1986 Allsvenskan Season

132 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Malmo

37 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Malmo

10.14 points above expected

37 points · 26.86 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Orgryte

5.90 points below expected

19 points · 24.90 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Malmo	22	16	5	1	37	49	11	+38	26.86	+10.14
2	Goteborg	22	13	5	4	31	44	17	+27	28.41	+2.59
3	AIK Stockholm	22	9	7	6	25	29	21	+8	25.35	-0.35
4	Norrkoping	22	9	3	10	21	30	30	0	20.46	+0.54
5	Halmstad	22	8	5	9	21	25	32	-7	18.91	+2.09
6	Hammarby	22	8	4	10	20	31	38	-7	21.88	-1.88
7	Oster	22	6	8	8	20	20	28	-8	20.07	-0.07
8	Brage	22	8	4	10	20	19	27	-8	20.30	-0.30
9	Orgryte	22	7	5	10	19	33	35	-2	24.90	-5.90
10	Elfsborg	22	5	8	9	18	19	26	-7	20.28	-2.28
11	Kalmar	22	5	7	10	17	22	36	-14	20.14	-3.14
12	Djurgarden	22	7	1	14	15	23	43	-20	16.44	-1.44

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Malmo	37	26.86	+10.14
2	Goteborg	31	28.41	+2.59
3	Halmstad	21	18.91	+2.09
4	Norrkoping	21	20.46	+0.54
5	Oster	20	20.07	-0.07

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Orgryte	19	24.90	-5.90
2	Kalmar	17	20.14	-3.14
3	Elfsborg	18	20.28	-2.28
4	Hammarby	20	21.88	-1.88
5	Djurgarden	15	16.44	-1.44

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Malmo	9	Aug 3 – Oct 5	1 in 417
2	Brage	4	Jun 11 – Jul 20	1 in 104
3	Oster	3	Jul 13 – Aug 3	1 in 57
4	Goteborg	4	May 4 – May 22	1 in 15
5	Djurgarden	2	Jun 4 – Jun 11	1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Orgryte	4	May 29 – Jun 18	1 in 208
2	Djurgarden	6	Jun 18 – Aug 17	1 in 48
3	Halmstad	4	Jun 4 – Jul 13	1 in 42
4	Hammarby	3	May 22 – May 29	1 in 16
5	Brage	3	May 8 – May 18	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Malmo	15	May 29 – Oct 5	1 in 54
2	Goteborg	10	Apr 20 – Jun 11	1 in 22
3	Oster	4	Jul 13 – Aug 10	1 in 12
4	Elfsborg	3	May 25 – Jun 4	1 in 10
5	Norrkoping	3	Sep 7 – Sep 27	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kalmar	9	Jul 16 – Sep 13	1 in 30
2	Goteborg	4	Sep 7 – Oct 5	1 in 21
3	Elfsborg	7	Aug 24 – Oct 5	1 in 19
4	Orgryte	5	May 29 – Jul 16	1 in 18
5	Oster	6	Aug 10 – Sep 13	1 in 14

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Malmo	1805	37	+44	10	6.3	+3.7
Goteborg	1765	31	-18	4	6.7	-2.7
AIK Stockholm	1706	25	+20	7	6.0	+1.0
Halmstad	1586	21	+17	7	4.7	+2.3
Norrkoping	1604	21	-2	5	4.2	+0.8
Brage	1588	20	-2	5	4.8	+0.2
Hammarby	1606	20	-13	4	4.6	-0.6
Oster	1585	20	+4	4	4.4	-0.4
Orgryte	1643	19	-31	3	5.5	-2.5
Elfsborg	1577	18	-21	3	4.8	-1.8
Kalmar	1567	17	-9	5	4.3	+0.7
Djurgarden	1528	15	+19	4	3.7	+0.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AS	BRA	DJU	ELF	GOT	HAL	HAM	KAL	MAL	NOR	ORG	OST
AIK Stockholm	—	1-1-0 3.23	2-0-0 3.81	2-0-0 3.28	1-0-1 2.37	1-1-0 3.43	1-0-1 3.04	1-1-0 3.37	0-0-2 2.51	0-2-0 3.29	0-1-1 2.75	0-1-1 3.48
Brage	0-1-1 2.25	—	1-0-1 3.18	1-0-1 2.72	0-1-1 1.89	2-0-0 2.81	1-0-1 2.39	1-0-1 2.79	1-0-1 1.85	0-0-2 2.83	0-1-1 2.12	1-1-0 2.84
Djurgarden	0-0-2 1.69	1-0-1 2.30	—	1-0-1 2.35	0-0-2 1.52	0-1-1 2.30	1-0-1 2.07	1-0-1 2.43	0-0-2 1.53	1-0-1 2.26	1-0-1 1.71	1-0-1 2.21
Elfsborg	0-0-2 2.20	1-0-1 2.75	1-0-1 3.12	—	0-1-1 1.69	0-1-1 2.81	1-0-1 2.49	0-2-0 2.83	0-2-0 1.78	1-0-1 2.75	0-1-1 2.20	1-1-0 2.74
Goteborg	1-0-1 3.10	1-1-0 3.61	2-0-0 4.01	1-1-0 3.81	—	2-0-0 3.82	1-1-0 3.58	2-0-0 3.74	0-1-1 2.70	1-0-1 3.86	2-0-0 3.19	0-1-1 3.86
Halmstad	0-1-1 2.05	0-0-2 2.65	1-1-0 3.17	1-1-0 2.66	0-0-2 1.68	—	1-0-1 2.35	1-1-0 2.61	0-1-1 1.87	1-0-1 2.59	1-0-1 2.21	2-0-0 2.58
Hammarby	1-0-1 2.44	1-0-1 3.08	1-0-1 3.41	1-0-1 2.98	0-1-1 1.90	1-0-1 3.12	—	2-0-0 2.88	0-0-2 2.15	0-1-1 2.92	1-0-1 2.32	0-2-0 2.94
Kalmar	0-1-1 2.10	1-0-1 2.68	1-0-1 3.04	0-2-0 2.64	0-0-2 1.75	0-1-1 2.86	0-0-2 2.59	—	0-1-1 1.97	2-0-0 2.63	1-1-0 2.21	0-1-1 2.78
Malmo	2-0-0 2.97	1-0-1 3.65	2-0-0 3.98	0-2-0 3.71	1-1-0 2.77	1-1-0 3.64	2-0-0 3.32	1-1-0 3.53	—	2-0-0 3.64	2-0-0 3.02	2-0-0 3.81
Norrkoping	0-2-0 2.19	2-0-0 2.64	1-0-1 3.22	1-0-1 2.72	1-0-1 1.63	1-0-1 2.88	1-1-0 2.55	0-0-2 2.85	0-0-2 1.84	—	1-0-1 2.17	1-0-1 2.87
Orgryte	1-1-0 2.72	1-1-0 3.35	1-0-1 3.79	1-1-0 3.27	0-0-2 2.30	1-0-1 3.27	1-0-1 3.15	0-1-1 3.26	0-0-2 2.45	1-0-1 3.31	—	0-1-1 3.41
Oster	1-1-0 2.00	0-1-1 2.63	1-0-1 3.27	0-1-1 2.73	1-1-0 1.64	0-0-2 2.89	0-2-0 2.53	1-1-0 2.69	0-0-2 1.68	1-0-1 2.60	1-1-0 2.07	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.76	+5.6
Allowed	0.79	-6.1
Differential	0.97	+3.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.61%	8.33%	6.82%	4.55%	3.79%	0.38%	34.47%
1	8.33%	9.09%	5.68%	4.17%	1.52%	0.76%	29.55%
2	6.82%	5.68%	3.03%	0.38%	0.76%	0.38%	17.05%
3	4.55%	4.17%	0.38%	0.76%	0.76%	—	10.61%
4	3.79%	1.52%	0.76%	0.76%	—	—	6.82%
5+	0.38%	0.76%	0.38%	—	—	—	1.52%
Total	34.47%	29.55%	17.05%	10.61%	6.82%	1.52%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.30	1.30	+0.00
SD	1.31	1.31	2.02
CV	1.00	1.00	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	40.91%
1	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
2	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	22.73%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	45.45%	31.82%	13.64%	4.55%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	0.95	+0.36
SD	1.46	1.25	1.97
CV	1.11	1.31	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	45.45%
1	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
2	4.55%	18.18%	—	—	—	—	22.73%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	45.45%	22.73%	4.55%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.86	1.23	-0.36
SD	0.94	1.02	1.59
CV	1.09	0.83	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	13.64%	—	45.45%
1	9.09%	—	—	13.64%	—	—	22.73%
2	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	22.73%	9.09%	27.27%	18.18%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.05	1.95	-0.91
SD	1.17	1.50	2.14
CV	1.12	0.77	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	22.73%	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	54.55%
1	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
2	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	45.45%	18.18%	18.18%	9.09%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.86	1.18	-0.32
SD	1.17	1.37	1.96
CV	1.35	1.16	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
1	9.09%	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	—	36.36%
2	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
4	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.91%	40.91%	18.18%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	0.77	+1.23
SD	1.31	0.75	1.82
CV	0.65	0.97	—
Max	4	2	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	—	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	36.36%
1	13.64%	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	—	36.36%
2	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	18.18%	31.82%	9.09%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.45	-0.32
SD	1.25	1.30	2.03
CV	1.10	0.89	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	9.09%	4.55%	36.36%
1	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	31.82%
2	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
3	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	27.27%	22.73%	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	1.73	-0.32
SD	1.56	1.45	2.38
CV	1.11	0.84	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	45.45%
1	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	9.09%	27.27%
2	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	31.82%	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.64	-0.64
SD	1.20	1.59	1.97
CV	1.20	0.97	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	—	—	—	—	—	13.64%
1	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
2	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
4	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	63.64%	22.73%	13.64%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.23	0.50	+1.73
SD	1.54	0.74	1.55
CV	0.69	1.48	—
Max	5	2	+5
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	13.64%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	27.27%
1	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	31.82%
2	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	27.27%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	31.82%	13.64%	13.64%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.36	+0.00
SD	1.22	1.33	2.07
CV	0.89	0.97	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
1	—	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	31.82%
2	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
4	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	36.36%	13.64%	13.64%	13.64%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.59	-0.09
SD	1.34	1.37	1.87
CV	0.89	0.86	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
1	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	50.00%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.36%	27.27%	13.64%	18.18%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.91	1.27	-0.36
SD	0.81	1.28	1.47
CV	0.89	1.01	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Malmo	1802	37	26.86	+10.14	100.0%	19	21	24	27	30	32	36
Goteborg	1764	31	28.41	+2.59	82.0%	18	22	26	28	31	34	37
AIK Stockholm	1706	25	25.35	-0.35	51.0%	17	18	23	25	28	31	34
Orgryte	1643	19	24.90	-5.90	7.0%	16	18	23	24	26	31	38
Norrkoping	1607	21	20.46	+0.54	64.0%	12	14	18	21	23	26	32
Hammarby	1606	20	21.88	-1.88	38.0%	11	16	19	22	25	28	32
Brage	1588	20	20.30	-0.30	58.0%	14	15	18	20	23	26	31
Halmstad	1586	21	18.91	+2.09	76.0%	7	12	17	19	21	25	29
Oster	1585	20	20.07	-0.07	55.0%	10	14	17	20	23	27	28
Elfsborg	1577	18	20.28	-2.28	32.0%	13	15	18	20	23	26	28
Kalmar	1567	17	20.14	-3.14	28.0%	11	12	17	20	23	26	30
Djurgarden	1528	15	16.44	-1.44	37.0%	6	10	14	17	19	23	25

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+17.42%

Clear Edge

46.97%23.48%29.55%

Elo Value

Home Edge

132 Elo

0.008 goals per Elo point

061.16400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.44 goals

Neutral

-2+0.46+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.7

Top-Heavy

134510

Champion Preseason Odds

28%

Malmo, 2nd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.27/gm

Runaway

00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.97 * Some Luck: 2.97 to 4.46 * Lucky: 4.46 to 5.95 * Wild Swing: 5.95 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.76 * Close: 1.76 to 2.64 * Off: 2.64 to 3.52 * Way Off: 3.52 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

3.76 points

Some Luck

03.729

Average Finish Error

Expected

2.00

02.205

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

100.00%

Malmo

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

7.00%

Orgryte

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.14

Balanced

00.140.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 84.64

1.52

Moderate Separation

0.951.41.652.75

Interquartile Edge

61%

Even

50%63%71.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

83%

Even

50%84%100%

Close Games

Expected

54%

Some Drama

0%54%100%

Blowouts

Expected

23%

Frequent

0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.60

Predictable

00.612

Matchup Imbalance

0.36

Notable Separation

00.30.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.02

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.45

Some Carryover

00.380.530.691

Upset Rate

Expected

23%

As Expected

0%24%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

22%

Shaky Favorites

0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.

Probability calibration

0.75

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.15

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.077

Well Within Noise

00.1310.3

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

Goteborg 1

AIK Stockholm 1

Leg 1: AIK Stockholm 0-0 Goteborg

Leg 2: Goteborg 1-1 AIK Stockholm

Norrkoping 2

Malmo 2

Leg 1: Norrkoping 2-2 Malmo

Leg 2: Malmo 0-0 Norrkoping

Finals

Malmo 5

AIK Stockholm 3

Leg 1: AIK Stockholm 1-0 Malmo

Leg 2: Malmo 5-2 AIK Stockholm

Sim: 8.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Malmo	28.00%	24.00%	19.00%	11.00%	7.00%	6.00%	2.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—
Goteborg	39.00%	28.00%	13.00%	11.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	—	1.00%	—	—
AIK Stockholm	14.00%	19.00%	16.00%	10.00%	13.00%	10.00%	7.00%	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—
Norrkoping	—	3.00%	8.00%	5.00%	10.00%	9.00%	16.00%	18.00%	7.00%	7.00%	10.00%	7.00%
Halmstad	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	9.00%	7.00%	9.00%	12.00%	14.00%	14.00%	15.00%	14.00%
Hammarby	5.00%	5.00%	11.00%	8.00%	8.00%	16.00%	6.00%	11.00%	8.00%	14.00%	3.00%	5.00%
Oster	—	4.00%	4.00%	8.00%	12.00%	4.00%	9.00%	11.00%	15.00%	13.00%	11.00%	9.00%
Brage	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	10.00%	7.00%	10.00%	8.00%	18.00%	18.00%	10.00%	10.00%	5.00%
Orgryte	12.00%	12.00%	14.00%	18.00%	13.00%	14.00%	6.00%	6.00%	3.00%	—	2.00%	—
Elfsborg	—	2.00%	3.00%	8.00%	10.00%	10.00%	17.00%	5.00%	13.00%	13.00%	12.00%	7.00%
Kalmar	—	1.00%	6.00%	8.00%	8.00%	10.00%	13.00%	7.00%	9.00%	13.00%	13.00%	12.00%
Djurgarden	—	—	3.00%	—	1.00%	2.00%	6.00%	2.00%	10.00%	13.00%	22.00%	41.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
AIK Stockholm	—	—
Goteborg	—	—
Malmo	—	—
Norrkoping	—	—
Orgryte	42.00%	2.00%
Hammarby	63.00%	8.00%
Brage	71.00%	15.00%
Elfsborg	68.00%	19.00%
Oster	64.00%	20.00%
Kalmar	60.00%	25.00%
Halmstad	65.00%	29.00%
Djurgarden	34.00%	63.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	AIK Stockholm	Brage	Djurgarden	Elfsborg	Goteborg	Halmstad	Hammarby	Kalmar	Malmo	Norrkoping	Orgryte	Oster
AIK Stockholm		25.0%4.00%		33.3%3.00%	50.0%14.00%	0.0%1.00%	44.4%9.00%	100.0%1.00%	36.8%19.00%	50.0%2.00%	50.0%10.00%	100.0%2.00%
Brage	75.0%4.00%				0.0%2.00%				16.7%6.00%		0.0%3.00%	0.0%1.00%
Djurgarden					0.0%1.00%		0.0%1.00%	0.0%1.00%
Elfsborg	66.7%3.00%				16.7%6.00%	0.0%1.00%	0.0%1.00%		0.0%2.00%	0.0%1.00%	100.0%1.00%
Goteborg	50.0%14.00%	100.0%2.00%	100.0%1.00%	83.3%6.00%		0.0%2.00%	78.6%14.00%	66.7%3.00%	43.8%16.00%	66.7%3.00%	82.4%17.00%	50.0%2.00%
Halmstad	100.0%1.00%			100.0%1.00%	100.0%2.00%			100.0%1.00%	50.0%2.00%		0.0%2.00%
Hammarby	55.6%9.00%		100.0%1.00%	100.0%1.00%	21.4%14.00%				14.3%7.00%		50.0%2.00%	100.0%1.00%
Kalmar	0.0%1.00%		100.0%1.00%		33.3%3.00%	0.0%1.00%			0.0%4.00%		0.0%2.00%
Malmo	63.2%19.00%	83.3%6.00%		100.0%2.00%	56.2%16.00%	50.0%2.00%	85.7%7.00%	100.0%4.00%		50.0%2.00%	73.7%19.00%	100.0%4.00%
Norrkoping	50.0%2.00%			100.0%1.00%	33.3%3.00%				50.0%2.00%		50.0%2.00%
Orgryte	50.0%10.00%	100.0%3.00%		0.0%1.00%	17.6%17.00%	100.0%2.00%	50.0%2.00%	100.0%2.00%	26.3%19.00%	50.0%2.00%		66.7%3.00%
Oster	0.0%2.00%	100.0%1.00%			50.0%2.00%		0.0%1.00%		0.0%4.00%		33.3%3.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	AIK Stockholm	Brage	Elfsborg	Goteborg	Halmstad	Hammarby	Kalmar	Malmo	Norrkoping	Orgryte	Oster
AIK Stockholm				62.5%8.00%	100.0%1.00%	66.7%3.00%		38.5%13.00%		66.7%3.00%	100.0%1.00%
Brage				0.0%1.00%		0.0%1.00%		0.0%1.00%		0.0%1.00%
Elfsborg						0.0%1.00%	0.0%1.00%	0.0%2.00%
Goteborg	37.5%8.00%	100.0%1.00%			50.0%2.00%	75.0%4.00%		34.6%26.00%	100.0%1.00%	70.0%10.00%
Halmstad	0.0%1.00%			50.0%2.00%		100.0%1.00%		0.0%2.00%
Hammarby	33.3%3.00%	100.0%1.00%	100.0%1.00%	25.0%4.00%	0.0%1.00%				0.0%1.00%	50.0%2.00%
Kalmar			100.0%1.00%					0.0%1.00%
Malmo	61.5%13.00%	100.0%1.00%	100.0%2.00%	65.4%26.00%	100.0%2.00%		100.0%1.00%		66.7%3.00%	87.5%8.00%	50.0%2.00%
Norrkoping				0.0%1.00%		100.0%1.00%		33.3%3.00%
Orgryte	33.3%3.00%	100.0%1.00%		30.0%10.00%		50.0%2.00%		12.5%8.00%
Oster	0.0%1.00%							50.0%2.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team	Semifinals	Finals
Malmo	77.80%	46.10%
Goteborg	58.90%	28.90%
AIK Stockholm	41.10%	17.20%
Norrkoping	22.20%	7.80%

Loser → ↓ Winner	AIK Stockholm	Goteborg	Malmo	Norrkoping
AIK Stockholm		41.1%100.00%
Goteborg	58.9%100.00%
Malmo				77.8%100.00%
Norrkoping			22.2%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	AIK Stockholm	Goteborg	Malmo	Norrkoping
AIK Stockholm			37.6%31.40%	55.7%9.70%
Goteborg			42.9%46.40%	72.0%12.50%
Malmo	62.4%31.40%	57.1%46.40%
Norrkoping	44.3%9.70%	28.0%12.50%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1986-04-19	Kalmar	W 2-1	62.6	1564	1616	42.51%	26.89%	30.60%	+0.07	+4.9	2
1986-04-19	@ Djurgarden	L 1-2	62.6	1616	1564	30.60%	26.89%	42.51%	-0.07	-4.9	0
1986-04-20	Malmo	L 2-5	67.6	1681	1676	49.75%	26.57%	23.68%	+0.50	-15.1	0
1986-04-20	@ AIK Stockholm	W 5-2	67.6	1676	1681	23.68%	26.57%	49.75%	-0.50	+15.1	2
1986-04-20	Hammarby	W 3-1	58.4	1701	1646	55.22%	25.95%	18.83%	+0.88	+5.7	2
1986-04-20	@ Goteborg	L 1-3	58.4	1646	1701	18.83%	25.95%	55.22%	-0.88	-5.7	0
1986-04-20	Elfsborg	W 2-0	52.2	1594	1599	48.63%	26.66%	24.72%	+0.43	+8.3	2
1986-04-20	@ Halmstad	L 0-2	52.2	1599	1594	24.72%	26.66%	48.63%	-0.43	-8.3	0
1986-04-27	AIK Stockholm	D 0-0	66.4	1615	1666	42.68%	26.89%	30.43%	+0.08	-0.4	1
1986-04-27	@ Brage	D 0-0	66.4	1666	1615	30.43%	26.89%	42.68%	-0.08	+0.4	1
1986-04-27	Djurgarden	W 4-0	47.6	1590	1568	51.70%	26.40%	21.91%	+0.63	+14.2	2
1986-04-27	@ Elfsborg	L 0-4	47.6	1568	1590	21.91%	26.40%	51.70%	-0.63	-14.2	2
1986-04-27	Oster	D 1-1	70.7	1640	1599	53.85%	26.14%	20.00%	+0.78	-1.1	1
1986-04-27	@ Hammarby	D 1-1	70.7	1599	1640	20.00%	26.14%	53.85%	-0.78	+1.1	1
1986-04-27	Norrkoping	W 2-1	60.5	1611	1593	51.24%	26.44%	22.32%	+0.60	+3.8	2
1986-04-27	@ Kalmar	L 1-2	60.5	1593	1611	22.32%	26.44%	51.24%	-0.60	-3.8	0
1986-04-27	Goteborg	D 1-1	72.4	1691	1706	47.27%	26.74%	25.99%	+0.35	-0.7	3
1986-04-27	@ Malmo	D 1-1	72.4	1706	1691	25.99%	26.74%	47.27%	-0.35	+0.7	3
1986-04-27	Halmstad	W 3-0	49.1	1679	1603	57.41%	25.58%	17.01%	+1.04	+8.8	2
1986-04-27	@ Orgryte	L 0-3	49.1	1603	1679	17.01%	25.58%	57.41%	-1.04	-8.8	2
1986-05-04	Kalmar	D 0-0	66.7	1666	1615	54.88%	26.00%	19.12%	+0.85	-1.4	2
1986-05-04	@ AIK Stockholm	D 0-0	66.7	1615	1666	19.12%	26.00%	54.88%	-0.85	+1.4	3
1986-05-04	Orgryte	L 1-2	67.0	1605	1688	38.32%	26.87%	34.80%	-0.17	-5.8	2
1986-05-04	@ Elfsborg	W 2-1	67.0	1688	1605	34.80%	26.87%	38.32%	+0.17	+5.8	4
1986-05-04	Norrkoping	W 2-1	59.1	1707	1589	61.27%	24.73%	14.00%	+1.36	+2.5	5
1986-05-04	@ Goteborg	L 1-2	59.1	1589	1707	14.00%	24.73%	61.27%	-1.36	-2.5	0
1986-05-04	Malmo	D 2-2	77.0	1594	1690	36.47%	26.83%	36.70%	-0.27	+0.0	3
1986-05-04	@ Halmstad	D 2-2	77.0	1690	1594	36.70%	26.83%	36.47%	+0.27	-0.0	4
1986-05-04	Brage	D 0-0	65.3	1600	1614	47.38%	26.73%	25.88%	+0.35	-0.8	2
1986-05-04	@ Oster	D 0-0	65.3	1614	1600	25.88%	26.73%	47.38%	-0.35	+0.8	2
1986-05-05	Hammarby	L 1-3	62.1	1554	1639	38.06%	26.87%	35.07%	-0.18	-9.9	2
1986-05-05	@ Djurgarden	W 3-1	62.1	1639	1554	35.07%	26.87%	38.06%	+0.18	+9.9	3
1986-05-08	Brage	W 2-0	53.3	1587	1615	45.65%	26.81%	27.53%	+0.25	+9.0	2
1986-05-08	@ Norrkoping	L 0-2	53.3	1615	1587	27.53%	26.81%	45.65%	-0.25	-9.0	2
1986-05-08	Orgryte	D 1-1	71.4	1599	1694	36.72%	26.83%	36.45%	-0.25	+0.0	3
1986-05-08	@ Oster	D 1-1	71.4	1694	1599	36.45%	26.83%	36.72%	+0.25	+0.0	5
1986-05-11	Goteborg	L 1-2	66.4	1606	1709	35.46%	26.79%	37.75%	-0.32	-5.4	2
1986-05-11	@ Brage	W 2-1	66.4	1709	1606	37.75%	26.79%	35.46%	+0.32	+5.4	7
1986-05-11	Halmstad	W 3-0	49.1	1649	1594	55.27%	25.94%	18.78%	+0.88	+9.6	5
1986-05-11	@ Hammarby	L 0-3	49.1	1594	1649	18.78%	25.94%	55.27%	-0.88	-9.6	3
1986-05-11	Elfsborg	D 0-0	65.4	1616	1599	51.16%	26.45%	22.39%	+0.60	-1.1	4
1986-05-11	@ Kalmar	D 0-0	65.4	1599	1616	22.39%	26.45%	51.16%	-0.60	+1.1	3
1986-05-11	Oster	W 4-1	53.8	1690	1599	58.85%	25.30%	15.85%	+1.16	+6.9	6
1986-05-11	@ Malmo	L 1-4	53.8	1599	1690	15.85%	25.30%	58.85%	-1.16	-6.9	3
1986-05-11	AIK Stockholm	D 0-0	66.1	1596	1665	40.25%	26.90%	32.85%	-0.06	-0.3	3
1986-05-11	@ Norrkoping	D 0-0	66.1	1665	1596	32.85%	26.90%	40.25%	+0.06	+0.3	3
1986-05-11	Djurgarden	L 0-1	67.3	1694	1544	63.95%	23.97%	12.07%	+1.60	-9.5	5
1986-05-11	@ Orgryte	W 1-0	67.3	1544	1694	12.07%	23.97%	63.95%	-1.60	+9.5	4
1986-05-18	Brage	W 1-0	54.6	1659	1601	55.58%	25.89%	18.53%	+0.91	+3.4	7
1986-05-18	@ Hammarby	L 0-1	54.6	1601	1659	18.53%	25.89%	55.58%	-0.91	-3.4	2
1986-05-19	Goteborg	L 0-4	51.7	1554	1715	27.99%	26.25%	45.76%	-0.76	-17.2	4
1986-05-19	@ Djurgarden	W 4-0	51.7	1715	1554	45.76%	26.25%	27.99%	+0.76	+17.2	9
1986-05-19	AIK Stockholm	L 0-1	61.7	1600	1665	40.80%	26.90%	32.30%	-0.03	-6.4	3
1986-05-19	@ Elfsborg	W 1-0	61.7	1665	1600	32.30%	26.90%	40.80%	+0.03	+6.4	5
1986-05-19	Oster	W 3-1	57.7	1584	1592	48.22%	26.68%	25.10%	+0.41	+7.2	5
1986-05-19	@ Halmstad	L 1-3	57.7	1592	1584	25.10%	26.68%	48.22%	-0.41	-7.2	3
1986-05-19	Malmo	D 0-0	66.9	1615	1697	38.49%	26.88%	34.64%	-0.16	-0.1	5
1986-05-19	@ Kalmar	D 0-0	66.9	1697	1615	34.64%	26.88%	38.49%	+0.16	+0.1	7
1986-05-19	Norrkoping	W 3-1	56.6	1684	1595	58.60%	25.35%	16.05%	+1.14	+5.0	7
1986-05-19	@ Orgryte	L 1-3	56.6	1595	1684	16.05%	25.35%	58.60%	-1.14	-5.0	3
1986-05-22	Djurgarden	W 3-2	62.1	1672	1537	62.76%	24.33%	12.91%	+1.49	+2.2	7
1986-05-22	@ AIK Stockholm	L 2-3	62.1	1537	1672	12.91%	24.33%	62.76%	-1.49	-2.2	4
1986-05-22	Orgryte	D 1-1	71.3	1597	1689	37.09%	26.85%	36.06%	-0.23	-0.0	3
1986-05-22	@ Brage	D 1-1	71.3	1689	1597	36.06%	26.85%	37.09%	+0.23	+0.0	8
1986-05-22	Halmstad	W 4-0	47.2	1732	1592	63.22%	24.20%	12.59%	+1.53	+8.6	11
1986-05-22	@ Goteborg	L 0-4	47.2	1592	1732	12.59%	24.20%	63.22%	-1.53	-8.6	5
1986-05-22	Hammarby	W 5-0	50.8	1697	1662	53.15%	26.23%	20.61%	+0.73	+16.7	9
1986-05-22	@ Malmo	L 0-5	50.8	1662	1697	20.61%	26.23%	53.15%	-0.73	-16.7	7
1986-05-22	Elfsborg	W 4-0	49.1	1591	1594	48.77%	26.65%	24.58%	+0.44	+15.6	5
1986-05-22	@ Norrkoping	L 0-4	49.1	1594	1591	24.58%	26.65%	48.77%	-0.44	-15.6	3
1986-05-22	Kalmar	W 1-0	56.5	1585	1615	45.40%	26.82%	27.77%	+0.23	+4.8	5
1986-05-22	@ Oster	L 0-1	56.5	1615	1585	27.77%	26.82%	45.40%	-0.23	-4.8	5
1986-05-25	Orgryte	L 0-2	61.6	1674	1689	47.28%	26.74%	25.98%	+0.35	-13.6	7
1986-05-25	@ AIK Stockholm	W 2-0	61.6	1689	1674	25.98%	26.74%	47.28%	-0.35	+13.6	10
1986-05-25	Malmo	W 2-1	67.6	1597	1714	33.63%	26.70%	39.67%	-0.42	+5.9	5
1986-05-25	@ Brage	L 1-2	67.6	1714	1597	39.67%	26.70%	33.63%	+0.42	-5.9	9
1986-05-25	Elfsborg	D 1-1	72.6	1741	1578	65.04%	23.62%	11.34%	+1.70	-1.9	12
1986-05-25	@ Goteborg	D 1-1	72.6	1578	1741	11.34%	23.62%	65.04%	-1.70	+1.9	4
1986-05-25	Kalmar	W 4-1	55.9	1583	1610	45.79%	26.81%	27.40%	+0.26	+11.0	7
1986-05-25	@ Halmstad	L 1-4	55.9	1610	1583	27.40%	26.81%	45.79%	-0.26	-11.0	5
1986-05-25	Hammarby	W 2-1	63.5	1606	1645	44.24%	26.86%	28.90%	+0.17	+4.7	7
1986-05-25	@ Norrkoping	L 1-2	63.5	1645	1606	28.90%	26.86%	44.24%	-0.17	-4.7	7
1986-05-25	Djurgarden	W 3-1	54.1	1590	1534	55.29%	25.94%	18.77%	+0.88	+5.7	7
1986-05-25	@ Oster	L 1-3	54.1	1534	1590	18.77%	25.94%	55.29%	-0.88	-5.7	4
1986-05-28	Halmstad	D 0-0	62.9	1529	1594	40.77%	26.90%	32.33%	-0.03	-0.3	5
1986-05-28	@ Djurgarden	D 0-0	62.9	1594	1529	32.33%	26.90%	40.77%	+0.03	+0.3	8
1986-05-29	Oster	W 3-0	50.1	1580	1595	47.26%	26.74%	26.00%	+0.35	+12.5	6
1986-05-29	@ Elfsborg	L 0-3	50.1	1595	1580	26.00%	26.74%	47.26%	-0.35	-12.5	7
1986-05-29	AIK Stockholm	L 0-4	58.0	1641	1660	46.77%	26.76%	26.46%	+0.32	-25.6	7
1986-05-29	@ Hammarby	W 4-0	58.0	1660	1641	26.46%	26.76%	46.77%	-0.32	+25.6	9
1986-05-29	Brage	W 4-0	49.6	1599	1603	48.69%	26.65%	24.66%	+0.44	+15.7	7
1986-05-29	@ Kalmar	L 0-4	49.6	1603	1599	24.66%	26.65%	48.69%	-0.44	-15.7	5
1986-05-29	Norrkoping	W 3-0	49.0	1708	1611	59.41%	25.17%	15.41%	+1.20	+8.0	11
1986-05-29	@ Malmo	L 0-3	49.0	1611	1708	15.41%	25.17%	59.41%	-1.20	-8.0	7
1986-05-29	Goteborg	L 0-1	64.5	1703	1739	44.66%	26.85%	28.50%	+0.19	-6.9	10
1986-05-29	@ Orgryte	W 1-0	64.5	1739	1703	28.50%	26.85%	44.66%	-0.19	+6.9	14
1986-06-04	Oster	D 0-0	66.8	1686	1583	59.94%	25.06%	15.00%	+1.25	-1.8	10
1986-06-04	@ AIK Stockholm	D 0-0	66.8	1583	1686	15.00%	25.06%	59.94%	-1.25	+1.8	8
1986-06-04	Djurgarden	L 0-1	62.3	1587	1528	55.68%	25.88%	18.44%	+0.91	-8.4	5
1986-06-04	@ Brage	W 1-0	62.3	1528	1587	18.44%	25.88%	55.68%	-0.91	+8.4	7
1986-06-04	Kalmar	W 3-0	48.5	1746	1615	62.40%	24.43%	13.17%	+1.46	+6.9	16
1986-06-04	@ Goteborg	L 0-3	48.5	1615	1746	13.17%	24.43%	62.40%	-1.46	-6.9	7
1986-06-04	Elfsborg	D 0-0	67.5	1716	1592	61.79%	24.60%	13.61%	+1.40	-1.9	12
1986-06-04	@ Malmo	D 0-0	67.5	1592	1716	13.61%	24.60%	61.79%	-1.40	+1.9	7
1986-06-04	Halmstad	W 2-1	60.7	1603	1594	50.14%	26.54%	23.32%	+0.53	+4.0	9
1986-06-04	@ Norrkoping	L 1-2	60.7	1594	1603	23.32%	26.54%	50.14%	-0.53	-3.9	8
1986-06-05	Orgryte	W 4-3	73.6	1615	1696	38.66%	26.88%	34.46%	-0.15	+4.9	9
1986-06-05	@ Hammarby	L 3-4	73.6	1696	1615	34.46%	26.88%	38.66%	+0.15	-4.9	10
1986-06-11	Norrkoping	W 3-1	59.3	1537	1607	40.14%	26.90%	32.97%	-0.07	+8.9	9
1986-06-11	@ Djurgarden	L 1-3	59.3	1607	1537	32.97%	26.90%	40.14%	+0.07	-8.9	9
1986-06-11	Brage	L 0-1	62.7	1594	1579	50.92%	26.47%	22.60%	+0.58	-7.7	7
1986-06-11	@ Elfsborg	W 1-0	62.7	1579	1594	22.60%	26.47%	50.92%	-0.58	+7.7	7
1986-06-11	AIK Stockholm	L 0-2	57.5	1590	1684	36.84%	26.84%	36.32%	-0.25	-11.2	8
1986-06-11	@ Halmstad	W 2-0	57.5	1684	1590	36.32%	26.84%	36.84%	+0.25	+11.2	12
1986-06-11	Hammarby	L 0-3	57.7	1608	1620	47.68%	26.72%	25.60%	+0.37	-20.0	7
1986-06-11	@ Kalmar	W 3-0	57.7	1620	1608	25.60%	26.72%	47.68%	-0.37	+20.0	11
1986-06-11	Malmo	L 1-4	64.5	1691	1714	46.29%	26.79%	26.93%	+0.29	-16.4	10
1986-06-11	@ Orgryte	W 4-1	64.5	1714	1691	26.93%	26.79%	46.29%	-0.29	+16.4	14
1986-06-11	Goteborg	D 2-2	77.8	1585	1753	27.19%	26.16%	46.66%	-0.81	+0.5	9
1986-06-11	@ Oster	D 2-2	77.8	1753	1585	46.66%	26.16%	27.19%	+0.81	-0.5	17
1986-06-18	Goteborg	W 2-1	66.2	1695	1752	41.91%	26.90%	31.19%	+0.03	+5.0	14
1986-06-18	@ AIK Stockholm	L 1-2	66.2	1752	1695	31.19%	26.90%	41.91%	-0.03	-4.9	17
1986-06-18	Djurgarden	W 2-0	48.4	1731	1546	66.75%	23.02%	10.23%	+1.87	+3.7	16
1986-06-18	@ Malmo	L 0-2	48.4	1546	1731	10.23%	23.02%	66.75%	-1.87	-3.7	9
1986-06-18	Kalmar	L 1-2	72.1	1674	1588	58.39%	25.39%	16.22%	+1.12	-8.2	10
1986-06-18	@ Orgryte	W 2-1	72.1	1588	1674	16.22%	25.39%	58.39%	-1.12	+8.2	9
1986-06-29	Halmstad	W 2-1	60.0	1587	1579	50.03%	26.55%	23.42%	+0.52	+4.0	9
1986-06-29	@ Brage	L 1-2	60.0	1579	1587	23.42%	26.55%	50.03%	-0.52	-4.0	8
1986-06-29	Elfsborg	L 0-2	61.9	1640	1587	55.10%	25.97%	18.93%	+0.87	-15.6	11
1986-06-29	@ Hammarby	W 2-0	61.9	1587	1640	18.93%	25.97%	55.10%	-0.87	+15.6	9
1986-06-29	Oster	W 3-1	57.2	1598	1585	50.63%	26.50%	22.87%	+0.56	+6.7	11
1986-06-29	@ Norrkoping	L 1-3	57.2	1585	1598	22.87%	26.50%	50.63%	-0.56	-6.7	9
1986-07-13	Hammarby	L 2-4	69.0	1602	1624	46.42%	26.78%	26.80%	+0.30	-10.4	9
1986-07-13	@ Elfsborg	W 4-2	69.0	1624	1602	26.80%	26.78%	46.42%	-0.30	+10.4	13
1986-07-13	Brage	L 1-2	67.2	1575	1591	47.26%	26.74%	26.00%	+0.35	-6.8	8
1986-07-13	@ Halmstad	W 2-1	67.2	1591	1575	26.00%	26.74%	47.26%	-0.35	+6.8	11
1986-07-13	Norrkoping	W 1-0	56.0	1578	1605	45.92%	26.80%	27.28%	+0.27	+4.7	11
1986-07-13	@ Oster	L 0-1	56.0	1605	1578	27.28%	26.80%	45.92%	-0.27	-4.7	11
1986-07-16	Malmo	L 0-3	51.3	1542	1734	24.48%	25.78%	49.74%	-1.00	-11.8	9
1986-07-16	@ Djurgarden	W 3-0	51.3	1734	1542	49.74%	25.78%	24.48%	+1.00	+11.8	18
1986-07-16	AIK Stockholm	W 2-0	53.6	1747	1700	54.43%	26.07%	19.51%	+0.82	+6.8	19
1986-07-16	@ Goteborg	L 0-2	53.6	1700	1747	19.51%	26.07%	54.43%	-0.82	-6.8	14
1986-07-16	Orgryte	D 3-3	80.4	1596	1666	40.15%	26.90%	32.96%	-0.07	-0.1	10
1986-07-16	@ Kalmar	D 3-3	80.4	1666	1596	32.96%	26.90%	40.15%	+0.07	+0.1	11
1986-07-20	Brage	L 0-1	58.5	1530	1598	40.51%	26.90%	32.59%	-0.05	-6.4	9
1986-07-20	@ Djurgarden	W 1-0	58.5	1598	1530	32.59%	26.90%	40.51%	+0.05	+6.4	13
1986-07-20	Norrkoping	W 4-2	62.1	1568	1600	45.26%	26.83%	27.91%	+0.23	+7.0	10
1986-07-20	@ Halmstad	L 2-4	62.1	1600	1568	27.91%	26.83%	45.26%	-0.23	-7.0	11
1986-07-20	AIK Stockholm	W 1-0	61.2	1583	1693	34.52%	26.75%	38.73%	-0.37	+6.2	13
1986-07-20	@ Oster	L 0-1	61.2	1693	1583	38.73%	26.75%	34.52%	+0.37	-6.1	14
1986-07-23	Malmo	D 0-0	67.3	1592	1746	28.82%	26.34%	44.84%	-0.71	+0.6	10
1986-07-23	@ Elfsborg	D 0-0	67.3	1746	1592	44.84%	26.34%	28.82%	+0.71	-0.6	19
1986-07-23	Goteborg	L 0-1	58.8	1596	1754	28.39%	26.29%	45.31%	-0.73	-4.9	10
1986-07-23	@ Kalmar	W 1-0	58.8	1754	1596	45.31%	26.29%	28.39%	+0.73	+4.8	21
1986-07-23	Hammarby	W 4-0	50.1	1666	1635	52.76%	26.28%	20.96%	+0.70	+13.7	13
1986-07-23	@ Orgryte	L 0-4	50.1	1635	1666	20.96%	26.28%	52.76%	-0.70	-13.7	13
1986-07-30	Halmstad	D 1-1	71.5	1687	1575	60.74%	24.87%	14.40%	+1.31	-1.6	15
1986-07-30	@ AIK Stockholm	D 1-1	71.5	1575	1687	14.40%	24.87%	60.74%	-1.31	+1.6	11
1986-08-03	Elfsborg	L 0-2	60.0	1604	1592	50.49%	26.51%	23.00%	+0.55	-14.4	13
1986-08-03	@ Brage	W 2-0	60.0	1592	1604	23.00%	26.51%	50.49%	-0.55	+14.4	12
1986-08-03	Oster	L 1-2	74.8	1759	1589	65.58%	23.44%	10.98%	+1.75	-9.1	21
1986-08-03	@ Goteborg	W 2-1	74.8	1589	1759	10.98%	23.44%	65.58%	-1.75	+9.1	15
1986-08-03	Kalmar	W 5-1	52.4	1621	1591	52.56%	26.30%	21.14%	+0.69	+11.5	15
1986-08-03	@ Hammarby	L 1-5	52.4	1591	1621	21.14%	26.30%	52.56%	-0.69	-11.5	10
1986-08-03	Orgryte	W 3-1	58.7	1745	1680	56.32%	25.77%	17.90%	+0.96	+5.5	21
1986-08-03	@ Malmo	L 1-3	58.7	1680	1745	17.90%	25.77%	56.32%	-0.96	-5.5	13
1986-08-03	Djurgarden	W 4-0	44.9	1593	1524	56.68%	25.71%	17.60%	+0.99	+11.8	13
1986-08-03	@ Norrkoping	L 0-4	44.9	1524	1593	17.60%	25.71%	56.68%	-0.99	-11.8	9
1986-08-10	Norrkoping	W 1-0	55.6	1607	1605	49.40%	26.60%	24.00%	+0.48	+4.3	14
1986-08-10	@ Elfsborg	L 0-1	55.6	1605	1607	24.00%	26.60%	49.40%	-0.48	-4.3	13
1986-08-10	Goteborg	L 0-4	52.0	1577	1750	26.66%	26.09%	47.25%	-0.85	-16.5	11
1986-08-10	@ Halmstad	W 4-0	52.0	1750	1577	47.25%	26.09%	26.66%	+0.85	+16.5	23
1986-08-10	Malmo	L 0-1	60.7	1633	1751	33.43%	26.69%	39.88%	-0.43	-5.5	15
1986-08-10	@ Hammarby	W 1-0	60.7	1751	1633	39.88%	26.69%	33.43%	+0.43	+5.5	23
1986-08-10	Oster	D 1-1	69.2	1580	1598	46.88%	26.76%	26.36%	+0.32	-0.7	11
1986-08-10	@ Kalmar	D 1-1	69.2	1598	1580	26.36%	26.76%	46.88%	-0.32	+0.7	16
1986-08-10	Brage	W 2-0	50.7	1675	1589	58.28%	25.41%	16.31%	+1.11	+5.8	15
1986-08-10	@ Orgryte	L 0-2	50.7	1589	1675	16.31%	25.41%	58.28%	-1.11	-5.8	13
1986-08-11	AIK Stockholm	L 0-2	52.7	1512	1686	26.55%	26.08%	47.38%	-0.85	-8.7	9
1986-08-11	@ Djurgarden	W 2-0	52.7	1686	1512	47.38%	26.08%	26.55%	+0.85	+8.7	17
1986-08-17	Hammarby	W 3-1	59.9	1584	1627	43.70%	26.87%	29.43%	+0.13	+8.2	15
1986-08-17	@ Brage	L 1-3	59.9	1627	1584	29.43%	26.87%	43.70%	-0.13	-8.2	15
1986-08-17	Djurgarden	W 3-0	44.5	1766	1503	72.20%	20.65%	7.15%	+2.46	+3.6	25
1986-08-17	@ Goteborg	L 0-3	44.5	1503	1766	7.15%	20.65%	72.20%	-2.46	-3.6	9
1986-08-17	Kalmar	W 1-0	52.4	1756	1579	66.17%	23.23%	10.60%	+1.81	+2.0	25
1986-08-17	@ Malmo	L 0-1	52.4	1579	1756	10.60%	23.23%	66.17%	-1.81	-2.0	11
1986-08-17	Orgryte	W 1-0	60.0	1600	1680	38.73%	26.88%	34.38%	-0.14	+5.6	15
1986-08-17	@ Norrkoping	L 0-1	60.0	1680	1600	34.38%	26.88%	38.73%	+0.14	-5.6	15
1986-08-17	Halmstad	L 0-1	63.0	1599	1561	53.51%	26.19%	20.31%	+0.76	-8.1	16
1986-08-17	@ Oster	W 1-0	63.0	1561	1599	20.31%	26.19%	53.51%	-0.76	+8.1	13
1986-08-24	Oster	W 3-1	58.5	1500	1591	37.18%	26.85%	35.97%	-0.23	+9.5	11
1986-08-24	@ Djurgarden	L 1-3	58.5	1591	1500	35.97%	26.85%	37.18%	+0.23	-9.5	16
1986-08-24	Goteborg	L 0-3	53.8	1611	1770	28.28%	26.28%	45.44%	-0.74	-13.2	14
1986-08-24	@ Elfsborg	W 3-0	53.8	1770	1611	45.44%	26.28%	28.28%	+0.74	+13.2	27
1986-08-24	Halmstad	D 0-0	63.7	1577	1569	50.13%	26.54%	23.32%	+0.53	-1.0	12
1986-08-24	@ Kalmar	D 0-0	63.7	1569	1577	23.32%	26.54%	50.13%	-0.53	+1.0	14
1986-08-24	Brage	W 2-1	58.5	1758	1592	65.34%	23.52%	11.14%	+1.73	+2.0	27
1986-08-24	@ Malmo	L 1-2	58.5	1592	1758	11.14%	23.52%	65.34%	-1.73	-2.0	15
1986-08-24	AIK Stockholm	D 1-1	72.2	1675	1694	46.77%	26.77%	26.47%	+0.32	-0.6	16
1986-08-24	@ Orgryte	D 1-1	72.2	1694	1675	26.47%	26.77%	46.77%	-0.32	+0.7	18
1986-08-25	Norrkoping	D 2-2	76.1	1619	1606	50.66%	26.50%	22.85%	+0.56	-0.7	16
1986-08-25	@ Hammarby	D 2-2	76.1	1606	1619	22.85%	26.50%	50.66%	-0.56	+0.7	16
1986-08-31	Kalmar	W 2-0	50.9	1590	1576	50.74%	26.49%	22.77%	+0.57	+7.7	17
1986-08-31	@ Brage	L 0-2	50.9	1576	1590	22.77%	26.49%	50.74%	-0.57	-7.7	12
1986-08-31	Djurgarden	W 1-0	49.9	1570	1509	55.82%	25.86%	18.32%	+0.92	+3.4	16
1986-08-31	@ Halmstad	L 0-1	49.9	1509	1570	18.32%	25.86%	55.82%	-0.92	-3.4	11
1986-08-31	Malmo	L 0-4	53.2	1607	1760	28.87%	26.34%	44.79%	-0.70	-17.6	16
1986-08-31	@ Norrkoping	W 4-0	53.2	1760	1607	44.79%	26.34%	28.87%	+0.70	+17.6	29
1986-08-31	Elfsborg	D 0-0	64.5	1581	1598	47.14%	26.75%	26.11%	+0.34	-0.8	17
1986-08-31	@ Oster	D 0-0	64.5	1598	1581	26.11%	26.75%	47.14%	-0.34	+0.8	15
1986-09-01	Hammarby	L 0-1	66.9	1695	1618	57.45%	25.57%	16.97%	+1.05	-8.6	18
1986-09-01	@ AIK Stockholm	W 1-0	66.9	1618	1695	16.97%	25.57%	57.45%	-1.05	+8.6	18
1986-09-01	Orgryte	W 4-1	54.7	1783	1674	60.48%	24.93%	14.59%	+1.29	+6.4	29
1986-09-01	@ Goteborg	L 1-4	54.7	1674	1783	14.59%	24.93%	60.48%	-1.29	-6.4	16
1986-09-07	Oster	W 2-1	59.9	1598	1581	51.11%	26.45%	22.44%	+0.59	+3.8	19
1986-09-07	@ Brage	L 1-2	59.9	1581	1598	22.44%	26.45%	51.11%	-0.59	-3.8	17
1986-09-07	AIK Stockholm	L 1-5	57.0	1568	1686	33.48%	26.70%	39.82%	-0.43	-16.5	12
1986-09-07	@ Kalmar	W 5-1	57.0	1686	1568	39.82%	26.70%	33.48%	+0.43	+16.5	20
1986-09-07	Halmstad	W 2-0	48.8	1778	1573	68.24%	22.44%	9.32%	+2.02	+3.4	31
1986-09-07	@ Malmo	L 0-2	48.8	1573	1778	9.32%	22.44%	68.24%	-2.02	-3.3	16
1986-09-07	Goteborg	W 2-0	62.4	1589	1789	23.62%	25.64%	50.75%	-1.06	+14.4	18
1986-09-07	@ Norrkoping	L 0-2	62.4	1789	1589	50.75%	25.64%	23.62%	+1.06	-14.4	29
1986-09-07	Elfsborg	D 0-0	66.6	1668	1599	56.70%	25.71%	17.59%	+0.99	-1.5	17
1986-09-07	@ Orgryte	D 0-0	66.6	1599	1668	17.59%	25.71%	56.70%	-0.99	+1.5	16
1986-09-13	Orgryte	L 3-4	68.9	1506	1666	28.08%	26.26%	45.66%	-0.75	-4.2	11
1986-09-13	@ Djurgarden	W 4-3	68.9	1666	1506	45.66%	26.26%	28.08%	+0.75	+4.2	19
1986-09-13	Kalmar	D 2-2	74.5	1600	1552	54.55%	26.05%	19.40%	+0.83	-0.9	17
1986-09-13	@ Elfsborg	D 2-2	74.5	1552	1600	19.40%	26.05%	54.55%	-0.83	+0.9	13
1986-09-13	Brage	D 1-1	73.3	1775	1601	65.90%	23.33%	10.78%	+1.78	-2.0	30
1986-09-13	@ Goteborg	D 1-1	73.3	1601	1775	10.78%	23.33%	65.90%	-1.78	+2.0	20
1986-09-13	Hammarby	W 1-0	57.5	1570	1627	41.89%	26.90%	31.21%	+0.03	+5.2	18
1986-09-13	@ Halmstad	L 0-1	57.5	1627	1570	31.21%	26.90%	41.89%	-0.03	-5.2	18
1986-09-13	Malmo	L 0-2	54.0	1577	1781	23.20%	25.56%	51.24%	-1.09	-7.7	17
1986-09-13	@ Oster	W 2-0	54.0	1781	1577	51.24%	25.56%	23.20%	+1.09	+7.7	33
1986-09-15	Norrkoping	D 1-1	72.0	1703	1603	59.61%	25.13%	15.26%	+1.22	-1.5	21
1986-09-15	@ AIK Stockholm	D 1-1	72.0	1603	1703	15.26%	25.13%	59.61%	-1.22	+1.5	19
1986-09-17	Djurgarden	L 0-2	60.8	1622	1502	61.46%	24.68%	13.85%	+1.38	-17.2	18
1986-09-17	@ Hammarby	W 2-0	60.8	1502	1622	13.85%	24.68%	61.46%	-1.38	+17.2	13
1986-09-18	Elfsborg	W 2-0	50.8	1701	1599	59.85%	25.08%	15.07%	+1.24	+5.4	23
1986-09-18	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-2	50.8	1599	1701	15.07%	25.08%	59.85%	-1.24	-5.4	17
1986-09-27	Norrkoping	L 0-1	63.0	1603	1605	48.95%	26.63%	24.42%	+0.45	-7.4	20
1986-09-27	@ Brage	W 1-0	63.0	1605	1603	24.42%	26.63%	48.95%	-0.45	+7.5	21
1986-09-27	Halmstad	D 1-1	69.1	1594	1575	51.33%	26.43%	22.24%	+0.61	-1.0	18
1986-09-27	@ Elfsborg	D 1-1	69.1	1575	1594	22.24%	26.43%	51.33%	-0.61	+1.0	19
1986-09-27	Goteborg	D 1-1	72.5	1604	1773	27.09%	26.14%	46.76%	-0.82	+0.6	19
1986-09-27	@ Hammarby	D 1-1	72.5	1773	1604	46.76%	26.14%	27.09%	+0.82	-0.6	31
1986-09-27	Djurgarden	W 3-1	53.1	1553	1519	53.02%	26.25%	20.73%	+0.72	+6.2	15
1986-09-27	@ Kalmar	L 1-3	53.1	1519	1553	20.73%	26.25%	53.02%	-0.72	-6.2	13
1986-09-27	AIK Stockholm	W 3-0	50.6	1789	1707	58.02%	25.46%	16.51%	+1.09	+8.5	35
1986-09-27	@ Malmo	L 0-3	50.6	1707	1789	16.51%	25.46%	58.02%	-1.09	-8.5	23
1986-09-27	Oster	L 0-2	63.2	1670	1569	59.79%	25.09%	15.12%	+1.23	-16.8	19
1986-09-27	@ Orgryte	W 2-0	63.2	1569	1670	15.12%	25.09%	59.79%	-1.23	+16.8	19
1986-10-05	Brage	W 3-0	48.5	1698	1596	59.87%	25.07%	15.06%	+1.24	+7.8	25
1986-10-05	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-3	48.5	1596	1698	15.06%	25.07%	59.87%	-1.24	-7.8	20
1986-10-05	Elfsborg	W 3-0	50.6	1513	1593	38.73%	26.88%	34.39%	-0.14	+15.4	15
1986-10-05	@ Djurgarden	L 0-3	50.6	1593	1513	34.39%	26.88%	38.73%	+0.14	-15.4	18
1986-10-05	Malmo	L 0-1	65.4	1772	1798	46.04%	26.80%	27.16%	+0.27	-7.1	31
1986-10-05	@ Goteborg	W 1-0	65.4	1798	1772	27.16%	26.80%	46.04%	-0.27	+7.1	37
1986-10-05	Orgryte	W 2-0	55.9	1576	1654	39.08%	26.89%	34.03%	-0.13	+10.5	21
1986-10-05	@ Halmstad	L 0-2	55.9	1654	1576	34.03%	26.89%	39.08%	+0.13	-10.5	19
1986-10-05	Kalmar	L 0-1	63.8	1612	1559	55.09%	25.97%	18.94%	+0.87	-8.3	21
1986-10-05	@ Norrkoping	W 1-0	63.8	1559	1612	18.94%	25.97%	55.09%	-0.87	+8.3	17
1986-10-05	Hammarby	D 0-0	64.8	1586	1605	46.82%	26.76%	26.42%	+0.32	-0.7	20
1986-10-05	@ Oster	D 0-0	64.8	1605	1586	26.42%	26.76%	46.82%	-0.32	+0.7	20

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Record
1986-10-15	Goteborg	D 0-0	68.0	1706	1765	41.56%	26.90%	31.54%	+0.01	-0.4	0-0-1
1986-10-15	@ AIK Stockholm	D 0-0	68.0	1765	1706	31.54%	26.90%	41.56%	-0.01	+0.4	0-0-1
1986-10-15	Malmo	D 2-2	78.6	1604	1805	23.60%	25.63%	50.77%	-1.06	+0.7	0-0-1
1986-10-15	@ Norrkoping	D 2-2	78.6	1805	1604	50.77%	25.63%	23.60%	+1.06	-0.7	0-0-1
1986-10-18	AIK Stockholm	D 1-1	73.1	1766	1706	55.80%	25.86%	18.34%	+0.92	-1.3	0-0-2
1986-10-18	@ Goteborg	D 1-1	73.1	1706	1766	18.34%	25.86%	55.80%	-0.92	+1.3	0-0-2
1986-10-18	Norrkoping	D 0-0	69.0	1804	1605	67.82%	22.60%	9.57%	+1.98	-2.3	0-0-2
1986-10-18	@ Malmo	D 0-0	69.0	1605	1804	9.57%	22.60%	67.82%	-1.98	+2.4	0-0-2
1986-10-26	Malmo	W 1-0	62.3	1707	1802	36.66%	26.83%	36.50%	-0.26	+5.9	1-0-2
1986-10-26	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-1	62.3	1802	1707	36.50%	26.83%	36.66%	+0.26	-5.9	0-1-2
1986-11-01	AIK Stockholm	W 5-2	58.1	1796	1713	58.08%	25.45%	16.47%	+1.10	+6.2	1-1-2
1986-11-01	@ Malmo	L 2-5	58.1	1713	1796	16.47%	25.45%	58.08%	-1.10	-6.2	1-1-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1986-08-03	10.98%	Oster	1589	2	@ Goteborg	1759	1
2	1986-05-11	12.07%	Djurgarden	1544	1	@ Orgryte	1694	0
3	1986-09-17	13.85%	Djurgarden	1502	2	@ Hammarby	1622	0
4	1986-09-27	15.12%	Oster	1569	2	@ Orgryte	1670	0
5	1986-06-18	16.22%	Kalmar	1588	2	@ Orgryte	1674	1
6	1986-09-01	16.97%	Hammarby	1618	1	@ AIK Stockholm	1695	0
7	1986-06-04	18.44%	Djurgarden	1528	1	@ Brage	1587	0
8	1986-06-29	18.93%	Elfsborg	1587	2	@ Hammarby	1640	0
9	1986-10-05	18.94%	Kalmar	1559	1	@ Norrkoping	1612	0
10	1986-08-17	20.31%	Halmstad	1561	1	@ Oster	1599	0
11	1986-06-11	22.60%	Brage	1579	1	@ Elfsborg	1594	0
12	1986-08-03	23.00%	Elfsborg	1592	2	@ Brage	1604	0
13	1986-09-07	23.62%	@ Norrkoping	1589	2	Goteborg	1789	0
14	1986-04-20	23.68%	Malmo	1676	5	@ AIK Stockholm	1681	2
15	1986-09-27	24.42%	Norrkoping	1605	1	@ Brage	1603	0
16	1986-06-11	25.60%	Hammarby	1620	3	@ Kalmar	1608	0
17	1986-05-25	25.98%	Orgryte	1689	2	@ AIK Stockholm	1674	0
18	1986-07-13	26.00%	Brage	1591	2	@ Halmstad	1575	1
19	1986-05-29	26.46%	AIK Stockholm	1660	4	@ Hammarby	1641	0
20	1986-07-13	26.80%	Hammarby	1624	4	@ Elfsborg	1602	2
21	1986-06-11	26.93%	Malmo	1714	4	@ Orgryte	1691	1
22	1986-10-05	27.16%	Malmo	1798	1	@ Goteborg	1772	0
23	1986-05-29	28.50%	Goteborg	1739	1	@ Orgryte	1703	0
24	1986-05-19	32.30%	AIK Stockholm	1665	1	@ Elfsborg	1600	0
25	1986-07-20	32.59%	Brage	1598	1	@ Djurgarden	1530	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1986-05-29	25.64	AIK Stockholm	4	1660	26.46%	@ Hammarby	0	1641	46.77%	26.76%
2	1986-06-11	19.96	Hammarby	3	1620	25.60%	@ Kalmar	0	1608	47.68%	26.72%
3	1986-08-31	17.59	Malmo	4	1760	44.79%	@ Norrkoping	0	1607	28.87%	26.34%
4	1986-09-17	17.24	Djurgarden	2	1502	13.85%	@ Hammarby	0	1622	61.46%	24.68%
5	1986-05-19	17.16	Goteborg	4	1715	45.76%	@ Djurgarden	0	1554	27.99%	26.25%
6	1986-09-27	16.82	Oster	2	1569	15.12%	@ Orgryte	0	1670	59.79%	25.09%
7	1986-05-22	16.66	@ Malmo	5	1697	53.15%	Hammarby	0	1662	20.61%	26.23%
8	1986-08-10	16.49	Goteborg	4	1750	47.25%	@ Halmstad	0	1577	26.66%	26.09%
9	1986-09-07	16.45	AIK Stockholm	5	1686	39.82%	@ Kalmar	1	1568	33.48%	26.70%
10	1986-06-11	16.41	Malmo	4	1714	26.93%	@ Orgryte	1	1691	46.29%	26.79%
11	1986-05-29	15.65	@ Kalmar	4	1599	48.69%	Brage	0	1603	24.66%	26.65%
12	1986-06-29	15.62	Elfsborg	2	1587	18.93%	@ Hammarby	0	1640	55.10%	25.97%
13	1986-05-22	15.62	@ Norrkoping	4	1591	48.77%	Elfsborg	0	1594	24.58%	26.65%
14	1986-10-05	15.44	@ Djurgarden	3	1513	38.73%	Elfsborg	0	1593	34.39%	26.88%
15	1986-04-20	15.12	Malmo	5	1676	23.68%	@ AIK Stockholm	2	1681	49.75%	26.57%
16	1986-08-03	14.44	Elfsborg	2	1592	23.00%	@ Brage	0	1604	50.49%	26.51%
17	1986-09-07	14.38	@ Norrkoping	2	1589	23.62%	Goteborg	0	1789	50.75%	25.64%
18	1986-04-27	14.23	@ Elfsborg	4	1590	51.70%	Djurgarden	0	1568	21.91%	26.40%
19	1986-07-23	13.71	@ Orgryte	4	1666	52.76%	Hammarby	0	1635	20.96%	26.28%
20	1986-05-25	13.64	Orgryte	2	1689	25.98%	@ AIK Stockholm	0	1674	47.28%	26.74%
21	1986-08-24	13.24	Goteborg	3	1770	45.44%	@ Elfsborg	0	1611	28.28%	26.28%
22	1986-05-29	12.50	@ Elfsborg	3	1580	47.26%	Oster	0	1595	26.00%	26.74%
23	1986-08-03	11.80	@ Norrkoping	4	1593	56.68%	Djurgarden	0	1524	17.60%	25.71%
24	1986-07-16	11.76	Malmo	3	1734	49.74%	@ Djurgarden	0	1542	24.48%	25.78%
25	1986-08-03	11.51	@ Hammarby	5	1621	52.56%	Kalmar	1	1591	21.14%	26.30%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1986-07-16	80.4	@ Kalmar	3	1596	40.15%	Orgryte	3	1666	32.96%	26.90%
2	1986-10-15 *	78.6	@ Norrkoping	2	1604	23.60%	Malmo	2	1805	50.77%	25.63%
3	1986-06-11	77.8	@ Oster	2	1585	27.19%	Goteborg	2	1753	46.66%	26.16%
4	1986-05-04	77.0	@ Halmstad	2	1594	36.47%	Malmo	2	1690	36.70%	26.83%
5	1986-08-25	76.1	@ Hammarby	2	1619	50.66%	Norrkoping	2	1606	22.85%	26.50%
6	1986-08-03	74.8	Oster	2	1589	10.98%	@ Goteborg	1	1759	65.58%	23.44%
7	1986-09-13	74.5	@ Elfsborg	2	1600	54.55%	Kalmar	2	1552	19.40%	26.05%
8	1986-06-05	73.6	@ Hammarby	4	1615	38.66%	Orgryte	3	1696	34.46%	26.88%
9	1986-09-13	73.3	@ Goteborg	1	1775	65.90%	Brage	1	1601	10.78%	23.33%
10	1986-10-18 *	73.1	@ Goteborg	1	1766	55.80%	AIK Stockholm	1	1706	18.34%	25.86%
11	1986-05-25	72.6	@ Goteborg	1	1741	65.04%	Elfsborg	1	1578	11.34%	23.62%
12	1986-09-27	72.5	@ Hammarby	1	1604	27.09%	Goteborg	1	1773	46.76%	26.14%
13	1986-04-27	72.4	@ Malmo	1	1691	47.27%	Goteborg	1	1706	25.99%	26.74%
14	1986-08-24	72.2	@ Orgryte	1	1675	46.77%	AIK Stockholm	1	1694	26.47%	26.77%
15	1986-06-18	72.1	Kalmar	2	1588	16.22%	@ Orgryte	1	1674	58.39%	25.39%
16	1986-09-15	72.0	@ AIK Stockholm	1	1703	59.61%	Norrkoping	1	1603	15.26%	25.13%
17	1986-07-30	71.5	@ AIK Stockholm	1	1687	60.74%	Halmstad	1	1575	14.40%	24.87%
18	1986-05-08	71.4	@ Oster	1	1599	36.72%	Orgryte	1	1694	36.45%	26.83%
19	1986-05-22	71.3	@ Brage	1	1597	37.09%	Orgryte	1	1689	36.06%	26.85%
20	1986-04-27	70.7	@ Hammarby	1	1640	53.85%	Oster	1	1599	20.00%	26.14%
21	1986-08-10	69.2	@ Kalmar	1	1580	46.88%	Oster	1	1598	26.36%	26.76%
22	1986-09-27	69.1	@ Elfsborg	1	1594	51.33%	Halmstad	1	1575	22.24%	26.43%
23	1986-07-13	69.0	Hammarby	4	1624	26.80%	@ Elfsborg	2	1602	46.42%	26.78%
24	1986-10-18 *	69.0	@ Malmo	0	1804	67.82%	Norrkoping	0	1605	9.57%	22.60%
25	1986-09-13	68.9	Orgryte	4	1666	45.66%	@ Djurgarden	3	1506	28.08%	26.26%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1986-08-17	44.5	@ Goteborg	3	1766	72.20%	Djurgarden	0	1503	7.15%	20.65%
2	1986-08-03	44.9	@ Norrkoping	4	1593	56.68%	Djurgarden	0	1524	17.60%	25.71%
3	1986-05-22	47.2	@ Goteborg	4	1732	63.22%	Halmstad	0	1592	12.59%	24.20%
4	1986-04-27	47.6	@ Elfsborg	4	1590	51.70%	Djurgarden	0	1568	21.91%	26.40%
5	1986-06-18	48.4	@ Malmo	2	1731	66.75%	Djurgarden	0	1546	10.23%	23.02%
6	1986-06-04	48.5	@ Goteborg	3	1746	62.40%	Kalmar	0	1615	13.17%	24.43%
7	1986-10-05	48.5	@ AIK Stockholm	3	1698	59.87%	Brage	0	1596	15.06%	25.07%
8	1986-09-07	48.8	@ Malmo	2	1778	68.24%	Halmstad	0	1573	9.32%	22.44%
9	1986-05-29	49.0	@ Malmo	3	1708	59.41%	Norrkoping	0	1611	15.41%	25.17%
10	1986-04-27	49.1	@ Orgryte	3	1679	57.41%	Halmstad	0	1603	17.01%	25.58%
11	1986-05-11	49.1	@ Hammarby	3	1649	55.27%	Halmstad	0	1594	18.78%	25.94%
12	1986-05-22	49.1	@ Norrkoping	4	1591	48.77%	Elfsborg	0	1594	24.58%	26.65%
13	1986-05-29	49.6	@ Kalmar	4	1599	48.69%	Brage	0	1603	24.66%	26.65%
14	1986-08-31	49.9	@ Halmstad	1	1570	55.82%	Djurgarden	0	1509	18.32%	25.86%
15	1986-05-29	50.1	@ Elfsborg	3	1580	47.26%	Oster	0	1595	26.00%	26.74%
16	1986-07-23	50.1	@ Orgryte	4	1666	52.76%	Hammarby	0	1635	20.96%	26.28%
17	1986-09-27	50.6	@ Malmo	3	1789	58.02%	AIK Stockholm	0	1707	16.51%	25.46%
18	1986-10-05	50.6	@ Djurgarden	3	1513	38.73%	Elfsborg	0	1593	34.39%	26.88%
19	1986-08-10	50.7	@ Orgryte	2	1675	58.28%	Brage	0	1589	16.31%	25.41%
20	1986-05-22	50.8	@ Malmo	5	1697	53.15%	Hammarby	0	1662	20.61%	26.23%
21	1986-09-18	50.8	@ AIK Stockholm	2	1701	59.85%	Elfsborg	0	1599	15.07%	25.08%
22	1986-08-31	50.9	@ Brage	2	1590	50.74%	Kalmar	0	1576	22.77%	26.49%
23	1986-07-16	51.3	Malmo	3	1734	49.74%	@ Djurgarden	0	1542	24.48%	25.78%
24	1986-05-19	51.7	Goteborg	4	1715	45.76%	@ Djurgarden	0	1554	27.99%	26.25%
25	1986-08-10	52.0	Goteborg	4	1750	47.25%	@ Halmstad	0	1577	26.66%	26.09%