.85%—————3.85%
311.54%3.85%————15.38%
4—7.69%————7.69%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total34.62%23.08%26.92%11.54%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 1.27 +0.27
SD 1.88 1.19 2.62
CV 1.22 0.93 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%7.69%——15.38%
111.54%3.85%7.69%11.54%3.85%7.69%46.15%
27.69%—11.54%——3.85%23.08%
3—7.69%————7.69%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total19.23%15.38%26.92%23.08%3.85%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 2.19 -0.54
SD 1.79 1.72 2.56
CV 1.08 0.78 —
Max 9 6 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%3.85%—3.85%—23.08%
13.85%11.54%7.69%——3.85%26.92%
27.69%15.38%7.69%——3.85%34.62%
3—7.69%—3.85%——11.54%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total19.23%46.15%19.23%3.85%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.65 -0.19
SD 1.10 1.92 2.25
CV 0.76 1.16 —
Max 4 9 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%—3.85%3.85%—19.23%
119.23%23.08%7.69%——3.85%53.85%
27.69%3.85%————11.54%
3——11.54%———11.54%
4———————
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total34.62%30.77%23.08%3.85%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.31 +0.00
SD 1.16 1.57 1.90
CV 0.89 1.20 —
Max 5 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%——3.85%——15.38%
119.23%26.92%3.85%3.85%——53.85%
23.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
33.85%7.69%————11.54%
4———————
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total42.31%42.31%7.69%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 0.81 +0.62
SD 1.27 0.90 1.65
CV 0.89 1.11 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.69%———7.69%
13.85%11.54%15.38%11.54%——42.31%
23.85%11.54%—3.85%—3.85%23.08%
33.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%—3.85%19.23%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total15.38%30.77%26.92%19.23%—7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.85 -0.04
SD 1.20 1.46 1.99
CV 0.66 0.79 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%—3.85%3.85%——23.08%
13.85%23.08%7.69%———34.62%
23.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%—23.08%
3——3.85%———3.85%
4—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total23.08%38.46%26.92%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.31 +0.31
SD 1.53 1.05 1.59
CV 0.94 0.80 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%7.69%11.54%——38.46%
13.85%3.85%11.54%7.69%7.69%—34.62%
23.85%—3.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%23.08%
33.85%—————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.23%15.38%23.08%23.08%15.38%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 2.12 -1.19
SD 0.89 1.48 1.58
CV 0.97 0.70 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—7.69%——3.85%15.38%
13.85%11.54%————15.38%
211.54%3.85%15.38%3.85%——34.62%
37.69%7.69%3.85%—7.69%—26.92%
43.85%—3.85%———7.69%
5+———————
Total30.77%23.08%30.77%3.85%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 1.50 +0.46
SD 1.18 1.50 2.02
CV 0.60 1.00 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Halmstad 1677 38 29.85 +8.15 98.0% 20 24 28 30 32 35 39
Malmo 1654 35 31.99 +3.01 87.0% 23 26 30 32 34 38 42
Oster 1617 32 31.06 +0.94 65.0% 22 24 29 31 33 37 39
Orebro 1568 29 26.13 +2.87 85.0% 16 20 24 26 28 32 34
Landskrona 1563 32 25.53 +6.47 98.0% 17 19 23 26 28 31 35
AIK Stockholm 1555 25 26.07 -1.07 42.0% 16 20 23 26 29 33 35
Elfsborg 1520 24 22.49 +1.51 71.0% 11 16 20 22 25 29 34
Djurgarden 1514 24 25.07 -1.07 46.0% 18 19 22 25 28 32 35
Kalmar 1509 27 24.47 +2.53 80.0% 15 18 22 24 27 31 33
Hammarby 1496 24 27.88 -3.88 19.0% 17 21 25 28 31 33 36
Norrkoping 1491 24 25.38 -1.38 37.0% 12 17 23 26 27 32 35
Atvidaberg 1443 18 24.24 -6.24 11.0% 11 17 21 25 27 30 33
IFK Sundsvall 1415 22 24.71 -2.71 29.0% 16 18 22 25 27 31 36
Orgryte 1339 10 19.13 -9.13 0.0% 11 13 16 19 22 26 29

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+22.53%
Strong Edge
47.80%26.92%25.27%
Elo Value
Home Edge
154 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
079.63400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.67 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.52+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.5
Open
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
17%
Halmstad, 3rd of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.12/gm
Tight Race
00.090.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.1 * Some Luck: 3.1 to 4.64 * Lucky: 4.64 to 6.19 * Wild Swing: 6.19 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.18 * Close: 2.18 to 3.27 * Off: 3.27 to 4.36 * Way Off: 4.36 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.50 points
Some Luck
03.8710
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.86
Pinpoint
02.726
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
98.00%
Halmstad
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
0.00%
Orgryte
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Even
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 91.28
1.63
Moderate Separation
0.951.41.652.75
Interquartile Edge
61%
Even
50%63%71.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
Strong Edge
50%87%100%
Close Games
Expected
57%
Some Drama
0%54%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Frequent
0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.40
Lopsided
00.30.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.37
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.38
Some Carryover
00.380.530.691
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
As Expected
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Shaky Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.45
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.88
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.073
Well Within Noise
00.1180.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Halmstad17.00%14.00%23.00%11.00%11.00%3.00%4.00%4.00%7.00%2.00%2.00%—1.00%1.00%
Malmo35.00%21.00%17.00%6.00%10.00%5.00%—3.00%1.00%—2.00%———
Oster24.00%22.00%20.00%12.00%4.00%7.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%——
Landskrona—3.00%4.00%9.00%14.00%7.00%7.00%11.00%11.00%9.00%6.00%11.00%4.00%4.00%
Orebro4.00%5.00%4.00%7.00%10.00%12.00%12.00%5.00%18.00%10.00%5.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%
Kalmar1.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%8.00%5.00%7.00%10.00%12.00%10.00%13.00%10.00%7.00%7.00%
AIK Stockholm4.00%4.00%5.00%8.00%6.00%14.00%9.00%13.00%6.00%5.00%9.00%7.00%9.00%1.00%
Hammarby9.00%11.00%9.00%17.00%4.00%12.00%11.00%7.00%4.00%4.00%3.00%4.00%5.00%—
Norrkoping2.00%4.00%3.00%9.00%3.00%12.00%10.00%13.00%10.00%11.00%8.00%4.00%7.00%4.00%
Elfsborg—3.00%1.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%6.00%6.00%5.00%12.00%13.00%16.00%12.00%17.00%
Djurgarden4.00%3.00%4.00%4.00%13.00%5.00%7.00%11.00%4.00%13.00%14.00%11.00%5.00%2.00%
IFK Sundsvall—4.00%3.00%5.00%8.00%6.00%7.00%9.00%8.00%10.00%6.00%16.00%13.00%5.00%
Atvidaberg—3.00%3.00%5.00%5.00%10.00%11.00%7.00%10.00%4.00%8.00%10.00%12.00%12.00%
Orgryte——1.00%———5.00%—3.00%9.00%9.00%5.00%22.00%46.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Malmo 100% —
Oster 100% —
Halmstad 98.00% 2.00%
Orebro 96.00% 4.00%
Hammarby 95.00% 5.00%
Djurgarden 93.00% 7.00%
Landskrona 92.00% 8.00%
AIK Stockholm 90.00% 10.00%
Norrkoping 89.00% 11.00%
Kalmar 86.00% 14.00%
IFK Sundsvall 82.00% 18.00%
Atvidaberg 76.00% 24.00%
Elfsborg 71.00% 29.00%
Orgryte 32.00% 68.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1976-04-11 IFK Sundsvall L 1-362.2 1558 1507 55.96% 27.78% 16.26%+0.85 -25.0 0
1976-04-11 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-162.2 1507 1558 16.26% 27.78% 55.96%-0.85 +25.1 2
1976-04-11 Kalmar L 1-263.2 1531 1499 54.13% 27.99% 17.89%+0.72 -14.0 0
1976-04-11 @ Landskrona W 2-163.2 1499 1531 17.89% 27.99% 54.13%-0.72 +14.0 2
1976-04-11 Malmo D 1-165.1 1495 1617 35.29% 28.47% 36.23%-0.28 +0.0 1
1976-04-11 @ Norrkoping D 1-165.1 1617 1495 36.23% 28.47% 35.29%+0.28 -0.0 1
1976-04-11 Atvidaberg L 1-356.8 1475 1509 47.00% 28.46% 24.54%+0.30 -21.4 0
1976-04-11 @ Orgryte W 3-156.8 1509 1475 24.54% 28.46% 47.00%-0.30 +21.4 2
1976-04-14 Elfsborg D 0-058.0 1507 1514 50.00% 28.32% 21.68%+0.47 -1.9 1
1976-04-14 @ Hammarby D 0-058.0 1514 1507 21.68% 28.32% 50.00%-0.47 +1.9 1
1976-04-14 Halmstad W 3-042.0 1606 1483 61.88% 26.74% 11.38%+1.31 +11.5 2
1976-04-14 @ Oster L 0-342.0 1483 1606 11.38% 26.74% 61.88%-1.31 -11.5 0
1976-04-19 Hammarby L 0-158.5 1531 1505 53.58% 28.04% 18.38%+0.69 -14.7 2
1976-04-19 @ Atvidaberg W 1-058.5 1505 1531 18.38% 28.04% 53.58%-0.69 +14.7 3
1976-04-19 Landskrona L 0-159.6 1547 1517 53.98% 28.00% 18.01%+0.71 -14.8 0
1976-04-19 @ Djurgarden W 1-059.6 1517 1547 18.01% 28.00% 53.98%-0.71 +14.8 2
1976-04-19 Oster L 0-254.3 1516 1617 38.37% 28.54% 33.09%-0.14 -21.0 1
1976-04-19 @ Elfsborg W 2-054.3 1617 1516 33.09% 28.54% 38.37%+0.14 +21.0 4
1976-04-19 Norrkoping W 2-151.7 1472 1495 48.29% 28.41% 23.31%+0.37 +7.3 2
1976-04-19 @ Halmstad L 1-251.7 1495 1472 23.31% 28.41% 48.29%-0.37 -7.2 1
1976-04-19 Orgryte W 1-044.7 1532 1454 58.40% 27.42% 14.18%+1.02 +5.1 4
1976-04-19 @ IFK Sundsvall L 0-144.7 1454 1532 14.18% 27.42% 58.40%-1.02 -5.1 0
1976-04-19 AIK Stockholm D 3-372.0 1513 1533 48.60% 28.39% 23.00%+0.38 -0.9 3
1976-04-19 @ Kalmar D 3-372.0 1533 1513 23.00% 28.39% 48.60%-0.38 +0.9 1
1976-04-19 Orebro D 0-062.1 1617 1511 60.66% 27.01% 12.33%+1.21 -3.5 2
1976-04-19 @ Malmo D 0-062.1 1511 1617 12.33% 27.01% 60.66%-1.21 +3.5 1
1976-04-22 Atvidaberg L 2-368.4 1534 1516 52.77% 28.12% 19.12%+0.63 -13.0 1
1976-04-22 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-268.4 1516 1534 19.12% 28.12% 52.77%-0.63 +13.0 4
1976-04-24 Halmstad L 0-350.7 1495 1479 52.60% 28.13% 19.27%+0.62 -39.7 1
1976-04-24 @ Elfsborg W 3-050.7 1479 1495 19.27% 28.13% 52.60%-0.62 +39.7 4
1976-04-24 Malmo W 3-050.2 1519 1614 39.25% 28.55% 32.21%-0.10 +26.8 5
1976-04-24 @ Hammarby L 0-350.2 1614 1519 32.21% 28.55% 39.25%+0.10 -26.8 2
1976-04-24 Orgryte W 3-254.0 1531 1449 58.73% 27.37% 13.90%+1.05 +4.5 4
1976-04-24 @ Landskrona L 2-354.0 1449 1531 13.90% 27.37% 58.73%-1.05 -4.5 0
1976-04-24 Kalmar W 2-153.0 1488 1512 48.12% 28.42% 23.47%+0.36 +7.3 3
1976-04-24 @ Norrkoping L 1-253.0 1512 1488 23.47% 28.42% 48.12%-0.36 -7.3 3
1976-04-24 IFK Sundsvall L 0-254.5 1515 1538 48.29% 28.41% 23.30%+0.37 -25.3 1
1976-04-24 @ Orebro W 2-054.5 1538 1515 23.30% 28.41% 48.29%-0.37 +25.3 6
1976-04-24 Djurgarden D 2-272.3 1638 1532 60.66% 27.00% 12.33%+1.21 -2.3 5
1976-04-24 @ Oster D 2-272.3 1532 1638 12.33% 27.00% 60.66%-1.21 +2.3 1
1976-05-02 Elfsborg W 3-039.4 1529 1456 57.96% 27.49% 14.54%+0.99 +14.3 6
1976-05-02 @ Atvidaberg L 0-339.4 1456 1529 14.54% 27.49% 57.96%-0.99 -14.3 1
1976-05-02 Norrkoping W 2-152.1 1534 1495 54.88% 27.91% 17.22%+0.77 +5.7 3
1976-05-02 @ Djurgarden L 1-252.1 1495 1534 17.22% 27.91% 54.88%-0.77 -5.7 3
1976-05-02 Hammarby W 3-045.5 1519 1546 47.75% 28.43% 23.82%+0.34 +21.4 6
1976-05-02 @ Halmstad L 0-345.5 1546 1519 23.82% 28.43% 47.75%-0.34 -21.4 5
1976-05-02 Landskrona D 1-164.8 1563 1536 53.67% 28.03% 18.30%+0.69 -2.2 7
1976-05-02 @ IFK Sundsvall D 1-164.8 1536 1563 18.30% 28.03% 53.67%-0.69 +2.2 5
1976-05-02 Orebro D 1-161.0 1505 1489 52.49% 28.14% 19.37%+0.62 -2.0 4
1976-05-02 @ Kalmar D 1-161.0 1489 1505 19.37% 28.14% 52.49%-0.62 +2.0 2
1976-05-02 Oster D 1-168.0 1587 1636 45.21% 28.51% 26.28%+0.20 -1.1 3
1976-05-02 @ Malmo D 1-168.0 1636 1587 26.28% 28.51% 45.21%-0.20 +1.1 6
1976-05-02 AIK Stockholm D 0-055.9 1444 1521 41.63% 28.56% 29.81%+0.02 -0.8 1
1976-05-02 @ Orgryte D 0-055.9 1521 1444 29.81% 28.56% 41.63%-0.02 +0.7 2
1976-05-06 Djurgarden D 2-265.5 1441 1540 38.70% 28.54% 32.76%-0.12 -0.2 2
1976-05-06 @ Elfsborg D 2-265.5 1540 1441 32.76% 28.54% 38.70%+0.12 +0.2 4
1976-05-06 Malmo D 1-165.5 1540 1586 45.56% 28.50% 25.94%+0.22 -1.1 7
1976-05-06 @ Halmstad D 1-165.5 1586 1540 25.94% 28.50% 45.56%-0.22 +1.1 4
1976-05-06 Kalmar D 0-058.3 1525 1503 53.18% 28.08% 18.74%+0.66 -2.4 6
1976-05-06 @ Hammarby D 0-058.3 1503 1525 18.74% 28.08% 53.18%-0.66 +2.4 5
1976-05-06 Atvidaberg D 1-164.1 1538 1543 50.28% 28.30% 21.42%+0.48 -1.7 6
1976-05-06 @ Landskrona D 1-164.1 1543 1538 21.42% 28.30% 50.28%-0.48 +1.7 7
1976-05-06 Orgryte W 3-038.3 1489 1444 55.45% 27.84% 16.71%+0.81 +16.1 5
1976-05-06 @ Norrkoping L 0-338.3 1444 1489 16.71% 27.84% 55.45%-0.81 -16.1 1
1976-05-06 IFK Sundsvall L 0-261.6 1637 1561 58.22% 27.45% 14.33%+1.01 -30.1 6
1976-05-06 @ Oster W 2-061.6 1561 1637 14.33% 27.45% 58.22%-1.01 +30.0 9
1976-05-09 AIK Stockholm D 1-161.6 1491 1522 47.40% 28.45% 24.15%+0.32 -1.4 3
1976-05-09 @ Orebro D 1-161.6 1522 1491 24.15% 28.45% 47.40%-0.32 +1.4 3
1976-05-13 Hammarby L 0-354.0 1540 1523 52.72% 28.12% 19.16%+0.63 -39.7 4
1976-05-13 @ Djurgarden W 3-054.0 1523 1540 19.16% 28.12% 52.72%-0.63 +39.7 8
1976-05-16 Landskrona L 0-158.2 1523 1536 49.43% 28.35% 22.22%+0.43 -13.7 3
1976-05-16 @ AIK Stockholm W 1-058.2 1536 1523 22.22% 28.35% 49.43%-0.43 +13.7 8
1976-05-16 Halmstad L 1-264.5 1545 1539 51.53% 28.22% 20.26%+0.56 -13.4 7
1976-05-16 @ Atvidaberg W 2-164.5 1539 1545 20.26% 28.22% 51.53%-0.56 +13.4 9
1976-05-16 Norrkoping L 0-258.9 1591 1505 58.99% 27.32% 13.68%+1.07 -30.4 9
1976-05-16 @ IFK Sundsvall W 2-058.9 1505 1591 13.68% 27.32% 58.99%-1.07 +30.4 7
1976-05-16 Oster D 1-165.1 1505 1607 38.23% 28.53% 33.23%-0.14 -0.3 6
1976-05-16 @ Kalmar D 1-165.1 1607 1505 33.23% 28.53% 38.23%+0.14 +0.3 7
1976-05-16 Elfsborg W 6-039.6 1587 1441 63.57% 26.31% 10.12%+1.46 +19.7 6
1976-05-16 @ Malmo L 0-639.6 1441 1587 10.12% 26.31% 63.57%-1.46 -19.7 2
1976-05-16 Orebro L 1-256.1 1428 1490 43.49% 28.54% 27.96%+0.11 -11.6 1
1976-05-16 @ Orgryte W 2-156.1 1490 1428 27.96% 28.54% 43.49%-0.11 +11.6 5
1976-05-19 Atvidaberg W 2-046.6 1500 1532 47.31% 28.45% 24.24%+0.31 +15.0 6
1976-05-19 @ Djurgarden L 0-246.6 1532 1500 24.24% 28.45% 47.31%-0.31 -15.0 7
1976-05-20 Orgryte L 0-151.2 1421 1416 51.45% 28.22% 20.33%+0.55 -14.2 2
1976-05-20 @ Elfsborg W 1-051.2 1416 1421 20.33% 28.22% 51.45%-0.55 +14.2 3
1976-05-20 IFK Sundsvall W 3-153.7 1552 1560 49.99% 28.32% 21.69%+0.46 +11.9 11
1976-05-20 @ Halmstad L 1-353.7 1560 1552 21.69% 28.32% 49.99%-0.46 -11.9 9
1976-05-20 AIK Stockholm D 1-164.0 1562 1510 56.13% 27.76% 16.12%+0.86 -2.5 9
1976-05-20 @ Hammarby D 1-164.0 1510 1562 16.12% 27.76% 56.13%-0.86 +2.5 4
1976-05-20 Kalmar W 1-048.6 1607 1505 60.33% 27.07% 12.60%+1.18 +4.6 8
1976-05-20 @ Malmo L 0-148.6 1505 1607 12.60% 27.07% 60.33%-1.18 -4.6 6
1976-05-20 Orebro L 1-263.6 1536 1502 54.38% 27.96% 17.66%+0.74 -14.1 7
1976-05-20 @ Norrkoping W 2-163.6 1502 1536 17.66% 27.96% 54.38%-0.74 +14.1 7
1976-05-20 Landskrona D 1-166.7 1607 1550 56.54% 27.70% 15.76%+0.89 -2.6 8
1976-05-20 @ Oster D 1-166.7 1550 1607 15.76% 27.70% 56.54%-0.89 +2.6 9
1976-05-23 Norrkoping L 1-262.5 1517 1522 50.34% 28.30% 21.37%+0.48 -13.1 7
1976-05-23 @ Atvidaberg W 2-162.5 1522 1517 21.37% 28.30% 50.34%-0.48 +13.1 9
1976-05-23 Malmo L 1-361.6 1548 1611 43.40% 28.54% 28.05%+0.11 -20.0 9
1976-05-23 @ IFK Sundsvall W 3-161.6 1611 1548 28.05% 28.54% 43.40%-0.11 +20.0 10
1976-05-23 Djurgarden W 2-045.4 1500 1515 49.19% 28.36% 22.45%+0.42 +14.1 8
1976-05-23 @ Kalmar L 0-245.4 1515 1500 22.45% 28.36% 49.19%-0.42 -14.1 6
1976-05-23 Hammarby D 0-061.2 1553 1560 50.07% 28.31% 21.61%+0.47 -1.9 10
1976-05-23 @ Landskrona D 0-061.2 1560 1553 21.61% 28.31% 50.07%-0.47 +1.9 10
1976-05-23 Oster D 0-061.4 1516 1605 39.99% 28.55% 31.46%-0.06 -0.5 8
1976-05-23 @ Orebro D 0-061.4 1605 1516 31.46% 28.55% 39.99%+0.06 +0.5 9
1976-05-24 Elfsborg W 1-041.6 1512 1407 60.54% 27.03% 12.43%+1.20 +4.6 6
1976-05-24 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-141.6 1407 1512 12.43% 27.03% 60.54%-1.20 -4.6 2
1976-05-24 Halmstad W 2-049.3 1430 1564 33.72% 28.42% 37.86%-0.35 +20.7 5
1976-05-24 @ Orgryte L 0-249.3 1564 1430 37.86% 28.42% 33.72%+0.35 -20.7 11
1976-05-27 Djurgarden W 1-047.6 1515 1501 52.33% 28.15% 19.51%+0.61 +6.7 10
1976-05-27 @ Orebro L 0-147.6 1501 1515 19.51% 28.15% 52.33%-0.61 -6.7 6
1976-06-03 IFK Sundsvall W 6-249.8 1403 1528 34.88% 28.46% 36.66%-0.30 +27.2 4
1976-06-03 @ Elfsborg L 2-649.8 1528 1403 36.66% 28.46% 34.88%+0.30 -27.2 9
1976-06-03 Kalmar W 2-045.5 1544 1514 53.89% 28.01% 18.10%+0.71 +11.9 13
1976-06-03 @ Halmstad L 0-245.5 1514 1544 18.10% 28.01% 53.89%-0.71 -11.9 8
1976-06-03 Orgryte W 3-146.9 1562 1451 61.00% 26.93% 12.06%+1.23 +7.2 12
1976-06-03 @ Hammarby L 1-346.9 1451 1562 12.06% 26.93% 61.00%-1.23 -7.2 5
1976-06-03 Djurgarden W 2-045.1 1631 1495 62.94% 26.48% 10.59%+1.40 +7.4 12
1976-06-03 @ Malmo L 0-245.1 1495 1631 10.59% 26.48% 62.94%-1.40 -7.4 6
1976-06-03 Landskrona W 4-045.0 1535 1551 49.10% 28.37% 22.53%+0.41 +26.8 11
1976-06-03 @ Norrkoping L 0-445.0 1551 1535 22.53% 28.37% 49.10%-0.41 -26.8 10
1976-06-03 Atvidaberg D 0-058.2 1522 1504 52.77% 28.12% 19.11%+0.63 -2.3 11
1976-06-03 @ Orebro D 0-058.2 1504 1522 19.11% 28.12% 52.77%-0.63 +2.3 8
1976-06-03 AIK Stockholm W 2-046.1 1605 1517 59.24% 27.28% 13.48%+1.09 +9.2 11
1976-06-03 @ Oster L 0-246.1 1517 1605 13.48% 27.28% 59.24%-1.09 -9.2 6
1976-06-06 Orebro W 3-258.5 1524 1519 51.33% 28.23% 20.44%+0.54 +6.2 12
1976-06-06 @ Landskrona L 2-358.5 1519 1524 20.44% 28.23% 51.33%-0.54 -6.2 11
1976-06-07 Norrkoping D 3-372.8 1507 1562 44.53% 28.53% 26.94%+0.17 -0.6 7
1976-06-07 @ AIK Stockholm D 3-372.8 1562 1507 26.94% 28.53% 44.53%-0.17 +0.6 12
1976-06-07 Malmo D 1-166.1 1506 1639 33.87% 28.43% 37.70%-0.35 +0.2 9
1976-06-07 @ Atvidaberg D 1-166.1 1639 1506 37.70% 28.43% 33.87%+0.35 -0.2 13
1976-06-07 Halmstad L 0-252.5 1487 1555 42.73% 28.55% 28.71%+0.07 -22.8 6
1976-06-07 @ Djurgarden W 2-052.5 1555 1487 28.71% 28.55% 42.73%-0.07 +22.8 15
1976-06-07 Hammarby W 3-154.4 1501 1569 42.81% 28.55% 28.64%+0.08 +14.7 11
1976-06-07 @ IFK Sundsvall L 1-354.4 1569 1501 28.64% 28.55% 42.81%-0.08 -14.7 12
1976-06-07 Elfsborg L 0-155.9 1502 1430 57.89% 27.51% 14.60%+0.99 -15.9 8
1976-06-07 @ Kalmar W 1-055.9 1430 1502 14.60% 27.51% 57.89%-0.99 +15.8 6
1976-06-07 Oster L 2-458.0 1444 1614 28.90% 28.17% 42.93%-0.59 -13.2 5
1976-06-07 @ Orgryte W 4-258.0 1614 1444 42.93% 28.17% 28.90%+0.59 +13.2 13
1976-06-09 Oster W 6-050.9 1554 1628 42.08% 28.56% 29.37%+0.04 +48.0 14
1976-06-09 @ Hammarby L 0-650.9 1628 1554 29.37% 28.56% 42.08%-0.04 -48.0 13
1976-06-10 IFK Sundsvall L 0-157.0 1506 1516 49.79% 28.33% 21.88%+0.45 -13.8 9
1976-06-10 @ Atvidaberg W 1-057.0 1516 1506 21.88% 28.33% 49.79%-0.45 +13.8 13
1976-06-10 AIK Stockholm D 1-160.0 1464 1507 45.98% 28.49% 25.53%+0.24 -1.2 7
1976-06-10 @ Djurgarden D 1-160.0 1507 1464 25.53% 28.49% 45.98%-0.24 +1.2 8
1976-06-10 Norrkoping D 1-161.4 1446 1562 36.19% 28.49% 35.32%-0.24 -0.0 7
1976-06-10 @ Elfsborg D 1-161.4 1562 1446 35.32% 28.49% 36.19%+0.24 +0.0 13
1976-06-10 Orebro W 2-153.6 1578 1513 57.23% 27.61% 15.16%+0.94 +5.1 17
1976-06-10 @ Halmstad L 1-253.6 1513 1578 15.16% 27.61% 57.23%-0.94 -5.1 11
1976-06-10 Orgryte W 2-039.6 1487 1431 56.43% 27.72% 15.85%+0.88 +10.6 10
1976-06-10 @ Kalmar L 0-239.6 1431 1487 15.85% 27.72% 56.43%-0.88 -10.6 5
1976-06-10 Landskrona W 2-154.8 1639 1530 60.84% 26.97% 12.19%+1.22 +4.2 15
1976-06-10 @ Malmo L 1-254.8 1530 1639 12.19% 26.97% 60.84%-1.22 -4.2 12
1976-06-20 Kalmar W 9-245.0 1530 1497 54.22% 27.98% 17.81%+0.73 +25.5 15
1976-06-20 @ IFK Sundsvall L 2-945.0 1497 1530 17.81% 27.98% 54.22%-0.73 -25.5 10
1976-06-21 Malmo D 0-062.3 1508 1643 33.60% 28.42% 37.99%-0.36 +0.3 9
1976-06-21 @ AIK Stockholm D 0-062.3 1643 1508 37.99% 28.42% 33.60%+0.36 -0.3 16
1976-06-21 Halmstad W 1-053.4 1526 1583 44.11% 28.53% 27.35%+0.14 +8.7 14
1976-06-21 @ Landskrona L 0-153.4 1583 1526 27.35% 28.53% 44.11%-0.14 -8.7 17
1976-06-21 Hammarby W 2-159.1 1562 1602 46.28% 28.48% 25.23%+0.26 +7.7 15
1976-06-21 @ Norrkoping L 1-259.1 1602 1562 25.23% 28.48% 46.28%-0.26 -7.7 14
1976-06-21 Elfsborg W 4-249.9 1508 1446 57.01% 27.64% 15.35%+0.92 +8.0 13
1976-06-21 @ Orebro L 2-449.9 1446 1508 15.35% 27.64% 57.01%-0.92 -8.0 7
1976-06-21 Djurgarden L 0-345.6 1420 1463 45.89% 28.50% 25.62%+0.24 -35.1 5
1976-06-21 @ Orgryte W 3-045.6 1463 1420 25.62% 28.50% 45.89%-0.24 +35.1 9
1976-06-21 Atvidaberg W 3-149.6 1580 1492 59.13% 27.30% 13.57%+1.08 +8.0 15
1976-06-21 @ Oster L 1-349.6 1492 1580 13.57% 27.30% 59.13%-1.08 -8.0 9
1976-06-30 Kalmar L 1-260.0 1484 1472 52.21% 28.16% 19.63%+0.60 -13.6 9
1976-06-30 @ Atvidaberg W 2-160.0 1472 1484 19.63% 28.16% 52.21%-0.60 +13.6 12
1976-06-30 Landskrona W 3-044.7 1438 1534 38.92% 28.54% 32.53%-0.11 +27.0 9
1976-06-30 @ Elfsborg L 0-344.7 1534 1438 32.53% 28.54% 38.92%+0.11 -27.0 14
1976-06-30 AIK Stockholm W 2-153.3 1575 1508 57.36% 27.59% 15.05%+0.95 +5.1 19
1976-06-30 @ Halmstad L 1-253.3 1508 1575 15.05% 27.59% 57.36%-0.95 -5.1 9
1976-06-30 Orebro W 3-043.8 1594 1516 58.39% 27.43% 14.18%+1.02 +14.0 16
1976-06-30 @ Hammarby L 0-343.8 1516 1594 14.18% 27.43% 58.39%-1.02 -14.0 13
1976-06-30 Djurgarden D 2-268.4 1555 1498 56.51% 27.71% 15.78%+0.88 -1.9 16
1976-06-30 @ IFK Sundsvall D 2-268.4 1498 1555 15.78% 27.71% 56.51%-0.88 +1.9 10
1976-06-30 Orgryte D 0-059.6 1643 1385 70.30% 23.85% 5.85%+2.19 -4.8 17
1976-06-30 @ Malmo D 0-059.6 1385 1643 5.85% 23.85% 70.30%-2.19 +4.8 6
1976-06-30 Norrkoping W 3-154.2 1588 1570 52.73% 28.12% 19.15%+0.63 +10.8 17
1976-06-30 @ Oster L 1-354.2 1570 1588 19.15% 28.12% 52.73%-0.63 -10.8 15
1976-08-04 Halmstad W 3-155.2 1503 1580 41.65% 28.56% 29.79%+0.02 +15.1 11
1976-08-04 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-355.2 1580 1503 29.79% 28.56% 41.65%-0.02 -15.1 19
1976-08-05 IFK Sundsvall W 2-156.1 1500 1553 44.67% 28.52% 26.81%+0.17 +8.1 12
1976-08-05 @ Djurgarden L 1-256.1 1553 1500 26.81% 28.52% 44.67%-0.17 -8.1 16
1976-08-05 Atvidaberg W 3-147.3 1485 1471 52.40% 28.15% 19.45%+0.61 +10.9 14
1976-08-05 @ Kalmar L 1-347.3 1471 1485 19.45% 28.15% 52.40%-0.61 -10.9 9
1976-08-05 Elfsborg W 5-247.7 1507 1465 55.20% 27.87% 16.93%+0.79 +11.9 16
1976-08-05 @ Landskrona L 2-547.7 1465 1507 16.93% 27.87% 55.20%-0.79 -11.9 9
1976-08-05 Oster L 0-257.3 1559 1598 46.38% 28.48% 25.14%+0.26 -24.4 15
1976-08-05 @ Norrkoping W 2-057.3 1598 1559 25.14% 28.48% 46.38%-0.26 +24.4 19
1976-08-05 Hammarby W 2-052.2 1502 1608 37.60% 28.52% 33.87%-0.17 +19.1 15
1976-08-05 @ Orebro L 0-252.2 1608 1502 33.87% 28.52% 37.60%+0.17 -19.1 16
1976-08-05 Malmo L 0-148.0 1390 1638 20.36% 27.27% 52.37%-1.09 -6.8 6
1976-08-05 @ Orgryte W 1-048.0 1638 1390 52.37% 27.27% 20.36%+1.09 +6.8 19
1976-08-15 Oster D 2-271.1 1518 1623 37.86% 28.53% 33.61%-0.16 -0.2 12
1976-08-15 @ AIK Stockholm D 2-271.1 1623 1518 33.61% 28.53% 37.86%+0.16 +0.2 20
1976-08-15 Orebro W 4-255.0 1460 1521 43.62% 28.54% 27.84%+0.12 +12.9 11
1976-08-15 @ Atvidaberg L 2-455.0 1521 1460 27.84% 28.54% 43.62%-0.12 -12.9 15
1976-08-15 Elfsborg D 2-266.5 1545 1453 59.56% 27.22% 13.22%+1.11 -2.2 17
1976-08-15 @ IFK Sundsvall D 2-266.5 1453 1545 13.22% 27.22% 59.56%-1.11 +2.2 10
1976-08-15 Halmstad L 1-554.3 1496 1565 42.71% 28.55% 28.73%+0.07 -36.0 14
1976-08-15 @ Kalmar W 5-154.3 1565 1496 28.73% 28.55% 42.71%-0.07 +36.0 21
1976-08-15 Norrkoping W 3-259.6 1519 1535 49.16% 28.37% 22.47%+0.42 +6.7 18
1976-08-15 @ Landskrona L 2-359.6 1535 1519 22.47% 28.37% 49.16%-0.42 -6.7 15
1976-08-15 Hammarby L 1-446.9 1383 1589 24.65% 27.82% 47.53%-0.82 -18.4 6
1976-08-15 @ Orgryte W 4-146.9 1589 1383 47.53% 27.82% 24.65%+0.82 +18.4 18
1976-08-16 Malmo L 0-156.4 1508 1645 33.40% 28.41% 38.19%-0.37 -10.0 12
1976-08-16 @ Djurgarden W 1-056.4 1645 1508 38.19% 28.41% 33.40%+0.37 +10.0 21
1976-08-19 Kalmar D 2-263.2 1455 1460 50.31% 28.30% 21.39%+0.48 -1.3 11
1976-08-19 @ Elfsborg D 2-263.2 1460 1455 21.39% 28.30% 50.31%-0.48 +1.3 15
1976-08-19 Djurgarden D 2-270.2 1601 1498 60.36% 27.07% 12.57%+1.18 -2.3 22
1976-08-19 @ Halmstad D 2-270.2 1498 1601 12.57% 27.07% 60.36%-1.18 +2.3 13
1976-08-19 IFK Sundsvall W 6-147.9 1608 1543 57.22% 27.61% 15.17%+0.94 +19.8 20
1976-08-19 @ Hammarby L 1-647.9 1543 1608 15.17% 27.61% 57.22%-0.94 -19.8 17
1976-08-19 Atvidaberg W 2-152.1 1655 1473 65.93% 25.59% 8.48%+1.69 +3.0 23
1976-08-19 @ Malmo L 1-252.1 1473 1655 8.48% 25.59% 65.93%-1.69 -3.0 11
1976-08-19 AIK Stockholm W 3-150.8 1528 1518 51.93% 28.19% 19.89%+0.58 +11.1 17
1976-08-19 @ Norrkoping L 1-350.8 1518 1528 19.89% 28.19% 51.93%-0.58 -11.1 12
1976-08-19 Landskrona D 1-162.4 1508 1526 48.90% 28.38% 22.72%+0.40 -1.6 16
1976-08-19 @ Orebro D 1-162.4 1526 1508 22.72% 28.38% 48.90%-0.40 +1.6 19
1976-08-19 Orgryte W 3-035.8 1623 1364 70.34% 23.83% 5.83%+2.19 +5.9 22
1976-08-19 @ Oster L 0-335.8 1364 1623 5.83% 23.83% 70.34%-2.19 -5.9 6
1976-08-26 Hammarby W 2-053.6 1507 1628 35.60% 28.48% 35.92%-0.27 +20.0 14
1976-08-26 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-253.6 1628 1507 35.92% 28.48% 35.60%+0.27 -20.0 20
1976-08-26 Djurgarden D 1-160.0 1470 1500 47.39% 28.45% 24.17%+0.32 -1.4 12
1976-08-26 @ Atvidaberg D 1-160.0 1500 1470 24.17% 28.45% 47.39%-0.32 +1.4 14
1976-08-26 Halmstad D 2-270.5 1523 1598 41.83% 28.56% 29.62%+0.03 -0.5 18
1976-08-26 @ IFK Sundsvall D 2-270.5 1598 1523 29.62% 28.56% 41.83%-0.03 +0.5 23
1976-08-26 Malmo W 3-161.1 1461 1658 25.83% 27.93% 46.24%-0.76 +21.0 17
1976-08-26 @ Kalmar L 1-361.1 1658 1461 46.24% 27.93% 25.83%+0.76 -21.0 23
1976-08-26 Oster L 0-158.0 1528 1629 38.32% 28.54% 33.15%-0.14 -11.1 19
1976-08-26 @ Landskrona W 1-058.0 1629 1528 33.15% 28.54% 38.32%+0.14 +11.1 24
1976-08-26 Norrkoping W 6-250.4 1507 1539 47.20% 28.45% 24.35%+0.31 +20.1 18
1976-08-26 @ Orebro L 2-650.4 1539 1507 24.35% 28.45% 47.20%-0.31 -20.1 17
1976-08-26 Elfsborg D 2-260.1 1359 1454 39.14% 28.55% 32.31%-0.10 -0.3 7
1976-08-26 @ Orgryte D 2-260.1 1454 1359 32.31% 28.55% 39.14%+0.10 +0.3 12
1976-08-29 AIK Stockholm W 2-046.2 1454 1527 42.12% 28.55% 29.32%+0.04 +17.2 14
1976-08-29 @ Elfsborg L 0-246.2 1527 1454 29.32% 28.55% 42.12%-0.04 -17.2 14
1976-08-29 Orgryte W 2-145.1 1599 1358 69.37% 24.27% 6.36%+2.08 +2.2 25
1976-08-29 @ Halmstad L 1-245.1 1358 1599 6.36% 24.27% 69.37%-2.08 -2.2 7
1976-08-29 Landskrona L 0-259.9 1608 1517 59.45% 27.24% 13.31%+1.11 -30.7 20
1976-08-29 @ Hammarby W 2-059.9 1517 1608 13.31% 27.24% 59.45%-1.11 +30.7 21
1976-08-29 IFK Sundsvall W 3-044.4 1637 1523 61.25% 26.88% 11.87%+1.25 +12.0 25
1976-08-29 @ Malmo L 0-344.4 1523 1637 11.87% 26.88% 61.25%-1.25 -12.0 18
1976-08-29 Atvidaberg W 1-045.5 1519 1468 55.94% 27.78% 16.28%+0.84 +5.8 19
1976-08-29 @ Norrkoping L 0-145.5 1468 1519 16.28% 27.78% 55.94%-0.84 -5.8 12
1976-08-29 Orebro L 2-374.3 1640 1527 61.17% 26.90% 11.93%+1.25 -15.0 24
1976-08-29 @ Oster W 3-274.3 1527 1640 11.93% 26.90% 61.17%-1.25 +15.0 20
1976-08-30 Kalmar L 0-156.4 1502 1482 52.91% 28.10% 18.99%+0.64 -14.6 14
1976-08-30 @ Djurgarden W 1-056.4 1482 1502 18.99% 28.10% 52.91%-0.64 +14.5 19
1976-09-02 Djurgarden W 5-040.8 1510 1487 53.21% 28.08% 18.71%+0.66 +28.5 16
1976-09-02 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-540.8 1487 1510 18.71% 28.08% 53.21%-0.66 -28.5 14
1976-09-02 Atvidaberg L 1-358.7 1511 1463 55.70% 27.81% 16.49%+0.83 -24.9 18
1976-09-02 @ IFK Sundsvall W 3-158.7 1463 1511 16.49% 27.81% 55.70%-0.83 +24.9 14
1976-09-02 Malmo D 1-167.4 1547 1649 38.29% 28.54% 33.17%-0.14 -0.3 22
1976-09-02 @ Landskrona D 1-167.4 1649 1547 33.17% 28.54% 38.29%+0.14 +0.3 26
1976-09-02 Elfsborg L 3-565.9 1525 1471 56.21% 27.75% 16.05%+0.86 -21.3 19
1976-09-02 @ Norrkoping W 5-365.9 1471 1525 16.05% 27.75% 56.21%-0.86 +21.3 16
1976-09-02 Halmstad D 1-166.0 1542 1601 43.91% 28.54% 27.56%+0.13 -0.9 21
1976-09-02 @ Orebro D 1-166.0 1601 1542 27.56% 28.54% 43.91%-0.13 +0.9 26
1976-09-02 Kalmar L 1-250.8 1356 1497 32.78% 28.38% 38.84%-0.40 -9.3 7
1976-09-02 @ Orgryte W 2-150.8 1497 1356 38.84% 28.38% 32.78%+0.40 +9.3 21
1976-09-02 Hammarby W 2-157.2 1625 1577 55.70% 27.81% 16.49%+0.83 +5.5 26
1976-09-02 @ Oster L 1-257.2 1577 1625 16.49% 27.81% 55.70%-0.83 -5.5 20
1976-09-05 Oster L 2-364.7 1488 1630 32.51% 28.37% 39.12%-0.41 -8.8 14
1976-09-05 @ Atvidaberg W 3-264.7 1630 1488 39.12% 28.37% 32.51%+0.41 +8.8 28
1976-09-05 Orgryte W 1-038.2 1459 1347 61.11% 26.91% 11.98%+1.24 +4.4 16
1976-09-05 @ Djurgarden L 0-138.2 1347 1459 11.98% 26.91% 61.11%-1.24 -4.4 7
1976-09-05 Orebro D 0-058.4 1493 1541 45.24% 28.51% 26.25%+0.20 -1.2 17
1976-09-05 @ Elfsborg D 0-058.4 1541 1493 26.25% 28.51% 45.24%-0.20 +1.2 22
1976-09-05 Landskrona W 7-147.9 1602 1547 56.35% 27.73% 15.92%+0.87 +24.4 28
1976-09-05 @ Halmstad L 1-747.9 1547 1602 15.92% 27.73% 56.35%-0.87 -24.4 22
1976-09-05 IFK Sundsvall L 0-156.8 1506 1486 53.02% 28.09% 18.88%+0.65 -14.6 21
1976-09-05 @ Kalmar W 1-056.8 1486 1506 18.88% 28.09% 53.02%-0.65 +14.6 20
1976-09-05 AIK Stockholm D 1-167.6 1649 1538 61.00% 26.93% 12.07%+1.23 -3.2 27
1976-09-05 @ Malmo D 1-167.6 1538 1649 12.07% 26.93% 61.00%-1.23 +3.2 17
1976-09-06 Norrkoping W 2-045.1 1571 1504 57.50% 27.57% 14.94%+0.96 +10.1 22
1976-09-06 @ Hammarby L 0-245.1 1504 1571 14.94% 27.57% 57.50%-0.96 -10.1 19
1976-09-12 Malmo W 2-162.9 1491 1646 30.98% 28.30% 40.72%-0.48 +10.9 19
1976-09-12 @ Elfsborg L 1-262.9 1646 1491 40.72% 28.30% 30.98%+0.48 -11.0 27
1976-09-12 Atvidaberg W 4-146.9 1626 1479 63.68% 26.28% 10.04%+1.47 +8.6 30
1976-09-12 @ Halmstad L 1-446.9 1479 1626 10.04% 26.28% 63.68%-1.47 -8.6 14
1976-09-12 Djurgarden L 0-257.8 1582 1463 61.58% 26.81% 11.61%+1.28 -31.7 22
1976-09-12 @ Hammarby W 2-057.8 1463 1582 11.61% 26.81% 61.58%-1.28 +31.7 18
1976-09-12 AIK Stockholm D 1-163.5 1522 1541 48.76% 28.39% 22.86%+0.39 -1.5 23
1976-09-12 @ Landskrona D 1-163.5 1541 1522 22.86% 28.39% 48.76%-0.39 +1.5 18
1976-09-12 IFK Sundsvall W 5-145.4 1493 1500 50.11% 28.31% 21.58%+0.47 +21.6 21
1976-09-12 @ Norrkoping L 1-545.4 1500 1493 21.58% 28.31% 50.11%-0.47 -21.6 20
1976-09-12 Orgryte W 4-138.0 1542 1342 67.04% 25.20% 7.75%+1.81 +6.7 24
1976-09-12 @ Orebro L 1-438.0 1342 1542 7.75% 25.20% 67.04%-1.81 -6.7 7
1976-09-12 Kalmar W 4-042.1 1639 1492 63.68% 26.28% 10.04%+1.47 +13.4 30
1976-09-12 @ Oster L 0-442.1 1492 1639 10.04% 26.28% 63.68%-1.47 -13.4 21
1976-09-18 Elfsborg W 2-044.5 1495 1502 50.06% 28.31% 21.62%+0.47 +13.7 20
1976-09-18 @ Djurgarden L 0-244.5 1502 1495 21.62% 28.31% 50.06%-0.47 -13.7 19
1976-09-19 Orebro D 1-164.5 1543 1549 50.21% 28.31% 21.49%+0.48 -1.7 19
1976-09-19 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-164.5 1549 1543 21.49% 28.31% 50.21%-0.48 +1.7 25
1976-09-19 Landskrona D 0-056.8 1470 1521 44.95% 28.52% 26.53%+0.19 -1.2 15
1976-09-19 @ Atvidaberg D 0-056.8 1521 1470 26.53% 28.52% 44.95%-0.19 +1.2 24
1976-09-19 Oster W 4-371.4 1479 1653 28.49% 28.15% 43.36%-0.61 +10.6 22
1976-09-19 @ IFK Sundsvall L 3-471.4 1653 1479 43.36% 28.15% 28.49%+0.61 -10.6 30
1976-09-19 Hammarby W 4-045.0 1478 1550 42.32% 28.55% 29.13%+0.05 +32.6 23
1976-09-19 @ Kalmar L 0-445.0 1550 1478 29.13% 28.55% 42.32%-0.05 -32.6 22
1976-09-19 Halmstad W 1-055.1 1635 1635 50.83% 28.27% 20.90%+0.51 +7.1 29
1976-09-19 @ Malmo L 0-155.1 1635 1635 20.90% 28.27% 50.83%-0.51 -7.1 30
1976-09-19 Norrkoping D 1-156.2 1336 1515 27.82% 28.10% 44.09%-0.65 +0.9 8
1976-09-19 @ Orgryte D 1-156.2 1515 1336 44.09% 28.10% 27.82%+0.65 -0.9 22
1976-09-25 Halmstad L 1-262.1 1517 1628 36.99% 28.51% 34.50%-0.20 -10.2 22
1976-09-25 @ Hammarby W 2-162.1 1628 1517 34.50% 28.51% 36.99%+0.20 +10.2 32
1976-09-26 Orgryte W 5-240.8 1541 1337 67.32% 25.10% 7.58%+1.84 +5.7 21
1976-09-26 @ AIK Stockholm L 2-540.8 1337 1541 7.58% 25.10% 67.32%-1.84 -5.7 8
1976-09-26 Atvidaberg W 5-143.2 1489 1469 52.92% 28.10% 18.97%+0.64 +19.5 21
1976-09-26 @ Elfsborg L 1-543.2 1469 1489 18.97% 28.10% 52.92%-0.64 -19.5 15
1976-09-26 IFK Sundsvall W 1-046.9 1522 1489 54.24% 27.98% 17.78%+0.73 +6.2 26
1976-09-26 @ Landskrona L 0-146.9 1489 1522 17.78% 27.98% 54.24%-0.73 -6.2 22
1976-09-26 Djurgarden W 3-257.7 1514 1509 51.46% 28.22% 20.32%+0.55 +6.2 24
1976-09-26 @ Norrkoping L 2-357.7 1509 1514 20.32% 28.22% 51.46%-0.55 -6.2 20
1976-09-26 Kalmar D 2-268.7 1551 1511 54.91% 27.90% 17.18%+0.77 -1.7 26
1976-09-26 @ Orebro D 2-268.7 1511 1551 17.18% 27.90% 54.91%-0.77 +1.7 24
1976-09-26 Malmo D 2-274.2 1642 1642 50.88% 28.26% 20.85%+0.52 -1.3 31
1976-09-26 @ Oster D 2-274.2 1642 1642 20.85% 28.26% 50.88%-0.52 +1.4 30
1976-10-03 AIK Stockholm D 0-057.0 1449 1547 38.84% 28.54% 32.62%-0.12 -0.4 16
1976-10-03 @ Atvidaberg D 0-057.0 1547 1449 32.62% 28.54% 38.84%+0.12 +0.4 22
1976-10-03 Oster W 4-370.3 1502 1641 33.14% 28.40% 38.46%-0.38 +9.7 22
1976-10-03 @ Djurgarden L 3-470.3 1641 1502 38.46% 28.40% 33.14%+0.38 -9.7 31
1976-10-03 Elfsborg W 3-043.7 1638 1508 62.45% 26.60% 10.95%+1.36 +11.1 34
1976-10-03 @ Halmstad L 0-343.7 1508 1638 10.95% 26.60% 62.45%-1.36 -11.1 21
1976-10-03 Orebro L 1-454.9 1483 1549 43.06% 28.55% 28.40%+0.09 -28.1 22
1976-10-03 @ IFK Sundsvall W 4-154.9 1549 1483 28.40% 28.55% 43.06%-0.09 +28.1 28
1976-10-03 Norrkoping W 2-153.7 1513 1520 50.03% 28.32% 21.65%+0.47 +6.8 26
1976-10-03 @ Kalmar L 1-253.7 1520 1513 21.65% 28.32% 50.03%-0.47 -6.8 24
1976-10-03 Hammarby W 1-049.0 1643 1507 62.88% 26.49% 10.63%+1.40 +3.9 32
1976-10-03 @ Malmo L 0-149.0 1507 1643 10.63% 26.49% 62.88%-1.40 -3.9 22
1976-10-03 Landskrona L 0-240.8 1331 1528 25.68% 27.92% 46.40%-0.76 -15.5 8
1976-10-03 @ Orgryte W 2-040.8 1528 1331 46.40% 27.92% 25.68%+0.76 +15.5 28
1976-10-16 Kalmar D 1-163.7 1547 1520 53.74% 28.03% 18.23%+0.70 -2.2 23
1976-10-16 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-163.7 1520 1547 18.23% 28.03% 53.74%-0.70 +2.2 27
1976-10-17 Atvidaberg W 4-143.6 1503 1449 56.25% 27.74% 16.01%+0.87 +13.1 24
1976-10-17 @ Hammarby L 1-443.6 1449 1503 16.01% 27.74% 56.25%-0.87 -13.1 16
1976-10-17 Djurgarden W 1-048.5 1544 1512 54.14% 27.99% 17.88%+0.72 +6.2 30
1976-10-17 @ Landskrona L 0-148.5 1512 1544 17.88% 27.99% 54.14%-0.72 -6.2 22
1976-10-17 Halmstad L 1-358.7 1513 1649 33.47% 28.41% 38.12%-0.36 -16.4 24
1976-10-17 @ Norrkoping W 3-158.7 1649 1513 38.12% 28.41% 33.47%+0.36 +16.4 36
1976-10-17 Malmo D 1-168.0 1577 1647 42.49% 28.55% 28.95%+0.06 -0.8 29
1976-10-17 @ Orebro D 1-168.0 1647 1577 28.95% 28.55% 42.49%-0.06 +0.8 33
1976-10-17 IFK Sundsvall W 3-040.5 1315 1455 32.95% 28.39% 38.66%-0.39 +30.6 10
1976-10-17 @ Orgryte L 0-340.5 1455 1315 38.66% 28.39% 32.95%+0.39 -30.6 22
1976-10-17 Elfsborg D 2-271.3 1631 1497 62.73% 26.53% 10.74%+1.38 -2.5 32
1976-10-17 @ Oster D 2-271.3 1497 1631 10.74% 26.53% 62.73%-1.38 +2.5 22
1976-10-24 Orgryte W 4-244.2 1436 1346 59.36% 27.26% 13.38%+1.10 +7.1 18
1976-10-24 @ Atvidaberg L 2-444.2 1346 1436 13.38% 27.26% 59.36%-1.10 -7.1 10
1976-10-24 Orebro W 2-157.7 1506 1576 42.46% 28.55% 28.99%+0.06 +8.5 24
1976-10-24 @ Djurgarden L 1-257.7 1576 1506 28.99% 28.55% 42.46%-0.06 -8.5 29
1976-10-24 Hammarby W 3-043.3 1499 1516 49.01% 28.37% 22.62%+0.41 +20.6 24
1976-10-24 @ Elfsborg L 0-343.3 1516 1499 22.62% 28.37% 49.01%-0.41 -20.6 24
1976-10-24 Oster W 2-051.2 1666 1628 54.68% 27.93% 17.39%+0.76 +11.5 38
1976-10-24 @ Halmstad L 0-251.2 1628 1666 17.39% 27.93% 54.68%-0.76 -11.5 32
1976-10-24 AIK Stockholm L 1-255.6 1424 1545 35.59% 28.48% 35.93%-0.27 -9.9 22
1976-10-24 @ IFK Sundsvall W 2-155.6 1545 1424 35.93% 28.48% 35.59%+0.27 +9.9 25
1976-10-24 Landskrona L 1-262.9 1522 1550 47.66% 28.44% 23.90%+0.33 -12.5 27
1976-10-24 @ Kalmar W 2-162.9 1550 1522 23.90% 28.44% 47.66%-0.33 +12.5 32
1976-10-24 Norrkoping W 3-150.5 1648 1497 63.90% 26.22% 9.88%+1.49 +6.0 35
1976-10-24 @ Malmo L 1-350.5 1497 1648 9.88% 26.22% 63.90%-1.49 -6.0 24

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1976-09-12 11.61% Djurgarden 1463 2 @ Hammarby 1582 0
2 1976-08-29 11.93% Orebro 1527 3 @ Oster 1640 2
3 1976-08-29 13.31% Landskrona 1517 2 @ Hammarby 1608 0
4 1976-05-16 13.68% Norrkoping 1505 2 @ IFK Sundsvall 1591 0
5 1976-05-06 14.33% IFK Sundsvall 1561 2 @ Oster 1637 0
6 1976-06-07 14.60% Elfsborg 1430 1 @ Kalmar 1502 0
7 1976-09-02 16.05% Elfsborg 1471 5 @ Norrkoping 1525 3
8 1976-04-11 16.26% IFK Sundsvall 1507 3 @ AIK Stockholm 1558 1
9 1976-09-02 16.49% Atvidaberg 1463 3 @ IFK Sundsvall 1511 1
10 1976-05-20 17.66% Orebro 1502 2 @ Norrkoping 1536 1
11 1976-04-11 17.89% Kalmar 1499 2 @ Landskrona 1531 1
12 1976-04-19 18.01% Landskrona 1517 1 @ Djurgarden 1547 0
13 1976-04-19 18.38% Hammarby 1505 1 @ Atvidaberg 1531 0
14 1976-09-05 18.88% IFK Sundsvall 1486 1 @ Kalmar 1506 0
15 1976-08-30 18.99% Kalmar 1482 1 @ Djurgarden 1502 0
16 1976-04-22 19.12% Atvidaberg 1516 3 @ AIK Stockholm 1534 2
17 1976-05-13 19.16% Hammarby 1523 3 @ Djurgarden 1540 0
18 1976-04-24 19.27% Halmstad 1479 3 @ Elfsborg 1495 0
19 1976-06-30 19.63% Kalmar 1472 2 @ Atvidaberg 1484 1
20 1976-05-16 20.26% Halmstad 1539 2 @ Atvidaberg 1545 1
21 1976-05-20 20.33% Orgryte 1416 1 @ Elfsborg 1421 0
22 1976-05-23 21.37% Norrkoping 1522 2 @ Atvidaberg 1517 1
23 1976-06-10 21.88% IFK Sundsvall 1516 1 @ Atvidaberg 1506 0
24 1976-05-16 22.22% Landskrona 1536 1 @ AIK Stockholm 1523 0
25 1976-04-24 23.30% IFK Sundsvall 1538 2 @ Orebro 1515 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1976-06-09 47.96 @ Hammarby 6 1554 42.08% Oster 0 1628 29.37% 28.56%
2 1976-05-13 39.74 Hammarby 3 1523 19.16% @ Djurgarden 0 1540 52.72% 28.12%
3 1976-04-24 39.65 Halmstad 3 1479 19.27% @ Elfsborg 0 1495 52.60% 28.13%
4 1976-08-15 36.05 Halmstad 5 1565 28.73% @ Kalmar 1 1496 42.71% 28.55%
5 1976-06-21 35.14 Djurgarden 3 1463 25.62% @ Orgryte 0 1420 45.89% 28.50%
6 1976-09-19 32.57 @ Kalmar 4 1478 42.32% Hammarby 0 1550 29.13% 28.55%
7 1976-09-12 31.72 Djurgarden 2 1463 11.61% @ Hammarby 0 1582 61.58% 26.81%
8 1976-08-29 30.67 Landskrona 2 1517 13.31% @ Hammarby 0 1608 59.45% 27.24%
9 1976-10-17 30.57 @ Orgryte 3 1315 32.95% IFK Sundsvall 0 1455 38.66% 28.39%
10 1976-05-16 30.44 Norrkoping 2 1505 13.68% @ IFK Sundsvall 0 1591 58.99% 27.32%
11 1976-05-06 30.05 IFK Sundsvall 2 1561 14.33% @ Oster 0 1637 58.22% 27.45%
12 1976-09-02 28.52 @ AIK Stockholm 5 1510 53.21% Djurgarden 0 1487 18.71% 28.08%
13 1976-10-03 28.11 Orebro 4 1549 28.40% @ IFK Sundsvall 1 1483 43.06% 28.55%
14 1976-06-03 27.18 @ Elfsborg 6 1403 34.88% IFK Sundsvall 2 1528 36.66% 28.46%
15 1976-06-30 27.02 @ Elfsborg 3 1438 38.92% Landskrona 0 1534 32.53% 28.54%
16 1976-06-03 26.83 @ Norrkoping 4 1535 49.10% Landskrona 0 1551 22.53% 28.37%
17 1976-04-24 26.82 @ Hammarby 3 1519 39.25% Malmo 0 1614 32.21% 28.55%
18 1976-06-20 25.46 @ IFK Sundsvall 9 1530 54.22% Kalmar 2 1497 17.81% 27.98%
19 1976-04-24 25.28 IFK Sundsvall 2 1538 23.30% @ Orebro 0 1515 48.29% 28.41%
20 1976-04-11 25.06 IFK Sundsvall 3 1507 16.26% @ AIK Stockholm 1 1558 55.96% 27.78%
21 1976-09-02 24.95 Atvidaberg 3 1463 16.49% @ IFK Sundsvall 1 1511 55.70% 27.81%
22 1976-09-05 24.43 @ Halmstad 7 1602 56.35% Landskrona 1 1547 15.92% 27.73%
23 1976-08-05 24.41 Oster 2 1598 25.14% @ Norrkoping 0 1559 46.38% 28.48%
24 1976-06-07 22.81 Halmstad 2 1555 28.71% @ Djurgarden 0 1487 42.73% 28.55%
25 1976-09-12 21.60 @ Norrkoping 5 1493 50.11% IFK Sundsvall 1 1500 21.58% 28.31%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1976-08-29 74.3 Orebro 3 1527 11.93% @ Oster 2 1640 61.17% 26.90%
2 1976-09-26 74.2 @ Oster 2 1642 50.88% Malmo 2 1642 20.85% 28.26%
3 1976-06-07 72.8 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1507 44.53% Norrkoping 3 1562 26.94% 28.53%
4 1976-04-24 72.3 @ Oster 2 1638 60.66% Djurgarden 2 1532 12.33% 27.00%
5 1976-04-19 72.0 @ Kalmar 3 1513 48.60% AIK Stockholm 3 1533 23.00% 28.39%
6 1976-09-19 71.4 @ IFK Sundsvall 4 1479 28.49% Oster 3 1653 43.36% 28.15%
7 1976-10-17 71.3 @ Oster 2 1631 62.73% Elfsborg 2 1497 10.74% 26.53%
8 1976-08-15 71.1 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1518 37.86% Oster 2 1623 33.61% 28.53%
9 1976-08-26 70.5 @ IFK Sundsvall 2 1523 41.83% Halmstad 2 1598 29.62% 28.56%
10 1976-10-03 70.3 @ Djurgarden 4 1502 33.14% Oster 3 1641 38.46% 28.40%
11 1976-08-19 70.2 @ Halmstad 2 1601 60.36% Djurgarden 2 1498 12.57% 27.07%
12 1976-09-26 68.7 @ Orebro 2 1551 54.91% Kalmar 2 1511 17.18% 27.90%
13 1976-04-22 68.4 Atvidaberg 3 1516 19.12% @ AIK Stockholm 2 1534 52.77% 28.12%
14 1976-06-30 68.4 @ IFK Sundsvall 2 1555 56.51% Djurgarden 2 1498 15.78% 27.71%
15 1976-05-02 68.0 @ Malmo 1 1587 45.21% Oster 1 1636 26.28% 28.51%
16 1976-10-17 68.0 @ Orebro 1 1577 42.49% Malmo 1 1647 28.95% 28.55%
17 1976-09-05 67.6 @ Malmo 1 1649 61.00% AIK Stockholm 1 1538 12.07% 26.93%
18 1976-09-02 67.4 @ Landskrona 1 1547 38.29% Malmo 1 1649 33.17% 28.54%
19 1976-05-20 66.7 @ Oster 1 1607 56.54% Landskrona 1 1550 15.76% 27.70%
20 1976-08-15 66.5 @ IFK Sundsvall 2 1545 59.56% Elfsborg 2 1453 13.22% 27.22%
21 1976-06-07 66.1 @ Atvidaberg 1 1506 33.87% Malmo 1 1639 37.70% 28.43%
22 1976-09-02 66.0 @ Orebro 1 1542 43.91% Halmstad 1 1601 27.56% 28.54%
23 1976-09-02 65.9 Elfsborg 5 1471 16.05% @ Norrkoping 3 1525 56.21% 27.75%
24 1976-05-06 65.5 @ Elfsborg 2 1441 38.70% Djurgarden 2 1540 32.76% 28.54%
25 1976-05-06 65.5 @ Halmstad 1 1540 45.56% Malmo 1 1586 25.94% 28.50%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1976-08-19 35.8 @ Oster 3 1623 70.34% Orgryte 0 1364 5.83% 23.83%
2 1976-09-12 38.0 @ Orebro 4 1542 67.04% Orgryte 1 1342 7.75% 25.20%
3 1976-09-05 38.2 @ Djurgarden 1 1459 61.11% Orgryte 0 1347 11.98% 26.91%
4 1976-05-06 38.3 @ Norrkoping 3 1489 55.45% Orgryte 0 1444 16.71% 27.84%
5 1976-05-02 39.4 @ Atvidaberg 3 1529 57.96% Elfsborg 0 1456 14.54% 27.49%
6 1976-05-16 39.6 @ Malmo 6 1587 63.57% Elfsborg 0 1441 10.12% 26.31%
7 1976-06-10 39.6 @ Kalmar 2 1487 56.43% Orgryte 0 1431 15.85% 27.72%
8 1976-10-17 40.5 @ Orgryte 3 1315 32.95% IFK Sundsvall 0 1455 38.66% 28.39%
9 1976-09-02 40.8 @ AIK Stockholm 5 1510 53.21% Djurgarden 0 1487 18.71% 28.08%
10 1976-09-26 40.8 @ AIK Stockholm 5 1541 67.32% Orgryte 2 1337 7.58% 25.10%
11 1976-10-03 40.8 Landskrona 2 1528 46.40% @ Orgryte 0 1331 25.68% 27.92%
12 1976-05-24 41.6 @ AIK Stockholm 1 1512 60.54% Elfsborg 0 1407 12.43% 27.03%
13 1976-04-14 42.0 @ Oster 3 1606 61.88% Halmstad 0 1483 11.38% 26.74%
14 1976-09-12 42.1 @ Oster 4 1639 63.68% Kalmar 0 1492 10.04% 26.28%
15 1976-09-26 43.2 @ Elfsborg 5 1489 52.92% Atvidaberg 1 1469 18.97% 28.10%
16 1976-10-24 43.3 @ Elfsborg 3 1499 49.01% Hammarby 0 1516 22.62% 28.37%
17 1976-10-17 43.6 @ Hammarby 4 1503 56.25% Atvidaberg 1 1449 16.01% 27.74%
18 1976-10-03 43.7 @ Halmstad 3 1638 62.45% Elfsborg 0 1508 10.95% 26.60%
19 1976-06-30 43.8 @ Hammarby 3 1594 58.39% Orebro 0 1516 14.18% 27.43%
20 1976-10-24 44.2 @ Atvidaberg 4 1436 59.36% Orgryte 2 1346 13.38% 27.26%
21 1976-08-29 44.4 @ Malmo 3 1637 61.25% IFK Sundsvall 0 1523 11.87% 26.88%
22 1976-09-18 44.5 @ Djurgarden 2 1495 50.06% Elfsborg 0 1502 21.62% 28.31%
23 1976-04-19 44.7 @ IFK Sundsvall 1 1532 58.40% Orgryte 0 1454 14.18% 27.42%
24 1976-06-30 44.7 @ Elfsborg 3 1438 38.92% Landskrona 0 1534 32.53% 28.54%
25 1976-06-03 45.0 @ Norrkoping 4 1535 49.10% Landskrona 0 1551 22.53% 28.37%