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1978 Allsvenskan Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Oster

38 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Oster

8.17 points above expected

38 points · 29.83 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Norrkoping

6.12 points below expected

21 points · 27.12 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Oster 26 15 8 3 38 46 20 +26 29.83 +8.17
2 Malmo 26 12 8 6 32 29 15 +14 32.80 -0.80
3 Goteborg 26 13 5 8 31 39 29 +10 28.19 +2.81
4 Kalmar 26 11 9 6 31 35 30 +5 26.82 +4.18
5 Djurgarden 26 10 10 6 30 50 32 +18 27.18 +2.82
6 Elfsborg 26 10 9 7 29 44 37 +7 28.28 +0.72
7 AIK Stockholm 26 10 7 9 27 31 35 -4 25.09 +1.91
8 Halmstad 26 7 11 8 25 24 29 -5 26.06 -1.06
9 Hammarby 26 9 5 12 23 32 38 -6 22.93 +0.07
10 Landskrona 26 6 10 10 22 28 38 -10 24.94 -2.94
11 Norrkoping 26 7 7 12 21 33 39 -6 27.12 -6.12
12 Atvidaberg 26 9 1 16 19 31 42 -11 21.13 -2.13
13 Orebro 26 5 8 13 18 31 45 -14 22.73 -4.73
14 Vasteras SK 26 6 6 14 18 20 44 -24 20.90 -2.90

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Oster 38 29.83 +8.17
2 Kalmar 31 26.82 +4.18
3 Djurgarden 30 27.18 +2.82
4 Goteborg 31 28.19 +2.81
5 AIK Stockholm 27 25.09 +1.91

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Norrkoping 21 27.12 -6.12
2 Orebro 18 22.73 -4.73
3 Landskrona 22 24.94 -2.94
4 Vasteras SK 18 20.90 -2.90
5 Atvidaberg 19 21.13 -2.13

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Atvidaberg 4 Oct 11 – Oct 29 1 in 308
2 Malmo 6 Apr 30 – Jul 12 1 in 147
3 Oster 6 Sep 6 – Oct 7 1 in 67
4 Kalmar 4 Aug 13 – Aug 27 1 in 55
5 Elfsborg 4 Jul 12 – Aug 6 1 in 52

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Orebro 6 Aug 13 – Sep 10 1 in 273
2 Norrkoping 4 Aug 20 – Sep 6 1 in 135
3 Malmo 3 Aug 20 – Aug 27 1 in 101
4 Atvidaberg 5 Apr 9 – May 4 1 in 78
5 Djurgarden 4 Apr 22 – May 8 1 in 53

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Djurgarden 11 Aug 13 – Oct 11 1 in 114
2 Oster 12 Apr 9 – Aug 6 1 in 111
3 Malmo 9 Apr 9 – Jul 12 1 in 14
4 Elfsborg 7 Aug 20 – Sep 20 1 in 14
5 Kalmar 6 Aug 13 – Sep 10 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Norrkoping 13 Aug 20 – Oct 29 1 in 354
2 Malmo 7 Aug 20 – Sep 20 1 in 87
3 Halmstad 11 Aug 27 – Oct 29 1 in 62
4 Landskrona 7 May 11 – Aug 13 1 in 22
5 Oster 4 Oct 11 – Oct 29 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Oster 1552 38 -7 4 6.7 -2.7
Malmo 1523 32 -21 5 6.5 -1.5
Kalmar 1464 31 -4 5 5.0 -0.0
Goteborg 1476 31 -16 5 5.9 -0.9
Djurgarden 1515 30 +12 7 6.0 +1.0
Elfsborg 1492 29 +5 6 5.5 +0.5
AIK Stockholm 1424 27 -10 4 3.9 +0.1
Halmstad 1420 25 -3 4 4.3 -0.3
Hammarby 1406 23 +6 5 5.4 -0.4
Landskrona 1409 22 +23 6 4.2 +1.8
Norrkoping 1399 21 -17 3 4.8 -1.8
Atvidaberg 1388 19 +54 8 3.8 +4.2
Orebro 1371 18 +17 5 3.8 +1.2
Vasteras SK 1320 18 -39 3 4.3 -1.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS ATV DJU ELF GOT HAL HAM KAL LAN MAL NOR ORE OST VS
AIK Stockholm —
2-0-0
3.07
0-1-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.29
0-0-2
2.50
1-1-0
2.50
0-2-0
3.00
1-0-1
2.47
0-1-1
2.66
0-1-1
2.02
2-0-0
2.49
1-0-1
3.01
0-1-1
2.08
2-0-0
2.99
Atvidaberg
0-0-2
2.35
—
1-0-1
2.17
0-0-2
2.05
1-0-1
1.93
1-0-1
2.18
1-0-1
2.32
0-0-2
2.08
2-0-0
2.19
0-0-2
1.56
1-0-1
2.15
0-1-1
2.68
0-0-2
1.88
2-0-0
2.64
Djurgarden
1-1-0
2.79
1-0-1
3.27
—
1-1-0
2.43
0-1-1
2.53
1-1-0
2.79
1-0-1
3.16
0-2-0
2.79
1-1-0
2.70
0-1-1
2.22
1-0-1
2.86
2-0-0
3.31
1-0-1
2.40
0-2-0
3.33
Elfsborg
1-0-1
3.11
2-0-0
3.37
0-1-1
2.97
—
1-0-1
2.69
1-1-0
2.82
1-0-1
3.16
0-1-1
2.74
1-1-0
3.00
0-1-1
2.20
1-1-0
3.03
1-0-1
3.35
0-2-0
2.54
1-1-0
3.50
Goteborg
2-0-0
2.90
1-0-1
3.51
1-1-0
2.87
1-0-1
2.71
—
1-0-1
2.85
2-0-0
3.11
1-1-0
2.67
1-0-1
3.05
0-0-2
2.28
1-0-1
2.59
0-2-0
3.49
0-1-1
2.48
2-0-0
3.47
Halmstad
0-1-1
2.89
1-0-1
3.22
0-1-1
2.60
0-1-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.57
—
1-1-0
2.89
0-1-1
2.55
1-0-1
2.93
1-1-0
1.97
0-2-0
2.67
1-1-0
3.18
0-2-0
2.13
1-0-1
3.31
Hammarby
0-2-0
2.40
1-0-1
3.09
1-0-1
2.25
1-0-1
2.25
0-0-2
2.30
0-1-1
2.52
—
0-0-2
2.40
1-1-0
2.58
1-0-1
1.58
1-0-1
2.24
2-0-0
2.71
0-0-2
2.00
1-1-0
2.80
Kalmar
1-0-1
2.93
2-0-0
3.35
0-2-0
2.62
1-1-0
2.66
0-1-1
2.73
1-1-0
2.84
2-0-0
3.01
—
0-1-1
3.00
0-2-0
2.35
2-0-0
2.62
2-0-0
3.08
0-0-2
2.45
0-1-1
3.47
Landskrona
1-1-0
2.73
0-0-2
3.22
0-1-1
2.71
0-1-1
2.41
1-0-1
2.35
1-0-1
2.47
0-1-1
2.83
1-1-0
2.41
—
0-1-1
1.92
0-1-1
2.69
1-1-0
3.00
0-1-1
1.94
1-1-0
3.15
Malmo
1-1-0
3.40
2-0-0
3.90
1-1-0
3.20
1-1-0
3.20
2-0-0
3.12
0-1-1
3.45
1-0-1
3.87
0-2-0
3.06
1-1-0
3.50
—
1-1-0
3.38
1-0-1
3.56
0-0-2
3.03
1-0-1
4.02
Norrkoping
0-0-2
2.93
1-0-1
3.26
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
2.38
1-0-1
2.81
0-2-0
2.73
1-0-1
3.16
0-0-2
2.78
1-1-0
2.72
0-1-1
2.03
—
0-2-0
3.25
1-0-1
2.60
1-0-1
3.28
Orebro
1-0-1
2.40
1-1-0
2.73
0-0-2
2.09
1-0-1
2.07
0-2-0
1.93
0-1-1
2.23
0-0-2
2.69
0-0-2
2.32
0-1-1
2.40
1-0-1
1.89
0-2-0
2.16
—
0-1-1
2.02
1-0-1
2.80
Oster
1-1-0
3.34
2-0-0
3.54
1-0-1
3.00
0-2-0
2.88
1-1-0
2.92
0-2-0
3.27
2-0-0
3.41
2-0-0
2.96
1-1-0
3.47
2-0-0
2.37
1-0-1
2.80
1-1-0
3.41
—
1-0-1
3.64
Vasteras SK
0-0-2
2.43
0-0-2
2.76
0-2-0
2.08
0-1-1
1.92
0-0-2
1.96
1-0-1
2.10
0-1-1
2.60
1-1-0
1.96
0-1-1
2.25
1-0-1
1.45
1-0-1
2.13
1-0-1
2.61
1-0-1
1.78
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.43 +4.8
Allowed 0.75 -6.1
Differential 0.89 +4.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.99%7.97%6.32%2.20%1.10%1.10%29.67%
17.97%12.64%8.24%2.75%1.37%0.55%33.52%
26.32%8.24%3.85%2.75%1.10%0.27%22.53%
32.20%2.75%2.75%0.55%——8.24%
41.10%1.37%1.10%—0.55%—4.12%
5+1.10%0.55%0.27%———1.92%
Total29.67%33.52%22.53%8.24%4.12%1.92%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.30 +0.00
SD 1.22 1.22 1.76
CV 0.94 0.94 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%3.85%—3.85%3.85%30.77%
13.85%15.38%7.69%7.69%——34.62%
27.69%15.38%————23.08%
33.85%—3.85%———7.69%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total26.92%38.46%19.23%7.69%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.35 -0.15
SD 1.10 1.29 1.83
CV 0.92 0.96 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%3.85%11.54%——30.77%
111.54%—15.38%11.54%——38.46%
2—7.69%—7.69%——15.38%
33.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total23.08%23.08%23.08%30.77%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.62 -0.42
SD 1.13 1.17 1.81
CV 0.95 0.72 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%3.85%———19.23%
13.85%15.38%11.54%—3.85%—34.62%
23.85%—7.69%———11.54%
3—3.85%11.54%3.85%——19.23%
47.69%—————7.69%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total30.77%26.92%34.62%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 1.23 +0.69
SD 1.74 1.07 2.13
CV 0.91 0.87 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
13.85%26.92%7.69%———38.46%
27.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%—3.85%26.92%
3—11.54%—3.85%——15.38%
4——7.69%———7.69%
5+———————
Total11.54%53.85%23.08%7.69%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.42 +0.27
SD 1.12 1.06 1.37
CV 0.66 0.75 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%————19.23%
115.38%7.69%3.85%—7.69%—34.62%
27.69%15.38%7.69%—3.85%—34.62%
33.85%—————3.85%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total34.62%42.31%11.54%—11.54%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.12 +0.38
SD 1.21 1.24 1.79
CV 0.81 1.11 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.92%3.85%——3.85%3.85%38.46%
115.38%7.69%11.54%3.85%——38.46%
27.69%—7.69%3.85%——19.23%
3———————
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total50.00%15.38%19.23%7.69%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 1.12 -0.19
SD 0.98 1.42 1.67
CV 1.06 1.28 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%7.69%7.69%——38.46%
13.85%7.69%—3.85%—3.85%19.23%
27.69%7.69%—7.69%3.85%—26.92%
37.69%—3.85%———11.54%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total30.77%30.77%11.54%19.23%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.46 -0.23
SD 1.21 1.42 1.92
CV 0.98 0.97 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%15.38%————30.77%
17.69%11.54%3.85%———23.08%
23.85%19.23%3.85%—3.85%—30.77%
3——11.54%———11.54%
4————3.85%—3.85%
5+———————
Total26.92%46.15%19.23%—7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.15 +0.19
SD 1.16 1.08 0.94
CV 0.86 0.94 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%—11.54%3.85%—3.85%26.92%
17.69%30.77%15.38%—3.85%—57.69%
23.85%3.85%————7.69%
3———————
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total23.08%38.46%26.92%3.85%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.46 -0.38
SD 1.16 1.50 2.19
CV 1.08 1.03 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%11.54%3.85%———34.62%
111.54%11.54%7.69%———30.77%
219.23%3.85%————23.08%
33.85%7.69%————11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total53.85%34.62%11.54%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 0.58 +0.54
SD 1.03 0.70 1.30
CV 0.93 1.22 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%3.85%7.69%—3.85%—30.77%
13.85%7.69%19.23%—3.85%3.85%38.46%
23.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
3—7.69%————7.69%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total26.92%26.92%30.77%3.85%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.50 -0.23
SD 1.31 1.36 2.03
CV 1.03 0.91 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%—19.23%3.85%——30.77%
13.85%15.38%11.54%3.85%——34.62%
23.85%3.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%—26.92%
3——3.85%———3.85%
4———————
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total15.38%19.23%46.15%15.38%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.73 -0.54
SD 1.17 1.04 1.42
CV 0.98 0.60 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%————19.23%
17.69%7.69%————15.38%
211.54%19.23%11.54%3.85%——46.15%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total42.31%42.31%11.54%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 0.77 +1.00
SD 1.24 0.82 1.44
CV 0.70 1.06 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%23.08%3.85%3.85%3.85%53.85%
111.54%11.54%—7.69%——30.77%
2—7.69%————7.69%
3———————
4——3.85%—3.85%—7.69%
5+———————
Total19.23%30.77%26.92%11.54%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.69 -0.92
SD 1.14 1.35 1.70
CV 1.48 0.80 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Oster 1552 38 29.83 +8.17 99.0% 20 23 27 30 33 35 39
Malmo 1523 32 32.80 -0.80 50.0% 22 27 30 32 35 39 45
Djurgarden 1515 30 27.18 +2.82 82.0% 18 21 25 27 29 34 38
Elfsborg 1492 29 28.28 +0.72 66.0% 21 23 25 28 31 35 38
Goteborg 1476 31 28.19 +2.81 78.0% 20 22 25 28 31 34 37
Kalmar 1464 31 26.82 +4.18 89.0% 18 20 24 27 29 34 35
AIK Stockholm 1424 27 25.09 +1.91 75.0% 15 18 22 25 27 33 38
Halmstad 1420 25 26.06 -1.06 49.0% 16 19 24 26 28 32 34
Landskrona 1409 22 24.94 -2.94 24.0% 13 18 23 25 27 32 36
Hammarby 1406 23 22.93 +0.07 54.0% 10 17 20 23 25 29 34
Norrkoping 1399 21 27.12 -6.12 9.0% 14 20 24 27 30 34 36
Atvidaberg 1388 19 21.13 -2.13 39.0% 13 15 18 21 24 28 32
Orebro 1371 18 22.73 -4.73 13.0% 13 16 20 22 25 30 32
Vasteras SK 1320 18 20.90 -2.90 29.0% 11 14 18 21 24 27 30

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+18.68%
Clear Edge
45.05%28.57%26.37%
Elo Value
Home Edge
183 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
065.68500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.41 goals
Neutral
-2+0.36+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.2
Open
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
22%
Oster, 2nd of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Runaway
00.100.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.19 * Some Luck: 3.19 to 4.78 * Lucky: 4.78 to 6.37 * Wild Swing: 6.37 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.15 * Close: 2.15 to 3.23 * Off: 3.23 to 4.31 * Way Off: 4.31 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.66 points
Some Luck
03.9810
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.43
Pinpoint
02.696
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
99.00%
Oster
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
9.00%
Norrkoping
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Balanced
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 65.66
1.42
Moderate Separation
0.951.41.652.75
Interquartile Edge
62%
Even
50%63%71.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
79%
Even
50%80%100%
Close Games
Expected
66%
Very Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
13%
Rare
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.63
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Notable Separation
00.30.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.83
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.56
Strong Carryover
00.380.530.691
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Shaky
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.20
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.77
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.113
Well Within Noise
00.1150.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Oster22.00%17.00%14.00%9.00%12.00%8.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%—
Malmo41.00%17.00%14.00%13.00%7.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%——1.00%——
Goteborg7.00%14.00%9.00%14.00%8.00%11.00%13.00%3.00%9.00%3.00%7.00%1.00%—1.00%
Kalmar3.00%7.00%6.00%14.00%16.00%6.00%10.00%6.00%13.00%3.00%4.00%6.00%2.00%4.00%
Djurgarden5.00%10.00%11.00%8.00%12.00%10.00%11.00%5.00%7.00%4.00%9.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%
Elfsborg7.00%12.00%9.00%13.00%17.00%6.00%4.00%14.00%6.00%7.00%2.00%3.00%——
AIK Stockholm4.00%3.00%5.00%2.00%5.00%13.00%8.00%11.00%8.00%9.00%10.00%6.00%8.00%8.00%
Halmstad1.00%7.00%7.00%8.00%5.00%8.00%12.00%9.00%16.00%8.00%6.00%9.00%4.00%—
Hammarby1.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%3.00%7.00%10.00%9.00%16.00%10.00%14.00%18.00%6.00%
Landskrona2.00%2.00%7.00%4.00%4.00%9.00%8.00%14.00%6.00%13.00%9.00%9.00%6.00%7.00%
Norrkoping6.00%7.00%12.00%6.00%9.00%14.00%12.00%4.00%4.00%6.00%7.00%6.00%4.00%3.00%
Atvidaberg——2.00%2.00%—4.00%4.00%5.00%7.00%9.00%9.00%9.00%18.00%31.00%
Orebro1.00%3.00%2.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%5.00%6.00%5.00%11.00%15.00%15.00%13.00%15.00%
Vasteras SK——1.00%—1.00%2.00%1.00%8.00%5.00%9.00%10.00%15.00%24.00%24.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Elfsborg 100% —
Malmo 100% —
Goteborg 99.00% 1.00%
Oster 99.00% 1.00%
Djurgarden 97.00% 3.00%
Halmstad 96.00% 4.00%
Kalmar 94.00% 6.00%
Norrkoping 93.00% 7.00%
Landskrona 87.00% 13.00%
AIK Stockholm 84.00% 16.00%
Hammarby 76.00% 24.00%
Orebro 72.00% 28.00%
Vasteras SK 52.00% 48.00%
Atvidaberg 51.00% 49.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1978-04-08 Kalmar L 0-149.5 1411 1442 43.92% 30.21% 25.87%+0.19 -8.4 0
1978-04-08 @ Hammarby W 1-049.5 1442 1411 25.87% 30.21% 43.92%-0.19 +8.4 2
1978-04-09 Orebro W 2-039.2 1433 1421 49.05% 29.82% 21.13%+0.42 +9.2 2
1978-04-09 @ Djurgarden L 0-239.2 1421 1433 21.13% 29.82% 49.05%-0.42 -9.2 0
1978-04-09 Landskrona W 2-150.2 1425 1452 44.36% 30.19% 25.45%+0.21 +5.3 2
1978-04-09 @ Goteborg L 1-250.2 1452 1425 25.45% 30.19% 44.36%-0.21 -5.3 0
1978-04-09 Atvidaberg W 1-041.8 1462 1410 53.36% 29.19% 17.46%+0.64 +4.2 2
1978-04-09 @ Halmstad L 0-141.8 1410 1462 17.46% 29.19% 53.36%-0.64 -4.2 0
1978-04-09 AIK Stockholm W 3-145.3 1501 1429 55.41% 28.77% 15.81%+0.76 +6.2 2
1978-04-09 @ Malmo L 1-345.3 1429 1501 15.81% 28.77% 55.41%-0.76 -6.2 0
1978-04-09 Elfsborg D 1-158.2 1440 1471 43.89% 30.22% 25.89%+0.19 -0.7 1
1978-04-09 @ Norrkoping D 1-158.2 1471 1440 25.89% 30.22% 43.89%-0.19 +0.7 1
1978-04-09 Vasteras SK W 2-038.6 1449 1412 51.82% 29.45% 18.73%+0.56 +8.3 2
1978-04-09 @ Oster L 0-238.6 1412 1449 18.73% 29.45% 51.82%-0.56 -8.3 0
1978-04-15 Goteborg L 0-246.9 1422 1430 46.81% 30.03% 23.16%+0.32 -16.7 0
1978-04-15 @ AIK Stockholm W 2-046.9 1430 1422 23.16% 30.03% 46.81%-0.32 +16.7 4
1978-04-15 Djurgarden L 1-351.4 1406 1442 43.30% 30.24% 26.46%+0.16 -13.5 0
1978-04-15 @ Atvidaberg W 3-151.4 1442 1406 26.46% 30.24% 43.30%-0.16 +13.5 4
1978-04-15 Oster D 2-264.6 1472 1458 49.32% 29.79% 20.89%+0.44 -0.8 2
1978-04-15 @ Elfsborg D 2-264.6 1458 1472 20.89% 29.79% 49.32%-0.44 +0.9 3
1978-04-15 Halmstad W 3-255.9 1451 1466 45.88% 30.10% 24.02%+0.28 +4.8 4
1978-04-15 @ Kalmar L 2-355.9 1466 1451 24.02% 30.10% 45.88%-0.28 -4.8 2
1978-04-15 Norrkoping L 0-248.4 1447 1439 48.56% 29.87% 21.57%+0.40 -17.2 0
1978-04-15 @ Landskrona W 2-048.4 1439 1447 21.57% 29.87% 48.56%-0.40 +17.2 3
1978-04-15 Malmo L 1-254.5 1412 1507 35.30% 30.24% 34.46%-0.16 -6.7 0
1978-04-15 @ Orebro W 2-154.5 1507 1412 34.46% 30.24% 35.30%+0.16 +6.7 4
1978-04-15 Hammarby D 0-050.6 1404 1403 47.83% 29.94% 22.22%+0.37 -1.1 1
1978-04-15 @ Vasteras SK D 0-050.6 1403 1404 22.22% 29.94% 47.83%-0.37 +1.1 1
1978-04-22 Djurgarden W 2-150.3 1447 1455 46.64% 30.05% 23.32%+0.31 +5.0 6
1978-04-22 @ Goteborg L 1-250.3 1455 1447 23.32% 30.05% 46.64%-0.31 -5.0 4
1978-04-23 Landskrona D 1-158.1 1471 1430 52.29% 29.37% 18.33%+0.59 -1.4 3
1978-04-23 @ Elfsborg D 1-158.1 1430 1471 18.33% 29.37% 52.29%-0.59 +1.4 1
1978-04-23 Orebro W 3-036.6 1404 1405 47.57% 29.97% 22.46%+0.35 +14.0 3
1978-04-23 @ Hammarby L 0-336.6 1405 1404 22.46% 29.97% 47.57%-0.35 -14.0 0
1978-04-23 Kalmar D 0-055.9 1514 1456 54.03% 29.06% 16.91%+0.68 -1.7 5
1978-04-23 @ Malmo D 0-055.9 1456 1514 16.91% 29.06% 54.03%-0.68 +1.7 5
1978-04-23 Halmstad D 0-053.7 1457 1461 47.15% 30.00% 22.85%+0.33 -1.1 4
1978-04-23 @ Norrkoping D 0-053.7 1461 1457 22.85% 30.00% 47.15%-0.33 +1.1 3
1978-04-23 Atvidaberg W 3-035.5 1459 1392 54.82% 28.90% 16.28%+0.72 +10.8 5
1978-04-23 @ Oster L 0-335.5 1392 1459 16.28% 28.90% 54.82%-0.72 -10.7 0
1978-04-23 AIK Stockholm L 0-245.9 1403 1406 47.36% 29.99% 22.65%+0.34 -16.8 1
1978-04-23 @ Vasteras SK W 2-045.9 1406 1403 22.65% 29.99% 47.36%-0.34 +16.8 2
1978-04-30 Malmo L 0-248.6 1450 1512 39.94% 30.31% 29.75%+0.02 -14.7 4
1978-04-30 @ Djurgarden W 2-048.6 1512 1450 29.75% 30.31% 39.94%-0.02 +14.7 7
1978-04-30 Goteborg W 1-044.5 1462 1451 48.93% 29.83% 21.24%+0.42 +4.9 5
1978-04-30 @ Halmstad L 0-144.5 1451 1462 21.24% 29.83% 48.93%-0.42 -4.9 6
1978-04-30 Elfsborg W 2-151.3 1457 1470 46.20% 30.08% 23.72%+0.29 +5.0 7
1978-04-30 @ Kalmar L 1-251.3 1470 1457 23.72% 30.08% 46.20%-0.29 -5.0 3
1978-04-30 Vasteras SK W 2-037.1 1431 1386 52.65% 29.31% 18.04%+0.61 +8.1 3
1978-04-30 @ Landskrona L 0-237.1 1386 1431 18.04% 29.31% 52.65%-0.61 -8.1 1
1978-04-30 Oster D 1-156.5 1391 1469 37.69% 30.30% 32.01%-0.07 -0.2 1
1978-04-30 @ Orebro D 1-156.5 1469 1391 32.01% 30.30% 37.69%+0.07 +0.2 6
1978-05-01 Norrkoping L 1-349.7 1382 1455 38.31% 30.31% 31.38%-0.04 -12.3 0
1978-05-01 @ Atvidaberg W 3-149.7 1455 1382 31.38% 30.31% 38.31%+0.04 +12.3 6
1978-05-04 AIK Stockholm W 3-144.8 1465 1423 52.37% 29.36% 18.27%+0.59 +7.1 5
1978-05-04 @ Elfsborg L 1-344.8 1423 1465 18.27% 29.36% 52.37%-0.59 -7.1 2
1978-05-04 Malmo L 0-151.6 1447 1527 37.43% 30.30% 32.28%-0.08 -7.4 6
1978-05-04 @ Goteborg W 1-051.6 1527 1447 32.28% 30.30% 37.43%+0.08 +7.4 9
1978-05-04 Atvidaberg W 2-145.3 1418 1369 53.04% 29.25% 17.71%+0.63 +4.0 5
1978-05-04 @ Hammarby L 1-245.3 1369 1418 17.71% 29.25% 53.04%-0.63 -4.0 0
1978-05-04 Kalmar D 1-157.8 1439 1462 44.91% 30.16% 24.92%+0.23 -0.8 4
1978-05-04 @ Landskrona D 1-157.8 1462 1439 24.92% 30.16% 44.91%-0.23 +0.8 8
1978-05-04 Djurgarden W 2-149.0 1468 1436 51.27% 29.53% 19.20%+0.53 +4.2 8
1978-05-04 @ Norrkoping L 1-249.0 1436 1468 19.20% 29.53% 51.27%-0.53 -4.2 4
1978-05-04 Halmstad D 2-264.8 1470 1467 47.98% 29.93% 22.09%+0.37 -0.8 7
1978-05-04 @ Oster D 2-264.8 1467 1470 22.09% 29.93% 47.98%-0.37 +0.8 6
1978-05-04 Orebro W 4-247.4 1378 1391 46.18% 30.08% 23.74%+0.29 +7.8 3
1978-05-04 @ Vasteras SK L 2-447.4 1391 1378 23.74% 30.08% 46.18%-0.29 -7.8 1
1978-05-07 Landskrona L 0-149.8 1416 1438 44.94% 30.16% 24.89%+0.23 -8.5 2
1978-05-07 @ AIK Stockholm W 1-049.8 1438 1416 24.89% 30.16% 44.94%-0.23 +8.5 6
1978-05-07 Vasteras SK W 3-143.6 1365 1386 45.23% 30.14% 24.62%+0.25 +8.9 2
1978-05-07 @ Atvidaberg L 1-343.6 1386 1365 24.62% 30.14% 45.23%-0.25 -8.9 3
1978-05-07 Hammarby W 1-042.5 1468 1422 52.75% 29.30% 17.95%+0.61 +4.3 8
1978-05-07 @ Halmstad L 0-142.5 1422 1468 17.95% 29.30% 52.75%-0.61 -4.3 5
1978-05-07 Goteborg L 0-152.8 1463 1439 50.39% 29.65% 19.95%+0.49 -9.4 8
1978-05-07 @ Kalmar W 1-052.8 1439 1463 19.95% 29.65% 50.39%-0.49 +9.4 8
1978-05-07 Norrkoping W 2-042.8 1534 1472 54.42% 28.98% 16.60%+0.70 +7.5 11
1978-05-07 @ Malmo L 0-242.8 1472 1534 16.60% 28.98% 54.42%-0.70 -7.5 8
1978-05-07 Elfsborg W 5-248.6 1383 1472 36.24% 30.27% 33.49%-0.13 +13.7 3
1978-05-07 @ Orebro L 2-548.6 1472 1383 33.49% 30.27% 36.24%+0.13 -13.7 5
1978-05-08 Oster L 1-256.3 1432 1469 43.14% 30.25% 26.61%+0.16 -7.8 4
1978-05-08 @ Djurgarden W 2-156.3 1469 1432 26.61% 30.25% 43.14%-0.16 +7.8 9
1978-05-11 Kalmar L 2-357.4 1374 1454 37.56% 30.30% 32.14%-0.08 -6.6 2
1978-05-11 @ Atvidaberg W 3-257.4 1454 1374 32.14% 30.30% 37.56%+0.08 +6.6 10
1978-05-11 AIK Stockholm D 0-051.2 1424 1407 49.61% 29.75% 20.64%+0.45 -1.3 5
1978-05-11 @ Djurgarden D 0-051.2 1407 1424 20.64% 29.75% 49.61%-0.45 +1.3 3
1978-05-11 Elfsborg W 1-044.9 1449 1458 46.55% 30.05% 23.39%+0.31 +5.3 10
1978-05-11 @ Goteborg L 0-144.9 1458 1449 23.39% 30.05% 46.55%-0.31 -5.3 5
1978-05-11 Orebro W 2-037.6 1472 1397 55.71% 28.71% 15.58%+0.77 +7.1 10
1978-05-11 @ Halmstad L 0-237.6 1397 1472 15.58% 28.71% 55.71%-0.77 -7.1 3
1978-05-11 Landskrona W 2-041.2 1542 1447 57.54% 28.26% 14.20%+0.88 +6.6 13
1978-05-11 @ Malmo L 0-241.2 1447 1542 14.20% 28.26% 57.54%-0.88 -6.6 6
1978-05-11 Vasteras SK W 5-035.0 1464 1377 56.86% 28.43% 14.71%+0.84 +15.8 10
1978-05-11 @ Norrkoping L 0-535.0 1377 1464 14.71% 28.43% 56.86%-0.84 -15.8 3
1978-05-11 Hammarby W 3-037.0 1477 1418 54.08% 29.05% 16.87%+0.68 +11.1 11
1978-05-11 @ Oster L 0-337.0 1418 1477 16.87% 29.05% 54.08%-0.68 -11.1 5
1978-05-23 Hammarby D 1-155.4 1408 1407 47.88% 29.94% 22.18%+0.37 -1.0 4
1978-05-23 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-155.4 1407 1408 22.18% 29.94% 47.88%-0.37 +1.0 6
1978-07-05 Malmo L 0-248.6 1453 1548 35.32% 30.24% 34.44%-0.16 -13.4 5
1978-07-05 @ Elfsborg W 2-048.6 1548 1453 34.44% 30.24% 35.32%+0.16 +13.4 15
1978-07-05 Norrkoping L 1-351.2 1408 1480 38.48% 30.31% 31.21%-0.04 -12.3 6
1978-07-05 @ Hammarby W 3-151.2 1480 1408 31.21% 30.31% 38.48%+0.04 +12.3 12
1978-07-05 Oster L 1-258.3 1460 1488 44.38% 30.19% 25.43%+0.21 -8.0 10
1978-07-05 @ Kalmar W 2-158.3 1488 1460 25.43% 30.19% 44.38%-0.21 +8.0 13
1978-07-05 Atvidaberg D 0-049.6 1390 1368 50.18% 29.68% 20.14%+0.48 -1.4 4
1978-07-05 @ Orebro D 0-049.6 1368 1390 20.14% 29.68% 50.18%-0.48 +1.4 3
1978-07-08 Djurgarden D 1-156.8 1440 1422 49.73% 29.74% 20.53%+0.46 -1.2 7
1978-07-08 @ Landskrona D 1-156.8 1422 1440 20.53% 29.74% 49.73%-0.46 +1.2 6
1978-07-09 Halmstad D 0-052.6 1407 1479 38.56% 30.31% 31.12%-0.03 -0.3 5
1978-07-09 @ AIK Stockholm D 0-052.6 1479 1407 31.12% 30.31% 38.56%+0.03 +0.3 11
1978-07-09 Goteborg L 0-242.7 1361 1454 35.69% 30.25% 34.05%-0.15 -13.5 3
1978-07-09 @ Vasteras SK W 2-042.7 1454 1361 34.05% 30.25% 35.69%+0.15 +13.5 12
1978-07-12 Elfsborg L 2-454.5 1395 1440 42.24% 30.28% 27.48%+0.12 -11.9 6
1978-07-12 @ Hammarby W 4-254.5 1440 1395 27.48% 30.28% 42.24%-0.12 +11.9 7
1978-07-12 Atvidaberg W 1-040.0 1562 1369 65.63% 25.35% 9.02%+1.42 +2.2 17
1978-07-12 @ Malmo L 0-140.0 1369 1562 9.02% 25.35% 65.63%-1.42 -2.2 3
1978-07-12 AIK Stockholm L 0-154.2 1493 1407 56.68% 28.48% 14.84%+0.83 -10.4 12
1978-07-12 @ Norrkoping W 1-054.2 1407 1493 14.84% 28.48% 56.68%-0.83 +10.5 7
1978-07-12 Kalmar D 4-466.0 1348 1452 34.02% 30.19% 35.79%-0.21 +0.0 4
1978-07-12 @ Vasteras SK D 4-466.0 1452 1348 35.79% 30.19% 34.02%+0.21 -0.0 11
1978-07-16 Orebro D 2-262.6 1467 1388 56.06% 28.63% 15.31%+0.79 -1.3 13
1978-07-16 @ Goteborg D 2-262.6 1388 1467 15.31% 28.63% 56.06%-0.79 +1.3 5
1978-07-16 Landskrona D 0-054.6 1496 1439 53.84% 29.10% 17.06%+0.67 -1.7 14
1978-07-16 @ Oster D 0-054.6 1439 1496 17.06% 29.10% 53.84%-0.67 +1.7 8
1978-07-17 Halmstad W 4-041.1 1424 1480 40.72% 30.31% 28.97%+0.05 +22.1 8
1978-07-17 @ Djurgarden L 0-441.1 1480 1424 28.97% 30.31% 40.72%-0.05 -22.1 11
1978-07-26 Oster D 0-053.4 1417 1494 37.94% 30.30% 31.76%-0.06 -0.3 8
1978-07-26 @ AIK Stockholm D 0-053.4 1494 1417 31.76% 30.30% 37.94%+0.06 +0.3 15
1978-07-26 Goteborg W 1-046.3 1367 1466 34.78% 30.22% 35.00%-0.18 +7.0 5
1978-07-26 @ Atvidaberg L 0-146.3 1466 1367 35.00% 30.22% 34.78%+0.18 -7.0 13
1978-07-26 Vasteras SK W 1-038.4 1451 1348 58.35% 28.03% 13.62%+0.93 +3.3 9
1978-07-26 @ Elfsborg L 0-138.4 1348 1451 13.62% 28.03% 58.35%-0.93 -3.3 4
1978-07-26 Malmo W 1-052.9 1457 1564 33.77% 30.18% 36.05%-0.22 +7.2 13
1978-07-26 @ Halmstad L 0-152.9 1564 1457 36.05% 30.18% 33.77%+0.22 -7.2 17
1978-07-26 Djurgarden D 2-263.5 1452 1446 48.45% 29.88% 21.67%+0.40 -0.8 12
1978-07-26 @ Kalmar D 2-263.5 1446 1452 21.67% 29.88% 48.45%-0.40 +0.8 9
1978-07-26 Hammarby D 0-051.2 1441 1383 53.93% 29.08% 16.99%+0.67 -1.7 9
1978-07-26 @ Landskrona D 0-051.2 1383 1441 16.99% 29.08% 53.93%-0.67 +1.7 7
1978-07-26 Norrkoping D 2-262.5 1389 1482 35.71% 30.25% 34.04%-0.15 -0.0 6
1978-07-26 @ Orebro D 2-262.5 1482 1389 34.04% 30.25% 35.71%+0.15 +0.0 13
1978-07-30 Landskrona W 3-039.1 1374 1439 39.46% 30.31% 30.22%+0.00 +17.4 7
1978-07-30 @ Atvidaberg L 0-339.1 1439 1374 30.22% 30.31% 39.46%+0.00 -17.4 9
1978-07-30 Vasteras SK D 1-155.5 1447 1344 58.21% 28.07% 13.72%+0.92 -1.9 10
1978-07-30 @ Djurgarden D 1-155.5 1344 1447 13.72% 28.07% 58.21%-0.92 +1.9 5
1978-07-30 AIK Stockholm W 2-148.3 1389 1417 44.35% 30.19% 25.46%+0.21 +5.3 8
1978-07-30 @ Orebro L 1-248.3 1417 1389 25.46% 30.19% 44.35%-0.21 -5.3 8
1978-07-31 Oster L 1-258.2 1459 1494 43.40% 30.24% 26.36%+0.17 -7.8 13
1978-07-31 @ Goteborg W 2-158.2 1494 1459 26.36% 30.24% 43.40%-0.17 +7.8 17
1978-08-02 Elfsborg L 1-355.2 1465 1455 48.83% 29.84% 21.33%+0.41 -15.0 13
1978-08-02 @ Halmstad W 3-155.2 1455 1465 21.33% 29.84% 48.83%-0.41 +15.0 11
1978-08-02 Norrkoping W 2-152.2 1451 1482 43.96% 30.21% 25.82%+0.19 +5.3 14
1978-08-02 @ Kalmar L 1-252.2 1482 1451 25.82% 30.21% 43.96%-0.19 -5.4 13
1978-08-02 Hammarby W 2-037.5 1557 1385 64.01% 26.05% 9.93%+1.30 +4.6 19
1978-08-02 @ Malmo L 0-237.5 1385 1557 9.93% 26.05% 64.01%-1.30 -4.6 7
1978-08-06 Atvidaberg W 3-142.9 1470 1391 56.00% 28.64% 15.36%+0.79 +6.1 13
1978-08-06 @ Elfsborg L 1-342.9 1391 1470 15.36% 28.64% 56.00%-0.79 -6.1 7
1978-08-06 Orebro D 1-155.6 1422 1395 50.74% 29.61% 19.65%+0.51 -1.3 10
1978-08-06 @ Landskrona D 1-155.6 1395 1422 19.65% 29.61% 50.74%-0.51 +1.3 9
1978-08-06 Goteborg W 4-144.1 1477 1451 50.59% 29.63% 19.78%+0.50 +10.7 15
1978-08-06 @ Norrkoping L 1-444.1 1451 1477 19.78% 29.63% 50.59%-0.50 -10.7 13
1978-08-06 Malmo W 1-052.5 1502 1561 40.27% 30.31% 29.42%+0.03 +6.2 19
1978-08-06 @ Oster L 0-152.5 1561 1502 29.42% 30.31% 40.27%-0.03 -6.2 19
1978-08-06 Halmstad W 1-045.6 1346 1450 34.18% 30.20% 35.62%-0.21 +7.1 7
1978-08-06 @ Vasteras SK L 0-145.6 1450 1346 35.62% 30.20% 34.18%+0.21 -7.1 13
1978-08-07 Kalmar W 4-251.0 1412 1457 42.15% 30.28% 27.57%+0.11 +8.7 10
1978-08-07 @ AIK Stockholm L 2-451.0 1457 1412 27.57% 30.28% 42.15%-0.11 -8.7 14
1978-08-10 Djurgarden W 4-144.3 1381 1445 39.63% 30.31% 30.05%+0.01 +14.6 9
1978-08-10 @ Hammarby L 1-444.3 1445 1381 30.05% 30.31% 39.63%-0.01 -14.6 10
1978-08-13 AIK Stockholm L 0-342.9 1385 1421 43.38% 30.24% 26.38%+0.17 -22.7 7
1978-08-13 @ Atvidaberg W 3-042.9 1421 1385 26.38% 30.24% 43.38%-0.17 +22.7 12
1978-08-13 Elfsborg W 1-046.3 1430 1476 42.04% 30.28% 27.67%+0.11 +6.0 12
1978-08-13 @ Djurgarden L 0-146.3 1476 1430 27.67% 30.28% 42.04%-0.11 -6.0 13
1978-08-13 Landskrona W 4-142.1 1443 1420 50.20% 29.68% 20.12%+0.48 +10.8 15
1978-08-13 @ Halmstad L 1-442.1 1420 1443 20.12% 29.68% 50.20%-0.48 -10.8 10
1978-08-13 Orebro W 2-146.5 1448 1396 53.39% 29.18% 17.42%+0.65 +3.9 16
1978-08-13 @ Kalmar L 1-246.5 1396 1448 17.42% 29.18% 53.39%-0.65 -3.9 9
1978-08-13 Vasteras SK W 3-141.3 1555 1353 66.30% 25.04% 8.66%+1.46 +3.5 21
1978-08-13 @ Malmo L 1-341.3 1353 1555 8.66% 25.04% 66.30%-1.46 -3.5 7
1978-08-14 Hammarby W 5-139.2 1441 1395 52.69% 29.31% 18.00%+0.61 +12.7 15
1978-08-14 @ Goteborg L 1-539.2 1395 1441 18.00% 29.31% 52.69%-0.61 -12.7 9
1978-08-14 Oster W 1-048.6 1488 1508 45.20% 30.15% 24.65%+0.25 +5.5 17
1978-08-14 @ Norrkoping L 0-148.6 1508 1488 24.65% 30.15% 45.20%-0.25 -5.5 19
1978-08-20 Atvidaberg W 2-144.7 1443 1362 56.22% 28.59% 15.19%+0.80 +3.5 14
1978-08-20 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-244.7 1362 1443 15.19% 28.59% 56.22%-0.80 -3.5 7
1978-08-20 Djurgarden D 3-367.6 1470 1436 51.48% 29.50% 19.02%+0.55 -0.8 14
1978-08-20 @ Elfsborg D 3-367.6 1436 1470 19.02% 29.50% 51.48%-0.55 +0.8 13
1978-08-20 Halmstad W 5-040.0 1410 1453 42.31% 30.27% 27.41%+0.12 +26.1 12
1978-08-20 @ Landskrona L 0-540.0 1453 1410 27.41% 30.27% 42.31%-0.12 -26.2 15
1978-08-20 Kalmar L 0-244.8 1392 1452 40.18% 30.31% 29.51%+0.03 -14.7 9
1978-08-20 @ Orebro W 2-044.8 1452 1392 29.51% 30.31% 40.18%-0.03 +14.7 18
1978-08-20 Norrkoping W 4-147.1 1503 1493 48.82% 29.84% 21.34%+0.41 +11.3 21
1978-08-20 @ Oster L 1-447.1 1493 1503 21.34% 29.84% 48.82%-0.41 -11.3 17
1978-08-20 Malmo W 2-158.0 1350 1559 21.67% 28.66% 49.67%-0.78 +8.7 9
1978-08-20 @ Vasteras SK L 1-258.0 1559 1350 49.67% 28.66% 21.67%+0.78 -8.7 21
1978-08-21 Goteborg L 0-342.2 1382 1453 38.72% 30.31% 30.97%-0.03 -20.8 9
1978-08-21 @ Hammarby W 3-042.2 1453 1382 30.97% 30.31% 38.72%+0.03 +20.8 17
1978-08-24 Elfsborg L 0-242.2 1359 1469 33.28% 30.15% 36.57%-0.24 -12.8 7
1978-08-24 @ Atvidaberg W 2-042.2 1469 1359 36.57% 30.15% 33.28%+0.24 +12.8 16
1978-08-24 Hammarby W 3-249.6 1437 1362 55.68% 28.71% 15.61%+0.77 +3.4 15
1978-08-24 @ Djurgarden L 2-349.6 1362 1437 15.61% 28.71% 55.68%-0.77 -3.4 9
1978-08-24 Norrkoping W 4-041.1 1474 1482 46.79% 30.03% 23.18%+0.32 +18.7 19
1978-08-24 @ Goteborg L 0-441.1 1482 1474 23.18% 30.03% 46.79%-0.32 -18.7 17
1978-08-24 Vasteras SK W 2-035.7 1427 1359 55.06% 28.85% 16.09%+0.74 +7.3 17
1978-08-24 @ Halmstad L 0-235.7 1359 1427 16.09% 28.85% 55.06%-0.74 -7.3 9
1978-08-24 AIK Stockholm W 1-044.1 1467 1447 49.97% 29.71% 20.32%+0.47 +4.7 20
1978-08-24 @ Kalmar L 0-144.1 1447 1467 20.32% 29.71% 49.97%-0.47 -4.7 14
1978-08-24 Oster L 1-264.5 1550 1514 51.69% 29.47% 18.84%+0.56 -9.1 21
1978-08-24 @ Malmo W 2-164.5 1514 1550 18.84% 29.47% 51.69%-0.56 +9.1 23
1978-08-24 Landskrona L 1-253.0 1377 1436 40.38% 30.31% 29.31%+0.04 -7.4 9
1978-08-24 @ Orebro W 2-153.0 1436 1377 29.31% 30.31% 40.38%-0.04 +7.4 14
1978-08-27 Halmstad D 1-158.6 1482 1435 52.89% 29.27% 17.84%+0.62 -1.4 17
1978-08-27 @ Elfsborg D 1-158.6 1435 1482 17.84% 29.27% 52.89%-0.62 +1.4 18
1978-08-27 Malmo W 1-051.3 1358 1541 24.35% 29.20% 46.45%-0.64 +8.7 11
1978-08-27 @ Hammarby L 0-151.3 1541 1358 46.45% 29.20% 24.35%+0.64 -8.7 21
1978-08-27 Atvidaberg L 1-257.0 1443 1346 57.74% 28.20% 14.06%+0.89 -10.0 14
1978-08-27 @ Landskrona W 2-157.0 1346 1443 14.06% 28.20% 57.74%-0.89 +10.0 9
1978-08-27 Kalmar L 1-258.4 1463 1471 46.68% 30.04% 23.27%+0.31 -8.3 17
1978-08-27 @ Norrkoping W 2-158.4 1471 1463 23.27% 30.04% 46.68%-0.31 +8.3 22
1978-08-27 Goteborg D 2-267.8 1523 1493 51.11% 29.55% 19.33%+0.53 -1.0 24
1978-08-27 @ Oster D 2-267.8 1493 1523 19.33% 29.55% 51.11%-0.53 +1.0 20
1978-08-27 Djurgarden D 0-050.1 1351 1440 36.23% 30.27% 33.50%-0.13 -0.1 10
1978-08-27 @ Vasteras SK D 0-050.1 1440 1351 33.50% 30.27% 36.23%+0.13 +0.1 16
1978-08-28 Orebro W 3-250.0 1442 1370 55.38% 28.78% 15.84%+0.75 +3.4 16
1978-08-28 @ AIK Stockholm L 2-350.0 1370 1442 15.84% 28.78% 55.38%-0.75 -3.4 9
1978-09-06 Kalmar D 1-160.0 1480 1480 47.76% 29.95% 22.29%+0.36 -1.0 18
1978-09-06 @ Elfsborg D 1-160.0 1480 1480 22.29% 29.95% 47.76%-0.36 +1.0 23
1978-09-06 Halmstad W 2-149.1 1494 1436 53.96% 29.08% 16.97%+0.68 +3.8 22
1978-09-06 @ Goteborg L 1-249.1 1436 1494 16.97% 29.08% 53.96%-0.68 -3.8 18
1978-09-06 Djurgarden D 0-056.2 1532 1440 57.26% 28.33% 14.41%+0.86 -2.0 22
1978-09-06 @ Malmo D 0-056.2 1440 1532 14.41% 28.33% 57.26%-0.86 +2.0 17
1978-09-06 Atvidaberg L 2-362.4 1455 1356 57.87% 28.17% 13.96%+0.90 -9.5 17
1978-09-06 @ Norrkoping W 3-262.4 1356 1455 13.96% 28.17% 57.87%-0.90 +9.5 11
1978-09-06 Orebro W 3-141.8 1522 1367 62.76% 26.56% 10.69%+1.21 +4.3 26
1978-09-06 @ Oster L 1-341.8 1367 1522 10.69% 26.56% 62.76%-1.21 -4.3 9
1978-09-06 Landskrona D 1-154.7 1351 1433 37.18% 30.29% 32.53%-0.09 -0.2 11
1978-09-06 @ Vasteras SK D 1-154.7 1433 1351 32.53% 30.29% 37.18%+0.09 +0.2 15
1978-09-07 AIK Stockholm D 1-155.3 1367 1445 37.68% 30.30% 32.02%-0.07 -0.2 12
1978-09-07 @ Hammarby D 1-155.3 1445 1367 32.02% 30.30% 37.68%+0.07 +0.2 17
1978-09-10 Vasteras SK W 2-035.2 1446 1351 57.52% 28.26% 14.22%+0.88 +6.6 19
1978-09-10 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-235.2 1351 1446 14.22% 28.26% 57.52%-0.88 -6.6 11
1978-09-10 Oster L 1-250.9 1366 1527 26.80% 29.57% 43.63%-0.52 -5.5 11
1978-09-10 @ Atvidaberg W 2-150.9 1527 1366 43.63% 29.57% 26.80%+0.52 +5.5 28
1978-09-10 Norrkoping D 0-052.4 1432 1445 46.15% 30.08% 23.77%+0.29 -1.0 19
1978-09-10 @ Halmstad D 0-052.4 1445 1432 23.77% 30.08% 46.15%-0.29 +1.0 18
1978-09-10 Malmo D 0-057.1 1481 1530 41.58% 30.29% 28.12%+0.09 -0.6 24
1978-09-10 @ Kalmar D 0-057.1 1530 1481 28.12% 30.29% 41.58%-0.09 +0.6 23
1978-09-10 Elfsborg L 1-256.4 1433 1479 42.02% 30.28% 27.70%+0.11 -7.6 15
1978-09-10 @ Landskrona W 2-156.4 1479 1433 27.70% 30.28% 42.02%-0.11 +7.6 20
1978-09-10 Hammarby L 0-244.3 1362 1367 47.16% 30.00% 22.84%+0.33 -16.8 9
1978-09-10 @ Orebro W 2-044.3 1367 1362 22.84% 30.00% 47.16%-0.33 +16.8 14
1978-09-11 Goteborg D 1-159.1 1442 1498 40.81% 30.31% 28.89%+0.06 -0.5 18
1978-09-11 @ Djurgarden D 1-159.1 1498 1442 28.89% 30.31% 40.81%-0.06 +0.5 23
1978-09-17 Orebro L 2-358.5 1360 1345 49.38% 29.78% 20.84%+0.44 -8.3 11
1978-09-17 @ Atvidaberg W 3-258.5 1345 1360 20.84% 29.78% 49.38%-0.44 +8.3 11
1978-09-17 Landskrona W 7-039.4 1442 1426 49.53% 29.76% 20.71%+0.45 +29.0 20
1978-09-17 @ Djurgarden L 0-739.4 1426 1442 20.71% 29.76% 49.53%-0.45 -29.0 15
1978-09-17 Vasteras SK W 1-038.2 1498 1344 62.59% 26.62% 10.79%+1.20 +2.7 25
1978-09-17 @ Goteborg L 0-138.2 1344 1498 10.79% 26.62% 62.59%-1.20 -2.7 11
1978-09-17 AIK Stockholm L 1-256.3 1431 1452 45.18% 30.15% 24.68%+0.24 -8.1 19
1978-09-17 @ Halmstad W 2-156.3 1452 1431 24.68% 30.15% 45.18%-0.24 +8.1 21
1978-09-17 Elfsborg D 1-162.3 1531 1487 52.52% 29.33% 18.14%+0.60 -1.4 24
1978-09-17 @ Malmo D 1-162.3 1487 1531 18.14% 29.33% 52.52%-0.60 +1.4 21
1978-09-17 Hammarby L 0-248.3 1446 1383 54.45% 28.98% 16.57%+0.70 -19.0 18
1978-09-17 @ Norrkoping W 2-048.3 1383 1446 16.57% 28.98% 54.45%-0.70 +19.0 16
1978-09-17 Kalmar W 1-046.7 1532 1480 53.36% 29.19% 17.45%+0.64 +4.2 30
1978-09-17 @ Oster L 0-146.7 1480 1532 17.45% 29.19% 53.36%-0.64 -4.2 24
1978-09-20 Goteborg W 4-254.0 1488 1501 46.24% 30.08% 23.69%+0.29 +7.8 23
1978-09-20 @ Elfsborg L 2-454.0 1501 1488 23.69% 30.08% 46.24%-0.29 -7.8 25
1978-09-20 Oster L 0-244.6 1402 1536 30.14% 29.93% 39.93%-0.37 -11.9 16
1978-09-20 @ Hammarby W 2-044.6 1536 1402 39.93% 29.93% 30.14%+0.37 +11.9 32
1978-09-20 Atvidaberg W 2-144.1 1476 1352 60.13% 27.49% 12.38%+1.04 +2.9 26
1978-09-20 @ Kalmar L 1-244.1 1352 1476 12.38% 27.49% 60.13%-1.04 -2.9 11
1978-09-20 Malmo D 1-158.7 1397 1529 30.28% 29.94% 39.78%-0.37 +0.3 16
1978-09-20 @ Landskrona D 1-158.7 1529 1397 39.78% 29.94% 30.28%+0.37 -0.4 25
1978-09-20 Halmstad D 1-154.5 1354 1423 38.92% 30.31% 30.77%-0.02 -0.3 12
1978-09-20 @ Orebro D 1-154.5 1423 1354 30.77% 30.31% 38.92%+0.02 +0.3 20
1978-09-20 Norrkoping W 2-149.8 1342 1427 36.72% 30.28% 33.00%-0.11 +6.4 13
1978-09-20 @ Vasteras SK L 1-249.8 1427 1342 33.00% 30.28% 36.72%+0.11 -6.4 18
1978-09-21 Djurgarden L 0-447.2 1460 1471 46.43% 30.06% 23.51%+0.30 -31.4 21
1978-09-21 @ AIK Stockholm W 4-047.2 1471 1460 23.51% 30.06% 46.43%-0.30 +31.4 22
1978-09-24 Norrkoping W 2-148.1 1429 1421 48.63% 29.86% 21.51%+0.40 +4.7 23
1978-09-24 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-248.1 1421 1429 21.51% 29.86% 48.63%-0.40 -4.7 18
1978-09-24 Malmo L 0-338.9 1349 1529 24.65% 29.25% 46.11%-0.63 -14.8 11
1978-09-24 @ Atvidaberg W 3-038.9 1529 1349 46.11% 29.25% 24.65%+0.63 +14.8 27
1978-09-24 Hammarby L 2-364.7 1496 1391 58.51% 27.99% 13.50%+0.94 -9.6 23
1978-09-24 @ Elfsborg W 3-264.7 1391 1496 13.50% 27.99% 58.51%-0.94 +9.6 18
1978-09-24 Djurgarden D 2-264.3 1423 1502 37.63% 30.30% 32.07%-0.07 -0.2 21
1978-09-24 @ Halmstad D 2-264.3 1502 1423 32.07% 30.30% 37.63%+0.07 +0.2 23
1978-09-24 Vasteras SK L 0-153.0 1479 1348 60.71% 27.30% 11.99%+1.08 -11.1 26
1978-09-24 @ Kalmar W 1-053.0 1348 1479 11.99% 27.30% 60.71%-1.08 +11.1 15
1978-09-24 Oster L 0-244.2 1397 1548 27.98% 29.71% 42.31%-0.47 -11.3 16
1978-09-24 @ Landskrona W 2-044.2 1548 1397 42.31% 29.71% 27.98%+0.47 +11.3 34
1978-09-24 Goteborg D 1-156.3 1353 1493 29.40% 29.86% 40.73%-0.40 +0.4 13
1978-09-24 @ Orebro D 1-156.3 1493 1353 40.73% 29.86% 29.40%+0.40 -0.4 26
1978-10-07 Kalmar D 1-160.5 1502 1468 51.56% 29.49% 18.95%+0.55 -1.3 24
1978-10-07 @ Djurgarden D 1-160.5 1468 1502 18.95% 29.49% 51.56%-0.55 +1.3 27
1978-10-07 Atvidaberg W 1-037.7 1492 1334 62.96% 26.48% 10.56%+1.23 +2.6 28
1978-10-07 @ Goteborg L 0-137.7 1334 1492 10.56% 26.48% 62.96%-1.23 -2.6 11
1978-10-07 Halmstad D 0-056.2 1544 1423 59.82% 27.59% 12.59%+1.02 -2.3 28
1978-10-07 @ Malmo D 0-056.2 1423 1544 12.59% 27.59% 59.82%-1.02 +2.3 22
1978-10-07 Orebro D 0-050.1 1416 1354 54.41% 28.99% 16.60%+0.70 -1.8 19
1978-10-07 @ Norrkoping D 0-050.1 1354 1416 16.60% 28.99% 54.41%-0.70 +1.8 14
1978-10-07 AIK Stockholm W 5-039.1 1559 1434 60.28% 27.44% 12.28%+1.05 +13.4 36
1978-10-07 @ Oster L 0-539.1 1434 1559 12.28% 27.44% 60.28%-1.05 -13.4 23
1978-10-07 Elfsborg D 1-156.2 1359 1487 30.96% 30.00% 39.05%-0.34 +0.3 16
1978-10-07 @ Vasteras SK D 1-156.2 1487 1359 39.05% 30.00% 30.96%+0.34 -0.3 24
1978-10-08 Landskrona W 2-146.4 1400 1386 49.34% 29.78% 20.88%+0.44 +4.5 20
1978-10-08 @ Hammarby L 1-246.4 1386 1400 20.88% 29.78% 49.34%-0.44 -4.5 16
1978-10-11 Malmo D 1-160.0 1420 1542 31.76% 30.06% 38.19%-0.30 +0.2 24
1978-10-11 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-160.0 1542 1420 38.19% 30.06% 31.76%+0.30 -0.2 29
1978-10-11 Halmstad W 2-149.9 1332 1426 35.54% 30.25% 34.22%-0.15 +6.5 13
1978-10-11 @ Atvidaberg L 1-249.9 1426 1332 34.22% 30.25% 35.54%+0.15 -6.5 22
1978-10-11 Norrkoping W 2-147.7 1486 1414 55.37% 28.78% 15.85%+0.75 +3.6 26
1978-10-11 @ Elfsborg L 1-247.7 1414 1486 15.85% 28.78% 55.37%-0.75 -3.6 19
1978-10-11 Hammarby W 3-251.9 1469 1405 54.63% 28.94% 16.43%+0.71 +3.5 29
1978-10-11 @ Kalmar L 2-351.9 1405 1469 16.43% 28.94% 54.63%-0.71 -3.5 20
1978-10-11 Goteborg W 4-147.8 1381 1495 32.76% 30.12% 37.11%-0.26 +17.0 18
1978-10-11 @ Landskrona L 1-447.8 1495 1381 37.11% 30.12% 32.76%+0.26 -16.9 28
1978-10-11 Djurgarden L 2-355.4 1356 1501 28.65% 29.79% 41.56%-0.44 -5.4 14
1978-10-11 @ Orebro W 3-255.4 1501 1356 41.56% 29.79% 28.65%+0.44 +5.4 26
1978-10-11 Oster W 1-053.4 1359 1573 21.23% 28.56% 50.21%-0.81 +9.3 18
1978-10-11 @ Vasteras SK L 0-153.4 1573 1359 50.21% 28.56% 21.23%+0.81 -9.3 36
1978-10-14 AIK Stockholm W 2-148.0 1478 1420 53.96% 29.08% 16.96%+0.68 +3.8 30
1978-10-14 @ Goteborg L 1-248.0 1420 1478 16.96% 29.08% 53.96%-0.68 -3.8 24
1978-10-14 Vasteras SK W 3-034.6 1401 1369 51.33% 29.52% 19.15%+0.54 +12.3 22
1978-10-14 @ Hammarby L 0-334.6 1369 1401 19.15% 29.52% 51.33%-0.54 -12.3 18
1978-10-15 Atvidaberg L 0-154.0 1507 1338 63.76% 26.16% 10.08%+1.28 -11.6 26
1978-10-15 @ Djurgarden W 1-054.0 1338 1507 10.08% 26.16% 63.76%-1.28 +11.6 15
1978-10-15 Kalmar D 0-052.8 1419 1473 41.01% 30.30% 28.69%+0.07 -0.5 23
1978-10-15 @ Halmstad D 0-052.8 1473 1419 28.69% 30.30% 41.01%-0.07 +0.5 30
1978-10-15 Orebro L 0-252.3 1541 1350 65.50% 25.40% 9.09%+1.41 -22.3 29
1978-10-15 @ Malmo W 2-052.3 1350 1541 9.09% 25.40% 65.50%-1.41 +22.3 16
1978-10-15 Landskrona D 1-155.3 1411 1398 49.13% 29.81% 21.06%+0.43 -1.1 20
1978-10-15 @ Norrkoping D 1-155.3 1398 1411 21.06% 29.81% 49.13%-0.43 +1.1 19
1978-10-15 Elfsborg D 1-163.8 1563 1490 55.53% 28.75% 15.72%+0.76 -1.7 37
1978-10-15 @ Oster D 1-163.8 1490 1563 15.72% 28.75% 55.53%-0.76 +1.7 27
1978-10-21 Elfsborg W 2-153.1 1417 1492 38.16% 30.31% 31.53%-0.05 +6.2 26
1978-10-21 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-253.1 1492 1417 31.53% 30.31% 38.16%+0.05 -6.2 27
1978-10-22 Hammarby W 1-043.3 1350 1414 39.67% 30.31% 30.01%+0.01 +6.3 17
1978-10-22 @ Atvidaberg L 0-143.3 1414 1350 30.01% 30.31% 39.67%-0.01 -6.3 22
1978-10-22 Norrkoping W 5-140.1 1495 1410 56.65% 28.48% 14.86%+0.83 +10.8 28
1978-10-22 @ Djurgarden L 1-540.1 1410 1495 14.86% 28.48% 56.65%-0.83 -10.8 20
1978-10-22 Oster D 0-056.1 1418 1562 28.92% 29.82% 41.26%-0.43 +0.5 24
1978-10-22 @ Halmstad D 0-056.1 1562 1418 41.26% 29.82% 28.92%+0.43 -0.5 38
1978-10-22 Landskrona L 0-153.1 1473 1399 55.56% 28.74% 15.70%+0.76 -10.3 30
1978-10-22 @ Kalmar W 1-053.1 1399 1473 15.70% 28.74% 55.56%-0.76 +10.3 21
1978-10-22 Goteborg W 1-046.8 1519 1482 51.82% 29.45% 18.74%+0.56 +4.4 31
1978-10-22 @ Malmo L 0-146.8 1482 1519 18.74% 29.45% 51.82%-0.56 -4.4 30
1978-10-22 Vasteras SK W 1-039.7 1372 1356 49.53% 29.76% 20.71%+0.45 +4.8 18
1978-10-22 @ Orebro L 0-139.7 1356 1372 20.71% 29.76% 49.53%-0.45 -4.8 18
1978-10-29 Orebro W 2-036.5 1485 1377 58.73% 27.92% 13.34%+0.95 +6.2 29
1978-10-29 @ Elfsborg L 0-236.5 1377 1485 13.34% 27.92% 58.73%-0.95 -6.2 18
1978-10-29 Kalmar D 0-054.6 1478 1463 49.36% 29.78% 20.86%+0.44 -1.3 31
1978-10-29 @ Goteborg D 0-054.6 1463 1478 20.86% 29.78% 49.36%-0.44 +1.3 31
1978-10-29 Halmstad D 0-051.0 1407 1419 46.29% 30.07% 23.64%+0.29 -1.0 23
1978-10-29 @ Hammarby D 0-051.0 1419 1407 23.64% 30.07% 46.29%-0.29 +1.0 25
1978-10-29 AIK Stockholm D 1-155.8 1410 1423 46.12% 30.09% 23.79%+0.29 -0.9 22
1978-10-29 @ Landskrona D 1-155.8 1423 1410 23.79% 30.09% 46.12%-0.29 +0.9 27
1978-10-29 Malmo D 0-053.9 1399 1523 31.33% 30.03% 38.65%-0.32 +0.3 21
1978-10-29 @ Norrkoping D 0-053.9 1523 1399 38.65% 30.03% 31.33%+0.32 -0.3 32
1978-10-29 Djurgarden L 2-370.1 1561 1506 53.74% 29.12% 17.15%+0.66 -8.9 38
1978-10-29 @ Oster W 3-270.1 1506 1561 17.15% 29.12% 53.74%-0.66 +8.9 30
1978-10-29 Atvidaberg L 0-441.9 1352 1356 47.17% 30.00% 22.83%+0.34 -31.8 18
1978-10-29 @ Vasteras SK W 4-041.9 1356 1352 22.83% 30.00% 47.17%-0.34 +31.8 19

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1978-10-15 9.09% Orebro 1350 2 @ Malmo 1541 0
2 1978-10-15 10.08% Atvidaberg 1338 1 @ Djurgarden 1507 0
3 1978-09-24 11.99% Vasteras SK 1348 1 @ Kalmar 1479 0
4 1978-09-24 13.50% Hammarby 1391 3 @ Elfsborg 1496 2
5 1978-09-06 13.96% Atvidaberg 1356 3 @ Norrkoping 1455 2
6 1978-08-27 14.06% Atvidaberg 1346 2 @ Landskrona 1443 1
7 1978-07-12 14.84% AIK Stockholm 1407 1 @ Norrkoping 1493 0
8 1978-10-22 15.70% Landskrona 1399 1 @ Kalmar 1473 0
9 1978-09-17 16.57% Hammarby 1383 2 @ Norrkoping 1446 0
10 1978-10-29 17.15% Djurgarden 1506 3 @ Oster 1561 2
11 1978-08-24 18.84% Oster 1514 2 @ Malmo 1550 1
12 1978-05-07 19.95% Goteborg 1439 1 @ Kalmar 1463 0
13 1978-09-17 20.84% Orebro 1345 3 @ Atvidaberg 1360 2
14 1978-10-11 21.23% @ Vasteras SK 1359 1 Oster 1573 0
15 1978-08-02 21.33% Elfsborg 1455 3 @ Halmstad 1465 1
16 1978-04-15 21.57% Norrkoping 1439 2 @ Landskrona 1447 0
17 1978-08-20 21.67% @ Vasteras SK 1350 2 Malmo 1559 1
18 1978-04-23 22.65% AIK Stockholm 1406 2 @ Vasteras SK 1403 0
19 1978-10-29 22.83% Atvidaberg 1356 4 @ Vasteras SK 1352 0
20 1978-09-10 22.84% Hammarby 1367 2 @ Orebro 1362 0
21 1978-04-15 23.16% Goteborg 1430 2 @ AIK Stockholm 1422 0
22 1978-08-27 23.27% Kalmar 1471 2 @ Norrkoping 1463 1
23 1978-09-21 23.51% Djurgarden 1471 4 @ AIK Stockholm 1460 0
24 1978-08-27 24.35% @ Hammarby 1358 1 Malmo 1541 0
25 1978-09-17 24.68% AIK Stockholm 1452 2 @ Halmstad 1431 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1978-10-29 31.80 Atvidaberg 4 1356 22.83% @ Vasteras SK 0 1352 47.17% 30.00%
2 1978-09-21 31.39 Djurgarden 4 1471 23.51% @ AIK Stockholm 0 1460 46.43% 30.06%
3 1978-09-17 29.04 @ Djurgarden 7 1442 49.53% Landskrona 0 1426 20.71% 29.76%
4 1978-08-20 26.15 @ Landskrona 5 1410 42.31% Halmstad 0 1453 27.41% 30.27%
5 1978-08-13 22.72 AIK Stockholm 3 1421 26.38% @ Atvidaberg 0 1385 43.38% 30.24%
6 1978-10-15 22.30 Orebro 2 1350 9.09% @ Malmo 0 1541 65.50% 25.40%
7 1978-07-17 22.09 @ Djurgarden 4 1424 40.72% Halmstad 0 1480 28.97% 30.31%
8 1978-08-21 20.79 Goteborg 3 1453 30.97% @ Hammarby 0 1382 38.72% 30.31%
9 1978-09-17 19.00 Hammarby 2 1383 16.57% @ Norrkoping 0 1446 54.45% 28.98%
10 1978-08-24 18.72 @ Goteborg 4 1474 46.79% Norrkoping 0 1482 23.18% 30.03%
11 1978-07-30 17.42 @ Atvidaberg 3 1374 39.46% Landskrona 0 1439 30.22% 30.31%
12 1978-04-15 17.18 Norrkoping 2 1439 21.57% @ Landskrona 0 1447 48.56% 29.87%
13 1978-10-11 16.95 @ Landskrona 4 1381 32.76% Goteborg 1 1495 37.11% 30.12%
14 1978-04-23 16.82 AIK Stockholm 2 1406 22.65% @ Vasteras SK 0 1403 47.36% 29.99%
15 1978-09-10 16.76 Hammarby 2 1367 22.84% @ Orebro 0 1362 47.16% 30.00%
16 1978-04-15 16.65 Goteborg 2 1430 23.16% @ AIK Stockholm 0 1422 46.81% 30.03%
17 1978-05-11 15.82 @ Norrkoping 5 1464 56.86% Vasteras SK 0 1377 14.71% 28.43%
18 1978-08-02 14.95 Elfsborg 3 1455 21.33% @ Halmstad 1 1465 48.83% 29.84%
19 1978-09-24 14.83 Malmo 3 1529 46.11% @ Atvidaberg 0 1349 24.65% 29.25%
20 1978-08-20 14.72 Kalmar 2 1452 29.51% @ Orebro 0 1392 40.18% 30.31%
21 1978-04-30 14.65 Malmo 2 1512 29.75% @ Djurgarden 0 1450 39.94% 30.31%
22 1978-08-10 14.63 @ Hammarby 4 1381 39.63% Djurgarden 1 1445 30.05% 30.31%
23 1978-04-23 13.99 @ Hammarby 3 1404 47.57% Orebro 0 1405 22.46% 29.97%
24 1978-05-07 13.67 @ Orebro 5 1383 36.24% Elfsborg 2 1472 33.49% 30.27%
25 1978-04-15 13.52 Djurgarden 3 1442 26.46% @ Atvidaberg 1 1406 43.30% 30.24%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1978-10-29 70.1 Djurgarden 3 1506 17.15% @ Oster 2 1561 53.74% 29.12%
2 1978-08-27 67.8 @ Oster 2 1523 51.11% Goteborg 2 1493 19.33% 29.55%
3 1978-08-20 67.6 @ Elfsborg 3 1470 51.48% Djurgarden 3 1436 19.02% 29.50%
4 1978-07-12 66.0 @ Vasteras SK 4 1348 34.02% Kalmar 4 1452 35.79% 30.19%
5 1978-05-04 64.8 @ Oster 2 1470 47.98% Halmstad 2 1467 22.09% 29.93%
6 1978-09-24 64.7 Hammarby 3 1391 13.50% @ Elfsborg 2 1496 58.51% 27.99%
7 1978-04-15 64.6 @ Elfsborg 2 1472 49.32% Oster 2 1458 20.89% 29.79%
8 1978-08-24 64.5 Oster 2 1514 18.84% @ Malmo 1 1550 51.69% 29.47%
9 1978-09-24 64.3 @ Halmstad 2 1423 37.63% Djurgarden 2 1502 32.07% 30.30%
10 1978-10-15 63.8 @ Oster 1 1563 55.53% Elfsborg 1 1490 15.72% 28.75%
11 1978-07-26 63.5 @ Kalmar 2 1452 48.45% Djurgarden 2 1446 21.67% 29.88%
12 1978-07-16 62.6 @ Goteborg 2 1467 56.06% Orebro 2 1388 15.31% 28.63%
13 1978-07-26 62.5 @ Orebro 2 1389 35.71% Norrkoping 2 1482 34.04% 30.25%
14 1978-09-06 62.4 Atvidaberg 3 1356 13.96% @ Norrkoping 2 1455 57.87% 28.17%
15 1978-09-17 62.3 @ Malmo 1 1531 52.52% Elfsborg 1 1487 18.14% 29.33%
16 1978-10-07 60.5 @ Djurgarden 1 1502 51.56% Kalmar 1 1468 18.95% 29.49%
17 1978-09-06 60.0 @ Elfsborg 1 1480 47.76% Kalmar 1 1480 22.29% 29.95%
18 1978-10-11 60.0 @ AIK Stockholm 1 1420 31.76% Malmo 1 1542 38.19% 30.06%
19 1978-09-11 59.1 @ Djurgarden 1 1442 40.81% Goteborg 1 1498 28.89% 30.31%
20 1978-09-20 58.7 @ Landskrona 1 1397 30.28% Malmo 1 1529 39.78% 29.94%
21 1978-08-27 58.6 @ Elfsborg 1 1482 52.89% Halmstad 1 1435 17.84% 29.27%
22 1978-09-17 58.5 Orebro 3 1345 20.84% @ Atvidaberg 2 1360 49.38% 29.78%
23 1978-08-27 58.4 Kalmar 2 1471 23.27% @ Norrkoping 1 1463 46.68% 30.04%
24 1978-07-05 58.3 Oster 2 1488 25.43% @ Kalmar 1 1460 44.38% 30.19%
25 1978-04-09 58.2 @ Norrkoping 1 1440 43.89% Elfsborg 1 1471 25.89% 30.22%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1978-10-14 34.6 @ Hammarby 3 1401 51.33% Vasteras SK 0 1369 19.15% 29.52%
2 1978-05-11 35.0 @ Norrkoping 5 1464 56.86% Vasteras SK 0 1377 14.71% 28.43%
3 1978-09-10 35.2 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1446 57.52% Vasteras SK 0 1351 14.22% 28.26%
4 1978-04-23 35.5 @ Oster 3 1459 54.82% Atvidaberg 0 1392 16.28% 28.90%
5 1978-08-24 35.7 @ Halmstad 2 1427 55.06% Vasteras SK 0 1359 16.09% 28.85%
6 1978-10-29 36.5 @ Elfsborg 2 1485 58.73% Orebro 0 1377 13.34% 27.92%
7 1978-04-23 36.6 @ Hammarby 3 1404 47.57% Orebro 0 1405 22.46% 29.97%
8 1978-05-11 37.0 @ Oster 3 1477 54.08% Hammarby 0 1418 16.87% 29.05%
9 1978-04-30 37.1 @ Landskrona 2 1431 52.65% Vasteras SK 0 1386 18.04% 29.31%
10 1978-08-02 37.5 @ Malmo 2 1557 64.01% Hammarby 0 1385 9.93% 26.05%
11 1978-05-11 37.6 @ Halmstad 2 1472 55.71% Orebro 0 1397 15.58% 28.71%
12 1978-10-07 37.7 @ Goteborg 1 1492 62.96% Atvidaberg 0 1334 10.56% 26.48%
13 1978-09-17 38.2 @ Goteborg 1 1498 62.59% Vasteras SK 0 1344 10.79% 26.62%
14 1978-07-26 38.4 @ Elfsborg 1 1451 58.35% Vasteras SK 0 1348 13.62% 28.03%
15 1978-04-09 38.6 @ Oster 2 1449 51.82% Vasteras SK 0 1412 18.73% 29.45%
16 1978-09-24 38.9 Malmo 3 1529 46.11% @ Atvidaberg 0 1349 24.65% 29.25%
17 1978-07-30 39.1 @ Atvidaberg 3 1374 39.46% Landskrona 0 1439 30.22% 30.31%
18 1978-10-07 39.1 @ Oster 5 1559 60.28% AIK Stockholm 0 1434 12.28% 27.44%
19 1978-04-09 39.2 @ Djurgarden 2 1433 49.05% Orebro 0 1421 21.13% 29.82%
20 1978-08-14 39.2 @ Goteborg 5 1441 52.69% Hammarby 1 1395 18.00% 29.31%
21 1978-09-17 39.4 @ Djurgarden 7 1442 49.53% Landskrona 0 1426 20.71% 29.76%
22 1978-10-22 39.7 @ Orebro 1 1372 49.53% Vasteras SK 0 1356 20.71% 29.76%
23 1978-07-12 40.0 @ Malmo 1 1562 65.63% Atvidaberg 0 1369 9.02% 25.35%
24 1978-08-20 40.0 @ Landskrona 5 1410 42.31% Halmstad 0 1453 27.41% 30.27%
25 1978-10-22 40.1 @ Djurgarden 5 1495 56.65% Norrkoping 1 1410 14.86% 28.48%