2019 WNBA Season
204 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Washington Mystics
1st Title
Runner-Up
Connecticut Sun
3
Last Appearance: 2005
Biggest Overachiever
Chicago Sky
3.39 wins above expected
20 wins · 16.61 expected wins
Biggest Disappointment
Atlanta Dream
4.45 wins below expected
8 wins · 12.45 expected wins
Final Standings
Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | W | L | Pct | GB | PPG | OPP | DIFF | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington Mystics League | 26 | 8 | .765 | — | 89.3 | 77.3 | +12.0 | 22.95 | +3.05 |
| 2 | Connecticut Sun Playoffs | 23 | 11 | .676 | 3 | 80.8 | 77.9 | +2.9 | 21.79 | +1.21 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Sparks Playoffs | 22 | 12 | .647 | 4 | 80.1 | 77.2 | +2.8 | 18.88 | +3.12 |
| 4 | Las Vegas Aces Playoffs | 21 | 13 | .618 | 5 | 82.2 | 78.8 | +3.4 | 19.17 | +1.83 |
| 5 | Chicago Sky Playoffs | 20 | 14 | .588 | 6 | 84.6 | 83.3 | +1.3 | 16.61 | +3.39 |
| 6 | Minnesota Lynx Playoffs | 18 | 16 | .529 | 8 | 78.4 | 75.9 | +2.5 | 17.43 | +0.57 |
| 7 | Seattle Storm Playoffs | 18 | 16 | .529 | 8 | 74.8 | 75.1 | -0.3 | 19.85 | -1.85 |
| 8 | Phoenix Mercury Playoffs | 15 | 19 | .441 | 11 | 76.5 | 77.6 | -1.1 | 18.06 | -3.06 |
| 9 | Indiana Fever | 13 | 21 | .382 | 13 | 77.6 | 80.3 | -2.7 | 12.86 | +0.14 |
| 10 | Dallas Wings | 10 | 24 | .294 | 16 | 71.6 | 77.4 | -5.8 | 12.54 | -2.54 |
| 11 | New York Liberty | 10 | 24 | .294 | 16 | 77.4 | 84.7 | -7.3 | 11.41 | -1.41 |
| 12 | Atlanta Dream | 8 | 26 | .235 | 18 | 71.2 | 78.9 | -7.6 | 12.45 | -4.45 |
Playoff Bracket
The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.
WNBA Playoffs
First Round
Second Round
Semifinals
WNBA Finals
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Actual | Avg. Wins | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Mystics | 1743 | 26 | 22.95 | +3.05 | 91.84% | 13 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 27 | 32 | ||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 1619 | 22 | 18.88 | +3.12 | 90.63% | 9 | 14 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 29 | ||
| Connecticut Sun | 1577 | 23 | 21.79 | +1.21 | 73.86% | 9 | 17 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 26 | 30 | ||
| Chicago Sky | 1570 | 20 | 16.61 | +3.39 | 92.19% | 5 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 21 | 27 | ||
| Minnesota Lynx | 1567 | 18 | 17.43 | +0.57 | 64.59% | 8 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 22 | 27 | ||
| Las Vegas Aces | 1552 | 21 | 19.17 | +1.83 | 79.81% | 8 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 24 | 29 | ||
| Seattle Storm | 1524 | 18 | 19.85 | -1.85 | 30.82% | 8 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 29 | ||
| Indiana Fever | 1455 | 13 | 12.86 | +0.14 | 60.32% | 4 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 24 | ||
| Phoenix Mercury | 1433 | 15 | 18.06 | -3.06 | 17.55% | 8 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 23 | 27 | ||
| Dallas Wings | 1361 | 10 | 12.54 | -2.54 | 22.06% | 4 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 17 | 22 | ||
| Atlanta Dream | 1304 | 8 | 12.45 | -4.45 | 6.21% | 3 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 17 | 23 | ||
| New York Liberty | 1296 | 10 | 11.41 | -1.41 | 37.16% | 3 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record (row vs column) and below it the expected number of wins the model predicted based on each individual game's win probability. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than half a win in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | Dream | Sky | Sun | Wings | Fever | Aces | Sparks | Lynx | Liberty | Mercury | Storm | Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | — |
0-3
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.7 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.9 exp.)
|
| Chicago Sky |
3-0
(2.0 exp.)
|
— |
2-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.3 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.0 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.6 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.3 exp.)
|
| Connecticut Sun |
3-1
(2.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
— |
2-1
(2.3 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.6 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.4 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.8 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.8 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
| Dallas Wings |
1-2
(1.6 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
— |
0-3
(1.7 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.8 exp.)
|
2-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.5 exp.)
|
| Indiana Fever |
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
— |
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.3 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.5 exp.)
|
| Las Vegas Aces |
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.2 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
|
— |
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Sparks |
3-0
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-2
(2.1 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
— |
3-0
(1.7 exp.)
|
1-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Lynx |
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.7 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.3 exp.)
|
— |
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.7 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.0 exp.)
|
| New York Liberty |
2-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.7 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
— |
1-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.5 exp.)
|
| Phoenix Mercury |
3-0
(2.2 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.4 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.6 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.0 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.6 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
— |
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
| Seattle Storm |
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
1-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.2 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
|
— |
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
| Washington Mystics |
3-0
(2.1 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.7 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.5 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.5 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.0 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
|
— |
Scoring Distribution
Histograms of points scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | — |
| Mean allowed | — |
| StdDev scored | — |
| StdDev allowed | — |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | — |
| Sample size (games) | — |
Actual vs. Point Differential
How points translated into wins. Teams above the cluster overperformed their points differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.
Top Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Sky | 20 | 16.61 | +3.39 |
| 2 | Los Angeles Sparks | 22 | 18.88 | +3.12 |
| 3 | Washington Mystics | 26 | 22.95 | +3.05 |
| 4 | Las Vegas Aces | 21 | 19.17 | +1.83 |
| 5 | Connecticut Sun | 23 | 21.79 | +1.21 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlanta Dream | 8 | 12.45 | -4.45 |
| 2 | Phoenix Mercury | 15 | 18.06 | -3.06 |
| 3 | Dallas Wings | 10 | 12.54 | -2.54 |
| 4 | Seattle Storm | 18 | 19.85 | -1.85 |
| 5 | New York Liberty | 10 | 11.41 | -1.41 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Liberty | 4 | Jun 28 – Jul 5 | 1 in 92 |
| 2 | Connecticut Sun | 7 | Jun 2 – Jun 21 | 1 in 29 |
| 3 | Chicago Sky | 4 | Jun 9 – Jun 19 | 1 in 24 |
| 4 | Dallas Wings | 3 | Aug 10 – Aug 16 | 1 in 23 |
| 5 | Las Vegas Aces | 5 | Jun 29 – Jul 13 | 1 in 22 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlanta Dream | 12 | Jul 14 – Aug 20 | 1 in 108 |
| 2 | Seattle Storm | 3 | Jun 30 – Jul 5 | 1 in 103 |
| 3 | Connecticut Sun | 5 | Jun 23 – Jul 10 | 1 in 94 |
| 4 | Washington Mystics | 3 | Jul 7 – Jul 13 | 1 in 37 |
| 5 | Minnesota Lynx | 4 | Jun 8 – Jun 16 | 1 in 34 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Finish Position Heatmaps
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Mystics | 44.61% | 24.58% | 13.32% | 7.89% | 4.99% | 2.58% | 1.35% | 0.45% | 0.16% | 0.07% | — | — |
| Connecticut Sun | 26.52% | 25.20% | 17.81% | 12.53% | 7.70% | 5.09% | 2.93% | 1.47% | 0.47% | 0.23% | 0.03% | 0.02% |
| Seattle Storm | 9.03% | 14.75% | 17.63% | 16.46% | 14.05% | 11.65% | 7.96% | 4.81% | 2.34% | 1.00% | 0.29% | 0.03% |
| Las Vegas Aces | 7.47% | 11.52% | 14.04% | 15.40% | 14.34% | 12.88% | 10.57% | 7.33% | 4.01% | 1.49% | 0.71% | 0.24% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 5.76% | 9.92% | 13.17% | 14.98% | 15.33% | 13.91% | 11.69% | 8.17% | 3.71% | 2.13% | 1.04% | 0.19% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 3.14% | 6.06% | 10.18% | 12.11% | 14.61% | 15.89% | 14.67% | 11.91% | 6.27% | 3.35% | 1.29% | 0.52% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 2.31% | 5.09% | 8.22% | 10.17% | 13.41% | 14.24% | 15.79% | 13.36% | 9.19% | 4.56% | 2.58% | 1.08% |
| Chicago Sky | 1.09% | 2.60% | 4.72% | 8.28% | 10.52% | 14.32% | 16.81% | 17.46% | 12.06% | 6.99% | 3.58% | 1.57% |
| Indiana Fever | 0.04% | 0.07% | 0.41% | 0.69% | 1.84% | 3.31% | 5.63% | 10.85% | 17.35% | 21.08% | 21.02% | 17.71% |
| Dallas Wings | 0.01% | 0.13% | 0.22% | 0.67% | 1.49% | 2.57% | 4.65% | 10.07% | 16.94% | 21.58% | 21.87% | 19.80% |
| Atlanta Dream | 0.02% | 0.05% | 0.20% | 0.62% | 1.08% | 2.44% | 4.95% | 8.76% | 16.46% | 20.02% | 23.79% | 21.61% |
| New York Liberty | — | 0.03% | 0.08% | 0.20% | 0.64% | 1.12% | 3.00% | 5.36% | 11.04% | 17.50% | 23.80% | 37.23% |
Win Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | 5 Seed | 6 Seed | 7 Seed | 8 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Mystics | 44.61% | 24.58% | 13.32% | 7.89% | 4.99% | 2.58% | 1.35% | 0.45% | 0.23% |
| Connecticut Sun | 26.52% | 25.20% | 17.81% | 12.53% | 7.70% | 5.09% | 2.93% | 1.47% | 0.75% |
| Seattle Storm | 9.03% | 14.75% | 17.63% | 16.46% | 14.05% | 11.65% | 7.96% | 4.81% | 3.66% |
| Las Vegas Aces | 7.47% | 11.52% | 14.04% | 15.40% | 14.34% | 12.88% | 10.57% | 7.33% | 6.45% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 5.76% | 9.92% | 13.17% | 14.98% | 15.33% | 13.91% | 11.69% | 8.17% | 7.07% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 3.14% | 6.06% | 10.18% | 12.11% | 14.61% | 15.89% | 14.67% | 11.91% | 11.43% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 2.31% | 5.09% | 8.22% | 10.17% | 13.41% | 14.24% | 15.79% | 13.36% | 17.41% |
| Chicago Sky | 1.09% | 2.60% | 4.72% | 8.28% | 10.52% | 14.32% | 16.81% | 17.46% | 24.20% |
| Indiana Fever | 0.04% | 0.07% | 0.41% | 0.69% | 1.84% | 3.31% | 5.63% | 10.85% | 77.16% |
| Atlanta Dream | 0.02% | 0.05% | 0.20% | 0.62% | 1.08% | 2.44% | 4.95% | 8.76% | 81.88% |
| Dallas Wings | 0.01% | 0.13% | 0.22% | 0.67% | 1.49% | 2.57% | 4.65% | 10.07% | 80.19% |
| New York Liberty | — | 0.03% | 0.08% | 0.20% | 0.64% | 1.12% | 3.00% | 5.36% | 89.57% |
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Elo Through the Playoffs
How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Mystics | 91.71% | 91.71% | 75.20% | 58.93% |
| Connecticut Sun | 75.35% | 75.35% | 35.40% | 11.22% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 61.31% | 52.41% | 26.91% | 11.06% |
| Las Vegas Aces | 54.47% | 46.32% | 17.49% | 5.60% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 49.88% | 31.96% | 12.84% | 4.64% |
| Seattle Storm | 54.98% | 49.27% | 16.46% | 4.11% |
| Chicago Sky | 45.10% | 24.54% | 10.40% | 3.56% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 43.82% | 23.39% | 4.34% | 0.73% |
| Indiana Fever | 8.74% | 2.72% | 0.68% | 0.11% |
| Dallas Wings | 5.47% | 1.25% | 0.18% | 0.03% |
| Atlanta Dream | 4.02% | 0.69% | 0.06% | 0.01% |
| New York Liberty | 1.94% | 0.39% | 0.04% | — |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Indiana Fever | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 0.06% | 0.04% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.06% | 0.08% | 0.07% | 0.01% | 0.12% | 0.14% | 0.01% | |
| Chicago Sky | 0.18% | 2.91% | 0.18% | 0.25% | 3.45% | 3.25% | 2.21% | 0.06% | 3.44% | 3.94% | 0.98% | |
| Connecticut Sun | 0.43% | 3.80% | 0.60% | 0.94% | 3.45% | 3.32% | 3.77% | 0.28% | 3.48% | 3.08% | 0.48% | |
| Dallas Wings | 0.01% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.02% | 0.21% | 0.11% | 0.08% | 0.24% | 0.23% | 0.04% | ||
| Indiana Fever | 0.03% | 0.18% | 0.37% | 0.01% | 0.38% | 0.32% | 0.26% | 0.01% | 0.42% | 0.49% | 0.14% | |
| Las Vegas Aces | 0.60% | 3.38% | 2.45% | 0.81% | 0.77% | 4.20% | 4.40% | 0.20% | 4.46% | 5.12% | 0.94% | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.50% | 4.93% | 3.51% | 0.91% | 1.22% | 5.97% | 5.36% | 0.28% | 6.03% | 6.39% | 1.63% | |
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.31% | 2.73% | 3.17% | 0.35% | 0.47% | 4.03% | 3.48% | 0.15% | 4.14% | 4.60% | 1.13% | |
| New York Liberty | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.06% | 0.06% | 0.04% | 0.02% | 0.04% | 0.09% | 0.02% | |||
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.25% | 1.76% | 1.68% | 0.30% | 0.40% | 2.38% | 2.20% | 1.86% | 0.11% | 2.78% | 0.47% | |
| Seattle Storm | 0.60% | 3.75% | 2.03% | 0.73% | 1.13% | 3.97% | 4.19% | 3.96% | 0.24% | 4.33% | 0.56% | |
| Washington Mystics | 0.48% | 3.58% | 1.39% | 0.46% | 0.91% | 3.18% | 3.39% | 3.33% | 0.24% | 2.93% | 2.63% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Indiana Fever | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.01% | ||||||||
| Chicago Sky | 3.31% | 0.03% | 1.43% | 1.01% | 0.45% | 0.78% | 1.45% | 1.94% | ||||
| Connecticut Sun | 0.19% | 2.96% | 0.25% | 0.54% | 6.58% | 5.41% | 4.08% | 0.08% | 4.23% | 7.92% | 3.16% | |
| Dallas Wings | 0.08% | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.02% | ||||||
| Indiana Fever | 0.01% | 0.20% | 0.01% | 0.08% | 0.04% | 0.04% | 0.07% | 0.14% | 0.09% | |||
| Las Vegas Aces | 0.05% | 0.89% | 5.45% | 0.07% | 0.09% | 2.01% | 1.55% | 0.01% | 1.95% | 3.27% | 2.15% | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.07% | 1.04% | 8.03% | 0.05% | 0.08% | 3.93% | 2.10% | 0.03% | 2.28% | 4.90% | 4.40% | |
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.01% | 0.53% | 4.00% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 1.64% | 1.27% | 1.01% | 1.83% | 2.49% | ||
| New York Liberty | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.01% | |||||||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.02% | 0.21% | 1.34% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.62% | 0.53% | 0.39% | 0.84% | 0.34% | ||
| Seattle Storm | 0.06% | 1.09% | 4.76% | 0.12% | 0.13% | 2.99% | 2.17% | 1.33% | 0.05% | 1.85% | 1.91% | |
| Washington Mystics | 0.23% | 7.41% | 12.73% | 0.52% | 1.11% | 11.52% | 13.05% | 9.18% | 0.18% | 6.85% | 12.42% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Indiana Fever | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 0.01% | |||||||||||
| Chicago Sky | 0.82% | 0.03% | 0.39% | 0.46% | 0.31% | 0.08% | 0.30% | 1.17% | ||||
| Connecticut Sun | 0.01% | 0.69% | 0.02% | 0.04% | 1.32% | 1.63% | 0.91% | 0.29% | 1.19% | 5.12% | ||
| Dallas Wings | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.01% | |||||||||
| Indiana Fever | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.05% | |||||||
| Las Vegas Aces | 0.24% | 1.10% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.82% | 0.47% | 0.18% | 0.55% | 2.22% | |||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.91% | 2.46% | 0.04% | 0.99% | 0.85% | 0.32% | 1.16% | 4.33% | ||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.44% | 0.84% | 0.03% | 0.49% | 0.65% | 0.13% | 0.52% | 1.54% | ||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.02% | 0.12% | 0.01% | 0.08% | 0.08% | 0.06% | 0.06% | 0.30% | ||||
| Seattle Storm | 0.18% | 0.84% | 0.03% | 0.45% | 0.62% | 0.38% | 0.09% | 1.52% | ||||
| Washington Mystics | 0.04% | 4.35% | 17.98% | 0.12% | 0.38% | 8.17% | 11.58% | 5.21% | 0.04% | 2.52% | 8.54% |
Actual Bracket Simulation
With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.
| Team | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals | Actual Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Mystics | 100.00% | 82.26% | 62.73% | Won Finals |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 70.03% | 41.61% | 13.49% | Eliminated in Semifinals |
| Connecticut Sun | 100.00% | 43.94% | 11.17% | Eliminated in Finals |
| Las Vegas Aces | 57.52% | 14.30% | 4.84% | Eliminated in Semifinals |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Sky | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky | 33.03% | |||||
| Las Vegas Aces | 43.98% | 5.67% | 7.87% | |||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 22.06% | 17.93% | 30.04% | |||
| Minnesota Lynx | 4.62% | 12.75% | ||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 5.06% | |||||
| Seattle Storm | 4.83% | 12.16% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky | 5.38% | 4.71% | ||||||
| Connecticut Sun | 5.31% | 9.35% | 28.42% | 0.43% | 0.43% | |||
| Las Vegas Aces | 7.97% | 6.33% | ||||||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 41.61% | |||||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.55% | 3.74% | ||||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.36% | |||||||
| Seattle Storm | 0.55% | 2.60% | ||||||
| Washington Mystics | 17.63% | 33.87% | 12.65% | 4.70% | 13.41% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky | 1.15% | 1.35% | 0.22% | 0.21% | 0.94% | |||
| Connecticut Sun | 0.77% | 1.33% | 0.75% | 0.14% | 0.67% | 7.51% | ||
| Las Vegas Aces | 1.28% | 1.55% | 0.44% | 0.03% | 0.24% | 1.30% | ||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 1.44% | 2.17% | 0.28% | 0.16% | 9.44% | |||
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.35% | 0.92% | 0.50% | 0.28% | 0.01% | 0.22% | ||
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.13% | 0.02% | 0.02% | |||||
| Seattle Storm | 0.24% | 0.61% | 0.26% | 0.21% | 0.01% | 0.12% | ||
| Washington Mystics | 3.42% | 28.68% | 5.18% | 24.73% | 0.32% | 0.40% |
Most-Likely Championship Paths
For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.
Regular Season Games
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-05-24 | Dallas Wings | W 76-72 | 1530.97 | 1478.68 | 67.68% | 32.32% | +7.73 | 1-0 |
| 2019-05-31 | Seattle Storm | L 66-82 | 1538.70 | 1574.45 | 55.79% | 44.21% | -26.71 | 1-1 |
| 2019-06-01 | @ Washington Mystics | L 75-96 | 1511.99 | 1522.75 | 37.75% | 62.25% | -20.70 | 1-2 |
| 2019-06-06 | Las Vegas Aces | L 69-92 | 1491.29 | 1470.38 | 63.61% | 36.39% | -36.52 | 1-3 |
| 2019-06-09 | Connecticut Sun | L 59-65 | 1454.77 | 1585.00 | 42.28% | 57.72% | -12.40 | 1-4 |
| 2019-06-15 | @ Dallas Wings | L 61-71 | 1442.37 | 1412.48 | 43.38% | 56.62% | -16.42 | 1-5 |
| 2019-06-19 | Indiana Fever | W 88-78 | 1425.95 | 1429.98 | 60.23% | 39.77% | +15.05 | 2-5 |
| 2019-06-21 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 76-86 | 1441.00 | 1637.40 | 17.24% | 82.76% | -6.52 | 2-6 |
| 2019-06-23 | Washington Mystics | L 73-89 | 1434.48 | 1624.76 | 34.14% | 65.86% | -16.35 | 2-7 |
| 2019-06-30 | New York Liberty | L 58-74 | 1418.13 | 1391.89 | 64.32% | 35.68% | -30.79 | 2-8 |
| 2019-07-02 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 68-85 | 1387.34 | 1497.56 | 25.49% | 74.51% | -12.58 | 2-9 |
| 2019-07-05 | @ Seattle Storm | W 77-66 | 1374.76 | 1573.10 | 17.08% | 82.92% | +32.92 | 3-9 |
| 2019-07-07 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 63-65 | 1407.68 | 1500.47 | 27.44% | 72.56% | -4.65 | 3-10 |
| 2019-07-10 | Connecticut Sun | W 78-75 | 1403.03 | 1564.93 | 37.90% | 62.10% | +12.88 | 4-10 |
| 2019-07-12 | Minnesota Lynx | W 60-53 | 1415.91 | 1531.05 | 44.41% | 55.59% | +17.60 | 5-10 |
| 2019-07-14 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 71-76 | 1433.51 | 1527.14 | 47.48% | 52.52% | -12.71 | 5-11 |
| 2019-07-17 | @ Chicago Sky | L 76-77 | 1420.80 | 1503.17 | 28.65% | 71.35% | -3.43 | 5-12 |
| 2019-07-19 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 69-98 | 1417.37 | 1586.53 | 19.59% | 80.41% | -12.63 | 5-13 |
| 2019-07-21 | @ Washington Mystics | L 65-93 | 1404.74 | 1598.96 | 17.42% | 82.58% | -11.03 | 5-14 |
| 2019-07-23 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 66-78 | 1393.71 | 1529.14 | 41.55% | 58.45% | -17.23 | 5-15 |
| 2019-07-31 | @ Indiana Fever | L 59-61 | 1376.48 | 1363.68 | 40.99% | 59.01% | -6.94 | 5-16 |
| 2019-08-03 | Chicago Sky | L 75-87 | 1369.54 | 1506.58 | 41.32% | 58.68% | -17.13 | 5-17 |
| 2019-08-06 | Minnesota Lynx | L 69-85 | 1352.41 | 1463.23 | 45.02% | 54.98% | -21.56 | 5-18 |
| 2019-08-10 | @ Indiana Fever | L 82-87 | 1330.85 | 1387.57 | 31.76% | 68.24% | -8.50 | 5-19 |
| 2019-08-13 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 90-94 | 1322.35 | 1567.55 | 13.59% | 86.41% | -3.25 | 5-20 |
| 2019-08-16 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 68-77 | 1319.10 | 1508.55 | 17.82% | 82.18% | -6.40 | 5-21 |
| 2019-08-20 | Chicago Sky | L 83-87 | 1312.70 | 1527.45 | 31.05% | 68.95% | -7.43 | 5-22 |
| 2019-08-23 | @ New York Liberty | W 90-87 | 1305.27 | 1330.39 | 35.83% | 64.17% | +13.30 | 6-22 |
| 2019-08-25 | @ Dallas Wings | W 77-73 | 1318.57 | 1393.39 | 29.55% | 70.45% | +16.87 | 7-22 |
| 2019-08-29 | Phoenix Mercury | L 58-65 | 1335.44 | 1508.84 | 36.36% | 63.64% | -11.52 | 7-23 |
| 2019-09-01 | @ Seattle Storm | L 75-92 | 1323.92 | 1492.72 | 19.63% | 80.37% | -9.68 | 7-24 |
| 2019-09-03 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 60-70 | 1314.24 | 1578.77 | 12.34% | 87.66% | -4.67 | 7-25 |
| 2019-09-05 | Las Vegas Aces | W 78-74 | 1309.57 | 1551.66 | 27.78% | 72.22% | +17.29 | 8-25 |
| 2019-09-08 | New York Liberty | L 63-71 | 1326.86 | 1272.89 | 67.89% | 32.11% | -22.99 | 8-26 |
| 2019-05-25 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 71-89 | 1456.82 | 1502.92 | 33.10% | 66.90% | -16.81 | 0-1 |
| 2019-06-01 | Seattle Storm | W 83-79 | 1440.01 | 1601.16 | 38.00% | 62.00% | +14.84 | 1-1 |
| 2019-06-05 | @ Washington Mystics | L 85-103 | 1454.85 | 1543.46 | 27.92% | 72.08% | -14.18 | 1-2 |
| 2019-06-09 | Seattle Storm | W 78-71 | 1440.67 | 1597.21 | 38.63% | 61.37% | +19.43 | 2-2 |
| 2019-06-11 | Phoenix Mercury | W 82-75 | 1460.10 | 1542.36 | 49.12% | 50.88% | +16.12 | 3-2 |
| 2019-06-15 | @ Indiana Fever | W 70-64 | 1476.22 | 1446.59 | 43.35% | 56.65% | +16.61 | 4-2 |
| 2019-06-19 | @ New York Liberty | W 91-83 | 1492.83 | 1413.02 | 50.53% | 49.47% | +16.75 | 5-2 |
| 2019-06-21 | Indiana Fever | L 69-76 | 1509.58 | 1414.93 | 72.77% | 27.23% | -23.05 | 5-3 |
| 2019-06-23 | Connecticut Sun | W 93-75 | 1486.53 | 1643.93 | 38.51% | 61.49% | +31.23 | 6-3 |
| 2019-06-26 | Washington Mystics | L 74-81 | 1517.76 | 1641.11 | 43.25% | 56.75% | -13.70 | 6-4 |
| 2019-06-28 | @ Seattle Storm | L 76-79 | 1504.06 | 1588.96 | 28.35% | 71.65% | -5.88 | 6-5 |
| 2019-06-30 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 69-94 | 1498.18 | 1481.23 | 41.57% | 58.43% | -24.87 | 6-6 |
| 2019-07-02 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 82-90 | 1473.31 | 1509.89 | 34.33% | 65.67% | -11.63 | 6-7 |
| 2019-07-07 | Dallas Wings | W 78-66 | 1461.68 | 1410.56 | 67.54% | 32.46% | +13.47 | 7-7 |
| 2019-07-10 | Minnesota Lynx | L 72-73 | 1475.15 | 1524.61 | 53.83% | 46.17% | -6.45 | 7-8 |
| 2019-07-12 | New York Liberty | W 99-83 | 1468.70 | 1415.13 | 67.84% | 32.16% | +15.40 | 8-8 |
| 2019-07-14 | @ Dallas Wings | W 89-79 | 1484.10 | 1410.61 | 49.62% | 50.38% | +19.07 | 9-8 |
| 2019-07-17 | Atlanta Dream | W 77-76 | 1503.17 | 1420.80 | 71.35% | 28.65% | +3.43 | 10-8 |
| 2019-07-21 | Indiana Fever | W 78-70 | 1506.60 | 1382.38 | 76.01% | 23.99% | +8.12 | 11-8 |
| 2019-07-30 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 94-100 | 1514.72 | 1604.76 | 27.76% | 72.24% | -8.14 | 11-9 |
| 2019-08-03 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 87-75 | 1506.58 | 1369.54 | 58.68% | 41.32% | +17.14 | 12-9 |
| 2019-08-07 | New York Liberty | W 101-92 | 1523.72 | 1364.09 | 79.53% | 20.47% | +7.35 | 13-9 |
| 2019-08-09 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 87-84 | 1531.07 | 1565.90 | 34.55% | 65.45% | +13.57 | 14-9 |
| 2019-08-11 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 81-84 | 1544.64 | 1588.91 | 33.33% | 66.67% | -6.91 | 14-10 |
| 2019-08-16 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 91-81 | 1537.73 | 1575.76 | 55.46% | 44.54% | +16.85 | 15-10 |
| 2019-08-18 | Las Vegas Aces | L 85-100 | 1554.58 | 1570.80 | 58.54% | 41.46% | -27.13 | 15-11 |
| 2019-08-20 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 87-83 | 1527.45 | 1312.70 | 68.95% | 31.05% | +7.43 | 16-11 |
| 2019-08-23 | Washington Mystics | W 85-78 | 1534.88 | 1717.58 | 35.13% | 64.87% | +20.54 | 17-11 |
| 2019-08-25 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 94-86 | 1555.42 | 1512.10 | 45.29% | 54.71% | +18.53 | 18-11 |
| 2019-08-27 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 85-93 | 1573.95 | 1535.99 | 44.53% | 55.47% | -15.08 | 18-12 |
| 2019-08-29 | Dallas Wings | L 83-88 | 1558.87 | 1376.53 | 81.58% | 18.42% | -21.83 | 18-13 |
| 2019-09-01 | Phoenix Mercury | W 105-78 | 1537.04 | 1520.36 | 63.05% | 36.95% | +22.98 | 19-13 |
| 2019-09-06 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 109-104 | 1560.02 | 1639.35 | 29.01% | 70.99% | +19.00 | 20-13 |
| 2019-09-08 | @ Washington Mystics | L 86-100 | 1579.02 | 1733.18 | 20.99% | 79.01% | -9.40 | 20-14 |
| 2019-05-25 | Washington Mystics | W 84-69 | 1546.04 | 1540.59 | 61.53% | 38.47% | +17.83 | 1-0 |
| 2019-05-28 | Indiana Fever | W 88-77 | 1563.87 | 1426.46 | 77.37% | 22.63% | +8.99 | 2-0 |
| 2019-05-31 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 70-77 | 1572.86 | 1490.91 | 50.84% | 49.16% | -16.10 | 2-1 |
| 2019-06-02 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 80-74 | 1556.76 | 1485.23 | 49.34% | 50.66% | +14.85 | 3-1 |
| 2019-06-06 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 89-77 | 1571.61 | 1519.07 | 67.71% | 32.29% | +13.39 | 4-1 |
| 2019-06-09 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 65-59 | 1585.00 | 1454.77 | 57.72% | 42.28% | +12.40 | 5-1 |
| 2019-06-11 | Washington Mystics | W 83-75 | 1597.40 | 1584.41 | 62.55% | 37.45% | +12.67 | 6-1 |
| 2019-06-14 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 85-81 | 1610.07 | 1512.68 | 53.06% | 46.94% | +11.24 | 7-1 |
| 2019-06-16 | Seattle Storm | W 81-67 | 1621.31 | 1596.96 | 64.07% | 35.93% | +16.09 | 8-1 |
| 2019-06-21 | Atlanta Dream | W 86-76 | 1637.40 | 1441.00 | 82.76% | 17.24% | +6.53 | 9-1 |
| 2019-06-23 | @ Chicago Sky | L 75-93 | 1643.93 | 1486.53 | 61.49% | 38.51% | -31.23 | 9-2 |
| 2019-06-26 | @ Dallas Wings | L 73-74 | 1612.70 | 1434.37 | 64.30% | 35.70% | -7.69 | 9-3 |
| 2019-06-29 | @ Washington Mystics | L 59-102 | 1605.01 | 1654.80 | 32.63% | 67.37% | -25.62 | 9-4 |
| 2019-07-06 | Minnesota Lynx | L 71-74 | 1579.39 | 1510.14 | 69.78% | 30.22% | -14.46 | 9-5 |
| 2019-07-10 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 75-78 | 1564.93 | 1403.03 | 62.10% | 37.90% | -12.88 | 9-6 |
| 2019-07-12 | Phoenix Mercury | W 79-64 | 1552.05 | 1549.90 | 61.08% | 38.92% | +18.05 | 10-6 |
| 2019-07-14 | @ Indiana Fever | W 76-63 | 1570.10 | 1409.42 | 61.93% | 38.07% | +16.43 | 11-6 |
| 2019-07-19 | Atlanta Dream | W 98-69 | 1586.53 | 1417.37 | 80.41% | 19.59% | +12.62 | 12-6 |
| 2019-07-24 | New York Liberty | W 70-63 | 1599.15 | 1408.42 | 82.29% | 17.71% | +5.61 | 13-6 |
| 2019-07-30 | Chicago Sky | W 100-94 | 1604.76 | 1514.72 | 72.24% | 27.76% | +8.14 | 14-6 |
| 2019-08-01 | Phoenix Mercury | W 68-62 | 1612.90 | 1532.33 | 71.14% | 28.86% | +8.46 | 15-6 |
| 2019-08-04 | @ New York Liberty | W 94-79 | 1621.36 | 1376.84 | 72.50% | 27.50% | +12.75 | 16-6 |
| 2019-08-09 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 57-89 | 1634.11 | 1484.78 | 60.38% | 39.62% | -40.88 | 16-7 |
| 2019-08-11 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 81-89 | 1593.23 | 1552.33 | 44.95% | 55.05% | -15.22 | 16-8 |
| 2019-08-14 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 78-71 | 1578.01 | 1525.46 | 46.61% | 53.39% | +16.91 | 17-8 |
| 2019-08-16 | Seattle Storm | W 79-78 | 1594.92 | 1539.54 | 68.07% | 31.93% | +3.82 | 18-8 |
| 2019-08-18 | Dallas Wings | W 78-68 | 1598.74 | 1413.72 | 81.81% | 18.19% | +6.89 | 19-8 |
| 2019-08-23 | Las Vegas Aces | W 89-85 | 1605.63 | 1605.74 | 60.77% | 39.23% | +9.39 | 20-8 |
| 2019-08-25 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 72-84 | 1615.02 | 1582.60 | 43.74% | 56.26% | -18.14 | 20-9 |
| 2019-08-27 | @ Seattle Storm | W 89-70 | 1596.88 | 1518.65 | 50.30% | 49.70% | +25.93 | 21-9 |
| 2019-08-30 | @ New York Liberty | W 94-84 | 1622.81 | 1297.47 | 80.76% | 19.24% | +7.28 | 22-9 |
| 2019-09-04 | Dallas Wings | W 102-72 | 1630.09 | 1392.58 | 85.88% | 14.12% | +9.26 | 23-9 |
| 2019-09-06 | Chicago Sky | L 104-109 | 1639.35 | 1560.02 | 70.99% | 29.01% | -19.00 | 23-10 |
| 2019-09-08 | @ Indiana Fever | L 76-104 | 1620.35 | 1411.76 | 68.19% | 31.81% | -43.19 | 23-11 |
| 2019-05-24 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 72-76 | 1478.68 | 1530.97 | 32.32% | 67.68% | -7.74 | 0-1 |
| 2019-06-01 | Minnesota Lynx | L 67-70 | 1470.94 | 1539.49 | 51.09% | 48.91% | -10.59 | 0-2 |
| 2019-06-07 | @ Indiana Fever | L 64-79 | 1460.35 | 1435.46 | 42.68% | 57.32% | -19.79 | 0-3 |
| 2019-06-09 | @ Washington Mystics | L 62-86 | 1440.56 | 1570.70 | 23.37% | 76.63% | -13.70 | 0-4 |
| 2019-06-13 | Indiana Fever | L 72-76 | 1426.86 | 1432.22 | 60.05% | 39.95% | -14.38 | 0-5 |
| 2019-06-15 | Atlanta Dream | W 71-61 | 1412.48 | 1442.37 | 56.62% | 43.38% | +16.42 | 1-5 |
| 2019-06-20 | Phoenix Mercury | W 69-54 | 1428.90 | 1495.93 | 51.31% | 48.69% | +22.58 | 2-5 |
| 2019-06-22 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 68-86 | 1451.48 | 1492.97 | 33.69% | 66.31% | -17.11 | 2-6 |
| 2019-06-26 | Connecticut Sun | W 74-73 | 1434.37 | 1612.70 | 35.70% | 64.30% | +7.69 | 3-6 |
| 2019-06-28 | @ New York Liberty | L 68-69 | 1442.06 | 1386.26 | 47.08% | 52.92% | -5.63 | 3-7 |
| 2019-06-30 | Minnesota Lynx | W 89-86 | 1436.43 | 1507.78 | 50.69% | 49.31% | +10.22 | 4-7 |
| 2019-07-05 | Indiana Fever | L 56-76 | 1446.65 | 1396.39 | 67.43% | 32.57% | -36.09 | 4-8 |
| 2019-07-07 | @ Chicago Sky | L 66-78 | 1410.56 | 1461.68 | 32.46% | 67.54% | -13.46 | 4-9 |
| 2019-07-09 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 74-62 | 1397.10 | 1537.58 | 40.84% | 59.16% | +24.53 | 5-9 |
| 2019-07-12 | @ Seattle Storm | L 81-95 | 1421.63 | 1540.18 | 24.59% | 75.41% | -11.02 | 5-10 |
| 2019-07-14 | Chicago Sky | L 79-89 | 1410.61 | 1484.10 | 50.38% | 49.62% | -19.07 | 5-11 |
| 2019-07-17 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 64-69 | 1391.54 | 1513.83 | 24.19% | 75.81% | -6.47 | 5-12 |
| 2019-07-18 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 64-69 | 1385.07 | 1539.85 | 20.93% | 79.07% | -5.60 | 5-13 |
| 2019-07-20 | Phoenix Mercury | L 66-70 | 1379.47 | 1520.31 | 40.79% | 59.21% | -9.77 | 5-14 |
| 2019-07-30 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 54-86 | 1369.70 | 1600.66 | 14.58% | 85.42% | -9.87 | 5-15 |
| 2019-08-01 | New York Liberty | W 87-64 | 1359.83 | 1402.81 | 54.76% | 45.24% | +25.97 | 6-15 |
| 2019-08-03 | Las Vegas Aces | L 70-75 | 1385.80 | 1594.19 | 31.84% | 68.16% | -8.52 | 6-16 |
| 2019-08-08 | @ Seattle Storm | L 57-69 | 1377.28 | 1529.57 | 21.17% | 78.83% | -8.78 | 6-17 |
| 2019-08-10 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 80-77 | 1368.50 | 1542.21 | 19.18% | 80.82% | +16.76 | 7-17 |
| 2019-08-14 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 84-78 | 1385.26 | 1595.82 | 31.56% | 68.44% | +20.06 | 8-17 |
| 2019-08-16 | New York Liberty | W 83-77 | 1405.32 | 1322.94 | 71.35% | 28.65% | +8.40 | 9-17 |
| 2019-08-18 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 68-78 | 1413.72 | 1598.74 | 18.19% | 81.81% | -6.88 | 9-18 |
| 2019-08-22 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 70-86 | 1406.84 | 1494.12 | 28.08% | 71.92% | -13.45 | 9-19 |
| 2019-08-25 | Atlanta Dream | L 73-77 | 1393.39 | 1318.57 | 70.45% | 29.55% | -16.86 | 9-20 |
| 2019-08-29 | @ Chicago Sky | W 88-83 | 1376.53 | 1558.87 | 18.42% | 81.58% | +21.83 | 10-20 |
| 2019-08-31 | Washington Mystics | L 85-91 | 1398.36 | 1718.50 | 19.71% | 80.29% | -5.78 | 10-21 |
| 2019-09-04 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 72-102 | 1392.58 | 1630.09 | 14.12% | 85.88% | -9.25 | 10-22 |
| 2019-09-06 | @ Washington Mystics | L 73-86 | 1383.33 | 1729.69 | 8.08% | 91.92% | -3.49 | 10-23 |
| 2019-09-08 | Seattle Storm | L 64-78 | 1379.84 | 1505.10 | 42.98% | 57.02% | -19.25 | 10-24 |
| 2019-05-24 | @ New York Liberty | W 81-80 | 1419.14 | 1421.72 | 38.86% | 61.14% | +7.32 | 1-0 |
| 2019-05-28 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 77-88 | 1426.46 | 1563.87 | 22.63% | 77.37% | -8.99 | 1-1 |
| 2019-06-01 | New York Liberty | W 92-77 | 1417.47 | 1414.40 | 61.20% | 38.80% | +17.99 | 2-1 |
| 2019-06-07 | Dallas Wings | W 79-64 | 1435.46 | 1460.35 | 57.32% | 42.68% | +19.79 | 3-1 |
| 2019-06-09 | Phoenix Mercury | L 87-94 | 1455.25 | 1526.29 | 50.73% | 49.27% | -16.07 | 3-2 |
| 2019-06-11 | Seattle Storm | L 82-84 | 1439.18 | 1577.77 | 41.11% | 58.89% | -6.96 | 3-3 |
| 2019-06-13 | @ Dallas Wings | W 76-72 | 1432.22 | 1426.86 | 39.95% | 60.05% | +14.37 | 4-3 |
| 2019-06-15 | Chicago Sky | L 64-70 | 1446.59 | 1476.22 | 56.65% | 43.35% | -16.61 | 4-4 |
| 2019-06-19 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 78-88 | 1429.98 | 1425.95 | 39.77% | 60.23% | -15.05 | 4-5 |
| 2019-06-21 | @ Chicago Sky | W 76-69 | 1414.93 | 1509.58 | 27.23% | 72.77% | +23.05 | 5-5 |
| 2019-06-23 | @ Seattle Storm | L 61-65 | 1437.98 | 1596.53 | 20.57% | 79.43% | -4.93 | 5-6 |
| 2019-06-25 | Minnesota Lynx | L 74-78 | 1433.05 | 1495.34 | 51.99% | 48.01% | -12.45 | 5-7 |
| 2019-06-28 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 69-91 | 1420.60 | 1488.36 | 30.40% | 69.60% | -17.06 | 5-8 |
| 2019-06-29 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 97-102 | 1403.54 | 1502.74 | 26.71% | 73.29% | -7.15 | 5-9 |
| 2019-07-05 | @ Dallas Wings | W 76-56 | 1396.39 | 1446.65 | 32.57% | 67.43% | +36.09 | 6-9 |
| 2019-07-10 | Las Vegas Aces | L 71-74 | 1432.48 | 1555.75 | 43.26% | 56.74% | -8.97 | 6-10 |
| 2019-07-12 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 84-90 | 1423.51 | 1513.05 | 48.07% | 51.93% | -14.09 | 6-11 |
| 2019-07-14 | Connecticut Sun | L 63-76 | 1409.42 | 1570.10 | 38.07% | 61.93% | -16.43 | 6-12 |
| 2019-07-19 | Washington Mystics | L 88-95 | 1392.99 | 1588.35 | 33.48% | 66.52% | -10.61 | 6-13 |
| 2019-07-21 | @ Chicago Sky | L 70-78 | 1382.38 | 1506.60 | 23.99% | 76.01% | -8.12 | 6-14 |
| 2019-07-23 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 77-95 | 1374.26 | 1530.07 | 20.83% | 79.17% | -10.58 | 6-15 |
| 2019-07-31 | Atlanta Dream | W 61-59 | 1363.68 | 1376.48 | 59.01% | 40.99% | +6.94 | 7-15 |
| 2019-08-03 | Minnesota Lynx | W 86-75 | 1370.62 | 1485.27 | 44.48% | 55.52% | +22.04 | 8-15 |
| 2019-08-08 | @ Washington Mystics | L 78-91 | 1392.66 | 1665.92 | 11.80% | 88.20% | -5.09 | 8-16 |
| 2019-08-10 | Atlanta Dream | W 87-82 | 1387.57 | 1330.85 | 68.24% | 31.76% | +8.50 | 9-16 |
| 2019-08-18 | @ Washington Mystics | L 68-107 | 1396.07 | 1710.44 | 9.55% | 90.45% | -7.14 | 9-17 |
| 2019-08-20 | New York Liberty | L 76-82 | 1388.93 | 1309.58 | 70.99% | 29.01% | -20.82 | 9-18 |
| 2019-08-22 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 65-98 | 1368.11 | 1571.12 | 16.70% | 83.30% | -11.48 | 9-19 |
| 2019-08-25 | @ Seattle Storm | W 63-54 | 1356.63 | 1548.22 | 17.64% | 82.36% | +29.58 | 10-19 |
| 2019-08-27 | Las Vegas Aces | W 86-71 | 1386.21 | 1567.93 | 35.26% | 64.74% | +30.01 | 11-19 |
| 2019-08-29 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 83-87 | 1416.22 | 1583.63 | 37.16% | 62.84% | -8.89 | 11-20 |
| 2019-09-01 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 73-81 | 1407.33 | 1551.07 | 22.00% | 78.00% | -7.45 | 11-21 |
| 2019-09-06 | @ New York Liberty | W 86-81 | 1399.88 | 1284.78 | 55.58% | 44.42% | +11.88 | 12-21 |
| 2019-09-08 | Connecticut Sun | W 104-76 | 1411.76 | 1620.35 | 31.81% | 68.19% | +43.20 | 13-21 |
| 2019-05-26 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 83-70 | 1471.81 | 1510.15 | 55.42% | 44.58% | +19.25 | 1-0 |
| 2019-05-31 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 84-86 | 1491.06 | 1526.96 | 34.41% | 65.59% | -5.83 | 1-1 |
| 2019-06-02 | Connecticut Sun | L 74-80 | 1485.23 | 1556.76 | 50.66% | 49.34% | -14.85 | 1-2 |
| 2019-06-06 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 92-69 | 1470.38 | 1491.29 | 36.39% | 63.61% | +36.51 | 2-2 |
| 2019-06-09 | @ New York Liberty | L 78-88 | 1506.89 | 1371.29 | 58.48% | 41.52% | -22.13 | 2-3 |
| 2019-06-14 | New York Liberty | W 100-65 | 1484.76 | 1410.61 | 70.37% | 29.63% | +20.98 | 3-3 |
| 2019-06-16 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 80-75 | 1505.74 | 1501.44 | 39.81% | 60.19% | +16.11 | 4-3 |
| 2019-06-20 | Washington Mystics | L 72-95 | 1521.85 | 1595.89 | 50.30% | 49.70% | -28.88 | 4-4 |
| 2019-06-22 | Dallas Wings | W 86-68 | 1492.97 | 1451.48 | 66.31% | 33.69% | +17.11 | 5-4 |
| 2019-06-25 | Seattle Storm | W 60-56 | 1510.08 | 1601.45 | 47.81% | 52.19% | +12.50 | 6-4 |
| 2019-06-27 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 74-86 | 1522.58 | 1461.39 | 47.85% | 52.15% | -19.84 | 6-5 |
| 2019-06-29 | Indiana Fever | W 102-97 | 1502.74 | 1403.54 | 73.29% | 26.71% | +7.15 | 7-5 |
| 2019-07-02 | Chicago Sky | W 90-82 | 1509.89 | 1473.31 | 65.67% | 34.33% | +11.62 | 8-5 |
| 2019-07-07 | @ New York Liberty | W 90-58 | 1521.51 | 1449.38 | 49.42% | 50.58% | +34.24 | 9-5 |
| 2019-07-10 | @ Indiana Fever | W 74-71 | 1555.75 | 1432.48 | 56.74% | 43.26% | +8.97 | 10-5 |
| 2019-07-13 | @ Washington Mystics | W 85-81 | 1564.72 | 1604.17 | 33.96% | 66.04% | +15.81 | 11-5 |
| 2019-07-19 | @ Seattle Storm | L 66-69 | 1580.53 | 1581.44 | 39.09% | 60.91% | -8.10 | 11-6 |
| 2019-07-21 | Minnesota Lynx | W 79-74 | 1572.43 | 1508.85 | 69.09% | 30.91% | +8.27 | 12-6 |
| 2019-07-23 | Seattle Storm | W 79-62 | 1580.70 | 1589.54 | 59.56% | 40.44% | +19.96 | 13-6 |
| 2019-07-30 | Dallas Wings | W 86-54 | 1600.66 | 1369.70 | 85.42% | 14.58% | +9.87 | 14-6 |
| 2019-08-01 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 68-76 | 1610.53 | 1546.37 | 48.28% | 51.72% | -16.34 | 14-7 |
| 2019-08-03 | @ Dallas Wings | W 75-70 | 1594.19 | 1385.80 | 68.16% | 31.84% | +8.52 | 15-7 |
| 2019-08-05 | Washington Mystics | L 70-99 | 1602.71 | 1629.10 | 57.11% | 42.89% | -36.81 | 15-8 |
| 2019-08-09 | Chicago Sky | L 84-87 | 1565.90 | 1531.07 | 65.45% | 34.55% | -13.57 | 15-9 |
| 2019-08-11 | Connecticut Sun | W 89-81 | 1552.33 | 1593.23 | 55.05% | 44.95% | +15.22 | 16-9 |
| 2019-08-13 | Atlanta Dream | W 94-90 | 1567.55 | 1322.35 | 86.41% | 13.59% | +3.25 | 17-9 |
| 2019-08-18 | @ Chicago Sky | W 100-85 | 1570.80 | 1554.58 | 41.46% | 58.54% | +27.14 | 18-9 |
| 2019-08-20 | Phoenix Mercury | W 84-79 | 1597.94 | 1519.91 | 70.84% | 29.16% | +7.80 | 19-9 |
| 2019-08-23 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 85-89 | 1605.74 | 1605.63 | 39.23% | 60.77% | -9.39 | 19-10 |
| 2019-08-25 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 77-98 | 1596.35 | 1507.56 | 51.82% | 48.18% | -28.42 | 19-11 |
| 2019-08-27 | @ Indiana Fever | L 71-86 | 1567.93 | 1386.21 | 64.74% | 35.26% | -30.02 | 19-12 |
| 2019-08-31 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 92-86 | 1537.91 | 1592.52 | 53.09% | 46.91% | +13.75 | 20-12 |
| 2019-09-05 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 74-78 | 1551.66 | 1309.57 | 72.22% | 27.78% | -17.29 | 20-13 |
| 2019-09-08 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 98-89 | 1534.37 | 1450.70 | 51.09% | 48.91% | +17.57 | 21-13 |
| 2019-05-26 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 70-83 | 1510.15 | 1471.81 | 44.58% | 55.42% | -19.24 | 0-1 |
| 2019-05-31 | Connecticut Sun | W 77-70 | 1490.91 | 1572.86 | 49.16% | 50.84% | +16.10 | 1-1 |
| 2019-06-04 | @ New York Liberty | W 78-73 | 1507.01 | 1396.42 | 54.94% | 45.06% | +12.06 | 2-1 |
| 2019-06-06 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 77-89 | 1519.07 | 1571.61 | 32.29% | 67.71% | -13.39 | 2-2 |
| 2019-06-08 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 89-85 | 1505.68 | 1545.69 | 33.88% | 66.12% | +15.83 | 3-2 |
| 2019-06-14 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 85-68 | 1521.51 | 1526.24 | 38.57% | 61.43% | +30.32 | 4-2 |
| 2019-06-15 | New York Liberty | L 92-98 | 1551.83 | 1389.63 | 79.77% | 20.23% | -23.39 | 4-3 |
| 2019-06-18 | Washington Mystics | L 52-81 | 1528.44 | 1559.50 | 56.45% | 43.55% | -36.39 | 4-4 |
| 2019-06-21 | @ Seattle Storm | L 62-84 | 1492.05 | 1580.87 | 27.90% | 72.10% | -15.66 | 4-5 |
| 2019-06-23 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 72-82 | 1476.39 | 1473.35 | 39.63% | 60.37% | -15.00 | 4-6 |
| 2019-06-27 | Las Vegas Aces | W 86-74 | 1461.39 | 1522.58 | 52.15% | 47.85% | +19.84 | 5-6 |
| 2019-06-30 | Chicago Sky | W 94-69 | 1481.23 | 1498.18 | 58.43% | 41.57% | +24.88 | 6-6 |
| 2019-07-07 | Washington Mystics | W 98-81 | 1506.11 | 1680.42 | 36.23% | 63.77% | +31.47 | 7-6 |
| 2019-07-09 | @ Dallas Wings | L 62-74 | 1537.58 | 1397.10 | 59.16% | 40.84% | -24.53 | 7-7 |
| 2019-07-12 | @ Indiana Fever | W 90-84 | 1513.05 | 1423.51 | 51.93% | 48.07% | +14.09 | 8-7 |
| 2019-07-14 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 76-71 | 1527.14 | 1433.51 | 52.52% | 47.48% | +12.71 | 9-7 |
| 2019-07-18 | Dallas Wings | W 69-64 | 1539.85 | 1385.07 | 79.07% | 20.93% | +5.60 | 10-7 |
| 2019-07-20 | @ New York Liberty | L 78-83 | 1545.45 | 1392.11 | 60.93% | 39.07% | -16.31 | 10-8 |
| 2019-07-23 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 78-66 | 1529.14 | 1393.71 | 58.45% | 41.55% | +17.23 | 11-8 |
| 2019-08-01 | Las Vegas Aces | W 76-68 | 1546.37 | 1610.53 | 51.72% | 48.28% | +16.35 | 12-8 |
| 2019-08-04 | Seattle Storm | W 83-75 | 1562.72 | 1541.89 | 63.60% | 36.40% | +12.32 | 13-8 |
| 2019-08-08 | Phoenix Mercury | W 84-74 | 1575.04 | 1556.08 | 63.35% | 36.65% | +13.87 | 14-8 |
| 2019-08-11 | Chicago Sky | W 84-81 | 1588.91 | 1544.64 | 66.67% | 33.33% | +6.91 | 15-8 |
| 2019-08-14 | @ Dallas Wings | L 78-84 | 1595.82 | 1385.26 | 68.44% | 31.56% | -20.06 | 15-9 |
| 2019-08-16 | @ Chicago Sky | L 81-91 | 1575.76 | 1537.73 | 44.54% | 55.46% | -16.86 | 15-10 |
| 2019-08-20 | Minnesota Lynx | W 81-71 | 1558.90 | 1506.34 | 67.72% | 32.28% | +12.22 | 16-10 |
| 2019-08-22 | Indiana Fever | W 98-65 | 1571.12 | 1368.11 | 83.30% | 16.70% | +11.48 | 17-10 |
| 2019-08-25 | Connecticut Sun | W 84-72 | 1582.60 | 1615.02 | 56.26% | 43.74% | +18.14 | 18-10 |
| 2019-08-27 | @ Washington Mystics | L 66-95 | 1600.74 | 1701.39 | 26.55% | 73.45% | -17.11 | 18-11 |
| 2019-08-29 | @ Indiana Fever | W 87-83 | 1583.63 | 1416.22 | 62.84% | 37.16% | +8.89 | 19-11 |
| 2019-08-31 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 86-92 | 1592.52 | 1537.91 | 46.91% | 53.09% | -13.75 | 19-12 |
| 2019-09-03 | Atlanta Dream | W 70-60 | 1578.77 | 1314.24 | 87.66% | 12.34% | +4.67 | 20-12 |
| 2019-09-05 | Seattle Storm | W 102-68 | 1583.44 | 1527.32 | 68.16% | 31.84% | +22.22 | 21-12 |
| 2019-09-08 | Minnesota Lynx | W 77-68 | 1605.66 | 1580.27 | 64.21% | 35.79% | +12.85 | 22-12 |
| 2019-05-25 | Chicago Sky | W 89-71 | 1502.92 | 1456.82 | 66.90% | 33.10% | +16.81 | 1-0 |
| 2019-05-29 | Seattle Storm | W 72-61 | 1519.73 | 1594.21 | 50.24% | 49.76% | +19.76 | 2-0 |
| 2019-06-01 | @ Dallas Wings | W 70-67 | 1539.49 | 1470.94 | 48.91% | 51.09% | +10.59 | 3-0 |
| 2019-06-04 | @ Seattle Storm | L 77-84 | 1550.08 | 1586.32 | 34.37% | 65.63% | -10.88 | 3-1 |
| 2019-06-06 | Phoenix Mercury | W 58-56 | 1539.20 | 1532.78 | 61.66% | 38.34% | +6.49 | 4-1 |
| 2019-06-08 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 85-89 | 1545.69 | 1505.68 | 66.12% | 33.88% | -15.83 | 4-2 |
| 2019-06-12 | @ New York Liberty | L 69-75 | 1529.86 | 1393.43 | 58.59% | 41.41% | -17.18 | 4-3 |
| 2019-06-14 | Connecticut Sun | L 81-85 | 1512.68 | 1610.07 | 46.94% | 53.06% | -11.24 | 4-4 |
| 2019-06-16 | Las Vegas Aces | L 75-80 | 1501.44 | 1505.74 | 60.19% | 39.81% | -16.11 | 4-5 |
| 2019-06-22 | New York Liberty | W 92-83 | 1485.33 | 1396.27 | 72.13% | 27.87% | +10.01 | 5-5 |
| 2019-06-25 | @ Indiana Fever | W 78-74 | 1495.34 | 1433.05 | 48.01% | 51.99% | +12.44 | 6-5 |
| 2019-06-30 | @ Dallas Wings | L 86-89 | 1507.78 | 1436.43 | 49.31% | 50.69% | -10.22 | 6-6 |
| 2019-07-02 | Atlanta Dream | W 85-68 | 1497.56 | 1387.34 | 74.51% | 25.49% | +12.58 | 7-6 |
| 2019-07-06 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 74-71 | 1510.14 | 1579.39 | 30.22% | 69.78% | +14.47 | 8-6 |
| 2019-07-10 | @ Chicago Sky | W 73-72 | 1524.61 | 1475.15 | 46.17% | 53.83% | +6.44 | 9-6 |
| 2019-07-12 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 53-60 | 1531.05 | 1415.91 | 55.59% | 44.41% | -17.60 | 9-7 |
| 2019-07-14 | Phoenix Mercury | W 75-62 | 1513.45 | 1531.86 | 58.23% | 41.77% | +18.02 | 10-7 |
| 2019-07-17 | Seattle Storm | L 79-90 | 1531.47 | 1558.82 | 56.97% | 43.03% | -22.62 | 10-8 |
| 2019-07-21 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 74-79 | 1508.85 | 1572.43 | 30.91% | 69.09% | -8.27 | 10-9 |
| 2019-07-24 | Washington Mystics | L 71-79 | 1500.58 | 1609.99 | 45.22% | 54.78% | -15.31 | 10-10 |
| 2019-08-03 | @ Indiana Fever | L 75-86 | 1485.27 | 1370.62 | 55.52% | 44.48% | -22.04 | 10-11 |
| 2019-08-06 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 85-69 | 1463.23 | 1352.41 | 54.98% | 45.02% | +21.55 | 11-11 |
| 2019-08-09 | Connecticut Sun | W 89-57 | 1484.78 | 1634.11 | 39.62% | 60.38% | +40.89 | 12-11 |
| 2019-08-11 | @ Washington Mystics | L 78-101 | 1525.67 | 1671.01 | 21.84% | 78.16% | -12.54 | 12-12 |
| 2019-08-13 | @ New York Liberty | W 89-73 | 1513.13 | 1340.38 | 63.56% | 36.44% | +17.45 | 13-12 |
| 2019-08-16 | Washington Mystics | L 79-86 | 1530.58 | 1698.70 | 37.06% | 62.94% | -11.74 | 13-13 |
| 2019-08-18 | @ Seattle Storm | L 74-82 | 1518.84 | 1535.72 | 36.93% | 63.07% | -12.50 | 13-14 |
| 2019-08-20 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 71-81 | 1506.34 | 1558.90 | 32.28% | 67.72% | -12.22 | 13-15 |
| 2019-08-22 | Dallas Wings | W 86-70 | 1494.12 | 1406.84 | 71.92% | 28.08% | +13.44 | 14-15 |
| 2019-08-25 | Las Vegas Aces | W 98-77 | 1507.56 | 1596.35 | 48.18% | 51.82% | +28.43 | 15-15 |
| 2019-08-27 | Chicago Sky | W 93-85 | 1535.99 | 1573.95 | 55.47% | 44.53% | +15.08 | 16-15 |
| 2019-09-01 | Indiana Fever | W 81-73 | 1551.07 | 1407.33 | 78.00% | 22.00% | +7.44 | 17-15 |
| 2019-09-06 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 83-69 | 1558.51 | 1472.46 | 51.43% | 48.57% | +21.76 | 18-15 |
| 2019-09-08 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 68-77 | 1580.27 | 1605.66 | 35.79% | 64.21% | -12.86 | 18-16 |
| 2019-05-24 | Indiana Fever | L 80-81 | 1421.72 | 1419.14 | 61.14% | 38.86% | -7.32 | 0-1 |
| 2019-06-01 | @ Indiana Fever | L 77-92 | 1414.40 | 1417.47 | 38.80% | 61.20% | -17.98 | 0-2 |
| 2019-06-04 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 73-78 | 1396.42 | 1507.01 | 45.06% | 54.94% | -12.06 | 0-3 |
| 2019-06-07 | Washington Mystics | L 85-94 | 1384.36 | 1557.64 | 36.37% | 63.63% | -13.07 | 0-4 |
| 2019-06-09 | Las Vegas Aces | W 88-78 | 1371.29 | 1506.89 | 41.52% | 58.48% | +22.14 | 1-4 |
| 2019-06-12 | Minnesota Lynx | W 75-69 | 1393.43 | 1529.86 | 41.41% | 58.59% | +17.18 | 2-4 |
| 2019-06-14 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 65-100 | 1410.61 | 1484.76 | 29.63% | 70.37% | -20.98 | 2-5 |
| 2019-06-15 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 98-92 | 1389.63 | 1551.83 | 20.23% | 79.77% | +23.39 | 3-5 |
| 2019-06-19 | Chicago Sky | L 83-91 | 1413.02 | 1492.83 | 49.47% | 50.53% | -16.75 | 3-6 |
| 2019-06-22 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 83-92 | 1396.27 | 1485.33 | 27.87% | 72.13% | -10.01 | 3-7 |
| 2019-06-28 | Dallas Wings | W 69-68 | 1386.26 | 1442.06 | 52.92% | 47.08% | +5.63 | 4-7 |
| 2019-06-30 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 74-58 | 1391.89 | 1418.13 | 35.68% | 64.32% | +30.80 | 5-7 |
| 2019-07-03 | @ Seattle Storm | W 84-83 | 1422.69 | 1582.62 | 20.44% | 79.56% | +9.52 | 6-7 |
| 2019-07-05 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 80-76 | 1432.21 | 1517.64 | 28.29% | 71.71% | +17.17 | 7-7 |
| 2019-07-07 | Las Vegas Aces | L 58-90 | 1449.38 | 1521.51 | 50.58% | 49.42% | -34.25 | 7-8 |
| 2019-07-12 | @ Chicago Sky | L 83-99 | 1415.13 | 1468.70 | 32.16% | 67.84% | -15.39 | 7-9 |
| 2019-07-14 | @ Seattle Storm | L 69-78 | 1399.74 | 1551.19 | 21.25% | 78.75% | -7.63 | 7-10 |
| 2019-07-20 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 83-78 | 1392.11 | 1545.45 | 39.07% | 60.93% | +16.31 | 8-10 |
| 2019-07-24 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 63-70 | 1408.42 | 1599.15 | 17.71% | 82.29% | -5.61 | 8-11 |
| 2019-08-01 | @ Dallas Wings | L 64-87 | 1402.81 | 1359.83 | 45.24% | 54.76% | -25.97 | 8-12 |
| 2019-08-04 | Connecticut Sun | L 79-94 | 1376.84 | 1621.36 | 27.50% | 72.50% | -12.75 | 8-13 |
| 2019-08-07 | @ Chicago Sky | L 92-101 | 1364.09 | 1523.72 | 20.47% | 79.53% | -7.35 | 8-14 |
| 2019-08-11 | Seattle Storm | L 69-84 | 1356.74 | 1538.35 | 35.27% | 64.73% | -16.36 | 8-15 |
| 2019-08-13 | Minnesota Lynx | L 73-89 | 1340.38 | 1513.13 | 36.44% | 63.56% | -17.44 | 8-16 |
| 2019-08-16 | @ Dallas Wings | L 77-83 | 1322.94 | 1405.32 | 28.65% | 71.35% | -8.40 | 8-17 |
| 2019-08-18 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 72-78 | 1314.54 | 1514.95 | 16.91% | 83.09% | -4.96 | 8-18 |
| 2019-08-20 | @ Indiana Fever | W 82-76 | 1309.58 | 1388.93 | 29.01% | 70.99% | +20.81 | 9-18 |
| 2019-08-23 | Atlanta Dream | L 87-90 | 1330.39 | 1305.27 | 64.17% | 35.83% | -13.30 | 9-19 |
| 2019-08-25 | @ Washington Mystics | L 72-101 | 1317.09 | 1697.04 | 6.75% | 93.25% | -4.35 | 9-20 |
| 2019-08-27 | Phoenix Mercury | L 82-95 | 1312.74 | 1493.58 | 35.37% | 64.63% | -15.27 | 9-21 |
| 2019-08-30 | Connecticut Sun | L 84-94 | 1297.47 | 1622.81 | 19.24% | 80.76% | -7.28 | 9-22 |
| 2019-09-03 | Washington Mystics | L 77-93 | 1290.19 | 1724.28 | 11.30% | 88.70% | -5.41 | 9-23 |
| 2019-09-06 | Indiana Fever | L 81-86 | 1284.78 | 1399.88 | 44.42% | 55.58% | -11.89 | 9-24 |
| 2019-09-08 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 71-63 | 1272.89 | 1326.86 | 32.11% | 67.89% | +22.99 | 10-24 |
| 2019-05-25 | @ Seattle Storm | L 68-77 | 1538.97 | 1582.19 | 33.47% | 66.53% | -12.01 | 0-1 |
| 2019-05-31 | Las Vegas Aces | W 86-84 | 1526.96 | 1491.06 | 65.59% | 34.41% | +5.82 | 1-1 |
| 2019-06-06 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 56-58 | 1532.78 | 1539.20 | 38.34% | 61.66% | -6.49 | 1-2 |
| 2019-06-09 | @ Indiana Fever | W 94-87 | 1526.29 | 1455.25 | 49.27% | 50.73% | +16.07 | 2-2 |
| 2019-06-11 | @ Chicago Sky | L 75-82 | 1542.36 | 1460.10 | 50.88% | 49.12% | -16.12 | 2-3 |
| 2019-06-14 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 68-85 | 1526.24 | 1521.51 | 61.43% | 38.57% | -30.31 | 2-4 |
| 2019-06-20 | @ Dallas Wings | L 54-69 | 1495.93 | 1428.90 | 48.69% | 51.31% | -22.58 | 2-5 |
| 2019-06-23 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 82-72 | 1473.35 | 1476.39 | 60.37% | 39.63% | +15.01 | 3-5 |
| 2019-06-28 | Indiana Fever | W 91-69 | 1488.36 | 1420.60 | 69.60% | 30.40% | +17.06 | 4-5 |
| 2019-06-30 | @ Seattle Storm | W 69-67 | 1505.42 | 1594.84 | 27.83% | 72.17% | +12.22 | 5-5 |
| 2019-07-05 | New York Liberty | L 76-80 | 1517.64 | 1432.21 | 71.71% | 28.29% | -17.17 | 5-6 |
| 2019-07-07 | Atlanta Dream | W 65-63 | 1500.47 | 1407.68 | 72.56% | 27.44% | +4.65 | 6-6 |
| 2019-07-10 | @ Washington Mystics | W 91-68 | 1505.12 | 1648.95 | 21.99% | 78.01% | +44.78 | 7-6 |
| 2019-07-12 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 64-79 | 1549.90 | 1552.05 | 38.92% | 61.08% | -18.04 | 7-7 |
| 2019-07-14 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 62-75 | 1531.86 | 1513.45 | 41.77% | 58.23% | -18.03 | 7-8 |
| 2019-07-17 | Dallas Wings | W 69-64 | 1513.83 | 1391.54 | 75.81% | 24.19% | +6.48 | 8-8 |
| 2019-07-20 | @ Dallas Wings | W 70-66 | 1520.31 | 1379.47 | 59.21% | 40.79% | +9.76 | 9-8 |
| 2019-07-23 | Indiana Fever | W 95-77 | 1530.07 | 1374.26 | 79.17% | 20.83% | +10.58 | 10-8 |
| 2019-07-30 | @ Washington Mystics | L 93-99 | 1540.65 | 1625.30 | 28.38% | 71.62% | -8.32 | 10-9 |
| 2019-08-01 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 62-68 | 1532.33 | 1612.90 | 28.86% | 71.14% | -8.46 | 10-10 |
| 2019-08-04 | Washington Mystics | W 103-82 | 1523.87 | 1661.32 | 41.26% | 58.74% | +32.21 | 11-10 |
| 2019-08-08 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 74-84 | 1556.08 | 1575.04 | 36.65% | 63.35% | -13.87 | 11-11 |
| 2019-08-10 | Dallas Wings | L 77-80 | 1542.21 | 1368.50 | 80.82% | 19.18% | -16.75 | 11-12 |
| 2019-08-14 | Connecticut Sun | L 71-78 | 1525.46 | 1578.01 | 53.39% | 46.61% | -16.91 | 11-13 |
| 2019-08-16 | Atlanta Dream | W 77-68 | 1508.55 | 1319.10 | 82.18% | 17.82% | +6.40 | 12-13 |
| 2019-08-18 | New York Liberty | W 78-72 | 1514.95 | 1314.54 | 83.09% | 16.91% | +4.96 | 13-13 |
| 2019-08-20 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 79-84 | 1519.91 | 1597.94 | 29.16% | 70.84% | -7.81 | 13-14 |
| 2019-08-25 | Chicago Sky | L 86-94 | 1512.10 | 1555.42 | 54.71% | 45.29% | -18.52 | 13-15 |
| 2019-08-27 | @ New York Liberty | W 95-82 | 1493.58 | 1312.74 | 64.63% | 35.37% | +15.26 | 14-15 |
| 2019-08-29 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 65-58 | 1508.84 | 1335.44 | 63.64% | 36.36% | +11.52 | 15-15 |
| 2019-09-01 | @ Chicago Sky | L 78-105 | 1520.36 | 1537.04 | 36.95% | 63.05% | -22.99 | 15-16 |
| 2019-09-03 | Seattle Storm | L 70-82 | 1497.37 | 1502.40 | 60.09% | 39.91% | -24.91 | 15-17 |
| 2019-09-06 | Minnesota Lynx | L 69-83 | 1472.46 | 1558.51 | 48.57% | 51.43% | -21.76 | 15-18 |
| 2019-09-08 | Las Vegas Aces | L 89-98 | 1450.70 | 1534.37 | 48.91% | 51.09% | -17.56 | 15-19 |
| 2019-05-25 | Phoenix Mercury | W 77-68 | 1582.19 | 1538.97 | 66.53% | 33.47% | +12.02 | 1-0 |
| 2019-05-29 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 61-72 | 1594.21 | 1519.73 | 49.76% | 50.24% | -19.76 | 1-1 |
| 2019-05-31 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 82-66 | 1574.45 | 1538.70 | 44.21% | 55.79% | +26.71 | 2-1 |
| 2019-06-01 | @ Chicago Sky | L 79-83 | 1601.16 | 1440.01 | 62.00% | 38.00% | -14.84 | 2-2 |
| 2019-06-04 | Minnesota Lynx | W 84-77 | 1586.32 | 1550.08 | 65.63% | 34.37% | +10.89 | 3-2 |
| 2019-06-09 | @ Chicago Sky | L 71-78 | 1597.21 | 1440.67 | 61.37% | 38.63% | -19.44 | 3-3 |
| 2019-06-11 | @ Indiana Fever | W 84-82 | 1577.77 | 1439.18 | 58.89% | 41.11% | +6.96 | 4-3 |
| 2019-06-14 | @ Washington Mystics | W 74-71 | 1584.73 | 1571.73 | 41.01% | 58.99% | +12.23 | 5-3 |
| 2019-06-16 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 67-81 | 1596.96 | 1621.31 | 35.93% | 64.07% | -16.09 | 5-4 |
| 2019-06-21 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 84-62 | 1580.87 | 1492.05 | 72.10% | 27.90% | +15.66 | 6-4 |
| 2019-06-23 | Indiana Fever | W 65-61 | 1596.53 | 1437.98 | 79.43% | 20.57% | +4.92 | 7-4 |
| 2019-06-25 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 56-60 | 1601.45 | 1510.08 | 52.19% | 47.81% | -12.49 | 7-5 |
| 2019-06-28 | Chicago Sky | W 79-76 | 1588.96 | 1504.06 | 71.65% | 28.35% | +5.88 | 8-5 |
| 2019-06-30 | Phoenix Mercury | L 67-69 | 1594.84 | 1505.42 | 72.17% | 27.83% | -12.22 | 8-6 |
| 2019-07-03 | New York Liberty | L 83-84 | 1582.62 | 1422.69 | 79.56% | 20.44% | -9.52 | 8-7 |
| 2019-07-05 | Atlanta Dream | L 66-77 | 1573.10 | 1374.76 | 82.92% | 17.08% | -32.92 | 8-8 |
| 2019-07-12 | Dallas Wings | W 95-81 | 1540.18 | 1421.63 | 75.41% | 24.59% | +11.01 | 9-8 |
| 2019-07-14 | New York Liberty | W 78-69 | 1551.19 | 1399.74 | 78.75% | 21.25% | +7.63 | 10-8 |
| 2019-07-17 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 90-79 | 1558.82 | 1531.47 | 43.03% | 56.97% | +22.62 | 11-8 |
| 2019-07-19 | Las Vegas Aces | W 69-66 | 1581.44 | 1580.53 | 60.91% | 39.09% | +8.10 | 12-8 |
| 2019-07-23 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 62-79 | 1589.54 | 1580.70 | 40.44% | 59.56% | -19.95 | 12-9 |
| 2019-08-02 | Washington Mystics | L 79-99 | 1569.59 | 1633.63 | 51.74% | 48.26% | -27.70 | 12-10 |
| 2019-08-04 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 75-83 | 1541.89 | 1562.72 | 36.40% | 63.60% | -12.32 | 12-11 |
| 2019-08-08 | Dallas Wings | W 69-57 | 1529.57 | 1377.28 | 78.83% | 21.17% | +8.78 | 13-11 |
| 2019-08-11 | @ New York Liberty | W 84-69 | 1538.35 | 1356.74 | 64.73% | 35.27% | +16.35 | 14-11 |
| 2019-08-14 | @ Washington Mystics | L 59-88 | 1554.70 | 1683.55 | 23.51% | 76.49% | -15.16 | 14-12 |
| 2019-08-16 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 78-79 | 1539.54 | 1594.92 | 31.93% | 68.07% | -3.82 | 14-13 |
| 2019-08-18 | Minnesota Lynx | W 82-74 | 1535.72 | 1518.84 | 63.07% | 36.93% | +12.50 | 15-13 |
| 2019-08-25 | Indiana Fever | L 54-63 | 1548.22 | 1356.63 | 82.36% | 17.64% | -29.57 | 15-14 |
| 2019-08-27 | Connecticut Sun | L 70-89 | 1518.65 | 1596.88 | 49.70% | 50.30% | -25.93 | 15-15 |
| 2019-09-01 | Atlanta Dream | W 92-75 | 1492.72 | 1323.92 | 80.37% | 19.63% | +9.68 | 16-15 |
| 2019-09-03 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 82-70 | 1502.40 | 1497.37 | 39.91% | 60.09% | +24.92 | 17-15 |
| 2019-09-05 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 68-102 | 1527.32 | 1583.44 | 31.84% | 68.16% | -22.22 | 17-16 |
| 2019-09-08 | @ Dallas Wings | W 78-64 | 1505.10 | 1379.84 | 57.02% | 42.98% | +19.25 | 18-16 |
| 2019-05-25 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 69-84 | 1540.59 | 1546.04 | 38.47% | 61.53% | -17.84 | 0-1 |
| 2019-06-01 | Atlanta Dream | W 96-75 | 1522.75 | 1511.99 | 62.25% | 37.75% | +20.71 | 1-1 |
| 2019-06-05 | Chicago Sky | W 103-85 | 1543.46 | 1454.85 | 72.08% | 27.92% | +14.18 | 2-1 |
| 2019-06-07 | @ New York Liberty | W 94-85 | 1557.64 | 1384.36 | 63.63% | 36.37% | +13.06 | 3-1 |
| 2019-06-09 | Dallas Wings | W 86-62 | 1570.70 | 1440.56 | 76.63% | 23.37% | +13.71 | 4-1 |
| 2019-06-11 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 75-83 | 1584.41 | 1597.40 | 37.45% | 62.55% | -12.68 | 4-2 |
| 2019-06-14 | Seattle Storm | L 71-74 | 1571.73 | 1584.73 | 58.99% | 41.01% | -12.23 | 4-3 |
| 2019-06-18 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 81-52 | 1559.50 | 1528.44 | 43.55% | 56.45% | +36.39 | 5-3 |
| 2019-06-20 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 95-72 | 1595.89 | 1521.85 | 49.70% | 50.30% | +28.87 | 6-3 |
| 2019-06-23 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 89-73 | 1624.76 | 1434.48 | 65.86% | 34.14% | +16.35 | 7-3 |
| 2019-06-26 | @ Chicago Sky | W 81-74 | 1641.11 | 1517.76 | 56.75% | 43.25% | +13.69 | 8-3 |
| 2019-06-29 | Connecticut Sun | W 102-59 | 1654.80 | 1605.01 | 67.37% | 32.63% | +25.62 | 9-3 |
| 2019-07-07 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 81-98 | 1680.42 | 1506.11 | 63.77% | 36.23% | -31.47 | 9-4 |
| 2019-07-10 | Phoenix Mercury | L 68-91 | 1648.95 | 1505.12 | 78.01% | 21.99% | -44.78 | 9-5 |
| 2019-07-13 | Las Vegas Aces | L 81-85 | 1604.17 | 1564.72 | 66.04% | 33.96% | -15.82 | 9-6 |
| 2019-07-19 | @ Indiana Fever | W 95-88 | 1588.35 | 1392.99 | 66.52% | 33.48% | +10.61 | 10-6 |
| 2019-07-21 | Atlanta Dream | W 93-65 | 1598.96 | 1404.74 | 82.58% | 17.42% | +11.03 | 11-6 |
| 2019-07-24 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 79-71 | 1609.99 | 1500.58 | 54.78% | 45.22% | +15.31 | 12-6 |
| 2019-07-30 | Phoenix Mercury | W 99-93 | 1625.30 | 1540.65 | 71.62% | 28.38% | +8.33 | 13-6 |
| 2019-08-02 | @ Seattle Storm | W 99-79 | 1633.63 | 1569.59 | 48.26% | 51.74% | +27.69 | 14-6 |
| 2019-08-04 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 82-103 | 1661.32 | 1523.87 | 58.74% | 41.26% | -32.22 | 14-7 |
| 2019-08-05 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 99-70 | 1629.10 | 1602.71 | 42.89% | 57.11% | +36.82 | 15-7 |
| 2019-08-08 | Indiana Fever | W 91-78 | 1665.92 | 1392.66 | 88.20% | 11.80% | +5.09 | 16-7 |
| 2019-08-11 | Minnesota Lynx | W 101-78 | 1671.01 | 1525.67 | 78.16% | 21.84% | +12.54 | 17-7 |
| 2019-08-14 | Seattle Storm | W 88-59 | 1683.55 | 1554.70 | 76.49% | 23.51% | +15.15 | 18-7 |
| 2019-08-16 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 86-79 | 1698.70 | 1530.58 | 62.94% | 37.06% | +11.74 | 19-7 |
| 2019-08-18 | Indiana Fever | W 107-68 | 1710.44 | 1396.07 | 90.45% | 9.55% | +7.14 | 20-7 |
| 2019-08-23 | @ Chicago Sky | L 78-85 | 1717.58 | 1534.88 | 64.87% | 35.13% | -20.54 | 20-8 |
| 2019-08-25 | New York Liberty | W 101-72 | 1697.04 | 1317.09 | 93.25% | 6.75% | +4.35 | 21-8 |
| 2019-08-27 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 95-66 | 1701.39 | 1600.74 | 73.45% | 26.55% | +17.11 | 22-8 |
| 2019-08-31 | @ Dallas Wings | W 91-85 | 1718.50 | 1398.36 | 80.29% | 19.71% | +5.78 | 23-8 |
| 2019-09-03 | @ New York Liberty | W 93-77 | 1724.28 | 1290.19 | 88.70% | 11.30% | +5.41 | 24-8 |
| 2019-09-06 | Dallas Wings | W 86-73 | 1729.69 | 1383.33 | 91.92% | 8.08% | +3.49 | 25-8 |
| 2019-09-08 | Chicago Sky | W 100-86 | 1733.18 | 1579.02 | 79.01% | 20.99% | +9.40 | 26-8 |
Playoff Games
Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-09-11 | Phoenix Mercury | W 105-76 | 1569.62 | 1433.14 | 77.27% | 22.73% | +14.65 | 1-0 |
| 2019-09-15 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 92-93 | 1584.27 | 1551.94 | 43.73% | 56.27% | -5.24 | 1-1 |
| 2019-09-17 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 84-75 | 1577.16 | 1635.32 | 52.58% | 47.42% | +17.03 | 1-0 |
| 2019-09-19 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 94-68 | 1594.19 | 1618.30 | 57.43% | 42.57% | +25.98 | 2-0 |
| 2019-09-22 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 78-56 | 1620.17 | 1592.31 | 43.10% | 56.90% | +31.95 | 3-0 |
| 2019-09-29 | @ Washington Mystics | L 86-95 | 1652.12 | 1729.28 | 29.27% | 70.73% | -10.51 | 3-1 |
| 2019-10-01 | @ Washington Mystics | W 99-87 | 1641.61 | 1739.79 | 26.83% | 73.17% | +30.34 | 4-1 |
| 2019-10-06 | Washington Mystics | L 81-94 | 1671.95 | 1709.45 | 55.54% | 44.46% | -23.97 | 4-2 |
| 2019-10-08 | Washington Mystics | W 90-86 | 1647.98 | 1733.42 | 48.66% | 51.34% | +12.29 | 5-2 |
| 2019-10-10 | @ Washington Mystics | L 78-89 | 1660.27 | 1721.13 | 31.25% | 68.75% | -12.41 | 5-3 |
| 2019-09-15 | Chicago Sky | W 93-92 | 1551.94 | 1584.27 | 56.27% | 43.73% | +5.23 | 1-0 |
| 2019-09-17 | @ Washington Mystics | L 95-97 | 1557.17 | 1742.58 | 18.16% | 81.84% | -3.07 | 1-1 |
| 2019-09-19 | @ Washington Mystics | L 91-103 | 1554.10 | 1745.65 | 17.64% | 82.36% | -7.32 | 1-2 |
| 2019-09-22 | Washington Mystics | W 92-75 | 1546.78 | 1752.96 | 32.11% | 67.89% | +33.51 | 2-2 |
| 2019-09-24 | Washington Mystics | L 90-94 | 1580.29 | 1719.46 | 41.03% | 58.97% | -9.82 | 2-3 |
| 2019-09-15 | Seattle Storm | W 92-69 | 1618.51 | 1541.48 | 70.72% | 29.28% | +16.81 | 1-0 |
| 2019-09-17 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 75-84 | 1635.32 | 1577.16 | 47.42% | 52.58% | -17.02 | 1-1 |
| 2019-09-19 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 68-94 | 1618.30 | 1594.19 | 42.57% | 57.43% | -25.99 | 1-2 |
| 2019-09-22 | Connecticut Sun | L 56-78 | 1592.31 | 1620.17 | 56.90% | 43.10% | -31.94 | 1-3 |
| 2019-09-11 | @ Seattle Storm | L 74-84 | 1567.41 | 1524.35 | 45.26% | 54.74% | -17.13 | 0-1 |
| 2019-09-11 | @ Chicago Sky | L 76-105 | 1433.14 | 1569.62 | 22.73% | 77.27% | -14.65 | 0-1 |
| 2019-09-11 | Minnesota Lynx | W 84-74 | 1524.35 | 1567.41 | 54.74% | 45.26% | +17.13 | 1-0 |
| 2019-09-15 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 69-92 | 1541.48 | 1618.51 | 29.28% | 70.72% | -16.81 | 1-1 |
| 2019-09-17 | Las Vegas Aces | W 97-95 | 1742.58 | 1557.17 | 81.84% | 18.16% | +3.07 | 1-0 |
| 2019-09-19 | Las Vegas Aces | W 103-91 | 1745.65 | 1554.10 | 82.36% | 17.64% | +7.31 | 2-0 |
| 2019-09-22 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 75-92 | 1752.96 | 1546.78 | 67.89% | 32.11% | -33.50 | 2-1 |
| 2019-09-24 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 94-90 | 1719.46 | 1580.29 | 58.97% | 41.03% | +9.82 | 3-1 |
| 2019-09-29 | Connecticut Sun | W 95-86 | 1729.28 | 1652.12 | 70.73% | 29.27% | +10.51 | 4-1 |
| 2019-10-01 | Connecticut Sun | L 87-99 | 1739.79 | 1641.61 | 73.17% | 26.83% | -30.34 | 4-2 |
| 2019-10-06 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 94-81 | 1709.45 | 1671.95 | 44.46% | 55.54% | +23.97 | 5-2 |
| 2019-10-08 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 86-90 | 1733.42 | 1647.98 | 51.34% | 48.66% | -12.29 | 5-3 |
| 2019-10-10 | Connecticut Sun | W 89-78 | 1721.13 | 1660.27 | 68.75% | 31.25% | +12.40 | 6-3 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2019-07-05 | 17.08% | Atlanta Dream | 1374.76 | 77 | @ Seattle Storm | 1573.10 | 66 |
| 2 | 2019-08-25 | 17.64% | Indiana Fever | 1356.63 | 63 | @ Seattle Storm | 1548.22 | 54 |
| 3 | 2019-08-29 | 18.42% | Dallas Wings | 1376.53 | 88 | @ Chicago Sky | 1558.87 | 83 |
| 4 | 2019-08-10 | 19.18% | Dallas Wings | 1368.50 | 80 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1542.21 | 77 |
| 5 | 2019-06-15 | 20.23% | New York Liberty | 1389.63 | 98 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1551.83 | 92 |
| 6 | 2019-07-03 | 20.44% | New York Liberty | 1422.69 | 84 | @ Seattle Storm | 1582.62 | 83 |
| 7 | 2019-07-10 | 21.99% | Phoenix Mercury | 1505.12 | 91 | @ Washington Mystics | 1648.95 | 68 |
| 8 | 2019-10-01 * | 26.83% | Connecticut Sun | 1641.61 | 99 | @ Washington Mystics | 1739.79 | 87 |
| 9 | 2019-06-21 | 27.23% | Indiana Fever | 1414.93 | 76 | @ Chicago Sky | 1509.58 | 69 |
| 10 | 2019-09-05 | 27.78% | @ Atlanta Dream | 1309.57 | 78 | Las Vegas Aces | 1551.66 | 74 |
| 11 | 2019-06-30 | 27.83% | Phoenix Mercury | 1505.42 | 69 | @ Seattle Storm | 1594.84 | 67 |
| 12 | 2019-07-05 | 28.29% | New York Liberty | 1432.21 | 80 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1517.64 | 76 |
| 13 | 2019-08-20 | 29.01% | New York Liberty | 1309.58 | 82 | @ Indiana Fever | 1388.93 | 76 |
| 14 | 2019-09-06 | 29.01% | Chicago Sky | 1560.02 | 109 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1639.35 | 104 |
| 15 | 2019-08-25 | 29.55% | Atlanta Dream | 1318.57 | 77 | @ Dallas Wings | 1393.39 | 73 |
| 16 | 2019-07-06 | 30.22% | Minnesota Lynx | 1510.14 | 74 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1579.39 | 71 |
| 17 | 2019-08-14 | 31.56% | @ Dallas Wings | 1385.26 | 84 | Los Angeles Sparks | 1595.82 | 78 |
| 18 | 2019-09-08 | 31.81% | @ Indiana Fever | 1411.76 | 104 | Connecticut Sun | 1620.35 | 76 |
| 19 | 2019-09-08 | 32.11% | New York Liberty | 1272.89 | 71 | @ Atlanta Dream | 1326.86 | 63 |
| 20 | 2019-09-22 * | 32.11% | @ Las Vegas Aces | 1546.78 | 92 | Washington Mystics | 1752.96 | 75 |
| 21 | 2019-07-05 | 32.57% | Indiana Fever | 1396.39 | 76 | @ Dallas Wings | 1446.65 | 56 |
| 22 | 2019-06-08 | 33.88% | Los Angeles Sparks | 1505.68 | 89 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1545.69 | 85 |
| 23 | 2019-07-13 | 33.96% | Las Vegas Aces | 1564.72 | 85 | @ Washington Mystics | 1604.17 | 81 |
| 24 | 2019-08-09 | 34.55% | Chicago Sky | 1531.07 | 87 | @ Las Vegas Aces | 1565.90 | 84 |
| 25 | 2019-08-23 | 35.13% | @ Chicago Sky | 1534.88 | 85 | Washington Mystics | 1717.58 | 78 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | |||
| 1 | 2019-07-10 | 44.78 | Phoenix Mercury | 91 | 1505.12 | 21.99% | @ Washington Mystics | 68 | 1648.95 | 78.01% |
| 2 | 2019-09-08 | 43.20 | @ Indiana Fever | 104 | 1411.76 | 31.81% | Connecticut Sun | 76 | 1620.35 | 68.19% |
| 3 | 2019-08-09 | 40.89 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 89 | 1484.78 | 39.62% | Connecticut Sun | 57 | 1634.11 | 60.38% |
| 4 | 2019-08-05 | 36.82 | Washington Mystics | 99 | 1629.10 | 42.89% | @ Las Vegas Aces | 70 | 1602.71 | 57.11% |
| 5 | 2019-06-06 | 36.52 | Las Vegas Aces | 92 | 1470.38 | 36.39% | @ Atlanta Dream | 69 | 1491.29 | 63.61% |
| 6 | 2019-06-18 | 36.39 | Washington Mystics | 81 | 1559.50 | 43.55% | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 52 | 1528.44 | 56.45% |
| 7 | 2019-07-05 | 36.09 | Indiana Fever | 76 | 1396.39 | 32.57% | @ Dallas Wings | 56 | 1446.65 | 67.43% |
| 8 | 2019-07-07 | 34.25 | Las Vegas Aces | 90 | 1521.51 | 49.42% | @ New York Liberty | 58 | 1449.38 | 50.58% |
| 9 | 2019-09-22 * | 33.51 | @ Las Vegas Aces | 92 | 1546.78 | 32.11% | Washington Mystics | 75 | 1752.96 | 67.89% |
| 10 | 2019-07-05 | 32.92 | Atlanta Dream | 77 | 1374.76 | 17.08% | @ Seattle Storm | 66 | 1573.10 | 82.92% |
| 11 | 2019-08-04 | 32.22 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 103 | 1523.87 | 41.26% | Washington Mystics | 82 | 1661.32 | 58.74% |
| 12 | 2019-09-22 * | 31.95 | Connecticut Sun | 78 | 1620.17 | 43.10% | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 56 | 1592.31 | 56.90% |
| 13 | 2019-07-07 | 31.47 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 98 | 1506.11 | 36.23% | Washington Mystics | 81 | 1680.42 | 63.77% |
| 14 | 2019-06-23 | 31.23 | @ Chicago Sky | 93 | 1486.53 | 38.51% | Connecticut Sun | 75 | 1643.93 | 61.49% |
| 15 | 2019-06-30 | 30.80 | New York Liberty | 74 | 1391.89 | 35.68% | @ Atlanta Dream | 58 | 1418.13 | 64.32% |
| 16 | 2019-10-01 * | 30.34 | Connecticut Sun | 99 | 1641.61 | 26.83% | @ Washington Mystics | 87 | 1739.79 | 73.17% |
| 17 | 2019-06-14 | 30.32 | Los Angeles Sparks | 85 | 1521.51 | 38.57% | @ Phoenix Mercury | 68 | 1526.24 | 61.43% |
| 18 | 2019-08-27 | 30.02 | @ Indiana Fever | 86 | 1386.21 | 35.26% | Las Vegas Aces | 71 | 1567.93 | 64.74% |
| 19 | 2019-08-25 | 29.58 | Indiana Fever | 63 | 1356.63 | 17.64% | @ Seattle Storm | 54 | 1548.22 | 82.36% |
| 20 | 2019-06-20 | 28.88 | Washington Mystics | 95 | 1595.89 | 49.70% | @ Las Vegas Aces | 72 | 1521.85 | 50.30% |
| 21 | 2019-08-25 | 28.43 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 98 | 1507.56 | 48.18% | Las Vegas Aces | 77 | 1596.35 | 51.82% |
| 22 | 2019-08-02 | 27.70 | Washington Mystics | 99 | 1633.63 | 48.26% | @ Seattle Storm | 79 | 1569.59 | 51.74% |
| 23 | 2019-08-18 | 27.14 | Las Vegas Aces | 100 | 1570.80 | 41.46% | @ Chicago Sky | 85 | 1554.58 | 58.54% |
| 24 | 2019-05-31 | 26.71 | Seattle Storm | 82 | 1574.45 | 44.21% | @ Atlanta Dream | 66 | 1538.70 | 55.79% |
| 25 | 2019-09-19 * | 25.99 | @ Connecticut Sun | 94 | 1594.19 | 57.43% | Los Angeles Sparks | 68 | 1618.30 | 42.57% |