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1940-41 Nationalliga Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Lugano

37 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Lugano

7.68 points above expected

37 points · 29.32 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

La Chaux-de-Fonds

5.19 points below expected

12 points · 17.19 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Lugano 22 17 3 2 37 57 16 +41 29.32 +7.68
2 Young Boys 22 15 5 2 35 50 9 +41 30.84 +4.16
3 Servette 22 15 3 4 33 55 27 +28 31.01 +1.99
4 Grasshopper 22 13 3 6 29 46 31 +15 26.51 +2.49
5 Lausanne-Sport 22 11 2 9 24 34 17 +17 24.96 -0.96
6 Grenchen 22 8 8 6 24 36 28 +8 27.14 -3.14
7 Nordstern Basel 22 6 4 12 16 30 57 -27 18.97 -2.97
8 Young Fellows Zurich 22 5 5 12 15 27 36 -9 17.92 -2.92
9 Biel-Bienne 22 5 4 13 14 23 48 -25 13.05 +0.95
10 Luzern 22 5 4 13 14 26 52 -26 16.11 -2.11
11 La Chaux-de-Fonds 22 5 2 15 12 35 54 -19 17.19 -5.19
12 St. Gallen 22 5 1 16 11 26 70 -44 10.98 +0.02

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lugano 37 29.32 +7.68
2 Young Boys 35 30.84 +4.16
3 Grasshopper 29 26.51 +2.49
4 Servette 33 31.01 +1.99
5 Biel-Bienne 14 13.05 +0.95

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 La Chaux-de-Fonds 12 17.19 -5.19
2 Grenchen 24 27.14 -3.14
3 Nordstern Basel 16 18.97 -2.97
4 Young Fellows Zurich 15 17.92 -2.92
5 Luzern 14 16.11 -2.11

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lugano 12 Dec 15 – May 25 1 in 375
2 St. Gallen 3 May 4 – May 18 1 in 315
3 Servette 9 Mar 23 – Jun 8 1 in 53
4 Young Boys 6 Sep 29 – Dec 1 1 in 23
5 Lausanne-Sport 4 Sep 29 – Nov 3 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Grenchen 2 May 11 – May 18 1 in 34
2 Lausanne-Sport 3 Dec 22 – Feb 2 1 in 31
3 Nordstern Basel 5 Mar 30 – May 18 1 in 22
4 St. Gallen 8 Dec 15 – Apr 27 1 in 15
5 La Chaux-de-Fonds 4 Nov 3 – Dec 8 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lugano 18 Oct 20 – Jun 15 1 in 143
2 Grasshopper 8 Oct 13 – Dec 29 1 in 30
3 St. Gallen 3 May 4 – May 18 1 in 26
4 Grenchen 9 Nov 17 – Apr 6 1 in 17
5 Young Boys 13 Dec 22 – Jun 15 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Nordstern Basel 11 Mar 16 – Jun 15 1 in 93
2 Servette 5 Dec 1 – Mar 16 1 in 23
3 Grenchen 5 May 11 – Jun 15 1 in 19
4 Luzern 10 Oct 20 – Apr 6 1 in 19
5 La Chaux-de-Fonds 8 Apr 27 – Jun 15 1 in 18

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Lugano 1816 37 +20 8 7.5 +0.5
Young Boys 1813 35 +16 8 7.1 +0.9
Servette 1794 33 +76 10 7.4 +2.6
Grasshopper 1644 29 +18 8 6.2 +1.8
Lausanne-Sport 1706 24 +43 4 4.5 -0.5
Grenchen 1636 24 -54 1 4.7 -3.7
Nordstern Basel 1363 16 -76 2 4.6 -2.6
Young Fellows Zurich 1457 15 -39 0 2.3 -2.3
Luzern 1417 14 +30 6 5.2 +0.8
Biel-Bienne 1369 14 -20 4 4.1 -0.1
La Chaux-de-Fonds 1453 12 -28 3 4.9 -1.9
St. Gallen 1339 11 +100 8 2.7 +5.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BIE GRA GRE LC LAU LUG LUZ NB SER SG YB YFZ
Biel-Bienne —
0-0-2
1.32
0-1-1
1.06
2-0-0
2.04
0-0-2
1.07
0-0-2
1.07
0-1-1
2.58
1-0-1
1.87
0-0-2
0.82
1-0-1
3.18
0-1-1
0.86
1-1-0
1.85
Grasshopper
2-0-0
4.34
—
1-1-0
2.54
2-0-0
3.93
1-0-1
2.97
0-0-2
2.48
2-0-0
4.11
1-1-0
3.60
0-1-1
1.94
2-0-0
4.28
0-0-2
2.26
2-0-0
3.78
Grenchen
1-1-0
4.60
0-1-1
3.10
—
1-1-0
4.26
0-0-2
3.47
0-1-1
2.27
1-1-0
4.43
2-0-0
3.90
1-0-1
2.22
1-0-1
4.88
0-2-0
2.00
1-1-0
3.96
La Chaux-de-Fonds
0-0-2
3.61
0-0-2
1.72
0-1-1
1.39
—
1-0-1
1.72
0-0-2
1.42
1-0-1
2.90
0-1-1
3.33
0-0-2
1.20
1-0-1
3.93
0-0-2
0.90
2-0-0
2.35
Lausanne-Sport
2-0-0
4.59
1-0-1
2.68
2-0-0
2.17
1-0-1
3.93
—
0-0-2
2.12
1-0-1
3.97
1-0-1
3.28
0-1-1
2.05
2-0-0
4.46
0-0-2
1.98
1-1-0
3.77
Lugano
2-0-0
4.59
2-0-0
3.16
1-1-0
3.38
2-0-0
4.23
2-0-0
3.53
—
1-0-1
4.48
1-1-0
4.19
1-0-1
2.40
2-0-0
5.05
1-1-0
2.59
2-0-0
4.26
Luzern
1-1-0
3.07
0-0-2
1.55
0-1-1
1.23
1-0-1
2.75
1-0-1
1.68
1-0-1
1.18
—
1-0-1
2.11
0-0-2
0.92
0-1-1
3.67
0-1-1
1.10
0-0-2
2.74
Nordstern Basel
1-0-1
3.78
0-1-1
2.05
0-0-2
1.75
1-1-0
2.31
1-0-1
2.37
0-1-1
1.48
1-0-1
3.54
—
1-0-1
1.16
1-0-1
3.93
0-0-2
1.25
0-1-1
3.18
Servette
2-0-0
4.85
1-1-0
3.71
1-0-1
3.43
2-0-0
4.45
1-1-0
3.60
1-0-1
3.25
2-0-0
4.74
1-0-1
4.50
—
2-0-0
4.80
1-0-1
3.07
1-1-0
4.48
St. Gallen
1-0-1
2.47
0-0-2
1.37
1-0-1
0.79
1-0-1
1.72
0-0-2
1.20
0-0-2
0.63
1-1-0
1.98
1-0-1
1.73
0-0-2
0.87
—
0-0-2
1.04
0-0-2
1.53
Young Boys
1-1-0
4.81
2-0-0
3.39
0-2-0
3.65
2-0-0
4.76
2-0-0
3.66
0-1-1
3.05
1-1-0
4.57
2-0-0
4.41
1-0-1
2.58
2-0-0
4.62
—
2-0-0
4.51
Young Fellows Zurich
0-1-1
3.80
0-0-2
1.87
0-1-1
1.69
0-0-2
3.30
0-1-1
1.88
0-0-2
1.40
2-0-0
2.91
1-1-0
2.47
0-1-1
1.18
2-0-0
4.12
0-0-2
1.15
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.87 +7.5
Allowed 0.76 -4.4
Differential 0.93 +3.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%8.71%3.41%4.17%2.65%2.65%27.65%
18.71%6.82%5.30%4.17%2.65%3.41%31.06%
23.41%5.30%3.03%1.52%0.76%1.89%15.91%
34.17%4.17%1.52%0.76%—0.38%10.98%
42.65%2.65%0.76%———6.06%
5+2.65%3.41%1.89%0.38%——8.33%
Total27.65%31.06%15.91%10.98%6.06%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.69 +0.00
SD 1.73 1.73 2.68
CV 1.03 1.03 —
Max 9 9 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%18.18%4.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%50.00%
14.55%4.55%—9.09%—4.55%22.73%
2—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total13.64%40.91%9.09%13.64%4.55%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 2.18 -1.14
SD 1.43 1.94 2.53
CV 1.37 0.89 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%——4.55%4.55%13.64%
113.64%13.64%9.09%——4.55%40.91%
2—9.09%————9.09%
34.55%9.09%————13.64%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+4.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
Total22.73%50.00%13.64%—4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 1.41 +0.68
SD 1.77 1.47 2.68
CV 0.85 1.04 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
14.55%18.18%13.64%4.55%——40.91%
2—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
313.64%4.55%—4.55%——22.73%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total22.73%40.91%22.73%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.27 +0.36
SD 1.14 0.98 1.65
CV 0.69 0.77 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
19.09%4.55%13.64%13.64%9.09%—50.00%
2————4.55%—4.55%
3—4.55%—4.55%—4.55%13.64%
4———————
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total13.64%18.18%22.73%22.73%18.18%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 2.45 -0.86
SD 1.84 1.97 2.75
CV 1.16 0.80 —
Max 7 9 +7
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%31.82%9.09%———50.00%
113.64%—————13.64%
2—9.09%————9.09%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
Total36.36%50.00%13.64%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 0.77 +0.77
SD 2.09 0.69 2.20
CV 1.35 0.89 —
Max 7 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
113.64%9.09%————22.73%
29.09%13.64%—4.55%4.55%—31.82%
39.09%9.09%————18.18%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+4.55%9.09%————13.64%
Total50.00%40.91%—4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.59 0.73 +1.86
SD 1.74 1.03 2.03
CV 0.67 1.42 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%—13.64%4.55%4.55%40.91%
14.55%——13.64%—4.55%22.73%
24.55%—9.09%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total22.73%9.09%18.18%31.82%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 2.36 -1.18
SD 1.33 1.84 2.38
CV 1.13 0.78 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%9.09%—9.09%27.27%
113.64%18.18%4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%54.55%
2—————4.55%4.55%
3——4.55%———4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total18.18%22.73%13.64%18.18%9.09%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 2.59 -1.23
SD 1.97 2.30 3.19
CV 1.44 0.89 —
Max 9 8 +6
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%—4.55%—18.18%
19.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
24.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
3—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+4.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
Total27.27%31.82%36.36%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 1.23 +1.27
SD 2.13 1.02 2.55
CV 0.85 0.83 —
Max 8 4 +8
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%—4.55%9.09%4.55%31.82%
14.55%—4.55%—9.09%22.73%40.91%
2—4.55%—4.55%—4.55%13.64%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+———————
Total9.09%22.73%9.09%9.09%18.18%31.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 3.18 -2.00
SD 1.22 2.11 2.65
CV 1.03 0.66 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%4.55%————22.73%
19.09%4.55%————13.64%
218.18%——4.55%——22.73%
39.09%4.55%————13.64%
44.55%9.09%————13.64%
5+9.09%4.55%————13.64%
Total68.18%27.27%—4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 0.41 +1.86
SD 1.83 0.73 1.91
CV 0.81 1.79 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%9.09%9.09%——36.36%
14.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
24.55%—9.09%——4.55%18.18%
34.55%—————4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total27.27%18.18%31.82%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.64 -0.41
SD 1.38 1.40 2.13
CV 1.12 0.85 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Lugano 1816 37 29.32 +7.68 100.0% 22 22 27 29 32 35 37
Young Boys 1813 35 30.84 +4.16 92.0% 21 25 29 31 33 36 39
Servette 1794 33 31.01 +1.99 76.0% 22 25 28 31 33 36 39
Lausanne-Sport 1706 24 24.96 -0.96 48.0% 16 18 22 25 28 32 36
Grasshopper 1644 29 26.51 +2.49 77.0% 17 19 23 27 29 33 35
Grenchen 1636 24 27.14 -3.14 19.0% 16 21 25 27 29 33 37
Young Fellows Zurich 1457 15 17.92 -2.92 24.0% 10 11 16 18 20 25 28
La Chaux-de-Fonds 1453 12 17.19 -5.19 9.0% 3 11 15 17 20 24 27
Luzern 1417 14 16.11 -2.11 35.0% 6 9 14 16 18 22 24
Biel-Bienne 1369 14 13.05 +0.95 61.0% 3 7 10 13 16 18 23
Nordstern Basel 1363 16 18.97 -2.97 24.0% 10 13 17 19 21 24 31
St. Gallen 1339 11 10.98 +0.02 58.0% 3 5 9 11 14 17 19

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 15% * Slight Edge: 15% to 22.5% * Clear Edge: 22.5% to 26.5% * Strong Edge: 26.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+3.03%
No Edge
43.18%16.67%40.15%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 10.53 Elo pts.
147 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.33 goals
Neutral
-2+0.07+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.2
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
20%
Lugano, 3rd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Tight Race
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.98 * Some Luck: 2.98 to 4.47 * Lucky: 4.47 to 5.96 * Wild Swing: 5.96 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.04 * Close: 1.04 to 1.56 * Off: 1.56 to 2.09 * Way Off: 2.09 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.50 points
Some Luck
03.739
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.303
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Lugano
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
9.00%
La Chaux-de-Fonds
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 76% * Wide Edge: 76% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 94.5% * Dominant: 94.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51% * Some Drama: 51% to 55.5% * Frequent: 55.5% to 59.5% * Very Frequent: 59.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18% * Occasional: 18% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 27% * Very Frequent: 27% and up.
Gini Index
0.23
Lopsided
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 186.82
2.23
Wide Separation
11.651.852.052.75
Interquartile Edge
87%
Wide Edge
50%63%71%76%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
94%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
48%
Few
0%42%100%
Blowouts
Expected
36%
Very Frequent
0%35%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21% * As Expected: 21% to 23.5% * Upset-Prone: 23.5% to 26% * Very Upset-Prone: 26% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17.5% * As Expected: 17.5% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 22.5% * Very Shaky: 22.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.51
Highly Predictable
00.542
Matchup Imbalance
0.45
Notable Separation
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.93
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.68
Strong Carryover
00.420.631
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Solid Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.70
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.18
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.097
Well Within Noise
00.1380.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Lugano20.00%26.00%23.00%11.00%10.00%10.00%——————
Young Boys33.00%29.00%19.00%9.00%7.00%2.00%——1.00%———
Servette28.00%26.00%20.00%14.00%11.00%1.00%——————
Grasshopper6.00%9.00%16.00%14.00%25.00%19.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%——
Lausanne-Sport3.00%5.00%7.00%21.00%16.00%25.00%13.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%—
Grenchen9.00%5.00%14.00%27.00%22.00%18.00%3.00%1.00%—1.00%——
Nordstern Basel1.00%——1.00%4.00%8.00%22.00%32.00%17.00%8.00%6.00%1.00%
Young Fellows Zurich——1.00%1.00%4.00%6.00%27.00%21.00%14.00%14.00%8.00%4.00%
Biel-Bienne—————2.00%2.00%5.00%15.00%24.00%28.00%24.00%
Luzern—————3.00%11.00%15.00%19.00%26.00%15.00%11.00%
La Chaux-de-Fonds———2.00%1.00%6.00%14.00%16.00%27.00%15.00%15.00%4.00%
St. Gallen——————2.00%1.00%4.00%10.00%27.00%56.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Biel-Bienne 100%
Grasshopper 100%
Grenchen 100%
La Chaux-de-Fonds 100%
Lausanne-Sport 100%
Lugano 100%
Luzern 100%
Nordstern Basel 100%
Servette 100%
St. Gallen 100%
Young Boys 100%
Young Fellows Zurich 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1940-09-08 Young Fellows Zurich D 0-056.8 1369 1497 26.92% 17.56% 55.52%-0.80 +2.3 1
1940-09-08 @ Biel-Bienne D 0-056.8 1497 1369 55.52% 17.56% 26.92%+0.80 -2.3 1
1940-09-08 Grenchen D 1-172.7 1618 1666 37.29% 17.67% 45.04%-0.25 +0.5 1
1940-09-08 @ Grasshopper D 1-172.7 1666 1618 45.04% 17.67% 37.29%+0.25 -0.5 1
1940-09-08 Lausanne-Sport L 0-155.0 1539 1623 32.31% 17.63% 50.06%-0.50 -10.7 0
1940-09-08 @ Luzern W 1-055.0 1623 1539 50.06% 17.63% 32.31%+0.50 +10.7 2
1940-09-08 La Chaux-de-Fonds W 9-355.4 1515 1581 34.74% 17.65% 47.61%-0.38 +47.7 2
1940-09-08 @ Nordstern Basel L 3-955.4 1581 1515 47.61% 17.65% 34.74%+0.38 -47.7 0
1940-09-08 Lugano W 4-260.6 1760 1604 62.76% 17.42% 19.82%+1.13 +10.2 2
1940-09-08 @ Servette L 2-460.6 1604 1760 19.82% 17.42% 62.76%-1.13 -10.2 0
1940-09-08 St. Gallen W 4-146.2 1612 1425 65.56% 17.32% 17.12%+1.34 +14.1 2
1940-09-08 @ Young Boys L 1-446.2 1425 1612 17.12% 17.32% 65.56%-1.34 -14.1 0
1940-09-15 Grasshopper W 2-163.2 1594 1619 40.45% 17.67% 41.87%-0.10 +12.5 2
1940-09-15 @ Lugano L 1-263.2 1619 1594 41.87% 17.67% 40.45%+0.10 -12.5 1
1940-09-22 Biel-Bienne D 1-166.4 1665 1371 73.11% 16.86% 10.03%+2.07 -4.9 2
1940-09-22 @ Grenchen D 1-166.4 1371 1665 10.03% 16.86% 73.11%-2.07 +4.9 2
1940-09-22 Nordstern Basel L 0-162.2 1634 1563 53.46% 17.61% 28.93%+0.56 -16.5 2
1940-09-22 @ Lausanne-Sport W 1-062.2 1563 1634 28.93% 17.61% 53.46%-0.56 +16.5 4
1940-09-22 La Chaux-de-Fonds W 4-260.3 1410 1533 27.55% 17.57% 54.88%-0.76 +24.7 2
1940-09-22 @ St. Gallen L 2-460.3 1533 1410 54.88% 17.57% 27.55%+0.76 -24.7 0
1940-09-22 Servette L 2-364.9 1626 1771 25.04% 17.52% 57.44%-0.91 -7.7 2
1940-09-22 @ Young Boys W 3-264.9 1771 1626 57.44% 17.52% 25.04%+0.91 +7.7 4
1940-09-22 Luzern W 4-047.8 1495 1528 39.24% 17.67% 43.09%-0.16 +48.8 3
1940-09-22 @ Young Fellows Zurich L 0-447.8 1528 1495 43.09% 17.67% 39.24%+0.16 -48.8 0
1940-09-29 Lugano L 1-346.3 1376 1606 16.83% 17.26% 65.90%-1.49 -9.8 2
1940-09-29 @ Biel-Bienne W 3-146.3 1606 1376 65.90% 17.26% 16.83%+1.49 +9.8 4
1940-09-29 Young Boys L 0-453.6 1606 1618 42.33% 17.68% 39.99%-0.01 -48.1 1
1940-09-29 @ Grasshopper W 4-053.6 1618 1606 39.99% 17.68% 42.33%+0.01 +48.1 4
1940-09-29 Lausanne-Sport L 0-153.1 1509 1618 29.22% 17.59% 53.19%-0.67 -9.8 0
1940-09-29 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds W 1-053.1 1618 1509 53.19% 17.59% 29.22%+0.67 +9.8 4
1940-09-29 Grenchen L 1-353.1 1479 1660 21.29% 17.43% 61.28%-1.16 -12.2 0
1940-09-29 @ Luzern W 3-153.1 1660 1479 61.28% 17.43% 21.29%+1.16 +12.2 4
1940-09-29 Young Fellows Zurich L 0-256.5 1579 1544 48.86% 17.65% 33.48%+0.31 -28.7 4
1940-09-29 @ Nordstern Basel W 2-056.5 1544 1579 33.48% 17.65% 48.86%-0.31 +28.7 5
1940-09-29 St. Gallen W 6-249.1 1778 1435 75.65% 16.59% 7.76%+2.40 +7.3 6
1940-09-29 @ Servette L 2-649.1 1435 1778 7.76% 16.59% 75.65%-2.40 -7.3 2
1940-10-13 Nordstern Basel W 3-049.2 1672 1550 59.27% 17.51% 23.22%+0.90 +22.0 6
1940-10-13 @ Grenchen L 0-349.2 1550 1672 23.22% 17.51% 59.27%-0.90 -22.0 4
1940-10-13 Luzern L 2-370.0 1616 1467 62.07% 17.44% 20.48%+1.08 -17.0 4
1940-10-13 @ Lugano W 3-270.0 1467 1616 20.48% 17.44% 62.07%-1.08 +17.0 2
1940-10-13 Grasshopper D 1-173.5 1786 1558 68.79% 17.17% 14.04%+1.62 -4.1 7
1940-10-13 @ Servette D 1-173.5 1558 1786 14.04% 17.17% 68.79%-1.62 +4.1 2
1940-10-13 Lausanne-Sport L 1-251.8 1428 1627 19.51% 17.37% 63.12%-1.28 -6.5 2
1940-10-13 @ St. Gallen W 2-151.8 1627 1428 63.12% 17.37% 19.51%+1.28 +6.5 6
1940-10-13 Biel-Bienne W 5-037.3 1666 1366 73.45% 16.83% 9.72%+2.11 +15.9 6
1940-10-13 @ Young Boys L 0-537.3 1366 1666 9.72% 16.83% 73.45%-2.11 -15.9 2
1940-10-13 La Chaux-de-Fonds L 0-158.6 1572 1499 53.72% 17.61% 28.67%+0.57 -16.6 5
1940-10-13 @ Young Fellows Zurich W 1-058.6 1499 1572 28.67% 17.61% 53.72%-0.57 +16.6 2
1940-10-20 Servette L 0-145.9 1350 1781 6.03% 16.21% 77.76%-2.86 -2.2 2
1940-10-20 @ Biel-Bienne W 1-045.9 1781 1350 77.76% 16.21% 6.03%+2.86 +2.2 9
1940-10-20 St. Gallen W 4-145.6 1562 1421 61.26% 17.47% 21.27%+1.03 +17.2 4
1940-10-20 @ Grasshopper L 1-445.6 1421 1562 21.27% 17.47% 61.26%-1.03 -17.2 2
1940-10-20 Grenchen D 3-379.8 1515 1694 21.46% 17.43% 61.10%-1.14 +1.8 3
1940-10-20 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds D 3-379.8 1694 1515 61.10% 17.43% 21.46%+1.14 -1.8 7
1940-10-20 Young Fellows Zurich W 2-158.5 1634 1556 54.28% 17.60% 28.12%+0.60 +9.0 8
1940-10-20 @ Lausanne-Sport L 1-258.5 1556 1634 28.12% 17.60% 54.28%-0.60 -9.0 5
1940-10-20 Young Boys L 0-644.7 1484 1682 19.68% 17.38% 62.94%-1.27 -36.4 2
1940-10-20 @ Luzern W 6-044.7 1682 1484 62.94% 17.38% 19.68%+1.27 +36.3 8
1940-10-20 Lugano L 1-750.5 1528 1599 34.08% 17.65% 48.27%-0.41 -48.5 4
1940-10-20 @ Nordstern Basel W 7-150.5 1599 1528 48.27% 17.65% 34.08%+0.41 +48.5 6
1940-11-03 Biel-Bienne W 3-143.4 1580 1348 69.09% 17.15% 13.76%+1.64 +8.2 6
1940-11-03 @ Grasshopper L 1-343.4 1348 1580 13.76% 17.15% 69.09%-1.64 -8.2 2
1940-11-03 Lausanne-Sport L 0-163.6 1693 1643 50.72% 17.64% 31.64%+0.41 -15.7 7
1940-11-03 @ Grenchen W 1-063.6 1643 1693 31.64% 17.64% 50.72%-0.41 +15.7 10
1940-11-03 La Chaux-de-Fonds W 4-046.2 1648 1517 60.20% 17.49% 22.31%+0.96 +27.8 8
1940-11-03 @ Lugano L 0-446.2 1517 1648 22.31% 17.49% 60.20%-0.96 -27.8 3
1940-11-03 Luzern W 5-147.1 1784 1448 75.30% 16.64% 8.06%+2.35 +8.9 11
1940-11-03 @ Servette L 1-547.1 1448 1784 8.06% 16.64% 75.30%-2.35 -9.0 2
1940-11-03 Young Fellows Zurich L 0-145.6 1404 1547 25.29% 17.53% 57.18%-0.90 -8.7 2
1940-11-03 @ St. Gallen W 1-045.6 1547 1404 57.18% 17.53% 25.29%+0.90 +8.7 7
1940-11-03 Nordstern Basel W 4-150.0 1718 1480 69.58% 17.13% 13.29%+1.69 +11.2 10
1940-11-03 @ Young Boys L 1-450.0 1480 1718 13.29% 17.13% 69.58%-1.69 -11.2 4
1940-11-17 St. Gallen W 5-144.2 1340 1395 36.15% 17.66% 46.19%-0.31 +43.1 4
1940-11-17 @ Biel-Bienne L 1-544.2 1395 1340 46.19% 17.66% 36.15%+0.31 -43.1 2
1940-11-17 Grasshopper L 1-350.4 1439 1588 24.61% 17.51% 57.88%-0.94 -13.8 2
1940-11-17 @ Luzern W 3-150.4 1588 1439 57.88% 17.51% 24.61%+0.94 +13.8 8
1940-11-17 Servette W 4-063.1 1469 1793 10.56% 16.85% 72.60%-2.13 +80.0 6
1940-11-17 @ Nordstern Basel L 0-463.1 1793 1469 72.60% 16.85% 10.56%+2.13 -80.0 11
1940-11-17 Grenchen D 2-276.3 1555 1677 27.72% 17.57% 54.71%-0.75 +1.4 8
1940-11-17 @ Young Fellows Zurich D 2-276.3 1677 1555 54.71% 17.57% 27.72%+0.75 -1.4 8
1940-11-24 Luzern D 2-263.1 1383 1425 38.02% 17.67% 44.31%-0.21 +0.3 5
1940-11-24 @ Biel-Bienne D 2-263.1 1425 1383 44.31% 17.67% 38.02%+0.21 -0.3 3
1940-11-24 Nordstern Basel D 1-169.9 1602 1549 51.11% 17.64% 31.25%+0.43 -1.4 9
1940-11-24 @ Grasshopper D 1-169.9 1549 1602 31.25% 17.64% 51.11%-0.43 +1.4 7
1940-11-24 Young Fellows Zurich W 3-049.5 1676 1557 58.93% 17.52% 23.54%+0.88 +22.3 10
1940-11-24 @ Lugano L 0-349.5 1557 1676 23.54% 17.52% 58.93%-0.88 -22.3 8
1940-11-24 La Chaux-de-Fonds W 2-154.6 1713 1489 68.48% 17.19% 14.33%+1.59 +4.9 13
1940-11-24 @ Servette L 1-254.6 1489 1713 14.33% 17.19% 68.48%-1.59 -4.9 3
1940-11-24 Grenchen L 0-339.4 1352 1675 10.60% 16.85% 72.55%-2.12 -10.7 2
1940-11-24 @ St. Gallen W 3-039.4 1675 1352 72.55% 16.85% 10.60%+2.12 +10.7 10
1940-11-24 Lausanne-Sport W 2-055.2 1729 1659 53.40% 17.61% 28.99%+0.55 +18.4 12
1940-11-24 @ Young Boys L 0-255.2 1659 1729 28.99% 17.61% 53.40%-0.55 -18.4 10
1940-12-01 Lugano D 1-173.7 1686 1698 42.32% 17.68% 40.00%-0.01 -0.2 11
1940-12-01 @ Grenchen D 1-173.7 1698 1686 40.00% 17.68% 42.32%+0.01 +0.2 11
1940-12-01 Grasshopper L 1-451.4 1484 1600 28.40% 17.58% 54.02%-0.71 -22.2 3
1940-12-01 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds W 4-151.4 1600 1484 54.02% 17.58% 28.40%+0.71 +22.2 11
1940-12-01 Servette D 0-070.1 1640 1717 33.22% 17.64% 49.14%-0.45 +1.2 11
1940-12-01 @ Lausanne-Sport D 0-070.1 1717 1640 49.14% 17.64% 33.22%+0.45 -1.2 14
1940-12-01 St. Gallen D 0-054.3 1425 1342 54.88% 17.59% 27.52%+0.64 -2.2 4
1940-12-01 @ Luzern D 0-054.3 1342 1425 27.52% 17.59% 54.88%-0.64 +2.2 3
1940-12-01 Biel-Bienne W 1-043.0 1550 1383 63.76% 17.39% 18.85%+1.20 +6.7 9
1940-12-01 @ Nordstern Basel L 0-143.0 1383 1550 18.85% 17.39% 63.76%-1.20 -6.7 5
1940-12-01 Young Boys L 0-348.7 1535 1748 18.27% 17.32% 64.41%-1.38 -17.8 8
1940-12-01 @ Young Fellows Zurich W 3-048.7 1748 1535 64.41% 17.32% 18.27%+1.38 +17.8 14
1940-12-08 La Chaux-de-Fonds W 3-151.7 1377 1462 32.16% 17.63% 50.21%-0.51 +25.5 7
1940-12-08 @ Biel-Bienne L 1-351.7 1462 1377 50.21% 17.63% 32.16%+0.51 -25.4 3
1940-12-08 Nordstern Basel L 0-147.0 1423 1557 26.23% 17.55% 56.23%-0.84 -9.0 4
1940-12-08 @ Luzern W 1-047.0 1557 1423 56.23% 17.55% 26.23%+0.84 +9.0 11
1940-12-15 Servette W 2-165.9 1686 1716 39.67% 17.67% 42.65%-0.13 +12.8 13
1940-12-15 @ Grenchen L 1-265.9 1716 1686 42.65% 17.67% 39.67%+0.13 -12.8 14
1940-12-15 Biel-Bienne W 5-143.4 1641 1402 69.64% 17.12% 13.24%+1.70 +14.4 13
1940-12-15 @ Lausanne-Sport L 1-543.4 1402 1641 13.24% 17.12% 69.64%-1.70 -14.4 7
1940-12-15 Young Boys W 1-063.7 1698 1766 34.51% 17.65% 47.84%-0.39 +14.9 13
1940-12-15 @ Lugano L 0-163.7 1766 1698 47.84% 17.65% 34.51%+0.39 -14.9 14
1940-12-15 St. Gallen W 3-249.3 1566 1344 68.39% 17.19% 14.42%+1.58 +4.7 13
1940-12-15 @ Nordstern Basel L 2-349.3 1344 1566 14.42% 17.19% 68.39%-1.58 -4.7 3
1940-12-15 Grasshopper L 1-257.7 1517 1622 29.63% 17.60% 52.77%-0.65 -9.4 8
1940-12-15 @ Young Fellows Zurich W 2-157.7 1622 1517 52.77% 17.60% 29.63%+0.65 +9.4 13
1940-12-22 Lugano L 0-159.5 1656 1713 35.92% 17.66% 46.42%-0.32 -11.7 13
1940-12-22 @ Lausanne-Sport W 1-059.5 1713 1656 46.42% 17.66% 35.92%+0.32 +11.7 15
1940-12-22 Young Fellows Zurich D 2-276.0 1703 1507 66.34% 17.29% 16.37%+1.40 -2.8 15
1940-12-22 @ Servette D 2-276.0 1507 1703 16.37% 17.29% 66.34%-1.40 +2.8 9
1940-12-22 Grenchen D 1-174.1 1751 1699 51.03% 17.64% 31.33%+0.43 -1.4 15
1940-12-22 @ Young Boys D 1-174.1 1699 1751 31.33% 17.64% 51.03%-0.43 +1.4 14
1940-12-29 Lausanne-Sport W 1-059.7 1632 1644 42.25% 17.68% 40.08%-0.01 +12.8 15
1940-12-29 @ Grasshopper L 0-159.7 1644 1632 40.08% 17.68% 42.25%+0.01 -12.8 13
1940-12-29 St. Gallen W 4-037.8 1725 1339 77.46% 16.34% 6.20%+2.69 +8.3 17
1940-12-29 @ Lugano L 0-437.8 1339 1725 6.20% 16.34% 77.46%-2.69 -8.3 3
1941-02-02 La Chaux-de-Fonds L 0-162.2 1631 1437 66.19% 17.30% 16.52%+1.39 -20.3 13
1941-02-02 @ Lausanne-Sport W 1-062.2 1437 1631 16.52% 17.30% 66.19%-1.39 +20.3 5
1941-02-23 Servette W 2-057.0 1733 1701 48.43% 17.66% 33.91%+0.29 +21.1 19
1941-02-23 @ Lugano L 0-257.0 1701 1733 33.91% 17.66% 48.43%-0.29 -21.1 15
1941-02-23 Young Boys L 1-542.4 1331 1749 6.45% 16.29% 77.26%-2.77 -7.2 3
1941-02-23 @ St. Gallen W 5-142.4 1749 1331 77.26% 16.29% 6.45%+2.77 +7.2 17
1941-03-02 Biel-Bienne L 1-454.0 1510 1388 59.33% 17.51% 23.16%+0.90 -42.1 9
1941-03-02 @ Young Fellows Zurich W 4-154.0 1388 1510 23.16% 17.51% 59.33%-0.90 +42.1 9
1941-03-16 Grenchen L 0-344.0 1430 1700 13.85% 17.10% 69.05%-1.76 -13.8 9
1941-03-16 @ Biel-Bienne W 3-044.0 1700 1430 69.05% 17.10% 13.85%+1.76 +13.8 16
1941-03-16 Lugano L 1-261.8 1645 1754 29.15% 17.59% 53.26%-0.67 -9.2 15
1941-03-16 @ Grasshopper W 2-161.8 1754 1645 53.26% 17.59% 29.15%+0.67 +9.2 21
1941-03-16 Young Fellows Zurich L 0-342.2 1414 1468 36.31% 17.66% 46.03%-0.30 -32.4 4
1941-03-16 @ Luzern W 3-042.2 1468 1414 46.03% 17.66% 36.31%+0.30 +32.4 11
1941-03-16 Lausanne-Sport L 1-359.4 1570 1611 38.26% 17.67% 44.07%-0.20 -20.2 13
1941-03-16 @ Nordstern Basel W 3-159.4 1611 1570 44.07% 17.67% 38.26%+0.20 +20.2 15
1941-03-16 Young Boys L 0-256.8 1680 1757 33.28% 17.64% 49.08%-0.45 -20.7 15
1941-03-16 @ Servette W 2-056.8 1757 1680 49.08% 17.64% 33.28%+0.45 +20.7 19
1941-03-23 Luzern D 2-273.0 1714 1381 75.15% 16.65% 8.20%+2.33 -3.9 17
1941-03-23 @ Grenchen D 2-273.0 1381 1714 8.20% 16.65% 75.15%-2.33 +3.9 5
1941-03-23 Biel-Bienne W 5-041.2 1763 1416 75.84% 16.57% 7.59%+2.43 +12.5 23
1941-03-23 @ Lugano L 0-541.2 1416 1763 7.59% 16.57% 75.84%-2.43 -12.5 9
1941-03-23 Servette L 0-142.0 1324 1659 9.96% 16.79% 73.25%-2.21 -3.7 3
1941-03-23 @ St. Gallen W 1-042.0 1659 1324 73.25% 16.79% 9.96%+2.21 +3.7 17
1941-03-23 Grasshopper W 1-055.3 1777 1635 61.36% 17.46% 21.17%+1.04 +7.4 21
1941-03-23 @ Young Boys L 0-155.3 1635 1777 21.17% 17.46% 61.36%-1.04 -7.4 15
1941-03-23 Nordstern Basel D 1-166.7 1500 1550 36.93% 17.66% 45.40%-0.27 +0.6 12
1941-03-23 @ Young Fellows Zurich D 1-166.7 1550 1500 45.40% 17.66% 36.93%+0.27 -0.6 14
1941-03-30 Young Boys D 0-067.8 1404 1785 7.85% 16.53% 75.62%-2.52 +5.9 10
1941-03-30 @ Biel-Bienne D 0-067.8 1785 1404 75.62% 16.53% 7.85%+2.52 -5.9 22
1941-03-30 Servette L 1-557.7 1628 1663 39.05% 17.67% 43.28%-0.16 -37.5 15
1941-03-30 @ Grasshopper W 5-157.7 1663 1628 43.28% 17.67% 39.05%+0.16 +37.5 19
1941-03-30 Young Fellows Zurich W 3-153.8 1457 1501 37.76% 17.67% 44.57%-0.23 +22.9 7
1941-03-30 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds L 1-353.8 1501 1457 44.57% 17.67% 37.76%+0.23 -22.9 12
1941-03-30 St. Gallen W 4-034.7 1631 1320 74.05% 16.77% 9.17%+2.18 +12.2 17
1941-03-30 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-434.7 1320 1631 9.17% 16.77% 74.05%-2.18 -12.2 3
1941-03-30 Lugano L 0-342.7 1385 1776 7.47% 16.47% 76.07%-2.58 -7.6 5
1941-03-30 @ Luzern W 3-042.7 1776 1385 76.07% 16.47% 7.47%+2.58 +7.6 25
1941-03-30 Grenchen L 1-258.5 1550 1710 23.38% 17.49% 59.13%-1.02 -7.6 14
1941-03-30 @ Nordstern Basel W 2-158.5 1710 1550 59.13% 17.49% 23.38%+1.02 +7.6 19
1941-04-05 Grasshopper L 1-538.1 1308 1590 13.02% 17.05% 69.93%-1.85 -14.1 3
1941-04-05 @ St. Gallen W 5-138.1 1590 1308 69.93% 17.05% 13.02%+1.85 +14.1 17
1941-04-06 La Chaux-de-Fonds W 4-150.0 1718 1480 69.52% 17.13% 13.35%+1.69 +11.2 21
1941-04-06 @ Grenchen L 1-450.0 1480 1718 13.35% 17.13% 69.52%-1.69 -11.2 7
1941-04-06 Biel-Bienne W 4-040.7 1700 1410 72.92% 16.88% 10.20%+2.05 +13.5 21
1941-04-06 @ Servette L 0-440.7 1410 1700 10.20% 16.88% 72.92%-2.05 -13.5 10
1941-04-06 Luzern D 0-067.1 1779 1378 78.06% 16.23% 5.71%+2.80 -6.3 23
1941-04-06 @ Young Boys D 0-067.1 1378 1779 5.71% 16.23% 78.06%-2.80 +6.3 6
1941-04-06 Lausanne-Sport D 0-065.7 1478 1643 22.87% 17.47% 59.65%-1.05 +3.0 13
1941-04-06 @ Young Fellows Zurich D 0-065.7 1643 1478 59.65% 17.47% 22.87%+1.05 -3.0 18
1941-04-13 Luzern L 0-161.9 1640 1384 70.81% 17.05% 12.14%+1.81 -21.8 18
1941-04-13 @ Lausanne-Sport W 1-061.9 1384 1640 12.14% 17.05% 70.81%-1.81 +21.8 8
1941-04-13 St. Gallen W 7-031.9 1469 1294 64.52% 17.36% 18.12%+1.26 +39.1 9
1941-04-13 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds L 0-731.9 1294 1469 18.12% 17.36% 64.52%-1.26 -39.1 3
1941-04-27 Grasshopper L 0-145.4 1396 1605 18.70% 17.34% 63.96%-1.34 -6.6 10
1941-04-27 @ Biel-Bienne W 1-045.4 1605 1396 63.96% 17.34% 18.70%+1.34 +6.6 19
1941-04-27 Lugano L 1-255.9 1508 1783 13.49% 17.08% 69.43%-1.80 -4.6 9
1941-04-27 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds W 2-155.9 1783 1508 69.43% 17.08% 13.49%+1.80 +4.6 27
1941-04-27 Grenchen W 3-060.1 1618 1729 29.04% 17.59% 53.37%-0.68 +45.1 20
1941-04-27 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-360.1 1729 1618 53.37% 17.59% 29.04%+0.68 -45.1 21
1941-04-27 Servette L 2-355.8 1406 1714 11.46% 16.93% 71.62%-2.02 -3.8 8
1941-04-27 @ Luzern W 3-255.8 1714 1406 71.62% 16.93% 11.46%+2.02 +3.8 23
1941-04-27 Young Boys L 0-348.6 1542 1772 16.84% 17.26% 65.90%-1.49 -16.5 14
1941-04-27 @ Nordstern Basel W 3-048.6 1772 1542 65.90% 17.26% 16.84%+1.49 +16.5 25
1941-04-27 St. Gallen W 5-134.5 1481 1255 68.72% 17.17% 14.10%+1.61 +15.3 15
1941-04-27 @ Young Fellows Zurich L 1-534.5 1255 1481 14.10% 17.17% 68.72%-1.61 -15.3 3
1941-05-04 Young Boys L 1-353.7 1503 1789 12.82% 17.03% 70.15%-1.87 -7.6 9
1941-05-04 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds W 3-153.7 1789 1503 70.15% 17.03% 12.82%+1.87 +7.6 27
1941-05-04 Luzern W 3-040.4 1611 1402 67.40% 17.24% 15.36%+1.49 +15.2 21
1941-05-04 @ Grasshopper L 0-340.4 1402 1611 15.36% 17.24% 67.40%-1.49 -15.2 8
1941-05-04 Young Fellows Zurich W 1-050.8 1684 1496 65.59% 17.32% 17.09%+1.34 +6.1 23
1941-05-04 @ Grenchen L 0-150.8 1496 1684 17.09% 17.32% 65.59%-1.34 -6.1 15
1941-05-04 Lausanne-Sport W 1-056.1 1788 1664 59.56% 17.51% 22.94%+0.92 +8.0 29
1941-05-04 @ Lugano L 0-156.1 1664 1788 22.94% 17.51% 59.56%-0.92 -8.0 20
1941-05-04 Nordstern Basel W 8-046.2 1717 1526 65.96% 17.31% 16.73%+1.37 +41.3 25
1941-05-04 @ Servette L 0-846.2 1526 1717 16.73% 17.31% 65.96%-1.37 -41.3 14
1941-05-04 Biel-Bienne W 1-048.4 1239 1389 24.47% 17.51% 58.02%-0.95 +17.8 5
1941-05-04 @ St. Gallen L 0-148.4 1389 1239 58.02% 17.51% 24.47%+0.95 -17.8 10
1941-05-11 St. Gallen L 1-265.3 1690 1257 79.15% 16.02% 4.83%+3.01 -23.0 23
1941-05-11 @ Grenchen W 2-165.3 1257 1690 4.83% 16.02% 79.15%-3.01 +23.0 7
1941-05-11 Servette L 1-353.6 1496 1759 14.36% 17.13% 68.51%-1.71 -8.5 9
1941-05-11 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds W 3-153.6 1759 1496 68.51% 17.13% 14.36%+1.71 +8.5 27
1941-05-11 Young Boys L 0-156.9 1656 1797 25.46% 17.53% 57.01%-0.89 -8.7 20
1941-05-11 @ Lausanne-Sport W 1-056.9 1797 1656 57.01% 17.53% 25.46%+0.89 +8.7 29
1941-05-11 Biel-Bienne W 2-041.2 1387 1372 46.11% 17.67% 36.22%+0.17 +22.3 10
1941-05-11 @ Luzern L 0-241.2 1372 1387 36.22% 17.67% 46.11%-0.17 -22.3 10
1941-05-11 Grasshopper L 0-644.9 1484 1626 25.35% 17.53% 57.12%-0.89 -45.5 14
1941-05-11 @ Nordstern Basel W 6-044.9 1626 1484 57.12% 17.53% 25.35%+0.89 +45.5 23
1941-05-11 Lugano L 0-248.7 1490 1796 11.58% 16.94% 71.48%-2.01 -8.0 15
1941-05-11 @ Young Fellows Zurich W 2-048.7 1796 1490 71.48% 16.94% 11.58%+2.01 +8.0 31
1941-05-18 Nordstern Basel W 1-048.5 1349 1439 31.65% 17.62% 50.72%-0.54 +15.7 12
1941-05-18 @ Biel-Bienne L 0-148.5 1439 1349 50.72% 17.62% 31.65%+0.54 -15.7 14
1941-05-18 La Chaux-de-Fonds W 1-050.3 1672 1487 65.36% 17.33% 17.30%+1.33 +6.2 25
1941-05-18 @ Grasshopper L 0-150.3 1487 1672 17.30% 17.33% 65.36%-1.33 -6.2 9
1941-05-18 Grenchen W 3-157.9 1804 1667 60.88% 17.48% 21.64%+1.00 +12.3 33
1941-05-18 @ Lugano L 1-357.9 1667 1804 21.64% 17.48% 60.88%-1.00 -12.3 23
1941-05-18 Lausanne-Sport W 2-053.7 1767 1647 59.10% 17.52% 23.38%+0.89 +15.3 29
1941-05-18 @ Servette L 0-253.7 1647 1767 23.38% 17.52% 59.10%-0.89 -15.3 20
1941-05-18 Luzern W 3-150.4 1280 1409 26.86% 17.56% 55.59%-0.80 +28.0 9
1941-05-18 @ St. Gallen L 1-350.4 1409 1280 55.59% 17.56% 26.86%+0.80 -28.0 10
1941-05-18 Young Fellows Zurich W 2-047.8 1805 1482 74.68% 16.71% 8.62%+2.27 +6.0 31
1941-05-18 @ Young Boys L 0-247.8 1482 1805 8.62% 16.71% 74.68%-2.27 -6.0 15
1941-05-22 Nordstern Basel D 1-161.4 1481 1423 51.77% 17.63% 30.60%+0.47 -1.5 10
1941-05-22 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds D 1-161.4 1423 1481 30.60% 17.63% 51.77%-0.47 +1.5 15
1941-05-25 Young Boys D 0-070.8 1654 1811 23.72% 17.49% 58.78%-0.99 +2.8 24
1941-05-25 @ Grenchen D 0-070.8 1811 1654 58.78% 17.49% 23.72%+0.99 -2.8 32
1941-05-25 Biel-Bienne L 1-256.3 1480 1365 58.47% 17.53% 24.00%+0.85 -16.9 10
1941-05-25 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds W 2-156.3 1365 1480 24.00% 17.53% 58.47%-0.85 +16.9 14
1941-05-25 Grasshopper W 5-055.1 1632 1678 37.39% 17.67% 44.94%-0.24 +62.3 22
1941-05-25 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-555.1 1678 1632 44.94% 17.67% 37.39%+0.24 -62.3 25
1941-05-25 Luzern L 2-551.8 1425 1381 49.91% 17.65% 32.44%+0.37 -31.0 15
1941-05-25 @ Nordstern Basel W 5-251.8 1381 1425 32.44% 17.65% 49.91%-0.37 +31.0 12
1941-05-25 Lugano L 1-641.6 1308 1816 4.00% 15.67% 80.33%-3.38 -5.4 9
1941-05-25 @ St. Gallen W 6-141.6 1816 1308 80.33% 15.67% 4.00%+3.38 +5.4 35
1941-05-25 Servette L 1-254.7 1476 1782 11.56% 16.94% 71.51%-2.01 -4.0 15
1941-05-25 @ Young Fellows Zurich W 2-154.7 1782 1476 71.51% 16.94% 11.56%+2.01 +4.0 31
1941-06-08 Lausanne-Sport L 2-744.3 1382 1694 11.23% 16.91% 71.87%-2.05 -12.6 14
1941-06-08 @ Biel-Bienne W 7-244.3 1694 1382 71.87% 16.91% 11.23%+2.05 +12.6 24
1941-06-08 Young Fellows Zurich W 5-252.5 1616 1472 61.52% 17.46% 21.02%+1.05 +14.8 27
1941-06-08 @ Grasshopper L 2-552.5 1472 1616 21.02% 17.46% 61.52%-1.05 -14.8 15
1941-06-08 La Chaux-de-Fonds W 3-044.7 1412 1463 36.85% 17.66% 45.49%-0.27 +39.1 14
1941-06-08 @ Luzern L 0-344.7 1463 1412 45.49% 17.66% 36.85%+0.27 -39.1 10
1941-06-08 Grenchen W 2-160.0 1786 1657 60.04% 17.50% 22.46%+0.95 +7.4 33
1941-06-08 @ Servette L 1-260.0 1657 1786 22.46% 17.50% 60.04%-0.95 -7.4 24
1941-06-08 Nordstern Basel W 4-147.0 1303 1394 31.48% 17.62% 50.90%-0.55 +36.4 11
1941-06-08 @ St. Gallen L 1-447.0 1394 1303 50.90% 17.62% 31.48%+0.55 -36.4 15
1941-06-08 Lugano D 0-071.2 1808 1822 42.11% 17.68% 40.21%-0.02 -0.1 33
1941-06-08 @ Young Boys D 0-071.2 1822 1808 40.21% 17.68% 42.11%+0.02 +0.1 36
1941-06-15 Grasshopper L 1-265.8 1650 1630 46.68% 17.67% 35.65%+0.20 -13.8 24
1941-06-15 @ Grenchen W 2-165.8 1630 1650 35.65% 17.67% 46.68%-0.20 +13.8 29
1941-06-15 Nordstern Basel D 1-171.2 1822 1357 80.14% 15.79% 4.06%+3.23 -6.0 37
1941-06-15 @ Lugano D 1-171.2 1357 1822 4.06% 15.79% 80.14%-3.23 +6.0 16
1941-06-15 La Chaux-de-Fonds W 2-046.0 1808 1423 77.44% 16.34% 6.22%+2.69 +4.4 35
1941-06-15 @ Young Boys L 0-246.0 1423 1808 6.22% 16.34% 77.44%-2.69 -4.4 10
1941-06-22 Luzern W 6-248.8 1419 1451 39.42% 17.67% 42.91%-0.15 +34.4 12
1941-06-22 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds L 2-648.8 1451 1419 42.91% 17.67% 39.42%+0.15 -34.4 14

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1941-05-11 4.83% St. Gallen 1257 2 @ Grenchen 1690 1
2 1940-11-17 10.56% @ Nordstern Basel 1469 4 Servette 1793 0
3 1941-04-13 12.14% Luzern 1384 1 @ Lausanne-Sport 1640 0
4 1941-02-02 16.52% La Chaux-de-Fonds 1437 1 @ Lausanne-Sport 1631 0
5 1940-10-13 20.48% Luzern 1467 3 @ Lugano 1616 2
6 1941-03-02 23.16% Biel-Bienne 1388 4 @ Young Fellows Zurich 1510 1
7 1941-05-25 24.00% Biel-Bienne 1365 2 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds 1480 1
8 1941-05-04 24.47% @ St. Gallen 1239 1 Biel-Bienne 1389 0
9 1941-05-18 26.86% @ St. Gallen 1280 3 Luzern 1409 1
10 1940-09-22 27.55% @ St. Gallen 1410 4 La Chaux-de-Fonds 1533 2
11 1940-10-13 28.67% La Chaux-de-Fonds 1499 1 @ Young Fellows Zurich 1572 0
12 1940-09-22 28.93% Nordstern Basel 1563 1 @ Lausanne-Sport 1634 0
13 1941-04-27 29.04% @ Lausanne-Sport 1618 3 Grenchen 1729 0
14 1941-06-08 31.48% @ St. Gallen 1303 4 Nordstern Basel 1394 1
15 1940-11-03 31.64% Lausanne-Sport 1643 1 @ Grenchen 1693 0
16 1941-05-18 31.65% @ Biel-Bienne 1349 1 Nordstern Basel 1439 0
17 1940-12-08 32.16% @ Biel-Bienne 1377 3 La Chaux-de-Fonds 1462 1
18 1941-05-25 32.44% Luzern 1381 5 @ Nordstern Basel 1425 2
19 1940-09-29 33.48% Young Fellows Zurich 1544 2 @ Nordstern Basel 1579 0
20 1940-12-15 34.51% @ Lugano 1698 1 Young Boys 1766 0
21 1940-09-08 34.74% @ Nordstern Basel 1515 9 La Chaux-de-Fonds 1581 3
22 1941-06-15 35.65% Grasshopper 1630 2 @ Grenchen 1650 1
23 1940-11-17 36.15% @ Biel-Bienne 1340 5 St. Gallen 1395 1
24 1941-06-08 36.85% @ Luzern 1412 3 La Chaux-de-Fonds 1463 0
25 1941-05-25 37.39% @ Lausanne-Sport 1632 5 Grasshopper 1678 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1940-11-17 80.03 @ Nordstern Basel 4 1469 10.56% Servette 0 1793 72.60% 16.85%
2 1941-05-25 62.32 @ Lausanne-Sport 5 1632 37.39% Grasshopper 0 1678 44.94% 17.67%
3 1940-09-22 48.80 @ Young Fellows Zurich 4 1495 39.24% Luzern 0 1528 43.09% 17.67%
4 1940-10-20 48.47 Lugano 7 1599 48.27% @ Nordstern Basel 1 1528 34.08% 17.65%
5 1940-09-29 48.08 Young Boys 4 1618 39.99% @ Grasshopper 0 1606 42.33% 17.68%
6 1940-09-08 47.66 @ Nordstern Basel 9 1515 34.74% La Chaux-de-Fonds 3 1581 47.61% 17.65%
7 1941-05-11 45.55 Grasshopper 6 1626 57.12% @ Nordstern Basel 0 1484 25.35% 17.53%
8 1941-04-27 45.12 @ Lausanne-Sport 3 1618 29.04% Grenchen 0 1729 53.37% 17.59%
9 1940-11-17 43.15 @ Biel-Bienne 5 1340 36.15% St. Gallen 1 1395 46.19% 17.66%
10 1941-03-02 42.09 Biel-Bienne 4 1388 23.16% @ Young Fellows Zurich 1 1510 59.33% 17.51%
11 1941-05-04 41.27 @ Servette 8 1717 65.96% Nordstern Basel 0 1526 16.73% 17.31%
12 1941-06-08 39.12 @ Luzern 3 1412 36.85% La Chaux-de-Fonds 0 1463 45.49% 17.66%
13 1941-04-13 39.08 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds 7 1469 64.52% St. Gallen 0 1294 18.12% 17.36%
14 1941-03-30 37.48 Servette 5 1663 43.28% @ Grasshopper 1 1628 39.05% 17.67%
15 1941-06-08 36.43 @ St. Gallen 4 1303 31.48% Nordstern Basel 1 1394 50.90% 17.62%
16 1940-10-20 36.36 Young Boys 6 1682 62.94% @ Luzern 0 1484 19.68% 17.38%
17 1941-06-22 34.39 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds 6 1419 39.42% Luzern 2 1451 42.91% 17.67%
18 1941-03-16 32.40 Young Fellows Zurich 3 1468 46.03% @ Luzern 0 1414 36.31% 17.66%
19 1941-05-25 31.00 Luzern 5 1381 32.44% @ Nordstern Basel 2 1425 49.91% 17.65%
20 1940-09-29 28.68 Young Fellows Zurich 2 1544 33.48% @ Nordstern Basel 0 1579 48.86% 17.65%
21 1941-05-18 27.95 @ St. Gallen 3 1280 26.86% Luzern 1 1409 55.59% 17.56%
22 1940-11-03 27.80 @ Lugano 4 1648 60.20% La Chaux-de-Fonds 0 1517 22.31% 17.49%
23 1940-12-08 25.45 @ Biel-Bienne 3 1377 32.16% La Chaux-de-Fonds 1 1462 50.21% 17.63%
24 1940-09-22 24.70 @ St. Gallen 4 1410 27.55% La Chaux-de-Fonds 2 1533 54.88% 17.57%
25 1941-05-11 23.05 St. Gallen 2 1257 4.83% @ Grenchen 1 1690 79.15% 16.02%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1940-10-20 79.8 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds 3 1515 21.46% Grenchen 3 1694 61.10% 17.43%
2 1940-11-17 76.3 @ Young Fellows Zurich 2 1555 27.72% Grenchen 2 1677 54.71% 17.57%
3 1940-12-22 76.0 @ Servette 2 1703 66.34% Young Fellows Zurich 2 1507 16.37% 17.29%
4 1940-12-22 74.1 @ Young Boys 1 1751 51.03% Grenchen 1 1699 31.33% 17.64%
5 1940-12-01 73.7 @ Grenchen 1 1686 42.32% Lugano 1 1698 40.00% 17.68%
6 1940-10-13 73.5 @ Servette 1 1786 68.79% Grasshopper 1 1558 14.04% 17.17%
7 1941-03-23 73.0 @ Grenchen 2 1714 75.15% Luzern 2 1381 8.20% 16.65%
8 1940-09-08 72.7 @ Grasshopper 1 1618 37.29% Grenchen 1 1666 45.04% 17.67%
9 1941-06-08 71.2 @ Young Boys 0 1808 42.11% Lugano 0 1822 40.21% 17.68%
10 1941-06-15 71.2 @ Lugano 1 1822 80.14% Nordstern Basel 1 1357 4.06% 15.79%
11 1941-05-25 70.8 @ Grenchen 0 1654 23.72% Young Boys 0 1811 58.78% 17.49%
12 1940-12-01 70.1 @ Lausanne-Sport 0 1640 33.22% Servette 0 1717 49.14% 17.64%
13 1940-10-13 70.0 Luzern 3 1467 20.48% @ Lugano 2 1616 62.07% 17.44%
14 1940-11-24 69.9 @ Grasshopper 1 1602 51.11% Nordstern Basel 1 1549 31.25% 17.64%
15 1941-03-30 67.8 @ Biel-Bienne 0 1404 7.85% Young Boys 0 1785 75.62% 16.53%
16 1941-04-06 67.1 @ Young Boys 0 1779 78.06% Luzern 0 1378 5.71% 16.23%
17 1941-03-23 66.7 @ Young Fellows Zurich 1 1500 36.93% Nordstern Basel 1 1550 45.40% 17.66%
18 1940-09-22 66.4 @ Grenchen 1 1665 73.11% Biel-Bienne 1 1371 10.03% 16.86%
19 1940-12-15 65.9 @ Grenchen 2 1686 39.67% Servette 1 1716 42.65% 17.67%
20 1941-06-15 65.8 Grasshopper 2 1630 35.65% @ Grenchen 1 1650 46.68% 17.67%
21 1941-04-06 65.7 @ Young Fellows Zurich 0 1478 22.87% Lausanne-Sport 0 1643 59.65% 17.47%
22 1941-05-11 65.3 St. Gallen 2 1257 4.83% @ Grenchen 1 1690 79.15% 16.02%
23 1940-09-22 64.9 Servette 3 1771 57.44% @ Young Boys 2 1626 25.04% 17.52%
24 1940-12-15 63.7 @ Lugano 1 1698 34.51% Young Boys 0 1766 47.84% 17.65%
25 1940-11-03 63.6 Lausanne-Sport 1 1643 31.64% @ Grenchen 0 1693 50.72% 17.64%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1941-04-13 31.9 @ La Chaux-de-Fonds 7 1469 64.52% St. Gallen 0 1294 18.12% 17.36%
2 1941-04-27 34.5 @ Young Fellows Zurich 5 1481 68.72% St. Gallen 1 1255 14.10% 17.17%
3 1941-03-30 34.7 @ Lausanne-Sport 4 1631 74.05% St. Gallen 0 1320 9.17% 16.77%
4 1940-10-13 37.3 @ Young Boys 5 1666 73.45% Biel-Bienne 0 1366 9.72% 16.83%
5 1940-12-29 37.8 @ Lugano 4 1725 77.46% St. Gallen 0 1339 6.20% 16.34%
6 1941-04-05 38.1 Grasshopper 5 1590 69.93% @ St. Gallen 1 1308 13.02% 17.05%
7 1940-11-24 39.4 Grenchen 3 1675 72.55% @ St. Gallen 0 1352 10.60% 16.85%
8 1941-05-04 40.4 @ Grasshopper 3 1611 67.40% Luzern 0 1402 15.36% 17.24%
9 1941-04-06 40.7 @ Servette 4 1700 72.92% Biel-Bienne 0 1410 10.20% 16.88%
10 1941-03-23 41.2 @ Lugano 5 1763 75.84% Biel-Bienne 0 1416 7.59% 16.57%
11 1941-05-11 41.2 @ Luzern 2 1387 46.11% Biel-Bienne 0 1372 36.22% 17.67%
12 1941-05-25 41.6 Lugano 6 1816 80.33% @ St. Gallen 1 1308 4.00% 15.67%
13 1941-03-23 42.0 Servette 1 1659 73.25% @ St. Gallen 0 1324 9.96% 16.79%
14 1941-03-16 42.2 Young Fellows Zurich 3 1468 46.03% @ Luzern 0 1414 36.31% 17.66%
15 1941-02-23 42.4 Young Boys 5 1749 77.26% @ St. Gallen 1 1331 6.45% 16.29%
16 1941-03-30 42.7 Lugano 3 1776 76.07% @ Luzern 0 1385 7.47% 16.47%
17 1940-12-01 43.0 @ Nordstern Basel 1 1550 63.76% Biel-Bienne 0 1383 18.85% 17.39%
18 1940-11-03 43.4 @ Grasshopper 3 1580 69.09% Biel-Bienne 1 1348 13.76% 17.15%
19 1940-12-15 43.4 @ Lausanne-Sport 5 1641 69.64% Biel-Bienne 1 1402 13.24% 17.12%
20 1941-03-16 44.0 Grenchen 3 1700 69.05% @ Biel-Bienne 0 1430 13.85% 17.10%
21 1940-11-17 44.2 @ Biel-Bienne 5 1340 36.15% St. Gallen 1 1395 46.19% 17.66%
22 1941-06-08 44.3 Lausanne-Sport 7 1694 71.87% @ Biel-Bienne 2 1382 11.23% 16.91%
23 1940-10-20 44.7 Young Boys 6 1682 62.94% @ Luzern 0 1484 19.68% 17.38%
24 1941-06-08 44.7 @ Luzern 3 1412 36.85% La Chaux-de-Fonds 0 1463 45.49% 17.66%
25 1941-05-11 44.9 Grasshopper 6 1626 57.12% @ Nordstern Basel 0 1484 25.35% 17.53%