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1979 Allsvenskan Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Halmstad

36 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Halmstad

6.60 points above expected

36 points · 29.40 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Halmia

9.29 points below expected

9 points · 18.29 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Halmstad 26 12 12 2 36 38 21 +17 29.40 +6.60
2 Goteborg 26 13 9 4 35 44 24 +20 30.49 +4.51
3 Elfsborg 26 14 5 7 33 35 24 +11 29.19 +3.81
4 Malmo 26 12 8 6 32 30 24 +6 28.81 +3.19
5 Norrkoping 26 11 9 6 31 44 28 +16 28.00 +3.00
6 Hammarby 26 11 6 9 28 46 36 +10 28.21 -0.21
7 Oster 26 9 10 7 28 32 28 +4 27.80 +0.20
8 Kalmar 26 8 8 10 24 42 39 +3 25.76 -1.76
9 IFK Sundsvall 26 8 7 11 23 31 41 -10 23.14 -0.14
10 Djurgarden 26 7 8 11 22 28 35 -7 25.65 -3.65
11 Atvidaberg 26 7 8 11 22 20 27 -7 23.14 -1.14
12 Landskrona 26 8 5 13 21 32 41 -9 23.46 -2.46
13 AIK Stockholm 26 5 10 11 20 24 35 -11 22.66 -2.66
14 Halmia 26 2 5 19 9 15 58 -43 18.29 -9.29

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Halmstad 36 29.40 +6.60
2 Goteborg 35 30.49 +4.51
3 Elfsborg 33 29.19 +3.81
4 Malmo 32 28.81 +3.19
5 Norrkoping 31 28.00 +3.00

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Halmia 9 18.29 -9.29
2 Djurgarden 22 25.65 -3.65
3 AIK Stockholm 20 22.66 -2.66
4 Landskrona 21 23.46 -2.46
5 Kalmar 24 25.76 -1.76

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hammarby 5 Jun 14 – Jul 22 1 in 122
2 Elfsborg 4 May 21 – Jun 13 1 in 57
3 IFK Sundsvall 3 Apr 22 – May 3 1 in 44
4 Goteborg 4 Sep 30 – Oct 28 1 in 35
5 Oster 3 May 31 – Jun 18 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IFK Sundsvall 5 May 7 – May 28 1 in 706
2 Halmia 6 May 28 – Jul 1 1 in 99
3 Elfsborg 3 Jun 18 – Jul 1 1 in 97
4 Djurgarden 4 Jul 4 – Aug 12 1 in 87
5 Hammarby 3 Oct 14 – Oct 28 1 in 56

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Halmstad 15 Apr 16 – Aug 5 1 in 322
2 Hammarby 10 May 21 – Aug 12 1 in 68
3 Oster 9 Aug 20 – Oct 20 1 in 34
4 Goteborg 11 Jun 12 – Aug 30 1 in 20
5 Kalmar 6 May 3 – May 28 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hammarby 6 Sep 13 – Oct 28 1 in 43
2 Oster 6 Sep 16 – Oct 28 1 in 23
3 Norrkoping 5 Sep 16 – Oct 20 1 in 20
4 Malmo 4 Jun 13 – Jun 25 1 in 14
5 Atvidaberg 6 May 7 – May 31 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Halmstad 1613 36 +29 8 6.3 +1.7
Goteborg 1650 35 +16 8 5.6 +2.4
Elfsborg 1585 33 +0 6 6.8 -0.8
Malmo 1518 32 -30 5 5.4 -0.4
Norrkoping 1575 31 +9 6 6.0 -0.0
Oster 1540 28 -11 4 5.2 -1.2
Hammarby 1551 28 -40 2 6.2 -4.2
Kalmar 1548 24 +27 6 5.2 +0.8
IFK Sundsvall 1475 23 +49 8 5.1 +2.9
Djurgarden 1469 22 +4 5 4.5 +0.5
Atvidaberg 1445 22 -8 4 3.8 +0.2
Landskrona 1442 21 -5 3 3.5 -0.5
AIK Stockholm 1439 20 -23 3 4.0 -1.0
Halmia 1274 9 -17 2 2.4 -0.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS ATV DJU ELF GOT HAL HAL HAM IS KAL LAN MAL NOR OST
AIK Stockholm —
1-1-0
2.56
0-2-0
2.25
1-0-1
2.31
0-0-2
1.92
2-0-0
3.10
0-0-2
2.21
0-1-1
2.09
1-0-1
2.54
0-1-1
2.36
0-1-1
2.62
0-2-0
2.18
0-1-1
2.13
0-1-1
1.88
Atvidaberg
0-1-1
2.80
 —
1-1-0
2.45
1-1-0
2.05
0-1-1
1.65
2-0-0
3.15
0-1-1
1.98
0-1-1
2.45
0-0-2
2.78
1-0-1
2.44
1-0-1
2.70
0-1-1
2.12
1-0-1
1.87
0-1-1
2.34
Djurgarden
0-2-0
3.12
0-1-1
2.92
 —
1-0-1
2.30
0-1-1
2.29
1-1-0
3.40
0-1-1
2.20
0-0-2
2.61
1-1-0
2.96
1-0-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.87
0-0-2
2.77
1-0-1
2.34
1-1-0
2.35
Elfsborg
1-0-1
3.08
0-1-1
3.32
1-0-1
3.08
 —
2-0-0
2.53
2-0-0
3.87
1-0-1
2.78
2-0-0
2.81
1-0-1
3.60
0-2-0
3.04
2-0-0
3.18
1-0-1
2.76
0-1-1
2.72
1-1-0
2.90
Goteborg
2-0-0
3.49
1-1-0
3.75
1-1-0
3.11
0-0-2
2.83
 —
2-0-0
4.10
0-1-1
2.89
1-0-1
3.15
0-2-0
3.60
2-0-0
2.88
1-1-0
3.30
1-1-0
2.93
1-1-0
2.72
1-1-0
2.97
Halmia
0-0-2
2.27
0-0-2
2.24
0-1-1
2.00
0-0-2
1.52
0-0-2
1.34
 —
0-0-2
1.51
1-1-0
1.50
0-0-2
2.08
0-1-1
1.64
1-0-1
2.12
0-1-1
1.66
0-1-1
2.18
0-0-2
1.59
Halmstad
2-0-0
3.19
1-1-0
3.39
1-1-0
3.16
1-0-1
2.58
1-1-0
2.48
2-0-0
3.89
 —
0-1-1
2.95
0-2-0
3.38
2-0-0
3.18
1-1-0
3.28
0-2-0
2.74
1-1-0
2.73
0-2-0
2.69
Hammarby
1-1-0
3.28
1-1-0
2.94
2-0-0
2.76
0-0-2
2.55
1-0-1
2.22
0-1-1
3.90
1-1-0
2.43
 —
2-0-0
3.16
0-1-1
2.76
2-0-0
3.20
0-0-2
2.76
0-0-2
2.51
1-1-0
2.58
IFK Sundsvall
1-0-1
2.85
2-0-0
2.58
0-1-1
2.42
1-0-1
1.78
0-2-0
1.79
2-0-0
3.33
0-2-0
2.01
0-0-2
2.21
 —
0-1-1
2.55
0-0-2
2.82
0-0-2
2.19
1-0-1
1.97
1-1-0
2.21
Kalmar
1-1-0
3.01
1-0-1
2.93
1-0-1
2.76
0-2-0
2.33
0-0-2
2.48
1-1-0
3.75
0-0-2
2.19
1-1-0
2.60
1-1-0
2.81
 —
0-1-1
3.17
1-0-1
2.42
0-1-1
2.38
1-0-1
2.16
Landskrona
1-1-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.50
0-0-2
2.21
0-1-1
2.10
1-0-1
3.25
0-1-1
2.09
0-0-2
2.19
2-0-0
2.55
1-1-0
2.20
 —
0-0-2
2.02
0-1-1
1.93
1-0-1
2.13
Malmo
0-2-0
3.19
1-1-0
3.25
2-0-0
2.60
1-0-1
2.61
0-1-1
2.45
1-1-0
3.76
0-2-0
2.64
2-0-0
2.62
2-0-0
3.19
1-0-1
2.95
2-0-0
3.36
 —
0-1-1
2.62
0-0-2
2.94
Norrkoping
1-1-0
3.24
1-0-1
3.51
1-0-1
3.04
1-1-0
2.65
0-1-1
2.64
1-1-0
3.25
0-1-1
2.64
2-0-0
2.87
1-0-1
3.41
1-1-0
2.98
1-1-0
3.45
1-1-0
2.74
 —
0-1-1
3.01
Oster
1-1-0
3.50
1-1-0
3.03
0-1-1
3.02
0-1-1
2.47
0-1-1
2.42
2-0-0
3.80
0-2-0
2.69
0-1-1
2.78
0-1-1
3.17
1-0-1
3.21
1-0-1
3.24
2-0-0
2.43
1-1-0
2.36
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.53 +5.7
Allowed 0.80 -6.6
Differential 0.92 +4.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.24%9.62%6.59%3.57%1.37%0.55%29.95%
19.62%15.38%5.77%2.75%1.10%0.55%35.16%
26.59%5.77%6.59%1.65%0.27%0.82%21.70%
33.57%2.75%1.65%—0.27%—8.24%
41.37%1.10%0.27%0.27%——3.02%
5+0.55%0.55%0.82%———1.92%
Total29.95%35.16%21.70%8.24%3.02%1.92%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.27 +0.00
SD 1.24 1.24 1.84
CV 0.98 0.98 —
Max 9 9 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%11.54%7.69%——38.46%
111.54%19.23%3.85%7.69%——42.31%
23.85%—7.69%———11.54%
3————3.85%—3.85%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total30.77%26.92%23.08%15.38%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 1.35 -0.42
SD 1.02 1.20 1.55
CV 1.10 0.89 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.08%11.54%7.69%—3.85%—46.15%
111.54%7.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%—38.46%
23.85%3.85%————7.69%
37.69%—————7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total46.15%23.08%19.23%3.85%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.04 -0.27
SD 0.91 1.25 1.64
CV 1.18 1.20 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%15.38%7.69%———34.62%
17.69%15.38%11.54%—3.85%—38.46%
23.85%7.69%3.85%——3.85%19.23%
3——3.85%———3.85%
4———————
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total23.08%38.46%30.77%—3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.35 -0.27
SD 1.16 1.20 1.40
CV 1.08 0.89 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%15.38%—3.85%——26.92%
119.23%7.69%—3.85%——30.77%
2—19.23%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total34.62%50.00%3.85%11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 0.92 +0.42
SD 1.13 0.93 1.47
CV 0.84 1.01 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%—3.85%———15.38%
13.85%15.38%11.54%———30.77%
211.54%11.54%7.69%———30.77%
3—11.54%3.85%———15.38%
47.69%—————7.69%
5+———————
Total34.62%38.46%26.92%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 0.92 +0.77
SD 1.16 0.80 1.45
CV 0.68 0.86 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—23.08%19.23%7.69%7.69%—57.69%
17.69%11.54%——3.85%3.85%26.92%
2——7.69%3.85%—3.85%15.38%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total7.69%34.62%26.92%11.54%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.58 2.23 -1.65
SD 0.76 1.88 1.90
CV 1.31 0.84 —
Max 2 9 +1
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%3.85%———19.23%
17.69%26.92%————34.62%
211.54%11.54%7.69%———30.77%
33.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total34.62%50.00%15.38%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 0.81 +0.65
SD 1.07 0.69 1.16
CV 0.73 0.86 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%———3.85%23.08%
17.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
211.54%7.69%11.54%7.69%——38.46%
3———————
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+—3.85%7.69%———11.54%
Total23.08%38.46%23.08%11.54%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.38 +0.38
SD 1.63 1.20 2.00
CV 0.92 0.87 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%—11.54%——19.23%
115.38%23.08%7.69%——3.85%50.00%
27.69%—3.85%7.69%3.85%—23.08%
3—7.69%————7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%38.46%11.54%19.23%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.58 -0.38
SD 0.85 1.47 1.77
CV 0.71 0.93 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%11.54%—3.85%—23.08%
1—11.54%15.38%3.85%——30.77%
27.69%—15.38%———23.08%
37.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total23.08%19.23%46.15%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.50 +0.12
SD 1.44 1.07 2.05
CV 0.89 0.71 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%7.69%11.54%——38.46%
17.69%7.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%—34.62%
2—11.54%———3.85%15.38%
33.85%—3.85%———7.69%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total23.08%30.77%23.08%15.38%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.58 -0.35
SD 1.84 1.33 2.35
CV 1.49 0.84 —
Max 9 5 +8
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%—26.92%
123.08%19.23%—3.85%——46.15%
23.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
311.54%3.85%————15.38%
4———————
5+———————
Total46.15%30.77%11.54%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 0.92 +0.23
SD 1.01 1.13 1.77
CV 0.87 1.22 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%3.85%———19.23%
17.69%23.08%—7.69%——38.46%
23.85%3.85%7.69%———15.38%
33.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
43.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total26.92%46.15%19.23%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.08 +0.62
SD 1.44 0.89 1.79
CV 0.85 0.83 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%—3.85%30.77%
13.85%19.23%3.85%———26.92%
223.08%—11.54%———34.62%
33.85%—————3.85%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total42.31%26.92%23.08%3.85%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.08 +0.15
SD 1.07 1.35 2.05
CV 0.87 1.26 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Goteborg 1650 35 30.49 +4.51 88.0% 21 24 28 30 33 36 41
Halmstad 1613 36 29.40 +6.60 100.0% 22 25 27 29 32 35 36
Elfsborg 1585 33 29.19 +3.81 85.0% 20 23 27 28 32 36 38
Norrkoping 1575 31 28.00 +3.00 81.0% 18 21 25 28 31 35 39
Hammarby 1551 28 28.21 -0.21 57.0% 19 22 25 28 31 35 38
Kalmar 1548 24 25.76 -1.76 42.0% 16 19 23 25 29 33 34
Oster 1540 28 27.80 +0.20 60.0% 20 23 25 28 30 34 36
Malmo 1518 32 28.81 +3.19 86.0% 18 23 26 29 31 33 40
IFK Sundsvall 1475 23 23.14 -0.14 56.0% 14 18 21 23 26 29 32
Djurgarden 1469 22 25.65 -3.65 17.0% 12 18 24 26 28 33 35
Atvidaberg 1445 22 23.14 -1.14 48.0% 15 16 21 23 26 30 36
Landskrona 1442 21 23.46 -2.46 29.0% 12 18 21 24 26 30 33
AIK Stockholm 1439 20 22.66 -2.66 26.0% 14 16 20 23 25 28 34
Halmia 1274 9 18.29 -9.29 0.0% 10 14 16 18 21 24 26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+22.53%
Strong Edge
46.15%30.22%23.63%
Elo Value
Home Edge
170 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
079.63500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.54 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.47+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
7.3
Wide Open
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
15%
Halmstad, 3rd of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.04/gm
Photo Finish
00.080.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.04 * Some Luck: 3.04 to 4.56 * Lucky: 4.56 to 6.09 * Wild Swing: 6.09 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.11 * Close: 2.11 to 3.16 * Off: 3.16 to 4.22 * Way Off: 4.22 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.92 points
Some Luck
03.8010
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.71
Pinpoint
02.636
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
100.00%
Halmstad
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
0.00%
Halmia
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Even
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 94.69
1.72
Strong Separation
0.951.41.652.75
Interquartile Edge
66%
Slight Edge
50%63%71.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
90%
Strong Edge
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
65%
Very Frequent
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Rare
0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.43
Lopsided
00.30.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.25
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.41
Some Carryover
00.380.530.691
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.41
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.20
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.067
Well Within Noise
00.1130.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Halmstad15.00%15.00%15.00%11.00%10.00%14.00%4.00%6.00%4.00%6.00%————
Goteborg23.00%21.00%9.00%10.00%14.00%6.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%——
Elfsborg16.00%12.00%7.00%13.00%9.00%13.00%12.00%7.00%4.00%2.00%5.00%———
Malmo7.00%13.00%20.00%8.00%11.00%10.00%15.00%4.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%4.00%1.00%—
Norrkoping7.00%6.00%19.00%8.00%13.00%8.00%7.00%8.00%6.00%8.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%—
Hammarby13.00%10.00%7.00%11.00%14.00%9.00%5.00%9.00%6.00%6.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%—
Oster7.00%7.00%12.00%13.00%5.00%13.00%7.00%11.00%9.00%8.00%4.00%4.00%——
Kalmar6.00%6.00%4.00%5.00%8.00%8.00%7.00%9.00%13.00%6.00%9.00%5.00%12.00%2.00%
IFK Sundsvall—1.00%—5.00%1.00%7.00%6.00%3.00%12.00%12.00%13.00%22.00%10.00%8.00%
Djurgarden2.00%3.00%5.00%9.00%7.00%4.00%9.00%14.00%13.00%10.00%7.00%7.00%5.00%5.00%
Atvidaberg1.00%4.00%1.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%7.00%7.00%6.00%13.00%13.00%15.00%15.00%10.00%
Landskrona2.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%6.00%10.00%10.00%11.00%13.00%16.00%17.00%5.00%
AIK Stockholm1.00%——1.00%3.00%4.00%8.00%8.00%9.00%10.00%15.00%15.00%15.00%11.00%
Halmia——————1.00%1.00%1.00%4.00%9.00%6.00%19.00%59.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Elfsborg 100% —
Goteborg 100% —
Halmstad 100% —
Oster 100% —
Malmo 99.00% 1.00%
Hammarby 98.00% 2.00%
Norrkoping 96.00% 4.00%
Djurgarden 90.00% 10.00%
Kalmar 86.00% 14.00%
IFK Sundsvall 82.00% 18.00%
Landskrona 78.00% 22.00%
Atvidaberg 75.00% 25.00%
AIK Stockholm 74.00% 26.00%
Halmia 22.00% 78.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1979-04-16 Elfsborg L 0-156.6 1497 1525 45.95% 31.87% 22.19%+0.31 -13.5 0
1979-04-16 @ AIK Stockholm W 1-056.6 1525 1497 22.19% 31.87% 45.95%-0.31 +13.5 2
1979-04-16 Kalmar W 4-043.8 1519 1513 49.57% 31.58% 18.85%+0.50 +25.2 2
1979-04-16 @ Goteborg L 0-443.8 1513 1519 18.85% 31.58% 49.57%-0.50 -25.2 0
1979-04-16 Norrkoping L 0-451.0 1491 1493 48.72% 31.66% 19.62%+0.45 -50.9 0
1979-04-16 @ Halmia W 4-051.0 1493 1491 19.62% 31.66% 48.72%-0.45 +50.9 2
1979-04-16 Djurgarden W 2-155.8 1494 1534 44.49% 31.94% 23.57%+0.23 +7.9 2
1979-04-16 @ Landskrona L 1-255.8 1534 1494 23.57% 31.94% 44.49%-0.23 -7.8 0
1979-04-16 Hammarby W 1-047.6 1537 1494 53.33% 31.09% 15.58%+0.72 +6.0 2
1979-04-16 @ Malmo L 0-147.6 1494 1537 15.58% 31.09% 53.33%-0.72 -6.0 0
1979-04-16 Halmstad D 0-057.9 1547 1497 53.97% 30.98% 15.05%+0.76 -2.8 1
1979-04-16 @ Oster D 0-057.9 1497 1547 15.05% 30.98% 53.97%-0.76 +2.8 1
1979-04-22 Goteborg D 0-058.6 1526 1544 46.98% 31.80% 21.22%+0.36 -1.8 1
1979-04-22 @ Djurgarden D 0-058.6 1544 1526 21.22% 31.80% 46.98%-0.36 +1.8 3
1979-04-22 Atvidaberg D 0-057.3 1538 1490 53.84% 31.00% 15.16%+0.75 -2.8 3
1979-04-22 @ Elfsborg D 0-057.3 1490 1538 15.16% 31.00% 53.84%-0.75 +2.8 1
1979-04-22 Landskrona W 2-153.6 1500 1502 48.77% 31.66% 19.57%+0.45 +6.8 3
1979-04-22 @ Halmstad L 1-253.6 1502 1500 19.57% 31.66% 48.77%-0.45 -6.8 2
1979-04-22 Halmia L 0-155.2 1488 1440 53.76% 31.02% 15.23%+0.75 -15.6 0
1979-04-22 @ Hammarby W 1-055.2 1440 1488 15.23% 31.02% 53.76%-0.75 +15.6 2
1979-04-22 Oster W 1-050.9 1493 1544 43.08% 31.99% 24.93%+0.17 +8.7 2
1979-04-22 @ IFK Sundsvall L 0-150.9 1544 1493 24.93% 31.99% 43.08%-0.17 -8.7 1
1979-04-22 AIK Stockholm W 3-042.3 1544 1484 54.90% 30.81% 14.29%+0.82 +15.4 4
1979-04-22 @ Norrkoping L 0-342.3 1484 1544 14.29% 30.81% 54.90%-0.82 -15.4 0
1979-04-28 Malmo L 0-156.0 1488 1543 42.65% 32.00% 25.34%+0.15 -12.7 0
1979-04-28 @ Kalmar W 1-056.0 1543 1488 25.34% 32.00% 42.65%-0.15 +12.7 4
1979-04-29 IFK Sundsvall L 0-156.1 1492 1501 48.01% 31.72% 20.26%+0.41 -14.1 1
1979-04-29 @ Atvidaberg W 1-056.1 1501 1492 20.26% 31.72% 48.01%-0.41 +14.0 4
1979-05-03 Halmstad L 0-349.8 1468 1506 44.69% 31.93% 23.38%+0.24 -36.2 0
1979-05-03 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-049.8 1506 1468 23.38% 31.93% 44.69%-0.24 +36.2 5
1979-05-03 Djurgarden W 2-155.1 1478 1524 43.78% 31.97% 24.25%+0.20 +8.0 3
1979-05-03 @ Atvidaberg L 1-255.1 1524 1478 24.25% 31.97% 43.78%-0.20 -8.0 1
1979-05-03 Hammarby L 1-264.8 1546 1472 56.06% 30.57% 13.36%+0.90 -15.2 3
1979-05-03 @ Goteborg W 2-164.8 1472 1546 13.36% 30.57% 56.06%-0.90 +15.2 2
1979-05-03 IFK Sundsvall L 0-153.6 1455 1515 41.99% 32.02% 25.99%+0.11 -12.6 2
1979-05-03 @ Halmia W 1-053.6 1515 1455 25.99% 32.02% 41.99%-0.11 +12.6 6
1979-05-03 Norrkoping D 1-162.1 1476 1560 38.88% 32.04% 29.08%-0.03 -0.6 1
1979-05-03 @ Kalmar D 1-162.1 1560 1476 29.08% 32.04% 38.88%+0.03 +0.6 5
1979-05-03 Elfsborg W 3-045.7 1556 1535 51.10% 31.41% 17.50%+0.59 +18.2 6
1979-05-03 @ Malmo L 0-345.7 1535 1556 17.50% 31.41% 51.10%-0.59 -18.2 3
1979-05-03 Landskrona W 3-043.0 1535 1495 53.08% 31.13% 15.79%+0.71 +16.8 3
1979-05-03 @ Oster L 0-343.0 1495 1535 15.79% 31.13% 53.08%-0.71 -16.8 2
1979-05-06 Oster W 2-048.5 1516 1552 44.91% 31.92% 23.17%+0.25 +15.5 3
1979-05-06 @ Djurgarden L 0-248.5 1552 1516 23.17% 31.92% 44.91%-0.25 -15.5 3
1979-05-06 Malmo W 1-052.8 1560 1574 47.49% 31.76% 20.74%+0.39 +7.6 7
1979-05-06 @ Norrkoping L 0-152.8 1574 1560 20.74% 31.76% 47.49%-0.39 -7.6 6
1979-05-07 Halmia W 1-044.1 1517 1443 56.13% 30.56% 13.31%+0.90 +5.3 5
1979-05-07 @ Elfsborg L 0-144.1 1443 1517 13.31% 30.56% 56.13%-0.90 -5.3 2
1979-05-07 Atvidaberg D 0-057.4 1543 1486 54.54% 30.88% 14.59%+0.80 -2.9 6
1979-05-07 @ Halmstad D 0-057.4 1486 1543 14.59% 30.88% 54.54%-0.80 +2.9 4
1979-05-07 Kalmar D 2-265.3 1487 1475 50.29% 31.50% 18.20%+0.54 -1.5 3
1979-05-07 @ Hammarby D 2-265.3 1475 1487 18.20% 31.50% 50.29%-0.54 +1.5 2
1979-05-07 AIK Stockholm L 0-157.4 1528 1432 57.91% 30.13% 11.96%+1.03 -16.7 6
1979-05-07 @ IFK Sundsvall W 1-057.4 1432 1528 11.96% 30.13% 57.91%-1.03 +16.7 2
1979-05-07 Goteborg D 0-056.3 1478 1531 42.95% 32.00% 25.05%+0.16 -1.2 3
1979-05-07 @ Landskrona D 0-056.3 1531 1478 25.05% 32.00% 42.95%-0.16 +1.2 4
1979-05-13 Elfsborg L 1-261.5 1486 1523 44.85% 31.93% 23.23%+0.25 -12.5 3
1979-05-13 @ Hammarby W 2-161.5 1523 1486 23.23% 31.93% 44.85%-0.25 +12.5 7
1979-05-14 Landskrona D 0-053.3 1449 1477 45.87% 31.87% 22.26%+0.30 -1.6 3
1979-05-14 @ AIK Stockholm D 0-053.3 1477 1449 22.26% 31.87% 45.87%-0.30 +1.6 4
1979-05-14 Oster D 1-161.8 1489 1537 43.56% 31.98% 24.47%+0.19 -1.1 5
1979-05-14 @ Atvidaberg D 1-161.8 1537 1489 24.47% 31.98% 43.56%-0.19 +1.1 4
1979-05-14 Norrkoping D 2-270.1 1532 1568 44.93% 31.92% 23.15%+0.26 -1.0 5
1979-05-14 @ Goteborg D 2-270.1 1568 1532 23.15% 31.92% 44.93%-0.26 +1.0 8
1979-05-14 Djurgarden D 1-159.6 1438 1531 37.56% 32.03% 30.41%-0.08 -0.4 3
1979-05-14 @ Halmia D 1-159.6 1531 1438 30.41% 32.03% 37.56%+0.08 +0.4 4
1979-05-14 IFK Sundsvall W 3-043.8 1476 1511 45.06% 31.91% 23.02%+0.26 +22.4 4
1979-05-14 @ Kalmar L 0-343.8 1511 1476 23.02% 31.91% 45.06%-0.26 -22.4 6
1979-05-14 Halmstad D 2-270.5 1566 1540 51.72% 31.33% 16.95%+0.62 -1.6 7
1979-05-14 @ Malmo D 2-270.5 1540 1566 16.95% 31.33% 51.72%-0.62 +1.6 7
1979-05-17 AIK Stockholm D 0-055.7 1532 1447 56.99% 30.36% 12.65%+0.96 -3.3 5
1979-05-17 @ Djurgarden D 0-055.7 1447 1532 12.65% 30.36% 56.99%-0.96 +3.3 4
1979-05-17 Kalmar D 2-268.0 1535 1499 52.67% 31.19% 16.14%+0.68 -1.7 8
1979-05-17 @ Elfsborg D 2-268.0 1499 1535 16.14% 31.19% 52.67%-0.68 +1.7 5
1979-05-17 Halmia W 3-254.7 1541 1437 58.58% 29.95% 11.47%+1.08 +4.2 9
1979-05-17 @ Halmstad L 2-354.7 1437 1541 11.47% 29.95% 58.58%-1.08 -4.2 3
1979-05-17 Malmo L 1-261.7 1489 1565 39.98% 32.04% 27.97%+0.02 -11.4 6
1979-05-17 @ IFK Sundsvall W 2-161.7 1565 1489 27.97% 32.04% 39.98%-0.02 +11.4 9
1979-05-17 Atvidaberg W 1-046.8 1479 1488 47.96% 31.73% 20.32%+0.41 +7.5 6
1979-05-17 @ Landskrona L 0-146.8 1488 1479 20.32% 31.73% 47.96%-0.41 -7.4 5
1979-05-17 Hammarby W 5-042.1 1569 1473 57.87% 30.14% 11.99%+1.03 +21.3 10
1979-05-17 @ Norrkoping L 0-542.1 1473 1569 11.99% 30.14% 57.87%-1.03 -21.3 3
1979-05-17 Goteborg L 0-256.4 1538 1531 49.74% 31.56% 18.69%+0.51 -27.3 4
1979-05-17 @ Oster W 2-056.4 1531 1538 18.69% 31.56% 49.74%-0.51 +27.3 7
1979-05-21 Kalmar D 2-264.7 1451 1501 43.24% 31.99% 24.77%+0.17 -0.8 5
1979-05-21 @ AIK Stockholm D 2-264.7 1501 1451 24.77% 31.99% 43.24%-0.17 +0.8 6
1979-05-21 Hammarby L 1-455.1 1481 1452 51.93% 31.30% 16.77%+0.64 -34.8 5
1979-05-21 @ Atvidaberg W 4-155.1 1452 1481 16.77% 31.30% 51.93%-0.64 +34.8 5
1979-05-21 Halmstad D 1-164.6 1558 1546 50.30% 31.50% 18.19%+0.54 -2.0 8
1979-05-21 @ Goteborg D 1-164.6 1546 1558 18.19% 31.50% 50.30%-0.54 +2.0 10
1979-05-21 Malmo D 1-161.2 1433 1576 30.77% 31.78% 37.44%-0.37 +0.4 4
1979-05-21 @ Halmia D 1-161.2 1576 1433 37.44% 31.78% 30.77%+0.37 -0.4 10
1979-05-21 Elfsborg L 0-351.1 1486 1533 43.57% 31.98% 24.45%+0.19 -35.5 6
1979-05-21 @ Landskrona W 3-051.1 1533 1486 24.45% 31.98% 43.57%-0.19 +35.5 10
1979-05-21 Norrkoping W 2-051.2 1511 1590 39.49% 32.04% 28.47%+0.00 +18.0 6
1979-05-21 @ Oster L 0-251.2 1590 1511 28.47% 32.04% 39.49%+0.00 -18.0 10
1979-05-22 IFK Sundsvall W 3-257.1 1529 1478 54.05% 30.96% 14.98%+0.77 +5.2 7
1979-05-22 @ Djurgarden L 2-357.1 1478 1529 14.98% 30.96% 54.05%-0.77 -5.2 6
1979-05-28 Oster W 3-045.3 1569 1528 53.06% 31.13% 15.81%+0.70 +16.8 12
1979-05-28 @ Elfsborg L 0-345.3 1528 1569 15.81% 31.13% 53.06%-0.70 -16.8 6
1979-05-28 Djurgarden W 4-150.5 1548 1534 50.43% 31.49% 18.08%+0.55 +15.7 12
1979-05-28 @ Halmstad L 1-450.5 1534 1548 18.08% 31.49% 50.43%-0.55 -15.7 7
1979-05-28 AIK Stockholm W 2-150.0 1487 1450 52.75% 31.18% 16.08%+0.68 +5.9 7
1979-05-28 @ Hammarby L 1-250.0 1450 1487 16.08% 31.18% 52.75%-0.68 -5.9 5
1979-05-28 Landskrona L 2-365.0 1472 1451 51.25% 31.39% 17.36%+0.59 -13.3 6
1979-05-28 @ IFK Sundsvall W 3-265.0 1451 1472 17.36% 31.39% 51.25%-0.59 +13.3 8
1979-05-28 Halmia W 2-040.4 1501 1433 55.58% 30.67% 13.75%+0.87 +10.3 8
1979-05-28 @ Kalmar L 0-240.4 1433 1501 13.75% 30.67% 55.58%-0.87 -10.3 4
1979-05-28 Atvidaberg W 2-150.7 1572 1446 60.26% 29.45% 10.29%+1.21 +4.0 12
1979-05-28 @ Norrkoping L 1-250.7 1446 1572 10.29% 29.45% 60.26%-1.21 -4.0 5
1979-05-31 AIK Stockholm D 1-156.8 1442 1444 48.78% 31.66% 19.56%+0.46 -1.8 6
1979-05-31 @ Atvidaberg D 1-156.8 1444 1442 19.56% 31.66% 48.78%-0.46 +1.8 6
1979-05-31 Kalmar W 2-154.3 1518 1512 49.67% 31.57% 18.76%+0.50 +6.6 9
1979-05-31 @ Djurgarden L 1-254.3 1512 1518 18.76% 31.57% 49.67%-0.50 -6.6 8
1979-05-31 Elfsborg L 1-266.3 1556 1586 45.70% 31.88% 22.42%+0.29 -12.7 8
1979-05-31 @ Goteborg W 2-166.3 1586 1556 22.42% 31.88% 45.70%-0.29 +12.7 14
1979-05-31 Hammarby D 1-163.3 1563 1493 55.80% 30.63% 13.57%+0.88 -2.8 13
1979-05-31 @ Halmstad D 1-163.3 1493 1563 13.57% 30.63% 55.80%-0.88 +2.8 8
1979-05-31 Norrkoping W 3-156.2 1459 1576 34.36% 31.95% 33.68%-0.22 +17.4 8
1979-05-31 @ IFK Sundsvall L 1-356.2 1576 1459 33.68% 31.95% 34.36%+0.22 -17.4 12
1979-05-31 Halmia W 4-037.9 1512 1423 57.32% 30.28% 12.40%+0.99 +17.8 8
1979-05-31 @ Oster L 0-437.9 1423 1512 12.40% 30.28% 57.32%-0.99 -17.8 4
1979-06-04 Malmo L 0-154.0 1464 1576 35.09% 31.98% 32.93%-0.19 -11.0 8
1979-06-04 @ Landskrona W 1-054.0 1576 1464 32.93% 31.98% 35.09%+0.19 +11.0 12
1979-06-12 Goteborg L 1-355.5 1446 1543 37.05% 32.02% 30.92%-0.11 -18.7 6
1979-06-12 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-155.5 1543 1446 30.92% 32.02% 37.05%+0.11 +18.7 10
1979-06-13 IFK Sundsvall W 2-152.9 1598 1476 59.93% 29.56% 10.51%+1.18 +4.0 16
1979-06-13 @ Elfsborg L 1-252.9 1476 1598 10.51% 29.56% 59.93%-1.18 -4.0 8
1979-06-13 Atvidaberg L 0-150.3 1405 1440 45.07% 31.91% 23.01%+0.26 -13.3 4
1979-06-13 @ Halmia W 1-050.3 1440 1405 23.01% 31.91% 45.07%-0.26 +13.3 8
1979-06-13 Landskrona D 1-159.5 1505 1453 54.16% 30.95% 14.89%+0.77 -2.5 9
1979-06-13 @ Kalmar D 1-159.5 1453 1505 14.89% 30.95% 54.16%-0.77 +2.5 9
1979-06-13 Oster L 0-259.2 1587 1530 54.61% 30.86% 14.52%+0.80 -29.8 12
1979-06-13 @ Malmo W 2-059.2 1530 1587 14.52% 30.86% 54.61%-0.80 +29.8 10
1979-06-13 Halmstad D 1-165.1 1559 1561 48.79% 31.66% 19.56%+0.46 -1.8 13
1979-06-13 @ Norrkoping D 1-165.1 1561 1559 19.56% 31.66% 48.79%-0.46 +1.8 14
1979-06-14 Djurgarden W 5-252.1 1495 1525 45.72% 31.88% 22.40%+0.30 +16.0 10
1979-06-14 @ Hammarby L 2-552.1 1525 1495 22.40% 31.88% 45.72%-0.30 -16.0 9
1979-06-17 Norrkoping W 1-051.8 1509 1557 43.47% 31.98% 24.55%+0.18 +8.6 11
1979-06-17 @ Djurgarden L 0-151.8 1557 1509 24.55% 31.98% 43.47%-0.18 -8.6 13
1979-06-18 Halmia W 2-037.8 1427 1392 52.56% 31.21% 16.23%+0.67 +11.8 8
1979-06-18 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-237.8 1392 1427 16.23% 31.21% 52.56%-0.67 -11.8 4
1979-06-18 Malmo D 0-056.3 1453 1557 36.25% 32.01% 31.75%-0.14 -0.3 9
1979-06-18 @ Atvidaberg D 0-056.3 1557 1453 31.75% 32.01% 36.25%+0.14 +0.3 13
1979-06-18 IFK Sundsvall D 1-162.6 1562 1472 57.40% 30.26% 12.34%+0.99 -3.0 11
1979-06-18 @ Goteborg D 1-162.6 1472 1562 12.34% 30.26% 57.40%-0.99 +3.0 9
1979-06-18 Elfsborg W 1-054.6 1562 1602 44.47% 31.94% 23.59%+0.23 +8.3 16
1979-06-18 @ Halmstad L 0-154.6 1602 1562 23.59% 31.94% 44.47%-0.23 -8.3 16
1979-06-18 Hammarby L 0-250.6 1455 1511 42.50% 32.01% 25.49%+0.14 -23.9 9
1979-06-18 @ Landskrona W 2-050.6 1511 1455 25.49% 32.01% 42.50%-0.14 +23.9 12
1979-06-18 Kalmar W 2-045.4 1559 1503 54.57% 30.87% 14.56%+0.80 +10.8 12
1979-06-18 @ Oster L 0-245.4 1503 1559 14.56% 30.87% 54.57%-0.80 -10.8 9
1979-06-21 Goteborg L 0-455.7 1557 1559 48.80% 31.66% 19.54%+0.46 -51.0 13
1979-06-21 @ Malmo W 4-055.7 1559 1557 19.54% 31.66% 48.80%-0.46 +51.0 13
1979-06-25 Djurgarden L 0-162.4 1594 1517 56.32% 30.51% 13.16%+0.92 -16.2 16
1979-06-25 @ Elfsborg W 1-062.4 1517 1594 13.16% 30.51% 56.32%-0.92 +16.2 13
1979-06-25 Goteborg L 0-147.5 1380 1610 20.75% 30.63% 48.62%-0.88 -7.4 4
1979-06-25 @ Halmia W 1-047.5 1610 1380 48.62% 30.63% 20.75%+0.88 +7.4 15
1979-06-25 Oster W 1-052.7 1535 1570 45.09% 31.91% 22.99%+0.26 +8.2 14
1979-06-25 @ Hammarby L 0-152.7 1570 1535 22.99% 31.91% 45.09%-0.26 -8.2 12
1979-06-25 Halmstad D 1-162.5 1475 1571 37.37% 32.03% 30.60%-0.09 -0.4 10
1979-06-25 @ IFK Sundsvall D 1-162.5 1571 1475 30.60% 32.03% 37.37%+0.09 +0.4 17
1979-06-25 Atvidaberg W 3-147.3 1492 1453 52.89% 31.16% 15.95%+0.69 +10.1 11
1979-06-25 @ Kalmar L 1-347.3 1453 1492 15.95% 31.16% 52.89%-0.69 -10.1 9
1979-06-25 AIK Stockholm D 0-054.3 1506 1439 55.52% 30.69% 13.79%+0.86 -3.0 14
1979-06-25 @ Malmo D 0-054.3 1439 1506 13.79% 30.69% 55.52%-0.86 +3.1 9
1979-06-25 Landskrona W 4-144.0 1548 1431 59.55% 29.67% 10.78%+1.15 +10.1 15
1979-06-25 @ Norrkoping L 1-444.0 1431 1548 10.78% 29.67% 59.55%-1.15 -10.1 9
1979-07-01 Norrkoping L 2-372.5 1578 1558 51.00% 31.42% 17.58%+0.58 -13.3 16
1979-07-01 @ Elfsborg W 3-272.5 1558 1578 17.58% 31.42% 51.00%-0.58 +13.3 17
1979-07-01 Hammarby L 0-155.0 1475 1544 40.91% 32.04% 27.05%+0.06 -12.3 10
1979-07-01 @ IFK Sundsvall W 1-055.0 1544 1475 27.05% 32.04% 40.91%-0.06 +12.3 16
1979-07-01 Halmia W 9-137.3 1421 1373 53.84% 31.00% 15.16%+0.75 +33.5 11
1979-07-01 @ Landskrona L 1-937.3 1373 1421 15.16% 31.00% 53.84%-0.75 -33.5 4
1979-07-04 Goteborg D 0-058.4 1443 1617 26.80% 31.47% 41.73%-0.56 +1.0 10
1979-07-04 @ Atvidaberg D 0-058.4 1617 1443 41.73% 31.47% 26.80%+0.56 -1.0 16
1979-07-04 Malmo L 0-158.8 1533 1503 52.09% 31.28% 16.63%+0.64 -15.1 13
1979-07-04 @ Djurgarden W 1-058.8 1503 1533 16.63% 31.28% 52.09%-0.64 +15.1 16
1979-07-04 Kalmar W 3-151.2 1571 1502 55.68% 30.65% 13.66%+0.87 +8.9 19
1979-07-04 @ Halmstad L 1-351.2 1502 1571 13.66% 30.65% 55.68%-0.87 -8.8 11
1979-07-04 AIK Stockholm W 2-041.7 1562 1442 59.79% 29.60% 10.61%+1.17 +8.2 14
1979-07-04 @ Oster L 0-241.7 1442 1562 10.61% 29.60% 59.79%-1.17 -8.2 9
1979-07-18 Oster D 1-161.0 1434 1570 31.69% 31.84% 36.47%-0.33 +0.3 10
1979-07-18 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-161.0 1570 1434 36.47% 31.84% 31.69%+0.33 -0.3 15
1979-07-18 Atvidaberg W 2-151.3 1616 1444 63.52% 28.26% 8.22%+1.48 +3.2 18
1979-07-18 @ Goteborg L 1-251.3 1444 1616 8.22% 28.26% 63.52%-1.48 -3.2 10
1979-07-18 Halmstad L 1-262.0 1493 1580 38.50% 32.04% 29.46%-0.04 -11.1 11
1979-07-18 @ Kalmar W 2-162.0 1580 1493 29.46% 32.04% 38.50%+0.04 +11.1 21
1979-07-18 Djurgarden W 1-049.1 1518 1518 48.99% 31.64% 19.38%+0.47 +7.2 18
1979-07-18 @ Malmo L 0-149.1 1518 1518 19.38% 31.64% 48.99%-0.47 -7.2 13
1979-07-22 Landskrona W 1-045.6 1339 1455 34.57% 31.96% 33.47%-0.21 +10.6 6
1979-07-22 @ Halmia L 0-145.6 1455 1339 33.47% 31.96% 34.57%+0.21 -10.6 11
1979-07-22 IFK Sundsvall W 6-143.7 1556 1463 57.69% 30.19% 12.12%+1.01 +17.8 18
1979-07-22 @ Hammarby L 1-643.7 1463 1556 12.12% 30.19% 57.69%-1.01 -17.8 10
1979-07-22 Elfsborg D 1-165.6 1572 1564 49.75% 31.56% 18.69%+0.51 -1.9 18
1979-07-22 @ Norrkoping D 1-165.6 1564 1572 18.69% 31.56% 49.75%-0.51 +1.9 17
1979-08-01 Malmo D 1-159.3 1434 1526 37.89% 32.03% 30.07%-0.07 -0.4 11
1979-08-01 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-159.3 1526 1434 30.07% 32.03% 37.89%+0.07 +0.4 19
1979-08-01 Kalmar W 2-043.3 1441 1482 44.33% 31.95% 23.72%+0.23 +15.8 12
1979-08-01 @ Atvidaberg L 0-243.3 1482 1441 23.72% 31.95% 44.33%-0.23 -15.8 11
1979-08-01 Halmia W 2-037.5 1620 1350 69.50% 25.29% 5.22%+2.05 +3.9 20
1979-08-01 @ Goteborg L 0-237.5 1350 1620 5.22% 25.29% 69.50%-2.05 -3.9 6
1979-08-01 Hammarby D 2-271.5 1570 1574 48.57% 31.68% 19.75%+0.44 -1.3 16
1979-08-01 @ Oster D 2-271.5 1574 1570 19.75% 31.68% 48.57%-0.44 +1.3 19
1979-08-05 Elfsborg L 0-157.7 1511 1566 42.60% 32.01% 25.40%+0.14 -12.7 13
1979-08-05 @ Djurgarden W 1-057.7 1566 1511 25.40% 32.01% 42.60%-0.14 +12.7 19
1979-08-05 IFK Sundsvall D 2-268.8 1591 1445 61.71% 28.96% 9.33%+1.32 -2.7 22
1979-08-05 @ Halmstad D 2-268.8 1445 1591 9.33% 28.96% 61.71%-1.32 +2.7 11
1979-08-05 Norrkoping D 0-056.5 1444 1570 33.18% 31.91% 34.92%-0.27 +0.1 12
1979-08-05 @ Landskrona D 0-056.5 1570 1444 34.92% 31.91% 33.18%+0.27 -0.1 19
1979-08-09 Atvidaberg W 2-042.1 1526 1457 55.69% 30.65% 13.66%+0.87 +10.2 21
1979-08-09 @ Malmo L 0-242.1 1457 1526 13.66% 30.65% 55.69%-0.87 -10.2 12
1979-08-12 Halmstad W 1-053.6 1579 1588 47.99% 31.73% 20.28%+0.41 +7.4 21
1979-08-12 @ Elfsborg L 0-153.6 1588 1579 20.28% 31.73% 47.99%-0.41 -7.4 22
1979-08-12 AIK Stockholm L 0-146.8 1346 1434 38.41% 32.04% 29.55%-0.05 -11.7 6
1979-08-12 @ Halmia W 1-046.8 1434 1346 29.55% 32.04% 38.41%+0.05 +11.7 13
1979-08-12 Landskrona W 5-247.6 1575 1444 60.59% 29.35% 10.06%+1.23 +8.2 21
1979-08-12 @ Hammarby L 2-547.6 1444 1575 10.06% 29.35% 60.59%-1.23 -8.2 12
1979-08-12 Goteborg D 1-163.6 1448 1624 26.61% 31.45% 41.94%-0.57 +0.9 12
1979-08-12 @ IFK Sundsvall D 1-163.6 1624 1448 41.94% 31.45% 26.61%+0.57 -0.9 21
1979-08-12 Oster W 6-048.9 1466 1568 36.42% 32.01% 31.57%-0.13 +53.5 13
1979-08-12 @ Kalmar L 0-648.9 1568 1466 31.57% 32.01% 36.42%+0.13 -53.5 16
1979-08-12 Djurgarden W 1-048.2 1570 1498 55.84% 30.62% 13.54%+0.88 +5.4 21
1979-08-12 @ Norrkoping L 0-148.2 1498 1570 13.54% 30.62% 55.84%-0.88 -5.4 13
1979-08-20 Halmia W 5-240.6 1493 1334 62.59% 28.63% 8.78%+1.40 +7.2 15
1979-08-20 @ Djurgarden L 2-540.6 1334 1493 8.78% 28.63% 62.59%-1.40 -7.2 6
1979-08-20 Hammarby W 1-053.3 1587 1583 49.35% 31.60% 19.05%+0.49 +7.1 23
1979-08-20 @ Elfsborg L 0-153.3 1583 1587 19.05% 31.60% 49.35%-0.49 -7.1 21
1979-08-20 Malmo D 1-165.2 1581 1536 53.47% 31.06% 15.46%+0.73 -2.4 23
1979-08-20 @ Halmstad D 1-165.2 1536 1581 15.46% 31.06% 53.47%-0.73 +2.4 22
1979-08-20 Kalmar D 1-159.6 1448 1520 40.57% 32.04% 27.39%+0.05 -0.8 13
1979-08-20 @ IFK Sundsvall D 1-159.6 1520 1448 27.39% 32.04% 40.57%-0.05 +0.8 14
1979-08-20 AIK Stockholm W 1-043.9 1436 1445 47.99% 31.73% 20.28%+0.41 +7.4 14
1979-08-20 @ Landskrona L 0-143.9 1445 1436 20.28% 31.73% 47.99%-0.41 -7.5 13
1979-08-20 Goteborg L 1-364.1 1575 1623 43.53% 31.98% 24.49%+0.19 -21.1 21
1979-08-20 @ Norrkoping W 3-164.1 1623 1575 24.49% 31.98% 43.53%-0.19 +21.1 23
1979-08-20 Atvidaberg W 1-044.3 1515 1446 55.62% 30.66% 13.71%+0.87 +5.4 18
1979-08-20 @ Oster L 0-144.3 1446 1515 13.71% 30.66% 55.62%-0.87 -5.4 12
1979-08-23 Djurgarden D 1-158.5 1438 1500 41.69% 32.02% 26.28%+0.10 -0.9 14
1979-08-23 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-158.5 1500 1438 26.28% 32.02% 41.69%-0.10 +0.9 16
1979-08-23 Landskrona W 3-039.1 1441 1444 48.71% 31.66% 19.62%+0.45 +19.9 14
1979-08-23 @ Atvidaberg L 0-339.1 1444 1441 19.62% 31.66% 48.71%-0.45 -19.9 14
1979-08-23 Oster D 2-272.7 1644 1520 60.05% 29.52% 10.43%+1.19 -2.5 24
1979-08-23 @ Goteborg D 2-272.7 1520 1644 10.43% 29.52% 60.05%-1.19 +2.5 19
1979-08-23 Halmstad L 0-240.7 1327 1578 18.75% 30.21% 51.05%-1.01 -12.9 6
1979-08-23 @ Halmia W 2-040.7 1578 1327 51.05% 30.21% 18.75%+1.01 +12.9 25
1979-08-23 Elfsborg D 0-060.0 1520 1594 40.30% 32.04% 27.66%+0.04 -0.8 15
1979-08-23 @ Kalmar D 0-060.0 1594 1520 27.66% 32.04% 40.30%-0.04 +0.8 24
1979-08-23 IFK Sundsvall W 3-040.0 1539 1448 57.51% 30.23% 12.26%+1.00 +13.5 24
1979-08-23 @ Malmo L 0-340.0 1448 1539 12.26% 30.23% 57.51%-1.00 -13.5 13
1979-08-27 Norrkoping L 1-364.5 1576 1554 51.30% 31.38% 17.32%+0.60 -24.3 21
1979-08-27 @ Hammarby W 3-164.5 1554 1576 17.32% 31.38% 51.30%-0.60 +24.3 23
1979-08-30 Halmia W 3-032.3 1461 1314 61.75% 28.95% 9.31%+1.33 +10.5 16
1979-08-30 @ Atvidaberg L 0-332.3 1314 1461 9.31% 28.95% 61.75%-1.33 -10.5 6
1979-08-30 Hammarby L 0-254.0 1501 1552 43.17% 31.99% 24.84%+0.17 -24.2 16
1979-08-30 @ Djurgarden W 2-054.0 1552 1501 24.84% 31.99% 43.17%-0.17 +24.2 23
1979-08-30 AIK Stockholm W 3-148.4 1641 1437 65.58% 27.35% 7.07%+1.67 +4.7 26
1979-08-30 @ Goteborg L 1-348.4 1437 1641 7.07% 27.35% 65.58%-1.67 -4.7 14
1979-08-30 Norrkoping W 1-053.0 1591 1578 50.37% 31.49% 18.13%+0.54 +6.8 27
1979-08-30 @ Halmstad L 0-153.0 1578 1591 18.13% 31.49% 50.37%-0.54 -6.8 23
1979-08-30 Elfsborg W 3-157.7 1434 1594 28.54% 31.63% 39.83%-0.47 +19.6 15
1979-08-30 @ IFK Sundsvall L 1-357.7 1594 1434 39.83% 31.63% 28.54%+0.47 -19.6 24
1979-08-30 Kalmar W 2-154.9 1424 1520 37.29% 32.03% 30.68%-0.10 +9.4 16
1979-08-30 @ Landskrona L 1-254.9 1520 1424 30.68% 32.03% 37.29%+0.10 -9.4 15
1979-08-30 Malmo W 2-048.5 1523 1552 45.73% 31.88% 22.39%+0.30 +15.1 21
1979-08-30 @ Oster L 0-248.5 1552 1523 22.39% 31.88% 45.73%-0.30 -15.1 24
1979-09-09 Atvidaberg W 4-040.6 1432 1471 44.57% 31.94% 23.49%+0.24 +29.7 16
1979-09-09 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-440.6 1471 1432 23.49% 31.94% 44.57%-0.24 -29.7 16
1979-09-10 Goteborg W 2-162.8 1575 1646 40.58% 32.04% 27.38%+0.05 +8.7 26
1979-09-10 @ Elfsborg L 1-262.8 1646 1575 27.38% 32.04% 40.58%-0.05 -8.7 26
1979-09-10 Oster L 0-239.4 1304 1538 20.32% 30.54% 49.13%-0.91 -13.8 6
1979-09-10 @ Halmia W 2-039.4 1538 1304 49.13% 30.54% 20.32%+0.91 +13.8 23
1979-09-10 Halmstad W 2-051.2 1576 1598 46.54% 31.83% 21.62%+0.34 +14.7 25
1979-09-10 @ Hammarby L 0-251.2 1598 1576 21.62% 31.83% 46.54%-0.34 -14.7 27
1979-09-10 Djurgarden W 2-043.3 1510 1477 52.37% 31.24% 16.40%+0.66 +11.9 17
1979-09-10 @ Kalmar L 0-243.3 1477 1510 16.40% 31.24% 52.37%-0.66 -11.9 16
1979-09-10 Landskrona W 3-146.5 1537 1433 58.55% 29.96% 11.49%+1.08 +7.6 26
1979-09-10 @ Malmo L 1-346.5 1433 1537 11.49% 29.96% 58.55%-1.08 -7.6 16
1979-09-10 IFK Sundsvall W 4-251.9 1571 1454 59.61% 29.65% 10.73%+1.16 +6.4 25
1979-09-10 @ Norrkoping L 2-451.9 1454 1571 10.73% 29.65% 59.61%-1.16 -6.4 15
1979-09-13 Hammarby D 1-162.8 1462 1591 32.71% 31.89% 35.40%-0.29 +0.1 17
1979-09-13 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-162.8 1591 1462 35.40% 31.89% 32.71%+0.29 -0.1 26
1979-09-13 Malmo D 1-167.3 1637 1545 57.65% 30.20% 12.15%+1.01 -3.0 27
1979-09-13 @ Goteborg D 1-167.3 1545 1637 12.15% 30.20% 57.65%-1.01 +3.0 27
1979-09-16 Norrkoping W 1-053.7 1442 1578 31.71% 31.84% 36.45%-0.33 +11.3 18
1979-09-16 @ Atvidaberg L 0-153.7 1578 1442 36.45% 31.84% 31.71%+0.33 -11.3 25
1979-09-16 Halmstad D 1-162.6 1465 1583 34.18% 31.95% 33.88%-0.23 -0.0 17
1979-09-16 @ Djurgarden D 1-162.6 1583 1465 33.88% 31.95% 34.18%+0.23 +0.0 28
1979-09-16 Kalmar D 2-260.9 1290 1522 20.53% 30.58% 48.88%-0.89 +1.3 7
1979-09-16 @ Halmia D 2-260.9 1522 1290 48.88% 30.58% 20.53%+0.89 -1.3 18
1979-09-16 IFK Sundsvall W 3-039.3 1425 1447 46.58% 31.83% 21.59%+0.34 +21.4 18
1979-09-16 @ Landskrona L 0-339.3 1447 1425 21.59% 31.83% 46.58%-0.34 -21.4 15
1979-09-16 Elfsborg D 1-165.5 1552 1584 45.43% 31.90% 22.68%+0.28 -1.4 24
1979-09-16 @ Oster D 1-165.5 1584 1552 22.68% 31.90% 45.43%-0.28 +1.4 27
1979-09-23 Landskrona W 2-151.0 1585 1447 61.13% 29.16% 9.71%+1.28 +3.8 29
1979-09-23 @ Elfsborg L 1-251.0 1447 1585 9.71% 29.16% 61.13%-1.28 -3.8 18
1979-09-23 Goteborg W 2-053.3 1584 1634 43.15% 31.99% 24.86%+0.17 +16.3 30
1979-09-23 @ Halmstad L 0-253.3 1634 1584 24.86% 31.99% 43.15%-0.17 -16.3 27
1979-09-23 Atvidaberg D 0-058.4 1591 1453 61.11% 29.17% 9.72%+1.28 -3.9 27
1979-09-23 @ Hammarby D 0-058.4 1453 1591 9.72% 29.17% 61.11%-1.28 +3.9 19
1979-09-23 Djurgarden D 1-156.9 1426 1465 44.57% 31.94% 23.49%+0.24 -1.3 16
1979-09-23 @ IFK Sundsvall D 1-156.9 1465 1426 23.49% 31.94% 44.57%-0.24 +1.3 18
1979-09-23 AIK Stockholm W 4-358.4 1521 1462 54.74% 30.84% 14.42%+0.81 +5.0 20
1979-09-23 @ Kalmar L 3-458.4 1462 1521 14.42% 30.84% 54.74%-0.81 -5.0 17
1979-09-23 Halmia W 3-031.7 1548 1291 68.73% 25.72% 5.55%+1.97 +6.1 29
1979-09-23 @ Malmo L 0-331.7 1291 1548 5.55% 25.72% 68.73%-1.97 -6.1 7
1979-09-23 Oster D 1-165.1 1566 1550 50.67% 31.46% 17.87%+0.56 -2.1 26
1979-09-23 @ Norrkoping D 1-165.1 1550 1566 17.87% 31.46% 50.67%-0.56 +2.1 25
1979-09-30 Norrkoping D 2-267.3 1457 1564 35.73% 31.99% 32.28%-0.16 -0.1 18
1979-09-30 @ AIK Stockholm D 2-267.3 1564 1457 32.28% 31.99% 35.73%+0.16 +0.1 27
1979-09-30 Elfsborg W 1-054.4 1457 1589 32.28% 31.87% 35.85%-0.31 +11.1 21
1979-09-30 @ Atvidaberg L 0-154.4 1589 1457 35.85% 31.87% 32.28%+0.31 -11.1 29
1979-09-30 Djurgarden W 2-152.6 1618 1466 62.09% 28.82% 9.09%+1.36 +3.5 29
1979-09-30 @ Goteborg L 1-252.6 1466 1618 9.09% 28.82% 62.09%-1.36 -3.5 18
1979-09-30 Hammarby D 2-262.9 1285 1587 14.78% 29.06% 56.17%-1.30 +2.0 8
1979-09-30 @ Halmia D 2-262.9 1587 1285 56.17% 29.06% 14.78%+1.30 -2.0 28
1979-09-30 Halmstad D 1-162.5 1443 1600 29.01% 31.66% 39.33%-0.45 +0.6 19
1979-09-30 @ Landskrona D 1-162.5 1600 1443 39.33% 31.66% 29.01%+0.45 -0.6 31
1979-09-30 Kalmar L 0-355.6 1554 1526 51.87% 31.31% 16.83%+0.63 -41.2 29
1979-09-30 @ Malmo W 3-055.6 1526 1554 16.83% 31.31% 51.87%-0.63 +41.2 22
1979-09-30 IFK Sundsvall D 1-160.7 1552 1425 60.37% 29.42% 10.21%+1.22 -3.4 26
1979-09-30 @ Oster D 1-160.7 1425 1552 10.21% 29.42% 60.37%-1.22 +3.4 17
1979-10-13 Landskrona W 2-149.5 1463 1444 50.98% 31.42% 17.60%+0.58 +6.3 20
1979-10-13 @ Djurgarden L 1-249.5 1444 1463 17.60% 31.42% 50.98%-0.58 -6.3 19
1979-10-14 AIK Stockholm L 0-160.6 1578 1457 59.84% 29.59% 10.58%+1.17 -17.2 29
1979-10-14 @ Elfsborg W 1-060.6 1457 1578 10.58% 29.59% 59.84%-1.17 +17.2 20
1979-10-14 Oster D 0-061.3 1599 1549 53.97% 30.98% 15.05%+0.76 -2.8 32
1979-10-14 @ Halmstad D 0-061.3 1549 1599 15.05% 30.98% 53.97%-0.76 +2.8 27
1979-10-14 Malmo L 0-161.9 1585 1512 55.94% 30.60% 13.46%+0.89 -16.1 28
1979-10-14 @ Hammarby W 1-061.9 1512 1585 13.46% 30.60% 55.94%-0.89 +16.1 31
1979-10-14 Atvidaberg W 2-042.4 1428 1468 44.49% 31.94% 23.57%+0.23 +15.7 19
1979-10-14 @ IFK Sundsvall L 0-242.4 1468 1428 23.57% 31.94% 44.49%-0.23 -15.7 21
1979-10-14 Goteborg L 1-266.6 1567 1621 42.68% 32.00% 25.31%+0.15 -12.0 22
1979-10-14 @ Kalmar W 2-166.6 1621 1567 25.31% 32.00% 42.68%-0.15 +12.0 31
1979-10-14 Halmia D 1-157.8 1565 1287 69.93% 25.03% 5.04%+2.09 -4.5 28
1979-10-14 @ Norrkoping D 1-157.8 1287 1565 5.04% 25.03% 69.93%-2.09 +4.5 9
1979-10-20 IFK Sundsvall L 0-251.5 1474 1444 52.10% 31.27% 16.63%+0.65 -28.5 20
1979-10-20 @ AIK Stockholm W 2-051.5 1444 1474 16.63% 31.27% 52.10%-0.65 +28.5 21
1979-10-20 Halmstad L 1-258.7 1452 1596 30.63% 31.78% 37.59%-0.38 -9.4 21
1979-10-20 @ Atvidaberg W 2-158.7 1596 1452 37.59% 31.78% 30.63%+0.38 +9.4 34
1979-10-20 Landskrona W 2-042.5 1633 1437 65.06% 27.59% 7.35%+1.62 +5.7 33
1979-10-20 @ Goteborg L 0-242.5 1437 1633 7.35% 27.59% 65.06%-1.62 -5.7 19
1979-10-20 Elfsborg L 1-441.7 1292 1560 17.27% 29.84% 52.90%-1.11 -14.8 9
1979-10-20 @ Halmia W 4-141.7 1560 1292 52.90% 29.84% 17.27%+1.11 +14.8 31
1979-10-20 Hammarby W 3-263.1 1555 1569 47.50% 31.76% 20.74%+0.39 +6.8 24
1979-10-20 @ Kalmar L 2-363.1 1569 1555 20.74% 31.76% 47.50%-0.39 -6.8 28
1979-10-20 Norrkoping D 1-164.0 1529 1560 45.47% 31.89% 22.63%+0.28 -1.4 32
1979-10-20 @ Malmo D 1-164.0 1560 1529 22.63% 31.89% 45.47%-0.28 +1.4 29
1979-10-20 Djurgarden D 2-267.8 1552 1469 56.83% 30.40% 12.77%+0.95 -2.2 28
1979-10-20 @ Oster D 2-267.8 1469 1552 12.77% 30.40% 56.83%-0.95 +2.2 21
1979-10-28 Atvidaberg D 0-053.1 1471 1443 51.91% 31.30% 16.79%+0.63 -2.5 22
1979-10-28 @ Djurgarden D 0-053.1 1443 1471 16.79% 31.30% 51.91%-0.63 +2.5 22
1979-10-28 Malmo W 3-152.7 1575 1527 53.77% 31.01% 15.22%+0.75 +9.7 33
1979-10-28 @ Elfsborg L 1-352.7 1527 1575 15.22% 31.01% 53.77%-0.75 -9.7 32
1979-10-28 AIK Stockholm W 2-042.6 1606 1446 62.68% 28.60% 8.72%+1.41 +6.8 36
1979-10-28 @ Halmstad L 0-242.6 1446 1606 8.72% 28.60% 62.68%-1.41 -6.8 20
1979-10-28 Goteborg L 2-371.0 1562 1639 39.78% 32.04% 28.18%+0.01 -10.8 28
1979-10-28 @ Hammarby W 3-271.0 1639 1562 28.18% 32.04% 39.78%-0.01 +10.8 35
1979-10-28 Halmia W 1-035.6 1472 1277 65.02% 27.61% 7.37%+1.61 +3.0 23
1979-10-28 @ IFK Sundsvall L 0-135.6 1277 1472 7.37% 27.61% 65.02%-1.61 -3.0 9
1979-10-28 Oster W 2-157.2 1432 1550 34.23% 31.95% 33.82%-0.22 +10.1 21
1979-10-28 @ Landskrona L 1-257.2 1550 1432 33.82% 31.95% 34.23%+0.22 -10.1 28
1979-10-28 Kalmar W 2-049.1 1561 1562 48.97% 31.64% 19.39%+0.47 +13.6 31
1979-10-28 @ Norrkoping L 0-249.1 1562 1561 19.39% 31.64% 48.97%-0.47 -13.6 24

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1979-10-14 10.58% AIK Stockholm 1457 1 @ Elfsborg 1578 0
2 1979-05-07 11.96% AIK Stockholm 1432 1 @ IFK Sundsvall 1528 0
3 1979-06-25 13.16% Djurgarden 1517 1 @ Elfsborg 1594 0
4 1979-05-03 13.36% Hammarby 1472 2 @ Goteborg 1546 1
5 1979-10-14 13.46% Malmo 1512 1 @ Hammarby 1585 0
6 1979-06-13 14.52% Oster 1530 2 @ Malmo 1587 0
7 1979-04-22 15.23% Halmia 1440 1 @ Hammarby 1488 0
8 1979-07-04 16.63% Malmo 1503 1 @ Djurgarden 1533 0
9 1979-10-20 16.63% IFK Sundsvall 1444 2 @ AIK Stockholm 1474 0
10 1979-05-21 16.77% Hammarby 1452 4 @ Atvidaberg 1481 1
11 1979-09-30 16.83% Kalmar 1526 3 @ Malmo 1554 0
12 1979-08-27 17.32% Norrkoping 1554 3 @ Hammarby 1576 1
13 1979-05-28 17.36% Landskrona 1451 3 @ IFK Sundsvall 1472 2
14 1979-07-01 17.58% Norrkoping 1558 3 @ Elfsborg 1578 2
15 1979-05-17 18.69% Goteborg 1531 2 @ Oster 1538 0
16 1979-06-21 19.54% Goteborg 1559 4 @ Malmo 1557 0
17 1979-04-16 19.62% Norrkoping 1493 4 @ Halmia 1491 0
18 1979-04-29 20.26% IFK Sundsvall 1501 1 @ Atvidaberg 1492 0
19 1979-04-16 22.19% Elfsborg 1525 1 @ AIK Stockholm 1497 0
20 1979-05-31 22.42% Elfsborg 1586 2 @ Goteborg 1556 1
21 1979-06-13 23.01% Atvidaberg 1440 1 @ Halmia 1405 0
22 1979-05-13 23.23% Elfsborg 1523 2 @ Hammarby 1486 1
23 1979-05-03 23.38% Halmstad 1506 3 @ AIK Stockholm 1468 0
24 1979-05-21 24.45% Elfsborg 1533 3 @ Landskrona 1486 0
25 1979-08-20 24.49% Goteborg 1623 3 @ Norrkoping 1575 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1979-08-12 53.52 @ Kalmar 6 1466 36.42% Oster 0 1568 31.57% 32.01%
2 1979-06-21 51.00 Goteborg 4 1559 19.54% @ Malmo 0 1557 48.80% 31.66%
3 1979-04-16 50.92 Norrkoping 4 1493 19.62% @ Halmia 0 1491 48.72% 31.66%
4 1979-09-30 41.22 Kalmar 3 1526 16.83% @ Malmo 0 1554 51.87% 31.31%
5 1979-05-03 36.20 Halmstad 3 1506 23.38% @ AIK Stockholm 0 1468 44.69% 31.93%
6 1979-05-21 35.45 Elfsborg 3 1533 24.45% @ Landskrona 0 1486 43.57% 31.98%
7 1979-05-21 34.80 Hammarby 4 1452 16.77% @ Atvidaberg 1 1481 51.93% 31.30%
8 1979-07-01 33.48 @ Landskrona 9 1421 53.84% Halmia 1 1373 15.16% 31.00%
9 1979-06-13 29.76 Oster 2 1530 14.52% @ Malmo 0 1587 54.61% 30.86%
10 1979-09-09 29.71 @ AIK Stockholm 4 1432 44.57% Atvidaberg 0 1471 23.49% 31.94%
11 1979-10-20 28.50 IFK Sundsvall 2 1444 16.63% @ AIK Stockholm 0 1474 52.10% 31.27%
12 1979-05-17 27.33 Goteborg 2 1531 18.69% @ Oster 0 1538 49.74% 31.56%
13 1979-04-16 25.20 @ Goteborg 4 1519 49.57% Kalmar 0 1513 18.85% 31.58%
14 1979-08-27 24.34 Norrkoping 3 1554 17.32% @ Hammarby 1 1576 51.30% 31.38%
15 1979-08-30 24.23 Hammarby 2 1552 24.84% @ Djurgarden 0 1501 43.17% 31.99%
16 1979-06-18 23.93 Hammarby 2 1511 25.49% @ Landskrona 0 1455 42.50% 32.01%
17 1979-05-14 22.41 @ Kalmar 3 1476 45.06% IFK Sundsvall 0 1511 23.02% 31.91%
18 1979-09-16 21.38 @ Landskrona 3 1425 46.58% IFK Sundsvall 0 1447 21.59% 31.83%
19 1979-05-17 21.33 @ Norrkoping 5 1569 57.87% Hammarby 0 1473 11.99% 30.14%
20 1979-08-20 21.12 Goteborg 3 1623 24.49% @ Norrkoping 1 1575 43.53% 31.98%
21 1979-08-23 19.89 @ Atvidaberg 3 1441 48.71% Landskrona 0 1444 19.62% 31.66%
22 1979-08-30 19.60 @ IFK Sundsvall 3 1434 28.54% Elfsborg 1 1594 39.83% 31.63%
23 1979-06-12 18.65 Goteborg 3 1543 30.92% @ AIK Stockholm 1 1446 37.05% 32.02%
24 1979-05-03 18.20 @ Malmo 3 1556 51.10% Elfsborg 0 1535 17.50% 31.41%
25 1979-05-21 17.95 @ Oster 2 1511 39.49% Norrkoping 0 1590 28.47% 32.04%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1979-08-23 72.7 @ Goteborg 2 1644 60.05% Oster 2 1520 10.43% 29.52%
2 1979-07-01 72.5 Norrkoping 3 1558 17.58% @ Elfsborg 2 1578 51.00% 31.42%
3 1979-08-01 71.5 @ Oster 2 1570 48.57% Hammarby 2 1574 19.75% 31.68%
4 1979-10-28 71.0 Goteborg 3 1639 28.18% @ Hammarby 2 1562 39.78% 32.04%
5 1979-05-14 70.5 @ Malmo 2 1566 51.72% Halmstad 2 1540 16.95% 31.33%
6 1979-05-14 70.1 @ Goteborg 2 1532 44.93% Norrkoping 2 1568 23.15% 31.92%
7 1979-08-05 68.8 @ Halmstad 2 1591 61.71% IFK Sundsvall 2 1445 9.33% 28.96%
8 1979-05-17 68.0 @ Elfsborg 2 1535 52.67% Kalmar 2 1499 16.14% 31.19%
9 1979-10-20 67.8 @ Oster 2 1552 56.83% Djurgarden 2 1469 12.77% 30.40%
10 1979-09-13 67.3 @ Goteborg 1 1637 57.65% Malmo 1 1545 12.15% 30.20%
11 1979-09-30 67.3 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1457 35.73% Norrkoping 2 1564 32.28% 31.99%
12 1979-10-14 66.6 Goteborg 2 1621 25.31% @ Kalmar 1 1567 42.68% 32.00%
13 1979-05-31 66.3 Elfsborg 2 1586 22.42% @ Goteborg 1 1556 45.70% 31.88%
14 1979-07-22 65.6 @ Norrkoping 1 1572 49.75% Elfsborg 1 1564 18.69% 31.56%
15 1979-09-16 65.5 @ Oster 1 1552 45.43% Elfsborg 1 1584 22.68% 31.90%
16 1979-05-07 65.3 @ Hammarby 2 1487 50.29% Kalmar 2 1475 18.20% 31.50%
17 1979-08-20 65.2 @ Halmstad 1 1581 53.47% Malmo 1 1536 15.46% 31.06%
18 1979-06-13 65.1 @ Norrkoping 1 1559 48.79% Halmstad 1 1561 19.56% 31.66%
19 1979-09-23 65.1 @ Norrkoping 1 1566 50.67% Oster 1 1550 17.87% 31.46%
20 1979-05-28 65.0 Landskrona 3 1451 17.36% @ IFK Sundsvall 2 1472 51.25% 31.39%
21 1979-05-03 64.8 Hammarby 2 1472 13.36% @ Goteborg 1 1546 56.06% 30.57%
22 1979-05-21 64.7 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1451 43.24% Kalmar 2 1501 24.77% 31.99%
23 1979-05-21 64.6 @ Goteborg 1 1558 50.30% Halmstad 1 1546 18.19% 31.50%
24 1979-08-27 64.5 Norrkoping 3 1554 17.32% @ Hammarby 1 1576 51.30% 31.38%
25 1979-08-20 64.1 Goteborg 3 1623 24.49% @ Norrkoping 1 1575 43.53% 31.98%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1979-09-23 31.7 @ Malmo 3 1548 68.73% Halmia 0 1291 5.55% 25.72%
2 1979-08-30 32.3 @ Atvidaberg 3 1461 61.75% Halmia 0 1314 9.31% 28.95%
3 1979-10-28 35.6 @ IFK Sundsvall 1 1472 65.02% Halmia 0 1277 7.37% 27.61%
4 1979-07-01 37.3 @ Landskrona 9 1421 53.84% Halmia 1 1373 15.16% 31.00%
5 1979-08-01 37.5 @ Goteborg 2 1620 69.50% Halmia 0 1350 5.22% 25.29%
6 1979-06-18 37.8 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1427 52.56% Halmia 0 1392 16.23% 31.21%
7 1979-05-31 37.9 @ Oster 4 1512 57.32% Halmia 0 1423 12.40% 30.28%
8 1979-08-23 39.1 @ Atvidaberg 3 1441 48.71% Landskrona 0 1444 19.62% 31.66%
9 1979-09-16 39.3 @ Landskrona 3 1425 46.58% IFK Sundsvall 0 1447 21.59% 31.83%
10 1979-09-10 39.4 Oster 2 1538 49.13% @ Halmia 0 1304 20.32% 30.54%
11 1979-08-23 40.0 @ Malmo 3 1539 57.51% IFK Sundsvall 0 1448 12.26% 30.23%
12 1979-05-28 40.4 @ Kalmar 2 1501 55.58% Halmia 0 1433 13.75% 30.67%
13 1979-08-20 40.6 @ Djurgarden 5 1493 62.59% Halmia 2 1334 8.78% 28.63%
14 1979-09-09 40.6 @ AIK Stockholm 4 1432 44.57% Atvidaberg 0 1471 23.49% 31.94%
15 1979-08-23 40.7 Halmstad 2 1578 51.05% @ Halmia 0 1327 18.75% 30.21%
16 1979-07-04 41.7 @ Oster 2 1562 59.79% AIK Stockholm 0 1442 10.61% 29.60%
17 1979-10-20 41.7 Elfsborg 4 1560 52.90% @ Halmia 1 1292 17.27% 29.84%
18 1979-05-17 42.1 @ Norrkoping 5 1569 57.87% Hammarby 0 1473 11.99% 30.14%
19 1979-08-09 42.1 @ Malmo 2 1526 55.69% Atvidaberg 0 1457 13.66% 30.65%
20 1979-04-22 42.3 @ Norrkoping 3 1544 54.90% AIK Stockholm 0 1484 14.29% 30.81%
21 1979-10-14 42.4 @ IFK Sundsvall 2 1428 44.49% Atvidaberg 0 1468 23.57% 31.94%
22 1979-10-20 42.5 @ Goteborg 2 1633 65.06% Landskrona 0 1437 7.35% 27.59%
23 1979-10-28 42.6 @ Halmstad 2 1606 62.68% AIK Stockholm 0 1446 8.72% 28.60%
24 1979-05-03 43.0 @ Oster 3 1535 53.08% Landskrona 0 1495 15.79% 31.13%
25 1979-08-01 43.3 @ Atvidaberg 2 1441 44.33% Kalmar 0 1482 23.72% 31.95%