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1978-79 Nationalliga A Season

192 games

Final

Champion

Zurich

32 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Zurich

4.10 points above expected

32 points · 27.90 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lausanne-Sport

6.71 points below expected

15 points · 21.71 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Zurich 22 13 6 3 32 51 19 +32 27.90 +4.10
2 Servette 22 12 6 4 30 56 23 +33 29.20 +0.80
3 Grasshopper 22 9 9 4 27 35 24 +11 26.60 +0.40
4 Basel 22 10 6 6 26 36 29 +7 25.28 +0.72
5 St. Gallen 22 11 4 7 26 39 34 +5 22.80 +3.20
6 Young Boys 22 11 4 7 26 34 34 0 22.52 +3.48
7 Neuchatel Xamax 22 8 8 6 24 42 33 +9 21.74 +2.26
8 Chenois 22 8 6 8 22 30 32 -2 22.67 -0.67
9 Lausanne-Sport 22 6 3 13 15 28 40 -12 21.71 -6.71
10 Chiasso 22 5 3 14 13 20 46 -26 14.03 -1.03
11 Nordstern Basel 22 2 8 12 12 19 44 -25 16.47 -4.47
12 Sion 22 3 5 14 11 20 52 -32 13.08 -2.08
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Servette 10 10 0 0 20 23 5 +18 27.63 -7.63
2 Sion 10 5 4 1 14 15 8 +7 14.32 -0.32
3 Chenois 10 4 5 1 13 21 14 +7 23.66 -10.66
4 Chiasso 10 5 3 2 13 16 10 +6 14.40 -1.40
5 Zurich 10 6 1 3 13 19 14 +5 29.04 -16.04
6 Lausanne-Sport 10 5 2 3 12 20 16 +4 18.25 -6.25
7 Grasshopper 10 3 3 4 9 11 13 -2 24.50 -15.50
8 St. Gallen 10 2 3 5 7 8 10 -2 20.57 -13.57
9 Young Boys 10 1 4 5 6 5 17 -12 19.94 -13.94
10 Basel 10 2 1 7 5 17 24 -7 22.32 -17.32
11 Neuchatel Xamax 10 2 1 7 5 11 19 -8 25.43 -20.43
12 Nordstern Basel 10 1 1 8 3 8 24 -16 13.93 -10.93

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Zurich 32 27.90 +4.10
2 Young Boys 26 22.52 +3.48
3 St. Gallen 26 22.80 +3.20
4 Neuchatel Xamax 24 21.74 +2.26
5 Servette 30 29.20 +0.80

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lausanne-Sport 15 21.71 -6.71
2 Nordstern Basel 12 16.47 -4.47
3 Sion 11 13.08 -2.08
4 Chiasso 13 14.03 -1.03
5 Chenois 22 22.67 -0.67

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Young Boys 4 Aug 23 – Sep 9 1 in 47
2 Sion 2 Mar 18 – Mar 31 1 in 35
3 St. Gallen 3 Sep 2 – Sep 16 1 in 27
4 Basel 4 Sep 30 – Oct 29 1 in 25
5 Nordstern Basel 1 Oct 28 – Oct 28 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lausanne-Sport 6 Oct 28 – Mar 3 1 in 297
2 Chenois 4 Aug 26 – Sep 16 1 in 40
3 Sion 5 Aug 12 – Sep 2 1 in 39
4 St. Gallen 2 Mar 31 – Apr 4 1 in 23
5 Young Boys 2 Oct 22 – Oct 28 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Grasshopper 12 Oct 21 – Apr 7 1 in 80
2 Zurich 14 Aug 26 – Mar 4 1 in 39
3 Young Boys 6 Aug 12 – Sep 9 1 in 25
4 Basel 8 Sep 2 – Oct 29 1 in 19
5 Sion 3 Mar 18 – Apr 4 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Nordstern Basel 11 Aug 12 – Oct 22 1 in 34
2 St. Gallen 6 Mar 4 – Apr 7 1 in 34
3 Chiasso 11 Sep 2 – Nov 26 1 in 21
4 Sion 13 Aug 12 – Nov 5 1 in 19
5 Lausanne-Sport 6 Oct 28 – Mar 3 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Servette 1952 50 +58 10 7.3 +2.7
Zurich 1866 45 -6 6 6.2 -0.2
Grasshopper 1719 36 -4 5 5.1 -0.1
Chenois 1638 35 +39 8 6.8 +1.2
St. Gallen 1651 33 +55 5 4.0 +1.0
Young Boys 1557 32 -9 3 3.2 -0.2
Basel 1607 31 -94 1 4.2 -3.2
Neuchatel Xamax 1499 29 -85 2 5.6 -3.6
Lausanne-Sport 1519 27 -33 4 5.5 -1.5
Chiasso 1490 26 +59 7 4.2 +2.8
Sion 1546 25 +78 8 4.8 +3.2
Nordstern Basel 1283 15 -59 1 3.2 -2.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BAS CHE CHI GRA LAU NX NB SER SIO SG YB ZUR
Basel —
1-0-1
3.02
1-0-1
4.26
1-0-1
2.63
2-0-0
3.20
1-0-1
3.00
0-2-0
3.88
1-0-1
2.12
1-1-0
4.32
1-1-0
3.04
0-1-1
3.54
1-1-0
2.08
Chenois
1-0-1
2.45
—
2-0-0
3.75
0-1-1
2.22
2-0-0
2.23
0-0-2
2.95
0-2-0
3.73
0-0-2
1.82
1-1-0
3.97
1-1-0
2.32
0-1-1
2.98
1-0-1
2.19
Chiasso
1-0-1
1.24
0-0-2
1.74
—
0-1-1
1.25
1-0-1
1.74
0-0-2
1.36
0-1-1
2.57
0-1-1
1.16
1-0-1
2.95
1-0-1
1.45
1-0-1
1.50
0-0-2
1.45
Grasshopper
1-0-1
2.84
1-1-0
3.25
1-1-0
4.27
—
1-0-1
3.47
0-2-0
3.14
1-1-0
4.11
0-2-0
2.67
2-0-0
4.04
1-0-1
2.91
0-1-1
3.17
1-1-0
2.67
Lausanne-Sport
0-0-2
2.29
0-0-2
3.25
1-0-1
3.74
1-0-1
2.01
—
0-1-1
3.03
2-0-0
3.43
0-1-1
1.51
2-0-0
3.78
0-0-2
2.80
0-0-2
2.53
0-1-1
1.57
Neuchatel Xamax
1-0-1
2.47
2-0-0
2.52
2-0-0
4.13
0-2-0
2.33
1-1-0
2.44
—
1-1-0
3.53
0-1-1
1.90
1-1-0
3.91
0-1-1
2.60
0-0-2
2.84
0-1-1
2.00
Nordstern Basel
0-2-0
1.62
0-2-0
1.75
1-1-0
2.90
0-1-1
1.39
0-0-2
2.06
0-1-1
1.96
—
0-0-2
1.26
0-1-1
3.20
0-0-2
2.15
1-0-1
2.19
0-0-2
1.13
Servette
1-0-1
3.36
2-0-0
3.66
1-1-0
4.36
0-2-0
2.80
1-1-0
3.98
1-1-0
3.59
2-0-0
4.25
—
2-0-0
4.64
1-0-1
3.74
1-0-1
3.89
0-1-1
3.02
Sion
0-1-1
1.19
0-1-1
1.52
1-0-1
2.53
0-0-2
1.46
0-0-2
1.72
0-1-1
1.57
1-1-0
2.27
0-0-2
0.90
—
0-0-2
1.58
1-0-1
1.30
0-1-1
0.92
St. Gallen
0-1-1
2.43
0-1-1
3.16
1-0-1
4.04
1-0-1
2.56
2-0-0
2.67
1-1-0
2.87
2-0-0
3.34
1-0-1
1.74
2-0-0
3.91
—
1-1-0
2.53
0-0-2
2.30
Young Boys
1-1-0
1.94
1-1-0
2.49
1-0-1
3.98
1-1-0
2.31
2-0-0
2.95
2-0-0
2.63
1-0-1
3.30
1-0-1
1.60
1-0-1
4.19
0-1-1
2.94
—
0-0-2
1.58
Zurich
0-1-1
3.39
1-0-1
3.30
2-0-0
4.08
0-1-1
2.81
1-1-0
3.91
1-1-0
3.48
2-0-0
4.39
1-1-0
2.45
1-1-0
4.62
2-0-0
3.17
2-0-0
3.90
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.83 +5.6
Allowed 0.90 -7.0
Differential 0.92 +3.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.69%6.25%7.81%2.86%1.82%2.08%25.52%
16.25%12.50%6.51%2.60%2.08%0.78%30.73%
27.81%6.51%6.25%2.08%1.82%0.26%24.74%
32.86%2.60%2.08%1.56%0.26%0.26%9.64%
41.82%2.08%1.82%0.26%——5.99%
5+2.08%0.78%0.26%0.26%——3.39%
Total25.52%30.73%24.74%9.64%5.99%3.39%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.52 +0.00
SD 1.38 1.38 2.14
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 192

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.12%3.12%9.38%—3.12%3.12%21.88%
16.25%12.50%9.38%3.12%3.12%—34.38%
29.38%3.12%6.25%3.12%3.12%—25.00%
3——3.12%———3.12%
43.12%3.12%3.12%———9.38%
5+3.12%—3.12%———6.25%
Total25.00%21.88%34.38%6.25%9.38%3.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.66 1.66 +0.00
SD 1.54 1.45 2.38
CV 0.93 0.88 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%9.38%3.12%——3.12%21.88%
16.25%21.88%3.12%3.12%—6.25%40.62%
23.12%3.12%3.12%———9.38%
312.50%3.12%—3.12%——18.75%
4—3.12%3.12%———6.25%
5+———3.12%——3.12%
Total28.12%40.62%12.50%9.38%—9.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.44 +0.16
SD 1.46 1.56 2.19
CV 0.91 1.09 —
Max 6 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.12%18.75%6.25%9.38%—37.50%
19.38%12.50%6.25%———28.12%
26.25%3.12%6.25%—3.12%—18.75%
33.12%6.25%3.12%—3.12%—15.62%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.75%25.00%34.38%6.25%15.62%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.75 -0.62
SD 1.10 1.30 1.93
CV 0.98 0.74 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.75%9.38%6.25%———34.38%
13.12%9.38%—3.12%——15.62%
2—15.62%6.25%6.25%——28.12%
33.12%6.25%3.12%3.12%——15.62%
43.12%—3.12%———6.25%
5+———————
Total28.12%40.62%18.75%12.50%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.16 +0.28
SD 1.29 0.99 1.37
CV 0.90 0.85 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.38%6.25%6.25%——21.88%
16.25%3.12%15.62%3.12%3.12%—31.25%
29.38%9.38%6.25%3.12%3.12%—31.25%
3———6.25%——6.25%
43.12%—3.12%3.12%——9.38%
5+———————
Total18.75%21.88%31.25%21.88%6.25%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.75 -0.25
SD 1.19 1.19 1.68
CV 0.79 0.68 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.12%9.38%6.25%3.12%——21.88%
13.12%12.50%3.12%3.12%3.12%—25.00%
212.50%3.12%12.50%6.25%—3.12%37.50%
33.12%3.12%———3.12%9.38%
4——3.12%———3.12%
5+3.12%—————3.12%
Total25.00%28.12%25.00%12.50%3.12%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.66 1.62 +0.03
SD 1.56 1.50 2.22
CV 0.94 0.92 —
Max 8 6 +8
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.12%3.12%15.62%3.12%6.25%6.25%37.50%
1—21.88%15.62%6.25%——43.75%
2—6.25%3.12%3.12%3.12%—15.62%
3——3.12%———3.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total3.12%31.25%37.50%12.50%9.38%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.84 2.12 -1.28
SD 0.81 1.24 1.61
CV 0.96 0.58 —
Max 3 5 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%——3.12%——9.38%
19.38%6.25%3.12%3.12%3.12%—25.00%
215.62%3.12%6.25%———25.00%
33.12%3.12%3.12%———9.38%
46.25%9.38%————15.62%
5+6.25%9.38%————15.62%
Total46.88%31.25%12.50%6.25%3.12%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.47 0.88 +1.59
SD 1.68 1.07 2.18
CV 0.68 1.22 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.12%6.25%12.50%9.38%3.12%3.12%37.50%
13.12%15.62%3.12%——3.12%25.00%
29.38%6.25%9.38%—6.25%—31.25%
33.12%—————3.12%
4—3.12%————3.12%
5+———————
Total18.75%31.25%25.00%9.38%9.38%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.88 -0.78
SD 1.06 1.74 2.30
CV 0.97 0.93 —
Max 4 8 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%9.38%——3.12%25.00%
16.25%15.62%9.38%3.12%3.12%—37.50%
26.25%9.38%——3.12%—18.75%
33.12%—6.25%———9.38%
43.12%—3.12%———6.25%
5+3.12%—————3.12%
Total28.12%31.25%28.12%3.12%6.25%3.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.38 +0.09
SD 1.41 1.29 2.12
CV 0.96 0.94 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%9.38%6.25%——6.25%28.12%
112.50%6.25%3.12%3.12%9.38%—34.38%
212.50%3.12%12.50%———28.12%
3—3.12%3.12%———6.25%
4—3.12%————3.12%
5+———————
Total31.25%25.00%25.00%3.12%9.38%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.59 -0.38
SD 1.04 1.68 2.17
CV 0.85 1.06 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.25%—3.12%——9.38%
19.38%12.50%6.25%———28.12%
29.38%12.50%3.12%3.12%——28.12%
33.12%6.25%—6.25%——15.62%
43.12%3.12%3.12%———9.38%
5+9.38%—————9.38%
Total34.38%40.62%12.50%12.50%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.19 1.03 +1.16
SD 1.51 1.00 1.99
CV 0.69 0.97 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 32

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Servette 1952 30 29.20 +0.80 68.0% 17 23 27 29 31 34 38
Zurich 1866 32 27.90 +4.10 93.0% 20 22 26 28 30 33 35
Grasshopper 1719 27 26.60 +0.40 59.0% 12 20 24 27 30 32 35
St. Gallen 1651 26 22.80 +3.20 84.0% 14 15 20 23 26 28 30
Chenois 1638 22 22.67 -0.67 48.0% 12 17 20 23 25 28 30
Basel 1607 26 25.28 +0.72 68.0% 17 19 23 25 27 31 36
Young Boys 1557 26 22.52 +3.48 82.0% 13 16 20 22 25 29 33
Sion 1546 11 13.08 -2.08 33.0% 6 7 10 13 16 18 21
Lausanne-Sport 1519 15 21.71 -6.71 2.0% 13 17 19 21 25 27 33
Neuchatel Xamax 1499 24 21.74 +2.26 79.0% 12 16 19 22 24 28 33
Chiasso 1490 13 14.03 -1.03 45.0% 5 9 12 14 16 19 23
Nordstern Basel 1283 12 16.47 -4.47 8.0% 9 11 15 16 18 21 23

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 15% * Slight Edge: 15% to 22.5% * Clear Edge: 22.5% to 26.5% * Strong Edge: 26.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+21.88%
Slight Edge
48.44%25.00%26.56%
Elo Value
Home Edge
172 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
077.25500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.66 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.45+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.0
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
29%
Zurich, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Tight Race
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.85 * Some Luck: 2.85 to 4.28 * Lucky: 4.28 to 5.71 * Wild Swing: 5.71 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.33 * Close: 1.33 to 1.99 * Off: 1.99 to 2.66 * Way Off: 2.66 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.11 points
Some Luck
03.579
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.67
Pinpoint
01.664
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
93.00%
Zurich
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
2.00%
Lausanne-Sport
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 76% * Wide Edge: 76% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 94.5% * Dominant: 94.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51% * Some Drama: 51% to 55.5% * Frequent: 55.5% to 59.5% * Very Frequent: 59.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18% * Occasional: 18% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 27% * Very Frequent: 27% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Top-Heavy
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 157.94
1.81
Moderate Separation
11.651.852.052.75
Interquartile Edge
78%
Wide Edge
50%63%71%76%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
94%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Some Drama
0%52%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Occasional
0%24%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21% * As Expected: 21% to 23.5% * Upset-Prone: 23.5% to 26% * Very Upset-Prone: 26% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17.5% * As Expected: 17.5% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 22.5% * Very Shaky: 22.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.46
Notable Separation
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.81
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.74
Near-Lock
00.420.631
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
As Expected
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.54
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.88
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.059
Well Within Noise
00.1170.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Zurich29.00%22.00%20.00%13.00%12.00%—1.00%3.00%————
Servette37.00%31.00%15.00%8.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%—1.00%———
Grasshopper15.00%19.00%18.00%14.00%13.00%10.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%—1.00%—
Basel6.00%12.00%11.00%21.00%13.00%14.00%13.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%——
St. Gallen3.00%6.00%11.00%14.00%8.00%14.00%13.00%11.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%—
Young Boys3.00%8.00%5.00%6.00%15.00%10.00%17.00%12.00%15.00%6.00%3.00%—
Neuchatel Xamax2.00%—9.00%7.00%8.00%17.00%14.00%20.00%15.00%6.00%2.00%—
Chenois2.00%1.00%8.00%11.00%15.00%15.00%17.00%16.00%11.00%3.00%1.00%—
Lausanne-Sport3.00%1.00%3.00%6.00%11.00%15.00%14.00%18.00%19.00%9.00%1.00%—
Chiasso—————1.00%1.00%5.00%3.00%15.00%42.00%33.00%
Nordstern Basel—————1.00%5.00%5.00%14.00%40.00%23.00%12.00%
Sion—————1.00%——7.00%15.00%22.00%55.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Grasshopper 100% —
Servette 100% —
Young Boys 100% —
Zurich 100% —
Basel 99.00% 1.00%
Neuchatel Xamax 99.00% 1.00%
St. Gallen 97.00% 3.00%
Chenois 96.00% 4.00%
Lausanne-Sport 92.00% 8.00%
Nordstern Basel 48.00% 52.00%
Chiasso 36.00% 64.00%
Sion 33.00% 67.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Basel 100% —
Grasshopper 100% —
Servette 100% —
St. Gallen 100% —
Young Boys 100% —
Zurich 100% —
Neuchatel Xamax 99.76% 0.24%
Chenois 99.24% 0.76%
Lausanne-Sport 86.24% 13.76%
Chiasso 43.63% 56.37%
Sion 36.42% 63.58%
Nordstern Basel 34.71% 65.29%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1978-08-12 Basel W 2-166.9 1440 1702 19.26% 25.69% 55.05%-1.08 +21.3 2
1978-08-12 @ Chiasso L 1-266.9 1702 1440 55.05% 25.69% 19.26%+1.08 -21.3 0
1978-08-12 Chenois L 1-468.2 1701 1580 62.29% 25.58% 12.13%+1.15 -59.3 0
1978-08-12 @ Lausanne-Sport W 4-168.2 1580 1701 12.13% 25.58% 62.29%-1.15 +59.3 2
1978-08-12 Young Boys L 1-264.2 1542 1588 46.20% 26.48% 27.32%+0.18 -18.2 0
1978-08-12 @ Nordstern Basel W 2-164.2 1588 1542 27.32% 26.48% 46.20%-0.18 +18.2 2
1978-08-12 St. Gallen W 4-152.1 1707 1552 64.65% 25.23% 10.11%+1.35 +12.9 2
1978-08-12 @ Servette L 1-452.1 1552 1707 10.11% 25.23% 64.65%-1.35 -12.9 0
1978-08-12 Grasshopper L 2-464.0 1539 1725 27.42% 26.22% 46.36%-0.63 -18.9 0
1978-08-12 @ Sion W 4-264.0 1725 1539 46.36% 26.22% 27.42%+0.63 +18.9 2
1978-08-12 Neuchatel Xamax D 1-168.9 1681 1571 61.57% 25.67% 12.76%+1.09 -4.8 1
1978-08-12 @ Zurich D 1-168.9 1571 1681 12.76% 25.67% 61.57%-1.09 +4.8 1
1978-08-19 Young Boys D 2-275.1 1681 1606 58.76% 25.95% 15.29%+0.88 -3.1 1
1978-08-19 @ Basel D 2-275.1 1606 1681 15.29% 25.95% 58.76%-0.88 +3.1 3
1978-08-19 Nordstern Basel D 1-167.0 1640 1524 61.98% 25.62% 12.40%+1.12 -4.9 3
1978-08-19 @ Chenois D 1-167.0 1524 1640 12.40% 25.62% 61.98%-1.12 +4.9 1
1978-08-19 Servette D 2-273.1 1461 1720 19.57% 25.72% 54.71%-1.06 +2.4 3
1978-08-19 @ Chiasso D 2-273.1 1720 1461 54.71% 25.72% 19.57%+1.06 -2.4 3
1978-08-19 Zurich W 2-159.6 1744 1676 58.15% 26.00% 15.84%+0.84 +7.9 4
1978-08-19 @ Grasshopper L 1-259.6 1676 1744 15.84% 26.00% 58.15%-0.84 -7.9 1
1978-08-19 Lausanne-Sport D 2-273.7 1576 1641 43.65% 26.50% 29.85%+0.07 -0.9 2
1978-08-19 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 2-273.7 1641 1576 29.85% 26.50% 43.65%-0.07 +0.9 1
1978-08-19 Sion W 3-044.7 1539 1520 53.55% 26.28% 20.17%+0.56 +27.9 2
1978-08-19 @ St. Gallen L 0-344.7 1520 1539 20.17% 26.28% 53.55%-0.56 -27.8 0
1978-08-23 Zurich W 3-052.4 1635 1668 47.70% 26.46% 25.84%+0.25 +33.9 5
1978-08-23 @ Chenois L 0-352.4 1668 1635 25.84% 26.46% 47.70%-0.25 -33.9 1
1978-08-23 Servette D 0-066.7 1752 1718 55.07% 26.21% 18.73%+0.65 -3.8 5
1978-08-23 @ Grasshopper D 0-066.7 1718 1752 18.73% 26.21% 55.07%-0.65 +3.8 4
1978-08-23 Sion W 8-044.1 1575 1492 59.42% 25.89% 14.68%+0.93 +53.7 4
1978-08-23 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 0-844.1 1492 1575 14.68% 25.89% 59.42%-0.93 -53.7 0
1978-08-23 Basel D 1-167.8 1529 1678 32.19% 26.38% 41.43%-0.42 +0.8 2
1978-08-23 @ Nordstern Basel D 1-167.8 1678 1529 41.43% 26.38% 32.19%+0.42 -0.8 2
1978-08-23 Chiasso W 2-043.0 1567 1463 61.06% 25.73% 13.21%+1.05 +13.4 4
1978-08-23 @ St. Gallen L 0-243.0 1463 1567 13.21% 25.73% 61.06%-1.05 -13.4 3
1978-08-23 Lausanne-Sport W 3-266.3 1609 1642 47.75% 26.46% 25.79%+0.26 +11.1 5
1978-08-23 @ Young Boys L 2-366.3 1642 1609 25.79% 26.46% 47.75%-0.26 -11.0 1
1978-08-26 Grasshopper W 2-058.1 1631 1748 36.63% 26.47% 36.90%-0.23 +30.5 3
1978-08-26 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-258.1 1748 1631 36.90% 26.47% 36.63%+0.23 -30.5 5
1978-08-26 Basel W 6-050.9 1721 1677 56.06% 26.15% 17.79%+0.71 +48.0 6
1978-08-26 @ Servette L 0-650.9 1677 1721 17.79% 26.15% 56.06%-0.71 -48.1 2
1978-08-26 Chiasso L 0-347.6 1438 1450 50.25% 26.40% 23.34%+0.38 -57.1 0
1978-08-26 @ Sion W 3-047.6 1450 1438 23.34% 26.40% 50.25%-0.38 +57.1 5
1978-08-26 Chenois W 1-056.8 1620 1669 45.84% 26.49% 27.67%+0.17 +13.0 7
1978-08-26 @ Young Boys L 0-156.8 1669 1620 27.67% 26.49% 45.84%-0.17 -13.0 5
1978-08-26 St. Gallen W 5-047.8 1634 1580 56.97% 26.09% 16.94%+0.76 +38.8 3
1978-08-26 @ Zurich L 0-547.8 1580 1634 16.94% 26.09% 56.97%-0.76 -38.8 4
1978-08-27 Neuchatel Xamax D 1-166.6 1530 1628 39.17% 26.50% 34.33%-0.13 -0.4 3
1978-08-27 @ Nordstern Basel D 1-166.6 1628 1530 34.33% 26.50% 39.17%+0.13 +0.4 5
1978-09-02 Chenois W 2-161.2 1629 1656 48.48% 26.45% 25.08%+0.29 +11.4 4
1978-09-02 @ Basel L 1-261.2 1656 1629 25.08% 26.45% 48.48%-0.29 -11.4 5
1978-09-02 Zurich L 1-260.6 1507 1673 29.90% 26.32% 43.79%-0.52 -13.0 5
1978-09-02 @ Chiasso W 2-160.6 1673 1507 43.79% 26.32% 29.90%+0.52 +13.0 5
1978-09-02 Nordstern Basel W 3-153.3 1717 1529 66.61% 24.86% 8.53%+1.54 +7.8 7
1978-09-02 @ Grasshopper L 1-353.3 1529 1717 8.53% 24.86% 66.61%-1.54 -7.8 3
1978-09-02 Young Boys L 0-163.4 1629 1633 51.05% 26.38% 22.57%+0.42 -21.1 5
1978-09-02 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 1-063.4 1633 1629 22.57% 26.38% 51.05%-0.42 +21.1 9
1978-09-02 Sion W 2-042.8 1769 1381 75.09% 21.86% 3.05%+2.71 +3.2 8
1978-09-02 @ Servette L 0-242.8 1381 1769 3.05% 21.86% 75.09%-2.71 -3.2 0
1978-09-02 Lausanne-Sport W 2-163.4 1541 1662 36.13% 26.46% 37.41%-0.25 +15.4 6
1978-09-02 @ St. Gallen L 1-263.4 1662 1541 37.41% 26.46% 36.13%+0.25 -15.4 3
1978-09-09 Neuchatel Xamax L 1-367.8 1644 1608 55.31% 26.19% 18.49%+0.66 -37.2 5
1978-09-09 @ Chenois W 3-167.8 1608 1644 18.49% 26.19% 55.31%-0.66 +37.2 7
1978-09-09 Chiasso W 4-361.8 1646 1494 64.47% 25.26% 10.27%+1.33 +5.0 5
1978-09-09 @ Lausanne-Sport L 3-461.8 1494 1646 10.27% 25.26% 64.47%-1.33 -5.0 5
1978-09-09 Basel D 0-058.1 1378 1640 19.29% 25.69% 55.02%-1.08 +3.7 1
1978-09-09 @ Sion D 0-058.1 1640 1378 55.02% 25.69% 19.29%+1.08 -3.7 5
1978-09-09 Grasshopper W 2-056.2 1654 1725 42.98% 26.51% 30.51%+0.04 +26.5 11
1978-09-09 @ Young Boys L 0-256.2 1725 1654 30.51% 26.51% 42.98%-0.04 -26.5 7
1978-09-09 Servette W 3-055.7 1686 1773 40.90% 26.51% 32.60%-0.05 +40.4 7
1978-09-09 @ Zurich L 0-355.7 1773 1686 32.60% 26.51% 40.90%+0.05 -40.4 8
1978-09-10 St. Gallen L 2-465.4 1521 1557 47.47% 26.46% 26.06%+0.24 -28.9 3
1978-09-10 @ Nordstern Basel W 4-265.4 1557 1521 26.06% 26.46% 47.47%-0.24 +28.9 8
1978-09-16 Neuchatel Xamax W 5-259.8 1637 1645 50.61% 26.39% 23.00%+0.40 +22.6 7
1978-09-16 @ Basel L 2-559.8 1645 1637 23.00% 26.39% 50.61%-0.40 -22.6 7
1978-09-16 Nordstern Basel D 2-266.3 1489 1492 51.15% 26.38% 22.47%+0.43 -1.9 6
1978-09-16 @ Chiasso D 2-266.3 1492 1489 22.47% 26.38% 51.15%-0.43 +1.9 4
1978-09-16 Chenois W 1-052.8 1699 1607 60.14% 25.83% 14.03%+0.98 +7.5 9
1978-09-16 @ Grasshopper L 0-152.8 1607 1699 14.03% 25.83% 60.14%-0.98 -7.5 5
1978-09-16 Lausanne-Sport D 1-170.4 1732 1651 59.28% 25.91% 14.81%+0.92 -4.3 9
1978-09-16 @ Servette D 1-170.4 1651 1732 14.81% 25.91% 59.28%-0.92 +4.3 6
1978-09-16 Zurich D 2-271.4 1382 1727 12.83% 24.83% 62.33%-1.56 +3.6 2
1978-09-16 @ Sion D 2-271.4 1727 1382 62.33% 24.83% 12.83%+1.56 -3.6 8
1978-09-16 Young Boys W 6-054.4 1586 1681 39.66% 26.50% 33.84%-0.10 +79.5 10
1978-09-16 @ St. Gallen L 0-654.4 1681 1586 33.84% 26.50% 39.66%+0.10 -79.5 11
1978-09-23 St. Gallen W 2-162.3 1600 1665 43.67% 26.50% 29.83%+0.07 +13.0 7
1978-09-23 @ Chenois L 1-262.3 1665 1600 29.83% 26.50% 43.67%-0.07 -13.0 10
1978-09-23 Sion W 4-250.7 1655 1385 70.64% 23.77% 5.58%+2.02 +4.6 8
1978-09-23 @ Lausanne-Sport L 2-450.7 1385 1655 5.58% 23.77% 70.64%-2.02 -4.6 2
1978-09-23 Grasshopper D 0-065.6 1622 1706 41.22% 26.51% 32.27%-0.04 -0.9 8
1978-09-23 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 0-065.6 1706 1622 32.27% 26.51% 41.22%+0.04 +0.9 10
1978-09-23 Servette L 0-549.4 1494 1728 22.11% 25.92% 51.97%-0.91 -47.9 4
1978-09-23 @ Nordstern Basel W 5-049.4 1728 1494 51.97% 25.92% 22.11%+0.91 +47.9 11
1978-09-23 Chiasso W 2-044.9 1601 1487 61.88% 25.63% 12.49%+1.11 +12.8 13
1978-09-23 @ Young Boys L 0-244.9 1487 1601 12.49% 25.63% 61.88%-1.11 -12.8 6
1978-09-24 Basel D 1-170.3 1723 1659 57.84% 26.03% 16.13%+0.82 -4.0 9
1978-09-24 @ Zurich D 1-170.3 1659 1723 16.13% 26.03% 57.84%-0.82 +4.0 8
1978-09-30 Grasshopper W 3-268.2 1663 1707 46.41% 26.48% 27.11%+0.19 +11.5 10
1978-09-30 @ Basel L 2-368.2 1707 1663 27.11% 26.48% 46.41%-0.19 -11.5 10
1978-09-30 Chenois L 0-251.4 1474 1613 33.61% 26.42% 39.98%-0.36 -28.5 6
1978-09-30 @ Chiasso W 2-051.4 1613 1474 39.98% 26.42% 33.61%+0.36 +28.4 9
1978-09-30 Young Boys W 2-049.7 1776 1614 65.05% 25.16% 9.79%+1.39 +10.2 13
1978-09-30 @ Servette L 0-249.7 1614 1776 9.79% 25.16% 65.05%-1.39 -10.2 13
1978-09-30 Nordstern Basel D 1-155.6 1381 1446 43.65% 26.50% 29.85%+0.07 -1.2 3
1978-09-30 @ Sion D 1-155.6 1446 1381 29.85% 26.50% 43.65%-0.07 +1.2 5
1978-09-30 Neuchatel Xamax W 3-264.6 1652 1621 54.73% 26.23% 19.05%+0.63 +8.7 12
1978-09-30 @ St. Gallen L 2-364.6 1621 1652 19.05% 26.23% 54.73%-0.63 -8.7 8
1978-10-01 Lausanne-Sport D 3-380.4 1719 1660 57.40% 26.06% 16.54%+0.79 -2.4 10
1978-10-01 @ Zurich D 3-380.4 1660 1719 16.54% 26.06% 57.40%-0.79 +2.4 9
1978-10-14 Servette L 1-559.3 1641 1786 32.72% 26.40% 40.89%-0.39 -44.1 9
1978-10-14 @ Chenois W 5-159.3 1786 1641 40.89% 26.40% 32.72%+0.39 +44.1 15
1978-10-14 St. Gallen L 2-376.4 1696 1661 55.13% 26.20% 18.67%+0.65 -20.3 10
1978-10-14 @ Grasshopper W 3-276.4 1661 1696 18.67% 26.20% 55.13%-0.65 +20.3 14
1978-10-14 Basel L 0-164.2 1662 1675 50.19% 26.40% 23.40%+0.38 -20.8 9
1978-10-14 @ Lausanne-Sport W 1-064.2 1675 1662 23.40% 26.40% 50.19%-0.38 +20.8 12
1978-10-14 Chiasso W 4-252.9 1613 1446 65.38% 25.11% 9.52%+1.42 +7.7 10
1978-10-14 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 2-452.9 1446 1613 9.52% 25.11% 65.38%-1.42 -7.7 6
1978-10-14 Sion W 2-039.1 1604 1380 68.52% 24.41% 7.07%+1.75 +7.5 15
1978-10-14 @ Young Boys L 0-239.1 1380 1604 7.07% 24.41% 68.52%-1.75 -7.5 3
1978-10-15 Zurich L 0-151.4 1448 1717 18.66% 25.63% 55.71%-1.12 -9.5 5
1978-10-15 @ Nordstern Basel W 1-051.4 1717 1448 55.71% 25.63% 18.66%+1.12 +9.4 12
1978-10-21 Grasshopper D 1-165.5 1438 1675 21.73% 25.89% 52.38%-0.93 +2.8 7
1978-10-21 @ Chiasso D 1-165.5 1675 1438 52.38% 25.89% 21.73%+0.93 -2.8 11
1978-10-21 Neuchatel Xamax D 2-276.9 1830 1621 67.77% 24.60% 7.63%+1.67 -4.6 16
1978-10-21 @ Servette D 2-276.9 1621 1830 7.63% 24.60% 67.77%-1.67 +4.6 11
1978-10-21 Chenois D 1-160.3 1372 1597 23.00% 25.98% 51.01%-0.86 +2.5 4
1978-10-21 @ Sion D 1-160.3 1597 1372 51.01% 25.98% 23.00%+0.86 -2.5 10
1978-10-22 St. Gallen W 4-263.3 1695 1681 53.06% 26.30% 20.63%+0.53 +15.1 14
1978-10-22 @ Basel L 2-463.3 1681 1695 20.63% 26.30% 53.06%-0.53 -15.1 14
1978-10-22 Nordstern Basel W 2-042.9 1642 1438 67.44% 24.68% 7.88%+1.63 +8.3 11
1978-10-22 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-242.9 1438 1642 7.88% 24.68% 67.44%-1.63 -8.4 5
1978-10-22 Young Boys W 4-153.9 1726 1611 61.91% 25.63% 12.46%+1.12 +15.6 14
1978-10-22 @ Zurich L 1-453.9 1611 1726 12.46% 25.63% 61.91%-1.12 -15.6 15
1978-10-28 Lausanne-Sport W 3-052.4 1594 1650 44.96% 26.50% 28.54%+0.13 +36.6 12
1978-10-28 @ Chenois L 0-352.4 1650 1594 28.54% 26.50% 44.96%-0.13 -36.6 11
1978-10-28 Sion W 2-148.1 1672 1375 71.81% 23.35% 4.84%+2.18 +2.6 13
1978-10-28 @ Grasshopper L 1-248.1 1375 1672 4.84% 23.35% 71.81%-2.18 -2.6 4
1978-10-28 Zurich L 0-258.0 1625 1742 36.64% 26.47% 36.90%-0.23 -30.3 11
1978-10-28 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 2-058.0 1742 1625 36.90% 26.47% 36.64%+0.23 +30.4 16
1978-10-28 Servette W 2-168.1 1666 1826 30.77% 26.34% 42.88%-0.48 +17.1 16
1978-10-28 @ St. Gallen L 1-268.1 1826 1666 42.88% 26.34% 30.77%+0.48 -17.1 16
1978-10-28 Nordstern Basel L 1-266.0 1596 1430 65.32% 25.12% 9.57%+1.41 -25.4 15
1978-10-28 @ Young Boys W 2-166.0 1430 1596 9.57% 25.12% 65.32%-1.41 +25.4 7
1978-10-29 Chiasso W 4-042.0 1711 1441 70.62% 23.78% 5.60%+2.02 +11.3 16
1978-10-29 @ Basel L 0-442.0 1441 1711 5.60% 23.78% 70.62%-2.02 -11.3 7
1978-11-04 Chiasso W 4-042.7 1808 1430 74.78% 22.02% 3.20%+2.65 +6.3 18
1978-11-04 @ Servette L 0-442.7 1430 1808 3.20% 22.02% 74.78%-2.65 -6.3 7
1978-11-04 Basel W 2-058.7 1570 1722 31.85% 26.37% 41.77%-0.43 +33.5 17
1978-11-04 @ Young Boys L 0-258.7 1722 1570 41.77% 26.37% 31.85%+0.43 -33.5 16
1978-11-05 Neuchatel Xamax L 0-260.7 1613 1595 53.52% 26.28% 20.20%+0.56 -41.7 11
1978-11-05 @ Lausanne-Sport W 2-060.7 1595 1613 20.20% 26.28% 53.52%-0.56 +41.7 13
1978-11-05 Chenois D 0-060.4 1455 1631 28.70% 26.27% 45.02%-0.57 +1.6 8
1978-11-05 @ Nordstern Basel D 0-060.4 1631 1455 45.02% 26.27% 28.70%+0.57 -1.6 13
1978-11-05 St. Gallen L 0-146.8 1372 1683 15.19% 25.22% 59.59%-1.36 -7.9 4
1978-11-05 @ Sion W 1-046.8 1683 1372 59.59% 25.22% 15.19%+1.36 +7.9 18
1978-11-05 Grasshopper D 1-170.8 1772 1675 60.58% 25.78% 13.64%+1.01 -4.5 17
1978-11-05 @ Zurich D 1-170.8 1675 1772 13.64% 25.78% 60.58%-1.01 +4.5 14
1978-11-18 Young Boys D 2-274.1 1629 1604 54.21% 26.25% 19.53%+0.60 -2.4 14
1978-11-18 @ Chenois D 2-274.1 1604 1629 19.53% 26.25% 54.21%-0.60 +2.4 18
1978-11-18 Sion L 0-248.6 1423 1364 57.40% 26.06% 16.54%+0.79 -44.6 7
1978-11-18 @ Chiasso W 2-048.6 1364 1423 16.54% 26.06% 57.40%-0.79 +44.6 6
1978-11-18 Nordstern Basel W 2-151.4 1636 1457 66.12% 24.96% 8.92%+1.49 +4.7 15
1978-11-18 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 1-251.4 1457 1636 8.92% 24.96% 66.12%-1.49 -4.7 8
1978-11-19 Servette W 4-163.0 1688 1815 35.26% 26.45% 38.29%-0.29 +38.4 18
1978-11-19 @ Basel L 1-463.0 1815 1688 38.29% 26.45% 35.26%+0.29 -38.4 18
1978-11-19 Lausanne-Sport W 3-047.6 1680 1572 61.39% 25.69% 12.92%+1.08 +19.1 16
1978-11-19 @ Grasshopper L 0-347.6 1572 1680 12.92% 25.69% 61.39%-1.08 -19.1 11
1978-11-19 Zurich L 0-260.2 1691 1768 42.20% 26.51% 31.29%+0.00 -33.8 18
1978-11-19 @ St. Gallen W 2-060.2 1768 1691 31.29% 26.51% 42.20%+0.00 +33.8 19
1978-11-25 Basel W 1-059.6 1627 1727 39.06% 26.50% 34.45%-0.13 +15.4 16
1978-11-25 @ Chenois L 0-159.6 1727 1627 34.45% 26.50% 39.06%+0.13 -15.4 18
1978-11-26 St. Gallen L 1-263.9 1553 1657 38.37% 26.49% 35.14%-0.16 -15.7 11
1978-11-26 @ Lausanne-Sport W 2-163.9 1657 1553 35.14% 26.49% 38.37%+0.16 +15.7 20
1978-11-26 Grasshopper D 1-166.6 1452 1699 20.79% 25.82% 53.39%-0.98 +3.0 9
1978-11-26 @ Nordstern Basel D 1-166.6 1699 1452 53.39% 25.82% 20.79%+0.98 -3.0 17
1978-11-26 Servette L 1-549.2 1409 1776 11.44% 24.55% 64.00%-1.69 -18.3 6
1978-11-26 @ Sion W 5-149.2 1776 1409 64.00% 24.55% 11.44%+1.69 +18.3 20
1978-11-26 Neuchatel Xamax W 4-157.0 1606 1641 47.54% 26.46% 25.99%+0.25 +28.7 20
1978-11-26 @ Young Boys L 1-457.0 1641 1606 25.99% 26.46% 47.54%-0.25 -28.7 15
1978-11-26 Chiasso W 2-043.3 1802 1379 76.21% 21.24% 2.56%+2.91 +2.6 21
1978-11-26 @ Zurich L 0-243.3 1379 1802 2.56% 21.24% 76.21%-2.91 -2.6 7
1978-12-02 Lausanne-Sport W 1-050.3 1376 1537 30.60% 26.34% 43.06%-0.49 +18.2 9
1978-12-02 @ Chiasso L 0-150.3 1537 1376 43.06% 26.34% 30.60%+0.49 -18.2 11
1978-12-03 Sion W 2-042.1 1711 1390 72.71% 22.99% 4.30%+2.32 +4.6 20
1978-12-03 @ Basel L 0-242.1 1390 1711 4.30% 22.99% 72.71%-2.32 -4.6 6
1978-12-03 Young Boys D 2-275.6 1696 1635 57.54% 26.05% 16.41%+0.80 -2.9 18
1978-12-03 @ Grasshopper D 2-275.6 1635 1696 16.41% 26.05% 57.54%-0.80 +2.9 21
1978-12-03 Chenois W 2-053.2 1612 1642 48.10% 26.45% 25.45%+0.27 +23.1 17
1978-12-03 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 0-253.2 1642 1612 25.45% 26.45% 48.10%-0.27 -23.1 16
1978-12-03 Zurich D 1-171.1 1795 1804 50.49% 26.40% 23.11%+0.39 -2.5 21
1978-12-03 @ Servette D 1-171.1 1804 1795 23.11% 26.40% 50.49%-0.39 +2.5 22
1978-12-03 Nordstern Basel W 2-044.2 1673 1455 68.19% 24.50% 7.32%+1.72 +7.8 22
1978-12-03 @ St. Gallen L 0-244.2 1455 1673 7.32% 24.50% 68.19%-1.72 -7.8 9
1979-03-03 Grasshopper D 0-065.4 1619 1693 42.63% 26.51% 30.86%+0.02 -1.1 17
1979-03-03 @ Chenois D 0-065.4 1693 1619 30.86% 26.51% 42.63%-0.02 +1.1 19
1979-03-03 Servette L 1-259.3 1519 1792 18.27% 25.59% 56.14%-1.14 -8.8 11
1979-03-03 @ Lausanne-Sport W 2-159.3 1792 1519 56.14% 25.59% 18.27%+1.14 +8.8 23
1979-03-04 Basel W 2-056.4 1635 1716 41.69% 26.51% 31.80%-0.02 +27.3 19
1979-03-04 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 0-256.4 1716 1635 31.80% 26.51% 41.69%+0.02 -27.3 20
1979-03-04 Chiasso W 2-145.5 1447 1394 56.86% 26.10% 17.04%+0.76 +8.3 11
1979-03-04 @ Nordstern Basel L 1-245.5 1394 1447 17.04% 26.10% 56.86%-0.76 -8.4 9
1979-03-04 St. Gallen D 1-169.6 1638 1681 46.57% 26.48% 26.95%+0.20 -1.7 22
1979-03-04 @ Young Boys D 1-169.6 1681 1638 26.95% 26.48% 46.57%-0.20 +1.7 23
1979-03-04 Sion W 4-041.4 1807 1386 76.14% 21.28% 2.58%+2.90 +5.0 24
1979-03-04 @ Zurich L 0-441.4 1386 1807 2.58% 21.28% 76.14%-2.90 -5.0 6
1979-03-11 Zurich W 1-061.5 1689 1812 35.74% 26.46% 37.80%-0.27 +16.5 22
1979-03-11 @ Basel L 0-161.5 1812 1689 37.80% 26.46% 35.74%+0.27 -16.5 24
1979-03-11 Young Boys W 1-057.4 1386 1636 20.41% 25.79% 53.79%-1.01 +22.1 11
1979-03-11 @ Chiasso L 0-157.4 1636 1386 53.79% 25.79% 20.41%+1.01 -22.1 22
1979-03-11 Nordstern Basel W 4-043.4 1801 1456 73.61% 22.59% 3.80%+2.46 +7.6 25
1979-03-11 @ Servette L 0-443.4 1456 1801 3.80% 22.59% 73.61%-2.46 -7.6 11
1979-03-11 Lausanne-Sport L 0-147.2 1381 1510 34.88% 26.44% 38.68%-0.30 -15.5 6
1979-03-11 @ Sion W 1-047.2 1510 1381 38.68% 26.44% 34.88%+0.30 +15.5 13
1979-03-11 Chenois D 1-169.5 1682 1618 57.85% 26.03% 16.13%+0.82 -4.0 24
1979-03-11 @ St. Gallen D 1-169.5 1618 1682 16.13% 26.03% 57.85%-0.82 +4.0 18
1979-03-13 Neuchatel Xamax D 2-275.8 1694 1663 54.78% 26.22% 19.00%+0.63 -2.5 20
1979-03-13 @ Grasshopper D 2-275.8 1663 1694 19.00% 26.22% 54.78%-0.63 +2.5 20
1979-03-17 Chiasso W 3-039.3 1622 1408 68.01% 24.54% 7.45%+1.70 +11.5 20
1979-03-17 @ Chenois L 0-339.3 1408 1622 7.45% 24.54% 68.01%-1.70 -11.5 11
1979-03-17 Basel W 2-161.9 1691 1705 50.02% 26.41% 23.57%+0.37 +10.9 22
1979-03-17 @ Grasshopper L 1-261.9 1705 1691 23.57% 26.41% 50.02%-0.37 -10.9 22
1979-03-17 Zurich L 1-259.5 1525 1795 18.61% 25.63% 55.76%-1.12 -8.9 13
1979-03-17 @ Lausanne-Sport W 2-159.5 1795 1525 55.76% 25.63% 18.61%+1.12 +8.9 26
1979-03-17 St. Gallen D 1-169.9 1665 1678 50.07% 26.41% 23.52%+0.37 -2.4 21
1979-03-17 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 1-169.9 1678 1665 23.52% 26.41% 50.07%-0.37 +2.4 25
1979-03-17 Servette W 3-167.2 1614 1809 26.45% 26.18% 47.38%-0.68 +32.2 24
1979-03-17 @ Young Boys L 1-367.2 1809 1614 47.38% 26.18% 26.45%+0.68 -32.2 25
1979-03-18 Sion L 1-257.4 1448 1365 59.44% 25.89% 14.67%+0.93 -23.1 11
1979-03-18 @ Nordstern Basel W 2-157.4 1365 1448 14.67% 25.89% 59.44%-0.93 +23.1 8
1979-03-31 Lausanne-Sport W 2-047.0 1694 1517 66.00% 24.99% 9.01%+1.48 +9.5 24
1979-03-31 @ Basel L 0-247.0 1517 1694 9.01% 24.99% 66.00%-1.48 -9.5 13
1979-03-31 Neuchatel Xamax L 0-344.2 1396 1663 18.91% 25.65% 55.44%-1.10 -26.2 11
1979-03-31 @ Chiasso W 3-044.2 1663 1396 55.44% 25.65% 18.91%+1.10 +26.2 23
1979-03-31 Chenois W 5-152.4 1776 1634 63.84% 25.36% 10.80%+1.28 +17.7 27
1979-03-31 @ Servette L 1-552.4 1634 1776 10.80% 25.36% 63.84%-1.28 -17.7 20
1979-03-31 Young Boys W 4-159.4 1388 1646 19.68% 25.73% 54.59%-1.05 +51.7 10
1979-03-31 @ Sion L 1-459.4 1646 1388 54.59% 25.73% 19.68%+1.05 -51.7 24
1979-03-31 Grasshopper L 1-367.6 1681 1702 49.11% 26.43% 24.45%+0.32 -33.3 25
1979-03-31 @ St. Gallen W 3-167.6 1702 1681 24.45% 26.43% 49.11%-0.32 +33.3 24
1979-04-01 Nordstern Basel W 5-042.7 1804 1425 74.79% 22.02% 3.20%+2.65 +7.8 28
1979-04-01 @ Zurich L 0-542.7 1425 1804 3.20% 22.02% 74.79%-2.65 -7.8 11
1979-04-04 Nordstern Basel D 1-166.4 1704 1417 71.34% 23.53% 5.14%+2.11 -6.8 25
1979-04-04 @ Basel D 1-166.4 1417 1704 5.14% 23.53% 71.34%-2.11 +6.8 12
1979-04-04 St. Gallen W 1-057.9 1370 1647 17.95% 25.56% 56.50%-1.16 +23.1 13
1979-04-04 @ Chiasso L 0-157.9 1647 1370 56.50% 25.56% 17.95%+1.16 -23.1 25
1979-04-04 Young Boys L 0-156.5 1507 1595 40.73% 26.51% 32.77%-0.06 -17.4 13
1979-04-04 @ Lausanne-Sport W 1-056.5 1595 1507 32.77% 26.51% 40.73%+0.06 +17.4 26
1979-04-04 Grasshopper D 0-066.9 1794 1736 57.34% 26.06% 16.59%+0.79 -4.3 28
1979-04-04 @ Servette D 0-066.9 1736 1794 16.59% 26.06% 57.34%-0.79 +4.3 25
1979-04-04 Neuchatel Xamax D 2-271.7 1440 1689 20.55% 25.80% 53.64%-1.00 +2.3 11
1979-04-04 @ Sion D 2-271.7 1689 1440 53.64% 25.80% 20.55%+1.00 -2.3 24
1979-04-04 Chenois W 6-047.8 1812 1616 67.03% 24.77% 8.20%+1.59 +24.1 30
1979-04-04 @ Zurich L 0-647.8 1616 1812 8.20% 24.77% 67.03%-1.59 -24.1 20
1979-04-07 Sion W 3-040.6 1592 1442 64.29% 25.29% 10.42%+1.32 +15.8 22
1979-04-07 @ Chenois L 0-340.6 1442 1592 10.42% 25.29% 64.29%-1.32 -15.8 11
1979-04-07 Chiasso W 4-040.6 1740 1393 73.66% 22.57% 3.77%+2.46 +7.5 27
1979-04-07 @ Grasshopper L 0-440.6 1393 1740 3.77% 22.57% 73.66%-2.46 -7.5 13
1979-04-07 Servette L 0-357.6 1687 1790 38.59% 26.49% 34.92%-0.15 -45.8 24
1979-04-07 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 3-057.6 1790 1687 34.92% 26.49% 38.59%+0.15 +45.8 30
1979-04-07 Basel D 1-169.6 1624 1697 42.76% 26.51% 30.74%+0.03 -1.0 26
1979-04-07 @ St. Gallen D 1-169.6 1697 1624 30.74% 26.51% 42.76%-0.03 +1.0 26
1979-04-07 Zurich L 1-360.0 1612 1836 23.13% 25.99% 50.88%-0.85 -18.4 26
1979-04-07 @ Young Boys W 3-160.0 1836 1612 50.88% 25.99% 23.13%+0.85 +18.4 32
1979-04-08 Lausanne-Sport L 1-255.8 1424 1490 43.66% 26.50% 29.83%+0.07 -17.4 12
1979-04-08 @ Nordstern Basel W 2-155.8 1490 1424 29.83% 26.50% 43.66%-0.07 +17.4 15

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1979-04-21 Young Boys W 6-048.3 1698 1594 61.12% 25.72% 13.16%+1.05 +37.2 2
1979-04-21 @ Basel L 0-648.3 1594 1698 13.16% 25.72% 61.12%-1.05 -37.2 0
1979-04-21 Lausanne-Sport D 3-375.6 1608 1507 60.85% 25.75% 13.40%+1.03 -2.9 1
1979-04-21 @ Chenois D 3-375.6 1507 1608 13.40% 25.75% 60.85%-1.03 +2.9 1
1979-04-21 Nordstern Basel W 2-039.0 1386 1407 49.20% 26.43% 24.37%+0.33 +22.3 2
1979-04-21 @ Chiasso L 0-239.0 1407 1386 24.37% 26.43% 49.20%-0.33 -22.3 0
1979-04-21 Neuchatel Xamax W 1-057.9 1427 1641 24.16% 26.05% 49.78%-0.80 +20.6 2
1979-04-21 @ Sion L 0-157.9 1641 1427 49.78% 26.05% 24.16%+0.80 -20.6 0
1979-04-21 Grasshopper D 0-066.0 1623 1747 35.59% 26.45% 37.96%-0.27 +0.2 1
1979-04-21 @ St. Gallen D 0-066.0 1747 1623 37.96% 26.45% 35.59%+0.27 -0.2 1
1979-04-22 Servette L 2-377.1 1854 1836 53.53% 26.28% 20.19%+0.56 -19.8 0
1979-04-22 @ Zurich W 3-277.1 1836 1854 20.19% 26.28% 53.53%-0.56 +19.8 2
1979-04-28 Basel W 2-161.5 1747 1735 52.85% 26.31% 20.83%+0.52 +9.8 3
1979-04-28 @ Grasshopper L 1-261.5 1735 1747 20.83% 26.31% 52.85%-0.52 -9.8 2
1979-04-28 Chiasso W 2-039.0 1510 1408 60.93% 25.74% 13.33%+1.04 +13.5 3
1979-04-28 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-239.0 1408 1510 13.33% 25.74% 60.93%-1.04 -13.5 2
1979-04-28 Chenois W 1-053.6 1620 1605 53.19% 26.30% 20.51%+0.54 +10.3 2
1979-04-28 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 0-153.6 1605 1620 20.51% 26.30% 53.19%-0.54 -10.3 1
1979-04-28 St. Gallen W 2-049.0 1855 1624 68.88% 24.31% 6.81%+1.80 +7.2 4
1979-04-28 @ Servette L 0-249.0 1624 1855 6.81% 24.31% 68.88%-1.80 -7.2 1
1979-04-28 Zurich L 0-154.7 1557 1835 17.87% 25.55% 56.58%-1.17 -9.1 0
1979-04-28 @ Young Boys W 1-054.7 1835 1557 56.58% 25.55% 17.87%+1.17 +9.1 2
1979-04-29 Sion L 0-344.2 1384 1447 44.03% 26.50% 29.47%+0.08 -50.9 0
1979-04-29 @ Nordstern Basel W 3-044.2 1447 1384 29.47% 26.50% 44.03%-0.08 +50.9 4
1979-05-05 Chenois D 1-161.0 1395 1594 25.81% 26.15% 48.04%-0.71 +2.0 3
1979-05-05 @ Chiasso D 1-161.0 1594 1395 48.04% 26.15% 25.81%+0.71 -2.0 2
1979-05-08 St. Gallen W 2-050.4 1725 1616 61.47% 25.68% 12.85%+1.08 +13.1 4
1979-05-08 @ Basel L 0-250.4 1616 1725 12.85% 25.68% 61.47%-1.08 -13.1 1
1979-05-08 Nordstern Basel L 2-370.5 1631 1333 71.78% 23.37% 4.86%+2.18 -26.4 2
1979-05-08 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 3-270.5 1333 1631 4.86% 23.37% 71.78%-2.18 +26.4 2
1979-05-08 Young Boys W 4-151.4 1863 1547 72.49% 23.08% 4.43%+2.28 +5.8 6
1979-05-08 @ Servette L 1-451.4 1547 1863 4.43% 23.08% 72.49%-2.28 -5.8 0
1979-05-08 Lausanne-Sport D 2-267.8 1498 1523 48.65% 26.44% 24.90%+0.30 -1.6 5
1979-05-08 @ Sion D 2-267.8 1523 1498 24.90% 26.44% 48.65%-0.30 +1.6 4
1979-05-08 Grasshopper D 3-381.3 1844 1757 59.74% 25.86% 14.40%+0.95 -2.7 3
1979-05-08 @ Zurich D 3-381.3 1757 1844 14.40% 25.86% 59.74%-0.95 +2.7 4
1979-05-12 Zurich L 1-365.3 1738 1841 38.63% 26.49% 34.88%-0.15 -27.3 4
1979-05-12 @ Basel W 3-165.3 1841 1738 34.88% 26.49% 38.63%+0.15 +27.3 5
1979-05-12 Nordstern Basel W 3-143.5 1593 1360 68.92% 24.30% 6.78%+1.80 +6.2 4
1979-05-12 @ Chenois L 1-343.5 1360 1593 6.78% 24.30% 68.92%-1.80 -6.2 2
1979-05-12 Sion W 2-044.7 1397 1496 39.03% 26.50% 34.47%-0.13 +29.0 5
1979-05-12 @ Chiasso L 0-244.7 1496 1397 34.47% 26.50% 39.03%+0.13 -29.0 5
1979-05-12 Servette L 0-161.8 1760 1868 37.81% 26.48% 35.70%-0.18 -16.5 4
1979-05-12 @ Grasshopper W 1-061.8 1868 1760 35.70% 26.48% 37.81%+0.18 +16.5 8
1979-05-12 Neuchatel Xamax W 1-054.6 1525 1604 41.86% 26.51% 31.63%-0.01 +14.4 6
1979-05-12 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-154.6 1604 1525 31.63% 26.51% 41.86%+0.01 -14.4 2
1979-05-12 Young Boys D 1-166.4 1603 1542 57.62% 26.04% 16.34%+0.81 -3.9 2
1979-05-12 @ St. Gallen D 1-166.4 1542 1603 16.34% 26.04% 57.62%-0.81 +3.9 1
1979-05-17 Basel W 2-050.3 1885 1711 65.79% 25.03% 9.19%+1.46 +9.7 10
1979-05-17 @ Servette L 0-250.3 1711 1885 9.19% 25.03% 65.79%-1.46 -9.7 4
1979-05-17 Grasshopper W 1-062.8 1546 1743 26.05% 26.16% 47.79%-0.70 +19.9 3
1979-05-17 @ Young Boys L 0-162.8 1743 1546 47.79% 26.16% 26.05%+0.70 -19.9 4
1979-05-17 St. Gallen W 2-156.1 1868 1599 70.60% 23.79% 5.62%+2.01 +3.0 7
1979-05-17 @ Zurich L 1-256.1 1599 1868 5.62% 23.79% 70.60%-2.01 -3.0 2
1979-05-18 Chiasso D 1-162.2 1590 1426 65.20% 25.14% 9.66%+1.40 -5.6 3
1979-05-18 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 1-162.2 1426 1590 9.66% 25.14% 65.20%-1.40 +5.6 6
1979-05-18 Lausanne-Sport L 1-250.2 1354 1539 27.47% 26.22% 46.30%-0.63 -12.2 2
1979-05-18 @ Nordstern Basel W 2-150.2 1539 1354 46.30% 26.22% 27.47%+0.63 +12.2 8
1979-05-18 Chenois D 1-163.7 1467 1599 34.59% 26.44% 38.98%-0.31 +0.4 6
1979-05-18 @ Sion D 1-163.7 1599 1467 38.98% 26.44% 34.59%+0.31 -0.4 5
1979-05-26 St. Gallen L 0-167.5 1723 1596 62.79% 25.51% 11.69%+1.19 -25.9 4
1979-05-26 @ Grasshopper W 1-067.5 1596 1723 11.69% 25.51% 62.79%-1.19 +25.9 4
1979-05-26 Chenois L 2-467.2 1552 1598 46.07% 26.49% 27.45%+0.18 -28.2 8
1979-05-26 @ Lausanne-Sport W 4-267.2 1598 1552 27.45% 26.49% 46.07%-0.18 +28.2 7
1979-05-26 Chiasso L 2-356.4 1341 1431 40.42% 26.50% 33.07%-0.07 -15.5 2
1979-05-26 @ Nordstern Basel W 3-256.4 1431 1341 33.07% 26.50% 40.42%+0.07 +15.5 8
1979-05-26 Zurich W 1-056.4 1894 1871 53.98% 26.26% 19.76%+0.58 +10.0 12
1979-05-26 @ Servette L 0-156.4 1871 1894 19.76% 26.26% 53.98%-0.58 -10.0 7
1979-05-26 Basel D 2-274.6 1565 1701 33.97% 26.42% 39.61%-0.34 +0.3 4
1979-05-26 @ Young Boys D 2-274.6 1701 1565 39.61% 26.42% 33.97%+0.34 -0.4 5
1979-05-31 Grasshopper L 2-375.8 1701 1698 51.90% 26.35% 21.75%+0.47 -19.2 5
1979-05-31 @ Basel W 3-275.8 1698 1701 21.75% 26.35% 51.90%-0.47 +19.2 6
1979-05-31 Lausanne-Sport W 3-152.2 1447 1523 42.19% 26.51% 31.30%+0.00 +23.4 10
1979-05-31 @ Chiasso L 1-352.2 1523 1447 31.30% 26.51% 42.19%+0.00 -23.4 8
1979-05-31 Nordstern Basel W 2-034.6 1468 1326 63.79% 25.37% 10.84%+1.27 +11.2 8
1979-05-31 @ Sion L 0-234.6 1326 1468 10.84% 25.37% 63.79%-1.27 -11.2 2
1979-05-31 Servette L 0-155.2 1622 1904 17.50% 25.51% 56.99%-1.19 -9.0 4
1979-05-31 @ St. Gallen W 1-055.2 1904 1622 56.99% 25.51% 17.50%+1.19 +8.9 14
1979-05-31 Young Boys W 1-050.4 1861 1566 71.71% 23.39% 4.90%+2.17 +2.8 9
1979-05-31 @ Zurich L 0-150.4 1566 1861 4.90% 23.39% 71.71%-2.17 -2.8 4
1979-06-05 Sion L 0-258.6 1584 1479 61.19% 25.71% 13.09%+1.06 -47.5 3
1979-06-05 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 2-058.6 1479 1584 13.09% 25.71% 61.19%-1.06 +47.5 10
1979-06-09 Chiasso W 1-046.7 1627 1470 64.73% 25.22% 10.05%+1.36 +5.6 9
1979-06-09 @ Chenois L 0-146.7 1470 1627 10.05% 25.22% 64.73%-1.36 -5.6 10
1979-06-09 Neuchatel Xamax L 0-240.0 1315 1537 23.33% 26.00% 50.67%-0.84 -21.4 2
1979-06-09 @ Nordstern Basel W 2-040.0 1537 1315 50.67% 26.00% 23.33%+0.84 +21.4 5
1979-06-13 Neuchatel Xamax W 6-356.8 1632 1558 58.70% 25.96% 15.34%+0.88 +15.0 11
1979-06-13 @ Chenois L 3-656.8 1558 1632 15.34% 25.96% 58.70%-0.88 -15.0 5
1979-06-13 Zurich W 2-167.9 1717 1864 32.41% 26.39% 41.21%-0.41 +16.6 8
1979-06-13 @ Grasshopper L 1-267.9 1864 1717 41.21% 26.39% 32.41%+0.41 -16.6 9
1979-06-13 Sion L 1-261.4 1500 1527 48.52% 26.45% 25.03%+0.29 -19.0 8
1979-06-13 @ Lausanne-Sport W 2-161.4 1527 1500 25.03% 26.45% 48.52%-0.29 +19.0 12
1979-06-13 Basel W 4-053.1 1613 1682 43.28% 26.51% 30.21%+0.05 +49.9 6
1979-06-13 @ St. Gallen L 0-453.1 1682 1613 30.21% 26.51% 43.28%-0.05 -49.9 5
1979-06-13 Servette L 0-250.9 1563 1913 12.49% 24.77% 62.74%-1.59 -12.5 4
1979-06-13 @ Young Boys W 2-050.9 1913 1563 62.74% 24.77% 12.49%+1.59 +12.5 16
1979-06-16 Lausanne-Sport L 1-263.9 1543 1481 57.67% 26.04% 16.29%+0.81 -22.4 5
1979-06-16 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 2-163.9 1481 1543 16.29% 26.04% 57.67%-0.81 +22.4 10
1979-06-16 Chenois D 1-159.6 1293 1647 12.27% 24.73% 63.00%-1.61 +5.0 3
1979-06-16 @ Nordstern Basel D 1-159.6 1647 1293 63.00% 24.73% 12.27%+1.61 -5.0 12
1979-06-16 Grasshopper W 3-155.8 1926 1733 66.85% 24.81% 8.34%+1.57 +7.6 18
1979-06-16 @ Servette L 1-355.8 1733 1926 8.34% 24.81% 66.85%-1.57 -7.6 8
1979-06-16 Chiasso D 1-161.8 1546 1465 59.29% 25.91% 14.80%+0.92 -4.3 13
1979-06-16 @ Sion D 1-161.8 1465 1546 14.80% 25.91% 59.29%-0.92 +4.3 11
1979-06-16 St. Gallen D 0-063.8 1551 1663 37.23% 26.48% 36.29%-0.21 -0.1 5
1979-06-16 @ Young Boys D 0-063.8 1663 1551 36.29% 26.48% 37.23%+0.21 +0.1 7
1979-06-16 Basel W 4-259.4 1847 1632 68.08% 24.52% 7.40%+1.70 +6.1 11
1979-06-16 @ Zurich L 2-459.4 1632 1847 7.40% 24.52% 68.08%-1.70 -6.1 5
1979-06-23 Servette L 1-455.9 1626 1934 15.44% 25.25% 59.31%-1.34 -18.5 5
1979-06-23 @ Basel W 4-155.9 1934 1626 59.31% 25.25% 15.44%+1.34 +18.5 20
1979-06-23 Sion D 1-167.5 1642 1541 60.86% 25.75% 13.39%+1.04 -4.6 13
1979-06-23 @ Chenois D 1-167.5 1541 1642 13.39% 25.75% 60.86%-1.04 +4.6 14
1979-06-23 Neuchatel Xamax W 3-152.0 1469 1521 45.42% 26.49% 28.08%+0.15 +21.6 13
1979-06-23 @ Chiasso L 1-352.0 1521 1469 28.08% 26.49% 45.42%-0.15 -21.5 5
1979-06-23 Young Boys D 0-065.4 1726 1550 65.87% 25.01% 9.12%+1.47 -6.4 9
1979-06-23 @ Grasshopper D 0-065.4 1550 1726 9.12% 25.01% 65.87%-1.47 +6.4 6
1979-06-23 Nordstern Basel W 4-031.5 1503 1298 67.53% 24.66% 7.81%+1.64 +15.7 12
1979-06-23 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-431.5 1298 1503 7.81% 24.66% 67.53%-1.64 -15.7 3
1979-06-23 Zurich L 1-263.4 1663 1854 26.93% 26.20% 46.88%-0.66 -12.0 7
1979-06-23 @ St. Gallen W 2-163.4 1854 1663 46.88% 26.20% 26.93%+0.66 +12.0 13

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1979-05-08 4.86% Nordstern Basel 1333 3 @ Neuchatel Xamax 1631 2
2 1978-10-28 9.57% Nordstern Basel 1430 2 @ Young Boys 1596 1
3 1979-05-26 11.69% St. Gallen 1596 1 @ Grasshopper 1723 0
4 1978-08-12 12.13% Chenois 1580 4 @ Lausanne-Sport 1701 1
5 1979-06-05 13.09% Sion 1479 2 @ Neuchatel Xamax 1584 0
6 1979-03-18 14.67% Sion 1365 2 @ Nordstern Basel 1448 1
7 1979-06-16 16.29% Lausanne-Sport 1481 2 @ Neuchatel Xamax 1543 1
8 1978-11-18 16.54% Sion 1364 2 @ Chiasso 1423 0
9 1979-04-04 17.95% @ Chiasso 1370 1 St. Gallen 1647 0
10 1978-09-09 18.49% Neuchatel Xamax 1608 3 @ Chenois 1644 1
11 1978-10-14 18.67% St. Gallen 1661 3 @ Grasshopper 1696 2
12 1978-08-12 19.26% @ Chiasso 1440 2 Basel 1702 1
13 1979-03-31 19.68% @ Sion 1388 4 Young Boys 1646 1
14 1979-04-22 20.19% Servette 1836 3 @ Zurich 1854 2
15 1978-11-05 20.20% Neuchatel Xamax 1595 2 @ Lausanne-Sport 1613 0
16 1979-03-11 20.41% @ Chiasso 1386 1 Young Boys 1636 0
17 1979-05-31 21.75% Grasshopper 1698 3 @ Basel 1701 2
18 1978-09-02 22.57% Young Boys 1633 1 @ Neuchatel Xamax 1629 0
19 1978-08-26 23.34% Chiasso 1450 3 @ Sion 1438 0
20 1978-10-14 23.40% Basel 1675 1 @ Lausanne-Sport 1662 0
21 1979-04-21 24.16% @ Sion 1427 1 Neuchatel Xamax 1641 0
22 1979-03-31 24.45% Grasshopper 1702 3 @ St. Gallen 1681 1
23 1979-06-13 25.03% Sion 1527 2 @ Lausanne-Sport 1500 1
24 1979-05-17 26.05% @ Young Boys 1546 1 Grasshopper 1743 0
25 1978-09-10 26.06% St. Gallen 1557 4 @ Nordstern Basel 1521 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1978-09-16 79.51 @ St. Gallen 6 1586 39.66% Young Boys 0 1681 33.84% 26.50%
2 1978-08-12 59.29 Chenois 4 1580 12.13% @ Lausanne-Sport 1 1701 62.29% 25.58%
3 1978-08-26 57.08 Chiasso 3 1450 23.34% @ Sion 0 1438 50.25% 26.40%
4 1978-08-23 53.73 @ Neuchatel Xamax 8 1575 59.42% Sion 0 1492 14.68% 25.89%
5 1979-03-31 51.72 @ Sion 4 1388 19.68% Young Boys 1 1646 54.59% 25.73%
6 1979-04-29 50.90 Sion 3 1447 29.47% @ Nordstern Basel 0 1384 44.03% 26.50%
7 1979-06-13 49.91 @ St. Gallen 4 1613 43.28% Basel 0 1682 30.21% 26.51%
8 1978-08-26 48.06 @ Servette 6 1721 56.06% Basel 0 1677 17.79% 26.15%
9 1978-09-23 47.94 Servette 5 1728 51.97% @ Nordstern Basel 0 1494 22.11% 25.92%
10 1979-06-05 47.53 Sion 2 1479 13.09% @ Neuchatel Xamax 0 1584 61.19% 25.71%
11 1979-04-07 45.83 Servette 3 1790 34.92% @ Neuchatel Xamax 0 1687 38.59% 26.49%
12 1978-11-18 44.58 Sion 2 1364 16.54% @ Chiasso 0 1423 57.40% 26.06%
13 1978-10-14 44.09 Servette 5 1786 40.89% @ Chenois 1 1641 32.72% 26.40%
14 1978-11-05 41.65 Neuchatel Xamax 2 1595 20.20% @ Lausanne-Sport 0 1613 53.52% 26.28%
15 1978-09-09 40.44 @ Zurich 3 1686 40.90% Servette 0 1773 32.60% 26.51%
16 1978-08-26 38.84 @ Zurich 5 1634 56.97% St. Gallen 0 1580 16.94% 26.09%
17 1978-11-19 38.40 @ Basel 4 1688 35.26% Servette 1 1815 38.29% 26.45%
18 1978-09-09 37.23 Neuchatel Xamax 3 1608 18.49% @ Chenois 1 1644 55.31% 26.19%
19 1979-04-21 37.16 @ Basel 6 1698 61.12% Young Boys 0 1594 13.16% 25.72%
20 1978-10-28 36.59 @ Chenois 3 1594 44.96% Lausanne-Sport 0 1650 28.54% 26.50%
21 1978-08-23 33.90 @ Chenois 3 1635 47.70% Zurich 0 1668 25.84% 26.46%
22 1978-11-19 33.85 Zurich 2 1768 31.29% @ St. Gallen 0 1691 42.20% 26.51%
23 1978-11-04 33.53 @ Young Boys 2 1570 31.85% Basel 0 1722 41.77% 26.37%
24 1979-03-31 33.34 Grasshopper 3 1702 24.45% @ St. Gallen 1 1681 49.11% 26.43%
25 1979-03-17 32.21 @ Young Boys 3 1614 26.45% Servette 1 1809 47.38% 26.18%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1979-05-08 81.3 @ Zurich 3 1844 59.74% Grasshopper 3 1757 14.40% 25.86%
2 1978-10-01 80.4 @ Zurich 3 1719 57.40% Lausanne-Sport 3 1660 16.54% 26.06%
3 1979-04-22 77.1 Servette 3 1836 20.19% @ Zurich 2 1854 53.53% 26.28%
4 1978-10-21 76.9 @ Servette 2 1830 67.77% Neuchatel Xamax 2 1621 7.63% 24.60%
5 1978-10-14 76.4 St. Gallen 3 1661 18.67% @ Grasshopper 2 1696 55.13% 26.20%
6 1979-03-13 75.8 @ Grasshopper 2 1694 54.78% Neuchatel Xamax 2 1663 19.00% 26.22%
7 1979-05-31 75.8 Grasshopper 3 1698 21.75% @ Basel 2 1701 51.90% 26.35%
8 1978-12-03 75.6 @ Grasshopper 2 1696 57.54% Young Boys 2 1635 16.41% 26.05%
9 1979-04-21 75.6 @ Chenois 3 1608 60.85% Lausanne-Sport 3 1507 13.40% 25.75%
10 1978-08-19 75.1 @ Basel 2 1681 58.76% Young Boys 2 1606 15.29% 25.95%
11 1979-05-26 74.6 @ Young Boys 2 1565 33.97% Basel 2 1701 39.61% 26.42%
12 1978-11-18 74.1 @ Chenois 2 1629 54.21% Young Boys 2 1604 19.53% 26.25%
13 1978-08-19 73.7 @ Neuchatel Xamax 2 1576 43.65% Lausanne-Sport 2 1641 29.85% 26.50%
14 1978-08-19 73.1 @ Chiasso 2 1461 19.57% Servette 2 1720 54.71% 25.72%
15 1979-04-04 71.7 @ Sion 2 1440 20.55% Neuchatel Xamax 2 1689 53.64% 25.80%
16 1978-09-16 71.4 @ Sion 2 1382 12.83% Zurich 2 1727 62.33% 24.83%
17 1978-12-03 71.1 @ Servette 1 1795 50.49% Zurich 1 1804 23.11% 26.40%
18 1978-11-05 70.8 @ Zurich 1 1772 60.58% Grasshopper 1 1675 13.64% 25.78%
19 1979-05-08 70.5 Nordstern Basel 3 1333 4.86% @ Neuchatel Xamax 2 1631 71.78% 23.37%
20 1978-09-16 70.4 @ Servette 1 1732 59.28% Lausanne-Sport 1 1651 14.81% 25.91%
21 1978-09-24 70.3 @ Zurich 1 1723 57.84% Basel 1 1659 16.13% 26.03%
22 1979-03-17 69.9 @ Neuchatel Xamax 1 1665 50.07% St. Gallen 1 1678 23.52% 26.41%
23 1979-03-04 69.6 @ Young Boys 1 1638 46.57% St. Gallen 1 1681 26.95% 26.48%
24 1979-04-07 69.6 @ St. Gallen 1 1624 42.76% Basel 1 1697 30.74% 26.51%
25 1979-03-11 69.5 @ St. Gallen 1 1682 57.85% Chenois 1 1618 16.13% 26.03%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1979-06-23 31.5 @ Lausanne-Sport 4 1503 67.53% Nordstern Basel 0 1298 7.81% 24.66%
2 1979-05-31 34.6 @ Sion 2 1468 63.79% Nordstern Basel 0 1326 10.84% 25.37%
3 1979-04-21 39.0 @ Chiasso 2 1386 49.20% Nordstern Basel 0 1407 24.37% 26.43%
4 1979-04-28 39.0 @ Lausanne-Sport 2 1510 60.93% Chiasso 0 1408 13.33% 25.74%
5 1978-10-14 39.1 @ Young Boys 2 1604 68.52% Sion 0 1380 7.07% 24.41%
6 1979-03-17 39.3 @ Chenois 3 1622 68.01% Chiasso 0 1408 7.45% 24.54%
7 1979-06-09 40.0 Neuchatel Xamax 2 1537 50.67% @ Nordstern Basel 0 1315 23.33% 26.00%
8 1979-04-07 40.6 @ Chenois 3 1592 64.29% Sion 0 1442 10.42% 25.29%
9 1979-04-07 40.6 @ Grasshopper 4 1740 73.66% Chiasso 0 1393 3.77% 22.57%
10 1979-03-04 41.4 @ Zurich 4 1807 76.14% Sion 0 1386 2.58% 21.28%
11 1978-10-29 42.0 @ Basel 4 1711 70.62% Chiasso 0 1441 5.60% 23.78%
12 1978-12-03 42.1 @ Basel 2 1711 72.71% Sion 0 1390 4.30% 22.99%
13 1978-11-04 42.7 @ Servette 4 1808 74.78% Chiasso 0 1430 3.20% 22.02%
14 1979-04-01 42.7 @ Zurich 5 1804 74.79% Nordstern Basel 0 1425 3.20% 22.02%
15 1978-09-02 42.8 @ Servette 2 1769 75.09% Sion 0 1381 3.05% 21.86%
16 1978-10-22 42.9 @ Lausanne-Sport 2 1642 67.44% Nordstern Basel 0 1438 7.88% 24.68%
17 1978-08-23 43.0 @ St. Gallen 2 1567 61.06% Chiasso 0 1463 13.21% 25.73%
18 1978-11-26 43.3 @ Zurich 2 1802 76.21% Chiasso 0 1379 2.56% 21.24%
19 1979-03-11 43.4 @ Servette 4 1801 73.61% Nordstern Basel 0 1456 3.80% 22.59%
20 1979-05-12 43.5 @ Chenois 3 1593 68.92% Nordstern Basel 1 1360 6.78% 24.30%
21 1978-08-23 44.1 @ Neuchatel Xamax 8 1575 59.42% Sion 0 1492 14.68% 25.89%
22 1978-12-03 44.2 @ St. Gallen 2 1673 68.19% Nordstern Basel 0 1455 7.32% 24.50%
23 1979-03-31 44.2 Neuchatel Xamax 3 1663 55.44% @ Chiasso 0 1396 18.91% 25.65%
24 1979-04-29 44.2 Sion 3 1447 29.47% @ Nordstern Basel 0 1384 44.03% 26.50%
25 1978-08-19 44.7 @ St. Gallen 3 1539 53.55% Sion 0 1520 20.17% 26.28%