2021 WNBA Season
192 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Chicago Sky
1st Title
Runner-Up
Phoenix Mercury
5
Last Appearance: 2014
Biggest Overachiever
Minnesota Lynx
3.69 wins above expected
22 wins · 18.31 expected wins
Biggest Disappointment
Seattle Storm
3.85 wins below expected
21 wins · 24.85 expected wins
Final Standings
Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | W | L | Pct | GB | PPG | OPP | DIFF | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Connecticut Sun League | 26 | 6 | .812 | — | 79.7 | 69.9 | +9.8 | 22.54 | +3.46 |
| 2 | Las Vegas Aces Playoffs | 24 | 8 | .750 | 2 | 89.2 | 80.2 | +9.1 | 21.94 | +2.06 |
| 3 | Minnesota Lynx Playoffs | 22 | 10 | .688 | 4 | 82.7 | 78.7 | +4.0 | 18.31 | +3.69 |
| 4 | Seattle Storm Playoffs | 21 | 11 | .656 | 5 | 84.8 | 80.4 | +4.4 | 24.85 | -3.85 |
| 5 | Phoenix Mercury Playoffs | 19 | 13 | .594 | 7 | 82.1 | 79.5 | +2.6 | 17.71 | +1.29 |
| 6 | Chicago Sky Playoffs | 16 | 16 | .500 | 10 | 83.2 | 81.9 | +1.3 | 16.27 | -0.27 |
| 7 | Dallas Wings Playoffs | 14 | 18 | .438 | 12 | 81.1 | 81.7 | -0.5 | 14.59 | -0.59 |
| 8 | New York Liberty Playoffs | 12 | 20 | .375 | 14 | 78.5 | 85.5 | -7.0 | 9.51 | +2.49 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Sparks | 12 | 20 | .375 | 14 | 72.8 | 77.1 | -4.3 | 13.93 | -1.93 |
| 10 | Washington Mystics | 12 | 20 | .375 | 14 | 79.8 | 83.6 | -3.8 | 13.27 | -1.27 |
| 11 | Atlanta Dream | 8 | 24 | .250 | 18 | 78.7 | 84.3 | -5.6 | 10.89 | -2.89 |
| 12 | Indiana Fever | 6 | 26 | .188 | 20 | 75.3 | 85.1 | -9.8 | 8.19 | -2.19 |
Playoff Bracket
The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.
WNBA Playoffs
First Round
Chicago Sky
81
Dallas Wings
64
Phoenix Mercury
83
New York Liberty
82
Second Round
Chicago Sky
89
Minnesota Lynx
76
Phoenix Mercury
85
Seattle Storm
80
Semifinals
Chicago Sky
3
Connecticut Sun
1
Phoenix Mercury
3
Las Vegas Aces
2
WNBA Finals
Chicago Sky
3
Phoenix Mercury
1
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Actual | Avg. Wins | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 1765 | 26 | 22.54 | +3.46 | 95.64% | 14 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 24 | 26 | 31 | ||
| Las Vegas Aces | 1714 | 24 | 21.94 | +2.06 | 85.27% | 13 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 26 | 30 | ||
| Minnesota Lynx | 1643 | 22 | 18.31 | +3.69 | 94.98% | 9 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 23 | 28 | ||
| Seattle Storm | 1596 | 21 | 24.85 | -3.85 | 7.57% | 15 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 28 | 32 | ||
| Phoenix Mercury | 1586 | 19 | 17.71 | +1.29 | 75.70% | 8 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 19 | 22 | 27 | ||
| Chicago Sky | 1525 | 16 | 16.27 | -0.27 | 53.38% | 6 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 21 | 27 | ||
| Dallas Wings | 1447 | 14 | 14.59 | -0.59 | 49.21% | 4 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 19 | 24 | ||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 1428 | 12 | 13.93 | -1.93 | 28.99% | 5 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 23 | ||
| Washington Mystics | 1396 | 12 | 13.27 | -1.27 | 38.61% | 4 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 22 | ||
| New York Liberty | 1333 | 12 | 9.51 | +2.49 | 88.43% | 1 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 22 | ||
| Atlanta Dream | 1297 | 8 | 10.89 | -2.89 | 17.24% | 3 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 20 | ||
| Indiana Fever | 1270 | 6 | 8.19 | -2.19 | 23.47% | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 17 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record (row vs column) and below it the expected number of wins the model predicted based on each individual game's win probability. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than half a win in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
Beat expectations
Fell short
Within expectations
| Team | Dream | Sky | Sun | Wings | Fever | Aces | Sparks | Lynx | Liberty | Mercury | Storm | Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | — |
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.6 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
| Chicago Sky |
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
— |
2-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.7 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.2 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.2 exp.)
|
3-0
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
| Connecticut Sun |
3-0
(2.4 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
— |
3-0
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.6 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.6 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.6 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.8 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.3 exp.)
|
| Dallas Wings |
1-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.9 exp.)
|
— |
1-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.8 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
| Indiana Fever |
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
— |
0-3
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.2 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
| Las Vegas Aces |
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.5 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.2 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.6 exp.)
|
— |
3-0
(2.3 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.5 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.3 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Sparks |
3-0
(1.9 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.6 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.7 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.7 exp.)
|
— |
0-3
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Lynx |
3-0
(1.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.6 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.1 exp.)
|
— |
2-1
(2.4 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
| New York Liberty |
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.4 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
— |
1-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.4 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
| Phoenix Mercury |
3-0
(2.3 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.8 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.4 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
— |
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
| Seattle Storm |
3-0
(2.5 exp.)
|
0-3
(2.2 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.4 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.5 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.6 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
— |
2-1
(2.5 exp.)
|
| Washington Mystics |
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.7 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
— |
Scoring Distribution
Histograms of points scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | — |
| Mean allowed | — |
| StdDev scored | — |
| StdDev allowed | — |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | — |
| Sample size (games) | — |
Actual vs. Point Differential
How points translated into wins. Teams above the cluster overperformed their points differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.
Top Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx | 22 | 18.31 | +3.69 |
| 2 | Connecticut Sun | 26 | 22.54 | +3.46 |
| 3 | New York Liberty | 12 | 9.51 | +2.49 |
| 4 | Las Vegas Aces | 24 | 21.94 | +2.06 |
| 5 | Phoenix Mercury | 19 | 17.71 | +1.29 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seattle Storm | 21 | 24.85 | -3.85 |
| 2 | Atlanta Dream | 8 | 10.89 | -2.89 |
| 3 | Indiana Fever | 6 | 8.19 | -2.19 |
| 4 | Los Angeles Sparks | 12 | 13.93 | -1.93 |
| 5 | Washington Mystics | 12 | 13.27 | -1.27 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx | 8 | Jun 23 – Aug 15 | 1 in 210 |
| 2 | Chicago Sky | 7 | Jun 9 – Jun 24 | 1 in 102 |
| 3 | Indiana Fever | 3 | Jul 3 – Jul 11 | 1 in 73 |
| 4 | Connecticut Sun | 14 | Jul 9 – Sep 19 | 1 in 49 |
| 5 | Dallas Wings | 3 | Jun 6 – Jun 11 | 1 in 44 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Sky | 7 | May 23 – Jun 5 | 1 in 223 |
| 2 | Atlanta Dream | 11 | Jul 2 – Sep 2 | 1 in 42 |
| 3 | Phoenix Mercury | 4 | Jun 8 – Jun 16 | 1 in 40 |
| 4 | Seattle Storm | 3 | Aug 24 – Aug 29 | 1 in 34 |
| 5 | Las Vegas Aces | 2 | Jul 7 – Jul 9 | 1 in 18 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Finish Position Heatmaps
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Storm | 63.55% | 23.99% | 9.24% | 2.43% | 0.65% | 0.10% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.01% | — | — | — |
| Connecticut Sun | 19.86% | 35.44% | 27.24% | 11.32% | 4.23% | 1.33% | 0.39% | 0.18% | 0.01% | — | — | — |
| Las Vegas Aces | 13.90% | 29.63% | 33.05% | 14.53% | 5.84% | 2.01% | 0.78% | 0.21% | 0.05% | — | — | — |
| Minnesota Lynx | 1.41% | 5.26% | 12.74% | 26.64% | 23.45% | 15.15% | 8.41% | 4.22% | 1.86% | 0.76% | 0.10% | — |
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.93% | 3.61% | 9.89% | 22.44% | 23.75% | 16.89% | 11.31% | 6.59% | 3.09% | 1.12% | 0.31% | 0.07% |
| Chicago Sky | 0.29% | 1.48% | 4.82% | 11.65% | 18.52% | 21.91% | 16.88% | 12.34% | 7.15% | 3.58% | 1.22% | 0.16% |
| Dallas Wings | 0.05% | 0.36% | 1.79% | 5.20% | 9.87% | 15.85% | 19.47% | 19.72% | 15.11% | 8.19% | 3.50% | 0.89% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.01% | 0.14% | 0.72% | 3.24% | 7.82% | 13.13% | 19.02% | 19.91% | 17.68% | 11.53% | 5.06% | 1.74% |
| Washington Mystics | — | 0.06% | 0.47% | 2.22% | 4.61% | 10.31% | 15.28% | 19.64% | 22.07% | 14.70% | 7.86% | 2.78% |
| Atlanta Dream | — | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.27% | 1.00% | 2.31% | 5.26% | 10.02% | 17.40% | 27.06% | 22.56% | 14.07% |
| New York Liberty | — | 0.02% | — | 0.05% | 0.20% | 0.80% | 2.57% | 5.34% | 10.24% | 20.45% | 31.76% | 28.57% |
| Indiana Fever | — | — | — | 0.01% | 0.06% | 0.21% | 0.61% | 1.82% | 5.33% | 12.61% | 27.63% | 51.72% |
Win Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | 5 Seed | 6 Seed | 7 Seed | 8 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Storm | 63.55% | 23.99% | 9.24% | 2.43% | 0.65% | 0.10% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.01% |
| Connecticut Sun | 19.86% | 35.44% | 27.24% | 11.32% | 4.23% | 1.33% | 0.39% | 0.18% | 0.01% |
| Las Vegas Aces | 13.90% | 29.63% | 33.05% | 14.53% | 5.84% | 2.01% | 0.78% | 0.21% | 0.05% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 1.41% | 5.26% | 12.74% | 26.64% | 23.45% | 15.15% | 8.41% | 4.22% | 2.72% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.93% | 3.61% | 9.89% | 22.44% | 23.75% | 16.89% | 11.31% | 6.59% | 4.59% |
| Chicago Sky | 0.29% | 1.48% | 4.82% | 11.65% | 18.52% | 21.91% | 16.88% | 12.34% | 12.11% |
| Dallas Wings | 0.05% | 0.36% | 1.79% | 5.20% | 9.87% | 15.85% | 19.47% | 19.72% | 27.69% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.01% | 0.14% | 0.72% | 3.24% | 7.82% | 13.13% | 19.02% | 19.91% | 36.01% |
| Washington Mystics | — | 0.06% | 0.47% | 2.22% | 4.61% | 10.31% | 15.28% | 19.64% | 47.41% |
| Atlanta Dream | — | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.27% | 1.00% | 2.31% | 5.26% | 10.02% | 81.09% |
| New York Liberty | — | 0.02% | — | 0.05% | 0.20% | 0.80% | 2.57% | 5.34% | 91.02% |
| Indiana Fever | — | — | — | 0.01% | 0.06% | 0.21% | 0.61% | 1.82% | 97.29% |
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Elo Through the Playoffs
How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 89.87% | 89.87% | 65.60% | 46.90% |
| Las Vegas Aces | 83.65% | 83.65% | 48.09% | 27.19% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 77.95% | 51.84% | 24.17% | 9.81% |
| Seattle Storm | 94.80% | 94.80% | 38.18% | 9.76% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 72.26% | 38.49% | 14.68% | 4.56% |
| Chicago Sky | 56.25% | 21.85% | 6.52% | 1.36% |
| Dallas Wings | 32.61% | 9.13% | 1.46% | 0.19% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 25.46% | 5.99% | 0.85% | 0.16% |
| Washington Mystics | 18.09% | 3.62% | 0.40% | 0.07% |
| Atlanta Dream | 3.99% | 0.50% | 0.02% | — |
| Indiana Fever | 0.40% | 0.02% | — | — |
| New York Liberty | 1.96% | 0.24% | 0.03% | — |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Indiana Fever | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 0.08% | 0.05% | 0.03% | 0.09% | 0.02% | 0.11% | 0.06% | 0.05% | ||||
| Chicago Sky | 0.17% | 2.02% | 1.66% | 2.70% | 1.34% | 5.12% | 0.06% | 5.01% | 0.98% | 1.02% | ||
| Connecticut Sun | 0.70% | 7.22% | 5.31% | 0.11% | 0.74% | 4.09% | 5.64% | 0.40% | 6.90% | 0.12% | 3.34% | |
| Dallas Wings | 0.04% | 1.16% | 0.76% | 0.01% | 1.50% | 0.55% | 1.99% | 0.02% | 1.69% | 0.69% | 0.31% | |
| Indiana Fever | 0.01% | 0.01% | ||||||||||
| Las Vegas Aces | 1.06% | 8.43% | 0.45% | 5.98% | 0.10% | 5.09% | 6.77% | 0.63% | 7.95% | 0.16% | 3.50% | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.04% | 0.67% | 0.61% | 0.49% | 0.01% | 1.04% | 1.20% | 1.09% | 0.48% | 0.21% | ||
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.68% | 9.79% | 2.69% | 5.06% | 0.07% | 4.12% | 4.44% | 0.36% | 13.61% | 1.14% | 3.21% | |
| New York Liberty | 0.05% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.06% | 0.03% | 0.02% | 0.01% | |||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.55% | 6.86% | 2.33% | 4.11% | 0.04% | 3.69% | 2.93% | 10.16% | 0.14% | 1.07% | 2.07% | |
| Seattle Storm | 0.22% | 1.54% | 0.03% | 1.06% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 1.06% | 0.97% | 0.13% | 1.25% | 0.86% | |
| Washington Mystics | 0.04% | 0.37% | 0.46% | 0.19% | 0.01% | 0.63% | 0.10% | 0.75% | 0.72% | 0.29% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Indiana Fever | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 0.01% | 0.01% | ||||||||||
| Chicago Sky | 0.65% | 0.03% | 0.84% | 0.16% | 0.20% | 4.64% | ||||||
| Connecticut Sun | 0.09% | 5.21% | 2.29% | 23.33% | 1.41% | 10.99% | 0.03% | 8.91% | 12.46% | 0.88% | ||
| Dallas Wings | 0.04% | 0.17% | 0.13% | 0.07% | 0.03% | 1.02% | ||||||
| Las Vegas Aces | 0.08% | 3.47% | 14.57% | 1.48% | 1.11% | 7.25% | 0.05% | 5.80% | 13.65% | 0.63% | ||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.04% | 0.07% | 0.03% | 0.71% | ||||||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.02% | 0.43% | 4.29% | 0.17% | 4.07% | 0.10% | 0.75% | 14.31% | 0.03% | |||
| New York Liberty | 0.01% | 0.02% | ||||||||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.01% | 0.21% | 1.86% | 0.05% | 2.30% | 0.07% | 0.62% | 0.01% | 9.52% | 0.03% | ||
| Seattle Storm | 0.28% | 5.96% | 2.67% | 3.64% | 0.02% | 4.75% | 2.45% | 8.57% | 0.12% | 8.07% | 1.65% | |
| Washington Mystics | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.07% | 0.02% | 0.28% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky | 0.51% | 0.02% | 0.30% | 0.22% | 0.13% | 0.17% | 0.01% | ||||
| Connecticut Sun | 0.01% | 2.62% | 0.61% | 12.84% | 0.33% | 7.72% | 0.01% | 5.66% | 16.89% | 0.21% | |
| Dallas Wings | 0.08% | 0.04% | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.03% | ||||||
| Las Vegas Aces | 0.01% | 1.56% | 8.77% | 0.33% | 0.18% | 4.72% | 0.02% | 3.08% | 8.42% | 0.10% | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.05% | 0.03% | 0.04% | 0.01% | 0.03% | ||||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.48% | 3.29% | 0.16% | 3.03% | 0.13% | 0.76% | 1.96% | ||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.21% | 1.51% | 0.07% | 1.22% | 0.02% | 0.62% | 0.91% | ||||
| Seattle Storm | 0.29% | 4.47% | 0.07% | 3.42% | 0.03% | 1.02% | 0.45% | 0.01% | |||
| Washington Mystics | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.01% |
Actual Bracket Simulation
With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.
| Team | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals | Actual Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 100.00% | 82.78% | 51.29% | Eliminated in Semifinals |
| Las Vegas Aces | 100.00% | 65.54% | 29.40% | Eliminated in Semifinals |
| Phoenix Mercury | 35.77% | 8.41% | 3.18% | Eliminated in Finals |
| Chicago Sky | 21.98% | 3.07% | 1.09% | Won Finals |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Sky | Dallas Wings | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky | 16.35% | 5.63% | ||||
| Dallas Wings | 6.88% | 2.51% | ||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 33.86% | 20.75% | 17.80% | |||
| Phoenix Mercury | 35.77% | |||||
| Seattle Storm | 8.74% | 5.28% | 42.07% | |||
| Washington Mystics | 4.36% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Las Vegas Aces | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky | 2.85% | 0.22% | ||||||
| Connecticut Sun | 17.91% | 8.16% | 19.69% | 32.82% | 4.20% | |||
| Dallas Wings | 0.72% | 0.07% | ||||||
| Las Vegas Aces | 1.00% | 0.44% | 45.79% | 7.67% | 10.64% | |||
| Minnesota Lynx | 26.62% | |||||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 5.39% | 3.02% | ||||||
| Seattle Storm | 8.10% | 4.53% | ||||||
| Washington Mystics | 0.16% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Las Vegas Aces | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky | 0.03% | 0.66% | 0.10% | 0.08% | 0.22% | |||
| Connecticut Sun | 0.19% | 0.05% | 32.31% | 14.17% | 1.90% | 2.67% | ||
| Dallas Wings | 0.02% | 0.12% | 0.03% | 0.03% | ||||
| Las Vegas Aces | 1.32% | 21.99% | 0.42% | 2.13% | 3.45% | 0.09% | ||
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.08% | 7.34% | 0.02% | 1.09% | 1.78% | |||
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.18% | 0.80% | 0.03% | 1.33% | 0.84% | |||
| Seattle Storm | 0.21% | 1.31% | 0.07% | 1.67% | 1.20% | 0.02% | ||
| Washington Mystics | 0.05% |
Most-Likely Championship Paths
For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.
Connecticut Sun
51.29% chance to win
Semifinals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
39.65%
Win Prob
80.21%
→
Finals
vs. Las Vegas Aces
Matchup
62.99%
Win Prob
59.50%
Las Vegas Aces
29.40% chance to win
Semifinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
69.87%
Win Prob
63.24%
→
Finals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
74.80%
Win Prob
40.50%
Minnesota Lynx
10.31% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Chicago Sky
Matchup
46.76%
Win Prob
67.44%
→
Semifinals
vs. Las Vegas Aces
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
36.76%
→
Finals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
71.19%
Win Prob
34.12%
Seattle Storm
4.48% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
75.00%
Win Prob
54.05%
→
Semifinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
64.13%
Win Prob
19.79%
→
Finals
vs. Las Vegas Aces
Matchup
37.28%
Win Prob
32.62%
Phoenix Mercury
3.18% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
45.95%
→
Semifinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
64.09%
Win Prob
21.49%
→
Finals
vs. Las Vegas Aces
Matchup
41.82%
Win Prob
38.44%
Chicago Sky
1.09% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
74.39%
Win Prob
32.56%
→
Semifinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
92.83%
Win Prob
13.73%
→
Finals
vs. Las Vegas Aces
Matchup
60.55%
Win Prob
33.33%
Dallas Wings
0.20% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
73.27%
Win Prob
24.90%
→
Semifinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
91.14%
Win Prob
8.11%
→
Finals
vs. Las Vegas Aces
Matchup
60.00%
Win Prob
22.22%
Washington Mystics
0.05% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
19.68%
→
Semifinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
3.67%
→
Finals
vs. Las Vegas Aces
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
35.71%
Regular Season Games
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-05-14 | Connecticut Sun | L 67-78 | 1420.49 | 1570.10 | 32.85% | 67.15% | -13.99 | 0-1 |
| 2021-05-19 | Chicago Sky | L 77-85 | 1406.50 | 1518.86 | 37.74% | 62.26% | -13.70 | 0-2 |
| 2021-05-21 | @ Indiana Fever | W 83-79 | 1392.80 | 1346.81 | 52.96% | 47.04% | +12.08 | 1-2 |
| 2021-05-25 | @ Chicago Sky | W 90-83 | 1404.88 | 1504.94 | 32.69% | 67.31% | +22.86 | 2-2 |
| 2021-05-27 | Dallas Wings | W 101-95 | 1427.74 | 1456.18 | 49.56% | 50.44% | +15.87 | 3-2 |
| 2021-05-29 | @ New York Liberty | W 90-87 | 1443.61 | 1404.90 | 51.92% | 48.08% | +10.69 | 4-2 |
| 2021-06-04 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 84-86 | 1454.30 | 1489.21 | 41.41% | 58.59% | -7.52 | 4-3 |
| 2021-06-06 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 80-100 | 1446.78 | 1496.73 | 39.33% | 60.67% | -22.58 | 4-4 |
| 2021-06-09 | Seattle Storm | L 71-95 | 1424.20 | 1710.94 | 18.18% | 81.82% | -11.43 | 4-5 |
| 2021-06-11 | Seattle Storm | L 75-86 | 1412.77 | 1722.37 | 16.30% | 83.70% | -6.95 | 4-6 |
| 2021-06-13 | Washington Mystics | W 101-78 | 1405.82 | 1491.50 | 41.41% | 58.59% | +36.08 | 5-6 |
| 2021-06-17 | @ Washington Mystics | L 93-96 | 1441.90 | 1455.42 | 44.43% | 55.57% | -9.88 | 5-7 |
| 2021-06-23 | Minnesota Lynx | L 85-87 | 1432.02 | 1489.42 | 45.41% | 54.59% | -8.24 | 5-8 |
| 2021-06-26 | New York Liberty | L 78-101 | 1423.78 | 1344.67 | 64.60% | 35.40% | -39.78 | 5-9 |
| 2021-06-29 | New York Liberty | W 73-69 | 1384.00 | 1384.45 | 53.58% | 46.42% | +11.92 | 6-9 |
| 2021-07-02 | @ Seattle Storm | L 88-91 | 1395.92 | 1727.02 | 11.38% | 88.62% | -2.53 | 6-10 |
| 2021-07-04 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 95-118 | 1393.39 | 1695.76 | 13.16% | 86.84% | -8.11 | 6-11 |
| 2021-07-09 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 72-84 | 1385.28 | 1609.94 | 19.17% | 80.83% | -8.52 | 6-12 |
| 2021-07-11 | Indiana Fever | L 68-79 | 1376.76 | 1302.03 | 64.02% | 35.98% | -27.26 | 6-13 |
| 2021-08-15 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 81-92 | 1349.50 | 1503.49 | 26.26% | 73.74% | -11.19 | 6-14 |
| 2021-08-17 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 80-85 | 1338.31 | 1399.30 | 37.82% | 62.18% | -10.86 | 6-15 |
| 2021-08-19 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 64-66 | 1327.45 | 1410.16 | 34.93% | 65.07% | -6.34 | 6-16 |
| 2021-08-21 | Phoenix Mercury | L 69-84 | 1321.11 | 1536.25 | 25.12% | 74.88% | -12.49 | 6-17 |
| 2021-08-24 | Chicago Sky | L 79-86 | 1308.62 | 1504.97 | 27.21% | 72.79% | -9.24 | 6-18 |
| 2021-08-26 | Las Vegas Aces | L 71-78 | 1299.38 | 1650.29 | 13.31% | 86.69% | -4.52 | 6-19 |
| 2021-09-02 | @ Dallas Wings | L 68-72 | 1294.86 | 1469.50 | 24.02% | 75.98% | -6.17 | 6-20 |
| 2021-09-05 | @ Dallas Wings | W 69-64 | 1288.69 | 1475.67 | 22.75% | 77.25% | +22.18 | 7-20 |
| 2021-09-08 | Phoenix Mercury | L 75-76 | 1310.87 | 1622.62 | 16.13% | 83.87% | -2.07 | 7-21 |
| 2021-09-10 | @ Washington Mystics | L 74-82 | 1308.80 | 1390.74 | 35.03% | 64.97% | -12.72 | 7-22 |
| 2021-09-14 | Indiana Fever | W 85-78 | 1296.08 | 1300.90 | 52.95% | 47.05% | +15.98 | 8-22 |
| 2021-09-16 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 68-74 | 1312.06 | 1426.54 | 37.45% | 62.55% | -11.78 | 8-23 |
| 2021-09-19 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 64-84 | 1300.28 | 1761.27 | 5.73% | 94.27% | -3.29 | 8-24 |
| 2021-05-15 | @ Washington Mystics | W 70-56 | 1493.00 | 1494.29 | 46.17% | 53.83% | +25.86 | 1-0 |
| 2021-05-19 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 85-77 | 1518.86 | 1406.50 | 62.26% | 37.74% | +13.70 | 2-0 |
| 2021-05-23 | New York Liberty | L 85-93 | 1532.56 | 1357.08 | 76.06% | 23.94% | -27.62 | 2-1 |
| 2021-05-25 | Atlanta Dream | L 83-90 | 1504.94 | 1404.88 | 67.31% | 32.69% | -22.87 | 2-2 |
| 2021-05-28 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 61-76 | 1482.07 | 1474.22 | 54.77% | 45.23% | -27.23 | 2-3 |
| 2021-05-30 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 79-82 | 1454.84 | 1501.45 | 46.95% | 53.05% | -10.44 | 2-4 |
| 2021-06-01 | Phoenix Mercury | L 83-84 | 1444.40 | 1518.66 | 43.01% | 56.99% | -5.53 | 2-5 |
| 2021-06-03 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 74-77 | 1438.87 | 1524.18 | 34.59% | 65.41% | -7.69 | 2-6 |
| 2021-06-05 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 63-68 | 1431.18 | 1506.86 | 35.85% | 64.15% | -10.29 | 2-7 |
| 2021-06-09 | Indiana Fever | W 92-76 | 1420.89 | 1299.39 | 69.96% | 30.04% | +15.43 | 3-7 |
| 2021-06-12 | @ Indiana Fever | W 83-79 | 1436.32 | 1283.96 | 67.50% | 32.50% | +8.34 | 4-7 |
| 2021-06-15 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 105-89 | 1444.66 | 1527.31 | 34.94% | 65.06% | +33.42 | 5-7 |
| 2021-06-17 | Connecticut Sun | W 81-75 | 1478.08 | 1627.17 | 32.91% | 67.09% | +21.10 | 6-7 |
| 2021-06-19 | Connecticut Sun | W 91-81 | 1499.18 | 1606.07 | 38.48% | 61.52% | +24.98 | 7-7 |
| 2021-06-22 | @ New York Liberty | W 92-72 | 1524.16 | 1381.93 | 66.21% | 33.79% | +19.40 | 8-7 |
| 2021-06-24 | @ New York Liberty | W 91-68 | 1543.56 | 1362.52 | 71.01% | 28.99% | +17.85 | 9-7 |
| 2021-06-27 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 58-74 | 1561.41 | 1595.53 | 41.52% | 58.48% | -21.32 | 9-8 |
| 2021-06-30 | @ Dallas Wings | W 91-81 | 1540.09 | 1522.25 | 48.91% | 51.09% | +20.74 | 10-8 |
| 2021-07-02 | @ Dallas Wings | L 91-100 | 1560.83 | 1501.50 | 54.87% | 45.13% | -21.14 | 10-9 |
| 2021-07-10 | Washington Mystics | L 85-89 | 1539.69 | 1427.05 | 68.88% | 31.12% | -17.69 | 10-10 |
| 2021-08-15 | Seattle Storm | W 87-85 | 1522.00 | 1719.06 | 27.13% | 72.87% | +13.24 | 11-10 |
| 2021-08-17 | Dallas Wings | L 76-80 | 1535.24 | 1459.52 | 64.15% | 35.85% | -16.48 | 11-11 |
| 2021-08-21 | Minnesota Lynx | L 95-101 | 1518.76 | 1587.15 | 43.84% | 56.16% | -13.79 | 11-12 |
| 2021-08-24 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 86-79 | 1504.97 | 1308.62 | 72.79% | 27.21% | +9.25 | 12-12 |
| 2021-08-27 | @ Seattle Storm | W 73-69 | 1514.22 | 1679.51 | 25.02% | 74.98% | +19.25 | 13-12 |
| 2021-08-29 | @ Seattle Storm | W 107-75 | 1533.47 | 1660.25 | 29.40% | 70.60% | +51.28 | 14-12 |
| 2021-08-31 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 83-103 | 1584.75 | 1579.20 | 47.15% | 52.85% | -27.08 | 14-13 |
| 2021-09-02 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 83-90 | 1557.67 | 1662.45 | 32.10% | 67.90% | -10.90 | 14-14 |
| 2021-09-05 | Las Vegas Aces | W 92-84 | 1546.77 | 1673.36 | 35.83% | 64.17% | +23.30 | 15-14 |
| 2021-09-12 | Washington Mystics | L 71-79 | 1570.07 | 1403.46 | 75.12% | 24.88% | -27.28 | 15-15 |
| 2021-09-17 | Las Vegas Aces | L 70-103 | 1542.79 | 1684.21 | 33.90% | 66.10% | -25.00 | 15-16 |
| 2021-09-19 | Indiana Fever | W 98-87 | 1517.79 | 1277.17 | 82.22% | 17.78% | +7.57 | 16-16 |
| 2021-05-14 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 78-67 | 1570.10 | 1420.49 | 67.15% | 32.85% | +13.99 | 1-0 |
| 2021-05-16 | Phoenix Mercury | W 86-78 | 1584.09 | 1530.32 | 61.20% | 38.80% | +14.09 | 2-0 |
| 2021-05-19 | Indiana Fever | W 88-67 | 1598.18 | 1357.26 | 82.24% | 17.76% | +10.45 | 3-0 |
| 2021-05-21 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 84-67 | 1608.63 | 1543.75 | 55.66% | 44.34% | +23.47 | 4-0 |
| 2021-05-23 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 72-65 | 1632.10 | 1626.11 | 47.21% | 52.79% | +17.93 | 5-0 |
| 2021-05-25 | @ Seattle Storm | L 87-90 | 1650.03 | 1697.80 | 39.63% | 60.37% | -8.81 | 5-1 |
| 2021-05-28 | Washington Mystics | W 86-81 | 1641.22 | 1460.55 | 76.60% | 23.40% | +6.72 | 6-1 |
| 2021-05-30 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 74-79 | 1647.94 | 1468.89 | 70.78% | 29.22% | -20.32 | 6-2 |
| 2021-06-01 | Las Vegas Aces | W 74-67 | 1627.62 | 1640.57 | 51.79% | 48.21% | +16.37 | 7-2 |
| 2021-06-05 | New York Liberty | W 85-64 | 1643.99 | 1383.73 | 83.81% | 16.19% | +9.53 | 8-2 |
| 2021-06-13 | Seattle Storm | L 66-89 | 1653.52 | 1729.32 | 42.80% | 57.20% | -26.35 | 8-3 |
| 2021-06-17 | @ Chicago Sky | L 75-81 | 1627.17 | 1478.08 | 67.09% | 32.91% | -21.10 | 8-4 |
| 2021-06-19 | @ Chicago Sky | L 81-91 | 1606.07 | 1499.18 | 61.52% | 38.48% | -24.98 | 8-5 |
| 2021-06-22 | Dallas Wings | W 80-70 | 1581.09 | 1503.32 | 64.42% | 35.58% | +14.44 | 9-5 |
| 2021-06-27 | Chicago Sky | W 74-58 | 1595.53 | 1561.41 | 58.48% | 41.52% | +21.33 | 10-5 |
| 2021-06-29 | @ Washington Mystics | W 90-71 | 1616.86 | 1457.17 | 68.42% | 31.58% | +17.67 | 11-5 |
| 2021-07-01 | @ Indiana Fever | W 86-80 | 1634.53 | 1247.69 | 88.90% | 11.10% | +3.49 | 12-5 |
| 2021-07-03 | @ Indiana Fever | L 67-73 | 1638.02 | 1244.20 | 89.29% | 10.71% | -28.08 | 12-6 |
| 2021-07-09 | Atlanta Dream | W 84-72 | 1609.94 | 1385.28 | 80.83% | 19.17% | +8.52 | 13-6 |
| 2021-07-11 | @ New York Liberty | W 71-54 | 1618.46 | 1369.82 | 78.33% | 21.67% | +11.47 | 14-6 |
| 2021-08-15 | @ Dallas Wings | W 80-59 | 1629.93 | 1478.73 | 67.36% | 32.64% | +19.21 | 15-6 |
| 2021-08-17 | Minnesota Lynx | W 72-60 | 1649.14 | 1621.93 | 57.51% | 42.49% | +18.90 | 16-6 |
| 2021-08-19 | Minnesota Lynx | W 82-71 | 1668.04 | 1603.03 | 62.72% | 37.28% | +15.88 | 17-6 |
| 2021-08-24 | Las Vegas Aces | W 76-62 | 1683.92 | 1671.73 | 55.39% | 44.61% | +21.43 | 18-6 |
| 2021-08-26 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 76-72 | 1705.35 | 1407.11 | 86.56% | 13.44% | +3.45 | 19-6 |
| 2021-08-28 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 76-61 | 1708.80 | 1403.66 | 87.02% | 12.98% | +6.46 | 20-6 |
| 2021-08-31 | @ Washington Mystics | W 85-75 | 1715.26 | 1424.37 | 82.18% | 17.82% | +7.23 | 21-6 |
| 2021-09-07 | @ Dallas Wings | W 83-56 | 1722.49 | 1453.49 | 80.26% | 19.74% | +13.18 | 22-6 |
| 2021-09-09 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 75-57 | 1735.67 | 1379.81 | 87.02% | 12.98% | +7.07 | 23-6 |
| 2021-09-11 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 76-67 | 1742.74 | 1624.69 | 63.03% | 36.97% | +14.24 | 24-6 |
| 2021-09-15 | New York Liberty | W 98-69 | 1756.98 | 1310.40 | 93.80% | 6.20% | +4.29 | 25-6 |
| 2021-09-19 | Atlanta Dream | W 84-64 | 1761.27 | 1300.28 | 94.27% | 5.73% | +3.29 | 26-6 |
| 2021-05-14 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 94-71 | 1440.96 | 1536.78 | 33.23% | 66.77% | +41.12 | 1-0 |
| 2021-05-22 | Seattle Storm | L 97-100 | 1482.08 | 1692.09 | 25.68% | 74.32% | -5.71 | 1-1 |
| 2021-05-24 | @ New York Liberty | L 81-88 | 1476.37 | 1384.71 | 59.42% | 40.58% | -20.19 | 1-2 |
| 2021-05-27 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 95-101 | 1456.18 | 1427.74 | 50.44% | 49.56% | -15.86 | 1-3 |
| 2021-05-29 | Phoenix Mercury | L 85-89 | 1440.32 | 1507.35 | 44.03% | 55.97% | -11.31 | 1-4 |
| 2021-06-01 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 79-69 | 1429.01 | 1511.89 | 41.80% | 58.20% | +23.63 | 2-4 |
| 2021-06-04 | @ Seattle Storm | L 102-105 | 1452.64 | 1718.32 | 15.77% | 84.23% | -3.51 | 2-5 |
| 2021-06-06 | @ Seattle Storm | W 68-67 | 1449.13 | 1721.83 | 15.24% | 84.76% | +10.89 | 3-5 |
| 2021-06-08 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 85-81 | 1460.02 | 1531.88 | 36.36% | 63.64% | +16.34 | 4-5 |
| 2021-06-11 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 77-59 | 1476.36 | 1515.53 | 40.82% | 59.18% | +32.24 | 5-5 |
| 2021-06-13 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 78-85 | 1508.60 | 1641.12 | 28.72% | 71.28% | -9.76 | 5-6 |
| 2021-06-17 | Minnesota Lynx | L 73-85 | 1498.84 | 1493.89 | 54.35% | 45.65% | -24.17 | 5-7 |
| 2021-06-19 | Minnesota Lynx | W 95-77 | 1474.67 | 1518.07 | 47.41% | 52.59% | +28.65 | 6-7 |
| 2021-06-22 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 70-80 | 1503.32 | 1581.09 | 35.58% | 64.42% | -14.45 | 6-8 |
| 2021-06-24 | @ Indiana Fever | W 89-64 | 1488.87 | 1263.08 | 76.02% | 23.98% | +15.40 | 7-8 |
| 2021-06-26 | Washington Mystics | W 85-74 | 1504.27 | 1475.15 | 57.78% | 42.22% | +17.98 | 8-8 |
| 2021-06-30 | Chicago Sky | L 81-91 | 1522.25 | 1540.09 | 51.09% | 48.91% | -20.75 | 8-9 |
| 2021-07-02 | Chicago Sky | W 100-91 | 1501.50 | 1560.83 | 45.13% | 54.87% | +21.14 | 9-9 |
| 2021-07-05 | @ New York Liberty | L 96-99 | 1522.64 | 1384.98 | 65.62% | 34.38% | -14.59 | 9-10 |
| 2021-07-07 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 79-85 | 1508.05 | 1557.60 | 39.38% | 60.62% | -12.39 | 9-11 |
| 2021-07-11 | Las Vegas Aces | L 79-95 | 1495.66 | 1644.35 | 32.96% | 67.04% | -16.93 | 9-12 |
| 2021-08-15 | Connecticut Sun | L 59-80 | 1478.73 | 1629.93 | 32.64% | 67.36% | -19.21 | 9-13 |
| 2021-08-17 | @ Chicago Sky | W 80-76 | 1459.52 | 1535.24 | 35.85% | 64.15% | +16.48 | 10-13 |
| 2021-08-20 | Indiana Fever | L 81-83 | 1476.00 | 1312.76 | 74.76% | 25.24% | -13.58 | 10-14 |
| 2021-08-26 | @ Washington Mystics | W 82-77 | 1462.42 | 1431.45 | 50.80% | 49.20% | +14.13 | 11-14 |
| 2021-08-28 | @ Washington Mystics | L 75-76 | 1476.55 | 1417.33 | 54.85% | 45.15% | -7.05 | 11-15 |
| 2021-09-02 | Atlanta Dream | W 72-68 | 1469.50 | 1294.86 | 75.98% | 24.02% | +6.17 | 12-15 |
| 2021-09-05 | Atlanta Dream | L 64-69 | 1475.67 | 1288.69 | 77.25% | 22.75% | -22.18 | 12-16 |
| 2021-09-07 | Connecticut Sun | L 56-83 | 1453.49 | 1722.49 | 19.74% | 80.26% | -13.17 | 12-17 |
| 2021-09-11 | New York Liberty | W 77-76 | 1440.32 | 1314.18 | 70.52% | 29.48% | +3.79 | 13-17 |
| 2021-09-13 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 75-85 | 1444.11 | 1676.71 | 18.47% | 81.53% | -7.50 | 13-18 |
| 2021-09-19 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 87-84 | 1436.61 | 1438.32 | 53.40% | 46.60% | +10.36 | 14-18 |
| 2021-05-14 | @ New York Liberty | L 87-90 | 1391.74 | 1319.73 | 56.67% | 43.33% | -12.61 | 0-1 |
| 2021-05-16 | New York Liberty | L 65-73 | 1379.13 | 1332.34 | 60.24% | 39.76% | -21.87 | 0-2 |
| 2021-05-19 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 67-88 | 1357.26 | 1598.18 | 17.76% | 82.24% | -10.45 | 0-3 |
| 2021-05-21 | Atlanta Dream | L 79-83 | 1346.81 | 1392.80 | 47.04% | 52.96% | -12.08 | 0-4 |
| 2021-05-23 | Washington Mystics | W 89-77 | 1334.73 | 1467.40 | 35.03% | 64.97% | +28.90 | 1-4 |
| 2021-05-25 | Washington Mystics | L 69-85 | 1363.63 | 1438.51 | 42.92% | 57.08% | -22.05 | 1-5 |
| 2021-05-28 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 77-113 | 1341.58 | 1621.11 | 14.74% | 85.26% | -11.35 | 1-6 |
| 2021-05-30 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 78-101 | 1330.23 | 1632.46 | 13.17% | 86.83% | -8.11 | 1-7 |
| 2021-06-01 | @ Seattle Storm | L 73-88 | 1322.12 | 1714.19 | 8.29% | 91.71% | -4.13 | 1-8 |
| 2021-06-03 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 63-98 | 1317.99 | 1488.26 | 24.49% | 75.51% | -18.60 | 1-9 |
| 2021-06-09 | @ Chicago Sky | L 76-92 | 1299.39 | 1420.89 | 30.04% | 69.96% | -15.43 | 1-10 |
| 2021-06-12 | Chicago Sky | L 79-83 | 1283.96 | 1436.32 | 32.50% | 67.50% | -8.34 | 1-11 |
| 2021-06-15 | Seattle Storm | L 70-87 | 1275.62 | 1755.67 | 6.80% | 93.20% | -3.60 | 1-12 |
| 2021-06-17 | Seattle Storm | L 69-79 | 1272.02 | 1759.27 | 6.55% | 93.45% | -2.66 | 1-13 |
| 2021-06-19 | @ Washington Mystics | L 77-82 | 1269.36 | 1465.30 | 21.86% | 78.14% | -6.28 | 1-14 |
| 2021-06-24 | Dallas Wings | L 64-89 | 1263.08 | 1488.87 | 23.98% | 76.02% | -15.39 | 1-15 |
| 2021-07-01 | Connecticut Sun | L 80-86 | 1247.69 | 1634.53 | 11.10% | 88.90% | -3.49 | 1-16 |
| 2021-07-03 | Connecticut Sun | W 73-67 | 1244.20 | 1638.02 | 10.71% | 89.29% | +28.08 | 2-16 |
| 2021-07-09 | New York Liberty | W 82-69 | 1272.28 | 1399.57 | 35.74% | 64.26% | +29.75 | 3-16 |
| 2021-07-11 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 79-68 | 1302.03 | 1376.76 | 35.98% | 64.02% | +27.26 | 4-16 |
| 2021-08-15 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 70-75 | 1329.29 | 1388.37 | 38.08% | 61.92% | -10.93 | 4-17 |
| 2021-08-17 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 80-84 | 1318.36 | 1514.68 | 21.82% | 78.18% | -5.60 | 4-18 |
| 2021-08-20 | @ Dallas Wings | W 83-81 | 1312.76 | 1476.00 | 25.24% | 74.76% | +13.57 | 5-18 |
| 2021-08-28 | Las Vegas Aces | L 71-87 | 1326.33 | 1654.82 | 14.87% | 85.13% | -7.64 | 5-19 |
| 2021-08-31 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 74-72 | 1318.69 | 1397.20 | 42.41% | 57.59% | +10.46 | 6-19 |
| 2021-09-04 | Phoenix Mercury | L 65-87 | 1329.15 | 1606.27 | 19.01% | 80.99% | -11.45 | 6-20 |
| 2021-09-06 | Phoenix Mercury | L 81-86 | 1317.70 | 1617.72 | 17.07% | 82.93% | -4.90 | 6-21 |
| 2021-09-10 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 72-89 | 1312.80 | 1616.06 | 13.10% | 86.90% | -6.94 | 6-22 |
| 2021-09-12 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 80-90 | 1305.86 | 1622.99 | 12.22% | 87.78% | -4.96 | 6-23 |
| 2021-09-14 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 78-85 | 1300.90 | 1296.08 | 47.05% | 52.95% | -15.98 | 6-24 |
| 2021-09-17 | Minnesota Lynx | L 73-92 | 1284.92 | 1627.96 | 13.84% | 86.16% | -7.75 | 6-25 |
| 2021-09-19 | @ Chicago Sky | L 87-98 | 1277.17 | 1517.79 | 17.78% | 82.22% | -7.57 | 6-26 |
| 2021-05-15 | @ Seattle Storm | L 83-97 | 1581.43 | 1702.94 | 30.04% | 69.96% | -14.43 | 0-1 |
| 2021-05-18 | @ Seattle Storm | W 96-80 | 1567.00 | 1717.37 | 26.66% | 73.34% | +37.66 | 1-1 |
| 2021-05-21 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 97-69 | 1604.66 | 1495.67 | 68.43% | 31.57% | +21.45 | 2-1 |
| 2021-05-23 | Connecticut Sun | L 65-72 | 1626.11 | 1632.10 | 52.79% | 47.21% | -17.93 | 2-2 |
| 2021-05-26 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 85-79 | 1608.18 | 1520.28 | 58.90% | 41.10% | +12.93 | 3-2 |
| 2021-05-28 | Indiana Fever | W 113-77 | 1621.11 | 1341.58 | 85.26% | 14.74% | +11.35 | 4-2 |
| 2021-05-30 | Indiana Fever | W 101-78 | 1632.46 | 1330.23 | 86.83% | 13.17% | +8.11 | 5-2 |
| 2021-06-01 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 67-74 | 1640.57 | 1627.62 | 48.21% | 51.79% | -16.38 | 5-3 |
| 2021-06-03 | @ New York Liberty | W 94-82 | 1624.19 | 1394.20 | 76.46% | 23.54% | +10.47 | 6-3 |
| 2021-06-05 | @ Washington Mystics | W 96-93 | 1634.66 | 1453.83 | 70.99% | 29.01% | +6.46 | 7-3 |
| 2021-06-13 | Dallas Wings | W 85-78 | 1641.12 | 1508.60 | 71.28% | 28.72% | +9.75 | 8-3 |
| 2021-06-15 | New York Liberty | W 100-78 | 1650.87 | 1386.63 | 84.12% | 15.88% | +9.57 | 9-3 |
| 2021-06-17 | New York Liberty | W 103-76 | 1660.44 | 1377.07 | 85.54% | 14.46% | +9.65 | 10-3 |
| 2021-06-25 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 89-90 | 1670.09 | 1497.66 | 69.98% | 30.02% | -8.99 | 10-4 |
| 2021-06-27 | Seattle Storm | W 95-92 | 1661.10 | 1739.84 | 42.38% | 57.62% | +12.82 | 11-4 |
| 2021-06-30 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 99-75 | 1673.92 | 1439.11 | 76.95% | 23.05% | +14.49 | 12-4 |
| 2021-07-02 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 66-58 | 1688.41 | 1424.61 | 79.78% | 20.22% | +7.35 | 13-4 |
| 2021-07-04 | Atlanta Dream | W 118-95 | 1695.76 | 1393.39 | 86.84% | 13.16% | +8.10 | 14-4 |
| 2021-07-07 | Phoenix Mercury | L 90-99 | 1703.86 | 1449.86 | 83.32% | 16.68% | -32.09 | 14-5 |
| 2021-07-09 | Minnesota Lynx | L 67-77 | 1671.77 | 1569.98 | 67.53% | 32.47% | -27.42 | 14-6 |
| 2021-07-11 | @ Dallas Wings | W 95-79 | 1644.35 | 1495.66 | 67.04% | 32.96% | +16.93 | 15-6 |
| 2021-08-15 | Washington Mystics | W 84-83 | 1661.28 | 1444.74 | 80.10% | 19.90% | +2.56 | 16-6 |
| 2021-08-17 | Washington Mystics | W 93-83 | 1663.84 | 1442.19 | 80.57% | 19.43% | +7.89 | 17-6 |
| 2021-08-24 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 62-76 | 1671.73 | 1683.92 | 44.61% | 55.39% | -21.44 | 17-7 |
| 2021-08-26 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 78-71 | 1650.29 | 1299.38 | 86.69% | 13.31% | +4.53 | 18-7 |
| 2021-08-28 | @ Indiana Fever | W 87-71 | 1654.82 | 1326.33 | 85.13% | 14.87% | +7.63 | 19-7 |
| 2021-09-02 | Chicago Sky | W 90-83 | 1662.45 | 1557.67 | 67.90% | 32.10% | +10.91 | 20-7 |
| 2021-09-05 | @ Chicago Sky | L 84-92 | 1673.36 | 1546.77 | 64.17% | 35.83% | -23.31 | 20-8 |
| 2021-09-08 | Minnesota Lynx | W 102-81 | 1650.05 | 1642.71 | 54.69% | 45.31% | +26.66 | 21-8 |
| 2021-09-13 | Dallas Wings | W 85-75 | 1676.71 | 1444.11 | 81.53% | 18.47% | +7.50 | 22-8 |
| 2021-09-17 | @ Chicago Sky | W 103-70 | 1684.21 | 1542.79 | 66.10% | 33.90% | +25.00 | 23-8 |
| 2021-09-19 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 84-83 | 1709.21 | 1590.71 | 63.09% | 36.91% | +4.74 | 24-8 |
| 2021-05-14 | Dallas Wings | L 71-94 | 1536.78 | 1440.96 | 66.77% | 33.23% | -41.11 | 0-1 |
| 2021-05-21 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 69-97 | 1495.67 | 1604.66 | 31.57% | 68.43% | -21.45 | 0-2 |
| 2021-05-28 | @ Chicago Sky | W 76-61 | 1474.22 | 1482.07 | 45.23% | 54.77% | +27.23 | 1-2 |
| 2021-05-30 | @ Chicago Sky | W 82-79 | 1501.45 | 1454.84 | 53.05% | 46.95% | +10.44 | 2-2 |
| 2021-06-01 | @ Dallas Wings | L 69-79 | 1511.89 | 1429.01 | 58.20% | 41.80% | -23.63 | 2-3 |
| 2021-06-03 | Indiana Fever | W 98-63 | 1488.26 | 1317.99 | 75.51% | 24.49% | +18.60 | 3-3 |
| 2021-06-05 | Chicago Sky | W 68-63 | 1506.86 | 1431.18 | 64.15% | 35.85% | +10.29 | 4-3 |
| 2021-06-10 | @ Washington Mystics | L 71-89 | 1517.15 | 1461.93 | 54.28% | 45.72% | -29.57 | 4-4 |
| 2021-06-12 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 64-80 | 1487.58 | 1504.76 | 43.91% | 56.09% | -22.55 | 4-5 |
| 2021-06-16 | Phoenix Mercury | W 85-80 | 1465.03 | 1470.87 | 52.81% | 47.19% | +13.55 | 5-5 |
| 2021-06-18 | Phoenix Mercury | L 66-80 | 1478.58 | 1457.32 | 56.67% | 43.33% | -27.23 | 5-6 |
| 2021-06-20 | New York Liberty | L 73-76 | 1451.35 | 1367.42 | 65.23% | 34.77% | -14.50 | 5-7 |
| 2021-06-24 | Washington Mystics | W 89-82 | 1436.85 | 1493.67 | 45.49% | 54.51% | +18.52 | 6-7 |
| 2021-06-27 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 79-88 | 1455.37 | 1484.54 | 42.21% | 57.79% | -16.26 | 6-8 |
| 2021-06-30 | Las Vegas Aces | L 75-99 | 1439.11 | 1673.92 | 23.05% | 76.95% | -14.50 | 6-9 |
| 2021-07-02 | Las Vegas Aces | L 58-66 | 1424.61 | 1688.41 | 20.22% | 79.78% | -7.35 | 6-10 |
| 2021-07-04 | Seattle Storm | L 74-84 | 1417.26 | 1729.55 | 16.09% | 83.91% | -6.53 | 6-11 |
| 2021-07-07 | @ Seattle Storm | L 62-71 | 1410.73 | 1736.09 | 11.72% | 88.28% | -4.51 | 6-12 |
| 2021-07-11 | Minnesota Lynx | L 61-86 | 1406.22 | 1597.40 | 27.80% | 72.20% | -17.85 | 6-13 |
| 2021-08-15 | Indiana Fever | W 75-70 | 1388.37 | 1329.29 | 61.92% | 38.08% | +10.93 | 7-13 |
| 2021-08-17 | Atlanta Dream | W 85-80 | 1399.30 | 1338.31 | 62.18% | 37.82% | +10.86 | 8-13 |
| 2021-08-19 | Atlanta Dream | W 66-64 | 1410.16 | 1327.45 | 65.07% | 34.93% | +6.34 | 9-13 |
| 2021-08-22 | @ New York Liberty | W 86-83 | 1416.50 | 1365.61 | 53.66% | 46.34% | +10.31 | 10-13 |
| 2021-08-24 | @ Washington Mystics | L 68-78 | 1426.81 | 1411.76 | 48.51% | 51.49% | -19.70 | 10-14 |
| 2021-08-26 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 72-76 | 1407.11 | 1705.35 | 13.44% | 86.56% | -3.45 | 10-15 |
| 2021-08-28 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 61-76 | 1403.66 | 1708.80 | 12.98% | 87.02% | -6.46 | 10-16 |
| 2021-08-31 | @ Indiana Fever | L 72-74 | 1397.20 | 1318.69 | 57.59% | 42.41% | -10.45 | 10-17 |
| 2021-09-02 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 57-66 | 1386.75 | 1624.85 | 17.99% | 82.01% | -6.94 | 10-18 |
| 2021-09-09 | Connecticut Sun | L 57-75 | 1379.81 | 1735.67 | 12.98% | 87.02% | -7.07 | 10-19 |
| 2021-09-12 | Seattle Storm | W 81-53 | 1372.74 | 1630.14 | 20.82% | 79.18% | +53.80 | 11-19 |
| 2021-09-16 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 74-68 | 1426.54 | 1312.06 | 62.55% | 37.45% | +11.78 | 12-19 |
| 2021-09-19 | @ Dallas Wings | L 84-87 | 1438.32 | 1436.61 | 46.60% | 53.40% | -10.37 | 12-20 |
| 2021-05-14 | Phoenix Mercury | L 75-77 | 1528.16 | 1520.38 | 54.76% | 45.24% | -9.94 | 0-1 |
| 2021-05-18 | @ New York Liberty | L 75-86 | 1518.22 | 1354.21 | 68.95% | 31.05% | -29.36 | 0-2 |
| 2021-05-20 | Seattle Storm | L 78-90 | 1488.86 | 1679.70 | 27.84% | 72.16% | -12.39 | 0-3 |
| 2021-05-28 | @ Seattle Storm | L 72-82 | 1476.47 | 1706.61 | 18.68% | 81.32% | -7.58 | 0-4 |
| 2021-05-30 | Connecticut Sun | W 79-74 | 1468.89 | 1647.94 | 29.22% | 70.78% | +20.32 | 1-4 |
| 2021-06-04 | Atlanta Dream | W 86-84 | 1489.21 | 1454.30 | 58.59% | 41.41% | +7.52 | 2-4 |
| 2021-06-06 | Atlanta Dream | W 100-80 | 1496.73 | 1446.78 | 60.67% | 39.33% | +22.58 | 3-4 |
| 2021-06-08 | @ Washington Mystics | L 81-85 | 1519.31 | 1447.38 | 56.66% | 43.34% | -14.55 | 3-5 |
| 2021-06-12 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 80-64 | 1504.76 | 1487.58 | 56.09% | 43.91% | +22.55 | 4-5 |
| 2021-06-15 | Chicago Sky | L 89-105 | 1527.31 | 1444.66 | 65.06% | 34.94% | -33.42 | 4-6 |
| 2021-06-17 | @ Dallas Wings | W 85-73 | 1493.89 | 1498.84 | 45.65% | 54.35% | +24.18 | 5-6 |
| 2021-06-19 | @ Dallas Wings | L 77-95 | 1518.07 | 1474.67 | 52.59% | 47.41% | -28.65 | 5-7 |
| 2021-06-23 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 87-85 | 1489.42 | 1432.02 | 54.59% | 45.41% | +8.24 | 6-7 |
| 2021-06-25 | Las Vegas Aces | W 90-89 | 1497.66 | 1670.09 | 30.02% | 69.98% | +8.99 | 7-7 |
| 2021-06-30 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 82-76 | 1506.65 | 1500.80 | 47.19% | 52.81% | +16.61 | 8-7 |
| 2021-07-03 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 99-68 | 1523.26 | 1484.19 | 51.97% | 48.03% | +34.34 | 9-7 |
| 2021-07-07 | Dallas Wings | W 85-79 | 1557.60 | 1508.05 | 60.62% | 39.38% | +12.38 | 10-7 |
| 2021-07-09 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 77-67 | 1569.98 | 1671.77 | 32.47% | 67.53% | +27.42 | 11-7 |
| 2021-07-11 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 86-61 | 1597.40 | 1406.22 | 72.20% | 27.80% | +17.85 | 12-7 |
| 2021-08-15 | New York Liberty | W 88-78 | 1615.25 | 1358.35 | 83.55% | 16.45% | +6.68 | 13-7 |
| 2021-08-17 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 60-72 | 1621.93 | 1649.14 | 42.49% | 57.51% | -18.90 | 13-8 |
| 2021-08-19 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 71-82 | 1603.03 | 1668.04 | 37.28% | 62.72% | -15.88 | 13-9 |
| 2021-08-21 | @ Chicago Sky | W 101-95 | 1587.15 | 1518.76 | 56.16% | 43.84% | +13.79 | 14-9 |
| 2021-08-24 | Seattle Storm | W 76-70 | 1600.94 | 1698.45 | 39.77% | 60.23% | +18.95 | 15-9 |
| 2021-08-31 | New York Liberty | W 74-66 | 1619.89 | 1324.85 | 86.35% | 13.65% | +4.96 | 16-9 |
| 2021-09-02 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 66-57 | 1624.85 | 1386.75 | 82.01% | 17.99% | +6.93 | 17-9 |
| 2021-09-04 | Washington Mystics | W 93-75 | 1631.78 | 1417.14 | 79.93% | 20.07% | +10.93 | 18-9 |
| 2021-09-08 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 81-102 | 1642.71 | 1650.05 | 45.31% | 54.69% | -26.65 | 18-10 |
| 2021-09-10 | Indiana Fever | W 89-72 | 1616.06 | 1312.80 | 86.90% | 13.10% | +6.93 | 19-10 |
| 2021-09-12 | Indiana Fever | W 90-80 | 1622.99 | 1305.86 | 87.78% | 12.22% | +4.97 | 20-10 |
| 2021-09-17 | @ Indiana Fever | W 92-73 | 1627.96 | 1284.92 | 86.16% | 13.84% | +7.74 | 21-10 |
| 2021-09-19 | @ Washington Mystics | W 83-77 | 1635.70 | 1403.53 | 76.68% | 23.32% | +7.34 | 22-10 |
| 2021-05-14 | Indiana Fever | W 90-87 | 1319.73 | 1391.74 | 43.33% | 56.67% | +12.61 | 1-0 |
| 2021-05-16 | @ Indiana Fever | W 73-65 | 1332.34 | 1379.13 | 39.76% | 60.24% | +21.87 | 2-0 |
| 2021-05-18 | Minnesota Lynx | W 86-75 | 1354.21 | 1518.22 | 31.05% | 68.95% | +29.37 | 3-0 |
| 2021-05-21 | @ Washington Mystics | L 72-101 | 1383.58 | 1440.91 | 38.32% | 61.68% | -26.50 | 3-1 |
| 2021-05-23 | @ Chicago Sky | W 93-85 | 1357.08 | 1532.56 | 23.94% | 76.06% | +27.63 | 4-1 |
| 2021-05-24 | Dallas Wings | W 88-81 | 1384.71 | 1476.37 | 40.58% | 59.42% | +20.19 | 5-1 |
| 2021-05-29 | Atlanta Dream | L 87-90 | 1404.90 | 1443.61 | 48.08% | 51.92% | -10.70 | 5-2 |
| 2021-06-03 | Las Vegas Aces | L 82-94 | 1394.20 | 1624.19 | 23.54% | 76.46% | -10.47 | 5-3 |
| 2021-06-05 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 64-85 | 1383.73 | 1643.99 | 16.19% | 83.81% | -9.52 | 5-4 |
| 2021-06-13 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 85-83 | 1374.21 | 1483.29 | 31.56% | 68.44% | +12.42 | 6-4 |
| 2021-06-15 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 78-100 | 1386.63 | 1650.87 | 15.88% | 84.12% | -9.56 | 6-5 |
| 2021-06-17 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 76-103 | 1377.07 | 1660.44 | 14.46% | 85.54% | -9.65 | 6-6 |
| 2021-06-20 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 76-73 | 1367.42 | 1451.35 | 34.77% | 65.23% | +14.51 | 7-6 |
| 2021-06-22 | Chicago Sky | L 72-92 | 1381.93 | 1524.16 | 33.79% | 66.21% | -19.41 | 7-7 |
| 2021-06-24 | Chicago Sky | L 68-91 | 1362.52 | 1543.56 | 28.99% | 71.01% | -17.85 | 7-8 |
| 2021-06-26 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 101-78 | 1344.67 | 1423.78 | 35.40% | 64.60% | +39.78 | 8-8 |
| 2021-06-29 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 69-73 | 1384.45 | 1384.00 | 46.42% | 53.58% | -11.92 | 8-9 |
| 2021-07-03 | Washington Mystics | W 82-79 | 1372.53 | 1439.50 | 44.04% | 55.96% | +12.45 | 9-9 |
| 2021-07-05 | Dallas Wings | W 99-96 | 1384.98 | 1522.64 | 34.38% | 65.62% | +14.59 | 10-9 |
| 2021-07-09 | @ Indiana Fever | L 69-82 | 1399.57 | 1272.28 | 64.26% | 35.74% | -29.75 | 10-10 |
| 2021-07-11 | Connecticut Sun | L 54-71 | 1369.82 | 1618.46 | 21.67% | 78.33% | -11.47 | 10-11 |
| 2021-08-15 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 78-88 | 1358.35 | 1615.25 | 16.45% | 83.55% | -6.68 | 10-12 |
| 2021-08-18 | Seattle Storm | W 83-79 | 1351.67 | 1705.83 | 13.09% | 86.91% | +22.32 | 11-12 |
| 2021-08-20 | Seattle Storm | L 83-99 | 1373.99 | 1683.51 | 16.31% | 83.69% | -8.38 | 11-13 |
| 2021-08-22 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 83-86 | 1365.61 | 1416.50 | 46.34% | 53.66% | -10.30 | 11-14 |
| 2021-08-25 | Phoenix Mercury | L 79-106 | 1355.31 | 1548.74 | 27.54% | 72.46% | -18.38 | 11-15 |
| 2021-08-27 | Phoenix Mercury | L 64-80 | 1336.93 | 1567.12 | 23.52% | 76.48% | -12.08 | 11-16 |
| 2021-08-31 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 66-74 | 1324.85 | 1619.89 | 13.65% | 86.35% | -4.96 | 11-17 |
| 2021-09-02 | @ Seattle Storm | L 75-85 | 1319.89 | 1608.97 | 14.06% | 85.94% | -5.71 | 11-18 |
| 2021-09-11 | @ Dallas Wings | L 76-77 | 1314.18 | 1440.32 | 29.48% | 70.52% | -3.78 | 11-19 |
| 2021-09-15 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 69-98 | 1310.40 | 1756.98 | 6.20% | 93.80% | -4.29 | 11-20 |
| 2021-09-17 | Washington Mystics | W 91-80 | 1306.11 | 1430.74 | 36.09% | 63.91% | +27.22 | 12-20 |
| 2021-05-14 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 77-75 | 1520.38 | 1528.16 | 45.24% | 54.76% | +9.94 | 1-0 |
| 2021-05-16 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 78-86 | 1530.32 | 1584.09 | 38.80% | 61.20% | -14.09 | 1-1 |
| 2021-05-18 | @ Washington Mystics | W 91-70 | 1516.23 | 1468.43 | 53.22% | 46.78% | +27.52 | 2-1 |
| 2021-05-21 | Connecticut Sun | L 67-84 | 1543.75 | 1608.63 | 44.34% | 55.66% | -23.47 | 2-2 |
| 2021-05-26 | Las Vegas Aces | L 79-85 | 1520.28 | 1608.18 | 41.10% | 58.90% | -12.93 | 2-3 |
| 2021-05-29 | @ Dallas Wings | W 89-85 | 1507.35 | 1440.32 | 55.97% | 44.03% | +11.31 | 3-3 |
| 2021-06-01 | @ Chicago Sky | W 84-83 | 1518.66 | 1444.40 | 56.99% | 43.01% | +5.52 | 4-3 |
| 2021-06-03 | Chicago Sky | W 77-74 | 1524.18 | 1438.87 | 65.41% | 34.59% | +7.70 | 5-3 |
| 2021-06-08 | Dallas Wings | L 81-85 | 1531.88 | 1460.02 | 63.64% | 36.36% | -16.35 | 5-4 |
| 2021-06-11 | Dallas Wings | L 59-77 | 1515.53 | 1476.36 | 59.18% | 40.82% | -32.24 | 5-5 |
| 2021-06-13 | New York Liberty | L 83-85 | 1483.29 | 1374.21 | 68.44% | 31.56% | -12.42 | 5-6 |
| 2021-06-16 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 80-85 | 1470.87 | 1465.03 | 47.19% | 52.81% | -13.55 | 5-7 |
| 2021-06-18 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 80-66 | 1457.32 | 1478.58 | 43.33% | 56.67% | +27.22 | 6-7 |
| 2021-06-27 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 88-79 | 1484.54 | 1455.37 | 57.79% | 42.21% | +16.26 | 7-7 |
| 2021-06-30 | Minnesota Lynx | L 76-82 | 1500.80 | 1506.65 | 52.81% | 47.19% | -16.61 | 7-8 |
| 2021-07-03 | Minnesota Lynx | L 68-99 | 1484.19 | 1523.26 | 48.03% | 51.97% | -34.33 | 7-9 |
| 2021-07-07 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 99-90 | 1449.86 | 1703.86 | 16.68% | 83.32% | +32.09 | 8-9 |
| 2021-07-09 | Seattle Storm | W 85-77 | 1481.95 | 1740.60 | 20.70% | 79.30% | +28.80 | 9-9 |
| 2021-07-11 | @ Seattle Storm | L 75-82 | 1510.75 | 1711.80 | 21.36% | 78.64% | -7.26 | 9-10 |
| 2021-08-15 | Atlanta Dream | W 92-81 | 1503.49 | 1349.50 | 73.74% | 26.26% | +11.19 | 10-10 |
| 2021-08-17 | Indiana Fever | W 84-80 | 1514.68 | 1318.36 | 78.18% | 21.82% | +5.60 | 11-10 |
| 2021-08-19 | Washington Mystics | W 77-64 | 1520.28 | 1434.29 | 65.50% | 34.50% | +15.97 | 12-10 |
| 2021-08-21 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 84-69 | 1536.25 | 1321.11 | 74.88% | 25.12% | +12.49 | 13-10 |
| 2021-08-25 | @ New York Liberty | W 106-79 | 1548.74 | 1355.31 | 72.46% | 27.54% | +18.38 | 14-10 |
| 2021-08-27 | @ New York Liberty | W 80-64 | 1567.12 | 1336.93 | 76.48% | 23.52% | +12.08 | 15-10 |
| 2021-08-31 | Chicago Sky | W 103-83 | 1579.20 | 1584.75 | 52.85% | 47.15% | +27.07 | 16-10 |
| 2021-09-04 | @ Indiana Fever | W 87-65 | 1606.27 | 1329.15 | 80.99% | 19.01% | +11.45 | 17-10 |
| 2021-09-06 | @ Indiana Fever | W 86-81 | 1617.72 | 1317.70 | 82.93% | 17.07% | +4.90 | 18-10 |
| 2021-09-08 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 76-75 | 1622.62 | 1310.87 | 83.87% | 16.13% | +2.07 | 19-10 |
| 2021-09-11 | Connecticut Sun | L 67-76 | 1624.69 | 1742.74 | 36.97% | 63.03% | -14.24 | 19-11 |
| 2021-09-17 | @ Seattle Storm | L 85-94 | 1610.45 | 1576.35 | 51.26% | 48.74% | -19.74 | 19-12 |
| 2021-09-19 | Las Vegas Aces | L 83-84 | 1590.71 | 1709.21 | 36.91% | 63.09% | -4.74 | 19-13 |
| 2021-05-15 | Las Vegas Aces | W 97-83 | 1702.94 | 1581.43 | 69.96% | 30.04% | +14.43 | 1-0 |
| 2021-05-18 | Las Vegas Aces | L 80-96 | 1717.37 | 1567.00 | 73.34% | 26.66% | -37.67 | 1-1 |
| 2021-05-20 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 90-78 | 1679.70 | 1488.86 | 72.16% | 27.84% | +12.39 | 2-1 |
| 2021-05-22 | @ Dallas Wings | W 100-97 | 1692.09 | 1482.08 | 74.32% | 25.68% | +5.71 | 3-1 |
| 2021-05-25 | Connecticut Sun | W 90-87 | 1697.80 | 1650.03 | 60.37% | 39.63% | +8.81 | 4-1 |
| 2021-05-28 | Minnesota Lynx | W 82-72 | 1706.61 | 1476.47 | 81.32% | 18.68% | +7.58 | 5-1 |
| 2021-06-01 | Indiana Fever | W 88-73 | 1714.19 | 1322.12 | 91.71% | 8.29% | +4.13 | 6-1 |
| 2021-06-04 | Dallas Wings | W 105-102 | 1718.32 | 1452.64 | 84.23% | 15.77% | +3.51 | 7-1 |
| 2021-06-06 | Dallas Wings | L 67-68 | 1721.83 | 1449.13 | 84.76% | 15.24% | -10.89 | 7-2 |
| 2021-06-09 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 95-71 | 1710.94 | 1424.20 | 81.82% | 18.18% | +11.43 | 8-2 |
| 2021-06-11 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 86-75 | 1722.37 | 1412.77 | 83.70% | 16.30% | +6.95 | 9-2 |
| 2021-06-13 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 89-66 | 1729.32 | 1653.52 | 57.20% | 42.80% | +26.35 | 10-2 |
| 2021-06-15 | @ Indiana Fever | W 87-70 | 1755.67 | 1275.62 | 93.20% | 6.80% | +3.60 | 11-2 |
| 2021-06-17 | @ Indiana Fever | W 79-69 | 1759.27 | 1272.02 | 93.45% | 6.55% | +2.66 | 12-2 |
| 2021-06-22 | Washington Mystics | L 83-87 | 1761.93 | 1471.58 | 86.03% | 13.97% | -22.09 | 12-3 |
| 2021-06-27 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 92-95 | 1739.84 | 1661.10 | 57.62% | 42.38% | -12.82 | 12-4 |
| 2021-07-02 | Atlanta Dream | W 91-88 | 1727.02 | 1395.92 | 88.62% | 11.38% | +2.53 | 13-4 |
| 2021-07-04 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 84-74 | 1729.55 | 1417.26 | 83.91% | 16.09% | +6.54 | 14-4 |
| 2021-07-07 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 71-62 | 1736.09 | 1410.73 | 88.28% | 11.72% | +4.51 | 15-4 |
| 2021-07-09 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 77-85 | 1740.60 | 1481.95 | 79.30% | 20.70% | -28.80 | 15-5 |
| 2021-07-11 | Phoenix Mercury | W 82-75 | 1711.80 | 1510.75 | 78.64% | 21.36% | +7.26 | 16-5 |
| 2021-08-15 | @ Chicago Sky | L 85-87 | 1719.06 | 1522.00 | 72.87% | 27.13% | -13.23 | 16-6 |
| 2021-08-18 | @ New York Liberty | L 79-83 | 1705.83 | 1351.67 | 86.91% | 13.09% | -22.32 | 16-7 |
| 2021-08-20 | @ New York Liberty | W 99-83 | 1683.51 | 1373.99 | 83.69% | 16.31% | +8.37 | 17-7 |
| 2021-08-22 | @ Washington Mystics | W 85-78 | 1691.88 | 1418.32 | 80.67% | 19.33% | +6.57 | 18-7 |
| 2021-08-24 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 70-76 | 1698.45 | 1600.94 | 60.23% | 39.77% | -18.94 | 18-8 |
| 2021-08-27 | Chicago Sky | L 69-73 | 1679.51 | 1514.22 | 74.98% | 25.02% | -19.26 | 18-9 |
| 2021-08-29 | Chicago Sky | L 75-107 | 1660.25 | 1533.47 | 70.60% | 29.40% | -51.28 | 18-10 |
| 2021-09-02 | New York Liberty | W 85-75 | 1608.97 | 1319.89 | 85.94% | 14.06% | +5.71 | 19-10 |
| 2021-09-07 | Washington Mystics | W 105-71 | 1614.68 | 1406.20 | 79.35% | 20.65% | +15.46 | 20-10 |
| 2021-09-12 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 53-81 | 1630.14 | 1372.74 | 79.18% | 20.82% | -53.79 | 20-11 |
| 2021-09-17 | Phoenix Mercury | W 94-85 | 1576.35 | 1610.45 | 48.74% | 51.26% | +19.74 | 21-11 |
| 2021-05-15 | Chicago Sky | L 56-70 | 1494.29 | 1493.00 | 53.83% | 46.17% | -25.86 | 0-1 |
| 2021-05-18 | Phoenix Mercury | L 70-91 | 1468.43 | 1516.23 | 46.78% | 53.22% | -27.52 | 0-2 |
| 2021-05-21 | New York Liberty | W 101-72 | 1440.91 | 1383.58 | 61.68% | 38.32% | +26.49 | 1-2 |
| 2021-05-23 | @ Indiana Fever | L 77-89 | 1467.40 | 1334.73 | 64.97% | 35.03% | -28.89 | 1-3 |
| 2021-05-25 | @ Indiana Fever | W 85-69 | 1438.51 | 1363.63 | 57.08% | 42.92% | +22.04 | 2-3 |
| 2021-05-28 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 81-86 | 1460.55 | 1641.22 | 23.40% | 76.60% | -6.72 | 2-4 |
| 2021-06-05 | Las Vegas Aces | L 93-96 | 1453.83 | 1634.66 | 29.01% | 70.99% | -6.45 | 2-5 |
| 2021-06-08 | Minnesota Lynx | W 85-81 | 1447.38 | 1519.31 | 43.34% | 56.66% | +14.55 | 3-5 |
| 2021-06-10 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 89-71 | 1461.93 | 1517.15 | 45.72% | 54.28% | +29.57 | 4-5 |
| 2021-06-13 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 78-101 | 1491.50 | 1405.82 | 58.59% | 41.41% | -36.08 | 4-6 |
| 2021-06-17 | Atlanta Dream | W 96-93 | 1455.42 | 1441.90 | 55.57% | 44.43% | +9.88 | 5-6 |
| 2021-06-19 | Indiana Fever | W 82-77 | 1465.30 | 1269.36 | 78.14% | 21.86% | +6.28 | 6-6 |
| 2021-06-22 | @ Seattle Storm | W 87-83 | 1471.58 | 1761.93 | 13.97% | 86.03% | +22.09 | 7-6 |
| 2021-06-24 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 82-89 | 1493.67 | 1436.85 | 54.51% | 45.49% | -18.52 | 7-7 |
| 2021-06-26 | @ Dallas Wings | L 74-85 | 1475.15 | 1504.27 | 42.22% | 57.78% | -17.98 | 7-8 |
| 2021-06-29 | Connecticut Sun | L 71-90 | 1457.17 | 1616.86 | 31.58% | 68.42% | -17.67 | 7-9 |
| 2021-07-03 | @ New York Liberty | L 79-82 | 1439.50 | 1372.53 | 55.96% | 44.04% | -12.45 | 7-10 |
| 2021-07-10 | @ Chicago Sky | W 89-85 | 1427.05 | 1539.69 | 31.12% | 68.88% | +17.69 | 8-10 |
| 2021-08-15 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 83-84 | 1444.74 | 1661.28 | 19.90% | 80.10% | -2.55 | 8-11 |
| 2021-08-17 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 83-93 | 1442.19 | 1663.84 | 19.43% | 80.57% | -7.90 | 8-12 |
| 2021-08-19 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 64-77 | 1434.29 | 1520.28 | 34.50% | 65.50% | -15.97 | 8-13 |
| 2021-08-22 | Seattle Storm | L 78-85 | 1418.32 | 1691.88 | 19.33% | 80.67% | -6.56 | 8-14 |
| 2021-08-24 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 78-68 | 1411.76 | 1426.81 | 51.49% | 48.51% | +19.69 | 9-14 |
| 2021-08-26 | Dallas Wings | L 77-82 | 1431.45 | 1462.42 | 49.20% | 50.80% | -14.12 | 9-15 |
| 2021-08-28 | Dallas Wings | W 76-75 | 1417.33 | 1476.55 | 45.15% | 54.85% | +7.04 | 10-15 |
| 2021-08-31 | Connecticut Sun | L 75-85 | 1424.37 | 1715.26 | 17.82% | 82.18% | -7.23 | 10-16 |
| 2021-09-04 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 75-93 | 1417.14 | 1631.78 | 20.07% | 79.93% | -10.94 | 10-17 |
| 2021-09-07 | @ Seattle Storm | L 71-105 | 1406.20 | 1614.68 | 20.65% | 79.35% | -15.46 | 10-18 |
| 2021-09-10 | Atlanta Dream | W 82-74 | 1390.74 | 1308.80 | 64.97% | 35.03% | +12.72 | 11-18 |
| 2021-09-12 | @ Chicago Sky | W 79-71 | 1403.46 | 1570.07 | 24.88% | 75.12% | +27.28 | 12-18 |
| 2021-09-17 | @ New York Liberty | L 80-91 | 1430.74 | 1306.11 | 63.91% | 36.09% | -27.21 | 12-19 |
| 2021-09-19 | Minnesota Lynx | L 77-83 | 1403.53 | 1635.70 | 23.32% | 76.68% | -7.34 | 12-20 |
Playoff Games
Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-09-23 | Dallas Wings | W 81-64 | 1525.36 | 1446.97 | 64.51% | 35.49% | +18.79 | 1-0 |
| 2021-09-26 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 89-76 | 1544.15 | 1643.04 | 32.84% | 67.16% | +31.09 | 2-0 |
| 2021-09-28 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 101-95 | 1575.24 | 1764.56 | 22.52% | 77.48% | +24.37 | 3-0 |
| 2021-09-30 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 68-79 | 1599.61 | 1740.19 | 27.78% | 72.22% | -11.83 | 3-1 |
| 2021-10-03 | Connecticut Sun | W 86-83 | 1587.78 | 1752.02 | 31.02% | 68.98% | +15.34 | 4-1 |
| 2021-10-06 | Connecticut Sun | W 79-69 | 1603.12 | 1736.68 | 34.92% | 65.08% | +26.43 | 5-1 |
| 2021-10-10 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 91-77 | 1629.55 | 1656.96 | 42.46% | 57.54% | +27.64 | 6-1 |
| 2021-10-13 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 86-91 | 1657.19 | 1629.32 | 50.36% | 49.64% | -14.45 | 6-2 |
| 2021-10-15 | Phoenix Mercury | W 86-50 | 1642.74 | 1643.78 | 53.50% | 46.50% | +35.82 | 7-2 |
| 2021-10-17 | Phoenix Mercury | W 80-74 | 1678.56 | 1607.95 | 63.47% | 36.53% | +11.49 | 8-2 |
| 2021-09-28 | Chicago Sky | L 95-101 | 1764.56 | 1575.24 | 77.48% | 22.52% | -24.37 | 0-1 |
| 2021-09-30 | Chicago Sky | W 79-68 | 1740.19 | 1599.61 | 72.22% | 27.78% | +11.83 | 1-1 |
| 2021-10-03 | @ Chicago Sky | L 83-86 | 1752.02 | 1587.78 | 68.98% | 31.02% | -15.34 | 1-2 |
| 2021-10-06 | @ Chicago Sky | L 69-79 | 1736.68 | 1603.12 | 65.08% | 34.92% | -26.43 | 1-3 |
| 2021-09-23 | @ Chicago Sky | L 64-81 | 1446.97 | 1525.36 | 35.49% | 64.51% | -18.79 | 0-1 |
| 2021-09-28 | Phoenix Mercury | W 96-90 | 1713.95 | 1603.85 | 68.56% | 31.44% | +9.89 | 1-0 |
| 2021-09-30 | Phoenix Mercury | L 91-117 | 1723.84 | 1593.97 | 70.96% | 29.04% | -46.47 | 1-1 |
| 2021-10-03 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 60-87 | 1677.37 | 1640.43 | 51.66% | 48.34% | -34.46 | 1-2 |
| 2021-10-06 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 93-76 | 1642.91 | 1674.90 | 41.82% | 58.18% | +30.80 | 2-2 |
| 2021-10-08 | Phoenix Mercury | L 84-87 | 1673.71 | 1644.10 | 57.85% | 42.15% | -12.87 | 2-3 |
| 2021-09-26 | Chicago Sky | L 76-89 | 1643.04 | 1544.15 | 67.16% | 32.84% | -31.09 | 0-1 |
| 2021-09-23 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 82-83 | 1333.33 | 1585.97 | 16.79% | 83.21% | -2.16 | 0-1 |
| 2021-09-23 | New York Liberty | W 83-82 | 1585.97 | 1333.33 | 83.21% | 16.79% | +2.16 | 1-0 |
| 2021-09-26 | @ Seattle Storm | W 85-80 | 1588.13 | 1596.09 | 45.22% | 54.78% | +15.72 | 2-0 |
| 2021-09-28 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 90-96 | 1603.85 | 1713.95 | 31.44% | 68.56% | -9.88 | 2-1 |
| 2021-09-30 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 117-91 | 1593.97 | 1723.84 | 29.04% | 70.96% | +46.46 | 3-1 |
| 2021-10-03 | Las Vegas Aces | W 87-60 | 1640.43 | 1677.37 | 48.34% | 51.66% | +34.47 | 4-1 |
| 2021-10-06 | Las Vegas Aces | L 76-93 | 1674.90 | 1642.91 | 58.18% | 41.82% | -30.80 | 4-2 |
| 2021-10-08 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 87-84 | 1644.10 | 1673.71 | 42.15% | 57.85% | +12.86 | 5-2 |
| 2021-10-10 | Chicago Sky | L 77-91 | 1656.96 | 1629.55 | 57.54% | 42.46% | -27.64 | 5-3 |
| 2021-10-13 | Chicago Sky | W 91-86 | 1629.32 | 1657.19 | 49.64% | 50.36% | +14.46 | 6-3 |
| 2021-10-15 | @ Chicago Sky | L 50-86 | 1643.78 | 1642.74 | 46.50% | 53.50% | -35.83 | 6-4 |
| 2021-10-17 | @ Chicago Sky | L 74-80 | 1607.95 | 1678.56 | 36.53% | 63.47% | -11.49 | 6-5 |
| 2021-09-26 | Phoenix Mercury | L 80-85 | 1596.09 | 1588.13 | 54.78% | 45.22% | -15.73 | 0-1 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2021-07-03 | 10.71% | @ Indiana Fever | 1244.20 | 73 | Connecticut Sun | 1638.02 | 67 |
| 2 | 2021-08-18 | 13.09% | @ New York Liberty | 1351.67 | 83 | Seattle Storm | 1705.83 | 79 |
| 3 | 2021-06-22 | 13.97% | Washington Mystics | 1471.58 | 87 | @ Seattle Storm | 1761.93 | 83 |
| 4 | 2021-06-06 | 15.24% | Dallas Wings | 1449.13 | 68 | @ Seattle Storm | 1721.83 | 67 |
| 5 | 2021-07-07 | 16.68% | Phoenix Mercury | 1449.86 | 99 | @ Las Vegas Aces | 1703.86 | 90 |
| 6 | 2021-07-09 | 20.70% | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1481.95 | 85 | Seattle Storm | 1740.60 | 77 |
| 7 | 2021-09-12 | 20.82% | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1372.74 | 81 | Seattle Storm | 1630.14 | 53 |
| 8 | 2021-09-28 * | 22.52% | Chicago Sky | 1575.24 | 101 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1764.56 | 95 |
| 9 | 2021-09-05 | 22.75% | Atlanta Dream | 1288.69 | 69 | @ Dallas Wings | 1475.67 | 64 |
| 10 | 2021-05-23 | 23.94% | New York Liberty | 1357.08 | 93 | @ Chicago Sky | 1532.56 | 85 |
| 11 | 2021-09-12 | 24.88% | Washington Mystics | 1403.46 | 79 | @ Chicago Sky | 1570.07 | 71 |
| 12 | 2021-08-27 | 25.02% | Chicago Sky | 1514.22 | 73 | @ Seattle Storm | 1679.51 | 69 |
| 13 | 2021-08-20 | 25.24% | Indiana Fever | 1312.76 | 83 | @ Dallas Wings | 1476.00 | 81 |
| 14 | 2021-05-18 | 26.66% | Las Vegas Aces | 1567.00 | 96 | @ Seattle Storm | 1717.37 | 80 |
| 15 | 2021-08-15 | 27.13% | @ Chicago Sky | 1522.00 | 87 | Seattle Storm | 1719.06 | 85 |
| 16 | 2021-09-30 * | 29.04% | Phoenix Mercury | 1593.97 | 117 | @ Las Vegas Aces | 1723.84 | 91 |
| 17 | 2021-05-30 | 29.22% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1468.89 | 79 | Connecticut Sun | 1647.94 | 74 |
| 18 | 2021-08-29 | 29.40% | Chicago Sky | 1533.47 | 107 | @ Seattle Storm | 1660.25 | 75 |
| 19 | 2021-06-25 | 30.02% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1497.66 | 90 | Las Vegas Aces | 1670.09 | 89 |
| 20 | 2021-10-03 * | 31.02% | @ Chicago Sky | 1587.78 | 86 | Connecticut Sun | 1752.02 | 83 |
| 21 | 2021-05-18 | 31.05% | @ New York Liberty | 1354.21 | 86 | Minnesota Lynx | 1518.22 | 75 |
| 22 | 2021-07-10 | 31.12% | Washington Mystics | 1427.05 | 89 | @ Chicago Sky | 1539.69 | 85 |
| 23 | 2021-06-13 | 31.56% | New York Liberty | 1374.21 | 85 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1483.29 | 83 |
| 24 | 2021-07-09 | 32.47% | Minnesota Lynx | 1569.98 | 77 | @ Las Vegas Aces | 1671.77 | 67 |
| 25 | 2021-05-25 | 32.69% | Atlanta Dream | 1404.88 | 90 | @ Chicago Sky | 1504.94 | 83 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | |||
| 1 | 2021-09-12 | 53.80 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 81 | 1372.74 | 20.82% | Seattle Storm | 53 | 1630.14 | 79.18% |
| 2 | 2021-08-29 | 51.28 | Chicago Sky | 107 | 1533.47 | 29.40% | @ Seattle Storm | 75 | 1660.25 | 70.60% |
| 3 | 2021-09-30 * | 46.47 | Phoenix Mercury | 117 | 1593.97 | 29.04% | @ Las Vegas Aces | 91 | 1723.84 | 70.96% |
| 4 | 2021-05-14 | 41.12 | Dallas Wings | 94 | 1440.96 | 33.23% | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 71 | 1536.78 | 66.77% |
| 5 | 2021-06-26 | 39.78 | New York Liberty | 101 | 1344.67 | 35.40% | @ Atlanta Dream | 78 | 1423.78 | 64.60% |
| 6 | 2021-05-18 | 37.67 | Las Vegas Aces | 96 | 1567.00 | 26.66% | @ Seattle Storm | 80 | 1717.37 | 73.34% |
| 7 | 2021-06-13 | 36.08 | @ Atlanta Dream | 101 | 1405.82 | 41.41% | Washington Mystics | 78 | 1491.50 | 58.59% |
| 8 | 2021-10-15 * | 35.83 | @ Chicago Sky | 86 | 1642.74 | 53.50% | Phoenix Mercury | 50 | 1643.78 | 46.50% |
| 9 | 2021-10-03 * | 34.47 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 87 | 1640.43 | 48.34% | Las Vegas Aces | 60 | 1677.37 | 51.66% |
| 10 | 2021-07-03 | 34.34 | Minnesota Lynx | 99 | 1523.26 | 51.97% | @ Phoenix Mercury | 68 | 1484.19 | 48.03% |
| 11 | 2021-06-15 | 33.42 | Chicago Sky | 105 | 1444.66 | 34.94% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 89 | 1527.31 | 65.06% |
| 12 | 2021-06-11 | 32.24 | Dallas Wings | 77 | 1476.36 | 40.82% | @ Phoenix Mercury | 59 | 1515.53 | 59.18% |
| 13 | 2021-07-07 | 32.09 | Phoenix Mercury | 99 | 1449.86 | 16.68% | @ Las Vegas Aces | 90 | 1703.86 | 83.32% |
| 14 | 2021-09-26 * | 31.09 | Chicago Sky | 89 | 1544.15 | 32.84% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 76 | 1643.04 | 67.16% |
| 15 | 2021-10-06 * | 30.80 | Las Vegas Aces | 93 | 1642.91 | 41.82% | @ Phoenix Mercury | 76 | 1674.90 | 58.18% |
| 16 | 2021-07-09 | 29.75 | @ Indiana Fever | 82 | 1272.28 | 35.74% | New York Liberty | 69 | 1399.57 | 64.26% |
| 17 | 2021-06-10 | 29.57 | @ Washington Mystics | 89 | 1461.93 | 45.72% | Los Angeles Sparks | 71 | 1517.15 | 54.28% |
| 18 | 2021-05-18 | 29.37 | @ New York Liberty | 86 | 1354.21 | 31.05% | Minnesota Lynx | 75 | 1518.22 | 68.95% |
| 19 | 2021-05-23 | 28.90 | @ Indiana Fever | 89 | 1334.73 | 35.03% | Washington Mystics | 77 | 1467.40 | 64.97% |
| 20 | 2021-07-09 | 28.80 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 85 | 1481.95 | 20.70% | Seattle Storm | 77 | 1740.60 | 79.30% |
| 21 | 2021-06-19 | 28.65 | @ Dallas Wings | 95 | 1474.67 | 47.41% | Minnesota Lynx | 77 | 1518.07 | 52.59% |
| 22 | 2021-07-03 | 28.08 | @ Indiana Fever | 73 | 1244.20 | 10.71% | Connecticut Sun | 67 | 1638.02 | 89.29% |
| 23 | 2021-10-10 * | 27.64 | Chicago Sky | 91 | 1629.55 | 42.46% | @ Phoenix Mercury | 77 | 1656.96 | 57.54% |
| 24 | 2021-05-23 | 27.63 | New York Liberty | 93 | 1357.08 | 23.94% | @ Chicago Sky | 85 | 1532.56 | 76.06% |
| 25 | 2021-05-18 | 27.52 | Phoenix Mercury | 91 | 1516.23 | 53.22% | @ Washington Mystics | 70 | 1468.43 | 46.78% |