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1959-60 Prva savezna liga Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Red Star Belgrade

33 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Dinamo Zagreb

5.83 points above expected

32 points · 26.17 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sloboda Tuzla

7.41 points below expected

11 points · 18.41 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Red Star Belgrade 22 15 3 4 33 47 25 +22 31.24 +1.76
2 Dinamo Zagreb 22 14 4 4 32 48 20 +28 26.17 +5.83
3 Partizan 22 11 5 6 27 49 29 +20 27.69 -0.69
4 Vojvodina 22 10 7 5 27 36 22 +14 27.70 -0.70
5 Hajduk Split 22 10 6 6 26 47 26 +21 24.83 +1.17
6 Sarajevo 22 9 5 8 23 35 39 -4 17.74 +5.26
7 OFK Beograd 22 7 7 8 21 28 30 -2 19.69 +1.31
8 Rijeka 22 7 4 11 18 28 52 -24 14.94 +3.06
9 Radnicki Beograd 22 5 7 10 17 31 38 -7 21.42 -4.42
10 Velez Mostar 22 5 7 10 17 27 39 -12 19.00 -2.00
11 Buducnost Titograd 22 4 4 14 12 16 40 -24 15.17 -3.17
12 Sloboda Tuzla 22 3 5 14 11 15 47 -32 18.41 -7.41

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dinamo Zagreb 32 26.17 +5.83
2 Sarajevo 23 17.74 +5.26
3 Rijeka 18 14.94 +3.06
4 Red Star Belgrade 33 31.24 +1.76
5 OFK Beograd 21 19.69 +1.31

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sloboda Tuzla 11 18.41 -7.41
2 Radnicki Beograd 17 21.42 -4.42
3 Buducnost Titograd 12 15.17 -3.17
4 Velez Mostar 17 19.00 -2.00
5 Vojvodina 27 27.70 -0.70

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rijeka 4 Nov 28 – Mar 20 1 in 3,198
2 Sarajevo 3 Mar 27 – Apr 17 1 in 74
3 Dinamo Zagreb 5 Aug 30 – Sep 27 1 in 73
4 Partizan 3 Nov 8 – Nov 28 1 in 14
5 OFK Beograd 2 Oct 4 – Nov 1 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vojvodina 4 Mar 13 – Apr 3 1 in 1,724
2 Sloboda Tuzla 8 Nov 28 – Apr 24 1 in 820
3 Partizan 2 Jun 5 – Jun 12 1 in 25
4 Radnicki Beograd 3 Mar 27 – Apr 17 1 in 20
5 Rijeka 5 Aug 30 – Sep 27 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rijeka 5 Nov 28 – Mar 27 1 in 98
2 OFK Beograd 5 Apr 3 – May 29 1 in 20
3 Dinamo Zagreb 7 Mar 13 – May 15 1 in 10
4 Red Star Belgrade 11 Sep 20 – Mar 27 1 in 9
5 Buducnost Titograd 3 Mar 13 – Mar 27 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sloboda Tuzla 19 Sep 20 – Jun 19 1 in 433
2 Radnicki Beograd 9 Mar 27 – Jun 19 1 in 40
3 Vojvodina 4 Mar 13 – Apr 3 1 in 31
4 Velez Mostar 7 Apr 17 – Jun 19 1 in 12
5 Hajduk Split 3 Apr 17 – May 15 1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Red Star Belgrade 1801 33 -4 8 7.7 +0.3
Dinamo Zagreb 1759 32 +13 7 6.2 +0.8
Vojvodina 1742 27 +23 7 5.5 +1.5
Partizan 1760 27 +10 5 6.1 -1.1
Hajduk Split 1717 26 +13 7 6.2 +0.8
Sarajevo 1589 23 +4 6 5.3 +0.7
OFK Beograd 1591 21 +10 6 4.2 +1.8
Rijeka 1517 18 -7 4 3.8 +0.2
Radnicki Beograd 1555 17 -34 3 4.5 -1.5
Velez Mostar 1524 17 -18 2 4.1 -2.1
Buducnost Titograd 1479 12 +8 3 3.2 -0.2
Sloboda Tuzla 1439 11 -20 2 3.1 -1.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BT DZ HS OB PAR RB RSB RIJ SAR ST VM VOJ
Buducnost Titograd —
0-0-2
1.31
0-0-2
1.39
0-1-1
1.99
0-1-1
1.47
1-0-1
1.89
1-0-1
1.04
0-1-1
2.86
0-1-1
2.34
1-0-1
2.36
1-0-1
2.12
0-0-2
1.34
Dinamo Zagreb
2-0-0
4.21
—
1-0-1
3.02
0-1-1
3.81
1-0-1
2.65
2-0-0
3.28
1-1-0
1.95
1-0-1
4.37
2-0-0
3.63
2-0-0
3.49
2-0-0
3.94
0-2-0
2.67
Hajduk Split
2-0-0
4.13
1-0-1
2.47
—
2-0-0
3.45
0-1-1
2.34
0-2-0
3.23
1-0-1
1.92
1-1-0
4.01
1-0-1
3.60
1-1-0
3.80
1-0-1
3.23
0-1-1
2.45
OFK Beograd
1-1-0
3.51
1-1-0
1.69
0-0-2
2.04
—
1-0-1
1.83
1-0-1
2.39
0-0-2
1.42
1-0-1
3.43
0-1-1
3.11
1-1-0
2.97
1-1-0
2.91
0-2-0
1.73
Partizan
1-1-0
4.06
1-0-1
2.84
1-1-0
3.15
1-0-1
3.68
—
1-0-1
3.66
0-1-1
2.45
2-0-0
4.27
2-0-0
3.91
2-0-0
3.86
0-1-1
3.78
0-1-1
2.75
Radnicki Beograd
1-0-1
3.60
0-0-2
2.21
0-2-0
2.27
1-0-1
3.10
1-0-1
1.84
—
0-0-2
1.56
1-1-0
3.70
0-2-0
3.01
1-0-1
3.13
0-2-0
2.97
0-0-2
2.00
Red Star Belgrade
1-0-1
4.52
0-1-1
3.55
1-0-1
3.58
2-0-0
4.10
1-1-0
3.04
2-0-0
3.96
—
2-0-0
4.57
2-0-0
4.09
2-0-0
4.52
1-1-0
4.19
1-0-1
2.85
Rijeka
1-1-0
2.63
1-0-1
1.16
0-1-1
1.50
1-0-1
2.06
0-0-2
1.26
0-1-1
1.80
0-0-2
0.98
—
0-1-1
2.23
2-0-0
2.54
1-0-1
1.89
1-0-1
1.22
Sarajevo
1-1-0
3.16
0-0-2
1.88
1-0-1
1.90
1-1-0
2.38
0-0-2
1.59
0-2-0
2.47
0-0-2
1.44
1-1-0
3.27
—
1-0-1
2.50
2-0-0
2.58
2-0-0
1.24
Sloboda Tuzla
1-0-1
3.14
0-0-2
2.02
0-1-1
1.70
0-1-1
2.52
0-0-2
1.68
1-0-1
2.36
0-0-2
1.02
0-0-2
2.97
1-0-1
2.99
—
0-2-0
2.36
0-1-1
1.54
Velez Mostar
1-0-1
3.37
0-0-2
1.57
1-0-1
2.26
0-1-1
2.58
1-1-0
1.72
0-2-0
2.52
0-1-1
1.33
1-0-1
3.61
0-0-2
2.91
0-2-0
3.13
—
1-0-1
1.52
Vojvodina
2-0-0
4.19
0-2-0
2.83
1-1-0
3.04
0-2-0
3.77
1-1-0
2.74
2-0-0
3.51
1-0-1
2.64
1-0-1
4.32
0-0-2
4.29
1-1-0
3.98
1-0-1
3.99
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.87 +5.6
Allowed 0.69 -6.0
Differential 0.90 +3.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.82%9.47%5.30%1.89%1.89%1.52%26.89%
19.47%8.33%6.82%1.89%1.52%2.27%30.30%
25.30%6.82%6.82%2.27%1.14%0.76%23.11%
31.89%1.89%2.27%1.52%0.76%—8.33%
41.89%1.52%1.14%0.76%0.76%0.38%6.44%
5+1.52%2.27%0.76%—0.38%—4.92%
Total26.89%30.30%23.11%8.33%6.44%4.92%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 1.54 +0.00
SD 1.46 1.46 2.09
CV 0.95 0.95 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%18.18%9.09%9.09%—4.55%54.55%
14.55%—4.55%4.55%4.55%—18.18%
24.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%27.27%18.18%18.18%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.82 -1.09
SD 0.88 1.59 1.77
CV 1.21 0.88 —
Max 2 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%————13.64%
118.18%—4.55%———22.73%
29.09%4.55%9.09%9.09%——31.82%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
49.09%——4.55%——13.64%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total54.55%13.64%18.18%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 0.91 +1.27
SD 1.62 1.15 1.91
CV 0.74 1.27 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%————18.18%
14.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
29.09%—9.09%———18.18%
34.55%—9.09%4.55%——18.18%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total31.82%27.27%31.82%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 1.18 +0.95
SD 1.88 1.01 2.19
CV 0.88 0.85 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%———4.55%27.27%
14.55%13.64%18.18%———36.36%
29.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
3——9.09%———9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%31.82%31.82%—4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.36 -0.09
SD 1.12 1.29 1.63
CV 0.88 0.95 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
1—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
29.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
3—4.55%—4.55%4.55%—13.64%
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total22.73%45.45%13.64%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.32 +0.91
SD 1.66 1.13 2.07
CV 0.75 0.86 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%13.64%—4.55%—31.82%
19.09%13.64%9.09%———31.82%
2—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
34.55%——4.55%——9.09%
4—4.55%——4.55%4.55%13.64%
5+———————
Total13.64%36.36%31.82%4.55%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.73 -0.32
SD 1.40 1.32 1.59
CV 1.00 0.76 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
19.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
24.55%22.73%————27.27%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+—9.09%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
Total22.73%50.00%22.73%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 1.14 +1.00
SD 1.73 0.94 1.66
CV 0.81 0.83 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%—4.55%4.55%22.73%
14.55%13.64%—4.55%4.55%18.18%45.45%
24.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%36.36%13.64%4.55%9.09%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 2.36 -1.09
SD 1.08 2.01 2.64
CV 0.85 0.85 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%——4.55%—18.18%
118.18%9.09%9.09%—4.55%4.55%45.45%
2—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4———4.55%4.55%—9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total27.27%31.82%13.64%4.55%18.18%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.77 -0.18
SD 1.40 1.85 2.22
CV 0.88 1.04 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%13.64%13.64%4.55%—4.55%50.00%
113.64%——9.09%4.55%4.55%31.82%
2——9.09%——9.09%18.18%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%13.64%22.73%13.64%4.55%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.68 2.14 -1.45
SD 0.78 1.91 1.79
CV 1.14 0.89 —
Max 2 6 +1
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%—9.09%—27.27%
19.09%18.18%9.09%———36.36%
2—9.09%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
3—4.55%—4.55%4.55%—13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%36.36%22.73%13.64%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.77 -0.55
SD 1.02 1.27 1.50
CV 0.83 0.72 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
118.18%4.55%9.09%———31.82%
213.64%—18.18%———31.82%
3———————
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total45.45%13.64%36.36%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.00 +0.64
SD 1.59 1.02 1.92
CV 0.97 1.02 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Red Star Belgrade 1801 33 31.24 +1.76 80.0% 20 24 29 32 33 36 41
Partizan 1760 27 27.69 -0.69 48.0% 19 21 25 28 31 34 35
Dinamo Zagreb 1759 32 26.17 +5.83 94.0% 16 19 24 26 28 33 39
Vojvodina 1742 27 27.70 -0.70 46.0% 19 21 25 28 30 34 37
Hajduk Split 1717 26 24.83 +1.17 66.0% 14 19 22 25 27 31 33
OFK Beograd 1591 21 19.69 +1.31 69.0% 9 13 17 20 22 26 29
Sarajevo 1589 23 17.74 +5.26 91.0% 9 12 15 17 20 24 29
Radnicki Beograd 1555 17 21.42 -4.42 9.0% 12 15 19 21 24 28 30
Velez Mostar 1524 17 19.00 -2.00 32.0% 9 13 16 19 21 26 30
Rijeka 1517 18 14.94 +3.06 92.0% 8 9 13 15 17 19 22
Buducnost Titograd 1479 12 15.17 -3.17 20.0% 6 9 13 15 17 20 22
Sloboda Tuzla 1439 11 18.41 -7.41 4.0% 10 12 16 18 21 25 26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 33.5% * Slight Edge: 33.5% to 40% * Clear Edge: 40% to 45.5% * Strong Edge: 45.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+18.18%
No Edge
46.97%24.24%28.79%
Elo Value
Home Edge
173 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
063.88500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.34 goals
Neutral
-2+0.37+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 4 * Top-Heavy: 4 to 5 * Open: 5 to 7 * Wide Open: 7 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.09 * Comfortable: 0.09 to 0.17 * Runaway: 0.17 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.6
One-Team Race
145710
Champion Preseason Odds
58%
Red Star Belgrade, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.94 * Some Luck: 2.94 to 4.4 * Lucky: 4.4 to 5.87 * Wild Swing: 5.87 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.27 * Close: 1.27 to 1.9 * Off: 1.9 to 2.53 * Way Off: 2.53 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.73 points
Some Luck
03.679
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.67
Close
01.584
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
94.00%
Dinamo Zagreb
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
4.00%
Sloboda Tuzla
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.09 * Even: 0.09 to 0.11 * Top-Heavy: 0.11 to 0.16 * Lopsided: 0.16 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.15 * Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.35 * Strong Separation: 1.35 to 1.65 * Wide Separation: 1.65 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61% * Slight Edge: 61% to 63.5% * Clear Edge: 63.5% to 67% * Wide Edge: 67% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82% * Clear Edge: 82% to 86.5% * Strong Edge: 86.5% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56% * Some Drama: 56% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 64% * Very Frequent: 64% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 20.5% * Very Frequent: 20.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Lopsided
00.090.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 126.02
1.77
Wide Separation
0.91.151.351.652.5
Interquartile Edge
78%
Wide Edge
50%61%67%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
89%
Strong Edge
50%93%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Frequent
0%52%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Frequent
0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.54 * Slight Separation: 0.54 to 0.62 * Notable Separation: 0.62 to 0.69 * Lopsided: 0.69 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 13.5% * As Expected: 13.5% to 15.5% * Upset-Prone: 15.5% to 20% * Very Upset-Prone: 20% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Shaky: 18.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.45
Very Even
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.00
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.69
Near-Lock
00.470.61
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Very Upset-Prone
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Shaky Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.20
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.87
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.104
Well Within Noise
00.1460.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Red Star Belgrade58.00%22.00%9.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%—1.00%————
Dinamo Zagreb8.00%16.00%22.00%21.00%12.00%11.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%——
Partizan19.00%25.00%19.00%17.00%12.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%———
Vojvodina9.00%26.00%24.00%15.00%18.00%2.00%5.00%1.00%————
Hajduk Split6.00%8.00%13.00%26.00%18.00%10.00%10.00%3.00%5.00%1.00%——
Sarajevo——2.00%1.00%2.00%10.00%15.00%7.00%23.00%13.00%19.00%8.00%
OFK Beograd—2.00%1.00%3.00%10.00%14.00%20.00%18.00%8.00%4.00%15.00%5.00%
Rijeka—————2.00%2.00%4.00%13.00%24.00%22.00%33.00%
Radnicki Beograd——9.00%8.00%10.00%19.00%17.00%19.00%10.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%
Velez Mostar—1.00%1.00%4.00%4.00%12.00%12.00%13.00%20.00%20.00%7.00%6.00%
Buducnost Titograd————1.00%3.00%3.00%11.00%10.00%13.00%25.00%34.00%
Sloboda Tuzla———1.00%9.00%10.00%11.00%19.00%8.00%20.00%10.00%12.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Dinamo Zagreb 100% —
Hajduk Split 100% —
Partizan 100% —
Red Star Belgrade 100% —
Vojvodina 100% —
Radnicki Beograd 96.00% 4.00%
Velez Mostar 87.00% 13.00%
OFK Beograd 80.00% 20.00%
Sloboda Tuzla 78.00% 22.00%
Sarajevo 73.00% 27.00%
Rijeka 45.00% 55.00%
Buducnost Titograd 41.00% 59.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1959-08-30 Red Star Belgrade W 2-166.8 1628 1762 31.90% 25.53% 42.56%-0.41 +10.8 2
1959-08-30 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 1-266.8 1762 1628 42.56% 25.53% 31.90%+0.41 -10.8 0
1959-08-30 Partizan D 1-170.3 1631 1696 41.44% 25.70% 32.86%-0.01 -0.5 1
1959-08-30 @ Hajduk Split D 1-170.3 1696 1631 32.86% 25.70% 41.44%+0.01 +0.5 1
1959-08-30 Rijeka W 4-149.1 1592 1521 57.34% 25.08% 17.58%+0.79 +13.1 2
1959-08-30 @ OFK Beograd L 1-449.1 1521 1592 17.58% 25.08% 57.34%-0.79 -13.1 0
1959-08-30 Buducnost Titograd W 3-045.3 1618 1534 58.50% 24.96% 16.54%+0.86 +14.8 2
1959-08-30 @ Radnicki Beograd L 0-345.3 1534 1618 16.54% 24.96% 58.50%-0.86 -14.8 0
1959-08-30 Sarajevo W 1-051.0 1617 1544 57.49% 25.06% 17.45%+0.79 +5.6 2
1959-08-30 @ Sloboda Tuzla L 0-151.0 1544 1617 17.45% 25.06% 57.49%-0.79 -5.6 0
1959-08-30 Velez Mostar W 2-049.3 1737 1593 63.39% 24.27% 12.35%+1.20 +7.8 2
1959-08-30 @ Vojvodina L 0-249.3 1593 1737 12.35% 24.27% 63.39%-1.20 -7.8 0
1959-09-06 Partizan L 2-460.9 1519 1696 26.50% 25.26% 48.24%-0.66 -11.6 0
1959-09-06 @ Buducnost Titograd W 4-260.9 1696 1519 48.24% 25.26% 26.50%+0.66 +11.6 3
1959-09-06 Sloboda Tuzla L 0-163.2 1633 1623 50.84% 25.52% 23.64%+0.43 -13.3 2
1959-09-06 @ Radnicki Beograd W 1-063.2 1623 1633 23.64% 25.52% 50.84%-0.43 +13.3 4
1959-09-06 OFK Beograd W 2-157.0 1751 1605 63.58% 24.23% 12.19%+1.22 +3.9 2
1959-09-06 @ Red Star Belgrade L 1-257.0 1605 1751 12.19% 24.23% 63.58%-1.22 -3.9 2
1959-09-06 Vojvodina L 0-648.3 1507 1745 20.21% 24.69% 55.11%-1.00 -33.1 0
1959-09-06 @ Rijeka W 6-048.3 1745 1507 55.11% 24.69% 20.21%+1.00 +33.1 4
1959-09-06 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-451.3 1539 1639 36.57% 25.66% 37.77%-0.21 -36.4 0
1959-09-06 @ Sarajevo W 4-051.3 1639 1539 37.77% 25.66% 36.57%+0.21 +36.4 4
1959-09-06 Hajduk Split W 2-160.8 1586 1630 44.20% 25.69% 30.11%+0.11 +8.3 2
1959-09-06 @ Velez Mostar L 1-260.8 1630 1586 30.11% 25.69% 44.20%-0.11 -8.3 1
1959-09-13 Radnicki Beograd W 2-051.1 1675 1619 55.79% 25.21% 19.00%+0.69 +11.4 6
1959-09-13 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-251.1 1619 1675 19.00% 25.21% 55.79%-0.69 -11.4 2
1959-09-13 Rijeka W 4-041.1 1622 1474 63.71% 24.21% 12.08%+1.23 +14.5 3
1959-09-13 @ Hajduk Split L 0-441.1 1474 1622 12.08% 24.21% 63.71%-1.23 -14.5 0
1959-09-13 Sarajevo D 1-165.8 1601 1502 59.84% 24.80% 15.36%+0.95 -2.7 3
1959-09-13 @ OFK Beograd D 1-165.8 1502 1601 15.36% 24.80% 59.84%-0.95 +2.7 1
1959-09-13 Velez Mostar D 3-379.1 1708 1594 61.09% 24.63% 14.28%+1.03 -1.8 4
1959-09-13 @ Partizan D 3-379.1 1594 1708 14.28% 24.63% 61.09%-1.03 +1.8 3
1959-09-13 Buducnost Titograd W 1-049.1 1636 1507 62.30% 24.45% 13.25%+1.12 +4.4 6
1959-09-13 @ Sloboda Tuzla L 0-149.1 1507 1636 13.25% 24.45% 62.30%-1.12 -4.4 0
1959-09-13 Red Star Belgrade W 1-056.8 1778 1755 52.32% 25.45% 22.23%+0.50 +6.9 6
1959-09-13 @ Vojvodina L 0-156.8 1755 1778 22.23% 25.45% 52.32%-0.50 -6.9 2
1959-09-20 Velez Mostar W 2-159.7 1503 1596 37.60% 25.68% 36.73%-0.17 +9.6 2
1959-09-20 @ Buducnost Titograd L 1-259.7 1596 1503 36.73% 25.68% 37.60%+0.17 -9.6 3
1959-09-20 OFK Beograd W 1-054.1 1608 1599 50.80% 25.52% 23.68%+0.42 +7.3 4
1959-09-20 @ Radnicki Beograd L 0-154.1 1599 1608 23.68% 25.52% 50.80%-0.42 -7.3 3
1959-09-20 Hajduk Split W 3-155.4 1748 1636 60.89% 24.66% 14.45%+1.02 +7.8 4
1959-09-20 @ Red Star Belgrade L 1-355.4 1636 1748 14.45% 24.66% 60.89%-1.02 -7.8 3
1959-09-20 Partizan L 1-648.6 1460 1706 19.35% 24.58% 56.07%-1.06 -22.2 0
1959-09-20 @ Rijeka W 6-148.6 1706 1460 56.07% 24.58% 19.35%+1.06 +22.2 6
1959-09-20 Vojvodina W 1-065.9 1505 1785 16.53% 24.15% 59.32%-1.25 +15.3 3
1959-09-20 @ Sarajevo L 0-165.9 1785 1505 59.32% 24.15% 16.53%+1.25 -15.3 6
1959-09-20 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-357.0 1641 1686 44.07% 25.69% 30.24%+0.11 -32.2 6
1959-09-20 @ Sloboda Tuzla W 3-057.0 1686 1641 30.24% 25.69% 44.07%-0.11 +32.2 8
1959-09-27 Buducnost Titograd W 6-044.2 1719 1512 67.65% 23.32% 9.02%+1.56 +16.1 10
1959-09-27 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-644.2 1512 1719 9.02% 23.32% 67.65%-1.56 -16.1 2
1959-09-27 Sarajevo W 7-146.5 1629 1520 60.63% 24.70% 14.68%+1.00 +21.0 5
1959-09-27 @ Hajduk Split L 1-746.5 1520 1629 14.68% 24.70% 60.63%-1.00 -21.0 3
1959-09-27 Sloboda Tuzla D 0-064.4 1591 1609 47.68% 25.63% 26.69%+0.27 -1.3 4
1959-09-27 @ OFK Beograd D 0-064.4 1609 1591 26.69% 25.63% 47.68%-0.27 +1.3 7
1959-09-27 Red Star Belgrade L 0-358.8 1728 1756 46.39% 25.66% 27.95%+0.21 -33.6 6
1959-09-27 @ Partizan W 3-058.8 1756 1728 27.95% 25.66% 46.39%-0.21 +33.6 6
1959-09-27 Rijeka W 3-146.4 1586 1438 63.78% 24.19% 12.03%+1.23 +6.6 5
1959-09-27 @ Velez Mostar L 1-346.4 1438 1586 12.03% 24.19% 63.78%-1.23 -6.6 0
1959-09-27 Radnicki Beograd W 1-052.6 1769 1615 64.19% 24.12% 11.69%+1.26 +3.9 8
1959-09-27 @ Vojvodina L 0-152.6 1615 1769 11.69% 24.12% 64.19%-1.26 -3.9 4
1959-10-04 Rijeka D 2-264.2 1496 1431 56.75% 25.13% 18.12%+0.75 -1.7 3
1959-10-04 @ Buducnost Titograd D 2-264.2 1431 1496 18.12% 25.13% 56.75%-0.75 +1.7 1
1959-10-04 OFK Beograd L 0-167.6 1735 1590 63.48% 24.25% 12.27%+1.21 -16.5 10
1959-10-04 @ Dinamo Zagreb W 1-067.6 1590 1735 12.27% 24.25% 63.48%-1.21 +16.4 6
1959-10-04 Hajduk Split D 3-378.2 1611 1650 44.99% 25.68% 29.33%+0.15 -0.5 5
1959-10-04 @ Radnicki Beograd D 3-378.2 1650 1611 29.33% 25.68% 44.99%-0.15 +0.5 6
1959-10-04 Velez Mostar D 1-171.4 1790 1593 67.08% 23.47% 9.45%+1.51 -3.6 7
1959-10-04 @ Red Star Belgrade D 1-171.4 1593 1790 9.45% 23.47% 67.08%-1.51 +3.6 6
1959-10-04 Partizan L 1-258.5 1499 1695 24.46% 25.11% 50.43%-0.76 -7.0 3
1959-10-04 @ Sarajevo W 2-158.5 1695 1499 50.43% 25.11% 24.46%+0.76 +7.0 8
1959-10-04 Vojvodina D 0-067.1 1610 1773 28.19% 25.36% 46.44%-0.58 +1.1 8
1959-10-04 @ Sloboda Tuzla D 0-067.1 1773 1610 46.44% 25.36% 28.19%+0.58 -1.1 9
1959-11-01 Sloboda Tuzla W 6-048.8 1650 1611 54.09% 25.34% 20.57%+0.60 +33.9 8
1959-11-01 @ Hajduk Split L 0-648.8 1611 1650 20.57% 25.34% 54.09%-0.60 -34.0 8
1959-11-01 Buducnost Titograd W 2-152.7 1607 1495 60.91% 24.66% 14.43%+1.02 +4.5 8
1959-11-01 @ OFK Beograd L 1-252.7 1495 1607 14.43% 24.66% 60.91%-1.02 -4.5 3
1959-11-01 Radnicki Beograd L 1-270.8 1702 1611 59.13% 24.89% 15.98%+0.90 -14.5 8
1959-11-01 @ Partizan W 2-170.8 1611 1702 15.98% 24.89% 59.13%-0.90 +14.5 7
1959-11-01 Red Star Belgrade L 0-150.0 1433 1786 11.58% 22.99% 65.43%-1.68 -3.8 1
1959-11-01 @ Rijeka W 1-050.0 1786 1433 65.43% 22.99% 11.58%+1.68 +3.8 9
1959-11-01 Sarajevo L 0-161.6 1596 1492 60.26% 24.75% 15.00%+0.97 -15.6 6
1959-11-01 @ Velez Mostar W 1-061.6 1492 1596 15.00% 24.75% 60.26%-0.97 +15.6 5
1959-11-01 Dinamo Zagreb D 2-276.3 1772 1718 55.60% 25.23% 19.17%+0.68 -1.6 10
1959-11-01 @ Vojvodina D 2-276.3 1718 1772 19.17% 25.23% 55.60%-0.68 +1.6 11
1959-11-08 Red Star Belgrade L 0-152.4 1490 1790 15.02% 23.86% 61.11%-1.37 -4.9 3
1959-11-08 @ Buducnost Titograd W 1-052.4 1790 1490 61.11% 23.86% 15.02%+1.37 +4.9 11
1959-11-08 Hajduk Split W 1-055.8 1720 1684 53.74% 25.36% 20.90%+0.58 +6.6 13
1959-11-08 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-155.8 1684 1720 20.90% 25.36% 53.74%-0.58 -6.6 8
1959-11-08 Vojvodina D 2-275.7 1611 1770 28.67% 25.39% 45.94%-0.55 +0.7 9
1959-11-08 @ OFK Beograd D 2-275.7 1770 1611 45.94% 25.39% 28.67%+0.55 -0.7 11
1959-11-08 Velez Mostar D 1-168.4 1625 1581 54.64% 25.30% 20.06%+0.63 -2.0 8
1959-11-08 @ Radnicki Beograd D 1-168.4 1581 1625 20.06% 25.30% 54.64%-0.63 +2.0 7
1959-11-08 Rijeka W 5-141.0 1508 1429 58.03% 25.01% 16.96%+0.83 +16.4 7
1959-11-08 @ Sarajevo L 1-541.0 1429 1508 16.96% 25.01% 58.03%-0.83 -16.4 1
1959-11-08 Partizan L 0-255.7 1577 1687 35.14% 25.63% 39.23%-0.27 -18.6 8
1959-11-08 @ Sloboda Tuzla W 2-055.7 1687 1577 39.23% 25.63% 35.14%+0.27 +18.6 10
1959-11-22 OFK Beograd W 1-053.8 1678 1612 56.78% 25.13% 18.10%+0.75 +5.8 10
1959-11-22 @ Hajduk Split L 0-153.8 1612 1678 18.10% 25.13% 56.78%-0.75 -5.8 9
1959-11-22 Dinamo Zagreb W 2-162.5 1706 1726 47.26% 25.64% 27.10%+0.25 +7.6 12
1959-11-22 @ Partizan L 1-262.5 1726 1706 27.10% 25.64% 47.26%-0.25 -7.6 13
1959-11-22 Sarajevo W 2-154.3 1795 1524 71.27% 22.17% 6.55%+1.94 +2.1 13
1959-11-22 @ Red Star Belgrade L 1-254.3 1524 1795 6.55% 22.17% 71.27%-1.94 -2.1 7
1959-11-22 Radnicki Beograd L 0-148.5 1412 1623 22.84% 24.97% 52.19%-0.85 -7.0 1
1959-11-22 @ Rijeka W 1-048.5 1623 1412 52.19% 24.97% 22.84%+0.85 +7.0 10
1959-11-22 Sloboda Tuzla D 2-271.6 1583 1559 52.50% 25.44% 22.07%+0.51 -1.3 8
1959-11-22 @ Velez Mostar D 2-271.6 1559 1583 22.07% 25.44% 52.50%-0.51 +1.3 9
1959-11-22 Buducnost Titograd W 4-148.1 1770 1485 71.99% 21.90% 6.11%+2.02 +4.8 13
1959-11-22 @ Vojvodina L 1-448.1 1485 1770 6.11% 21.90% 71.99%-2.02 -4.8 3
1959-11-28 Sarajevo D 0-058.1 1481 1522 44.58% 25.69% 29.73%+0.13 -0.9 4
1959-11-28 @ Buducnost Titograd D 0-058.1 1522 1481 29.73% 25.69% 44.58%-0.13 +0.9 8
1959-11-28 Velez Mostar W 4-046.0 1719 1581 62.94% 24.34% 12.72%+1.17 +15.2 15
1959-11-28 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-446.0 1581 1719 12.72% 24.34% 62.94%-1.17 -15.2 8
1959-11-28 Partizan L 0-553.6 1606 1714 35.51% 25.64% 38.85%-0.25 -43.8 9
1959-11-28 @ OFK Beograd W 5-053.6 1714 1606 38.85% 25.64% 35.51%+0.25 +43.8 14
1959-11-28 Red Star Belgrade L 1-262.6 1630 1797 27.79% 25.34% 46.87%-0.60 -7.8 10
1959-11-28 @ Radnicki Beograd W 2-162.6 1797 1630 46.87% 25.34% 27.79%+0.60 +7.8 15
1959-11-28 Rijeka L 1-359.9 1560 1405 64.21% 24.11% 11.68%+1.27 -27.2 9
1959-11-28 @ Sloboda Tuzla W 3-159.9 1405 1560 11.68% 24.11% 64.21%-1.27 +27.2 3
1959-11-28 Hajduk Split D 0-067.7 1775 1683 59.13% 24.88% 15.98%+0.90 -2.9 14
1959-11-28 @ Vojvodina D 0-067.7 1683 1775 15.98% 24.88% 59.13%-0.90 +2.9 11
1959-12-06 Buducnost Titograd W 3-042.9 1686 1480 67.69% 23.31% 9.00%+1.57 +8.4 13
1959-12-06 @ Hajduk Split L 0-342.9 1480 1686 9.00% 23.31% 67.69%-1.57 -8.4 4
1959-12-06 Vojvodina L 0-164.6 1757 1772 48.03% 25.62% 26.35%+0.29 -12.7 14
1959-12-06 @ Partizan W 1-064.6 1772 1757 26.35% 25.62% 48.03%-0.29 +12.7 16
1959-12-06 Sloboda Tuzla W 5-252.5 1804 1533 71.35% 22.15% 6.50%+1.95 +4.4 17
1959-12-06 @ Red Star Belgrade L 2-552.5 1533 1804 6.50% 22.15% 71.35%-1.95 -4.4 9
1959-12-06 Dinamo Zagreb W 3-273.1 1433 1734 14.88% 23.83% 61.29%-1.38 +14.1 5
1959-12-06 @ Rijeka L 2-373.1 1734 1433 61.29% 23.83% 14.88%+1.38 -14.1 15
1959-12-06 Radnicki Beograd D 2-271.7 1523 1622 36.69% 25.66% 37.65%-0.20 +0.0 9
1959-12-06 @ Sarajevo D 2-271.7 1622 1523 37.65% 25.66% 36.69%+0.20 -0.0 11
1959-12-06 OFK Beograd D 1-166.4 1566 1562 50.21% 25.54% 24.24%+0.39 -1.5 9
1959-12-06 @ Velez Mostar D 1-166.4 1562 1566 24.24% 25.54% 50.21%-0.39 +1.5 10
1960-03-12 Hajduk Split W 2-160.1 1745 1695 55.22% 25.26% 19.52%+0.66 +5.8 16
1960-03-12 @ Partizan L 1-260.1 1695 1745 19.52% 25.26% 55.22%-0.66 -5.9 13
1960-03-13 Radnicki Beograd W 2-161.9 1471 1622 29.71% 25.44% 44.85%-0.51 +11.2 6
1960-03-13 @ Buducnost Titograd L 1-261.9 1622 1471 44.85% 25.44% 29.71%+0.51 -11.2 11
1960-03-13 Dinamo Zagreb D 0-067.9 1809 1720 58.93% 24.91% 16.16%+0.89 -2.9 18
1960-03-13 @ Red Star Belgrade D 0-067.9 1720 1809 16.16% 24.91% 58.93%-0.89 +2.9 16
1960-03-13 OFK Beograd W 2-157.5 1447 1564 34.20% 25.61% 40.19%-0.31 +10.3 7
1960-03-13 @ Rijeka L 1-257.5 1564 1447 40.19% 25.61% 34.20%+0.31 -10.3 10
1960-03-13 Sloboda Tuzla W 1-050.0 1523 1528 49.14% 25.58% 25.27%+0.34 +7.7 11
1960-03-13 @ Sarajevo L 0-150.0 1528 1523 25.27% 25.58% 49.14%-0.34 -7.7 9
1960-03-13 Vojvodina W 2-169.5 1565 1784 21.92% 24.88% 53.20%-0.90 +13.0 11
1960-03-13 @ Velez Mostar L 1-269.5 1784 1565 53.20% 24.88% 21.92%+0.90 -13.0 16
1960-03-20 Sarajevo W 1-050.2 1723 1531 66.77% 23.55% 9.68%+1.48 +3.3 18
1960-03-20 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-150.2 1531 1723 9.68% 23.55% 66.77%-1.48 -3.3 11
1960-03-20 Velez Mostar W 2-049.2 1689 1578 60.85% 24.67% 14.48%+1.01 +9.0 15
1960-03-20 @ Hajduk Split L 0-249.2 1578 1689 14.48% 24.67% 60.85%-1.01 -9.0 11
1960-03-20 Red Star Belgrade L 1-259.1 1553 1806 18.79% 24.50% 56.70%-1.09 -5.6 10
1960-03-20 @ OFK Beograd W 2-159.1 1806 1553 56.70% 24.50% 18.79%+1.09 +5.6 20
1960-03-20 Buducnost Titograd D 0-066.1 1751 1482 71.16% 22.22% 6.62%+1.92 -4.6 17
1960-03-20 @ Partizan D 0-066.1 1482 1751 6.62% 22.22% 71.16%-1.92 +4.6 7
1960-03-20 Radnicki Beograd L 1-455.9 1521 1611 37.93% 25.68% 36.39%-0.15 -24.1 9
1960-03-20 @ Sloboda Tuzla W 4-155.9 1611 1521 36.39% 25.68% 37.93%+0.15 +24.1 13
1960-03-20 Rijeka L 1-272.8 1771 1457 73.44% 21.30% 5.26%+2.19 -17.7 16
1960-03-20 @ Vojvodina W 2-172.8 1457 1771 5.26% 21.30% 73.44%-2.19 +17.7 9
1960-03-27 Sloboda Tuzla W 1-047.7 1487 1496 48.63% 25.60% 25.77%+0.32 +7.8 9
1960-03-27 @ Buducnost Titograd L 0-147.7 1496 1487 25.77% 25.60% 48.63%-0.32 -7.8 9
1960-03-27 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-160.7 1635 1726 37.85% 25.68% 36.47%-0.16 -10.4 13
1960-03-27 @ Radnicki Beograd W 1-060.7 1726 1635 36.47% 25.68% 37.85%+0.16 +10.4 20
1960-03-27 Vojvodina W 2-052.8 1812 1754 56.02% 25.19% 18.79%+0.71 +11.3 22
1960-03-27 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-252.8 1754 1812 18.79% 25.19% 56.02%-0.71 -11.3 16
1960-03-27 Hajduk Split D 1-167.8 1475 1698 21.56% 24.84% 53.60%-0.92 +1.9 10
1960-03-27 @ Rijeka D 1-167.8 1698 1475 53.60% 24.84% 21.56%+0.92 -1.9 16
1960-03-27 OFK Beograd W 2-156.0 1528 1548 47.30% 25.64% 27.06%+0.25 +7.6 13
1960-03-27 @ Sarajevo L 1-256.0 1548 1528 27.06% 25.64% 47.30%-0.25 -7.6 10
1960-03-27 Partizan W 1-063.2 1569 1746 26.53% 25.26% 48.21%-0.66 +12.7 13
1960-03-27 @ Velez Mostar L 0-163.2 1746 1569 48.21% 25.26% 26.53%+0.66 -12.7 17
1960-04-03 Sloboda Tuzla W 2-045.7 1737 1489 70.08% 22.59% 7.32%+1.81 +4.7 22
1960-04-03 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-245.7 1489 1737 7.32% 22.59% 70.08%-1.81 -4.7 9
1960-04-03 Red Star Belgrade W 2-059.6 1696 1823 32.86% 25.57% 41.57%-0.37 +21.1 18
1960-04-03 @ Hajduk Split L 0-259.6 1823 1696 41.57% 25.57% 32.86%+0.37 -21.1 22
1960-04-03 Radnicki Beograd W 2-053.7 1540 1625 38.76% 25.69% 35.55%-0.12 +18.8 12
1960-04-03 @ OFK Beograd L 0-253.7 1625 1540 35.55% 25.69% 38.76%+0.12 -18.8 13
1960-04-03 Rijeka W 2-045.3 1733 1477 70.56% 22.43% 7.01%+1.86 +4.5 19
1960-04-03 @ Partizan L 0-245.3 1477 1733 7.01% 22.43% 70.56%-1.86 -4.5 10
1960-04-03 Buducnost Titograd W 1-048.0 1581 1495 58.71% 24.93% 16.36%+0.87 +5.3 15
1960-04-03 @ Velez Mostar L 0-148.0 1495 1581 16.36% 24.93% 58.71%-0.87 -5.3 9
1960-04-03 Sarajevo L 0-362.8 1742 1535 67.71% 23.31% 8.98%+1.57 -48.0 16
1960-04-03 @ Vojvodina W 3-062.8 1535 1742 8.98% 23.31% 67.71%-1.57 +48.0 15
1960-04-17 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-152.9 1490 1741 18.87% 24.51% 56.62%-1.09 -6.0 9
1960-04-17 @ Buducnost Titograd W 1-052.9 1741 1490 56.62% 24.51% 18.87%+1.09 +6.0 24
1960-04-17 Vojvodina L 0-257.1 1606 1694 38.23% 25.68% 36.08%-0.14 -19.8 13
1960-04-17 @ Radnicki Beograd W 2-057.1 1694 1606 36.08% 25.68% 38.23%+0.14 +19.8 18
1960-04-17 Partizan D 1-171.7 1802 1738 56.61% 25.14% 18.25%+0.74 -2.3 23
1960-04-17 @ Red Star Belgrade D 1-171.7 1738 1802 18.25% 25.14% 56.61%-0.74 +2.3 20
1960-04-17 Velez Mostar W 4-048.6 1472 1587 34.53% 25.62% 39.86%-0.29 +38.8 12
1960-04-17 @ Rijeka L 0-448.6 1587 1472 39.86% 25.62% 34.53%+0.29 -38.8 15
1960-04-17 Hajduk Split W 1-061.4 1583 1717 31.91% 25.53% 42.56%-0.41 +11.4 17
1960-04-17 @ Sarajevo L 0-161.4 1717 1583 42.56% 25.53% 31.91%+0.41 -11.4 18
1960-04-17 OFK Beograd L 0-251.2 1484 1559 40.11% 25.70% 34.19%-0.06 -20.6 9
1960-04-17 @ Sloboda Tuzla W 2-051.2 1559 1484 34.19% 25.70% 40.11%+0.06 +20.6 14
1960-04-24 Radnicki Beograd D 2-275.0 1706 1586 61.54% 24.57% 13.89%+1.06 -2.2 19
1960-04-24 @ Hajduk Split D 2-275.0 1586 1706 13.89% 24.57% 61.54%-1.06 +2.2 14
1960-04-24 Dinamo Zagreb D 0-066.6 1579 1747 27.65% 25.33% 47.02%-0.60 +1.2 15
1960-04-24 @ OFK Beograd D 0-066.6 1747 1579 47.02% 25.33% 27.65%+0.60 -1.2 25
1960-04-24 Sarajevo W 4-151.7 1740 1595 63.55% 24.24% 12.21%+1.21 +9.5 22
1960-04-24 @ Partizan L 1-451.7 1595 1740 12.21% 24.24% 63.55%-1.21 -9.5 17
1960-04-24 Buducnost Titograd W 2-043.8 1511 1484 52.83% 25.42% 21.75%+0.53 +12.8 14
1960-04-24 @ Rijeka L 0-243.8 1484 1511 21.75% 25.42% 52.83%-0.53 -12.8 9
1960-04-24 Red Star Belgrade L 1-259.0 1548 1799 18.88% 24.51% 56.60%-1.09 -5.6 15
1960-04-24 @ Velez Mostar W 2-159.0 1799 1548 56.60% 24.51% 18.88%+1.09 +5.6 25
1960-04-24 Sloboda Tuzla W 5-250.1 1714 1463 70.23% 22.54% 7.22%+1.82 +4.9 20
1960-04-24 @ Vojvodina L 2-550.1 1463 1714 7.22% 22.54% 70.23%-1.82 -4.9 9
1960-05-15 OFK Beograd D 0-060.0 1471 1581 35.18% 25.63% 39.19%-0.27 +0.2 10
1960-05-15 @ Buducnost Titograd D 0-060.0 1581 1471 39.19% 25.63% 35.18%+0.27 -0.2 16
1960-05-15 Vojvodina D 2-276.2 1746 1719 52.80% 25.42% 21.78%+0.53 -1.3 26
1960-05-15 @ Dinamo Zagreb D 2-276.2 1719 1746 21.78% 25.42% 52.80%-0.53 +1.3 21
1960-05-15 Partizan L 0-451.5 1588 1750 28.45% 25.38% 46.17%-0.56 -30.0 14
1960-05-15 @ Radnicki Beograd W 4-051.5 1750 1588 46.17% 25.38% 28.45%+0.56 +30.0 24
1960-05-15 Rijeka W 5-147.6 1805 1524 71.84% 21.96% 6.20%+2.00 +6.3 27
1960-05-15 @ Red Star Belgrade L 1-547.6 1524 1805 6.20% 21.96% 71.84%-2.00 -6.3 14
1960-05-15 Velez Mostar W 4-363.2 1585 1542 54.48% 25.31% 20.21%+0.62 +5.6 19
1960-05-15 @ Sarajevo L 3-463.2 1542 1585 20.21% 25.31% 54.48%-0.62 -5.6 15
1960-05-15 Hajduk Split D 2-272.4 1458 1704 19.47% 24.59% 55.94%-1.05 +1.6 10
1960-05-15 @ Sloboda Tuzla D 2-272.4 1704 1458 55.94% 24.59% 19.47%+1.05 -1.6 20
1960-05-29 Dinamo Zagreb W 3-268.0 1702 1745 44.44% 25.69% 29.87%+0.12 +7.8 22
1960-05-29 @ Hajduk Split L 2-368.0 1745 1702 29.87% 25.69% 44.44%-0.12 -7.8 26
1960-05-29 Sloboda Tuzla W 3-149.8 1779 1460 73.67% 21.20% 5.13%+2.22 +2.8 26
1960-05-29 @ Partizan L 1-349.8 1460 1779 5.13% 21.20% 73.67%-2.22 -2.8 10
1960-05-29 Buducnost Titograd L 0-266.3 1811 1471 74.62% 20.76% 4.63%+2.34 -35.9 27
1960-05-29 @ Red Star Belgrade W 2-066.3 1471 1811 4.63% 20.76% 74.62%-2.34 +35.9 12
1960-05-29 Sarajevo D 1-165.7 1517 1591 40.34% 25.70% 33.96%-0.05 -0.3 15
1960-05-29 @ Rijeka D 1-165.7 1591 1517 33.96% 25.70% 40.34%+0.05 +0.3 20
1960-05-29 Radnicki Beograd D 1-165.3 1537 1558 47.12% 25.64% 27.24%+0.24 -1.1 16
1960-05-29 @ Velez Mostar D 1-165.3 1558 1537 27.24% 25.64% 47.12%-0.24 +1.1 15
1960-05-29 OFK Beograd D 1-170.4 1720 1580 63.13% 24.31% 12.56%+1.18 -3.1 22
1960-05-29 @ Vojvodina D 1-170.4 1580 1720 12.56% 24.31% 63.13%-1.18 +3.1 17
1960-06-05 Vojvodina L 0-251.1 1507 1717 22.87% 24.97% 52.16%-0.85 -13.2 12
1960-06-05 @ Buducnost Titograd W 2-051.1 1717 1507 52.16% 24.97% 22.87%+0.85 +13.2 24
1960-06-05 Partizan W 4-371.4 1737 1782 44.09% 25.69% 30.22%+0.11 +7.7 28
1960-06-05 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 3-471.4 1782 1737 30.22% 25.69% 44.09%-0.11 -7.7 26
1960-06-05 Hajduk Split L 2-464.2 1584 1710 32.95% 25.57% 41.48%-0.36 -13.7 17
1960-06-05 @ OFK Beograd W 4-264.2 1710 1584 41.48% 25.57% 32.95%+0.36 +13.7 24
1960-06-05 Rijeka D 1-164.8 1559 1517 54.44% 25.31% 20.24%+0.62 -2.0 16
1960-06-05 @ Radnicki Beograd D 1-164.8 1517 1559 20.24% 25.31% 54.44%-0.62 +2.0 16
1960-06-05 Red Star Belgrade L 2-462.7 1591 1775 25.69% 25.20% 49.11%-0.70 -11.3 20
1960-06-05 @ Sarajevo W 4-262.7 1775 1591 49.11% 25.20% 25.69%+0.70 +11.3 29
1960-06-05 Velez Mostar D 0-057.8 1457 1536 39.64% 25.70% 34.66%-0.08 -0.3 11
1960-06-05 @ Sloboda Tuzla D 0-057.8 1536 1457 34.66% 25.70% 39.64%+0.08 +0.3 17
1960-06-12 Vojvodina L 0-164.6 1723 1730 48.92% 25.59% 25.49%+0.33 -12.9 24
1960-06-12 @ Hajduk Split W 1-064.6 1730 1723 25.49% 25.59% 48.92%-0.33 +12.9 26
1960-06-12 OFK Beograd L 2-377.9 1775 1570 67.57% 23.35% 9.08%+1.56 -15.6 26
1960-06-12 @ Partizan W 3-277.9 1570 1775 9.08% 23.35% 67.57%-1.56 +15.6 19
1960-06-12 Radnicki Beograd W 5-464.5 1787 1557 69.04% 22.93% 8.04%+1.70 +2.4 31
1960-06-12 @ Red Star Belgrade L 4-564.5 1557 1787 8.04% 22.93% 69.04%-1.70 -2.4 16
1960-06-12 Sloboda Tuzla W 1-045.0 1519 1457 56.42% 25.16% 18.42%+0.73 +5.9 18
1960-06-12 @ Rijeka L 0-145.0 1457 1519 18.42% 25.16% 56.42%-0.73 -5.9 11
1960-06-12 Buducnost Titograd W 3-149.8 1580 1494 58.67% 24.94% 16.39%+0.87 +8.7 22
1960-06-12 @ Sarajevo L 1-349.8 1494 1580 16.39% 24.94% 58.67%-0.87 -8.7 12
1960-06-12 Dinamo Zagreb L 2-364.2 1536 1745 23.04% 24.99% 51.97%-0.84 -6.3 17
1960-06-12 @ Velez Mostar W 3-264.2 1745 1536 51.97% 24.99% 23.04%+0.84 +6.3 30
1960-06-19 Hajduk Split L 2-362.1 1485 1711 21.31% 24.81% 53.87%-0.94 -5.9 12
1960-06-19 @ Buducnost Titograd W 3-262.1 1711 1485 53.87% 24.81% 21.31%+0.94 +5.9 26
1960-06-19 Rijeka W 5-147.8 1751 1525 68.84% 22.99% 8.17%+1.68 +8.3 32
1960-06-19 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 1-547.8 1525 1751 8.17% 22.99% 68.84%-1.68 -8.3 18
1960-06-19 Velez Mostar W 3-259.3 1585 1530 55.82% 25.21% 18.97%+0.69 +5.4 21
1960-06-19 @ OFK Beograd L 2-359.3 1530 1585 18.97% 25.21% 55.82%-0.69 -5.4 17
1960-06-19 Sarajevo D 4-477.8 1555 1588 45.66% 25.67% 28.67%+0.18 -0.5 17
1960-06-19 @ Radnicki Beograd D 4-477.8 1588 1555 28.67% 25.67% 45.66%-0.18 +0.5 23
1960-06-19 Red Star Belgrade L 1-548.6 1451 1789 12.46% 23.25% 64.28%-1.59 -12.2 11
1960-06-19 @ Sloboda Tuzla W 5-148.6 1789 1451 64.28% 23.25% 12.46%+1.59 +12.2 33
1960-06-19 Partizan D 2-276.3 1743 1759 47.86% 25.62% 26.51%+0.28 -0.9 27
1960-06-19 @ Vojvodina D 2-276.3 1759 1743 26.51% 25.62% 47.86%-0.28 +0.9 27

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1960-05-29 4.63% Buducnost Titograd 1471 2 @ Red Star Belgrade 1811 0
2 1960-03-20 5.26% Rijeka 1457 2 @ Vojvodina 1771 1
3 1960-04-03 8.98% Sarajevo 1535 3 @ Vojvodina 1742 0
4 1960-06-12 9.08% OFK Beograd 1570 3 @ Partizan 1775 2
5 1959-11-28 11.68% Rijeka 1405 3 @ Sloboda Tuzla 1560 1
6 1959-10-04 12.27% OFK Beograd 1590 1 @ Dinamo Zagreb 1735 0
7 1959-12-06 14.88% @ Rijeka 1433 3 Dinamo Zagreb 1734 2
8 1959-11-01 15.00% Sarajevo 1492 1 @ Velez Mostar 1596 0
9 1959-11-01 15.98% Radnicki Beograd 1611 2 @ Partizan 1702 1
10 1959-09-20 16.53% @ Sarajevo 1505 1 Vojvodina 1785 0
11 1960-03-13 21.92% @ Velez Mostar 1565 2 Vojvodina 1784 1
12 1959-09-06 23.64% Sloboda Tuzla 1623 1 @ Radnicki Beograd 1633 0
13 1960-06-12 25.49% Vojvodina 1730 1 @ Hajduk Split 1723 0
14 1959-12-06 26.35% Vojvodina 1772 1 @ Partizan 1757 0
15 1960-03-27 26.53% @ Velez Mostar 1569 1 Partizan 1746 0
16 1959-09-27 27.95% Red Star Belgrade 1756 3 @ Partizan 1728 0
17 1960-03-13 29.71% @ Buducnost Titograd 1471 2 Radnicki Beograd 1622 1
18 1959-09-20 30.24% Dinamo Zagreb 1686 3 @ Sloboda Tuzla 1641 0
19 1959-08-30 31.90% @ Dinamo Zagreb 1628 2 Red Star Belgrade 1762 1
20 1960-04-17 31.91% @ Sarajevo 1583 1 Hajduk Split 1717 0
21 1960-04-03 32.86% @ Hajduk Split 1696 2 Red Star Belgrade 1823 0
22 1960-04-17 34.19% OFK Beograd 1559 2 @ Sloboda Tuzla 1484 0
23 1960-03-13 34.20% @ Rijeka 1447 2 OFK Beograd 1564 1
24 1960-04-17 34.53% @ Rijeka 1472 4 Velez Mostar 1587 0
25 1960-04-17 36.08% Vojvodina 1694 2 @ Radnicki Beograd 1606 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1960-04-03 47.97 Sarajevo 3 1535 8.98% @ Vojvodina 0 1742 67.71% 23.31%
2 1959-11-28 43.84 Partizan 5 1714 38.85% @ OFK Beograd 0 1606 35.51% 25.64%
3 1960-04-17 38.80 @ Rijeka 4 1472 34.53% Velez Mostar 0 1587 39.86% 25.62%
4 1959-09-06 36.37 Dinamo Zagreb 4 1639 37.77% @ Sarajevo 0 1539 36.57% 25.66%
5 1960-05-29 35.88 Buducnost Titograd 2 1471 4.63% @ Red Star Belgrade 0 1811 74.62% 20.76%
6 1959-11-01 33.95 @ Hajduk Split 6 1650 54.09% Sloboda Tuzla 0 1611 20.57% 25.34%
7 1959-09-27 33.64 Red Star Belgrade 3 1756 27.95% @ Partizan 0 1728 46.39% 25.66%
8 1959-09-06 33.10 Vojvodina 6 1745 55.11% @ Rijeka 0 1507 20.21% 24.69%
9 1959-09-20 32.22 Dinamo Zagreb 3 1686 30.24% @ Sloboda Tuzla 0 1641 44.07% 25.69%
10 1960-05-15 29.96 Partizan 4 1750 46.17% @ Radnicki Beograd 0 1588 28.45% 25.38%
11 1959-11-28 27.17 Rijeka 3 1405 11.68% @ Sloboda Tuzla 1 1560 64.21% 24.11%
12 1960-03-20 24.13 Radnicki Beograd 4 1611 36.39% @ Sloboda Tuzla 1 1521 37.93% 25.68%
13 1959-09-20 22.23 Partizan 6 1706 56.07% @ Rijeka 1 1460 19.35% 24.58%
14 1960-04-03 21.13 @ Hajduk Split 2 1696 32.86% Red Star Belgrade 0 1823 41.57% 25.57%
15 1959-09-27 20.96 @ Hajduk Split 7 1629 60.63% Sarajevo 1 1520 14.68% 24.70%
16 1960-04-17 20.57 OFK Beograd 2 1559 34.19% @ Sloboda Tuzla 0 1484 40.11% 25.70%
17 1960-04-17 19.82 Vojvodina 2 1694 36.08% @ Radnicki Beograd 0 1606 38.23% 25.68%
18 1960-04-03 18.78 @ OFK Beograd 2 1540 38.76% Radnicki Beograd 0 1625 35.55% 25.69%
19 1959-11-08 18.60 Partizan 2 1687 39.23% @ Sloboda Tuzla 0 1577 35.14% 25.63%
20 1960-03-20 17.73 Rijeka 2 1457 5.26% @ Vojvodina 1 1771 73.44% 21.30%
21 1959-10-04 16.45 OFK Beograd 1 1590 12.27% @ Dinamo Zagreb 0 1735 63.48% 24.25%
22 1959-11-08 16.42 @ Sarajevo 5 1508 58.03% Rijeka 1 1429 16.96% 25.01%
23 1959-09-27 16.12 @ Dinamo Zagreb 6 1719 67.65% Buducnost Titograd 0 1512 9.02% 23.32%
24 1960-06-12 15.63 OFK Beograd 3 1570 9.08% @ Partizan 2 1775 67.57% 23.35%
25 1959-11-01 15.63 Sarajevo 1 1492 15.00% @ Velez Mostar 0 1596 60.26% 24.75%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1959-09-13 79.1 @ Partizan 3 1708 61.09% Velez Mostar 3 1594 14.28% 24.63%
2 1959-10-04 78.2 @ Radnicki Beograd 3 1611 44.99% Hajduk Split 3 1650 29.33% 25.68%
3 1960-06-12 77.9 OFK Beograd 3 1570 9.08% @ Partizan 2 1775 67.57% 23.35%
4 1960-06-19 77.8 @ Radnicki Beograd 4 1555 45.66% Sarajevo 4 1588 28.67% 25.67%
5 1959-11-01 76.3 @ Vojvodina 2 1772 55.60% Dinamo Zagreb 2 1718 19.17% 25.23%
6 1960-06-19 76.3 @ Vojvodina 2 1743 47.86% Partizan 2 1759 26.51% 25.62%
7 1960-05-15 76.2 @ Dinamo Zagreb 2 1746 52.80% Vojvodina 2 1719 21.78% 25.42%
8 1959-11-08 75.7 @ OFK Beograd 2 1611 28.67% Vojvodina 2 1770 45.94% 25.39%
9 1960-04-24 75.0 @ Hajduk Split 2 1706 61.54% Radnicki Beograd 2 1586 13.89% 24.57%
10 1959-12-06 73.1 @ Rijeka 3 1433 14.88% Dinamo Zagreb 2 1734 61.29% 23.83%
11 1960-03-20 72.8 Rijeka 2 1457 5.26% @ Vojvodina 1 1771 73.44% 21.30%
12 1960-05-15 72.4 @ Sloboda Tuzla 2 1458 19.47% Hajduk Split 2 1704 55.94% 24.59%
13 1959-12-06 71.7 @ Sarajevo 2 1523 36.69% Radnicki Beograd 2 1622 37.65% 25.66%
14 1960-04-17 71.7 @ Red Star Belgrade 1 1802 56.61% Partizan 1 1738 18.25% 25.14%
15 1959-11-22 71.6 @ Velez Mostar 2 1583 52.50% Sloboda Tuzla 2 1559 22.07% 25.44%
16 1959-10-04 71.4 @ Red Star Belgrade 1 1790 67.08% Velez Mostar 1 1593 9.45% 23.47%
17 1960-06-05 71.4 @ Dinamo Zagreb 4 1737 44.09% Partizan 3 1782 30.22% 25.69%
18 1959-11-01 70.8 Radnicki Beograd 2 1611 15.98% @ Partizan 1 1702 59.13% 24.89%
19 1960-05-29 70.4 @ Vojvodina 1 1720 63.13% OFK Beograd 1 1580 12.56% 24.31%
20 1959-08-30 70.3 @ Hajduk Split 1 1631 41.44% Partizan 1 1696 32.86% 25.70%
21 1960-03-13 69.5 @ Velez Mostar 2 1565 21.92% Vojvodina 1 1784 53.20% 24.88%
22 1959-11-08 68.4 @ Radnicki Beograd 1 1625 54.64% Velez Mostar 1 1581 20.06% 25.30%
23 1960-05-29 68.0 @ Hajduk Split 3 1702 44.44% Dinamo Zagreb 2 1745 29.87% 25.69%
24 1960-03-13 67.9 @ Red Star Belgrade 0 1809 58.93% Dinamo Zagreb 0 1720 16.16% 24.91%
25 1960-03-27 67.8 @ Rijeka 1 1475 21.56% Hajduk Split 1 1698 53.60% 24.84%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1959-11-08 41.0 @ Sarajevo 5 1508 58.03% Rijeka 1 1429 16.96% 25.01%
2 1959-09-13 41.1 @ Hajduk Split 4 1622 63.71% Rijeka 0 1474 12.08% 24.21%
3 1959-12-06 42.9 @ Hajduk Split 3 1686 67.69% Buducnost Titograd 0 1480 9.00% 23.31%
4 1960-04-24 43.8 @ Rijeka 2 1511 52.83% Buducnost Titograd 0 1484 21.75% 25.42%
5 1959-09-27 44.2 @ Dinamo Zagreb 6 1719 67.65% Buducnost Titograd 0 1512 9.02% 23.32%
6 1960-06-12 45.0 @ Rijeka 1 1519 56.42% Sloboda Tuzla 0 1457 18.42% 25.16%
7 1959-08-30 45.3 @ Radnicki Beograd 3 1618 58.50% Buducnost Titograd 0 1534 16.54% 24.96%
8 1960-04-03 45.3 @ Partizan 2 1733 70.56% Rijeka 0 1477 7.01% 22.43%
9 1960-04-03 45.7 @ Dinamo Zagreb 2 1737 70.08% Sloboda Tuzla 0 1489 7.32% 22.59%
10 1959-11-28 46.0 @ Dinamo Zagreb 4 1719 62.94% Velez Mostar 0 1581 12.72% 24.34%
11 1959-09-27 46.4 @ Velez Mostar 3 1586 63.78% Rijeka 1 1438 12.03% 24.19%
12 1959-09-27 46.5 @ Hajduk Split 7 1629 60.63% Sarajevo 1 1520 14.68% 24.70%
13 1960-05-15 47.6 @ Red Star Belgrade 5 1805 71.84% Rijeka 1 1524 6.20% 21.96%
14 1960-03-27 47.7 @ Buducnost Titograd 1 1487 48.63% Sloboda Tuzla 0 1496 25.77% 25.60%
15 1960-06-19 47.8 @ Dinamo Zagreb 5 1751 68.84% Rijeka 1 1525 8.17% 22.99%
16 1960-04-03 48.0 @ Velez Mostar 1 1581 58.71% Buducnost Titograd 0 1495 16.36% 24.93%
17 1959-11-22 48.1 @ Vojvodina 4 1770 71.99% Buducnost Titograd 1 1485 6.11% 21.90%
18 1959-09-06 48.3 Vojvodina 6 1745 55.11% @ Rijeka 0 1507 20.21% 24.69%
19 1959-11-22 48.5 Radnicki Beograd 1 1623 52.19% @ Rijeka 0 1412 22.84% 24.97%
20 1959-09-20 48.6 Partizan 6 1706 56.07% @ Rijeka 1 1460 19.35% 24.58%
21 1960-04-17 48.6 @ Rijeka 4 1472 34.53% Velez Mostar 0 1587 39.86% 25.62%
22 1960-06-19 48.6 Red Star Belgrade 5 1789 64.28% @ Sloboda Tuzla 1 1451 12.46% 23.25%
23 1959-11-01 48.8 @ Hajduk Split 6 1650 54.09% Sloboda Tuzla 0 1611 20.57% 25.34%
24 1959-08-30 49.1 @ OFK Beograd 4 1592 57.34% Rijeka 1 1521 17.58% 25.08%
25 1959-09-13 49.1 @ Sloboda Tuzla 1 1636 62.30% Buducnost Titograd 0 1507 13.25% 24.45%