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2002 Allsvenskan Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Djurgarden

52 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Djurgarden

11.87 points above expected

52 points · 40.13 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Goteborg

6.00 points below expected

28 points · 34.00 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Djurgarden 26 16 4 6 52 51 33 +18 40.13 +11.87
2 Malmo 26 14 4 8 46 52 32 +20 36.51 +9.49
3 Orgryte 26 12 8 6 44 49 38 +11 40.19 +3.81
4 Helsingborg 26 10 8 8 38 38 38 0 39.02 -1.02
5 AIK Stockholm 26 9 10 7 37 35 38 -3 37.66 -0.66
6 Halmstad 26 8 12 6 36 35 28 +7 37.94 -1.94
7 Orebro 26 9 8 9 35 32 39 -7 33.90 +1.10
8 GIF Sundsvall 26 8 9 9 33 29 35 -6 33.16 -0.16
9 Hammarby 26 8 8 10 32 43 42 +1 37.01 -5.01
10 Elfsborg 26 8 8 10 32 25 31 -6 31.02 +0.98
11 Landskrona 26 8 6 12 30 41 39 +2 33.30 -3.30
12 Goteborg 26 8 4 14 28 25 39 -14 34.00 -6.00
13 Norrkoping 26 6 9 11 27 37 40 -3 31.86 -4.86
14 Kalmar 26 6 6 14 24 20 40 -20 27.33 -3.33

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Djurgarden 52 40.13 +11.87
2 Malmo 46 36.51 +9.49
3 Orgryte 44 40.19 +3.81
4 Orebro 35 33.90 +1.10
5 Elfsborg 32 31.02 +0.98

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Goteborg 28 34.00 -6.00
2 Hammarby 32 37.01 -5.01
3 Norrkoping 27 31.86 -4.86
4 Kalmar 24 27.33 -3.33
5 Landskrona 30 33.30 -3.30

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Malmo 5 May 3 – Jul 7 1 in 196
2 Djurgarden 5 Aug 25 – Sep 22 1 in 83
3 Halmstad 3 Aug 18 – Sep 2 1 in 31
4 Orebro 3 Jul 22 – Aug 5 1 in 22
5 Orgryte 3 Apr 8 – Apr 21 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Landskrona 5 Sep 1 – Sep 29 1 in 151
2 Kalmar 5 Jul 28 – Aug 17 1 in 52
3 Halmstad 3 Aug 5 – Aug 12 1 in 35
4 Goteborg 3 Jul 17 – Jul 29 1 in 22
5 Orgryte 2 Sep 16 – Sep 23 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Halmstad 11 Aug 18 – Nov 2 1 in 70
2 Landskrona 8 Apr 6 – Jul 4 1 in 56
3 Orgryte 10 Jul 3 – Aug 25 1 in 33
4 Elfsborg 5 Sep 23 – Oct 27 1 in 16
5 Hammarby 6 Jul 27 – Aug 28 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Halmstad 8 Jul 4 – Aug 12 1 in 44
2 Elfsborg 9 Apr 29 – Jul 30 1 in 33
3 Landskrona 9 Sep 1 – Nov 2 1 in 30
4 AIK Stockholm 6 Apr 21 – Jul 2 1 in 17
5 Goteborg 7 Aug 8 – Sep 15 1 in 14

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Djurgarden 1719 52 +11 12 8.5 +3.5
Malmo 1696 46 +9 5 7.7 -2.7
Orgryte 1669 44 +1 9 7.5 +1.5
Helsingborg 1663 38 -1 8 7.5 +0.5
AIK Stockholm 1638 37 -5 10 7.2 +2.8
Halmstad 1693 36 +38 13 8.1 +4.9
Orebro 1604 35 -8 5 5.8 -0.8
GIF Sundsvall 1600 33 -13 4 6.0 -2.0
Hammarby 1643 32 +1 7 7.3 -0.3
Elfsborg 1594 32 -2 6 5.8 +0.2
Landskrona 1582 30 -17 2 5.7 -3.7
Goteborg 1579 28 -17 4 6.5 -2.5
Norrkoping 1613 27 +3 5 6.3 -1.3
Kalmar 1530 24 -1 6 4.9 +1.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS DJU ELF GS GOT HAL HAM HEL KAL LAN MAL NOR ORE ORG
AIK Stockholm —
1-0-1
2.66
1-0-1
3.12
1-1-0
3.06
1-0-1
3.03
0-2-0
2.63
1-1-0
2.64
0-1-1
2.51
1-1-0
3.50
2-0-0
2.86
0-0-2
2.66
0-1-1
3.08
1-1-0
2.96
0-2-0
2.48
Djurgarden
1-0-1
2.74
—
1-1-0
3.39
1-0-1
3.31
2-0-0
2.93
0-1-1
2.78
2-0-0
2.98
1-1-0
2.74
2-0-0
3.68
1-1-0
3.01
1-0-1
2.86
2-0-0
3.24
2-0-0
3.00
0-0-2
2.88
Elfsborg
1-0-1
2.28
0-1-1
2.03
—
0-1-1
2.59
2-0-0
2.45
1-1-0
2.27
0-1-1
2.35
0-1-1
2.23
1-1-0
3.00
0-0-2
2.70
1-1-0
2.02
0-1-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.07
GIF Sundsvall
0-1-1
2.35
1-0-1
2.12
1-1-0
2.81
—
0-1-1
2.56
2-0-0
2.38
0-0-2
2.70
0-0-2
2.45
0-0-2
3.28
1-1-0
2.75
2-0-0
2.16
0-2-0
2.72
0-2-0
2.63
1-1-0
2.30
Goteborg
1-0-1
2.37
0-0-2
2.47
0-0-2
2.95
1-1-0
2.83
—
1-0-1
2.44
2-0-0
2.45
0-0-2
2.49
1-0-1
3.37
1-1-0
2.69
0-0-2
2.43
1-1-0
2.81
0-1-1
2.74
0-0-2
2.35
Halmstad
0-2-0
2.77
1-1-0
2.63
0-1-1
3.14
0-0-2
3.03
1-0-1
2.96
—
0-2-0
2.84
0-2-0
2.64
2-0-0
3.61
0-2-0
3.10
1-0-1
2.75
1-1-0
3.08
1-0-1
3.04
1-1-0
2.61
Hammarby
0-1-1
2.76
0-0-2
2.43
1-1-0
3.05
2-0-0
2.70
0-0-2
2.96
0-2-0
2.56
—
1-0-1
2.60
1-1-0
3.28
1-0-1
2.94
1-1-0
2.64
1-1-0
2.92
0-0-2
2.93
0-1-1
2.59
Helsingborg
1-1-0
2.89
0-1-1
2.66
1-1-0
3.18
2-0-0
2.95
2-0-0
2.91
0-2-0
2.75
1-0-1
2.79
—
0-2-0
3.47
0-0-2
3.29
1-0-1
2.71
0-0-2
3.18
1-0-1
2.94
1-1-0
2.52
Kalmar
0-1-1
1.95
0-0-2
1.78
0-1-1
2.40
2-0-0
2.14
1-0-1
2.06
0-0-2
1.84
0-1-1
2.14
0-2-0
1.96
—
2-0-0
2.10
0-0-2
2.07
1-0-1
2.42
0-1-1
2.21
0-0-2
2.09
Landskrona
0-0-2
2.55
0-1-1
2.40
2-0-0
2.71
0-1-1
2.64
0-1-1
2.71
0-2-0
2.31
1-0-1
2.45
2-0-0
2.12
0-0-2
3.32
—
0-0-2
2.18
0-1-1
2.82
2-0-0
2.40
1-0-1
2.22
Malmo
2-0-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.54
0-1-1
3.41
0-0-2
3.25
2-0-0
2.99
1-0-1
2.65
0-1-1
2.77
1-0-1
2.70
2-0-0
3.36
2-0-0
3.23
—
2-0-0
2.95
1-1-0
3.10
0-1-1
2.58
Norrkoping
1-1-0
2.33
0-0-2
2.18
1-1-0
2.81
0-2-0
2.67
0-1-1
2.59
0-1-1
2.32
0-1-1
2.47
2-0-0
2.23
1-0-1
2.98
1-1-0
2.57
0-0-2
2.46
—
0-1-1
2.69
0-0-2
2.29
Orebro
0-1-1
2.44
0-0-2
2.40
1-0-1
2.97
0-2-0
2.77
1-1-0
2.66
1-0-1
2.37
2-0-0
2.47
1-0-1
2.45
1-1-0
3.21
0-0-2
3.00
0-1-1
2.31
1-1-0
2.71
—
1-1-0
2.28
Orgryte
0-2-0
2.92
2-0-0
2.52
1-0-1
3.35
0-1-1
3.11
2-0-0
3.05
0-1-1
2.79
1-1-0
2.82
0-1-1
2.88
2-0-0
3.33
1-0-1
3.19
1-1-0
2.82
2-0-0
3.12
0-1-1
3.13
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.62 +6.2
Allowed 0.21 -8.8
Differential 0.76 +6.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.49%9.07%3.57%2.20%0.55%0.55%21.43%
19.07%16.48%7.97%4.95%1.10%0.27%39.84%
23.57%7.97%6.59%3.02%0.82%0.82%22.80%
32.20%4.95%3.02%—0.55%0.27%10.99%
40.55%1.10%0.82%0.55%——3.02%
5+0.55%0.27%0.82%0.27%——1.92%
Total21.43%39.84%22.80%10.99%3.02%1.92%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.41 +0.00
SD 1.16 1.16 1.59
CV 0.83 0.83 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—7.69%3.85%—3.85%19.23%
17.69%26.92%7.69%3.85%——46.15%
23.85%7.69%7.69%———19.23%
33.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+———————
Total19.23%38.46%26.92%11.54%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.46 -0.12
SD 1.06 1.17 1.68
CV 0.78 0.80 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
119.23%15.38%3.85%3.85%——42.31%
23.85%19.23%—3.85%3.85%—30.77%
311.54%3.85%——7.69%—23.08%
4———————
5+———3.85%——3.85%
Total34.62%38.46%3.85%11.54%11.54%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 1.27 +0.69
SD 1.15 1.37 1.46
CV 0.59 1.08 —
Max 6 4 +3
Min 1 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%7.69%3.85%——34.62%
17.69%15.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%—38.46%
23.85%15.38%3.85%———23.08%
33.85%—————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.92%42.31%19.23%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.19 -0.23
SD 0.87 1.06 1.45
CV 0.91 0.89 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%————19.23%
115.38%15.38%11.54%7.69%3.85%—53.85%
23.85%7.69%7.69%——3.85%23.08%
3——3.85%———3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.77%30.77%23.08%7.69%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.35 -0.23
SD 0.77 1.32 1.27
CV 0.69 0.98 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%—30.77%
115.38%7.69%23.08%———46.15%
23.85%7.69%——3.85%3.85%19.23%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.92%26.92%30.77%3.85%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.50 -0.54
SD 0.82 1.36 1.56
CV 0.86 0.91 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%————19.23%
111.54%26.92%3.85%3.85%——46.15%
23.85%3.85%11.54%3.85%——23.08%
3—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
4———————
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total26.92%46.15%19.23%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.08 +0.27
SD 1.13 0.89 1.34
CV 0.84 0.83 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%7.69%———11.54%
1—23.08%15.38%3.85%——42.31%
2—3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%—19.23%
3—19.23%3.85%———23.08%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total—53.85%34.62%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 1.62 +0.04
SD 1.09 0.80 1.46
CV 0.66 0.50 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 1 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%————19.23%
111.54%11.54%—7.69%3.85%—34.62%
27.69%11.54%7.69%7.69%—3.85%38.46%
3———————
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total30.77%30.77%15.38%15.38%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.46 +0.00
SD 1.17 1.50 1.60
CV 0.80 1.03 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%23.08%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%46.15%
17.69%15.38%3.85%7.69%—3.85%38.46%
23.85%3.85%————7.69%
3—7.69%————7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.23%50.00%7.69%11.54%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.54 -0.77
SD 0.91 1.45 1.84
CV 1.18 0.94 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%19.23%————23.08%
1—11.54%11.54%7.69%——30.77%
2—7.69%7.69%7.69%——23.08%
33.85%11.54%3.85%———19.23%
4———————
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total7.69%50.00%26.92%15.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.50 +0.08
SD 1.39 0.86 1.52
CV 0.88 0.57 —
Max 6 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%7.69%———23.08%
13.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%——19.23%
2—11.54%7.69%———19.23%
37.69%—7.69%———15.38%
47.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total26.92%30.77%34.62%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.23 +0.77
SD 1.57 0.95 1.97
CV 0.79 0.77 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%15.38%—3.85%——26.92%
17.69%19.23%3.85%3.85%——34.62%
2——7.69%11.54%——19.23%
3—7.69%———3.85%11.54%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total15.38%50.00%11.54%19.23%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.54 -0.12
SD 1.33 1.33 1.61
CV 0.94 0.87 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%11.54%——19.23%
111.54%19.23%3.85%7.69%3.85%—46.15%
211.54%3.85%11.54%———26.92%
3—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%30.77%23.08%19.23%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.50 -0.27
SD 0.86 1.17 1.66
CV 0.70 0.78 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
17.69%19.23%7.69%3.85%——38.46%
23.85%7.69%11.54%3.85%——26.92%
3—3.85%11.54%———15.38%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total11.54%38.46%42.31%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 1.46 +0.42
SD 1.24 0.81 1.33
CV 0.66 0.56 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Djurgarden 1719 52 40.13 +11.87 96.0% 25 28 36 41 45 50 58
Malmo 1696 46 36.51 +9.49 95.0% 22 26 31 37 41 46 51
Halmstad 1693 36 37.94 -1.94 45.0% 22 27 34 37 43 48 51
Orgryte 1669 44 40.19 +3.81 77.0% 27 29 36 40 44 52 53
Helsingborg 1663 38 39.02 -1.02 44.0% 22 27 34 40 43 49 52
Hammarby 1643 32 37.01 -5.01 21.0% 22 25 33 37 41 47 55
AIK Stockholm 1638 37 37.66 -0.66 51.0% 25 27 33 37 42 47 54
Norrkoping 1613 27 31.86 -4.86 25.0% 21 22 27 31 36 43 46
Orebro 1604 35 33.90 +1.10 60.0% 14 22 30 34 39 46 50
GIF Sundsvall 1600 33 33.16 -0.16 56.0% 15 23 29 33 36 45 51
Elfsborg 1594 32 31.02 +0.98 62.0% 20 21 27 31 34 40 52
Landskrona 1582 30 33.30 -3.30 33.0% 14 22 28 33 38 44 49
Goteborg 1579 28 34.00 -6.00 17.0% 18 24 30 34 37 42 47
Kalmar 1530 24 27.33 -3.33 35.0% 15 17 23 28 32 37 43

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+6.59%
No Edge
39.01%28.57%32.42%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 22.94 Elo pts.
218 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.13 goals
Neutral
-2+0.11+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
8.7
Wide Open
134512
Champion Preseason Odds
19%
Djurgarden, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Runaway
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.15 * Some Luck: 5.15 to 7.72 * Lucky: 7.72 to 10.29 * Wild Swing: 10.29 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.56 * Close: 2.56 to 3.83 * Off: 3.83 to 5.11 * Way Off: 5.11 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.07 points
As Expected
06.4316
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.00
Pinpoint
03.208
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
96.00%
Djurgarden
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
17.00%
Goteborg
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.12
Balanced
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 53.48
1.18
Coin-Flip Parity
0.951.41.652.75
Interquartile Edge
60%
Even
50%63%71.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
75%
Even
50%75%100%
Close Games
Expected
70%
Very Frequent
0%65%100%
Blowouts
Expected
12%
Rare
0%12%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.65
Hard to Predict
00.652
Matchup Imbalance
0.17
Very Even
00.30.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.62
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.40
Some Carryover
00.380.530.691
Upset Rate
Expected
31%
Very Upset-Prone
0%29%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
38%
Very Shaky
0%25%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.30
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.71
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.086
Well Within Noise
00.1220.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Djurgarden19.00%11.00%18.00%8.00%6.00%5.00%8.00%10.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%
Malmo7.00%7.00%12.00%8.00%9.00%10.00%6.00%9.00%11.00%2.00%8.00%2.00%8.00%1.00%
Orgryte17.00%15.00%12.00%11.00%13.00%9.00%1.00%7.00%2.00%7.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%—
Helsingborg11.00%13.00%9.00%16.00%8.00%10.00%6.00%5.00%4.00%6.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%
AIK Stockholm11.00%7.00%12.00%7.00%12.00%3.00%17.00%5.00%4.00%6.00%6.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%
Halmstad10.00%15.00%7.00%8.00%8.00%10.00%6.00%10.00%8.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%
Orebro5.00%2.00%5.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%11.00%6.00%9.00%6.00%13.00%9.00%8.00%6.00%
GIF Sundsvall6.00%2.00%4.00%3.00%4.00%7.00%7.00%8.00%10.00%12.00%11.00%8.00%11.00%7.00%
Hammarby6.00%14.00%5.00%8.00%10.00%13.00%7.00%7.00%11.00%4.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%
Elfsborg2.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%3.00%5.00%3.00%7.00%10.00%16.00%10.00%15.00%9.00%15.00%
Landskrona2.00%7.00%7.00%4.00%9.00%5.00%7.00%9.00%8.00%7.00%6.00%10.00%12.00%7.00%
Goteborg2.00%3.00%3.00%10.00%5.00%10.00%11.00%8.00%10.00%10.00%6.00%7.00%9.00%6.00%
Norrkoping2.00%3.00%4.00%4.00%5.00%6.00%7.00%3.00%6.00%10.00%11.00%15.00%15.00%9.00%
Kalmar———1.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%6.00%5.00%6.00%10.00%14.00%11.00%39.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Orgryte 97.00% 1.00% 2.00%
Djurgarden 92.00% 5.00% 3.00%
Helsingborg 93.00% 3.00% 4.00%
Halmstad 91.00% 4.00% 5.00%
AIK Stockholm 90.00% 4.00% 6.00%
Hammarby 90.00% 3.00% 7.00%
Malmo 89.00% 2.00% 9.00%
Orebro 77.00% 9.00% 14.00%
Goteborg 78.00% 7.00% 15.00%
GIF Sundsvall 74.00% 8.00% 18.00%
Landskrona 71.00% 10.00% 19.00%
Elfsborg 61.00% 15.00% 24.00%
Norrkoping 61.00% 15.00% 24.00%
Kalmar 36.00% 14.00% 50.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2002-04-06 Helsingborg W 6-260.8 1569 1671 25.03% 29.00% 45.97%-0.36 +18.9 3
2002-04-06 @ Landskrona L 2-660.8 1671 1569 45.97% 29.00% 25.03%+0.36 -18.9 0
2002-04-07 Elfsborg L 0-257.4 1664 1604 46.46% 28.88% 24.66%+0.38 -14.2 0
2002-04-07 @ AIK Stockholm W 2-057.4 1604 1664 24.66% 28.88% 46.46%-0.38 +14.2 3
2002-04-07 GIF Sundsvall L 0-161.8 1673 1614 46.26% 28.93% 24.82%+0.37 -7.5 0
2002-04-07 @ Halmstad W 1-061.8 1614 1673 24.82% 28.93% 46.26%-0.37 +7.5 3
2002-04-07 Norrkoping W 1-057.9 1585 1621 33.03% 30.28% 36.69%-0.06 +6.3 3
2002-04-07 @ Kalmar L 0-157.9 1621 1585 36.69% 30.28% 33.03%+0.06 -6.3 0
2002-04-08 Djurgarden L 1-263.5 1613 1641 34.15% 30.31% 35.54%-0.02 -5.7 0
2002-04-08 @ Malmo W 2-163.5 1641 1613 35.54% 30.31% 34.15%+0.02 +5.7 3
2002-04-08 Orebro D 1-168.9 1647 1631 40.39% 29.99% 29.62%+0.18 -0.3 1
2002-04-08 @ Goteborg D 1-168.9 1631 1647 29.62% 29.99% 40.39%-0.18 +0.4 1
2002-04-08 Orgryte L 2-371.0 1653 1637 40.41% 29.99% 29.60%+0.18 -6.1 0
2002-04-08 @ Hammarby W 3-271.0 1637 1653 29.60% 29.99% 40.41%-0.18 +6.1 3
2002-04-13 AIK Stockholm L 3-473.1 1647 1650 37.67% 30.23% 32.10%+0.09 -5.6 3
2002-04-13 @ Djurgarden W 4-373.1 1650 1647 32.10% 30.23% 37.67%-0.09 +5.6 3
2002-04-13 Kalmar W 2-050.6 1643 1592 45.30% 29.15% 25.54%+0.34 +9.1 6
2002-04-13 @ Orgryte L 0-250.6 1592 1643 25.54% 29.15% 45.30%-0.34 -9.1 3
2002-04-13 Landskrona L 1-361.7 1631 1588 44.27% 29.37% 26.36%+0.31 -11.9 1
2002-04-13 @ Orebro W 3-161.7 1588 1631 26.36% 29.37% 44.27%-0.31 +11.9 6
2002-04-13 Malmo L 0-352.8 1615 1607 39.15% 30.12% 30.73%+0.14 -18.2 0
2002-04-13 @ Norrkoping W 3-052.8 1607 1615 30.73% 30.12% 39.15%-0.14 +18.2 3
2002-04-14 Goteborg L 1-263.9 1622 1647 34.57% 30.31% 35.11%-0.01 -5.7 3
2002-04-14 @ GIF Sundsvall W 2-163.9 1647 1622 35.11% 30.31% 34.57%+0.01 +5.7 4
2002-04-14 Halmstad D 1-169.0 1618 1665 31.57% 30.19% 38.24%-0.11 +0.2 4
2002-04-14 @ Elfsborg D 1-169.0 1665 1618 38.24% 30.19% 31.57%+0.11 -0.2 1
2002-04-14 Hammarby W 4-263.3 1652 1647 38.87% 30.14% 30.99%+0.13 +8.2 3
2002-04-14 @ Helsingborg L 2-463.3 1647 1652 30.99% 30.14% 38.87%-0.13 -8.2 0
2002-04-21 GIF Sundsvall D 2-273.5 1600 1616 35.76% 30.31% 33.93%+0.03 -0.0 7
2002-04-21 @ Landskrona D 2-273.5 1616 1600 33.93% 30.31% 35.76%-0.03 +0.0 4
2002-04-21 Norrkoping L 1-362.8 1655 1596 46.36% 28.90% 24.74%+0.38 -12.3 3
2002-04-21 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-162.8 1596 1655 24.74% 28.90% 46.36%-0.38 +12.3 3
2002-04-21 Orgryte L 0-158.5 1626 1652 34.36% 30.31% 35.33%-0.02 -6.0 3
2002-04-21 @ Malmo W 1-058.5 1652 1626 35.33% 30.31% 34.36%+0.02 +6.1 9
2002-04-22 Djurgarden D 1-169.4 1665 1641 41.51% 29.84% 28.64%+0.22 -0.4 2
2002-04-22 @ Halmstad D 1-169.4 1641 1665 28.64% 29.84% 41.51%-0.22 +0.4 4
2002-04-22 Elfsborg L 1-266.2 1652 1619 42.88% 29.63% 27.49%+0.26 -6.7 4
2002-04-22 @ Goteborg W 2-166.2 1619 1652 27.49% 29.63% 42.88%-0.26 +6.7 7
2002-04-22 Helsingborg W 1-059.4 1620 1660 32.38% 30.25% 37.37%-0.08 +6.4 4
2002-04-22 @ Orebro L 0-159.4 1660 1620 37.37% 30.25% 32.38%+0.08 -6.4 3
2002-04-23 Hammarby D 1-167.9 1582 1638 30.34% 30.08% 39.58%-0.15 +0.3 4
2002-04-23 @ Kalmar D 1-167.9 1638 1582 39.58% 30.08% 30.34%+0.15 -0.3 1
2002-04-27 Goteborg W 1-058.0 1641 1646 37.51% 30.24% 32.25%+0.09 +5.8 7
2002-04-27 @ Djurgarden L 0-158.0 1646 1641 32.25% 30.24% 37.51%-0.09 -5.8 4
2002-04-28 Halmstad D 0-064.4 1609 1664 30.38% 30.08% 39.53%-0.15 +0.3 4
2002-04-28 @ Norrkoping D 0-064.4 1664 1609 39.53% 30.08% 30.38%+0.15 -0.3 3
2002-04-28 Kalmar D 0-064.2 1654 1583 47.96% 28.48% 23.55%+0.43 -0.9 4
2002-04-28 @ Helsingborg D 0-064.2 1583 1654 23.55% 28.48% 47.96%-0.43 +0.9 5
2002-04-28 Orebro D 1-168.3 1616 1626 36.73% 30.28% 33.00%+0.06 -0.1 5
2002-04-28 @ GIF Sundsvall D 1-168.3 1626 1616 33.00% 30.28% 36.73%-0.06 +0.1 5
2002-04-29 AIK Stockholm D 2-275.0 1658 1643 40.23% 30.01% 29.76%+0.17 -0.3 10
2002-04-29 @ Orgryte D 2-275.0 1643 1658 29.76% 30.01% 40.23%-0.17 +0.3 4
2002-04-29 Landskrona L 0-353.5 1625 1600 41.78% 29.81% 28.41%+0.22 -19.1 7
2002-04-29 @ Elfsborg W 3-053.5 1600 1625 28.41% 29.81% 41.78%-0.22 +19.1 10
2002-04-29 Malmo W 3-158.1 1638 1620 40.77% 29.94% 29.28%+0.19 +8.8 4
2002-04-29 @ Hammarby L 1-358.1 1620 1638 29.28% 29.94% 40.77%-0.19 -8.8 3
2002-05-01 Helsingborg L 0-157.9 1616 1653 32.90% 30.27% 36.82%-0.06 -5.9 5
2002-05-01 @ GIF Sundsvall W 1-057.9 1653 1616 36.82% 30.27% 32.90%+0.06 +5.9 7
2002-05-01 Norrkoping W 1-055.9 1640 1609 42.48% 29.70% 27.82%+0.25 +5.2 7
2002-05-01 @ Goteborg L 0-155.9 1609 1640 27.82% 29.70% 42.48%-0.25 -5.2 4
2002-05-02 Djurgarden D 1-168.6 1619 1647 34.04% 30.31% 35.65%-0.03 +0.1 11
2002-05-02 @ Landskrona D 1-168.6 1647 1619 35.65% 30.31% 34.04%+0.03 -0.1 8
2002-05-02 Elfsborg W 2-051.9 1626 1606 40.93% 29.92% 29.14%+0.20 +10.1 8
2002-05-02 @ Orebro L 0-251.9 1606 1626 29.14% 29.92% 40.93%-0.20 -10.1 7
2002-05-02 Hammarby D 2-274.8 1643 1647 37.62% 30.23% 32.15%+0.09 -0.1 5
2002-05-02 @ AIK Stockholm D 2-274.8 1647 1643 32.15% 30.23% 37.62%-0.09 +0.1 5
2002-05-02 Orgryte D 1-169.5 1664 1658 39.05% 30.13% 30.83%+0.13 -0.3 4
2002-05-02 @ Halmstad D 1-169.5 1658 1664 30.83% 30.13% 39.05%-0.13 +0.3 11
2002-05-03 Kalmar W 4-049.0 1611 1584 41.96% 29.78% 28.26%+0.23 +18.7 6
2002-05-03 @ Malmo L 0-449.0 1584 1611 28.26% 29.78% 41.96%-0.23 -18.7 5
2002-05-05 GIF Sundsvall D 0-063.1 1596 1610 36.13% 30.30% 33.57%+0.04 -0.1 8
2002-05-05 @ Elfsborg D 0-063.1 1610 1596 33.57% 30.30% 36.13%-0.04 +0.1 6
2002-05-05 Orebro W 3-051.1 1647 1636 39.68% 30.07% 30.25%+0.16 +15.1 11
2002-05-05 @ Djurgarden L 0-351.1 1636 1647 30.25% 30.07% 39.68%-0.16 -15.1 8
2002-05-06 AIK Stockholm D 0-063.3 1565 1643 27.63% 29.66% 42.71%-0.25 +0.6 6
2002-05-06 @ Kalmar D 0-063.3 1643 1565 42.71% 29.66% 27.63%+0.25 -0.5 6
2002-05-06 Halmstad D 2-275.0 1647 1664 35.73% 30.31% 33.96%+0.03 -0.0 6
2002-05-06 @ Hammarby D 2-275.0 1664 1647 33.96% 30.31% 35.73%-0.03 +0.0 5
2002-05-06 Landskrona D 1-167.9 1604 1619 36.02% 30.30% 33.68%+0.04 -0.1 5
2002-05-06 @ Norrkoping D 1-167.9 1619 1604 33.68% 30.30% 36.02%-0.04 +0.1 12
2002-05-07 Malmo L 2-371.5 1659 1629 42.24% 29.74% 28.02%+0.24 -6.3 7
2002-05-07 @ Helsingborg W 3-271.5 1629 1659 28.02% 29.74% 42.24%-0.24 +6.3 9
2002-05-08 Goteborg W 2-162.9 1658 1645 39.96% 30.04% 30.00%+0.16 +5.2 14
2002-05-08 @ Orgryte L 1-262.9 1645 1658 30.00% 30.04% 39.96%-0.16 -5.2 7
2002-05-12 Djurgarden W 2-165.2 1610 1662 30.87% 30.13% 39.00%-0.13 +6.2 9
2002-05-12 @ GIF Sundsvall L 1-265.2 1662 1610 39.00% 30.13% 30.87%+0.13 -6.2 11
2002-05-12 Kalmar W 1-052.8 1664 1565 51.58% 27.34% 21.08%+0.56 +4.1 8
2002-05-12 @ Halmstad L 0-152.8 1565 1664 21.08% 27.34% 51.58%-0.56 -4.1 6
2002-05-12 Orgryte W 3-161.2 1619 1663 31.86% 30.22% 37.92%-0.10 +10.6 15
2002-05-12 @ Landskrona L 1-361.2 1663 1619 37.92% 30.22% 31.86%+0.10 -10.6 14
2002-05-13 Helsingborg L 0-156.8 1596 1652 30.32% 30.08% 39.60%-0.15 -5.5 8
2002-05-13 @ Elfsborg W 1-056.8 1652 1596 39.60% 30.08% 30.32%+0.15 +5.5 10
2002-05-13 Malmo L 1-265.4 1643 1636 39.12% 30.12% 30.76%+0.14 -6.3 6
2002-05-13 @ AIK Stockholm W 2-165.4 1636 1643 30.76% 30.12% 39.12%-0.14 +6.3 12
2002-05-13 Norrkoping W 1-056.0 1621 1604 40.58% 29.97% 29.45%+0.18 +5.4 11
2002-05-13 @ Orebro L 0-156.0 1604 1621 29.45% 29.97% 40.58%-0.18 -5.4 5
2002-05-14 Hammarby W 3-159.7 1640 1647 37.11% 30.26% 32.63%+0.07 +9.5 10
2002-05-14 @ Goteborg L 1-359.7 1647 1640 32.63% 30.26% 37.11%-0.07 -9.5 6
2002-07-02 AIK Stockholm W 2-162.5 1658 1636 41.16% 29.89% 28.95%+0.20 +5.0 13
2002-07-02 @ Helsingborg L 1-262.5 1636 1658 28.95% 29.89% 41.16%-0.20 -5.0 6
2002-07-03 Goteborg L 0-154.7 1561 1649 26.54% 29.42% 44.05%-0.30 -5.0 6
2002-07-03 @ Kalmar W 1-054.7 1649 1561 44.05% 29.42% 26.54%+0.30 +5.0 13
2002-07-03 Orebro D 1-169.0 1653 1626 41.81% 29.80% 28.39%+0.22 -0.4 15
2002-07-03 @ Orgryte D 1-169.0 1626 1653 28.39% 29.80% 41.81%-0.22 +0.4 12
2002-07-04 GIF Sundsvall D 0-063.3 1598 1616 35.54% 30.31% 34.15%+0.02 -0.1 6
2002-07-04 @ Norrkoping D 0-063.3 1616 1598 34.15% 30.31% 35.54%-0.02 +0.0 10
2002-07-04 Halmstad W 2-164.7 1642 1668 34.41% 30.31% 35.27%-0.01 +5.8 15
2002-07-04 @ Malmo L 1-264.7 1668 1642 35.27% 30.31% 34.41%+0.01 -5.8 8
2002-07-04 Landskrona L 1-265.2 1638 1629 39.30% 30.11% 30.59%+0.14 -6.3 6
2002-07-04 @ Hammarby W 2-165.2 1629 1638 30.59% 30.11% 39.30%-0.14 +6.3 18
2002-07-05 Elfsborg D 1-168.8 1656 1591 47.22% 28.69% 24.10%+0.41 -0.8 12
2002-07-05 @ Djurgarden D 1-168.8 1591 1656 24.10% 28.69% 47.22%-0.41 +0.8 9
2002-07-07 Kalmar L 0-159.6 1617 1556 46.50% 28.87% 24.63%+0.38 -7.5 10
2002-07-07 @ GIF Sundsvall W 1-059.6 1556 1617 24.63% 28.87% 46.50%-0.38 +7.5 9
2002-07-07 Orebro W 4-155.7 1648 1627 41.09% 29.90% 29.01%+0.20 +12.3 18
2002-07-07 @ Malmo L 1-455.7 1627 1648 29.01% 29.90% 41.09%-0.20 -12.3 12
2002-07-08 AIK Stockholm L 2-370.2 1636 1631 38.72% 30.16% 31.12%+0.12 -5.9 18
2002-07-08 @ Landskrona W 3-270.2 1631 1636 31.12% 30.16% 38.72%-0.12 +5.9 9
2002-07-08 Halmstad W 1-058.5 1654 1662 37.03% 30.26% 32.71%+0.07 +5.8 16
2002-07-08 @ Goteborg L 0-158.5 1662 1654 32.71% 30.26% 37.03%-0.07 -5.9 8
2002-07-08 Hammarby L 1-262.4 1591 1631 32.47% 30.25% 37.28%-0.08 -5.5 9
2002-07-08 @ Elfsborg W 2-162.4 1631 1591 37.28% 30.25% 32.47%+0.08 +5.5 9
2002-07-09 Orgryte L 2-370.7 1655 1652 38.57% 30.17% 31.26%+0.12 -5.9 12
2002-07-09 @ Djurgarden W 3-270.7 1652 1655 31.26% 30.17% 38.57%-0.12 +5.9 18
2002-07-10 Helsingborg W 1-060.1 1598 1663 29.28% 29.94% 40.78%-0.19 +6.8 9
2002-07-10 @ Norrkoping L 0-160.1 1663 1598 40.78% 29.94% 29.28%+0.19 -6.8 13
2002-07-14 GIF Sundsvall L 0-257.1 1660 1609 45.29% 29.16% 25.56%+0.34 -13.9 18
2002-07-14 @ Malmo W 2-057.1 1609 1660 25.56% 29.16% 45.29%-0.34 +14.0 13
2002-07-14 Norrkoping W 3-265.8 1658 1605 45.51% 29.11% 25.39%+0.35 +4.3 21
2002-07-14 @ Orgryte L 2-365.8 1605 1658 25.39% 29.11% 45.51%-0.35 -4.3 9
2002-07-14 Orebro D 1-168.6 1637 1615 41.35% 29.87% 28.79%+0.21 -0.4 10
2002-07-14 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-168.6 1615 1637 28.79% 29.87% 41.35%-0.21 +0.4 13
2002-07-15 Djurgarden L 1-264.7 1637 1649 36.33% 30.29% 33.38%+0.05 -5.9 9
2002-07-15 @ Hammarby W 2-164.7 1649 1637 33.38% 30.29% 36.33%-0.05 +5.9 15
2002-07-15 Elfsborg D 1-166.1 1564 1586 34.99% 30.31% 34.69%+0.00 -0.0 10
2002-07-15 @ Kalmar D 1-166.1 1586 1564 34.69% 30.31% 34.99%+0.00 +0.0 10
2002-07-16 Landskrona D 1-169.1 1656 1630 41.89% 29.79% 28.32%+0.23 -0.5 9
2002-07-16 @ Halmstad D 1-169.1 1630 1656 28.32% 29.79% 41.89%-0.23 +0.5 19
2002-07-17 Goteborg W 2-163.8 1656 1660 37.53% 30.24% 32.23%+0.09 +5.5 16
2002-07-17 @ Helsingborg L 1-263.8 1660 1656 32.23% 30.24% 37.53%-0.09 -5.5 16
2002-07-21 Kalmar L 1-361.9 1630 1564 47.32% 28.66% 24.02%+0.41 -12.5 19
2002-07-21 @ Landskrona W 3-161.9 1564 1630 24.02% 28.66% 47.32%-0.41 +12.5 13
2002-07-21 Orgryte D 1-169.0 1623 1662 32.55% 30.26% 37.19%-0.08 +0.1 14
2002-07-21 @ GIF Sundsvall D 1-169.0 1662 1623 37.19% 30.26% 32.55%+0.08 -0.2 22
2002-07-22 AIK Stockholm D 1-169.2 1656 1637 40.81% 29.94% 29.25%+0.19 -0.4 10
2002-07-22 @ Halmstad D 1-169.2 1637 1656 29.25% 29.94% 40.81%-0.19 +0.4 11
2002-07-22 Hammarby W 2-163.3 1615 1631 35.87% 30.30% 33.83%+0.03 +5.7 16
2002-07-22 @ Orebro L 1-263.3 1631 1615 33.83% 30.30% 35.87%-0.03 -5.6 9
2002-07-22 Norrkoping D 2-272.8 1586 1601 35.98% 30.30% 33.72%+0.04 -0.1 11
2002-07-22 @ Elfsborg D 2-272.8 1601 1586 33.72% 30.30% 35.98%-0.04 +0.1 10
2002-07-23 Malmo L 0-454.3 1655 1646 39.35% 30.10% 30.55%+0.14 -23.8 16
2002-07-23 @ Goteborg W 4-054.3 1646 1655 30.55% 30.10% 39.35%-0.14 +23.8 21
2002-07-24 Helsingborg D 1-169.4 1655 1662 37.24% 30.25% 32.51%+0.08 -0.2 16
2002-07-24 @ Djurgarden D 1-169.4 1662 1655 32.51% 30.25% 37.24%-0.08 +0.2 17
2002-07-27 GIF Sundsvall W 3-158.6 1625 1623 38.43% 30.18% 31.39%+0.11 +9.3 12
2002-07-27 @ Hammarby L 1-358.6 1623 1625 31.39% 30.18% 38.43%-0.11 -9.3 14
2002-07-28 Orebro L 0-156.2 1576 1621 31.89% 30.22% 37.89%-0.10 -5.7 13
2002-07-28 @ Kalmar W 1-056.2 1621 1576 37.89% 30.22% 31.89%+0.10 +5.7 19
2002-07-29 Djurgarden L 0-157.0 1601 1655 30.59% 30.10% 39.31%-0.14 -5.6 10
2002-07-29 @ Norrkoping W 1-057.0 1655 1601 39.31% 30.10% 30.59%+0.14 +5.6 19
2002-07-29 Goteborg W 3-051.1 1637 1631 39.03% 30.13% 30.84%+0.13 +15.3 14
2002-07-29 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-351.1 1631 1637 30.84% 30.13% 39.03%-0.13 -15.3 16
2002-07-29 Landskrona W 2-161.1 1670 1618 45.46% 29.12% 25.43%+0.35 +4.5 24
2002-07-29 @ Malmo L 1-261.1 1618 1670 25.43% 29.12% 45.46%-0.35 -4.5 19
2002-07-30 Elfsborg W 4-153.0 1662 1586 48.67% 28.28% 23.05%+0.46 +10.2 25
2002-07-30 @ Orgryte L 1-453.0 1586 1662 23.05% 28.28% 48.67%-0.46 -10.2 11
2002-07-31 Halmstad D 0-064.9 1662 1655 39.01% 30.13% 30.86%+0.13 -0.3 18
2002-07-31 @ Helsingborg D 0-064.9 1655 1662 30.86% 30.13% 39.01%-0.13 +0.3 11
2002-08-03 Hammarby D 1-168.0 1595 1634 32.58% 30.26% 37.16%-0.07 +0.1 11
2002-08-03 @ Norrkoping D 1-168.0 1634 1595 37.16% 30.26% 32.58%+0.07 -0.1 13
2002-08-04 Helsingborg D 2-275.3 1672 1661 39.68% 30.07% 30.25%+0.16 -0.2 26
2002-08-04 @ Orgryte D 2-275.3 1661 1672 30.25% 30.07% 39.68%-0.16 +0.2 19
2002-08-04 Kalmar W 1-053.2 1661 1571 50.48% 27.71% 21.81%+0.52 +4.2 22
2002-08-04 @ Djurgarden L 0-153.2 1571 1661 21.81% 27.71% 50.48%-0.52 -4.2 13
2002-08-04 Malmo W 2-166.5 1576 1675 25.36% 29.10% 45.55%-0.35 +7.0 14
2002-08-04 @ Elfsborg L 1-266.5 1675 1576 45.55% 29.10% 25.36%+0.35 -7.0 24
2002-08-05 AIK Stockholm D 1-168.7 1614 1653 32.62% 30.26% 37.12%-0.07 +0.1 15
2002-08-05 @ GIF Sundsvall D 1-168.7 1653 1614 37.12% 30.26% 32.62%+0.07 -0.2 15
2002-08-05 Goteborg L 1-264.1 1613 1616 37.77% 30.22% 32.00%+0.09 -6.1 19
2002-08-05 @ Landskrona W 2-164.1 1616 1613 32.00% 30.22% 37.77%-0.09 +6.1 19
2002-08-05 Halmstad W 3-160.5 1626 1656 33.92% 30.31% 35.77%-0.03 +10.2 22
2002-08-05 @ Orebro L 1-360.5 1656 1626 35.77% 30.31% 33.92%+0.03 -10.2 11
2002-08-07 Norrkoping W 3-265.1 1668 1596 48.11% 28.44% 23.45%+0.44 +4.0 27
2002-08-07 @ Malmo L 2-365.1 1596 1668 23.45% 28.44% 48.11%-0.44 -4.0 11
2002-08-07 Orgryte L 1-356.1 1567 1672 24.67% 28.88% 46.44%-0.38 -7.7 13
2002-08-07 @ Kalmar W 3-156.1 1672 1567 46.44% 28.88% 24.67%+0.38 +7.7 29
2002-08-08 Djurgarden L 0-353.5 1652 1665 36.36% 30.29% 33.35%+0.05 -17.2 15
2002-08-08 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-053.5 1665 1652 33.35% 30.29% 36.36%-0.05 +17.2 25
2002-08-08 Elfsborg L 0-161.0 1646 1583 46.89% 28.77% 24.34%+0.39 -7.6 11
2002-08-08 @ Halmstad W 1-061.0 1583 1646 24.34% 28.77% 46.89%-0.39 +7.6 17
2002-08-08 GIF Sundsvall D 0-063.7 1622 1614 39.24% 30.11% 30.65%+0.14 -0.3 20
2002-08-08 @ Goteborg D 0-063.7 1614 1622 30.65% 30.11% 39.24%-0.14 +0.3 16
2002-08-08 Orebro W 3-159.9 1607 1637 33.90% 30.31% 35.79%-0.03 +10.2 22
2002-08-08 @ Landskrona L 1-359.9 1637 1607 35.79% 30.31% 33.90%+0.03 -10.2 22
2002-08-10 Hammarby D 1-169.6 1680 1634 44.50% 29.32% 26.18%+0.31 -0.6 30
2002-08-10 @ Orgryte D 1-169.6 1634 1680 26.18% 29.32% 44.50%-0.31 +0.6 14
2002-08-11 AIK Stockholm L 0-156.8 1590 1635 31.78% 30.21% 38.01%-0.10 -5.7 17
2002-08-11 @ Elfsborg W 1-056.8 1635 1590 38.01% 30.21% 31.78%+0.10 +5.7 18
2002-08-11 Goteborg W 2-052.8 1626 1621 38.84% 30.15% 31.02%+0.13 +10.6 25
2002-08-11 @ Orebro L 0-252.8 1621 1626 31.02% 30.15% 38.84%-0.13 -10.6 20
2002-08-11 Malmo L 3-474.3 1682 1672 39.62% 30.07% 30.30%+0.15 -5.8 25
2002-08-11 @ Djurgarden W 4-374.3 1672 1682 30.30% 30.07% 39.62%-0.15 +5.8 30
2002-08-12 Halmstad W 3-268.9 1614 1638 34.73% 30.31% 34.96%+0.00 +5.5 19
2002-08-12 @ GIF Sundsvall L 2-368.9 1638 1614 34.96% 30.31% 34.73%+0.00 -5.5 11
2002-08-12 Kalmar W 5-151.7 1592 1559 42.73% 29.66% 27.61%+0.26 +15.3 14
2002-08-12 @ Norrkoping L 1-551.7 1559 1592 27.61% 29.66% 42.73%-0.26 -15.3 13
2002-08-12 Landskrona L 2-371.8 1662 1617 44.36% 29.35% 26.29%+0.31 -6.5 19
2002-08-12 @ Helsingborg W 3-271.8 1617 1662 26.29% 29.35% 44.36%-0.31 +6.5 25
2002-08-17 Kalmar W 3-153.5 1635 1544 50.66% 27.65% 21.69%+0.52 +6.8 17
2002-08-17 @ Hammarby L 1-353.5 1544 1635 21.69% 27.65% 50.66%-0.52 -6.8 13
2002-08-17 Landskrona W 1-057.3 1620 1624 37.57% 30.24% 32.20%+0.09 +5.8 22
2002-08-17 @ GIF Sundsvall L 0-157.3 1624 1620 32.20% 30.24% 37.57%-0.09 -5.8 25
2002-08-17 Malmo D 2-275.5 1679 1677 38.37% 30.18% 31.45%+0.11 -0.2 31
2002-08-17 @ Orgryte D 2-275.5 1677 1679 31.45% 30.18% 38.37%-0.11 +0.2 31
2002-08-18 AIK Stockholm D 1-168.4 1607 1641 33.26% 30.29% 36.45%-0.05 +0.1 15
2002-08-18 @ Norrkoping D 1-168.4 1641 1607 36.45% 30.29% 33.26%+0.05 -0.1 19
2002-08-18 Goteborg W 2-162.7 1585 1611 34.36% 30.31% 35.33%-0.02 +5.8 20
2002-08-18 @ Elfsborg L 1-262.7 1611 1585 35.33% 30.31% 34.36%+0.02 -5.8 20
2002-08-18 Halmstad L 1-363.2 1676 1633 44.26% 29.37% 26.36%+0.31 -11.9 25
2002-08-18 @ Djurgarden W 3-163.2 1633 1676 26.36% 29.37% 44.26%-0.31 +11.9 14
2002-08-18 Orebro W 2-162.6 1655 1637 40.69% 29.95% 29.35%+0.19 +5.1 22
2002-08-18 @ Helsingborg L 1-262.6 1637 1655 29.35% 29.95% 40.69%-0.19 -5.1 25
2002-08-24 Hammarby D 1-169.6 1678 1642 43.18% 29.58% 27.24%+0.27 -0.5 32
2002-08-24 @ Malmo D 1-169.6 1642 1678 27.24% 29.58% 43.18%-0.27 +0.5 18
2002-08-25 Djurgarden L 1-262.4 1605 1664 29.92% 30.03% 40.05%-0.17 -5.2 20
2002-08-25 @ Goteborg W 2-162.4 1664 1605 40.05% 30.03% 29.92%+0.17 +5.2 28
2002-08-25 Helsingborg D 1-168.0 1537 1660 22.93% 28.23% 48.84%-0.46 +0.9 14
2002-08-25 @ Kalmar D 1-168.0 1660 1537 48.84% 28.23% 22.93%+0.46 -0.9 23
2002-08-25 Orgryte D 1-169.4 1641 1679 32.72% 30.27% 37.02%-0.07 +0.1 20
2002-08-25 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-169.4 1679 1641 37.02% 30.27% 32.72%+0.07 -0.1 32
2002-08-26 Elfsborg W 2-160.7 1618 1590 42.03% 29.77% 28.20%+0.23 +4.9 28
2002-08-26 @ Landskrona L 1-260.7 1590 1618 28.20% 29.77% 42.03%-0.23 -4.9 20
2002-08-26 GIF Sundsvall D 2-274.3 1632 1626 39.04% 30.13% 30.83%+0.13 -0.2 26
2002-08-26 @ Orebro D 2-274.3 1626 1632 30.83% 30.13% 39.04%-0.13 +0.2 23
2002-08-26 Norrkoping W 3-266.3 1644 1607 43.40% 29.54% 27.06%+0.28 +4.5 17
2002-08-26 @ Halmstad L 2-366.3 1607 1644 27.06% 29.54% 43.40%-0.28 -4.5 15
2002-08-28 Helsingborg W 3-160.3 1642 1659 35.69% 30.31% 34.00%+0.03 +9.8 21
2002-08-28 @ Hammarby L 1-360.3 1659 1642 34.00% 30.31% 35.69%-0.03 -9.8 23
2002-09-01 GIF Sundsvall W 5-258.4 1649 1626 41.49% 29.85% 28.67%+0.21 +10.6 26
2002-09-01 @ Helsingborg L 2-558.4 1626 1649 28.67% 29.85% 41.49%-0.21 -10.6 23
2002-09-01 Landskrona W 1-055.9 1670 1623 44.67% 29.29% 26.04%+0.32 +4.9 31
2002-09-01 @ Djurgarden L 0-155.9 1623 1670 26.04% 29.29% 44.67%-0.32 -4.9 28
2002-09-01 Orebro W 3-052.4 1585 1632 31.61% 30.20% 38.19%-0.11 +17.9 23
2002-09-01 @ Elfsborg L 0-352.4 1632 1585 38.19% 30.20% 31.61%+0.11 -17.9 26
2002-09-02 AIK Stockholm L 0-256.1 1652 1641 39.70% 30.07% 30.23%+0.16 -12.6 21
2002-09-02 @ Hammarby W 2-056.1 1641 1652 30.23% 30.07% 39.70%-0.16 +12.6 23
2002-09-02 Goteborg D 1-167.5 1602 1600 38.50% 30.17% 31.33%+0.12 -0.2 16
2002-09-02 @ Norrkoping D 1-167.5 1600 1602 31.33% 30.17% 38.50%-0.12 +0.2 21
2002-09-02 Halmstad L 0-161.4 1679 1649 42.34% 29.72% 27.94%+0.24 -7.0 32
2002-09-02 @ Orgryte W 1-061.4 1649 1679 27.94% 29.72% 42.34%-0.24 +7.0 20
2002-09-02 Malmo L 0-346.6 1538 1677 21.49% 27.55% 50.95%-0.53 -11.3 14
2002-09-02 @ Kalmar W 3-046.6 1677 1538 50.95% 27.55% 21.49%+0.53 +11.3 35
2002-09-10 Orgryte L 2-558.2 1600 1672 28.42% 29.81% 41.78%-0.22 -10.5 21
2002-09-10 @ Goteborg W 5-258.2 1672 1600 41.78% 29.81% 28.42%+0.22 +10.5 35
2002-09-11 Djurgarden L 0-351.0 1614 1674 29.77% 30.01% 40.22%-0.17 -14.9 26
2002-09-11 @ Orebro W 3-051.0 1674 1614 40.22% 30.01% 29.77%+0.17 +14.9 34
2002-09-11 Hammarby D 1-169.2 1656 1639 40.48% 29.98% 29.54%+0.18 -0.4 21
2002-09-11 @ Halmstad D 1-169.2 1639 1656 29.54% 29.98% 40.48%-0.18 +0.4 22
2002-09-11 Helsingborg L 0-257.3 1688 1660 42.13% 29.75% 28.11%+0.24 -13.2 35
2002-09-11 @ Malmo W 2-057.3 1660 1688 28.11% 29.75% 42.13%-0.24 +13.2 29
2002-09-12 Elfsborg W 1-056.1 1615 1603 39.82% 30.05% 30.13%+0.16 +5.5 26
2002-09-12 @ GIF Sundsvall L 0-156.1 1603 1615 30.13% 30.05% 39.82%-0.16 -5.5 23
2002-09-12 Kalmar W 2-156.1 1654 1526 55.27% 25.90% 18.82%+0.69 +3.4 26
2002-09-12 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-256.1 1526 1654 18.82% 25.90% 55.27%-0.69 -3.4 14
2002-09-12 Norrkoping L 0-159.2 1618 1602 40.37% 29.99% 29.64%+0.18 -6.8 28
2002-09-12 @ Landskrona W 1-059.2 1602 1618 29.64% 29.99% 40.37%-0.18 +6.8 19
2002-09-14 Orebro L 0-256.3 1640 1599 43.87% 29.45% 26.68%+0.29 -13.6 22
2002-09-14 @ Hammarby W 2-056.3 1599 1640 26.68% 29.45% 43.87%-0.29 +13.6 29
2002-09-15 Djurgarden L 1-361.5 1673 1689 35.82% 30.30% 33.87%+0.03 -10.2 29
2002-09-15 @ Helsingborg W 3-161.5 1689 1673 33.87% 30.30% 35.82%-0.03 +10.2 37
2002-09-15 Goteborg W 4-259.5 1675 1590 49.91% 27.90% 22.19%+0.50 +6.2 38
2002-09-15 @ Malmo L 2-459.5 1590 1675 22.19% 27.90% 49.91%-0.50 -6.2 21
2002-09-15 Halmstad D 1-169.3 1657 1656 38.34% 30.19% 31.48%+0.11 -0.2 27
2002-09-15 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-169.3 1656 1657 31.48% 30.19% 38.34%-0.11 +0.2 22
2002-09-16 Elfsborg W 3-157.4 1609 1598 39.73% 30.06% 30.21%+0.16 +9.0 22
2002-09-16 @ Norrkoping L 1-357.4 1598 1609 30.21% 30.06% 39.73%-0.16 -9.0 23
2002-09-16 GIF Sundsvall L 1-267.6 1682 1621 46.71% 28.82% 24.47%+0.39 -7.1 35
2002-09-16 @ Orgryte W 2-167.6 1621 1682 24.47% 28.82% 46.71%-0.39 +7.1 29
2002-09-16 Landskrona W 2-163.5 1523 1611 26.51% 29.41% 44.08%-0.30 +6.8 17
2002-09-16 @ Kalmar L 1-263.5 1611 1523 44.08% 29.41% 26.51%+0.30 -6.8 28
2002-09-21 Hammarby L 1-458.3 1628 1626 38.36% 30.18% 31.45%+0.11 -15.1 29
2002-09-21 @ GIF Sundsvall W 4-158.3 1626 1628 31.45% 30.18% 38.36%-0.11 +15.1 25
2002-09-21 Malmo L 0-156.5 1604 1681 27.78% 29.69% 42.53%-0.25 -5.2 28
2002-09-21 @ Landskrona W 1-056.5 1681 1604 42.53% 29.69% 27.78%+0.25 +5.2 41
2002-09-22 Kalmar D 1-166.6 1613 1530 49.54% 28.02% 22.45%+0.49 -0.9 30
2002-09-22 @ Orebro D 1-166.6 1530 1613 22.45% 28.02% 49.54%-0.49 +0.9 18
2002-09-22 Norrkoping W 6-357.6 1700 1618 49.37% 28.07% 22.56%+0.48 +8.0 40
2002-09-22 @ Djurgarden L 3-657.6 1618 1700 22.56% 28.07% 49.37%-0.48 -8.0 22
2002-09-23 AIK Stockholm W 2-055.8 1583 1657 28.20% 29.77% 42.03%-0.23 +13.2 24
2002-09-23 @ Goteborg L 0-255.8 1657 1583 42.03% 29.77% 28.20%+0.23 -13.2 27
2002-09-23 Helsingborg D 2-275.1 1656 1663 37.09% 30.26% 32.64%+0.07 -0.1 23
2002-09-23 @ Halmstad D 2-275.1 1663 1656 32.64% 30.26% 37.09%-0.07 +0.1 30
2002-09-23 Orgryte W 2-166.3 1589 1675 26.72% 29.46% 43.82%-0.29 +6.8 26
2002-09-23 @ Elfsborg L 1-266.3 1675 1589 43.82% 29.46% 26.72%+0.29 -6.8 35
2002-09-29 GIF Sundsvall W 3-159.6 1531 1613 27.21% 29.57% 43.22%-0.27 +11.7 21
2002-09-29 @ Kalmar L 1-359.6 1613 1531 43.22% 29.57% 27.21%+0.27 -11.7 29
2002-09-29 Goteborg W 2-160.2 1656 1597 46.38% 28.90% 24.72%+0.38 +4.4 26
2002-09-29 @ Halmstad L 1-260.2 1597 1656 24.72% 28.90% 46.38%-0.38 -4.4 24
2002-09-29 Landskrona W 3-156.8 1644 1599 44.37% 29.35% 26.28%+0.31 +8.1 30
2002-09-29 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-356.8 1599 1644 26.28% 29.35% 44.37%-0.31 -8.1 28
2002-09-30 Djurgarden W 4-266.0 1668 1708 32.56% 30.26% 37.18%-0.07 +9.3 38
2002-09-30 @ Orgryte L 2-466.0 1708 1668 37.18% 30.26% 32.56%+0.07 -9.3 40
2002-09-30 Elfsborg D 1-168.4 1641 1596 44.54% 29.32% 26.15%+0.32 -0.6 26
2002-09-30 @ Hammarby D 1-168.4 1596 1641 26.15% 29.32% 44.54%-0.32 +0.6 27
2002-09-30 Norrkoping L 1-460.4 1663 1610 45.57% 29.09% 25.34%+0.35 -17.2 30
2002-09-30 @ Helsingborg W 4-160.4 1610 1663 25.34% 29.09% 45.57%-0.35 +17.2 25
2002-10-01 Malmo D 2-275.0 1612 1687 28.02% 29.74% 42.24%-0.24 +0.4 31
2002-10-01 @ Orebro D 2-275.0 1687 1612 42.24% 29.74% 28.02%+0.24 -0.3 42
2002-10-06 Halmstad D 2-274.3 1591 1660 28.73% 29.86% 41.41%-0.21 +0.3 29
2002-10-06 @ Landskrona D 2-274.3 1660 1591 41.41% 29.86% 28.73%+0.21 -0.3 27
2002-10-06 Malmo W 1-061.2 1601 1686 26.85% 29.49% 43.66%-0.29 +7.2 32
2002-10-06 @ GIF Sundsvall L 0-161.2 1686 1601 43.66% 29.49% 26.85%+0.29 -7.2 42
2002-10-06 Orgryte L 1-263.3 1627 1678 31.05% 30.15% 38.80%-0.13 -5.3 25
2002-10-06 @ Norrkoping W 2-163.3 1678 1627 38.80% 30.15% 31.05%+0.13 +5.3 41
2002-10-07 AIK Stockholm L 0-157.7 1612 1652 32.49% 30.25% 37.26%-0.08 -5.8 31
2002-10-07 @ Orebro W 1-057.7 1652 1612 37.26% 30.25% 32.49%+0.08 +5.8 33
2002-10-07 Hammarby W 2-161.5 1698 1641 46.16% 28.95% 24.89%+0.37 +4.5 43
2002-10-07 @ Djurgarden L 1-261.5 1641 1698 24.89% 28.95% 46.16%-0.37 -4.5 26
2002-10-07 Helsingborg L 0-156.7 1592 1646 30.62% 30.11% 39.28%-0.14 -5.6 24
2002-10-07 @ Goteborg W 1-056.7 1646 1592 39.28% 30.11% 30.62%+0.14 +5.6 33
2002-10-07 Kalmar W 1-052.4 1596 1542 45.65% 29.07% 25.27%+0.35 +4.8 30
2002-10-07 @ Elfsborg L 0-152.4 1542 1596 25.27% 29.07% 45.65%-0.35 -4.8 21
2002-10-20 Djurgarden L 0-152.2 1538 1703 19.42% 26.32% 54.25%-0.65 -3.7 21
2002-10-20 @ Kalmar W 1-052.2 1703 1538 54.25% 26.32% 19.42%+0.65 +3.7 46
2002-10-20 GIF Sundsvall W 2-160.9 1658 1608 45.03% 29.21% 25.76%+0.33 +4.6 36
2002-10-20 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-260.9 1608 1658 25.76% 29.21% 45.03%-0.33 -4.6 32
2002-10-20 Landskrona D 0-062.4 1587 1591 37.44% 30.24% 32.32%+0.08 -0.2 25
2002-10-20 @ Goteborg D 0-062.4 1591 1587 32.32% 30.24% 37.44%-0.08 +0.2 30
2002-10-21 Norrkoping W 3-158.3 1636 1622 40.17% 30.02% 29.82%+0.17 +8.9 29
2002-10-21 @ Hammarby L 1-358.3 1622 1636 29.82% 30.02% 40.17%-0.17 -8.9 25
2002-10-21 Orebro W 2-051.0 1660 1606 45.63% 29.08% 25.29%+0.35 +9.0 30
2002-10-21 @ Halmstad L 0-251.0 1606 1660 25.29% 29.08% 45.63%-0.35 -9.0 31
2002-10-21 Orgryte W 2-055.5 1652 1683 33.64% 30.30% 36.06%-0.04 +11.8 36
2002-10-21 @ Helsingborg L 0-255.5 1683 1652 36.06% 30.30% 33.64%+0.04 -11.8 41
2002-10-22 Elfsborg D 0-065.0 1679 1601 48.91% 28.21% 22.88%+0.46 -1.0 43
2002-10-22 @ Malmo D 0-065.0 1601 1679 22.88% 28.21% 48.91%-0.46 +1.0 31
2002-10-24 GIF Sundsvall W 2-159.4 1706 1604 52.14% 27.13% 20.72%+0.58 +3.8 49
2002-10-24 @ Djurgarden L 1-259.4 1604 1706 20.72% 27.13% 52.14%-0.58 -3.8 32
2002-10-27 Elfsborg D 0-064.6 1663 1602 46.68% 28.82% 24.49%+0.39 -0.9 37
2002-10-27 @ Helsingborg D 0-064.6 1602 1663 24.49% 28.82% 46.68%-0.39 +0.8 32
2002-10-27 Halmstad L 0-547.8 1534 1669 21.88% 27.75% 50.38%-0.51 -18.5 21
2002-10-27 @ Kalmar W 5-047.8 1669 1534 50.38% 27.75% 21.88%+0.51 +18.5 33
2002-10-28 AIK Stockholm W 5-053.0 1678 1662 40.39% 29.99% 29.62%+0.18 +23.9 46
2002-10-28 @ Malmo L 0-553.0 1662 1678 29.62% 29.99% 40.39%-0.18 -23.9 36
2002-10-28 Goteborg L 0-160.9 1645 1586 46.32% 28.91% 24.77%+0.37 -7.5 29
2002-10-28 @ Hammarby W 1-060.9 1586 1645 24.77% 28.91% 46.32%-0.37 +7.5 28
2002-10-28 Landskrona W 1-054.1 1671 1592 49.11% 28.15% 22.74%+0.47 +4.4 44
2002-10-28 @ Orgryte L 0-154.1 1592 1671 22.74% 28.15% 49.11%-0.47 -4.4 30
2002-10-28 Orebro D 2-273.4 1613 1597 40.37% 29.99% 29.64%+0.18 -0.3 26
2002-10-28 @ Norrkoping D 2-273.4 1597 1613 29.64% 29.99% 40.37%-0.18 +0.3 32
2002-11-02 Djurgarden L 0-251.4 1603 1710 24.49% 28.82% 46.69%-0.39 -8.8 32
2002-11-02 @ Elfsborg W 2-051.4 1710 1603 46.69% 28.82% 24.49%+0.39 +8.8 52
2002-11-02 Hammarby L 2-367.2 1587 1638 31.08% 30.15% 38.77%-0.13 -5.0 30
2002-11-02 @ Landskrona W 3-267.2 1638 1587 38.77% 30.15% 31.08%+0.13 +5.0 32
2002-11-02 Helsingborg D 1-169.2 1638 1663 34.63% 30.31% 35.05%-0.01 +0.0 37
2002-11-02 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-169.2 1663 1638 35.05% 30.31% 34.63%+0.01 -0.0 38
2002-11-02 Kalmar L 0-254.2 1594 1515 48.98% 28.19% 22.83%+0.47 -14.8 28
2002-11-02 @ Goteborg W 2-054.2 1515 1594 22.83% 28.19% 48.98%-0.47 +14.8 24
2002-11-02 Malmo W 1-059.5 1687 1702 36.04% 30.30% 33.66%+0.04 +6.0 36
2002-11-02 @ Halmstad L 0-159.5 1702 1687 33.66% 30.30% 36.04%-0.04 -6.0 46
2002-11-02 Norrkoping D 1-167.7 1600 1613 36.30% 30.29% 33.41%+0.05 -0.1 33
2002-11-02 @ GIF Sundsvall D 1-167.7 1613 1600 33.41% 30.29% 36.30%-0.05 +0.1 27
2002-11-02 Orgryte W 3-271.3 1597 1676 27.65% 29.66% 42.68%-0.25 +6.3 35
2002-11-02 @ Orebro L 2-371.3 1676 1597 42.68% 29.66% 27.65%+0.25 -6.3 44

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2002-11-02 22.83% Kalmar 1515 2 @ Goteborg 1594 0
2 2002-07-21 24.02% Kalmar 1564 3 @ Landskrona 1630 1
3 2002-08-08 24.34% Elfsborg 1583 1 @ Halmstad 1646 0
4 2002-09-16 24.47% GIF Sundsvall 1621 2 @ Orgryte 1682 1
5 2002-07-07 24.63% Kalmar 1556 1 @ GIF Sundsvall 1617 0
6 2002-04-07 24.66% Elfsborg 1604 2 @ AIK Stockholm 1664 0
7 2002-04-21 24.74% Norrkoping 1596 3 @ AIK Stockholm 1655 1
8 2002-10-28 24.77% Goteborg 1586 1 @ Hammarby 1645 0
9 2002-04-07 24.82% GIF Sundsvall 1614 1 @ Halmstad 1673 0
10 2002-04-06 25.03% @ Landskrona 1569 6 Helsingborg 1671 2
11 2002-09-30 25.34% Norrkoping 1610 4 @ Helsingborg 1663 1
12 2002-08-04 25.36% @ Elfsborg 1576 2 Malmo 1675 1
13 2002-07-14 25.56% GIF Sundsvall 1609 2 @ Malmo 1660 0
14 2002-08-12 26.29% Landskrona 1617 3 @ Helsingborg 1662 2
15 2002-04-13 26.36% Landskrona 1588 3 @ Orebro 1631 1
16 2002-08-18 26.36% Halmstad 1633 3 @ Djurgarden 1676 1
17 2002-09-16 26.51% @ Kalmar 1523 2 Landskrona 1611 1
18 2002-09-14 26.68% Orebro 1599 2 @ Hammarby 1640 0
19 2002-09-23 26.72% @ Elfsborg 1589 2 Orgryte 1675 1
20 2002-10-06 26.85% @ GIF Sundsvall 1601 1 Malmo 1686 0
21 2002-09-29 27.21% @ Kalmar 1531 3 GIF Sundsvall 1613 1
22 2002-04-22 27.49% Elfsborg 1619 2 @ Goteborg 1652 1
23 2002-11-02 27.65% @ Orebro 1597 3 Orgryte 1676 2
24 2002-09-02 27.94% Halmstad 1649 1 @ Orgryte 1679 0
25 2002-05-07 28.02% Malmo 1629 3 @ Helsingborg 1659 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-10-28 23.95 @ Malmo 5 1678 40.39% AIK Stockholm 0 1662 29.62% 29.99%
2 2002-07-23 23.85 Malmo 4 1646 30.55% @ Goteborg 0 1655 39.35% 30.10%
3 2002-04-29 19.08 Landskrona 3 1600 28.41% @ Elfsborg 0 1625 41.78% 29.81%
4 2002-04-06 18.92 @ Landskrona 6 1569 25.03% Helsingborg 2 1671 45.97% 29.00%
5 2002-05-03 18.73 @ Malmo 4 1611 41.96% Kalmar 0 1584 28.26% 29.78%
6 2002-10-27 18.54 Halmstad 5 1669 50.38% @ Kalmar 0 1534 21.88% 27.75%
7 2002-04-13 18.19 Malmo 3 1607 30.73% @ Norrkoping 0 1615 39.15% 30.12%
8 2002-09-01 17.86 @ Elfsborg 3 1585 31.61% Orebro 0 1632 38.19% 30.20%
9 2002-08-08 17.25 Djurgarden 3 1665 33.35% @ AIK Stockholm 0 1652 36.36% 30.29%
10 2002-09-30 17.16 Norrkoping 4 1610 25.34% @ Helsingborg 1 1663 45.57% 29.09%
11 2002-07-29 15.33 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1637 39.03% Goteborg 0 1631 30.84% 30.13%
12 2002-08-12 15.33 @ Norrkoping 5 1592 42.73% Kalmar 1 1559 27.61% 29.66%
13 2002-05-05 15.12 @ Djurgarden 3 1647 39.68% Orebro 0 1636 30.25% 30.07%
14 2002-09-21 15.11 Hammarby 4 1626 31.45% @ GIF Sundsvall 1 1628 38.36% 30.18%
15 2002-09-11 14.93 Djurgarden 3 1674 40.22% @ Orebro 0 1614 29.77% 30.01%
16 2002-11-02 14.80 Kalmar 2 1515 22.83% @ Goteborg 0 1594 48.98% 28.19%
17 2002-04-07 14.22 Elfsborg 2 1604 24.66% @ AIK Stockholm 0 1664 46.46% 28.88%
18 2002-07-14 13.95 GIF Sundsvall 2 1609 25.56% @ Malmo 0 1660 45.29% 29.16%
19 2002-09-14 13.62 Orebro 2 1599 26.68% @ Hammarby 0 1640 43.87% 29.45%
20 2002-09-11 13.21 Helsingborg 2 1660 28.11% @ Malmo 0 1688 42.13% 29.75%
21 2002-09-23 13.19 @ Goteborg 2 1583 28.20% AIK Stockholm 0 1657 42.03% 29.77%
22 2002-09-02 12.65 AIK Stockholm 2 1641 30.23% @ Hammarby 0 1652 39.70% 30.07%
23 2002-07-21 12.49 Kalmar 3 1564 24.02% @ Landskrona 1 1630 47.32% 28.66%
24 2002-07-07 12.34 @ Malmo 4 1648 41.09% Orebro 1 1627 29.01% 29.90%
25 2002-04-21 12.30 Norrkoping 3 1596 24.74% @ AIK Stockholm 1 1655 46.36% 28.90%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-08-17 75.5 @ Orgryte 2 1679 38.37% Malmo 2 1677 31.45% 30.18%
2 2002-08-04 75.3 @ Orgryte 2 1672 39.68% Helsingborg 2 1661 30.25% 30.07%
3 2002-09-23 75.1 @ Halmstad 2 1656 37.09% Helsingborg 2 1663 32.64% 30.26%
4 2002-04-29 75.0 @ Orgryte 2 1658 40.23% AIK Stockholm 2 1643 29.76% 30.01%
5 2002-05-06 75.0 @ Hammarby 2 1647 35.73% Halmstad 2 1664 33.96% 30.31%
6 2002-10-01 75.0 @ Orebro 2 1612 28.02% Malmo 2 1687 42.24% 29.74%
7 2002-05-02 74.8 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1643 37.62% Hammarby 2 1647 32.15% 30.23%
8 2002-08-11 74.3 Malmo 4 1672 30.30% @ Djurgarden 3 1682 39.62% 30.07%
9 2002-08-26 74.3 @ Orebro 2 1632 39.04% GIF Sundsvall 2 1626 30.83% 30.13%
10 2002-10-06 74.3 @ Landskrona 2 1591 28.73% Halmstad 2 1660 41.41% 29.86%
11 2002-04-21 73.5 @ Landskrona 2 1600 35.76% GIF Sundsvall 2 1616 33.93% 30.31%
12 2002-10-28 73.4 @ Norrkoping 2 1613 40.37% Orebro 2 1597 29.64% 29.99%
13 2002-04-13 73.1 AIK Stockholm 4 1650 32.10% @ Djurgarden 3 1647 37.67% 30.23%
14 2002-07-22 72.8 @ Elfsborg 2 1586 35.98% Norrkoping 2 1601 33.72% 30.30%
15 2002-08-12 71.8 Landskrona 3 1617 26.29% @ Helsingborg 2 1662 44.36% 29.35%
16 2002-05-07 71.5 Malmo 3 1629 28.02% @ Helsingborg 2 1659 42.24% 29.74%
17 2002-11-02 71.3 @ Orebro 3 1597 27.65% Orgryte 2 1676 42.68% 29.66%
18 2002-04-08 71.0 Orgryte 3 1637 29.60% @ Hammarby 2 1653 40.41% 29.99%
19 2002-07-09 70.7 Orgryte 3 1652 31.26% @ Djurgarden 2 1655 38.57% 30.17%
20 2002-07-08 70.2 AIK Stockholm 3 1631 31.12% @ Landskrona 2 1636 38.72% 30.16%
21 2002-08-10 69.6 @ Orgryte 1 1680 44.50% Hammarby 1 1634 26.18% 29.32%
22 2002-08-24 69.6 @ Malmo 1 1678 43.18% Hammarby 1 1642 27.24% 29.58%
23 2002-05-02 69.5 @ Halmstad 1 1664 39.05% Orgryte 1 1658 30.83% 30.13%
24 2002-04-22 69.4 @ Halmstad 1 1665 41.51% Djurgarden 1 1641 28.64% 29.84%
25 2002-07-24 69.4 @ Djurgarden 1 1655 37.24% Helsingborg 1 1662 32.51% 30.25%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-09-02 46.6 Malmo 3 1677 50.95% @ Kalmar 0 1538 21.49% 27.55%
2 2002-10-27 47.8 Halmstad 5 1669 50.38% @ Kalmar 0 1534 21.88% 27.75%
3 2002-05-03 49.0 @ Malmo 4 1611 41.96% Kalmar 0 1584 28.26% 29.78%
4 2002-04-13 50.6 @ Orgryte 2 1643 45.30% Kalmar 0 1592 25.54% 29.15%
5 2002-09-11 51.0 Djurgarden 3 1674 40.22% @ Orebro 0 1614 29.77% 30.01%
6 2002-10-21 51.0 @ Halmstad 2 1660 45.63% Orebro 0 1606 25.29% 29.08%
7 2002-05-05 51.1 @ Djurgarden 3 1647 39.68% Orebro 0 1636 30.25% 30.07%
8 2002-07-29 51.1 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1637 39.03% Goteborg 0 1631 30.84% 30.13%
9 2002-11-02 51.4 Djurgarden 2 1710 46.69% @ Elfsborg 0 1603 24.49% 28.82%
10 2002-08-12 51.7 @ Norrkoping 5 1592 42.73% Kalmar 1 1559 27.61% 29.66%
11 2002-05-02 51.9 @ Orebro 2 1626 40.93% Elfsborg 0 1606 29.14% 29.92%
12 2002-10-20 52.2 Djurgarden 1 1703 54.25% @ Kalmar 0 1538 19.42% 26.32%
13 2002-09-01 52.4 @ Elfsborg 3 1585 31.61% Orebro 0 1632 38.19% 30.20%
14 2002-10-07 52.4 @ Elfsborg 1 1596 45.65% Kalmar 0 1542 25.27% 29.07%
15 2002-04-13 52.8 Malmo 3 1607 30.73% @ Norrkoping 0 1615 39.15% 30.12%
16 2002-05-12 52.8 @ Halmstad 1 1664 51.58% Kalmar 0 1565 21.08% 27.34%
17 2002-08-11 52.8 @ Orebro 2 1626 38.84% Goteborg 0 1621 31.02% 30.15%
18 2002-07-30 53.0 @ Orgryte 4 1662 48.67% Elfsborg 1 1586 23.05% 28.28%
19 2002-10-28 53.0 @ Malmo 5 1678 40.39% AIK Stockholm 0 1662 29.62% 29.99%
20 2002-08-04 53.2 @ Djurgarden 1 1661 50.48% Kalmar 0 1571 21.81% 27.71%
21 2002-04-29 53.5 Landskrona 3 1600 28.41% @ Elfsborg 0 1625 41.78% 29.81%
22 2002-08-08 53.5 Djurgarden 3 1665 33.35% @ AIK Stockholm 0 1652 36.36% 30.29%
23 2002-08-17 53.5 @ Hammarby 3 1635 50.66% Kalmar 1 1544 21.69% 27.65%
24 2002-10-28 54.1 @ Orgryte 1 1671 49.11% Landskrona 0 1592 22.74% 28.15%
25 2002-11-02 54.2 Kalmar 2 1515 22.83% @ Goteborg 0 1594 48.98% 28.19%