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1996 Allsvenskan Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Goteborg

56 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Goteborg

8.87 points above expected

56 points · 47.13 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Oddevold

9.57 points below expected

19 points · 28.57 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Goteborg 26 17 5 4 56 61 23 +38 47.13 +8.87
2 Malmo 26 13 7 6 46 33 26 +7 38.33 +7.67
3 Helsingborg 26 13 5 8 44 39 26 +13 41.87 +2.13
4 AIK Stockholm 26 12 7 7 43 36 23 +13 37.78 +5.22
5 Orebro 26 13 3 10 42 34 29 +5 38.08 +3.92
6 Oster 26 10 6 10 36 37 39 -2 37.88 -1.88
7 Halmstad 26 9 8 9 35 34 37 -3 39.07 -4.07
8 Norrkoping 26 9 7 10 34 31 29 +2 37.29 -3.29
9 Degerfors 26 9 7 10 34 34 41 -7 31.85 +2.15
10 Orgryte 26 8 7 11 31 27 30 -3 36.50 -5.50
11 Umea 26 8 6 12 30 35 45 -10 27.77 +2.23
12 Trelleborg 26 9 3 14 30 33 48 -15 31.92 -1.92
13 Djurgarden 26 8 3 15 27 28 43 -15 33.33 -6.33
14 Oddevold 26 5 4 17 19 20 43 -23 28.57 -9.57

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Goteborg 56 47.13 +8.87
2 Malmo 46 38.33 +7.67
3 AIK Stockholm 43 37.78 +5.22
4 Orebro 42 38.08 +3.92
5 Umea 30 27.77 +2.23

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Oddevold 19 28.57 -9.57
2 Djurgarden 27 33.33 -6.33
3 Orgryte 31 36.50 -5.50
4 Halmstad 35 39.07 -4.07
5 Norrkoping 34 37.29 -3.29

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Helsingborg 5 Apr 21 – May 12 1 in 50
2 Orgryte 4 Jun 20 – Aug 5 1 in 40
3 AIK Stockholm 4 Aug 5 – Aug 25 1 in 35
4 Orebro 4 Oct 3 – Oct 26 1 in 25
5 Goteborg 5 Sep 30 – Oct 26 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 AIK Stockholm 5 May 2 – May 27 1 in 169
2 Oddevold 7 Sep 15 – Oct 26 1 in 117
3 Degerfors 4 Apr 28 – May 19 1 in 27
4 Trelleborg 4 Apr 21 – May 5 1 in 23
5 Helsingborg 2 Aug 11 – Aug 17 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Norrkoping 8 Apr 29 – Jun 12 1 in 75
2 AIK Stockholm 8 Sep 15 – Oct 26 1 in 29
3 Helsingborg 8 Apr 21 – Jun 5 1 in 22
4 Degerfors 6 Jun 29 – Aug 25 1 in 20
5 Goteborg 9 Apr 21 – Jun 10 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Oddevold 13 May 13 – Aug 25 1 in 93
2 Orgryte 7 Sep 16 – Oct 26 1 in 36
3 Helsingborg 6 Jun 29 – Sep 4 1 in 30
4 Orebro 5 Apr 21 – May 13 1 in 22
5 Halmstad 6 Aug 17 – Sep 21 1 in 18

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Goteborg 1806 56 +60 15 9.1 +5.9
Malmo 1684 46 +23 13 8.4 +4.6
Helsingborg 1693 44 +0 9 7.8 +1.2
AIK Stockholm 1725 43 +23 11 7.8 +3.2
Orebro 1700 42 +15 12 8.1 +3.9
Oster 1645 36 -3 6 6.2 -0.2
Halmstad 1645 35 -10 4 7.0 -3.0
Degerfors 1617 34 -5 4 6.3 -2.3
Norrkoping 1636 34 -31 1 6.5 -5.5
Orgryte 1612 31 -35 2 6.8 -4.8
Umea 1584 30 +37 10 6.2 +3.8
Trelleborg 1586 30 -32 3 5.5 -2.5
Djurgarden 1583 27 -4 9 6.9 +2.1
Oddevold 1510 19 -37 0 4.9 -4.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS DEG DJU GOT HAL HEL MAL NOR ODD ORE ORG OST TRE UME
AIK Stockholm —
0-2-0
3.16
2-0-0
3.00
2-0-0
1.78
0-1-1
2.72
1-0-1
2.60
1-0-1
2.69
2-0-0
2.94
1-1-0
3.32
1-0-1
2.81
1-1-0
2.83
0-1-1
3.07
1-0-1
3.20
0-1-1
3.50
Degerfors
0-2-0
2.39
—
0-0-2
2.79
0-0-2
2.03
0-1-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.22
1-0-1
2.28
1-1-0
2.36
1-1-0
3.15
1-0-1
2.28
1-1-0
2.44
1-0-1
2.34
1-0-1
2.79
1-1-0
2.99
Djurgarden
0-0-2
2.55
2-0-0
2.76
—
0-0-2
1.90
0-1-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.13
0-0-2
2.42
0-1-1
2.66
2-0-0
3.03
1-0-1
2.58
1-0-1
2.41
0-0-2
2.48
1-0-1
2.78
0-1-1
3.12
Goteborg
0-0-2
3.81
2-0-0
3.55
2-0-0
3.68
—
2-0-0
3.61
1-1-0
3.20
1-1-0
3.32
1-0-1
3.72
2-0-0
3.84
0-1-1
3.51
2-0-0
3.56
1-1-0
3.53
2-0-0
3.89
1-1-0
4.04
Halmstad
1-1-0
2.86
1-1-0
3.15
1-1-0
3.06
0-0-2
1.96
—
1-1-0
2.63
0-0-2
2.76
0-1-1
2.97
2-0-0
3.39
1-0-1
2.73
0-1-1
2.97
0-1-1
3.03
1-1-0
3.38
1-0-1
3.64
Helsingborg
1-0-1
2.98
1-0-1
3.35
1-0-1
3.43
0-1-1
2.36
0-1-1
2.93
—
0-1-1
2.99
1-1-0
3.02
2-0-0
3.89
1-0-1
3.10
2-0-0
3.18
2-0-0
2.93
0-1-1
3.52
2-0-0
3.43
Malmo
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
3.28
2-0-0
3.15
0-1-1
2.25
2-0-0
2.80
1-1-0
2.58
—
1-1-0
2.83
1-1-0
3.78
1-0-1
2.83
0-1-1
2.95
0-1-1
2.99
1-1-0
3.29
2-0-0
3.55
Norrkoping
0-0-2
2.60
0-1-1
3.19
1-1-0
2.91
1-0-1
1.86
1-1-0
2.59
0-1-1
2.54
0-1-1
2.73
—
1-1-0
3.44
1-0-1
2.69
1-1-0
2.75
1-0-1
2.69
2-0-0
2.97
0-0-2
3.39
Oddevold
0-1-1
2.24
0-1-1
2.40
0-0-2
2.53
0-0-2
1.76
0-0-2
2.19
0-0-2
1.70
0-1-1
1.80
0-1-1
2.13
—
0-0-2
2.12
1-0-1
2.25
2-0-0
2.11
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.75
Orebro
1-0-1
2.75
1-0-1
3.28
1-0-1
2.99
1-1-0
2.06
1-0-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.46
1-0-1
2.72
1-0-1
2.87
2-0-0
3.44
—
0-1-1
2.97
1-0-1
2.64
2-0-0
3.33
0-1-1
3.45
Orgryte
0-1-1
2.74
0-1-1
3.13
1-0-1
3.15
0-0-2
2.02
1-1-0
2.58
0-0-2
2.39
1-1-0
2.62
0-1-1
2.80
1-0-1
3.33
1-1-0
2.59
—
1-1-0
2.66
0-0-2
3.11
2-0-0
3.48
Oster
1-1-0
2.48
1-0-1
3.22
2-0-0
3.08
0-1-1
2.05
1-1-0
2.53
0-0-2
2.63
1-1-0
2.56
1-0-1
2.87
0-0-2
3.46
1-0-1
2.92
0-1-1
2.90
—
1-0-1
3.17
1-1-0
3.35
Trelleborg
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
2.77
1-0-1
2.78
0-0-2
1.70
0-1-1
2.19
1-1-0
2.05
0-1-1
2.28
0-0-2
2.58
1-0-1
3.13
0-0-2
2.22
2-0-0
2.46
1-0-1
2.39
—
1-0-1
3.13
Umea
1-1-0
2.09
0-1-1
2.57
1-1-0
2.44
0-1-1
1.56
1-0-1
1.94
0-0-2
2.14
0-0-2
2.02
2-0-0
2.17
1-0-1
2.82
1-1-0
2.12
0-0-2
2.09
0-1-1
2.22
1-0-1
2.42
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.71 +8.7
Allowed 0.64 -8.5
Differential 0.91 +5.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%8.79%6.87%4.12%1.37%0.55%29.40%
18.79%9.89%6.59%6.04%1.37%0.55%33.24%
26.87%6.59%3.85%2.20%0.27%0.27%20.05%
34.12%6.04%2.20%—0.27%—12.64%
41.37%1.37%0.27%0.27%——3.30%
5+0.55%0.55%0.27%———1.37%
Total29.40%33.24%20.05%12.64%3.30%1.37%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.32 +0.00
SD 1.23 1.23 1.89
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%7.69%———26.92%
119.23%11.54%————30.77%
27.69%7.69%3.85%11.54%——30.77%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
4———————
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total46.15%30.77%11.54%11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 0.88 +0.50
SD 1.33 1.03 1.68
CV 0.96 1.17 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%—7.69%3.85%——23.08%
111.54%11.54%7.69%7.69%3.85%—42.31%
2—3.85%3.85%3.85%—3.85%15.38%
33.85%15.38%————19.23%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.92%30.77%19.23%15.38%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.58 -0.27
SD 1.05 1.60 1.89
CV 0.80 1.02 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—15.38%11.54%11.54%3.85%—42.31%
13.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%——23.08%
23.85%11.54%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
3—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total11.54%38.46%26.92%19.23%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.65 -0.58
SD 1.16 1.06 1.86
CV 1.08 0.64 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%3.85%——3.85%23.08%
111.54%11.54%————23.08%
211.54%—————11.54%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
47.69%7.69%—3.85%——19.23%
5+3.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
Total46.15%38.46%7.69%3.85%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.35 0.88 +1.46
SD 2.08 1.31 2.52
CV 0.89 1.48 —
Max 7 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%——3.85%3.85%—23.08%
115.38%7.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%—42.31%
2—3.85%7.69%3.85%——15.38%
311.54%—3.85%—3.85%—19.23%
4———————
5+———————
Total42.31%11.54%19.23%15.38%11.54%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.42 -0.12
SD 1.05 1.47 1.77
CV 0.80 1.04 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%————11.54%
115.38%11.54%15.38%3.85%3.85%—50.00%
211.54%7.69%3.85%———23.08%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+———————
Total38.46%34.62%19.23%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.00 +0.50
SD 1.07 1.06 1.66
CV 0.71 1.06 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%7.69%7.69%——30.77%
111.54%11.54%—3.85%——26.92%
215.38%11.54%3.85%———30.77%
3—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total38.46%34.62%15.38%11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.00 +0.27
SD 1.12 1.02 1.61
CV 0.88 1.02 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%15.38%7.69%———38.46%
13.85%7.69%3.85%7.69%——23.08%
27.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
3—11.54%————11.54%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total26.92%46.15%15.38%11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.12 +0.08
SD 1.20 0.95 1.47
CV 1.01 0.85 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%19.23%7.69%——46.15%
13.85%11.54%7.69%11.54%—3.85%38.46%
2—7.69%————7.69%
37.69%—————7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%34.62%26.92%19.23%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.65 -0.88
SD 0.91 1.20 1.70
CV 1.18 0.72 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%7.69%3.85%——26.92%
17.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%—30.77%
215.38%11.54%————26.92%
33.85%11.54%————15.38%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.77%42.31%15.38%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.12 +0.19
SD 1.05 1.07 1.74
CV 0.80 0.96 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%7.69%11.54%—3.85%—42.31%
13.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%—26.92%
27.69%3.85%—3.85%——15.38%
311.54%3.85%————15.38%
4———————
5+———————
Total42.31%23.08%19.23%7.69%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.15 -0.12
SD 1.11 1.29 1.86
CV 1.07 1.12 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%7.69%——23.08%
17.69%7.69%11.54%3.85%—3.85%34.62%
23.85%3.85%11.54%———19.23%
37.69%7.69%7.69%———23.08%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%26.92%34.62%11.54%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.50 -0.08
SD 1.10 1.21 1.81
CV 0.77 0.81 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—19.23%3.85%3.85%—3.85%30.77%
13.85%7.69%—19.23%——30.77%
23.85%7.69%3.85%—3.85%—19.23%
3—11.54%7.69%———19.23%
4———————
5+———————
Total7.69%46.15%15.38%23.08%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.85 -0.58
SD 1.12 1.35 1.90
CV 0.88 0.73 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%7.69%7.69%—23.08%
13.85%15.38%15.38%7.69%——42.31%
27.69%3.85%7.69%———19.23%
3—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
43.85%—3.85%———7.69%
5+———————
Total15.38%26.92%34.62%15.38%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.73 -0.38
SD 1.16 1.15 1.98
CV 0.86 0.66 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Goteborg 1806 56 47.13 +8.87 96.0% 33 36 43 48 51 56 59
AIK Stockholm 1725 43 37.78 +5.22 81.0% 26 27 33 36 42 49 59
Orebro 1700 42 38.08 +3.92 72.0% 24 27 33 38 43 49 56
Helsingborg 1693 44 41.87 +2.13 62.0% 29 29 37 42 46 53 58
Malmo 1684 46 38.33 +7.67 91.0% 22 24 34 39 42 47 55
Oster 1645 36 37.88 -1.88 42.0% 24 28 33 38 41 49 55
Halmstad 1645 35 39.07 -4.07 25.0% 18 27 35 39 43 49 55
Norrkoping 1636 34 37.29 -3.29 35.0% 24 27 32 37 40 50 61
Degerfors 1617 34 31.85 +2.15 66.0% 17 20 26 32 36 45 56
Orgryte 1612 31 36.50 -5.50 19.0% 22 28 32 36 41 47 52
Trelleborg 1586 30 31.92 -1.92 39.0% 18 20 27 32 36 42 47
Umea 1584 30 27.77 +2.23 64.0% 14 17 23 28 32 38 43
Djurgarden 1583 27 33.33 -6.33 19.0% 18 24 28 33 37 43 52
Oddevold 1510 19 28.57 -9.57 6.0% 14 19 24 29 32 39 43

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+23.63%
Strong Edge
51.10%21.43%27.47%
Elo Value
Home Edge
149 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
083.67400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.53 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.56+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.9
Top-Heavy
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
46%
Goteborg, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.38/gm
Runaway
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.21 * Some Luck: 5.21 to 7.82 * Lucky: 7.82 to 10.43 * Wild Swing: 10.43 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.27 * Close: 2.27 to 3.4 * Off: 3.4 to 4.53 * Way Off: 4.53 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.28 points
Some Luck
06.5216
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.57
Pinpoint
02.836
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
96.00%
Goteborg
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
6.00%
Oddevold
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Balanced
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 73.60
1.36
Coin-Flip Parity
0.951.41.652.75
Interquartile Edge
64%
Slight Edge
50%63%71.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
85%
Clear Edge
50%82%100%
Close Games
Expected
57%
Some Drama
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Occasional
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.30
Very Even
00.30.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.73
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.78
Near-Lock
00.380.530.691
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
As Expected
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.86
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.26
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.040
Well Within Noise
00.1130.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Goteborg46.00%20.00%11.00%9.00%3.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%—1.00%————
Malmo5.00%9.00%10.00%13.00%16.00%5.00%10.00%8.00%11.00%2.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%
Helsingborg17.00%15.00%13.00%10.00%12.00%7.00%7.00%3.00%3.00%3.00%3.00%5.00%2.00%—
AIK Stockholm5.00%7.00%12.00%8.00%7.00%7.00%11.00%12.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%7.00%3.00%1.00%
Orebro3.00%9.00%13.00%10.00%9.00%10.00%8.00%7.00%4.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%4.00%3.00%
Oster5.00%7.00%8.00%10.00%7.00%14.00%8.00%8.00%10.00%8.00%8.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%
Halmstad5.00%13.00%11.00%12.00%9.00%7.00%13.00%6.00%5.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%
Norrkoping6.00%7.00%5.00%9.00%7.00%15.00%9.00%9.00%9.00%8.00%7.00%6.00%1.00%2.00%
Degerfors4.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%3.00%3.00%8.00%9.00%9.00%6.00%10.00%14.00%13.00%13.00%
Orgryte3.00%6.00%7.00%6.00%11.00%9.00%6.00%9.00%12.00%13.00%6.00%7.00%5.00%—
Umea——1.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%6.00%4.00%6.00%12.00%6.00%12.00%21.00%28.00%
Trelleborg—1.00%2.00%5.00%3.00%8.00%6.00%8.00%7.00%8.00%18.00%3.00%17.00%14.00%
Djurgarden1.00%4.00%3.00%3.00%6.00%7.00%3.00%13.00%9.00%10.00%11.00%14.00%8.00%8.00%
Oddevold——1.00%1.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%5.00%9.00%15.00%16.00%16.00%26.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Goteborg 100% — —
Helsingborg 90.00% 8.00% 2.00%
Norrkoping 84.00% 13.00% 3.00%
Oster 85.00% 12.00% 3.00%
AIK Stockholm 84.00% 12.00% 4.00%
Orgryte 82.00% 13.00% 5.00%
Halmstad 86.00% 8.00% 6.00%
Malmo 89.00% 5.00% 6.00%
Orebro 83.00% 10.00% 7.00%
Djurgarden 59.00% 25.00% 16.00%
Degerfors 50.00% 24.00% 26.00%
Trelleborg 48.00% 21.00% 31.00%
Oddevold 27.00% 31.00% 42.00%
Umea 33.00% 18.00% 49.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1996-04-21 Degerfors D 1-172.3 1646 1624 53.26% 21.76% 24.99%+0.71 -1.0 1
1996-04-21 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-172.3 1624 1646 24.99% 21.76% 53.26%-0.71 +1.0 1
1996-04-21 Malmo D 0-069.0 1718 1666 56.78% 21.18% 22.04%+0.91 -1.4 1
1996-04-21 @ Goteborg D 0-069.0 1666 1718 22.04% 21.18% 56.78%-0.91 +1.4 1
1996-04-21 Djurgarden W 1-055.0 1667 1637 54.20% 21.62% 24.18%+0.76 +4.4 3
1996-04-21 @ Halmstad L 0-155.0 1637 1667 24.18% 21.62% 54.20%-0.76 -4.4 0
1996-04-21 Oster W 2-053.2 1652 1663 49.06% 22.25% 28.69%+0.49 +9.7 3
1996-04-21 @ Helsingborg L 0-253.2 1663 1652 28.69% 22.25% 49.06%-0.49 -9.7 0
1996-04-21 Umea L 0-163.0 1631 1585 56.07% 21.31% 22.62%+0.87 -8.9 0
1996-04-21 @ Norrkoping W 1-063.0 1585 1631 22.62% 21.31% 56.07%-0.87 +8.9 3
1996-04-21 Trelleborg W 3-051.4 1585 1639 43.27% 22.64% 34.09%+0.20 +16.3 3
1996-04-21 @ Oddevold L 0-351.4 1639 1585 34.09% 22.64% 43.27%-0.20 -16.3 0
1996-04-21 Orgryte L 0-164.6 1680 1633 56.15% 21.30% 22.55%+0.87 -8.9 0
1996-04-21 @ Orebro W 1-064.6 1633 1680 22.55% 21.30% 56.15%-0.87 +8.9 3
1996-04-28 Goteborg L 2-757.9 1625 1716 37.90% 22.73% 39.37%-0.05 -19.7 1
1996-04-28 @ Degerfors W 7-257.9 1716 1625 39.37% 22.73% 37.90%+0.05 +19.7 4
1996-04-28 Orebro W 2-053.2 1667 1671 49.98% 22.16% 27.86%+0.54 +9.5 4
1996-04-28 @ Malmo L 0-253.2 1671 1667 27.86% 22.16% 49.98%-0.54 -9.5 0
1996-04-28 Helsingborg L 0-256.3 1594 1662 41.21% 22.70% 36.08%+0.10 -13.0 3
1996-04-28 @ Umea W 2-056.3 1662 1594 36.08% 22.70% 41.21%-0.10 +13.0 6
1996-04-29 Norrkoping D 1-172.0 1633 1622 51.83% 21.95% 26.22%+0.64 -0.9 1
1996-04-29 @ Djurgarden D 1-172.0 1622 1633 26.22% 21.95% 51.83%-0.64 +0.9 1
1996-04-29 Halmstad D 0-067.9 1642 1672 46.58% 22.46% 30.96%+0.36 -0.6 4
1996-04-29 @ Orgryte D 0-067.9 1672 1642 30.96% 22.46% 46.58%-0.36 +0.6 4
1996-04-29 Oddevold L 0-163.9 1653 1601 56.80% 21.18% 22.02%+0.91 -9.0 0
1996-04-29 @ Oster W 1-063.9 1601 1653 22.02% 21.18% 56.80%-0.91 +9.0 6
1996-04-29 AIK Stockholm L 0-161.7 1622 1645 47.43% 22.40% 30.18%+0.41 -7.7 0
1996-04-29 @ Trelleborg W 1-061.7 1645 1622 30.18% 22.40% 47.43%-0.41 +7.7 4
1996-05-01 Degerfors W 4-152.9 1675 1605 58.82% 20.78% 20.40%+1.03 +8.8 9
1996-05-01 @ Helsingborg L 1-452.9 1605 1675 20.40% 20.78% 58.82%-1.03 -8.8 1
1996-05-01 Umea D 1-172.2 1661 1581 60.00% 20.52% 19.48%+1.10 -1.5 1
1996-05-01 @ Orebro D 1-172.2 1581 1661 19.48% 20.52% 60.00%-1.10 +1.5 4
1996-05-02 Malmo L 0-162.5 1653 1677 47.33% 22.40% 30.26%+0.40 -7.7 4
1996-05-02 @ AIK Stockholm W 1-062.5 1677 1653 30.26% 22.40% 47.33%-0.40 +7.7 7
1996-05-02 Oster D 2-279.0 1672 1644 53.95% 21.66% 24.40%+0.75 -0.8 5
1996-05-02 @ Halmstad D 2-279.0 1644 1672 24.40% 21.66% 53.95%-0.75 +0.8 1
1996-05-02 Trelleborg W 3-157.3 1623 1615 51.49% 21.99% 26.52%+0.62 +7.9 4
1996-05-02 @ Norrkoping L 1-357.3 1615 1623 26.52% 21.99% 51.49%-0.62 -7.9 0
1996-05-02 Goteborg L 0-255.0 1610 1736 33.18% 22.60% 44.22%-0.28 -11.0 6
1996-05-02 @ Oddevold W 2-055.0 1736 1610 44.22% 22.60% 33.18%+0.28 +11.0 7
1996-05-02 Djurgarden W 3-049.8 1642 1632 51.70% 21.96% 26.33%+0.63 +13.1 7
1996-05-02 @ Orgryte L 0-349.8 1632 1642 26.33% 21.96% 51.70%-0.63 -13.1 1
1996-05-05 Oster L 2-373.9 1645 1645 50.47% 22.11% 27.42%+0.56 -7.3 4
1996-05-05 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-273.9 1645 1645 27.42% 22.11% 50.47%-0.56 +7.3 4
1996-05-05 Trelleborg W 1-051.9 1747 1607 66.11% 18.87% 15.02%+1.51 +2.8 10
1996-05-05 @ Goteborg L 0-151.9 1607 1747 15.02% 18.87% 66.11%-1.51 -2.8 0
1996-05-05 Orebro W 1-056.0 1672 1660 51.92% 21.94% 26.15%+0.64 +4.8 8
1996-05-05 @ Halmstad L 0-156.0 1660 1672 26.15% 21.94% 51.92%-0.64 -4.8 1
1996-05-05 Djurgarden W 2-159.6 1684 1619 58.30% 20.89% 20.82%+1.00 +3.6 12
1996-05-05 @ Helsingborg L 1-259.6 1619 1684 20.82% 20.89% 58.30%-1.00 -3.7 1
1996-05-05 Orgryte W 2-053.4 1631 1655 47.28% 22.41% 30.32%+0.40 +10.2 7
1996-05-05 @ Norrkoping L 0-253.4 1655 1631 30.32% 22.41% 47.28%-0.40 -10.2 7
1996-05-05 Umea W 2-159.1 1599 1582 52.58% 21.85% 25.57%+0.68 +4.4 9
1996-05-05 @ Oddevold L 1-259.1 1582 1599 25.57% 21.85% 52.58%-0.68 -4.4 4
1996-05-12 Helsingborg L 0-258.3 1645 1687 44.74% 22.57% 32.68%+0.27 -13.9 7
1996-05-12 @ Orgryte W 2-058.3 1687 1645 32.68% 22.57% 44.74%-0.27 +13.9 15
1996-05-12 Degerfors W 3-156.6 1604 1596 51.38% 22.00% 26.61%+0.61 +7.9 3
1996-05-12 @ Trelleborg L 1-356.6 1596 1604 26.61% 22.00% 51.38%-0.61 -7.9 1
1996-05-12 AIK Stockholm W 2-053.6 1578 1638 42.36% 22.67% 34.96%+0.16 +11.4 7
1996-05-12 @ Umea L 0-253.6 1638 1578 34.96% 22.67% 42.36%-0.16 -11.4 4
1996-05-13 Oddevold W 2-160.2 1615 1604 51.88% 21.94% 26.18%+0.64 +4.5 4
1996-05-13 @ Djurgarden L 1-260.2 1604 1615 26.18% 21.94% 51.88%-0.64 -4.5 9
1996-05-13 Halmstad W 4-156.1 1684 1676 51.49% 21.99% 26.52%+0.62 +11.1 10
1996-05-13 @ Malmo L 1-456.1 1676 1684 26.52% 21.99% 51.49%-0.62 -11.1 8
1996-05-13 Norrkoping L 1-463.0 1655 1641 52.27% 21.89% 25.84%+0.66 -19.4 1
1996-05-13 @ Orebro W 4-163.0 1641 1655 25.84% 21.89% 52.27%-0.66 +19.4 10
1996-05-13 Goteborg D 1-173.4 1652 1750 37.04% 22.72% 40.24%-0.09 +0.1 5
1996-05-13 @ Oster D 1-173.4 1750 1652 40.24% 22.72% 37.04%+0.09 -0.1 11
1996-05-19 Djurgarden L 0-256.8 1589 1620 46.37% 22.47% 31.16%+0.35 -14.3 1
1996-05-19 @ Degerfors W 2-056.8 1620 1589 31.16% 22.47% 46.37%-0.35 +14.3 7
1996-05-19 Halmstad L 0-354.4 1599 1665 41.53% 22.70% 35.78%+0.12 -19.0 9
1996-05-19 @ Oddevold W 3-054.4 1665 1599 35.78% 22.70% 41.53%-0.12 +19.0 11
1996-05-19 Malmo W 1-058.3 1652 1696 44.71% 22.57% 32.72%+0.27 +5.8 8
1996-05-19 @ Oster L 0-158.3 1696 1652 32.72% 22.57% 44.71%-0.27 -5.7 10
1996-05-19 Umea W 3-156.1 1612 1589 53.25% 21.76% 24.99%+0.71 +7.5 6
1996-05-19 @ Trelleborg L 1-356.1 1589 1612 24.99% 21.76% 53.25%-0.71 -7.5 7
1996-05-20 Orebro L 0-258.6 1627 1636 49.26% 22.23% 28.51%+0.50 -15.0 4
1996-05-20 @ AIK Stockholm W 2-058.6 1636 1627 28.51% 22.23% 49.26%-0.50 +15.0 4
1996-05-20 Orgryte W 1-052.8 1750 1631 64.02% 19.50% 16.49%+1.36 +3.1 14
1996-05-20 @ Goteborg L 0-152.8 1631 1750 16.49% 19.50% 64.02%-1.36 -3.1 7
1996-05-20 Norrkoping D 2-279.6 1701 1660 55.53% 21.40% 23.07%+0.84 -0.9 16
1996-05-20 @ Helsingborg D 2-279.6 1660 1701 23.07% 21.40% 55.53%-0.84 +0.9 11
1996-05-27 Trelleborg W 1-054.8 1634 1619 52.30% 21.89% 25.81%+0.66 +4.7 10
1996-05-27 @ Djurgarden L 0-154.8 1619 1634 25.81% 21.89% 52.30%-0.66 -4.7 6
1996-05-27 AIK Stockholm W 3-264.5 1684 1612 59.13% 20.71% 20.16%+1.05 +3.4 14
1996-05-27 @ Halmstad L 2-364.5 1612 1684 20.16% 20.71% 59.13%-1.05 -3.3 4
1996-05-27 Helsingborg D 1-173.5 1690 1700 49.07% 22.25% 28.68%+0.49 -0.7 11
1996-05-27 @ Malmo D 1-173.5 1700 1690 28.68% 22.25% 49.07%-0.49 +0.7 17
1996-05-27 Oddevold D 1-172.2 1661 1580 60.03% 20.51% 19.45%+1.11 -1.5 12
1996-05-27 @ Norrkoping D 1-172.2 1580 1661 19.45% 20.51% 60.03%-1.11 +1.5 10
1996-05-27 Goteborg D 0-068.6 1651 1753 36.41% 22.71% 40.88%-0.12 +0.2 5
1996-05-27 @ Orebro D 0-068.6 1753 1651 40.88% 22.71% 36.41%+0.12 -0.2 15
1996-05-27 Degerfors D 0-066.4 1628 1574 56.95% 21.15% 21.90%+0.92 -1.4 8
1996-05-27 @ Orgryte D 0-066.4 1574 1628 21.90% 21.15% 56.95%-0.92 +1.4 2
1996-05-27 Oster D 1-171.5 1582 1658 40.06% 22.72% 37.22%+0.05 -0.1 8
1996-05-27 @ Umea D 1-171.5 1658 1582 37.22% 22.72% 40.06%-0.05 +0.1 9
1996-06-05 Djurgarden W 1-056.4 1608 1639 46.45% 22.47% 31.09%+0.36 +5.5 7
1996-06-05 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-156.4 1639 1608 31.09% 22.47% 46.45%-0.36 -5.5 10
1996-06-05 Oster W 2-164.3 1576 1658 39.15% 22.73% 38.12%+0.01 +6.1 5
1996-06-05 @ Degerfors L 1-264.3 1658 1576 38.12% 22.73% 39.15%-0.01 -6.1 9
1996-06-05 Umea W 4-045.0 1753 1582 68.93% 17.93% 13.15%+1.71 +8.7 18
1996-06-05 @ Goteborg L 0-445.0 1582 1753 13.15% 17.93% 68.93%-1.71 -8.7 8
1996-06-05 Orebro W 3-049.3 1701 1651 56.59% 21.22% 22.20%+0.90 +11.2 20
1996-06-05 @ Helsingborg L 0-349.3 1651 1701 22.20% 21.22% 56.59%-0.90 -11.2 5
1996-06-05 Halmstad D 0-068.3 1660 1687 46.77% 22.45% 30.78%+0.37 -0.6 13
1996-06-05 @ Norrkoping D 0-068.3 1687 1660 30.78% 22.45% 46.77%-0.37 +0.6 15
1996-06-05 Orgryte L 0-256.3 1582 1626 44.52% 22.58% 32.89%+0.26 -13.8 10
1996-06-05 @ Oddevold W 2-056.3 1626 1582 32.89% 22.58% 44.52%-0.26 +13.8 11
1996-06-05 Malmo D 1-172.5 1615 1689 40.29% 22.72% 36.99%+0.06 -0.1 7
1996-06-05 @ Trelleborg D 1-172.5 1689 1615 36.99% 22.72% 40.29%-0.06 +0.1 12
1996-06-09 Oddevold W 2-048.4 1640 1568 59.05% 20.73% 20.22%+1.05 +7.1 8
1996-06-09 @ Orebro L 0-248.4 1568 1640 20.22% 20.73% 59.05%-1.05 -7.1 10
1996-06-09 Degerfors D 2-275.8 1573 1582 49.32% 22.23% 28.45%+0.50 -0.5 9
1996-06-09 @ Umea D 2-275.8 1582 1573 28.45% 22.23% 49.32%-0.50 +0.6 6
1996-06-10 Goteborg L 0-158.7 1633 1761 32.85% 22.58% 44.56%-0.30 -5.8 10
1996-06-10 @ Djurgarden W 1-058.7 1761 1633 44.56% 22.58% 32.85%+0.30 +5.8 21
1996-06-10 AIK Stockholm D 1-172.1 1640 1614 53.74% 21.69% 24.57%+0.74 -1.1 12
1996-06-10 @ Orgryte D 1-172.1 1614 1640 24.57% 21.69% 53.74%-0.74 +1.1 8
1996-06-10 Trelleborg W 3-156.8 1652 1614 55.13% 21.47% 23.40%+0.82 +7.0 12
1996-06-10 @ Oster L 1-356.8 1614 1652 23.40% 21.47% 55.13%-0.82 -7.0 7
1996-06-12 Helsingborg W 1-058.0 1688 1712 47.26% 22.41% 30.33%+0.40 +5.4 18
1996-06-12 @ Halmstad L 0-158.0 1712 1688 30.33% 22.41% 47.26%-0.40 -5.4 20
1996-06-12 Norrkoping D 0-068.5 1689 1659 54.23% 21.61% 24.16%+0.77 -1.2 13
1996-06-12 @ Malmo D 0-068.5 1659 1689 24.16% 21.61% 54.23%-0.77 +1.2 14
1996-06-13 AIK Stockholm L 0-167.7 1767 1615 67.25% 18.50% 14.25%+1.59 -10.5 21
1996-06-13 @ Goteborg W 1-067.7 1615 1767 14.25% 18.50% 67.25%-1.59 +10.5 11
1996-06-15 Orebro W 1-057.5 1582 1647 41.73% 22.69% 35.57%+0.13 +6.1 9
1996-06-15 @ Degerfors L 0-157.5 1647 1582 35.57% 22.69% 41.73%-0.13 -6.1 8
1996-06-16 Djurgarden W 2-051.2 1659 1627 54.43% 21.58% 23.99%+0.78 +8.3 15
1996-06-16 @ Oster L 0-251.2 1627 1659 23.99% 21.58% 54.43%-0.78 -8.3 10
1996-06-16 Orgryte W 3-267.6 1607 1639 46.27% 22.48% 31.25%+0.35 +5.0 10
1996-06-16 @ Trelleborg L 2-367.6 1639 1607 31.25% 22.48% 46.27%-0.35 -5.0 12
1996-06-16 Malmo L 0-157.8 1573 1688 34.56% 22.66% 42.78%-0.21 -6.0 9
1996-06-16 @ Umea W 1-057.8 1688 1573 42.78% 22.66% 34.56%+0.21 +6.0 16
1996-06-17 Norrkoping W 1-057.2 1625 1660 45.83% 22.51% 31.67%+0.33 +5.6 14
1996-06-17 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-157.2 1660 1625 31.67% 22.51% 45.83%-0.33 -5.6 14
1996-06-17 Halmstad W 4-049.1 1757 1694 58.06% 20.94% 21.00%+0.99 +14.0 24
1996-06-17 @ Goteborg L 0-449.1 1694 1757 21.00% 20.94% 58.06%-0.99 -14.0 18
1996-06-17 Helsingborg L 0-156.6 1561 1707 30.56% 22.43% 47.01%-0.42 -5.4 10
1996-06-17 @ Oddevold W 1-056.6 1707 1561 47.01% 22.43% 30.56%+0.42 +5.4 23
1996-06-19 Orebro W 2-162.2 1619 1641 47.60% 22.38% 30.02%+0.42 +5.0 13
1996-06-19 @ Djurgarden L 1-262.2 1641 1619 30.02% 22.38% 47.60%-0.42 -5.0 8
1996-06-20 Oddevold W 1-051.7 1589 1555 54.57% 21.56% 23.87%+0.79 +4.4 12
1996-06-20 @ Degerfors L 0-151.7 1555 1589 23.87% 21.56% 54.57%-0.79 -4.4 10
1996-06-20 Orgryte L 0-261.7 1694 1634 57.71% 21.01% 21.28%+0.97 -17.3 16
1996-06-20 @ Malmo W 2-061.7 1634 1694 21.28% 21.01% 57.71%-0.97 +17.3 15
1996-06-20 Norrkoping W 1-055.8 1668 1655 52.10% 21.91% 25.99%+0.65 +4.7 18
1996-06-20 @ Oster L 0-155.8 1655 1668 25.99% 21.91% 52.10%-0.65 -4.7 14
1996-06-20 Helsingborg D 1-172.8 1612 1712 36.65% 22.72% 40.63%-0.11 +0.1 11
1996-06-20 @ Trelleborg D 1-172.8 1712 1612 40.63% 22.72% 36.65%+0.11 -0.1 24
1996-06-20 Halmstad W 2-165.8 1567 1680 34.89% 22.67% 42.44%-0.20 +6.6 12
1996-06-20 @ Umea L 1-265.8 1680 1567 42.44% 22.67% 34.89%+0.20 -6.6 18
1996-06-24 Degerfors W 3-047.2 1673 1593 59.94% 20.53% 19.52%+1.10 +10.0 21
1996-06-24 @ Halmstad L 0-347.2 1593 1673 19.52% 20.53% 59.94%-1.10 -10.0 12
1996-06-24 AIK Stockholm W 1-053.6 1712 1631 60.11% 20.50% 19.39%+1.11 +3.6 27
1996-06-24 @ Helsingborg L 0-153.6 1631 1712 19.39% 20.50% 60.11%-1.11 -3.6 14
1996-06-24 Oddevold D 1-172.3 1677 1551 64.70% 19.30% 16.00%+1.41 -1.8 17
1996-06-24 @ Malmo D 1-172.3 1551 1677 16.00% 19.30% 64.70%-1.41 +1.8 11
1996-06-24 Goteborg W 1-062.1 1650 1770 33.85% 22.63% 43.52%-0.25 +7.2 17
1996-06-24 @ Norrkoping L 0-162.1 1770 1650 43.52% 22.63% 33.85%+0.25 -7.2 24
1996-06-26 Umea D 2-277.2 1624 1573 56.65% 21.21% 22.14%+0.90 -1.0 14
1996-06-26 @ Djurgarden D 2-277.2 1573 1624 22.14% 21.21% 56.65%-0.90 +1.0 13
1996-06-26 Trelleborg W 3-157.0 1636 1612 53.36% 21.74% 24.90%+0.72 +7.4 11
1996-06-26 @ Orebro L 1-357.0 1612 1636 24.90% 21.74% 53.36%-0.72 -7.4 11
1996-06-27 Oster W 3-051.6 1651 1672 47.70% 22.37% 29.93%+0.42 +14.6 18
1996-06-27 @ Orgryte L 0-351.6 1672 1651 29.93% 22.37% 47.70%-0.42 -14.6 18
1996-06-29 Norrkoping W 3-160.7 1583 1657 40.37% 22.72% 36.91%+0.06 +10.3 15
1996-06-29 @ Degerfors L 1-360.7 1657 1583 36.91% 22.72% 40.37%-0.06 -10.3 17
1996-06-29 Helsingborg W 4-155.3 1763 1716 56.26% 21.28% 22.47%+0.88 +9.6 27
1996-06-29 @ Goteborg L 1-455.3 1716 1763 22.47% 21.28% 56.26%-0.88 -9.6 27
1996-06-29 Trelleborg W 1-053.1 1683 1605 59.71% 20.59% 19.70%+1.09 +3.7 24
1996-06-29 @ Halmstad L 0-153.1 1605 1683 19.70% 20.59% 59.71%-1.09 -3.7 11
1996-06-29 AIK Stockholm D 0-065.4 1553 1627 40.33% 22.72% 36.95%+0.06 -0.1 12
1996-06-29 @ Oddevold D 0-065.4 1627 1553 36.95% 22.72% 40.33%-0.06 +0.1 15
1996-07-03 Malmo L 0-161.0 1623 1675 43.50% 22.63% 33.87%+0.21 -7.2 14
1996-07-03 @ Djurgarden W 1-061.0 1675 1623 33.87% 22.63% 43.50%-0.21 +7.2 20
1996-07-03 Orebro W 2-161.4 1658 1643 52.29% 21.89% 25.82%+0.66 +4.4 21
1996-07-03 @ Oster L 1-261.4 1643 1658 25.82% 21.89% 52.29%-0.66 -4.4 11
1996-07-25 Malmo W 3-053.8 1593 1682 38.26% 22.73% 39.01%-0.03 +18.1 18
1996-07-25 @ Degerfors L 0-353.8 1682 1593 39.01% 22.73% 38.26%+0.03 -18.1 20
1996-07-31 Orgryte L 1-264.3 1574 1666 37.85% 22.73% 39.42%-0.05 -6.1 13
1996-07-31 @ Umea W 2-164.3 1666 1574 39.42% 22.73% 37.85%+0.05 +6.1 21
1996-07-31 Goteborg D 1-173.8 1706 1773 41.44% 22.70% 35.86%+0.12 -0.2 28
1996-07-31 @ Helsingborg D 1-173.8 1773 1706 35.86% 22.70% 41.44%-0.12 +0.2 28
1996-08-01 Djurgarden W 2-050.6 1664 1616 56.35% 21.26% 22.39%+0.89 +7.8 23
1996-08-01 @ Malmo L 0-250.6 1616 1664 22.39% 21.26% 56.35%-0.89 -7.8 14
1996-08-03 Oster W 2-162.9 1639 1662 47.37% 22.40% 30.23%+0.40 +5.1 14
1996-08-03 @ Orebro L 1-262.9 1662 1639 30.23% 22.40% 47.37%-0.40 -5.1 21
1996-08-03 Halmstad D 2-278.3 1601 1687 38.77% 22.73% 38.49%-0.01 -0.0 12
1996-08-03 @ Trelleborg D 2-278.3 1687 1601 38.49% 22.73% 38.77%+0.01 +0.0 25
1996-08-05 Oddevold W 3-153.8 1627 1553 59.35% 20.67% 19.98%+1.06 +6.1 18
1996-08-05 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-353.8 1553 1627 19.98% 20.67% 59.35%-1.06 -6.1 12
1996-08-05 Degerfors D 0-067.4 1647 1611 54.83% 21.52% 23.65%+0.80 -1.3 18
1996-08-05 @ Norrkoping D 0-067.4 1611 1647 23.65% 21.52% 54.83%-0.80 +1.3 19
1996-08-05 Umea W 3-046.0 1672 1568 62.48% 19.91% 17.60%+1.26 +9.0 24
1996-08-05 @ Orgryte L 0-346.0 1568 1672 17.60% 19.91% 62.48%-1.26 -9.0 13
1996-08-11 Goteborg W 6-058.2 1633 1773 31.38% 22.49% 46.13%-0.38 +39.6 21
1996-08-11 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-658.2 1773 1633 46.13% 22.49% 31.38%+0.38 -39.6 28
1996-08-11 Umea W 2-156.8 1687 1559 64.86% 19.25% 15.89%+1.42 +2.8 28
1996-08-11 @ Halmstad L 1-256.8 1559 1687 15.89% 19.25% 64.86%-1.42 -2.8 13
1996-08-11 Trelleborg L 1-271.9 1706 1601 62.58% 19.89% 17.53%+1.27 -9.3 28
1996-08-11 @ Helsingborg W 2-171.9 1601 1706 17.53% 19.89% 62.58%-1.27 +9.3 15
1996-08-11 Oster W 3-159.1 1645 1657 48.94% 22.26% 28.80%+0.48 +8.4 21
1996-08-11 @ Norrkoping L 1-359.1 1657 1645 28.80% 22.26% 48.94%-0.48 -8.4 21
1996-08-11 Degerfors D 1-169.7 1547 1613 41.51% 22.70% 35.79%+0.12 -0.2 13
1996-08-11 @ Oddevold D 1-169.7 1613 1547 35.79% 22.70% 41.51%-0.12 +0.2 20
1996-08-11 Djurgarden W 3-048.5 1644 1608 54.87% 21.51% 23.61%+0.80 +11.9 17
1996-08-11 @ Orebro L 0-348.5 1608 1644 23.61% 21.51% 54.87%-0.80 -11.9 14
1996-08-11 Malmo D 0-068.5 1681 1672 51.61% 21.97% 26.41%+0.62 -1.0 25
1996-08-11 @ Orgryte D 0-068.5 1672 1681 26.41% 21.97% 51.61%-0.62 +1.0 24
1996-08-17 Helsingborg W 1-059.6 1613 1697 38.94% 22.73% 38.33%+0.00 +6.5 23
1996-08-17 @ Degerfors L 0-159.6 1697 1613 38.33% 22.73% 38.94%+0.00 -6.5 28
1996-08-17 Oddevold W 5-147.7 1734 1546 70.37% 17.40% 12.23%+1.82 +6.7 31
1996-08-17 @ Goteborg L 1-547.7 1546 1734 12.23% 17.40% 70.37%-1.82 -6.7 13
1996-08-17 AIK Stockholm L 0-357.9 1673 1673 50.43% 22.11% 27.45%+0.56 -22.3 24
1996-08-17 @ Malmo W 3-057.9 1673 1673 27.45% 22.11% 50.43%-0.56 +22.3 24
1996-08-17 Halmstad W 3-052.6 1649 1689 45.03% 22.56% 32.41%+0.29 +15.6 24
1996-08-17 @ Oster L 0-352.6 1689 1649 32.41% 22.56% 45.03%-0.29 -15.6 28
1996-08-19 Orgryte W 4-053.3 1596 1680 38.97% 22.73% 38.30%+0.00 +23.3 17
1996-08-19 @ Djurgarden L 0-453.3 1680 1596 38.30% 22.73% 38.97%+0.00 -23.3 25
1996-08-19 Norrkoping L 1-363.4 1611 1654 44.69% 22.58% 32.74%+0.27 -12.0 15
1996-08-19 @ Trelleborg W 3-163.4 1654 1611 32.74% 22.58% 44.69%-0.27 +12.0 24
1996-08-19 Orebro W 3-161.3 1556 1656 36.77% 22.72% 40.51%-0.10 +11.1 16
1996-08-19 @ Umea L 1-361.3 1656 1556 40.51% 22.72% 36.77%+0.10 -11.1 17
1996-08-25 Orgryte W 1-055.2 1695 1657 55.22% 21.46% 23.33%+0.82 +4.3 27
1996-08-25 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-155.2 1657 1695 23.33% 21.46% 55.22%-0.82 -4.3 25
1996-08-25 Umea W 3-154.7 1619 1567 56.79% 21.18% 22.03%+0.91 +6.7 26
1996-08-25 @ Degerfors L 1-354.7 1567 1619 22.03% 21.18% 56.79%-0.91 -6.7 16
1996-08-25 Orebro L 0-156.7 1540 1645 36.01% 22.70% 41.29%-0.14 -6.2 13
1996-08-25 @ Oddevold W 1-056.7 1645 1540 41.29% 22.70% 36.01%+0.14 +6.2 20
1996-08-25 Oster W 2-164.1 1599 1664 41.57% 22.70% 35.74%+0.12 +5.8 18
1996-08-25 @ Trelleborg L 1-264.1 1664 1599 35.74% 22.70% 41.57%-0.12 -5.8 24
1996-08-26 Djurgarden W 3-047.0 1740 1619 64.21% 19.44% 16.35%+1.37 +8.4 34
1996-08-26 @ Goteborg L 0-347.0 1619 1740 16.35% 19.44% 64.21%-1.37 -8.4 17
1996-08-26 Halmstad D 0-068.6 1690 1674 52.55% 21.85% 25.60%+0.67 -1.1 29
1996-08-26 @ Helsingborg D 0-068.6 1674 1690 25.60% 21.85% 52.55%-0.67 +1.1 29
1996-08-26 Malmo L 0-260.2 1666 1651 52.38% 21.88% 25.74%+0.67 -15.9 24
1996-08-26 @ Norrkoping W 2-060.2 1651 1666 25.74% 21.88% 52.38%-0.67 +15.9 27
1996-09-04 Norrkoping L 1-270.0 1675 1650 53.56% 21.71% 24.73%+0.73 -8.1 29
1996-09-04 @ Halmstad W 2-170.0 1650 1675 24.73% 21.71% 53.56%-0.73 +8.1 27
1996-09-04 Trelleborg W 2-049.9 1666 1604 57.95% 20.96% 21.10%+0.98 +7.4 30
1996-09-04 @ Malmo L 0-249.9 1604 1666 21.10% 20.96% 57.95%-0.98 -7.4 18
1996-09-04 Helsingborg W 2-163.9 1651 1689 45.33% 22.54% 32.13%+0.30 +5.3 23
1996-09-04 @ Orebro L 1-263.9 1689 1651 32.13% 22.54% 45.33%-0.30 -5.3 29
1996-09-04 Oddevold L 1-270.1 1652 1534 64.01% 19.50% 16.49%+1.36 -9.5 25
1996-09-04 @ Orgryte W 2-170.1 1534 1652 16.49% 19.50% 64.01%-1.36 +9.5 16
1996-09-04 Degerfors W 3-157.2 1658 1626 54.48% 21.58% 23.95%+0.78 +7.2 27
1996-09-04 @ Oster L 1-357.2 1626 1658 23.95% 21.58% 54.48%-0.78 -7.2 26
1996-09-04 Goteborg D 1-172.8 1561 1749 25.73% 21.87% 52.40%-0.70 +1.0 17
1996-09-04 @ Umea D 1-172.8 1749 1561 52.40% 21.87% 25.73%+0.70 -1.0 35
1996-09-07 Degerfors W 2-048.9 1748 1619 65.00% 19.21% 15.79%+1.43 +5.6 38
1996-09-07 @ Goteborg L 0-248.9 1619 1748 15.79% 19.21% 65.00%-1.43 -5.6 26
1996-09-07 Orgryte L 1-366.4 1667 1643 53.43% 21.73% 24.84%+0.72 -14.0 29
1996-09-07 @ Halmstad W 3-166.4 1643 1667 24.84% 21.73% 53.43%-0.72 +14.0 28
1996-09-07 Umea W 4-045.2 1684 1562 64.35% 19.40% 16.25%+1.38 +10.9 32
1996-09-07 @ Helsingborg L 0-445.2 1562 1684 16.25% 19.40% 64.35%-1.38 -10.8 17
1996-09-07 Malmo W 2-053.7 1656 1674 48.13% 22.34% 29.53%+0.44 +10.0 26
1996-09-07 @ Orebro L 0-253.7 1674 1656 29.53% 22.34% 48.13%-0.44 -10.0 30
1996-09-08 Trelleborg L 2-376.9 1700 1597 62.35% 19.95% 17.70%+1.25 -8.8 27
1996-09-08 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-276.9 1597 1700 17.70% 19.95% 62.35%-1.25 +8.8 21
1996-09-09 Djurgarden W 2-159.8 1658 1611 56.22% 21.29% 22.50%+0.88 +3.9 30
1996-09-09 @ Norrkoping L 1-259.8 1611 1658 22.50% 21.29% 56.22%-0.88 -3.9 17
1996-09-09 Oster W 3-054.0 1543 1666 33.59% 22.62% 43.79%-0.26 +19.8 19
1996-09-09 @ Oddevold L 0-354.0 1666 1543 43.79% 22.62% 33.59%+0.26 -19.8 27
1996-09-15 AIK Stockholm D 0-067.7 1613 1691 39.88% 22.73% 37.40%+0.04 -0.1 27
1996-09-15 @ Degerfors D 0-067.7 1691 1613 37.40% 22.73% 39.88%-0.04 +0.1 28
1996-09-15 Halmstad D 1-171.9 1607 1653 44.37% 22.59% 33.04%+0.26 -0.4 18
1996-09-15 @ Djurgarden D 1-171.9 1653 1607 33.04% 22.59% 44.37%-0.26 +0.4 30
1996-09-15 Goteborg L 1-363.1 1664 1753 38.18% 22.73% 39.09%-0.04 -10.6 30
1996-09-15 @ Malmo W 3-163.1 1753 1664 39.09% 22.73% 38.18%+0.04 +10.6 41
1996-09-15 Helsingborg L 0-161.6 1646 1695 43.89% 22.61% 33.50%+0.23 -7.2 27
1996-09-15 @ Oster W 1-061.6 1695 1646 33.50% 22.61% 43.89%-0.23 +7.2 35
1996-09-15 Oddevold W 1-052.0 1606 1563 55.74% 21.37% 22.89%+0.85 +4.2 24
1996-09-15 @ Trelleborg L 0-152.0 1563 1606 22.89% 21.37% 55.74%-0.85 -4.2 19
1996-09-15 Norrkoping W 3-270.3 1551 1662 35.14% 22.68% 42.18%-0.18 +6.3 20
1996-09-15 @ Umea L 2-370.3 1662 1551 42.18% 22.68% 35.14%+0.18 -6.3 30
1996-09-16 Orebro D 1-172.9 1657 1666 49.27% 22.23% 28.50%+0.50 -0.7 29
1996-09-16 @ Orgryte D 1-172.9 1666 1657 28.50% 22.23% 49.27%-0.50 +0.7 27
1996-09-18 AIK Stockholm L 0-256.2 1607 1691 38.93% 22.73% 38.34%+0.00 -12.4 18
1996-09-18 @ Djurgarden W 2-056.2 1691 1607 38.34% 22.73% 38.93%+0.00 +12.4 31
1996-09-19 Malmo L 1-271.0 1702 1653 56.43% 21.25% 22.33%+0.89 -8.5 35
1996-09-19 @ Helsingborg W 2-171.0 1653 1702 22.33% 21.25% 56.43%-0.89 +8.5 33
1996-09-21 Halmstad D 0-068.7 1703 1653 56.58% 21.22% 22.20%+0.90 -1.4 32
1996-09-21 @ AIK Stockholm D 0-068.7 1653 1703 22.20% 21.22% 56.58%-0.90 +1.4 31
1996-09-21 Orebro L 0-263.4 1764 1667 61.77% 20.10% 18.13%+1.21 -18.3 41
1996-09-21 @ Goteborg W 2-063.4 1667 1764 18.13% 20.10% 61.77%-1.21 +18.3 30
1996-09-22 Norrkoping L 0-254.2 1559 1656 37.07% 22.72% 40.21%-0.09 -12.0 19
1996-09-22 @ Oddevold W 2-054.2 1656 1559 40.21% 22.72% 37.07%+0.09 +12.0 33
1996-09-22 Djurgarden W 3-156.4 1610 1594 52.43% 21.87% 25.70%+0.67 +7.7 27
1996-09-22 @ Trelleborg L 1-356.4 1594 1610 25.70% 21.87% 52.43%-0.67 -7.6 18
1996-09-23 Orgryte W 3-159.9 1613 1656 44.72% 22.57% 32.70%+0.27 +9.4 30
1996-09-23 @ Degerfors L 1-359.9 1656 1613 32.70% 22.57% 44.72%-0.27 -9.4 29
1996-09-23 Umea W 3-045.8 1639 1557 60.09% 20.50% 19.41%+1.11 +9.9 30
1996-09-23 @ Oster L 0-345.8 1557 1639 19.41% 20.50% 60.09%-1.11 -9.9 20
1996-09-29 Oddevold W 3-045.1 1655 1547 62.91% 19.80% 17.29%+1.29 +8.9 34
1996-09-29 @ Halmstad L 0-345.1 1547 1655 17.29% 19.80% 62.91%-1.29 -8.8 19
1996-09-29 Oster D 2-278.9 1662 1648 52.13% 21.91% 25.96%+0.65 -0.7 34
1996-09-29 @ Malmo D 2-278.9 1648 1662 25.96% 21.91% 52.13%-0.65 +0.7 31
1996-09-29 Trelleborg W 4-262.7 1547 1618 40.90% 22.71% 36.39%+0.09 +9.1 23
1996-09-29 @ Umea L 2-462.7 1618 1547 36.39% 22.71% 40.90%-0.09 -9.1 27
1996-09-30 Degerfors W 3-267.0 1587 1623 45.70% 22.52% 31.78%+0.32 +5.0 21
1996-09-30 @ Djurgarden L 2-367.0 1623 1587 31.78% 22.52% 45.70%-0.32 -5.0 30
1996-09-30 Helsingborg L 0-162.7 1668 1694 47.05% 22.43% 30.53%+0.39 -7.7 33
1996-09-30 @ Norrkoping W 1-062.7 1694 1668 30.53% 22.43% 47.05%-0.39 +7.7 38
1996-09-30 AIK Stockholm L 0-259.8 1685 1702 48.26% 22.33% 29.42%+0.45 -14.8 30
1996-09-30 @ Orebro W 2-059.8 1702 1685 29.42% 22.33% 48.26%-0.45 +14.8 35
1996-09-30 Goteborg L 1-459.6 1647 1745 36.86% 22.72% 40.42%-0.10 -14.6 29
1996-09-30 @ Orgryte W 4-159.6 1745 1647 40.42% 22.72% 36.86%+0.10 +14.6 44
1996-10-03 Umea D 1-173.4 1717 1556 67.99% 18.25% 13.76%+1.64 -2.1 36
1996-10-03 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-173.4 1556 1717 13.76% 18.25% 67.99%-1.64 +2.1 24
1996-10-03 Trelleborg W 3-157.1 1618 1609 51.59% 21.98% 26.43%+0.62 +7.8 33
1996-10-03 @ Degerfors L 1-357.1 1609 1618 26.43% 21.98% 51.59%-0.62 -7.8 27
1996-10-03 Oster W 5-151.2 1760 1649 63.21% 19.72% 17.07%+1.31 +9.5 47
1996-10-03 @ Goteborg L 1-551.2 1649 1760 17.07% 19.72% 63.21%-1.31 -9.5 31
1996-10-03 Malmo L 2-374.4 1663 1661 50.75% 22.08% 27.17%+0.58 -7.3 34
1996-10-03 @ Halmstad W 3-274.4 1661 1663 27.17% 22.08% 50.75%-0.58 +7.3 37
1996-10-03 Orgryte W 2-159.8 1701 1632 58.74% 20.80% 20.47%+1.03 +3.6 41
1996-10-03 @ Helsingborg L 1-259.8 1632 1701 20.47% 20.80% 58.74%-1.03 -3.6 29
1996-10-03 Orebro L 1-365.5 1660 1670 49.11% 22.25% 28.64%+0.49 -13.0 33
1996-10-03 @ Norrkoping W 3-165.5 1670 1660 28.64% 22.25% 49.11%-0.49 +13.0 33
1996-10-03 Djurgarden L 1-263.2 1538 1592 43.21% 22.64% 34.15%+0.20 -6.8 19
1996-10-03 @ Oddevold W 2-163.2 1592 1538 34.15% 22.64% 43.21%-0.20 +6.8 24
1996-10-12 Helsingborg W 3-163.1 1598 1705 35.78% 22.70% 41.52%-0.15 +11.3 27
1996-10-12 @ Djurgarden L 1-363.1 1705 1598 41.52% 22.70% 35.78%+0.15 -11.3 41
1996-10-12 Halmstad W 3-158.1 1683 1656 53.85% 21.67% 24.48%+0.75 +7.3 36
1996-10-12 @ Orebro L 1-358.1 1656 1683 24.48% 21.67% 53.85%-0.75 -7.3 34
1996-10-12 Goteborg L 0-652.3 1601 1770 27.84% 22.16% 50.00%-0.57 -26.3 27
1996-10-12 @ Trelleborg W 6-052.3 1770 1601 50.00% 22.16% 27.84%+0.57 +26.3 50
1996-10-12 Oddevold W 2-046.7 1558 1531 53.88% 21.67% 24.45%+0.75 +8.5 27
1996-10-12 @ Umea L 0-246.7 1531 1558 24.45% 21.67% 53.88%-0.75 -8.5 19
1996-10-13 Degerfors W 2-160.3 1668 1625 55.74% 21.37% 22.89%+0.85 +4.0 40
1996-10-13 @ Malmo L 1-260.3 1625 1668 22.89% 21.37% 55.74%-0.85 -4.0 33
1996-10-13 AIK Stockholm D 2-279.1 1640 1715 40.24% 22.72% 37.04%+0.06 -0.1 32
1996-10-13 @ Oster D 2-279.1 1715 1640 37.04% 22.72% 40.24%-0.06 +0.1 37
1996-10-14 Norrkoping D 0-067.4 1629 1647 48.05% 22.34% 29.61%+0.44 -0.7 30
1996-10-14 @ Orgryte D 0-067.4 1647 1629 29.61% 22.34% 48.05%-0.44 +0.7 34
1996-10-21 Helsingborg W 2-162.2 1715 1694 53.11% 21.78% 25.11%+0.70 +4.3 40
1996-10-21 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-262.2 1694 1715 25.11% 21.78% 53.11%-0.70 -4.3 41
1996-10-21 Halmstad D 1-172.1 1621 1649 46.85% 22.44% 30.71%+0.38 -0.6 34
1996-10-21 @ Degerfors D 1-172.1 1649 1621 30.71% 22.44% 46.85%-0.38 +0.6 35
1996-10-21 Norrkoping W 2-048.9 1796 1648 66.86% 18.63% 14.51%+1.56 +5.1 53
1996-10-21 @ Goteborg L 0-248.9 1648 1796 14.51% 18.63% 66.86%-1.56 -5.1 34
1996-10-21 Malmo L 1-357.7 1523 1672 30.13% 22.39% 47.48%-0.44 -8.8 19
1996-10-21 @ Oddevold W 3-157.7 1672 1523 47.48% 22.39% 30.13%+0.44 +8.8 43
1996-10-21 Orgryte D 0-067.4 1640 1628 51.92% 21.94% 26.14%+0.64 -1.0 33
1996-10-21 @ Oster D 0-067.4 1628 1640 26.14% 21.94% 51.92%-0.64 +1.0 31
1996-10-21 Orebro L 0-157.8 1574 1691 34.44% 22.65% 42.91%-0.22 -6.0 27
1996-10-21 @ Trelleborg W 1-057.8 1691 1574 42.91% 22.65% 34.44%+0.22 +6.0 39
1996-10-21 Djurgarden W 4-049.6 1567 1610 44.74% 22.57% 32.68%+0.27 +20.5 30
1996-10-21 @ Umea L 0-449.6 1610 1567 32.68% 22.57% 44.74%-0.27 -20.5 27
1996-10-26 Oster L 2-371.1 1589 1638 43.86% 22.62% 33.52%+0.23 -6.5 27
1996-10-26 @ Djurgarden W 3-271.1 1638 1589 33.52% 22.62% 43.86%-0.23 +6.5 36
1996-10-26 Goteborg L 3-471.7 1649 1801 29.89% 22.37% 47.73%-0.46 -4.7 35
1996-10-26 @ Halmstad W 4-371.7 1801 1649 47.73% 22.37% 29.89%+0.46 +4.6 56
1996-10-26 Oddevold W 3-151.3 1689 1514 69.35% 17.77% 12.87%+1.74 +3.9 44
1996-10-26 @ Helsingborg L 1-351.3 1514 1689 12.87% 17.77% 69.35%-1.74 -3.9 19
1996-10-26 Umea W 2-158.2 1681 1587 61.41% 20.19% 18.40%+1.19 +3.2 46
1996-10-26 @ Malmo L 1-258.2 1587 1681 18.40% 20.19% 61.41%-1.19 -3.2 30
1996-10-26 AIK Stockholm L 1-266.6 1643 1719 40.04% 22.72% 37.24%+0.05 -6.4 34
1996-10-26 @ Norrkoping W 2-166.6 1719 1643 37.24% 22.72% 40.04%-0.05 +6.4 43
1996-10-26 Degerfors W 2-159.4 1697 1621 59.48% 20.64% 19.88%+1.07 +3.5 42
1996-10-26 @ Orebro L 1-259.4 1621 1697 19.88% 20.64% 59.48%-1.07 -3.5 34
1996-10-26 Trelleborg L 0-259.6 1629 1568 57.78% 20.99% 21.23%+0.97 -17.3 31
1996-10-26 @ Orgryte W 2-059.6 1568 1629 21.23% 20.99% 57.78%-0.97 +17.3 30

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1996-06-13 14.25% AIK Stockholm 1615 1 @ Goteborg 1767 0
2 1996-09-04 16.49% Oddevold 1534 2 @ Orgryte 1652 1
3 1996-08-11 17.53% Trelleborg 1601 2 @ Helsingborg 1706 1
4 1996-09-08 17.70% Trelleborg 1597 3 @ AIK Stockholm 1700 2
5 1996-09-21 18.13% Orebro 1667 2 @ Goteborg 1764 0
6 1996-10-26 21.23% Trelleborg 1568 2 @ Orgryte 1629 0
7 1996-06-20 21.28% Orgryte 1634 2 @ Malmo 1694 0
8 1996-04-29 22.02% Oddevold 1601 1 @ Oster 1653 0
9 1996-09-19 22.33% Malmo 1653 2 @ Helsingborg 1702 1
10 1996-04-21 22.55% Orgryte 1633 1 @ Orebro 1680 0
11 1996-04-21 22.62% Umea 1585 1 @ Norrkoping 1631 0
12 1996-09-04 24.73% Norrkoping 1650 2 @ Halmstad 1675 1
13 1996-09-07 24.84% Orgryte 1643 3 @ Halmstad 1667 1
14 1996-08-26 25.74% Malmo 1651 2 @ Norrkoping 1666 0
15 1996-05-13 25.84% Norrkoping 1641 4 @ Orebro 1655 1
16 1996-10-03 27.17% Malmo 1661 3 @ Halmstad 1663 2
17 1996-05-05 27.42% Oster 1645 3 @ AIK Stockholm 1645 2
18 1996-08-17 27.45% AIK Stockholm 1673 3 @ Malmo 1673 0
19 1996-05-20 28.51% Orebro 1636 2 @ AIK Stockholm 1627 0
20 1996-10-03 28.64% Orebro 1670 3 @ Norrkoping 1660 1
21 1996-09-30 29.42% AIK Stockholm 1702 2 @ Orebro 1685 0
22 1996-04-29 30.18% AIK Stockholm 1645 1 @ Trelleborg 1622 0
23 1996-05-02 30.26% Malmo 1677 1 @ AIK Stockholm 1653 0
24 1996-09-30 30.53% Helsingborg 1694 1 @ Norrkoping 1668 0
25 1996-05-19 31.16% Djurgarden 1620 2 @ Degerfors 1589 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1996-08-11 39.56 @ AIK Stockholm 6 1633 31.38% Goteborg 0 1773 46.13% 22.49%
2 1996-10-12 26.30 Goteborg 6 1770 50.00% @ Trelleborg 0 1601 27.84% 22.16%
3 1996-08-19 23.28 @ Djurgarden 4 1596 38.97% Orgryte 0 1680 38.30% 22.73%
4 1996-08-17 22.30 AIK Stockholm 3 1673 27.45% @ Malmo 0 1673 50.43% 22.11%
5 1996-10-21 20.54 @ Umea 4 1567 44.74% Djurgarden 0 1610 32.68% 22.57%
6 1996-09-09 19.82 @ Oddevold 3 1543 33.59% Oster 0 1666 43.79% 22.62%
7 1996-04-28 19.73 Goteborg 7 1716 39.37% @ Degerfors 2 1625 37.90% 22.73%
8 1996-05-13 19.40 Norrkoping 4 1641 25.84% @ Orebro 1 1655 52.27% 21.89%
9 1996-05-19 18.99 Halmstad 3 1665 35.78% @ Oddevold 0 1599 41.53% 22.70%
10 1996-09-21 18.33 Orebro 2 1667 18.13% @ Goteborg 0 1764 61.77% 20.10%
11 1996-07-25 18.08 @ Degerfors 3 1593 38.26% Malmo 0 1682 39.01% 22.73%
12 1996-10-26 17.28 Trelleborg 2 1568 21.23% @ Orgryte 0 1629 57.78% 20.99%
13 1996-06-20 17.27 Orgryte 2 1634 21.28% @ Malmo 0 1694 57.71% 21.01%
14 1996-04-21 16.26 @ Oddevold 3 1585 43.27% Trelleborg 0 1639 34.09% 22.64%
15 1996-08-26 15.87 Malmo 2 1651 25.74% @ Norrkoping 0 1666 52.38% 21.88%
16 1996-08-17 15.62 @ Oster 3 1649 45.03% Halmstad 0 1689 32.41% 22.56%
17 1996-05-20 15.05 Orebro 2 1636 28.51% @ AIK Stockholm 0 1627 49.26% 22.23%
18 1996-09-30 14.80 AIK Stockholm 2 1702 29.42% @ Orebro 0 1685 48.26% 22.33%
19 1996-06-27 14.62 @ Orgryte 3 1651 47.70% Oster 0 1672 29.93% 22.37%
20 1996-09-30 14.59 Goteborg 4 1745 40.42% @ Orgryte 1 1647 36.86% 22.72%
21 1996-05-19 14.30 Djurgarden 2 1620 31.16% @ Degerfors 0 1589 46.37% 22.47%
22 1996-09-07 13.98 Orgryte 3 1643 24.84% @ Halmstad 1 1667 53.43% 21.73%
23 1996-06-17 13.95 @ Goteborg 4 1757 58.06% Halmstad 0 1694 21.00% 20.94%
24 1996-05-12 13.89 Helsingborg 2 1687 32.68% @ Orgryte 0 1645 44.74% 22.57%
25 1996-06-05 13.83 Orgryte 2 1626 32.89% @ Oddevold 0 1582 44.52% 22.58%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1996-05-20 79.6 @ Helsingborg 2 1701 55.53% Norrkoping 2 1660 23.07% 21.40%
2 1996-10-13 79.1 @ Oster 2 1640 40.24% AIK Stockholm 2 1715 37.04% 22.72%
3 1996-05-02 79.0 @ Halmstad 2 1672 53.95% Oster 2 1644 24.40% 21.66%
4 1996-09-29 78.9 @ Malmo 2 1662 52.13% Oster 2 1648 25.96% 21.91%
5 1996-08-03 78.3 @ Trelleborg 2 1601 38.77% Halmstad 2 1687 38.49% 22.73%
6 1996-06-26 77.2 @ Djurgarden 2 1624 56.65% Umea 2 1573 22.14% 21.21%
7 1996-09-08 76.9 Trelleborg 3 1597 17.70% @ AIK Stockholm 2 1700 62.35% 19.95%
8 1996-06-09 75.8 @ Umea 2 1573 49.32% Degerfors 2 1582 28.45% 22.23%
9 1996-10-03 74.4 Malmo 3 1661 27.17% @ Halmstad 2 1663 50.75% 22.08%
10 1996-05-05 73.9 Oster 3 1645 27.42% @ AIK Stockholm 2 1645 50.47% 22.11%
11 1996-07-31 73.8 @ Helsingborg 1 1706 41.44% Goteborg 1 1773 35.86% 22.70%
12 1996-05-27 73.5 @ Malmo 1 1690 49.07% Helsingborg 1 1700 28.68% 22.25%
13 1996-05-13 73.4 @ Oster 1 1652 37.04% Goteborg 1 1750 40.24% 22.72%
14 1996-10-03 73.4 @ AIK Stockholm 1 1717 67.99% Umea 1 1556 13.76% 18.25%
15 1996-09-16 72.9 @ Orgryte 1 1657 49.27% Orebro 1 1666 28.50% 22.23%
16 1996-06-20 72.8 @ Trelleborg 1 1612 36.65% Helsingborg 1 1712 40.63% 22.72%
17 1996-09-04 72.8 @ Umea 1 1561 25.73% Goteborg 1 1749 52.40% 21.87%
18 1996-06-05 72.5 @ Trelleborg 1 1615 40.29% Malmo 1 1689 36.99% 22.72%
19 1996-04-21 72.3 @ AIK Stockholm 1 1646 53.26% Degerfors 1 1624 24.99% 21.76%
20 1996-06-24 72.3 @ Malmo 1 1677 64.70% Oddevold 1 1551 16.00% 19.30%
21 1996-05-01 72.2 @ Orebro 1 1661 60.00% Umea 1 1581 19.48% 20.52%
22 1996-05-27 72.2 @ Norrkoping 1 1661 60.03% Oddevold 1 1580 19.45% 20.51%
23 1996-06-10 72.1 @ Orgryte 1 1640 53.74% AIK Stockholm 1 1614 24.57% 21.69%
24 1996-10-21 72.1 @ Degerfors 1 1621 46.85% Halmstad 1 1649 30.71% 22.44%
25 1996-04-29 72.0 @ Djurgarden 1 1633 51.83% Norrkoping 1 1622 26.22% 21.95%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1996-06-05 45.0 @ Goteborg 4 1753 68.93% Umea 0 1582 13.15% 17.93%
2 1996-09-29 45.1 @ Halmstad 3 1655 62.91% Oddevold 0 1547 17.29% 19.80%
3 1996-09-07 45.2 @ Helsingborg 4 1684 64.35% Umea 0 1562 16.25% 19.40%
4 1996-09-23 45.8 @ Oster 3 1639 60.09% Umea 0 1557 19.41% 20.50%
5 1996-08-05 46.0 @ Orgryte 3 1672 62.48% Umea 0 1568 17.60% 19.91%
6 1996-10-12 46.7 @ Umea 2 1558 53.88% Oddevold 0 1531 24.45% 21.67%
7 1996-08-26 47.0 @ Goteborg 3 1740 64.21% Djurgarden 0 1619 16.35% 19.44%
8 1996-06-24 47.2 @ Halmstad 3 1673 59.94% Degerfors 0 1593 19.52% 20.53%
9 1996-08-17 47.7 @ Goteborg 5 1734 70.37% Oddevold 1 1546 12.23% 17.40%
10 1996-06-09 48.4 @ Orebro 2 1640 59.05% Oddevold 0 1568 20.22% 20.73%
11 1996-08-11 48.5 @ Orebro 3 1644 54.87% Djurgarden 0 1608 23.61% 21.51%
12 1996-09-07 48.9 @ Goteborg 2 1748 65.00% Degerfors 0 1619 15.79% 19.21%
13 1996-10-21 48.9 @ Goteborg 2 1796 66.86% Norrkoping 0 1648 14.51% 18.63%
14 1996-06-17 49.1 @ Goteborg 4 1757 58.06% Halmstad 0 1694 21.00% 20.94%
15 1996-06-05 49.3 @ Helsingborg 3 1701 56.59% Orebro 0 1651 22.20% 21.22%
16 1996-10-21 49.6 @ Umea 4 1567 44.74% Djurgarden 0 1610 32.68% 22.57%
17 1996-05-02 49.8 @ Orgryte 3 1642 51.70% Djurgarden 0 1632 26.33% 21.96%
18 1996-09-04 49.9 @ Malmo 2 1666 57.95% Trelleborg 0 1604 21.10% 20.96%
19 1996-08-01 50.6 @ Malmo 2 1664 56.35% Djurgarden 0 1616 22.39% 21.26%
20 1996-06-16 51.2 @ Oster 2 1659 54.43% Djurgarden 0 1627 23.99% 21.58%
21 1996-10-03 51.2 @ Goteborg 5 1760 63.21% Oster 1 1649 17.07% 19.72%
22 1996-10-26 51.3 @ Helsingborg 3 1689 69.35% Oddevold 1 1514 12.87% 17.77%
23 1996-04-21 51.4 @ Oddevold 3 1585 43.27% Trelleborg 0 1639 34.09% 22.64%
24 1996-06-27 51.6 @ Orgryte 3 1651 47.70% Oster 0 1672 29.93% 22.37%
25 1996-06-20 51.7 @ Degerfors 1 1589 54.57% Oddevold 0 1555 23.87% 21.56%