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1988 Allsvenskan Season

132 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Malmo

32 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Djurgarden

7.83 points above expected

27 points · 19.17 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Hammarby

7.06 points below expected

13 points · 20.06 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Malmo 22 15 2 5 32 45 26 +19 28.73 +3.27
2 Goteborg 22 13 5 4 31 37 18 +19 26.89 +4.11
3 Djurgarden 22 9 9 4 27 38 22 +16 19.17 +7.83
4 Orgryte 22 9 5 8 23 27 23 +4 22.90 +0.10
5 GIF Sundsvall 22 8 7 7 23 26 26 0 21.67 +1.33
6 Norrkoping 22 9 3 10 21 39 29 +10 25.28 -4.28
7 Brage 22 7 7 8 21 23 30 -7 20.27 +0.73
8 GAIS 22 8 4 10 20 25 31 -6 16.79 +3.21
9 Vastra Frolunda 22 6 6 10 18 24 34 -10 19.49 -1.49
10 AIK Stockholm 22 6 6 10 18 19 30 -11 22.42 -4.42
11 Oster 22 4 9 9 17 20 33 -13 20.33 -3.33
12 Hammarby 22 5 3 14 13 19 40 -21 20.06 -7.06

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Djurgarden 27 19.17 +7.83
2 Goteborg 31 26.89 +4.11
3 Malmo 32 28.73 +3.27
4 GAIS 20 16.79 +3.21
5 GIF Sundsvall 23 21.67 +1.33

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hammarby 13 20.06 -7.06
2 AIK Stockholm 18 22.42 -4.42
3 Norrkoping 21 25.28 -4.28
4 Oster 17 20.33 -3.33
5 Vastra Frolunda 18 19.49 -1.49

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Malmo 11 May 15 – Aug 9 1 in 1,734
2 Norrkoping 6 May 16 – Jun 16 1 in 72
3 Orgryte 4 Apr 18 – May 8 1 in 33
4 GAIS 3 Jul 17 – Aug 3 1 in 29
5 GIF Sundsvall 3 May 8 – May 19 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Norrkoping 5 Aug 22 – Oct 22 1 in 969
2 Hammarby 5 Apr 24 – May 19 1 in 386
3 Orgryte 5 May 16 – Jun 13 1 in 295
4 GAIS 6 Apr 17 – May 18 1 in 66
5 GIF Sundsvall 3 Aug 21 – Aug 28 1 in 36

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 GIF Sundsvall 7 Apr 18 – May 28 1 in 64
2 Malmo 14 May 3 – Aug 14 1 in 31
3 Djurgarden 7 Jul 17 – Aug 24 1 in 25
4 GAIS 5 Jun 19 – Aug 3 1 in 18
5 Goteborg 7 Aug 8 – Oct 22 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Oster 12 May 29 – Aug 25 1 in 126
2 Norrkoping 6 Aug 14 – Oct 22 1 in 52
3 Hammarby 7 Apr 24 – Jun 5 1 in 30
4 GIF Sundsvall 6 Aug 7 – Oct 9 1 in 21
5 Orgryte 6 May 16 – Jun 16 1 in 19

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Malmo 1800 32 -27 4 6.8 -2.8
Goteborg 1793 31 +42 9 6.2 +2.8
Djurgarden 1679 27 +27 7 4.7 +2.3
Orgryte 1673 23 +1 6 5.3 +0.7
GIF Sundsvall 1619 23 -40 3 5.5 -2.5
Brage 1624 21 +32 7 4.4 +2.6
Norrkoping 1688 21 -57 0 6.0 -6.0
GAIS 1587 20 +6 5 3.7 +1.3
Vastra Frolunda 1580 18 +28 7 3.7 +3.3
AIK Stockholm 1610 18 -26 3 5.6 -2.6
Oster 1575 17 -7 4 4.0 +0.0
Hammarby 1585 13 +21 5 4.1 +0.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS BRA DJU GAI GS GOT HAM MAL NOR ORG OST VF
AIK Stockholm —
0-1-1
3.04
0-2-0
2.85
0-1-1
3.26
0-0-2
2.84
0-0-2
2.13
1-1-0
3.06
0-0-2
1.74
2-0-0
2.31
2-0-0
2.56
0-1-1
3.04
1-0-1
3.16
Brage
1-1-0
2.44
—
0-2-0
2.67
1-0-1
3.13
1-1-0
2.52
0-0-2
2.00
1-0-1
2.96
1-0-1
1.64
1-0-1
2.15
0-1-1
2.66
1-1-0
2.75
0-1-1
3.07
Djurgarden
0-2-0
2.64
0-2-0
2.81
—
2-0-0
3.20
2-0-0
2.51
0-1-1
1.85
2-0-0
2.55
0-1-1
1.74
1-0-1
2.34
0-1-1
2.39
0-2-0
2.60
2-0-0
2.49
GAIS
1-1-0
2.23
1-0-1
2.36
0-0-2
2.28
—
0-2-0
2.08
0-0-2
1.41
2-0-0
2.04
1-0-1
1.26
0-0-2
1.85
0-1-1
2.00
1-0-1
2.34
2-0-0
2.35
GIF Sundsvall
2-0-0
2.64
0-1-1
2.96
0-0-2
2.97
0-2-0
3.41
—
2-0-0
2.00
1-0-1
2.94
0-1-1
1.78
1-1-0
2.18
1-0-1
2.47
1-0-1
2.62
0-2-0
3.00
Goteborg
2-0-0
3.36
2-0-0
3.49
1-1-0
3.65
2-0-0
4.11
0-0-2
3.49
—
1-0-1
3.76
1-0-1
2.54
2-0-0
3.09
1-1-0
3.32
1-1-0
3.63
0-2-0
3.75
Hammarby
0-1-1
2.43
1-0-1
2.52
0-0-2
2.93
0-0-2
3.45
1-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
1.75
—
1-0-1
1.83
0-1-1
1.78
0-0-2
2.59
1-1-0
2.59
0-0-2
2.92
Malmo
2-0-0
3.77
1-0-1
3.86
1-1-0
3.76
1-0-1
4.27
1-1-0
3.73
1-0-1
2.95
1-0-1
3.68
—
1-0-1
3.33
2-0-0
3.64
2-0-0
3.88
2-0-0
3.84
Norrkoping
0-0-2
3.19
1-0-1
3.34
1-0-1
3.14
2-0-0
3.66
0-1-1
3.31
0-0-2
2.39
1-1-0
3.71
1-0-1
2.15
—
1-0-1
3.01
1-1-0
3.64
1-0-1
3.80
Orgryte
0-0-2
2.92
1-1-0
2.82
1-1-0
3.10
1-1-0
3.49
1-0-1
3.02
0-1-1
2.17
2-0-0
2.89
0-0-2
1.86
1-0-1
2.47
—
0-1-1
3.27
2-0-0
3.22
Oster
1-1-0
2.44
0-1-1
2.73
0-2-0
2.88
1-0-1
3.15
1-0-1
2.86
0-1-1
1.87
0-1-1
2.89
0-0-2
1.62
0-1-1
1.85
1-1-0
2.21
—
0-1-1
2.94
Vastra Frolunda
1-0-1
2.33
1-1-0
2.41
0-0-2
2.99
0-0-2
3.13
0-2-0
2.48
0-2-0
1.75
2-0-0
2.57
0-0-2
1.68
1-0-1
1.71
0-0-2
2.26
1-1-0
2.54
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.73 +5.4
Allowed 0.75 -8.3
Differential 0.89 +3.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.58%7.95%7.20%4.92%0.76%0.38%28.79%
17.95%13.64%7.95%3.03%0.38%1.14%34.09%
27.20%7.95%3.03%2.65%1.14%—21.97%
34.92%3.03%2.65%0.76%——11.36%
40.76%0.38%1.14%———2.27%
5+0.38%1.14%————1.52%
Total28.79%34.09%21.97%11.36%2.27%1.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.30 +0.00
SD 1.18 1.18 1.79
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.73%4.55%9.09%9.09%——45.45%
19.09%—13.64%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
29.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
3———————
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total40.91%9.09%31.82%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 1.36 -0.50
SD 1.04 1.40 1.68
CV 1.20 1.03 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%18.18%——36.36%
19.09%22.73%4.55%———36.36%
24.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%45.45%18.18%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.36 -0.32
SD 1.09 1.00 1.76
CV 1.04 0.73 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%9.09%—4.55%——31.82%
1—13.64%————13.64%
29.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
34.55%—————4.55%
44.55%—9.09%———13.64%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total36.36%36.36%18.18%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.00 +0.73
SD 1.67 0.98 1.80
CV 0.97 0.98 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%9.09%———27.27%
19.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%—4.55%36.36%
213.64%9.09%—9.09%——31.82%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%36.36%18.18%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.41 -0.27
SD 0.89 1.44 1.67
CV 0.78 1.02 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
113.64%22.73%————36.36%
24.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
3———————
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%45.45%13.64%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.18 +0.00
SD 1.01 1.10 1.54
CV 0.85 0.93 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%————13.64%
113.64%18.18%4.55%4.55%——40.91%
24.55%13.64%————18.18%
39.09%13.64%————22.73%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total31.82%59.09%4.55%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 0.82 +0.86
SD 1.25 0.73 1.49
CV 0.74 0.90 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%45.45%
1—4.55%18.18%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
24.55%9.09%————13.64%
39.09%—————9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%22.73%31.82%9.09%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 1.82 -0.95
SD 0.99 1.62 2.21
CV 1.15 0.89 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
14.55%4.55%9.09%9.09%——27.27%
231.82%9.09%4.55%4.55%——50.00%
3—4.55%13.64%———18.18%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total36.36%22.73%27.27%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 1.18 +0.86
SD 0.95 1.10 1.52
CV 0.46 0.93 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 1 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
1—4.55%18.18%9.09%——31.82%
2——4.55%———4.55%
318.18%4.55%13.64%———36.36%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total27.27%22.73%40.91%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.32 +0.45
SD 1.54 0.99 2.11
CV 0.87 0.75 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
118.18%22.73%13.64%———54.55%
24.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
39.09%4.55%————13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.82%40.91%18.18%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.05 +0.18
SD 0.92 0.95 1.53
CV 0.75 0.91 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%—36.36%
19.09%22.73%9.09%—4.55%—45.45%
2—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
34.55%——4.55%——9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%36.36%18.18%13.64%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.50 -0.59
SD 0.92 1.26 1.62
CV 1.01 0.84 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%22.73%4.55%——40.91%
19.09%13.64%————22.73%
2—9.09%—4.55%9.09%—22.73%
34.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%31.82%22.73%13.64%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.55 -0.45
SD 1.11 1.26 1.57
CV 1.02 0.82 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Malmo 1818 32 28.73 +3.27 84.0% 20 23 26 29 31 35 38
Goteborg 1781 31 26.89 +4.11 90.0% 17 20 24 27 29 32 34
Norrkoping 1688 21 25.28 -4.28 10.0% 14 19 23 25 28 31 34
Djurgarden 1682 27 19.17 +7.83 99.0% 9 13 16 19 22 25 28
Orgryte 1664 23 22.90 +0.10 52.0% 15 16 20 23 25 28 32
Brage 1624 21 20.27 +0.73 69.0% 9 14 18 20 23 27 33
GIF Sundsvall 1619 23 21.67 +1.33 74.0% 12 15 19 22 24 28 33
AIK Stockholm 1610 18 22.42 -4.42 20.0% 12 15 19 22 26 30 33
GAIS 1587 20 16.79 +3.21 82.0% 4 9 14 17 19 23 25
Hammarby 1585 13 20.06 -7.06 3.0% 10 14 17 20 23 27 29
Vastra Frolunda 1580 18 19.49 -1.49 40.0% 9 11 17 19 23 26 32
Oster 1575 17 20.33 -3.33 21.0% 11 14 18 20 23 25 31

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.88%
Slight Edge
43.94%25.00%31.06%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 45.00 Elo pts.
210 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.38 goals
Neutral
-2+0.21+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.4
Top-Heavy
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
46%
Malmo, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.14 * Some Luck: 3.14 to 4.71 * Lucky: 4.71 to 6.28 * Wild Swing: 6.28 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.82 * Close: 1.82 to 2.73 * Off: 2.73 to 3.64 * Way Off: 3.64 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.11 points
Some Luck
03.9210
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.50
Close
02.285
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
Djurgarden
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
3.00%
Hammarby
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Balanced
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 78.39
1.39
Coin-Flip Parity
0.951.41.652.75
Interquartile Edge
63%
Slight Edge
50%63%71.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
79%
Even
50%83%100%
Close Games
Expected
62%
Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Rare
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.32
Slight Separation
00.30.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.13
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.19
Weak Carryover
00.380.530.691
Upset Rate
Expected
28%
Very Upset-Prone
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Shaky
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.19
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.66
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.148
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1380.4

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

Djurgarden 2
Goteborg 1

Leg 1: Djurgarden 2-0 Goteborg

Leg 2: Goteborg 1-0 Djurgarden

Sim: 2.0%

Malmo 3
Orgryte 1

Leg 1: Orgryte 0-1 Malmo

Leg 2: Malmo 2-1 Orgryte

Sim: 8.0%

Finals

Malmo 7
Djurgarden 3

Leg 1: Djurgarden 0-0 Malmo

Leg 2: Malmo 7-3 Djurgarden

Sim: 1.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Malmo46.00%28.00%8.00%9.00%6.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%————
Goteborg23.00%28.00%22.00%7.00%9.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%—1.00%——
Djurgarden——5.00%7.00%7.00%10.00%7.00%12.00%15.00%10.00%12.00%15.00%
Orgryte4.00%7.00%13.00%18.00%10.00%10.00%12.00%11.00%5.00%3.00%4.00%3.00%
GIF Sundsvall1.00%7.00%6.00%7.00%14.00%12.00%14.00%11.00%9.00%9.00%7.00%3.00%
Norrkoping13.00%13.00%22.00%16.00%12.00%9.00%9.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%
Brage2.00%3.00%3.00%7.00%4.00%10.00%9.00%10.00%20.00%16.00%11.00%5.00%
GAIS——1.00%2.00%5.00%3.00%10.00%6.00%8.00%17.00%18.00%30.00%
Vastra Frolunda1.00%2.00%3.00%6.00%8.00%6.00%12.00%13.00%10.00%11.00%13.00%15.00%
AIK Stockholm8.00%6.00%9.00%12.00%9.00%12.00%7.00%7.00%8.00%11.00%6.00%5.00%
Oster1.00%4.00%2.00%5.00%11.00%13.00%10.00%9.00%11.00%11.00%13.00%10.00%
Hammarby1.00%2.00%6.00%4.00%5.00%9.00%7.00%15.00%13.00%10.00%15.00%13.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Djurgarden — —
Goteborg — —
Malmo — —
Orgryte — —
Norrkoping 34.00% 2.00%
GIF Sundsvall 69.00% 10.00%
AIK Stockholm 54.00% 11.00%
Brage 69.00% 16.00%
Oster 65.00% 23.00%
Hammarby 59.00% 28.00%
Vastra Frolunda 60.00% 28.00%
GAIS 49.00% 48.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
AIK StockholmBrageDjurgardenGAISGIF SundsvallGoteborgHammarbyMalmoNorrkopingOrgryteOsterVastra Frolunda
AIK Stockholm14.3%7.00%0.0%1.00%20.0%5.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%
Brage40.0%5.00%33.3%6.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Djurgarden100.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%50.0%6.00%33.3%6.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%
GAIS0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
GIF Sundsvall0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%12.5%8.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%7.00%25.0%4.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Goteborg85.7%7.00%60.0%5.00%50.0%4.00%87.5%8.00%42.9%7.00%29.4%17.00%63.6%22.00%77.8%9.00%100.0%3.00%100.0%4.00%
Hammarby100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%57.1%7.00%0.0%6.00%
Malmo80.0%5.00%66.7%6.00%50.0%6.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%7.00%70.6%17.00%100.0%6.00%55.6%18.00%61.5%13.00%100.0%5.00%80.0%5.00%
Norrkoping75.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%6.00%75.0%4.00%36.4%22.00%44.4%18.00%16.7%6.00%33.3%3.00%50.0%2.00%
Orgryte100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%50.0%2.00%22.2%9.00%38.5%13.00%83.3%6.00%0.0%1.00%
Oster0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%0.0%5.00%66.7%3.00%
Vastra Frolunda0.0%1.00%0.0%4.00%20.0%5.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
AIK StockholmBrageDjurgardenGIF SundsvallGoteborgHammarbyMalmoNorrkopingOrgryteOsterVastra Frolunda
AIK Stockholm0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%
Brage100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Djurgarden0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%66.7%3.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%
GIF Sundsvall0.0%3.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%
Goteborg66.7%3.00%100.0%3.00%50.0%32.00%90.0%10.00%100.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%
Hammarby100.0%1.00%20.0%5.00%
Malmo100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%2.00%50.0%32.00%80.0%5.00%60.0%10.00%66.7%6.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%
Norrkoping0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%10.0%10.00%40.0%10.00%33.3%3.00%
Orgryte100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%33.3%6.00%66.7%3.00%
Oster0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%
Vastra Frolunda0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Semifinals Finals
Malmo 65.00% 39.00%
Goteborg 66.30% 33.90%
Orgryte 35.00% 15.10%
Djurgarden 33.70% 12.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
DjurgardenGoteborgMalmoOrgryte
Djurgarden33.7%100.00%
Goteborg66.3%100.00%
Malmo65.0%100.00%
Orgryte35.0%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
DjurgardenGoteborgMalmoOrgryte
Djurgarden28.3%21.90%49.2%11.80%
Goteborg45.9%43.10%60.8%23.20%
Malmo71.7%21.90%54.1%43.10%
Orgryte50.8%11.80%39.2%23.20%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1988-04-10 Vastra Frolunda W 4-263.1 1567 1623 39.81% 26.12% 34.06%-0.05 +10.6 2
1988-04-10 @ Djurgarden L 2-463.1 1623 1567 34.06% 26.12% 39.81%+0.05 -10.5 0
1988-04-10 Oster L 0-160.4 1607 1642 42.69% 26.11% 31.19%+0.05 -8.6 0
1988-04-10 @ GIF Sundsvall W 1-060.4 1642 1607 31.19% 26.11% 42.69%-0.05 +8.6 2
1988-04-10 Orgryte W 3-265.6 1750 1657 57.40% 25.14% 17.45%+0.66 +3.8 2
1988-04-10 @ Malmo L 2-365.6 1657 1750 17.45% 25.14% 57.40%-0.66 -3.8 0
1988-04-11 Norrkoping W 2-053.9 1669 1679 45.93% 26.04% 28.03%+0.17 +11.8 2
1988-04-11 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-253.9 1679 1669 28.03% 26.04% 45.93%-0.17 -11.7 0
1988-04-11 Brage W 3-049.3 1727 1650 55.89% 25.34% 18.77%+0.58 +12.3 2
1988-04-11 @ Goteborg L 0-349.3 1650 1727 18.77% 25.34% 55.89%-0.58 -12.3 0
1988-04-12 Hammarby W 2-056.9 1561 1681 30.98% 25.89% 43.13%-0.36 +16.3 2
1988-04-12 @ GAIS L 0-256.9 1681 1561 43.13% 25.89% 30.98%+0.36 -16.3 0
1988-04-17 AIK Stockholm W 2-164.4 1638 1681 41.55% 26.12% 32.32%+0.01 +6.5 2
1988-04-17 @ Brage L 1-264.4 1681 1638 32.32% 26.12% 41.55%-0.01 -6.6 2
1988-04-17 GAIS W 1-052.8 1650 1577 55.43% 25.39% 19.17%+0.56 +4.6 4
1988-04-17 @ Oster L 0-152.8 1577 1650 19.17% 25.39% 55.43%-0.56 -4.6 2
1988-04-17 Goteborg D 0-066.9 1612 1740 29.99% 25.84% 44.17%-0.39 +0.7 1
1988-04-17 @ Vastra Frolunda D 0-066.9 1740 1612 44.17% 25.84% 29.99%+0.39 -0.7 3
1988-04-18 Malmo W 2-167.2 1665 1754 35.12% 26.05% 38.83%-0.21 +7.5 2
1988-04-18 @ Hammarby L 1-267.2 1754 1665 38.83% 26.05% 35.12%+0.21 -7.5 2
1988-04-18 GIF Sundsvall L 0-164.2 1667 1598 55.05% 25.43% 19.52%+0.54 -10.7 0
1988-04-18 @ Norrkoping W 1-064.2 1598 1667 19.52% 25.43% 55.05%-0.54 +10.7 2
1988-04-18 Djurgarden W 1-052.7 1654 1577 55.78% 25.35% 18.87%+0.58 +4.5 2
1988-04-18 @ Orgryte L 0-152.7 1577 1654 18.87% 25.35% 55.78%-0.58 -4.5 2
1988-04-23 GIF Sundsvall L 0-166.7 1739 1609 60.84% 24.59% 14.57%+0.83 -11.8 3
1988-04-23 @ Goteborg W 1-066.7 1609 1739 14.57% 24.59% 60.84%-0.83 +11.8 4
1988-04-24 GAIS W 1-052.6 1644 1573 55.32% 25.40% 19.28%+0.56 +4.6 4
1988-04-24 @ Brage L 0-152.6 1573 1644 19.28% 25.40% 55.32%-0.56 -4.6 2
1988-04-24 Orgryte L 0-163.4 1672 1658 48.89% 25.92% 25.19%+0.28 -9.6 2
1988-04-24 @ Hammarby W 1-063.4 1658 1672 25.19% 25.92% 48.89%-0.28 +9.6 4
1988-04-24 Malmo W 3-163.8 1657 1746 35.05% 26.05% 38.90%-0.21 +13.0 2
1988-04-24 @ Norrkoping L 1-363.8 1746 1657 38.90% 26.05% 35.05%+0.21 -13.0 2
1988-04-24 Djurgarden D 0-065.3 1655 1573 56.34% 25.28% 18.38%+0.60 -1.9 5
1988-04-24 @ Oster D 0-065.3 1573 1655 18.38% 25.28% 56.34%-0.60 +1.9 3
1988-04-24 AIK Stockholm W 3-053.4 1613 1674 38.99% 26.12% 34.89%-0.08 +20.1 3
1988-04-24 @ Vastra Frolunda L 0-353.4 1674 1613 34.89% 26.12% 38.99%+0.08 -20.1 2
1988-05-01 Hammarby W 2-055.5 1575 1663 35.31% 26.06% 38.64%-0.20 +15.0 5
1988-05-01 @ Djurgarden L 0-255.5 1663 1575 38.64% 26.06% 35.31%+0.20 -15.0 2
1988-05-01 Norrkoping L 2-368.7 1568 1670 33.41% 26.00% 40.59%-0.27 -6.4 2
1988-05-01 @ GAIS W 3-268.7 1670 1568 40.59% 26.00% 33.41%+0.27 +6.4 4
1988-05-01 Brage D 1-170.8 1621 1649 43.55% 26.10% 30.35%+0.08 -0.5 5
1988-05-01 @ GIF Sundsvall D 1-170.8 1649 1621 30.35% 26.10% 43.55%-0.08 +0.5 5
1988-05-02 Goteborg L 1-266.5 1654 1727 37.37% 26.10% 36.52%-0.13 -7.3 2
1988-05-02 @ AIK Stockholm W 2-166.5 1727 1654 36.52% 26.10% 37.37%+0.13 +7.3 5
1988-05-02 Vastra Frolunda W 2-051.7 1668 1633 51.33% 25.77% 22.90%+0.38 +10.0 6
1988-05-02 @ Orgryte L 0-251.7 1633 1668 22.90% 25.77% 51.33%-0.38 -10.0 3
1988-05-03 Oster W 2-160.6 1733 1653 56.20% 25.30% 18.50%+0.60 +4.2 4
1988-05-03 @ Malmo L 1-260.6 1653 1733 18.50% 25.30% 56.20%-0.60 -4.2 5
1988-05-08 Vastra Frolunda D 1-170.9 1650 1623 50.38% 25.83% 23.78%+0.34 -1.1 6
1988-05-08 @ Brage D 1-170.9 1623 1650 23.78% 25.83% 50.38%-0.34 +1.1 4
1988-05-08 Orgryte L 1-359.6 1562 1678 31.49% 25.92% 42.59%-0.34 -11.1 2
1988-05-08 @ GAIS W 3-159.6 1678 1562 42.59% 25.92% 31.49%+0.34 +11.1 8
1988-05-08 Hammarby W 2-163.1 1620 1648 43.66% 26.10% 30.24%+0.08 +6.2 7
1988-05-08 @ GIF Sundsvall L 1-263.1 1648 1620 30.24% 26.10% 43.66%-0.08 -6.2 2
1988-05-08 Djurgarden D 2-278.2 1737 1590 62.32% 24.29% 13.39%+0.92 -1.7 5
1988-05-08 @ Malmo D 2-278.2 1590 1737 13.39% 24.29% 62.32%-0.92 +1.7 6
1988-05-09 Oster D 0-066.2 1647 1649 46.96% 26.01% 27.03%+0.21 -0.9 3
1988-05-09 @ AIK Stockholm D 0-066.2 1649 1647 27.03% 26.01% 46.96%-0.21 +0.9 6
1988-05-09 Norrkoping W 2-161.5 1735 1676 53.95% 25.55% 20.50%+0.49 +4.6 7
1988-05-09 @ Goteborg L 1-261.5 1676 1735 20.50% 25.55% 53.95%-0.49 -4.6 4
1988-05-15 GAIS W 6-149.5 1591 1551 51.99% 25.72% 22.29%+0.41 +18.9 8
1988-05-15 @ Djurgarden L 1-649.5 1551 1591 22.29% 25.72% 51.99%-0.41 -18.9 2
1988-05-15 Goteborg L 0-159.8 1650 1739 35.04% 26.05% 38.91%-0.21 -7.4 6
1988-05-15 @ Oster W 1-059.8 1739 1650 38.91% 26.05% 35.04%+0.21 +7.4 9
1988-05-15 Malmo L 0-255.2 1624 1736 32.05% 25.94% 42.00%-0.32 -13.0 4
1988-05-15 @ Vastra Frolunda W 2-055.2 1736 1624 42.00% 25.94% 32.05%+0.32 +13.0 7
1988-05-16 AIK Stockholm L 1-268.2 1641 1646 46.59% 26.02% 27.39%+0.19 -8.7 2
1988-05-16 @ Hammarby W 2-168.2 1646 1641 27.39% 26.02% 46.59%-0.19 +8.7 5
1988-05-16 Brage W 3-050.5 1671 1648 49.96% 25.86% 24.18%+0.32 +15.2 6
1988-05-16 @ Norrkoping L 0-350.5 1648 1671 24.18% 25.86% 49.96%-0.32 -15.2 6
1988-05-16 GIF Sundsvall L 1-270.8 1689 1626 54.35% 25.51% 20.14%+0.51 -10.0 8
1988-05-16 @ Orgryte W 2-170.8 1626 1689 20.14% 25.51% 54.35%-0.51 +10.0 9
1988-05-18 Goteborg L 0-153.8 1532 1747 20.39% 24.85% 54.76%-0.81 -4.8 2
1988-05-18 @ GAIS W 1-053.8 1747 1532 54.76% 24.85% 20.39%+0.81 +4.8 11
1988-05-19 Norrkoping L 0-354.1 1610 1687 36.93% 26.09% 36.98%-0.15 -21.0 8
1988-05-19 @ Djurgarden W 3-054.1 1687 1610 36.98% 26.09% 36.93%+0.15 +21.0 8
1988-05-19 AIK Stockholm W 2-053.5 1636 1655 44.85% 26.07% 29.08%+0.13 +12.1 11
1988-05-19 @ GIF Sundsvall L 0-253.5 1655 1636 29.08% 26.07% 44.85%-0.13 -12.1 5
1988-05-19 Vastra Frolunda L 1-268.5 1633 1611 49.79% 25.87% 24.34%+0.32 -9.2 2
1988-05-19 @ Hammarby W 2-168.5 1611 1633 24.34% 25.87% 49.79%-0.32 +9.2 6
1988-05-19 Brage W 2-050.1 1749 1633 59.55% 24.82% 15.64%+0.77 +7.2 9
1988-05-19 @ Malmo L 0-250.1 1633 1749 15.64% 24.82% 59.55%-0.77 -7.2 6
1988-05-19 Oster L 1-270.1 1679 1642 51.54% 25.75% 22.71%+0.39 -9.5 8
1988-05-19 @ Orgryte W 2-170.1 1642 1679 22.71% 25.75% 51.54%-0.39 +9.5 8
1988-05-28 GIF Sundsvall D 1-170.7 1620 1648 43.54% 26.10% 30.36%+0.08 -0.5 7
1988-05-28 @ Vastra Frolunda D 1-170.7 1648 1620 30.36% 26.10% 43.54%-0.08 +0.5 12
1988-05-29 GAIS D 0-064.1 1643 1527 59.56% 24.81% 15.62%+0.77 -2.2 6
1988-05-29 @ AIK Stockholm D 0-064.1 1527 1643 15.62% 24.81% 59.56%-0.77 +2.2 3
1988-05-29 Djurgarden D 1-169.9 1626 1589 51.53% 25.76% 22.71%+0.39 -1.2 7
1988-05-29 @ Brage D 1-169.9 1589 1626 22.71% 25.76% 51.53%-0.39 +1.2 9
1988-05-29 Malmo L 1-366.5 1751 1756 46.60% 26.02% 27.38%+0.19 -15.1 11
1988-05-29 @ Goteborg W 3-166.5 1756 1751 27.38% 26.02% 46.60%-0.19 +15.1 11
1988-05-29 Orgryte W 3-050.6 1708 1669 51.71% 25.74% 22.55%+0.40 +14.3 10
1988-05-29 @ Norrkoping L 0-350.6 1669 1708 22.55% 25.74% 51.71%-0.40 -14.3 8
1988-05-29 Hammarby D 1-170.9 1652 1623 50.57% 25.82% 23.61%+0.35 -1.2 9
1988-05-29 @ Oster D 1-170.9 1623 1652 23.61% 25.82% 50.57%-0.35 +1.2 3
1988-06-05 Hammarby W 1-055.6 1625 1625 47.19% 26.00% 26.81%+0.22 +6.0 9
1988-06-05 @ Brage L 0-155.6 1625 1625 26.81% 26.00% 47.19%-0.22 -6.0 3
1988-06-05 Vastra Frolunda W 2-053.6 1529 1620 34.92% 26.05% 39.03%-0.22 +15.1 5
1988-06-05 @ GAIS L 0-253.6 1620 1529 39.03% 26.05% 34.92%+0.22 -15.1 7
1988-06-05 Malmo L 2-369.9 1649 1771 30.72% 25.88% 43.40%-0.37 -6.0 12
1988-06-05 @ GIF Sundsvall W 3-269.9 1771 1649 43.40% 25.88% 30.72%+0.37 +6.0 13
1988-06-06 Djurgarden D 0-065.3 1640 1591 53.00% 25.64% 21.37%+0.45 -1.5 7
1988-06-06 @ AIK Stockholm D 0-065.3 1591 1640 21.37% 25.64% 53.00%-0.45 +1.5 10
1988-06-06 Orgryte W 2-160.6 1736 1655 56.29% 25.29% 18.42%+0.60 +4.2 13
1988-06-06 @ Goteborg L 1-260.6 1655 1736 18.42% 25.29% 56.29%-0.60 -4.2 8
1988-06-07 Oster W 3-049.4 1722 1651 55.29% 25.41% 19.30%+0.56 +12.6 12
1988-06-07 @ Norrkoping L 0-349.4 1651 1722 19.30% 25.41% 55.29%-0.56 -12.6 9
1988-06-12 GIF Sundsvall W 4-263.9 1592 1643 40.48% 26.13% 33.40%-0.03 +10.4 12
1988-06-12 @ Djurgarden L 2-463.9 1643 1592 33.40% 26.13% 40.48%+0.03 -10.4 12
1988-06-12 GAIS W 2-046.8 1777 1544 68.57% 22.55% 8.88%+1.32 +4.2 15
1988-06-12 @ Malmo L 0-246.8 1544 1777 8.88% 22.55% 68.57%-1.32 -4.2 5
1988-06-12 Brage D 1-170.8 1638 1631 48.05% 25.96% 25.98%+0.25 -0.9 10
1988-06-12 @ Oster D 1-170.8 1631 1638 25.98% 25.96% 48.05%-0.25 +0.9 10
1988-06-12 Norrkoping L 2-369.0 1605 1735 29.71% 25.82% 44.47%-0.40 -5.8 7
1988-06-12 @ Vastra Frolunda W 3-269.0 1735 1605 44.47% 25.82% 29.71%+0.40 +5.8 14
1988-06-13 Goteborg W 2-168.1 1619 1740 30.73% 25.88% 43.39%-0.37 +8.2 5
1988-06-13 @ Hammarby L 1-268.1 1740 1619 43.39% 25.88% 30.73%+0.37 -8.2 13
1988-06-13 AIK Stockholm L 0-162.8 1651 1639 48.64% 25.93% 25.42%+0.27 -9.6 8
1988-06-13 @ Orgryte W 1-062.8 1639 1651 25.42% 25.93% 48.64%-0.27 +9.6 9
1988-06-16 Orgryte D 1-170.8 1632 1641 45.97% 26.04% 27.99%+0.17 -0.8 11
1988-06-16 @ Brage D 1-170.8 1641 1632 27.99% 26.04% 45.97%-0.17 +0.8 9
1988-06-16 Malmo L 1-556.6 1648 1781 29.36% 25.80% 44.84%-0.42 -19.2 9
1988-06-16 @ AIK Stockholm W 5-156.6 1781 1648 44.84% 25.80% 29.36%+0.42 +19.2 17
1988-06-16 Djurgarden D 1-172.0 1732 1603 60.81% 24.59% 14.60%+0.83 -2.1 14
1988-06-16 @ Goteborg D 1-172.0 1603 1732 14.60% 24.59% 60.81%-0.83 +2.1 13
1988-06-16 Hammarby W 6-049.6 1740 1627 59.38% 24.84% 15.78%+0.76 +20.2 16
1988-06-16 @ Norrkoping L 0-649.6 1627 1740 15.78% 24.84% 59.38%-0.76 -20.2 5
1988-06-19 Goteborg L 0-157.8 1605 1730 30.26% 25.85% 43.88%-0.38 -6.6 13
1988-06-19 @ Djurgarden W 1-057.8 1730 1605 43.88% 25.85% 30.26%+0.38 +6.6 16
1988-06-19 GIF Sundsvall D 1-168.8 1540 1633 34.63% 26.04% 39.33%-0.23 +0.2 6
1988-06-19 @ GAIS D 1-168.8 1633 1540 39.33% 26.04% 34.63%+0.23 -0.2 13
1988-06-19 AIK Stockholm W 2-049.0 1800 1629 64.19% 23.85% 11.96%+1.03 +5.6 19
1988-06-19 @ Malmo L 0-249.0 1629 1800 11.96% 23.85% 64.19%-1.03 -5.6 9
1988-06-19 Vastra Frolunda L 1-268.9 1637 1599 51.70% 25.74% 22.55%+0.40 -9.5 10
1988-06-19 @ Oster W 2-168.9 1599 1637 22.55% 25.74% 51.70%-0.40 +9.5 9
1988-06-20 Norrkoping D 0-067.1 1607 1761 26.79% 25.61% 47.60%-0.52 +1.0 6
1988-06-20 @ Hammarby D 0-067.1 1761 1607 47.60% 25.61% 26.79%+0.52 -1.0 17
1988-06-22 Oster D 3-380.1 1608 1627 44.74% 26.08% 29.18%+0.12 -0.4 10
1988-06-22 @ Vastra Frolunda D 3-380.1 1627 1608 29.18% 26.08% 44.74%-0.12 +0.4 11
1988-07-03 GAIS D 1-169.1 1632 1540 57.37% 25.15% 17.48%+0.65 -1.8 14
1988-07-03 @ GIF Sundsvall D 1-169.1 1540 1632 17.48% 25.15% 57.37%-0.65 +1.8 7
1988-07-03 Brage W 3-050.3 1642 1631 48.53% 25.94% 25.53%+0.27 +15.8 11
1988-07-03 @ Orgryte L 0-350.3 1631 1642 25.53% 25.94% 48.53%-0.27 -15.9 11
1988-07-17 GAIS L 1-267.7 1608 1542 54.68% 25.47% 19.85%+0.53 -10.0 6
1988-07-17 @ Hammarby W 2-167.7 1542 1608 19.85% 25.47% 54.68%-0.53 +10.0 9
1988-07-17 Djurgarden L 0-356.0 1608 1598 48.39% 25.95% 25.67%+0.26 -26.1 10
1988-07-17 @ Vastra Frolunda W 3-056.0 1598 1608 25.67% 25.95% 48.39%-0.26 +26.1 15
1988-07-19 Malmo L 0-157.8 1658 1806 27.49% 25.67% 46.84%-0.49 -6.1 11
1988-07-19 @ Orgryte W 1-057.8 1806 1658 46.84% 25.67% 27.49%+0.49 +6.1 21
1988-07-20 Goteborg L 0-352.8 1615 1737 30.76% 25.88% 43.36%-0.37 -18.3 11
1988-07-20 @ Brage W 3-052.8 1737 1615 43.36% 25.88% 30.76%+0.37 +18.3 18
1988-07-20 AIK Stockholm L 0-167.2 1760 1624 61.34% 24.49% 14.17%+0.86 -11.8 17
1988-07-20 @ Norrkoping W 1-067.2 1624 1760 14.17% 24.49% 61.34%-0.86 +11.9 11
1988-07-20 GIF Sundsvall L 0-456.4 1628 1631 46.82% 26.01% 27.17%+0.20 -33.1 11
1988-07-20 @ Oster W 4-056.4 1631 1628 27.17% 26.01% 46.82%-0.20 +33.2 16
1988-07-24 Orgryte D 1-170.8 1624 1652 43.63% 26.10% 30.27%+0.08 -0.6 16
1988-07-24 @ Djurgarden D 1-170.8 1652 1624 30.27% 26.10% 43.63%-0.08 +0.5 12
1988-07-24 Oster W 1-055.0 1552 1595 41.61% 26.12% 32.26%+0.01 +6.9 11
1988-07-24 @ GAIS L 0-155.0 1595 1552 32.26% 26.12% 41.61%-0.01 -6.9 11
1988-07-24 Norrkoping D 2-278.4 1664 1748 35.85% 26.07% 38.08%-0.19 +0.1 17
1988-07-24 @ GIF Sundsvall D 2-278.4 1748 1664 38.08% 26.07% 35.85%+0.19 -0.1 18
1988-07-24 Hammarby W 2-047.9 1812 1598 67.35% 22.96% 9.70%+1.24 +4.6 23
1988-07-24 @ Malmo L 0-247.9 1598 1812 9.70% 22.96% 67.35%-1.24 -4.6 6
1988-07-25 Vastra Frolunda D 1-172.3 1755 1582 64.35% 23.81% 11.84%+1.04 -2.4 19
1988-07-25 @ Goteborg D 1-172.3 1582 1755 11.84% 23.81% 64.35%-1.04 +2.4 11
1988-07-26 Brage D 2-276.4 1635 1597 51.76% 25.74% 22.50%+0.40 -0.9 12
1988-07-26 @ AIK Stockholm D 2-276.4 1597 1635 22.50% 25.74% 51.76%-0.40 +1.0 12
1988-08-02 Oster D 2-276.0 1624 1588 51.44% 25.76% 22.80%+0.39 -0.9 17
1988-08-02 @ Djurgarden D 2-276.0 1588 1624 22.80% 25.76% 51.44%-0.39 +0.9 12
1988-08-03 Brage W 2-161.2 1559 1598 42.14% 26.12% 31.74%+0.03 +6.5 13
1988-08-03 @ GAIS L 1-261.2 1598 1559 31.74% 26.12% 42.14%-0.03 -6.5 12
1988-08-03 Goteborg W 1-061.1 1664 1753 35.18% 26.06% 38.76%-0.21 +7.9 19
1988-08-03 @ GIF Sundsvall L 0-161.1 1753 1664 38.76% 26.06% 35.18%+0.21 -8.0 19
1988-08-04 Vastra Frolunda W 4-259.8 1635 1584 53.05% 25.63% 21.32%+0.45 +7.3 14
1988-08-04 @ AIK Stockholm L 2-459.8 1584 1635 21.32% 25.63% 53.05%-0.45 -7.3 11
1988-08-04 Norrkoping W 2-161.7 1817 1748 55.04% 25.44% 19.53%+0.54 +4.4 25
1988-08-04 @ Malmo L 1-261.7 1748 1817 19.53% 25.44% 55.04%-0.54 -4.4 18
1988-08-04 Hammarby W 3-048.2 1652 1593 54.03% 25.54% 20.43%+0.50 +13.2 14
1988-08-04 @ Orgryte L 0-348.2 1593 1652 20.43% 25.54% 54.03%-0.50 -13.2 6
1988-08-07 GIF Sundsvall W 2-055.7 1591 1672 36.31% 26.08% 37.60%-0.17 +14.7 14
1988-08-07 @ Brage L 0-255.7 1672 1591 37.60% 26.08% 36.31%+0.17 -14.6 19
1988-08-07 Orgryte L 0-158.1 1577 1666 35.19% 26.06% 38.75%-0.21 -7.4 11
1988-08-07 @ Vastra Frolunda W 1-058.1 1666 1577 38.75% 26.06% 35.19%+0.21 +7.4 16
1988-08-08 AIK Stockholm W 3-156.6 1745 1642 58.37% 25.00% 16.62%+0.70 +6.6 21
1988-08-08 @ Goteborg L 1-356.6 1642 1745 16.62% 25.00% 58.37%-0.70 -6.6 14
1988-08-08 Djurgarden L 0-453.8 1580 1623 41.57% 26.12% 32.31%+0.01 -30.1 6
1988-08-08 @ Hammarby W 4-053.8 1623 1580 32.31% 26.12% 41.57%-0.01 +30.1 19
1988-08-08 GAIS W 3-262.5 1743 1565 64.70% 23.72% 11.58%+1.06 +2.6 20
1988-08-08 @ Norrkoping L 2-362.5 1565 1743 11.58% 23.72% 64.70%-1.06 -2.6 13
1988-08-09 Malmo L 0-251.2 1589 1821 18.82% 24.57% 56.61%-0.89 -8.4 12
1988-08-09 @ Oster W 2-051.2 1821 1589 56.61% 24.57% 18.82%+0.89 +8.4 27
1988-08-13 GAIS L 0-255.8 1570 1563 48.00% 25.96% 26.04%+0.25 -17.8 11
1988-08-13 @ Vastra Frolunda W 2-055.8 1563 1570 26.04% 25.96% 48.00%-0.25 +17.8 15
1988-08-14 AIK Stockholm D 0-066.1 1653 1635 49.30% 25.90% 24.80%+0.30 -1.2 20
1988-08-14 @ Djurgarden D 0-066.1 1635 1653 24.80% 25.90% 49.30%-0.30 +1.2 15
1988-08-14 GIF Sundsvall D 1-173.3 1829 1657 64.27% 23.83% 11.90%+1.04 -2.4 28
1988-08-14 @ Malmo D 1-173.3 1657 1829 11.90% 23.83% 64.27%-1.04 +2.4 20
1988-08-14 Norrkoping D 1-171.7 1580 1746 25.47% 25.49% 49.04%-0.57 +1.0 13
1988-08-14 @ Oster D 1-171.7 1746 1580 49.04% 25.49% 25.47%+0.57 -1.0 21
1988-08-15 Brage W 2-052.4 1550 1606 39.74% 26.12% 34.14%-0.05 +13.6 8
1988-08-15 @ Hammarby L 0-252.4 1606 1550 34.14% 26.12% 39.74%+0.05 -13.7 14
1988-08-15 Goteborg D 1-172.3 1673 1751 36.64% 26.09% 37.27%-0.16 +0.0 17
1988-08-15 @ Orgryte D 1-172.3 1751 1673 37.27% 26.09% 36.64%+0.16 -0.0 22
1988-08-21 Oster W 4-153.6 1592 1581 48.52% 25.94% 25.54%+0.27 +13.4 16
1988-08-21 @ Brage L 1-453.6 1581 1592 25.54% 25.94% 48.52%-0.27 -13.4 13
1988-08-21 Malmo W 3-277.6 1581 1827 17.64% 24.34% 58.02%-0.96 +10.0 17
1988-08-21 @ GAIS L 2-377.6 1827 1581 58.02% 24.34% 17.64%+0.96 -10.0 28
1988-08-21 Djurgarden L 0-259.5 1660 1652 48.17% 25.96% 25.88%+0.25 -17.9 20
1988-08-21 @ GIF Sundsvall W 2-059.5 1652 1660 25.88% 25.96% 48.17%-0.25 +17.9 22
1988-08-22 Orgryte W 2-054.5 1636 1673 42.44% 26.12% 31.45%+0.04 +12.8 17
1988-08-22 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-254.5 1673 1636 31.45% 26.12% 42.44%-0.04 -12.8 17
1988-08-22 Hammarby W 5-149.5 1751 1563 65.45% 23.52% 11.03%+1.11 +8.2 24
1988-08-22 @ Goteborg L 1-549.5 1563 1751 11.03% 23.52% 65.45%-1.11 -8.2 8
1988-08-22 Vastra Frolunda L 0-167.3 1745 1552 65.84% 23.41% 10.75%+1.14 -12.7 21
1988-08-22 @ Norrkoping W 1-067.3 1552 1745 10.75% 23.41% 65.84%-1.14 +12.7 13
1988-08-24 Djurgarden L 1-264.8 1591 1669 36.57% 26.09% 37.35%-0.16 -7.2 17
1988-08-24 @ GAIS W 2-164.8 1669 1591 37.35% 26.09% 36.57%+0.16 +7.2 24
1988-08-25 Hammarby D 0-064.9 1649 1555 57.56% 25.12% 17.32%+0.66 -2.0 18
1988-08-25 @ AIK Stockholm D 0-064.9 1555 1649 17.32% 25.12% 57.56%-0.66 +2.0 9
1988-08-25 Norrkoping W 3-164.7 1606 1732 30.14% 25.85% 44.02%-0.39 +14.3 18
1988-08-25 @ Brage L 1-364.7 1732 1606 44.02% 25.85% 30.14%+0.39 -14.3 21
1988-08-25 Orgryte L 0-161.9 1642 1660 44.84% 26.07% 29.09%+0.13 -8.9 20
1988-08-25 @ GIF Sundsvall W 1-061.9 1660 1642 29.09% 26.07% 44.84%-0.13 +8.9 19
1988-08-25 Oster D 1-172.3 1759 1568 65.72% 23.45% 10.84%+1.13 -2.6 25
1988-08-25 @ Goteborg D 1-172.3 1568 1759 10.84% 23.45% 65.72%-1.13 +2.6 14
1988-08-25 Vastra Frolunda W 2-047.0 1817 1564 69.84% 22.09% 8.07%+1.42 +3.8 30
1988-08-25 @ Malmo L 0-247.0 1564 1817 8.07% 22.09% 69.84%-1.42 -3.8 13
1988-08-28 Malmo L 2-369.4 1677 1821 27.97% 25.70% 46.33%-0.47 -5.5 24
1988-08-28 @ Djurgarden W 3-269.4 1821 1677 46.33% 25.70% 27.97%+0.47 +5.5 32
1988-08-28 GIF Sundsvall W 3-052.2 1557 1633 37.00% 26.10% 36.90%-0.15 +21.0 11
1988-08-28 @ Hammarby L 0-352.2 1633 1557 36.90% 26.10% 37.00%+0.15 -21.0 20
1988-08-28 Goteborg L 1-365.1 1718 1757 42.11% 26.12% 31.77%+0.03 -13.9 21
1988-08-28 @ Norrkoping W 3-165.1 1757 1718 31.77% 26.12% 42.11%-0.03 +13.9 27
1988-08-28 GAIS D 1-170.7 1669 1584 56.71% 25.24% 18.05%+0.62 -1.7 20
1988-08-28 @ Orgryte D 1-170.7 1584 1669 18.05% 25.24% 56.71%-0.62 +1.7 18
1988-08-28 AIK Stockholm W 3-052.9 1570 1647 36.86% 26.09% 37.05%-0.15 +21.1 16
1988-08-28 @ Oster L 0-352.9 1647 1570 37.05% 26.09% 36.86%+0.15 -21.0 18
1988-08-28 Brage W 1-056.6 1561 1620 39.30% 26.12% 34.58%-0.07 +7.3 15
1988-08-28 @ Vastra Frolunda L 0-156.6 1620 1561 34.58% 26.12% 39.30%+0.07 -7.3 18
1988-10-08 AIK Stockholm W 1-056.5 1585 1626 41.85% 26.12% 32.03%+0.02 +6.9 20
1988-10-08 @ GAIS L 0-156.5 1626 1585 32.03% 26.12% 41.85%-0.02 -6.9 18
1988-10-09 Brage D 0-066.2 1671 1613 53.93% 25.55% 20.52%+0.49 -1.6 25
1988-10-09 @ Djurgarden D 0-066.2 1613 1671 20.52% 25.55% 53.93%-0.49 +1.6 19
1988-10-09 Vastra Frolunda D 0-064.1 1612 1568 52.35% 25.69% 21.96%+0.42 -1.5 21
1988-10-09 @ GIF Sundsvall D 0-064.1 1568 1612 21.96% 25.69% 52.35%-0.42 +1.5 16
1988-10-09 Oster W 3-049.2 1578 1592 45.47% 26.06% 28.47%+0.15 +17.3 13
1988-10-09 @ Hammarby L 0-349.2 1592 1578 28.47% 26.06% 45.47%-0.15 -17.3 16
1988-10-09 Goteborg L 1-368.7 1826 1771 53.62% 25.58% 20.80%+0.48 -17.1 32
1988-10-09 @ Malmo W 3-168.7 1771 1826 20.80% 25.58% 53.62%-0.48 +17.1 29
1988-10-09 Norrkoping W 2-164.7 1667 1704 42.42% 26.12% 31.46%+0.04 +6.4 22
1988-10-09 @ Orgryte L 1-264.7 1704 1667 31.46% 26.12% 42.42%-0.04 -6.4 21
1988-10-22 GIF Sundsvall L 1-267.8 1619 1610 48.27% 25.95% 25.78%+0.26 -9.0 18
1988-10-22 @ AIK Stockholm W 2-167.8 1610 1619 25.78% 25.95% 48.27%-0.26 +9.0 23
1988-10-22 Malmo W 2-171.0 1614 1809 22.34% 25.13% 52.53%-0.71 +9.6 21
1988-10-22 @ Brage L 1-271.0 1809 1614 52.53% 25.13% 22.34%+0.71 -9.6 32
1988-10-22 GAIS W 2-048.1 1788 1592 66.02% 23.36% 10.62%+1.15 +5.0 31
1988-10-22 @ Goteborg L 0-248.1 1592 1788 10.62% 23.36% 66.02%-1.15 -5.0 20
1988-10-22 Djurgarden L 1-270.3 1698 1669 50.55% 25.82% 23.63%+0.35 -9.3 21
1988-10-22 @ Norrkoping W 2-170.3 1669 1698 23.63% 25.82% 50.55%-0.35 +9.3 27
1988-10-22 Orgryte D 1-170.4 1574 1674 33.69% 26.01% 40.30%-0.26 +0.3 17
1988-10-22 @ Oster D 1-170.4 1674 1574 40.30% 26.01% 33.69%+0.26 -0.3 23
1988-10-22 Hammarby W 3-157.5 1569 1595 43.84% 26.10% 30.06%+0.09 +10.7 18
1988-10-22 @ Vastra Frolunda L 1-357.5 1595 1569 30.06% 26.10% 43.84%-0.09 -10.7 13

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
1988-10-30 Goteborg W 2-058.9 1679 1793 31.76% 25.93% 42.31%-0.33 +16.0 1-0
1988-10-30 @ Djurgarden L 0-258.9 1793 1679 42.31% 25.93% 31.76%+0.33 -16.0 0-1
1988-10-30 Malmo L 0-158.7 1673 1800 30.19% 25.85% 43.96%-0.39 -6.6 0-1
1988-10-30 @ Orgryte W 1-058.7 1800 1673 43.96% 25.85% 30.19%+0.39 +6.6 1-0
1988-11-12 Djurgarden W 1-055.0 1777 1695 56.35% 25.28% 18.37%+0.60 +4.4 1-1
1988-11-12 @ Goteborg L 0-155.0 1695 1777 18.37% 25.28% 56.35%-0.60 -4.4 1-1
1988-11-12 Orgryte W 2-159.5 1806 1667 61.62% 24.43% 13.94%+0.88 +3.2 2-0
1988-11-12 @ Malmo L 1-259.5 1667 1806 13.94% 24.43% 61.62%-0.88 -3.2 0-2
1988-11-16 Malmo D 0-067.7 1690 1809 31.11% 25.90% 43.00%-0.35 +0.5 1-1-1
1988-11-16 @ Djurgarden D 0-067.7 1809 1690 43.00% 25.90% 31.11%+0.35 -0.5 2-0-1
1988-11-19 Djurgarden W 7-354.3 1809 1691 59.76% 24.78% 15.46%+0.78 +8.7 3-0-1
1988-11-19 @ Malmo L 3-754.3 1691 1809 15.46% 24.78% 59.76%-0.78 -8.7 1-2-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1988-08-22 10.75% Vastra Frolunda 1552 1 @ Norrkoping 1745 0
2 1988-07-20 14.17% AIK Stockholm 1624 1 @ Norrkoping 1760 0
3 1988-04-23 14.57% GIF Sundsvall 1609 1 @ Goteborg 1739 0
4 1988-08-21 17.64% @ GAIS 1581 3 Malmo 1827 2
5 1988-04-18 19.52% GIF Sundsvall 1598 1 @ Norrkoping 1667 0
6 1988-07-17 19.85% GAIS 1542 2 @ Hammarby 1608 1
7 1988-05-16 20.14% GIF Sundsvall 1626 2 @ Orgryte 1689 1
8 1988-10-09 20.80% Goteborg 1771 3 @ Malmo 1826 1
9 1988-10-22 22.34% @ Brage 1614 2 Malmo 1809 1
10 1988-06-19 22.55% Vastra Frolunda 1599 2 @ Oster 1637 1
11 1988-05-19 22.71% Oster 1642 2 @ Orgryte 1679 1
12 1988-10-22 23.63% Djurgarden 1669 2 @ Norrkoping 1698 1
13 1988-05-19 24.34% Vastra Frolunda 1611 2 @ Hammarby 1633 1
14 1988-04-24 25.19% Orgryte 1658 1 @ Hammarby 1672 0
15 1988-06-13 25.42% AIK Stockholm 1639 1 @ Orgryte 1651 0
16 1988-07-17 25.67% Djurgarden 1598 3 @ Vastra Frolunda 1608 0
17 1988-10-22 25.78% GIF Sundsvall 1610 2 @ AIK Stockholm 1619 1
18 1988-08-21 25.88% Djurgarden 1652 2 @ GIF Sundsvall 1660 0
19 1988-08-13 26.04% GAIS 1563 2 @ Vastra Frolunda 1570 0
20 1988-07-20 27.17% GIF Sundsvall 1631 4 @ Oster 1628 0
21 1988-05-29 27.38% Malmo 1756 3 @ Goteborg 1751 1
22 1988-05-16 27.39% AIK Stockholm 1646 2 @ Hammarby 1641 1
23 1988-08-25 29.09% Orgryte 1660 1 @ GIF Sundsvall 1642 0
24 1988-08-25 30.14% @ Brage 1606 3 Norrkoping 1732 1
25 1988-06-13 30.73% @ Hammarby 1619 2 Goteborg 1740 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1988-07-20 33.16 GIF Sundsvall 4 1631 27.17% @ Oster 0 1628 46.82% 26.01%
2 1988-08-08 30.06 Djurgarden 4 1623 32.31% @ Hammarby 0 1580 41.57% 26.12%
3 1988-07-17 26.11 Djurgarden 3 1598 25.67% @ Vastra Frolunda 0 1608 48.39% 25.95%
4 1988-08-28 21.06 @ Oster 3 1570 36.86% AIK Stockholm 0 1647 37.05% 26.09%
5 1988-05-19 21.00 Norrkoping 3 1687 36.98% @ Djurgarden 0 1610 36.93% 26.09%
6 1988-08-28 20.99 @ Hammarby 3 1557 37.00% GIF Sundsvall 0 1633 36.90% 26.10%
7 1988-06-16 20.19 @ Norrkoping 6 1740 59.38% Hammarby 0 1627 15.78% 24.84%
8 1988-04-24 20.15 @ Vastra Frolunda 3 1613 38.99% AIK Stockholm 0 1674 34.89% 26.12%
9 1988-06-16 19.18 Malmo 5 1781 44.84% @ AIK Stockholm 1 1648 29.36% 25.80%
10 1988-05-15 18.94 @ Djurgarden 6 1591 51.99% GAIS 1 1551 22.29% 25.72%
11 1988-07-20 18.28 Goteborg 3 1737 43.36% @ Brage 0 1615 30.76% 25.88%
12 1988-08-21 17.91 Djurgarden 2 1652 25.88% @ GIF Sundsvall 0 1660 48.17% 25.96%
13 1988-08-13 17.85 GAIS 2 1563 26.04% @ Vastra Frolunda 0 1570 48.00% 25.96%
14 1988-10-09 17.27 @ Hammarby 3 1578 45.47% Oster 0 1592 28.47% 26.06%
15 1988-10-09 17.07 Goteborg 3 1771 20.80% @ Malmo 1 1826 53.62% 25.58%
16 1988-04-12 16.29 @ GAIS 2 1561 30.98% Hammarby 0 1681 43.13% 25.89%
17 1988-10-30 * 16.04 @ Djurgarden 2 1679 31.76% Goteborg 0 1793 42.31% 25.93%
18 1988-07-03 15.85 @ Orgryte 3 1642 48.53% Brage 0 1631 25.53% 25.94%
19 1988-05-16 15.18 @ Norrkoping 3 1671 49.96% Brage 0 1648 24.18% 25.86%
20 1988-06-05 15.07 @ GAIS 2 1529 34.92% Vastra Frolunda 0 1620 39.03% 26.05%
21 1988-05-29 15.07 Malmo 3 1756 27.38% @ Goteborg 1 1751 46.60% 26.02%
22 1988-05-01 14.95 @ Djurgarden 2 1575 35.31% Hammarby 0 1663 38.64% 26.06%
23 1988-08-07 14.65 @ Brage 2 1591 36.31% GIF Sundsvall 0 1672 37.60% 26.08%
24 1988-05-29 14.34 @ Norrkoping 3 1708 51.71% Orgryte 0 1669 22.55% 25.74%
25 1988-08-25 14.34 @ Brage 3 1606 30.14% Norrkoping 1 1732 44.02% 25.85%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1988-06-22 80.1 @ Vastra Frolunda 3 1608 44.74% Oster 3 1627 29.18% 26.08%
2 1988-07-24 78.4 @ GIF Sundsvall 2 1664 35.85% Norrkoping 2 1748 38.08% 26.07%
3 1988-05-08 78.2 @ Malmo 2 1737 62.32% Djurgarden 2 1590 13.39% 24.29%
4 1988-08-21 77.6 @ GAIS 3 1581 17.64% Malmo 2 1827 58.02% 24.34%
5 1988-07-26 76.4 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1635 51.76% Brage 2 1597 22.50% 25.74%
6 1988-08-02 76.0 @ Djurgarden 2 1624 51.44% Oster 2 1588 22.80% 25.76%
7 1988-08-14 73.3 @ Malmo 1 1829 64.27% GIF Sundsvall 1 1657 11.90% 23.83%
8 1988-07-25 72.3 @ Goteborg 1 1755 64.35% Vastra Frolunda 1 1582 11.84% 23.81%
9 1988-08-15 72.3 @ Orgryte 1 1673 36.64% Goteborg 1 1751 37.27% 26.09%
10 1988-08-25 72.3 @ Goteborg 1 1759 65.72% Oster 1 1568 10.84% 23.45%
11 1988-06-16 72.0 @ Goteborg 1 1732 60.81% Djurgarden 1 1603 14.60% 24.59%
12 1988-08-14 71.7 @ Oster 1 1580 25.47% Norrkoping 1 1746 49.04% 25.49%
13 1988-10-22 71.0 @ Brage 2 1614 22.34% Malmo 1 1809 52.53% 25.13%
14 1988-05-08 70.9 @ Brage 1 1650 50.38% Vastra Frolunda 1 1623 23.78% 25.83%
15 1988-05-29 70.9 @ Oster 1 1652 50.57% Hammarby 1 1623 23.61% 25.82%
16 1988-05-01 70.8 @ GIF Sundsvall 1 1621 43.55% Brage 1 1649 30.35% 26.10%
17 1988-05-16 70.8 GIF Sundsvall 2 1626 20.14% @ Orgryte 1 1689 54.35% 25.51%
18 1988-06-12 70.8 @ Oster 1 1638 48.05% Brage 1 1631 25.98% 25.96%
19 1988-06-16 70.8 @ Brage 1 1632 45.97% Orgryte 1 1641 27.99% 26.04%
20 1988-07-24 70.8 @ Djurgarden 1 1624 43.63% Orgryte 1 1652 30.27% 26.10%
21 1988-05-28 70.7 @ Vastra Frolunda 1 1620 43.54% GIF Sundsvall 1 1648 30.36% 26.10%
22 1988-08-28 70.7 @ Orgryte 1 1669 56.71% GAIS 1 1584 18.05% 25.24%
23 1988-10-22 70.4 @ Oster 1 1574 33.69% Orgryte 1 1674 40.30% 26.01%
24 1988-10-22 70.3 Djurgarden 2 1669 23.63% @ Norrkoping 1 1698 50.55% 25.82%
25 1988-05-19 70.1 Oster 2 1642 22.71% @ Orgryte 1 1679 51.54% 25.75%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1988-06-12 46.8 @ Malmo 2 1777 68.57% GAIS 0 1544 8.88% 22.55%
2 1988-08-25 47.0 @ Malmo 2 1817 69.84% Vastra Frolunda 0 1564 8.07% 22.09%
3 1988-07-24 47.9 @ Malmo 2 1812 67.35% Hammarby 0 1598 9.70% 22.96%
4 1988-10-22 48.1 @ Goteborg 2 1788 66.02% GAIS 0 1592 10.62% 23.36%
5 1988-08-04 48.2 @ Orgryte 3 1652 54.03% Hammarby 0 1593 20.43% 25.54%
6 1988-06-19 49.0 @ Malmo 2 1800 64.19% AIK Stockholm 0 1629 11.96% 23.85%
7 1988-10-09 49.2 @ Hammarby 3 1578 45.47% Oster 0 1592 28.47% 26.06%
8 1988-04-11 49.3 @ Goteborg 3 1727 55.89% Brage 0 1650 18.77% 25.34%
9 1988-06-07 49.4 @ Norrkoping 3 1722 55.29% Oster 0 1651 19.30% 25.41%
10 1988-05-15 49.5 @ Djurgarden 6 1591 51.99% GAIS 1 1551 22.29% 25.72%
11 1988-08-22 49.5 @ Goteborg 5 1751 65.45% Hammarby 1 1563 11.03% 23.52%
12 1988-06-16 49.6 @ Norrkoping 6 1740 59.38% Hammarby 0 1627 15.78% 24.84%
13 1988-05-19 50.1 @ Malmo 2 1749 59.55% Brage 0 1633 15.64% 24.82%
14 1988-07-03 50.3 @ Orgryte 3 1642 48.53% Brage 0 1631 25.53% 25.94%
15 1988-05-16 50.5 @ Norrkoping 3 1671 49.96% Brage 0 1648 24.18% 25.86%
16 1988-05-29 50.6 @ Norrkoping 3 1708 51.71% Orgryte 0 1669 22.55% 25.74%
17 1988-08-09 51.2 Malmo 2 1821 56.61% @ Oster 0 1589 18.82% 24.57%
18 1988-05-02 51.7 @ Orgryte 2 1668 51.33% Vastra Frolunda 0 1633 22.90% 25.77%
19 1988-08-28 52.2 @ Hammarby 3 1557 37.00% GIF Sundsvall 0 1633 36.90% 26.10%
20 1988-08-15 52.4 @ Hammarby 2 1550 39.74% Brage 0 1606 34.14% 26.12%
21 1988-04-24 52.6 @ Brage 1 1644 55.32% GAIS 0 1573 19.28% 25.40%
22 1988-04-18 52.7 @ Orgryte 1 1654 55.78% Djurgarden 0 1577 18.87% 25.35%
23 1988-04-17 52.8 @ Oster 1 1650 55.43% GAIS 0 1577 19.17% 25.39%
24 1988-07-20 52.8 Goteborg 3 1737 43.36% @ Brage 0 1615 30.76% 25.88%
25 1988-08-28 52.9 @ Oster 3 1570 36.86% AIK Stockholm 0 1647 37.05% 26.09%