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1977-78 Nationalliga A Season

192 games

Final

Champion

Grasshopper

34 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Grasshopper

5.14 points above expected

34 points · 28.86 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Young Fellows Zurich

7.27 points below expected

4 points · 11.27 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Grasshopper 22 15 4 3 34 60 27 +33 28.86 +5.14
2 Servette 22 14 5 3 33 44 20 +24 29.77 +3.23
3 Lausanne-Sport 22 13 4 5 30 47 21 +26 26.91 +3.09
4 Basel 22 12 4 6 28 53 34 +19 27.80 +0.20
5 Zurich 22 11 6 5 28 38 27 +11 28.64 -0.64
6 Sion 22 6 9 7 21 29 33 -4 19.25 +1.75
7 Neuchatel Xamax 22 8 3 11 19 32 42 -10 22.60 -3.60
8 Young Boys 22 7 5 10 19 27 45 -18 17.11 +1.89
9 Chenois 22 8 2 12 18 27 35 -8 19.95 -1.95
10 St. Gallen 22 5 7 10 17 27 38 -11 15.61 +1.39
11 Etoile Carouge 22 5 3 14 13 22 40 -18 16.23 -3.23
12 Young Fellows Zurich 22 1 2 19 4 14 58 -44 11.27 -7.27
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Basel 10 5 3 2 13 21 14 +7 23.68 -10.68
2 Young Boys 10 4 5 1 13 20 13 +7 21.42 -8.42
3 Chenois 10 4 4 2 12 19 9 +10 20.48 -8.48
4 Grasshopper 10 4 4 2 12 17 12 +5 29.27 -17.27
5 St. Gallen 10 3 6 1 12 11 7 +4 19.25 -7.25
6 Zurich 10 5 2 3 12 15 15 0 24.22 -12.22
7 Lausanne-Sport 10 4 3 3 11 21 14 +7 25.36 -14.36
8 Etoile Carouge 10 4 3 3 11 13 12 +1 15.55 -4.55
9 Servette 10 3 5 2 11 10 10 0 29.22 -18.22
10 Neuchatel Xamax 10 4 2 4 10 14 15 -1 22.68 -12.68
11 Young Fellows Zurich 10 1 0 9 2 10 31 -21 7.63 -5.63
12 Sion 10 0 1 9 1 8 27 -19 16.24 -15.24

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Grasshopper 34 28.86 +5.14
2 Servette 33 29.77 +3.23
3 Lausanne-Sport 30 26.91 +3.09
4 Young Boys 19 17.11 +1.89
5 Sion 21 19.25 +1.75

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Young Fellows Zurich 4 11.27 -7.27
2 Neuchatel Xamax 19 22.60 -3.60
3 Etoile Carouge 13 16.23 -3.23
4 Chenois 18 19.95 -1.95
5 Zurich 28 28.64 -0.64

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lausanne-Sport 6 Aug 23 – Oct 1 1 in 45
2 Etoile Carouge 2 Aug 20 – Aug 24 1 in 31
3 Young Boys 4 Feb 26 – Mar 23 1 in 30
4 Servette 4 Aug 27 – Sep 24 1 in 20
5 Basel 4 Dec 3 – Mar 12 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Basel 3 Oct 15 – Oct 26 1 in 56
2 Etoile Carouge 5 Aug 27 – Oct 1 1 in 46
3 Young Fellows Zurich 8 Oct 15 – Dec 4 1 in 34
4 Neuchatel Xamax 3 Oct 1 – Oct 16 1 in 14
5 Young Boys 4 Aug 27 – Sep 24 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Grasshopper 16 Sep 3 – Mar 11 1 in 48
2 Basel 9 Nov 5 – Mar 18 1 in 20
3 Young Boys 5 Oct 1 – Oct 26 1 in 16
4 Servette 11 Aug 27 – Nov 12 1 in 14
5 Sion 5 Aug 23 – Sep 24 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Zurich 5 Nov 27 – Mar 5 1 in 34
2 Young Boys 9 Aug 13 – Oct 8 1 in 14
3 Lausanne-Sport 4 Feb 26 – Mar 23 1 in 14
4 Sion 5 Oct 22 – Nov 20 1 in 10
5 Basel 3 Sep 17 – Oct 1 1 in 8

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Grasshopper 1796 46 +17 7 6.0 +1.0
Servette 1762 44 +3 6 5.5 +0.5
Basel 1753 41 -11 5 5.9 -0.9
Lausanne-Sport 1742 41 -25 4 5.6 -1.6
Zurich 1718 40 +42 8 4.7 +3.3
Young Boys 1546 32 +52 8 5.4 +2.6
Chenois 1524 30 -43 4 6.8 -2.8
Neuchatel Xamax 1512 29 -15 5 6.1 -1.1
St. Gallen 1476 29 -7 5 5.4 -0.4
Etoile Carouge 1412 24 +17 6 4.1 +1.9
Sion 1451 22 -25 0 2.3 -2.3
Young Fellows Zurich 1207 6 -5 2 2.2 -0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BAS CHE EC GRA LAU NX SER SIO SG YB YFZ ZUR
Basel —
1-0-1
3.74
1-0-1
4.07
1-0-1
2.60
0-1-1
2.78
2-0-0
3.31
1-0-1
2.33
1-0-1
3.82
2-0-0
4.30
1-1-0
4.25
2-0-0
4.54
0-2-0
2.55
Chenois
1-0-1
1.76
—
2-0-0
3.23
0-0-2
1.44
0-0-2
1.88
1-0-1
2.40
1-0-1
1.34
1-1-0
2.79
0-1-1
3.45
1-0-1
3.12
1-0-1
4.03
0-0-2
1.56
Etoile Carouge
1-0-1
1.44
0-0-2
2.26
—
0-0-2
1.16
0-0-2
1.25
0-0-2
1.90
0-1-1
1.12
0-1-1
2.40
1-0-1
2.98
0-1-1
2.51
2-0-0
3.45
1-0-1
1.16
Grasshopper
1-0-1
2.89
2-0-0
4.08
2-0-0
4.38
—
1-0-1
2.94
2-0-0
3.74
0-1-1
2.64
1-1-0
3.90
2-0-0
4.15
2-0-0
4.07
0-2-0
4.84
2-0-0
2.81
Lausanne-Sport
1-1-0
2.71
2-0-0
3.62
2-0-0
4.27
1-0-1
2.55
—
2-0-0
3.65
0-0-2
2.40
1-0-1
3.65
1-1-0
4.18
1-1-0
3.79
2-0-0
4.64
0-1-1
2.77
Neuchatel Xamax
0-0-2
2.18
1-0-1
3.10
2-0-0
3.60
0-0-2
1.78
0-0-2
1.85
—
0-0-2
1.84
0-1-1
3.05
2-0-0
3.63
1-1-0
3.40
2-0-0
4.36
0-1-1
2.02
Servette
1-0-1
3.17
1-0-1
4.19
1-1-0
4.41
1-1-0
2.85
2-0-0
3.10
2-0-0
3.66
—
1-1-0
4.17
0-2-0
4.47
2-0-0
4.41
2-0-0
4.66
1-0-1
2.93
Sion
1-0-1
1.68
0-1-1
2.70
1-1-0
3.10
0-1-1
1.61
1-0-1
1.85
1-1-0
2.44
0-1-1
1.35
—
0-2-0
3.54
0-1-1
2.92
2-0-0
4.12
0-1-1
1.65
St. Gallen
0-0-2
1.23
1-1-0
2.05
1-0-1
2.51
0-0-2
1.38
0-1-1
1.34
0-0-2
1.87
0-2-0
1.07
0-2-0
1.96
—
0-0-2
2.78
2-0-0
3.50
1-1-0
1.08
Young Boys
0-1-1
1.28
1-0-1
2.37
1-1-0
2.99
0-0-2
1.46
0-1-1
1.73
0-1-1
2.10
0-0-2
1.13
1-1-0
2.57
2-0-0
2.71
—
2-0-0
3.92
0-0-2
1.30
Young Fellows Zurich
0-0-2
1.01
1-0-1
1.48
0-0-2
2.05
0-2-0
0.74
0-0-2
0.92
0-0-2
1.18
0-0-2
0.91
0-0-2
1.40
0-0-2
2.00
0-0-2
1.58
—
0-0-2
0.90
Zurich
0-2-0
2.95
2-0-0
3.95
1-0-1
4.38
0-0-2
2.68
1-1-0
2.73
1-1-0
3.48
1-0-1
2.56
1-1-0
3.86
0-1-1
4.46
2-0-0
4.23
2-0-0
4.66
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.86 +6.0
Allowed 0.82 -7.5
Differential 0.96 +3.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.77%7.03%5.21%3.65%0.78%1.30%24.74%
17.03%10.42%6.77%3.39%2.08%2.60%32.29%
25.21%6.77%6.77%1.56%1.56%1.04%22.92%
33.65%3.39%1.56%—0.52%0.26%9.38%
40.78%2.08%1.56%0.52%—0.26%5.21%
5+1.30%2.60%1.04%0.26%0.26%—5.47%
Total24.74%32.29%22.92%9.38%5.21%5.47%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.56 +0.00
SD 1.43 1.43 2.10
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 192

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%3.12%6.25%———15.62%
13.12%9.38%——6.25%—18.75%
29.38%6.25%6.25%—6.25%3.12%31.25%
3—6.25%————6.25%
43.12%6.25%3.12%———12.50%
5+6.25%3.12%3.12%—3.12%—15.62%
Total28.12%34.38%18.75%—15.62%3.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.31 1.50 +0.81
SD 1.73 1.48 2.33
CV 0.75 0.99 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%6.25%6.25%6.25%——31.25%
19.38%3.12%9.38%9.38%—3.12%34.38%
29.38%3.12%3.12%———15.62%
3—3.12%———3.12%6.25%
43.12%—————3.12%
5+3.12%6.25%————9.38%
Total37.50%21.88%18.75%15.62%—6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.38 +0.06
SD 1.54 1.45 2.24
CV 1.07 1.06 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.12%15.62%6.25%3.12%3.12%—31.25%
112.50%9.38%9.38%3.12%—6.25%40.62%
2—9.38%6.25%6.25%——21.88%
33.12%—————3.12%
4———————
5+—3.12%————3.12%
Total18.75%37.50%21.88%12.50%3.12%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.62 -0.53
SD 1.09 1.36 1.81
CV 1.00 0.84 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%9.38%3.12%———18.75%
13.12%12.50%————15.62%
26.25%3.12%6.25%———15.62%
36.25%6.25%12.50%—3.12%—28.12%
4—6.25%3.12%———9.38%
5+—3.12%9.38%———12.50%
Total21.88%40.62%34.38%—3.12%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.41 1.22 +1.19
SD 1.83 0.91 1.71
CV 0.76 0.74 —
Max 7 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%—6.25%———12.50%
16.25%12.50%9.38%6.25%——34.38%
26.25%3.12%3.12%3.12%——15.62%
39.38%6.25%————15.62%
43.12%9.38%—3.12%——15.62%
5+3.12%3.12%————6.25%
Total34.38%34.38%18.75%12.50%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.12 1.09 +1.03
SD 1.64 1.03 2.10
CV 0.77 0.94 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.25%6.25%9.38%——21.88%
19.38%15.62%6.25%9.38%—3.12%43.75%
2—9.38%—3.12%—3.12%15.62%
36.25%—3.12%———9.38%
4——3.12%3.12%——6.25%
5+3.12%—————3.12%
Total18.75%31.25%18.75%25.00%—6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.78 -0.34
SD 1.29 1.45 2.10
CV 0.90 0.82 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.38%3.12%6.25%———18.75%
19.38%6.25%6.25%———21.88%
29.38%18.75%15.62%———43.75%
36.25%3.12%————9.38%
4———————
5+—6.25%————6.25%
Total34.38%37.50%28.12%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 0.94 +0.75
SD 1.26 0.80 1.48
CV 0.74 0.85 —
Max 5 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%9.38%9.38%3.12%—3.12%31.25%
1—15.62%9.38%3.12%6.25%3.12%37.50%
23.12%3.12%9.38%—3.12%—18.75%
33.12%3.12%3.12%———9.38%
4—3.12%————3.12%
5+———————
Total12.50%34.38%31.25%6.25%9.38%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.16 1.88 -0.72
SD 1.08 1.45 1.92
CV 0.93 0.78 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.75%6.25%3.12%3.12%——31.25%
19.38%9.38%9.38%—3.12%—31.25%
26.25%3.12%12.50%3.12%3.12%3.12%31.25%
33.12%—————3.12%
4———————
5+———3.12%——3.12%
Total37.50%18.75%25.00%9.38%6.25%3.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.41 -0.22
SD 1.12 1.50 1.52
CV 0.94 1.07 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%—3.12%—6.25%21.88%
16.25%12.50%6.25%—3.12%6.25%34.38%
23.12%9.38%12.50%———25.00%
36.25%6.25%————12.50%
4——3.12%——3.12%6.25%
5+———————
Total21.88%34.38%21.88%3.12%3.12%15.62%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.81 -0.34
SD 1.16 1.75 2.21
CV 0.79 0.97 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—15.62%6.25%15.62%3.12%6.25%46.88%
13.12%6.25%6.25%6.25%6.25%9.38%37.50%
2———3.12%6.25%—9.38%
3—3.12%——3.12%—6.25%
4———————
5+———————
Total3.12%25.00%12.50%25.00%18.75%15.62%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.75 2.78 -2.03
SD 0.88 1.50 1.64
CV 1.17 0.54 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%3.12%3.12%—3.12%—15.62%
112.50%12.50%9.38%3.12%——37.50%
29.38%12.50%6.25%——3.12%31.25%
3—3.12%————3.12%
4——6.25%———6.25%
5+—6.25%————6.25%
Total28.12%37.50%25.00%3.12%3.12%3.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.66 1.31 +0.34
SD 1.33 1.42 1.91
CV 0.81 1.09 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 32

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Grasshopper 1796 34 28.86 +5.14 96.0% 20 22 26 29 32 34 37
Servette 1762 33 29.77 +3.23 88.0% 20 23 27 30 32 35 39
Basel 1753 28 27.80 +0.20 56.0% 16 21 25 28 31 33 35
Lausanne-Sport 1742 30 26.91 +3.09 87.0% 18 20 25 27 29 33 36
Zurich 1718 28 28.64 -0.64 51.0% 20 23 27 28 31 35 38
Young Boys 1546 19 17.11 +1.89 78.0% 5 10 15 17 19 24 26
Chenois 1524 18 19.95 -1.95 34.0% 10 14 18 20 22 27 30
Neuchatel Xamax 1512 19 22.60 -3.60 18.0% 14 18 20 22 25 28 30
St. Gallen 1476 17 15.61 +1.39 70.0% 7 10 13 16 18 22 25
Sion 1451 21 19.25 +1.75 73.0% 6 12 17 19 22 26 28
Etoile Carouge 1412 13 16.23 -3.23 26.0% 7 10 13 16 19 22 24
Young Fellows Zurich 1207 4 11.27 -7.27 1.0% 4 6 9 11 14 16 23

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 15% * Slight Edge: 15% to 22.5% * Clear Edge: 22.5% to 26.5% * Strong Edge: 26.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.50%
No Edge
44.27%23.96%31.77%
Elo Value
Home Edge
158 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
043.66400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.43 goals
Neutral
-2+0.28+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.3
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
25%
Grasshopper, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.94 * Some Luck: 2.94 to 4.4 * Lucky: 4.4 to 5.87 * Wild Swing: 5.87 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.14 * Close: 1.14 to 1.71 * Off: 1.71 to 2.28 * Way Off: 2.28 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.36 points
Some Luck
03.679
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Close
01.423
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
96.00%
Grasshopper
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
Young Fellows Zurich
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 76% * Wide Edge: 76% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 94.5% * Dominant: 94.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51% * Some Drama: 51% to 55.5% * Frequent: 55.5% to 59.5% * Very Frequent: 59.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18% * Occasional: 18% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 27% * Very Frequent: 27% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Lopsided
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 165.47
2.17
Wide Separation
11.651.852.052.75
Interquartile Edge
79%
Wide Edge
50%63%71%76%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
95%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
56%
Frequent
0%52%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Frequent
0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21% * As Expected: 21% to 23.5% * Upset-Prone: 23.5% to 26% * Very Upset-Prone: 26% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17.5% * As Expected: 17.5% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 22.5% * Very Shaky: 22.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.44
Slight Separation
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.93
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.81
Near-Lock
00.420.631
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Chalky
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Solid Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.23
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.33
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.053
Well Within Noise
00.1190.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Grasshopper25.00%22.00%17.00%17.00%12.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%———
Servette33.00%23.00%14.00%18.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%————
Lausanne-Sport11.00%12.00%22.00%16.00%21.00%8.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%———
Basel12.00%23.00%21.00%13.00%15.00%6.00%3.00%6.00%1.00%———
Zurich19.00%17.00%21.00%19.00%14.00%8.00%2.00%—————
Sion—1.00%2.00%—6.00%14.00%21.00%21.00%15.00%8.00%8.00%4.00%
Neuchatel Xamax—1.00%2.00%13.00%13.00%30.00%22.00%10.00%7.00%1.00%1.00%—
Young Boys——1.00%—2.00%4.00%10.00%15.00%21.00%28.00%13.00%6.00%
Chenois—1.00%—3.00%8.00%15.00%27.00%13.00%13.00%12.00%7.00%1.00%
St. Gallen———1.00%2.00%2.00%5.00%9.00%18.00%26.00%28.00%9.00%
Etoile Carouge————1.00%5.00%3.00%19.00%18.00%18.00%23.00%13.00%
Young Fellows Zurich—————1.00%—1.00%4.00%7.00%20.00%67.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Basel 100% —
Grasshopper 100% —
Lausanne-Sport 100% —
Neuchatel Xamax 100% —
Servette 100% —
Zurich 100% —
Chenois 93.00% 7.00%
Sion 88.00% 12.00%
Young Boys 85.00% 15.00%
St. Gallen 72.00% 28.00%
Etoile Carouge 50.00% 50.00%
Young Fellows Zurich 12.00% 88.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Basel 100% —
Grasshopper 100% —
Lausanne-Sport 100% —
Servette 100% —
Sion 100% —
Zurich 100% —
Neuchatel Xamax 97.37% 2.63%
Young Boys 95.02% 4.98%
Chenois 91.10% 8.90%
St. Gallen 83.71% 16.29%
Etoile Carouge 32.39% 67.61%
Young Fellows Zurich 0.41% 99.59%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1977-08-13 Chenois W 3-153.6 1689 1533 62.20% 24.23% 13.57%+1.26 +8.1 2
1977-08-13 @ Basel L 1-353.6 1533 1689 13.57% 24.23% 62.20%-1.26 -8.1 0
1977-08-13 Young Boys W 5-044.6 1627 1520 58.02% 24.73% 17.25%+0.96 +27.0 2
1977-08-13 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 0-544.6 1520 1627 17.25% 24.73% 58.02%-0.96 -27.0 0
1977-08-13 Etoile Carouge W 2-154.0 1701 1481 66.76% 23.40% 9.84%+1.67 +3.5 2
1977-08-13 @ Servette L 1-254.0 1481 1701 9.84% 23.40% 66.76%-1.67 -3.5 0
1977-08-13 Lausanne-Sport W 3-268.2 1494 1619 29.35% 25.21% 45.44%-0.51 +11.8 2
1977-08-13 @ Sion L 2-368.2 1619 1494 45.44% 25.21% 29.35%+0.51 -11.8 0
1977-08-13 Grasshopper L 2-651.5 1464 1640 23.34% 24.88% 51.78%-0.84 -19.8 0
1977-08-13 @ St. Gallen W 6-251.5 1640 1464 51.78% 24.88% 23.34%+0.84 +19.8 2
1977-08-13 Young Fellows Zurich W 5-144.0 1722 1409 71.94% 21.89% 6.17%+2.26 +6.9 2
1977-08-13 @ Zurich L 1-544.0 1409 1722 6.17% 21.89% 71.94%-2.26 -6.9 0
1977-08-20 St. Gallen D 1-161.5 1525 1444 55.44% 24.94% 19.62%+0.79 -2.3 1
1977-08-20 @ Chenois D 1-161.5 1444 1525 19.62% 24.94% 55.44%-0.79 +2.3 1
1977-08-20 Basel W 1-063.5 1477 1697 19.04% 24.49% 56.47%-1.11 +16.1 2
1977-08-20 @ Etoile Carouge L 0-163.5 1697 1477 56.47% 24.49% 19.04%+1.11 -16.1 2
1977-08-20 Sion W 3-044.8 1660 1506 62.05% 24.25% 13.69%+1.25 +13.7 4
1977-08-20 @ Grasshopper L 0-344.8 1506 1660 13.69% 24.25% 62.05%-1.25 -13.7 2
1977-08-20 Zurich L 1-265.5 1654 1728 36.07% 25.38% 38.55%-0.19 -10.4 2
1977-08-20 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 2-165.5 1728 1654 38.55% 25.38% 36.07%+0.19 +10.4 4
1977-08-20 Lausanne-Sport D 1-166.1 1493 1607 30.71% 25.26% 44.03%-0.44 +0.8 1
1977-08-20 @ Young Boys D 1-166.1 1607 1493 44.03% 25.26% 30.71%+0.44 -0.8 1
1977-08-20 Servette L 0-342.5 1402 1705 12.73% 23.46% 63.81%-1.64 -12.6 0
1977-08-20 @ Young Fellows Zurich W 3-042.5 1705 1402 63.81% 23.46% 12.73%+1.64 +12.6 4
1977-08-23 Servette W 1-064.2 1523 1717 21.45% 24.73% 53.82%-0.95 +15.4 3
1977-08-23 @ Chenois L 0-164.2 1717 1523 53.82% 24.73% 21.45%+0.95 -15.4 4
1977-08-23 Basel L 0-163.3 1674 1681 45.26% 25.37% 29.37%+0.23 -13.2 4
1977-08-23 @ Grasshopper W 1-063.3 1681 1674 29.37% 25.37% 45.26%-0.23 +13.2 4
1977-08-23 St. Gallen W 4-146.0 1606 1447 62.46% 24.19% 13.35%+1.29 +11.3 3
1977-08-23 @ Lausanne-Sport L 1-446.0 1447 1606 13.35% 24.19% 62.46%-1.29 -11.3 1
1977-08-23 Young Boys D 1-162.0 1492 1494 46.01% 25.36% 28.63%+0.27 -1.1 3
1977-08-23 @ Sion D 1-162.0 1494 1492 28.63% 25.36% 46.01%-0.27 +1.1 2
1977-08-23 Neuchatel Xamax L 2-452.8 1389 1644 16.10% 24.10% 59.80%-1.34 -8.3 0
1977-08-23 @ Young Fellows Zurich W 4-252.8 1644 1389 59.80% 24.10% 16.10%+1.34 +8.3 4
1977-08-24 Zurich W 2-170.1 1494 1739 16.84% 24.21% 58.95%-1.28 +15.8 4
1977-08-24 @ Etoile Carouge L 1-270.1 1739 1494 58.95% 24.21% 16.84%+1.28 -15.8 4
1977-08-27 Young Fellows Zurich W 5-038.1 1694 1381 71.97% 21.88% 6.15%+2.26 +10.1 6
1977-08-27 @ Basel L 0-538.1 1381 1694 6.15% 21.88% 71.97%-2.26 -10.1 0
1977-08-27 Grasshopper W 1-059.1 1617 1661 40.42% 25.41% 34.17%+0.00 +10.6 5
1977-08-27 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-159.1 1661 1617 34.17% 25.41% 40.42%+0.00 -10.6 4
1977-08-27 Neuchatel Xamax W 3-050.9 1702 1652 52.13% 25.15% 22.73%+0.59 +21.1 6
1977-08-27 @ Servette L 0-350.9 1652 1702 22.73% 25.15% 52.13%-0.59 -21.1 4
1977-08-27 Chenois D 0-059.8 1491 1538 39.94% 25.41% 34.65%-0.02 -0.3 4
1977-08-27 @ Sion D 0-059.8 1538 1491 34.65% 25.41% 39.94%+0.02 +0.4 4
1977-08-27 Etoile Carouge W 2-047.4 1435 1509 36.11% 25.38% 38.51%-0.19 +21.9 3
1977-08-27 @ St. Gallen L 0-247.4 1509 1435 38.51% 25.38% 36.11%+0.19 -21.9 4
1977-08-27 Young Boys W 2-154.7 1723 1495 67.28% 23.28% 9.45%+1.72 +3.3 6
1977-08-27 @ Zurich L 1-254.7 1495 1723 9.45% 23.28% 67.28%-1.72 -3.3 2
1977-09-03 Lausanne-Sport L 0-253.6 1538 1628 33.96% 25.35% 40.70%-0.29 -19.9 4
1977-09-03 @ Chenois W 2-053.6 1628 1538 40.70% 25.35% 33.96%+0.29 +19.9 7
1977-09-03 Sion L 0-348.4 1487 1491 45.75% 25.36% 28.89%+0.25 -36.5 4
1977-09-03 @ Etoile Carouge W 3-048.4 1491 1487 28.89% 25.36% 45.75%-0.25 +36.5 6
1977-09-03 Basel L 2-563.0 1631 1704 36.18% 25.38% 38.44%-0.19 -22.1 4
1977-09-03 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 5-263.0 1704 1631 38.44% 25.38% 36.18%+0.19 +22.2 8
1977-09-03 Grasshopper L 1-452.7 1492 1650 25.28% 25.01% 49.71%-0.73 -19.3 2
1977-09-03 @ Young Boys W 4-152.7 1650 1492 49.71% 25.01% 25.28%+0.73 +19.3 6
1977-09-03 St. Gallen L 0-145.7 1371 1457 34.34% 25.35% 40.31%-0.27 -10.7 0
1977-09-03 @ Young Fellows Zurich W 1-045.7 1457 1371 40.31% 25.35% 34.34%+0.27 +10.7 5
1977-09-03 Servette L 1-269.1 1726 1723 46.64% 25.34% 28.02%+0.30 -12.8 6
1977-09-03 @ Zurich W 2-169.1 1723 1726 28.02% 25.34% 46.64%-0.30 +12.8 8
1977-09-17 Zurich D 2-276.9 1727 1714 47.83% 25.31% 26.86%+0.36 -1.0 9
1977-09-17 @ Basel D 2-276.9 1714 1727 26.86% 25.31% 47.83%-0.36 +1.0 7
1977-09-17 Chenois W 5-148.6 1669 1519 61.78% 24.29% 13.93%+1.23 +15.1 8
1977-09-17 @ Grasshopper L 1-548.6 1519 1669 13.93% 24.29% 61.78%-1.23 -15.1 4
1977-09-17 Etoile Carouge W 1-047.4 1648 1451 65.22% 23.72% 11.06%+1.52 +4.1 9
1977-09-17 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-147.4 1451 1648 11.06% 23.72% 65.22%-1.52 -4.1 4
1977-09-17 Young Boys W 5-146.7 1736 1472 69.36% 22.73% 7.91%+1.95 +8.8 10
1977-09-17 @ Servette L 1-546.7 1472 1736 7.91% 22.73% 69.36%-1.95 -8.8 2
1977-09-17 Young Fellows Zurich W 2-037.4 1527 1360 63.08% 24.10% 12.82%+1.34 +8.9 8
1977-09-17 @ Sion L 0-237.4 1360 1527 12.82% 24.10% 63.08%-1.34 -8.9 0
1977-09-17 Neuchatel Xamax L 0-152.0 1468 1609 27.32% 25.12% 47.56%-0.62 -8.9 5
1977-09-17 @ St. Gallen W 1-052.0 1609 1468 47.56% 25.12% 27.32%+0.62 +8.9 6
1977-09-24 Grasshopper L 2-360.1 1447 1684 17.48% 24.29% 58.23%-1.23 -5.5 4
1977-09-24 @ Etoile Carouge W 3-260.1 1684 1447 58.23% 24.29% 17.48%+1.23 +5.5 10
1977-09-24 Sion D 1-167.9 1618 1536 55.52% 24.94% 19.54%+0.79 -2.3 7
1977-09-24 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 1-167.9 1536 1618 19.54% 24.94% 55.52%-0.79 +2.3 9
1977-09-24 Basel W 2-055.2 1745 1726 48.55% 25.29% 26.16%+0.40 +16.3 12
1977-09-24 @ Servette L 0-255.2 1726 1745 26.16% 25.29% 48.55%-0.40 -16.3 9
1977-09-24 Chenois L 0-152.1 1463 1503 40.87% 25.41% 33.72%+0.02 -12.2 2
1977-09-24 @ Young Boys W 1-052.1 1503 1463 33.72% 25.41% 40.87%-0.02 +12.2 6
1977-09-24 Lausanne-Sport L 0-338.9 1351 1652 12.86% 23.49% 63.64%-1.63 -12.8 0
1977-09-24 @ Young Fellows Zurich W 3-038.9 1652 1351 63.64% 23.49% 12.86%+1.63 +12.8 11
1977-09-24 St. Gallen D 0-065.2 1715 1459 68.91% 22.86% 8.23%+1.89 -4.8 8
1977-09-24 @ Zurich D 0-065.2 1459 1715 8.23% 22.86% 68.91%-1.89 +4.8 6
1977-10-01 Young Boys D 0-064.8 1709 1451 69.06% 22.82% 8.13%+1.91 -4.8 10
1977-10-01 @ Basel D 0-064.8 1451 1709 8.13% 22.82% 69.06%-1.91 +4.8 3
1977-10-01 Etoile Carouge W 1-045.4 1516 1441 54.78% 24.99% 20.23%+0.75 +7.0 8
1977-10-01 @ Chenois L 0-145.4 1441 1516 20.23% 24.99% 54.78%-0.75 -7.0 4
1977-10-01 Young Fellows Zurich D 1-164.8 1690 1338 73.74% 21.18% 5.09%+2.50 -4.9 11
1977-10-01 @ Grasshopper D 1-164.8 1338 1690 5.09% 21.18% 73.74%-2.50 +4.9 1
1977-10-01 Neuchatel Xamax W 3-050.1 1665 1616 52.07% 25.15% 22.78%+0.59 +21.2 13
1977-10-01 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-350.1 1616 1665 22.78% 25.15% 52.07%-0.59 -21.2 7
1977-10-01 Zurich L 0-155.4 1539 1710 23.86% 24.92% 51.22%-0.81 -8.0 9
1977-10-01 @ Sion W 1-055.4 1710 1539 51.22% 24.92% 23.86%+0.81 +8.0 10
1977-10-01 Servette D 2-275.0 1464 1761 13.09% 23.55% 63.36%-1.60 +2.5 7
1977-10-01 @ St. Gallen D 2-275.0 1761 1464 63.36% 23.55% 13.09%+1.60 -2.5 13
1977-10-08 St. Gallen W 4-254.8 1705 1466 67.89% 23.13% 8.98%+1.79 +4.9 12
1977-10-08 @ Basel L 2-454.8 1466 1705 8.98% 23.13% 67.89%-1.79 -4.9 7
1977-10-08 Grasshopper L 2-368.6 1594 1685 33.77% 25.34% 40.88%-0.30 -9.4 7
1977-10-08 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 3-268.6 1685 1594 40.88% 25.34% 33.77%+0.30 +9.4 13
1977-10-08 Sion D 2-276.2 1758 1531 67.24% 23.29% 9.48%+1.72 -3.0 14
1977-10-08 @ Servette D 2-276.2 1531 1758 9.48% 23.29% 67.24%-1.72 +3.0 10
1977-10-08 Etoile Carouge D 2-263.7 1456 1434 48.88% 25.28% 25.84%+0.41 -1.1 4
1977-10-08 @ Young Boys D 2-263.7 1434 1456 25.84% 25.28% 48.88%-0.41 +1.1 5
1977-10-08 Chenois W 3-153.9 1343 1523 23.00% 24.86% 52.14%-0.86 +24.4 3
1977-10-08 @ Young Fellows Zurich L 1-353.9 1523 1343 52.14% 24.86% 23.00%+0.86 -24.4 8
1977-10-08 Lausanne-Sport W 2-054.3 1718 1686 50.12% 25.24% 24.64%+0.48 +15.5 12
1977-10-08 @ Zurich L 0-254.3 1686 1718 24.64% 25.24% 50.12%-0.48 -15.5 13
1977-10-15 Young Fellows Zurich W 3-035.4 1435 1368 54.09% 25.04% 20.88%+0.71 +19.7 7
1977-10-15 @ Etoile Carouge L 0-335.4 1368 1435 20.88% 25.04% 54.09%-0.71 -19.7 3
1977-10-15 Zurich W 7-258.5 1694 1733 41.04% 25.41% 33.55%+0.03 +32.0 15
1977-10-15 @ Grasshopper L 2-758.5 1733 1694 33.55% 25.41% 41.04%-0.03 -32.0 12
1977-10-15 Servette L 1-265.3 1670 1755 34.55% 25.36% 40.10%-0.26 -10.1 13
1977-10-15 @ Lausanne-Sport W 2-165.3 1755 1670 40.10% 25.36% 34.55%+0.26 +10.1 16
1977-10-15 Basel W 4-163.0 1534 1710 23.36% 24.88% 51.75%-0.84 +34.2 12
1977-10-15 @ Sion L 1-463.0 1710 1534 51.75% 24.88% 23.36%+0.84 -34.2 12
1977-10-15 Young Boys L 0-249.0 1461 1455 47.02% 25.33% 27.64%+0.32 -25.7 7
1977-10-15 @ St. Gallen W 2-049.0 1455 1461 27.64% 25.33% 47.02%-0.32 +25.7 6
1977-10-16 Neuchatel Xamax W 3-158.1 1498 1585 34.32% 25.35% 40.32%-0.27 +19.6 10
1977-10-16 @ Chenois L 1-358.1 1585 1498 40.32% 25.35% 34.32%+0.27 -19.6 7
1977-10-22 Lausanne-Sport L 1-463.3 1675 1660 48.09% 25.30% 26.60%+0.37 -32.1 12
1977-10-22 @ Basel W 4-163.3 1660 1675 26.60% 25.30% 48.09%-0.37 +32.1 15
1977-10-22 Etoile Carouge W 2-151.4 1565 1455 58.29% 24.70% 17.01%+0.97 +5.7 9
1977-10-22 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 1-251.4 1455 1565 17.01% 24.70% 58.29%-0.97 -5.7 7
1977-10-22 Grasshopper D 2-277.2 1765 1726 50.92% 25.20% 23.88%+0.52 -1.3 17
1977-10-22 @ Servette D 2-277.2 1726 1765 23.88% 25.20% 50.92%-0.52 +1.3 16
1977-10-22 Sion D 1-162.7 1436 1568 28.38% 25.17% 46.44%-0.56 +1.1 8
1977-10-22 @ St. Gallen D 1-162.7 1568 1436 46.44% 25.17% 28.38%+0.56 -1.1 13
1977-10-22 Young Fellows Zurich W 3-034.1 1481 1348 60.28% 24.48% 15.23%+1.12 +15.0 8
1977-10-22 @ Young Boys L 0-334.1 1348 1481 15.23% 24.48% 60.28%-1.12 -15.0 3
1977-10-22 Chenois W 1-050.9 1701 1518 64.28% 23.90% 11.83%+1.44 +4.4 14
1977-10-22 @ Zurich L 0-150.9 1518 1701 11.83% 23.90% 64.28%-1.44 -4.4 10
1977-10-25 Servette D 2-274.9 1449 1764 12.00% 23.29% 64.71%-1.72 +2.7 8
1977-10-25 @ Etoile Carouge D 2-274.9 1764 1449 64.71% 23.29% 12.00%+1.72 -2.7 18
1977-10-25 St. Gallen W 3-257.3 1728 1437 70.83% 22.27% 6.89%+2.12 +2.3 18
1977-10-25 @ Grasshopper L 2-357.3 1437 1728 6.89% 22.27% 70.83%-2.12 -2.3 8
1977-10-25 Sion W 2-049.9 1692 1567 59.67% 24.56% 15.78%+1.07 +10.7 17
1977-10-25 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-249.9 1567 1692 15.78% 24.56% 59.67%-1.07 -10.7 13
1977-10-25 Zurich L 1-346.2 1333 1706 9.00% 22.37% 68.63%-2.08 -5.4 3
1977-10-25 @ Young Fellows Zurich W 3-146.2 1706 1333 68.63% 22.37% 9.00%+2.08 +5.4 16
1977-10-26 Basel W 2-057.0 1514 1643 28.70% 25.19% 46.11%-0.54 +25.3 12
1977-10-26 @ Chenois L 0-257.0 1643 1514 46.11% 25.19% 28.70%+0.54 -25.3 12
1977-10-26 Neuchatel Xamax D 1-165.0 1496 1571 35.91% 25.38% 38.71%-0.20 +0.2 9
1977-10-26 @ Young Boys D 1-165.0 1571 1496 38.71% 25.38% 35.91%+0.20 -0.2 10
1977-11-05 Etoile Carouge W 4-040.5 1618 1452 62.96% 24.12% 12.92%+1.33 +16.9 14
1977-11-05 @ Basel L 0-440.5 1452 1618 12.92% 24.12% 62.96%-1.33 -17.0 8
1977-11-05 Young Fellows Zurich W 2-040.4 1761 1328 77.09% 19.54% 3.37%+3.02 +2.3 20
1977-11-05 @ Servette L 0-240.4 1328 1761 3.37% 19.54% 77.09%-3.02 -2.3 3
1977-11-05 Grasshopper D 2-275.7 1556 1730 23.57% 24.90% 51.53%-0.82 +1.3 14
1977-11-05 @ Sion D 2-275.7 1730 1556 51.53% 24.90% 23.57%+0.82 -1.3 19
1977-11-05 Chenois W 5-361.2 1434 1539 31.94% 25.30% 42.76%-0.38 +17.4 10
1977-11-05 @ St. Gallen L 3-561.2 1539 1434 42.76% 25.30% 31.94%+0.38 -17.4 12
1977-11-06 Young Boys W 6-044.1 1703 1496 65.91% 23.58% 10.51%+1.59 +20.5 19
1977-11-06 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-644.1 1496 1703 10.51% 23.58% 65.91%-1.59 -20.5 9
1977-11-06 Neuchatel Xamax D 1-170.6 1711 1571 60.93% 24.40% 14.67%+1.16 -3.1 17
1977-11-06 @ Zurich D 1-170.6 1571 1711 14.67% 24.40% 60.93%-1.16 +3.1 11
1977-11-12 Sion W 2-158.6 1521 1557 41.44% 25.41% 33.15%+0.05 +9.8 14
1977-11-12 @ Chenois L 1-258.6 1557 1521 33.15% 25.41% 41.44%-0.05 -9.8 14
1977-11-12 Lausanne-Sport W 2-055.6 1729 1723 46.87% 25.34% 27.80%+0.31 +17.1 21
1977-11-12 @ Grasshopper L 0-255.6 1723 1729 27.80% 25.34% 46.87%-0.31 -17.1 19
1977-11-12 Servette L 0-156.0 1574 1764 21.92% 24.77% 53.32%-0.93 -7.4 11
1977-11-12 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 1-056.0 1764 1574 53.32% 24.77% 21.92%+0.93 +7.5 22
1977-11-12 Zurich L 0-152.1 1475 1708 17.90% 24.35% 57.75%-1.20 -6.3 9
1977-11-12 @ Young Boys W 1-052.1 1708 1475 57.75% 24.35% 17.90%+1.20 +6.3 19
1977-11-12 Basel L 1-442.0 1325 1635 12.31% 23.37% 64.32%-1.68 -10.3 3
1977-11-12 @ Young Fellows Zurich W 4-142.0 1635 1325 64.32% 23.37% 12.31%+1.68 +10.3 16
1977-11-13 St. Gallen W 2-150.9 1435 1452 44.03% 25.39% 30.59%+0.17 +9.2 10
1977-11-13 @ Etoile Carouge L 1-250.9 1452 1435 30.59% 25.39% 44.03%-0.17 -9.2 10
1977-11-19 Neuchatel Xamax W 6-150.2 1645 1566 55.23% 24.96% 19.82%+0.77 +25.1 18
1977-11-19 @ Basel L 1-650.2 1566 1645 19.82% 24.96% 55.23%-0.77 -25.2 11
1977-11-19 Young Boys W 3-043.5 1746 1469 70.08% 22.52% 7.41%+2.03 +7.6 23
1977-11-19 @ Grasshopper L 0-343.5 1469 1746 7.41% 22.52% 70.08%-2.03 -7.6 9
1977-11-19 Young Fellows Zurich W 1-038.3 1443 1315 59.86% 24.53% 15.61%+1.09 +5.6 12
1977-11-19 @ St. Gallen L 0-138.3 1315 1443 15.61% 24.53% 59.86%-1.09 -5.6 3
1977-11-20 Chenois W 3-045.9 1706 1531 63.67% 24.00% 12.33%+1.39 +12.4 21
1977-11-20 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-345.9 1531 1706 12.33% 24.00% 63.67%-1.39 -12.4 14
1977-11-20 Zurich L 0-263.2 1771 1714 52.92% 25.10% 21.97%+0.64 -28.6 22
1977-11-20 @ Servette W 2-063.2 1714 1771 21.97% 25.10% 52.92%-0.64 +28.6 21
1977-11-20 Etoile Carouge D 1-162.4 1548 1444 57.65% 24.76% 17.59%+0.93 -2.6 15
1977-11-20 @ Sion D 1-162.4 1444 1548 17.59% 24.76% 57.65%-0.93 +2.6 11
1977-11-26 Grasshopper L 1-355.7 1519 1753 17.74% 24.33% 57.94%-1.21 -10.2 14
1977-11-26 @ Chenois W 3-155.7 1753 1519 57.94% 24.33% 17.74%+1.21 +10.2 25
1977-11-26 St. Gallen W 3-040.5 1541 1448 56.67% 24.85% 18.49%+0.87 +17.8 13
1977-11-26 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 0-340.5 1448 1541 18.49% 24.85% 56.67%-0.87 -17.8 12
1977-11-27 Lausanne-Sport L 1-352.5 1447 1719 14.81% 23.88% 61.30%-1.44 -8.7 11
1977-11-27 @ Etoile Carouge W 3-152.5 1719 1447 61.30% 23.88% 14.81%+1.44 +8.7 23
1977-11-27 Servette L 1-548.8 1462 1743 14.16% 23.76% 62.08%-1.50 -15.2 9
1977-11-27 @ Young Boys W 5-148.8 1743 1462 62.08% 23.76% 14.16%+1.50 +15.2 24
1977-11-27 Sion L 1-245.7 1309 1545 17.65% 24.32% 58.03%-1.22 -5.8 3
1977-11-27 @ Young Fellows Zurich W 2-145.7 1545 1309 58.03% 24.32% 17.65%+1.22 +5.8 17
1977-11-27 Basel D 1-171.8 1743 1670 54.61% 25.00% 20.39%+0.74 -2.2 22
1977-11-27 @ Zurich D 1-171.8 1670 1743 20.39% 25.00% 54.61%-0.74 +2.2 19
1977-12-03 Servette W 2-167.0 1672 1758 34.52% 25.36% 40.12%-0.26 +11.3 21
1977-12-03 @ Basel L 1-267.0 1758 1672 40.12% 25.36% 34.52%+0.26 -11.3 24
1977-12-03 Young Boys L 1-260.0 1509 1446 53.51% 25.07% 21.42%+0.67 -14.4 14
1977-12-03 @ Chenois W 2-160.0 1446 1509 21.42% 25.07% 53.51%-0.67 +14.4 11
1977-12-03 Etoile Carouge W 3-257.7 1764 1438 72.53% 21.67% 5.80%+2.34 +1.9 27
1977-12-03 @ Grasshopper L 2-357.7 1438 1764 5.80% 21.67% 72.53%-2.34 -1.9 11
1977-12-04 Young Fellows Zurich W 4-140.9 1727 1304 76.71% 19.75% 3.54%+2.96 +2.9 25
1977-12-04 @ Lausanne-Sport L 1-440.9 1304 1727 3.54% 19.75% 76.71%-2.96 -3.0 3
1977-12-04 Neuchatel Xamax W 3-155.8 1551 1559 45.13% 25.37% 29.50%+0.22 +15.5 19
1977-12-04 @ Sion L 1-355.8 1559 1551 29.50% 25.37% 45.13%-0.22 -15.5 13
1977-12-04 Zurich W 2-062.3 1430 1741 12.27% 23.36% 64.37%-1.69 +34.3 14
1977-12-04 @ St. Gallen L 0-262.3 1741 1430 64.37% 23.36% 12.27%+1.69 -34.4 22
1977-12-10 St. Gallen D 0-066.2 1746 1465 70.34% 22.43% 7.22%+2.06 -5.0 25
1977-12-10 @ Servette D 0-066.2 1465 1746 7.22% 22.43% 70.34%-2.06 +5.0 15
1977-12-11 Chenois L 0-246.9 1436 1494 38.40% 25.40% 36.20%-0.09 -21.8 11
1977-12-11 @ Etoile Carouge W 2-046.9 1494 1436 36.20% 25.40% 38.40%+0.09 +21.8 16
1977-12-11 Lausanne-Sport L 1-357.2 1544 1730 22.23% 24.80% 52.98%-0.91 -12.3 13
1977-12-11 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 3-157.2 1730 1544 52.98% 24.80% 22.23%+0.91 +12.3 27
1977-12-11 Basel L 4-565.6 1461 1684 18.75% 24.45% 56.80%-1.14 -5.6 11
1977-12-11 @ Young Boys W 5-465.6 1684 1461 56.80% 24.45% 18.75%+1.14 +5.6 23
1977-12-11 Grasshopper D 1-166.3 1301 1765 5.69% 20.68% 73.63%-2.67 +4.8 4
1977-12-11 @ Young Fellows Zurich D 1-166.3 1765 1301 73.63% 20.68% 5.69%+2.67 -4.8 28
1977-12-11 Sion D 2-275.6 1706 1566 60.91% 24.41% 14.69%+1.16 -2.3 23
1977-12-11 @ Zurich D 2-275.6 1566 1706 14.69% 24.41% 60.91%-1.16 +2.3 20
1978-02-25 Young Fellows Zurich W 5-031.2 1516 1305 66.15% 23.53% 10.32%+1.61 +16.9 18
1978-02-25 @ Chenois L 0-531.2 1305 1516 10.32% 23.53% 66.15%-1.61 -16.9 4
1978-02-26 Young Boys L 0-148.8 1415 1455 40.79% 25.41% 33.80%+0.02 -12.1 11
1978-02-26 @ Etoile Carouge W 1-048.8 1455 1415 33.80% 25.41% 40.79%-0.02 +12.1 13
1978-02-26 Zurich D 1-171.9 1743 1704 50.88% 25.20% 23.91%+0.52 -1.7 28
1978-02-26 @ Lausanne-Sport D 1-171.9 1704 1743 23.91% 25.20% 50.88%-0.52 +1.7 24
1978-03-04 Sion W 5-046.6 1689 1569 59.25% 24.60% 16.15%+1.04 +25.5 25
1978-03-04 @ Basel L 0-546.6 1569 1689 16.15% 24.60% 59.25%-1.04 -25.5 20
1978-03-04 St. Gallen W 2-152.1 1467 1470 45.88% 25.36% 28.76%+0.26 +8.8 15
1978-03-04 @ Young Boys L 1-252.1 1470 1467 28.76% 25.36% 45.88%-0.26 -8.8 15
1978-03-05 Chenois W 1-052.0 1531 1533 45.99% 25.36% 28.65%+0.27 +9.3 15
1978-03-05 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 0-152.0 1533 1531 28.65% 25.36% 45.99%-0.27 -9.3 18
1978-03-05 Lausanne-Sport W 3-161.0 1741 1741 46.26% 25.35% 28.39%+0.28 +15.0 27
1978-03-05 @ Servette L 1-361.0 1741 1741 28.39% 25.35% 46.26%-0.28 -15.0 28
1978-03-05 Etoile Carouge L 0-142.0 1288 1402 30.68% 25.26% 44.06%-0.45 -9.8 4
1978-03-05 @ Young Fellows Zurich W 1-042.0 1402 1288 44.06% 25.26% 30.68%+0.45 +9.8 13
1978-03-05 Grasshopper L 1-266.8 1706 1761 38.80% 25.41% 35.79%-0.07 -11.0 24
1978-03-05 @ Zurich W 2-166.8 1761 1706 35.79% 25.41% 38.80%+0.07 +11.0 30
1978-03-11 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-048.3 1772 1541 67.45% 23.24% 9.31%+1.74 +6.6 32
1978-03-11 @ Grasshopper L 0-248.3 1541 1772 9.31% 23.24% 67.45%-1.74 -6.6 15
1978-03-12 Servette L 0-251.6 1543 1756 19.63% 24.55% 55.82%-1.07 -12.8 20
1978-03-12 @ Sion W 2-051.6 1756 1543 55.82% 24.55% 19.63%+1.07 +12.8 29
1978-03-12 Basel L 1-256.0 1461 1715 16.17% 24.11% 59.73%-1.33 -5.4 15
1978-03-12 @ St. Gallen W 2-156.0 1715 1461 59.73% 24.11% 16.17%+1.33 +5.4 27
1978-03-18 Neuchatel Xamax L 0-147.9 1412 1534 29.66% 25.22% 45.11%-0.50 -9.5 13
1978-03-18 @ Etoile Carouge W 1-047.9 1534 1412 45.11% 25.22% 29.66%+0.50 +9.5 17
1978-03-18 Basel D 0-068.0 1726 1720 46.91% 25.34% 27.75%+0.31 -1.3 29
1978-03-18 @ Lausanne-Sport D 0-068.0 1720 1726 27.75% 25.34% 46.91%-0.31 +1.3 28
1978-03-18 St. Gallen D 0-058.3 1530 1456 54.82% 24.99% 20.19%+0.75 -2.5 21
1978-03-18 @ Sion D 0-058.3 1456 1530 20.19% 24.99% 54.82%-0.75 +2.5 16
1978-03-18 Young Boys L 0-140.0 1279 1476 21.15% 24.70% 54.15%-0.97 -7.2 4
1978-03-18 @ Young Fellows Zurich W 1-040.0 1476 1279 54.15% 24.70% 21.15%+0.97 +7.2 17
1978-03-19 Zurich L 0-251.7 1524 1695 23.88% 24.92% 51.20%-0.81 -15.1 18
1978-03-19 @ Chenois W 2-051.7 1695 1524 51.20% 24.92% 23.88%+0.81 +15.1 26
1978-03-19 Servette L 0-164.9 1778 1769 47.33% 25.33% 27.34%+0.33 -13.7 32
1978-03-19 @ Grasshopper W 1-064.9 1769 1778 27.34% 25.33% 47.33%-0.33 +13.7 31
1978-03-22 Grasshopper L 2-565.2 1722 1765 40.49% 25.41% 34.10%+0.00 -24.1 28
1978-03-22 @ Basel W 5-265.2 1765 1722 34.10% 25.41% 40.49%+0.00 +24.1 34
1978-03-22 Etoile Carouge W 5-143.5 1710 1403 71.66% 21.99% 6.35%+2.22 +7.1 28
1978-03-22 @ Zurich L 1-543.5 1403 1710 6.35% 21.99% 71.66%-2.22 -7.1 13
1978-03-23 Young Fellows Zurich W 3-246.1 1544 1271 69.83% 22.59% 7.58%+2.00 +2.5 19
1978-03-23 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 2-346.1 1271 1544 7.58% 22.59% 69.83%-2.00 -2.5 4
1978-03-23 Chenois W 2-155.1 1783 1509 69.96% 22.55% 7.49%+2.01 +2.7 33
1978-03-23 @ Servette L 1-255.1 1509 1783 7.49% 22.55% 69.96%-2.01 -2.6 18
1978-03-23 Lausanne-Sport D 2-274.0 1458 1725 15.21% 23.95% 60.84%-1.41 +2.3 17
1978-03-23 @ St. Gallen D 2-274.0 1725 1458 60.84% 23.95% 15.21%+1.41 -2.3 30
1978-03-23 Sion W 3-153.7 1483 1528 40.26% 25.41% 34.33%-0.01 +17.4 19
1978-03-23 @ Young Boys L 1-353.7 1528 1483 34.33% 25.41% 40.26%+0.01 -17.4 21

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1978-04-01 Neuchatel Xamax W 1-053.4 1396 1546 26.19% 25.06% 48.75%-0.68 +14.0 2
1978-04-01 @ Etoile Carouge L 0-153.4 1546 1396 48.75% 25.06% 26.19%+0.68 -14.0 0
1978-04-01 Basel D 1-171.7 1722 1697 49.27% 25.27% 25.47%+0.43 -1.5 1
1978-04-01 @ Lausanne-Sport D 1-171.7 1697 1722 25.47% 25.27% 49.27%-0.43 +1.5 1
1978-04-01 Grasshopper D 1-171.1 1510 1789 14.36% 23.80% 61.84%-1.49 +3.2 1
1978-04-01 @ Sion D 1-171.1 1789 1510 61.84% 23.80% 14.36%+1.49 -3.2 1
1978-04-01 Young Boys D 2-266.1 1460 1501 40.85% 25.41% 33.74%+0.02 -0.3 1
1978-04-01 @ St. Gallen D 2-266.1 1501 1460 33.74% 25.41% 40.85%-0.02 +0.3 1
1978-04-01 Servette D 0-068.2 1717 1786 36.83% 25.39% 37.77%-0.16 +0.1 1
1978-04-01 @ Zurich D 0-068.2 1786 1717 37.77% 25.39% 36.83%+0.16 -0.1 1
1978-04-02 Young Fellows Zurich W 4-029.6 1506 1269 67.82% 23.15% 9.04%+1.78 +12.1 2
1978-04-02 @ Chenois L 0-429.6 1269 1506 9.04% 23.15% 67.82%-1.78 -12.1 0
1978-04-08 Zurich D 1-171.7 1699 1717 43.86% 25.39% 30.74%+0.16 -0.8 2
1978-04-08 @ Basel D 1-171.7 1717 1699 30.74% 25.39% 43.86%-0.16 +0.8 2
1978-04-08 Lausanne-Sport D 0-068.3 1785 1721 53.76% 25.06% 21.18%+0.69 -2.4 2
1978-04-08 @ Grasshopper D 0-068.3 1721 1785 21.18% 25.06% 53.76%-0.69 +2.3 2
1978-04-08 St. Gallen D 1-162.3 1532 1460 54.53% 25.01% 20.46%+0.73 -2.2 1
1978-04-08 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 1-162.3 1460 1532 20.46% 25.01% 54.53%-0.73 +2.2 2
1978-04-08 Sion W 1-050.6 1786 1514 69.82% 22.59% 7.58%+2.00 +2.9 3
1978-04-08 @ Servette L 0-150.6 1514 1786 7.58% 22.59% 69.82%-2.00 -2.8 1
1978-04-08 Chenois D 0-059.4 1501 1518 43.99% 25.39% 30.62%+0.17 -0.9 2
1978-04-08 @ Young Boys D 0-059.4 1518 1501 30.62% 25.39% 43.99%-0.17 +0.9 3
1978-04-08 Etoile Carouge L 1-537.8 1257 1410 25.93% 25.05% 49.02%-0.69 -25.5 0
1978-04-08 @ Young Fellows Zurich W 5-137.8 1410 1257 49.02% 25.05% 25.93%+0.69 +25.5 4
1978-04-14 Chenois L 1-547.3 1435 1519 34.71% 25.36% 39.93%-0.25 -32.0 4
1978-04-14 @ Etoile Carouge W 5-147.3 1519 1435 39.93% 25.36% 34.71%+0.25 +32.0 5
1978-04-15 Sion W 6-147.3 1723 1511 66.26% 23.51% 10.23%+1.62 +13.9 4
1978-04-15 @ Lausanne-Sport L 1-647.3 1511 1723 10.23% 23.51% 66.26%-1.62 -13.9 1
1978-04-15 Basel L 0-264.2 1788 1698 56.39% 24.87% 18.74%+0.85 -30.4 3
1978-04-15 @ Servette W 2-064.2 1698 1788 18.74% 24.87% 56.39%-0.85 +30.4 4
1978-04-15 Young Fellows Zurich W 3-029.5 1462 1231 67.45% 23.24% 9.32%+1.74 +9.5 4
1978-04-15 @ St. Gallen L 0-329.5 1231 1462 9.32% 23.24% 67.45%-1.74 -9.5 0
1978-04-15 Neuchatel Xamax L 1-259.6 1500 1530 42.29% 25.40% 32.30%+0.09 -11.8 2
1978-04-15 @ Young Boys W 2-159.6 1530 1500 32.30% 25.40% 42.29%-0.09 +11.8 3
1978-04-15 Grasshopper L 1-363.8 1718 1783 37.32% 25.40% 37.29%-0.14 -18.5 2
1978-04-15 @ Zurich W 3-163.8 1783 1718 37.29% 25.40% 37.32%+0.14 +18.5 4
1978-04-18 St. Gallen L 0-147.7 1403 1472 36.83% 25.39% 37.78%-0.16 -11.2 4
1978-04-18 @ Etoile Carouge W 1-047.7 1472 1403 37.78% 25.39% 36.83%+0.16 +11.2 6
1978-04-18 Basel L 1-452.4 1497 1729 17.99% 24.36% 57.65%-1.19 -14.5 1
1978-04-18 @ Sion W 4-152.4 1729 1497 57.65% 24.36% 17.99%+1.19 +14.5 6
1978-04-19 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-049.4 1551 1542 47.37% 25.32% 27.30%+0.34 +16.8 7
1978-04-19 @ Chenois L 0-249.4 1542 1551 27.30% 25.32% 47.37%-0.34 -16.8 3
1978-04-19 Servette D 1-172.3 1802 1758 51.45% 25.18% 23.37%+0.55 -1.8 5
1978-04-19 @ Grasshopper D 1-172.3 1758 1802 23.37% 25.18% 51.45%-0.55 +1.8 4
1978-04-19 Zurich W 4-050.9 1737 1699 50.80% 25.21% 24.00%+0.52 +28.8 6
1978-04-19 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-450.9 1699 1737 24.00% 25.21% 50.80%-0.52 -28.8 2
1978-04-19 Young Boys L 2-443.3 1222 1488 15.20% 23.95% 60.85%-1.41 -7.9 0
1978-04-19 @ Young Fellows Zurich W 4-243.3 1488 1222 60.85% 23.95% 15.20%+1.41 +7.9 4
1978-04-22 Grasshopper W 2-058.4 1743 1800 38.54% 25.41% 36.06%-0.08 +20.8 8
1978-04-22 @ Basel L 0-258.4 1800 1743 36.06% 25.41% 38.54%+0.08 -20.8 5
1978-04-22 Young Fellows Zurich W 2-139.1 1525 1214 71.84% 21.92% 6.23%+2.25 +2.2 5
1978-04-22 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 1-239.1 1214 1525 6.23% 21.92% 71.84%-2.25 -2.2 0
1978-04-22 Lausanne-Sport D 1-172.1 1760 1766 45.42% 25.37% 29.21%+0.24 -1.0 5
1978-04-22 @ Servette D 1-172.1 1766 1760 29.21% 25.37% 45.42%-0.24 +1.0 7
1978-04-22 Chenois D 0-060.6 1483 1568 34.59% 25.36% 40.05%-0.26 +0.4 7
1978-04-22 @ St. Gallen D 0-060.6 1568 1483 40.05% 25.36% 34.59%+0.26 -0.4 8
1978-04-22 Etoile Carouge D 1-158.7 1496 1392 57.75% 24.75% 17.50%+0.94 -2.7 5
1978-04-22 @ Young Boys D 1-158.7 1392 1496 17.50% 24.75% 57.75%-0.94 +2.7 5
1978-04-22 Sion W 4-255.4 1670 1482 64.60% 23.84% 11.56%+1.47 +6.2 4
1978-04-22 @ Zurich L 2-455.4 1482 1670 11.56% 23.84% 64.60%-1.47 -6.2 1
1978-04-29 Lausanne-Sport W 3-161.3 1764 1767 45.81% 25.36% 28.83%+0.26 +15.2 10
1978-04-29 @ Basel L 1-361.3 1767 1764 28.83% 25.36% 45.81%-0.26 -15.2 7
1978-04-29 Sion W 4-148.8 1779 1476 71.44% 22.07% 6.49%+2.19 +5.6 7
1978-04-29 @ Grasshopper L 1-448.8 1476 1779 6.49% 22.07% 71.44%-2.19 -5.6 1
1978-04-29 Etoile Carouge D 1-159.9 1527 1394 60.27% 24.49% 15.25%+1.12 -3.0 6
1978-04-29 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 1-159.9 1394 1527 15.25% 24.49% 60.27%-1.12 +3.0 6
1978-04-29 Zurich L 1-271.6 1759 1677 55.59% 24.93% 19.48%+0.80 -15.0 5
1978-04-29 @ Servette W 2-171.6 1677 1759 19.48% 24.93% 55.59%-0.80 +15.0 6
1978-04-29 St. Gallen D 2-266.8 1494 1483 47.48% 25.32% 27.20%+0.34 -0.9 6
1978-04-29 @ Young Boys D 2-266.8 1483 1494 27.20% 25.32% 47.48%-0.34 +0.9 8
1978-04-29 Chenois L 1-534.0 1212 1567 9.79% 22.65% 67.56%-1.98 -10.7 0
1978-04-29 @ Young Fellows Zurich W 5-134.0 1567 1212 67.56% 22.65% 9.79%+1.98 +10.7 10
1978-05-06 Young Boys D 2-270.3 1578 1493 55.92% 24.91% 19.18%+0.82 -1.8 11
1978-05-06 @ Chenois D 2-270.3 1493 1578 19.18% 24.91% 55.92%-0.82 +1.8 7
1978-05-06 Grasshopper W 4-373.3 1752 1785 41.86% 25.41% 32.74%+0.07 +9.0 9
1978-05-06 @ Lausanne-Sport L 3-473.3 1785 1752 32.74% 25.41% 41.86%-0.07 -9.0 7
1978-05-06 Servette L 1-256.4 1470 1744 14.70% 23.86% 61.43%-1.45 -5.0 1
1978-05-06 @ Sion W 2-156.4 1744 1470 61.43% 23.86% 14.70%+1.45 +5.0 7
1978-05-06 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-156.2 1484 1524 40.95% 25.41% 33.64%+0.03 +9.9 10
1978-05-06 @ St. Gallen L 1-256.2 1524 1484 33.64% 25.41% 40.95%-0.03 -9.9 6
1978-05-06 Basel W 4-268.7 1692 1779 34.21% 25.35% 40.44%-0.28 +17.6 8
1978-05-06 @ Zurich L 2-468.7 1779 1692 40.44% 25.35% 34.21%+0.28 -17.6 10
1978-05-07 Young Fellows Zurich W 1-034.8 1398 1201 65.20% 23.73% 11.08%+1.52 +4.1 8
1978-05-07 @ Etoile Carouge L 0-134.8 1201 1398 11.08% 23.73% 65.20%-1.52 -4.1 0
1978-05-20 Servette D 2-277.2 1762 1749 47.79% 25.31% 26.90%+0.36 -1.0 11
1978-05-20 @ Basel D 2-277.2 1749 1762 26.90% 25.31% 47.79%-0.36 +1.0 8
1978-05-20 Etoile Carouge L 1-263.6 1576 1402 63.64% 24.01% 12.36%+1.38 -17.1 11
1978-05-20 @ Chenois W 2-163.6 1402 1576 12.36% 24.01% 63.64%-1.38 +17.1 10
1978-05-20 Zurich W 1-056.8 1776 1709 53.96% 25.04% 21.00%+0.70 +7.2 9
1978-05-20 @ Grasshopper L 0-156.8 1709 1776 21.00% 25.04% 53.96%-0.70 -7.2 8
1978-05-20 Young Boys L 0-350.4 1514 1494 48.64% 25.29% 26.08%+0.40 -38.5 6
1978-05-20 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 3-050.4 1494 1514 26.08% 25.29% 48.64%-0.40 +38.5 9
1978-05-20 Lausanne-Sport L 1-256.1 1466 1761 13.22% 23.57% 63.21%-1.59 -4.5 1
1978-05-20 @ Sion W 2-156.1 1761 1466 63.21% 23.57% 13.22%+1.59 +4.5 11
1978-05-20 St. Gallen W 1-051.3 1197 1494 13.07% 23.54% 63.39%-1.61 +18.0 2
1978-05-20 @ Young Fellows Zurich L 0-151.3 1494 1197 63.39% 23.54% 13.07%+1.61 -17.9 10
1978-05-24 Sion W 2-045.7 1761 1461 71.27% 22.13% 6.60%+2.17 +4.7 13
1978-05-24 @ Basel L 0-245.7 1461 1761 6.60% 22.13% 71.27%-2.17 -4.7 1
1978-05-24 Chenois W 3-048.8 1476 1559 34.74% 25.36% 39.90%-0.25 +32.7 8
1978-05-24 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 0-348.8 1559 1476 39.90% 25.36% 34.74%+0.25 -32.7 11
1978-05-24 Grasshopper D 0-068.3 1750 1783 41.84% 25.41% 32.76%+0.07 -0.6 9
1978-05-24 @ Servette D 0-068.3 1783 1750 32.76% 25.41% 41.84%-0.07 +0.6 10
1978-05-24 Etoile Carouge D 0-055.0 1476 1419 53.01% 25.10% 21.89%+0.64 -2.2 11
1978-05-24 @ St. Gallen D 0-055.0 1419 1476 21.89% 25.10% 53.01%-0.64 +2.2 11
1978-05-24 Young Fellows Zurich W 3-136.4 1533 1215 72.19% 21.80% 6.01%+2.29 +3.7 11
1978-05-24 @ Young Boys L 1-336.4 1215 1533 6.01% 21.80% 72.19%-2.29 -3.7 2
1978-05-24 Lausanne-Sport W 2-166.3 1702 1765 37.63% 25.40% 36.97%-0.12 +10.6 10
1978-05-24 @ Zurich L 1-266.3 1765 1702 36.97% 25.40% 37.63%+0.12 -10.6 11
1978-05-27 St. Gallen D 0-058.8 1527 1474 52.45% 25.13% 22.42%+0.61 -2.1 12
1978-05-27 @ Chenois D 0-058.8 1474 1527 22.42% 25.13% 52.45%-0.61 +2.1 12
1978-05-27 Young Boys L 1-253.3 1421 1537 30.46% 25.25% 44.29%-0.46 -9.2 11
1978-05-27 @ Etoile Carouge W 2-153.3 1537 1421 44.29% 25.25% 30.46%+0.46 +9.2 13
1978-05-27 Basel W 4-264.7 1783 1765 48.47% 25.29% 26.23%+0.39 +12.6 12
1978-05-27 @ Grasshopper L 2-464.7 1765 1783 26.23% 25.29% 48.47%-0.39 -12.6 13
1978-05-27 Servette L 1-269.4 1755 1749 46.88% 25.34% 27.79%+0.31 -12.8 11
1978-05-27 @ Lausanne-Sport W 2-169.4 1749 1755 27.79% 25.34% 46.88%-0.31 +12.8 11
1978-05-27 Zurich L 0-151.1 1456 1713 15.98% 24.08% 59.94%-1.35 -5.7 1
1978-05-27 @ Sion W 1-051.1 1713 1456 59.94% 24.08% 15.98%+1.35 +5.7 12
1978-05-27 Neuchatel Xamax L 3-449.4 1211 1508 13.09% 23.54% 63.37%-1.60 -4.1 2
1978-05-27 @ Young Fellows Zurich W 4-349.4 1508 1211 63.37% 23.54% 13.09%+1.60 +4.1 10

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1977-12-04 12.27% @ St. Gallen 1430 2 Zurich 1741 0
2 1978-05-20 12.36% Etoile Carouge 1402 2 @ Chenois 1576 1
3 1978-05-20 13.07% @ Young Fellows Zurich 1197 1 St. Gallen 1494 0
4 1977-08-24 16.84% @ Etoile Carouge 1494 2 Zurich 1739 1
5 1978-04-15 18.74% Basel 1698 2 @ Servette 1788 0
6 1977-08-20 19.04% @ Etoile Carouge 1477 1 Basel 1697 0
7 1978-04-29 19.48% Zurich 1677 2 @ Servette 1759 1
8 1977-12-03 21.42% Young Boys 1446 2 @ Chenois 1509 1
9 1977-08-23 21.45% @ Chenois 1523 1 Servette 1717 0
10 1977-11-20 21.97% Zurich 1714 2 @ Servette 1771 0
11 1977-10-08 23.00% @ Young Fellows Zurich 1343 3 Chenois 1523 1
12 1977-10-15 23.36% @ Sion 1534 4 Basel 1710 1
13 1978-05-20 26.08% Young Boys 1494 3 @ Neuchatel Xamax 1514 0
14 1978-04-01 26.19% @ Etoile Carouge 1396 1 Neuchatel Xamax 1546 0
15 1977-10-22 26.60% Lausanne-Sport 1660 4 @ Basel 1675 1
16 1978-03-19 27.34% Servette 1769 1 @ Grasshopper 1778 0
17 1977-10-15 27.64% Young Boys 1455 2 @ St. Gallen 1461 0
18 1978-05-27 27.79% Servette 1749 2 @ Lausanne-Sport 1755 1
19 1977-09-03 28.02% Servette 1723 2 @ Zurich 1726 1
20 1977-10-26 28.70% @ Chenois 1514 2 Basel 1643 0
21 1977-09-03 28.89% Sion 1491 3 @ Etoile Carouge 1487 0
22 1977-08-13 29.35% @ Sion 1494 3 Lausanne-Sport 1619 2
23 1977-08-23 29.37% Basel 1681 1 @ Grasshopper 1674 0
24 1977-11-05 31.94% @ St. Gallen 1434 5 Chenois 1539 3
25 1978-04-15 32.30% Neuchatel Xamax 1530 2 @ Young Boys 1500 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1978-05-20 38.50 Young Boys 3 1494 26.08% @ Neuchatel Xamax 0 1514 48.64% 25.29%
2 1977-09-03 36.52 Sion 3 1491 28.89% @ Etoile Carouge 0 1487 45.75% 25.36%
3 1977-12-04 34.35 @ St. Gallen 2 1430 12.27% Zurich 0 1741 64.37% 23.36%
4 1977-10-15 34.22 @ Sion 4 1534 23.36% Basel 1 1710 51.75% 24.88%
5 1978-05-24 32.67 @ Neuchatel Xamax 3 1476 34.74% Chenois 0 1559 39.90% 25.36%
6 1977-10-22 32.15 Lausanne-Sport 4 1660 26.60% @ Basel 1 1675 48.09% 25.30%
7 1978-04-14 32.01 Chenois 5 1519 39.93% @ Etoile Carouge 1 1435 34.71% 25.36%
8 1977-10-15 31.99 @ Grasshopper 7 1694 41.04% Zurich 2 1733 33.55% 25.41%
9 1978-04-15 30.36 Basel 2 1698 18.74% @ Servette 0 1788 56.39% 24.87%
10 1978-04-19 28.84 @ Lausanne-Sport 4 1737 50.80% Zurich 0 1699 24.00% 25.21%
11 1977-11-20 28.60 Zurich 2 1714 21.97% @ Servette 0 1771 52.92% 25.10%
12 1977-08-13 26.98 @ Neuchatel Xamax 5 1627 58.02% Young Boys 0 1520 17.25% 24.73%
13 1977-10-15 25.74 Young Boys 2 1455 27.64% @ St. Gallen 0 1461 47.02% 25.33%
14 1978-03-04 25.49 @ Basel 5 1689 59.25% Sion 0 1569 16.15% 24.60%
15 1978-04-08 25.48 Etoile Carouge 5 1410 49.02% @ Young Fellows Zurich 1 1257 25.93% 25.05%
16 1977-10-26 25.28 @ Chenois 2 1514 28.70% Basel 0 1643 46.11% 25.19%
17 1977-11-19 25.15 @ Basel 6 1645 55.23% Neuchatel Xamax 1 1566 19.82% 24.96%
18 1977-10-08 24.37 @ Young Fellows Zurich 3 1343 23.00% Chenois 1 1523 52.14% 24.86%
19 1978-03-22 24.14 Grasshopper 5 1765 34.10% @ Basel 2 1722 40.49% 25.41%
20 1977-09-03 22.15 Basel 5 1704 38.44% @ Neuchatel Xamax 2 1631 36.18% 25.38%
21 1977-08-27 21.89 @ St. Gallen 2 1435 36.11% Etoile Carouge 0 1509 38.51% 25.38%
22 1977-12-11 21.84 Chenois 2 1494 36.20% @ Etoile Carouge 0 1436 38.40% 25.40%
23 1977-10-01 21.16 @ Lausanne-Sport 3 1665 52.07% Neuchatel Xamax 0 1616 22.78% 25.15%
24 1977-08-27 21.12 @ Servette 3 1702 52.13% Neuchatel Xamax 0 1652 22.73% 25.15%
25 1978-04-22 20.84 @ Basel 2 1743 38.54% Grasshopper 0 1800 36.06% 25.41%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1977-10-22 77.2 @ Servette 2 1765 50.92% Grasshopper 2 1726 23.88% 25.20%
2 1978-05-20 77.2 @ Basel 2 1762 47.79% Servette 2 1749 26.90% 25.31%
3 1977-09-17 76.9 @ Basel 2 1727 47.83% Zurich 2 1714 26.86% 25.31%
4 1977-10-08 76.2 @ Servette 2 1758 67.24% Sion 2 1531 9.48% 23.29%
5 1977-11-05 75.7 @ Sion 2 1556 23.57% Grasshopper 2 1730 51.53% 24.90%
6 1977-12-11 75.6 @ Zurich 2 1706 60.91% Sion 2 1566 14.69% 24.41%
7 1977-10-01 75.0 @ St. Gallen 2 1464 13.09% Servette 2 1761 63.36% 23.55%
8 1977-10-25 74.9 @ Etoile Carouge 2 1449 12.00% Servette 2 1764 64.71% 23.29%
9 1978-03-23 74.0 @ St. Gallen 2 1458 15.21% Lausanne-Sport 2 1725 60.84% 23.95%
10 1978-05-06 73.3 @ Lausanne-Sport 4 1752 41.86% Grasshopper 3 1785 32.74% 25.41%
11 1978-04-19 72.3 @ Grasshopper 1 1802 51.45% Servette 1 1758 23.37% 25.18%
12 1978-04-22 72.1 @ Servette 1 1760 45.42% Lausanne-Sport 1 1766 29.21% 25.37%
13 1978-02-26 71.9 @ Lausanne-Sport 1 1743 50.88% Zurich 1 1704 23.91% 25.20%
14 1977-11-27 71.8 @ Zurich 1 1743 54.61% Basel 1 1670 20.39% 25.00%
15 1978-04-01 71.7 @ Lausanne-Sport 1 1722 49.27% Basel 1 1697 25.47% 25.27%
16 1978-04-08 71.7 @ Basel 1 1699 43.86% Zurich 1 1717 30.74% 25.39%
17 1978-04-29 71.6 Zurich 2 1677 19.48% @ Servette 1 1759 55.59% 24.93%
18 1978-04-01 71.1 @ Sion 1 1510 14.36% Grasshopper 1 1789 61.84% 23.80%
19 1977-11-06 70.6 @ Zurich 1 1711 60.93% Neuchatel Xamax 1 1571 14.67% 24.40%
20 1978-05-06 70.3 @ Chenois 2 1578 55.92% Young Boys 2 1493 19.18% 24.91%
21 1977-08-24 70.1 @ Etoile Carouge 2 1494 16.84% Zurich 1 1739 58.95% 24.21%
22 1978-05-27 69.4 Servette 2 1749 27.79% @ Lausanne-Sport 1 1755 46.88% 25.34%
23 1977-09-03 69.1 Servette 2 1723 28.02% @ Zurich 1 1726 46.64% 25.34%
24 1978-05-06 68.7 @ Zurich 4 1692 34.21% Basel 2 1779 40.44% 25.35%
25 1977-10-08 68.6 Grasshopper 3 1685 40.88% @ Neuchatel Xamax 2 1594 33.77% 25.34%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1978-04-15 29.5 @ St. Gallen 3 1462 67.45% Young Fellows Zurich 0 1231 9.32% 23.24%
2 1978-04-02 29.6 @ Chenois 4 1506 67.82% Young Fellows Zurich 0 1269 9.04% 23.15%
3 1978-02-25 31.2 @ Chenois 5 1516 66.15% Young Fellows Zurich 0 1305 10.32% 23.53%
4 1978-04-29 34.0 Chenois 5 1567 67.56% @ Young Fellows Zurich 1 1212 9.79% 22.65%
5 1977-10-22 34.1 @ Young Boys 3 1481 60.28% Young Fellows Zurich 0 1348 15.23% 24.48%
6 1978-05-07 34.8 @ Etoile Carouge 1 1398 65.20% Young Fellows Zurich 0 1201 11.08% 23.73%
7 1977-10-15 35.4 @ Etoile Carouge 3 1435 54.09% Young Fellows Zurich 0 1368 20.88% 25.04%
8 1978-05-24 36.4 @ Young Boys 3 1533 72.19% Young Fellows Zurich 1 1215 6.01% 21.80%
9 1977-09-17 37.4 @ Sion 2 1527 63.08% Young Fellows Zurich 0 1360 12.82% 24.10%
10 1978-04-08 37.8 Etoile Carouge 5 1410 49.02% @ Young Fellows Zurich 1 1257 25.93% 25.05%
11 1977-08-27 38.1 @ Basel 5 1694 71.97% Young Fellows Zurich 0 1381 6.15% 21.88%
12 1977-11-19 38.3 @ St. Gallen 1 1443 59.86% Young Fellows Zurich 0 1315 15.61% 24.53%
13 1977-09-24 38.9 Lausanne-Sport 3 1652 63.64% @ Young Fellows Zurich 0 1351 12.86% 23.49%
14 1978-04-22 39.1 @ Neuchatel Xamax 2 1525 71.84% Young Fellows Zurich 1 1214 6.23% 21.92%
15 1978-03-18 40.0 Young Boys 1 1476 54.15% @ Young Fellows Zurich 0 1279 21.15% 24.70%
16 1977-11-05 40.4 @ Servette 2 1761 77.09% Young Fellows Zurich 0 1328 3.37% 19.54%
17 1977-11-05 40.5 @ Basel 4 1618 62.96% Etoile Carouge 0 1452 12.92% 24.12%
18 1977-11-26 40.5 @ Neuchatel Xamax 3 1541 56.67% St. Gallen 0 1448 18.49% 24.85%
19 1977-12-04 40.9 @ Lausanne-Sport 4 1727 76.71% Young Fellows Zurich 1 1304 3.54% 19.75%
20 1977-11-12 42.0 Basel 4 1635 64.32% @ Young Fellows Zurich 1 1325 12.31% 23.37%
21 1978-03-05 42.0 Etoile Carouge 1 1402 44.06% @ Young Fellows Zurich 0 1288 30.68% 25.26%
22 1977-08-20 42.5 Servette 3 1705 63.81% @ Young Fellows Zurich 0 1402 12.73% 23.46%
23 1978-04-19 43.3 Young Boys 4 1488 60.85% @ Young Fellows Zurich 2 1222 15.20% 23.95%
24 1977-11-19 43.5 @ Grasshopper 3 1746 70.08% Young Boys 0 1469 7.41% 22.52%
25 1978-03-22 43.5 @ Zurich 5 1710 71.66% Etoile Carouge 1 1403 6.35% 21.99%