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1961-62 Prva savezna liga Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Partizan

31 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Partizan

4.05 points above expected

31 points · 26.95 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Borac Banja Luka

9.22 points below expected

11 points · 20.22 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Partizan 22 13 5 4 31 42 22 +20 26.95 +4.05
2 Vojvodina 22 9 8 5 26 30 25 +5 23.34 +2.66
3 Dinamo Zagreb 22 10 5 7 25 36 23 +13 24.07 +0.93
4 Red Star Belgrade 22 9 6 7 24 35 25 +10 26.61 -2.61
5 Hajduk Split 22 8 8 6 24 30 30 0 23.94 +0.06
6 OFK Beograd 22 7 8 7 22 37 28 +9 21.42 +0.58
7 Sarajevo 22 6 10 6 22 37 40 -3 20.53 +1.47
8 Rijeka 22 5 12 5 22 17 21 -4 19.81 +2.19
9 Velez Mostar 22 7 6 9 20 29 35 -6 18.94 +1.06
10 RFK Novi Sad 22 7 5 10 19 27 40 -13 21.81 -2.81
11 Vardar 22 7 4 11 18 30 37 -7 16.36 +1.64
12 Borac Banja Luka 22 3 5 14 11 26 50 -24 20.22 -9.22

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Partizan 31 26.95 +4.05
2 Vojvodina 26 23.34 +2.66
3 Rijeka 22 19.81 +2.19
4 Vardar 18 16.36 +1.64
5 Sarajevo 22 20.53 +1.47

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Borac Banja Luka 11 20.22 -9.22
2 RFK Novi Sad 19 21.81 -2.81
3 Red Star Belgrade 24 26.61 -2.61
4 Hajduk Split 24 23.94 +0.06
5 OFK Beograd 22 21.42 +0.58

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vojvodina 4 Sep 3 – Oct 1 1 in 87
2 Vardar 2 Sep 24 – Oct 1 1 in 63
3 OFK Beograd 3 Apr 8 – Apr 21 1 in 51
4 Partizan 5 Mar 4 – Apr 1 1 in 42
5 RFK Novi Sad 2 Oct 1 – Oct 15 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Red Star Belgrade 4 Apr 15 – May 2 1 in 1,786
2 Borac Banja Luka 4 Oct 1 – Oct 22 1 in 425
3 Partizan 3 Apr 15 – Apr 29 1 in 106
4 Dinamo Zagreb 3 Sep 3 – Sep 24 1 in 102
5 OFK Beograd 4 Oct 1 – Oct 22 1 in 38

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Partizan 13 Oct 1 – Apr 8 1 in 108
2 OFK Beograd 8 Mar 18 – May 2 1 in 49
3 Sarajevo 8 Mar 11 – Apr 29 1 in 39
4 Vojvodina 7 Aug 27 – Oct 17 1 in 25
5 Dinamo Zagreb 7 Oct 1 – Nov 12 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 OFK Beograd 13 Sep 24 – Apr 1 1 in 122
2 Red Star Belgrade 7 Mar 25 – May 2 1 in 107
3 Borac Banja Luka 11 Nov 5 – Apr 29 1 in 34
4 Sarajevo 8 Oct 15 – Mar 11 1 in 28
5 Rijeka 10 Oct 22 – Apr 8 1 in 22

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Partizan 1740 31 -29 3 6.5 -3.5
Vojvodina 1630 26 -5 5 4.8 +0.2
Dinamo Zagreb 1696 25 -8 6 6.6 -0.6
Hajduk Split 1662 24 +1 6 5.0 +1.0
Red Star Belgrade 1670 24 -61 1 5.6 -4.6
OFK Beograd 1631 22 +62 9 5.3 +3.7
Rijeka 1535 22 +26 7 3.9 +3.1
Sarajevo 1581 22 +6 5 4.8 +0.2
Velez Mostar 1548 20 +19 6 4.2 +1.8
RFK Novi Sad 1583 19 -15 5 5.4 -0.4
Vardar 1508 18 +29 5 3.9 +1.1
Borac Banja Luka 1495 11 -24 2 3.8 -1.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BBL DZ HS OB PAR RNS RSB RIJ SAR VAR VM VOJ
Borac Banja Luka —
0-0-2
2.22
1-0-1
2.39
0-2-0
2.58
0-0-2
2.06
0-0-2
2.61
1-0-1
1.74
0-0-2
2.89
0-0-2
2.82
1-0-1
2.86
0-2-0
2.94
0-1-1
2.45
Dinamo Zagreb
2-0-0
3.19
—
0-0-2
2.75
1-0-1
3.05
0-1-1
2.43
1-1-0
3.01
1-0-1
2.30
1-1-0
3.23
1-1-0
3.26
1-1-0
3.73
1-0-1
3.42
1-0-1
2.76
Hajduk Split
1-0-1
2.99
2-0-0
2.60
—
1-0-1
2.96
1-0-1
2.29
2-0-0
2.90
0-1-1
2.34
0-2-0
3.29
0-1-1
3.11
0-1-1
3.69
1-1-0
3.33
0-2-0
2.65
OFK Beograd
0-2-0
2.78
1-0-1
2.33
1-0-1
2.41
—
0-0-2
2.01
1-1-0
2.66
1-0-1
2.09
0-1-1
2.88
1-1-0
2.78
1-0-1
3.34
1-1-0
3.00
0-2-0
2.53
Partizan
2-0-0
3.37
1-1-0
2.94
1-0-1
3.07
2-0-0
3.37
—
1-1-0
3.29
0-2-0
2.71
2-0-0
3.63
1-1-0
3.58
1-0-1
4.16
1-0-1
3.77
1-0-1
3.17
RFK Novi Sad
2-0-0
2.79
0-1-1
2.38
0-0-2
2.47
0-1-1
2.71
0-1-1
2.11
—
1-0-1
2.12
1-1-0
2.83
1-0-1
2.92
1-0-1
3.34
1-0-1
3.01
0-1-1
2.46
Red Star Belgrade
1-0-1
3.66
1-0-1
3.06
1-1-0
3.03
1-0-1
3.31
0-2-0
2.67
1-0-1
3.26
—
0-1-1
3.60
0-2-0
3.41
2-0-0
3.83
1-0-1
3.82
1-0-1
3.12
Rijeka
2-0-0
2.47
0-1-1
2.19
0-2-0
2.09
1-1-0
2.49
0-0-2
1.77
0-1-1
2.54
1-1-0
1.81
—
0-2-0
2.65
0-2-0
2.91
0-2-0
2.81
1-0-1
2.33
Sarajevo
2-0-0
2.54
0-1-1
2.13
1-1-0
2.26
0-1-1
2.59
0-1-1
1.82
1-0-1
2.44
0-2-0
1.99
0-2-0
2.71
—
1-0-1
3.23
1-0-1
2.85
0-2-0
2.45
Vardar
1-0-1
2.52
0-1-1
1.69
1-1-0
1.74
1-0-1
2.03
1-0-1
1.31
1-0-1
2.05
0-0-2
1.61
0-2-0
2.45
1-0-1
2.14
—
1-0-1
2.38
0-0-2
1.89
Velez Mostar
0-2-0
2.45
1-0-1
1.97
0-1-1
2.05
0-1-1
2.38
1-0-1
1.66
1-0-1
2.37
1-0-1
1.60
0-2-0
2.55
1-0-1
2.52
1-0-1
3.00
—
1-0-1
2.16
Vojvodina
1-1-0
2.90
1-0-1
2.60
0-2-0
2.71
0-2-0
2.83
1-0-1
2.23
1-1-0
2.92
1-0-1
2.25
1-0-1
3.05
0-2-0
2.92
2-0-0
3.52
1-0-1
3.22
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.29 +4.0
Allowed 0.71 -4.6
Differential 0.84 +3.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.88%7.58%3.41%4.17%1.14%0.76%29.92%
17.58%12.88%5.68%2.27%0.76%1.52%30.68%
23.41%5.68%1.52%4.92%1.52%—17.05%
34.17%2.27%4.92%3.79%0.38%—15.53%
41.14%0.76%1.52%0.38%—0.38%4.17%
5+0.76%1.52%——0.38%—2.65%
Total29.92%30.68%17.05%15.53%4.17%2.65%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.42 +0.00
SD 1.35 1.35 1.79
CV 0.95 0.95 —
Max 7 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%31.82%
14.55%13.64%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
2—4.55%4.55%18.18%——27.27%
34.55%—————4.55%
4—————4.55%4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%22.73%18.18%31.82%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 2.27 -1.09
SD 1.10 1.70 1.80
CV 0.93 0.75 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%22.73%4.55%———36.36%
1—9.09%————9.09%
29.09%9.09%—4.55%——22.73%
39.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total27.27%50.00%13.64%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.05 +0.59
SD 1.53 0.90 1.62
CV 0.93 0.86 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%—4.55%4.55%—31.82%
19.09%18.18%———4.55%31.82%
24.55%—4.55%———9.09%
39.09%—9.09%4.55%——22.73%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total31.82%31.82%18.18%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.36 +0.00
SD 1.29 1.40 1.88
CV 0.95 1.03 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.73%4.55%————27.27%
14.55%9.09%13.64%——4.55%31.82%
2——4.55%9.09%——13.64%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total31.82%31.82%22.73%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.27 +0.41
SD 1.70 1.28 1.99
CV 1.01 1.01 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%————18.18%
118.18%4.55%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
24.55%13.64%—4.55%——22.73%
3—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%———4.55%—9.09%
Total45.45%31.82%4.55%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 1.00 +0.91
SD 1.74 1.23 1.66
CV 0.91 1.23 —
Max 7 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%4.55%13.64%——36.36%
14.55%9.09%4.55%——4.55%22.73%
2—9.09%—4.55%9.09%—22.73%
34.55%—13.64%———18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%22.73%22.73%18.18%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.82 -0.59
SD 1.15 1.47 1.76
CV 0.94 0.81 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
19.09%18.18%18.18%—4.55%—50.00%
213.64%—————13.64%
39.09%——4.55%——13.64%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total40.91%22.73%22.73%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.14 +0.45
SD 1.30 1.21 1.95
CV 0.82 1.06 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
036.36%9.09%—4.55%——50.00%
14.55%18.18%—9.09%——31.82%
2—9.09%————9.09%
3——9.09%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.91%36.36%9.09%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 0.95 -0.18
SD 0.97 1.05 1.05
CV 1.26 1.10 —
Max 3 3 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%—4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
19.09%9.09%4.55%——4.55%27.27%
24.55%—4.55%9.09%——18.18%
3—4.55%4.55%18.18%——27.27%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total27.27%18.18%18.18%27.27%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.82 -0.14
SD 1.36 1.59 1.88
CV 0.81 0.88 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%—13.64%—4.55%31.82%
19.09%9.09%13.64%———31.82%
24.55%——4.55%4.55%—13.64%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+———————
Total27.27%22.73%18.18%22.73%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.68 -0.32
SD 1.33 1.46 2.21
CV 0.97 0.87 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%13.64%———27.27%
14.55%18.18%—9.09%——31.82%
2—18.18%—4.55%4.55%—27.27%
3——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%45.45%18.18%13.64%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.59 -0.27
SD 1.13 1.18 1.39
CV 0.86 0.74 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%9.09%———31.82%
113.64%18.18%——4.55%—36.36%
2—4.55%————4.55%
39.09%—4.55%4.55%——18.18%
4——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
5+———————
Total36.36%31.82%18.18%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.14 +0.23
SD 1.36 1.17 1.48
CV 1.00 1.03 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Partizan 1740 31 26.95 +4.05 89.0% 18 20 24 27 29 33 35
Dinamo Zagreb 1696 25 24.07 +0.93 60.0% 16 18 21 24 26 29 31
Red Star Belgrade 1670 24 26.61 -2.61 30.0% 19 22 24 27 28 32 36
Hajduk Split 1662 24 23.94 +0.06 56.0% 17 18 21 24 27 31 32
OFK Beograd 1631 22 21.42 +0.58 59.0% 12 16 18 22 24 27 30
Vojvodina 1630 26 23.34 +2.66 77.0% 15 18 21 23 26 31 33
RFK Novi Sad 1583 19 21.81 -2.81 22.0% 15 16 20 22 24 26 31
Sarajevo 1581 22 20.53 +1.47 72.0% 13 16 18 21 23 27 29
Velez Mostar 1548 20 18.94 +1.06 67.0% 12 13 16 19 21 24 27
Rijeka 1535 22 19.81 +2.19 80.0% 14 15 18 20 22 24 26
Vardar 1508 18 16.36 +1.64 76.0% 8 11 14 16 18 22 25
Borac Banja Luka 1495 11 20.22 -9.22 0.0% 13 14 18 20 22 27 32

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 33.5% * Slight Edge: 33.5% to 40% * Clear Edge: 40% to 45.5% * Strong Edge: 45.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+32.58%
No Edge
50.76%31.06%18.18%
Elo Value
Home Edge
224 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0117.46600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.62 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.52+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 4 * Top-Heavy: 4 to 5 * Open: 5 to 7 * Wide Open: 7 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.09 * Comfortable: 0.09 to 0.17 * Runaway: 0.17 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.0
Top-Heavy
145710
Champion Preseason Odds
41%
Partizan, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Runaway
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.75 * Some Luck: 2.75 to 4.12 * Lucky: 4.12 to 5.49 * Wild Swing: 5.49 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.76 * Close: 1.76 to 2.63 * Off: 2.63 to 3.51 * Way Off: 3.51 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.36 points
Some Luck
03.439
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.67
Pinpoint
02.195
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
89.00%
Partizan
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
Borac Banja Luka
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.09 * Even: 0.09 to 0.11 * Top-Heavy: 0.11 to 0.16 * Lopsided: 0.16 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.15 * Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.35 * Strong Separation: 1.35 to 1.65 * Wide Separation: 1.65 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61% * Slight Edge: 61% to 63.5% * Clear Edge: 63.5% to 67% * Wide Edge: 67% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82% * Clear Edge: 82% to 86.5% * Strong Edge: 86.5% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56% * Some Drama: 56% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 64% * Very Frequent: 64% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 20.5% * Very Frequent: 20.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.11
Top-Heavy
00.090.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 77.45
1.26
Moderate Separation
0.91.151.351.652.5
Interquartile Edge
67%
Clear Edge
50%61%67%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
80%
Even
50%82%100%
Close Games
Expected
68%
Very Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Occasional
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.54 * Slight Separation: 0.54 to 0.62 * Notable Separation: 0.62 to 0.69 * Lopsided: 0.69 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 13.5% * As Expected: 13.5% to 15.5% * Upset-Prone: 15.5% to 20% * Very Upset-Prone: 20% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Shaky: 18.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.54
Very Even
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.95
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.59
Some Carryover
00.470.61
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Upset-Prone
0%16%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Shaky Favorites
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.39
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.58
Overconfident
0.4532781.001.54672
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.123
Well Within Noise
00.1330.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Partizan41.00%17.00%16.00%8.00%5.00%1.00%3.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%——
Vojvodina11.00%10.00%11.00%8.00%13.00%11.00%16.00%2.00%5.00%8.00%4.00%1.00%
Dinamo Zagreb7.00%14.00%23.00%12.00%12.00%9.00%6.00%7.00%4.00%3.00%3.00%—
Red Star Belgrade22.00%32.00%10.00%18.00%8.00%6.00%3.00%—1.00%———
Hajduk Split10.00%13.00%16.00%10.00%11.00%6.00%8.00%12.00%7.00%4.00%3.00%—
OFK Beograd3.00%4.00%8.00%11.00%16.00%12.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%9.00%11.00%2.00%
Sarajevo5.00%2.00%3.00%8.00%6.00%10.00%11.00%13.00%10.00%15.00%9.00%8.00%
Rijeka—1.00%1.00%5.00%9.00%12.00%8.00%10.00%19.00%17.00%12.00%6.00%
Velez Mostar—1.00%1.00%4.00%4.00%9.00%12.00%9.00%13.00%8.00%18.00%21.00%
RFK Novi Sad—2.00%8.00%14.00%10.00%11.00%10.00%16.00%8.00%12.00%4.00%5.00%
Vardar——1.00%——3.00%5.00%6.00%9.00%9.00%21.00%46.00%
Borac Banja Luka1.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%6.00%10.00%10.00%12.00%14.00%13.00%15.00%11.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Partizan 100% —
Red Star Belgrade 100% —
Dinamo Zagreb 97.00% 3.00%
Hajduk Split 97.00% 3.00%
Vojvodina 95.00% 5.00%
RFK Novi Sad 91.00% 9.00%
OFK Beograd 87.00% 13.00%
Sarajevo 83.00% 17.00%
Rijeka 82.00% 18.00%
Borac Banja Luka 74.00% 26.00%
Velez Mostar 61.00% 39.00%
Vardar 33.00% 67.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1961-08-20 Hajduk Split W 1-055.4 1624 1669 49.70% 32.48% 17.82%+0.32 +5.4 2
1961-08-20 @ Borac Banja Luka L 0-155.4 1669 1624 17.82% 32.48% 49.70%-0.32 -5.4 0
1961-08-20 Velez Mostar W 3-258.3 1624 1533 61.49% 29.36% 9.15%+0.93 +2.7 2
1961-08-20 @ RFK Novi Sad L 2-358.3 1533 1624 9.15% 29.36% 61.49%-0.93 -2.7 0
1961-08-20 Sarajevo W 6-147.8 1580 1571 54.91% 31.55% 13.55%+0.57 +15.8 2
1961-08-20 @ OFK Beograd L 1-647.8 1571 1580 13.55% 31.55% 54.91%-0.57 -15.8 0
1961-08-20 Dinamo Zagreb W 2-049.6 1694 1639 58.71% 30.44% 10.85%+0.77 +6.7 2
1961-08-20 @ Partizan L 0-249.6 1639 1694 10.85% 30.44% 58.71%-0.77 -6.7 0
1961-08-20 Vojvodina W 1-053.6 1554 1615 47.90% 32.67% 19.43%+0.25 +5.8 2
1961-08-20 @ Rijeka L 0-153.6 1615 1554 19.43% 32.67% 47.90%-0.25 -5.8 0
1961-08-20 Red Star Belgrade L 0-550.9 1487 1688 30.36% 32.33% 37.31%-0.37 -34.7 0
1961-08-20 @ Vardar W 5-050.9 1688 1487 37.31% 32.33% 30.36%+0.37 +34.7 2
1961-08-27 Red Star Belgrade W 3-051.7 1633 1723 44.72% 32.88% 22.40%+0.12 +17.6 2
1961-08-27 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-351.7 1723 1633 22.40% 32.88% 44.72%-0.12 -17.6 2
1961-08-27 Vardar D 3-375.2 1664 1453 69.72% 24.94% 5.35%+1.46 -2.2 1
1961-08-27 @ Hajduk Split D 3-375.2 1453 1664 5.35% 24.94% 69.72%-1.46 +2.2 1
1961-08-27 OFK Beograd W 2-156.3 1701 1596 62.53% 28.90% 8.56%+0.99 +2.6 4
1961-08-27 @ Partizan L 1-256.3 1596 1701 8.56% 28.90% 62.53%-0.99 -2.7 2
1961-08-27 RFK Novi Sad W 5-151.5 1555 1627 46.78% 32.76% 20.46%+0.20 +17.9 2
1961-08-27 @ Sarajevo L 1-551.5 1627 1555 20.46% 32.76% 46.78%-0.20 -17.9 2
1961-08-27 Rijeka D 1-163.5 1531 1559 51.32% 32.25% 16.43%+0.40 -1.8 1
1961-08-27 @ Velez Mostar D 1-163.5 1559 1531 16.43% 32.25% 51.32%-0.40 +1.8 3
1961-08-27 Borac Banja Luka D 1-167.5 1610 1630 52.18% 32.11% 15.71%+0.43 -1.8 1
1961-08-27 @ Vojvodina D 1-167.5 1630 1610 15.71% 32.11% 52.18%-0.43 +1.8 3
1961-09-03 Velez Mostar D 1-166.6 1631 1529 62.35% 28.99% 8.66%+0.98 -2.9 4
1961-09-03 @ Borac Banja Luka D 1-166.6 1529 1631 8.66% 28.99% 62.35%-0.98 +2.9 2
1961-09-03 Partizan D 0-064.3 1609 1704 44.20% 32.90% 22.91%+0.10 -1.1 3
1961-09-03 @ RFK Novi Sad D 0-064.3 1704 1609 22.91% 32.90% 44.20%-0.10 +1.1 5
1961-09-03 Dinamo Zagreb W 1-055.0 1593 1650 48.42% 32.62% 18.96%+0.27 +5.7 4
1961-09-03 @ OFK Beograd L 0-155.0 1650 1593 18.96% 32.62% 48.42%-0.27 -5.7 2
1961-09-03 Hajduk Split W 3-047.9 1705 1661 57.85% 30.72% 11.43%+0.72 +10.2 4
1961-09-03 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-347.9 1661 1705 11.43% 30.72% 57.85%-0.72 -10.2 1
1961-09-03 Sarajevo D 0-061.0 1561 1573 52.98% 31.96% 15.06%+0.47 -2.2 4
1961-09-03 @ Rijeka D 0-061.0 1573 1561 15.06% 31.96% 52.98%-0.47 +2.2 3
1961-09-03 Vojvodina L 2-460.5 1455 1608 36.84% 32.83% 30.33%-0.16 -13.2 1
1961-09-03 @ Vardar W 4-260.5 1608 1455 30.33% 32.83% 36.84%+0.16 +13.2 3
1961-09-10 Hajduk Split L 2-375.1 1645 1651 53.45% 31.87% 14.68%+0.49 -11.0 2
1961-09-10 @ Dinamo Zagreb W 3-275.1 1651 1645 14.68% 31.87% 53.45%-0.49 +11.0 3
1961-09-10 RFK Novi Sad W 3-047.0 1599 1608 53.24% 31.91% 14.85%+0.48 +12.8 6
1961-09-10 @ OFK Beograd L 0-347.0 1608 1599 14.85% 31.91% 53.24%-0.48 -12.8 3
1961-09-10 Rijeka W 1-050.3 1705 1559 65.41% 27.47% 7.12%+1.17 +2.3 7
1961-09-10 @ Partizan L 0-150.3 1559 1705 7.12% 27.47% 65.41%-1.17 -2.3 4
1961-09-10 Borac Banja Luka W 3-263.3 1575 1628 48.78% 32.58% 18.64%+0.28 +5.0 5
1961-09-10 @ Sarajevo L 2-363.3 1628 1575 18.64% 32.58% 48.78%-0.28 -5.0 4
1961-09-10 Vardar W 2-147.6 1532 1442 61.45% 29.38% 9.17%+0.93 +2.8 4
1961-09-10 @ Velez Mostar L 1-247.6 1442 1532 9.17% 29.38% 61.45%-0.93 -2.8 1
1961-09-10 Red Star Belgrade W 2-162.3 1621 1716 44.21% 32.90% 22.89%+0.10 +6.2 5
1961-09-10 @ Vojvodina L 1-262.3 1716 1621 22.89% 32.90% 44.21%-0.10 -6.1 4
1961-09-24 Vojvodina L 0-165.7 1634 1627 54.63% 31.61% 13.76%+0.55 -12.6 2
1961-09-24 @ Dinamo Zagreb W 1-065.7 1627 1634 13.76% 31.61% 54.63%-0.55 +12.6 7
1961-09-24 Rijeka D 0-061.8 1595 1557 57.37% 30.87% 11.76%+0.69 -2.7 4
1961-09-24 @ RFK Novi Sad D 0-061.8 1557 1595 11.76% 30.87% 57.37%-0.69 +2.7 5
1961-09-24 Borac Banja Luka D 0-063.4 1612 1623 52.97% 31.97% 15.07%+0.47 -2.2 7
1961-09-24 @ OFK Beograd D 0-063.4 1623 1612 15.07% 31.97% 52.97%-0.47 +2.2 5
1961-09-24 Vardar L 1-367.3 1707 1439 73.25% 22.58% 4.17%+1.72 -25.7 7
1961-09-24 @ Partizan W 3-167.3 1439 1707 4.17% 22.58% 73.25%-1.72 +25.7 3
1961-09-24 Red Star Belgrade D 3-376.6 1580 1709 39.90% 32.93% 27.17%-0.05 -0.4 6
1961-09-24 @ Sarajevo D 3-376.6 1709 1580 27.17% 32.93% 39.90%+0.05 +0.4 5
1961-09-24 Hajduk Split D 0-062.3 1535 1662 40.18% 32.93% 26.89%-0.04 -0.7 5
1961-09-24 @ Velez Mostar D 0-062.3 1662 1535 26.89% 32.93% 40.18%+0.04 +0.7 4
1961-10-01 RFK Novi Sad L 2-374.6 1626 1592 56.96% 31.00% 12.04%+0.67 -11.7 5
1961-10-01 @ Borac Banja Luka W 3-274.6 1592 1626 12.04% 31.00% 56.96%-0.67 +11.7 6
1961-10-01 Sarajevo L 0-166.7 1663 1579 60.93% 29.60% 9.47%+0.89 -13.8 4
1961-10-01 @ Hajduk Split W 1-066.7 1579 1663 9.47% 29.60% 60.93%-0.89 +13.8 8
1961-10-01 Partizan D 0-065.6 1710 1681 56.55% 31.12% 12.34%+0.65 -2.6 6
1961-10-01 @ Red Star Belgrade D 0-065.6 1681 1710 12.34% 31.12% 56.55%-0.65 +2.6 8
1961-10-01 Dinamo Zagreb L 1-363.6 1559 1621 47.91% 32.67% 19.42%+0.25 -18.2 5
1961-10-01 @ Rijeka W 3-163.6 1621 1559 19.42% 32.67% 47.91%-0.25 +18.2 4
1961-10-01 OFK Beograd W 3-262.8 1464 1610 37.87% 32.87% 29.25%-0.12 +6.9 5
1961-10-01 @ Vardar L 2-362.8 1610 1464 29.25% 32.87% 37.87%+0.12 -6.9 7
1961-10-01 Velez Mostar W 4-361.3 1640 1534 62.59% 28.88% 8.53%+0.99 +2.4 9
1961-10-01 @ Vojvodina L 3-461.3 1534 1640 8.53% 28.88% 62.59%-0.99 -2.4 5
1961-10-15 Velez Mostar W 4-254.1 1639 1532 62.74% 28.81% 8.45%+1.00 +4.0 6
1961-10-15 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 2-454.1 1532 1639 8.45% 28.81% 62.74%-1.00 -4.0 5
1961-10-15 Vardar W 2-150.4 1604 1471 64.50% 27.95% 7.55%+1.11 +2.3 8
1961-10-15 @ RFK Novi Sad L 1-250.4 1471 1604 7.55% 27.95% 64.50%-1.11 -2.3 5
1961-10-15 Red Star Belgrade L 0-163.3 1603 1707 43.03% 32.93% 24.04%+0.06 -10.2 7
1961-10-15 @ OFK Beograd W 1-063.3 1707 1603 24.04% 32.93% 43.03%-0.06 +10.2 8
1961-10-15 Hajduk Split W 4-047.2 1684 1649 57.09% 30.96% 11.95%+0.68 +13.9 10
1961-10-15 @ Partizan L 0-447.2 1649 1684 11.95% 30.96% 57.09%-0.68 -13.9 4
1961-10-15 Borac Banja Luka W 3-262.7 1541 1614 46.70% 32.77% 20.53%+0.20 +5.4 7
1961-10-15 @ Rijeka L 2-362.7 1614 1541 20.53% 32.77% 46.70%-0.20 -5.4 5
1961-10-15 Vojvodina D 1-167.3 1593 1642 49.28% 32.53% 18.19%+0.31 -1.5 9
1961-10-15 @ Sarajevo D 1-167.3 1642 1593 18.19% 32.53% 49.28%-0.31 +1.5 10
1961-10-17 Partizan L 4-767.2 1609 1698 44.84% 32.87% 22.29%+0.13 -18.6 5
1961-10-17 @ Borac Banja Luka W 7-467.2 1698 1609 22.29% 32.87% 44.84%-0.13 +18.6 12
1961-10-17 Vojvodina D 1-168.2 1635 1644 53.25% 31.91% 14.84%+0.49 -2.0 5
1961-10-17 @ Hajduk Split D 1-168.2 1644 1635 14.84% 31.91% 53.25%-0.49 +2.0 11
1961-10-17 Dinamo Zagreb D 1-167.6 1606 1643 50.48% 32.38% 17.15%+0.36 -1.7 9
1961-10-17 @ RFK Novi Sad D 1-167.6 1643 1606 17.15% 32.38% 50.48%-0.36 +1.7 7
1961-10-17 Velez Mostar W 2-045.4 1717 1527 68.37% 25.78% 5.85%+1.37 +3.5 10
1961-10-17 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-245.4 1527 1717 5.85% 25.78% 68.37%-1.37 -3.5 5
1961-10-17 OFK Beograd W 2-156.9 1547 1593 49.57% 32.49% 17.94%+0.32 +5.1 9
1961-10-17 @ Rijeka L 1-256.9 1593 1547 17.94% 32.49% 49.57%-0.32 -5.1 7
1961-10-17 Sarajevo W 4-045.9 1469 1592 40.78% 32.94% 26.28%-0.02 +25.7 7
1961-10-17 @ Vardar L 0-445.9 1592 1469 26.28% 32.94% 40.78%+0.02 -25.7 9
1961-10-22 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-357.9 1590 1645 48.62% 32.60% 18.78%+0.28 -31.0 5
1961-10-22 @ Borac Banja Luka W 3-057.9 1645 1590 18.78% 32.60% 48.62%-0.28 +31.0 9
1961-10-22 OFK Beograd W 3-260.9 1633 1587 57.98% 30.68% 11.34%+0.73 +3.3 7
1961-10-22 @ Hajduk Split L 2-360.9 1587 1633 11.34% 30.68% 57.98%-0.73 -3.3 7
1961-10-22 RFK Novi Sad W 4-256.7 1721 1605 63.36% 28.52% 8.13%+1.04 +3.9 12
1961-10-22 @ Red Star Belgrade L 2-456.7 1605 1721 8.13% 28.52% 63.36%-1.04 -3.9 9
1961-10-22 Rijeka D 1-161.9 1495 1552 48.43% 32.62% 18.95%+0.27 -1.4 8
1961-10-22 @ Vardar D 1-161.9 1552 1495 18.95% 32.62% 48.43%-0.27 +1.4 10
1961-10-22 Sarajevo W 3-259.8 1524 1566 49.98% 32.44% 17.58%+0.34 +4.8 7
1961-10-22 @ Velez Mostar L 2-359.8 1566 1524 17.58% 32.44% 49.98%-0.34 -4.8 9
1961-10-22 Partizan L 0-165.0 1646 1716 46.93% 32.75% 20.32%+0.21 -11.0 11
1961-10-22 @ Vojvodina W 1-065.0 1716 1646 20.32% 32.75% 46.93%-0.21 +11.0 14
1961-10-29 Vardar W 3-040.5 1559 1493 59.57% 30.13% 10.30%+0.82 +9.2 7
1961-10-29 @ Borac Banja Luka L 0-340.5 1493 1559 10.30% 30.13% 59.57%-0.82 -9.2 8
1961-10-29 Sarajevo W 2-046.8 1676 1561 63.24% 28.57% 8.18%+1.03 +5.0 11
1961-10-29 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-246.8 1561 1676 8.18% 28.57% 63.24%-1.03 -5.0 9
1961-10-29 Hajduk Split L 2-469.3 1601 1636 50.62% 32.36% 17.03%+0.36 -17.1 9
1961-10-29 @ RFK Novi Sad W 4-269.3 1636 1601 17.03% 32.36% 50.62%-0.36 +17.1 9
1961-10-29 Vojvodina D 0-062.9 1584 1635 49.10% 32.55% 18.35%+0.30 -1.7 8
1961-10-29 @ OFK Beograd D 0-062.9 1635 1584 18.35% 32.55% 49.10%-0.30 +1.7 12
1961-10-29 Velez Mostar W 3-150.3 1727 1529 68.92% 25.44% 5.64%+1.41 +2.9 16
1961-10-29 @ Partizan L 1-350.3 1529 1727 5.64% 25.44% 68.92%-1.41 -2.9 7
1961-10-29 Red Star Belgrade D 1-167.9 1553 1725 34.31% 32.68% 33.01%-0.24 -0.1 11
1961-10-29 @ Rijeka D 1-167.9 1725 1553 33.01% 32.68% 34.31%+0.24 +0.1 13
1961-11-05 Rijeka D 1-167.7 1654 1553 62.21% 29.05% 8.74%+0.97 -2.9 10
1961-11-05 @ Hajduk Split D 1-167.7 1553 1654 8.74% 29.05% 62.21%-0.97 +2.9 12
1961-11-05 Borac Banja Luka W 2-046.9 1725 1568 66.16% 27.06% 6.78%+1.22 +4.1 15
1961-11-05 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-246.9 1568 1725 6.78% 27.06% 66.16%-1.22 -4.1 7
1961-11-05 Partizan D 3-376.6 1556 1730 33.99% 32.66% 33.35%-0.25 -0.0 10
1961-11-05 @ Sarajevo D 3-376.6 1730 1556 33.35% 32.66% 33.99%+0.25 +0.0 17
1961-11-05 Dinamo Zagreb D 1-165.7 1484 1681 30.87% 32.39% 36.75%-0.35 +0.3 9
1961-11-05 @ Vardar D 1-165.7 1681 1484 36.75% 32.39% 30.87%+0.35 -0.3 12
1961-11-05 OFK Beograd D 1-164.0 1526 1582 48.48% 32.61% 18.91%+0.27 -1.5 8
1961-11-05 @ Velez Mostar D 1-164.0 1582 1526 18.91% 32.61% 48.48%-0.27 +1.5 9
1961-11-05 RFK Novi Sad W 3-045.6 1636 1584 58.56% 30.49% 10.95%+0.76 +9.8 14
1961-11-05 @ Vojvodina L 0-345.6 1584 1636 10.95% 30.49% 58.56%-0.76 -9.8 9
1961-11-12 Partizan D 0-065.3 1681 1730 49.22% 32.53% 18.25%+0.30 -1.7 13
1961-11-12 @ Dinamo Zagreb D 0-065.3 1730 1681 18.25% 32.53% 49.22%-0.30 +1.7 18
1961-11-12 Borac Banja Luka W 3-044.7 1651 1564 61.18% 29.50% 9.33%+0.91 +8.4 12
1961-11-12 @ Hajduk Split L 0-344.7 1564 1651 9.33% 29.50% 61.18%-0.91 -8.4 7
1961-11-12 Vardar W 3-041.5 1729 1484 71.82% 23.56% 4.62%+1.61 +3.8 17
1961-11-12 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-341.5 1484 1729 4.62% 23.56% 71.82%-1.61 -3.8 9
1961-11-12 OFK Beograd D 0-061.1 1556 1584 51.42% 32.24% 16.34%+0.40 -2.0 11
1961-11-12 @ Sarajevo D 0-061.1 1584 1556 16.34% 32.24% 51.42%-0.40 +2.0 10
1961-11-12 RFK Novi Sad W 2-155.8 1524 1574 49.24% 32.53% 18.23%+0.30 +5.2 10
1961-11-12 @ Velez Mostar L 1-255.8 1574 1524 18.23% 32.53% 49.24%-0.30 -5.2 9
1961-11-12 Rijeka W 1-050.3 1646 1556 61.45% 29.38% 9.17%+0.93 +3.0 16
1961-11-12 @ Vojvodina L 0-150.3 1556 1646 9.17% 29.38% 61.45%-0.93 -3.0 12
1962-03-04 Vojvodina L 0-162.0 1556 1649 44.34% 32.89% 22.77%+0.11 -10.5 7
1962-03-04 @ Borac Banja Luka W 1-062.0 1649 1556 22.77% 32.89% 44.34%-0.11 +10.5 18
1962-03-04 Sarajevo W 3-259.2 1569 1554 55.32% 31.44% 13.23%+0.59 +3.8 11
1962-03-04 @ RFK Novi Sad L 2-359.2 1554 1569 13.23% 31.44% 55.32%-0.59 -3.8 11
1962-03-04 Partizan L 1-266.5 1586 1732 37.76% 32.87% 29.37%-0.13 -8.7 10
1962-03-04 @ OFK Beograd W 2-166.5 1732 1586 29.37% 32.87% 37.76%+0.13 +8.7 20
1962-03-04 Dinamo Zagreb W 1-053.9 1733 1679 58.62% 30.47% 10.91%+0.76 +3.6 19
1962-03-04 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-153.9 1679 1733 10.91% 30.47% 58.62%-0.76 -3.6 13
1962-03-04 Velez Mostar D 0-059.6 1553 1530 56.10% 31.24% 12.66%+0.63 -2.5 13
1962-03-04 @ Rijeka D 0-059.6 1530 1553 12.66% 31.24% 56.10%-0.63 +2.5 11
1962-03-04 Hajduk Split W 1-057.1 1481 1659 33.36% 32.61% 34.03%-0.27 +8.5 11
1962-03-04 @ Vardar L 0-157.1 1659 1481 34.03% 32.61% 33.36%+0.27 -8.5 12
1962-03-11 OFK Beograd W 5-148.4 1676 1577 62.05% 29.12% 8.83%+0.96 +8.6 15
1962-03-11 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 1-548.4 1577 1676 8.83% 29.12% 62.05%-0.96 -8.6 10
1962-03-11 Red Star Belgrade D 1-169.0 1651 1736 45.24% 32.85% 21.91%+0.14 -1.1 13
1962-03-11 @ Hajduk Split D 1-169.0 1736 1651 21.91% 32.85% 45.24%-0.14 +1.1 20
1962-03-11 RFK Novi Sad W 1-050.5 1741 1572 66.94% 26.62% 6.44%+1.27 +2.0 22
1962-03-11 @ Partizan L 0-150.5 1572 1741 6.44% 26.62% 66.94%-1.27 -2.0 11
1962-03-11 Rijeka D 0-060.0 1550 1550 54.05% 31.74% 14.21%+0.52 -2.3 12
1962-03-11 @ Sarajevo D 0-060.0 1550 1550 14.21% 31.74% 54.05%-0.52 +2.3 14
1962-03-11 Borac Banja Luka D 1-163.2 1532 1545 52.83% 31.99% 15.18%+0.47 -1.9 12
1962-03-11 @ Velez Mostar D 1-163.2 1545 1532 15.18% 31.99% 52.83%-0.47 +1.9 8
1962-03-11 Vardar W 3-041.4 1660 1489 67.10% 26.53% 6.37%+1.28 +5.5 20
1962-03-11 @ Vojvodina L 0-341.4 1489 1660 6.37% 26.53% 67.10%-1.28 -5.5 11
1962-03-18 Sarajevo L 1-362.7 1547 1548 53.95% 31.76% 14.29%+0.52 -20.3 8
1962-03-18 @ Borac Banja Luka W 3-162.7 1548 1547 14.29% 31.76% 53.95%-0.52 +20.3 14
1962-03-18 Dinamo Zagreb W 1-055.6 1649 1684 50.72% 32.34% 16.94%+0.37 +5.2 15
1962-03-18 @ Hajduk Split L 0-155.6 1684 1649 16.94% 32.34% 50.72%-0.37 -5.2 15
1962-03-18 OFK Beograd D 1-165.2 1570 1569 54.20% 31.71% 14.09%+0.53 -2.1 12
1962-03-18 @ RFK Novi Sad D 1-165.2 1569 1570 14.09% 31.71% 54.20%-0.53 +2.1 11
1962-03-18 Vojvodina W 2-049.7 1737 1665 60.08% 29.94% 9.98%+0.85 +6.2 22
1962-03-18 @ Red Star Belgrade L 0-249.7 1665 1737 9.98% 29.94% 60.08%-0.85 -6.2 20
1962-03-18 Partizan L 1-360.9 1553 1743 31.80% 32.48% 35.72%-0.32 -13.3 14
1962-03-18 @ Rijeka W 3-160.9 1743 1553 35.72% 32.48% 31.80%+0.32 +13.3 24
1962-03-18 Velez Mostar W 1-048.0 1484 1530 49.49% 32.50% 18.01%+0.31 +5.5 13
1962-03-18 @ Vardar L 0-148.0 1530 1484 18.01% 32.50% 49.49%-0.31 -5.5 12
1962-03-25 RFK Novi Sad W 3-259.9 1679 1568 62.95% 28.71% 8.34%+1.02 +2.4 17
1962-03-25 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 2-359.9 1568 1679 8.34% 28.71% 62.95%-1.02 -2.4 12
1962-03-25 Rijeka D 0-060.5 1571 1539 56.78% 31.05% 12.17%+0.66 -2.6 12
1962-03-25 @ OFK Beograd D 0-060.5 1539 1571 12.17% 31.05% 56.78%-0.66 +2.6 15
1962-03-25 Borac Banja Luka W 5-042.9 1756 1527 70.86% 24.20% 4.94%+1.54 +6.6 26
1962-03-25 @ Partizan L 0-542.9 1527 1756 4.94% 24.20% 70.86%-1.54 -6.6 8
1962-03-25 Vardar W 1-046.3 1568 1489 60.64% 29.72% 9.64%+0.88 +3.2 16
1962-03-25 @ Sarajevo L 0-146.3 1489 1568 9.64% 29.72% 60.64%-0.88 -3.2 13
1962-03-25 Red Star Belgrade W 2-166.2 1525 1744 28.13% 32.05% 39.83%-0.45 +9.0 14
1962-03-25 @ Velez Mostar L 1-266.2 1744 1525 39.83% 32.05% 28.13%+0.45 -9.0 22
1962-03-25 Hajduk Split D 1-168.7 1659 1655 54.44% 31.65% 13.90%+0.54 -2.1 21
1962-03-25 @ Vojvodina D 1-168.7 1655 1659 13.90% 31.65% 54.44%-0.54 +2.1 16
1962-04-01 OFK Beograd D 2-268.2 1520 1568 49.40% 32.51% 18.09%+0.31 -1.2 9
1962-04-01 @ Borac Banja Luka D 2-268.2 1568 1520 18.09% 32.51% 49.40%-0.31 +1.2 13
1962-04-01 Velez Mostar W 2-045.7 1657 1534 63.82% 28.29% 7.89%+1.07 +4.8 18
1962-04-01 @ Hajduk Split L 0-245.7 1534 1657 7.89% 28.29% 63.82%-1.07 -4.8 14
1962-04-01 Sarajevo D 1-170.1 1735 1572 66.59% 26.82% 6.59%+1.25 -3.3 23
1962-04-01 @ Red Star Belgrade D 1-170.1 1572 1735 6.59% 26.82% 66.59%-1.25 +3.3 17
1962-04-01 RFK Novi Sad L 0-355.5 1542 1566 51.80% 32.17% 16.03%+0.42 -32.8 15
1962-04-01 @ Rijeka W 3-055.5 1566 1542 16.03% 32.17% 51.80%-0.42 +32.8 14
1962-04-01 Partizan L 0-155.4 1486 1763 21.74% 30.78% 47.47%-0.71 -6.1 13
1962-04-01 @ Vardar W 1-055.4 1763 1486 47.47% 30.78% 21.74%+0.71 +6.1 28
1962-04-01 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-262.4 1657 1681 51.74% 32.18% 16.08%+0.41 -22.5 21
1962-04-01 @ Vojvodina W 2-062.4 1681 1657 16.08% 32.18% 51.74%-0.41 +22.5 19
1962-04-08 Rijeka D 0-064.9 1704 1509 68.68% 25.59% 5.73%+1.39 -3.9 20
1962-04-08 @ Dinamo Zagreb D 0-064.9 1509 1704 5.73% 25.59% 68.68%-1.39 +3.9 16
1962-04-08 Borac Banja Luka W 2-153.0 1599 1519 60.64% 29.72% 9.64%+0.88 +3.0 16
1962-04-08 @ RFK Novi Sad L 1-253.0 1519 1599 9.64% 29.72% 60.64%-0.88 -3.0 9
1962-04-08 Vardar W 3-254.9 1569 1480 61.39% 29.41% 9.20%+0.92 +2.7 15
1962-04-08 @ OFK Beograd L 2-354.9 1480 1569 9.20% 29.41% 61.39%-0.92 -2.7 13
1962-04-08 Red Star Belgrade D 1-170.2 1769 1731 57.29% 30.90% 11.81%+0.69 -2.4 29
1962-04-08 @ Partizan D 1-170.2 1731 1769 11.81% 30.90% 57.29%-0.69 +2.4 24
1962-04-08 Hajduk Split D 2-272.0 1575 1662 45.13% 32.86% 22.01%+0.14 -0.8 18
1962-04-08 @ Sarajevo D 2-272.0 1662 1575 22.01% 32.86% 45.13%-0.14 +0.8 19
1962-04-08 Vojvodina W 4-153.5 1529 1634 42.92% 32.93% 24.15%+0.05 +15.6 16
1962-04-08 @ Velez Mostar L 1-453.5 1634 1529 24.15% 32.93% 42.92%-0.05 -15.6 21
1962-04-15 Rijeka L 2-368.4 1516 1513 54.32% 31.68% 14.00%+0.54 -11.2 9
1962-04-15 @ Borac Banja Luka W 3-268.4 1513 1516 14.00% 31.68% 54.32%-0.54 +11.2 18
1962-04-15 Partizan W 1-058.6 1662 1766 43.10% 32.93% 23.97%+0.06 +6.7 21
1962-04-15 @ Hajduk Split L 0-158.6 1766 1662 23.97% 32.93% 43.10%-0.06 -6.7 29
1962-04-15 OFK Beograd L 1-467.1 1734 1572 66.51% 26.87% 6.62%+1.24 -34.2 24
1962-04-15 @ Red Star Belgrade W 4-167.1 1572 1734 6.62% 26.87% 66.51%-1.24 +34.3 17
1962-04-15 RFK Novi Sad W 2-049.4 1477 1602 40.55% 32.94% 26.51%-0.03 +13.6 15
1962-04-15 @ Vardar L 0-249.4 1602 1477 26.51% 32.94% 40.55%+0.03 -13.6 16
1962-04-15 Dinamo Zagreb W 1-058.6 1545 1700 36.51% 32.81% 30.67%-0.17 +8.0 18
1962-04-15 @ Velez Mostar L 0-158.6 1700 1545 30.67% 32.81% 36.51%+0.17 -8.0 20
1962-04-15 Sarajevo D 3-375.5 1619 1574 57.90% 30.71% 11.40%+0.72 -1.5 22
1962-04-15 @ Vojvodina D 3-375.5 1574 1619 11.40% 30.71% 57.90%-0.72 +1.5 19
1962-04-21 Borac Banja Luka W 2-152.8 1692 1505 68.19% 25.89% 5.93%+1.36 +1.8 22
1962-04-21 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 1-252.8 1505 1692 5.93% 25.89% 68.19%-1.36 -1.8 9
1962-04-21 Red Star Belgrade W 1-057.6 1588 1699 42.17% 32.94% 24.88%+0.03 +6.9 18
1962-04-21 @ RFK Novi Sad L 0-157.6 1699 1588 24.88% 32.94% 42.17%-0.03 -6.9 24
1962-04-21 Hajduk Split W 5-153.0 1606 1669 47.78% 32.68% 19.54%+0.24 +17.3 19
1962-04-21 @ OFK Beograd L 1-553.0 1669 1606 19.54% 32.68% 47.78%-0.24 -17.3 21
1962-04-21 Vojvodina L 2-378.2 1760 1617 65.18% 27.60% 7.22%+1.16 -13.1 29
1962-04-21 @ Partizan W 3-278.2 1617 1760 7.22% 27.60% 65.18%-1.16 +13.1 24
1962-04-21 Vardar D 0-057.2 1524 1491 56.98% 30.99% 12.03%+0.67 -2.6 19
1962-04-21 @ Rijeka D 0-057.2 1491 1524 12.03% 30.99% 56.98%-0.67 +2.6 16
1962-04-21 Velez Mostar W 2-046.3 1576 1553 56.08% 31.25% 12.67%+0.63 +7.7 21
1962-04-21 @ Sarajevo L 0-246.3 1553 1576 12.67% 31.25% 56.08%-0.63 -7.7 18
1962-04-29 RFK Novi Sad W 3-046.0 1652 1595 58.88% 30.38% 10.74%+0.78 +9.6 23
1962-04-29 @ Hajduk Split L 0-346.0 1595 1652 10.74% 30.38% 58.88%-0.78 -9.6 18
1962-04-29 Rijeka L 1-271.7 1693 1522 67.12% 26.52% 6.36%+1.29 -14.1 24
1962-04-29 @ Red Star Belgrade W 2-171.7 1522 1693 6.36% 26.52% 67.12%-1.29 +14.1 21
1962-04-29 Dinamo Zagreb D 3-376.4 1583 1694 42.29% 32.94% 24.77%+0.03 -0.5 22
1962-04-29 @ Sarajevo D 3-376.4 1694 1583 24.77% 32.94% 42.29%-0.03 +0.5 23
1962-04-29 Borac Banja Luka W 4-039.8 1493 1503 53.12% 31.93% 14.94%+0.48 +16.8 18
1962-04-29 @ Vardar L 0-439.8 1503 1493 14.94% 31.93% 53.12%-0.48 -16.8 9
1962-04-29 Partizan W 2-165.9 1545 1746 30.28% 32.32% 37.40%-0.37 +8.6 20
1962-04-29 @ Velez Mostar L 1-265.9 1746 1545 37.40% 32.32% 30.28%+0.37 -8.6 29
1962-04-29 OFK Beograd D 0-063.9 1630 1623 54.66% 31.60% 13.73%+0.55 -2.4 25
1962-04-29 @ Vojvodina D 0-063.9 1623 1630 13.73% 31.60% 54.66%-0.55 +2.4 20
1962-05-02 Red Star Belgrade W 2-163.0 1486 1678 31.52% 32.45% 36.03%-0.33 +8.3 11
1962-05-02 @ Borac Banja Luka L 1-263.0 1678 1486 36.03% 32.45% 31.52%+0.33 -8.4 24
1962-05-02 Vardar W 2-153.0 1694 1510 68.00% 26.00% 6.00%+1.34 +1.8 25
1962-05-02 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 1-253.0 1510 1694 6.00% 26.00% 68.00%-1.34 -1.8 18
1962-05-02 Vojvodina D 0-062.8 1585 1628 49.92% 32.45% 17.63%+0.33 -1.8 19
1962-05-02 @ RFK Novi Sad D 0-062.8 1628 1585 17.63% 32.45% 49.92%-0.33 +1.8 26
1962-05-02 Velez Mostar W 3-151.4 1626 1553 60.09% 29.93% 9.98%+0.85 +5.3 22
1962-05-02 @ OFK Beograd L 1-351.4 1553 1626 9.98% 29.93% 60.09%-0.85 -5.3 20
1962-05-02 Sarajevo W 2-155.5 1738 1583 66.05% 27.12% 6.82%+1.21 +2.1 31
1962-05-02 @ Partizan L 1-255.5 1583 1738 6.82% 27.12% 66.05%-1.21 -2.1 22
1962-05-02 Hajduk Split D 0-062.3 1536 1661 40.40% 32.94% 26.66%-0.04 -0.7 22
1962-05-02 @ Rijeka D 0-062.3 1661 1536 26.66% 32.94% 40.40%+0.04 +0.7 24

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1961-09-24 4.17% Vardar 1439 3 @ Partizan 1707 1
2 1962-04-29 6.36% Rijeka 1522 2 @ Red Star Belgrade 1693 1
3 1962-04-15 6.62% OFK Beograd 1572 4 @ Red Star Belgrade 1734 1
4 1962-04-21 7.22% Vojvodina 1617 3 @ Partizan 1760 2
5 1961-10-01 9.47% Sarajevo 1579 1 @ Hajduk Split 1663 0
6 1961-10-01 12.04% RFK Novi Sad 1592 3 @ Borac Banja Luka 1626 2
7 1961-09-24 13.76% Vojvodina 1627 1 @ Dinamo Zagreb 1634 0
8 1962-04-15 14.00% Rijeka 1513 3 @ Borac Banja Luka 1516 2
9 1962-03-18 14.29% Sarajevo 1548 3 @ Borac Banja Luka 1547 1
10 1961-09-10 14.68% Hajduk Split 1651 3 @ Dinamo Zagreb 1645 2
11 1962-04-01 16.03% RFK Novi Sad 1566 3 @ Rijeka 1542 0
12 1962-04-01 16.08% Dinamo Zagreb 1681 2 @ Vojvodina 1657 0
13 1961-10-29 17.03% Hajduk Split 1636 4 @ RFK Novi Sad 1601 2
14 1961-10-22 18.78% Dinamo Zagreb 1645 3 @ Borac Banja Luka 1590 0
15 1961-10-01 19.42% Dinamo Zagreb 1621 3 @ Rijeka 1559 1
16 1961-10-22 20.32% Partizan 1716 1 @ Vojvodina 1646 0
17 1961-10-17 22.29% Partizan 1698 7 @ Borac Banja Luka 1609 4
18 1962-03-04 22.77% Vojvodina 1649 1 @ Borac Banja Luka 1556 0
19 1961-10-15 24.04% Red Star Belgrade 1707 1 @ OFK Beograd 1603 0
20 1962-03-25 28.13% @ Velez Mostar 1525 2 Red Star Belgrade 1744 1
21 1962-03-04 29.37% Partizan 1732 2 @ OFK Beograd 1586 1
22 1962-04-29 30.28% @ Velez Mostar 1545 2 Partizan 1746 1
23 1961-09-03 30.33% Vojvodina 1608 4 @ Vardar 1455 2
24 1962-05-02 31.52% @ Borac Banja Luka 1486 2 Red Star Belgrade 1678 1
25 1962-03-04 33.36% @ Vardar 1481 1 Hajduk Split 1659 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1961-08-20 34.71 Red Star Belgrade 5 1688 37.31% @ Vardar 0 1487 30.36% 32.33%
2 1962-04-15 34.26 OFK Beograd 4 1572 6.62% @ Red Star Belgrade 1 1734 66.51% 26.87%
3 1962-04-01 32.78 RFK Novi Sad 3 1566 16.03% @ Rijeka 0 1542 51.80% 32.17%
4 1961-10-22 30.99 Dinamo Zagreb 3 1645 18.78% @ Borac Banja Luka 0 1590 48.62% 32.60%
5 1961-09-24 25.69 Vardar 3 1439 4.17% @ Partizan 1 1707 73.25% 22.58%
6 1961-10-17 25.69 @ Vardar 4 1469 40.78% Sarajevo 0 1592 26.28% 32.94%
7 1962-04-01 22.55 Dinamo Zagreb 2 1681 16.08% @ Vojvodina 0 1657 51.74% 32.18%
8 1962-03-18 20.29 Sarajevo 3 1548 14.29% @ Borac Banja Luka 1 1547 53.95% 31.76%
9 1961-10-17 18.62 Partizan 7 1698 22.29% @ Borac Banja Luka 4 1609 44.84% 32.87%
10 1961-10-01 18.24 Dinamo Zagreb 3 1621 19.42% @ Rijeka 1 1559 47.91% 32.67%
11 1961-08-27 17.91 @ Sarajevo 5 1555 46.78% RFK Novi Sad 1 1627 20.46% 32.76%
12 1961-08-27 17.59 @ Dinamo Zagreb 3 1633 44.72% Red Star Belgrade 0 1723 22.40% 32.88%
13 1962-04-21 17.31 @ OFK Beograd 5 1606 47.78% Hajduk Split 1 1669 19.54% 32.68%
14 1961-10-29 17.13 Hajduk Split 4 1636 17.03% @ RFK Novi Sad 2 1601 50.62% 32.36%
15 1962-04-29 16.83 @ Vardar 4 1493 53.12% Borac Banja Luka 0 1503 14.94% 31.93%
16 1961-08-20 15.81 @ OFK Beograd 6 1580 54.91% Sarajevo 1 1571 13.55% 31.55%
17 1962-04-08 15.64 @ Velez Mostar 4 1529 42.92% Vojvodina 1 1634 24.15% 32.93%
18 1962-04-29 14.07 Rijeka 2 1522 6.36% @ Red Star Belgrade 1 1693 67.12% 26.52%
19 1961-10-15 13.88 @ Partizan 4 1684 57.09% Hajduk Split 0 1649 11.95% 30.96%
20 1961-10-01 13.85 Sarajevo 1 1579 9.47% @ Hajduk Split 0 1663 60.93% 29.60%
21 1962-04-15 13.63 @ Vardar 2 1477 40.55% RFK Novi Sad 0 1602 26.51% 32.94%
22 1962-03-18 13.29 Partizan 3 1743 35.72% @ Rijeka 1 1553 31.80% 32.48%
23 1961-09-03 13.20 Vojvodina 4 1608 30.33% @ Vardar 2 1455 36.84% 32.83%
24 1962-04-21 13.07 Vojvodina 3 1617 7.22% @ Partizan 2 1760 65.18% 27.60%
25 1961-09-10 12.82 @ OFK Beograd 3 1599 53.24% RFK Novi Sad 0 1608 14.85% 31.91%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1962-04-21 78.2 Vojvodina 3 1617 7.22% @ Partizan 2 1760 65.18% 27.60%
2 1961-09-24 76.6 @ Sarajevo 3 1580 39.90% Red Star Belgrade 3 1709 27.17% 32.93%
3 1961-11-05 76.6 @ Sarajevo 3 1556 33.99% Partizan 3 1730 33.35% 32.66%
4 1962-04-29 76.4 @ Sarajevo 3 1583 42.29% Dinamo Zagreb 3 1694 24.77% 32.94%
5 1962-04-15 75.5 @ Vojvodina 3 1619 57.90% Sarajevo 3 1574 11.40% 30.71%
6 1961-08-27 75.2 @ Hajduk Split 3 1664 69.72% Vardar 3 1453 5.35% 24.94%
7 1961-09-10 75.1 Hajduk Split 3 1651 14.68% @ Dinamo Zagreb 2 1645 53.45% 31.87%
8 1961-10-01 74.6 RFK Novi Sad 3 1592 12.04% @ Borac Banja Luka 2 1626 56.96% 31.00%
9 1962-04-08 72.0 @ Sarajevo 2 1575 45.13% Hajduk Split 2 1662 22.01% 32.86%
10 1962-04-29 71.7 Rijeka 2 1522 6.36% @ Red Star Belgrade 1 1693 67.12% 26.52%
11 1962-04-08 70.2 @ Partizan 1 1769 57.29% Red Star Belgrade 1 1731 11.81% 30.90%
12 1962-04-01 70.1 @ Red Star Belgrade 1 1735 66.59% Sarajevo 1 1572 6.59% 26.82%
13 1961-10-29 69.3 Hajduk Split 4 1636 17.03% @ RFK Novi Sad 2 1601 50.62% 32.36%
14 1962-03-11 69.0 @ Hajduk Split 1 1651 45.24% Red Star Belgrade 1 1736 21.91% 32.85%
15 1962-03-25 68.7 @ Vojvodina 1 1659 54.44% Hajduk Split 1 1655 13.90% 31.65%
16 1962-04-15 68.4 Rijeka 3 1513 14.00% @ Borac Banja Luka 2 1516 54.32% 31.68%
17 1961-10-17 68.2 @ Hajduk Split 1 1635 53.25% Vojvodina 1 1644 14.84% 31.91%
18 1962-04-01 68.2 @ Borac Banja Luka 2 1520 49.40% OFK Beograd 2 1568 18.09% 32.51%
19 1961-10-29 67.9 @ Rijeka 1 1553 34.31% Red Star Belgrade 1 1725 33.01% 32.68%
20 1961-11-05 67.7 @ Hajduk Split 1 1654 62.21% Rijeka 1 1553 8.74% 29.05%
21 1961-10-17 67.6 @ RFK Novi Sad 1 1606 50.48% Dinamo Zagreb 1 1643 17.15% 32.38%
22 1961-08-27 67.5 @ Vojvodina 1 1610 52.18% Borac Banja Luka 1 1630 15.71% 32.11%
23 1961-09-24 67.3 Vardar 3 1439 4.17% @ Partizan 1 1707 73.25% 22.58%
24 1961-10-15 67.3 @ Sarajevo 1 1593 49.28% Vojvodina 1 1642 18.19% 32.53%
25 1961-10-17 67.2 Partizan 7 1698 22.29% @ Borac Banja Luka 4 1609 44.84% 32.87%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1962-04-29 39.8 @ Vardar 4 1493 53.12% Borac Banja Luka 0 1503 14.94% 31.93%
2 1961-10-29 40.5 @ Borac Banja Luka 3 1559 59.57% Vardar 0 1493 10.30% 30.13%
3 1962-03-11 41.4 @ Vojvodina 3 1660 67.10% Vardar 0 1489 6.37% 26.53%
4 1961-11-12 41.5 @ Red Star Belgrade 3 1729 71.82% Vardar 0 1484 4.62% 23.56%
5 1962-03-25 42.9 @ Partizan 5 1756 70.86% Borac Banja Luka 0 1527 4.94% 24.20%
6 1961-11-12 44.7 @ Hajduk Split 3 1651 61.18% Borac Banja Luka 0 1564 9.33% 29.50%
7 1961-10-17 45.4 @ Red Star Belgrade 2 1717 68.37% Velez Mostar 0 1527 5.85% 25.78%
8 1961-11-05 45.6 @ Vojvodina 3 1636 58.56% RFK Novi Sad 0 1584 10.95% 30.49%
9 1962-04-01 45.7 @ Hajduk Split 2 1657 63.82% Velez Mostar 0 1534 7.89% 28.29%
10 1961-10-17 45.9 @ Vardar 4 1469 40.78% Sarajevo 0 1592 26.28% 32.94%
11 1962-04-29 46.0 @ Hajduk Split 3 1652 58.88% RFK Novi Sad 0 1595 10.74% 30.38%
12 1962-03-25 46.3 @ Sarajevo 1 1568 60.64% Vardar 0 1489 9.64% 29.72%
13 1962-04-21 46.3 @ Sarajevo 2 1576 56.08% Velez Mostar 0 1553 12.67% 31.25%
14 1961-10-29 46.8 @ Dinamo Zagreb 2 1676 63.24% Sarajevo 0 1561 8.18% 28.57%
15 1961-11-05 46.9 @ Red Star Belgrade 2 1725 66.16% Borac Banja Luka 0 1568 6.78% 27.06%
16 1961-09-10 47.0 @ OFK Beograd 3 1599 53.24% RFK Novi Sad 0 1608 14.85% 31.91%
17 1961-10-15 47.2 @ Partizan 4 1684 57.09% Hajduk Split 0 1649 11.95% 30.96%
18 1961-09-10 47.6 @ Velez Mostar 2 1532 61.45% Vardar 1 1442 9.17% 29.38%
19 1961-08-20 47.8 @ OFK Beograd 6 1580 54.91% Sarajevo 1 1571 13.55% 31.55%
20 1961-09-03 47.9 @ Red Star Belgrade 3 1705 57.85% Hajduk Split 0 1661 11.43% 30.72%
21 1962-03-18 48.0 @ Vardar 1 1484 49.49% Velez Mostar 0 1530 18.01% 32.50%
22 1962-03-11 48.4 @ Dinamo Zagreb 5 1676 62.05% OFK Beograd 1 1577 8.83% 29.12%
23 1962-04-15 49.4 @ Vardar 2 1477 40.55% RFK Novi Sad 0 1602 26.51% 32.94%
24 1961-08-20 49.6 @ Partizan 2 1694 58.71% Dinamo Zagreb 0 1639 10.85% 30.44%
25 1962-03-18 49.7 @ Red Star Belgrade 2 1737 60.08% Vojvodina 0 1665 9.98% 29.94%