2022 WNBA Season
216 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Las Vegas Aces
1st Title
Runner-Up
Connecticut Sun
4
Last Appearance: 2019
Biggest Overachiever
New York Liberty
3.30 wins above expected
16 wins · 12.70 expected wins
Biggest Disappointment
Minnesota Lynx
3.79 wins below expected
12 wins · 15.79 expected wins
Final Standings
Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | W | L | Pct | GB | PPG | OPP | DIFF | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Sky League | 26 | 10 | .722 | — | 86.2 | 81.2 | +5.0 | 25.30 | +0.70 |
| 2 | Las Vegas Aces Playoffs | 26 | 10 | .722 | — | 90.4 | 83.8 | +6.6 | 24.87 | +1.13 |
| 3 | Connecticut Sun Playoffs | 25 | 11 | .694 | 1 | 85.8 | 77.8 | +8.0 | 25.41 | -0.41 |
| 4 | Washington Mystics Playoffs | 22 | 14 | .611 | 4 | 80.2 | 75.9 | +4.4 | 19.36 | +2.64 |
| 5 | Seattle Storm Playoffs | 22 | 14 | .611 | 4 | 82.5 | 78.4 | +4.1 | 20.52 | +1.48 |
| 6 | Dallas Wings Playoffs | 19 | 17 | .528 | 7 | 82.9 | 80.8 | +2.2 | 18.10 | +0.90 |
| 7 | New York Liberty Playoffs | 16 | 20 | .444 | 10 | 79.6 | 82.0 | -2.4 | 12.70 | +3.30 |
| 8 | Phoenix Mercury Playoffs | 15 | 21 | .417 | 11 | 81.1 | 84.1 | -3.0 | 17.36 | -2.36 |
| 9 | Atlanta Dream | 15 | 21 | .417 | 11 | 78.8 | 81.2 | -2.4 | 14.30 | +0.70 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Sparks | 13 | 23 | .361 | 13 | 79.4 | 86.6 | -7.1 | 14.06 | -1.06 |
| 11 | Minnesota Lynx | 12 | 24 | .333 | 14 | 79.9 | 84.2 | -4.3 | 15.79 | -3.79 |
| 12 | Indiana Fever | 5 | 31 | .139 | 21 | 78.0 | 89.1 | -11.1 | 8.23 | -3.23 |
Playoff Bracket
The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.
WNBA Playoffs
Quarterfinals
Semifinals
WNBA Finals
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Actual | Avg. Wins | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 1682 | 25 | 25.41 | -0.41 | 50.64% | 15 | 21 | 24 | 25 | 27 | 30 | 34 | ||
| Chicago Sky | 1675 | 26 | 25.30 | +0.70 | 66.29% | 11 | 21 | 24 | 25 | 27 | 29 | 34 | ||
| Las Vegas Aces | 1655 | 26 | 24.87 | +1.13 | 72.72% | 13 | 20 | 23 | 25 | 27 | 29 | 33 | ||
| Seattle Storm | 1598 | 22 | 20.52 | +1.48 | 76.07% | 10 | 16 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 25 | 31 | ||
| Washington Mystics | 1571 | 22 | 19.36 | +2.64 | 86.97% | 9 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 24 | 29 | ||
| Dallas Wings | 1519 | 19 | 18.10 | +0.90 | 69.37% | 8 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 23 | 29 | ||
| New York Liberty | 1478 | 16 | 12.70 | +3.30 | 91.72% | 3 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 23 | ||
| Phoenix Mercury | 1451 | 15 | 17.36 | -2.36 | 25.84% | 8 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 22 | 28 | ||
| Minnesota Lynx | 1431 | 12 | 15.79 | -3.79 | 11.67% | 6 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 27 | ||
| Atlanta Dream | 1404 | 15 | 14.30 | +0.70 | 66.94% | 5 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 19 | 24 | ||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 1346 | 13 | 14.06 | -1.06 | 42.44% | 4 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 19 | 26 | ||
| Indiana Fever | 1191 | 5 | 8.23 | -3.23 | 12.85% | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record (row vs column) and below it the expected number of wins the model predicted based on each individual game's win probability. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than half a win in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | Dream | Sky | Sun | Wings | Fever | Aces | Sparks | Lynx | Liberty | Mercury | Storm | Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | — |
0-3
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.7 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.5 exp.)
|
| Chicago Sky |
3-0
(2.3 exp.)
|
— |
4-0
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.3 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.6 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.3 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
3-1
(3.3 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.2 exp.)
|
1-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.6 exp.)
|
| Connecticut Sun |
3-0
(2.3 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.9 exp.)
|
— |
1-2
(2.1 exp.)
|
4-0
(3.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.3 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.2 exp.)
|
2-2
(3.2 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.3 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
| Dallas Wings |
1-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
2-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
— |
3-0
(2.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.5 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.6 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.7 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
| Indiana Fever |
0-4
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-4
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.5 exp.)
|
— |
0-3
(0.3 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-4
(0.9 exp.)
|
| Las Vegas Aces |
2-1
(2.3 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.7 exp.)
|
— |
4-0
(3.1 exp.)
|
3-1
(3.2 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.8 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.3 exp.)
|
0-3
(2.0 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Sparks |
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.7 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
0-4
(0.9 exp.)
|
— |
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Lynx |
1-2
(1.6 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-2
(2.2 exp.)
|
1-3
(0.8 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
— |
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
|
4-0
(1.8 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.5 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.5 exp.)
|
| New York Liberty |
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
1-3
(0.7 exp.)
|
2-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
— |
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.8 exp.)
|
2-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
| Phoenix Mercury |
1-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.7 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.2 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
|
0-4
(2.2 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
— |
3-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
| Seattle Storm |
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.0 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.3 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.6 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.7 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.5 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.2 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.7 exp.)
|
— |
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
| Washington Mystics |
4-0
(2.5 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
4-0
(3.1 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(2.2 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.7 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
— |
Scoring Distribution
Histograms of points scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | — |
| Mean allowed | — |
| StdDev scored | — |
| StdDev allowed | — |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | — |
| Sample size (games) | — |
Actual vs. Point Differential
How points translated into wins. Teams above the cluster overperformed their points differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.
Top Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Liberty | 16 | 12.70 | +3.30 |
| 2 | Washington Mystics | 22 | 19.36 | +2.64 |
| 3 | Seattle Storm | 22 | 20.52 | +1.48 |
| 4 | Las Vegas Aces | 26 | 24.87 | +1.13 |
| 5 | Dallas Wings | 19 | 18.10 | +0.90 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx | 12 | 15.79 | -3.79 |
| 2 | Indiana Fever | 5 | 8.23 | -3.23 |
| 3 | Phoenix Mercury | 15 | 17.36 | -2.36 |
| 4 | Los Angeles Sparks | 13 | 14.06 | -1.06 |
| 5 | Connecticut Sun | 25 | 25.41 | -0.41 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx | 3 | Jul 3 – Jul 12 | 1 in 44 |
| 2 | Dallas Wings | 5 | Jul 30 – Aug 8 | 1 in 31 |
| 3 | Las Vegas Aces | 7 | May 13 – May 31 | 1 in 20 |
| 4 | Washington Mystics | 3 | May 6 – May 10 | 1 in 14 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Sparks | 3 | Jul 1 – Jul 4 | 1 in 9 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phoenix Mercury | 7 | May 17 – Jun 3 | 1 in 87 |
| 2 | Minnesota Lynx | 5 | Jun 7 – Jun 19 | 1 in 30 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Sparks | 6 | Jul 23 – Aug 5 | 1 in 22 |
| 4 | Indiana Fever | 18 | Jun 23 – Aug 14 | 1 in 22 |
| 5 | Connecticut Sun | 2 | Jun 19 – Jun 22 | 1 in 21 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Finish Position Heatmaps
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 34.54% | 29.46% | 23.02% | 8.45% | 3.20% | 0.90% | 0.28% | 0.09% | 0.06% | — | — | — |
| Chicago Sky | 33.78% | 29.95% | 22.39% | 8.74% | 3.39% | 1.07% | 0.51% | 0.09% | 0.03% | 0.04% | 0.01% | — |
| Las Vegas Aces | 27.77% | 28.91% | 25.75% | 10.89% | 4.19% | 1.48% | 0.70% | 0.24% | 0.05% | 0.01% | 0.01% | — |
| Seattle Storm | 2.39% | 6.14% | 13.26% | 26.24% | 20.86% | 14.49% | 8.53% | 4.44% | 2.31% | 0.99% | 0.34% | 0.01% |
| Washington Mystics | 1.04% | 3.05% | 7.72% | 19.14% | 22.40% | 18.60% | 12.46% | 7.94% | 4.51% | 2.23% | 0.79% | 0.12% |
| Dallas Wings | 0.30% | 1.23% | 4.09% | 11.50% | 17.07% | 19.98% | 17.78% | 12.53% | 8.65% | 4.78% | 1.93% | 0.16% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.15% | 0.87% | 2.41% | 8.72% | 14.27% | 17.21% | 18.92% | 15.07% | 11.05% | 7.32% | 3.57% | 0.44% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.03% | 0.25% | 0.87% | 3.41% | 7.43% | 11.84% | 15.62% | 19.75% | 17.53% | 13.63% | 8.40% | 1.24% |
| Atlanta Dream | — | 0.07% | 0.28% | 1.54% | 3.29% | 5.81% | 10.52% | 15.38% | 19.93% | 21.06% | 17.65% | 4.47% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | — | 0.05% | 0.17% | 1.03% | 2.85% | 6.04% | 9.32% | 14.21% | 19.13% | 22.55% | 20.06% | 4.59% |
| New York Liberty | — | 0.02% | 0.04% | 0.34% | 1.04% | 2.56% | 5.21% | 9.72% | 15.38% | 22.88% | 32.18% | 10.63% |
| Indiana Fever | — | — | — | — | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.15% | 0.54% | 1.37% | 4.51% | 15.06% | 78.34% |
Win Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | 5 Seed | 6 Seed | 7 Seed | 8 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 34.54% | 29.46% | 23.02% | 8.45% | 3.20% | 0.90% | 0.28% | 0.09% | 0.06% |
| Chicago Sky | 33.78% | 29.95% | 22.39% | 8.74% | 3.39% | 1.07% | 0.51% | 0.09% | 0.08% |
| Las Vegas Aces | 27.77% | 28.91% | 25.75% | 10.89% | 4.19% | 1.48% | 0.70% | 0.24% | 0.07% |
| Seattle Storm | 2.39% | 6.14% | 13.26% | 26.24% | 20.86% | 14.49% | 8.53% | 4.44% | 3.65% |
| Washington Mystics | 1.04% | 3.05% | 7.72% | 19.14% | 22.40% | 18.60% | 12.46% | 7.94% | 7.65% |
| Dallas Wings | 0.30% | 1.23% | 4.09% | 11.50% | 17.07% | 19.98% | 17.78% | 12.53% | 15.52% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.15% | 0.87% | 2.41% | 8.72% | 14.27% | 17.21% | 18.92% | 15.07% | 22.38% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.03% | 0.25% | 0.87% | 3.41% | 7.43% | 11.84% | 15.62% | 19.75% | 40.80% |
| Atlanta Dream | — | 0.07% | 0.28% | 1.54% | 3.29% | 5.81% | 10.52% | 15.38% | 63.11% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | — | 0.05% | 0.17% | 1.03% | 2.85% | 6.04% | 9.32% | 14.21% | 66.33% |
| New York Liberty | — | 0.02% | 0.04% | 0.34% | 1.04% | 2.56% | 5.21% | 9.72% | 81.07% |
| Indiana Fever | — | — | — | — | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.15% | 0.54% | 99.28% |
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Elo Through the Playoffs
How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 99.94% | 82.66% | 52.66% | 30.39% |
| Chicago Sky | 99.92% | 80.89% | 50.49% | 28.44% |
| Las Vegas Aces | 99.93% | 78.13% | 43.34% | 21.88% |
| Seattle Storm | 96.35% | 54.38% | 22.81% | 9.33% |
| Washington Mystics | 92.35% | 42.05% | 15.80% | 6.12% |
| Dallas Wings | 84.48% | 27.21% | 8.12% | 2.35% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 77.62% | 14.75% | 3.14% | 0.63% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 59.20% | 9.35% | 1.87% | 0.52% |
| New York Liberty | 18.93% | 3.40% | 0.75% | 0.18% |
| Atlanta Dream | 36.89% | 4.37% | 0.73% | 0.13% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 33.67% | 2.80% | 0.29% | 0.03% |
| Indiana Fever | 0.72% | 0.01% | — | — |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Indiana Fever | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 0.85% | 0.84% | 0.30% | 0.96% | 0.07% | 0.10% | 0.02% | 0.36% | 0.46% | 0.41% | ||
| Chicago Sky | 8.99% | 0.47% | 13.26% | 0.21% | 0.64% | 8.56% | 13.18% | 4.65% | 14.06% | 6.71% | 10.16% | |
| Connecticut Sun | 9.35% | 0.41% | 12.63% | 0.23% | 0.78% | 9.30% | 13.55% | 4.72% | 14.80% | 6.88% | 10.01% | |
| Dallas Wings | 0.68% | 3.60% | 3.35% | 0.01% | 4.22% | 0.67% | 1.36% | 0.14% | 3.22% | 5.66% | 4.30% | |
| Indiana Fever | 0.01% | |||||||||||
| Las Vegas Aces | 8.32% | 0.71% | 0.52% | 12.20% | 0.24% | 7.78% | 12.40% | 4.36% | 14.11% | 7.58% | 9.91% | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.02% | 0.55% | 0.42% | 0.22% | 0.49% | 0.09% | 0.24% | 0.51% | 0.26% | |||
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.18% | 1.72% | 1.72% | 0.74% | 1.89% | 0.13% | 0.05% | 0.69% | 1.31% | 0.92% | ||
| New York Liberty | 0.02% | 0.84% | 0.76% | 0.09% | 0.89% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.20% | 0.33% | 0.23% | ||
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.36% | 1.91% | 2.12% | 1.75% | 2.50% | 0.39% | 0.66% | 0.12% | 2.82% | 2.12% | ||
| Seattle Storm | 2.98% | 4.13% | 3.36% | 9.63% | 0.01% | 4.37% | 2.45% | 5.27% | 0.94% | 9.26% | 11.98% | |
| Washington Mystics | 1.62% | 4.31% | 3.71% | 6.45% | 0.01% | 5.06% | 1.51% | 3.21% | 0.53% | 5.93% | 9.71% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Indiana Fever | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 0.11% | 0.10% | 0.09% | 0.09% | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.16% | |||
| Chicago Sky | 0.84% | 9.82% | 5.13% | 11.69% | 0.40% | 1.66% | 0.46% | 2.68% | 10.05% | 7.76% | ||
| Connecticut Sun | 0.60% | 9.72% | 5.56% | 12.18% | 0.64% | 1.89% | 0.57% | 3.33% | 10.10% | 8.07% | ||
| Dallas Wings | 0.26% | 1.66% | 1.38% | 1.50% | 0.15% | 0.52% | 0.19% | 0.61% | 0.95% | 0.90% | ||
| Las Vegas Aces | 0.63% | 9.62% | 9.51% | 4.46% | 0.01% | 0.50% | 1.32% | 0.52% | 2.50% | 7.78% | 6.49% | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.04% | 0.03% | 0.05% | 0.05% | 0.01% | 0.06% | 0.04% | 0.01% | ||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.07% | 0.28% | 0.28% | 0.16% | 0.30% | 0.05% | 0.01% | 0.17% | 0.31% | 0.24% | ||
| New York Liberty | 0.02% | 0.09% | 0.09% | 0.10% | 0.02% | 0.05% | 0.06% | 0.16% | 0.16% | |||
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.14% | 0.49% | 0.42% | 0.34% | 0.58% | 0.07% | 0.24% | 0.05% | 0.32% | 0.49% | ||
| Seattle Storm | 0.57% | 5.22% | 5.08% | 1.88% | 4.98% | 0.32% | 1.02% | 0.51% | 1.26% | 1.97% | ||
| Washington Mystics | 0.51% | 3.17% | 3.29% | 1.32% | 3.40% | 0.35% | 0.77% | 0.33% | 0.91% | 1.75% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.01% | |||
| Chicago Sky | 0.13% | 10.29% | 1.61% | 8.01% | 0.04% | 0.33% | 0.18% | 0.77% | 4.18% | 2.90% | |
| Connecticut Sun | 0.21% | 10.59% | 1.76% | 8.69% | 0.08% | 0.37% | 0.07% | 0.70% | 4.62% | 3.30% | |
| Dallas Wings | 0.02% | 0.53% | 0.62% | 0.54% | 0.01% | 0.05% | 0.02% | 0.05% | 0.24% | 0.27% | |
| Las Vegas Aces | 0.10% | 6.54% | 7.09% | 1.47% | 0.05% | 0.31% | 0.16% | 0.51% | 3.36% | 2.29% | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.01% | 0.02% | |||||||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.14% | 0.13% | 0.02% | 0.09% | 0.03% | 0.07% | 0.04% | ||||
| New York Liberty | 0.04% | 0.03% | 0.05% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.02% | |||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.02% | 0.14% | 0.14% | 0.04% | 0.10% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.08% | 0.09% | ||
| Seattle Storm | 0.06% | 2.61% | 2.30% | 0.51% | 2.53% | 0.03% | 0.19% | 0.08% | 0.28% | 0.74% | |
| Washington Mystics | 0.06% | 1.44% | 1.64% | 0.35% | 1.43% | 0.02% | 0.09% | 0.05% | 0.16% | 0.88% |
Actual Bracket Simulation
With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.
| Team | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals | Actual Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky | 84.13% | 46.21% | 27.45% | Eliminated in Semifinals |
| Connecticut Sun | 79.52% | 43.94% | 27.27% | Eliminated in Finals |
| Las Vegas Aces | 89.34% | 55.28% | 25.78% | Won Finals |
| Seattle Storm | 56.67% | 25.27% | 9.78% | Eliminated in Semifinals |
| Washington Mystics | 43.33% | 17.54% | 6.07% | Eliminated in Quarterfinals |
| Dallas Wings | 20.48% | 6.36% | 2.33% | Eliminated in Quarterfinals |
| New York Liberty | 15.87% | 3.49% | 1.13% | Eliminated in Quarterfinals |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Las Vegas Aces | New York Liberty | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 10.66% | |||||||
| Chicago Sky | 84.13% | |||||||
| Connecticut Sun | 79.52% | |||||||
| Dallas Wings | 20.48% | |||||||
| Las Vegas Aces | 89.34% | |||||||
| New York Liberty | 15.87% | |||||||
| Seattle Storm | 56.67% | |||||||
| Washington Mystics | 43.33% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Las Vegas Aces | New York Liberty | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 1.08% | 0.83% | ||||||
| Chicago Sky | 33.52% | 12.69% | ||||||
| Connecticut Sun | 33.53% | 10.41% | ||||||
| Dallas Wings | 4.39% | 1.97% | ||||||
| Las Vegas Aces | 30.32% | 24.96% | ||||||
| New York Liberty | 2.06% | 1.43% | ||||||
| Seattle Storm | 4.86% | 20.41% | ||||||
| Washington Mystics | 3.89% | 13.65% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Las Vegas Aces | New York Liberty | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 0.09% | 0.07% | 0.01% | 0.02% | ||||
| Chicago Sky | 0.81% | 13.84% | 7.30% | 5.50% | ||||
| Connecticut Sun | 0.76% | 13.95% | 7.27% | 5.29% | ||||
| Dallas Wings | 0.09% | 1.16% | 0.69% | 0.39% | ||||
| Las Vegas Aces | 11.57% | 10.39% | 2.41% | 1.41% | ||||
| New York Liberty | 0.06% | 0.55% | 0.23% | 0.29% | ||||
| Seattle Storm | 4.13% | 4.10% | 1.02% | 0.53% | ||||
| Washington Mystics | 2.97% | 2.11% | 0.59% | 0.40% |
Most-Likely Championship Paths
For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.
Regular Season Games
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-07 | @ Dallas Wings | W 66-59 | 1386.46 | 1458.79 | 36.24% | 63.76% | +17.41 | 1-0 |
| 2022-05-11 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 77-75 | 1403.87 | 1488.16 | 41.66% | 58.34% | +8.52 | 2-0 |
| 2022-05-13 | Las Vegas Aces | L 73-96 | 1412.39 | 1605.63 | 27.61% | 72.39% | -13.67 | 2-1 |
| 2022-05-15 | @ Indiana Fever | W 85-79 | 1398.72 | 1372.21 | 50.11% | 49.89% | +12.61 | 3-1 |
| 2022-05-17 | @ Indiana Fever | W 101-79 | 1411.33 | 1359.60 | 53.73% | 46.27% | +22.40 | 4-1 |
| 2022-05-20 | Washington Mystics | L 73-78 | 1433.73 | 1504.35 | 43.58% | 56.42% | -10.05 | 4-2 |
| 2022-05-24 | @ Washington Mystics | L 50-70 | 1423.68 | 1501.85 | 35.47% | 64.53% | -16.38 | 4-3 |
| 2022-05-29 | Phoenix Mercury | W 81-54 | 1407.30 | 1505.80 | 39.69% | 60.31% | +32.35 | 5-3 |
| 2022-06-01 | Minnesota Lynx | W 84-76 | 1439.65 | 1470.50 | 49.27% | 50.73% | +14.81 | 6-3 |
| 2022-06-03 | Chicago Sky | L 65-73 | 1454.46 | 1614.34 | 31.61% | 68.39% | -9.23 | 6-4 |
| 2022-06-05 | Indiana Fever | W 75-66 | 1445.23 | 1308.82 | 71.78% | 28.22% | +8.74 | 7-4 |
| 2022-06-07 | @ Seattle Storm | L 60-72 | 1453.97 | 1521.61 | 36.87% | 63.13% | -13.18 | 7-5 |
| 2022-06-10 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 88-90 | 1440.79 | 1474.95 | 41.46% | 58.54% | -6.06 | 7-6 |
| 2022-06-15 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 92-105 | 1434.73 | 1664.14 | 18.71% | 81.29% | -6.96 | 7-7 |
| 2022-06-17 | @ Chicago Sky | L 100-106 | 1427.77 | 1639.24 | 20.33% | 79.67% | -5.14 | 7-8 |
| 2022-06-21 | Dallas Wings | W 80-75 | 1422.63 | 1508.78 | 41.40% | 58.60% | +13.53 | 8-8 |
| 2022-06-24 | New York Liberty | L 77-89 | 1436.16 | 1418.48 | 56.22% | 43.78% | -20.10 | 8-9 |
| 2022-06-26 | Connecticut Sun | L 61-72 | 1416.06 | 1643.66 | 23.83% | 76.17% | -8.16 | 8-10 |
| 2022-06-28 | @ Washington Mystics | L 74-92 | 1407.90 | 1505.88 | 32.91% | 67.09% | -14.41 | 8-11 |
| 2022-06-30 | @ New York Liberty | W 92-81 | 1393.49 | 1438.58 | 39.94% | 60.06% | +20.56 | 9-11 |
| 2022-07-03 | Seattle Storm | W 90-76 | 1414.05 | 1576.83 | 31.25% | 68.75% | +26.55 | 10-11 |
| 2022-07-06 | Washington Mystics | L 66-85 | 1440.60 | 1515.86 | 42.93% | 57.07% | -19.31 | 10-12 |
| 2022-07-12 | @ Chicago Sky | L 75-90 | 1421.29 | 1677.47 | 16.48% | 83.52% | -6.59 | 10-13 |
| 2022-07-15 | Connecticut Sun | L 68-93 | 1414.70 | 1624.06 | 25.79% | 74.21% | -13.31 | 10-14 |
| 2022-07-17 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 85-75 | 1401.39 | 1465.56 | 37.34% | 62.66% | +20.45 | 11-14 |
| 2022-07-19 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 92-76 | 1421.84 | 1636.26 | 20.06% | 79.94% | +33.00 | 12-14 |
| 2022-07-21 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 78-85 | 1454.84 | 1431.34 | 49.67% | 50.33% | -13.56 | 12-15 |
| 2022-07-24 | @ Seattle Storm | L 72-82 | 1441.28 | 1566.29 | 29.57% | 70.43% | -9.65 | 12-16 |
| 2022-07-28 | Minnesota Lynx | L 85-92 | 1431.63 | 1439.71 | 52.55% | 47.45% | -14.35 | 12-17 |
| 2022-07-30 | Dallas Wings | L 68-81 | 1417.28 | 1496.29 | 42.40% | 57.60% | -15.77 | 12-18 |
| 2022-08-03 | Indiana Fever | W 91-81 | 1401.51 | 1207.92 | 77.95% | 22.05% | +7.19 | 13-18 |
| 2022-08-05 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 88-86 | 1408.70 | 1375.69 | 58.38% | 41.62% | +6.08 | 14-18 |
| 2022-08-07 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 81-71 | 1414.78 | 1455.91 | 40.49% | 59.51% | +19.42 | 15-18 |
| 2022-08-09 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 90-97 | 1434.20 | 1616.43 | 23.19% | 76.81% | -6.33 | 15-19 |
| 2022-08-12 | New York Liberty | L 70-80 | 1427.87 | 1454.03 | 49.95% | 50.05% | -16.30 | 15-20 |
| 2022-08-14 | @ New York Liberty | L 83-87 | 1411.57 | 1470.33 | 38.07% | 61.93% | -7.86 | 15-21 |
| 2022-05-06 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 91-98 | 1616.58 | 1456.03 | 74.51% | 25.49% | -20.34 | 0-1 |
| 2022-05-11 | New York Liberty | W 83-50 | 1596.24 | 1402.93 | 77.92% | 22.08% | +13.08 | 1-1 |
| 2022-05-14 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 82-78 | 1609.32 | 1497.74 | 62.10% | 37.90% | +7.83 | 2-1 |
| 2022-05-18 | @ Seattle Storm | L 71-74 | 1617.15 | 1522.93 | 59.72% | 40.28% | -10.68 | 2-2 |
| 2022-05-22 | @ Washington Mystics | W 82-73 | 1606.47 | 1514.41 | 59.42% | 40.58% | +12.56 | 3-2 |
| 2022-05-24 | Indiana Fever | W 95-90 | 1619.03 | 1325.05 | 86.30% | 13.70% | +3.16 | 4-2 |
| 2022-05-28 | Las Vegas Aces | L 76-83 | 1622.19 | 1666.76 | 47.30% | 52.70% | -12.91 | 4-3 |
| 2022-05-31 | Phoenix Mercury | W 73-70 | 1609.28 | 1473.46 | 71.71% | 28.29% | +5.06 | 5-3 |
| 2022-06-03 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 73-65 | 1614.34 | 1454.46 | 68.39% | 31.61% | +9.22 | 6-3 |
| 2022-06-05 | Washington Mystics | W 91-82 | 1623.56 | 1504.59 | 69.70% | 30.30% | +9.38 | 7-3 |
| 2022-06-08 | @ Washington Mystics | L 82-84 | 1632.94 | 1495.22 | 65.57% | 34.43% | -9.57 | 7-4 |
| 2022-06-10 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 83-79 | 1623.37 | 1676.78 | 38.80% | 61.20% | +12.63 | 8-4 |
| 2022-06-12 | @ New York Liberty | W 88-86 | 1636.00 | 1391.86 | 77.85% | 22.15% | +3.24 | 9-4 |
| 2022-06-17 | Atlanta Dream | W 106-100 | 1639.24 | 1427.77 | 79.67% | 20.33% | +5.13 | 10-4 |
| 2022-06-19 | @ Indiana Fever | L 87-89 | 1644.37 | 1283.89 | 87.29% | 12.71% | -12.73 | 10-5 |
| 2022-06-21 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 104-95 | 1631.64 | 1704.03 | 36.24% | 63.76% | +19.74 | 11-5 |
| 2022-06-23 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 82-59 | 1651.38 | 1429.93 | 75.52% | 24.48% | +12.11 | 12-5 |
| 2022-06-26 | Minnesota Lynx | W 88-85 | 1663.49 | 1437.75 | 80.97% | 19.03% | +3.41 | 13-5 |
| 2022-06-29 | Connecticut Sun | W 91-83 | 1666.90 | 1651.82 | 55.85% | 44.15% | +12.88 | 14-5 |
| 2022-07-02 | Phoenix Mercury | W 91-75 | 1679.78 | 1477.59 | 78.79% | 21.21% | +8.76 | 15-5 |
| 2022-07-06 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 78-81 | 1688.54 | 1443.73 | 77.92% | 22.08% | -13.93 | 15-6 |
| 2022-07-07 | @ Indiana Fever | W 93-84 | 1674.61 | 1252.03 | 90.76% | 9.24% | +2.86 | 16-6 |
| 2022-07-12 | Atlanta Dream | W 90-75 | 1677.47 | 1421.29 | 83.52% | 16.48% | +6.59 | 17-6 |
| 2022-07-14 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 80-68 | 1684.06 | 1432.95 | 78.53% | 21.47% | +7.67 | 18-6 |
| 2022-07-16 | @ Dallas Wings | W 89-81 | 1691.73 | 1519.84 | 69.87% | 30.13% | +8.80 | 19-6 |
| 2022-07-20 | Seattle Storm | W 78-74 | 1700.53 | 1600.70 | 67.33% | 32.67% | +6.74 | 20-6 |
| 2022-07-22 | Dallas Wings | W 89-83 | 1707.27 | 1511.05 | 78.21% | 21.79% | +5.51 | 21-6 |
| 2022-07-23 | @ New York Liberty | L 80-83 | 1712.78 | 1380.82 | 85.35% | 14.65% | -15.26 | 21-7 |
| 2022-07-29 | New York Liberty | W 89-81 | 1697.52 | 1396.07 | 86.80% | 13.20% | +3.85 | 22-7 |
| 2022-07-31 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 95-92 | 1701.37 | 1655.40 | 52.90% | 47.10% | +8.42 | 23-7 |
| 2022-08-02 | Dallas Wings | L 78-84 | 1709.79 | 1512.07 | 78.36% | 21.64% | -19.80 | 23-8 |
| 2022-08-05 | Washington Mystics | W 93-83 | 1689.99 | 1587.61 | 67.65% | 32.35% | +10.55 | 24-8 |
| 2022-08-07 | Connecticut Sun | W 94-91 | 1700.54 | 1665.96 | 58.60% | 41.40% | +7.40 | 25-8 |
| 2022-08-09 | Seattle Storm | L 100-111 | 1707.94 | 1567.97 | 72.20% | 27.80% | -24.71 | 25-9 |
| 2022-08-11 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 78-89 | 1683.23 | 1622.76 | 54.98% | 45.02% | -18.82 | 25-10 |
| 2022-08-14 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 82-67 | 1664.41 | 1461.18 | 73.53% | 26.47% | +10.59 | 26-10 |
| 2022-05-07 | @ New York Liberty | L 79-81 | 1623.98 | 1391.74 | 76.65% | 23.35% | -11.18 | 0-1 |
| 2022-05-14 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 77-60 | 1612.80 | 1479.64 | 71.40% | 28.60% | +12.16 | 1-1 |
| 2022-05-17 | @ New York Liberty | W 92-65 | 1624.96 | 1361.51 | 79.71% | 20.29% | +10.89 | 2-1 |
| 2022-05-20 | Indiana Fever | W 94-85 | 1635.85 | 1337.20 | 86.62% | 13.38% | +4.14 | 3-1 |
| 2022-05-22 | @ Indiana Fever | W 92-70 | 1639.99 | 1333.06 | 83.46% | 16.54% | +8.01 | 4-1 |
| 2022-05-24 | Dallas Wings | L 77-85 | 1648.00 | 1493.83 | 73.80% | 26.20% | -21.55 | 4-2 |
| 2022-05-26 | Dallas Wings | W 99-68 | 1626.45 | 1515.38 | 68.74% | 31.26% | +17.97 | 5-2 |
| 2022-05-28 | Washington Mystics | W 79-71 | 1644.42 | 1518.22 | 70.58% | 29.42% | +8.59 | 6-2 |
| 2022-05-31 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 81-89 | 1653.01 | 1679.68 | 42.51% | 57.49% | -12.41 | 6-3 |
| 2022-06-02 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 97-90 | 1640.60 | 1692.09 | 39.06% | 60.94% | +16.64 | 7-3 |
| 2022-06-03 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 92-88 | 1657.24 | 1468.40 | 71.88% | 28.12% | +5.80 | 8-3 |
| 2022-06-05 | @ Seattle Storm | W 93-86 | 1663.04 | 1531.22 | 64.80% | 35.20% | +9.61 | 9-3 |
| 2022-06-08 | Indiana Fever | W 88-69 | 1672.65 | 1300.08 | 90.83% | 9.17% | +4.13 | 10-3 |
| 2022-06-10 | Chicago Sky | L 79-83 | 1676.78 | 1623.37 | 61.20% | 38.80% | -12.64 | 10-4 |
| 2022-06-15 | Atlanta Dream | W 105-92 | 1664.14 | 1434.73 | 81.29% | 18.71% | +6.97 | 11-4 |
| 2022-06-17 | Seattle Storm | W 82-71 | 1671.11 | 1556.05 | 69.23% | 30.77% | +10.53 | 12-4 |
| 2022-06-19 | @ Washington Mystics | L 63-71 | 1681.64 | 1501.62 | 70.84% | 29.16% | -20.68 | 12-5 |
| 2022-06-22 | New York Liberty | L 77-81 | 1660.96 | 1401.18 | 83.81% | 16.19% | -17.30 | 12-6 |
| 2022-06-26 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 72-61 | 1643.66 | 1416.06 | 76.17% | 23.83% | +8.16 | 13-6 |
| 2022-06-29 | @ Chicago Sky | L 83-91 | 1651.82 | 1666.90 | 44.15% | 55.85% | -12.89 | 13-7 |
| 2022-07-03 | Washington Mystics | W 74-72 | 1638.93 | 1520.28 | 69.67% | 30.33% | +4.43 | 14-7 |
| 2022-07-05 | @ Dallas Wings | L 71-82 | 1643.36 | 1497.31 | 66.65% | 33.35% | -22.81 | 14-8 |
| 2022-07-13 | @ Indiana Fever | W 89-81 | 1620.55 | 1249.17 | 87.97% | 12.03% | +3.51 | 15-8 |
| 2022-07-15 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 93-68 | 1624.06 | 1414.70 | 74.21% | 25.79% | +13.31 | 16-8 |
| 2022-07-17 | Las Vegas Aces | L 83-91 | 1637.37 | 1619.86 | 56.20% | 43.80% | -16.40 | 16-9 |
| 2022-07-19 | New York Liberty | W 82-63 | 1620.97 | 1397.31 | 80.78% | 19.22% | +8.64 | 17-9 |
| 2022-07-22 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 94-84 | 1629.61 | 1457.09 | 69.95% | 30.05% | +9.81 | 18-9 |
| 2022-07-24 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 86-79 | 1639.42 | 1447.28 | 72.26% | 27.74% | +7.57 | 19-9 |
| 2022-07-28 | Seattle Storm | W 88-83 | 1646.99 | 1575.94 | 63.59% | 36.41% | +8.41 | 20-9 |
| 2022-07-31 | Chicago Sky | L 92-95 | 1655.40 | 1701.37 | 47.10% | 52.90% | -8.42 | 20-10 |
| 2022-08-02 | Phoenix Mercury | W 87-63 | 1646.98 | 1458.54 | 77.44% | 22.56% | +11.40 | 21-10 |
| 2022-08-04 | Phoenix Mercury | W 77-64 | 1658.38 | 1447.13 | 79.65% | 20.35% | +7.58 | 22-10 |
| 2022-08-07 | @ Chicago Sky | L 91-94 | 1665.96 | 1700.54 | 41.40% | 58.60% | -7.40 | 22-11 |
| 2022-08-09 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 97-71 | 1658.56 | 1383.79 | 80.74% | 19.26% | +10.13 | 23-11 |
| 2022-08-11 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 93-69 | 1668.69 | 1373.65 | 82.49% | 17.51% | +8.85 | 24-11 |
| 2022-08-14 | Minnesota Lynx | W 90-83 | 1677.54 | 1435.67 | 82.36% | 17.64% | +4.82 | 25-11 |
| 2022-05-07 | Atlanta Dream | L 59-66 | 1458.79 | 1386.46 | 63.76% | 36.24% | -17.40 | 0-1 |
| 2022-05-13 | @ Washington Mystics | W 94-86 | 1441.39 | 1500.86 | 37.97% | 62.03% | +18.10 | 1-1 |
| 2022-05-15 | @ New York Liberty | W 81-71 | 1459.49 | 1375.11 | 58.36% | 41.64% | +13.59 | 2-1 |
| 2022-05-17 | Washington Mystics | L 68-84 | 1473.08 | 1482.75 | 52.32% | 47.68% | -21.59 | 2-2 |
| 2022-05-19 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 94-84 | 1451.49 | 1555.91 | 32.09% | 67.91% | +22.16 | 3-2 |
| 2022-05-21 | Minnesota Lynx | W 94-78 | 1473.65 | 1491.75 | 51.10% | 48.90% | +20.18 | 4-2 |
| 2022-05-24 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 85-77 | 1493.83 | 1648.00 | 26.20% | 73.80% | +21.55 | 5-2 |
| 2022-05-26 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 68-99 | 1515.38 | 1626.45 | 31.26% | 68.74% | -17.97 | 5-3 |
| 2022-05-31 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 91-93 | 1497.41 | 1447.50 | 53.47% | 46.53% | -7.80 | 5-4 |
| 2022-06-03 | @ Seattle Storm | W 68-51 | 1489.61 | 1558.13 | 36.75% | 63.25% | +26.91 | 6-4 |
| 2022-06-05 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 78-84 | 1516.52 | 1675.45 | 25.67% | 74.33% | -6.49 | 6-5 |
| 2022-06-10 | Seattle Storm | L 88-89 | 1510.03 | 1534.79 | 50.15% | 49.85% | -5.17 | 6-6 |
| 2022-06-12 | Seattle Storm | L 79-84 | 1504.86 | 1539.97 | 48.66% | 51.34% | -11.23 | 6-7 |
| 2022-06-15 | Las Vegas Aces | L 84-92 | 1493.63 | 1691.58 | 27.07% | 72.93% | -7.90 | 6-8 |
| 2022-06-17 | Phoenix Mercury | W 93-88 | 1485.73 | 1490.20 | 53.06% | 46.94% | +10.83 | 7-8 |
| 2022-06-19 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 92-82 | 1496.56 | 1433.30 | 62.54% | 37.46% | +12.22 | 8-8 |
| 2022-06-21 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 75-80 | 1508.78 | 1422.63 | 58.60% | 41.40% | -13.52 | 8-9 |
| 2022-06-23 | Indiana Fever | W 94-68 | 1495.26 | 1296.63 | 78.45% | 21.55% | +11.34 | 9-9 |
| 2022-06-25 | Phoenix Mercury | L 72-83 | 1506.60 | 1436.67 | 63.44% | 36.56% | -21.71 | 9-10 |
| 2022-06-28 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 64-21 | 1484.89 | 1434.35 | 53.56% | 46.44% | +31.43 | 10-10 |
| 2022-07-01 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 89-97 | 1516.32 | 1433.58 | 65.13% | 34.87% | -19.01 | 10-11 |
| 2022-07-05 | Connecticut Sun | W 82-71 | 1497.31 | 1643.36 | 33.35% | 66.65% | +22.81 | 11-11 |
| 2022-07-12 | @ Seattle Storm | L 74-83 | 1520.12 | 1585.11 | 37.23% | 62.77% | -11.52 | 11-12 |
| 2022-07-14 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 92-87 | 1508.60 | 1474.01 | 51.27% | 48.73% | +11.24 | 12-12 |
| 2022-07-16 | Chicago Sky | L 81-89 | 1519.84 | 1691.73 | 30.13% | 69.87% | -8.79 | 12-13 |
| 2022-07-22 | @ Chicago Sky | L 83-89 | 1511.05 | 1707.27 | 21.79% | 78.21% | -5.51 | 12-14 |
| 2022-07-24 | @ Indiana Fever | W 96-86 | 1505.54 | 1224.04 | 81.34% | 18.66% | +6.09 | 13-14 |
| 2022-07-28 | Washington Mystics | L 77-87 | 1511.63 | 1558.27 | 47.00% | 53.00% | -15.34 | 13-15 |
| 2022-07-30 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 81-68 | 1496.29 | 1417.28 | 57.60% | 42.40% | +15.78 | 14-15 |
| 2022-08-02 | @ Chicago Sky | W 84-78 | 1512.07 | 1709.79 | 21.64% | 78.36% | +19.80 | 15-15 |
| 2022-08-04 | Las Vegas Aces | W 82-80 | 1531.87 | 1609.92 | 42.53% | 57.47% | +8.39 | 16-15 |
| 2022-08-06 | Indiana Fever | W 95-91 | 1540.26 | 1200.73 | 89.12% | 10.88% | +2.25 | 17-15 |
| 2022-08-08 | New York Liberty | W 86-77 | 1542.51 | 1432.69 | 68.58% | 31.42% | +9.72 | 18-15 |
| 2022-08-10 | New York Liberty | L 73-91 | 1552.23 | 1422.96 | 70.94% | 29.06% | -31.06 | 18-16 |
| 2022-08-12 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 74-86 | 1521.17 | 1440.50 | 57.83% | 42.17% | -20.67 | 18-17 |
| 2022-08-14 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 116-88 | 1500.50 | 1364.80 | 65.31% | 34.69% | +18.94 | 19-17 |
| 2022-05-06 | @ Washington Mystics | L 70-84 | 1365.45 | 1438.18 | 36.19% | 63.81% | -13.97 | 0-1 |
| 2022-05-08 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 77-87 | 1351.48 | 1476.37 | 36.11% | 63.89% | -11.79 | 0-2 |
| 2022-05-10 | Minnesota Lynx | W 82-76 | 1339.69 | 1515.53 | 29.65% | 70.35% | +17.78 | 1-2 |
| 2022-05-13 | @ New York Liberty | W 92-86 | 1357.47 | 1389.84 | 41.71% | 58.29% | +14.74 | 2-2 |
| 2022-05-15 | Atlanta Dream | L 79-85 | 1372.21 | 1398.72 | 49.89% | 50.11% | -12.61 | 2-3 |
| 2022-05-17 | Atlanta Dream | L 79-101 | 1359.60 | 1411.33 | 46.27% | 53.73% | -22.40 | 2-4 |
| 2022-05-20 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 85-94 | 1337.20 | 1635.85 | 13.38% | 86.62% | -4.14 | 2-5 |
| 2022-05-22 | Connecticut Sun | L 70-92 | 1333.06 | 1639.99 | 16.54% | 83.46% | -8.01 | 2-6 |
| 2022-05-24 | @ Chicago Sky | L 90-95 | 1325.05 | 1619.03 | 13.70% | 86.30% | -3.16 | 2-7 |
| 2022-05-27 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 101-96 | 1321.89 | 1453.79 | 35.19% | 64.81% | +14.95 | 3-7 |
| 2022-05-31 | Washington Mystics | L 75-87 | 1336.84 | 1509.63 | 30.02% | 69.98% | -10.73 | 3-8 |
| 2022-06-01 | @ New York Liberty | L 74-87 | 1326.11 | 1324.92 | 46.47% | 53.53% | -17.29 | 3-9 |
| 2022-06-05 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 66-75 | 1308.82 | 1445.23 | 28.22% | 71.78% | -8.74 | 3-10 |
| 2022-06-08 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 69-88 | 1300.08 | 1672.65 | 9.17% | 90.83% | -4.12 | 3-11 |
| 2022-06-10 | New York Liberty | L 83-97 | 1295.96 | 1375.52 | 42.32% | 57.68% | -16.34 | 3-12 |
| 2022-06-12 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 84-80 | 1279.62 | 1419.36 | 27.83% | 72.17% | +14.89 | 4-12 |
| 2022-06-15 | Phoenix Mercury | L 80-93 | 1294.51 | 1479.57 | 28.56% | 71.44% | -10.62 | 4-13 |
| 2022-06-19 | Chicago Sky | W 89-87 | 1283.89 | 1644.37 | 12.71% | 87.29% | +12.74 | 5-13 |
| 2022-06-23 | @ Dallas Wings | L 68-94 | 1296.63 | 1495.26 | 21.55% | 78.45% | -11.35 | 5-14 |
| 2022-06-27 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 71-83 | 1285.28 | 1458.38 | 24.14% | 75.86% | -8.63 | 5-15 |
| 2022-06-29 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 78-99 | 1276.65 | 1467.02 | 22.37% | 77.63% | -10.58 | 5-16 |
| 2022-07-01 | @ Seattle Storm | L 57-73 | 1266.07 | 1571.49 | 12.94% | 87.06% | -5.34 | 5-17 |
| 2022-07-05 | Seattle Storm | L 73-95 | 1260.73 | 1550.28 | 17.97% | 82.03% | -8.70 | 5-18 |
| 2022-07-07 | Chicago Sky | L 84-93 | 1252.03 | 1674.61 | 9.24% | 90.76% | -2.86 | 5-19 |
| 2022-07-13 | Connecticut Sun | L 81-89 | 1249.17 | 1620.55 | 12.03% | 87.97% | -3.51 | 5-20 |
| 2022-07-15 | Minnesota Lynx | L 77-87 | 1245.66 | 1462.77 | 24.95% | 75.05% | -8.14 | 5-21 |
| 2022-07-17 | @ Seattle Storm | L 65-81 | 1237.52 | 1596.64 | 9.84% | 90.16% | -4.06 | 5-22 |
| 2022-07-19 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 79-86 | 1233.46 | 1425.27 | 22.23% | 77.77% | -6.07 | 5-23 |
| 2022-07-21 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 77-90 | 1227.39 | 1603.26 | 9.01% | 90.99% | -3.35 | 5-24 |
| 2022-07-24 | Dallas Wings | L 86-96 | 1224.04 | 1505.54 | 18.66% | 81.34% | -6.09 | 5-25 |
| 2022-07-29 | Las Vegas Aces | L 72-93 | 1217.95 | 1617.72 | 10.41% | 89.59% | -4.93 | 5-26 |
| 2022-07-31 | Las Vegas Aces | L 69-94 | 1213.02 | 1622.64 | 9.89% | 90.11% | -5.10 | 5-27 |
| 2022-08-03 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 81-91 | 1207.92 | 1401.51 | 22.05% | 77.95% | -7.19 | 5-28 |
| 2022-08-06 | @ Dallas Wings | L 91-95 | 1200.73 | 1540.26 | 10.88% | 89.12% | -2.25 | 5-29 |
| 2022-08-12 | Washington Mystics | L 70-82 | 1198.48 | 1562.88 | 12.46% | 87.54% | -4.46 | 5-30 |
| 2022-08-14 | @ Washington Mystics | L 83-95 | 1194.02 | 1567.33 | 9.13% | 90.87% | -3.26 | 5-31 |
| 2022-05-06 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 106-88 | 1596.23 | 1556.59 | 51.99% | 48.01% | +21.02 | 1-0 |
| 2022-05-08 | Seattle Storm | W 85-74 | 1617.25 | 1570.95 | 60.23% | 39.77% | +13.62 | 2-0 |
| 2022-05-10 | @ Washington Mystics | L 76-89 | 1630.87 | 1475.63 | 67.81% | 32.19% | -25.24 | 2-1 |
| 2022-05-13 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 96-73 | 1605.63 | 1412.39 | 72.39% | 27.61% | +13.67 | 3-1 |
| 2022-05-17 | Phoenix Mercury | W 86-74 | 1619.30 | 1569.98 | 60.64% | 39.36% | +14.07 | 4-1 |
| 2022-05-19 | Minnesota Lynx | W 93-87 | 1633.37 | 1498.95 | 71.55% | 28.45% | +7.19 | 5-1 |
| 2022-05-21 | Phoenix Mercury | W 100-80 | 1640.56 | 1533.75 | 68.21% | 31.79% | +14.67 | 6-1 |
| 2022-05-23 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 104-76 | 1655.23 | 1452.04 | 78.89% | 21.11% | +11.53 | 7-1 |
| 2022-05-28 | @ Chicago Sky | W 83-76 | 1666.76 | 1622.19 | 52.70% | 47.30% | +12.92 | 8-1 |
| 2022-05-31 | Connecticut Sun | W 89-81 | 1679.68 | 1653.01 | 57.49% | 42.51% | +12.41 | 9-1 |
| 2022-06-02 | Connecticut Sun | L 90-97 | 1692.09 | 1640.60 | 60.94% | 39.06% | -16.64 | 9-2 |
| 2022-06-05 | Dallas Wings | W 84-78 | 1675.45 | 1516.52 | 74.33% | 25.67% | +6.48 | 10-2 |
| 2022-06-11 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 89-72 | 1681.93 | 1442.95 | 77.34% | 22.66% | +9.65 | 11-2 |
| 2022-06-15 | @ Dallas Wings | W 92-84 | 1691.58 | 1493.63 | 72.93% | 27.07% | +7.90 | 12-2 |
| 2022-06-19 | Minnesota Lynx | W 96-85 | 1699.48 | 1399.61 | 86.70% | 13.30% | +4.55 | 13-2 |
| 2022-06-21 | Chicago Sky | L 95-104 | 1704.03 | 1631.64 | 63.76% | 36.24% | -19.74 | 13-3 |
| 2022-06-25 | Washington Mystics | L 86-87 | 1684.29 | 1497.91 | 77.23% | 22.77% | -7.97 | 13-4 |
| 2022-06-27 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 79-73 | 1676.32 | 1439.36 | 77.13% | 22.87% | +5.78 | 14-4 |
| 2022-06-29 | @ Seattle Storm | L 78-88 | 1682.10 | 1550.35 | 64.80% | 35.20% | -21.14 | 14-5 |
| 2022-07-01 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 91-85 | 1660.96 | 1402.92 | 79.20% | 20.80% | +5.25 | 15-5 |
| 2022-07-03 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 71-102 | 1666.21 | 1397.66 | 80.18% | 19.82% | -46.07 | 15-6 |
| 2022-07-06 | New York Liberty | L 107-116 | 1620.14 | 1404.51 | 80.05% | 19.95% | -24.78 | 15-7 |
| 2022-07-12 | @ New York Liberty | W 107-101 | 1595.36 | 1421.81 | 70.07% | 29.93% | +7.57 | 16-7 |
| 2022-07-14 | @ New York Liberty | W 108-74 | 1602.93 | 1414.24 | 71.86% | 28.14% | +16.93 | 17-7 |
| 2022-07-17 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 91-83 | 1619.86 | 1637.37 | 43.80% | 56.20% | +16.40 | 18-7 |
| 2022-07-19 | Atlanta Dream | L 76-92 | 1636.26 | 1421.84 | 79.94% | 20.06% | -33.00 | 18-8 |
| 2022-07-21 | Indiana Fever | W 90-77 | 1603.26 | 1227.39 | 90.99% | 9.01% | +3.35 | 19-8 |
| 2022-07-23 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 84-66 | 1606.61 | 1444.90 | 74.64% | 25.36% | +11.11 | 20-8 |
| 2022-07-29 | @ Indiana Fever | W 93-72 | 1617.72 | 1217.95 | 89.59% | 10.41% | +4.92 | 21-8 |
| 2022-07-31 | @ Indiana Fever | W 94-69 | 1622.64 | 1213.02 | 90.11% | 9.89% | +5.10 | 22-8 |
| 2022-08-02 | @ Washington Mystics | L 73-83 | 1627.74 | 1569.78 | 54.62% | 45.38% | -17.82 | 22-9 |
| 2022-08-04 | @ Dallas Wings | L 80-82 | 1609.92 | 1531.87 | 57.47% | 42.53% | -8.39 | 22-10 |
| 2022-08-07 | @ Seattle Storm | W 89-81 | 1601.53 | 1582.86 | 48.98% | 51.02% | +14.90 | 23-10 |
| 2022-08-09 | Atlanta Dream | W 97-90 | 1616.43 | 1434.20 | 76.81% | 23.19% | +6.33 | 24-10 |
| 2022-08-11 | Chicago Sky | W 89-78 | 1622.76 | 1683.23 | 45.02% | 54.98% | +18.82 | 25-10 |
| 2022-08-14 | Seattle Storm | W 109-100 | 1641.58 | 1611.07 | 58.03% | 41.97% | +12.99 | 26-10 |
| 2022-05-06 | @ Chicago Sky | W 98-91 | 1456.03 | 1616.58 | 25.49% | 74.51% | +20.34 | 1-0 |
| 2022-05-08 | @ Indiana Fever | W 87-77 | 1476.37 | 1351.48 | 63.89% | 36.11% | +11.79 | 2-0 |
| 2022-05-11 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 75-77 | 1488.16 | 1403.87 | 58.34% | 41.66% | -8.52 | 2-1 |
| 2022-05-14 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 60-77 | 1479.64 | 1612.80 | 28.60% | 71.40% | -12.17 | 2-2 |
| 2022-05-17 | Minnesota Lynx | L 84-87 | 1467.47 | 1489.92 | 50.48% | 49.52% | -9.02 | 2-3 |
| 2022-05-20 | @ Seattle Storm | L 80-83 | 1458.45 | 1533.60 | 35.87% | 64.13% | -6.41 | 2-4 |
| 2022-05-23 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 76-104 | 1452.04 | 1655.23 | 21.11% | 78.89% | -11.53 | 2-5 |
| 2022-05-25 | Phoenix Mercury | W 99-94 | 1440.51 | 1519.08 | 42.46% | 57.54% | +13.28 | 3-5 |
| 2022-05-27 | @ Indiana Fever | L 96-101 | 1453.79 | 1321.89 | 64.81% | 35.19% | -14.96 | 3-6 |
| 2022-05-29 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 85-83 | 1438.83 | 1479.17 | 40.60% | 59.40% | +8.67 | 4-6 |
| 2022-05-31 | Dallas Wings | W 93-91 | 1447.50 | 1497.41 | 46.53% | 53.47% | +7.80 | 5-6 |
| 2022-06-05 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 74-81 | 1455.30 | 1462.60 | 45.25% | 54.75% | -12.35 | 5-7 |
| 2022-06-11 | Las Vegas Aces | L 72-89 | 1442.95 | 1681.93 | 22.66% | 77.34% | -9.65 | 5-8 |
| 2022-06-19 | @ Dallas Wings | L 82-92 | 1433.30 | 1496.56 | 37.46% | 62.54% | -12.22 | 5-9 |
| 2022-06-21 | Washington Mystics | W 84-82 | 1421.08 | 1522.30 | 39.31% | 60.69% | +8.85 | 6-9 |
| 2022-06-23 | Chicago Sky | L 59-82 | 1429.93 | 1651.38 | 24.48% | 75.52% | -12.11 | 6-10 |
| 2022-06-25 | @ Seattle Storm | W 85-77 | 1417.82 | 1571.89 | 26.21% | 73.79% | +21.54 | 7-10 |
| 2022-06-27 | Las Vegas Aces | L 73-79 | 1439.36 | 1676.32 | 22.87% | 77.13% | -5.78 | 7-11 |
| 2022-07-01 | @ Dallas Wings | W 97-89 | 1433.58 | 1516.32 | 34.87% | 65.13% | +19.01 | 8-11 |
| 2022-07-03 | New York Liberty | W 84-74 | 1452.59 | 1418.02 | 58.60% | 41.40% | +13.51 | 9-11 |
| 2022-07-04 | Phoenix Mercury | W 78-75 | 1466.10 | 1468.84 | 53.31% | 46.69% | +8.34 | 10-11 |
| 2022-07-07 | Seattle Storm | L 69-106 | 1474.44 | 1558.98 | 41.62% | 58.38% | -26.13 | 10-12 |
| 2022-07-12 | Washington Mystics | L 81-94 | 1448.31 | 1535.17 | 41.30% | 58.70% | -15.36 | 10-13 |
| 2022-07-14 | Chicago Sky | L 68-80 | 1432.95 | 1684.06 | 21.47% | 78.53% | -7.68 | 10-14 |
| 2022-07-19 | Indiana Fever | W 86-79 | 1425.27 | 1233.46 | 77.77% | 22.23% | +6.07 | 11-14 |
| 2022-07-21 | Atlanta Dream | W 85-78 | 1431.34 | 1454.84 | 50.33% | 49.67% | +13.56 | 12-14 |
| 2022-07-23 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 66-84 | 1444.90 | 1606.61 | 25.36% | 74.64% | -11.10 | 12-15 |
| 2022-07-28 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 80-90 | 1433.80 | 1472.77 | 40.79% | 59.21% | -13.31 | 12-16 |
| 2022-07-31 | Minnesota Lynx | L 77-84 | 1420.49 | 1454.06 | 48.88% | 51.12% | -13.35 | 12-17 |
| 2022-08-02 | @ New York Liberty | L 73-102 | 1407.14 | 1419.76 | 44.50% | 55.50% | -24.73 | 12-18 |
| 2022-08-03 | @ New York Liberty | L 61-64 | 1382.41 | 1444.49 | 37.62% | 62.38% | -6.72 | 12-19 |
| 2022-08-05 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 86-88 | 1375.69 | 1408.70 | 41.62% | 58.38% | -6.08 | 12-20 |
| 2022-08-07 | @ Washington Mystics | W 79-76 | 1369.61 | 1577.05 | 20.71% | 79.29% | +14.18 | 13-20 |
| 2022-08-09 | Connecticut Sun | L 71-97 | 1383.79 | 1658.56 | 19.26% | 80.74% | -10.14 | 13-21 |
| 2022-08-11 | Connecticut Sun | L 69-93 | 1373.65 | 1668.69 | 17.51% | 82.49% | -8.85 | 13-22 |
| 2022-08-14 | Dallas Wings | L 88-116 | 1364.80 | 1500.50 | 34.69% | 65.31% | -18.94 | 13-23 |
| 2022-05-06 | @ Seattle Storm | L 74-97 | 1563.06 | 1546.89 | 48.62% | 51.38% | -24.06 | 0-1 |
| 2022-05-08 | Washington Mystics | L 66-78 | 1539.00 | 1452.15 | 65.66% | 34.34% | -23.47 | 0-2 |
| 2022-05-10 | @ Indiana Fever | L 76-82 | 1515.53 | 1339.69 | 70.35% | 29.65% | -17.79 | 0-3 |
| 2022-05-14 | Chicago Sky | L 78-82 | 1497.74 | 1609.32 | 37.90% | 62.10% | -7.82 | 0-4 |
| 2022-05-17 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 87-84 | 1489.92 | 1467.47 | 49.52% | 50.48% | +9.03 | 1-4 |
| 2022-05-19 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 87-93 | 1498.95 | 1633.37 | 28.45% | 71.55% | -7.20 | 1-5 |
| 2022-05-21 | @ Dallas Wings | L 78-94 | 1491.75 | 1473.65 | 48.90% | 51.10% | -20.18 | 1-6 |
| 2022-05-24 | New York Liberty | W 84-78 | 1471.57 | 1350.63 | 69.94% | 30.06% | +7.60 | 2-6 |
| 2022-05-29 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 83-85 | 1479.17 | 1438.83 | 59.40% | 40.60% | -8.67 | 2-7 |
| 2022-06-01 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 76-84 | 1470.50 | 1439.65 | 50.73% | 49.27% | -14.81 | 2-8 |
| 2022-06-05 | @ New York Liberty | W 84-77 | 1455.69 | 1357.97 | 60.21% | 39.79% | +10.87 | 3-8 |
| 2022-06-07 | @ New York Liberty | L 69-88 | 1466.56 | 1347.11 | 63.16% | 36.84% | -28.42 | 3-9 |
| 2022-06-10 | Washington Mystics | L 59-76 | 1438.14 | 1504.79 | 44.15% | 55.85% | -18.78 | 3-10 |
| 2022-06-12 | Indiana Fever | L 80-84 | 1419.36 | 1279.62 | 72.17% | 27.83% | -14.90 | 3-11 |
| 2022-06-14 | Seattle Storm | L 79-81 | 1404.46 | 1551.20 | 33.26% | 66.74% | -4.85 | 3-12 |
| 2022-06-19 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 85-96 | 1399.61 | 1699.48 | 13.30% | 86.70% | -4.55 | 3-13 |
| 2022-06-21 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 84-71 | 1395.06 | 1479.37 | 34.67% | 65.33% | +24.31 | 4-13 |
| 2022-06-23 | Phoenix Mercury | W 100-88 | 1419.37 | 1455.06 | 48.57% | 51.43% | +18.38 | 5-13 |
| 2022-06-26 | @ Chicago Sky | L 85-88 | 1437.75 | 1663.49 | 19.03% | 80.97% | -3.40 | 5-14 |
| 2022-06-28 | Dallas Wings | L 21-64 | 1434.35 | 1484.89 | 46.44% | 53.56% | -31.43 | 5-15 |
| 2022-07-01 | Las Vegas Aces | L 85-91 | 1402.92 | 1660.96 | 20.80% | 79.20% | -5.26 | 5-16 |
| 2022-07-03 | Las Vegas Aces | W 102-71 | 1397.66 | 1666.21 | 19.82% | 80.18% | +46.07 | 6-16 |
| 2022-07-06 | Chicago Sky | W 81-78 | 1443.73 | 1688.54 | 22.08% | 77.92% | +13.93 | 7-16 |
| 2022-07-12 | Phoenix Mercury | W 118-107 | 1457.66 | 1467.98 | 52.22% | 47.78% | +16.35 | 8-16 |
| 2022-07-14 | Dallas Wings | L 87-92 | 1474.01 | 1508.60 | 48.73% | 51.27% | -11.24 | 8-17 |
| 2022-07-15 | @ Indiana Fever | W 87-77 | 1462.77 | 1245.66 | 75.05% | 24.95% | +8.14 | 9-17 |
| 2022-07-17 | @ Washington Mystics | L 57-70 | 1470.91 | 1536.60 | 37.13% | 62.87% | -13.82 | 9-18 |
| 2022-07-22 | Connecticut Sun | L 84-94 | 1457.09 | 1629.61 | 30.05% | 69.95% | -9.81 | 9-19 |
| 2022-07-24 | Connecticut Sun | L 79-86 | 1447.28 | 1639.42 | 27.74% | 72.26% | -7.57 | 9-20 |
| 2022-07-28 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 92-85 | 1439.71 | 1431.63 | 47.45% | 52.55% | +14.35 | 10-20 |
| 2022-07-31 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 84-77 | 1454.06 | 1420.49 | 51.12% | 48.88% | +13.34 | 11-20 |
| 2022-08-03 | @ Seattle Storm | L 77-89 | 1467.40 | 1571.37 | 32.15% | 67.85% | -11.49 | 11-21 |
| 2022-08-07 | Atlanta Dream | L 71-81 | 1455.91 | 1414.78 | 59.51% | 40.49% | -19.42 | 11-22 |
| 2022-08-10 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 86-77 | 1436.49 | 1458.08 | 43.22% | 56.78% | +17.58 | 12-22 |
| 2022-08-12 | Seattle Storm | L 69-96 | 1454.07 | 1592.68 | 34.31% | 65.69% | -18.40 | 12-23 |
| 2022-08-14 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 83-90 | 1435.67 | 1677.54 | 17.64% | 82.36% | -4.82 | 12-24 |
| 2022-05-07 | Connecticut Sun | W 81-79 | 1391.74 | 1623.98 | 23.35% | 76.65% | +11.19 | 1-0 |
| 2022-05-11 | @ Chicago Sky | L 50-83 | 1402.93 | 1596.24 | 22.08% | 77.92% | -13.09 | 1-1 |
| 2022-05-13 | Indiana Fever | L 86-92 | 1389.84 | 1357.47 | 58.29% | 41.71% | -14.73 | 1-2 |
| 2022-05-15 | Dallas Wings | L 71-81 | 1375.11 | 1459.49 | 41.64% | 58.36% | -13.60 | 1-3 |
| 2022-05-17 | Connecticut Sun | L 65-92 | 1361.51 | 1624.96 | 20.29% | 79.71% | -10.88 | 1-4 |
| 2022-05-24 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 78-84 | 1350.63 | 1471.57 | 30.06% | 69.94% | -7.60 | 1-5 |
| 2022-05-27 | @ Seattle Storm | L 71-79 | 1343.03 | 1540.02 | 21.72% | 78.28% | -6.33 | 1-6 |
| 2022-05-29 | @ Seattle Storm | L 61-92 | 1336.70 | 1546.35 | 20.50% | 79.50% | -11.78 | 1-7 |
| 2022-06-01 | Indiana Fever | W 87-74 | 1324.92 | 1326.11 | 53.53% | 46.47% | +17.29 | 2-7 |
| 2022-06-03 | @ Washington Mystics | W 74-70 | 1342.21 | 1520.36 | 23.61% | 76.39% | +15.76 | 3-7 |
| 2022-06-05 | Minnesota Lynx | L 77-84 | 1357.97 | 1455.69 | 39.79% | 60.21% | -10.86 | 3-8 |
| 2022-06-07 | Minnesota Lynx | W 88-69 | 1347.11 | 1466.56 | 36.84% | 63.16% | +28.41 | 4-8 |
| 2022-06-10 | @ Indiana Fever | W 97-83 | 1375.52 | 1295.96 | 57.68% | 42.32% | +16.34 | 5-8 |
| 2022-06-12 | Chicago Sky | L 86-88 | 1391.86 | 1636.00 | 22.15% | 77.85% | -3.23 | 5-9 |
| 2022-06-16 | Washington Mystics | W 77-65 | 1388.63 | 1525.00 | 34.60% | 65.40% | +23.38 | 6-9 |
| 2022-06-19 | Seattle Storm | L 72-81 | 1412.01 | 1545.52 | 34.98% | 65.02% | -10.83 | 6-10 |
| 2022-06-22 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 81-77 | 1401.18 | 1660.96 | 16.19% | 83.81% | +17.30 | 7-10 |
| 2022-06-24 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 89-77 | 1418.48 | 1436.16 | 43.78% | 56.22% | +20.10 | 8-10 |
| 2022-06-30 | Atlanta Dream | L 81-92 | 1438.58 | 1393.49 | 60.06% | 39.94% | -20.56 | 8-11 |
| 2022-07-03 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 74-84 | 1418.02 | 1452.59 | 41.40% | 58.60% | -13.51 | 8-12 |
| 2022-07-06 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 116-107 | 1404.51 | 1620.14 | 19.95% | 80.05% | +24.78 | 9-12 |
| 2022-07-07 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 81-84 | 1429.29 | 1460.49 | 41.87% | 58.13% | -7.48 | 9-13 |
| 2022-07-12 | Las Vegas Aces | L 101-107 | 1421.81 | 1595.36 | 29.93% | 70.07% | -7.57 | 9-14 |
| 2022-07-14 | Las Vegas Aces | L 74-108 | 1414.24 | 1602.93 | 28.14% | 71.86% | -16.93 | 9-15 |
| 2022-07-19 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 63-82 | 1397.31 | 1620.97 | 19.22% | 80.78% | -8.64 | 9-16 |
| 2022-07-21 | @ Washington Mystics | L 69-78 | 1388.67 | 1550.42 | 25.36% | 74.64% | -7.85 | 9-17 |
| 2022-07-23 | Chicago Sky | W 83-80 | 1380.82 | 1712.78 | 14.65% | 85.35% | +15.25 | 10-17 |
| 2022-07-29 | @ Chicago Sky | L 81-89 | 1396.07 | 1697.52 | 13.20% | 86.80% | -3.85 | 10-18 |
| 2022-07-31 | Phoenix Mercury | W 89-69 | 1392.22 | 1486.08 | 40.33% | 59.67% | +27.54 | 11-18 |
| 2022-08-02 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 102-73 | 1419.76 | 1407.14 | 55.50% | 44.50% | +24.73 | 12-18 |
| 2022-08-03 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 64-61 | 1444.49 | 1382.41 | 62.38% | 37.62% | +6.72 | 13-18 |
| 2022-08-06 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 62-76 | 1451.21 | 1439.56 | 47.97% | 52.03% | -18.52 | 13-19 |
| 2022-08-08 | @ Dallas Wings | L 77-86 | 1432.69 | 1542.51 | 31.42% | 68.58% | -9.73 | 13-20 |
| 2022-08-10 | @ Dallas Wings | W 91-73 | 1422.96 | 1552.23 | 29.06% | 70.94% | +31.07 | 14-20 |
| 2022-08-12 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 80-70 | 1454.03 | 1427.87 | 50.05% | 49.95% | +16.30 | 15-20 |
| 2022-08-14 | Atlanta Dream | W 87-83 | 1470.33 | 1411.57 | 61.93% | 38.07% | +7.85 | 16-20 |
| 2022-05-06 | Las Vegas Aces | L 88-106 | 1556.59 | 1596.23 | 48.01% | 51.99% | -21.02 | 0-1 |
| 2022-05-11 | Seattle Storm | W 97-77 | 1535.57 | 1557.34 | 50.58% | 49.42% | +22.81 | 1-1 |
| 2022-05-14 | @ Seattle Storm | W 69-64 | 1558.38 | 1534.53 | 49.72% | 50.28% | +11.60 | 2-1 |
| 2022-05-17 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 74-86 | 1569.98 | 1619.30 | 39.36% | 60.64% | -14.07 | 2-2 |
| 2022-05-19 | Dallas Wings | L 84-94 | 1555.91 | 1451.49 | 67.91% | 32.09% | -22.16 | 2-3 |
| 2022-05-21 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 80-100 | 1533.75 | 1640.56 | 31.79% | 68.21% | -14.67 | 2-4 |
| 2022-05-25 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 94-99 | 1519.08 | 1440.51 | 57.54% | 42.46% | -13.28 | 2-5 |
| 2022-05-29 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 54-81 | 1505.80 | 1407.30 | 60.31% | 39.69% | -32.34 | 2-6 |
| 2022-05-31 | @ Chicago Sky | L 70-73 | 1473.46 | 1609.28 | 28.29% | 71.71% | -5.06 | 2-7 |
| 2022-06-03 | Connecticut Sun | L 88-92 | 1468.40 | 1657.24 | 28.12% | 71.88% | -5.80 | 2-8 |
| 2022-06-05 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 81-74 | 1462.60 | 1455.30 | 54.75% | 45.25% | +12.35 | 3-8 |
| 2022-06-10 | Atlanta Dream | W 90-88 | 1474.95 | 1440.79 | 58.54% | 41.46% | +6.05 | 4-8 |
| 2022-06-12 | @ Washington Mystics | W 99-90 | 1481.00 | 1523.57 | 40.29% | 59.71% | +18.49 | 5-8 |
| 2022-06-14 | @ Washington Mystics | L 65-83 | 1499.49 | 1505.08 | 45.50% | 54.50% | -19.92 | 5-9 |
| 2022-06-15 | @ Indiana Fever | W 93-80 | 1479.57 | 1294.51 | 71.44% | 28.56% | +10.63 | 6-9 |
| 2022-06-17 | @ Dallas Wings | L 88-93 | 1490.20 | 1485.73 | 46.94% | 53.06% | -10.83 | 6-10 |
| 2022-06-21 | Minnesota Lynx | L 71-84 | 1479.37 | 1395.06 | 65.33% | 34.67% | -24.31 | 6-11 |
| 2022-06-23 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 88-100 | 1455.06 | 1419.37 | 51.43% | 48.57% | -18.39 | 6-12 |
| 2022-06-25 | @ Dallas Wings | W 83-72 | 1436.67 | 1506.60 | 36.56% | 63.44% | +21.71 | 7-12 |
| 2022-06-27 | Indiana Fever | W 83-71 | 1458.38 | 1285.28 | 75.86% | 24.14% | +8.64 | 8-12 |
| 2022-06-29 | Indiana Fever | W 99-78 | 1467.02 | 1276.65 | 77.63% | 22.37% | +10.57 | 9-12 |
| 2022-07-02 | @ Chicago Sky | L 75-91 | 1477.59 | 1679.78 | 21.21% | 78.79% | -8.75 | 9-13 |
| 2022-07-04 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 75-78 | 1468.84 | 1466.10 | 46.69% | 53.31% | -8.35 | 9-14 |
| 2022-07-07 | New York Liberty | W 84-81 | 1460.49 | 1429.29 | 58.13% | 41.87% | +7.49 | 10-14 |
| 2022-07-12 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 107-118 | 1467.98 | 1457.66 | 47.78% | 52.22% | -16.35 | 10-15 |
| 2022-07-14 | Washington Mystics | W 80-75 | 1451.63 | 1550.54 | 39.63% | 60.37% | +13.93 | 11-15 |
| 2022-07-17 | Atlanta Dream | L 75-85 | 1465.56 | 1401.39 | 62.66% | 37.34% | -20.45 | 11-16 |
| 2022-07-22 | Seattle Storm | W 94-78 | 1445.11 | 1593.95 | 32.99% | 67.01% | +27.66 | 12-16 |
| 2022-07-28 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 90-80 | 1472.77 | 1433.80 | 59.21% | 40.79% | +13.31 | 13-16 |
| 2022-07-31 | @ New York Liberty | L 69-89 | 1486.08 | 1392.22 | 59.67% | 40.33% | -27.54 | 13-17 |
| 2022-08-02 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 63-87 | 1458.54 | 1646.98 | 22.56% | 77.44% | -11.41 | 13-18 |
| 2022-08-04 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 64-77 | 1447.13 | 1658.38 | 20.35% | 79.65% | -7.57 | 13-19 |
| 2022-08-06 | New York Liberty | W 76-62 | 1439.56 | 1451.21 | 52.03% | 47.97% | +18.52 | 14-19 |
| 2022-08-10 | Minnesota Lynx | L 77-86 | 1458.08 | 1436.49 | 56.78% | 43.22% | -17.58 | 14-20 |
| 2022-08-12 | Dallas Wings | W 86-74 | 1440.50 | 1521.17 | 42.17% | 57.83% | +20.68 | 15-20 |
| 2022-08-14 | Chicago Sky | L 67-82 | 1461.18 | 1664.41 | 26.47% | 73.53% | -10.58 | 15-21 |
| 2022-05-06 | Minnesota Lynx | W 97-74 | 1546.89 | 1563.06 | 51.38% | 48.62% | +24.06 | 1-0 |
| 2022-05-08 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 74-85 | 1570.95 | 1617.25 | 39.77% | 60.23% | -13.61 | 1-1 |
| 2022-05-11 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 77-97 | 1557.34 | 1535.57 | 49.42% | 50.58% | -22.81 | 1-2 |
| 2022-05-14 | Phoenix Mercury | L 64-69 | 1534.53 | 1558.38 | 50.28% | 49.72% | -11.60 | 1-3 |
| 2022-05-18 | Chicago Sky | W 74-71 | 1522.93 | 1617.15 | 40.28% | 59.72% | +10.67 | 2-3 |
| 2022-05-20 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 83-80 | 1533.60 | 1458.45 | 64.13% | 35.87% | +6.42 | 3-3 |
| 2022-05-27 | New York Liberty | W 79-71 | 1540.02 | 1343.03 | 78.28% | 21.72% | +6.33 | 4-3 |
| 2022-05-29 | New York Liberty | W 92-61 | 1546.35 | 1336.70 | 79.50% | 20.50% | +11.78 | 5-3 |
| 2022-06-03 | Dallas Wings | L 51-68 | 1558.13 | 1489.61 | 63.25% | 36.75% | -26.91 | 5-4 |
| 2022-06-05 | Connecticut Sun | L 86-93 | 1531.22 | 1663.04 | 35.20% | 64.80% | -9.61 | 5-5 |
| 2022-06-07 | Atlanta Dream | W 72-60 | 1521.61 | 1453.97 | 63.13% | 36.87% | +13.18 | 6-5 |
| 2022-06-10 | @ Dallas Wings | W 89-88 | 1534.79 | 1510.03 | 49.85% | 50.15% | +5.18 | 7-5 |
| 2022-06-12 | @ Dallas Wings | W 84-79 | 1539.97 | 1504.86 | 51.34% | 48.66% | +11.23 | 8-5 |
| 2022-06-14 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 81-79 | 1551.20 | 1404.46 | 66.74% | 33.26% | +4.85 | 9-5 |
| 2022-06-17 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 71-82 | 1556.05 | 1671.11 | 30.77% | 69.23% | -10.53 | 9-6 |
| 2022-06-19 | @ New York Liberty | W 81-72 | 1545.52 | 1412.01 | 65.02% | 34.98% | +10.83 | 10-6 |
| 2022-06-23 | Washington Mystics | W 85-71 | 1556.35 | 1513.45 | 59.76% | 40.24% | +15.54 | 11-6 |
| 2022-06-25 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 77-85 | 1571.89 | 1417.82 | 73.79% | 26.21% | -21.54 | 11-7 |
| 2022-06-29 | Las Vegas Aces | W 88-78 | 1550.35 | 1682.10 | 35.20% | 64.80% | +21.14 | 12-7 |
| 2022-07-01 | Indiana Fever | W 73-57 | 1571.49 | 1266.07 | 87.06% | 12.94% | +5.34 | 13-7 |
| 2022-07-03 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 76-90 | 1576.83 | 1414.05 | 68.75% | 31.25% | -26.55 | 13-8 |
| 2022-07-05 | @ Indiana Fever | W 95-73 | 1550.28 | 1260.73 | 82.03% | 17.97% | +8.70 | 14-8 |
| 2022-07-07 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 106-69 | 1558.98 | 1474.44 | 58.38% | 41.62% | +26.13 | 15-8 |
| 2022-07-12 | Dallas Wings | W 83-74 | 1585.11 | 1520.12 | 62.77% | 37.23% | +11.53 | 16-8 |
| 2022-07-17 | Indiana Fever | W 81-65 | 1596.64 | 1237.52 | 90.16% | 9.84% | +4.06 | 17-8 |
| 2022-07-20 | @ Chicago Sky | L 74-78 | 1600.70 | 1700.53 | 32.67% | 67.33% | -6.75 | 17-9 |
| 2022-07-22 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 78-94 | 1593.95 | 1445.11 | 67.01% | 32.99% | -27.66 | 17-10 |
| 2022-07-24 | Atlanta Dream | W 82-72 | 1566.29 | 1441.28 | 70.43% | 29.57% | +9.65 | 18-10 |
| 2022-07-28 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 83-88 | 1575.94 | 1646.99 | 36.41% | 63.59% | -8.40 | 18-11 |
| 2022-07-30 | @ Washington Mystics | W 82-77 | 1567.54 | 1573.61 | 45.43% | 54.57% | +12.59 | 19-11 |
| 2022-07-31 | @ Washington Mystics | L 75-78 | 1580.13 | 1561.02 | 49.04% | 50.96% | -8.76 | 19-12 |
| 2022-08-03 | Minnesota Lynx | W 89-77 | 1571.37 | 1467.40 | 67.85% | 32.15% | +11.49 | 20-12 |
| 2022-08-07 | Las Vegas Aces | L 81-89 | 1582.86 | 1601.53 | 51.02% | 48.98% | -14.89 | 20-13 |
| 2022-08-09 | @ Chicago Sky | W 111-100 | 1567.97 | 1707.94 | 27.80% | 72.20% | +24.71 | 21-13 |
| 2022-08-12 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 96-69 | 1592.68 | 1454.07 | 65.69% | 34.31% | +18.39 | 22-13 |
| 2022-08-14 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 100-109 | 1611.07 | 1641.58 | 41.97% | 58.03% | -12.99 | 22-14 |
| 2022-05-06 | Indiana Fever | W 84-70 | 1438.18 | 1365.45 | 63.81% | 36.19% | +13.97 | 1-0 |
| 2022-05-08 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 78-66 | 1452.15 | 1539.00 | 34.34% | 65.66% | +23.48 | 2-0 |
| 2022-05-10 | Las Vegas Aces | W 89-76 | 1475.63 | 1630.87 | 32.19% | 67.81% | +25.23 | 3-0 |
| 2022-05-13 | Dallas Wings | L 86-94 | 1500.86 | 1441.39 | 62.03% | 37.97% | -18.11 | 3-1 |
| 2022-05-17 | @ Dallas Wings | W 84-68 | 1482.75 | 1473.08 | 47.68% | 52.32% | +21.60 | 4-1 |
| 2022-05-20 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 78-73 | 1504.35 | 1433.73 | 56.42% | 43.58% | +10.06 | 5-1 |
| 2022-05-22 | Chicago Sky | L 73-82 | 1514.41 | 1606.47 | 40.58% | 59.42% | -12.56 | 5-2 |
| 2022-05-24 | Atlanta Dream | W 70-50 | 1501.85 | 1423.68 | 64.53% | 35.47% | +16.37 | 6-2 |
| 2022-05-28 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 71-79 | 1518.22 | 1644.42 | 29.42% | 70.58% | -8.59 | 6-3 |
| 2022-05-31 | @ Indiana Fever | W 87-75 | 1509.63 | 1336.84 | 69.98% | 30.02% | +10.73 | 7-3 |
| 2022-06-03 | New York Liberty | L 70-74 | 1520.36 | 1342.21 | 76.39% | 23.61% | -15.77 | 7-4 |
| 2022-06-05 | @ Chicago Sky | L 82-91 | 1504.59 | 1623.56 | 30.30% | 69.70% | -9.37 | 7-5 |
| 2022-06-08 | Chicago Sky | W 84-82 | 1495.22 | 1632.94 | 34.43% | 65.57% | +9.57 | 8-5 |
| 2022-06-10 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 76-59 | 1504.79 | 1438.14 | 55.85% | 44.15% | +18.78 | 9-5 |
| 2022-06-12 | Phoenix Mercury | L 90-99 | 1523.57 | 1481.00 | 59.71% | 40.29% | -18.49 | 9-6 |
| 2022-06-14 | Phoenix Mercury | W 83-65 | 1505.08 | 1499.49 | 54.50% | 45.50% | +19.92 | 10-6 |
| 2022-06-16 | @ New York Liberty | L 65-77 | 1525.00 | 1388.63 | 65.40% | 34.60% | -23.38 | 10-7 |
| 2022-06-19 | Connecticut Sun | W 71-63 | 1501.62 | 1681.64 | 29.16% | 70.84% | +20.68 | 11-7 |
| 2022-06-21 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 82-84 | 1522.30 | 1421.08 | 60.69% | 39.31% | -8.85 | 11-8 |
| 2022-06-23 | @ Seattle Storm | L 71-85 | 1513.45 | 1556.35 | 40.24% | 59.76% | -15.54 | 11-9 |
| 2022-06-25 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 87-86 | 1497.91 | 1684.29 | 22.77% | 77.23% | +7.97 | 12-9 |
| 2022-06-28 | Atlanta Dream | W 92-74 | 1505.88 | 1407.90 | 67.09% | 32.91% | +14.40 | 13-9 |
| 2022-07-03 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 72-74 | 1520.28 | 1638.93 | 30.33% | 69.67% | -4.42 | 13-10 |
| 2022-07-06 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 85-66 | 1515.86 | 1440.60 | 57.07% | 42.93% | +19.31 | 14-10 |
| 2022-07-12 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 94-81 | 1535.17 | 1448.31 | 58.70% | 41.30% | +15.37 | 15-10 |
| 2022-07-14 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 75-80 | 1550.54 | 1451.63 | 60.37% | 39.63% | -13.94 | 15-11 |
| 2022-07-17 | Minnesota Lynx | W 70-57 | 1536.60 | 1470.91 | 62.87% | 37.13% | +13.82 | 16-11 |
| 2022-07-21 | New York Liberty | W 78-69 | 1550.42 | 1388.67 | 74.64% | 25.36% | +7.85 | 17-11 |
| 2022-07-28 | @ Dallas Wings | W 87-77 | 1558.27 | 1511.63 | 53.00% | 47.00% | +15.34 | 18-11 |
| 2022-07-30 | Seattle Storm | L 77-82 | 1573.61 | 1567.54 | 54.57% | 45.43% | -12.59 | 18-12 |
| 2022-07-31 | Seattle Storm | W 78-75 | 1561.02 | 1580.13 | 50.96% | 49.04% | +8.76 | 19-12 |
| 2022-08-02 | Las Vegas Aces | W 83-73 | 1569.78 | 1627.74 | 45.38% | 54.62% | +17.83 | 20-12 |
| 2022-08-05 | @ Chicago Sky | L 83-93 | 1587.61 | 1689.99 | 32.35% | 67.65% | -10.56 | 20-13 |
| 2022-08-07 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 76-79 | 1577.05 | 1369.61 | 79.29% | 20.71% | -14.17 | 20-14 |
| 2022-08-12 | @ Indiana Fever | W 82-70 | 1562.88 | 1198.48 | 87.54% | 12.46% | +4.45 | 21-14 |
| 2022-08-14 | Indiana Fever | W 95-83 | 1567.33 | 1194.02 | 90.87% | 9.13% | +3.27 | 22-14 |
Playoff Games
Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-17 | New York Liberty | L 91-98 | 1675.00 | 1478.18 | 78.27% | 21.73% | -21.37 | 0-1 |
| 2022-08-20 | New York Liberty | W 100-62 | 1653.63 | 1499.55 | 73.79% | 26.21% | +16.67 | 1-1 |
| 2022-08-23 | @ New York Liberty | W 90-72 | 1670.30 | 1482.88 | 71.72% | 28.28% | +12.38 | 2-1 |
| 2022-08-28 | Connecticut Sun | L 63-68 | 1682.68 | 1683.82 | 53.54% | 46.46% | -12.35 | 2-2 |
| 2022-08-31 | Connecticut Sun | W 85-77 | 1670.33 | 1696.17 | 49.99% | 50.01% | +14.59 | 3-2 |
| 2022-09-04 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 76-72 | 1684.92 | 1681.58 | 46.78% | 53.22% | +10.99 | 4-2 |
| 2022-09-06 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 80-104 | 1695.91 | 1670.59 | 49.93% | 50.07% | -25.25 | 4-3 |
| 2022-09-08 | Connecticut Sun | L 63-72 | 1670.66 | 1695.83 | 50.09% | 49.91% | -15.50 | 4-4 |
| 2022-08-18 | Dallas Wings | W 93-68 | 1682.36 | 1519.44 | 74.77% | 25.23% | +13.02 | 1-0 |
| 2022-08-21 | Dallas Wings | L 79-89 | 1695.38 | 1506.42 | 77.49% | 22.51% | -25.29 | 1-1 |
| 2022-08-24 | @ Dallas Wings | W 73-58 | 1670.09 | 1531.71 | 65.66% | 34.34% | +13.73 | 2-1 |
| 2022-08-28 | @ Chicago Sky | W 68-63 | 1683.82 | 1682.68 | 46.46% | 53.54% | +12.35 | 3-1 |
| 2022-08-31 | @ Chicago Sky | L 77-85 | 1696.17 | 1670.33 | 50.01% | 49.99% | -14.59 | 3-2 |
| 2022-09-04 | Chicago Sky | L 72-76 | 1681.58 | 1684.92 | 53.22% | 46.78% | -10.99 | 3-3 |
| 2022-09-06 | Chicago Sky | W 104-80 | 1670.59 | 1695.91 | 50.07% | 49.93% | +25.24 | 4-3 |
| 2022-09-08 | @ Chicago Sky | W 72-63 | 1695.83 | 1670.66 | 49.91% | 50.09% | +15.51 | 5-3 |
| 2022-09-11 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 64-67 | 1711.34 | 1700.20 | 47.90% | 52.10% | -8.56 | 5-4 |
| 2022-09-13 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 71-85 | 1702.78 | 1708.76 | 45.44% | 54.56% | -17.55 | 5-5 |
| 2022-09-15 | Las Vegas Aces | W 105-76 | 1685.23 | 1726.30 | 47.80% | 52.20% | +29.01 | 6-5 |
| 2022-09-18 | Las Vegas Aces | L 71-78 | 1714.24 | 1697.29 | 56.12% | 43.88% | -15.32 | 6-6 |
| 2022-08-18 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 68-93 | 1519.44 | 1682.36 | 25.23% | 74.77% | -13.02 | 0-1 |
| 2022-08-21 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 89-79 | 1506.42 | 1695.38 | 22.51% | 77.49% | +25.29 | 1-1 |
| 2022-08-24 | Connecticut Sun | L 58-73 | 1531.71 | 1670.09 | 34.34% | 65.66% | -13.73 | 1-2 |
| 2022-08-17 | Phoenix Mercury | W 79-63 | 1654.57 | 1450.60 | 78.96% | 21.04% | +8.68 | 1-0 |
| 2022-08-20 | Phoenix Mercury | W 117-80 | 1663.25 | 1441.91 | 80.57% | 19.43% | +12.20 | 2-0 |
| 2022-08-28 | Seattle Storm | L 73-76 | 1675.45 | 1620.65 | 61.39% | 38.61% | -10.97 | 2-1 |
| 2022-08-31 | Seattle Storm | W 78-73 | 1664.48 | 1631.62 | 58.36% | 41.64% | +9.60 | 3-1 |
| 2022-09-04 | @ Seattle Storm | W 110-98 | 1674.08 | 1622.01 | 53.78% | 46.22% | +16.53 | 4-1 |
| 2022-09-06 | @ Seattle Storm | W 97-92 | 1690.61 | 1605.49 | 58.46% | 41.54% | +9.59 | 5-1 |
| 2022-09-11 | Connecticut Sun | W 67-64 | 1700.20 | 1711.34 | 52.10% | 47.90% | +8.56 | 6-1 |
| 2022-09-13 | Connecticut Sun | W 85-71 | 1708.76 | 1702.78 | 54.56% | 45.44% | +17.54 | 7-1 |
| 2022-09-15 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 76-105 | 1726.30 | 1685.23 | 52.20% | 47.80% | -29.01 | 7-2 |
| 2022-09-18 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 78-71 | 1697.29 | 1714.24 | 43.88% | 56.12% | +15.33 | 8-2 |
| 2022-08-17 | @ Chicago Sky | W 98-91 | 1478.18 | 1675.00 | 21.73% | 78.27% | +21.37 | 1-0 |
| 2022-08-20 | @ Chicago Sky | L 62-100 | 1499.55 | 1653.63 | 26.21% | 73.79% | -16.67 | 1-1 |
| 2022-08-23 | Chicago Sky | L 72-90 | 1482.88 | 1670.30 | 28.28% | 71.72% | -12.38 | 1-2 |
| 2022-08-17 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 63-79 | 1450.60 | 1654.57 | 21.04% | 78.96% | -8.69 | 0-1 |
| 2022-08-20 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 80-117 | 1441.91 | 1663.25 | 19.43% | 80.57% | -12.19 | 0-2 |
| 2022-08-18 | Washington Mystics | W 86-83 | 1598.08 | 1570.60 | 57.61% | 42.39% | +7.58 | 1-0 |
| 2022-08-21 | Washington Mystics | W 97-84 | 1605.66 | 1563.02 | 59.72% | 40.28% | +14.99 | 2-0 |
| 2022-08-28 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 76-73 | 1620.65 | 1675.45 | 38.61% | 61.39% | +10.97 | 3-0 |
| 2022-08-31 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 73-78 | 1631.62 | 1664.48 | 41.64% | 58.36% | -9.61 | 3-1 |
| 2022-09-04 | Las Vegas Aces | L 98-110 | 1622.01 | 1674.08 | 46.22% | 53.78% | -16.52 | 3-2 |
| 2022-09-06 | Las Vegas Aces | L 92-97 | 1605.49 | 1690.61 | 41.54% | 58.46% | -9.59 | 3-3 |
| 2022-08-18 | @ Seattle Storm | L 83-86 | 1570.60 | 1598.08 | 42.39% | 57.61% | -7.58 | 0-1 |
| 2022-08-21 | @ Seattle Storm | L 84-97 | 1563.02 | 1605.66 | 40.28% | 59.72% | -14.99 | 0-2 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2022-06-19 | 12.71% | @ Indiana Fever | 1283.89 | 89 | Chicago Sky | 1644.37 | 87 |
| 2 | 2022-07-23 | 14.65% | @ New York Liberty | 1380.82 | 83 | Chicago Sky | 1712.78 | 80 |
| 3 | 2022-06-22 | 16.19% | New York Liberty | 1401.18 | 81 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1660.96 | 77 |
| 4 | 2022-07-03 | 19.82% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1397.66 | 102 | Las Vegas Aces | 1666.21 | 71 |
| 5 | 2022-07-06 | 19.95% | New York Liberty | 1404.51 | 116 | @ Las Vegas Aces | 1620.14 | 107 |
| 6 | 2022-07-19 | 20.06% | Atlanta Dream | 1421.84 | 92 | @ Las Vegas Aces | 1636.26 | 76 |
| 7 | 2022-08-07 | 20.71% | Los Angeles Sparks | 1369.61 | 79 | @ Washington Mystics | 1577.05 | 76 |
| 8 | 2022-08-02 | 21.64% | Dallas Wings | 1512.07 | 84 | @ Chicago Sky | 1709.79 | 78 |
| 9 | 2022-08-17 * | 21.73% | New York Liberty | 1478.18 | 98 | @ Chicago Sky | 1675.00 | 91 |
| 10 | 2022-07-06 | 22.08% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1443.73 | 81 | Chicago Sky | 1688.54 | 78 |
| 11 | 2022-08-21 * | 22.51% | Dallas Wings | 1506.42 | 89 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1695.38 | 79 |
| 12 | 2022-06-25 | 22.77% | Washington Mystics | 1497.91 | 87 | @ Las Vegas Aces | 1684.29 | 86 |
| 13 | 2022-05-07 | 23.35% | @ New York Liberty | 1391.74 | 81 | Connecticut Sun | 1623.98 | 79 |
| 14 | 2022-06-03 | 23.61% | New York Liberty | 1342.21 | 74 | @ Washington Mystics | 1520.36 | 70 |
| 15 | 2022-05-06 | 25.49% | Los Angeles Sparks | 1456.03 | 98 | @ Chicago Sky | 1616.58 | 91 |
| 16 | 2022-05-24 | 26.20% | Dallas Wings | 1493.83 | 85 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1648.00 | 77 |
| 17 | 2022-06-25 | 26.21% | Los Angeles Sparks | 1417.82 | 85 | @ Seattle Storm | 1571.89 | 77 |
| 18 | 2022-08-09 | 27.80% | Seattle Storm | 1567.97 | 111 | @ Chicago Sky | 1707.94 | 100 |
| 19 | 2022-06-12 | 27.83% | Indiana Fever | 1279.62 | 84 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1419.36 | 80 |
| 20 | 2022-08-10 | 29.06% | New York Liberty | 1422.96 | 91 | @ Dallas Wings | 1552.23 | 73 |
| 21 | 2022-06-19 | 29.16% | @ Washington Mystics | 1501.62 | 71 | Connecticut Sun | 1681.64 | 63 |
| 22 | 2022-05-10 | 29.65% | @ Indiana Fever | 1339.69 | 82 | Minnesota Lynx | 1515.53 | 76 |
| 23 | 2022-07-03 | 31.25% | @ Atlanta Dream | 1414.05 | 90 | Seattle Storm | 1576.83 | 76 |
| 24 | 2022-05-19 | 32.09% | Dallas Wings | 1451.49 | 94 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1555.91 | 84 |
| 25 | 2022-05-10 | 32.19% | @ Washington Mystics | 1475.63 | 89 | Las Vegas Aces | 1630.87 | 76 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | |||
| 1 | 2022-07-03 | 46.07 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 102 | 1397.66 | 19.82% | Las Vegas Aces | 71 | 1666.21 | 80.18% |
| 2 | 2022-07-19 | 33.00 | Atlanta Dream | 92 | 1421.84 | 20.06% | @ Las Vegas Aces | 76 | 1636.26 | 79.94% |
| 3 | 2022-05-29 | 32.35 | @ Atlanta Dream | 81 | 1407.30 | 39.69% | Phoenix Mercury | 54 | 1505.80 | 60.31% |
| 4 | 2022-06-28 | 31.43 | Dallas Wings | 64 | 1484.89 | 53.56% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 21 | 1434.35 | 46.44% |
| 5 | 2022-08-10 | 31.07 | New York Liberty | 91 | 1422.96 | 29.06% | @ Dallas Wings | 73 | 1552.23 | 70.94% |
| 6 | 2022-09-15 * | 29.01 | @ Connecticut Sun | 105 | 1685.23 | 47.80% | Las Vegas Aces | 76 | 1726.30 | 52.20% |
| 7 | 2022-06-07 | 28.42 | @ New York Liberty | 88 | 1347.11 | 36.84% | Minnesota Lynx | 69 | 1466.56 | 63.16% |
| 8 | 2022-07-22 | 27.66 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 94 | 1445.11 | 32.99% | Seattle Storm | 78 | 1593.95 | 67.01% |
| 9 | 2022-07-31 | 27.54 | @ New York Liberty | 89 | 1392.22 | 40.33% | Phoenix Mercury | 69 | 1486.08 | 59.67% |
| 10 | 2022-06-03 | 26.91 | Dallas Wings | 68 | 1489.61 | 36.75% | @ Seattle Storm | 51 | 1558.13 | 63.25% |
| 11 | 2022-07-03 | 26.55 | @ Atlanta Dream | 90 | 1414.05 | 31.25% | Seattle Storm | 76 | 1576.83 | 68.75% |
| 12 | 2022-07-07 | 26.13 | Seattle Storm | 106 | 1558.98 | 58.38% | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 69 | 1474.44 | 41.62% |
| 13 | 2022-08-21 * | 25.29 | Dallas Wings | 89 | 1506.42 | 22.51% | @ Connecticut Sun | 79 | 1695.38 | 77.49% |
| 14 | 2022-09-06 * | 25.25 | @ Connecticut Sun | 104 | 1670.59 | 50.07% | Chicago Sky | 80 | 1695.91 | 49.93% |
| 15 | 2022-05-10 | 25.24 | @ Washington Mystics | 89 | 1475.63 | 32.19% | Las Vegas Aces | 76 | 1630.87 | 67.81% |
| 16 | 2022-07-06 | 24.78 | New York Liberty | 116 | 1404.51 | 19.95% | @ Las Vegas Aces | 107 | 1620.14 | 80.05% |
| 17 | 2022-08-02 | 24.73 | @ New York Liberty | 102 | 1419.76 | 55.50% | Los Angeles Sparks | 73 | 1407.14 | 44.50% |
| 18 | 2022-08-09 | 24.71 | Seattle Storm | 111 | 1567.97 | 27.80% | @ Chicago Sky | 100 | 1707.94 | 72.20% |
| 19 | 2022-06-21 | 24.31 | Minnesota Lynx | 84 | 1395.06 | 34.67% | @ Phoenix Mercury | 71 | 1479.37 | 65.33% |
| 20 | 2022-05-06 | 24.06 | @ Seattle Storm | 97 | 1546.89 | 51.38% | Minnesota Lynx | 74 | 1563.06 | 48.62% |
| 21 | 2022-05-08 | 23.48 | Washington Mystics | 78 | 1452.15 | 34.34% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 66 | 1539.00 | 65.66% |
| 22 | 2022-06-16 | 23.38 | @ New York Liberty | 77 | 1388.63 | 34.60% | Washington Mystics | 65 | 1525.00 | 65.40% |
| 23 | 2022-05-11 | 22.81 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 97 | 1535.57 | 50.58% | Seattle Storm | 77 | 1557.34 | 49.42% |
| 24 | 2022-07-05 | 22.81 | @ Dallas Wings | 82 | 1497.31 | 33.35% | Connecticut Sun | 71 | 1643.36 | 66.65% |
| 25 | 2022-05-17 | 22.40 | Atlanta Dream | 101 | 1411.33 | 53.73% | @ Indiana Fever | 79 | 1359.60 | 46.27% |