1952-53 Prva savezna liga Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Red Star Belgrade

31 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Red Star Belgrade

6.21 points above expected

31 points · 24.79 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

NK Zagreb

6.78 points below expected

14 points · 20.78 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Red Star Belgrade	22	13	5	4	31	47	27	+20	24.79	+6.21
2	Hajduk Split	22	11	7	4	29	49	35	+14	25.71	+3.29
3	Partizan	22	11	3	8	25	58	36	+22	26.11	-1.11
4	Vojvodina	22	10	4	8	24	37	36	+1	19.74	+4.26
5	BSK Beograd	22	9	5	8	23	34	37	-3	24.92	-1.92
6	Sarajevo	22	9	4	9	22	39	33	+6	19.75	+2.25
7	Dinamo Zagreb	22	8	6	8	22	32	30	+2	22.88	-0.88
8	Lokomotiva Zagreb	22	6	9	7	21	33	40	-7	22.82	-1.82
9	Vardar	22	7	5	10	19	37	46	-9	19.65	-0.65
10	Spartak Subotica	22	8	3	11	19	33	44	-11	16.83	+2.17
11	Velez Mostar	22	6	3	13	15	30	51	-21	20.02	-5.02
12	NK Zagreb	22	5	4	13	14	23	37	-14	20.78	-6.78

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Red Star Belgrade	31	24.79	+6.21
2	Vojvodina	24	19.74	+4.26
3	Hajduk Split	29	25.71	+3.29
4	Sarajevo	22	19.75	+2.25
5	Spartak Subotica	19	16.83	+2.17

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	NK Zagreb	14	20.78	-6.78
2	Velez Mostar	15	20.02	-5.02
3	BSK Beograd	23	24.92	-1.92
4	Lokomotiva Zagreb	21	22.82	-1.82
5	Partizan	25	26.11	-1.11

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Red Star Belgrade	5	Apr 26 – Jun 21	1 in 54
2	Lokomotiva Zagreb	3	Mar 15 – Mar 29	1 in 52
3	Partizan	6	Aug 31 – Oct 26	1 in 31
4	Spartak Subotica	2	Sep 28 – Oct 12	1 in 29
5	Sarajevo	3	Nov 9 – Nov 23	1 in 23

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Vardar	5	Nov 16 – Mar 8	1 in 344
2	Partizan	3	May 31 – Jun 21	1 in 90
3	BSK Beograd	4	Apr 26 – Jun 14	1 in 86
4	Velez Mostar	4	Aug 31 – Oct 12	1 in 39
5	NK Zagreb	5	Mar 15 – Apr 19	1 in 33

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Spartak Subotica	5	Sep 28 – Nov 9	1 in 48
2	Red Star Belgrade	7	Apr 16 – Jun 21	1 in 28
3	Lokomotiva Zagreb	6	Dec 7 – Mar 29	1 in 24
4	Hajduk Split	8	Sep 14 – Nov 23	1 in 19
5	Sarajevo	4	Nov 9 – Dec 7	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lokomotiva Zagreb	8	Sep 14 – Nov 23	1 in 47
2	Vardar	9	Oct 19 – Mar 15	1 in 46
3	NK Zagreb	11	Mar 8 – Jun 21	1 in 44
4	Dinamo Zagreb	5	Aug 31 – Oct 19	1 in 19
5	Velez Mostar	6	Aug 31 – Oct 26	1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Red Star Belgrade	1937	31	+42	10	6.3	+3.7
Hajduk Split	1935	29	+8	7	5.3	+1.7
Partizan	1907	25	-6	4	6.4	-2.4
Vojvodina	1819	24	+12	7	5.2	+1.8
BSK Beograd	1839	23	-34	2	5.3	-3.3
Dinamo Zagreb	1851	22	+16	7	6.5	+0.5
Sarajevo	1813	22	+4	5	4.3	+0.7
Lokomotiva Zagreb	1834	21	-2	5	5.5	-0.5
Vardar	1766	19	+17	7	5.1	+1.9
Spartak Subotica	1685	19	-21	2	3.4	-1.4
Velez Mostar	1739	15	-8	5	4.0	+1.0
NK Zagreb	1748	14	-18	1	4.0	-3.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BB	DZ	HS	LZ	NZ	PAR	RSB	SAR	SS	VAR	VM	VOJ
BSK Beograd	—	1-1-0 2.86	2-0-0 2.52	0-1-1 3.01	1-0-1 3.21	1-0-1 2.55	0-0-2 2.57	2-0-0 4.26	1-0-1 3.65	0-1-1 3.36	0-1-1 3.34	1-1-0 3.25
Dinamo Zagreb	0-1-1 2.69	—	1-0-1 2.31	1-1-0 2.88	1-1-0 3.08	0-0-2 2.56	1-0-1 2.57	0-1-1 3.10	1-1-0 3.62	1-1-0 3.26	1-0-1 3.29	1-0-1 2.99
Hajduk Split	0-0-2 3.04	1-0-1 3.24	—	0-2-0 3.30	1-0-1 3.57	2-0-0 2.77	1-1-0 2.84	0-2-0 3.47	1-1-0 3.88	1-1-0 3.55	2-0-0 3.48	2-0-0 3.41
Lokomotiva Zagreb	1-1-0 2.55	0-1-1 2.66	0-2-0 2.25	—	1-1-0 2.87	1-0-1 2.39	0-1-1 2.50	1-0-1 3.04	1-0-1 3.55	1-1-0 3.08	0-1-1 3.19	0-1-1 2.92
NK Zagreb	1-0-1 2.34	0-1-1 2.47	1-0-1 2.00	0-1-1 2.67	—	0-0-2 2.22	1-0-1 2.24	0-0-2 2.70	0-1-1 3.27	1-0-1 2.93	0-1-1 2.92	1-0-1 3.94
Partizan	1-0-1 3.00	2-0-0 2.99	0-0-2 2.78	1-0-1 3.16	2-0-0 3.34	—	0-1-1 2.97	0-1-1 3.37	1-0-1 4.01	1-0-1 3.67	2-0-0 3.63	1-1-0 3.36
Red Star Belgrade	2-0-0 2.98	1-0-1 2.98	0-1-1 2.71	1-1-0 3.05	1-0-1 3.32	1-1-0 2.58	—	2-0-0 3.24	2-0-0 3.92	0-1-1 3.44	2-0-0 3.30	1-1-0 3.24
Sarajevo	0-0-2 1.29	1-1-0 2.45	0-2-0 2.08	1-0-1 2.51	2-0-0 2.86	1-1-0 2.19	0-0-2 2.32	—	1-0-1 3.37	1-0-1 2.90	2-0-0 2.88	0-0-2 2.80
Spartak Subotica	1-0-1 1.92	0-1-1 1.94	0-1-1 1.71	1-0-1 2.02	1-1-0 2.29	1-0-1 1.57	0-0-2 1.65	1-0-1 2.19	—	1-0-1 2.46	1-0-1 2.50	1-0-1 2.24
Vardar	1-1-0 2.19	0-1-1 2.29	0-1-1 2.02	0-1-1 2.47	1-0-1 2.62	1-0-1 1.89	1-1-0 2.12	1-0-1 2.65	1-0-1 3.09	—	1-0-1 2.82	0-0-2 2.66
Velez Mostar	1-1-0 2.22	1-0-1 2.26	0-0-2 2.08	1-1-0 2.37	1-1-0 2.62	0-0-2 1.93	0-0-2 2.26	0-0-2 2.66	1-0-1 3.04	1-0-1 2.73	—	0-0-2 2.63
Vojvodina	0-1-1 2.30	1-0-1 2.56	0-0-2 2.15	1-1-0 2.62	1-0-1 1.61	0-1-1 2.20	0-1-1 2.32	2-0-0 2.75	1-0-1 3.31	2-0-0 2.89	2-0-0 2.91	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.62	+4.1
Allowed	0.48	-5.2
Differential	0.80	+3.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.30%	6.44%	5.30%	2.27%	1.89%	—	21.21%
1	6.44%	12.12%	6.06%	4.92%	1.52%	2.65%	33.71%
2	5.30%	6.06%	3.03%	1.52%	2.65%	1.52%	20.08%
3	2.27%	4.92%	1.52%	0.76%	0.76%	1.52%	11.74%
4	1.89%	1.52%	2.65%	0.76%	0.76%	—	7.58%
5+	—	2.65%	1.52%	1.52%	—	—	5.68%
Total	21.21%	33.71%	20.08%	11.74%	7.58%	5.68%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.71	1.71	+0.00
SD	1.53	1.53	2.11
CV	0.89	0.89	—
Max	9	9	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	13.64%	—	—	—	18.18%
1	13.64%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	45.45%
2	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
3	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
4	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	22.73%	27.27%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	1.68	-0.14
SD	1.26	1.55	1.78
CV	0.82	0.92	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	31.82%
1	9.09%	18.18%	—	9.09%	—	—	36.36%
2	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	27.27%	36.36%	9.09%	27.27%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.36	+0.09
SD	1.57	1.18	1.97
CV	1.08	0.86	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
1	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
2	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	31.82%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
5+	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
Total	22.73%	31.82%	27.27%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.23	1.59	+0.64
SD	1.80	1.40	2.01
CV	0.81	0.88	—
Max	6	5	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
1	4.55%	27.27%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	45.45%
2	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	36.36%
3	—	—	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	40.91%	13.64%	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.82	-0.32
SD	0.91	1.74	1.64
CV	0.61	0.95	—
Max	4	7	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	13.64%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	40.91%
1	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
2	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	22.73%	31.82%	18.18%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.05	1.68	-0.64
SD	1.09	1.43	1.65
CV	1.04	0.85	—
Max	3	6	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
1	4.55%	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
2	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	13.64%	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	18.18%	31.82%	31.82%	4.55%	13.64%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.64	1.64	+1.00
SD	2.08	1.26	2.54
CV	0.79	0.77	—
Max	9	4	+7
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
1	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	40.91%
2	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
3	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
Total	27.27%	40.91%	18.18%	9.09%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.14	1.23	+0.91
SD	1.55	1.11	1.80
CV	0.73	0.90	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	22.73%
1	—	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	22.73%
2	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	36.36%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	22.73%	36.36%	22.73%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.77	1.50	+0.27
SD	1.69	1.34	2.07
CV	0.95	0.89	—
Max	7	5	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
1	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	31.82%
2	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	22.73%
3	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	31.82%	9.09%	13.64%	9.09%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	2.00	-0.50
SD	1.19	1.85	2.35
CV	0.79	0.93	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
1	—	13.64%	4.55%	18.18%	—	4.55%	40.91%
2	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
3	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	4.55%	45.45%	22.73%	18.18%	—	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	2.09	-0.41
SD	1.49	1.90	2.42
CV	0.89	0.91	—
Max	5	9	+4
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	18.18%	—	40.91%
1	—	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
2	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
3	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	9.09%	22.73%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	22.73%	18.18%	4.55%	22.73%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	2.32	-0.95
SD	1.36	1.78	2.17
CV	1.00	0.77	—
Max	4	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
1	18.18%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	50.00%
2	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	13.64%
Total	22.73%	40.91%	9.09%	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	1.64	+0.05
SD	1.64	1.59	2.19
CV	0.98	0.97	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Red Star Belgrade	1937	31	24.79	+6.21	96.0%	16	19	23	25	27	31	34
Hajduk Split	1935	29	25.71	+3.29	84.0%	17	20	23	26	28	33	37
Partizan	1907	25	26.11	-1.11	40.0%	15	19	24	26	29	31	34
Dinamo Zagreb	1851	22	22.88	-0.88	44.0%	13	16	21	23	25	28	30
BSK Beograd	1839	23	24.92	-1.92	32.0%	16	20	23	25	27	30	33
Lokomotiva Zagreb	1834	21	22.82	-1.82	37.0%	12	15	20	23	26	29	32
Vojvodina	1819	24	19.74	+4.26	93.0%	11	15	17	20	21	26	29
Sarajevo	1813	22	19.75	+2.25	80.0%	12	14	17	20	22	25	31
Vardar	1766	19	19.65	-0.65	48.0%	10	14	18	20	22	25	27
NK Zagreb	1748	14	20.78	-6.78	6.0%	11	14	19	21	23	26	32
Velez Mostar	1739	15	20.02	-5.02	14.0%	12	14	17	20	23	26	30
Spartak Subotica	1685	19	16.83	+2.17	81.0%	6	10	15	17	19	22	27

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 33.5% * Slight Edge: 33.5% to 40% * Clear Edge: 40% to 45.5% * Strong Edge: 45.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+34.09%

Slight Edge

56.06%21.97%21.97%

Elo Value

Home Edge

154 Elo

0.007 goals per Elo point

0123.38400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.92 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.80+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 4 * Top-Heavy: 4 to 5 * Open: 5 to 7 * Wide Open: 7 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.09 * Comfortable: 0.09 to 0.17 * Runaway: 0.17 and up.

Title-Race Openness

5.5

Open

145710

Champion Preseason Odds

18%

Red Star Belgrade, 3rd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.09/gm

Comfortable

00.100.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.87 * Some Luck: 2.87 to 4.31 * Lucky: 4.31 to 5.75 * Wild Swing: 5.75 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.87 * Close: 1.87 to 2.8 * Off: 2.8 to 3.74 * Way Off: 3.74 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

3.63 points

Some Luck

03.599

Average Finish Error

Expected

2.67

02.345

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

96.00%

Red Star Belgrade

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

6.00%

NK Zagreb

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.09 * Even: 0.09 to 0.11 * Top-Heavy: 0.11 to 0.16 * Lopsided: 0.16 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.15 * Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.35 * Strong Separation: 1.35 to 1.65 * Wide Separation: 1.65 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61% * Slight Edge: 61% to 63.5% * Clear Edge: 63.5% to 67% * Wide Edge: 67% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82% * Clear Edge: 82% to 86.5% * Strong Edge: 86.5% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56% * Some Drama: 56% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 64% * Very Frequent: 64% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 20.5% * Very Frequent: 20.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.12

Top-Heavy

00.090.160.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 79.08

1.21

Moderate Separation

0.91.151.351.652.5

Interquartile Edge

64%

Clear Edge

50%61%67%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

81%

Even

50%83%100%

Close Games

Expected

52%

Few

0%52%100%

Blowouts

Expected

20%

Frequent

0%24%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.54 * Slight Separation: 0.54 to 0.62 * Notable Separation: 0.62 to 0.69 * Lopsided: 0.69 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 13.5% * As Expected: 13.5% to 15.5% * Upset-Prone: 15.5% to 20% * Very Upset-Prone: 20% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Shaky: 18.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.58

Predictable

00.552

Matchup Imbalance

0.54

Very Even

00.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.00

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.69

Strong Carryover

00.470.61

Upset Rate

Expected

22%

Very Upset-Prone

0%18%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

21%

Very Shaky

0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.

Probability calibration

0.76

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.79

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.057

Well Within Noise

00.1140.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Red Star Belgrade	18.00%	17.00%	17.00%	9.00%	12.00%	8.00%	5.00%	4.00%	7.00%	1.00%	—	2.00%
Hajduk Split	23.00%	16.00%	15.00%	15.00%	11.00%	4.00%	5.00%	6.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—
Partizan	26.00%	24.00%	18.00%	11.00%	9.00%	3.00%	3.00%	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—
Vojvodina	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	5.00%	11.00%	12.00%	10.00%	11.00%	22.00%	14.00%	7.00%
BSK Beograd	14.00%	16.00%	10.00%	17.00%	19.00%	9.00%	4.00%	8.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%
Sarajevo	2.00%	3.00%	1.00%	7.00%	4.00%	13.00%	8.00%	13.00%	11.00%	9.00%	21.00%	8.00%
Dinamo Zagreb	3.00%	11.00%	12.00%	16.00%	10.00%	11.00%	11.00%	9.00%	6.00%	3.00%	5.00%	3.00%
Lokomotiva Zagreb	8.00%	6.00%	13.00%	9.00%	7.00%	10.00%	15.00%	8.00%	5.00%	8.00%	6.00%	5.00%
Vardar	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	9.00%	6.00%	12.00%	16.00%	12.00%	14.00%	17.00%	9.00%
Spartak Subotica	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	4.00%	6.00%	7.00%	7.00%	15.00%	21.00%	37.00%
Velez Mostar	1.00%	1.00%	5.00%	7.00%	6.00%	8.00%	8.00%	9.00%	16.00%	16.00%	7.00%	16.00%
NK Zagreb	2.00%	3.00%	3.00%	6.00%	7.00%	13.00%	11.00%	9.00%	18.00%	10.00%	6.00%	12.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Hajduk Split	99.00%	1.00%
Partizan	99.00%	1.00%
BSK Beograd	98.00%	2.00%
Red Star Belgrade	98.00%	2.00%
Dinamo Zagreb	92.00%	8.00%
Lokomotiva Zagreb	89.00%	11.00%
NK Zagreb	82.00%	18.00%
Vojvodina	79.00%	21.00%
Velez Mostar	77.00%	23.00%
Vardar	74.00%	26.00%
Sarajevo	71.00%	29.00%
Spartak Subotica	42.00%	58.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1952-08-31	Vardar	D 1-1	73.3	1860	1777	67.43%	21.58%	10.99%	+1.34	-2.2	1
1952-08-31	@ Dinamo Zagreb	D 1-1	73.3	1777	1860	10.99%	21.58%	67.43%	-1.34	+2.2	1
1952-08-31	Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 0-2	64.2	1815	1835	59.00%	22.84%	18.16%	+0.67	-18.0	0
1952-08-31	@ NK Zagreb	W 2-0	64.2	1835	1815	18.16%	22.84%	59.00%	-0.67	+18.0	2
1952-08-31	Hajduk Split	W 4-2	61.0	1874	1914	56.99%	23.00%	20.01%	+0.54	+5.7	2
1952-08-31	@ BSK Beograd	L 2-4	61.0	1914	1874	20.01%	23.00%	56.99%	-0.54	-5.7	0
1952-08-31	Vojvodina	W 4-0	45.1	1881	1790	68.01%	21.45%	10.54%	+1.40	+7.7	2
1952-08-31	@ Partizan	L 0-4	45.1	1790	1881	10.54%	21.45%	68.01%	-1.40	-7.7	0
1952-08-31	Sarajevo	W 3-1	59.2	1660	1782	47.79%	23.30%	28.91%	+0.01	+8.6	2
1952-08-31	@ Spartak Subotica	L 1-3	59.2	1782	1660	28.91%	23.30%	47.79%	-0.01	-8.6	0
1952-08-31	Red Star Belgrade	L 0-1	65.9	1801	1885	52.33%	23.22%	24.45%	+0.26	-8.5	0
1952-08-31	@ Velez Mostar	W 1-0	65.9	1885	1801	24.45%	23.22%	52.33%	-0.26	+8.5	2
1952-09-14	NK Zagreb	D 0-0	69.9	1858	1797	65.81%	21.92%	12.27%	+1.20	-2.3	2
1952-09-14	@ Dinamo Zagreb	D 0-0	69.9	1797	1858	12.27%	21.92%	65.81%	-1.20	+2.3	1
1952-09-14	Spartak Subotica	W 3-1	51.0	1909	1669	76.36%	18.56%	5.08%	+2.36	+1.7	2
1952-09-14	@ Hajduk Split	L 1-3	51.0	1669	1909	5.08%	18.56%	76.36%	-2.36	-1.6	2
1952-09-14	Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 3-0	47.7	1889	1853	63.89%	22.25%	13.86%	+1.03	+7.6	4
1952-09-14	@ Partizan	L 0-3	47.7	1853	1889	13.86%	22.25%	63.89%	-1.03	-7.6	2
1952-09-14	Velez Mostar	W 2-0	51.8	1773	1793	59.07%	22.83%	18.09%	+0.68	+6.7	2
1952-09-14	@ Sarajevo	L 0-2	51.8	1793	1773	18.09%	22.83%	59.07%	-0.68	-6.7	0
1952-09-14	Red Star Belgrade	W 3-1	59.5	1779	1893	48.69%	23.30%	28.02%	+0.06	+8.3	3
1952-09-14	@ Vardar	L 1-3	59.5	1893	1779	28.02%	23.30%	48.69%	-0.06	-8.3	2
1952-09-14	BSK Beograd	D 1-1	72.8	1782	1879	50.72%	23.27%	26.01%	+0.17	-0.9	1
1952-09-14	@ Vojvodina	D 1-1	72.8	1879	1782	26.01%	23.27%	50.72%	-0.17	+0.9	3
1952-09-27	Sarajevo	W 2-1	56.6	1885	1780	68.92%	21.23%	9.85%	+1.49	+1.9	4
1952-09-27	@ Red Star Belgrade	L 1-2	56.6	1780	1885	9.85%	21.23%	68.92%	-1.49	-1.9	2
1952-09-28	BSK Beograd	D 1-1	73.0	1846	1880	57.58%	22.96%	19.46%	+0.58	-1.4	3
1952-09-28	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 1-1	73.0	1880	1846	19.46%	22.96%	57.58%	-0.58	+1.4	4
1952-09-28	Vardar	W 3-1	55.4	1799	1787	61.92%	22.53%	15.55%	+0.88	+5.1	3
1952-09-28	@ NK Zagreb	L 1-3	55.4	1787	1799	15.55%	22.53%	61.92%	-0.88	-5.1	3
1952-09-28	Dinamo Zagreb	W 3-2	62.5	1896	1855	64.33%	22.18%	13.49%	+1.07	+2.4	6
1952-09-28	@ Partizan	L 2-3	62.5	1855	1896	13.49%	22.18%	64.33%	-1.07	-2.4	2
1952-09-28	Vojvodina	W 1-0	58.1	1667	1781	48.75%	23.30%	27.96%	+0.06	+5.1	4
1952-09-28	@ Spartak Subotica	L 0-1	58.1	1781	1667	27.96%	23.30%	48.75%	-0.06	-5.1	1
1952-09-28	Hajduk Split	L 1-2	68.6	1786	1910	47.41%	23.30%	29.28%	-0.01	-7.3	0
1952-09-28	@ Velez Mostar	W 2-1	68.6	1910	1786	29.28%	23.30%	47.41%	+0.01	+7.3	4
1952-10-12	Red Star Belgrade	D 2-2	77.6	1918	1887	63.50%	22.31%	14.19%	+1.00	-1.4	5
1952-10-12	@ Hajduk Split	D 2-2	77.6	1887	1918	14.19%	22.31%	63.50%	-1.00	+1.4	5
1952-10-12	Spartak Subotica	L 1-2	74.9	1844	1672	72.91%	20.00%	7.10%	+1.92	-11.0	3
1952-10-12	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 2-1	74.9	1672	1844	7.10%	20.00%	72.91%	-1.92	+11.0	6
1952-10-12	Partizan	L 0-1	65.6	1804	1899	51.09%	23.26%	25.65%	+0.19	-8.3	3
1952-10-12	@ NK Zagreb	W 1-0	65.6	1899	1804	25.65%	23.26%	51.09%	-0.19	+8.3	8
1952-10-12	Dinamo Zagreb	W 1-0	54.3	1882	1853	63.34%	22.33%	14.33%	+0.99	+2.9	6
1952-10-12	@ BSK Beograd	L 0-1	54.3	1853	1882	14.33%	22.33%	63.34%	-0.99	-2.9	2
1952-10-12	Sarajevo	W 4-2	59.5	1782	1778	61.26%	22.61%	16.14%	+0.83	+4.7	5
1952-10-12	@ Vardar	L 2-4	59.5	1778	1782	16.14%	22.61%	61.26%	-0.83	-4.7	2
1952-10-12	Velez Mostar	W 5-3	62.2	1776	1779	60.63%	22.68%	16.70%	+0.79	+4.6	3
1952-10-12	@ Vojvodina	L 3-5	62.2	1779	1776	16.70%	22.68%	60.63%	-0.79	-4.6	0
1952-10-19	BSK Beograd	W 2-0	54.1	1796	1885	51.79%	23.24%	24.97%	+0.23	+8.8	5
1952-10-19	@ NK Zagreb	L 0-2	54.1	1885	1796	24.97%	23.24%	51.79%	-0.23	-8.8	6
1952-10-19	Vardar	W 9-2	48.8	1907	1787	69.88%	20.97%	9.15%	+1.58	+7.7	10
1952-10-19	@ Partizan	L 2-9	48.8	1787	1907	9.15%	20.97%	69.88%	-1.58	-7.7	5
1952-10-19	Vojvodina	D 1-1	73.5	1888	1780	69.10%	21.18%	9.72%	+1.50	-2.4	6
1952-10-19	@ Red Star Belgrade	D 1-1	73.5	1780	1888	9.72%	21.18%	69.10%	-1.50	+2.3	4
1952-10-19	Hajduk Split	D 0-0	69.5	1773	1916	45.02%	23.29%	31.68%	-0.13	-0.5	3
1952-10-19	@ Sarajevo	D 0-0	69.5	1916	1773	31.68%	23.29%	45.02%	+0.13	+0.5	6
1952-10-19	Dinamo Zagreb	D 1-1	72.6	1683	1850	41.84%	23.24%	34.92%	-0.28	-0.2	7
1952-10-19	@ Spartak Subotica	D 1-1	72.6	1850	1683	34.92%	23.24%	41.84%	+0.28	+0.2	3
1952-10-19	Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 0-0	69.4	1774	1833	55.05%	23.11%	21.83%	+0.42	-1.4	1
1952-10-19	@ Velez Mostar	D 0-0	69.4	1833	1774	21.83%	23.11%	55.05%	-0.42	+1.4	4
1952-10-26	Velez Mostar	W 4-0	45.4	1850	1773	67.05%	21.67%	11.29%	+1.31	+8.2	5
1952-10-26	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-4	45.4	1773	1850	11.29%	21.67%	67.05%	-1.31	-8.2	1
1952-10-26	Spartak Subotica	D 1-1	73.2	1805	1683	69.99%	20.94%	9.07%	+1.60	-2.4	6
1952-10-26	@ NK Zagreb	D 1-1	73.2	1683	1805	9.07%	20.94%	69.99%	-1.60	+2.4	8
1952-10-26	BSK Beograd	W 5-1	50.3	1915	1876	64.16%	22.21%	13.63%	+1.06	+8.2	12
1952-10-26	@ Partizan	L 1-5	50.3	1876	1915	13.63%	22.21%	64.16%	-1.06	-8.2	6
1952-10-26	Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 3-2	62.2	1886	1834	65.13%	22.04%	12.83%	+1.14	+2.3	8
1952-10-26	@ Red Star Belgrade	L 2-3	62.2	1834	1886	12.83%	22.04%	65.13%	-1.14	-2.3	4
1952-10-26	Hajduk Split	D 2-2	77.3	1779	1917	45.75%	23.30%	30.95%	-0.09	-0.4	6
1952-10-26	@ Vardar	D 2-2	77.3	1917	1779	30.95%	23.30%	45.75%	+0.09	+0.4	7
1952-10-26	Sarajevo	W 5-1	50.8	1783	1773	61.75%	22.55%	15.70%	+0.87	+9.3	6
1952-10-26	@ Vojvodina	L 1-5	50.8	1773	1783	15.70%	22.55%	61.75%	-0.87	-9.3	3
1952-11-09	Red Star Belgrade	W 2-1	60.0	1858	1888	58.06%	22.92%	19.02%	+0.61	+3.5	7
1952-11-09	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-2	60.0	1888	1858	19.02%	22.92%	58.06%	-0.61	-3.5	8
1952-11-09	Vojvodina	W 6-1	47.8	1917	1792	70.18%	20.88%	8.93%	+1.62	+6.7	9
1952-11-09	@ Hajduk Split	L 1-6	47.8	1792	1917	8.93%	20.88%	70.18%	-1.62	-6.7	6
1952-11-09	Vardar	D 1-1	73.4	1868	1779	67.82%	21.50%	10.69%	+1.38	-2.2	7
1952-11-09	@ BSK Beograd	D 1-1	73.4	1779	1868	10.69%	21.50%	67.82%	-1.38	+2.2	7
1952-11-09	Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 7-2	54.3	1763	1832	54.01%	23.16%	22.83%	+0.36	+13.2	5
1952-11-09	@ Sarajevo	L 2-7	54.3	1832	1763	22.83%	23.16%	54.01%	-0.36	-13.2	4
1952-11-09	Partizan	W 2-1	67.6	1685	1923	32.16%	22.81%	45.03%	-0.74	+7.0	10
1952-11-09	@ Spartak Subotica	L 1-2	67.6	1923	1685	45.03%	22.81%	32.16%	+0.74	-7.0	12
1952-11-09	NK Zagreb	W 2-0	52.3	1764	1802	57.24%	22.98%	19.78%	+0.55	+7.2	3
1952-11-09	@ Velez Mostar	L 0-2	52.3	1802	1764	19.78%	22.98%	57.24%	-0.55	-7.2	6
1952-11-16	Hajduk Split	D 4-4	83.8	1819	1924	49.84%	23.28%	26.88%	+0.12	-0.5	5
1952-11-16	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 4-4	83.8	1924	1819	26.88%	23.28%	49.84%	-0.12	+0.5	10
1952-11-16	Red Star Belgrade	W 1-0	57.8	1795	1885	51.67%	23.24%	25.09%	+0.22	+4.7	8
1952-11-16	@ NK Zagreb	L 0-1	57.8	1885	1795	25.09%	23.24%	51.67%	-0.22	-4.7	8
1952-11-16	Spartak Subotica	W 4-3	62.9	1865	1692	72.97%	19.98%	7.06%	+1.93	+1.2	9
1952-11-16	@ BSK Beograd	L 3-4	62.9	1692	1865	7.06%	19.98%	72.97%	-1.93	-1.2	10
1952-11-16	Velez Mostar	W 4-1	49.8	1916	1772	71.35%	20.53%	8.12%	+1.74	+3.8	14
1952-11-16	@ Partizan	L 1-4	49.8	1772	1916	8.12%	20.53%	71.35%	-1.74	-3.8	3
1952-11-16	Dinamo Zagreb	W 3-0	51.2	1777	1862	52.16%	23.23%	24.61%	+0.25	+12.6	7
1952-11-16	@ Sarajevo	L 0-3	51.2	1862	1777	24.61%	23.23%	52.16%	-0.25	-12.6	7
1952-11-16	Vojvodina	L 0-1	68.1	1781	1785	60.48%	22.69%	16.82%	+0.78	-9.8	7
1952-11-16	@ Vardar	W 1-0	68.1	1785	1781	16.82%	22.69%	60.48%	-0.78	+9.8	8
1952-11-23	Dinamo Zagreb	W 2-0	49.7	1924	1849	66.87%	21.71%	11.43%	+1.29	+4.4	12
1952-11-23	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-2	49.7	1849	1924	11.43%	21.71%	66.87%	-1.29	-4.4	7
1952-11-23	Sarajevo	L 0-2	64.8	1800	1789	61.81%	22.54%	15.65%	+0.87	-18.8	8
1952-11-23	@ NK Zagreb	W 2-0	64.8	1789	1800	15.65%	22.54%	61.81%	-0.87	+18.8	9
1952-11-23	Partizan	D 1-1	73.0	1880	1920	57.07%	22.99%	19.94%	+0.54	-1.4	9
1952-11-23	@ Red Star Belgrade	D 1-1	73.0	1920	1880	19.94%	22.99%	57.07%	-0.54	+1.4	15
1952-11-23	Vardar	W 3-1	57.8	1691	1771	52.72%	23.21%	24.06%	+0.28	+7.4	12
1952-11-23	@ Spartak Subotica	L 1-3	57.8	1771	1691	24.06%	23.21%	52.72%	-0.28	-7.4	7
1952-11-23	BSK Beograd	D 0-0	69.4	1768	1867	50.57%	23.27%	26.16%	+0.16	-1.0	4
1952-11-23	@ Velez Mostar	D 0-0	69.4	1867	1768	26.16%	23.27%	50.57%	-0.16	+1.0	10
1952-11-23	Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 4-1	53.5	1795	1818	58.70%	22.87%	18.43%	+0.65	+8.3	10
1952-11-23	@ Vojvodina	L 1-4	53.5	1818	1795	18.43%	22.87%	58.70%	-0.65	-8.3	5
1952-12-07	Vojvodina	W 4-2	58.7	1845	1804	64.34%	22.18%	13.48%	+1.07	+4.0	9
1952-12-07	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 2-4	58.7	1804	1845	13.48%	22.18%	64.34%	-1.07	-4.0	10
1952-12-07	Hajduk Split	W 2-0	56.4	1781	1929	44.43%	23.29%	32.28%	-0.16	+10.8	10
1952-12-07	@ NK Zagreb	L 0-2	56.4	1929	1781	32.28%	23.29%	44.43%	+0.16	-10.8	12
1952-12-07	Red Star Belgrade	L 3-5	75.4	1868	1879	59.85%	22.76%	17.39%	+0.73	-13.3	10
1952-12-07	@ BSK Beograd	W 5-3	75.4	1879	1868	17.39%	22.76%	59.85%	-0.73	+13.3	11
1952-12-07	Sarajevo	D 2-2	78.0	1921	1808	69.44%	21.09%	9.47%	+1.54	-1.8	16
1952-12-07	@ Partizan	D 2-2	78.0	1808	1921	9.47%	21.09%	69.44%	-1.54	+1.8	10
1952-12-07	Velez Mostar	W 4-0	48.9	1699	1767	54.07%	23.16%	22.77%	+0.36	+15.5	14
1952-12-07	@ Spartak Subotica	L 0-4	48.9	1767	1699	22.77%	23.16%	54.07%	-0.36	-15.5	4
1952-12-07	Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 1-2	71.0	1764	1810	56.43%	23.03%	20.54%	+0.50	-8.6	7
1952-12-07	@ Vardar	W 2-1	71.0	1810	1764	20.54%	23.03%	56.43%	-0.50	+8.6	7
1952-12-14	Partizan	W 4-2	59.9	1918	1919	60.72%	22.67%	16.61%	+0.79	+4.8	14
1952-12-14	@ Hajduk Split	L 2-4	59.9	1919	1918	16.61%	22.67%	60.72%	-0.79	-4.8	16
1952-12-14	Dinamo Zagreb	D 1-1	73.0	1819	1849	58.04%	22.92%	19.04%	+0.61	-1.5	8
1952-12-14	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 1-1	73.0	1849	1819	19.04%	22.92%	58.04%	-0.61	+1.5	10
1952-12-14	Vojvodina	W 2-0	51.5	1792	1800	60.18%	22.73%	17.10%	+0.75	+6.4	12
1952-12-14	@ NK Zagreb	L 0-2	51.5	1800	1792	17.10%	22.73%	60.18%	-0.75	-6.4	10
1952-12-14	Sarajevo	W 3-2	62.3	1854	1810	64.58%	22.14%	13.28%	+1.09	+2.4	12
1952-12-14	@ BSK Beograd	L 2-3	62.3	1810	1854	13.28%	22.14%	64.58%	-1.09	-2.4	10
1952-12-14	Spartak Subotica	W 5-1	47.4	1892	1714	73.24%	19.87%	6.88%	+1.96	+4.2	13
1952-12-14	@ Red Star Belgrade	L 1-5	47.4	1714	1892	6.88%	19.87%	73.24%	-1.96	-4.2	14
1952-12-14	Vardar	W 3-1	55.6	1751	1755	60.49%	22.69%	16.81%	+0.78	+5.4	6
1952-12-14	@ Velez Mostar	L 1-3	55.6	1755	1751	16.81%	22.69%	60.49%	-0.78	-5.4	7
1953-03-08	BSK Beograd	L 0-2	66.1	1923	1857	66.22%	21.84%	11.94%	+1.23	-20.1	14
1953-03-08	@ Hajduk Split	W 2-0	66.1	1857	1923	11.94%	21.84%	66.22%	-1.23	+20.1	14
1953-03-08	NK Zagreb	D 2-2	77.4	1817	1798	62.52%	22.45%	15.03%	+0.93	-1.4	9
1953-03-08	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 2-2	77.4	1798	1817	15.03%	22.45%	62.52%	-0.93	+1.4	13
1953-03-08	Velez Mostar	W 4-0	44.2	1896	1757	71.05%	20.62%	8.32%	+1.71	+6.1	15
1953-03-08	@ Red Star Belgrade	L 0-4	44.2	1757	1896	8.32%	20.62%	71.05%	-1.71	-6.1	6
1953-03-08	Spartak Subotica	W 3-2	60.9	1807	1710	68.42%	21.35%	10.23%	+1.44	+1.9	12
1953-03-08	@ Sarajevo	L 2-3	60.9	1710	1807	10.23%	21.35%	68.42%	-1.44	-1.9	14
1953-03-08	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	65.3	1750	1850	50.39%	23.27%	26.34%	+0.15	-8.2	7
1953-03-08	@ Vardar	W 1-0	65.3	1850	1750	26.34%	23.27%	50.39%	-0.15	+8.2	12
1953-03-08	Partizan	D 1-1	72.9	1793	1915	47.79%	23.30%	28.91%	+0.01	-0.7	11
1953-03-08	@ Vojvodina	D 1-1	72.9	1915	1793	28.91%	23.30%	47.79%	-0.01	+0.7	17
1953-03-15	Partizan	W 2-1	62.2	1816	1915	50.50%	23.27%	26.23%	+0.16	+4.6	11
1953-03-15	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 1-2	62.2	1915	1816	26.23%	23.27%	50.50%	-0.16	-4.6	17
1953-03-15	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	66.7	1800	1858	55.09%	23.11%	21.80%	+0.42	-8.9	13
1953-03-15	@ NK Zagreb	W 1-0	66.7	1858	1800	21.80%	23.11%	55.09%	-0.42	+8.9	14
1953-03-15	Vojvodina	W 3-1	53.8	1877	1793	67.51%	21.57%	10.92%	+1.35	+3.6	16
1953-03-15	@ BSK Beograd	L 1-3	53.8	1793	1877	10.92%	21.57%	67.51%	-1.35	-3.6	11
1953-03-15	Vardar	D 0-0	70.4	1902	1742	72.27%	20.22%	7.51%	+1.85	-2.9	16
1953-03-15	@ Red Star Belgrade	D 0-0	70.4	1742	1902	7.51%	20.22%	72.27%	-1.85	+2.9	8
1953-03-15	Hajduk Split	D 0-0	69.4	1708	1902	37.95%	23.12%	38.93%	-0.46	+0.0	15
1953-03-15	@ Spartak Subotica	D 0-0	69.4	1902	1708	38.93%	23.12%	37.95%	+0.46	-0.0	15
1953-03-15	Sarajevo	L 1-2	70.6	1751	1809	55.12%	23.11%	21.77%	+0.42	-8.4	6
1953-03-15	@ Velez Mostar	W 2-1	70.6	1809	1751	21.77%	23.11%	55.12%	-0.42	+8.4	14
1953-03-22	Partizan	L 1-3	68.1	1867	1911	56.71%	23.02%	20.27%	+0.52	-15.0	14
1953-03-22	@ Dinamo Zagreb	W 3-1	68.1	1911	1867	20.27%	23.02%	56.71%	-0.52	+15.0	19
1953-03-22	Velez Mostar	W 1-0	51.6	1902	1742	72.26%	20.23%	7.51%	+1.85	+1.5	17
1953-03-22	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-1	51.6	1742	1902	7.51%	20.23%	72.26%	-1.85	-1.5	6
1953-03-22	Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 0-2	66.0	1880	1821	65.76%	21.93%	12.31%	+1.19	-20.0	16
1953-03-22	@ BSK Beograd	W 2-0	66.0	1821	1880	12.31%	21.93%	65.76%	-1.19	+20.0	13
1953-03-22	Red Star Belgrade	L 0-1	66.0	1818	1899	52.57%	23.22%	24.21%	+0.27	-8.5	14
1953-03-22	@ Sarajevo	W 1-0	66.0	1899	1818	24.21%	23.22%	52.57%	-0.27	+8.5	18
1953-03-22	NK Zagreb	W 2-1	60.2	1745	1791	56.43%	23.03%	20.53%	+0.50	+3.7	10
1953-03-22	@ Vardar	L 1-2	60.2	1791	1745	20.53%	23.03%	56.43%	-0.50	-3.7	13
1953-03-22	Spartak Subotica	W 2-0	49.1	1789	1708	67.28%	21.62%	11.10%	+1.33	+4.3	13
1953-03-22	@ Vojvodina	L 0-2	49.1	1708	1789	11.10%	21.62%	67.28%	-1.33	-4.3	15
1953-03-28	NK Zagreb	W 2-1	56.0	1926	1787	71.01%	20.63%	8.35%	+1.71	+1.6	21
1953-03-28	@ Partizan	L 1-2	56.0	1787	1926	8.35%	20.63%	71.01%	-1.71	-1.6	13
1953-03-29	BSK Beograd	D 1-1	73.0	1852	1860	60.15%	22.73%	17.12%	+0.75	-1.6	15
1953-03-29	@ Dinamo Zagreb	D 1-1	73.0	1860	1852	17.12%	22.73%	60.15%	-0.75	+1.6	17
1953-03-29	Hajduk Split	L 1-4	66.5	1908	1904	61.21%	22.61%	16.18%	+0.83	-22.8	18
1953-03-29	@ Red Star Belgrade	W 4-1	66.5	1904	1908	16.18%	22.61%	61.21%	-0.83	+22.8	19
1953-03-29	Vardar	W 5-1	49.6	1809	1748	65.83%	21.91%	12.26%	+1.20	+7.4	16
1953-03-29	@ Sarajevo	L 1-5	49.6	1748	1809	12.26%	21.91%	65.83%	-1.20	-7.4	10
1953-03-29	Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 0-1	63.8	1704	1840	45.84%	23.30%	30.86%	-0.09	-7.5	15
1953-03-29	@ Spartak Subotica	W 1-0	63.8	1840	1704	30.86%	23.30%	45.84%	+0.09	+7.6	15
1953-03-29	Vojvodina	L 3-5	74.0	1741	1793	55.77%	23.07%	21.15%	+0.46	-12.5	6
1953-03-29	@ Velez Mostar	W 5-3	74.0	1793	1741	21.15%	23.07%	55.77%	-0.46	+12.4	15
1953-04-16	Sarajevo	D 1-1	73.5	1927	1817	69.25%	21.14%	9.61%	+1.52	-2.4	20
1953-04-16	@ Hajduk Split	D 1-1	73.5	1817	1927	9.61%	21.14%	69.25%	-1.52	+2.4	17
1953-04-16	Velez Mostar	L 1-2	74.4	1848	1728	69.85%	20.98%	9.17%	+1.58	-10.6	15
1953-04-16	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 2-1	74.4	1728	1848	9.17%	20.98%	69.85%	-1.58	+10.6	8
1953-04-16	NK Zagreb	W 3-0	46.7	1862	1785	66.98%	21.68%	11.34%	+1.30	+6.3	19
1953-04-16	@ BSK Beograd	L 0-3	46.7	1785	1862	11.34%	21.68%	66.98%	-1.30	-6.3	13
1953-04-16	Partizan	W 3-1	62.3	1741	1927	39.12%	23.16%	37.72%	-0.41	+10.5	12
1953-04-16	@ Vardar	L 1-3	62.3	1927	1741	37.72%	23.16%	39.12%	+0.41	-10.5	21
1953-04-16	Red Star Belgrade	L 0-1	66.1	1806	1885	52.81%	23.21%	23.98%	+0.29	-8.6	15
1953-04-16	@ Vojvodina	W 1-0	66.1	1885	1806	23.98%	23.21%	52.81%	-0.29	+8.6	20
1953-04-19	Vardar	W 2-0	47.8	1924	1752	72.97%	19.98%	7.06%	+1.93	+2.7	22
1953-04-19	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-2	47.8	1752	1924	7.06%	19.98%	72.97%	-1.93	-2.7	12
1953-04-19	Red Star Belgrade	D 1-1	72.9	1837	1894	55.37%	23.10%	21.53%	+0.44	-1.2	16
1953-04-19	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 1-1	72.9	1894	1837	21.53%	23.10%	55.37%	-0.44	+1.2	21
1953-04-19	Partizan	W 1-0	56.5	1868	1917	56.18%	23.05%	20.77%	+0.49	+4.0	21
1953-04-19	@ BSK Beograd	L 0-1	56.5	1917	1868	20.77%	23.05%	56.18%	-0.49	-4.0	21
1953-04-19	Vojvodina	L 0-1	68.8	1819	1797	62.76%	22.42%	14.82%	+0.95	-10.1	17
1953-04-19	@ Sarajevo	W 1-0	68.8	1797	1819	14.82%	22.42%	62.76%	-0.95	+10.1	17
1953-04-19	NK Zagreb	W 3-0	50.7	1696	1779	52.43%	23.22%	24.35%	+0.26	+12.5	17
1953-04-19	@ Spartak Subotica	L 0-3	50.7	1779	1696	24.35%	23.22%	52.43%	-0.26	-12.5	13
1953-04-19	Dinamo Zagreb	W 3-1	59.3	1739	1851	48.97%	23.29%	27.73%	+0.07	+8.3	10
1953-04-19	@ Velez Mostar	L 1-3	59.3	1851	1739	27.73%	23.29%	48.97%	-0.07	-8.3	15
1953-04-25	Spartak Subotica	W 6-2	49.6	1913	1709	74.61%	19.33%	6.05%	+2.13	+3.1	23
1953-04-25	@ Partizan	L 2-6	49.6	1709	1913	6.05%	19.33%	74.61%	-2.13	-3.1	17
1953-04-26	Sarajevo	W 2-1	58.3	1836	1809	63.22%	22.35%	14.43%	+0.98	+2.7	18
1953-04-26	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 1-2	58.3	1809	1836	14.43%	22.35%	63.22%	-0.98	-2.7	17
1953-04-26	Velez Mostar	D 3-3	81.2	1767	1747	62.56%	22.44%	15.00%	+0.93	-1.1	14
1953-04-26	@ NK Zagreb	D 3-3	81.2	1747	1767	15.00%	22.44%	62.56%	-0.93	+1.1	11
1953-04-26	Dinamo Zagreb	W 3-0	47.3	1895	1843	65.20%	22.03%	12.77%	+1.14	+7.1	23
1953-04-26	@ Red Star Belgrade	L 0-3	47.3	1843	1895	12.77%	22.03%	65.20%	-1.14	-7.1	15
1953-04-26	BSK Beograd	W 2-1	63.0	1749	1872	47.54%	23.30%	29.16%	+0.00	+5.0	14
1953-04-26	@ Vardar	L 1-2	63.0	1872	1749	29.16%	23.30%	47.54%	+0.00	-5.0	21
1953-04-26	Hajduk Split	L 1-2	68.7	1807	1927	47.97%	23.30%	28.73%	+0.02	-7.4	17
1953-04-26	@ Vojvodina	W 2-1	68.7	1927	1807	28.73%	23.30%	47.97%	-0.02	+7.4	24
1953-05-24	Sarajevo	D 0-0	69.7	1835	1806	63.38%	22.33%	14.29%	+0.99	-2.1	16
1953-05-24	@ Dinamo Zagreb	D 0-0	69.7	1806	1835	14.29%	22.33%	63.38%	-0.99	+2.1	18
1953-05-24	Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 1-1	73.5	1935	1839	68.29%	21.38%	10.33%	+1.42	-2.3	25
1953-05-24	@ Hajduk Split	D 1-1	73.5	1839	1935	10.33%	21.38%	68.29%	-1.42	+2.3	19
1953-05-24	NK Zagreb	W 3-1	52.8	1902	1765	70.88%	20.67%	8.44%	+1.69	+2.8	25
1953-05-24	@ Red Star Belgrade	L 1-3	52.8	1765	1902	8.44%	20.67%	70.88%	-1.69	-2.8	14
1953-05-24	BSK Beograd	W 2-0	56.8	1706	1867	42.51%	23.25%	34.23%	-0.25	+11.3	19
1953-05-24	@ Spartak Subotica	L 0-2	56.8	1867	1706	34.23%	23.25%	42.51%	+0.25	-11.3	21
1953-05-24	Partizan	L 0-4	55.0	1748	1916	41.72%	23.24%	35.05%	-0.29	-25.0	11
1953-05-24	@ Velez Mostar	W 4-0	55.0	1916	1748	35.05%	23.24%	41.72%	+0.29	+25.0	25
1953-05-24	Vardar	W 3-1	54.5	1800	1754	64.70%	22.12%	13.18%	+1.10	+4.3	19
1953-05-24	@ Vojvodina	L 1-3	54.5	1754	1800	13.18%	22.12%	64.70%	-1.10	-4.3	14
1953-05-31	Hajduk Split	W 5-1	54.4	1833	1932	50.55%	23.27%	26.18%	+0.16	+14.4	18
1953-05-31	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-5	54.4	1932	1833	26.18%	23.27%	50.55%	-0.16	-14.4	25
1953-05-31	Vojvodina	D 1-1	73.1	1841	1804	64.01%	22.23%	13.76%	+1.04	-2.0	20
1953-05-31	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 1-1	73.1	1804	1841	13.76%	22.23%	64.01%	-1.04	+2.0	20
1953-05-31	Velez Mostar	L 2-4	75.3	1856	1723	70.66%	20.74%	8.60%	+1.67	-16.5	21
1953-05-31	@ BSK Beograd	W 4-2	75.3	1723	1856	8.60%	20.74%	70.66%	-1.67	+16.5	13
1953-05-31	Red Star Belgrade	L 2-4	74.0	1941	1905	63.92%	22.24%	13.83%	+1.04	-15.0	25
1953-05-31	@ Partizan	W 4-2	74.0	1905	1941	13.83%	22.24%	63.92%	-1.04	+15.0	27
1953-05-31	NK Zagreb	W 2-1	57.8	1808	1763	64.68%	22.12%	13.20%	+1.10	+2.5	20
1953-05-31	@ Sarajevo	L 1-2	57.8	1763	1808	13.20%	22.12%	64.68%	-1.10	-2.5	14
1953-05-31	Spartak Subotica	W 5-1	50.0	1749	1717	63.64%	22.29%	14.07%	+1.01	+8.4	16
1953-05-31	@ Vardar	L 1-5	50.0	1717	1749	14.07%	22.29%	63.64%	-1.01	-8.4	19
1953-06-14	NK Zagreb	W 6-3	54.7	1918	1760	72.12%	20.27%	7.61%	+1.83	+2.9	27
1953-06-14	@ Hajduk Split	L 3-6	54.7	1760	1918	7.61%	20.27%	72.12%	-1.83	-2.9	14
1953-06-14	Vardar	D 1-1	73.3	1839	1758	67.32%	21.61%	11.08%	+1.33	-2.2	21
1953-06-14	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 1-1	73.3	1758	1839	11.08%	21.61%	67.32%	-1.33	+2.2	17
1953-06-14	BSK Beograd	W 3-1	54.0	1920	1839	67.24%	21.63%	11.13%	+1.33	+3.7	29
1953-06-14	@ Red Star Belgrade	L 1-3	54.0	1839	1920	11.13%	21.63%	67.24%	-1.33	-3.7	21
1953-06-14	Partizan	W 2-1	62.8	1811	1926	48.58%	23.30%	28.12%	+0.05	+4.8	22
1953-06-14	@ Sarajevo	L 1-2	62.8	1926	1811	28.12%	23.30%	48.58%	-0.05	-4.8	25
1953-06-14	Spartak Subotica	W 2-0	50.0	1740	1708	63.55%	22.30%	14.15%	+1.01	+5.4	15
1953-06-14	@ Velez Mostar	L 0-2	50.0	1708	1740	14.15%	22.30%	63.55%	-1.01	-5.4	19
1953-06-14	Dinamo Zagreb	W 1-0	56.2	1806	1848	56.87%	23.01%	20.12%	+0.53	+3.9	22
1953-06-14	@ Vojvodina	L 0-1	56.2	1848	1806	20.12%	23.01%	56.87%	-0.53	-3.9	18
1953-06-17	Spartak Subotica	W 3-0	45.3	1844	1703	71.14%	20.60%	8.27%	+1.72	+4.6	20
1953-06-17	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-3	45.3	1703	1844	8.27%	20.60%	71.14%	-1.72	-4.6	19
1953-06-20	Sarajevo	W 1-0	54.5	1836	1816	62.63%	22.43%	14.94%	+0.93	+3.0	23
1953-06-20	@ BSK Beograd	L 0-1	54.5	1816	1836	14.94%	22.43%	62.63%	-0.93	-3.0	22
1953-06-21	Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 4-3	66.4	1848	1837	61.87%	22.53%	15.59%	+0.88	+2.7	22
1953-06-21	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 3-4	66.4	1837	1848	15.59%	22.53%	61.87%	-0.88	-2.7	21
1953-06-21	Vojvodina	L 0-1	66.8	1757	1810	55.74%	23.08%	21.18%	+0.46	-9.0	14
1953-06-21	@ NK Zagreb	W 1-0	66.8	1810	1757	21.18%	23.08%	55.74%	-0.46	+9.0	24
1953-06-21	Hajduk Split	L 2-4	73.2	1921	1921	60.89%	22.65%	16.46%	+0.80	-14.3	25
1953-06-21	@ Partizan	W 4-2	73.2	1921	1921	16.46%	22.65%	60.89%	-0.80	+14.3	29
1953-06-21	Red Star Belgrade	L 1-4	58.2	1698	1924	33.79%	22.92%	43.29%	-0.66	-13.6	19
1953-06-21	@ Spartak Subotica	W 4-1	58.2	1924	1698	43.29%	22.92%	33.79%	+0.66	+13.6	31
1953-06-21	Velez Mostar	W 5-2	55.5	1760	1745	62.17%	22.49%	15.33%	+0.90	+6.1	19
1953-06-21	@ Vardar	L 2-5	55.5	1745	1760	15.33%	22.49%	62.17%	-0.90	-6.1	15

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1952-10-12	7.10%	Spartak Subotica	1672	2	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	1844	1
2	1953-05-31	8.60%	Velez Mostar	1723	4	@ BSK Beograd	1856	2
3	1953-04-16	9.17%	Velez Mostar	1728	2	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	1848	1
4	1953-03-08	11.94%	BSK Beograd	1857	2	@ Hajduk Split	1923	0
5	1953-03-22	12.31%	Lokomotiva Zagreb	1821	2	@ BSK Beograd	1880	0
6	1953-05-31	13.83%	Red Star Belgrade	1905	4	@ Partizan	1941	2
7	1953-04-19	14.82%	Vojvodina	1797	1	@ Sarajevo	1819	0
8	1952-11-23	15.65%	Sarajevo	1789	2	@ NK Zagreb	1800	0
9	1953-03-29	16.18%	Hajduk Split	1904	4	@ Red Star Belgrade	1908	1
10	1953-06-21	16.46%	Hajduk Split	1921	4	@ Partizan	1921	2
11	1952-11-16	16.82%	Vojvodina	1785	1	@ Vardar	1781	0
12	1952-12-07	17.39%	Red Star Belgrade	1879	5	@ BSK Beograd	1868	3
13	1952-08-31	18.16%	Lokomotiva Zagreb	1835	2	@ NK Zagreb	1815	0
14	1953-03-22	20.27%	Partizan	1911	3	@ Dinamo Zagreb	1867	1
15	1952-12-07	20.54%	Lokomotiva Zagreb	1810	2	@ Vardar	1764	1
16	1953-03-29	21.15%	Vojvodina	1793	5	@ Velez Mostar	1741	3
17	1953-06-21	21.18%	Vojvodina	1810	1	@ NK Zagreb	1757	0
18	1953-03-15	21.77%	Sarajevo	1809	2	@ Velez Mostar	1751	1
19	1953-03-15	21.80%	Dinamo Zagreb	1858	1	@ NK Zagreb	1800	0
20	1953-04-16	23.98%	Red Star Belgrade	1885	1	@ Vojvodina	1806	0
21	1953-03-22	24.21%	Red Star Belgrade	1899	1	@ Sarajevo	1818	0
22	1952-08-31	24.45%	Red Star Belgrade	1885	1	@ Velez Mostar	1801	0
23	1952-10-12	25.65%	Partizan	1899	1	@ NK Zagreb	1804	0
24	1953-03-08	26.34%	Dinamo Zagreb	1850	1	@ Vardar	1750	0
25	1953-04-26	28.73%	Hajduk Split	1927	2	@ Vojvodina	1807	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1953-05-24	24.98	Partizan	4	1916	35.05%	@ Velez Mostar	0	1748	41.72%	23.24%
2	1953-03-29	22.79	Hajduk Split	4	1904	16.18%	@ Red Star Belgrade	1	1908	61.21%	22.61%
3	1953-03-08	20.09	BSK Beograd	2	1857	11.94%	@ Hajduk Split	0	1923	66.22%	21.84%
4	1953-03-22	19.96	Lokomotiva Zagreb	2	1821	12.31%	@ BSK Beograd	0	1880	65.76%	21.93%
5	1952-11-23	18.79	Sarajevo	2	1789	15.65%	@ NK Zagreb	0	1800	61.81%	22.54%
6	1952-08-31	17.95	Lokomotiva Zagreb	2	1835	18.16%	@ NK Zagreb	0	1815	59.00%	22.84%
7	1953-05-31	16.54	Velez Mostar	4	1723	8.60%	@ BSK Beograd	2	1856	70.66%	20.74%
8	1952-12-07	15.45	@ Spartak Subotica	4	1699	54.07%	Velez Mostar	0	1767	22.77%	23.16%
9	1953-05-31	15.04	Red Star Belgrade	4	1905	13.83%	@ Partizan	2	1941	63.92%	22.24%
10	1953-03-22	14.97	Partizan	3	1911	20.27%	@ Dinamo Zagreb	1	1867	56.71%	23.02%
11	1953-05-31	14.44	@ Dinamo Zagreb	5	1833	50.55%	Hajduk Split	1	1932	26.18%	23.27%
12	1953-06-21	14.34	Hajduk Split	4	1921	16.46%	@ Partizan	2	1921	60.89%	22.65%
13	1953-06-21	13.63	Red Star Belgrade	4	1924	43.29%	@ Spartak Subotica	1	1698	33.79%	22.92%
14	1952-12-07	13.33	Red Star Belgrade	5	1879	17.39%	@ BSK Beograd	3	1868	59.85%	22.76%
15	1952-11-09	13.22	@ Sarajevo	7	1763	54.01%	Lokomotiva Zagreb	2	1832	22.83%	23.16%
16	1952-11-16	12.62	@ Sarajevo	3	1777	52.16%	Dinamo Zagreb	0	1862	24.61%	23.23%
17	1953-04-19	12.50	@ Spartak Subotica	3	1696	52.43%	NK Zagreb	0	1779	24.35%	23.22%
18	1953-03-29	12.45	Vojvodina	5	1793	21.15%	@ Velez Mostar	3	1741	55.77%	23.07%
19	1953-05-24	11.29	@ Spartak Subotica	2	1706	42.51%	BSK Beograd	0	1867	34.23%	23.25%
20	1952-10-12	10.97	Spartak Subotica	2	1672	7.10%	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	1	1844	72.91%	20.00%
21	1952-12-07	10.79	@ NK Zagreb	2	1781	44.43%	Hajduk Split	0	1929	32.28%	23.29%
22	1953-04-16	10.57	Velez Mostar	2	1728	9.17%	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	1	1848	69.85%	20.98%
23	1953-04-16	10.53	@ Vardar	3	1741	39.12%	Partizan	1	1927	37.72%	23.16%
24	1953-04-19	10.12	Vojvodina	1	1797	14.82%	@ Sarajevo	0	1819	62.76%	22.42%
25	1952-11-16	9.76	Vojvodina	1	1785	16.82%	@ Vardar	0	1781	60.48%	22.69%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1952-11-16	83.8	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	4	1819	49.84%	Hajduk Split	4	1924	26.88%	23.28%
2	1953-04-26	81.2	@ NK Zagreb	3	1767	62.56%	Velez Mostar	3	1747	15.00%	22.44%
3	1952-12-07	78.0	@ Partizan	2	1921	69.44%	Sarajevo	2	1808	9.47%	21.09%
4	1952-10-12	77.6	@ Hajduk Split	2	1918	63.50%	Red Star Belgrade	2	1887	14.19%	22.31%
5	1953-03-08	77.4	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	2	1817	62.52%	NK Zagreb	2	1798	15.03%	22.45%
6	1952-10-26	77.3	@ Vardar	2	1779	45.75%	Hajduk Split	2	1917	30.95%	23.30%
7	1952-12-07	75.4	Red Star Belgrade	5	1879	17.39%	@ BSK Beograd	3	1868	59.85%	22.76%
8	1953-05-31	75.3	Velez Mostar	4	1723	8.60%	@ BSK Beograd	2	1856	70.66%	20.74%
9	1952-10-12	74.9	Spartak Subotica	2	1672	7.10%	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	1	1844	72.91%	20.00%
10	1953-04-16	74.4	Velez Mostar	2	1728	9.17%	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	1	1848	69.85%	20.98%
11	1953-03-29	74.0	Vojvodina	5	1793	21.15%	@ Velez Mostar	3	1741	55.77%	23.07%
12	1953-05-31	74.0	Red Star Belgrade	4	1905	13.83%	@ Partizan	2	1941	63.92%	22.24%
13	1952-10-19	73.5	@ Red Star Belgrade	1	1888	69.10%	Vojvodina	1	1780	9.72%	21.18%
14	1953-04-16	73.5	@ Hajduk Split	1	1927	69.25%	Sarajevo	1	1817	9.61%	21.14%
15	1953-05-24	73.5	@ Hajduk Split	1	1935	68.29%	Lokomotiva Zagreb	1	1839	10.33%	21.38%
16	1952-11-09	73.4	@ BSK Beograd	1	1868	67.82%	Vardar	1	1779	10.69%	21.50%
17	1952-08-31	73.3	@ Dinamo Zagreb	1	1860	67.43%	Vardar	1	1777	10.99%	21.58%
18	1953-06-14	73.3	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	1	1839	67.32%	Vardar	1	1758	11.08%	21.61%
19	1952-10-26	73.2	@ NK Zagreb	1	1805	69.99%	Spartak Subotica	1	1683	9.07%	20.94%
20	1953-06-21	73.2	Hajduk Split	4	1921	16.46%	@ Partizan	2	1921	60.89%	22.65%
21	1953-05-31	73.1	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	1	1841	64.01%	Vojvodina	1	1804	13.76%	22.23%
22	1952-09-28	73.0	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	1	1846	57.58%	BSK Beograd	1	1880	19.46%	22.96%
23	1952-11-23	73.0	@ Red Star Belgrade	1	1880	57.07%	Partizan	1	1920	19.94%	22.99%
24	1952-12-14	73.0	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	1	1819	58.04%	Dinamo Zagreb	1	1849	19.04%	22.92%
25	1953-03-29	73.0	@ Dinamo Zagreb	1	1852	60.15%	BSK Beograd	1	1860	17.12%	22.73%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1953-03-08	44.2	@ Red Star Belgrade	4	1896	71.05%	Velez Mostar	0	1757	8.32%	20.62%
2	1952-08-31	45.1	@ Partizan	4	1881	68.01%	Vojvodina	0	1790	10.54%	21.45%
3	1953-06-17	45.3	@ Dinamo Zagreb	3	1844	71.14%	Spartak Subotica	0	1703	8.27%	20.60%
4	1952-10-26	45.4	@ Dinamo Zagreb	4	1850	67.05%	Velez Mostar	0	1773	11.29%	21.67%
5	1953-04-16	46.7	@ BSK Beograd	3	1862	66.98%	NK Zagreb	0	1785	11.34%	21.68%
6	1953-04-26	47.3	@ Red Star Belgrade	3	1895	65.20%	Dinamo Zagreb	0	1843	12.77%	22.03%
7	1952-12-14	47.4	@ Red Star Belgrade	5	1892	73.24%	Spartak Subotica	1	1714	6.88%	19.87%
8	1952-09-14	47.7	@ Partizan	3	1889	63.89%	Lokomotiva Zagreb	0	1853	13.86%	22.25%
9	1952-11-09	47.8	@ Hajduk Split	6	1917	70.18%	Vojvodina	1	1792	8.93%	20.88%
10	1953-04-19	47.8	@ Hajduk Split	2	1924	72.97%	Vardar	0	1752	7.06%	19.98%
11	1952-10-19	48.8	@ Partizan	9	1907	69.88%	Vardar	2	1787	9.15%	20.97%
12	1952-12-07	48.9	@ Spartak Subotica	4	1699	54.07%	Velez Mostar	0	1767	22.77%	23.16%
13	1953-03-22	49.1	@ Vojvodina	2	1789	67.28%	Spartak Subotica	0	1708	11.10%	21.62%
14	1953-03-29	49.6	@ Sarajevo	5	1809	65.83%	Vardar	1	1748	12.26%	21.91%
15	1953-04-25	49.6	@ Partizan	6	1913	74.61%	Spartak Subotica	2	1709	6.05%	19.33%
16	1952-11-23	49.7	@ Hajduk Split	2	1924	66.87%	Dinamo Zagreb	0	1849	11.43%	21.71%
17	1952-11-16	49.8	@ Partizan	4	1916	71.35%	Velez Mostar	1	1772	8.12%	20.53%
18	1953-05-31	50.0	@ Vardar	5	1749	63.64%	Spartak Subotica	1	1717	14.07%	22.29%
19	1953-06-14	50.0	@ Velez Mostar	2	1740	63.55%	Spartak Subotica	0	1708	14.15%	22.30%
20	1952-10-26	50.3	@ Partizan	5	1915	64.16%	BSK Beograd	1	1876	13.63%	22.21%
21	1953-04-19	50.7	@ Spartak Subotica	3	1696	52.43%	NK Zagreb	0	1779	24.35%	23.22%
22	1952-10-26	50.8	@ Vojvodina	5	1783	61.75%	Sarajevo	1	1773	15.70%	22.55%
23	1952-09-14	51.0	@ Hajduk Split	3	1909	76.36%	Spartak Subotica	1	1669	5.08%	18.56%
24	1952-11-16	51.2	@ Sarajevo	3	1777	52.16%	Dinamo Zagreb	0	1862	24.61%	23.23%
25	1952-12-14	51.5	@ NK Zagreb	2	1792	60.18%	Vojvodina	0	1800	17.10%	22.73%