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2003 Allsvenskan Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Djurgarden

58 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Djurgarden

11.30 points above expected

58 points · 46.70 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Enkoping

13.27 points below expected

14 points · 27.27 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Djurgarden 26 19 1 6 58 62 26 +36 46.70 +11.30
2 Hammarby 26 15 6 5 51 50 30 +20 41.60 +9.40
3 Malmo 26 14 6 6 48 50 23 +27 43.75 +4.25
4 Orgryte 26 14 3 9 45 42 40 +2 37.55 +7.45
5 AIK Stockholm 26 11 6 9 39 39 34 +5 37.64 +1.36
6 Helsingborg 26 11 5 10 38 35 36 -1 34.79 +3.21
7 Goteborg 26 10 7 9 37 37 28 +9 36.46 +0.54
8 Orebro 26 10 7 9 37 29 33 -4 33.84 +3.16
9 Halmstad 26 11 3 12 36 41 37 +4 41.99 -5.99
10 Elfsborg 26 9 7 10 34 29 34 -5 31.87 +2.13
11 Landskrona 26 8 8 10 32 26 39 -13 31.73 +0.27
12 GIF Sundsvall 26 3 10 13 19 25 43 -18 31.04 -12.04
13 Oster 26 3 8 15 17 31 56 -25 27.85 -10.85
14 Enkoping 26 3 5 18 14 22 59 -37 27.27 -13.27

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Djurgarden 58 46.70 +11.30
2 Hammarby 51 41.60 +9.40
3 Orgryte 45 37.55 +7.45
4 Malmo 48 43.75 +4.25
5 Helsingborg 38 34.79 +3.21

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Enkoping 14 27.27 -13.27
2 GIF Sundsvall 19 31.04 -12.04
3 Oster 17 27.85 -10.85
4 Halmstad 36 41.99 -5.99
5 Landskrona 32 31.73 +0.27

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Malmo 5 Jun 2 – Jul 7 1 in 103
2 Orgryte 5 Sep 22 – Oct 26 1 in 71
3 Djurgarden 7 Jul 17 – Sep 16 1 in 68
4 AIK Stockholm 5 Apr 27 – May 26 1 in 62
5 Landskrona 2 Jul 28 – Aug 4 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Halmstad 5 Sep 22 – Oct 26 1 in 226
2 Oster 5 May 4 – Jun 12 1 in 83
3 Enkoping 6 Apr 18 – May 27 1 in 58
4 Malmo 2 Oct 19 – Oct 26 1 in 37
5 AIK Stockholm 3 Jul 17 – Aug 4 1 in 27

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Landskrona 6 Jun 23 – Aug 4 1 in 44
2 Hammarby 10 Apr 7 – Jun 15 1 in 35
3 AIK Stockholm 7 Apr 22 – Jun 2 1 in 22
4 Elfsborg 5 May 28 – Jun 23 1 in 17
5 Orebro 4 Apr 18 – May 12 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 GIF Sundsvall 17 Jun 1 – Oct 19 1 in 937
2 Oster 12 May 4 – Aug 4 1 in 71
3 AIK Stockholm 8 Jul 17 – Sep 14 1 in 44
4 Halmstad 5 Sep 22 – Oct 26 1 in 16
5 Malmo 5 Apr 14 – May 13 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Djurgarden 1764 58 +15 12 9.8 +2.2
Hammarby 1704 51 +48 13 8.8 +4.2
Malmo 1761 48 -16 9 10.3 -1.3
Orgryte 1641 45 +49 15 7.7 +7.3
AIK Stockholm 1621 39 +48 12 7.8 +4.2
Helsingborg 1609 38 +26 7 6.4 +0.6
Goteborg 1636 37 +3 7 6.5 +0.5
Orebro 1566 37 -4 7 5.8 +1.2
Halmstad 1620 36 -48 0 7.4 -7.4
Elfsborg 1570 34 -19 6 6.5 -0.5
Landskrona 1516 32 -20 7 6.5 +0.5
GIF Sundsvall 1498 19 -10 4 4.8 -0.8
Oster 1467 17 -38 1 4.6 -3.6
Enkoping 1436 14 -26 3 4.3 -1.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS DJU ELF ENK GS GOT HAL HAM HEL LAN MAL ORE ORG OST
AIK Stockholm —
0-1-1
2.05
1-0-1
3.04
2-0-0
3.53
1-0-1
3.35
1-0-1
3.00
1-1-0
2.51
0-1-1
2.58
0-0-2
3.35
2-0-0
3.28
1-0-1
2.33
0-2-0
2.94
1-0-1
2.86
1-1-0
3.32
Djurgarden
1-1-0
3.50
—
2-0-0
3.77
2-0-0
4.16
2-0-0
4.15
1-0-1
3.61
2-0-0
3.34
2-0-0
3.34
1-0-1
3.70
2-0-0
4.00
0-0-2
2.99
1-0-1
3.70
1-0-1
3.34
2-0-0
3.91
Elfsborg
1-0-1
2.48
0-0-2
1.78
—
0-2-0
3.21
0-2-0
2.85
2-0-0
2.34
1-1-0
2.07
0-0-2
2.22
0-1-1
2.63
1-0-1
2.97
0-1-1
1.90
1-0-1
2.60
1-0-1
2.49
2-0-0
3.19
Enkoping
0-0-2
2.01
0-0-2
1.42
0-2-0
2.32
—
1-1-0
2.41
0-0-2
1.90
0-0-2
1.72
0-0-2
1.57
1-0-1
1.99
0-1-1
2.49
0-0-2
1.30
1-0-1
2.12
0-0-2
2.21
0-1-1
2.80
GIF Sundsvall
1-0-1
2.19
0-0-2
1.43
0-2-0
2.68
0-1-1
3.12
—
0-2-0
2.08
1-0-1
1.99
0-1-1
2.07
0-0-2
2.65
1-0-1
2.69
0-2-0
2.12
0-0-2
2.50
0-0-2
2.46
0-2-0
2.97
Goteborg
1-0-1
2.53
1-0-1
1.94
0-0-2
3.20
2-0-0
3.66
0-2-0
3.46
—
0-1-1
2.45
0-1-1
2.26
1-0-1
2.87
0-1-1
3.17
2-0-0
1.89
1-1-0
2.98
1-0-1
2.85
1-1-0
3.31
Halmstad
0-1-1
3.03
0-0-2
2.19
0-1-1
3.46
2-0-0
3.83
1-0-1
3.54
1-1-0
3.08
—
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
2.95
1-0-1
3.51
0-0-2
2.64
1-0-1
3.42
1-0-1
3.25
2-0-0
3.78
Hammarby
1-1-0
2.95
0-0-2
2.20
2-0-0
3.31
2-0-0
4.00
1-1-0
3.47
1-1-0
3.27
1-0-1
2.79
—
2-0-0
3.31
1-0-1
3.31
1-0-1
2.71
1-1-0
3.44
2-0-0
3.17
0-2-0
3.80
Helsingborg
2-0-0
2.19
1-0-1
1.85
1-1-0
2.90
1-0-1
3.57
2-0-0
2.88
1-0-1
2.65
1-0-1
2.58
0-0-2
2.22
—
1-1-0
3.14
0-1-1
1.77
0-1-1
2.83
1-0-1
2.70
0-1-1
3.74
Landskrona
0-0-2
2.25
0-0-2
1.57
1-0-1
2.56
1-1-0
3.04
1-0-1
2.83
1-1-0
2.37
1-0-1
2.02
1-0-1
2.23
0-1-1
2.39
—
1-1-0
2.12
0-2-0
2.51
0-2-0
2.50
1-0-1
3.19
Malmo
1-0-1
3.24
2-0-0
2.55
1-1-0
3.64
2-0-0
4.29
0-2-0
3.44
0-0-2
3.67
2-0-0
2.88
1-0-1
2.82
1-1-0
3.77
0-1-1
3.42
—
1-0-1
3.79
1-1-0
3.05
2-0-0
3.85
Orebro
0-2-0
2.59
1-0-1
1.85
1-0-1
2.93
1-0-1
3.42
2-0-0
3.03
0-1-1
2.55
1-0-1
2.12
0-1-1
2.11
1-1-0
2.70
0-2-0
3.02
1-0-1
1.76
—
0-0-2
2.56
2-0-0
3.06
Orgryte
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.20
1-0-1
3.04
2-0-0
3.32
2-0-0
3.08
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.29
0-0-2
2.36
1-0-1
2.83
0-2-0
3.03
0-1-1
2.48
2-0-0
2.96
—
2-0-0
3.34
Oster
0-1-1
2.22
0-0-2
1.68
0-0-2
2.35
1-1-0
2.72
0-2-0
2.57
0-1-1
2.24
0-0-2
1.77
0-2-0
1.76
1-1-0
1.81
1-0-1
2.34
0-0-2
1.74
0-0-2
2.46
0-0-2
2.19
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.78 +9.9
Allowed 0.74 -10.6
Differential 0.90 +6.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.59%6.87%6.32%5.77%2.75%1.37%29.67%
16.87%10.44%7.42%3.02%0.82%0.55%29.12%
26.32%7.42%3.85%2.20%1.10%0.55%21.43%
35.77%3.02%2.20%1.10%——12.09%
42.75%0.82%1.10%—0.55%—5.22%
5+1.37%0.55%0.55%———2.47%
Total29.67%29.12%21.43%12.09%5.22%2.47%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.42 +0.00
SD 1.33 1.33 2.10
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%—11.54%3.85%——23.08%
13.85%11.54%7.69%7.69%—3.85%34.62%
211.54%7.69%————19.23%
311.54%——3.85%——15.38%
43.85%—3.85%———7.69%
5+———————
Total38.46%19.23%23.08%15.38%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.31 +0.19
SD 1.24 1.35 2.08
CV 0.83 1.03 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
13.85%—7.69%———11.54%
211.54%7.69%————19.23%
315.38%3.85%11.54%3.85%——34.62%
47.69%3.85%————11.54%
5+3.85%—3.85%———7.69%
Total42.31%23.08%26.92%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.38 1.00 +1.38
SD 1.47 1.02 2.00
CV 0.62 1.02 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%34.62%
17.69%15.38%11.54%———34.62%
23.85%11.54%3.85%———19.23%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total26.92%38.46%23.08%3.85%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.31 -0.19
SD 1.11 1.26 2.00
CV 0.99 0.96 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%11.54%11.54%11.54%3.85%50.00%
1—15.38%3.85%7.69%——26.92%
23.85%——7.69%3.85%—15.38%
3—3.85%————3.85%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total11.54%26.92%15.38%26.92%15.38%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 2.27 -1.42
SD 1.08 1.61 2.23
CV 1.28 0.71 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%15.38%7.69%——3.85%34.62%
1—19.23%11.54%3.85%3.85%—38.46%
2—7.69%11.54%3.85%——23.08%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total7.69%46.15%30.77%7.69%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.65 -0.69
SD 0.87 1.13 1.38
CV 0.91 0.68 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%3.85%———23.08%
111.54%11.54%11.54%3.85%3.85%—42.31%
27.69%—7.69%———15.38%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total38.46%26.92%26.92%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.08 +0.35
SD 1.30 1.09 1.77
CV 0.91 1.01 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%—3.85%—19.23%
17.69%7.69%11.54%3.85%——30.77%
27.69%3.85%—7.69%7.69%—26.92%
311.54%3.85%3.85%———19.23%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total34.62%23.08%19.23%11.54%11.54%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.42 +0.15
SD 1.14 1.39 1.97
CV 0.72 0.98 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%—3.85%—3.85%15.38%
115.38%11.54%—3.85%——30.77%
211.54%7.69%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
37.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
4————3.85%—3.85%
5+7.69%—————7.69%
Total46.15%26.92%7.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 1.15 +0.77
SD 1.62 1.54 2.45
CV 0.84 1.34 —
Max 7 6 +7
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%42.31%
17.69%—7.69%———15.38%
27.69%11.54%3.85%———23.08%
33.85%——3.85%——7.69%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total30.77%26.92%26.92%7.69%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.38 -0.04
SD 1.50 1.33 2.16
CV 1.11 0.96 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%—23.08%——34.62%
111.54%15.38%7.69%3.85%——38.46%
23.85%7.69%7.69%———19.23%
3—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%30.77%19.23%26.92%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.50 -0.50
SD 0.94 1.14 1.66
CV 0.94 0.76 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
13.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
211.54%11.54%7.69%———30.77%
33.85%—3.85%———7.69%
411.54%—————11.54%
5+7.69%—————7.69%
Total46.15%26.92%19.23%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 0.88 +1.04
SD 1.65 0.99 2.25
CV 0.86 1.12 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%3.85%15.38%3.85%3.85%—46.15%
111.54%3.85%3.85%———19.23%
2—15.38%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
3——3.85%———3.85%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total30.77%26.92%30.77%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.27 -0.15
SD 1.37 1.12 1.69
CV 1.22 0.88 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%—11.54%3.85%—19.23%
111.54%11.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%—34.62%
23.85%11.54%———3.85%19.23%
37.69%11.54%————19.23%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+———————
Total23.08%42.31%7.69%15.38%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.54 +0.08
SD 1.24 1.42 2.19
CV 0.76 0.92 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%7.69%7.69%7.69%—34.62%
1—15.38%11.54%——3.85%30.77%
23.85%—3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%19.23%
37.69%——3.85%——11.54%
4————3.85%—3.85%
5+———————
Total15.38%23.08%23.08%15.38%15.38%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 2.15 -0.96
SD 1.17 1.54 1.91
CV 0.98 0.72 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Djurgarden 1764 58 46.70 +11.30 99.0% 34 37 41 46 52 57 59
Malmo 1761 48 43.75 +4.25 80.0% 30 32 40 44 48 55 58
Hammarby 1704 51 41.60 +9.40 91.0% 26 30 37 41 46 53 57
Orgryte 1641 45 37.55 +7.45 91.0% 21 24 33 37 41 47 59
Goteborg 1636 37 36.46 +0.54 59.0% 14 25 32 36 41 50 54
AIK Stockholm 1621 39 37.64 +1.36 65.0% 21 24 34 37 42 48 51
Halmstad 1620 36 41.99 -5.99 18.0% 26 33 38 42 46 52 58
Helsingborg 1609 38 34.79 +3.21 72.0% 21 25 31 34 39 47 55
Elfsborg 1570 34 31.87 +2.13 62.0% 14 21 27 33 36 42 48
Orebro 1566 37 33.84 +3.16 71.0% 19 24 29 33 39 46 56
Landskrona 1516 32 31.73 +0.27 57.0% 19 23 27 31 36 41 50
GIF Sundsvall 1498 19 31.04 -12.04 2.0% 18 21 26 31 35 41 47
Oster 1467 17 27.85 -10.85 6.0% 13 17 23 29 32 37 43
Enkoping 1436 14 27.27 -13.27 2.0% 9 16 22 28 32 38 41

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.93%
Clear Edge
46.70%22.53%30.77%
Elo Value
Home Edge
133 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
055.84400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.44 goals
Neutral
-2+0.42+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.6
Open
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
38%
Djurgarden, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.27/gm
Runaway
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.23 * Some Luck: 5.23 to 7.84 * Lucky: 7.84 to 10.45 * Wild Swing: 10.45 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.04 * Close: 2.04 to 3.06 * Off: 3.06 to 4.08 * Way Off: 4.08 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.52 points
Some Luck
06.5316
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
02.556
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
99.00%
Djurgarden
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
2.00%
GIF Sundsvall
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Lopsided
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 100.65
1.87
Wide Separation
0.951.41.652.75
Interquartile Edge
65%
Slight Edge
50%63%71.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
87%
Clear Edge
50%89%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Some Drama
0%53%100%
Blowouts
Expected
24%
Very Frequent
0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.28
Very Even
00.30.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.41
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.75
Near-Lock
00.380.530.691
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Upset-Prone
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Solid Favorites
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.28
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.28
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.124
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1170.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Djurgarden38.00%19.00%13.00%14.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%—————
Hammarby13.00%14.00%18.00%14.00%8.00%10.00%5.00%3.00%5.00%4.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%—
Malmo20.00%18.00%12.00%20.00%9.00%6.00%3.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%———
Orgryte4.00%7.00%5.00%8.00%17.00%12.00%11.00%10.00%3.00%9.00%6.00%1.00%5.00%2.00%
AIK Stockholm4.00%11.00%10.00%5.00%9.00%13.00%14.00%9.00%5.00%6.00%3.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%
Helsingborg5.00%2.00%5.00%7.00%1.00%10.00%11.00%5.00%16.00%11.00%10.00%7.00%8.00%2.00%
Goteborg5.00%7.00%8.00%3.00%9.00%11.00%6.00%15.00%8.00%10.00%6.00%6.00%2.00%4.00%
Orebro1.00%5.00%5.00%6.00%6.00%4.00%9.00%8.00%12.00%7.00%11.00%12.00%9.00%5.00%
Halmstad9.00%14.00%18.00%14.00%15.00%9.00%7.00%6.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%——
Elfsborg—1.00%2.00%3.00%7.00%8.00%11.00%11.00%8.00%8.00%12.00%12.00%7.00%10.00%
Landskrona—2.00%2.00%1.00%7.00%4.00%7.00%8.00%9.00%15.00%11.00%14.00%12.00%8.00%
GIF Sundsvall1.00%—2.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%9.00%9.00%13.00%10.00%10.00%15.00%12.00%11.00%
Oster———1.00%1.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%11.00%6.00%15.00%13.00%19.00%26.00%
Enkoping———1.00%4.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%5.00%9.00%11.00%10.00%22.00%29.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Djurgarden 100% — —
Halmstad 98.00% 2.00% —
Malmo 100% — —
Hammarby 96.00% 3.00% 1.00%
AIK Stockholm 89.00% 5.00% 6.00%
Goteborg 88.00% 6.00% 6.00%
Orgryte 92.00% 1.00% 7.00%
Helsingborg 83.00% 7.00% 10.00%
Orebro 74.00% 12.00% 14.00%
Elfsborg 71.00% 12.00% 17.00%
Landskrona 66.00% 14.00% 20.00%
GIF Sundsvall 62.00% 15.00% 23.00%
Oster 42.00% 13.00% 45.00%
Enkoping 39.00% 10.00% 51.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2003-04-05 Goteborg W 2-159.9 1576 1573 46.20% 23.63% 30.17%+0.44 +6.6 3
2003-04-05 @ Landskrona L 1-259.9 1573 1576 30.17% 23.63% 46.20%-0.44 -6.6 0
2003-04-06 Enkoping W 3-049.2 1605 1574 49.87% 23.32% 26.81%+0.65 +17.4 3
2003-04-06 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-349.2 1574 1605 26.81% 23.32% 49.87%-0.65 -17.4 0
2003-04-06 Helsingborg L 1-461.8 1621 1618 46.30% 23.62% 30.08%+0.45 -22.7 0
2003-04-06 @ Orgryte W 4-161.8 1618 1621 30.08% 23.62% 46.30%-0.45 +22.8 3
2003-04-07 Elfsborg W 3-049.6 1609 1581 49.49% 23.36% 27.15%+0.63 +17.6 3
2003-04-07 @ Hammarby L 0-349.6 1581 1609 27.15% 23.36% 49.49%-0.63 -17.6 0
2003-04-07 GIF Sundsvall W 2-051.2 1639 1584 52.82% 22.97% 24.21%+0.83 +11.0 3
2003-04-07 @ Halmstad L 0-251.2 1584 1639 24.21% 22.97% 52.82%-0.83 -11.0 0
2003-04-07 Orebro W 2-051.4 1638 1586 52.42% 23.03% 24.55%+0.81 +11.1 3
2003-04-07 @ Malmo L 0-251.4 1586 1638 24.55% 23.03% 52.42%-0.81 -11.1 0
2003-04-08 Djurgarden L 0-451.6 1560 1645 33.98% 23.82% 42.20%-0.22 -27.6 0
2003-04-08 @ Oster W 4-051.6 1645 1560 42.20% 23.82% 33.98%+0.22 +27.6 3
2003-04-13 AIK Stockholm W 2-163.2 1573 1622 39.04% 23.89% 37.08%+0.05 +7.8 3
2003-04-13 @ GIF Sundsvall L 1-263.2 1622 1573 37.08% 23.89% 39.04%-0.05 -7.8 3
2003-04-13 Orgryte W 3-159.3 1564 1599 41.00% 23.86% 35.15%+0.16 +13.0 3
2003-04-13 @ Elfsborg L 1-359.3 1599 1564 35.15% 23.86% 41.00%-0.16 -13.0 0
2003-04-13 Oster L 0-358.3 1641 1532 58.93% 21.93% 19.14%+1.24 -33.2 3
2003-04-13 @ Helsingborg W 3-058.3 1532 1641 19.14% 21.93% 58.93%-1.24 +33.2 3
2003-04-14 Halmstad W 2-053.9 1673 1650 48.85% 23.42% 27.74%+0.59 +12.3 6
2003-04-14 @ Djurgarden L 0-253.9 1650 1673 27.74% 23.42% 48.85%-0.59 -12.3 3
2003-04-14 Hammarby L 2-369.2 1575 1627 38.67% 23.89% 37.45%+0.03 -7.6 0
2003-04-14 @ Orebro W 3-269.2 1627 1575 37.45% 23.89% 38.67%-0.03 +7.6 6
2003-04-14 Malmo W 3-054.7 1567 1649 34.37% 23.84% 41.79%-0.20 +24.8 3
2003-04-14 @ Goteborg L 0-354.7 1649 1567 41.79% 23.84% 34.37%+0.20 -24.8 3
2003-04-15 Landskrona D 1-168.0 1556 1583 42.27% 23.82% 33.91%+0.22 -0.4 1
2003-04-15 @ Enkoping D 1-168.0 1583 1556 33.91% 23.82% 42.27%-0.22 +0.4 4
2003-04-18 Enkoping W 3-048.3 1586 1556 49.73% 23.33% 26.94%+0.64 +17.5 3
2003-04-18 @ Orgryte L 0-348.3 1556 1586 26.94% 23.33% 49.73%-0.64 -17.5 1
2003-04-18 GIF Sundsvall W 2-160.0 1608 1581 49.33% 23.37% 27.29%+0.62 +6.1 6
2003-04-18 @ Helsingborg L 1-260.0 1581 1608 27.29% 23.37% 49.33%-0.62 -6.1 3
2003-04-18 Orebro L 2-373.7 1637 1567 54.63% 22.71% 22.65%+0.95 -10.2 3
2003-04-18 @ Halmstad W 3-273.7 1567 1637 22.65% 22.71% 54.63%-0.95 +10.2 3
2003-04-21 Elfsborg W 5-047.9 1685 1576 58.95% 21.93% 19.13%+1.24 +20.8 9
2003-04-21 @ Djurgarden L 0-547.9 1576 1685 19.13% 21.93% 58.95%-1.24 -20.8 3
2003-04-21 Goteborg D 0-064.0 1566 1591 42.31% 23.82% 33.87%+0.23 -0.4 4
2003-04-21 @ Oster D 0-064.0 1591 1566 33.87% 23.82% 42.31%-0.23 +0.4 4
2003-04-21 Landskrona D 2-275.9 1624 1583 51.14% 23.18% 25.67%+0.73 -0.9 4
2003-04-21 @ Malmo D 2-275.9 1583 1624 25.67% 23.18% 51.14%-0.73 +0.9 5
2003-04-22 AIK Stockholm D 1-170.7 1634 1614 48.47% 23.45% 28.08%+0.57 -0.9 7
2003-04-22 @ Hammarby D 1-170.7 1614 1634 28.08% 23.45% 48.47%-0.57 +0.9 4
2003-04-26 Djurgarden W 1-062.4 1578 1706 28.48% 23.49% 48.02%-0.54 +10.2 6
2003-04-26 @ Orebro L 0-162.4 1706 1578 48.02% 23.49% 28.48%+0.54 -10.2 9
2003-04-26 Helsingborg D 0-064.3 1556 1614 37.75% 23.89% 38.36%-0.02 +0.0 4
2003-04-26 @ Elfsborg D 0-064.3 1614 1556 38.36% 23.89% 37.75%+0.02 -0.0 7
2003-04-26 Oster L 0-253.7 1538 1565 42.19% 23.82% 33.99%+0.22 -17.2 1
2003-04-26 @ Enkoping W 2-053.7 1565 1538 33.99% 23.82% 42.19%-0.22 +17.2 7
2003-04-27 Halmstad D 0-065.5 1592 1627 40.96% 23.86% 35.18%+0.15 -0.3 5
2003-04-27 @ Goteborg D 0-065.5 1627 1592 35.18% 23.86% 40.96%-0.15 +0.3 4
2003-04-27 Hammarby L 0-158.7 1584 1633 38.96% 23.89% 37.16%+0.05 -8.6 5
2003-04-27 @ Landskrona W 1-058.7 1633 1584 37.16% 23.89% 38.96%-0.05 +8.6 10
2003-04-27 Malmo D 1-169.5 1575 1623 39.15% 23.88% 36.97%+0.06 -0.1 4
2003-04-27 @ GIF Sundsvall D 1-169.5 1623 1575 36.97% 23.88% 39.15%-0.06 +0.1 5
2003-04-27 Orgryte W 3-050.9 1615 1603 47.43% 23.54% 29.03%+0.51 +18.6 7
2003-04-27 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-350.9 1603 1615 29.03% 23.54% 47.43%-0.51 -18.6 3
2003-05-04 AIK Stockholm L 0-158.6 1582 1634 38.68% 23.89% 37.43%+0.03 -8.5 7
2003-05-04 @ Oster W 1-058.6 1634 1582 37.43% 23.89% 38.68%-0.03 +8.5 10
2003-05-04 Enkoping W 3-261.5 1628 1521 58.70% 21.98% 19.32%+1.22 +4.3 7
2003-05-04 @ Halmstad L 2-361.5 1521 1628 19.32% 21.98% 58.70%-1.22 -4.2 1
2003-05-04 Landskrona D 1-168.7 1585 1575 47.10% 23.56% 29.34%+0.49 -0.8 4
2003-05-04 @ Orgryte D 1-168.7 1575 1585 29.34% 23.56% 47.10%-0.49 +0.8 6
2003-05-05 GIF Sundsvall D 2-273.7 1556 1575 43.25% 23.78% 32.96%+0.28 -0.3 5
2003-05-05 @ Elfsborg D 2-273.7 1575 1556 32.96% 23.78% 43.25%-0.28 +0.3 5
2003-05-05 Malmo W 2-161.8 1642 1623 48.32% 23.47% 28.22%+0.56 +6.3 13
2003-05-05 @ Hammarby L 1-261.8 1623 1642 28.22% 23.47% 48.32%-0.56 -6.3 5
2003-05-05 Orebro D 0-065.2 1614 1588 49.23% 23.38% 27.38%+0.62 -1.1 8
2003-05-05 @ Helsingborg D 0-065.2 1588 1614 27.38% 23.38% 49.23%-0.62 +1.1 7
2003-05-06 Goteborg W 3-156.6 1696 1592 58.46% 22.03% 19.51%+1.20 +7.8 12
2003-05-06 @ Djurgarden L 1-356.6 1592 1696 19.51% 22.03% 58.46%-1.20 -7.8 5
2003-05-11 Djurgarden L 0-448.0 1517 1703 22.19% 22.62% 55.19%-0.98 -19.3 1
2003-05-11 @ Enkoping W 4-048.0 1703 1517 55.19% 22.62% 22.19%+0.98 +19.3 15
2003-05-11 Halmstad W 4-263.8 1642 1632 47.25% 23.55% 29.20%+0.50 +10.0 13
2003-05-11 @ AIK Stockholm L 2-463.8 1632 1642 29.20% 23.55% 47.25%-0.50 -10.0 7
2003-05-11 Hammarby D 0-065.6 1575 1648 35.61% 23.87% 40.52%-0.13 +0.2 6
2003-05-11 @ GIF Sundsvall D 0-065.6 1648 1575 40.52% 23.87% 35.61%+0.13 -0.2 14
2003-05-11 Oster W 2-051.5 1576 1574 46.12% 23.63% 30.24%+0.44 +13.3 9
2003-05-11 @ Landskrona L 0-251.5 1574 1576 30.24% 23.63% 46.12%-0.44 -13.3 7
2003-05-12 Elfsborg W 2-158.6 1589 1555 50.20% 23.29% 26.51%+0.67 +5.9 10
2003-05-12 @ Orebro L 1-258.6 1555 1589 26.51% 23.29% 50.20%-0.67 -5.9 5
2003-05-12 Helsingborg L 1-264.7 1584 1613 41.90% 23.83% 34.27%+0.20 -8.6 5
2003-05-12 @ Goteborg W 2-164.7 1613 1584 34.27% 23.83% 41.90%-0.20 +8.6 11
2003-05-13 Orgryte D 1-169.8 1617 1584 50.14% 23.29% 26.56%+0.67 -1.1 6
2003-05-13 @ Malmo D 1-169.8 1584 1617 26.56% 23.29% 50.14%-0.67 +1.1 5
2003-05-18 Enkoping W 4-043.8 1616 1498 59.95% 21.71% 18.34%+1.31 +16.2 9
2003-05-18 @ Malmo L 0-443.8 1498 1616 18.34% 21.71% 59.95%-1.31 -16.2 1
2003-05-18 GIF Sundsvall W 2-049.4 1723 1575 62.93% 20.97% 16.10%+1.53 +7.5 18
2003-05-18 @ Djurgarden L 0-249.4 1575 1723 16.10% 20.97% 62.93%-1.53 -7.5 6
2003-05-19 AIK Stockholm L 1-264.2 1589 1652 37.01% 23.88% 39.10%-0.05 -7.8 9
2003-05-19 @ Landskrona W 2-164.2 1652 1589 39.10% 23.88% 37.01%+0.05 +7.8 16
2003-05-19 Goteborg D 1-170.4 1648 1575 54.96% 22.66% 22.38%+0.97 -1.5 15
2003-05-19 @ Hammarby D 1-170.4 1575 1648 22.38% 22.66% 54.96%-0.97 +1.5 6
2003-05-19 Orebro W 2-052.8 1585 1595 44.51% 23.73% 31.77%+0.35 +13.8 8
2003-05-19 @ Orgryte L 0-252.8 1595 1585 31.77% 23.73% 44.51%-0.35 -13.8 10
2003-05-20 Halmstad L 0-161.1 1621 1622 45.74% 23.66% 30.61%+0.41 -9.8 11
2003-05-20 @ Helsingborg W 1-061.1 1622 1621 30.61% 23.66% 45.74%-0.41 +9.8 10
2003-05-25 Oster W 5-152.1 1581 1561 48.53% 23.45% 28.03%+0.57 +19.7 13
2003-05-25 @ Orebro L 1-552.1 1561 1581 28.03% 23.45% 48.53%-0.57 -19.7 7
2003-05-26 Djurgarden W 2-168.4 1611 1730 29.60% 23.58% 46.82%-0.48 +9.4 14
2003-05-26 @ Helsingborg L 1-268.4 1730 1611 46.82% 23.58% 29.60%+0.48 -9.4 18
2003-05-26 Malmo W 2-053.4 1660 1632 49.53% 23.35% 27.12%+0.63 +12.1 19
2003-05-26 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-253.4 1632 1660 27.12% 23.35% 49.53%-0.63 -12.1 9
2003-05-27 Hammarby L 1-257.4 1482 1646 24.37% 23.00% 52.64%-0.82 -5.5 1
2003-05-27 @ Enkoping W 2-157.4 1646 1482 52.64% 23.00% 24.37%+0.82 +5.5 18
2003-05-27 Landskrona W 3-158.1 1568 1581 43.98% 23.75% 32.26%+0.32 +12.1 9
2003-05-27 @ GIF Sundsvall L 1-358.1 1581 1568 32.26% 23.75% 43.98%-0.32 -12.1 9
2003-05-27 Orgryte W 5-259.3 1577 1599 42.84% 23.80% 33.36%+0.25 +15.2 9
2003-05-27 @ Goteborg L 2-559.3 1599 1577 33.36% 23.80% 42.84%-0.25 -15.2 8
2003-05-28 Elfsborg D 1-169.5 1632 1549 56.04% 22.48% 21.48%+1.04 -1.6 11
2003-05-28 @ Halmstad D 1-169.5 1549 1632 21.48% 22.48% 56.04%-1.04 +1.6 6
2003-06-01 GIF Sundsvall W 2-160.0 1601 1580 48.58% 23.44% 27.97%+0.58 +6.2 16
2003-06-01 @ Orebro L 1-260.0 1580 1601 27.97% 23.44% 48.58%-0.58 -6.2 9
2003-06-01 Hammarby L 0-158.2 1584 1652 36.27% 23.88% 39.86%-0.09 -8.1 8
2003-06-01 @ Orgryte W 1-058.2 1652 1584 39.86% 23.88% 36.27%+0.09 +8.1 21
2003-06-01 Landskrona W 3-048.6 1630 1569 53.52% 22.88% 23.60%+0.88 +15.6 14
2003-06-01 @ Halmstad L 0-348.6 1569 1630 23.60% 22.88% 53.52%-0.88 -15.6 9
2003-06-02 Djurgarden D 3-382.2 1672 1721 39.09% 23.88% 37.03%+0.05 -0.0 20
2003-06-02 @ AIK Stockholm D 3-382.2 1721 1672 37.03% 23.88% 39.09%-0.05 +0.1 19
2003-06-02 Enkoping L 0-456.3 1621 1476 62.66% 21.05% 16.30%+1.51 -45.8 14
2003-06-02 @ Helsingborg W 4-056.3 1476 1621 16.30% 21.05% 62.66%-1.51 +45.8 4
2003-06-02 Goteborg W 2-161.5 1551 1592 40.19% 23.87% 35.93%+0.11 +7.6 9
2003-06-02 @ Elfsborg L 1-261.5 1592 1551 35.93% 23.87% 40.19%-0.11 -7.6 9
2003-06-02 Malmo L 0-253.2 1541 1620 34.81% 23.85% 41.34%-0.17 -14.8 7
2003-06-02 @ Oster W 2-053.2 1620 1541 41.34% 23.85% 34.81%+0.17 +14.8 12
2003-06-12 Elfsborg L 1-261.3 1526 1559 41.37% 23.85% 34.78%+0.18 -8.5 7
2003-06-12 @ Oster W 2-161.3 1559 1526 34.78% 23.85% 41.37%-0.18 +8.5 12
2003-06-15 Djurgarden L 1-260.6 1554 1721 24.12% 22.96% 52.92%-0.84 -5.5 9
2003-06-15 @ Landskrona W 2-160.6 1721 1554 52.92% 22.96% 24.12%+0.84 +5.5 22
2003-06-15 Orgryte L 0-159.0 1574 1575 45.61% 23.67% 30.73%+0.41 -9.7 9
2003-06-15 @ GIF Sundsvall W 1-059.0 1575 1574 30.73% 23.67% 45.61%-0.41 +9.7 11
2003-06-15 Oster D 2-275.8 1660 1518 62.43% 21.11% 16.46%+1.49 -1.7 22
2003-06-15 @ Hammarby D 2-275.8 1518 1660 16.46% 21.11% 62.43%-1.49 +1.7 8
2003-06-16 Elfsborg D 1-166.4 1522 1567 39.56% 23.88% 36.56%+0.08 -0.1 5
2003-06-16 @ Enkoping D 1-166.4 1567 1522 36.56% 23.88% 39.56%-0.08 +0.1 13
2003-06-16 Helsingborg L 0-261.5 1672 1575 57.74% 22.17% 20.09%+1.15 -22.5 20
2003-06-16 @ AIK Stockholm W 2-061.5 1575 1672 20.09% 22.17% 57.74%-1.15 +22.5 17
2003-06-16 Orebro W 4-051.1 1584 1607 42.76% 23.80% 33.44%+0.25 +27.3 12
2003-06-16 @ Goteborg L 0-451.1 1607 1584 33.44% 23.80% 42.76%-0.25 -27.3 16
2003-06-17 Halmstad W 2-163.2 1635 1646 44.37% 23.73% 31.89%+0.34 +6.9 15
2003-06-17 @ Malmo L 1-263.2 1646 1635 31.89% 23.73% 44.37%-0.34 -6.9 14
2003-06-18 Orgryte L 1-260.6 1519 1585 36.63% 23.88% 39.49%-0.08 -7.7 8
2003-06-18 @ Oster W 2-160.6 1585 1519 39.49% 23.88% 36.63%+0.08 +7.7 14
2003-06-22 Enkoping W 4-257.9 1580 1522 53.21% 22.92% 23.87%+0.86 +8.4 19
2003-06-22 @ Orebro L 2-457.9 1522 1580 23.87% 22.92% 53.21%-0.86 -8.4 5
2003-06-23 AIK Stockholm W 2-056.7 1567 1650 34.32% 23.83% 41.84%-0.20 +17.1 16
2003-06-23 @ Elfsborg L 0-256.7 1650 1567 41.84% 23.83% 34.32%+0.20 -17.1 20
2003-06-23 GIF Sundsvall D 1-169.2 1612 1564 51.96% 23.08% 24.95%+0.78 -1.3 13
2003-06-23 @ Goteborg D 1-169.2 1564 1612 24.95% 23.08% 51.96%-0.78 +1.3 10
2003-06-23 Landskrona D 2-274.4 1597 1548 52.13% 23.06% 24.81%+0.79 -1.0 18
2003-06-23 @ Helsingborg D 2-274.4 1548 1597 24.81% 23.06% 52.13%-0.79 +1.0 10
2003-06-23 Malmo L 0-262.7 1726 1642 56.34% 22.43% 21.23%+1.06 -22.0 22
2003-06-23 @ Djurgarden W 2-062.7 1642 1726 21.23% 22.43% 56.34%-1.06 +22.0 18
2003-06-25 Hammarby W 3-161.3 1639 1658 43.16% 23.79% 33.05%+0.27 +12.3 17
2003-06-25 @ Halmstad L 1-361.3 1658 1639 33.05% 23.79% 43.16%-0.27 -12.3 22
2003-06-29 Elfsborg W 2-161.0 1549 1584 41.01% 23.86% 35.14%+0.16 +7.5 13
2003-06-29 @ Landskrona L 1-261.0 1584 1549 35.14% 23.86% 41.01%-0.16 -7.5 16
2003-06-30 Goteborg L 0-154.3 1513 1610 32.38% 23.76% 43.86%-0.31 -7.4 5
2003-06-30 @ Enkoping W 1-054.3 1610 1513 43.86% 23.76% 32.38%+0.31 +7.4 16
2003-06-30 Hammarby W 3-051.0 1704 1646 53.27% 22.91% 23.82%+0.86 +15.7 25
2003-06-30 @ Djurgarden L 0-351.0 1646 1704 23.82% 22.91% 53.27%-0.86 -15.8 22
2003-06-30 Helsingborg W 5-049.3 1664 1596 54.31% 22.76% 22.93%+0.93 +24.5 21
2003-06-30 @ Malmo L 0-549.3 1596 1664 22.93% 22.76% 54.31%-0.93 -24.5 18
2003-07-01 Orebro D 0-065.7 1633 1588 51.58% 23.13% 25.29%+0.76 -1.4 21
2003-07-01 @ AIK Stockholm D 0-065.7 1588 1633 25.29% 23.13% 51.58%-0.76 +1.4 20
2003-07-02 Halmstad W 3-162.1 1593 1651 37.72% 23.89% 38.39%-0.02 +13.9 17
2003-07-02 @ Orgryte L 1-362.1 1651 1593 38.39% 23.89% 37.72%+0.02 -13.8 17
2003-07-02 Oster D 1-166.3 1565 1512 52.68% 22.99% 24.32%+0.82 -1.3 11
2003-07-02 @ GIF Sundsvall D 1-166.3 1512 1565 24.32% 22.99% 52.68%-0.82 +1.3 9
2003-07-06 GIF Sundsvall W 3-157.4 1506 1564 37.74% 23.89% 38.37%-0.02 +13.8 8
2003-07-06 @ Enkoping L 1-357.4 1564 1506 38.37% 23.89% 37.74%+0.02 -13.8 11
2003-07-06 Orebro D 0-063.7 1557 1589 41.34% 23.85% 34.81%+0.17 -0.3 14
2003-07-06 @ Landskrona D 0-063.7 1589 1557 34.81% 23.85% 41.34%-0.17 +0.3 21
2003-07-06 Oster W 3-045.3 1637 1513 60.59% 21.56% 17.85%+1.36 +12.1 20
2003-07-06 @ Halmstad L 0-345.3 1513 1637 17.85% 21.56% 60.59%-1.36 -12.1 9
2003-07-07 AIK Stockholm L 0-257.9 1618 1631 44.01% 23.75% 32.24%+0.32 -17.8 16
2003-07-07 @ Goteborg W 2-057.9 1631 1618 32.24% 23.75% 44.01%-0.32 +17.8 24
2003-07-07 Malmo L 1-262.6 1577 1688 30.56% 23.65% 45.78%-0.42 -6.7 16
2003-07-07 @ Elfsborg W 2-162.6 1688 1577 45.78% 23.65% 30.56%+0.42 +6.7 24
2003-07-08 Helsingborg W 2-050.7 1630 1572 53.27% 22.91% 23.82%+0.86 +10.8 25
2003-07-08 @ Hammarby L 0-250.7 1572 1630 23.82% 22.91% 53.27%-0.86 -10.8 18
2003-07-09 Orgryte L 0-361.1 1720 1607 59.48% 21.81% 18.71%+1.28 -33.5 25
2003-07-09 @ Djurgarden W 3-061.1 1607 1720 18.71% 21.81% 59.48%-1.28 +33.5 20
2003-07-13 Enkoping D 0-061.4 1550 1520 49.80% 23.33% 26.87%+0.65 -1.2 12
2003-07-13 @ GIF Sundsvall D 0-061.4 1520 1550 26.87% 23.33% 49.80%-0.65 +1.2 9
2003-07-13 Halmstad L 0-348.2 1501 1649 26.15% 23.24% 50.61%-0.70 -17.1 9
2003-07-13 @ Oster W 3-048.2 1649 1501 50.61% 23.24% 26.15%+0.70 +17.1 23
2003-07-13 Landskrona D 0-063.9 1590 1556 50.19% 23.29% 26.53%+0.67 -1.2 22
2003-07-13 @ Orebro D 0-063.9 1556 1590 26.53% 23.29% 50.19%-0.67 +1.2 15
2003-07-17 Djurgarden L 0-355.7 1640 1687 39.39% 23.88% 36.73%+0.07 -23.7 20
2003-07-17 @ Orgryte W 3-055.7 1687 1640 36.73% 23.88% 39.39%-0.07 +23.7 28
2003-07-17 Goteborg L 0-260.1 1649 1600 52.14% 23.06% 24.80%+0.79 -20.5 24
2003-07-17 @ AIK Stockholm W 2-060.1 1600 1649 24.80% 23.06% 52.14%-0.79 +20.5 19
2003-07-20 Enkoping D 1-163.4 1484 1521 40.73% 23.86% 35.41%+0.14 -0.2 10
2003-07-20 @ Oster D 1-163.4 1521 1484 35.41% 23.86% 40.73%-0.14 +0.2 10
2003-07-21 Elfsborg D 0-067.0 1695 1570 60.63% 21.55% 17.82%+1.36 -2.3 25
2003-07-21 @ Malmo D 0-067.0 1570 1695 17.82% 21.55% 60.63%-1.36 +2.3 17
2003-07-21 Hammarby L 0-254.2 1561 1641 34.65% 23.84% 41.51%-0.18 -14.8 18
2003-07-21 @ Helsingborg W 2-054.2 1641 1561 41.51% 23.84% 34.65%+0.18 +14.8 28
2003-07-21 Orebro W 3-048.3 1710 1589 60.35% 21.62% 18.03%+1.34 +12.2 31
2003-07-21 @ Djurgarden L 0-348.3 1589 1710 18.03% 21.62% 60.35%-1.34 -12.2 22
2003-07-23 AIK Stockholm W 3-160.2 1616 1629 44.21% 23.74% 32.05%+0.33 +12.0 23
2003-07-23 @ Orgryte L 1-360.2 1629 1616 32.05% 23.74% 44.21%-0.33 -12.0 24
2003-07-24 Goteborg W 1-055.5 1666 1621 51.73% 23.11% 25.16%+0.77 +6.0 26
2003-07-24 @ Halmstad L 0-155.5 1621 1666 25.16% 23.11% 51.73%-0.77 -6.0 19
2003-07-28 Elfsborg W 1-054.6 1546 1573 42.24% 23.82% 33.93%+0.22 +7.7 21
2003-07-28 @ Helsingborg L 0-154.6 1573 1546 33.93% 23.82% 42.24%-0.22 -7.7 17
2003-07-28 GIF Sundsvall D 2-277.2 1693 1549 62.56% 21.07% 16.37%+1.50 -1.7 26
2003-07-28 @ Malmo D 2-277.2 1549 1693 16.37% 21.07% 62.56%-1.50 +1.7 13
2003-07-28 Landskrona L 0-163.7 1656 1558 57.84% 22.15% 20.01%+1.16 -11.9 28
2003-07-28 @ Hammarby W 1-063.7 1558 1656 20.01% 22.15% 57.84%-1.16 +11.9 18
2003-08-02 Djurgarden L 0-252.6 1565 1723 25.12% 23.11% 51.77%-0.77 -11.3 17
2003-08-02 @ Elfsborg W 2-052.6 1723 1565 51.77% 23.11% 25.12%+0.77 +11.4 34
2003-08-03 Helsingborg L 0-157.5 1551 1554 45.38% 23.68% 30.94%+0.39 -9.7 13
2003-08-03 @ GIF Sundsvall W 1-057.5 1554 1551 30.94% 23.68% 45.38%-0.39 +9.7 24
2003-08-03 Orgryte L 1-357.7 1521 1629 31.04% 23.69% 45.27%-0.39 -11.7 10
2003-08-03 @ Enkoping W 3-157.7 1629 1521 45.27% 23.69% 31.04%+0.39 +11.7 26
2003-08-04 Halmstad L 0-254.4 1576 1672 32.52% 23.77% 43.71%-0.30 -14.1 22
2003-08-04 @ Orebro W 2-054.4 1672 1576 43.71% 23.77% 32.52%+0.30 +14.1 29
2003-08-04 Hammarby L 1-363.5 1617 1644 42.08% 23.83% 34.09%+0.21 -14.9 24
2003-08-04 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-163.5 1644 1617 34.09% 23.83% 42.08%-0.21 +14.9 31
2003-08-04 Malmo W 1-061.8 1570 1691 29.32% 23.56% 47.12%-0.49 +10.0 21
2003-08-04 @ Landskrona L 0-161.8 1691 1570 47.12% 23.56% 29.32%+0.49 -10.0 26
2003-08-04 Oster W 1-048.2 1614 1484 61.28% 21.40% 17.32%+1.41 +4.3 22
2003-08-04 @ Goteborg L 0-148.2 1484 1614 17.32% 21.40% 61.28%-1.41 -4.3 10
2003-08-09 Enkoping W 3-260.3 1734 1509 69.85% 18.74% 11.41%+2.11 +2.5 37
2003-08-09 @ Djurgarden L 2-360.3 1509 1734 11.41% 18.74% 69.85%-2.11 -2.5 10
2003-08-10 AIK Stockholm D 1-171.6 1686 1602 56.33% 22.43% 21.24%+1.06 -1.7 30
2003-08-10 @ Halmstad D 1-171.6 1602 1686 21.24% 22.43% 56.33%-1.06 +1.7 25
2003-08-10 Malmo L 0-455.3 1640 1681 40.24% 23.87% 35.89%+0.12 -31.5 26
2003-08-10 @ Orgryte W 4-055.3 1681 1640 35.89% 23.87% 40.24%-0.12 +31.5 29
2003-08-11 Landskrona W 3-050.9 1479 1580 31.96% 23.74% 44.30%-0.33 +26.0 13
2003-08-11 @ Oster L 0-350.9 1580 1479 44.30% 23.74% 31.96%+0.33 -26.0 21
2003-08-11 Orebro W 1-053.8 1553 1562 44.65% 23.72% 31.63%+0.35 +7.3 20
2003-08-11 @ Elfsborg L 0-153.8 1562 1553 31.63% 23.72% 44.65%-0.35 -7.3 22
2003-08-12 GIF Sundsvall W 5-046.4 1659 1541 59.95% 21.71% 18.34%+1.31 +20.0 34
2003-08-12 @ Hammarby L 0-546.4 1541 1659 18.34% 21.71% 59.95%-1.31 -20.0 13
2003-08-13 Goteborg L 0-254.8 1564 1619 38.16% 23.89% 37.95%+0.01 -15.9 24
2003-08-13 @ Helsingborg W 2-054.8 1619 1564 37.95% 23.89% 38.16%-0.01 +15.9 25
2003-08-16 Elfsborg D 1-166.2 1521 1561 40.33% 23.87% 35.80%+0.12 -0.2 14
2003-08-16 @ GIF Sundsvall D 1-166.2 1561 1521 35.80% 23.87% 40.33%-0.12 +0.2 21
2003-08-16 Halmstad L 0-447.7 1507 1685 23.04% 22.78% 54.18%-0.92 -20.0 10
2003-08-16 @ Enkoping W 4-047.7 1685 1507 54.18% 22.78% 23.04%+0.92 +20.0 33
2003-08-16 Orgryte D 1-168.6 1554 1609 38.14% 23.89% 37.97%+0.00 -0.0 22
2003-08-16 @ Landskrona D 1-168.6 1609 1554 37.97% 23.89% 38.14%+0.00 +0.0 27
2003-08-17 Hammarby W 6-052.5 1712 1679 50.20% 23.29% 26.52%+0.67 +33.0 32
2003-08-17 @ Malmo L 0-652.5 1679 1712 26.52% 23.29% 50.20%-0.67 -33.0 34
2003-08-17 Helsingborg W 2-158.3 1555 1548 46.81% 23.59% 29.60%+0.48 +6.5 25
2003-08-17 @ Orebro L 1-258.3 1548 1555 29.60% 23.59% 46.81%-0.48 -6.5 24
2003-08-17 Oster D 1-167.6 1603 1505 57.81% 22.16% 20.03%+1.16 -1.8 26
2003-08-17 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-167.6 1505 1603 20.03% 22.16% 57.81%-1.16 +1.8 14
2003-08-23 Landskrona W 3-046.4 1736 1554 66.26% 19.99% 13.75%+1.80 +9.3 40
2003-08-23 @ Djurgarden L 0-346.4 1554 1736 13.75% 19.99% 66.26%-1.80 -9.3 22
2003-08-24 AIK Stockholm W 5-155.5 1541 1602 37.41% 23.89% 38.70%-0.03 +25.4 27
2003-08-24 @ Helsingborg L 1-555.5 1602 1541 38.70% 23.89% 37.41%+0.03 -25.5 26
2003-08-24 Malmo L 0-456.3 1705 1745 40.23% 23.87% 35.90%+0.11 -31.5 33
2003-08-24 @ Halmstad W 4-056.3 1745 1705 35.90% 23.87% 40.23%-0.11 +31.5 35
2003-08-25 Enkoping D 1-165.4 1561 1487 55.10% 22.64% 22.26%+0.98 -1.6 22
2003-08-25 @ Elfsborg D 1-165.4 1487 1561 22.26% 22.64% 55.10%-0.98 +1.5 11
2003-08-25 GIF Sundsvall W 1-050.6 1609 1521 56.71% 22.36% 20.93%+1.08 +5.1 30
2003-08-25 @ Orgryte L 0-150.6 1521 1609 20.93% 22.36% 56.71%-1.08 -5.1 14
2003-08-25 Hammarby D 4-480.3 1507 1646 27.25% 23.37% 49.38%-0.62 +0.5 15
2003-08-25 @ Oster D 4-480.3 1646 1507 49.38% 23.37% 27.25%+0.62 -0.6 35
2003-08-26 Goteborg D 2-275.4 1562 1635 35.60% 23.87% 40.53%-0.13 +0.2 26
2003-08-26 @ Orebro D 2-275.4 1635 1562 40.53% 23.87% 35.60%+0.13 -0.2 26
2003-08-31 Halmstad W 1-061.3 1544 1673 28.39% 23.48% 48.13%-0.55 +10.2 25
2003-08-31 @ Landskrona L 0-161.3 1673 1544 48.13% 23.48% 28.39%+0.55 -10.2 33
2003-08-31 Helsingborg L 0-249.9 1488 1567 34.91% 23.85% 41.24%-0.17 -14.9 11
2003-08-31 @ Enkoping W 2-049.9 1567 1488 41.24% 23.85% 34.91%+0.17 +14.9 30
2003-08-31 Orgryte W 3-050.8 1645 1614 49.93% 23.31% 26.76%+0.66 +17.4 38
2003-08-31 @ Hammarby L 0-350.8 1614 1645 26.76% 23.31% 49.93%-0.66 -17.4 30
2003-09-01 AIK Stockholm W 2-157.5 1746 1576 65.05% 20.37% 14.58%+1.70 +3.4 43
2003-09-01 @ Djurgarden L 1-257.5 1576 1746 14.58% 20.37% 65.05%-1.70 -3.4 26
2003-09-01 Elfsborg L 0-162.7 1635 1559 55.23% 22.62% 22.15%+0.99 -11.5 26
2003-09-01 @ Goteborg W 1-062.7 1559 1635 22.15% 22.62% 55.23%-0.99 +11.5 25
2003-09-01 Orebro L 0-154.9 1516 1562 39.45% 23.88% 36.67%+0.07 -8.7 14
2003-09-01 @ GIF Sundsvall W 1-054.9 1562 1516 36.67% 23.88% 39.45%-0.07 +8.7 29
2003-09-01 Oster W 3-259.9 1777 1508 73.35% 17.31% 9.34%+2.45 +2.0 38
2003-09-01 @ Malmo L 2-359.9 1508 1777 9.34% 17.31% 73.35%-2.45 -2.0 15
2003-09-14 AIK Stockholm D 0-063.7 1570 1573 45.53% 23.67% 30.80%+0.40 -0.7 30
2003-09-14 @ Orebro D 0-063.7 1573 1570 30.80% 23.67% 45.53%-0.40 +0.8 27
2003-09-14 GIF Sundsvall D 1-163.7 1506 1507 45.67% 23.66% 30.67%+0.41 -0.7 16
2003-09-14 @ Oster D 1-163.7 1507 1506 30.67% 23.66% 45.67%-0.41 +0.7 15
2003-09-14 Orgryte W 2-159.9 1663 1597 54.23% 22.77% 23.00%+0.92 +5.3 36
2003-09-14 @ Halmstad L 1-259.9 1597 1663 23.00% 22.77% 54.23%-0.92 -5.2 30
2003-09-15 Enkoping W 3-042.9 1623 1474 63.12% 20.92% 15.96%+1.55 +10.8 29
2003-09-15 @ Goteborg L 0-342.9 1474 1623 15.96% 20.92% 63.12%-1.55 -10.8 11
2003-09-15 Landskrona W 3-048.3 1571 1554 48.02% 23.49% 28.49%+0.54 +18.3 28
2003-09-15 @ Elfsborg L 0-348.3 1554 1571 28.49% 23.49% 48.02%-0.54 -18.3 25
2003-09-15 Malmo D 0-067.9 1582 1779 21.16% 22.41% 56.43%-1.07 +1.9 31
2003-09-15 @ Helsingborg D 0-067.9 1779 1582 56.43% 22.41% 21.16%+1.07 -1.9 39
2003-09-16 Djurgarden L 2-370.4 1663 1749 33.78% 23.82% 42.41%-0.23 -6.9 38
2003-09-16 @ Hammarby W 3-270.4 1749 1663 42.41% 23.82% 33.78%+0.23 +6.9 46
2003-09-20 Elfsborg W 4-050.1 1573 1589 43.70% 23.77% 32.54%+0.30 +26.7 30
2003-09-20 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-450.1 1589 1573 32.54% 23.77% 43.70%-0.30 -26.7 28
2003-09-21 Djurgarden W 2-163.8 1777 1756 48.59% 23.44% 27.97%+0.58 +6.2 42
2003-09-21 @ Malmo L 1-263.8 1756 1777 27.97% 23.44% 48.59%-0.58 -6.2 46
2003-09-21 Goteborg D 2-274.1 1508 1634 28.71% 23.51% 47.78%-0.53 +0.7 16
2003-09-21 @ GIF Sundsvall D 2-274.1 1634 1508 47.78% 23.51% 28.71%+0.53 -0.7 30
2003-09-22 Halmstad W 1-058.2 1656 1668 44.15% 23.75% 32.11%+0.33 +7.4 41
2003-09-22 @ Hammarby L 0-158.2 1668 1656 32.11% 23.75% 44.15%-0.33 -7.4 36
2003-09-22 Orebro W 2-052.1 1463 1570 31.12% 23.69% 45.19%-0.38 +18.2 14
2003-09-22 @ Enkoping L 0-252.1 1570 1463 45.19% 23.69% 31.12%+0.38 -18.2 30
2003-09-22 Oster W 4-256.8 1591 1505 56.51% 22.40% 21.09%+1.07 +7.5 33
2003-09-22 @ Orgryte L 2-456.8 1505 1591 21.09% 22.40% 56.51%-1.07 -7.5 16
2003-09-23 Helsingborg L 0-351.5 1536 1583 39.27% 23.88% 36.84%+0.06 -23.6 25
2003-09-23 @ Landskrona W 3-051.5 1583 1536 36.84% 23.88% 39.27%-0.06 +23.6 34
2003-09-24 Djurgarden W 1-063.1 1633 1750 29.89% 23.61% 46.50%-0.46 +9.9 33
2003-09-24 @ Goteborg L 0-163.1 1750 1633 46.50% 23.61% 29.89%+0.46 -9.9 46
2003-09-28 AIK Stockholm W 3-047.4 1783 1600 66.27% 19.99% 13.74%+1.80 +9.3 45
2003-09-28 @ Malmo L 0-347.4 1600 1783 13.74% 19.99% 66.27%-1.80 -9.3 30
2003-09-28 Helsingborg W 1-053.3 1740 1607 61.48% 21.35% 17.17%+1.42 +4.2 49
2003-09-28 @ Djurgarden L 0-153.3 1607 1740 17.17% 21.35% 61.48%-1.42 -4.2 34
2003-09-28 Orebro L 1-259.2 1497 1551 38.32% 23.89% 37.79%+0.01 -8.0 16
2003-09-28 @ Oster W 2-159.2 1551 1497 37.79% 23.89% 38.32%-0.01 +8.0 33
2003-09-29 Enkoping W 7-044.2 1663 1481 66.20% 20.01% 13.79%+1.79 +20.7 44
2003-09-29 @ Hammarby L 0-744.2 1481 1663 13.79% 20.01% 66.20%-1.79 -20.7 14
2003-09-29 GIF Sundsvall W 3-260.9 1512 1508 46.40% 23.61% 29.98%+0.45 +6.2 28
2003-09-29 @ Landskrona L 2-360.9 1508 1512 29.98% 23.61% 46.40%-0.45 -6.2 16
2003-09-29 Halmstad W 2-165.9 1563 1661 32.21% 23.75% 44.04%-0.32 +8.9 31
2003-09-29 @ Elfsborg L 1-265.9 1661 1563 44.04% 23.75% 32.21%+0.32 -8.9 36
2003-09-30 Goteborg W 4-158.9 1599 1643 39.70% 23.88% 36.42%+0.09 +18.8 36
2003-09-30 @ Orgryte L 1-458.9 1643 1599 36.42% 23.88% 39.70%-0.09 -18.8 33
2003-10-05 Malmo L 0-149.6 1460 1792 11.62% 18.86% 69.52%-2.08 -2.8 14
2003-10-05 @ Enkoping W 1-049.6 1792 1460 69.52% 18.86% 11.62%+2.08 +2.9 48
2003-10-05 Orgryte L 1-263.0 1559 1618 37.71% 23.89% 38.40%-0.02 -7.9 33
2003-10-05 @ Orebro W 2-163.0 1618 1559 38.40% 23.89% 37.71%+0.02 +7.9 39
2003-10-05 Oster W 4-043.2 1571 1489 56.02% 22.49% 21.50%+1.04 +18.8 34
2003-10-05 @ Elfsborg L 0-443.2 1489 1571 21.50% 22.49% 56.02%-1.04 -18.8 16
2003-10-06 Djurgarden L 1-452.6 1502 1744 17.35% 21.40% 61.24%-1.40 -9.9 16
2003-10-06 @ GIF Sundsvall W 4-152.6 1744 1502 61.24% 21.40% 17.35%+1.40 +9.9 52
2003-10-06 Hammarby L 0-159.7 1624 1684 37.52% 23.89% 38.59%-0.03 -8.3 33
2003-10-06 @ Goteborg W 1-059.7 1684 1624 38.59% 23.89% 37.52%+0.03 +8.3 47
2003-10-06 Helsingborg L 2-470.2 1652 1603 52.15% 23.06% 24.79%+0.79 -15.9 36
2003-10-06 @ Halmstad W 4-270.2 1603 1652 24.79% 23.06% 52.15%-0.79 +15.9 37
2003-10-06 Landskrona W 3-045.8 1591 1519 54.88% 22.67% 22.45%+0.96 +15.0 33
2003-10-06 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-345.8 1519 1591 22.45% 22.67% 54.88%-0.96 -14.9 28
2003-10-19 Djurgarden L 2-369.0 1636 1754 29.72% 23.59% 46.69%-0.47 -6.2 36
2003-10-19 @ Halmstad W 3-269.0 1754 1636 46.69% 23.59% 29.72%+0.47 +6.2 55
2003-10-19 GIF Sundsvall W 2-154.4 1606 1492 59.49% 21.81% 18.70%+1.28 +4.3 36
2003-10-19 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-254.4 1492 1606 18.70% 21.81% 59.49%-1.28 -4.3 16
2003-10-19 Goteborg L 1-371.1 1795 1616 65.93% 20.10% 13.97%+1.77 -21.9 48
2003-10-19 @ Malmo W 3-171.1 1616 1795 13.97% 20.10% 65.93%-1.77 +21.9 36
2003-10-20 Elfsborg W 1-054.7 1626 1590 50.43% 23.26% 26.31%+0.69 +6.3 42
2003-10-20 @ Orgryte L 0-154.7 1590 1626 26.31% 23.26% 50.43%-0.69 -6.3 34
2003-10-20 Enkoping W 3-149.2 1504 1457 51.79% 23.10% 25.10%+0.77 +9.8 31
2003-10-20 @ Landskrona L 1-349.2 1457 1504 25.10% 23.10% 51.79%-0.77 -9.8 14
2003-10-20 Helsingborg D 3-376.6 1471 1619 26.19% 23.25% 50.56%-0.69 +0.7 17
2003-10-20 @ Oster D 3-376.6 1619 1471 50.56% 23.25% 26.19%+0.69 -0.7 38
2003-10-20 Orebro D 1-171.3 1692 1551 62.26% 21.15% 16.59%+1.48 -2.2 48
2003-10-20 @ Hammarby D 1-171.3 1551 1692 16.59% 21.15% 62.26%-1.48 +2.2 34
2003-10-26 AIK Stockholm L 0-246.7 1448 1610 24.62% 23.04% 52.34%-0.80 -11.2 14
2003-10-26 @ Enkoping W 2-046.7 1610 1448 52.34% 23.04% 24.62%+0.80 +11.2 39
2003-10-26 Halmstad W 2-164.8 1488 1630 26.85% 23.32% 49.83%-0.65 +9.9 19
2003-10-26 @ GIF Sundsvall L 1-264.8 1630 1488 49.83% 23.32% 26.85%+0.65 -9.9 36
2003-10-26 Hammarby L 0-254.4 1584 1690 31.22% 23.70% 45.08%-0.38 -13.6 34
2003-10-26 @ Elfsborg W 2-054.4 1690 1584 45.08% 23.70% 31.22%+0.38 +13.6 51
2003-10-26 Landskrona D 1-169.0 1638 1514 60.60% 21.56% 17.84%+1.36 -2.1 37
2003-10-26 @ Goteborg D 1-169.0 1514 1638 17.84% 21.56% 60.60%-1.36 +2.1 32
2003-10-26 Malmo W 1-065.8 1554 1773 19.17% 21.94% 58.89%-1.23 +12.1 37
2003-10-26 @ Orebro L 0-165.8 1773 1554 58.89% 21.94% 19.17%+1.23 -12.1 48
2003-10-26 Orgryte L 1-266.4 1618 1632 43.98% 23.75% 32.27%+0.32 -8.9 38
2003-10-26 @ Helsingborg W 2-166.4 1632 1618 32.27% 23.75% 43.98%-0.32 +8.9 45
2003-10-26 Oster W 5-251.0 1760 1471 74.80% 16.66% 8.54%+2.60 +4.1 58
2003-10-26 @ Djurgarden L 2-551.0 1471 1760 8.54% 16.66% 74.80%-2.60 -4.1 17

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2003-10-19 13.97% Goteborg 1616 3 @ Malmo 1795 1
2 2003-06-02 16.30% Enkoping 1476 4 @ Helsingborg 1621 0
3 2003-07-09 18.71% Orgryte 1607 3 @ Djurgarden 1720 0
4 2003-04-13 19.14% Oster 1532 3 @ Helsingborg 1641 0
5 2003-10-26 19.17% @ Orebro 1554 1 Malmo 1773 0
6 2003-07-28 20.01% Landskrona 1558 1 @ Hammarby 1656 0
7 2003-06-16 20.09% Helsingborg 1575 2 @ AIK Stockholm 1672 0
8 2003-06-23 21.23% Malmo 1642 2 @ Djurgarden 1726 0
9 2003-09-01 22.15% Elfsborg 1559 1 @ Goteborg 1635 0
10 2003-04-18 22.65% Orebro 1567 3 @ Halmstad 1637 2
11 2003-10-06 24.79% Helsingborg 1603 4 @ Halmstad 1652 2
12 2003-07-17 24.80% Goteborg 1600 2 @ AIK Stockholm 1649 0
13 2003-10-26 26.85% @ GIF Sundsvall 1488 2 Halmstad 1630 1
14 2003-08-31 28.39% @ Landskrona 1544 1 Halmstad 1673 0
15 2003-04-26 28.48% @ Orebro 1578 1 Djurgarden 1706 0
16 2003-08-04 29.32% @ Landskrona 1570 1 Malmo 1691 0
17 2003-05-26 29.60% @ Helsingborg 1611 2 Djurgarden 1730 1
18 2003-09-24 29.89% @ Goteborg 1633 1 Djurgarden 1750 0
19 2003-04-06 30.08% Helsingborg 1618 4 @ Orgryte 1621 1
20 2003-05-20 30.61% Halmstad 1622 1 @ Helsingborg 1621 0
21 2003-06-15 30.73% Orgryte 1575 1 @ GIF Sundsvall 1574 0
22 2003-08-03 30.94% Helsingborg 1554 1 @ GIF Sundsvall 1551 0
23 2003-09-22 31.12% @ Enkoping 1463 2 Orebro 1570 0
24 2003-08-11 31.96% @ Oster 1479 3 Landskrona 1580 0
25 2003-09-29 32.21% @ Elfsborg 1563 2 Halmstad 1661 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2003-06-02 45.84 Enkoping 4 1476 16.30% @ Helsingborg 0 1621 62.66% 21.05%
2 2003-07-09 33.51 Orgryte 3 1607 18.71% @ Djurgarden 0 1720 59.48% 21.81%
3 2003-04-13 33.24 Oster 3 1532 19.14% @ Helsingborg 0 1641 58.93% 21.93%
4 2003-08-17 33.03 @ Malmo 6 1712 50.20% Hammarby 0 1679 26.52% 23.29%
5 2003-08-10 31.47 Malmo 4 1681 35.89% @ Orgryte 0 1640 40.24% 23.87%
6 2003-08-24 31.47 Malmo 4 1745 35.90% @ Halmstad 0 1705 40.23% 23.87%
7 2003-04-08 27.62 Djurgarden 4 1645 42.20% @ Oster 0 1560 33.98% 23.82%
8 2003-06-16 27.27 @ Goteborg 4 1584 42.76% Orebro 0 1607 33.44% 23.80%
9 2003-09-20 26.69 @ AIK Stockholm 4 1573 43.70% Elfsborg 0 1589 32.54% 23.77%
10 2003-08-11 26.02 @ Oster 3 1479 31.96% Landskrona 0 1580 44.30% 23.74%
11 2003-08-24 25.45 @ Helsingborg 5 1541 37.41% AIK Stockholm 1 1602 38.70% 23.89%
12 2003-04-14 24.82 @ Goteborg 3 1567 34.37% Malmo 0 1649 41.79% 23.84%
13 2003-06-30 24.51 @ Malmo 5 1664 54.31% Helsingborg 0 1596 22.93% 22.76%
14 2003-07-17 23.70 Djurgarden 3 1687 36.73% @ Orgryte 0 1640 39.39% 23.88%
15 2003-09-23 23.64 Helsingborg 3 1583 36.84% @ Landskrona 0 1536 39.27% 23.88%
16 2003-04-06 22.75 Helsingborg 4 1618 30.08% @ Orgryte 1 1621 46.30% 23.62%
17 2003-06-16 22.48 Helsingborg 2 1575 20.09% @ AIK Stockholm 0 1672 57.74% 22.17%
18 2003-06-23 22.00 Malmo 2 1642 21.23% @ Djurgarden 0 1726 56.34% 22.43%
19 2003-10-19 21.88 Goteborg 3 1616 13.97% @ Malmo 1 1795 65.93% 20.10%
20 2003-04-21 20.78 @ Djurgarden 5 1685 58.95% Elfsborg 0 1576 19.13% 21.93%
21 2003-09-29 20.70 @ Hammarby 7 1663 66.20% Enkoping 0 1481 13.79% 20.01%
22 2003-07-17 20.55 Goteborg 2 1600 24.80% @ AIK Stockholm 0 1649 52.14% 23.06%
23 2003-08-12 19.98 @ Hammarby 5 1659 59.95% GIF Sundsvall 0 1541 18.34% 21.71%
24 2003-08-16 19.97 Halmstad 4 1685 54.18% @ Enkoping 0 1507 23.04% 22.78%
25 2003-05-25 19.70 @ Orebro 5 1581 48.53% Oster 1 1561 28.03% 23.45%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2003-06-02 82.2 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1672 39.09% Djurgarden 3 1721 37.03% 23.88%
2 2003-08-25 80.3 @ Oster 4 1507 27.25% Hammarby 4 1646 49.38% 23.37%
3 2003-07-28 77.2 @ Malmo 2 1693 62.56% GIF Sundsvall 2 1549 16.37% 21.07%
4 2003-10-20 76.6 @ Oster 3 1471 26.19% Helsingborg 3 1619 50.56% 23.25%
5 2003-04-21 75.9 @ Malmo 2 1624 51.14% Landskrona 2 1583 25.67% 23.18%
6 2003-06-15 75.8 @ Hammarby 2 1660 62.43% Oster 2 1518 16.46% 21.11%
7 2003-08-26 75.4 @ Orebro 2 1562 35.60% Goteborg 2 1635 40.53% 23.87%
8 2003-06-23 74.4 @ Helsingborg 2 1597 52.13% Landskrona 2 1548 24.81% 23.06%
9 2003-09-21 74.1 @ GIF Sundsvall 2 1508 28.71% Goteborg 2 1634 47.78% 23.51%
10 2003-04-18 73.7 Orebro 3 1567 22.65% @ Halmstad 2 1637 54.63% 22.71%
11 2003-05-05 73.7 @ Elfsborg 2 1556 43.25% GIF Sundsvall 2 1575 32.96% 23.78%
12 2003-08-10 71.6 @ Halmstad 1 1686 56.33% AIK Stockholm 1 1602 21.24% 22.43%
13 2003-10-20 71.3 @ Hammarby 1 1692 62.26% Orebro 1 1551 16.59% 21.15%
14 2003-10-19 71.1 Goteborg 3 1616 13.97% @ Malmo 1 1795 65.93% 20.10%
15 2003-04-22 70.7 @ Hammarby 1 1634 48.47% AIK Stockholm 1 1614 28.08% 23.45%
16 2003-05-19 70.4 @ Hammarby 1 1648 54.96% Goteborg 1 1575 22.38% 22.66%
17 2003-09-16 70.4 Djurgarden 3 1749 42.41% @ Hammarby 2 1663 33.78% 23.82%
18 2003-10-06 70.2 Helsingborg 4 1603 24.79% @ Halmstad 2 1652 52.15% 23.06%
19 2003-05-13 69.8 @ Malmo 1 1617 50.14% Orgryte 1 1584 26.56% 23.29%
20 2003-04-27 69.5 @ GIF Sundsvall 1 1575 39.15% Malmo 1 1623 36.97% 23.88%
21 2003-05-28 69.5 @ Halmstad 1 1632 56.04% Elfsborg 1 1549 21.48% 22.48%
22 2003-04-14 69.2 Hammarby 3 1627 37.45% @ Orebro 2 1575 38.67% 23.89%
23 2003-06-23 69.2 @ Goteborg 1 1612 51.96% GIF Sundsvall 1 1564 24.95% 23.08%
24 2003-10-19 69.0 Djurgarden 3 1754 46.69% @ Halmstad 2 1636 29.72% 23.59%
25 2003-10-26 69.0 @ Goteborg 1 1638 60.60% Landskrona 1 1514 17.84% 21.56%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2003-09-15 42.9 @ Goteborg 3 1623 63.12% Enkoping 0 1474 15.96% 20.92%
2 2003-10-05 43.2 @ Elfsborg 4 1571 56.02% Oster 0 1489 21.50% 22.49%
3 2003-05-18 43.8 @ Malmo 4 1616 59.95% Enkoping 0 1498 18.34% 21.71%
4 2003-09-29 44.2 @ Hammarby 7 1663 66.20% Enkoping 0 1481 13.79% 20.01%
5 2003-07-06 45.3 @ Halmstad 3 1637 60.59% Oster 0 1513 17.85% 21.56%
6 2003-10-06 45.8 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1591 54.88% Landskrona 0 1519 22.45% 22.67%
7 2003-08-12 46.4 @ Hammarby 5 1659 59.95% GIF Sundsvall 0 1541 18.34% 21.71%
8 2003-08-23 46.4 @ Djurgarden 3 1736 66.26% Landskrona 0 1554 13.75% 19.99%
9 2003-10-26 46.7 AIK Stockholm 2 1610 52.34% @ Enkoping 0 1448 24.62% 23.04%
10 2003-09-28 47.4 @ Malmo 3 1783 66.27% AIK Stockholm 0 1600 13.74% 19.99%
11 2003-08-16 47.7 Halmstad 4 1685 54.18% @ Enkoping 0 1507 23.04% 22.78%
12 2003-04-21 47.9 @ Djurgarden 5 1685 58.95% Elfsborg 0 1576 19.13% 21.93%
13 2003-05-11 48.0 Djurgarden 4 1703 55.19% @ Enkoping 0 1517 22.19% 22.62%
14 2003-07-13 48.2 Halmstad 3 1649 50.61% @ Oster 0 1501 26.15% 23.24%
15 2003-08-04 48.2 @ Goteborg 1 1614 61.28% Oster 0 1484 17.32% 21.40%
16 2003-04-18 48.3 @ Orgryte 3 1586 49.73% Enkoping 0 1556 26.94% 23.33%
17 2003-07-21 48.3 @ Djurgarden 3 1710 60.35% Orebro 0 1589 18.03% 21.62%
18 2003-09-15 48.3 @ Elfsborg 3 1571 48.02% Landskrona 0 1554 28.49% 23.49%
19 2003-06-01 48.6 @ Halmstad 3 1630 53.52% Landskrona 0 1569 23.60% 22.88%
20 2003-04-06 49.2 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1605 49.87% Enkoping 0 1574 26.81% 23.32%
21 2003-10-20 49.2 @ Landskrona 3 1504 51.79% Enkoping 1 1457 25.10% 23.10%
22 2003-06-30 49.3 @ Malmo 5 1664 54.31% Helsingborg 0 1596 22.93% 22.76%
23 2003-05-18 49.4 @ Djurgarden 2 1723 62.93% GIF Sundsvall 0 1575 16.10% 20.97%
24 2003-04-07 49.6 @ Hammarby 3 1609 49.49% Elfsborg 0 1581 27.15% 23.36%
25 2003-10-05 49.6 Malmo 1 1792 69.52% @ Enkoping 0 1460 11.62% 18.86%