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1985 Allsvenskan Season

132 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Malmo

30 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Kalmar

5.89 points above expected

28 points · 22.11 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Trelleborg

7.01 points below expected

12 points · 19.01 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Malmo 22 11 8 3 30 29 14 +15 27.30 +2.70
2 Kalmar 22 10 8 4 28 37 30 +7 22.11 +5.89
3 Orgryte 22 9 8 5 26 36 21 +15 22.31 +3.69
4 Goteborg 22 9 8 5 26 38 25 +13 27.78 -1.78
5 AIK Stockholm 22 10 6 6 26 29 19 +10 25.95 +0.05
6 Hammarby 22 9 6 7 24 33 31 +2 22.24 +1.76
7 Halmstad 22 7 7 8 21 25 31 -6 21.21 -0.21
8 Oster 22 9 2 11 20 28 35 -7 21.47 -1.47
9 Brage 22 5 9 8 19 26 28 -2 18.51 +0.49
10 Norrkoping 22 6 5 11 17 26 35 -9 20.59 -3.59
11 Mjallby 22 4 7 11 15 21 41 -20 15.52 -0.52
12 Trelleborg 22 4 4 14 12 23 41 -18 19.01 -7.01

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kalmar 28 22.11 +5.89
2 Orgryte 26 22.31 +3.69
3 Malmo 30 27.30 +2.70
4 Hammarby 24 22.24 +1.76
5 Brage 19 18.51 +0.49

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Trelleborg 12 19.01 -7.01
2 Norrkoping 17 20.59 -3.59
3 Goteborg 26 27.78 -1.78
4 Oster 20 21.47 -1.47
5 Mjallby 15 15.52 -0.52

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hammarby 4 Aug 11 – Sep 3 1 in 107
2 Kalmar 4 Jun 23 – Aug 4 1 in 43
3 Halmstad 3 Apr 28 – May 12 1 in 36
4 Mjallby 2 Jul 7 – Jul 31 1 in 33
5 Orgryte 3 May 30 – Jun 13 1 in 27

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Halmstad 5 Aug 4 – Sep 1 1 in 89
2 Norrkoping 4 May 27 – Jun 13 1 in 63
3 Hammarby 4 Jun 9 – Jun 26 1 in 54
4 Oster 4 Jun 13 – Jul 7 1 in 40
5 Goteborg 2 Jul 3 – Jul 31 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hammarby 10 Jul 3 – Oct 6 1 in 79
2 Mjallby 5 Jun 30 – Aug 15 1 in 59
3 Malmo 12 May 5 – Aug 11 1 in 38
4 Halmstad 6 Apr 21 – May 27 1 in 16
5 AIK Stockholm 9 May 19 – Jul 31 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Halmstad 10 Jun 30 – Sep 29 1 in 36
2 Trelleborg 8 Apr 21 – May 30 1 in 24
3 Mjallby 12 Apr 14 – Jun 30 1 in 20
4 Norrkoping 7 May 12 – Jun 23 1 in 18
5 Malmo 4 Sep 8 – Oct 6 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Malmo 1641 30 -8 5 6.5 -1.5
Kalmar 1540 28 -11 6 5.2 +0.8
Orgryte 1592 26 +51 7 5.5 +1.5
AIK Stockholm 1626 26 +36 7 5.5 +1.5
Goteborg 1643 26 -1 6 6.6 -0.6
Hammarby 1566 24 +29 8 5.4 +2.6
Halmstad 1479 21 +7 5 3.9 +1.1
Oster 1483 20 -25 2 5.1 -3.1
Brage 1504 19 +39 7 4.8 +2.2
Norrkoping 1467 17 -8 3 4.0 -1.0
Mjallby 1386 15 -45 2 3.8 -1.8
Trelleborg 1421 12 -65 2 3.8 -1.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS BRA GOT HAL HAM KAL MAL MJA NOR ORG OST TRE
AIK Stockholm —
1-1-0
3.49
0-1-1
2.64
0-1-1
3.36
0-1-1
3.08
1-1-0
3.01
1-1-0
2.59
1-0-1
3.86
1-0-1
3.51
1-0-1
3.18
2-0-0
3.18
2-0-0
3.55
Brage
0-1-1
1.93
—
0-2-0
1.76
0-1-1
2.83
1-0-1
2.32
0-1-1
2.18
0-1-1
1.67
1-1-0
3.21
0-1-1
2.69
0-1-1
2.22
1-0-1
2.05
2-0-0
2.51
Goteborg
1-1-0
2.76
0-2-0
3.67
—
2-0-0
3.59
1-1-0
3.28
1-1-0
3.41
0-0-2
2.87
0-1-1
4.14
2-0-0
3.61
0-1-1
3.57
1-0-1
3.44
1-1-0
3.90
Halmstad
1-1-0
2.04
1-1-0
2.58
0-0-2
1.83
—
1-1-0
2.32
0-1-1
2.55
0-2-0
1.81
1-1-0
3.58
1-0-1
2.91
0-0-2
2.46
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.88
Hammarby
1-1-0
2.33
1-0-1
3.08
0-1-1
2.13
0-1-1
3.09
—
0-0-2
2.50
1-0-1
1.93
1-1-0
3.46
1-1-0
2.74
1-1-0
2.50
1-0-1
2.92
2-0-0
3.30
Kalmar
0-1-1
2.39
1-1-0
3.23
0-1-1
2.00
1-1-0
2.85
2-0-0
2.90
—
0-2-0
2.01
2-0-0
3.23
1-1-0
2.84
1-1-0
2.66
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
3.38
Malmo
0-1-1
2.81
1-1-0
3.76
2-0-0
2.54
0-2-0
3.61
1-0-1
3.49
0-2-0
3.40
—
1-1-0
4.17
2-0-0
3.57
1-1-0
3.07
1-0-1
3.28
2-0-0
3.75
Mjallby
1-0-1
1.57
0-1-1
2.20
1-1-0
1.31
0-1-1
1.84
0-1-1
1.95
0-0-2
2.18
0-1-1
1.29
—
0-0-2
2.21
0-1-1
1.90
1-0-1
1.90
1-1-0
2.08
Norrkoping
1-0-1
1.91
1-1-0
2.71
0-0-2
1.81
1-0-1
2.49
0-1-1
2.66
0-1-1
2.56
0-0-2
1.84
2-0-0
3.20
—
0-1-1
2.49
0-1-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.75
Orgryte
1-0-1
2.23
1-1-0
3.19
1-1-0
1.84
2-0-0
2.94
0-1-1
2.90
0-1-1
2.74
0-1-1
2.33
1-1-0
3.52
1-1-0
2.92
—
1-0-1
2.82
1-1-0
3.11
Oster
0-0-2
2.23
1-0-1
3.36
1-0-1
1.97
1-0-1
2.91
1-0-1
2.48
1-0-1
2.55
1-0-1
2.14
1-0-1
3.52
1-1-0
2.90
1-0-1
2.58
—
0-1-1
3.13
Trelleborg
0-0-2
1.87
0-0-2
2.89
0-1-1
1.54
1-0-1
2.52
0-0-2
2.11
1-0-1
2.03
0-0-2
1.68
0-1-1
3.33
1-0-1
2.65
0-1-1
2.29
1-1-0
2.28
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.60 +7.7
Allowed 0.75 -5.7
Differential 0.89 +4.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.47%5.68%0.76%1.14%1.14%27.27%
19.47%12.88%8.33%2.65%1.14%1.14%35.61%
25.68%8.33%7.58%1.89%1.14%0.38%25.00%
30.76%2.65%1.89%——0.38%5.68%
41.14%1.14%1.14%———3.41%
5+1.14%1.14%0.38%0.38%——3.03%
Total27.27%35.61%25.00%5.68%3.41%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.33 +0.00
SD 1.26 1.26 1.78
CV 0.94 0.94 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%——4.55%—27.27%
122.73%18.18%4.55%4.55%——50.00%
24.55%4.55%————9.09%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———————
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total40.91%45.45%4.55%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 0.86 +0.45
SD 1.55 1.04 1.99
CV 1.18 1.20 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
14.55%31.82%4.55%9.09%——50.00%
24.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
3——4.55%———4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%50.00%18.18%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.27 -0.09
SD 1.01 0.94 1.38
CV 0.85 0.73 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%4.55%———22.73%
14.55%9.09%13.64%———27.27%
29.09%9.09%13.64%———31.82%
3———————
44.55%—9.09%———13.64%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total31.82%22.73%45.45%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.14 +0.59
SD 1.58 0.89 1.56
CV 0.91 0.78 —
Max 6 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
118.18%13.64%18.18%—4.55%4.55%59.09%
29.09%4.55%13.64%———27.27%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total31.82%22.73%36.36%—4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.41 -0.27
SD 0.64 1.47 1.61
CV 0.56 1.04 —
Max 2 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
14.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
2—18.18%13.64%4.55%——36.36%
3—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%50.00%31.82%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.41 +0.09
SD 1.06 0.80 1.27
CV 0.71 0.57 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%——4.55%4.55%27.27%
14.55%13.64%————18.18%
24.55%9.09%9.09%——4.55%27.27%
34.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total31.82%40.91%13.64%—4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.36 +0.32
SD 1.43 1.65 2.34
CV 0.85 1.21 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%13.64%————31.82%
19.09%13.64%————22.73%
213.64%13.64%4.55%———31.82%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total45.45%45.45%9.09%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 0.64 +0.68
SD 1.17 0.66 1.17
CV 0.89 1.03 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
19.09%18.18%9.09%4.55%—4.55%45.45%
24.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
3—————4.55%4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%31.82%27.27%9.09%—13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.86 -0.91
SD 0.84 1.67 1.80
CV 0.88 0.90 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%13.64%———31.82%
113.64%9.09%13.64%—4.55%—40.91%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—18.18%
3———————
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total22.73%22.73%36.36%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.59 -0.41
SD 1.30 1.22 1.37
CV 1.10 0.77 —
Max 5 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
19.09%13.64%9.09%———31.82%
29.09%9.09%9.09%———27.27%
3———————
4———————
5+4.55%9.09%————13.64%
Total36.36%36.36%22.73%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 0.95 +0.68
SD 1.81 0.90 2.10
CV 1.11 0.94 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%9.09%———27.27%
113.64%—9.09%—4.55%4.55%31.82%
24.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total22.73%36.36%22.73%4.55%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.59 -0.32
SD 1.08 1.53 1.86
CV 0.85 0.96 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%9.09%—4.55%4.55%40.91%
1—4.55%13.64%9.09%——27.27%
24.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
3——4.55%———4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%22.73%31.82%13.64%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.86 -0.82
SD 1.13 1.39 1.89
CV 1.08 0.75 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Goteborg 1660 26 27.78 -1.78 38.0% 15 21 25 28 30 35 39
AIK Stockholm 1626 26 25.95 +0.05 55.0% 15 19 24 26 28 32 34
Orgryte 1622 26 22.31 +3.69 88.0% 14 16 20 22 25 28 32
Malmo 1616 30 27.30 +2.70 77.0% 16 21 25 28 30 33 38
Hammarby 1566 24 22.24 +1.76 66.0% 11 14 20 23 25 28 31
Kalmar 1517 28 22.11 +5.89 97.0% 12 17 19 22 25 28 32
Brage 1504 19 18.51 +0.49 61.0% 9 12 16 19 21 23 28
Oster 1483 20 21.47 -1.47 39.0% 12 16 19 21 24 27 31
Halmstad 1479 21 21.21 -0.21 57.0% 10 15 18 21 24 27 30
Norrkoping 1467 17 20.59 -3.59 15.0% 9 12 18 21 23 26 31
Trelleborg 1421 12 19.01 -7.01 7.0% 10 12 17 19 22 25 29
Mjallby 1386 15 15.52 -0.52 48.0% 6 8 12 16 18 22 28

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+5.30%
No Edge
37.88%29.55%32.58%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 18.44 Elo pts.
210 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.10 goals
Neutral
-2+0.09+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.4
Top-Heavy
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
38%
Malmo, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Tight Race
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.03 * Some Luck: 3.03 to 4.55 * Lucky: 4.55 to 6.07 * Wild Swing: 6.07 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.75 * Close: 1.75 to 2.62 * Off: 2.62 to 3.5 * Way Off: 3.5 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.25 points
Some Luck
03.799
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.67
Pinpoint
02.195
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.00%
Kalmar
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
7.00%
Trelleborg
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Balanced
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 86.19
1.41
Moderate Separation
0.951.41.652.75
Interquartile Edge
67%
Clear Edge
50%63%71.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
82%
Even
50%85%100%
Close Games
Expected
69%
Very Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
11%
Rare
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.642
Matchup Imbalance
0.26
Very Even
00.30.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.76
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.46
Some Carryover
00.380.530.691
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Upset-Prone
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Solid Favorites
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.16 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.16 to 0.23 * Above Noise: 0.23 to 0.31 * Well Above Noise: 0.31 and up.
Probability calibration
0.83
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.02
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.076
Well Within Noise
00.1550.4

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

Orgryte 7
Kalmar 3

Leg 1: Orgryte 4-2 Kalmar

Leg 2: Kalmar 1-3 Orgryte

Sim: 2.0%

Goteborg 4
Malmo 1

Leg 1: Goteborg 2-1 Malmo

Leg 2: Malmo 0-2 Goteborg

Sim: 15.0%

Finals

Orgryte 6
Goteborg 5

Leg 1: Goteborg 2-4 Orgryte

Leg 2: Orgryte 2-3 Goteborg

Sim: 2.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Malmo38.00%20.00%11.00%9.00%7.00%7.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%—1.00%—
Kalmar3.00%5.00%7.00%17.00%11.00%7.00%14.00%8.00%16.00%4.00%6.00%2.00%
Orgryte1.00%7.00%16.00%10.00%15.00%12.00%8.00%7.00%7.00%12.00%5.00%—
Goteborg35.00%28.00%11.00%12.00%8.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%—1.00%1.00%—
AIK Stockholm17.00%18.00%21.00%17.00%8.00%9.00%3.00%3.00%—2.00%2.00%—
Hammarby1.00%7.00%14.00%9.00%13.00%12.00%12.00%8.00%8.00%6.00%6.00%4.00%
Halmstad2.00%4.00%11.00%9.00%4.00%9.00%9.00%9.00%18.00%12.00%10.00%3.00%
Oster—6.00%6.00%8.00%10.00%8.00%9.00%22.00%11.00%11.00%6.00%3.00%
Brage—1.00%1.00%1.00%6.00%11.00%10.00%10.00%11.00%18.00%16.00%15.00%
Norrkoping2.00%2.00%2.00%6.00%9.00%12.00%16.00%14.00%12.00%10.00%5.00%10.00%
Mjallby1.00%———2.00%1.00%5.00%5.00%6.00%11.00%22.00%47.00%
Trelleborg—2.00%—2.00%7.00%10.00%8.00%12.00%10.00%13.00%20.00%16.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Goteborg — —
Kalmar — —
Malmo — —
Orgryte — —
AIK Stockholm 25.00% 2.00%
Oster 71.00% 9.00%
Hammarby 59.00% 10.00%
Halmstad 61.00% 13.00%
Norrkoping 73.00% 15.00%
Brage 66.00% 31.00%
Trelleborg 60.00% 36.00%
Mjallby 30.00% 69.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
AIK StockholmBrageGoteborgHalmstadHammarbyKalmarMalmoMjallbyNorrkopingOrgryteOsterTrelleborg
AIK Stockholm100.0%2.00%43.8%16.00%50.0%2.00%33.3%6.00%33.3%9.00%72.2%18.00%0.0%1.00%80.0%10.00%33.3%6.00%100.0%1.00%
Brage0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%5.00%
Goteborg56.2%16.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%5.00%71.4%7.00%66.7%12.00%75.0%20.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%3.00%69.2%13.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%
Halmstad50.0%2.00%0.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%16.7%6.00%
Hammarby66.7%6.00%28.6%7.00%0.0%1.00%40.0%10.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%
Kalmar66.7%9.00%33.3%12.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%42.9%7.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%
Malmo27.8%18.00%100.0%5.00%25.0%20.00%100.0%1.00%60.0%10.00%57.1%7.00%100.0%1.00%75.0%4.00%62.5%8.00%75.0%8.00%100.0%1.00%
Mjallby0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Norrkoping100.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Orgryte20.0%10.00%30.8%13.00%83.3%6.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%37.5%8.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Oster66.7%6.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%25.0%8.00%0.0%1.00%
Trelleborg0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
AIK StockholmGoteborgHalmstadHammarbyKalmarMalmoNorrkopingOrgryteOsterTrelleborg
AIK Stockholm40.0%20.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%3.00%57.1%7.00%71.4%7.00%100.0%1.00%
Goteborg60.0%20.00%100.0%2.00%80.0%5.00%40.0%5.00%44.4%18.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%3.00%
Halmstad0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Hammarby0.0%1.00%20.0%5.00%50.0%4.00%50.0%2.00%
Kalmar0.0%3.00%60.0%5.00%16.7%6.00%50.0%2.00%
Malmo42.9%7.00%55.6%18.00%50.0%4.00%83.3%6.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%2.00%
Norrkoping100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Orgryte28.6%7.00%50.0%4.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%4.00%
Oster0.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%
Trelleborg0.0%1.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Semifinals Finals
Goteborg 48.70% 31.70%
Malmo 51.30% 31.00%
Orgryte 60.80% 24.00%
Kalmar 39.20% 13.30%
Loser →
↓ Winner
GoteborgKalmarMalmoOrgryte
Goteborg48.7%100.00%
Kalmar39.2%100.00%
Malmo51.3%100.00%
Orgryte60.8%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
GoteborgKalmarMalmoOrgryte
Goteborg68.9%21.20%62.2%27.50%
Kalmar31.1%21.20%37.2%18.00%
Malmo62.8%18.00%59.2%33.30%
Orgryte37.8%27.50%40.8%33.30%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1985-04-14 Goteborg D 0-060.6 1494 1613 22.92% 29.29% 47.79%-0.48 +1.4 1
1985-04-14 @ Brage D 0-060.6 1613 1494 47.79% 29.29% 22.92%+0.48 -1.4 1
1985-04-14 Kalmar D 0-059.5 1576 1502 47.71% 29.47% 22.82%+0.44 -1.4 1
1985-04-14 @ Malmo D 0-059.5 1502 1576 22.82% 29.47% 47.71%-0.44 +1.4 1
1985-04-14 Mjallby D 1-159.3 1500 1451 44.77% 29.71% 25.52%+0.32 -0.9 1
1985-04-14 @ Orgryte D 1-159.3 1451 1500 25.52% 29.71% 44.77%-0.32 +0.9 1
1985-04-14 Halmstad W 2-155.9 1530 1501 42.13% 29.85% 28.02%+0.23 +7.1 2
1985-04-14 @ Oster L 1-255.9 1501 1530 28.02% 29.85% 42.13%-0.23 -7.1 0
1985-04-20 Orgryte L 0-159.2 1592 1499 49.94% 29.24% 20.83%+0.53 -11.7 0
1985-04-20 @ AIK Stockholm W 1-059.2 1499 1592 20.83% 29.24% 49.94%-0.53 +11.7 3
1985-04-21 Hammarby W 1-053.9 1612 1555 45.75% 29.64% 24.61%+0.36 +6.9 3
1985-04-21 @ Goteborg L 0-153.9 1555 1612 24.61% 29.64% 45.75%-0.36 -6.9 0
1985-04-21 Malmo D 0-059.1 1494 1574 27.31% 29.70% 42.99%-0.30 +0.8 1
1985-04-21 @ Halmstad D 0-059.1 1574 1494 42.99% 29.70% 27.31%+0.30 -0.8 2
1985-04-21 Norrkoping D 0-057.5 1504 1522 35.57% 29.97% 34.45%+0.00 -0.0 2
1985-04-21 @ Kalmar D 0-057.5 1522 1504 34.45% 29.97% 35.57%+0.00 +0.1 1
1985-04-21 Brage D 1-159.1 1452 1496 32.06% 29.92% 38.02%-0.12 +0.3 2
1985-04-21 @ Mjallby D 1-159.1 1496 1452 38.02% 29.92% 32.06%+0.12 -0.3 2
1985-04-21 Oster D 0-058.3 1512 1537 34.73% 29.97% 35.31%-0.03 +0.0 1
1985-04-21 @ Trelleborg D 0-058.3 1537 1512 35.31% 29.97% 34.73%+0.03 -0.0 3
1985-04-28 Halmstad L 0-248.9 1495 1494 38.35% 29.96% 31.70%+0.09 -17.9 2
1985-04-28 @ Brage W 2-048.9 1494 1495 31.70% 29.96% 38.35%-0.09 +17.9 3
1985-04-28 Oster L 0-252.8 1548 1537 39.74% 29.93% 30.33%+0.14 -18.4 0
1985-04-28 @ Hammarby W 2-052.8 1537 1548 30.33% 29.93% 39.74%-0.14 +18.4 5
1985-04-28 Mjallby W 5-042.1 1503 1452 45.05% 29.69% 25.26%+0.33 +30.9 4
1985-04-28 @ Kalmar L 0-542.1 1452 1503 25.26% 29.69% 45.05%-0.33 -30.9 2
1985-04-28 AIK Stockholm L 0-157.5 1573 1580 37.30% 29.97% 32.74%+0.06 -9.3 2
1985-04-28 @ Malmo W 1-057.5 1580 1573 32.74% 29.97% 37.30%-0.06 +9.3 2
1985-04-28 Goteborg L 0-250.2 1523 1619 25.47% 29.56% 44.98%-0.37 -13.3 1
1985-04-28 @ Norrkoping W 2-050.2 1619 1523 44.98% 29.56% 25.47%+0.37 +13.3 5
1985-04-28 Trelleborg D 0-057.4 1511 1512 38.09% 29.96% 31.95%+0.08 -0.3 4
1985-04-28 @ Orgryte D 0-057.4 1512 1511 31.95% 29.96% 38.09%-0.08 +0.3 2
1985-05-04 Hammarby W 2-158.2 1512 1529 35.86% 29.97% 34.17%+0.01 +8.2 5
1985-05-04 @ Halmstad L 1-258.2 1529 1512 34.17% 29.97% 35.86%-0.01 -8.2 0
1985-05-05 Kalmar D 1-165.5 1589 1534 45.48% 29.66% 24.86%+0.35 -1.0 3
1985-05-05 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-165.5 1534 1589 24.86% 29.66% 45.48%-0.35 +1.0 5
1985-05-05 Norrkoping L 0-146.4 1421 1509 26.38% 29.63% 43.98%-0.33 -7.2 2
1985-05-05 @ Mjallby W 1-046.4 1509 1421 43.98% 29.63% 26.38%+0.33 +7.2 3
1985-05-05 Malmo L 1-456.0 1555 1564 36.97% 29.97% 33.06%+0.04 -21.3 5
1985-05-05 @ Oster W 4-156.0 1564 1555 33.06% 29.97% 36.97%-0.04 +21.3 4
1985-05-05 Brage L 0-153.5 1512 1477 42.92% 29.81% 27.27%+0.25 -10.3 2
1985-05-05 @ Trelleborg W 1-053.5 1477 1512 27.27% 29.81% 42.92%-0.25 +10.3 4
1985-05-08 Trelleborg W 2-156.0 1521 1502 40.85% 29.90% 29.25%+0.18 +7.4 2
1985-05-08 @ Hammarby L 1-256.0 1502 1521 29.25% 29.90% 40.85%-0.18 -7.4 2
1985-05-08 AIK Stockholm W 1-057.3 1516 1588 28.39% 29.77% 41.85%-0.26 +10.1 5
1985-05-08 @ Norrkoping L 0-157.3 1588 1516 41.85% 29.77% 28.39%+0.26 -10.1 3
1985-05-09 Orgryte D 0-061.8 1632 1510 53.02% 28.81% 18.17%+0.67 -2.0 6
1985-05-09 @ Goteborg D 0-061.8 1510 1632 18.17% 28.81% 53.02%-0.67 +2.0 5
1985-05-11 Trelleborg D 1-157.8 1414 1494 27.29% 29.70% 43.01%-0.30 +0.8 3
1985-05-11 @ Mjallby D 1-157.8 1494 1414 43.01% 29.70% 27.29%+0.30 -0.8 3
1985-05-12 Halmstad L 0-158.3 1578 1521 45.81% 29.63% 24.55%+0.36 -10.9 3
1985-05-12 @ AIK Stockholm W 1-058.3 1521 1578 24.55% 29.63% 45.81%-0.36 +10.9 7
1985-05-12 Oster L 0-155.2 1535 1534 38.47% 29.95% 31.58%+0.10 -9.5 5
1985-05-12 @ Kalmar W 1-055.2 1534 1535 31.58% 29.95% 38.47%-0.10 +9.5 7
1985-05-12 Goteborg W 2-164.5 1585 1630 31.99% 29.92% 38.09%-0.12 +8.9 6
1985-05-12 @ Malmo L 1-264.5 1630 1585 38.09% 29.92% 31.99%+0.12 -8.9 6
1985-05-12 Hammarby D 1-163.1 1527 1528 37.99% 29.96% 32.05%+0.08 -0.3 6
1985-05-12 @ Norrkoping D 1-163.1 1528 1527 32.05% 29.96% 37.99%-0.08 +0.3 3
1985-05-12 Brage W 2-155.0 1512 1488 41.60% 29.87% 28.53%+0.21 +7.2 7
1985-05-12 @ Orgryte L 1-255.0 1488 1512 28.53% 29.87% 41.60%-0.21 -7.2 4
1985-05-19 Malmo D 1-164.0 1480 1594 23.47% 29.36% 47.17%-0.46 +1.2 5
1985-05-19 @ Brage D 1-164.0 1594 1480 47.17% 29.36% 23.47%+0.46 -1.2 7
1985-05-19 Mjallby D 0-058.8 1621 1414 60.89% 27.03% 12.08%+1.07 -3.0 7
1985-05-19 @ Goteborg D 0-058.8 1414 1621 12.08% 27.03% 60.89%-1.07 +3.0 4
1985-05-19 Kalmar D 1-163.2 1531 1526 39.01% 29.95% 31.04%+0.11 -0.4 8
1985-05-19 @ Halmstad D 1-163.2 1526 1531 31.04% 29.95% 39.01%-0.11 +0.4 6
1985-05-19 Orgryte W 2-157.4 1529 1520 39.48% 29.94% 30.59%+0.13 +7.6 5
1985-05-19 @ Hammarby L 1-257.4 1520 1529 30.59% 29.94% 39.48%-0.13 -7.6 7
1985-05-19 Norrkoping D 2-269.1 1543 1526 40.55% 29.91% 29.55%+0.17 -0.4 8
1985-05-19 @ Oster D 2-269.1 1526 1543 29.55% 29.91% 40.55%-0.17 +0.4 7
1985-05-19 AIK Stockholm L 0-151.7 1494 1567 28.17% 29.76% 42.07%-0.26 -7.6 3
1985-05-19 @ Trelleborg W 1-051.7 1567 1494 42.07% 29.76% 28.17%+0.26 +7.6 5
1985-05-27 AIK Stockholm D 1-163.3 1482 1575 25.79% 29.59% 44.63%-0.36 +0.9 6
1985-05-27 @ Brage D 1-163.3 1575 1482 44.63% 29.59% 25.79%+0.36 -0.9 6
1985-05-27 Trelleborg W 2-046.2 1531 1486 44.21% 29.74% 26.05%+0.30 +13.5 10
1985-05-27 @ Halmstad L 0-246.2 1486 1531 26.05% 29.74% 44.21%-0.30 -13.5 3
1985-05-27 Mjallby D 2-265.1 1536 1417 52.75% 28.85% 18.40%+0.65 -1.3 6
1985-05-27 @ Hammarby D 2-265.1 1417 1536 18.40% 28.85% 52.75%-0.65 +1.3 5
1985-05-27 Norrkoping W 2-157.6 1593 1527 46.86% 29.55% 23.59%+0.40 +6.3 9
1985-05-27 @ Malmo L 1-257.6 1527 1593 23.59% 29.55% 46.86%-0.40 -6.3 7
1985-05-27 Kalmar D 2-267.9 1512 1526 36.26% 29.97% 33.77%+0.02 -0.1 8
1985-05-27 @ Orgryte D 2-267.9 1526 1512 33.77% 29.97% 36.26%-0.02 +0.1 7
1985-05-27 Goteborg W 2-164.4 1543 1618 27.98% 29.74% 42.27%-0.27 +9.6 10
1985-05-27 @ Oster L 1-264.4 1618 1543 42.27% 29.74% 27.98%+0.27 -9.6 7
1985-05-30 Hammarby D 0-060.5 1574 1535 43.47% 29.78% 26.75%+0.27 -0.9 7
1985-05-30 @ AIK Stockholm D 0-060.5 1535 1574 26.75% 29.78% 43.47%-0.27 +0.9 7
1985-05-30 Halmstad W 2-050.0 1608 1545 46.55% 29.58% 23.87%+0.39 +12.6 9
1985-05-30 @ Goteborg L 0-250.0 1545 1608 23.87% 29.58% 46.55%-0.39 -12.6 10
1985-05-30 Brage W 3-259.4 1526 1483 44.06% 29.75% 26.19%+0.30 +6.4 9
1985-05-30 @ Kalmar L 2-359.4 1483 1526 26.19% 29.75% 44.06%-0.30 -6.4 6
1985-05-30 Oster L 1-251.5 1419 1552 21.41% 29.09% 49.50%-0.55 -5.8 5
1985-05-30 @ Mjallby W 2-151.5 1552 1419 49.50% 29.09% 21.41%+0.55 +5.8 12
1985-05-30 Orgryte L 0-250.8 1520 1512 39.40% 29.94% 30.66%+0.13 -18.2 7
1985-05-30 @ Norrkoping W 2-050.8 1512 1520 30.66% 29.94% 39.40%-0.13 +18.2 10
1985-05-30 Malmo L 1-255.5 1473 1599 22.11% 29.19% 48.70%-0.52 -5.9 3
1985-05-30 @ Trelleborg W 2-155.5 1599 1473 48.70% 29.19% 22.11%+0.52 +5.9 11
1985-06-09 Orgryte L 1-652.7 1532 1530 38.47% 29.95% 31.57%+0.10 -34.7 10
1985-06-09 @ Halmstad W 6-152.7 1530 1532 31.57% 29.95% 38.47%-0.10 +34.7 12
1985-06-09 Malmo L 0-251.2 1536 1605 28.70% 29.79% 41.51%-0.24 -14.5 7
1985-06-09 @ Hammarby W 2-051.2 1605 1536 41.51% 29.79% 28.70%+0.24 +14.5 13
1985-06-09 AIK Stockholm L 0-242.6 1413 1573 18.89% 28.67% 52.44%-0.68 -10.4 5
1985-06-09 @ Mjallby W 2-042.6 1573 1413 52.44% 28.67% 18.89%+0.68 +10.5 9
1985-06-09 Brage W 3-150.9 1558 1476 48.71% 29.37% 21.91%+0.48 +10.2 14
1985-06-09 @ Oster L 1-350.9 1476 1558 21.91% 29.37% 48.71%-0.48 -10.2 6
1985-06-09 Norrkoping W 2-047.7 1467 1502 33.22% 29.95% 36.83%-0.08 +17.4 5
1985-06-09 @ Trelleborg L 0-247.7 1502 1467 36.83% 29.95% 33.22%+0.08 -17.4 7
1985-06-13 Goteborg D 1-167.5 1584 1621 32.96% 29.94% 37.10%-0.09 +0.2 10
1985-06-13 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-167.5 1621 1584 37.10% 29.94% 32.96%+0.09 -0.2 10
1985-06-13 Hammarby W 3-262.6 1466 1521 30.51% 29.87% 39.62%-0.18 +8.7 8
1985-06-13 @ Brage L 2-362.6 1521 1466 39.62% 29.87% 30.51%+0.18 -8.7 7
1985-06-13 Trelleborg W 3-151.5 1533 1484 44.69% 29.71% 25.60%+0.32 +11.5 11
1985-06-13 @ Kalmar L 1-351.5 1484 1533 25.60% 29.71% 44.69%-0.32 -11.6 5
1985-06-13 Mjallby W 2-041.1 1620 1403 61.76% 26.76% 11.48%+1.12 +6.7 15
1985-06-13 @ Malmo L 0-241.1 1403 1620 11.48% 26.76% 61.76%-1.12 -6.7 5
1985-06-13 Halmstad L 0-151.4 1485 1497 36.51% 29.97% 33.52%+0.03 -9.1 7
1985-06-13 @ Norrkoping W 1-051.4 1497 1485 33.52% 29.97% 36.51%-0.03 +9.2 12
1985-06-13 Oster W 2-052.1 1565 1568 37.75% 29.96% 32.29%+0.07 +15.8 14
1985-06-13 @ Orgryte L 0-252.1 1568 1565 32.29% 29.96% 37.75%-0.07 -15.8 14
1985-06-16 Kalmar W 6-253.2 1621 1544 48.07% 29.44% 22.49%+0.45 +16.2 12
1985-06-16 @ Goteborg L 2-653.2 1544 1621 22.49% 29.44% 48.07%-0.45 -16.2 11
1985-06-23 Norrkoping D 1-159.2 1475 1476 38.08% 29.96% 31.96%+0.08 -0.3 9
1985-06-23 @ Brage D 1-159.2 1476 1475 31.96% 29.96% 38.08%-0.08 +0.3 8
1985-06-23 Kalmar L 0-153.4 1513 1528 36.07% 29.97% 33.95%+0.01 -9.1 7
1985-06-23 @ Hammarby W 1-053.4 1528 1513 33.95% 29.97% 36.07%-0.01 +9.1 13
1985-06-23 Halmstad L 0-144.6 1396 1506 23.83% 29.40% 46.77%-0.44 -6.7 5
1985-06-23 @ Mjallby W 1-044.6 1506 1396 46.77% 29.40% 23.83%+0.44 +6.7 14
1985-06-23 Malmo D 1-167.6 1581 1627 31.81% 29.91% 38.28%-0.13 +0.3 15
1985-06-23 @ Orgryte D 1-167.6 1627 1581 38.28% 29.91% 31.81%+0.13 -0.3 16
1985-06-23 AIK Stockholm L 1-653.7 1553 1584 33.84% 29.96% 36.21%-0.06 -31.6 14
1985-06-23 @ Oster W 6-153.7 1584 1553 36.21% 29.96% 33.84%+0.06 +31.7 12
1985-06-23 Goteborg L 1-255.5 1472 1637 18.50% 28.59% 52.91%-0.70 -5.1 5
1985-06-23 @ Trelleborg W 2-155.5 1637 1472 52.91% 28.59% 18.50%+0.70 +5.1 14
1985-06-26 Trelleborg D 2-271.1 1642 1467 58.17% 27.77% 14.06%+0.92 -1.8 15
1985-06-26 @ Goteborg D 2-271.1 1467 1642 14.06% 27.77% 58.17%-0.92 +1.8 6
1985-06-26 Hammarby W 3-153.0 1537 1504 42.75% 29.82% 27.43%+0.25 +12.2 15
1985-06-26 @ Kalmar L 1-353.0 1504 1537 27.43% 29.82% 42.75%-0.25 -12.2 7
1985-06-26 Orgryte W 3-050.2 1626 1581 44.24% 29.74% 26.02%+0.30 +19.6 18
1985-06-26 @ Malmo L 0-350.2 1581 1626 26.02% 29.74% 44.24%-0.30 -19.6 15
1985-06-27 Oster W 1-051.8 1615 1521 50.11% 29.22% 20.67%+0.54 +6.0 14
1985-06-27 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-151.8 1521 1615 20.67% 29.22% 50.11%-0.54 -6.0 14
1985-06-30 Mjallby D 2-263.4 1513 1389 53.28% 28.77% 17.95%+0.68 -1.4 15
1985-06-30 @ Halmstad D 2-263.4 1389 1513 17.95% 28.77% 53.28%-0.68 +1.4 6
1985-06-30 Brage W 1-048.7 1476 1474 38.48% 29.95% 31.57%+0.10 +8.2 10
1985-06-30 @ Norrkoping L 0-148.7 1474 1476 31.57% 29.95% 38.48%-0.10 -8.2 9
1985-07-03 Malmo L 0-160.3 1640 1646 37.48% 29.97% 32.55%+0.06 -9.3 15
1985-07-03 @ Goteborg W 1-060.3 1646 1640 32.55% 29.97% 37.48%-0.06 +9.3 20
1985-07-03 AIK Stockholm D 1-165.8 1512 1621 23.92% 29.41% 46.67%-0.44 +1.1 16
1985-07-03 @ Halmstad D 1-165.8 1621 1512 46.67% 29.41% 23.92%+0.44 -1.1 15
1985-07-03 Norrkoping W 2-154.8 1491 1484 39.23% 29.94% 30.83%+0.12 +7.6 9
1985-07-03 @ Hammarby L 1-254.8 1484 1491 30.83% 29.94% 39.23%-0.12 -7.7 10
1985-07-07 Orgryte D 1-162.2 1466 1561 25.55% 29.56% 44.89%-0.37 +0.9 10
1985-07-07 @ Brage D 1-162.2 1561 1466 44.89% 29.56% 25.55%+0.37 -0.9 16
1985-07-07 Kalmar L 1-258.8 1515 1549 33.39% 29.95% 36.66%-0.08 -8.1 14
1985-07-07 @ Oster W 2-158.8 1549 1515 36.66% 29.95% 33.39%+0.08 +8.1 17
1985-07-07 Mjallby L 0-150.6 1469 1390 48.31% 29.42% 22.28%+0.46 -11.4 6
1985-07-07 @ Trelleborg W 1-050.6 1390 1469 22.28% 29.42% 48.31%-0.46 +11.4 8
1985-07-31 Trelleborg W 3-150.0 1620 1458 57.06% 28.04% 14.91%+0.86 +7.4 17
1985-07-31 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-350.0 1458 1620 14.91% 28.04% 57.06%-0.86 -7.4 6
1985-07-31 Brage W 1-048.6 1655 1467 59.35% 27.47% 13.18%+0.99 +4.1 22
1985-07-31 @ Malmo L 0-148.6 1467 1655 13.18% 27.47% 59.35%-0.99 -4.1 10
1985-07-31 Goteborg W 2-056.0 1402 1631 13.61% 27.22% 59.17%-1.01 +25.7 10
1985-07-31 @ Mjallby L 0-256.0 1631 1402 59.17% 27.22% 13.61%+1.01 -25.7 15
1985-07-31 Hammarby D 2-268.8 1561 1499 46.26% 29.60% 24.14%+0.38 -0.8 17
1985-07-31 @ Orgryte D 2-268.8 1499 1561 24.14% 29.60% 46.26%-0.38 +0.8 10
1985-08-04 Halmstad W 4-151.1 1557 1513 44.17% 29.75% 26.09%+0.30 +16.6 19
1985-08-04 @ Kalmar L 1-451.1 1513 1557 26.09% 29.75% 44.17%-0.30 -16.6 16
1985-08-04 Oster L 1-450.3 1477 1507 33.95% 29.96% 36.09%-0.06 -20.1 10
1985-08-04 @ Norrkoping W 4-150.3 1507 1477 36.09% 29.96% 33.95%+0.06 +20.1 16
1985-08-11 AIK Stockholm W 4-053.2 1605 1628 35.09% 29.97% 34.94%-0.02 +31.7 17
1985-08-11 @ Goteborg L 0-453.2 1628 1605 34.94% 29.97% 35.09%+0.02 -31.7 17
1985-08-11 Norrkoping L 1-257.7 1496 1457 43.54% 29.78% 26.67%+0.28 -9.9 16
1985-08-11 @ Halmstad W 2-157.7 1457 1496 26.67% 29.78% 43.54%-0.28 +9.9 12
1985-08-11 Brage W 3-149.9 1500 1463 43.20% 29.80% 27.00%+0.26 +12.0 12
1985-08-11 @ Hammarby L 1-349.9 1463 1500 27.00% 29.80% 43.20%-0.26 -12.0 10
1985-08-11 Malmo D 1-165.1 1428 1659 13.45% 27.16% 59.39%-1.02 +2.5 11
1985-08-11 @ Mjallby D 1-165.1 1659 1428 59.39% 27.16% 13.45%+1.02 -2.5 23
1985-08-11 Orgryte W 1-055.2 1527 1560 33.62% 29.95% 36.43%-0.07 +9.1 18
1985-08-11 @ Oster L 0-155.2 1560 1527 36.43% 29.95% 33.62%+0.07 -9.1 17
1985-08-11 Kalmar W 4-050.8 1450 1574 22.43% 29.23% 48.34%-0.50 +40.7 8
1985-08-11 @ Trelleborg L 0-450.8 1574 1450 48.34% 29.23% 22.43%+0.50 -40.7 19
1985-08-15 Mjallby L 1-264.0 1596 1430 57.37% 27.96% 14.67%+0.88 -12.5 17
1985-08-15 @ AIK Stockholm W 2-164.0 1430 1596 14.67% 27.96% 57.37%-0.88 +12.5 13
1985-08-15 Oster W 2-050.3 1451 1536 26.75% 29.66% 43.59%-0.32 +19.7 12
1985-08-15 @ Brage L 0-250.3 1536 1451 43.59% 29.66% 26.75%+0.32 -19.7 18
1985-08-15 Goteborg D 2-272.3 1533 1637 24.58% 29.48% 45.95%-0.41 +0.8 20
1985-08-15 @ Kalmar D 2-272.3 1637 1533 45.95% 29.48% 24.58%+0.41 -0.8 18
1985-08-15 Hammarby L 0-162.8 1657 1512 55.37% 28.39% 16.24%+0.78 -12.9 23
1985-08-15 @ Malmo W 1-062.8 1512 1657 16.24% 28.39% 55.37%-0.78 +12.9 14
1985-08-15 Trelleborg W 4-256.0 1466 1491 34.76% 29.97% 35.27%-0.03 +13.0 14
1985-08-15 @ Norrkoping L 2-456.0 1491 1466 35.27% 29.97% 34.76%+0.03 -13.0 8
1985-08-17 Halmstad W 1-049.5 1551 1486 46.59% 29.57% 23.84%+0.39 +6.7 19
1985-08-17 @ Orgryte L 0-149.5 1486 1551 23.84% 29.57% 46.59%-0.39 -6.7 16
1985-08-24 Oster W 4-257.3 1636 1516 52.87% 28.83% 18.30%+0.66 +7.9 20
1985-08-24 @ Goteborg L 2-457.3 1516 1636 18.30% 28.83% 52.87%-0.66 -7.9 18
1985-08-25 Brage W 1-048.5 1584 1471 52.13% 28.95% 18.93%+0.63 +5.6 19
1985-08-25 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-148.5 1471 1584 18.93% 28.95% 52.13%-0.63 -5.6 12
1985-08-25 Orgryte W 2-051.6 1534 1557 34.96% 29.97% 35.07%-0.02 +16.8 22
1985-08-25 @ Kalmar L 0-251.6 1557 1534 35.07% 29.97% 34.96%+0.02 -16.8 19
1985-08-25 Hammarby L 1-350.1 1443 1525 27.11% 29.69% 43.20%-0.30 -12.0 13
1985-08-25 @ Mjallby W 3-150.1 1525 1443 43.20% 29.69% 27.11%+0.30 +12.0 16
1985-08-25 Malmo L 2-360.7 1479 1644 18.51% 28.59% 52.90%-0.70 -4.9 14
1985-08-25 @ Norrkoping W 3-260.7 1644 1479 52.90% 28.59% 18.51%+0.70 +4.9 25
1985-08-25 Halmstad W 2-154.5 1478 1480 38.00% 29.96% 32.04%+0.08 +7.9 10
1985-08-25 @ Trelleborg L 1-254.5 1480 1478 32.04% 29.96% 38.00%-0.08 -7.9 16
1985-09-01 Kalmar D 1-161.8 1465 1551 26.69% 29.66% 43.66%-0.32 +0.8 13
1985-09-01 @ Brage D 1-161.8 1551 1465 43.66% 29.66% 26.69%+0.32 -0.8 23
1985-09-01 Goteborg L 1-255.4 1472 1644 17.82% 28.44% 53.73%-0.73 -5.0 16
1985-09-01 @ Halmstad W 2-155.4 1644 1472 53.73% 28.44% 17.82%+0.73 +5.0 22
1985-09-01 Norrkoping D 0-057.2 1541 1475 46.81% 29.56% 23.64%+0.40 -1.3 20
1985-09-01 @ Orgryte D 0-057.2 1475 1541 23.64% 29.56% 46.81%-0.40 +1.3 15
1985-09-01 Mjallby L 0-153.2 1509 1430 48.24% 29.42% 22.34%+0.46 -11.4 18
1985-09-01 @ Oster W 1-053.2 1430 1509 22.34% 29.42% 48.24%-0.46 +11.4 15
1985-09-02 Trelleborg W 2-046.3 1649 1486 57.09% 28.03% 14.88%+0.87 +8.6 27
1985-09-02 @ Malmo L 0-246.3 1486 1649 14.88% 28.03% 57.09%-0.87 -8.6 10
1985-09-03 AIK Stockholm W 3-159.4 1537 1589 30.94% 29.89% 39.17%-0.16 +15.7 18
1985-09-03 @ Hammarby L 1-359.4 1589 1537 39.17% 29.89% 30.94%+0.16 -15.7 19
1985-09-04 Goteborg W 2-166.4 1539 1649 23.89% 29.40% 46.70%-0.44 +10.4 22
1985-09-04 @ Orgryte L 1-266.4 1649 1539 46.70% 29.40% 23.89%+0.44 -10.4 22
1985-09-07 AIK Stockholm L 0-551.0 1550 1573 34.94% 29.97% 35.09%-0.02 -39.1 23
1985-09-07 @ Kalmar W 5-051.0 1573 1550 35.09% 29.97% 34.94%+0.02 +39.1 21
1985-09-08 Trelleborg W 4-043.6 1466 1477 36.63% 29.97% 33.39%+0.03 +30.7 15
1985-09-08 @ Brage L 0-443.6 1477 1466 33.39% 29.97% 36.63%-0.03 -30.7 10
1985-09-08 Halmstad D 2-267.4 1553 1467 49.12% 29.33% 21.55%+0.50 -1.0 19
1985-09-08 @ Hammarby D 2-267.4 1467 1553 21.55% 29.33% 49.12%-0.50 +1.0 17
1985-09-08 Oster L 0-162.8 1657 1497 56.84% 28.08% 15.08%+0.85 -13.2 27
1985-09-08 @ Malmo W 1-062.8 1497 1657 15.08% 28.08% 56.84%-0.85 +13.2 20
1985-09-08 Mjallby W 5-353.9 1476 1442 42.80% 29.82% 27.38%+0.25 +10.3 17
1985-09-08 @ Norrkoping L 3-553.9 1442 1476 27.38% 29.82% 42.80%-0.25 -10.3 15
1985-09-14 Malmo D 0-064.0 1612 1644 33.75% 29.96% 36.29%-0.06 +0.1 22
1985-09-14 @ AIK Stockholm D 0-064.0 1644 1612 36.29% 29.96% 33.75%+0.06 -0.1 28
1985-09-14 Norrkoping W 4-255.6 1639 1486 56.13% 28.24% 15.63%+0.82 +6.9 24
1985-09-14 @ Goteborg L 2-455.6 1486 1639 15.63% 28.24% 56.13%-0.82 -6.9 17
1985-09-14 Brage D 1-159.7 1468 1497 34.19% 29.96% 35.85%-0.05 +0.1 18
1985-09-14 @ Halmstad D 1-159.7 1497 1468 35.85% 29.96% 34.19%+0.05 -0.1 16
1985-09-14 Kalmar L 0-342.0 1432 1511 27.48% 29.71% 42.81%-0.29 -20.4 15
1985-09-14 @ Mjallby W 3-042.0 1511 1432 42.81% 29.71% 27.48%+0.29 +20.4 25
1985-09-14 Hammarby L 1-258.4 1510 1552 32.43% 29.93% 37.64%-0.11 -7.9 20
1985-09-14 @ Oster W 2-158.4 1552 1510 37.64% 29.93% 32.43%+0.11 +7.9 21
1985-09-14 Orgryte L 0-543.3 1447 1550 24.67% 29.48% 45.85%-0.40 -30.3 10
1985-09-14 @ Trelleborg W 5-043.3 1550 1447 45.85% 29.48% 24.67%+0.40 +30.3 24
1985-09-29 Mjallby W 2-149.4 1496 1411 49.07% 29.34% 21.59%+0.49 +5.8 18
1985-09-29 @ Brage L 1-249.4 1411 1496 21.59% 29.34% 49.07%-0.49 -5.9 15
1985-09-29 Goteborg D 1-167.6 1559 1646 26.62% 29.65% 43.73%-0.32 +0.8 22
1985-09-29 @ Hammarby D 1-167.6 1646 1559 43.73% 29.65% 26.62%+0.32 -0.8 25
1985-09-29 Halmstad D 2-271.2 1644 1468 58.28% 27.75% 13.97%+0.93 -1.8 29
1985-09-29 @ Malmo D 2-271.2 1468 1644 13.97% 27.75% 58.28%-0.93 +1.8 19
1985-09-29 Kalmar L 1-256.1 1479 1531 30.96% 29.89% 39.15%-0.16 -7.7 17
1985-09-29 @ Norrkoping W 2-156.1 1531 1479 39.15% 29.89% 30.96%+0.16 +7.7 27
1985-09-29 AIK Stockholm L 1-262.7 1580 1613 33.62% 29.95% 36.43%-0.07 -8.1 24
1985-09-29 @ Orgryte W 2-162.7 1613 1580 36.43% 29.95% 33.62%+0.07 +8.1 24
1985-09-29 Trelleborg L 2-362.9 1502 1416 49.16% 29.33% 21.51%+0.50 -10.3 20
1985-09-29 @ Oster W 3-262.9 1416 1502 21.51% 29.33% 49.16%-0.50 +10.4 12
1985-10-06 Norrkoping W 1-048.7 1621 1472 55.79% 28.31% 15.90%+0.80 +4.8 26
1985-10-06 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-148.7 1472 1621 15.90% 28.31% 55.79%-0.80 -4.8 17
1985-10-06 Brage D 2-272.0 1645 1502 55.15% 28.43% 16.41%+0.77 -1.5 26
1985-10-06 @ Goteborg D 2-272.0 1502 1645 16.41% 28.43% 55.15%-0.77 +1.5 19
1985-10-06 Oster W 1-050.2 1470 1492 35.10% 29.97% 34.93%-0.02 +8.9 21
1985-10-06 @ Halmstad L 0-150.2 1492 1470 34.93% 29.97% 35.10%+0.02 -8.9 20
1985-10-06 Malmo D 0-062.6 1539 1642 24.64% 29.48% 45.88%-0.40 +1.2 28
1985-10-06 @ Kalmar D 0-062.6 1642 1539 45.88% 29.48% 24.64%+0.40 -1.2 30
1985-10-06 Orgryte L 1-643.1 1405 1572 18.34% 28.56% 53.10%-0.71 -19.7 15
1985-10-06 @ Mjallby W 6-143.1 1572 1405 53.10% 28.56% 18.34%+0.71 +19.7 26
1985-10-06 Hammarby L 2-356.9 1427 1560 21.41% 29.09% 49.49%-0.55 -5.5 12
1985-10-06 @ Trelleborg W 3-256.9 1560 1427 49.49% 29.09% 21.41%+0.55 +5.5 24

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
1985-10-19 Kalmar W 4-259.1 1592 1540 45.02% 29.69% 25.29%+0.33 +10.2 1-0
1985-10-19 @ Orgryte L 2-459.1 1540 1592 25.29% 29.69% 45.02%-0.33 -10.2 0-1
1985-10-20 Malmo W 2-163.8 1643 1641 38.56% 29.95% 31.49%+0.10 +7.8 1-0
1985-10-20 @ Goteborg L 1-263.8 1641 1643 31.49% 29.95% 38.56%-0.10 -7.8 0-1
1985-10-27 Orgryte L 1-356.3 1530 1602 28.40% 29.77% 41.83%-0.25 -12.5 0-2
1985-10-27 @ Kalmar W 3-156.3 1602 1530 41.83% 29.77% 28.40%+0.25 +12.5 2-0
1985-10-27 Goteborg L 0-256.4 1633 1651 35.73% 29.97% 34.30%+0.00 -17.0 0-2
1985-10-27 @ Malmo W 2-056.4 1651 1633 34.30% 29.97% 35.73%+0.00 +17.0 2-0
1985-10-31 Orgryte L 2-468.4 1668 1614 45.34% 29.67% 24.99%+0.35 -15.8 2-1
1985-10-31 @ Goteborg W 4-268.4 1614 1668 24.99% 29.67% 45.34%-0.35 +15.8 3-0
1985-11-03 Goteborg L 2-369.6 1630 1652 35.08% 29.97% 34.95%-0.02 -8.0 3-1
1985-11-03 @ Orgryte W 3-269.6 1652 1630 34.95% 29.97% 35.08%+0.02 +7.9 3-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1985-07-31 13.61% @ Mjallby 1402 2 Goteborg 1631 0
2 1985-08-15 14.67% Mjallby 1430 2 @ AIK Stockholm 1596 1
3 1985-09-08 15.08% Oster 1497 1 @ Malmo 1657 0
4 1985-08-15 16.24% Hammarby 1512 1 @ Malmo 1657 0
5 1985-04-20 20.83% Orgryte 1499 1 @ AIK Stockholm 1592 0
6 1985-09-29 21.51% Trelleborg 1416 3 @ Oster 1502 2
7 1985-07-07 22.28% Mjallby 1390 1 @ Trelleborg 1469 0
8 1985-09-01 22.34% Mjallby 1430 1 @ Oster 1509 0
9 1985-08-11 22.43% @ Trelleborg 1450 4 Kalmar 1574 0
10 1985-09-04 23.89% @ Orgryte 1539 2 Goteborg 1649 1
11 1985-05-12 24.55% Halmstad 1521 1 @ AIK Stockholm 1578 0
12 1985-10-31 * 24.99% Orgryte 1614 4 @ Goteborg 1668 2
13 1985-08-11 26.67% Norrkoping 1457 2 @ Halmstad 1496 1
14 1985-08-15 26.75% @ Brage 1451 2 Oster 1536 0
15 1985-05-05 27.27% Brage 1477 1 @ Trelleborg 1512 0
16 1985-05-27 27.98% @ Oster 1543 2 Goteborg 1618 1
17 1985-05-08 28.39% @ Norrkoping 1516 1 AIK Stockholm 1588 0
18 1985-04-28 30.33% Oster 1537 2 @ Hammarby 1548 0
19 1985-06-13 30.51% @ Brage 1466 3 Hammarby 1521 2
20 1985-05-30 30.66% Orgryte 1512 2 @ Norrkoping 1520 0
21 1985-09-03 30.94% @ Hammarby 1537 3 AIK Stockholm 1589 1
22 1985-06-09 31.57% Orgryte 1530 6 @ Halmstad 1532 1
23 1985-05-12 31.58% Oster 1534 1 @ Kalmar 1535 0
24 1985-04-28 31.70% Halmstad 1494 2 @ Brage 1495 0
25 1985-05-12 31.99% @ Malmo 1585 2 Goteborg 1630 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1985-08-11 40.74 @ Trelleborg 4 1450 22.43% Kalmar 0 1574 48.34% 29.23%
2 1985-09-07 39.09 AIK Stockholm 5 1573 35.09% @ Kalmar 0 1550 34.94% 29.97%
3 1985-06-09 34.71 Orgryte 6 1530 31.57% @ Halmstad 1 1532 38.47% 29.95%
4 1985-08-11 31.72 @ Goteborg 4 1605 35.09% AIK Stockholm 0 1628 34.94% 29.97%
5 1985-06-23 31.65 AIK Stockholm 6 1584 36.21% @ Oster 1 1553 33.84% 29.96%
6 1985-04-28 30.89 @ Kalmar 5 1503 45.05% Mjallby 0 1452 25.26% 29.69%
7 1985-09-08 30.73 @ Brage 4 1466 36.63% Trelleborg 0 1477 33.39% 29.97%
8 1985-09-14 30.27 Orgryte 5 1550 45.85% @ Trelleborg 0 1447 24.67% 29.48%
9 1985-07-31 25.67 @ Mjallby 2 1402 13.61% Goteborg 0 1631 59.17% 27.22%
10 1985-05-05 21.32 Malmo 4 1564 33.06% @ Oster 1 1555 36.97% 29.97%
11 1985-09-14 20.40 Kalmar 3 1511 42.81% @ Mjallby 0 1432 27.48% 29.71%
12 1985-08-04 20.06 Oster 4 1507 36.09% @ Norrkoping 1 1477 33.95% 29.96%
13 1985-10-06 19.74 Orgryte 6 1572 53.10% @ Mjallby 1 1405 18.34% 28.56%
14 1985-08-15 19.72 @ Brage 2 1451 26.75% Oster 0 1536 43.59% 29.66%
15 1985-06-26 19.62 @ Malmo 3 1626 44.24% Orgryte 0 1581 26.02% 29.74%
16 1985-04-28 18.37 Oster 2 1537 30.33% @ Hammarby 0 1548 39.74% 29.93%
17 1985-05-30 18.25 Orgryte 2 1512 30.66% @ Norrkoping 0 1520 39.40% 29.94%
18 1985-04-28 17.88 Halmstad 2 1494 31.70% @ Brage 0 1495 38.35% 29.96%
19 1985-06-09 17.36 @ Trelleborg 2 1467 33.22% Norrkoping 0 1502 36.83% 29.95%
20 1985-10-27 * 16.98 Goteborg 2 1651 34.30% @ Malmo 0 1633 35.73% 29.97%
21 1985-08-25 16.77 @ Kalmar 2 1534 34.96% Orgryte 0 1557 35.07% 29.97%
22 1985-08-04 16.58 @ Kalmar 4 1557 44.17% Halmstad 1 1513 26.09% 29.75%
23 1985-06-16 16.20 @ Goteborg 6 1621 48.07% Kalmar 2 1544 22.49% 29.44%
24 1985-06-13 15.82 @ Orgryte 2 1565 37.75% Oster 0 1568 32.29% 29.96%
25 1985-10-31 * 15.79 Orgryte 4 1614 24.99% @ Goteborg 2 1668 45.34% 29.67%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1985-08-15 72.3 @ Kalmar 2 1533 24.58% Goteborg 2 1637 45.95% 29.48%
2 1985-10-06 72.0 @ Goteborg 2 1645 55.15% Brage 2 1502 16.41% 28.43%
3 1985-09-29 71.2 @ Malmo 2 1644 58.28% Halmstad 2 1468 13.97% 27.75%
4 1985-06-26 71.1 @ Goteborg 2 1642 58.17% Trelleborg 2 1467 14.06% 27.77%
5 1985-11-03 * 69.6 Goteborg 3 1652 34.95% @ Orgryte 2 1630 35.08% 29.97%
6 1985-05-19 69.1 @ Oster 2 1543 40.55% Norrkoping 2 1526 29.55% 29.91%
7 1985-07-31 68.8 @ Orgryte 2 1561 46.26% Hammarby 2 1499 24.14% 29.60%
8 1985-10-31 * 68.4 Orgryte 4 1614 24.99% @ Goteborg 2 1668 45.34% 29.67%
9 1985-05-27 67.9 @ Orgryte 2 1512 36.26% Kalmar 2 1526 33.77% 29.97%
10 1985-06-23 67.6 @ Orgryte 1 1581 31.81% Malmo 1 1627 38.28% 29.91%
11 1985-09-29 67.6 @ Hammarby 1 1559 26.62% Goteborg 1 1646 43.73% 29.65%
12 1985-06-13 67.5 @ AIK Stockholm 1 1584 32.96% Goteborg 1 1621 37.10% 29.94%
13 1985-09-08 67.4 @ Hammarby 2 1553 49.12% Halmstad 2 1467 21.55% 29.33%
14 1985-09-04 66.4 @ Orgryte 2 1539 23.89% Goteborg 1 1649 46.70% 29.40%
15 1985-07-03 65.8 @ Halmstad 1 1512 23.92% AIK Stockholm 1 1621 46.67% 29.41%
16 1985-05-05 65.5 @ AIK Stockholm 1 1589 45.48% Kalmar 1 1534 24.86% 29.66%
17 1985-05-27 65.1 @ Hammarby 2 1536 52.75% Mjallby 2 1417 18.40% 28.85%
18 1985-08-11 65.1 @ Mjallby 1 1428 13.45% Malmo 1 1659 59.39% 27.16%
19 1985-05-12 64.5 @ Malmo 2 1585 31.99% Goteborg 1 1630 38.09% 29.92%
20 1985-05-27 64.4 @ Oster 2 1543 27.98% Goteborg 1 1618 42.27% 29.74%
21 1985-05-19 64.0 @ Brage 1 1480 23.47% Malmo 1 1594 47.17% 29.36%
22 1985-08-15 64.0 Mjallby 2 1430 14.67% @ AIK Stockholm 1 1596 57.37% 27.96%
23 1985-09-14 64.0 @ AIK Stockholm 0 1612 33.75% Malmo 0 1644 36.29% 29.96%
24 1985-10-20 * 63.8 @ Goteborg 2 1643 38.56% Malmo 1 1641 31.49% 29.95%
25 1985-06-30 63.4 @ Halmstad 2 1513 53.28% Mjallby 2 1389 17.95% 28.77%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1985-06-13 41.1 @ Malmo 2 1620 61.76% Mjallby 0 1403 11.48% 26.76%
2 1985-09-14 42.0 Kalmar 3 1511 42.81% @ Mjallby 0 1432 27.48% 29.71%
3 1985-04-28 42.1 @ Kalmar 5 1503 45.05% Mjallby 0 1452 25.26% 29.69%
4 1985-06-09 42.6 AIK Stockholm 2 1573 52.44% @ Mjallby 0 1413 18.89% 28.67%
5 1985-10-06 43.1 Orgryte 6 1572 53.10% @ Mjallby 1 1405 18.34% 28.56%
6 1985-09-14 43.3 Orgryte 5 1550 45.85% @ Trelleborg 0 1447 24.67% 29.48%
7 1985-09-08 43.6 @ Brage 4 1466 36.63% Trelleborg 0 1477 33.39% 29.97%
8 1985-06-23 44.6 Halmstad 1 1506 46.77% @ Mjallby 0 1396 23.83% 29.40%
9 1985-05-27 46.2 @ Halmstad 2 1531 44.21% Trelleborg 0 1486 26.05% 29.74%
10 1985-09-02 46.3 @ Malmo 2 1649 57.09% Trelleborg 0 1486 14.88% 28.03%
11 1985-05-05 46.4 Norrkoping 1 1509 43.98% @ Mjallby 0 1421 26.38% 29.63%
12 1985-06-09 47.7 @ Trelleborg 2 1467 33.22% Norrkoping 0 1502 36.83% 29.95%
13 1985-08-25 48.5 @ AIK Stockholm 1 1584 52.13% Brage 0 1471 18.93% 28.95%
14 1985-07-31 48.6 @ Malmo 1 1655 59.35% Brage 0 1467 13.18% 27.47%
15 1985-06-30 48.7 @ Norrkoping 1 1476 38.48% Brage 0 1474 31.57% 29.95%
16 1985-10-06 48.7 @ AIK Stockholm 1 1621 55.79% Norrkoping 0 1472 15.90% 28.31%
17 1985-04-28 48.9 Halmstad 2 1494 31.70% @ Brage 0 1495 38.35% 29.96%
18 1985-09-29 49.4 @ Brage 2 1496 49.07% Mjallby 1 1411 21.59% 29.34%
19 1985-08-17 49.5 @ Orgryte 1 1551 46.59% Halmstad 0 1486 23.84% 29.57%
20 1985-08-11 49.9 @ Hammarby 3 1500 43.20% Brage 1 1463 27.00% 29.80%
21 1985-05-30 50.0 @ Goteborg 2 1608 46.55% Halmstad 0 1545 23.87% 29.58%
22 1985-07-31 50.0 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1620 57.06% Trelleborg 1 1458 14.91% 28.04%
23 1985-08-25 50.1 Hammarby 3 1525 43.20% @ Mjallby 1 1443 27.11% 29.69%
24 1985-04-28 50.2 Goteborg 2 1619 44.98% @ Norrkoping 0 1523 25.47% 29.56%
25 1985-06-26 50.2 @ Malmo 3 1626 44.24% Orgryte 0 1581 26.02% 29.74%