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1990 Allsvenskan Season

132 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Goteborg

45 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Goteborg

10.25 points above expected

45 points · 34.75 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Malmo

8.85 points below expected

28 points · 36.85 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Goteborg 22 14 3 5 45 39 22 +17 34.75 +10.25
2 Norrkoping 22 12 4 6 40 41 23 +18 39.00 +1.00
3 Orebro 22 10 6 6 36 23 17 +6 30.70 +5.30
4 Oster 22 10 6 6 36 28 27 +1 27.35 +8.65
5 Djurgarden 22 9 6 7 33 37 23 +14 31.58 +1.42
6 Malmo 22 6 10 6 28 20 15 +5 36.85 -8.85
7 GAIS 22 7 7 8 28 17 17 0 32.26 -4.26
8 AIK Stockholm 22 8 3 11 27 25 39 -14 26.71 +0.29
9 Halmstad 22 7 5 10 26 27 34 -7 28.28 -2.28
10 Brage 22 5 9 8 24 23 26 -3 26.40 -2.40
11 Orgryte 22 6 3 13 21 22 40 -18 24.54 -3.54
12 Hammarby 22 5 4 13 19 32 51 -19 23.88 -4.88

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Goteborg 45 34.75 +10.25
2 Oster 36 27.35 +8.65
3 Orebro 36 30.70 +5.30
4 Djurgarden 33 31.58 +1.42
5 Norrkoping 40 39.00 +1.00

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Malmo 28 36.85 -8.85
2 Hammarby 19 23.88 -4.88
3 GAIS 28 32.26 -4.26
4 Orgryte 21 24.54 -3.54
5 Brage 24 26.40 -2.40

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Goteborg 5 Sep 8 – Oct 7 1 in 48
2 AIK Stockholm 3 May 3 – May 16 1 in 34
3 Norrkoping 5 Sep 2 – Sep 29 1 in 27
4 Djurgarden 4 Jul 26 – Aug 13 1 in 23
5 Orgryte 2 May 14 – May 17 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 GAIS 4 May 6 – May 20 1 in 149
2 Malmo 3 May 5 – May 17 1 in 93
3 AIK Stockholm 5 Sep 9 – Oct 7 1 in 88
4 Orebro 4 Jul 22 – Aug 5 1 in 62
5 Orgryte 5 Aug 26 – Sep 22 1 in 48

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Orebro 8 Apr 4 – May 20 1 in 66
2 Oster 6 May 17 – Aug 5 1 in 37
3 Brage 5 May 20 – Aug 5 1 in 23
4 Goteborg 8 May 13 – Aug 13 1 in 20
5 Hammarby 4 Aug 26 – Sep 13 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Brage 8 Apr 4 – May 20 1 in 24
2 Malmo 4 Apr 29 – May 17 1 in 21
3 GAIS 6 Apr 29 – Jul 22 1 in 21
4 Orgryte 7 May 21 – Aug 16 1 in 20
5 Norrkoping 4 Jul 30 – Aug 12 1 in 19

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Goteborg 1717 45 +46 15 8.6 +6.4
Norrkoping 1725 40 +25 12 8.4 +3.6
Orebro 1620 36 +16 8 6.8 +1.2
Oster 1582 36 +3 8 6.7 +1.3
Djurgarden 1644 33 -19 5 7.2 -2.2
GAIS 1615 28 -14 7 7.8 -0.8
Malmo 1689 28 -14 6 7.8 -1.8
AIK Stockholm 1525 27 -51 0 6.1 -6.1
Halmstad 1575 26 +14 7 6.3 +0.7
Brage 1564 24 -11 4 5.8 -1.8
Orgryte 1500 21 -11 4 4.8 -0.8
Hammarby 1511 19 +18 7 6.2 +0.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS BRA DJU GAI GOT HAL HAM MAL NOR ORE ORG OST
AIK Stockholm —
1-0-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.47
0-1-1
2.29
0-0-2
1.99
1-1-0
2.67
1-0-1
3.09
1-1-0
1.94
0-0-2
1.83
1-0-1
2.47
2-0-0
2.75
0-0-2
2.64
Brage
1-0-1
2.78
—
0-2-0
2.26
0-1-1
2.20
1-0-1
2.02
0-1-1
2.58
0-1-1
3.07
1-0-1
1.87
0-1-1
1.59
0-1-1
2.49
1-1-0
2.61
1-1-0
2.50
Djurgarden
1-0-1
3.02
0-2-0
3.22
—
1-1-0
2.55
1-0-1
2.49
1-1-0
3.03
1-0-1
3.30
0-2-0
2.26
0-0-2
2.08
1-0-1
3.01
2-0-0
3.34
1-0-1
2.97
GAIS
1-1-0
3.20
1-1-0
3.28
0-1-1
2.92
—
0-1-1
2.68
0-1-1
3.25
2-0-0
3.36
0-2-0
2.30
1-0-1
2.32
0-0-2
3.20
1-0-1
3.43
1-0-1
3.18
Goteborg
2-0-0
3.49
1-0-1
3.47
1-0-1
2.99
1-1-0
2.81
—
1-0-1
3.30
1-1-0
3.73
1-1-0
2.57
1-0-1
2.49
2-0-0
2.98
2-0-0
3.62
1-0-1
3.25
Halmstad
0-1-1
2.80
1-1-0
2.89
0-1-1
2.46
1-1-0
2.24
1-0-1
2.20
—
2-0-0
3.00
0-0-2
1.99
0-0-2
1.83
1-0-1
2.34
0-1-1
3.22
1-0-1
2.66
Hammarby
1-0-1
2.39
1-1-0
2.43
1-0-1
2.20
0-0-2
2.13
0-1-1
1.77
0-0-2
2.48
—
0-1-1
1.56
1-0-1
1.42
0-0-2
2.22
1-0-1
2.61
0-1-1
2.54
Malmo
0-1-1
3.57
1-0-1
3.64
0-2-0
3.24
0-2-0
3.19
0-1-1
2.91
2-0-0
3.51
1-1-0
4.00
—
1-0-1
2.50
0-2-0
3.39
1-0-1
3.71
0-1-1
3.41
Norrkoping
2-0-0
3.69
1-1-0
3.95
2-0-0
3.41
1-0-1
3.16
1-0-1
2.99
2-0-0
3.69
1-0-1
4.14
1-0-1
2.98
—
0-1-1
3.48
0-1-1
3.80
1-1-0
3.75
Orebro
1-0-1
3.02
1-1-0
2.99
1-0-1
2.48
2-0-0
2.29
0-0-2
2.52
1-0-1
3.14
2-0-0
3.27
0-2-0
2.09
1-1-0
2.02
—
1-0-1
3.20
0-2-0
2.96
Orgryte
0-0-2
2.72
0-1-1
2.90
0-0-2
2.13
1-0-1
2.07
0-0-2
1.91
1-1-0
2.26
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
1.80
1-1-0
1.74
1-0-1
2.32
—
0-0-2
2.54
Oster
2-0-0
2.84
0-1-1
2.98
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.31
1-0-1
2.25
1-0-1
2.82
1-1-0
2.93
1-1-0
2.09
0-1-1
1.78
0-2-0
2.53
2-0-0
2.93
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.33 +5.7
Allowed 0.38 -4.4
Differential 0.77 +5.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.61%10.98%8.33%3.79%0.38%1.14%35.23%
110.98%8.33%4.92%2.65%1.14%0.76%28.79%
28.33%4.92%5.30%1.14%1.14%0.76%21.59%
33.79%2.65%1.14%0.76%0.38%—8.71%
40.38%1.14%1.14%0.38%——3.03%
5+1.14%0.76%0.76%———2.65%
Total35.23%28.79%21.59%8.71%3.03%2.65%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.27 +0.00
SD 1.37 1.37 1.98
CV 1.08 1.08 —
Max 9 9 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%—4.55%—4.55%18.18%
122.73%4.55%13.64%4.55%9.09%—54.55%
24.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%18.18%27.27%9.09%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.77 -0.64
SD 0.77 1.54 1.79
CV 0.68 0.87 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%18.18%4.55%———27.27%
14.55%36.36%9.09%4.55%——54.55%
2—9.09%————9.09%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%68.18%18.18%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.18 -0.14
SD 1.00 0.66 1.08
CV 0.96 0.56 —
Max 4 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%4.55%9.09%4.55%——36.36%
19.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
29.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
3———————
44.55%—————4.55%
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total40.91%27.27%18.18%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.05 +0.64
SD 2.32 1.09 2.61
CV 1.38 1.04 —
Max 9 3 +8
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.73%18.18%4.55%9.09%——54.55%
19.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
218.18%—4.55%———22.73%
34.55%—————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total54.55%22.73%13.64%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 0.77 +0.00
SD 0.97 1.02 1.60
CV 1.26 1.32 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%9.09%——4.55%27.27%
118.18%—4.55%———22.73%
29.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
39.09%4.55%————13.64%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total50.00%18.18%27.27%——4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.00 +0.77
SD 1.69 1.41 2.33
CV 0.95 1.41 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%13.64%——4.55%36.36%
14.55%4.55%9.09%9.09%——27.27%
24.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
39.09%——4.55%——13.64%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%22.73%27.27%18.18%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.55 -0.32
SD 1.23 1.34 1.86
CV 1.00 0.86 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%13.64%4.55%——31.82%
1—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%22.73%
24.55%—9.09%—4.55%4.55%22.73%
34.55%4.55%——4.55%—13.64%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+———————
Total13.64%22.73%31.82%9.09%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 2.32 -0.86
SD 1.34 2.03 2.47
CV 0.92 0.88 —
Max 4 9 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
031.82%13.64%9.09%———54.55%
19.09%9.09%————18.18%
24.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
34.55%—————4.55%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total54.55%27.27%13.64%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 0.68 +0.23
SD 1.31 0.89 1.57
CV 1.44 1.31 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%13.64%———22.73%
14.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
213.64%4.55%9.09%———27.27%
34.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total27.27%40.91%31.82%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.05 +0.82
SD 1.52 0.79 1.97
CV 0.82 0.75 —
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%18.18%—4.55%——40.91%
122.73%4.55%————27.27%
213.64%—4.55%——4.55%22.73%
34.55%—————4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total59.09%27.27%4.55%4.55%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 0.77 +0.27
SD 1.13 1.41 1.72
CV 1.08 1.83 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—18.18%9.09%13.64%——40.91%
19.09%9.09%—4.55%—4.55%27.27%
29.09%4.55%—4.55%4.55%—22.73%
34.55%——4.55%——9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%31.82%9.09%27.27%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.82 -0.82
SD 1.02 1.71 2.06
CV 1.02 0.94 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—13.64%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
118.18%9.09%4.55%———31.82%
29.09%4.55%9.09%———22.73%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total36.36%18.18%36.36%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.23 +0.05
SD 1.28 1.15 1.76
CV 1.01 0.94 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Goteborg 1746 45 34.75 +10.25 95.0% 20 24 31 35 39 45 53
Norrkoping 1695 40 39.00 +1.00 63.0% 26 29 35 38 42 49 51
Malmo 1689 28 36.85 -8.85 6.0% 23 27 33 37 40 46 50
Djurgarden 1644 33 31.58 +1.42 67.0% 19 23 27 32 34 40 47
Orebro 1616 36 30.70 +5.30 84.0% 18 21 26 31 34 41 43
GAIS 1615 28 32.26 -4.26 29.0% 17 20 27 33 37 42 52
Oster 1587 36 27.35 +8.65 94.0% 11 16 23 27 31 39 46
Halmstad 1575 26 28.28 -2.28 33.0% 16 19 25 28 32 37 41
Brage 1564 24 26.40 -2.40 40.0% 14 16 22 26 30 37 47
AIK Stockholm 1525 27 26.71 +0.29 57.0% 13 17 23 27 30 35 41
Hammarby 1511 19 23.88 -4.88 24.0% 14 15 20 23 28 34 38
Orgryte 1500 21 24.54 -3.54 28.0% 11 15 21 24 29 34 39

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+23.48%
Strong Edge
49.24%25.00%25.76%
Elo Value
Home Edge
160 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
083.15500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.64 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.52+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.6
Open
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
18%
Goteborg, 3rd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Comfortable
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.68 * Some Luck: 4.68 to 7.03 * Lucky: 7.03 to 9.37 * Wild Swing: 9.37 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.85 * Close: 1.85 to 2.77 * Off: 2.77 to 3.69 * Way Off: 3.69 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.44 points
Some Luck
05.8615
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.67
Pinpoint
02.315
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
95.00%
Goteborg
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
6.00%
Malmo
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Balanced
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 77.00
1.27
Coin-Flip Parity
0.951.41.652.75
Interquartile Edge
64%
Slight Edge
50%63%71.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
79%
Even
50%82%100%
Close Games
Expected
60%
Frequent
0%55%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Rare
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.32
Slight Separation
00.30.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.84
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.46
Some Carryover
00.380.530.691
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Chalky
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.71
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.84
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.140
Well Within Noise
00.1420.4

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

Goteborg 3
Orebro 2

Leg 1: Orebro 1-1 Goteborg

Leg 2: Goteborg 2-1 Orebro

Sim: 3.0%

Norrkoping 5
Oster 5

Leg 1: Oster 4-3 Norrkoping

Leg 2: Norrkoping 2-1 Oster

Sim: 2.0%

Finals

Goteborg 3
Norrkoping 0

Leg 1: Norrkoping 0-3 Goteborg

Leg 2: Goteborg 0-0 Norrkoping

Sim: 5.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Goteborg18.00%16.00%14.00%14.00%9.00%8.00%7.00%7.00%3.00%3.00%—1.00%
Norrkoping36.00%22.00%22.00%6.00%2.00%5.00%2.00%4.00%——1.00%—
Orebro5.00%7.00%8.00%10.00%20.00%11.00%7.00%10.00%8.00%5.00%6.00%3.00%
Oster3.00%2.00%6.00%3.00%6.00%11.00%14.00%14.00%8.00%14.00%12.00%7.00%
Djurgarden6.00%9.00%12.00%11.00%13.00%16.00%9.00%9.00%7.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%
Malmo21.00%20.00%15.00%21.00%5.00%8.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%—1.00%1.00%
GAIS6.00%16.00%12.00%9.00%12.00%7.00%10.00%11.00%7.00%1.00%4.00%5.00%
AIK Stockholm1.00%1.00%3.00%6.00%7.00%8.00%8.00%11.00%12.00%17.00%15.00%11.00%
Halmstad2.00%4.00%1.00%10.00%5.00%12.00%18.00%5.00%16.00%11.00%10.00%6.00%
Brage2.00%2.00%4.00%4.00%9.00%5.00%8.00%9.00%18.00%15.00%10.00%14.00%
Orgryte—1.00%1.00%2.00%7.00%6.00%8.00%10.00%11.00%16.00%17.00%21.00%
Hammarby——2.00%4.00%5.00%3.00%6.00%7.00%8.00%15.00%21.00%29.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Goteborg — —
Norrkoping — —
Orebro — —
Oster — —
Malmo 21.00% 2.00%
Djurgarden 54.00% 8.00%
GAIS 47.00% 10.00%
Halmstad 56.00% 27.00%
Brage 49.00% 39.00%
AIK Stockholm 46.00% 43.00%
Orgryte 42.00% 54.00%
Hammarby 29.00% 65.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
AIK StockholmBrageDjurgardenGAISGoteborgHalmstadHammarbyMalmoNorrkopingOrebroOrgryteOster
AIK Stockholm0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%60.0%5.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Brage100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%40.0%5.00%
Djurgarden100.0%1.00%25.0%4.00%33.3%6.00%0.0%1.00%44.4%9.00%25.0%12.00%60.0%5.00%100.0%2.00%
GAIS0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%75.0%4.00%40.0%10.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%8.00%31.2%16.00%42.9%7.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Goteborg75.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%6.00%60.0%10.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%4.00%40.9%22.00%75.0%4.00%0.0%2.00%
Halmstad100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Hammarby100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%3.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
Malmo40.0%5.00%33.3%3.00%55.6%9.00%50.0%8.00%50.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%3.00%40.0%15.00%62.5%8.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%4.00%
Norrkoping100.0%2.00%60.0%5.00%75.0%12.00%68.8%16.00%59.1%22.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%60.0%15.00%100.0%7.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%4.00%
Orebro40.0%5.00%57.1%7.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%37.5%8.00%0.0%7.00%0.0%1.00%
Orgryte0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Oster100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
AIK StockholmBrageDjurgardenGAISGoteborgHalmstadHammarbyMalmoNorrkopingOrebroOrgryteOster
AIK Stockholm100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%
Brage0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Djurgarden0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%44.4%9.00%0.0%1.00%
GAIS0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%40.0%10.00%100.0%1.00%
Goteborg100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%16.7%6.00%38.5%13.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%
Halmstad100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Hammarby100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
Malmo100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%83.3%6.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%41.7%12.00%100.0%2.00%75.0%4.00%
Norrkoping100.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%55.6%9.00%60.0%10.00%61.5%13.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%58.3%12.00%60.0%5.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%
Orebro100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%40.0%5.00%0.0%1.00%
Orgryte0.0%2.00%
Oster100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Semifinals Finals
Norrkoping 72.00% 40.60%
Goteborg 65.20% 34.40%
Orebro 34.80% 14.90%
Oster 28.00% 10.10%
Loser →
↓ Winner
GoteborgNorrkopingOrebroOster
Goteborg65.2%100.00%
Norrkoping72.0%100.00%
Orebro34.8%100.00%
Oster28.0%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
GoteborgNorrkopingOrebroOster
Goteborg47.9%47.00%65.4%18.20%
Norrkoping52.1%47.00%64.4%25.00%
Orebro35.6%25.00%61.2%9.80%
Oster34.6%18.20%38.8%9.80%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1990-04-04 Brage W 1-053.4 1574 1562 49.65% 25.85% 24.50%+0.59 +5.8 3
1990-04-04 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-153.4 1562 1574 24.50% 25.85% 49.65%-0.59 -5.8 0
1990-04-04 Orebro L 0-257.7 1572 1577 47.48% 26.18% 26.34%+0.49 -18.3 0
1990-04-04 @ Orgryte W 2-057.7 1577 1572 26.34% 26.18% 47.48%-0.49 +18.3 3
1990-04-07 Goteborg W 6-050.2 1684 1631 54.62% 24.82% 20.56%+0.85 +26.0 3
1990-04-07 @ Norrkoping L 0-650.2 1631 1684 20.56% 24.82% 54.62%-0.85 -26.0 0
1990-04-08 Oster W 3-047.6 1640 1561 57.65% 24.00% 18.35%+1.01 +12.2 3
1990-04-08 @ GAIS L 0-347.6 1561 1640 18.35% 24.00% 57.65%-1.01 -12.2 0
1990-04-08 Halmstad L 1-265.4 1566 1587 45.41% 26.43% 28.15%+0.39 -8.8 0
1990-04-08 @ Hammarby W 2-165.4 1587 1566 28.15% 26.43% 45.41%-0.39 +8.8 3
1990-04-08 Djurgarden D 0-067.7 1710 1604 60.53% 23.08% 16.38%+1.18 -2.3 1
1990-04-08 @ Malmo D 0-067.7 1604 1710 16.38% 23.08% 60.53%-1.18 +2.3 1
1990-04-13 GAIS D 1-169.4 1557 1652 35.00% 26.89% 38.11%-0.08 +0.1 1
1990-04-13 @ Brage D 1-169.4 1652 1557 38.11% 26.89% 35.00%+0.08 -0.1 4
1990-04-16 Norrkoping L 0-257.1 1606 1710 33.93% 26.86% 39.21%-0.13 -14.2 1
1990-04-16 @ Djurgarden W 2-057.1 1710 1606 39.21% 26.86% 33.93%+0.13 +14.2 6
1990-04-16 AIK Stockholm W 5-048.4 1605 1580 51.34% 25.54% 23.11%+0.68 +24.3 3
1990-04-16 @ Goteborg L 0-548.4 1580 1605 23.11% 25.54% 51.34%-0.68 -24.3 3
1990-04-16 Orgryte L 0-162.2 1596 1553 53.48% 25.09% 21.43%+0.79 -10.7 3
1990-04-16 @ Halmstad W 1-062.2 1553 1596 21.43% 25.09% 53.48%-0.79 +10.7 3
1990-04-16 Malmo D 0-066.5 1595 1707 32.77% 26.82% 40.41%-0.18 +0.4 4
1990-04-16 @ Orebro D 0-066.5 1707 1595 40.41% 26.82% 32.77%+0.18 -0.3 2
1990-04-16 Hammarby W 5-255.2 1549 1558 47.05% 26.24% 26.71%+0.47 +12.4 3
1990-04-16 @ Oster L 2-555.2 1558 1549 26.71% 26.24% 47.05%-0.47 -12.5 0
1990-04-19 Halmstad W 2-160.2 1556 1586 44.22% 26.55% 29.22%+0.33 +6.3 6
1990-04-19 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-260.2 1586 1556 29.22% 26.55% 44.22%-0.33 -6.3 3
1990-04-19 Norrkoping W 2-057.9 1652 1724 38.44% 26.88% 34.68%+0.07 +14.4 7
1990-04-19 @ GAIS L 0-257.9 1724 1652 34.68% 26.88% 38.44%-0.07 -14.4 6
1990-04-21 Orgryte W 1-053.6 1561 1564 47.81% 26.13% 26.05%+0.50 +6.1 6
1990-04-21 @ Oster L 0-153.6 1564 1561 26.05% 26.13% 47.81%-0.50 -6.1 3
1990-04-22 Orebro L 0-159.6 1557 1596 43.00% 26.66% 30.35%+0.28 -9.0 1
1990-04-22 @ Brage W 1-059.6 1596 1557 30.35% 26.66% 43.00%-0.28 +9.0 7
1990-04-22 Djurgarden W 2-159.6 1629 1592 52.83% 25.24% 21.94%+0.75 +5.0 6
1990-04-22 @ Goteborg L 1-259.6 1592 1629 21.94% 25.24% 52.83%-0.75 -5.0 1
1990-04-22 Malmo L 0-156.8 1545 1707 26.60% 26.22% 47.18%-0.49 -6.2 0
1990-04-22 @ Hammarby W 1-056.8 1707 1545 47.18% 26.22% 26.60%+0.49 +6.2 5
1990-04-29 Brage D 1-168.0 1587 1548 53.05% 25.19% 21.77%+0.76 -1.4 2
1990-04-29 @ Djurgarden D 1-168.0 1548 1587 21.77% 25.19% 53.05%-0.76 +1.4 2
1990-04-29 Goteborg W 1-058.0 1579 1634 40.75% 26.80% 32.45%+0.17 +7.3 6
1990-04-29 @ Halmstad L 0-158.0 1634 1579 32.45% 26.80% 40.75%-0.17 -7.3 6
1990-04-29 GAIS D 0-067.8 1713 1667 53.92% 24.99% 21.09%+0.81 -1.6 6
1990-04-29 @ Malmo D 0-067.8 1667 1713 21.09% 24.99% 53.92%-0.81 +1.7 8
1990-04-29 AIK Stockholm W 4-151.2 1709 1562 64.78% 21.49% 13.74%+1.44 +7.6 9
1990-04-29 @ Norrkoping L 1-451.2 1562 1709 13.74% 21.49% 64.78%-1.44 -7.6 6
1990-04-29 Hammarby W 3-046.8 1558 1539 50.59% 25.68% 23.73%+0.64 +15.4 6
1990-04-29 @ Orgryte L 0-346.8 1539 1558 23.73% 25.68% 50.59%-0.64 -15.4 0
1990-05-01 Oster D 0-064.5 1605 1567 52.81% 25.24% 21.95%+0.75 -1.5 8
1990-05-01 @ Orebro D 0-064.5 1567 1605 21.95% 25.24% 52.81%-0.75 +1.5 7
1990-05-03 Orgryte W 1-054.3 1554 1573 45.67% 26.41% 27.93%+0.40 +6.5 9
1990-05-03 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-154.3 1573 1554 27.93% 26.41% 45.67%-0.40 -6.5 6
1990-05-05 Malmo W 1-058.1 1717 1711 48.87% 25.98% 25.16%+0.55 +5.9 12
1990-05-05 @ Norrkoping L 0-158.1 1711 1717 25.16% 25.98% 48.87%-0.55 -5.9 6
1990-05-06 Halmstad D 1-167.6 1549 1586 43.23% 26.64% 30.13%+0.29 -0.5 3
1990-05-06 @ Brage D 1-167.6 1586 1549 30.13% 26.64% 43.23%-0.29 +0.6 7
1990-05-06 Orebro L 0-165.4 1668 1603 56.07% 24.45% 19.48%+0.93 -11.2 8
1990-05-06 @ GAIS W 1-065.4 1603 1668 19.48% 24.45% 56.07%-0.93 +11.2 11
1990-05-06 Djurgarden W 3-050.4 1523 1586 39.76% 26.84% 33.40%+0.13 +20.3 3
1990-05-06 @ Hammarby L 0-350.4 1586 1523 33.40% 26.84% 39.76%-0.13 -20.3 2
1990-05-06 Goteborg W 2-054.7 1569 1627 40.34% 26.82% 32.85%+0.16 +13.8 10
1990-05-06 @ Oster L 0-254.7 1627 1569 32.85% 26.82% 40.34%-0.16 -13.8 6
1990-05-13 Oster W 4-049.0 1565 1583 45.88% 26.38% 27.74%+0.41 +23.0 5
1990-05-13 @ Djurgarden L 0-449.0 1583 1565 27.74% 26.38% 45.88%-0.41 -23.0 10
1990-05-13 Brage W 1-052.2 1613 1549 56.02% 24.46% 19.52%+0.92 +4.7 9
1990-05-13 @ Goteborg L 0-152.2 1549 1613 19.52% 24.46% 56.02%-0.92 -4.7 3
1990-05-13 Norrkoping L 0-255.7 1587 1723 29.68% 26.60% 43.72%-0.33 -12.8 7
1990-05-13 @ Halmstad W 2-055.7 1723 1587 43.72% 26.60% 29.68%+0.33 +12.8 15
1990-05-13 AIK Stockholm L 2-376.6 1706 1561 64.53% 21.59% 13.88%+1.42 -11.2 6
1990-05-13 @ Malmo W 3-276.6 1561 1706 13.88% 21.59% 64.53%-1.42 +11.2 12
1990-05-13 Hammarby W 4-151.3 1614 1544 56.69% 24.28% 19.03%+0.96 +10.7 14
1990-05-13 @ Orebro L 1-451.3 1544 1614 19.03% 24.28% 56.69%-0.96 -10.6 3
1990-05-14 GAIS W 2-056.7 1567 1657 35.78% 26.90% 37.32%-0.04 +15.2 9
1990-05-14 @ Orgryte L 0-256.7 1657 1567 37.32% 26.90% 35.78%+0.04 -15.2 8
1990-05-16 Djurgarden W 1-055.1 1572 1588 46.04% 26.36% 27.60%+0.42 +6.4 15
1990-05-16 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-155.1 1588 1572 27.60% 26.36% 46.04%-0.42 -6.4 5
1990-05-17 Goteborg L 0-164.1 1642 1618 51.18% 25.57% 23.25%+0.67 -10.3 8
1990-05-17 @ GAIS W 1-064.1 1618 1642 23.25% 25.57% 51.18%-0.67 +10.3 12
1990-05-17 Brage W 3-154.5 1533 1544 46.76% 26.27% 26.96%+0.45 +10.2 6
1990-05-17 @ Hammarby L 1-354.5 1544 1533 26.96% 26.27% 46.76%-0.45 -10.2 3
1990-05-17 Orgryte L 0-263.5 1694 1582 61.22% 22.85% 15.94%+1.22 -22.6 6
1990-05-17 @ Malmo W 2-063.5 1582 1694 15.94% 22.85% 61.22%-1.22 +22.6 12
1990-05-17 Orebro D 2-277.9 1736 1625 61.06% 22.90% 16.04%+1.21 -1.6 16
1990-05-17 @ Norrkoping D 2-277.9 1625 1736 16.04% 22.90% 61.06%-1.21 +1.5 15
1990-05-17 Halmstad W 2-051.3 1560 1574 46.29% 26.33% 27.37%+0.43 +12.0 13
1990-05-17 @ Oster L 0-251.3 1574 1560 27.37% 26.33% 46.29%-0.43 -12.0 7
1990-05-20 Oster D 1-166.6 1534 1572 43.11% 26.65% 30.24%+0.28 -0.5 4
1990-05-20 @ Brage D 1-166.6 1572 1534 30.24% 26.65% 43.11%-0.28 +0.5 14
1990-05-20 GAIS W 2-162.8 1582 1632 41.52% 26.76% 31.73%+0.21 +6.7 8
1990-05-20 @ Djurgarden L 1-262.8 1632 1582 31.73% 26.76% 41.52%-0.21 -6.7 8
1990-05-20 Hammarby D 2-274.5 1628 1543 58.30% 23.81% 17.89%+1.05 -1.4 13
1990-05-20 @ Goteborg D 2-274.5 1543 1628 17.89% 23.81% 58.30%-1.05 +1.4 7
1990-05-20 Malmo L 1-263.7 1562 1672 33.10% 26.83% 40.07%-0.16 -7.0 7
1990-05-20 @ Halmstad W 2-163.7 1672 1562 40.07% 26.83% 33.10%+0.16 +7.0 9
1990-05-20 AIK Stockholm W 3-048.7 1626 1578 54.11% 24.94% 20.95%+0.82 +13.8 18
1990-05-20 @ Orebro L 0-348.7 1578 1626 20.95% 24.94% 54.11%-0.82 -13.8 15
1990-05-21 Norrkoping D 1-171.4 1605 1734 30.51% 26.67% 42.82%-0.29 +0.5 13
1990-05-21 @ Orgryte D 1-171.4 1734 1605 42.82% 26.67% 30.51%+0.29 -0.5 17
1990-07-22 GAIS D 2-274.0 1565 1625 40.03% 26.83% 33.13%+0.14 -0.2 16
1990-07-22 @ AIK Stockholm D 2-274.0 1625 1565 33.13% 26.83% 40.03%-0.14 +0.2 9
1990-07-22 Djurgarden D 0-063.4 1555 1589 43.76% 26.60% 29.64%+0.31 -0.7 8
1990-07-22 @ Halmstad D 0-063.4 1589 1555 29.64% 26.60% 43.76%-0.31 +0.7 9
1990-07-22 Oster D 1-171.3 1679 1572 60.60% 23.06% 16.34%+1.18 -2.1 10
1990-07-22 @ Malmo D 1-171.3 1572 1679 16.34% 23.06% 60.60%-1.18 +2.1 15
1990-07-22 Hammarby W 3-152.9 1734 1545 68.69% 19.77% 11.54%+1.70 +4.5 20
1990-07-22 @ Norrkoping L 1-352.9 1545 1734 11.54% 19.77% 68.69%-1.70 -4.5 7
1990-07-22 Goteborg L 2-663.3 1640 1627 49.87% 25.81% 24.32%+0.60 -25.6 18
1990-07-22 @ Orebro W 6-263.3 1627 1640 24.32% 25.81% 49.87%-0.60 +25.6 16
1990-07-23 Brage L 1-364.8 1605 1533 56.88% 24.23% 18.90%+0.97 -18.4 13
1990-07-23 @ Orgryte W 3-164.8 1533 1605 18.90% 24.23% 56.88%-0.97 +18.4 7
1990-07-25 GAIS L 0-255.1 1540 1625 36.55% 26.90% 36.55%-0.01 -15.0 7
1990-07-25 @ Hammarby W 2-055.1 1625 1540 36.55% 26.90% 36.55%+0.01 +15.0 12
1990-07-26 Orgryte W 7-151.2 1589 1587 48.48% 26.04% 25.49%+0.53 +25.9 12
1990-07-26 @ Djurgarden L 1-751.2 1587 1589 25.49% 26.04% 48.48%-0.53 -25.9 13
1990-07-26 AIK Stockholm W 1-053.5 1574 1564 49.46% 25.88% 24.66%+0.58 +5.8 18
1990-07-26 @ Oster L 0-153.5 1564 1574 24.66% 25.88% 49.46%-0.58 -5.8 16
1990-07-30 Norrkoping D 1-171.1 1552 1738 23.95% 25.73% 50.32%-0.64 +1.2 8
1990-07-30 @ Brage D 1-171.1 1738 1552 50.32% 25.73% 23.95%+0.64 -1.2 21
1990-07-30 Malmo D 0-066.9 1653 1677 45.01% 26.48% 28.51%+0.37 -0.8 17
1990-07-30 @ Goteborg D 0-066.9 1677 1653 28.51% 26.48% 45.01%-0.37 +0.8 11
1990-07-30 Orebro W 3-052.1 1555 1615 40.06% 26.83% 33.11%+0.14 +20.2 11
1990-07-30 @ Halmstad L 0-352.1 1615 1555 33.11% 26.83% 40.06%-0.14 -20.2 18
1990-08-01 Hammarby W 2-047.9 1559 1525 52.32% 25.34% 22.34%+0.73 +10.1 19
1990-08-01 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-247.9 1525 1559 22.34% 25.34% 52.32%-0.73 -10.1 7
1990-08-01 Halmstad D 0-065.7 1640 1575 56.08% 24.44% 19.47%+0.93 -1.9 13
1990-08-01 @ GAIS D 0-065.7 1575 1640 19.47% 24.44% 56.08%-0.93 +1.9 12
1990-08-02 Brage L 0-166.0 1677 1553 62.50% 22.38% 15.12%+1.30 -12.2 11
1990-08-02 @ Malmo W 1-066.0 1553 1677 15.12% 22.38% 62.50%-1.30 +12.2 11
1990-08-02 Oster D 2-277.9 1737 1580 65.68% 21.11% 13.21%+1.50 -1.8 22
1990-08-02 @ Norrkoping D 2-277.9 1580 1737 13.21% 21.11% 65.68%-1.50 +1.8 19
1990-08-02 Djurgarden L 0-161.7 1595 1615 45.47% 26.43% 28.11%+0.39 -9.4 18
1990-08-02 @ Orebro W 1-061.7 1615 1595 28.11% 26.43% 45.47%-0.39 +9.4 15
1990-08-02 Goteborg L 0-353.9 1561 1652 35.69% 26.90% 37.41%-0.05 -21.3 13
1990-08-02 @ Orgryte W 3-053.9 1652 1561 37.41% 26.90% 35.69%+0.05 +21.4 20
1990-08-05 Orgryte D 1-166.9 1565 1540 51.36% 25.54% 23.10%+0.68 -1.3 12
1990-08-05 @ Brage D 1-166.9 1540 1565 23.10% 25.54% 51.36%-0.68 +1.2 14
1990-08-05 Halmstad W 2-050.7 1625 1577 54.07% 24.95% 20.97%+0.82 +9.5 18
1990-08-05 @ Djurgarden L 0-250.7 1577 1625 20.97% 24.95% 54.07%-0.82 -9.5 12
1990-08-05 Orebro W 1-053.4 1673 1585 58.63% 23.70% 17.66%+1.07 +4.3 23
1990-08-05 @ Goteborg L 0-153.4 1585 1673 17.66% 23.70% 58.63%-1.07 -4.3 18
1990-08-05 Malmo W 1-059.8 1582 1665 36.78% 26.90% 36.32%+0.00 +7.9 22
1990-08-05 @ Oster L 0-159.8 1665 1582 36.32% 26.90% 36.78%+0.00 -7.9 11
1990-08-06 AIK Stockholm W 1-053.1 1638 1569 56.58% 24.31% 19.11%+0.95 +4.6 16
1990-08-06 @ GAIS L 0-153.1 1569 1638 19.11% 24.31% 56.58%-0.95 -4.6 19
1990-08-06 Norrkoping W 2-061.7 1515 1735 20.76% 24.88% 54.36%-0.85 +20.5 10
1990-08-06 @ Hammarby L 0-261.7 1735 1515 54.36% 24.88% 20.76%+0.85 -20.5 22
1990-08-12 Brage W 2-158.6 1567 1564 48.61% 26.02% 25.37%+0.54 +5.6 15
1990-08-12 @ Halmstad L 1-258.6 1564 1567 25.37% 26.02% 48.61%-0.54 -5.6 12
1990-08-12 Norrkoping W 2-057.3 1657 1714 40.46% 26.81% 32.73%+0.16 +13.8 14
1990-08-12 @ Malmo L 0-257.3 1714 1657 32.73% 26.81% 40.46%-0.16 -13.8 22
1990-08-12 GAIS W 1-058.5 1581 1643 39.80% 26.84% 33.36%+0.13 +7.4 21
1990-08-12 @ Orebro L 0-158.5 1643 1581 33.36% 26.84% 39.80%-0.13 -7.4 16
1990-08-12 AIK Stockholm L 0-158.8 1541 1564 45.14% 26.46% 28.39%+0.38 -9.3 14
1990-08-12 @ Orgryte W 1-058.8 1564 1541 28.39% 26.46% 45.14%-0.38 +9.3 22
1990-08-13 Hammarby W 9-147.6 1634 1536 59.75% 23.35% 16.90%+1.13 +23.2 21
1990-08-13 @ Djurgarden L 1-947.6 1536 1634 16.90% 23.35% 59.75%-1.13 -23.2 10
1990-08-13 Oster W 2-050.6 1677 1590 58.57% 23.72% 17.70%+1.06 +8.1 26
1990-08-13 @ Goteborg L 0-250.6 1590 1677 17.70% 23.72% 58.57%-1.06 -8.1 22
1990-08-15 Malmo D 1-170.0 1573 1671 34.70% 26.88% 38.42%-0.09 +0.2 23
1990-08-15 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-170.0 1671 1573 38.42% 26.88% 34.70%+0.09 -0.1 15
1990-08-16 Goteborg W 2-166.6 1558 1686 30.74% 26.69% 42.57%-0.28 +8.4 15
1990-08-16 @ Brage L 1-266.6 1686 1558 42.57% 26.69% 30.74%+0.28 -8.4 26
1990-08-16 Orgryte W 2-048.0 1635 1532 60.33% 23.15% 16.52%+1.17 +7.6 19
1990-08-16 @ GAIS L 0-248.0 1532 1635 16.52% 23.15% 60.33%-1.17 -7.6 14
1990-08-16 Orebro L 0-253.6 1513 1588 37.84% 26.89% 35.27%+0.05 -15.4 10
1990-08-16 @ Hammarby W 2-053.6 1588 1513 35.27% 26.89% 37.84%-0.05 +15.3 24
1990-08-16 Halmstad W 3-154.5 1701 1573 62.84% 22.25% 14.91%+1.32 +5.9 25
1990-08-16 @ Norrkoping L 1-354.5 1573 1701 14.91% 22.25% 62.84%-1.32 -5.9 15
1990-08-16 Djurgarden W 3-161.4 1582 1657 37.89% 26.89% 35.22%+0.05 +12.6 25
1990-08-16 @ Oster L 1-361.4 1657 1582 35.22% 26.89% 37.89%-0.05 -12.6 21
1990-08-19 Orebro W 1-056.1 1573 1604 44.19% 26.56% 29.26%+0.33 +6.7 26
1990-08-19 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-156.1 1604 1573 29.26% 26.56% 44.19%-0.33 -6.7 24
1990-08-19 Djurgarden D 0-066.5 1643 1645 47.94% 26.11% 25.94%+0.51 -1.1 20
1990-08-19 @ GAIS D 0-066.5 1645 1643 25.94% 26.11% 47.94%-0.51 +1.1 22
1990-08-19 Goteborg L 2-460.1 1497 1677 24.62% 25.87% 49.50%-0.60 -8.5 10
1990-08-19 @ Hammarby W 4-260.1 1677 1497 49.50% 25.87% 24.62%+0.60 +8.5 29
1990-08-19 Halmstad W 5-046.8 1671 1567 60.36% 23.14% 16.50%+1.17 +17.7 18
1990-08-19 @ Malmo L 0-546.8 1567 1671 16.50% 23.14% 60.36%-1.17 -17.7 15
1990-08-19 Orgryte L 1-272.1 1707 1524 68.12% 20.04% 11.84%+1.66 -12.3 25
1990-08-19 @ Norrkoping W 2-172.1 1524 1707 11.84% 20.04% 68.12%-1.66 +12.3 17
1990-08-19 Brage L 1-267.2 1594 1566 51.68% 25.47% 22.84%+0.69 -9.8 25
1990-08-19 @ Oster W 2-167.2 1566 1594 22.84% 25.47% 51.68%-0.69 +9.8 18
1990-08-25 Norrkoping W 1-061.1 1597 1694 34.76% 26.88% 38.36%-0.09 +8.2 27
1990-08-25 @ Orebro L 0-161.1 1694 1597 38.36% 26.88% 34.76%+0.09 -8.2 25
1990-08-26 Hammarby D 1-166.1 1576 1489 58.59% 23.72% 17.69%+1.07 -1.9 19
1990-08-26 @ Brage D 1-166.1 1489 1576 17.69% 23.72% 58.59%-1.07 +1.9 11
1990-08-26 Oster W 2-052.1 1549 1585 43.48% 26.62% 29.90%+0.30 +12.8 18
1990-08-26 @ Halmstad L 0-252.1 1585 1549 29.90% 26.62% 43.48%-0.30 -12.9 25
1990-08-26 Malmo L 0-351.6 1536 1689 27.70% 26.38% 45.92%-0.43 -17.6 17
1990-08-26 @ Orgryte W 3-051.6 1689 1536 45.92% 26.38% 27.70%+0.43 +17.6 21
1990-08-27 AIK Stockholm W 2-158.7 1646 1580 56.13% 24.43% 19.44%+0.93 +4.4 25
1990-08-27 @ Djurgarden L 1-258.7 1580 1646 19.44% 24.43% 56.13%-0.93 -4.4 26
1990-08-27 GAIS D 0-067.3 1686 1642 53.59% 25.07% 21.34%+0.79 -1.6 30
1990-08-27 @ Goteborg D 0-067.3 1642 1686 21.34% 25.07% 53.59%-0.79 +1.6 21
1990-09-02 Goteborg W 2-055.9 1650 1684 43.69% 26.60% 29.71%+0.31 +12.8 28
1990-09-02 @ Djurgarden L 0-255.9 1684 1650 29.71% 26.60% 43.69%-0.31 -12.8 30
1990-09-02 AIK Stockholm D 2-272.8 1562 1576 46.40% 26.32% 27.28%+0.43 -0.6 19
1990-09-02 @ Halmstad D 2-272.8 1576 1562 27.28% 26.32% 46.40%-0.43 +0.6 27
1990-09-02 Hammarby D 0-067.1 1706 1491 71.06% 18.63% 10.31%+1.86 -3.2 22
1990-09-02 @ Malmo D 0-067.1 1491 1706 10.31% 18.63% 71.06%-1.86 +3.2 12
1990-09-02 GAIS W 3-050.9 1686 1643 53.45% 25.10% 21.45%+0.78 +14.1 28
1990-09-02 @ Norrkoping L 0-350.9 1643 1686 21.45% 25.10% 53.45%-0.78 -14.1 21
1990-09-02 Brage D 1-169.1 1605 1574 52.02% 25.41% 22.58%+0.71 -1.3 28
1990-09-02 @ Orebro D 1-169.1 1574 1605 22.58% 25.41% 52.02%-0.71 +1.3 20
1990-09-02 Oster L 2-366.8 1519 1572 41.05% 26.78% 32.17%+0.19 -7.8 17
1990-09-02 @ Orgryte W 3-266.8 1572 1519 32.17% 26.78% 41.05%-0.19 +7.7 28
1990-09-08 Halmstad W 3-154.4 1671 1561 60.96% 22.94% 16.10%+1.20 +6.4 33
1990-09-08 @ Goteborg L 1-354.4 1561 1671 16.10% 22.94% 60.96%-1.20 -6.4 19
1990-09-09 Norrkoping L 1-360.8 1576 1700 31.20% 26.72% 42.07%-0.25 -11.5 27
1990-09-09 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-160.8 1700 1576 42.07% 26.72% 31.20%+0.25 +11.5 31
1990-09-09 Djurgarden D 0-065.5 1576 1663 36.19% 26.90% 36.91%-0.03 +0.0 21
1990-09-09 @ Brage D 0-065.5 1663 1576 36.91% 26.90% 36.19%+0.03 -0.0 29
1990-09-09 Orebro D 0-064.4 1580 1604 44.98% 26.48% 28.54%+0.37 -0.8 29
1990-09-09 @ Oster D 0-064.4 1604 1580 28.54% 26.48% 44.98%-0.37 +0.8 29
1990-09-10 Malmo D 0-066.8 1629 1703 38.14% 26.89% 34.97%+0.06 -0.1 22
1990-09-10 @ GAIS D 0-066.8 1703 1629 34.97% 26.89% 38.14%-0.06 +0.1 23
1990-09-10 Orgryte W 4-255.6 1494 1511 45.92% 26.38% 27.71%+0.41 +9.4 15
1990-09-10 @ Hammarby L 2-455.6 1511 1494 27.71% 26.38% 45.92%-0.41 -9.4 17
1990-09-13 Orgryte W 3-044.1 1678 1502 67.51% 20.31% 12.18%+1.62 +7.9 36
1990-09-13 @ Goteborg L 0-344.1 1502 1678 12.18% 20.31% 67.51%-1.62 -7.9 17
1990-09-13 AIK Stockholm W 4-153.5 1503 1565 39.83% 26.84% 33.33%+0.13 +17.1 18
1990-09-13 @ Hammarby L 1-453.5 1565 1503 33.33% 26.84% 39.83%-0.13 -17.1 27
1990-09-15 Malmo L 0-158.6 1576 1703 30.76% 26.69% 42.55%-0.28 -7.0 21
1990-09-15 @ Brage W 1-058.6 1703 1576 42.55% 26.69% 30.76%+0.28 +7.0 26
1990-09-16 Orebro L 0-262.2 1663 1605 55.29% 24.65% 20.05%+0.88 -20.8 29
1990-09-16 @ Djurgarden W 2-062.2 1605 1663 20.05% 24.65% 55.29%-0.88 +20.8 32
1990-09-16 GAIS W 3-053.0 1555 1629 38.08% 26.89% 35.04%+0.06 +21.1 22
1990-09-16 @ Halmstad L 0-353.0 1629 1555 35.04% 26.89% 38.08%-0.06 -21.1 22
1990-09-16 Norrkoping L 0-255.5 1579 1712 30.05% 26.63% 43.32%-0.31 -12.9 29
1990-09-16 @ Oster W 2-055.5 1712 1579 43.32% 26.63% 30.05%+0.31 +12.9 34
1990-09-19 Oster L 1-264.3 1548 1566 45.80% 26.39% 27.81%+0.41 -8.9 27
1990-09-19 @ AIK Stockholm W 2-164.3 1566 1548 27.81% 26.39% 45.80%-0.41 +8.9 32
1990-09-22 Djurgarden L 0-154.6 1494 1642 28.16% 26.43% 45.41%-0.41 -6.5 17
1990-09-22 @ Orgryte W 1-054.6 1642 1494 45.41% 26.43% 28.16%+0.41 +6.5 32
1990-09-23 Hammarby W 1-050.4 1608 1520 58.62% 23.71% 17.67%+1.07 +4.3 25
1990-09-23 @ GAIS L 0-150.4 1520 1608 17.67% 23.71% 58.62%-1.07 -4.3 18
1990-09-23 Goteborg L 0-262.6 1710 1685 51.26% 25.56% 23.18%+0.67 -19.5 26
1990-09-23 @ Malmo W 2-062.6 1685 1710 23.18% 25.56% 51.26%-0.67 +19.5 39
1990-09-23 Brage W 2-157.0 1725 1569 65.59% 21.15% 13.26%+1.49 +3.0 37
1990-09-23 @ Norrkoping L 1-257.0 1569 1725 13.26% 21.15% 65.59%-1.49 -3.0 21
1990-09-23 Halmstad W 1-053.7 1625 1576 54.24% 24.91% 20.85%+0.83 +5.0 35
1990-09-23 @ Orebro L 0-153.7 1576 1625 20.85% 24.91% 54.24%-0.83 -5.0 22
1990-09-29 Orebro D 0-067.4 1691 1630 55.50% 24.60% 19.90%+0.89 -1.8 27
1990-09-29 @ Malmo D 0-067.4 1630 1691 19.90% 24.60% 55.50%-0.89 +1.8 36
1990-09-29 Djurgarden W 3-264.7 1728 1649 57.63% 24.01% 18.36%+1.01 +4.0 40
1990-09-29 @ Norrkoping L 2-364.7 1649 1728 18.36% 24.01% 57.63%-1.01 -4.0 32
1990-09-30 Brage W 2-050.2 1612 1566 53.92% 24.99% 21.09%+0.81 +9.6 28
1990-09-30 @ GAIS L 0-250.2 1566 1612 21.09% 24.99% 53.92%-0.81 -9.6 21
1990-09-30 Oster D 2-271.2 1516 1575 40.24% 26.82% 32.93%+0.15 -0.2 19
1990-09-30 @ Hammarby D 2-271.2 1575 1516 32.93% 26.82% 40.24%-0.15 +0.2 33
1990-10-01 Goteborg L 1-261.5 1539 1705 26.11% 26.14% 47.75%-0.52 -5.8 27
1990-10-01 @ AIK Stockholm W 2-161.5 1705 1539 47.75% 26.14% 26.11%+0.52 +5.8 42
1990-10-01 Halmstad D 3-373.6 1487 1571 36.66% 26.90% 36.43%+0.00 -0.0 18
1990-10-01 @ Orgryte D 3-373.6 1571 1487 36.43% 26.90% 36.66%+0.00 +0.0 23
1990-10-07 AIK Stockholm W 4-257.1 1556 1533 51.10% 25.59% 23.31%+0.66 +8.1 24
1990-10-07 @ Brage L 2-457.1 1533 1556 23.31% 25.59% 51.10%-0.66 -8.1 27
1990-10-07 Malmo D 2-276.4 1645 1689 42.29% 26.71% 31.00%+0.24 -0.4 33
1990-10-07 @ Djurgarden D 2-276.4 1689 1645 31.00% 26.71% 42.29%-0.24 +0.4 28
1990-10-07 Norrkoping W 1-059.2 1711 1732 45.45% 26.43% 28.12%+0.39 +6.5 45
1990-10-07 @ Goteborg L 0-159.2 1732 1711 28.12% 26.43% 45.45%-0.39 -6.5 40
1990-10-07 Hammarby W 4-362.4 1571 1516 54.96% 24.74% 20.30%+0.86 +4.3 26
1990-10-07 @ Halmstad L 3-462.4 1516 1571 20.30% 24.74% 54.96%-0.86 -4.3 19
1990-10-07 Orgryte L 0-163.6 1632 1487 64.55% 21.58% 13.87%+1.42 -12.5 36
1990-10-07 @ Orebro W 1-063.6 1487 1632 13.87% 21.58% 64.55%-1.42 +12.5 21
1990-10-07 GAIS W 1-057.3 1575 1622 41.88% 26.74% 31.38%+0.23 +7.1 36
1990-10-07 @ Oster L 0-157.3 1622 1575 31.38% 26.74% 41.88%-0.23 -7.1 28

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
1990-10-13 Goteborg D 1-171.3 1620 1717 34.73% 26.88% 38.39%-0.09 +0.2 0-0-1
1990-10-13 @ Orebro D 1-171.3 1717 1620 38.39% 26.88% 34.73%+0.09 -0.2 0-0-1
1990-10-13 Norrkoping W 4-375.2 1582 1725 28.80% 26.51% 44.69%-0.37 +8.1 1-0
1990-10-13 @ Oster L 3-475.2 1725 1582 44.69% 26.51% 28.80%+0.37 -8.1 0-1
1990-10-20 Oster W 2-158.0 1717 1590 62.73% 22.29% 14.98%+1.31 +3.4 1-1
1990-10-20 @ Norrkoping L 1-258.0 1590 1717 14.98% 22.29% 62.73%-1.31 -3.4 1-1
1990-10-21 Orebro W 2-159.3 1717 1620 59.64% 23.38% 16.98%+1.13 +3.9 1-0-1
1990-10-21 @ Goteborg L 1-259.3 1620 1717 16.98% 23.38% 59.64%-1.13 -3.9 0-1-1
1990-10-28 Goteborg L 0-360.0 1720 1721 48.09% 26.09% 25.82%+0.52 -26.9 1-2
1990-10-28 @ Norrkoping W 3-060.0 1721 1720 25.82% 26.09% 48.09%-0.52 +26.9 2-0-1
1990-11-03 Norrkoping D 0-068.3 1748 1693 54.84% 24.77% 20.39%+0.86 -1.8 2-0-2
1990-11-03 @ Goteborg D 0-068.3 1693 1748 20.39% 24.77% 54.84%-0.86 +1.7 1-2-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1990-08-19 11.84% Orgryte 1524 2 @ Norrkoping 1707 1
2 1990-10-07 13.87% Orgryte 1487 1 @ Orebro 1632 0
3 1990-05-13 13.88% AIK Stockholm 1561 3 @ Malmo 1706 2
4 1990-08-02 15.12% Brage 1553 1 @ Malmo 1677 0
5 1990-05-17 15.94% Orgryte 1582 2 @ Malmo 1694 0
6 1990-07-23 18.90% Brage 1533 3 @ Orgryte 1605 1
7 1990-05-06 19.48% Orebro 1603 1 @ GAIS 1668 0
8 1990-09-16 20.05% Orebro 1605 2 @ Djurgarden 1663 0
9 1990-08-06 20.76% @ Hammarby 1515 2 Norrkoping 1735 0
10 1990-04-16 21.43% Orgryte 1553 1 @ Halmstad 1596 0
11 1990-08-19 22.84% Brage 1566 2 @ Oster 1594 1
12 1990-09-23 23.18% Goteborg 1685 2 @ Malmo 1710 0
13 1990-05-17 23.25% Goteborg 1618 1 @ GAIS 1642 0
14 1990-07-22 24.32% Goteborg 1627 6 @ Orebro 1640 2
15 1990-10-28 * 25.82% Goteborg 1721 3 @ Norrkoping 1720 0
16 1990-04-04 26.34% Orebro 1577 2 @ Orgryte 1572 0
17 1990-09-19 27.81% Oster 1566 2 @ AIK Stockholm 1548 1
18 1990-08-02 28.11% Djurgarden 1615 1 @ Orebro 1595 0
19 1990-04-08 28.15% Halmstad 1587 2 @ Hammarby 1566 1
20 1990-08-12 28.39% AIK Stockholm 1564 1 @ Orgryte 1541 0
21 1990-10-13 * 28.80% @ Oster 1582 4 Norrkoping 1725 3
22 1990-04-22 30.35% Orebro 1596 1 @ Brage 1557 0
23 1990-08-16 30.74% @ Brage 1558 2 Goteborg 1686 1
24 1990-09-02 32.17% Oster 1572 3 @ Orgryte 1519 2
25 1990-08-25 34.76% @ Orebro 1597 1 Norrkoping 1694 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1990-10-28 * 26.90 Goteborg 3 1721 25.82% @ Norrkoping 0 1720 48.09% 26.09%
2 1990-04-07 25.96 @ Norrkoping 6 1684 54.62% Goteborg 0 1631 20.56% 24.82%
3 1990-07-26 25.87 @ Djurgarden 7 1589 48.48% Orgryte 1 1587 25.49% 26.04%
4 1990-07-22 25.60 Goteborg 6 1627 24.32% @ Orebro 2 1640 49.87% 25.81%
5 1990-04-16 24.28 @ Goteborg 5 1605 51.34% AIK Stockholm 0 1580 23.11% 25.54%
6 1990-08-13 23.22 @ Djurgarden 9 1634 59.75% Hammarby 1 1536 16.90% 23.35%
7 1990-05-13 22.97 @ Djurgarden 4 1565 45.88% Oster 0 1583 27.74% 26.38%
8 1990-05-17 22.64 Orgryte 2 1582 15.94% @ Malmo 0 1694 61.22% 22.85%
9 1990-08-02 21.36 Goteborg 3 1652 37.41% @ Orgryte 0 1561 35.69% 26.90%
10 1990-09-16 21.07 @ Halmstad 3 1555 38.08% GAIS 0 1629 35.04% 26.89%
11 1990-09-16 20.80 Orebro 2 1605 20.05% @ Djurgarden 0 1663 55.29% 24.65%
12 1990-08-06 20.51 @ Hammarby 2 1515 20.76% Norrkoping 0 1735 54.36% 24.88%
13 1990-05-06 20.33 @ Hammarby 3 1523 39.76% Djurgarden 0 1586 33.40% 26.84%
14 1990-07-30 20.20 @ Halmstad 3 1555 40.06% Orebro 0 1615 33.11% 26.83%
15 1990-09-23 19.52 Goteborg 2 1685 23.18% @ Malmo 0 1710 51.26% 25.56%
16 1990-07-23 18.44 Brage 3 1533 18.90% @ Orgryte 1 1605 56.88% 24.23%
17 1990-04-04 18.32 Orebro 2 1577 26.34% @ Orgryte 0 1572 47.48% 26.18%
18 1990-08-19 17.66 @ Malmo 5 1671 60.36% Halmstad 0 1567 16.50% 23.14%
19 1990-08-26 17.57 Malmo 3 1689 45.92% @ Orgryte 0 1536 27.70% 26.38%
20 1990-09-13 17.11 @ Hammarby 4 1503 39.83% AIK Stockholm 1 1565 33.33% 26.84%
21 1990-04-29 15.43 @ Orgryte 3 1558 50.59% Hammarby 0 1539 23.73% 25.68%
22 1990-08-16 15.36 Orebro 2 1588 35.27% @ Hammarby 0 1513 37.84% 26.89%
23 1990-05-14 15.20 @ Orgryte 2 1567 35.78% GAIS 0 1657 37.32% 26.90%
24 1990-07-25 14.97 GAIS 2 1625 36.55% @ Hammarby 0 1540 36.55% 26.90%
25 1990-04-19 14.40 @ GAIS 2 1652 38.44% Norrkoping 0 1724 34.68% 26.88%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1990-05-17 77.9 @ Norrkoping 2 1736 61.06% Orebro 2 1625 16.04% 22.90%
2 1990-08-02 77.9 @ Norrkoping 2 1737 65.68% Oster 2 1580 13.21% 21.11%
3 1990-05-13 76.6 AIK Stockholm 3 1561 13.88% @ Malmo 2 1706 64.53% 21.59%
4 1990-10-07 76.4 @ Djurgarden 2 1645 42.29% Malmo 2 1689 31.00% 26.71%
5 1990-10-13 * 75.2 @ Oster 4 1582 28.80% Norrkoping 3 1725 44.69% 26.51%
6 1990-05-20 74.5 @ Goteborg 2 1628 58.30% Hammarby 2 1543 17.89% 23.81%
7 1990-07-22 74.0 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1565 40.03% GAIS 2 1625 33.13% 26.83%
8 1990-10-01 73.6 @ Orgryte 3 1487 36.66% Halmstad 3 1571 36.43% 26.90%
9 1990-09-02 72.8 @ Halmstad 2 1562 46.40% AIK Stockholm 2 1576 27.28% 26.32%
10 1990-08-19 72.1 Orgryte 2 1524 11.84% @ Norrkoping 1 1707 68.12% 20.04%
11 1990-05-21 71.4 @ Orgryte 1 1605 30.51% Norrkoping 1 1734 42.82% 26.67%
12 1990-07-22 71.3 @ Malmo 1 1679 60.60% Oster 1 1572 16.34% 23.06%
13 1990-10-13 * 71.3 @ Orebro 1 1620 34.73% Goteborg 1 1717 38.39% 26.88%
14 1990-09-30 71.2 @ Hammarby 2 1516 40.24% Oster 2 1575 32.93% 26.82%
15 1990-07-30 71.1 @ Brage 1 1552 23.95% Norrkoping 1 1738 50.32% 25.73%
16 1990-08-15 70.0 @ AIK Stockholm 1 1573 34.70% Malmo 1 1671 38.42% 26.88%
17 1990-04-13 69.4 @ Brage 1 1557 35.00% GAIS 1 1652 38.11% 26.89%
18 1990-09-02 69.1 @ Orebro 1 1605 52.02% Brage 1 1574 22.58% 25.41%
19 1990-11-03 * 68.3 @ Goteborg 0 1748 54.84% Norrkoping 0 1693 20.39% 24.77%
20 1990-04-29 68.0 @ Djurgarden 1 1587 53.05% Brage 1 1548 21.77% 25.19%
21 1990-04-29 67.8 @ Malmo 0 1713 53.92% GAIS 0 1667 21.09% 24.99%
22 1990-04-08 67.7 @ Malmo 0 1710 60.53% Djurgarden 0 1604 16.38% 23.08%
23 1990-05-06 67.6 @ Brage 1 1549 43.23% Halmstad 1 1586 30.13% 26.64%
24 1990-09-29 67.4 @ Malmo 0 1691 55.50% Orebro 0 1630 19.90% 24.60%
25 1990-08-27 67.3 @ Goteborg 0 1686 53.59% GAIS 0 1642 21.34% 25.07%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1990-09-13 44.1 @ Goteborg 3 1678 67.51% Orgryte 0 1502 12.18% 20.31%
2 1990-04-29 46.8 @ Orgryte 3 1558 50.59% Hammarby 0 1539 23.73% 25.68%
3 1990-08-19 46.8 @ Malmo 5 1671 60.36% Halmstad 0 1567 16.50% 23.14%
4 1990-04-08 47.6 @ GAIS 3 1640 57.65% Oster 0 1561 18.35% 24.00%
5 1990-08-13 47.6 @ Djurgarden 9 1634 59.75% Hammarby 1 1536 16.90% 23.35%
6 1990-08-01 47.9 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1559 52.32% Hammarby 0 1525 22.34% 25.34%
7 1990-08-16 48.0 @ GAIS 2 1635 60.33% Orgryte 0 1532 16.52% 23.15%
8 1990-04-16 48.4 @ Goteborg 5 1605 51.34% AIK Stockholm 0 1580 23.11% 25.54%
9 1990-05-20 48.7 @ Orebro 3 1626 54.11% AIK Stockholm 0 1578 20.95% 24.94%
10 1990-05-13 49.0 @ Djurgarden 4 1565 45.88% Oster 0 1583 27.74% 26.38%
11 1990-04-07 50.2 @ Norrkoping 6 1684 54.62% Goteborg 0 1631 20.56% 24.82%
12 1990-09-30 50.2 @ GAIS 2 1612 53.92% Brage 0 1566 21.09% 24.99%
13 1990-05-06 50.4 @ Hammarby 3 1523 39.76% Djurgarden 0 1586 33.40% 26.84%
14 1990-09-23 50.4 @ GAIS 1 1608 58.62% Hammarby 0 1520 17.67% 23.71%
15 1990-08-13 50.6 @ Goteborg 2 1677 58.57% Oster 0 1590 17.70% 23.72%
16 1990-08-05 50.7 @ Djurgarden 2 1625 54.07% Halmstad 0 1577 20.97% 24.95%
17 1990-09-02 50.9 @ Norrkoping 3 1686 53.45% GAIS 0 1643 21.45% 25.10%
18 1990-04-29 51.2 @ Norrkoping 4 1709 64.78% AIK Stockholm 1 1562 13.74% 21.49%
19 1990-07-26 51.2 @ Djurgarden 7 1589 48.48% Orgryte 1 1587 25.49% 26.04%
20 1990-05-13 51.3 @ Orebro 4 1614 56.69% Hammarby 1 1544 19.03% 24.28%
21 1990-05-17 51.3 @ Oster 2 1560 46.29% Halmstad 0 1574 27.37% 26.33%
22 1990-08-26 51.6 Malmo 3 1689 45.92% @ Orgryte 0 1536 27.70% 26.38%
23 1990-07-30 52.1 @ Halmstad 3 1555 40.06% Orebro 0 1615 33.11% 26.83%
24 1990-08-26 52.1 @ Halmstad 2 1549 43.48% Oster 0 1585 29.90% 26.62%
25 1990-05-13 52.2 @ Goteborg 1 1613 56.02% Brage 0 1549 19.52% 24.46%