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1987 Allsvenskan Season

132 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Malmo

34 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Norrkoping

5.98 points above expected

29 points · 23.02 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Elfsborg

7.61 points below expected

10 points · 17.61 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Malmo 22 14 6 2 34 50 21 +29 29.64 +4.36
2 Norrkoping 22 11 7 4 29 33 19 +14 23.02 +5.98
3 Goteborg 22 9 8 5 26 39 24 +15 26.73 -0.73
4 Oster 22 10 4 8 24 25 26 -1 22.11 +1.89
5 Brage 22 7 10 5 24 21 23 -2 19.53 +4.47
6 Hammarby 22 6 10 6 22 37 27 +10 23.03 -1.03
7 Vastra Frolunda 22 6 9 7 21 21 29 -8 18.98 +2.02
8 Orgryte 22 5 10 7 20 32 33 -1 23.38 -3.38
9 AIK Stockholm 22 5 10 7 20 15 17 -2 23.18 -3.18
10 GIF Sundsvall 22 4 9 9 17 25 31 -6 17.32 -0.32
11 Halmstad 22 4 9 9 17 22 39 -17 19.47 -2.47
12 Elfsborg 22 3 4 15 10 18 49 -31 17.61 -7.61

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Norrkoping 29 23.02 +5.98
2 Brage 24 19.53 +4.47
3 Malmo 34 29.64 +4.36
4 Vastra Frolunda 21 18.98 +2.02
5 Oster 24 22.11 +1.89

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Elfsborg 10 17.61 -7.61
2 Orgryte 20 23.38 -3.38
3 AIK Stockholm 20 23.18 -3.18
4 Halmstad 17 19.47 -2.47
5 Hammarby 22 23.03 -1.03

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Malmo 8 Jun 24 – Aug 22 1 in 240
2 Oster 4 Aug 16 – Sep 6 1 in 137
3 Elfsborg 2 Sep 6 – Sep 12 1 in 78
4 Norrkoping 4 Apr 12 – May 1 1 in 67
5 Brage 2 Aug 9 – Aug 16 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Elfsborg 5 Aug 2 – Sep 2 1 in 97
2 Oster 3 Jul 30 – Aug 9 1 in 46
3 Halmstad 4 Jun 6 – Jul 1 1 in 27
4 AIK Stockholm 2 May 14 – May 17 1 in 22
5 Orgryte 2 Jun 24 – Jul 12 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Brage 14 May 28 – Sep 26 1 in 461
2 Oster 6 Jun 8 – Jul 23 1 in 18
3 Malmo 14 May 1 – Aug 30 1 in 13
4 Norrkoping 8 Jun 8 – Aug 17 1 in 13
5 AIK Stockholm 6 Aug 30 – Oct 4 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 AIK Stockholm 11 May 1 – Jul 29 1 in 318
2 Halmstad 12 Apr 26 – Jul 29 1 in 40
3 Goteborg 4 Sep 5 – Oct 4 1 in 18
4 Orgryte 7 Aug 9 – Sep 26 1 in 16
5 Elfsborg 10 Jun 11 – Sep 2 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Malmo 1893 34 +3 6 6.9 -0.9
Norrkoping 1762 29 +30 8 5.5 +2.5
Goteborg 1819 26 -6 5 6.4 -1.4
Brage 1697 24 +23 6 4.5 +1.5
Oster 1684 24 -28 4 5.0 -1.0
Hammarby 1744 22 +19 5 5.5 -0.5
Vastra Frolunda 1642 21 -4 5 4.6 +0.4
AIK Stockholm 1729 20 +8 6 4.5 +1.5
Orgryte 1705 20 -35 3 5.3 -2.3
Halmstad 1633 17 -10 4 3.8 +0.2
GIF Sundsvall 1610 17 +8 4 4.1 -0.1
Elfsborg 1576 10 -8 4 3.8 +0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS BRA ELF GS GOT HAL HAM MAL NOR ORG OST VF
AIK Stockholm —
0-2-0
3.20
1-0-1
3.54
1-1-0
3.53
0-1-1
2.13
1-1-0
3.17
0-2-0
2.72
1-1-0
1.82
0-1-1
2.88
1-1-0
2.60
0-0-2
3.00
0-0-2
3.24
Brage
0-2-0
2.06
—
2-0-0
2.97
1-0-1
3.05
1-0-1
1.75
0-1-1
2.67
1-1-0
2.19
0-0-2
1.60
0-2-0
2.08
1-1-0
2.21
1-1-0
2.33
0-2-0
2.72
Elfsborg
1-0-1
1.75
0-0-2
2.28
—
0-1-1
2.63
1-0-1
1.28
0-1-1
2.31
1-1-0
1.88
0-0-2
1.28
0-0-2
1.94
0-0-2
2.11
0-1-1
2.20
0-0-2
2.41
GIF Sundsvall
0-1-1
1.77
1-0-1
2.21
1-1-0
2.62
—
0-2-0
1.39
0-2-0
2.33
1-0-1
1.95
0-0-2
1.25
0-1-1
1.89
0-1-1
1.68
0-0-2
1.96
1-1-0
2.20
Goteborg
1-1-0
3.14
1-0-1
3.56
1-0-1
4.09
0-2-0
3.96
—
1-1-0
3.75
1-1-0
3.22
0-0-2
2.24
1-1-0
3.28
1-0-1
3.21
1-1-0
3.36
1-1-0
3.68
Halmstad
0-1-1
2.09
1-1-0
2.58
1-1-0
2.95
0-2-0
2.93
0-1-1
1.56
—
0-1-1
2.34
0-1-1
1.30
0-0-2
2.13
0-1-1
2.15
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
2.66
Hammarby
0-2-0
2.53
0-1-1
3.07
0-1-1
3.42
1-0-1
3.33
0-1-1
2.05
1-1-0
2.92
—
0-1-1
1.76
1-0-1
2.44
0-2-0
2.46
2-0-0
2.61
1-1-0
3.22
Malmo
0-1-1
3.46
2-0-0
3.72
2-0-0
4.08
2-0-0
4.12
2-0-0
3.02
1-1-0
4.06
1-1-0
3.54
—
2-0-0
3.36
1-1-0
3.41
0-1-1
3.75
1-1-0
3.86
Norrkoping
1-1-0
2.37
0-2-0
3.19
2-0-0
3.35
1-1-0
3.40
0-1-1
1.99
2-0-0
3.14
1-0-1
2.81
0-0-2
1.93
—
1-1-0
2.61
2-0-0
2.89
1-1-0
3.22
Orgryte
0-1-1
2.65
0-1-1
3.06
2-0-0
3.17
1-1-0
3.61
1-0-1
2.05
1-1-0
3.11
0-2-0
2.80
0-1-1
1.89
0-1-1
2.64
—
0-0-2
2.92
0-2-0
3.33
Oster
2-0-0
2.26
0-1-1
2.92
1-1-0
3.05
2-0-0
3.31
0-1-1
1.91
1-0-1
2.87
0-0-2
2.64
1-1-0
1.56
0-0-2
2.36
2-0-0
2.33
—
1-0-1
3.13
Vastra Frolunda
2-0-0
2.02
0-2-0
2.53
2-0-0
2.84
0-1-1
3.06
0-1-1
1.62
1-0-1
2.59
0-1-1
2.04
0-1-1
1.46
0-1-1
2.05
0-2-0
1.94
1-0-1
2.13
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.55 +4.5
Allowed 0.63 -5.5
Differential 0.88 +3.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%6.06%5.30%4.55%1.14%0.76%34.47%
16.06%15.91%5.30%1.89%1.52%0.76%31.44%
25.30%5.30%3.79%2.27%0.76%0.38%17.80%
34.55%1.89%2.27%—0.38%0.76%9.85%
41.14%1.52%0.76%0.38%——3.79%
5+0.76%0.76%0.38%0.76%——2.65%
Total34.47%31.44%17.80%9.85%3.79%2.65%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.28 +0.00
SD 1.38 1.38 1.89
CV 1.08 1.08 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
027.27%13.64%4.55%4.55%——50.00%
113.64%18.18%4.55%———36.36%
24.55%——4.55%——9.09%
34.55%—————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total50.00%31.82%9.09%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.68 0.77 -0.09
SD 0.84 0.97 1.27
CV 1.23 1.26 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.73%—9.09%9.09%4.55%—45.45%
19.09%22.73%————31.82%
24.55%4.55%————9.09%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total40.91%31.82%13.64%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.05 -0.09
SD 1.17 1.17 1.82
CV 1.23 1.12 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%13.64%13.64%—4.55%40.91%
14.55%13.64%18.18%—9.09%—45.45%
2—————4.55%4.55%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%22.73%36.36%13.64%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 2.23 -1.41
SD 0.91 1.51 1.76
CV 1.11 0.68 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%13.64%4.55%———31.82%
1—27.27%4.55%9.09%4.55%—45.45%
29.09%———4.55%—13.64%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4———————
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total22.73%40.91%18.18%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.41 -0.27
SD 1.36 1.22 1.58
CV 1.19 0.87 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%—————18.18%
1—13.64%13.64%4.55%——31.82%
29.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
39.09%—9.09%———18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total36.36%27.27%27.27%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.09 +0.68
SD 1.48 1.02 1.70
CV 0.83 0.93 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%45.45%
14.55%18.18%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
2—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
3—————4.55%4.55%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+———————
Total27.27%31.82%13.64%13.64%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.77 -0.77
SD 1.27 1.93 2.29
CV 1.27 1.09 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.73%4.55%4.55%———31.82%
1—18.18%————18.18%
24.55%4.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%—31.82%
34.55%—————4.55%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total36.36%31.82%9.09%18.18%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.23 +0.45
SD 1.78 1.27 1.99
CV 1.06 1.03 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
14.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
29.09%13.64%18.18%———40.91%
318.18%9.09%————27.27%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total36.36%36.36%22.73%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 0.95 +1.32
SD 1.45 0.90 1.46
CV 0.64 0.94 —
Max 7 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%—4.55%4.55%——27.27%
1—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
218.18%13.64%—4.55%——36.36%
39.09%4.55%————13.64%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total45.45%31.82%13.64%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 0.86 +0.64
SD 1.19 0.99 1.56
CV 0.79 1.15 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
027.27%9.09%——4.55%—40.91%
1—13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
2—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
34.55%————4.55%9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%——4.55%——9.09%
Total36.36%27.27%13.64%9.09%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.50 -0.05
SD 1.90 1.79 2.21
CV 1.30 1.20 —
Max 7 7 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%9.09%——31.82%
122.73%9.09%4.55%——4.55%40.91%
24.55%9.09%————13.64%
34.55%———4.55%—9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total45.45%27.27%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.18 -0.05
SD 1.13 1.59 2.03
CV 0.99 1.35 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%13.64%4.55%——40.91%
113.64%18.18%———4.55%36.36%
2—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%36.36%27.27%4.55%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.32 -0.36
SD 1.09 1.36 1.68
CV 1.14 1.03 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Malmo 1897 34 29.64 +4.36 88.0% 21 24 27 29 32 36 38
Goteborg 1833 26 26.73 -0.73 46.0% 17 22 24 27 29 32 34
Norrkoping 1750 29 23.02 +5.98 97.0% 15 18 20 23 25 28 31
Hammarby 1744 22 23.03 -1.03 42.0% 13 17 21 23 25 29 30
AIK Stockholm 1729 20 23.18 -3.18 23.0% 14 16 21 23 26 29 34
Orgryte 1705 20 23.38 -3.38 22.0% 18 18 21 23 25 29 34
Brage 1697 24 19.53 +4.47 88.0% 12 14 17 20 22 26 28
Oster 1678 24 22.11 +1.89 71.0% 14 16 20 22 25 28 29
Vastra Frolunda 1642 21 18.98 +2.02 75.0% 10 14 16 19 21 25 26
Halmstad 1633 17 19.47 -2.47 27.0% 7 14 17 19 22 25 27
GIF Sundsvall 1610 17 17.32 -0.32 45.0% 8 11 15 18 20 23 25
Elfsborg 1576 10 17.61 -7.61 0.0% 11 12 15 17 20 23 25

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+10.61%
No Edge
37.12%36.36%26.52%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 36.99 Elo pts.
157 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.33 goals
Neutral
-2+0.24+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.6
One-Team Race
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
58%
Malmo, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Comfortable
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.79 * Some Luck: 2.79 to 4.19 * Lucky: 4.19 to 5.59 * Wild Swing: 5.59 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.65 * Close: 1.65 to 2.48 * Off: 2.48 to 3.3 * Way Off: 3.3 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.76 points
Some Luck
03.499
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.50
Off
02.065
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.00%
Norrkoping
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
Elfsborg
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Even
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 89.90
1.65
Strong Separation
0.951.41.652.75
Interquartile Edge
65%
Slight Edge
50%63%71.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
86%
Clear Edge
50%86%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Very Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Frequent
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.63
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.35
Notable Separation
00.30.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.20
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.59
Strong Carryover
00.380.530.691
Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Chalky
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Solid Favorites
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.16 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.16 to 0.24 * Above Noise: 0.24 to 0.31 * Well Above Noise: 0.31 and up.
Probability calibration
0.37
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.99
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.112
Well Within Noise
00.1570.4

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

Goteborg 5
Norrkoping 2

Leg 1: Goteborg 3-0 Norrkoping

Leg 2: Norrkoping 2-2 Goteborg

Sim: 6.0%

Malmo 4
Oster 2

Leg 1: Oster 1-2 Malmo

Leg 2: Malmo 2-1 Oster

Sim: 9.0%

Finals

Malmo 2
Goteborg 2

Leg 1: Goteborg 1-0 Malmo

Leg 2: Malmo 2-1 Goteborg

Sim: 19.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Malmo58.00%23.00%9.00%3.00%4.00%—3.00%—————
Norrkoping4.00%4.00%18.00%20.00%14.00%7.00%7.00%8.00%13.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%
Goteborg18.00%32.00%23.00%7.00%6.00%8.00%4.00%1.00%——1.00%—
Oster2.00%6.00%9.00%17.00%11.00%8.00%15.00%11.00%6.00%6.00%7.00%2.00%
Brage3.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%5.00%9.00%9.00%10.00%13.00%18.00%12.00%11.00%
Hammarby3.00%9.00%14.00%12.00%18.00%12.00%6.00%11.00%5.00%7.00%1.00%2.00%
Vastra Frolunda——1.00%3.00%8.00%10.00%8.00%8.00%14.00%17.00%19.00%12.00%
Orgryte6.00%11.00%9.00%12.00%10.00%17.00%11.00%12.00%7.00%3.00%2.00%—
AIK Stockholm6.00%12.00%8.00%15.00%11.00%10.00%14.00%10.00%2.00%7.00%4.00%1.00%
GIF Sundsvall——1.00%1.00%2.00%6.00%5.00%14.00%9.00%17.00%17.00%28.00%
Halmstad——4.00%3.00%8.00%12.00%8.00%7.00%20.00%12.00%11.00%15.00%
Elfsborg——1.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%10.00%8.00%11.00%11.00%24.00%28.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Goteborg — —
Malmo — —
Norrkoping — —
Oster — —
Orgryte 60.00% 2.00%
Hammarby 59.00% 3.00%
AIK Stockholm 54.00% 5.00%
Brage 64.00% 23.00%
Halmstad 67.00% 26.00%
Vastra Frolunda 65.00% 31.00%
GIF Sundsvall 53.00% 45.00%
Elfsborg 44.00% 52.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
AIK StockholmBrageElfsborgGIF SundsvallGoteborgHalmstadHammarbyMalmoNorrkopingOrgryteOsterVastra Frolunda
AIK Stockholm0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%18.8%16.00%100.0%2.00%37.5%16.00%50.0%4.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Brage100.0%1.00%16.7%6.00%16.7%6.00%0.0%3.00%
Elfsborg0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
GIF Sundsvall0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Goteborg81.2%16.00%83.3%6.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%83.3%6.00%16.7%12.00%40.0%15.00%53.8%13.00%80.0%5.00%25.0%4.00%
Halmstad100.0%3.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%5.00%
Hammarby0.0%2.00%16.7%6.00%100.0%1.00%18.2%11.00%50.0%6.00%0.0%2.00%50.0%4.00%
Malmo62.5%16.00%83.3%6.00%100.0%1.00%83.3%12.00%100.0%5.00%81.8%11.00%76.9%13.00%100.0%19.00%75.0%12.00%100.0%1.00%
Norrkoping50.0%4.00%100.0%3.00%60.0%15.00%50.0%6.00%23.1%13.00%50.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%
Orgryte50.0%2.00%46.2%13.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%19.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Oster100.0%1.00%20.0%5.00%50.0%4.00%25.0%12.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%
Vastra Frolunda0.0%1.00%75.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
AIK StockholmBrageGoteborgHalmstadHammarbyMalmoNorrkopingOrgryteOsterVastra Frolunda
AIK Stockholm0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%10.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Brage0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%
Goteborg100.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%66.7%3.00%45.7%35.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Halmstad0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
Hammarby100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Malmo50.0%10.00%54.3%35.00%50.0%2.00%66.7%3.00%80.0%15.00%75.0%8.00%60.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%
Norrkoping100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%20.0%15.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Orgryte25.0%8.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Oster0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%40.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Vastra Frolunda0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Semifinals Finals
Malmo 77.10% 51.00%
Goteborg 61.50% 28.50%
Norrkoping 38.50% 14.00%
Oster 22.90% 6.50%
Loser →
↓ Winner
GoteborgMalmoNorrkopingOster
Goteborg61.5%100.00%
Malmo77.1%100.00%
Norrkoping38.5%100.00%
Oster22.9%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
GoteborgMalmoNorrkopingOster
Goteborg37.6%46.50%73.3%15.00%
Malmo62.4%46.50%71.9%30.60%
Norrkoping28.1%30.60%68.4%7.90%
Oster26.7%15.00%31.6%7.90%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1987-04-12 Halmstad W 3-052.6 1760 1685 48.42% 36.02% 15.56%+0.71 +11.0 2
1987-04-12 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-352.6 1685 1760 15.56% 36.02% 48.42%-0.71 -11.0 0
1987-04-12 Goteborg L 0-258.1 1686 1796 25.31% 37.14% 37.55%-0.46 -10.7 0
1987-04-12 @ Brage W 2-058.1 1796 1686 37.55% 37.14% 25.31%+0.46 +10.7 2
1987-04-12 Norrkoping L 1-265.2 1605 1701 27.02% 37.34% 35.65%-0.37 -5.6 0
1987-04-12 @ GIF Sundsvall W 2-165.2 1701 1605 35.65% 37.34% 27.02%+0.37 +5.6 2
1987-04-12 Vastra Frolunda D 2-274.6 1817 1654 56.79% 32.95% 10.26%+1.27 -1.4 1
1987-04-12 @ Malmo D 2-274.6 1654 1817 10.26% 32.95% 56.79%-1.27 +1.4 1
1987-04-12 Hammarby D 0-064.0 1724 1699 42.81% 37.12% 20.07%+0.39 -0.9 1
1987-04-12 @ Orgryte D 0-064.0 1699 1724 20.07% 37.12% 42.81%-0.39 +0.9 1
1987-04-12 Elfsborg W 1-059.7 1685 1683 40.02% 37.43% 22.55%+0.24 +5.3 2
1987-04-12 @ Oster L 0-159.7 1683 1685 22.55% 37.43% 40.02%-0.24 -5.3 0
1987-04-20 GIF Sundsvall D 1-166.7 1656 1600 46.41% 36.50% 17.10%+0.59 -1.1 2
1987-04-20 @ Vastra Frolunda D 1-166.7 1600 1656 17.10% 36.50% 46.41%-0.59 +1.1 1
1987-04-21 Orgryte L 0-557.9 1678 1723 33.96% 37.67% 28.37%-0.05 -30.3 0
1987-04-21 @ Elfsborg W 5-057.9 1723 1678 28.37% 37.67% 33.96%+0.05 +30.3 3
1987-04-21 Brage W 4-053.9 1674 1676 39.67% 37.46% 22.87%+0.23 +19.0 2
1987-04-21 @ Halmstad L 0-453.9 1676 1674 22.87% 37.46% 39.67%-0.23 -19.0 0
1987-04-21 Malmo D 2-273.6 1700 1815 24.59% 37.04% 38.37%-0.50 +0.4 2
1987-04-21 @ Hammarby D 2-273.6 1815 1700 38.37% 37.04% 24.59%+0.50 -0.4 2
1987-04-21 AIK Stockholm W 2-060.0 1707 1771 31.19% 37.61% 31.20%-0.18 +12.2 4
1987-04-21 @ Norrkoping L 0-260.0 1771 1707 31.20% 37.61% 31.19%+0.18 -12.2 2
1987-04-25 AIK Stockholm L 0-167.5 1815 1759 46.42% 36.49% 17.09%+0.59 -8.7 2
1987-04-25 @ Malmo W 1-067.5 1759 1815 17.09% 36.49% 46.42%-0.59 +8.7 4
1987-04-26 Norrkoping L 1-266.9 1648 1719 30.26% 37.57% 32.17%-0.22 -6.0 0
1987-04-26 @ Elfsborg W 2-166.9 1719 1648 32.17% 37.57% 30.26%+0.22 +6.0 6
1987-04-26 Goteborg D 0-064.7 1601 1806 16.02% 34.62% 49.36%-1.07 +1.5 2
1987-04-26 @ GIF Sundsvall D 0-064.7 1806 1601 49.36% 34.62% 16.02%+1.07 -1.4 3
1987-04-26 Vastra Frolunda W 3-053.0 1700 1655 45.24% 36.73% 18.03%+0.52 +12.3 4
1987-04-26 @ Hammarby L 0-353.0 1655 1700 18.03% 36.73% 45.24%-0.52 -12.3 2
1987-04-26 Brage D 0-064.5 1753 1657 50.61% 35.40% 13.99%+0.85 -1.6 4
1987-04-26 @ Orgryte D 0-064.5 1657 1753 13.99% 35.40% 50.61%-0.85 +1.6 1
1987-04-26 Halmstad W 4-054.2 1690 1693 39.40% 37.48% 23.12%+0.21 +19.2 4
1987-04-26 @ Oster L 0-454.2 1693 1690 23.12% 37.48% 39.40%-0.21 -19.2 2
1987-04-30 Hammarby W 3-266.6 1805 1713 50.22% 35.52% 14.27%+0.82 +3.3 5
1987-04-30 @ Goteborg L 2-366.6 1713 1805 14.27% 35.52% 50.22%-0.82 -3.4 4
1987-05-01 GIF Sundsvall D 0-065.0 1768 1602 57.04% 32.83% 10.13%+1.29 -2.2 5
1987-05-01 @ AIK Stockholm D 0-065.0 1602 1768 10.13% 32.83% 57.04%-1.29 +2.2 3
1987-05-01 Malmo L 0-354.5 1658 1806 21.02% 36.35% 42.63%-0.71 -13.6 1
1987-05-01 @ Brage W 3-054.5 1806 1658 42.63% 36.35% 21.02%+0.71 +13.6 4
1987-05-01 Orgryte D 0-063.9 1674 1751 29.47% 37.53% 33.00%-0.25 +0.1 3
1987-05-01 @ Halmstad D 0-063.9 1751 1674 33.00% 37.53% 29.47%+0.25 -0.1 5
1987-05-01 Oster W 3-054.6 1725 1709 41.76% 37.25% 20.99%+0.33 +13.7 8
1987-05-01 @ Norrkoping L 0-354.6 1709 1725 20.99% 37.25% 41.76%-0.33 -13.7 4
1987-05-01 Elfsborg W 4-158.1 1642 1642 39.93% 37.44% 22.63%+0.24 +12.2 4
1987-05-01 @ Vastra Frolunda L 1-458.1 1642 1642 22.63% 37.44% 39.93%-0.24 -12.2 0
1987-05-09 Norrkoping W 2-166.3 1709 1739 36.03% 37.65% 26.32%+0.05 +5.5 6
1987-05-09 @ Hammarby L 1-266.3 1739 1709 26.32% 37.65% 36.03%-0.05 -5.5 8
1987-05-10 Halmstad D 1-167.1 1629 1674 33.92% 37.67% 28.41%-0.05 -0.2 1
1987-05-10 @ Elfsborg D 1-167.1 1674 1629 28.41% 37.67% 33.92%+0.05 +0.2 4
1987-05-10 GIF Sundsvall W 3-155.5 1820 1605 61.29% 30.55% 8.16%+1.60 +3.5 6
1987-05-10 @ Malmo L 1-355.5 1605 1820 8.16% 30.55% 61.29%-1.60 -3.5 3
1987-05-10 AIK Stockholm D 0-064.3 1751 1765 38.00% 37.57% 24.43%+0.14 -0.5 6
1987-05-10 @ Orgryte D 0-064.3 1765 1751 24.43% 37.57% 38.00%-0.14 +0.5 6
1987-05-10 Brage D 1-167.8 1695 1645 45.83% 36.62% 17.56%+0.56 -1.1 5
1987-05-10 @ Oster D 1-167.8 1645 1695 17.56% 36.62% 45.83%-0.56 +1.1 2
1987-05-11 Goteborg D 2-273.6 1655 1808 20.49% 36.21% 43.30%-0.74 +0.6 5
1987-05-11 @ Vastra Frolunda D 2-273.6 1808 1655 43.30% 36.21% 20.49%+0.74 -0.6 6
1987-05-14 Goteborg L 1-269.1 1766 1808 34.36% 37.67% 27.96%-0.03 -6.5 6
1987-05-14 @ AIK Stockholm W 2-169.1 1808 1766 27.96% 37.67% 34.36%+0.03 +6.5 8
1987-05-17 Oster L 0-167.4 1759 1694 47.39% 36.28% 16.33%+0.65 -8.8 6
1987-05-17 @ AIK Stockholm W 1-067.4 1694 1759 16.33% 36.28% 47.39%-0.65 +8.8 7
1987-05-17 Elfsborg W 2-055.1 1646 1629 41.85% 37.24% 20.91%+0.34 +9.4 4
1987-05-17 @ Brage L 0-255.1 1629 1646 20.91% 37.24% 41.85%-0.34 -9.4 1
1987-05-17 Orgryte L 2-464.1 1601 1751 20.90% 36.32% 42.79%-0.72 -7.2 3
1987-05-17 @ GIF Sundsvall W 4-264.1 1751 1601 42.79% 36.32% 20.90%+0.72 +7.2 8
1987-05-17 Hammarby D 0-063.7 1675 1715 34.56% 37.67% 27.77%-0.02 -0.3 5
1987-05-17 @ Halmstad D 0-063.7 1715 1675 27.77% 37.67% 34.56%+0.02 +0.3 7
1987-05-17 Vastra Frolunda W 2-054.2 1733 1655 48.73% 35.94% 15.33%+0.73 +7.5 10
1987-05-17 @ Norrkoping L 0-254.2 1655 1733 15.33% 35.94% 48.73%-0.73 -7.5 5
1987-05-20 Norrkoping D 1-168.6 1758 1741 41.93% 37.23% 20.83%+0.34 -0.8 9
1987-05-20 @ Orgryte D 1-168.6 1741 1758 20.83% 37.23% 41.93%-0.34 +0.8 11
1987-05-24 Brage W 2-057.7 1594 1655 31.65% 37.63% 30.72%-0.15 +12.1 5
1987-05-24 @ GIF Sundsvall L 0-257.7 1655 1594 30.72% 37.63% 31.65%+0.15 -12.1 4
1987-05-27 Orgryte D 1-168.2 1648 1757 25.34% 37.14% 37.51%-0.46 +0.4 6
1987-05-27 @ Vastra Frolunda D 1-168.2 1757 1648 37.51% 37.14% 25.34%+0.46 -0.4 10
1987-05-28 AIK Stockholm D 0-063.8 1643 1751 25.53% 37.17% 37.31%-0.45 +0.5 5
1987-05-28 @ Brage D 0-063.8 1751 1643 37.31% 37.17% 25.53%+0.45 -0.5 7
1987-05-28 Elfsborg W 2-051.3 1814 1620 59.54% 31.54% 8.92%+1.47 +4.5 10
1987-05-28 @ Goteborg L 0-251.3 1620 1814 8.92% 31.54% 59.54%-1.47 -4.5 1
1987-05-28 GIF Sundsvall D 0-062.9 1674 1606 47.73% 36.20% 16.07%+0.67 -1.4 6
1987-05-28 @ Halmstad D 0-062.9 1606 1674 16.07% 36.20% 47.73%-0.67 +1.4 6
1987-05-28 Oster W 4-371.5 1715 1703 41.30% 37.31% 21.40%+0.31 +4.4 9
1987-05-28 @ Hammarby L 3-471.5 1703 1715 21.40% 37.31% 41.30%-0.31 -4.4 7
1987-05-28 Malmo L 0-357.4 1741 1824 28.77% 37.48% 33.75%-0.29 -16.9 11
1987-05-28 @ Norrkoping W 3-057.4 1824 1741 33.75% 37.48% 28.77%+0.29 +16.9 8
1987-06-06 Halmstad W 1-060.3 1648 1673 36.65% 37.63% 25.72%+0.08 +5.8 8
1987-06-06 @ Vastra Frolunda L 0-160.3 1673 1648 25.72% 37.63% 36.65%-0.08 -5.8 6
1987-06-08 AIK Stockholm W 1-065.0 1615 1750 22.41% 36.66% 40.93%-0.62 +7.8 3
1987-06-08 @ Elfsborg L 0-165.0 1750 1615 40.93% 36.66% 22.41%+0.62 -7.8 7
1987-06-08 Brage L 0-167.1 1720 1643 48.54% 35.99% 15.46%+0.72 -9.0 9
1987-06-08 @ Hammarby W 1-067.1 1643 1720 15.46% 35.99% 48.54%-0.72 +9.0 7
1987-06-08 Goteborg D 0-064.4 1724 1819 27.20% 37.35% 35.45%-0.36 +0.3 12
1987-06-08 @ Norrkoping D 0-064.4 1819 1724 35.45% 37.35% 27.20%+0.36 -0.3 11
1987-06-08 Malmo L 3-762.8 1757 1840 28.54% 37.47% 33.99%-0.30 -14.2 10
1987-06-08 @ Orgryte W 7-362.8 1840 1757 33.99% 37.47% 28.54%+0.30 +14.2 10
1987-06-08 GIF Sundsvall W 1-056.1 1699 1607 50.12% 35.55% 14.33%+0.82 +3.8 9
1987-06-08 @ Oster L 0-156.1 1607 1699 14.33% 35.55% 50.12%-0.82 -3.8 6
1987-06-11 Hammarby D 1-168.5 1742 1711 43.68% 36.99% 19.33%+0.44 -0.9 8
1987-06-11 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-168.5 1711 1742 19.33% 36.99% 43.68%-0.44 +0.9 10
1987-06-11 Vastra Frolunda D 1-167.2 1652 1654 39.63% 37.46% 22.90%+0.23 -0.6 8
1987-06-11 @ Brage D 1-167.2 1654 1652 22.90% 37.46% 39.63%-0.23 +0.6 9
1987-06-11 Elfsborg D 1-165.9 1604 1623 37.33% 37.60% 25.07%+0.11 -0.4 7
1987-06-11 @ GIF Sundsvall D 1-165.9 1623 1604 25.07% 37.60% 37.33%-0.11 +0.4 4
1987-06-11 Orgryte L 1-272.8 1818 1742 48.54% 35.99% 15.47%+0.72 -8.5 11
1987-06-11 @ Goteborg W 2-172.8 1742 1818 15.47% 35.99% 48.54%-0.72 +8.5 12
1987-06-11 Norrkoping L 1-267.7 1667 1725 32.16% 37.65% 30.19%-0.13 -6.2 6
1987-06-11 @ Halmstad W 2-167.7 1725 1667 30.19% 37.65% 32.16%+0.13 +6.2 14
1987-06-11 Oster D 0-065.7 1855 1702 55.88% 33.37% 10.75%+1.20 -2.1 11
1987-06-11 @ Malmo D 0-065.7 1702 1855 10.75% 33.37% 55.88%-1.20 +2.1 10
1987-06-24 Malmo L 1-261.6 1624 1852 14.37% 33.74% 51.89%-1.22 -3.4 4
1987-06-24 @ Elfsborg W 2-161.6 1852 1624 51.89% 33.74% 14.37%+1.22 +3.4 13
1987-06-24 Halmstad W 3-050.6 1810 1661 55.60% 33.50% 10.90%+1.18 +8.0 13
1987-06-24 @ Goteborg L 0-350.6 1661 1810 10.90% 33.50% 55.60%-1.18 -8.0 6
1987-06-24 GIF Sundsvall L 2-376.4 1711 1603 51.80% 35.01% 13.20%+0.92 -8.5 10
1987-06-24 @ Hammarby W 3-276.4 1603 1711 13.20% 35.01% 51.80%-0.92 +8.5 9
1987-06-24 Brage D 0-064.1 1731 1652 48.88% 35.90% 15.22%+0.74 -1.5 15
1987-06-24 @ Norrkoping D 0-064.1 1652 1731 15.22% 35.90% 48.88%-0.74 +1.5 9
1987-06-24 Orgryte W 1-062.2 1705 1751 33.73% 37.67% 28.60%-0.06 +6.2 12
1987-06-24 @ Oster L 0-162.2 1751 1705 28.60% 37.67% 33.73%+0.06 -6.1 12
1987-06-24 AIK Stockholm W 1-063.5 1655 1741 28.14% 37.44% 34.42%-0.32 +6.9 11
1987-06-24 @ Vastra Frolunda L 0-163.5 1741 1655 34.42% 37.44% 28.14%+0.32 -6.9 8
1987-07-01 Halmstad W 3-156.2 1856 1653 60.26% 31.14% 8.60%+1.53 +3.7 15
1987-07-01 @ Malmo L 1-356.2 1653 1856 8.60% 31.14% 60.26%-1.53 -3.7 6
1987-07-08 Hammarby D 0-063.1 1620 1703 28.68% 37.48% 33.84%-0.29 +0.2 5
1987-07-08 @ Elfsborg D 0-063.1 1703 1620 33.84% 37.48% 28.68%+0.29 -0.2 11
1987-07-10 Vastra Frolunda W 6-152.5 1818 1662 56.27% 33.20% 10.54%+1.23 +10.4 15
1987-07-10 @ Goteborg L 1-652.5 1662 1818 10.54% 33.20% 56.27%-1.23 -10.4 11
1987-07-12 Oster L 1-271.4 1745 1711 43.92% 36.96% 19.12%+0.45 -7.8 12
1987-07-12 @ Orgryte W 2-171.4 1711 1745 19.12% 36.96% 43.92%-0.45 +7.8 14
1987-07-15 Vastra Frolunda L 2-376.6 1735 1651 49.32% 35.78% 14.90%+0.77 -8.1 8
1987-07-15 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-276.6 1651 1735 14.90% 35.78% 49.32%-0.77 +8.1 13
1987-07-15 Norrkoping D 1-167.9 1653 1730 29.57% 37.54% 32.90%-0.25 +0.1 10
1987-07-15 @ Brage D 1-167.9 1730 1653 32.90% 37.54% 29.57%+0.25 -0.1 16
1987-07-15 Hammarby L 0-257.6 1612 1703 27.59% 37.39% 35.02%-0.34 -11.3 9
1987-07-15 @ GIF Sundsvall W 2-057.6 1703 1612 35.02% 37.39% 27.59%+0.34 +11.3 13
1987-07-15 Goteborg D 1-169.1 1649 1828 18.13% 35.49% 46.38%-0.90 +1.1 7
1987-07-15 @ Halmstad D 1-169.1 1828 1649 46.38% 35.49% 18.13%+0.90 -1.1 16
1987-07-15 Elfsborg W 3-048.3 1860 1620 63.22% 29.39% 7.40%+1.76 +5.3 17
1987-07-15 @ Malmo L 0-348.3 1620 1860 7.40% 29.39% 63.22%-1.76 -5.3 5
1987-07-19 Oster D 1-167.6 1615 1719 26.04% 37.23% 36.74%-0.42 +0.4 6
1987-07-19 @ Elfsborg D 1-167.6 1719 1615 36.74% 37.23% 26.04%+0.42 -0.4 15
1987-07-19 Brage L 2-378.6 1827 1653 57.79% 32.46% 9.75%+1.34 -9.3 16
1987-07-19 @ Goteborg W 3-278.6 1653 1827 9.75% 32.46% 57.79%-1.34 +9.3 12
1987-07-22 AIK Stockholm D 0-063.6 1650 1726 29.57% 37.54% 32.89%-0.25 +0.1 8
1987-07-22 @ Halmstad D 0-063.6 1726 1650 32.89% 37.54% 29.57%+0.25 -0.1 9
1987-07-22 Orgryte D 0-064.0 1714 1737 36.89% 37.62% 25.49%+0.09 -0.5 14
1987-07-22 @ Hammarby D 0-064.0 1737 1714 25.49% 37.62% 36.89%-0.09 +0.4 13
1987-07-22 GIF Sundsvall D 1-168.4 1729 1600 53.78% 34.27% 11.95%+1.06 -1.7 17
1987-07-22 @ Norrkoping D 1-168.4 1600 1729 11.95% 34.27% 53.78%-1.06 +1.7 10
1987-07-22 Malmo L 0-157.7 1659 1865 16.00% 34.61% 49.39%-1.07 -4.0 13
1987-07-22 @ Vastra Frolunda W 1-057.7 1865 1659 49.39% 34.61% 16.00%+1.07 +4.0 19
1987-07-23 Oster D 0-065.0 1818 1718 50.97% 35.28% 13.75%+0.87 -1.7 17
1987-07-23 @ Goteborg D 0-065.0 1718 1818 13.75% 35.28% 50.97%-0.87 +1.6 16
1987-07-29 Norrkoping D 0-064.1 1726 1728 39.64% 37.46% 22.90%+0.23 -0.7 10
1987-07-29 @ AIK Stockholm D 0-064.1 1728 1726 22.90% 37.46% 39.64%-0.23 +0.7 18
1987-07-29 Halmstad D 1-167.3 1663 1650 41.35% 37.30% 21.35%+0.31 -0.7 13
1987-07-29 @ Brage D 1-167.3 1650 1663 21.35% 37.30% 41.35%-0.31 +0.7 9
1987-07-29 Hammarby W 2-052.8 1869 1714 56.17% 33.24% 10.59%+1.22 +5.4 21
1987-07-29 @ Malmo L 0-252.8 1714 1869 10.59% 33.24% 56.17%-1.22 -5.4 14
1987-07-30 Vastra Frolunda L 0-166.9 1720 1655 47.33% 36.29% 16.38%+0.65 -8.8 16
1987-07-30 @ Oster W 1-066.9 1655 1720 16.38% 36.29% 47.33%-0.65 +8.8 15
1987-08-02 Vastra Frolunda W 2-058.0 1602 1664 31.54% 37.63% 30.83%-0.16 +12.2 12
1987-08-02 @ GIF Sundsvall L 0-258.0 1664 1602 30.83% 37.63% 31.54%+0.16 -12.1 15
1987-08-02 Elfsborg W 3-050.6 1737 1615 53.11% 34.53% 12.36%+1.01 +9.1 15
1987-08-02 @ Orgryte L 0-350.6 1615 1737 12.36% 34.53% 53.11%-1.01 -9.1 6
1987-08-02 Goteborg L 0-356.4 1711 1816 25.81% 37.20% 36.99%-0.43 -15.7 16
1987-08-02 @ Oster W 3-056.4 1816 1711 36.99% 37.20% 25.81%+0.43 +15.7 19
1987-08-09 Orgryte W 1-061.2 1726 1746 37.16% 37.61% 25.22%+0.10 +5.7 12
1987-08-09 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-161.2 1746 1726 25.22% 37.61% 37.16%-0.10 -5.7 15
1987-08-09 Oster W 1-061.0 1662 1695 35.50% 37.66% 26.84%+0.02 +5.9 15
1987-08-09 @ Brage L 0-161.0 1695 1662 26.84% 37.66% 35.50%-0.02 -5.9 16
1987-08-09 Malmo L 1-455.2 1614 1874 12.49% 32.45% 55.06%-1.42 -7.3 12
1987-08-09 @ GIF Sundsvall W 4-155.2 1874 1614 55.06% 32.45% 12.49%+1.42 +7.3 23
1987-08-09 Elfsborg W 4-156.1 1651 1606 45.15% 36.75% 18.11%+0.52 +10.4 11
1987-08-09 @ Halmstad L 1-456.1 1606 1651 18.11% 36.75% 45.15%-0.52 -10.4 6
1987-08-09 Hammarby W 4-264.8 1728 1708 42.30% 37.19% 20.51%+0.36 +7.2 20
1987-08-09 @ Norrkoping L 2-464.8 1708 1728 20.51% 37.19% 42.30%-0.36 -7.2 14
1987-08-16 Brage L 1-265.6 1596 1668 30.16% 37.57% 32.28%-0.22 -6.0 6
1987-08-16 @ Elfsborg W 2-165.6 1668 1596 32.28% 37.57% 30.16%+0.22 +6.0 17
1987-08-16 Halmstad W 6-053.3 1701 1662 44.56% 36.85% 18.59%+0.49 +24.1 16
1987-08-16 @ Hammarby L 0-653.3 1662 1701 18.59% 36.85% 44.56%-0.49 -24.1 11
1987-08-16 Goteborg W 2-163.9 1882 1832 45.70% 36.64% 17.66%+0.55 +4.2 25
1987-08-16 @ Malmo L 1-263.9 1832 1882 17.66% 36.64% 45.70%-0.55 -4.2 19
1987-08-16 GIF Sundsvall D 1-168.6 1741 1607 54.22% 34.09% 11.69%+1.09 -1.7 16
1987-08-16 @ Orgryte D 1-168.6 1607 1741 11.69% 34.09% 54.22%-1.09 +1.7 13
1987-08-16 AIK Stockholm W 3-056.7 1689 1731 34.33% 37.67% 28.00%-0.03 +16.6 18
1987-08-16 @ Oster L 0-356.7 1731 1689 28.00% 37.67% 34.33%+0.03 -16.6 12
1987-08-17 Norrkoping D 0-063.7 1652 1736 28.56% 37.47% 33.97%-0.30 +0.2 16
1987-08-17 @ Vastra Frolunda D 0-063.7 1736 1652 33.97% 37.47% 28.56%+0.30 -0.2 21
1987-08-22 Malmo L 1-268.6 1828 1886 32.12% 37.64% 30.24%-0.13 -6.2 19
1987-08-22 @ Goteborg W 2-168.6 1886 1828 30.24% 37.64% 32.12%+0.13 +6.2 27
1987-08-30 Elfsborg W 2-052.0 1715 1590 53.37% 34.43% 12.20%+1.03 +6.2 14
1987-08-30 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-252.0 1590 1715 12.20% 34.43% 53.37%-1.03 -6.2 6
1987-08-30 Hammarby D 1-168.0 1674 1725 33.05% 37.66% 29.28%-0.09 -0.1 18
1987-08-30 @ Brage D 1-168.0 1725 1674 29.28% 37.66% 33.05%+0.09 +0.1 17
1987-08-30 Oster L 0-160.4 1609 1706 26.79% 37.31% 35.90%-0.38 -5.9 13
1987-08-30 @ GIF Sundsvall W 1-060.4 1706 1609 35.90% 37.31% 26.79%+0.38 +5.9 20
1987-08-30 Norrkoping W 3-266.9 1822 1735 49.59% 35.70% 14.70%+0.78 +3.4 21
1987-08-30 @ Goteborg L 2-366.9 1735 1822 14.70% 35.70% 49.59%-0.78 -3.4 21
1987-08-30 Vastra Frolunda W 1-059.5 1637 1652 37.95% 37.57% 24.48%+0.14 +5.6 13
1987-08-30 @ Halmstad L 0-159.5 1652 1637 24.48% 37.57% 37.95%-0.14 -5.6 16
1987-08-30 Orgryte D 2-274.9 1892 1739 55.96% 33.33% 10.70%+1.21 -1.4 28
1987-08-30 @ Malmo D 2-274.9 1739 1892 10.70% 33.33% 55.96%-1.21 +1.4 17
1987-09-02 GIF Sundsvall L 2-661.0 1584 1603 37.41% 37.60% 24.99%+0.11 -18.6 6
1987-09-02 @ Elfsborg W 6-261.0 1603 1584 24.99% 37.60% 37.41%-0.11 +18.6 15
1987-09-02 AIK Stockholm D 1-168.3 1725 1721 40.37% 37.40% 22.23%+0.26 -0.7 18
1987-09-02 @ Hammarby D 1-168.3 1721 1725 22.23% 37.40% 40.37%-0.26 +0.7 15
1987-09-02 Halmstad W 2-053.8 1732 1643 49.89% 35.62% 14.50%+0.80 +7.2 23
1987-09-02 @ Norrkoping L 0-253.8 1643 1732 14.50% 35.62% 49.89%-0.80 -7.2 13
1987-09-02 Goteborg L 1-461.7 1740 1825 28.44% 37.46% 34.10%-0.30 -14.1 17
1987-09-02 @ Orgryte W 4-161.7 1825 1740 34.10% 37.46% 28.44%+0.30 +14.1 23
1987-09-02 Malmo W 2-172.1 1712 1891 18.16% 35.50% 46.33%-0.90 +8.1 22
1987-09-02 @ Oster L 1-272.1 1891 1712 46.33% 35.50% 18.16%+0.90 -8.1 28
1987-09-03 Brage D 0-063.0 1647 1674 36.32% 37.64% 26.04%+0.06 -0.4 17
1987-09-03 @ Vastra Frolunda D 0-063.0 1674 1647 26.04% 37.64% 36.32%-0.06 +0.4 19
1987-09-05 AIK Stockholm D 1-169.5 1839 1722 52.70% 34.68% 12.62%+0.98 -1.6 24
1987-09-05 @ Goteborg D 1-169.5 1722 1839 12.62% 34.68% 52.70%-0.98 +1.6 16
1987-09-06 GIF Sundsvall W 3-158.9 1674 1621 46.06% 36.57% 17.37%+0.57 +7.1 21
1987-09-06 @ Brage L 1-358.9 1621 1674 17.37% 36.57% 46.06%-0.57 -7.2 15
1987-09-06 Malmo D 2-274.8 1636 1883 13.25% 33.02% 53.73%-1.33 +1.2 14
1987-09-06 @ Halmstad D 2-274.8 1883 1636 53.73% 33.02% 13.25%+1.33 -1.2 29
1987-09-06 Elfsborg L 2-376.9 1725 1565 56.53% 33.07% 10.40%+1.25 -9.1 18
1987-09-06 @ Hammarby W 3-276.9 1565 1725 10.40% 33.07% 56.53%-1.25 +9.1 8
1987-09-06 Orgryte W 3-161.7 1739 1726 41.42% 37.29% 21.29%+0.32 +8.3 25
1987-09-06 @ Norrkoping L 1-361.7 1726 1739 21.29% 37.29% 41.42%-0.32 -8.3 17
1987-09-06 Oster L 0-258.9 1646 1720 29.90% 37.56% 32.54%-0.23 -11.9 17
1987-09-06 @ Vastra Frolunda W 2-058.9 1720 1646 32.54% 37.56% 29.90%+0.23 +11.9 24
1987-09-12 Brage D 0-064.0 1723 1681 44.82% 36.80% 18.37%+0.50 -1.1 17
1987-09-12 @ AIK Stockholm D 0-064.0 1681 1723 18.37% 36.80% 44.82%-0.50 +1.1 22
1987-09-12 Goteborg W 3-170.2 1574 1838 12.32% 32.31% 55.37%-1.44 +16.1 10
1987-09-12 @ Elfsborg L 1-370.2 1838 1574 55.37% 32.31% 12.32%+1.44 -16.1 24
1987-09-12 Halmstad D 1-166.3 1614 1637 36.88% 37.62% 25.49%+0.09 -0.4 16
1987-09-12 @ GIF Sundsvall D 1-166.3 1637 1614 25.49% 37.62% 36.88%-0.09 +0.4 15
1987-09-12 Norrkoping W 2-053.4 1881 1747 54.23% 34.09% 11.68%+1.09 +5.9 31
1987-09-12 @ Malmo L 0-253.4 1747 1881 11.68% 34.09% 54.23%-1.09 -5.9 25
1987-09-12 Vastra Frolunda D 0-063.9 1718 1634 49.35% 35.77% 14.88%+0.77 -1.5 18
1987-09-12 @ Orgryte D 0-063.9 1634 1718 14.88% 35.77% 49.35%-0.77 +1.5 18
1987-09-12 Hammarby L 1-663.0 1732 1715 41.84% 37.24% 20.92%+0.34 -29.1 24
1987-09-12 @ Oster W 6-163.0 1715 1732 20.92% 37.24% 41.84%-0.34 +29.1 20
1987-09-26 Malmo D 1-169.3 1722 1887 19.37% 35.90% 44.73%-0.82 +0.9 18
1987-09-26 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-169.3 1887 1722 44.73% 35.90% 19.37%+0.82 -0.9 32
1987-09-26 Orgryte W 4-055.6 1682 1716 35.40% 37.66% 26.94%+0.02 +21.2 24
1987-09-26 @ Brage L 0-455.6 1716 1682 26.94% 37.66% 35.40%-0.02 -21.2 18
1987-09-26 GIF Sundsvall D 1-170.2 1822 1614 60.66% 30.92% 8.43%+1.56 -2.2 25
1987-09-26 @ Goteborg D 1-170.2 1614 1822 8.43% 30.92% 60.66%-1.56 +2.2 17
1987-09-26 Oster W 2-167.0 1637 1703 31.08% 37.61% 31.31%-0.18 +6.1 17
1987-09-26 @ Halmstad L 1-267.0 1703 1637 31.31% 37.61% 31.08%+0.18 -6.1 24
1987-09-26 Elfsborg W 3-049.6 1742 1590 55.79% 33.41% 10.80%+1.20 +8.0 27
1987-09-26 @ Norrkoping L 0-349.6 1590 1742 10.80% 33.41% 55.79%-1.20 -8.0 10
1987-09-26 Hammarby D 1-168.0 1636 1745 25.38% 37.15% 37.47%-0.46 +0.4 19
1987-09-26 @ Vastra Frolunda D 1-168.0 1745 1636 37.47% 37.15% 25.38%+0.46 -0.4 21
1987-10-04 Vastra Frolunda L 1-265.6 1582 1636 32.70% 37.66% 29.64%-0.11 -6.3 10
1987-10-04 @ Elfsborg W 2-165.6 1636 1582 29.64% 37.66% 32.70%+0.11 +6.3 21
1987-10-04 AIK Stockholm L 0-160.3 1616 1723 25.60% 37.17% 37.23%-0.45 -5.7 17
1987-10-04 @ GIF Sundsvall W 1-060.3 1723 1616 37.23% 37.17% 25.60%+0.45 +5.7 20
1987-10-04 Goteborg D 0-064.4 1744 1819 29.72% 37.55% 32.73%-0.24 +0.1 22
1987-10-04 @ Hammarby D 0-064.4 1819 1744 32.73% 37.55% 29.72%+0.24 -0.1 26
1987-10-04 Brage W 3-050.0 1886 1704 58.56% 32.06% 9.38%+1.40 +6.9 34
1987-10-04 @ Malmo L 0-350.0 1704 1886 9.38% 32.06% 58.56%-1.40 -6.9 24
1987-10-04 Halmstad W 7-358.0 1695 1644 45.93% 36.59% 17.47%+0.56 +10.2 20
1987-10-04 @ Orgryte L 3-758.0 1644 1695 17.47% 36.59% 45.93%-0.56 -10.2 17
1987-10-04 Norrkoping L 0-260.3 1697 1750 32.82% 37.66% 29.52%-0.10 -12.6 24
1987-10-04 @ Oster W 2-060.3 1750 1697 29.52% 37.66% 32.82%+0.10 +12.7 29

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
1987-10-10 Norrkoping W 3-053.6 1819 1762 46.51% 36.47% 17.01%+0.60 +11.8 1-0
1987-10-10 @ Goteborg L 0-353.6 1762 1819 17.01% 36.47% 46.51%-0.60 -11.8 0-1
1987-10-10 Malmo L 1-262.6 1684 1893 15.73% 34.48% 49.79%-1.10 -3.7 0-1
1987-10-10 @ Oster W 2-162.6 1893 1684 49.79% 34.48% 15.73%+1.10 +3.7 1-0
1987-10-17 Oster W 2-159.1 1897 1680 61.39% 30.49% 8.12%+1.61 +2.0 2-0
1987-10-17 @ Malmo L 1-259.1 1680 1897 8.12% 30.49% 61.39%-1.61 -2.0 0-2
1987-10-17 Goteborg D 2-273.6 1750 1831 28.98% 37.50% 33.53%-0.28 +0.1 0-1-1
1987-10-17 @ Norrkoping D 2-273.6 1831 1750 33.53% 37.50% 28.98%+0.28 -0.1 1-0-1
1987-10-24 Malmo W 1-063.6 1831 1899 30.68% 37.59% 31.72%-0.20 +6.6 2-0-1
1987-10-24 @ Goteborg L 0-163.6 1899 1831 31.72% 37.59% 30.68%+0.20 -6.6 2-1
1987-10-31 Goteborg W 2-163.8 1892 1837 46.30% 36.52% 17.18%+0.58 +4.1 3-1
1987-10-31 @ Malmo L 1-263.8 1837 1892 17.18% 36.52% 46.30%-0.58 -4.1 2-1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1987-07-19 9.75% Brage 1653 3 @ Goteborg 1827 2
2 1987-09-06 10.40% Elfsborg 1565 3 @ Hammarby 1725 2
3 1987-09-12 12.32% @ Elfsborg 1574 3 Goteborg 1838 1
4 1987-06-24 13.20% GIF Sundsvall 1603 3 @ Hammarby 1711 2
5 1987-07-15 14.90% Vastra Frolunda 1651 3 @ AIK Stockholm 1735 2
6 1987-06-08 15.46% Brage 1643 1 @ Hammarby 1720 0
7 1987-06-11 15.47% Orgryte 1742 2 @ Goteborg 1818 1
8 1987-05-17 16.33% Oster 1694 1 @ AIK Stockholm 1759 0
9 1987-07-30 16.38% Vastra Frolunda 1655 1 @ Oster 1720 0
10 1987-04-25 17.09% AIK Stockholm 1759 1 @ Malmo 1815 0
11 1987-09-02 18.16% @ Oster 1712 2 Malmo 1891 1
12 1987-07-12 19.12% Oster 1711 2 @ Orgryte 1745 1
13 1987-09-12 20.92% Hammarby 1715 6 @ Oster 1732 1
14 1987-06-08 22.41% @ Elfsborg 1615 1 AIK Stockholm 1750 0
15 1987-09-02 24.99% GIF Sundsvall 1603 6 @ Elfsborg 1584 2
16 1987-05-14 27.96% Goteborg 1808 2 @ AIK Stockholm 1766 1
17 1987-06-24 28.14% @ Vastra Frolunda 1655 1 AIK Stockholm 1741 0
18 1987-04-21 28.37% Orgryte 1723 5 @ Elfsborg 1678 0
19 1987-10-04 29.52% Norrkoping 1750 2 @ Oster 1697 0
20 1987-10-04 29.64% Vastra Frolunda 1636 2 @ Elfsborg 1582 1
21 1987-06-11 30.19% Norrkoping 1725 2 @ Halmstad 1667 1
22 1987-08-22 30.24% Malmo 1886 2 @ Goteborg 1828 1
23 1987-10-24 * 30.68% @ Goteborg 1831 1 Malmo 1899 0
24 1987-09-26 31.08% @ Halmstad 1637 2 Oster 1703 1
25 1987-04-21 31.19% @ Norrkoping 1707 2 AIK Stockholm 1771 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1987-04-21 30.26 Orgryte 5 1723 28.37% @ Elfsborg 0 1678 33.96% 37.67%
2 1987-09-12 29.13 Hammarby 6 1715 20.92% @ Oster 1 1732 41.84% 37.24%
3 1987-08-16 24.11 @ Hammarby 6 1701 44.56% Halmstad 0 1662 18.59% 36.85%
4 1987-09-26 21.19 @ Brage 4 1682 35.40% Orgryte 0 1716 26.94% 37.66%
5 1987-04-26 19.18 @ Oster 4 1690 39.40% Halmstad 0 1693 23.12% 37.48%
6 1987-04-21 19.04 @ Halmstad 4 1674 39.67% Brage 0 1676 22.87% 37.46%
7 1987-09-02 18.57 GIF Sundsvall 6 1603 24.99% @ Elfsborg 2 1584 37.41% 37.60%
8 1987-05-28 16.87 Malmo 3 1824 33.75% @ Norrkoping 0 1741 28.77% 37.48%
9 1987-08-16 16.62 @ Oster 3 1689 34.33% AIK Stockholm 0 1731 28.00% 37.67%
10 1987-09-12 16.08 @ Elfsborg 3 1574 12.32% Goteborg 1 1838 55.37% 32.31%
11 1987-08-02 15.70 Goteborg 3 1816 36.99% @ Oster 0 1711 25.81% 37.20%
12 1987-06-08 14.16 Malmo 7 1840 33.99% @ Orgryte 3 1757 28.54% 37.47%
13 1987-09-02 14.13 Goteborg 4 1825 34.10% @ Orgryte 1 1740 28.44% 37.46%
14 1987-05-01 13.74 @ Norrkoping 3 1725 41.76% Oster 0 1709 20.99% 37.25%
15 1987-05-01 13.58 Malmo 3 1806 42.63% @ Brage 0 1658 21.02% 36.35%
16 1987-10-04 12.65 Norrkoping 2 1750 29.52% @ Oster 0 1697 32.82% 37.66%
17 1987-04-26 12.33 @ Hammarby 3 1700 45.24% Vastra Frolunda 0 1655 18.03% 36.73%
18 1987-04-21 12.24 @ Norrkoping 2 1707 31.19% AIK Stockholm 0 1771 31.20% 37.61%
19 1987-05-01 12.21 @ Vastra Frolunda 4 1642 39.93% Elfsborg 1 1642 22.63% 37.44%
20 1987-08-02 12.15 @ GIF Sundsvall 2 1602 31.54% Vastra Frolunda 0 1664 30.83% 37.63%
21 1987-05-24 12.13 @ GIF Sundsvall 2 1594 31.65% Brage 0 1655 30.72% 37.63%
22 1987-09-06 11.92 Oster 2 1720 32.54% @ Vastra Frolunda 0 1646 29.90% 37.56%
23 1987-10-10 * 11.80 @ Goteborg 3 1819 46.51% Norrkoping 0 1762 17.01% 36.47%
24 1987-07-15 11.31 Hammarby 2 1703 35.02% @ GIF Sundsvall 0 1612 27.59% 37.39%
25 1987-04-12 11.01 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1760 48.42% Halmstad 0 1685 15.56% 36.02%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1987-07-19 78.6 Brage 3 1653 9.75% @ Goteborg 2 1827 57.79% 32.46%
2 1987-09-06 76.9 Elfsborg 3 1565 10.40% @ Hammarby 2 1725 56.53% 33.07%
3 1987-07-15 76.6 Vastra Frolunda 3 1651 14.90% @ AIK Stockholm 2 1735 49.32% 35.78%
4 1987-06-24 76.4 GIF Sundsvall 3 1603 13.20% @ Hammarby 2 1711 51.80% 35.01%
5 1987-08-30 74.9 @ Malmo 2 1892 55.96% Orgryte 2 1739 10.70% 33.33%
6 1987-09-06 74.8 @ Halmstad 2 1636 13.25% Malmo 2 1883 53.73% 33.02%
7 1987-04-12 74.6 @ Malmo 2 1817 56.79% Vastra Frolunda 2 1654 10.26% 32.95%
8 1987-04-21 73.6 @ Hammarby 2 1700 24.59% Malmo 2 1815 38.37% 37.04%
9 1987-05-11 73.6 @ Vastra Frolunda 2 1655 20.49% Goteborg 2 1808 43.30% 36.21%
10 1987-10-17 * 73.6 @ Norrkoping 2 1750 28.98% Goteborg 2 1831 33.53% 37.50%
11 1987-06-11 72.8 Orgryte 2 1742 15.47% @ Goteborg 1 1818 48.54% 35.99%
12 1987-09-02 72.1 @ Oster 2 1712 18.16% Malmo 1 1891 46.33% 35.50%
13 1987-05-28 71.5 @ Hammarby 4 1715 41.30% Oster 3 1703 21.40% 37.31%
14 1987-07-12 71.4 Oster 2 1711 19.12% @ Orgryte 1 1745 43.92% 36.96%
15 1987-09-12 70.2 @ Elfsborg 3 1574 12.32% Goteborg 1 1838 55.37% 32.31%
16 1987-09-26 70.2 @ Goteborg 1 1822 60.66% GIF Sundsvall 1 1614 8.43% 30.92%
17 1987-09-05 69.5 @ Goteborg 1 1839 52.70% AIK Stockholm 1 1722 12.62% 34.68%
18 1987-09-26 69.3 @ AIK Stockholm 1 1722 19.37% Malmo 1 1887 44.73% 35.90%
19 1987-05-14 69.1 Goteborg 2 1808 27.96% @ AIK Stockholm 1 1766 34.36% 37.67%
20 1987-07-15 69.1 @ Halmstad 1 1649 18.13% Goteborg 1 1828 46.38% 35.49%
21 1987-05-20 68.6 @ Orgryte 1 1758 41.93% Norrkoping 1 1741 20.83% 37.23%
22 1987-08-16 68.6 @ Orgryte 1 1741 54.22% GIF Sundsvall 1 1607 11.69% 34.09%
23 1987-08-22 68.6 Malmo 2 1886 30.24% @ Goteborg 1 1828 32.12% 37.64%
24 1987-06-11 68.5 @ AIK Stockholm 1 1742 43.68% Hammarby 1 1711 19.33% 36.99%
25 1987-07-22 68.4 @ Norrkoping 1 1729 53.78% GIF Sundsvall 1 1600 11.95% 34.27%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1987-07-15 48.3 @ Malmo 3 1860 63.22% Elfsborg 0 1620 7.40% 29.39%
2 1987-09-26 49.6 @ Norrkoping 3 1742 55.79% Elfsborg 0 1590 10.80% 33.41%
3 1987-10-04 50.0 @ Malmo 3 1886 58.56% Brage 0 1704 9.38% 32.06%
4 1987-06-24 50.6 @ Goteborg 3 1810 55.60% Halmstad 0 1661 10.90% 33.50%
5 1987-08-02 50.6 @ Orgryte 3 1737 53.11% Elfsborg 0 1615 12.36% 34.53%
6 1987-05-28 51.3 @ Goteborg 2 1814 59.54% Elfsborg 0 1620 8.92% 31.54%
7 1987-08-30 52.0 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1715 53.37% Elfsborg 0 1590 12.20% 34.43%
8 1987-07-10 52.5 @ Goteborg 6 1818 56.27% Vastra Frolunda 1 1662 10.54% 33.20%
9 1987-04-12 52.6 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1760 48.42% Halmstad 0 1685 15.56% 36.02%
10 1987-07-29 52.8 @ Malmo 2 1869 56.17% Hammarby 0 1714 10.59% 33.24%
11 1987-04-26 53.0 @ Hammarby 3 1700 45.24% Vastra Frolunda 0 1655 18.03% 36.73%
12 1987-08-16 53.3 @ Hammarby 6 1701 44.56% Halmstad 0 1662 18.59% 36.85%
13 1987-09-12 53.4 @ Malmo 2 1881 54.23% Norrkoping 0 1747 11.68% 34.09%
14 1987-10-10 * 53.6 @ Goteborg 3 1819 46.51% Norrkoping 0 1762 17.01% 36.47%
15 1987-09-02 53.8 @ Norrkoping 2 1732 49.89% Halmstad 0 1643 14.50% 35.62%
16 1987-04-21 53.9 @ Halmstad 4 1674 39.67% Brage 0 1676 22.87% 37.46%
17 1987-04-26 54.2 @ Oster 4 1690 39.40% Halmstad 0 1693 23.12% 37.48%
18 1987-05-17 54.2 @ Norrkoping 2 1733 48.73% Vastra Frolunda 0 1655 15.33% 35.94%
19 1987-05-01 54.5 Malmo 3 1806 42.63% @ Brage 0 1658 21.02% 36.35%
20 1987-05-01 54.6 @ Norrkoping 3 1725 41.76% Oster 0 1709 20.99% 37.25%
21 1987-05-17 55.1 @ Brage 2 1646 41.85% Elfsborg 0 1629 20.91% 37.24%
22 1987-08-09 55.2 Malmo 4 1874 55.06% @ GIF Sundsvall 1 1614 12.49% 32.45%
23 1987-05-10 55.5 @ Malmo 3 1820 61.29% GIF Sundsvall 1 1605 8.16% 30.55%
24 1987-09-26 55.6 @ Brage 4 1682 35.40% Orgryte 0 1716 26.94% 37.66%
25 1987-06-08 56.1 @ Oster 1 1699 50.12% GIF Sundsvall 0 1607 14.33% 35.55%