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2004 Allsvenskan Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Malmo

52 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Halmstad

9.69 points above expected

50 points · 40.31 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Trelleborg

12.06 points below expected

13 points · 25.06 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Malmo 26 15 7 4 52 44 21 +23 47.44 +4.56
2 Halmstad 26 14 8 4 50 53 27 +26 40.31 +9.69
3 Goteborg 26 14 5 7 47 33 20 +13 40.02 +6.98
4 Djurgarden 26 11 8 7 41 38 32 +6 39.46 +1.54
5 Kalmar 26 10 10 6 40 27 18 +9 35.70 +4.30
6 Hammarby 26 10 7 9 37 28 28 0 39.40 -2.40
7 Orebro 26 9 6 11 33 32 45 -13 29.18 +3.82
8 GIF Sundsvall 26 8 8 10 32 28 30 -2 30.53 +1.47
9 Elfsborg 26 8 8 10 32 25 32 -7 29.79 +2.21
10 Helsingborg 26 7 9 10 30 41 33 +8 35.80 -5.80
11 Landskrona 26 7 9 10 30 27 33 -6 29.95 +0.05
12 Orgryte 26 6 10 10 28 25 33 -8 34.21 -6.21
13 AIK Stockholm 26 5 10 11 25 23 35 -12 32.48 -7.48
14 Trelleborg 26 2 7 17 13 18 55 -37 25.06 -12.06

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Halmstad 50 40.31 +9.69
2 Goteborg 47 40.02 +6.98
3 Malmo 52 47.44 +4.56
4 Kalmar 40 35.70 +4.30
5 Orebro 33 29.18 +3.82

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Trelleborg 13 25.06 -12.06
2 AIK Stockholm 25 32.48 -7.48
3 Orgryte 28 34.21 -6.21
4 Helsingborg 30 35.80 -5.80
5 Hammarby 37 39.40 -2.40

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Goteborg 7 Aug 3 – Sep 19 1 in 254
2 Orebro 4 Oct 3 – Oct 30 1 in 116
3 Halmstad 5 Apr 25 – May 16 1 in 68
4 Kalmar 3 Apr 24 – May 9 1 in 40
5 Elfsborg 3 May 24 – Jul 11 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Trelleborg 7 May 13 – Jul 25 1 in 571
2 Malmo 2 Oct 3 – Oct 18 1 in 41
3 Djurgarden 2 May 2 – May 9 1 in 26
4 Elfsborg 4 Apr 5 – Apr 24 1 in 25
5 Goteborg 2 Oct 17 – Oct 25 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 GIF Sundsvall 8 May 9 – Jul 25 1 in 83
2 Landskrona 5 Sep 22 – Oct 24 1 in 22
3 Kalmar 8 Jul 31 – Sep 23 1 in 16
4 Elfsborg 6 May 24 – Aug 2 1 in 14
5 Halmstad 8 Apr 5 – May 16 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Trelleborg 20 May 13 – Oct 30 1 in 149
2 AIK Stockholm 10 Aug 12 – Oct 24 1 in 45
3 Hammarby 7 Jul 27 – Sep 11 1 in 39
4 Malmo 4 May 3 – May 17 1 in 22
5 Landskrona 9 May 17 – Aug 14 1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Malmo 1704 52 -8 9 9.5 -0.5
Halmstad 1659 50 +27 11 8.5 +2.5
Goteborg 1624 47 +3 7 7.2 -0.2
Djurgarden 1616 41 +19 12 8.1 +3.9
Kalmar 1585 40 +13 6 5.8 +0.2
Hammarby 1568 37 -23 5 7.3 -2.3
Orebro 1508 33 +29 12 5.9 +6.1
GIF Sundsvall 1517 32 +12 7 5.5 +1.5
Elfsborg 1524 32 +1 4 5.1 -1.1
Landskrona 1497 30 +26 10 5.6 +4.4
Helsingborg 1577 30 -18 4 7.5 -3.5
Orgryte 1527 28 -10 5 7.4 -2.4
AIK Stockholm 1489 25 -19 5 6.8 -1.8
Trelleborg 1352 13 -52 1 4.4 -3.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS DJU ELF GS GOT HAL HAM HEL KAL LAN MAL ORE ORG TRE
AIK Stockholm —
0-1-1
2.07
0-1-1
2.77
1-1-0
2.93
1-0-1
2.05
1-0-1
2.15
0-1-1
2.11
0-1-1
2.23
0-2-0
2.48
1-0-1
3.02
0-1-1
1.65
0-0-2
2.98
0-1-1
2.53
1-1-0
3.41
Djurgarden
1-1-0
3.30
—
1-1-0
3.35
2-0-0
3.59
0-0-2
2.67
0-2-0
2.38
1-0-1
2.54
1-1-0
3.18
0-1-1
3.19
0-1-1
3.67
0-0-2
2.04
2-0-0
3.38
2-0-0
3.08
1-1-0
3.88
Elfsborg
1-1-0
2.58
0-1-1
2.03
—
1-1-0
2.71
1-0-1
2.05
0-1-1
1.83
0-0-2
2.09
0-1-1
2.34
1-0-1
2.39
0-2-0
2.90
0-0-2
1.61
1-1-0
2.69
1-0-1
2.48
2-0-0
3.03
GIF Sundsvall
0-1-1
2.44
0-0-2
1.83
0-1-1
2.64
—
2-0-0
1.77
1-0-1
1.82
1-0-1
1.90
0-1-1
2.14
0-0-2
2.39
0-1-1
2.83
1-1-0
1.50
1-1-0
2.93
1-1-0
2.20
1-1-0
3.31
Goteborg
1-0-1
3.34
2-0-0
2.68
1-0-1
3.32
0-0-2
3.65
—
0-2-0
2.56
1-0-1
2.62
2-0-0
2.88
1-1-0
3.11
1-1-0
3.52
0-0-2
2.11
1-1-0
3.48
2-0-0
2.92
2-0-0
3.83
Halmstad
1-0-1
3.25
0-2-0
2.98
1-1-0
3.58
1-0-1
3.58
0-2-0
2.80
—
1-1-0
2.73
2-0-0
3.09
2-0-0
3.16
2-0-0
3.51
0-1-1
2.17
2-0-0
3.34
0-1-1
3.49
2-0-0
3.73
Hammarby
1-1-0
3.27
1-0-1
2.81
2-0-0
3.30
1-0-1
3.50
1-0-1
2.73
0-1-1
2.62
—
1-0-1
3.07
1-0-1
3.13
1-1-0
3.48
0-1-1
2.11
1-1-0
3.61
0-1-1
3.07
0-1-1
3.82
Helsingborg
1-1-0
3.13
0-1-1
2.18
1-1-0
3.02
1-1-0
3.24
0-0-2
2.47
0-0-2
2.27
1-0-1
2.30
—
0-1-1
2.92
0-1-1
3.33
0-1-1
1.94
0-1-1
3.42
1-1-0
2.84
2-0-0
3.56
Kalmar
0-2-0
2.87
1-1-0
2.20
1-0-1
2.97
2-0-0
2.97
0-1-1
2.26
0-0-2
2.21
1-0-1
2.23
1-1-0
2.43
—
1-1-0
3.26
1-1-0
1.73
1-0-1
3.02
0-2-0
2.95
1-1-0
3.39
Landskrona
1-0-1
2.35
1-1-0
1.74
0-2-0
2.46
1-1-0
2.52
0-1-1
1.87
0-0-2
1.88
0-1-1
1.91
1-1-0
2.07
0-1-1
2.11
—
2-0-0
1.43
0-0-2
2.75
0-1-1
2.39
1-0-1
3.13
Malmo
1-1-0
3.79
2-0-0
3.34
2-0-0
3.84
0-1-1
3.97
2-0-0
3.26
1-1-0
3.20
1-1-0
3.29
1-1-0
3.45
0-1-1
3.69
0-0-2
4.07
—
2-0-0
3.97
2-0-0
3.81
1-1-0
4.19
Orebro
2-0-0
2.38
0-0-2
2.00
0-1-1
2.65
0-1-1
2.42
0-1-1
1.92
0-0-2
2.08
0-1-1
1.81
1-1-0
1.97
1-0-1
2.36
2-0-0
2.60
0-0-2
1.50
—
1-1-0
2.19
2-0-0
2.94
Orgryte
1-1-0
2.82
0-0-2
2.28
1-0-1
2.87
0-1-1
3.17
0-0-2
2.45
1-1-0
1.90
1-1-0
2.30
0-1-1
2.51
0-2-0
2.41
1-1-0
2.97
0-0-2
1.63
0-1-1
3.18
—
1-1-0
3.37
Trelleborg
0-1-1
1.97
0-1-1
1.58
0-0-2
2.34
0-1-1
2.07
0-0-2
1.61
0-0-2
1.70
1-1-0
1.62
0-0-2
1.87
0-1-1
1.99
1-0-1
2.27
0-1-1
1.34
0-0-2
2.44
0-1-1
2.01
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.60 +8.6
Allowed 0.64 -8.7
Differential 0.87 +6.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.34%10.99%4.95%2.75%1.37%0.55%29.95%
110.99%15.93%7.14%3.30%—1.10%38.46%
24.95%7.14%4.40%1.37%0.27%0.27%18.41%
32.75%3.30%1.37%1.10%0.27%0.27%9.07%
41.37%—0.27%0.27%——1.92%
5+0.55%1.10%0.27%0.27%——2.20%
Total29.95%38.46%18.41%9.07%1.92%2.20%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.21 +0.00
SD 1.16 1.16 1.66
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%7.69%7.69%——34.62%
17.69%26.92%7.69%7.69%——50.00%
2—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
3—7.69%————7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%50.00%19.23%15.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.35 -0.46
SD 0.86 0.94 1.33
CV 0.98 0.70 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—15.38%7.69%——26.92%
111.54%19.23%3.85%———34.62%
23.85%7.69%7.69%———19.23%
3—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
4———————
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total23.08%38.46%30.77%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.23 +0.23
SD 1.42 0.91 1.92
CV 0.97 0.74 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%15.38%—7.69%3.85%—38.46%
115.38%15.38%3.85%——3.85%38.46%
23.85%—3.85%3.85%——11.54%
33.85%7.69%————11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total34.62%38.46%7.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.23 -0.27
SD 1.00 1.37 1.78
CV 1.04 1.11 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%23.08%————34.62%
115.38%11.54%3.85%7.69%——38.46%
23.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
3—3.85%3.85%7.69%——15.38%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.77%42.31%7.69%19.23%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.15 -0.08
SD 1.06 1.08 1.09
CV 0.98 0.94 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%15.38%————26.92%
115.38%7.69%7.69%3.85%——34.62%
27.69%19.23%————26.92%
33.85%—3.85%———7.69%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total42.31%42.31%11.54%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 0.77 +0.50
SD 1.08 0.82 1.36
CV 0.85 1.06 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
111.54%15.38%7.69%———34.62%
23.85%7.69%11.54%———23.08%
33.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
47.69%—————7.69%
5+3.85%—3.85%3.85%——11.54%
Total34.62%30.77%30.77%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.04 1.04 +1.00
SD 1.54 0.92 1.72
CV 0.75 0.88 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%3.85%3.85%——30.77%
119.23%11.54%7.69%3.85%——42.31%
2—11.54%3.85%———15.38%
33.85%3.85%——3.85%—11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total34.62%38.46%15.38%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.08 +0.00
SD 0.98 1.09 1.33
CV 0.91 1.01 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
13.85%19.23%23.08%3.85%——50.00%
23.85%—3.85%3.85%——11.54%
37.69%3.85%—3.85%——15.38%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total26.92%30.77%30.77%11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.27 +0.31
SD 1.39 1.00 1.81
CV 0.88 0.79 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%15.38%————30.77%
111.54%23.08%3.85%3.85%——42.31%
27.69%11.54%————19.23%
37.69%—————7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total42.31%50.00%3.85%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 0.69 +0.35
SD 0.92 0.74 1.23
CV 0.88 1.06 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%11.54%—3.85%—38.46%
17.69%23.08%3.85%3.85%——38.46%
23.85%3.85%————7.69%
3—3.85%3.85%——3.85%11.54%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total26.92%42.31%19.23%3.85%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.27 -0.23
SD 1.15 1.25 1.63
CV 1.11 0.99 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%7.69%————23.08%
111.54%7.69%3.85%———23.08%
219.23%11.54%3.85%3.85%——38.46%
3———————
4——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
5+—7.69%————7.69%
Total46.15%34.62%11.54%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 0.81 +0.88
SD 1.46 0.94 1.37
CV 0.86 1.16 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%—3.85%26.92%
111.54%3.85%11.54%——7.69%34.62%
23.85%11.54%7.69%——3.85%26.92%
33.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.92%26.92%23.08%7.69%—15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.73 -0.50
SD 0.99 1.69 2.00
CV 0.81 0.97 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%7.69%3.85%3.85%—30.77%
17.69%26.92%7.69%3.85%——46.15%
27.69%3.85%7.69%———19.23%
33.85%—————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%42.31%23.08%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.27 -0.31
SD 0.82 1.04 1.54
CV 0.86 0.82 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%15.38%11.54%3.85%7.69%3.85%50.00%
13.85%11.54%3.85%7.69%—3.85%30.77%
2—3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%—19.23%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total11.54%30.77%23.08%15.38%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.69 2.12 -1.42
SD 0.79 1.56 1.68
CV 1.14 0.74 —
Max 2 6 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Malmo 1704 52 47.44 +4.56 74.0% 33 36 43 47 53 57 63
Halmstad 1659 50 40.31 +9.69 94.0% 24 29 36 41 45 51 57
Goteborg 1624 47 40.02 +6.98 84.0% 23 29 35 40 44 51 56
Djurgarden 1616 41 39.46 +1.54 58.0% 23 28 34 40 44 50 59
Kalmar 1585 40 35.70 +4.30 79.0% 16 25 32 36 40 44 49
Helsingborg 1577 30 35.80 -5.80 24.0% 22 25 31 36 41 46 50
Hammarby 1568 37 39.40 -2.40 39.0% 20 28 35 39 44 51 60
Orgryte 1527 28 34.21 -6.21 19.0% 21 23 30 35 37 44 48
Elfsborg 1524 32 29.79 +2.21 72.0% 16 20 26 30 33 40 47
GIF Sundsvall 1517 32 30.53 +1.47 65.0% 17 21 26 30 35 40 49
Orebro 1508 33 29.18 +3.82 70.0% 14 18 25 29 34 39 44
Landskrona 1497 30 29.95 +0.05 56.0% 18 19 27 30 33 40 43
AIK Stockholm 1489 25 32.48 -7.48 17.0% 16 23 28 32 37 45 51
Trelleborg 1352 13 25.06 -12.06 5.0% 9 13 21 25 29 34 39

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+8.79%
No Edge
39.01%30.77%30.22%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 30.62 Elo pts.
158 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.21 goals
Neutral
-2+0.19+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.5
Top-Heavy
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
48%
Malmo, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.08/gm
Tight Race
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.11 * Some Luck: 5.11 to 7.67 * Lucky: 7.67 to 10.23 * Wild Swing: 10.23 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.04 * Close: 2.04 to 3.06 * Off: 3.06 to 4.08 * Way Off: 4.08 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.89 points
Some Luck
06.3916
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.86
Pinpoint
02.556
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
94.00%
Halmstad
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
5.00%
Trelleborg
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 86.61
1.62
Moderate Separation
0.951.41.652.75
Interquartile Edge
64%
Slight Edge
50%63%71.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
Strong Edge
50%86%100%
Close Games
Expected
70%
Very Frequent
0%63%100%
Blowouts
Expected
12%
Rare
0%13%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.63
Hard to Predict
00.642
Matchup Imbalance
0.28
Very Even
00.30.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.88
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.58
Strong Carryover
00.380.530.691
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
As Expected
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.39
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.96
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.096
Well Within Noise
00.1280.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Malmo48.00%27.00%12.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%—1.00%————
Halmstad17.00%15.00%9.00%11.00%10.00%11.00%8.00%5.00%3.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%
Goteborg14.00%9.00%15.00%11.00%14.00%6.00%9.00%9.00%6.00%4.00%1.00%—1.00%1.00%
Djurgarden8.00%13.00%11.00%19.00%9.00%7.00%7.00%5.00%9.00%1.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%
Kalmar2.00%3.00%12.00%12.00%9.00%13.00%11.00%9.00%7.00%7.00%6.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%
Hammarby5.00%13.00%14.00%11.00%11.00%15.00%7.00%9.00%7.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%
Orebro—1.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%4.00%7.00%9.00%7.00%8.00%12.00%12.00%17.00%14.00%
GIF Sundsvall1.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%5.00%15.00%3.00%4.00%6.00%10.00%16.00%14.00%11.00%9.00%
Elfsborg—2.00%2.00%2.00%6.00%4.00%6.00%7.00%15.00%13.00%10.00%5.00%15.00%13.00%
Helsingborg2.00%8.00%12.00%7.00%12.00%7.00%9.00%9.00%10.00%9.00%4.00%3.00%5.00%3.00%
Landskrona—1.00%—4.00%3.00%3.00%6.00%10.00%11.00%15.00%15.00%12.00%12.00%8.00%
Orgryte1.00%3.00%4.00%7.00%9.00%7.00%14.00%12.00%7.00%12.00%5.00%11.00%4.00%4.00%
AIK Stockholm2.00%4.00%5.00%4.00%5.00%6.00%8.00%8.00%9.00%5.00%15.00%13.00%9.00%7.00%
Trelleborg———2.00%—1.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%9.00%8.00%19.00%18.00%35.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Malmo 100% — —
Goteborg 98.00% — 2.00%
Halmstad 96.00% 2.00% 2.00%
Djurgarden 93.00% 4.00% 3.00%
Hammarby 95.00% 1.00% 4.00%
Kalmar 91.00% 4.00% 5.00%
Helsingborg 89.00% 3.00% 8.00%
Orgryte 81.00% 11.00% 8.00%
AIK Stockholm 71.00% 13.00% 16.00%
GIF Sundsvall 66.00% 14.00% 20.00%
Landskrona 68.00% 12.00% 20.00%
Elfsborg 67.00% 5.00% 28.00%
Orebro 57.00% 12.00% 31.00%
Trelleborg 28.00% 19.00% 53.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2004-04-03 Helsingborg D 1-163.0 1503 1552 31.42% 32.59% 35.99%-0.12 +0.2 1
2004-04-03 @ Landskrona D 1-163.0 1552 1503 35.99% 32.59% 31.42%+0.12 -0.2 1
2004-04-04 GIF Sundsvall W 1-050.1 1559 1497 46.91% 30.72% 22.37%+0.59 +5.5 3
2004-04-04 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-150.1 1497 1559 22.37% 30.72% 46.91%-0.59 -5.5 0
2004-04-04 Goteborg D 0-059.0 1513 1570 30.31% 32.51% 37.18%-0.17 +0.3 1
2004-04-04 @ Kalmar D 0-059.0 1570 1513 37.18% 32.51% 30.31%+0.17 -0.3 1
2004-04-05 Djurgarden D 2-271.8 1493 1632 21.31% 30.24% 48.45%-0.69 +0.9 1
2004-04-05 @ Trelleborg D 2-271.8 1632 1493 48.45% 30.24% 21.31%+0.69 -0.8 1
2004-04-05 Halmstad L 2-557.3 1529 1560 34.02% 32.65% 33.33%+0.00 -15.0 0
2004-04-05 @ Orebro W 5-257.3 1560 1529 33.33% 32.65% 34.02%+0.00 +15.0 3
2004-04-05 Orgryte L 1-261.3 1532 1565 33.58% 32.65% 33.77%-0.02 -7.0 0
2004-04-05 @ Elfsborg W 2-161.3 1565 1532 33.77% 32.65% 33.58%+0.02 +7.0 3
2004-04-06 Malmo D 0-063.1 1600 1642 32.48% 32.63% 34.89%-0.07 +0.1 1
2004-04-06 @ Hammarby D 0-063.1 1642 1600 34.89% 32.63% 32.48%+0.07 -0.1 1
2004-04-09 Elfsborg W 3-047.0 1570 1525 44.56% 31.35% 24.09%+0.48 +15.9 4
2004-04-09 @ Goteborg L 0-347.0 1525 1570 24.09% 31.35% 44.56%-0.48 -15.9 0
2004-04-09 Orebro W 5-149.2 1642 1514 55.17% 27.58% 17.25%+1.00 +12.7 4
2004-04-09 @ Malmo L 1-549.2 1514 1642 17.25% 27.58% 55.17%-1.00 -12.7 0
2004-04-09 Trelleborg W 1-049.8 1575 1494 49.37% 29.93% 20.70%+0.71 +5.1 6
2004-04-09 @ Halmstad L 0-149.8 1494 1575 20.70% 29.93% 49.37%-0.71 -5.1 1
2004-04-12 Hammarby D 0-061.6 1572 1601 34.32% 32.64% 33.04%+0.01 -0.0 4
2004-04-12 @ Orgryte D 0-061.6 1601 1572 33.04% 32.64% 34.32%-0.01 +0.1 2
2004-04-12 Kalmar L 1-262.9 1552 1513 43.69% 31.55% 24.76%+0.44 -8.5 1
2004-04-12 @ Helsingborg W 2-162.9 1513 1552 24.76% 31.55% 43.69%-0.44 +8.5 4
2004-04-12 Landskrona D 0-055.8 1491 1503 36.69% 32.55% 30.76%+0.12 -0.3 1
2004-04-12 @ GIF Sundsvall D 0-055.8 1503 1491 30.76% 32.55% 36.69%-0.12 +0.3 2
2004-04-13 AIK Stockholm W 3-156.5 1631 1565 47.44% 30.56% 22.00%+0.62 +8.8 4
2004-04-13 @ Djurgarden L 1-356.5 1565 1631 22.00% 30.56% 47.44%-0.62 -8.8 3
2004-04-18 Orebro L 0-153.6 1503 1502 38.59% 32.39% 29.02%+0.20 -8.2 2
2004-04-18 @ Landskrona W 1-053.6 1502 1503 29.02% 32.39% 38.59%-0.20 +8.2 3
2004-04-18 Orgryte D 1-163.4 1491 1572 27.33% 32.13% 40.53%-0.32 +0.5 2
2004-04-18 @ GIF Sundsvall D 1-163.4 1572 1491 40.53% 32.13% 27.33%+0.32 -0.5 5
2004-04-18 Trelleborg D 0-058.2 1556 1488 47.60% 30.51% 21.89%+0.62 -1.2 4
2004-04-18 @ AIK Stockholm D 0-058.2 1488 1556 21.89% 30.51% 47.60%-0.62 +1.2 2
2004-04-19 Djurgarden D 1-167.2 1543 1640 25.51% 31.75% 42.74%-0.42 +0.7 2
2004-04-19 @ Helsingborg D 1-167.2 1640 1543 42.74% 31.75% 25.51%+0.42 -0.7 5
2004-04-19 Halmstad D 0-061.5 1586 1580 39.18% 32.32% 28.50%+0.23 -0.5 5
2004-04-19 @ Goteborg D 0-061.5 1580 1586 28.50% 32.32% 39.18%-0.23 +0.5 7
2004-04-19 Malmo L 1-551.1 1509 1654 20.82% 29.99% 49.18%-0.73 -15.3 0
2004-04-19 @ Elfsborg W 5-151.1 1654 1509 49.18% 29.99% 20.82%+0.73 +15.3 7
2004-04-20 Hammarby L 1-260.2 1522 1601 27.57% 32.18% 40.25%-0.31 -6.1 4
2004-04-20 @ Kalmar W 2-160.2 1601 1522 40.25% 32.18% 27.57%+0.31 +6.1 5
2004-04-22 AIK Stockholm D 1-165.5 1572 1555 40.71% 32.11% 27.18%+0.30 -0.5 6
2004-04-22 @ Orgryte D 1-165.5 1555 1572 27.18% 32.11% 40.71%-0.30 +0.5 5
2004-04-24 Elfsborg W 1-049.6 1607 1494 53.42% 28.36% 18.22%+0.91 +4.5 8
2004-04-24 @ Hammarby L 0-149.6 1494 1607 18.22% 28.36% 53.42%-0.91 -4.5 0
2004-04-24 Goteborg W 1-054.6 1669 1585 49.76% 29.79% 20.45%+0.73 +5.0 10
2004-04-24 @ Malmo L 0-154.6 1585 1669 20.45% 29.79% 49.76%-0.73 -5.0 5
2004-04-24 Kalmar L 1-259.9 1510 1516 37.55% 32.48% 29.97%+0.16 -7.6 3
2004-04-24 @ Orebro W 2-159.9 1516 1510 29.97% 32.48% 37.55%-0.16 +7.6 7
2004-04-25 GIF Sundsvall W 3-151.7 1639 1492 57.67% 26.37% 15.95%+1.13 +6.4 8
2004-04-25 @ Djurgarden L 1-351.7 1492 1639 15.95% 26.37% 57.67%-1.13 -6.4 2
2004-04-25 Helsingborg W 3-264.1 1580 1544 43.40% 31.61% 24.99%+0.42 +5.4 10
2004-04-25 @ Halmstad L 2-364.1 1544 1580 24.99% 31.61% 43.40%-0.42 -5.4 2
2004-04-25 Landskrona W 2-156.1 1490 1495 37.55% 32.48% 29.96%+0.16 +6.5 5
2004-04-25 @ Trelleborg L 1-256.1 1495 1490 29.96% 32.48% 37.55%-0.16 -6.5 2
2004-05-02 Djurgarden W 2-057.3 1489 1646 19.84% 29.44% 50.71%-0.80 +18.9 5
2004-05-02 @ Landskrona L 0-257.3 1646 1489 50.71% 29.44% 19.84%+0.80 -18.9 8
2004-05-02 GIF Sundsvall W 2-155.2 1523 1485 43.59% 31.57% 24.84%+0.43 +5.6 10
2004-05-02 @ Kalmar L 1-255.2 1485 1523 24.84% 31.57% 43.59%-0.43 -5.6 2
2004-05-02 Hammarby L 1-258.7 1502 1611 24.24% 31.39% 44.36%-0.50 -5.5 3
2004-05-02 @ Orebro W 2-158.7 1611 1502 44.36% 31.39% 24.24%+0.50 +5.5 11
2004-05-03 Halmstad L 0-253.5 1555 1586 34.04% 32.65% 33.32%+0.00 -14.2 5
2004-05-03 @ AIK Stockholm W 2-053.5 1586 1555 33.32% 32.65% 34.04%+0.00 +14.2 13
2004-05-03 Helsingborg D 1-162.0 1489 1539 31.35% 32.59% 36.06%-0.12 +0.2 1
2004-05-03 @ Elfsborg D 1-162.0 1539 1489 36.06% 32.59% 31.35%+0.12 -0.2 3
2004-05-03 Malmo D 1-167.9 1496 1675 18.23% 28.36% 53.41%-0.94 +1.5 6
2004-05-03 @ Trelleborg D 1-167.9 1675 1496 53.41% 28.36% 18.23%+0.94 -1.5 11
2004-05-04 Goteborg L 1-264.0 1571 1580 37.07% 32.52% 30.41%+0.14 -7.5 6
2004-05-04 @ Orgryte W 2-164.0 1580 1571 30.41% 32.52% 37.07%-0.14 +7.5 8
2004-05-06 AIK Stockholm D 0-064.2 1673 1541 55.73% 27.32% 16.95%+1.03 -1.9 12
2004-05-06 @ Malmo D 0-064.2 1541 1673 16.95% 27.32% 55.73%-1.03 +1.9 6
2004-05-09 Elfsborg D 0-054.8 1480 1489 36.99% 32.53% 30.49%+0.13 -0.3 3
2004-05-09 @ GIF Sundsvall D 0-054.8 1489 1480 30.49% 32.53% 36.99%-0.13 +0.3 2
2004-05-09 Kalmar L 0-356.4 1627 1529 51.55% 29.12% 19.33%+0.82 -27.8 8
2004-05-09 @ Djurgarden W 3-056.4 1529 1627 19.33% 29.12% 51.55%-0.82 +27.8 13
2004-05-09 Landskrona W 5-357.9 1600 1508 50.78% 29.42% 19.80%+0.78 +6.8 16
2004-05-09 @ Halmstad L 3-557.9 1508 1600 19.80% 29.42% 50.78%-0.78 -6.7 5
2004-05-10 Goteborg L 1-261.5 1538 1588 31.35% 32.59% 36.06%-0.12 -6.7 3
2004-05-10 @ Helsingborg W 2-161.5 1588 1538 36.06% 32.59% 31.35%+0.12 +6.7 11
2004-05-10 Orebro D 2-269.6 1564 1497 47.49% 30.54% 21.97%+0.62 -0.8 7
2004-05-10 @ Orgryte D 2-269.6 1497 1564 21.97% 30.54% 47.49%-0.62 +0.8 4
2004-05-10 Trelleborg L 0-160.8 1617 1498 54.18% 28.03% 17.80%+0.95 -10.5 11
2004-05-10 @ Hammarby W 1-060.8 1498 1617 17.80% 28.03% 54.18%-0.95 +10.5 9
2004-05-12 Djurgarden D 0-059.5 1490 1599 24.18% 31.37% 44.45%-0.50 +0.9 3
2004-05-12 @ Elfsborg D 0-059.5 1599 1490 44.45% 31.37% 24.18%+0.50 -0.9 9
2004-05-12 Halmstad L 1-359.1 1557 1607 31.26% 32.58% 36.16%-0.12 -11.6 13
2004-05-12 @ Kalmar W 3-159.1 1607 1557 36.16% 32.58% 31.26%+0.12 +11.6 19
2004-05-12 Malmo W 2-168.0 1501 1671 18.83% 28.79% 52.38%-0.88 +9.7 8
2004-05-12 @ Landskrona L 1-268.0 1671 1501 52.38% 28.79% 18.83%+0.88 -9.7 12
2004-05-13 GIF Sundsvall L 0-159.3 1594 1479 53.66% 28.25% 18.09%+0.92 -10.5 11
2004-05-13 @ Goteborg W 1-059.3 1479 1594 18.09% 28.25% 53.66%-0.92 +10.5 6
2004-05-13 Hammarby L 0-155.7 1543 1606 29.55% 32.44% 38.01%-0.21 -6.8 6
2004-05-13 @ AIK Stockholm W 1-055.7 1606 1543 38.01% 32.44% 29.55%+0.21 +6.8 14
2004-05-13 Orebro L 1-259.8 1508 1498 39.83% 32.24% 27.93%+0.26 -7.9 9
2004-05-13 @ Trelleborg W 2-159.8 1498 1508 27.93% 32.24% 39.83%-0.26 +7.9 7
2004-05-13 Orgryte W 3-050.2 1532 1563 33.90% 32.65% 33.46%+0.00 +20.3 6
2004-05-13 @ Helsingborg L 0-350.2 1563 1532 33.46% 32.65% 33.90%+0.00 -20.3 7
2004-05-16 Elfsborg W 3-044.2 1618 1491 55.22% 27.56% 17.22%+1.00 +11.6 22
2004-05-16 @ Halmstad L 0-344.2 1491 1618 17.22% 27.56% 55.22%-1.00 -11.6 3
2004-05-16 Helsingborg D 3-371.9 1490 1552 29.67% 32.46% 37.87%-0.20 +0.2 7
2004-05-16 @ GIF Sundsvall D 3-371.9 1552 1490 37.87% 32.46% 29.67%+0.20 -0.2 7
2004-05-17 AIK Stockholm W 2-159.3 1506 1536 33.95% 32.65% 33.41%+0.00 +7.0 10
2004-05-17 @ Orebro L 1-259.3 1536 1506 33.41% 32.65% 33.95%+0.00 -7.0 6
2004-05-17 Kalmar D 0-063.8 1661 1545 53.85% 28.17% 17.98%+0.93 -1.8 13
2004-05-17 @ Malmo D 0-063.8 1545 1661 17.98% 28.17% 53.85%-0.93 +1.8 14
2004-05-17 Landskrona W 3-153.1 1613 1511 52.09% 28.91% 19.00%+0.84 +7.7 17
2004-05-17 @ Hammarby L 1-353.1 1511 1613 19.00% 28.91% 52.09%-0.84 -7.7 8
2004-05-18 Goteborg L 1-265.6 1598 1584 40.35% 32.16% 27.49%+0.28 -8.0 9
2004-05-18 @ Djurgarden W 2-165.6 1584 1598 27.49% 32.16% 40.35%-0.28 +8.0 14
2004-05-20 Hammarby W 2-055.9 1490 1621 22.12% 30.61% 47.26%-0.63 +17.9 10
2004-05-20 @ GIF Sundsvall L 0-255.9 1621 1490 47.26% 30.61% 22.12%+0.63 -17.9 17
2004-05-20 Trelleborg W 1-050.4 1543 1500 44.20% 31.43% 24.36%+0.46 +5.9 10
2004-05-20 @ Orgryte L 0-150.4 1500 1543 24.36% 31.43% 44.20%-0.46 -5.9 9
2004-05-23 AIK Stockholm L 0-153.4 1503 1529 34.58% 32.64% 32.78%+0.03 -7.6 8
2004-05-23 @ Landskrona W 1-053.4 1529 1503 32.78% 32.64% 34.58%-0.03 +7.6 9
2004-05-23 Halmstad W 1-059.9 1508 1630 22.96% 30.95% 46.09%-0.58 +9.3 13
2004-05-23 @ GIF Sundsvall L 0-159.9 1630 1508 46.09% 30.95% 22.96%+0.58 -9.3 22
2004-05-23 Trelleborg W 2-046.5 1547 1494 45.56% 31.09% 23.35%+0.53 +10.7 17
2004-05-23 @ Kalmar L 0-246.5 1494 1547 23.35% 31.09% 45.56%-0.53 -10.7 9
2004-05-24 Hammarby L 0-159.1 1592 1603 36.81% 32.54% 30.65%+0.13 -7.9 14
2004-05-24 @ Goteborg W 1-059.1 1603 1592 30.65% 32.54% 36.81%-0.13 +7.9 20
2004-05-24 Malmo L 0-252.0 1552 1660 24.35% 31.43% 44.22%-0.49 -11.1 7
2004-05-24 @ Helsingborg W 2-052.0 1660 1552 44.22% 31.43% 24.35%+0.49 +11.1 16
2004-05-24 Orebro W 3-046.6 1479 1512 33.56% 32.65% 33.79%-0.02 +20.5 6
2004-05-24 @ Elfsborg L 0-346.6 1512 1479 33.79% 32.65% 33.56%+0.02 -20.5 10
2004-05-24 Orgryte W 2-159.5 1590 1548 44.15% 31.44% 24.41%+0.46 +5.5 12
2004-05-24 @ Djurgarden L 1-259.5 1548 1590 24.41% 31.44% 44.15%-0.46 -5.5 10
2004-06-30 Orgryte W 1-052.1 1671 1543 55.26% 27.54% 17.20%+1.00 +4.2 19
2004-06-30 @ Malmo L 0-152.1 1543 1671 17.20% 27.54% 55.26%-1.00 -4.2 10
2004-07-07 Djurgarden D 2-273.7 1620 1596 41.79% 31.93% 26.28%+0.35 -0.5 23
2004-07-07 @ Halmstad D 2-273.7 1596 1620 26.28% 31.93% 41.79%-0.35 +0.5 13
2004-07-07 GIF Sundsvall D 0-064.2 1675 1517 58.85% 25.77% 15.38%+1.19 -2.2 20
2004-07-07 @ Malmo D 0-064.2 1517 1675 15.38% 25.77% 58.85%-1.19 +2.2 14
2004-07-07 Kalmar D 1-164.4 1537 1557 35.44% 32.61% 31.94%+0.06 -0.1 10
2004-07-07 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-164.4 1557 1537 31.94% 32.61% 35.44%-0.06 +0.1 18
2004-07-07 Landskrona D 1-162.6 1539 1495 44.34% 31.40% 24.26%+0.47 -0.8 11
2004-07-07 @ Orgryte D 1-162.6 1495 1539 24.26% 31.40% 44.34%-0.47 +0.8 9
2004-07-08 Elfsborg L 0-152.0 1484 1499 36.11% 32.58% 31.31%+0.09 -7.8 9
2004-07-08 @ Trelleborg W 1-052.0 1499 1484 31.31% 32.58% 36.11%-0.09 +7.8 9
2004-07-08 Goteborg D 0-058.9 1492 1584 26.07% 31.88% 42.05%-0.39 +0.7 11
2004-07-08 @ Orebro D 0-058.9 1584 1492 42.05% 31.88% 26.07%+0.39 -0.7 15
2004-07-08 Helsingborg W 2-158.7 1611 1541 47.90% 30.42% 21.68%+0.64 +5.0 23
2004-07-08 @ Hammarby L 1-258.7 1541 1611 21.68% 30.42% 47.90%-0.64 -5.0 7
2004-07-11 AIK Stockholm W 1-053.5 1507 1537 34.13% 32.64% 33.22%+0.01 +7.4 12
2004-07-11 @ Elfsborg L 0-153.5 1537 1507 33.22% 32.64% 34.13%-0.01 -7.4 10
2004-07-11 Orgryte D 2-272.9 1620 1538 49.49% 29.89% 20.62%+0.71 -0.9 24
2004-07-11 @ Halmstad D 2-272.9 1538 1620 20.62% 29.89% 49.49%-0.71 +0.9 12
2004-07-11 Trelleborg W 2-045.0 1583 1476 52.72% 28.65% 18.63%+0.87 +8.7 18
2004-07-11 @ Goteborg L 0-245.0 1476 1583 18.63% 28.65% 52.72%-0.87 -8.7 9
2004-07-12 Landskrona D 1-163.5 1558 1496 46.77% 30.76% 22.47%+0.58 -1.0 19
2004-07-12 @ Kalmar D 1-163.5 1496 1558 22.47% 30.76% 46.77%-0.58 +1.0 10
2004-07-12 Orebro D 0-057.4 1536 1493 44.30% 31.41% 24.29%+0.47 -0.9 8
2004-07-12 @ Helsingborg D 0-057.4 1493 1536 24.29% 31.41% 44.30%-0.47 +0.9 12
2004-07-14 Malmo L 0-254.3 1596 1673 27.87% 32.22% 39.91%-0.29 -12.3 13
2004-07-14 @ Djurgarden W 2-054.3 1673 1596 39.91% 32.22% 27.87%+0.29 +12.3 23
2004-07-15 Goteborg W 3-159.8 1529 1592 29.61% 32.45% 37.94%-0.20 +13.2 13
2004-07-15 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-359.8 1592 1529 37.94% 32.45% 29.61%+0.20 -13.2 18
2004-07-18 Elfsborg D 0-056.4 1497 1515 35.86% 32.60% 31.54%+0.08 -0.2 11
2004-07-18 @ Landskrona D 0-056.4 1515 1497 31.54% 32.60% 35.86%-0.08 +0.2 13
2004-07-18 GIF Sundsvall D 3-370.8 1494 1520 34.67% 32.64% 32.70%+0.03 -0.0 13
2004-07-18 @ Orebro D 3-370.8 1520 1494 32.70% 32.64% 34.67%-0.03 +0.0 15
2004-07-19 Djurgarden W 3-050.5 1616 1584 42.77% 31.74% 25.49%+0.39 +16.7 26
2004-07-19 @ Hammarby L 0-350.5 1584 1616 25.49% 31.74% 42.77%-0.39 -16.7 13
2004-07-19 Helsingborg L 1-648.4 1467 1535 28.97% 32.38% 38.65%-0.23 -24.5 9
2004-07-19 @ Trelleborg W 6-148.4 1535 1467 38.65% 32.38% 28.97%+0.23 +24.5 11
2004-07-19 Kalmar D 1-164.4 1539 1556 35.82% 32.60% 31.58%+0.08 -0.2 13
2004-07-19 @ Orgryte D 1-164.4 1556 1539 31.58% 32.60% 35.82%-0.08 +0.2 20
2004-07-21 Halmstad W 2-161.9 1685 1619 47.39% 30.58% 22.04%+0.61 +5.1 26
2004-07-21 @ Malmo L 1-261.9 1619 1685 22.04% 30.58% 47.39%-0.61 -5.1 24
2004-07-24 Orebro W 5-148.2 1567 1494 48.39% 30.26% 21.35%+0.66 +15.6 16
2004-07-24 @ Djurgarden L 1-548.2 1494 1567 21.35% 30.26% 48.39%-0.66 -15.6 13
2004-07-25 Elfsborg L 0-157.4 1557 1515 44.14% 31.45% 24.41%+0.46 -9.0 20
2004-07-25 @ Kalmar W 1-057.4 1515 1557 24.41% 31.45% 44.14%-0.46 +9.0 16
2004-07-25 Trelleborg W 1-046.0 1520 1443 48.81% 30.12% 21.07%+0.68 +5.2 18
2004-07-25 @ GIF Sundsvall L 0-146.0 1443 1520 21.07% 30.12% 48.81%-0.68 -5.2 9
2004-07-26 AIK Stockholm W 3-048.4 1559 1543 40.68% 32.11% 27.20%+0.30 +17.5 14
2004-07-26 @ Helsingborg L 0-348.4 1543 1559 27.20% 32.11% 40.68%-0.30 -17.6 13
2004-07-26 Landskrona D 1-164.5 1579 1497 49.44% 29.91% 20.65%+0.71 -1.2 19
2004-07-26 @ Goteborg D 1-164.5 1497 1579 20.65% 29.91% 49.44%-0.71 +1.2 12
2004-07-27 Hammarby W 2-164.5 1614 1632 35.73% 32.60% 31.67%+0.08 +6.8 27
2004-07-27 @ Halmstad L 1-264.5 1632 1614 31.67% 32.60% 35.73%-0.08 -6.8 26
2004-07-31 Djurgarden D 1-165.5 1548 1583 33.31% 32.65% 34.05%-0.03 +0.0 21
2004-07-31 @ Kalmar D 1-165.5 1583 1548 34.05% 32.65% 33.31%+0.03 -0.0 17
2004-08-01 Malmo L 0-249.8 1525 1690 19.22% 29.05% 51.73%-0.85 -8.9 13
2004-08-01 @ AIK Stockholm W 2-049.8 1690 1525 51.73% 29.05% 19.22%+0.85 +9.0 29
2004-08-01 Orgryte W 1-053.7 1478 1539 29.87% 32.48% 37.65%-0.19 +8.0 16
2004-08-01 @ Orebro L 0-153.7 1539 1478 37.65% 32.48% 29.87%+0.19 -8.0 13
2004-08-02 GIF Sundsvall W 3-154.8 1524 1525 38.23% 32.42% 29.35%+0.19 +11.1 19
2004-08-02 @ Elfsborg L 1-354.8 1525 1524 29.35% 32.42% 38.23%-0.19 -11.1 18
2004-08-02 Halmstad L 0-447.3 1498 1621 22.89% 30.92% 46.19%-0.58 -19.9 12
2004-08-02 @ Landskrona W 4-047.3 1621 1498 46.19% 30.92% 22.89%+0.58 +19.9 30
2004-08-02 Hammarby D 2-270.5 1437 1626 17.55% 27.83% 54.62%-1.00 +1.2 10
2004-08-02 @ Trelleborg D 2-270.5 1626 1437 54.62% 27.83% 17.55%+1.00 -1.2 27
2004-08-03 Helsingborg W 2-161.6 1578 1577 38.44% 32.40% 29.16%+0.20 +6.4 22
2004-08-03 @ Goteborg L 1-261.6 1577 1578 29.16% 32.40% 38.44%-0.20 -6.4 14
2004-08-07 Landskrona D 1-164.4 1583 1478 52.37% 28.80% 18.84%+0.86 -1.4 18
2004-08-07 @ Djurgarden D 1-164.4 1478 1583 18.84% 28.80% 52.37%-0.86 +1.5 13
2004-08-08 Elfsborg W 4-047.7 1570 1535 43.29% 31.63% 25.08%+0.42 +21.5 17
2004-08-08 @ Helsingborg L 0-447.7 1535 1570 25.08% 31.63% 43.29%-0.42 -21.5 19
2004-08-08 Orebro D 1-166.6 1624 1486 56.54% 26.93% 16.53%+1.07 -1.8 28
2004-08-08 @ Hammarby D 1-166.6 1486 1624 16.53% 26.93% 56.54%-1.07 +1.8 17
2004-08-09 AIK Stockholm L 1-268.0 1641 1516 54.84% 27.73% 17.43%+0.98 -10.0 30
2004-08-09 @ Halmstad W 2-168.0 1516 1641 17.43% 27.73% 54.84%-0.98 +10.0 16
2004-08-09 Kalmar L 0-154.2 1514 1548 33.50% 32.65% 33.86%-0.02 -7.4 18
2004-08-09 @ GIF Sundsvall W 1-054.2 1548 1514 33.86% 32.65% 33.50%+0.02 +7.4 24
2004-08-09 Orgryte W 4-047.3 1584 1530 45.70% 31.06% 23.24%+0.53 +20.2 25
2004-08-09 @ Goteborg L 0-447.3 1530 1584 23.24% 31.06% 45.70%-0.53 -20.2 13
2004-08-09 Trelleborg W 4-251.6 1699 1439 70.30% 19.13% 10.57%+1.84 +3.4 32
2004-08-09 @ Malmo L 2-451.6 1439 1699 10.57% 19.13% 70.30%-1.84 -3.4 10
2004-08-12 AIK Stockholm D 1-164.2 1555 1526 42.38% 31.82% 25.80%+0.38 -0.7 25
2004-08-12 @ Kalmar D 1-164.2 1526 1555 25.80% 31.82% 42.38%-0.38 +0.7 17
2004-08-14 Malmo W 3-274.2 1506 1703 17.01% 27.37% 55.63%-1.05 +9.6 21
2004-08-14 @ GIF Sundsvall L 2-374.2 1703 1506 55.63% 27.37% 17.01%+1.05 -9.6 32
2004-08-14 Orgryte L 0-248.3 1480 1510 33.99% 32.65% 33.37%+0.00 -14.2 13
2004-08-14 @ Landskrona W 2-048.3 1510 1480 33.37% 32.65% 33.99%+0.00 +14.2 16
2004-08-15 Halmstad D 1-167.6 1581 1631 31.38% 32.59% 36.04%-0.12 +0.2 19
2004-08-15 @ Djurgarden D 1-167.6 1631 1581 36.04% 32.59% 31.38%+0.12 -0.2 31
2004-08-15 Hammarby W 3-160.9 1592 1623 33.97% 32.65% 33.38%+0.00 +12.1 20
2004-08-15 @ Helsingborg L 1-360.9 1623 1592 33.38% 32.65% 33.97%+0.00 -12.1 28
2004-08-15 Orebro W 1-049.2 1604 1488 53.82% 28.18% 17.99%+0.93 +4.4 28
2004-08-15 @ Goteborg L 0-149.2 1488 1604 17.99% 28.18% 53.82%-0.93 -4.4 17
2004-08-15 Trelleborg W 3-147.9 1513 1435 48.97% 30.07% 20.96%+0.69 +8.4 22
2004-08-15 @ Elfsborg L 1-347.9 1435 1513 20.96% 30.07% 48.97%-0.69 -8.4 10
2004-08-21 Djurgarden L 0-154.7 1524 1582 30.31% 32.51% 37.18%-0.17 -6.9 16
2004-08-21 @ Orgryte W 1-054.7 1582 1524 37.18% 32.51% 30.31%+0.17 +6.9 22
2004-08-22 Elfsborg D 2-267.0 1483 1522 32.86% 32.64% 34.50%-0.05 +0.0 18
2004-08-22 @ Orebro D 2-267.0 1522 1483 34.50% 32.64% 32.86%+0.05 -0.0 23
2004-08-22 Goteborg L 1-266.0 1611 1609 38.64% 32.38% 28.98%+0.21 -7.7 28
2004-08-22 @ Hammarby W 2-166.0 1609 1611 28.98% 32.38% 38.64%-0.21 +7.7 31
2004-08-23 GIF Sundsvall W 1-051.0 1630 1516 53.62% 28.27% 18.11%+0.92 +4.5 34
2004-08-23 @ Halmstad L 0-151.0 1516 1630 18.11% 28.27% 53.62%-0.92 -4.5 21
2004-08-23 Kalmar D 0-055.8 1427 1554 22.41% 30.73% 46.86%-0.61 +1.2 11
2004-08-23 @ Trelleborg D 0-055.8 1554 1427 46.86% 30.73% 22.41%+0.61 -1.2 26
2004-08-23 Landskrona L 1-357.4 1527 1466 46.76% 30.76% 22.48%+0.58 -15.4 17
2004-08-23 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-157.4 1466 1527 22.48% 30.76% 46.76%-0.58 +15.4 16
2004-08-24 Helsingborg D 1-169.9 1693 1604 50.36% 29.58% 20.07%+0.76 -1.3 33
2004-08-24 @ Malmo D 1-169.9 1604 1693 20.07% 29.58% 50.36%-0.76 +1.3 21
2004-08-29 GIF Sundsvall D 1-158.9 1428 1511 27.06% 32.09% 40.86%-0.33 +0.6 12
2004-08-29 @ Trelleborg D 1-158.9 1511 1428 40.86% 32.09% 27.06%+0.33 -0.6 22
2004-08-29 Goteborg L 0-151.2 1481 1616 21.69% 30.42% 47.88%-0.66 -5.3 16
2004-08-29 @ Landskrona W 1-051.2 1616 1481 47.88% 30.42% 21.69%+0.66 +5.3 34
2004-08-29 Helsingborg D 2-271.1 1511 1605 25.85% 31.83% 42.32%-0.40 +0.5 18
2004-08-29 @ AIK Stockholm D 2-271.1 1605 1511 42.32% 31.83% 25.85%+0.40 -0.5 22
2004-08-30 Djurgarden L 0-248.1 1483 1589 24.63% 31.51% 43.85%-0.47 -11.2 18
2004-08-30 @ Orebro W 2-048.1 1589 1483 43.85% 31.51% 24.63%+0.47 +11.2 25
2004-08-30 Halmstad D 1-168.1 1603 1635 33.77% 32.65% 33.58%-0.01 -0.0 29
2004-08-30 @ Hammarby D 1-168.1 1635 1603 33.58% 32.65% 33.77%+0.01 +0.0 35
2004-08-30 Kalmar L 0-154.8 1522 1553 33.86% 32.65% 33.49%-0.01 -7.5 23
2004-08-30 @ Elfsborg W 1-054.8 1553 1522 33.49% 32.65% 33.86%+0.01 +7.5 29
2004-08-30 Malmo L 0-249.3 1518 1692 18.54% 28.59% 52.88%-0.91 -8.6 16
2004-08-30 @ Orgryte W 2-049.3 1692 1518 52.88% 28.59% 18.54%+0.91 +8.6 36
2004-09-11 Hammarby W 1-057.1 1600 1603 37.91% 32.45% 29.64%+0.17 +6.8 28
2004-09-11 @ Djurgarden L 0-157.1 1603 1600 29.64% 32.45% 37.91%-0.17 -6.8 29
2004-09-12 Landskrona D 1-160.9 1514 1476 43.72% 31.54% 24.74%+0.44 -0.8 24
2004-09-12 @ Elfsborg D 1-160.9 1476 1514 24.74% 31.54% 43.72%-0.44 +0.8 17
2004-09-12 Orebro W 1-048.3 1511 1472 43.70% 31.55% 24.75%+0.44 +6.0 25
2004-09-12 @ GIF Sundsvall L 0-148.3 1472 1511 24.75% 31.55% 43.70%-0.44 -6.0 18
2004-09-13 AIK Stockholm W 1-050.8 1622 1512 52.99% 28.54% 18.47%+0.89 +4.6 37
2004-09-13 @ Goteborg L 0-150.8 1512 1622 18.47% 28.54% 52.99%-0.89 -4.6 18
2004-09-13 Orgryte D 1-164.0 1561 1509 45.50% 31.11% 23.39%+0.52 -0.9 30
2004-09-13 @ Kalmar D 1-164.0 1509 1561 23.39% 31.11% 45.50%-0.52 +0.9 17
2004-09-13 Trelleborg W 2-041.6 1605 1429 61.05% 24.60% 14.35%+1.31 +6.5 25
2004-09-13 @ Helsingborg L 0-241.6 1429 1605 14.35% 24.60% 61.05%-1.31 -6.5 12
2004-09-14 Malmo D 2-275.3 1635 1700 29.25% 32.41% 38.34%-0.22 +0.3 36
2004-09-14 @ Halmstad D 2-275.3 1700 1635 38.34% 32.41% 29.25%+0.22 -0.3 37
2004-09-18 Kalmar L 0-247.7 1476 1560 27.05% 32.08% 40.87%-0.33 -12.0 17
2004-09-18 @ Landskrona W 2-047.7 1560 1476 40.87% 32.08% 27.05%+0.33 +12.0 33
2004-09-19 GIF Sundsvall W 1-051.3 1596 1517 49.11% 30.02% 20.87%+0.70 +5.1 32
2004-09-19 @ Hammarby L 0-151.3 1517 1596 20.87% 30.02% 49.11%-0.70 -5.1 25
2004-09-19 Goteborg L 2-357.6 1422 1626 16.51% 26.92% 56.57%-1.10 -3.6 12
2004-09-19 @ Trelleborg W 3-257.6 1626 1422 56.57% 26.92% 16.51%+1.10 +3.6 40
2004-09-19 Halmstad W 2-056.8 1510 1635 22.61% 30.81% 46.58%-0.60 +17.7 20
2004-09-19 @ Orgryte L 0-256.8 1635 1510 46.58% 30.81% 22.61%+0.60 -17.7 36
2004-09-20 Djurgarden W 2-051.5 1700 1607 50.95% 29.36% 19.70%+0.79 +9.2 40
2004-09-20 @ Malmo L 0-251.5 1607 1700 19.70% 29.36% 50.95%-0.79 -9.2 28
2004-09-20 Elfsborg D 1-161.8 1507 1514 37.48% 32.49% 30.03%+0.15 -0.3 19
2004-09-20 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-161.8 1514 1507 30.03% 32.49% 37.48%-0.15 +0.3 25
2004-09-20 Helsingborg W 3-161.0 1466 1611 20.83% 30.00% 49.16%-0.73 +16.0 21
2004-09-20 @ Orebro L 1-361.0 1611 1466 49.16% 30.00% 20.83%+0.73 -16.0 25
2004-09-22 GIF Sundsvall W 3-262.4 1464 1512 31.64% 32.60% 35.76%-0.11 +6.9 20
2004-09-22 @ Landskrona L 2-362.4 1512 1464 35.76% 32.60% 31.64%+0.11 -7.0 25
2004-09-22 Halmstad L 0-441.5 1418 1617 16.83% 27.21% 55.95%-1.07 -14.8 12
2004-09-22 @ Trelleborg W 4-041.5 1617 1418 55.95% 27.21% 16.83%+1.07 +14.8 39
2004-09-22 Orgryte L 0-160.1 1601 1528 48.38% 30.26% 21.36%+0.66 -9.7 32
2004-09-22 @ Hammarby W 1-060.1 1528 1601 21.36% 30.26% 48.38%-0.66 +9.7 23
2004-09-23 Djurgarden D 1-164.9 1507 1597 26.26% 31.92% 41.82%-0.38 +0.6 20
2004-09-23 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-164.9 1597 1507 41.82% 31.92% 26.26%+0.38 -0.6 29
2004-09-23 Goteborg W 1-059.9 1514 1630 23.53% 31.16% 45.31%-0.54 +9.2 28
2004-09-23 @ Elfsborg L 0-159.9 1630 1514 45.31% 31.16% 23.53%+0.54 -9.2 40
2004-09-23 Helsingborg D 0-061.5 1572 1595 35.00% 32.63% 32.38%+0.04 -0.1 34
2004-09-23 @ Kalmar D 0-061.5 1595 1572 32.38% 32.63% 35.00%-0.04 +0.1 26
2004-09-23 Malmo L 1-256.3 1482 1709 15.16% 25.53% 59.31%-1.24 -3.5 21
2004-09-23 @ Orebro W 2-156.3 1709 1482 59.31% 25.53% 15.16%+1.24 +3.5 43
2004-09-26 Elfsborg L 0-252.6 1537 1523 40.33% 32.16% 27.50%+0.28 -16.0 23
2004-09-26 @ Orgryte W 2-052.6 1523 1537 27.50% 32.16% 40.33%-0.28 +16.0 31
2004-09-26 Hammarby W 4-366.9 1713 1591 54.43% 27.91% 17.65%+0.96 +3.8 46
2004-09-26 @ Malmo L 3-466.9 1591 1713 17.65% 27.91% 54.43%-0.96 -3.8 32
2004-09-26 Orebro W 5-044.1 1632 1479 58.36% 26.03% 15.62%+1.17 +16.8 42
2004-09-26 @ Halmstad L 0-544.1 1479 1632 15.62% 26.03% 58.36%-1.17 -16.8 21
2004-09-26 Trelleborg W 5-038.8 1597 1404 62.98% 23.52% 13.50%+1.42 +14.1 32
2004-09-26 @ Djurgarden L 0-538.8 1404 1597 13.50% 23.52% 62.98%-1.42 -14.1 12
2004-09-27 AIK Stockholm D 1-161.5 1505 1508 37.92% 32.45% 29.63%+0.17 -0.3 26
2004-09-27 @ GIF Sundsvall D 1-161.5 1508 1505 29.63% 32.45% 37.92%-0.17 +0.3 21
2004-09-27 Kalmar W 1-054.7 1621 1572 45.09% 31.22% 23.70%+0.50 +5.7 43
2004-09-27 @ Goteborg L 0-154.7 1572 1621 23.70% 31.22% 45.09%-0.50 -5.7 34
2004-09-27 Landskrona L 0-159.3 1596 1471 54.80% 27.75% 17.45%+0.98 -10.6 26
2004-09-27 @ Helsingborg W 1-059.3 1471 1596 17.45% 27.75% 54.80%-0.98 +10.6 23
2004-10-03 Malmo W 1-063.8 1566 1716 20.38% 29.76% 49.86%-0.76 +9.9 37
2004-10-03 @ Kalmar L 0-163.8 1716 1566 49.86% 29.76% 20.38%+0.76 -9.9 46
2004-10-03 Orebro L 1-259.6 1508 1462 44.71% 31.31% 23.98%+0.49 -8.6 21
2004-10-03 @ AIK Stockholm W 2-159.6 1462 1508 23.98% 31.31% 44.71%-0.49 +8.6 24
2004-10-03 Orgryte D 1-158.4 1390 1521 22.02% 30.57% 47.40%-0.64 +1.1 13
2004-10-03 @ Trelleborg D 1-158.4 1521 1390 47.40% 30.57% 22.02%+0.64 -1.1 24
2004-10-04 Djurgarden W 2-053.6 1626 1611 40.51% 32.14% 27.35%+0.29 +12.1 46
2004-10-04 @ Goteborg L 0-253.6 1611 1626 27.35% 32.14% 40.51%-0.29 -12.1 32
2004-10-04 GIF Sundsvall W 1-050.5 1585 1504 49.28% 29.96% 20.76%+0.70 +5.1 29
2004-10-04 @ Helsingborg L 0-150.5 1504 1585 20.76% 29.96% 49.28%-0.70 -5.1 26
2004-10-04 Halmstad D 1-167.4 1539 1649 24.13% 31.36% 44.52%-0.50 +0.8 32
2004-10-04 @ Elfsborg D 1-167.4 1649 1539 44.52% 31.36% 24.13%+0.50 -0.8 43
2004-10-04 Hammarby D 0-058.8 1482 1588 24.58% 31.49% 43.93%-0.48 +0.9 24
2004-10-04 @ Landskrona D 0-058.8 1588 1482 43.93% 31.49% 24.58%+0.48 -0.9 33
2004-10-17 Elfsborg W 3-263.6 1599 1540 46.44% 30.86% 22.71%+0.57 +5.0 35
2004-10-17 @ Djurgarden L 2-363.6 1540 1599 22.71% 30.86% 46.44%-0.57 -4.9 32
2004-10-17 Goteborg W 2-166.3 1499 1638 21.35% 30.26% 48.39%-0.69 +9.1 29
2004-10-17 @ GIF Sundsvall L 1-266.3 1638 1499 48.39% 30.26% 21.35%+0.69 -9.1 46
2004-10-17 Kalmar W 1-054.5 1648 1576 48.21% 30.32% 21.47%+0.65 +5.3 46
2004-10-17 @ Halmstad L 0-154.5 1576 1648 21.47% 30.32% 48.21%-0.65 -5.3 37
2004-10-18 AIK Stockholm D 1-165.0 1587 1499 50.16% 29.65% 20.19%+0.75 -1.3 34
2004-10-18 @ Hammarby D 1-165.0 1499 1587 20.19% 29.65% 50.16%-0.75 +1.3 22
2004-10-18 Helsingborg D 1-165.0 1520 1590 28.69% 32.34% 38.97%-0.25 +0.4 25
2004-10-18 @ Orgryte D 1-165.0 1590 1520 38.97% 32.34% 28.69%+0.25 -0.4 30
2004-10-18 Landskrona L 0-164.6 1707 1483 66.40% 21.52% 12.08%+1.61 -12.1 46
2004-10-18 @ Malmo W 1-064.6 1483 1707 12.08% 21.52% 66.40%-1.61 +12.1 27
2004-10-18 Trelleborg W 3-037.4 1471 1391 49.21% 29.98% 20.80%+0.70 +14.0 27
2004-10-18 @ Orebro L 0-337.4 1391 1471 20.80% 29.98% 49.21%-0.70 -14.0 13
2004-10-24 Orebro L 0-158.0 1571 1485 49.98% 29.71% 20.30%+0.74 -9.9 37
2004-10-24 @ Kalmar W 1-058.0 1485 1571 20.30% 29.71% 49.98%-0.74 +9.9 30
2004-10-24 Orgryte L 0-348.2 1501 1521 35.53% 32.61% 31.86%+0.07 -21.2 22
2004-10-24 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-048.2 1521 1501 31.86% 32.61% 35.53%-0.07 +21.2 28
2004-10-24 Trelleborg W 4-036.2 1495 1377 54.08% 28.07% 17.85%+0.94 +15.8 30
2004-10-24 @ Landskrona L 0-436.2 1377 1495 17.85% 28.07% 54.08%-0.94 -15.8 13
2004-10-25 Djurgarden L 0-153.3 1508 1604 25.70% 31.79% 42.51%-0.41 -6.1 29
2004-10-25 @ GIF Sundsvall W 1-053.3 1604 1508 42.51% 31.79% 25.70%+0.41 +6.1 38
2004-10-25 Halmstad L 1-263.7 1590 1653 29.44% 32.43% 38.12%-0.21 -6.4 30
2004-10-25 @ Helsingborg W 2-163.7 1653 1590 38.12% 32.43% 29.44%+0.21 +6.4 49
2004-10-25 Hammarby L 0-155.4 1535 1586 31.18% 32.58% 36.24%-0.13 -7.1 32
2004-10-25 @ Elfsborg W 1-055.4 1586 1535 36.24% 32.58% 31.18%+0.13 +7.1 37
2004-10-25 Malmo L 1-264.8 1629 1694 29.28% 32.42% 38.30%-0.22 -6.4 46
2004-10-25 @ Goteborg W 2-164.8 1694 1629 38.30% 32.42% 29.28%+0.22 +6.4 49
2004-10-30 AIK Stockholm L 1-345.4 1361 1480 23.26% 31.06% 45.68%-0.56 -9.2 13
2004-10-30 @ Trelleborg W 3-145.4 1480 1361 45.68% 31.06% 23.26%+0.56 +9.2 25
2004-10-30 Elfsborg W 1-050.8 1701 1528 60.66% 24.81% 14.53%+1.29 +3.5 52
2004-10-30 @ Malmo L 0-150.8 1528 1701 14.53% 24.81% 60.66%-1.29 -3.5 32
2004-10-30 GIF Sundsvall L 1-358.7 1542 1502 43.83% 31.52% 24.65%+0.44 -14.7 28
2004-10-30 @ Orgryte W 3-158.7 1502 1542 24.65% 31.52% 43.83%-0.44 +14.7 32
2004-10-30 Goteborg D 1-169.1 1660 1623 43.48% 31.59% 24.92%+0.43 -0.8 50
2004-10-30 @ Halmstad D 1-169.1 1623 1660 24.92% 31.59% 43.48%-0.43 +0.8 47
2004-10-30 Helsingborg W 2-161.5 1610 1583 42.06% 31.88% 26.06%+0.36 +5.8 41
2004-10-30 @ Djurgarden L 1-261.5 1583 1610 26.06% 31.88% 42.06%-0.36 -5.8 30
2004-10-30 Kalmar L 0-354.5 1593 1561 42.78% 31.74% 25.48%+0.40 -24.2 37
2004-10-30 @ Hammarby W 3-054.5 1561 1593 25.48% 31.74% 42.78%-0.40 +24.2 40
2004-10-30 Landskrona W 2-048.0 1495 1511 36.05% 32.59% 31.36%+0.09 +13.4 33
2004-10-30 @ Orebro L 0-248.0 1511 1495 31.36% 32.59% 36.05%-0.09 -13.4 30

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2004-10-18 12.08% Landskrona 1483 1 @ Malmo 1707 0
2 2004-08-14 17.01% @ GIF Sundsvall 1506 3 Malmo 1703 2
3 2004-08-09 17.43% AIK Stockholm 1516 2 @ Halmstad 1641 1
4 2004-09-27 17.45% Landskrona 1471 1 @ Helsingborg 1596 0
5 2004-05-10 17.80% Trelleborg 1498 1 @ Hammarby 1617 0
6 2004-05-13 18.09% GIF Sundsvall 1479 1 @ Goteborg 1594 0
7 2004-05-12 18.83% @ Landskrona 1501 2 Malmo 1671 1
8 2004-05-09 19.33% Kalmar 1529 3 @ Djurgarden 1627 0
9 2004-05-02 19.84% @ Landskrona 1489 2 Djurgarden 1646 0
10 2004-10-24 20.30% Orebro 1485 1 @ Kalmar 1571 0
11 2004-10-03 20.38% @ Kalmar 1566 1 Malmo 1716 0
12 2004-09-20 20.83% @ Orebro 1466 3 Helsingborg 1611 1
13 2004-10-17 21.35% @ GIF Sundsvall 1499 2 Goteborg 1638 1
14 2004-09-22 21.36% Orgryte 1528 1 @ Hammarby 1601 0
15 2004-05-20 22.12% @ GIF Sundsvall 1490 2 Hammarby 1621 0
16 2004-08-23 22.48% Landskrona 1466 3 @ AIK Stockholm 1527 1
17 2004-09-19 22.61% @ Orgryte 1510 2 Halmstad 1635 0
18 2004-05-23 22.96% @ GIF Sundsvall 1508 1 Halmstad 1630 0
19 2004-09-23 23.53% @ Elfsborg 1514 1 Goteborg 1630 0
20 2004-10-03 23.98% Orebro 1462 2 @ AIK Stockholm 1508 1
21 2004-07-25 24.41% Elfsborg 1515 1 @ Kalmar 1557 0
22 2004-10-30 24.65% GIF Sundsvall 1502 3 @ Orgryte 1542 1
23 2004-04-12 24.76% Kalmar 1513 2 @ Helsingborg 1552 1
24 2004-10-30 25.48% Kalmar 1561 3 @ Hammarby 1593 0
25 2004-05-18 27.49% Goteborg 1584 2 @ Djurgarden 1598 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2004-05-09 27.78 Kalmar 3 1529 19.33% @ Djurgarden 0 1627 51.55% 29.12%
2 2004-07-19 24.51 Helsingborg 6 1535 38.65% @ Trelleborg 1 1467 28.97% 32.38%
3 2004-10-30 24.18 Kalmar 3 1561 25.48% @ Hammarby 0 1593 42.78% 31.74%
4 2004-08-08 21.51 @ Helsingborg 4 1570 43.29% Elfsborg 0 1535 25.08% 31.63%
5 2004-10-24 21.19 Orgryte 3 1521 31.86% @ AIK Stockholm 0 1501 35.53% 32.61%
6 2004-05-24 20.47 @ Elfsborg 3 1479 33.56% Orebro 0 1512 33.79% 32.65%
7 2004-05-13 20.34 @ Helsingborg 3 1532 33.90% Orgryte 0 1563 33.46% 32.65%
8 2004-08-09 20.20 @ Goteborg 4 1584 45.70% Orgryte 0 1530 23.24% 31.06%
9 2004-08-02 19.94 Halmstad 4 1621 46.19% @ Landskrona 0 1498 22.89% 30.92%
10 2004-05-02 18.89 @ Landskrona 2 1489 19.84% Djurgarden 0 1646 50.71% 29.44%
11 2004-05-20 17.93 @ GIF Sundsvall 2 1490 22.12% Hammarby 0 1621 47.26% 30.61%
12 2004-09-19 17.73 @ Orgryte 2 1510 22.61% Halmstad 0 1635 46.58% 30.81%
13 2004-07-26 17.55 @ Helsingborg 3 1559 40.68% AIK Stockholm 0 1543 27.20% 32.11%
14 2004-09-26 16.78 @ Halmstad 5 1632 58.36% Orebro 0 1479 15.62% 26.03%
15 2004-07-19 16.68 @ Hammarby 3 1616 42.77% Djurgarden 0 1584 25.49% 31.74%
16 2004-09-20 15.99 @ Orebro 3 1466 20.83% Helsingborg 1 1611 49.16% 30.00%
17 2004-09-26 15.95 Elfsborg 2 1523 27.50% @ Orgryte 0 1537 40.33% 32.16%
18 2004-04-09 15.94 @ Goteborg 3 1570 44.56% Elfsborg 0 1525 24.09% 31.35%
19 2004-10-24 15.76 @ Landskrona 4 1495 54.08% Trelleborg 0 1377 17.85% 28.07%
20 2004-07-24 15.63 @ Djurgarden 5 1567 48.39% Orebro 1 1494 21.35% 30.26%
21 2004-08-23 15.40 Landskrona 3 1466 22.48% @ AIK Stockholm 1 1527 46.76% 30.76%
22 2004-04-19 15.28 Malmo 5 1654 49.18% @ Elfsborg 1 1509 20.82% 29.99%
23 2004-04-05 15.02 Halmstad 5 1560 33.33% @ Orebro 2 1529 34.02% 32.65%
24 2004-09-22 14.81 Halmstad 4 1617 55.95% @ Trelleborg 0 1418 16.83% 27.21%
25 2004-10-30 14.68 GIF Sundsvall 3 1502 24.65% @ Orgryte 1 1542 43.83% 31.52%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2004-09-14 75.3 @ Halmstad 2 1635 29.25% Malmo 2 1700 38.34% 32.41%
2 2004-08-14 74.2 @ GIF Sundsvall 3 1506 17.01% Malmo 2 1703 55.63% 27.37%
3 2004-07-07 73.7 @ Halmstad 2 1620 41.79% Djurgarden 2 1596 26.28% 31.93%
4 2004-07-11 72.9 @ Halmstad 2 1620 49.49% Orgryte 2 1538 20.62% 29.89%
5 2004-05-16 71.9 @ GIF Sundsvall 3 1490 29.67% Helsingborg 3 1552 37.87% 32.46%
6 2004-04-05 71.8 @ Trelleborg 2 1493 21.31% Djurgarden 2 1632 48.45% 30.24%
7 2004-08-29 71.1 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1511 25.85% Helsingborg 2 1605 42.32% 31.83%
8 2004-07-18 70.8 @ Orebro 3 1494 34.67% GIF Sundsvall 3 1520 32.70% 32.64%
9 2004-08-02 70.5 @ Trelleborg 2 1437 17.55% Hammarby 2 1626 54.62% 27.83%
10 2004-08-24 69.9 @ Malmo 1 1693 50.36% Helsingborg 1 1604 20.07% 29.58%
11 2004-05-10 69.6 @ Orgryte 2 1564 47.49% Orebro 2 1497 21.97% 30.54%
12 2004-10-30 69.1 @ Halmstad 1 1660 43.48% Goteborg 1 1623 24.92% 31.59%
13 2004-08-30 68.1 @ Hammarby 1 1603 33.77% Halmstad 1 1635 33.58% 32.65%
14 2004-05-12 68.0 @ Landskrona 2 1501 18.83% Malmo 1 1671 52.38% 28.79%
15 2004-08-09 68.0 AIK Stockholm 2 1516 17.43% @ Halmstad 1 1641 54.84% 27.73%
16 2004-05-03 67.9 @ Trelleborg 1 1496 18.23% Malmo 1 1675 53.41% 28.36%
17 2004-08-15 67.6 @ Djurgarden 1 1581 31.38% Halmstad 1 1631 36.04% 32.59%
18 2004-10-04 67.4 @ Elfsborg 1 1539 24.13% Halmstad 1 1649 44.52% 31.36%
19 2004-04-19 67.2 @ Helsingborg 1 1543 25.51% Djurgarden 1 1640 42.74% 31.75%
20 2004-08-22 67.0 @ Orebro 2 1483 32.86% Elfsborg 2 1522 34.50% 32.64%
21 2004-09-26 66.9 @ Malmo 4 1713 54.43% Hammarby 3 1591 17.65% 27.91%
22 2004-08-08 66.6 @ Hammarby 1 1624 56.54% Orebro 1 1486 16.53% 26.93%
23 2004-10-17 66.3 @ GIF Sundsvall 2 1499 21.35% Goteborg 1 1638 48.39% 30.26%
24 2004-08-22 66.0 Goteborg 2 1609 28.98% @ Hammarby 1 1611 38.64% 32.38%
25 2004-05-18 65.6 Goteborg 2 1584 27.49% @ Djurgarden 1 1598 40.35% 32.16%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2004-10-24 36.2 @ Landskrona 4 1495 54.08% Trelleborg 0 1377 17.85% 28.07%
2 2004-10-18 37.4 @ Orebro 3 1471 49.21% Trelleborg 0 1391 20.80% 29.98%
3 2004-09-26 38.8 @ Djurgarden 5 1597 62.98% Trelleborg 0 1404 13.50% 23.52%
4 2004-09-22 41.5 Halmstad 4 1617 55.95% @ Trelleborg 0 1418 16.83% 27.21%
5 2004-09-13 41.6 @ Helsingborg 2 1605 61.05% Trelleborg 0 1429 14.35% 24.60%
6 2004-09-26 44.1 @ Halmstad 5 1632 58.36% Orebro 0 1479 15.62% 26.03%
7 2004-05-16 44.2 @ Halmstad 3 1618 55.22% Elfsborg 0 1491 17.22% 27.56%
8 2004-07-11 45.0 @ Goteborg 2 1583 52.72% Trelleborg 0 1476 18.63% 28.65%
9 2004-10-30 45.4 AIK Stockholm 3 1480 45.68% @ Trelleborg 1 1361 23.26% 31.06%
10 2004-07-25 46.0 @ GIF Sundsvall 1 1520 48.81% Trelleborg 0 1443 21.07% 30.12%
11 2004-05-23 46.5 @ Kalmar 2 1547 45.56% Trelleborg 0 1494 23.35% 31.09%
12 2004-05-24 46.6 @ Elfsborg 3 1479 33.56% Orebro 0 1512 33.79% 32.65%
13 2004-04-09 47.0 @ Goteborg 3 1570 44.56% Elfsborg 0 1525 24.09% 31.35%
14 2004-08-02 47.3 Halmstad 4 1621 46.19% @ Landskrona 0 1498 22.89% 30.92%
15 2004-08-09 47.3 @ Goteborg 4 1584 45.70% Orgryte 0 1530 23.24% 31.06%
16 2004-08-08 47.7 @ Helsingborg 4 1570 43.29% Elfsborg 0 1535 25.08% 31.63%
17 2004-09-18 47.7 Kalmar 2 1560 40.87% @ Landskrona 0 1476 27.05% 32.08%
18 2004-08-15 47.9 @ Elfsborg 3 1513 48.97% Trelleborg 1 1435 20.96% 30.07%
19 2004-10-30 48.0 @ Orebro 2 1495 36.05% Landskrona 0 1511 31.36% 32.59%
20 2004-08-30 48.1 Djurgarden 2 1589 43.85% @ Orebro 0 1483 24.63% 31.51%
21 2004-07-24 48.2 @ Djurgarden 5 1567 48.39% Orebro 1 1494 21.35% 30.26%
22 2004-10-24 48.2 Orgryte 3 1521 31.86% @ AIK Stockholm 0 1501 35.53% 32.61%
23 2004-08-14 48.3 Orgryte 2 1510 33.37% @ Landskrona 0 1480 33.99% 32.65%
24 2004-09-12 48.3 @ GIF Sundsvall 1 1511 43.70% Orebro 0 1472 24.75% 31.55%
25 2004-07-19 48.4 Helsingborg 6 1535 38.65% @ Trelleborg 1 1467 28.97% 32.38%