‹ ›

1989 Allsvenskan Season

132 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Malmo

31 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Orebro

7.47 points above expected

26 points · 18.53 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

GIF Sundsvall

5.74 points below expected

13 points · 18.74 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Malmo 22 12 7 3 31 35 11 +24 29.79 +1.21
2 Norrkoping 22 12 5 5 29 45 24 +21 25.87 +3.13
3 GAIS 22 9 8 5 26 31 20 +11 21.24 +4.76
4 Orebro 22 10 6 6 26 25 21 +4 18.53 +7.47
5 Halmstad 22 11 3 8 25 30 31 -1 22.92 +2.08
6 Djurgarden 22 9 5 8 23 23 24 -1 22.66 +0.34
7 Goteborg 22 9 4 9 22 34 29 +5 25.94 -3.94
8 AIK Stockholm 22 5 11 6 21 26 29 -3 21.08 -0.08
9 Orgryte 22 6 9 7 21 19 28 -9 21.76 -0.76
10 Brage 22 6 5 11 17 22 31 -9 20.08 -3.08
11 GIF Sundsvall 22 4 5 13 13 30 40 -10 18.74 -5.74
12 Vastra Frolunda 22 3 4 15 10 24 56 -32 15.39 -5.39

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Orebro 26 18.53 +7.47
2 GAIS 26 21.24 +4.76
3 Norrkoping 29 25.87 +3.13
4 Halmstad 25 22.92 +2.08
5 Malmo 31 29.79 +1.21

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 GIF Sundsvall 13 18.74 -5.74
2 Vastra Frolunda 10 15.39 -5.39
3 Goteborg 22 25.94 -3.94
4 Brage 17 20.08 -3.08
5 Orgryte 21 21.76 -0.76

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 GAIS 5 Aug 27 – Sep 21 1 in 125
2 Halmstad 5 May 21 – Jun 25 1 in 70
3 Orebro 3 Jun 11 – Jun 25 1 in 58
4 Vastra Frolunda 2 Jun 28 – Jul 9 1 in 56
5 Malmo 6 May 11 – Jun 11 1 in 49

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 GIF Sundsvall 5 Apr 9 – May 11 1 in 97
2 Vastra Frolunda 6 May 15 – Jun 25 1 in 50
3 Goteborg 3 Jul 26 – Aug 20 1 in 29
4 Halmstad 3 Aug 31 – Sep 16 1 in 19
5 GAIS 2 May 15 – May 21 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Orebro 7 Jun 11 – Aug 20 1 in 42
2 GAIS 9 Jul 23 – Oct 1 1 in 29
3 AIK Stockholm 7 Apr 9 – May 20 1 in 23
4 Malmo 13 Apr 16 – Jul 26 1 in 20
5 Vastra Frolunda 3 Jun 28 – Jul 26 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Orgryte 8 Apr 23 – Jun 10 1 in 58
2 Malmo 4 Sep 10 – Oct 1 1 in 45
3 AIK Stockholm 8 May 28 – Aug 13 1 in 25
4 GAIS 9 May 11 – Jul 16 1 in 19
5 Vastra Frolunda 11 Apr 8 – Jun 25 1 in 19

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Malmo 1800 31 -29 5 7.3 -2.3
Norrkoping 1749 29 +38 8 5.7 +2.3
GAIS 1710 26 +60 9 5.5 +3.5
Orebro 1623 26 +8 5 4.2 +0.8
Halmstad 1625 25 -44 3 4.9 -1.9
Djurgarden 1651 23 -26 3 5.0 -2.0
Goteborg 1690 22 +5 5 5.4 -0.4
AIK Stockholm 1602 21 +24 7 4.3 +2.7
Orgryte 1597 21 -6 5 4.8 +0.2
Brage 1577 17 -9 4 4.7 -0.7
GIF Sundsvall 1584 13 -18 4 4.9 -0.9
Vastra Frolunda 1499 10 -2 2 3.3 -1.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS BRA DJU GAI GS GOT HAL MAL NOR ORE ORG VF
AIK Stockholm —
0-1-1
2.81
0-2-0
2.22
0-1-1
2.74
2-0-0
2.81
0-1-1
2.00
1-0-1
2.45
0-1-1
1.54
0-1-1
2.14
0-2-0
3.13
0-2-0
2.67
2-0-0
3.48
Brage
1-1-0
2.61
—
0-0-2
2.54
0-1-1
2.47
2-0-0
2.72
1-0-1
2.03
0-0-2
2.37
0-0-2
1.52
0-0-2
1.93
0-1-1
2.99
0-2-0
2.47
2-0-0
3.51
Djurgarden
0-2-0
3.20
2-0-0
2.88
—
1-1-0
2.66
0-2-0
3.30
1-0-1
2.35
0-0-2
2.75
2-0-0
1.85
0-0-2
2.36
0-0-2
3.44
1-0-1
2.93
2-0-0
3.69
GAIS
1-1-0
2.68
1-1-0
2.95
0-1-1
2.76
—
2-0-0
2.88
1-1-0
2.13
1-0-1
2.72
0-1-1
1.44
1-0-1
1.99
1-0-1
2.92
1-1-0
2.93
0-2-0
3.24
GIF Sundsvall
0-0-2
2.62
0-0-2
2.70
0-2-0
2.13
0-0-2
2.54
—
1-0-1
1.67
0-1-1
2.33
0-1-1
1.59
1-1-0
1.62
0-0-2
2.75
0-0-2
2.44
2-0-0
3.34
Goteborg
1-1-0
3.43
1-0-1
3.40
1-0-1
3.08
0-1-1
3.30
1-0-1
3.77
—
0-0-2
3.34
0-1-1
2.32
1-1-0
2.61
2-0-0
3.58
1-0-1
3.40
1-0-1
4.05
Halmstad
1-0-1
2.97
2-0-0
3.05
2-0-0
2.67
1-0-1
2.70
1-1-0
3.09
2-0-0
2.08
—
0-0-2
1.85
0-1-1
2.12
0-0-2
3.47
1-1-0
2.81
1-0-1
3.96
Malmo
1-1-0
3.91
2-0-0
3.93
0-0-2
3.59
1-1-0
4.02
1-1-0
3.86
1-1-0
3.11
2-0-0
3.58
—
1-1-0
3.44
1-1-0
4.07
1-1-0
3.56
1-0-1
4.59
Norrkoping
1-1-0
3.28
2-0-0
3.50
2-0-0
3.06
1-0-1
3.44
0-1-1
3.83
0-1-1
2.81
1-1-0
3.31
0-1-1
1.99
—
2-0-0
3.49
1-0-1
2.96
2-0-0
3.67
Orebro
0-2-0
2.29
1-1-0
2.43
2-0-0
1.99
1-0-1
2.50
2-0-0
2.67
0-0-2
1.86
2-0-0
1.96
0-1-1
1.40
0-0-2
1.94
—
1-1-0
2.30
1-1-0
2.94
Orgryte
0-2-0
2.75
0-2-0
2.95
1-0-1
2.49
0-1-1
2.50
2-0-0
2.98
1-0-1
2.03
0-1-1
2.62
0-1-1
1.88
1-0-1
2.46
0-1-1
3.13
—
1-1-0
3.57
Vastra Frolunda
0-0-2
1.95
0-0-2
1.92
0-0-2
1.75
0-2-0
2.19
0-0-2
2.09
1-0-1
1.42
1-0-1
1.50
1-0-1
0.94
0-0-2
1.78
0-1-1
2.48
0-1-1
1.86
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.27 +4.6
Allowed 0.83 -5.1
Differential 0.86 +3.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.85%8.71%6.06%2.65%1.89%0.76%29.92%
18.71%14.39%6.44%3.79%1.89%0.38%35.61%
26.06%6.44%3.03%1.89%0.38%—17.80%
32.65%3.79%1.89%—1.14%0.38%9.85%
41.89%1.89%0.38%1.14%——5.30%
5+0.76%0.38%—0.38%——1.52%
Total29.92%35.61%17.80%9.85%5.30%1.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.30 +0.00
SD 1.26 1.26 1.82
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
027.27%—9.09%9.09%——45.45%
14.55%18.18%——4.55%—27.27%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
3———————
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%——4.55%——9.09%
Total36.36%22.73%18.18%18.18%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.32 -0.14
SD 1.59 1.29 1.83
CV 1.35 0.98 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%18.18%13.64%9.09%——50.00%
14.55%13.64%—4.55%——22.73%
24.55%4.55%————9.09%
3—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%45.45%18.18%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.41 -0.41
SD 1.27 1.10 1.62
CV 1.27 0.78 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%4.55%———27.27%
122.73%9.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%—50.00%
29.09%—4.55%———13.64%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.91%27.27%18.18%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.09 -0.05
SD 0.90 1.19 1.43
CV 0.86 1.09 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%————18.18%
113.64%22.73%4.55%———40.91%
24.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total36.36%45.45%9.09%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 0.91 +0.50
SD 1.05 0.92 1.34
CV 0.75 1.01 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%18.18%4.55%———27.27%
1—9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
2—9.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%—31.82%
3—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%40.91%22.73%13.64%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.82 -0.45
SD 1.14 1.22 1.50
CV 0.83 0.67 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
14.55%9.09%13.64%9.09%4.55%—40.91%
213.64%4.55%4.55%———22.73%
3—9.09%————9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total27.27%36.36%18.18%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.32 +0.23
SD 1.30 1.17 2.02
CV 0.84 0.89 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%13.64%—4.55%—22.73%
118.18%9.09%13.64%———40.91%
2—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
3—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%36.36%36.36%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.41 -0.05
SD 1.14 1.01 1.53
CV 0.83 0.72 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
19.09%27.27%————36.36%
218.18%4.55%————22.73%
313.64%—————13.64%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+———————
Total54.55%40.91%4.55%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 0.50 +1.09
SD 1.22 0.60 1.66
CV 0.77 1.20 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%——4.55%—18.18%
19.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
29.09%—4.55%———13.64%
39.09%—4.55%———13.64%
44.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total36.36%36.36%13.64%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 1.09 +0.95
SD 1.79 1.15 2.21
CV 0.87 1.06 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%4.55%9.09%9.09%——40.91%
19.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
29.09%9.09%————18.18%
34.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.91%31.82%18.18%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 0.95 +0.18
SD 1.17 1.00 1.65
CV 1.03 1.05 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%4.55%9.09%—9.09%—40.91%
19.09%22.73%9.09%———40.91%
2—13.64%————13.64%
3———————
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%40.91%18.18%4.55%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 1.27 -0.41
SD 0.99 1.20 1.47
CV 1.15 0.94 —
Max 4 4 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%9.09%31.82%
1—9.09%13.64%13.64%4.55%4.55%45.45%
24.55%4.55%————9.09%
3————4.55%4.55%9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%22.73%18.18%13.64%13.64%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 2.55 -1.45
SD 1.11 1.92 2.22
CV 1.02 0.75 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Malmo 1801 31 29.79 +1.21 73.0% 20 23 28 30 32 35 38
Norrkoping 1770 29 25.87 +3.13 84.0% 16 20 23 26 28 31 35
GAIS 1703 26 21.24 +4.76 93.0% 11 16 19 21 23 28 35
Goteborg 1690 22 25.94 -3.94 16.0% 17 21 24 26 28 32 36
Djurgarden 1651 23 22.66 +0.34 57.0% 13 15 20 22 25 29 34
Halmstad 1625 25 22.92 +2.08 76.0% 15 16 21 23 25 29 30
Orebro 1607 26 18.53 +7.47 100.0% 8 12 16 19 21 24 26
AIK Stockholm 1602 21 21.08 -0.08 53.0% 12 14 19 21 23 27 30
Orgryte 1597 21 21.76 -0.76 49.0% 11 15 19 22 24 29 31
GIF Sundsvall 1584 13 18.74 -5.74 4.0% 11 14 16 18 20 25 28
Brage 1577 17 20.08 -3.08 24.0% 10 14 18 20 23 25 34
Vastra Frolunda 1499 10 15.39 -5.39 10.0% 6 9 13 15 18 23 26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
-1.52%
No Edge
35.61%27.27%37.12%
Elo Value
Home Edge: -5.26 Elo pts.
204 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.12 goals
Neutral
-2-0.03+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.3
One-Team Race
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
63%
Malmo, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Tight Race
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.96 * Some Luck: 2.96 to 4.44 * Lucky: 4.44 to 5.93 * Wild Swing: 5.93 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.65 * Close: 1.65 to 2.47 * Off: 2.47 to 3.3 * Way Off: 3.3 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.89 points
Some Luck
03.709
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.00
Close
02.065
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Orebro
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
4.00%
GIF Sundsvall
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Even
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 82.93
1.55
Moderate Separation
0.951.41.652.75
Interquartile Edge
64%
Slight Edge
50%63%71.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
85%
Clear Edge
50%84%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Very Frequent
0%59%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Rare
0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.28
Very Even
00.30.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.15
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.38
Weak Carryover
00.380.530.691
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Shaky Favorites
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.16 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.16 to 0.24 * Above Noise: 0.24 to 0.32 * Well Above Noise: 0.32 and up.
Probability calibration
0.60
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.76
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.131
Well Within Noise
00.1590.4

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

Malmo 3
GAIS 2

Leg 1: GAIS 2-2 Malmo

Leg 2: Malmo 1-0 GAIS

Sim: 4.0%

Norrkoping 4
Orebro 1

Leg 1: Orebro 1-1 Norrkoping

Leg 2: Norrkoping 3-0 Orebro

Finals

Malmo 5
Norrkoping 5

Leg 1: Malmo 0-1 Norrkoping

Leg 2: Malmo 3-4 Norrkoping

Leg 3: Norrkoping 0-2 Malmo

Sim: 12.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Malmo63.00%22.00%7.00%2.00%3.00%—2.00%1.00%————
Norrkoping15.00%23.00%23.00%11.00%12.00%5.00%3.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%—
GAIS2.00%2.00%8.00%10.00%13.00%11.00%9.00%15.00%11.00%11.00%4.00%4.00%
Orebro——1.00%3.00%6.00%9.00%11.00%11.00%18.00%12.00%17.00%12.00%
Halmstad5.00%10.00%9.00%8.00%16.00%19.00%8.00%11.00%4.00%7.00%3.00%—
Djurgarden4.00%5.00%12.00%16.00%11.00%9.00%14.00%9.00%6.00%6.00%4.00%4.00%
Goteborg6.00%27.00%23.00%20.00%6.00%4.00%7.00%4.00%2.00%—1.00%—
AIK Stockholm1.00%5.00%5.00%8.00%10.00%12.00%11.00%11.00%16.00%9.00%6.00%6.00%
Orgryte3.00%4.00%7.00%7.00%10.00%16.00%12.00%6.00%12.00%13.00%8.00%2.00%
Brage1.00%—1.00%7.00%11.00%7.00%15.00%14.00%14.00%6.00%13.00%11.00%
GIF Sundsvall—2.00%3.00%6.00%2.00%6.00%4.00%10.00%12.00%22.00%23.00%10.00%
Vastra Frolunda——1.00%2.00%—2.00%4.00%3.00%4.00%13.00%20.00%51.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Direct relegation
GAIS — —
Malmo — —
Norrkoping — —
Orebro — —
Goteborg 23.00% 1.00%
Halmstad 65.00% 3.00%
Djurgarden 55.00% 8.00%
Orgryte 69.00% 10.00%
AIK Stockholm 69.00% 12.00%
Brage 67.00% 24.00%
GIF Sundsvall 56.00% 33.00%
Vastra Frolunda 26.00% 71.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
AIK StockholmBrageDjurgardenGAISGIF SundsvallGoteborgHalmstadMalmoNorrkopingOrebroOrgryte
AIK Stockholm100.0%1.00%0.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%16.7%6.00%0.0%1.00%
Brage0.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%50.0%2.00%75.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Djurgarden0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%2.00%50.0%10.00%0.0%1.00%20.0%10.00%60.0%5.00%100.0%3.00%
GAIS66.7%3.00%33.3%3.00%50.0%4.00%55.6%9.00%85.7%7.00%
GIF Sundsvall100.0%2.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%20.0%5.00%0.0%1.00%
Goteborg100.0%4.00%100.0%3.00%50.0%10.00%66.7%3.00%33.3%3.00%33.3%6.00%45.5%22.00%29.4%17.00%100.0%2.00%80.0%5.00%
Halmstad100.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%6.00%22.2%9.00%25.0%4.00%100.0%4.00%
Malmo100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%80.0%10.00%44.4%9.00%80.0%5.00%54.5%22.00%77.8%9.00%68.0%25.00%100.0%1.00%71.4%7.00%
Norrkoping83.3%6.00%25.0%4.00%40.0%5.00%14.3%7.00%100.0%1.00%70.6%17.00%75.0%4.00%32.0%25.00%100.0%6.00%
Orebro0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Orgryte100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%20.0%5.00%0.0%4.00%28.6%7.00%0.0%6.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
AIK StockholmBrageDjurgardenGAISGIF SundsvallGoteborgHalmstadMalmoNorrkopingOrgryte
AIK Stockholm100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Brage0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Djurgarden100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%6.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%
GAIS100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%50.0%2.00%40.0%5.00%60.0%5.00%
GIF Sundsvall50.0%4.00%0.0%2.00%
Goteborg0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%5.9%17.00%55.6%9.00%100.0%1.00%
Halmstad0.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%57.1%7.00%0.0%2.00%
Malmo100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%6.00%60.0%5.00%100.0%2.00%94.1%17.00%42.9%7.00%66.7%18.00%100.0%2.00%
Norrkoping100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%40.0%5.00%44.4%9.00%100.0%2.00%33.3%18.00%100.0%1.00%
Orgryte0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Semifinals Finals
Malmo 67.60% 42.40%
Norrkoping 68.70% 32.70%
GAIS 32.40% 17.20%
Orebro 31.30% 7.70%
Loser →
↓ Winner
GAISMalmoNorrkopingOrebro
GAIS32.4%100.00%
Malmo67.6%100.00%
Norrkoping68.7%100.00%
Orebro31.3%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
GAISMalmoNorrkopingOrebro
GAIS47.1%22.50%66.7%9.90%
Malmo55.0%46.20%79.4%21.40%
Norrkoping52.9%22.50%45.0%46.20%
Orebro33.3%9.90%20.6%21.40%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1989-04-08 Norrkoping L 1-456.7 1607 1669 27.22% 28.79% 43.99%-0.33 -18.1 0
1989-04-08 @ Vastra Frolunda W 4-156.7 1669 1607 43.99% 28.79% 27.22%+0.33 +18.1 2
1989-04-09 GAIS D 1-169.0 1623 1610 37.31% 28.98% 33.71%+0.04 -0.2 1
1989-04-09 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-169.0 1610 1623 33.71% 28.98% 37.31%-0.04 +0.2 1
1989-04-09 Goteborg L 0-253.8 1631 1716 24.45% 28.60% 46.95%-0.45 -13.6 0
1989-04-09 @ Brage W 2-053.8 1716 1631 46.95% 28.60% 24.45%+0.45 +13.6 2
1989-04-09 Orebro L 1-267.0 1637 1541 48.15% 28.50% 23.35%+0.44 -11.4 0
1989-04-09 @ Halmstad W 2-167.0 1541 1637 23.35% 28.50% 48.15%-0.44 +11.4 2
1989-04-09 Djurgarden L 0-163.7 1730 1664 44.52% 28.76% 26.72%+0.30 -11.3 0
1989-04-09 @ Malmo W 1-063.7 1664 1730 26.72% 28.76% 44.52%-0.30 +11.3 2
1989-04-09 GIF Sundsvall W 4-371.7 1653 1628 39.06% 28.96% 31.98%+0.10 +7.7 2
1989-04-09 @ Orgryte L 3-471.7 1628 1653 31.98% 28.96% 39.06%-0.10 -7.7 0
1989-04-15 Vastra Frolunda D 1-168.3 1611 1589 38.60% 28.97% 32.44%+0.08 -0.3 2
1989-04-15 @ GAIS D 1-168.3 1589 1611 32.44% 28.97% 38.60%-0.08 +0.3 1
1989-04-16 Orgryte L 1-266.6 1675 1661 37.47% 28.98% 33.55%+0.04 -9.3 2
1989-04-16 @ Djurgarden W 2-166.6 1661 1675 33.55% 28.98% 37.47%-0.04 +9.3 4
1989-04-16 AIK Stockholm L 0-159.2 1620 1623 35.17% 28.99% 35.84%-0.04 -9.4 0
1989-04-16 @ GIF Sundsvall W 1-059.2 1623 1620 35.84% 28.99% 35.17%+0.04 +9.4 3
1989-04-16 Malmo D 1-171.3 1730 1718 37.13% 28.99% 33.89%+0.03 -0.2 3
1989-04-16 @ Goteborg D 1-171.3 1718 1730 33.89% 28.99% 37.13%-0.03 +0.2 1
1989-04-16 Halmstad D 1-170.3 1687 1625 43.93% 28.79% 27.28%+0.28 -0.9 3
1989-04-16 @ Norrkoping D 1-170.3 1625 1687 27.28% 28.79% 43.93%-0.28 +0.9 1
1989-04-16 Brage D 1-167.7 1552 1617 26.91% 28.77% 44.32%-0.34 +0.9 3
1989-04-16 @ Orebro D 1-167.7 1617 1552 44.32% 28.77% 26.91%+0.34 -0.9 1
1989-04-22 Norrkoping W 1-063.1 1610 1686 25.58% 28.68% 45.73%-0.40 +11.5 4
1989-04-22 @ GAIS L 0-163.1 1686 1610 45.73% 28.68% 25.58%+0.40 -11.5 3
1989-04-23 Orebro D 0-063.5 1632 1553 46.13% 28.66% 25.21%+0.36 -1.2 4
1989-04-23 @ AIK Stockholm D 0-063.5 1553 1632 25.21% 28.66% 46.13%-0.36 +1.2 4
1989-04-23 Orgryte D 1-170.0 1616 1670 28.18% 28.83% 42.98%-0.29 +0.8 2
1989-04-23 @ Brage D 1-170.0 1670 1616 42.98% 28.83% 28.18%+0.29 -0.8 5
1989-04-23 Djurgarden W 3-163.8 1626 1666 30.09% 28.91% 41.00%-0.22 +17.3 3
1989-04-23 @ Halmstad L 1-363.8 1666 1626 41.00% 28.91% 30.09%+0.22 -17.3 2
1989-04-23 GIF Sundsvall W 2-052.9 1719 1611 49.53% 28.38% 22.09%+0.50 +12.5 3
1989-04-23 @ Malmo L 0-252.9 1611 1719 22.09% 28.38% 49.53%-0.50 -12.5 0
1989-04-23 Goteborg L 0-549.8 1589 1730 18.89% 27.95% 53.16%-0.71 -25.8 1
1989-04-23 @ Vastra Frolunda W 5-049.8 1730 1589 53.16% 27.95% 18.89%+0.71 +25.8 5
1989-04-29 Halmstad L 1-270.7 1755 1643 50.04% 28.32% 21.63%+0.52 -11.7 5
1989-04-29 @ Goteborg W 2-170.7 1643 1755 21.63% 28.32% 50.04%-0.52 +11.7 5
1989-04-30 Brage W 1-058.3 1648 1617 39.92% 28.94% 31.14%+0.13 +8.7 4
1989-04-30 @ Djurgarden L 0-158.3 1617 1648 31.14% 28.94% 39.92%-0.13 -8.6 2
1989-04-30 GAIS L 0-157.8 1598 1622 32.24% 28.96% 38.79%-0.14 -8.9 0
1989-04-30 @ GIF Sundsvall W 1-057.8 1622 1598 38.79% 28.96% 32.24%+0.14 +8.9 6
1989-04-30 AIK Stockholm D 2-275.7 1674 1631 41.55% 28.89% 29.56%+0.19 -0.5 4
1989-04-30 @ Norrkoping D 2-275.7 1631 1674 29.56% 28.89% 41.55%-0.19 +0.5 5
1989-04-30 Vastra Frolunda W 3-158.7 1554 1563 34.26% 28.99% 36.75%-0.07 +15.9 6
1989-04-30 @ Orebro L 1-358.7 1563 1554 36.75% 28.99% 34.26%+0.07 -15.9 1
1989-04-30 Malmo D 1-171.1 1670 1731 27.29% 28.79% 43.92%-0.33 +0.9 6
1989-04-30 @ Orgryte D 1-171.1 1731 1670 43.92% 28.79% 27.29%+0.33 -0.9 4
1989-05-09 Vastra Frolunda D 0-064.3 1670 1547 51.29% 28.19% 20.52%+0.58 -1.9 7
1989-05-09 @ Orgryte D 0-064.3 1547 1670 20.52% 28.19% 51.29%-0.58 +1.9 2
1989-05-11 AIK Stockholm D 0-065.3 1657 1631 39.09% 28.96% 31.95%+0.10 -0.4 5
1989-05-11 @ Djurgarden D 0-065.3 1631 1657 31.95% 28.96% 39.09%-0.10 +0.4 6
1989-05-11 Brage L 2-367.9 1590 1608 32.89% 28.97% 38.14%-0.12 -8.0 0
1989-05-11 @ GIF Sundsvall W 3-267.9 1608 1590 38.14% 28.97% 32.89%+0.12 +8.0 4
1989-05-11 GAIS D 2-276.6 1744 1631 50.16% 28.31% 21.52%+0.53 -1.2 6
1989-05-11 @ Goteborg D 2-276.6 1631 1744 21.52% 28.31% 50.16%-0.53 +1.2 7
1989-05-11 Halmstad W 2-054.6 1730 1655 45.64% 28.69% 25.67%+0.34 +14.1 6
1989-05-11 @ Malmo L 0-254.6 1655 1730 25.67% 28.69% 45.64%-0.34 -14.1 5
1989-05-11 Norrkoping L 0-251.8 1570 1674 22.50% 28.42% 49.08%-0.53 -12.7 6
1989-05-11 @ Orebro W 2-051.8 1674 1570 49.08% 28.42% 22.50%+0.53 +12.7 6
1989-05-15 Goteborg D 0-066.4 1632 1743 21.77% 28.34% 49.89%-0.57 +1.7 7
1989-05-15 @ AIK Stockholm D 0-066.4 1743 1632 49.89% 28.34% 21.77%+0.57 -1.7 7
1989-05-15 Malmo L 0-155.9 1616 1744 20.05% 28.12% 51.83%-0.65 -6.1 4
1989-05-15 @ Brage W 1-055.9 1744 1616 51.83% 28.12% 20.05%+0.65 +6.2 8
1989-05-15 Orebro L 0-161.1 1632 1558 45.52% 28.70% 25.78%+0.34 -11.5 7
1989-05-15 @ GAIS W 1-061.1 1558 1632 25.78% 28.70% 45.52%-0.34 +11.5 8
1989-05-15 Orgryte D 1-170.2 1641 1669 31.67% 28.95% 39.38%-0.16 +0.4 6
1989-05-15 @ Halmstad D 1-170.2 1669 1641 39.38% 28.95% 31.67%+0.16 -0.4 8
1989-05-15 GIF Sundsvall D 0-065.2 1687 1582 49.26% 28.40% 22.34%+0.49 -1.6 7
1989-05-15 @ Norrkoping D 0-065.2 1582 1687 22.34% 28.40% 49.26%-0.49 +1.6 1
1989-05-15 Djurgarden L 0-154.3 1549 1656 22.11% 28.38% 49.51%-0.55 -6.7 2
1989-05-15 @ Vastra Frolunda W 1-054.3 1656 1549 49.51% 28.38% 22.11%+0.55 +6.7 7
1989-05-20 AIK Stockholm L 0-548.9 1543 1634 23.85% 28.55% 47.60%-0.47 -31.2 2
1989-05-20 @ Vastra Frolunda W 5-048.9 1634 1543 47.60% 28.55% 23.85%+0.47 +31.2 9
1989-05-21 Norrkoping L 3-469.9 1610 1685 25.67% 28.69% 45.64%-0.39 -6.5 4
1989-05-21 @ Brage W 4-369.9 1685 1610 45.64% 28.69% 25.67%+0.39 +6.5 9
1989-05-21 GIF Sundsvall D 1-169.4 1663 1583 46.25% 28.65% 25.10%+0.37 -1.1 8
1989-05-21 @ Djurgarden D 1-169.4 1583 1663 25.10% 28.65% 46.25%-0.37 +1.1 2
1989-05-21 GAIS W 1-058.7 1641 1620 38.51% 28.97% 32.52%+0.08 +8.9 8
1989-05-21 @ Halmstad L 0-158.7 1620 1641 32.52% 28.97% 38.51%-0.08 -8.9 7
1989-05-21 Orebro W 3-048.5 1750 1569 57.18% 27.28% 15.53%+0.86 +13.5 10
1989-05-21 @ Malmo L 0-348.5 1569 1750 15.53% 27.28% 57.18%-0.86 -13.5 8
1989-05-21 Goteborg L 0-254.8 1668 1741 25.95% 28.71% 45.34%-0.38 -14.2 8
1989-05-21 @ Orgryte W 2-054.8 1741 1668 45.34% 28.71% 25.95%+0.38 +14.2 9
1989-05-27 Brage D 1-168.7 1611 1604 36.62% 28.99% 34.39%+0.01 -0.1 8
1989-05-27 @ GAIS D 1-168.7 1604 1611 34.39% 28.99% 36.62%-0.01 +0.1 5
1989-05-28 Halmstad L 2-371.2 1665 1650 37.54% 28.98% 33.47%+0.04 -8.8 9
1989-05-28 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-271.2 1650 1665 33.47% 28.98% 37.54%-0.04 +8.8 10
1989-05-28 Vastra Frolunda W 2-158.0 1584 1511 45.38% 28.71% 25.91%+0.33 +7.1 4
1989-05-28 @ GIF Sundsvall L 1-258.0 1511 1584 25.91% 28.71% 45.38%-0.33 -7.1 2
1989-05-28 Djurgarden L 1-366.9 1755 1662 47.83% 28.53% 23.64%+0.43 -19.6 9
1989-05-28 @ Goteborg W 3-166.9 1662 1755 23.64% 28.53% 47.83%-0.43 +19.6 10
1989-05-28 Malmo L 0-158.5 1692 1764 25.98% 28.71% 45.31%-0.38 -7.6 9
1989-05-28 @ Norrkoping W 1-058.5 1764 1692 45.31% 28.71% 25.98%+0.38 +7.5 12
1989-05-28 Orgryte D 1-168.7 1556 1654 23.06% 28.48% 48.47%-0.51 +1.4 9
1989-05-28 @ Orebro D 1-168.7 1654 1556 48.47% 28.48% 23.06%+0.51 -1.4 9
1989-06-03 Brage L 1-354.1 1504 1604 22.94% 28.46% 48.59%-0.51 -11.2 2
1989-06-03 @ Vastra Frolunda W 3-154.1 1604 1504 48.59% 28.46% 22.94%+0.51 +11.2 7
1989-06-04 Malmo L 0-351.4 1656 1772 21.26% 28.28% 50.46%-0.59 -17.7 9
1989-06-04 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-051.4 1772 1656 50.46% 28.28% 21.26%+0.59 +17.7 14
1989-06-04 Orgryte D 0-065.0 1611 1653 29.83% 28.90% 41.27%-0.23 +0.7 9
1989-06-04 @ GAIS D 0-065.0 1653 1611 41.27% 28.90% 29.83%+0.23 -0.6 10
1989-06-04 GIF Sundsvall W 2-162.1 1659 1591 44.73% 28.75% 26.52%+0.31 +7.2 12
1989-06-04 @ Halmstad L 1-262.1 1591 1659 26.52% 28.75% 44.73%-0.31 -7.2 4
1989-06-04 Djurgarden W 4-160.2 1684 1682 35.86% 28.99% 35.15%-0.01 +21.8 11
1989-06-04 @ Norrkoping L 1-460.2 1682 1684 35.15% 28.99% 35.86%+0.01 -21.8 10
1989-06-04 Goteborg L 1-259.1 1557 1735 15.74% 27.33% 56.92%-0.90 -4.7 9
1989-06-04 @ Orebro W 2-159.1 1735 1557 56.92% 27.33% 15.74%+0.90 +4.7 11
1989-06-10 AIK Stockholm D 1-170.0 1652 1638 37.46% 28.98% 33.55%+0.04 -0.2 11
1989-06-10 @ Orgryte D 1-170.0 1638 1652 33.55% 28.98% 37.46%-0.04 +0.2 10
1989-06-11 Halmstad L 0-157.7 1615 1666 28.52% 28.85% 42.63%-0.28 -8.1 7
1989-06-11 @ Brage W 1-057.7 1666 1615 42.63% 28.85% 28.52%+0.28 +8.1 14
1989-06-11 GAIS W 3-268.0 1660 1612 42.15% 28.87% 28.98%+0.21 +7.3 12
1989-06-11 @ Djurgarden L 2-368.0 1612 1660 28.98% 28.87% 42.15%-0.21 -7.3 9
1989-06-11 Orebro L 1-263.5 1584 1552 39.99% 28.94% 31.07%+0.13 -9.8 4
1989-06-11 @ GIF Sundsvall W 2-163.5 1552 1584 31.07% 28.94% 39.99%-0.13 +9.8 11
1989-06-11 Norrkoping W 3-162.1 1740 1706 40.32% 28.93% 30.75%+0.14 +14.0 13
1989-06-11 @ Goteborg L 1-362.1 1706 1740 30.75% 28.93% 40.32%-0.14 -14.0 11
1989-06-11 Vastra Frolunda W 4-044.8 1789 1493 66.34% 24.72% 8.95%+1.43 +10.5 16
1989-06-11 @ Malmo L 0-444.8 1493 1789 8.95% 24.72% 66.34%-1.43 -10.5 2
1989-06-21 Orebro L 0-163.0 1667 1562 49.26% 28.40% 22.34%+0.49 -12.3 12
1989-06-21 @ Djurgarden W 1-063.0 1562 1667 22.34% 28.40% 49.26%-0.49 +12.3 13
1989-06-21 Norrkoping W 2-167.7 1652 1692 29.99% 28.91% 41.10%-0.22 +10.0 13
1989-06-21 @ Orgryte L 1-267.7 1692 1652 41.10% 28.91% 29.99%+0.22 -10.0 11
1989-06-22 Malmo D 1-171.6 1574 1800 12.57% 26.41% 61.03%-1.13 +2.8 5
1989-06-22 @ GIF Sundsvall D 1-171.6 1800 1574 61.03% 26.41% 12.57%+1.13 -2.8 17
1989-06-25 AIK Stockholm W 2-057.2 1607 1638 31.11% 28.94% 39.95%-0.18 +19.5 9
1989-06-25 @ Brage L 0-257.2 1638 1607 39.95% 28.94% 31.11%+0.18 -19.5 10
1989-06-25 Malmo D 1-171.6 1605 1797 14.73% 27.08% 58.19%-0.97 +2.5 10
1989-06-25 @ GAIS D 1-171.6 1797 1605 58.19% 27.08% 14.73%+0.97 -2.5 18
1989-06-25 Goteborg W 2-171.9 1577 1754 15.86% 27.36% 56.78%-0.89 +13.2 7
1989-06-25 @ GIF Sundsvall L 1-271.9 1754 1577 56.78% 27.36% 15.86%+0.89 -13.2 13
1989-06-25 Orgryte W 4-054.0 1682 1662 38.36% 28.97% 32.67%+0.07 +32.0 13
1989-06-25 @ Norrkoping L 0-454.0 1662 1682 32.67% 28.97% 38.36%-0.07 -32.0 13
1989-06-25 Djurgarden W 3-164.3 1574 1655 25.03% 28.64% 46.32%-0.42 +19.0 15
1989-06-25 @ Orebro L 1-364.3 1655 1574 46.32% 28.64% 25.03%+0.42 -19.0 12
1989-06-25 Halmstad L 3-463.4 1483 1675 14.76% 27.09% 58.16%-0.97 -4.1 2
1989-06-25 @ Vastra Frolunda W 4-363.4 1675 1483 58.16% 27.09% 14.76%+0.97 +4.1 16
1989-06-28 Vastra Frolunda L 1-465.7 1741 1478 63.94% 25.56% 10.51%+1.26 -35.9 13
1989-06-28 @ Goteborg W 4-165.7 1478 1741 10.51% 25.56% 63.94%-1.26 +35.9 4
1989-06-29 AIK Stockholm D 0-064.0 1593 1619 31.93% 28.96% 39.11%-0.15 +0.4 16
1989-06-29 @ Orebro D 0-064.0 1619 1593 39.11% 28.96% 31.93%+0.15 -0.4 11
1989-07-09 Brage D 0-064.6 1618 1626 34.39% 28.99% 36.62%-0.06 +0.1 12
1989-07-09 @ AIK Stockholm D 0-064.6 1626 1618 36.62% 28.99% 34.39%+0.06 -0.1 10
1989-07-09 GIF Sundsvall W 3-157.8 1705 1590 50.35% 28.29% 21.36%+0.54 +10.6 15
1989-07-09 @ Goteborg L 1-357.8 1590 1705 21.36% 28.29% 50.35%-0.54 -10.6 7
1989-07-09 Vastra Frolunda L 1-269.3 1679 1514 55.56% 27.58% 16.86%+0.78 -12.9 16
1989-07-09 @ Halmstad W 2-169.3 1514 1679 16.86% 27.58% 55.56%-0.78 +12.9 6
1989-07-09 GAIS W 2-159.9 1794 1607 57.74% 27.17% 15.08%+0.89 +4.5 20
1989-07-09 @ Malmo L 1-259.9 1607 1794 15.08% 27.17% 57.74%-0.89 -4.5 10
1989-07-16 GAIS W 3-266.3 1714 1602 49.98% 28.33% 21.69%+0.52 +5.9 15
1989-07-16 @ Norrkoping L 2-366.3 1602 1714 21.69% 28.33% 49.98%-0.52 -5.9 10
1989-07-16 Brage D 0-064.8 1630 1626 36.02% 28.99% 34.99%-0.01 -0.1 14
1989-07-16 @ Orgryte D 0-064.8 1626 1630 34.99% 28.99% 36.02%+0.01 +0.0 11
1989-07-23 Norrkoping L 0-351.2 1619 1720 22.76% 28.45% 48.80%-0.52 -18.6 12
1989-07-23 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-051.2 1720 1619 48.80% 28.45% 22.76%+0.52 +18.6 17
1989-07-23 GIF Sundsvall W 1-057.1 1597 1580 37.90% 28.98% 33.13%+0.06 +9.0 12
1989-07-23 @ GAIS L 0-157.1 1580 1597 33.13% 28.98% 37.90%-0.06 -9.0 7
1989-07-26 Djurgarden L 0-255.8 1626 1636 34.14% 28.99% 36.88%-0.07 -17.4 11
1989-07-26 @ Brage W 2-055.8 1636 1626 36.88% 28.99% 34.14%+0.07 +17.4 14
1989-07-26 Goteborg W 3-165.1 1666 1716 28.74% 28.86% 42.40%-0.27 +17.7 18
1989-07-26 @ Halmstad L 1-365.1 1716 1666 42.40% 28.86% 28.74%+0.27 -17.7 15
1989-07-26 Orgryte W 4-049.3 1799 1630 56.04% 27.49% 16.46%+0.80 +18.6 22
1989-07-26 @ Malmo L 0-449.3 1630 1799 16.46% 27.49% 56.04%-0.80 -18.6 14
1989-07-26 Orebro D 0-061.7 1527 1594 26.69% 28.76% 44.55%-0.35 +1.0 7
1989-07-26 @ Vastra Frolunda D 0-061.7 1594 1527 44.55% 28.76% 26.69%+0.35 -1.0 17
1989-08-06 Brage L 0-163.7 1698 1609 47.37% 28.57% 24.07%+0.41 -11.9 15
1989-08-06 @ Goteborg W 1-063.7 1609 1698 24.07% 28.57% 47.37%-0.41 +11.9 13
1989-08-08 Halmstad L 0-159.3 1653 1684 31.29% 28.94% 39.76%-0.17 -8.7 14
1989-08-08 @ Djurgarden W 1-059.3 1684 1653 39.76% 28.94% 31.29%+0.17 +8.7 20
1989-08-13 Malmo W 1-067.2 1645 1818 16.17% 27.43% 56.40%-0.87 +13.9 16
1989-08-13 @ Djurgarden L 0-167.2 1818 1645 56.40% 27.43% 16.17%+0.87 -13.9 22
1989-08-13 AIK Stockholm W 2-054.9 1606 1600 36.32% 28.99% 34.69%+0.00 +17.6 14
1989-08-13 @ GAIS L 0-254.9 1600 1606 34.69% 28.99% 36.32%+0.00 -17.6 12
1989-08-13 Orgryte L 0-156.3 1571 1611 29.97% 28.91% 41.13%-0.22 -8.4 7
1989-08-13 @ GIF Sundsvall W 1-056.3 1611 1571 41.13% 28.91% 29.97%+0.22 +8.4 16
1989-08-13 Vastra Frolunda W 7-149.5 1738 1528 59.75% 26.73% 13.52%+1.00 +18.9 19
1989-08-13 @ Norrkoping L 1-749.5 1528 1738 13.52% 26.73% 59.75%-1.00 -18.9 7
1989-08-13 Halmstad W 2-060.3 1593 1692 22.94% 28.46% 48.60%-0.51 +22.9 19
1989-08-13 @ Orebro L 0-260.3 1692 1593 48.60% 28.46% 22.94%+0.51 -22.9 20
1989-08-19 Djurgarden L 0-158.2 1619 1658 30.14% 28.91% 40.95%-0.22 -8.4 16
1989-08-19 @ Orgryte W 1-058.2 1658 1619 40.95% 28.91% 30.14%+0.22 +8.4 18
1989-08-20 GIF Sundsvall W 4-262.0 1582 1562 38.34% 28.97% 32.69%+0.07 +13.1 14
1989-08-20 @ AIK Stockholm L 2-462.0 1562 1582 32.69% 28.97% 38.34%-0.07 -13.1 7
1989-08-20 Orebro L 0-353.9 1621 1616 36.23% 28.99% 34.78%+0.00 -26.4 13
1989-08-20 @ Brage W 3-053.9 1616 1621 34.78% 28.99% 36.23%+0.00 +26.4 21
1989-08-20 Norrkoping L 0-157.7 1669 1757 24.19% 28.58% 47.23%-0.46 -7.1 20
1989-08-20 @ Halmstad W 1-057.7 1757 1669 47.23% 28.58% 24.19%+0.46 +7.1 21
1989-08-20 Goteborg W 3-051.6 1804 1686 50.68% 28.26% 21.06%+0.55 +17.5 24
1989-08-20 @ Malmo L 0-351.6 1686 1804 21.06% 28.26% 50.68%-0.55 -17.5 15
1989-08-20 GAIS D 1-166.8 1509 1623 21.45% 28.30% 50.25%-0.58 +1.6 8
1989-08-20 @ Vastra Frolunda D 1-166.8 1623 1509 50.25% 28.30% 21.45%+0.58 -1.5 15
1989-08-26 Halmstad L 1-263.1 1611 1662 28.58% 28.85% 42.57%-0.28 -7.6 16
1989-08-26 @ Orgryte W 2-163.1 1662 1611 42.57% 28.85% 28.58%+0.28 +7.6 22
1989-08-27 Vastra Frolunda W 2-048.7 1667 1511 54.72% 27.72% 17.56%+0.74 +10.4 20
1989-08-27 @ Djurgarden L 0-248.7 1511 1667 17.56% 27.72% 54.72%-0.74 -10.4 8
1989-08-27 Norrkoping W 4-061.2 1549 1764 13.19% 26.62% 60.18%-1.08 +52.7 9
1989-08-27 @ GIF Sundsvall L 0-461.2 1764 1549 60.18% 26.62% 13.19%+1.08 -52.7 21
1989-08-27 AIK Stockholm W 4-156.1 1669 1595 45.40% 28.71% 25.90%+0.33 +17.4 17
1989-08-27 @ Goteborg L 1-456.1 1595 1669 25.90% 28.71% 45.40%-0.33 -17.4 14
1989-08-27 Brage W 2-050.1 1821 1594 61.16% 26.37% 12.47%+1.09 +7.6 26
1989-08-27 @ Malmo L 0-250.1 1594 1821 12.47% 26.37% 61.16%-1.09 -7.6 13
1989-08-27 GAIS L 0-355.0 1642 1622 38.38% 28.97% 32.65%+0.07 -27.5 21
1989-08-27 @ Orebro W 3-055.0 1622 1642 32.65% 28.97% 38.38%-0.07 +27.5 17
1989-08-30 Goteborg W 2-167.5 1649 1686 30.44% 28.92% 40.64%-0.21 +9.9 19
1989-08-30 @ GAIS L 1-267.5 1686 1649 40.64% 28.92% 30.44%+0.21 -9.9 17
1989-08-31 Djurgarden D 1-169.6 1578 1677 22.96% 28.47% 48.57%-0.51 +1.4 15
1989-08-31 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-169.6 1677 1578 48.57% 28.47% 22.96%+0.51 -1.4 21
1989-08-31 GIF Sundsvall W 4-158.2 1587 1602 33.34% 28.98% 37.68%-0.10 +22.9 15
1989-08-31 @ Brage L 1-458.2 1602 1587 37.68% 28.98% 33.34%+0.10 -22.9 9
1989-08-31 Malmo L 0-252.3 1670 1829 17.29% 27.66% 55.05%-0.81 -10.2 22
1989-08-31 @ Halmstad W 2-052.3 1829 1670 55.05% 27.66% 17.29%+0.81 +10.2 28
1989-08-31 Orebro W 2-053.2 1712 1614 48.34% 28.49% 23.18%+0.45 +13.0 23
1989-08-31 @ Norrkoping L 0-253.2 1614 1712 23.18% 28.49% 48.34%-0.45 -13.0 21
1989-08-31 Orgryte L 1-257.2 1501 1603 22.59% 28.43% 48.98%-0.53 -6.4 8
1989-08-31 @ Vastra Frolunda W 2-157.2 1603 1501 48.98% 28.43% 22.59%+0.53 +6.4 18
1989-09-09 Goteborg L 0-257.3 1676 1676 35.49% 28.99% 35.52%-0.03 -17.9 21
1989-09-09 @ Djurgarden W 2-057.3 1676 1676 35.52% 28.99% 35.49%+0.03 +17.9 19
1989-09-09 GIF Sundsvall L 1-353.5 1494 1579 24.55% 28.61% 46.84%-0.44 -11.8 8
1989-09-09 @ Vastra Frolunda W 3-153.5 1579 1494 46.84% 28.61% 24.55%+0.44 +11.8 11
1989-09-10 GAIS L 1-359.8 1610 1659 28.77% 28.86% 42.37%-0.27 -13.3 15
1989-09-10 @ Brage W 3-159.8 1659 1610 42.37% 28.86% 28.77%+0.27 +13.3 21
1989-09-10 AIK Stockholm L 1-267.8 1660 1579 46.28% 28.65% 25.08%+0.37 -11.0 22
1989-09-10 @ Halmstad W 2-167.8 1579 1660 25.08% 28.65% 46.28%-0.37 +11.0 17
1989-09-10 Norrkoping D 1-171.9 1839 1725 50.31% 28.30% 21.39%+0.53 -1.6 29
1989-09-10 @ Malmo D 1-171.9 1725 1839 21.39% 28.30% 50.31%-0.53 +1.6 24
1989-09-10 Orebro L 0-255.6 1610 1601 36.69% 28.99% 34.32%+0.01 -18.3 18
1989-09-10 @ Orgryte W 2-055.6 1601 1610 34.32% 28.99% 36.69%-0.01 +18.3 23
1989-09-16 Halmstad W 4-053.6 1672 1649 38.88% 28.96% 32.15%+0.09 +31.6 23
1989-09-16 @ GAIS L 0-453.6 1649 1672 32.15% 28.96% 38.88%-0.09 -31.6 22
1989-09-17 Vastra Frolunda W 5-358.0 1590 1482 49.57% 28.37% 22.05%+0.50 +9.2 19
1989-09-17 @ AIK Stockholm L 3-558.0 1482 1590 22.05% 28.37% 49.57%-0.50 -9.2 8
1989-09-17 Djurgarden D 2-274.9 1591 1658 26.61% 28.75% 44.64%-0.35 +0.7 12
1989-09-17 @ GIF Sundsvall D 2-274.9 1658 1591 44.64% 28.75% 26.61%+0.35 -0.7 22
1989-09-17 Orgryte L 0-163.8 1694 1591 48.95% 28.43% 22.62%+0.48 -12.2 19
1989-09-17 @ Goteborg W 1-063.8 1591 1694 22.62% 28.43% 48.95%-0.48 +12.2 20
1989-09-17 Brage W 3-050.0 1726 1596 52.04% 28.10% 19.86%+0.61 +16.7 26
1989-09-17 @ Norrkoping L 0-350.0 1596 1726 19.86% 28.10% 52.04%-0.61 -16.7 15
1989-09-17 Malmo D 0-067.5 1620 1838 13.03% 26.57% 60.40%-1.09 +3.0 24
1989-09-17 @ Orebro D 0-067.5 1838 1620 60.40% 26.57% 13.03%+1.09 -3.0 30
1989-09-21 GAIS L 1-261.7 1604 1704 22.83% 28.45% 48.72%-0.52 -6.4 20
1989-09-21 @ Orgryte W 2-161.7 1704 1604 48.72% 28.45% 22.83%+0.52 +6.4 25
1989-09-23 Orebro W 1-057.8 1682 1623 43.58% 28.81% 27.61%+0.26 +7.9 21
1989-09-23 @ Goteborg L 0-157.8 1623 1682 27.61% 28.81% 43.58%-0.26 -7.9 24
1989-09-24 Vastra Frolunda W 2-155.3 1580 1473 49.38% 28.39% 22.23%+0.49 +6.3 17
1989-09-24 @ Brage L 1-255.3 1473 1580 22.23% 28.39% 49.38%-0.49 -6.3 8
1989-09-24 Norrkoping L 0-157.7 1657 1743 24.44% 28.60% 46.96%-0.45 -7.2 22
1989-09-24 @ Djurgarden W 1-057.7 1743 1657 46.96% 28.60% 24.44%+0.45 +7.2 28
1989-09-24 Halmstad D 2-274.1 1592 1617 31.96% 28.96% 39.09%-0.15 +0.3 13
1989-09-24 @ GIF Sundsvall D 2-274.1 1617 1592 39.09% 28.96% 31.96%+0.15 -0.3 23
1989-09-24 AIK Stockholm D 1-172.1 1834 1600 61.81% 26.20% 11.99%+1.13 -2.9 31
1989-09-24 @ Malmo D 1-172.1 1600 1834 11.99% 26.20% 61.81%-1.13 +2.9 20
1989-10-01 Orgryte D 0-063.7 1602 1597 36.25% 28.99% 34.76%+0.00 -0.1 21
1989-10-01 @ AIK Stockholm D 0-063.7 1597 1602 34.76% 28.99% 36.25%+0.00 +0.1 21
1989-10-01 Djurgarden D 0-066.2 1711 1650 43.79% 28.80% 27.42%+0.27 -0.9 26
1989-10-01 @ GAIS D 0-066.2 1650 1711 27.42% 28.80% 43.79%-0.27 +1.0 23
1989-10-01 Brage W 1-057.2 1617 1586 39.84% 28.94% 31.22%+0.13 +8.6 25
1989-10-01 @ Halmstad L 0-157.2 1586 1617 31.22% 28.94% 39.84%-0.13 -8.7 17
1989-10-01 Goteborg D 1-171.3 1750 1690 43.81% 28.79% 27.40%+0.27 -0.9 29
1989-10-01 @ Norrkoping D 1-171.3 1690 1750 27.40% 28.79% 43.81%-0.27 +0.8 22
1989-10-01 GIF Sundsvall W 3-267.9 1615 1592 38.77% 28.96% 32.26%+0.09 +7.9 26
1989-10-01 @ Orebro L 2-367.9 1592 1615 32.26% 28.96% 38.77%-0.09 -7.9 13
1989-10-01 Malmo W 2-065.4 1467 1832 6.48% 22.84% 70.69%-1.81 +31.9 10
1989-10-01 @ Vastra Frolunda L 0-265.4 1832 1467 70.69% 22.84% 6.48%+1.81 -31.9 31

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
1989-10-14 Malmo D 2-277.2 1710 1800 23.96% 28.56% 47.49%-0.47 +0.9 0-0-1
1989-10-14 @ GAIS D 2-277.2 1800 1710 47.49% 28.56% 23.96%+0.47 -0.9 0-0-1
1989-10-14 Norrkoping D 1-171.1 1623 1749 20.20% 28.14% 51.66%-0.65 +1.7 0-0-1
1989-10-14 @ Orebro D 1-171.1 1749 1623 51.66% 28.14% 20.20%+0.65 -1.7 0-0-1
1989-10-28 GAIS W 1-058.1 1799 1711 47.26% 28.58% 24.16%+0.41 +7.1 1-0-1
1989-10-28 @ Malmo L 0-158.1 1711 1799 24.16% 28.58% 47.26%-0.41 -7.1 0-1-1
1989-10-29 Orebro W 3-050.7 1748 1625 51.28% 28.19% 20.53%+0.58 +17.2 1-0-1
1989-10-29 @ Norrkoping L 0-350.7 1625 1748 20.53% 28.19% 51.28%-0.58 -17.2 0-1-1
1989-11-04 Malmo L 0-256.7 1765 1806 29.86% 28.90% 41.23%-0.23 -15.8 1-1-1
1989-11-04 @ Norrkoping W 2-056.7 1806 1765 41.23% 28.90% 29.86%+0.23 +15.8 2-0-1
1989-11-11 Norrkoping L 0-164.6 1822 1749 45.35% 28.71% 25.95%+0.33 -11.5 2-1-1
1989-11-11 @ Malmo W 1-064.6 1749 1822 25.95% 28.71% 45.35%-0.33 +11.5 2-1-1
1989-11-15 Norrkoping L 3-476.7 1810 1760 42.39% 28.86% 28.75%+0.22 -9.5 2-2-1
1989-11-15 @ Malmo W 4-376.7 1760 1810 28.75% 28.86% 42.39%-0.22 +9.5 3-1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1989-10-01 6.48% @ Vastra Frolunda 1467 2 Malmo 1832 0
2 1989-06-28 10.51% Vastra Frolunda 1478 4 @ Goteborg 1741 1
3 1989-08-27 13.19% @ GIF Sundsvall 1549 4 Norrkoping 1764 0
4 1989-06-25 15.86% @ GIF Sundsvall 1577 2 Goteborg 1754 1
5 1989-08-13 16.17% @ Djurgarden 1645 1 Malmo 1818 0
6 1989-07-09 16.86% Vastra Frolunda 1514 2 @ Halmstad 1679 1
7 1989-04-29 21.63% Halmstad 1643 2 @ Goteborg 1755 1
8 1989-06-21 22.34% Orebro 1562 1 @ Djurgarden 1667 0
9 1989-09-17 22.62% Orgryte 1591 1 @ Goteborg 1694 0
10 1989-08-13 22.94% @ Orebro 1593 2 Halmstad 1692 0
11 1989-04-09 23.35% Orebro 1541 2 @ Halmstad 1637 1
12 1989-05-28 23.64% Djurgarden 1662 3 @ Goteborg 1755 1
13 1989-08-06 24.07% Brage 1609 1 @ Goteborg 1698 0
14 1989-06-25 25.03% @ Orebro 1574 3 Djurgarden 1655 1
15 1989-09-10 25.08% AIK Stockholm 1579 2 @ Halmstad 1660 1
16 1989-04-22 25.58% @ GAIS 1610 1 Norrkoping 1686 0
17 1989-05-15 25.78% Orebro 1558 1 @ GAIS 1632 0
18 1989-11-11 * 25.95% Norrkoping 1749 1 @ Malmo 1822 0
19 1989-04-09 26.72% Djurgarden 1664 1 @ Malmo 1730 0
20 1989-07-26 28.74% @ Halmstad 1666 3 Goteborg 1716 1
21 1989-11-15 * 28.75% Norrkoping 1760 4 @ Malmo 1810 3
22 1989-06-21 29.99% @ Orgryte 1652 2 Norrkoping 1692 1
23 1989-04-23 30.09% @ Halmstad 1626 3 Djurgarden 1666 1
24 1989-08-30 30.44% @ GAIS 1649 2 Goteborg 1686 1
25 1989-06-11 31.07% Orebro 1552 2 @ GIF Sundsvall 1584 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1989-08-27 52.69 @ GIF Sundsvall 4 1549 13.19% Norrkoping 0 1764 60.18% 26.62%
2 1989-06-28 35.94 Vastra Frolunda 4 1478 10.51% @ Goteborg 1 1741 63.94% 25.56%
3 1989-06-25 32.01 @ Norrkoping 4 1682 38.36% Orgryte 0 1662 32.67% 28.97%
4 1989-10-01 31.91 @ Vastra Frolunda 2 1467 6.48% Malmo 0 1832 70.69% 22.84%
5 1989-09-16 31.65 @ GAIS 4 1672 38.88% Halmstad 0 1649 32.15% 28.96%
6 1989-05-20 31.15 AIK Stockholm 5 1634 47.60% @ Vastra Frolunda 0 1543 23.85% 28.55%
7 1989-08-27 27.53 GAIS 3 1622 32.65% @ Orebro 0 1642 38.38% 28.97%
8 1989-08-20 26.39 Orebro 3 1616 34.78% @ Brage 0 1621 36.23% 28.99%
9 1989-04-23 25.80 Goteborg 5 1730 53.16% @ Vastra Frolunda 0 1589 18.89% 27.95%
10 1989-08-13 22.90 @ Orebro 2 1593 22.94% Halmstad 0 1692 48.60% 28.46%
11 1989-08-31 22.90 @ Brage 4 1587 33.34% GIF Sundsvall 1 1602 37.68% 28.98%
12 1989-06-04 21.78 @ Norrkoping 4 1684 35.86% Djurgarden 1 1682 35.15% 28.99%
13 1989-05-28 19.57 Djurgarden 3 1662 23.64% @ Goteborg 1 1755 47.83% 28.53%
14 1989-06-25 19.54 @ Brage 2 1607 31.11% AIK Stockholm 0 1638 39.95% 28.94%
15 1989-06-25 19.04 @ Orebro 3 1574 25.03% Djurgarden 1 1655 46.32% 28.64%
16 1989-08-13 18.87 @ Norrkoping 7 1738 59.75% Vastra Frolunda 1 1528 13.52% 26.73%
17 1989-07-23 18.64 Norrkoping 3 1720 48.80% @ AIK Stockholm 0 1619 22.76% 28.45%
18 1989-07-26 18.62 @ Malmo 4 1799 56.04% Orgryte 0 1630 16.46% 27.49%
19 1989-09-10 18.34 Orebro 2 1601 34.32% @ Orgryte 0 1610 36.69% 28.99%
20 1989-04-08 18.06 Norrkoping 4 1669 43.99% @ Vastra Frolunda 1 1607 27.22% 28.79%
21 1989-09-09 17.90 Goteborg 2 1676 35.52% @ Djurgarden 0 1676 35.49% 28.99%
22 1989-07-26 17.73 @ Halmstad 3 1666 28.74% Goteborg 1 1716 42.40% 28.86%
23 1989-06-04 17.66 Malmo 3 1772 50.46% @ AIK Stockholm 0 1656 21.26% 28.28%
24 1989-08-13 17.62 @ GAIS 2 1606 36.32% AIK Stockholm 0 1600 34.69% 28.99%
25 1989-08-20 17.52 @ Malmo 3 1804 50.68% Goteborg 0 1686 21.06% 28.26%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1989-10-14 * 77.2 @ GAIS 2 1710 23.96% Malmo 2 1800 47.49% 28.56%
2 1989-11-15 * 76.7 Norrkoping 4 1760 28.75% @ Malmo 3 1810 42.39% 28.86%
3 1989-05-11 76.6 @ Goteborg 2 1744 50.16% GAIS 2 1631 21.52% 28.31%
4 1989-04-30 75.7 @ Norrkoping 2 1674 41.55% AIK Stockholm 2 1631 29.56% 28.89%
5 1989-09-17 74.9 @ GIF Sundsvall 2 1591 26.61% Djurgarden 2 1658 44.64% 28.75%
6 1989-09-24 74.1 @ GIF Sundsvall 2 1592 31.96% Halmstad 2 1617 39.09% 28.96%
7 1989-09-24 72.1 @ Malmo 1 1834 61.81% AIK Stockholm 1 1600 11.99% 26.20%
8 1989-06-25 71.9 @ GIF Sundsvall 2 1577 15.86% Goteborg 1 1754 56.78% 27.36%
9 1989-09-10 71.9 @ Malmo 1 1839 50.31% Norrkoping 1 1725 21.39% 28.30%
10 1989-04-09 71.7 @ Orgryte 4 1653 39.06% GIF Sundsvall 3 1628 31.98% 28.96%
11 1989-06-22 71.6 @ GIF Sundsvall 1 1574 12.57% Malmo 1 1800 61.03% 26.41%
12 1989-06-25 71.6 @ GAIS 1 1605 14.73% Malmo 1 1797 58.19% 27.08%
13 1989-04-16 71.3 @ Goteborg 1 1730 37.13% Malmo 1 1718 33.89% 28.99%
14 1989-10-01 71.3 @ Norrkoping 1 1750 43.81% Goteborg 1 1690 27.40% 28.79%
15 1989-05-28 71.2 Halmstad 3 1650 33.47% @ AIK Stockholm 2 1665 37.54% 28.98%
16 1989-04-30 71.1 @ Orgryte 1 1670 27.29% Malmo 1 1731 43.92% 28.79%
17 1989-10-14 * 71.1 @ Orebro 1 1623 20.20% Norrkoping 1 1749 51.66% 28.14%
18 1989-04-29 70.7 Halmstad 2 1643 21.63% @ Goteborg 1 1755 50.04% 28.32%
19 1989-04-16 70.3 @ Norrkoping 1 1687 43.93% Halmstad 1 1625 27.28% 28.79%
20 1989-05-15 70.2 @ Halmstad 1 1641 31.67% Orgryte 1 1669 39.38% 28.95%
21 1989-04-23 70.0 @ Brage 1 1616 28.18% Orgryte 1 1670 42.98% 28.83%
22 1989-06-10 70.0 @ Orgryte 1 1652 37.46% AIK Stockholm 1 1638 33.55% 28.98%
23 1989-05-21 69.9 Norrkoping 4 1685 45.64% @ Brage 3 1610 25.67% 28.69%
24 1989-08-31 69.6 @ AIK Stockholm 1 1578 22.96% Djurgarden 1 1677 48.57% 28.47%
25 1989-05-21 69.4 @ Djurgarden 1 1663 46.25% GIF Sundsvall 1 1583 25.10% 28.65%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1989-06-11 44.8 @ Malmo 4 1789 66.34% Vastra Frolunda 0 1493 8.95% 24.72%
2 1989-05-21 48.5 @ Malmo 3 1750 57.18% Orebro 0 1569 15.53% 27.28%
3 1989-08-27 48.7 @ Djurgarden 2 1667 54.72% Vastra Frolunda 0 1511 17.56% 27.72%
4 1989-05-20 48.9 AIK Stockholm 5 1634 47.60% @ Vastra Frolunda 0 1543 23.85% 28.55%
5 1989-07-26 49.3 @ Malmo 4 1799 56.04% Orgryte 0 1630 16.46% 27.49%
6 1989-08-13 49.5 @ Norrkoping 7 1738 59.75% Vastra Frolunda 1 1528 13.52% 26.73%
7 1989-04-23 49.8 Goteborg 5 1730 53.16% @ Vastra Frolunda 0 1589 18.89% 27.95%
8 1989-09-17 50.0 @ Norrkoping 3 1726 52.04% Brage 0 1596 19.86% 28.10%
9 1989-08-27 50.1 @ Malmo 2 1821 61.16% Brage 0 1594 12.47% 26.37%
10 1989-10-29 * 50.7 @ Norrkoping 3 1748 51.28% Orebro 0 1625 20.53% 28.19%
11 1989-07-23 51.2 Norrkoping 3 1720 48.80% @ AIK Stockholm 0 1619 22.76% 28.45%
12 1989-06-04 51.4 Malmo 3 1772 50.46% @ AIK Stockholm 0 1656 21.26% 28.28%
13 1989-08-20 51.6 @ Malmo 3 1804 50.68% Goteborg 0 1686 21.06% 28.26%
14 1989-05-11 51.8 Norrkoping 2 1674 49.08% @ Orebro 0 1570 22.50% 28.42%
15 1989-08-31 52.3 Malmo 2 1829 55.05% @ Halmstad 0 1670 17.29% 27.66%
16 1989-04-23 52.9 @ Malmo 2 1719 49.53% GIF Sundsvall 0 1611 22.09% 28.38%
17 1989-08-31 53.2 @ Norrkoping 2 1712 48.34% Orebro 0 1614 23.18% 28.49%
18 1989-09-09 53.5 GIF Sundsvall 3 1579 46.84% @ Vastra Frolunda 1 1494 24.55% 28.61%
19 1989-09-16 53.6 @ GAIS 4 1672 38.88% Halmstad 0 1649 32.15% 28.96%
20 1989-04-09 53.8 Goteborg 2 1716 46.95% @ Brage 0 1631 24.45% 28.60%
21 1989-08-20 53.9 Orebro 3 1616 34.78% @ Brage 0 1621 36.23% 28.99%
22 1989-06-25 54.0 @ Norrkoping 4 1682 38.36% Orgryte 0 1662 32.67% 28.97%
23 1989-06-03 54.1 Brage 3 1604 48.59% @ Vastra Frolunda 1 1504 22.94% 28.46%
24 1989-05-15 54.3 Djurgarden 1 1656 49.51% @ Vastra Frolunda 0 1549 22.11% 28.38%
25 1989-05-11 54.6 @ Malmo 2 1730 45.64% Halmstad 0 1655 25.67% 28.69%