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1995 Allsvenskan Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Goteborg

46 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Helsingborg

8.50 points above expected

42 points · 33.50 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Norrkoping

8.04 points below expected

28 points · 36.04 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Goteborg 26 12 10 4 46 43 20 +23 43.41 +2.59
2 Helsingborg 26 12 6 8 42 42 36 +6 33.50 +8.50
3 Halmstad 26 11 8 7 41 41 32 +9 35.26 +5.74
4 Malmo 26 9 12 5 39 32 28 +4 36.90 +2.10
5 Orebro 26 10 8 8 38 35 29 +6 38.19 -0.19
6 Djurgarden 26 10 8 8 38 33 33 0 32.33 +5.67
7 Orgryte 26 9 8 9 35 22 26 -4 30.56 +4.44
8 AIK Stockholm 26 7 11 8 32 34 34 0 33.85 -1.85
9 Degerfors 26 7 11 8 32 32 45 -13 29.42 +2.58
10 Trelleborg 26 7 10 9 31 32 30 +2 32.56 -1.56
11 Oster 26 5 13 8 28 41 41 0 35.92 -7.92
12 Norrkoping 26 7 7 12 28 28 44 -16 36.04 -8.04
13 Hammarby 26 6 8 12 26 33 40 -7 29.77 -3.77
14 Vastra Frolunda 26 5 10 11 25 35 45 -10 32.35 -7.35

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Helsingborg 42 33.50 +8.50
2 Halmstad 41 35.26 +5.74
3 Djurgarden 38 32.33 +5.67
4 Orgryte 35 30.56 +4.44
5 Goteborg 46 43.41 +2.59

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Norrkoping 28 36.04 -8.04
2 Oster 28 35.92 -7.92
3 Vastra Frolunda 25 32.35 -7.35
4 Hammarby 26 29.77 -3.77
5 AIK Stockholm 32 33.85 -1.85

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Goteborg 6 Jul 5 – Aug 28 1 in 183
2 Djurgarden 4 Sep 1 – Sep 25 1 in 54
3 Trelleborg 3 Sep 18 – Oct 8 1 in 43
4 Helsingborg 3 May 1 – May 15 1 in 42
5 Orgryte 2 May 21 – May 27 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Orgryte 4 May 1 – May 17 1 in 95
2 Malmo 3 Sep 10 – Sep 23 1 in 43
3 Trelleborg 3 Aug 20 – Aug 31 1 in 29
4 Norrkoping 2 May 18 – May 21 1 in 15
5 Hammarby 3 Apr 17 – May 8 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Orgryte 6 Aug 21 – Sep 25 1 in 24
2 Djurgarden 7 May 22 – Jul 30 1 in 17
3 Malmo 9 May 18 – Aug 5 1 in 17
4 Helsingborg 6 May 1 – May 28 1 in 15
5 Hammarby 4 Oct 7 – Oct 28 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Oster 9 Aug 20 – Oct 19 1 in 38
2 Degerfors 10 May 18 – Aug 14 1 in 22
3 Vastra Frolunda 9 Jun 19 – Sep 1 1 in 22
4 AIK Stockholm 9 May 28 – Aug 21 1 in 21
5 Trelleborg 6 Aug 7 – Sep 11 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Goteborg 1790 46 +22 11 8.4 +2.6
Helsingborg 1682 42 -18 4 6.6 -2.6
Halmstad 1707 41 +14 8 6.8 +1.2
Malmo 1705 39 +15 9 7.1 +1.9
Orebro 1728 38 +4 8 8.1 -0.1
Djurgarden 1655 38 -35 1 5.7 -4.7
Orgryte 1648 35 +5 7 6.5 +0.5
Degerfors 1631 32 +15 10 5.4 +4.6
AIK Stockholm 1669 32 +6 6 6.3 -0.3
Trelleborg 1656 31 +5 5 5.8 -0.8
Oster 1695 28 +2 6 7.0 -1.0
Norrkoping 1643 28 -42 2 7.3 -5.3
Hammarby 1624 26 +13 8 4.9 +3.1
Vastra Frolunda 1640 25 -5 7 6.3 +0.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS DEG DJU GOT HAL HAM HEL MAL NOR ORE ORG OST TRE VF
AIK Stockholm —
0-0-2
3.03
1-0-1
2.63
1-1-0
2.07
0-1-1
2.53
2-0-0
2.90
0-1-1
2.47
0-2-0
2.42
0-2-0
2.44
1-0-1
2.19
0-1-1
2.81
1-1-0
2.36
1-0-1
2.76
0-2-0
2.65
Degerfors
2-0-0
2.23
—
0-1-1
2.39
0-0-2
1.87
0-1-1
2.21
0-1-1
2.59
0-2-0
2.35
0-0-2
2.25
0-1-1
2.17
1-1-0
1.91
1-1-0
2.49
1-1-0
2.12
1-1-0
2.34
1-1-0
2.45
Djurgarden
1-0-1
2.62
1-1-0
2.86
—
0-1-1
2.00
1-0-1
2.49
2-0-0
2.90
1-0-1
2.64
0-1-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.35
1-1-0
2.16
1-0-1
2.95
0-1-1
2.47
0-2-0
2.77
1-1-0
2.71
Goteborg
0-1-1
3.24
2-0-0
3.44
1-1-0
3.30
—
0-1-1
3.12
1-1-0
3.60
1-1-0
3.16
1-1-0
2.96
2-0-0
2.87
1-0-1
2.86
1-1-0
3.48
1-1-0
2.99
1-1-0
3.34
0-1-1
3.46
Halmstad
1-1-0
2.72
1-1-0
3.07
1-0-1
2.77
1-1-0
2.15
—
2-0-0
3.10
1-0-1
2.81
0-1-1
2.49
1-1-0
2.47
1-0-1
2.37
2-0-0
2.95
0-1-1
2.49
0-0-2
3.00
0-2-0
2.88
Hammarby
0-0-2
2.36
1-1-0
2.67
0-0-2
2.38
0-1-1
1.73
0-0-2
2.17
—
2-0-0
2.32
0-1-1
2.06
0-1-1
2.12
0-1-1
1.91
1-0-1
2.60
0-2-0
2.14
0-1-1
2.41
2-0-0
2.41
Helsingborg
1-1-0
2.78
0-2-0
2.95
1-0-1
2.62
0-1-1
2.12
1-0-1
2.45
0-0-2
2.97
—
2-0-0
2.28
1-1-0
2.44
1-0-1
2.21
1-0-1
2.76
0-1-1
2.40
2-0-0
2.74
2-0-0
2.75
Malmo
0-2-0
2.84
2-0-0
3.04
1-1-0
2.83
0-1-1
2.32
1-1-0
2.77
1-1-0
3.23
0-0-2
2.98
—
1-0-1
2.63
0-1-1
2.67
0-2-0
3.14
1-1-0
2.69
1-1-0
3.00
1-1-0
3.01
Norrkoping
0-2-0
2.81
1-1-0
3.10
1-0-1
2.94
0-0-2
2.38
0-1-1
2.77
1-1-0
3.15
0-1-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.64
—
1-0-1
2.52
0-0-2
3.05
2-0-0
2.62
0-1-1
3.05
0-0-2
3.04
Orebro
1-0-1
3.07
0-1-1
3.39
0-1-1
3.11
1-0-1
2.41
1-0-1
2.90
1-1-0
3.38
1-0-1
3.05
1-1-0
2.59
1-0-1
2.75
—
0-1-1
3.28
1-1-0
2.84
1-1-0
3.17
1-1-0
3.16
Orgryte
1-1-0
2.45
0-1-1
2.77
1-0-1
2.32
0-1-1
1.83
0-0-2
2.31
1-0-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.53
0-2-0
2.14
2-0-0
2.21
1-1-0
2.02
—
1-1-0
2.16
0-1-1
2.63
1-0-1
2.53
Oster
0-1-1
2.90
0-1-1
3.15
1-1-0
2.79
0-1-1
2.30
1-1-0
2.77
0-2-0
3.14
1-1-0
2.85
0-1-1
2.57
0-0-2
2.63
0-1-1
2.42
0-1-1
3.11
—
1-1-0
2.85
1-1-0
2.86
Trelleborg
1-0-1
2.49
0-1-1
2.92
0-2-0
2.49
0-1-1
1.98
2-0-0
2.27
1-1-0
2.86
0-0-2
2.51
0-1-1
2.27
1-1-0
2.23
0-1-1
2.10
1-1-0
2.63
0-1-1
2.41
—
1-0-1
2.52
Vastra Frolunda
0-2-0
2.60
0-1-1
2.81
0-1-1
2.55
1-1-0
1.85
0-2-0
2.41
0-0-2
2.86
0-0-2
2.50
0-1-1
2.25
2-0-0
2.25
0-1-1
2.12
1-0-1
2.73
0-1-1
2.40
1-0-1
2.74
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.17 +4.6
Allowed 0.57 -6.4
Differential 0.67 +5.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.89%6.04%6.32%4.67%0.82%0.55%28.30%
16.04%14.84%6.59%3.30%0.82%0.55%32.14%
26.32%6.59%9.34%1.37%0.55%0.27%24.45%
34.67%3.30%1.37%1.10%—0.27%10.71%
40.82%0.82%0.55%—0.55%—2.75%
5+0.55%0.55%0.27%0.27%——1.65%
Total28.30%32.14%24.45%10.71%2.75%1.65%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.33 +0.00
SD 1.18 1.18 1.71
CV 0.89 0.89 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%—7.69%——19.23%
1—23.08%19.23%———42.31%
27.69%7.69%11.54%———26.92%
33.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.23%38.46%34.62%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.31 +0.00
SD 0.93 0.88 1.39
CV 0.71 0.68 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%—3.85%15.38%——30.77%
17.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%—3.85%26.92%
23.85%11.54%15.38%———30.77%
3——3.85%7.69%——11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%19.23%26.92%26.92%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.73 -0.50
SD 1.03 1.31 1.61
CV 0.84 0.76 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%—11.54%3.85%——23.08%
13.85%19.23%3.85%11.54%——38.46%
219.23%7.69%3.85%———30.77%
3——3.85%———3.85%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total30.77%26.92%26.92%15.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.27 +0.00
SD 1.00 1.08 1.57
CV 0.79 0.85 —
Max 4 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%—3.85%——23.08%
1—19.23%—3.85%——23.08%
215.38%3.85%7.69%———26.92%
315.38%7.69%————23.08%
4———————
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total46.15%38.46%7.69%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 0.77 +0.88
SD 1.29 0.91 1.80
CV 0.78 1.18 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%—7.69%3.85%—19.23%
17.69%11.54%11.54%———30.77%
211.54%7.69%11.54%———30.77%
311.54%——3.85%——15.38%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total34.62%26.92%23.08%11.54%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.23 +0.35
SD 1.21 1.18 1.94
CV 0.76 0.96 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%15.38%11.54%3.85%——38.46%
13.85%11.54%7.69%3.85%——26.92%
2—7.69%11.54%3.85%——23.08%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4———————
5+——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
Total11.54%38.46%34.62%15.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.54 -0.27
SD 1.54 0.90 1.51
CV 1.21 0.59 —
Max 6 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
111.54%11.54%7.69%—3.85%—34.62%
23.85%11.54%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
311.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%—3.85%26.92%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.77%30.77%19.23%11.54%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.38 +0.23
SD 1.06 1.36 1.68
CV 0.66 0.98 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%3.85%———3.85%26.92%
17.69%15.38%7.69%3.85%——34.62%
23.85%11.54%11.54%———26.92%
33.85%7.69%————11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total34.62%38.46%19.23%3.85%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.08 +0.15
SD 0.99 1.16 1.52
CV 0.81 1.08 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%15.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%42.31%
13.85%15.38%3.85%——3.85%26.92%
27.69%—7.69%———15.38%
33.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total19.23%30.77%30.77%7.69%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.69 -0.62
SD 1.20 1.41 2.16
CV 1.11 0.83 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%7.69%7.69%3.85%——34.62%
115.38%—7.69%3.85%——26.92%
23.85%7.69%11.54%———23.08%
33.85%—————3.85%
4—3.85%——3.85%—7.69%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total42.31%19.23%26.92%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.12 +0.23
SD 1.41 1.18 1.75
CV 1.05 1.06 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%11.54%11.54%3.85%——46.15%
115.38%11.54%3.85%—3.85%—34.62%
23.85%7.69%————11.54%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total38.46%34.62%19.23%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.00 -0.15
SD 1.05 1.06 1.43
CV 1.24 1.06 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
1—26.92%3.85%3.85%3.85%—38.46%
23.85%—19.23%7.69%3.85%—34.62%
33.85%7.69%————11.54%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total15.38%38.46%26.92%11.54%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.58 +0.00
SD 0.99 1.14 1.57
CV 0.63 0.72 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%7.69%11.54%3.85%——38.46%
13.85%11.54%7.69%3.85%——26.92%
23.85%3.85%11.54%———19.23%
3—3.85%————3.85%
47.69%3.85%————11.54%
5+———————
Total30.77%30.77%30.77%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.15 +0.08
SD 1.34 0.97 1.79
CV 1.09 0.84 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%7.69%—3.85%—26.92%
13.85%23.08%3.85%7.69%——38.46%
2—3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%19.23%
37.69%—————7.69%
4————3.85%—3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total19.23%38.46%15.38%11.54%11.54%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.73 -0.38
SD 1.29 1.54 1.88
CV 0.96 0.89 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Goteborg 1790 46 43.41 +2.59 71.0% 30 34 39 43 47 53 60
Orebro 1728 38 38.19 -0.19 53.0% 24 28 34 38 42 48 54
Halmstad 1707 41 35.26 +5.74 86.0% 23 26 32 35 39 45 49
Malmo 1705 39 36.90 +2.10 69.0% 21 27 32 36 41 48 55
Oster 1695 28 35.92 -7.92 14.0% 16 26 31 35 40 48 52
Helsingborg 1682 42 33.50 +8.50 94.0% 16 24 30 33 37 43 52
AIK Stockholm 1669 32 33.85 -1.85 44.0% 21 24 29 34 39 45 47
Trelleborg 1656 31 32.56 -1.56 39.0% 18 22 29 33 36 42 53
Djurgarden 1655 38 32.33 +5.67 86.0% 18 22 29 32 36 41 45
Orgryte 1648 35 30.56 +4.44 79.0% 16 20 26 31 34 41 56
Norrkoping 1643 28 36.04 -8.04 14.0% 18 26 32 36 41 47 53
Vastra Frolunda 1640 25 32.35 -7.35 10.0% 21 23 28 32 36 41 46
Degerfors 1631 32 29.42 +2.58 71.0% 18 20 26 29 33 37 45
Hammarby 1624 26 29.77 -3.77 25.0% 15 21 26 29 33 40 45

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+14.84%
Slight Edge
39.56%35.71%24.73%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 51.93 Elo pts.
224 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.32 goals
Neutral
-2+0.23+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.3
Open
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
44%
Goteborg, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.15/gm
Comfortable
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.87 * Some Luck: 4.87 to 7.31 * Lucky: 7.31 to 9.74 * Wild Swing: 9.74 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.56 * Close: 2.56 to 3.84 * Off: 3.84 to 5.12 * Way Off: 5.12 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.18 points
Some Luck
06.0915
Average Finish Error
Expected
3.43
Close
03.208
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
94.00%
Helsingborg
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
10.00%
Vastra Frolunda
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.10
Balanced
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 45.19
1.04
Coin-Flip Parity
0.951.41.652.75
Interquartile Edge
58%
Even
50%63%71.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
72%
Even
50%72%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Very Frequent
0%62%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Rare
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.66
Hard to Predict
00.652
Matchup Imbalance
0.25
Very Even
00.30.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.72
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.20
Weak Carryover
00.380.530.691
Upset Rate
Expected
28%
Very Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Shaky Favorites
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.57
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.29
Overconfident
0.07579661.001.9242
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.061
Well Within Noise
00.1200.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Goteborg44.00%20.00%12.00%6.00%8.00%3.00%4.00%—1.00%2.00%————
Helsingborg4.00%3.00%5.00%11.00%9.00%7.00%12.00%8.00%6.00%7.00%9.00%7.00%5.00%7.00%
Halmstad5.00%7.00%11.00%9.00%8.00%10.00%15.00%8.00%6.00%4.00%4.00%6.00%6.00%1.00%
Malmo11.00%13.00%9.00%6.00%8.00%9.00%9.00%8.00%8.00%4.00%7.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%
Orebro11.00%19.00%8.00%16.00%6.00%8.00%9.00%3.00%7.00%2.00%6.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%
Djurgarden—2.00%7.00%5.00%16.00%8.00%5.00%7.00%9.00%8.00%11.00%5.00%5.00%12.00%
Orgryte1.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%5.00%4.00%6.00%9.00%10.00%7.00%9.00%14.00%13.00%13.00%
AIK Stockholm5.00%5.00%11.00%9.00%5.00%13.00%5.00%6.00%2.00%10.00%6.00%9.00%11.00%3.00%
Degerfors1.00%—2.00%—3.00%9.00%4.00%10.00%7.00%9.00%12.00%10.00%15.00%18.00%
Trelleborg2.00%2.00%3.00%9.00%4.00%10.00%8.00%12.00%9.00%8.00%9.00%8.00%6.00%10.00%
Oster7.00%11.00%12.00%6.00%13.00%4.00%6.00%7.00%8.00%7.00%2.00%10.00%3.00%4.00%
Norrkoping6.00%11.00%9.00%11.00%7.00%5.00%7.00%11.00%9.00%6.00%4.00%4.00%7.00%3.00%
Hammarby1.00%2.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%5.00%9.00%15.00%11.00%14.00%12.00%17.00%
Vastra Frolunda2.00%2.00%5.00%7.00%6.00%7.00%6.00%6.00%9.00%11.00%10.00%8.00%12.00%9.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Goteborg 100% — —
Malmo 85.00% 11.00% 4.00%
Orebro 89.00% 7.00% 4.00%
Halmstad 83.00% 10.00% 7.00%
Oster 81.00% 12.00% 7.00%
Norrkoping 82.00% 8.00% 10.00%
Helsingborg 72.00% 16.00% 12.00%
AIK Stockholm 71.00% 15.00% 14.00%
Trelleborg 67.00% 17.00% 16.00%
Djurgarden 67.00% 16.00% 17.00%
Vastra Frolunda 61.00% 18.00% 21.00%
Orgryte 51.00% 23.00% 26.00%
Hammarby 46.00% 25.00% 29.00%
Degerfors 45.00% 22.00% 33.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1995-04-09 Malmo L 0-356.6 1659 1694 33.46% 37.81% 28.73%+0.07 -13.8 0
1995-04-09 @ Degerfors W 3-056.6 1694 1659 28.73% 37.81% 33.46%-0.07 +13.8 3
1995-04-09 Helsingborg W 2-163.0 1675 1645 42.60% 36.08% 21.32%+0.37 +3.5 3
1995-04-09 @ Halmstad L 1-263.0 1645 1675 21.32% 36.08% 42.60%-0.37 -3.5 0
1995-04-09 Vastra Frolunda W 3-161.7 1645 1665 35.56% 37.61% 26.83%+0.14 +7.2 3
1995-04-09 @ Hammarby L 1-361.7 1665 1645 26.83% 37.61% 35.56%-0.14 -7.1 0
1995-04-09 AIK Stockholm L 0-260.9 1703 1664 43.68% 35.72% 20.59%+0.40 -11.4 0
1995-04-09 @ Oster W 2-060.9 1664 1703 20.59% 35.72% 43.68%-0.40 +11.4 3
1995-04-09 Orebro D 0-062.8 1640 1723 26.86% 37.62% 35.53%-0.14 +0.2 1
1995-04-09 @ Trelleborg D 0-062.8 1723 1640 35.53% 37.62% 26.86%+0.14 -0.2 1
1995-04-10 Goteborg D 1-167.6 1652 1731 27.48% 37.70% 34.82%-0.12 +0.2 1
1995-04-10 @ Djurgarden D 1-167.6 1731 1652 34.82% 37.70% 27.48%+0.12 -0.2 1
1995-04-10 Norrkoping W 2-168.1 1649 1728 27.41% 37.69% 34.90%-0.12 +4.9 3
1995-04-10 @ Orgryte L 1-268.1 1728 1649 34.90% 37.69% 27.41%+0.12 -4.9 0
1995-04-15 Halmstad L 0-164.9 1730 1679 45.47% 35.07% 19.46%+0.46 -6.2 1
1995-04-15 @ Goteborg W 1-064.9 1679 1730 19.46% 35.07% 45.47%-0.46 +6.2 6
1995-04-17 Orgryte D 0-062.8 1676 1654 41.47% 36.42% 22.12%+0.33 -0.6 4
1995-04-17 @ AIK Stockholm D 0-062.8 1654 1676 22.12% 36.42% 41.47%-0.33 +0.6 4
1995-04-17 Oster L 0-257.5 1642 1691 31.40% 37.88% 30.72%+0.01 -9.1 0
1995-04-17 @ Helsingborg W 2-057.5 1691 1642 30.72% 37.88% 31.40%-0.01 +9.1 3
1995-04-17 Djurgarden D 0-063.6 1708 1653 46.00% 34.86% 19.14%+0.48 -0.8 4
1995-04-17 @ Malmo D 0-063.6 1653 1708 19.14% 34.86% 46.00%-0.48 +0.8 2
1995-04-17 Trelleborg D 2-274.7 1723 1640 49.54% 33.29% 17.17%+0.60 -0.7 1
1995-04-17 @ Norrkoping D 2-274.7 1640 1723 17.17% 33.29% 49.54%-0.60 +0.7 2
1995-04-17 Hammarby W 2-161.9 1723 1652 48.00% 34.01% 17.99%+0.55 +3.0 4
1995-04-17 @ Orebro L 1-261.9 1652 1723 17.99% 34.01% 48.00%-0.55 -3.0 3
1995-04-17 Degerfors D 0-062.4 1658 1645 40.21% 36.75% 23.04%+0.29 -0.5 1
1995-04-17 @ Vastra Frolunda D 0-062.4 1645 1658 23.04% 36.75% 40.21%-0.29 +0.5 1
1995-05-01 Degerfors W 2-054.5 1653 1646 39.48% 36.92% 23.59%+0.27 +7.5 5
1995-05-01 @ Djurgarden L 0-254.5 1646 1653 23.59% 36.92% 39.48%-0.27 -7.5 1
1995-05-01 Malmo D 2-273.6 1685 1707 35.29% 37.65% 27.07%+0.13 -0.2 7
1995-05-01 @ Halmstad D 2-273.6 1707 1685 27.07% 37.65% 35.29%-0.13 +0.2 5
1995-05-01 Norrkoping L 0-256.9 1649 1722 28.15% 37.76% 34.08%-0.09 -8.5 3
1995-05-01 @ Hammarby W 2-056.9 1722 1649 34.08% 37.76% 28.15%+0.09 +8.5 4
1995-05-01 Vastra Frolunda D 4-480.0 1726 1658 47.66% 34.16% 18.18%+0.54 -0.5 5
1995-05-01 @ Orebro D 4-480.0 1658 1726 18.18% 34.16% 47.66%-0.54 +0.4 2
1995-05-01 Helsingborg L 0-162.9 1654 1632 41.46% 36.42% 22.13%+0.33 -5.8 4
1995-05-01 @ Orgryte W 1-062.9 1632 1654 22.13% 36.42% 41.46%-0.33 +5.8 3
1995-05-01 Goteborg D 0-063.2 1700 1724 35.07% 37.67% 27.26%+0.13 -0.2 4
1995-05-01 @ Oster D 0-063.2 1724 1700 27.26% 37.67% 35.07%-0.13 +0.2 2
1995-05-01 AIK Stockholm W 1-059.9 1641 1675 33.59% 37.80% 28.61%+0.08 +4.6 5
1995-05-01 @ Trelleborg L 0-159.9 1675 1641 28.61% 37.80% 33.59%-0.08 -4.6 4
1995-05-08 Hammarby W 3-268.0 1671 1640 42.57% 36.09% 21.34%+0.37 +3.3 7
1995-05-08 @ AIK Stockholm L 2-368.0 1640 1671 21.34% 36.09% 42.57%-0.37 -3.3 3
1995-05-08 Halmstad D 3-376.8 1638 1685 31.83% 37.88% 30.29%+0.02 -0.0 2
1995-05-08 @ Degerfors D 3-376.8 1685 1638 30.29% 37.88% 31.83%-0.02 +0.0 8
1995-05-08 Orgryte W 3-050.8 1724 1649 48.67% 33.70% 17.63%+0.57 +8.5 5
1995-05-08 @ Goteborg L 0-350.8 1649 1724 17.63% 33.70% 48.67%-0.57 -8.5 4
1995-05-08 Trelleborg W 2-164.0 1638 1645 37.44% 37.34% 25.22%+0.20 +4.0 6
1995-05-08 @ Helsingborg L 1-264.0 1645 1638 25.22% 37.34% 37.44%-0.20 -4.0 5
1995-05-08 Oster W 2-164.7 1708 1700 39.47% 36.93% 23.60%+0.27 +3.8 8
1995-05-08 @ Malmo L 1-264.7 1700 1708 23.60% 36.93% 39.47%-0.27 -3.8 4
1995-05-08 Orebro W 1-059.3 1731 1725 39.16% 37.00% 23.84%+0.26 +4.0 7
1995-05-08 @ Norrkoping L 0-159.3 1725 1731 23.84% 37.00% 39.16%-0.26 -4.0 5
1995-05-09 Djurgarden D 2-273.1 1658 1661 38.03% 37.23% 24.74%+0.22 -0.3 3
1995-05-09 @ Vastra Frolunda D 2-273.1 1661 1658 24.74% 37.23% 38.03%-0.22 +0.3 6
1995-05-13 Vastra Frolunda D 1-168.9 1733 1658 48.57% 33.74% 17.68%+0.57 -0.9 6
1995-05-13 @ Goteborg D 1-168.9 1658 1733 17.68% 33.74% 48.57%-0.57 +0.9 4
1995-05-13 Oster D 2-273.1 1637 1696 30.03% 37.87% 32.09%-0.03 +0.0 4
1995-05-13 @ Hammarby D 2-273.1 1696 1637 32.09% 37.87% 30.03%+0.03 -0.0 5
1995-05-14 Halmstad W 1-057.7 1721 1685 43.44% 35.81% 20.76%+0.40 +3.6 8
1995-05-14 @ Orebro L 0-157.7 1685 1721 20.76% 35.81% 43.44%-0.40 -3.6 8
1995-05-14 Orgryte W 4-157.9 1641 1640 38.64% 37.11% 24.26%+0.24 +9.4 8
1995-05-14 @ Trelleborg L 1-457.9 1640 1641 24.26% 37.11% 38.64%-0.24 -9.4 4
1995-05-15 Degerfors L 1-269.4 1674 1638 43.31% 35.85% 20.84%+0.39 -5.6 7
1995-05-15 @ AIK Stockholm W 2-169.4 1638 1674 20.84% 35.85% 43.31%-0.39 +5.7 5
1995-05-15 Malmo W 2-167.5 1642 1711 28.68% 37.81% 33.51%-0.08 +4.8 9
1995-05-15 @ Helsingborg L 1-267.5 1711 1642 33.51% 37.81% 28.68%+0.08 -4.8 8
1995-05-15 Djurgarden W 2-052.8 1735 1661 48.34% 33.85% 17.81%+0.56 +5.9 10
1995-05-15 @ Norrkoping L 0-252.8 1661 1735 17.81% 33.85% 48.34%-0.56 -5.9 6
1995-05-17 Hammarby L 0-161.7 1631 1637 37.50% 37.32% 25.17%+0.20 -5.4 4
1995-05-17 @ Orgryte W 1-061.7 1637 1631 25.17% 37.32% 37.50%-0.20 +5.4 7
1995-05-18 Helsingborg D 2-272.7 1644 1647 38.01% 37.23% 24.76%+0.22 -0.3 6
1995-05-18 @ Degerfors D 2-272.7 1647 1644 24.76% 37.23% 38.01%-0.22 +0.3 10
1995-05-18 AIK Stockholm L 1-268.0 1655 1668 36.63% 37.47% 25.91%+0.17 -5.0 6
1995-05-18 @ Djurgarden W 2-168.0 1668 1655 25.91% 37.47% 36.63%-0.17 +5.0 10
1995-05-18 Norrkoping W 2-058.4 1681 1741 30.02% 37.87% 32.11%-0.03 +9.3 11
1995-05-18 @ Halmstad L 0-258.4 1741 1681 32.11% 37.87% 30.02%+0.03 -9.3 10
1995-05-18 Goteborg D 1-168.0 1707 1732 34.83% 37.69% 27.48%+0.12 -0.2 9
1995-05-18 @ Malmo D 1-168.0 1732 1707 27.48% 37.69% 34.83%-0.12 +0.2 7
1995-05-18 Orebro D 2-273.8 1696 1725 34.39% 37.74% 27.87%+0.10 -0.1 6
1995-05-18 @ Oster D 2-273.8 1725 1696 27.87% 37.74% 34.39%-0.10 +0.1 9
1995-05-18 Trelleborg W 1-058.0 1659 1651 39.53% 36.91% 23.56%+0.27 +4.0 7
1995-05-18 @ Vastra Frolunda L 0-158.0 1651 1659 23.56% 36.91% 39.53%-0.27 -4.0 8
1995-05-21 Goteborg W 3-164.2 1673 1732 30.04% 37.87% 32.09%-0.03 +8.0 13
1995-05-21 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-364.2 1732 1673 32.09% 37.87% 30.04%+0.03 -8.0 7
1995-05-21 Vastra Frolunda W 1-059.0 1647 1663 36.27% 37.52% 26.21%+0.16 +4.3 13
1995-05-21 @ Helsingborg L 0-159.0 1663 1647 26.21% 37.52% 36.27%-0.16 -4.3 7
1995-05-21 Malmo L 0-164.4 1731 1706 41.87% 36.30% 21.83%+0.34 -5.9 10
1995-05-21 @ Norrkoping W 1-064.4 1706 1731 21.83% 36.30% 41.87%-0.34 +5.9 12
1995-05-21 Oster W 4-267.8 1625 1696 28.42% 37.79% 33.80%-0.09 +7.4 7
1995-05-21 @ Orgryte L 2-467.8 1696 1625 33.80% 37.79% 28.42%+0.09 -7.4 6
1995-05-21 Halmstad W 4-055.4 1647 1691 32.24% 37.87% 29.89%+0.04 +16.8 11
1995-05-21 @ Trelleborg L 0-455.4 1691 1647 29.89% 37.87% 32.24%-0.04 -16.8 11
1995-05-22 Djurgarden L 0-162.1 1643 1650 37.37% 37.35% 25.28%+0.20 -5.4 7
1995-05-22 @ Hammarby W 1-062.1 1650 1643 25.28% 37.35% 37.37%-0.20 +5.4 9
1995-05-22 Degerfors D 2-274.7 1725 1644 49.37% 33.37% 17.26%+0.60 -0.7 10
1995-05-22 @ Orebro D 2-274.7 1644 1725 17.26% 33.37% 49.37%-0.60 +0.7 7
1995-05-27 Orgryte L 0-163.1 1658 1633 42.00% 36.26% 21.74%+0.35 -5.9 7
1995-05-27 @ Vastra Frolunda W 1-063.1 1633 1658 21.74% 36.26% 42.00%-0.35 +5.9 10
1995-05-28 Norrkoping L 0-354.8 1644 1725 27.13% 37.65% 35.22%-0.13 -12.1 7
1995-05-28 @ Degerfors W 3-054.8 1725 1644 35.22% 37.65% 27.13%+0.13 +12.1 13
1995-05-28 Orebro W 2-058.5 1656 1724 28.72% 37.81% 33.47%-0.08 +9.5 12
1995-05-28 @ Djurgarden L 0-258.5 1724 1656 33.47% 37.81% 28.72%+0.08 -9.5 10
1995-05-28 Helsingborg D 1-168.7 1724 1652 48.25% 33.89% 17.85%+0.56 -0.8 8
1995-05-28 @ Goteborg D 1-168.7 1652 1724 17.85% 33.89% 48.25%-0.56 +0.9 14
1995-05-28 Hammarby W 1-056.8 1674 1637 43.45% 35.80% 20.75%+0.40 +3.6 14
1995-05-28 @ Halmstad L 0-156.8 1637 1674 20.75% 35.80% 43.45%-0.40 -3.6 7
1995-05-28 AIK Stockholm D 2-274.1 1712 1681 42.70% 36.05% 21.26%+0.37 -0.4 13
1995-05-28 @ Malmo D 2-274.1 1681 1712 21.26% 36.05% 42.70%-0.37 +0.4 14
1995-05-28 Trelleborg W 3-160.3 1689 1664 41.90% 36.29% 21.81%+0.34 +6.1 9
1995-05-28 @ Oster L 1-360.3 1664 1689 21.81% 36.29% 41.90%-0.34 -6.1 11
1995-06-14 Djurgarden L 1-269.0 1677 1665 40.13% 36.77% 23.10%+0.29 -5.4 14
1995-06-14 @ Halmstad W 2-169.0 1665 1677 23.10% 36.77% 40.13%-0.29 +5.4 15
1995-06-14 Helsingborg W 2-164.6 1634 1652 35.79% 37.58% 26.63%+0.15 +4.1 10
1995-06-14 @ Hammarby L 1-264.6 1652 1634 26.63% 37.58% 35.79%-0.15 -4.1 14
1995-06-14 Vastra Frolunda L 0-360.4 1738 1652 49.85% 33.14% 17.02%+0.61 -18.1 13
1995-06-14 @ Norrkoping W 3-060.4 1652 1738 17.02% 33.14% 49.85%-0.61 +18.1 10
1995-06-14 AIK Stockholm W 3-052.7 1715 1682 43.00% 35.95% 21.05%+0.38 +10.0 13
1995-06-14 @ Orebro L 0-352.7 1682 1715 21.05% 35.95% 43.00%-0.38 -10.0 14
1995-06-14 Malmo D 0-062.6 1638 1712 28.11% 37.76% 34.13%-0.10 +0.2 11
1995-06-14 @ Orgryte D 0-062.6 1712 1638 34.13% 37.76% 28.11%+0.10 -0.2 14
1995-06-14 Degerfors D 2-274.0 1695 1632 46.92% 34.48% 18.60%+0.51 -0.6 10
1995-06-14 @ Oster D 2-274.0 1632 1695 18.60% 34.48% 46.92%-0.51 +0.6 8
1995-06-19 Orgryte D 0-061.8 1633 1639 37.64% 37.30% 25.06%+0.21 -0.4 9
1995-06-19 @ Degerfors D 0-061.8 1639 1633 25.06% 37.30% 37.64%-0.21 +0.4 12
1995-06-19 Oster D 1-167.5 1671 1694 35.09% 37.67% 27.24%+0.13 -0.2 16
1995-06-19 @ Djurgarden D 1-167.5 1694 1671 27.24% 37.67% 35.09%-0.13 +0.2 11
1995-06-19 Orebro W 3-057.1 1648 1725 27.70% 37.72% 34.59%-0.11 +14.1 17
1995-06-19 @ Helsingborg L 0-357.1 1725 1648 34.59% 37.72% 27.70%+0.11 -14.1 13
1995-06-19 Trelleborg W 2-162.5 1712 1658 45.80% 34.94% 19.26%+0.47 +3.2 17
1995-06-19 @ Malmo L 1-262.5 1658 1712 19.26% 34.94% 45.80%-0.47 -3.2 11
1995-06-19 Halmstad D 1-167.5 1671 1672 38.24% 37.19% 24.57%+0.23 -0.4 11
1995-06-19 @ Vastra Frolunda D 1-167.5 1672 1671 24.57% 37.19% 38.24%-0.23 +0.4 15
1995-06-20 Norrkoping D 2-273.6 1672 1719 31.66% 37.88% 30.45%+0.02 -0.0 15
1995-06-20 @ AIK Stockholm D 2-273.6 1719 1672 30.45% 37.88% 31.66%-0.02 +0.0 14
1995-06-20 Hammarby W 2-052.0 1723 1638 49.94% 33.09% 16.97%+0.62 +5.6 11
1995-06-20 @ Goteborg L 0-252.0 1638 1723 16.97% 33.09% 49.94%-0.62 -5.7 10
1995-06-25 Degerfors D 2-272.9 1654 1633 41.44% 36.42% 22.13%+0.33 -0.4 12
1995-06-25 @ Trelleborg D 2-272.9 1633 1654 22.13% 36.42% 41.44%-0.33 +0.4 10
1995-06-26 Malmo D 1-167.4 1632 1715 26.91% 37.62% 35.46%-0.14 +0.2 11
1995-06-26 @ Hammarby D 1-167.4 1715 1632 35.46% 37.62% 26.91%+0.14 -0.2 18
1995-06-26 Goteborg W 1-060.2 1711 1729 35.86% 37.58% 26.56%+0.15 +4.4 16
1995-06-26 @ Orebro L 0-160.2 1729 1711 26.56% 37.58% 35.86%-0.15 -4.3 11
1995-06-26 Djurgarden L 0-258.0 1639 1670 34.00% 37.77% 28.23%+0.09 -9.6 12
1995-06-26 @ Orgryte W 2-058.0 1670 1639 28.23% 37.77% 34.00%-0.09 +9.6 19
1995-06-28 Vastra Frolunda D 1-167.5 1672 1670 38.63% 37.11% 24.26%+0.24 -0.4 16
1995-06-28 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-167.5 1670 1672 24.26% 37.11% 38.63%-0.24 +0.4 12
1995-06-28 Helsingborg L 0-359.8 1719 1662 46.18% 34.79% 19.03%+0.49 -17.2 14
1995-06-28 @ Norrkoping W 3-059.8 1662 1719 19.03% 34.79% 46.18%-0.49 +17.2 20
1995-06-28 Halmstad W 3-052.9 1694 1672 41.50% 36.41% 22.10%+0.33 +10.4 14
1995-06-28 @ Oster L 0-352.9 1672 1694 22.10% 36.41% 41.50%-0.33 -10.4 15
1995-06-29 Goteborg D 2-273.5 1654 1725 28.45% 37.79% 33.76%-0.08 +0.1 13
1995-06-29 @ Trelleborg D 2-273.5 1725 1654 33.76% 37.79% 28.45%+0.08 -0.1 12
1995-07-02 Hammarby D 0-061.7 1633 1632 38.52% 37.13% 24.34%+0.24 -0.4 11
1995-07-02 @ Degerfors D 0-061.7 1632 1633 24.34% 37.13% 38.52%-0.24 +0.4 12
1995-07-02 Orgryte W 2-053.4 1662 1629 42.92% 35.98% 21.11%+0.38 +6.9 18
1995-07-02 @ Halmstad L 0-253.4 1629 1662 21.11% 35.98% 42.92%-0.38 -6.9 12
1995-07-02 Orebro D 0-063.4 1715 1715 38.36% 37.16% 24.48%+0.23 -0.4 19
1995-07-02 @ Malmo D 0-063.4 1715 1715 24.48% 37.16% 38.36%-0.23 +0.4 17
1995-07-03 Trelleborg D 1-167.6 1680 1654 42.01% 36.26% 21.73%+0.35 -0.5 20
1995-07-03 @ Djurgarden D 1-167.6 1654 1680 21.73% 36.26% 42.01%-0.35 +0.5 14
1995-07-03 AIK Stockholm W 2-164.2 1680 1671 39.60% 36.90% 23.51%+0.27 +3.8 23
1995-07-03 @ Helsingborg L 1-264.2 1671 1680 23.51% 36.90% 39.60%-0.27 -3.8 16
1995-07-05 Norrkoping W 2-055.0 1725 1702 41.53% 36.40% 22.07%+0.33 +7.2 15
1995-07-05 @ Goteborg L 0-255.0 1702 1725 22.07% 36.40% 41.53%-0.33 -7.2 14
1995-07-06 Oster D 1-167.6 1671 1705 33.59% 37.80% 28.61%+0.08 -0.1 13
1995-07-06 @ Vastra Frolunda D 1-167.6 1705 1671 28.61% 37.80% 33.59%-0.08 +0.1 15
1995-07-29 AIK Stockholm W 3-053.5 1669 1668 38.62% 37.11% 24.27%+0.24 +11.2 21
1995-07-29 @ Halmstad L 0-353.5 1668 1669 24.27% 37.11% 38.62%-0.24 -11.2 16
1995-07-30 Degerfors W 3-049.8 1732 1633 51.68% 32.20% 16.12%+0.68 +7.8 18
1995-07-30 @ Goteborg L 0-349.8 1633 1732 16.12% 32.20% 51.68%-0.68 -7.8 11
1995-07-30 Djurgarden L 2-374.1 1683 1679 38.99% 37.03% 23.98%+0.25 -5.0 23
1995-07-30 @ Helsingborg W 3-274.1 1679 1683 23.98% 37.03% 38.99%-0.25 +5.0 23
1995-07-30 Oster W 4-159.6 1695 1705 37.03% 37.40% 25.56%+0.19 +9.8 17
1995-07-30 @ Norrkoping L 1-459.6 1705 1695 25.56% 37.40% 37.03%-0.19 -9.8 15
1995-07-30 Orgryte L 0-165.2 1716 1622 50.89% 32.61% 16.50%+0.65 -6.7 17
1995-07-30 @ Orebro W 1-065.2 1622 1716 16.50% 32.61% 50.89%-0.65 +6.7 15
1995-07-31 Trelleborg L 1-364.0 1633 1655 35.36% 37.64% 27.01%+0.13 -8.5 12
1995-07-31 @ Hammarby W 3-164.0 1655 1633 27.01% 37.64% 35.36%-0.13 +8.5 17
1995-07-31 Vastra Frolunda W 3-159.8 1714 1671 44.41% 35.47% 20.12%+0.43 +5.8 22
1995-07-31 @ Malmo L 1-359.8 1671 1714 20.12% 35.47% 44.41%-0.43 -5.8 13
1995-08-03 Halmstad D 2-273.2 1656 1680 35.10% 37.67% 27.24%+0.13 -0.1 17
1995-08-03 @ AIK Stockholm D 2-273.2 1680 1656 27.24% 37.67% 35.10%-0.13 +0.2 22
1995-08-03 Orebro D 0-062.5 1629 1709 27.30% 37.67% 35.03%-0.12 +0.2 16
1995-08-03 @ Orgryte D 0-062.5 1709 1629 35.03% 37.67% 27.30%+0.12 -0.2 18
1995-08-05 Goteborg L 0-353.4 1625 1740 23.23% 36.81% 39.96%-0.28 -10.8 11
1995-08-05 @ Degerfors W 3-053.4 1740 1625 39.96% 36.81% 23.23%+0.28 +10.8 21
1995-08-05 Norrkoping L 2-373.9 1695 1705 37.09% 37.39% 25.51%+0.19 -4.8 15
1995-08-05 @ Oster W 3-273.9 1705 1695 25.51% 37.39% 37.09%-0.19 +4.8 20
1995-08-05 Malmo D 0-062.9 1665 1720 30.59% 37.88% 31.52%-0.01 +0.0 14
1995-08-05 @ Vastra Frolunda D 0-062.9 1720 1665 31.52% 37.88% 30.59%+0.01 -0.0 23
1995-08-07 Helsingborg L 1-365.8 1684 1678 39.27% 36.97% 23.76%+0.26 -9.2 23
1995-08-07 @ Djurgarden W 3-165.8 1678 1684 23.76% 36.97% 39.27%-0.26 +9.2 26
1995-08-07 Hammarby D 0-062.5 1663 1624 43.78% 35.69% 20.53%+0.41 -0.7 18
1995-08-07 @ Trelleborg D 0-062.5 1624 1663 20.53% 35.69% 43.78%-0.41 +0.7 13
1995-08-10 Halmstad L 0-257.2 1629 1680 31.22% 37.89% 30.90%+0.00 -9.1 16
1995-08-10 @ Orgryte W 2-057.2 1680 1629 30.90% 37.89% 31.22%+0.00 +9.1 25
1995-08-13 Helsingborg D 1-167.3 1656 1688 34.00% 37.77% 28.23%+0.09 -0.2 18
1995-08-13 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-167.3 1688 1656 28.23% 37.77% 34.00%-0.09 +0.2 27
1995-08-13 Goteborg L 0-557.9 1710 1750 32.66% 37.85% 29.49%+0.05 -21.9 20
1995-08-13 @ Norrkoping W 5-057.9 1750 1710 29.49% 37.85% 32.66%-0.05 +21.9 24
1995-08-13 Malmo W 5-055.6 1709 1720 36.85% 37.43% 25.72%+0.18 +18.8 21
1995-08-13 @ Orebro L 0-555.6 1720 1709 25.72% 37.43% 36.85%-0.18 -18.8 23
1995-08-13 Vastra Frolunda W 4-052.7 1690 1665 41.97% 36.27% 21.76%+0.35 +13.4 18
1995-08-13 @ Oster L 0-452.7 1665 1690 21.76% 36.27% 41.97%-0.35 -13.4 14
1995-08-13 Djurgarden D 1-167.3 1662 1675 36.63% 37.47% 25.90%+0.17 -0.3 19
1995-08-13 @ Trelleborg D 1-167.3 1675 1662 25.90% 37.47% 36.63%-0.17 +0.3 24
1995-08-14 Degerfors W 2-162.6 1625 1614 39.96% 36.81% 23.23%+0.28 +3.7 16
1995-08-14 @ Hammarby L 1-262.6 1614 1625 23.23% 36.81% 39.96%-0.28 -3.7 11
1995-08-19 Orebro W 3-160.3 1772 1727 44.58% 35.40% 20.01%+0.43 +5.7 27
1995-08-19 @ Goteborg L 1-360.3 1727 1772 20.01% 35.40% 44.58%-0.43 -5.7 21
1995-08-20 Trelleborg W 1-060.0 1610 1662 31.06% 37.89% 31.06%+0.00 +4.8 14
1995-08-20 @ Degerfors L 0-160.0 1662 1610 31.06% 37.89% 31.06%+0.00 -4.8 19
1995-08-20 Oster D 2-273.7 1689 1704 36.39% 37.50% 26.11%+0.17 -0.2 26
1995-08-20 @ Halmstad D 2-273.7 1704 1689 26.11% 37.50% 36.39%-0.17 +0.2 19
1995-08-20 Norrkoping D 0-063.0 1688 1688 38.43% 37.15% 24.42%+0.23 -0.4 28
1995-08-20 @ Helsingborg D 0-063.0 1688 1688 24.42% 37.15% 38.43%-0.23 +0.4 21
1995-08-20 Hammarby W 1-055.6 1701 1629 48.23% 33.90% 17.87%+0.56 +3.2 26
1995-08-20 @ Malmo L 0-155.6 1629 1701 17.87% 33.90% 48.23%-0.56 -3.2 16
1995-08-21 Orgryte L 1-366.5 1676 1620 45.96% 34.88% 19.17%+0.48 -10.2 24
1995-08-21 @ Djurgarden W 3-166.5 1620 1676 19.17% 34.88% 45.96%-0.48 +10.2 19
1995-08-21 AIK Stockholm D 1-167.0 1651 1656 37.78% 37.27% 24.94%+0.21 -0.3 15
1995-08-21 @ Vastra Frolunda D 1-167.0 1656 1651 24.94% 37.27% 37.78%-0.21 +0.3 19
1995-08-27 Djurgarden D 1-166.5 1615 1665 31.29% 37.89% 30.82%+0.01 -0.0 15
1995-08-27 @ Degerfors D 1-166.5 1665 1615 30.82% 37.89% 31.29%-0.01 +0.0 25
1995-08-27 Orgryte L 0-164.2 1687 1630 46.16% 34.79% 19.04%+0.49 -6.3 28
1995-08-27 @ Helsingborg W 1-064.2 1630 1687 19.04% 34.79% 46.16%-0.49 +6.3 22
1995-08-27 Orebro L 1-266.1 1651 1722 28.47% 37.79% 33.74%-0.08 -4.3 15
1995-08-27 @ Vastra Frolunda W 2-166.1 1722 1651 33.74% 37.79% 28.47%+0.08 +4.3 24
1995-08-28 Trelleborg W 3-053.3 1656 1657 38.30% 37.18% 24.52%+0.23 +11.3 22
1995-08-28 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-353.3 1657 1656 24.52% 37.18% 38.30%-0.23 -11.3 19
1995-08-28 Oster W 3-159.1 1778 1704 48.42% 33.82% 17.77%+0.56 +5.1 30
1995-08-28 @ Goteborg L 1-359.1 1704 1778 17.77% 33.82% 48.42%-0.56 -5.1 19
1995-08-28 Halmstad W 2-164.2 1704 1689 40.55% 36.66% 22.79%+0.30 +3.7 29
1995-08-28 @ Malmo L 1-264.2 1689 1704 22.79% 36.66% 40.55%-0.30 -3.7 26
1995-08-28 Hammarby D 1-168.0 1688 1625 46.94% 34.47% 18.59%+0.51 -0.8 22
1995-08-28 @ Norrkoping D 1-168.0 1625 1688 18.59% 34.47% 46.94%-0.51 +0.8 17
1995-08-31 Degerfors W 5-154.1 1685 1615 47.95% 34.03% 18.02%+0.55 +9.5 29
1995-08-31 @ Halmstad L 1-554.1 1615 1685 18.02% 34.03% 47.95%-0.55 -9.5 15
1995-08-31 AIK Stockholm L 1-266.5 1626 1668 32.57% 37.86% 29.57%+0.05 -4.7 17
1995-08-31 @ Hammarby W 2-166.5 1668 1626 29.57% 37.86% 32.57%-0.05 +4.7 25
1995-08-31 Norrkoping W 1-057.7 1726 1687 43.72% 35.71% 20.57%+0.40 +3.6 27
1995-08-31 @ Orebro L 0-157.7 1687 1726 20.57% 35.71% 43.72%-0.40 -3.6 22
1995-08-31 Goteborg D 1-168.6 1637 1783 20.22% 35.52% 44.26%-0.42 +0.7 23
1995-08-31 @ Orgryte D 1-168.6 1783 1637 44.26% 35.52% 20.22%+0.42 -0.7 31
1995-08-31 Malmo D 2-273.8 1699 1708 37.17% 37.38% 25.45%+0.19 -0.2 20
1995-08-31 @ Oster D 2-273.8 1708 1699 25.45% 37.38% 37.17%-0.19 +0.2 30
1995-08-31 Helsingborg L 0-258.1 1646 1681 33.49% 37.81% 28.70%+0.08 -9.5 19
1995-08-31 @ Trelleborg W 2-058.1 1681 1646 28.70% 37.81% 33.49%-0.08 +9.5 31
1995-09-01 Vastra Frolunda W 4-263.9 1665 1647 41.01% 36.54% 22.45%+0.32 +5.6 28
1995-09-01 @ Djurgarden L 2-463.9 1647 1665 22.45% 36.54% 41.01%-0.32 -5.6 15
1995-09-09 Orebro W 2-166.5 1695 1730 33.54% 37.80% 28.65%+0.08 +4.3 32
1995-09-09 @ Halmstad L 1-266.5 1730 1695 28.65% 37.80% 33.54%-0.08 -4.3 27
1995-09-09 Goteborg W 3-059.6 1641 1783 20.66% 35.75% 43.59%-0.40 +16.5 18
1995-09-09 @ Vastra Frolunda L 0-359.6 1783 1641 43.59% 35.75% 20.66%+0.40 -16.5 31
1995-09-10 AIK Stockholm W 2-166.5 1606 1672 28.98% 37.83% 33.19%-0.07 +4.7 18
1995-09-10 @ Degerfors L 1-266.5 1672 1606 33.19% 37.83% 28.98%+0.07 -4.7 25
1995-09-10 Norrkoping W 2-056.0 1671 1684 36.63% 37.47% 25.90%+0.17 +8.1 31
1995-09-10 @ Djurgarden L 0-256.0 1684 1671 25.90% 37.47% 36.63%-0.17 -8.1 22
1995-09-10 Helsingborg L 0-163.9 1708 1691 40.88% 36.58% 22.54%+0.31 -5.8 30
1995-09-10 @ Malmo W 1-063.9 1691 1708 22.54% 36.58% 40.88%-0.31 +5.8 34
1995-09-11 Trelleborg D 0-061.9 1637 1637 38.55% 37.13% 24.32%+0.24 -0.4 24
1995-09-11 @ Orgryte D 0-061.9 1637 1637 24.32% 37.13% 38.55%-0.24 +0.4 20
1995-09-11 Hammarby D 1-168.3 1699 1622 48.83% 33.63% 17.54%+0.58 -0.9 21
1995-09-11 @ Oster D 1-168.3 1622 1699 17.54% 33.63% 48.83%-0.58 +0.9 18
1995-09-17 Malmo W 2-162.7 1766 1702 47.05% 34.42% 18.52%+0.52 +3.1 34
1995-09-17 @ Goteborg L 1-262.7 1702 1766 18.52% 34.42% 47.05%-0.52 -3.1 30
1995-09-17 Degerfors D 3-378.0 1696 1610 49.99% 33.07% 16.95%+0.62 -0.6 35
1995-09-17 @ Helsingborg D 3-378.0 1610 1696 16.95% 33.07% 49.99%-0.62 +0.6 19
1995-09-18 Orgryte L 0-161.3 1622 1637 36.40% 37.50% 26.10%+0.17 -5.3 18
1995-09-18 @ Hammarby W 1-061.3 1637 1622 26.10% 37.50% 36.40%-0.17 +5.3 27
1995-09-18 Halmstad D 1-167.6 1676 1699 35.13% 37.66% 27.21%+0.13 -0.2 23
1995-09-18 @ Norrkoping D 1-167.6 1699 1676 27.21% 37.66% 35.13%-0.13 +0.2 33
1995-09-18 Oster W 1-058.2 1725 1698 42.21% 36.20% 21.59%+0.35 +3.7 30
1995-09-18 @ Orebro L 0-158.2 1698 1725 21.59% 36.20% 42.21%-0.35 -3.7 21
1995-09-18 Vastra Frolunda W 2-055.6 1637 1658 35.53% 37.62% 26.85%+0.14 +8.3 23
1995-09-18 @ Trelleborg L 0-255.6 1658 1637 26.85% 37.62% 35.53%-0.14 -8.3 18
1995-09-19 Djurgarden L 1-268.3 1668 1679 36.83% 37.44% 25.73%+0.18 -5.1 25
1995-09-19 @ AIK Stockholm W 2-168.3 1679 1668 25.73% 37.44% 36.83%-0.18 +5.1 34
1995-09-23 Orebro W 2-169.1 1611 1729 22.89% 36.70% 40.41%-0.30 +5.4 22
1995-09-23 @ Degerfors L 1-269.1 1729 1611 40.41% 36.70% 22.89%+0.30 -5.4 30
1995-09-23 Norrkoping L 1-366.5 1699 1676 41.73% 36.34% 21.93%+0.34 -9.5 30
1995-09-23 @ Malmo W 3-166.5 1676 1699 21.93% 36.34% 41.73%-0.34 +9.5 26
1995-09-24 Trelleborg L 1-270.2 1699 1645 45.82% 34.93% 19.25%+0.47 -5.9 33
1995-09-24 @ Halmstad W 2-170.2 1645 1699 19.25% 34.93% 45.82%-0.47 +5.9 26
1995-09-24 Helsingborg L 2-372.0 1649 1696 31.86% 37.88% 30.27%+0.02 -4.4 18
1995-09-24 @ Vastra Frolunda W 3-272.0 1696 1649 30.27% 37.88% 31.86%-0.02 +4.4 38
1995-09-25 Hammarby W 2-052.1 1684 1617 47.50% 34.23% 18.27%+0.53 +6.1 37
1995-09-25 @ Djurgarden L 0-252.1 1617 1684 18.27% 34.23% 47.50%-0.53 -6.1 18
1995-09-25 AIK Stockholm D 0-065.0 1769 1663 52.61% 31.70% 15.69%+0.71 -1.2 35
1995-09-25 @ Goteborg D 0-065.0 1663 1769 15.69% 31.70% 52.61%-0.71 +1.2 26
1995-09-25 Orgryte D 1-168.0 1694 1642 45.50% 35.06% 19.45%+0.46 -0.7 22
1995-09-25 @ Oster D 1-168.0 1642 1694 19.45% 35.06% 45.50%-0.46 +0.7 28
1995-10-01 Malmo D 1-167.4 1664 1690 34.75% 37.70% 27.54%+0.12 -0.2 27
1995-10-01 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-167.4 1690 1664 27.54% 37.70% 34.75%-0.12 +0.2 31
1995-10-02 Halmstad L 0-354.1 1611 1694 26.94% 37.63% 35.43%-0.14 -12.0 18
1995-10-02 @ Hammarby W 3-054.1 1694 1611 35.43% 37.63% 26.94%+0.14 +12.0 36
1995-10-02 Goteborg L 0-356.0 1700 1768 28.85% 37.82% 33.34%-0.07 -12.6 38
1995-10-02 @ Helsingborg W 3-056.0 1768 1700 33.34% 37.82% 28.85%+0.07 +12.6 38
1995-10-02 Vastra Frolunda L 1-267.9 1643 1645 38.16% 37.20% 24.63%+0.22 -5.2 28
1995-10-02 @ Orgryte W 2-167.9 1645 1643 24.63% 37.20% 38.16%-0.22 +5.2 21
1995-10-07 Vastra Frolunda W 2-055.8 1616 1650 33.64% 37.80% 28.57%+0.08 +8.6 25
1995-10-07 @ Degerfors L 0-255.8 1650 1616 28.57% 37.80% 33.64%-0.08 -8.6 21
1995-10-07 Goteborg D 0-063.4 1706 1780 27.91% 37.74% 34.35%-0.10 +0.2 37
1995-10-07 @ Halmstad D 0-063.4 1780 1706 34.35% 37.74% 27.91%+0.10 -0.2 39
1995-10-07 Orebro D 2-273.4 1599 1724 22.24% 36.46% 41.29%-0.32 +0.4 19
1995-10-07 @ Hammarby D 2-273.4 1724 1599 41.29% 36.46% 22.24%+0.32 -0.4 31
1995-10-08 Malmo L 0-259.8 1690 1690 38.46% 37.15% 24.40%+0.23 -10.4 37
1995-10-08 @ Djurgarden W 2-059.8 1690 1690 24.40% 37.15% 38.46%-0.23 +10.4 34
1995-10-08 AIK Stockholm W 2-165.1 1638 1664 34.82% 37.70% 27.49%+0.12 +4.2 31
1995-10-08 @ Orgryte L 1-265.1 1664 1638 27.49% 37.70% 34.82%-0.12 -4.2 27
1995-10-08 Helsingborg D 1-167.8 1693 1688 39.25% 36.98% 23.77%+0.26 -0.4 23
1995-10-08 @ Oster D 1-167.8 1688 1693 23.77% 36.98% 39.25%-0.26 +0.4 39
1995-10-08 Norrkoping W 4-055.0 1651 1685 33.63% 37.80% 28.57%+0.08 +16.3 29
1995-10-08 @ Trelleborg L 0-455.0 1685 1651 28.57% 37.80% 33.63%-0.08 -16.3 26
1995-10-14 Trelleborg W 2-053.4 1723 1667 46.02% 34.85% 19.13%+0.48 +6.3 34
1995-10-14 @ Orebro L 0-253.4 1667 1723 19.13% 34.85% 46.02%-0.48 -6.4 29
1995-10-15 Halmstad W 3-054.8 1688 1706 35.93% 37.57% 26.50%+0.15 +11.9 42
1995-10-15 @ Helsingborg L 0-354.8 1706 1688 26.50% 37.57% 35.93%-0.15 -11.9 37
1995-10-15 Degerfors W 3-158.0 1700 1625 48.63% 33.72% 17.65%+0.57 +5.1 37
1995-10-15 @ Malmo L 1-358.0 1625 1700 17.65% 33.72% 48.63%-0.57 -5.1 25
1995-10-15 Orgryte L 0-260.0 1669 1642 42.12% 36.23% 21.66%+0.35 -11.1 26
1995-10-15 @ Norrkoping W 2-060.0 1642 1669 21.66% 36.23% 42.12%-0.35 +11.1 34
1995-10-15 Hammarby L 2-663.1 1642 1599 44.21% 35.54% 20.25%+0.42 -15.4 21
1995-10-15 @ Vastra Frolunda W 6-263.1 1599 1642 20.25% 35.54% 44.21%-0.42 +15.4 22
1995-10-16 Oster D 1-167.4 1659 1693 33.68% 37.79% 28.53%+0.08 -0.1 28
1995-10-16 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-167.4 1693 1659 28.53% 37.79% 33.68%-0.08 +0.1 24
1995-10-16 Djurgarden W 2-052.1 1780 1680 51.85% 32.11% 16.04%+0.68 +5.3 42
1995-10-16 @ Goteborg L 0-252.1 1680 1780 16.04% 32.11% 51.85%-0.68 -5.3 37
1995-10-19 Degerfors D 1-167.1 1658 1620 43.64% 35.74% 20.62%+0.40 -0.6 27
1995-10-19 @ Norrkoping D 1-167.1 1620 1658 20.62% 35.74% 43.64%-0.40 +0.6 26
1995-10-19 Djurgarden D 0-063.9 1730 1674 45.94% 34.88% 19.18%+0.48 -0.8 35
1995-10-19 @ Orebro D 0-063.9 1674 1730 19.18% 34.88% 45.94%-0.48 +0.8 38
1995-10-19 Oster D 1-167.4 1661 1693 33.91% 37.78% 28.31%+0.09 -0.1 30
1995-10-19 @ Trelleborg D 1-167.4 1693 1661 28.31% 37.78% 33.91%-0.09 +0.1 25
1995-10-23 Vastra Frolunda D 1-168.1 1694 1626 47.60% 34.19% 18.22%+0.54 -0.8 38
1995-10-23 @ Halmstad D 1-168.1 1626 1694 18.22% 34.19% 47.60%-0.54 +0.8 22
1995-10-23 Goteborg D 2-274.7 1615 1786 18.27% 34.23% 47.50%-0.53 +0.6 23
1995-10-23 @ Hammarby D 2-274.7 1786 1615 47.50% 34.23% 18.27%+0.53 -0.6 43
1995-10-23 AIK Stockholm D 1-167.2 1657 1659 38.13% 37.21% 24.66%+0.22 -0.4 28
1995-10-23 @ Norrkoping D 1-167.2 1659 1657 24.66% 37.21% 38.13%-0.22 +0.4 29
1995-10-23 Helsingborg W 4-158.2 1729 1700 42.41% 36.14% 21.45%+0.36 +8.6 38
1995-10-23 @ Orebro L 1-458.2 1700 1729 21.45% 36.14% 42.41%-0.36 -8.6 42
1995-10-23 Degerfors L 0-163.0 1653 1620 42.94% 35.97% 21.09%+0.38 -6.0 34
1995-10-23 @ Orgryte W 1-063.0 1620 1653 21.09% 35.97% 42.94%-0.38 +6.0 29
1995-10-23 Djurgarden W 3-160.7 1693 1675 40.93% 36.56% 22.51%+0.31 +6.3 28
1995-10-23 @ Oster L 1-360.7 1675 1693 22.51% 36.56% 40.93%-0.31 -6.3 38
1995-10-23 Malmo D 0-062.7 1661 1706 32.11% 37.87% 30.02%+0.03 -0.1 31
1995-10-23 @ Trelleborg D 0-062.7 1706 1661 30.02% 37.87% 32.11%-0.03 +0.1 38
1995-10-28 Orebro W 2-059.0 1660 1737 27.55% 37.70% 34.75%-0.12 +9.8 32
1995-10-28 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-259.0 1737 1660 34.75% 37.70% 27.55%+0.12 -9.8 38
1995-10-28 Oster W 3-272.5 1626 1700 28.13% 37.76% 34.11%-0.10 +4.6 32
1995-10-28 @ Degerfors L 2-372.5 1700 1626 34.11% 37.76% 28.13%+0.10 -4.6 28
1995-10-28 Halmstad L 0-357.1 1669 1693 35.04% 37.67% 27.29%+0.12 -14.2 38
1995-10-28 @ Djurgarden W 3-057.1 1693 1669 27.29% 37.67% 35.04%-0.12 +14.2 41
1995-10-28 Trelleborg W 2-051.1 1785 1661 54.82% 30.45% 14.73%+0.79 +4.8 46
1995-10-28 @ Goteborg L 0-251.1 1661 1785 14.73% 30.45% 54.82%-0.79 -4.8 31
1995-10-28 Hammarby L 3-572.4 1691 1615 48.66% 33.70% 17.63%+0.57 -9.0 42
1995-10-28 @ Helsingborg W 5-372.4 1615 1691 17.63% 33.70% 48.66%-0.57 +9.0 26
1995-10-28 Orgryte D 1-168.3 1706 1647 46.37% 34.71% 18.92%+0.49 -0.8 39
1995-10-28 @ Malmo D 1-168.3 1647 1706 18.92% 34.71% 46.37%-0.49 +0.8 35
1995-10-28 Norrkoping W 5-158.0 1627 1657 34.25% 37.75% 28.01%+0.10 +13.4 25
1995-10-28 @ Vastra Frolunda L 1-558.0 1657 1627 28.01% 37.75% 34.25%-0.10 -13.4 28

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1995-07-30 16.50% Orgryte 1622 1 @ Orebro 1716 0
2 1995-06-14 17.02% Vastra Frolunda 1652 3 @ Norrkoping 1738 0
3 1995-10-28 17.63% Hammarby 1615 5 @ Helsingborg 1691 3
4 1995-06-28 19.03% Helsingborg 1662 3 @ Norrkoping 1719 0
5 1995-08-27 19.04% Orgryte 1630 1 @ Helsingborg 1687 0
6 1995-08-21 19.17% Orgryte 1620 3 @ Djurgarden 1676 1
7 1995-09-24 19.25% Trelleborg 1645 2 @ Halmstad 1699 1
8 1995-04-15 19.46% Halmstad 1679 1 @ Goteborg 1730 0
9 1995-10-15 20.25% Hammarby 1599 6 @ Vastra Frolunda 1642 2
10 1995-04-09 20.59% AIK Stockholm 1664 2 @ Oster 1703 0
11 1995-09-09 20.66% @ Vastra Frolunda 1641 3 Goteborg 1783 0
12 1995-05-15 20.84% Degerfors 1638 2 @ AIK Stockholm 1674 1
13 1995-10-23 21.09% Degerfors 1620 1 @ Orgryte 1653 0
14 1995-10-15 21.66% Orgryte 1642 2 @ Norrkoping 1669 0
15 1995-05-27 21.74% Orgryte 1633 1 @ Vastra Frolunda 1658 0
16 1995-05-21 21.83% Malmo 1706 1 @ Norrkoping 1731 0
17 1995-09-23 21.93% Norrkoping 1676 3 @ Malmo 1699 1
18 1995-05-01 22.13% Helsingborg 1632 1 @ Orgryte 1654 0
19 1995-09-10 22.54% Helsingborg 1691 1 @ Malmo 1708 0
20 1995-09-23 22.89% @ Degerfors 1611 2 Orebro 1729 1
21 1995-06-14 23.10% Djurgarden 1665 2 @ Halmstad 1677 1
22 1995-08-07 23.76% Helsingborg 1678 3 @ Djurgarden 1684 1
23 1995-07-30 23.98% Djurgarden 1679 3 @ Helsingborg 1683 2
24 1995-10-08 24.40% Malmo 1690 2 @ Djurgarden 1690 0
25 1995-10-02 24.63% Vastra Frolunda 1645 2 @ Orgryte 1643 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1995-08-13 21.91 Goteborg 5 1750 29.49% @ Norrkoping 0 1710 32.66% 37.85%
2 1995-08-13 18.76 @ Orebro 5 1709 36.85% Malmo 0 1720 25.72% 37.43%
3 1995-06-14 18.13 Vastra Frolunda 3 1652 17.02% @ Norrkoping 0 1738 49.85% 33.14%
4 1995-06-28 17.18 Helsingborg 3 1662 19.03% @ Norrkoping 0 1719 46.18% 34.79%
5 1995-05-21 16.82 @ Trelleborg 4 1647 32.24% Halmstad 0 1691 29.89% 37.87%
6 1995-09-09 16.51 @ Vastra Frolunda 3 1641 20.66% Goteborg 0 1783 43.59% 35.75%
7 1995-10-08 16.33 @ Trelleborg 4 1651 33.63% Norrkoping 0 1685 28.57% 37.80%
8 1995-10-15 15.39 Hammarby 6 1599 20.25% @ Vastra Frolunda 2 1642 44.21% 35.54%
9 1995-10-28 14.24 Halmstad 3 1693 27.29% @ Djurgarden 0 1669 35.04% 37.67%
10 1995-06-19 14.11 @ Helsingborg 3 1648 27.70% Orebro 0 1725 34.59% 37.72%
11 1995-04-09 13.82 Malmo 3 1694 28.73% @ Degerfors 0 1659 33.46% 37.81%
12 1995-08-13 13.44 @ Oster 4 1690 41.97% Vastra Frolunda 0 1665 21.76% 36.27%
13 1995-10-28 13.43 @ Vastra Frolunda 5 1627 34.25% Norrkoping 1 1657 28.01% 37.75%
14 1995-10-02 12.58 Goteborg 3 1768 33.34% @ Helsingborg 0 1700 28.85% 37.82%
15 1995-05-28 12.08 Norrkoping 3 1725 35.22% @ Degerfors 0 1644 27.13% 37.65%
16 1995-10-02 12.02 Halmstad 3 1694 35.43% @ Hammarby 0 1611 26.94% 37.63%
17 1995-10-15 11.90 @ Helsingborg 3 1688 35.93% Halmstad 0 1706 26.50% 37.57%
18 1995-04-09 11.38 AIK Stockholm 2 1664 20.59% @ Oster 0 1703 43.68% 35.72%
19 1995-08-28 11.26 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1656 38.30% Trelleborg 0 1657 24.52% 37.18%
20 1995-07-29 11.18 @ Halmstad 3 1669 38.62% AIK Stockholm 0 1668 24.27% 37.11%
21 1995-10-15 11.10 Orgryte 2 1642 21.66% @ Norrkoping 0 1669 42.12% 36.23%
22 1995-08-05 10.82 Goteborg 3 1740 39.96% @ Degerfors 0 1625 23.23% 36.81%
23 1995-10-08 10.43 Malmo 2 1690 24.40% @ Djurgarden 0 1690 38.46% 37.15%
24 1995-06-28 10.42 @ Oster 3 1694 41.50% Halmstad 0 1672 22.10% 36.41%
25 1995-08-21 10.21 Orgryte 3 1620 19.17% @ Djurgarden 1 1676 45.96% 34.88%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1995-05-01 80.0 @ Orebro 4 1726 47.66% Vastra Frolunda 4 1658 18.18% 34.16%
2 1995-09-17 78.0 @ Helsingborg 3 1696 49.99% Degerfors 3 1610 16.95% 33.07%
3 1995-05-08 76.8 @ Degerfors 3 1638 31.83% Halmstad 3 1685 30.29% 37.88%
4 1995-04-17 74.7 @ Norrkoping 2 1723 49.54% Trelleborg 2 1640 17.17% 33.29%
5 1995-05-22 74.7 @ Orebro 2 1725 49.37% Degerfors 2 1644 17.26% 33.37%
6 1995-10-23 74.7 @ Hammarby 2 1615 18.27% Goteborg 2 1786 47.50% 34.23%
7 1995-05-28 74.1 @ Malmo 2 1712 42.70% AIK Stockholm 2 1681 21.26% 36.05%
8 1995-07-30 74.1 Djurgarden 3 1679 23.98% @ Helsingborg 2 1683 38.99% 37.03%
9 1995-06-14 74.0 @ Oster 2 1695 46.92% Degerfors 2 1632 18.60% 34.48%
10 1995-08-05 73.9 Norrkoping 3 1705 25.51% @ Oster 2 1695 37.09% 37.39%
11 1995-05-18 73.8 @ Oster 2 1696 34.39% Orebro 2 1725 27.87% 37.74%
12 1995-08-31 73.8 @ Oster 2 1699 37.17% Malmo 2 1708 25.45% 37.38%
13 1995-08-20 73.7 @ Halmstad 2 1689 36.39% Oster 2 1704 26.11% 37.50%
14 1995-05-01 73.6 @ Halmstad 2 1685 35.29% Malmo 2 1707 27.07% 37.65%
15 1995-06-20 73.6 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1672 31.66% Norrkoping 2 1719 30.45% 37.88%
16 1995-06-29 73.5 @ Trelleborg 2 1654 28.45% Goteborg 2 1725 33.76% 37.79%
17 1995-10-07 73.4 @ Hammarby 2 1599 22.24% Orebro 2 1724 41.29% 36.46%
18 1995-08-03 73.2 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1656 35.10% Halmstad 2 1680 27.24% 37.67%
19 1995-05-09 73.1 @ Vastra Frolunda 2 1658 38.03% Djurgarden 2 1661 24.74% 37.23%
20 1995-05-13 73.1 @ Hammarby 2 1637 30.03% Oster 2 1696 32.09% 37.87%
21 1995-06-25 72.9 @ Trelleborg 2 1654 41.44% Degerfors 2 1633 22.13% 36.42%
22 1995-05-18 72.7 @ Degerfors 2 1644 38.01% Helsingborg 2 1647 24.76% 37.23%
23 1995-10-28 72.5 @ Degerfors 3 1626 28.13% Oster 2 1700 34.11% 37.76%
24 1995-10-28 72.4 Hammarby 5 1615 17.63% @ Helsingborg 3 1691 48.66% 33.70%
25 1995-09-24 72.0 Helsingborg 3 1696 30.27% @ Vastra Frolunda 2 1649 31.86% 37.88%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1995-07-30 49.8 @ Goteborg 3 1732 51.68% Degerfors 0 1633 16.12% 32.20%
2 1995-05-08 50.8 @ Goteborg 3 1724 48.67% Orgryte 0 1649 17.63% 33.70%
3 1995-10-28 51.1 @ Goteborg 2 1785 54.82% Trelleborg 0 1661 14.73% 30.45%
4 1995-06-20 52.0 @ Goteborg 2 1723 49.94% Hammarby 0 1638 16.97% 33.09%
5 1995-09-25 52.1 @ Djurgarden 2 1684 47.50% Hammarby 0 1617 18.27% 34.23%
6 1995-10-16 52.1 @ Goteborg 2 1780 51.85% Djurgarden 0 1680 16.04% 32.11%
7 1995-06-14 52.7 @ Orebro 3 1715 43.00% AIK Stockholm 0 1682 21.05% 35.95%
8 1995-08-13 52.7 @ Oster 4 1690 41.97% Vastra Frolunda 0 1665 21.76% 36.27%
9 1995-05-15 52.8 @ Norrkoping 2 1735 48.34% Djurgarden 0 1661 17.81% 33.85%
10 1995-06-28 52.9 @ Oster 3 1694 41.50% Halmstad 0 1672 22.10% 36.41%
11 1995-08-28 53.3 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1656 38.30% Trelleborg 0 1657 24.52% 37.18%
12 1995-07-02 53.4 @ Halmstad 2 1662 42.92% Orgryte 0 1629 21.11% 35.98%
13 1995-08-05 53.4 Goteborg 3 1740 39.96% @ Degerfors 0 1625 23.23% 36.81%
14 1995-10-14 53.4 @ Orebro 2 1723 46.02% Trelleborg 0 1667 19.13% 34.85%
15 1995-07-29 53.5 @ Halmstad 3 1669 38.62% AIK Stockholm 0 1668 24.27% 37.11%
16 1995-08-31 54.1 @ Halmstad 5 1685 47.95% Degerfors 1 1615 18.02% 34.03%
17 1995-10-02 54.1 Halmstad 3 1694 35.43% @ Hammarby 0 1611 26.94% 37.63%
18 1995-05-01 54.5 @ Djurgarden 2 1653 39.48% Degerfors 0 1646 23.59% 36.92%
19 1995-05-28 54.8 Norrkoping 3 1725 35.22% @ Degerfors 0 1644 27.13% 37.65%
20 1995-10-15 54.8 @ Helsingborg 3 1688 35.93% Halmstad 0 1706 26.50% 37.57%
21 1995-07-05 55.0 @ Goteborg 2 1725 41.53% Norrkoping 0 1702 22.07% 36.40%
22 1995-10-08 55.0 @ Trelleborg 4 1651 33.63% Norrkoping 0 1685 28.57% 37.80%
23 1995-05-21 55.4 @ Trelleborg 4 1647 32.24% Halmstad 0 1691 29.89% 37.87%
24 1995-08-13 55.6 @ Orebro 5 1709 36.85% Malmo 0 1720 25.72% 37.43%
25 1995-08-20 55.6 @ Malmo 1 1701 48.23% Hammarby 0 1629 17.87% 33.90%