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1976-77 Nationalliga A Season

192 games

Final

Champion

Servette

35 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Basel

6.15 points above expected

33 points · 26.85 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Winterthur

7.92 points below expected

7 points · 14.92 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Servette 22 14 7 1 35 68 27 +41 29.43 +5.57
2 Basel 22 14 5 3 33 54 30 +24 26.85 +6.15
3 Zurich 22 12 7 3 31 49 18 +31 30.69 +0.31
4 Neuchatel Xamax 22 10 7 5 27 37 27 +10 22.33 +4.67
5 Young Boys 22 8 9 5 25 37 34 +3 25.49 -0.49
6 Grasshopper 22 7 8 7 22 41 28 +13 23.44 -1.44
7 Lausanne-Sport 22 8 6 8 22 39 31 +8 22.45 -0.45
8 Chenois 22 6 8 8 20 29 39 -10 18.22 +1.78
9 Sion 22 4 10 8 18 19 32 -13 20.26 -2.26
10 St. Gallen 22 5 6 11 16 26 40 -14 17.86 -1.86
11 Bellinzona 22 3 2 17 8 19 73 -54 12.06 -4.06
12 Winterthur 22 1 5 16 7 19 58 -39 14.92 -7.92
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Lausanne-Sport 10 7 3 0 17 24 7 +17 24.28 -7.28
2 Chenois 10 5 4 1 14 24 13 +11 21.05 -7.05
3 Grasshopper 10 5 2 3 12 15 10 +5 19.04 -7.04
4 Basel 10 5 2 3 12 19 16 +3 28.43 -16.43
5 Zurich 10 5 1 4 11 24 18 +6 28.06 -17.06
6 Servette 10 5 1 4 11 16 14 +2 30.53 -19.53
7 Sion 10 5 0 5 10 18 17 +1 20.38 -10.38
8 Winterthur 10 3 3 4 9 11 14 -3 10.93 -1.93
9 St. Gallen 10 3 2 5 8 18 19 -1 18.35 -10.35
10 Neuchatel Xamax 10 3 1 6 7 14 18 -4 23.57 -16.57
11 Young Boys 10 3 1 6 7 12 24 -12 19.37 -12.37
12 Bellinzona 10 0 2 8 2 7 32 -25 11.01 -9.01

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Basel 33 26.85 +6.15
2 Servette 35 29.43 +5.57
3 Neuchatel Xamax 27 22.33 +4.67
4 Chenois 20 18.22 +1.78
5 Zurich 31 30.69 +0.31

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Winterthur 7 14.92 -7.92
2 Bellinzona 8 12.06 -4.06
3 Sion 18 20.26 -2.26
4 St. Gallen 16 17.86 -1.86
5 Grasshopper 22 23.44 -1.44

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Neuchatel Xamax 5 Nov 27 – Mar 13 1 in 43
2 Chenois 2 Sep 18 – Oct 2 1 in 18
3 Zurich 3 Feb 26 – Mar 12 1 in 11
4 Bellinzona 2 Nov 28 – Dec 5 1 in 10
5 Young Boys 3 Nov 6 – Nov 21 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lausanne-Sport 3 Mar 26 – Apr 7 1 in 45
2 Winterthur 4 Nov 13 – Dec 5 1 in 16
3 Bellinzona 5 Aug 14 – Sep 11 1 in 16
4 Neuchatel Xamax 2 Oct 30 – Nov 6 1 in 10
5 Sion 2 Sep 18 – Oct 2 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Neuchatel Xamax 9 Nov 13 – Apr 2 1 in 48
2 Servette 15 Oct 13 – Apr 16 1 in 25
3 Chenois 6 Feb 27 – Apr 7 1 in 15
4 Sion 5 Aug 14 – Sep 11 1 in 14
5 Basel 9 Oct 2 – Dec 12 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Winterthur 18 Sep 11 – Apr 16 1 in 47
2 Young Boys 7 Nov 27 – Apr 2 1 in 42
3 Zurich 4 Nov 13 – Dec 5 1 in 39
4 Neuchatel Xamax 7 Aug 14 – Oct 2 1 in 24
5 Sion 8 Sep 1 – Nov 7 1 in 14

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Servette 1742 46 -13 6 6.2 -0.2
Basel 1730 45 +12 5 5.3 -0.3
Zurich 1765 42 +72 8 5.6 +2.4
Lausanne-Sport 1618 39 +40 8 7.1 +0.9
Chenois 1495 34 +36 8 5.5 +2.5
Grasshopper 1646 34 -25 5 5.3 -0.3
Neuchatel Xamax 1631 34 -11 3 4.3 -1.3
Young Boys 1478 32 -35 3 3.2 -0.2
Sion 1438 28 -33 4 5.8 -1.8
St. Gallen 1387 24 -28 4 4.9 -0.9
Winterthur 1293 16 +4 4 3.6 +0.4
Bellinzona 1203 10 -19 2 3.1 -1.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BAS BEL CHE GRA LAU NX SER SIO SG WIN YB ZUR
Basel —
2-0-0
4.75
2-0-0
3.85
1-1-0
3.16
1-1-0
3.26
2-0-0
3.19
1-1-0
2.16
1-1-0
3.94
1-1-0
3.97
2-0-0
4.18
1-0-1
2.77
0-0-2
2.39
Bellinzona
0-0-2
0.81
—
0-1-1
1.76
0-0-2
1.25
1-0-1
1.23
0-1-1
1.41
0-0-2
0.91
1-0-1
1.50
0-0-2
1.91
1-0-1
2.30
0-0-2
1.24
0-0-2
0.81
Chenois
0-0-2
1.62
1-1-0
3.70
—
0-2-0
1.94
0-1-1
2.25
0-1-1
2.10
0-0-2
1.25
1-1-0
2.50
2-0-0
2.43
1-1-0
3.26
0-1-1
1.67
1-0-1
1.08
Grasshopper
0-1-1
2.30
2-0-0
4.24
0-2-0
3.52
—
2-0-0
2.88
0-0-2
2.82
0-1-1
1.99
1-0-1
3.22
0-2-0
3.48
2-0-0
3.92
0-0-2
2.67
0-2-0
1.77
Lausanne-Sport
0-1-1
2.19
1-0-1
4.26
1-1-0
3.19
0-0-2
2.56
—
1-0-1
2.44
0-0-2
1.71
1-1-0
3.06
2-0-0
3.20
2-0-0
3.57
0-1-1
2.16
0-2-0
1.47
Neuchatel Xamax
0-0-2
2.25
1-1-0
4.09
1-1-0
3.36
2-0-0
2.62
1-0-1
3.01
—
0-2-0
1.83
1-1-0
3.04
1-0-1
3.20
1-1-0
3.73
1-1-0
2.51
1-0-1
1.54
Servette
0-1-1
3.28
2-0-0
4.62
2-0-0
4.24
1-1-0
3.47
2-0-0
3.76
0-2-0
3.63
—
1-1-0
4.01
2-0-0
4.49
1-1-0
4.71
2-0-0
3.52
1-1-0
2.56
Sion
0-1-1
1.52
1-0-1
3.97
0-1-1
2.95
1-0-1
2.24
0-1-1
2.39
0-1-1
2.40
0-1-1
1.48
—
1-1-0
2.92
1-1-0
3.35
0-2-0
1.98
0-1-1
1.20
St. Gallen
0-1-1
1.53
2-0-0
3.55
0-0-2
3.02
0-2-0
1.97
0-0-2
2.24
1-0-1
2.26
0-0-2
1.02
0-1-1
2.53
—
2-0-0
3.24
0-2-0
1.74
0-0-2
1.09
Winterthur
0-0-2
1.30
1-0-1
3.15
0-1-1
2.19
0-0-2
1.56
0-0-2
1.88
0-1-1
1.75
0-1-1
0.83
0-1-1
2.10
0-0-2
2.21
—
0-1-1
1.35
0-0-2
0.84
Young Boys
1-0-1
2.67
2-0-0
4.27
1-1-0
3.80
2-0-0
2.77
1-1-0
3.29
0-1-1
2.93
0-0-2
1.93
0-2-0
3.47
0-2-0
3.73
1-1-0
4.13
—
0-1-1
1.96
Zurich
2-0-0
3.07
2-0-0
4.76
1-0-1
4.43
0-2-0
3.69
0-2-0
4.00
1-0-1
3.93
0-1-1
2.88
1-1-0
4.30
2-0-0
4.43
2-0-0
4.70
1-1-0
3.50
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.83 +5.4
Allowed 0.72 -5.0
Differential 0.93 +3.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.81%4.69%5.47%3.12%2.34%2.34%25.78%
14.69%12.50%5.21%4.69%2.34%2.08%31.51%
25.47%5.21%4.17%1.30%0.78%1.30%18.23%
33.12%4.69%1.30%1.04%0.26%0.78%11.20%
42.34%2.34%0.78%0.26%1.04%—6.77%
5+2.34%2.08%1.30%0.78%——6.51%
Total25.78%31.51%18.23%11.20%6.77%6.51%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.66 1.66 +0.00
SD 1.63 1.63 2.46
CV 0.98 0.98 —
Max 10 10 +10
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 192

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%3.12%3.12%———12.50%
13.12%6.25%—3.12%3.12%3.12%18.75%
29.38%9.38%6.25%3.12%——28.12%
33.12%9.38%6.25%3.12%——21.88%
4—6.25%3.12%3.12%——12.50%
5+3.12%3.12%————6.25%
Total25.00%37.50%18.75%12.50%3.12%3.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.28 1.44 +0.84
SD 1.55 1.37 2.16
CV 0.68 0.95 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%6.25%3.12%6.25%18.75%46.88%
13.12%3.12%12.50%9.38%—6.25%34.38%
2—3.12%3.12%——6.25%12.50%
3————3.12%—3.12%
4—3.12%————3.12%
5+———————
Total9.38%15.62%21.88%12.50%9.38%31.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 3.28 -2.47
SD 1.00 2.43 2.69
CV 1.23 0.74 —
Max 4 10 +3
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%3.12%3.12%3.12%——15.62%
19.38%18.75%6.25%—6.25%3.12%43.75%
23.12%3.12%6.25%——3.12%15.62%
33.12%6.25%3.12%3.12%——15.62%
43.12%———3.12%—6.25%
5+——3.12%———3.12%
Total25.00%31.25%21.88%6.25%9.38%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.66 1.62 +0.03
SD 1.38 1.50 1.94
CV 0.83 0.92 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%9.38%6.25%3.12%——31.25%
13.12%15.62%3.12%3.12%——25.00%
2—6.25%3.12%6.25%——15.62%
33.12%6.25%3.12%———12.50%
46.25%3.12%————9.38%
5+—3.12%3.12%———6.25%
Total25.00%43.75%18.75%12.50%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 1.19 +0.56
SD 1.92 0.97 2.12
CV 1.10 0.81 —
Max 8 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%3.12%3.12%3.12%—21.88%
13.12%12.50%6.25%———21.88%
26.25%6.25%9.38%———21.88%
39.38%3.12%———3.12%15.62%
43.12%3.12%3.12%———9.38%
5+9.38%—————9.38%
Total37.50%31.25%21.88%3.12%3.12%3.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 1.19 +0.78
SD 1.60 1.47 2.38
CV 0.81 1.24 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.38%3.12%9.38%———21.88%
16.25%9.38%6.25%9.38%—3.12%34.38%
29.38%6.25%6.25%——3.12%25.00%
33.12%—3.12%———6.25%
43.12%—3.12%———6.25%
5+3.12%3.12%————6.25%
Total34.38%21.88%28.12%9.38%—6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.41 +0.19
SD 1.41 1.48 2.18
CV 0.89 1.05 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.12%—3.12%—3.12%—9.38%
13.12%15.62%3.12%—3.12%—25.00%
29.38%9.38%3.12%—3.12%—25.00%
36.25%6.25%————12.50%
43.12%9.38%——3.12%—15.62%
5+6.25%——6.25%——12.50%
Total31.25%40.62%9.38%6.25%12.50%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.62 1.28 +1.34
SD 2.17 1.33 2.65
CV 0.83 1.03 —
Max 10 4 +10
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%6.25%—9.38%—3.12%31.25%
16.25%15.62%6.25%12.50%——40.62%
26.25%3.12%3.12%—3.12%—15.62%
3—9.38%————9.38%
4———————
5+—3.12%————3.12%
Total25.00%37.50%9.38%21.88%3.12%3.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.16 1.53 -0.38
SD 1.17 1.44 1.98
CV 1.01 0.94 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%3.12%6.25%3.12%3.12%3.12%25.00%
13.12%18.75%6.25%9.38%6.25%—43.75%
26.25%3.12%—3.12%3.12%—15.62%
33.12%3.12%———3.12%9.38%
43.12%—————3.12%
5+—3.12%————3.12%
Total21.88%31.25%12.50%15.62%12.50%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.84 -0.47
SD 1.45 1.57 2.33
CV 1.06 0.85 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%9.38%12.50%6.25%9.38%—43.75%
13.12%9.38%6.25%3.12%6.25%3.12%31.25%
23.12%3.12%3.12%3.12%—3.12%15.62%
3—3.12%—3.12%——6.25%
4————3.12%—3.12%
5+———————
Total12.50%25.00%21.88%15.62%18.75%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 2.25 -1.31
SD 1.08 1.57 1.79
CV 1.15 0.70 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.75%—9.38%6.25%3.12%3.12%40.62%
13.12%6.25%—3.12%3.12%6.25%21.88%
26.25%6.25%3.12%———15.62%
3—3.12%————3.12%
4—3.12%——3.12%—6.25%
5+3.12%—6.25%3.12%——12.50%
Total31.25%18.75%18.75%12.50%9.38%9.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.81 -0.28
SD 1.83 1.75 2.54
CV 1.20 0.97 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.25%3.12%———9.38%
19.38%18.75%6.25%3.12%——37.50%
26.25%3.12%3.12%———12.50%
36.25%6.25%—3.12%—3.12%18.75%
46.25%—————6.25%
5+3.12%9.38%3.12%———15.62%
Total31.25%43.75%15.62%6.25%—3.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.28 1.12 +1.16
SD 1.75 1.24 2.20
CV 0.77 1.10 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 32

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Zurich 1765 31 30.69 +0.31 65.0% 22 25 29 31 32 36 38
Servette 1742 35 29.43 +5.57 96.0% 19 24 27 29 32 35 38
Basel 1730 33 26.85 +6.15 92.0% 17 20 24 27 30 34 36
Grasshopper 1646 22 23.44 -1.44 44.0% 15 18 21 23 26 29 34
Neuchatel Xamax 1631 27 22.33 +4.67 96.0% 14 18 20 22 25 27 32
Lausanne-Sport 1618 22 22.45 -0.45 47.0% 12 15 19 23 25 29 31
Chenois 1495 20 18.22 +1.78 77.0% 11 12 16 18 20 25 29
Young Boys 1478 25 25.49 -0.49 49.0% 17 18 24 26 28 30 32
Sion 1438 18 20.26 -2.26 33.0% 10 14 18 20 23 25 28
St. Gallen 1387 16 17.86 -1.86 36.0% 10 12 15 18 20 24 27
Winterthur 1293 7 14.92 -7.92 0.0% 8 9 12 15 17 21 25
Bellinzona 1203 8 12.06 -4.06 17.0% 4 6 10 12 15 18 21

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 15% * Slight Edge: 15% to 22.5% * Clear Edge: 22.5% to 26.5% * Strong Edge: 26.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+22.40%
Slight Edge
47.92%26.56%25.52%
Elo Value
Home Edge
134 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
079.15400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.66 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.59+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.2
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
36%
Servette, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Tight Race
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.85 * Some Luck: 2.85 to 4.27 * Lucky: 4.27 to 5.69 * Wild Swing: 5.69 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.14 * Close: 1.14 to 1.72 * Off: 1.72 to 2.29 * Way Off: 2.29 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.92 points
Some Luck
03.569
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Close
01.433
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
96.00%
Servette
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
Winterthur
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 76% * Wide Edge: 76% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 94.5% * Dominant: 94.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51% * Some Drama: 51% to 55.5% * Frequent: 55.5% to 59.5% * Very Frequent: 59.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18% * Occasional: 18% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 27% * Very Frequent: 27% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Lopsided
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 168.59
2.23
Wide Separation
11.651.852.052.75
Interquartile Edge
79%
Wide Edge
50%63%71%76%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
95%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
49%
Few
0%45%100%
Blowouts
Expected
28%
Very Frequent
0%31%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21% * As Expected: 21% to 23.5% * Upset-Prone: 23.5% to 26% * Very Upset-Prone: 26% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17.5% * As Expected: 17.5% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 22.5% * Very Shaky: 22.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.49
Lopsided
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.22
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.91
Near-Lock
00.420.631
Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Chalky
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Solid Favorites
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.04
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.22
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.071
Well Within Noise
00.1170.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Servette36.00%30.00%15.00%9.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%—————
Basel16.00%16.00%22.00%17.00%9.00%6.00%6.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%——
Zurich39.00%39.00%13.00%7.00%—1.00%1.00%—————
Neuchatel Xamax1.00%—5.00%9.00%22.00%17.00%23.00%10.00%9.00%3.00%1.00%—
Young Boys6.00%6.00%20.00%22.00%17.00%12.00%7.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%—
Grasshopper2.00%—15.00%14.00%13.00%19.00%18.00%11.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%—
Lausanne-Sport—8.00%6.00%14.00%14.00%19.00%12.00%10.00%8.00%6.00%3.00%—
Chenois——2.00%1.00%5.00%4.00%6.00%20.00%22.00%27.00%8.00%5.00%
Sion—1.00%2.00%5.00%9.00%12.00%15.00%20.00%15.00%9.00%9.00%3.00%
St. Gallen———2.00%6.00%4.00%8.00%13.00%19.00%22.00%21.00%5.00%
Bellinzona——————1.00%2.00%3.00%11.00%21.00%62.00%
Winterthur—————3.00%1.00%6.00%13.00%17.00%35.00%25.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Basel 100% —
Lausanne-Sport 100% —
Neuchatel Xamax 100% —
Servette 100% —
Young Boys 100% —
Zurich 100% —
Grasshopper 98.00% 2.00%
Sion 96.00% 4.00%
Chenois 85.00% 15.00%
St. Gallen 76.00% 24.00%
Winterthur 31.00% 69.00%
Bellinzona 14.00% 86.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Basel 100% —
Grasshopper 100% —
Neuchatel Xamax 100% —
Servette 100% —
Young Boys 100% —
Zurich 100% —
Lausanne-Sport 99.89% 0.11%
Chenois 98.61% 1.39%
Sion 97.94% 2.06%
St. Gallen 92.75% 7.25%
Bellinzona 5.63% 94.37%
Winterthur 5.18% 94.82%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1976-08-14 Chenois W 4-145.8 1596 1439 64.40% 25.90% 9.71%+1.75 +8.6 2
1976-08-14 @ Basel L 1-445.8 1439 1596 9.71% 25.90% 64.40%-1.75 -8.6 0
1976-08-14 Winterthur W 3-039.9 1499 1437 57.08% 27.33% 15.59%+1.05 +15.6 2
1976-08-14 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-339.9 1437 1499 15.59% 27.33% 57.08%-1.05 -15.6 0
1976-08-14 Bellinzona W 10-039.4 1664 1376 71.84% 23.06% 5.09%+2.73 +16.3 2
1976-08-14 @ Servette L 0-1039.4 1376 1664 5.09% 23.06% 71.84%-2.73 -16.3 0
1976-08-14 Sion D 1-160.3 1486 1508 48.49% 28.03% 23.48%+0.42 -1.5 1
1976-08-14 @ St. Gallen D 1-160.3 1508 1486 23.48% 28.03% 48.49%-0.42 +1.5 1
1976-08-14 Grasshopper W 1-053.1 1576 1575 51.04% 27.90% 21.05%+0.59 +7.3 2
1976-08-14 @ Young Boys L 0-153.1 1575 1576 21.05% 27.90% 51.04%-0.59 -7.3 0
1976-08-14 Neuchatel Xamax W 6-149.8 1707 1562 63.58% 26.11% 10.31%+1.66 +14.3 2
1976-08-14 @ Zurich L 1-649.8 1562 1707 10.31% 26.11% 63.58%-1.66 -14.3 0
1976-08-21 St. Gallen L 0-147.0 1360 1485 35.09% 28.08% 36.82%-0.34 -10.7 0
1976-08-21 @ Bellinzona W 1-047.0 1485 1360 36.82% 28.08% 35.09%+0.34 +10.7 3
1976-08-21 Young Boys D 4-472.1 1431 1583 31.33% 27.94% 40.73%-0.54 +0.3 1
1976-08-21 @ Chenois D 4-472.1 1583 1431 40.73% 27.94% 31.33%+0.54 -0.3 3
1976-08-21 Zurich D 2-273.1 1568 1721 31.23% 27.94% 40.84%-0.55 +0.4 1
1976-08-21 @ Grasshopper D 2-273.1 1721 1568 40.84% 27.94% 31.23%+0.55 -0.4 3
1976-08-21 Basel L 0-157.9 1515 1604 40.01% 28.17% 31.82%-0.08 -11.8 2
1976-08-21 @ Lausanne-Sport W 1-057.9 1604 1515 31.82% 28.17% 40.01%+0.08 +11.8 4
1976-08-21 Servette D 1-167.5 1548 1680 34.05% 28.05% 37.89%-0.39 +0.2 1
1976-08-21 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 1-167.5 1680 1548 37.89% 28.05% 34.05%+0.39 -0.2 3
1976-08-22 Sion D 1-158.0 1422 1510 40.19% 28.17% 31.64%-0.07 -0.5 1
1976-08-22 @ Winterthur D 1-158.0 1510 1422 31.64% 28.17% 40.19%+0.07 +0.5 2
1976-08-28 Winterthur W 6-142.6 1616 1421 66.81% 25.16% 8.03%+2.04 +11.2 6
1976-08-28 @ Basel L 1-642.6 1421 1616 8.03% 25.16% 66.81%-2.04 -11.2 1
1976-08-28 Grasshopper W 2-156.4 1680 1568 61.21% 26.65% 12.14%+1.42 +4.3 5
1976-08-28 @ Servette L 1-256.4 1568 1680 12.14% 26.65% 61.21%-1.42 -4.3 1
1976-08-28 Bellinzona W 2-143.3 1510 1349 64.71% 25.81% 9.48%+1.79 +3.4 4
1976-08-28 @ Sion L 1-243.3 1349 1510 9.48% 25.81% 64.71%-1.79 -3.4 0
1976-08-28 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-049.2 1495 1548 44.81% 28.14% 27.05%+0.20 +16.7 5
1976-08-28 @ St. Gallen L 0-249.2 1548 1495 27.05% 28.14% 44.81%-0.20 -16.7 1
1976-08-28 Lausanne-Sport W 2-046.6 1583 1503 58.65% 27.11% 14.24%+1.18 +9.9 5
1976-08-28 @ Young Boys L 0-246.6 1503 1583 14.24% 27.11% 58.65%-1.18 -9.9 2
1976-08-28 Chenois W 2-044.6 1721 1431 71.95% 23.01% 5.04%+2.75 +3.6 5
1976-08-28 @ Zurich L 0-244.6 1431 1721 5.04% 23.01% 71.95%-2.75 -3.6 1
1976-09-01 Young Boys L 1-465.3 1627 1593 54.55% 27.62% 17.83%+0.85 -35.6 6
1976-09-01 @ Basel W 4-165.3 1593 1627 17.83% 27.62% 54.55%-0.85 +35.6 7
1976-09-01 Servette L 1-451.7 1427 1684 19.59% 26.85% 53.56%-1.32 -15.6 1
1976-09-01 @ Chenois W 4-151.7 1684 1427 53.56% 26.85% 19.59%+1.32 +15.7 7
1976-09-01 St. Gallen D 1-163.5 1564 1512 56.19% 27.44% 16.36%+0.98 -2.6 2
1976-09-01 @ Grasshopper D 1-163.5 1512 1564 16.36% 27.44% 56.19%-0.98 +2.6 6
1976-09-01 Zurich D 1-167.5 1493 1724 22.08% 27.19% 50.72%-1.13 +1.8 3
1976-09-01 @ Lausanne-Sport D 1-167.5 1724 1493 50.72% 27.19% 22.08%+1.13 -1.8 6
1976-09-01 Sion D 0-058.7 1531 1514 52.85% 27.77% 19.38%+0.72 -2.4 2
1976-09-01 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 0-058.7 1514 1531 19.38% 27.77% 52.85%-0.72 +2.3 5
1976-09-01 Bellinzona W 2-036.6 1410 1346 57.31% 27.30% 15.39%+1.07 +10.6 3
1976-09-01 @ Winterthur L 0-236.6 1346 1410 15.39% 27.30% 57.31%-1.07 -10.6 0
1976-09-11 Zurich L 0-341.9 1335 1722 10.49% 24.43% 65.08%-2.29 -10.5 0
1976-09-11 @ Bellinzona W 3-041.9 1722 1335 65.08% 24.43% 10.49%+2.29 +10.5 8
1976-09-11 Lausanne-Sport D 1-157.1 1412 1495 40.89% 28.17% 30.94%-0.03 -0.6 2
1976-09-11 @ Chenois D 1-157.1 1495 1412 30.94% 28.17% 40.89%+0.03 +0.6 4
1976-09-11 Basel D 1-165.7 1561 1592 47.56% 28.07% 24.37%+0.36 -1.4 3
1976-09-11 @ Grasshopper D 1-165.7 1592 1561 24.37% 28.07% 47.56%-0.36 +1.4 7
1976-09-11 Young Boys D 2-270.4 1529 1628 38.70% 28.16% 33.14%-0.15 -0.2 3
1976-09-11 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 2-270.4 1628 1529 33.14% 28.16% 38.70%+0.15 +0.2 8
1976-09-11 Servette D 1-167.3 1516 1700 27.38% 27.71% 44.91%-0.78 +1.0 6
1976-09-11 @ Sion D 1-167.3 1700 1516 44.91% 27.71% 27.38%+0.78 -1.0 8
1976-09-11 Winterthur W 2-040.7 1515 1421 59.82% 26.91% 13.27%+1.29 +9.3 8
1976-09-11 @ St. Gallen L 0-240.7 1421 1515 13.27% 26.91% 59.82%-1.29 -9.3 3
1976-09-18 Neuchatel Xamax D 2-260.3 1325 1529 24.98% 27.51% 47.51%-0.93 +1.0 1
1976-09-18 @ Bellinzona D 2-260.3 1529 1325 47.51% 27.51% 24.98%+0.93 -1.0 4
1976-09-18 Lausanne-Sport W 3-045.3 1699 1495 67.34% 24.97% 7.68%+2.10 +8.1 10
1976-09-18 @ Servette L 0-345.3 1495 1699 7.68% 24.97% 67.34%-2.10 -8.1 4
1976-09-18 Grasshopper L 1-360.8 1517 1560 46.06% 28.12% 25.83%+0.27 -21.6 6
1976-09-18 @ Sion W 3-160.8 1560 1517 25.83% 28.12% 46.06%-0.27 +21.6 5
1976-09-18 Chenois L 0-353.3 1524 1411 61.30% 26.63% 12.07%+1.43 -47.2 8
1976-09-18 @ St. Gallen W 3-053.3 1411 1524 12.07% 26.63% 61.30%-1.43 +47.2 4
1976-09-18 Winterthur W 5-248.1 1628 1411 68.12% 24.69% 7.19%+2.20 +5.5 10
1976-09-18 @ Young Boys L 2-548.1 1411 1628 7.19% 24.69% 68.12%-2.20 -5.5 3
1976-09-18 Basel W 1-052.7 1733 1593 63.26% 26.19% 10.54%+1.63 +4.0 10
1976-09-18 @ Zurich L 0-152.7 1593 1733 10.54% 26.19% 63.26%-1.63 -4.0 7
1976-10-02 Servette W 4-161.1 1589 1707 36.06% 28.11% 35.83%-0.29 +25.1 9
1976-10-02 @ Basel L 1-461.1 1707 1589 35.83% 28.11% 36.06%+0.29 -25.1 10
1976-10-02 Sion W 1-047.5 1458 1496 46.71% 28.10% 25.19%+0.31 +8.4 6
1976-10-02 @ Chenois L 0-147.5 1496 1458 25.19% 28.10% 46.71%-0.31 -8.4 6
1976-10-02 Bellinzona W 8-237.3 1582 1326 70.24% 23.82% 5.94%+2.49 +8.1 7
1976-10-02 @ Grasshopper L 2-837.3 1326 1582 5.94% 23.82% 70.24%-2.49 -8.1 1
1976-10-02 St. Gallen W 5-041.0 1487 1477 52.11% 27.83% 20.06%+0.67 +31.0 6
1976-10-02 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-541.0 1477 1487 20.06% 27.83% 52.11%-0.67 -31.0 8
1976-10-02 Neuchatel Xamax D 1-158.1 1406 1528 35.47% 28.09% 36.43%-0.32 +0.0 4
1976-10-02 @ Winterthur D 1-158.1 1528 1406 36.43% 28.09% 35.47%+0.32 -0.0 5
1976-10-02 Zurich D 1-169.3 1634 1737 38.16% 28.15% 33.69%-0.18 -0.2 11
1976-10-02 @ Young Boys D 1-169.3 1737 1634 33.69% 28.15% 38.16%+0.18 +0.3 11
1976-10-10 Chenois D 1-153.8 1318 1467 31.76% 27.96% 40.27%-0.52 +0.5 2
1976-10-10 @ Bellinzona D 1-153.8 1467 1318 40.27% 27.96% 31.76%+0.52 -0.5 7
1976-10-13 Grasshopper W 3-263.1 1528 1590 43.66% 28.16% 28.18%+0.13 +8.2 7
1976-10-13 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 2-363.1 1590 1528 28.18% 28.16% 43.66%-0.13 -8.2 7
1976-10-13 Young Boys W 3-157.2 1682 1634 55.84% 27.48% 16.67%+0.95 +9.8 12
1976-10-13 @ Servette L 1-357.2 1634 1682 16.67% 27.48% 55.84%-0.95 -9.9 11
1976-10-13 Lausanne-Sport D 2-265.3 1487 1518 47.48% 28.07% 24.45%+0.36 -1.0 7
1976-10-13 @ Sion D 2-265.3 1518 1487 24.45% 28.07% 47.48%-0.36 +1.0 7
1976-10-13 Basel D 1-162.8 1446 1614 29.27% 27.83% 42.90%-0.66 +0.8 9
1976-10-13 @ St. Gallen D 1-162.8 1614 1446 42.90% 27.83% 29.27%+0.66 -0.8 10
1976-10-13 Winterthur W 4-041.0 1737 1406 73.91% 21.97% 4.12%+3.05 +5.4 13
1976-10-13 @ Zurich L 0-441.0 1406 1737 4.12% 21.97% 73.91%-3.05 -5.4 4
1976-10-23 Sion W 2-152.4 1613 1486 62.35% 26.41% 11.24%+1.53 +4.0 12
1976-10-23 @ Basel L 1-252.4 1486 1613 11.24% 26.41% 62.35%-1.53 -4.0 7
1976-10-23 Bellinzona W 5-032.4 1519 1318 67.20% 25.03% 7.78%+2.09 +13.1 9
1976-10-23 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-532.4 1318 1519 7.78% 25.03% 67.20%-2.09 -13.1 2
1976-10-23 Grasshopper L 1-449.8 1400 1582 27.69% 27.73% 44.58%-0.76 -20.7 4
1976-10-23 @ Winterthur W 4-149.8 1582 1400 44.58% 27.73% 27.69%+0.76 +20.7 9
1976-10-23 St. Gallen D 1-163.9 1624 1447 65.74% 25.51% 8.75%+1.91 -3.9 12
1976-10-23 @ Young Boys D 1-163.9 1447 1624 8.75% 25.51% 65.74%-1.91 +3.9 10
1976-10-24 Neuchatel Xamax L 1-553.6 1466 1536 42.64% 28.17% 29.19%+0.07 -37.0 7
1976-10-24 @ Chenois W 5-153.6 1536 1466 29.19% 28.17% 42.64%-0.07 +37.0 9
1976-10-24 Servette D 1-170.0 1743 1692 56.10% 27.45% 16.45%+0.97 -2.5 14
1976-10-24 @ Zurich D 1-170.0 1692 1743 16.45% 27.45% 56.10%-0.97 +2.5 13
1976-10-30 Chenois D 1-162.4 1602 1429 65.48% 25.59% 8.94%+1.88 -3.9 10
1976-10-30 @ Grasshopper D 1-162.4 1429 1602 8.94% 25.59% 65.48%-1.88 +3.8 8
1976-10-30 Lausanne-Sport L 0-259.6 1573 1532 55.14% 27.56% 17.30%+0.89 -29.4 9
1976-10-30 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 2-059.6 1532 1573 17.30% 27.56% 55.14%-0.89 +29.4 11
1976-10-30 Zurich L 1-354.8 1450 1740 16.78% 26.34% 56.88%-1.57 -9.7 10
1976-10-30 @ St. Gallen W 3-154.8 1740 1450 56.88% 26.34% 16.78%+1.57 +9.7 16
1976-10-31 Winterthur W 2-041.8 1694 1380 73.13% 22.40% 4.47%+2.93 +3.1 15
1976-10-31 @ Servette L 0-241.8 1380 1694 4.47% 22.40% 73.13%-2.93 -3.1 4
1976-10-31 Young Boys D 0-060.6 1482 1620 33.29% 28.03% 38.68%-0.44 +0.3 8
1976-10-31 @ Sion D 0-060.6 1620 1482 38.68% 28.03% 33.29%+0.44 -0.3 13
1976-11-06 Neuchatel Xamax W 3-153.6 1617 1544 58.13% 27.19% 14.68%+1.14 +8.8 14
1976-11-06 @ Basel L 1-353.6 1544 1617 14.68% 27.19% 58.13%-1.14 -8.8 9
1976-11-06 Chenois D 2-259.0 1377 1433 44.35% 28.15% 27.50%+0.17 -0.7 5
1976-11-06 @ Winterthur D 2-259.0 1433 1377 27.50% 28.15% 44.35%-0.17 +0.8 9
1976-11-06 Bellinzona W 5-033.3 1620 1305 73.14% 22.39% 4.47%+2.93 +7.3 15
1976-11-06 @ Young Boys L 0-533.3 1305 1620 4.47% 22.39% 73.14%-2.93 -7.3 2
1976-11-07 Grasshopper L 1-265.3 1562 1598 46.79% 28.10% 25.11%+0.32 -12.7 11
1976-11-07 @ Lausanne-Sport W 2-165.3 1598 1562 25.11% 28.10% 46.79%-0.32 +12.7 12
1976-11-07 St. Gallen W 4-147.5 1697 1441 70.27% 23.80% 5.92%+2.50 +5.2 17
1976-11-07 @ Servette L 1-447.5 1441 1697 5.92% 23.80% 70.27%-2.50 -5.2 10
1976-11-07 Sion W 3-045.1 1750 1483 70.82% 23.55% 5.63%+2.58 +5.8 18
1976-11-07 @ Zurich L 0-345.1 1483 1750 5.63% 23.55% 70.82%-2.58 -5.8 8
1976-11-13 Basel L 1-255.9 1434 1626 26.34% 27.63% 46.03%-0.84 -8.1 9
1976-11-13 @ Chenois W 2-155.9 1626 1434 46.03% 27.63% 26.34%+0.84 +8.1 16
1976-11-13 Zurich W 2-168.5 1535 1756 23.18% 27.32% 49.50%-1.05 +13.2 11
1976-11-13 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 1-268.5 1756 1535 49.50% 27.32% 23.18%+1.05 -13.2 18
1976-11-13 Lausanne-Sport L 1-251.7 1376 1549 28.67% 27.79% 43.54%-0.70 -8.7 5
1976-11-13 @ Winterthur W 2-151.7 1549 1376 43.54% 27.79% 28.67%+0.70 +8.7 13
1976-11-14 Servette L 0-438.4 1298 1703 9.64% 24.03% 66.33%-2.42 -12.6 2
1976-11-14 @ Bellinzona W 4-038.4 1703 1298 66.33% 24.03% 9.64%+2.42 +12.6 19
1976-11-14 Young Boys L 1-366.0 1611 1627 49.22% 28.00% 22.78%+0.47 -22.9 12
1976-11-14 @ Grasshopper W 3-166.0 1627 1611 22.78% 28.00% 49.22%-0.47 +22.9 17
1976-11-14 St. Gallen W 3-146.0 1477 1436 55.18% 27.56% 17.26%+0.90 +10.1 10
1976-11-14 @ Sion L 1-346.0 1436 1477 17.26% 27.56% 55.18%-0.90 -10.1 10
1976-11-20 Lausanne-Sport D 2-271.6 1634 1558 58.38% 27.15% 14.47%+1.16 -2.1 17
1976-11-20 @ Basel D 2-271.6 1558 1634 14.47% 27.15% 58.38%-1.16 +2.1 14
1976-11-20 Bellinzona W 4-031.4 1425 1285 63.30% 26.18% 10.51%+1.63 +14.3 12
1976-11-20 @ St. Gallen L 0-431.4 1285 1425 10.51% 26.18% 63.30%-1.63 -14.3 2
1976-11-21 Neuchatel Xamax D 1-168.8 1715 1548 65.10% 25.70% 9.20%+1.83 -3.8 20
1976-11-21 @ Servette D 1-168.8 1548 1715 9.20% 25.70% 65.10%-1.83 +3.8 12
1976-11-21 Winterthur W 2-037.5 1487 1367 61.81% 26.53% 11.67%+1.48 +8.3 12
1976-11-21 @ Sion L 0-237.5 1367 1487 11.67% 26.53% 61.81%-1.48 -8.3 5
1976-11-21 Chenois W 5-249.3 1650 1426 68.52% 24.53% 6.94%+2.26 +5.3 19
1976-11-21 @ Young Boys L 2-549.3 1426 1650 6.94% 24.53% 68.52%-2.26 -5.3 9
1976-11-21 Grasshopper D 1-169.6 1742 1588 64.25% 25.94% 9.81%+1.74 -3.7 19
1976-11-21 @ Zurich D 1-169.6 1588 1742 9.81% 25.94% 64.25%-1.74 +3.7 13
1976-11-27 Zurich W 1-064.2 1420 1739 14.62% 25.83% 59.54%-1.78 +16.5 11
1976-11-27 @ Chenois L 0-164.2 1739 1420 59.54% 25.83% 14.62%+1.78 -16.5 19
1976-11-27 Young Boys D 0-063.6 1560 1655 39.22% 28.16% 32.62%-0.12 -0.4 15
1976-11-27 @ Lausanne-Sport D 0-063.6 1655 1560 32.62% 28.16% 39.22%+0.12 +0.4 20
1976-11-27 St. Gallen W 1-044.6 1552 1440 61.24% 26.65% 12.12%+1.42 +4.6 14
1976-11-27 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 0-144.6 1440 1552 12.12% 26.65% 61.24%-1.42 -4.6 12
1976-11-27 Basel L 2-355.1 1359 1632 18.14% 26.60% 55.26%-1.44 -5.7 5
1976-11-27 @ Winterthur W 3-255.1 1632 1359 55.26% 26.60% 18.14%+1.44 +5.7 19
1976-11-28 Sion W 2-153.6 1271 1495 22.79% 27.28% 49.94%-1.08 +13.3 4
1976-11-28 @ Bellinzona L 1-253.6 1495 1271 49.94% 27.28% 22.79%+1.08 -13.3 12
1976-11-28 Servette D 1-168.6 1592 1711 35.83% 28.10% 36.07%-0.30 +0.0 14
1976-11-28 @ Grasshopper D 1-168.6 1711 1592 36.07% 28.10% 35.83%+0.30 -0.0 21
1976-12-05 Winterthur W 4-142.3 1284 1353 42.71% 28.17% 29.12%+0.07 +21.6 6
1976-12-05 @ Bellinzona L 1-442.3 1353 1284 29.12% 28.17% 42.71%-0.07 -21.6 5
1976-12-05 Chenois W 2-151.2 1711 1437 71.19% 23.38% 5.43%+2.63 +1.9 23
1976-12-05 @ Servette L 1-251.2 1437 1711 5.43% 23.38% 71.19%-2.63 -1.9 11
1976-12-05 Neuchatel Xamax L 0-351.8 1482 1556 42.01% 28.17% 29.81%+0.03 -33.6 12
1976-12-05 @ Sion W 3-051.8 1556 1482 29.81% 28.17% 42.01%-0.03 +33.6 16
1976-12-05 Grasshopper D 0-058.0 1435 1592 30.77% 27.92% 41.31%-0.58 +0.7 13
1976-12-05 @ St. Gallen D 0-058.0 1592 1435 41.31% 27.92% 30.77%+0.58 -0.7 15
1976-12-05 Basel L 0-660.4 1656 1638 52.86% 27.77% 19.37%+0.72 -78.4 20
1976-12-05 @ Young Boys W 6-060.4 1638 1656 19.37% 27.77% 52.86%-0.72 +78.4 21
1976-12-05 Lausanne-Sport D 1-169.0 1722 1559 64.81% 25.78% 9.41%+1.80 -3.8 20
1976-12-05 @ Zurich D 1-169.0 1559 1722 9.41% 25.78% 64.81%-1.80 +3.8 16
1976-12-12 Basel L 1-248.3 1306 1716 9.38% 23.90% 66.72%-2.47 -3.2 6
1976-12-12 @ Bellinzona W 2-148.3 1716 1306 66.72% 23.90% 9.38%+2.47 +3.2 23
1977-02-26 Zurich L 1-368.7 1719 1718 51.10% 27.90% 21.00%+0.60 -23.7 23
1977-02-26 @ Basel W 3-168.7 1718 1719 21.00% 27.90% 51.10%-0.60 +23.7 22
1977-02-26 Bellinzona W 5-032.6 1590 1302 71.84% 23.06% 5.09%+2.73 +8.5 18
1977-02-26 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 0-532.6 1302 1590 5.09% 23.06% 71.84%-2.73 -8.4 6
1977-02-26 Young Boys D 0-054.0 1332 1577 20.66% 27.01% 52.33%-1.24 +2.2 6
1977-02-26 @ Winterthur D 0-054.0 1577 1332 52.33% 27.01% 20.66%+1.24 -2.2 21
1977-02-27 St. Gallen W 2-041.3 1435 1436 50.89% 27.91% 21.20%+0.58 +13.8 13
1977-02-27 @ Chenois L 0-241.3 1436 1435 21.20% 27.91% 50.89%-0.58 -13.8 13
1977-02-27 Sion L 0-259.4 1591 1448 63.47% 26.14% 10.39%+1.65 -33.6 15
1977-02-27 @ Grasshopper W 2-059.4 1448 1591 10.39% 26.14% 63.47%-1.65 +33.6 14
1977-02-27 Servette L 3-761.5 1563 1713 31.64% 27.96% 40.41%-0.53 -22.9 16
1977-02-27 @ Lausanne-Sport W 7-361.5 1713 1563 40.41% 27.96% 31.64%+0.53 +22.9 25
1977-03-05 Winterthur W 2-037.4 1598 1334 70.69% 23.61% 5.70%+2.56 +4.1 20
1977-03-05 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 0-237.4 1334 1598 5.70% 23.61% 70.69%-2.56 -4.1 6
1977-03-06 Grasshopper L 1-344.4 1294 1558 18.99% 26.75% 54.26%-1.37 -10.8 6
1977-03-06 @ Bellinzona W 3-144.4 1558 1294 54.26% 26.75% 18.99%+1.37 +10.8 17
1977-03-06 Basel D 2-274.5 1736 1696 55.11% 27.56% 17.33%+0.89 -1.8 26
1977-03-06 @ Servette D 2-274.5 1696 1736 17.33% 27.56% 55.11%-0.89 +1.8 24
1977-03-06 Chenois D 1-158.1 1482 1449 54.40% 27.63% 17.96%+0.84 -2.3 15
1977-03-06 @ Sion D 1-158.1 1449 1482 17.96% 27.63% 54.40%-0.84 +2.3 14
1977-03-06 Lausanne-Sport L 1-451.7 1422 1540 36.01% 28.11% 35.88%-0.29 -25.2 13
1977-03-06 @ St. Gallen W 4-151.7 1540 1422 35.88% 28.11% 36.01%+0.29 +25.2 18
1977-03-06 Young Boys W 5-151.1 1742 1575 65.09% 25.70% 9.21%+1.83 +10.5 24
1977-03-06 @ Zurich L 1-551.1 1575 1742 9.21% 25.70% 65.09%-1.83 -10.5 21
1977-03-12 St. Gallen W 4-251.4 1698 1397 72.48% 22.74% 4.78%+2.83 +2.6 26
1977-03-12 @ Basel L 2-451.4 1397 1698 4.78% 22.74% 72.48%-2.83 -2.6 13
1977-03-12 Sion W 3-043.2 1565 1480 59.16% 27.03% 13.81%+1.23 +14.0 20
1977-03-12 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-343.2 1480 1565 13.81% 27.03% 59.16%-1.23 -14.0 15
1977-03-12 Zurich L 0-146.0 1330 1753 8.84% 23.62% 67.54%-2.56 -3.2 6
1977-03-12 @ Winterthur W 1-046.0 1753 1330 67.54% 23.62% 8.84%+2.56 +3.2 26
1977-03-13 Bellinzona W 2-140.4 1451 1283 65.15% 25.69% 9.17%+1.84 +3.3 16
1977-03-13 @ Chenois L 1-240.4 1283 1451 9.17% 25.69% 65.15%-1.84 -3.3 6
1977-03-13 Neuchatel Xamax L 0-161.5 1568 1603 47.08% 28.09% 24.83%+0.33 -13.5 17
1977-03-13 @ Grasshopper W 1-061.5 1603 1568 24.83% 28.09% 47.08%-0.33 +13.5 22
1977-03-13 Servette L 0-256.2 1564 1734 29.08% 27.82% 43.10%-0.68 -17.5 21
1977-03-13 @ Young Boys W 2-056.2 1734 1564 43.10% 27.82% 29.08%+0.68 +17.5 28
1977-03-26 Lausanne-Sport W 1-053.6 1280 1580 15.99% 26.17% 57.84%-1.64 +16.1 8
1977-03-26 @ Bellinzona L 0-153.6 1580 1280 57.84% 26.17% 15.99%+1.64 -16.1 20
1977-03-26 Winterthur W 4-033.5 1555 1326 68.75% 24.44% 6.80%+2.29 +9.3 19
1977-03-26 @ Grasshopper L 0-433.5 1326 1555 6.80% 24.44% 68.75%-2.29 -9.3 6
1977-03-26 Chenois D 0-060.2 1616 1454 64.74% 25.80% 9.46%+1.79 -4.2 23
1977-03-26 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 0-060.2 1454 1616 9.46% 25.80% 64.74%-1.79 +4.2 17
1977-03-26 Zurich W 2-161.9 1752 1756 50.56% 27.93% 21.51%+0.56 +7.0 30
1977-03-26 @ Servette L 1-261.9 1756 1752 21.51% 27.93% 50.56%-0.56 -7.0 26
1977-03-26 Basel D 0-062.8 1466 1700 21.74% 27.15% 51.11%-1.16 +2.0 16
1977-03-26 @ Sion D 0-062.8 1700 1466 51.11% 27.15% 21.74%+1.16 -2.0 27
1977-03-26 Young Boys D 0-054.8 1394 1547 31.29% 27.94% 40.77%-0.55 +0.6 14
1977-03-26 @ St. Gallen D 0-054.8 1547 1394 40.77% 27.94% 31.29%+0.55 -0.6 22
1977-04-02 Bellinzona W 4-351.9 1698 1296 76.96% 20.11% 2.93%+3.58 +0.9 29
1977-04-02 @ Basel L 3-451.9 1296 1698 2.93% 20.11% 76.96%-3.58 -0.9 8
1977-04-02 Neuchatel Xamax L 1-265.3 1563 1612 45.36% 28.13% 26.51%+0.23 -12.3 20
1977-04-02 @ Lausanne-Sport W 2-165.3 1612 1563 26.51% 28.13% 45.36%-0.23 +12.3 25
1977-04-02 Servette D 4-475.8 1317 1759 8.08% 23.17% 68.76%-2.70 +2.2 7
1977-04-02 @ Winterthur D 4-475.8 1759 1317 68.76% 23.17% 8.08%+2.70 -2.2 31
1977-04-02 Sion D 0-057.8 1546 1468 58.57% 27.12% 14.31%+1.18 -3.2 23
1977-04-02 @ Young Boys D 0-057.8 1468 1546 14.31% 27.12% 58.57%-1.18 +3.2 17
1977-04-02 St. Gallen W 2-149.9 1749 1395 74.92% 21.39% 3.70%+3.22 +1.3 28
1977-04-02 @ Zurich L 1-249.9 1395 1749 3.70% 21.39% 74.92%-3.22 -1.3 14
1977-04-03 Grasshopper D 0-057.8 1459 1564 37.81% 28.14% 34.05%-0.20 -0.2 18
1977-04-03 @ Chenois D 0-057.8 1564 1459 34.05% 28.14% 37.81%+0.20 +0.2 20
1977-04-07 Young Boys L 0-239.9 1295 1543 20.42% 26.97% 52.60%-1.26 -13.2 8
1977-04-07 @ Bellinzona W 2-039.9 1543 1295 52.60% 26.97% 20.42%+1.26 +13.2 25
1977-04-07 Winterthur W 3-139.9 1458 1319 63.20% 26.21% 10.59%+1.62 +6.6 20
1977-04-07 @ Chenois L 1-339.9 1319 1458 10.59% 26.21% 63.20%-1.62 -6.6 7
1977-04-07 Lausanne-Sport W 4-046.7 1564 1551 52.40% 27.81% 19.80%+0.69 +24.9 22
1977-04-07 @ Grasshopper L 0-446.7 1551 1564 19.80% 27.81% 52.40%-0.69 -24.8 20
1977-04-07 Basel L 0-260.5 1624 1699 41.96% 28.17% 29.86%+0.03 -23.1 25
1977-04-07 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 2-060.5 1699 1624 29.86% 28.17% 41.96%-0.03 +23.1 31
1977-04-07 Servette L 3-558.2 1394 1757 11.79% 24.95% 63.26%-2.11 -5.9 14
1977-04-07 @ St. Gallen W 5-358.2 1757 1394 63.26% 24.95% 11.79%+2.11 +5.9 33
1977-04-09 Zurich D 1-167.8 1471 1750 17.63% 26.51% 55.87%-1.49 +2.4 18
1977-04-09 @ Sion D 1-167.8 1750 1471 55.87% 26.51% 17.63%+1.49 -2.4 29
1977-04-16 Grasshopper W 3-261.4 1722 1589 62.78% 26.31% 10.91%+1.58 +3.7 33
1977-04-16 @ Basel L 2-361.4 1589 1722 10.91% 26.31% 62.78%-1.58 -3.7 22
1977-04-16 Chenois W 3-041.9 1526 1465 57.05% 27.34% 15.62%+1.05 +15.6 22
1977-04-16 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-341.9 1465 1526 15.62% 27.34% 57.05%-1.05 -15.6 20
1977-04-16 Sion W 6-043.7 1763 1473 71.93% 23.02% 5.05%+2.74 +9.9 35
1977-04-16 @ Servette L 0-643.7 1473 1763 5.05% 23.02% 71.93%-2.74 -9.9 18
1977-04-16 St. Gallen L 0-342.3 1313 1388 41.98% 28.17% 29.85%+0.03 -33.6 7
1977-04-16 @ Winterthur W 3-042.3 1388 1313 29.85% 28.17% 41.98%-0.03 +33.6 16
1977-04-16 Neuchatel Xamax L 0-455.8 1556 1601 45.82% 28.12% 26.06%+0.26 -47.2 25
1977-04-16 @ Young Boys W 4-055.8 1601 1556 26.06% 28.12% 45.82%-0.26 +47.2 27
1977-04-16 Bellinzona W 6-035.5 1748 1282 79.44% 18.40% 2.15%+4.06 +3.8 31
1977-04-16 @ Zurich L 0-635.5 1282 1748 2.15% 18.40% 79.44%-4.06 -3.8 8

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1977-04-30 Lausanne-Sport D 1-160.1 1449 1542 39.59% 28.17% 32.24%-0.10 -0.4 1
1977-04-30 @ Chenois D 1-160.1 1542 1449 32.24% 28.17% 39.59%+0.10 +0.4 1
1977-04-30 Bellinzona W 7-133.4 1421 1278 63.50% 26.13% 10.37%+1.66 +17.1 2
1977-04-30 @ St. Gallen L 1-733.4 1278 1421 10.37% 26.13% 63.50%-1.66 -17.1 0
1977-04-30 Sion W 1-047.6 1279 1463 27.34% 27.70% 44.96%-0.78 +12.9 2
1977-04-30 @ Winterthur L 0-147.6 1463 1279 44.96% 27.70% 27.34%+0.78 -12.9 0
1977-04-30 Servette W 2-169.6 1509 1773 19.01% 26.75% 54.24%-1.37 +14.3 2
1977-04-30 @ Young Boys L 1-269.6 1773 1509 54.24% 26.75% 19.01%+1.37 -14.3 0
1977-04-30 Grasshopper W 1-052.3 1751 1585 65.02% 25.72% 9.26%+1.82 +3.5 2
1977-04-30 @ Zurich L 0-152.3 1585 1751 9.26% 25.72% 65.02%-1.82 -3.5 0
1977-05-07 Chenois L 0-141.7 1261 1449 26.87% 27.67% 45.46%-0.81 -8.8 0
1977-05-07 @ Bellinzona W 1-041.7 1449 1261 45.46% 27.67% 26.87%+0.81 +8.8 3
1977-05-07 Basel W 6-159.7 1582 1726 32.46% 27.99% 39.55%-0.48 +42.7 2
1977-05-07 @ Grasshopper L 1-659.7 1726 1582 39.55% 27.99% 32.46%+0.48 -42.7 0
1977-05-07 Winterthur W 1-036.8 1542 1292 69.93% 23.95% 6.11%+2.45 +2.3 3
1977-05-07 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-136.8 1292 1542 6.11% 23.95% 69.93%-2.45 -2.3 2
1977-05-07 Young Boys W 2-048.1 1648 1523 62.18% 26.45% 11.38%+1.52 +8.1 2
1977-05-07 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 0-248.1 1523 1648 11.38% 26.45% 62.18%-1.52 -8.1 2
1977-05-07 Zurich W 1-057.4 1758 1755 51.34% 27.88% 20.78%+0.61 +7.2 2
1977-05-07 @ Servette L 0-157.4 1755 1758 20.78% 27.88% 51.34%-0.61 -7.2 2
1977-05-07 St. Gallen W 3-146.1 1450 1438 52.27% 27.82% 19.91%+0.68 +11.4 2
1977-05-07 @ Sion L 1-346.1 1438 1450 19.91% 27.82% 52.27%-0.68 -11.4 2
1977-05-10 Neuchatel Xamax W 3-158.1 1683 1656 53.79% 27.69% 18.52%+0.79 +10.7 2
1977-05-10 @ Basel L 1-358.1 1656 1683 18.52% 27.69% 53.79%-0.79 -10.7 2
1977-05-14 Servette W 2-057.7 1694 1765 42.41% 28.17% 29.41%+0.06 +17.8 4
1977-05-14 @ Basel L 0-257.7 1765 1694 29.41% 28.17% 42.41%-0.06 -17.8 2
1977-05-14 Sion L 0-153.9 1458 1462 50.54% 27.93% 21.53%+0.56 -14.4 3
1977-05-14 @ Chenois W 1-053.9 1462 1458 21.53% 27.93% 50.54%-0.56 +14.4 4
1977-05-14 Bellinzona W 5-030.0 1545 1252 72.08% 22.95% 4.98%+2.77 +8.2 5
1977-05-14 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-530.0 1252 1545 4.98% 22.95% 72.08%-2.77 -8.2 0
1977-05-14 Grasshopper L 0-165.2 1646 1625 53.19% 27.74% 19.06%+0.74 -15.0 2
1977-05-14 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 1-065.2 1625 1646 19.06% 27.74% 53.19%-0.74 +15.1 4
1977-05-14 Winterthur D 1-153.2 1427 1290 63.07% 26.24% 10.69%+1.61 -3.5 3
1977-05-14 @ St. Gallen D 1-153.2 1290 1427 10.69% 26.24% 63.07%-1.61 +3.5 3
1977-05-14 Young Boys L 3-674.3 1748 1515 68.98% 24.35% 6.67%+2.32 -35.6 2
1977-05-14 @ Zurich W 6-374.3 1515 1748 6.67% 24.35% 68.98%-2.32 +35.6 4
1977-05-21 Neuchatel Xamax W 3-156.1 1748 1630 61.62% 26.57% 11.81%+1.46 +7.3 4
1977-05-21 @ Servette L 1-356.1 1630 1748 11.81% 26.57% 61.62%-1.46 -7.3 2
1977-05-21 Lausanne-Sport L 2-461.7 1476 1553 41.72% 28.17% 30.11%+0.02 -17.8 4
1977-05-21 @ Sion W 4-261.7 1553 1476 30.11% 28.17% 41.72%-0.02 +17.8 7
1977-05-21 Chenois D 1-155.9 1423 1443 48.76% 28.02% 23.21%+0.44 -1.5 4
1977-05-21 @ St. Gallen D 1-155.9 1443 1423 23.21% 28.02% 48.76%-0.44 +1.6 4
1977-05-21 Bellinzona W 3-139.5 1293 1244 55.96% 27.47% 16.57%+0.96 +9.8 5
1977-05-21 @ Winterthur L 1-339.5 1244 1293 16.57% 27.47% 55.96%-0.96 -9.8 0
1977-05-21 Grasshopper L 0-355.9 1551 1640 40.13% 28.17% 31.70%-0.07 -32.4 4
1977-05-21 @ Young Boys W 3-055.9 1640 1551 31.70% 28.17% 40.13%+0.07 +32.4 6
1977-05-21 Basel D 3-378.4 1712 1712 51.04% 27.90% 21.06%+0.59 -1.2 3
1977-05-21 @ Zurich D 3-378.4 1712 1712 21.06% 27.90% 51.04%-0.59 +1.2 5
1977-05-28 Young Boys W 2-048.0 1713 1519 66.79% 25.17% 8.04%+2.03 +5.8 7
1977-05-28 @ Basel L 0-248.0 1519 1713 8.04% 25.17% 66.79%-2.03 -5.8 4
1977-05-28 Sion L 1-342.5 1234 1458 22.82% 27.28% 49.90%-1.08 -12.6 0
1977-05-28 @ Bellinzona W 3-142.5 1458 1234 49.90% 27.28% 22.82%+1.08 +12.6 6
1977-05-28 Winterthur W 4-031.9 1445 1303 63.39% 26.16% 10.45%+1.64 +14.2 6
1977-05-28 @ Chenois L 0-431.9 1303 1445 10.45% 26.16% 63.39%-1.64 -14.2 5
1977-05-28 Servette D 0-066.2 1672 1755 40.90% 28.17% 30.92%-0.03 -0.6 7
1977-05-28 @ Grasshopper D 0-066.2 1755 1672 30.92% 28.17% 40.90%+0.03 +0.6 5
1977-05-28 St. Gallen W 2-041.6 1571 1422 63.88% 26.04% 10.08%+1.70 +7.2 9
1977-05-28 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-241.6 1422 1571 10.08% 26.04% 63.88%-1.70 -7.2 4
1977-05-28 Zurich W 2-057.5 1623 1711 40.25% 28.17% 31.58%-0.06 +18.7 4
1977-05-28 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 0-257.5 1711 1623 31.58% 28.17% 40.25%+0.06 -18.7 3
1977-06-01 St. Gallen L 1-244.9 1222 1415 26.28% 27.62% 46.10%-0.85 -8.1 0
1977-06-01 @ Bellinzona W 2-144.9 1415 1222 46.10% 27.62% 26.28%+0.85 +8.1 6
1977-06-01 Zurich L 0-262.8 1671 1692 48.65% 28.03% 23.32%+0.43 -26.2 7
1977-06-01 @ Grasshopper W 2-062.8 1692 1671 23.32% 28.03% 48.65%-0.43 +26.2 5
1977-06-01 Chenois D 2-267.0 1578 1459 61.75% 26.54% 11.71%+1.47 -2.5 10
1977-06-01 @ Lausanne-Sport D 2-267.0 1459 1578 11.71% 26.54% 61.75%-1.47 +2.5 7
1977-06-01 Basel D 0-065.7 1642 1719 41.72% 28.17% 30.10%+0.02 -0.8 5
1977-06-01 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 0-065.7 1719 1642 30.10% 28.17% 41.72%-0.02 +0.8 8
1977-06-01 Young Boys W 4-150.6 1756 1513 69.55% 24.12% 6.34%+2.40 +5.6 7
1977-06-01 @ Servette L 1-450.6 1513 1756 6.34% 24.12% 69.55%-2.40 -5.6 4
1977-06-01 Winterthur W 1-036.3 1471 1289 66.03% 25.42% 8.55%+1.94 +3.3 8
1977-06-01 @ Sion L 0-136.3 1289 1471 8.55% 25.42% 66.03%-1.94 -3.3 5
1977-06-11 Grasshopper L 2-376.4 1719 1645 58.18% 27.18% 14.65%+1.14 -14.7 8
1977-06-11 @ Basel W 3-276.4 1645 1719 14.65% 27.18% 58.18%-1.14 +14.7 9
1977-06-11 Bellinzona W 6-235.4 1462 1213 69.83% 24.00% 6.18%+2.44 +6.0 9
1977-06-11 @ Chenois L 2-635.4 1213 1462 6.18% 24.00% 69.83%-2.44 -6.0 0
1977-06-11 Sion W 3-148.5 1423 1474 44.98% 28.14% 26.88%+0.21 +14.4 8
1977-06-11 @ St. Gallen L 1-348.5 1474 1423 26.88% 28.14% 44.98%-0.21 -14.4 8
1977-06-11 Lausanne-Sport L 1-245.6 1286 1575 16.77% 26.34% 56.90%-1.57 -5.6 5
1977-06-11 @ Winterthur W 2-145.6 1575 1286 56.90% 26.34% 16.77%+1.57 +5.6 12
1977-06-11 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-162.4 1507 1641 33.81% 28.04% 38.15%-0.41 +10.7 6
1977-06-11 @ Young Boys L 1-262.4 1641 1507 38.15% 28.04% 33.81%+0.41 -10.7 5
1977-06-11 Servette W 4-054.0 1718 1761 46.06% 28.12% 25.83%+0.27 +30.6 7
1977-06-11 @ Zurich L 0-454.0 1761 1718 25.83% 28.12% 46.06%-0.27 -30.6 7
1977-06-18 Lausanne-Sport D 0-051.4 1208 1581 11.21% 24.73% 64.06%-2.19 +3.9 1
1977-06-18 @ Bellinzona D 0-051.4 1581 1208 64.06% 24.73% 11.21%+2.19 -3.9 13
1977-06-18 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-159.3 1660 1630 54.04% 27.67% 18.29%+0.81 +6.1 11
1977-06-18 @ Grasshopper L 1-259.3 1630 1660 18.29% 27.67% 54.04%-0.81 -6.1 5
1977-06-18 Basel W 2-054.2 1731 1705 53.68% 27.70% 18.62%+0.78 +12.5 9
1977-06-18 @ Servette L 0-254.2 1705 1731 18.62% 27.70% 53.68%-0.78 -12.5 8
1977-06-18 Chenois L 1-356.5 1460 1468 50.13% 27.95% 21.91%+0.53 -23.3 8
1977-06-18 @ Sion W 3-156.5 1468 1460 21.91% 27.95% 50.13%-0.53 +23.3 11
1977-06-18 St. Gallen W 2-150.4 1280 1437 30.73% 27.91% 41.36%-0.58 +11.4 7
1977-06-18 @ Winterthur L 1-250.4 1437 1280 41.36% 27.91% 30.73%+0.58 -11.4 8
1977-06-18 Zurich L 1-554.7 1518 1749 22.10% 27.20% 50.71%-1.13 -22.3 6
1977-06-18 @ Young Boys W 5-154.7 1749 1518 50.71% 27.20% 22.10%+1.13 +22.3 9
1977-06-22 Zurich W 3-162.7 1692 1771 41.42% 28.17% 30.41%+0.00 +15.8 10
1977-06-22 @ Basel L 1-362.7 1771 1692 30.41% 28.17% 41.42%+0.00 -15.8 9
1977-06-22 Winterthur D 0-047.4 1211 1291 41.29% 28.17% 30.54%-0.01 -0.7 2
1977-06-22 @ Bellinzona D 0-047.4 1291 1211 30.54% 28.17% 41.29%+0.01 +0.7 8
1977-06-22 St. Gallen W 3-251.8 1491 1426 57.39% 27.29% 15.32%+1.07 +5.0 13
1977-06-22 @ Chenois L 2-351.8 1426 1491 15.32% 27.29% 57.39%-1.07 -5.0 8
1977-06-22 Young Boys D 0-063.1 1666 1496 65.31% 25.64% 9.05%+1.86 -4.3 12
1977-06-22 @ Grasshopper D 0-063.1 1496 1666 9.05% 25.64% 65.31%-1.86 +4.3 7
1977-06-22 Sion W 3-147.2 1577 1436 63.32% 26.18% 10.50%+1.64 +6.5 15
1977-06-22 @ Lausanne-Sport L 1-347.2 1436 1577 10.50% 26.18% 63.32%-1.64 -6.5 8
1977-06-22 Servette W 4-267.7 1624 1743 35.95% 28.11% 35.95%-0.29 +15.9 7
1977-06-22 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 2-467.7 1743 1624 35.95% 28.11% 35.95%+0.29 -15.9 9
1977-06-25 Grasshopper W 3-051.1 1727 1662 57.41% 27.29% 15.30%+1.08 +15.3 11
1977-06-25 @ Servette L 0-351.1 1662 1727 15.30% 27.29% 57.41%-1.08 -15.3 12
1977-06-25 Bellinzona W 5-133.1 1430 1211 68.24% 24.64% 7.12%+2.22 +8.1 10
1977-06-25 @ Sion L 1-533.1 1211 1430 7.12% 24.64% 68.24%-2.22 -8.1 2
1977-06-25 Lausanne-Sport L 0-445.8 1421 1584 29.95% 27.87% 42.18%-0.62 -34.0 8
1977-06-25 @ St. Gallen W 4-045.8 1584 1421 42.18% 27.87% 29.95%+0.62 +34.0 17
1977-06-25 Chenois D 3-362.7 1292 1496 25.05% 27.51% 47.44%-0.93 +0.8 9
1977-06-25 @ Winterthur D 3-362.7 1496 1292 47.44% 27.51% 25.05%+0.93 -0.8 14
1977-06-25 Basel L 0-351.4 1500 1708 24.54% 27.46% 48.00%-0.96 -22.3 7
1977-06-25 @ Young Boys W 3-051.4 1708 1500 48.00% 27.46% 24.54%+0.96 +22.3 12
1977-06-25 Neuchatel Xamax W 5-257.7 1756 1640 61.49% 26.60% 11.92%+1.45 +9.0 11
1977-06-25 @ Zurich L 2-557.7 1640 1756 11.92% 26.60% 61.49%-1.45 -9.0 7

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1977-05-14 6.67% Young Boys 1515 6 @ Zurich 1748 3
2 1977-02-27 10.39% Sion 1448 2 @ Grasshopper 1591 0
3 1976-09-18 12.07% Chenois 1411 3 @ St. Gallen 1524 0
4 1976-11-27 14.62% @ Chenois 1420 1 Zurich 1739 0
5 1977-06-11 14.65% Grasshopper 1645 3 @ Basel 1719 2
6 1977-03-26 15.99% @ Bellinzona 1280 1 Lausanne-Sport 1580 0
7 1976-10-30 17.30% Lausanne-Sport 1532 2 @ Neuchatel Xamax 1573 0
8 1976-09-01 17.83% Young Boys 1593 4 @ Basel 1627 1
9 1977-04-30 19.01% @ Young Boys 1509 2 Servette 1773 1
10 1977-05-14 19.06% Grasshopper 1625 1 @ Neuchatel Xamax 1646 0
11 1976-12-05 19.37% Basel 1638 6 @ Young Boys 1656 0
12 1977-02-26 21.00% Zurich 1718 3 @ Basel 1719 1
13 1977-05-14 21.53% Sion 1462 1 @ Chenois 1458 0
14 1977-06-18 21.91% Chenois 1468 3 @ Sion 1460 1
15 1976-11-14 22.78% Young Boys 1627 3 @ Grasshopper 1611 1
16 1976-11-28 22.79% @ Bellinzona 1271 2 Sion 1495 1
17 1976-11-13 23.18% @ Neuchatel Xamax 1535 2 Zurich 1756 1
18 1977-06-01 23.32% Zurich 1692 2 @ Grasshopper 1671 0
19 1977-03-13 24.83% Neuchatel Xamax 1603 1 @ Grasshopper 1568 0
20 1976-11-07 25.11% Grasshopper 1598 2 @ Lausanne-Sport 1562 1
21 1976-09-18 25.83% Grasshopper 1560 3 @ Sion 1517 1
22 1977-04-16 26.06% Neuchatel Xamax 1601 4 @ Young Boys 1556 0
23 1977-04-02 26.51% Neuchatel Xamax 1612 2 @ Lausanne-Sport 1563 1
24 1977-04-30 27.34% @ Winterthur 1279 1 Sion 1463 0
25 1976-10-24 29.19% Neuchatel Xamax 1536 5 @ Chenois 1466 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1976-12-05 78.38 Basel 6 1638 19.37% @ Young Boys 0 1656 52.86% 27.77%
2 1976-09-18 47.22 Chenois 3 1411 12.07% @ St. Gallen 0 1524 61.30% 26.63%
3 1977-04-16 47.16 Neuchatel Xamax 4 1601 26.06% @ Young Boys 0 1556 45.82% 28.12%
4 1977-05-07 42.66 @ Grasshopper 6 1582 32.46% Basel 1 1726 39.55% 27.99%
5 1976-10-24 37.03 Neuchatel Xamax 5 1536 29.19% @ Chenois 1 1466 42.64% 28.17%
6 1977-05-14 35.63 Young Boys 6 1515 6.67% @ Zurich 3 1748 68.98% 24.35%
7 1976-09-01 35.60 Young Boys 4 1593 17.83% @ Basel 1 1627 54.55% 27.62%
8 1977-06-25 34.04 Lausanne-Sport 4 1584 42.18% @ St. Gallen 0 1421 29.95% 27.87%
9 1977-02-27 33.63 Sion 2 1448 10.39% @ Grasshopper 0 1591 63.47% 26.14%
10 1976-12-05 33.61 Neuchatel Xamax 3 1556 29.81% @ Sion 0 1482 42.01% 28.17%
11 1977-04-16 33.59 St. Gallen 3 1388 29.85% @ Winterthur 0 1313 41.98% 28.17%
12 1977-05-21 32.41 Grasshopper 3 1640 31.70% @ Young Boys 0 1551 40.13% 28.17%
13 1976-10-02 30.95 @ Lausanne-Sport 5 1487 52.11% St. Gallen 0 1477 20.06% 27.83%
14 1977-06-11 30.58 @ Zurich 4 1718 46.06% Servette 0 1761 25.83% 28.12%
15 1976-10-30 29.36 Lausanne-Sport 2 1532 17.30% @ Neuchatel Xamax 0 1573 55.14% 27.56%
16 1977-06-01 26.18 Zurich 2 1692 23.32% @ Grasshopper 0 1671 48.65% 28.03%
17 1977-03-06 25.19 Lausanne-Sport 4 1540 35.88% @ St. Gallen 1 1422 36.01% 28.11%
18 1976-10-02 25.10 @ Basel 4 1589 36.06% Servette 1 1707 35.83% 28.11%
19 1977-04-07 24.85 @ Grasshopper 4 1564 52.40% Lausanne-Sport 0 1551 19.80% 27.81%
20 1977-02-26 23.69 Zurich 3 1718 21.00% @ Basel 1 1719 51.10% 27.90%
21 1977-06-18 23.28 Chenois 3 1468 21.91% @ Sion 1 1460 50.13% 27.95%
22 1977-04-07 23.12 Basel 2 1699 29.86% @ Neuchatel Xamax 0 1624 41.96% 28.17%
23 1976-11-14 22.91 Young Boys 3 1627 22.78% @ Grasshopper 1 1611 49.22% 28.00%
24 1977-02-27 22.90 Servette 7 1713 40.41% @ Lausanne-Sport 3 1563 31.64% 27.96%
25 1977-06-18 22.33 Zurich 5 1749 50.71% @ Young Boys 1 1518 22.10% 27.20%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1977-05-21 78.4 @ Zurich 3 1712 51.04% Basel 3 1712 21.06% 27.90%
2 1977-06-11 76.4 Grasshopper 3 1645 14.65% @ Basel 2 1719 58.18% 27.18%
3 1977-04-02 75.8 @ Winterthur 4 1317 8.08% Servette 4 1759 68.76% 23.17%
4 1977-03-06 74.5 @ Servette 2 1736 55.11% Basel 2 1696 17.33% 27.56%
5 1977-05-14 74.3 Young Boys 6 1515 6.67% @ Zurich 3 1748 68.98% 24.35%
6 1976-08-21 73.1 @ Grasshopper 2 1568 31.23% Zurich 2 1721 40.84% 27.94%
7 1976-08-21 72.1 @ Chenois 4 1431 31.33% Young Boys 4 1583 40.73% 27.94%
8 1976-11-20 71.6 @ Basel 2 1634 58.38% Lausanne-Sport 2 1558 14.47% 27.15%
9 1976-09-11 70.4 @ Neuchatel Xamax 2 1529 38.70% Young Boys 2 1628 33.14% 28.16%
10 1976-10-24 70.0 @ Zurich 1 1743 56.10% Servette 1 1692 16.45% 27.45%
11 1976-11-21 69.6 @ Zurich 1 1742 64.25% Grasshopper 1 1588 9.81% 25.94%
12 1977-04-30 69.6 @ Young Boys 2 1509 19.01% Servette 1 1773 54.24% 26.75%
13 1976-10-02 69.3 @ Young Boys 1 1634 38.16% Zurich 1 1737 33.69% 28.15%
14 1976-12-05 69.0 @ Zurich 1 1722 64.81% Lausanne-Sport 1 1559 9.41% 25.78%
15 1976-11-21 68.8 @ Servette 1 1715 65.10% Neuchatel Xamax 1 1548 9.20% 25.70%
16 1977-02-26 68.7 Zurich 3 1718 21.00% @ Basel 1 1719 51.10% 27.90%
17 1976-11-28 68.6 @ Grasshopper 1 1592 35.83% Servette 1 1711 36.07% 28.10%
18 1976-11-13 68.5 @ Neuchatel Xamax 2 1535 23.18% Zurich 1 1756 49.50% 27.32%
19 1977-04-09 67.8 @ Sion 1 1471 17.63% Zurich 1 1750 55.87% 26.51%
20 1977-06-22 67.7 @ Neuchatel Xamax 4 1624 35.95% Servette 2 1743 35.95% 28.11%
21 1976-08-21 67.5 @ Neuchatel Xamax 1 1548 34.05% Servette 1 1680 37.89% 28.05%
22 1976-09-01 67.5 @ Lausanne-Sport 1 1493 22.08% Zurich 1 1724 50.72% 27.19%
23 1976-09-11 67.3 @ Sion 1 1516 27.38% Servette 1 1700 44.91% 27.71%
24 1977-06-01 67.0 @ Lausanne-Sport 2 1578 61.75% Chenois 2 1459 11.71% 26.54%
25 1977-05-28 66.2 @ Grasshopper 0 1672 40.90% Servette 0 1755 30.92% 28.17%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1977-05-14 30.0 @ Lausanne-Sport 5 1545 72.08% Bellinzona 0 1252 4.98% 22.95%
2 1976-11-20 31.4 @ St. Gallen 4 1425 63.30% Bellinzona 0 1285 10.51% 26.18%
3 1977-05-28 31.9 @ Chenois 4 1445 63.39% Winterthur 0 1303 10.45% 26.16%
4 1976-10-23 32.4 @ Lausanne-Sport 5 1519 67.20% Bellinzona 0 1318 7.78% 25.03%
5 1977-02-26 32.6 @ Neuchatel Xamax 5 1590 71.84% Bellinzona 0 1302 5.09% 23.06%
6 1977-06-25 33.1 @ Sion 5 1430 68.24% Bellinzona 1 1211 7.12% 24.64%
7 1976-11-06 33.3 @ Young Boys 5 1620 73.14% Bellinzona 0 1305 4.47% 22.39%
8 1977-04-30 33.4 @ St. Gallen 7 1421 63.50% Bellinzona 1 1278 10.37% 26.13%
9 1977-03-26 33.5 @ Grasshopper 4 1555 68.75% Winterthur 0 1326 6.80% 24.44%
10 1977-06-11 35.4 @ Chenois 6 1462 69.83% Bellinzona 2 1213 6.18% 24.00%
11 1977-04-16 35.5 @ Zurich 6 1748 79.44% Bellinzona 0 1282 2.15% 18.40%
12 1977-06-01 36.3 @ Sion 1 1471 66.03% Winterthur 0 1289 8.55% 25.42%
13 1976-09-01 36.6 @ Winterthur 2 1410 57.31% Bellinzona 0 1346 15.39% 27.30%
14 1977-05-07 36.8 @ Lausanne-Sport 1 1542 69.93% Winterthur 0 1292 6.11% 23.95%
15 1976-10-02 37.3 @ Grasshopper 8 1582 70.24% Bellinzona 2 1326 5.94% 23.82%
16 1977-03-05 37.4 @ Neuchatel Xamax 2 1598 70.69% Winterthur 0 1334 5.70% 23.61%
17 1976-11-21 37.5 @ Sion 2 1487 61.81% Winterthur 0 1367 11.67% 26.53%
18 1976-11-14 38.4 Servette 4 1703 66.33% @ Bellinzona 0 1298 9.64% 24.03%
19 1976-08-14 39.4 @ Servette 10 1664 71.84% Bellinzona 0 1376 5.09% 23.06%
20 1977-05-21 39.5 @ Winterthur 3 1293 55.96% Bellinzona 1 1244 16.57% 27.47%
21 1976-08-14 39.9 @ Lausanne-Sport 3 1499 57.08% Winterthur 0 1437 15.59% 27.33%
22 1977-04-07 39.9 Young Boys 2 1543 52.60% @ Bellinzona 0 1295 20.42% 26.97%
23 1977-04-07 39.9 @ Chenois 3 1458 63.20% Winterthur 1 1319 10.59% 26.21%
24 1977-03-13 40.4 @ Chenois 2 1451 65.15% Bellinzona 1 1283 9.17% 25.69%
25 1976-09-11 40.7 @ St. Gallen 2 1515 59.82% Winterthur 0 1421 13.27% 26.91%