2006-07 Super League Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Zurich

75 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sion

7.89 points above expected

60 points · 52.11 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Luzern

9.23 points below expected

33 points · 42.23 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Zurich	36	23	6	7	75	67	32	+35	70.59	+4.41
2	Basel	36	22	8	6	74	77	40	+37	68.58	+5.42
3	Sion	36	17	9	10	60	57	42	+15	52.11	+7.89
4	Young Boys	36	17	8	11	59	52	42	+10	58.58	+0.42
5	St. Gallen	36	14	13	9	55	47	44	+3	49.95	+5.05
6	Grasshopper	36	13	11	12	50	54	41	+13	58.60	-8.60
7	Thun	36	10	7	19	37	30	58	-28	36.37	+0.63
8	Luzern	36	8	9	19	33	31	58	-27	42.23	-9.23
9	Aarau	36	6	8	22	26	28	55	-27	27.92	-1.92
10	Schaffhausen	36	4	13	19	25	27	58	-31	32.09	-7.09

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Aarau	2	2	0	0	6	5	2	+3	—	—
2	Bellinzona	2	0	0	2	0	2	5	-3	—	—

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sion	60	52.11	+7.89
2	Basel	74	68.58	+5.42
3	St. Gallen	55	49.95	+5.05
4	Zurich	75	70.59	+4.41
5	Thun	37	36.37	+0.63

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Luzern	33	42.23	-9.23
2	Grasshopper	50	58.60	-8.60
3	Schaffhausen	25	32.09	-7.09
4	Aarau	26	27.92	-1.92
5	Young Boys	59	58.58	+0.42

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	St. Gallen	6	Aug 12 – Oct 3	1 in 310
2	Schaffhausen	2	Oct 15 – Oct 21	1 in 83
3	Zurich	5	Nov 4 – Dec 9	1 in 27
4	Young Boys	4	Nov 19 – Dec 9	1 in 19
5	Grasshopper	3	Jul 29 – Aug 13	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Grasshopper	3	Nov 18 – Dec 3	1 in 98
2	Aarau	8	Aug 20 – Oct 29	1 in 60
3	Zurich	2	Oct 21 – Oct 28	1 in 52
4	Young Boys	3	Sep 9 – Sep 24	1 in 34
5	Basel	2	Jul 30 – Aug 5	1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	St. Gallen	9	Apr 7 – May 16	1 in 158
2	Basel	20	Dec 4 – May 24	1 in 68
3	Schaffhausen	3	May 9 – May 16	1 in 45
4	Aarau	4	Apr 1 – Apr 18	1 in 42
5	Young Boys	12	Feb 25 – May 9	1 in 26

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Schaffhausen	14	Nov 4 – Apr 7	1 in 68
2	Grasshopper	6	Mar 31 – Apr 28	1 in 65
3	Luzern	7	Mar 3 – Apr 18	1 in 42
4	St. Gallen	10	Mar 3 – May 6	1 in 40
5	Sion	7	Dec 3 – Mar 11	1 in 27

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Zurich	1868	75	+24	13	10.8	+2.2
Basel	1919	74	+34	13	10.9	+2.1
Sion	1750	60	+50	10	6.2	+3.8
Young Boys	1741	59	-21	6	7.3	-1.3
St. Gallen	1666	55	-27	6	9.2	-3.2
Grasshopper	1687	50	-68	2	7.4	-5.4
Thun	1603	37	+45	9	6.0	+3.0
Luzern	1548	33	-25	1	3.2	-2.2
Aarau	1548	32	+57	11	4.8	+6.2
Schaffhausen	1489	25	-23	3	4.0	-1.0
Bellinzona	1596	0	-30	0	3.4	-3.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AAR	BAS	GRA	LUZ	SCH	SIO	SG	THU	YB	ZUR
Aarau	—	0-0-4 1.92	1-1-2 2.37	1-0-3 3.68	4-0-0 4.64	0-1-3 3.25	0-1-3 3.23	0-2-2 4.37	0-2-2 2.73	0-1-3 1.82
Basel	4-0-0 9.32	—	3-0-1 6.30	3-0-1 8.28	1-2-1 9.11	2-1-1 7.22	1-2-1 7.69	3-1-0 8.59	2-2-0 6.66	3-0-1 5.06
Grasshopper	2-1-1 8.76	1-0-3 4.68	—	4-0-0 7.00	1-2-1 8.34	0-4-0 6.27	1-3-0 6.46	3-0-1 7.75	1-0-3 5.70	0-1-3 4.12
Luzern	3-0-1 7.29	1-0-3 2.79	0-0-4 3.96	—	0-4-0 6.86	1-1-2 4.14	0-2-2 4.46	1-1-2 6.32	1-1-2 4.06	1-0-3 2.82
Schaffhausen	0-0-4 6.29	1-2-1 2.10	1-2-1 2.75	0-4-0 4.11	—	0-1-3 3.32	0-2-2 3.64	0-1-3 4.89	1-0-3 2.86	1-1-2 2.04
Sion	3-1-0 7.81	1-1-2 3.77	0-4-0 4.68	2-1-1 6.85	3-1-0 7.70	—	2-0-2 5.89	4-0-0 7.07	2-0-2 4.91	0-1-3 3.45
St. Gallen	3-1-0 7.82	1-2-1 3.32	0-3-1 4.49	2-2-0 6.49	2-2-0 7.38	2-0-2 5.04	—	2-0-2 7.03	1-2-1 4.90	1-1-2 3.17
Thun	2-2-0 6.59	0-1-3 2.53	1-0-3 3.27	2-1-1 4.64	3-1-0 6.07	0-0-4 3.91	2-0-2 3.98	—	0-1-3 3.66	0-1-3 2.27
Young Boys	2-2-0 8.36	0-2-2 4.32	3-0-1 5.23	2-1-1 6.94	3-0-1 8.20	2-0-2 6.03	1-2-1 6.05	3-1-0 7.35	—	1-0-3 3.74
Zurich	3-1-0 9.44	1-0-3 5.88	3-1-0 6.87	3-0-1 8.28	2-1-1 9.18	3-1-0 7.57	2-1-1 7.85	3-1-0 8.89	3-0-1 7.25	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.93	+10.1
Allowed	0.86	-18.2
Differential	0.94	+6.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.34%	8.24%	6.59%	4.12%	0.82%	1.10%	30.22%
1	8.24%	10.99%	6.87%	4.12%	1.37%	0.82%	32.42%
2	6.59%	6.87%	3.85%	2.47%	0.82%	—	20.60%
3	4.12%	4.12%	2.47%	1.10%	—	—	11.81%
4	0.82%	1.37%	0.82%	—	—	—	3.02%
5+	1.10%	0.82%	—	—	—	—	1.92%
Total	30.22%	32.42%	20.60%	11.81%	3.02%	1.92%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.31	+0.00
SD	1.22	1.22	1.84
CV	0.93	0.93	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	21.05%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	—	42.11%
1	7.89%	13.16%	10.53%	7.89%	—	—	39.47%
2	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
3	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.79%	42.11%	21.05%	18.42%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.87	1.50	-0.63
SD	0.99	1.06	1.50
CV	1.14	0.71	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
1	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
2	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	—	38.89%
3	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
4	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	41.67%	27.78%	13.89%	11.11%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.14	1.11	+1.03
SD	1.20	1.24	1.61
CV	0.56	1.11	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	33.33%
1	8.33%	8.33%	13.89%	—	—	2.78%	33.33%
2	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
3	—	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	36.11%	30.56%	22.22%	8.33%	—	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.14	+0.36
SD	1.66	1.17	2.10
CV	1.11	1.03	—
Max	6	5	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	11.11%	8.33%	8.33%	—	2.78%	38.89%
1	5.56%	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	38.89%
2	8.33%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	19.44%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	36.11%	16.67%	16.67%	2.78%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.86	1.61	-0.75
SD	0.83	1.46	1.78
CV	0.97	0.91	—
Max	3	6	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	52.78%
1	5.56%	13.89%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
2	—	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	13.89%
3	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	33.33%	22.22%	19.44%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.75	1.61	-0.86
SD	1.00	1.25	1.44
CV	1.33	0.77	—
Max	4	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	—	11.11%	—	—	—	19.44%
1	8.33%	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	—	2.78%	33.33%
2	8.33%	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	19.44%
4	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.11%	22.22%	36.11%	2.78%	—	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.58	1.17	+0.42
SD	1.18	1.13	1.78
CV	0.75	0.97	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	—	—	8.33%	2.78%	—	22.22%
1	13.89%	19.44%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	47.22%
2	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	36.11%	30.56%	13.89%	13.89%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.22	+0.08
SD	1.14	1.24	1.78
CV	0.87	1.02	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	11.11%	13.89%	2.78%	—	5.56%	44.44%
1	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	8.33%	—	33.33%
2	2.78%	13.89%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	36.11%	19.44%	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.83	1.61	-0.78
SD	0.91	1.44	1.87
CV	1.09	0.89	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
1	11.11%	16.67%	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	38.89%
2	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
3	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	27.78%	41.67%	16.67%	13.89%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.44	1.17	+0.28
SD	1.13	1.00	1.65
CV	0.78	0.86	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	19.44%
1	8.33%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
2	11.11%	16.67%	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	38.89%
3	11.11%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	19.44%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	47.22%	25.00%	22.22%	2.78%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.86	0.89	+0.97
SD	1.27	1.04	1.76
CV	0.68	1.17	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Basel	1919	74	68.58	+5.42	81.0%	53	55	63	69	73	81	89
Zurich	1868	75	70.59	+4.41	77.0%	55	58	66	71	75	81	88
Sion	1750	60	52.11	+7.89	91.0%	35	38	48	52	57	62	72
Young Boys	1741	59	58.58	+0.42	56.0%	44	48	53	58	64	70	75
Grasshopper	1687	50	58.60	-8.60	20.0%	41	46	54	60	64	70	73
St. Gallen	1666	55	49.95	+5.05	78.0%	34	36	45	50	54	62	65
Thun	1603	37	36.37	+0.63	60.0%	20	26	32	36	40	46	55
Aarau	1548	26	27.92	-1.92	43.0%	12	17	23	28	33	40	43
Luzern	1548	33	42.23	-9.23	8.0%	22	29	38	42	46	54	62
Schaffhausen	1489	25	32.09	-7.09	13.0%	18	19	27	31	36	45	47

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 15% * Slight Edge: 15% to 22.5% * Clear Edge: 22.5% to 26.5% * Strong Edge: 26.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+18.68%

Slight Edge

46.70%25.27%28.02%

Elo Value

Home Edge

204 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

065.68600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.40 goals

Neutral

-2+0.32+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.4

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

51%

Zurich, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.03/gm

Photo Finish

00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.68 * Some Luck: 5.68 to 8.52 * Lucky: 8.52 to 11.36 * Wild Swing: 11.36 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.74 * Close: 0.74 to 1.11 * Off: 1.11 to 1.48 * Way Off: 1.48 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.91 points

Some Luck

07.1018

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

00.922

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

91.00%

Sion

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

8.00%

Luzern

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 76% * Wide Edge: 76% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 94.5% * Dominant: 94.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51% * Some Drama: 51% to 55.5% * Frequent: 55.5% to 59.5% * Very Frequent: 59.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18% * Occasional: 18% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 27% * Very Frequent: 27% and up.

Gini Index

0.20

Lopsided

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 144.38

2.34

Wide Separation

11.651.852.052.75

Interquartile Edge

75%

Clear Edge

50%63%71%76%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 94%

92%

Strong Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

60%

Very Frequent

0%58%100%

Blowouts

Expected

16%

Rare

0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21% * As Expected: 21% to 23.5% * Upset-Prone: 23.5% to 26% * Very Upset-Prone: 26% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17.5% * As Expected: 17.5% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 22.5% * Very Shaky: 22.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.57

Predictable

00.582

Matchup Imbalance

0.43

Slight Separation

00.370.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.67

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.85

Near-Lock

00.420.631

Upset Rate

Expected

20%

Chalky

0%21%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

18%

As Expected

0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.

Probability calibration

0.06

Borderline

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.06

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.100

Well Within Noise

00.1210.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Zurich	51.00%	31.00%	11.00%	6.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Basel	39.00%	35.00%	17.00%	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—
Sion	—	7.00%	10.00%	16.00%	25.00%	27.00%	11.00%	4.00%	—	—
Young Boys	6.00%	15.00%	20.00%	28.00%	18.00%	11.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
St. Gallen	—	—	11.00%	12.00%	26.00%	28.00%	15.00%	7.00%	1.00%	—
Grasshopper	4.00%	11.00%	30.00%	30.00%	14.00%	7.00%	4.00%	—	—	—
Thun	—	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	6.00%	13.00%	39.00%	29.00%	9.00%
Luzern	—	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	11.00%	15.00%	40.00%	22.00%	3.00%	5.00%
Aarau	—	—	—	—	—	—	5.00%	12.00%	23.00%	60.00%
Schaffhausen	—	—	—	—	—	4.00%	10.00%	16.00%	44.00%	26.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Lost relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Basel	100%	—	—
Grasshopper	100%	—	—
Sion	100%	—	—
Young Boys	100%	—	—
Zurich	100%	—	—
St. Gallen	99.00%	1.00%	—
Luzern	92.00%	3.00%	5.00%
Thun	62.00%	29.00%	9.00%
Schaffhausen	30.00%	44.00%	26.00%
Aarau	—	100%	—

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team	Won relegation playoff	Lost relegation playoff
Aarau	33.78%	66.22%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2006-07-19	Basel	D 1-1	72.4	1723	1810	33.94%	27.07%	38.99%	-0.10	+0.3	1
2006-07-19	@ Young Boys	D 1-1	72.4	1810	1723	38.99%	27.07%	33.94%	+0.10	-0.3	1
2006-07-19	Sion	D 0-0	67.1	1705	1660	51.54%	25.88%	22.58%	+0.54	-1.8	1
2006-07-19	@ Grasshopper	D 0-0	67.1	1660	1705	22.58%	25.88%	51.54%	-0.54	+1.8	1
2006-07-19	St. Gallen	D 1-1	69.4	1583	1629	39.72%	27.05%	33.23%	+0.10	-0.3	1
2006-07-19	@ Schaffhausen	D 1-1	69.4	1629	1583	33.23%	27.05%	39.72%	-0.10	+0.3	1
2006-07-19	Thun	D 1-1	69.2	1550	1654	31.69%	26.99%	41.33%	-0.18	+0.5	1
2006-07-19	@ Aarau	D 1-1	69.2	1654	1550	41.33%	26.99%	31.69%	+0.18	-0.5	1
2006-07-19	Zurich	L 0-3	52.3	1659	1819	24.88%	26.30%	48.82%	-0.46	-19.6	0
2006-07-19	@ Luzern	W 3-0	52.3	1819	1659	48.82%	26.30%	24.88%	+0.46	+19.6	3
2006-07-22	Aarau	W 3-0	44.1	1838	1551	74.52%	17.66%	7.82%	+1.73	+6.0	6
2006-07-22	@ Zurich	L 0-3	44.1	1551	1838	7.82%	17.66%	74.52%	-1.73	-6.0	1
2006-07-22	Schaffhausen	W 3-0	45.6	1809	1583	69.74%	20.06%	10.20%	+1.43	+8.2	4
2006-07-22	@ Basel	L 0-3	45.6	1583	1809	10.20%	20.06%	69.74%	-1.43	-8.1	1
2006-07-23	Luzern	W 3-2	67.1	1662	1639	48.86%	26.30%	24.85%	+0.43	+6.4	4
2006-07-23	@ Sion	L 2-3	67.1	1639	1662	24.85%	26.30%	48.86%	-0.43	-6.4	0
2006-07-23	Young Boys	D 0-0	66.8	1653	1723	36.25%	27.10%	36.65%	-0.02	+0.0	2
2006-07-23	@ Thun	D 0-0	66.8	1723	1653	36.65%	27.10%	36.25%	+0.02	-0.0	2
2006-07-25	Grasshopper	D 0-0	66.4	1629	1703	35.76%	27.10%	37.14%	-0.04	+0.1	2
2006-07-25	@ St. Gallen	D 0-0	66.4	1703	1629	37.14%	27.10%	35.76%	+0.04	-0.1	2
2006-07-29	Sion	L 1-3	58.8	1545	1668	29.12%	26.81%	44.07%	-0.28	-13.3	1
2006-07-29	@ Aarau	W 3-1	58.8	1668	1545	44.07%	26.81%	29.12%	+0.28	+13.3	7
2006-07-29	Thun	W 4-1	55.7	1703	1653	52.15%	25.77%	22.08%	+0.56	+15.0	5
2006-07-29	@ Grasshopper	L 1-4	55.7	1653	1703	22.08%	25.77%	52.15%	-0.56	-15.0	2
2006-07-29	Zurich	L 0-2	50.2	1575	1844	15.37%	23.49%	61.14%	-1.00	-8.7	1
2006-07-29	@ Schaffhausen	W 2-0	50.2	1844	1575	61.14%	23.49%	15.37%	+1.00	+8.7	9
2006-07-30	Basel	W 3-2	76.4	1629	1817	21.99%	25.75%	52.26%	-0.60	+11.5	5
2006-07-30	@ St. Gallen	L 2-3	76.4	1817	1629	52.26%	25.75%	21.99%	+0.60	-11.5	4
2006-07-30	Luzern	W 3-2	65.4	1723	1633	56.80%	24.75%	18.45%	+0.76	+4.9	5
2006-07-30	@ Young Boys	L 2-3	65.4	1633	1723	18.45%	24.75%	56.80%	-0.76	-4.9	0
2006-08-05	Aarau	W 2-1	56.7	1628	1531	57.42%	24.59%	17.99%	+0.79	+5.1	3
2006-08-05	@ Luzern	L 1-2	56.7	1531	1628	17.99%	24.59%	57.42%	-0.79	-5.1	1
2006-08-05	Grasshopper	L 2-3	77.7	1806	1718	56.55%	24.82%	18.63%	+0.75	-12.3	4
2006-08-05	@ Basel	W 3-2	77.7	1718	1806	18.63%	24.82%	56.55%	-0.75	+12.3	8
2006-08-05	Young Boys	W 3-1	57.0	1853	1728	60.41%	23.73%	15.87%	+0.93	+7.8	12
2006-08-05	@ Zurich	L 1-3	57.0	1728	1853	15.87%	23.73%	60.41%	-0.93	-7.8	5
2006-08-06	Schaffhausen	W 1-0	52.8	1638	1566	54.77%	25.24%	20.00%	+0.67	+5.9	5
2006-08-06	@ Thun	L 0-1	52.8	1566	1638	20.00%	25.24%	54.77%	-0.67	-5.9	1
2006-08-06	St. Gallen	W 4-0	50.2	1681	1641	51.07%	25.96%	22.97%	+0.52	+24.0	10
2006-08-06	@ Sion	L 0-4	50.2	1641	1681	22.97%	25.96%	51.07%	-0.52	-24.0	5
2006-08-12	Aarau	L 0-1	58.8	1560	1526	50.20%	26.10%	23.70%	+0.49	-12.4	1
2006-08-12	@ Schaffhausen	W 1-0	58.8	1526	1560	23.70%	26.10%	50.20%	-0.49	+12.4	4
2006-08-12	Zurich	W 3-1	69.7	1617	1861	17.20%	24.30%	58.50%	-0.87	+23.1	8
2006-08-12	@ St. Gallen	L 1-3	69.7	1861	1617	58.50%	24.30%	17.20%	+0.87	-23.1	12
2006-08-13	Luzern	W 2-0	50.9	1730	1633	57.51%	24.57%	17.92%	+0.80	+10.1	11
2006-08-13	@ Grasshopper	L 0-2	50.9	1633	1730	17.92%	24.57%	57.51%	-0.80	-10.1	3
2006-08-13	Sion	W 2-1	63.4	1720	1705	47.88%	26.42%	25.70%	+0.39	+6.9	8
2006-08-13	@ Young Boys	L 1-2	63.4	1705	1720	25.70%	26.42%	47.88%	-0.39	-6.9	10
2006-08-13	Thun	W 4-1	53.0	1794	1644	62.85%	22.91%	14.24%	+1.05	+9.9	7
2006-08-13	@ Basel	L 1-4	53.0	1644	1794	14.24%	22.91%	62.85%	-1.05	-9.9	5
2006-08-19	Grasshopper	W 2-1	61.1	1838	1740	57.57%	24.55%	17.88%	+0.80	+5.0	15
2006-08-19	@ Zurich	L 1-2	61.1	1740	1838	17.88%	24.55%	57.57%	-0.80	-5.0	11
2006-08-19	Schaffhausen	D 1-1	69.0	1623	1548	55.09%	25.17%	19.74%	+0.69	-2.0	4
2006-08-19	@ Luzern	D 1-1	69.0	1548	1623	19.74%	25.17%	55.09%	-0.69	+2.0	2
2006-08-20	Basel	W 4-2	69.2	1698	1804	31.45%	26.97%	41.57%	-0.19	+15.5	13
2006-08-20	@ Sion	L 2-4	69.2	1804	1698	41.57%	26.97%	31.45%	+0.19	-15.5	7
2006-08-20	Young Boys	L 0-1	54.7	1539	1727	21.96%	25.74%	52.30%	-0.60	-6.4	4
2006-08-20	@ Aarau	W 1-0	54.7	1727	1539	52.30%	25.74%	21.96%	+0.60	+6.4	11
2006-08-21	St. Gallen	L 0-2	58.7	1634	1640	45.20%	26.71%	28.08%	+0.29	-21.4	5
2006-08-21	@ Thun	W 2-0	58.7	1640	1634	28.08%	26.71%	45.20%	-0.29	+21.4	11
2006-09-09	Aarau	W 3-1	52.7	1735	1532	67.71%	20.98%	11.31%	+1.31	+5.5	14
2006-09-09	@ Grasshopper	L 1-3	52.7	1532	1735	11.31%	20.98%	67.71%	-1.31	-5.5	4
2006-09-09	Young Boys	W 1-0	63.9	1549	1734	22.38%	25.84%	51.79%	-0.58	+12.7	5
2006-09-09	@ Schaffhausen	L 0-1	63.9	1734	1549	51.79%	25.84%	22.38%	+0.58	-12.7	11
2006-09-10	Luzern	W 1-0	55.3	1661	1621	51.05%	25.96%	22.99%	+0.52	+6.7	14
2006-09-10	@ St. Gallen	L 0-1	55.3	1621	1661	22.99%	25.96%	51.05%	-0.52	-6.7	4
2006-09-10	Sion	L 0-1	58.9	1613	1714	31.96%	27.00%	41.04%	-0.17	-8.7	5
2006-09-10	@ Thun	W 1-0	58.9	1714	1613	41.04%	27.00%	31.96%	+0.17	+8.7	16
2006-09-10	Zurich	W 2-1	66.9	1788	1843	38.46%	27.08%	34.46%	+0.05	+8.7	10
2006-09-10	@ Basel	L 1-2	66.9	1843	1788	34.46%	27.08%	38.46%	-0.05	-8.7	15
2006-09-16	Thun	W 5-0	46.0	1834	1604	70.02%	19.93%	10.05%	+1.45	+12.9	18
2006-09-16	@ Zurich	L 0-5	46.0	1604	1834	10.05%	19.93%	70.02%	-1.45	-12.9	5
2006-09-17	St. Gallen	L 0-3	49.8	1527	1668	27.00%	26.60%	46.40%	-0.37	-21.0	4
2006-09-17	@ Aarau	W 3-0	49.8	1668	1527	46.40%	26.60%	27.00%	+0.37	+21.0	17
2006-09-18	Basel	W 2-0	61.8	1614	1797	22.53%	25.87%	51.60%	-0.57	+23.9	7
2006-09-18	@ Luzern	L 0-2	61.8	1797	1614	51.60%	25.87%	22.53%	+0.57	-23.9	10
2006-09-18	Grasshopper	L 1-3	65.8	1721	1740	43.36%	26.86%	29.78%	+0.23	-18.0	11
2006-09-18	@ Young Boys	W 3-1	65.8	1740	1721	29.78%	26.86%	43.36%	-0.23	+18.0	17
2006-09-18	Sion	L 1-3	58.6	1562	1723	24.83%	26.29%	48.88%	-0.46	-11.7	5
2006-09-18	@ Schaffhausen	W 3-1	58.6	1723	1562	48.88%	26.29%	24.83%	+0.46	+11.7	19
2006-09-23	Aarau	W 3-1	51.3	1773	1506	72.96%	18.48%	8.56%	+1.63	+4.0	13
2006-09-23	@ Basel	L 1-3	51.3	1506	1773	8.56%	18.48%	72.96%	-1.63	-4.0	4
2006-09-23	Schaffhausen	W 5-0	45.5	1758	1551	68.15%	20.79%	11.06%	+1.34	+14.4	20
2006-09-23	@ Grasshopper	L 0-5	45.5	1551	1758	11.06%	20.79%	68.15%	-1.34	-14.4	5
2006-09-23	Zurich	D 2-2	78.5	1734	1847	30.49%	26.92%	42.59%	-0.23	+0.5	20
2006-09-23	@ Sion	D 2-2	78.5	1847	1734	42.59%	26.92%	30.49%	+0.23	-0.5	19
2006-09-24	Luzern	D 1-1	69.7	1591	1638	39.57%	27.05%	33.37%	+0.09	-0.3	6
2006-09-24	@ Thun	D 1-1	69.7	1638	1591	33.37%	27.05%	39.57%	-0.09	+0.3	8
2006-09-24	Young Boys	W 2-1	64.4	1689	1703	44.08%	26.81%	29.11%	+0.25	+7.7	20
2006-09-24	@ St. Gallen	L 1-2	64.4	1703	1689	29.11%	26.81%	44.08%	-0.25	-7.7	11
2006-10-03	Aarau	W 2-1	54.9	1591	1502	56.62%	24.80%	18.58%	+0.76	+5.2	9
2006-10-03	@ Thun	L 1-2	54.9	1502	1591	18.58%	24.80%	56.62%	-0.76	-5.2	4
2006-10-03	Schaffhausen	W 3-1	53.2	1697	1536	63.88%	22.53%	13.59%	+1.11	+6.6	23
2006-10-03	@ St. Gallen	L 1-3	53.2	1536	1697	13.59%	22.53%	63.88%	-1.11	-6.6	5
2006-10-04	Grasshopper	D 2-2	78.3	1735	1773	40.83%	27.01%	32.17%	+0.14	-0.3	21
2006-10-04	@ Sion	D 2-2	78.3	1773	1735	32.17%	27.01%	40.83%	-0.14	+0.3	21
2006-10-04	Luzern	W 2-1	57.6	1847	1638	68.18%	20.77%	11.04%	+1.34	+3.1	22
2006-10-04	@ Zurich	L 1-2	57.6	1638	1847	11.04%	20.77%	68.18%	-1.34	-3.1	8
2006-10-14	Sion	D 1-1	71.6	1635	1735	32.22%	27.01%	40.77%	-0.16	+0.4	9
2006-10-14	@ Luzern	D 1-1	71.6	1735	1635	40.77%	27.01%	32.22%	+0.16	-0.4	22
2006-10-14	St. Gallen	W 4-1	55.7	1773	1703	54.49%	25.30%	20.21%	+0.66	+13.8	24
2006-10-14	@ Grasshopper	L 1-4	55.7	1703	1773	20.21%	25.30%	54.49%	-0.66	-13.8	23
2006-10-14	Zurich	L 0-4	45.2	1497	1850	10.71%	20.50%	68.79%	-1.41	-11.2	4
2006-10-14	@ Aarau	W 4-0	45.2	1850	1497	68.79%	20.50%	10.71%	+1.41	+11.2	25
2006-10-15	Basel	W 4-2	72.2	1530	1777	16.96%	24.20%	58.83%	-0.89	+20.7	8
2006-10-15	@ Schaffhausen	L 2-4	72.2	1777	1530	58.83%	24.20%	16.96%	+0.89	-20.7	13
2006-10-15	Thun	W 5-0	48.4	1695	1596	57.75%	24.51%	17.75%	+0.81	+23.4	14
2006-10-15	@ Young Boys	L 0-5	48.4	1596	1695	17.75%	24.51%	57.75%	-0.81	-23.4	9
2006-10-21	Aarau	W 2-1	53.9	1734	1485	71.53%	19.20%	9.27%	+1.54	+2.5	25
2006-10-21	@ Sion	L 1-2	53.9	1485	1734	9.27%	19.20%	71.53%	-1.54	-2.5	4
2006-10-21	Grasshopper	L 0-1	54.9	1573	1787	19.61%	25.13%	55.26%	-0.73	-5.8	9
2006-10-21	@ Thun	W 1-0	54.9	1787	1573	55.26%	25.13%	19.61%	+0.73	+5.8	27
2006-10-21	Schaffhausen	L 0-1	69.8	1861	1550	76.18%	16.75%	7.07%	+1.84	-17.3	25
2006-10-21	@ Zurich	W 1-0	69.8	1550	1861	7.07%	16.75%	76.18%	-1.84	+17.3	11
2006-10-22	St. Gallen	W 2-1	61.7	1756	1689	54.13%	25.38%	20.50%	+0.65	+5.7	16
2006-10-22	@ Basel	L 1-2	61.7	1689	1756	20.50%	25.38%	54.13%	-0.65	-5.7	23
2006-10-22	Young Boys	W 3-1	63.7	1636	1719	34.42%	27.08%	38.50%	-0.09	+16.4	12
2006-10-22	@ Luzern	L 1-3	63.7	1719	1636	38.50%	27.08%	34.42%	+0.09	-16.4	14
2006-10-28	Basel	L 1-2	71.1	1793	1762	49.88%	26.15%	23.97%	+0.47	-11.6	27
2006-10-28	@ Grasshopper	W 2-1	71.1	1762	1793	23.97%	26.15%	49.88%	-0.47	+11.6	19
2006-10-28	Sion	W 5-1	58.5	1684	1737	38.72%	27.08%	34.20%	+0.06	+27.4	26
2006-10-28	@ St. Gallen	L 1-5	58.5	1737	1684	34.20%	27.08%	38.72%	-0.06	-27.4	25
2006-10-28	Zurich	W 2-0	61.0	1702	1844	27.01%	26.60%	46.40%	-0.37	+21.9	17
2006-10-28	@ Young Boys	L 0-2	61.0	1844	1702	46.40%	26.60%	27.01%	+0.37	-21.9	25
2006-10-29	Luzern	L 0-1	52.4	1483	1652	23.91%	26.14%	49.95%	-0.51	-6.9	4
2006-10-29	@ Aarau	W 1-0	52.4	1652	1483	49.95%	26.14%	23.91%	+0.51	+6.9	15
2006-11-04	Schaffhausen	W 1-0	54.4	1476	1568	33.26%	27.05%	39.69%	-0.13	+10.3	7
2006-11-04	@ Aarau	L 0-1	54.4	1568	1476	39.69%	27.05%	33.26%	+0.13	-10.3	11
2006-11-04	St. Gallen	W 2-1	60.6	1822	1711	58.92%	24.18%	16.90%	+0.86	+4.8	28
2006-11-04	@ Zurich	L 1-2	60.6	1711	1822	16.90%	24.18%	58.92%	-0.86	-4.8	26
2006-11-05	Basel	D 1-1	71.8	1567	1773	20.29%	25.32%	54.39%	-0.69	+1.9	10
2006-11-05	@ Thun	D 1-1	71.8	1773	1567	54.39%	25.32%	20.29%	+0.69	-1.9	20
2006-11-05	Young Boys	W 1-0	58.8	1709	1724	43.95%	26.82%	29.23%	+0.25	+8.2	28
2006-11-05	@ Sion	L 0-1	58.8	1724	1709	29.23%	26.82%	43.95%	-0.25	-8.2	17
2006-11-08	Grasshopper	L 0-1	58.9	1659	1781	29.28%	26.82%	43.89%	-0.28	-8.2	15
2006-11-08	@ Luzern	W 1-0	58.9	1781	1659	43.89%	26.82%	29.28%	+0.28	+8.2	30
2006-11-08	Thun	D 0-0	62.4	1557	1569	44.45%	26.78%	28.77%	+0.27	-0.9	12
2006-11-08	@ Schaffhausen	D 0-0	62.4	1569	1557	28.77%	26.78%	44.45%	-0.27	+0.9	11
2006-11-09	Young Boys	D 2-2	78.6	1772	1716	52.82%	25.64%	21.54%	+0.59	-1.3	21
2006-11-09	@ Basel	D 2-2	78.6	1716	1772	21.54%	25.64%	52.82%	-0.59	+1.3	18
2006-11-18	Luzern	D 1-1	69.3	1556	1651	32.88%	27.04%	40.08%	-0.14	+0.4	13
2006-11-18	@ Schaffhausen	D 1-1	69.3	1651	1556	40.08%	27.04%	32.88%	+0.14	-0.4	16
2006-11-18	Sion	W 3-1	59.1	1770	1717	52.53%	25.70%	21.77%	+0.58	+10.4	24
2006-11-18	@ Basel	L 1-3	59.1	1717	1770	21.77%	25.70%	52.53%	-0.58	-10.4	28
2006-11-18	Zurich	L 0-1	62.9	1789	1826	40.94%	27.00%	32.05%	+0.14	-10.5	30
2006-11-18	@ Grasshopper	W 1-0	62.9	1826	1789	32.05%	27.00%	40.94%	-0.14	+10.5	31
2006-11-19	Aarau	W 2-1	54.0	1717	1486	70.11%	19.89%	10.00%	+1.45	+2.8	21
2006-11-19	@ Young Boys	L 1-2	54.0	1486	1717	10.00%	19.89%	70.11%	-1.45	-2.8	7
2006-11-19	Thun	L 1-2	71.8	1706	1570	61.59%	23.34%	15.06%	+0.99	-13.9	26
2006-11-19	@ St. Gallen	W 2-1	71.8	1570	1706	15.06%	23.34%	61.59%	-0.99	+13.9	14
2006-11-25	Schaffhausen	W 3-2	62.2	1720	1557	64.16%	22.43%	13.41%	+1.12	+3.6	24
2006-11-25	@ Young Boys	L 2-3	62.2	1557	1720	13.41%	22.43%	64.16%	-1.12	-3.6	13
2006-11-25	St. Gallen	L 0-1	61.5	1650	1692	40.25%	27.03%	32.72%	+0.12	-10.4	16
2006-11-25	@ Luzern	W 1-0	61.5	1692	1650	32.72%	27.03%	40.25%	-0.12	+10.4	29
2006-11-26	Basel	W 3-2	67.6	1837	1781	52.91%	25.63%	21.46%	+0.60	+5.6	34
2006-11-26	@ Zurich	L 2-3	67.6	1781	1837	21.46%	25.63%	52.91%	-0.60	-5.6	24
2006-11-26	Grasshopper	W 1-0	66.2	1483	1779	13.75%	22.63%	63.62%	-1.12	+15.2	10
2006-11-26	@ Aarau	L 0-1	66.2	1779	1483	63.62%	22.63%	13.75%	+1.12	-15.2	30
2006-11-26	Thun	W 3-0	47.4	1707	1583	60.26%	23.78%	15.97%	+0.93	+13.1	31
2006-11-26	@ Sion	L 0-3	47.4	1583	1707	15.97%	23.78%	60.26%	-0.93	-13.1	14
2006-12-02	Aarau	W 1-0	48.8	1703	1499	67.83%	20.93%	11.24%	+1.32	+3.3	32
2006-12-02	@ St. Gallen	L 0-1	48.8	1499	1703	11.24%	20.93%	67.83%	-1.32	-3.3	10
2006-12-02	Zurich	L 0-2	50.1	1570	1843	15.21%	23.42%	61.37%	-1.01	-8.6	14
2006-12-02	@ Thun	W 2-0	50.1	1843	1570	61.37%	23.42%	15.21%	+1.01	+8.6	37
2006-12-03	Schaffhausen	D 2-2	77.9	1720	1553	64.48%	22.31%	13.21%	+1.14	-2.2	32
2006-12-03	@ Sion	D 2-2	77.9	1553	1720	13.21%	22.31%	64.48%	-1.14	+2.2	14
2006-12-03	Young Boys	L 1-2	71.2	1764	1724	50.97%	25.98%	23.05%	+0.52	-11.8	30
2006-12-03	@ Grasshopper	W 2-1	71.2	1724	1764	23.05%	25.98%	50.97%	-0.52	+11.8	27
2006-12-04	Luzern	W 3-0	48.2	1775	1640	61.42%	23.40%	15.18%	+0.98	+12.5	27
2006-12-04	@ Basel	L 0-3	48.2	1640	1775	15.18%	23.40%	61.42%	-0.98	-12.5	16
2006-12-09	Grasshopper	D 3-3	81.1	1555	1752	21.22%	25.57%	53.22%	-0.64	+1.1	15
2006-12-09	@ Schaffhausen	D 3-3	81.1	1752	1555	53.22%	25.57%	21.22%	+0.64	-1.1	31
2006-12-09	Sion	W 2-1	59.9	1851	1718	61.25%	23.46%	15.29%	+0.97	+4.3	40
2006-12-09	@ Zurich	L 1-2	59.9	1718	1851	15.29%	23.46%	61.25%	-0.97	-4.3	32
2006-12-09	St. Gallen	W 3-0	51.9	1736	1706	49.69%	26.18%	24.13%	+0.47	+19.1	30
2006-12-09	@ Young Boys	L 0-3	51.9	1706	1736	24.13%	26.18%	49.69%	-0.47	-19.1	32
2006-12-10	Basel	L 2-3	62.6	1495	1788	13.94%	22.74%	63.32%	-1.11	-3.7	10
2006-12-10	@ Aarau	W 3-2	62.6	1788	1495	63.32%	22.74%	13.94%	+1.11	+3.7	30
2006-12-10	Thun	W 2-1	58.5	1628	1562	54.03%	25.40%	20.57%	+0.64	+5.7	19
2006-12-10	@ Luzern	L 1-2	58.5	1562	1628	20.57%	25.40%	54.03%	-0.64	-5.7	14
2007-02-10	Aarau	W 1-0	48.5	1687	1492	67.07%	21.26%	11.67%	+1.28	+3.5	35
2007-02-10	@ St. Gallen	L 0-1	48.5	1492	1687	11.67%	21.26%	67.07%	-1.28	-3.4	10
2007-02-10	Zurich	D 0-0	67.7	1751	1855	31.50%	26.98%	41.52%	-0.19	+0.6	32
2007-02-10	@ Grasshopper	D 0-0	67.7	1855	1751	41.52%	26.98%	31.50%	+0.19	-0.6	41
2007-02-11	Basel	L 0-3	57.6	1755	1791	41.01%	27.00%	31.99%	+0.14	-28.8	30
2007-02-11	@ Young Boys	W 3-0	57.6	1791	1755	31.99%	27.00%	41.01%	-0.14	+28.8	33
2007-02-11	Sion	W 2-0	57.6	1633	1714	34.83%	27.09%	38.08%	-0.07	+18.8	22
2007-02-11	@ Luzern	L 0-2	57.6	1714	1633	38.08%	27.09%	34.83%	+0.07	-18.8	32
2007-02-11	Thun	L 1-2	64.4	1556	1556	46.00%	26.64%	27.36%	+0.32	-10.9	15
2007-02-11	@ Schaffhausen	W 2-1	64.4	1556	1556	27.36%	26.64%	46.00%	-0.32	+10.9	17
2007-02-17	Grasshopper	L 0-2	52.2	1567	1751	22.37%	25.83%	51.80%	-0.58	-12.4	17
2007-02-17	@ Thun	W 2-0	52.2	1751	1567	51.80%	25.83%	22.37%	+0.58	+12.3	35
2007-02-17	Luzern	W 1-0	52.8	1820	1652	64.59%	22.27%	13.15%	+1.14	+3.9	36
2007-02-17	@ Basel	L 0-1	52.8	1652	1820	13.15%	22.27%	64.59%	-1.14	-3.9	22
2007-02-17	Young Boys	W 1-0	54.3	1855	1726	60.82%	23.60%	15.58%	+0.95	+4.7	44
2007-02-17	@ Zurich	L 0-1	54.3	1726	1855	15.58%	23.60%	60.82%	-0.95	-4.7	30
2007-02-18	Schaffhausen	W 3-2	63.5	1488	1546	38.08%	27.09%	34.83%	+0.04	+8.3	13
2007-02-18	@ Aarau	L 2-3	63.5	1546	1488	34.83%	27.09%	38.08%	-0.04	-8.3	15
2007-02-18	St. Gallen	L 0-2	60.3	1695	1690	46.50%	26.58%	26.91%	+0.34	-21.9	32
2007-02-18	@ Sion	W 2-0	60.3	1690	1695	26.91%	26.58%	46.50%	-0.34	+22.0	38
2007-02-24	Aarau	W 1-0	48.4	1764	1496	72.98%	18.47%	8.55%	+1.63	+2.4	38
2007-02-24	@ Grasshopper	L 0-1	48.4	1496	1764	8.55%	18.47%	72.98%	-1.63	-2.4	13
2007-02-24	Zurich	W 2-0	63.0	1648	1860	19.86%	25.20%	54.94%	-0.71	+25.2	25
2007-02-24	@ Luzern	L 0-2	63.0	1860	1648	54.94%	25.20%	19.86%	+0.71	-25.2	44
2007-02-25	Basel	D 0-0	67.6	1673	1824	25.85%	26.45%	47.70%	-0.42	+1.3	33
2007-02-25	@ Sion	D 0-0	67.6	1824	1673	47.70%	26.45%	25.85%	+0.42	-1.3	37
2007-02-25	St. Gallen	L 0-1	54.9	1537	1712	23.29%	26.02%	50.69%	-0.54	-6.8	15
2007-02-25	@ Schaffhausen	W 1-0	54.9	1712	1537	50.69%	26.02%	23.29%	+0.54	+6.8	41
2007-02-25	Thun	W 3-1	53.8	1721	1555	64.46%	22.32%	13.23%	+1.14	+6.5	33
2007-02-25	@ Young Boys	L 1-3	53.8	1555	1721	13.23%	22.32%	64.46%	-1.14	-6.5	17
2007-03-03	Luzern	D 0-0	67.3	1719	1673	51.69%	25.85%	22.46%	+0.55	-1.8	42
2007-03-03	@ St. Gallen	D 0-0	67.3	1673	1719	22.46%	25.85%	51.69%	-0.55	+1.8	26
2007-03-03	Sion	W 2-0	52.7	1728	1674	52.60%	25.68%	21.71%	+0.58	+12.0	36
2007-03-03	@ Young Boys	L 0-2	52.7	1674	1728	21.71%	25.68%	52.60%	-0.58	-12.0	33
2007-03-04	Basel	L 1-5	60.3	1766	1823	38.18%	27.09%	34.73%	+0.04	-29.7	38
2007-03-04	@ Grasshopper	W 5-1	60.3	1823	1766	34.73%	27.09%	38.18%	-0.04	+29.7	40
2007-03-04	Thun	D 0-0	59.5	1494	1548	38.56%	27.08%	34.36%	+0.06	-0.2	14
2007-03-04	@ Aarau	D 0-0	59.5	1548	1494	34.36%	27.08%	38.56%	-0.06	+0.2	18
2007-03-04	Zurich	L 0-4	46.6	1530	1834	13.25%	22.33%	64.42%	-1.17	-14.2	15
2007-03-04	@ Schaffhausen	W 4-0	46.6	1834	1530	64.42%	22.33%	13.25%	+1.17	+14.2	47
2007-03-10	Aarau	D 2-2	80.9	1848	1494	79.15%	15.04%	5.81%	+2.06	-3.1	48
2007-03-10	@ Zurich	D 2-2	80.9	1494	1848	5.81%	15.04%	79.15%	-2.06	+3.1	15
2007-03-10	Schaffhausen	D 0-0	70.1	1852	1516	77.94%	15.75%	6.31%	+1.97	-4.6	41
2007-03-10	@ Basel	D 0-0	70.1	1516	1852	6.31%	15.75%	77.94%	-1.97	+4.6	16
2007-03-10	St. Gallen	W 3-1	65.8	1548	1717	23.92%	26.14%	49.94%	-0.51	+20.2	21
2007-03-10	@ Thun	L 1-3	65.8	1717	1548	49.94%	26.14%	23.92%	+0.51	-20.2	42
2007-03-11	Grasshopper	D 1-1	71.8	1662	1736	35.68%	27.10%	37.22%	-0.04	+0.1	34
2007-03-11	@ Sion	D 1-1	71.8	1736	1662	37.22%	27.10%	35.68%	+0.04	-0.1	39
2007-03-11	Young Boys	D 1-1	71.9	1675	1740	37.07%	27.10%	35.83%	+0.01	-0.1	27
2007-03-11	@ Luzern	D 1-1	71.9	1740	1675	35.83%	27.10%	37.07%	-0.01	+0.1	37
2007-03-17	Luzern	W 5-0	50.8	1736	1675	53.49%	25.51%	21.00%	+0.62	+27.3	42
2007-03-17	@ Grasshopper	L 0-5	50.8	1675	1736	21.00%	25.51%	53.49%	-0.62	-27.3	27
2007-03-17	Zurich	L 0-1	53.3	1568	1845	14.90%	23.26%	61.84%	-1.03	-4.5	21
2007-03-17	@ Thun	W 1-0	53.3	1845	1568	61.84%	23.26%	14.90%	+1.03	+4.5	51
2007-03-18	Basel	L 0-1	50.8	1497	1848	10.80%	20.58%	68.62%	-1.40	-3.2	15
2007-03-18	@ Aarau	W 1-0	50.8	1848	1497	68.62%	20.58%	10.80%	+1.40	+3.2	44
2007-03-18	Sion	L 0-1	54.8	1521	1662	26.98%	26.59%	46.42%	-0.37	-7.7	16
2007-03-18	@ Schaffhausen	W 1-0	54.8	1662	1521	46.42%	26.59%	26.98%	+0.37	+7.7	37
2007-03-18	Young Boys	D 1-1	72.0	1697	1740	40.19%	27.03%	32.78%	+0.11	-0.4	43
2007-03-18	@ St. Gallen	D 1-1	72.0	1740	1697	32.78%	27.03%	40.19%	-0.11	+0.4	38
2007-03-31	Grasshopper	W 1-0	59.5	1740	1764	42.82%	26.90%	30.28%	+0.21	+8.4	41
2007-03-31	@ Young Boys	L 0-1	59.5	1764	1740	30.28%	26.90%	42.82%	-0.21	-8.4	42
2007-03-31	Schaffhausen	D 0-0	64.4	1648	1513	61.37%	23.42%	15.21%	+0.98	-2.9	28
2007-03-31	@ Luzern	D 0-0	64.4	1513	1648	15.21%	23.42%	61.37%	-0.98	+2.9	17
2007-04-01	Aarau	D 1-1	69.8	1670	1494	65.33%	21.98%	12.69%	+1.18	-3.0	38
2007-04-01	@ Sion	D 1-1	69.8	1494	1670	12.69%	21.98%	65.33%	-1.18	+3.0	16
2007-04-01	St. Gallen	W 3-0	48.2	1850	1697	63.17%	22.80%	14.04%	+1.07	+11.5	54
2007-04-01	@ Zurich	L 0-3	48.2	1697	1850	14.04%	22.80%	63.17%	-1.07	-11.5	43
2007-04-01	Thun	W 4-1	49.4	1851	1564	74.48%	17.68%	7.84%	+1.73	+5.1	47
2007-04-01	@ Basel	L 1-4	49.4	1564	1851	7.84%	17.68%	74.48%	-1.73	-5.1	21
2007-04-07	Grasshopper	D 0-0	67.2	1685	1755	36.31%	27.10%	36.59%	-0.02	+0.0	44
2007-04-07	@ St. Gallen	D 0-0	67.2	1755	1685	36.59%	27.10%	36.31%	+0.02	-0.0	43
2007-04-07	Sion	L 1-3	59.7	1559	1667	31.10%	26.95%	41.95%	-0.21	-14.0	21
2007-04-07	@ Thun	W 3-1	59.7	1667	1559	41.95%	26.95%	31.10%	+0.21	+14.0	41
2007-04-07	Young Boys	L 0-1	53.2	1516	1748	18.11%	24.64%	57.25%	-0.82	-5.4	17
2007-04-07	@ Schaffhausen	W 1-0	53.2	1748	1516	57.25%	24.64%	18.11%	+0.82	+5.4	44
2007-04-09	Basel	L 0-1	64.6	1861	1856	46.62%	26.57%	26.80%	+0.35	-11.7	54
2007-04-09	@ Zurich	W 1-0	64.6	1856	1861	26.80%	26.57%	46.62%	-0.35	+11.7	50
2007-04-09	Luzern	W 4-1	59.6	1497	1645	26.20%	26.49%	47.30%	-0.40	+27.2	19
2007-04-09	@ Aarau	L 1-4	59.6	1645	1497	47.30%	26.49%	26.20%	+0.40	-27.2	28
2007-04-14	Aarau	D 1-1	72.7	1754	1524	70.01%	19.94%	10.06%	+1.45	-3.5	45
2007-04-14	@ Young Boys	D 1-1	72.7	1524	1754	10.06%	19.94%	70.01%	-1.45	+3.5	20
2007-04-14	St. Gallen	D 3-3	83.8	1868	1685	65.91%	21.74%	12.35%	+1.21	-1.9	51
2007-04-14	@ Basel	D 3-3	83.8	1685	1868	12.35%	21.74%	65.91%	-1.21	+1.9	45
2007-04-14	Thun	L 1-2	68.0	1618	1545	54.81%	25.23%	19.96%	+0.68	-12.6	28
2007-04-14	@ Luzern	W 2-1	68.0	1545	1618	19.96%	25.23%	54.81%	-0.68	+12.6	24
2007-04-15	Schaffhausen	L 1-2	73.4	1755	1511	71.19%	19.37%	9.44%	+1.52	-15.6	43
2007-04-15	@ Grasshopper	W 2-1	73.4	1511	1755	9.44%	19.37%	71.19%	-1.52	+15.6	20
2007-04-15	Zurich	L 1-2	63.2	1681	1850	23.94%	26.14%	49.92%	-0.51	-6.5	41
2007-04-15	@ Sion	W 2-1	63.2	1850	1681	49.92%	26.14%	23.94%	+0.51	+6.5	57
2007-04-17	Basel	D 0-0	68.0	1687	1866	22.94%	25.95%	51.10%	-0.55	+1.7	46
2007-04-17	@ St. Gallen	D 0-0	68.0	1866	1687	51.10%	25.95%	22.94%	+0.55	-1.7	52
2007-04-18	Grasshopper	D 1-1	70.9	1526	1740	19.71%	25.16%	55.14%	-0.72	+2.0	21
2007-04-18	@ Schaffhausen	D 1-1	70.9	1740	1526	55.14%	25.16%	19.71%	+0.72	-2.0	44
2007-04-18	Luzern	W 2-1	62.2	1558	1605	39.49%	27.06%	33.45%	+0.09	+8.5	27
2007-04-18	@ Thun	L 1-2	62.2	1605	1558	33.45%	27.06%	39.49%	-0.09	-8.5	28
2007-04-18	Sion	W 2-1	58.5	1856	1674	65.87%	21.76%	12.37%	+1.21	+3.5	60
2007-04-18	@ Zurich	L 1-2	58.5	1674	1856	12.37%	21.76%	65.87%	-1.21	-3.5	41
2007-04-18	Young Boys	D 1-1	71.2	1527	1750	18.88%	24.90%	56.22%	-0.77	+2.1	21
2007-04-18	@ Aarau	D 1-1	71.2	1750	1527	56.22%	24.90%	18.88%	+0.77	-2.1	46
2007-04-21	Schaffhausen	W 2-0	46.4	1748	1528	69.19%	20.32%	10.49%	+1.40	+5.8	49
2007-04-21	@ Young Boys	L 0-2	46.4	1528	1748	10.49%	20.32%	69.19%	-1.40	-5.8	21
2007-04-21	St. Gallen	D 1-1	72.4	1738	1689	52.02%	25.79%	22.19%	+0.56	-1.6	45
2007-04-21	@ Grasshopper	D 1-1	72.4	1689	1738	22.19%	25.79%	52.02%	-0.56	+1.6	47
2007-04-22	Aarau	W 1-0	50.9	1596	1530	54.16%	25.37%	20.47%	+0.65	+6.0	31
2007-04-22	@ Luzern	L 0-1	50.9	1530	1596	20.47%	25.37%	54.16%	-0.65	-6.0	21
2007-04-22	Thun	W 2-1	58.2	1671	1566	58.31%	24.35%	17.34%	+0.83	+4.9	44
2007-04-22	@ Sion	L 1-2	58.2	1566	1671	17.34%	24.35%	58.31%	-0.83	-4.9	27
2007-04-22	Zurich	W 4-2	65.1	1864	1860	46.53%	26.58%	26.89%	+0.34	+11.1	55
2007-04-22	@ Basel	L 2-4	65.1	1860	1864	26.89%	26.58%	46.53%	-0.34	-11.2	60
2007-04-28	Sion	L 0-2	51.4	1524	1676	25.75%	26.43%	47.82%	-0.42	-13.9	21
2007-04-28	@ Aarau	W 2-0	51.4	1676	1524	47.82%	26.43%	25.75%	+0.42	+13.9	47
2007-04-28	Young Boys	L 1-2	69.2	1736	1754	43.53%	26.85%	29.62%	+0.23	-10.4	45
2007-04-28	@ Grasshopper	W 2-1	69.2	1754	1736	29.62%	26.85%	43.53%	-0.23	+10.4	52
2007-04-29	Basel	L 0-2	49.1	1561	1875	12.67%	21.96%	65.37%	-1.22	-7.1	27
2007-04-29	@ Thun	W 2-0	49.1	1875	1561	65.37%	21.96%	12.67%	+1.22	+7.1	58
2007-04-29	Luzern	D 0-0	62.3	1522	1603	34.86%	27.09%	38.05%	-0.07	+0.2	22
2007-04-29	@ Schaffhausen	D 0-0	62.3	1603	1522	38.05%	27.09%	34.86%	+0.07	-0.2	32
2007-04-29	Zurich	D 2-2	78.6	1691	1849	25.11%	26.34%	48.55%	-0.45	+0.9	48
2007-04-29	@ St. Gallen	D 2-2	78.6	1849	1691	48.55%	26.34%	25.11%	+0.45	-0.9	61
2007-05-05	Aarau	W 2-0	44.3	1882	1510	80.30%	14.35%	5.35%	+2.15	+2.6	61
2007-05-05	@ Basel	L 0-2	44.3	1510	1882	5.35%	14.35%	80.30%	-2.15	-2.6	21
2007-05-05	Grasshopper	L 1-6	55.4	1602	1726	29.15%	26.81%	44.03%	-0.28	-29.7	32
2007-05-05	@ Luzern	W 6-1	55.4	1726	1602	44.03%	26.81%	29.15%	+0.28	+29.7	48
2007-05-05	Thun	D 0-0	69.9	1848	1554	74.95%	17.42%	7.62%	+1.76	-4.3	62
2007-05-05	@ Zurich	D 0-0	69.9	1554	1848	7.62%	17.42%	74.95%	-1.76	+4.3	28
2007-05-06	Schaffhausen	W 3-0	44.8	1690	1523	64.48%	22.31%	13.21%	+1.14	+10.8	50
2007-05-06	@ Sion	L 0-3	44.8	1523	1690	13.21%	22.31%	64.48%	-1.14	-10.8	22
2007-05-06	St. Gallen	D 1-1	72.7	1765	1692	54.85%	25.22%	19.93%	+0.68	-1.9	53
2007-05-06	@ Young Boys	D 1-1	72.7	1692	1765	19.93%	25.22%	54.85%	-0.68	+1.9	49
2007-05-09	Basel	D 2-2	79.9	1512	1885	9.81%	19.71%	70.48%	-1.50	+2.6	23
2007-05-09	@ Schaffhausen	D 2-2	79.9	1885	1512	70.48%	19.71%	9.81%	+1.50	-2.6	62
2007-05-09	Luzern	W 3-1	53.9	1763	1573	66.59%	21.46%	11.95%	+1.25	+5.8	56
2007-05-09	@ Young Boys	L 1-3	53.9	1573	1763	11.95%	21.46%	66.59%	-1.25	-5.8	32
2007-05-09	Sion	D 0-0	67.7	1755	1700	52.77%	25.65%	21.58%	+0.59	-1.9	49
2007-05-09	@ Grasshopper	D 0-0	67.7	1700	1755	21.58%	25.65%	52.77%	-0.59	+1.9	51
2007-05-09	Thun	W 2-0	48.4	1693	1558	61.42%	23.40%	15.18%	+0.98	+8.6	52
2007-05-09	@ St. Gallen	L 0-2	48.4	1558	1693	15.18%	23.40%	61.42%	-0.98	-8.6	28
2007-05-09	Zurich	L 0-3	45.9	1507	1843	11.51%	21.14%	67.35%	-1.32	-9.3	21
2007-05-09	@ Aarau	W 3-0	45.9	1843	1507	67.35%	21.14%	11.51%	+1.32	+9.3	65
2007-05-12	Aarau	W 1-0	48.8	1550	1498	52.44%	25.71%	21.84%	+0.58	+6.4	31
2007-05-12	@ Thun	L 0-1	48.8	1498	1550	21.84%	25.71%	52.44%	-0.58	-6.4	21
2007-05-12	Schaffhausen	D 0-0	70.2	1853	1514	78.07%	15.67%	6.26%	+1.98	-4.6	66
2007-05-12	@ Zurich	D 0-0	70.2	1514	1853	6.26%	15.67%	78.07%	-1.98	+4.6	24
2007-05-12	Young Boys	W 2-0	57.8	1702	1768	36.83%	27.10%	36.07%	+0.00	+18.0	54
2007-05-12	@ Sion	L 0-2	57.8	1768	1702	36.07%	27.10%	36.83%	+0.00	-18.0	56
2007-05-13	Grasshopper	W 3-0	49.1	1883	1753	60.83%	23.59%	15.58%	+0.95	+12.8	65
2007-05-13	@ Basel	L 0-3	49.1	1753	1883	15.58%	23.59%	60.83%	-0.95	-12.8	49
2007-05-13	St. Gallen	D 1-1	70.5	1567	1702	27.70%	26.67%	45.63%	-0.34	+0.9	33
2007-05-13	@ Luzern	D 1-1	70.5	1702	1567	45.63%	26.67%	27.70%	+0.34	-0.9	53
2007-05-16	Grasshopper	D 0-0	65.8	1491	1741	16.81%	24.14%	59.05%	-0.90	+2.6	22
2007-05-16	@ Aarau	D 0-0	65.8	1741	1491	59.05%	24.14%	16.81%	+0.90	-2.7	50
2007-05-16	Luzern	W 2-0	46.4	1848	1568	73.97%	17.95%	8.08%	+1.69	+4.3	69
2007-05-16	@ Zurich	L 0-2	46.4	1568	1848	8.08%	17.95%	73.97%	-1.69	-4.3	33
2007-05-16	Schaffhausen	D 1-1	71.1	1701	1519	65.87%	21.76%	12.37%	+1.21	-3.1	54
2007-05-16	@ St. Gallen	D 1-1	71.1	1519	1701	12.37%	21.76%	65.87%	-1.21	+3.1	25
2007-05-16	Sion	W 2-0	49.7	1895	1720	65.23%	22.01%	12.75%	+1.18	+7.2	68
2007-05-16	@ Basel	L 0-2	49.7	1720	1895	12.75%	22.01%	65.23%	-1.18	-7.2	54
2007-05-16	Young Boys	L 0-1	55.0	1556	1750	21.43%	25.62%	52.95%	-0.63	-6.3	31
2007-05-16	@ Thun	W 1-0	55.0	1750	1556	52.95%	25.62%	21.43%	+0.63	+6.3	59
2007-05-19	Basel	L 0-3	46.6	1563	1902	11.38%	21.04%	67.59%	-1.34	-9.2	33
2007-05-19	@ Luzern	W 3-0	46.6	1902	1563	67.59%	21.04%	11.38%	+1.34	+9.2	71
2007-05-19	Sion	L 0-3	57.8	1698	1713	43.95%	26.82%	29.23%	+0.25	-30.4	54
2007-05-19	@ St. Gallen	W 3-0	57.8	1713	1698	29.23%	26.82%	43.95%	-0.25	+30.4	57
2007-05-19	Thun	L 0-3	61.8	1738	1550	66.41%	21.54%	12.05%	+1.24	-43.0	50
2007-05-19	@ Grasshopper	W 3-0	61.8	1550	1738	12.05%	21.54%	66.41%	-1.24	+43.0	34
2007-05-19	Zurich	L 2-3	71.4	1757	1852	32.71%	27.03%	40.25%	-0.15	-8.0	59
2007-05-19	@ Young Boys	W 3-2	71.4	1852	1757	40.25%	27.03%	32.71%	+0.15	+8.0	72
2007-05-20	Aarau	L 0-2	52.7	1522	1494	49.55%	26.20%	24.25%	+0.46	-23.1	25
2007-05-20	@ Schaffhausen	W 2-0	52.7	1494	1522	24.25%	26.20%	49.55%	-0.46	+23.1	25
2007-05-24	Grasshopper	W 2-0	49.8	1860	1695	64.34%	22.36%	13.30%	+1.13	+7.5	75
2007-05-24	@ Zurich	L 0-2	49.8	1695	1860	13.30%	22.36%	64.34%	-1.13	-7.5	50
2007-05-24	Luzern	W 2-0	47.5	1744	1554	66.52%	21.49%	11.99%	+1.25	+6.7	60
2007-05-24	@ Sion	L 0-2	47.5	1554	1744	11.99%	21.49%	66.52%	-1.25	-6.7	33
2007-05-24	Schaffhausen	W 2-0	45.6	1593	1499	57.16%	24.66%	18.18%	+0.78	+10.2	37
2007-05-24	@ Thun	L 0-2	45.6	1499	1593	18.18%	24.66%	57.16%	-0.78	-10.2	25
2007-05-24	St. Gallen	D 1-1	68.9	1517	1668	25.92%	26.46%	47.62%	-0.42	+1.2	26
2007-05-24	@ Aarau	D 1-1	68.9	1668	1517	47.62%	26.46%	25.92%	+0.42	-1.1	55
2007-05-24	Young Boys	W 2-0	50.0	1912	1749	64.11%	22.45%	13.44%	+1.12	+7.6	74
2007-05-24	@ Basel	L 0-2	50.0	1749	1912	13.44%	22.45%	64.11%	-1.12	-7.6	59

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2007-05-30	Aarau	L 1-2	68.4	1626	1518	58.61%	24.27%	17.13%	+0.85	-13.3	0
2007-05-30	@ Bellinzona	W 2-1	68.4	1518	1626	17.13%	24.27%	58.61%	-0.85	+13.3	3
2007-06-03	Bellinzona	W 3-1	59.9	1531	1612	34.75%	27.09%	38.16%	-0.07	+16.3	6
2007-06-03	@ Aarau	L 1-3	59.9	1612	1531	38.16%	27.09%	34.75%	+0.07	-16.3	0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2006-10-21	7.07%	Schaffhausen	1550	1	@ Zurich	1861	0
2	2007-04-15	9.44%	Schaffhausen	1511	2	@ Grasshopper	1755	1
3	2007-05-19	12.05%	Thun	1550	3	@ Grasshopper	1738	0
4	2006-11-26	13.75%	@ Aarau	1483	1	Grasshopper	1779	0
5	2006-11-19	15.06%	Thun	1570	2	@ St. Gallen	1706	1
6	2006-10-15	16.96%	@ Schaffhausen	1530	4	Basel	1777	2
7	2007-05-30	17.13%	Aarau	1518	2	@ Bellinzona	1626	1
8	2006-08-12	17.20%	@ St. Gallen	1617	3	Zurich	1861	1
9	2006-08-05	18.63%	Grasshopper	1718	3	@ Basel	1806	2
10	2007-02-24	19.86%	@ Luzern	1648	2	Zurich	1860	0
11	2007-04-14	19.96%	Thun	1545	2	@ Luzern	1618	1
12	2006-07-30	21.99%	@ St. Gallen	1629	3	Basel	1817	2
13	2006-09-09	22.38%	@ Schaffhausen	1549	1	Young Boys	1734	0
14	2006-09-18	22.53%	@ Luzern	1614	2	Basel	1797	0
15	2006-12-03	23.05%	Young Boys	1724	2	@ Grasshopper	1764	1
16	2006-08-12	23.70%	Aarau	1526	1	@ Schaffhausen	1560	0
17	2007-03-10	23.92%	@ Thun	1548	3	St. Gallen	1717	1
18	2006-10-28	23.97%	Basel	1762	2	@ Grasshopper	1793	1
19	2007-05-20	24.25%	Aarau	1494	2	@ Schaffhausen	1522	0
20	2007-04-09	26.20%	@ Aarau	1497	4	Luzern	1645	1
21	2007-04-09	26.80%	Basel	1856	1	@ Zurich	1861	0
22	2007-02-18	26.91%	St. Gallen	1690	2	@ Sion	1695	0
23	2006-10-28	27.01%	@ Young Boys	1702	2	Zurich	1844	0
24	2007-02-11	27.36%	Thun	1556	2	@ Schaffhausen	1556	1
25	2006-08-21	28.08%	St. Gallen	1640	2	@ Thun	1634	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2007-05-19	42.99	Thun	3	1550	12.05%	@ Grasshopper	0	1738	66.41%	21.54%
2	2007-05-19	30.44	Sion	3	1713	29.23%	@ St. Gallen	0	1698	43.95%	26.82%
3	2007-03-04	29.74	Basel	5	1823	34.73%	@ Grasshopper	1	1766	38.18%	27.09%
4	2007-05-05	29.73	Grasshopper	6	1726	44.03%	@ Luzern	1	1602	29.15%	26.81%
5	2007-02-11	28.84	Basel	3	1791	31.99%	@ Young Boys	0	1755	41.01%	27.00%
6	2006-10-28	27.43	@ St. Gallen	5	1684	38.72%	Sion	1	1737	34.20%	27.08%
7	2007-03-17	27.31	@ Grasshopper	5	1736	53.49%	Luzern	0	1675	21.00%	25.51%
8	2007-04-09	27.25	@ Aarau	4	1497	26.20%	Luzern	1	1645	47.30%	26.49%
9	2007-02-24	25.25	@ Luzern	2	1648	19.86%	Zurich	0	1860	54.94%	25.20%
10	2006-08-06	23.96	@ Sion	4	1681	51.07%	St. Gallen	0	1641	22.97%	25.96%
11	2006-09-18	23.93	@ Luzern	2	1614	22.53%	Basel	0	1797	51.60%	25.87%
12	2006-10-15	23.40	@ Young Boys	5	1695	57.75%	Thun	0	1596	17.75%	24.51%
13	2007-05-20	23.13	Aarau	2	1494	24.25%	@ Schaffhausen	0	1522	49.55%	26.20%
14	2006-08-12	23.07	@ St. Gallen	3	1617	17.20%	Zurich	1	1861	58.50%	24.30%
15	2007-02-18	21.95	St. Gallen	2	1690	26.91%	@ Sion	0	1695	46.50%	26.58%
16	2006-10-28	21.91	@ Young Boys	2	1702	27.01%	Zurich	0	1844	46.40%	26.60%
17	2006-08-21	21.44	St. Gallen	2	1640	28.08%	@ Thun	0	1634	45.20%	26.71%
18	2006-09-17	20.98	St. Gallen	3	1668	46.40%	@ Aarau	0	1527	27.00%	26.60%
19	2006-10-15	20.73	@ Schaffhausen	4	1530	16.96%	Basel	2	1777	58.83%	24.20%
20	2007-03-10	20.16	@ Thun	3	1548	23.92%	St. Gallen	1	1717	49.94%	26.14%
21	2006-07-19	19.62	Zurich	3	1819	48.82%	@ Luzern	0	1659	24.88%	26.30%
22	2006-12-09	19.12	@ Young Boys	3	1736	49.69%	St. Gallen	0	1706	24.13%	26.18%
23	2007-02-11	18.78	@ Luzern	2	1633	34.83%	Sion	0	1714	38.08%	27.09%
24	2007-05-12	18.04	@ Sion	2	1702	36.83%	Young Boys	0	1768	36.07%	27.10%
25	2006-09-18	17.96	Grasshopper	3	1740	29.78%	@ Young Boys	1	1721	43.36%	26.86%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2007-04-14	83.8	@ Basel	3	1868	65.91%	St. Gallen	3	1685	12.35%	21.74%
2	2006-12-09	81.1	@ Schaffhausen	3	1555	21.22%	Grasshopper	3	1752	53.22%	25.57%
3	2007-03-10	80.9	@ Zurich	2	1848	79.15%	Aarau	2	1494	5.81%	15.04%
4	2007-05-09	79.9	@ Schaffhausen	2	1512	9.81%	Basel	2	1885	70.48%	19.71%
5	2006-11-09	78.6	@ Basel	2	1772	52.82%	Young Boys	2	1716	21.54%	25.64%
6	2007-04-29	78.6	@ St. Gallen	2	1691	25.11%	Zurich	2	1849	48.55%	26.34%
7	2006-09-23	78.5	@ Sion	2	1734	30.49%	Zurich	2	1847	42.59%	26.92%
8	2006-10-04	78.3	@ Sion	2	1735	40.83%	Grasshopper	2	1773	32.17%	27.01%
9	2006-12-03	77.9	@ Sion	2	1720	64.48%	Schaffhausen	2	1553	13.21%	22.31%
10	2006-08-05	77.7	Grasshopper	3	1718	18.63%	@ Basel	2	1806	56.55%	24.82%
11	2006-07-30	76.4	@ St. Gallen	3	1629	21.99%	Basel	2	1817	52.26%	25.75%
12	2007-04-15	73.4	Schaffhausen	2	1511	9.44%	@ Grasshopper	1	1755	71.19%	19.37%
13	2007-04-14	72.7	@ Young Boys	1	1754	70.01%	Aarau	1	1524	10.06%	19.94%
14	2007-05-06	72.7	@ Young Boys	1	1765	54.85%	St. Gallen	1	1692	19.93%	25.22%
15	2006-07-19	72.4	@ Young Boys	1	1723	33.94%	Basel	1	1810	38.99%	27.07%
16	2007-04-21	72.4	@ Grasshopper	1	1738	52.02%	St. Gallen	1	1689	22.19%	25.79%
17	2006-10-15	72.2	@ Schaffhausen	4	1530	16.96%	Basel	2	1777	58.83%	24.20%
18	2007-03-18	72.0	@ St. Gallen	1	1697	40.19%	Young Boys	1	1740	32.78%	27.03%
19	2007-03-11	71.9	@ Luzern	1	1675	37.07%	Young Boys	1	1740	35.83%	27.10%
20	2006-11-05	71.8	@ Thun	1	1567	20.29%	Basel	1	1773	54.39%	25.32%
21	2006-11-19	71.8	Thun	2	1570	15.06%	@ St. Gallen	1	1706	61.59%	23.34%
22	2007-03-11	71.8	@ Sion	1	1662	35.68%	Grasshopper	1	1736	37.22%	27.10%
23	2006-10-14	71.6	@ Luzern	1	1635	32.22%	Sion	1	1735	40.77%	27.01%
24	2007-05-19	71.4	Zurich	3	1852	40.25%	@ Young Boys	2	1757	32.71%	27.03%
25	2006-12-03	71.2	Young Boys	2	1724	23.05%	@ Grasshopper	1	1764	50.97%	25.98%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2006-07-22	44.1	@ Zurich	3	1838	74.52%	Aarau	0	1551	7.82%	17.66%
2	2007-05-05	44.3	@ Basel	2	1882	80.30%	Aarau	0	1510	5.35%	14.35%
3	2007-05-06	44.8	@ Sion	3	1690	64.48%	Schaffhausen	0	1523	13.21%	22.31%
4	2006-10-14	45.2	Zurich	4	1850	68.79%	@ Aarau	0	1497	10.71%	20.50%
5	2006-09-23	45.5	@ Grasshopper	5	1758	68.15%	Schaffhausen	0	1551	11.06%	20.79%
6	2006-07-22	45.6	@ Basel	3	1809	69.74%	Schaffhausen	0	1583	10.20%	20.06%
7	2007-05-24	45.6	@ Thun	2	1593	57.16%	Schaffhausen	0	1499	18.18%	24.66%
8	2007-05-09	45.9	Zurich	3	1843	67.35%	@ Aarau	0	1507	11.51%	21.14%
9	2006-09-16	46.0	@ Zurich	5	1834	70.02%	Thun	0	1604	10.05%	19.93%
10	2007-04-21	46.4	@ Young Boys	2	1748	69.19%	Schaffhausen	0	1528	10.49%	20.32%
11	2007-05-16	46.4	@ Zurich	2	1848	73.97%	Luzern	0	1568	8.08%	17.95%
12	2007-03-04	46.6	Zurich	4	1834	64.42%	@ Schaffhausen	0	1530	13.25%	22.33%
13	2007-05-19	46.6	Basel	3	1902	67.59%	@ Luzern	0	1563	11.38%	21.04%
14	2006-11-26	47.4	@ Sion	3	1707	60.26%	Thun	0	1583	15.97%	23.78%
15	2007-05-24	47.5	@ Sion	2	1744	66.52%	Luzern	0	1554	11.99%	21.49%
16	2006-12-04	48.2	@ Basel	3	1775	61.42%	Luzern	0	1640	15.18%	23.40%
17	2007-04-01	48.2	@ Zurich	3	1850	63.17%	St. Gallen	0	1697	14.04%	22.80%
18	2006-10-15	48.4	@ Young Boys	5	1695	57.75%	Thun	0	1596	17.75%	24.51%
19	2007-02-24	48.4	@ Grasshopper	1	1764	72.98%	Aarau	0	1496	8.55%	18.47%
20	2007-05-09	48.4	@ St. Gallen	2	1693	61.42%	Thun	0	1558	15.18%	23.40%
21	2007-02-10	48.5	@ St. Gallen	1	1687	67.07%	Aarau	0	1492	11.67%	21.26%
22	2006-12-02	48.8	@ St. Gallen	1	1703	67.83%	Aarau	0	1499	11.24%	20.93%
23	2007-05-12	48.8	@ Thun	1	1550	52.44%	Aarau	0	1498	21.84%	25.71%
24	2007-04-29	49.1	Basel	2	1875	65.37%	@ Thun	0	1561	12.67%	21.96%
25	2007-05-13	49.1	@ Basel	3	1883	60.83%	Grasshopper	0	1753	15.58%	23.59%