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2022-23 Challenge League Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Yverdon-Sport

17.26 points above expected

66 points · 48.74 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Neuchatel Xamax

15.23 points below expected

24 points · 39.23 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Yverdon-Sport 36 20 6 10 66 64 53 +11 48.74 +17.26
2 Lausanne-Sport 36 17 10 9 61 58 43 +15 54.32 +6.68
3 Lausanne-Ouchy 36 17 9 10 60 70 53 +17 48.66 +11.34
4 Aarau 36 15 12 9 57 63 57 +6 51.82 +5.18
5 Wil 36 16 8 12 56 62 52 +10 48.17 +7.83
6 Thun 36 12 13 11 49 62 55 +7 50.62 -1.62
7 Schaffhausen 36 12 8 16 44 51 59 -8 48.84 -4.84
8 Vaduz 36 7 16 13 37 54 56 -2 45.68 -8.68
9 Bellinzona 36 11 4 21 37 38 71 -33 43.89 -6.89
10 Neuchatel Xamax 36 4 12 20 24 42 65 -23 39.23 -15.23

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Yverdon-Sport 66 48.74 +17.26
2 Lausanne-Ouchy 60 48.66 +11.34
3 Wil 56 48.17 +7.83
4 Lausanne-Sport 61 54.32 +6.68
5 Aarau 57 51.82 +5.18

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Neuchatel Xamax 24 39.23 -15.23
2 Vaduz 37 45.68 -8.68
3 Bellinzona 37 43.89 -6.89
4 Schaffhausen 44 48.84 -4.84
5 Thun 49 50.62 -1.62

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Yverdon-Sport 4 Oct 14 – Oct 28 1 in 173
2 Lausanne-Ouchy 4 Apr 28 – May 19 1 in 79
3 Aarau 4 Apr 8 – Apr 30 1 in 77
4 Wil 3 Jul 31 – Aug 12 1 in 47
5 Lausanne-Sport 3 Jan 29 – Feb 10 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Neuchatel Xamax 7 Jul 17 – Sep 3 1 in 708
2 Bellinzona 5 Nov 18 – Feb 12 1 in 256
3 Vaduz 4 Jul 31 – Aug 28 1 in 79
4 Wil 3 Mar 17 – Apr 8 1 in 40
5 Lausanne-Ouchy 3 Jan 29 – Feb 12 1 in 36

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wil 11 Oct 18 – Feb 17 1 in 56
2 Thun 9 Feb 5 – Apr 8 1 in 28
3 Aarau 9 Apr 8 – May 27 1 in 28
4 Neuchatel Xamax 6 Oct 17 – Nov 18 1 in 20
5 Lausanne-Sport 8 Nov 27 – Mar 10 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Thun 8 Apr 14 – May 27 1 in 83
2 Bellinzona 13 Nov 5 – Mar 31 1 in 81
3 Vaduz 10 Jul 15 – Oct 9 1 in 53
4 Schaffhausen 8 Oct 9 – Nov 19 1 in 27
5 Aarau 6 Sep 30 – Oct 28 1 in 24

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Yverdon-Sport 1521 66 +10 10 6.6 +3.4
Lausanne-Sport 1543 61 +6 8 7.2 +0.8
Lausanne-Ouchy 1535 60 +44 13 7.6 +5.4
Aarau 1533 57 +12 9 7.3 +1.7
Wil 1488 56 -16 4 6.8 -2.8
Thun 1516 49 -30 2 7.9 -5.9
Schaffhausen 1478 44 -7 7 6.9 +0.1
Bellinzona 1402 37 -10 6 5.0 +1.0
Vaduz 1490 37 +6 5 6.1 -1.1
Neuchatel Xamax 1401 24 -14 4 5.4 -1.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AAR BEL LAU LAU NX SCH THU VAD WIL YVE
Aarau —
3-0-1
6.01
1-1-2
5.65
0-2-2
5.20
2-2-0
6.38
3-1-0
5.71
2-2-0
5.50
1-1-2
6.03
2-1-1
5.47
1-2-1
5.77
Bellinzona
1-0-3
4.67
—
0-0-4
5.01
2-2-0
4.56
1-1-2
5.84
0-0-4
5.02
1-1-2
4.68
2-0-2
5.12
2-0-2
4.75
2-0-2
5.14
Lausanne-Ouchy
2-1-1
5.02
4-0-0
5.70
—
1-1-2
4.90
2-1-1
6.31
2-0-2
5.35
1-3-0
4.99
1-2-1
5.78
2-1-1
5.18
2-0-2
5.38
Lausanne-Sport
2-2-0
5.45
0-2-2
6.14
2-1-1
5.78
—
4-0-0
6.79
2-2-0
5.83
1-1-2
5.71
1-2-1
6.16
3-0-1
5.75
2-0-2
5.94
Neuchatel Xamax
0-2-2
4.32
2-1-1
4.82
1-1-2
4.38
0-0-4
3.95
—
0-3-1
4.63
0-2-2
4.29
1-2-1
4.64
0-1-3
4.46
0-0-4
4.59
Schaffhausen
0-1-3
4.96
4-0-0
5.65
2-0-2
5.30
0-2-2
4.82
1-3-0
6.05
—
2-0-2
5.28
2-2-0
5.63
1-0-3
5.23
0-0-4
5.59
Thun
0-2-2
5.17
2-1-1
6.03
0-3-1
5.65
2-1-1
4.96
2-2-0
6.41
2-0-2
5.39
—
2-2-0
5.52
1-2-1
5.46
1-0-3
5.61
Vaduz
2-1-1
4.63
2-0-2
5.52
1-2-1
4.88
1-2-1
4.53
1-2-1
6.03
0-2-2
5.02
0-2-2
5.15
—
0-2-2
5.32
0-3-1
5.19
Wil
1-1-2
5.21
2-0-2
5.92
1-1-2
5.47
1-0-3
4.92
3-1-0
6.23
3-0-1
5.43
1-2-1
5.18
2-2-0
5.33
—
2-1-1
5.48
Yverdon-Sport
1-2-1
4.88
2-0-2
5.56
2-0-2
5.26
2-0-2
4.72
4-0-0
6.09
4-0-0
5.07
3-0-1
5.03
1-3-0
5.49
1-1-2
5.16
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.70 +11.0
Allowed 0.56 -13.1
Differential 0.72 +6.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%5.83%6.39%1.67%1.94%0.83%21.67%
15.83%12.22%7.78%3.61%1.39%1.94%32.78%
26.39%7.78%7.22%2.78%0.83%0.28%25.28%
31.67%3.61%2.78%2.78%1.11%—11.94%
41.94%1.39%0.83%1.11%——5.28%
5+0.83%1.94%0.28%———3.06%
Total21.67%32.78%25.28%11.94%5.28%3.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 1.57 +0.00
SD 1.30 1.30 1.92
CV 0.83 0.83 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%2.78%—2.78%—13.89%
111.11%5.56%8.33%—2.78%2.78%30.56%
28.33%5.56%16.67%2.78%——33.33%
32.78%—5.56%5.56%——13.89%
42.78%——2.78%——5.56%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total30.56%13.89%36.11%11.11%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 1.58 +0.17
SD 1.20 1.42 1.80
CV 0.69 0.90 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.33%11.11%5.56%5.56%2.78%33.33%
111.11%11.11%11.11%5.56%2.78%5.56%47.22%
22.78%2.78%————5.56%
32.78%2.78%5.56%———11.11%
4———————
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total16.67%27.78%27.78%11.11%8.33%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.97 -0.92
SD 1.15 1.61 2.25
CV 1.08 0.82 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%2.78%—2.78%—16.67%
12.78%5.56%8.33%——2.78%19.44%
211.11%16.67%8.33%—2.78%—38.89%
3——2.78%2.78%5.56%—11.11%
4—5.56%2.78%———8.33%
5+5.56%—————5.56%
Total27.78%30.56%25.00%2.78%11.11%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.94 1.47 +0.47
SD 1.43 1.38 2.04
CV 0.74 0.94 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%2.78%—2.78%—27.78%
12.78%11.11%2.78%2.78%——19.44%
25.56%19.44%5.56%———30.56%
3—2.78%5.56%2.78%——11.11%
42.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total19.44%52.78%19.44%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.19 +0.42
SD 1.38 0.92 1.61
CV 0.86 0.77 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%11.11%———22.22%
1—25.00%16.67%5.56%—2.78%50.00%
2—5.56%2.78%8.33%—2.78%19.44%
32.78%——2.78%——5.56%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total8.33%38.89%30.56%16.67%—5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.81 -0.64
SD 0.94 1.26 1.53
CV 0.81 0.70 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%11.11%2.78%—2.78%25.00%
18.33%13.89%8.33%2.78%—2.78%36.11%
28.33%2.78%5.56%—2.78%—19.44%
3—2.78%2.78%—5.56%—11.11%
42.78%5.56%————8.33%
5+———————
Total22.22%30.56%27.78%5.56%8.33%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.64 -0.22
SD 1.23 1.42 1.96
CV 0.87 0.86 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.33%2.78%2.78%——13.89%
12.78%16.67%2.78%8.33%——30.56%
25.56%8.33%13.89%5.56%——33.33%
32.78%8.33%—5.56%——16.67%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total13.89%41.67%22.22%22.22%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 1.53 +0.19
SD 1.16 1.00 1.62
CV 0.67 0.65 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%11.11%2.78%——30.56%
12.78%16.67%2.78%5.56%2.78%—30.56%
22.78%2.78%11.11%2.78%2.78%—22.22%
3———5.56%——5.56%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+—8.33%————8.33%
Total19.44%33.33%25.00%16.67%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.56 -0.06
SD 1.63 1.16 1.98
CV 1.09 0.74 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%—5.56%2.78%2.78%—19.44%
18.33%11.11%13.89%—2.78%2.78%38.89%
28.33%—2.78%2.78%——13.89%
32.78%8.33%2.78%———13.89%
42.78%——5.56%——8.33%
5+—5.56%————5.56%
Total30.56%25.00%25.00%11.11%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 1.44 +0.28
SD 1.52 1.34 2.12
CV 0.88 0.93 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%2.78%2.78%—2.78%2.78%13.89%
18.33%5.56%2.78%5.56%2.78%—25.00%
211.11%13.89%5.56%5.56%——36.11%
32.78%11.11%2.78%2.78%——19.44%
42.78%——2.78%——5.56%
5+———————
Total27.78%33.33%13.89%16.67%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.78 1.47 +0.31
SD 1.10 1.36 1.92
CV 0.62 0.93 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Lausanne-Sport 1562 61 54.32 +6.68 79.0% 34 41 48 55 59 66 70
Lausanne-Ouchy 1535 60 48.66 +11.34 95.0% 27 37 44 48 53 60 67
Aarau 1533 57 51.82 +5.18 76.0% 35 40 46 52 57 63 69
Yverdon-Sport 1521 66 48.74 +17.26 100.0% 28 36 44 49 54 59 66
Thun 1516 49 50.62 -1.62 43.0% 33 36 45 51 56 62 71
Vaduz 1490 37 45.68 -8.68 10.0% 30 35 40 45 50 60 66
Wil 1488 56 48.17 +7.83 83.0% 33 37 43 47 52 61 62
Schaffhausen 1478 44 48.84 -4.84 31.0% 31 35 43 49 53 62 69
Bellinzona 1402 37 43.89 -6.89 17.0% 25 32 39 43 49 56 61
Neuchatel Xamax 1401 24 39.23 -15.23 4.0% 18 25 34 40 44 50 53

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+9.44%
No Edge
41.11%27.22%31.67%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 32.91 Elo pts.
265 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.24 goals
Neutral
-2+0.12+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
6.0
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
10%
Yverdon-Sport, 5th of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Comfortable
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.89 * Some Luck: 5.89 to 8.83 * Lucky: 8.83 to 11.77 * Wild Swing: 11.77 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.86 * Close: 1.86 to 2.79 * Off: 2.79 to 3.72 * Way Off: 3.72 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
9.63 points
Lucky
07.3618
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.80
Pinpoint
02.325
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
100.00%
Yverdon-Sport
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
4.00%
Neuchatel Xamax
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Even
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 51.84
1.71
Moderate Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
57%
Even
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
69%
Even
50%73%100%
Close Games
Expected
62%
Frequent
0%56%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Occasional
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.66
Hard to Predict
00.652
Matchup Imbalance
0.20
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.81
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
-0.26
Weak Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
33%
Very Upset-Prone
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Shaky
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.36
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.69
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.083
Well Within Noise
00.1150.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Yverdon-Sport10.00%12.00%12.00%12.00%13.00%8.00%11.00%4.00%10.00%8.00%
Lausanne-Sport30.00%19.00%12.00%10.00%8.00%6.00%6.00%1.00%6.00%2.00%
Lausanne-Ouchy7.00%10.00%18.00%8.00%9.00%14.00%11.00%11.00%8.00%4.00%
Aarau14.00%17.00%17.00%13.00%9.00%7.00%8.00%6.00%5.00%4.00%
Wil8.00%10.00%7.00%12.00%11.00%15.00%10.00%11.00%12.00%4.00%
Thun14.00%13.00%11.00%12.00%12.00%12.00%9.00%7.00%5.00%5.00%
Schaffhausen12.00%11.00%12.00%8.00%17.00%8.00%9.00%6.00%6.00%11.00%
Vaduz5.00%2.00%4.00%12.00%10.00%17.00%10.00%18.00%10.00%12.00%
Bellinzona—6.00%6.00%8.00%9.00%7.00%12.00%19.00%20.00%13.00%
Neuchatel Xamax——1.00%5.00%2.00%6.00%14.00%17.00%18.00%37.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Lost promotion playoff Same level Qualified for relegation playoff
Lausanne-Sport 49.00% 12.00% 37.00% 2.00%
Aarau 31.00% 17.00% 48.00% 4.00%
Thun 27.00% 11.00% 57.00% 5.00%
Schaffhausen 23.00% 12.00% 54.00% 11.00%
Yverdon-Sport 22.00% 12.00% 58.00% 8.00%
Wil 18.00% 7.00% 71.00% 4.00%
Vaduz 7.00% 4.00% 77.00% 12.00%
Bellinzona 6.00% 6.00% 75.00% 13.00%
Lausanne-Ouchy — 100% — —
Neuchatel Xamax — 1.00% 62.00% 37.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2022-07-15 Lausanne-Ouchy W 2-153.2 1458 1471 36.84% 34.00% 29.16%+0.07 +4.6 3
2022-07-15 @ Yverdon-Sport L 1-253.2 1471 1458 29.16% 34.00% 36.84%-0.07 -4.6 0
2022-07-15 Thun W 1-049.6 1514 1493 41.70% 33.24% 25.06%+0.20 +4.3 3
2022-07-15 @ Schaffhausen L 0-149.6 1493 1514 25.06% 33.24% 41.70%-0.20 -4.3 0
2022-07-15 Vaduz D 1-159.5 1510 1500 40.22% 33.53% 26.24%+0.16 -0.4 1
2022-07-15 @ Aarau D 1-159.5 1500 1510 26.24% 33.53% 40.22%-0.16 +0.4 1
2022-07-16 Lausanne-Sport W 1-050.4 1531 1505 42.45% 33.07% 24.48%+0.22 +4.3 3
2022-07-16 @ Bellinzona L 0-150.4 1505 1531 24.48% 33.07% 42.45%-0.22 -4.3 0
2022-07-17 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-044.7 1456 1469 36.82% 34.00% 29.18%+0.07 +9.2 3
2022-07-17 @ Wil L 0-244.7 1469 1456 29.18% 34.00% 36.82%-0.07 -9.2 0
2022-07-22 Aarau L 1-255.5 1460 1510 31.67% 34.17% 34.16%-0.06 -4.9 0
2022-07-22 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 2-155.5 1510 1460 34.16% 34.17% 31.67%+0.06 +4.8 4
2022-07-22 Bellinzona D 1-159.8 1488 1535 32.05% 34.18% 33.77%-0.05 +0.0 1
2022-07-22 @ Thun D 1-159.8 1535 1488 33.77% 34.18% 32.05%+0.05 -0.0 4
2022-07-22 Schaffhausen W 5-150.2 1500 1518 36.21% 34.05% 29.74%+0.06 +14.7 3
2022-07-22 @ Lausanne-Sport L 1-550.2 1518 1500 29.74% 34.05% 36.21%-0.06 -14.7 3
2022-07-23 Wil W 2-152.7 1466 1465 38.95% 33.74% 27.31%+0.13 +4.4 3
2022-07-23 @ Lausanne-Ouchy L 1-252.7 1465 1466 27.31% 33.74% 38.95%-0.13 -4.4 3
2022-07-24 Yverdon-Sport D 3-367.8 1500 1462 44.02% 32.67% 23.30%+0.27 -0.4 2
2022-07-24 @ Vaduz D 3-367.8 1462 1500 23.30% 32.67% 44.02%-0.27 +0.4 4
2022-07-29 Lausanne-Sport L 1-259.7 1515 1515 38.71% 33.78% 27.51%+0.12 -5.6 4
2022-07-29 @ Aarau W 2-159.7 1515 1515 27.51% 33.78% 38.71%-0.12 +5.6 6
2022-07-29 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-043.4 1504 1455 45.40% 32.28% 22.33%+0.31 +7.5 6
2022-07-29 @ Schaffhausen L 0-243.4 1455 1504 22.33% 32.28% 45.40%-0.31 -7.5 0
2022-07-29 Thun W 3-151.7 1463 1489 35.06% 34.13% 30.81%+0.03 +8.3 7
2022-07-29 @ Yverdon-Sport L 1-351.7 1489 1463 30.81% 34.13% 35.06%-0.03 -8.3 1
2022-07-30 Lausanne-Ouchy L 1-455.7 1535 1471 47.58% 31.55% 20.86%+0.37 -15.8 4
2022-07-30 @ Bellinzona W 4-155.7 1471 1535 20.86% 31.55% 47.58%-0.37 +15.8 6
2022-07-31 Vaduz W 2-047.1 1461 1500 33.16% 34.18% 32.66%-0.02 +9.9 6
2022-07-31 @ Wil L 0-247.1 1500 1461 32.66% 34.18% 33.16%+0.02 -9.9 2
2022-08-05 Aarau D 2-264.1 1480 1509 34.63% 34.15% 31.22%+0.01 -0.1 2
2022-08-05 @ Thun D 2-264.1 1509 1480 31.22% 34.15% 34.63%-0.01 +0.1 5
2022-08-05 Wil L 0-154.2 1511 1471 44.35% 32.58% 23.06%+0.28 -6.5 6
2022-08-05 @ Schaffhausen W 1-054.2 1471 1511 23.06% 32.58% 44.35%-0.28 +6.5 9
2022-08-05 Yverdon-Sport L 2-360.1 1448 1471 35.50% 34.10% 30.39%+0.04 -5.0 0
2022-08-05 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 3-260.1 1471 1448 30.39% 34.10% 35.50%-0.04 +5.0 10
2022-08-07 Bellinzona L 2-363.1 1490 1520 34.53% 34.15% 31.31%+0.01 -4.9 2
2022-08-07 @ Vaduz W 3-263.1 1520 1490 31.31% 34.15% 34.53%-0.01 +4.9 7
2022-08-07 Lausanne-Ouchy D 0-055.6 1521 1487 43.47% 32.82% 23.71%+0.25 -0.7 7
2022-08-07 @ Lausanne-Sport D 0-055.6 1487 1521 23.71% 32.82% 43.47%-0.25 +0.6 7
2022-08-12 Aarau L 0-449.6 1524 1509 40.87% 33.41% 25.72%+0.18 -21.9 7
2022-08-12 @ Bellinzona W 4-049.6 1509 1524 25.72% 33.41% 40.87%-0.18 +21.9 8
2022-08-12 Lausanne-Sport L 0-149.0 1443 1520 28.08% 33.86% 38.06%-0.17 -4.7 0
2022-08-12 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 1-049.0 1520 1443 38.06% 33.86% 28.08%+0.17 +4.7 10
2022-08-12 Wil L 1-354.0 1476 1477 38.57% 33.80% 27.64%+0.12 -9.6 10
2022-08-12 @ Yverdon-Sport W 3-154.0 1477 1476 27.64% 33.80% 38.57%-0.12 +9.6 12
2022-08-13 Schaffhausen L 0-249.3 1487 1505 36.30% 34.05% 29.65%+0.06 -10.6 7
2022-08-13 @ Lausanne-Ouchy W 2-049.3 1505 1487 29.65% 34.05% 36.30%-0.06 +10.6 9
2022-08-14 Thun L 2-459.0 1485 1480 39.43% 33.67% 26.90%+0.14 -8.7 2
2022-08-14 @ Vaduz W 4-259.0 1480 1485 26.90% 33.67% 39.43%-0.14 +8.7 5
2022-08-26 Thun D 1-158.1 1487 1489 38.43% 33.81% 27.75%+0.12 -0.3 13
2022-08-26 @ Wil D 1-158.1 1489 1487 27.75% 33.81% 38.43%-0.12 +0.3 6
2022-08-27 Lausanne-Ouchy D 3-369.7 1531 1477 46.26% 32.00% 21.74%+0.33 -0.5 9
2022-08-27 @ Aarau D 3-369.7 1477 1531 21.74% 32.00% 46.26%-0.33 +0.4 8
2022-08-27 Neuchatel Xamax W 3-147.6 1503 1438 47.55% 31.56% 20.89%+0.37 +6.1 10
2022-08-27 @ Bellinzona L 1-347.6 1438 1503 20.89% 31.56% 47.55%-0.37 -6.1 0
2022-08-27 Yverdon-Sport L 1-259.5 1515 1466 45.51% 32.24% 22.25%+0.31 -6.2 9
2022-08-27 @ Schaffhausen W 2-159.5 1466 1515 22.25% 32.24% 45.51%-0.31 +6.2 13
2022-08-28 Vaduz W 3-150.5 1525 1476 45.43% 32.27% 22.31%+0.31 +6.5 13
2022-08-28 @ Lausanne-Sport L 1-350.5 1476 1525 22.31% 32.27% 45.43%-0.31 -6.4 2
2022-09-02 Bellinzona L 0-151.5 1472 1509 33.59% 34.18% 32.23%-0.01 -5.4 13
2022-09-02 @ Yverdon-Sport W 1-051.5 1509 1472 32.23% 34.18% 33.59%+0.01 +5.4 13
2022-09-02 Lausanne-Sport W 2-049.4 1489 1531 32.76% 34.19% 33.05%-0.03 +10.0 9
2022-09-02 @ Thun L 0-249.4 1531 1489 33.05% 34.19% 32.76%+0.03 -10.0 13
2022-09-03 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-150.1 1477 1432 44.96% 32.41% 22.63%+0.29 +3.8 11
2022-09-03 @ Lausanne-Ouchy L 1-250.1 1432 1477 22.63% 32.41% 44.96%-0.29 -3.8 0
2022-09-03 Wil W 2-154.1 1531 1486 44.89% 32.43% 22.68%+0.29 +3.8 12
2022-09-03 @ Aarau L 1-254.1 1486 1531 22.68% 32.43% 44.89%-0.29 -3.8 13
2022-09-04 Schaffhausen D 1-158.1 1470 1509 33.18% 34.18% 32.64%-0.02 -0.0 3
2022-09-04 @ Vaduz D 1-158.1 1509 1470 32.64% 34.18% 33.18%+0.02 +0.0 10
2022-09-09 Aarau L 0-250.9 1509 1535 35.11% 34.13% 30.76%+0.03 -10.4 10
2022-09-09 @ Schaffhausen W 2-050.9 1535 1509 30.76% 34.13% 35.11%-0.03 +10.4 15
2022-09-10 Thun D 2-263.8 1481 1499 36.15% 34.06% 29.79%+0.06 -0.1 12
2022-09-10 @ Lausanne-Ouchy D 2-263.8 1499 1481 29.79% 34.06% 36.15%-0.06 +0.1 10
2022-09-11 Bellinzona W 5-150.0 1483 1514 34.28% 34.16% 31.56%+0.01 +15.3 16
2022-09-11 @ Wil L 1-550.0 1514 1483 31.56% 34.16% 34.28%-0.01 -15.3 13
2022-09-11 Vaduz D 1-155.3 1428 1470 32.83% 34.19% 32.98%-0.03 +0.0 1
2022-09-11 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 1-155.3 1470 1428 32.98% 34.19% 32.83%+0.03 +0.0 4
2022-09-11 Yverdon-Sport W 3-257.8 1521 1467 46.20% 32.02% 21.78%+0.33 +3.5 16
2022-09-11 @ Lausanne-Sport L 2-357.8 1467 1521 21.78% 32.02% 46.20%-0.33 -3.5 13
2022-09-30 Aarau D 2-264.9 1464 1545 27.54% 33.78% 38.68%-0.18 +0.2 14
2022-09-30 @ Yverdon-Sport D 2-264.9 1545 1464 38.68% 33.78% 27.54%+0.18 -0.2 16
2022-09-30 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-149.7 1499 1428 48.44% 31.24% 20.32%+0.39 +3.4 13
2022-09-30 @ Thun L 1-249.7 1428 1499 20.32% 31.24% 48.44%-0.39 -3.4 1
2022-09-30 Wil W 4-044.2 1525 1498 42.47% 33.07% 24.46%+0.23 +15.3 19
2022-09-30 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-444.2 1498 1525 24.46% 33.07% 42.47%-0.23 -15.3 16
2022-10-02 Lausanne-Ouchy L 0-248.0 1470 1481 37.21% 33.96% 28.83%+0.08 -10.8 4
2022-10-02 @ Vaduz W 2-048.0 1481 1470 28.83% 33.96% 37.21%-0.08 +10.8 15
2022-10-02 Schaffhausen L 1-355.7 1499 1499 38.76% 33.77% 27.47%+0.12 -9.6 13
2022-10-02 @ Bellinzona W 3-155.7 1499 1499 27.47% 33.77% 38.76%-0.12 +9.6 13
2022-10-07 Bellinzona W 4-044.0 1425 1489 29.73% 34.05% 36.22%-0.12 +20.2 4
2022-10-07 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 0-444.0 1489 1425 36.22% 34.05% 29.73%+0.12 -20.2 13
2022-10-07 Thun D 2-266.7 1545 1503 44.55% 32.52% 22.92%+0.28 -0.5 17
2022-10-07 @ Aarau D 2-266.7 1503 1545 22.92% 32.52% 44.55%-0.28 +0.5 14
2022-10-08 Lausanne-Sport W 2-158.5 1492 1540 31.86% 34.17% 33.97%-0.06 +5.1 18
2022-10-08 @ Lausanne-Ouchy L 1-258.5 1540 1492 33.97% 34.17% 31.86%+0.06 -5.1 19
2022-10-08 Yverdon-Sport W 4-041.7 1483 1464 41.38% 33.31% 25.31%+0.20 +15.7 19
2022-10-08 @ Wil L 0-441.7 1464 1483 25.31% 33.31% 41.38%-0.20 -15.7 14
2022-10-09 Vaduz D 2-263.8 1508 1459 45.53% 32.23% 22.23%+0.31 -0.5 14
2022-10-09 @ Schaffhausen D 2-263.8 1459 1508 22.23% 32.23% 45.53%-0.31 +0.5 5
2022-10-14 Lausanne-Ouchy L 0-250.5 1503 1497 39.68% 33.63% 26.70%+0.15 -11.3 14
2022-10-14 @ Thun W 2-050.5 1497 1503 26.70% 33.63% 39.68%-0.15 +11.3 21
2022-10-14 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-150.9 1535 1445 50.89% 30.25% 18.86%+0.46 +3.2 22
2022-10-14 @ Lausanne-Sport L 1-250.9 1445 1535 18.86% 30.25% 50.89%-0.46 -3.2 4
2022-10-14 Schaffhausen W 3-045.7 1448 1508 30.33% 34.10% 35.57%-0.10 +15.2 17
2022-10-14 @ Yverdon-Sport L 0-345.7 1508 1448 35.57% 34.10% 30.33%+0.10 -15.2 14
2022-10-15 Wil W 5-148.8 1469 1498 34.55% 34.15% 31.29%+0.01 +15.2 16
2022-10-15 @ Bellinzona L 1-548.8 1498 1469 31.29% 34.15% 34.55%-0.01 -15.2 19
2022-10-16 Aarau W 4-048.1 1460 1544 27.14% 33.71% 39.15%-0.20 +21.3 8
2022-10-16 @ Vaduz L 0-448.1 1544 1460 39.15% 33.71% 27.14%+0.20 -21.3 17
2022-10-17 Schaffhausen D 1-156.5 1442 1492 31.56% 34.16% 34.28%-0.07 +0.1 5
2022-10-17 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 1-156.5 1492 1442 34.28% 34.16% 31.56%+0.07 -0.1 15
2022-10-17 Yverdon-Sport L 1-355.1 1492 1463 42.72% 33.01% 24.27%+0.23 -10.3 14
2022-10-17 @ Thun W 3-155.1 1463 1492 24.27% 33.01% 42.72%-0.23 +10.3 20
2022-10-18 Lausanne-Sport W 1-053.3 1483 1538 30.95% 34.14% 34.92%-0.08 +5.5 22
2022-10-18 @ Wil L 0-153.3 1538 1483 34.92% 34.14% 30.95%+0.08 -5.5 22
2022-10-19 Bellinzona L 0-155.1 1523 1484 44.14% 32.64% 23.22%+0.27 -6.5 17
2022-10-19 @ Aarau W 1-055.1 1484 1523 23.22% 32.64% 44.14%-0.27 +6.5 19
2022-10-19 Vaduz L 1-552.6 1508 1481 42.53% 33.05% 24.41%+0.23 -18.8 21
2022-10-19 @ Lausanne-Ouchy W 5-152.6 1481 1508 24.41% 33.05% 42.53%-0.23 +18.8 11
2022-10-21 Thun W 2-153.7 1533 1482 45.77% 32.16% 22.07%+0.32 +3.7 25
2022-10-21 @ Lausanne-Sport L 1-253.7 1482 1533 22.07% 32.16% 45.77%-0.32 -3.7 14
2022-10-22 Lausanne-Ouchy L 0-249.7 1492 1489 39.20% 33.70% 27.10%+0.14 -11.2 15
2022-10-22 @ Schaffhausen W 2-049.7 1489 1492 27.10% 33.70% 39.20%-0.14 +11.2 24
2022-10-22 Yverdon-Sport L 1-257.9 1491 1474 41.10% 33.36% 25.53%+0.19 -5.8 19
2022-10-22 @ Bellinzona W 2-157.9 1474 1491 25.53% 33.36% 41.10%-0.19 +5.8 23
2022-10-23 Neuchatel Xamax D 3-368.2 1517 1442 48.90% 31.06% 20.04%+0.41 -0.5 18
2022-10-23 @ Aarau D 3-368.2 1442 1517 20.04% 31.06% 48.90%-0.41 +0.5 6
2022-10-23 Wil D 0-054.7 1500 1489 40.30% 33.52% 26.18%+0.17 -0.5 12
2022-10-23 @ Vaduz D 0-054.7 1489 1500 26.18% 33.52% 40.30%-0.17 +0.5 23
2022-10-28 Aarau W 2-156.5 1500 1516 36.54% 34.02% 29.43%+0.07 +4.6 27
2022-10-28 @ Lausanne-Ouchy L 1-256.5 1516 1500 29.43% 34.02% 36.54%-0.07 -4.6 18
2022-10-28 Lausanne-Sport W 4-047.4 1480 1536 30.71% 34.12% 35.17%-0.09 +19.8 26
2022-10-28 @ Yverdon-Sport L 0-447.4 1536 1480 35.17% 34.12% 30.71%+0.09 -19.8 25
2022-10-28 Schaffhausen W 4-362.2 1489 1481 39.86% 33.60% 26.54%+0.15 +4.0 26
2022-10-28 @ Wil L 3-462.2 1481 1489 26.54% 33.60% 39.86%-0.15 -4.0 15
2022-10-28 Thun D 2-261.6 1443 1478 33.71% 34.18% 32.11%-0.01 -0.0 7
2022-10-28 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 2-261.6 1478 1443 32.11% 34.18% 33.71%+0.01 +0.0 15
2022-10-30 Vaduz W 2-046.9 1485 1499 36.71% 34.01% 29.28%+0.07 +9.2 22
2022-10-30 @ Bellinzona L 0-246.9 1499 1485 29.28% 34.01% 36.71%-0.07 -9.2 12
2022-11-04 Lausanne-Sport D 0-054.7 1477 1516 33.15% 34.18% 32.67%-0.02 -0.0 16
2022-11-04 @ Schaffhausen D 0-054.7 1516 1477 32.67% 34.18% 33.15%+0.02 +0.0 26
2022-11-04 Wil L 1-354.2 1478 1493 36.61% 34.02% 29.37%+0.07 -9.3 15
2022-11-04 @ Thun W 3-154.2 1493 1478 29.37% 34.02% 36.61%-0.07 +9.3 29
2022-11-04 Yverdon-Sport W 3-260.4 1511 1499 40.44% 33.49% 26.07%+0.17 +4.0 21
2022-11-04 @ Aarau L 2-360.4 1499 1511 26.07% 33.49% 40.44%-0.17 -4.0 26
2022-11-05 Bellinzona W 2-154.8 1505 1494 40.30% 33.52% 26.18%+0.17 +4.2 30
2022-11-05 @ Lausanne-Ouchy L 1-254.8 1494 1505 26.18% 33.52% 40.30%-0.17 -4.2 22
2022-11-06 Neuchatel Xamax D 1-157.0 1490 1443 45.30% 32.31% 22.39%+0.30 -0.7 13
2022-11-06 @ Vaduz D 1-157.0 1443 1490 22.39% 32.31% 45.30%-0.30 +0.7 8
2022-11-11 Lausanne-Ouchy W 2-156.3 1443 1509 29.46% 34.03% 36.51%-0.13 +5.3 11
2022-11-11 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 1-256.3 1509 1443 36.51% 34.03% 29.46%+0.13 -5.3 30
2022-11-11 Schaffhausen W 2-153.6 1469 1477 37.55% 33.92% 28.53%+0.09 +4.5 18
2022-11-11 @ Thun L 1-253.6 1477 1469 28.53% 33.92% 37.55%-0.09 -4.5 16
2022-11-11 Vaduz W 3-151.6 1495 1489 39.59% 33.64% 26.77%+0.15 +7.5 29
2022-11-11 @ Yverdon-Sport L 1-351.6 1489 1495 26.77% 33.64% 39.59%-0.15 -7.5 13
2022-11-13 Aarau W 6-149.4 1502 1515 36.90% 33.99% 29.11%+0.07 +17.8 32
2022-11-13 @ Wil L 1-649.4 1515 1502 29.11% 33.99% 36.90%-0.07 -17.8 21
2022-11-13 Bellinzona D 1-159.5 1516 1490 42.48% 33.07% 24.46%+0.23 -0.5 27
2022-11-13 @ Lausanne-Sport D 1-159.5 1490 1516 24.46% 33.07% 42.48%-0.23 +0.5 23
2022-11-18 Thun L 1-355.0 1490 1473 41.13% 33.36% 25.51%+0.19 -10.1 23
2022-11-18 @ Bellinzona W 3-155.0 1473 1490 25.51% 33.36% 41.13%-0.19 +10.0 21
2022-11-18 Wil D 1-157.8 1449 1520 28.77% 33.95% 37.28%-0.15 +0.2 12
2022-11-18 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 1-157.8 1520 1449 37.28% 33.95% 28.77%+0.15 -0.2 33
2022-11-19 Schaffhausen W 1-048.1 1498 1473 42.23% 33.12% 24.65%+0.22 +4.3 24
2022-11-19 @ Aarau L 0-148.1 1473 1498 24.65% 33.12% 42.23%-0.22 -4.3 16
2022-11-19 Yverdon-Sport W 5-045.3 1504 1503 38.91% 33.75% 27.34%+0.13 +20.5 33
2022-11-19 @ Lausanne-Ouchy L 0-545.3 1503 1504 27.34% 33.75% 38.91%-0.13 -20.5 29
2022-11-20 Lausanne-Sport W 1-051.6 1482 1516 33.89% 34.17% 31.94%+0.00 +5.2 16
2022-11-20 @ Vaduz L 0-151.6 1516 1482 31.94% 34.17% 33.89%+0.00 -5.2 27
2022-11-25 Bellinzona W 1-048.8 1468 1480 37.07% 33.97% 28.95%+0.08 +4.9 19
2022-11-25 @ Schaffhausen L 0-148.8 1480 1468 28.95% 33.97% 37.07%-0.08 -4.8 23
2022-11-25 Neuchatel Xamax W 3-148.5 1482 1449 43.40% 32.84% 23.76%+0.25 +6.8 32
2022-11-25 @ Yverdon-Sport L 1-348.5 1449 1482 23.76% 32.84% 43.40%-0.25 -6.8 12
2022-11-26 Lausanne-Ouchy D 0-056.7 1520 1524 38.10% 33.86% 28.05%+0.11 -0.3 34
2022-11-26 @ Wil D 0-056.7 1524 1520 28.05% 33.86% 38.10%-0.11 +0.3 34
2022-11-26 Vaduz D 1-157.9 1483 1487 38.22% 33.84% 27.94%+0.11 -0.3 22
2022-11-26 @ Thun D 1-157.9 1487 1483 27.94% 33.84% 38.22%-0.11 +0.3 17
2022-11-27 Aarau D 2-265.1 1511 1502 39.99% 33.57% 26.43%+0.16 -0.3 28
2022-11-27 @ Lausanne-Sport D 2-265.1 1502 1511 26.43% 33.57% 39.99%-0.16 +0.3 25
2023-01-27 Wil D 2-264.7 1487 1519 34.17% 34.17% 31.67%+0.00 -0.1 18
2023-01-27 @ Vaduz D 2-264.7 1519 1487 31.67% 34.17% 34.17%+0.00 +0.0 35
2023-01-28 Thun W 1-048.8 1502 1483 41.44% 33.30% 25.27%+0.20 +4.4 28
2023-01-28 @ Aarau L 0-148.8 1483 1502 25.27% 33.30% 41.44%-0.20 -4.4 22
2023-01-29 Lausanne-Sport L 2-461.9 1525 1510 40.75% 33.44% 25.82%+0.18 -8.9 34
2023-01-29 @ Lausanne-Ouchy W 4-261.9 1510 1525 25.82% 33.44% 40.75%-0.18 +8.9 31
2023-01-29 Schaffhausen D 1-155.9 1442 1473 34.30% 34.16% 31.53%+0.01 -0.1 13
2023-01-29 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 1-155.9 1473 1442 31.53% 34.16% 34.30%-0.01 +0.1 20
2023-01-29 Yverdon-Sport L 0-248.4 1475 1489 36.81% 34.00% 29.19%+0.07 -10.8 23
2023-01-29 @ Bellinzona W 2-048.4 1489 1475 29.19% 34.00% 36.81%-0.07 +10.7 35
2023-02-03 Aarau W 4-150.5 1519 1507 40.55% 33.47% 25.98%+0.17 +10.3 34
2023-02-03 @ Lausanne-Sport L 1-450.5 1507 1519 25.98% 33.47% 40.55%-0.17 -10.3 28
2023-02-03 Lausanne-Ouchy W 1-051.5 1500 1516 36.48% 34.03% 29.49%+0.06 +4.9 38
2023-02-03 @ Yverdon-Sport L 0-151.5 1516 1500 29.49% 34.03% 36.48%-0.06 -4.9 34
2023-02-03 Vaduz W 1-049.3 1473 1487 36.77% 34.00% 29.23%+0.07 +4.9 23
2023-02-03 @ Schaffhausen L 0-149.3 1487 1473 29.23% 34.00% 36.77%-0.07 -4.9 18
2023-02-05 Bellinzona W 3-042.0 1520 1465 46.31% 31.99% 21.71%+0.33 +10.6 38
2023-02-05 @ Wil L 0-342.0 1465 1520 21.71% 31.99% 46.31%-0.33 -10.6 23
2023-02-05 Neuchatel Xamax W 1-045.8 1479 1442 43.84% 32.72% 23.44%+0.26 +4.1 25
2023-02-05 @ Thun L 0-145.8 1442 1479 23.44% 32.72% 43.84%-0.26 -4.1 13
2023-02-10 Lausanne-Sport L 2-358.9 1438 1530 26.29% 33.54% 40.16%-0.22 -4.0 13
2023-02-10 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 3-258.9 1530 1438 40.16% 33.54% 26.29%+0.22 +4.0 37
2023-02-10 Yverdon-Sport L 1-258.4 1496 1505 37.55% 33.92% 28.53%+0.09 -5.5 28
2023-02-10 @ Aarau W 2-158.4 1505 1496 28.53% 33.92% 37.55%-0.09 +5.5 41
2023-02-12 Schaffhausen L 0-246.9 1454 1478 35.32% 34.11% 30.56%+0.03 -10.4 23
2023-02-12 @ Bellinzona W 2-046.9 1478 1454 30.56% 34.11% 35.32%-0.03 +10.4 26
2023-02-12 Thun L 0-346.9 1482 1483 38.70% 33.78% 27.52%+0.12 -16.2 18
2023-02-12 @ Vaduz W 3-046.9 1483 1482 27.52% 33.78% 38.70%-0.12 +16.1 28
2023-02-12 Wil L 3-467.8 1511 1530 36.02% 34.07% 29.91%+0.05 -4.9 34
2023-02-12 @ Lausanne-Ouchy W 4-367.8 1530 1511 29.91% 34.07% 36.02%-0.05 +4.9 41
2023-02-17 Aarau D 2-263.8 1489 1491 38.44% 33.81% 27.75%+0.12 -0.2 27
2023-02-17 @ Schaffhausen D 2-263.8 1491 1489 27.75% 33.81% 38.44%-0.12 +0.2 29
2023-02-17 Lausanne-Ouchy D 1-159.2 1499 1506 37.74% 33.90% 28.36%+0.10 -0.3 29
2023-02-17 @ Thun D 1-159.2 1506 1499 28.36% 33.90% 37.74%-0.10 +0.3 35
2023-02-17 Neuchatel Xamax W 3-255.3 1535 1434 52.37% 29.59% 18.03%+0.51 +2.9 44
2023-02-17 @ Wil L 2-355.3 1434 1535 18.03% 29.59% 52.37%-0.51 -2.9 13
2023-02-17 Vaduz D 2-264.1 1510 1466 44.83% 32.45% 22.73%+0.29 -0.5 42
2023-02-17 @ Yverdon-Sport D 2-264.1 1466 1510 22.73% 32.45% 44.83%-0.29 +0.5 19
2023-02-19 Bellinzona D 1-159.3 1534 1444 50.95% 30.23% 18.82%+0.46 -1.0 38
2023-02-19 @ Lausanne-Sport D 1-159.3 1444 1534 18.82% 30.23% 50.95%-0.46 +1.0 24
2023-02-24 Lausanne-Sport L 1-261.4 1538 1533 39.47% 33.66% 26.87%+0.14 -5.6 44
2023-02-24 @ Wil W 2-161.4 1533 1538 26.87% 33.66% 39.47%-0.14 +5.6 41
2023-02-24 Yverdon-Sport W 3-153.2 1499 1510 37.18% 33.96% 28.86%+0.08 +7.9 32
2023-02-24 @ Thun L 1-353.2 1510 1499 28.86% 33.96% 37.18%-0.08 -7.9 42
2023-02-26 Bellinzona W 2-042.6 1491 1445 45.17% 32.35% 22.49%+0.30 +7.5 32
2023-02-26 @ Aarau L 0-242.6 1445 1491 22.49% 32.35% 45.17%-0.30 -7.5 24
2023-02-26 Neuchatel Xamax L 1-256.2 1467 1431 43.73% 32.75% 23.52%+0.26 -6.1 19
2023-02-26 @ Vaduz W 2-156.2 1431 1467 23.52% 32.75% 43.73%-0.26 +6.1 16
2023-02-26 Schaffhausen L 0-448.2 1506 1488 41.25% 33.33% 25.41%+0.19 -22.1 35
2023-02-26 @ Lausanne-Ouchy W 4-048.2 1488 1506 25.41% 33.33% 41.25%-0.19 +22.1 30
2023-03-03 Aarau D 0-052.6 1437 1499 30.05% 34.08% 35.87%-0.11 +0.2 17
2023-03-03 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 0-052.6 1499 1437 35.87% 34.08% 30.05%+0.11 -0.2 33
2023-03-03 Wil D 1-160.2 1502 1532 34.41% 34.16% 31.43%+0.01 -0.1 43
2023-03-03 @ Yverdon-Sport D 1-160.2 1532 1502 31.43% 34.16% 34.41%-0.01 +0.1 45
2023-03-05 Lausanne-Ouchy L 0-148.8 1437 1484 32.03% 34.18% 33.80%-0.05 -5.2 24
2023-03-05 @ Bellinzona W 1-048.8 1484 1437 33.80% 34.18% 32.03%+0.05 +5.2 38
2023-03-05 Thun L 0-549.2 1510 1506 39.30% 33.69% 27.01%+0.14 -26.3 30
2023-03-05 @ Schaffhausen W 5-049.2 1506 1510 27.01% 33.69% 39.30%-0.14 +26.3 35
2023-03-05 Vaduz D 0-055.9 1538 1461 49.34% 30.89% 19.77%+0.42 -1.0 42
2023-03-05 @ Lausanne-Sport D 0-055.9 1461 1538 19.77% 30.89% 49.34%-0.42 +1.0 20
2023-03-10 Lausanne-Sport L 1-257.3 1484 1537 31.17% 34.15% 34.68%-0.08 -4.8 30
2023-03-10 @ Schaffhausen W 2-157.3 1537 1484 34.68% 34.15% 31.17%+0.08 +4.8 45
2023-03-11 Lausanne-Ouchy L 2-363.8 1498 1489 40.01% 33.57% 26.42%+0.16 -5.4 33
2023-03-11 @ Aarau W 3-263.8 1489 1498 26.42% 33.57% 40.01%-0.16 +5.4 41
2023-03-12 Bellinzona W 2-150.2 1462 1432 42.89% 32.97% 24.14%+0.24 +4.0 23
2023-03-12 @ Vaduz L 1-250.2 1432 1462 24.14% 32.97% 42.89%-0.24 -4.0 24
2023-03-12 Wil D 1-161.5 1533 1532 38.81% 33.76% 27.43%+0.13 -0.3 36
2023-03-12 @ Thun D 1-161.5 1532 1533 27.43% 33.76% 38.81%-0.13 +0.3 46
2023-03-12 Yverdon-Sport L 1-253.7 1437 1502 29.65% 34.05% 36.30%-0.12 -4.6 17
2023-03-12 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 2-153.7 1502 1437 36.30% 34.05% 29.65%+0.12 +4.6 46
2023-03-17 Aarau L 0-350.5 1533 1493 44.25% 32.61% 23.14%+0.27 -17.8 46
2023-03-17 @ Wil W 3-050.5 1493 1533 23.14% 32.61% 44.25%-0.27 +17.8 36
2023-03-17 Schaffhausen W 2-045.2 1506 1479 42.51% 33.06% 24.43%+0.23 +8.0 49
2023-03-17 @ Yverdon-Sport L 0-245.2 1479 1506 24.43% 33.06% 42.51%-0.23 -8.0 30
2023-03-18 Vaduz D 0-053.8 1495 1466 42.81% 32.99% 24.21%+0.23 -0.6 42
2023-03-18 @ Lausanne-Ouchy D 0-053.8 1466 1495 24.21% 32.99% 42.81%-0.23 +0.6 24
2023-03-19 Neuchatel Xamax D 1-154.2 1428 1432 38.11% 33.86% 28.04%+0.11 -0.3 25
2023-03-19 @ Bellinzona D 1-154.2 1432 1428 28.04% 33.86% 38.11%-0.11 +0.3 18
2023-03-19 Thun L 1-358.9 1542 1532 40.12% 33.55% 26.33%+0.16 -9.9 45
2023-03-19 @ Lausanne-Sport W 3-158.9 1532 1542 26.33% 33.55% 40.12%-0.16 +9.9 39
2023-03-31 Bellinzona W 2-041.2 1542 1428 54.09% 28.78% 17.13%+0.56 +5.8 42
2023-03-31 @ Thun L 0-241.2 1428 1542 17.13% 28.78% 54.09%-0.56 -5.8 25
2023-03-31 Wil W 4-151.5 1471 1515 32.53% 34.18% 33.29%-0.04 +12.3 33
2023-03-31 @ Schaffhausen L 1-451.5 1515 1471 33.29% 34.18% 32.53%+0.04 -12.3 46
2023-04-02 Lausanne-Ouchy D 1-156.3 1433 1494 30.07% 34.08% 35.85%-0.11 +0.2 19
2023-04-02 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 1-156.3 1494 1433 35.85% 34.08% 30.07%+0.11 -0.2 43
2023-04-02 Vaduz L 0-250.8 1511 1466 44.90% 32.42% 22.67%+0.29 -12.4 36
2023-04-02 @ Aarau W 2-050.8 1466 1511 22.67% 32.42% 44.90%-0.29 +12.4 27
2023-04-02 Yverdon-Sport W 2-047.9 1532 1514 41.26% 33.33% 25.41%+0.19 +8.3 48
2023-04-02 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-247.9 1514 1532 25.41% 33.33% 41.26%-0.19 -8.3 49
2023-04-07 Lausanne-Sport W 1-053.4 1422 1541 23.41% 32.71% 43.87%-0.32 +6.5 28
2023-04-07 @ Bellinzona L 0-153.4 1541 1422 43.87% 32.71% 23.41%+0.32 -6.5 48
2023-04-07 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-041.6 1506 1433 48.73% 31.13% 20.14%+0.40 +6.8 52
2023-04-07 @ Yverdon-Sport L 0-241.6 1433 1506 20.14% 31.13% 48.73%-0.40 -6.8 19
2023-04-08 Aarau L 3-466.6 1494 1498 38.13% 33.85% 28.01%+0.11 -5.1 43
2023-04-08 @ Lausanne-Ouchy W 4-366.6 1498 1494 28.01% 33.85% 38.13%-0.11 +5.1 39
2023-04-08 Thun L 1-258.7 1503 1548 32.26% 34.18% 33.56%-0.05 -4.9 46
2023-04-08 @ Wil W 2-158.7 1548 1503 33.56% 34.18% 32.26%+0.05 +4.9 45
2023-04-10 Schaffhausen L 1-451.9 1479 1484 38.04% 33.86% 28.09%+0.11 -13.5 27
2023-04-10 @ Vaduz W 4-151.9 1484 1479 28.09% 33.86% 38.04%-0.11 +13.5 36
2023-04-14 Aarau L 2-367.6 1553 1503 45.59% 32.22% 22.20%+0.31 -5.9 45
2023-04-14 @ Thun W 3-267.6 1503 1553 22.20% 32.22% 45.59%-0.31 +5.9 42
2023-04-14 Wil L 0-147.9 1426 1498 28.76% 33.95% 37.29%-0.15 -4.8 19
2023-04-14 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 1-047.9 1498 1426 37.29% 33.95% 28.76%+0.15 +4.8 49
2023-04-14 Yverdon-Sport L 3-466.8 1497 1513 36.50% 34.03% 29.47%+0.06 -5.0 36
2023-04-14 @ Schaffhausen W 4-366.8 1513 1497 29.47% 34.03% 36.50%-0.06 +4.9 55
2023-04-16 Lausanne-Ouchy W 2-154.2 1534 1489 45.01% 32.39% 22.60%+0.30 +3.8 51
2023-04-16 @ Lausanne-Sport L 1-254.2 1489 1534 22.60% 32.39% 45.01%-0.30 -3.8 43
2023-04-16 Vaduz L 1-646.3 1428 1465 33.50% 34.18% 32.32%-0.01 -19.5 28
2023-04-16 @ Bellinzona W 6-146.3 1465 1428 32.32% 34.18% 33.50%+0.01 +19.5 30
2023-04-21 Bellinzona L 1-258.9 1518 1409 53.37% 29.13% 17.50%+0.54 -7.0 55
2023-04-21 @ Yverdon-Sport W 2-158.9 1409 1518 17.50% 29.13% 53.37%-0.54 +7.0 31
2023-04-21 Schaffhausen W 3-151.8 1503 1492 40.21% 33.54% 26.26%+0.16 +7.4 52
2023-04-21 @ Wil L 1-351.8 1492 1503 26.26% 33.54% 40.21%-0.16 -7.4 36
2023-04-22 Neuchatel Xamax W 5-247.1 1509 1421 50.68% 30.34% 18.98%+0.46 +6.8 45
2023-04-22 @ Aarau L 2-547.1 1421 1509 18.98% 30.34% 50.68%-0.46 -6.8 19
2023-04-22 Thun D 2-265.7 1485 1547 30.00% 34.08% 35.92%-0.11 +0.1 44
2023-04-22 @ Lausanne-Ouchy D 2-265.7 1547 1485 35.92% 34.08% 30.00%+0.11 -0.1 46
2023-04-23 Lausanne-Sport D 1-159.8 1485 1538 31.17% 34.15% 34.68%-0.08 +0.1 31
2023-04-23 @ Vaduz D 1-159.8 1538 1485 34.68% 34.15% 31.17%+0.08 -0.1 52
2023-04-28 Lausanne-Ouchy L 1-259.3 1510 1485 42.18% 33.13% 24.68%+0.22 -5.9 52
2023-04-28 @ Wil W 2-159.3 1485 1510 24.68% 33.13% 42.18%-0.22 +5.9 47
2023-04-28 Schaffhausen D 1-160.4 1538 1485 46.06% 32.07% 21.87%+0.32 -0.7 53
2023-04-28 @ Lausanne-Sport D 1-160.4 1485 1538 21.87% 32.07% 46.06%-0.32 +0.7 37
2023-04-28 Thun D 1-158.1 1414 1547 22.10% 32.17% 45.73%-0.38 +0.7 20
2023-04-28 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 1-158.1 1547 1414 45.73% 32.17% 22.10%+0.38 -0.7 47
2023-04-30 Aarau L 0-146.9 1416 1516 25.34% 33.32% 41.34%-0.26 -4.4 31
2023-04-30 @ Bellinzona W 1-046.9 1516 1416 41.34% 33.32% 25.34%+0.26 +4.4 48
2023-04-30 Yverdon-Sport D 0-054.8 1485 1511 35.04% 34.13% 30.83%+0.03 -0.1 32
2023-04-30 @ Vaduz D 0-054.8 1511 1485 30.83% 34.13% 35.04%-0.03 +0.1 56
2023-05-05 Bellinzona W 2-148.5 1485 1411 48.85% 31.08% 20.07%+0.40 +3.4 40
2023-05-05 @ Schaffhausen L 1-248.5 1411 1485 20.07% 31.08% 48.85%-0.40 -3.4 31
2023-05-05 Lausanne-Sport W 1-053.1 1511 1537 35.03% 34.13% 30.84%+0.03 +5.1 59
2023-05-05 @ Yverdon-Sport L 0-153.1 1537 1511 30.84% 34.13% 35.03%-0.03 -5.1 53
2023-05-05 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-040.4 1491 1415 49.10% 30.98% 19.91%+0.41 +6.7 50
2023-05-05 @ Lausanne-Ouchy L 0-240.4 1415 1491 19.91% 30.98% 49.10%-0.41 -6.7 20
2023-05-05 Wil D 0-056.1 1521 1504 41.08% 33.37% 25.55%+0.19 -0.5 49
2023-05-05 @ Aarau D 0-056.1 1504 1521 25.55% 33.37% 41.08%-0.19 +0.5 53
2023-05-07 Vaduz D 3-370.7 1546 1485 47.20% 31.69% 21.11%+0.36 -0.5 48
2023-05-07 @ Thun D 3-370.7 1485 1546 21.11% 31.69% 47.20%-0.36 +0.5 33
2023-05-12 Lausanne-Ouchy L 2-459.3 1489 1498 37.47% 33.93% 28.60%+0.09 -8.4 40
2023-05-12 @ Schaffhausen W 4-259.3 1498 1489 28.60% 33.93% 37.47%-0.09 +8.4 53
2023-05-12 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-148.1 1532 1408 55.21% 28.22% 16.57%+0.59 +2.8 56
2023-05-12 @ Lausanne-Sport L 1-248.1 1408 1532 16.57% 28.22% 55.21%-0.59 -2.8 20
2023-05-12 Wil W 3-261.2 1408 1504 25.78% 33.43% 40.79%-0.24 +5.5 34
2023-05-12 @ Bellinzona L 2-361.2 1504 1408 40.79% 33.43% 25.78%+0.24 -5.5 53
2023-05-13 Thun W 1-053.8 1516 1546 34.51% 34.15% 31.33%+0.01 +5.1 62
2023-05-13 @ Yverdon-Sport L 0-153.8 1546 1516 31.33% 34.15% 34.51%-0.01 -5.1 48
2023-05-14 Aarau L 0-152.4 1485 1520 33.77% 34.18% 32.06%-0.01 -5.4 33
2023-05-14 @ Vaduz W 1-052.4 1520 1485 32.06% 34.18% 33.77%+0.01 +5.4 52
2023-05-19 Bellinzona W 3-039.3 1406 1413 37.64% 33.91% 28.44%+0.09 +13.1 23
2023-05-19 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 0-339.3 1413 1406 28.44% 33.91% 37.64%-0.09 -13.1 34
2023-05-19 Lausanne-Sport D 3-371.7 1541 1535 39.56% 33.65% 26.79%+0.15 -0.2 49
2023-05-19 @ Thun D 3-371.7 1535 1541 26.79% 33.65% 39.56%-0.15 +0.2 57
2023-05-19 Schaffhausen W 2-045.2 1525 1480 44.97% 32.40% 22.62%+0.29 +7.5 55
2023-05-19 @ Aarau L 0-245.2 1480 1525 22.62% 32.40% 44.97%-0.29 -7.5 40
2023-05-19 Yverdon-Sport W 4-151.8 1506 1521 36.65% 34.02% 29.33%+0.07 +11.3 56
2023-05-19 @ Lausanne-Ouchy L 1-451.8 1521 1506 29.33% 34.02% 36.65%-0.07 -11.3 62
2023-05-20 Vaduz W 2-045.3 1499 1480 41.44% 33.30% 25.26%+0.20 +8.2 56
2023-05-20 @ Wil L 0-245.3 1480 1499 25.26% 33.30% 41.44%-0.20 -8.2 33
2023-05-23 Aarau D 1-160.5 1510 1533 35.46% 34.11% 30.43%+0.04 -0.1 63
2023-05-23 @ Yverdon-Sport D 1-160.5 1533 1510 30.43% 34.11% 35.46%-0.04 +0.1 56
2023-05-23 Lausanne-Ouchy D 2-264.1 1471 1518 32.17% 34.18% 33.65%-0.05 +0.0 34
2023-05-23 @ Vaduz D 2-264.1 1518 1471 33.65% 34.18% 32.17%+0.05 -0.0 57
2023-05-23 Neuchatel Xamax D 1-155.7 1473 1419 46.20% 32.02% 21.78%+0.33 -0.7 41
2023-05-23 @ Schaffhausen D 1-155.7 1419 1473 21.78% 32.02% 46.20%-0.33 +0.7 24
2023-05-23 Thun W 3-047.9 1400 1540 21.41% 31.84% 46.74%-0.40 +18.5 37
2023-05-23 @ Bellinzona L 0-347.9 1540 1400 46.74% 31.84% 21.41%+0.40 -18.5 49
2023-05-23 Wil W 2-047.3 1535 1507 42.63% 33.03% 24.34%+0.23 +8.0 60
2023-05-23 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-247.3 1507 1535 24.34% 33.03% 42.63%-0.23 -8.0 56
2023-05-27 Bellinzona W 6-039.7 1518 1419 52.05% 29.74% 18.21%+0.50 +17.1 60
2023-05-27 @ Lausanne-Ouchy L 0-639.7 1419 1518 18.21% 29.74% 52.05%-0.50 -17.1 37
2023-05-27 Lausanne-Sport D 2-267.3 1533 1543 37.34% 33.95% 28.71%+0.09 -0.2 57
2023-05-27 @ Aarau D 2-267.3 1543 1533 28.71% 33.95% 37.34%-0.09 +0.2 61
2023-05-27 Schaffhausen L 2-365.3 1522 1472 45.62% 32.21% 22.18%+0.31 -5.9 49
2023-05-27 @ Thun W 3-265.3 1472 1522 22.18% 32.21% 45.62%-0.31 +5.9 44
2023-05-27 Vaduz L 1-645.6 1419 1472 31.34% 34.15% 34.50%-0.07 -18.7 24
2023-05-27 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 6-145.6 1472 1419 34.50% 34.15% 31.34%+0.07 +18.7 37
2023-05-27 Yverdon-Sport L 0-250.2 1499 1510 37.26% 33.95% 28.78%+0.08 -10.8 56
2023-05-27 @ Wil W 2-050.2 1510 1499 28.78% 33.95% 37.26%-0.08 +10.8 66

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2023-06-03 Lausanne-Sport L 0-2 1569 1543 42.38% 33.09% 24.54%+0.22 -11.9 0
2023-06-03 @ Sion W 2-0 1543 1569 24.54% 33.09% 42.38%-0.22 +11.9 3
2023-06-06 Sion W 4-2 1555 1557 38.43% 33.81% 27.76%+0.12 +6.9 6
2023-06-06 @ Lausanne-Sport L 2-4 1557 1555 27.76% 33.81% 38.43%-0.12 -6.9 0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2023-04-21 17.50% Bellinzona 1409 2 @ Yverdon-Sport 1518 1
2 2022-07-30 20.86% Lausanne-Ouchy 1471 4 @ Bellinzona 1535 1
3 2023-05-23 21.41% @ Bellinzona 1400 3 Thun 1540 0
4 2023-05-27 22.18% Schaffhausen 1472 3 @ Thun 1522 2
5 2023-04-14 22.20% Aarau 1503 3 @ Thun 1553 2
6 2022-08-27 22.25% Yverdon-Sport 1466 2 @ Schaffhausen 1515 1
7 2023-04-02 22.67% Vaduz 1466 2 @ Aarau 1511 0
8 2022-08-05 23.06% Wil 1471 1 @ Schaffhausen 1511 0
9 2023-03-17 23.14% Aarau 1493 3 @ Wil 1533 0
10 2022-10-19 23.22% Bellinzona 1484 1 @ Aarau 1523 0
11 2023-04-07 23.41% @ Bellinzona 1422 1 Lausanne-Sport 1541 0
12 2023-02-26 23.52% Neuchatel Xamax 1431 2 @ Vaduz 1467 1
13 2022-10-17 24.27% Yverdon-Sport 1463 3 @ Thun 1492 1
14 2022-10-19 24.41% Vaduz 1481 5 @ Lausanne-Ouchy 1508 1
15 2023-04-28 24.68% Lausanne-Ouchy 1485 2 @ Wil 1510 1
16 2023-02-26 25.41% Schaffhausen 1488 4 @ Lausanne-Ouchy 1506 0
17 2022-11-18 25.51% Thun 1473 3 @ Bellinzona 1490 1
18 2022-10-22 25.53% Yverdon-Sport 1474 2 @ Bellinzona 1491 1
19 2022-08-12 25.72% Aarau 1509 4 @ Bellinzona 1524 0
20 2023-05-12 25.78% @ Bellinzona 1408 3 Wil 1504 2
21 2023-01-29 25.82% Lausanne-Sport 1510 4 @ Lausanne-Ouchy 1525 2
22 2023-03-19 26.33% Thun 1532 3 @ Lausanne-Sport 1542 1
23 2023-03-11 26.42% Lausanne-Ouchy 1489 3 @ Aarau 1498 2
24 2022-10-14 26.70% Lausanne-Ouchy 1497 2 @ Thun 1503 0
25 2023-02-24 26.87% Lausanne-Sport 1533 2 @ Wil 1538 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-03-05 26.30 Thun 5 1506 27.01% @ Schaffhausen 0 1510 39.30% 33.69%
2 2023-02-26 22.08 Schaffhausen 4 1488 25.41% @ Lausanne-Ouchy 0 1506 41.25% 33.33%
3 2022-08-12 21.93 Aarau 4 1509 25.72% @ Bellinzona 0 1524 40.87% 33.41%
4 2022-10-16 21.28 @ Vaduz 4 1460 27.14% Aarau 0 1544 39.15% 33.71%
5 2022-11-19 20.50 @ Lausanne-Ouchy 5 1504 38.91% Yverdon-Sport 0 1503 27.34% 33.75%
6 2022-10-07 20.17 @ Neuchatel Xamax 4 1425 29.73% Bellinzona 0 1489 36.22% 34.05%
7 2022-10-28 19.77 @ Yverdon-Sport 4 1480 30.71% Lausanne-Sport 0 1536 35.17% 34.12%
8 2023-04-16 19.53 Vaduz 6 1465 32.32% @ Bellinzona 1 1428 33.50% 34.18%
9 2022-10-19 18.81 Vaduz 5 1481 24.41% @ Lausanne-Ouchy 1 1508 42.53% 33.05%
10 2023-05-27 18.68 Vaduz 6 1472 34.50% @ Neuchatel Xamax 1 1419 31.34% 34.15%
11 2023-05-23 18.50 @ Bellinzona 3 1400 21.41% Thun 0 1540 46.74% 31.84%
12 2023-03-17 17.77 Aarau 3 1493 23.14% @ Wil 0 1533 44.25% 32.61%
13 2022-11-13 17.75 @ Wil 6 1502 36.90% Aarau 1 1515 29.11% 33.99%
14 2023-05-27 17.12 @ Lausanne-Ouchy 6 1518 52.05% Bellinzona 0 1419 18.21% 29.74%
15 2023-02-12 16.16 Thun 3 1483 27.52% @ Vaduz 0 1482 38.70% 33.78%
16 2022-07-30 15.80 Lausanne-Ouchy 4 1471 20.86% @ Bellinzona 1 1535 47.58% 31.55%
17 2022-10-08 15.68 @ Wil 4 1483 41.38% Yverdon-Sport 0 1464 25.31% 33.31%
18 2022-09-11 15.33 @ Wil 5 1483 34.28% Bellinzona 1 1514 31.56% 34.16%
19 2022-09-30 15.27 @ Lausanne-Sport 4 1525 42.47% Wil 0 1498 24.46% 33.07%
20 2022-10-14 15.24 @ Yverdon-Sport 3 1448 30.33% Schaffhausen 0 1508 35.57% 34.10%
21 2022-10-15 15.23 @ Bellinzona 5 1469 34.55% Wil 1 1498 31.29% 34.15%
22 2022-07-22 14.72 @ Lausanne-Sport 5 1500 36.21% Schaffhausen 1 1518 29.74% 34.05%
23 2023-04-10 13.47 Schaffhausen 4 1484 28.09% @ Vaduz 1 1479 38.04% 33.86%
24 2023-05-19 13.10 @ Neuchatel Xamax 3 1406 37.64% Bellinzona 0 1413 28.44% 33.91%
25 2023-04-02 12.37 Vaduz 2 1466 22.67% @ Aarau 0 1511 44.90% 32.42%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-05-19 71.7 @ Thun 3 1541 39.56% Lausanne-Sport 3 1535 26.79% 33.65%
2 2023-05-07 70.7 @ Thun 3 1546 47.20% Vaduz 3 1485 21.11% 31.69%
3 2022-08-27 69.7 @ Aarau 3 1531 46.26% Lausanne-Ouchy 3 1477 21.74% 32.00%
4 2022-10-23 68.2 @ Aarau 3 1517 48.90% Neuchatel Xamax 3 1442 20.04% 31.06%
5 2022-07-24 67.8 @ Vaduz 3 1500 44.02% Yverdon-Sport 3 1462 23.30% 32.67%
6 2023-02-12 67.8 Wil 4 1530 29.91% @ Lausanne-Ouchy 3 1511 36.02% 34.07%
7 2023-04-14 67.6 Aarau 3 1503 22.20% @ Thun 2 1553 45.59% 32.22%
8 2023-05-27 67.3 @ Aarau 2 1533 37.34% Lausanne-Sport 2 1543 28.71% 33.95%
9 2023-04-14 66.8 Yverdon-Sport 4 1513 29.47% @ Schaffhausen 3 1497 36.50% 34.03%
10 2022-10-07 66.7 @ Aarau 2 1545 44.55% Thun 2 1503 22.92% 32.52%
11 2023-04-08 66.6 Aarau 4 1498 28.01% @ Lausanne-Ouchy 3 1494 38.13% 33.85%
12 2023-04-22 65.7 @ Lausanne-Ouchy 2 1485 30.00% Thun 2 1547 35.92% 34.08%
13 2023-05-27 65.3 Schaffhausen 3 1472 22.18% @ Thun 2 1522 45.62% 32.21%
14 2022-11-27 65.1 @ Lausanne-Sport 2 1511 39.99% Aarau 2 1502 26.43% 33.57%
15 2022-09-30 64.9 @ Yverdon-Sport 2 1464 27.54% Aarau 2 1545 38.68% 33.78%
16 2023-01-27 64.7 @ Vaduz 2 1487 34.17% Wil 2 1519 31.67% 34.17%
17 2022-08-05 64.1 @ Thun 2 1480 34.63% Aarau 2 1509 31.22% 34.15%
18 2023-02-17 64.1 @ Yverdon-Sport 2 1510 44.83% Vaduz 2 1466 22.73% 32.45%
19 2023-05-23 64.1 @ Vaduz 2 1471 32.17% Lausanne-Ouchy 2 1518 33.65% 34.18%
20 2022-09-10 63.8 @ Lausanne-Ouchy 2 1481 36.15% Thun 2 1499 29.79% 34.06%
21 2022-10-09 63.8 @ Schaffhausen 2 1508 45.53% Vaduz 2 1459 22.23% 32.23%
22 2023-02-17 63.8 @ Schaffhausen 2 1489 38.44% Aarau 2 1491 27.75% 33.81%
23 2023-03-11 63.8 Lausanne-Ouchy 3 1489 26.42% @ Aarau 2 1498 40.01% 33.57%
24 2022-08-07 63.1 Bellinzona 3 1520 31.31% @ Vaduz 2 1490 34.53% 34.15%
25 2022-10-28 62.2 @ Wil 4 1489 39.86% Schaffhausen 3 1481 26.54% 33.60%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-05-19 39.3 @ Neuchatel Xamax 3 1406 37.64% Bellinzona 0 1413 28.44% 33.91%
2 2023-05-27 39.7 @ Lausanne-Ouchy 6 1518 52.05% Bellinzona 0 1419 18.21% 29.74%
3 2023-05-05 40.4 @ Lausanne-Ouchy 2 1491 49.10% Neuchatel Xamax 0 1415 19.91% 30.98%
4 2023-03-31 41.2 @ Thun 2 1542 54.09% Bellinzona 0 1428 17.13% 28.78%
5 2023-04-07 41.6 @ Yverdon-Sport 2 1506 48.73% Neuchatel Xamax 0 1433 20.14% 31.13%
6 2022-10-08 41.7 @ Wil 4 1483 41.38% Yverdon-Sport 0 1464 25.31% 33.31%
7 2023-02-05 42.0 @ Wil 3 1520 46.31% Bellinzona 0 1465 21.71% 31.99%
8 2023-02-26 42.6 @ Aarau 2 1491 45.17% Bellinzona 0 1445 22.49% 32.35%
9 2022-07-29 43.4 @ Schaffhausen 2 1504 45.40% Neuchatel Xamax 0 1455 22.33% 32.28%
10 2022-10-07 44.0 @ Neuchatel Xamax 4 1425 29.73% Bellinzona 0 1489 36.22% 34.05%
11 2022-09-30 44.2 @ Lausanne-Sport 4 1525 42.47% Wil 0 1498 24.46% 33.07%
12 2022-07-17 44.7 @ Wil 2 1456 36.82% Neuchatel Xamax 0 1469 29.18% 34.00%
13 2023-03-17 45.2 @ Yverdon-Sport 2 1506 42.51% Schaffhausen 0 1479 24.43% 33.06%
14 2023-05-19 45.2 @ Aarau 2 1525 44.97% Schaffhausen 0 1480 22.62% 32.40%
15 2022-11-19 45.3 @ Lausanne-Ouchy 5 1504 38.91% Yverdon-Sport 0 1503 27.34% 33.75%
16 2023-05-20 45.3 @ Wil 2 1499 41.44% Vaduz 0 1480 25.26% 33.30%
17 2023-05-27 45.6 Vaduz 6 1472 34.50% @ Neuchatel Xamax 1 1419 31.34% 34.15%
18 2022-10-14 45.7 @ Yverdon-Sport 3 1448 30.33% Schaffhausen 0 1508 35.57% 34.10%
19 2023-02-05 45.8 @ Thun 1 1479 43.84% Neuchatel Xamax 0 1442 23.44% 32.72%
20 2023-04-16 46.3 Vaduz 6 1465 32.32% @ Bellinzona 1 1428 33.50% 34.18%
21 2022-10-30 46.9 @ Bellinzona 2 1485 36.71% Vaduz 0 1499 29.28% 34.01%
22 2023-02-12 46.9 Schaffhausen 2 1478 30.56% @ Bellinzona 0 1454 35.32% 34.11%
23 2023-02-12 46.9 Thun 3 1483 27.52% @ Vaduz 0 1482 38.70% 33.78%
24 2023-04-30 46.9 Aarau 1 1516 41.34% @ Bellinzona 0 1416 25.34% 33.32%
25 2022-07-31 47.1 @ Wil 2 1461 33.16% Vaduz 0 1500 32.66% 34.18%