2003-04 Super League Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Basel

85 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Young Boys

13.26 points above expected

72 points · 58.74 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Grasshopper

12.31 points below expected

41 points · 53.31 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Basel	36	26	7	3	85	86	32	+54	79.76	+5.24
2	Young Boys	36	22	6	8	72	75	48	+27	58.74	+13.26
3	Servette	36	15	7	14	52	61	62	-1	53.08	-1.08
4	Zurich	36	14	8	14	50	58	52	+6	47.33	+2.67
5	St. Gallen	36	14	8	14	50	54	57	-3	43.04	+6.96
6	Thun	36	13	10	13	49	51	57	-6	40.97	+8.03
7	Grasshopper	36	12	5	19	41	62	74	-12	53.31	-12.31
8	Aarau	36	9	11	16	38	57	69	-12	45.74	-7.74
9	Neuchatel Xamax	36	10	6	20	36	46	63	-17	43.50	-7.50
10	Wil	36	7	8	21	29	37	73	-36	36.59	-7.59

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Neuchatel Xamax	2	1	0	1	3	3	2	+1	—	—
2	Vaduz	2	1	0	1	3	2	3	-1	—	—

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Young Boys	72	58.74	+13.26
2	Thun	49	40.97	+8.03
3	St. Gallen	50	43.04	+6.96
4	Basel	85	79.76	+5.24
5	Zurich	50	47.33	+2.67

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Grasshopper	41	53.31	-12.31
2	Aarau	38	45.74	-7.74
3	Wil	29	36.59	-7.59
4	Neuchatel Xamax	36	43.50	-7.50
5	Servette	52	53.08	-1.08

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Basel	13	Jul 16 – Oct 5	1 in 789
2	Zurich	5	Mar 7 – Mar 28	1 in 256
3	Thun	4	Nov 23 – Feb 22	1 in 69
4	Young Boys	6	Oct 5 – Nov 23	1 in 64
5	Neuchatel Xamax	3	Apr 15 – Apr 24	1 in 57

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Neuchatel Xamax	7	Nov 23 – Mar 14	1 in 208
2	Wil	8	Apr 4 – May 12	1 in 155
3	Grasshopper	5	Aug 31 – Oct 2	1 in 141
4	St. Gallen	6	Nov 2 – Feb 29	1 in 44
5	Thun	3	Apr 18 – May 2	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Zurich	8	Feb 15 – Mar 28	1 in 196
2	St. Gallen	8	Apr 4 – May 12	1 in 93
3	Basel	23	Jul 16 – Mar 13	1 in 64
4	Thun	5	Mar 21 – Apr 15	1 in 43
5	Grasshopper	5	Nov 30 – Mar 7	1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Neuchatel Xamax	16	Sep 28 – Mar 28	1 in 315
2	Aarau	13	Oct 5 – Mar 20	1 in 200
3	Basel	3	Mar 7 – Mar 17	1 in 45
4	Grasshopper	5	Aug 31 – Oct 2	1 in 13
5	Wil	9	Mar 28 – May 12	1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Basel	1882	85	-3	10	10.5	-0.5
Young Boys	1784	72	+13	10	8.4	+1.6
Servette	1624	52	-21	4	7.5	-3.5
Zurich	1684	50	+34	11	7.6	+3.4
St. Gallen	1673	50	+34	10	5.9	+4.1
Thun	1654	49	+31	12	6.5	+5.5
Grasshopper	1624	41	-42	1	6.3	-5.3
Neuchatel Xamax	1592	39	+7	9	6.8	+2.2
Aarau	1589	38	-16	4	6.5	-2.5
Wil	1475	29	-12	3	4.4	-1.4
Vaduz	1573	3	-6	3	2.6	+0.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AAR	BAS	GRA	NX	SER	SG	THU	WIL	YB	ZUR
Aarau	—	1-1-2 2.20	2-1-1 4.44	2-1-1 6.07	0-2-2 4.69	2-1-1 5.56	0-1-3 5.82	1-2-1 6.61	1-1-2 3.95	0-1-3 5.93
Basel	2-1-1 9.05	—	3-1-0 8.15	3-0-1 8.80	4-0-0 8.44	2-2-0 9.22	3-1-0 8.90	3-1-0 9.22	4-0-0 7.57	2-1-1 8.63
Grasshopper	1-1-2 6.68	0-1-3 3.06	—	1-0-3 6.57	0-1-3 5.42	3-0-1 6.36	2-0-2 6.88	2-0-2 7.14	1-1-2 4.53	2-1-1 6.37
Neuchatel Xamax	1-1-2 5.05	1-0-3 2.44	3-0-1 4.56	—	1-1-2 4.26	1-0-3 5.51	1-2-1 5.45	0-2-2 6.90	0-0-4 4.11	2-0-2 4.83
Servette	2-2-0 6.44	0-0-4 2.76	3-1-0 5.70	2-1-1 6.89	—	1-0-3 6.27	2-1-1 6.48	2-2-0 7.18	1-0-3 4.87	2-0-2 6.14
St. Gallen	1-1-2 5.56	0-2-2 2.04	1-0-3 4.76	3-0-1 5.61	3-0-1 4.86	—	2-2-0 5.79	3-0-1 6.14	0-1-3 4.44	1-2-1 5.30
Thun	3-1-0 5.31	0-1-3 2.37	2-0-2 4.25	1-2-1 5.68	1-1-2 4.64	0-2-2 5.33	—	3-1-0 6.16	1-1-2 3.44	2-1-1 4.79
Wil	1-2-1 4.53	0-1-3 2.08	2-0-2 4.00	2-2-0 4.22	0-2-2 3.95	1-0-3 4.98	0-1-3 4.98	—	0-0-4 3.23	1-0-3 4.49
Young Boys	2-1-1 7.20	0-0-4 3.59	2-1-1 6.60	4-0-0 7.05	3-0-1 6.26	3-1-0 6.69	2-1-1 7.72	4-0-0 7.95	—	2-2-0 6.93
Zurich	3-1-0 5.21	1-1-2 2.58	1-1-2 4.77	2-0-2 6.31	2-0-2 4.98	1-2-1 5.82	1-1-2 6.33	3-0-1 6.63	0-2-2 4.21	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.85	+11.2
Allowed	0.85	-12.3
Differential	0.97	+6.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.40%	5.49%	5.77%	1.92%	1.92%	0.55%	20.05%
1	5.49%	9.89%	7.97%	6.04%	2.20%	1.37%	32.97%
2	5.77%	7.97%	5.49%	3.30%	1.65%	0.55%	24.73%
3	1.92%	6.04%	3.30%	1.10%	—	0.82%	13.19%
4	1.92%	2.20%	1.65%	—	—	—	5.77%
5+	0.55%	1.37%	0.55%	0.82%	—	—	3.30%
Total	20.05%	32.97%	24.73%	13.19%	5.77%	3.30%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.63	1.63	+0.00
SD	1.32	1.32	1.96
CV	0.81	0.81	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
1	2.78%	16.67%	5.56%	8.33%	8.33%	—	41.67%
2	2.78%	2.78%	8.33%	—	5.56%	—	19.44%
3	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	5.56%	22.22%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	33.33%	19.44%	11.11%	13.89%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.58	1.92	-0.33
SD	1.08	1.56	1.80
CV	0.68	0.81	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
1	8.33%	11.11%	—	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
2	13.89%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	30.56%
3	—	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	38.89%	38.89%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.39	0.89	+1.50
SD	1.55	0.89	1.89
CV	0.65	1.00	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	—	19.44%
1	5.56%	2.78%	16.67%	2.78%	—	2.78%	30.56%
2	2.78%	8.33%	5.56%	11.11%	—	2.78%	30.56%
3	—	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
4	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
Total	11.11%	22.22%	33.33%	22.22%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.72	2.06	-0.33
SD	1.45	1.29	1.96
CV	0.84	0.63	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	15.79%	5.26%	5.26%	—	2.63%	34.21%
1	2.63%	7.89%	7.89%	13.16%	—	—	31.58%
2	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	18.42%
3	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
4	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	13.16%	39.47%	21.05%	21.05%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.29	1.71	-0.42
SD	1.39	1.27	2.00
CV	1.08	0.74	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	—	2.78%	19.44%
1	8.33%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	36.11%
2	2.78%	—	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	13.89%
3	2.78%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	13.89%	41.67%	25.00%	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.69	1.72	-0.03
SD	1.39	1.47	2.29
CV	0.82	0.85	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
1	5.56%	8.33%	8.33%	11.11%	5.56%	—	38.89%
2	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	27.78%
3	—	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	27.78%	22.22%	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.58	-0.08
SD	1.08	1.34	1.84
CV	0.72	0.85	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	19.44%
1	2.78%	19.44%	11.11%	5.56%	—	2.78%	41.67%
2	8.33%	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	—	25.00%
3	2.78%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
Total	22.22%	30.56%	25.00%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	1.58	-0.17
SD	1.20	1.30	1.75
CV	0.85	0.82	—
Max	6	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	5.56%	13.89%	—	8.33%	—	30.56%
1	2.78%	16.67%	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	41.67%
2	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.89%	30.56%	22.22%	13.89%	11.11%	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	2.03	-1.00
SD	0.88	1.50	1.82
CV	0.85	0.74	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
1	8.33%	—	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	16.67%
2	5.56%	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	36.11%
3	5.56%	11.11%	—	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
4	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
Total	27.78%	36.11%	16.67%	13.89%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.08	1.33	+0.75
SD	1.34	1.20	1.79
CV	0.64	0.90	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	22.22%
1	8.33%	2.78%	16.67%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
2	2.78%	5.56%	11.11%	—	2.78%	—	22.22%
3	—	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
4	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	27.78%	44.44%	5.56%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.61	1.44	+0.17
SD	1.29	0.97	1.54
CV	0.80	0.67	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Basel	1882	85	79.76	+5.24	80.0%	64	68	76	80	85	91	96
Young Boys	1784	72	58.74	+13.26	97.0%	39	47	53	58	64	72	74
Zurich	1684	50	47.33	+2.67	67.0%	33	36	42	47	52	59	61
St. Gallen	1673	50	43.04	+6.96	83.0%	25	30	38	42	48	55	65
Thun	1654	49	40.97	+8.03	90.0%	19	32	36	40	45	51	64
Servette	1624	52	53.08	-1.08	43.0%	35	40	49	53	57	63	78
Grasshopper	1624	41	53.31	-12.31	5.0%	33	41	48	53	58	66	72
Neuchatel Xamax	1592	36	43.50	-7.50	19.0%	26	32	39	44	48	54	62
Aarau	1589	38	45.74	-7.74	16.0%	28	33	40	46	50	57	71
Wil	1475	29	36.59	-7.59	16.0%	17	24	32	36	41	48	56

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 15% * Slight Edge: 15% to 22.5% * Clear Edge: 22.5% to 26.5% * Strong Edge: 26.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+23.08%

Clear Edge

51.10%20.88%28.02%

Elo Value

Home Edge

194 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

081.65500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.59 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.42+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.2

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

92%

Basel, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.36/gm

Runaway

00.490.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.78 * Some Luck: 5.78 to 8.68 * Lucky: 8.68 to 11.57 * Wild Swing: 11.57 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.14 * Close: 1.14 to 1.71 * Off: 1.71 to 2.28 * Way Off: 2.28 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

8.06 points

Some Luck

07.2318

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.60

01.433

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

97.00%

Young Boys

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

5.00%

Grasshopper

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 76% * Wide Edge: 76% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 94.5% * Dominant: 94.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51% * Some Drama: 51% to 55.5% * Frequent: 55.5% to 59.5% * Very Frequent: 59.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18% * Occasional: 18% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 27% * Very Frequent: 27% and up.

Gini Index

0.17

Top-Heavy

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 111.94

2.09

Wide Separation

11.651.852.052.75

Interquartile Edge

62%

Even

50%63%71%76%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

91%

Clear Edge

50%89%100%

Close Games

Expected

54%

Some Drama

0%56%100%

Blowouts

Expected

18%

Rare

0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21% * As Expected: 21% to 23.5% * Upset-Prone: 23.5% to 26% * Very Upset-Prone: 26% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17.5% * As Expected: 17.5% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 22.5% * Very Shaky: 22.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.58

Predictable

00.582

Matchup Imbalance

0.38

Slight Separation

00.370.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.21

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.31

Weak Carryover

00.420.631

Upset Rate

Expected

24%

Upset-Prone

0%24%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

20%

Shaky Favorites

0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.34

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.03

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.069

Well Within Noise

00.1230.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Basel	92.00%	8.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Young Boys	6.00%	44.00%	22.00%	14.00%	9.00%	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—
Servette	1.00%	14.00%	27.00%	21.00%	15.00%	9.00%	6.00%	1.00%	4.00%	2.00%
Zurich	—	3.00%	13.00%	13.00%	19.00%	22.00%	10.00%	6.00%	11.00%	3.00%
St. Gallen	—	4.00%	5.00%	6.00%	8.00%	9.00%	18.00%	26.00%	14.00%	10.00%
Thun	—	2.00%	2.00%	4.00%	5.00%	16.00%	11.00%	20.00%	23.00%	17.00%
Grasshopper	1.00%	21.00%	15.00%	22.00%	18.00%	12.00%	4.00%	3.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Aarau	—	3.00%	9.00%	10.00%	15.00%	14.00%	16.00%	16.00%	9.00%	8.00%
Neuchatel Xamax	—	1.00%	5.00%	9.00%	7.00%	13.00%	24.00%	14.00%	17.00%	10.00%
Wil	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	4.00%	4.00%	8.00%	13.00%	19.00%	49.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Lost relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Basel	100%	—	—
Young Boys	100%	—	—
Grasshopper	96.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Servette	94.00%	4.00%	2.00%
Zurich	86.00%	11.00%	3.00%
Aarau	83.00%	9.00%	8.00%
St. Gallen	76.00%	14.00%	10.00%
Thun	60.00%	23.00%	17.00%
Wil	32.00%	19.00%	49.00%
Neuchatel Xamax	—	100%	—

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team	Won relegation playoff	Lost relegation playoff
Neuchatel Xamax	50.78%	49.22%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2003-07-16	Aarau	D 1-1	70.3	1616	1624	48.73%	22.13%	29.14%	+0.38	-1.1	1
2003-07-16	@ Thun	D 1-1	70.3	1624	1616	29.14%	22.13%	48.73%	-0.38	+1.1	1
2003-07-16	Neuchatel Xamax	L 0-1	66.7	1768	1649	62.93%	20.52%	16.55%	+1.03	-16.3	0
2003-07-16	@ Grasshopper	W 1-0	66.7	1649	1768	16.55%	20.52%	62.93%	-1.03	+16.3	3
2003-07-16	Wil	W 3-1	55.1	1643	1603	54.66%	21.68%	23.66%	+0.63	+11.7	3
2003-07-16	@ Servette	L 1-3	55.1	1603	1643	23.66%	21.68%	54.66%	-0.63	-11.7	0
2003-07-16	Young Boys	L 1-4	61.4	1646	1632	51.57%	21.95%	26.48%	+0.49	-31.4	0
2003-07-16	@ St. Gallen	W 4-1	61.4	1632	1646	26.48%	21.95%	51.57%	-0.49	+31.4	3
2003-07-16	Zurich	W 2-1	57.4	1760	1635	63.57%	20.40%	16.04%	+1.07	+4.7	3
2003-07-16	@ Basel	L 1-2	57.4	1635	1760	16.04%	20.40%	63.57%	-1.07	-4.7	0
2003-07-19	Grasshopper	W 2-1	66.5	1626	1751	32.64%	22.29%	45.07%	-0.23	+11.4	4
2003-07-19	@ Aarau	L 1-2	66.5	1751	1626	45.07%	22.29%	32.64%	+0.23	-11.4	0
2003-07-19	Servette	L 0-1	61.0	1630	1655	46.62%	22.23%	31.15%	+0.29	-12.5	0
2003-07-19	@ Zurich	W 1-0	61.0	1655	1630	31.15%	22.23%	46.62%	-0.29	+12.5	6
2003-07-19	St. Gallen	W 2-0	49.8	1665	1614	55.93%	21.55%	22.52%	+0.68	+12.9	6
2003-07-19	@ Neuchatel Xamax	L 0-2	49.8	1614	1665	22.52%	21.55%	55.93%	-0.68	-12.9	0
2003-07-22	Basel	L 2-3	69.4	1663	1765	35.86%	22.37%	41.78%	-0.10	-9.0	3
2003-07-22	@ Young Boys	W 3-2	69.4	1765	1663	41.78%	22.37%	35.86%	+0.10	+9.0	6
2003-07-22	Thun	D 1-1	69.6	1592	1615	46.88%	22.22%	30.90%	+0.30	-0.9	1
2003-07-22	@ Wil	D 1-1	69.6	1615	1592	30.90%	22.22%	46.88%	-0.30	+0.9	2
2003-07-26	Aarau	D 0-0	66.4	1601	1637	45.16%	22.29%	32.55%	+0.24	-0.8	1
2003-07-26	@ St. Gallen	D 0-0	66.4	1637	1601	32.55%	22.29%	45.16%	-0.24	+0.8	5
2003-07-26	Neuchatel Xamax	W 4-2	59.8	1774	1678	60.74%	20.90%	18.36%	+0.92	+8.3	9
2003-07-26	@ Basel	L 2-4	59.8	1678	1774	18.36%	20.90%	60.74%	-0.92	-8.3	6
2003-07-26	Thun	W 5-1	51.1	1667	1616	56.04%	21.53%	22.43%	+0.69	+20.4	9
2003-07-26	@ Servette	L 1-5	51.1	1616	1667	22.43%	21.53%	56.04%	-0.69	-20.3	2
2003-07-26	Zurich	W 2-1	58.8	1654	1618	54.30%	21.71%	23.99%	+0.61	+6.8	6
2003-07-26	@ Young Boys	L 1-2	58.8	1618	1654	23.99%	21.71%	54.30%	-0.61	-6.8	0
2003-07-29	Wil	W 5-3	59.7	1740	1591	65.66%	19.95%	14.39%	+1.19	+6.2	3
2003-07-29	@ Grasshopper	L 3-5	59.7	1591	1740	14.39%	19.95%	65.66%	-1.19	-6.2	1
2003-08-02	Basel	L 2-3	65.3	1585	1783	24.07%	21.72%	54.21%	-0.60	-6.5	1
2003-08-02	@ Wil	W 3-2	65.3	1783	1585	54.21%	21.72%	24.07%	+0.60	+6.5	12
2003-08-02	Grasshopper	W 3-2	72.5	1595	1746	29.44%	22.15%	48.42%	-0.36	+11.5	5
2003-08-02	@ Thun	L 2-3	72.5	1746	1595	48.42%	22.15%	29.44%	+0.36	-11.5	3
2003-08-02	Servette	D 1-1	71.5	1638	1688	43.21%	22.34%	34.45%	+0.16	-0.5	6
2003-08-02	@ Aarau	D 1-1	71.5	1688	1638	34.45%	22.34%	43.21%	-0.16	+0.5	10
2003-08-02	St. Gallen	D 2-2	75.3	1611	1601	51.13%	21.98%	26.90%	+0.47	-1.1	1
2003-08-02	@ Zurich	D 2-2	75.3	1601	1611	26.90%	21.98%	51.13%	-0.47	+1.1	2
2003-08-02	Young Boys	L 1-2	67.7	1670	1661	50.93%	21.99%	27.08%	+0.47	-12.7	6
2003-08-02	@ Neuchatel Xamax	W 2-1	67.7	1661	1670	27.08%	21.99%	50.93%	-0.47	+12.7	9
2003-08-08	Servette	D 1-1	72.5	1735	1688	55.43%	21.60%	22.97%	+0.66	-1.9	4
2003-08-08	@ Grasshopper	D 1-1	72.5	1688	1735	22.97%	21.60%	55.43%	-0.66	+1.9	11
2003-08-08	Zurich	W 2-1	58.4	1657	1610	55.53%	21.59%	22.88%	+0.67	+6.5	9
2003-08-08	@ Neuchatel Xamax	L 1-2	58.4	1610	1657	22.88%	21.59%	55.53%	-0.67	-6.5	1
2003-08-09	Aarau	W 3-1	53.7	1789	1637	65.89%	19.90%	14.21%	+1.20	+7.3	15
2003-08-09	@ Basel	L 1-3	53.7	1637	1789	14.21%	19.90%	65.89%	-1.20	-7.3	6
2003-08-09	Thun	D 1-1	69.7	1602	1607	49.19%	22.10%	28.70%	+0.40	-1.2	3
2003-08-09	@ St. Gallen	D 1-1	69.7	1607	1602	28.70%	22.10%	49.19%	-0.40	+1.2	6
2003-08-09	Wil	W 2-1	56.6	1674	1578	60.69%	20.91%	18.41%	+0.91	+5.4	12
2003-08-09	@ Young Boys	L 1-2	56.6	1578	1674	18.41%	20.91%	60.69%	-0.91	-5.4	1
2003-08-16	Basel	L 0-4	48.8	1608	1796	25.09%	21.82%	53.09%	-0.55	-26.9	6
2003-08-16	@ Thun	W 4-0	48.8	1796	1608	53.09%	21.82%	25.09%	+0.55	+26.9	18
2003-08-16	Neuchatel Xamax	D 1-1	70.2	1573	1664	37.40%	22.38%	40.22%	-0.05	+0.2	2
2003-08-16	@ Wil	D 1-1	70.2	1664	1573	40.22%	22.38%	37.40%	+0.05	-0.2	10
2003-08-16	St. Gallen	L 1-3	66.5	1690	1600	60.09%	21.00%	18.91%	+0.88	-25.5	11
2003-08-16	@ Servette	W 3-1	66.5	1600	1690	18.91%	21.00%	60.09%	-0.88	+25.5	6
2003-08-17	Young Boys	W 3-1	59.5	1630	1679	43.32%	22.34%	34.34%	+0.17	+15.9	9
2003-08-17	@ Aarau	L 1-3	59.5	1679	1630	34.34%	22.34%	43.32%	-0.17	-15.9	12
2003-08-17	Zurich	W 1-0	51.8	1733	1603	63.92%	20.33%	15.76%	+1.09	+4.9	7
2003-08-17	@ Grasshopper	L 0-1	51.8	1603	1733	15.76%	20.33%	63.92%	-1.09	-4.9	1
2003-08-22	Grasshopper	L 1-2	63.2	1626	1738	34.52%	22.34%	43.14%	-0.15	-9.2	6
2003-08-22	@ St. Gallen	W 2-1	63.2	1738	1626	43.14%	22.34%	34.52%	+0.15	+9.2	10
2003-08-22	Thun	W 2-1	56.9	1663	1581	59.32%	21.12%	19.57%	+0.85	+5.7	15
2003-08-22	@ Young Boys	L 1-2	56.9	1581	1663	19.57%	21.12%	59.32%	-0.85	-5.7	6
2003-08-23	Aarau	L 0-1	62.9	1663	1646	52.01%	21.91%	26.07%	+0.51	-13.7	10
2003-08-23	@ Neuchatel Xamax	W 1-0	62.9	1646	1663	26.07%	21.91%	52.01%	-0.51	+13.7	12
2003-08-23	Wil	W 3-1	54.0	1598	1573	52.97%	21.83%	25.20%	+0.55	+12.3	4
2003-08-23	@ Zurich	L 1-3	54.0	1573	1598	25.20%	21.83%	52.97%	-0.55	-12.3	2
2003-08-24	Servette	W 6-0	46.9	1823	1665	66.48%	19.76%	13.76%	+1.24	+22.6	21
2003-08-24	@ Basel	L 0-6	46.9	1665	1823	13.76%	19.76%	66.48%	-1.24	-22.6	11
2003-08-30	Wil	W 4-1	50.4	1617	1561	56.52%	21.48%	22.00%	+0.71	+15.5	9
2003-08-30	@ St. Gallen	L 1-4	50.4	1561	1617	22.00%	21.48%	56.52%	-0.71	-15.5	2
2003-08-30	Zurich	D 3-3	81.0	1660	1611	55.73%	21.57%	22.70%	+0.67	-1.2	13
2003-08-30	@ Aarau	D 3-3	81.0	1611	1660	22.70%	21.57%	55.73%	-0.67	+1.2	5
2003-08-31	Basel	L 0-4	53.0	1747	1846	36.26%	22.37%	41.37%	-0.09	-36.4	10
2003-08-31	@ Grasshopper	W 4-0	53.0	1846	1747	41.37%	22.37%	36.26%	+0.09	+36.4	24
2003-08-31	Neuchatel Xamax	D 0-0	66.1	1575	1650	39.75%	22.39%	37.87%	+0.04	-0.1	7
2003-08-31	@ Thun	D 0-0	66.1	1650	1575	37.87%	22.39%	39.75%	-0.04	+0.1	11
2003-08-31	Young Boys	W 4-1	55.9	1642	1669	46.34%	22.24%	31.42%	+0.28	+21.0	14
2003-08-31	@ Servette	L 1-4	55.9	1669	1642	31.42%	22.24%	46.34%	-0.28	-21.0	15
2003-09-03	Aarau	W 1-0	58.6	1545	1658	34.29%	22.34%	43.38%	-0.16	+11.7	5
2003-09-03	@ Wil	L 0-1	58.6	1658	1545	43.38%	22.34%	34.29%	+0.16	-11.7	13
2003-09-03	Grasshopper	W 4-0	51.9	1648	1710	41.45%	22.37%	36.18%	+0.10	+36.4	18
2003-09-03	@ Young Boys	L 0-4	51.9	1710	1648	36.18%	22.37%	41.45%	-0.10	-36.4	10
2003-09-03	Servette	L 2-3	72.1	1650	1663	48.16%	22.16%	29.68%	+0.35	-11.5	11
2003-09-03	@ Neuchatel Xamax	W 3-2	72.1	1663	1650	29.68%	22.16%	48.16%	-0.35	+11.5	17
2003-09-03	St. Gallen	W 4-1	49.2	1882	1632	73.33%	17.72%	8.95%	+1.71	+6.4	27
2003-09-03	@ Basel	L 1-4	49.2	1632	1882	8.95%	17.72%	73.33%	-1.71	-6.4	9
2003-09-03	Thun	W 4-0	45.4	1612	1575	54.30%	21.71%	23.98%	+0.61	+25.9	8
2003-09-03	@ Zurich	L 0-4	45.4	1575	1612	23.98%	21.71%	54.30%	-0.61	-25.9	7
2003-09-14	Basel	L 0-1	54.1	1638	1889	18.98%	21.01%	60.01%	-0.87	-5.9	8
2003-09-14	@ Zurich	W 1-0	54.1	1889	1638	60.01%	21.01%	18.98%	+0.87	+5.9	30
2003-09-14	Grasshopper	W 3-1	58.9	1638	1674	45.17%	22.29%	32.55%	+0.24	+15.3	14
2003-09-14	@ Neuchatel Xamax	L 1-3	58.9	1674	1638	32.55%	22.29%	45.17%	-0.24	-15.3	10
2003-09-14	Servette	D 2-2	75.6	1557	1674	33.72%	22.32%	43.96%	-0.19	+0.4	6
2003-09-14	@ Wil	D 2-2	75.6	1674	1557	43.96%	22.32%	33.72%	+0.19	-0.4	18
2003-09-14	St. Gallen	D 0-0	67.7	1684	1626	56.78%	21.45%	21.77%	+0.72	-2.4	19
2003-09-14	@ Young Boys	D 0-0	67.7	1626	1684	21.77%	21.45%	56.78%	-0.72	+2.4	10
2003-09-14	Thun	L 1-2	68.2	1647	1549	60.86%	20.88%	18.26%	+0.92	-14.9	13
2003-09-14	@ Aarau	W 2-1	68.2	1549	1647	18.26%	20.88%	60.86%	-0.92	+14.9	10
2003-09-28	Aarau	L 2-3	73.2	1659	1632	53.16%	21.82%	25.02%	+0.56	-12.5	10
2003-09-28	@ Grasshopper	W 3-2	73.2	1632	1659	25.02%	21.82%	53.16%	-0.56	+12.5	16
2003-09-28	Neuchatel Xamax	W 3-1	58.1	1628	1654	46.53%	22.24%	31.24%	+0.29	+14.8	13
2003-09-28	@ St. Gallen	L 1-3	58.1	1654	1628	31.24%	22.24%	46.53%	-0.29	-14.8	14
2003-09-28	Wil	W 3-2	61.8	1564	1557	50.72%	22.01%	27.28%	+0.46	+7.2	13
2003-09-28	@ Thun	L 2-3	61.8	1557	1564	27.28%	22.01%	50.72%	-0.46	-7.2	6
2003-09-28	Young Boys	W 2-0	47.3	1895	1682	70.72%	18.60%	10.68%	+1.52	+6.3	33
2003-09-28	@ Basel	L 0-2	47.3	1682	1895	10.68%	18.60%	70.72%	-1.52	-6.3	19
2003-09-28	Zurich	W 3-1	55.9	1674	1632	54.94%	21.65%	23.41%	+0.64	+11.6	21
2003-09-28	@ Servette	L 1-3	55.9	1632	1674	23.41%	21.65%	54.94%	-0.64	-11.6	8
2003-10-02	Basel	L 1-3	55.6	1639	1901	18.05%	20.84%	61.11%	-0.93	-9.2	14
2003-10-02	@ Neuchatel Xamax	W 3-1	55.6	1901	1639	61.11%	20.84%	18.05%	+0.93	+9.1	36
2003-10-02	Grasshopper	W 2-1	62.7	1550	1646	36.65%	22.38%	40.98%	-0.08	+10.6	9
2003-10-02	@ Wil	L 1-2	62.7	1646	1550	40.98%	22.38%	36.65%	+0.08	-10.6	10
2003-10-02	Servette	D 1-1	70.6	1571	1686	34.19%	22.33%	43.48%	-0.17	+0.5	14
2003-10-02	@ Thun	D 1-1	70.6	1686	1571	43.48%	22.33%	34.19%	+0.17	-0.5	22
2003-10-02	St. Gallen	W 3-1	57.2	1644	1643	50.02%	22.05%	27.93%	+0.43	+13.5	19
2003-10-02	@ Aarau	L 1-3	57.2	1643	1644	27.93%	22.05%	50.02%	-0.43	-13.5	13
2003-10-05	Aarau	W 3-1	56.9	1685	1658	53.20%	21.82%	24.99%	+0.56	+12.2	25
2003-10-05	@ Servette	L 1-3	56.9	1658	1685	24.99%	21.82%	53.20%	-0.56	-12.2	19
2003-10-05	Neuchatel Xamax	W 2-1	59.0	1676	1630	55.37%	21.61%	23.03%	+0.66	+6.6	22
2003-10-05	@ Young Boys	L 1-2	59.0	1630	1676	23.03%	21.61%	55.37%	-0.66	-6.6	14
2003-10-05	Thun	W 2-1	56.7	1636	1572	57.35%	21.38%	21.27%	+0.75	+6.1	13
2003-10-05	@ Grasshopper	L 1-2	56.7	1572	1636	21.27%	21.38%	57.35%	-0.75	-6.1	14
2003-10-05	Wil	W 4-0	41.3	1910	1561	79.20%	15.23%	5.57%	+2.22	+6.0	39
2003-10-05	@ Basel	L 0-4	41.3	1561	1910	5.57%	15.23%	79.20%	-2.22	-5.9	9
2003-10-05	Zurich	W 2-1	59.5	1629	1620	50.99%	21.99%	27.02%	+0.47	+7.5	16
2003-10-05	@ St. Gallen	L 1-2	59.5	1620	1629	27.02%	21.99%	50.99%	-0.47	-7.6	8
2003-10-15	Young Boys	L 0-2	55.6	1613	1682	40.46%	22.38%	37.16%	+0.06	-20.9	8
2003-10-15	@ Zurich	W 2-0	55.6	1682	1613	37.16%	22.38%	40.46%	-0.06	+20.9	25
2003-10-26	Basel	D 2-2	78.8	1646	1916	17.36%	20.70%	61.94%	-0.97	+2.1	20
2003-10-26	@ Aarau	D 2-2	78.8	1916	1646	61.94%	20.70%	17.36%	+0.97	-2.0	40
2003-10-26	Grasshopper	W 3-2	64.3	1697	1642	56.44%	21.49%	22.07%	+0.71	+6.0	28
2003-10-26	@ Servette	L 2-3	64.3	1642	1697	22.07%	21.49%	56.44%	-0.71	-6.0	13
2003-10-26	Neuchatel Xamax	W 3-1	57.2	1592	1623	45.74%	22.27%	31.99%	+0.26	+15.0	11
2003-10-26	@ Zurich	L 1-3	57.2	1623	1592	31.99%	22.27%	45.74%	-0.26	-15.0	14
2003-10-26	St. Gallen	D 1-1	69.5	1566	1637	40.21%	22.38%	37.40%	+0.05	-0.2	15
2003-10-26	@ Thun	D 1-1	69.5	1637	1566	37.40%	22.38%	40.21%	-0.05	+0.2	17
2003-10-26	Young Boys	L 0-1	55.5	1555	1703	29.74%	22.16%	48.10%	-0.34	-8.7	9
2003-10-26	@ Wil	W 1-0	55.5	1703	1555	48.10%	22.16%	29.74%	+0.34	+8.7	28
2003-10-29	Aarau	W 5-3	62.4	1712	1648	57.41%	21.37%	21.22%	+0.75	+9.0	31
2003-10-29	@ Young Boys	L 3-5	62.4	1648	1712	21.22%	21.37%	57.41%	-0.75	-9.0	20
2003-10-29	Grasshopper	L 0-2	56.4	1607	1636	46.07%	22.25%	31.68%	+0.27	-23.3	11
2003-10-29	@ Zurich	W 2-0	56.4	1636	1607	31.68%	22.25%	46.07%	-0.27	+23.3	16
2003-10-29	Servette	W 1-0	58.8	1637	1703	40.94%	22.38%	36.69%	+0.08	+10.3	20
2003-10-29	@ St. Gallen	L 0-1	58.8	1703	1637	36.69%	22.38%	40.94%	-0.08	-10.3	28
2003-10-29	Thun	W 2-0	44.5	1914	1566	79.14%	15.26%	5.60%	+2.22	+3.1	43
2003-10-29	@ Basel	L 0-2	44.5	1566	1914	5.60%	15.26%	79.14%	-2.22	-3.2	15
2003-10-29	Wil	D 0-0	64.7	1608	1546	57.18%	21.40%	21.42%	+0.74	-2.4	15
2003-10-29	@ Neuchatel Xamax	D 0-0	64.7	1546	1608	21.42%	21.40%	57.18%	-0.74	+2.4	10
2003-11-02	Basel	L 1-2	60.1	1693	1917	21.43%	21.40%	57.17%	-0.73	-6.2	28
2003-11-02	@ Servette	W 2-1	60.1	1917	1693	57.17%	21.40%	21.43%	+0.73	+6.2	46
2003-11-02	Neuchatel Xamax	D 1-1	70.5	1639	1606	53.86%	21.76%	24.38%	+0.59	-1.8	21
2003-11-02	@ Aarau	D 1-1	70.5	1606	1639	24.38%	21.76%	53.86%	-0.59	+1.8	16
2003-11-02	St. Gallen	W 5-2	57.6	1659	1647	51.29%	21.97%	26.74%	+0.48	+15.9	19
2003-11-02	@ Grasshopper	L 2-5	57.6	1647	1659	26.74%	21.97%	51.29%	-0.48	-15.9	20
2003-11-02	Young Boys	L 1-3	57.3	1563	1721	28.54%	22.09%	49.36%	-0.40	-13.7	15
2003-11-02	@ Thun	W 3-1	57.3	1721	1563	49.36%	22.09%	28.54%	+0.40	+13.7	34
2003-11-02	Zurich	W 2-1	58.4	1548	1584	45.22%	22.28%	32.49%	+0.24	+8.8	13
2003-11-02	@ Wil	L 1-2	58.4	1584	1548	32.49%	22.28%	45.22%	-0.24	-8.8	11
2003-11-23	Aarau	W 4-2	62.8	1575	1637	41.51%	22.37%	36.12%	+0.10	+14.8	14
2003-11-23	@ Zurich	L 2-4	62.8	1637	1575	36.12%	22.37%	41.51%	-0.10	-14.8	21
2003-11-23	Grasshopper	W 5-2	52.7	1923	1675	73.21%	17.76%	9.03%	+1.70	+5.6	49
2003-11-23	@ Basel	L 2-5	52.7	1675	1923	9.03%	17.76%	73.21%	-1.70	-5.6	19
2003-11-23	Servette	W 3-0	48.8	1734	1687	55.57%	21.59%	22.85%	+0.67	+19.0	37
2003-11-23	@ Young Boys	L 0-3	48.8	1687	1734	22.85%	21.59%	55.57%	-0.67	-19.0	28
2003-11-23	St. Gallen	W 2-0	52.9	1557	1632	39.76%	22.39%	37.86%	+0.04	+19.9	16
2003-11-23	@ Wil	L 0-2	52.9	1632	1557	37.86%	22.39%	39.76%	-0.04	-19.9	20
2003-11-23	Thun	L 0-1	61.2	1607	1549	56.80%	21.45%	21.76%	+0.72	-14.8	16
2003-11-23	@ Neuchatel Xamax	W 1-0	61.2	1549	1607	21.76%	21.45%	56.80%	-0.72	+14.8	18
2003-11-30	Basel	L 1-2	57.2	1612	1929	13.99%	19.83%	66.18%	-1.22	-4.1	20
2003-11-30	@ St. Gallen	W 2-1	57.2	1929	1612	66.18%	19.83%	13.99%	+1.22	+4.1	52
2003-11-30	Neuchatel Xamax	W 1-0	52.4	1668	1593	58.59%	21.22%	20.19%	+0.81	+6.2	31
2003-11-30	@ Servette	L 0-1	52.4	1593	1668	20.19%	21.22%	58.59%	-0.81	-6.2	16
2003-11-30	Wil	D 1-1	69.7	1622	1577	55.26%	21.62%	23.12%	+0.65	-1.9	22
2003-11-30	@ Aarau	D 1-1	69.7	1577	1622	23.12%	21.62%	55.26%	-0.65	+1.9	17
2003-11-30	Young Boys	D 3-3	82.2	1669	1753	38.36%	22.39%	39.25%	-0.01	+0.0	20
2003-11-30	@ Grasshopper	D 3-3	82.2	1753	1669	39.25%	22.39%	38.36%	+0.01	-0.0	38
2003-11-30	Zurich	W 2-0	50.0	1564	1590	46.46%	22.24%	31.30%	+0.29	+17.1	21
2003-11-30	@ Thun	L 0-2	50.0	1590	1564	31.30%	22.24%	46.46%	-0.29	-17.1	14
2004-02-15	Basel	L 0-1	56.8	1753	1933	26.07%	21.91%	52.02%	-0.51	-7.8	38
2004-02-15	@ Young Boys	W 1-0	56.8	1933	1753	52.02%	21.91%	26.07%	+0.51	+7.8	55
2004-02-15	Neuchatel Xamax	W 1-0	52.1	1669	1586	59.40%	21.10%	19.50%	+0.85	+6.0	23
2004-02-15	@ Grasshopper	L 0-1	52.1	1586	1669	19.50%	21.10%	59.40%	-0.85	-6.0	16
2004-02-15	St. Gallen	W 3-1	54.8	1674	1608	57.65%	21.34%	21.01%	+0.76	+10.5	34
2004-02-15	@ Servette	L 1-3	54.8	1608	1674	21.01%	21.34%	57.65%	-0.76	-10.5	20
2004-02-15	Thun	L 0-2	55.6	1579	1581	49.62%	22.08%	28.30%	+0.41	-24.8	17
2004-02-15	@ Wil	W 2-0	55.6	1581	1579	28.30%	22.08%	49.62%	-0.41	+24.8	24
2004-02-15	Zurich	L 2-4	68.0	1620	1573	55.55%	21.59%	22.86%	+0.67	-21.2	22
2004-02-15	@ Aarau	W 4-2	68.0	1573	1620	22.86%	21.59%	55.55%	-0.67	+21.2	17
2004-02-22	Aarau	W 6-3	57.5	1606	1599	50.68%	22.01%	27.31%	+0.46	+15.0	27
2004-02-22	@ Thun	L 3-6	57.5	1599	1606	27.31%	22.01%	50.68%	-0.46	-15.0	22
2004-02-22	Grasshopper	D 2-2	79.9	1941	1675	74.33%	17.35%	8.32%	+1.79	-3.1	56
2004-02-22	@ Basel	D 2-2	79.9	1675	1941	8.32%	17.35%	74.33%	-1.79	+3.1	24
2004-02-22	Servette	W 2-0	55.3	1594	1685	37.42%	22.38%	40.20%	-0.05	+20.8	20
2004-02-22	@ Zurich	L 0-2	55.3	1685	1594	40.20%	22.38%	37.42%	+0.05	-20.8	34
2004-02-22	Wil	L 0-2	55.9	1580	1554	53.07%	21.83%	25.11%	+0.56	-26.3	16
2004-02-22	@ Neuchatel Xamax	W 2-0	55.9	1554	1580	25.11%	21.83%	53.07%	-0.56	+26.3	20
2004-02-22	Young Boys	L 1-3	58.4	1597	1746	29.72%	22.16%	48.12%	-0.35	-14.2	20
2004-02-22	@ St. Gallen	W 3-1	58.4	1746	1597	48.12%	22.16%	29.72%	+0.35	+14.2	41
2004-02-28	Neuchatel Xamax	W 6-0	42.5	1938	1554	80.93%	14.35%	4.72%	+2.40	+7.3	59
2004-02-28	@ Basel	L 0-6	42.5	1554	1938	4.72%	14.35%	80.93%	-2.40	-7.2	16
2004-02-28	Thun	W 3-1	55.6	1664	1620	55.06%	21.64%	23.30%	+0.64	+11.5	37
2004-02-28	@ Servette	L 1-3	55.6	1620	1664	23.30%	21.64%	55.06%	-0.64	-11.5	27
2004-02-29	Aarau	D 1-1	68.7	1581	1584	49.41%	22.09%	28.50%	+0.40	-1.2	21
2004-02-29	@ Wil	D 1-1	68.7	1584	1581	28.50%	22.09%	49.41%	-0.40	+1.2	23
2004-02-29	St. Gallen	W 3-2	62.1	1679	1583	60.69%	20.91%	18.41%	+0.91	+5.1	27
2004-02-29	@ Grasshopper	L 2-3	62.1	1583	1679	18.41%	20.91%	60.69%	-0.91	-5.1	20
2004-02-29	Zurich	D 2-2	78.2	1760	1615	65.33%	20.03%	14.64%	+1.17	-2.4	42
2004-02-29	@ Young Boys	D 2-2	78.2	1615	1760	14.64%	20.03%	65.33%	-1.17	+2.4	21
2004-03-07	Basel	D 1-1	73.8	1578	1945	11.07%	18.77%	70.16%	-1.47	+3.8	21
2004-03-07	@ St. Gallen	D 1-1	73.8	1945	1578	70.16%	18.77%	11.07%	+1.47	-3.8	60
2004-03-07	Grasshopper	L 1-2	64.0	1609	1684	39.72%	22.39%	37.90%	+0.04	-10.3	27
2004-03-07	@ Thun	W 2-1	64.0	1684	1609	37.90%	22.39%	39.72%	-0.04	+10.3	30
2004-03-07	Servette	L 0-1	58.0	1585	1675	37.50%	22.38%	40.12%	-0.04	-10.4	23
2004-03-07	@ Aarau	W 1-0	58.0	1675	1585	40.12%	22.38%	37.50%	+0.04	+10.5	40
2004-03-07	Wil	W 2-1	57.4	1617	1579	54.42%	21.70%	23.87%	+0.62	+6.8	24
2004-03-07	@ Zurich	L 1-2	57.4	1579	1617	23.87%	21.70%	54.42%	-0.62	-6.8	21
2004-03-07	Young Boys	L 0-3	47.7	1547	1757	22.75%	21.57%	55.68%	-0.67	-18.9	16
2004-03-07	@ Neuchatel Xamax	W 3-0	47.7	1757	1547	55.68%	21.57%	22.75%	+0.67	+18.9	45
2004-03-12	Wil	D 1-1	71.1	1686	1572	62.41%	20.61%	16.98%	+1.01	-2.8	41
2004-03-12	@ Servette	D 1-1	71.1	1572	1686	16.98%	20.61%	62.41%	-1.01	+2.8	22
2004-03-13	Thun	D 1-1	74.8	1941	1599	78.84%	15.41%	5.76%	+2.19	-4.7	61
2004-03-13	@ Basel	D 1-1	74.8	1599	1941	5.76%	15.41%	78.84%	-2.19	+4.6	28
2004-03-14	Aarau	D 2-2	78.3	1776	1575	69.91%	18.85%	11.24%	+1.46	-2.8	46
2004-03-14	@ Young Boys	D 2-2	78.3	1575	1776	11.24%	18.85%	69.91%	-1.46	+2.8	24
2004-03-14	Neuchatel Xamax	W 3-1	51.3	1582	1528	56.24%	21.51%	22.25%	+0.70	+11.1	24
2004-03-14	@ St. Gallen	L 1-3	51.3	1528	1582	22.25%	21.51%	56.24%	-0.70	-11.1	16
2004-03-14	Zurich	L 1-2	69.5	1694	1624	58.05%	21.29%	20.66%	+0.78	-14.3	30
2004-03-14	@ Grasshopper	W 2-1	69.5	1624	1694	20.66%	21.29%	58.05%	-0.78	+14.3	27
2004-03-17	Basel	W 1-0	67.6	1638	1936	15.26%	20.20%	64.55%	-1.12	+16.7	30
2004-03-17	@ Zurich	L 0-1	67.6	1936	1638	64.55%	20.20%	15.26%	+1.12	-16.7	61
2004-03-17	Grasshopper	D 2-2	76.1	1577	1680	35.81%	22.36%	41.83%	-0.11	+0.3	25
2004-03-17	@ Aarau	D 2-2	76.1	1680	1577	41.83%	22.36%	35.81%	+0.11	-0.2	31
2004-03-17	Neuchatel Xamax	D 2-2	75.8	1683	1517	67.10%	19.61%	13.29%	+1.28	-2.5	42
2004-03-17	@ Servette	D 2-2	75.8	1517	1683	13.29%	19.61%	67.10%	-1.28	+2.5	17
2004-03-17	St. Gallen	L 2-3	70.9	1603	1593	51.18%	21.97%	26.84%	+0.48	-12.1	28
2004-03-17	@ Thun	W 3-2	70.9	1593	1603	26.84%	21.97%	51.18%	-0.48	+12.1	27
2004-03-17	Young Boys	L 1-3	56.6	1575	1774	24.02%	21.72%	54.26%	-0.60	-11.8	22
2004-03-17	@ Wil	W 3-1	56.6	1774	1575	54.26%	21.72%	24.02%	+0.60	+11.8	49
2004-03-20	Aarau	W 3-1	50.1	1920	1578	78.82%	15.42%	5.77%	+2.19	+2.8	64
2004-03-20	@ Basel	L 1-3	50.1	1578	1920	5.77%	15.42%	78.82%	-2.19	-2.8	25
2004-03-21	Servette	W 4-2	59.6	1785	1680	61.62%	20.75%	17.63%	+0.96	+8.0	52
2004-03-21	@ Young Boys	L 2-4	59.6	1680	1785	17.63%	20.75%	61.62%	-0.96	-8.0	42
2004-03-21	Thun	D 1-1	67.0	1519	1591	40.12%	22.38%	37.50%	+0.05	-0.1	18
2004-03-21	@ Neuchatel Xamax	D 1-1	67.0	1591	1519	37.50%	22.38%	40.12%	-0.05	+0.1	29
2004-03-21	Wil	L 1-2	69.6	1679	1563	62.66%	20.57%	16.77%	+1.02	-15.3	31
2004-03-21	@ Grasshopper	W 2-1	69.6	1563	1679	16.77%	20.57%	62.66%	-1.02	+15.3	25
2004-03-21	Zurich	L 1-3	61.4	1605	1655	43.18%	22.34%	34.48%	+0.16	-19.1	27
2004-03-21	@ St. Gallen	W 3-1	61.4	1655	1605	34.48%	22.34%	43.18%	-0.16	+19.1	33
2004-03-28	Basel	D 1-1	73.6	1579	1923	12.35%	19.28%	68.37%	-1.35	+3.5	26
2004-03-28	@ Wil	D 1-1	73.6	1923	1579	68.37%	19.28%	12.35%	+1.35	-3.5	65
2004-03-28	Grasshopper	W 3-0	49.5	1672	1664	50.88%	22.00%	27.12%	+0.46	+22.0	45
2004-03-28	@ Servette	L 0-3	49.5	1664	1672	27.12%	22.00%	50.88%	-0.46	-22.0	31
2004-03-28	Neuchatel Xamax	W 1-0	48.8	1674	1519	66.14%	19.84%	14.02%	+1.22	+4.4	36
2004-03-28	@ Zurich	L 0-1	48.8	1519	1674	14.02%	19.84%	66.14%	-1.22	-4.4	18
2004-03-28	St. Gallen	W 3-0	47.1	1575	1586	48.46%	22.14%	29.39%	+0.37	+23.6	28
2004-03-28	@ Aarau	L 0-3	47.1	1586	1575	29.39%	22.14%	48.46%	-0.37	-23.5	27
2004-03-28	Thun	D 0-0	69.2	1793	1591	69.94%	18.84%	11.22%	+1.46	-4.2	53
2004-03-28	@ Young Boys	D 0-0	69.2	1591	1793	11.22%	18.84%	69.94%	-1.46	+4.2	30
2004-04-04	Aarau	W 4-1	54.0	1515	1598	38.44%	22.39%	39.17%	-0.01	+25.0	21
2004-04-04	@ Neuchatel Xamax	L 1-4	54.0	1598	1515	39.17%	22.39%	38.44%	+0.01	-25.0	28
2004-04-04	Basel	L 1-4	54.2	1694	1919	21.37%	21.39%	57.24%	-0.74	-15.1	45
2004-04-04	@ Servette	W 4-1	54.2	1919	1694	57.24%	21.39%	21.37%	+0.74	+15.1	68
2004-04-04	Wil	W 4-0	46.4	1562	1582	47.22%	22.21%	30.58%	+0.32	+31.8	30
2004-04-04	@ St. Gallen	L 0-4	46.4	1582	1562	30.58%	22.21%	47.22%	-0.32	-31.8	26
2004-04-04	Young Boys	W 4-2	69.0	1642	1789	29.89%	22.17%	47.93%	-0.34	+18.6	34
2004-04-04	@ Grasshopper	L 2-4	69.0	1789	1642	47.93%	22.17%	29.89%	+0.34	-18.6	53
2004-04-04	Zurich	W 2-1	63.6	1596	1678	38.56%	22.39%	39.05%	-0.01	+10.2	33
2004-04-04	@ Thun	L 1-2	63.6	1678	1596	39.05%	22.39%	38.56%	+0.01	-10.2	36
2004-04-07	Grasshopper	W 1-0	53.1	1771	1661	62.09%	20.67%	17.24%	+0.99	+5.4	56
2004-04-07	@ Young Boys	L 0-1	53.1	1661	1771	17.24%	20.67%	62.09%	-0.99	-5.4	34
2004-04-08	Neuchatel Xamax	W 2-0	46.6	1573	1540	53.94%	21.75%	24.31%	+0.59	+13.8	31
2004-04-08	@ Aarau	L 0-2	46.6	1540	1573	24.31%	21.75%	53.94%	-0.59	-13.8	21
2004-04-08	Servette	W 1-0	50.2	1934	1679	73.65%	17.61%	8.75%	+1.74	+2.7	71
2004-04-08	@ Basel	L 0-1	50.2	1679	1934	8.75%	17.61%	73.65%	-1.74	-2.7	45
2004-04-08	St. Gallen	L 0-2	53.6	1551	1594	44.12%	22.32%	33.56%	+0.20	-22.4	26
2004-04-08	@ Wil	W 2-0	53.6	1594	1551	33.56%	22.32%	44.12%	-0.20	+22.5	33
2004-04-08	Thun	D 0-0	67.3	1668	1606	57.21%	21.40%	21.40%	+0.74	-2.4	37
2004-04-08	@ Zurich	D 0-0	67.3	1606	1668	21.40%	21.40%	57.21%	-0.74	+2.4	34
2004-04-15	Aarau	W 2-0	49.1	1616	1587	53.41%	21.80%	24.79%	+0.57	+14.0	36
2004-04-15	@ St. Gallen	L 0-2	49.1	1587	1616	24.79%	21.80%	53.41%	-0.57	-14.0	31
2004-04-15	Servette	L 1-5	59.4	1655	1677	47.09%	22.21%	30.70%	+0.31	-37.5	34
2004-04-15	@ Grasshopper	W 5-1	59.4	1677	1655	30.70%	22.21%	47.09%	-0.31	+37.5	48
2004-04-15	Wil	W 2-0	43.5	1937	1528	82.12%	13.71%	4.17%	+2.53	+2.3	74
2004-04-15	@ Basel	L 0-2	43.5	1528	1937	4.17%	13.71%	82.12%	-2.53	-2.3	26
2004-04-15	Young Boys	W 3-0	57.0	1608	1776	27.41%	22.02%	50.58%	-0.44	+36.6	37
2004-04-15	@ Thun	L 0-3	57.0	1776	1608	50.58%	22.02%	27.41%	+0.44	-36.6	56
2004-04-15	Zurich	W 4-2	65.6	1526	1666	30.84%	22.22%	46.94%	-0.30	+18.3	24
2004-04-15	@ Neuchatel Xamax	L 2-4	65.6	1666	1526	46.94%	22.22%	30.84%	+0.30	-18.3	37
2004-04-18	Basel	W 3-0	62.5	1573	1939	11.13%	18.80%	70.08%	-1.47	+49.3	34
2004-04-18	@ Aarau	L 0-3	62.5	1939	1573	70.08%	18.80%	11.13%	+1.47	-49.3	74
2004-04-18	Grasshopper	L 1-5	52.9	1526	1618	37.23%	22.38%	40.38%	-0.05	-31.0	26
2004-04-18	@ Wil	W 5-1	52.9	1618	1526	40.38%	22.38%	37.23%	+0.05	+31.0	37
2004-04-18	Neuchatel Xamax	L 2-3	73.4	1645	1544	61.17%	20.83%	18.01%	+0.94	-14.2	37
2004-04-18	@ Thun	W 3-2	73.4	1544	1645	18.01%	20.83%	61.17%	-0.94	+14.2	27
2004-04-18	St. Gallen	D 2-2	76.5	1647	1630	51.96%	21.92%	26.12%	+0.51	-1.1	38
2004-04-18	@ Zurich	D 2-2	76.5	1630	1647	26.12%	21.92%	51.96%	-0.51	+1.1	37
2004-04-18	Young Boys	L 0-2	58.7	1714	1739	46.55%	22.23%	31.22%	+0.29	-23.5	48
2004-04-18	@ Servette	W 2-0	58.7	1739	1714	31.22%	22.23%	46.55%	-0.29	+23.5	59
2004-04-24	Aarau	W 4-1	53.3	1649	1622	53.10%	21.82%	25.08%	+0.56	+17.4	40
2004-04-24	@ Grasshopper	L 1-4	53.3	1622	1649	25.08%	21.82%	53.10%	-0.56	-17.4	34
2004-04-24	Servette	W 6-1	57.4	1559	1691	31.81%	22.26%	45.93%	-0.26	+44.9	30
2004-04-24	@ Neuchatel Xamax	L 1-6	57.4	1691	1559	45.93%	22.26%	31.81%	+0.26	-44.9	48
2004-04-24	Thun	W 2-1	60.0	1631	1631	49.96%	22.06%	27.99%	+0.43	+7.8	40
2004-04-24	@ St. Gallen	L 1-2	60.0	1631	1631	27.99%	22.06%	49.96%	-0.43	-7.8	37
2004-04-24	Wil	W 5-1	45.2	1763	1495	74.50%	17.28%	8.22%	+1.80	+7.6	62
2004-04-24	@ Young Boys	L 1-5	45.2	1495	1763	8.22%	17.28%	74.50%	-1.80	-7.6	26
2004-04-25	Zurich	D 1-1	74.1	1890	1646	72.90%	17.87%	9.23%	+1.68	-4.1	75
2004-04-25	@ Basel	D 1-1	74.1	1646	1890	9.23%	17.87%	72.90%	-1.68	+4.1	39
2004-05-01	Servette	L 0-2	48.5	1487	1646	28.53%	22.09%	49.38%	-0.40	-15.8	26
2004-05-01	@ Wil	W 2-0	48.5	1646	1487	49.38%	22.09%	28.53%	+0.40	+15.8	51
2004-05-01	St. Gallen	L 0-1	59.9	1603	1639	45.15%	22.29%	32.57%	+0.24	-12.1	30
2004-05-01	@ Neuchatel Xamax	W 1-0	59.9	1639	1603	32.57%	22.29%	45.15%	-0.24	+12.1	43
2004-05-01	Young Boys	L 0-1	56.3	1605	1770	27.70%	22.04%	50.26%	-0.43	-8.2	34
2004-05-01	@ Aarau	W 1-0	56.3	1770	1605	50.26%	22.04%	27.70%	+0.43	+8.2	65
2004-05-02	Basel	L 0-2	49.9	1623	1886	17.96%	20.82%	61.22%	-0.94	-10.5	37
2004-05-02	@ Thun	W 2-0	49.9	1886	1623	61.22%	20.82%	17.96%	+0.94	+10.5	78
2004-05-02	Grasshopper	D 0-0	67.6	1650	1666	47.78%	22.18%	30.04%	+0.34	-1.1	40
2004-05-02	@ Zurich	D 0-0	67.6	1666	1650	30.04%	22.18%	47.78%	-0.34	+1.2	41
2004-05-08	Aarau	D 1-1	70.9	1661	1597	57.45%	21.37%	21.19%	+0.75	-2.2	52
2004-05-08	@ Servette	D 1-1	70.9	1597	1661	21.19%	21.37%	57.45%	-0.75	+2.2	35
2004-05-08	St. Gallen	D 0-0	70.3	1896	1651	72.99%	17.84%	9.17%	+1.69	-4.5	79
2004-05-08	@ Basel	D 0-0	70.3	1651	1896	9.17%	17.84%	72.99%	-1.69	+4.6	44
2004-05-08	Thun	L 2-3	73.9	1667	1612	56.41%	21.49%	22.10%	+0.71	-13.2	41
2004-05-08	@ Grasshopper	W 3-2	73.9	1612	1667	22.10%	21.49%	56.41%	-0.71	+13.2	40
2004-05-08	Zurich	L 0-1	51.2	1471	1649	26.28%	21.93%	51.79%	-0.50	-7.8	26
2004-05-08	@ Wil	W 1-0	51.2	1649	1471	51.79%	21.93%	26.28%	+0.50	+7.8	43
2004-05-09	Neuchatel Xamax	W 3-1	52.4	1779	1591	68.80%	19.16%	12.03%	+1.39	+6.2	68
2004-05-09	@ Young Boys	L 1-3	52.4	1591	1779	12.03%	19.16%	68.80%	-1.39	-6.2	30
2004-05-12	Basel	W 3-1	69.3	1585	1892	14.69%	20.04%	65.27%	-1.16	+27.6	33
2004-05-12	@ Neuchatel Xamax	L 1-3	69.3	1892	1585	65.27%	20.04%	14.69%	+1.16	-27.6	79
2004-05-12	Grasshopper	W 2-1	60.6	1656	1654	50.06%	22.05%	27.89%	+0.43	+7.8	47
2004-05-12	@ St. Gallen	L 1-2	60.6	1654	1656	27.89%	22.05%	50.06%	-0.43	-7.8	41
2004-05-12	Servette	W 2-1	61.7	1625	1659	45.41%	22.28%	32.31%	+0.25	+8.8	43
2004-05-12	@ Thun	L 1-2	61.7	1659	1625	32.31%	22.28%	45.41%	-0.25	-8.8	52
2004-05-12	Wil	W 4-0	38.6	1599	1464	64.46%	20.21%	15.32%	+1.12	+17.2	38
2004-05-12	@ Aarau	L 0-4	38.6	1464	1599	15.32%	20.21%	64.46%	-1.12	-17.2	26
2004-05-12	Young Boys	D 2-2	77.9	1657	1785	32.36%	22.28%	45.36%	-0.24	+0.6	44
2004-05-12	@ Zurich	D 2-2	77.9	1785	1657	45.36%	22.28%	32.36%	+0.24	-0.6	69
2004-05-15	Neuchatel Xamax	W 3-0	50.2	1446	1613	27.59%	22.03%	50.38%	-0.44	+36.5	29
2004-05-15	@ Wil	L 0-3	50.2	1613	1446	50.38%	22.03%	27.59%	+0.44	-36.5	33
2004-05-15	St. Gallen	W 2-1	57.8	1784	1664	63.10%	20.49%	16.42%	+1.04	+4.8	72
2004-05-15	@ Young Boys	L 1-2	57.8	1664	1784	16.42%	20.49%	63.10%	-1.04	-4.8	47
2004-05-15	Thun	L 1-2	65.7	1616	1634	47.52%	22.19%	30.28%	+0.33	-12.0	38
2004-05-15	@ Aarau	W 2-1	65.7	1634	1616	30.28%	22.19%	47.52%	-0.33	+11.9	46
2004-05-15	Zurich	L 2-3	72.2	1651	1658	48.95%	22.12%	28.93%	+0.39	-11.6	52
2004-05-15	@ Servette	W 3-2	72.2	1658	1651	28.93%	22.12%	48.95%	-0.39	+11.6	47
2004-05-16	Basel	L 0-2	51.4	1646	1864	22.04%	21.48%	56.47%	-0.70	-12.7	41
2004-05-16	@ Grasshopper	W 2-0	51.4	1864	1646	56.47%	21.48%	22.04%	+0.70	+12.7	82
2004-05-22	Servette	W 2-0	51.1	1659	1639	52.32%	21.89%	25.79%	+0.52	+14.5	50
2004-05-22	@ St. Gallen	L 0-2	51.1	1639	1659	25.79%	21.89%	52.32%	-0.52	-14.5	52
2004-05-22	Young Boys	W 2-1	59.3	1877	1789	59.90%	21.03%	19.07%	+0.87	+5.6	85
2004-05-22	@ Basel	L 1-2	59.3	1789	1877	19.07%	21.03%	59.90%	-0.87	-5.5	72
2004-05-23	Aarau	W 4-1	52.0	1669	1604	57.47%	21.36%	21.16%	+0.76	+15.0	50
2004-05-23	@ Zurich	L 1-4	52.0	1604	1669	21.16%	21.36%	57.47%	-0.76	-15.0	38
2004-05-23	Grasshopper	W 2-1	61.3	1576	1634	42.14%	22.36%	35.50%	+0.12	+9.4	36
2004-05-23	@ Neuchatel Xamax	L 1-2	61.3	1634	1576	35.50%	22.36%	42.14%	-0.12	-9.5	41
2004-05-23	Wil	W 2-0	43.2	1646	1483	66.86%	19.67%	13.47%	+1.26	+8.0	49
2004-05-23	@ Thun	L 0-2	43.2	1483	1646	13.47%	19.67%	66.86%	-1.26	-8.0	29

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2004-05-29	Vaduz	W 2-0	49.0	1586	1579	50.66%	22.01%	27.33%	+0.45	+15.3	3
2004-05-29	@ Neuchatel Xamax	L 0-2	49.0	1579	1586	27.33%	22.01%	50.66%	-0.45	-15.2	0
2004-05-31	Neuchatel Xamax	W 2-1	59.4	1564	1601	44.98%	22.29%	32.73%	+0.23	+8.8	3
2004-05-31	@ Vaduz	L 1-2	59.4	1601	1564	32.73%	22.29%	44.98%	-0.23	-8.9	3

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2004-04-18	11.13%	@ Aarau	1573	3	Basel	1939	0
2	2004-05-12	14.69%	@ Neuchatel Xamax	1585	3	Basel	1892	1
3	2004-03-17	15.26%	@ Zurich	1638	1	Basel	1936	0
4	2003-07-16	16.55%	Neuchatel Xamax	1649	1	@ Grasshopper	1768	0
5	2004-03-21	16.77%	Wil	1563	2	@ Grasshopper	1679	1
6	2004-04-18	18.01%	Neuchatel Xamax	1544	3	@ Thun	1645	2
7	2003-09-14	18.26%	Thun	1549	2	@ Aarau	1647	1
8	2003-08-16	18.91%	St. Gallen	1600	3	@ Servette	1690	1
9	2004-03-14	20.66%	Zurich	1624	2	@ Grasshopper	1694	1
10	2003-11-23	21.76%	Thun	1549	1	@ Neuchatel Xamax	1607	0
11	2004-05-08	22.10%	Thun	1612	3	@ Grasshopper	1667	2
12	2004-02-15	22.86%	Zurich	1573	4	@ Aarau	1620	2
13	2003-09-28	25.02%	Aarau	1632	3	@ Grasshopper	1659	2
14	2004-02-22	25.11%	Wil	1554	2	@ Neuchatel Xamax	1580	0
15	2003-08-23	26.07%	Aarau	1646	1	@ Neuchatel Xamax	1663	0
16	2003-07-16	26.48%	Young Boys	1632	4	@ St. Gallen	1646	1
17	2004-03-17	26.84%	St. Gallen	1593	3	@ Thun	1603	2
18	2003-08-02	27.08%	Young Boys	1661	2	@ Neuchatel Xamax	1670	1
19	2004-04-15	27.41%	@ Thun	1608	3	Young Boys	1776	0
20	2004-05-15	27.59%	@ Wil	1446	3	Neuchatel Xamax	1613	0
21	2004-02-15	28.30%	Thun	1581	2	@ Wil	1579	0
22	2004-05-15	28.93%	Zurich	1658	3	@ Servette	1651	2
23	2003-08-02	29.44%	@ Thun	1595	3	Grasshopper	1746	2
24	2003-09-03	29.68%	Servette	1663	3	@ Neuchatel Xamax	1650	2
25	2004-04-04	29.89%	@ Grasshopper	1642	4	Young Boys	1789	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2004-04-18	49.28	@ Aarau	3	1573	11.13%	Basel	0	1939	70.08%	18.80%
2	2004-04-24	44.94	@ Neuchatel Xamax	6	1559	31.81%	Servette	1	1691	45.93%	22.26%
3	2004-04-15	37.48	Servette	5	1677	30.70%	@ Grasshopper	1	1655	47.09%	22.21%
4	2004-04-15	36.62	@ Thun	3	1608	27.41%	Young Boys	0	1776	50.58%	22.02%
5	2004-05-15	36.49	@ Wil	3	1446	27.59%	Neuchatel Xamax	0	1613	50.38%	22.03%
6	2003-08-31	36.44	Basel	4	1846	41.37%	@ Grasshopper	0	1747	36.26%	22.37%
7	2003-09-03	36.38	@ Young Boys	4	1648	41.45%	Grasshopper	0	1710	36.18%	22.37%
8	2004-04-04	31.78	@ St. Gallen	4	1562	47.22%	Wil	0	1582	30.58%	22.21%
9	2003-07-16	31.42	Young Boys	4	1632	26.48%	@ St. Gallen	1	1646	51.57%	21.95%
10	2004-04-18	31.01	Grasshopper	5	1618	40.38%	@ Wil	1	1526	37.23%	22.38%
11	2004-05-12	27.56	@ Neuchatel Xamax	3	1585	14.69%	Basel	1	1892	65.27%	20.04%
12	2003-08-16	26.92	Basel	4	1796	53.09%	@ Thun	0	1608	25.09%	21.82%
13	2004-02-22	26.32	Wil	2	1554	25.11%	@ Neuchatel Xamax	0	1580	53.07%	21.83%
14	2003-09-03	25.89	@ Zurich	4	1612	54.30%	Thun	0	1575	23.98%	21.71%
15	2003-08-16	25.53	St. Gallen	3	1600	18.91%	@ Servette	1	1690	60.09%	21.00%
16	2004-04-04	24.99	@ Neuchatel Xamax	4	1515	38.44%	Aarau	1	1598	39.17%	22.39%
17	2004-02-15	24.80	Thun	2	1581	28.30%	@ Wil	0	1579	49.62%	22.08%
18	2004-03-28	23.55	@ Aarau	3	1575	48.46%	St. Gallen	0	1586	29.39%	22.14%
19	2004-04-18	23.47	Young Boys	2	1739	31.22%	@ Servette	0	1714	46.55%	22.23%
20	2003-10-29	23.27	Grasshopper	2	1636	31.68%	@ Zurich	0	1607	46.07%	22.25%
21	2003-08-24	22.63	@ Basel	6	1823	66.48%	Servette	0	1665	13.76%	19.76%
22	2004-04-08	22.45	St. Gallen	2	1594	33.56%	@ Wil	0	1551	44.12%	22.32%
23	2004-03-28	22.02	@ Servette	3	1672	50.88%	Grasshopper	0	1664	27.12%	22.00%
24	2004-02-15	21.25	Zurich	4	1573	22.86%	@ Aarau	2	1620	55.55%	21.59%
25	2003-08-31	20.98	@ Servette	4	1642	46.34%	Young Boys	1	1669	31.42%	22.24%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2003-11-30	82.2	@ Grasshopper	3	1669	38.36%	Young Boys	3	1753	39.25%	22.39%
2	2003-08-30	81.0	@ Aarau	3	1660	55.73%	Zurich	3	1611	22.70%	21.57%
3	2004-02-22	79.9	@ Basel	2	1941	74.33%	Grasshopper	2	1675	8.32%	17.35%
4	2003-10-26	78.8	@ Aarau	2	1646	17.36%	Basel	2	1916	61.94%	20.70%
5	2004-03-14	78.3	@ Young Boys	2	1776	69.91%	Aarau	2	1575	11.24%	18.85%
6	2004-02-29	78.2	@ Young Boys	2	1760	65.33%	Zurich	2	1615	14.64%	20.03%
7	2004-05-12	77.9	@ Zurich	2	1657	32.36%	Young Boys	2	1785	45.36%	22.28%
8	2004-04-18	76.5	@ Zurich	2	1647	51.96%	St. Gallen	2	1630	26.12%	21.92%
9	2004-03-17	76.1	@ Aarau	2	1577	35.81%	Grasshopper	2	1680	41.83%	22.36%
10	2004-03-17	75.8	@ Servette	2	1683	67.10%	Neuchatel Xamax	2	1517	13.29%	19.61%
11	2003-09-14	75.6	@ Wil	2	1557	33.72%	Servette	2	1674	43.96%	22.32%
12	2003-08-02	75.3	@ Zurich	2	1611	51.13%	St. Gallen	2	1601	26.90%	21.98%
13	2004-03-13	74.8	@ Basel	1	1941	78.84%	Thun	1	1599	5.76%	15.41%
14	2004-04-25	74.1	@ Basel	1	1890	72.90%	Zurich	1	1646	9.23%	17.87%
15	2004-05-08	73.9	Thun	3	1612	22.10%	@ Grasshopper	2	1667	56.41%	21.49%
16	2004-03-07	73.8	@ St. Gallen	1	1578	11.07%	Basel	1	1945	70.16%	18.77%
17	2004-03-28	73.6	@ Wil	1	1579	12.35%	Basel	1	1923	68.37%	19.28%
18	2004-04-18	73.4	Neuchatel Xamax	3	1544	18.01%	@ Thun	2	1645	61.17%	20.83%
19	2003-09-28	73.2	Aarau	3	1632	25.02%	@ Grasshopper	2	1659	53.16%	21.82%
20	2003-08-02	72.5	@ Thun	3	1595	29.44%	Grasshopper	2	1746	48.42%	22.15%
21	2003-08-08	72.5	@ Grasshopper	1	1735	55.43%	Servette	1	1688	22.97%	21.60%
22	2004-05-15	72.2	Zurich	3	1658	28.93%	@ Servette	2	1651	48.95%	22.12%
23	2003-09-03	72.1	Servette	3	1663	29.68%	@ Neuchatel Xamax	2	1650	48.16%	22.16%
24	2003-08-02	71.5	@ Aarau	1	1638	43.21%	Servette	1	1688	34.45%	22.34%
25	2004-03-12	71.1	@ Servette	1	1686	62.41%	Wil	1	1572	16.98%	20.61%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2004-05-12	38.6	@ Aarau	4	1599	64.46%	Wil	0	1464	15.32%	20.21%
2	2003-10-05	41.3	@ Basel	4	1910	79.20%	Wil	0	1561	5.57%	15.23%
3	2004-02-28	42.5	@ Basel	6	1938	80.93%	Neuchatel Xamax	0	1554	4.72%	14.35%
4	2004-05-23	43.2	@ Thun	2	1646	66.86%	Wil	0	1483	13.47%	19.67%
5	2004-04-15	43.5	@ Basel	2	1937	82.12%	Wil	0	1528	4.17%	13.71%
6	2003-10-29	44.5	@ Basel	2	1914	79.14%	Thun	0	1566	5.60%	15.26%
7	2004-04-24	45.2	@ Young Boys	5	1763	74.50%	Wil	1	1495	8.22%	17.28%
8	2003-09-03	45.4	@ Zurich	4	1612	54.30%	Thun	0	1575	23.98%	21.71%
9	2004-04-04	46.4	@ St. Gallen	4	1562	47.22%	Wil	0	1582	30.58%	22.21%
10	2004-04-08	46.6	@ Aarau	2	1573	53.94%	Neuchatel Xamax	0	1540	24.31%	21.75%
11	2003-08-24	46.9	@ Basel	6	1823	66.48%	Servette	0	1665	13.76%	19.76%
12	2004-03-28	47.1	@ Aarau	3	1575	48.46%	St. Gallen	0	1586	29.39%	22.14%
13	2003-09-28	47.3	@ Basel	2	1895	70.72%	Young Boys	0	1682	10.68%	18.60%
14	2004-03-07	47.7	Young Boys	3	1757	55.68%	@ Neuchatel Xamax	0	1547	22.75%	21.57%
15	2004-05-01	48.5	Servette	2	1646	49.38%	@ Wil	0	1487	28.53%	22.09%
16	2003-08-16	48.8	Basel	4	1796	53.09%	@ Thun	0	1608	25.09%	21.82%
17	2003-11-23	48.8	@ Young Boys	3	1734	55.57%	Servette	0	1687	22.85%	21.59%
18	2004-03-28	48.8	@ Zurich	1	1674	66.14%	Neuchatel Xamax	0	1519	14.02%	19.84%
19	2004-05-29	49.0	@ Neuchatel Xamax	2	1586	50.66%	Vaduz	0	1579	27.33%	22.01%
20	2004-04-15	49.1	@ St. Gallen	2	1616	53.41%	Aarau	0	1587	24.79%	21.80%
21	2003-09-03	49.2	@ Basel	4	1882	73.33%	St. Gallen	1	1632	8.95%	17.72%
22	2004-03-28	49.5	@ Servette	3	1672	50.88%	Grasshopper	0	1664	27.12%	22.00%
23	2003-07-19	49.8	@ Neuchatel Xamax	2	1665	55.93%	St. Gallen	0	1614	22.52%	21.55%
24	2004-05-02	49.9	Basel	2	1886	61.22%	@ Thun	0	1623	17.96%	20.82%
25	2003-11-30	50.0	@ Thun	2	1564	46.46%	Zurich	0	1590	31.30%	22.24%