2012-13 Challenge League Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Aarau

15.37 points above expected

78 points · 62.63 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Vaduz

11.43 points below expected

37 points · 48.43 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Aarau	36	24	6	6	78	76	40	+36	62.63	+15.37
2	Bellinzona*	36	21	8	7	64	62	37	+25	54.04	+9.96
3	Winterthur	36	19	5	12	62	61	43	+18	57.03	+4.97
4	Wil	36	15	6	15	51	59	65	-6	49.45	+1.55
5	Biel-Bienne	36	13	8	15	47	59	59	0	45.58	+1.42
6	Chiasso	36	13	8	15	47	42	51	-9	45.96	+1.04
7	Lugano	36	11	11	14	44	52	50	+2	50.25	-6.25
8	Wohlen	36	9	12	15	39	39	58	-19	41.53	-2.53
9	Vaduz	36	10	7	19	37	41	52	-11	48.43	-11.43
10	Locarno	36	5	9	22	24	32	68	-36	31.88	-7.88

* Point deductions: Bellinzona (-7 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Aarau	78	62.63	+15.37
2	Bellinzona	64	54.04	+9.96
3	Winterthur	62	57.03	+4.97
4	Wil	51	49.45	+1.55
5	Biel-Bienne	47	45.58	+1.42

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Vaduz	37	48.43	-11.43
2	Locarno	24	31.88	-7.88
3	Lugano	44	50.25	-6.25
4	Wohlen	39	41.53	-2.53
5	Chiasso	47	45.96	+1.04

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Aarau	6	Aug 12 – Sep 26	1 in 130
2	Wil	4	Aug 19 – Sep 24	1 in 116
3	Bellinzona	5	Sep 27 – Oct 27	1 in 78
4	Chiasso	3	Dec 1 – Feb 23	1 in 72
5	Winterthur	4	Oct 22 – Nov 17	1 in 33

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Chiasso	5	Oct 20 – Nov 24	1 in 104
2	Lugano	3	Dec 1 – Feb 18	1 in 29
3	Biel-Bienne	4	Mar 16 – Apr 13	1 in 26
4	Locarno	5	Sep 26 – Oct 27	1 in 22
5	Wohlen	3	Aug 11 – Aug 25	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Bellinzona	14	Nov 18 – Apr 28	1 in 107
2	Aarau	10	Aug 12 – Oct 28	1 in 24
3	Wil	7	Oct 21 – Feb 9	1 in 21
4	Locarno	3	Dec 1 – Mar 2	1 in 19
5	Chiasso	4	Dec 1 – Feb 27	1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lugano	10	Aug 25 – Nov 19	1 in 83
2	Wil	6	May 6 – May 30	1 in 25
3	Wohlen	7	Aug 4 – Sep 27	1 in 23
4	Winterthur	4	Sep 24 – Oct 7	1 in 14
5	Biel-Bienne	5	Nov 17 – Feb 17	1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Aarau	1685	78	+12	11	10.2	+0.8
Bellinzona	1653	71	+4	8	9.3	-1.3
Winterthur	1603	62	+5	7	8.4	-1.4
Wil	1487	51	-3	5	6.2	-1.2
Biel-Bienne	1524	47	+72	10	6.3	+3.7
Chiasso	1449	47	-3	7	6.4	+0.6
Lugano	1498	44	-8	7	6.7	+0.3
Wohlen	1400	39	-65	3	4.7	-1.7
Vaduz	1398	37	-65	3	7.3	-4.3
Locarno	1358	24	+50	7	3.4	+3.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AAR	BEL	BIE	CHI	LOC	LUG	VAD	WIL	WIN	WOH
Aarau	—	1-1-2 6.06	3-0-1 7.65	2-1-1 7.37	3-1-0 8.35	3-1-0 6.78	3-0-1 6.73	4-0-0 7.07	2-1-1 5.68	3-1-0 7.63
Bellinzona	2-1-1 4.90	—	4-0-0 6.77	1-1-2 7.20	3-1-0 8.31	2-1-1 6.73	2-2-0 6.63	3-0-1 6.69	2-0-2 5.71	2-2-0 7.20
Biel-Bienne	1-0-3 3.37	0-0-4 4.20	—	2-1-1 5.54	2-2-0 6.95	1-1-2 5.27	2-2-0 5.08	2-0-2 4.85	1-1-2 4.14	2-1-1 5.82
Chiasso	1-1-2 3.65	2-1-1 3.82	1-1-2 5.42	—	4-0-0 7.09	1-1-2 4.89	2-1-1 5.26	1-1-2 5.02	0-1-3 4.18	1-1-2 5.56
Locarno	0-1-3 2.76	0-1-3 2.78	0-2-2 4.06	0-0-4 3.90	—	1-2-1 3.37	1-0-3 3.73	0-1-3 3.90	2-0-2 3.29	1-2-1 4.21
Lugano	0-1-3 4.20	1-1-2 4.26	2-1-1 5.69	2-1-1 6.07	1-2-1 7.65	—	2-1-1 5.67	1-2-1 5.00	0-0-4 4.77	2-2-0 6.32
Vaduz	1-0-3 4.25	0-2-2 4.37	0-2-2 5.87	1-1-2 5.71	3-0-1 7.28	1-1-2 5.28	—	1-0-3 5.22	1-1-2 4.41	2-0-2 6.10
Wil	0-0-4 3.92	1-0-3 4.29	2-0-2 6.11	2-1-1 5.95	3-1-0 7.12	1-2-1 5.98	3-0-1 5.74	—	3-0-1 4.47	0-2-2 6.51
Winterthur	1-1-2 5.28	2-0-2 5.26	2-1-1 6.84	3-1-0 6.80	2-0-2 7.80	4-0-0 6.19	2-1-1 6.57	1-0-3 6.52	—	2-1-1 7.09
Wohlen	0-1-3 3.45	0-2-2 3.84	1-1-2 5.13	2-1-1 5.41	1-2-1 6.77	0-2-2 4.63	2-0-2 4.85	2-2-0 4.45	1-1-2 3.91	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.86	+10.6
Allowed	0.62	-11.7
Differential	0.93	+6.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.78%	10.28%	4.72%	3.06%	0.83%	1.39%	28.06%
1	10.28%	7.22%	6.11%	5.28%	1.11%	0.56%	30.56%
2	4.72%	6.11%	5.00%	3.33%	0.83%	0.56%	20.56%
3	3.06%	5.28%	3.33%	2.22%	0.28%	0.56%	14.72%
4	0.83%	1.11%	0.83%	0.28%	—	—	3.06%
5+	1.39%	0.56%	0.56%	0.56%	—	—	3.06%
Total	28.06%	30.56%	20.56%	14.72%	3.06%	3.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.45	+0.00
SD	1.36	1.36	1.94
CV	0.93	0.93	—
Max	8	8	+8
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
1	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	25.00%
2	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	8.33%	13.89%	2.78%	5.56%	—	2.78%	33.33%
4	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
Total	38.89%	36.11%	11.11%	8.33%	—	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.11	1.11	+1.00
SD	1.45	1.33	1.74
CV	0.69	1.19	—
Max	6	5	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
1	25.00%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	36.11%
2	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
3	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	13.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	50.00%	19.44%	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.72	1.03	+0.69
SD	1.61	1.32	1.86
CV	0.94	1.28	—
Max	8	5	+8
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	11.11%	—	2.78%	2.78%	30.56%
1	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	25.00%
2	2.78%	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	22.22%
3	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	22.22%	27.78%	33.33%	2.78%	11.11%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.64	+0.00
SD	1.71	1.42	2.46
CV	1.04	0.86	—
Max	7	6	+7
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
1	8.33%	8.33%	—	8.33%	2.78%	—	27.78%
2	2.78%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	27.78%
3	—	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	47.22%	13.89%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.17	1.42	-0.25
SD	1.03	1.20	1.48
CV	0.88	0.85	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	13.89%	5.56%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	44.44%
1	2.78%	8.33%	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	30.56%
2	—	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	—	2.78%	16.67%
3	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	25.00%	27.78%	22.22%	2.78%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.89	1.89	-1.00
SD	0.98	1.41	1.76
CV	1.10	0.75	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
1	5.56%	16.67%	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	41.67%
2	8.33%	—	—	5.56%	—	—	13.89%
3	2.78%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	13.89%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	30.56%	16.67%	25.00%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.44	1.39	+0.06
SD	1.23	1.15	1.64
CV	0.85	0.83	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
1	13.89%	2.78%	19.44%	8.33%	—	—	44.44%
2	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	8.33%
3	—	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
Total	30.56%	16.67%	33.33%	16.67%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.44	-0.31
SD	1.29	1.18	1.58
CV	1.13	0.82	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	11.11%	—	11.11%	—	2.78%	27.78%
1	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
2	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	25.00%
3	2.78%	5.56%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	30.56%	25.00%	22.22%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.81	-0.17
SD	1.29	1.53	2.22
CV	0.79	0.85	—
Max	4	8	+4
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	16.67%
1	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	33.33%
2	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	30.56%
3	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	33.33%	36.11%	11.11%	16.67%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.69	1.19	+0.50
SD	1.33	1.17	1.89
CV	0.78	0.98	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	5.56%	41.67%
1	8.33%	8.33%	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	25.00%
2	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	5.56%	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	2.78%	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	36.11%	16.67%	11.11%	2.78%	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.61	-0.53
SD	1.13	1.64	1.93
CV	1.04	1.02	—
Max	3	7	+3
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Aarau	1685	78	62.63	+15.37	100.0%	45	50	58	61	69	74	78
Bellinzona	1653	64	54.04	+9.96	93.0%	35	42	50	55	58	66	70
Winterthur	1603	62	57.03	+4.97	78.0%	36	46	51	56	62	71	82
Biel-Bienne	1524	47	45.58	+1.42	58.0%	30	35	42	46	50	54	60
Lugano	1498	44	50.25	-6.25	25.0%	28	35	44	50	54	65	71
Wil	1487	51	49.45	+1.55	62.0%	35	37	44	48	55	62	66
Chiasso	1449	47	45.96	+1.04	63.0%	31	33	41	46	51	59	64
Wohlen	1400	39	41.53	-2.53	40.0%	28	30	37	41	46	53	58
Vaduz	1398	37	48.43	-11.43	9.0%	32	36	43	48	54	59	65
Locarno	1358	24	31.88	-7.88	12.0%	14	20	27	32	36	42	55

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+3.33%

No Edge

40.56%22.22%37.22%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 11.59 Elo pts.

202 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.25 goals

Neutral

-2+0.06+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.2

Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

49%

Aarau, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.39/gm

Runaway

00.170.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.95 * Some Luck: 5.95 to 8.93 * Lucky: 8.93 to 11.9 * Wild Swing: 11.9 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.29 * Close: 1.29 to 1.94 * Off: 1.94 to 2.59 * Way Off: 2.59 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.75 points

Some Luck

07.4419

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.40

01.624

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

100.00%

Aarau

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

9.00%

Vaduz

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.16

Even

00.130.20.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 111.52

1.92

Strong Separation

0.751.51.82.153

Interquartile Edge

73%

Clear Edge

50%63.5%74.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

87%

Clear Edge

50%89%100%

Close Games

Expected

62%

Frequent

0%56%100%

Blowouts

Expected

15%

Occasional

0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.63

Hard to Predict

00.612

Matchup Imbalance

0.32

Very Even

00.340.420.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.11

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.66

Strong Carryover

00.380.570.71

Upset Rate

Expected

28%

Very Upset-Prone

0%25%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

24%

Very Shaky

0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.

Probability calibration

0.32

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.99

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.076

Well Within Noise

00.1220.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Aarau	49.00%	23.00%	14.00%	8.00%	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
Bellinzona	11.00%	17.00%	20.00%	19.00%	15.00%	7.00%	4.00%	4.00%	3.00%	—
Winterthur	22.00%	23.00%	14.00%	13.00%	14.00%	8.00%	3.00%	—	3.00%	—
Wil	5.00%	9.00%	12.00%	9.00%	13.00%	12.00%	22.00%	7.00%	9.00%	2.00%
Biel-Bienne	—	1.00%	9.00%	7.00%	21.00%	14.00%	15.00%	14.00%	17.00%	2.00%
Chiasso	3.00%	6.00%	4.00%	11.00%	7.00%	22.00%	11.00%	22.00%	9.00%	5.00%
Lugano	6.00%	14.00%	11.00%	13.00%	12.00%	13.00%	14.00%	5.00%	10.00%	2.00%
Wohlen	1.00%	—	3.00%	4.00%	6.00%	6.00%	16.00%	28.00%	24.00%	12.00%
Vaduz	3.00%	7.00%	12.00%	16.00%	11.00%	14.00%	10.00%	13.00%	11.00%	3.00%
Locarno	—	—	1.00%	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	6.00%	14.00%	74.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Direct promotion	Same level	Direct relegation
Aarau	49.00%	51.00%	—
Winterthur	22.00%	78.00%	—
Bellinzona	11.00%	89.00%	—
Lugano	6.00%	92.00%	2.00%
Wil	5.00%	93.00%	2.00%
Vaduz	3.00%	94.00%	3.00%
Biel-Bienne	—	98.00%	2.00%
Chiasso	3.00%	92.00%	5.00%
Wohlen	1.00%	87.00%	12.00%
Locarno	—	26.00%	74.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2012-07-14	Wil	W 3-1	52.0	1503	1515	44.10%	26.27%	29.64%	+0.00	+14.1	3
2012-07-14	@ Lugano	L 1-3	52.0	1515	1503	29.64%	26.27%	44.10%	+0.00	-14.1	0
2012-07-14	Winterthur	L 0-5	48.0	1495	1520	42.31%	26.37%	31.32%	-0.07	-50.0	0
2012-07-14	@ Locarno	W 5-0	48.0	1520	1495	31.32%	26.37%	42.31%	+0.07	+50.0	3
2012-07-15	Bellinzona	L 1-2	57.5	1479	1537	37.60%	26.50%	35.89%	-0.23	-9.8	0
2012-07-15	@ Biel-Bienne	W 2-1	57.5	1537	1479	35.89%	26.50%	37.60%	+0.23	+9.8	3
2012-07-15	Chiasso	D 0-0	58.1	1503	1494	46.84%	26.04%	27.11%	+0.10	-1.2	1
2012-07-15	@ Vaduz	D 0-0	58.1	1494	1503	27.11%	26.04%	46.84%	-0.10	+1.2	1
2012-07-16	Aarau	L 0-1	52.7	1479	1531	38.63%	26.49%	34.87%	-0.20	-10.6	0
2012-07-16	@ Wohlen	W 1-0	52.7	1531	1479	34.87%	26.49%	38.63%	+0.20	+10.6	3
2012-07-21	Biel-Bienne	D 1-1	61.0	1495	1469	49.04%	25.80%	25.15%	+0.19	-1.3	2
2012-07-21	@ Chiasso	D 1-1	61.0	1469	1495	25.15%	25.80%	49.04%	-0.19	+1.4	1
2012-07-21	Vaduz	W 2-0	45.9	1570	1502	53.98%	25.05%	20.97%	+0.39	+12.2	6
2012-07-21	@ Winterthur	L 0-2	45.9	1502	1570	20.97%	25.05%	53.98%	-0.39	-12.2	1
2012-07-22	Locarno	D 1-1	62.3	1541	1445	57.16%	24.38%	18.46%	+0.53	-2.3	4
2012-07-22	@ Aarau	D 1-1	62.3	1445	1541	18.46%	24.38%	57.16%	-0.53	+2.3	1
2012-07-22	Wohlen	L 0-3	48.7	1501	1469	49.70%	25.72%	24.58%	+0.21	-35.5	0
2012-07-22	@ Wil	W 3-0	48.7	1469	1501	24.58%	25.72%	49.70%	-0.21	+35.5	3
2012-07-23	Lugano	W 3-1	52.1	1547	1517	49.43%	25.76%	24.81%	+0.20	+12.2	6
2012-07-23	@ Bellinzona	L 1-3	52.1	1517	1547	24.81%	25.76%	49.43%	-0.20	-12.2	3
2012-07-28	Wil	L 2-3	67.8	1559	1465	56.88%	24.45%	18.67%	+0.52	-13.0	6
2012-07-28	@ Bellinzona	W 3-2	67.8	1465	1559	18.67%	24.45%	56.88%	-0.52	+13.0	3
2012-07-28	Wohlen	L 0-1	59.9	1582	1504	55.10%	24.83%	20.07%	+0.44	-14.1	6
2012-07-28	@ Winterthur	W 1-0	59.9	1504	1582	20.07%	24.83%	55.10%	-0.44	+14.1	6
2012-07-29	Chiasso	D 0-0	59.6	1539	1494	51.32%	25.50%	23.19%	+0.28	-1.8	5
2012-07-29	@ Aarau	D 0-0	59.6	1494	1539	23.19%	25.50%	51.32%	-0.28	+1.8	3
2012-07-29	Locarno	W 2-0	41.8	1490	1447	51.04%	25.54%	23.43%	+0.27	+13.5	4
2012-07-29	@ Vaduz	L 0-2	41.8	1447	1490	23.43%	25.54%	51.04%	-0.27	-13.5	1
2012-07-30	Biel-Bienne	W 4-0	40.5	1505	1470	50.08%	25.67%	24.25%	+0.23	+26.3	6
2012-07-30	@ Lugano	L 0-4	40.5	1470	1505	24.25%	25.67%	50.08%	-0.23	-26.3	1
2012-08-04	Bellinzona	D 0-0	60.5	1519	1546	41.94%	26.39%	31.67%	-0.08	-0.6	7
2012-08-04	@ Wohlen	D 0-0	60.5	1546	1519	31.67%	26.39%	41.94%	+0.08	+0.6	7
2012-08-04	Locarno	D 0-0	57.4	1531	1434	57.29%	24.35%	18.36%	+0.54	-2.6	7
2012-08-04	@ Lugano	D 0-0	57.4	1434	1531	18.36%	24.35%	57.29%	-0.54	+2.6	2
2012-08-05	Wil	W 3-0	42.0	1444	1478	41.00%	26.43%	32.57%	-0.11	+25.5	4
2012-08-05	@ Biel-Bienne	L 0-3	42.0	1478	1444	32.57%	26.43%	41.00%	+0.11	-25.5	3
2012-08-05	Winterthur	L 0-1	53.8	1496	1568	35.65%	26.50%	37.85%	-0.30	-10.0	3
2012-08-05	@ Chiasso	W 1-0	53.8	1568	1496	37.85%	26.50%	35.65%	+0.30	+10.0	9
2012-08-06	Aarau	W 5-3	59.7	1503	1537	41.06%	26.43%	32.51%	-0.11	+12.8	7
2012-08-06	@ Vaduz	L 3-5	59.7	1537	1503	32.51%	26.43%	41.06%	+0.11	-12.8	5
2012-08-11	Chiasso	L 0-1	55.6	1518	1486	49.74%	25.72%	24.54%	+0.22	-13.0	7
2012-08-11	@ Wohlen	W 1-0	55.6	1486	1518	24.54%	25.72%	49.74%	-0.22	+13.0	6
2012-08-11	Vaduz	W 3-1	52.1	1529	1516	47.30%	26.00%	26.70%	+0.12	+13.0	10
2012-08-11	@ Lugano	L 1-3	52.1	1516	1529	26.70%	26.00%	47.30%	-0.12	-13.0	7
2012-08-12	Aarau	L 0-3	45.0	1453	1524	35.71%	26.50%	37.78%	-0.30	-27.3	3
2012-08-12	@ Wil	W 3-0	45.0	1524	1453	37.78%	26.50%	35.71%	+0.30	+27.3	8
2012-08-12	Biel-Bienne	D 2-2	63.9	1436	1469	41.16%	26.42%	32.42%	-0.11	-0.4	3
2012-08-12	@ Locarno	D 2-2	63.9	1469	1436	32.42%	26.42%	41.16%	+0.11	+0.3	5
2012-08-13	Bellinzona	W 1-0	52.3	1578	1547	49.62%	25.73%	24.65%	+0.21	+7.5	12
2012-08-13	@ Winterthur	L 0-1	52.3	1547	1578	24.65%	25.73%	49.62%	-0.21	-7.5	7
2012-08-18	Locarno	W 2-1	49.4	1539	1436	57.90%	24.20%	17.89%	+0.57	+5.3	10
2012-08-18	@ Bellinzona	L 1-2	49.4	1436	1539	17.89%	24.20%	57.90%	-0.57	-5.3	3
2012-08-18	Vaduz	W 4-2	55.2	1470	1503	41.14%	26.42%	32.43%	-0.11	+13.6	8
2012-08-18	@ Biel-Bienne	L 2-4	55.2	1503	1470	32.43%	26.42%	41.14%	+0.11	-13.6	7
2012-08-19	Chiasso	W 4-1	48.6	1425	1499	35.47%	26.50%	38.03%	-0.31	+24.1	6
2012-08-19	@ Wil	L 1-4	48.6	1499	1425	38.03%	26.50%	35.47%	+0.31	-24.2	6
2012-08-19	Wohlen	W 4-1	48.6	1542	1505	50.33%	25.64%	24.04%	+0.24	+16.9	13
2012-08-19	@ Lugano	L 1-4	48.6	1505	1542	24.04%	25.64%	50.33%	-0.24	-16.9	7
2012-08-20	Winterthur	W 3-1	57.0	1552	1585	41.11%	26.43%	32.47%	-0.11	+15.2	11
2012-08-20	@ Aarau	L 1-3	57.0	1585	1552	32.47%	26.43%	41.11%	+0.11	-15.2	12
2012-08-25	Lugano	W 3-1	55.0	1567	1559	46.72%	26.06%	27.22%	+0.10	+13.2	14
2012-08-25	@ Aarau	L 1-3	55.0	1559	1567	27.22%	26.06%	46.72%	-0.10	-13.2	13
2012-08-25	Wohlen	W 5-0	42.3	1490	1488	45.84%	26.13%	28.02%	+0.06	+36.5	10
2012-08-25	@ Vaduz	L 0-5	42.3	1488	1490	28.02%	26.13%	45.84%	-0.06	-36.5	7
2012-08-26	Wil	L 0-3	43.8	1431	1450	43.11%	26.33%	30.56%	-0.04	-31.5	3
2012-08-26	@ Locarno	W 3-0	43.8	1450	1431	30.56%	26.33%	43.11%	+0.04	+31.5	9
2012-08-26	Winterthur	W 3-2	64.4	1483	1570	33.60%	26.46%	39.94%	-0.37	+9.7	11
2012-08-26	@ Biel-Bienne	L 2-3	64.4	1570	1483	39.94%	26.46%	33.60%	+0.37	-9.7	12
2012-08-27	Bellinzona	W 3-2	62.4	1475	1545	35.95%	26.51%	37.54%	-0.29	+9.3	9
2012-08-27	@ Chiasso	L 2-3	62.4	1545	1475	37.54%	26.51%	35.95%	+0.29	-9.3	10
2012-09-01	Locarno	W 1-0	41.9	1484	1399	55.90%	24.66%	19.43%	+0.48	+6.1	12
2012-09-01	@ Chiasso	L 0-1	41.9	1399	1484	19.43%	24.66%	55.90%	-0.48	-6.1	3
2012-09-01	Lugano	W 3-1	54.1	1560	1545	47.59%	25.97%	26.44%	+0.13	+12.9	15
2012-09-01	@ Winterthur	L 1-3	54.1	1545	1560	26.44%	25.97%	47.59%	-0.13	-12.9	13
2012-09-02	Biel-Bienne	D 0-0	56.0	1452	1493	40.01%	26.46%	33.53%	-0.15	-0.4	8
2012-09-02	@ Wohlen	D 0-0	56.0	1493	1452	33.53%	26.46%	40.01%	+0.15	+0.4	12
2012-09-02	Vaduz	W 3-1	53.0	1481	1526	39.52%	26.47%	34.01%	-0.16	+15.7	12
2012-09-02	@ Wil	L 1-3	53.0	1526	1481	34.01%	26.47%	39.52%	+0.16	-15.7	10
2012-09-03	Aarau	L 1-2	61.6	1535	1580	39.54%	26.47%	33.98%	-0.16	-10.2	10
2012-09-03	@ Bellinzona	W 2-1	61.6	1580	1535	33.98%	26.47%	39.54%	+0.16	+10.2	17
2012-09-22	Chiasso	D 0-0	59.2	1533	1490	51.02%	25.54%	23.44%	+0.27	-1.8	14
2012-09-22	@ Lugano	D 0-0	59.2	1490	1533	23.44%	25.54%	51.02%	-0.27	+1.8	13
2012-09-23	Bellinzona	D 0-0	59.4	1510	1525	43.68%	26.30%	30.03%	-0.02	-0.8	11
2012-09-23	@ Vaduz	D 0-0	59.4	1525	1510	30.03%	26.30%	43.68%	+0.02	+0.8	11
2012-09-23	Biel-Bienne	W 4-1	47.8	1590	1493	57.20%	24.37%	18.43%	+0.54	+13.3	20
2012-09-23	@ Aarau	L 1-4	47.8	1493	1590	18.43%	24.37%	57.20%	-0.54	-13.3	12
2012-09-23	Wohlen	W 1-0	46.2	1393	1451	37.63%	26.50%	35.86%	-0.23	+10.0	6
2012-09-23	@ Locarno	L 0-1	46.2	1451	1393	35.86%	26.50%	37.63%	+0.23	-10.0	8
2012-09-24	Wil	L 2-3	69.0	1573	1497	54.97%	24.86%	20.17%	+0.44	-12.6	15
2012-09-24	@ Winterthur	W 3-2	69.0	1497	1573	20.17%	24.86%	54.97%	-0.44	+12.6	15
2012-09-26	Aarau	L 0-1	46.7	1403	1604	20.60%	24.96%	54.45%	-0.93	-6.4	6
2012-09-26	@ Locarno	W 1-0	46.7	1604	1403	54.45%	24.96%	20.60%	+0.93	+6.4	23
2012-09-26	Lugano	D 1-1	62.6	1480	1531	38.70%	26.49%	34.81%	-0.19	-0.2	13
2012-09-26	@ Biel-Bienne	D 1-1	62.6	1531	1480	34.81%	26.49%	38.70%	+0.19	+0.2	15
2012-09-26	Vaduz	L 0-1	53.7	1492	1510	43.28%	26.32%	30.40%	-0.03	-11.6	13
2012-09-26	@ Chiasso	W 1-0	53.7	1510	1492	30.40%	26.32%	43.28%	+0.03	+11.6	14
2012-09-27	Bellinzona	L 0-1	55.0	1509	1526	43.44%	26.31%	30.25%	-0.02	-11.6	15
2012-09-27	@ Wil	W 1-0	55.0	1526	1509	30.25%	26.31%	43.44%	+0.02	+11.6	14
2012-09-27	Winterthur	D 1-1	62.3	1441	1561	29.33%	26.25%	44.43%	-0.53	+0.8	9
2012-09-27	@ Wohlen	D 1-1	62.3	1561	1441	44.43%	26.25%	29.33%	+0.53	-0.8	16
2012-09-29	Aarau	D 3-3	76.1	1531	1610	34.68%	26.49%	38.83%	-0.33	+0.1	16
2012-09-29	@ Lugano	D 3-3	76.1	1610	1531	38.83%	26.49%	34.68%	+0.33	-0.1	24
2012-09-30	Biel-Bienne	W 3-2	57.3	1538	1480	52.82%	25.25%	21.92%	+0.34	+6.0	17
2012-09-30	@ Bellinzona	L 2-3	57.3	1480	1538	21.92%	25.25%	52.82%	-0.34	-6.0	13
2012-09-30	Vaduz	W 1-0	51.0	1442	1521	34.67%	26.49%	38.84%	-0.33	+10.6	12
2012-09-30	@ Wohlen	L 0-1	51.0	1521	1442	38.84%	26.49%	34.67%	+0.33	-10.6	14
2012-10-01	Chiasso	D 1-1	64.2	1560	1480	55.33%	24.78%	19.89%	+0.45	-2.1	17
2012-10-01	@ Winterthur	D 1-1	64.2	1480	1560	19.89%	24.78%	55.33%	-0.45	+2.1	14
2012-10-01	Locarno	W 3-1	43.5	1498	1397	57.67%	24.26%	18.07%	+0.56	+9.3	18
2012-10-01	@ Wil	L 1-3	43.5	1397	1498	18.07%	24.26%	57.67%	-0.56	-9.3	6
2012-10-06	Wil	W 4-2	55.3	1610	1507	57.83%	24.22%	17.95%	+0.56	+8.2	27
2012-10-06	@ Aarau	L 2-4	55.3	1507	1610	17.95%	24.22%	57.83%	-0.56	-8.2	18
2012-10-06	Wohlen	W 2-0	42.2	1474	1453	48.39%	25.88%	25.73%	+0.16	+14.6	16
2012-10-06	@ Biel-Bienne	L 0-2	42.2	1453	1474	25.73%	25.88%	48.39%	-0.16	-14.6	12
2012-10-07	Chiasso	L 1-3	47.7	1387	1482	32.50%	26.43%	41.07%	-0.41	-15.2	6
2012-10-07	@ Locarno	W 3-1	47.7	1482	1387	41.07%	26.43%	32.50%	+0.41	+15.2	17
2012-10-07	Winterthur	W 1-0	53.5	1510	1558	39.17%	26.48%	34.34%	-0.18	+9.7	17
2012-10-07	@ Vaduz	L 0-1	53.5	1558	1510	34.34%	26.48%	39.17%	+0.18	-9.7	17
2012-10-08	Bellinzona	L 0-1	56.6	1531	1544	43.99%	26.28%	29.73%	+0.00	-11.7	16
2012-10-08	@ Lugano	W 1-0	56.6	1544	1531	29.73%	26.28%	43.99%	+0.00	+11.7	20
2012-10-20	Aarau	L 0-1	53.5	1497	1618	29.19%	26.23%	44.57%	-0.54	-8.6	17
2012-10-20	@ Chiasso	W 1-0	53.5	1618	1497	44.57%	26.23%	29.19%	+0.54	+8.6	30
2012-10-20	Lugano	D 1-1	60.6	1438	1519	34.35%	26.48%	39.17%	-0.34	+0.3	13
2012-10-20	@ Wohlen	D 1-1	60.6	1519	1438	39.17%	26.48%	34.35%	+0.34	-0.2	17
2012-10-21	Biel-Bienne	W 2-0	44.8	1499	1488	47.02%	26.03%	26.96%	+0.11	+15.1	21
2012-10-21	@ Wil	L 0-2	44.8	1488	1499	26.96%	26.03%	47.02%	-0.11	-15.1	16
2012-10-21	Vaduz	W 1-0	50.5	1555	1520	50.12%	25.66%	24.21%	+0.23	+7.4	23
2012-10-21	@ Bellinzona	L 0-1	50.5	1520	1555	24.21%	25.66%	50.12%	-0.23	-7.4	17
2012-10-22	Locarno	W 2-1	45.3	1548	1372	64.98%	22.06%	12.96%	+0.93	+3.8	20
2012-10-22	@ Winterthur	L 1-2	45.3	1372	1548	12.96%	22.06%	64.98%	-0.93	-3.9	6
2012-10-27	Bellinzona	L 0-2	40.8	1368	1563	21.17%	25.09%	53.73%	-0.90	-12.3	6
2012-10-27	@ Locarno	W 2-0	40.8	1563	1368	53.73%	25.09%	21.17%	+0.90	+12.3	26
2012-10-27	Wil	L 1-2	60.2	1513	1514	45.49%	26.16%	28.35%	+0.05	-11.3	17
2012-10-27	@ Vaduz	W 2-1	60.2	1514	1513	28.35%	26.16%	45.49%	-0.05	+11.3	24
2012-10-28	Chiasso	W 3-1	50.1	1473	1489	43.57%	26.30%	30.13%	-0.02	+14.3	19
2012-10-28	@ Biel-Bienne	L 1-3	50.1	1489	1473	30.13%	26.30%	43.57%	+0.02	-14.3	17
2012-10-28	Wohlen	W 5-3	53.1	1627	1438	66.07%	21.65%	12.28%	+0.99	+5.3	33
2012-10-28	@ Aarau	L 3-5	53.1	1438	1627	12.28%	21.65%	66.07%	-0.99	-5.3	13
2012-10-29	Winterthur	L 1-2	60.6	1519	1552	41.22%	26.42%	32.36%	-0.10	-10.5	17
2012-10-29	@ Lugano	W 2-1	60.6	1552	1519	32.36%	26.42%	41.22%	+0.10	+10.5	23
2012-11-03	Locarno	D 0-0	52.0	1433	1356	55.03%	24.84%	20.12%	+0.44	-2.3	14
2012-11-03	@ Wohlen	D 0-0	52.0	1356	1433	20.12%	24.84%	55.03%	-0.44	+2.3	7
2012-11-03	Wil	L 2-3	62.0	1475	1525	38.69%	26.49%	34.82%	-0.19	-9.5	17
2012-11-03	@ Chiasso	W 3-2	62.0	1525	1475	34.82%	26.49%	38.69%	+0.19	+9.5	27
2012-11-04	Lugano	W 1-0	49.8	1501	1509	44.69%	26.23%	29.08%	+0.02	+8.5	20
2012-11-04	@ Vaduz	L 0-1	49.8	1509	1501	29.08%	26.23%	44.69%	-0.02	-8.5	17
2012-11-04	Winterthur	L 1-5	57.2	1575	1562	47.28%	26.00%	26.72%	+0.12	-37.0	26
2012-11-04	@ Bellinzona	W 5-1	57.2	1562	1575	26.72%	26.00%	47.28%	-0.12	+37.0	26
2012-11-05	Aarau	W 5-1	56.7	1488	1632	26.37%	25.96%	47.67%	-0.66	+37.3	22
2012-11-05	@ Biel-Bienne	L 1-5	56.7	1632	1488	47.67%	25.96%	26.37%	+0.66	-37.3	33
2012-11-17	Biel-Bienne	W 4-1	49.9	1599	1525	54.76%	24.90%	20.34%	+0.43	+14.6	29
2012-11-17	@ Winterthur	L 1-4	49.9	1525	1599	20.34%	24.90%	54.76%	-0.43	-14.6	22
2012-11-17	Vaduz	L 0-1	43.6	1358	1510	25.54%	25.86%	48.61%	-0.69	-7.7	7
2012-11-17	@ Locarno	W 1-0	43.6	1510	1358	48.61%	25.86%	25.54%	+0.69	+7.7	23
2012-11-18	Bellinzona	L 0-1	60.8	1595	1538	52.70%	25.27%	22.03%	+0.34	-13.6	33
2012-11-18	@ Aarau	W 1-0	60.8	1538	1595	22.03%	25.27%	52.70%	-0.34	+13.6	29
2012-11-18	Wohlen	L 1-3	53.6	1465	1431	50.02%	25.68%	24.30%	+0.23	-21.3	17
2012-11-18	@ Chiasso	W 3-1	53.6	1431	1465	24.30%	25.68%	50.02%	-0.23	+21.3	17
2012-11-19	Lugano	D 1-1	63.7	1535	1500	50.06%	25.67%	24.27%	+0.23	-1.5	28
2012-11-19	@ Wil	D 1-1	63.7	1500	1535	24.27%	25.67%	50.06%	-0.23	+1.5	18
2012-11-24	Chiasso	W 1-0	45.1	1552	1444	58.36%	24.09%	17.55%	+0.59	+5.5	32
2012-11-24	@ Bellinzona	L 0-1	45.1	1444	1552	17.55%	24.09%	58.36%	-0.59	-5.5	17
2012-11-24	Wil	D 3-3	70.7	1452	1533	34.34%	26.48%	39.17%	-0.35	+0.2	18
2012-11-24	@ Wohlen	D 3-3	70.7	1533	1452	39.17%	26.48%	34.34%	+0.35	-0.2	29
2012-11-25	Biel-Bienne	D 2-2	68.5	1518	1510	46.62%	26.07%	27.32%	+0.09	-0.8	24
2012-11-25	@ Vaduz	D 2-2	68.5	1510	1518	27.32%	26.07%	46.62%	-0.09	+0.8	23
2012-11-25	Lugano	L 0-3	37.6	1350	1502	25.61%	25.87%	48.52%	-0.69	-21.1	7
2012-11-25	@ Locarno	W 3-0	37.6	1502	1350	48.52%	25.87%	25.61%	+0.69	+21.1	21
2012-11-26	Aarau	D 0-0	64.5	1614	1581	49.85%	25.70%	24.45%	+0.22	-1.6	30
2012-11-26	@ Winterthur	D 0-0	64.5	1581	1614	24.45%	25.70%	49.85%	-0.22	+1.6	34
2012-12-01	Locarno	D 1-1	58.2	1511	1329	65.48%	21.88%	12.65%	+0.95	-3.2	24
2012-12-01	@ Biel-Bienne	D 1-1	58.2	1329	1511	12.65%	21.88%	65.48%	-0.95	+3.2	8
2012-12-01	Lugano	W 2-1	56.0	1438	1523	33.93%	26.47%	39.60%	-0.36	+10.2	20
2012-12-01	@ Chiasso	L 1-2	56.0	1523	1438	39.60%	26.47%	33.93%	+0.36	-10.2	21
2012-12-02	Vaduz	W 2-1	55.1	1583	1517	53.76%	25.09%	21.15%	+0.38	+6.2	37
2012-12-02	@ Aarau	L 1-2	55.1	1517	1583	21.15%	25.09%	53.76%	-0.38	-6.2	24
2012-12-02	Winterthur	W 4-0	51.1	1533	1612	34.64%	26.49%	38.87%	-0.33	+38.0	32
2012-12-02	@ Wil	L 0-4	51.1	1612	1533	38.87%	26.49%	34.64%	+0.33	-38.0	30
2012-12-03	Wohlen	W 1-0	45.7	1557	1452	58.07%	24.16%	17.77%	+0.58	+5.6	35
2012-12-03	@ Bellinzona	L 0-1	45.7	1452	1557	17.77%	24.16%	58.07%	-0.58	-5.6	18
2013-02-09	Wil	L 1-2	59.6	1508	1571	36.89%	26.51%	36.60%	-0.26	-9.6	24
2013-02-09	@ Biel-Bienne	W 2-1	59.6	1571	1508	36.60%	26.51%	36.89%	+0.26	+9.6	35
2013-02-10	Vaduz	W 1-0	49.8	1589	1511	55.16%	24.82%	20.02%	+0.44	+6.2	40
2013-02-10	@ Aarau	L 0-1	49.8	1511	1589	20.02%	24.82%	55.16%	-0.44	-6.2	24
2013-02-13	Lugano	W 3-0	45.2	1333	1513	22.57%	25.38%	52.04%	-0.83	+36.9	11
2013-02-13	@ Locarno	L 0-3	45.2	1513	1333	52.04%	25.38%	22.57%	+0.83	-36.9	21
2013-02-16	Winterthur	D 1-1	65.0	1504	1574	35.95%	26.51%	37.55%	-0.29	+0.1	25
2013-02-16	@ Vaduz	D 1-1	65.0	1574	1504	37.55%	26.51%	35.95%	+0.29	-0.1	31
2013-02-17	Biel-Bienne	W 2-0	45.6	1563	1498	53.61%	25.12%	21.28%	+0.38	+12.4	38
2013-02-17	@ Bellinzona	L 0-2	45.6	1498	1563	21.28%	25.12%	53.61%	-0.38	-12.4	24
2013-02-17	Chiasso	L 0-1	59.2	1581	1448	60.86%	23.41%	15.73%	+0.71	-15.4	35
2013-02-17	@ Wil	W 1-0	59.2	1448	1581	15.73%	23.41%	60.86%	-0.71	+15.4	23
2013-02-18	Aarau	L 0-2	48.7	1476	1595	29.35%	26.25%	44.41%	-0.53	-16.2	21
2013-02-18	@ Lugano	W 2-0	48.7	1595	1476	44.41%	26.25%	29.35%	+0.53	+16.2	43
2013-02-23	Aarau	W 2-1	62.6	1464	1611	26.03%	25.92%	48.05%	-0.67	+11.9	26
2013-02-23	@ Chiasso	L 1-2	62.6	1611	1464	48.05%	25.92%	26.03%	+0.67	-11.9	43
2013-02-23	Bellinzona	L 0-1	49.9	1446	1575	28.23%	26.15%	45.62%	-0.58	-8.3	18
2013-02-23	@ Wohlen	W 1-0	49.9	1575	1446	45.62%	26.15%	28.23%	+0.58	+8.3	41
2013-02-25	Vaduz	W 2-1	54.4	1486	1505	43.15%	26.33%	30.52%	-0.04	+8.4	27
2013-02-25	@ Biel-Bienne	L 1-2	54.4	1505	1486	30.52%	26.33%	43.15%	+0.04	-8.3	25
2013-02-27	Bellinzona	D 1-1	64.4	1476	1583	30.83%	26.35%	42.82%	-0.47	+0.6	27
2013-02-27	@ Chiasso	D 1-1	64.4	1583	1476	42.82%	26.35%	30.83%	+0.47	-0.7	42
2013-02-27	Wohlen	W 1-0	44.9	1574	1438	61.23%	23.30%	15.47%	+0.73	+4.9	34
2013-02-27	@ Winterthur	L 0-1	44.9	1438	1574	15.47%	23.30%	61.23%	-0.73	-4.9	18
2013-03-02	Locarno	D 0-0	58.0	1583	1369	68.21%	20.80%	11.00%	+1.11	-3.9	43
2013-03-02	@ Bellinzona	D 0-0	58.0	1369	1583	11.00%	20.80%	68.21%	-1.11	+3.9	12
2013-03-02	Vaduz	L 2-3	68.5	1565	1496	54.15%	25.02%	20.83%	+0.40	-12.5	35
2013-03-02	@ Wil	W 3-2	68.5	1496	1565	20.83%	25.02%	54.15%	-0.40	+12.5	28
2013-03-03	Lugano	L 0-1	53.8	1494	1459	50.06%	25.67%	24.26%	+0.23	-13.0	27
2013-03-03	@ Biel-Bienne	W 1-0	53.8	1459	1494	24.26%	25.67%	50.06%	-0.23	+13.0	24
2013-03-03	Wohlen	L 0-3	46.9	1476	1433	51.08%	25.53%	23.39%	+0.27	-36.3	27
2013-03-03	@ Chiasso	W 3-0	46.9	1433	1476	23.39%	25.53%	51.08%	-0.27	+36.3	21
2013-03-04	Winterthur	W 3-1	56.0	1599	1579	48.25%	25.90%	25.85%	+0.16	+12.7	46
2013-03-04	@ Aarau	L 1-3	56.0	1579	1599	25.85%	25.90%	48.25%	-0.16	-12.7	34
2013-03-09	Biel-Bienne	L 0-1	45.0	1373	1481	30.82%	26.35%	42.83%	-0.48	-8.9	12
2013-03-09	@ Locarno	W 1-0	45.0	1481	1373	42.83%	26.35%	30.82%	+0.48	+8.9	30
2013-03-09	Winterthur	W 1-0	53.8	1553	1567	43.85%	26.28%	29.87%	-0.01	+8.7	38
2013-03-09	@ Wil	L 0-1	53.8	1567	1553	29.87%	26.28%	43.85%	+0.01	-8.7	34
2013-03-10	Chiasso	L 1-2	59.5	1509	1440	54.07%	25.03%	20.90%	+0.40	-13.1	28
2013-03-10	@ Vaduz	W 2-1	59.5	1440	1509	20.90%	25.03%	54.07%	-0.40	+13.1	30
2013-03-10	Wohlen	W 2-0	43.5	1472	1470	46.03%	26.12%	27.85%	+0.07	+15.5	27
2013-03-10	@ Lugano	L 0-2	43.5	1470	1472	27.85%	26.12%	46.03%	-0.07	-15.5	21
2013-03-11	Bellinzona	L 0-1	61.6	1612	1579	49.88%	25.70%	24.42%	+0.22	-13.0	46
2013-03-11	@ Aarau	W 1-0	61.6	1579	1612	24.42%	25.70%	49.88%	-0.22	+13.0	46
2013-03-13	Locarno	D 2-2	62.0	1454	1364	56.42%	24.55%	19.03%	+0.50	-1.6	22
2013-03-13	@ Wohlen	D 2-2	62.0	1364	1454	19.03%	24.55%	56.42%	-0.50	+1.6	13
2013-03-13	Lugano	W 2-1	53.1	1558	1488	54.22%	25.00%	20.78%	+0.40	+6.1	37
2013-03-13	@ Winterthur	L 1-2	53.1	1488	1558	20.78%	25.00%	54.22%	-0.40	-6.1	27
2013-03-16	Aarau	L 0-3	38.5	1366	1599	17.84%	24.19%	57.98%	-1.09	-15.3	13
2013-03-16	@ Locarno	W 3-0	38.5	1599	1366	57.98%	24.19%	17.84%	+1.09	+15.3	49
2013-03-16	Biel-Bienne	W 1-0	48.5	1452	1490	40.54%	26.45%	33.01%	-0.13	+9.4	25
2013-03-16	@ Wohlen	L 0-1	48.5	1490	1452	33.01%	26.45%	40.54%	+0.13	-9.4	30
2013-03-17	Chiasso	W 3-1	47.6	1564	1453	58.66%	24.01%	17.33%	+0.60	+8.9	40
2013-03-17	@ Winterthur	L 1-3	47.6	1453	1564	17.33%	24.01%	58.66%	-0.60	-8.9	30
2013-03-17	Vaduz	D 3-3	70.5	1482	1496	43.85%	26.28%	29.87%	-0.01	-0.5	28
2013-03-17	@ Lugano	D 3-3	70.5	1496	1482	29.87%	26.28%	43.85%	+0.01	+0.5	29
2013-03-27	Wil	L 2-3	52.6	1351	1562	19.67%	24.73%	55.60%	-0.98	-5.5	13
2013-03-27	@ Locarno	W 3-2	52.6	1562	1351	55.60%	24.73%	19.67%	+0.98	+5.5	41
2013-03-30	Locarno	W 3-1	40.8	1444	1345	57.43%	24.32%	18.25%	+0.55	+9.3	33
2013-03-30	@ Chiasso	L 1-3	40.8	1345	1444	18.25%	24.32%	57.43%	-0.55	-9.3	13
2013-03-30	Lugano	D 1-1	64.5	1567	1481	55.99%	24.64%	19.36%	+0.48	-2.1	42
2013-03-30	@ Wil	D 1-1	64.5	1481	1567	19.36%	24.64%	55.99%	-0.48	+2.1	29
2013-04-01	Aarau	L 1-3	52.8	1462	1614	25.45%	25.84%	48.71%	-0.70	-12.5	25
2013-04-01	@ Wohlen	W 3-1	52.8	1614	1462	48.71%	25.84%	25.45%	+0.70	+12.5	52
2013-04-01	Bellinzona	L 1-2	58.5	1496	1592	32.38%	26.42%	41.20%	-0.42	-8.8	29
2013-04-01	@ Vaduz	W 2-1	58.5	1592	1496	41.20%	26.42%	32.38%	+0.42	+8.8	49
2013-04-01	Winterthur	L 2-4	58.3	1481	1573	32.88%	26.44%	40.68%	-0.40	-13.7	30
2013-04-01	@ Biel-Bienne	W 4-2	58.3	1573	1481	40.68%	26.44%	32.88%	+0.40	+13.7	43
2013-04-06	Biel-Bienne	W 2-0	43.4	1454	1467	43.88%	26.28%	29.83%	-0.01	+16.4	36
2013-04-06	@ Chiasso	L 0-2	43.4	1467	1454	29.83%	26.28%	43.88%	+0.01	-16.4	30
2013-04-06	Wohlen	L 1-2	58.2	1487	1449	50.46%	25.62%	23.92%	+0.24	-12.4	29
2013-04-06	@ Vaduz	W 2-1	58.2	1449	1487	23.92%	25.62%	50.46%	-0.24	+12.4	28
2013-04-07	Locarno	L 2-3	66.8	1587	1336	71.21%	19.47%	9.33%	+1.30	-15.7	43
2013-04-07	@ Winterthur	W 3-2	66.8	1336	1587	9.33%	19.47%	71.21%	-1.30	+15.7	16
2013-04-07	Wil	W 2-1	57.9	1627	1565	53.31%	25.17%	21.52%	+0.36	+6.3	55
2013-04-07	@ Aarau	L 1-2	57.9	1565	1627	21.52%	25.17%	53.31%	-0.36	-6.3	42
2013-04-08	Lugano	D 0-0	61.9	1601	1484	59.31%	23.84%	16.85%	+0.64	-2.8	50
2013-04-08	@ Bellinzona	D 0-0	61.9	1484	1601	16.85%	23.84%	59.31%	-0.64	+2.8	30
2013-04-13	Aarau	L 0-2	46.8	1451	1633	22.30%	25.33%	52.37%	-0.85	-12.9	30
2013-04-13	@ Biel-Bienne	W 2-0	46.8	1633	1451	52.37%	25.33%	22.30%	+0.85	+12.9	58
2013-04-13	Vaduz	L 0-1	43.6	1352	1475	28.87%	26.21%	44.92%	-0.55	-8.5	16
2013-04-13	@ Locarno	W 1-0	43.6	1475	1352	44.92%	26.21%	28.87%	+0.55	+8.5	32
2013-04-14	Chiasso	W 2-0	43.5	1486	1470	47.77%	25.95%	26.28%	+0.14	+14.8	33
2013-04-14	@ Lugano	L 0-2	43.5	1470	1486	26.28%	25.95%	47.77%	-0.14	-14.8	36
2013-04-14	Wil	D 0-0	58.8	1462	1559	32.22%	26.42%	41.37%	-0.42	+0.6	29
2013-04-14	@ Wohlen	D 0-0	58.8	1559	1462	41.37%	26.42%	32.22%	+0.42	-0.6	43
2013-04-15	Bellinzona	L 0-2	55.5	1571	1598	42.03%	26.39%	31.59%	-0.08	-21.3	43
2013-04-15	@ Winterthur	W 2-0	55.5	1598	1571	31.59%	26.39%	42.03%	+0.08	+21.3	53
2013-04-18	Wil	W 8-0	48.8	1619	1558	53.18%	25.19%	21.62%	+0.36	+45.9	56
2013-04-18	@ Bellinzona	L 0-8	48.8	1558	1619	21.62%	25.19%	53.18%	-0.36	-45.9	43
2013-04-20	Winterthur	L 0-1	50.7	1455	1550	32.59%	26.43%	40.98%	-0.41	-9.3	36
2013-04-20	@ Chiasso	W 1-0	50.7	1550	1455	40.98%	26.43%	32.59%	+0.41	+9.3	46
2013-04-21	Biel-Bienne	D 0-0	55.5	1483	1438	51.41%	25.48%	23.11%	+0.28	-1.8	33
2013-04-21	@ Vaduz	D 0-0	55.5	1438	1483	23.11%	25.48%	51.41%	-0.28	+1.8	31
2013-04-22	Bellinzona	L 2-3	63.7	1512	1665	25.44%	25.84%	48.72%	-0.70	-6.8	43
2013-04-22	@ Wil	W 3-2	63.7	1665	1512	48.72%	25.84%	25.44%	+0.70	+6.8	59
2013-04-22	Lugano	W 3-2	58.9	1646	1501	62.07%	23.04%	14.88%	+0.77	+4.2	61
2013-04-22	@ Aarau	L 2-3	58.9	1501	1646	14.88%	23.04%	62.07%	-0.77	-4.2	33
2013-04-23	Wohlen	L 1-2	48.1	1343	1462	29.39%	26.25%	44.36%	-0.53	-8.1	16
2013-04-23	@ Locarno	W 2-1	48.1	1462	1343	44.36%	26.25%	29.39%	+0.53	+8.1	32
2013-04-27	Chiasso	D 2-2	64.5	1470	1446	48.79%	25.83%	25.38%	+0.18	-1.0	33
2013-04-27	@ Wohlen	D 2-2	64.5	1446	1470	25.38%	25.83%	48.79%	-0.18	+1.0	37
2013-04-27	Wil	L 2-3	63.8	1497	1505	44.54%	26.24%	29.22%	+0.02	-10.6	33
2013-04-27	@ Lugano	W 3-2	63.8	1505	1497	29.22%	26.24%	44.54%	-0.02	+10.6	46
2013-04-28	Locarno	W 4-0	32.2	1439	1335	58.00%	24.18%	17.82%	+0.57	+20.0	34
2013-04-28	@ Biel-Bienne	L 0-4	32.2	1335	1439	17.82%	24.18%	58.00%	-0.57	-20.0	16
2013-04-28	Vaduz	D 0-0	64.7	1672	1482	66.24%	21.59%	12.17%	+1.00	-3.7	60
2013-04-28	@ Bellinzona	D 0-0	64.7	1482	1672	12.17%	21.59%	66.24%	-1.00	+3.7	34
2013-04-29	Aarau	W 1-0	59.4	1559	1650	32.97%	26.44%	40.58%	-0.39	+11.0	49
2013-04-29	@ Winterthur	L 0-1	59.4	1650	1559	40.58%	26.44%	32.97%	+0.39	-11.0	61
2013-05-04	Aarau	L 1-3	54.3	1485	1639	25.28%	25.82%	48.90%	-0.70	-12.4	34
2013-05-04	@ Vaduz	W 3-1	54.3	1639	1485	48.90%	25.82%	25.28%	+0.70	+12.5	64
2013-05-04	Chiasso	L 1-3	65.5	1668	1447	68.87%	20.52%	10.62%	+1.15	-27.9	60
2013-05-04	@ Bellinzona	W 3-1	65.5	1447	1668	10.62%	20.52%	68.87%	-1.15	+27.9	40
2013-05-04	Winterthur	L 0-2	48.3	1469	1570	31.77%	26.40%	41.84%	-0.44	-17.2	33
2013-05-04	@ Wohlen	W 2-0	48.3	1570	1469	41.84%	26.40%	31.77%	+0.44	+17.2	52
2013-05-05	Locarno	D 1-1	57.1	1486	1315	64.57%	22.21%	13.23%	+0.90	-3.1	34
2013-05-05	@ Lugano	D 1-1	57.1	1315	1486	13.23%	22.21%	64.57%	-0.90	+3.1	17
2013-05-06	Biel-Bienne	L 0-1	55.2	1516	1459	52.69%	25.28%	22.04%	+0.34	-13.6	46
2013-05-06	@ Wil	W 1-0	55.2	1459	1516	22.04%	25.28%	52.69%	-0.34	+13.6	37
2013-05-08	Bellinzona	L 2-6	40.9	1318	1640	12.01%	21.48%	66.51%	-1.53	-9.5	17
2013-05-08	@ Locarno	W 6-2	40.9	1640	1318	66.51%	21.48%	12.01%	+1.53	+9.5	63
2013-05-08	Lugano	L 0-2	49.1	1475	1483	44.52%	26.24%	29.25%	+0.01	-22.3	40
2013-05-08	@ Chiasso	W 2-0	49.1	1483	1475	29.25%	26.24%	44.52%	-0.01	+22.3	37
2013-05-08	Vaduz	W 2-0	43.9	1587	1473	59.03%	23.92%	17.05%	+0.62	+10.1	55
2013-05-08	@ Winterthur	L 0-2	43.9	1473	1587	17.05%	23.92%	59.03%	-0.62	-10.1	34
2013-05-09	Biel-Bienne	W 6-0	42.4	1652	1473	65.22%	21.97%	12.81%	+0.94	+21.1	67
2013-05-09	@ Aarau	L 0-6	42.4	1473	1652	12.81%	21.97%	65.22%	-0.94	-21.1	37
2013-05-09	Wohlen	L 1-2	59.2	1502	1452	51.95%	25.40%	22.66%	+0.31	-12.7	46
2013-05-09	@ Wil	W 2-1	59.2	1452	1502	22.66%	25.40%	51.95%	-0.31	+12.7	36
2013-05-11	Lugano	L 0-1	51.5	1463	1506	39.80%	26.47%	33.74%	-0.16	-10.8	34
2013-05-11	@ Vaduz	W 1-0	51.5	1506	1463	33.74%	26.47%	39.80%	+0.16	+10.8	40
2013-05-12	Wil	D 2-2	65.2	1453	1490	40.60%	26.44%	32.95%	-0.13	-0.3	41
2013-05-12	@ Chiasso	D 2-2	65.2	1490	1453	32.95%	26.44%	40.60%	+0.13	+0.3	47
2013-05-12	Wohlen	W 7-0	42.2	1452	1465	43.94%	26.28%	29.78%	-0.01	+52.7	40
2013-05-12	@ Biel-Bienne	L 0-7	42.2	1465	1452	29.78%	26.28%	43.94%	+0.01	-52.7	36
2013-05-13	Locarno	W 3-0	32.8	1673	1309	79.10%	15.30%	5.61%	+1.86	+4.4	70
2013-05-13	@ Aarau	L 0-3	32.8	1309	1673	5.61%	15.30%	79.10%	-1.86	-4.4	17
2013-05-13	Winterthur	W 3-1	56.2	1650	1597	52.22%	25.35%	22.43%	+0.32	+11.2	66
2013-05-13	@ Bellinzona	L 1-3	56.2	1597	1650	22.43%	25.35%	52.22%	-0.32	-11.2	55
2013-05-17	Aarau	L 0-1	52.5	1490	1677	21.86%	25.24%	52.90%	-0.87	-6.7	47
2013-05-17	@ Wil	W 1-0	52.5	1677	1490	52.90%	25.24%	21.86%	+0.87	+6.7	73
2013-05-17	Winterthur	L 0-2	51.8	1516	1586	36.02%	26.51%	37.47%	-0.29	-19.0	40
2013-05-17	@ Lugano	W 2-0	51.8	1586	1516	37.47%	26.51%	36.02%	+0.29	+19.0	58
2013-05-18	Bellinzona	L 0-1	53.5	1505	1661	25.03%	25.79%	49.18%	-0.72	-7.6	40
2013-05-18	@ Biel-Bienne	W 1-0	53.5	1661	1505	49.18%	25.79%	25.03%	+0.72	+7.6	69
2013-05-18	Chiasso	L 1-2	46.0	1304	1452	25.96%	25.91%	48.13%	-0.67	-7.3	17
2013-05-18	@ Locarno	W 2-1	46.0	1452	1304	48.13%	25.91%	25.96%	+0.67	+7.3	44
2013-05-18	Vaduz	L 1-3	49.9	1412	1452	40.25%	26.46%	33.30%	-0.14	-17.8	36
2013-05-18	@ Wohlen	W 3-1	49.9	1452	1412	33.30%	26.46%	40.25%	+0.14	+17.8	37
2013-05-25	Chiasso	W 1-0	47.0	1684	1460	69.13%	20.41%	10.47%	+1.17	+3.2	76
2013-05-25	@ Aarau	L 0-1	47.0	1460	1684	10.47%	20.41%	69.13%	-1.17	-3.2	44
2013-05-25	Wohlen	D 2-2	72.0	1669	1394	73.00%	18.60%	8.40%	+1.41	-2.9	70
2013-05-25	@ Bellinzona	D 2-2	72.0	1394	1669	8.40%	18.60%	73.00%	-1.41	+3.0	37
2013-05-26	Biel-Bienne	L 1-2	59.0	1498	1497	45.71%	26.15%	28.14%	+0.06	-11.4	40
2013-05-26	@ Lugano	W 2-1	59.0	1497	1498	28.14%	26.15%	45.71%	-0.06	+11.4	43
2013-05-26	Locarno	L 0-3	46.2	1470	1297	64.69%	22.17%	13.15%	+0.91	-44.5	37
2013-05-26	@ Vaduz	W 3-0	46.2	1297	1470	13.15%	22.17%	64.69%	-0.91	+44.5	20
2013-05-27	Wil	W 3-0	42.4	1605	1483	59.78%	23.72%	16.51%	+0.66	+14.2	61
2013-05-27	@ Winterthur	L 0-3	42.4	1483	1605	16.51%	23.72%	59.78%	-0.66	-14.2	47
2013-05-30	Aarau	D 2-2	76.0	1666	1687	42.76%	26.35%	30.89%	-0.05	-0.5	71
2013-05-30	@ Bellinzona	D 2-2	76.0	1687	1666	30.89%	26.35%	42.76%	+0.05	+0.5	77
2013-05-30	Biel-Bienne	D 2-2	72.5	1619	1508	58.66%	24.01%	17.33%	+0.60	-1.8	62
2013-05-30	@ Winterthur	D 2-2	72.5	1508	1619	17.33%	24.01%	58.66%	-0.60	+1.8	44
2013-05-30	Locarno	D 2-2	62.1	1469	1341	60.39%	23.54%	16.06%	+0.69	-2.0	48
2013-05-30	@ Wil	D 2-2	62.1	1341	1469	16.06%	23.54%	60.39%	-0.69	+2.0	21
2013-05-30	Lugano	D 1-1	58.1	1397	1486	33.31%	26.46%	40.23%	-0.38	+0.4	38
2013-05-30	@ Wohlen	D 1-1	58.1	1486	1397	40.23%	26.46%	33.31%	+0.38	-0.4	41
2013-05-30	Vaduz	W 2-1	48.6	1456	1425	49.62%	25.73%	24.65%	+0.21	+7.0	47
2013-05-30	@ Chiasso	L 1-2	48.6	1425	1456	24.65%	25.73%	49.62%	-0.21	-7.0	37
2013-06-02	Bellinzona	W 4-3	73.7	1486	1665	22.63%	25.39%	51.98%	-0.83	+11.8	44
2013-06-02	@ Lugano	L 3-4	73.7	1665	1486	51.98%	25.39%	22.63%	+0.83	-11.7	71
2013-06-02	Chiasso	W 5-2	48.4	1510	1463	51.55%	25.46%	22.99%	+0.29	+14.1	47
2013-06-02	@ Biel-Bienne	L 2-5	48.4	1463	1510	22.99%	25.46%	51.55%	-0.29	-14.1	47
2013-06-02	Wil	L 0-2	45.0	1418	1467	38.96%	26.49%	34.56%	-0.18	-20.1	37
2013-06-02	@ Vaduz	W 2-0	45.0	1467	1418	34.56%	26.49%	38.96%	+0.18	+20.1	51
2013-06-02	Winterthur	W 2-1	61.8	1343	1617	14.86%	23.03%	62.11%	-1.30	+14.8	24
2013-06-02	@ Locarno	L 1-2	61.8	1617	1343	62.11%	23.03%	14.86%	+1.30	-14.8	62
2013-06-02	Wohlen	D 3-3	76.9	1688	1398	74.16%	18.02%	7.83%	+1.49	-2.5	78
2013-06-02	@ Aarau	D 3-3	76.9	1398	1688	7.83%	18.02%	74.16%	-1.49	+2.5	39

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2013-04-07	9.33%	Locarno	1336	3	@ Winterthur	1587	2
2	2013-05-04	10.62%	Chiasso	1447	3	@ Bellinzona	1668	1
3	2013-05-26	13.15%	Locarno	1297	3	@ Vaduz	1470	0
4	2013-06-02	14.86%	@ Locarno	1343	2	Winterthur	1617	1
5	2013-02-17	15.73%	Chiasso	1448	1	@ Wil	1581	0
6	2012-07-28	18.67%	Wil	1465	3	@ Bellinzona	1559	2
7	2012-07-28	20.07%	Wohlen	1504	1	@ Winterthur	1582	0
8	2012-09-24	20.17%	Wil	1497	3	@ Winterthur	1573	2
9	2013-03-02	20.83%	Vaduz	1496	3	@ Wil	1565	2
10	2013-03-10	20.90%	Chiasso	1440	2	@ Vaduz	1509	1
11	2012-11-18	22.03%	Bellinzona	1538	1	@ Aarau	1595	0
12	2013-05-06	22.04%	Biel-Bienne	1459	1	@ Wil	1516	0
13	2013-02-13	22.57%	@ Locarno	1333	3	Lugano	1513	0
14	2013-06-02	22.63%	@ Lugano	1486	4	Bellinzona	1665	3
15	2013-05-09	22.66%	Wohlen	1452	2	@ Wil	1502	1
16	2013-03-03	23.39%	Wohlen	1433	3	@ Chiasso	1476	0
17	2013-04-06	23.92%	Wohlen	1449	2	@ Vaduz	1487	1
18	2013-03-03	24.26%	Lugano	1459	1	@ Biel-Bienne	1494	0
19	2012-11-18	24.30%	Wohlen	1431	3	@ Chiasso	1465	1
20	2013-03-11	24.42%	Bellinzona	1579	1	@ Aarau	1612	0
21	2012-08-11	24.54%	Chiasso	1486	1	@ Wohlen	1518	0
22	2012-07-22	24.58%	Wohlen	1469	3	@ Wil	1501	0
23	2013-02-23	26.03%	@ Chiasso	1464	2	Aarau	1611	1
24	2012-11-05	26.37%	@ Biel-Bienne	1488	5	Aarau	1632	1
25	2012-11-04	26.72%	Winterthur	1562	5	@ Bellinzona	1575	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2013-05-12	52.71	@ Biel-Bienne	7	1452	43.94%	Wohlen	0	1465	29.78%	26.28%
2	2012-07-14	50.05	Winterthur	5	1520	31.32%	@ Locarno	0	1495	42.31%	26.37%
3	2013-04-18	45.93	@ Bellinzona	8	1619	53.18%	Wil	0	1558	21.62%	25.19%
4	2013-05-26	44.50	Locarno	3	1297	13.15%	@ Vaduz	0	1470	64.69%	22.17%
5	2012-12-02	38.04	@ Wil	4	1533	34.64%	Winterthur	0	1612	38.87%	26.49%
6	2012-11-05	37.28	@ Biel-Bienne	5	1488	26.37%	Aarau	1	1632	47.67%	25.96%
7	2012-11-04	37.02	Winterthur	5	1562	26.72%	@ Bellinzona	1	1575	47.28%	26.00%
8	2013-02-13	36.88	@ Locarno	3	1333	22.57%	Lugano	0	1513	52.04%	25.38%
9	2012-08-25	36.53	@ Vaduz	5	1490	45.84%	Wohlen	0	1488	28.02%	26.13%
10	2013-03-03	36.30	Wohlen	3	1433	23.39%	@ Chiasso	0	1476	51.08%	25.53%
11	2012-07-22	35.47	Wohlen	3	1469	24.58%	@ Wil	0	1501	49.70%	25.72%
12	2012-08-26	31.55	Wil	3	1450	30.56%	@ Locarno	0	1431	43.11%	26.33%
13	2013-05-04	27.91	Chiasso	3	1447	10.62%	@ Bellinzona	1	1668	68.87%	20.52%
14	2012-08-12	27.34	Aarau	3	1524	37.78%	@ Wil	0	1453	35.71%	26.50%
15	2012-07-30	26.34	@ Lugano	4	1505	50.08%	Biel-Bienne	0	1470	24.25%	25.67%
16	2012-08-05	25.52	@ Biel-Bienne	3	1444	41.00%	Wil	0	1478	32.57%	26.43%
17	2012-08-19	24.16	@ Wil	4	1425	35.47%	Chiasso	1	1499	38.03%	26.50%
18	2013-05-08	22.29	Lugano	2	1483	29.25%	@ Chiasso	0	1475	44.52%	26.24%
19	2013-04-15	21.29	Bellinzona	2	1598	31.59%	@ Winterthur	0	1571	42.03%	26.39%
20	2012-11-18	21.26	Wohlen	3	1431	24.30%	@ Chiasso	1	1465	50.02%	25.68%
21	2013-05-09	21.13	@ Aarau	6	1652	65.22%	Biel-Bienne	0	1473	12.81%	21.97%
22	2012-11-25	21.10	Lugano	3	1502	48.52%	@ Locarno	0	1350	25.61%	25.87%
23	2013-06-02	20.08	Wil	2	1467	34.56%	@ Vaduz	0	1418	38.96%	26.49%
24	2013-04-28	20.03	@ Biel-Bienne	4	1439	58.00%	Locarno	0	1335	17.82%	24.18%
25	2013-05-17	18.95	Winterthur	2	1586	37.47%	@ Lugano	0	1516	36.02%	26.51%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2013-06-02	76.9	@ Aarau	3	1688	74.16%	Wohlen	3	1398	7.83%	18.02%
2	2012-09-29	76.1	@ Lugano	3	1531	34.68%	Aarau	3	1610	38.83%	26.49%
3	2013-05-30	76.0	@ Bellinzona	2	1666	42.76%	Aarau	2	1687	30.89%	26.35%
4	2013-06-02	73.7	@ Lugano	4	1486	22.63%	Bellinzona	3	1665	51.98%	25.39%
5	2013-05-30	72.5	@ Winterthur	2	1619	58.66%	Biel-Bienne	2	1508	17.33%	24.01%
6	2013-05-25	72.0	@ Bellinzona	2	1669	73.00%	Wohlen	2	1394	8.40%	18.60%
7	2012-11-24	70.7	@ Wohlen	3	1452	34.34%	Wil	3	1533	39.17%	26.48%
8	2013-03-17	70.5	@ Lugano	3	1482	43.85%	Vaduz	3	1496	29.87%	26.28%
9	2012-09-24	69.0	Wil	3	1497	20.17%	@ Winterthur	2	1573	54.97%	24.86%
10	2012-11-25	68.5	@ Vaduz	2	1518	46.62%	Biel-Bienne	2	1510	27.32%	26.07%
11	2013-03-02	68.5	Vaduz	3	1496	20.83%	@ Wil	2	1565	54.15%	25.02%
12	2012-07-28	67.8	Wil	3	1465	18.67%	@ Bellinzona	2	1559	56.88%	24.45%
13	2013-04-07	66.8	Locarno	3	1336	9.33%	@ Winterthur	2	1587	71.21%	19.47%
14	2013-05-04	65.5	Chiasso	3	1447	10.62%	@ Bellinzona	1	1668	68.87%	20.52%
15	2013-05-12	65.2	@ Chiasso	2	1453	40.60%	Wil	2	1490	32.95%	26.44%
16	2013-02-16	65.0	@ Vaduz	1	1504	35.95%	Winterthur	1	1574	37.55%	26.51%
17	2013-04-28	64.7	@ Bellinzona	0	1672	66.24%	Vaduz	0	1482	12.17%	21.59%
18	2012-11-26	64.5	@ Winterthur	0	1614	49.85%	Aarau	0	1581	24.45%	25.70%
19	2013-03-30	64.5	@ Wil	1	1567	55.99%	Lugano	1	1481	19.36%	24.64%
20	2013-04-27	64.5	@ Wohlen	2	1470	48.79%	Chiasso	2	1446	25.38%	25.83%
21	2012-08-26	64.4	@ Biel-Bienne	3	1483	33.60%	Winterthur	2	1570	39.94%	26.46%
22	2013-02-27	64.4	@ Chiasso	1	1476	30.83%	Bellinzona	1	1583	42.82%	26.35%
23	2012-10-01	64.2	@ Winterthur	1	1560	55.33%	Chiasso	1	1480	19.89%	24.78%
24	2012-08-12	63.9	@ Locarno	2	1436	41.16%	Biel-Bienne	2	1469	32.42%	26.42%
25	2013-04-27	63.8	Wil	3	1505	29.22%	@ Lugano	2	1497	44.54%	26.24%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2013-04-28	32.2	@ Biel-Bienne	4	1439	58.00%	Locarno	0	1335	17.82%	24.18%
2	2013-05-13	32.8	@ Aarau	3	1673	79.10%	Locarno	0	1309	5.61%	15.30%
3	2012-11-25	37.6	Lugano	3	1502	48.52%	@ Locarno	0	1350	25.61%	25.87%
4	2013-03-16	38.5	Aarau	3	1599	57.98%	@ Locarno	0	1366	17.84%	24.19%
5	2012-07-30	40.5	@ Lugano	4	1505	50.08%	Biel-Bienne	0	1470	24.25%	25.67%
6	2012-10-27	40.8	Bellinzona	2	1563	53.73%	@ Locarno	0	1368	21.17%	25.09%
7	2013-03-30	40.8	@ Chiasso	3	1444	57.43%	Locarno	1	1345	18.25%	24.32%
8	2013-05-08	40.9	Bellinzona	6	1640	66.51%	@ Locarno	2	1318	12.01%	21.48%
9	2012-07-29	41.8	@ Vaduz	2	1490	51.04%	Locarno	0	1447	23.43%	25.54%
10	2012-09-01	41.9	@ Chiasso	1	1484	55.90%	Locarno	0	1399	19.43%	24.66%
11	2012-08-05	42.0	@ Biel-Bienne	3	1444	41.00%	Wil	0	1478	32.57%	26.43%
12	2012-10-06	42.2	@ Biel-Bienne	2	1474	48.39%	Wohlen	0	1453	25.73%	25.88%
13	2013-05-12	42.2	@ Biel-Bienne	7	1452	43.94%	Wohlen	0	1465	29.78%	26.28%
14	2012-08-25	42.3	@ Vaduz	5	1490	45.84%	Wohlen	0	1488	28.02%	26.13%
15	2013-05-09	42.4	@ Aarau	6	1652	65.22%	Biel-Bienne	0	1473	12.81%	21.97%
16	2013-05-27	42.4	@ Winterthur	3	1605	59.78%	Wil	0	1483	16.51%	23.72%
17	2013-04-06	43.4	@ Chiasso	2	1454	43.88%	Biel-Bienne	0	1467	29.83%	26.28%
18	2012-10-01	43.5	@ Wil	3	1498	57.67%	Locarno	1	1397	18.07%	24.26%
19	2013-03-10	43.5	@ Lugano	2	1472	46.03%	Wohlen	0	1470	27.85%	26.12%
20	2013-04-14	43.5	@ Lugano	2	1486	47.77%	Chiasso	0	1470	26.28%	25.95%
21	2012-11-17	43.6	Vaduz	1	1510	48.61%	@ Locarno	0	1358	25.54%	25.86%
22	2013-04-13	43.6	Vaduz	1	1475	44.92%	@ Locarno	0	1352	28.87%	26.21%
23	2012-08-26	43.8	Wil	3	1450	30.56%	@ Locarno	0	1431	43.11%	26.33%
24	2013-05-08	43.9	@ Winterthur	2	1587	59.03%	Vaduz	0	1473	17.05%	23.92%
25	2012-10-21	44.8	@ Wil	2	1499	47.02%	Biel-Bienne	0	1488	26.96%	26.03%