1938-39 Nationalliga Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Grasshopper

31 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Grenchen

7.66 points above expected

27 points · 19.34 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Young Fellows Zurich

6.32 points below expected

18 points · 24.32 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Grasshopper	22	12	7	3	31	34	20	+14	26.02	+4.98
2	Grenchen	22	10	7	5	27	38	30	+8	19.34	+7.66
3	Lugano	22	11	5	6	27	29	23	+6	24.84	+2.16
4	Servette	22	11	4	7	26	43	28	+15	22.24	+3.76
5	Nordstern Basel	22	8	7	7	23	29	24	+5	24.03	-1.03
6	Lausanne-Sport	22	8	6	8	22	34	28	+6	22.75	-0.75
7	La Chaux-de-Fonds	22	9	4	9	22	29	41	-12	18.65	+3.35
8	Luzern	22	7	5	10	19	41	45	-4	19.71	-0.71
9	Young Fellows Zurich	22	6	6	10	18	29	31	-2	24.32	-6.32
10	Young Boys	22	4	9	9	17	22	35	-13	21.21	-4.21
11	Biel-Bienne	22	4	9	9	17	22	39	-17	19.75	-2.75
12	Basel	22	5	5	12	15	29	35	-6	21.14	-6.14

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Grenchen	27	19.34	+7.66
2	Grasshopper	31	26.02	+4.98
3	Servette	26	22.24	+3.76
4	La Chaux-de-Fonds	22	18.65	+3.35
5	Lugano	27	24.84	+2.16

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Young Fellows Zurich	18	24.32	-6.32
2	Basel	15	21.14	-6.14
3	Young Boys	17	21.21	-4.21
4	Biel-Bienne	17	19.75	-2.75
5	Nordstern Basel	23	24.03	-1.03

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Servette	4	Feb 26 – Mar 26	1 in 281
2	Grenchen	4	Apr 23 – May 21	1 in 95
3	La Chaux-de-Fonds	3	Mar 12 – Apr 23	1 in 57
4	Young Fellows Zurich	3	Nov 13 – Dec 4	1 in 42
5	Lugano	4	Dec 4 – Jan 22	1 in 34

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Young Fellows Zurich	4	Jan 22 – Mar 19	1 in 524
2	Young Boys	4	Mar 26 – Apr 30	1 in 82
3	Biel-Bienne	4	Apr 23 – May 28	1 in 68
4	Lugano	3	Feb 26 – Mar 12	1 in 44
5	Luzern	3	Apr 23 – May 21	1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Grenchen	12	Dec 4 – May 21	1 in 479
2	Luzern	6	Dec 11 – Mar 12	1 in 42
3	Grasshopper	11	Sep 4 – Dec 4	1 in 25
4	Lugano	8	Oct 23 – Jan 22	1 in 16
5	Biel-Bienne	6	Sep 4 – Oct 16	1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Young Fellows Zurich	10	Dec 11 – Apr 23	1 in 748
2	Nordstern Basel	9	Nov 13 – Mar 12	1 in 248
3	Young Boys	9	Dec 18 – Apr 30	1 in 116
4	Biel-Bienne	10	Sep 25 – Dec 11	1 in 53
5	Lugano	4	Feb 26 – Mar 26	1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Grasshopper	1432	31	-3	6	6.4	-0.4
Grenchen	1348	27	+67	9	4.6	+4.4
Lugano	1349	27	-33	7	5.6	+1.4
Servette	1414	26	+82	8	5.0	+3.0
Nordstern Basel	1334	23	+4	6	4.8	+1.2
La Chaux-de-Fonds	1262	22	+16	6	4.6	+1.4
Lausanne-Sport	1324	22	-35	3	5.8	-2.8
Luzern	1251	19	-37	2	4.8	-2.8
Young Fellows Zurich	1327	18	-20	3	4.8	-1.8
Biel-Bienne	1189	17	-47	2	4.7	-2.7
Young Boys	1233	17	-61	2	4.3	-2.3
Basel	1316	15	+55	5	4.5	+0.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BAS	BIE	GRA	GRE	LC	LAU	LUG	LUZ	NB	SER	YB	YFZ
Basel	—	0-1-1 2.95	1-0-1 2.13	1-0-1 2.78	0-1-1 3.11	1-0-1 2.39	1-0-1 2.07	1-0-1 2.91	0-0-2 2.37	0-0-2 2.77	0-2-0 2.68	0-1-1 2.42
Biel-Bienne	1-1-0 2.48	—	0-1-1 1.92	0-0-2 2.70	2-0-0 2.76	0-1-1 2.43	0-2-0 2.14	0-1-1 2.79	0-1-1 2.08	0-1-1 2.51	0-1-1 2.57	1-0-1 2.22
Grasshopper	1-0-1 3.29	1-1-0 3.54	—	1-1-0 3.62	1-1-0 3.80	1-1-0 3.19	2-0-0 2.87	1-0-1 3.73	0-1-1 3.14	2-0-0 3.29	0-2-0 3.29	2-0-0 3.05
Grenchen	1-0-1 2.65	2-0-0 2.71	0-1-1 1.82	—	1-0-1 2.94	2-0-0 2.37	1-1-0 2.05	0-2-0 2.66	1-0-1 2.16	1-1-0 2.41	0-1-1 2.46	1-1-0 2.13
La Chaux-de-Fonds	1-1-0 2.32	0-0-2 2.66	0-1-1 1.65	1-0-1 2.49	—	1-0-1 2.16	1-0-1 1.84	2-0-0 2.55	1-0-1 2.13	0-0-2 2.43	1-1-0 2.32	1-1-0 2.03
Lausanne-Sport	1-0-1 3.03	1-1-0 2.99	0-1-1 2.25	0-0-2 3.04	1-0-1 3.27	—	0-1-1 2.53	1-0-1 3.11	1-1-0 2.51	1-1-0 2.85	1-1-0 2.77	1-0-1 2.57
Lugano	1-0-1 3.35	0-2-0 3.30	0-0-2 2.56	0-1-1 3.38	1-0-1 3.60	1-1-0 2.89	—	2-0-0 3.35	1-0-1 2.73	2-0-0 2.87	1-1-0 3.14	2-0-0 2.58
Luzern	1-0-1 2.51	1-1-0 2.64	1-0-1 1.71	0-2-0 2.77	0-0-2 2.88	1-0-1 2.31	0-0-2 2.08	—	1-1-0 2.06	0-0-2 2.16	1-0-1 2.62	1-1-0 2.04
Nordstern Basel	2-0-0 3.05	1-1-0 3.35	1-1-0 2.28	1-0-1 3.27	1-0-1 3.32	0-1-1 2.90	1-0-1 2.69	0-1-1 3.36	—	0-1-1 2.88	1-0-1 2.87	0-2-0 2.74
Servette	2-0-0 2.65	1-1-0 2.92	0-0-2 2.14	0-1-1 3.01	2-0-0 2.99	0-1-1 2.57	0-0-2 2.55	2-0-0 3.26	1-1-0 2.56	—	2-0-0 2.81	1-0-1 2.61
Young Boys	0-2-0 2.75	1-1-0 2.85	0-2-0 2.15	1-1-0 2.97	0-1-1 3.10	0-1-1 2.65	0-1-1 2.29	1-0-1 2.81	1-0-1 2.57	0-0-2 2.60	—	0-0-2 2.45
Young Fellows Zurich	1-1-0 3.01	1-0-1 3.20	0-0-2 2.38	0-1-1 3.31	0-1-1 3.40	1-0-1 2.85	0-0-2 2.84	0-1-1 3.40	0-2-0 2.68	1-0-1 2.81	2-0-0 2.98	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.24	+3.7
Allowed	0.49	-4.6
Differential	0.66	+3.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.58%	6.06%	4.55%	3.41%	0.76%	1.14%	23.48%
1	6.06%	15.15%	9.09%	4.55%	1.89%	0.76%	37.50%
2	4.55%	9.09%	5.30%	1.52%	0.76%	1.14%	22.35%
3	3.41%	4.55%	1.52%	—	0.38%	—	9.85%
4	0.76%	1.89%	0.76%	0.38%	—	—	3.79%
5+	1.14%	0.76%	1.14%	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	23.48%	37.50%	22.35%	9.85%	3.79%	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.44	1.44	+0.00
SD	1.28	1.28	1.92
CV	0.89	0.89	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	18.18%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	40.91%
1	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	27.27%
2	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	36.36%	18.18%	4.55%	18.18%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.59	-0.27
SD	1.73	1.40	2.33
CV	1.31	0.88	—
Max	7	4	+7
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	36.36%
1	—	18.18%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	40.91%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	31.82%	18.18%	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.77	-0.77
SD	1.07	1.66	2.02
CV	1.07	0.94	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
1	13.64%	13.64%	—	9.09%	—	—	36.36%
2	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.36%	45.45%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	0.91	+0.64
SD	1.14	0.92	1.36
CV	0.74	1.01	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	13.64%
1	9.09%	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	—	31.82%
2	—	13.64%	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	31.82%
3	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	54.55%	31.82%	—	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	1.36	+0.36
SD	1.16	0.85	1.43
CV	0.67	0.62	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	4.55%	27.27%
1	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
2	9.09%	27.27%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	50.00%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.64%	31.82%	27.27%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.86	-0.55
SD	0.95	1.42	2.02
CV	0.72	0.76	—
Max	3	6	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	22.73%
1	—	22.73%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	36.36%
2	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	18.18%	50.00%	18.18%	13.64%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	1.27	+0.27
SD	1.47	0.94	2.19
CV	0.95	0.73	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	22.73%
1	13.64%	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	—	40.91%
2	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
3	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.36%	45.45%	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.05	+0.27
SD	1.04	1.50	2.14
CV	0.79	1.43	—
Max	3	7	+3
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
1	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	—	40.91%
2	—	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	27.27%
3	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	9.09%	31.82%	22.73%	22.73%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.86	2.05	-0.18
SD	1.39	1.33	1.87
CV	0.75	0.65	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	22.73%
1	9.09%	22.73%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	50.00%
2	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	31.82%	40.91%	13.64%	13.64%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.09	+0.23
SD	1.29	1.02	1.82
CV	0.98	0.93	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
1	4.55%	9.09%	18.18%	—	—	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	31.82%
3	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	27.27%	36.36%	27.27%	4.55%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.95	1.27	+0.68
SD	1.36	1.20	1.94
CV	0.70	0.94	—
Max	6	5	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	36.36%
1	9.09%	22.73%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	50.00%
2	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	27.27%	31.82%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.59	-0.59
SD	1.27	1.33	1.74
CV	1.27	0.84	—
Max	5	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
1	4.55%	13.64%	22.73%	4.55%	—	—	45.45%
2	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
3	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	31.82%	18.18%	36.36%	9.09%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.41	-0.09
SD	1.21	1.30	1.80
CV	0.92	0.92	—
Max	5	5	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Grasshopper	1432	31	26.02	+4.98	94.0%	17	20	24	26	29	32	34
Servette	1414	26	22.24	+3.76	93.0%	12	17	20	22	25	28	30
Lugano	1349	27	24.84	+2.16	81.0%	15	19	23	25	27	29	33
Grenchen	1348	27	19.34	+7.66	99.0%	12	14	16	20	22	25	28
Nordstern Basel	1334	23	24.03	-1.03	45.0%	17	19	22	24	26	30	33
Young Fellows Zurich	1327	18	24.32	-6.32	4.0%	17	19	22	24	27	29	32
Lausanne-Sport	1324	22	22.75	-0.75	49.0%	13	16	20	23	25	29	31
Basel	1316	15	21.14	-6.14	2.0%	14	16	19	21	23	27	30
La Chaux-de-Fonds	1262	22	18.65	+3.35	91.0%	10	12	17	19	21	24	25
Luzern	1251	19	19.71	-0.71	49.0%	10	14	17	20	23	25	28
Young Boys	1233	17	21.21	-4.21	13.0%	13	15	19	21	23	27	29
Biel-Bienne	1189	17	19.75	-2.75	22.0%	10	13	18	20	22	25	27

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 15% * Slight Edge: 15% to 22.5% * Clear Edge: 22.5% to 26.5% * Strong Edge: 26.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+31.06%

Strong Edge

51.52%28.03%20.45%

Elo Value

Home Edge

191 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0111.60500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.77 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.58+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.

Title-Race Openness

5.4

Wide Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

34%

Grasshopper, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.18/gm

Comfortable

00.100.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.74 * Some Luck: 2.74 to 4.11 * Lucky: 4.11 to 5.48 * Wild Swing: 5.48 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.99 * Close: 1.99 to 2.99 * Off: 2.99 to 3.99 * Way Off: 3.99 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

4.27 points

Lucky

03.439

Average Finish Error

Expected

3.00

Off

02.495

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

99.00%

Grenchen

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

2.00%

Basel

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 76% * Wide Edge: 76% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 94.5% * Dominant: 94.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51% * Some Drama: 51% to 55.5% * Frequent: 55.5% to 59.5% * Very Frequent: 59.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18% * Occasional: 18% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 27% * Very Frequent: 27% and up.

Gini Index

0.12

Balanced

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 71.17

1.25

Coin-Flip Parity

11.651.852.052.75

Interquartile Edge

63%

Even

50%63%71%76%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

80%

Even

50%81%100%

Close Games

Expected

62%

Very Frequent

0%56%100%

Blowouts

Expected

18%

Occasional

0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21% * As Expected: 21% to 23.5% * Upset-Prone: 23.5% to 26% * Very Upset-Prone: 26% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17.5% * As Expected: 17.5% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 22.5% * Very Shaky: 22.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.62

Predictable

00.582

Matchup Imbalance

0.53

Lopsided

00.370.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.62

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

0.10

Weak Carryover

00.420.631

Upset Rate

Expected

21%

As Expected

0%17%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

21%

Shaky Favorites

0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.07

Borderline

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.51

Overconfident

0.3667221.001.63328

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.137

Near Noise Ceiling

00.1240.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Grasshopper	34.00%	19.00%	11.00%	14.00%	10.00%	2.00%	3.00%	4.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—
Grenchen	2.00%	3.00%	3.00%	3.00%	6.00%	11.00%	12.00%	5.00%	13.00%	9.00%	17.00%	16.00%
Lugano	18.00%	22.00%	16.00%	11.00%	5.00%	8.00%	4.00%	7.00%	4.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Servette	6.00%	8.00%	11.00%	11.00%	10.00%	10.00%	13.00%	8.00%	11.00%	5.00%	3.00%	4.00%
Nordstern Basel	9.00%	12.00%	18.00%	15.00%	9.00%	13.00%	7.00%	7.00%	4.00%	4.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Lausanne-Sport	11.00%	8.00%	12.00%	7.00%	12.00%	7.00%	8.00%	12.00%	9.00%	5.00%	4.00%	5.00%
La Chaux-de-Fonds	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	4.00%	6.00%	7.00%	8.00%	12.00%	17.00%	12.00%	29.00%
Luzern	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	3.00%	9.00%	12.00%	6.00%	10.00%	8.00%	11.00%	19.00%	16.00%
Young Fellows Zurich	10.00%	17.00%	15.00%	15.00%	6.00%	12.00%	6.00%	5.00%	6.00%	3.00%	3.00%	2.00%
Young Boys	5.00%	5.00%	2.00%	7.00%	13.00%	5.00%	15.00%	6.00%	10.00%	14.00%	8.00%	10.00%
Biel-Bienne	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	4.00%	7.00%	6.00%	8.00%	14.00%	11.00%	18.00%	17.00%	10.00%
Basel	2.00%	3.00%	6.00%	6.00%	9.00%	8.00%	11.00%	14.00%	11.00%	11.00%	13.00%	6.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Grasshopper	100%	—
Lugano	99.00%	1.00%
Nordstern Basel	99.00%	1.00%
Young Fellows Zurich	98.00%	2.00%
Servette	96.00%	4.00%
Lausanne-Sport	95.00%	5.00%
Basel	94.00%	6.00%
Biel-Bienne	90.00%	10.00%
Young Boys	90.00%	10.00%
Grenchen	84.00%	16.00%
Luzern	84.00%	16.00%
La Chaux-de-Fonds	71.00%	29.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1938-09-04	La Chaux-de-Fonds	D 2-2	58.1	1347	1253	62.82%	27.55%	9.63%	+1.08	-2.7	1
1938-09-04	@ Basel	D 2-2	58.1	1253	1347	9.63%	27.55%	62.82%	-1.08	+2.7	1
1938-09-04	Lausanne-Sport	D 1-1	51.7	1267	1320	50.29%	29.52%	20.19%	+0.31	-1.8	1
1938-09-04	@ Biel-Bienne	D 1-1	51.7	1320	1267	20.19%	29.52%	50.29%	-0.31	+1.8	1
1938-09-04	Luzern	W 3-1	36.2	1385	1244	65.84%	26.53%	7.63%	+1.33	+4.9	2
1938-09-04	@ Grasshopper	L 1-3	36.2	1244	1385	7.63%	26.53%	65.84%	-1.33	-4.9	0
1938-09-04	Young Fellows Zurich	W 3-1	41.2	1356	1377	53.46%	29.27%	17.27%	+0.47	+10.2	2
1938-09-04	@ Lugano	L 1-3	41.2	1377	1356	17.27%	29.27%	53.46%	-0.47	-10.2	0
1938-09-04	Grenchen	D 1-1	51.9	1310	1258	59.71%	28.32%	11.96%	+0.85	-3.1	1
1938-09-04	@ Servette	D 1-1	51.9	1258	1310	11.96%	28.32%	59.71%	-0.85	+3.1	1
1938-09-04	Nordstern Basel	L 1-5	48.3	1343	1320	57.42%	28.75%	13.82%	+0.70	-48.0	0
1938-09-04	@ Young Boys	W 5-1	48.3	1320	1343	13.82%	28.75%	57.42%	-0.70	+48.0	2
1938-09-11	Basel	W 4-0	31.5	1390	1345	59.26%	28.42%	12.33%	+0.82	+16.9	4
1938-09-11	@ Grasshopper	L 0-4	31.5	1345	1390	12.33%	28.42%	59.26%	-0.82	-16.9	1
1938-09-11	Young Boys	L 2-4	54.1	1261	1295	52.24%	29.38%	18.38%	+0.41	-21.5	1
1938-09-11	@ Grenchen	W 4-2	54.1	1295	1261	18.38%	29.38%	52.24%	-0.41	+21.5	2
1938-09-11	Biel-Bienne	L 2-3	58.4	1256	1265	54.56%	29.15%	16.29%	+0.53	-13.7	1
1938-09-11	@ La Chaux-de-Fonds	W 3-2	58.4	1265	1256	16.29%	29.15%	54.56%	-0.53	+13.7	3
1938-09-11	Servette	W 2-1	41.7	1321	1307	56.73%	28.86%	14.40%	+0.66	+5.1	3
1938-09-11	@ Lausanne-Sport	L 1-2	41.7	1307	1321	14.40%	28.86%	56.73%	-0.66	-5.1	1
1938-09-11	Young Fellows Zurich	W 5-2	43.8	1239	1366	41.39%	29.72%	28.89%	-0.08	+18.5	2
1938-09-11	@ Luzern	L 2-5	43.8	1366	1239	28.89%	29.72%	41.39%	+0.08	-18.6	0
1938-09-11	Lugano	W 2-0	34.8	1368	1366	55.67%	29.01%	15.31%	+0.60	+10.7	4
1938-09-11	@ Nordstern Basel	L 0-2	34.8	1366	1368	15.31%	29.01%	55.67%	-0.60	-10.7	2
1938-09-25	Luzern	W 4-1	35.0	1328	1257	61.14%	28.00%	10.86%	+0.95	+9.7	3
1938-09-25	@ Basel	L 1-4	35.0	1257	1328	10.86%	28.00%	61.14%	-0.95	-9.7	2
1938-09-25	Grasshopper	D 0-0	48.1	1279	1407	41.32%	29.72%	28.96%	-0.09	-0.8	4
1938-09-25	@ Biel-Bienne	D 0-0	48.1	1407	1279	28.96%	29.72%	41.32%	+0.09	+0.8	5
1938-09-25	Grenchen	D 1-1	52.4	1355	1240	64.18%	27.13%	8.70%	+1.19	-3.8	3
1938-09-25	@ Lugano	D 1-1	52.4	1240	1355	8.70%	27.13%	64.18%	-1.19	+3.7	2
1938-09-25	La Chaux-de-Fonds	W 2-0	31.6	1302	1242	60.34%	28.19%	11.47%	+0.90	+8.3	3
1938-09-25	@ Servette	L 0-2	31.6	1242	1302	11.47%	28.19%	60.34%	-0.90	-8.3	1
1938-09-25	Lausanne-Sport	D 1-1	52.2	1317	1326	54.54%	29.15%	16.30%	+0.53	-2.4	3
1938-09-25	@ Young Boys	D 1-1	52.2	1326	1317	16.30%	29.15%	54.54%	-0.53	+2.4	4
1938-09-25	Nordstern Basel	D 1-1	53.1	1348	1379	52.49%	29.36%	18.15%	+0.42	-2.1	1
1938-09-25	@ Young Fellows Zurich	D 1-1	53.1	1379	1348	18.15%	29.36%	52.49%	-0.42	+2.1	5
1938-10-02	Biel-Bienne	D 0-0	47.9	1338	1278	60.33%	28.19%	11.48%	+0.90	-3.6	4
1938-10-02	@ Basel	D 0-0	47.9	1278	1338	11.48%	28.19%	60.33%	-0.90	+3.6	5
1938-10-02	Servette	W 2-1	40.8	1408	1310	63.06%	27.48%	9.47%	+1.10	+3.5	7
1938-10-02	@ Grasshopper	L 1-2	40.8	1310	1408	9.47%	27.48%	63.06%	-1.10	-3.5	3
1938-10-02	Young Fellows Zurich	D 2-2	57.4	1244	1346	44.63%	29.72%	25.66%	+0.05	-0.8	3
1938-10-02	@ Grenchen	D 2-2	57.4	1346	1244	25.66%	29.72%	44.63%	-0.05	+0.8	2
1938-10-02	Young Boys	W 2-1	44.0	1233	1314	47.16%	29.66%	23.17%	+0.16	+7.4	3
1938-10-02	@ La Chaux-de-Fonds	L 1-2	44.0	1314	1233	23.17%	29.66%	47.16%	-0.16	-7.4	3
1938-10-02	Lugano	D 1-1	52.5	1329	1351	53.34%	29.28%	17.38%	+0.47	-2.2	5
1938-10-02	@ Lausanne-Sport	D 1-1	52.5	1351	1329	17.38%	29.28%	53.34%	-0.47	+2.2	4
1938-10-02	Nordstern Basel	W 2-1	46.5	1248	1381	40.62%	29.71%	29.67%	-0.12	+8.9	4
1938-10-02	@ Luzern	L 1-2	46.5	1381	1248	29.67%	29.71%	40.62%	+0.12	-8.9	5
1938-10-09	Luzern	D 2-2	57.4	1282	1256	57.62%	28.72%	13.66%	+0.72	-2.1	6
1938-10-09	@ Biel-Bienne	D 2-2	57.4	1256	1282	13.66%	28.72%	57.62%	-0.72	+2.1	5
1938-10-09	La Chaux-de-Fonds	W 3-0	29.0	1354	1241	64.02%	27.18%	8.80%	+1.17	+9.4	6
1938-10-09	@ Lugano	L 0-3	29.0	1241	1354	8.80%	27.18%	64.02%	-1.17	-9.5	3
1938-10-09	Grenchen	W 2-0	30.6	1372	1243	65.08%	26.81%	8.10%	+1.26	+6.0	7
1938-10-09	@ Nordstern Basel	L 0-2	30.6	1243	1372	8.10%	26.81%	65.08%	-1.26	-6.0	3
1938-10-09	Basel	W 2-1	43.0	1306	1334	52.84%	29.33%	17.83%	+0.44	+6.1	5
1938-10-09	@ Servette	L 1-2	43.0	1334	1306	17.83%	29.33%	52.84%	-0.44	-6.1	4
1938-10-09	Grasshopper	D 1-1	52.9	1307	1411	44.32%	29.72%	25.96%	+0.04	-1.1	4
1938-10-09	@ Young Boys	D 1-1	52.9	1411	1307	25.96%	29.72%	44.32%	-0.04	+1.1	8
1938-10-09	Lausanne-Sport	W 3-0	31.7	1347	1327	57.19%	28.79%	14.02%	+0.69	+14.4	4
1938-10-09	@ Young Fellows Zurich	L 0-3	31.7	1327	1347	14.02%	28.79%	57.19%	-0.69	-14.4	5
1938-10-16	Young Boys	D 0-0	47.8	1328	1306	57.37%	28.76%	13.87%	+0.70	-3.1	5
1938-10-16	@ Basel	D 0-0	47.8	1306	1328	13.87%	28.76%	57.37%	-0.70	+3.1	5
1938-10-16	Servette	D 0-0	47.3	1280	1312	52.31%	29.38%	18.31%	+0.41	-2.4	7
1938-10-16	@ Biel-Bienne	D 0-0	47.3	1312	1280	18.31%	29.38%	52.31%	-0.41	+2.4	6
1938-10-16	Lugano	W 2-1	42.8	1412	1363	59.56%	28.36%	12.08%	+0.84	+4.4	10
1938-10-16	@ Grasshopper	L 1-2	42.8	1363	1412	12.08%	28.36%	59.56%	-0.84	-4.4	6
1938-10-16	Young Fellows Zurich	D 0-0	47.2	1231	1361	41.15%	29.72%	29.14%	-0.09	-0.8	4
1938-10-16	@ La Chaux-de-Fonds	D 0-0	47.2	1361	1231	29.14%	29.72%	41.15%	+0.09	+0.8	5
1938-10-16	Nordstern Basel	D 1-1	52.6	1312	1378	48.81%	29.60%	21.58%	+0.24	-1.7	6
1938-10-16	@ Lausanne-Sport	D 1-1	52.6	1378	1312	21.58%	29.60%	48.81%	-0.24	+1.7	8
1938-10-16	Grenchen	D 2-2	57.2	1259	1237	57.33%	28.77%	13.90%	+0.70	-2.1	6
1938-10-16	@ Luzern	D 2-2	57.2	1237	1259	13.90%	28.77%	57.33%	-0.70	+2.1	4
1938-10-23	Grasshopper	L 0-1	42.8	1239	1417	34.56%	29.53%	35.91%	-0.35	-10.5	4
1938-10-23	@ Grenchen	W 1-0	42.8	1417	1239	35.91%	29.53%	34.56%	+0.35	+10.5	12
1938-10-23	La Chaux-de-Fonds	W 6-0	30.3	1310	1231	61.80%	27.83%	10.37%	+1.00	+21.1	8
1938-10-23	@ Lausanne-Sport	L 0-6	30.3	1231	1310	10.37%	27.83%	61.80%	-1.00	-21.1	4
1938-10-23	Servette	W 2-1	41.4	1359	1315	59.12%	28.45%	12.43%	+0.81	+4.5	8
1938-10-23	@ Lugano	L 1-2	41.4	1315	1359	12.43%	28.45%	59.12%	-0.81	-4.5	6
1938-10-23	Basel	W 4-1	36.4	1380	1325	60.00%	28.26%	11.74%	+0.87	+10.4	10
1938-10-23	@ Nordstern Basel	L 1-4	36.4	1325	1380	11.74%	28.26%	60.00%	-0.87	-10.4	5
1938-10-23	Luzern	W 5-2	38.1	1309	1256	59.78%	28.31%	11.91%	+0.86	+9.2	7
1938-10-23	@ Young Boys	L 2-5	38.1	1256	1309	11.91%	28.31%	59.78%	-0.86	-9.1	6
1938-10-23	Biel-Bienne	W 2-0	31.7	1362	1277	62.14%	27.74%	10.12%	+1.03	+7.4	7
1938-10-23	@ Young Fellows Zurich	L 0-2	31.7	1277	1362	10.12%	27.74%	62.14%	-1.03	-7.4	7
1938-10-30	Lausanne-Sport	W 1-0	39.5	1228	1332	44.50%	29.72%	25.78%	+0.04	+8.5	6
1938-10-30	@ Grenchen	L 0-1	39.5	1332	1228	25.78%	29.72%	44.50%	-0.04	-8.5	8
1938-10-30	Basel	W 1-0	35.9	1363	1314	59.51%	28.37%	12.13%	+0.84	+4.6	10
1938-10-30	@ Lugano	L 0-1	35.9	1314	1363	12.13%	28.37%	59.51%	-0.84	-4.6	5
1938-10-30	La Chaux-de-Fonds	W 3-0	27.8	1390	1210	68.10%	25.59%	6.31%	+1.53	+6.7	12
1938-10-30	@ Nordstern Basel	L 0-3	27.8	1210	1390	6.31%	25.59%	68.10%	-1.53	-6.7	4
1938-10-30	Luzern	W 3-1	37.4	1310	1247	60.58%	28.13%	11.29%	+0.91	+7.1	8
1938-10-30	@ Servette	L 1-3	37.4	1247	1310	11.29%	28.13%	60.58%	-0.91	-7.1	6
1938-10-30	Biel-Bienne	D 1-1	52.0	1318	1270	59.47%	28.38%	12.16%	+0.84	-3.1	8
1938-10-30	@ Young Boys	D 1-1	52.0	1270	1318	12.16%	28.38%	59.47%	-0.84	+3.1	8
1938-10-30	Grasshopper	L 0-1	49.5	1369	1427	49.70%	29.56%	20.75%	+0.28	-14.1	7
1938-10-30	@ Young Fellows Zurich	W 1-0	49.5	1427	1369	20.75%	29.56%	49.70%	-0.28	+14.1	14
1938-11-13	Young Fellows Zurich	L 0-1	47.8	1310	1355	51.03%	29.47%	19.50%	+0.35	-14.4	5
1938-11-13	@ Basel	W 1-0	47.8	1355	1310	19.50%	29.47%	51.03%	-0.35	+14.4	9
1938-11-13	Lugano	D 1-1	52.0	1273	1368	45.50%	29.71%	24.80%	+0.09	-1.2	9
1938-11-13	@ Biel-Bienne	D 1-1	52.0	1368	1273	24.80%	29.71%	45.50%	-0.09	+1.2	11
1938-11-13	Nordstern Basel	D 0-0	51.3	1441	1397	59.16%	28.44%	12.40%	+0.82	-3.4	15
1938-11-13	@ Grasshopper	D 0-0	51.3	1397	1441	12.40%	28.44%	59.16%	-0.82	+3.4	13
1938-11-13	Grenchen	W 2-1	42.2	1203	1237	52.19%	29.39%	18.42%	+0.41	+6.2	6
1938-11-13	@ La Chaux-de-Fonds	L 1-2	42.2	1237	1203	18.42%	29.39%	52.19%	-0.41	-6.2	6
1938-11-13	Lausanne-Sport	W 3-1	41.5	1240	1323	46.92%	29.67%	23.41%	+0.15	+13.0	8
1938-11-13	@ Luzern	L 1-3	41.5	1323	1240	23.41%	29.67%	46.92%	-0.15	-13.0	8
1938-11-13	Young Boys	W 2-1	42.0	1317	1315	55.67%	29.01%	15.32%	+0.60	+5.4	10
1938-11-13	@ Servette	L 1-2	42.0	1315	1317	15.32%	29.01%	55.67%	-0.60	-5.4	8
1938-11-27	Grenchen	W 2-0	31.4	1295	1231	60.70%	28.10%	11.20%	+0.92	+8.2	7
1938-11-27	@ Basel	L 0-2	31.4	1231	1295	11.20%	28.10%	60.70%	-0.92	-8.2	6
1938-11-27	Nordstern Basel	D 0-0	47.9	1272	1401	41.24%	29.72%	29.04%	-0.09	-0.8	10
1938-11-27	@ Biel-Bienne	D 0-0	47.9	1401	1272	29.04%	29.72%	41.24%	+0.09	+0.8	14
1938-11-27	Lausanne-Sport	W 2-1	40.7	1438	1310	64.99%	26.85%	8.16%	+1.25	+3.0	17
1938-11-27	@ Grasshopper	L 1-2	40.7	1310	1438	8.16%	26.85%	64.99%	-1.25	-3.0	8
1938-11-27	La Chaux-de-Fonds	L 2-3	59.4	1253	1209	59.15%	28.44%	12.41%	+0.81	-14.8	8
1938-11-27	@ Luzern	W 3-2	59.4	1209	1253	12.41%	28.44%	59.15%	-0.81	+14.8	8
1938-11-27	Young Fellows Zurich	L 2-5	51.2	1323	1370	50.89%	29.48%	19.62%	+0.34	-28.8	10
1938-11-27	@ Servette	W 5-2	51.2	1370	1323	19.62%	29.48%	50.89%	-0.34	+28.8	11
1938-11-27	Lugano	D 0-0	48.0	1310	1369	49.55%	29.56%	20.89%	+0.27	-2.0	9
1938-11-27	@ Young Boys	D 0-0	48.0	1369	1310	20.89%	29.56%	49.55%	-0.27	+2.0	12
1938-12-04	Biel-Bienne	W 3-1	40.0	1223	1271	50.75%	29.49%	19.76%	+0.33	+11.4	8
1938-12-04	@ Grenchen	L 1-3	40.0	1271	1223	19.76%	29.49%	50.75%	-0.33	-11.4	10
1938-12-04	Grasshopper	D 2-2	58.2	1224	1441	29.34%	29.20%	41.46%	-0.55	+0.5	9
1938-12-04	@ La Chaux-de-Fonds	D 2-2	58.2	1441	1224	41.46%	29.20%	29.34%	+0.55	-0.5	18
1938-12-04	Basel	W 2-0	33.4	1307	1303	55.76%	29.00%	15.24%	+0.60	+10.7	10
1938-12-04	@ Lausanne-Sport	L 0-2	33.4	1303	1307	15.24%	29.00%	55.76%	-0.60	-10.7	7
1938-12-04	Luzern	W 1-0	33.6	1371	1238	65.27%	26.74%	7.98%	+1.28	+3.1	14
1938-12-04	@ Lugano	L 0-1	33.6	1238	1371	7.98%	26.74%	65.27%	-1.28	-3.1	8
1938-12-04	Servette	D 1-1	53.3	1401	1294	63.67%	27.29%	9.04%	+1.14	-3.7	15
1938-12-04	@ Nordstern Basel	D 1-1	53.3	1294	1401	9.04%	27.29%	63.67%	-1.14	+3.7	11
1938-12-04	Young Boys	W 2-0	32.3	1398	1308	62.56%	27.62%	9.82%	+1.06	+7.2	13
1938-12-04	@ Young Fellows Zurich	L 0-2	32.3	1308	1398	9.82%	27.62%	62.56%	-1.06	-7.2	9
1938-12-11	Servette	W 2-1	43.4	1234	1298	49.08%	29.59%	21.33%	+0.25	+7.0	10
1938-12-11	@ Grenchen	L 1-2	43.4	1298	1234	21.33%	29.59%	49.08%	-0.25	-7.0	11
1938-12-11	Basel	W 2-0	35.0	1224	1293	48.57%	29.61%	21.82%	+0.23	+14.2	11
1938-12-11	@ La Chaux-de-Fonds	L 0-2	35.0	1293	1224	21.82%	29.61%	48.57%	-0.23	-14.2	7
1938-12-11	Biel-Bienne	W 3-0	30.0	1318	1259	60.24%	28.21%	11.55%	+0.89	+12.2	12
1938-12-11	@ Lausanne-Sport	L 0-3	30.0	1259	1318	11.55%	28.21%	60.24%	-0.89	-12.2	10
1938-12-11	Grasshopper	W 3-1	47.2	1235	1441	30.87%	29.31%	39.82%	-0.49	+19.0	10
1938-12-11	@ Luzern	L 1-3	47.2	1441	1235	39.82%	29.31%	30.87%	+0.49	-19.0	18
1938-12-11	Young Boys	L 0-1	51.2	1398	1300	63.00%	27.49%	9.50%	+1.09	-17.6	15
1938-12-11	@ Nordstern Basel	W 1-0	51.2	1300	1398	9.50%	27.49%	63.00%	-1.09	+17.6	11
1938-12-11	Lugano	L 1-2	56.8	1406	1374	58.14%	28.63%	13.23%	+0.75	-15.4	13
1938-12-11	@ Young Fellows Zurich	W 2-1	56.8	1374	1406	13.23%	28.63%	58.14%	-0.75	+15.4	16
1938-12-18	Grasshopper	W 3-1	44.9	1279	1422	39.39%	29.69%	30.93%	-0.16	+15.9	9
1938-12-18	@ Basel	L 1-3	44.9	1422	1279	30.93%	29.69%	39.39%	+0.16	-15.9	18
1938-12-18	La Chaux-de-Fonds	W 2-0	32.6	1247	1239	56.20%	28.94%	14.86%	+0.63	+10.5	12
1938-12-18	@ Biel-Bienne	L 0-2	32.6	1239	1247	14.86%	28.94%	56.20%	-0.63	-10.5	11
1938-12-18	Nordstern Basel	W 3-0	33.4	1389	1380	56.27%	28.93%	14.80%	+0.63	+15.1	18
1938-12-18	@ Lugano	L 0-3	33.4	1380	1389	14.80%	28.93%	56.27%	-0.63	-15.1	15
1938-12-18	Lausanne-Sport	D 2-2	57.7	1291	1330	51.68%	29.43%	18.89%	+0.38	-1.5	12
1938-12-18	@ Servette	D 2-2	57.7	1330	1291	18.89%	29.43%	51.68%	-0.38	+1.5	13
1938-12-18	Grenchen	D 2-2	57.8	1318	1241	61.60%	27.88%	10.52%	+0.99	-2.5	12
1938-12-18	@ Young Boys	D 2-2	57.8	1241	1318	10.52%	27.88%	61.60%	-0.99	+2.5	11
1938-12-18	Luzern	D 0-0	48.6	1390	1254	65.49%	26.67%	7.85%	+1.29	-4.4	14
1938-12-18	@ Young Fellows Zurich	D 0-0	48.6	1254	1390	7.85%	26.67%	65.49%	-1.29	+4.4	11
1939-01-15	Young Boys	W 4-0	31.2	1331	1315	56.84%	28.85%	14.31%	+0.67	+19.2	15
1939-01-15	@ Lausanne-Sport	L 0-4	31.2	1315	1331	14.31%	28.85%	56.84%	-0.67	-19.2	12
1939-01-15	Young Fellows Zurich	D 1-1	53.5	1365	1386	53.49%	29.27%	17.25%	+0.47	-2.3	16
1939-01-15	@ Nordstern Basel	D 1-1	53.5	1386	1365	17.25%	29.27%	53.49%	-0.47	+2.3	15
1939-01-22	Basel	W 4-1	37.6	1258	1294	51.93%	29.41%	18.67%	+0.39	+15.4	14
1939-01-22	@ Biel-Bienne	L 1-4	37.6	1294	1258	18.67%	29.41%	51.93%	-0.39	-15.4	9
1939-01-22	Lausanne-Sport	W 3-0	32.0	1405	1351	59.90%	28.28%	11.81%	+0.87	+12.4	20
1939-01-22	@ Lugano	L 0-3	32.0	1351	1405	11.81%	28.28%	59.90%	-0.87	-12.4	15
1939-01-22	Luzern	D 1-1	52.5	1363	1259	63.45%	27.36%	9.19%	+1.13	-3.6	17
1939-01-22	@ Nordstern Basel	D 1-1	52.5	1259	1363	9.19%	27.36%	63.45%	-1.13	+3.6	12
1939-01-22	Grasshopper	L 2-3	56.4	1289	1406	42.85%	29.73%	27.42%	-0.02	-11.1	12
1939-01-22	@ Servette	W 3-2	56.4	1406	1289	27.42%	29.73%	42.85%	+0.02	+11.1	20
1939-01-22	La Chaux-de-Fonds	D 1-1	51.8	1296	1228	60.96%	28.04%	11.00%	+0.94	-3.3	13
1939-01-22	@ Young Boys	D 1-1	51.8	1228	1296	11.00%	28.04%	60.96%	-0.94	+3.3	12
1939-01-22	Grenchen	L 1-2	56.5	1388	1244	66.01%	26.47%	7.52%	+1.34	-17.3	15
1939-01-22	@ Young Fellows Zurich	W 2-1	56.5	1244	1388	7.52%	26.47%	66.01%	-1.34	+17.3	13
1939-02-19	Basel	W 4-3	50.0	1262	1279	53.89%	29.23%	16.88%	+0.50	+5.4	14
1939-02-19	@ Luzern	L 3-4	50.0	1279	1262	16.88%	29.23%	53.89%	-0.50	-5.4	9
1939-02-26	Servette	L 0-1	48.0	1274	1278	55.03%	29.10%	15.87%	+0.56	-15.5	9
1939-02-26	@ Basel	W 1-0	48.0	1278	1274	15.87%	29.10%	55.03%	-0.56	+15.5	14
1939-02-26	Young Boys	D 0-0	49.2	1417	1293	64.73%	26.94%	8.33%	+1.23	-4.3	21
1939-02-26	@ Grasshopper	D 0-0	49.2	1293	1417	8.33%	26.94%	64.73%	-1.23	+4.3	14
1939-02-26	Nordstern Basel	W 3-1	42.4	1261	1359	45.11%	29.71%	25.18%	+0.07	+13.7	15
1939-02-26	@ Grenchen	L 1-3	42.4	1359	1261	25.18%	29.71%	45.11%	-0.07	-13.7	17
1939-02-26	Lugano	W 2-1	48.8	1232	1417	33.51%	29.47%	37.01%	-0.39	+10.4	14
1939-02-26	@ La Chaux-de-Fonds	L 1-2	48.8	1417	1232	37.01%	29.47%	33.51%	+0.39	-10.4	20
1939-02-26	Young Fellows Zurich	W 2-1	43.9	1338	1371	52.35%	29.37%	18.28%	+0.41	+6.2	17
1939-02-26	@ Lausanne-Sport	L 1-2	43.9	1371	1338	18.28%	29.37%	52.35%	-0.41	-6.2	15
1939-02-26	Biel-Bienne	W 5-1	35.1	1268	1273	54.94%	29.11%	15.95%	+0.56	+17.5	16
1939-02-26	@ Luzern	L 1-5	35.1	1273	1268	15.95%	29.11%	54.94%	-0.56	-17.5	14
1939-03-05	Lugano	W 1-0	41.5	1275	1407	40.83%	29.71%	29.45%	-0.11	+9.4	17
1939-03-05	@ Grenchen	L 0-1	41.5	1407	1275	29.45%	29.71%	40.83%	+0.11	-9.4	20
1939-03-05	Servette	L 1-2	52.1	1242	1294	50.38%	29.52%	20.10%	+0.31	-13.4	14
1939-03-05	@ La Chaux-de-Fonds	W 2-1	52.1	1294	1242	20.10%	29.52%	50.38%	-0.31	+13.4	16
1939-03-12	Luzern	D 1-1	51.7	1284	1285	55.33%	29.06%	15.61%	+0.58	-2.5	18
1939-03-12	@ Grenchen	D 1-1	51.7	1285	1284	15.61%	29.06%	55.33%	-0.58	+2.5	17
1939-03-12	Grasshopper	L 0-1	51.0	1397	1412	54.03%	29.21%	16.76%	+0.50	-15.2	20
1939-03-12	@ Lugano	W 1-0	51.0	1412	1397	16.76%	29.21%	54.03%	-0.50	+15.2	23
1939-03-12	Lausanne-Sport	L 1-2	54.7	1345	1344	55.52%	29.03%	15.45%	+0.59	-14.7	17
1939-03-12	@ Nordstern Basel	W 2-1	54.7	1344	1345	15.45%	29.03%	55.52%	-0.59	+14.7	19
1939-03-12	Biel-Bienne	W 6-0	31.0	1307	1256	59.72%	28.32%	11.96%	+0.85	+24.0	18
1939-03-12	@ Servette	L 0-6	31.0	1256	1307	11.96%	28.32%	59.72%	-0.85	-24.0	14
1939-03-12	Basel	D 1-1	51.8	1297	1258	58.74%	28.52%	12.74%	+0.79	-3.0	15
1939-03-12	@ Young Boys	D 1-1	51.8	1258	1297	12.74%	28.52%	58.74%	-0.79	+3.0	10
1939-03-12	La Chaux-de-Fonds	L 1-2	56.1	1365	1228	65.50%	26.66%	7.84%	+1.30	-17.2	15
1939-03-12	@ Young Fellows Zurich	W 2-1	56.1	1228	1365	7.84%	26.66%	65.50%	-1.30	+17.2	16
1939-03-19	Young Fellows Zurich	W 2-0	33.6	1428	1347	61.83%	27.82%	10.35%	+1.00	+7.6	25
1939-03-19	@ Grasshopper	L 0-2	33.6	1347	1428	10.35%	27.82%	61.83%	-1.00	-7.6	15
1939-03-26	Luzern	W 3-1	37.8	1359	1288	61.20%	27.98%	10.82%	+0.96	+6.9	21
1939-03-26	@ Lausanne-Sport	L 1-3	37.8	1288	1359	10.82%	27.98%	61.20%	-0.96	-6.8	17
1939-03-26	Biel-Bienne	D 1-1	52.8	1382	1232	66.36%	26.33%	7.31%	+1.37	-4.0	21
1939-03-26	@ Lugano	D 1-1	52.8	1232	1382	7.31%	26.33%	66.36%	-1.37	+4.0	15
1939-03-26	Grasshopper	W 1-0	41.8	1331	1435	44.31%	29.72%	25.97%	+0.04	+8.6	19
1939-03-26	@ Nordstern Basel	L 0-1	41.8	1435	1331	25.97%	29.72%	44.31%	-0.04	-8.6	25
1939-03-26	Servette	L 1-3	50.4	1294	1331	51.91%	29.41%	18.68%	+0.39	-23.9	15
1939-03-26	@ Young Boys	W 3-1	50.4	1331	1294	18.68%	29.41%	51.91%	-0.39	+23.9	20
1939-03-26	Basel	D 1-1	52.3	1340	1261	61.72%	27.85%	10.43%	+0.99	-3.4	16
1939-03-26	@ Young Fellows Zurich	D 1-1	52.3	1261	1340	10.43%	27.85%	61.72%	-0.99	+3.4	11
1939-04-16	Nordstern Basel	L 0-1	46.3	1265	1339	47.87%	29.64%	22.49%	+0.19	-13.6	11
1939-04-16	@ Basel	W 1-0	46.3	1339	1265	22.49%	29.64%	47.87%	-0.19	+13.6	21
1939-04-16	Young Fellows Zurich	W 2-1	44.9	1236	1336	44.78%	29.72%	25.50%	+0.06	+8.0	17
1939-04-16	@ Biel-Bienne	L 1-2	44.9	1336	1236	25.50%	29.72%	44.78%	-0.06	-8.0	16
1939-04-16	Grenchen	D 1-1	53.7	1427	1281	66.04%	26.46%	7.50%	+1.34	-4.0	26
1939-04-16	@ Grasshopper	D 1-1	53.7	1281	1427	7.50%	26.46%	66.04%	-1.34	+4.0	19
1939-04-16	Lausanne-Sport	W 2-0	37.4	1246	1366	42.35%	29.73%	27.92%	-0.05	+17.1	18
1939-04-16	@ La Chaux-de-Fonds	L 0-2	37.4	1366	1246	27.92%	29.73%	42.35%	+0.05	-17.1	21
1939-04-16	Young Boys	W 1-0	35.9	1281	1270	56.38%	28.92%	14.71%	+0.64	+5.5	19
1939-04-16	@ Luzern	L 0-1	35.9	1270	1281	14.71%	28.92%	56.38%	-0.64	-5.5	15
1939-04-16	Lugano	L 0-1	49.3	1355	1378	53.29%	29.29%	17.42%	+0.46	-15.0	20
1939-04-16	@ Servette	W 1-0	49.3	1378	1355	17.42%	29.29%	53.29%	-0.46	+15.0	23
1939-04-23	Basel	W 3-2	45.8	1285	1251	58.38%	28.59%	13.04%	+0.76	+4.4	21
1939-04-23	@ Grenchen	L 2-3	45.8	1251	1285	13.04%	28.59%	58.38%	-0.76	-4.4	11
1939-04-23	Luzern	W 2-1	42.2	1263	1286	53.23%	29.29%	17.48%	+0.46	+6.0	20
1939-04-23	@ La Chaux-de-Fonds	L 1-2	42.2	1286	1263	17.48%	29.29%	53.23%	-0.46	-6.0	19
1939-04-23	Grasshopper	D 1-1	53.8	1349	1423	47.96%	29.64%	22.40%	+0.20	-1.5	22
1939-04-23	@ Lausanne-Sport	D 1-1	53.8	1423	1349	22.40%	29.64%	47.96%	-0.20	+1.5	27
1939-04-23	Young Boys	W 2-0	31.0	1393	1265	65.00%	26.84%	8.15%	+1.25	+6.0	25
1939-04-23	@ Lugano	L 0-2	31.0	1265	1393	8.15%	26.84%	65.00%	-1.25	-6.0	15
1939-04-23	Biel-Bienne	W 2-1	39.3	1353	1244	63.80%	27.25%	8.96%	+1.15	+3.3	23
1939-04-23	@ Nordstern Basel	L 1-2	39.3	1244	1353	8.96%	27.25%	63.80%	-1.15	-3.3	17
1939-04-23	Servette	L 0-3	43.9	1328	1340	54.38%	29.17%	16.45%	+0.52	-41.9	16
1939-04-23	@ Young Fellows Zurich	W 3-0	43.9	1340	1328	16.45%	29.17%	54.38%	-0.52	+41.9	22
1939-04-30	Lausanne-Sport	W 1-0	39.6	1247	1347	44.79%	29.72%	25.50%	+0.06	+8.5	13
1939-04-30	@ Basel	L 0-1	39.6	1347	1247	25.50%	29.72%	44.79%	-0.06	-8.5	22
1939-04-30	Grenchen	L 1-4	47.1	1240	1290	50.60%	29.50%	19.90%	+0.32	-33.0	17
1939-04-30	@ Biel-Bienne	W 4-1	47.1	1290	1240	19.90%	29.50%	50.60%	-0.32	+33.0	23
1939-04-30	La Chaux-de-Fonds	W 3-1	36.6	1424	1269	66.65%	26.21%	7.13%	+1.40	+4.6	29
1939-04-30	@ Grasshopper	L 1-3	36.6	1269	1424	7.13%	26.21%	66.65%	-1.40	-4.6	20
1939-04-30	Lugano	L 1-2	50.9	1280	1399	42.57%	29.73%	27.70%	-0.04	-11.6	19
1939-04-30	@ Luzern	W 2-1	50.9	1399	1280	27.70%	29.73%	42.57%	+0.04	+11.6	27
1939-04-30	Nordstern Basel	W 3-0	32.4	1382	1356	57.67%	28.71%	13.62%	+0.72	+14.1	24
1939-04-30	@ Servette	L 0-3	32.4	1356	1382	13.62%	28.71%	57.67%	-0.72	-14.1	23
1939-04-30	Young Fellows Zurich	L 0-3	42.5	1259	1287	52.82%	29.33%	17.85%	+0.44	-40.8	15
1939-04-30	@ Young Boys	W 3-0	42.5	1287	1259	17.85%	29.33%	52.82%	-0.44	+40.8	18
1939-05-18	Lugano	W 7-0	39.1	1255	1411	37.67%	29.64%	32.68%	-0.23	+61.4	15
1939-05-18	@ Basel	L 0-7	39.1	1411	1255	32.68%	29.64%	37.67%	+0.23	-61.4	27
1939-05-18	Young Boys	L 0-1	47.5	1207	1218	54.45%	29.16%	16.39%	+0.53	-15.3	17
1939-05-18	@ Biel-Bienne	W 1-0	47.5	1218	1207	16.39%	29.16%	54.45%	-0.53	+15.3	17
1939-05-18	La Chaux-de-Fonds	W 4-1	35.2	1323	1264	60.27%	28.20%	11.53%	+0.89	+10.3	25
1939-05-18	@ Grenchen	L 1-4	35.2	1264	1323	11.53%	28.20%	60.27%	-0.89	-10.3	20
1939-05-21	Nordstern Basel	W 2-1	44.6	1254	1342	46.31%	29.69%	24.00%	+0.12	+7.6	22
1939-05-21	@ La Chaux-de-Fonds	L 1-2	44.6	1342	1254	24.00%	29.69%	46.31%	-0.12	-7.6	23
1939-05-21	Grenchen	L 1-2	54.6	1339	1333	55.95%	28.98%	15.07%	+0.61	-14.8	22
1939-05-21	@ Lausanne-Sport	W 2-1	54.6	1333	1339	15.07%	28.98%	55.95%	-0.61	+14.8	27
1939-05-21	Servette	L 2-4	51.8	1269	1396	41.47%	29.72%	28.81%	-0.08	-17.6	19
1939-05-21	@ Luzern	W 4-2	51.8	1396	1269	28.81%	29.72%	41.47%	+0.08	+17.6	26
1939-05-28	Biel-Bienne	W 3-1	34.6	1429	1192	71.07%	24.10%	4.83%	+1.82	+3.0	31
1939-05-28	@ Grasshopper	L 1-3	34.6	1192	1429	4.83%	24.10%	71.07%	-1.82	-3.0	17

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1939-01-22	7.52%	Grenchen	1244	2	@ Young Fellows Zurich	1388	1
2	1939-03-12	7.84%	La Chaux-de-Fonds	1228	2	@ Young Fellows Zurich	1365	1
3	1938-12-11	9.50%	Young Boys	1300	1	@ Nordstern Basel	1398	0
4	1938-11-27	12.41%	La Chaux-de-Fonds	1209	3	@ Luzern	1253	2
5	1938-12-11	13.23%	Lugano	1374	2	@ Young Fellows Zurich	1406	1
6	1938-09-04	13.82%	Nordstern Basel	1320	5	@ Young Boys	1343	1
7	1939-05-21	15.07%	Grenchen	1333	2	@ Lausanne-Sport	1339	1
8	1939-03-12	15.45%	Lausanne-Sport	1344	2	@ Nordstern Basel	1345	1
9	1939-02-26	15.87%	Servette	1278	1	@ Basel	1274	0
10	1938-09-11	16.29%	Biel-Bienne	1265	3	@ La Chaux-de-Fonds	1256	2
11	1939-05-18	16.39%	Young Boys	1218	1	@ Biel-Bienne	1207	0
12	1939-04-23	16.45%	Servette	1340	3	@ Young Fellows Zurich	1328	0
13	1939-03-12	16.76%	Grasshopper	1412	1	@ Lugano	1397	0
14	1939-04-16	17.42%	Lugano	1378	1	@ Servette	1355	0
15	1939-04-30	17.85%	Young Fellows Zurich	1287	3	@ Young Boys	1259	0
16	1938-09-11	18.38%	Young Boys	1295	4	@ Grenchen	1261	2
17	1939-03-26	18.68%	Servette	1331	3	@ Young Boys	1294	1
18	1938-11-13	19.50%	Young Fellows Zurich	1355	1	@ Basel	1310	0
19	1938-11-27	19.62%	Young Fellows Zurich	1370	5	@ Servette	1323	2
20	1939-04-30	19.90%	Grenchen	1290	4	@ Biel-Bienne	1240	1
21	1939-03-05	20.10%	Servette	1294	2	@ La Chaux-de-Fonds	1242	1
22	1938-10-30	20.75%	Grasshopper	1427	1	@ Young Fellows Zurich	1369	0
23	1939-04-16	22.49%	Nordstern Basel	1339	1	@ Basel	1265	0
24	1939-01-22	27.42%	Grasshopper	1406	3	@ Servette	1289	2
25	1939-04-30	27.70%	Lugano	1399	2	@ Luzern	1280	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1939-05-18	61.36	@ Basel	7	1255	37.67%	Lugano	0	1411	32.68%	29.64%
2	1938-09-04	48.03	Nordstern Basel	5	1320	13.82%	@ Young Boys	1	1343	57.42%	28.75%
3	1939-04-23	41.88	Servette	3	1340	16.45%	@ Young Fellows Zurich	0	1328	54.38%	29.17%
4	1939-04-30	40.76	Young Fellows Zurich	3	1287	17.85%	@ Young Boys	0	1259	52.82%	29.33%
5	1939-04-30	33.03	Grenchen	4	1290	19.90%	@ Biel-Bienne	1	1240	50.60%	29.50%
6	1938-11-27	28.76	Young Fellows Zurich	5	1370	19.62%	@ Servette	2	1323	50.89%	29.48%
7	1939-03-12	24.05	@ Servette	6	1307	59.72%	Biel-Bienne	0	1256	11.96%	28.32%
8	1939-03-26	23.91	Servette	3	1331	18.68%	@ Young Boys	1	1294	51.91%	29.41%
9	1938-09-11	21.51	Young Boys	4	1295	18.38%	@ Grenchen	2	1261	52.24%	29.38%
10	1938-10-23	21.11	@ Lausanne-Sport	6	1310	61.80%	La Chaux-de-Fonds	0	1231	10.37%	27.83%
11	1939-01-15	19.21	@ Lausanne-Sport	4	1331	56.84%	Young Boys	0	1315	14.31%	28.85%
12	1938-12-11	19.02	@ Luzern	3	1235	30.87%	Grasshopper	1	1441	39.82%	29.31%
13	1938-09-11	18.56	@ Luzern	5	1239	41.39%	Young Fellows Zurich	2	1366	28.89%	29.72%
14	1938-12-11	17.62	Young Boys	1	1300	9.50%	@ Nordstern Basel	0	1398	63.00%	27.49%
15	1939-05-21	17.62	Servette	4	1396	28.81%	@ Luzern	2	1269	41.47%	29.72%
16	1939-02-26	17.53	@ Luzern	5	1268	54.94%	Biel-Bienne	1	1273	15.95%	29.11%
17	1939-01-22	17.33	Grenchen	2	1244	7.52%	@ Young Fellows Zurich	1	1388	66.01%	26.47%
18	1939-03-12	17.20	La Chaux-de-Fonds	2	1228	7.84%	@ Young Fellows Zurich	1	1365	65.50%	26.66%
19	1939-04-16	17.07	@ La Chaux-de-Fonds	2	1246	42.35%	Lausanne-Sport	0	1366	27.92%	29.73%
20	1938-09-11	16.87	@ Grasshopper	4	1390	59.26%	Basel	0	1345	12.33%	28.42%
21	1938-12-18	15.90	@ Basel	3	1279	39.39%	Grasshopper	1	1422	30.93%	29.69%
22	1939-02-26	15.46	Servette	1	1278	15.87%	@ Basel	0	1274	55.03%	29.10%
23	1939-01-22	15.42	@ Biel-Bienne	4	1258	51.93%	Basel	1	1294	18.67%	29.41%
24	1938-12-11	15.38	Lugano	2	1374	13.23%	@ Young Fellows Zurich	1	1406	58.14%	28.63%
25	1939-05-18	15.31	Young Boys	1	1218	16.39%	@ Biel-Bienne	0	1207	54.45%	29.16%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1938-11-27	59.4	La Chaux-de-Fonds	3	1209	12.41%	@ Luzern	2	1253	59.15%	28.44%
2	1938-09-11	58.4	Biel-Bienne	3	1265	16.29%	@ La Chaux-de-Fonds	2	1256	54.56%	29.15%
3	1938-12-04	58.2	@ La Chaux-de-Fonds	2	1224	29.34%	Grasshopper	2	1441	41.46%	29.20%
4	1938-09-04	58.1	@ Basel	2	1347	62.82%	La Chaux-de-Fonds	2	1253	9.63%	27.55%
5	1938-12-18	57.8	@ Young Boys	2	1318	61.60%	Grenchen	2	1241	10.52%	27.88%
6	1938-12-18	57.7	@ Servette	2	1291	51.68%	Lausanne-Sport	2	1330	18.89%	29.43%
7	1938-10-02	57.4	@ Grenchen	2	1244	44.63%	Young Fellows Zurich	2	1346	25.66%	29.72%
8	1938-10-09	57.4	@ Biel-Bienne	2	1282	57.62%	Luzern	2	1256	13.66%	28.72%
9	1938-10-16	57.2	@ Luzern	2	1259	57.33%	Grenchen	2	1237	13.90%	28.77%
10	1938-12-11	56.8	Lugano	2	1374	13.23%	@ Young Fellows Zurich	1	1406	58.14%	28.63%
11	1939-01-22	56.5	Grenchen	2	1244	7.52%	@ Young Fellows Zurich	1	1388	66.01%	26.47%
12	1939-01-22	56.4	Grasshopper	3	1406	27.42%	@ Servette	2	1289	42.85%	29.73%
13	1939-03-12	56.1	La Chaux-de-Fonds	2	1228	7.84%	@ Young Fellows Zurich	1	1365	65.50%	26.66%
14	1939-03-12	54.7	Lausanne-Sport	2	1344	15.45%	@ Nordstern Basel	1	1345	55.52%	29.03%
15	1939-05-21	54.6	Grenchen	2	1333	15.07%	@ Lausanne-Sport	1	1339	55.95%	28.98%
16	1938-09-11	54.1	Young Boys	4	1295	18.38%	@ Grenchen	2	1261	52.24%	29.38%
17	1939-04-23	53.8	@ Lausanne-Sport	1	1349	47.96%	Grasshopper	1	1423	22.40%	29.64%
18	1939-04-16	53.7	@ Grasshopper	1	1427	66.04%	Grenchen	1	1281	7.50%	26.46%
19	1939-01-15	53.5	@ Nordstern Basel	1	1365	53.49%	Young Fellows Zurich	1	1386	17.25%	29.27%
20	1938-12-04	53.3	@ Nordstern Basel	1	1401	63.67%	Servette	1	1294	9.04%	27.29%
21	1938-09-25	53.1	@ Young Fellows Zurich	1	1348	52.49%	Nordstern Basel	1	1379	18.15%	29.36%
22	1938-10-09	52.9	@ Young Boys	1	1307	44.32%	Grasshopper	1	1411	25.96%	29.72%
23	1939-03-26	52.8	@ Lugano	1	1382	66.36%	Biel-Bienne	1	1232	7.31%	26.33%
24	1938-10-16	52.6	@ Lausanne-Sport	1	1312	48.81%	Nordstern Basel	1	1378	21.58%	29.60%
25	1938-10-02	52.5	@ Lausanne-Sport	1	1329	53.34%	Lugano	1	1351	17.38%	29.28%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1938-10-30	27.8	@ Nordstern Basel	3	1390	68.10%	La Chaux-de-Fonds	0	1210	6.31%	25.59%
2	1938-10-09	29.0	@ Lugano	3	1354	64.02%	La Chaux-de-Fonds	0	1241	8.80%	27.18%
3	1938-12-11	30.0	@ Lausanne-Sport	3	1318	60.24%	Biel-Bienne	0	1259	11.55%	28.21%
4	1938-10-23	30.3	@ Lausanne-Sport	6	1310	61.80%	La Chaux-de-Fonds	0	1231	10.37%	27.83%
5	1938-10-09	30.6	@ Nordstern Basel	2	1372	65.08%	Grenchen	0	1243	8.10%	26.81%
6	1939-03-12	31.0	@ Servette	6	1307	59.72%	Biel-Bienne	0	1256	11.96%	28.32%
7	1939-04-23	31.0	@ Lugano	2	1393	65.00%	Young Boys	0	1265	8.15%	26.84%
8	1939-01-15	31.2	@ Lausanne-Sport	4	1331	56.84%	Young Boys	0	1315	14.31%	28.85%
9	1938-11-27	31.4	@ Basel	2	1295	60.70%	Grenchen	0	1231	11.20%	28.10%
10	1938-09-11	31.5	@ Grasshopper	4	1390	59.26%	Basel	0	1345	12.33%	28.42%
11	1938-09-25	31.6	@ Servette	2	1302	60.34%	La Chaux-de-Fonds	0	1242	11.47%	28.19%
12	1938-10-09	31.7	@ Young Fellows Zurich	3	1347	57.19%	Lausanne-Sport	0	1327	14.02%	28.79%
13	1938-10-23	31.7	@ Young Fellows Zurich	2	1362	62.14%	Biel-Bienne	0	1277	10.12%	27.74%
14	1939-01-22	32.0	@ Lugano	3	1405	59.90%	Lausanne-Sport	0	1351	11.81%	28.28%
15	1938-12-04	32.3	@ Young Fellows Zurich	2	1398	62.56%	Young Boys	0	1308	9.82%	27.62%
16	1939-04-30	32.4	@ Servette	3	1382	57.67%	Nordstern Basel	0	1356	13.62%	28.71%
17	1938-12-18	32.6	@ Biel-Bienne	2	1247	56.20%	La Chaux-de-Fonds	0	1239	14.86%	28.94%
18	1938-12-04	33.4	@ Lausanne-Sport	2	1307	55.76%	Basel	0	1303	15.24%	29.00%
19	1938-12-18	33.4	@ Lugano	3	1389	56.27%	Nordstern Basel	0	1380	14.80%	28.93%
20	1938-12-04	33.6	@ Lugano	1	1371	65.27%	Luzern	0	1238	7.98%	26.74%
21	1939-03-19	33.6	@ Grasshopper	2	1428	61.83%	Young Fellows Zurich	0	1347	10.35%	27.82%
22	1939-05-28	34.6	@ Grasshopper	3	1429	71.07%	Biel-Bienne	1	1192	4.83%	24.10%
23	1938-09-11	34.8	@ Nordstern Basel	2	1368	55.67%	Lugano	0	1366	15.31%	29.01%
24	1938-09-25	35.0	@ Basel	4	1328	61.14%	Luzern	1	1257	10.86%	28.00%
25	1938-12-11	35.0	@ La Chaux-de-Fonds	2	1224	48.57%	Basel	0	1293	21.82%	29.61%