2009-10 Azerbaijan Premier League Season

192 games

Final

Champion

Inter Baku

49 points · 2nd Title

Last Title: 2007-08

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Inter Baku

7.13 points above expected

49 points · 41.87 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Standard Sumgayit

11.82 points below expected

11 points · 22.82 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Inter Baku Champion	22	15	4	3	49	36	18	+18	41.87	+7.13
2	Khazar Lankaran	22	12	8	2	44	29	11	+18	39.69	+4.31
3	Qarabag	22	11	9	2	42	21	12	+9	35.31	+6.69
4	Baku	22	10	7	5	37	22	17	+5	37.74	-0.74
5	Gabala	22	10	6	6	36	24	21	+3	28.96	+7.04
6	Neftchi Baku	22	9	8	5	35	20	14	+6	31.39	+3.61
7	Simurq Zaqatala	22	9	7	6	34	26	21	+5	34.91	-0.91
8	Olimpik-Shuvalan	22	6	7	9	25	20	23	-3	30.44	-5.44
9	Turan	22	4	5	13	17	23	32	-9	21.40	-4.40
10	Mughan	22	3	7	12	16	12	27	-15	15.82	+0.18
11	Standard Sumgayit	22	2	5	15	11	16	34	-18	22.82	-11.82
12	Karvan	22	2	5	15	11	17	36	-19	17.84	-6.84

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Olimpik-Shuvalan	10	5	3	2	18	13	5	+8	28.81	-10.81
2	Mughan	10	5	2	3	17	12	9	+3	3.29	+13.71
3	Standard Sumgayit	10	5	1	4	16	19	10	+9	-5.67	+21.67
4	Baku	10	4	4	2	16	11	6	+5	10.62	+5.38
5	Turan	10	3	4	3	13	12	11	+1	24.48	-11.48
6	Gabala	10	3	4	3	13	12	15	-3	-8.66	+21.66
7	Inter Baku	10	2	6	2	12	11	9	+2	19.95	-7.95
8	Khazar Lankaran	10	3	3	4	12	11	10	+1	28.55	-16.55
9	Neftchi Baku	10	2	6	2	12	5	6	-1	11.32	+0.68
10	Qarabag	10	3	3	4	12	10	14	-4	18.76	-6.76
11	Simurq Zaqatala	10	2	4	4	10	5	14	-9	46.94	-36.94
12	Karvan	10	1	4	5	7	5	17	-12	-16.72	+23.72

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Inter Baku	49	41.87	+7.13
2	Gabala	36	28.96	+7.04
3	Qarabag	42	35.31	+6.69
4	Khazar Lankaran	44	39.69	+4.31
5	Neftchi Baku	35	31.39	+3.61

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Standard Sumgayit	11	22.82	-11.82
2	Karvan	11	17.84	-6.84
3	Olimpik-Shuvalan	25	30.44	-5.44
4	Turan	17	21.40	-4.40
5	Simurq Zaqatala	34	34.91	-0.91

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Simurq Zaqatala	5	Sep 12 – Oct 20	1 in 151
2	Mughan	2	Sep 13 – Sep 20	1 in 29
3	Gabala	3	Oct 17 – Oct 25	1 in 25
4	Inter Baku	6	Dec 13 – Feb 13	1 in 22
5	Qarabag	3	Sep 26 – Oct 21	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Standard Sumgayit	6	Oct 17 – Nov 20	1 in 134
2	Simurq Zaqatala	3	Feb 3 – Feb 13	1 in 31
3	Neftchi Baku	3	Sep 27 – Oct 21	1 in 24
4	Mughan	4	Nov 1 – Nov 29	1 in 17
5	Karvan	5	Nov 1 – Dec 4	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Neftchi Baku	14	Oct 25 – Feb 17	1 in 204
2	Qarabag	12	Nov 22 – Feb 20	1 in 38
3	Mughan	4	Aug 14 – Sep 20	1 in 28
4	Khazar Lankaran	14	Nov 8 – Feb 21	1 in 22
5	Baku	10	Dec 5 – Feb 20	1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Simurq Zaqatala	9	Nov 28 – Feb 13	1 in 209
2	Standard Sumgayit	11	Aug 14 – Nov 20	1 in 36
3	Karvan	14	Sep 20 – Dec 24	1 in 33
4	Mughan	18	Sep 26 – Feb 20	1 in 20
5	Turan	9	Nov 21 – Feb 9	1 in 6

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Inter Baku	1470	61	-12	5	8.1	-3.1
Khazar Lankaran	1450	56	-16	5	8.1	-3.1
Qarabag	1372	54	+2	8	6.0	+2.0
Baku	1436	53	+17	8	7.2	+0.8
Gabala	1317	49	-5	5	5.1	-0.1
Neftchi Baku	1356	47	+14	7	5.6	+1.4
Simurq Zaqatala	1253	44	-58	5	8.7	-3.7
Olimpik-Shuvalan	1320	43	+18	11	8.7	+2.3
Mughan	1153	33	+24	7	5.3	+1.7
Turan	1194	30	+13	6	6.1	-0.1
Standard Sumgayit	1245	27	+48	7	6.6	+0.4
Karvan	1067	18	-45	4	4.8	-0.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BAK	GAB	IB	KAR	KL	MUG	NB	OLI	QAR	SZ	SS	TUR
Baku	—	2-0-0 3.34	1-0-1 2.04	1-1-0 4.33	0-1-1 2.36	1-1-0 4.54	0-1-1 3.17	1-1-0 3.35	0-1-1 2.94	1-0-1 2.99	1-1-0 3.84	2-0-0 4.14
Gabala	0-0-2 2.02	—	0-0-2 1.52	1-0-1 3.66	0-1-1 1.60	1-1-0 3.93	1-1-0 2.27	2-0-0 2.40	0-2-0 2.02	1-1-0 2.05	2-0-0 3.41	2-0-0 3.49
Inter Baku	1-0-1 3.31	2-0-0 3.92	—	2-0-0 4.54	0-1-1 2.92	2-0-0 4.72	1-0-1 3.64	1-1-0 3.68	1-1-0 3.38	1-1-0 3.55	2-0-0 4.34	2-0-0 4.41
Karvan	0-1-1 1.20	1-0-1 1.75	0-0-2 1.04	—	0-0-2 1.04	0-1-1 2.98	0-0-2 1.45	0-0-2 1.71	0-1-1 1.32	1-0-1 1.35	0-1-1 2.20	0-1-1 2.45
Khazar Lankaran	1-1-0 2.97	1-1-0 3.83	1-1-0 2.41	2-0-0 4.55	—	2-0-0 4.63	0-2-0 3.44	1-0-1 3.65	0-1-1 3.25	2-0-0 3.24	1-1-0 4.15	1-1-0 4.34
Mughan	0-1-1 1.04	0-1-1 1.51	0-0-2 0.92	1-1-0 2.36	0-0-2 0.97	—	1-1-0 1.24	0-1-1 1.50	0-0-2 1.21	0-2-0 1.18	1-0-1 1.75	0-0-2 2.23
Neftchi Baku	1-1-0 2.18	0-1-1 3.07	1-0-1 1.75	2-0-0 4.00	0-2-0 1.93	0-1-1 4.27	—	1-1-0 2.91	0-1-1 2.41	0-1-1 2.51	2-0-0 3.46	2-0-0 3.75
Olimpik-Shuvalan	0-1-1 2.02	0-0-2 2.93	0-1-1 1.72	2-0-0 3.69	1-0-1 1.75	1-1-0 3.94	0-1-1 2.44	—	0-1-1 1.99	0-0-2 2.32	2-0-0 3.32	0-2-0 3.60
Qarabag	1-1-0 2.41	0-2-0 3.34	0-1-1 1.99	1-1-0 4.18	1-1-0 2.10	2-0-0 4.32	1-1-0 2.92	1-1-0 3.37	—	0-1-1 2.76	2-0-0 3.65	2-0-0 3.88
Simurq Zaqatala	1-0-1 2.36	0-1-1 3.32	0-1-1 1.83	1-0-1 4.13	0-0-2 2.11	0-2-0 4.35	1-1-0 2.83	2-0-0 3.02	1-1-0 2.57	—	1-1-0 3.77	2-0-0 3.92
Standard Sumgayit	0-1-1 1.59	0-0-2 1.97	0-0-2 1.19	1-1-0 3.14	0-1-1 1.35	1-0-1 3.64	0-0-2 1.93	0-0-2 2.04	0-0-2 1.74	0-1-1 1.65	—	0-1-1 2.85
Turan	0-0-2 1.35	0-0-2 1.89	0-0-2 1.14	1-1-0 2.88	0-1-1 1.19	2-0-0 3.12	0-0-2 1.66	0-2-0 1.79	0-0-2 1.56	0-0-2 1.52	1-1-0 2.48	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.61	+16.4
Allowed	0.84	-14.3
Differential	0.97	+10.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	17.19%	12.76%	4.95%	1.82%	0.52%	0.26%	37.50%
1	12.76%	11.98%	8.33%	1.04%	1.56%	0.26%	35.94%
2	4.95%	8.33%	2.08%	2.08%	0.26%	—	17.71%
3	1.82%	1.04%	2.08%	0.52%	0.26%	—	5.73%
4	0.52%	1.56%	0.26%	0.26%	—	—	2.60%
5+	0.26%	0.26%	—	—	—	—	0.52%
Total	37.50%	35.94%	17.71%	5.73%	2.60%	0.52%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.02	1.02	+0.00
SD	1.07	1.07	1.44
CV	1.05	1.05	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 192

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.62%	12.50%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	34.38%
1	18.75%	18.75%	3.12%	—	—	—	40.62%
2	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	46.88%	40.62%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	0.72	+0.31
SD	1.06	0.85	1.26
CV	1.03	1.18	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	21.88%
1	15.62%	21.88%	3.12%	—	9.38%	—	50.00%
2	3.12%	15.62%	—	3.12%	—	—	21.88%
3	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.25%	46.88%	9.38%	3.12%	9.38%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.12	1.12	+0.00
SD	0.83	1.18	1.46
CV	0.74	1.05	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	9.38%	3.12%	—	—	—	15.62%
1	28.12%	21.88%	3.12%	—	—	—	53.12%
2	3.12%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	15.62%
3	—	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	6.25%
4	—	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	34.38%	46.88%	18.75%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.47	0.84	+0.62
SD	1.32	0.72	1.31
CV	0.90	0.86	—
Max	6	2	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.62%	25.00%	12.50%	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	62.50%
1	—	9.38%	6.25%	—	3.12%	—	18.75%
2	—	—	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	9.38%
3	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
4	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.62%	37.50%	28.12%	9.38%	6.25%	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.69	1.66	-0.97
SD	1.09	1.33	1.60
CV	1.59	0.81	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.75%	15.62%	—	—	—	—	34.38%
1	6.25%	12.50%	3.12%	—	—	—	21.88%
2	6.25%	21.88%	3.12%	—	—	—	31.25%
3	9.38%	—	—	—	—	—	9.38%
4	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.62%	53.12%	6.25%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	0.66	+0.59
SD	1.14	0.60	1.24
CV	0.91	0.92	—
Max	4	2	+3
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	21.88%	21.88%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	53.12%
1	9.38%	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	3.12%	21.88%
2	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	21.88%
3	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	37.50%	34.38%	15.62%	9.38%	—	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.75	1.12	-0.38
SD	0.92	1.31	1.45
CV	1.22	1.17	—
Max	3	6	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	28.12%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	46.88%
1	15.62%	12.50%	3.12%	—	—	—	31.25%
2	9.38%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	—	18.75%
3	—	—	3.12%	—	—	—	3.12%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	53.12%	31.25%	15.62%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.78	0.62	+0.16
SD	0.87	0.75	1.02
CV	1.11	1.20	—
Max	3	2	+2
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	21.88%	12.50%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	43.75%
1	15.62%	3.12%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
2	6.25%	—	3.12%	—	—	—	9.38%
3	3.12%	—	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	9.38%
4	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	50.00%	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	0.88	+0.16
SD	1.23	1.01	1.53
CV	1.19	1.15	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.75%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	25.00%
1	25.00%	18.75%	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	—	56.25%
2	3.12%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	15.62%
3	—	—	3.12%	—	—	—	3.12%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	46.88%	34.38%	12.50%	3.12%	3.12%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	0.81	+0.16
SD	0.74	1.00	1.08
CV	0.76	1.23	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	25.00%	—	—	6.25%	3.12%	—	34.38%
1	9.38%	9.38%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
2	6.25%	15.62%	—	3.12%	—	—	25.00%
3	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.75%	25.00%	12.50%	15.62%	3.12%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.09	-0.12
SD	0.86	1.23	1.52
CV	0.89	1.12	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	21.88%	9.38%	3.12%	—	—	43.75%
1	6.25%	6.25%	15.62%	—	—	—	28.12%
2	—	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	15.62%
3	—	3.12%	—	—	3.12%	—	6.25%
4	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	21.88%	37.50%	28.12%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	1.38	-0.28
SD	1.40	1.10	1.76
CV	1.28	0.80	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.75%	12.50%	3.12%	—	—	—	34.38%
1	3.12%	6.25%	25.00%	3.12%	3.12%	—	40.62%
2	3.12%	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	—	9.38%
3	3.12%	—	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	12.50%
4	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.12%	25.00%	34.38%	9.38%	3.12%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	1.34	-0.25
SD	1.12	1.10	1.32
CV	1.02	0.82	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Inter Baku	1470	49	41.87	+7.13	91.0%	23	33	38	42	45	53	57
Khazar Lankaran	1450	44	39.69	+4.31	79.0%	19	28	36	40	44	49	53
Baku	1436	37	37.74	-0.74	51.0%	24	29	33	37	42	48	55
Qarabag	1372	42	35.31	+6.69	90.0%	18	25	32	35	39	44	49
Neftchi Baku	1356	35	31.39	+3.61	80.0%	18	23	28	31	34	40	47
Olimpik-Shuvalan	1320	25	30.44	-5.44	17.0%	12	21	27	30	34	39	49
Gabala	1317	36	28.96	+7.04	90.0%	15	19	25	29	32	40	48
Simurq Zaqatala	1253	34	34.91	-0.91	46.0%	21	25	30	35	39	43	52
Standard Sumgayit	1245	11	22.82	-11.82	1.0%	10	14	19	23	26	31	34
Turan	1194	17	21.40	-4.40	21.0%	7	11	18	22	25	29	32
Mughan	1153	16	15.82	+0.18	64.0%	4	9	13	16	18	23	30
Karvan	1067	11	17.84	-6.84	5.0%	9	11	15	17	21	23	28

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7.5% * Slight Edge: 7.5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+9.90%

Slight Edge

39.06%31.77%29.17%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 34.49 Elo pts.

279 Elo

0.004 goals per Elo point

0800

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.19 goals

Neutral

-2+0.12+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.34 * Runaway: 0.34 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.7

Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

41%

Inter Baku, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.23/gm

Comfortable

00.200.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.38 * Some Luck: 4.38 to 6.57 * Lucky: 6.57 to 8.76 * Wild Swing: 8.76 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.17 * Close: 1.17 to 1.76 * Off: 1.76 to 2.35 * Way Off: 2.35 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.87 points

Some Luck

05.4814

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.17

Pinpoint

01.473

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

91.00%

Inter Baku

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

1.00%

Standard Sumgayit

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.21 * Even: 0.21 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.15 * Moderate Separation: 2.15 to 2.3 * Strong Separation: 2.3 to 2.6 * Wide Separation: 2.6 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 73.5% * Slight Edge: 73.5% to 77.5% * Clear Edge: 77.5% to 84% * Wide Edge: 84% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92% * Clear Edge: 92% to 97% * Strong Edge: 97% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59% * Some Drama: 59% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 67% * Very Frequent: 67% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14% * Occasional: 14% to 17.5% * Frequent: 17.5% to 21.5% * Very Frequent: 21.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.24

Top-Heavy

00.210.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 130.28

2.24

Moderate Separation

12.152.63.25

Interquartile Edge

77%

Slight Edge

50%73.5%84%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 93%

90%

Even

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

79%

Very Frequent

0%70%100%

Blowouts

Expected 8%

Rare

0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.55 * Lopsided: 0.55 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.65 * Strong Carryover: 0.65 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 17.5% * Upset-Prone: 17.5% to 20.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 20.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 17.5% * Very Shaky: 17.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.61

Predictable

00.612

Matchup Imbalance

0.40

Very Even

00.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.28

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.88

Near-Lock

00.470.651

Upset Rate

Expected

21%

Very Upset-Prone

0%21%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

17%

Shaky Favorites

0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.

Probability calibration

0.85

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.10

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.075

Well Within Noise

00.1290.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Inter Baku	41.00%	26.00%	12.00%	8.00%	10.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Khazar Lankaran	28.00%	21.00%	18.00%	15.00%	11.00%	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	—
Qarabag	7.00%	11.00%	20.00%	22.00%	12.00%	11.00%	9.00%	3.00%	2.00%	3.00%	—	—
Baku	13.00%	15.00%	18.00%	19.00%	18.00%	9.00%	5.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	—	—
Gabala	2.00%	3.00%	4.00%	1.00%	11.00%	13.00%	21.00%	26.00%	10.00%	4.00%	5.00%	—
Neftchi Baku	1.00%	7.00%	4.00%	10.00%	12.00%	27.00%	13.00%	14.00%	9.00%	3.00%	—	—
Simurq Zaqatala	7.00%	9.00%	22.00%	15.00%	14.00%	10.00%	11.00%	10.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Olimpik-Shuvalan	1.00%	8.00%	2.00%	9.00%	10.00%	23.00%	17.00%	11.00%	10.00%	7.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Turan	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	11.00%	14.00%	25.00%	17.00%	18.00%	13.00%
Mughan	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	7.00%	11.00%	30.00%	49.00%
Standard Sumgayit	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	7.00%	16.00%	26.00%	27.00%	7.00%	11.00%
Karvan	—	—	—	—	—	—	3.00%	—	6.00%	27.00%	38.00%	26.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Lost relegation playoff
Baku	100%	—
Gabala	100%	—
Inter Baku	100%	—
Khazar Lankaran	100%	—
Neftchi Baku	100%	—
Qarabag	100%	—
Simurq Zaqatala	100%	—
Olimpik-Shuvalan	99.00%	1.00%
Turan	97.00%	3.00%
Mughan	38.00%	62.00%
Standard Sumgayit	37.00%	63.00%
Karvan	29.00%	71.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team	Same level	Lost relegation playoff
Baku	100%	—
Gabala	100%	—
Inter Baku	100%	—
Khazar Lankaran	100%	—
Neftchi Baku	100%	—
Olimpik-Shuvalan	100%	—
Qarabag	100%	—
Simurq Zaqatala	100%	—
Turan	100%	—
Mughan	92.90%	7.10%
Standard Sumgayit	7.08%	92.92%
Karvan	0.02%	99.98%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2009-08-14	Standard Sumgayit	W 1-0	46.4	1102	1274	18.33%	30.03%	51.64%	-0.49	+11.9	3
2009-08-14	@ Mughan	L 0-1	46.4	1274	1102	51.64%	30.03%	18.33%	+0.49	-11.9	0
2009-08-15	Karvan	W 1-0	31.7	1449	1179	70.35%	19.85%	9.80%	+1.09	+2.6	3
2009-08-15	@ Inter Baku	L 0-1	31.7	1179	1449	9.80%	19.85%	70.35%	-1.09	-2.5	0
2009-08-16	Neftchi Baku	L 0-1	44.2	1323	1332	36.88%	33.55%	29.57%	+0.09	-9.3	0
2009-08-16	@ Olimpik-Shuvalan	W 1-0	44.2	1332	1323	29.57%	33.55%	36.88%	-0.09	+9.3	3
2009-08-16	Simurq Zaqatala	W 2-1	50.7	1275	1347	28.09%	33.40%	38.51%	-0.14	+9.0	3
2009-08-16	@ Gabala	L 1-2	50.7	1347	1275	38.51%	33.40%	28.09%	+0.14	-9.0	0
2009-08-21	Inter Baku	W 1-0	47.3	1409	1451	32.06%	33.68%	34.26%	-0.03	+8.8	3
2009-08-21	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 0-1	47.3	1451	1409	34.26%	33.68%	32.06%	+0.03	-8.8	3
2009-08-22	Mughan	D 0-0	50.1	1338	1114	65.57%	22.83%	11.60%	+0.93	-3.1	1
2009-08-22	@ Simurq Zaqatala	D 0-0	50.1	1114	1338	11.60%	22.83%	65.57%	-0.93	+3.1	4
2009-08-22	Turan	W 2-0	30.7	1341	1192	57.26%	27.48%	15.26%	+0.66	+8.4	6
2009-08-22	@ Neftchi Baku	L 0-2	30.7	1192	1341	15.26%	27.48%	57.26%	-0.66	-8.4	0
2009-08-23	Olimpik-Shuvalan	L 2-3	48.6	1177	1314	21.14%	31.56%	47.30%	-0.37	-5.5	0
2009-08-23	@ Karvan	W 3-2	48.6	1314	1177	47.30%	31.56%	21.14%	+0.37	+5.5	3
2009-09-12	Gabala	W 4-1	43.7	1171	1284	23.54%	32.45%	44.01%	-0.28	+24.3	3
2009-09-12	@ Karvan	L 1-4	43.7	1284	1171	44.01%	32.45%	23.54%	+0.28	-24.3	3
2009-09-12	Simurq Zaqatala	L 1-2	54.3	1407	1335	47.88%	31.38%	20.74%	+0.39	-10.6	0
2009-09-12	@ Baku	W 2-1	54.3	1335	1407	20.74%	31.38%	47.88%	-0.39	+10.6	4
2009-09-12	Turan	D 1-1	56.7	1418	1183	66.77%	22.10%	11.13%	+0.97	-2.9	4
2009-09-12	@ Khazar Lankaran	D 1-1	56.7	1183	1418	11.13%	22.10%	66.77%	-0.97	+2.9	1
2009-09-13	Mughan	L 0-2	44.3	1349	1117	66.49%	22.27%	11.24%	+0.96	-26.8	6
2009-09-13	@ Neftchi Baku	W 2-0	44.3	1117	1349	11.24%	22.27%	66.49%	-0.96	+26.8	7
2009-09-13	Olimpik-Shuvalan	D 2-2	62.3	1443	1320	54.13%	28.97%	16.90%	+0.56	-1.4	4
2009-09-13	@ Inter Baku	D 2-2	62.3	1320	1443	16.90%	28.97%	54.13%	-0.56	+1.4	4
2009-09-13	Standard Sumgayit	W 1-0	38.0	1342	1262	48.82%	31.07%	20.11%	+0.41	+5.9	3
2009-09-13	@ Qarabag	L 0-1	38.0	1262	1342	20.11%	31.07%	48.82%	-0.41	-5.9	0
2009-09-16	Qarabag	L 1-2	43.5	1186	1348	19.07%	30.49%	50.44%	-0.46	-5.3	1
2009-09-16	@ Turan	W 2-1	43.5	1348	1186	50.44%	30.49%	19.07%	+0.46	+5.3	6
2009-09-19	Khazar Lankaran	D 1-1	54.8	1259	1415	19.55%	30.77%	49.67%	-0.44	+1.5	4
2009-09-19	@ Gabala	D 1-1	54.8	1415	1259	49.67%	30.77%	19.55%	+0.44	-1.5	5
2009-09-19	Neftchi Baku	L 1-2	47.5	1256	1323	28.83%	33.48%	37.69%	-0.11	-7.4	0
2009-09-19	@ Standard Sumgayit	W 2-1	47.5	1323	1256	37.69%	33.48%	28.83%	+0.11	+7.4	9
2009-09-19	Inter Baku	L 0-1	34.2	1181	1441	13.05%	24.90%	62.05%	-0.81	-3.7	1
2009-09-19	@ Turan	W 1-0	34.2	1441	1181	62.05%	24.90%	13.05%	+0.81	+3.7	7
2009-09-20	Baku	L 0-1	42.1	1321	1397	27.64%	33.34%	39.02%	-0.15	-7.6	4
2009-09-20	@ Olimpik-Shuvalan	W 1-0	42.1	1397	1321	39.02%	33.34%	27.64%	+0.15	+7.6	3
2009-09-20	Karvan	W 1-0	42.6	1144	1196	30.81%	33.64%	35.56%	-0.06	+9.1	10
2009-09-20	@ Mughan	L 0-1	42.6	1196	1144	35.56%	33.64%	30.81%	+0.06	-9.0	3
2009-09-20	Qarabag	W 1-0	42.5	1345	1354	36.87%	33.55%	29.58%	+0.09	+8.0	7
2009-09-20	@ Simurq Zaqatala	L 0-1	42.5	1354	1345	29.58%	33.55%	36.87%	-0.09	-8.0	6
2009-09-23	Gabala	D 0-0	48.4	1346	1261	49.41%	30.87%	19.72%	+0.43	-1.6	7
2009-09-23	@ Qarabag	D 0-0	48.4	1261	1346	19.72%	30.87%	49.41%	-0.43	+1.6	5
2009-09-23	Standard Sumgayit	D 0-0	49.9	1404	1249	57.99%	27.11%	14.90%	+0.68	-2.5	4
2009-09-23	@ Baku	D 0-0	49.9	1249	1404	14.90%	27.11%	57.99%	-0.68	+2.5	1
2009-09-26	Gabala	W 3-2	46.1	1445	1262	61.08%	25.45%	13.47%	+0.78	+3.4	10
2009-09-26	@ Inter Baku	L 2-3	46.1	1262	1445	13.47%	25.45%	61.08%	-0.78	-3.4	5
2009-09-26	Mughan	W 2-0	27.2	1414	1153	69.43%	20.44%	10.13%	+1.06	+5.0	8
2009-09-26	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 0-2	27.2	1153	1414	10.13%	20.44%	69.43%	-1.06	-5.0	10
2009-09-26	Qarabag	L 0-1	47.6	1402	1344	45.95%	31.96%	22.10%	+0.33	-10.9	4
2009-09-26	@ Baku	W 1-0	47.6	1344	1402	22.10%	31.96%	45.95%	-0.33	+10.9	10
2009-09-26	Standard Sumgayit	D 2-2	58.4	1186	1251	29.01%	33.50%	37.49%	-0.11	+0.3	4
2009-09-26	@ Karvan	D 2-2	58.4	1251	1186	37.49%	33.50%	29.01%	+0.11	-0.3	2
2009-09-27	Simurq Zaqatala	L 0-1	43.9	1330	1353	34.79%	33.67%	31.54%	+0.04	-8.9	9
2009-09-27	@ Neftchi Baku	W 1-0	43.9	1353	1330	31.54%	33.67%	34.79%	-0.04	+8.9	10
2009-09-27	Turan	D 3-3	63.0	1313	1177	55.71%	28.24%	16.05%	+0.61	-1.3	5
2009-09-27	@ Olimpik-Shuvalan	D 3-3	63.0	1177	1313	16.05%	28.24%	55.71%	-0.61	+1.3	2
2009-10-17	Baku	L 0-1	35.5	1179	1391	15.60%	27.82%	56.59%	-0.64	-4.6	2
2009-10-17	@ Turan	W 1-0	35.5	1391	1179	56.59%	27.82%	15.60%	+0.64	+4.6	7
2009-10-17	Karvan	W 2-0	29.9	1362	1187	60.26%	25.90%	13.84%	+0.75	+7.5	13
2009-10-17	@ Simurq Zaqatala	L 0-2	29.9	1187	1362	13.84%	25.90%	60.26%	-0.75	-7.5	4
2009-10-17	Khazar Lankaran	L 1-2	44.2	1251	1419	18.64%	30.23%	51.13%	-0.48	-5.2	2
2009-10-17	@ Standard Sumgayit	W 2-1	44.2	1419	1251	51.13%	30.23%	18.64%	+0.48	+5.2	11
2009-10-17	Olimpik-Shuvalan	W 2-1	49.6	1259	1312	30.55%	33.62%	35.83%	-0.07	+8.6	8
2009-10-17	@ Gabala	L 1-2	49.6	1312	1259	35.83%	33.62%	30.55%	+0.07	-8.6	5
2009-10-18	Neftchi Baku	W 1-0	40.5	1355	1321	42.70%	32.74%	24.56%	+0.24	+7.0	13
2009-10-18	@ Qarabag	L 0-1	40.5	1321	1355	24.56%	32.74%	42.70%	-0.24	-7.0	9
2009-10-18	Inter Baku	L 1-6	30.6	1148	1448	11.28%	22.33%	66.39%	-0.95	-11.2	10
2009-10-18	@ Mughan	W 6-1	30.6	1448	1148	66.39%	22.33%	11.28%	+0.95	+11.2	13
2009-10-20	Simurq Zaqatala	L 1-2	45.4	1246	1370	22.43%	32.08%	45.50%	-0.32	-6.1	2
2009-10-20	@ Standard Sumgayit	W 2-1	45.4	1370	1246	45.50%	32.08%	22.43%	+0.32	+6.1	16
2009-10-21	Karvan	W 2-1	47.0	1174	1179	37.32%	33.52%	29.17%	+0.10	+7.5	5
2009-10-21	@ Turan	L 1-2	47.0	1179	1174	29.17%	33.52%	37.32%	-0.10	-7.5	4
2009-10-21	Khazar Lankaran	W 1-0	47.1	1304	1424	22.74%	32.19%	45.06%	-0.31	+10.7	8
2009-10-21	@ Olimpik-Shuvalan	L 0-1	47.1	1424	1304	45.06%	32.19%	22.74%	+0.31	-10.7	11
2009-10-21	Neftchi Baku	W 1-0	43.1	1268	1314	31.43%	33.66%	34.90%	-0.04	+8.9	11
2009-10-21	@ Gabala	L 0-1	43.1	1314	1268	34.90%	33.66%	31.43%	+0.04	-8.9	9
2009-10-21	Qarabag	L 0-1	34.7	1137	1362	14.89%	27.09%	58.02%	-0.68	-4.3	10
2009-10-21	@ Mughan	W 1-0	34.7	1362	1137	58.02%	27.09%	14.89%	+0.68	+4.3	16
2009-10-22	Baku	W 1-0	42.7	1460	1396	46.72%	31.74%	21.55%	+0.35	+6.2	16
2009-10-22	@ Inter Baku	L 0-1	42.7	1396	1460	21.55%	31.74%	46.72%	-0.35	-6.2	7
2009-10-24	Mughan	D 0-0	49.3	1314	1133	60.98%	25.51%	13.52%	+0.78	-2.8	9
2009-10-24	@ Olimpik-Shuvalan	D 0-0	49.3	1133	1314	13.52%	25.51%	60.98%	-0.78	+2.8	11
2009-10-24	Simurq Zaqatala	W 3-0	36.5	1413	1376	43.22%	32.63%	24.15%	+0.26	+18.8	14
2009-10-24	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 0-3	36.5	1376	1413	24.15%	32.63%	43.22%	-0.26	-18.8	16
2009-10-25	Gabala	L 0-1	39.5	1181	1276	25.40%	32.94%	41.66%	-0.22	-7.2	5
2009-10-25	@ Turan	W 1-0	39.5	1276	1181	41.66%	32.94%	25.40%	+0.22	+7.1	14
2009-10-25	Neftchi Baku	L 0-2	43.2	1389	1305	49.32%	30.90%	19.78%	+0.43	-21.6	7
2009-10-25	@ Baku	W 2-0	43.2	1305	1389	19.78%	30.90%	49.32%	-0.43	+21.6	12
2009-10-25	Qarabag	D 1-1	54.4	1172	1366	16.74%	28.84%	54.41%	-0.57	+1.9	5
2009-10-25	@ Karvan	D 1-1	54.4	1366	1172	54.41%	28.84%	16.74%	+0.57	-1.9	17
2009-10-25	Standard Sumgayit	W 4-2	38.2	1466	1240	65.84%	22.66%	11.49%	+0.93	+4.6	19
2009-10-25	@ Inter Baku	L 2-4	38.2	1240	1466	11.49%	22.66%	65.84%	-0.93	-4.6	2
2009-10-30	Khazar Lankaran	W 1-0	46.6	1364	1432	28.65%	33.46%	37.89%	-0.12	+9.5	20
2009-10-30	@ Qarabag	L 0-1	46.6	1432	1364	37.89%	33.46%	28.65%	+0.12	-9.5	14
2009-10-31	Baku	L 0-2	36.6	1284	1368	26.64%	33.18%	40.18%	-0.18	-14.0	14
2009-10-31	@ Gabala	W 2-0	36.6	1368	1284	40.18%	33.18%	26.64%	+0.18	+14.0	10
2009-10-31	Inter Baku	D 1-1	57.0	1357	1470	23.42%	32.41%	44.17%	-0.28	+1.0	17
2009-10-31	@ Simurq Zaqatala	D 1-1	57.0	1470	1357	44.17%	32.41%	23.42%	+0.28	-1.0	20
2009-11-01	Karvan	W 1-0	34.8	1327	1174	57.71%	27.25%	15.04%	+0.67	+4.4	15
2009-11-01	@ Neftchi Baku	L 0-1	34.8	1174	1327	15.04%	27.25%	57.71%	-0.67	-4.4	5
2009-11-01	Olimpik-Shuvalan	L 0-1	40.6	1235	1312	27.59%	33.33%	39.08%	-0.15	-7.6	2
2009-11-01	@ Standard Sumgayit	W 1-0	40.6	1312	1235	39.08%	33.33%	27.59%	+0.15	+7.6	12
2009-11-01	Turan	L 2-3	52.4	1135	1174	32.53%	33.69%	33.78%	-0.02	-7.6	11
2009-11-01	@ Mughan	W 3-2	52.4	1174	1135	33.78%	33.69%	32.53%	+0.02	+7.6	8
2009-11-07	Karvan	W 1-0	33.0	1382	1169	64.38%	23.54%	12.08%	+0.89	+3.4	13
2009-11-07	@ Baku	L 0-1	33.0	1169	1382	12.08%	23.54%	64.38%	-0.89	-3.4	5
2009-11-07	Mughan	W 3-0	29.3	1270	1128	56.38%	27.92%	15.70%	+0.63	+12.6	17
2009-11-07	@ Gabala	L 0-3	29.3	1128	1270	15.70%	27.92%	56.38%	-0.63	-12.6	11
2009-11-07	Qarabag	W 2-1	47.5	1469	1374	50.78%	30.36%	18.86%	+0.47	+5.2	23
2009-11-07	@ Inter Baku	L 1-2	47.5	1374	1469	18.86%	30.36%	50.78%	-0.47	-5.2	20
2009-11-08	Neftchi Baku	D 0-0	50.2	1422	1331	50.21%	30.58%	19.21%	+0.45	-1.7	15
2009-11-08	@ Khazar Lankaran	D 0-0	50.2	1331	1422	19.21%	30.58%	50.21%	-0.45	+1.7	16
2009-11-08	Simurq Zaqatala	L 0-3	37.5	1319	1358	32.55%	33.69%	33.76%	-0.02	-23.4	12
2009-11-08	@ Olimpik-Shuvalan	W 3-0	37.5	1358	1319	33.76%	33.69%	32.55%	+0.02	+23.4	20
2009-11-08	Standard Sumgayit	W 3-0	36.8	1182	1228	31.57%	33.67%	34.77%	-0.04	+24.4	11
2009-11-08	@ Turan	L 0-3	36.8	1228	1182	34.77%	33.67%	31.57%	+0.04	-24.4	2
2009-11-20	Gabala	L 1-2	46.6	1203	1282	27.27%	33.28%	39.45%	-0.16	-7.1	2
2009-11-20	@ Standard Sumgayit	W 2-1	46.6	1282	1203	39.45%	33.28%	27.27%	+0.16	+7.1	20
2009-11-21	Khazar Lankaran	L 0-2	29.7	1166	1421	13.31%	25.24%	61.45%	-0.79	-7.2	5
2009-11-21	@ Karvan	W 2-0	29.7	1421	1166	61.45%	25.24%	13.31%	+0.79	+7.2	18
2009-11-21	Turan	W 2-1	40.8	1381	1206	60.21%	25.93%	13.86%	+0.75	+3.8	23
2009-11-21	@ Simurq Zaqatala	L 1-2	40.8	1206	1381	13.86%	25.93%	60.21%	-0.75	-3.8	11
2009-11-22	Baku	L 0-1	33.2	1115	1385	12.59%	24.28%	63.13%	-0.84	-3.5	11
2009-11-22	@ Mughan	W 1-0	33.2	1385	1115	63.13%	24.28%	12.59%	+0.84	+3.5	16
2009-11-22	Inter Baku	W 2-1	55.6	1333	1475	20.76%	31.39%	47.85%	-0.38	+10.6	19
2009-11-22	@ Neftchi Baku	L 1-2	55.6	1475	1333	47.85%	31.39%	20.76%	+0.38	-10.6	23
2009-11-22	Olimpik-Shuvalan	W 1-0	38.8	1368	1296	47.85%	31.39%	20.76%	+0.38	+6.0	23
2009-11-22	@ Qarabag	L 0-1	38.8	1296	1368	20.76%	31.39%	47.85%	-0.38	-6.0	12
2009-11-25	Baku	D 1-1	56.7	1428	1389	43.46%	32.57%	23.97%	+0.26	-0.9	19
2009-11-25	@ Khazar Lankaran	D 1-1	56.7	1389	1428	23.97%	32.57%	43.46%	-0.26	+0.9	17
2009-11-27	Turan	W 2-1	40.8	1374	1203	59.88%	26.11%	14.01%	+0.74	+3.8	26
2009-11-27	@ Qarabag	L 1-2	40.8	1203	1374	14.01%	26.11%	59.88%	-0.74	-3.8	11
2009-11-28	Gabala	D 1-1	54.9	1385	1289	50.77%	30.37%	18.87%	+0.47	-1.6	24
2009-11-28	@ Simurq Zaqatala	D 1-1	54.9	1289	1385	18.87%	30.37%	50.77%	-0.47	+1.6	21
2009-11-29	Khazar Lankaran	L 0-3	40.0	1390	1427	32.73%	33.69%	33.57%	-0.01	-23.5	17
2009-11-29	@ Baku	W 3-0	40.0	1427	1390	33.57%	33.69%	32.73%	+0.01	+23.5	22
2009-11-29	Mughan	W 1-0	37.0	1196	1112	49.36%	30.88%	19.76%	+0.43	+5.8	5
2009-11-29	@ Standard Sumgayit	L 0-1	37.0	1112	1196	19.76%	30.88%	49.36%	-0.43	-5.8	11
2009-11-29	Inter Baku	L 0-2	28.4	1159	1464	11.07%	22.00%	66.93%	-0.97	-5.7	5
2009-11-29	@ Karvan	W 2-0	28.4	1464	1159	66.93%	22.00%	11.07%	+0.97	+5.7	26
2009-11-29	Olimpik-Shuvalan	D 0-0	48.2	1344	1290	45.40%	32.10%	22.50%	+0.32	-1.2	20
2009-11-29	@ Neftchi Baku	D 0-0	48.2	1290	1344	22.50%	32.10%	45.40%	-0.32	+1.2	13
2009-12-04	Karvan	W 4-0	30.3	1291	1153	55.90%	28.15%	15.95%	+0.62	+16.7	16
2009-12-04	@ Olimpik-Shuvalan	L 0-4	30.3	1153	1291	15.95%	28.15%	55.90%	-0.62	-16.7	5
2009-12-05	Baku	L 3-4	49.7	1202	1366	18.90%	30.39%	50.71%	-0.47	-4.8	5
2009-12-05	@ Standard Sumgayit	W 4-3	49.7	1366	1202	50.71%	30.39%	18.90%	+0.47	+4.9	20
2009-12-05	Neftchi Baku	L 2-3	48.6	1199	1342	20.59%	31.31%	48.10%	-0.39	-5.4	11
2009-12-05	@ Turan	W 3-2	48.6	1342	1199	48.10%	31.31%	20.59%	+0.39	+5.4	23
2009-12-06	Khazar Lankaran	D 1-1	59.6	1470	1450	40.74%	33.09%	26.17%	+0.19	-0.7	27
2009-12-06	@ Inter Baku	D 1-1	59.6	1450	1470	26.17%	33.09%	40.74%	-0.19	+0.7	23
2009-12-06	Qarabag	D 1-1	54.0	1291	1378	26.27%	33.11%	40.62%	-0.19	+0.7	22
2009-12-06	@ Gabala	D 1-1	54.0	1378	1291	40.62%	33.11%	26.27%	+0.19	-0.7	27
2009-12-06	Simurq Zaqatala	D 0-0	50.0	1106	1383	12.25%	23.79%	63.96%	-0.87	+3.0	12
2009-12-06	@ Mughan	D 0-0	50.0	1383	1106	63.96%	23.79%	12.25%	+0.87	-3.0	25
2009-12-08	Turan	D 0-0	46.7	1136	1193	30.05%	33.59%	36.36%	-0.08	+0.3	6
2009-12-08	@ Karvan	D 0-0	46.7	1193	1136	36.36%	33.59%	30.05%	+0.08	-0.3	12
2009-12-09	Inter Baku	W 2-0	44.4	1371	1469	25.06%	32.86%	42.08%	-0.23	+19.2	23
2009-12-09	@ Baku	L 0-2	44.4	1469	1371	42.08%	32.86%	25.06%	+0.23	-19.2	27
2009-12-09	Standard Sumgayit	D 1-1	55.6	1380	1197	61.16%	25.40%	13.43%	+0.78	-2.5	26
2009-12-09	@ Simurq Zaqatala	D 1-1	55.6	1197	1380	13.43%	25.40%	61.16%	-0.78	+2.5	6
2009-12-10	Gabala	D 1-1	54.0	1348	1292	45.70%	32.02%	22.28%	+0.33	-1.1	24
2009-12-10	@ Neftchi Baku	D 1-1	54.0	1292	1348	22.28%	32.02%	45.70%	-0.33	+1.1	23
2009-12-10	Mughan	W 2-1	37.3	1378	1109	70.27%	19.91%	9.83%	+1.09	+2.4	30
2009-12-10	@ Qarabag	L 1-2	37.3	1109	1378	9.83%	19.91%	70.27%	-1.09	-2.4	12
2009-12-10	Olimpik-Shuvalan	W 2-1	43.8	1451	1308	56.57%	27.82%	15.60%	+0.64	+4.3	26
2009-12-10	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 1-2	43.8	1308	1451	15.60%	27.82%	56.57%	-0.64	-4.3	16
2009-12-13	Baku	L 1-2	52.0	1378	1390	36.32%	33.59%	30.09%	+0.08	-8.7	26
2009-12-13	@ Simurq Zaqatala	W 2-1	52.0	1390	1378	30.09%	33.59%	36.32%	-0.08	+8.7	26
2009-12-13	Karvan	W 1-0	34.5	1293	1137	58.04%	27.08%	14.88%	+0.68	+4.3	26
2009-12-13	@ Gabala	L 0-1	34.5	1137	1293	14.88%	27.08%	58.04%	-0.68	-4.3	6
2009-12-13	Khazar Lankaran	L 1-2	40.6	1193	1455	12.94%	24.76%	62.29%	-0.82	-3.4	12
2009-12-13	@ Turan	W 2-1	40.6	1455	1193	62.29%	24.76%	12.94%	+0.82	+3.4	29
2009-12-13	Neftchi Baku	D 2-2	60.6	1107	1347	14.05%	26.16%	59.79%	-0.74	+1.8	13
2009-12-13	@ Mughan	D 2-2	60.6	1347	1107	59.79%	26.16%	14.05%	+0.74	-1.8	25
2009-12-13	Qarabag	L 0-1	36.7	1200	1380	17.69%	29.58%	52.73%	-0.52	-5.2	6
2009-12-13	@ Standard Sumgayit	W 1-0	36.7	1380	1200	52.73%	29.58%	17.69%	+0.52	+5.2	33
2009-12-13	Inter Baku	L 0-1	39.8	1303	1450	20.35%	31.19%	48.46%	-0.40	-6.0	16
2009-12-13	@ Olimpik-Shuvalan	W 1-0	39.8	1450	1303	48.46%	31.19%	20.35%	+0.40	+5.9	30
2009-12-18	Mughan	D 1-1	52.6	1132	1108	41.42%	32.98%	25.60%	+0.21	-0.8	7
2009-12-18	@ Karvan	D 1-1	52.6	1108	1132	25.60%	32.98%	41.42%	-0.21	+0.7	14
2009-12-19	Gabala	W 1-0	36.8	1459	1297	58.72%	26.73%	14.55%	+0.70	+4.2	32
2009-12-19	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 0-1	36.8	1297	1459	14.55%	26.73%	58.72%	-0.70	-4.2	26
2009-12-19	Turan	W 3-1	33.4	1456	1190	70.01%	20.07%	9.92%	+1.08	+4.2	33
2009-12-19	@ Inter Baku	L 1-3	33.4	1190	1456	9.92%	20.07%	70.01%	-1.08	-4.2	12
2009-12-20	Olimpik-Shuvalan	D 0-0	49.5	1399	1297	51.49%	30.09%	18.42%	+0.49	-1.8	27
2009-12-20	@ Baku	D 0-0	49.5	1297	1399	18.42%	30.09%	51.49%	-0.49	+1.9	17
2009-12-20	Simurq Zaqatala	D 0-0	49.5	1385	1369	40.30%	33.16%	26.54%	+0.18	-0.7	34
2009-12-20	@ Qarabag	D 0-0	49.5	1369	1385	26.54%	33.16%	40.30%	-0.18	+0.7	27
2009-12-20	Standard Sumgayit	W 2-0	30.7	1345	1194	57.40%	27.41%	15.19%	+0.66	+8.4	28
2009-12-20	@ Neftchi Baku	L 0-2	30.7	1194	1345	15.19%	27.41%	57.40%	-0.66	-8.3	6
2009-12-24	Baku	D 0-0	49.8	1385	1397	36.30%	33.59%	30.11%	+0.08	-0.3	35
2009-12-24	@ Qarabag	D 0-0	49.8	1397	1385	30.11%	33.59%	36.30%	-0.08	+0.3	28
2009-12-24	Karvan	W 1-0	38.1	1186	1132	45.46%	32.09%	22.45%	+0.32	+6.5	9
2009-12-24	@ Standard Sumgayit	L 0-1	38.1	1132	1186	22.45%	32.09%	45.46%	-0.32	-6.5	7
2009-12-24	Khazar Lankaran	L 1-2	37.2	1109	1463	9.25%	18.87%	71.88%	-1.15	-2.2	14
2009-12-24	@ Mughan	W 2-1	37.2	1463	1109	71.88%	18.87%	9.25%	+1.15	+2.2	35
2009-12-24	Inter Baku	L 0-1	39.0	1293	1460	18.67%	30.25%	51.09%	-0.48	-5.5	26
2009-12-24	@ Gabala	W 1-0	39.0	1460	1293	51.09%	30.25%	18.67%	+0.48	+5.5	36
2009-12-26	Neftchi Baku	D 0-0	48.9	1370	1353	40.39%	33.15%	26.46%	+0.18	-0.7	28
2009-12-26	@ Simurq Zaqatala	D 0-0	48.9	1353	1370	26.46%	33.15%	40.39%	-0.18	+0.7	29
2009-12-26	Olimpik-Shuvalan	D 0-0	47.4	1185	1299	23.38%	32.40%	44.21%	-0.28	+1.1	13
2009-12-26	@ Turan	D 0-0	47.4	1299	1185	44.21%	32.40%	23.38%	+0.28	-1.1	18
2010-02-02	Gabala	L 0-2	40.0	1298	1287	39.57%	33.27%	27.16%	+0.16	-18.4	18
2010-02-02	@ Olimpik-Shuvalan	W 2-0	40.0	1287	1298	27.16%	33.27%	39.57%	-0.16	+18.4	29
2010-02-02	Turan	W 2-1	39.6	1397	1187	64.21%	23.64%	12.14%	+0.88	+3.2	31
2010-02-02	@ Baku	L 1-2	39.6	1187	1397	12.14%	23.64%	64.21%	-0.88	-3.2	13
2010-02-03	Mughan	W 1-0	28.9	1465	1107	78.53%	14.53%	6.94%	+1.41	+1.6	39
2010-02-03	@ Inter Baku	L 0-1	28.9	1107	1465	6.94%	14.53%	78.53%	-1.41	-1.6	14
2010-02-03	Qarabag	D 0-0	49.0	1354	1384	33.75%	33.69%	32.56%	+0.01	-0.1	30
2010-02-03	@ Neftchi Baku	D 0-0	49.0	1384	1354	32.56%	33.69%	33.75%	-0.01	+0.1	36
2010-02-03	Simurq Zaqatala	W 3-2	58.7	1125	1369	13.85%	25.92%	60.23%	-0.75	+11.9	10
2010-02-03	@ Karvan	L 2-3	58.7	1369	1125	60.23%	25.92%	13.85%	+0.75	-11.9	28
2010-02-03	Standard Sumgayit	D 0-0	52.2	1465	1192	70.68%	19.64%	9.68%	+1.10	-3.5	36
2010-02-03	@ Khazar Lankaran	D 0-0	52.2	1192	1465	9.68%	19.64%	70.68%	-1.10	+3.5	10
2010-02-09	Baku	D 1-1	55.0	1354	1400	31.44%	33.66%	34.90%	-0.04	+0.2	31
2010-02-09	@ Neftchi Baku	D 1-1	55.0	1400	1354	34.90%	33.66%	31.44%	+0.04	-0.2	32
2010-02-09	Karvan	W 3-2	42.5	1384	1137	68.07%	21.29%	10.64%	+1.01	+2.5	39
2010-02-09	@ Qarabag	L 2-3	42.5	1137	1384	10.64%	21.29%	68.07%	-1.01	-2.6	10
2010-02-09	Khazar Lankaran	L 1-2	49.2	1357	1462	24.36%	32.68%	42.95%	-0.25	-6.5	28
2010-02-09	@ Simurq Zaqatala	W 2-1	49.2	1462	1357	42.95%	32.68%	24.36%	+0.25	+6.5	39
2010-02-09	Inter Baku	L 0-1	34.2	1196	1467	12.54%	24.20%	63.26%	-0.85	-3.5	10
2010-02-09	@ Standard Sumgayit	W 1-0	34.2	1467	1196	63.26%	24.20%	12.54%	+0.85	+3.5	42
2010-02-09	Olimpik-Shuvalan	L 0-1	36.3	1105	1280	18.11%	29.88%	52.01%	-0.50	-5.3	14
2010-02-09	@ Mughan	W 1-0	36.3	1280	1105	52.01%	29.88%	18.11%	+0.50	+5.3	21
2010-02-09	Turan	W 1-0	35.9	1306	1183	54.06%	29.00%	16.94%	+0.56	+5.0	32
2010-02-09	@ Gabala	L 0-1	35.9	1183	1306	16.94%	29.00%	54.06%	-0.56	-5.0	13
2010-02-13	Gabala	W 2-0	34.4	1400	1311	50.01%	30.65%	19.34%	+0.45	+10.7	35
2010-02-13	@ Baku	L 0-2	34.4	1311	1400	19.34%	30.65%	50.01%	-0.45	-10.7	32
2010-02-13	Mughan	W 1-0	37.2	1178	1100	48.60%	31.14%	20.25%	+0.41	+5.9	16
2010-02-13	@ Turan	L 0-1	37.2	1100	1178	20.25%	31.14%	48.60%	-0.41	-5.9	14
2010-02-13	Neftchi Baku	L 0-1	34.9	1135	1354	15.19%	27.41%	57.39%	-0.66	-4.4	10
2010-02-13	@ Karvan	W 1-0	34.9	1354	1135	57.39%	27.41%	15.19%	+0.66	+4.4	34
2010-02-13	Qarabag	D 0-0	52.4	1468	1387	48.98%	31.02%	20.00%	+0.42	-1.6	40
2010-02-13	@ Khazar Lankaran	D 0-0	52.4	1387	1468	20.00%	31.02%	48.98%	-0.42	+1.6	40
2010-02-13	Simurq Zaqatala	W 2-1	46.0	1471	1351	53.75%	29.14%	17.11%	+0.55	+4.7	45
2010-02-13	@ Inter Baku	L 1-2	46.0	1351	1471	17.11%	29.14%	53.75%	-0.55	-4.7	28
2010-02-13	Standard Sumgayit	W 2-0	32.6	1285	1192	50.39%	30.51%	19.10%	+0.46	+10.6	24
2010-02-13	@ Olimpik-Shuvalan	L 0-2	32.6	1192	1285	19.10%	30.51%	50.39%	-0.46	-10.6	10
2010-02-17	Baku	D 1-1	55.9	1130	1411	12.10%	23.57%	64.33%	-0.88	+2.7	11
2010-02-17	@ Karvan	D 1-1	55.9	1411	1130	64.33%	23.57%	12.10%	+0.88	-2.7	36
2010-02-17	Gabala	D 0-0	48.4	1094	1300	15.99%	28.18%	55.83%	-0.62	+2.3	15
2010-02-17	@ Mughan	D 0-0	48.4	1300	1094	55.83%	28.18%	15.99%	+0.62	-2.3	33
2010-02-17	Khazar Lankaran	D 0-0	51.1	1358	1467	23.96%	32.57%	43.46%	-0.26	+1.0	35
2010-02-17	@ Neftchi Baku	D 0-0	51.1	1467	1358	43.46%	32.57%	23.96%	+0.26	-1.0	41
2010-02-17	Inter Baku	D 1-1	57.8	1388	1475	26.32%	33.12%	40.56%	-0.19	+0.7	41
2010-02-17	@ Qarabag	D 1-1	57.8	1475	1388	40.56%	33.12%	26.32%	+0.19	-0.7	46
2010-02-17	Olimpik-Shuvalan	W 2-0	35.1	1346	1296	44.94%	32.22%	22.84%	+0.30	+12.4	31
2010-02-17	@ Simurq Zaqatala	L 0-2	35.1	1296	1346	22.84%	32.22%	44.94%	-0.30	-12.4	24
2010-02-17	Turan	D 1-1	52.5	1182	1184	37.73%	33.48%	28.79%	+0.12	-0.4	11
2010-02-17	@ Standard Sumgayit	D 1-1	52.5	1184	1182	28.79%	33.48%	37.73%	-0.12	+0.4	17
2010-02-20	Mughan	D 0-0	52.0	1408	1096	74.45%	17.21%	8.34%	+1.24	-3.8	37
2010-02-20	@ Baku	D 0-0	52.0	1096	1408	8.34%	17.21%	74.45%	-1.24	+3.8	16
2010-02-20	Qarabag	D 1-1	54.2	1283	1389	24.23%	32.65%	43.13%	-0.26	+0.9	25
2010-02-20	@ Olimpik-Shuvalan	D 1-1	54.2	1389	1283	43.13%	32.65%	24.23%	+0.26	-0.9	42
2010-02-21	Karvan	W 3-0	24.1	1466	1133	76.31%	15.99%	7.70%	+1.32	+5.1	44
2010-02-21	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 0-3	24.1	1133	1466	7.70%	15.99%	76.31%	-1.32	-5.1	11
2010-02-21	Neftchi Baku	W 1-0	40.2	1475	1359	53.19%	29.38%	17.43%	+0.54	+5.1	49
2010-02-21	@ Inter Baku	L 0-1	40.2	1359	1475	17.43%	29.38%	53.19%	-0.54	-5.1	35
2010-02-21	Simurq Zaqatala	L 1-2	43.1	1185	1358	18.18%	29.92%	51.90%	-0.50	-5.0	17
2010-02-21	@ Turan	W 2-1	43.1	1358	1185	51.90%	29.92%	18.18%	+0.50	+5.0	34
2010-02-21	Standard Sumgayit	W 2-1	42.4	1298	1182	53.31%	29.33%	17.36%	+0.54	+4.8	36
2010-02-21	@ Gabala	L 1-2	42.4	1182	1298	17.36%	29.33%	53.31%	-0.54	-4.8	11

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2010-03-12	Gabala	W 4-1	35.7	1471	1303	59.46%	26.34%	14.21%	+0.73	+9.5	3
2010-03-12	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 1-4	35.7	1303	1471	14.21%	26.34%	59.46%	-0.73	-9.5	0
2010-03-12	Karvan	D 0-0	50.5	1363	1128	66.88%	22.03%	11.09%	+0.97	-3.2	1
2010-03-12	@ Simurq Zaqatala	D 0-0	50.5	1128	1363	11.09%	22.03%	66.88%	-0.97	+3.2	1
2010-03-12	Qarabag	W 2-0	38.7	1405	1388	40.33%	33.16%	26.51%	+0.18	+13.9	3
2010-03-12	@ Baku	L 0-2	38.7	1388	1405	26.51%	33.16%	40.33%	-0.18	-13.9	0
2010-03-12	Standard Sumgayit	L 1-2	52.9	1284	1177	52.24%	29.78%	17.97%	+0.51	-11.3	0
2010-03-12	@ Olimpik-Shuvalan	W 2-1	52.9	1177	1284	17.97%	29.78%	52.24%	-0.51	+11.3	3
2010-03-13	Mughan	L 1-2	52.0	1180	1100	48.75%	31.09%	20.16%	+0.41	-10.7	0
2010-03-13	@ Turan	W 2-1	52.0	1100	1180	20.16%	31.09%	48.75%	-0.41	+10.7	3
2010-03-13	Neftchi Baku	D 1-1	58.2	1480	1354	54.43%	28.83%	16.73%	+0.57	-1.9	1
2010-03-13	@ Inter Baku	D 1-1	58.2	1354	1480	16.73%	28.83%	54.43%	-0.57	+1.9	1
2010-03-20	Mughan	D 0-0	46.8	1131	1111	40.88%	33.07%	26.05%	+0.20	-0.8	2
2010-03-20	@ Karvan	D 0-0	46.8	1111	1131	26.05%	33.07%	40.88%	-0.20	+0.8	4
2010-03-20	Olimpik-Shuvalan	L 0-3	41.4	1360	1273	49.72%	30.76%	19.52%	+0.44	-31.6	1
2010-03-20	@ Simurq Zaqatala	W 3-0	41.4	1273	1360	19.52%	30.76%	49.72%	-0.44	+31.6	3
2010-03-20	Turan	L 2-3	54.7	1188	1169	40.71%	33.10%	26.19%	+0.19	-8.9	3
2010-03-20	@ Standard Sumgayit	W 3-2	54.7	1169	1188	26.19%	33.10%	40.71%	-0.19	+8.9	3
2010-03-21	Baku	W 1-0	46.0	1356	1418	29.36%	33.53%	37.11%	-0.10	+9.3	4
2010-03-21	@ Neftchi Baku	L 0-1	46.0	1418	1356	37.11%	33.53%	29.36%	+0.10	-9.3	3
2010-03-21	Khazar Lankaran	W 1-0	48.8	1478	1480	37.74%	33.48%	28.79%	+0.12	+7.8	4
2010-03-21	@ Inter Baku	L 0-1	48.8	1480	1478	28.79%	33.48%	37.74%	-0.12	-7.8	3
2010-03-21	Qarabag	W 3-1	46.5	1293	1374	27.00%	33.24%	39.77%	-0.17	+16.0	3
2010-03-21	@ Gabala	L 1-3	46.5	1374	1293	39.77%	33.24%	27.00%	+0.17	-16.0	0
2010-03-27	Neftchi Baku	D 0-0	52.3	1472	1366	52.16%	29.82%	18.03%	+0.51	-1.9	4
2010-03-27	@ Khazar Lankaran	D 0-0	52.3	1366	1472	18.03%	29.82%	52.16%	-0.51	+1.9	5
2010-03-27	Inter Baku	D 1-1	57.6	1358	1486	22.05%	31.94%	46.01%	-0.33	+1.2	1
2010-03-27	@ Qarabag	D 1-1	57.6	1486	1358	46.01%	31.94%	22.05%	+0.33	-1.2	5
2010-03-27	Simurq Zaqatala	D 0-0	47.8	1178	1329	19.98%	31.00%	49.02%	-0.42	+1.6	4
2010-03-27	@ Turan	D 0-0	47.8	1329	1178	49.02%	31.00%	19.98%	+0.42	-1.6	2
2010-03-27	Standard Sumgayit	W 1-0	43.2	1111	1179	28.67%	33.46%	37.87%	-0.12	+9.5	7
2010-03-27	@ Mughan	L 0-1	43.2	1179	1111	37.87%	33.46%	28.67%	+0.12	-9.5	3
2010-03-28	Gabala	D 1-1	55.5	1409	1309	51.32%	30.15%	18.53%	+0.48	-1.6	4
2010-03-28	@ Baku	D 1-1	55.5	1309	1409	18.53%	30.15%	51.32%	-0.48	+1.7	4
2010-03-28	Karvan	D 0-0	49.2	1305	1130	60.15%	25.96%	13.89%	+0.75	-2.7	4
2010-03-28	@ Olimpik-Shuvalan	D 0-0	49.2	1130	1305	13.89%	25.96%	60.15%	-0.75	+2.7	3
2010-04-03	Gabala	L 1-2	53.0	1367	1311	45.79%	32.00%	22.21%	+0.33	-10.2	5
2010-04-03	@ Neftchi Baku	W 2-1	53.0	1311	1367	22.21%	32.00%	45.79%	-0.33	+10.2	7
2010-04-03	Mughan	W 1-0	32.9	1327	1121	63.70%	23.95%	12.36%	+0.86	+3.5	5
2010-04-03	@ Simurq Zaqatala	L 0-1	32.9	1121	1327	12.36%	23.95%	63.70%	-0.86	-3.5	7
2010-04-03	Qarabag	W 2-1	46.6	1470	1359	52.67%	29.60%	17.72%	+0.52	+4.9	7
2010-04-03	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 1-2	46.6	1359	1470	17.72%	29.60%	52.67%	-0.52	-4.9	1
2010-04-03	Turan	W 4-1	34.6	1302	1179	54.06%	29.00%	16.94%	+0.56	+11.5	7
2010-04-03	@ Olimpik-Shuvalan	L 1-4	34.6	1179	1302	16.94%	29.00%	54.06%	-0.56	-11.5	4
2010-04-04	Baku	D 1-1	59.2	1485	1407	48.42%	31.20%	20.37%	+0.40	-1.4	6
2010-04-04	@ Inter Baku	D 1-1	59.2	1407	1485	20.37%	31.20%	48.42%	-0.40	+1.4	5
2010-04-04	Standard Sumgayit	L 1-2	48.1	1133	1170	32.84%	33.69%	33.47%	-0.01	-8.1	3
2010-04-04	@ Karvan	W 2-1	48.1	1170	1133	33.47%	33.69%	32.84%	+0.01	+8.1	6
2010-04-10	Neftchi Baku	W 2-0	38.1	1355	1357	37.68%	33.48%	28.84%	+0.11	+14.8	4
2010-04-10	@ Qarabag	L 0-2	38.1	1357	1355	28.84%	33.48%	37.68%	-0.11	-14.8	5
2010-04-10	Inter Baku	D 1-1	57.0	1321	1483	19.05%	30.48%	50.47%	-0.46	+1.6	8
2010-04-10	@ Gabala	D 1-1	57.0	1483	1321	50.47%	30.48%	19.05%	+0.46	-1.6	7
2010-04-10	Olimpik-Shuvalan	W 2-1	53.3	1117	1313	16.64%	28.76%	54.60%	-0.58	+11.7	10
2010-04-10	@ Mughan	L 1-2	53.3	1313	1117	54.60%	28.76%	16.64%	+0.58	-11.7	7
2010-04-10	Simurq Zaqatala	W 3-1	47.6	1178	1330	19.82%	30.92%	49.27%	-0.42	+18.7	9
2010-04-10	@ Standard Sumgayit	L 1-3	47.6	1330	1178	49.27%	30.92%	19.82%	+0.42	-18.7	5
2010-04-11	Karvan	W 2-0	34.2	1168	1125	43.97%	32.46%	23.57%	+0.28	+12.7	7
2010-04-11	@ Turan	L 0-2	34.2	1125	1168	23.57%	32.46%	43.97%	-0.28	-12.7	3
2010-04-11	Khazar Lankaran	W 1-0	48.9	1409	1475	28.81%	33.48%	37.71%	-0.11	+9.4	8
2010-04-11	@ Baku	L 0-1	48.9	1475	1409	37.71%	33.48%	28.81%	+0.11	-9.4	7
2010-04-17	Baku	L 1-4	43.2	1369	1418	31.12%	33.65%	35.23%	-0.05	-19.1	4
2010-04-17	@ Qarabag	W 4-1	43.2	1418	1369	35.23%	33.65%	31.12%	+0.05	+19.1	11
2010-04-17	Khazar Lankaran	L 1-2	47.0	1323	1466	20.60%	31.31%	48.08%	-0.39	-5.7	8
2010-04-17	@ Gabala	W 2-1	47.0	1466	1323	48.08%	31.31%	20.60%	+0.39	+5.7	10
2010-04-17	Simurq Zaqatala	D 0-0	48.4	1112	1312	16.40%	28.55%	55.05%	-0.59	+2.2	4
2010-04-17	@ Karvan	D 0-0	48.4	1312	1112	55.05%	28.55%	16.40%	+0.59	-2.2	6
2010-04-18	Inter Baku	W 1-0	49.6	1342	1482	20.98%	31.49%	47.53%	-0.38	+11.2	8
2010-04-18	@ Neftchi Baku	L 0-1	49.6	1482	1342	47.53%	31.49%	20.98%	+0.38	-11.2	7
2010-04-18	Olimpik-Shuvalan	L 0-1	39.2	1196	1302	24.29%	32.66%	43.05%	-0.25	-6.9	9
2010-04-18	@ Standard Sumgayit	W 1-0	39.2	1302	1196	43.05%	32.66%	24.29%	+0.25	+6.9	10
2010-04-18	Turan	D 0-0	46.7	1129	1181	30.78%	33.63%	35.59%	-0.06	+0.2	11
2010-04-18	@ Mughan	D 0-0	46.7	1181	1129	35.59%	33.63%	30.78%	+0.06	-0.2	8
2010-04-23	Neftchi Baku	D 1-1	56.6	1437	1354	49.27%	30.91%	19.81%	+0.42	-1.5	12
2010-04-23	@ Baku	D 1-1	56.6	1354	1437	19.81%	30.91%	49.27%	-0.42	+1.5	9
2010-04-23	Inter Baku	D 2-2	66.0	1472	1470	38.22%	33.43%	28.35%	+0.13	-0.3	11
2010-04-23	@ Khazar Lankaran	D 2-2	66.0	1470	1472	28.35%	33.43%	38.22%	-0.13	+0.3	8
2010-04-23	Simurq Zaqatala	D 0-0	47.7	1309	1310	37.93%	33.46%	28.61%	+0.12	-0.5	11
2010-04-23	@ Olimpik-Shuvalan	D 0-0	47.7	1310	1309	28.61%	33.46%	37.93%	-0.12	+0.5	7
2010-04-23	Standard Sumgayit	D 0-0	46.8	1180	1190	36.77%	33.56%	29.67%	+0.09	-0.4	9
2010-04-23	@ Turan	D 0-0	46.8	1190	1180	29.67%	33.56%	36.77%	-0.09	+0.4	10
2010-04-24	Gabala	D 1-1	54.1	1350	1317	42.66%	32.74%	24.59%	+0.24	-0.9	5
2010-04-24	@ Qarabag	D 1-1	54.1	1317	1350	24.59%	32.74%	42.66%	-0.24	+0.9	9
2010-04-24	Karvan	L 2-3	54.5	1129	1114	40.16%	33.18%	26.66%	+0.18	-8.8	11
2010-04-24	@ Mughan	W 3-2	54.5	1114	1129	26.66%	33.18%	40.16%	-0.18	+8.8	7
2010-05-01	Baku	W 1-0	47.5	1318	1436	22.95%	32.26%	44.79%	-0.30	+10.7	12
2010-05-01	@ Gabala	L 0-1	47.5	1436	1318	44.79%	32.26%	22.95%	+0.30	-10.7	12
2010-05-01	Khazar Lankaran	D 0-0	51.2	1355	1471	23.15%	32.33%	44.52%	-0.29	+1.2	10
2010-05-01	@ Neftchi Baku	D 0-0	51.2	1471	1355	44.52%	32.33%	23.15%	+0.29	-1.2	12
2010-05-01	Mughan	L 0-2	41.1	1190	1121	47.42%	31.52%	21.05%	+0.37	-21.0	10
2010-05-01	@ Standard Sumgayit	W 2-0	41.1	1121	1190	21.05%	31.52%	47.42%	-0.37	+21.0	14
2010-05-01	Qarabag	L 0-1	50.7	1471	1349	53.94%	29.05%	17.00%	+0.56	-12.3	8
2010-05-01	@ Inter Baku	W 1-0	50.7	1349	1471	17.00%	29.05%	53.94%	-0.56	+12.3	8
2010-05-01	Olimpik-Shuvalan	L 0-1	36.0	1123	1308	17.38%	29.35%	53.28%	-0.54	-5.1	7
2010-05-01	@ Karvan	W 1-0	36.0	1308	1123	53.28%	29.35%	17.38%	+0.54	+5.1	14
2010-05-01	Turan	W 2-1	41.9	1310	1180	54.97%	28.59%	16.44%	+0.59	+4.5	10
2010-05-01	@ Simurq Zaqatala	L 1-2	41.9	1180	1310	16.44%	28.59%	54.97%	-0.59	-4.5	9
2010-05-09	Karvan	W 6-0	35.3	1169	1118	45.00%	32.21%	22.79%	+0.31	+34.3	13
2010-05-09	@ Standard Sumgayit	L 0-6	35.3	1118	1169	22.79%	32.21%	45.00%	-0.31	-34.3	7
2010-05-09	Khazar Lankaran	W 2-1	55.2	1362	1470	23.94%	32.57%	43.49%	-0.27	+9.8	11
2010-05-09	@ Qarabag	L 1-2	55.2	1470	1362	43.49%	32.57%	23.94%	+0.27	-9.8	12
2010-05-09	Neftchi Baku	D 0-0	48.3	1328	1356	34.11%	33.69%	32.21%	+0.02	-0.1	13
2010-05-09	@ Gabala	D 0-0	48.3	1356	1328	32.21%	33.69%	34.11%	-0.02	+0.1	11
2010-05-09	Inter Baku	D 0-0	52.5	1425	1459	33.33%	33.69%	32.98%	+0.00	-0.0	13
2010-05-09	@ Baku	D 0-0	52.5	1459	1425	32.98%	33.69%	33.33%	+0.00	+0.0	9
2010-05-09	Olimpik-Shuvalan	D 0-0	47.6	1175	1313	21.11%	31.55%	47.35%	-0.37	+1.4	10
2010-05-09	@ Turan	D 0-0	47.6	1313	1175	47.35%	31.55%	21.11%	+0.37	-1.4	15
2010-05-09	Simurq Zaqatala	W 3-1	47.9	1142	1315	18.23%	29.96%	51.81%	-0.50	+19.4	17
2010-05-09	@ Mughan	L 1-3	47.9	1315	1142	51.81%	29.96%	18.23%	+0.50	-19.4	10
2010-05-15	Baku	L 0-1	50.3	1460	1425	42.89%	32.70%	24.42%	+0.25	-10.3	12
2010-05-15	@ Khazar Lankaran	W 1-0	50.3	1425	1460	24.42%	32.70%	42.89%	-0.25	+10.3	16
2010-05-15	Gabala	W 4-1	37.3	1459	1328	55.01%	28.57%	16.42%	+0.59	+11.1	12
2010-05-15	@ Inter Baku	L 1-4	37.3	1328	1459	16.42%	28.57%	55.01%	-0.59	-11.1	13
2010-05-15	Qarabag	D 0-0	48.9	1356	1371	35.92%	33.62%	30.46%	+0.07	-0.3	12
2010-05-15	@ Neftchi Baku	D 0-0	48.9	1371	1356	30.46%	33.62%	35.92%	-0.07	+0.3	12
2010-05-16	Mughan	W 2-0	30.5	1312	1161	57.43%	27.39%	15.17%	+0.66	+8.3	18
2010-05-16	@ Olimpik-Shuvalan	L 0-2	30.5	1161	1312	15.17%	27.39%	57.43%	-0.66	-8.3	17
2010-05-16	Standard Sumgayit	L 0-4	41.5	1295	1203	50.30%	30.55%	19.16%	+0.45	-41.7	10
2010-05-16	@ Simurq Zaqatala	W 4-0	41.5	1203	1295	19.16%	30.55%	50.30%	-0.45	+41.7	16
2010-05-16	Turan	L 1-4	38.1	1084	1177	25.60%	32.98%	41.42%	-0.21	-16.6	7
2010-05-16	@ Karvan	W 4-1	38.1	1177	1084	41.42%	32.98%	25.60%	+0.21	+16.6	13

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2009-09-13	11.24%	Mughan	1117	2	@ Neftchi Baku	1349	0
2	2010-02-03	13.85%	@ Karvan	1125	3	Simurq Zaqatala	1369	2
3	2010-04-10	16.64%	@ Mughan	1117	2	Olimpik-Shuvalan	1313	1
4	2010-05-01	17.00%	Qarabag	1349	1	@ Inter Baku	1471	0
5	2010-03-12	17.97%	Standard Sumgayit	1177	2	@ Olimpik-Shuvalan	1284	1
6	2010-05-09	18.23%	@ Mughan	1142	3	Simurq Zaqatala	1315	1
7	2009-08-14	18.33%	@ Mughan	1102	1	Standard Sumgayit	1274	0
8	2010-05-16	19.16%	Standard Sumgayit	1203	4	@ Simurq Zaqatala	1295	0
9	2010-03-20	19.52%	Olimpik-Shuvalan	1273	3	@ Simurq Zaqatala	1360	0
10	2009-10-25	19.78%	Neftchi Baku	1305	2	@ Baku	1389	0
11	2010-04-10	19.82%	@ Standard Sumgayit	1178	3	Simurq Zaqatala	1330	1
12	2010-03-13	20.16%	Mughan	1100	2	@ Turan	1180	1
13	2009-09-12	20.74%	Simurq Zaqatala	1335	2	@ Baku	1407	1
14	2009-11-22	20.76%	@ Neftchi Baku	1333	2	Inter Baku	1475	1
15	2010-04-18	20.98%	@ Neftchi Baku	1342	1	Inter Baku	1482	0
16	2010-05-01	21.05%	Mughan	1121	2	@ Standard Sumgayit	1190	0
17	2009-09-26	22.10%	Qarabag	1344	1	@ Baku	1402	0
18	2010-04-03	22.21%	Gabala	1311	2	@ Neftchi Baku	1367	1
19	2009-10-21	22.74%	@ Olimpik-Shuvalan	1304	1	Khazar Lankaran	1424	0
20	2010-05-01	22.95%	@ Gabala	1318	1	Baku	1436	0
21	2009-09-12	23.54%	@ Karvan	1171	4	Gabala	1284	1
22	2010-05-09	23.94%	@ Qarabag	1362	2	Khazar Lankaran	1470	1
23	2010-05-15	24.42%	Baku	1425	1	@ Khazar Lankaran	1460	0
24	2009-12-09	25.06%	@ Baku	1371	2	Inter Baku	1469	0
25	2010-03-20	26.19%	Turan	1169	3	@ Standard Sumgayit	1188	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2010-05-16	41.66	Standard Sumgayit	4	1203	19.16%	@ Simurq Zaqatala	0	1295	50.30%	30.55%
2	2010-05-09	34.33	@ Standard Sumgayit	6	1169	45.00%	Karvan	0	1118	22.79%	32.21%
3	2010-03-20	31.61	Olimpik-Shuvalan	3	1273	19.52%	@ Simurq Zaqatala	0	1360	49.72%	30.76%
4	2009-09-13	26.79	Mughan	2	1117	11.24%	@ Neftchi Baku	0	1349	66.49%	22.27%
5	2009-11-08	24.41	@ Turan	3	1182	31.57%	Standard Sumgayit	0	1228	34.77%	33.67%
6	2009-09-12	24.34	@ Karvan	4	1171	23.54%	Gabala	1	1284	44.01%	32.45%
7	2009-11-29	23.45	Khazar Lankaran	3	1427	33.57%	@ Baku	0	1390	32.73%	33.69%
8	2009-11-08	23.36	Simurq Zaqatala	3	1358	33.76%	@ Olimpik-Shuvalan	0	1319	32.55%	33.69%
9	2009-10-25	21.64	Neftchi Baku	2	1305	19.78%	@ Baku	0	1389	49.32%	30.90%
10	2010-05-01	21.01	Mughan	2	1121	21.05%	@ Standard Sumgayit	0	1190	47.42%	31.52%
11	2010-05-09	19.44	@ Mughan	3	1142	18.23%	Simurq Zaqatala	1	1315	51.81%	29.96%
12	2009-12-09	19.23	@ Baku	2	1371	25.06%	Inter Baku	0	1469	42.08%	32.86%
13	2010-04-17	19.11	Baku	4	1418	35.23%	@ Qarabag	1	1369	31.12%	33.65%
14	2009-10-24	18.82	@ Khazar Lankaran	3	1413	43.22%	Simurq Zaqatala	0	1376	24.15%	32.63%
15	2010-04-10	18.72	@ Standard Sumgayit	3	1178	19.82%	Simurq Zaqatala	1	1330	49.27%	30.92%
16	2010-02-02	18.40	Gabala	2	1287	27.16%	@ Olimpik-Shuvalan	0	1298	39.57%	33.27%
17	2009-12-04	16.72	@ Olimpik-Shuvalan	4	1291	55.90%	Karvan	0	1153	15.95%	28.15%
18	2010-05-16	16.60	Turan	4	1177	41.42%	@ Karvan	1	1084	25.60%	32.98%
19	2010-03-21	15.98	@ Gabala	3	1293	27.00%	Qarabag	1	1374	39.77%	33.24%
20	2010-04-10	14.80	@ Qarabag	2	1355	37.68%	Neftchi Baku	0	1357	28.84%	33.48%
21	2009-10-31	13.97	Baku	2	1368	40.18%	@ Gabala	0	1284	26.64%	33.18%
22	2010-03-12	13.92	@ Baku	2	1405	40.33%	Qarabag	0	1388	26.51%	33.16%
23	2010-04-11	12.71	@ Turan	2	1168	43.97%	Karvan	0	1125	23.57%	32.46%
24	2009-11-07	12.59	@ Gabala	3	1270	56.38%	Mughan	0	1128	15.70%	27.92%
25	2010-02-17	12.38	@ Simurq Zaqatala	2	1346	44.94%	Olimpik-Shuvalan	0	1296	22.84%	32.22%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2010-04-23	66.0	@ Khazar Lankaran	2	1472	38.22%	Inter Baku	2	1470	28.35%	33.43%
2	2009-09-27	63.0	@ Olimpik-Shuvalan	3	1313	55.71%	Turan	3	1177	16.05%	28.24%
3	2009-09-13	62.3	@ Inter Baku	2	1443	54.13%	Olimpik-Shuvalan	2	1320	16.90%	28.97%
4	2009-12-13	60.6	@ Mughan	2	1107	14.05%	Neftchi Baku	2	1347	59.79%	26.16%
5	2009-12-06	59.6	@ Inter Baku	1	1470	40.74%	Khazar Lankaran	1	1450	26.17%	33.09%
6	2010-04-04	59.2	@ Inter Baku	1	1485	48.42%	Baku	1	1407	20.37%	31.20%
7	2010-02-03	58.7	@ Karvan	3	1125	13.85%	Simurq Zaqatala	2	1369	60.23%	25.92%
8	2009-09-26	58.4	@ Karvan	2	1186	29.01%	Standard Sumgayit	2	1251	37.49%	33.50%
9	2010-03-13	58.2	@ Inter Baku	1	1480	54.43%	Neftchi Baku	1	1354	16.73%	28.83%
10	2010-02-17	57.8	@ Qarabag	1	1388	26.32%	Inter Baku	1	1475	40.56%	33.12%
11	2010-03-27	57.6	@ Qarabag	1	1358	22.05%	Inter Baku	1	1486	46.01%	31.94%
12	2009-10-31	57.0	@ Simurq Zaqatala	1	1357	23.42%	Inter Baku	1	1470	44.17%	32.41%
13	2010-04-10	57.0	@ Gabala	1	1321	19.05%	Inter Baku	1	1483	50.47%	30.48%
14	2009-09-12	56.7	@ Khazar Lankaran	1	1418	66.77%	Turan	1	1183	11.13%	22.10%
15	2009-11-25	56.7	@ Khazar Lankaran	1	1428	43.46%	Baku	1	1389	23.97%	32.57%
16	2010-04-23	56.6	@ Baku	1	1437	49.27%	Neftchi Baku	1	1354	19.81%	30.91%
17	2010-02-17	55.9	@ Karvan	1	1130	12.10%	Baku	1	1411	64.33%	23.57%
18	2009-11-22	55.6	@ Neftchi Baku	2	1333	20.76%	Inter Baku	1	1475	47.85%	31.39%
19	2009-12-09	55.6	@ Simurq Zaqatala	1	1380	61.16%	Standard Sumgayit	1	1197	13.43%	25.40%
20	2010-03-28	55.5	@ Baku	1	1409	51.32%	Gabala	1	1309	18.53%	30.15%
21	2010-05-09	55.2	@ Qarabag	2	1362	23.94%	Khazar Lankaran	1	1470	43.49%	32.57%
22	2010-02-09	55.0	@ Neftchi Baku	1	1354	31.44%	Baku	1	1400	34.90%	33.66%
23	2009-11-28	54.9	@ Simurq Zaqatala	1	1385	50.77%	Gabala	1	1289	18.87%	30.37%
24	2009-09-19	54.8	@ Gabala	1	1259	19.55%	Khazar Lankaran	1	1415	49.67%	30.77%
25	2010-03-20	54.7	Turan	3	1169	26.19%	@ Standard Sumgayit	2	1188	40.71%	33.10%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2010-02-21	24.1	@ Khazar Lankaran	3	1466	76.31%	Karvan	0	1133	7.70%	15.99%
2	2009-09-26	27.2	@ Khazar Lankaran	2	1414	69.43%	Mughan	0	1153	10.13%	20.44%
3	2009-11-29	28.4	Inter Baku	2	1464	66.93%	@ Karvan	0	1159	11.07%	22.00%
4	2010-02-03	28.9	@ Inter Baku	1	1465	78.53%	Mughan	0	1107	6.94%	14.53%
5	2009-11-07	29.3	@ Gabala	3	1270	56.38%	Mughan	0	1128	15.70%	27.92%
6	2009-11-21	29.7	Khazar Lankaran	2	1421	61.45%	@ Karvan	0	1166	13.31%	25.24%
7	2009-10-17	29.9	@ Simurq Zaqatala	2	1362	60.26%	Karvan	0	1187	13.84%	25.90%
8	2009-12-04	30.3	@ Olimpik-Shuvalan	4	1291	55.90%	Karvan	0	1153	15.95%	28.15%
9	2010-05-16	30.5	@ Olimpik-Shuvalan	2	1312	57.43%	Mughan	0	1161	15.17%	27.39%
10	2009-10-18	30.6	Inter Baku	6	1448	66.39%	@ Mughan	1	1148	11.28%	22.33%
11	2009-08-22	30.7	@ Neftchi Baku	2	1341	57.26%	Turan	0	1192	15.26%	27.48%
12	2009-12-20	30.7	@ Neftchi Baku	2	1345	57.40%	Standard Sumgayit	0	1194	15.19%	27.41%
13	2009-08-15	31.7	@ Inter Baku	1	1449	70.35%	Karvan	0	1179	9.80%	19.85%
14	2010-02-13	32.6	@ Olimpik-Shuvalan	2	1285	50.39%	Standard Sumgayit	0	1192	19.10%	30.51%
15	2010-04-03	32.9	@ Simurq Zaqatala	1	1327	63.70%	Mughan	0	1121	12.36%	23.95%
16	2009-11-07	33.0	@ Baku	1	1382	64.38%	Karvan	0	1169	12.08%	23.54%
17	2009-11-22	33.2	Baku	1	1385	63.13%	@ Mughan	0	1115	12.59%	24.28%
18	2009-12-19	33.4	@ Inter Baku	3	1456	70.01%	Turan	1	1190	9.92%	20.07%
19	2009-09-19	34.2	Inter Baku	1	1441	62.05%	@ Turan	0	1181	13.05%	24.90%
20	2010-02-09	34.2	Inter Baku	1	1467	63.26%	@ Standard Sumgayit	0	1196	12.54%	24.20%
21	2010-04-11	34.2	@ Turan	2	1168	43.97%	Karvan	0	1125	23.57%	32.46%
22	2010-02-13	34.4	@ Baku	2	1400	50.01%	Gabala	0	1311	19.34%	30.65%
23	2009-12-13	34.5	@ Gabala	1	1293	58.04%	Karvan	0	1137	14.88%	27.08%
24	2010-04-03	34.6	@ Olimpik-Shuvalan	4	1302	54.06%	Turan	1	1179	16.94%	29.00%
25	2009-10-21	34.7	Qarabag	1	1362	58.02%	@ Mughan	0	1137	14.89%	27.09%