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2024-25 Challenge League Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Thun

11.24 points above expected

72 points · 60.76 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Schaffhausen

14.39 points below expected

25 points · 39.39 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Thun 36 21 9 6 72 70 39 +31 60.76 +11.24
2 Aarau 36 16 13 7 61 63 45 +18 51.25 +9.75
3 Etoile Carouge 36 15 9 12 54 58 47 +11 50.23 +3.77
4 Lausanne-Ouchy 36 14 11 11 53 54 43 +11 53.05 -0.05
5 Wil 36 14 11 11 53 60 55 +5 51.44 +1.56
6 Vaduz 36 13 12 11 51 48 49 -1 50.34 +0.66
7 Bellinzona 36 11 11 14 44 46 59 -13 41.36 +2.64
8 Neuchatel Xamax 36 12 5 19 41 57 65 -8 47.94 -6.94
9 Stade Nyonnais 36 10 6 20 36 44 69 -25 40.79 -4.79
10 Schaffhausen* 36 7 7 22 25 40 69 -29 39.39 -14.39

* Point deductions: Schaffhausen (-3 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Thun 72 60.76 +11.24
2 Aarau 61 51.25 +9.75
3 Etoile Carouge 54 50.23 +3.77
4 Bellinzona 44 41.36 +2.64
5 Wil 53 51.44 +1.56

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Schaffhausen 25 39.39 -14.39
2 Neuchatel Xamax 41 47.94 -6.94
3 Stade Nyonnais 36 40.79 -4.79
4 Lausanne-Ouchy 53 53.05 -0.05
5 Vaduz 51 50.34 +0.66

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aarau 9 Dec 8 – Mar 7 1 in 3,066
2 Bellinzona 4 Aug 24 – Sep 24 1 in 142
3 Stade Nyonnais 3 Apr 26 – May 9 1 in 79
4 Thun 5 Apr 4 – May 2 1 in 24
5 Etoile Carouge 3 Aug 30 – Sep 24 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Stade Nyonnais 6 Aug 25 – Oct 4 1 in 273
2 Schaffhausen 5 Dec 8 – Feb 4 1 in 111
3 Neuchatel Xamax 5 Dec 6 – Feb 7 1 in 107
4 Etoile Carouge 3 Apr 18 – May 2 1 in 52
5 Bellinzona 3 Oct 26 – Nov 9 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aarau 19 Nov 9 – Apr 25 1 in 1,765
2 Vaduz 10 Sep 29 – Dec 14 1 in 81
3 Etoile Carouge 10 Feb 7 – Apr 13 1 in 70
4 Bellinzona 7 Apr 12 – May 23 1 in 70
5 Wil 6 Oct 27 – Dec 6 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aarau 9 Mar 16 – May 9 1 in 189
2 Bellinzona 10 Feb 1 – Apr 5 1 in 26
3 Schaffhausen 7 Nov 10 – Feb 4 1 in 12
4 Neuchatel Xamax 6 Dec 6 – Feb 14 1 in 12
5 Stade Nyonnais 6 Aug 25 – Oct 4 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Thun 1556 72 +3 10 8.7 +1.3
Aarau 1502 61 -5 5 7.7 -2.7
Etoile Carouge 1451 54 -16 3 6.3 -3.3
Lausanne-Ouchy 1491 53 +15 10 8.0 +2.0
Wil 1460 53 +7 10 7.7 +2.3
Vaduz 1454 51 -5 7 7.4 -0.4
Bellinzona 1395 44 +30 11 5.1 +5.9
Neuchatel Xamax 1408 41 -17 3 6.6 -3.6
Stade Nyonnais 1357 36 +11 10 5.1 +4.9
Schaffhausen 1345 28 -22 1 5.9 -4.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AAR BEL EC LAU NX SCH SN THU VAD WIL
Aarau —
2-1-1
6.45
2-1-1
5.74
2-2-0
5.43
2-1-1
6.15
2-1-1
6.42
3-1-0
6.59
1-1-2
4.67
2-2-0
5.61
0-3-1
5.66
Bellinzona
1-1-2
4.48
 —
0-3-1
4.71
1-2-1
4.58
1-2-1
4.96
3-0-1
5.43
1-1-2
5.62
2-1-1
3.69
1-0-3
4.52
1-1-2
4.62
Etoile Carouge
1-1-2
5.19
1-3-0
6.25
 —
0-1-3
5.20
4-0-0
5.55
2-1-1
6.20
4-0-0
6.21
0-1-3
4.35
2-0-2
5.40
1-2-1
5.26
Lausanne-Ouchy
0-2-2
5.51
1-2-1
6.38
3-1-0
5.72
 —
1-1-2
6.03
2-0-2
6.72
2-0-2
6.72
1-2-1
4.56
2-1-1
5.61
2-2-0
5.60
Neuchatel Xamax
1-1-2
4.78
1-2-1
5.96
0-0-4
5.37
2-1-1
4.91
 —
4-0-0
5.83
3-0-1
6.20
0-0-4
4.05
1-1-2
5.00
0-0-4
5.23
Schaffhausen
1-1-2
4.55
1-0-3
5.46
1-1-2
4.78
2-0-2
4.22
0-0-4
5.10
 —
2-0-2
5.61
0-1-3
3.88
0-3-1
4.66
0-1-3
4.64
Stade Nyonnais
0-1-3
4.40
2-1-1
5.30
0-0-4
4.75
2-0-2
4.28
1-0-3
4.73
2-0-2
5.32
 —
0-1-3
3.63
1-3-0
4.31
2-0-2
4.37
Thun
2-1-1
6.28
1-1-2
7.32
3-1-0
6.61
1-2-1
6.37
4-0-0
6.91
3-1-0
7.14
3-1-0
7.39
 —
2-1-1
6.53
2-1-1
6.40
Vaduz
0-2-2
5.32
3-0-1
6.40
2-0-2
5.51
1-1-2
5.32
2-1-1
5.91
1-3-0
6.30
0-3-1
6.63
1-1-2
4.40
 —
3-1-0
5.27
Wil
1-3-0
5.28
2-1-1
6.36
1-2-1
5.65
0-2-2
5.32
4-0-0
5.69
3-1-0
6.32
2-0-2
6.58
1-1-2
4.54
0-1-3
5.65
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.79 +12.5
Allowed 0.84 -11.0
Differential 0.95 +6.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.11%6.11%4.44%4.17%0.56%0.56%21.94%
16.11%11.11%8.89%5.28%0.83%0.56%32.78%
24.44%8.89%8.33%3.33%1.39%0.83%27.22%
34.17%5.28%3.33%0.56%——13.33%
40.56%0.83%1.39%———2.78%
5+0.56%0.56%0.83%———1.94%
Total21.94%32.78%27.22%13.33%2.78%1.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.50 +0.00
SD 1.24 1.24 1.83
CV 0.82 0.82 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%—————2.78%
113.89%19.44%11.11%5.56%——50.00%
22.78%8.33%13.89%—2.78%—27.78%
35.56%5.56%————11.11%
4—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total25.00%36.11%30.56%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 1.25 +0.50
SD 1.08 1.00 1.38
CV 0.62 0.80 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%5.56%8.33%—2.78%25.00%
1—16.67%13.89%2.78%2.78%—36.11%
22.78%13.89%8.33%———25.00%
32.78%11.11%————13.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.11%44.44%27.78%11.11%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.64 -0.36
SD 1.00 1.31 1.94
CV 0.79 0.80 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%5.56%———25.00%
15.56%8.33%8.33%2.78%—2.78%27.78%
2—11.11%8.33%2.78%——22.22%
35.56%8.33%5.56%———19.44%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total22.22%38.89%30.56%5.56%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.31 +0.31
SD 1.48 1.06 1.88
CV 0.92 0.82 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%—2.78%——19.44%
111.11%16.67%8.33%2.78%——38.89%
25.56%8.33%8.33%2.78%2.78%—27.78%
35.56%—2.78%———8.33%
4———————
5+—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
Total27.78%38.89%22.22%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.19 +0.31
SD 1.32 1.04 1.58
CV 0.88 0.87 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%8.33%2.78%2.78%—22.22%
1—5.56%19.44%8.33%2.78%—36.11%
22.78%8.33%2.78%5.56%——19.44%
3—5.56%5.56%———11.11%
42.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total11.11%25.00%41.67%16.67%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.81 -0.22
SD 1.42 1.04 1.91
CV 0.90 0.57 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%2.78%11.11%——27.78%
18.33%8.33%8.33%11.11%——36.11%
22.78%5.56%8.33%11.11%2.78%2.78%33.33%
32.78%—————2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%25.00%19.44%33.33%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.92 -0.81
SD 0.85 1.36 1.53
CV 0.77 0.71 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%5.56%8.33%2.78%—25.00%
18.33%11.11%13.89%5.56%—2.78%41.67%
2—5.56%2.78%2.78%5.56%2.78%19.44%
38.33%2.78%2.78%———13.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.44%25.00%25.00%16.67%8.33%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.92 -0.69
SD 0.99 1.57 1.97
CV 0.81 0.82 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%5.56%2.78%——19.44%
15.56%8.33%2.78%2.78%——19.44%
213.89%11.11%5.56%———30.56%
32.78%8.33%8.33%2.78%——22.22%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total33.33%33.33%25.00%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.94 1.08 +0.86
SD 1.58 0.97 1.88
CV 0.81 0.89 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%5.56%———27.78%
18.33%11.11%—5.56%2.78%—27.78%
22.78%11.11%8.33%2.78%—2.78%27.78%
32.78%5.56%5.56%2.78%——16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%38.89%19.44%11.11%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.36 -0.03
SD 1.07 1.22 1.40
CV 0.80 0.90 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%5.56%5.56%—2.78%25.00%
1—5.56%2.78%5.56%——13.89%
211.11%5.56%16.67%5.56%——38.89%
35.56%5.56%2.78%———13.89%
42.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
5+———————
Total27.78%22.22%30.56%16.67%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.53 +0.14
SD 1.24 1.42 2.14
CV 0.75 0.93 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Thun 1556 72 60.76 +11.24 90.0% 46 47 55 60 65 74 88
Aarau 1502 61 51.25 +9.75 88.0% 31 39 45 51 56 65 70
Lausanne-Ouchy 1491 53 53.05 -0.05 54.0% 30 39 48 52 58 67 74
Wil 1460 53 51.44 +1.56 63.0% 33 40 46 51 56 62 69
Vaduz 1454 51 50.34 +0.66 56.0% 30 35 46 50 55 63 72
Etoile Carouge 1451 54 50.23 +3.77 69.0% 32 34 45 50 55 62 63
Neuchatel Xamax 1408 41 47.94 -6.94 17.0% 26 37 44 48 52 61 66
Bellinzona 1395 44 41.36 +2.64 53.0% 21 27 35 41 47 54 64
Stade Nyonnais 1357 36 40.79 -4.79 27.0% 24 30 35 41 46 51 60
Schaffhausen 1345 25 39.39 -14.39 7.0% 16 24 34 39 44 53 58

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+6.11%
No Edge
40.00%26.11%33.89%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 21.26 Elo pts.
149 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.12 goals
Neutral
-2+0.14+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.6
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
46%
Thun, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.31/gm
Runaway
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.21 * Some Luck: 6.21 to 9.32 * Lucky: 9.32 to 12.43 * Wild Swing: 12.43 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.57 * Close: 1.57 to 2.35 * Off: 2.35 to 3.13 * Way Off: 3.13 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.19 points
Some Luck
07.7719
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.20
Pinpoint
01.964
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
90.00%
Thun
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
7.00%
Schaffhausen
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Even
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 66.11
1.68
Moderate Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
62%
Even
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
77%
Even
50%78%100%
Close Games
Expected
63%
Frequent
0%59%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Occasional
0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.65
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.30
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.83
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.33
Weak Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
31%
Very Upset-Prone
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Shaky
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.15
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.36
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.113
Well Within Noise
00.1150.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Thun46.00%21.00%20.00%4.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%———
Aarau15.00%11.00%13.00%17.00%7.00%12.00%9.00%8.00%5.00%3.00%
Etoile Carouge1.00%16.00%15.00%21.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%7.00%6.00%4.00%
Lausanne-Ouchy16.00%16.00%14.00%11.00%16.00%9.00%9.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%
Wil7.00%11.00%15.00%17.00%16.00%11.00%10.00%8.00%4.00%1.00%
Vaduz10.00%12.00%10.00%14.00%12.00%13.00%12.00%6.00%6.00%5.00%
Bellinzona1.00%3.00%1.00%3.00%10.00%9.00%9.00%20.00%17.00%27.00%
Neuchatel Xamax3.00%9.00%5.00%10.00%15.00%15.00%19.00%13.00%6.00%5.00%
Stade Nyonnais1.00%—3.00%1.00%8.00%9.00%14.00%14.00%24.00%26.00%
Schaffhausen—1.00%4.00%2.00%3.00%8.00%6.00%19.00%29.00%28.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Qualified for promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Thun 46.00% 21.00% 33.00% —
Lausanne-Ouchy 16.00% 16.00% 67.00% 1.00%
Aarau 15.00% 11.00% 71.00% 3.00%
Wil 7.00% 11.00% 81.00% 1.00%
Vaduz 10.00% 12.00% 73.00% 5.00%
Neuchatel Xamax 3.00% 9.00% 83.00% 5.00%
Etoile Carouge 1.00% 16.00% 79.00% 4.00%
Stade Nyonnais 1.00% — 73.00% 26.00%
Bellinzona 1.00% 3.00% 69.00% 27.00%
Schaffhausen — 1.00% 71.00% 28.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2024-07-19 Etoile Carouge L 2-359.7 1427 1416 48.36% 26.78% 24.86%+0.21 -5.6 0
2024-07-19 @ Schaffhausen W 3-259.7 1416 1427 24.86% 26.78% 48.36%-0.21 +5.6 3
2024-07-19 Lausanne-Ouchy W 3-255.8 1448 1463 44.88% 27.54% 27.58%+0.04 +3.7 3
2024-07-19 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 2-355.8 1463 1448 27.58% 27.54% 44.88%-0.04 -3.7 0
2024-07-19 Thun L 1-351.5 1435 1489 39.41% 28.24% 32.35%-0.22 -8.8 0
2024-07-19 @ Aarau W 3-151.5 1489 1435 32.35% 28.24% 39.41%+0.22 +8.8 3
2024-07-20 Wil L 0-343.0 1421 1440 44.29% 27.65% 28.06%+0.01 -16.0 0
2024-07-20 @ Bellinzona W 3-043.0 1440 1421 28.06% 27.65% 44.29%-0.01 +16.0 3
2024-07-21 Stade Nyonnais D 0-053.3 1457 1422 51.65% 25.83% 22.52%+0.38 -0.9 1
2024-07-21 @ Vaduz D 0-053.3 1422 1457 22.52% 25.83% 51.65%-0.38 +0.9 1
2024-07-26 Aarau D 2-263.4 1456 1426 50.96% 26.05% 22.99%+0.34 -0.6 4
2024-07-26 @ Wil D 2-263.4 1426 1456 22.99% 26.05% 50.96%-0.34 +0.6 1
2024-07-26 Bellinzona W 2-146.6 1423 1405 49.42% 26.50% 24.08%+0.27 +3.4 4
2024-07-26 @ Stade Nyonnais L 1-246.6 1405 1423 24.08% 26.50% 49.42%-0.27 -3.4 0
2024-07-26 Neuchatel Xamax W 3-146.8 1422 1452 42.78% 27.88% 29.33%-0.06 +7.0 6
2024-07-26 @ Etoile Carouge L 1-346.8 1452 1422 29.33% 27.88% 42.78%+0.06 -7.0 3
2024-07-26 Schaffhausen L 0-150.8 1460 1421 52.10% 25.69% 22.21%+0.40 -6.6 0
2024-07-26 @ Lausanne-Ouchy W 1-050.8 1421 1460 22.21% 25.69% 52.10%-0.40 +6.6 3
2024-07-28 Vaduz W 2-040.7 1498 1456 52.46% 25.57% 21.97%+0.42 +6.3 6
2024-07-28 @ Thun L 0-240.7 1456 1498 21.97% 25.57% 52.46%-0.42 -6.3 1
2024-08-02 Lausanne-Ouchy D 1-160.4 1504 1453 53.71% 25.14% 21.15%+0.49 -0.9 7
2024-08-02 @ Thun D 1-160.4 1453 1504 21.15% 25.14% 53.71%-0.49 +0.9 1
2024-08-02 Schaffhausen L 0-343.4 1426 1428 46.79% 27.15% 26.06%+0.14 -16.7 4
2024-08-02 @ Stade Nyonnais W 3-043.4 1428 1426 26.06% 27.15% 46.79%-0.14 +16.7 6
2024-08-03 Etoile Carouge D 1-155.5 1401 1429 43.15% 27.83% 29.02%-0.04 -0.4 1
2024-08-03 @ Bellinzona D 1-155.5 1429 1401 29.02% 27.83% 43.15%+0.04 +0.4 7
2024-08-03 Neuchatel Xamax L 1-351.2 1427 1445 44.47% 27.62% 27.92%+0.02 -9.6 1
2024-08-03 @ Aarau W 3-151.2 1445 1427 27.92% 27.62% 44.47%-0.02 +9.6 6
2024-08-04 Wil W 3-255.2 1450 1455 46.20% 27.28% 26.52%+0.11 +3.5 4
2024-08-04 @ Vaduz L 2-355.2 1455 1450 26.52% 27.28% 46.20%-0.11 -3.5 4
2024-08-09 Aarau D 1-157.3 1454 1417 51.85% 25.77% 22.38%+0.39 -0.8 2
2024-08-09 @ Lausanne-Ouchy D 1-157.3 1417 1454 22.38% 25.77% 51.85%-0.39 +0.8 2
2024-08-09 Bellinzona D 2-262.9 1454 1401 54.03% 25.02% 20.94%+0.50 -0.7 7
2024-08-09 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 2-262.9 1401 1454 20.94% 25.02% 54.03%-0.50 +0.7 2
2024-08-09 Thun L 0-245.2 1429 1503 36.55% 28.37% 35.08%-0.35 -9.6 7
2024-08-09 @ Etoile Carouge W 2-045.2 1503 1429 35.08% 28.37% 36.55%+0.35 +9.6 10
2024-08-10 Stade Nyonnais L 0-344.9 1452 1410 52.57% 25.53% 21.90%+0.43 -18.3 4
2024-08-10 @ Wil W 3-044.9 1410 1452 21.90% 25.53% 52.57%-0.43 +18.3 7
2024-08-11 Vaduz D 1-157.6 1444 1454 45.68% 27.39% 26.93%+0.08 -0.5 7
2024-08-11 @ Schaffhausen D 1-157.6 1454 1444 26.93% 27.39% 45.68%-0.08 +0.5 5
2024-08-23 Neuchatel Xamax W 4-038.8 1434 1454 44.19% 27.67% 28.15%+0.01 +14.9 7
2024-08-23 @ Wil L 0-438.8 1454 1434 28.15% 27.67% 44.19%-0.01 -14.9 7
2024-08-24 Etoile Carouge W 1-042.2 1418 1420 46.73% 27.17% 26.10%+0.13 +3.9 5
2024-08-24 @ Aarau L 0-142.2 1420 1418 26.10% 27.17% 46.73%-0.13 -3.9 7
2024-08-24 Schaffhausen W 2-149.5 1402 1444 41.07% 28.10% 30.83%-0.14 +4.2 5
2024-08-24 @ Bellinzona L 1-249.5 1444 1402 30.83% 28.10% 41.07%+0.14 -4.2 7
2024-08-25 Lausanne-Ouchy W 3-146.6 1454 1453 47.09% 27.08% 25.82%+0.15 +6.3 8
2024-08-25 @ Vaduz L 1-346.6 1453 1454 25.82% 27.08% 47.09%-0.15 -6.3 2
2024-08-25 Stade Nyonnais W 4-248.7 1513 1428 57.95% 23.48% 18.57%+0.71 +4.1 13
2024-08-25 @ Thun L 2-448.7 1428 1513 18.57% 23.48% 57.95%-0.71 -4.1 7
2024-08-30 Lausanne-Ouchy L 0-343.2 1424 1447 43.80% 27.73% 28.47%-0.01 -15.9 7
2024-08-30 @ Stade Nyonnais W 3-043.2 1447 1424 28.47% 27.73% 43.80%+0.01 +15.9 5
2024-08-30 Thun D 2-265.2 1440 1517 36.09% 28.37% 35.53%-0.38 -0.0 8
2024-08-30 @ Schaffhausen D 2-265.2 1517 1440 35.53% 28.37% 36.09%+0.38 +0.0 14
2024-08-30 Vaduz W 4-144.8 1439 1460 43.97% 27.70% 28.33%+0.00 +9.7 10
2024-08-30 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 1-444.8 1460 1439 28.33% 27.70% 43.97%+0.00 -9.7 8
2024-08-30 Wil W 3-146.6 1416 1448 42.40% 27.94% 29.67%-0.08 +7.1 10
2024-08-30 @ Etoile Carouge L 1-346.6 1448 1416 29.67% 27.94% 42.40%+0.08 -7.1 7
2024-08-31 Bellinzona L 1-254.1 1422 1406 49.13% 26.58% 24.30%+0.25 -6.0 5
2024-08-31 @ Aarau W 2-154.1 1406 1422 24.30% 26.58% 49.13%-0.25 +6.0 8
2024-09-20 Aarau L 2-553.2 1451 1416 51.61% 25.85% 22.55%+0.38 -13.2 8
2024-09-20 @ Vaduz W 5-253.2 1416 1451 22.55% 25.85% 51.61%-0.38 +13.2 8
2024-09-20 Bellinzona L 1-259.3 1517 1412 60.44% 22.37% 17.19%+0.85 -7.0 14
2024-09-20 @ Thun W 2-159.3 1412 1517 17.19% 22.37% 60.44%-0.85 +7.0 11
2024-09-20 Etoile Carouge L 2-454.4 1408 1423 44.92% 27.53% 27.54%+0.04 -8.6 7
2024-09-20 @ Stade Nyonnais W 4-254.4 1423 1408 27.54% 27.53% 44.92%-0.04 +8.6 13
2024-09-20 Neuchatel Xamax L 1-255.0 1440 1448 45.73% 27.38% 26.89%+0.08 -5.6 8
2024-09-20 @ Schaffhausen W 2-155.0 1448 1440 26.89% 27.38% 45.73%-0.08 +5.6 13
2024-09-20 Wil D 0-053.9 1463 1441 49.80% 26.39% 23.81%+0.29 -0.8 6
2024-09-20 @ Lausanne-Ouchy D 0-053.9 1441 1463 23.81% 26.39% 49.80%-0.29 +0.8 8
2024-09-23 Schaffhausen L 1-254.4 1429 1434 46.29% 27.26% 26.45%+0.11 -5.7 8
2024-09-23 @ Aarau W 2-154.4 1434 1429 26.45% 27.26% 46.29%-0.11 +5.7 11
2024-09-23 Stade Nyonnais W 3-251.2 1454 1399 54.19% 24.97% 20.84%+0.51 +2.8 16
2024-09-23 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 2-351.2 1399 1454 20.84% 24.97% 54.19%-0.51 -2.8 7
2024-09-23 Thun D 0-055.0 1442 1510 37.48% 28.35% 34.18%-0.31 -0.1 9
2024-09-23 @ Wil D 0-055.0 1510 1442 34.18% 28.35% 37.48%+0.31 +0.1 15
2024-09-24 Lausanne-Ouchy W 2-150.6 1419 1462 40.96% 28.11% 30.93%-0.15 +4.2 14
2024-09-24 @ Bellinzona L 1-250.6 1462 1419 30.93% 28.11% 40.96%+0.15 -4.2 6
2024-09-24 Vaduz W 1-043.3 1431 1438 46.10% 27.30% 26.60%+0.10 +4.0 16
2024-09-24 @ Etoile Carouge L 0-143.3 1438 1431 26.60% 27.30% 46.10%-0.10 -4.0 8
2024-09-27 Aarau L 1-252.5 1396 1423 43.24% 27.82% 28.94%-0.04 -5.4 7
2024-09-27 @ Stade Nyonnais W 2-152.5 1423 1396 28.94% 27.82% 43.24%+0.04 +5.4 11
2024-09-27 Etoile Carouge W 5-141.5 1458 1435 49.94% 26.35% 23.71%+0.29 +10.7 9
2024-09-27 @ Lausanne-Ouchy L 1-541.5 1435 1458 23.71% 26.35% 49.94%-0.29 -10.7 16
2024-09-27 Neuchatel Xamax W 1-044.3 1510 1457 53.95% 25.05% 21.00%+0.50 +3.2 18
2024-09-27 @ Thun L 0-144.3 1457 1510 21.00% 25.05% 53.95%-0.50 -3.2 16
2024-09-27 Wil L 0-246.2 1440 1442 46.60% 27.19% 26.20%+0.13 -11.5 11
2024-09-27 @ Schaffhausen W 2-046.2 1442 1440 26.20% 27.19% 46.60%-0.13 +11.5 12
2024-09-29 Bellinzona W 2-147.6 1434 1423 48.39% 26.77% 24.84%+0.21 +3.5 11
2024-09-29 @ Vaduz L 1-247.6 1423 1434 24.84% 26.77% 48.39%-0.21 -3.5 14
2024-10-04 Schaffhausen W 2-147.8 1454 1428 50.39% 26.22% 23.39%+0.31 +3.3 19
2024-10-04 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 1-247.8 1428 1454 23.39% 26.22% 50.39%-0.31 -3.3 11
2024-10-04 Stade Nyonnais W 3-142.6 1425 1391 51.44% 25.90% 22.66%+0.37 +5.6 19
2024-10-04 @ Etoile Carouge L 1-342.6 1391 1425 22.66% 25.90% 51.44%-0.37 -5.6 7
2024-10-04 Thun D 0-054.3 1419 1513 33.78% 28.33% 37.89%-0.49 +0.1 15
2024-10-04 @ Bellinzona D 0-054.3 1513 1419 37.89% 28.33% 33.78%+0.49 -0.1 19
2024-10-05 Lausanne-Ouchy D 2-264.3 1454 1468 44.94% 27.53% 27.53%+0.04 -0.3 13
2024-10-05 @ Wil D 2-264.3 1468 1454 27.53% 27.53% 44.94%-0.04 +0.4 10
2024-10-05 Vaduz D 0-052.4 1429 1437 45.81% 27.36% 26.83%+0.09 -0.6 12
2024-10-05 @ Aarau D 0-052.4 1437 1429 26.83% 27.36% 45.81%-0.09 +0.6 12
2024-10-18 Aarau L 0-343.3 1425 1428 46.48% 27.22% 26.30%+0.12 -16.6 11
2024-10-18 @ Schaffhausen W 3-043.3 1428 1425 26.30% 27.22% 46.48%-0.12 +16.6 15
2024-10-18 Etoile Carouge L 0-345.2 1457 1430 50.55% 26.17% 23.28%+0.32 -17.8 19
2024-10-18 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 3-045.2 1430 1457 23.28% 26.17% 50.55%-0.32 +17.8 22
2024-10-18 Wil W 3-147.4 1385 1453 37.44% 28.35% 34.22%-0.31 +7.9 10
2024-10-18 @ Stade Nyonnais L 1-347.4 1453 1385 34.22% 28.35% 37.44%+0.31 -7.9 13
2024-10-19 Bellinzona D 1-158.0 1469 1420 53.46% 25.23% 21.32%+0.47 -0.9 11
2024-10-19 @ Lausanne-Ouchy D 1-158.0 1420 1469 21.32% 25.23% 53.46%-0.47 +0.9 16
2024-10-19 Thun W 2-045.4 1438 1513 36.37% 28.37% 35.26%-0.36 +9.3 15
2024-10-19 @ Vaduz L 0-245.4 1513 1438 35.26% 28.37% 36.37%+0.36 -9.3 19
2024-10-25 Lausanne-Ouchy D 1-158.2 1448 1468 44.24% 27.66% 28.10%+0.01 -0.4 23
2024-10-25 @ Etoile Carouge D 1-158.2 1468 1448 28.10% 27.66% 44.24%-0.01 +0.4 12
2024-10-25 Stade Nyonnais W 1-040.1 1445 1393 53.77% 25.12% 21.11%+0.49 +3.2 18
2024-10-25 @ Aarau L 0-140.1 1393 1445 21.11% 25.12% 53.77%-0.49 -3.2 10
2024-10-26 Neuchatel Xamax L 0-245.0 1420 1439 44.35% 27.64% 28.01%+0.02 -11.0 16
2024-10-26 @ Bellinzona W 2-045.0 1439 1420 28.01% 27.64% 44.35%-0.02 +11.1 22
2024-10-27 Schaffhausen W 3-143.1 1504 1408 59.27% 22.90% 17.83%+0.78 +4.4 22
2024-10-27 @ Thun L 1-343.1 1408 1504 17.83% 22.90% 59.27%-0.78 -4.4 11
2024-10-27 Vaduz D 0-053.3 1445 1447 46.72% 27.17% 26.11%+0.13 -0.6 14
2024-10-27 @ Wil D 0-053.3 1447 1445 26.11% 27.17% 46.72%-0.13 +0.6 16
2024-11-01 Aarau W 2-149.3 1448 1448 46.88% 27.13% 25.99%+0.14 +3.7 26
2024-11-01 @ Etoile Carouge L 1-249.3 1448 1448 25.99% 27.13% 46.88%-0.14 -3.7 18
2024-11-01 Bellinzona W 2-147.2 1404 1409 46.17% 27.29% 26.54%+0.10 +3.7 14
2024-11-01 @ Schaffhausen L 1-247.2 1409 1404 26.54% 27.29% 46.17%-0.10 -3.7 16
2024-11-01 Thun L 1-643.8 1390 1508 30.60% 28.07% 41.34%-0.65 -16.2 10
2024-11-01 @ Stade Nyonnais W 6-143.8 1508 1390 41.34% 28.07% 30.60%+0.65 +16.2 25
2024-11-01 Vaduz D 2-264.4 1468 1448 49.71% 26.42% 23.88%+0.28 -0.5 13
2024-11-01 @ Lausanne-Ouchy D 2-264.4 1448 1468 23.88% 26.42% 49.71%-0.28 +0.5 17
2024-11-01 Wil L 1-450.3 1450 1445 47.72% 26.94% 25.35%+0.18 -14.3 22
2024-11-01 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 4-150.3 1445 1450 25.35% 26.94% 47.72%-0.18 +14.3 17
2024-11-08 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-148.4 1448 1436 48.59% 26.72% 24.69%+0.22 +3.5 20
2024-11-08 @ Vaduz L 1-248.4 1436 1448 24.69% 26.72% 48.59%-0.22 -3.5 22
2024-11-08 Stade Nyonnais W 6-239.1 1468 1374 59.06% 22.99% 17.95%+0.77 +6.8 16
2024-11-08 @ Lausanne-Ouchy L 2-639.1 1374 1468 17.95% 22.99% 59.06%-0.77 -6.8 10
2024-11-09 Aarau L 1-447.4 1406 1444 41.57% 28.04% 30.39%-0.12 -12.9 16
2024-11-09 @ Bellinzona W 4-147.4 1444 1406 30.39% 28.04% 41.57%+0.12 +12.9 21
2024-11-09 Etoile Carouge W 2-149.2 1524 1451 56.49% 24.08% 19.43%+0.63 +2.8 28
2024-11-09 @ Thun L 1-249.2 1451 1524 19.43% 24.08% 56.49%-0.63 -2.8 26
2024-11-10 Schaffhausen D 2-263.2 1459 1407 53.78% 25.12% 21.11%+0.49 -0.7 18
2024-11-10 @ Wil D 2-263.2 1407 1459 21.11% 25.12% 53.78%-0.49 +0.7 15
2024-11-22 Bellinzona D 2-262.6 1448 1393 54.31% 24.92% 20.77%+0.52 -0.7 27
2024-11-22 @ Etoile Carouge D 2-262.6 1393 1448 20.77% 24.92% 54.31%-0.52 +0.7 17
2024-11-22 Thun L 2-359.6 1433 1527 33.66% 28.33% 38.01%-0.49 -4.3 22
2024-11-22 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 3-259.6 1527 1433 38.01% 28.33% 33.66%+0.49 +4.3 31
2024-11-24 Wil D 1-158.3 1457 1458 46.80% 27.15% 26.05%+0.14 -0.6 22
2024-11-24 @ Aarau D 1-158.3 1458 1457 26.05% 27.15% 46.80%-0.14 +0.6 19
2024-11-29 Neuchatel Xamax L 1-257.1 1474 1428 53.08% 25.36% 21.56%+0.45 -6.3 16
2024-11-29 @ Lausanne-Ouchy W 2-157.1 1428 1474 21.56% 25.36% 53.08%-0.45 +6.3 25
2024-11-29 Schaffhausen D 2-262.9 1452 1408 52.74% 25.48% 21.79%+0.44 -0.7 21
2024-11-29 @ Vaduz D 2-262.9 1408 1452 21.79% 25.48% 52.74%-0.44 +0.6 16
2024-11-30 Aarau D 1-161.9 1531 1457 56.69% 24.00% 19.31%+0.64 -1.1 32
2024-11-30 @ Thun D 1-161.9 1457 1531 19.31% 24.00% 56.69%-0.64 +1.1 23
2024-11-30 Etoile Carouge W 2-149.2 1459 1448 48.46% 26.75% 24.79%+0.22 +3.5 22
2024-11-30 @ Wil L 1-249.2 1448 1459 24.79% 26.75% 48.46%-0.22 -3.5 27
2024-11-30 Stade Nyonnais D 1-154.5 1393 1367 50.50% 26.19% 23.31%+0.32 -0.8 18
2024-11-30 @ Bellinzona D 1-154.5 1367 1393 23.31% 26.19% 50.50%-0.32 +0.8 11
2024-12-03 Vaduz D 1-155.1 1368 1451 35.22% 28.37% 36.41%-0.42 +0.0 12
2024-12-03 @ Stade Nyonnais D 1-155.1 1451 1368 36.41% 28.37% 35.22%+0.42 -0.0 22
2024-12-06 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-149.5 1368 1435 37.58% 28.34% 34.07%-0.31 +4.5 15
2024-12-06 @ Stade Nyonnais L 1-249.5 1435 1368 34.07% 28.34% 37.58%+0.31 -4.5 25
2024-12-06 Wil L 0-252.0 1530 1462 55.84% 24.34% 19.82%+0.60 -13.2 32
2024-12-06 @ Thun W 2-052.0 1462 1530 19.82% 24.34% 55.84%-0.60 +13.2 25
2024-12-08 Lausanne-Ouchy W 1-045.3 1458 1468 45.54% 27.42% 27.05%+0.07 +4.0 26
2024-12-08 @ Aarau L 0-145.3 1468 1458 27.05% 27.42% 45.54%-0.07 -4.0 16
2024-12-08 Schaffhausen W 1-041.2 1444 1409 51.68% 25.82% 22.50%+0.38 +3.4 30
2024-12-08 @ Etoile Carouge L 0-141.2 1409 1444 22.50% 25.82% 51.68%-0.38 -3.4 16
2024-12-08 Vaduz L 1-251.9 1393 1451 38.80% 28.28% 32.92%-0.25 -5.0 18
2024-12-08 @ Bellinzona W 2-151.9 1451 1393 32.92% 28.28% 38.80%+0.25 +5.0 25
2024-12-13 Aarau L 1-351.3 1430 1462 42.55% 27.92% 29.53%-0.07 -9.3 25
2024-12-13 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 3-151.3 1462 1430 29.53% 27.92% 42.55%+0.07 +9.3 29
2024-12-13 Stade Nyonnais L 0-148.1 1405 1372 51.37% 25.92% 22.71%+0.36 -6.6 16
2024-12-13 @ Schaffhausen W 1-048.1 1372 1405 22.71% 25.92% 51.37%-0.36 +6.6 18
2024-12-13 Thun D 1-160.3 1464 1517 39.56% 28.23% 32.21%-0.21 -0.2 17
2024-12-13 @ Lausanne-Ouchy D 1-160.3 1517 1464 32.21% 28.23% 39.56%+0.21 +0.2 33
2024-12-14 Bellinzona L 0-248.0 1476 1388 58.36% 23.30% 18.34%+0.73 -13.6 25
2024-12-14 @ Wil W 2-048.0 1388 1476 18.34% 23.30% 58.36%-0.73 +13.7 21
2024-12-14 Etoile Carouge W 3-254.6 1456 1448 48.08% 26.85% 25.07%+0.20 +3.4 28
2024-12-14 @ Vaduz L 2-354.6 1448 1456 25.07% 26.85% 48.08%-0.20 -3.4 30
2025-01-24 Aarau L 1-250.7 1379 1471 33.98% 28.34% 37.68%-0.48 -4.5 18
2025-01-24 @ Stade Nyonnais W 2-150.7 1471 1379 37.68% 28.34% 33.98%+0.48 +4.5 32
2025-01-24 Lausanne-Ouchy L 1-253.7 1421 1464 40.96% 28.11% 30.93%-0.15 -5.2 25
2025-01-24 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 2-153.7 1464 1421 30.93% 28.11% 40.96%+0.15 +5.2 20
2025-01-24 Vaduz W 3-146.8 1517 1459 54.58% 24.82% 20.60%+0.53 +5.1 36
2025-01-24 @ Thun L 1-346.8 1459 1517 20.60% 24.82% 54.58%-0.53 -5.1 28
2025-01-24 Wil D 1-157.9 1444 1462 44.51% 27.61% 27.88%+0.02 -0.5 31
2025-01-24 @ Etoile Carouge D 1-157.9 1462 1444 27.88% 27.61% 44.51%-0.02 +0.5 26
2025-01-25 Schaffhausen W 3-035.7 1401 1399 47.29% 27.04% 25.67%+0.16 +10.5 24
2025-01-25 @ Bellinzona L 0-335.7 1399 1401 25.67% 27.04% 47.29%-0.16 -10.5 16
2025-01-31 Etoile Carouge W 1-043.4 1469 1444 50.34% 26.23% 23.42%+0.31 +3.5 23
2025-01-31 @ Lausanne-Ouchy L 0-143.4 1444 1469 23.42% 26.23% 50.34%-0.31 -3.5 31
2025-01-31 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-038.0 1462 1416 53.17% 25.33% 21.50%+0.46 +6.2 29
2025-01-31 @ Wil L 0-238.0 1416 1462 21.50% 25.33% 53.17%-0.46 -6.2 25
2025-01-31 Thun L 2-356.1 1388 1522 28.63% 27.76% 43.61%-0.76 -3.8 16
2025-01-31 @ Schaffhausen W 3-256.1 1522 1388 43.61% 27.76% 28.63%+0.76 +3.8 39
2025-02-01 Bellinzona W 2-146.5 1476 1412 55.33% 24.54% 20.13%+0.57 +2.9 35
2025-02-01 @ Aarau L 1-246.5 1412 1476 20.13% 24.54% 55.33%-0.57 -2.9 24
2025-02-01 Stade Nyonnais D 1-156.7 1454 1374 57.36% 23.73% 18.92%+0.68 -1.1 29
2025-02-01 @ Vaduz D 1-156.7 1374 1454 18.92% 23.73% 57.36%-0.68 +1.1 19
2025-02-04 Lausanne-Ouchy L 0-145.7 1385 1473 34.54% 28.36% 37.10%-0.45 -4.9 16
2025-02-04 @ Schaffhausen W 1-045.7 1473 1385 37.10% 28.36% 34.54%+0.45 +4.9 26
2025-02-07 Aarau L 2-458.8 1477 1478 46.81% 27.15% 26.04%+0.14 -8.9 26
2025-02-07 @ Lausanne-Ouchy W 4-258.8 1478 1477 26.04% 27.15% 46.81%-0.14 +8.9 38
2025-02-07 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-146.6 1440 1409 51.08% 26.01% 22.90%+0.35 +3.3 34
2025-02-07 @ Etoile Carouge L 1-246.6 1409 1440 22.90% 26.01% 51.08%-0.35 -3.3 25
2025-02-07 Schaffhausen L 0-146.5 1376 1380 46.38% 27.24% 26.37%+0.12 -6.1 19
2025-02-07 @ Stade Nyonnais W 1-046.5 1380 1376 26.37% 27.24% 46.38%-0.12 +6.1 19
2025-02-09 Bellinzona W 2-037.2 1526 1409 61.87% 21.70% 16.43%+0.93 +4.6 42
2025-02-09 @ Thun L 0-237.2 1409 1526 16.43% 21.70% 61.87%-0.93 -4.6 24
2025-02-09 Wil W 1-045.4 1453 1469 44.83% 27.55% 27.62%+0.04 +4.1 32
2025-02-09 @ Vaduz L 0-145.4 1469 1453 27.62% 27.55% 44.83%-0.04 -4.1 29
2025-02-14 Etoile Carouge D 0-051.1 1386 1444 38.86% 28.28% 32.86%-0.25 -0.2 20
2025-02-14 @ Schaffhausen D 0-051.1 1444 1386 32.86% 28.28% 38.86%+0.25 +0.2 35
2025-02-14 Thun W 1-050.1 1487 1531 40.94% 28.11% 30.95%-0.15 +4.5 41
2025-02-14 @ Aarau L 0-150.1 1531 1487 30.95% 28.11% 40.94%+0.15 -4.5 42
2025-02-14 Vaduz D 0-052.1 1406 1457 39.82% 28.21% 31.97%-0.20 -0.2 26
2025-02-14 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 0-052.1 1457 1406 31.97% 28.21% 39.82%+0.20 +0.2 33
2025-02-15 Lausanne-Ouchy L 0-147.1 1404 1469 37.96% 28.33% 33.71%-0.29 -5.2 24
2025-02-15 @ Bellinzona W 1-047.1 1469 1404 33.71% 28.33% 37.96%+0.29 +5.2 29
2025-02-15 Stade Nyonnais W 2-143.8 1464 1369 59.23% 22.92% 17.85%+0.78 +2.5 32
2025-02-15 @ Wil L 1-243.8 1369 1464 17.85% 22.92% 59.23%-0.78 -2.5 19
2025-02-21 Lausanne-Ouchy W 3-041.3 1367 1474 32.00% 28.22% 39.79%-0.57 +14.8 22
2025-02-21 @ Stade Nyonnais L 0-341.3 1474 1367 39.79% 28.22% 32.00%+0.57 -14.8 29
2025-02-21 Neuchatel Xamax L 2-453.3 1386 1406 44.14% 27.67% 28.18%+0.01 -8.5 20
2025-02-21 @ Schaffhausen W 4-253.3 1406 1386 28.18% 27.67% 44.14%-0.01 +8.5 29
2025-02-22 Etoile Carouge D 0-051.5 1399 1444 40.75% 28.13% 31.12%-0.16 -0.3 25
2025-02-22 @ Bellinzona D 0-051.5 1444 1399 31.12% 28.13% 40.75%+0.16 +0.3 36
2025-02-23 Aarau L 0-150.9 1457 1492 42.18% 27.97% 29.86%-0.09 -5.6 33
2025-02-23 @ Vaduz W 1-050.9 1492 1457 29.86% 27.97% 42.18%+0.09 +5.6 44
2025-02-23 Thun L 2-362.3 1467 1526 38.67% 28.29% 33.03%-0.25 -4.7 32
2025-02-23 @ Wil W 3-262.3 1526 1467 33.03% 28.29% 38.67%+0.25 +4.7 45
2025-02-28 Stade Nyonnais D 2-266.3 1531 1382 65.60% 19.83% 14.57%+1.14 -1.1 46
2025-02-28 @ Thun D 2-266.3 1382 1531 14.57% 19.83% 65.60%-1.14 +1.1 23
2025-02-28 Wil W 2-150.3 1459 1462 46.49% 27.22% 26.29%+0.12 +3.7 32
2025-02-28 @ Lausanne-Ouchy L 1-250.3 1462 1459 26.29% 27.22% 46.49%-0.12 -3.7 32
2025-03-01 Schaffhausen W 3-033.2 1498 1377 62.29% 21.49% 16.22%+0.95 +6.6 47
2025-03-01 @ Aarau L 0-333.2 1377 1498 16.22% 21.49% 62.29%-0.95 -6.6 20
2025-03-02 Bellinzona D 1-155.5 1414 1399 49.04% 26.60% 24.36%+0.25 -0.7 30
2025-03-02 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 1-155.5 1399 1414 24.36% 26.60% 49.04%-0.25 +0.7 26
2025-03-02 Vaduz W 3-255.0 1444 1452 45.87% 27.35% 26.78%+0.09 +3.6 39
2025-03-02 @ Etoile Carouge L 2-355.0 1452 1444 26.78% 27.35% 45.87%-0.09 -3.6 33
2025-03-07 Etoile Carouge L 0-340.5 1383 1448 37.87% 28.33% 33.80%-0.29 -14.3 23
2025-03-07 @ Stade Nyonnais W 3-040.5 1448 1383 33.80% 28.33% 37.87%+0.29 +14.3 42
2025-03-07 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-037.6 1504 1414 58.66% 23.17% 18.17%+0.75 +5.2 50
2025-03-07 @ Aarau L 0-237.6 1414 1504 18.17% 23.17% 58.66%-0.75 -5.2 30
2025-03-07 Vaduz D 1-155.1 1370 1448 35.99% 28.37% 35.64%-0.38 +0.0 21
2025-03-07 @ Schaffhausen D 1-155.1 1448 1370 35.64% 28.37% 35.99%+0.38 +0.0 34
2025-03-08 Wil L 0-341.5 1400 1459 38.70% 28.29% 33.01%-0.25 -14.5 26
2025-03-08 @ Bellinzona W 3-041.5 1459 1400 33.01% 28.29% 38.70%+0.25 +14.5 35
2025-03-09 Lausanne-Ouchy W 2-150.1 1530 1463 55.76% 24.37% 19.87%+0.59 +2.8 49
2025-03-09 @ Thun L 1-250.1 1463 1530 19.87% 24.37% 55.76%-0.59 -2.9 32
2025-03-14 Thun D 0-056.5 1462 1533 37.01% 28.36% 34.63%-0.33 -0.1 43
2025-03-14 @ Etoile Carouge D 0-056.5 1533 1462 34.63% 28.36% 37.01%+0.33 +0.1 50
2025-03-15 Schaffhausen L 0-150.6 1460 1370 58.54% 23.22% 18.24%+0.74 -7.2 32
2025-03-15 @ Lausanne-Ouchy W 1-050.6 1370 1460 18.24% 23.22% 58.54%-0.74 +7.2 24
2025-03-16 Aarau D 2-266.3 1473 1509 41.92% 28.00% 30.08%-0.10 -0.2 36
2025-03-16 @ Wil D 2-266.3 1509 1473 30.08% 28.00% 41.92%+0.10 +0.2 51
2025-03-16 Bellinzona W 3-141.9 1448 1385 55.26% 24.56% 20.17%+0.57 +5.0 37
2025-03-16 @ Vaduz L 1-341.9 1385 1448 20.17% 24.56% 55.26%-0.57 -5.0 26
2025-03-16 Stade Nyonnais W 4-033.5 1409 1369 52.28% 25.63% 22.09%+0.41 +12.0 33
2025-03-16 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 0-433.5 1369 1409 22.09% 25.63% 52.28%-0.41 -12.0 23
2025-03-28 Bellinzona W 3-035.6 1357 1380 43.70% 27.74% 28.55%-0.02 +11.5 26
2025-03-28 @ Stade Nyonnais L 0-335.6 1380 1357 28.55% 27.74% 43.70%+0.02 -11.5 26
2025-03-28 Etoile Carouge D 2-266.7 1510 1462 53.29% 25.29% 21.42%+0.46 -0.7 52
2025-03-28 @ Aarau D 2-266.7 1462 1510 21.42% 25.29% 53.29%-0.46 +0.7 44
2025-03-28 Lausanne-Ouchy L 0-150.5 1453 1453 47.04% 27.10% 25.86%+0.15 -6.1 37
2025-03-28 @ Vaduz W 1-050.5 1453 1453 25.86% 27.10% 47.04%-0.15 +6.1 35
2025-03-28 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-147.0 1533 1421 61.29% 21.97% 16.74%+0.90 +2.4 53
2025-03-28 @ Thun L 1-247.0 1421 1533 16.74% 21.97% 61.29%-0.90 -2.3 33
2025-03-28 Wil L 1-347.5 1378 1473 33.56% 28.32% 38.12%-0.50 -7.8 24
2025-03-28 @ Schaffhausen W 3-147.5 1473 1378 38.12% 28.32% 33.56%+0.50 +7.8 39
2025-03-31 Aarau D 1-156.9 1369 1509 27.89% 27.61% 44.50%-0.80 +0.5 27
2025-03-31 @ Bellinzona D 1-156.9 1509 1369 44.50% 27.61% 27.89%+0.80 -0.4 53
2025-03-31 Schaffhausen W 6-239.6 1418 1370 53.37% 25.26% 21.37%+0.47 +8.2 36
2025-03-31 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 2-639.6 1370 1418 21.37% 25.26% 53.37%-0.47 -8.2 24
2025-03-31 Stade Nyonnais W 2-143.7 1462 1368 59.15% 22.96% 17.90%+0.78 +2.5 47
2025-03-31 @ Etoile Carouge L 1-243.7 1368 1462 17.90% 22.96% 59.15%-0.78 -2.5 26
2025-03-31 Thun W 3-045.1 1459 1535 36.21% 28.37% 35.42%-0.37 +13.6 38
2025-03-31 @ Lausanne-Ouchy L 0-345.1 1535 1459 35.42% 28.37% 36.21%+0.37 -13.6 53
2025-04-01 Vaduz L 0-346.8 1481 1447 51.43% 25.90% 22.67%+0.37 -18.0 39
2025-04-01 @ Wil W 3-046.8 1447 1481 22.67% 25.90% 51.43%-0.37 +18.0 40
2025-04-04 Lausanne-Ouchy D 2-266.9 1508 1472 51.78% 25.79% 22.43%+0.39 -0.6 54
2025-04-04 @ Aarau D 2-266.9 1472 1508 22.43% 25.79% 51.78%-0.39 +0.6 39
2025-04-04 Schaffhausen W 3-032.1 1521 1362 66.80% 19.20% 14.00%+1.22 +5.5 56
2025-04-04 @ Thun L 0-332.1 1362 1521 14.00% 19.20% 66.80%-1.22 -5.5 24
2025-04-04 Wil L 0-241.0 1366 1463 33.30% 28.31% 38.39%-0.51 -8.9 26
2025-04-04 @ Stade Nyonnais W 2-041.0 1463 1366 38.39% 28.31% 33.30%+0.51 +8.9 42
2025-04-05 Bellinzona W 7-035.3 1465 1369 59.34% 22.87% 17.79%+0.79 +16.2 50
2025-04-05 @ Etoile Carouge L 0-735.3 1369 1465 17.79% 22.87% 59.34%-0.79 -16.2 27
2025-04-06 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-147.6 1465 1426 52.11% 25.68% 22.20%+0.40 +3.2 43
2025-04-06 @ Vaduz L 1-247.6 1426 1465 22.20% 25.68% 52.11%-0.40 -3.2 36
2025-04-11 Aarau D 1-158.5 1423 1508 35.03% 28.37% 36.60%-0.43 +0.0 37
2025-04-11 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 1-158.5 1508 1423 36.60% 28.37% 35.03%+0.43 -0.0 55
2025-04-11 Lausanne-Ouchy L 2-354.4 1356 1473 30.72% 28.08% 41.20%-0.64 -4.0 24
2025-04-11 @ Schaffhausen W 3-254.4 1473 1356 41.20% 28.08% 30.72%+0.64 +4.0 42
2025-04-11 Thun L 0-239.5 1357 1527 24.68% 26.72% 48.60%-1.00 -7.0 26
2025-04-11 @ Stade Nyonnais W 2-039.5 1527 1357 48.60% 26.72% 24.68%+1.00 +7.0 59
2025-04-12 Vaduz W 3-148.9 1353 1468 30.88% 28.10% 41.02%-0.63 +9.0 30
2025-04-12 @ Bellinzona L 1-348.9 1468 1353 41.02% 28.10% 30.88%+0.63 -9.0 43
2025-04-13 Etoile Carouge D 2-265.4 1472 1481 45.63% 27.40% 26.97%+0.08 -0.4 43
2025-04-13 @ Wil D 2-265.4 1481 1472 26.97% 27.40% 45.63%-0.08 +0.4 51
2025-04-18 Neuchatel Xamax D 0-054.2 1477 1423 54.04% 25.02% 20.94%+0.50 -1.1 43
2025-04-18 @ Lausanne-Ouchy D 0-054.2 1423 1477 20.94% 25.02% 54.04%-0.50 +1.1 38
2025-04-18 Schaffhausen L 0-247.9 1482 1352 63.34% 20.98% 15.68%+1.01 -14.5 51
2025-04-18 @ Etoile Carouge W 2-047.9 1352 1482 15.68% 20.98% 63.34%-1.01 +14.5 27
2025-04-18 Stade Nyonnais W 2-144.6 1362 1350 48.60% 26.72% 24.68%+0.22 +3.5 33
2025-04-18 @ Bellinzona L 1-244.6 1350 1362 24.68% 26.72% 48.60%-0.22 -3.5 26
2025-04-18 Vaduz D 2-266.6 1508 1459 53.38% 25.25% 21.36%+0.47 -0.7 56
2025-04-18 @ Aarau D 2-266.6 1459 1508 21.36% 25.25% 53.38%-0.47 +0.7 44
2025-04-21 Wil W 7-042.3 1534 1471 55.21% 24.58% 20.20%+0.56 +18.6 62
2025-04-21 @ Thun L 0-742.3 1471 1534 20.20% 24.58% 55.21%-0.56 -18.6 43
2025-04-25 Aarau D 1-156.8 1367 1507 27.88% 27.61% 44.52%-0.80 +0.4 28
2025-04-25 @ Schaffhausen D 1-156.8 1507 1367 44.52% 27.61% 27.88%+0.80 -0.4 57
2025-04-25 Thun L 0-244.5 1424 1553 29.31% 27.88% 42.81%-0.72 -8.1 38
2025-04-25 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 2-044.5 1553 1424 42.81% 27.88% 29.31%+0.72 +8.1 65
2025-04-26 Stade Nyonnais L 0-151.2 1476 1346 63.37% 20.96% 15.66%+1.01 -7.7 43
2025-04-26 @ Lausanne-Ouchy W 1-051.2 1346 1476 15.66% 20.96% 63.37%-1.01 +7.7 29
2025-04-27 Bellinzona D 2-262.4 1453 1365 58.28% 23.33% 18.39%+0.73 -0.9 44
2025-04-27 @ Wil D 2-262.4 1365 1453 18.39% 23.33% 58.28%-0.73 +0.9 34
2025-04-27 Etoile Carouge W 1-045.2 1460 1467 45.97% 27.33% 26.70%+0.09 +4.0 47
2025-04-27 @ Vaduz L 0-145.2 1467 1460 26.70% 27.33% 45.97%-0.09 -4.0 51
2025-05-02 Aarau W 2-153.3 1561 1507 54.10% 25.00% 20.90%+0.51 +3.0 68
2025-05-02 @ Thun L 1-253.3 1507 1561 20.90% 25.00% 54.10%-0.51 -3.0 57
2025-05-02 Lausanne-Ouchy L 1-256.6 1463 1468 46.26% 27.27% 26.47%+0.11 -5.7 51
2025-05-02 @ Etoile Carouge W 2-156.6 1468 1463 26.47% 27.27% 46.26%-0.11 +5.7 46
2025-05-02 Vaduz W 1-046.3 1354 1464 31.56% 28.18% 40.26%-0.60 +5.5 32
2025-05-02 @ Stade Nyonnais L 0-146.3 1464 1354 40.26% 28.18% 31.56%+0.60 -5.5 47
2025-05-03 Neuchatel Xamax W 3-145.3 1366 1416 39.97% 28.20% 31.83%-0.19 +7.5 37
2025-05-03 @ Bellinzona L 1-345.3 1416 1366 31.83% 28.20% 39.97%+0.19 -7.5 38
2025-05-04 Schaffhausen W 3-140.7 1452 1367 57.96% 23.47% 18.57%+0.71 +4.6 47
2025-05-04 @ Wil L 1-340.7 1367 1452 18.57% 23.47% 57.96%-0.71 -4.6 28
2025-05-09 Bellinzona D 1-157.6 1474 1374 59.86% 22.63% 17.51%+0.82 -1.2 47
2025-05-09 @ Lausanne-Ouchy D 1-157.6 1374 1474 17.51% 22.63% 59.86%-0.82 +1.2 38
2025-05-09 Etoile Carouge L 1-252.9 1409 1457 40.17% 28.18% 31.65%-0.18 -5.1 38
2025-05-09 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 2-152.9 1457 1409 31.65% 28.18% 40.17%+0.18 +5.1 54
2025-05-09 Stade Nyonnais L 2-357.0 1363 1359 47.39% 27.02% 25.59%+0.16 -5.5 28
2025-05-09 @ Schaffhausen W 3-257.0 1359 1363 25.59% 27.02% 47.39%-0.16 +5.5 35
2025-05-09 Wil L 2-460.4 1504 1456 53.23% 25.31% 21.46%+0.46 -9.9 57
2025-05-09 @ Aarau W 4-260.4 1456 1504 21.46% 25.31% 53.23%-0.46 +9.9 50
2025-05-11 Thun D 3-372.0 1458 1564 32.21% 28.23% 39.55%-0.56 +0.1 48
2025-05-11 @ Vaduz D 3-372.0 1564 1458 39.55% 28.23% 32.21%+0.56 -0.1 69
2025-05-16 Aarau L 1-353.6 1463 1494 42.62% 27.91% 29.47%-0.07 -9.3 54
2025-05-16 @ Etoile Carouge W 3-153.6 1494 1463 29.47% 27.91% 42.62%+0.07 +9.3 60
2025-05-16 Lausanne-Ouchy L 0-247.9 1466 1473 46.06% 27.31% 26.63%+0.10 -11.4 50
2025-05-16 @ Wil W 2-047.9 1473 1466 26.63% 27.31% 46.06%-0.10 +11.4 50
2025-05-16 Neuchatel Xamax L 1-347.9 1365 1404 41.55% 28.04% 30.41%-0.12 -9.1 35
2025-05-16 @ Stade Nyonnais W 3-147.9 1404 1365 30.41% 28.04% 41.55%+0.12 +9.1 41
2025-05-16 Schaffhausen W 1-037.7 1459 1357 60.03% 22.56% 17.41%+0.83 +2.6 51
2025-05-16 @ Vaduz L 0-137.7 1357 1459 17.41% 22.56% 60.03%-0.83 -2.6 28
2025-05-16 Thun W 3-154.9 1375 1564 22.94% 26.02% 51.04%-1.12 +10.7 41
2025-05-16 @ Bellinzona L 1-354.9 1564 1375 51.04% 26.02% 22.94%+1.12 -10.7 69
2025-05-23 Bellinzona L 1-347.7 1354 1386 42.63% 27.90% 29.46%-0.07 -9.3 28
2025-05-23 @ Schaffhausen W 3-147.7 1386 1354 29.46% 27.90% 42.63%+0.07 +9.3 44
2025-05-23 Etoile Carouge W 1-044.0 1553 1453 59.79% 22.66% 17.54%+0.81 +2.6 72
2025-05-23 @ Thun L 0-144.0 1453 1553 17.54% 22.66% 59.79%-0.81 -2.6 54
2025-05-23 Stade Nyonnais D 1-158.7 1503 1356 65.41% 19.93% 14.66%+1.13 -1.5 61
2025-05-23 @ Aarau D 1-158.7 1356 1503 14.66% 19.93% 65.41%-1.13 +1.5 36
2025-05-23 Vaduz W 2-041.2 1484 1461 50.02% 26.33% 23.66%+0.30 +6.8 53
2025-05-23 @ Lausanne-Ouchy L 0-241.2 1461 1484 23.66% 26.33% 50.02%-0.30 -6.8 51
2025-05-23 Wil L 2-358.6 1413 1455 41.10% 28.09% 30.81%-0.14 -5.0 41
2025-05-23 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 3-258.6 1455 1413 30.81% 28.09% 41.10%+0.14 +5.0 53

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2025-04-26 15.66% Stade Nyonnais 1346 1 @ Lausanne-Ouchy 1476 0
2 2025-04-18 15.68% Schaffhausen 1352 2 @ Etoile Carouge 1482 0
3 2024-09-20 17.19% Bellinzona 1412 2 @ Thun 1517 1
4 2025-03-15 18.24% Schaffhausen 1370 1 @ Lausanne-Ouchy 1460 0
5 2024-12-14 18.34% Bellinzona 1388 2 @ Wil 1476 0
6 2024-12-06 19.82% Wil 1462 2 @ Thun 1530 0
7 2025-05-09 21.46% Wil 1456 4 @ Aarau 1504 2
8 2024-11-29 21.56% Neuchatel Xamax 1428 2 @ Lausanne-Ouchy 1474 1
9 2024-08-10 21.90% Stade Nyonnais 1410 3 @ Wil 1452 0
10 2024-07-26 22.21% Schaffhausen 1421 1 @ Lausanne-Ouchy 1460 0
11 2024-09-20 22.55% Aarau 1416 5 @ Vaduz 1451 2
12 2025-04-01 22.67% Vaduz 1447 3 @ Wil 1481 0
13 2024-12-13 22.71% Stade Nyonnais 1372 1 @ Schaffhausen 1405 0
14 2025-05-16 22.94% @ Bellinzona 1375 3 Thun 1564 1
15 2024-10-18 23.28% Etoile Carouge 1430 3 @ Neuchatel Xamax 1457 0
16 2024-08-31 24.30% Bellinzona 1406 2 @ Aarau 1422 1
17 2024-07-19 24.86% Etoile Carouge 1416 3 @ Schaffhausen 1427 2
18 2024-11-01 25.35% Wil 1445 4 @ Neuchatel Xamax 1450 1
19 2025-05-09 25.59% Stade Nyonnais 1359 3 @ Schaffhausen 1363 2
20 2025-03-28 25.86% Lausanne-Ouchy 1453 1 @ Vaduz 1453 0
21 2025-02-07 26.04% Aarau 1478 4 @ Lausanne-Ouchy 1477 2
22 2024-08-02 26.06% Schaffhausen 1428 3 @ Stade Nyonnais 1426 0
23 2024-09-27 26.20% Wil 1442 2 @ Schaffhausen 1440 0
24 2024-10-18 26.30% Aarau 1428 3 @ Schaffhausen 1425 0
25 2025-02-07 26.37% Schaffhausen 1380 1 @ Stade Nyonnais 1376 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-04-21 18.59 @ Thun 7 1534 55.21% Wil 0 1471 20.20% 24.58%
2 2024-08-10 18.30 Stade Nyonnais 3 1410 21.90% @ Wil 0 1452 52.57% 25.53%
3 2025-04-01 17.99 Vaduz 3 1447 22.67% @ Wil 0 1481 51.43% 25.90%
4 2024-10-18 17.76 Etoile Carouge 3 1430 23.28% @ Neuchatel Xamax 0 1457 50.55% 26.17%
5 2024-08-02 16.73 Schaffhausen 3 1428 26.06% @ Stade Nyonnais 0 1426 46.79% 27.15%
6 2024-10-18 16.64 Aarau 3 1428 26.30% @ Schaffhausen 0 1425 46.48% 27.22%
7 2024-11-01 16.24 Thun 6 1508 41.34% @ Stade Nyonnais 1 1390 30.60% 28.07%
8 2025-04-05 16.23 @ Etoile Carouge 7 1465 59.34% Bellinzona 0 1369 17.79% 22.87%
9 2024-07-20 16.03 Wil 3 1440 28.06% @ Bellinzona 0 1421 44.29% 27.65%
10 2024-08-30 15.91 Lausanne-Ouchy 3 1447 28.47% @ Stade Nyonnais 0 1424 43.80% 27.73%
11 2024-08-23 14.89 @ Wil 4 1434 44.19% Neuchatel Xamax 0 1454 28.15% 27.67%
12 2025-02-21 14.79 @ Stade Nyonnais 3 1367 32.00% Lausanne-Ouchy 0 1474 39.79% 28.22%
13 2025-04-18 14.50 Schaffhausen 2 1352 15.68% @ Etoile Carouge 0 1482 63.34% 20.98%
14 2025-03-08 14.49 Wil 3 1459 33.01% @ Bellinzona 0 1400 38.70% 28.29%
15 2024-11-01 14.32 Wil 4 1445 25.35% @ Neuchatel Xamax 1 1450 47.72% 26.94%
16 2025-03-07 14.27 Etoile Carouge 3 1448 33.80% @ Stade Nyonnais 0 1383 37.87% 28.33%
17 2024-12-14 13.65 Bellinzona 2 1388 18.34% @ Wil 0 1476 58.36% 23.30%
18 2025-03-31 13.60 @ Lausanne-Ouchy 3 1459 36.21% Thun 0 1535 35.42% 28.37%
19 2024-12-06 13.19 Wil 2 1462 19.82% @ Thun 0 1530 55.84% 24.34%
20 2024-09-20 13.18 Aarau 5 1416 22.55% @ Vaduz 2 1451 51.61% 25.85%
21 2024-11-09 12.89 Aarau 4 1444 30.39% @ Bellinzona 1 1406 41.57% 28.04%
22 2025-03-16 11.99 @ Neuchatel Xamax 4 1409 52.28% Stade Nyonnais 0 1369 22.09% 25.63%
23 2025-03-28 11.53 @ Stade Nyonnais 3 1357 43.70% Bellinzona 0 1380 28.55% 27.74%
24 2024-09-27 11.48 Wil 2 1442 26.20% @ Schaffhausen 0 1440 46.60% 27.19%
25 2025-05-16 11.38 Lausanne-Ouchy 2 1473 26.63% @ Wil 0 1466 46.06% 27.31%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-05-11 72.0 @ Vaduz 3 1458 32.21% Thun 3 1564 39.55% 28.23%
2 2025-04-04 66.9 @ Aarau 2 1508 51.78% Lausanne-Ouchy 2 1472 22.43% 25.79%
3 2025-03-28 66.7 @ Aarau 2 1510 53.29% Etoile Carouge 2 1462 21.42% 25.29%
4 2025-04-18 66.6 @ Aarau 2 1508 53.38% Vaduz 2 1459 21.36% 25.25%
5 2025-02-28 66.3 @ Thun 2 1531 65.60% Stade Nyonnais 2 1382 14.57% 19.83%
6 2025-03-16 66.3 @ Wil 2 1473 41.92% Aarau 2 1509 30.08% 28.00%
7 2025-04-13 65.4 @ Wil 2 1472 45.63% Etoile Carouge 2 1481 26.97% 27.40%
8 2024-08-30 65.2 @ Schaffhausen 2 1440 36.09% Thun 2 1517 35.53% 28.37%
9 2024-11-01 64.4 @ Lausanne-Ouchy 2 1468 49.71% Vaduz 2 1448 23.88% 26.42%
10 2024-10-05 64.3 @ Wil 2 1454 44.94% Lausanne-Ouchy 2 1468 27.53% 27.53%
11 2024-07-26 63.4 @ Wil 2 1456 50.96% Aarau 2 1426 22.99% 26.05%
12 2024-11-10 63.2 @ Wil 2 1459 53.78% Schaffhausen 2 1407 21.11% 25.12%
13 2024-08-09 62.9 @ Neuchatel Xamax 2 1454 54.03% Bellinzona 2 1401 20.94% 25.02%
14 2024-11-29 62.9 @ Vaduz 2 1452 52.74% Schaffhausen 2 1408 21.79% 25.48%
15 2024-11-22 62.6 @ Etoile Carouge 2 1448 54.31% Bellinzona 2 1393 20.77% 24.92%
16 2025-04-27 62.4 @ Wil 2 1453 58.28% Bellinzona 2 1365 18.39% 23.33%
17 2025-02-23 62.3 Thun 3 1526 33.03% @ Wil 2 1467 38.67% 28.29%
18 2024-11-30 61.9 @ Thun 1 1531 56.69% Aarau 1 1457 19.31% 24.00%
19 2024-08-02 60.4 @ Thun 1 1504 53.71% Lausanne-Ouchy 1 1453 21.15% 25.14%
20 2025-05-09 60.4 Wil 4 1456 21.46% @ Aarau 2 1504 53.23% 25.31%
21 2024-12-13 60.3 @ Lausanne-Ouchy 1 1464 39.56% Thun 1 1517 32.21% 28.23%
22 2024-07-19 59.7 Etoile Carouge 3 1416 24.86% @ Schaffhausen 2 1427 48.36% 26.78%
23 2024-11-22 59.6 Thun 3 1527 38.01% @ Neuchatel Xamax 2 1433 33.66% 28.33%
24 2024-09-20 59.3 Bellinzona 2 1412 17.19% @ Thun 1 1517 60.44% 22.37%
25 2025-02-07 58.8 Aarau 4 1478 26.04% @ Lausanne-Ouchy 2 1477 46.81% 27.15%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-04-04 32.1 @ Thun 3 1521 66.80% Schaffhausen 0 1362 14.00% 19.20%
2 2025-03-01 33.2 @ Aarau 3 1498 62.29% Schaffhausen 0 1377 16.22% 21.49%
3 2025-03-16 33.5 @ Neuchatel Xamax 4 1409 52.28% Stade Nyonnais 0 1369 22.09% 25.63%
4 2025-04-05 35.3 @ Etoile Carouge 7 1465 59.34% Bellinzona 0 1369 17.79% 22.87%
5 2025-03-28 35.6 @ Stade Nyonnais 3 1357 43.70% Bellinzona 0 1380 28.55% 27.74%
6 2025-01-25 35.7 @ Bellinzona 3 1401 47.29% Schaffhausen 0 1399 25.67% 27.04%
7 2025-02-09 37.2 @ Thun 2 1526 61.87% Bellinzona 0 1409 16.43% 21.70%
8 2025-03-07 37.6 @ Aarau 2 1504 58.66% Neuchatel Xamax 0 1414 18.17% 23.17%
9 2025-05-16 37.7 @ Vaduz 1 1459 60.03% Schaffhausen 0 1357 17.41% 22.56%
10 2025-01-31 38.0 @ Wil 2 1462 53.17% Neuchatel Xamax 0 1416 21.50% 25.33%
11 2024-08-23 38.8 @ Wil 4 1434 44.19% Neuchatel Xamax 0 1454 28.15% 27.67%
12 2024-11-08 39.1 @ Lausanne-Ouchy 6 1468 59.06% Stade Nyonnais 2 1374 17.95% 22.99%
13 2025-04-11 39.5 Thun 2 1527 48.60% @ Stade Nyonnais 0 1357 24.68% 26.72%
14 2025-03-31 39.6 @ Neuchatel Xamax 6 1418 53.37% Schaffhausen 2 1370 21.37% 25.26%
15 2024-10-25 40.1 @ Aarau 1 1445 53.77% Stade Nyonnais 0 1393 21.11% 25.12%
16 2025-03-07 40.5 Etoile Carouge 3 1448 33.80% @ Stade Nyonnais 0 1383 37.87% 28.33%
17 2024-07-28 40.7 @ Thun 2 1498 52.46% Vaduz 0 1456 21.97% 25.57%
18 2025-05-04 40.7 @ Wil 3 1452 57.96% Schaffhausen 1 1367 18.57% 23.47%
19 2025-04-04 41.0 Wil 2 1463 38.39% @ Stade Nyonnais 0 1366 33.30% 28.31%
20 2024-12-08 41.2 @ Etoile Carouge 1 1444 51.68% Schaffhausen 0 1409 22.50% 25.82%
21 2025-05-23 41.2 @ Lausanne-Ouchy 2 1484 50.02% Vaduz 0 1461 23.66% 26.33%
22 2025-02-21 41.3 @ Stade Nyonnais 3 1367 32.00% Lausanne-Ouchy 0 1474 39.79% 28.22%
23 2024-09-27 41.5 @ Lausanne-Ouchy 5 1458 49.94% Etoile Carouge 1 1435 23.71% 26.35%
24 2025-03-08 41.5 Wil 3 1459 33.01% @ Bellinzona 0 1400 38.70% 28.29%
25 2025-03-16 41.9 @ Vaduz 3 1448 55.26% Bellinzona 1 1385 20.17% 24.56%