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2021-22 Challenge League Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Schaffhausen

11.54 points above expected

65 points · 53.46 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Kriens

18.95 points below expected

13 points · 31.95 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Winterthur 36 18 11 7 65 76 45 +31 53.96 +11.04
2 Schaffhausen 36 19 8 9 65 73 49 +24 53.46 +11.54
3 Aarau 36 20 5 11 65 67 47 +20 53.54 +11.46
4 Vaduz 36 18 6 12 60 68 58 +10 57.27 +2.73
5 Thun 36 17 5 14 56 62 57 +5 53.07 +2.93
6 Neuchatel Xamax 36 14 8 14 50 56 54 +2 45.31 +4.69
7 Lausanne-Ouchy 36 12 8 16 44 46 50 -4 52.64 -8.64
8 Yverdon-Sport 36 11 11 14 44 44 52 -8 41.45 +2.55
9 Wil 36 11 8 17 41 68 80 -12 45.82 -4.82
10 Kriens 36 3 4 29 13 25 93 -68 31.95 -18.95

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Schaffhausen 65 53.46 +11.54
2 Aarau 65 53.54 +11.46
3 Winterthur 65 53.96 +11.04
4 Neuchatel Xamax 50 45.31 +4.69
5 Thun 56 53.07 +2.93

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kriens 13 31.95 -18.95
2 Lausanne-Ouchy 44 52.64 -8.64
3 Wil 41 45.82 -4.82
4 Yverdon-Sport 44 41.45 +2.55
5 Vaduz 60 57.27 +2.73

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aarau 5 Feb 5 – Feb 28 1 in 82
2 Lausanne-Ouchy 3 Feb 25 – Mar 4 1 in 31
3 Schaffhausen 4 Apr 1 – Apr 22 1 in 29
4 Neuchatel Xamax 3 Aug 1 – Aug 10 1 in 29
5 Thun 4 Mar 5 – Apr 2 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kriens 14 Nov 6 – Mar 12 1 in 3,487
2 Aarau 3 Mar 4 – Mar 19 1 in 55
3 Neuchatel Xamax 4 Sep 25 – Oct 22 1 in 54
4 Winterthur 3 Nov 19 – Dec 3 1 in 31
5 Lausanne-Ouchy 3 Apr 2 – Apr 16 1 in 30

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Schaffhausen 10 Mar 4 – May 10 1 in 32
2 Winterthur 11 Mar 11 – May 21 1 in 31
3 Aarau 10 Nov 27 – Feb 28 1 in 29
4 Neuchatel Xamax 6 Jan 28 – Mar 1 1 in 22
5 Wil 6 Oct 22 – Dec 4 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kriens 16 Nov 6 – Apr 2 1 in 26
2 Winterthur 5 Oct 29 – Dec 3 1 in 13
3 Lausanne-Ouchy 5 Mar 12 – Apr 16 1 in 12
4 Neuchatel Xamax 6 Sep 25 – Nov 5 1 in 12
5 Thun 5 Feb 13 – Mar 1 1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Aarau 1540 65 +39 12 7.5 +4.5
Schaffhausen 1555 65 +14 10 8.0 +2.0
Winterthur 1564 65 +14 9 9.1 -0.1
Vaduz 1516 60 +2 10 7.9 +2.1
Thun 1500 56 +14 10 7.0 +3.0
Neuchatel Xamax 1448 50 +0 7 6.3 +0.7
Yverdon-Sport 1421 44 -20 5 6.5 -1.5
Lausanne-Ouchy 1451 44 -28 1 6.7 -5.7
Wil 1417 41 -24 2 6.0 -4.0
Kriens 1250 13 -11 3 3.2 -0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AAR KRI LAU NX SCH THU VAD WIL WIN YVE
Aarau —
3-1-0
8.03
4-0-0
5.55
2-1-1
6.20
2-0-2
5.52
2-0-2
5.32
1-0-3
5.43
3-1-0
6.30
1-1-2
5.46
2-1-1
6.63
Kriens
0-1-3
3.02
—
2-0-2
3.28
0-0-4
3.98
0-3-1
3.37
0-0-4
3.40
0-0-4
2.90
1-0-3
4.03
0-0-4
3.31
0-0-4
4.08
Lausanne-Ouchy
0-0-4
5.28
2-0-2
7.71
—
0-2-2
5.94
2-0-2
5.00
2-0-2
5.31
2-1-1
4.84
2-1-1
6.17
1-2-1
5.22
1-2-1
6.24
Neuchatel Xamax
1-1-2
4.65
4-0-0
6.92
2-2-0
4.89
—
1-0-3
4.84
2-0-2
4.70
1-0-3
4.53
2-0-2
5.69
0-2-2
4.40
1-3-0
5.74
Schaffhausen
2-0-2
5.30
1-3-0
7.66
2-0-2
5.83
3-0-1
5.99
—
3-1-0
5.47
2-1-1
4.92
1-1-2
6.31
2-2-0
5.24
3-0-1
6.57
Thun
2-0-2
5.50
4-0-0
7.62
2-0-2
5.49
2-0-2
6.13
0-1-3
5.34
—
3-1-0
5.02
2-1-1
6.19
0-1-3
5.47
2-1-1
6.50
Vaduz
3-0-1
5.40
4-0-0
8.18
1-1-2
5.99
3-0-1
6.31
1-1-2
5.89
0-1-3
5.80
—
2-1-1
6.53
2-1-1
5.72
2-1-1
6.74
Wil
0-1-3
4.55
3-0-1
6.88
1-1-2
4.66
2-0-2
5.13
2-1-1
4.54
1-1-2
4.64
1-1-2
4.32
—
0-1-3
4.62
1-2-1
5.60
Winterthur
2-1-1
5.35
4-0-0
7.73
1-2-1
5.60
2-2-0
6.45
0-2-2
5.57
3-1-0
5.35
1-1-2
5.12
3-1-0
6.22
—
2-1-1
6.69
Yverdon-Sport
1-1-2
4.23
4-0-0
6.86
1-2-1
4.60
0-3-1
5.08
1-0-3
4.28
1-1-2
4.36
1-1-2
4.13
1-2-1
5.22
1-1-2
4.17
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.78 +9.0
Allowed 0.71 -8.7
Differential 0.97 +5.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.11%4.44%6.67%3.61%1.39%1.11%23.33%
14.44%7.78%8.61%4.17%1.39%0.28%26.67%
26.67%8.61%5.56%3.06%1.94%1.94%27.78%
33.61%4.17%3.06%0.56%0.83%0.28%12.50%
41.39%1.39%1.94%0.83%0.56%—6.11%
5+1.11%0.28%1.94%0.28%——3.61%
Total23.33%26.67%27.78%12.50%6.11%3.61%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.62 +0.00
SD 1.33 1.33 1.94
CV 0.82 0.82 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%—8.33%2.78%——16.67%
18.33%5.56%8.33%2.78%——25.00%
216.67%11.11%2.78%—5.56%—36.11%
32.78%—2.78%—2.78%—8.33%
42.78%——2.78%——5.56%
5+2.78%—5.56%———8.33%
Total38.89%16.67%27.78%8.33%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.31 +0.56
SD 1.42 1.31 1.90
CV 0.76 1.00 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%8.33%5.56%5.56%11.11%47.22%
12.78%2.78%8.33%13.89%5.56%2.78%36.11%
2—5.56%—11.11%——16.67%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total11.11%16.67%16.67%30.56%11.11%13.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.69 2.58 -1.89
SD 0.75 1.59 1.77
CV 1.08 0.62 —
Max 2 6 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%2.78%2.78%——27.78%
15.56%8.33%16.67%5.56%——36.11%
25.56%8.33%2.78%——5.56%22.22%
3—8.33%2.78%———11.11%
4———————
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total25.00%36.11%25.00%8.33%—5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.39 -0.11
SD 1.16 1.27 1.69
CV 0.91 0.92 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%8.33%5.56%2.78%—27.78%
12.78%13.89%8.33%2.78%2.78%—30.56%
2—13.89%—2.78%2.78%—19.44%
32.78%5.56%————8.33%
42.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
5+2.78%—2.78%———5.56%
Total19.44%38.89%22.22%11.11%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.50 +0.06
SD 1.48 1.18 2.10
CV 0.95 0.79 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%5.56%———16.67%
18.33%11.11%11.11%———30.56%
22.78%8.33%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
32.78%2.78%5.56%2.78%——13.89%
42.78%2.78%2.78%5.56%——13.89%
5+——8.33%———8.33%
Total22.22%30.56%36.11%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.03 1.36 +0.67
SD 1.58 0.96 1.53
CV 0.78 0.71 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.56%8.33%2.78%——16.67%
15.56%2.78%8.33%2.78%2.78%—22.22%
25.56%11.11%11.11%—5.56%2.78%36.11%
38.33%11.11%2.78%———22.22%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total19.44%33.33%30.56%5.56%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 1.58 +0.14
SD 1.09 1.27 1.87
CV 0.63 0.80 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%2.78%11.11%2.78%——19.44%
12.78%5.56%5.56%2.78%——16.67%
211.11%11.11%5.56%2.78%5.56%—36.11%
3—5.56%8.33%———13.89%
4—5.56%2.78%—2.78%—11.11%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total16.67%30.56%36.11%8.33%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.89 1.61 +0.28
SD 1.35 1.13 1.70
CV 0.71 0.70 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——2.78%8.33%2.78%—13.89%
1—5.56%11.11%2.78%——19.44%
28.33%5.56%11.11%5.56%—8.33%38.89%
35.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%19.44%
42.78%—2.78%—2.78%—8.33%
5+———————
Total16.67%13.89%30.56%19.44%8.33%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.89 2.22 -0.33
SD 1.14 1.53 2.01
CV 0.60 0.69 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%—5.56%———16.67%
12.78%13.89%2.78%2.78%——22.22%
25.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%—2.78%25.00%
38.33%5.56%2.78%———16.67%
42.78%—8.33%———11.11%
5+2.78%2.78%—2.78%——8.33%
Total33.33%27.78%25.00%11.11%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.11 1.25 +0.86
SD 1.58 1.20 1.90
CV 0.75 0.96 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%5.56%5.56%2.78%—30.56%
15.56%8.33%5.56%5.56%2.78%—27.78%
211.11%5.56%13.89%———30.56%
35.56%—2.78%—2.78%—11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.56%22.22%27.78%11.11%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.44 -0.22
SD 1.02 1.27 1.71
CV 0.83 0.88 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Winterthur 1564 65 53.96 +11.04 96.0% 34 41 49 54 60 65 75
Schaffhausen 1548 65 53.46 +11.54 98.0% 31 43 48 53 58 64 72
Aarau 1540 65 53.54 +11.46 93.0% 31 39 49 53 60 66 70
Vaduz 1516 60 57.27 +2.73 67.0% 39 46 51 56 63 72 79
Thun 1500 56 53.07 +2.93 66.0% 36 39 48 52 59 66 73
Lausanne-Ouchy 1451 44 52.64 -8.64 13.0% 32 38 47 53 57 66 71
Neuchatel Xamax 1448 50 45.31 +4.69 70.0% 24 32 40 45 52 57 62
Yverdon-Sport 1421 44 41.45 +2.55 63.0% 23 29 37 41 46 54 60
Wil 1417 41 45.82 -4.82 26.0% 31 34 41 45 51 57 64
Kriens 1250 13 31.95 -18.95 0.0% 15 21 27 32 36 42 49

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+19.44%
Clear Edge
49.44%20.56%30.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge
138 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
068.43400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.35 goals
Neutral
-2+0.50+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
6.1
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
17%
Winterthur, 2nd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.03 * Some Luck: 6.03 to 9.04 * Lucky: 9.04 to 12.06 * Wild Swing: 12.06 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.48 * Close: 1.48 to 2.22 * Off: 2.22 to 2.96 * Way Off: 2.96 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
9.31 points
Lucky
07.5319
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.20
Pinpoint
01.854
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
98.00%
Schaffhausen
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
0.00%
Kriens
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 93.27
1.98
Strong Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
65%
Slight Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
86%
Clear Edge
50%85%100%
Close Games
Expected
54%
Few
0%56%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Frequent
0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.642
Matchup Imbalance
0.25
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.82
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.43
Some Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Upset-Prone
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Shaky Favorites
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.17
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.32
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.071
Well Within Noise
00.1180.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Winterthur17.00%15.00%18.00%9.00%16.00%10.00%8.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%
Schaffhausen13.00%14.00%15.00%14.00%13.00%10.00%11.00%8.00%1.00%1.00%
Aarau12.00%18.00%13.00%18.00%14.00%10.00%5.00%6.00%1.00%3.00%
Vaduz26.00%20.00%15.00%13.00%9.00%11.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%—
Thun14.00%14.00%13.00%8.00%13.00%16.00%10.00%7.00%3.00%2.00%
Neuchatel Xamax3.00%4.00%8.00%9.00%9.00%5.00%15.00%22.00%17.00%8.00%
Lausanne-Ouchy12.00%10.00%14.00%16.00%10.00%17.00%8.00%7.00%4.00%2.00%
Yverdon-Sport1.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%7.00%10.00%14.00%22.00%30.00%12.00%
Wil2.00%4.00%3.00%10.00%9.00%9.00%25.00%19.00%15.00%4.00%
Kriens———1.00%—2.00%1.00%4.00%25.00%67.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Lost promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Vaduz 26.00% 20.00% 54.00% —
Winterthur 17.00% 15.00% 67.00% 1.00%
Thun 14.00% 14.00% 70.00% 2.00%
Lausanne-Ouchy 12.00% 10.00% 76.00% 2.00%
Aarau 12.00% 18.00% 67.00% 3.00%
Schaffhausen — 100% — —
Wil 2.00% 4.00% 90.00% 4.00%
Neuchatel Xamax 3.00% 4.00% 85.00% 8.00%
Yverdon-Sport 1.00% 1.00% 86.00% 12.00%
Kriens — — 33.00% 67.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2021-07-23 Winterthur D 1-159.5 1490 1458 45.16% 28.95% 25.90%+0.72 -0.6 1
2021-07-23 @ Lausanne-Ouchy D 1-159.5 1458 1490 25.90% 28.95% 45.16%-0.72 +0.6 1
2021-07-25 Vaduz L 2-359.7 1448 1512 31.69% 29.92% 38.39%+0.03 -5.0 0
2021-07-25 @ Wil W 3-259.7 1512 1448 38.39% 29.92% 31.69%-0.03 +5.0 3
2021-07-28 Kriens D 1-158.4 1468 1450 43.32% 29.31% 27.37%+0.63 -0.5 1
2021-07-28 @ Schaffhausen D 1-158.4 1450 1468 27.37% 29.31% 43.32%-0.63 +0.5 1
2021-07-30 Wil W 3-147.7 1459 1443 43.05% 29.35% 27.60%+0.61 +8.2 4
2021-07-30 @ Winterthur L 1-347.7 1443 1459 27.60% 29.35% 43.05%-0.61 -8.2 0
2021-07-31 Lausanne-Ouchy L 1-349.6 1426 1489 31.90% 29.93% 38.17%+0.04 -9.1 0
2021-07-31 @ Yverdon-Sport W 3-149.6 1489 1426 38.17% 29.93% 31.90%-0.04 +9.1 4
2021-07-31 Schaffhausen W 2-044.1 1470 1468 41.15% 29.64% 29.21%+0.52 +9.9 3
2021-07-31 @ Aarau L 0-244.1 1468 1470 29.21% 29.64% 41.15%-0.52 -9.9 1
2021-07-31 Thun L 1-351.4 1451 1498 34.01% 30.03% 35.96%+0.15 -9.6 1
2021-07-31 @ Kriens W 3-151.4 1498 1451 35.96% 30.03% 34.01%-0.15 +9.6 3
2021-08-01 Neuchatel Xamax L 1-259.5 1517 1442 50.95% 27.34% 21.71%+1.04 -7.4 3
2021-08-01 @ Vaduz W 2-159.5 1442 1517 21.71% 27.34% 50.95%-1.04 +7.4 3
2021-08-03 Yverdon-Sport W 3-037.5 1508 1417 53.02% 26.60% 20.37%+1.15 +10.4 6
2021-08-03 @ Thun L 0-337.5 1417 1508 20.37% 26.60% 53.02%-1.15 -10.4 0
2021-08-06 Aarau L 1-259.9 1518 1480 46.06% 28.74% 25.20%+0.77 -6.9 6
2021-08-06 @ Thun W 2-159.9 1480 1518 25.20% 28.74% 46.06%-0.77 +6.9 6
2021-08-06 Kriens W 4-038.9 1450 1441 42.04% 29.52% 28.44%+0.56 +18.3 6
2021-08-06 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 0-438.9 1441 1450 28.44% 29.52% 42.04%-0.56 -18.3 1
2021-08-07 Yverdon-Sport W 3-037.4 1435 1406 44.69% 29.04% 26.26%+0.70 +13.2 3
2021-08-07 @ Wil L 0-337.4 1406 1435 26.26% 29.04% 44.69%-0.70 -13.2 0
2021-08-08 Vaduz W 1-051.3 1498 1510 39.15% 29.86% 30.99%+0.41 +5.5 7
2021-08-08 @ Lausanne-Ouchy L 0-151.3 1510 1498 30.99% 29.86% 39.15%-0.41 -5.5 3
2021-08-08 Winterthur D 1-158.4 1458 1467 39.48% 29.83% 30.70%+0.43 -0.3 2
2021-08-08 @ Schaffhausen D 1-158.4 1467 1458 30.70% 29.83% 39.48%-0.43 +0.3 5
2021-08-10 Aarau W 4-255.4 1468 1487 38.14% 29.94% 31.93%+0.36 +8.2 9
2021-08-10 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 2-455.4 1487 1468 31.93% 29.94% 38.14%-0.36 -8.2 6
2021-08-20 Thun W 3-045.0 1467 1511 34.52% 30.04% 35.44%+0.18 +16.5 8
2021-08-20 @ Winterthur L 0-345.0 1511 1467 35.44% 30.04% 34.52%-0.18 -16.5 6
2021-08-21 Lausanne-Ouchy W 5-252.7 1479 1504 37.25% 29.99% 32.76%+0.32 +11.4 9
2021-08-21 @ Aarau L 2-552.7 1504 1479 32.76% 29.99% 37.25%-0.32 -11.4 7
2021-08-21 Neuchatel Xamax D 1-156.7 1393 1476 29.33% 29.66% 41.01%-0.11 +0.4 1
2021-08-21 @ Yverdon-Sport D 1-156.7 1476 1393 41.01% 29.66% 29.33%+0.11 -0.4 10
2021-08-22 Vaduz D 1-159.7 1457 1504 34.11% 30.03% 35.85%+0.16 +0.0 3
2021-08-22 @ Schaffhausen D 1-159.7 1504 1457 35.85% 30.03% 34.11%-0.16 -0.1 4
2021-08-27 Vaduz L 1-354.5 1490 1504 38.80% 29.89% 31.32%+0.39 -10.5 9
2021-08-27 @ Aarau W 3-154.5 1504 1490 31.32% 29.89% 38.80%-0.39 +10.5 7
2021-08-28 Winterthur L 2-358.0 1423 1484 32.14% 29.95% 37.91%+0.05 -5.0 1
2021-08-28 @ Kriens W 3-258.0 1484 1423 37.91% 29.95% 32.14%-0.05 +5.0 11
2021-08-29 Wil W 3-039.9 1476 1448 44.73% 29.04% 26.24%+0.70 +13.1 13
2021-08-29 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 0-339.9 1448 1476 26.24% 29.04% 44.73%-0.70 -13.1 3
2021-08-29 Yverdon-Sport W 4-356.1 1458 1394 49.52% 27.80% 22.68%+0.96 +3.7 6
2021-08-29 @ Schaffhausen L 3-456.1 1394 1458 22.68% 27.80% 49.52%-0.96 -3.7 1
2021-09-03 Wil L 0-244.2 1418 1435 38.39% 29.92% 31.70%+0.37 -12.0 1
2021-09-03 @ Kriens W 2-044.2 1435 1418 31.70% 29.92% 38.39%-0.37 +12.0 6
2021-09-10 Aarau D 1-156.8 1390 1480 28.53% 29.53% 41.94%-0.15 +0.4 2
2021-09-10 @ Yverdon-Sport D 1-156.8 1480 1390 41.94% 29.53% 28.53%+0.15 -0.4 10
2021-09-10 Schaffhausen W 2-152.3 1492 1461 45.10% 28.96% 25.94%+0.72 +4.5 10
2021-09-10 @ Lausanne-Ouchy L 1-252.3 1461 1492 25.94% 28.96% 45.10%-0.72 -4.5 6
2021-09-11 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-154.5 1489 1489 40.74% 29.69% 29.57%+0.49 +5.0 14
2021-09-11 @ Winterthur L 1-254.5 1489 1489 29.57% 29.69% 40.74%-0.49 -5.0 13
2021-09-11 Thun D 2-264.3 1447 1495 33.93% 30.03% 36.04%+0.15 +0.1 7
2021-09-11 @ Wil D 2-264.3 1495 1447 36.04% 30.03% 33.93%-0.15 -0.0 7
2021-09-12 Kriens W 4-141.7 1515 1406 55.36% 25.67% 18.96%+1.29 +8.2 10
2021-09-12 @ Vaduz L 1-441.7 1406 1515 18.96% 25.67% 55.36%-1.29 -8.2 1
2021-09-14 Lausanne-Ouchy W 1-050.3 1495 1497 40.50% 29.72% 29.78%+0.48 +5.3 10
2021-09-14 @ Thun L 0-150.3 1497 1495 29.78% 29.72% 40.50%-0.48 -5.3 10
2021-09-21 Thun W 2-155.6 1457 1500 34.62% 30.04% 35.34%+0.18 +5.7 9
2021-09-21 @ Schaffhausen L 1-255.6 1500 1457 35.34% 30.04% 34.62%-0.18 -5.7 10
2021-09-21 Wil W 2-042.5 1479 1447 45.31% 28.91% 25.77%+0.73 +8.9 13
2021-09-21 @ Aarau L 0-242.5 1447 1479 25.77% 28.91% 45.31%-0.73 -8.9 7
2021-09-21 Winterthur W 2-046.0 1523 1494 44.84% 29.01% 26.15%+0.71 +9.0 13
2021-09-21 @ Vaduz L 0-246.0 1494 1523 26.15% 29.01% 44.84%-0.71 -9.0 14
2021-09-22 Lausanne-Ouchy W 3-151.3 1484 1491 39.77% 29.80% 30.43%+0.44 +8.8 16
2021-09-22 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 1-351.3 1491 1484 30.43% 29.80% 39.77%-0.44 -8.8 10
2021-09-22 Yverdon-Sport L 0-243.6 1397 1390 41.76% 29.56% 28.68%+0.55 -12.8 1
2021-09-22 @ Kriens W 2-043.6 1390 1397 28.68% 29.56% 41.76%-0.55 +12.8 5
2021-09-24 Aarau D 0-056.4 1485 1488 40.32% 29.74% 29.94%+0.47 -0.4 15
2021-09-24 @ Winterthur D 0-056.4 1488 1485 29.94% 29.74% 40.32%-0.47 +0.4 14
2021-09-24 Schaffhausen W 2-044.0 1438 1462 37.28% 29.99% 32.73%+0.32 +10.7 10
2021-09-24 @ Wil L 0-244.0 1462 1438 32.73% 29.99% 37.28%-0.32 -10.7 9
2021-09-25 Kriens W 5-035.2 1483 1385 53.95% 26.25% 19.80%+1.21 +16.3 13
2021-09-25 @ Lausanne-Ouchy L 0-535.2 1385 1483 19.80% 26.25% 53.95%-1.21 -16.3 1
2021-09-25 Neuchatel Xamax W 3-259.9 1494 1493 40.97% 29.66% 29.36%+0.51 +4.7 13
2021-09-25 @ Thun L 2-359.9 1493 1494 29.36% 29.66% 40.97%-0.51 -4.7 16
2021-09-25 Vaduz W 2-049.1 1403 1532 24.26% 28.43% 47.30%-0.44 +14.0 8
2021-09-25 @ Yverdon-Sport L 0-249.1 1532 1403 47.30% 28.43% 24.26%+0.44 -14.1 13
2021-10-01 Neuchatel Xamax W 4-042.5 1452 1488 35.57% 30.04% 34.40%+0.23 +21.1 12
2021-10-01 @ Schaffhausen L 0-442.5 1488 1452 34.40% 30.04% 35.57%-0.23 -21.1 16
2021-10-01 Thun L 1-356.6 1518 1499 43.43% 29.29% 27.29%+0.63 -11.4 13
2021-10-01 @ Vaduz W 3-156.6 1499 1518 27.29% 29.29% 43.43%-0.63 +11.4 16
2021-10-02 Lausanne-Ouchy L 2-359.9 1448 1499 33.60% 30.02% 36.38%+0.13 -5.2 10
2021-10-02 @ Wil W 3-259.9 1499 1448 36.38% 30.02% 33.60%-0.13 +5.2 16
2021-10-02 Yverdon-Sport W 1-044.2 1484 1417 49.95% 27.67% 22.38%+0.98 +4.2 18
2021-10-02 @ Winterthur L 0-144.2 1417 1484 22.38% 27.67% 49.95%-0.98 -4.2 8
2021-10-03 Kriens D 0-053.9 1488 1368 56.75% 25.08% 18.17%+1.37 -1.5 15
2021-10-03 @ Aarau D 0-053.9 1368 1488 18.17% 25.08% 56.75%-1.37 +1.5 2
2021-10-15 Aarau L 0-250.2 1504 1487 43.18% 29.33% 27.49%+0.62 -13.1 16
2021-10-15 @ Lausanne-Ouchy W 2-050.2 1487 1504 27.49% 29.33% 43.18%-0.62 +13.1 18
2021-10-15 Vaduz L 0-247.4 1467 1506 35.19% 30.04% 34.77%+0.21 -11.3 16
2021-10-15 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 2-047.4 1506 1467 34.77% 30.04% 35.19%-0.21 +11.3 16
2021-10-15 Winterthur L 0-250.7 1510 1489 43.83% 29.21% 26.95%+0.65 -13.3 16
2021-10-15 @ Thun W 2-050.7 1489 1510 26.95% 29.21% 43.83%-0.65 +13.3 21
2021-10-16 Schaffhausen D 0-052.3 1370 1473 26.98% 29.22% 43.80%-0.25 +0.6 3
2021-10-16 @ Kriens D 0-052.3 1473 1370 43.80% 29.22% 26.98%+0.25 -0.6 13
2021-10-16 Wil W 3-040.2 1413 1443 36.50% 30.02% 33.48%+0.28 +15.9 11
2021-10-16 @ Yverdon-Sport L 0-340.2 1443 1413 33.48% 30.02% 36.50%-0.28 -15.8 10
2021-10-22 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-152.4 1427 1456 36.74% 30.01% 33.25%+0.29 +5.4 13
2021-10-22 @ Wil L 1-252.4 1456 1427 33.25% 30.01% 36.74%-0.29 -5.4 16
2021-10-22 Thun L 0-249.9 1500 1497 41.21% 29.63% 29.16%+0.52 -12.7 18
2021-10-22 @ Aarau W 2-049.9 1497 1500 29.16% 29.63% 41.21%-0.52 +12.7 19
2021-10-23 Kriens W 6-137.4 1502 1370 58.13% 24.45% 17.41%+1.45 +11.8 24
2021-10-23 @ Winterthur L 1-637.4 1370 1502 17.41% 24.45% 58.13%-1.45 -11.8 3
2021-10-23 Schaffhausen W 2-153.1 1518 1472 47.09% 28.49% 24.42%+0.83 +4.3 19
2021-10-23 @ Vaduz L 1-253.1 1472 1518 24.42% 28.49% 47.09%-0.83 -4.3 13
2021-10-29 Aarau W 2-154.2 1522 1487 45.59% 28.85% 25.56%+0.75 +4.4 22
2021-10-29 @ Vaduz L 1-254.2 1487 1522 25.56% 28.85% 45.59%-0.75 -4.4 18
2021-10-29 Winterthur D 1-159.8 1450 1514 31.86% 29.93% 38.20%+0.04 +0.2 17
2021-10-29 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 1-159.8 1514 1450 38.20% 29.93% 31.86%-0.04 -0.2 25
2021-10-30 Lausanne-Ouchy W 1-050.5 1359 1491 23.89% 28.30% 47.81%-0.46 +7.5 6
2021-10-30 @ Kriens L 0-150.5 1491 1359 47.81% 28.30% 23.89%+0.46 -7.5 16
2021-10-30 Thun W 1-051.6 1429 1510 29.60% 29.70% 40.70%-0.09 +6.7 14
2021-10-30 @ Yverdon-Sport L 0-151.6 1510 1429 40.70% 29.70% 29.60%+0.09 -6.6 19
2021-10-30 Wil D 3-367.6 1468 1433 45.65% 28.84% 25.51%+0.75 -0.4 14
2021-10-30 @ Schaffhausen D 3-367.6 1433 1468 25.51% 28.84% 45.65%-0.75 +0.4 14
2021-11-02 Yverdon-Sport D 0-054.9 1483 1436 47.39% 28.41% 24.20%+0.84 -0.9 17
2021-11-02 @ Lausanne-Ouchy D 0-054.9 1436 1483 24.20% 28.41% 47.39%-0.84 +0.9 15
2021-11-05 Lausanne-Ouchy D 0-057.5 1513 1483 45.07% 28.96% 25.96%+0.72 -0.7 26
2021-11-05 @ Winterthur D 0-057.5 1483 1513 25.96% 28.96% 45.07%-0.72 +0.7 18
2021-11-05 Schaffhausen L 0-343.6 1451 1467 38.40% 29.92% 31.68%+0.37 -17.5 17
2021-11-05 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 3-043.6 1467 1451 31.68% 29.92% 38.40%-0.37 +17.5 17
2021-11-05 Vaduz D 1-162.3 1503 1526 37.48% 29.98% 32.55%+0.33 -0.2 20
2021-11-05 @ Thun D 1-162.3 1526 1503 32.55% 29.98% 37.48%-0.33 +0.1 23
2021-11-06 Kriens W 4-034.1 1433 1366 49.96% 27.66% 22.37%+0.98 +14.9 17
2021-11-06 @ Wil L 0-434.1 1366 1433 22.37% 27.66% 49.96%-0.98 -14.9 6
2021-11-06 Yverdon-Sport W 1-045.7 1483 1436 47.21% 28.46% 24.33%+0.83 +4.5 21
2021-11-06 @ Aarau L 0-145.7 1436 1483 24.33% 28.46% 47.21%-0.83 -4.5 15
2021-11-19 Aarau W 2-045.6 1485 1488 40.42% 29.73% 29.85%+0.48 +10.0 20
2021-11-19 @ Schaffhausen L 0-245.6 1488 1485 29.85% 29.73% 40.42%-0.48 -10.0 21
2021-11-19 Thun W 2-046.9 1483 1503 38.00% 29.95% 32.05%+0.35 +10.6 21
2021-11-19 @ Lausanne-Ouchy L 0-246.9 1503 1483 32.05% 29.95% 38.00%-0.35 -10.6 20
2021-11-19 Winterthur W 2-156.6 1432 1513 29.61% 29.70% 40.69%-0.09 +6.3 18
2021-11-19 @ Yverdon-Sport L 1-256.6 1513 1432 40.69% 29.70% 29.61%+0.09 -6.3 26
2021-11-20 Neuchatel Xamax L 0-143.8 1351 1433 29.45% 29.68% 40.87%-0.10 -5.3 6
2021-11-20 @ Kriens W 1-043.8 1433 1351 40.87% 29.68% 29.45%+0.10 +5.3 20
2021-11-20 Wil L 1-260.2 1527 1448 51.44% 27.18% 21.39%+1.07 -7.5 23
2021-11-20 @ Vaduz W 2-160.2 1448 1527 21.39% 27.18% 51.44%-1.07 +7.5 20
2021-11-26 Kriens W 3-140.7 1492 1346 59.96% 23.59% 16.45%+1.56 +4.9 23
2021-11-26 @ Thun L 1-340.7 1346 1492 16.45% 23.59% 59.96%-1.56 -4.9 6
2021-11-26 Schaffhausen L 2-556.1 1506 1495 42.40% 29.46% 28.14%+0.58 -13.7 26
2021-11-26 @ Winterthur W 5-256.1 1495 1506 28.14% 29.46% 42.40%-0.58 +13.7 23
2021-11-26 Yverdon-Sport W 2-151.0 1438 1438 40.81% 29.68% 29.50%+0.50 +5.0 23
2021-11-26 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 1-251.0 1438 1438 29.50% 29.68% 40.81%-0.50 -5.0 18
2021-11-27 Aarau D 2-264.0 1456 1478 37.69% 29.96% 32.35%+0.34 -0.1 21
2021-11-27 @ Wil D 2-264.0 1478 1456 32.35% 29.96% 37.69%-0.34 +0.1 22
2021-11-27 Lausanne-Ouchy W 2-154.8 1519 1494 44.30% 29.12% 26.58%+0.68 +4.6 26
2021-11-27 @ Vaduz L 1-254.8 1494 1519 26.58% 29.12% 44.30%-0.68 -4.6 21
2021-12-03 Neuchatel Xamax D 0-055.3 1489 1443 47.13% 28.48% 24.39%+0.83 -0.8 22
2021-12-03 @ Lausanne-Ouchy D 0-055.3 1443 1489 24.39% 28.48% 47.13%-0.83 +0.8 24
2021-12-03 Schaffhausen W 2-156.3 1433 1509 30.28% 29.78% 39.94%-0.05 +6.2 21
2021-12-03 @ Yverdon-Sport L 1-256.3 1509 1433 39.94% 29.78% 30.28%+0.05 -6.2 23
2021-12-03 Winterthur W 2-046.1 1478 1493 38.65% 29.90% 31.45%+0.39 +10.4 25
2021-12-03 @ Aarau L 0-246.1 1493 1478 31.45% 29.90% 38.65%-0.39 -10.4 26
2021-12-04 Vaduz L 1-343.1 1341 1524 19.54% 26.08% 54.38%-0.83 -6.0 6
2021-12-04 @ Kriens W 3-143.1 1524 1341 54.38% 26.08% 19.54%+0.83 +6.0 29
2021-12-04 Wil L 2-459.3 1497 1456 46.57% 28.62% 24.81%+0.80 -10.8 23
2021-12-04 @ Thun W 4-259.3 1456 1497 24.81% 28.62% 46.57%-0.80 +10.8 24
2021-12-10 Thun L 1-448.2 1444 1487 34.74% 30.04% 35.22%+0.19 -13.7 24
2021-12-10 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 4-148.2 1487 1444 35.22% 30.04% 34.74%-0.19 +13.7 26
2021-12-10 Yverdon-Sport D 2-266.3 1530 1439 52.96% 26.63% 20.42%+1.15 -0.8 30
2021-12-10 @ Vaduz D 2-266.3 1439 1530 20.42% 26.63% 52.96%-1.15 +0.8 22
2021-12-11 Lausanne-Ouchy W 1-049.6 1503 1488 42.75% 29.40% 27.84%+0.60 +5.0 26
2021-12-11 @ Schaffhausen L 0-149.6 1488 1503 27.84% 29.40% 42.75%-0.60 -5.0 22
2021-12-11 Winterthur L 3-559.3 1466 1482 38.52% 29.91% 31.57%+0.38 -8.8 24
2021-12-11 @ Wil W 5-359.3 1482 1466 31.57% 29.91% 38.52%-0.38 +8.8 29
2021-12-14 Aarau L 1-246.6 1335 1488 21.97% 27.47% 50.55%-0.61 -3.9 6
2021-12-14 @ Kriens W 2-146.6 1488 1335 50.55% 27.47% 21.97%+0.61 +3.9 28
2021-12-17 Kriens W 2-035.2 1440 1331 55.38% 25.67% 18.96%+1.29 +6.7 25
2021-12-17 @ Yverdon-Sport L 0-235.2 1331 1440 18.96% 25.67% 55.38%-1.29 -6.7 6
2021-12-17 Neuchatel Xamax W 1-045.2 1492 1431 49.20% 27.90% 22.90%+0.94 +4.3 31
2021-12-17 @ Aarau L 0-145.2 1431 1492 22.90% 27.90% 49.20%-0.94 -4.3 24
2021-12-17 Schaffhausen D 2-266.8 1500 1508 39.77% 29.80% 30.43%+0.44 -0.2 27
2021-12-17 @ Thun D 2-266.8 1508 1500 30.43% 29.80% 39.77%-0.44 +0.2 27
2021-12-18 Wil W 2-152.1 1483 1457 44.41% 29.10% 26.49%+0.68 +4.6 25
2021-12-18 @ Lausanne-Ouchy L 1-252.1 1457 1483 26.49% 29.10% 44.41%-0.68 -4.6 24
2021-12-19 Vaduz L 2-363.1 1491 1529 35.42% 30.04% 34.55%+0.22 -5.4 29
2021-12-19 @ Winterthur W 3-263.1 1529 1491 34.55% 30.04% 35.42%-0.22 +5.4 33
2022-01-28 Lausanne-Ouchy D 0-054.9 1447 1488 34.94% 30.04% 35.02%+0.20 +0.0 26
2022-01-28 @ Yverdon-Sport D 0-054.9 1488 1447 35.02% 30.04% 34.94%-0.20 -0.0 26
2022-01-28 Neuchatel Xamax D 1-159.0 1496 1426 50.33% 27.55% 22.13%+1.00 -1.0 32
2022-01-28 @ Aarau D 1-159.0 1426 1496 22.13% 27.55% 50.33%-1.00 +1.0 25
2022-01-30 Kriens W 3-031.5 1486 1324 61.72% 22.71% 15.57%+1.67 +7.8 32
2022-01-30 @ Winterthur L 0-331.5 1324 1486 15.57% 22.71% 61.72%-1.67 -7.8 6
2022-01-30 Vaduz D 4-472.7 1453 1534 29.54% 29.69% 40.77%-0.09 +0.2 25
2022-01-30 @ Wil D 4-472.7 1534 1453 40.77% 29.69% 29.54%+0.09 -0.2 34
2022-02-04 Schaffhausen W 2-156.3 1427 1508 29.63% 29.70% 40.66%-0.09 +6.3 28
2022-02-04 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 1-256.3 1508 1427 40.66% 29.70% 29.63%+0.09 -6.3 27
2022-02-04 Winterthur D 0-058.8 1534 1494 46.39% 28.66% 24.95%+0.79 -0.8 35
2022-02-04 @ Vaduz D 0-058.8 1494 1534 24.95% 28.66% 46.39%-0.79 +0.8 33
2022-02-05 Aarau L 2-554.8 1488 1495 39.77% 29.80% 30.43%+0.44 -13.1 26
2022-02-05 @ Lausanne-Ouchy W 5-254.8 1495 1488 30.43% 29.80% 39.77%-0.44 +13.1 35
2022-02-05 Wil W 3-040.2 1500 1453 47.27% 28.44% 24.29%+0.84 +12.3 30
2022-02-05 @ Thun L 0-340.2 1453 1500 24.29% 28.44% 47.27%-0.84 -12.3 25
2022-02-05 Yverdon-Sport L 0-334.8 1317 1447 24.09% 28.37% 47.53%-0.45 -12.2 6
2022-02-05 @ Kriens W 3-034.8 1447 1317 47.53% 28.37% 24.09%+0.45 +12.2 29
2022-02-11 Kriens W 2-141.9 1475 1304 62.80% 22.15% 15.05%+1.73 +2.6 29
2022-02-11 @ Lausanne-Ouchy L 1-241.9 1304 1475 15.05% 22.15% 62.80%-1.73 -2.6 6
2022-02-11 Vaduz W 4-258.9 1501 1533 36.27% 30.02% 33.71%+0.27 +8.5 30
2022-02-11 @ Schaffhausen L 2-458.9 1533 1501 33.71% 30.02% 36.27%-0.27 -8.5 35
2022-02-12 Neuchatel Xamax D 0-053.8 1459 1433 44.38% 29.11% 26.52%+0.68 -0.7 30
2022-02-12 @ Yverdon-Sport D 0-053.8 1433 1459 26.52% 29.11% 44.38%-0.68 +0.6 29
2022-02-12 Wil W 4-038.6 1494 1441 48.15% 28.20% 23.65%+0.88 +15.7 36
2022-02-12 @ Winterthur L 0-438.6 1441 1494 23.65% 28.20% 48.15%-0.88 -15.7 25
2022-02-13 Thun W 2-047.5 1508 1512 40.21% 29.75% 30.04%+0.47 +10.1 38
2022-02-13 @ Aarau L 0-247.5 1512 1508 30.04% 29.75% 40.21%-0.47 -10.1 30
2022-02-18 Lausanne-Ouchy D 1-157.9 1434 1478 34.60% 30.04% 35.36%+0.18 +0.0 30
2022-02-18 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 1-157.9 1478 1434 35.36% 30.04% 34.60%-0.18 -0.0 30
2022-02-18 Winterthur L 2-459.8 1502 1510 39.70% 29.81% 30.49%+0.44 -9.5 30
2022-02-18 @ Thun W 4-259.8 1510 1502 30.49% 29.81% 39.70%-0.44 +9.5 39
2022-02-19 Aarau L 0-532.6 1302 1518 17.17% 24.25% 58.58%-1.07 -14.0 6
2022-02-19 @ Kriens W 5-032.6 1518 1302 58.58% 24.25% 17.17%+1.07 +14.0 41
2022-02-19 Schaffhausen W 3-261.6 1425 1510 29.10% 29.62% 41.27%-0.12 +6.0 28
2022-02-19 @ Wil L 2-361.6 1510 1425 41.27% 29.62% 29.10%+0.12 -6.0 30
2022-02-19 Yverdon-Sport W 2-043.2 1525 1459 49.83% 27.70% 22.46%+0.98 +7.9 38
2022-02-19 @ Vaduz L 0-243.2 1459 1525 22.46% 27.70% 49.83%-0.98 -7.9 30
2022-02-22 Thun W 1-049.9 1504 1493 42.36% 29.47% 28.18%+0.58 +5.1 33
2022-02-22 @ Schaffhausen L 0-149.9 1493 1504 28.18% 29.47% 42.36%-0.58 -5.1 30
2022-02-25 Kriens W 2-141.8 1434 1288 59.94% 23.60% 16.46%+1.56 +2.9 33
2022-02-25 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 1-241.8 1288 1434 16.46% 23.60% 59.94%-1.56 -2.9 6
2022-02-25 Thun D 2-264.2 1451 1488 35.51% 30.04% 34.45%+0.23 -0.0 31
2022-02-25 @ Yverdon-Sport D 2-264.2 1488 1451 34.45% 30.04% 35.51%-0.23 +0.0 31
2022-02-25 Vaduz W 2-049.3 1477 1533 32.95% 30.00% 37.05%+0.10 +11.7 33
2022-02-25 @ Lausanne-Ouchy L 0-249.3 1533 1477 37.05% 30.00% 32.95%-0.10 -11.7 38
2022-02-25 Wil W 2-149.9 1532 1431 54.38% 26.08% 19.54%+1.23 +3.4 44
2022-02-25 @ Aarau L 1-249.9 1431 1532 19.54% 26.08% 54.38%-1.23 -3.4 28
2022-02-25 Winterthur W 3-262.0 1509 1520 39.30% 29.85% 30.86%+0.42 +4.9 36
2022-02-25 @ Schaffhausen L 2-362.0 1520 1509 30.86% 29.85% 39.30%-0.42 -4.9 39
2022-02-28 Aarau L 0-251.5 1521 1536 38.67% 29.90% 31.43%+0.39 -12.1 38
2022-02-28 @ Vaduz W 2-051.5 1536 1521 31.43% 29.90% 38.67%-0.39 +12.1 47
2022-02-28 Yverdon-Sport W 2-042.6 1515 1451 49.55% 27.79% 22.66%+0.96 +8.0 42
2022-02-28 @ Winterthur L 0-242.6 1451 1515 22.66% 27.79% 49.55%-0.96 -8.0 31
2022-03-01 Kriens W 3-138.3 1428 1285 59.50% 23.81% 16.69%+1.53 +5.0 31
2022-03-01 @ Wil L 1-338.3 1285 1428 16.69% 23.81% 59.50%-1.53 -5.0 6
2022-03-01 Lausanne-Ouchy L 0-154.9 1514 1489 44.24% 29.14% 26.63%+0.68 -7.1 36
2022-03-01 @ Schaffhausen W 1-054.9 1489 1514 26.63% 29.14% 44.24%-0.68 +7.1 36
2022-03-01 Neuchatel Xamax L 1-257.6 1488 1437 47.77% 28.31% 23.92%+0.86 -7.1 31
2022-03-01 @ Thun W 2-157.6 1437 1488 23.92% 28.31% 47.77%-0.86 +7.1 36
2022-03-04 Schaffhausen L 3-470.5 1548 1507 46.48% 28.64% 24.88%+0.79 -6.4 47
2022-03-04 @ Aarau W 4-370.5 1507 1548 24.88% 28.64% 46.48%-0.79 +6.4 39
2022-03-04 Vaduz L 2-455.2 1444 1509 31.66% 29.92% 38.42%+0.03 -8.1 36
2022-03-04 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 4-255.2 1509 1444 38.42% 29.92% 31.66%-0.03 +8.1 41
2022-03-04 Wil D 2-262.3 1443 1433 42.19% 29.49% 28.32%+0.57 -0.3 32
2022-03-04 @ Yverdon-Sport D 2-262.3 1433 1443 28.32% 29.49% 42.19%-0.57 +0.3 32
2022-03-04 Winterthur W 3-153.7 1496 1523 37.04% 30.00% 32.97%+0.30 +9.4 39
2022-03-04 @ Lausanne-Ouchy L 1-353.7 1523 1496 32.97% 30.00% 37.04%-0.30 -9.4 42
2022-03-05 Thun L 0-138.6 1280 1481 18.23% 25.13% 56.64%-0.96 -3.4 6
2022-03-05 @ Kriens W 1-038.6 1481 1280 56.64% 25.13% 18.23%+0.96 +3.4 34
2022-03-11 Aarau W 4-259.5 1513 1542 36.77% 30.01% 33.22%+0.29 +8.4 45
2022-03-11 @ Winterthur L 2-459.5 1542 1513 33.22% 30.01% 36.77%-0.29 -8.4 47
2022-03-11 Yverdon-Sport W 3-147.3 1513 1442 50.46% 27.50% 22.04%+1.01 +6.7 42
2022-03-11 @ Schaffhausen L 1-347.3 1442 1513 22.04% 27.50% 50.46%-1.01 -6.7 32
2022-03-12 Kriens W 3-245.1 1517 1276 70.54% 17.84% 11.61%+2.24 +1.8 44
2022-03-12 @ Vaduz L 2-345.1 1276 1517 11.61% 17.84% 70.54%-2.24 -1.8 6
2022-03-12 Lausanne-Ouchy W 2-155.9 1484 1506 37.73% 29.96% 32.31%+0.34 +5.3 37
2022-03-12 @ Thun L 1-255.9 1506 1484 32.31% 29.96% 37.73%-0.34 -5.3 39
2022-03-12 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-042.1 1433 1436 40.37% 29.74% 29.89%+0.48 +10.0 35
2022-03-12 @ Wil L 0-242.1 1436 1433 29.89% 29.74% 40.37%-0.48 -10.0 36
2022-03-18 Thun L 0-251.2 1519 1489 44.87% 29.01% 26.12%+0.71 -13.5 44
2022-03-18 @ Vaduz W 2-051.2 1489 1519 26.12% 29.01% 44.87%-0.71 +13.5 40
2022-03-18 Winterthur D 0-055.6 1426 1522 27.80% 29.40% 42.80%-0.20 +0.5 37
2022-03-18 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 0-055.6 1522 1426 42.80% 29.40% 27.80%+0.20 -0.5 46
2022-03-19 Schaffhausen D 0-053.1 1275 1520 15.43% 22.56% 62.01%-1.28 +1.8 7
2022-03-19 @ Kriens D 0-053.1 1520 1275 62.01% 22.56% 15.43%+1.28 -1.8 43
2022-03-19 Wil D 1-159.6 1500 1443 48.65% 28.06% 23.29%+0.91 -0.8 40
2022-03-19 @ Lausanne-Ouchy D 1-159.6 1443 1500 23.29% 28.06% 48.65%-0.91 +0.8 36
2022-03-19 Yverdon-Sport L 0-251.7 1533 1436 53.90% 26.27% 19.84%+1.20 -15.5 47
2022-03-19 @ Aarau W 2-051.7 1436 1533 19.84% 26.27% 53.90%-1.20 +15.5 35
2022-04-01 Aarau L 3-462.6 1444 1518 30.49% 29.81% 39.70%-0.04 -4.7 36
2022-04-01 @ Wil W 4-362.6 1518 1444 39.70% 29.81% 30.49%+0.04 +4.7 50
2022-04-01 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-149.6 1518 1426 53.15% 26.56% 20.29%+1.16 +3.6 46
2022-04-01 @ Schaffhausen L 1-249.6 1426 1518 20.29% 26.56% 53.15%-1.16 -3.6 37
2022-04-01 Vaduz L 1-448.6 1451 1505 33.10% 30.00% 36.90%+0.10 -13.3 35
2022-04-01 @ Yverdon-Sport W 4-148.6 1505 1451 36.90% 30.00% 33.10%-0.10 +13.3 47
2022-04-02 Kriens W 3-136.6 1503 1277 69.05% 18.71% 12.24%+2.14 +3.5 43
2022-04-02 @ Thun L 1-336.6 1277 1503 12.24% 18.71% 69.05%-2.14 -3.5 7
2022-04-02 Lausanne-Ouchy W 2-155.2 1521 1499 43.82% 29.22% 26.96%+0.65 +4.6 49
2022-04-02 @ Winterthur L 1-255.2 1499 1521 26.96% 29.22% 43.82%-0.65 -4.6 40
2022-04-08 Thun W 4-149.9 1423 1506 29.28% 29.65% 41.07%-0.11 +15.5 40
2022-04-08 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 1-449.9 1506 1423 41.07% 29.65% 29.28%+0.11 -15.5 43
2022-04-08 Winterthur L 0-348.9 1522 1526 40.30% 29.74% 29.96%+0.47 -18.1 50
2022-04-08 @ Aarau W 3-048.9 1526 1522 29.96% 29.74% 40.30%-0.47 +18.1 52
2022-04-09 Wil W 2-153.4 1273 1439 20.87% 26.89% 52.24%-0.71 +7.6 10
2022-04-09 @ Kriens L 1-253.4 1439 1273 52.24% 26.89% 20.87%+0.71 -7.6 36
2022-04-09 Yverdon-Sport L 0-153.3 1495 1438 48.61% 28.07% 23.32%+0.91 -7.6 40
2022-04-09 @ Lausanne-Ouchy W 1-053.3 1438 1495 23.32% 28.07% 48.61%-0.91 +7.6 38
2022-04-10 Schaffhausen L 2-365.2 1518 1522 40.33% 29.74% 29.93%+0.47 -5.9 47
2022-04-10 @ Vaduz W 3-265.2 1522 1518 29.93% 29.74% 40.33%-0.47 +5.9 49
2022-04-16 Lausanne-Ouchy W 3-043.3 1432 1487 32.89% 29.99% 37.12%+0.09 +17.1 39
2022-04-16 @ Wil L 0-343.3 1487 1432 37.12% 29.99% 32.89%-0.09 -17.0 40
2022-04-16 Neuchatel Xamax L 0-532.9 1281 1438 21.57% 27.27% 51.15%-0.65 -17.8 10
2022-04-16 @ Kriens W 5-032.9 1438 1281 51.15% 27.27% 21.57%+0.65 +17.8 43
2022-04-16 Vaduz W 4-257.0 1544 1513 45.15% 28.95% 25.90%+0.72 +6.9 55
2022-04-16 @ Winterthur L 2-457.0 1513 1544 25.90% 28.95% 45.15%-0.72 -6.9 47
2022-04-18 Aarau W 2-155.7 1491 1504 38.89% 29.88% 31.23%+0.40 +5.2 46
2022-04-18 @ Thun L 1-255.7 1504 1491 31.23% 29.88% 38.89%-0.40 -5.2 50
2022-04-18 Schaffhausen L 0-149.5 1445 1528 29.43% 29.67% 40.89%-0.10 -5.3 38
2022-04-18 @ Yverdon-Sport W 1-049.5 1528 1445 40.89% 29.67% 29.43%+0.10 +5.3 52
2022-04-22 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-043.1 1506 1456 47.60% 28.35% 24.04%+0.86 +8.4 50
2022-04-22 @ Vaduz L 0-243.1 1456 1506 24.04% 28.35% 47.60%-0.86 -8.4 43
2022-04-22 Wil W 5-248.2 1533 1449 52.19% 26.91% 20.90%+1.11 +7.8 55
2022-04-22 @ Schaffhausen L 2-548.2 1449 1533 20.90% 26.91% 52.19%-1.11 -7.8 39
2022-04-23 Kriens W 3-244.6 1499 1263 70.09% 18.11% 11.80%+2.21 +1.8 53
2022-04-23 @ Aarau L 2-344.6 1263 1499 11.80% 18.11% 70.09%-2.21 -1.8 10
2022-04-23 Thun W 3-151.7 1470 1496 37.11% 29.99% 32.89%+0.31 +9.3 43
2022-04-23 @ Lausanne-Ouchy L 1-351.7 1496 1470 32.89% 29.99% 37.11%-0.31 -9.3 46
2022-04-24 Winterthur D 2-266.4 1440 1551 26.14% 29.01% 44.85%-0.31 +0.5 39
2022-04-24 @ Yverdon-Sport D 2-266.4 1551 1440 44.85% 29.01% 26.14%+0.31 -0.5 56
2022-04-29 Aarau L 0-343.2 1448 1501 33.23% 30.01% 36.76%+0.11 -15.8 43
2022-04-29 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 3-043.2 1501 1448 36.76% 30.01% 33.23%-0.11 +15.8 56
2022-04-29 Schaffhausen D 1-164.6 1550 1541 42.14% 29.50% 28.36%+0.57 -0.4 57
2022-04-29 @ Winterthur D 1-164.6 1541 1550 28.36% 29.50% 42.14%-0.57 +0.4 56
2022-04-30 Lausanne-Ouchy W 2-154.9 1261 1480 17.05% 24.14% 58.81%-1.09 +8.3 13
2022-04-30 @ Kriens L 1-254.9 1480 1261 58.81% 24.14% 17.05%+1.09 -8.3 43
2022-04-30 Vaduz W 3-045.1 1487 1514 36.90% 30.00% 33.09%+0.30 +15.7 49
2022-04-30 @ Thun L 0-345.1 1514 1487 33.09% 30.00% 36.90%-0.30 -15.7 50
2022-04-30 Yverdon-Sport D 2-262.4 1441 1441 40.81% 29.68% 29.50%+0.50 -0.3 40
2022-04-30 @ Wil D 2-262.4 1441 1441 29.50% 29.68% 40.81%-0.50 +0.3 40
2022-05-06 Aarau L 0-441.8 1441 1517 30.24% 29.78% 39.98%-0.05 -19.2 40
2022-05-06 @ Yverdon-Sport W 4-041.8 1517 1441 39.98% 29.78% 30.24%+0.05 +19.2 59
2022-05-06 Kriens W 4-133.0 1541 1269 73.73% 15.97% 10.31%+2.47 +3.9 59
2022-05-06 @ Schaffhausen L 1-433.0 1269 1541 10.31% 15.97% 73.73%-2.47 -3.9 13
2022-05-06 Neuchatel Xamax L 1-353.1 1471 1432 46.22% 28.70% 25.07%+0.78 -12.0 43
2022-05-06 @ Lausanne-Ouchy W 3-153.1 1432 1471 25.07% 28.70% 46.22%-0.78 +12.0 46
2022-05-06 Thun D 2-268.9 1550 1502 47.34% 28.42% 24.23%+0.84 -0.6 58
2022-05-06 @ Winterthur D 2-268.9 1502 1550 24.23% 28.42% 47.34%-0.84 +0.6 50
2022-05-06 Wil W 5-247.7 1498 1441 48.71% 28.04% 23.25%+0.92 +8.6 53
2022-05-06 @ Vaduz L 2-547.7 1441 1498 23.25% 28.04% 48.71%-0.92 -8.6 40
2022-05-09 Lausanne-Ouchy W 2-152.0 1536 1459 51.20% 27.26% 21.55%+1.05 +3.8 62
2022-05-09 @ Aarau L 1-252.0 1459 1536 21.55% 27.26% 51.20%-1.05 -3.8 43
2022-05-09 Winterthur D 1-160.8 1432 1549 25.41% 28.81% 45.78%-0.36 +0.7 41
2022-05-09 @ Wil D 1-160.8 1549 1432 45.78% 28.81% 25.41%+0.36 -0.7 59
2022-05-10 Schaffhausen L 2-555.8 1503 1545 34.78% 30.04% 35.18%+0.19 -11.9 50
2022-05-10 @ Thun W 5-255.8 1545 1503 35.18% 30.04% 34.78%-0.19 +11.9 62
2022-05-10 Vaduz L 0-137.4 1265 1507 15.65% 22.79% 61.57%-1.26 -2.9 13
2022-05-10 @ Kriens W 1-037.4 1507 1265 61.57% 22.79% 15.65%+1.26 +2.9 56
2022-05-10 Yverdon-Sport D 1-156.7 1444 1422 43.89% 29.20% 26.91%+0.66 -0.6 47
2022-05-10 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 1-156.7 1422 1444 26.91% 29.20% 43.89%-0.66 +0.5 41
2022-05-14 Aarau L 0-158.0 1557 1540 43.21% 29.33% 27.46%+0.62 -7.0 62
2022-05-14 @ Schaffhausen W 1-058.0 1540 1557 27.46% 29.33% 43.21%-0.62 +7.0 65
2022-05-14 Kriens W 3-246.0 1422 1263 61.53% 22.81% 15.67%+1.65 +2.6 44
2022-05-14 @ Yverdon-Sport L 2-346.0 1263 1422 15.67% 22.81% 61.53%-1.65 -2.6 13
2022-05-14 Lausanne-Ouchy D 2-265.7 1510 1455 48.26% 28.17% 23.57%+0.89 -0.6 57
2022-05-14 @ Vaduz D 2-265.7 1455 1510 23.57% 28.17% 48.26%-0.89 +0.6 44
2022-05-14 Neuchatel Xamax W 3-147.4 1549 1443 54.88% 25.87% 19.24%+1.26 +5.9 62
2022-05-14 @ Winterthur L 1-347.4 1443 1549 19.24% 25.87% 54.88%-1.26 -5.9 47
2022-05-14 Thun L 1-253.5 1433 1491 32.50% 29.97% 37.53%+0.07 -5.3 41
2022-05-14 @ Wil W 2-153.5 1491 1433 37.53% 29.97% 32.50%-0.07 +5.3 53
2022-05-21 Schaffhausen L 1-255.0 1456 1550 28.02% 29.44% 42.54%-0.19 -4.8 44
2022-05-21 @ Lausanne-Ouchy W 2-155.0 1550 1456 42.54% 29.44% 28.02%+0.19 +4.8 65
2022-05-21 Vaduz L 1-262.0 1547 1509 45.98% 28.76% 25.26%+0.77 -6.9 65
2022-05-21 @ Aarau W 2-162.0 1509 1547 25.26% 28.76% 45.98%-0.77 +6.9 60
2022-05-21 Wil W 5-247.2 1438 1427 42.23% 29.49% 28.29%+0.57 +10.2 50
2022-05-21 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 2-547.2 1427 1438 28.29% 29.49% 42.23%-0.57 -10.2 41
2022-05-21 Winterthur L 0-529.7 1260 1555 12.86% 19.53% 67.61%-1.64 -9.9 13
2022-05-21 @ Kriens W 5-029.7 1555 1260 67.61% 19.53% 12.86%+1.64 +9.9 65
2022-05-21 Yverdon-Sport W 2-149.5 1496 1425 50.54% 27.48% 21.98%+1.02 +3.9 56
2022-05-21 @ Thun L 1-249.5 1425 1496 21.98% 27.48% 50.54%-1.02 -3.9 44

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2022-05-26 Luzern D 2-2 1555 1643 28.71% 29.56% 41.73%-0.14 +0.3 1
2022-05-26 @ Schaffhausen D 2-2 1643 1555 41.73% 29.56% 28.71%+0.14 -0.3 1
2022-05-29 Schaffhausen W 2-0 1643 1555 52.61% 26.76% 20.63%+1.13 +7.3 4
2022-05-29 @ Luzern L 0-2 1555 1643 20.63% 26.76% 52.61%-1.13 -7.3 1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2022-04-30 17.05% @ Kriens 1261 2 Lausanne-Ouchy 1480 1
2 2022-03-19 19.84% Yverdon-Sport 1436 2 @ Aarau 1533 0
3 2022-04-09 20.87% @ Kriens 1273 2 Wil 1439 1
4 2021-11-20 21.39% Wil 1448 2 @ Vaduz 1527 1
5 2021-08-01 21.71% Neuchatel Xamax 1442 2 @ Vaduz 1517 1
6 2022-04-09 23.32% Yverdon-Sport 1438 1 @ Lausanne-Ouchy 1495 0
7 2021-10-30 23.89% @ Kriens 1359 1 Lausanne-Ouchy 1491 0
8 2022-03-01 23.92% Neuchatel Xamax 1437 2 @ Thun 1488 1
9 2021-09-25 24.26% @ Yverdon-Sport 1403 2 Vaduz 1532 0
10 2021-12-04 24.81% Wil 1456 4 @ Thun 1497 2
11 2022-03-04 24.88% Schaffhausen 1507 4 @ Aarau 1548 3
12 2022-05-06 25.07% Neuchatel Xamax 1432 3 @ Lausanne-Ouchy 1471 1
13 2021-08-06 25.20% Aarau 1480 2 @ Thun 1518 1
14 2022-05-21 25.26% Vaduz 1509 2 @ Aarau 1547 1
15 2022-03-18 26.12% Thun 1489 2 @ Vaduz 1519 0
16 2022-03-01 26.63% Lausanne-Ouchy 1489 1 @ Schaffhausen 1514 0
17 2021-10-15 26.95% Winterthur 1489 2 @ Thun 1510 0
18 2021-10-01 27.29% Thun 1499 3 @ Vaduz 1518 1
19 2022-05-14 27.46% Aarau 1540 1 @ Schaffhausen 1557 0
20 2021-10-15 27.49% Aarau 1487 2 @ Lausanne-Ouchy 1504 0
21 2021-11-26 28.14% Schaffhausen 1495 5 @ Winterthur 1506 2
22 2021-09-22 28.68% Yverdon-Sport 1390 2 @ Kriens 1397 0
23 2022-02-19 29.10% @ Wil 1425 3 Schaffhausen 1510 2
24 2021-10-22 29.16% Thun 1497 2 @ Aarau 1500 0
25 2022-04-08 29.28% @ Neuchatel Xamax 1423 4 Thun 1506 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-10-01 21.11 @ Schaffhausen 4 1452 35.57% Neuchatel Xamax 0 1488 34.40% 30.04%
2 2022-05-06 19.22 Aarau 4 1517 39.98% @ Yverdon-Sport 0 1441 30.24% 29.78%
3 2021-08-06 18.33 @ Neuchatel Xamax 4 1450 42.04% Kriens 0 1441 28.44% 29.52%
4 2022-04-08 18.10 Winterthur 3 1526 29.96% @ Aarau 0 1522 40.30% 29.74%
5 2022-04-16 17.79 Neuchatel Xamax 5 1438 51.15% @ Kriens 0 1281 21.57% 27.27%
6 2021-11-05 17.48 Schaffhausen 3 1467 31.68% @ Neuchatel Xamax 0 1451 38.40% 29.92%
7 2022-04-16 17.05 @ Wil 3 1432 32.89% Lausanne-Ouchy 0 1487 37.12% 29.99%
8 2021-08-20 16.50 @ Winterthur 3 1467 34.52% Thun 0 1511 35.44% 30.04%
9 2021-09-25 16.34 @ Lausanne-Ouchy 5 1483 53.95% Kriens 0 1385 19.80% 26.25%
10 2021-10-16 15.85 @ Yverdon-Sport 3 1413 36.50% Wil 0 1443 33.48% 30.02%
11 2022-04-29 15.77 Aarau 3 1501 36.76% @ Neuchatel Xamax 0 1448 33.23% 30.01%
12 2022-04-30 15.72 @ Thun 3 1487 36.90% Vaduz 0 1514 33.09% 30.00%
13 2022-02-12 15.71 @ Winterthur 4 1494 48.15% Wil 0 1441 23.65% 28.20%
14 2022-03-19 15.52 Yverdon-Sport 2 1436 19.84% @ Aarau 0 1533 53.90% 26.27%
15 2022-04-08 15.47 @ Neuchatel Xamax 4 1423 29.28% Thun 1 1506 41.07% 29.65%
16 2021-11-06 14.93 @ Wil 4 1433 49.96% Kriens 0 1366 22.37% 27.66%
17 2021-09-25 14.05 @ Yverdon-Sport 2 1403 24.26% Vaduz 0 1532 47.30% 28.43%
18 2022-02-19 14.04 Aarau 5 1518 58.58% @ Kriens 0 1302 17.17% 24.25%
19 2021-11-26 13.73 Schaffhausen 5 1495 28.14% @ Winterthur 2 1506 42.40% 29.46%
20 2021-12-10 13.73 Thun 4 1487 35.22% @ Neuchatel Xamax 1 1444 34.74% 30.04%
21 2022-03-18 13.50 Thun 2 1489 26.12% @ Vaduz 0 1519 44.87% 29.01%
22 2021-10-15 13.26 Winterthur 2 1489 26.95% @ Thun 0 1510 43.83% 29.21%
23 2022-04-01 13.26 Vaduz 4 1505 36.90% @ Yverdon-Sport 1 1451 33.10% 30.00%
24 2021-08-07 13.16 @ Wil 3 1435 44.69% Yverdon-Sport 0 1406 26.26% 29.04%
25 2021-08-29 13.14 @ Neuchatel Xamax 3 1476 44.73% Wil 0 1448 26.24% 29.04%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-01-30 72.7 @ Wil 4 1453 29.54% Vaduz 4 1534 40.77% 29.69%
2 2022-03-04 70.5 Schaffhausen 4 1507 24.88% @ Aarau 3 1548 46.48% 28.64%
3 2022-05-06 68.9 @ Winterthur 2 1550 47.34% Thun 2 1502 24.23% 28.42%
4 2021-10-30 67.6 @ Schaffhausen 3 1468 45.65% Wil 3 1433 25.51% 28.84%
5 2021-12-17 66.8 @ Thun 2 1500 39.77% Schaffhausen 2 1508 30.43% 29.80%
6 2022-04-24 66.4 @ Yverdon-Sport 2 1440 26.14% Winterthur 2 1551 44.85% 29.01%
7 2021-12-10 66.3 @ Vaduz 2 1530 52.96% Yverdon-Sport 2 1439 20.42% 26.63%
8 2022-05-14 65.7 @ Vaduz 2 1510 48.26% Lausanne-Ouchy 2 1455 23.57% 28.17%
9 2022-04-10 65.2 Schaffhausen 3 1522 29.93% @ Vaduz 2 1518 40.33% 29.74%
10 2022-04-29 64.6 @ Winterthur 1 1550 42.14% Schaffhausen 1 1541 28.36% 29.50%
11 2021-09-11 64.3 @ Wil 2 1447 33.93% Thun 2 1495 36.04% 30.03%
12 2022-02-25 64.2 @ Yverdon-Sport 2 1451 35.51% Thun 2 1488 34.45% 30.04%
13 2021-11-27 64.0 @ Wil 2 1456 37.69% Aarau 2 1478 32.35% 29.96%
14 2021-12-19 63.1 Vaduz 3 1529 34.55% @ Winterthur 2 1491 35.42% 30.04%
15 2022-04-01 62.6 Aarau 4 1518 39.70% @ Wil 3 1444 30.49% 29.81%
16 2022-04-30 62.4 @ Wil 2 1441 40.81% Yverdon-Sport 2 1441 29.50% 29.68%
17 2021-11-05 62.3 @ Thun 1 1503 37.48% Vaduz 1 1526 32.55% 29.98%
18 2022-03-04 62.3 @ Yverdon-Sport 2 1443 42.19% Wil 2 1433 28.32% 29.49%
19 2022-02-25 62.0 @ Schaffhausen 3 1509 39.30% Winterthur 2 1520 30.86% 29.85%
20 2022-05-21 62.0 Vaduz 2 1509 25.26% @ Aarau 1 1547 45.98% 28.76%
21 2022-02-19 61.6 @ Wil 3 1425 29.10% Schaffhausen 2 1510 41.27% 29.62%
22 2022-05-09 60.8 @ Wil 1 1432 25.41% Winterthur 1 1549 45.78% 28.81%
23 2021-11-20 60.2 Wil 2 1448 21.39% @ Vaduz 1 1527 51.44% 27.18%
24 2021-08-06 59.9 Aarau 2 1480 25.20% @ Thun 1 1518 46.06% 28.74%
25 2021-09-25 59.9 @ Thun 3 1494 40.97% Neuchatel Xamax 2 1493 29.36% 29.66%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-05-21 29.7 Winterthur 5 1555 67.61% @ Kriens 0 1260 12.86% 19.53%
2 2022-01-30 31.5 @ Winterthur 3 1486 61.72% Kriens 0 1324 15.57% 22.71%
3 2022-02-19 32.6 Aarau 5 1518 58.58% @ Kriens 0 1302 17.17% 24.25%
4 2022-04-16 32.9 Neuchatel Xamax 5 1438 51.15% @ Kriens 0 1281 21.57% 27.27%
5 2022-05-06 33.0 @ Schaffhausen 4 1541 73.73% Kriens 1 1269 10.31% 15.97%
6 2021-11-06 34.1 @ Wil 4 1433 49.96% Kriens 0 1366 22.37% 27.66%
7 2022-02-05 34.8 Yverdon-Sport 3 1447 47.53% @ Kriens 0 1317 24.09% 28.37%
8 2021-09-25 35.2 @ Lausanne-Ouchy 5 1483 53.95% Kriens 0 1385 19.80% 26.25%
9 2021-12-17 35.2 @ Yverdon-Sport 2 1440 55.38% Kriens 0 1331 18.96% 25.67%
10 2022-04-02 36.6 @ Thun 3 1503 69.05% Kriens 1 1277 12.24% 18.71%
11 2021-08-07 37.4 @ Wil 3 1435 44.69% Yverdon-Sport 0 1406 26.26% 29.04%
12 2021-10-23 37.4 @ Winterthur 6 1502 58.13% Kriens 1 1370 17.41% 24.45%
13 2022-05-10 37.4 Vaduz 1 1507 61.57% @ Kriens 0 1265 15.65% 22.79%
14 2021-08-03 37.5 @ Thun 3 1508 53.02% Yverdon-Sport 0 1417 20.37% 26.60%
15 2022-03-01 38.3 @ Wil 3 1428 59.50% Kriens 1 1285 16.69% 23.81%
16 2022-02-12 38.6 @ Winterthur 4 1494 48.15% Wil 0 1441 23.65% 28.20%
17 2022-03-05 38.6 Thun 1 1481 56.64% @ Kriens 0 1280 18.23% 25.13%
18 2021-08-06 38.9 @ Neuchatel Xamax 4 1450 42.04% Kriens 0 1441 28.44% 29.52%
19 2021-08-29 39.9 @ Neuchatel Xamax 3 1476 44.73% Wil 0 1448 26.24% 29.04%
20 2021-10-16 40.2 @ Yverdon-Sport 3 1413 36.50% Wil 0 1443 33.48% 30.02%
21 2022-02-05 40.2 @ Thun 3 1500 47.27% Wil 0 1453 24.29% 28.44%
22 2021-11-26 40.7 @ Thun 3 1492 59.96% Kriens 1 1346 16.45% 23.59%
23 2021-09-12 41.7 @ Vaduz 4 1515 55.36% Kriens 1 1406 18.96% 25.67%
24 2022-02-25 41.8 @ Neuchatel Xamax 2 1434 59.94% Kriens 1 1288 16.46% 23.60%
25 2022-05-06 41.8 Aarau 4 1517 39.98% @ Yverdon-Sport 0 1441 30.24% 29.78%