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2007-08 Super League Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Basel

74 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Young Boys

9.77 points above expected

70 points · 60.23 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Zurich

11.18 points below expected

56 points · 67.18 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Basel 36 22 8 6 74 73 39 +34 69.58 +4.42
2 Young Boys 36 21 7 8 70 82 49 +33 60.23 +9.77
3 Zurich 36 15 11 10 56 58 43 +15 67.18 -11.18
4 Grasshopper 36 15 9 12 54 57 49 +8 47.68 +6.32
5 Aarau 36 11 14 11 47 47 48 -1 40.35 +6.65
6 Luzern 36 10 14 12 44 40 49 -9 39.00 +5.00
7 Sion 36 11 10 15 43 48 51 -3 48.18 -5.18
8 Neuchatel Xamax 36 10 11 15 41 48 55 -7 46.47 -5.47
9 St. Gallen 36 9 7 20 34 39 69 -30 38.94 -4.94
10 Thun 36 6 9 21 27 30 70 -40 36.51 -9.51
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Bellinzona 2 2 0 0 6 5 2 +3 — —
2 St. Gallen 2 0 0 2 0 2 5 -3 — —

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Young Boys 70 60.23 +9.77
2 Aarau 47 40.35 +6.65
3 Grasshopper 54 47.68 +6.32
4 Luzern 44 39.00 +5.00
5 Basel 74 69.58 +4.42

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Zurich 56 67.18 -11.18
2 Thun 27 36.51 -9.51
3 Neuchatel Xamax 41 46.47 -5.47
4 Sion 43 48.18 -5.18
5 St. Gallen 34 38.94 -4.94

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Luzern 4 Feb 3 – Feb 24 1 in 271
2 St. Gallen 4 Feb 9 – Mar 1 1 in 163
3 Young Boys 7 Feb 24 – Mar 30 1 in 76
4 Aarau 2 Nov 11 – Dec 2 1 in 22
5 Grasshopper 2 Dec 9 – Feb 2 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Neuchatel Xamax 4 Feb 23 – Mar 15 1 in 118
2 St. Gallen 5 Jul 18 – Aug 10 1 in 73
3 Zurich 2 Dec 2 – Dec 9 1 in 40
4 Grasshopper 4 Aug 26 – Sep 26 1 in 39
5 Aarau 4 Feb 10 – Mar 1 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aarau 7 Oct 27 – Feb 3 1 in 42
2 Luzern 5 Mar 29 – Apr 24 1 in 39
3 Zurich 15 Jul 26 – Nov 11 1 in 32
4 Grasshopper 7 Mar 29 – May 3 1 in 15
5 Basel 11 Aug 25 – Dec 2 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Neuchatel Xamax 8 Sep 23 – Nov 11 1 in 46
2 Sion 6 Dec 1 – Feb 24 1 in 27
3 Luzern 9 Sep 26 – Dec 8 1 in 17
4 Basel 3 Mar 29 – Apr 13 1 in 12
5 St. Gallen 9 Sep 30 – Feb 3 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Basel 1878 74 +21 11 10.0 +1.0
Young Boys 1809 70 -22 6 8.9 -2.9
Zurich 1781 56 -9 8 8.4 -0.4
Grasshopper 1746 54 +17 10 7.4 +2.6
Aarau 1654 47 -10 5 5.2 -0.2
Luzern 1627 44 +3 6 5.7 +0.3
Sion 1688 43 +6 7 6.6 +0.4
Neuchatel Xamax 1673 41 +20 8 5.5 +2.5
St. Gallen 1582 34 -25 1 5.9 -4.9
Thun 1541 27 -26 2 4.2 -2.2
Bellinzona 1657 6 +16 6 3.0 +3.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AAR BAS GRA LUZ NX SIO SG THU YB ZUR
Aarau —
0-2-2
2.74
0-2-2
4.53
1-2-1
5.80
2-1-1
5.01
2-0-2
4.54
1-3-0
6.02
3-1-0
5.68
0-1-3
3.72
2-2-0
3.01
Basel
2-2-0
8.40
—
2-1-1
7.51
3-0-1
8.61
2-1-1
7.81
1-2-1
7.61
4-0-0
8.23
4-0-0
8.76
2-0-2
6.80
2-2-0
5.80
Grasshopper
2-2-0
6.39
1-1-2
3.51
—
1-3-0
6.65
2-0-2
5.76
3-0-1
5.29
2-0-2
6.30
3-0-1
6.86
0-2-2
4.53
1-1-2
3.73
Luzern
1-2-1
5.06
1-0-3
2.57
0-3-1
4.27
—
1-2-1
4.52
0-4-0
4.36
2-1-1
5.36
3-0-1
5.61
1-1-2
3.38
1-1-2
2.90
Neuchatel Xamax
1-1-2
5.92
1-1-2
3.26
2-0-2
5.11
1-2-1
6.42
—
0-2-2
5.23
1-2-1
6.18
0-2-2
6.56
3-0-1
4.17
1-1-2
3.58
Sion
2-0-2
6.38
1-2-1
3.39
1-0-3
5.62
0-4-0
6.56
2-2-0
5.65
—
2-0-2
6.54
3-1-0
6.79
0-0-4
4.35
0-1-3
3.98
St. Gallen
0-3-1
4.91
0-0-4
2.89
2-0-2
4.61
1-1-2
5.53
1-2-1
4.72
2-0-2
4.38
—
1-1-2
5.73
1-0-3
3.33
1-0-3
2.75
Thun
0-1-3
5.22
0-0-4
2.44
1-0-3
4.07
1-0-3
5.30
2-2-0
4.35
0-1-3
4.16
2-1-1
5.15
—
0-2-2
3.23
0-2-2
2.80
Young Boys
3-1-0
7.26
2-0-2
4.12
2-2-0
6.36
2-1-1
7.66
1-0-3
6.80
4-0-0
6.58
3-0-1
7.68
2-2-0
7.83
—
2-1-1
4.57
Zurich
0-2-2
8.07
0-2-2
5.11
2-1-1
7.27
2-1-1
8.19
2-1-1
7.43
3-1-0
7.00
3-0-1
8.36
2-2-0
8.31
1-1-2
6.32
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.92 +9.0
Allowed 0.68 -12.1
Differential 0.96 +6.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.49%7.14%6.32%3.02%2.20%0.82%25.00%
17.14%14.29%6.87%3.57%1.37%1.10%34.34%
26.32%6.87%4.95%2.20%0.82%0.55%21.70%
33.02%3.57%2.20%2.75%—0.27%11.81%
42.20%1.37%0.82%———4.40%
5+0.82%1.10%0.55%0.27%——2.75%
Total25.00%34.34%21.70%11.81%4.40%2.75%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.45 +0.00
SD 1.29 1.29 1.93
CV 0.88 0.88 —
Max 7 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%2.78%8.33%5.56%2.78%—30.56%
15.56%16.67%8.33%—2.78%—33.33%
25.56%5.56%11.11%———22.22%
32.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
4———————
5+2.78%—2.78%———5.56%
Total27.78%27.78%33.33%5.56%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.33 -0.03
SD 1.31 1.12 1.84
CV 1.00 0.84 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.56%5.56%———11.11%
15.56%13.89%———2.78%22.22%
28.33%11.11%8.33%—2.78%—30.56%
313.89%5.56%5.56%———25.00%
45.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
5+———————
Total33.33%38.89%22.22%—2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.03 1.08 +0.94
SD 1.18 1.13 1.82
CV 0.58 1.04 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%5.56%—2.78%—19.44%
12.78%11.11%5.56%—2.78%—22.22%
225.00%8.33%2.78%5.56%——41.67%
3—2.78%—8.33%—2.78%13.89%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total33.33%30.56%13.89%13.89%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.36 +0.22
SD 1.05 1.38 1.71
CV 0.66 1.01 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%5.56%5.56%2.78%——27.78%
116.67%13.89%8.33%—2.78%2.78%44.44%
22.78%5.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%—19.44%
3———5.56%——5.56%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total36.11%25.00%19.44%11.11%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.36 -0.25
SD 0.98 1.46 1.57
CV 0.88 1.07 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%8.33%5.56%——22.22%
15.56%19.44%11.11%5.56%——41.67%
22.78%5.56%5.56%5.56%——19.44%
3—11.11%—2.78%——13.89%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total11.11%44.44%25.00%19.44%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.53 -0.19
SD 1.07 0.94 1.49
CV 0.80 0.62 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%11.11%——2.78%27.78%
18.33%16.67%11.11%2.78%2.78%—41.67%
22.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%——13.89%
32.78%2.78%—2.78%——8.33%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total22.22%36.11%27.78%8.33%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.42 -0.08
SD 1.35 1.18 1.92
CV 1.01 0.83 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%10.53%7.89%7.89%2.63%—34.21%
15.26%10.53%7.89%7.89%2.63%2.63%36.84%
22.63%7.89%2.63%5.26%—2.63%21.05%
32.63%—2.63%———5.26%
4———————
5+———2.63%——2.63%
Total15.79%28.95%21.05%23.68%5.26%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.95 -0.87
SD 1.10 1.52 1.80
CV 1.02 0.78 —
Max 5 7 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%8.33%5.56%41.67%
15.56%16.67%8.33%8.33%——38.89%
22.78%5.56%2.78%—2.78%2.78%16.67%
3———————
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total16.67%33.33%16.67%13.89%11.11%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.94 -1.11
SD 0.91 1.55 1.97
CV 1.09 0.80 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%5.56%—2.78%—16.67%
12.78%5.56%—8.33%—2.78%19.44%
28.33%8.33%2.78%———19.44%
38.33%5.56%5.56%5.56%——25.00%
45.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
5+—5.56%2.78%———8.33%
Total30.56%30.56%19.44%13.89%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.28 1.36 +0.92
SD 1.72 1.29 2.31
CV 0.75 0.95 —
Max 7 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%—2.78%2.78%—19.44%
113.89%19.44%8.33%2.78%——44.44%
2—5.56%5.56%———11.11%
3—5.56%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
42.78%5.56%————8.33%
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total22.22%50.00%16.67%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.19 +0.42
SD 1.44 0.98 1.86
CV 0.89 0.82 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Basel 1878 74 69.58 +4.42 75.0% 53 60 64 69 74 80 86
Young Boys 1809 70 60.23 +9.77 93.0% 42 46 55 61 66 72 77
Zurich 1781 56 67.18 -11.18 6.0% 48 54 63 67 71 77 81
Grasshopper 1746 54 47.68 +6.32 79.0% 33 37 42 47 52 59 71
Sion 1688 43 48.18 -5.18 25.0% 35 37 43 48 52 58 63
Neuchatel Xamax 1673 41 46.47 -5.47 25.0% 26 35 41 47 51 57 65
Aarau 1654 47 40.35 +6.65 81.0% 22 28 36 41 44 52 57
Luzern 1627 44 39.00 +5.00 75.0% 25 29 34 39 44 49 53
St. Gallen 1582 34 38.94 -4.94 27.0% 17 25 34 39 45 50 62
Thun 1541 27 36.51 -9.51 7.0% 21 25 32 36 40 48 57

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 15% * Slight Edge: 15% to 22.5% * Clear Edge: 22.5% to 26.5% * Strong Edge: 26.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+24.18%
Clear Edge
48.35%27.47%24.18%
Elo Value
Home Edge
182 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
085.69500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.51 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.47+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.2
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
53%
Basel, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.11/gm
Tight Race
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.59 * Some Luck: 5.59 to 8.38 * Lucky: 8.38 to 11.18 * Wild Swing: 11.18 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.02 * Close: 1.02 to 1.53 * Off: 1.53 to 2.04 * Way Off: 2.04 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.20 points
Some Luck
06.9817
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.20
Close
01.273
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
93.00%
Young Boys
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
6.00%
Zurich
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 76% * Wide Edge: 76% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 94.5% * Dominant: 94.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51% * Some Drama: 51% to 55.5% * Frequent: 55.5% to 59.5% * Very Frequent: 59.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18% * Occasional: 18% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 27% * Very Frequent: 27% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Top-Heavy
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 103.44
1.91
Strong Separation
11.651.852.052.75
Interquartile Edge
69%
Slight Edge
50%63%71%76%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
87%
Clear Edge
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
60%
Very Frequent
0%56%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Occasional
0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21% * As Expected: 21% to 23.5% * Upset-Prone: 23.5% to 26% * Very Upset-Prone: 26% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17.5% * As Expected: 17.5% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 22.5% * Very Shaky: 22.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.39
Slight Separation
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.09
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.55
Some Carryover
00.420.631
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Shaky Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.21
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.79
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.061
Well Within Noise
00.1220.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Basel53.00%29.00%17.00%1.00%——————
Young Boys7.00%31.00%39.00%8.00%6.00%8.00%—1.00%——
Zurich40.00%34.00%22.00%2.00%2.00%—————
Grasshopper—3.00%8.00%23.00%14.00%21.00%17.00%7.00%6.00%1.00%
Aarau——2.00%9.00%6.00%11.00%19.00%20.00%16.00%17.00%
Luzern——1.00%3.00%10.00%11.00%15.00%17.00%26.00%17.00%
Sion—1.00%5.00%28.00%23.00%18.00%13.00%9.00%2.00%1.00%
Neuchatel Xamax—1.00%4.00%19.00%26.00%19.00%11.00%8.00%10.00%2.00%
St. Gallen—1.00%1.00%5.00%7.00%9.00%16.00%18.00%20.00%23.00%
Thun——1.00%2.00%6.00%3.00%9.00%20.00%20.00%39.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff Direct relegation
Basel 100% — —
Young Boys 100% — —
Zurich 100% — —
Sion 97.00% 2.00% 1.00%
Grasshopper 93.00% 6.00% 1.00%
Neuchatel Xamax 88.00% 10.00% 2.00%
Aarau 67.00% 16.00% 17.00%
Luzern 57.00% 26.00% 17.00%
Thun 41.00% 20.00% 39.00%
St. Gallen — 100% —

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team Won relegation playoff Lost relegation playoff
St. Gallen 44.44% 55.56%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2007-07-18 St. Gallen W 2-053.2 1690 1678 49.07% 27.60% 23.33%+0.54 +8.4 3
2007-07-18 @ Grasshopper L 0-253.2 1678 1690 23.33% 27.60% 49.07%-0.54 -8.4 0
2007-07-21 Neuchatel Xamax D 1-169.2 1609 1697 35.13% 29.46% 35.41%-0.01 +0.0 1
2007-07-21 @ Luzern D 1-169.2 1697 1609 35.41% 29.46% 35.13%+0.01 -0.0 1
2007-07-22 Young Boys D 1-169.6 1613 1722 32.26% 29.37% 38.37%-0.12 +0.2 1
2007-07-22 @ Aarau D 1-169.6 1722 1613 38.37% 29.37% 32.26%+0.12 -0.2 1
2007-07-22 Zurich W 1-056.8 1826 1796 51.20% 26.97% 21.83%+0.63 +4.2 3
2007-07-22 @ Basel L 0-156.8 1796 1826 21.83% 26.97% 51.20%-0.63 -4.2 0
2007-07-25 Aarau W 3-047.2 1727 1613 61.58% 22.76% 15.66%+1.10 +8.1 3
2007-07-25 @ Sion L 0-347.2 1613 1727 15.66% 22.76% 61.58%-1.10 -8.1 1
2007-07-25 Basel L 0-353.0 1669 1830 25.96% 28.42% 45.62%-0.41 -13.4 0
2007-07-25 @ St. Gallen W 3-053.0 1830 1669 45.62% 28.42% 25.96%+0.41 +13.3 6
2007-07-25 Grasshopper W 3-267.0 1721 1699 50.33% 27.24% 22.44%+0.59 +3.8 4
2007-07-25 @ Young Boys L 2-367.0 1699 1721 22.44% 27.24% 50.33%-0.59 -3.8 3
2007-07-26 Luzern W 4-150.7 1792 1609 69.19% 18.75% 12.06%+1.47 +5.0 3
2007-07-26 @ Zurich L 1-450.7 1609 1792 12.06% 18.75% 69.19%-1.47 -5.0 1
2007-07-26 Thun D 1-170.7 1697 1639 54.82% 25.71% 19.47%+0.79 -1.2 2
2007-07-26 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 1-170.7 1639 1697 19.47% 25.71% 54.82%-0.79 +1.3 1
2007-07-28 Aarau D 1-174.5 1843 1605 74.62% 15.63% 9.76%+1.77 -2.3 7
2007-07-28 @ Basel D 1-174.5 1605 1843 9.76% 15.63% 74.62%-1.77 +2.3 2
2007-07-28 Sion L 0-162.9 1695 1735 41.84% 29.05% 29.11%+0.25 -7.0 3
2007-07-28 @ Grasshopper W 1-062.9 1735 1695 29.11% 29.05% 41.84%-0.25 +7.0 6
2007-07-29 Young Boys D 2-275.3 1604 1725 30.60% 29.23% 40.17%-0.19 +0.2 2
2007-07-29 @ Luzern D 2-275.3 1725 1604 40.17% 29.23% 30.60%+0.19 -0.2 5
2007-07-29 Zurich D 1-170.6 1695 1797 33.16% 29.42% 37.42%-0.09 +0.1 3
2007-07-29 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 1-170.6 1797 1695 37.42% 29.42% 33.16%+0.09 -0.1 4
2007-07-31 St. Gallen W 1-056.8 1640 1656 45.25% 28.49% 26.26%+0.38 +4.9 4
2007-07-31 @ Thun L 0-156.8 1656 1640 26.26% 28.49% 45.25%-0.38 -4.9 0
2007-08-04 Luzern L 1-269.0 1651 1604 53.43% 26.22% 20.35%+0.73 -7.9 0
2007-08-04 @ St. Gallen W 2-169.0 1604 1651 20.35% 26.22% 53.43%-0.73 +7.9 5
2007-08-04 Neuchatel Xamax D 1-171.3 1742 1696 53.45% 26.21% 20.33%+0.73 -1.2 7
2007-08-04 @ Sion D 1-171.3 1696 1742 20.33% 26.21% 53.45%-0.73 +1.2 4
2007-08-04 Thun W 3-154.4 1797 1645 65.85% 20.58% 13.57%+1.30 +4.1 7
2007-08-04 @ Zurich L 1-354.4 1645 1797 13.57% 20.58% 65.85%-1.30 -4.1 4
2007-08-05 Basel W 5-161.2 1725 1841 31.27% 29.30% 39.43%-0.17 +19.9 8
2007-08-05 @ Young Boys L 1-561.2 1841 1725 39.43% 29.30% 31.27%+0.17 -19.9 7
2007-08-05 Grasshopper D 2-274.8 1608 1688 36.16% 29.46% 34.38%+0.03 -0.0 3
2007-08-05 @ Aarau D 2-274.8 1688 1608 34.38% 29.46% 36.16%-0.03 +0.0 4
2007-08-07 Sion L 0-160.1 1641 1741 33.36% 29.43% 37.21%-0.08 -5.9 4
2007-08-07 @ Thun W 1-060.1 1741 1641 37.21% 29.43% 33.36%+0.08 +5.9 10
2007-08-10 St. Gallen W 3-154.2 1801 1643 66.52% 20.22% 13.26%+1.34 +4.0 10
2007-08-10 @ Zurich L 1-354.2 1643 1801 13.26% 20.22% 66.52%-1.34 -4.0 0
2007-08-11 Sion W 3-265.6 1821 1747 56.78% 24.93% 18.29%+0.87 +3.1 10
2007-08-11 @ Basel L 2-365.6 1747 1821 18.29% 24.93% 56.78%-0.87 -3.1 10
2007-08-11 Young Boys W 3-161.9 1697 1745 40.77% 29.17% 30.06%+0.21 +9.0 7
2007-08-11 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 1-361.9 1745 1697 30.06% 29.17% 40.77%-0.21 -8.9 8
2007-08-12 Aarau L 2-565.8 1635 1608 51.00% 27.03% 21.97%+0.62 -16.2 4
2007-08-12 @ Thun W 5-265.8 1608 1635 21.97% 27.03% 51.00%-0.62 +16.2 6
2007-08-12 Grasshopper D 3-379.0 1612 1688 36.83% 29.44% 33.73%+0.05 -0.1 6
2007-08-12 @ Luzern D 3-379.0 1688 1612 33.73% 29.44% 36.83%-0.05 +0.1 5
2007-08-18 Luzern D 0-064.4 1624 1612 48.91% 27.64% 23.45%+0.53 -1.0 7
2007-08-18 @ Aarau D 0-064.4 1612 1624 23.45% 27.64% 48.91%-0.53 +1.0 7
2007-08-18 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-164.9 1639 1706 38.14% 29.38% 32.47%+0.10 +5.5 3
2007-08-18 @ St. Gallen L 1-264.9 1706 1639 32.47% 29.38% 38.14%-0.10 -5.5 7
2007-08-19 Basel W 2-060.1 1688 1824 28.77% 28.99% 42.24%-0.27 +13.3 8
2007-08-19 @ Grasshopper L 0-260.1 1824 1688 42.24% 28.99% 28.77%+0.27 -13.3 10
2007-08-19 Thun D 0-067.5 1736 1619 61.92% 22.60% 15.48%+1.11 -1.9 9
2007-08-19 @ Young Boys D 0-067.5 1619 1736 15.48% 22.60% 61.92%-1.11 +1.9 5
2007-08-19 Zurich L 0-557.4 1744 1805 38.94% 29.33% 31.72%+0.14 -29.2 10
2007-08-19 @ Sion W 5-057.4 1805 1744 31.72% 29.33% 38.94%-0.14 +29.2 13
2007-08-25 Aarau W 2-158.9 1700 1623 57.24% 24.74% 18.02%+0.89 +3.2 10
2007-08-25 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 1-258.9 1623 1700 18.02% 24.74% 57.24%-0.89 -3.3 7
2007-08-25 Basel L 2-463.0 1613 1811 22.28% 27.17% 50.55%-0.61 -6.2 7
2007-08-25 @ Luzern W 4-263.0 1811 1613 50.55% 27.17% 22.28%+0.61 +6.2 13
2007-08-25 Young Boys W 5-152.6 1834 1734 59.97% 23.52% 16.50%+1.02 +9.3 16
2007-08-25 @ Zurich L 1-552.6 1734 1834 16.50% 23.52% 59.97%-1.02 -9.3 9
2007-08-26 Grasshopper W 1-059.9 1621 1701 36.14% 29.46% 34.41%+0.03 +6.1 8
2007-08-26 @ Thun L 0-159.9 1701 1621 34.41% 29.46% 36.14%-0.03 -6.1 8
2007-08-26 Sion W 1-059.8 1645 1715 37.62% 29.41% 32.97%+0.08 +5.9 6
2007-08-26 @ St. Gallen L 0-159.8 1715 1645 32.97% 29.41% 37.62%-0.08 -5.9 10
2007-09-01 Neuchatel Xamax L 1-269.1 1695 1704 46.27% 28.28% 25.45%+0.43 -7.1 8
2007-09-01 @ Grasshopper W 2-169.1 1704 1695 25.45% 28.28% 46.27%-0.43 +7.1 13
2007-09-01 Zurich D 1-171.5 1620 1844 20.02% 26.04% 53.94%-0.76 +1.2 8
2007-09-01 @ Aarau D 1-171.5 1844 1620 53.94% 26.04% 20.02%+0.76 -1.2 17
2007-09-02 St. Gallen W 3-156.7 1725 1650 56.85% 24.90% 18.25%+0.88 +5.7 12
2007-09-02 @ Young Boys L 1-356.7 1650 1725 18.25% 24.90% 56.85%-0.88 -5.7 6
2007-09-02 Thun W 2-156.0 1817 1627 69.91% 18.35% 11.74%+1.51 +2.0 16
2007-09-02 @ Basel L 1-256.0 1627 1817 11.74% 18.35% 69.91%-1.51 -2.0 8
2007-09-03 Sion D 1-169.4 1607 1709 33.12% 29.42% 37.47%-0.09 +0.1 8
2007-09-03 @ Luzern D 1-169.4 1709 1607 37.47% 29.42% 33.12%+0.09 -0.1 11
2007-09-22 Aarau D 1-169.3 1645 1621 50.53% 27.18% 22.29%+0.60 -1.0 7
2007-09-22 @ St. Gallen D 1-169.3 1621 1645 22.29% 27.18% 50.53%-0.60 +1.0 9
2007-09-22 Luzern L 0-162.5 1625 1607 49.72% 27.42% 22.87%+0.57 -8.0 8
2007-09-22 @ Thun W 1-062.5 1607 1625 22.87% 27.42% 49.72%-0.57 +8.0 11
2007-09-23 Basel L 0-355.3 1711 1819 32.27% 29.37% 38.36%-0.12 -15.8 13
2007-09-23 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 3-055.3 1819 1711 38.36% 29.37% 32.27%+0.12 +15.8 19
2007-09-23 Grasshopper W 4-046.6 1842 1688 66.09% 20.45% 13.45%+1.32 +8.8 20
2007-09-23 @ Zurich L 0-446.6 1688 1842 13.45% 20.45% 66.09%-1.32 -8.8 8
2007-09-23 Young Boys L 1-268.9 1709 1730 44.46% 28.64% 26.90%+0.35 -6.9 11
2007-09-23 @ Sion W 2-168.9 1730 1709 26.90% 28.64% 44.46%-0.35 +6.9 15
2007-09-26 Aarau W 4-152.6 1737 1622 61.75% 22.68% 15.57%+1.10 +6.8 18
2007-09-26 @ Young Boys L 1-452.6 1622 1737 15.57% 22.68% 61.75%-1.10 -6.8 9
2007-09-26 Basel D 2-277.2 1851 1835 49.56% 27.46% 22.98%+0.56 -0.7 21
2007-09-26 @ Zurich D 2-277.2 1835 1851 22.98% 27.46% 49.56%-0.56 +0.7 20
2007-09-26 Grasshopper W 5-366.4 1644 1679 42.50% 28.96% 28.54%+0.27 +7.3 10
2007-09-26 @ St. Gallen L 3-566.4 1679 1644 28.54% 28.96% 42.50%-0.27 -7.3 8
2007-09-26 Luzern D 3-380.5 1695 1615 57.52% 24.62% 17.87%+0.91 -0.9 14
2007-09-26 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 3-380.5 1615 1695 17.87% 24.62% 57.52%-0.91 +0.9 12
2007-09-27 Thun W 2-158.6 1702 1617 58.16% 24.34% 17.50%+0.94 +3.1 14
2007-09-27 @ Sion L 1-258.6 1617 1702 17.50% 24.34% 58.16%-0.94 -3.2 8
2007-09-29 Young Boys D 3-380.0 1672 1744 37.39% 29.42% 33.19%+0.08 -0.1 9
2007-09-29 @ Grasshopper D 3-380.0 1744 1672 33.19% 29.42% 37.39%-0.08 +0.1 19
2007-09-29 Zurich D 2-277.3 1616 1851 19.20% 25.54% 55.25%-0.82 +1.0 13
2007-09-29 @ Luzern D 2-277.3 1851 1616 55.25% 25.54% 19.20%+0.82 -1.0 22
2007-09-30 Neuchatel Xamax D 1-169.2 1614 1694 36.21% 29.46% 34.34%+0.03 -0.1 9
2007-09-30 @ Thun D 1-169.2 1694 1614 34.34% 29.46% 36.21%-0.03 +0.1 15
2007-09-30 Sion W 2-057.0 1615 1705 34.77% 29.46% 35.77%-0.02 +11.8 12
2007-09-30 @ Aarau L 0-257.0 1705 1615 35.77% 29.46% 34.77%+0.02 -11.7 14
2007-09-30 St. Gallen W 3-045.9 1835 1651 69.32% 18.68% 12.00%+1.48 +5.9 23
2007-09-30 @ Basel L 0-345.9 1651 1835 12.00% 18.68% 69.32%-1.48 -5.9 10
2007-10-06 Luzern W 6-150.0 1744 1617 63.09% 22.01% 14.90%+1.17 +10.2 22
2007-10-06 @ Young Boys L 1-650.0 1617 1744 14.90% 22.01% 63.09%-1.17 -10.2 13
2007-10-06 Thun L 0-457.8 1645 1614 51.50% 26.88% 21.63%+0.64 -29.3 10
2007-10-06 @ St. Gallen W 4-057.8 1614 1645 21.63% 26.88% 51.50%-0.64 +29.3 12
2007-10-07 Basel L 0-350.8 1627 1841 20.80% 26.46% 52.74%-0.71 -10.9 12
2007-10-07 @ Aarau W 3-050.8 1841 1627 52.74% 26.46% 20.80%+0.71 +10.9 26
2007-10-07 Grasshopper L 0-164.4 1693 1672 50.18% 27.28% 22.54%+0.59 -8.0 14
2007-10-07 @ Sion W 1-064.4 1672 1693 22.54% 27.28% 50.18%-0.59 +8.0 12
2007-10-07 Neuchatel Xamax W 1-052.1 1850 1694 66.26% 20.36% 13.38%+1.32 +2.5 25
2007-10-07 @ Zurich L 0-152.1 1694 1850 13.38% 20.36% 66.26%-1.32 -2.5 15
2007-10-27 Aarau D 1-170.3 1680 1616 55.64% 25.39% 18.97%+0.82 -1.3 13
2007-10-27 @ Grasshopper D 1-170.3 1616 1680 18.97% 25.39% 55.64%-0.82 +1.3 13
2007-10-27 Sion L 1-366.5 1692 1685 48.19% 27.83% 23.98%+0.50 -12.7 15
2007-10-27 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 3-166.5 1685 1692 23.98% 27.83% 48.19%-0.50 +12.7 17
2007-10-27 St. Gallen D 1-168.2 1607 1616 46.14% 28.31% 25.55%+0.42 -0.7 14
2007-10-27 @ Luzern D 1-168.2 1616 1607 25.55% 28.31% 46.14%-0.42 +0.7 11
2007-10-28 Young Boys W 4-048.6 1852 1754 59.69% 23.65% 16.65%+1.01 +11.3 29
2007-10-28 @ Basel L 0-448.6 1754 1852 16.65% 23.65% 59.69%-1.01 -11.3 22
2007-10-28 Zurich D 1-171.4 1643 1852 21.26% 26.70% 52.04%-0.68 +1.1 13
2007-10-28 @ Thun D 1-171.4 1852 1643 52.04% 26.70% 21.26%+0.68 -1.1 26
2007-10-31 Basel D 1-171.1 1698 1864 25.41% 28.27% 46.31%-0.44 +0.7 18
2007-10-31 @ Sion D 1-171.1 1864 1698 46.31% 28.27% 25.41%+0.44 -0.7 30
2007-10-31 Luzern D 1-170.3 1679 1606 56.67% 24.97% 18.35%+0.87 -1.4 14
2007-10-31 @ Grasshopper D 1-170.3 1606 1679 18.35% 24.97% 56.67%-0.87 +1.4 15
2007-10-31 Zurich L 2-365.8 1617 1851 19.22% 25.55% 55.23%-0.82 -3.3 11
2007-10-31 @ St. Gallen W 3-265.8 1851 1617 55.23% 25.55% 19.22%+0.82 +3.3 29
2007-11-01 Neuchatel Xamax W 3-265.4 1743 1679 55.62% 25.40% 18.98%+0.82 +3.3 25
2007-11-01 @ Young Boys L 2-365.4 1679 1743 18.98% 25.40% 55.62%-0.82 -3.3 15
2007-11-01 Thun W 5-051.7 1617 1644 43.70% 28.77% 27.52%+0.32 +22.6 16
2007-11-01 @ Aarau L 0-551.7 1644 1617 27.52% 28.77% 43.70%-0.32 -22.6 13
2007-11-03 Grasshopper W 2-048.0 1863 1677 69.43% 18.62% 11.95%+1.49 +4.0 33
2007-11-03 @ Basel L 0-248.0 1677 1863 11.95% 18.62% 69.43%-1.49 -4.0 14
2007-11-03 Sion W 4-152.2 1854 1699 66.24% 20.37% 13.39%+1.32 +5.7 32
2007-11-03 @ Zurich L 1-452.2 1699 1854 13.39% 20.37% 66.24%-1.32 -5.7 18
2007-11-04 Aarau D 0-064.2 1607 1640 42.98% 28.89% 28.13%+0.29 -0.6 16
2007-11-04 @ Luzern D 0-064.2 1640 1607 28.13% 28.89% 42.98%-0.29 +0.5 17
2007-11-04 St. Gallen D 1-170.2 1676 1613 55.38% 25.49% 19.13%+0.81 -1.3 16
2007-11-04 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 1-170.2 1613 1676 19.13% 25.49% 55.38%-0.81 +1.3 12
2007-11-04 Young Boys D 0-065.6 1622 1746 30.13% 29.18% 40.69%-0.21 +0.4 14
2007-11-04 @ Thun D 0-065.6 1746 1622 40.69% 29.18% 30.13%+0.21 -0.4 26
2007-11-10 St. Gallen W 5-151.8 1693 1615 57.37% 24.68% 17.95%+0.90 +10.2 21
2007-11-10 @ Sion L 1-551.8 1615 1693 17.95% 24.68% 57.37%-0.90 -10.2 12
2007-11-10 Thun W 2-159.5 1673 1622 54.05% 26.00% 19.96%+0.75 +3.6 17
2007-11-10 @ Grasshopper L 1-259.5 1622 1673 19.96% 26.00% 54.05%-0.75 -3.6 14
2007-11-11 Luzern W 3-259.4 1867 1607 76.65% 14.42% 8.93%+1.90 +1.3 36
2007-11-11 @ Basel L 2-359.4 1607 1867 8.93% 14.42% 76.65%-1.90 -1.3 16
2007-11-11 Neuchatel Xamax W 3-268.4 1640 1674 42.73% 28.93% 28.35%+0.28 +4.7 20
2007-11-11 @ Aarau L 2-368.4 1674 1640 28.35% 28.93% 42.73%-0.28 -4.7 16
2007-11-11 Zurich D 1-170.9 1746 1860 31.50% 29.32% 39.19%-0.16 +0.2 27
2007-11-11 @ Young Boys D 1-170.9 1860 1746 39.19% 29.32% 31.50%+0.16 -0.2 33
2007-12-01 Grasshopper W 4-157.1 1670 1677 46.37% 28.26% 25.37%+0.43 +11.1 19
2007-12-01 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 1-457.1 1677 1670 25.37% 28.26% 46.37%-0.43 -11.0 17
2007-12-01 Luzern D 0-066.7 1703 1606 59.68% 23.66% 16.66%+1.01 -1.7 22
2007-12-01 @ Sion D 0-066.7 1606 1703 16.66% 23.66% 59.68%-1.01 +1.7 17
2007-12-01 Young Boys L 2-757.0 1604 1746 28.06% 28.87% 43.07%-0.31 -15.9 12
2007-12-01 @ St. Gallen W 7-257.0 1746 1604 43.07% 28.87% 28.06%+0.31 +15.9 30
2007-12-02 Aarau L 0-168.7 1860 1645 72.40% 16.92% 10.68%+1.65 -10.5 33
2007-12-02 @ Zurich W 1-068.7 1645 1860 10.68% 16.92% 72.40%-1.65 +10.5 23
2007-12-02 Basel L 0-251.5 1618 1868 18.09% 24.78% 57.13%-0.90 -6.5 14
2007-12-02 @ Thun W 2-051.5 1868 1618 57.13% 24.78% 18.09%+0.90 +6.5 39
2007-12-08 St. Gallen D 2-275.3 1655 1588 55.96% 25.26% 18.78%+0.84 -1.0 24
2007-12-08 @ Aarau D 2-275.3 1588 1655 18.78% 25.26% 55.96%-0.84 +1.0 13
2007-12-08 Thun L 1-266.9 1607 1612 46.77% 28.17% 25.06%+0.45 -7.2 17
2007-12-08 @ Luzern W 2-166.9 1612 1607 25.06% 28.17% 46.77%-0.45 +7.2 17
2007-12-09 Neuchatel Xamax L 0-168.6 1875 1681 70.32% 18.12% 11.56%+1.53 -10.3 39
2007-12-09 @ Basel W 1-068.6 1681 1875 11.56% 18.12% 70.32%-1.53 +10.3 22
2007-12-09 Sion W 1-055.2 1762 1702 55.15% 25.58% 19.27%+0.80 +3.7 33
2007-12-09 @ Young Boys L 0-155.2 1702 1762 19.27% 25.58% 55.15%-0.80 -3.7 22
2007-12-09 Zurich W 2-170.2 1666 1849 23.62% 27.70% 48.68%-0.53 +7.4 20
2007-12-09 @ Grasshopper L 1-270.2 1849 1666 48.68% 27.70% 23.62%+0.53 -7.4 33
2008-02-02 Grasshopper L 0-261.3 1698 1673 50.60% 27.16% 22.24%+0.60 -15.2 22
2008-02-02 @ Sion W 2-061.3 1673 1698 22.24% 27.16% 50.60%-0.60 +15.2 23
2008-02-02 Thun W 1-049.8 1842 1619 73.20% 16.46% 10.35%+1.69 +1.8 36
2008-02-02 @ Zurich L 0-149.8 1619 1842 10.35% 16.46% 73.20%-1.69 -1.8 17
2008-02-03 Basel W 2-058.9 1766 1864 33.56% 29.44% 37.00%-0.07 +12.0 36
2008-02-03 @ Young Boys L 0-258.9 1864 1766 37.00% 29.44% 33.56%+0.07 -12.0 39
2008-02-03 Luzern L 0-165.2 1691 1600 58.85% 24.03% 17.11%+0.97 -9.1 22
2008-02-03 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 1-065.2 1600 1691 17.11% 24.03% 58.85%-0.97 +9.1 20
2008-02-03 St. Gallen W 3-155.4 1654 1589 55.72% 25.36% 18.92%+0.83 +5.9 27
2008-02-03 @ Aarau L 1-355.4 1589 1654 18.92% 25.36% 55.72%-0.83 -5.9 13
2008-02-09 Neuchatel Xamax W 3-046.4 1852 1682 67.86% 19.49% 12.65%+1.40 +6.3 42
2008-02-09 @ Basel L 0-346.4 1682 1852 12.65% 19.49% 67.86%-1.40 -6.3 22
2008-02-09 Zurich W 1-066.4 1584 1844 17.39% 24.25% 58.36%-0.96 +9.0 16
2008-02-09 @ St. Gallen L 0-166.4 1844 1584 58.36% 24.25% 17.39%+0.96 -9.0 36
2008-02-10 Aarau W 2-054.7 1609 1660 40.34% 29.22% 30.45%+0.19 +10.4 23
2008-02-10 @ Luzern L 0-254.7 1660 1609 30.45% 29.22% 40.34%-0.19 -10.4 27
2008-02-10 Sion D 2-274.9 1617 1683 38.29% 29.38% 32.33%+0.11 -0.1 18
2008-02-10 @ Thun D 2-274.9 1683 1617 32.33% 29.38% 38.29%-0.11 +0.1 23
2008-02-10 Young Boys D 3-380.3 1689 1778 34.92% 29.46% 35.62%-0.02 +0.0 24
2008-02-10 @ Grasshopper D 3-380.3 1778 1689 35.62% 29.46% 34.92%+0.02 -0.0 37
2008-02-16 Luzern L 0-162.0 1617 1620 47.02% 28.11% 24.87%+0.46 -7.6 18
2008-02-16 @ Thun W 1-062.0 1620 1617 24.87% 28.11% 47.02%-0.46 +7.6 26
2008-02-16 St. Gallen L 1-270.3 1683 1593 58.79% 24.06% 17.15%+0.97 -8.5 23
2008-02-16 @ Sion W 2-170.3 1593 1683 17.15% 24.06% 58.79%-0.97 +8.5 19
2008-02-17 Basel D 1-171.2 1835 1859 44.11% 28.70% 27.19%+0.34 -0.6 37
2008-02-17 @ Zurich D 1-171.2 1859 1835 27.19% 28.70% 44.11%-0.34 +0.6 43
2008-02-17 Grasshopper L 1-267.6 1650 1689 42.08% 29.02% 28.91%+0.26 -6.6 27
2008-02-17 @ Aarau W 2-167.6 1689 1650 28.91% 29.02% 42.08%-0.26 +6.6 27
2008-02-17 Young Boys W 3-164.3 1676 1778 33.10% 29.42% 37.48%-0.09 +10.5 25
2008-02-17 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 1-364.3 1778 1676 37.48% 29.42% 33.10%+0.09 -10.5 37
2008-02-23 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-053.5 1695 1686 48.58% 27.73% 23.69%+0.52 +8.5 30
2008-02-23 @ Grasshopper L 0-253.5 1686 1695 23.69% 27.73% 48.58%-0.52 -8.5 25
2008-02-23 Thun W 3-049.9 1601 1609 46.25% 28.29% 25.46%+0.42 +13.1 22
2008-02-23 @ St. Gallen L 0-349.9 1609 1601 25.46% 28.29% 46.25%-0.42 -13.1 18
2008-02-24 Aarau W 2-155.5 1859 1643 72.52% 16.85% 10.63%+1.65 +1.7 46
2008-02-24 @ Basel L 1-255.5 1643 1859 10.63% 16.85% 72.52%-1.65 -1.7 27
2008-02-24 Sion W 3-156.4 1767 1674 59.10% 23.92% 16.98%+0.98 +5.3 40
2008-02-24 @ Young Boys L 1-356.4 1674 1767 16.98% 23.92% 59.10%-0.98 -5.3 23
2008-02-24 Zurich W 2-170.7 1627 1834 21.46% 26.80% 51.74%-0.66 +7.7 29
2008-02-24 @ Luzern L 1-270.7 1834 1627 51.74% 26.80% 21.46%+0.66 -7.8 37
2008-03-01 Luzern W 2-161.7 1614 1635 44.55% 28.63% 26.82%+0.36 +4.7 25
2008-03-01 @ St. Gallen L 1-261.7 1635 1614 26.82% 28.63% 44.55%-0.36 -4.7 29
2008-03-01 Young Boys L 0-255.8 1642 1772 29.36% 29.08% 41.56%-0.25 -10.1 27
2008-03-01 @ Aarau W 2-055.8 1772 1642 41.56% 29.08% 29.36%+0.25 +10.2 43
2008-03-02 Basel L 1-356.5 1596 1861 17.08% 24.00% 58.92%-0.98 -5.3 18
2008-03-02 @ Thun W 3-156.5 1861 1596 58.92% 24.00% 17.08%+0.98 +5.3 49
2008-03-02 Grasshopper W 1-053.2 1826 1704 62.56% 22.28% 15.16%+1.14 +2.8 40
2008-03-02 @ Zurich L 0-153.2 1704 1826 15.16% 22.28% 62.56%-1.14 -2.8 30
2008-03-02 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-053.9 1669 1678 46.21% 28.29% 25.49%+0.42 +9.1 26
2008-03-02 @ Sion L 0-253.9 1678 1669 25.49% 28.29% 46.21%-0.42 -9.1 25
2008-03-08 Sion D 1-169.3 1630 1678 40.81% 29.17% 30.02%+0.21 -0.4 30
2008-03-08 @ Luzern D 1-169.3 1678 1630 30.02% 29.17% 40.81%-0.21 +0.4 27
2008-03-08 Thun W 4-046.4 1701 1591 61.11% 22.99% 15.90%+1.07 +10.8 33
2008-03-08 @ Grasshopper L 0-446.4 1591 1701 15.90% 22.99% 61.11%-1.07 -10.8 18
2008-03-09 Aarau L 1-269.5 1669 1631 52.23% 26.64% 21.14%+0.67 -7.8 25
2008-03-09 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 2-169.5 1631 1669 21.14% 26.64% 52.23%-0.67 +7.8 30
2008-03-09 St. Gallen W 2-154.5 1866 1619 75.50% 15.10% 9.39%+1.83 +1.5 52
2008-03-09 @ Basel L 1-254.5 1619 1866 9.39% 15.10% 75.50%-1.83 -1.5 25
2008-03-09 Zurich W 3-054.7 1783 1829 40.99% 29.15% 29.86%+0.21 +14.9 46
2008-03-09 @ Young Boys L 0-354.7 1829 1783 29.86% 29.15% 40.99%-0.21 -14.9 40
2008-03-14 St. Gallen W 3-045.6 1798 1617 68.87% 18.93% 12.20%+1.46 +6.0 49
2008-03-14 @ Young Boys L 0-345.6 1617 1798 12.20% 18.93% 68.87%-1.46 -6.0 25
2008-03-15 Luzern W 2-050.4 1712 1630 57.76% 24.51% 17.73%+0.92 +6.4 36
2008-03-15 @ Grasshopper L 0-250.4 1630 1712 17.73% 24.51% 57.76%-0.92 -6.4 30
2008-03-15 Thun L 0-261.0 1661 1580 57.63% 24.57% 17.80%+0.91 -16.8 25
2008-03-15 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 2-061.0 1580 1661 17.80% 24.57% 57.63%-0.91 +16.8 21
2008-03-16 Basel W 4-271.7 1678 1868 23.03% 27.48% 49.48%-0.57 +11.6 30
2008-03-16 @ Sion L 2-471.7 1868 1678 49.48% 27.48% 23.03%+0.57 -11.6 52
2008-03-16 Zurich W 1-064.4 1639 1814 24.44% 27.98% 47.58%-0.49 +7.7 33
2008-03-16 @ Aarau L 0-164.4 1814 1639 47.58% 27.98% 24.44%+0.49 -7.7 40
2008-03-18 Neuchatel Xamax D 0-064.3 1611 1644 42.95% 28.89% 28.16%+0.29 -0.5 26
2008-03-18 @ St. Gallen D 0-064.3 1644 1611 28.16% 28.89% 42.95%-0.29 +0.5 26
2008-03-18 Young Boys L 0-351.9 1624 1804 23.93% 27.81% 48.25%-0.52 -12.5 30
2008-03-18 @ Luzern W 3-051.9 1804 1624 48.25% 27.81% 23.93%+0.52 +12.5 52
2008-03-19 Aarau D 1-168.4 1597 1647 40.51% 29.20% 30.29%+0.20 -0.3 22
2008-03-19 @ Thun D 1-168.4 1647 1597 30.29% 29.20% 40.51%-0.20 +0.3 34
2008-03-19 Grasshopper W 2-158.1 1856 1718 64.32% 21.39% 14.29%+1.23 +2.5 55
2008-03-19 @ Basel L 1-258.1 1718 1856 14.29% 21.39% 64.32%-1.23 -2.5 36
2008-03-19 Sion W 2-158.7 1806 1690 61.86% 22.62% 15.52%+1.11 +2.8 43
2008-03-19 @ Zurich L 1-258.7 1690 1806 15.52% 22.62% 61.86%-1.11 -2.8 30
2008-03-22 Luzern W 1-049.1 1859 1611 75.53% 15.09% 9.38%+1.83 +1.6 58
2008-03-22 @ Basel L 0-149.1 1611 1859 9.38% 15.09% 75.53%-1.83 -1.6 30
2008-03-22 Sion W 2-055.1 1647 1687 41.90% 29.04% 29.07%+0.25 +10.1 37
2008-03-22 @ Aarau L 0-255.1 1687 1647 29.07% 29.04% 41.90%-0.25 -10.1 30
2008-03-22 St. Gallen L 2-376.4 1716 1611 60.48% 23.28% 16.23%+1.04 -8.3 36
2008-03-22 @ Grasshopper W 3-276.4 1611 1716 16.23% 23.28% 60.48%-1.04 +8.3 29
2008-03-22 Thun W 4-256.2 1816 1597 72.85% 16.66% 10.49%+1.67 +2.6 55
2008-03-22 @ Young Boys L 2-456.2 1597 1816 10.49% 16.66% 72.85%-1.67 -2.6 22
2008-03-22 Zurich W 3-166.5 1644 1809 25.49% 28.29% 46.21%-0.43 +12.3 29
2008-03-22 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 1-366.5 1809 1644 46.21% 28.29% 25.49%+0.43 -12.3 43
2008-03-29 Basel W 1-066.4 1609 1860 18.03% 24.74% 57.23%-0.90 +8.9 33
2008-03-29 @ Luzern L 0-166.4 1860 1609 57.23% 24.74% 18.03%+0.90 -8.9 58
2008-03-29 Grasshopper L 0-256.9 1619 1707 35.07% 29.46% 35.47%-0.01 -11.6 29
2008-03-29 @ St. Gallen W 2-056.9 1707 1619 35.47% 29.46% 35.07%+0.01 +11.6 39
2008-03-30 Aarau W 1-055.9 1677 1657 49.99% 27.34% 22.67%+0.58 +4.3 33
2008-03-30 @ Sion L 0-155.9 1657 1677 22.67% 27.34% 49.99%-0.58 -4.3 37
2008-03-30 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-157.7 1797 1657 64.55% 21.27% 14.18%+1.24 +2.5 46
2008-03-30 @ Zurich L 1-257.7 1657 1797 14.18% 21.27% 64.55%-1.24 -2.5 29
2008-03-30 Young Boys L 0-449.7 1594 1819 19.97% 26.01% 54.01%-0.76 -13.7 22
2008-03-30 @ Thun W 4-049.7 1819 1594 54.01% 26.01% 19.97%+0.76 +13.7 58
2008-04-02 Basel D 1-170.9 1719 1851 29.17% 29.05% 41.78%-0.26 +0.4 40
2008-04-02 @ Grasshopper D 1-170.9 1851 1719 41.78% 29.05% 29.17%+0.26 -0.4 59
2008-04-04 St. Gallen W 1-053.9 1654 1608 53.44% 26.22% 20.34%+0.73 +3.9 32
2008-04-04 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 0-153.9 1608 1654 20.34% 26.22% 53.44%-0.73 -3.9 29
2008-04-04 Thun W 3-047.2 1653 1580 56.67% 24.98% 18.36%+0.87 +9.6 40
2008-04-04 @ Aarau L 0-347.2 1580 1653 18.36% 24.98% 56.67%-0.87 -9.6 22
2008-04-04 Zurich D 3-380.4 1682 1799 31.00% 29.27% 39.73%-0.18 +0.2 34
2008-04-04 @ Sion D 3-380.4 1799 1682 39.73% 29.27% 31.00%+0.18 -0.2 47
2008-04-12 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-164.1 1571 1658 35.14% 29.46% 35.40%-0.01 +5.8 25
2008-04-12 @ Thun L 1-264.1 1658 1571 35.40% 29.46% 35.14%+0.01 -5.8 32
2008-04-12 Young Boys W 2-062.5 1604 1832 19.66% 25.82% 54.52%-0.78 +16.1 32
2008-04-12 @ St. Gallen L 0-262.5 1832 1604 54.52% 25.82% 19.66%+0.78 -16.1 58
2008-04-13 Aarau D 0-068.5 1799 1663 64.15% 21.47% 14.38%+1.22 -2.0 48
2008-04-13 @ Zurich D 0-068.5 1663 1799 14.38% 21.47% 64.15%-1.22 +2.0 41
2008-04-13 Grasshopper D 0-065.3 1618 1719 33.27% 29.42% 37.31%-0.08 +0.2 34
2008-04-13 @ Luzern D 0-065.3 1719 1618 37.31% 29.42% 33.27%+0.08 -0.2 41
2008-04-13 Sion D 1-173.7 1851 1682 67.72% 19.57% 12.71%+1.40 -2.0 60
2008-04-13 @ Basel D 1-173.7 1682 1851 12.71% 19.57% 67.72%-1.40 +2.0 35
2008-04-16 Basel L 1-455.4 1620 1849 19.62% 25.80% 54.57%-0.79 -8.7 32
2008-04-16 @ St. Gallen W 4-155.4 1849 1620 54.57% 25.80% 19.62%+0.79 +8.7 63
2008-04-16 Grasshopper L 0-254.2 1576 1719 27.95% 28.86% 43.19%-0.31 -9.8 25
2008-04-16 @ Thun W 2-054.2 1719 1576 43.19% 28.86% 27.95%+0.31 +9.8 44
2008-04-16 Luzern D 0-066.1 1684 1619 55.74% 25.35% 18.91%+0.83 -1.5 36
2008-04-16 @ Sion D 0-066.1 1619 1684 18.91% 25.35% 55.74%-0.83 +1.5 35
2008-04-17 Neuchatel Xamax D 2-275.6 1665 1652 49.00% 27.62% 23.39%+0.54 -0.7 42
2008-04-17 @ Aarau D 2-275.6 1652 1665 23.39% 27.62% 49.00%-0.54 +0.7 33
2008-04-17 Young Boys L 1-269.5 1797 1816 44.80% 28.58% 26.62%+0.37 -6.9 48
2008-04-17 @ Zurich W 2-169.5 1816 1797 26.62% 28.58% 44.80%-0.37 +6.9 61
2008-04-19 St. Gallen W 1-054.8 1620 1611 48.55% 27.74% 23.72%+0.52 +4.5 38
2008-04-19 @ Luzern L 0-154.8 1611 1620 23.72% 27.74% 48.55%-0.52 -4.5 32
2008-04-19 Thun W 3-150.2 1858 1567 79.32% 12.82% 7.86%+2.07 +2.0 66
2008-04-19 @ Basel L 1-350.2 1567 1858 7.86% 12.82% 79.32%-2.07 -2.1 25
2008-04-20 Aarau W 4-046.3 1823 1664 66.64% 20.16% 13.20%+1.34 +8.6 64
2008-04-20 @ Young Boys L 0-446.3 1664 1823 13.20% 20.16% 66.64%-1.34 -8.6 42
2008-04-20 Sion D 1-169.8 1653 1682 43.40% 28.82% 27.78%+0.31 -0.5 34
2008-04-20 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 1-169.8 1682 1653 27.78% 28.82% 43.40%-0.31 +0.5 37
2008-04-20 Zurich D 1-170.7 1729 1790 38.89% 29.34% 31.78%+0.13 -0.2 45
2008-04-20 @ Grasshopper D 1-170.7 1790 1729 31.78% 29.34% 38.89%-0.13 +0.2 49
2008-04-24 Luzern L 0-168.4 1832 1624 71.66% 17.35% 10.99%+1.61 -10.4 64
2008-04-24 @ Young Boys W 1-068.4 1624 1832 10.99% 17.35% 71.66%-1.61 +10.4 41
2008-04-25 St. Gallen D 1-166.8 1565 1607 41.62% 29.07% 29.30%+0.24 -0.4 26
2008-04-25 @ Thun D 1-166.8 1607 1565 29.30% 29.07% 41.62%-0.24 +0.4 33
2008-04-26 Basel D 2-277.1 1655 1860 21.67% 26.90% 51.44%-0.65 +0.8 43
2008-04-26 @ Aarau D 2-277.1 1860 1655 51.44% 26.90% 21.67%+0.65 -0.8 67
2008-04-26 Grasshopper L 1-363.6 1652 1729 36.78% 29.44% 33.78%+0.05 -10.4 34
2008-04-26 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 3-163.6 1729 1652 33.78% 29.44% 36.78%-0.05 +10.4 48
2008-04-27 Luzern W 1-051.7 1790 1635 66.25% 20.37% 13.38%+1.32 +2.5 52
2008-04-27 @ Zurich L 0-151.7 1635 1790 13.38% 20.37% 66.25%-1.32 -2.5 41
2008-04-27 Young Boys L 1-264.5 1683 1821 28.43% 28.94% 42.63%-0.29 -5.0 37
2008-04-27 @ Sion W 2-164.5 1821 1683 42.63% 28.94% 28.43%+0.29 +5.0 67
2008-05-02 Neuchatel Xamax L 1-370.7 1826 1642 69.30% 18.69% 12.01%+1.48 -16.6 67
2008-05-02 @ Young Boys W 3-170.7 1642 1826 12.01% 18.69% 69.30%-1.48 +16.6 37
2008-05-02 Zurich W 4-049.8 1859 1793 55.84% 25.31% 18.85%+0.83 +12.9 70
2008-05-02 @ Basel L 0-449.8 1793 1859 18.85% 25.31% 55.84%-0.83 -12.9 52
2008-05-03 Aarau W 2-050.8 1739 1656 57.90% 24.45% 17.64%+0.92 +6.4 51
2008-05-03 @ Grasshopper L 0-250.8 1656 1739 17.64% 24.45% 57.90%-0.92 -6.4 43
2008-05-03 Sion L 1-265.7 1607 1678 37.55% 29.41% 33.04%+0.08 -6.1 33
2008-05-03 @ St. Gallen W 2-165.7 1678 1607 33.04% 29.41% 37.55%-0.08 +6.1 40
2008-05-03 Thun W 4-046.2 1632 1564 56.12% 25.20% 18.68%+0.84 +12.8 44
2008-05-03 @ Luzern L 0-446.2 1564 1632 18.68% 25.20% 56.12%-0.84 -12.8 26
2008-05-06 Basel D 2-277.3 1659 1872 20.92% 26.53% 52.56%-0.70 +0.8 38
2008-05-06 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 2-277.3 1872 1659 52.56% 26.53% 20.92%+0.70 -0.8 71
2008-05-06 Grasshopper W 2-052.1 1810 1745 55.64% 25.39% 18.97%+0.82 +6.9 70
2008-05-06 @ Young Boys L 0-252.1 1745 1810 18.97% 25.39% 55.64%-0.82 -6.9 51
2008-05-06 Luzern W 2-161.3 1650 1645 47.96% 27.89% 24.15%+0.49 +4.3 46
2008-05-06 @ Aarau L 1-261.3 1645 1650 24.15% 27.89% 47.96%-0.49 -4.3 44
2008-05-06 St. Gallen W 1-050.6 1780 1601 68.77% 18.99% 12.24%+1.45 +2.2 55
2008-05-06 @ Zurich L 0-150.6 1601 1780 12.24% 18.99% 68.77%-1.45 -2.2 33
2008-05-06 Thun W 5-045.3 1684 1551 63.69% 21.71% 14.60%+1.20 +12.0 43
2008-05-06 @ Sion L 0-545.3 1551 1684 14.60% 21.71% 63.69%-1.20 -12.0 26
2008-05-10 Aarau D 0-064.2 1599 1654 39.74% 29.27% 30.99%+0.17 -0.3 34
2008-05-10 @ St. Gallen D 0-064.2 1654 1599 30.99% 29.27% 39.74%-0.17 +0.3 47
2008-05-10 Neuchatel Xamax L 0-259.3 1641 1660 44.85% 28.57% 26.58%+0.37 -13.9 44
2008-05-10 @ Luzern W 2-059.3 1660 1641 26.58% 28.57% 44.85%-0.37 +13.9 41
2008-05-10 Sion W 2-052.5 1739 1696 52.92% 26.40% 20.68%+0.70 +7.5 54
2008-05-10 @ Grasshopper L 0-252.5 1696 1739 20.68% 26.40% 52.92%-0.70 -7.5 43
2008-05-10 Young Boys W 2-052.7 1871 1817 54.42% 25.86% 19.72%+0.77 +7.2 74
2008-05-10 @ Basel L 0-252.7 1817 1871 19.72% 25.86% 54.42%-0.77 -7.1 70
2008-05-10 Zurich D 1-170.7 1539 1782 18.59% 25.14% 56.27%-0.86 +1.3 27
2008-05-10 @ Thun D 1-170.7 1782 1539 56.27% 25.14% 18.59%+0.86 -1.3 56

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2008-05-17 St. Gallen W 3-264.2 1641 1598 52.88% 26.41% 20.70%+0.70 +3.5 3
2008-05-17 @ Bellinzona L 2-364.2 1598 1641 20.70% 26.41% 52.88%-0.70 -3.6 0
2008-05-20 Bellinzona L 0-257.2 1595 1644 40.58% 29.19% 30.23%+0.20 -12.9 0
2008-05-20 @ St. Gallen W 2-057.2 1644 1595 30.23% 29.19% 40.58%-0.20 +12.9 6

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2007-12-02 10.68% Aarau 1645 1 @ Zurich 1860 0
2 2008-04-24 10.99% Luzern 1624 1 @ Young Boys 1832 0
3 2007-12-09 11.56% Neuchatel Xamax 1681 1 @ Basel 1875 0
4 2008-05-02 12.01% Neuchatel Xamax 1642 3 @ Young Boys 1826 1
5 2008-03-22 16.23% St. Gallen 1611 3 @ Grasshopper 1716 2
6 2008-02-03 17.11% Luzern 1600 1 @ Neuchatel Xamax 1691 0
7 2008-02-16 17.15% St. Gallen 1593 2 @ Sion 1683 1
8 2008-02-09 17.39% @ St. Gallen 1584 1 Zurich 1844 0
9 2008-03-15 17.80% Thun 1580 2 @ Neuchatel Xamax 1661 0
10 2008-03-29 18.03% @ Luzern 1609 1 Basel 1860 0
11 2008-04-12 19.66% @ St. Gallen 1604 2 Young Boys 1832 0
12 2007-08-04 20.35% Luzern 1604 2 @ St. Gallen 1651 1
13 2008-03-09 21.14% Aarau 1631 2 @ Neuchatel Xamax 1669 1
14 2008-02-24 21.46% @ Luzern 1627 2 Zurich 1834 1
15 2007-10-06 21.63% Thun 1614 4 @ St. Gallen 1645 0
16 2007-08-12 21.97% Aarau 1608 5 @ Thun 1635 2
17 2008-02-02 22.24% Grasshopper 1673 2 @ Sion 1698 0
18 2007-10-07 22.54% Grasshopper 1672 1 @ Sion 1693 0
19 2007-09-22 22.87% Luzern 1607 1 @ Thun 1625 0
20 2008-03-16 23.03% @ Sion 1678 4 Basel 1868 2
21 2007-12-09 23.62% @ Grasshopper 1666 2 Zurich 1849 1
22 2007-10-27 23.98% Sion 1685 3 @ Neuchatel Xamax 1692 1
23 2008-03-16 24.44% @ Aarau 1639 1 Zurich 1814 0
24 2008-02-16 24.87% Luzern 1620 1 @ Thun 1617 0
25 2007-12-08 25.06% Thun 1612 2 @ Luzern 1607 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-10-06 29.29 Thun 4 1614 21.63% @ St. Gallen 0 1645 51.50% 26.88%
2 2007-08-19 29.20 Zurich 5 1805 31.72% @ Sion 0 1744 38.94% 29.33%
3 2007-11-01 22.57 @ Aarau 5 1617 43.70% Thun 0 1644 27.52% 28.77%
4 2007-08-05 19.92 @ Young Boys 5 1725 31.27% Basel 1 1841 39.43% 29.30%
5 2008-03-15 16.83 Thun 2 1580 17.80% @ Neuchatel Xamax 0 1661 57.63% 24.57%
6 2008-05-02 16.64 Neuchatel Xamax 3 1642 12.01% @ Young Boys 1 1826 69.30% 18.69%
7 2007-08-12 16.25 Aarau 5 1608 21.97% @ Thun 2 1635 51.00% 27.03%
8 2008-04-12 16.13 @ St. Gallen 2 1604 19.66% Young Boys 0 1832 54.52% 25.82%
9 2007-12-01 15.88 Young Boys 7 1746 43.07% @ St. Gallen 2 1604 28.06% 28.87%
10 2007-09-23 15.84 Basel 3 1819 38.36% @ Neuchatel Xamax 0 1711 32.27% 29.37%
11 2008-02-02 15.23 Grasshopper 2 1673 22.24% @ Sion 0 1698 50.60% 27.16%
12 2008-03-09 14.94 @ Young Boys 3 1783 40.99% Zurich 0 1829 29.86% 29.15%
13 2008-05-10 13.87 Neuchatel Xamax 2 1660 26.58% @ Luzern 0 1641 44.85% 28.57%
14 2008-03-30 13.74 Young Boys 4 1819 54.01% @ Thun 0 1594 19.97% 26.01%
15 2007-07-25 13.36 Basel 3 1830 45.62% @ St. Gallen 0 1669 25.96% 28.42%
16 2007-08-19 13.26 @ Grasshopper 2 1688 28.77% Basel 0 1824 42.24% 28.99%
17 2008-02-23 13.14 @ St. Gallen 3 1601 46.25% Thun 0 1609 25.46% 28.29%
18 2008-05-02 12.95 @ Basel 4 1859 55.84% Zurich 0 1793 18.85% 25.31%
19 2008-05-20 12.87 Bellinzona 2 1644 30.23% @ St. Gallen 0 1595 40.58% 29.19%
20 2008-05-03 12.83 @ Luzern 4 1632 56.12% Thun 0 1564 18.68% 25.20%
21 2007-10-27 12.70 Sion 3 1685 23.98% @ Neuchatel Xamax 1 1692 48.19% 27.83%
22 2008-03-18 12.46 Young Boys 3 1804 48.25% @ Luzern 0 1624 23.93% 27.81%
23 2008-03-22 12.30 @ Neuchatel Xamax 3 1644 25.49% Zurich 1 1809 46.21% 28.29%
24 2008-02-03 12.03 @ Young Boys 2 1766 33.56% Basel 0 1864 37.00% 29.44%
25 2008-05-06 12.01 @ Sion 5 1684 63.69% Thun 0 1551 14.60% 21.71%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-09-26 80.5 @ Neuchatel Xamax 3 1695 57.52% Luzern 3 1615 17.87% 24.62%
2 2008-04-04 80.4 @ Sion 3 1682 31.00% Zurich 3 1799 39.73% 29.27%
3 2008-02-10 80.3 @ Grasshopper 3 1689 34.92% Young Boys 3 1778 35.62% 29.46%
4 2007-09-29 80.0 @ Grasshopper 3 1672 37.39% Young Boys 3 1744 33.19% 29.42%
5 2007-08-12 79.0 @ Luzern 3 1612 36.83% Grasshopper 3 1688 33.73% 29.44%
6 2007-09-29 77.3 @ Luzern 2 1616 19.20% Zurich 2 1851 55.25% 25.54%
7 2008-05-06 77.3 @ Neuchatel Xamax 2 1659 20.92% Basel 2 1872 52.56% 26.53%
8 2007-09-26 77.2 @ Zurich 2 1851 49.56% Basel 2 1835 22.98% 27.46%
9 2008-04-26 77.1 @ Aarau 2 1655 21.67% Basel 2 1860 51.44% 26.90%
10 2008-03-22 76.4 St. Gallen 3 1611 16.23% @ Grasshopper 2 1716 60.48% 23.28%
11 2008-04-17 75.6 @ Aarau 2 1665 49.00% Neuchatel Xamax 2 1652 23.39% 27.62%
12 2007-07-29 75.3 @ Luzern 2 1604 30.60% Young Boys 2 1725 40.17% 29.23%
13 2007-12-08 75.3 @ Aarau 2 1655 55.96% St. Gallen 2 1588 18.78% 25.26%
14 2008-02-10 74.9 @ Thun 2 1617 38.29% Sion 2 1683 32.33% 29.38%
15 2007-08-05 74.8 @ Aarau 2 1608 36.16% Grasshopper 2 1688 34.38% 29.46%
16 2007-07-28 74.5 @ Basel 1 1843 74.62% Aarau 1 1605 9.76% 15.63%
17 2008-04-13 73.7 @ Basel 1 1851 67.72% Sion 1 1682 12.71% 19.57%
18 2008-03-16 71.7 @ Sion 4 1678 23.03% Basel 2 1868 49.48% 27.48%
19 2007-09-01 71.5 @ Aarau 1 1620 20.02% Zurich 1 1844 53.94% 26.04%
20 2007-10-28 71.4 @ Thun 1 1643 21.26% Zurich 1 1852 52.04% 26.70%
21 2007-08-04 71.3 @ Sion 1 1742 53.45% Neuchatel Xamax 1 1696 20.33% 26.21%
22 2008-02-17 71.2 @ Zurich 1 1835 44.11% Basel 1 1859 27.19% 28.70%
23 2007-10-31 71.1 @ Sion 1 1698 25.41% Basel 1 1864 46.31% 28.27%
24 2007-11-11 70.9 @ Young Boys 1 1746 31.50% Zurich 1 1860 39.19% 29.32%
25 2008-04-02 70.9 @ Grasshopper 1 1719 29.17% Basel 1 1851 41.78% 29.05%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-05-06 45.3 @ Sion 5 1684 63.69% Thun 0 1551 14.60% 21.71%
2 2008-03-14 45.6 @ Young Boys 3 1798 68.87% St. Gallen 0 1617 12.20% 18.93%
3 2007-09-30 45.9 @ Basel 3 1835 69.32% St. Gallen 0 1651 12.00% 18.68%
4 2008-05-03 46.2 @ Luzern 4 1632 56.12% Thun 0 1564 18.68% 25.20%
5 2008-04-20 46.3 @ Young Boys 4 1823 66.64% Aarau 0 1664 13.20% 20.16%
6 2008-02-09 46.4 @ Basel 3 1852 67.86% Neuchatel Xamax 0 1682 12.65% 19.49%
7 2008-03-08 46.4 @ Grasshopper 4 1701 61.11% Thun 0 1591 15.90% 22.99%
8 2007-09-23 46.6 @ Zurich 4 1842 66.09% Grasshopper 0 1688 13.45% 20.45%
9 2007-07-25 47.2 @ Sion 3 1727 61.58% Aarau 0 1613 15.66% 22.76%
10 2008-04-04 47.2 @ Aarau 3 1653 56.67% Thun 0 1580 18.36% 24.98%
11 2007-11-03 48.0 @ Basel 2 1863 69.43% Grasshopper 0 1677 11.95% 18.62%
12 2007-10-28 48.6 @ Basel 4 1852 59.69% Young Boys 0 1754 16.65% 23.65%
13 2008-03-22 49.1 @ Basel 1 1859 75.53% Luzern 0 1611 9.38% 15.09%
14 2008-03-30 49.7 Young Boys 4 1819 54.01% @ Thun 0 1594 19.97% 26.01%
15 2008-02-02 49.8 @ Zurich 1 1842 73.20% Thun 0 1619 10.35% 16.46%
16 2008-05-02 49.8 @ Basel 4 1859 55.84% Zurich 0 1793 18.85% 25.31%
17 2008-02-23 49.9 @ St. Gallen 3 1601 46.25% Thun 0 1609 25.46% 28.29%
18 2007-10-06 50.0 @ Young Boys 6 1744 63.09% Luzern 1 1617 14.90% 22.01%
19 2008-04-19 50.2 @ Basel 3 1858 79.32% Thun 1 1567 7.86% 12.82%
20 2008-03-15 50.4 @ Grasshopper 2 1712 57.76% Luzern 0 1630 17.73% 24.51%
21 2008-05-06 50.6 @ Zurich 1 1780 68.77% St. Gallen 0 1601 12.24% 18.99%
22 2007-07-26 50.7 @ Zurich 4 1792 69.19% Luzern 1 1609 12.06% 18.75%
23 2007-10-07 50.8 Basel 3 1841 52.74% @ Aarau 0 1627 20.80% 26.46%
24 2008-05-03 50.8 @ Grasshopper 2 1739 57.90% Aarau 0 1656 17.64% 24.45%
25 2007-12-02 51.5 Basel 2 1868 57.13% @ Thun 0 1618 18.09% 24.78%