2014-15 Challenge League Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Lugano

14.78 points above expected

74 points · 59.22 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Wil

15.50 points below expected

37 points · 52.50 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Lugano	36	22	8	6	74	64	31	+33	59.22	+14.78
2	Servette	36	20	7	9	67	51	40	+11	55.88	+11.12
3	Wohlen	36	20	4	12	64	57	43	+14	51.62	+12.38
4	Winterthur	36	15	8	13	53	65	49	+16	55.03	-2.03
5	Schaffhausen	36	13	8	15	47	55	54	+1	49.58	-2.58
6	Lausanne-Sport	36	12	8	16	44	47	57	-10	53.39	-9.39
7	Le Mont	36	10	9	17	39	39	56	-17	33.83	+5.17
8	Chiasso	36	9	12	15	39	30	49	-19	39.03	-0.03
9	Wil	36	9	10	17	37	47	63	-16	52.50	-15.50
10	Biel-Bienne	36	7	12	17	33	39	52	-13	41.63	-8.63

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Lugano	74	59.22	+14.78
2	Wohlen	64	51.62	+12.38
3	Servette	67	55.88	+11.12
4	Le Mont	39	33.83	+5.17
5	Chiasso	39	39.03	-0.03

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Wil	37	52.50	-15.50
2	Lausanne-Sport	44	53.39	-9.39
3	Biel-Bienne	33	41.63	-8.63
4	Schaffhausen	47	49.58	-2.58
5	Winterthur	53	55.03	-2.03

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Servette	6	Dec 7 – Mar 7	1 in 171
2	Wohlen	5	Nov 30 – Mar 11	1 in 97
3	Lugano	5	Sep 25 – Oct 25	1 in 76
4	Schaffhausen	3	Sep 28 – Oct 18	1 in 24
5	Le Mont	2	Apr 30 – May 4	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Wil	6	Sep 27 – Nov 8	1 in 1,190
2	Lausanne-Sport	5	Mar 1 – Mar 21	1 in 258
3	Wohlen	4	May 2 – May 22	1 in 110
4	Servette	3	May 22 – May 30	1 in 78
5	Winterthur	3	Mar 18 – Apr 2	1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Wohlen	11	Jul 20 – Oct 4	1 in 220
2	Chiasso	7	Apr 11 – May 17	1 in 120
3	Lugano	13	Aug 30 – Feb 7	1 in 88
4	Servette	14	Dec 7 – May 3	1 in 75
5	Biel-Bienne	5	Feb 7 – Mar 18	1 in 30

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Wil	11	Mar 23 – May 25	1 in 95
2	Biel-Bienne	11	Jul 20 – Oct 4	1 in 56
3	Winterthur	7	Mar 18 – Apr 29	1 in 27
4	Schaffhausen	7	Oct 27 – Feb 22	1 in 23
5	Lausanne-Sport	6	Feb 14 – Mar 21	1 in 21

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Lugano	1655	74	+19	12	9.3	+2.7
Servette	1576	67	-36	3	7.8	-4.8
Wohlen	1544	64	-5	6	6.8	-0.8
Winterthur	1581	53	+38	11	7.7	+3.3
Schaffhausen	1542	47	+15	11	7.5	+3.5
Lausanne-Sport	1506	44	-28	4	6.7	-2.7
Chiasso	1455	39	+9	8	5.1	+2.9
Le Mont	1447	39	+1	7	5.4	+1.6
Wil	1491	37	-1	4	6.2	-2.2
Biel-Bienne	1469	33	-11	4	5.9	-1.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BIE	CHI	LAU	LM	LUG	SCH	SER	WIL	WIN	WOH
Biel-Bienne	—	1-1-2 5.74	1-1-2 4.22	1-1-2 6.62	0-1-3 3.60	0-2-2 4.69	0-1-3 4.21	1-3-0 4.52	1-1-2 4.20	2-1-1 4.42
Chiasso	2-1-1 5.14	—	1-2-1 3.94	2-1-1 6.05	1-0-3 3.52	0-1-3 4.64	0-1-3 3.97	1-2-1 4.16	0-3-1 4.08	2-1-1 4.07
Lausanne-Sport	2-1-1 6.70	1-2-1 7.01	—	1-2-1 7.42	0-1-3 4.79	1-1-2 5.74	0-0-4 5.40	3-0-1 5.82	2-1-1 5.21	2-0-2 5.55
Le Mont	2-1-1 4.30	1-1-2 4.85	1-2-1 3.58	—	1-1-2 3.02	1-1-2 3.84	1-1-2 3.33	1-1-2 3.78	1-0-3 3.49	1-1-2 3.42
Lugano	3-1-0 7.40	3-0-1 7.50	3-1-0 6.13	2-1-1 8.07	—	3-1-0 6.46	2-1-1 5.92	2-2-0 6.10	3-1-0 6.10	1-0-3 6.60
Schaffhausen	2-2-0 6.21	3-1-0 6.26	2-1-1 5.16	2-1-1 7.12	0-1-3 4.44	—	1-1-2 4.68	1-0-3 5.46	1-0-3 5.08	1-1-2 5.31
Servette	3-1-0 6.72	3-1-0 7.00	4-0-0 5.50	2-1-1 7.70	1-1-2 4.97	2-1-1 6.22	—	1-1-2 6.20	1-1-2 5.49	3-0-1 5.92
Wil	0-3-1 6.39	1-2-1 6.76	1-0-3 5.07	2-1-1 7.19	0-2-2 4.80	3-0-1 5.42	2-1-1 4.71	—	0-1-3 5.09	0-0-4 5.51
Winterthur	2-1-1 6.71	1-3-0 6.86	1-1-2 5.67	3-0-1 7.52	0-1-3 4.79	3-0-1 5.81	2-1-1 5.39	3-1-0 5.80	—	0-0-4 5.60
Wohlen	1-1-2 6.51	1-1-2 6.87	2-0-2 5.34	2-1-1 7.60	3-0-1 4.34	2-1-1 5.60	1-0-3 4.95	4-0-0 5.39	4-0-0 5.29	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.54	+9.2
Allowed	0.76	-13.3
Differential	0.86	+7.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.89%	9.72%	4.72%	1.94%	2.22%	—	27.50%
1	9.72%	10.00%	8.61%	3.06%	2.22%	0.28%	33.89%
2	4.72%	8.61%	5.00%	1.67%	1.67%	1.11%	22.78%
3	1.94%	3.06%	1.67%	—	0.56%	—	7.22%
4	2.22%	2.22%	1.67%	0.56%	—	0.28%	6.94%
5+	—	0.28%	1.11%	—	0.28%	—	1.67%
Total	27.50%	33.89%	22.78%	7.22%	6.94%	1.67%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.37	1.37	+0.00
SD	1.24	1.24	1.71
CV	0.91	0.91	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	19.44%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	38.89%
1	5.56%	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	—	27.78%
2	2.78%	5.56%	11.11%	—	2.78%	2.78%	25.00%
3	—	—	—	—	2.78%	—	2.78%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	41.67%	27.78%	—	8.33%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.44	-0.36
SD	1.13	1.23	1.42
CV	1.04	0.85	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	38.89%
1	13.89%	16.67%	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	47.22%
2	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
3	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	33.33%	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.83	1.36	-0.53
SD	0.91	1.33	1.59
CV	1.09	0.98	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.89%	—	—	5.56%	—	19.44%
1	13.89%	16.67%	13.89%	2.78%	5.56%	—	52.78%
2	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	13.89%
3	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	2.78%	—	2.78%
Total	19.44%	38.89%	22.22%	2.78%	16.67%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.58	-0.28
SD	1.14	1.32	1.67
CV	0.87	0.83	—
Max	5	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	13.89%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	36.11%
1	5.56%	13.89%	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	—	33.33%
2	2.78%	8.33%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	19.44%
3	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	36.11%	22.22%	13.89%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.56	-0.47
SD	1.08	1.21	1.73
CV	1.00	0.78	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
2	11.11%	19.44%	—	5.56%	—	—	36.11%
3	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	38.89%	41.67%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.78	0.86	+0.92
SD	1.38	0.87	1.42
CV	0.77	1.01	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
1	2.78%	5.56%	13.89%	—	2.78%	—	25.00%
2	2.78%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	5.56%	25.00%
3	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	33.33%	22.22%	11.11%	2.78%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.53	1.50	+0.03
SD	1.32	1.36	1.87
CV	0.86	0.91	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	16.67%
1	22.22%	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	—	41.67%
2	5.56%	13.89%	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	27.78%
3	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	38.89%	19.44%	—	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	1.11	+0.31
SD	1.00	1.14	1.45
CV	0.70	1.03	—
Max	4	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	—	33.33%
1	5.56%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	30.56%
2	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	19.44%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	8.33%
4	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	27.78%	19.44%	25.00%	8.33%	16.67%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.75	-0.44
SD	1.33	1.52	1.95
CV	1.02	0.87	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
1	2.78%	5.56%	13.89%	—	2.78%	—	25.00%
2	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	19.44%
3	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
5+	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	25.00%	30.56%	30.56%	11.11%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.81	1.36	+0.44
SD	1.55	1.07	1.84
CV	0.86	0.79	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	22.22%
1	13.89%	—	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	27.78%
2	11.11%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
4	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	2.78%	13.89%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.11%	25.00%	27.78%	8.33%	—	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.58	1.19	+0.39
SD	1.27	1.19	1.63
CV	0.80	1.00	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Lugano	1655	74	59.22	+14.78	97.0%	36	45	55	59	64	72	81
Winterthur	1581	53	55.03	-2.03	49.0%	36	43	49	54	60	67	73
Servette	1576	67	55.88	+11.12	91.0%	39	42	52	56	60	69	73
Wohlen	1544	64	51.62	+12.38	96.0%	29	39	46	51	58	64	74
Schaffhausen	1542	47	49.58	-2.58	40.0%	35	39	45	49	54	62	70
Lausanne-Sport	1506	44	53.39	-9.39	8.0%	37	42	48	52	58	65	73
Wil	1491	37	52.50	-15.50	1.0%	35	40	48	52	58	62	78
Biel-Bienne	1469	33	41.63	-8.63	16.0%	15	30	36	41	47	55	64
Chiasso	1455	39	39.03	-0.03	58.0%	21	28	34	38	44	51	59
Le Mont	1447	39	33.83	+5.17	75.0%	17	20	28	33	39	45	53

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+2.78%

No Edge

39.44%23.89%36.67%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 9.65 Elo pts.

238 Elo

0.004 goals per Elo point

0600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.17 goals

Neutral

-2+0.04+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

5.4

Wide Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

31%

Lugano, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.19/gm

Comfortable

00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.06 * Some Luck: 6.06 to 9.09 * Lucky: 9.09 to 12.11 * Wild Swing: 12.11 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.36 * Close: 1.36 to 2.04 * Off: 2.04 to 2.72 * Way Off: 2.72 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

9.66 points

Lucky

07.5719

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.80

01.704

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

97.00%

Lugano

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

1.00%

Wil

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.15

Even

00.130.20.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 65.74

1.78

Moderate Separation

0.751.51.82.153

Interquartile Edge

63%

Even

50%63.5%74.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

77%

Even

50%78%100%

Close Games

Expected

66%

Very Frequent

0%62%100%

Blowouts

Expected

16%

Occasional

0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.65

Hard to Predict

00.632

Matchup Imbalance

0.26

Very Even

00.340.420.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.64

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

0.09

Weak Carryover

00.380.570.71

Upset Rate

Expected

36%

Very Upset-Prone

0%27%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

28%

Very Shaky

0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.26

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.69

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.106

Well Within Noise

00.1240.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Lugano	31.00%	19.00%	14.00%	17.00%	9.00%	2.00%	5.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—
Servette	17.00%	21.00%	16.00%	14.00%	12.00%	4.00%	7.00%	7.00%	2.00%	—
Wohlen	12.00%	10.00%	12.00%	14.00%	10.00%	18.00%	11.00%	6.00%	5.00%	2.00%
Winterthur	16.00%	20.00%	9.00%	9.00%	15.00%	12.00%	11.00%	5.00%	3.00%	—
Schaffhausen	5.00%	5.00%	9.00%	11.00%	17.00%	18.00%	20.00%	12.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Lausanne-Sport	10.00%	10.00%	19.00%	13.00%	15.00%	12.00%	13.00%	6.00%	2.00%	—
Le Mont	—	—	—	1.00%	—	3.00%	4.00%	13.00%	25.00%	54.00%
Chiasso	—	—	4.00%	—	4.00%	7.00%	11.00%	20.00%	29.00%	25.00%
Wil	8.00%	14.00%	12.00%	17.00%	14.00%	15.00%	6.00%	9.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Biel-Bienne	1.00%	1.00%	5.00%	4.00%	4.00%	9.00%	12.00%	21.00%	26.00%	17.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Direct promotion	Same level	Direct relegation
Lugano	31.00%	69.00%	—
Servette	17.00%	83.00%	—
Winterthur	16.00%	84.00%	—
Lausanne-Sport	10.00%	90.00%	—
Wohlen	12.00%	86.00%	2.00%
Wil	8.00%	91.00%	1.00%
Schaffhausen	5.00%	94.00%	1.00%
Biel-Bienne	1.00%	82.00%	17.00%
Chiasso	—	75.00%	25.00%
Le Mont	—	46.00%	54.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2014-07-19	Le Mont	D 1-1	60.6	1496	1439	49.23%	26.65%	24.12%	+0.28	-0.8	1
2014-07-19	@ Chiasso	D 1-1	60.6	1439	1496	24.12%	26.65%	49.23%	-0.28	+0.8	1
2014-07-19	Lugano	D 1-1	67.3	1574	1561	43.09%	27.82%	29.09%	+0.09	-0.4	1
2014-07-19	@ Lausanne-Sport	D 1-1	67.3	1561	1574	29.09%	27.82%	43.09%	-0.09	+0.4	1
2014-07-20	Biel-Bienne	W 2-1	55.7	1540	1506	46.06%	27.34%	26.60%	+0.18	+4.4	3
2014-07-20	@ Servette	L 1-2	55.7	1506	1540	26.60%	27.34%	46.06%	-0.18	-4.4	0
2014-07-20	Wohlen	L 0-1	56.4	1542	1492	48.20%	26.89%	24.91%	+0.25	-7.3	0
2014-07-20	@ Schaffhausen	W 1-0	56.4	1492	1542	24.91%	26.89%	48.20%	-0.25	+7.3	3
2014-07-21	Wil	W 4-0	49.3	1537	1580	35.29%	28.29%	36.42%	-0.14	+21.1	3
2014-07-21	@ Winterthur	L 0-4	49.3	1580	1537	36.42%	28.29%	35.29%	+0.14	-21.1	0
2014-07-26	Lausanne-Sport	L 0-1	57.4	1559	1573	39.29%	28.19%	32.53%	-0.02	-6.2	0
2014-07-26	@ Wil	W 1-0	57.4	1573	1559	32.53%	28.19%	39.29%	+0.02	+6.2	4
2014-07-26	Winterthur	W 2-1	59.5	1562	1558	41.90%	27.96%	30.14%	+0.06	+4.8	4
2014-07-26	@ Lugano	L 1-2	59.5	1558	1562	30.14%	27.96%	41.90%	-0.06	-4.8	3
2014-07-27	Chiasso	L 0-1	53.6	1502	1495	42.25%	27.92%	29.82%	+0.07	-6.6	0
2014-07-27	@ Biel-Bienne	W 1-0	53.6	1495	1502	29.82%	27.92%	42.25%	-0.07	+6.6	4
2014-07-27	Schaffhausen	L 1-4	46.7	1439	1535	28.45%	27.71%	43.84%	-0.36	-11.3	1
2014-07-27	@ Le Mont	W 4-1	46.7	1535	1439	43.84%	27.71%	28.45%	+0.36	+11.3	3
2014-07-28	Servette	W 4-2	58.7	1499	1544	34.96%	28.29%	36.76%	-0.15	+8.7	6
2014-07-28	@ Wohlen	L 2-4	58.7	1544	1499	36.76%	28.29%	34.96%	+0.15	-8.7	3
2014-08-02	Chiasso	W 1-0	50.1	1553	1502	48.39%	26.85%	24.76%	+0.26	+4.3	6
2014-08-02	@ Winterthur	L 0-1	50.1	1502	1553	24.76%	26.85%	48.39%	-0.26	-4.4	4
2014-08-02	Wohlen	L 1-2	63.3	1567	1508	49.37%	26.61%	24.02%	+0.29	-7.0	4
2014-08-02	@ Lugano	W 2-1	63.3	1508	1567	24.02%	26.61%	49.37%	-0.29	+7.0	9
2014-08-03	Biel-Bienne	D 0-0	60.1	1546	1495	48.33%	26.86%	24.81%	+0.25	-0.9	4
2014-08-03	@ Schaffhausen	D 0-0	60.1	1495	1546	24.81%	26.86%	48.33%	-0.25	+0.9	1
2014-08-03	Wil	L 1-2	61.2	1536	1552	39.02%	28.20%	32.77%	-0.03	-5.9	3
2014-08-03	@ Servette	W 2-1	61.2	1552	1536	32.77%	28.20%	39.02%	+0.03	+5.9	3
2014-08-04	Le Mont	D 1-1	64.5	1580	1428	60.86%	22.55%	16.60%	+0.68	-1.5	5
2014-08-04	@ Lausanne-Sport	D 1-1	64.5	1428	1580	16.60%	22.55%	60.86%	-0.68	+1.5	2
2014-08-09	Biel-Bienne	W 4-3	62.4	1558	1496	49.76%	26.51%	23.73%	+0.30	+3.7	9
2014-08-09	@ Winterthur	L 3-4	62.4	1496	1558	23.73%	26.51%	49.76%	-0.30	-3.7	1
2014-08-09	Servette	L 0-1	53.2	1498	1530	36.80%	28.29%	34.92%	-0.09	-5.9	4
2014-08-09	@ Chiasso	W 1-0	53.2	1530	1498	34.92%	28.29%	36.80%	+0.09	+6.0	6
2014-08-10	Lugano	D 0-0	58.2	1430	1560	24.63%	26.81%	48.56%	-0.51	+0.9	3
2014-08-10	@ Le Mont	D 0-0	58.2	1560	1430	48.56%	26.81%	24.63%	+0.51	-0.9	5
2014-08-10	Wil	W 2-1	59.9	1515	1558	35.22%	28.29%	36.49%	-0.14	+5.6	12
2014-08-10	@ Wohlen	L 1-2	59.9	1558	1515	36.49%	28.29%	35.22%	+0.14	-5.6	3
2014-08-11	Lausanne-Sport	D 2-2	72.2	1545	1578	36.68%	28.29%	35.03%	-0.10	-0.0	5
2014-08-11	@ Schaffhausen	D 2-2	72.2	1578	1545	35.03%	28.29%	36.68%	+0.10	+0.0	6
2014-08-13	Le Mont	W 4-2	49.8	1553	1430	57.38%	24.01%	18.61%	+0.55	+4.8	6
2014-08-13	@ Wil	L 2-4	49.8	1430	1553	18.61%	24.01%	57.38%	-0.55	-4.8	3
2014-08-13	Winterthur	D 0-0	61.6	1536	1561	37.76%	28.26%	33.98%	-0.07	-0.1	7
2014-08-13	@ Servette	D 0-0	61.6	1561	1536	33.98%	28.26%	37.76%	+0.07	+0.1	10
2014-08-13	Wohlen	D 2-2	68.4	1492	1521	37.36%	28.27%	34.37%	-0.08	-0.1	2
2014-08-13	@ Biel-Bienne	D 2-2	68.4	1521	1492	34.37%	28.27%	37.36%	+0.08	+0.1	13
2014-08-14	Chiasso	W 2-0	45.1	1578	1492	52.95%	25.59%	21.46%	+0.40	+7.2	9
2014-08-14	@ Lausanne-Sport	L 0-2	45.1	1492	1578	21.46%	25.59%	52.95%	-0.40	-7.2	4
2014-08-14	Schaffhausen	W 5-2	54.3	1559	1545	43.30%	27.79%	28.91%	+0.10	+9.9	8
2014-08-14	@ Lugano	L 2-5	54.3	1545	1559	28.91%	27.79%	43.30%	-0.10	-9.9	5
2014-08-16	Biel-Bienne	W 1-0	50.0	1426	1492	32.01%	28.15%	39.83%	-0.24	+6.3	6
2014-08-16	@ Le Mont	L 0-1	50.0	1492	1426	39.83%	28.15%	32.01%	+0.24	-6.3	2
2014-08-16	Wohlen	L 0-2	53.6	1561	1521	46.98%	27.16%	25.86%	+0.21	-13.5	10
2014-08-16	@ Winterthur	W 2-0	53.6	1521	1561	25.86%	27.16%	46.98%	-0.21	+13.5	16
2014-08-17	Lugano	W 1-0	55.7	1484	1569	29.77%	27.92%	42.32%	-0.31	+6.6	7
2014-08-17	@ Chiasso	L 0-1	55.7	1569	1484	42.32%	27.92%	29.77%	+0.31	-6.6	8
2014-08-17	Schaffhausen	W 5-2	53.6	1557	1535	44.47%	27.62%	27.91%	+0.13	+9.6	9
2014-08-17	@ Wil	L 2-5	53.6	1535	1557	27.91%	27.62%	44.47%	-0.13	-9.6	5
2014-08-18	Lausanne-Sport	W 2-1	61.8	1536	1585	34.31%	28.27%	37.42%	-0.17	+5.7	10
2014-08-18	@ Servette	L 1-2	61.8	1585	1536	37.42%	28.27%	34.31%	+0.17	-5.7	9
2014-08-30	Lausanne-Sport	L 0-1	51.9	1486	1580	28.63%	27.74%	43.63%	-0.35	-4.9	2
2014-08-30	@ Biel-Bienne	W 1-0	51.9	1580	1486	43.63%	27.74%	28.63%	+0.35	+4.9	12
2014-08-30	Wil	D 1-1	67.1	1562	1567	40.68%	28.08%	31.24%	+0.02	-0.3	9
2014-08-30	@ Lugano	D 1-1	67.1	1567	1562	31.24%	28.08%	40.68%	-0.02	+0.3	10
2014-08-31	Chiasso	D 0-0	59.4	1534	1491	47.29%	27.10%	25.62%	+0.22	-0.8	17
2014-08-31	@ Wohlen	D 0-0	59.4	1491	1534	25.62%	27.10%	47.29%	-0.22	+0.8	8
2014-08-31	Servette	L 0-1	47.9	1432	1541	26.82%	27.39%	45.78%	-0.42	-4.7	6
2014-08-31	@ Le Mont	W 1-0	47.9	1541	1432	45.78%	27.39%	26.82%	+0.42	+4.7	13
2014-09-01	Winterthur	L 1-4	53.5	1525	1548	38.19%	28.24%	33.56%	-0.05	-14.1	5
2014-09-01	@ Schaffhausen	W 4-1	53.5	1548	1525	33.56%	28.24%	38.19%	+0.05	+14.1	13
2014-09-13	Biel-Bienne	D 0-0	60.7	1567	1481	52.94%	25.59%	21.46%	+0.40	-1.2	11
2014-09-13	@ Wil	D 0-0	60.7	1481	1567	21.46%	25.59%	52.94%	-0.40	+1.2	3
2014-09-13	Schaffhausen	L 1-3	54.0	1492	1511	38.61%	28.23%	33.16%	-0.04	-10.1	8
2014-09-13	@ Chiasso	W 3-1	54.0	1511	1492	33.16%	28.23%	38.61%	+0.04	+10.1	8
2014-09-14	Le Mont	W 2-0	40.3	1562	1427	58.90%	23.39%	17.71%	+0.61	+5.9	16
2014-09-14	@ Winterthur	L 0-2	40.3	1427	1562	17.71%	23.39%	58.90%	-0.61	-5.9	6
2014-09-14	Wohlen	L 0-1	59.3	1584	1533	48.38%	26.85%	24.77%	+0.26	-7.3	12
2014-09-14	@ Lausanne-Sport	W 1-0	59.3	1533	1584	24.77%	26.85%	48.38%	-0.26	+7.3	20
2014-09-15	Lugano	D 1-1	66.4	1546	1562	39.13%	28.20%	32.67%	-0.03	-0.2	14
2014-09-15	@ Servette	D 1-1	66.4	1562	1546	32.67%	28.20%	39.13%	+0.03	+0.2	10
2014-09-24	Le Mont	D 0-0	58.0	1541	1421	57.04%	24.14%	18.82%	+0.54	-1.4	21
2014-09-24	@ Wohlen	D 0-0	58.0	1421	1541	18.82%	24.14%	57.04%	-0.54	+1.4	7
2014-09-24	Wil	L 0-2	47.5	1482	1566	29.75%	27.91%	42.34%	-0.31	-9.6	8
2014-09-24	@ Chiasso	W 2-0	47.5	1566	1482	42.34%	27.91%	29.75%	+0.31	+9.6	14
2014-09-24	Winterthur	W 2-1	60.0	1577	1568	42.67%	27.87%	29.46%	+0.08	+4.8	15
2014-09-24	@ Lausanne-Sport	L 1-2	60.0	1568	1577	29.46%	27.87%	42.67%	-0.08	-4.7	16
2014-09-25	Lugano	L 0-1	51.8	1482	1562	30.31%	27.98%	41.71%	-0.30	-5.1	3
2014-09-25	@ Biel-Bienne	W 1-0	51.8	1562	1482	41.71%	27.98%	30.31%	+0.30	+5.2	13
2014-09-25	Servette	L 0-1	54.9	1521	1546	37.92%	28.26%	33.83%	-0.06	-6.1	8
2014-09-25	@ Schaffhausen	W 1-0	54.9	1546	1521	33.83%	28.26%	37.92%	+0.06	+6.1	17
2014-09-27	Chiasso	L 0-1	47.7	1423	1472	34.33%	28.27%	37.39%	-0.17	-5.7	7
2014-09-27	@ Le Mont	W 1-0	47.7	1472	1423	37.39%	28.27%	34.33%	+0.17	+5.6	11
2014-09-27	Wohlen	L 2-4	63.8	1576	1539	46.41%	27.27%	26.31%	+0.19	-10.3	14
2014-09-27	@ Wil	W 4-2	63.8	1539	1576	26.31%	27.27%	46.41%	-0.19	+10.3	24
2014-09-28	Lausanne-Sport	W 2-1	61.1	1567	1582	39.29%	28.19%	32.53%	-0.02	+5.1	16
2014-09-28	@ Lugano	L 1-2	61.1	1582	1567	32.53%	28.19%	39.29%	+0.02	-5.1	15
2014-09-28	Schaffhausen	L 1-2	56.8	1477	1515	35.91%	28.29%	35.79%	-0.12	-5.5	3
2014-09-28	@ Biel-Bienne	W 2-1	56.8	1515	1477	35.79%	28.29%	35.91%	+0.12	+5.5	11
2014-09-29	Servette	W 4-2	58.8	1563	1552	42.96%	27.84%	29.21%	+0.09	+7.3	19
2014-09-29	@ Winterthur	L 2-4	58.8	1552	1563	29.21%	27.84%	42.96%	-0.09	-7.3	17
2014-10-04	Biel-Bienne	W 4-0	40.9	1550	1471	51.88%	25.92%	22.20%	+0.37	+14.1	27
2014-10-04	@ Wohlen	L 0-4	40.9	1471	1550	22.20%	25.92%	51.88%	-0.37	-14.1	3
2014-10-04	Schaffhausen	L 1-2	64.0	1577	1521	49.01%	26.70%	24.29%	+0.28	-7.0	15
2014-10-04	@ Lausanne-Sport	W 2-1	64.0	1521	1577	24.29%	26.70%	49.01%	-0.28	+7.0	14
2014-10-05	Le Mont	W 2-0	39.6	1545	1417	58.02%	23.75%	18.23%	+0.58	+6.1	20
2014-10-05	@ Servette	L 0-2	39.6	1417	1545	18.23%	23.75%	58.02%	-0.58	-6.1	7
2014-10-05	Winterthur	D 1-1	64.5	1478	1570	28.75%	27.77%	43.48%	-0.35	+0.5	12
2014-10-05	@ Chiasso	D 1-1	64.5	1570	1478	43.48%	27.77%	28.75%	+0.35	-0.5	20
2014-10-06	Lugano	L 1-2	63.1	1565	1572	40.40%	28.11%	31.49%	+0.01	-6.0	14
2014-10-06	@ Wil	W 2-1	63.1	1572	1565	31.49%	28.11%	40.40%	-0.01	+6.0	19
2014-10-18	Chiasso	W 4-0	41.5	1528	1478	48.15%	26.91%	24.95%	+0.25	+15.7	17
2014-10-18	@ Schaffhausen	L 0-4	41.5	1478	1528	24.95%	26.91%	48.15%	-0.25	-15.7	12
2014-10-18	Winterthur	W 3-2	65.4	1411	1570	21.88%	25.78%	52.33%	-0.63	+7.0	10
2014-10-18	@ Le Mont	L 2-3	65.4	1570	1411	52.33%	25.78%	21.88%	+0.63	-7.0	20
2014-10-19	Servette	W 2-0	49.3	1578	1551	45.21%	27.50%	27.30%	+0.16	+8.9	22
2014-10-19	@ Lugano	L 0-2	49.3	1551	1578	27.30%	27.50%	45.21%	-0.16	-8.9	20
2014-10-19	Wil	W 4-1	53.2	1457	1559	27.66%	27.57%	44.77%	-0.39	+15.9	6
2014-10-19	@ Biel-Bienne	L 1-4	53.2	1559	1457	44.77%	27.57%	27.66%	+0.39	-15.9	14
2014-10-20	Lausanne-Sport	L 1-3	59.0	1564	1570	40.50%	28.10%	31.40%	+0.01	-10.4	27
2014-10-20	@ Wohlen	W 3-1	59.0	1570	1564	31.40%	28.10%	40.50%	-0.01	+10.4	18
2014-10-25	Biel-Bienne	W 2-1	53.1	1587	1473	56.38%	24.39%	19.22%	+0.52	+3.2	25
2014-10-25	@ Lugano	L 1-2	53.1	1473	1587	19.22%	24.39%	56.38%	-0.52	-3.2	6
2014-10-25	Wohlen	W 1-0	54.1	1542	1553	39.75%	28.16%	32.09%	-0.01	+5.4	23
2014-10-25	@ Servette	L 0-1	54.1	1553	1542	32.09%	28.16%	39.75%	+0.01	-5.4	27
2014-10-26	Chiasso	L 2-3	66.3	1543	1463	52.24%	25.81%	21.95%	+0.38	-7.0	14
2014-10-26	@ Wil	W 3-2	66.3	1463	1543	21.95%	25.81%	52.24%	-0.38	+6.9	15
2014-10-26	Lausanne-Sport	D 1-1	63.2	1418	1580	21.60%	25.65%	52.75%	-0.64	+1.0	11
2014-10-26	@ Le Mont	D 1-1	63.2	1580	1418	52.75%	25.65%	21.60%	+0.64	-1.0	19
2014-10-27	Schaffhausen	W 3-2	63.2	1563	1543	44.10%	27.68%	28.23%	+0.12	+4.4	23
2014-10-27	@ Winterthur	L 2-3	63.2	1543	1563	28.23%	27.68%	44.10%	-0.12	-4.4	17
2014-11-01	Le Mont	L 1-2	60.6	1539	1419	57.14%	24.10%	18.76%	+0.55	-7.9	17
2014-11-01	@ Schaffhausen	W 2-1	60.6	1419	1539	18.76%	24.10%	57.14%	-0.55	+7.8	14
2014-11-01	Lugano	D 0-0	63.5	1567	1590	38.11%	28.25%	33.64%	-0.06	-0.2	24
2014-11-01	@ Winterthur	D 0-0	63.5	1590	1567	33.64%	28.25%	38.11%	+0.06	+0.1	26
2014-11-02	Servette	L 0-1	50.9	1470	1547	30.67%	28.03%	41.31%	-0.28	-5.2	6
2014-11-02	@ Biel-Bienne	W 1-0	50.9	1547	1470	41.31%	28.03%	30.67%	+0.28	+5.2	26
2014-11-02	Wil	W 1-0	52.5	1579	1537	47.24%	27.10%	25.65%	+0.22	+4.5	22
2014-11-02	@ Lausanne-Sport	L 0-1	52.5	1537	1579	25.65%	27.10%	47.24%	-0.22	-4.5	14
2014-11-03	Wohlen	L 0-1	50.8	1470	1548	30.52%	28.01%	41.48%	-0.29	-5.2	15
2014-11-03	@ Chiasso	W 1-0	50.8	1548	1470	41.48%	28.01%	30.52%	+0.29	+5.2	30
2014-11-08	Le Mont	W 1-0	44.8	1465	1427	46.61%	27.23%	26.15%	+0.20	+4.6	9
2014-11-08	@ Biel-Bienne	L 0-1	44.8	1427	1465	26.15%	27.23%	46.61%	-0.20	-4.6	14
2014-11-08	Winterthur	L 0-3	49.0	1532	1567	36.36%	28.29%	35.35%	-0.11	-16.1	14
2014-11-08	@ Wil	W 3-0	49.0	1567	1532	35.35%	28.29%	36.36%	+0.11	+16.1	27
2014-11-09	Chiasso	W 5-1	44.2	1591	1464	57.87%	23.82%	18.32%	+0.57	+9.7	29
2014-11-09	@ Lugano	L 1-5	44.2	1464	1591	18.32%	23.82%	57.87%	-0.57	-9.7	15
2014-11-09	Schaffhausen	D 2-2	71.1	1553	1531	44.40%	27.63%	27.97%	+0.13	-0.4	31
2014-11-09	@ Wohlen	D 2-2	71.1	1531	1553	27.97%	27.63%	44.40%	-0.13	+0.4	18
2014-11-10	Servette	L 1-3	60.4	1584	1552	45.72%	27.40%	26.87%	+0.17	-11.4	22
2014-11-10	@ Lausanne-Sport	W 3-1	60.4	1552	1584	26.87%	27.40%	45.72%	-0.17	+11.4	29
2014-11-22	Biel-Bienne	D 2-2	65.1	1455	1469	39.30%	28.19%	32.52%	-0.02	-0.2	16
2014-11-22	@ Chiasso	D 2-2	65.1	1469	1455	32.52%	28.19%	39.30%	+0.02	+0.1	10
2014-11-22	Lugano	L 0-2	52.4	1553	1600	34.59%	28.28%	37.14%	-0.16	-10.7	31
2014-11-22	@ Wohlen	W 2-0	52.4	1600	1553	37.14%	28.28%	34.59%	+0.16	+10.7	32
2014-11-23	Lausanne-Sport	L 0-1	59.1	1583	1572	42.92%	27.84%	29.24%	+0.09	-6.7	27
2014-11-23	@ Winterthur	W 1-0	59.1	1572	1583	29.24%	27.84%	42.92%	-0.09	+6.7	25
2014-11-24	Schaffhausen	D 1-1	66.2	1564	1532	45.81%	27.39%	26.81%	+0.18	-0.6	30
2014-11-24	@ Servette	D 1-1	66.2	1532	1564	26.81%	27.39%	45.81%	-0.18	+0.6	19
2014-11-29	Lugano	D 0-0	63.1	1532	1611	30.45%	28.00%	41.55%	-0.29	+0.4	20
2014-11-29	@ Schaffhausen	D 0-0	63.1	1611	1532	41.55%	28.00%	30.45%	+0.29	-0.4	33
2014-11-29	Servette	W 1-0	55.1	1516	1563	34.65%	28.28%	37.07%	-0.16	+6.0	17
2014-11-29	@ Wil	L 0-1	55.1	1563	1516	37.07%	28.28%	34.65%	+0.16	-6.0	30
2014-11-30	Winterthur	D 2-2	69.9	1470	1577	27.07%	27.45%	45.48%	-0.41	+0.4	11
2014-11-30	@ Biel-Bienne	D 2-2	69.9	1577	1470	45.48%	27.45%	27.07%	+0.41	-0.4	28
2014-11-30	Wohlen	L 0-2	42.9	1422	1542	25.71%	27.12%	47.17%	-0.46	-8.5	14
2014-11-30	@ Le Mont	W 2-0	42.9	1542	1422	47.17%	27.12%	25.71%	+0.46	+8.5	34
2014-12-01	Lausanne-Sport	W 4-1	54.5	1455	1579	25.21%	26.98%	47.81%	-0.48	+16.7	19
2014-12-01	@ Chiasso	L 1-4	54.5	1579	1455	47.81%	26.98%	25.21%	+0.48	-16.7	25
2014-12-03	Wil	D 2-2	65.8	1414	1522	26.97%	27.42%	45.61%	-0.41	+0.4	15
2014-12-03	@ Le Mont	D 2-2	65.8	1522	1414	45.61%	27.42%	26.97%	+0.41	-0.4	18
2014-12-06	Biel-Bienne	W 4-2	52.7	1562	1470	53.69%	25.35%	20.96%	+0.43	+5.5	28
2014-12-06	@ Lausanne-Sport	L 2-4	52.7	1470	1562	20.96%	25.35%	53.69%	-0.43	-5.5	11
2014-12-06	Le Mont	W 3-1	44.9	1611	1414	65.92%	20.12%	13.96%	+0.87	+3.9	36
2014-12-06	@ Lugano	L 1-3	44.9	1414	1611	13.96%	20.12%	65.92%	-0.87	-3.9	15
2014-12-07	Chiasso	W 3-1	49.0	1557	1471	52.88%	25.61%	21.51%	+0.40	+6.2	33
2014-12-07	@ Servette	L 1-3	49.0	1471	1557	21.51%	25.61%	52.88%	-0.40	-6.2	19
2014-12-07	Winterthur	W 1-0	55.7	1550	1576	37.70%	28.26%	34.04%	-0.07	+5.6	37
2014-12-07	@ Wohlen	L 0-1	55.7	1576	1550	34.04%	28.26%	37.70%	+0.07	-5.6	28
2014-12-08	Wil	L 0-3	49.2	1533	1521	42.94%	27.84%	29.22%	+0.09	-18.3	20
2014-12-08	@ Schaffhausen	W 3-0	49.2	1521	1533	29.22%	27.84%	42.94%	-0.09	+18.3	21
2015-02-07	Biel-Bienne	D 1-1	67.1	1615	1465	60.69%	22.62%	16.69%	+0.67	-1.5	37
2015-02-07	@ Lugano	D 1-1	67.1	1465	1615	16.69%	22.62%	60.69%	-0.67	+1.5	12
2015-02-09	Wohlen	L 0-2	52.0	1540	1556	39.07%	28.20%	32.73%	-0.03	-11.7	21
2015-02-09	@ Wil	W 2-0	52.0	1556	1540	32.73%	28.20%	39.07%	+0.03	+11.7	40
2015-02-14	Lausanne-Sport	D 1-1	64.0	1465	1568	27.58%	27.55%	44.86%	-0.39	+0.5	20
2015-02-14	@ Chiasso	D 1-1	64.0	1568	1465	44.86%	27.55%	27.58%	+0.39	-0.5	29
2015-02-15	Le Mont	W 3-1	44.5	1528	1410	56.84%	24.22%	18.94%	+0.54	+5.5	24
2015-02-15	@ Wil	L 1-3	44.5	1410	1528	18.94%	24.22%	56.84%	-0.54	-5.5	15
2015-02-16	Lugano	W 2-0	53.9	1563	1613	34.31%	28.27%	37.42%	-0.17	+11.3	36
2015-02-16	@ Servette	L 0-2	53.9	1613	1563	37.42%	28.27%	34.31%	+0.17	-11.3	37
2015-02-21	Winterthur	D 2-2	71.6	1533	1571	36.08%	28.29%	35.63%	-0.12	-0.0	25
2015-02-21	@ Wil	D 2-2	71.6	1571	1533	35.63%	28.29%	36.08%	+0.12	+0.0	29
2015-02-22	Servette	L 1-2	59.4	1514	1575	32.85%	28.21%	38.95%	-0.21	-5.2	20
2015-02-22	@ Schaffhausen	W 2-1	59.4	1575	1514	38.95%	28.21%	32.85%	+0.21	+5.2	39
2015-02-25	Chiasso	W 3-1	48.6	1509	1466	47.37%	27.08%	25.55%	+0.22	+7.3	23
2015-02-25	@ Schaffhausen	L 1-3	48.6	1466	1509	25.55%	27.08%	47.37%	-0.22	-7.3	20
2015-02-25	Le Mont	W 2-1	48.1	1571	1405	62.52%	21.79%	15.70%	+0.74	+2.6	32
2015-02-25	@ Winterthur	L 1-2	48.1	1405	1571	15.70%	21.79%	62.52%	-0.74	-2.6	15
2015-02-28	Chiasso	W 1-0	46.8	1580	1458	57.32%	24.03%	18.65%	+0.55	+3.3	42
2015-02-28	@ Servette	L 0-1	46.8	1458	1580	18.65%	24.03%	57.32%	-0.55	-3.3	20
2015-02-28	Wil	D 0-0	63.4	1602	1533	50.62%	26.28%	23.10%	+0.33	-1.0	38
2015-02-28	@ Lugano	D 0-0	63.4	1533	1602	23.10%	26.28%	50.62%	-0.33	+1.0	26
2015-03-01	Lausanne-Sport	W 1-0	55.5	1466	1567	27.76%	27.59%	44.65%	-0.38	+6.9	15
2015-03-01	@ Biel-Bienne	L 0-1	55.5	1567	1466	44.65%	27.59%	27.76%	+0.38	-6.9	29
2015-03-02	Schaffhausen	W 2-1	56.3	1573	1517	49.11%	26.68%	24.21%	+0.28	+4.0	35
2015-03-02	@ Winterthur	L 1-2	56.3	1517	1573	24.21%	26.68%	49.11%	-0.28	-4.0	23
2015-03-04	Servette	L 0-1	57.5	1560	1583	38.12%	28.25%	33.63%	-0.06	-6.1	29
2015-03-04	@ Lausanne-Sport	W 1-0	57.5	1583	1560	33.63%	28.25%	38.12%	+0.06	+6.1	45
2015-03-07	Chiasso	D 0-0	58.5	1534	1455	52.07%	25.86%	22.06%	+0.38	-1.1	27
2015-03-07	@ Wil	D 0-0	58.5	1455	1534	22.06%	25.86%	52.07%	-0.38	+1.1	21
2015-03-07	Winterthur	W 2-1	60.4	1589	1577	43.05%	27.82%	29.13%	+0.09	+4.7	48
2015-03-07	@ Servette	L 1-2	60.4	1577	1589	29.13%	27.82%	43.05%	-0.09	-4.7	35
2015-03-08	Le Mont	W 3-0	36.3	1601	1402	66.14%	20.01%	13.85%	+0.88	+6.5	41
2015-03-08	@ Lugano	L 0-3	36.3	1402	1601	13.85%	20.01%	66.14%	-0.88	-6.5	15
2015-03-08	Wohlen	L 0-1	57.2	1554	1568	39.46%	28.18%	32.37%	-0.02	-6.2	29
2015-03-08	@ Lausanne-Sport	W 1-0	57.2	1568	1554	32.37%	28.18%	39.46%	+0.02	+6.3	43
2015-03-09	Schaffhausen	D 0-0	57.6	1473	1512	35.73%	28.29%	35.97%	-0.13	+0.0	16
2015-03-09	@ Biel-Bienne	D 0-0	57.6	1512	1473	35.97%	28.29%	35.73%	+0.13	-0.0	24
2015-03-11	Wohlen	L 0-4	38.2	1396	1574	20.26%	24.99%	54.76%	-0.71	-12.9	15
2015-03-11	@ Le Mont	W 4-0	38.2	1574	1396	54.76%	24.99%	20.26%	+0.71	+12.9	46
2015-03-14	Biel-Bienne	L 1-2	64.3	1587	1473	56.39%	24.39%	19.22%	+0.52	-7.8	46
2015-03-14	@ Wohlen	W 2-1	64.3	1473	1587	19.22%	24.39%	56.39%	-0.52	+7.8	19
2015-03-14	Lausanne-Sport	W 4-1	51.6	1573	1548	44.80%	27.56%	27.64%	+0.14	+11.0	38
2015-03-14	@ Winterthur	L 1-4	51.6	1548	1573	27.64%	27.56%	44.80%	-0.14	-11.1	29
2015-03-15	Servette	D 2-2	68.5	1383	1594	17.78%	23.45%	58.77%	-0.85	+1.0	16
2015-03-15	@ Le Mont	D 2-2	68.5	1594	1383	58.77%	23.45%	17.78%	+0.85	-1.0	49
2015-03-15	Wil	L 0-1	54.3	1512	1533	38.42%	28.23%	33.35%	-0.05	-6.1	24
2015-03-15	@ Schaffhausen	W 1-0	54.3	1533	1512	33.35%	28.23%	38.42%	+0.05	+6.1	30
2015-03-16	Lugano	L 1-2	54.8	1456	1607	22.60%	26.09%	51.32%	-0.60	-3.8	21
2015-03-16	@ Chiasso	W 2-1	54.8	1607	1456	51.32%	26.09%	22.60%	+0.60	+3.8	44
2015-03-18	Schaffhausen	L 0-2	54.7	1579	1506	51.20%	26.12%	22.68%	+0.35	-14.4	46
2015-03-18	@ Wohlen	W 2-0	54.7	1506	1579	22.68%	26.12%	51.20%	-0.35	+14.4	27
2015-03-18	Winterthur	W 4-1	54.9	1481	1584	27.55%	27.55%	44.90%	-0.39	+15.9	22
2015-03-18	@ Biel-Bienne	L 1-4	54.9	1584	1481	44.90%	27.55%	27.55%	+0.39	-15.9	38
2015-03-21	Chiasso	L 0-1	57.5	1565	1452	56.20%	24.46%	19.34%	+0.51	-8.2	46
2015-03-21	@ Wohlen	W 1-0	57.5	1452	1565	19.34%	24.46%	56.20%	-0.51	+8.2	24
2015-03-21	Schaffhausen	L 0-4	49.3	1537	1521	43.62%	27.75%	28.64%	+0.11	-24.1	29
2015-03-21	@ Lausanne-Sport	W 4-0	49.3	1521	1537	28.64%	27.75%	43.62%	-0.11	+24.2	30
2015-03-22	Le Mont	L 0-2	48.4	1497	1384	56.25%	24.45%	19.31%	+0.52	-15.5	22
2015-03-22	@ Biel-Bienne	W 2-0	48.4	1384	1497	19.31%	24.45%	56.25%	-0.52	+15.5	19
2015-03-22	Winterthur	W 3-0	47.7	1611	1568	47.32%	27.09%	25.59%	+0.22	+12.3	47
2015-03-22	@ Lugano	L 0-3	47.7	1568	1611	25.59%	27.09%	47.32%	-0.22	-12.3	38
2015-03-23	Servette	D 0-0	62.7	1540	1593	33.78%	28.25%	37.96%	-0.18	+0.1	31
2015-03-23	@ Wil	D 0-0	62.7	1593	1540	37.96%	28.25%	33.78%	+0.18	-0.1	50
2015-03-28	Biel-Bienne	L 0-2	46.3	1460	1481	38.45%	28.23%	33.31%	-0.05	-11.6	24
2015-03-28	@ Chiasso	W 2-0	46.3	1481	1460	33.31%	28.23%	38.45%	+0.05	+11.6	25
2015-03-28	Le Mont	W 1-0	42.5	1513	1399	56.31%	24.42%	19.26%	+0.52	+3.4	32
2015-03-28	@ Lausanne-Sport	L 0-1	42.5	1399	1513	19.26%	24.42%	56.31%	-0.52	-3.4	19
2015-03-28	Lugano	W 2-1	64.1	1556	1623	31.99%	28.15%	39.86%	-0.24	+5.9	49
2015-03-28	@ Wohlen	L 1-2	64.1	1623	1556	39.86%	28.15%	31.99%	+0.24	-5.9	47
2015-04-02	Le Mont	L 0-3	43.4	1449	1396	48.62%	26.80%	24.59%	+0.26	-20.1	24
2015-04-02	@ Chiasso	W 3-0	43.4	1396	1449	24.59%	26.80%	48.62%	-0.26	+20.1	22
2015-04-02	Lugano	L 0-1	55.9	1545	1617	31.26%	28.09%	40.65%	-0.26	-5.3	30
2015-04-02	@ Schaffhausen	W 1-0	55.9	1617	1545	40.65%	28.09%	31.26%	+0.26	+5.3	50
2015-04-02	Wohlen	L 1-2	62.5	1555	1562	40.39%	28.11%	31.50%	+0.01	-6.0	38
2015-04-02	@ Winterthur	W 2-1	62.5	1562	1555	31.50%	28.11%	40.39%	-0.01	+6.0	52
2015-04-04	Biel-Bienne	D 1-1	66.6	1593	1493	54.68%	25.01%	20.31%	+0.46	-1.1	51
2015-04-04	@ Servette	D 1-1	66.6	1493	1593	20.31%	25.01%	54.68%	-0.46	+1.1	26
2015-04-04	Wil	W 3-1	54.4	1516	1540	38.04%	28.25%	33.71%	-0.06	+9.1	35
2015-04-04	@ Lausanne-Sport	L 1-3	54.4	1540	1516	33.71%	28.25%	38.04%	+0.06	-9.1	31
2015-04-11	Chiasso	D 0-0	58.6	1549	1429	57.19%	24.08%	18.72%	+0.55	-1.4	39
2015-04-11	@ Winterthur	D 0-0	58.6	1429	1549	18.72%	24.08%	57.19%	-0.55	+1.5	25
2015-04-11	Schaffhausen	L 0-3	40.0	1416	1540	25.29%	27.01%	47.70%	-0.48	-12.2	22
2015-04-11	@ Le Mont	W 3-0	40.0	1540	1416	47.70%	27.01%	25.29%	+0.48	+12.1	33
2015-04-12	Lausanne-Sport	W 2-1	56.6	1623	1525	54.33%	25.14%	20.54%	+0.45	+3.5	53
2015-04-12	@ Lugano	L 1-2	56.6	1525	1623	20.54%	25.14%	54.33%	-0.45	-3.5	35
2015-04-12	Wil	D 0-0	59.0	1494	1531	36.15%	28.29%	35.56%	-0.11	-0.0	27
2015-04-12	@ Biel-Bienne	D 0-0	59.0	1531	1494	35.56%	28.29%	36.15%	+0.11	+0.0	32
2015-04-13	Wohlen	W 3-1	55.8	1592	1568	44.60%	27.60%	27.80%	+0.14	+7.8	54
2015-04-13	@ Servette	L 1-3	55.8	1568	1592	27.80%	27.60%	44.60%	-0.14	-7.8	52
2015-04-18	Biel-Bienne	D 2-2	68.7	1522	1494	45.25%	27.49%	27.26%	+0.16	-0.4	36
2015-04-18	@ Lausanne-Sport	D 2-2	68.7	1494	1522	27.26%	27.49%	45.25%	-0.16	+0.4	28
2015-04-18	Lugano	L 2-5	55.7	1531	1626	28.42%	27.71%	43.87%	-0.36	-9.8	32
2015-04-18	@ Wil	W 5-2	55.7	1626	1531	43.87%	27.71%	28.42%	+0.36	+9.8	56
2015-04-19	Le Mont	L 0-1	56.4	1561	1404	61.47%	22.27%	16.26%	+0.70	-8.8	52
2015-04-19	@ Wohlen	W 1-0	56.4	1404	1561	16.26%	22.27%	61.47%	-0.70	+8.8	25
2015-04-19	Servette	D 1-1	64.5	1430	1600	21.00%	25.37%	53.63%	-0.67	+1.1	26
2015-04-19	@ Chiasso	D 1-1	64.5	1600	1430	53.63%	25.37%	21.00%	+0.67	-1.1	55
2015-04-20	Winterthur	W 3-2	63.7	1552	1548	41.91%	27.96%	30.13%	+0.06	+4.6	36
2015-04-20	@ Schaffhausen	L 2-3	63.7	1548	1552	30.13%	27.96%	41.91%	-0.06	-4.6	39
2015-04-25	Lugano	L 0-1	55.5	1543	1636	28.78%	27.77%	43.45%	-0.35	-4.9	39
2015-04-25	@ Winterthur	W 1-0	55.5	1636	1543	43.45%	27.77%	28.78%	+0.35	+5.0	59
2015-04-25	Wil	D 1-1	60.9	1431	1521	29.14%	27.83%	43.04%	-0.34	+0.4	27
2015-04-25	@ Chiasso	D 1-1	60.9	1521	1431	43.04%	27.83%	29.14%	+0.34	-0.4	33
2015-04-26	Lausanne-Sport	W 4-2	56.3	1598	1521	51.76%	25.96%	22.28%	+0.37	+5.8	58
2015-04-26	@ Servette	L 2-4	56.3	1521	1598	22.28%	25.96%	51.76%	-0.37	-5.8	36
2015-04-26	Wohlen	L 1-2	62.7	1556	1552	42.02%	27.95%	30.03%	+0.06	-6.2	36
2015-04-26	@ Schaffhausen	W 2-1	62.7	1552	1556	30.03%	27.95%	42.02%	-0.06	+6.2	55
2015-04-27	Biel-Bienne	D 1-1	59.3	1413	1494	30.10%	27.96%	41.94%	-0.30	+0.4	26
2015-04-27	@ Le Mont	D 1-1	59.3	1494	1413	41.94%	27.96%	30.10%	+0.30	-0.4	29
2015-04-29	Chiasso	D 1-1	61.3	1516	1432	52.62%	25.69%	21.68%	+0.39	-1.0	37
2015-04-29	@ Lausanne-Sport	D 1-1	61.3	1432	1516	21.68%	25.69%	52.62%	-0.39	+1.0	28
2015-04-29	Schaffhausen	W 2-1	57.9	1641	1550	53.48%	25.42%	21.10%	+0.42	+3.5	62
2015-04-29	@ Lugano	L 1-2	57.9	1550	1641	21.10%	25.42%	53.48%	-0.42	-3.5	36
2015-04-29	Winterthur	W 2-1	58.1	1558	1538	44.09%	27.68%	28.24%	+0.12	+4.6	58
2015-04-29	@ Wohlen	L 1-2	58.1	1538	1558	28.24%	27.68%	44.09%	-0.12	-4.6	39
2015-04-30	Servette	L 0-1	52.4	1494	1604	26.72%	27.37%	45.91%	-0.42	-4.6	29
2015-04-30	@ Biel-Bienne	W 1-0	52.4	1604	1494	45.91%	27.37%	26.72%	+0.42	+4.7	61
2015-04-30	Wil	W 4-0	45.2	1413	1520	27.06%	27.44%	45.50%	-0.41	+25.0	29
2015-04-30	@ Le Mont	L 0-4	45.2	1520	1413	45.50%	27.44%	27.06%	+0.41	-24.9	33
2015-05-02	Wohlen	W 2-0	50.8	1433	1563	24.67%	26.82%	48.51%	-0.51	+13.8	31
2015-05-02	@ Chiasso	L 0-2	50.8	1563	1433	48.51%	26.82%	24.67%	+0.51	-13.8	58
2015-05-03	Biel-Bienne	W 5-2	50.2	1534	1489	47.50%	27.05%	25.45%	+0.23	+8.9	42
2015-05-03	@ Winterthur	L 2-5	50.2	1489	1534	25.45%	27.05%	47.50%	-0.23	-8.9	29
2015-05-03	Wil	W 2-1	54.6	1609	1495	56.33%	24.42%	19.26%	+0.52	+3.2	64
2015-05-03	@ Servette	L 1-2	54.6	1495	1609	19.26%	24.42%	56.33%	-0.52	-3.2	33
2015-05-04	Lausanne-Sport	L 0-3	50.2	1547	1515	45.81%	27.39%	26.80%	+0.18	-19.2	36
2015-05-04	@ Schaffhausen	W 3-0	50.2	1515	1547	26.80%	27.39%	45.81%	-0.18	+19.2	40
2015-05-04	Lugano	W 3-2	70.2	1438	1644	18.13%	23.69%	58.18%	-0.83	+7.6	32
2015-05-04	@ Le Mont	L 2-3	70.2	1644	1438	58.18%	23.69%	18.13%	+0.83	-7.6	62
2015-05-09	Chiasso	L 1-2	57.2	1480	1447	46.03%	27.35%	26.63%	+0.18	-6.6	29
2015-05-09	@ Biel-Bienne	W 2-1	57.2	1447	1480	26.63%	27.35%	46.03%	-0.18	+6.6	34
2015-05-09	Lausanne-Sport	L 4-5	70.9	1549	1534	43.46%	27.77%	28.77%	+0.10	-5.8	58
2015-05-09	@ Wohlen	W 5-4	70.9	1534	1549	28.77%	27.77%	43.46%	-0.10	+5.8	43
2015-05-10	Schaffhausen	L 3-4	65.5	1492	1527	36.35%	28.29%	35.36%	-0.11	-5.2	33
2015-05-10	@ Wil	W 4-3	65.5	1527	1492	35.36%	28.29%	36.35%	+0.11	+5.1	39
2015-05-10	Winterthur	L 1-3	50.1	1446	1543	28.21%	27.67%	44.12%	-0.37	-7.9	32
2015-05-10	@ Le Mont	W 3-1	50.1	1543	1446	44.12%	27.67%	28.21%	+0.37	+7.9	45
2015-05-11	Servette	W 2-0	52.3	1637	1612	44.79%	27.57%	27.64%	+0.14	+9.0	65
2015-05-11	@ Lugano	L 0-2	52.3	1612	1637	27.64%	27.57%	44.79%	-0.14	-9.0	64
2015-05-16	Biel-Bienne	D 1-1	61.2	1487	1474	43.24%	27.80%	28.96%	+0.10	-0.4	34
2015-05-16	@ Wil	D 1-1	61.2	1474	1487	28.96%	27.80%	43.24%	-0.10	+0.4	30
2015-05-16	Lugano	L 0-1	55.0	1540	1646	27.18%	27.47%	45.35%	-0.41	-4.7	43
2015-05-16	@ Lausanne-Sport	W 1-0	55.0	1646	1540	45.35%	27.47%	27.18%	+0.41	+4.7	68
2015-05-17	Le Mont	D 1-1	62.3	1533	1438	54.04%	25.23%	20.73%	+0.44	-1.1	40
2015-05-17	@ Schaffhausen	D 1-1	62.3	1438	1533	20.73%	25.23%	54.04%	-0.44	+1.1	33
2015-05-17	Winterthur	D 0-0	58.5	1453	1551	28.18%	27.67%	44.15%	-0.37	+0.6	35
2015-05-17	@ Chiasso	D 0-0	58.5	1551	1453	44.15%	27.67%	28.18%	+0.37	-0.6	46
2015-05-18	Servette	L 1-3	57.1	1543	1603	32.87%	28.21%	38.92%	-0.21	-8.9	58
2015-05-18	@ Wohlen	W 3-1	57.1	1603	1543	38.92%	28.21%	32.87%	+0.21	+8.9	67
2015-05-22	Chiasso	W 4-1	44.8	1650	1454	65.94%	20.11%	13.95%	+0.87	+5.5	71
2015-05-22	@ Lugano	L 1-4	44.8	1454	1650	13.95%	20.11%	65.94%	-0.87	-5.5	35
2015-05-22	Lausanne-Sport	W 2-1	58.3	1439	1535	28.34%	27.69%	43.97%	-0.36	+6.4	36
2015-05-22	@ Le Mont	L 1-2	58.3	1535	1439	43.97%	27.69%	28.34%	+0.36	-6.4	43
2015-05-22	Schaffhausen	L 1-2	66.1	1612	1532	52.20%	25.82%	21.97%	+0.38	-7.3	67
2015-05-22	@ Servette	W 2-1	66.1	1532	1612	21.97%	25.82%	52.20%	-0.38	+7.3	43
2015-05-22	Wil	W 4-1	47.2	1550	1487	50.01%	26.45%	23.54%	+0.31	+9.6	49
2015-05-22	@ Winterthur	L 1-4	47.2	1487	1550	23.54%	26.45%	50.01%	-0.31	-9.6	34
2015-05-22	Wohlen	W 2-1	58.3	1474	1534	32.91%	28.21%	38.88%	-0.21	+5.8	33
2015-05-22	@ Biel-Bienne	L 1-2	58.3	1534	1474	38.88%	28.21%	32.91%	+0.21	-5.8	58
2015-05-25	Le Mont	L 1-2	64.8	1605	1445	61.80%	22.12%	16.08%	+0.71	-8.3	67
2015-05-25	@ Servette	W 2-1	64.8	1445	1605	16.08%	22.12%	61.80%	-0.71	+8.3	39
2015-05-25	Lugano	L 0-2	46.8	1480	1656	20.44%	25.08%	54.48%	-0.70	-6.9	33
2015-05-25	@ Biel-Bienne	W 2-0	46.8	1656	1480	54.48%	25.08%	20.44%	+0.70	+6.9	74
2015-05-25	Schaffhausen	D 0-0	57.8	1448	1539	29.01%	27.81%	43.19%	-0.34	+0.5	36
2015-05-25	@ Chiasso	D 0-0	57.8	1539	1448	43.19%	27.81%	29.01%	+0.34	-0.5	44
2015-05-25	Wil	W 2-0	44.1	1528	1477	48.38%	26.85%	24.77%	+0.26	+8.2	61
2015-05-25	@ Wohlen	L 0-2	44.1	1477	1528	24.77%	26.85%	48.38%	-0.26	-8.2	34
2015-05-25	Winterthur	D 1-1	65.7	1528	1560	36.92%	28.28%	34.80%	-0.09	-0.1	44
2015-05-25	@ Lausanne-Sport	D 1-1	65.7	1560	1528	34.80%	28.28%	36.92%	+0.09	+0.1	50
2015-05-30	Biel-Bienne	W 1-0	48.0	1538	1473	50.23%	26.39%	23.38%	+0.32	+4.1	47
2015-05-30	@ Schaffhausen	L 0-1	48.0	1473	1538	23.38%	26.39%	50.23%	-0.32	-4.1	33
2015-05-30	Chiasso	L 0-1	50.1	1453	1449	42.03%	27.95%	30.03%	+0.06	-6.6	39
2015-05-30	@ Le Mont	W 1-0	50.1	1449	1453	30.03%	27.95%	42.03%	-0.06	+6.6	39
2015-05-30	Lausanne-Sport	W 4-0	45.7	1469	1528	32.94%	28.21%	38.85%	-0.21	+22.1	37
2015-05-30	@ Wil	L 0-4	45.7	1528	1469	38.85%	28.21%	32.94%	+0.21	-22.1	44
2015-05-30	Servette	W 4-0	50.1	1560	1596	36.17%	28.29%	35.53%	-0.11	+20.7	53
2015-05-30	@ Winterthur	L 0-4	50.1	1596	1560	35.53%	28.29%	36.17%	+0.11	-20.8	67
2015-05-30	Wohlen	L 2-3	73.5	1663	1536	57.91%	23.80%	18.29%	+0.57	-7.5	74
2015-05-30	@ Lugano	W 3-2	73.5	1536	1663	18.29%	23.80%	57.91%	-0.57	+7.5	64

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2015-05-25	16.08%	Le Mont	1445	2	@ Servette	1605	1
2	2015-04-19	16.26%	Le Mont	1404	1	@ Wohlen	1561	0
3	2015-05-04	18.13%	@ Le Mont	1438	3	Lugano	1644	2
4	2015-05-30	18.29%	Wohlen	1536	3	@ Lugano	1663	2
5	2014-11-01	18.76%	Le Mont	1419	2	@ Schaffhausen	1539	1
6	2015-03-14	19.22%	Biel-Bienne	1473	2	@ Wohlen	1587	1
7	2015-03-22	19.31%	Le Mont	1384	2	@ Biel-Bienne	1497	0
8	2015-03-21	19.34%	Chiasso	1452	1	@ Wohlen	1565	0
9	2014-10-18	21.88%	@ Le Mont	1411	3	Winterthur	1570	2
10	2014-10-26	21.95%	Chiasso	1463	3	@ Wil	1543	2
11	2015-05-22	21.97%	Schaffhausen	1532	2	@ Servette	1612	1
12	2015-03-18	22.68%	Schaffhausen	1506	2	@ Wohlen	1579	0
13	2014-08-02	24.02%	Wohlen	1508	2	@ Lugano	1567	1
14	2014-10-04	24.29%	Schaffhausen	1521	2	@ Lausanne-Sport	1577	1
15	2015-04-02	24.59%	Le Mont	1396	3	@ Chiasso	1449	0
16	2015-05-02	24.67%	@ Chiasso	1433	2	Wohlen	1563	0
17	2014-09-14	24.77%	Wohlen	1533	1	@ Lausanne-Sport	1584	0
18	2014-07-20	24.91%	Wohlen	1492	1	@ Schaffhausen	1542	0
19	2014-12-01	25.21%	@ Chiasso	1455	4	Lausanne-Sport	1579	1
20	2014-08-16	25.86%	Wohlen	1521	2	@ Winterthur	1561	0
21	2014-09-27	26.31%	Wohlen	1539	4	@ Wil	1576	2
22	2015-05-09	26.63%	Chiasso	1447	2	@ Biel-Bienne	1480	1
23	2015-05-04	26.80%	Lausanne-Sport	1515	3	@ Schaffhausen	1547	0
24	2014-11-10	26.87%	Servette	1552	3	@ Lausanne-Sport	1584	1
25	2015-04-30	27.06%	@ Le Mont	1413	4	Wil	1520	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2015-04-30	24.95	@ Le Mont	4	1413	27.06%	Wil	0	1520	45.50%	27.44%
2	2015-03-21	24.15	Schaffhausen	4	1521	28.64%	@ Lausanne-Sport	0	1537	43.62%	27.75%
3	2015-05-30	22.13	@ Wil	4	1469	32.94%	Lausanne-Sport	0	1528	38.85%	28.21%
4	2014-07-21	21.12	@ Winterthur	4	1537	35.29%	Wil	0	1580	36.42%	28.29%
5	2015-05-30	20.75	@ Winterthur	4	1560	36.17%	Servette	0	1596	35.53%	28.29%
6	2015-04-02	20.11	Le Mont	3	1396	24.59%	@ Chiasso	0	1449	48.62%	26.80%
7	2015-05-04	19.20	Lausanne-Sport	3	1515	26.80%	@ Schaffhausen	0	1547	45.81%	27.39%
8	2014-12-08	18.27	Wil	3	1521	29.22%	@ Schaffhausen	0	1533	42.94%	27.84%
9	2014-12-01	16.74	@ Chiasso	4	1455	25.21%	Lausanne-Sport	1	1579	47.81%	26.98%
10	2014-11-08	16.14	Winterthur	3	1567	35.35%	@ Wil	0	1532	36.36%	28.29%
11	2015-03-18	15.94	@ Biel-Bienne	4	1481	27.55%	Winterthur	1	1584	44.90%	27.55%
12	2014-10-19	15.91	@ Biel-Bienne	4	1457	27.66%	Wil	1	1559	44.77%	27.57%
13	2014-10-18	15.69	@ Schaffhausen	4	1528	48.15%	Chiasso	0	1478	24.95%	26.91%
14	2015-03-22	15.53	Le Mont	2	1384	19.31%	@ Biel-Bienne	0	1497	56.25%	24.45%
15	2015-03-18	14.42	Schaffhausen	2	1506	22.68%	@ Wohlen	0	1579	51.20%	26.12%
16	2014-10-04	14.12	@ Wohlen	4	1550	51.88%	Biel-Bienne	0	1471	22.20%	25.92%
17	2014-09-01	14.11	Winterthur	4	1548	33.56%	@ Schaffhausen	1	1525	38.19%	28.24%
18	2015-05-02	13.82	@ Chiasso	2	1433	24.67%	Wohlen	0	1563	48.51%	26.82%
19	2014-08-16	13.48	Wohlen	2	1521	25.86%	@ Winterthur	0	1561	46.98%	27.16%
20	2015-03-11	12.92	Wohlen	4	1574	54.76%	@ Le Mont	0	1396	20.26%	24.99%
21	2015-03-22	12.27	@ Lugano	3	1611	47.32%	Winterthur	0	1568	25.59%	27.09%
22	2015-04-11	12.15	Schaffhausen	3	1540	47.70%	@ Le Mont	0	1416	25.29%	27.01%
23	2015-02-09	11.72	Wohlen	2	1556	32.73%	@ Wil	0	1540	39.07%	28.20%
24	2015-03-28	11.58	Biel-Bienne	2	1481	33.31%	@ Chiasso	0	1460	38.45%	28.23%
25	2014-11-10	11.43	Servette	3	1552	26.87%	@ Lausanne-Sport	1	1584	45.72%	27.40%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2015-05-30	73.5	Wohlen	3	1536	18.29%	@ Lugano	2	1663	57.91%	23.80%
2	2014-08-11	72.2	@ Schaffhausen	2	1545	36.68%	Lausanne-Sport	2	1578	35.03%	28.29%
3	2015-02-21	71.6	@ Wil	2	1533	36.08%	Winterthur	2	1571	35.63%	28.29%
4	2014-11-09	71.1	@ Wohlen	2	1553	44.40%	Schaffhausen	2	1531	27.97%	27.63%
5	2015-05-09	70.9	Lausanne-Sport	5	1534	28.77%	@ Wohlen	4	1549	43.46%	27.77%
6	2015-05-04	70.2	@ Le Mont	3	1438	18.13%	Lugano	2	1644	58.18%	23.69%
7	2014-11-30	69.9	@ Biel-Bienne	2	1470	27.07%	Winterthur	2	1577	45.48%	27.45%
8	2015-04-18	68.7	@ Lausanne-Sport	2	1522	45.25%	Biel-Bienne	2	1494	27.26%	27.49%
9	2015-03-15	68.5	@ Le Mont	2	1383	17.78%	Servette	2	1594	58.77%	23.45%
10	2014-08-13	68.4	@ Biel-Bienne	2	1492	37.36%	Wohlen	2	1521	34.37%	28.27%
11	2014-07-19	67.3	@ Lausanne-Sport	1	1574	43.09%	Lugano	1	1561	29.09%	27.82%
12	2014-08-30	67.1	@ Lugano	1	1562	40.68%	Wil	1	1567	31.24%	28.08%
13	2015-02-07	67.1	@ Lugano	1	1615	60.69%	Biel-Bienne	1	1465	16.69%	22.62%
14	2015-04-04	66.6	@ Servette	1	1593	54.68%	Biel-Bienne	1	1493	20.31%	25.01%
15	2014-09-15	66.4	@ Servette	1	1546	39.13%	Lugano	1	1562	32.67%	28.20%
16	2014-10-26	66.3	Chiasso	3	1463	21.95%	@ Wil	2	1543	52.24%	25.81%
17	2014-11-24	66.2	@ Servette	1	1564	45.81%	Schaffhausen	1	1532	26.81%	27.39%
18	2015-05-22	66.1	Schaffhausen	2	1532	21.97%	@ Servette	1	1612	52.20%	25.82%
19	2014-12-03	65.8	@ Le Mont	2	1414	26.97%	Wil	2	1522	45.61%	27.42%
20	2015-05-25	65.7	@ Lausanne-Sport	1	1528	36.92%	Winterthur	1	1560	34.80%	28.28%
21	2015-05-10	65.5	Schaffhausen	4	1527	35.36%	@ Wil	3	1492	36.35%	28.29%
22	2014-10-18	65.4	@ Le Mont	3	1411	21.88%	Winterthur	2	1570	52.33%	25.78%
23	2014-11-22	65.1	@ Chiasso	2	1455	39.30%	Biel-Bienne	2	1469	32.52%	28.19%
24	2015-05-25	64.8	Le Mont	2	1445	16.08%	@ Servette	1	1605	61.80%	22.12%
25	2014-08-04	64.5	@ Lausanne-Sport	1	1580	60.86%	Le Mont	1	1428	16.60%	22.55%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2015-03-08	36.3	@ Lugano	3	1601	66.14%	Le Mont	0	1402	13.85%	20.01%
2	2015-03-11	38.2	Wohlen	4	1574	54.76%	@ Le Mont	0	1396	20.26%	24.99%
3	2014-10-05	39.6	@ Servette	2	1545	58.02%	Le Mont	0	1417	18.23%	23.75%
4	2015-04-11	40.0	Schaffhausen	3	1540	47.70%	@ Le Mont	0	1416	25.29%	27.01%
5	2014-09-14	40.3	@ Winterthur	2	1562	58.90%	Le Mont	0	1427	17.71%	23.39%
6	2014-10-04	40.9	@ Wohlen	4	1550	51.88%	Biel-Bienne	0	1471	22.20%	25.92%
7	2014-10-18	41.5	@ Schaffhausen	4	1528	48.15%	Chiasso	0	1478	24.95%	26.91%
8	2015-03-28	42.5	@ Lausanne-Sport	1	1513	56.31%	Le Mont	0	1399	19.26%	24.42%
9	2014-11-30	42.9	Wohlen	2	1542	47.17%	@ Le Mont	0	1422	25.71%	27.12%
10	2015-04-02	43.4	Le Mont	3	1396	24.59%	@ Chiasso	0	1449	48.62%	26.80%
11	2015-05-25	44.1	@ Wohlen	2	1528	48.38%	Wil	0	1477	24.77%	26.85%
12	2014-11-09	44.2	@ Lugano	5	1591	57.87%	Chiasso	1	1464	18.32%	23.82%
13	2015-02-15	44.5	@ Wil	3	1528	56.84%	Le Mont	1	1410	18.94%	24.22%
14	2014-11-08	44.8	@ Biel-Bienne	1	1465	46.61%	Le Mont	0	1427	26.15%	27.23%
15	2015-05-22	44.8	@ Lugano	4	1650	65.94%	Chiasso	1	1454	13.95%	20.11%
16	2014-12-06	44.9	@ Lugano	3	1611	65.92%	Le Mont	1	1414	13.96%	20.12%
17	2014-08-14	45.1	@ Lausanne-Sport	2	1578	52.95%	Chiasso	0	1492	21.46%	25.59%
18	2015-04-30	45.2	@ Le Mont	4	1413	27.06%	Wil	0	1520	45.50%	27.44%
19	2015-05-30	45.7	@ Wil	4	1469	32.94%	Lausanne-Sport	0	1528	38.85%	28.21%
20	2015-03-28	46.3	Biel-Bienne	2	1481	33.31%	@ Chiasso	0	1460	38.45%	28.23%
21	2014-07-27	46.7	Schaffhausen	4	1535	43.84%	@ Le Mont	1	1439	28.45%	27.71%
22	2015-02-28	46.8	@ Servette	1	1580	57.32%	Chiasso	0	1458	18.65%	24.03%
23	2015-05-25	46.8	Lugano	2	1656	54.48%	@ Biel-Bienne	0	1480	20.44%	25.08%
24	2015-05-22	47.2	@ Winterthur	4	1550	50.01%	Wil	1	1487	23.54%	26.45%
25	2014-09-24	47.5	Wil	2	1566	42.34%	@ Chiasso	0	1482	29.75%	27.91%