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2013-14 Challenge League Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Vaduz

15.09 points above expected

73 points · 57.91 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Winterthur

17.97 points below expected

42 points · 59.97 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Vaduz 36 21 10 5 73 71 34 +37 57.91 +15.09
2 Lugano 36 19 7 10 64 55 46 +9 52.34 +11.66
3 Wil 36 18 9 9 63 74 45 +29 57.19 +5.81
4 Schaffhausen 36 18 8 10 62 57 40 +17 49.79 +12.21
5 Servette 36 18 7 11 61 49 48 +1 60.68 +0.32
6 Winterthur 36 11 9 16 42 45 50 -5 59.97 -17.97
7 Biel-Bienne 36 9 10 17 37 56 68 -12 48.96 -11.96
8 Chiasso 36 7 12 17 33 35 52 -17 41.23 -8.23
9 Wohlen 36 7 11 18 32 47 67 -20 36.61 -4.61
10 Locarno 36 5 11 20 26 31 70 -39 34.39 -8.39

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vaduz 73 57.91 +15.09
2 Schaffhausen 62 49.79 +12.21
3 Lugano 64 52.34 +11.66
4 Wil 63 57.19 +5.81
5 Servette 61 60.68 +0.32

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Winterthur 42 59.97 -17.97
2 Biel-Bienne 37 48.96 -11.96
3 Locarno 26 34.39 -8.39
4 Chiasso 33 41.23 -8.23
5 Wohlen 32 36.61 -4.61

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lugano 6 Apr 6 – May 6 1 in 227
2 Schaffhausen 6 Nov 30 – Feb 22 1 in 158
3 Vaduz 5 Sep 1 – Oct 7 1 in 139
4 Wil 4 Jul 21 – Aug 13 1 in 22
5 Wohlen 2 May 14 – May 17 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lugano 5 Aug 24 – Sep 30 1 in 121
2 Biel-Bienne 5 Nov 18 – Feb 1 1 in 76
3 Locarno 7 Dec 9 – Mar 15 1 in 54
4 Chiasso 4 Jul 14 – Aug 3 1 in 43
5 Servette 3 Feb 9 – Feb 23 1 in 41

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vaduz 20 Aug 11 – Mar 9 1 in 2,949
2 Schaffhausen 8 Jul 28 – Sep 29 1 in 111
3 Lugano 9 Mar 17 – May 6 1 in 56
4 Wil 10 Feb 2 – Apr 5 1 in 37
5 Wohlen 4 Mar 15 – Apr 5 1 in 29

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Winterthur 11 Mar 23 – May 17 1 in 768
2 Lugano 10 Jul 29 – Oct 19 1 in 155
3 Wil 6 Mar 16 – Apr 17 1 in 43
4 Biel-Bienne 9 Nov 18 – Mar 8 1 in 43
5 Wohlen 12 Sep 26 – Feb 15 1 in 40

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Vaduz 1613 73 -17 4 8.5 -4.5
Lugano 1580 64 +20 12 8.1 +3.9
Wil 1611 63 +9 9 8.5 +0.5
Schaffhausen 1547 62 -7 5 7.6 -2.6
Servette 1544 61 -11 12 7.7 +4.3
Winterthur 1539 42 -23 3 8.5 -5.5
Biel-Bienne 1486 37 -8 5 6.6 -1.6
Chiasso 1469 33 -5 5 5.7 -0.7
Wohlen 1462 32 +42 8 4.4 +3.6
Locarno 1370 26 -1 5 3.7 +1.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BIE CHI LOC LUG SCH SER VAD WIL WIN WOH
Biel-Bienne —
1-1-2
6.44
1-2-1
7.18
0-2-2
5.19
0-1-3
5.59
0-1-3
4.51
1-0-3
4.68
1-1-2
4.66
1-2-1
4.57
4-0-0
6.84
Chiasso
2-1-1
4.62
 —
2-2-0
6.25
1-1-2
4.35
1-0-3
4.62
0-1-3
3.76
0-0-4
4.20
0-2-2
4.27
1-2-1
3.79
0-3-1
6.16
Locarno
1-2-1
3.91
0-2-2
4.81
 —
1-2-1
3.80
0-0-4
3.96
0-1-3
3.03
0-2-2
3.31
1-0-3
3.32
0-1-3
3.24
2-1-1
5.03
Lugano
2-2-0
5.86
2-1-1
6.72
1-2-1
7.32
 —
4-0-0
5.75
1-0-3
4.67
1-1-2
4.76
3-0-1
4.81
2-0-2
4.86
3-1-0
7.05
Schaffhausen
3-1-0
5.45
3-0-1
6.46
4-0-0
7.15
0-0-4
5.29
 —
3-0-1
4.31
0-3-1
4.72
2-1-1
4.59
2-1-1
4.43
1-2-1
6.95
Servette
3-1-0
6.56
3-1-0
7.34
3-1-0
8.16
3-0-1
6.38
1-0-3
6.77
 —
0-1-3
5.94
1-1-2
5.81
2-2-0
5.67
2-0-2
7.81
Vaduz
3-0-1
6.41
4-0-0
6.90
2-2-0
7.87
2-1-1
6.29
1-3-0
6.34
3-1-0
5.15
 —
1-1-2
5.51
3-0-1
5.25
2-2-0
7.86
Wil
2-1-1
6.41
2-2-0
6.82
3-0-1
7.85
1-0-3
6.25
1-1-2
6.48
2-1-1
5.24
2-1-1
5.55
 —
3-1-0
5.28
2-2-0
7.72
Winterthur
1-2-1
6.50
1-2-1
7.31
3-1-0
7.91
2-0-2
6.20
1-1-2
6.64
0-2-2
5.37
1-0-3
5.81
0-1-3
5.76
 —
2-0-2
7.76
Wohlen
0-0-4
4.24
1-3-0
4.89
1-1-2
6.02
0-1-3
4.05
1-2-1
4.15
2-0-2
3.35
0-2-2
3.29
0-2-2
3.42
2-0-2
3.38
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.64 +9.8
Allowed 0.79 -12.1
Differential 0.88 +6.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.78%6.94%5.56%4.72%1.11%0.28%26.39%
16.94%11.11%7.50%3.33%2.50%0.56%31.94%
25.56%7.50%6.67%2.22%0.56%1.11%23.61%
34.72%3.33%2.22%——0.28%10.56%
41.11%2.50%0.56%—0.56%0.28%5.00%
5+0.28%0.56%1.11%0.28%0.28%—2.50%
Total26.39%31.94%23.61%10.56%5.00%2.50%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.44 +0.00
SD 1.30 1.30 1.86
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.33%8.33%5.56%——22.22%
12.78%13.89%8.33%8.33%2.78%—36.11%
2—11.11%11.11%2.78%——25.00%
32.78%—————2.78%
4—2.78%2.78%—2.78%2.78%11.11%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total5.56%36.11%33.33%16.67%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.89 -0.33
SD 1.42 1.12 1.67
CV 0.91 0.59 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%11.11%8.33%5.56%——41.67%
12.78%8.33%8.33%8.33%2.78%—30.56%
28.33%2.78%8.33%——2.78%22.22%
3———————
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+———————
Total27.78%27.78%25.00%13.89%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.44 -0.47
SD 1.08 1.27 1.61
CV 1.11 0.88 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%—16.67%5.56%—44.44%
12.78%11.11%5.56%—11.11%—30.56%
25.56%2.78%8.33%2.78%—2.78%22.22%
3———————
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total22.22%25.00%13.89%19.44%16.67%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 1.94 -1.08
SD 0.96 1.58 1.92
CV 1.12 0.81 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%8.33%2.78%——22.22%
111.11%5.56%5.56%—5.56%—27.78%
28.33%16.67%2.78%2.78%——30.56%
32.78%8.33%2.78%———13.89%
4——2.78%—2.78%—5.56%
5+———————
Total30.56%33.33%22.22%5.56%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.28 +0.25
SD 1.16 1.21 1.59
CV 0.76 0.95 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%8.33%———16.67%
18.33%16.67%5.56%2.78%——33.33%
25.56%13.89%2.78%2.78%2.78%—27.78%
311.11%2.78%5.56%———19.44%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total30.56%38.89%22.22%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.11 +0.47
SD 1.08 1.01 1.61
CV 0.68 0.91 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%5.56%5.56%—2.78%27.78%
113.89%8.33%—2.78%—5.56%30.56%
25.56%16.67%2.78%2.78%——27.78%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
42.78%5.56%————8.33%
5+———————
Total33.33%38.89%8.33%11.11%—8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.33 +0.03
SD 1.20 1.55 2.17
CV 0.88 1.16 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%—2.78%———8.33%
18.33%19.44%5.56%2.78%——36.11%
211.11%2.78%2.78%2.78%——19.44%
38.33%11.11%5.56%———25.00%
42.78%5.56%————8.33%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total36.11%38.89%19.44%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 0.94 +1.03
SD 1.25 0.89 1.52
CV 0.64 0.95 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%2.78%2.78%2.78%——19.44%
15.56%5.56%13.89%2.78%——27.78%
25.56%5.56%8.33%———19.44%
311.11%2.78%2.78%———16.67%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+—2.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%—13.89%
Total33.33%22.22%33.33%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.06 1.25 +0.81
SD 1.80 1.11 1.86
CV 0.88 0.88 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%16.67%5.56%—2.78%—33.33%
18.33%8.33%11.11%2.78%——30.56%
22.78%2.78%8.33%2.78%——16.67%
35.56%2.78%5.56%——2.78%16.67%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total25.00%33.33%30.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.39 -0.14
SD 1.18 1.27 1.59
CV 0.94 0.92 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%5.56%8.33%2.78%—27.78%
15.56%13.89%11.11%2.78%2.78%—36.11%
22.78%—11.11%2.78%2.78%5.56%25.00%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
4———————
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total19.44%25.00%27.78%13.89%8.33%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.86 -0.56
SD 1.26 1.50 2.06
CV 0.97 0.80 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Vaduz 1613 73 57.91 +15.09 100.0% 36 43 54 59 62 69 73
Wil 1611 63 57.19 +5.81 80.0% 38 43 52 57 62 69 72
Lugano 1580 64 52.34 +11.66 94.0% 29 39 46 53 58 65 72
Schaffhausen 1547 62 49.79 +12.21 98.0% 28 37 46 50 55 59 69
Servette 1544 61 60.68 +0.32 57.0% 42 49 54 60 65 77 89
Winterthur 1539 42 59.97 -17.97 2.0% 41 46 55 60 65 72 82
Biel-Bienne 1486 37 48.96 -11.96 8.0% 29 34 44 50 54 61 68
Chiasso 1469 33 41.23 -8.23 18.0% 13 28 36 41 46 56 65
Wohlen 1462 32 36.61 -4.61 27.0% 13 23 32 37 41 49 55
Locarno 1370 26 34.39 -8.39 12.0% 15 23 30 33 39 47 55

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.00%
Slight Edge
44.44%26.11%29.44%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 52.51 Elo pts.
225 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.23 goals
Neutral
-2+0.23+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.7
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
19%
Vaduz, 3rd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.25/gm
Runaway
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.19 * Some Luck: 6.19 to 9.29 * Lucky: 9.29 to 12.39 * Wild Swing: 12.39 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.19 * Close: 1.19 to 1.79 * Off: 1.79 to 2.38 * Way Off: 2.38 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
10.81 points
Lucky
07.7419
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.60
Close
01.493
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
100.00%
Vaduz
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
2.00%
Winterthur
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Top-Heavy
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 75.91
2.16
Wide Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
64%
Slight Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
80%
Even
50%81%100%
Close Games
Expected
60%
Frequent
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Frequent
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.63
Hard to Predict
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.29
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
2.04
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.15
Weak Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Upset-Prone
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Very Shaky
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.93
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.89
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.067
Well Within Noise
00.1250.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Vaduz19.00%19.00%21.00%20.00%8.00%7.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%—
Lugano7.00%10.00%14.00%10.00%19.00%12.00%15.00%7.00%5.00%1.00%
Wil15.00%23.00%18.00%17.00%11.00%6.00%7.00%3.00%——
Schaffhausen3.00%2.00%9.00%14.00%19.00%16.00%23.00%7.00%5.00%2.00%
Servette26.00%21.00%13.00%14.00%10.00%13.00%2.00%—1.00%—
Winterthur28.00%23.00%16.00%10.00%8.00%8.00%6.00%1.00%——
Biel-Bienne1.00%2.00%7.00%13.00%17.00%17.00%15.00%17.00%10.00%1.00%
Chiasso1.00%—2.00%2.00%5.00%13.00%15.00%24.00%18.00%20.00%
Wohlen————2.00%6.00%8.00%22.00%34.00%28.00%
Locarno————1.00%2.00%8.00%17.00%24.00%48.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
Winterthur 28.00% 72.00% —
Servette 26.00% 74.00% —
Vaduz 19.00% 81.00% —
Wil 15.00% 85.00% —
Lugano 7.00% 92.00% 1.00%
Schaffhausen 3.00% 95.00% 2.00%
Biel-Bienne 1.00% 98.00% 1.00%
Chiasso 1.00% 79.00% 20.00%
Wohlen — 72.00% 28.00%
Locarno — 52.00% 48.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2013-07-13 Servette L 1-256.5 1481 1599 28.76% 23.58% 47.66%-0.29 -4.2 0
2013-07-13 @ Wohlen W 2-156.5 1599 1481 47.66% 23.58% 28.76%+0.29 +4.2 3
2013-07-13 Wil W 2-156.9 1541 1535 45.66% 23.80% 30.54%+0.26 +4.4 3
2013-07-13 @ Lugano L 1-256.9 1535 1541 30.54% 23.80% 45.66%-0.26 -4.4 0
2013-07-14 Biel-Bienne W 1-054.0 1455 1558 30.59% 23.81% 45.60%-0.22 +6.4 3
2013-07-14 @ Locarno L 0-154.0 1558 1455 45.60% 23.81% 30.59%+0.22 -6.4 0
2013-07-14 Chiasso W 3-152.0 1480 1511 40.32% 24.13% 35.55%+0.09 +8.6 3
2013-07-14 @ Vaduz L 1-352.0 1511 1480 35.55% 24.13% 40.32%-0.09 -8.6 0
2013-07-15 Winterthur W 2-162.6 1456 1607 25.18% 22.94% 51.88%-0.44 +6.7 3
2013-07-15 @ Schaffhausen L 1-262.6 1607 1456 51.88% 22.94% 25.18%+0.44 -6.7 0
2013-07-20 Winterthur W 2-161.6 1552 1600 37.97% 24.16% 37.87%+0.02 +5.2 3
2013-07-20 @ Biel-Bienne L 1-261.6 1600 1552 37.87% 24.16% 37.97%-0.02 -5.2 0
2013-07-20 Wohlen D 0-056.8 1461 1477 42.62% 24.03% 33.35%+0.16 -0.3 4
2013-07-20 @ Locarno D 0-056.8 1477 1461 33.35% 24.03% 42.62%-0.16 +0.3 1
2013-07-21 Lugano L 2-455.8 1463 1546 33.14% 24.02% 42.84%-0.14 -7.3 3
2013-07-21 @ Schaffhausen W 4-255.8 1546 1463 42.84% 24.02% 33.14%+0.14 +7.3 6
2013-07-21 Wil L 0-347.4 1503 1531 40.90% 24.11% 34.99%+0.11 -16.0 0
2013-07-21 @ Chiasso W 3-047.4 1531 1503 34.99% 24.11% 40.90%-0.11 +16.0 3
2013-07-22 Vaduz L 0-160.2 1603 1488 59.33% 21.18% 19.49%+0.74 -8.0 3
2013-07-22 @ Servette W 1-060.2 1488 1603 19.49% 21.18% 59.33%-0.74 +8.0 6
2013-07-27 Chiasso W 1-048.1 1595 1487 58.48% 21.42% 20.09%+0.71 +3.2 3
2013-07-27 @ Winterthur L 0-148.1 1487 1595 20.09% 21.42% 58.48%-0.71 -3.2 0
2013-07-28 Locarno D 0-062.2 1596 1461 61.51% 20.51% 17.98%+0.83 -1.5 4
2013-07-28 @ Servette D 0-062.2 1461 1596 17.98% 20.51% 61.51%-0.83 +1.5 5
2013-07-28 Schaffhausen D 1-161.7 1496 1455 50.26% 23.22% 26.53%+0.41 -0.7 7
2013-07-28 @ Vaduz D 1-161.7 1455 1496 26.53% 23.22% 50.26%-0.41 +0.7 4
2013-07-29 Biel-Bienne D 1-167.2 1553 1557 44.25% 23.92% 31.83%+0.22 -0.4 7
2013-07-29 @ Lugano D 1-167.2 1557 1553 31.83% 23.92% 44.25%-0.22 +0.4 4
2013-08-03 Locarno W 3-256.5 1598 1462 61.59% 20.49% 17.92%+0.83 +2.6 6
2013-08-03 @ Winterthur L 2-356.5 1462 1598 17.92% 20.49% 61.59%-0.83 -2.5 5
2013-08-03 Schaffhausen L 1-257.2 1484 1456 48.50% 23.47% 28.02%+0.36 -6.3 0
2013-08-03 @ Chiasso W 2-157.2 1456 1484 28.02% 23.47% 48.50%-0.36 +6.3 7
2013-08-04 Servette D 1-168.4 1557 1594 39.61% 24.15% 36.24%+0.07 -0.1 5
2013-08-04 @ Biel-Bienne D 1-168.4 1594 1557 36.24% 24.15% 39.61%-0.07 +0.1 5
2013-08-04 Vaduz W 2-153.9 1547 1495 51.57% 23.00% 25.43%+0.46 +3.8 6
2013-08-04 @ Wil L 1-253.9 1495 1547 25.43% 23.00% 51.57%-0.46 -3.8 7
2013-08-05 Lugano D 1-164.4 1477 1553 34.15% 24.08% 41.78%-0.10 +0.2 2
2013-08-05 @ Wohlen D 1-164.4 1553 1477 41.78% 24.08% 34.15%+0.10 -0.2 8
2013-08-10 Wil L 0-343.9 1460 1550 32.20% 23.95% 43.85%-0.17 -13.3 5
2013-08-10 @ Locarno W 3-043.9 1550 1460 43.85% 23.95% 32.20%+0.17 +13.3 9
2013-08-10 Wohlen W 6-246.8 1557 1477 55.16% 22.27% 22.57%+0.59 +9.0 8
2013-08-10 @ Biel-Bienne L 2-646.8 1477 1557 22.57% 22.27% 55.16%-0.59 -9.0 2
2013-08-11 Chiasso D 0-060.6 1552 1477 54.59% 22.40% 23.01%+0.57 -1.1 9
2013-08-11 @ Lugano D 0-060.6 1477 1552 23.01% 22.40% 54.59%-0.57 +1.1 1
2013-08-11 Winterthur W 4-050.5 1492 1600 29.92% 23.73% 46.35%-0.25 +23.2 10
2013-08-11 @ Vaduz L 0-450.5 1600 1492 46.35% 23.73% 29.92%+0.25 -23.2 6
2013-08-12 Servette W 3-050.6 1462 1594 27.23% 23.34% 49.43%-0.35 +18.7 10
2013-08-12 @ Schaffhausen L 0-350.6 1594 1462 49.43% 23.34% 27.23%+0.35 -18.7 5
2013-08-13 Wohlen W 5-248.6 1564 1468 57.03% 21.81% 21.15%+0.66 +6.7 12
2013-08-13 @ Wil L 2-548.6 1468 1564 21.15% 21.81% 57.03%-0.66 -6.7 2
2013-08-24 Schaffhausen L 2-360.5 1461 1481 42.05% 24.06% 33.88%+0.15 -5.4 2
2013-08-24 @ Wohlen W 3-260.5 1481 1461 33.88% 24.06% 42.05%-0.15 +5.4 13
2013-08-24 Winterthur L 0-350.7 1551 1577 41.16% 24.10% 34.74%+0.12 -16.1 9
2013-08-24 @ Lugano W 3-050.7 1577 1551 34.74% 24.10% 41.16%-0.12 +16.1 9
2013-08-25 Chiasso W 2-043.8 1575 1478 57.22% 21.77% 21.02%+0.66 +6.3 8
2013-08-25 @ Servette L 0-243.8 1478 1575 21.02% 21.77% 57.22%-0.66 -6.3 1
2013-08-25 Vaduz D 1-161.8 1447 1515 35.14% 24.12% 40.74%-0.07 +0.2 6
2013-08-25 @ Locarno D 1-161.8 1515 1447 40.74% 24.12% 35.14%+0.07 -0.2 11
2013-08-26 Biel-Bienne L 1-263.3 1570 1566 45.36% 23.83% 30.81%+0.25 -6.0 12
2013-08-26 @ Wil W 2-163.3 1566 1570 30.81% 23.83% 45.36%-0.25 +6.0 11
2013-08-31 Biel-Bienne D 1-165.4 1486 1572 32.81% 24.00% 43.20%-0.15 +0.3 14
2013-08-31 @ Schaffhausen D 1-165.4 1572 1486 43.20% 24.00% 32.81%+0.15 -0.3 12
2013-08-31 Locarno D 0-056.2 1472 1447 48.20% 23.51% 28.29%+0.35 -0.7 2
2013-08-31 @ Chiasso D 0-056.2 1447 1472 28.29% 23.51% 48.20%-0.35 +0.7 7
2013-09-01 Lugano W 4-150.4 1582 1535 50.97% 23.10% 25.93%+0.44 +9.4 11
2013-09-01 @ Servette L 1-450.4 1535 1582 25.93% 23.10% 50.97%-0.44 -9.4 9
2013-09-01 Wohlen W 4-144.8 1515 1456 52.52% 22.82% 24.66%+0.49 +9.0 14
2013-09-01 @ Vaduz L 1-444.8 1456 1515 24.66% 22.82% 52.52%-0.49 -9.0 2
2013-09-02 Wil L 1-264.8 1593 1564 48.68% 23.45% 27.87%+0.36 -6.4 9
2013-09-02 @ Winterthur W 2-164.8 1564 1593 27.87% 23.45% 48.68%-0.36 +6.4 15
2013-09-21 Schaffhausen L 0-352.1 1571 1487 55.67% 22.15% 22.18%+0.61 -20.7 15
2013-09-21 @ Wil W 3-052.1 1487 1571 22.18% 22.15% 55.67%-0.61 +20.7 17
2013-09-21 Servette D 1-169.1 1587 1591 44.22% 23.92% 31.86%+0.22 -0.4 10
2013-09-21 @ Winterthur D 1-169.1 1591 1587 31.86% 23.92% 44.22%-0.22 +0.4 12
2013-09-22 Chiasso W 3-149.0 1447 1471 41.40% 24.09% 34.51%+0.13 +8.4 5
2013-09-22 @ Wohlen L 1-349.0 1471 1447 34.51% 24.09% 41.40%-0.13 -8.4 2
2013-09-22 Vaduz L 0-352.4 1572 1524 51.19% 23.06% 25.75%+0.45 -19.3 12
2013-09-22 @ Biel-Bienne W 3-052.4 1524 1572 25.75% 23.06% 51.19%-0.45 +19.2 17
2013-09-23 Locarno L 0-251.2 1526 1447 54.98% 22.31% 22.71%+0.58 -14.1 9
2013-09-23 @ Lugano W 2-051.2 1447 1526 22.71% 22.31% 54.98%-0.58 +14.1 10
2013-09-25 Biel-Bienne W 2-049.9 1463 1553 32.31% 23.96% 43.73%-0.16 +11.6 5
2013-09-25 @ Chiasso L 0-249.9 1553 1463 43.73% 23.96% 32.31%+0.16 -11.6 12
2013-09-25 Wil L 0-159.6 1591 1550 50.30% 23.21% 26.49%+0.42 -6.9 12
2013-09-25 @ Servette W 1-059.6 1550 1591 26.49% 23.21% 50.30%-0.42 +6.9 18
2013-09-26 Lugano W 2-155.2 1543 1512 48.98% 23.41% 27.61%+0.37 +4.0 20
2013-09-26 @ Vaduz L 1-255.2 1512 1543 27.61% 23.41% 48.98%-0.37 -4.0 9
2013-09-26 Schaffhausen L 0-344.2 1462 1507 38.31% 24.16% 37.53%+0.03 -15.3 10
2013-09-26 @ Locarno W 3-044.2 1507 1462 37.53% 24.16% 38.31%-0.03 +15.3 20
2013-09-26 Winterthur L 0-343.4 1456 1587 27.30% 23.36% 49.34%-0.35 -11.6 5
2013-09-26 @ Wohlen W 3-043.4 1587 1456 49.34% 23.36% 27.30%+0.35 +11.6 13
2013-09-28 Chiasso D 0-060.8 1557 1475 55.47% 22.20% 22.34%+0.60 -1.1 19
2013-09-28 @ Wil D 0-060.8 1475 1557 22.34% 22.20% 55.47%-0.60 +1.2 6
2013-09-29 Locarno W 4-144.0 1541 1446 56.94% 21.84% 21.22%+0.65 +7.8 15
2013-09-29 @ Biel-Bienne L 1-444.0 1446 1541 21.22% 21.84% 56.94%-0.65 -7.8 10
2013-09-29 Vaduz L 1-361.7 1598 1547 51.59% 23.00% 25.42%+0.46 -11.5 13
2013-09-29 @ Winterthur W 3-161.7 1547 1598 25.42% 23.00% 51.59%-0.46 +11.5 23
2013-09-29 Wohlen D 2-267.9 1523 1444 55.01% 22.30% 22.69%+0.58 -0.7 21
2013-09-29 @ Schaffhausen D 2-267.9 1444 1523 22.69% 22.30% 55.01%-0.58 +0.7 6
2013-09-30 Servette L 0-249.7 1508 1584 34.00% 24.07% 41.93%-0.11 -9.6 9
2013-09-30 @ Lugano W 2-049.7 1584 1508 41.93% 24.07% 34.00%+0.11 +9.6 15
2013-10-05 Biel-Bienne L 2-454.4 1445 1549 30.49% 23.79% 45.72%-0.23 -6.8 6
2013-10-05 @ Wohlen W 4-254.4 1549 1445 45.72% 23.79% 30.49%+0.23 +6.8 18
2013-10-05 Winterthur W 6-358.4 1556 1587 40.46% 24.13% 35.41%+0.10 +9.7 22
2013-10-05 @ Wil L 3-658.4 1587 1556 35.41% 24.13% 40.46%-0.10 -9.7 13
2013-10-06 Lugano D 0-056.7 1438 1498 36.34% 24.15% 39.52%-0.03 +0.1 11
2013-10-06 @ Locarno D 0-056.7 1498 1438 39.52% 24.15% 36.34%+0.03 -0.1 10
2013-10-06 Schaffhausen W 2-155.7 1594 1522 54.21% 22.48% 23.31%+0.55 +3.5 18
2013-10-06 @ Servette L 1-255.7 1522 1594 23.31% 22.48% 54.21%-0.55 -3.5 21
2013-10-07 Vaduz L 0-151.2 1476 1559 33.20% 24.02% 42.78%-0.13 -5.0 6
2013-10-07 @ Chiasso W 1-051.2 1559 1476 42.78% 24.02% 33.20%+0.13 +5.0 26
2013-10-19 Lugano W 3-259.0 1577 1498 55.04% 22.30% 22.66%+0.58 +3.2 16
2013-10-19 @ Winterthur L 2-359.0 1498 1577 22.66% 22.30% 55.04%-0.58 -3.2 10
2013-10-19 Wohlen D 2-265.6 1471 1438 49.20% 23.38% 27.42%+0.38 -0.5 7
2013-10-19 @ Chiasso D 2-265.6 1438 1471 27.42% 23.38% 49.20%-0.38 +0.5 7
2013-10-20 Locarno W 4-038.0 1518 1439 55.15% 22.27% 22.58%+0.59 +12.8 24
2013-10-20 @ Schaffhausen L 0-438.0 1439 1518 22.58% 22.27% 55.15%-0.59 -12.8 11
2013-10-20 Servette D 0-064.4 1564 1598 40.01% 24.14% 35.85%+0.08 -0.1 27
2013-10-20 @ Vaduz D 0-064.4 1598 1564 35.85% 24.14% 40.01%-0.08 +0.1 19
2013-10-21 Wil L 0-253.5 1556 1566 43.38% 23.99% 32.64%+0.19 -11.6 18
2013-10-21 @ Biel-Bienne W 2-053.5 1566 1556 32.64% 23.99% 43.38%-0.19 +11.6 25
2013-10-26 Chiasso D 1-159.5 1426 1470 38.50% 24.16% 37.34%+0.04 -0.0 12
2013-10-26 @ Locarno D 1-159.5 1470 1426 37.34% 24.16% 38.50%-0.04 +0.0 8
2013-10-26 Wil D 1-164.1 1438 1577 26.45% 23.20% 50.35%-0.38 +0.7 8
2013-10-26 @ Wohlen D 1-164.1 1577 1438 50.35% 23.20% 26.45%+0.38 -0.7 26
2013-10-27 Biel-Bienne W 4-151.2 1563 1544 47.42% 23.61% 28.97%+0.32 +10.3 30
2013-10-27 @ Vaduz L 1-451.2 1544 1563 28.97% 23.61% 47.42%-0.32 -10.3 18
2013-10-27 Schaffhausen W 3-153.5 1495 1531 39.67% 24.15% 36.18%+0.07 +8.7 13
2013-10-27 @ Lugano L 1-353.5 1531 1495 36.18% 24.15% 39.67%-0.07 -8.7 24
2013-10-28 Winterthur W 1-054.4 1598 1580 47.15% 23.64% 29.20%+0.31 +4.5 22
2013-10-28 @ Servette L 0-154.4 1580 1598 29.20% 23.64% 47.15%-0.31 -4.5 16
2013-11-02 Servette D 2-274.5 1576 1602 41.19% 24.10% 34.71%+0.12 -0.1 27
2013-11-02 @ Wil D 2-274.5 1602 1576 34.71% 24.10% 41.19%-0.12 +0.1 23
2013-11-02 Winterthur L 1-446.1 1426 1576 25.26% 22.96% 51.78%-0.43 -9.2 12
2013-11-02 @ Locarno W 4-146.1 1576 1426 51.78% 22.96% 25.26%+0.43 +9.1 19
2013-11-03 Chiasso W 1-046.9 1534 1470 53.11% 22.71% 24.18%+0.51 +3.8 21
2013-11-03 @ Biel-Bienne L 0-146.9 1470 1534 24.18% 22.71% 53.11%-0.51 -3.8 8
2013-11-03 Wohlen W 2-149.7 1504 1439 53.25% 22.68% 24.07%+0.52 +3.6 16
2013-11-03 @ Lugano L 1-249.7 1439 1504 24.07% 22.68% 53.25%-0.52 -3.6 8
2013-11-04 Vaduz D 1-166.7 1522 1574 37.54% 24.16% 38.30%+0.01 +0.0 25
2013-11-04 @ Schaffhausen D 1-166.7 1574 1522 38.30% 24.16% 37.54%-0.01 -0.0 31
2013-11-09 Locarno W 3-037.1 1574 1417 63.94% 19.68% 16.37%+0.93 +7.1 34
2013-11-09 @ Vaduz L 0-337.1 1417 1574 16.37% 19.68% 63.94%-0.93 -7.1 12
2013-11-09 Servette L 1-255.4 1467 1602 26.78% 23.27% 49.95%-0.37 -3.9 8
2013-11-09 @ Chiasso W 2-155.4 1602 1467 49.95% 23.27% 26.78%+0.37 +3.9 26
2013-11-10 Wohlen W 1-044.6 1585 1436 63.11% 19.98% 16.91%+0.90 +2.7 22
2013-11-10 @ Winterthur L 0-144.6 1436 1585 16.91% 19.98% 63.11%-0.90 -2.7 8
2013-11-11 Lugano L 1-263.8 1576 1507 53.84% 22.56% 23.60%+0.54 -6.9 27
2013-11-11 @ Wil W 2-163.8 1507 1576 23.60% 22.56% 53.84%-0.54 +6.9 19
2013-11-18 Schaffhausen L 0-156.1 1537 1522 46.81% 23.68% 29.51%+0.30 -6.5 21
2013-11-18 @ Biel-Bienne W 1-056.1 1522 1537 29.51% 23.68% 46.81%-0.30 +6.5 28
2013-11-24 Biel-Bienne W 3-152.7 1606 1531 54.60% 22.40% 23.01%+0.57 +6.0 29
2013-11-24 @ Servette L 1-352.7 1531 1606 23.01% 22.40% 54.60%-0.57 -5.9 21
2013-11-24 Lugano L 1-352.0 1463 1514 37.50% 24.16% 38.33%+0.00 -9.0 8
2013-11-24 @ Chiasso W 3-152.0 1514 1463 38.33% 24.16% 37.50%+0.00 +9.0 22
2013-11-25 Schaffhausen W 2-047.4 1588 1529 52.51% 22.83% 24.67%+0.49 +7.3 25
2013-11-25 @ Winterthur L 0-247.4 1529 1588 24.67% 22.83% 52.51%-0.49 -7.3 28
2013-11-25 Wil W 3-155.6 1581 1569 46.33% 23.73% 29.94%+0.28 +7.5 37
2013-11-25 @ Vaduz L 1-355.6 1569 1581 29.94% 23.73% 46.33%-0.28 -7.5 27
2013-11-30 Chiasso W 1-045.7 1522 1454 53.71% 22.59% 23.71%+0.54 +3.7 31
2013-11-30 @ Schaffhausen L 0-145.7 1454 1522 23.71% 22.59% 53.71%-0.54 -3.7 8
2013-11-30 Locarno W 3-036.5 1562 1409 63.45% 19.86% 16.69%+0.91 +7.2 30
2013-11-30 @ Wil L 0-336.5 1409 1562 16.69% 19.86% 63.45%-0.91 -7.2 12
2013-12-01 Vaduz D 0-063.0 1523 1588 35.57% 24.13% 40.30%-0.06 +0.2 23
2013-12-01 @ Lugano D 0-063.0 1588 1523 40.30% 24.13% 35.57%+0.06 -0.2 38
2013-12-01 Wohlen W 1-044.5 1612 1433 66.25% 18.82% 14.93%+1.03 +2.3 32
2013-12-01 @ Servette L 0-144.5 1433 1612 14.93% 18.82% 66.25%-1.03 -2.3 8
2013-12-02 Biel-Bienne W 1-050.8 1595 1525 53.93% 22.54% 23.53%+0.54 +3.7 28
2013-12-02 @ Winterthur L 0-150.8 1525 1595 23.53% 22.54% 53.93%-0.54 -3.7 21
2013-12-04 Locarno L 0-442.2 1431 1402 48.59% 23.46% 27.94%+0.36 -24.1 8
2013-12-04 @ Wohlen W 4-042.2 1402 1431 27.94% 23.46% 48.59%-0.36 +24.1 15
2013-12-07 Winterthur W 1-056.9 1450 1599 25.39% 22.99% 51.62%-0.43 +7.1 11
2013-12-07 @ Chiasso L 0-156.9 1599 1450 51.62% 22.99% 25.39%+0.43 -7.1 28
2013-12-08 Lugano L 1-356.6 1521 1523 44.51% 23.90% 31.59%+0.22 -10.2 21
2013-12-08 @ Biel-Bienne W 3-156.6 1523 1521 31.59% 23.90% 44.51%-0.22 +10.2 26
2013-12-08 Vaduz D 1-163.6 1406 1588 22.14% 22.14% 55.72%-0.57 +1.0 9
2013-12-08 @ Wohlen D 1-163.6 1588 1406 55.72% 22.14% 22.14%+0.57 -1.0 39
2013-12-08 Wil W 2-050.8 1525 1569 38.62% 24.16% 37.22%+0.04 +10.3 34
2013-12-08 @ Schaffhausen L 0-250.8 1569 1525 37.22% 24.16% 38.62%-0.04 -10.3 30
2013-12-09 Servette L 0-440.7 1426 1614 21.55% 21.95% 56.50%-0.60 -12.2 15
2013-12-09 @ Locarno W 4-040.7 1614 1426 56.50% 21.95% 21.55%+0.60 +12.2 35
2014-02-01 Biel-Bienne W 3-260.1 1536 1511 48.12% 23.52% 28.35%+0.34 +3.9 37
2014-02-01 @ Schaffhausen L 2-360.1 1511 1536 28.35% 23.52% 48.12%-0.34 -3.9 21
2014-02-02 Winterthur W 1-055.8 1559 1591 40.21% 24.13% 35.66%+0.09 +5.3 33
2014-02-02 @ Wil L 0-155.8 1591 1559 35.66% 24.13% 40.21%-0.09 -5.3 28
2014-02-03 Lugano W 2-047.7 1587 1533 51.89% 22.94% 25.17%+0.47 +7.4 42
2014-02-03 @ Vaduz L 0-247.7 1533 1587 25.17% 22.94% 51.89%-0.47 -7.5 26
2014-02-08 Chiasso D 2-267.6 1507 1457 51.44% 23.02% 25.54%+0.46 -0.6 22
2014-02-08 @ Biel-Bienne D 2-267.6 1457 1507 25.54% 23.02% 51.44%-0.46 +0.6 12
2014-02-08 Vaduz D 1-164.0 1407 1594 21.65% 21.98% 56.37%-0.60 +1.1 10
2014-02-08 @ Wohlen D 1-164.0 1594 1407 56.37% 21.98% 21.65%+0.60 -1.1 43
2014-02-09 Locarno W 2-148.2 1586 1414 65.51% 19.11% 15.38%+1.00 +2.3 31
2014-02-09 @ Winterthur L 1-248.2 1414 1586 15.38% 19.11% 65.51%-1.00 -2.3 15
2014-02-09 Schaffhausen L 1-363.4 1627 1540 56.03% 22.06% 21.91%+0.62 -12.4 35
2014-02-09 @ Servette W 3-163.4 1540 1627 21.91% 22.06% 56.03%-0.62 +12.4 40
2014-02-15 Lugano L 0-242.3 1409 1526 28.87% 23.60% 47.53%-0.29 -8.4 10
2014-02-15 @ Wohlen W 2-042.3 1526 1409 47.53% 23.60% 28.87%+0.29 +8.4 29
2014-02-15 Schaffhausen L 0-146.2 1412 1552 26.29% 23.17% 50.53%-0.39 -4.1 15
2014-02-15 @ Locarno W 1-046.2 1552 1412 50.53% 23.17% 26.29%+0.39 +4.1 43
2014-02-16 Biel-Bienne D 2-272.6 1588 1507 55.41% 22.21% 22.38%+0.60 -0.8 32
2014-02-16 @ Winterthur D 2-272.6 1507 1588 22.38% 22.21% 55.41%-0.60 +0.8 23
2014-02-16 Wil D 0-059.9 1458 1564 30.17% 23.76% 46.07%-0.24 +0.5 13
2014-02-16 @ Chiasso D 0-059.9 1564 1458 46.07% 23.76% 30.17%+0.24 -0.5 34
2014-02-17 Vaduz L 2-370.7 1614 1593 47.62% 23.59% 28.80%+0.33 -5.9 35
2014-02-17 @ Servette W 3-270.7 1593 1614 28.80% 23.59% 47.62%-0.33 +5.9 46
2014-02-22 Chiasso W 2-151.2 1556 1458 57.34% 21.73% 20.93%+0.67 +3.1 46
2014-02-22 @ Schaffhausen L 1-251.2 1458 1556 20.93% 21.73% 57.34%-0.67 -3.1 13
2014-02-23 Locarno W 1-042.7 1599 1408 67.49% 18.33% 14.18%+1.08 +2.2 49
2014-02-23 @ Vaduz L 0-142.7 1408 1599 14.18% 18.33% 67.49%-1.08 -2.2 15
2014-02-23 Servette W 6-153.7 1564 1608 38.46% 24.16% 37.38%+0.03 +20.0 37
2014-02-23 @ Wil L 1-653.7 1608 1564 37.38% 24.16% 38.46%-0.03 -20.0 35
2014-02-24 Winterthur W 1-055.8 1534 1588 37.23% 24.16% 38.61%+0.00 +5.6 32
2014-02-24 @ Lugano L 0-155.8 1588 1534 38.61% 24.16% 37.23%+0.00 -5.6 32
2014-02-26 Servette L 1-448.3 1455 1588 27.03% 23.31% 49.66%-0.36 -9.7 13
2014-02-26 @ Chiasso W 4-148.3 1588 1455 49.66% 23.31% 27.03%+0.36 +9.7 38
2014-03-01 Lugano W 2-157.8 1445 1540 31.65% 23.91% 44.44%-0.19 +5.9 16
2014-03-01 @ Chiasso L 1-257.8 1540 1445 44.44% 23.91% 31.65%+0.19 -5.9 32
2014-03-01 Vaduz L 0-253.3 1559 1602 38.82% 24.16% 37.02%+0.05 -10.6 46
2014-03-01 @ Schaffhausen W 2-053.3 1602 1559 37.02% 24.16% 38.82%-0.05 +10.6 52
2014-03-01 Winterthur W 1-055.4 1400 1582 22.12% 22.13% 55.75%-0.57 +7.6 13
2014-03-01 @ Wohlen L 0-155.4 1582 1400 55.75% 22.13% 22.12%+0.57 -7.5 32
2014-03-02 Servette L 0-347.2 1507 1598 32.14% 23.95% 43.91%-0.17 -13.3 23
2014-03-02 @ Biel-Bienne W 3-047.2 1598 1507 43.91% 23.95% 32.14%+0.17 +13.3 41
2014-03-02 Wil L 2-645.0 1405 1584 22.47% 22.24% 55.29%-0.56 -9.0 15
2014-03-02 @ Locarno W 6-245.0 1584 1405 55.29% 22.24% 22.47%+0.56 +9.0 40
2014-03-08 Biel-Bienne D 4-475.9 1534 1494 50.14% 23.24% 26.62%+0.41 -0.4 33
2014-03-08 @ Lugano D 4-475.9 1494 1534 26.62% 23.24% 50.14%-0.41 +0.4 24
2014-03-08 Wohlen W 3-144.4 1593 1408 66.82% 18.60% 14.58%+1.05 +3.7 43
2014-03-08 @ Wil L 1-344.4 1408 1593 14.58% 18.60% 66.82%-1.05 -3.7 13
2014-03-09 Chiasso W 5-247.5 1612 1451 64.36% 19.53% 16.11%+0.95 +5.1 55
2014-03-09 @ Vaduz L 2-547.5 1451 1612 16.11% 19.53% 64.36%-0.95 -5.1 16
2014-03-09 Locarno W 1-042.1 1611 1396 69.76% 17.37% 12.86%+1.19 +2.0 44
2014-03-09 @ Servette L 0-142.1 1396 1611 12.86% 17.37% 69.76%-1.19 -2.0 15
2014-03-10 Schaffhausen D 1-167.7 1575 1549 48.28% 23.50% 28.22%+0.35 -0.6 33
2014-03-10 @ Winterthur D 1-167.7 1549 1575 28.22% 23.50% 48.28%-0.35 +0.6 47
2014-03-12 Wil L 1-454.1 1534 1596 35.92% 24.14% 39.94%-0.05 -12.2 33
2014-03-12 @ Lugano W 4-154.1 1596 1534 39.94% 24.14% 35.92%+0.05 +12.2 46
2014-03-12 Wohlen W 2-147.3 1494 1404 56.43% 21.97% 21.61%+0.63 +3.2 27
2014-03-12 @ Biel-Bienne L 1-247.3 1404 1494 21.61% 21.97% 56.43%-0.63 -3.2 13
2014-03-15 Chiasso L 1-444.7 1394 1446 37.49% 24.16% 38.35%+0.00 -12.7 15
2014-03-15 @ Locarno W 4-144.7 1446 1394 38.35% 24.16% 37.49%+0.00 +12.7 19
2014-03-15 Schaffhausen W 1-053.3 1401 1549 25.41% 22.99% 51.60%-0.43 +7.1 16
2014-03-15 @ Wohlen L 0-153.3 1549 1401 51.60% 22.99% 25.41%+0.43 -7.1 47
2014-03-16 Vaduz W 3-158.9 1574 1617 38.67% 24.16% 37.17%+0.04 +8.9 36
2014-03-16 @ Winterthur L 1-358.9 1617 1574 37.17% 24.16% 38.67%-0.04 -8.9 55
2014-03-16 Wil D 1-167.2 1498 1609 29.64% 23.70% 46.66%-0.26 +0.5 28
2014-03-16 @ Biel-Bienne D 1-167.2 1609 1498 46.66% 23.70% 29.64%+0.26 -0.5 47
2014-03-17 Servette W 2-054.1 1521 1613 31.99% 23.94% 44.07%-0.18 +11.7 36
2014-03-17 @ Lugano L 0-254.1 1613 1521 44.07% 23.94% 31.99%+0.18 -11.7 44
2014-03-22 Biel-Bienne D 1-159.2 1382 1498 29.01% 23.62% 47.37%-0.28 +0.6 16
2014-03-22 @ Locarno D 1-159.2 1498 1382 47.37% 23.62% 29.01%+0.28 -0.5 29
2014-03-22 Wil D 2-275.4 1608 1608 44.82% 23.88% 31.31%+0.23 -0.3 56
2014-03-22 @ Vaduz D 2-275.4 1608 1608 31.31% 23.88% 44.82%-0.23 +0.3 48
2014-03-23 Lugano L 0-156.4 1542 1533 46.01% 23.77% 30.22%+0.27 -6.4 47
2014-03-23 @ Schaffhausen W 1-056.4 1533 1542 30.22% 23.77% 46.01%-0.27 +6.4 39
2014-03-23 Winterthur D 0-065.2 1602 1583 47.34% 23.62% 29.04%+0.32 -0.6 45
2014-03-23 @ Servette D 0-065.2 1583 1602 29.04% 23.62% 47.34%-0.32 +0.6 37
2014-03-24 Wohlen D 0-054.7 1459 1408 51.54% 23.00% 25.46%+0.46 -0.9 20
2014-03-24 @ Chiasso D 0-054.7 1408 1459 25.46% 23.00% 51.54%-0.46 +0.9 17
2014-03-29 Chiasso D 1-165.8 1583 1458 60.51% 20.83% 18.66%+0.79 -1.3 38
2014-03-29 @ Winterthur D 1-165.8 1458 1583 18.66% 20.83% 60.51%-0.79 +1.3 21
2014-03-29 Locarno D 2-267.1 1540 1382 63.95% 19.68% 16.37%+0.93 -1.1 40
2014-03-29 @ Lugano D 2-267.1 1382 1540 16.37% 19.68% 63.95%-0.93 +1.1 17
2014-03-30 Biel-Bienne W 3-150.5 1608 1498 58.79% 21.34% 19.87%+0.72 +5.2 59
2014-03-30 @ Vaduz L 1-350.5 1498 1608 19.87% 21.34% 58.79%-0.72 -5.2 29
2014-03-30 Wohlen L 1-556.2 1601 1409 67.57% 18.30% 14.13%+1.09 -26.4 45
2014-03-30 @ Servette W 5-156.2 1409 1601 14.13% 18.30% 67.57%-1.09 +26.4 20
2014-03-31 Schaffhausen D 0-064.4 1608 1536 54.27% 22.47% 23.26%+0.56 -1.1 49
2014-03-31 @ Wil D 0-064.4 1536 1608 23.26% 22.47% 54.27%-0.56 +1.1 48
2014-04-05 Servette L 0-144.1 1384 1575 21.28% 21.86% 56.87%-0.62 -3.4 17
2014-04-05 @ Locarno W 1-044.1 1575 1384 56.87% 21.86% 21.28%+0.62 +3.4 48
2014-04-05 Wil D 2-270.7 1435 1607 23.03% 22.40% 54.57%-0.53 +0.7 21
2014-04-05 @ Wohlen D 2-270.7 1607 1435 54.57% 22.40% 23.03%+0.53 -0.7 50
2014-04-06 Lugano L 1-257.7 1492 1538 38.28% 24.16% 37.56%+0.03 -5.3 29
2014-04-06 @ Biel-Bienne W 2-157.7 1538 1492 37.56% 24.16% 38.28%-0.03 +5.2 43
2014-04-06 Vaduz L 0-245.9 1459 1613 24.83% 22.86% 52.31%-0.45 -7.4 21
2014-04-06 @ Chiasso W 2-045.9 1613 1459 52.31% 22.86% 24.83%+0.45 +7.3 62
2014-04-07 Winterthur W 2-051.7 1537 1582 38.39% 24.16% 37.45%+0.03 +10.3 51
2014-04-07 @ Schaffhausen L 0-251.7 1582 1537 37.45% 24.16% 38.39%-0.03 -10.3 38
2014-04-09 Wohlen W 2-041.9 1380 1436 36.90% 24.16% 38.94%-0.01 +10.6 20
2014-04-09 @ Locarno L 0-241.9 1436 1380 38.94% 24.16% 36.90%+0.01 -10.6 21
2014-04-12 Biel-Bienne L 0-341.5 1425 1487 36.02% 24.14% 39.84%-0.04 -14.6 21
2014-04-12 @ Wohlen W 3-041.5 1487 1425 39.84% 24.14% 36.02%+0.04 +14.6 32
2014-04-12 Lugano L 0-160.6 1607 1544 53.06% 22.72% 24.22%+0.51 -7.2 50
2014-04-12 @ Wil W 1-060.6 1544 1607 24.22% 22.72% 53.06%-0.51 +7.2 46
2014-04-13 Servette W 3-048.9 1547 1578 40.44% 24.13% 35.44%+0.10 +14.4 54
2014-04-13 @ Schaffhausen L 0-348.9 1578 1547 35.44% 24.13% 40.44%-0.10 -14.4 48
2014-04-13 Winterthur W 3-263.6 1621 1572 51.27% 23.05% 25.68%+0.45 +3.6 65
2014-04-13 @ Vaduz L 2-363.6 1572 1621 25.68% 23.05% 51.27%-0.45 -3.6 38
2014-04-14 Locarno W 4-140.5 1452 1391 52.82% 22.76% 24.41%+0.50 +8.9 24
2014-04-14 @ Chiasso L 1-440.5 1391 1452 24.41% 22.76% 52.82%-0.50 -8.9 20
2014-04-17 Chiasso D 1-164.9 1564 1461 57.93% 21.58% 20.50%+0.69 -1.2 49
2014-04-17 @ Servette D 1-164.9 1461 1564 20.50% 21.58% 57.93%-0.69 +1.2 25
2014-04-17 Schaffhausen L 1-258.3 1502 1562 36.32% 24.15% 39.53%-0.03 -5.0 32
2014-04-17 @ Biel-Bienne W 2-158.3 1562 1502 39.53% 24.15% 36.32%+0.03 +5.0 57
2014-04-17 Vaduz D 1-164.7 1382 1624 17.21% 20.13% 62.66%-0.84 +1.4 21
2014-04-17 @ Locarno D 1-164.7 1624 1382 62.66% 20.13% 17.21%+0.84 -1.5 66
2014-04-17 Wil D 0-064.6 1568 1599 40.41% 24.13% 35.46%+0.09 -0.2 39
2014-04-17 @ Winterthur D 0-064.6 1599 1568 35.46% 24.13% 40.41%-0.09 +0.2 51
2014-04-17 Wohlen W 2-147.8 1551 1411 62.14% 20.31% 17.55%+0.86 +2.6 49
2014-04-17 @ Lugano L 1-247.8 1411 1551 17.55% 20.31% 62.14%-0.86 -2.6 21
2014-04-26 Lugano L 0-158.1 1568 1554 46.75% 23.69% 29.56%+0.30 -6.5 39
2014-04-26 @ Winterthur W 1-058.1 1554 1568 29.56% 23.69% 46.75%-0.30 +6.5 52
2014-04-26 Schaffhausen W 2-050.9 1462 1567 30.40% 23.79% 45.81%-0.23 +12.1 28
2014-04-26 @ Chiasso L 0-250.9 1567 1462 45.81% 23.79% 30.40%+0.23 -12.1 57
2014-04-27 Biel-Bienne W 5-463.0 1599 1497 57.90% 21.59% 20.52%+0.69 +2.8 54
2014-04-27 @ Wil L 4-563.0 1497 1599 20.52% 21.59% 57.90%-0.69 -2.8 32
2014-04-27 Locarno W 3-035.7 1408 1383 48.11% 23.53% 28.36%+0.34 +12.0 24
2014-04-27 @ Wohlen L 0-335.7 1383 1408 28.36% 23.53% 48.11%-0.34 -12.0 21
2014-04-28 Servette W 2-049.2 1623 1563 52.72% 22.79% 24.50%+0.50 +7.3 69
2014-04-28 @ Vaduz L 0-249.2 1563 1623 24.50% 22.79% 52.72%-0.50 -7.3 49
2014-05-03 Chiasso W 2-043.5 1560 1474 55.92% 22.09% 21.99%+0.62 +6.6 55
2014-05-03 @ Lugano L 0-243.5 1474 1560 21.99% 22.09% 55.92%-0.62 -6.6 28
2014-05-03 Wil L 2-366.7 1554 1602 38.03% 24.16% 37.81%+0.02 -5.0 57
2014-05-03 @ Schaffhausen W 3-266.7 1602 1554 37.81% 24.16% 38.03%-0.02 +5.0 57
2014-05-03 Winterthur D 2-266.9 1371 1562 21.37% 21.89% 56.74%-0.61 +0.8 22
2014-05-03 @ Locarno D 2-266.9 1562 1371 56.74% 21.89% 21.37%+0.61 -0.8 40
2014-05-04 Biel-Bienne W 2-153.8 1555 1494 52.88% 22.75% 24.37%+0.51 +3.6 52
2014-05-04 @ Servette L 1-253.8 1494 1555 24.37% 22.75% 52.88%-0.51 -3.6 32
2014-05-04 Wohlen W 3-037.7 1630 1420 69.29% 17.58% 13.13%+1.17 +5.6 72
2014-05-04 @ Vaduz L 0-337.7 1420 1630 13.13% 17.58% 69.29%-1.17 -5.6 24
2014-05-06 Locarno L 1-263.5 1607 1372 71.64% 16.54% 11.82%+1.28 -8.7 57
2014-05-06 @ Wil W 2-163.5 1372 1607 11.82% 16.54% 71.64%-1.28 +8.7 25
2014-05-06 Schaffhausen W 2-157.8 1567 1550 47.11% 23.65% 29.24%+0.31 +4.2 58
2014-05-06 @ Lugano L 1-257.8 1550 1567 29.24% 23.65% 47.11%-0.31 -4.2 57
2014-05-07 Chiasso D 2-264.5 1414 1467 37.29% 24.16% 38.55%+0.00 +0.0 25
2014-05-07 @ Wohlen D 2-264.5 1467 1414 38.55% 24.16% 37.29%+0.00 -0.0 29
2014-05-07 Servette L 1-262.7 1561 1559 45.02% 23.86% 31.12%+0.24 -6.0 40
2014-05-07 @ Winterthur W 2-162.7 1559 1561 31.12% 23.86% 45.02%-0.24 +6.0 55
2014-05-07 Vaduz W 2-164.5 1490 1636 25.74% 23.06% 51.20%-0.41 +6.6 35
2014-05-07 @ Biel-Bienne L 1-264.5 1636 1490 51.20% 23.06% 25.74%+0.41 -6.6 72
2014-05-10 Vaduz W 2-053.8 1599 1629 40.51% 24.12% 35.36%+0.10 +9.9 60
2014-05-10 @ Wil L 0-253.8 1629 1599 35.36% 24.12% 40.51%-0.10 -9.9 72
2014-05-10 Winterthur D 0-059.9 1467 1555 32.59% 23.98% 43.43%-0.15 +0.4 30
2014-05-10 @ Chiasso D 0-059.9 1555 1467 43.43% 23.98% 32.59%+0.15 -0.4 41
2014-05-10 Wohlen D 1-162.8 1545 1414 61.09% 20.65% 18.26%+0.81 -1.3 58
2014-05-10 @ Schaffhausen D 1-162.8 1414 1545 18.26% 20.65% 61.09%-0.81 +1.4 26
2014-05-11 Locarno D 2-265.2 1497 1381 59.42% 21.16% 19.43%+0.75 -0.9 36
2014-05-11 @ Biel-Bienne D 2-265.2 1381 1497 19.43% 21.16% 59.42%-0.75 +0.9 26
2014-05-11 Lugano W 1-054.2 1565 1571 43.94% 23.95% 32.11%+0.21 +4.8 58
2014-05-11 @ Servette L 0-154.2 1571 1565 32.11% 23.95% 43.94%-0.21 -4.9 58
2014-05-14 Biel-Bienne W 2-045.4 1468 1496 40.83% 24.11% 35.06%+0.11 +9.8 33
2014-05-14 @ Chiasso L 0-245.4 1496 1468 35.06% 24.11% 40.83%-0.11 -9.8 36
2014-05-14 Lugano L 0-337.9 1382 1566 21.91% 22.06% 56.03%-0.58 -9.5 26
2014-05-14 @ Locarno W 3-037.9 1566 1382 56.03% 22.06% 21.91%+0.58 +9.5 61
2014-05-14 Schaffhausen D 1-169.2 1619 1544 54.58% 22.40% 23.02%+0.57 -1.0 73
2014-05-14 @ Vaduz D 1-169.2 1544 1619 23.02% 22.40% 54.58%-0.57 +1.0 59
2014-05-14 Wil W 2-161.9 1570 1608 39.34% 24.15% 36.51%+0.06 +5.1 61
2014-05-14 @ Servette L 1-261.9 1608 1570 36.51% 24.15% 39.34%-0.06 -5.1 60
2014-05-14 Wohlen L 0-252.6 1554 1416 61.95% 20.37% 17.68%+0.85 -15.5 41
2014-05-14 @ Winterthur W 2-052.6 1416 1554 17.68% 20.37% 61.95%-0.85 +15.6 29
2014-05-17 Chiasso W 3-041.4 1603 1478 60.54% 20.82% 18.64%+0.79 +8.1 63
2014-05-17 @ Wil L 0-341.4 1478 1603 18.64% 20.82% 60.54%-0.79 -8.1 33
2014-05-17 Locarno W 2-145.2 1545 1372 65.56% 19.09% 15.35%+1.00 +2.3 62
2014-05-17 @ Schaffhausen L 1-245.2 1372 1545 15.35% 19.09% 65.56%-1.00 -2.3 26
2014-05-17 Servette W 5-049.2 1431 1575 25.94% 23.10% 50.95%-0.40 +30.9 32
2014-05-17 @ Wohlen L 0-549.2 1575 1431 50.95% 23.10% 25.94%+0.40 -30.9 61
2014-05-17 Vaduz W 3-267.4 1576 1618 38.78% 24.16% 37.06%+0.04 +4.9 64
2014-05-17 @ Lugano L 2-367.4 1618 1576 37.06% 24.16% 38.78%-0.04 -4.9 73
2014-05-17 Winterthur D 2-269.6 1486 1539 37.32% 24.16% 38.51%+0.00 +0.0 37
2014-05-17 @ Biel-Bienne D 2-269.6 1539 1486 38.51% 24.16% 37.32%+0.00 -0.0 42

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2014-05-06 11.82% Locarno 1372 2 @ Wil 1607 1
2 2014-03-30 14.13% Wohlen 1409 5 @ Servette 1601 1
3 2014-05-14 17.68% Wohlen 1416 2 @ Winterthur 1554 0
4 2013-07-22 19.49% Vaduz 1488 1 @ Servette 1603 0
5 2014-02-09 21.91% Schaffhausen 1540 3 @ Servette 1627 1
6 2014-03-01 22.12% @ Wohlen 1400 1 Winterthur 1582 0
7 2013-09-21 22.18% Schaffhausen 1487 3 @ Wil 1571 0
8 2013-09-23 22.71% Locarno 1447 2 @ Lugano 1526 0
9 2013-11-11 23.60% Lugano 1507 2 @ Wil 1576 1
10 2014-04-12 24.22% Lugano 1544 1 @ Wil 1607 0
11 2013-07-15 25.18% @ Schaffhausen 1456 2 Winterthur 1607 1
12 2013-12-07 25.39% @ Chiasso 1450 1 Winterthur 1599 0
13 2014-03-15 25.41% @ Wohlen 1401 1 Schaffhausen 1549 0
14 2013-09-29 25.42% Vaduz 1547 3 @ Winterthur 1598 1
15 2014-05-07 25.74% @ Biel-Bienne 1490 2 Vaduz 1636 1
16 2013-09-22 25.75% Vaduz 1524 3 @ Biel-Bienne 1572 0
17 2014-05-17 25.94% @ Wohlen 1431 5 Servette 1575 0
18 2013-09-25 26.49% Wil 1550 1 @ Servette 1591 0
19 2013-08-12 27.23% @ Schaffhausen 1462 3 Servette 1594 0
20 2013-09-02 27.87% Wil 1564 2 @ Winterthur 1593 1
21 2013-12-04 27.94% Locarno 1402 4 @ Wohlen 1431 0
22 2013-08-03 28.02% Schaffhausen 1456 2 @ Chiasso 1484 1
23 2014-02-17 28.80% Vaduz 1593 3 @ Servette 1614 2
24 2013-11-18 29.51% Schaffhausen 1522 1 @ Biel-Bienne 1537 0
25 2014-04-26 29.56% Lugano 1554 1 @ Winterthur 1568 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-05-17 30.88 @ Wohlen 5 1431 25.94% Servette 0 1575 50.95% 23.10%
2 2014-03-30 26.38 Wohlen 5 1409 14.13% @ Servette 1 1601 67.57% 18.30%
3 2013-12-04 24.09 Locarno 4 1402 27.94% @ Wohlen 0 1431 48.59% 23.46%
4 2013-08-11 23.17 @ Vaduz 4 1492 29.92% Winterthur 0 1600 46.35% 23.73%
5 2013-09-21 20.66 Schaffhausen 3 1487 22.18% @ Wil 0 1571 55.67% 22.15%
6 2014-02-23 19.97 @ Wil 6 1564 38.46% Servette 1 1608 37.38% 24.16%
7 2013-09-22 19.26 Vaduz 3 1524 25.75% @ Biel-Bienne 0 1572 51.19% 23.06%
8 2013-08-12 18.70 @ Schaffhausen 3 1462 27.23% Servette 0 1594 49.43% 23.34%
9 2013-08-24 16.13 Winterthur 3 1577 34.74% @ Lugano 0 1551 41.16% 24.10%
10 2013-07-21 16.05 Wil 3 1531 34.99% @ Chiasso 0 1503 40.90% 24.11%
11 2014-05-14 15.56 Wohlen 2 1416 17.68% @ Winterthur 0 1554 61.95% 20.37%
12 2013-09-26 15.26 Schaffhausen 3 1507 37.53% @ Locarno 0 1462 38.31% 24.16%
13 2014-04-12 14.57 Biel-Bienne 3 1487 39.84% @ Wohlen 0 1425 36.02% 24.14%
14 2014-04-13 14.38 @ Schaffhausen 3 1547 40.44% Servette 0 1578 35.44% 24.13%
15 2013-09-23 14.07 Locarno 2 1447 22.71% @ Lugano 0 1526 54.98% 22.31%
16 2013-08-10 13.32 Wil 3 1550 43.85% @ Locarno 0 1460 32.20% 23.95%
17 2014-03-02 13.31 Servette 3 1598 43.91% @ Biel-Bienne 0 1507 32.14% 23.95%
18 2013-10-20 12.79 @ Schaffhausen 4 1518 55.15% Locarno 0 1439 22.58% 22.27%
19 2014-03-15 12.66 Chiasso 4 1446 38.35% @ Locarno 1 1394 37.49% 24.16%
20 2014-02-09 12.39 Schaffhausen 3 1540 21.91% @ Servette 1 1627 56.03% 22.06%
21 2014-03-12 12.25 Wil 4 1596 39.94% @ Lugano 1 1534 35.92% 24.14%
22 2013-12-09 12.24 Servette 4 1614 56.50% @ Locarno 0 1426 21.55% 21.95%
23 2014-04-26 12.10 @ Chiasso 2 1462 30.40% Schaffhausen 0 1567 45.81% 23.79%
24 2014-04-27 12.00 @ Wohlen 3 1408 48.11% Locarno 0 1383 28.36% 23.53%
25 2014-03-17 11.73 @ Lugano 2 1521 31.99% Servette 0 1613 44.07% 23.94%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-03-08 75.9 @ Lugano 4 1534 50.14% Biel-Bienne 4 1494 26.62% 23.24%
2 2014-03-22 75.4 @ Vaduz 2 1608 44.82% Wil 2 1608 31.31% 23.88%
3 2013-11-02 74.5 @ Wil 2 1576 41.19% Servette 2 1602 34.71% 24.10%
4 2014-02-16 72.6 @ Winterthur 2 1588 55.41% Biel-Bienne 2 1507 22.38% 22.21%
5 2014-02-17 70.7 Vaduz 3 1593 28.80% @ Servette 2 1614 47.62% 23.59%
6 2014-04-05 70.7 @ Wohlen 2 1435 23.03% Wil 2 1607 54.57% 22.40%
7 2014-05-17 69.6 @ Biel-Bienne 2 1486 37.32% Winterthur 2 1539 38.51% 24.16%
8 2014-05-14 69.2 @ Vaduz 1 1619 54.58% Schaffhausen 1 1544 23.02% 22.40%
9 2013-09-21 69.1 @ Winterthur 1 1587 44.22% Servette 1 1591 31.86% 23.92%
10 2013-08-04 68.4 @ Biel-Bienne 1 1557 39.61% Servette 1 1594 36.24% 24.15%
11 2013-09-29 67.9 @ Schaffhausen 2 1523 55.01% Wohlen 2 1444 22.69% 22.30%
12 2014-03-10 67.7 @ Winterthur 1 1575 48.28% Schaffhausen 1 1549 28.22% 23.50%
13 2014-02-08 67.6 @ Biel-Bienne 2 1507 51.44% Chiasso 2 1457 25.54% 23.02%
14 2014-05-17 67.4 @ Lugano 3 1576 38.78% Vaduz 2 1618 37.06% 24.16%
15 2013-07-29 67.2 @ Lugano 1 1553 44.25% Biel-Bienne 1 1557 31.83% 23.92%
16 2014-03-16 67.2 @ Biel-Bienne 1 1498 29.64% Wil 1 1609 46.66% 23.70%
17 2014-03-29 67.1 @ Lugano 2 1540 63.95% Locarno 2 1382 16.37% 19.68%
18 2014-05-03 66.9 @ Locarno 2 1371 21.37% Winterthur 2 1562 56.74% 21.89%
19 2013-11-04 66.7 @ Schaffhausen 1 1522 37.54% Vaduz 1 1574 38.30% 24.16%
20 2014-05-03 66.7 Wil 3 1602 37.81% @ Schaffhausen 2 1554 38.03% 24.16%
21 2014-03-29 65.8 @ Winterthur 1 1583 60.51% Chiasso 1 1458 18.66% 20.83%
22 2013-10-19 65.6 @ Chiasso 2 1471 49.20% Wohlen 2 1438 27.42% 23.38%
23 2013-08-31 65.4 @ Schaffhausen 1 1486 32.81% Biel-Bienne 1 1572 43.20% 24.00%
24 2014-03-23 65.2 @ Servette 0 1602 47.34% Winterthur 0 1583 29.04% 23.62%
25 2014-05-11 65.2 @ Biel-Bienne 2 1497 59.42% Locarno 2 1381 19.43% 21.16%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-04-27 35.7 @ Wohlen 3 1408 48.11% Locarno 0 1383 28.36% 23.53%
2 2013-11-30 36.5 @ Wil 3 1562 63.45% Locarno 0 1409 16.69% 19.86%
3 2013-11-09 37.1 @ Vaduz 3 1574 63.94% Locarno 0 1417 16.37% 19.68%
4 2014-05-04 37.7 @ Vaduz 3 1630 69.29% Wohlen 0 1420 13.13% 17.58%
5 2014-05-14 37.9 Lugano 3 1566 56.03% @ Locarno 0 1382 21.91% 22.06%
6 2013-10-20 38.0 @ Schaffhausen 4 1518 55.15% Locarno 0 1439 22.58% 22.27%
7 2014-04-14 40.5 @ Chiasso 4 1452 52.82% Locarno 1 1391 24.41% 22.76%
8 2013-12-09 40.7 Servette 4 1614 56.50% @ Locarno 0 1426 21.55% 21.95%
9 2014-05-17 41.4 @ Wil 3 1603 60.54% Chiasso 0 1478 18.64% 20.82%
10 2014-04-12 41.5 Biel-Bienne 3 1487 39.84% @ Wohlen 0 1425 36.02% 24.14%
11 2014-04-09 41.9 @ Locarno 2 1380 36.90% Wohlen 0 1436 38.94% 24.16%
12 2014-03-09 42.1 @ Servette 1 1611 69.76% Locarno 0 1396 12.86% 17.37%
13 2013-12-04 42.2 Locarno 4 1402 27.94% @ Wohlen 0 1431 48.59% 23.46%
14 2014-02-15 42.3 Lugano 2 1526 47.53% @ Wohlen 0 1409 28.87% 23.60%
15 2014-02-23 42.7 @ Vaduz 1 1599 67.49% Locarno 0 1408 14.18% 18.33%
16 2013-09-26 43.4 Winterthur 3 1587 49.34% @ Wohlen 0 1456 27.30% 23.36%
17 2014-05-03 43.5 @ Lugano 2 1560 55.92% Chiasso 0 1474 21.99% 22.09%
18 2013-08-25 43.8 @ Servette 2 1575 57.22% Chiasso 0 1478 21.02% 21.77%
19 2013-08-10 43.9 Wil 3 1550 43.85% @ Locarno 0 1460 32.20% 23.95%
20 2013-09-29 44.0 @ Biel-Bienne 4 1541 56.94% Locarno 1 1446 21.22% 21.84%
21 2014-04-05 44.1 Servette 1 1575 56.87% @ Locarno 0 1384 21.28% 21.86%
22 2013-09-26 44.2 Schaffhausen 3 1507 37.53% @ Locarno 0 1462 38.31% 24.16%
23 2014-03-08 44.4 @ Wil 3 1593 66.82% Wohlen 1 1408 14.58% 18.60%
24 2013-12-01 44.5 @ Servette 1 1612 66.25% Wohlen 0 1433 14.93% 18.82%
25 2013-11-10 44.6 @ Winterthur 1 1585 63.11% Wohlen 0 1436 16.91% 19.98%