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1939-40 Nationalliga Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Servette

42 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Servette

10.14 points above expected

42 points · 31.86 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Young Fellows Zurich

7.30 points below expected

12 points · 19.30 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Servette 22 20 2 0 42 65 14 +51 31.86 +10.14
2 Grenchen 22 11 6 5 28 42 23 +19 26.14 +1.86
3 Grasshopper 22 10 5 7 25 45 31 +14 27.03 -2.03
4 Lausanne-Sport 22 10 5 7 25 40 26 +14 23.58 +1.42
5 Young Boys 22 11 3 8 25 40 29 +11 22.16 +2.84
6 Lugano 22 12 1 9 25 47 38 +9 23.96 +1.04
7 La Chaux-de-Fonds 22 10 2 10 22 41 35 +6 22.75 -0.75
8 Luzern 22 9 2 11 20 40 46 -6 20.80 -0.80
9 Nordstern Basel 22 7 3 12 17 30 40 -10 20.63 -3.63
10 St. Gallen 22 5 3 14 13 27 63 -36 12.21 +0.79
11 Young Fellows Zurich 22 4 4 14 12 29 50 -21 19.30 -7.30
12 Biel-Bienne 22 3 4 15 10 19 70 -51 13.58 -3.58

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Servette 42 31.86 +10.14
2 Young Boys 25 22.16 +2.84
3 Grenchen 28 26.14 +1.86
4 Lausanne-Sport 25 23.58 +1.42
5 Lugano 25 23.96 +1.04

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Young Fellows Zurich 12 19.30 -7.30
2 Nordstern Basel 17 20.63 -3.63
3 Biel-Bienne 10 13.58 -3.58
4 Grasshopper 25 27.03 -2.03
5 Luzern 20 20.80 -0.80

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Servette 12 Jul 7 – Feb 4 1 in 1,115
2 Nordstern Basel 3 Oct 22 – Nov 26 1 in 108
3 St. Gallen 2 Jun 9 – Jun 16 1 in 31
4 Young Boys 3 Jul 7 – Jul 14 1 in 13
5 Luzern 5 Dec 10 – Mar 31 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Grenchen 2 Jun 23 – Jun 29 1 in 141
2 Luzern 6 Jul 17 – Dec 3 1 in 99
3 St. Gallen 10 Dec 10 – May 5 1 in 33
4 Nordstern Basel 4 Jul 6 – Jul 14 1 in 25
5 Young Boys 3 Dec 3 – Jan 14 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Servette 22 Jul 7 – Jun 30 1 in 221
2 Grenchen 9 Dec 10 – Apr 28 1 in 167
3 Nordstern Basel 4 Oct 22 – Dec 3 1 in 28
4 Grasshopper 8 Dec 10 – May 5 1 in 17
5 Young Boys 6 Apr 14 – Jun 23 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Biel-Bienne 17 Oct 22 – Jun 23 1 in 65
2 Luzern 6 Jul 17 – Dec 3 1 in 14
3 Lausanne-Sport 5 Dec 10 – Mar 17 1 in 14
4 Grenchen 4 Jan 14 – Mar 17 1 in 13
5 Grasshopper 4 Jun 9 – Jun 30 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Servette 1720 42 +34 10 7.9 +2.1
Grenchen 1551 28 +10 4 6.6 -2.6
Young Boys 1460 25 +78 9 6.5 +2.5
Lausanne-Sport 1478 25 +53 7 5.3 +1.7
Lugano 1451 25 -4 4 5.1 -1.1
Grasshopper 1470 25 -45 3 4.7 -1.7
La Chaux-de-Fonds 1406 22 -38 5 6.8 -1.8
Luzern 1342 20 +8 5 3.5 +1.5
Nordstern Basel 1297 17 -40 3 5.0 -2.0
St. Gallen 1163 13 +41 6 3.0 +3.0
Young Fellows Zurich 1255 12 -26 3 3.8 -0.8
Biel-Bienne 1086 10 -14 3 2.6 +0.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BIE GRA GRE LC LAU LUG LUZ NB SER SG YB YFZ
Biel-Bienne —
0-0-2
1.76
0-1-1
1.44
0-0-2
2.03
0-0-2
1.74
0-0-2
1.02
1-1-0
1.63
1-0-1
1.45
0-0-2
1.17
1-0-1
3.02
0-1-1
1.86
0-1-1
1.70
Grasshopper
2-0-0
3.93
—
0-0-2
3.10
2-0-0
3.33
0-2-0
3.25
0-1-1
3.45
2-0-0
3.68
0-1-1
3.94
0-0-2
2.39
1-1-0
4.33
1-0-1
3.38
2-0-0
3.91
Grenchen
1-1-0
4.24
2-0-0
2.58
—
2-0-0
3.15
0-2-0
3.17
1-0-1
3.39
1-0-1
3.62
1-0-1
3.65
0-1-1
1.98
1-0-1
4.93
1-1-0
3.28
1-1-0
3.39
La Chaux-de-Fonds
2-0-0
3.65
0-0-2
2.35
0-0-2
2.53
—
1-1-0
2.42
1-0-1
2.72
1-0-1
2.88
1-1-0
3.30
0-0-2
1.53
1-0-1
4.51
1-0-1
2.77
2-0-0
3.51
Lausanne-Sport
2-0-0
3.94
0-2-0
2.43
0-2-0
2.51
0-1-1
3.26
—
1-0-1
2.79
1-0-1
3.21
2-0-0
3.25
0-0-2
1.57
1-0-1
4.18
1-0-1
3.11
2-0-0
3.68
Lugano
2-0-0
4.68
1-1-0
2.23
1-0-1
2.29
1-0-1
2.96
1-0-1
2.89
—
1-0-1
3.27
1-0-1
3.36
0-0-2
1.88
1-0-1
4.02
1-0-1
3.36
2-0-0
3.23
Luzern
0-1-1
4.05
0-0-2
2.00
1-0-1
2.07
1-0-1
2.80
1-0-1
2.47
1-0-1
2.41
—
1-0-1
2.93
0-1-1
1.04
2-0-0
4.05
1-0-1
2.83
1-0-1
2.97
Nordstern Basel
1-0-1
4.23
1-1-0
1.75
1-0-1
2.03
0-1-1
2.38
0-0-2
2.43
1-0-1
2.32
1-0-1
2.75
—
0-0-2
1.76
1-1-0
3.73
0-0-2
2.78
1-0-1
2.95
Servette
2-0-0
4.53
2-0-0
3.29
1-1-0
3.70
2-0-0
4.16
2-0-0
4.12
2-0-0
3.80
1-1-0
4.66
2-0-0
3.93
—
2-0-0
5.19
2-0-0
4.06
2-0-0
4.61
St. Gallen
1-0-1
2.66
0-1-1
1.36
1-0-1
0.77
1-0-1
1.18
1-0-1
1.51
1-0-1
1.67
0-0-2
1.63
0-1-1
1.95
0-0-2
0.52
—
0-0-2
1.35
0-1-1
1.87
Young Boys
1-1-0
3.82
1-0-1
2.30
0-1-1
2.40
1-0-1
2.91
1-0-1
2.57
1-0-1
2.32
1-0-1
2.85
2-0-0
2.90
0-0-2
1.62
2-0-0
4.34
—
1-1-0
3.10
Young Fellows Zurich
1-1-0
3.98
0-0-2
1.77
0-1-1
2.30
0-0-2
2.17
0-0-2
2.00
0-0-2
2.45
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.73
0-0-2
1.08
1-1-0
3.81
0-1-1
2.58
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.93 +7.1
Allowed 0.82 -4.8
Differential 0.93 +3.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.82%4.92%4.92%4.92%3.79%1.89%27.27%
14.92%4.55%6.44%3.41%4.17%1.14%24.62%
24.92%6.44%3.03%2.65%1.14%1.52%19.70%
34.92%3.41%2.65%0.76%0.76%0.76%13.26%
43.79%4.17%1.14%0.76%——9.85%
5+1.89%1.14%1.52%0.76%——5.30%
Total27.27%24.62%19.70%13.26%9.85%5.30%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 1.76 +0.00
SD 1.68 1.68 2.60
CV 0.95 0.95 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%——13.64%18.18%9.09%50.00%
14.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%27.27%
2——4.55%——9.09%13.64%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%9.09%18.18%18.18%18.18%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 3.18 -2.32
SD 1.13 2.24 2.61
CV 1.30 0.70 —
Max 4 8 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
14.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
24.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
3———4.55%——4.55%
4—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
5+——9.09%———9.09%
Total13.64%40.91%36.36%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 1.41 +0.64
SD 2.08 0.85 2.13
CV 1.02 0.61 —
Max 8 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%————13.64%
19.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
2—9.09%9.09%9.09%——27.27%
322.73%4.55%——4.55%—31.82%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total40.91%31.82%13.64%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 1.05 +0.86
SD 1.15 1.17 1.55
CV 0.60 1.12 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
1——4.55%9.09%13.64%—27.27%
29.09%—————9.09%
34.55%9.09%————13.64%
44.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total31.82%22.73%13.64%18.18%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.59 +0.27
SD 1.75 1.47 2.59
CV 0.94 0.92 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—31.82%
19.09%4.55%13.64%———27.27%
2——4.55%———4.55%
34.55%9.09%————13.64%
49.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total36.36%22.73%31.82%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.18 +0.64
SD 1.92 1.14 2.17
CV 1.06 0.96 —
Max 7 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%——4.55%18.18%
14.55%———9.09%—13.64%
218.18%4.55%—9.09%——31.82%
39.09%——4.55%4.55%—18.18%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total31.82%27.27%9.09%13.64%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 1.73 +0.41
SD 1.52 1.86 2.77
CV 0.71 1.07 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———9.09%4.55%—13.64%
1—4.55%18.18%—4.55%4.55%31.82%
24.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
39.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total18.18%18.18%27.27%18.18%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 2.09 -0.27
SD 1.30 1.57 2.49
CV 0.71 0.75 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%9.09%—40.91%
14.55%—4.55%9.09%4.55%—22.73%
24.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
3——4.55%———4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total22.73%18.18%27.27%18.18%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.82 -0.45
SD 1.87 1.37 2.44
CV 1.37 0.75 —
Max 8 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
113.64%4.55%————18.18%
29.09%18.18%————27.27%
3—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
418.18%4.55%————22.73%
5+9.09%——4.55%——13.64%
Total54.55%31.82%9.09%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.95 0.64 +2.32
SD 1.91 0.85 1.99
CV 0.65 1.33 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%9.09%9.09%9.09%36.36%
1—9.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%—31.82%
2—9.09%——4.55%4.55%18.18%
3——9.09%———9.09%
4———————
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total4.55%18.18%27.27%18.18%18.18%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 2.86 -1.64
SD 1.45 1.86 2.54
CV 1.18 0.65 —
Max 6 8 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
19.09%4.55%——4.55%4.55%22.73%
29.09%4.55%————13.64%
34.55%4.55%———4.55%13.64%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total40.91%31.82%9.09%4.55%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.32 +0.50
SD 1.89 1.73 2.74
CV 1.04 1.31 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%9.09%——31.82%
1—4.55%4.55%9.09%9.09%—27.27%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%22.73%
34.55%4.55%———4.55%13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%22.73%13.64%22.73%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 2.27 -0.95
SD 1.21 1.83 2.08
CV 0.92 0.81 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Servette 1720 42 31.86 +10.14 100.0% 22 25 30 32 34 38 40
Grenchen 1551 28 26.14 +1.86 75.0% 18 21 23 26 28 32 37
Lausanne-Sport 1478 25 23.58 +1.42 66.0% 15 17 20 24 27 29 33
Grasshopper 1470 25 27.03 -2.03 32.0% 17 19 24 27 30 32 36
Young Boys 1460 25 22.16 +2.84 80.0% 11 16 19 22 25 28 32
Lugano 1451 25 23.96 +1.04 63.0% 14 17 21 24 26 30 33
La Chaux-de-Fonds 1406 22 22.75 -0.75 44.0% 11 15 20 23 25 29 32
Luzern 1342 20 20.80 -0.80 51.0% 14 15 18 20 23 27 32
Nordstern Basel 1297 17 20.63 -3.63 14.0% 7 15 18 21 23 26 30
Young Fellows Zurich 1255 12 19.30 -7.30 3.0% 11 14 17 19 21 24 29
St. Gallen 1163 13 12.21 +0.79 68.0% 6 7 10 12 15 18 21
Biel-Bienne 1082 10 13.58 -3.58 21.0% 5 7 11 13 16 19 23

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 15% * Slight Edge: 15% to 22.5% * Clear Edge: 22.5% to 26.5% * Strong Edge: 26.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+27.27%
Strong Edge
56.06%15.15%28.79%
Elo Value
Home Edge
134 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
097.22400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.89 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.73+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.8
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
72%
Servette, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.64/gm
Runaway
00.171/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.94 * Some Luck: 2.94 to 4.41 * Lucky: 4.41 to 5.88 * Wild Swing: 5.88 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.33 * Close: 1.33 to 1.99 * Off: 1.99 to 2.65 * Way Off: 2.65 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.11 points
Some Luck
03.689
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.664
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Servette
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
3.00%
Young Fellows Zurich
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 76% * Wide Edge: 76% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 94.5% * Dominant: 94.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51% * Some Drama: 51% to 55.5% * Frequent: 55.5% to 59.5% * Very Frequent: 59.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18% * Occasional: 18% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 27% * Very Frequent: 27% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Lopsided
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 173.95
2.01
Strong Separation
11.651.852.052.75
Interquartile Edge
74%
Clear Edge
50%63%71%76%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
45%
Few
0%44%100%
Blowouts
Expected
36%
Very Frequent
0%34%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21% * As Expected: 21% to 23.5% * Upset-Prone: 23.5% to 26% * Very Upset-Prone: 26% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17.5% * As Expected: 17.5% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 22.5% * Very Shaky: 22.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.50
Highly Predictable
00.512
Matchup Imbalance
0.49
Lopsided
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.31
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.62
Some Carryover
00.420.631
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Solid Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.40
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.04
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.113
Well Within Noise
00.1270.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Servette72.00%17.00%4.00%1.00%5.00%1.00%——————
Grenchen12.00%18.00%20.00%15.00%17.00%6.00%9.00%2.00%—1.00%——
Grasshopper10.00%28.00%22.00%14.00%9.00%8.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%——
Lausanne-Sport4.00%11.00%15.00%16.00%6.00%14.00%9.00%11.00%10.00%3.00%1.00%—
Young Boys1.00%8.00%5.00%11.00%16.00%10.00%8.00%18.00%11.00%9.00%2.00%1.00%
Lugano1.00%12.00%14.00%16.00%12.00%14.00%15.00%6.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%—
La Chaux-de-Fonds—2.00%14.00%11.00%16.00%17.00%17.00%9.00%5.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%
Luzern—2.00%3.00%7.00%8.00%9.00%10.00%19.00%17.00%19.00%5.00%1.00%
Nordstern Basel—1.00%1.00%6.00%5.00%15.00%18.00%19.00%18.00%11.00%5.00%1.00%
St. Gallen————1.00%—1.00%—2.00%7.00%35.00%54.00%
Young Fellows Zurich—1.00%2.00%3.00%5.00%6.00%8.00%13.00%23.00%25.00%12.00%2.00%
Biel-Bienne——————2.00%1.00%5.00%17.00%36.00%39.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Biel-Bienne 100%
Grasshopper 100%
Grenchen 100%
La Chaux-de-Fonds 100%
Lausanne-Sport 100%
Lugano 100%
Luzern 100%
Nordstern Basel 100%
Servette 100%
St. Gallen 100%
Young Boys 100%
Young Fellows Zurich 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1939-07-06 Grasshopper D 1-157.1 1226 1469 29.57% 15.95% 54.47%-1.09 +2.0 1
1939-07-06 @ St. Gallen D 1-157.1 1469 1226 54.47% 15.95% 29.57%+1.09 -2.0 1
1939-07-06 Nordstern Basel W 2-144.7 1423 1417 61.74% 16.01% 22.25%+0.77 +8.0 2
1939-07-06 @ Grenchen L 1-244.7 1417 1423 22.25% 16.01% 61.74%-0.77 -8.0 0
1939-07-06 Lugano W 4-353.5 1369 1423 55.01% 16.06% 28.93%+0.32 +9.4 2
1939-07-06 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds L 3-453.5 1423 1369 28.93% 16.06% 55.01%-0.32 -9.4 0
1939-07-06 Young Boys W 3-033.0 1372 1359 62.56% 16.00% 21.45%+0.83 +22.5 2
1939-07-06 @ Luzern L 0-333.0 1359 1372 21.45% 16.00% 62.56%-0.83 -22.5 0
1939-07-07 St. Gallen W 4-133.6 1331 1227 70.24% 15.83% 13.94%+1.50 +12.8 2
1939-07-07 @ Biel-Bienne L 1-433.6 1227 1331 13.94% 15.83% 70.24%-1.50 -12.8 1
1939-07-07 La Chaux-de-Fonds W 4-138.1 1467 1379 69.14% 15.86% 15.00%+1.39 +13.7 3
1939-07-07 @ Grasshopper L 1-438.1 1379 1467 15.00% 15.86% 69.14%-1.39 -13.7 2
1939-07-07 Luzern W 4-245.5 1412 1395 62.88% 15.99% 21.13%+0.85 +11.8 2
1939-07-07 @ Lausanne-Sport L 2-445.5 1395 1412 21.13% 15.99% 62.88%-0.85 -11.9 2
1939-07-07 Lugano W 7-033.9 1461 1414 65.67% 15.94% 18.38%+1.07 +43.3 2
1939-07-07 @ Servette L 0-733.9 1414 1461 18.38% 15.94% 65.67%-1.07 -43.3 0
1939-07-07 Nordstern Basel W 4-034.7 1336 1409 52.69% 16.07% 31.24%+0.18 +41.0 2
1939-07-07 @ Young Boys L 0-434.7 1409 1336 31.24% 16.07% 52.69%-0.18 -41.0 0
1939-07-07 Grenchen D 2-264.6 1414 1431 59.39% 16.03% 24.57%+0.60 -2.1 1
1939-07-07 @ Young Fellows Zurich D 2-264.6 1431 1414 24.57% 16.03% 59.39%-0.60 +2.1 3
1939-07-13 Grasshopper W 2-148.7 1433 1481 55.73% 16.06% 28.22%+0.37 +9.9 5
1939-07-13 @ Grenchen L 1-248.7 1481 1433 28.22% 16.06% 55.73%-0.37 -9.9 3
1939-07-13 Servette L 0-245.4 1368 1504 44.13% 16.07% 39.81%-0.29 -29.0 0
1939-07-13 @ Nordstern Basel W 2-045.4 1504 1368 39.81% 16.07% 44.13%+0.29 +29.0 4
1939-07-13 Lausanne-Sport W 2-149.6 1215 1424 33.97% 16.00% 50.03%-0.84 +16.2 3
1939-07-13 @ St. Gallen L 1-249.6 1424 1215 50.03% 16.00% 33.97%+0.84 -16.2 2
1939-07-13 Young Boys L 0-152.0 1412 1377 64.62% 15.96% 19.42%+0.99 -22.0 1
1939-07-13 @ Young Fellows Zurich W 1-052.0 1377 1412 19.42% 15.96% 64.62%-0.99 +22.0 4
1939-07-14 Grasshopper L 2-843.8 1344 1471 45.36% 16.07% 38.57%-0.23 -56.4 2
1939-07-14 @ Biel-Bienne W 8-243.8 1471 1344 38.57% 16.07% 45.36%+0.23 +56.4 5
1939-07-14 Grenchen W 1-042.6 1371 1443 52.78% 16.07% 31.15%+0.19 +11.4 2
1939-07-14 @ Lugano L 0-142.6 1443 1371 31.15% 16.07% 52.78%-0.19 -11.4 5
1939-07-14 La Chaux-de-Fonds W 3-140.1 1383 1365 62.99% 15.99% 21.02%+0.86 +13.2 4
1939-07-14 @ Luzern L 1-340.1 1365 1383 21.02% 15.99% 62.99%-0.86 -13.2 2
1939-07-14 Lausanne-Sport L 1-349.7 1339 1408 53.17% 16.07% 30.76%+0.21 -29.7 0
1939-07-14 @ Nordstern Basel W 3-149.7 1408 1339 30.76% 16.07% 53.17%-0.21 +29.7 4
1939-07-14 Young Fellows Zurich W 3-141.7 1533 1390 72.86% 15.73% 11.41%+1.79 +7.5 6
1939-07-14 @ Servette L 1-341.7 1390 1533 11.41% 15.73% 72.86%-1.79 -7.5 1
1939-07-14 St. Gallen W 6-026.4 1399 1231 74.34% 15.65% 10.01%+1.98 +21.2 6
1939-07-14 @ Young Boys L 0-626.4 1231 1399 10.01% 15.65% 74.34%-1.98 -21.2 3
1939-07-17 Luzern W 4-139.6 1527 1396 72.13% 15.76% 12.12%+1.70 +11.2 7
1939-07-17 @ Grasshopper L 1-439.6 1396 1527 12.12% 15.76% 72.13%-1.70 -11.2 4
1939-07-21 Servette L 1-264.5 1539 1540 60.94% 16.02% 23.04%+0.71 -19.5 7
1939-07-21 @ Grasshopper W 2-164.5 1540 1539 23.04% 16.02% 60.94%-0.71 +19.5 8
1939-07-21 Biel-Bienne L 2-360.4 1385 1287 69.84% 15.84% 14.32%+1.46 -21.3 4
1939-07-21 @ Luzern W 3-260.4 1287 1385 14.32% 15.84% 69.84%-1.46 +21.3 4
1939-07-27 La Chaux-de-Fonds W 3-032.2 1431 1352 68.43% 15.88% 15.69%+1.32 +16.9 7
1939-07-27 @ Grenchen L 0-332.2 1352 1431 15.69% 15.88% 68.43%-1.32 -16.9 2
1939-10-22 Nordstern Basel L 0-156.4 1519 1309 76.44% 15.51% 8.05%+2.29 -26.2 7
1939-10-22 @ Grasshopper W 1-056.4 1309 1519 8.05% 15.51% 76.44%-2.29 +26.2 2
1939-10-22 Biel-Bienne W 3-030.4 1448 1308 72.67% 15.73% 11.60%+1.77 +12.7 9
1939-10-22 @ Grenchen L 0-330.4 1308 1448 11.60% 15.73% 72.67%-1.77 -12.8 4
1939-10-22 Lausanne-Sport W 2-040.2 1335 1437 48.78% 16.07% 35.14%-0.04 +23.9 4
1939-10-22 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds L 0-240.2 1437 1335 35.14% 16.07% 48.78%+0.04 -23.9 4
1939-10-22 Luzern W 2-142.3 1382 1364 63.00% 15.99% 21.01%+0.86 +7.6 4
1939-10-22 @ Lugano L 1-242.3 1364 1382 21.01% 15.99% 63.00%-0.86 -7.6 4
1939-10-22 Young Boys W 6-346.7 1560 1420 72.67% 15.73% 11.59%+1.77 +8.6 10
1939-10-22 @ Servette L 3-646.7 1420 1560 11.59% 15.73% 72.67%-1.77 -8.6 6
1939-10-22 Young Fellows Zurich D 1-156.2 1210 1383 38.88% 16.04% 45.07%-0.57 +0.5 4
1939-10-22 @ St. Gallen D 1-156.2 1383 1210 45.07% 16.04% 38.88%+0.57 -0.5 2
1939-11-19 Servette L 1-246.5 1296 1569 26.13% 15.90% 57.97%-1.31 -9.2 4
1939-11-19 @ Biel-Bienne W 2-146.5 1569 1296 57.97% 15.90% 26.13%+1.31 +9.2 12
1939-11-19 Young Boys W 1-040.3 1413 1412 61.33% 16.01% 22.66%+0.74 +8.6 6
1939-11-19 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-140.3 1412 1413 22.66% 16.01% 61.33%-0.74 -8.6 6
1939-11-19 Grasshopper L 1-251.5 1356 1493 44.06% 16.07% 39.87%-0.29 -14.5 4
1939-11-19 @ Luzern W 2-151.5 1493 1356 39.87% 16.07% 44.06%+0.29 +14.5 9
1939-11-19 Lugano W 3-252.7 1210 1390 37.99% 16.04% 45.98%-0.61 +14.3 6
1939-11-19 @ St. Gallen L 2-352.7 1390 1210 45.98% 16.04% 37.99%+0.61 -14.3 4
1939-11-19 Nordstern Basel L 2-359.8 1382 1335 65.70% 15.94% 18.35%+1.08 -20.0 2
1939-11-19 @ Young Fellows Zurich W 3-259.8 1335 1382 18.35% 15.94% 65.70%-1.08 +20.0 4
1939-11-26 St. Gallen W 4-239.1 1507 1224 79.32% 15.23% 5.45%+2.84 +3.3 11
1939-11-26 @ Grasshopper L 2-439.1 1224 1507 5.45% 15.23% 79.32%-2.84 -3.3 6
1939-11-26 Lausanne-Sport D 0-057.8 1461 1422 64.96% 15.96% 19.09%+1.01 -4.2 10
1939-11-26 @ Grenchen D 0-057.8 1422 1461 19.09% 15.96% 64.96%-1.01 +4.2 7
1939-11-26 Young Fellows Zurich W 4-137.7 1375 1362 62.49% 16.00% 21.51%+0.82 +19.0 6
1939-11-26 @ Lugano L 1-437.7 1362 1375 21.51% 16.00% 62.49%-0.82 -19.0 2
1939-11-26 Luzern W 2-141.7 1355 1342 62.54% 16.00% 21.47%+0.83 +7.8 6
1939-11-26 @ Nordstern Basel L 1-241.7 1342 1355 21.47% 16.00% 62.54%-0.83 -7.8 4
1939-11-26 La Chaux-de-Fonds W 2-036.4 1578 1359 76.85% 15.48% 7.67%+2.36 +5.9 14
1939-11-26 @ Servette L 0-236.4 1359 1578 7.67% 15.48% 76.85%-2.36 -5.9 4
1939-11-26 Biel-Bienne W 3-029.9 1403 1287 71.16% 15.80% 13.04%+1.60 +14.2 8
1939-11-26 @ Young Boys L 0-329.9 1287 1403 13.04% 15.80% 71.16%-1.60 -14.2 4
1939-12-03 Servette L 2-363.1 1457 1584 45.40% 16.07% 38.53%-0.22 -14.1 10
1939-12-03 @ Grenchen W 3-263.1 1584 1457 38.53% 16.07% 45.40%+0.22 +14.1 16
1939-12-03 Young Boys W 2-038.7 1353 1417 53.74% 16.07% 30.20%+0.24 +21.0 6
1939-12-03 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds L 0-238.7 1417 1353 30.20% 16.07% 53.74%-0.24 -21.0 8
1939-12-03 Biel-Bienne W 3-136.2 1426 1272 73.54% 15.69% 10.77%+1.88 +7.1 9
1939-12-03 @ Lausanne-Sport L 1-336.2 1272 1426 10.77% 15.69% 73.54%-1.88 -7.1 4
1939-12-03 Grasshopper W 2-044.3 1394 1511 46.93% 16.07% 37.00%-0.14 +25.0 8
1939-12-03 @ Lugano L 0-244.3 1511 1394 37.00% 16.07% 46.93%+0.14 -25.0 11
1939-12-03 Nordstern Basel D 0-052.8 1221 1363 43.32% 16.06% 40.62%-0.33 -0.2 7
1939-12-03 @ St. Gallen D 0-052.8 1363 1221 40.62% 16.06% 43.32%+0.33 +0.2 7
1939-12-03 Luzern W 2-141.6 1343 1334 62.11% 16.00% 21.89%+0.80 +7.9 4
1939-12-03 @ Young Fellows Zurich L 1-241.6 1334 1343 21.89% 16.00% 62.11%-0.80 -7.9 4
1939-12-10 La Chaux-de-Fonds L 0-438.4 1265 1374 47.95% 16.07% 35.98%-0.09 -59.2 4
1939-12-10 @ Biel-Bienne W 4-038.4 1374 1265 35.98% 16.07% 47.95%+0.09 +59.2 8
1939-12-10 Young Fellows Zurich W 5-240.3 1486 1351 72.34% 15.75% 11.91%+1.73 +9.5 13
1939-12-10 @ Grasshopper L 2-540.3 1351 1486 11.91% 15.75% 72.34%-1.73 -9.6 4
1939-12-10 St. Gallen W 5-026.9 1326 1221 70.36% 15.82% 13.81%+1.51 +24.2 6
1939-12-10 @ Luzern L 0-526.9 1221 1326 13.81% 15.82% 70.36%-1.51 -24.2 7
1939-12-10 Lugano L 0-246.3 1363 1419 54.75% 16.06% 29.19%+0.31 -35.2 7
1939-12-10 @ Nordstern Basel W 2-046.3 1419 1363 29.19% 16.06% 54.75%-0.31 +35.2 10
1939-12-10 Lausanne-Sport W 1-043.4 1598 1433 74.13% 15.66% 10.21%+1.95 +4.1 18
1939-12-10 @ Servette L 0-143.4 1433 1598 10.21% 15.66% 74.13%-1.95 -4.1 9
1939-12-10 Grenchen L 0-150.7 1396 1442 55.96% 16.06% 27.98%+0.38 -19.1 8
1939-12-10 @ Young Boys W 1-050.7 1442 1396 27.98% 16.06% 55.96%-0.38 +19.1 12
1939-12-17 Grenchen L 0-152.9 1433 1462 58.03% 16.04% 25.93%+0.51 -19.8 8
1939-12-17 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds W 1-052.9 1462 1433 25.93% 16.04% 58.03%-0.51 +19.8 14
1940-01-14 Grenchen D 1-157.1 1206 1481 25.86% 15.89% 58.25%-1.33 +2.6 5
1940-01-14 @ Biel-Bienne D 1-157.1 1481 1206 58.25% 15.89% 25.86%+1.33 -2.6 15
1940-01-14 La Chaux-de-Fonds D 0-056.6 1429 1413 62.77% 15.99% 21.23%+0.84 -3.8 10
1940-01-14 @ Lausanne-Sport D 0-056.6 1413 1429 21.23% 15.99% 62.77%-0.84 +3.8 9
1940-01-14 Lugano W 2-041.0 1350 1455 48.52% 16.07% 35.41%-0.05 +24.1 8
1940-01-14 @ Luzern L 0-241.0 1455 1350 35.41% 16.07% 48.52%+0.05 -24.1 10
1940-01-14 Grasshopper D 2-264.0 1328 1495 39.73% 16.05% 44.23%-0.52 +0.3 8
1940-01-14 @ Nordstern Basel D 2-264.0 1495 1328 44.23% 16.05% 39.73%+0.52 -0.3 14
1940-01-14 Servette L 1-447.6 1377 1602 31.94% 15.98% 52.08%-0.95 -27.0 8
1940-01-14 @ Young Boys W 4-147.6 1602 1377 52.08% 15.98% 31.94%+0.95 +27.0 20
1940-01-21 St. Gallen W 3-027.3 1431 1197 77.49% 15.43% 7.09%+2.47 +7.9 12
1940-01-21 @ Lugano L 0-327.3 1197 1431 7.09% 15.43% 77.49%-2.47 -7.9 7
1940-01-21 Biel-Bienne W 7-027.7 1629 1209 82.86% 14.56% 2.58%+3.86 +6.4 22
1940-01-21 @ Servette L 0-727.7 1209 1629 2.58% 14.56% 82.86%-3.86 -6.4 5
1940-01-21 Lausanne-Sport W 2-146.0 1350 1425 52.37% 16.07% 31.56%+0.16 +10.9 10
1940-01-21 @ Young Boys L 1-246.0 1425 1350 31.56% 16.07% 52.37%-0.16 -10.9 10
1940-02-04 Servette L 0-151.0 1417 1635 32.78% 15.99% 51.23%-0.90 -11.9 9
1940-02-04 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds W 1-051.0 1635 1417 51.23% 15.99% 32.78%+0.90 +11.9 24
1940-02-04 Grenchen D 2-266.0 1415 1479 53.77% 16.07% 30.17%+0.25 -1.4 11
1940-02-04 @ Lausanne-Sport D 2-266.0 1479 1415 30.17% 16.07% 53.77%-0.25 +1.4 16
1940-02-04 Lugano L 0-244.7 1342 1439 49.53% 16.07% 34.40%+0.00 -32.1 4
1940-02-04 @ Young Fellows Zurich W 2-044.7 1439 1342 34.40% 16.07% 49.53%+0.00 +32.1 14
1940-02-18 Grenchen D 0-066.5 1647 1480 74.28% 15.65% 10.06%+1.97 -6.2 25
1940-02-18 @ Servette D 0-066.5 1480 1647 10.06% 15.65% 74.28%-1.97 +6.2 17
1940-02-18 La Chaux-de-Fonds W 3-142.5 1361 1405 56.22% 16.05% 27.73%+0.40 +16.9 12
1940-02-18 @ Young Boys L 1-342.5 1405 1361 27.73% 16.05% 56.22%-0.40 -16.9 9
1940-03-03 St. Gallen W 3-028.4 1309 1189 71.44% 15.79% 12.77%+1.63 +14.0 6
1940-03-03 @ Young Fellows Zurich L 0-328.4 1189 1309 12.77% 15.79% 71.44%-1.63 -14.0 7
1940-03-03 Young Boys D 0-052.7 1202 1378 38.49% 16.04% 45.47%-0.59 +0.6 6
1940-03-03 @ Biel-Bienne D 0-052.7 1378 1202 45.47% 16.04% 38.49%+0.59 -0.6 13
1940-03-03 Nordstern Basel W 3-245.4 1374 1328 65.61% 15.95% 18.44%+1.07 +6.4 10
1940-03-03 @ Luzern L 2-345.4 1328 1374 18.44% 15.95% 65.61%-1.07 -6.4 8
1940-03-10 Young Fellows Zurich W 3-031.4 1381 1323 66.60% 15.93% 17.47%+1.15 +18.7 12
1940-03-10 @ Luzern L 0-331.4 1323 1381 17.47% 15.93% 66.60%-1.15 -18.7 6
1940-03-10 St. Gallen W 8-229.9 1322 1175 73.12% 15.71% 11.17%+1.82 +16.1 10
1940-03-10 @ Nordstern Basel L 2-829.9 1175 1322 11.17% 15.71% 73.12%-1.82 -16.1 7
1940-03-17 Young Boys D 1-160.6 1486 1377 70.63% 15.81% 13.55%+1.54 -4.8 18
1940-03-17 @ Grenchen D 1-160.6 1377 1486 13.55% 15.81% 70.63%-1.54 +4.8 14
1940-03-17 Biel-Bienne W 6-025.9 1388 1203 75.26% 15.60% 9.15%+2.11 +19.4 11
1940-03-17 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds L 0-625.9 1203 1388 9.15% 15.60% 75.26%-2.11 -19.4 6
1940-03-17 Servette L 0-444.2 1413 1641 31.53% 15.98% 52.49%-0.98 -41.3 11
1940-03-17 @ Lausanne-Sport W 4-044.2 1641 1413 52.49% 15.98% 31.53%+0.98 +41.3 27
1940-03-17 Nordstern Basel L 0-252.0 1471 1338 72.23% 15.75% 12.01%+1.72 -46.5 14
1940-03-17 @ Lugano W 2-052.0 1338 1471 12.01% 15.75% 72.23%-1.72 +46.5 12
1940-03-17 Grasshopper L 0-143.9 1305 1495 36.53% 16.03% 47.45%-0.69 -13.1 6
1940-03-17 @ Young Fellows Zurich W 1-043.9 1495 1305 47.45% 16.03% 36.53%+0.69 +13.1 16
1940-03-24 Young Fellows Zurich L 1-353.6 1384 1292 69.47% 15.85% 14.68%+1.42 -38.7 12
1940-03-24 @ Nordstern Basel W 3-153.6 1292 1384 14.68% 15.85% 69.47%-1.42 +38.7 8
1940-03-24 Young Boys W 5-136.3 1424 1382 65.24% 15.95% 18.81%+1.04 +21.8 16
1940-03-24 @ Lugano L 1-536.3 1382 1424 18.81% 15.95% 65.24%-1.04 -21.8 14
1940-03-31 Lausanne-Sport L 0-434.4 1183 1372 36.74% 16.03% 47.23%-0.68 -47.1 6
1940-03-31 @ Biel-Bienne W 4-034.4 1372 1183 47.23% 16.03% 36.74%+0.68 +47.1 13
1940-03-31 Luzern L 1-243.0 1159 1399 29.95% 15.96% 54.09%-1.07 -10.4 7
1940-03-31 @ St. Gallen W 2-143.0 1399 1159 54.09% 15.96% 29.95%+1.07 +10.4 14
1940-04-07 Young Fellows Zurich D 0-052.3 1136 1330 35.98% 16.02% 48.00%-0.72 +1.0 7
1940-04-07 @ Biel-Bienne D 0-052.3 1330 1136 48.00% 16.02% 35.98%+0.72 -1.0 9
1940-04-07 Young Boys W 2-035.3 1508 1360 73.15% 15.71% 11.14%+1.83 +8.4 18
1940-04-07 @ Grasshopper L 0-235.3 1360 1508 11.14% 15.71% 73.15%-1.83 -8.5 14
1940-04-07 Nordstern Basel W 4-136.6 1408 1346 67.00% 15.92% 17.08%+1.19 +15.4 13
1940-04-07 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds L 1-436.6 1346 1408 17.08% 15.92% 67.00%-1.19 -15.4 12
1940-04-07 Lausanne-Sport W 2-038.0 1446 1419 63.84% 15.98% 20.18%+0.93 +14.7 18
1940-04-07 @ Lugano L 0-238.0 1419 1446 20.18% 15.98% 63.84%-0.93 -14.7 13
1940-04-07 Grenchen L 0-346.2 1410 1481 52.83% 16.07% 31.10%+0.19 -49.5 14
1940-04-07 @ Luzern W 3-046.2 1481 1410 31.10% 16.07% 52.83%-0.19 +49.5 20
1940-04-07 St. Gallen W 2-137.5 1682 1148 84.72% 13.90% 1.38%+4.71 +0.5 29
1940-04-07 @ Servette L 1-237.5 1148 1682 1.38% 13.90% 84.72%-4.71 -0.5 7
1940-04-14 St. Gallen W 3-133.4 1531 1148 82.08% 14.76% 3.17%+3.58 +2.1 22
1940-04-14 @ Grenchen L 1-333.4 1148 1531 3.17% 14.76% 82.08%-3.58 -2.1 7
1940-04-14 Grasshopper D 1-162.4 1404 1516 47.48% 16.07% 36.45%-0.11 -0.9 14
1940-04-14 @ Lausanne-Sport D 1-162.4 1516 1404 36.45% 16.07% 47.48%+0.11 +0.9 19
1940-04-14 Servette D 1-167.0 1360 1683 20.92% 15.78% 63.30%-1.68 +3.5 15
1940-04-14 @ Luzern D 1-167.0 1683 1360 63.30% 15.78% 20.92%+1.68 -3.5 30
1940-04-14 Biel-Bienne W 4-025.6 1330 1137 75.64% 15.57% 8.79%+2.17 +12.8 14
1940-04-14 @ Nordstern Basel L 0-425.6 1137 1330 8.79% 15.57% 75.64%-2.17 -12.8 7
1940-04-14 Lugano W 4-143.6 1352 1461 47.97% 16.07% 35.96%-0.08 +29.9 16
1940-04-14 @ Young Boys L 1-443.6 1461 1352 35.96% 16.07% 47.97%+0.08 -29.9 18
1940-04-14 La Chaux-de-Fonds L 1-348.9 1329 1423 49.94% 16.07% 33.99%+0.02 -28.0 9
1940-04-14 @ Young Fellows Zurich W 3-148.9 1423 1329 33.99% 16.07% 49.94%-0.02 +28.0 15
1940-04-21 Young Fellows Zurich W 7-336.8 1403 1301 70.16% 15.83% 14.01%+1.49 +12.8 16
1940-04-21 @ Lausanne-Sport L 3-736.8 1301 1403 14.01% 15.83% 70.16%-1.49 -12.8 9
1940-04-28 Biel-Bienne W 2-135.2 1517 1124 82.29% 14.71% 3.00%+3.66 +1.2 21
1940-04-28 @ Grasshopper L 1-235.2 1124 1517 3.00% 14.71% 82.29%-3.66 -1.2 7
1940-04-28 Young Fellows Zurich W 3-030.2 1533 1288 77.92% 15.38% 6.69%+2.55 +7.5 24
1940-04-28 @ Grenchen L 0-330.2 1288 1533 6.69% 15.38% 77.92%-2.55 -7.5 9
1940-04-28 St. Gallen W 4-025.0 1416 1146 78.89% 15.28% 5.83%+2.75 +8.5 18
1940-04-28 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-425.0 1146 1416 5.83% 15.28% 78.89%-2.75 -8.5 7
1940-04-28 La Chaux-de-Fonds W 4-142.2 1431 1451 58.93% 16.04% 25.04%+0.57 +21.8 20
1940-04-28 @ Lugano L 1-442.2 1451 1431 25.04% 16.04% 58.93%-0.57 -21.8 15
1940-04-28 Nordstern Basel W 4-034.5 1679 1343 80.93% 14.99% 4.08%+3.24 +6.0 32
1940-04-28 @ Servette L 0-434.5 1343 1679 4.08% 14.99% 80.93%-3.24 -6.0 14
1940-04-28 Luzern W 6-134.5 1382 1364 62.99% 15.99% 21.02%+0.86 +29.5 18
1940-04-28 @ Young Boys L 1-634.5 1364 1382 21.02% 15.99% 62.99%-0.86 -29.5 15
1940-05-02 Lugano D 3-372.9 1518 1452 67.34% 15.91% 16.75%+1.22 -2.6 22
1940-05-02 @ Grasshopper D 3-372.9 1452 1518 16.75% 15.91% 67.34%-1.22 +2.6 21
1940-05-02 La Chaux-de-Fonds L 1-339.1 1137 1429 24.01% 15.86% 60.13%-1.46 -14.8 7
1940-05-02 @ St. Gallen W 3-139.1 1429 1137 60.13% 15.86% 24.01%+1.46 +14.8 17
1940-05-05 Lugano L 1-533.6 1123 1455 20.05% 15.76% 64.19%-1.75 -23.0 7
1940-05-05 @ Biel-Bienne W 5-133.6 1455 1123 64.19% 15.76% 20.05%+1.75 +23.0 23
1940-05-05 Grasshopper L 1-453.2 1444 1516 52.83% 16.07% 31.10%+0.19 -41.7 17
1940-05-05 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds W 4-153.2 1516 1444 31.10% 16.07% 52.83%-0.19 +41.7 24
1940-05-05 Lausanne-Sport W 2-146.3 1334 1425 50.38% 16.07% 33.55%+0.05 +11.5 17
1940-05-05 @ Luzern L 1-246.3 1425 1334 33.55% 16.07% 50.38%-0.05 -11.5 18
1940-05-05 Grenchen W 2-153.9 1337 1541 34.73% 16.01% 49.26%-0.79 +16.0 16
1940-05-05 @ Nordstern Basel L 1-253.9 1541 1337 49.26% 16.01% 34.73%+0.79 -16.0 24
1940-05-05 Young Boys L 0-234.5 1122 1411 24.35% 15.86% 59.79%-1.43 -17.3 7
1940-05-05 @ St. Gallen W 2-034.5 1411 1122 59.79% 15.86% 24.35%+1.43 +17.3 20
1940-05-05 Servette L 1-246.2 1281 1685 14.12% 15.54% 70.34%-2.29 -5.2 9
1940-05-05 @ Young Fellows Zurich W 2-146.2 1685 1281 70.34% 15.54% 14.12%+2.29 +5.2 34
1940-06-09 Luzern D 2-260.2 1100 1346 29.36% 15.95% 54.69%-1.11 +1.5 8
1940-06-09 @ Biel-Bienne D 2-260.2 1346 1100 54.69% 15.95% 29.36%+1.11 -1.5 18
1940-06-09 Grenchen L 0-356.5 1558 1525 64.42% 15.97% 19.62%+0.97 -60.0 24
1940-06-09 @ Grasshopper W 3-056.5 1525 1558 19.62% 15.97% 64.42%-0.97 +60.0 26
1940-06-09 St. Gallen L 1-257.5 1402 1105 79.79% 15.17% 5.04%+2.95 -25.9 17
1940-06-09 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds W 2-157.5 1105 1402 5.04% 15.17% 79.79%-2.95 +25.9 9
1940-06-09 Nordstern Basel W 3-032.3 1413 1353 66.86% 15.92% 17.22%+1.18 +18.4 20
1940-06-09 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-332.3 1353 1413 17.22% 15.92% 66.86%-1.18 -18.4 16
1940-06-09 Servette L 2-363.6 1478 1691 33.51% 16.00% 50.49%-0.86 -10.9 23
1940-06-09 @ Lugano W 3-263.6 1691 1478 50.49% 16.00% 33.51%+0.86 +10.9 36
1940-06-09 Young Fellows Zurich D 0-054.0 1429 1276 73.48% 15.70% 10.82%+1.87 -6.0 21
1940-06-09 @ Young Boys D 0-054.0 1276 1429 10.82% 15.70% 73.48%-1.87 +6.0 10
1940-06-16 Lugano W 4-144.6 1585 1467 71.22% 15.79% 12.99%+1.60 +12.0 28
1940-06-16 @ Grenchen L 1-444.6 1467 1585 12.99% 15.79% 71.22%-1.60 -12.0 23
1940-06-16 Luzern W 3-032.3 1377 1344 64.35% 15.97% 19.68%+0.97 +20.8 19
1940-06-16 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds L 0-332.3 1344 1377 19.68% 15.97% 64.35%-0.97 -20.8 18
1940-06-16 Young Boys L 0-147.3 1335 1423 50.70% 16.07% 33.22%+0.07 -17.4 16
1940-06-16 @ Nordstern Basel W 1-047.3 1423 1335 33.22% 16.07% 50.70%-0.07 +17.4 23
1940-06-16 Grasshopper W 1-047.9 1702 1498 76.17% 15.53% 8.30%+2.25 +3.4 38
1940-06-16 @ Servette L 0-147.9 1498 1702 8.30% 15.53% 76.17%-2.25 -3.4 24
1940-06-16 Biel-Bienne W 6-235.5 1131 1102 64.05% 15.97% 19.98%+0.94 +19.5 11
1940-06-16 @ St. Gallen L 2-635.5 1102 1131 19.98% 15.97% 64.05%-0.94 -19.5 8
1940-06-16 Lausanne-Sport L 1-443.6 1282 1432 42.14% 16.06% 41.80%-0.39 -34.2 10
1940-06-16 @ Young Fellows Zurich W 4-143.6 1432 1282 41.80% 16.06% 42.14%+0.39 +34.2 22
1940-06-23 Luzern L 3-471.9 1597 1323 78.98% 15.27% 5.75%+2.76 -23.7 28
1940-06-23 @ Grenchen W 4-371.9 1323 1597 5.75% 15.27% 78.98%-2.76 +23.7 20
1940-06-23 Lugano W 1-042.9 1466 1455 62.25% 16.00% 21.75%+0.81 +8.3 24
1940-06-23 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-142.9 1455 1466 21.75% 16.00% 62.25%-0.81 -8.3 23
1940-06-23 La Chaux-de-Fonds D 0-054.0 1317 1397 51.73% 16.07% 32.20%+0.13 -1.7 17
1940-06-23 @ Nordstern Basel D 0-054.0 1397 1317 32.20% 16.07% 51.73%-0.13 +1.7 20
1940-06-23 Servette L 0-429.4 1150 1705 6.51% 14.91% 78.58%-3.41 -9.4 11
1940-06-23 @ St. Gallen W 4-029.4 1705 1150 78.58% 14.91% 6.51%+3.41 +9.4 40
1940-06-23 Grasshopper W 2-042.9 1440 1494 55.02% 16.06% 28.92%+0.32 +20.2 25
1940-06-23 @ Young Boys L 0-242.9 1494 1440 28.92% 16.06% 55.02%-0.32 -20.2 24
1940-06-23 Biel-Bienne W 4-025.8 1248 1082 74.17% 15.66% 10.17%+1.96 +14.7 12
1940-06-23 @ Young Fellows Zurich L 0-425.8 1082 1248 10.17% 15.66% 74.17%-1.96 -14.7 8
1940-06-29 Young Fellows Zurich W 4-240.2 1399 1262 72.50% 15.74% 11.76%+1.75 +6.9 22
1940-06-29 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds L 2-440.2 1262 1399 11.76% 15.74% 72.50%-1.75 -6.9 12
1940-06-29 Grenchen W 3-261.6 1141 1573 12.32% 15.44% 72.24%-2.50 +22.0 13
1940-06-29 @ St. Gallen L 2-361.6 1573 1141 72.24% 15.44% 12.32%+2.50 -22.0 28
1940-06-30 Nordstern Basel W 1-045.9 1068 1316 29.06% 15.95% 54.99%-1.12 +18.7 10
1940-06-30 @ Biel-Bienne L 0-145.9 1316 1068 54.99% 15.95% 29.06%+1.12 -18.8 17
1940-06-30 Lausanne-Sport D 0-060.0 1474 1474 61.11% 16.01% 22.88%+0.72 -3.5 25
1940-06-30 @ Grasshopper D 0-060.0 1474 1474 22.88% 16.01% 61.11%-0.72 +3.5 25
1940-06-30 Biel-Bienne W 3-025.5 1447 1086 81.55% 14.87% 3.58%+3.42 +4.0 25
1940-06-30 @ Lugano L 0-325.5 1086 1447 3.58% 14.87% 81.55%-3.42 -4.0 10
1940-06-30 Luzern W 4-035.7 1714 1347 81.71% 14.84% 3.45%+3.47 +5.1 42
1940-06-30 @ Servette L 0-435.7 1347 1714 3.45% 14.84% 81.71%-3.47 -5.1 20

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1940-06-09 5.04% St. Gallen 1105 2 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds 1402 1
2 1940-06-23 5.75% Luzern 1323 4 @ Grenchen 1597 3
3 1939-10-22 8.05% Nordstern Basel 1309 1 @ Grasshopper 1519 0
4 1940-03-17 12.01% Nordstern Basel 1338 2 @ Lugano 1471 0
5 1940-06-29 12.32% @ St. Gallen 1141 3 Grenchen 1573 2
6 1939-07-21 14.32% Biel-Bienne 1287 3 @ Luzern 1385 2
7 1940-03-24 14.68% Young Fellows Zurich 1292 3 @ Nordstern Basel 1384 1
8 1939-11-19 18.35% Nordstern Basel 1335 3 @ Young Fellows Zurich 1382 2
9 1939-07-13 19.42% Young Boys 1377 1 @ Young Fellows Zurich 1412 0
10 1940-06-09 19.62% Grenchen 1525 3 @ Grasshopper 1558 0
11 1939-07-21 23.04% Servette 1540 2 @ Grasshopper 1539 1
12 1939-12-17 25.93% Grenchen 1462 1 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds 1433 0
13 1939-12-10 27.98% Grenchen 1442 1 @ Young Boys 1396 0
14 1940-06-30 29.06% @ Biel-Bienne 1068 1 Nordstern Basel 1316 0
15 1939-12-10 29.19% Lugano 1419 2 @ Nordstern Basel 1363 0
16 1939-07-14 30.76% Lausanne-Sport 1408 3 @ Nordstern Basel 1339 1
17 1940-04-07 31.10% Grenchen 1481 3 @ Luzern 1410 0
18 1940-05-05 31.10% Grasshopper 1516 4 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds 1444 1
19 1940-06-16 33.22% Young Boys 1423 1 @ Nordstern Basel 1335 0
20 1939-07-13 33.97% @ St. Gallen 1215 2 Lausanne-Sport 1424 1
21 1940-04-14 33.99% La Chaux-de-Fonds 1423 3 @ Young Fellows Zurich 1329 1
22 1940-02-04 34.40% Lugano 1439 2 @ Young Fellows Zurich 1342 0
23 1940-05-05 34.73% @ Nordstern Basel 1337 2 Grenchen 1541 1
24 1939-12-10 35.98% La Chaux-de-Fonds 1374 4 @ Biel-Bienne 1265 0
25 1939-11-19 37.99% @ St. Gallen 1210 3 Lugano 1390 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1940-06-09 60.00 Grenchen 3 1525 19.62% @ Grasshopper 0 1558 64.42% 15.97%
2 1939-12-10 59.20 La Chaux-de-Fonds 4 1374 35.98% @ Biel-Bienne 0 1265 47.95% 16.07%
3 1939-07-14 56.38 Grasshopper 8 1471 38.57% @ Biel-Bienne 2 1344 45.36% 16.07%
4 1940-04-07 49.49 Grenchen 3 1481 31.10% @ Luzern 0 1410 52.83% 16.07%
5 1940-03-31 47.13 Lausanne-Sport 4 1372 47.23% @ Biel-Bienne 0 1183 36.74% 16.03%
6 1940-03-17 46.54 Nordstern Basel 2 1338 12.01% @ Lugano 0 1471 72.23% 15.75%
7 1939-07-07 43.34 @ Servette 7 1461 65.67% Lugano 0 1414 18.38% 15.94%
8 1940-05-05 41.74 Grasshopper 4 1516 31.10% @ La Chaux-de-Fonds 1 1444 52.83% 16.07%
9 1940-03-17 41.31 Servette 4 1641 52.49% @ Lausanne-Sport 0 1413 31.53% 15.98%
10 1939-07-07 41.02 @ Young Boys 4 1336 52.69% Nordstern Basel 0 1409 31.24% 16.07%
11 1940-03-24 38.67 Young Fellows Zurich 3 1292 14.68% @ Nordstern Basel 1 1384 69.47% 15.85%
12 1939-12-10 35.23 Lugano 2 1419 29.19% @ Nordstern Basel 0 1363 54.75% 16.06%
13 1940-06-16 34.17 Lausanne-Sport 4 1432 41.80% @ Young Fellows Zurich 1 1282 42.14% 16.06%
14 1940-02-04 32.13 Lugano 2 1439 34.40% @ Young Fellows Zurich 0 1342 49.53% 16.07%
15 1940-04-14 29.88 @ Young Boys 4 1352 47.97% Lugano 1 1461 35.96% 16.07%
16 1939-07-14 29.69 Lausanne-Sport 3 1408 30.76% @ Nordstern Basel 1 1339 53.17% 16.07%
17 1940-04-28 29.49 @ Young Boys 6 1382 62.99% Luzern 1 1364 21.02% 15.99%
18 1939-07-13 29.02 Servette 2 1504 39.81% @ Nordstern Basel 0 1368 44.13% 16.07%
19 1940-04-14 28.03 La Chaux-de-Fonds 3 1423 33.99% @ Young Fellows Zurich 1 1329 49.94% 16.07%
20 1940-01-14 26.96 Servette 4 1602 52.08% @ Young Boys 1 1377 31.94% 15.98%
21 1939-10-22 26.22 Nordstern Basel 1 1309 8.05% @ Grasshopper 0 1519 76.44% 15.51%
22 1940-06-09 25.85 St. Gallen 2 1105 5.04% @ La Chaux-de-Fonds 1 1402 79.79% 15.17%
23 1939-12-03 25.00 @ Lugano 2 1394 46.93% Grasshopper 0 1511 37.00% 16.07%
24 1939-12-10 24.20 @ Luzern 5 1326 70.36% St. Gallen 0 1221 13.81% 15.82%
25 1940-01-14 24.08 @ Luzern 2 1350 48.52% Lugano 0 1455 35.41% 16.07%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1940-05-02 72.9 @ Grasshopper 3 1518 67.34% Lugano 3 1452 16.75% 15.91%
2 1940-06-23 71.9 Luzern 4 1323 5.75% @ Grenchen 3 1597 78.98% 15.27%
3 1940-04-14 67.0 @ Luzern 1 1360 20.92% Servette 1 1683 63.30% 15.78%
4 1940-02-18 66.5 @ Servette 0 1647 74.28% Grenchen 0 1480 10.06% 15.65%
5 1940-02-04 66.0 @ Lausanne-Sport 2 1415 53.77% Grenchen 2 1479 30.17% 16.07%
6 1939-07-07 64.6 @ Young Fellows Zurich 2 1414 59.39% Grenchen 2 1431 24.57% 16.03%
7 1939-07-21 64.5 Servette 2 1540 23.04% @ Grasshopper 1 1539 60.94% 16.02%
8 1940-01-14 64.0 @ Nordstern Basel 2 1328 39.73% Grasshopper 2 1495 44.23% 16.05%
9 1940-06-09 63.6 Servette 3 1691 50.49% @ Lugano 2 1478 33.51% 16.00%
10 1939-12-03 63.1 Servette 3 1584 38.53% @ Grenchen 2 1457 45.40% 16.07%
11 1940-04-14 62.4 @ Lausanne-Sport 1 1404 47.48% Grasshopper 1 1516 36.45% 16.07%
12 1940-06-29 61.6 @ St. Gallen 3 1141 12.32% Grenchen 2 1573 72.24% 15.44%
13 1940-03-17 60.6 @ Grenchen 1 1486 70.63% Young Boys 1 1377 13.55% 15.81%
14 1939-07-21 60.4 Biel-Bienne 3 1287 14.32% @ Luzern 2 1385 69.84% 15.84%
15 1940-06-09 60.2 @ Biel-Bienne 2 1100 29.36% Luzern 2 1346 54.69% 15.95%
16 1940-06-30 60.0 @ Grasshopper 0 1474 61.11% Lausanne-Sport 0 1474 22.88% 16.01%
17 1939-11-19 59.8 Nordstern Basel 3 1335 18.35% @ Young Fellows Zurich 2 1382 65.70% 15.94%
18 1939-11-26 57.8 @ Grenchen 0 1461 64.96% Lausanne-Sport 0 1422 19.09% 15.96%
19 1940-06-09 57.5 St. Gallen 2 1105 5.04% @ La Chaux-de-Fonds 1 1402 79.79% 15.17%
20 1939-07-06 57.1 @ St. Gallen 1 1226 29.57% Grasshopper 1 1469 54.47% 15.95%
21 1940-01-14 57.1 @ Biel-Bienne 1 1206 25.86% Grenchen 1 1481 58.25% 15.89%
22 1940-01-14 56.6 @ Lausanne-Sport 0 1429 62.77% La Chaux-de-Fonds 0 1413 21.23% 15.99%
23 1940-06-09 56.5 Grenchen 3 1525 19.62% @ Grasshopper 0 1558 64.42% 15.97%
24 1939-10-22 56.4 Nordstern Basel 1 1309 8.05% @ Grasshopper 0 1519 76.44% 15.51%
25 1939-10-22 56.2 @ St. Gallen 1 1210 38.88% Young Fellows Zurich 1 1383 45.07% 16.04%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1940-04-28 25.0 @ Lausanne-Sport 4 1416 78.89% St. Gallen 0 1146 5.83% 15.28%
2 1940-06-30 25.5 @ Lugano 3 1447 81.55% Biel-Bienne 0 1086 3.58% 14.87%
3 1940-04-14 25.6 @ Nordstern Basel 4 1330 75.64% Biel-Bienne 0 1137 8.79% 15.57%
4 1940-06-23 25.8 @ Young Fellows Zurich 4 1248 74.17% Biel-Bienne 0 1082 10.17% 15.66%
5 1940-03-17 25.9 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds 6 1388 75.26% Biel-Bienne 0 1203 9.15% 15.60%
6 1939-07-14 26.4 @ Young Boys 6 1399 74.34% St. Gallen 0 1231 10.01% 15.65%
7 1939-12-10 26.9 @ Luzern 5 1326 70.36% St. Gallen 0 1221 13.81% 15.82%
8 1940-01-21 27.3 @ Lugano 3 1431 77.49% St. Gallen 0 1197 7.09% 15.43%
9 1940-01-21 27.7 @ Servette 7 1629 82.86% Biel-Bienne 0 1209 2.58% 14.56%
10 1940-03-03 28.4 @ Young Fellows Zurich 3 1309 71.44% St. Gallen 0 1189 12.77% 15.79%
11 1940-06-23 29.4 Servette 4 1705 78.58% @ St. Gallen 0 1150 6.51% 14.91%
12 1939-11-26 29.9 @ Young Boys 3 1403 71.16% Biel-Bienne 0 1287 13.04% 15.80%
13 1940-03-10 29.9 @ Nordstern Basel 8 1322 73.12% St. Gallen 2 1175 11.17% 15.71%
14 1940-04-28 30.2 @ Grenchen 3 1533 77.92% Young Fellows Zurich 0 1288 6.69% 15.38%
15 1939-10-22 30.4 @ Grenchen 3 1448 72.67% Biel-Bienne 0 1308 11.60% 15.73%
16 1940-03-10 31.4 @ Luzern 3 1381 66.60% Young Fellows Zurich 0 1323 17.47% 15.93%
17 1939-07-27 32.2 @ Grenchen 3 1431 68.43% La Chaux-de-Fonds 0 1352 15.69% 15.88%
18 1940-06-09 32.3 @ Lausanne-Sport 3 1413 66.86% Nordstern Basel 0 1353 17.22% 15.92%
19 1940-06-16 32.3 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds 3 1377 64.35% Luzern 0 1344 19.68% 15.97%
20 1939-07-06 33.0 @ Luzern 3 1372 62.56% Young Boys 0 1359 21.45% 16.00%
21 1940-04-14 33.4 @ Grenchen 3 1531 82.08% St. Gallen 1 1148 3.17% 14.76%
22 1939-07-07 33.6 @ Biel-Bienne 4 1331 70.24% St. Gallen 1 1227 13.94% 15.83%
23 1940-05-05 33.6 Lugano 5 1455 64.19% @ Biel-Bienne 1 1123 20.05% 15.76%
24 1939-07-07 33.9 @ Servette 7 1461 65.67% Lugano 0 1414 18.38% 15.94%
25 1940-03-31 34.4 Lausanne-Sport 4 1372 47.23% @ Biel-Bienne 0 1183 36.74% 16.03%