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2012-13 Super League Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Basel

72 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Grasshopper

18.17 points above expected

69 points · 50.83 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Servette

11.87 points below expected

26 points · 37.87 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Basel 36 21 9 6 72 61 31 +30 66.82 +5.18
2 Grasshopper 36 20 9 7 69 48 32 +16 50.83 +18.17
3 St. Gallen 36 17 8 11 59 54 36 +18 56.10 +2.90
4 Zurich 36 16 7 13 55 62 48 +14 50.70 +4.30
5 Thun 36 13 9 14 48 44 46 -2 46.54 +1.46
6 Sion 36 13 9 14 48 40 54 -14 52.29 -4.29
7 Young Boys 36 11 10 15 43 48 50 -2 51.26 -8.26
8 Luzern 36 10 12 14 42 41 52 -11 45.21 -3.21
9 Lausanne-Sport 36 8 9 19 33 32 51 -19 37.34 -4.34
10 Servette 36 6 8 22 26 32 62 -30 37.87 -11.87

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Grasshopper 69 50.83 +18.17
2 Basel 72 66.82 +5.18
3 Zurich 55 50.70 +4.30
4 St. Gallen 59 56.10 +2.90
5 Thun 48 46.54 +1.46

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Servette 26 37.87 -11.87
2 Young Boys 43 51.26 -8.26
3 Lausanne-Sport 33 37.34 -4.34
4 Sion 48 52.29 -4.29
5 Luzern 42 45.21 -3.21

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Grasshopper 9 Aug 12 – Oct 21 1 in 5,173
2 St. Gallen 5 Aug 18 – Sep 26 1 in 157
3 Zurich 5 May 8 – May 29 1 in 70
4 Thun 3 Mar 30 – Apr 14 1 in 42
5 Sion 3 Jul 15 – Jul 29 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Servette 6 Aug 26 – Oct 7 1 in 82
2 Sion 5 May 11 – May 29 1 in 59
3 Zurich 3 Nov 17 – Dec 2 1 in 47
4 Lausanne-Sport 4 Apr 7 – Apr 28 1 in 25
5 Luzern 3 Sep 2 – Sep 27 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Grasshopper 12 Jul 22 – Oct 21 1 in 429
2 St. Gallen 10 Jul 15 – Sep 26 1 in 78
3 Luzern 6 Apr 13 – May 11 1 in 44
4 Thun 6 Mar 30 – May 5 1 in 42
5 Lausanne-Sport 5 Oct 27 – Dec 1 1 in 31

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Servette 13 Jul 13 – Oct 20 1 in 89
2 Luzern 11 Nov 25 – Apr 6 1 in 63
3 Young Boys 6 Mar 10 – Apr 21 1 in 21
4 Lausanne-Sport 10 Mar 16 – May 16 1 in 18
5 Sion 5 Feb 24 – Mar 30 1 in 18

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Basel 1851 72 +13 12 9.9 +2.1
Grasshopper 1772 69 +65 12 6.9 +5.1
St. Gallen 1755 59 -8 6 8.0 -2.0
Zurich 1801 55 +29 12 8.7 +3.3
Thun 1719 48 +36 10 7.5 +2.5
Sion 1600 48 -72 3 5.5 -2.5
Young Boys 1681 43 -24 4 5.8 -1.8
Luzern 1687 42 -16 9 7.6 +1.4
Lausanne-Sport 1603 33 +35 6 4.4 +1.6
Servette 1588 26 -22 3 6.0 -3.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BAS GRA LAU LUZ SER SIO SG THU YB ZUR
Basel —
1-2-1
7.07
3-1-0
8.21
1-1-2
7.90
4-0-0
7.88
3-1-0
6.44
2-1-1
6.83
2-1-1
8.06
3-1-0
6.83
2-1-1
7.08
Grasshopper
1-2-1
3.91
 —
2-2-0
7.14
2-2-0
6.58
3-0-1
7.02
1-2-1
5.33
3-1-0
4.94
2-0-2
6.53
3-0-1
5.41
3-0-1
5.44
Lausanne-Sport
0-1-3
2.88
0-2-2
3.87
 —
2-1-1
4.51
3-0-1
5.36
1-1-2
3.90
0-0-4
3.96
1-1-2
4.81
1-2-1
4.15
0-1-3
4.61
Luzern
2-1-1
3.16
0-2-2
4.41
1-1-2
6.45
 —
2-2-0
6.15
1-0-3
5.18
1-2-1
4.44
1-2-1
5.04
1-0-3
4.83
1-2-1
5.08
Servette
0-0-4
3.20
1-0-3
3.96
1-0-3
5.59
0-2-2
4.82
 —
1-1-2
4.28
0-1-3
3.31
1-2-1
4.74
1-1-2
4.07
1-1-2
4.12
Sion
0-1-3
4.53
1-2-1
5.64
2-1-1
7.09
3-0-1
5.81
2-1-1
6.69
 —
2-0-2
5.26
1-1-2
5.94
1-2-1
5.88
1-1-2
5.27
St. Gallen
1-1-2
4.14
0-1-3
6.02
4-0-0
7.05
1-2-1
6.54
3-1-0
7.72
2-0-2
5.72
 —
2-1-1
6.66
1-2-1
6.01
3-0-1
5.93
Thun
1-1-2
2.99
2-0-2
4.43
2-1-1
6.17
1-2-1
5.91
1-2-1
6.22
2-1-1
5.02
1-1-2
4.33
 —
2-1-1
5.32
1-0-3
4.89
Young Boys
0-1-3
4.16
1-0-3
5.55
1-2-1
6.83
3-0-1
6.14
2-1-1
6.92
1-2-1
5.08
1-2-1
4.95
1-1-2
5.64
 —
1-1-2
5.77
Zurich
1-1-2
3.92
1-0-3
5.52
3-1-0
6.35
1-2-1
5.89
2-1-1
6.87
2-1-1
5.71
1-0-3
5.03
3-0-1
6.08
2-1-1
5.18
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.66 +11.3
Allowed 0.86 -13.4
Differential 0.89 +7.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.78%8.61%8.06%3.33%3.06%0.28%31.11%
18.61%14.44%4.72%4.17%1.67%0.28%33.89%
28.06%4.72%2.78%1.67%1.11%0.28%18.61%
33.33%4.17%1.67%—0.28%—9.44%
43.06%1.67%1.11%0.28%——6.11%
5+0.28%0.28%0.28%———0.83%
Total31.11%33.89%18.61%9.44%6.11%0.83%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.28 +0.00
SD 1.23 1.23 1.89
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%—2.78%——13.89%
116.67%11.11%2.78%2.78%——33.33%
211.11%8.33%8.33%2.78%——30.56%
35.56%5.56%2.78%———13.89%
45.56%2.78%————8.33%
5+———————
Total44.44%33.33%13.89%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 0.86 +0.83
SD 1.14 0.96 1.56
CV 0.67 1.12 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%8.33%—5.56%—27.78%
122.22%13.89%————36.11%
213.89%2.78%2.78%———19.44%
3—2.78%5.56%———8.33%
42.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
5+———————
Total47.22%27.78%19.44%—5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 0.89 +0.44
SD 1.22 1.09 1.71
CV 0.91 1.23 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%8.33%19.44%—2.78%—44.44%
18.33%11.11%5.56%11.11%2.78%—38.89%
2—2.78%——2.78%—5.56%
38.33%—————8.33%
4———————
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total30.56%25.00%25.00%11.11%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 1.42 -0.53
SD 1.14 1.27 1.81
CV 1.28 0.90 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%5.56%5.56%5.56%—27.78%
15.56%22.22%11.11%—2.78%—41.67%
211.11%2.78%2.78%5.56%——22.22%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
4———2.78%——2.78%
5+———————
Total27.78%30.56%19.44%13.89%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.44 -0.31
SD 0.99 1.27 1.72
CV 0.87 0.88 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%16.67%13.89%5.56%2.78%—41.67%
12.78%19.44%5.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%36.11%
211.11%——2.78%—2.78%16.67%
3————2.78%—2.78%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total19.44%36.11%19.44%11.11%8.33%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 1.72 -0.83
SD 0.98 1.50 1.83
CV 1.10 0.87 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%2.78%5.56%8.33%2.78%36.11%
18.33%16.67%—5.56%2.78%—33.33%
28.33%5.56%2.78%———16.67%
35.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total27.78%36.11%11.11%11.11%11.11%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.50 -0.39
SD 1.12 1.44 2.10
CV 1.00 0.96 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%——27.78%
18.33%16.67%5.56%2.78%——33.33%
25.56%5.56%————11.11%
32.78%16.67%————19.44%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total27.78%52.78%11.11%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.00 +0.50
SD 1.38 0.86 1.87
CV 0.92 0.86 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%5.56%5.56%2.78%—36.11%
15.56%8.33%5.56%2.78%2.78%—25.00%
28.33%8.33%5.56%2.78%——25.00%
35.56%—2.78%———8.33%
42.78%—2.78%———5.56%
5+———————
Total33.33%27.78%22.22%11.11%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.28 -0.06
SD 1.20 1.21 1.84
CV 0.98 0.95 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%8.33%8.33%2.78%2.78%—36.11%
12.78%11.11%8.33%5.56%——27.78%
22.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%—16.67%
32.78%5.56%2.78%———11.11%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total25.00%33.33%25.00%11.11%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.39 -0.06
SD 1.45 1.15 1.87
CV 1.09 0.83 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%11.11%———19.44%
15.56%13.89%2.78%8.33%2.78%—33.33%
28.33%5.56%2.78%—5.56%—22.22%
3—5.56%————5.56%
411.11%5.56%2.78%———19.44%
5+———————
Total27.78%36.11%19.44%8.33%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 1.33 +0.39
SD 1.39 1.22 2.09
CV 0.80 0.91 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Basel 1851 72 66.82 +5.18 74.0% 39 52 61 67 73 78 85
Zurich 1801 55 50.70 +4.30 81.0% 33 40 46 51 55 63 72
Grasshopper 1772 69 50.83 +18.17 100.0% 32 38 46 52 56 61 64
St. Gallen 1755 59 56.10 +2.90 65.0% 40 42 50 56 62 68 72
Thun 1719 48 46.54 +1.46 59.0% 30 33 41 47 52 59 68
Luzern 1687 42 45.21 -3.21 42.0% 29 33 39 44 50 60 68
Young Boys 1681 43 51.26 -8.26 15.0% 32 39 46 51 57 62 68
Lausanne-Sport 1603 33 37.34 -4.34 29.0% 20 24 32 38 42 50 56
Sion 1600 48 52.29 -4.29 34.0% 33 38 47 52 57 68 78
Servette 1588 26 37.87 -11.87 5.0% 25 26 32 37 43 49 53

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 15% * Slight Edge: 15% to 22.5% * Clear Edge: 22.5% to 26.5% * Strong Edge: 26.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+18.33%
Slight Edge
46.67%25.00%28.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge
209 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
064.42600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.46 goals
Neutral
-2+0.31+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.2
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
65%
Basel, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.08/gm
Tight Race
00.220.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.13 * Some Luck: 6.13 to 9.19 * Lucky: 9.19 to 12.26 * Wild Swing: 12.26 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.33 * Close: 1.33 to 1.99 * Off: 1.99 to 2.66 * Way Off: 2.66 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.02 points
Some Luck
07.6619
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.60
Close
01.664
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
100.00%
Grasshopper
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
5.00%
Servette
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 76% * Wide Edge: 76% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 94.5% * Dominant: 94.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51% * Some Drama: 51% to 55.5% * Frequent: 55.5% to 59.5% * Very Frequent: 59.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18% * Occasional: 18% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 27% * Very Frequent: 27% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 90.55
1.86
Strong Separation
11.651.852.052.75
Interquartile Edge
70%
Slight Edge
50%63%71%76%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
82%
Even
50%85%100%
Close Games
Expected
56%
Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Rare
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21% * As Expected: 21% to 23.5% * Upset-Prone: 23.5% to 26% * Very Upset-Prone: 26% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17.5% * As Expected: 17.5% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 22.5% * Very Shaky: 22.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.31
Very Even
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.24
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.02
Weak Carryover
00.420.631
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Upset-Prone
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Shaky Favorites
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.81
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.87
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.064
Well Within Noise
00.1290.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Basel65.00%19.00%9.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%——
Grasshopper3.00%12.00%13.00%17.00%15.00%14.00%10.00%5.00%7.00%4.00%
St. Gallen16.00%24.00%13.00%15.00%13.00%6.00%5.00%5.00%3.00%—
Zurich5.00%6.00%20.00%16.00%18.00%14.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%1.00%
Thun1.00%5.00%7.00%8.00%12.00%14.00%16.00%22.00%11.00%4.00%
Sion7.00%10.00%16.00%17.00%12.00%13.00%12.00%7.00%5.00%1.00%
Young Boys1.00%17.00%12.00%14.00%14.00%18.00%12.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%
Luzern2.00%7.00%7.00%10.00%4.00%10.00%13.00%23.00%12.00%12.00%
Lausanne-Sport——3.00%1.00%4.00%5.00%7.00%13.00%28.00%39.00%
Servette———1.00%5.00%5.00%14.00%13.00%25.00%37.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Basel 100% —
St. Gallen 100% —
Sion 99.00% 1.00%
Zurich 99.00% 1.00%
Young Boys 98.00% 2.00%
Grasshopper 96.00% 4.00%
Thun 96.00% 4.00%
Luzern 88.00% 12.00%
Servette 63.00% 37.00%
Lausanne-Sport 61.00% 39.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2012-07-13 Basel L 0-161.7 1706 1769 36.96% 26.51% 36.53%+0.01 -10.2 0
2012-07-13 @ Servette W 1-061.7 1769 1706 36.53% 26.51% 36.96%-0.01 +10.2 3
2012-07-14 Lausanne-Sport D 0-067.4 1696 1664 49.63% 25.73% 24.64%+0.46 -1.6 1
2012-07-14 @ Thun D 0-067.4 1664 1696 24.64% 25.73% 49.63%-0.46 +1.6 1
2012-07-15 Sion L 0-257.9 1656 1714 37.59% 26.50% 35.90%+0.03 -19.6 0
2012-07-15 @ Grasshopper W 2-057.9 1714 1656 35.90% 26.50% 37.59%-0.03 +19.6 3
2012-07-15 Young Boys D 1-172.6 1691 1729 40.51% 26.45% 33.04%+0.13 -0.4 1
2012-07-15 @ St. Gallen D 1-172.6 1729 1691 33.04% 26.45% 40.51%-0.13 +0.4 1
2012-07-15 Zurich D 1-172.7 1716 1714 45.93% 26.13% 27.95%+0.32 -1.0 1
2012-07-15 @ Luzern D 1-172.7 1714 1716 27.95% 26.13% 45.93%-0.32 +1.0 1
2012-07-21 Luzern D 2-279.4 1780 1715 53.60% 25.12% 21.28%+0.62 -1.4 4
2012-07-21 @ Basel D 2-279.4 1715 1780 21.28% 25.12% 53.60%-0.62 +1.4 2
2012-07-21 St. Gallen L 0-162.5 1666 1691 42.36% 26.37% 31.27%+0.19 -11.4 1
2012-07-21 @ Lausanne-Sport W 1-062.5 1691 1666 31.27% 26.37% 42.36%-0.19 +11.4 4
2012-07-22 Grasshopper L 0-166.3 1729 1636 56.80% 24.47% 18.74%+0.75 -14.5 1
2012-07-22 @ Young Boys W 1-066.3 1636 1729 18.74% 24.47% 56.80%-0.75 +14.5 3
2012-07-22 Servette W 1-057.3 1734 1696 50.41% 25.63% 23.97%+0.49 +7.3 6
2012-07-22 @ Sion L 0-157.3 1696 1734 23.97% 25.63% 50.41%-0.49 -7.3 0
2012-07-22 Thun L 0-261.3 1715 1694 48.36% 25.88% 25.76%+0.41 -23.9 1
2012-07-22 @ Zurich W 2-061.3 1694 1715 25.76% 25.88% 48.36%-0.41 +23.9 4
2012-07-28 Basel D 2-278.8 1651 1778 28.35% 26.16% 45.49%-0.30 +0.7 4
2012-07-28 @ Grasshopper D 2-278.8 1778 1651 45.49% 26.16% 28.35%+0.30 -0.7 5
2012-07-28 Zurich W 3-160.8 1702 1691 47.05% 26.02% 26.93%+0.36 +13.1 7
2012-07-28 @ St. Gallen L 1-360.8 1691 1702 26.93% 26.02% 47.05%-0.36 -13.1 1
2012-07-29 Servette W 5-157.5 1655 1689 41.02% 26.43% 32.56%+0.14 +27.8 4
2012-07-29 @ Lausanne-Sport L 1-557.5 1689 1655 32.56% 26.43% 41.02%-0.14 -27.8 0
2012-07-29 Sion L 0-357.9 1717 1741 42.36% 26.37% 31.27%+0.19 -31.1 2
2012-07-29 @ Luzern W 3-057.9 1741 1717 31.27% 26.37% 42.36%-0.19 +31.1 9
2012-07-29 Thun W 3-053.6 1715 1718 45.23% 26.19% 28.59%+0.29 +23.1 4
2012-07-29 @ Young Boys L 0-353.6 1718 1715 28.59% 26.19% 45.23%-0.29 -23.1 4
2012-08-04 Basel D 1-173.1 1772 1778 44.94% 26.21% 28.85%+0.28 -0.9 10
2012-08-04 @ Sion D 1-173.1 1778 1772 28.85% 26.21% 44.94%-0.28 +0.9 6
2012-08-04 Grasshopper D 1-172.6 1715 1651 53.51% 25.13% 21.36%+0.61 -1.9 8
2012-08-04 @ St. Gallen D 1-172.6 1651 1715 21.36% 25.13% 53.51%-0.61 +1.9 5
2012-08-05 Lausanne-Sport W 4-052.7 1678 1682 45.08% 26.20% 28.73%+0.29 +30.2 4
2012-08-05 @ Zurich L 0-452.7 1682 1678 28.73% 26.20% 45.08%-0.29 -30.2 4
2012-08-05 Luzern W 2-164.0 1695 1685 46.88% 26.04% 27.08%+0.35 +7.6 7
2012-08-05 @ Thun L 1-264.0 1685 1695 27.08% 26.04% 46.88%-0.35 -7.6 2
2012-08-05 Young Boys D 1-172.4 1661 1738 35.02% 26.49% 38.49%-0.06 +0.2 1
2012-08-05 @ Servette D 1-172.4 1738 1661 38.49% 26.49% 35.02%+0.06 -0.2 5
2012-08-11 Sion L 0-255.8 1652 1771 29.40% 26.25% 44.35%-0.26 -16.2 4
2012-08-11 @ Lausanne-Sport W 2-055.8 1771 1652 44.35% 26.25% 29.40%+0.26 +16.2 13
2012-08-11 St. Gallen D 1-172.4 1678 1713 40.87% 26.43% 32.70%+0.14 -0.4 3
2012-08-11 @ Luzern D 1-172.4 1713 1678 32.70% 26.43% 40.87%-0.14 +0.4 9
2012-08-12 Servette W 1-058.1 1653 1661 44.57% 26.23% 29.19%+0.27 +8.6 8
2012-08-12 @ Grasshopper L 0-158.1 1661 1653 29.19% 26.23% 44.57%-0.27 -8.6 1
2012-08-12 Thun W 3-158.9 1778 1702 54.91% 24.87% 20.22%+0.67 +10.3 9
2012-08-12 @ Basel L 1-358.9 1702 1778 20.22% 24.87% 54.91%-0.67 -10.3 7
2012-08-12 Zurich W 4-157.5 1738 1708 49.39% 25.76% 24.85%+0.45 +17.4 8
2012-08-12 @ Young Boys L 1-457.5 1708 1738 24.85% 25.76% 49.39%-0.45 -17.3 4
2012-08-18 Lausanne-Sport W 2-050.2 1789 1636 62.82% 22.80% 14.38%+1.04 +8.6 12
2012-08-18 @ Basel L 0-250.2 1636 1789 14.38% 22.80% 62.82%-1.04 -8.6 4
2012-08-18 St. Gallen L 0-163.0 1692 1714 42.78% 26.35% 30.87%+0.21 -11.5 7
2012-08-18 @ Thun W 1-063.0 1714 1692 30.87% 26.35% 42.78%-0.21 +11.5 12
2012-08-19 Grasshopper L 0-260.5 1677 1662 47.67% 25.96% 26.37%+0.38 -23.6 3
2012-08-19 @ Luzern W 2-060.5 1662 1677 26.37% 25.96% 47.67%-0.38 +23.6 11
2012-08-19 Young Boys W 1-057.9 1787 1755 49.80% 25.71% 24.49%+0.46 +7.4 16
2012-08-19 @ Sion L 0-157.9 1755 1787 24.49% 25.71% 49.80%-0.46 -7.4 8
2012-08-19 Zurich D 1-172.0 1653 1691 40.47% 26.45% 33.08%+0.13 -0.4 2
2012-08-19 @ Servette D 1-172.0 1691 1653 33.08% 26.45% 40.47%-0.13 +0.4 5
2012-08-25 Basel W 2-168.1 1725 1797 35.64% 26.50% 37.86%-0.04 +9.8 15
2012-08-25 @ St. Gallen L 1-268.1 1797 1725 37.86% 26.50% 35.64%+0.04 -9.8 12
2012-08-25 Thun W 1-058.1 1685 1681 46.25% 26.10% 27.65%+0.33 +8.2 14
2012-08-25 @ Grasshopper L 0-158.1 1681 1685 27.65% 26.10% 46.25%-0.33 -8.2 7
2012-08-26 Lausanne-Sport D 0-068.1 1748 1627 59.62% 23.76% 16.62%+0.88 -2.9 9
2012-08-26 @ Young Boys D 0-068.1 1627 1748 16.62% 23.76% 59.62%-0.88 +2.9 5
2012-08-26 Luzern L 0-259.5 1652 1654 45.47% 26.17% 28.37%+0.30 -22.7 2
2012-08-26 @ Servette W 2-059.5 1654 1652 28.37% 26.17% 45.47%-0.30 +22.7 6
2012-08-26 Sion W 1-063.3 1691 1795 31.37% 26.38% 42.25%-0.19 +11.3 8
2012-08-26 @ Zurich L 0-163.3 1795 1691 42.25% 26.38% 31.37%+0.19 -11.3 16
2012-09-01 Grasshopper L 0-257.3 1630 1694 36.91% 26.51% 36.58%+0.01 -19.3 5
2012-09-01 @ Lausanne-Sport W 2-057.3 1694 1630 36.58% 26.51% 36.91%-0.01 +19.3 17
2012-09-01 St. Gallen L 0-360.6 1784 1735 51.75% 25.43% 22.82%+0.54 -36.7 16
2012-09-01 @ Sion W 3-060.6 1735 1784 22.82% 25.43% 51.75%-0.54 +36.7 18
2012-09-02 Servette W 3-050.7 1673 1630 51.05% 25.53% 23.42%+0.51 +19.6 10
2012-09-02 @ Thun L 0-350.7 1630 1673 23.42% 25.53% 51.05%-0.51 -19.6 2
2012-09-02 Young Boys L 1-267.2 1676 1745 36.21% 26.51% 37.28%-0.02 -9.5 6
2012-09-02 @ Luzern W 2-167.2 1745 1676 37.28% 26.51% 36.21%+0.02 +9.5 12
2012-09-02 Zurich D 0-068.5 1787 1703 55.88% 24.67% 19.45%+0.71 -2.4 13
2012-09-02 @ Basel D 0-068.5 1703 1787 19.45% 24.67% 55.88%-0.71 +2.4 9
2012-09-22 Grasshopper L 0-163.6 1705 1713 44.63% 26.23% 29.14%+0.27 -11.8 9
2012-09-22 @ Zurich W 1-063.6 1713 1705 29.14% 26.23% 44.63%-0.27 +11.8 20
2012-09-22 Thun W 2-162.7 1747 1692 52.47% 25.31% 22.21%+0.57 +6.4 19
2012-09-22 @ Sion L 1-262.7 1692 1747 22.21% 25.31% 52.47%-0.57 -6.4 10
2012-09-23 Basel D 1-173.0 1754 1785 41.48% 26.41% 32.11%+0.16 -0.5 13
2012-09-23 @ Young Boys D 1-173.0 1785 1754 32.11% 26.41% 41.48%-0.16 +0.5 14
2012-09-23 Luzern W 1-059.6 1611 1667 37.96% 26.50% 35.54%+0.04 +10.0 8
2012-09-23 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-159.6 1667 1611 35.54% 26.50% 37.96%-0.04 -9.9 6
2012-09-23 Servette W 2-049.7 1772 1610 63.64% 22.53% 13.83%+1.08 +8.2 21
2012-09-23 @ St. Gallen L 0-249.7 1610 1772 13.83% 22.53% 63.64%-1.08 -8.2 2
2012-09-26 Lausanne-Sport L 0-160.8 1602 1621 43.11% 26.33% 30.56%+0.22 -11.5 2
2012-09-26 @ Servette W 1-060.8 1621 1602 30.56% 26.33% 43.11%-0.22 +11.5 11
2012-09-26 Sion W 4-157.8 1786 1753 49.76% 25.71% 24.53%+0.46 +17.2 17
2012-09-26 @ Basel L 1-457.8 1753 1786 24.53% 25.71% 49.76%-0.46 -17.2 19
2012-09-26 St. Gallen L 0-257.3 1693 1780 33.64% 26.47% 39.90%-0.11 -18.0 9
2012-09-26 @ Zurich W 2-057.3 1780 1693 39.90% 26.47% 33.64%+0.11 +18.0 24
2012-09-27 Luzern W 2-052.6 1725 1657 53.97% 25.05% 20.98%+0.63 +12.2 23
2012-09-27 @ Grasshopper L 0-252.6 1657 1725 20.98% 25.05% 53.97%-0.63 -12.2 6
2012-09-27 Young Boys W 2-167.6 1686 1754 36.24% 26.51% 37.26%-0.02 +9.7 13
2012-09-27 @ Thun L 1-267.6 1754 1686 37.26% 26.51% 36.24%+0.02 -9.7 13
2012-09-29 Basel D 1-172.9 1632 1803 23.56% 25.56% 50.88%-0.51 +1.6 12
2012-09-29 @ Lausanne-Sport D 1-172.9 1803 1632 50.88% 25.56% 23.56%+0.51 -1.5 18
2012-09-30 Servette W 6-252.3 1744 1590 62.90% 22.78% 14.32%+1.04 +11.5 16
2012-09-30 @ Young Boys L 2-652.3 1590 1744 14.32% 22.78% 62.90%-1.04 -11.4 2
2012-09-30 Thun W 2-166.1 1645 1695 38.72% 26.49% 34.79%+0.07 +9.2 9
2012-09-30 @ Luzern L 1-266.1 1695 1645 34.79% 26.49% 38.72%-0.07 -9.2 13
2012-09-30 Zurich D 2-279.0 1736 1675 53.19% 25.19% 21.62%+0.60 -1.4 20
2012-09-30 @ Sion D 2-279.0 1675 1736 21.62% 25.19% 53.19%-0.60 +1.4 10
2012-10-01 St. Gallen W 1-061.6 1737 1798 37.25% 26.51% 36.24%+0.02 +10.1 26
2012-10-01 @ Grasshopper L 0-161.6 1798 1737 36.24% 26.51% 37.25%-0.02 -10.1 24
2012-10-06 Grasshopper L 2-372.7 1686 1747 37.26% 26.51% 36.24%+0.02 -9.2 13
2012-10-06 @ Thun W 3-272.7 1747 1686 36.24% 26.51% 37.26%-0.02 +9.2 29
2012-10-06 Lausanne-Sport W 2-159.5 1788 1634 62.92% 22.77% 14.31%+1.04 +4.3 27
2012-10-06 @ St. Gallen L 1-259.5 1634 1788 14.31% 22.77% 62.92%-1.04 -4.3 12
2012-10-07 Luzern W 3-266.7 1735 1654 55.45% 24.76% 19.79%+0.69 +5.5 23
2012-10-07 @ Sion L 2-366.7 1654 1735 19.79% 24.76% 55.45%-0.69 -5.5 9
2012-10-07 Servette W 3-262.5 1801 1579 68.94% 20.49% 10.57%+1.37 +2.9 21
2012-10-07 @ Basel L 2-362.5 1579 1801 10.57% 20.49% 68.94%-1.37 -2.9 2
2012-10-07 Young Boys D 1-172.6 1677 1755 34.71% 26.49% 38.80%-0.07 +0.2 11
2012-10-07 @ Zurich D 1-172.6 1755 1677 38.80% 26.49% 34.71%+0.07 -0.2 17
2012-10-20 Sion D 1-172.5 1677 1740 36.90% 26.51% 36.59%+0.01 -0.0 14
2012-10-20 @ Thun D 1-172.5 1740 1677 36.59% 26.51% 36.90%-0.01 +0.0 24
2012-10-20 St. Gallen D 1-172.7 1576 1792 19.24% 24.61% 56.15%-0.73 +2.2 3
2012-10-20 @ Servette D 1-172.7 1792 1576 56.15% 24.61% 19.24%+0.73 -2.2 28
2012-10-21 Basel W 1-065.0 1648 1804 25.12% 25.80% 49.08%-0.44 +12.8 12
2012-10-21 @ Luzern L 0-165.0 1804 1648 49.08% 25.80% 25.12%+0.44 -12.8 21
2012-10-21 Young Boys W 3-270.2 1756 1755 45.79% 26.14% 28.07%+0.31 +7.4 32
2012-10-21 @ Grasshopper L 2-370.2 1755 1756 28.07% 26.14% 45.79%-0.31 -7.4 17
2012-10-21 Zurich L 0-257.8 1630 1677 39.22% 26.48% 34.30%+0.08 -20.2 12
2012-10-21 @ Lausanne-Sport W 2-057.8 1677 1630 34.30% 26.48% 39.22%-0.08 +20.2 14
2012-10-27 Lausanne-Sport D 1-172.9 1740 1610 60.69% 23.46% 15.85%+0.93 -2.7 25
2012-10-27 @ Sion D 1-172.9 1610 1740 15.85% 23.46% 60.69%-0.93 +2.7 13
2012-10-28 Basel L 1-266.4 1697 1791 32.60% 26.43% 40.97%-0.14 -8.8 14
2012-10-28 @ Zurich W 2-166.4 1791 1697 40.97% 26.43% 32.60%+0.14 +8.8 24
2012-10-28 Grasshopper W 2-061.8 1578 1764 22.03% 25.28% 52.69%-0.58 +25.7 6
2012-10-28 @ Servette L 0-261.8 1764 1578 52.69% 25.28% 22.03%+0.58 -25.7 32
2012-10-28 Thun W 1-054.9 1790 1677 58.89% 23.96% 17.16%+0.85 +5.4 31
2012-10-28 @ St. Gallen L 0-154.9 1677 1790 17.16% 23.96% 58.89%-0.85 -5.4 14
2012-11-03 Lausanne-Sport D 1-172.9 1738 1612 60.19% 23.60% 16.21%+0.91 -2.6 33
2012-11-03 @ Grasshopper D 1-172.9 1612 1738 16.21% 23.60% 60.19%-0.91 +2.6 14
2012-11-03 Young Boys W 2-053.9 1800 1748 52.19% 25.36% 22.46%+0.56 +13.0 27
2012-11-03 @ Basel L 0-253.9 1748 1800 22.46% 25.36% 52.19%-0.56 -13.0 17
2012-11-04 Servette D 1-171.3 1661 1604 52.79% 25.26% 21.95%+0.58 -1.8 13
2012-11-04 @ Luzern D 1-171.3 1604 1661 21.95% 25.26% 52.79%-0.58 +1.8 7
2012-11-04 Sion L 0-360.9 1795 1738 52.81% 25.26% 21.94%+0.58 -37.3 31
2012-11-04 @ St. Gallen W 3-060.9 1738 1795 21.94% 25.26% 52.81%-0.58 +37.3 28
2012-11-04 Zurich L 1-462.7 1672 1688 43.43% 26.31% 30.26%+0.23 -26.8 14
2012-11-04 @ Thun W 4-162.7 1688 1672 30.26% 26.31% 43.43%-0.23 +26.8 17
2012-11-17 Luzern L 0-262.1 1715 1660 52.55% 25.30% 22.15%+0.57 -25.6 17
2012-11-17 @ Zurich W 2-062.1 1660 1715 22.15% 25.30% 52.55%-0.57 +25.6 16
2012-11-17 Thun W 3-052.9 1615 1645 41.62% 26.40% 31.97%+0.17 +25.2 17
2012-11-17 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-352.9 1645 1615 31.97% 26.40% 41.62%-0.17 -25.2 14
2012-11-18 Grasshopper W 4-050.7 1813 1735 55.10% 24.83% 20.07%+0.68 +22.3 30
2012-11-18 @ Basel L 0-450.7 1735 1813 20.07% 24.83% 55.10%-0.68 -22.3 33
2012-11-18 Sion L 0-253.6 1606 1775 23.65% 25.57% 50.77%-0.50 -13.6 7
2012-11-18 @ Servette W 2-053.6 1775 1606 50.77% 25.57% 23.65%+0.50 +13.6 31
2012-11-18 St. Gallen D 0-068.0 1735 1758 42.55% 26.36% 31.09%+0.20 -0.7 18
2012-11-18 @ Young Boys D 0-068.0 1758 1735 31.09% 26.36% 42.55%-0.20 +0.7 32
2012-11-24 Grasshopper D 1-173.4 1789 1713 54.86% 24.88% 20.26%+0.67 -2.0 32
2012-11-24 @ Sion D 1-173.4 1713 1789 20.26% 24.88% 54.86%-0.67 +2.0 34
2012-11-24 Servette L 0-262.2 1689 1592 57.25% 24.36% 18.39%+0.77 -27.6 17
2012-11-24 @ Zurich W 2-062.2 1592 1689 18.39% 24.36% 57.25%-0.77 +27.6 10
2012-11-25 Basel W 3-277.9 1620 1835 19.26% 24.61% 56.13%-0.72 +12.9 17
2012-11-25 @ Thun L 2-377.9 1835 1620 56.13% 24.61% 19.26%+0.72 -12.9 30
2012-11-25 Luzern D 1-173.1 1759 1685 54.63% 24.92% 20.45%+0.66 -2.0 33
2012-11-25 @ St. Gallen D 1-173.1 1685 1759 20.45% 24.92% 54.63%-0.66 +2.0 17
2012-11-25 Young Boys W 2-168.3 1640 1734 32.63% 26.43% 40.94%-0.14 +10.4 20
2012-11-25 @ Lausanne-Sport L 1-268.3 1734 1640 40.94% 26.43% 32.63%+0.14 -10.4 18
2012-11-28 Luzern W 2-163.2 1724 1687 50.28% 25.64% 24.07%+0.48 +6.9 21
2012-11-28 @ Young Boys L 1-263.2 1687 1724 24.07% 25.64% 50.28%-0.48 -6.9 17
2012-12-01 Lausanne-Sport D 0-067.1 1680 1650 49.45% 25.75% 24.79%+0.45 -1.6 18
2012-12-01 @ Luzern D 0-067.1 1650 1680 24.79% 25.75% 49.45%-0.45 +1.6 21
2012-12-01 St. Gallen W 1-056.8 1823 1757 53.77% 25.09% 21.14%+0.62 +6.5 33
2012-12-01 @ Basel L 0-156.8 1757 1823 21.14% 25.09% 53.77%-0.62 -6.5 33
2012-12-02 Sion W 3-164.2 1731 1787 37.95% 26.50% 35.55%+0.04 +16.2 24
2012-12-02 @ Young Boys L 1-364.2 1787 1731 35.55% 26.50% 37.95%-0.04 -16.2 32
2012-12-02 Thun D 0-065.8 1620 1632 43.94% 26.28% 29.78%+0.25 -0.9 11
2012-12-02 @ Servette D 0-065.8 1632 1620 29.78% 26.28% 43.94%-0.25 +0.9 18
2012-12-02 Zurich W 1-056.4 1715 1662 52.30% 25.34% 22.36%+0.56 +6.9 37
2012-12-02 @ Grasshopper L 0-156.4 1662 1715 22.36% 25.34% 52.30%-0.56 -6.9 17
2013-02-09 Grasshopper L 0-159.1 1619 1722 31.42% 26.38% 42.20%-0.19 -9.1 11
2013-02-09 @ Servette W 1-059.1 1722 1619 42.20% 26.38% 31.42%+0.19 +9.1 40
2013-02-09 Luzern W 3-267.3 1747 1679 54.02% 25.04% 20.94%+0.63 +5.8 27
2013-02-09 @ Young Boys L 2-367.3 1679 1747 20.94% 25.04% 54.02%-0.63 -5.8 18
2013-02-10 Lausanne-Sport W 2-054.2 1655 1652 46.03% 26.12% 27.85%+0.32 +15.5 20
2013-02-10 @ Zurich L 0-254.2 1652 1655 27.85% 26.12% 46.03%-0.32 -15.5 21
2013-02-10 Sion W 3-051.8 1829 1770 52.94% 25.23% 21.82%+0.59 +18.4 36
2013-02-10 @ Basel L 0-351.8 1770 1829 21.82% 25.23% 52.94%-0.59 -18.4 32
2013-02-16 St. Gallen W 1-059.0 1752 1750 45.89% 26.13% 27.98%+0.32 +8.3 35
2013-02-16 @ Sion L 0-159.0 1750 1752 27.98% 26.13% 45.89%-0.32 -8.3 33
2013-02-16 Young Boys W 2-056.5 1731 1753 42.76% 26.35% 30.89%+0.20 +16.9 43
2013-02-16 @ Grasshopper L 0-256.5 1753 1731 30.89% 26.35% 42.76%-0.20 -16.9 27
2013-02-17 Basel L 1-262.0 1636 1848 19.67% 24.73% 55.60%-0.70 -5.8 21
2013-02-17 @ Lausanne-Sport W 2-162.0 1848 1636 55.60% 24.73% 19.67%+0.70 +5.8 39
2013-02-17 Servette D 1-170.8 1633 1610 48.69% 25.85% 25.46%+0.42 -1.3 19
2013-02-17 @ Thun D 1-170.8 1610 1633 25.46% 25.85% 48.69%-0.42 +1.3 12
2013-02-17 Zurich D 1-172.1 1673 1670 45.97% 26.12% 27.91%+0.32 -1.0 19
2013-02-17 @ Luzern D 1-172.1 1670 1673 27.91% 26.12% 45.97%-0.32 +1.0 21
2013-02-23 Lausanne-Sport W 1-057.5 1611 1631 43.02% 26.34% 30.65%+0.21 +8.9 15
2013-02-23 @ Servette L 0-157.5 1631 1611 30.65% 26.34% 43.02%-0.21 -8.9 21
2013-02-23 Young Boys W 4-055.6 1671 1736 36.77% 26.51% 36.72%+0.00 +36.5 24
2013-02-23 @ Zurich L 0-455.6 1736 1671 36.72% 26.51% 36.77%+0.00 -36.5 27
2013-02-24 Grasshopper D 0-068.9 1853 1748 58.11% 24.15% 17.74%+0.81 -2.7 40
2013-02-24 @ Basel D 0-068.9 1748 1853 17.74% 24.15% 58.11%-0.81 +2.7 44
2013-02-24 Luzern W 4-050.4 1742 1672 54.23% 25.00% 20.77%+0.64 +23.0 36
2013-02-24 @ St. Gallen L 0-450.4 1672 1742 20.77% 25.00% 54.23%-0.64 -23.0 19
2013-02-24 Sion W 4-058.0 1632 1760 28.28% 26.16% 45.56%-0.30 +43.1 22
2013-02-24 @ Thun L 0-458.0 1760 1632 45.56% 26.16% 28.28%+0.30 -43.1 35
2013-03-02 Sion W 3-161.8 1708 1717 44.44% 26.24% 29.32%+0.26 +14.0 27
2013-03-02 @ Zurich L 1-361.8 1717 1708 29.32% 26.24% 44.44%-0.26 -14.0 35
2013-03-02 Thun D 0-066.8 1649 1675 42.12% 26.38% 31.50%+0.18 -0.6 20
2013-03-02 @ Luzern D 0-066.8 1675 1649 31.50% 26.38% 42.12%-0.18 +0.6 23
2013-03-03 Basel L 1-261.3 1620 1851 18.02% 24.25% 57.73%-0.80 -5.3 15
2013-03-03 @ Servette W 2-161.3 1851 1620 57.73% 24.25% 18.02%+0.80 +5.3 43
2013-03-03 Grasshopper D 0-067.4 1622 1751 28.21% 26.15% 45.63%-0.31 +1.1 22
2013-03-03 @ Lausanne-Sport D 0-067.4 1751 1622 45.63% 26.15% 28.21%+0.31 -1.1 45
2013-03-03 St. Gallen W 2-058.3 1699 1765 36.58% 26.51% 36.91%-0.01 +19.3 30
2013-03-03 @ Young Boys L 0-258.3 1765 1699 36.91% 26.51% 36.58%+0.01 -19.3 36
2013-03-09 Servette D 1-171.2 1648 1615 49.93% 25.69% 24.38%+0.47 -1.5 21
2013-03-09 @ Luzern D 1-171.2 1615 1648 24.38% 25.69% 49.93%-0.47 +1.4 16
2013-03-09 St. Gallen W 3-161.6 1749 1746 46.16% 26.11% 27.73%+0.33 +13.4 48
2013-03-09 @ Grasshopper L 1-361.6 1746 1749 27.73% 26.11% 46.16%-0.33 -13.4 36
2013-03-10 Lausanne-Sport L 0-165.6 1703 1623 55.38% 24.77% 19.85%+0.69 -14.2 35
2013-03-10 @ Sion W 1-065.6 1623 1703 19.85% 24.77% 55.38%-0.69 +14.2 25
2013-03-10 Young Boys W 3-049.2 1856 1719 61.35% 23.26% 15.39%+0.97 +13.3 46
2013-03-10 @ Basel L 0-349.2 1719 1856 15.39% 23.26% 61.35%-0.97 -13.3 30
2013-03-10 Zurich L 0-456.3 1676 1722 39.35% 26.48% 34.17%+0.09 -38.4 23
2013-03-10 @ Thun W 4-056.3 1722 1676 34.17% 26.48% 39.35%-0.09 +38.4 30
2013-03-13 Thun D 0-067.8 1732 1637 56.97% 24.43% 18.60%+0.76 -2.5 37
2013-03-13 @ St. Gallen D 0-067.8 1637 1732 18.60% 24.43% 56.97%-0.76 +2.5 24
2013-03-16 Lausanne-Sport W 3-157.7 1730 1637 56.73% 24.48% 18.79%+0.75 +9.6 40
2013-03-16 @ St. Gallen L 1-357.7 1637 1730 18.79% 24.48% 56.73%-0.75 -9.6 25
2013-03-16 Zurich L 1-263.8 1616 1760 26.38% 25.96% 47.66%-0.38 -7.4 16
2013-03-16 @ Servette W 2-163.8 1760 1616 47.66% 25.96% 26.38%+0.38 +7.4 33
2013-03-17 Luzern D 0-068.3 1763 1647 59.22% 23.87% 16.92%+0.86 -2.8 49
2013-03-17 @ Grasshopper D 0-068.3 1647 1763 16.92% 23.87% 59.22%-0.86 +2.8 22
2013-03-17 Sion D 0-067.6 1705 1689 47.77% 25.95% 26.28%+0.39 -1.4 31
2013-03-17 @ Young Boys D 0-067.6 1689 1705 26.28% 25.95% 47.77%-0.39 +1.4 36
2013-03-17 Thun W 1-051.9 1869 1640 69.52% 20.23% 10.25%+1.41 +3.2 49
2013-03-17 @ Basel L 0-151.9 1640 1869 10.25% 20.23% 69.52%-1.41 -3.2 24
2013-03-30 Grasshopper W 1-063.5 1637 1760 28.87% 26.21% 44.92%-0.28 +11.9 27
2013-03-30 @ Thun L 0-163.5 1760 1637 44.92% 26.21% 28.87%+0.28 -11.9 49
2013-03-30 Servette D 1-172.0 1690 1609 55.54% 24.74% 19.72%+0.70 -2.1 37
2013-03-30 @ Sion D 1-172.0 1609 1690 19.72% 24.74% 55.54%-0.70 +2.1 17
2013-03-30 St. Gallen L 1-368.0 1768 1739 49.31% 25.77% 24.92%+0.45 -21.0 33
2013-03-30 @ Zurich W 3-168.0 1739 1768 24.92% 25.77% 49.31%-0.45 +21.0 43
2013-04-01 Basel L 0-450.1 1650 1872 18.66% 24.44% 56.90%-0.76 -20.9 22
2013-04-01 @ Luzern W 4-050.1 1872 1650 56.90% 24.44% 18.66%+0.76 +20.9 52
2013-04-01 Young Boys D 0-066.9 1627 1704 35.05% 26.50% 38.46%-0.06 +0.2 26
2013-04-01 @ Lausanne-Sport D 0-066.9 1704 1627 38.46% 26.50% 35.05%+0.06 -0.2 32
2013-04-06 Grasshopper L 2-470.7 1747 1748 45.47% 26.17% 28.36%+0.30 -17.6 33
2013-04-06 @ Zurich W 4-270.7 1748 1747 28.36% 26.17% 45.47%-0.30 +17.6 52
2013-04-06 Luzern W 2-161.6 1688 1629 53.02% 25.22% 21.76%+0.59 +6.3 40
2013-04-06 @ Sion L 1-261.6 1629 1688 21.76% 25.22% 53.02%-0.59 -6.3 22
2013-04-07 Basel D 1-173.3 1760 1893 27.68% 26.10% 46.21%-0.33 +1.0 44
2013-04-07 @ St. Gallen D 1-173.3 1893 1760 46.21% 26.10% 27.68%+0.33 -1.0 53
2013-04-07 Servette L 0-262.5 1704 1611 56.79% 24.47% 18.75%+0.75 -27.4 32
2013-04-07 @ Young Boys W 2-062.5 1611 1704 18.75% 24.47% 56.79%-0.75 +27.4 20
2013-04-07 Thun L 2-468.2 1628 1649 42.85% 26.34% 30.81%+0.21 -16.8 26
2013-04-07 @ Lausanne-Sport W 4-268.2 1649 1628 30.81% 26.34% 42.85%-0.21 +16.8 30
2013-04-13 Lausanne-Sport W 1-056.1 1622 1611 47.13% 26.02% 26.85%+0.36 +8.0 25
2013-04-13 @ Luzern L 0-156.1 1611 1622 26.85% 26.02% 47.13%-0.36 -8.0 26
2013-04-13 St. Gallen L 1-361.5 1638 1761 28.88% 26.21% 44.91%-0.28 -13.9 20
2013-04-13 @ Servette W 3-161.5 1761 1638 44.91% 26.21% 28.88%+0.28 +13.9 47
2013-04-14 Sion D 1-173.2 1766 1694 54.38% 24.97% 20.65%+0.65 -2.0 53
2013-04-14 @ Grasshopper D 1-173.2 1694 1766 20.65% 24.97% 54.38%-0.65 +2.0 41
2013-04-14 Thun L 1-269.7 1676 1665 47.07% 26.02% 26.91%+0.36 -11.7 32
2013-04-14 @ Young Boys W 2-169.7 1665 1676 26.91% 26.02% 47.07%-0.36 +11.7 33
2013-04-14 Zurich W 3-156.6 1892 1729 63.79% 22.48% 13.73%+1.09 +7.1 56
2013-04-14 @ Basel L 1-356.6 1729 1892 13.73% 22.48% 63.79%-1.09 -7.1 33
2013-04-20 Servette W 4-048.9 1722 1624 57.32% 24.35% 18.34%+0.78 +20.6 36
2013-04-20 @ Zurich L 0-448.9 1624 1722 18.34% 24.35% 57.32%-0.78 -20.6 20
2013-04-20 St. Gallen L 1-359.5 1603 1775 23.36% 25.53% 51.11%-0.52 -11.6 26
2013-04-20 @ Lausanne-Sport W 3-159.5 1775 1603 51.11% 25.53% 23.36%+0.52 +11.6 50
2013-04-21 Basel D 2-279.8 1677 1899 18.71% 24.46% 56.84%-0.76 +1.7 34
2013-04-21 @ Thun D 2-279.8 1899 1677 56.84% 24.46% 18.71%+0.76 -1.7 57
2013-04-21 Grasshopper D 1-172.5 1630 1764 27.65% 26.10% 46.25%-0.33 +1.0 26
2013-04-21 @ Luzern D 1-172.5 1764 1630 46.25% 26.10% 27.65%+0.33 -1.0 54
2013-04-21 Young Boys D 0-067.4 1696 1665 49.70% 25.72% 24.58%+0.46 -1.6 42
2013-04-21 @ Sion D 0-067.4 1665 1696 24.58% 25.72% 49.70%-0.46 +1.6 33
2013-04-27 Thun L 0-263.3 1763 1679 55.80% 24.68% 19.51%+0.71 -27.0 54
2013-04-27 @ Grasshopper W 2-063.3 1679 1763 19.51% 24.68% 55.80%-0.71 +27.0 37
2013-04-28 Lausanne-Sport W 3-157.0 1666 1591 54.79% 24.89% 20.32%+0.67 +10.3 36
2013-04-28 @ Young Boys L 1-357.0 1591 1666 20.32% 24.89% 54.79%-0.67 -10.3 26
2013-04-28 Luzern L 0-364.9 1898 1631 72.41% 18.89% 8.70%+1.58 -48.6 57
2013-04-28 @ Basel W 3-064.9 1631 1898 8.70% 18.89% 72.41%-1.58 +48.6 29
2013-04-28 Zurich L 1-271.8 1787 1743 51.20% 25.51% 23.29%+0.52 -12.5 50
2013-04-28 @ St. Gallen W 2-171.8 1743 1787 23.29% 25.51% 51.20%-0.52 +12.5 39
2013-05-03 Zurich D 1-172.2 1581 1755 23.15% 25.49% 51.36%-0.53 +1.6 27
2013-05-03 @ Lausanne-Sport D 1-172.2 1755 1581 51.36% 25.49% 23.15%+0.53 -1.6 40
2013-05-04 Servette W 2-050.2 1736 1604 60.83% 23.42% 15.75%+0.94 +9.4 57
2013-05-04 @ Grasshopper L 0-250.2 1604 1736 15.75% 23.42% 60.83%-0.94 -9.4 20
2013-05-04 Young Boys W 3-158.1 1774 1677 57.29% 24.35% 18.36%+0.78 +9.4 53
2013-05-04 @ St. Gallen L 1-358.1 1677 1774 18.36% 24.35% 57.29%-0.78 -9.4 36
2013-05-05 Basel L 0-158.2 1695 1849 25.26% 25.82% 48.92%-0.43 -7.6 42
2013-05-05 @ Sion W 1-058.2 1849 1695 48.92% 25.82% 25.26%+0.43 +7.6 60
2013-05-05 Luzern D 1-172.5 1706 1680 48.95% 25.82% 25.23%+0.43 -1.3 38
2013-05-05 @ Thun D 1-172.5 1680 1706 25.23% 25.82% 48.95%-0.43 +1.3 30
2013-05-07 Grasshopper W 4-056.2 1667 1745 34.82% 26.49% 38.69%-0.06 +37.9 39
2013-05-07 @ Young Boys L 0-456.2 1745 1667 38.69% 26.49% 34.82%+0.06 -37.9 57
2013-05-08 Basel W 3-166.3 1754 1857 31.43% 26.38% 42.19%-0.19 +18.5 43
2013-05-08 @ Zurich L 1-366.3 1857 1754 42.19% 26.38% 31.43%+0.19 -18.5 60
2013-05-08 Sion L 1-360.9 1583 1687 31.24% 26.37% 42.40%-0.19 -14.7 27
2013-05-08 @ Lausanne-Sport W 3-160.9 1687 1583 42.40% 26.37% 31.24%+0.19 +14.7 45
2013-05-08 St. Gallen W 2-059.8 1681 1784 31.53% 26.38% 42.08%-0.18 +21.3 33
2013-05-08 @ Luzern L 0-259.8 1784 1681 42.08% 26.38% 31.53%+0.18 -21.3 53
2013-05-09 Thun W 2-058.8 1594 1704 30.52% 26.33% 43.15%-0.22 +21.7 23
2013-05-09 @ Servette L 0-258.8 1704 1594 43.15% 26.33% 30.52%+0.22 -21.7 38
2013-05-11 Sion W 5-051.5 1762 1702 53.13% 25.20% 21.67%+0.60 +29.5 56
2013-05-11 @ St. Gallen L 0-551.5 1702 1762 21.67% 25.20% 53.13%-0.60 -29.5 45
2013-05-11 Young Boys W 3-161.5 1703 1705 45.33% 26.18% 28.49%+0.30 +13.7 36
2013-05-11 @ Luzern L 1-361.5 1705 1703 28.49% 26.18% 45.33%-0.30 -13.7 39
2013-05-12 Lausanne-Sport W 2-049.5 1683 1568 59.08% 23.91% 17.02%+0.86 +10.1 41
2013-05-12 @ Thun L 0-249.5 1568 1683 17.02% 23.91% 59.08%-0.86 -10.1 27
2013-05-12 Servette W 2-048.5 1838 1616 68.94% 20.48% 10.57%+1.37 +6.2 63
2013-05-12 @ Basel L 0-248.5 1616 1838 10.57% 20.48% 68.94%-1.37 -6.2 23
2013-05-12 Zurich L 0-161.6 1707 1772 36.68% 26.51% 36.81%+0.00 -10.2 57
2013-05-12 @ Grasshopper W 1-061.6 1772 1707 36.81% 26.51% 36.68%+0.00 +10.2 46
2013-05-16 Grasshopper L 0-457.0 1672 1697 42.35% 26.37% 31.28%+0.19 -40.7 45
2013-05-16 @ Sion W 4-057.0 1697 1672 31.28% 26.37% 42.35%-0.19 +40.6 60
2013-05-16 Lausanne-Sport W 2-046.8 1844 1558 73.90% 18.15% 7.95%+1.68 +4.5 66
2013-05-16 @ Basel L 0-246.8 1558 1844 7.95% 18.15% 73.90%-1.68 -4.5 27
2013-05-17 St. Gallen W 3-057.8 1693 1792 31.96% 26.40% 41.64%-0.17 +30.7 44
2013-05-17 @ Thun L 0-357.8 1792 1693 41.64% 26.40% 31.96%+0.17 -30.7 56
2013-05-18 Luzern W 4-156.4 1782 1716 53.77% 25.09% 21.14%+0.62 +15.1 49
2013-05-18 @ Zurich L 1-456.4 1716 1782 21.14% 25.09% 53.77%-0.62 -15.1 36
2013-05-18 Young Boys L 0-159.5 1610 1691 34.33% 26.48% 39.19%-0.08 -9.7 23
2013-05-18 @ Servette W 1-059.5 1691 1610 39.19% 26.48% 34.33%+0.08 +9.7 42
2013-05-22 Sion W 4-052.1 1600 1632 41.37% 26.42% 32.22%+0.16 +33.1 26
2013-05-22 @ Servette L 0-452.1 1632 1600 32.22% 26.42% 41.37%-0.16 -33.0 45
2013-05-25 Luzern W 3-057.5 1553 1701 25.97% 25.91% 48.12%-0.40 +34.5 30
2013-05-25 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-357.5 1701 1553 48.12% 25.91% 25.97%+0.40 -34.5 36
2013-05-25 Thun L 0-158.0 1599 1723 28.70% 26.20% 45.10%-0.29 -8.5 45
2013-05-25 @ Sion W 1-058.0 1723 1599 45.10% 26.20% 28.70%+0.29 +8.4 47
2013-05-26 Basel W 1-063.8 1738 1849 30.38% 26.32% 43.30%-0.22 +11.6 63
2013-05-26 @ Grasshopper L 0-163.8 1849 1738 43.30% 26.32% 30.38%+0.22 -11.6 66
2013-05-26 Servette W 4-153.9 1761 1633 60.41% 23.54% 16.05%+0.92 +11.7 59
2013-05-26 @ St. Gallen L 1-453.9 1633 1761 16.05% 23.54% 60.41%-0.92 -11.7 26
2013-05-26 Zurich L 2-466.8 1701 1797 32.31% 26.42% 41.27%-0.15 -13.5 42
2013-05-26 @ Young Boys W 4-266.8 1797 1701 41.27% 26.42% 32.31%+0.15 +13.5 52
2013-05-29 Basel L 0-158.3 1687 1837 25.75% 25.88% 48.36%-0.41 -7.7 42
2013-05-29 @ Young Boys W 1-058.3 1837 1687 48.36% 25.88% 25.75%+0.41 +7.7 69
2013-05-29 Grasshopper L 1-271.1 1773 1749 48.68% 25.85% 25.48%+0.42 -12.0 59
2013-05-29 @ St. Gallen W 2-171.1 1749 1773 25.48% 25.85% 48.68%-0.42 +12.0 66
2013-05-29 Servette W 3-052.1 1588 1621 41.10% 26.43% 32.48%+0.15 +25.5 33
2013-05-29 @ Lausanne-Sport L 0-352.1 1621 1588 32.48% 26.43% 41.10%-0.15 -25.5 26
2013-05-29 Sion W 2-050.8 1667 1590 54.96% 24.86% 20.18%+0.67 +11.8 39
2013-05-29 @ Luzern L 0-250.8 1590 1667 20.18% 24.86% 54.96%-0.67 -11.8 45
2013-05-29 Thun W 2-053.0 1811 1732 55.25% 24.80% 19.95%+0.69 +11.7 55
2013-05-29 @ Zurich L 0-253.0 1732 1811 19.95% 24.80% 55.25%-0.69 -11.7 47
2013-06-01 Lausanne-Sport W 4-153.2 1761 1613 62.37% 22.95% 14.68%+1.02 +10.7 69
2013-06-01 @ Grasshopper L 1-453.2 1613 1761 14.68% 22.95% 62.37%-1.02 -10.7 33
2013-06-01 Luzern L 3-472.6 1596 1679 34.19% 26.48% 39.33%-0.09 -8.4 26
2013-06-01 @ Servette W 4-372.6 1679 1596 39.33% 26.48% 34.19%+0.09 +8.4 42
2013-06-01 St. Gallen W 1-056.2 1845 1761 55.84% 24.68% 19.49%+0.71 +6.1 72
2013-06-01 @ Basel L 0-156.2 1761 1845 19.49% 24.68% 55.84%-0.71 -6.1 59
2013-06-01 Young Boys D 2-278.8 1720 1680 50.76% 25.58% 23.66%+0.50 -1.2 48
2013-06-01 @ Thun D 2-278.8 1680 1720 23.66% 25.58% 50.76%-0.50 +1.2 43
2013-06-01 Zurich W 4-273.6 1578 1823 16.97% 23.89% 59.13%-0.86 +22.0 48
2013-06-01 @ Sion L 2-473.6 1823 1578 59.13% 23.89% 16.97%+0.86 -22.0 55

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2013-04-28 8.70% Luzern 1631 3 @ Basel 1898 0
2 2013-06-01 16.97% @ Sion 1578 4 Zurich 1823 2
3 2012-11-24 18.39% Servette 1592 2 @ Zurich 1689 0
4 2012-07-22 18.74% Grasshopper 1636 1 @ Young Boys 1729 0
5 2013-04-07 18.75% Servette 1611 2 @ Young Boys 1704 0
6 2012-11-25 19.26% @ Thun 1620 3 Basel 1835 2
7 2013-04-27 19.51% Thun 1679 2 @ Grasshopper 1763 0
8 2013-03-10 19.85% Lausanne-Sport 1623 1 @ Sion 1703 0
9 2012-11-04 21.94% Sion 1738 3 @ St. Gallen 1795 0
10 2012-10-28 22.03% @ Servette 1578 2 Grasshopper 1764 0
11 2012-11-17 22.15% Luzern 1660 2 @ Zurich 1715 0
12 2012-09-01 22.82% St. Gallen 1735 3 @ Sion 1784 0
13 2013-04-28 23.29% Zurich 1743 2 @ St. Gallen 1787 1
14 2013-03-30 24.92% St. Gallen 1739 3 @ Zurich 1768 1
15 2012-10-21 25.12% @ Luzern 1648 1 Basel 1804 0
16 2013-05-29 25.48% Grasshopper 1749 2 @ St. Gallen 1773 1
17 2012-07-22 25.76% Thun 1694 2 @ Zurich 1715 0
18 2013-05-25 25.97% @ Lausanne-Sport 1553 3 Luzern 1701 0
19 2012-08-19 26.37% Grasshopper 1662 2 @ Luzern 1677 0
20 2013-04-14 26.91% Thun 1665 2 @ Young Boys 1676 1
21 2013-02-24 28.28% @ Thun 1632 4 Sion 1760 0
22 2013-04-06 28.36% Grasshopper 1748 4 @ Zurich 1747 2
23 2012-08-26 28.37% Luzern 1654 2 @ Servette 1652 0
24 2013-03-30 28.87% @ Thun 1637 1 Grasshopper 1760 0
25 2012-09-22 29.14% Grasshopper 1713 1 @ Zurich 1705 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2013-04-28 48.60 Luzern 3 1631 8.70% @ Basel 0 1898 72.41% 18.89%
2 2013-02-24 43.10 @ Thun 4 1632 28.28% Sion 0 1760 45.56% 26.16%
3 2013-05-16 40.65 Grasshopper 4 1697 31.28% @ Sion 0 1672 42.35% 26.37%
4 2013-03-10 38.40 Zurich 4 1722 34.17% @ Thun 0 1676 39.35% 26.48%
5 2013-05-07 37.90 @ Young Boys 4 1667 34.82% Grasshopper 0 1745 38.69% 26.49%
6 2012-11-04 37.35 Sion 3 1738 21.94% @ St. Gallen 0 1795 52.81% 25.26%
7 2012-09-01 36.71 St. Gallen 3 1735 22.82% @ Sion 0 1784 51.75% 25.43%
8 2013-02-23 36.46 @ Zurich 4 1671 36.77% Young Boys 0 1736 36.72% 26.51%
9 2013-05-25 34.51 @ Lausanne-Sport 3 1553 25.97% Luzern 0 1701 48.12% 25.91%
10 2013-05-22 33.05 @ Servette 4 1600 41.37% Sion 0 1632 32.22% 26.42%
11 2012-07-29 31.12 Sion 3 1741 31.27% @ Luzern 0 1717 42.36% 26.37%
12 2013-05-17 30.70 @ Thun 3 1693 31.96% St. Gallen 0 1792 41.64% 26.40%
13 2012-08-05 30.23 @ Zurich 4 1678 45.08% Lausanne-Sport 0 1682 28.73% 26.20%
14 2013-05-11 29.47 @ St. Gallen 5 1762 53.13% Sion 0 1702 21.67% 25.20%
15 2012-07-29 27.77 @ Lausanne-Sport 5 1655 41.02% Servette 1 1689 32.56% 26.43%
16 2012-11-24 27.59 Servette 2 1592 18.39% @ Zurich 0 1689 57.25% 24.36%
17 2013-04-07 27.39 Servette 2 1611 18.75% @ Young Boys 0 1704 56.79% 24.47%
18 2013-04-27 26.97 Thun 2 1679 19.51% @ Grasshopper 0 1763 55.80% 24.68%
19 2012-11-04 26.76 Zurich 4 1688 30.26% @ Thun 1 1672 43.43% 26.31%
20 2012-10-28 25.67 @ Servette 2 1578 22.03% Grasshopper 0 1764 52.69% 25.28%
21 2012-11-17 25.61 Luzern 2 1660 22.15% @ Zurich 0 1715 52.55% 25.30%
22 2013-05-29 25.46 @ Lausanne-Sport 3 1588 41.10% Servette 0 1621 32.48% 26.43%
23 2012-11-17 25.16 @ Lausanne-Sport 3 1615 41.62% Thun 0 1645 31.97% 26.40%
24 2012-07-22 23.86 Thun 2 1694 25.76% @ Zurich 0 1715 48.36% 25.88%
25 2012-08-19 23.58 Grasshopper 2 1662 26.37% @ Luzern 0 1677 47.67% 25.96%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2013-04-21 79.8 @ Thun 2 1677 18.71% Basel 2 1899 56.84% 24.46%
2 2012-07-21 79.4 @ Basel 2 1780 53.60% Luzern 2 1715 21.28% 25.12%
3 2012-09-30 79.0 @ Sion 2 1736 53.19% Zurich 2 1675 21.62% 25.19%
4 2012-07-28 78.8 @ Grasshopper 2 1651 28.35% Basel 2 1778 45.49% 26.16%
5 2013-06-01 78.8 @ Thun 2 1720 50.76% Young Boys 2 1680 23.66% 25.58%
6 2012-11-25 77.9 @ Thun 3 1620 19.26% Basel 2 1835 56.13% 24.61%
7 2013-06-01 73.6 @ Sion 4 1578 16.97% Zurich 2 1823 59.13% 23.89%
8 2012-11-24 73.4 @ Sion 1 1789 54.86% Grasshopper 1 1713 20.26% 24.88%
9 2013-04-07 73.3 @ St. Gallen 1 1760 27.68% Basel 1 1893 46.21% 26.10%
10 2013-04-14 73.2 @ Grasshopper 1 1766 54.38% Sion 1 1694 20.65% 24.97%
11 2012-08-04 73.1 @ Sion 1 1772 44.94% Basel 1 1778 28.85% 26.21%
12 2012-11-25 73.1 @ St. Gallen 1 1759 54.63% Luzern 1 1685 20.45% 24.92%
13 2012-09-23 73.0 @ Young Boys 1 1754 41.48% Basel 1 1785 32.11% 26.41%
14 2012-09-29 72.9 @ Lausanne-Sport 1 1632 23.56% Basel 1 1803 50.88% 25.56%
15 2012-10-27 72.9 @ Sion 1 1740 60.69% Lausanne-Sport 1 1610 15.85% 23.46%
16 2012-11-03 72.9 @ Grasshopper 1 1738 60.19% Lausanne-Sport 1 1612 16.21% 23.60%
17 2012-07-15 72.7 @ Luzern 1 1716 45.93% Zurich 1 1714 27.95% 26.13%
18 2012-10-06 72.7 Grasshopper 3 1747 36.24% @ Thun 2 1686 37.26% 26.51%
19 2012-10-20 72.7 @ Servette 1 1576 19.24% St. Gallen 1 1792 56.15% 24.61%
20 2012-07-15 72.6 @ St. Gallen 1 1691 40.51% Young Boys 1 1729 33.04% 26.45%
21 2012-08-04 72.6 @ St. Gallen 1 1715 53.51% Grasshopper 1 1651 21.36% 25.13%
22 2012-10-07 72.6 @ Zurich 1 1677 34.71% Young Boys 1 1755 38.80% 26.49%
23 2013-06-01 72.6 Luzern 4 1679 39.33% @ Servette 3 1596 34.19% 26.48%
24 2012-10-20 72.5 @ Thun 1 1677 36.90% Sion 1 1740 36.59% 26.51%
25 2013-04-21 72.5 @ Luzern 1 1630 27.65% Grasshopper 1 1764 46.25% 26.10%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2013-05-16 46.8 @ Basel 2 1844 73.90% Lausanne-Sport 0 1558 7.95% 18.15%
2 2013-05-12 48.5 @ Basel 2 1838 68.94% Servette 0 1616 10.57% 20.48%
3 2013-04-20 48.9 @ Zurich 4 1722 57.32% Servette 0 1624 18.34% 24.35%
4 2013-03-10 49.2 @ Basel 3 1856 61.35% Young Boys 0 1719 15.39% 23.26%
5 2013-05-12 49.5 @ Thun 2 1683 59.08% Lausanne-Sport 0 1568 17.02% 23.91%
6 2012-09-23 49.7 @ St. Gallen 2 1772 63.64% Servette 0 1610 13.83% 22.53%
7 2013-04-01 50.1 Basel 4 1872 56.90% @ Luzern 0 1650 18.66% 24.44%
8 2012-08-18 50.2 @ Basel 2 1789 62.82% Lausanne-Sport 0 1636 14.38% 22.80%
9 2013-05-04 50.2 @ Grasshopper 2 1736 60.83% Servette 0 1604 15.75% 23.42%
10 2013-02-24 50.4 @ St. Gallen 4 1742 54.23% Luzern 0 1672 20.77% 25.00%
11 2012-09-02 50.7 @ Thun 3 1673 51.05% Servette 0 1630 23.42% 25.53%
12 2012-11-18 50.7 @ Basel 4 1813 55.10% Grasshopper 0 1735 20.07% 24.83%
13 2013-05-29 50.8 @ Luzern 2 1667 54.96% Sion 0 1590 20.18% 24.86%
14 2013-05-11 51.5 @ St. Gallen 5 1762 53.13% Sion 0 1702 21.67% 25.20%
15 2013-02-10 51.8 @ Basel 3 1829 52.94% Sion 0 1770 21.82% 25.23%
16 2013-03-17 51.9 @ Basel 1 1869 69.52% Thun 0 1640 10.25% 20.23%
17 2013-05-22 52.1 @ Servette 4 1600 41.37% Sion 0 1632 32.22% 26.42%
18 2013-05-29 52.1 @ Lausanne-Sport 3 1588 41.10% Servette 0 1621 32.48% 26.43%
19 2012-09-30 52.3 @ Young Boys 6 1744 62.90% Servette 2 1590 14.32% 22.78%
20 2012-09-27 52.6 @ Grasshopper 2 1725 53.97% Luzern 0 1657 20.98% 25.05%
21 2012-08-05 52.7 @ Zurich 4 1678 45.08% Lausanne-Sport 0 1682 28.73% 26.20%
22 2012-11-17 52.9 @ Lausanne-Sport 3 1615 41.62% Thun 0 1645 31.97% 26.40%
23 2013-05-29 53.0 @ Zurich 2 1811 55.25% Thun 0 1732 19.95% 24.80%
24 2013-06-01 53.2 @ Grasshopper 4 1761 62.37% Lausanne-Sport 1 1613 14.68% 22.95%
25 2012-07-29 53.6 @ Young Boys 3 1715 45.23% Thun 0 1718 28.59% 26.19%