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1958-59 Prva savezna liga Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Red Star Belgrade

31 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Partizan

7.39 points above expected

31 points · 23.61 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Vardar

6.59 points below expected

11 points · 17.59 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Red Star Belgrade 22 14 3 5 31 50 19 +31 25.54 +5.46
2 Partizan 22 14 3 5 31 39 29 +10 23.61 +7.39
3 Vojvodina 22 13 4 5 30 47 22 +25 24.79 +5.21
4 Radnicki Beograd 22 9 4 9 22 35 27 +8 23.02 -1.02
5 Dinamo Zagreb 22 9 4 9 22 35 28 +7 22.85 -0.85
6 Velez Mostar 22 10 2 10 22 35 38 -3 21.85 +0.15
7 Hajduk Split 22 7 7 8 21 33 35 -2 21.70 -0.70
8 Rijeka 22 8 4 10 20 29 44 -15 20.69 -0.69
9 Buducnost Titograd 22 7 5 10 19 25 41 -16 20.42 -1.42
10 Sarajevo 22 7 4 11 18 24 36 -12 21.13 -3.13
11 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 22 7 3 12 17 26 35 -9 20.81 -3.81
12 Vardar 22 4 3 15 11 23 47 -24 17.59 -6.59

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Partizan 31 23.61 +7.39
2 Red Star Belgrade 31 25.54 +5.46
3 Vojvodina 30 24.79 +5.21
4 Velez Mostar 22 21.85 +0.15
5 Rijeka 20 20.69 -0.69

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vardar 11 17.59 -6.59
2 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 17 20.81 -3.81
3 Sarajevo 18 21.13 -3.13
4 Buducnost Titograd 19 20.42 -1.42
5 Radnicki Beograd 22 23.02 -1.02

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Partizan 7 Apr 12 – Jun 22 1 in 493
2 Radnicki Beograd 3 Sep 21 – Oct 12 1 in 26
3 Rijeka 2 Aug 31 – Sep 7 1 in 23
4 Velez Mostar 4 May 10 – Jun 14 1 in 22
5 Vojvodina 4 May 13 – Jun 22 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Velez Mostar 3 Sep 21 – Oct 12 1 in 23
2 Radnicki Beograd 2 Aug 31 – Sep 7 1 in 20
3 Sarajevo 3 May 10 – Jun 7 1 in 16
4 Vardar 3 Oct 26 – Nov 9 1 in 13
5 Hajduk Split 2 Aug 31 – Sep 7 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hajduk Split 6 Nov 9 – Mar 29 1 in 217
2 Partizan 12 Nov 23 – Jun 22 1 in 110
3 Vojvodina 10 Mar 22 – Jun 22 1 in 71
4 Radnicki Beograd 6 Apr 5 – Jun 7 1 in 34
5 Sarajevo 4 Mar 29 – May 3 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vardar 10 Mar 22 – Jun 22 1 in 43
2 Dinamo Zagreb 6 Nov 23 – Apr 12 1 in 25
3 Hajduk Split 5 Apr 5 – May 13 1 in 20
4 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 6 Apr 12 – Jun 14 1 in 13
5 Velez Mostar 4 Nov 16 – Mar 22 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Partizan 1796 31 +79 10 6.1 +3.9
Red Star Belgrade 1881 31 +127 8 5.5 +2.5
Vojvodina 1844 30 +82 9 5.8 +3.2
Velez Mostar 1611 22 +48 8 5.6 +2.4
Dinamo Zagreb 1665 22 -22 4 4.8 -0.8
Radnicki Beograd 1649 22 -16 4 4.7 -0.7
Hajduk Split 1672 21 -27 4 6.0 -2.0
Rijeka 1498 20 -84 2 3.8 -1.8
Buducnost Titograd 1518 19 -40 5 5.1 -0.1
Sarajevo 1532 18 -52 2 4.0 -2.0
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1559 17 -45 3 5.2 -2.2
Vardar 1388 11 -52 1 3.4 -2.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BT DZ HS PAR RB RSB RIJ SAR VAR VM VOJ ZS
Buducnost Titograd —
1-1-0
2.52
0-2-0
2.64
0-0-2
2.55
1-0-1
2.79
0-0-2
1.97
0-1-1
2.83
1-1-0
2.83
2-0-0
3.07
0-0-2
2.78
1-0-1
2.33
1-0-1
2.83
Dinamo Zagreb
0-1-1
3.11
—
0-2-0
2.86
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.89
0-1-1
2.59
1-0-1
3.27
1-0-1
3.26
2-0-0
3.68
1-0-1
3.04
0-0-2
2.64
2-0-0
3.04
Hajduk Split
0-2-0
3.00
0-2-0
2.78
—
0-0-2
2.67
1-0-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.19
1-1-0
2.98
1-0-1
3.20
2-0-0
2.82
0-1-1
2.83
0-1-1
2.53
1-0-1
3.21
Partizan
2-0-0
3.08
1-0-1
2.93
2-0-0
2.97
—
2-0-0
3.06
1-0-1
2.63
1-1-0
3.15
0-1-1
3.17
1-1-0
3.08
1-0-1
3.12
1-0-1
2.54
2-0-0
3.31
Radnicki Beograd
1-0-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.74
1-0-1
2.93
0-0-2
2.57
—
1-1-0
2.54
0-1-1
3.00
1-0-1
2.92
1-1-0
3.76
2-0-0
2.83
0-0-2
2.59
1-1-0
3.10
Red Star Belgrade
2-0-0
3.67
1-1-0
3.04
1-0-1
3.44
1-0-1
3.01
0-1-1
3.10
—
2-0-0
3.42
1-0-1
3.60
1-0-1
3.53
2-0-0
3.36
1-1-0
2.75
2-0-0
3.18
Rijeka
1-1-0
2.81
1-0-1
2.37
0-1-1
2.67
0-1-1
2.48
1-1-0
2.64
0-0-2
2.22
—
1-0-1
2.84
1-0-1
3.03
1-0-1
2.80
1-0-1
2.31
1-0-1
2.72
Sarajevo
0-1-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.37
1-0-1
2.43
1-1-0
2.47
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.04
1-0-1
2.80
—
1-0-1
3.04
0-0-2
2.71
0-1-1
3.91
0-1-1
2.78
Vardar
0-0-2
2.57
0-0-2
1.96
0-0-2
2.81
0-1-1
2.55
0-1-1
1.88
1-0-1
2.11
1-0-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.60
—
1-0-1
2.32
0-0-2
1.22
0-1-1
2.38
Velez Mostar
2-0-0
2.85
1-0-1
2.60
1-1-0
2.80
1-0-1
2.52
0-0-2
2.81
0-0-2
2.28
1-0-1
2.83
2-0-0
2.92
1-0-1
3.32
—
0-1-1
2.14
1-0-1
2.90
Vojvodina
1-0-1
3.30
2-0-0
2.99
1-1-0
3.11
1-0-1
3.10
2-0-0
3.05
0-1-1
2.88
1-0-1
3.33
1-1-0
1.73
2-0-0
4.43
1-1-0
3.49
—
1-0-1
3.45
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1-0-1
2.81
0-0-2
2.60
1-0-1
2.43
0-0-2
2.33
0-1-1
2.53
0-0-2
2.46
1-0-1
2.91
1-1-0
2.86
1-1-0
3.25
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
2.19
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.84 +6.3
Allowed 0.69 -5.8
Differential 0.81 +3.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%7.58%6.82%2.27%2.27%2.27%27.27%
17.58%9.85%6.82%4.92%3.41%0.76%33.33%
26.82%6.82%0.76%1.89%0.76%0.76%17.80%
32.27%4.92%1.89%0.76%0.38%0.38%10.61%
42.27%3.41%0.76%0.38%——6.82%
5+2.27%0.76%0.76%0.38%——4.17%
Total27.27%33.33%17.80%10.61%6.82%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.52 +0.00
SD 1.48 1.48 2.29
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%9.09%—4.55%9.09%36.36%
1—18.18%4.55%——4.55%27.27%
29.09%13.64%————22.73%
34.55%—4.55%——4.55%13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%40.91%18.18%—4.55%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.86 -0.73
SD 1.08 1.75 2.25
CV 0.95 0.94 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%18.18%4.55%—4.55%—36.36%
1—9.09%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
29.09%4.55%——4.55%—18.18%
3—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total27.27%45.45%13.64%—13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.27 +0.32
SD 1.68 1.28 2.34
CV 1.06 1.01 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
14.55%27.27%4.55%9.09%4.55%—50.00%
24.55%4.55%————9.09%
34.55%—————4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total22.73%40.91%13.64%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.59 -0.09
SD 1.63 1.65 2.64
CV 1.08 1.04 —
Max 6 7 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
122.73%4.55%——4.55%—31.82%
29.09%9.09%———4.55%22.73%
3—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total36.36%31.82%13.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.32 +0.45
SD 1.41 1.55 1.82
CV 0.80 1.18 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
113.64%13.64%22.73%9.09%——59.09%
24.55%——4.55%——9.09%
3—9.09%————9.09%
44.55%9.09%————13.64%
5+———————
Total27.27%36.36%22.73%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.23 +0.36
SD 1.22 1.02 1.71
CV 0.77 0.83 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%————22.73%
14.55%——4.55%9.09%—18.18%
29.09%4.55%————13.64%
39.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+9.09%4.55%————13.64%
Total54.55%27.27%4.55%4.55%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 0.86 +1.41
SD 1.93 1.28 2.58
CV 0.85 1.49 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———9.09%—4.55%13.64%
113.64%13.64%13.64%9.09%4.55%—54.55%
29.09%4.55%———4.55%18.18%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%22.73%18.18%22.73%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 2.00 -0.68
SD 0.89 1.77 2.15
CV 0.68 0.89 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%9.09%——31.82%
113.64%9.09%4.55%13.64%4.55%—45.45%
2—9.09%————9.09%
3——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total22.73%31.82%13.64%22.73%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.64 -0.55
SD 1.11 1.33 1.63
CV 1.02 0.81 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%18.18%4.55%—4.55%36.36%
14.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%36.36%
2—4.55%—13.64%——18.18%
34.55%—————4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%18.18%27.27%22.73%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 2.14 -1.09
SD 1.09 1.73 2.24
CV 1.04 0.81 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%—13.64%—31.82%
14.55%—4.55%9.09%4.55%—22.73%
29.09%18.18%4.55%———31.82%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———————
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total18.18%36.36%18.18%9.09%18.18%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.73 -0.14
SD 1.84 1.39 2.59
CV 1.16 0.80 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%13.64%———27.27%
14.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
29.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
3—13.64%————13.64%
44.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
5+9.09%—————9.09%
Total36.36%31.82%27.27%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 1.00 +1.14
SD 1.83 0.93 2.17
CV 0.86 0.93 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%13.64%—4.55%4.55%40.91%
14.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
29.09%4.55%—4.55%4.55%—22.73%
34.55%—————4.55%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+———————
Total22.73%36.36%22.73%4.55%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.59 -0.41
SD 1.30 1.53 2.26
CV 1.10 0.96 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Red Star Belgrade 1881 31 25.54 +5.46 97.0% 18 20 23 25 28 31 33
Vojvodina 1844 30 24.79 +5.21 97.0% 18 20 23 25 27 29 33
Partizan 1796 31 23.61 +7.39 99.0% 18 18 21 23 25 29 32
Hajduk Split 1672 21 21.70 -0.70 48.0% 13 17 20 22 24 26 30
Dinamo Zagreb 1665 22 22.85 -0.85 48.0% 15 17 20 23 25 29 30
Radnicki Beograd 1649 22 23.02 -1.02 41.0% 15 18 21 23 25 28 31
Velez Mostar 1611 22 21.85 +0.15 56.0% 13 17 20 22 24 26 31
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1559 17 20.81 -3.81 19.0% 13 15 18 21 23 27 30
Sarajevo 1532 18 21.13 -3.13 20.0% 15 16 19 21 23 26 30
Buducnost Titograd 1518 19 20.42 -1.42 39.0% 12 14 18 20 23 26 29
Rijeka 1498 20 20.69 -0.69 44.0% 13 15 18 21 23 26 28
Vardar 1388 11 17.59 -6.59 3.0% 10 12 16 17 20 22 24

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 33.5% * Slight Edge: 33.5% to 40% * Clear Edge: 40% to 45.5% * Strong Edge: 45.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+50.76%
Strong Edge
66.67%17.42%15.91%
Elo Value
Home Edge
151 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0194.38400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+1.22 goals
Strong Home
-2+1.29+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 4 * Top-Heavy: 4 to 5 * Open: 5 to 7 * Wide Open: 7 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.09 * Comfortable: 0.09 to 0.17 * Runaway: 0.17 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.7
Open
145710
Champion Preseason Odds
29%
Red Star Belgrade, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.090.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.62 * Some Luck: 2.62 to 3.92 * Lucky: 3.92 to 5.23 * Wild Swing: 5.23 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.1 * Close: 2.1 to 3.15 * Off: 3.15 to 4.2 * Way Off: 4.2 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.92 points
Some Luck
03.278
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.83
Pinpoint
02.636
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
Partizan
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
3.00%
Vardar
050
Season Outliers
Expected
4 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.09 * Even: 0.09 to 0.11 * Top-Heavy: 0.11 to 0.16 * Lopsided: 0.16 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.15 * Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.35 * Strong Separation: 1.35 to 1.65 * Wide Separation: 1.65 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61% * Slight Edge: 61% to 63.5% * Clear Edge: 63.5% to 67% * Wide Edge: 67% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82% * Clear Edge: 82% to 86.5% * Strong Edge: 86.5% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56% * Some Drama: 56% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 64% * Very Frequent: 64% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 20.5% * Very Frequent: 20.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Top-Heavy
00.090.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 148.71
1.42
Strong Separation
0.91.151.351.652.5
Interquartile Edge
73%
Wide Edge
50%61%67%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
94%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
51%
Few
0%47%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Very Frequent
0%28%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.54 * Slight Separation: 0.54 to 0.62 * Notable Separation: 0.62 to 0.69 * Lopsided: 0.69 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 13.5% * As Expected: 13.5% to 15.5% * Upset-Prone: 15.5% to 20% * Very Upset-Prone: 20% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Shaky: 18.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.47
Highly Predictable
00.462
Matchup Imbalance
0.69
Lopsided
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.53
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.84
Near-Lock
00.470.61
Upset Rate
Expected
15%
As Expected
0%13%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
As Expected
0%12%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.09 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.09 to 0.14 * Above Noise: 0.14 to 0.19 * Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.
Probability calibration
0.94
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.52
Very Underconfident
0.3228851.001.67712
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.082
Well Within Noise
00.0930.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Red Star Belgrade29.00%19.00%15.00%11.00%9.00%4.00%3.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%——
Partizan14.00%12.00%10.00%12.00%6.00%17.00%9.00%6.00%7.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%
Vojvodina22.00%21.00%15.00%11.00%12.00%7.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%—
Radnicki Beograd7.00%15.00%7.00%13.00%15.00%9.00%11.00%8.00%7.00%2.00%4.00%2.00%
Dinamo Zagreb12.00%11.00%8.00%7.00%11.00%9.00%9.00%8.00%9.00%8.00%6.00%2.00%
Velez Mostar2.00%2.00%13.00%10.00%13.00%13.00%6.00%6.00%14.00%12.00%7.00%2.00%
Hajduk Split2.00%6.00%10.00%11.00%7.00%9.00%13.00%13.00%10.00%9.00%5.00%5.00%
Rijeka4.00%2.00%3.00%6.00%5.00%12.00%11.00%9.00%10.00%10.00%18.00%10.00%
Buducnost Titograd1.00%4.00%8.00%5.00%7.00%6.00%6.00%9.00%14.00%15.00%11.00%14.00%
Sarajevo3.00%4.00%5.00%5.00%6.00%5.00%16.00%12.00%11.00%14.00%12.00%7.00%
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo4.00%4.00%5.00%9.00%8.00%5.00%9.00%12.00%5.00%10.00%14.00%15.00%
Vardar——1.00%—1.00%4.00%5.00%8.00%7.00%13.00%19.00%42.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Red Star Belgrade 100% —
Vojvodina 99.00% 1.00%
Partizan 96.00% 4.00%
Radnicki Beograd 94.00% 6.00%
Dinamo Zagreb 92.00% 8.00%
Velez Mostar 91.00% 9.00%
Hajduk Split 90.00% 10.00%
Sarajevo 81.00% 19.00%
Buducnost Titograd 75.00% 25.00%
Rijeka 72.00% 28.00%
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 71.00% 29.00%
Vardar 39.00% 61.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1958-08-31 Sarajevo W 3-152.0 1682 1612 74.47% 17.98% 7.55%+1.75 +6.7 2
1958-08-31 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 1-352.0 1612 1682 7.55% 17.98% 74.47%-1.75 -6.7 0
1958-08-31 Velez Mostar L 0-265.4 1633 1623 71.44% 18.18% 10.37%+1.35 -59.1 0
1958-08-31 @ Hajduk Split W 2-065.4 1623 1633 10.37% 18.18% 71.44%-1.35 +59.1 2
1958-08-31 Rijeka L 2-377.7 1635 1555 74.90% 17.95% 7.16%+1.82 -29.5 0
1958-08-31 @ Radnicki Beograd W 3-277.7 1555 1635 7.16% 17.95% 74.90%-1.82 +29.5 2
1958-08-31 Vardar W 3-259.0 1670 1599 74.53% 17.98% 7.49%+1.76 +3.6 2
1958-08-31 @ Red Star Belgrade L 2-359.0 1599 1670 7.49% 17.98% 74.53%-1.76 -3.6 0
1958-08-31 Partizan W 2-048.0 1709 1667 73.16% 18.08% 8.76%+1.56 +8.9 2
1958-08-31 @ Vojvodina L 0-248.0 1667 1709 8.76% 18.08% 73.16%-1.56 -8.9 0
1958-08-31 Buducnost Titograd W 2-047.0 1608 1622 70.05% 18.24% 11.70%+1.20 +11.7 2
1958-08-31 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo L 0-247.0 1622 1608 11.70% 18.24% 70.05%-1.20 -11.7 0
1958-09-07 Dinamo Zagreb W 2-049.6 1610 1689 65.33% 18.38% 16.29%+0.76 +15.8 2
1958-09-07 @ Buducnost Titograd L 0-249.6 1689 1610 16.29% 18.38% 65.33%-0.76 -15.8 2
1958-09-07 Hajduk Split W 7-043.3 1674 1574 75.71% 17.87% 6.42%+1.95 +21.2 4
1958-09-07 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-743.3 1574 1674 6.42% 17.87% 75.71%-1.95 -21.2 0
1958-09-07 Vojvodina W 1-053.9 1584 1718 60.40% 18.45% 21.15%+0.40 +10.6 4
1958-09-07 @ Rijeka L 0-153.9 1718 1584 21.15% 18.45% 60.40%-0.40 -10.6 2
1958-09-07 Radnicki Beograd W 2-154.1 1606 1605 70.92% 18.21% 10.87%+1.29 +5.5 2
1958-09-07 @ Sarajevo L 1-254.1 1605 1606 10.87% 18.21% 70.92%-1.29 -5.5 0
1958-09-07 Partizan D 0-068.3 1595 1658 66.59% 18.35% 15.05%+0.87 -6.1 1
1958-09-07 @ Vardar D 0-068.3 1658 1595 15.05% 18.35% 66.59%-0.87 +6.1 1
1958-09-07 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo W 2-154.6 1682 1620 74.15% 18.01% 7.84%+1.70 +4.0 4
1958-09-07 @ Velez Mostar L 1-254.6 1620 1682 7.84% 18.01% 74.15%-1.70 -4.0 2
1958-09-21 Velez Mostar W 2-048.8 1673 1686 70.10% 18.24% 11.66%+1.20 +11.6 4
1958-09-21 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-248.8 1686 1673 11.66% 18.24% 70.10%-1.20 -11.7 4
1958-09-21 Vardar W 3-043.2 1552 1589 68.54% 18.30% 13.16%+1.04 +18.9 2
1958-09-21 @ Hajduk Split L 0-343.2 1589 1552 13.16% 18.30% 68.54%-1.04 -18.9 1
1958-09-21 Rijeka W 2-153.9 1664 1595 74.45% 17.98% 7.57%+1.75 +3.9 3
1958-09-21 @ Partizan L 1-253.9 1595 1664 7.57% 17.98% 74.45%-1.75 -3.9 4
1958-09-21 Buducnost Titograd W 4-044.0 1600 1626 69.27% 18.27% 12.46%+1.12 +23.5 2
1958-09-21 @ Radnicki Beograd L 0-444.0 1626 1600 12.46% 18.27% 69.27%-1.12 -23.5 2
1958-09-21 Vojvodina L 3-479.7 1611 1707 63.89% 18.41% 17.70%+0.65 -24.3 2
1958-09-21 @ Sarajevo W 4-379.7 1707 1611 17.70% 18.41% 63.89%-0.65 +24.3 4
1958-09-21 Red Star Belgrade L 1-272.1 1616 1695 65.31% 18.38% 16.30%+0.76 -26.9 2
1958-09-21 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo W 2-172.1 1695 1616 16.30% 18.38% 65.31%-0.76 +26.9 6
1958-09-28 Vojvodina W 2-159.0 1602 1732 60.79% 18.45% 20.76%+0.43 +9.8 4
1958-09-28 @ Buducnost Titograd L 1-259.0 1732 1602 20.76% 18.45% 60.79%-0.43 -9.8 4
1958-09-28 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo W 2-045.5 1571 1589 69.82% 18.25% 11.93%+1.17 +11.9 4
1958-09-28 @ Hajduk Split L 0-245.5 1589 1571 11.93% 18.25% 69.82%-1.17 -11.9 2
1958-09-28 Dinamo Zagreb W 4-045.1 1722 1685 72.91% 18.10% 8.99%+1.53 +17.3 8
1958-09-28 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-445.1 1685 1722 8.99% 18.10% 72.91%-1.53 -17.3 4
1958-09-28 Partizan W 1-051.7 1587 1668 65.15% 18.39% 16.47%+0.75 +8.5 4
1958-09-28 @ Sarajevo L 0-151.7 1668 1587 16.47% 18.39% 65.15%-0.75 -8.5 3
1958-09-28 Rijeka W 2-153.3 1570 1591 69.57% 18.26% 12.16%+1.15 +6.1 3
1958-09-28 @ Vardar L 1-253.3 1591 1570 12.16% 18.26% 69.57%-1.15 -6.1 4
1958-09-28 Radnicki Beograd L 1-371.9 1675 1623 73.62% 18.05% 8.33%+1.63 -52.9 4
1958-09-28 @ Velez Mostar W 3-171.9 1623 1675 8.33% 18.05% 73.62%-1.63 +52.9 4
1958-10-12 Hajduk Split D 1-172.4 1668 1583 75.09% 17.93% 6.99%+1.85 -7.6 5
1958-10-12 @ Dinamo Zagreb D 1-172.4 1583 1668 6.99% 17.93% 75.09%-1.85 +7.6 5
1958-10-12 Buducnost Titograd W 5-358.2 1660 1612 73.45% 18.06% 8.49%+1.60 +6.3 5
1958-10-12 @ Partizan L 3-558.2 1612 1660 8.49% 18.06% 73.45%-1.60 -6.3 4
1958-10-12 Red Star Belgrade W 4-153.0 1676 1739 66.62% 18.35% 15.02%+0.87 +18.0 6
1958-10-12 @ Radnicki Beograd L 1-453.0 1739 1676 15.02% 18.35% 66.62%-0.87 -18.0 8
1958-10-12 Sarajevo W 3-151.1 1585 1595 70.27% 18.24% 11.50%+1.22 +10.0 6
1958-10-12 @ Rijeka L 1-351.1 1595 1585 11.50% 18.24% 70.27%-1.22 -10.0 4
1958-10-12 Velez Mostar W 4-043.7 1722 1622 75.71% 17.87% 6.42%+1.95 +12.5 6
1958-10-12 @ Vojvodina L 0-443.7 1622 1722 6.42% 17.87% 75.71%-1.95 -12.5 4
1958-10-12 Vardar W 4-147.7 1577 1576 70.93% 18.21% 10.86%+1.29 +13.4 4
1958-10-12 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo L 1-447.7 1576 1577 10.86% 18.21% 70.93%-1.29 -13.4 3
1958-10-19 Rijeka D 1-171.3 1606 1595 71.50% 18.18% 10.32%+1.36 -6.7 5
1958-10-19 @ Buducnost Titograd D 1-171.3 1595 1606 10.32% 18.18% 71.50%-1.36 +6.7 7
1958-10-19 Radnicki Beograd W 2-157.7 1591 1694 63.24% 18.42% 18.34%+0.60 +8.8 7
1958-10-19 @ Hajduk Split L 1-257.7 1694 1591 18.34% 18.42% 63.24%-0.60 -8.8 6
1958-10-19 Vojvodina W 2-049.4 1721 1734 70.08% 18.24% 11.68%+1.20 +11.7 10
1958-10-19 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-249.4 1734 1721 11.68% 18.24% 70.08%-1.20 -11.7 6
1958-10-19 Sarajevo W 3-043.1 1563 1585 69.47% 18.27% 12.26%+1.14 +17.7 5
1958-10-19 @ Vardar L 0-343.1 1585 1563 12.26% 18.27% 69.47%-1.14 -17.7 4
1958-10-19 Partizan W 6-251.6 1609 1666 67.07% 18.34% 14.59%+0.91 +19.2 6
1958-10-19 @ Velez Mostar L 2-651.6 1666 1609 14.59% 18.34% 67.07%-0.91 -19.2 5
1958-10-19 Dinamo Zagreb L 2-376.4 1590 1660 66.08% 18.37% 15.56%+0.82 -25.8 4
1958-10-19 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo W 3-276.4 1660 1590 15.56% 18.37% 66.08%-0.82 +25.8 7
1958-10-26 Vardar W 2-045.9 1686 1580 75.91% 17.84% 6.24%+1.98 +6.4 9
1958-10-26 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-245.9 1580 1686 6.24% 17.84% 75.91%-1.98 -6.4 5
1958-10-26 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo W 1-048.3 1685 1564 76.48% 17.78% 5.74%+2.09 +3.1 8
1958-10-26 @ Radnicki Beograd L 0-148.3 1564 1685 5.74% 17.78% 76.48%-2.09 -3.1 4
1958-10-26 Partizan W 2-047.4 1733 1647 75.14% 17.92% 6.94%+1.85 +7.1 12
1958-10-26 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-247.4 1647 1733 6.94% 17.92% 75.14%-1.85 -7.1 5
1958-10-26 Velez Mostar W 2-155.0 1602 1628 69.22% 18.28% 12.51%+1.11 +6.2 9
1958-10-26 @ Rijeka L 1-255.0 1628 1602 12.51% 18.28% 69.22%-1.11 -6.2 6
1958-10-26 Buducnost Titograd D 1-170.5 1568 1599 68.91% 18.29% 12.81%+1.08 -6.0 5
1958-10-26 @ Sarajevo D 1-170.5 1599 1568 12.81% 18.29% 68.91%-1.08 +6.0 6
1958-10-26 Hajduk Split W 4-149.2 1723 1599 76.56% 17.77% 5.67%+2.10 +7.2 8
1958-10-26 @ Vojvodina L 1-449.2 1599 1723 5.67% 17.77% 76.56%-2.10 -7.2 7
1958-11-02 Radnicki Beograd W 3-153.9 1692 1689 71.11% 18.20% 10.70%+1.31 +9.3 11
1958-11-02 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 1-353.9 1689 1692 10.70% 18.20% 71.11%-1.31 -9.3 8
1958-11-02 Partizan L 0-166.7 1592 1640 67.77% 18.32% 13.90%+0.97 -29.6 7
1958-11-02 @ Hajduk Split W 1-066.7 1640 1592 13.90% 18.32% 67.77%-0.97 +29.6 7
1958-11-02 Rijeka W 3-044.5 1740 1608 76.86% 17.73% 5.41%+2.16 +8.1 14
1958-11-02 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-344.5 1608 1740 5.41% 17.73% 76.86%-2.16 -8.1 9
1958-11-02 Buducnost Titograd L 1-270.8 1574 1605 68.92% 18.29% 12.79%+1.08 -28.5 5
1958-11-02 @ Vardar W 2-170.8 1605 1574 12.79% 18.29% 68.92%-1.08 +28.5 8
1958-11-02 Sarajevo W 2-044.8 1622 1562 74.05% 18.02% 7.94%+1.69 +8.1 8
1958-11-02 @ Velez Mostar L 0-244.8 1562 1622 7.94% 18.02% 74.05%-1.69 -8.1 5
1958-11-02 Vojvodina W 2-052.0 1561 1730 56.68% 18.47% 24.85%+0.17 +23.0 6
1958-11-02 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo L 0-252.0 1730 1561 24.85% 18.47% 56.68%-0.17 -23.0 8
1958-11-09 Velez Mostar L 0-168.2 1633 1630 71.08% 18.20% 10.72%+1.31 -31.2 8
1958-11-09 @ Buducnost Titograd W 1-068.2 1630 1633 10.72% 18.20% 71.08%-1.31 +31.2 10
1958-11-09 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo W 4-255.3 1669 1584 75.12% 17.92% 6.95%+1.85 +5.5 9
1958-11-09 @ Partizan L 2-455.3 1584 1669 6.95% 17.92% 75.12%-1.85 -5.5 6
1958-11-09 Vardar W 2-044.9 1679 1545 76.92% 17.72% 5.36%+2.17 +5.5 10
1958-11-09 @ Radnicki Beograd L 0-244.9 1545 1679 5.36% 17.72% 76.92%-2.17 -5.5 5
1958-11-09 Hajduk Split D 1-170.4 1600 1563 72.92% 18.10% 8.98%+1.53 -7.0 10
1958-11-09 @ Rijeka D 1-170.4 1563 1600 8.98% 18.10% 72.92%-1.53 +7.0 8
1958-11-09 Red Star Belgrade W 1-055.9 1554 1748 53.70% 18.48% 27.82%+0.00 +13.4 7
1958-11-09 @ Sarajevo L 0-155.9 1748 1554 27.82% 18.48% 53.70%+0.00 -13.4 14
1958-11-09 Dinamo Zagreb W 1-051.6 1707 1702 71.20% 18.19% 10.60%+1.32 +5.7 10
1958-11-09 @ Vojvodina L 0-151.6 1702 1707 10.60% 18.19% 71.20%-1.32 -5.6 11
1958-11-16 Partizan W 4-151.0 1696 1675 72.07% 18.15% 9.78%+1.43 +12.1 13
1958-11-16 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 1-451.0 1675 1696 9.78% 18.15% 72.07%-1.43 -12.1 9
1958-11-16 Sarajevo W 1-047.3 1570 1567 71.05% 18.20% 10.75%+1.31 +5.7 10
1958-11-16 @ Hajduk Split L 0-147.3 1567 1570 10.75% 18.20% 71.05%-1.31 -5.7 7
1958-11-16 Vojvodina L 1-371.6 1685 1713 69.14% 18.28% 12.58%+1.10 -49.4 10
1958-11-16 @ Radnicki Beograd W 3-171.6 1713 1685 12.58% 18.28% 69.14%-1.10 +49.4 12
1958-11-16 Buducnost Titograd W 5-043.2 1735 1602 76.87% 17.73% 5.40%+2.16 +13.0 16
1958-11-16 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-543.2 1602 1735 5.40% 17.73% 76.87%-2.16 -13.0 8
1958-11-16 Velez Mostar W 4-045.8 1540 1661 61.58% 18.44% 19.98%+0.48 +36.0 7
1958-11-16 @ Vardar L 0-445.8 1661 1540 19.98% 18.44% 61.58%-0.48 -36.1 10
1958-11-16 Rijeka W 2-153.4 1579 1593 70.02% 18.25% 11.73%+1.19 +5.9 8
1958-11-16 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo L 1-253.4 1593 1579 11.73% 18.25% 70.02%-1.19 -5.9 10
1958-11-23 Hajduk Split D 1-170.4 1589 1575 71.68% 18.17% 10.15%+1.38 -6.7 9
1958-11-23 @ Buducnost Titograd D 1-170.4 1575 1589 10.15% 18.17% 71.68%-1.38 +6.7 11
1958-11-23 Radnicki Beograd W 1-050.2 1663 1635 72.43% 18.13% 9.44%+1.47 +5.1 11
1958-11-23 @ Partizan L 0-150.2 1635 1663 9.44% 18.13% 72.43%-1.47 -5.1 10
1958-11-23 Dinamo Zagreb W 1-053.4 1587 1708 61.61% 18.44% 19.95%+0.49 +10.1 12
1958-11-23 @ Rijeka L 0-153.4 1708 1587 19.95% 18.44% 61.61%-0.49 -10.1 13
1958-11-23 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo D 0-065.9 1561 1584 69.44% 18.27% 12.29%+1.13 -6.9 8
1958-11-23 @ Sarajevo D 0-065.9 1584 1561 12.29% 18.27% 69.44%-1.13 +6.9 9
1958-11-23 Red Star Belgrade L 1-369.2 1625 1748 61.50% 18.44% 20.06%+0.48 -43.8 10
1958-11-23 @ Velez Mostar W 3-169.2 1748 1625 20.06% 18.44% 61.50%-0.48 +43.8 18
1958-11-23 Vardar W 2-046.1 1762 1576 78.49% 17.47% 4.04%+2.52 +4.2 14
1958-11-23 @ Vojvodina L 0-246.1 1576 1762 4.04% 17.47% 78.49%-2.52 -4.2 7
1959-03-15 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo W 2-045.7 1582 1591 70.35% 18.23% 11.42%+1.23 +11.4 11
1959-03-15 @ Buducnost Titograd L 0-245.7 1591 1582 11.42% 18.23% 70.35%-1.23 -11.4 9
1959-03-15 Vojvodina W 2-051.2 1668 1766 63.71% 18.41% 17.88%+0.64 +17.2 13
1959-03-15 @ Partizan L 0-251.2 1766 1668 17.88% 18.41% 63.71%-0.64 -17.2 14
1959-03-15 Radnicki Beograd D 1-171.8 1597 1630 68.77% 18.29% 12.94%+1.07 -6.0 13
1959-03-15 @ Rijeka D 1-171.8 1630 1597 12.94% 18.29% 68.77%-1.07 +6.0 11
1959-03-15 Dinamo Zagreb W 1-053.4 1554 1698 59.37% 18.46% 22.17%+0.34 +11.0 10
1959-03-15 @ Sarajevo L 0-153.4 1698 1554 22.17% 18.46% 59.37%-0.34 -11.0 13
1959-03-15 Red Star Belgrade W 1-057.5 1572 1791 50.60% 18.47% 30.93%-0.17 +14.7 9
1959-03-15 @ Vardar L 0-157.5 1791 1572 30.93% 18.47% 50.60%+0.17 -14.7 18
1959-03-15 Hajduk Split D 0-066.4 1582 1582 70.86% 18.21% 10.93%+1.28 -7.3 11
1959-03-15 @ Velez Mostar D 0-066.4 1582 1582 10.93% 18.21% 70.86%-1.28 +7.3 12
1959-03-22 Buducnost Titograd D 0-068.9 1687 1594 75.43% 17.89% 6.67%+1.90 -8.6 14
1959-03-22 @ Dinamo Zagreb D 0-068.9 1594 1687 6.67% 17.89% 75.43%-1.90 +8.5 12
1959-03-22 Red Star Belgrade W 4-156.3 1589 1777 54.56% 18.48% 26.96%+0.05 +30.2 14
1959-03-22 @ Hajduk Split L 1-456.3 1777 1589 26.96% 18.48% 54.56%-0.05 -30.2 18
1959-03-22 Vardar W 2-046.1 1685 1586 75.65% 17.87% 6.47%+1.94 +6.7 15
1959-03-22 @ Partizan L 0-246.1 1586 1685 6.47% 17.87% 75.65%-1.94 -6.7 9
1959-03-22 Sarajevo W 1-047.9 1636 1565 74.51% 17.98% 7.51%+1.76 +4.1 13
1959-03-22 @ Radnicki Beograd L 0-147.9 1565 1636 7.51% 17.98% 74.51%-1.76 -4.1 10
1959-03-22 Rijeka W 3-151.6 1749 1591 77.69% 17.61% 4.70%+2.33 +4.2 16
1959-03-22 @ Vojvodina L 1-351.6 1591 1749 4.70% 17.61% 77.69%-2.33 -4.2 13
1959-03-22 Velez Mostar W 1-047.7 1580 1574 71.22% 18.19% 10.59%+1.32 +5.6 11
1959-03-22 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo L 0-147.7 1574 1580 10.59% 18.19% 71.22%-1.32 -5.6 11
1959-03-29 Radnicki Beograd W 2-155.4 1602 1640 68.45% 18.30% 13.24%+1.04 +6.6 14
1959-03-29 @ Buducnost Titograd L 1-255.4 1640 1602 13.24% 18.30% 68.45%-1.04 -6.5 13
1959-03-29 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo W 1-049.0 1746 1586 77.78% 17.60% 4.63%+2.35 +2.5 20
1959-03-29 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-149.0 1586 1746 4.63% 17.60% 77.78%-2.35 -2.5 11
1959-03-29 Partizan D 3-382.0 1587 1692 63.10% 18.42% 18.48%+0.59 -2.9 14
1959-03-29 @ Rijeka D 3-382.0 1692 1587 18.48% 18.42% 63.10%-0.59 +2.9 16
1959-03-29 Vojvodina D 0-069.1 1561 1753 54.00% 18.48% 27.52%+0.02 -3.0 11
1959-03-29 @ Sarajevo D 0-069.1 1753 1561 27.52% 18.48% 54.00%-0.02 +3.0 17
1959-03-29 Hajduk Split L 0-560.1 1580 1620 68.32% 18.31% 13.37%+1.02 -131.8 9
1959-03-29 @ Vardar W 5-060.1 1620 1580 13.37% 18.31% 68.32%-1.02 +131.8 16
1959-03-29 Dinamo Zagreb W 2-157.2 1569 1678 62.68% 18.43% 18.89%+0.56 +9.0 13
1959-03-29 @ Velez Mostar L 1-257.2 1678 1569 18.89% 18.43% 62.68%-0.56 -9.0 14
1959-04-05 Red Star Belgrade D 0-070.0 1669 1749 65.29% 18.38% 16.33%+0.76 -5.8 15
1959-04-05 @ Dinamo Zagreb D 0-070.0 1749 1669 16.33% 18.38% 65.29%-0.76 +5.8 21
1959-04-05 Sarajevo D 1-172.5 1695 1558 77.01% 17.71% 5.28%+2.19 -8.0 17
1959-04-05 @ Partizan D 1-172.5 1558 1695 5.28% 17.71% 77.01%-2.19 +8.0 12
1959-04-05 Velez Mostar W 4-148.3 1634 1578 73.84% 18.03% 8.12%+1.66 +10.1 15
1959-04-05 @ Radnicki Beograd L 1-448.3 1578 1634 8.12% 18.03% 73.84%-1.66 -10.2 13
1959-04-05 Vardar W 1-042.0 1584 1448 76.99% 17.71% 5.30%+2.19 +2.9 16
1959-04-05 @ Rijeka L 0-142.0 1448 1584 5.30% 17.71% 76.99%-2.19 -2.9 9
1959-04-05 Buducnost Titograd W 5-043.3 1756 1609 77.35% 17.66% 4.99%+2.26 +12.1 19
1959-04-05 @ Vojvodina L 0-543.3 1609 1756 4.99% 17.66% 77.35%-2.26 -12.1 14
1959-04-05 Hajduk Split W 3-050.4 1583 1751 56.71% 18.47% 24.81%+0.17 +33.3 13
1959-04-05 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo L 0-350.4 1751 1583 24.81% 18.47% 56.71%-0.17 -33.3 16
1959-04-12 Partizan L 0-166.6 1597 1687 64.45% 18.40% 17.15%+0.69 -28.1 14
1959-04-12 @ Buducnost Titograd W 1-066.6 1687 1597 17.15% 18.40% 64.45%-0.69 +28.1 19
1959-04-12 Dinamo Zagreb D 1-173.9 1718 1664 73.77% 18.04% 8.19%+1.65 -7.2 17
1959-04-12 @ Hajduk Split D 1-173.9 1664 1718 8.19% 18.04% 73.77%-1.65 +7.2 16
1959-04-12 Radnicki Beograd D 0-070.1 1755 1644 76.12% 17.82% 6.06%+2.02 -8.7 22
1959-04-12 @ Red Star Belgrade D 0-070.1 1644 1755 6.06% 17.82% 76.12%-2.02 +8.7 16
1959-04-12 Rijeka W 4-148.1 1566 1587 69.62% 18.26% 12.12%+1.15 +14.8 14
1959-04-12 @ Sarajevo L 1-448.1 1587 1566 12.12% 18.26% 69.62%-1.15 -14.8 16
1959-04-12 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo D 1-167.1 1445 1616 56.40% 18.47% 25.13%+0.15 -3.2 10
1959-04-12 @ Vardar D 1-167.1 1616 1445 25.13% 18.47% 56.40%-0.15 +3.2 14
1959-04-12 Vojvodina D 2-278.6 1568 1768 52.95% 18.48% 28.57%-0.04 -1.8 14
1959-04-12 @ Velez Mostar D 2-278.6 1768 1568 28.57% 18.48% 52.95%+0.04 +1.8 20
1959-05-03 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo W 4-043.7 1671 1620 73.61% 18.05% 8.34%+1.63 +16.1 18
1959-05-03 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-443.7 1620 1671 8.34% 18.05% 73.61%-1.63 -16.1 14
1959-05-03 Velez Mostar W 1-048.5 1715 1566 77.41% 17.65% 4.94%+2.27 +2.7 21
1959-05-03 @ Partizan L 0-148.5 1566 1715 4.94% 17.65% 77.41%-2.27 -2.7 14
1959-05-03 Hajduk Split W 3-155.0 1653 1711 66.98% 18.34% 14.67%+0.90 +12.5 18
1959-05-03 @ Radnicki Beograd L 1-355.0 1711 1653 14.67% 18.34% 66.98%-0.90 -12.5 17
1959-05-03 Buducnost Titograd W 2-044.6 1572 1569 71.07% 18.20% 10.73%+1.31 +10.8 18
1959-05-03 @ Rijeka L 0-244.6 1569 1572 10.73% 18.20% 71.07%-1.31 -10.8 14
1959-05-03 Vardar W 3-251.4 1581 1442 77.10% 17.70% 5.21%+2.21 +2.6 16
1959-05-03 @ Sarajevo L 2-351.4 1442 1581 5.21% 17.70% 77.10%-2.21 -2.5 10
1959-05-03 Red Star Belgrade D 0-070.5 1770 1746 72.24% 18.14% 9.62%+1.45 -7.7 21
1959-05-03 @ Vojvodina D 0-070.5 1746 1770 9.62% 18.14% 72.24%-1.45 +7.7 23
1959-05-10 Sarajevo W 3-043.0 1558 1584 69.29% 18.27% 12.44%+1.12 +18.0 16
1959-05-10 @ Buducnost Titograd L 0-343.0 1584 1558 12.44% 18.27% 69.29%-1.12 -18.0 16
1959-05-10 Vojvodina D 1-174.3 1698 1762 66.54% 18.36% 15.10%+0.86 -5.5 18
1959-05-10 @ Hajduk Split D 1-174.3 1762 1698 15.10% 18.36% 66.54%-0.86 +5.5 22
1959-05-10 Red Star Belgrade W 3-155.2 1717 1754 68.57% 18.30% 13.14%+1.05 +11.3 23
1959-05-10 @ Partizan L 1-355.2 1754 1717 13.14% 18.30% 68.57%-1.05 -11.3 23
1959-05-10 Dinamo Zagreb L 1-262.8 1439 1687 46.94% 18.46% 34.60%-0.35 -19.6 10
1959-05-10 @ Vardar W 2-162.8 1687 1439 34.60% 18.46% 46.94%+0.35 +19.6 20
1959-05-10 Rijeka W 3-150.4 1563 1583 69.67% 18.26% 12.07%+1.16 +10.4 16
1959-05-10 @ Velez Mostar L 1-350.4 1583 1563 12.07% 18.26% 69.67%-1.16 -10.4 18
1959-05-10 Radnicki Beograd D 1-172.5 1603 1665 66.71% 18.35% 14.93%+0.88 -5.5 15
1959-05-10 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo D 1-172.5 1665 1603 14.93% 18.35% 66.71%-0.88 +5.5 19
1959-05-13 Vardar W 3-250.2 1576 1420 77.63% 17.62% 4.75%+2.32 +2.3 18
1959-05-13 @ Buducnost Titograd L 2-350.2 1420 1576 4.75% 17.62% 77.63%-2.32 -2.3 10
1959-05-13 Hajduk Split W 3-153.7 1729 1693 72.86% 18.10% 9.04%+1.52 +8.0 25
1959-05-13 @ Partizan L 1-353.7 1693 1729 9.04% 18.10% 72.86%-1.52 -8.0 18
1959-05-13 Dinamo Zagreb W 1-052.2 1671 1706 68.60% 18.30% 13.10%+1.05 +6.9 21
1959-05-13 @ Radnicki Beograd L 0-152.2 1706 1671 13.10% 18.30% 68.60%-1.05 -6.9 20
1959-05-13 Red Star Belgrade L 0-359.7 1572 1742 56.52% 18.47% 25.01%+0.16 -67.5 18
1959-05-13 @ Rijeka W 3-059.7 1742 1572 25.01% 18.47% 56.52%-0.16 +67.5 25
1959-05-13 Velez Mostar L 1-270.1 1566 1573 70.42% 18.23% 11.35%+1.24 -29.1 16
1959-05-13 @ Sarajevo W 2-170.1 1573 1566 11.35% 18.23% 70.42%-1.24 +29.1 18
1959-05-13 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo W 6-043.5 1768 1598 78.04% 17.55% 4.41%+2.41 +12.7 24
1959-05-13 @ Vojvodina L 0-643.5 1598 1768 4.41% 17.55% 78.04%-2.41 -12.7 15
1959-06-07 Vojvodina L 2-475.0 1700 1780 65.19% 18.39% 16.43%+0.75 -41.5 20
1959-06-07 @ Dinamo Zagreb W 4-275.0 1780 1700 16.43% 18.39% 65.19%-0.75 +41.5 26
1959-06-07 Rijeka W 6-246.6 1685 1505 78.33% 17.50% 4.17%+2.48 +5.8 20
1959-06-07 @ Hajduk Split L 2-646.6 1505 1685 4.17% 17.50% 78.33%-2.48 -5.8 18
1959-06-07 Sarajevo W 3-150.8 1810 1537 80.51% 16.98% 2.51%+3.10 +2.2 27
1959-06-07 @ Red Star Belgrade L 1-350.8 1537 1810 2.51% 16.98% 80.51%-3.10 -2.2 16
1959-06-07 Radnicki Beograd D 1-168.3 1418 1678 45.22% 18.45% 36.33%-0.43 -0.9 11
1959-06-07 @ Vardar D 1-168.3 1678 1418 36.33% 18.45% 45.22%+0.43 +0.9 22
1959-06-07 Buducnost Titograd W 2-153.0 1603 1578 72.25% 18.14% 9.61%+1.45 +4.9 20
1959-06-07 @ Velez Mostar L 1-253.0 1578 1603 9.61% 18.14% 72.25%-1.45 -4.9 18
1959-06-07 Partizan L 0-165.3 1585 1737 58.55% 18.46% 22.98%+0.28 -25.5 15
1959-06-07 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo W 1-065.3 1737 1585 22.98% 18.46% 58.55%-0.28 +25.5 27
1959-06-14 Red Star Belgrade L 1-560.9 1574 1812 48.11% 18.46% 33.43%-0.29 -63.3 18
1959-06-14 @ Buducnost Titograd W 5-160.9 1812 1574 33.43% 18.46% 48.11%+0.29 +63.3 29
1959-06-14 Dinamo Zagreb W 4-150.2 1762 1658 75.87% 17.85% 6.29%+1.98 +7.9 29
1959-06-14 @ Partizan L 1-450.2 1658 1762 6.29% 17.85% 75.87%-1.98 -7.9 20
1959-06-14 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo W 2-043.2 1499 1560 66.79% 18.35% 14.86%+0.88 +14.6 20
1959-06-14 @ Rijeka L 0-243.2 1560 1499 14.86% 18.35% 66.79%-0.88 -14.6 15
1959-06-14 Hajduk Split W 2-158.2 1534 1691 58.02% 18.47% 23.51%+0.25 +11.0 18
1959-06-14 @ Sarajevo L 1-258.2 1691 1534 23.51% 18.47% 58.02%-0.25 -11.0 20
1959-06-14 Vardar W 7-137.6 1607 1417 78.62% 17.45% 3.93%+2.55 +9.3 22
1959-06-14 @ Velez Mostar L 1-737.6 1417 1607 3.93% 17.45% 78.62%-2.55 -9.3 11
1959-06-14 Radnicki Beograd W 2-155.1 1822 1678 77.24% 17.68% 5.08%+2.24 +2.6 28
1959-06-14 @ Vojvodina L 1-255.1 1678 1822 5.08% 17.68% 77.24%-2.24 -2.6 22
1959-06-22 Rijeka W 6-040.5 1650 1514 77.01% 17.71% 5.28%+2.19 +15.2 22
1959-06-22 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-640.5 1514 1650 5.28% 17.71% 77.01%-2.19 -15.2 20
1959-06-22 Buducnost Titograd D 1-171.3 1680 1510 78.03% 17.55% 4.41%+2.41 -8.3 21
1959-06-22 @ Hajduk Split D 1-171.3 1510 1680 4.41% 17.55% 78.03%-2.41 +8.3 19
1959-06-22 Partizan L 1-272.8 1676 1770 64.05% 18.41% 17.54%+0.66 -26.3 22
1959-06-22 @ Radnicki Beograd W 2-172.8 1770 1676 17.54% 18.41% 64.05%-0.66 +26.3 31
1959-06-22 Velez Mostar W 4-043.3 1876 1617 80.21% 17.07% 2.72%+3.00 +5.3 31
1959-06-22 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-443.3 1617 1876 2.72% 17.07% 80.21%-3.00 -5.3 22
1959-06-22 Vojvodina L 1-356.2 1407 1825 24.68% 18.12% 57.20%-1.48 -19.7 11
1959-06-22 @ Vardar W 3-156.2 1825 1407 57.20% 18.12% 24.68%+1.48 +19.7 30
1959-06-22 Sarajevo W 4-145.8 1545 1545 70.88% 18.21% 10.91%+1.29 +13.4 17
1959-06-22 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo L 1-445.8 1545 1545 10.91% 18.21% 70.88%-1.29 -13.4 18

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1958-08-31 7.16% Rijeka 1555 3 @ Radnicki Beograd 1635 2
2 1958-09-28 8.33% Radnicki Beograd 1623 3 @ Velez Mostar 1675 1
3 1958-08-31 10.37% Velez Mostar 1623 2 @ Hajduk Split 1633 0
4 1958-11-09 10.72% Velez Mostar 1630 1 @ Buducnost Titograd 1633 0
5 1959-05-13 11.35% Velez Mostar 1573 2 @ Sarajevo 1566 1
6 1958-11-16 12.58% Vojvodina 1713 3 @ Radnicki Beograd 1685 1
7 1958-11-02 12.79% Buducnost Titograd 1605 2 @ Vardar 1574 1
8 1959-03-29 13.37% Hajduk Split 1620 5 @ Vardar 1580 0
9 1958-11-02 13.90% Partizan 1640 1 @ Hajduk Split 1592 0
10 1958-10-19 15.56% Dinamo Zagreb 1660 3 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1590 2
11 1958-09-21 16.30% Red Star Belgrade 1695 2 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1616 1
12 1959-06-07 16.43% Vojvodina 1780 4 @ Dinamo Zagreb 1700 2
13 1959-04-12 17.15% Partizan 1687 1 @ Buducnost Titograd 1597 0
14 1959-06-22 17.54% Partizan 1770 2 @ Radnicki Beograd 1676 1
15 1958-09-21 17.70% Vojvodina 1707 4 @ Sarajevo 1611 3
16 1958-11-23 20.06% Red Star Belgrade 1748 3 @ Velez Mostar 1625 1
17 1959-06-07 22.98% Partizan 1737 1 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1585 0
18 1959-05-13 25.01% Red Star Belgrade 1742 3 @ Rijeka 1572 0
19 1959-06-14 33.43% Red Star Belgrade 1812 5 @ Buducnost Titograd 1574 1
20 1959-05-10 34.60% Dinamo Zagreb 1687 2 @ Vardar 1439 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1959-03-29 131.79 Hajduk Split 5 1620 13.37% @ Vardar 0 1580 68.32% 18.31%
2 1959-05-13 67.50 Red Star Belgrade 3 1742 25.01% @ Rijeka 0 1572 56.52% 18.47%
3 1959-06-14 63.31 Red Star Belgrade 5 1812 33.43% @ Buducnost Titograd 1 1574 48.11% 18.46%
4 1958-08-31 59.14 Velez Mostar 2 1623 10.37% @ Hajduk Split 0 1633 71.44% 18.18%
5 1958-09-28 52.91 Radnicki Beograd 3 1623 8.33% @ Velez Mostar 1 1675 73.62% 18.05%
6 1958-11-16 49.44 Vojvodina 3 1713 12.58% @ Radnicki Beograd 1 1685 69.14% 18.28%
7 1958-11-23 43.75 Red Star Belgrade 3 1748 20.06% @ Velez Mostar 1 1625 61.50% 18.44%
8 1959-06-07 41.54 Vojvodina 4 1780 16.43% @ Dinamo Zagreb 2 1700 65.19% 18.39%
9 1958-11-16 36.05 @ Vardar 4 1540 61.58% Velez Mostar 0 1661 19.98% 18.44%
10 1959-04-05 33.33 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 3 1583 56.71% Hajduk Split 0 1751 24.81% 18.47%
11 1958-11-09 31.19 Velez Mostar 1 1630 10.72% @ Buducnost Titograd 0 1633 71.08% 18.20%
12 1959-03-22 30.18 @ Hajduk Split 4 1589 54.56% Red Star Belgrade 1 1777 26.96% 18.48%
13 1958-11-02 29.63 Partizan 1 1640 13.90% @ Hajduk Split 0 1592 67.77% 18.32%
14 1958-08-31 29.53 Rijeka 3 1555 7.16% @ Radnicki Beograd 2 1635 74.90% 17.95%
15 1959-05-13 29.11 Velez Mostar 2 1573 11.35% @ Sarajevo 1 1566 70.42% 18.23%
16 1958-11-02 28.45 Buducnost Titograd 2 1605 12.79% @ Vardar 1 1574 68.92% 18.29%
17 1959-04-12 28.11 Partizan 1 1687 17.15% @ Buducnost Titograd 0 1597 64.45% 18.40%
18 1958-09-21 26.87 Red Star Belgrade 2 1695 16.30% @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1 1616 65.31% 18.38%
19 1959-06-22 26.33 Partizan 2 1770 17.54% @ Radnicki Beograd 1 1676 64.05% 18.41%
20 1958-10-19 25.80 Dinamo Zagreb 3 1660 15.56% @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2 1590 66.08% 18.37%
21 1959-06-07 25.51 Partizan 1 1737 22.98% @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 0 1585 58.55% 18.46%
22 1958-09-21 24.32 Vojvodina 4 1707 17.70% @ Sarajevo 3 1611 63.89% 18.41%
23 1958-09-21 23.51 @ Radnicki Beograd 4 1600 69.27% Buducnost Titograd 0 1626 12.46% 18.27%
24 1958-11-02 22.98 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2 1561 56.68% Vojvodina 0 1730 24.85% 18.47%
25 1958-09-07 21.24 @ Red Star Belgrade 7 1674 75.71% Hajduk Split 0 1574 6.42% 17.87%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1959-03-29 82.0 @ Rijeka 3 1587 63.10% Partizan 3 1692 18.48% 18.42%
2 1958-09-21 79.7 Vojvodina 4 1707 17.70% @ Sarajevo 3 1611 63.89% 18.41%
3 1959-04-12 78.6 @ Velez Mostar 2 1568 52.95% Vojvodina 2 1768 28.57% 18.48%
4 1958-08-31 77.7 Rijeka 3 1555 7.16% @ Radnicki Beograd 2 1635 74.90% 17.95%
5 1958-10-19 76.4 Dinamo Zagreb 3 1660 15.56% @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2 1590 66.08% 18.37%
6 1959-06-07 75.0 Vojvodina 4 1780 16.43% @ Dinamo Zagreb 2 1700 65.19% 18.39%
7 1959-05-10 74.3 @ Hajduk Split 1 1698 66.54% Vojvodina 1 1762 15.10% 18.36%
8 1959-04-12 73.9 @ Hajduk Split 1 1718 73.77% Dinamo Zagreb 1 1664 8.19% 18.04%
9 1959-06-22 72.8 Partizan 2 1770 17.54% @ Radnicki Beograd 1 1676 64.05% 18.41%
10 1959-04-05 72.5 @ Partizan 1 1695 77.01% Sarajevo 1 1558 5.28% 17.71%
11 1959-05-10 72.5 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1 1603 66.71% Radnicki Beograd 1 1665 14.93% 18.35%
12 1958-10-12 72.4 @ Dinamo Zagreb 1 1668 75.09% Hajduk Split 1 1583 6.99% 17.93%
13 1958-09-21 72.1 Red Star Belgrade 2 1695 16.30% @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1 1616 65.31% 18.38%
14 1958-09-28 71.9 Radnicki Beograd 3 1623 8.33% @ Velez Mostar 1 1675 73.62% 18.05%
15 1959-03-15 71.8 @ Rijeka 1 1597 68.77% Radnicki Beograd 1 1630 12.94% 18.29%
16 1958-11-16 71.6 Vojvodina 3 1713 12.58% @ Radnicki Beograd 1 1685 69.14% 18.28%
17 1958-10-19 71.3 @ Buducnost Titograd 1 1606 71.50% Rijeka 1 1595 10.32% 18.18%
18 1959-06-22 71.3 @ Hajduk Split 1 1680 78.03% Buducnost Titograd 1 1510 4.41% 17.55%
19 1958-11-02 70.8 Buducnost Titograd 2 1605 12.79% @ Vardar 1 1574 68.92% 18.29%
20 1958-10-26 70.5 @ Sarajevo 1 1568 68.91% Buducnost Titograd 1 1599 12.81% 18.29%
21 1959-05-03 70.5 @ Vojvodina 0 1770 72.24% Red Star Belgrade 0 1746 9.62% 18.14%
22 1958-11-09 70.4 @ Rijeka 1 1600 72.92% Hajduk Split 1 1563 8.98% 18.10%
23 1958-11-23 70.4 @ Buducnost Titograd 1 1589 71.68% Hajduk Split 1 1575 10.15% 18.17%
24 1959-04-12 70.1 @ Red Star Belgrade 0 1755 76.12% Radnicki Beograd 0 1644 6.06% 17.82%
25 1959-05-13 70.1 Velez Mostar 2 1573 11.35% @ Sarajevo 1 1566 70.42% 18.23%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1959-06-14 37.6 @ Velez Mostar 7 1607 78.62% Vardar 1 1417 3.93% 17.45%
2 1959-06-22 40.5 @ Dinamo Zagreb 6 1650 77.01% Rijeka 0 1514 5.28% 17.71%
3 1959-04-05 42.0 @ Rijeka 1 1584 76.99% Vardar 0 1448 5.30% 17.71%
4 1959-05-10 43.0 @ Buducnost Titograd 3 1558 69.29% Sarajevo 0 1584 12.44% 18.27%
5 1958-10-19 43.1 @ Vardar 3 1563 69.47% Sarajevo 0 1585 12.26% 18.27%
6 1958-09-21 43.2 @ Hajduk Split 3 1552 68.54% Vardar 0 1589 13.16% 18.30%
7 1958-11-16 43.2 @ Red Star Belgrade 5 1735 76.87% Buducnost Titograd 0 1602 5.40% 17.73%
8 1959-06-14 43.2 @ Rijeka 2 1499 66.79% Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 0 1560 14.86% 18.35%
9 1958-09-07 43.3 @ Red Star Belgrade 7 1674 75.71% Hajduk Split 0 1574 6.42% 17.87%
10 1959-04-05 43.3 @ Vojvodina 5 1756 77.35% Buducnost Titograd 0 1609 4.99% 17.66%
11 1959-06-22 43.3 @ Red Star Belgrade 4 1876 80.21% Velez Mostar 0 1617 2.72% 17.07%
12 1959-05-13 43.5 @ Vojvodina 6 1768 78.04% Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 0 1598 4.41% 17.55%
13 1958-10-12 43.7 @ Vojvodina 4 1722 75.71% Velez Mostar 0 1622 6.42% 17.87%
14 1959-05-03 43.7 @ Dinamo Zagreb 4 1671 73.61% Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 0 1620 8.34% 18.05%
15 1958-09-21 44.0 @ Radnicki Beograd 4 1600 69.27% Buducnost Titograd 0 1626 12.46% 18.27%
16 1958-11-02 44.5 @ Red Star Belgrade 3 1740 76.86% Rijeka 0 1608 5.41% 17.73%
17 1959-05-03 44.6 @ Rijeka 2 1572 71.07% Buducnost Titograd 0 1569 10.73% 18.20%
18 1958-11-02 44.8 @ Velez Mostar 2 1622 74.05% Sarajevo 0 1562 7.94% 18.02%
19 1958-11-09 44.9 @ Radnicki Beograd 2 1679 76.92% Vardar 0 1545 5.36% 17.72%
20 1958-09-28 45.1 @ Red Star Belgrade 4 1722 72.91% Dinamo Zagreb 0 1685 8.99% 18.10%
21 1958-09-28 45.5 @ Hajduk Split 2 1571 69.82% Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 0 1589 11.93% 18.25%
22 1959-03-15 45.7 @ Buducnost Titograd 2 1582 70.35% Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 0 1591 11.42% 18.23%
23 1958-11-16 45.8 @ Vardar 4 1540 61.58% Velez Mostar 0 1661 19.98% 18.44%
24 1959-06-22 45.8 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 4 1545 70.88% Sarajevo 1 1545 10.91% 18.21%
25 1958-10-26 45.9 @ Dinamo Zagreb 2 1686 75.91% Vardar 0 1580 6.24% 17.84%