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1977 Allsvenskan Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Malmo

38 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Malmo

6.15 points above expected

38 points · 31.85 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Derby

9.10 points below expected

12 points · 21.10 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Malmo 26 15 8 3 38 41 19 +22 31.85 +6.15
2 Elfsborg 26 10 11 5 31 37 23 +14 27.36 +3.64
3 Kalmar 26 12 7 7 31 37 30 +7 26.09 +4.91
4 Norrkoping 26 11 9 6 31 42 36 +6 25.74 +5.26
5 Landskrona 26 12 5 9 29 43 34 +9 28.34 +0.66
6 Goteborg 26 9 9 8 27 48 49 -1 23.24 +3.76
7 Hammarby 26 10 6 10 26 28 37 -9 23.89 +2.11
8 Halmstad 26 8 9 9 25 39 33 +6 28.64 -3.64
9 Oster 26 8 9 9 25 31 25 +6 29.06 -4.06
10 Djurgarden 26 7 10 9 24 34 37 -3 24.36 -0.36
11 AIK Stockholm 26 5 13 8 23 31 37 -6 24.81 -1.81
12 Orebro 26 6 10 10 22 30 35 -5 26.48 -4.48
13 IFK Sundsvall 26 5 10 11 20 32 43 -11 23.04 -3.04
14 Derby 26 3 6 17 12 18 53 -35 21.10 -9.10

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Malmo 38 31.85 +6.15
2 Norrkoping 31 25.74 +5.26
3 Kalmar 31 26.09 +4.91
4 Goteborg 27 23.24 +3.76
5 Elfsborg 31 27.36 +3.64

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Derby 12 21.10 -9.10
2 Orebro 22 26.48 -4.48
3 Oster 25 29.06 -4.06
4 Halmstad 25 28.64 -3.64
5 IFK Sundsvall 20 23.04 -3.04

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Elfsborg 6 Aug 14 – Sep 18 1 in 407
2 Djurgarden 4 Sep 25 – Oct 16 1 in 157
3 Malmo 5 May 30 – Jun 22 1 in 66
4 Kalmar 3 Jun 22 – Jul 31 1 in 28
5 Norrkoping 3 Aug 7 – Aug 14 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Derby 7 Jun 19 – Aug 14 1 in 358
2 Landskrona 3 Sep 18 – Oct 2 1 in 72
3 Malmo 2 Oct 2 – Oct 9 1 in 37
4 Elfsborg 3 Jul 3 – Aug 7 1 in 26
5 Oster 2 Sep 1 – Sep 11 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Malmo 18 May 12 – Sep 25 1 in 74
2 Norrkoping 7 Jun 13 – Aug 14 1 in 29
3 Elfsborg 10 Aug 11 – Oct 8 1 in 22
4 Orebro 7 Jun 22 – Aug 21 1 in 18
5 Djurgarden 6 May 7 – Jun 12 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 AIK Stockholm 10 May 30 – Aug 14 1 in 61
2 Derby 15 May 15 – Sep 1 1 in 53
3 IFK Sundsvall 12 Aug 8 – Oct 16 1 in 41
4 Elfsborg 7 Jun 12 – Aug 11 1 in 22
5 Djurgarden 8 May 30 – Aug 8 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Malmo 1631 38 -14 5 5.9 -0.9
Kalmar 1512 31 -1 7 5.4 +1.6
Elfsborg 1563 31 +7 5 5.5 -0.5
Norrkoping 1508 31 -1 5 5.0 +0.0
Landskrona 1528 29 -31 4 5.3 -1.3
Goteborg 1475 27 +39 7 4.9 +2.1
Hammarby 1449 26 -5 6 4.2 +1.8
Oster 1517 25 -23 4 5.5 -1.5
Halmstad 1541 25 -14 3 4.8 -1.8
Djurgarden 1489 24 +64 9 5.0 +4.0
AIK Stockholm 1482 23 +43 7 4.5 +2.5
Orebro 1466 22 -26 2 5.5 -3.5
IFK Sundsvall 1404 20 -13 3 4.4 -1.4
Derby 1326 12 -35 1 3.5 -2.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS DER DJU ELF GOT HAL HAM IS KAL LAN MAL NOR ORE OST
AIK Stockholm —
0-1-1
3.02
1-1-0
2.66
0-1-1
2.23
0-1-1
2.96
0-2-0
2.30
0-1-1
2.79
0-2-0
2.95
0-1-1
2.37
2-0-0
2.16
1-1-0
2.11
0-0-2
2.68
0-1-1
2.58
1-1-0
2.34
Derby
1-1-0
2.29
—
0-0-2
2.35
0-0-2
1.96
0-1-1
2.36
0-1-1
1.73
0-1-1
2.48
1-0-1
2.33
1-0-1
2.26
0-0-2
1.97
0-0-2
1.70
0-0-2
2.24
0-1-1
2.00
0-1-1
1.91
Djurgarden
0-1-1
2.63
2-0-0
2.94
—
0-1-1
2.42
1-1-0
2.58
0-1-1
2.29
0-1-1
2.55
0-1-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.32
1-0-1
2.35
0-0-2
1.79
1-1-0
2.42
1-1-0
2.45
0-2-0
1.92
Elfsborg
1-1-0
3.09
2-0-0
3.34
1-1-0
2.89
—
2-0-0
2.99
0-1-1
2.25
1-1-0
3.27
1-1-0
3.30
0-0-2
2.79
1-1-0
2.63
0-1-1
2.35
0-2-0
3.01
1-0-1
2.66
0-2-0
2.31
Goteborg
1-1-0
2.33
1-1-0
2.97
0-1-1
2.72
0-0-2
2.31
—
0-1-1
2.00
2-0-0
2.41
2-0-0
2.80
0-1-1
2.50
1-1-0
1.97
0-0-2
1.53
1-1-0
2.33
0-2-0
2.38
1-0-1
2.04
Halmstad
0-2-0
3.00
1-1-0
3.59
1-1-0
3.02
1-1-0
3.05
1-1-0
3.32
—
1-0-1
3.07
1-0-1
3.43
0-1-1
2.95
0-0-2
3.01
1-0-1
2.19
1-1-0
2.96
0-1-1
2.96
0-0-2
2.72
Hammarby
1-1-0
2.51
1-1-0
2.84
1-1-0
2.74
0-1-1
2.04
0-0-2
2.89
1-0-1
2.23
—
1-0-1
2.99
0-1-1
2.55
0-0-2
2.28
0-0-2
1.83
1-1-0
2.39
2-0-0
2.37
2-0-0
2.20
IFK Sundsvall
0-2-0
2.35
1-0-1
2.96
1-1-0
2.53
0-1-1
2.05
0-0-2
2.49
1-0-1
1.90
1-0-1
2.31
—
0-2-0
2.31
0-2-0
2.11
1-1-0
1.60
0-0-2
2.49
0-1-1
2.28
0-0-2
2.02
Kalmar
1-1-0
2.92
1-0-1
3.09
1-0-1
2.98
2-0-0
2.51
1-1-0
2.81
1-1-0
2.36
1-1-0
2.76
0-2-0
2.99
—
2-0-0
2.62
0-0-2
2.02
0-0-2
2.88
1-0-1
2.57
1-1-0
2.35
Landskrona
0-0-2
3.15
2-0-0
3.35
1-0-1
2.97
0-1-1
2.67
0-1-1
3.34
2-0-0
2.29
2-0-0
3.03
0-2-0
3.20
0-0-2
2.67
—
0-1-1
2.32
2-0-0
2.74
2-0-0
2.87
1-0-1
2.48
Malmo
0-1-1
3.24
2-0-0
3.63
2-0-0
3.57
1-1-0
2.96
2-0-0
3.83
1-0-1
3.11
2-0-0
3.49
0-1-1
3.75
2-0-0
3.31
1-1-0
2.99
—
0-2-0
3.54
1-1-0
3.09
1-1-0
3.00
Norrkoping
2-0-0
2.64
2-0-0
3.10
0-1-1
2.88
0-2-0
2.29
0-1-1
2.97
0-1-1
2.35
0-1-1
2.90
2-0-0
2.81
2-0-0
2.42
0-0-2
2.55
0-2-0
1.79
—
1-1-0
2.62
2-0-0
2.27
Orebro
1-1-0
2.72
1-1-0
3.30
0-1-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.64
0-2-0
2.92
1-1-0
2.34
0-0-2
2.93
1-1-0
3.02
1-0-1
2.73
0-0-2
2.43
0-1-1
2.23
0-1-1
2.68
—
0-1-1
2.44
Oster
0-1-1
2.97
1-1-0
3.44
0-2-0
3.40
0-2-0
2.99
1-0-1
3.28
2-0-0
2.58
0-0-2
3.13
2-0-0
3.31
0-1-1
2.95
1-0-1
2.82
0-1-1
2.31
0-0-2
3.04
1-1-0
2.86
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.56 +6.1
Allowed 0.56 -5.0
Differential 0.86 +4.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.89%7.97%4.95%2.75%2.47%1.10%29.12%
17.97%13.74%6.32%3.85%1.10%0.55%33.52%
24.95%6.32%8.79%1.10%0.27%—21.43%
32.75%3.85%1.10%0.55%—0.55%8.79%
42.47%1.10%0.27%—0.55%0.27%4.67%
5+1.10%0.55%—0.55%0.27%—2.47%
Total29.12%33.52%21.43%8.79%4.67%2.47%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.35 +0.00
SD 1.29 1.29 1.86
CV 0.95 0.95 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%—3.85%—3.85%30.77%
1—26.92%7.69%———34.62%
27.69%3.85%7.69%———19.23%
33.85%3.85%—3.85%—3.85%15.38%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%46.15%15.38%7.69%—7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.42 -0.23
SD 1.06 1.47 1.66
CV 0.89 1.04 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%15.38%3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%46.15%
17.69%3.85%7.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%38.46%
23.85%—7.69%—3.85%—15.38%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%19.23%19.23%15.38%15.38%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.69 2.04 -1.35
SD 0.74 1.64 1.72
CV 1.06 0.80 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%11.54%—3.85%—30.77%
13.85%11.54%3.85%11.54%——30.77%
2—11.54%15.38%———26.92%
3———————
47.69%3.85%————11.54%
5+———————
Total23.08%30.77%30.77%11.54%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.42 -0.12
SD 1.26 1.10 1.86
CV 0.96 0.77 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%7.69%———23.08%
13.85%23.08%3.85%3.85%——34.62%
27.69%11.54%7.69%———26.92%
37.69%—————7.69%
47.69%—————7.69%
5+———————
Total38.46%38.46%19.23%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 0.88 +0.54
SD 1.17 0.86 1.65
CV 0.82 0.98 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%——7.69%3.85%26.92%
1—11.54%7.69%——3.85%23.08%
23.85%—11.54%———15.38%
33.85%3.85%7.69%———15.38%
4—11.54%——3.85%—15.38%
5+———3.85%——3.85%
Total15.38%34.62%26.92%3.85%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 1.88 -0.04
SD 1.67 1.58 2.39
CV 0.90 0.84 —
Max 6 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
13.85%11.54%7.69%11.54%——34.62%
23.85%3.85%15.38%———23.08%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
411.54%—————11.54%
5+———————
Total30.77%26.92%26.92%15.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.27 +0.23
SD 1.27 1.08 1.95
CV 0.85 0.85 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%34.62%
111.54%11.54%11.54%———34.62%
23.85%11.54%—3.85%——19.23%
33.85%7.69%————11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.77%34.62%15.38%7.69%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.42 -0.35
SD 1.02 1.53 2.10
CV 0.94 1.07 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%15.38%3.85%——34.62%
13.85%15.38%3.85%———23.08%
211.54%—15.38%3.85%——30.77%
3——3.85%——3.85%7.69%
4—————3.85%3.85%
5+———————
Total23.08%23.08%38.46%7.69%—7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.65 -0.42
SD 1.14 1.47 1.36
CV 0.93 0.89 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%7.69%—3.85%—23.08%
119.23%15.38%3.85%3.85%——42.31%
23.85%3.85%7.69%———15.38%
3—11.54%————11.54%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total26.92%42.31%23.08%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.15 +0.27
SD 1.30 1.01 1.69
CV 0.91 0.87 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%3.85%7.69%——26.92%
13.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%—23.08%
23.85%11.54%7.69%———23.08%
33.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
47.69%—————7.69%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total23.08%42.31%19.23%11.54%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 1.31 +0.35
SD 1.44 1.09 2.10
CV 0.87 0.83 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%—————7.69%
130.77%19.23%—7.69%——57.69%
27.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4———————
5+7.69%—————7.69%
Total53.85%30.77%3.85%11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 0.73 +0.85
SD 1.33 1.00 1.71
CV 0.84 1.37 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%—3.85%3.85%3.85%—23.08%
17.69%15.38%7.69%3.85%——34.62%
23.85%15.38%7.69%———26.92%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4———————
5+3.85%——3.85%3.85%—11.54%
Total26.92%34.62%19.23%11.54%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.38 +0.23
SD 1.60 1.24 1.80
CV 0.99 0.89 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%7.69%3.85%——34.62%
17.69%11.54%11.54%———30.77%
23.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%——23.08%
33.85%——3.85%——7.69%
4————3.85%—3.85%
5+———————
Total26.92%30.77%26.92%11.54%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.35 -0.19
SD 1.12 1.13 1.27
CV 0.97 0.84 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%19.23%——3.85%—42.31%
17.69%7.69%7.69%—3.85%—26.92%
23.85%—7.69%———11.54%
37.69%7.69%————15.38%
4———————
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total42.31%34.62%15.38%—7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 0.96 +0.23
SD 1.47 1.15 1.99
CV 1.23 1.19 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Malmo 1631 38 31.85 +6.15 96.0% 22 25 29 32 34 38 44
Elfsborg 1563 31 27.36 +3.64 84.0% 19 22 24 27 30 34 36
Halmstad 1541 25 28.64 -3.64 19.0% 19 21 26 28 32 36 41
Landskrona 1528 29 28.34 +0.66 60.0% 20 21 25 28 31 34 39
Oster 1517 25 29.06 -4.06 21.0% 18 22 26 30 32 35 39
Kalmar 1512 31 26.09 +4.91 91.0% 18 20 23 26 29 33 35
Norrkoping 1508 31 25.74 +5.26 91.0% 13 17 23 26 29 33 35
Djurgarden 1489 24 24.36 -0.36 50.0% 13 18 22 24 27 30 34
AIK Stockholm 1482 23 24.81 -1.81 35.0% 17 18 22 25 27 31 32
Goteborg 1475 27 23.24 +3.76 89.0% 13 16 20 24 26 28 33
Orebro 1466 22 26.48 -4.48 20.0% 13 19 23 27 30 33 34
Hammarby 1449 26 23.89 +2.11 73.0% 14 17 22 24 27 30 33
IFK Sundsvall 1404 20 23.04 -3.04 31.0% 13 17 20 23 26 29 31
Derby 1326 12 21.10 -9.10 0.0% 14 15 19 21 23 27 30

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+18.13%
Clear Edge
42.31%33.52%24.18%
Elo Value
Home Edge
172 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
063.70500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.46 goals
Neutral
-2+0.37+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.2
Open
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
42%
Malmo, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.27/gm
Runaway
00.100.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.14 * Some Luck: 3.14 to 4.71 * Lucky: 4.71 to 6.27 * Wild Swing: 6.27 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.31 * Close: 2.31 to 3.46 * Off: 3.46 to 4.61 * Way Off: 4.61 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.37 points
Some Luck
03.9210
Average Finish Error
Expected
3.00
Close
02.886
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
96.00%
Malmo
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
0.00%
Derby
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.12
Balanced
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 72.09
1.48
Moderate Separation
0.951.41.652.75
Interquartile Edge
58%
Even
50%63%71.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
85%
Clear Edge
50%82%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Very Frequent
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Occasional
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.37
Notable Separation
00.30.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.29
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.07
Weak Carryover
00.380.530.691
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Shaky Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.64
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.74
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.065
Well Within Noise
00.1250.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Malmo42.00%21.00%13.00%9.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%————
Elfsborg10.00%9.00%6.00%8.00%11.00%8.00%13.00%7.00%7.00%9.00%5.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%
Kalmar5.00%11.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%11.00%8.00%12.00%9.00%7.00%8.00%10.00%2.00%2.00%
Norrkoping3.00%6.00%9.00%13.00%4.00%4.00%8.00%13.00%9.00%7.00%7.00%8.00%2.00%7.00%
Landskrona11.00%13.00%12.00%13.00%12.00%9.00%3.00%5.00%8.00%2.00%7.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%
Goteborg——3.00%4.00%5.00%3.00%5.00%14.00%9.00%10.00%13.00%11.00%13.00%10.00%
Hammarby1.00%1.00%1.00%6.00%9.00%5.00%6.00%6.00%13.00%7.00%11.00%10.00%15.00%9.00%
Halmstad12.00%13.00%10.00%11.00%11.00%8.00%11.00%6.00%3.00%3.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%—
Oster15.00%11.00%17.00%14.00%9.00%5.00%7.00%4.00%2.00%7.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%—
Djurgarden—1.00%5.00%4.00%5.00%13.00%10.00%6.00%12.00%12.00%6.00%7.00%9.00%10.00%
AIK Stockholm—4.00%5.00%3.00%8.00%9.00%12.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%15.00%5.00%7.00%
Orebro1.00%8.00%13.00%7.00%11.00%14.00%6.00%7.00%5.00%6.00%5.00%6.00%5.00%6.00%
IFK Sundsvall—1.00%1.00%3.00%4.00%4.00%6.00%5.00%10.00%16.00%11.00%11.00%12.00%16.00%
Derby—1.00%——2.00%3.00%3.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%10.00%9.00%28.00%31.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Malmo 100% —
Halmstad 98.00% 2.00%
Oster 98.00% 2.00%
Elfsborg 97.00% 3.00%
Kalmar 96.00% 4.00%
Landskrona 96.00% 4.00%
Norrkoping 91.00% 9.00%
Orebro 89.00% 11.00%
AIK Stockholm 88.00% 12.00%
Djurgarden 81.00% 19.00%
Goteborg 77.00% 23.00%
Hammarby 76.00% 24.00%
IFK Sundsvall 72.00% 28.00%
Derby 41.00% 59.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1977-04-11 Landskrona L 1-260.3 1483 1501 42.42% 35.32% 22.26%+0.26 -9.2 0
1977-04-11 @ Djurgarden W 2-160.3 1501 1483 22.26% 35.32% 42.42%-0.26 +9.2 2
1977-04-11 AIK Stockholm D 1-156.9 1434 1503 35.86% 35.55% 28.59%-0.03 -0.3 1
1977-04-11 @ Goteborg D 1-156.9 1503 1434 28.59% 35.55% 35.86%+0.03 +0.3 1
1977-04-12 Kalmar L 0-154.3 1474 1480 43.96% 35.17% 20.88%+0.34 -10.0 0
1977-04-12 @ Hammarby W 1-054.3 1480 1474 20.88% 35.17% 43.96%-0.34 +10.0 2
1977-04-16 Oster W 2-156.3 1504 1529 41.57% 35.39% 23.04%+0.22 +6.0 3
1977-04-16 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-256.3 1529 1504 23.04% 35.39% 41.57%-0.22 -6.0 0
1977-04-16 Halmstad D 2-266.3 1485 1558 35.42% 35.55% 29.04%-0.05 -0.2 1
1977-04-16 @ Elfsborg D 2-266.3 1558 1485 29.04% 35.55% 35.42%+0.05 +0.2 1
1977-04-16 Djurgarden W 2-043.9 1436 1474 40.06% 35.48% 24.47%+0.15 +12.6 2
1977-04-16 @ IFK Sundsvall L 0-243.9 1474 1436 24.47% 35.48% 40.06%-0.15 -12.6 0
1977-04-16 Norrkoping L 0-252.2 1490 1472 46.64% 34.80% 18.57%+0.48 -19.8 2
1977-04-16 @ Kalmar W 2-052.2 1472 1490 18.57% 34.80% 46.64%-0.48 +19.8 2
1977-04-16 Goteborg D 1-157.8 1510 1433 52.77% 33.37% 13.87%+0.82 -1.9 3
1977-04-16 @ Landskrona D 1-157.8 1433 1510 13.87% 33.37% 52.77%-0.82 +1.9 2
1977-04-17 Derby W 1-047.6 1548 1478 52.12% 33.56% 14.32%+0.78 +4.4 2
1977-04-17 @ Malmo L 0-147.6 1478 1548 14.32% 33.56% 52.12%-0.78 -4.4 0
1977-04-19 Orebro D 0-057.6 1558 1508 50.11% 34.10% 15.79%+0.66 -1.8 2
1977-04-19 @ Halmstad D 0-057.6 1508 1558 15.79% 34.10% 50.11%-0.66 +1.8 1
1977-04-19 Elfsborg D 0-055.4 1523 1485 48.77% 34.40% 16.83%+0.59 -1.7 1
1977-04-19 @ Oster D 0-055.4 1485 1523 16.83% 34.40% 48.77%-0.59 +1.7 2
1977-04-21 Norrkoping D 0-053.0 1461 1492 40.87% 35.43% 23.69%+0.19 -0.8 1
1977-04-21 @ Djurgarden D 0-053.0 1492 1461 23.69% 35.43% 40.87%-0.19 +0.8 3
1977-04-23 Kalmar W 1-046.7 1474 1470 45.00% 35.04% 19.96%+0.39 +5.8 2
1977-04-23 @ Derby L 0-146.7 1470 1474 19.96% 35.04% 45.00%-0.39 -5.8 2
1977-04-23 IFK Sundsvall W 2-042.2 1435 1449 43.02% 35.27% 21.72%+0.29 +11.6 4
1977-04-23 @ Goteborg L 0-242.2 1449 1435 21.72% 35.27% 43.02%-0.29 -11.6 2
1977-04-23 AIK Stockholm D 1-162.1 1557 1510 49.78% 34.18% 16.05%+0.65 -1.6 3
1977-04-23 @ Halmstad D 1-162.1 1510 1557 16.05% 34.18% 49.78%-0.65 +1.6 4
1977-04-23 Orebro W 2-154.9 1464 1510 39.03% 35.52% 25.45%+0.11 +6.5 2
1977-04-23 @ Hammarby L 1-254.9 1510 1464 25.45% 35.52% 39.03%-0.11 -6.5 1
1977-04-23 Elfsborg D 1-161.3 1553 1487 51.68% 33.69% 14.63%+0.75 -1.8 3
1977-04-23 @ Malmo D 1-161.3 1487 1553 14.63% 33.69% 51.68%-0.75 +1.8 3
1977-04-23 Landskrona W 1-049.5 1521 1508 46.06% 34.89% 19.05%+0.44 +5.6 3
1977-04-23 @ Oster L 0-149.5 1508 1521 19.05% 34.89% 46.06%-0.44 -5.6 3
1977-05-01 Malmo D 1-161.5 1511 1551 39.74% 35.49% 24.77%+0.14 -0.7 5
1977-05-01 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-161.5 1551 1511 24.77% 35.49% 39.74%-0.14 +0.7 4
1977-05-01 Hammarby W 2-152.1 1489 1471 46.63% 34.80% 18.57%+0.47 +5.2 5
1977-05-01 @ Elfsborg L 1-252.1 1471 1489 18.57% 34.80% 46.63%-0.47 -5.2 2
1977-05-01 Oster L 0-151.5 1437 1527 33.12% 35.48% 31.41%-0.15 -8.1 2
1977-05-01 @ IFK Sundsvall W 1-051.5 1527 1437 31.41% 35.48% 33.12%+0.15 +8.1 5
1977-05-01 Djurgarden W 3-148.4 1464 1460 45.10% 35.03% 19.87%+0.40 +9.4 4
1977-05-01 @ Kalmar L 1-348.4 1460 1464 19.87% 35.03% 45.10%-0.40 -9.4 1
1977-05-01 Halmstad W 3-155.3 1503 1555 38.16% 35.54% 26.30%+0.07 +11.4 5
1977-05-01 @ Landskrona L 1-355.3 1555 1503 26.30% 35.54% 38.16%-0.07 -11.4 3
1977-05-01 Goteborg L 1-357.6 1493 1447 49.66% 34.20% 16.13%+0.64 -18.1 3
1977-05-01 @ Norrkoping W 3-157.6 1447 1493 16.13% 34.20% 49.66%-0.64 +18.1 6
1977-05-01 Derby W 1-047.4 1504 1479 47.32% 34.68% 18.00%+0.51 +5.3 3
1977-05-01 @ Orebro L 0-147.4 1479 1504 18.00% 34.68% 47.32%-0.51 -5.3 2
1977-05-04 Hammarby D 0-052.7 1474 1466 45.56% 34.96% 19.47%+0.42 -1.3 3
1977-05-04 @ Derby D 0-052.7 1466 1474 19.47% 34.96% 45.56%-0.42 +1.3 3
1977-05-04 Malmo L 0-156.9 1509 1552 39.37% 35.51% 25.13%+0.12 -9.2 3
1977-05-04 @ Orebro W 1-056.9 1552 1509 25.13% 35.51% 39.37%-0.12 +9.2 6
1977-05-07 AIK Stockholm W 1-049.6 1473 1510 40.02% 35.48% 24.50%+0.15 +6.7 5
1977-05-07 @ Derby L 0-149.6 1510 1473 24.50% 35.48% 40.02%-0.15 -6.7 5
1977-05-07 Kalmar D 2-262.5 1465 1474 43.55% 35.21% 21.24%+0.32 -0.8 7
1977-05-07 @ Goteborg D 2-262.5 1474 1465 21.24% 35.21% 43.55%-0.32 +0.8 5
1977-05-07 Norrkoping W 4-042.1 1544 1475 51.98% 33.60% 14.42%+0.77 +16.0 5
1977-05-07 @ Halmstad L 0-442.1 1475 1544 14.42% 33.60% 51.98%-0.77 -16.0 3
1977-05-07 Landskrona L 1-259.2 1467 1514 38.82% 35.52% 25.66%+0.10 -8.6 3
1977-05-07 @ Hammarby W 2-159.2 1514 1467 25.66% 35.52% 38.82%-0.10 +8.6 7
1977-05-07 IFK Sundsvall L 2-368.8 1561 1429 57.80% 31.48% 10.72%+1.14 -11.2 6
1977-05-07 @ Malmo W 3-268.8 1429 1561 10.72% 31.48% 57.80%-1.14 +11.2 4
1977-05-07 Elfsborg W 2-153.7 1500 1494 45.27% 35.01% 19.73%+0.40 +5.4 5
1977-05-07 @ Orebro L 1-253.7 1494 1500 19.73% 35.01% 45.27%-0.40 -5.4 5
1977-05-07 Djurgarden D 0-054.9 1535 1451 53.44% 33.15% 13.40%+0.86 -2.2 6
1977-05-07 @ Oster D 0-054.9 1451 1535 13.40% 33.15% 53.44%-0.86 +2.2 2
1977-05-12 IFK Sundsvall W 5-352.6 1459 1440 46.71% 34.79% 18.50%+0.48 +7.5 5
1977-05-12 @ Norrkoping L 3-552.6 1440 1459 18.50% 34.79% 46.71%-0.48 -7.5 4
1977-05-12 Hammarby L 0-351.1 1504 1459 49.59% 34.22% 16.19%+0.63 -30.3 5
1977-05-12 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-051.1 1459 1504 16.19% 34.22% 49.59%-0.63 +30.3 5
1977-05-12 Malmo D 1-161.9 1523 1550 41.39% 35.40% 23.21%+0.21 -0.8 8
1977-05-12 @ Landskrona D 1-161.9 1550 1523 23.21% 35.40% 41.39%-0.21 +0.8 7
1977-05-15 Goteborg W 4-041.0 1453 1464 43.29% 35.24% 21.47%+0.31 +21.8 4
1977-05-15 @ Djurgarden L 0-441.0 1464 1453 21.47% 35.24% 43.29%-0.31 -21.8 7
1977-05-15 Derby W 4-042.1 1489 1479 45.65% 34.95% 19.40%+0.42 +20.2 7
1977-05-15 @ Elfsborg L 0-442.1 1479 1489 19.40% 34.95% 45.65%-0.42 -20.2 5
1977-05-15 Halmstad W 2-050.5 1433 1560 28.09% 35.10% 36.81%-0.37 +16.4 6
1977-05-15 @ IFK Sundsvall L 0-250.5 1560 1433 36.81% 35.10% 28.09%+0.37 -16.4 5
1977-05-15 Orebro W 1-049.2 1475 1505 40.94% 35.43% 23.63%+0.19 +6.5 7
1977-05-15 @ Kalmar L 0-149.2 1505 1475 23.63% 35.43% 40.94%-0.19 -6.5 5
1977-05-15 Oster W 1-051.3 1466 1533 36.29% 35.56% 28.15%-0.02 +7.3 7
1977-05-15 @ Norrkoping L 0-151.3 1533 1466 28.15% 35.56% 36.29%+0.02 -7.3 6
1977-05-22 Kalmar D 0-056.2 1543 1481 51.30% 33.79% 14.91%+0.73 -2.0 6
1977-05-22 @ Halmstad D 0-056.2 1481 1543 14.91% 33.79% 51.30%-0.73 +2.0 8
1977-05-22 Elfsborg L 1-257.8 1449 1509 37.19% 35.55% 27.26%+0.02 -8.3 6
1977-05-22 @ IFK Sundsvall W 2-157.8 1509 1449 27.26% 35.55% 37.19%-0.02 +8.3 9
1977-05-22 AIK Stockholm L 0-254.3 1522 1474 49.92% 34.14% 15.94%+0.65 -21.0 8
1977-05-22 @ Landskrona W 2-054.3 1474 1522 15.94% 34.14% 49.92%-0.65 +21.0 7
1977-05-22 Orebro D 1-158.2 1474 1499 41.62% 35.38% 22.99%+0.23 -0.8 8
1977-05-22 @ Norrkoping D 1-158.2 1499 1474 22.99% 35.38% 41.62%-0.23 +0.8 6
1977-05-22 Malmo D 0-057.6 1525 1550 41.59% 35.39% 23.02%+0.22 -0.9 7
1977-05-22 @ Oster D 0-057.6 1550 1525 23.02% 35.39% 41.59%-0.22 +0.9 8
1977-05-23 Derby W 2-151.2 1475 1459 46.38% 34.84% 18.78%+0.46 +5.2 6
1977-05-23 @ Djurgarden L 1-251.2 1459 1475 18.78% 34.84% 46.38%-0.46 -5.2 5
1977-05-23 Hammarby W 3-258.2 1442 1489 38.91% 35.52% 25.57%+0.10 +6.1 9
1977-05-23 @ Goteborg L 2-358.2 1489 1442 25.57% 35.52% 38.91%-0.10 -6.1 5
1977-05-30 IFK Sundsvall D 2-262.8 1494 1441 50.45% 34.01% 15.54%+0.68 -1.2 8
1977-05-30 @ AIK Stockholm D 2-262.8 1441 1494 15.54% 34.01% 50.45%-0.68 +1.2 7
1977-05-30 Goteborg D 0-051.4 1454 1448 45.24% 35.01% 19.75%+0.40 -1.3 6
1977-05-30 @ Derby D 0-051.4 1448 1454 19.75% 35.01% 45.24%-0.40 +1.3 10
1977-05-30 Norrkoping D 1-159.2 1517 1473 49.48% 34.24% 16.28%+0.63 -1.6 10
1977-05-30 @ Elfsborg D 1-159.2 1473 1517 16.28% 34.24% 49.48%-0.63 +1.6 9
1977-05-30 Oster W 1-050.7 1483 1524 39.52% 35.50% 24.98%+0.13 +6.8 7
1977-05-30 @ Hammarby L 0-150.7 1524 1483 24.98% 35.50% 39.52%-0.13 -6.8 7
1977-05-30 Landskrona W 1-048.9 1483 1501 42.47% 35.32% 22.21%+0.27 +6.2 10
1977-05-30 @ Kalmar L 0-148.9 1501 1483 22.21% 35.32% 42.47%-0.27 -6.2 8
1977-05-30 Halmstad W 2-157.2 1551 1541 45.77% 34.93% 19.30%+0.43 +5.3 10
1977-05-30 @ Malmo L 1-257.2 1541 1551 19.30% 34.93% 45.77%-0.43 -5.3 6
1977-05-30 Djurgarden D 2-264.1 1499 1480 46.81% 34.77% 18.42%+0.48 -1.0 7
1977-05-30 @ Orebro D 2-264.1 1480 1499 18.42% 34.77% 46.81%-0.48 +1.0 7
1977-06-02 AIK Stockholm D 1-158.3 1481 1493 43.15% 35.25% 21.60%+0.30 -1.0 8
1977-06-02 @ Djurgarden D 1-158.3 1493 1481 21.60% 35.25% 43.15%-0.30 +1.0 9
1977-06-02 Elfsborg L 1-257.8 1450 1515 36.38% 35.56% 28.06%-0.01 -8.2 10
1977-06-02 @ Goteborg W 2-157.8 1515 1450 28.06% 35.56% 36.38%+0.01 +8.2 12
1977-06-02 Derby W 2-042.8 1536 1453 53.37% 33.18% 13.46%+0.86 +7.9 8
1977-06-02 @ Halmstad L 0-242.8 1453 1536 13.46% 33.18% 53.37%-0.86 -7.9 6
1977-06-02 Kalmar D 2-262.2 1442 1489 38.81% 35.53% 25.67%+0.10 -0.4 8
1977-06-02 @ IFK Sundsvall D 2-262.2 1489 1442 25.67% 35.53% 38.81%-0.10 +0.4 11
1977-06-02 Hammarby W 6-044.3 1557 1489 51.82% 33.65% 14.54%+0.76 +23.5 12
1977-06-02 @ Malmo L 0-644.3 1489 1557 14.54% 33.65% 51.82%-0.76 -23.5 7
1977-06-02 Landskrona L 0-349.5 1474 1495 42.17% 35.34% 22.49%+0.25 -26.5 9
1977-06-02 @ Norrkoping W 3-049.5 1495 1474 22.49% 35.34% 42.17%-0.25 +26.5 10
1977-06-02 Orebro W 3-043.9 1518 1498 46.79% 34.77% 18.44%+0.48 +14.9 9
1977-06-02 @ Oster L 0-343.9 1498 1518 18.44% 34.77% 46.79%-0.48 -14.9 7
1977-06-12 Oster D 2-263.8 1445 1533 33.37% 35.49% 31.14%-0.14 -0.1 7
1977-06-12 @ Derby D 2-263.8 1533 1445 31.14% 35.49% 33.37%+0.14 +0.1 10
1977-06-12 Djurgarden D 0-055.3 1524 1480 49.42% 34.26% 16.32%+0.63 -1.8 13
1977-06-12 @ Elfsborg D 0-055.3 1480 1524 16.32% 34.26% 49.42%-0.63 +1.8 9
1977-06-12 Halmstad W 2-157.5 1466 1544 34.71% 35.53% 29.75%-0.08 +7.1 9
1977-06-12 @ Hammarby L 1-257.5 1544 1466 29.75% 35.53% 34.71%+0.08 -7.1 8
1977-06-12 Malmo L 0-155.4 1490 1580 32.98% 35.47% 31.54%-0.16 -8.1 11
1977-06-12 @ Kalmar W 1-055.4 1580 1490 31.54% 35.47% 32.98%+0.16 +8.1 14
1977-06-12 IFK Sundsvall D 2-264.0 1521 1442 53.03% 33.28% 13.69%+0.84 -1.4 11
1977-06-12 @ Landskrona D 2-264.0 1442 1521 13.69% 33.28% 53.03%-0.84 +1.4 9
1977-06-12 Goteborg D 4-467.8 1483 1442 49.23% 34.30% 16.47%+0.61 -0.8 8
1977-06-12 @ Orebro D 4-467.8 1442 1483 16.47% 34.30% 49.23%-0.61 +0.8 11
1977-06-13 Norrkoping L 1-260.6 1494 1448 49.70% 34.19% 16.11%+0.64 -10.5 9
1977-06-13 @ AIK Stockholm W 2-160.6 1448 1494 16.11% 34.19% 49.70%-0.64 +10.4 11
1977-06-18 Elfsborg D 1-159.4 1484 1522 39.98% 35.48% 24.54%+0.15 -0.7 10
1977-06-18 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-159.4 1522 1484 24.54% 35.48% 39.98%-0.15 +0.7 14
1977-06-19 Malmo L 0-154.6 1482 1588 30.75% 35.34% 33.91%-0.25 -7.7 9
1977-06-19 @ Djurgarden W 1-054.6 1588 1482 33.91% 35.34% 30.75%+0.25 +7.7 16
1977-06-19 Halmstad D 2-263.9 1442 1537 32.46% 35.45% 32.09%-0.18 -0.0 12
1977-06-19 @ Goteborg D 2-263.9 1537 1442 32.09% 35.45% 32.46%+0.18 +0.0 9
1977-06-19 Derby W 1-044.9 1443 1445 44.42% 35.12% 20.47%+0.36 +5.9 11
1977-06-19 @ IFK Sundsvall L 0-144.9 1445 1443 20.47% 35.12% 44.42%-0.36 -5.9 7
1977-06-19 Orebro W 3-257.9 1520 1483 48.74% 34.40% 16.85%+0.59 +4.5 13
1977-06-19 @ Landskrona L 2-357.9 1483 1520 16.85% 34.40% 48.74%-0.59 -4.5 8
1977-06-19 Hammarby D 0-052.3 1458 1473 42.86% 35.28% 21.86%+0.29 -1.0 12
1977-06-19 @ Norrkoping D 0-052.3 1473 1458 21.86% 35.28% 42.86%-0.29 +1.1 10
1977-06-19 Kalmar D 1-160.2 1533 1482 50.17% 34.08% 15.75%+0.67 -1.6 11
1977-06-19 @ Oster D 1-160.2 1482 1533 15.75% 34.08% 50.17%-0.67 +1.6 12
1977-06-22 Norrkoping L 0-151.9 1439 1457 42.42% 35.32% 22.26%+0.26 -9.7 7
1977-06-22 @ Derby W 1-051.9 1457 1439 22.26% 35.32% 42.42%-0.26 +9.7 14
1977-06-22 Landskrona D 2-266.5 1523 1524 44.38% 35.12% 20.50%+0.36 -0.8 15
1977-06-22 @ Elfsborg D 2-266.5 1524 1523 20.50% 35.12% 44.38%-0.36 +0.8 14
1977-06-22 Oster L 1-361.2 1537 1531 45.27% 35.00% 19.72%+0.40 -16.7 9
1977-06-22 @ Halmstad W 3-161.2 1531 1537 19.72% 35.00% 45.27%-0.40 +16.7 13
1977-06-22 Djurgarden W 3-149.3 1474 1474 44.62% 35.09% 20.29%+0.37 +9.5 12
1977-06-22 @ Hammarby L 1-349.3 1474 1474 20.29% 35.09% 44.62%-0.37 -9.5 9
1977-06-22 AIK Stockholm W 2-152.9 1483 1483 44.62% 35.09% 20.29%+0.37 +5.5 14
1977-06-22 @ Kalmar L 1-252.9 1483 1483 20.29% 35.09% 44.62%-0.37 -5.5 10
1977-06-22 Goteborg W 1-045.8 1596 1442 59.66% 30.62% 9.73%+1.27 +3.1 18
1977-06-22 @ Malmo L 0-145.8 1442 1596 9.73% 30.62% 59.66%-1.27 -3.1 12
1977-06-22 IFK Sundsvall W 2-042.2 1478 1449 47.88% 34.58% 17.55%+0.54 +9.9 10
1977-06-22 @ Orebro L 0-242.2 1449 1478 17.55% 34.58% 47.88%-0.54 -9.9 11
1977-06-29 Halmstad D 1-158.6 1464 1520 37.72% 35.55% 26.73%+0.05 -0.5 10
1977-06-29 @ Djurgarden D 1-158.6 1520 1464 26.73% 35.55% 37.72%-0.05 +0.5 10
1977-06-29 Oster W 4-152.6 1439 1548 30.53% 35.33% 34.15%-0.26 +19.1 14
1977-06-29 @ Goteborg L 1-452.6 1548 1439 34.15% 35.33% 30.53%+0.26 -19.1 13
1977-06-29 Derby W 3-146.6 1525 1429 54.59% 32.76% 12.65%+0.93 +6.5 16
1977-06-29 @ Landskrona L 1-346.6 1429 1525 12.65% 32.76% 54.59%-0.93 -6.5 7
1977-07-03 Orebro D 3-367.3 1478 1488 43.38% 35.23% 21.39%+0.31 -0.6 11
1977-07-03 @ AIK Stockholm D 3-367.3 1488 1478 21.39% 35.23% 43.38%-0.31 +0.6 11
1977-07-03 Hammarby L 0-151.8 1439 1484 39.15% 35.51% 25.33%+0.11 -9.1 11
1977-07-03 @ IFK Sundsvall W 1-051.8 1484 1439 25.33% 35.51% 39.15%-0.11 +9.1 14
1977-07-03 Elfsborg W 2-047.4 1489 1522 40.62% 35.45% 23.93%+0.18 +12.4 16
1977-07-03 @ Kalmar L 0-247.4 1522 1489 23.93% 35.45% 40.62%-0.18 -12.4 15
1977-07-31 Kalmar L 1-359.2 1509 1501 45.55% 34.97% 19.48%+0.42 -16.8 15
1977-07-31 @ Elfsborg W 3-159.2 1501 1509 19.48% 34.97% 45.55%-0.42 +16.8 18
1977-07-31 IFK Sundsvall L 0-251.9 1493 1430 51.38% 33.77% 14.85%+0.74 -21.5 14
1977-07-31 @ Hammarby W 2-051.9 1430 1493 14.85% 33.77% 51.38%-0.74 +21.5 13
1977-07-31 AIK Stockholm W 1-047.2 1489 1477 45.94% 34.91% 19.15%+0.44 +5.6 13
1977-07-31 @ Orebro L 0-147.2 1477 1489 19.15% 34.91% 45.94%-0.44 -5.6 11
1977-08-03 Landskrona L 1-548.8 1423 1532 30.41% 35.32% 34.27%-0.26 -22.9 7
1977-08-03 @ Derby W 5-148.8 1532 1423 34.27% 35.32% 30.41%+0.26 +22.9 18
1977-08-03 Djurgarden W 4-041.2 1520 1464 50.74% 33.94% 15.32%+0.70 +16.8 12
1977-08-03 @ Halmstad L 0-441.2 1464 1520 15.32% 33.94% 50.74%-0.70 -16.8 10
1977-08-03 Norrkoping D 0-058.4 1599 1467 57.82% 31.47% 10.71%+1.14 -2.7 19
1977-08-03 @ Malmo D 0-058.4 1467 1599 10.71% 31.47% 57.82%-1.14 +2.6 15
1977-08-03 Goteborg W 6-042.0 1529 1458 52.09% 33.57% 14.34%+0.78 +23.3 15
1977-08-03 @ Oster L 0-642.0 1458 1529 14.34% 33.57% 52.09%-0.78 -23.3 14
1977-08-07 Elfsborg W 1-048.5 1537 1493 49.53% 34.23% 16.24%+0.63 +4.9 14
1977-08-07 @ Halmstad L 0-148.5 1493 1537 16.24% 34.23% 49.53%-0.63 -4.9 15
1977-08-07 Derby W 3-144.5 1471 1400 52.24% 33.53% 14.24%+0.79 +7.2 16
1977-08-07 @ Hammarby L 1-344.5 1400 1471 14.24% 33.53% 52.24%-0.79 -7.2 7
1977-08-07 Orebro D 1-163.4 1596 1494 55.15% 32.56% 12.29%+0.97 -2.1 20
1977-08-07 @ Malmo D 1-163.4 1494 1596 12.29% 32.56% 55.15%-0.97 +2.1 14
1977-08-07 Kalmar W 3-152.6 1470 1518 38.66% 35.53% 25.81%+0.09 +11.3 17
1977-08-07 @ Norrkoping L 1-352.6 1518 1470 25.81% 35.53% 38.66%-0.09 -11.3 18
1977-08-07 AIK Stockholm D 0-056.3 1552 1471 53.10% 33.26% 13.64%+0.84 -2.2 16
1977-08-07 @ Oster D 0-056.3 1471 1552 13.64% 33.26% 53.10%-0.84 +2.1 12
1977-08-08 IFK Sundsvall D 2-261.2 1447 1451 44.11% 35.15% 20.74%+0.35 -0.8 11
1977-08-08 @ Djurgarden D 2-261.2 1451 1447 20.74% 35.15% 44.11%-0.35 +0.8 14
1977-08-08 Landskrona W 4-153.1 1435 1555 29.05% 35.20% 35.75%-0.32 +19.7 16
1977-08-08 @ Goteborg L 1-453.1 1555 1435 35.75% 35.20% 29.05%+0.32 -19.7 18
1977-08-11 Goteborg L 3-657.8 1474 1455 46.72% 34.79% 18.50%+0.48 -19.5 12
1977-08-11 @ AIK Stockholm W 6-357.8 1455 1474 18.50% 34.79% 46.72%-0.48 +19.5 18
1977-08-11 Malmo L 0-543.0 1393 1594 19.91% 33.44% 46.65%-0.80 -24.8 7
1977-08-11 @ Derby W 5-043.0 1594 1393 46.65% 33.44% 19.91%+0.80 +24.8 22
1977-08-11 Oster D 0-056.1 1488 1550 36.86% 35.56% 27.58%+0.01 -0.5 16
1977-08-11 @ Elfsborg D 0-056.1 1550 1488 27.58% 35.56% 36.86%-0.01 +0.5 17
1977-08-11 Norrkoping L 4-661.3 1452 1481 41.16% 35.42% 23.43%+0.20 -12.7 14
1977-08-11 @ IFK Sundsvall W 6-461.3 1481 1452 23.43% 35.42% 41.16%-0.20 +12.7 19
1977-08-11 Hammarby D 1-158.9 1507 1478 47.77% 34.60% 17.63%+0.54 -1.4 19
1977-08-11 @ Kalmar D 1-158.9 1478 1507 17.63% 34.60% 47.77%-0.54 +1.4 17
1977-08-11 Djurgarden L 1-262.9 1535 1446 53.88% 33.01% 13.12%+0.89 -11.2 18
1977-08-11 @ Landskrona W 2-162.9 1446 1535 13.12% 33.01% 53.88%-0.89 +11.2 13
1977-08-11 Halmstad W 3-047.1 1496 1542 38.98% 35.52% 25.50%+0.10 +18.8 16
1977-08-11 @ Orebro L 0-347.1 1542 1496 25.50% 35.52% 38.98%-0.10 -18.8 14
1977-08-14 Elfsborg L 0-250.1 1458 1487 41.04% 35.42% 23.54%+0.20 -17.9 13
1977-08-14 @ Djurgarden W 2-050.1 1487 1458 23.54% 35.42% 41.04%-0.20 +17.9 18
1977-08-14 Orebro D 0-054.4 1474 1515 39.65% 35.50% 24.86%+0.13 -0.7 19
1977-08-14 @ Goteborg D 0-054.4 1515 1474 24.86% 35.50% 39.65%-0.13 +0.7 17
1977-08-14 Hammarby W 4-042.3 1523 1480 49.40% 34.26% 16.34%+0.62 +17.7 16
1977-08-14 @ Halmstad L 0-442.3 1480 1523 16.34% 34.26% 49.40%-0.62 -17.7 17
1977-08-14 Landskrona D 0-053.4 1440 1524 33.86% 35.51% 30.64%-0.12 -0.1 15
1977-08-14 @ IFK Sundsvall D 0-053.4 1524 1440 30.64% 35.51% 33.86%+0.12 +0.2 19
1977-08-14 Kalmar W 2-046.7 1619 1505 56.20% 32.15% 11.65%+1.03 +6.9 24
1977-08-14 @ Malmo L 0-246.7 1505 1619 11.65% 32.15% 56.20%-1.03 -7.0 19
1977-08-14 AIK Stockholm W 5-040.8 1494 1454 48.98% 34.35% 16.66%+0.60 +22.2 21
1977-08-14 @ Norrkoping L 0-540.8 1454 1494 16.66% 34.35% 48.98%-0.60 -22.2 12
1977-08-14 Derby W 3-035.8 1550 1368 62.03% 29.39% 8.58%+1.43 +7.3 19
1977-08-14 @ Oster L 0-335.8 1368 1550 8.58% 29.39% 62.03%-1.43 -7.3 7
1977-08-21 Halmstad D 1-156.1 1360 1541 21.95% 34.02% 44.03%-0.68 +1.0 8
1977-08-21 @ Derby D 1-156.1 1541 1360 44.03% 34.02% 21.95%+0.68 -1.0 17
1977-08-21 Malmo L 1-258.2 1462 1626 23.73% 34.42% 41.85%-0.58 -6.1 17
1977-08-21 @ Hammarby W 2-158.2 1626 1462 41.85% 34.42% 23.73%+0.58 +6.1 26
1977-08-21 IFK Sundsvall D 1-157.4 1498 1439 50.99% 33.87% 15.14%+0.71 -1.7 20
1977-08-21 @ Kalmar D 1-157.4 1439 1498 15.14% 33.87% 50.99%-0.71 +1.7 16
1977-08-21 Norrkoping W 2-155.4 1524 1516 45.54% 34.97% 19.49%+0.42 +5.3 21
1977-08-21 @ Landskrona L 1-255.4 1516 1524 19.49% 34.97% 45.54%-0.42 -5.3 21
1977-08-21 Oster D 1-161.9 1516 1557 39.52% 35.50% 24.98%+0.13 -0.6 18
1977-08-21 @ Orebro D 1-161.9 1557 1516 24.98% 35.50% 39.52%-0.13 +0.6 20
1977-08-23 Djurgarden W 2-041.6 1432 1440 43.69% 35.20% 21.11%+0.33 +11.3 14
1977-08-23 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-241.6 1440 1432 21.11% 35.20% 43.69%-0.33 -11.3 13
1977-08-24 Goteborg W 4-041.8 1505 1474 48.11% 34.53% 17.35%+0.55 +18.6 20
1977-08-24 @ Elfsborg L 0-441.8 1474 1505 17.35% 34.53% 48.11%-0.55 -18.6 19
1977-08-25 Halmstad D 2-266.6 1510 1540 41.03% 35.42% 23.55%+0.20 -0.6 22
1977-08-25 @ Norrkoping D 2-266.6 1540 1510 23.55% 35.42% 41.03%-0.20 +0.6 18
1977-08-28 Derby D 0-049.2 1443 1361 53.23% 33.22% 13.55%+0.85 -2.2 15
1977-08-28 @ AIK Stockholm D 0-049.2 1361 1443 13.55% 33.22% 53.23%-0.85 +2.2 9
1977-08-28 Orebro W 2-047.0 1524 1515 45.58% 34.96% 19.46%+0.42 +10.7 22
1977-08-28 @ Elfsborg L 0-247.0 1515 1524 19.46% 34.96% 45.58%-0.42 -10.7 18
1977-08-28 Malmo D 1-162.4 1441 1632 20.93% 33.75% 45.32%-0.74 +1.1 17
1977-08-28 @ IFK Sundsvall D 1-162.4 1632 1441 45.32% 33.75% 20.93%+0.74 -1.1 27
1977-08-28 Goteborg W 5-144.2 1497 1455 49.19% 34.31% 16.50%+0.61 +14.9 22
1977-08-28 @ Kalmar L 1-544.2 1455 1497 16.50% 34.31% 49.19%-0.61 -14.9 19
1977-08-28 Hammarby W 4-040.7 1529 1456 52.39% 33.48% 14.13%+0.80 +15.7 23
1977-08-28 @ Landskrona L 0-440.7 1456 1529 14.13% 33.48% 52.39%-0.80 -15.7 17
1977-08-29 Oster D 2-264.3 1428 1558 27.73% 35.06% 37.21%-0.38 +0.3 14
1977-08-29 @ Djurgarden D 2-264.3 1558 1428 37.21% 35.06% 27.73%+0.38 -0.3 21
1977-09-01 Elfsborg L 0-340.9 1364 1534 22.99% 34.27% 42.75%-0.62 -17.2 9
1977-09-01 @ Derby W 3-040.9 1534 1364 42.75% 34.27% 22.99%+0.62 +17.2 24
1977-09-01 Djurgarden D 2-260.3 1440 1429 45.94% 34.91% 19.16%+0.44 -0.9 20
1977-09-01 @ Goteborg D 2-260.3 1429 1440 19.16% 34.91% 45.94%-0.44 +0.9 15
1977-09-01 IFK Sundsvall W 3-040.3 1541 1442 54.80% 32.68% 12.51%+0.94 +10.8 20
1977-09-01 @ Halmstad L 0-340.3 1442 1541 12.51% 32.68% 54.80%-0.94 -10.8 17
1977-09-01 AIK Stockholm D 0-050.7 1440 1441 44.53% 35.10% 20.37%+0.37 -1.2 18
1977-09-01 @ Hammarby D 0-050.7 1441 1440 20.37% 35.10% 44.53%-0.37 +1.2 16
1977-09-01 Landskrona W 1-051.9 1631 1545 53.64% 33.09% 13.27%+0.87 +4.2 29
1977-09-01 @ Malmo L 0-151.9 1545 1631 13.27% 33.09% 53.64%-0.87 -4.2 23
1977-09-01 Kalmar W 2-155.0 1504 1512 43.79% 35.19% 21.03%+0.33 +5.7 20
1977-09-01 @ Orebro L 1-255.0 1512 1504 21.03% 35.19% 43.79%-0.33 -5.7 22
1977-09-01 Norrkoping L 1-265.2 1558 1510 49.87% 34.15% 15.98%+0.65 -10.5 21
1977-09-01 @ Oster W 2-165.2 1510 1558 15.98% 34.15% 49.87%-0.65 +10.5 24
1977-09-11 IFK Sundsvall W 2-042.3 1346 1431 33.74% 35.50% 30.76%-0.12 +14.6 11
1977-09-11 @ Derby L 0-242.3 1431 1346 30.76% 35.50% 33.74%+0.12 -14.6 17
1977-09-11 AIK Stockholm W 1-045.3 1552 1442 55.79% 32.32% 11.90%+1.01 +3.8 26
1977-09-11 @ Elfsborg L 0-145.3 1442 1552 11.90% 32.32% 55.79%-1.01 -3.8 16
1977-09-11 Goteborg W 2-150.4 1552 1439 56.05% 32.21% 11.74%+1.02 +3.5 22
1977-09-11 @ Halmstad L 1-250.4 1439 1552 11.74% 32.21% 56.05%-1.02 -3.5 20
1977-09-11 Norrkoping W 2-047.4 1439 1520 34.29% 35.52% 30.19%-0.10 +14.4 20
1977-09-11 @ Hammarby L 0-247.4 1520 1439 30.19% 35.52% 34.29%+0.10 -14.4 24
1977-09-11 Oster W 1-052.4 1506 1547 39.55% 35.50% 24.96%+0.13 +6.8 24
1977-09-11 @ Kalmar L 0-152.4 1547 1506 24.96% 35.50% 39.55%-0.13 -6.8 21
1977-09-11 Djurgarden W 3-147.9 1635 1430 63.88% 28.34% 7.78%+1.57 +3.9 31
1977-09-11 @ Malmo L 1-347.9 1430 1635 7.78% 28.34% 63.88%-1.57 -3.9 15
1977-09-11 Landskrona L 0-254.0 1510 1541 40.91% 35.43% 23.66%+0.19 -17.8 20
1977-09-11 @ Orebro W 2-054.0 1541 1510 23.66% 35.43% 40.91%-0.19 +17.8 25
1977-09-15 Hammarby D 1-155.0 1426 1454 41.24% 35.41% 23.35%+0.21 -0.8 16
1977-09-15 @ Djurgarden D 1-155.0 1454 1426 23.35% 35.41% 41.24%-0.21 +0.8 21
1977-09-15 Derby W 2-145.3 1506 1361 58.92% 30.97% 10.11%+1.22 +3.0 26
1977-09-15 @ Norrkoping L 1-245.3 1361 1506 10.11% 30.97% 58.92%-1.22 -3.0 11
1977-09-18 Kalmar D 1-157.4 1439 1513 35.25% 35.54% 29.21%-0.06 -0.3 17
1977-09-18 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-157.4 1513 1439 29.21% 35.54% 35.25%+0.06 +0.2 25
1977-09-18 Orebro D 0-051.5 1417 1492 35.05% 35.54% 29.41%-0.07 -0.3 18
1977-09-18 @ IFK Sundsvall D 0-051.5 1492 1417 29.41% 35.54% 35.05%+0.07 +0.3 21
1977-09-18 Elfsborg L 0-355.4 1559 1555 44.99% 35.04% 19.96%+0.39 -27.9 25
1977-09-18 @ Landskrona W 3-055.4 1555 1559 19.96% 35.04% 44.99%-0.39 +27.9 28
1977-09-18 Halmstad W 3-155.2 1541 1555 42.90% 35.28% 21.82%+0.29 +10.1 23
1977-09-18 @ Oster L 1-355.2 1555 1541 21.82% 35.28% 42.90%-0.29 -10.0 22
1977-09-19 Malmo L 0-150.9 1436 1639 19.78% 33.40% 46.82%-0.81 -5.6 20
1977-09-19 @ Goteborg W 1-050.9 1639 1436 46.82% 33.40% 19.78%+0.81 +5.6 33
1977-09-22 Malmo D 2-270.0 1509 1645 26.98% 34.96% 38.05%-0.42 +0.4 27
1977-09-22 @ Norrkoping D 2-270.0 1645 1509 38.05% 34.96% 26.98%+0.42 -0.4 34
1977-09-24 Landskrona W 3-046.4 1438 1531 32.72% 35.46% 31.82%-0.17 +21.7 19
1977-09-24 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-346.4 1531 1438 31.82% 35.46% 32.72%+0.17 -21.7 25
1977-09-25 Djurgarden L 1-447.0 1358 1425 36.22% 35.56% 28.23%-0.02 -20.0 11
1977-09-25 @ Derby W 4-147.0 1425 1358 28.23% 35.56% 36.22%+0.02 +20.0 18
1977-09-25 IFK Sundsvall D 1-160.8 1583 1417 60.74% 30.07% 9.19%+1.34 -2.6 29
1977-09-25 @ Elfsborg D 1-160.8 1417 1583 9.19% 30.07% 60.74%-1.34 +2.6 19
1977-09-25 Goteborg L 0-347.9 1454 1430 47.33% 34.68% 17.99%+0.51 -29.1 21
1977-09-25 @ Hammarby W 3-047.9 1430 1454 17.99% 34.68% 47.33%-0.51 +29.1 22
1977-09-25 Halmstad W 1-052.2 1513 1545 40.73% 35.44% 23.83%+0.18 +6.6 27
1977-09-25 @ Kalmar L 0-152.2 1545 1513 23.83% 35.44% 40.73%-0.18 -6.5 22
1977-09-25 Oster W 1-052.2 1644 1551 54.36% 32.84% 12.80%+0.92 +4.0 36
1977-09-25 @ Malmo L 0-152.2 1551 1644 12.80% 32.84% 54.36%-0.92 -4.0 23
1977-09-25 Norrkoping L 1-261.0 1493 1509 42.63% 35.30% 22.07%+0.27 -9.2 21
1977-09-25 @ Orebro W 2-161.0 1509 1493 22.07% 35.30% 42.63%-0.27 +9.2 29
1977-10-02 Orebro W 1-047.6 1445 1483 39.92% 35.48% 24.60%+0.15 +6.7 20
1977-10-02 @ Djurgarden L 0-147.6 1483 1445 24.60% 35.48% 39.92%-0.15 -6.7 21
1977-10-02 Derby W 4-138.8 1459 1338 56.87% 31.88% 11.25%+1.08 +8.2 24
1977-10-02 @ Goteborg L 1-438.8 1338 1459 11.25% 31.88% 56.87%-1.08 -8.2 11
1977-10-02 Malmo W 3-161.6 1538 1648 30.30% 35.31% 34.38%-0.27 +13.6 24
1977-10-02 @ Halmstad L 1-361.6 1648 1538 34.38% 35.31% 30.30%+0.27 -13.6 36
1977-10-02 AIK Stockholm D 1-155.0 1419 1460 39.64% 35.50% 24.87%+0.13 -0.6 20
1977-10-02 @ IFK Sundsvall D 1-155.0 1460 1419 24.87% 35.50% 39.64%-0.13 +0.6 20
1977-10-02 Kalmar L 1-359.3 1509 1519 43.39% 35.23% 21.38%+0.31 -16.2 25
1977-10-02 @ Landskrona W 3-159.3 1519 1509 21.38% 35.23% 43.39%-0.31 +16.2 29
1977-10-02 Elfsborg D 1-162.8 1518 1581 36.85% 35.56% 27.59%+0.01 -0.4 30
1977-10-02 @ Norrkoping D 1-162.8 1581 1518 27.59% 35.56% 36.85%-0.01 +0.4 30
1977-10-02 Hammarby L 0-157.8 1547 1425 56.87% 31.88% 11.25%+1.08 -12.4 23
1977-10-02 @ Oster W 1-057.8 1425 1547 11.25% 31.88% 56.87%-1.08 +12.4 23
1977-10-08 Norrkoping D 1-158.7 1468 1518 38.39% 35.54% 26.08%+0.08 -0.5 25
1977-10-08 @ Goteborg D 1-158.7 1518 1468 26.08% 35.54% 38.39%-0.08 +0.5 31
1977-10-08 Elfsborg D 1-160.1 1438 1581 26.08% 34.84% 39.08%-0.46 +0.6 24
1977-10-08 @ Hammarby D 1-160.1 1581 1438 39.08% 34.84% 26.08%+0.46 -0.6 31
1977-10-09 Orebro D 2-258.7 1330 1477 25.65% 34.77% 39.58%-0.48 +0.5 12
1977-10-09 @ Derby D 2-258.7 1477 1330 39.58% 34.77% 25.65%+0.48 -0.5 22
1977-10-09 Kalmar W 4-046.3 1451 1536 33.88% 35.51% 30.61%-0.12 +27.6 22
1977-10-09 @ Djurgarden L 0-446.3 1536 1451 30.61% 35.51% 33.88%+0.12 -27.6 29
1977-10-09 Landskrona L 0-159.4 1552 1493 51.00% 33.87% 15.13%+0.72 -11.3 24
1977-10-09 @ Halmstad W 1-059.4 1493 1552 15.13% 33.87% 51.00%-0.72 +11.3 27
1977-10-09 AIK Stockholm L 1-365.4 1635 1461 61.36% 29.75% 8.89%+1.39 -21.5 36
1977-10-09 @ Malmo W 3-165.4 1461 1635 8.89% 29.75% 61.36%-1.39 +21.5 22
1977-10-09 IFK Sundsvall W 2-040.5 1534 1419 56.37% 32.09% 11.55%+1.04 +6.9 25
1977-10-09 @ Oster L 0-240.5 1419 1534 11.55% 32.09% 56.37%-1.04 -6.9 20
1977-10-16 Halmstad D 2-265.5 1482 1541 37.33% 35.55% 27.12%+0.03 -0.3 23
1977-10-16 @ AIK Stockholm D 2-265.5 1541 1482 27.12% 35.55% 37.33%-0.03 +0.3 25
1977-10-16 Malmo L 0-258.2 1580 1613 40.64% 35.45% 23.91%+0.18 -17.7 31
1977-10-16 @ Elfsborg W 2-058.2 1613 1580 23.91% 35.45% 40.64%-0.18 +17.8 38
1977-10-16 Goteborg L 2-360.1 1412 1467 37.74% 35.55% 26.71%+0.05 -8.0 20
1977-10-16 @ IFK Sundsvall W 3-260.1 1467 1412 26.71% 35.55% 37.74%-0.05 +8.0 27
1977-10-16 Derby W 4-244.5 1508 1330 61.65% 29.59% 8.76%+1.41 +4.0 31
1977-10-16 @ Kalmar L 2-444.5 1330 1508 8.76% 29.59% 61.65%-1.41 -4.0 12
1977-10-16 Oster W 4-046.6 1504 1541 40.13% 35.47% 24.40%+0.16 +23.8 29
1977-10-16 @ Landskrona L 0-446.6 1541 1504 24.40% 35.47% 40.13%-0.16 -23.8 25
1977-10-16 Djurgarden L 1-262.5 1519 1479 48.98% 34.36% 16.67%+0.60 -10.3 31
1977-10-16 @ Norrkoping W 2-162.5 1479 1519 16.67% 34.36% 48.98%-0.60 +10.3 24
1977-10-16 Hammarby L 1-259.4 1476 1438 48.82% 34.39% 16.79%+0.59 -10.3 22
1977-10-16 @ Orebro W 2-159.4 1438 1476 16.79% 34.39% 48.82%-0.59 +10.3 26

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1977-10-09 8.89% AIK Stockholm 1461 3 @ Malmo 1635 1
2 1977-05-07 10.72% IFK Sundsvall 1429 3 @ Malmo 1561 2
3 1977-10-02 11.25% Hammarby 1425 1 @ Oster 1547 0
4 1977-08-11 13.12% Djurgarden 1446 2 @ Landskrona 1535 1
5 1977-07-31 14.85% IFK Sundsvall 1430 2 @ Hammarby 1493 0
6 1977-10-09 15.13% Landskrona 1493 1 @ Halmstad 1552 0
7 1977-05-22 15.94% AIK Stockholm 1474 2 @ Landskrona 1522 0
8 1977-09-01 15.98% Norrkoping 1510 2 @ Oster 1558 1
9 1977-06-13 16.11% Norrkoping 1448 2 @ AIK Stockholm 1494 1
10 1977-05-01 16.13% Goteborg 1447 3 @ Norrkoping 1493 1
11 1977-05-12 16.19% Hammarby 1459 3 @ AIK Stockholm 1504 0
12 1977-10-16 16.67% Djurgarden 1479 2 @ Norrkoping 1519 1
13 1977-10-16 16.79% Hammarby 1438 2 @ Orebro 1476 1
14 1977-09-25 17.99% Goteborg 1430 3 @ Hammarby 1454 0
15 1977-08-11 18.50% Goteborg 1455 6 @ AIK Stockholm 1474 3
16 1977-04-16 18.57% Norrkoping 1472 2 @ Kalmar 1490 0
17 1977-07-31 19.48% Kalmar 1501 3 @ Elfsborg 1509 1
18 1977-06-22 19.72% Oster 1531 3 @ Halmstad 1537 1
19 1977-09-18 19.96% Elfsborg 1555 3 @ Landskrona 1559 0
20 1977-04-12 20.88% Kalmar 1480 1 @ Hammarby 1474 0
21 1977-10-02 21.38% Kalmar 1519 3 @ Landskrona 1509 1
22 1977-09-25 22.07% Norrkoping 1509 2 @ Orebro 1493 1
23 1977-04-11 22.26% Landskrona 1501 2 @ Djurgarden 1483 1
24 1977-06-22 22.26% Norrkoping 1457 1 @ Derby 1439 0
25 1977-06-02 22.49% Landskrona 1495 3 @ Norrkoping 1474 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1977-05-12 30.28 Hammarby 3 1459 16.19% @ AIK Stockholm 0 1504 49.59% 34.22%
2 1977-09-25 29.12 Goteborg 3 1430 17.99% @ Hammarby 0 1454 47.33% 34.68%
3 1977-09-18 27.93 Elfsborg 3 1555 19.96% @ Landskrona 0 1559 44.99% 35.04%
4 1977-10-09 27.63 @ Djurgarden 4 1451 33.88% Kalmar 0 1536 30.61% 35.51%
5 1977-06-02 26.52 Landskrona 3 1495 22.49% @ Norrkoping 0 1474 42.17% 35.34%
6 1977-08-11 24.77 Malmo 5 1594 46.65% @ Derby 0 1393 19.91% 33.44%
7 1977-10-16 23.79 @ Landskrona 4 1504 40.13% Oster 0 1541 24.40% 35.47%
8 1977-06-02 23.54 @ Malmo 6 1557 51.82% Hammarby 0 1489 14.54% 33.65%
9 1977-08-03 23.27 @ Oster 6 1529 52.09% Goteborg 0 1458 14.34% 33.57%
10 1977-08-03 22.87 Landskrona 5 1532 34.27% @ Derby 1 1423 30.41% 35.32%
11 1977-08-14 22.18 @ Norrkoping 5 1494 48.98% AIK Stockholm 0 1454 16.66% 34.35%
12 1977-05-15 21.76 @ Djurgarden 4 1453 43.29% Goteborg 0 1464 21.47% 35.24%
13 1977-09-24 21.68 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1438 32.72% Landskrona 0 1531 31.82% 35.46%
14 1977-10-09 21.53 AIK Stockholm 3 1461 8.89% @ Malmo 1 1635 61.36% 29.75%
15 1977-07-31 21.48 IFK Sundsvall 2 1430 14.85% @ Hammarby 0 1493 51.38% 33.77%
16 1977-05-22 20.96 AIK Stockholm 2 1474 15.94% @ Landskrona 0 1522 49.92% 34.14%
17 1977-05-15 20.22 @ Elfsborg 4 1489 45.65% Derby 0 1479 19.40% 34.95%
18 1977-09-25 19.95 Djurgarden 4 1425 28.23% @ Derby 1 1358 36.22% 35.56%
19 1977-04-16 19.81 Norrkoping 2 1472 18.57% @ Kalmar 0 1490 46.64% 34.80%
20 1977-08-08 19.71 @ Goteborg 4 1435 29.05% Landskrona 1 1555 35.75% 35.20%
21 1977-08-11 19.48 Goteborg 6 1455 18.50% @ AIK Stockholm 3 1474 46.72% 34.79%
22 1977-06-29 19.12 @ Goteborg 4 1439 30.53% Oster 1 1548 34.15% 35.33%
23 1977-08-11 18.77 @ Orebro 3 1496 38.98% Halmstad 0 1542 25.50% 35.52%
24 1977-08-24 18.58 @ Elfsborg 4 1505 48.11% Goteborg 0 1474 17.35% 34.53%
25 1977-05-01 18.07 Goteborg 3 1447 16.13% @ Norrkoping 1 1493 49.66% 34.20%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1977-09-22 70.0 @ Norrkoping 2 1509 26.98% Malmo 2 1645 38.05% 34.96%
2 1977-05-07 68.8 IFK Sundsvall 3 1429 10.72% @ Malmo 2 1561 57.80% 31.48%
3 1977-06-12 67.8 @ Orebro 4 1483 49.23% Goteborg 4 1442 16.47% 34.30%
4 1977-07-03 67.3 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1478 43.38% Orebro 3 1488 21.39% 35.23%
5 1977-08-25 66.6 @ Norrkoping 2 1510 41.03% Halmstad 2 1540 23.55% 35.42%
6 1977-06-22 66.5 @ Elfsborg 2 1523 44.38% Landskrona 2 1524 20.50% 35.12%
7 1977-04-16 66.3 @ Elfsborg 2 1485 35.42% Halmstad 2 1558 29.04% 35.55%
8 1977-10-16 65.5 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1482 37.33% Halmstad 2 1541 27.12% 35.55%
9 1977-10-09 65.4 AIK Stockholm 3 1461 8.89% @ Malmo 1 1635 61.36% 29.75%
10 1977-09-01 65.2 Norrkoping 2 1510 15.98% @ Oster 1 1558 49.87% 34.15%
11 1977-08-29 64.3 @ Djurgarden 2 1428 27.73% Oster 2 1558 37.21% 35.06%
12 1977-05-30 64.1 @ Orebro 2 1499 46.81% Djurgarden 2 1480 18.42% 34.77%
13 1977-06-12 64.0 @ Landskrona 2 1521 53.03% IFK Sundsvall 2 1442 13.69% 33.28%
14 1977-06-19 63.9 @ Goteborg 2 1442 32.46% Halmstad 2 1537 32.09% 35.45%
15 1977-06-12 63.8 @ Derby 2 1445 33.37% Oster 2 1533 31.14% 35.49%
16 1977-08-07 63.4 @ Malmo 1 1596 55.15% Orebro 1 1494 12.29% 32.56%
17 1977-08-11 62.9 Djurgarden 2 1446 13.12% @ Landskrona 1 1535 53.88% 33.01%
18 1977-05-30 62.8 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1494 50.45% IFK Sundsvall 2 1441 15.54% 34.01%
19 1977-10-02 62.8 @ Norrkoping 1 1518 36.85% Elfsborg 1 1581 27.59% 35.56%
20 1977-05-07 62.5 @ Goteborg 2 1465 43.55% Kalmar 2 1474 21.24% 35.21%
21 1977-10-16 62.5 Djurgarden 2 1479 16.67% @ Norrkoping 1 1519 48.98% 34.36%
22 1977-08-28 62.4 @ IFK Sundsvall 1 1441 20.93% Malmo 1 1632 45.32% 33.75%
23 1977-06-02 62.2 @ IFK Sundsvall 2 1442 38.81% Kalmar 2 1489 25.67% 35.53%
24 1977-04-23 62.1 @ Halmstad 1 1557 49.78% AIK Stockholm 1 1510 16.05% 34.18%
25 1977-05-12 61.9 @ Landskrona 1 1523 41.39% Malmo 1 1550 23.21% 35.40%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1977-08-14 35.8 @ Oster 3 1550 62.03% Derby 0 1368 8.58% 29.39%
2 1977-10-02 38.8 @ Goteborg 4 1459 56.87% Derby 1 1338 11.25% 31.88%
3 1977-09-01 40.3 @ Halmstad 3 1541 54.80% IFK Sundsvall 0 1442 12.51% 32.68%
4 1977-10-09 40.5 @ Oster 2 1534 56.37% IFK Sundsvall 0 1419 11.55% 32.09%
5 1977-08-28 40.7 @ Landskrona 4 1529 52.39% Hammarby 0 1456 14.13% 33.48%
6 1977-08-14 40.8 @ Norrkoping 5 1494 48.98% AIK Stockholm 0 1454 16.66% 34.35%
7 1977-09-01 40.9 Elfsborg 3 1534 42.75% @ Derby 0 1364 22.99% 34.27%
8 1977-05-15 41.0 @ Djurgarden 4 1453 43.29% Goteborg 0 1464 21.47% 35.24%
9 1977-08-03 41.2 @ Halmstad 4 1520 50.74% Djurgarden 0 1464 15.32% 33.94%
10 1977-08-23 41.6 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1432 43.69% Djurgarden 0 1440 21.11% 35.20%
11 1977-08-24 41.8 @ Elfsborg 4 1505 48.11% Goteborg 0 1474 17.35% 34.53%
12 1977-08-03 42.0 @ Oster 6 1529 52.09% Goteborg 0 1458 14.34% 33.57%
13 1977-05-07 42.1 @ Halmstad 4 1544 51.98% Norrkoping 0 1475 14.42% 33.60%
14 1977-05-15 42.1 @ Elfsborg 4 1489 45.65% Derby 0 1479 19.40% 34.95%
15 1977-04-23 42.2 @ Goteborg 2 1435 43.02% IFK Sundsvall 0 1449 21.72% 35.27%
16 1977-06-22 42.2 @ Orebro 2 1478 47.88% IFK Sundsvall 0 1449 17.55% 34.58%
17 1977-08-14 42.3 @ Halmstad 4 1523 49.40% Hammarby 0 1480 16.34% 34.26%
18 1977-09-11 42.3 @ Derby 2 1346 33.74% IFK Sundsvall 0 1431 30.76% 35.50%
19 1977-06-02 42.8 @ Halmstad 2 1536 53.37% Derby 0 1453 13.46% 33.18%
20 1977-08-11 43.0 Malmo 5 1594 46.65% @ Derby 0 1393 19.91% 33.44%
21 1977-04-16 43.9 @ IFK Sundsvall 2 1436 40.06% Djurgarden 0 1474 24.47% 35.48%
22 1977-06-02 43.9 @ Oster 3 1518 46.79% Orebro 0 1498 18.44% 34.77%
23 1977-08-28 44.2 @ Kalmar 5 1497 49.19% Goteborg 1 1455 16.50% 34.31%
24 1977-06-02 44.3 @ Malmo 6 1557 51.82% Hammarby 0 1489 14.54% 33.65%
25 1977-08-07 44.5 @ Hammarby 3 1471 52.24% Derby 1 1400 14.24% 33.53%