2011-12 Azerbaijan Premier League Season

192 games

Final

Champion

Neftchi Baku

49 points · 7th Title

Last Title: 2010-11

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Inter Baku

10.29 points above expected

45 points · 34.71 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Turan

8.32 points below expected

11 points · 19.32 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Neftchi Baku Champion	22	16	1	5	49	45	17	+28	43.58	+5.42
2	Inter Baku	22	13	6	3	45	21	10	+11	34.71	+10.29
3	Khazar Lankaran	22	13	5	4	44	33	19	+14	43.26	+0.74
4	Qarabag	22	12	5	5	41	27	14	+13	39.45	+1.55
5	Baku	22	10	5	7	35	27	22	+5	34.79	+0.21
6	Gabala	22	10	5	7	35	27	23	+4	32.72	+2.28
7	AZAL	22	8	5	9	29	35	35	0	33.14	-4.14
8	Ravan Baku	22	6	7	9	25	23	29	-6	22.99	+2.01
9	Kapaz	22	6	4	12	22	26	38	-12	23.37	-1.37
10	Simurq Zaqatala	22	5	4	13	19	18	34	-16	19.90	-0.90
11	Sumgayit	22	4	3	15	15	16	37	-21	20.62	-5.62
12	Turan	22	3	2	17	11	13	33	-20	19.32	-8.32

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Gabala	10	5	2	3	17	16	9	+7	46.12	-29.12
2	Ravan Baku	10	4	4	2	16	16	10	+6	39.39	-23.39
3	Khazar Lankaran	10	4	3	3	15	11	9	+2	59.75	-44.75
4	Simurq Zaqatala	10	3	6	1	15	9	7	+2	30.50	-15.50
5	Baku	10	5	0	5	15	15	14	+1	45.50	-30.50
6	AZAL	10	4	3	3	15	9	9	0	48.72	-33.72
7	Turan	10	3	5	2	14	13	9	+4	21.77	-7.77
8	Neftchi Baku	10	4	2	4	14	10	13	-3	67.02	-53.02
9	Qarabag	10	3	3	4	12	10	14	-4	56.15	-44.15
10	Inter Baku	10	3	2	5	11	8	11	-3	57.71	-46.71
11	Kapaz	10	3	1	6	10	9	17	-8	36.79	-26.79
12	Sumgayit	10	2	3	5	9	11	15	-4	27.20	-18.20

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Inter Baku	45	34.71	+10.29
2	Neftchi Baku	49	43.58	+5.42
3	Gabala	35	32.72	+2.28
4	Ravan Baku	25	22.99	+2.01
5	Qarabag	41	39.45	+1.55

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Turan	11	19.32	-8.32
2	Sumgayit	15	20.62	-5.62
3	AZAL	29	33.14	-4.14
4	Kapaz	22	23.37	-1.37
5	Simurq Zaqatala	19	19.90	-0.90

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sumgayit	2	Oct 30 – Nov 5	1 in 42
2	Ravan Baku	2	Sep 23 – Sep 30	1 in 21
3	Kapaz	2	Aug 27 – Sep 11	1 in 20
4	Inter Baku	4	Dec 17 – Feb 20	1 in 15
5	Gabala	3	Feb 16 – Mar 3	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Turan	8	Dec 4 – Mar 7	1 in 54
2	Simurq Zaqatala	6	Dec 16 – Mar 7	1 in 25
3	AZAL	2	Oct 22 – Oct 30	1 in 24
4	Gabala	3	Sep 18 – Sep 30	1 in 18
5	Kapaz	5	Dec 11 – Feb 20	1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Inter Baku	17	Sep 10 – Feb 20	1 in 1,656
2	Ravan Baku	5	Sep 18 – Oct 22	1 in 45
3	Simurq Zaqatala	4	Oct 29 – Nov 25	1 in 27
4	Gabala	7	Dec 4 – Mar 3	1 in 15
5	Qarabag	8	Dec 4 – Mar 7	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	AZAL	7	Sep 11 – Oct 30	1 in 100
2	Khazar Lankaran	5	Nov 6 – Dec 10	1 in 65
3	Kapaz	9	Sep 17 – Nov 25	1 in 45
4	Sumgayit	10	Aug 6 – Oct 23	1 in 21
5	Turan	12	Oct 29 – Mar 7	1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Neftchi Baku	1514	63	-27	6	9.0	-3.0
Khazar Lankaran	1498	59	+0	8	7.9	+0.1
Inter Baku	1421	56	+3	7	6.4	+0.6
Qarabag	1460	53	-36	3	7.2	-4.2
Gabala	1443	52	+35	10	5.8	+4.2
Baku	1403	50	+25	9	5.2	+3.8
AZAL	1342	44	+2	8	9.6	-1.6
Ravan Baku	1270	41	+20	9	7.8	+1.2
Simurq Zaqatala	1198	34	+19	9	5.7	+3.3
Kapaz	1200	32	-46	3	7.0	-4.0
Turan	1198	25	-10	3	6.3	-3.3
Sumgayit	1183	24	+15	7	5.3	+1.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AZA	BAK	GAB	IB	KAP	KL	NB	QAR	RB	SZ	SUM	TUR
AZAL	—	1-1-0 2.68	1-1-0 2.76	0-2-0 2.78	1-0-1 3.58	0-0-2 2.13	1-0-1 1.89	0-0-2 2.19	0-0-2 3.73	2-0-0 4.07	1-0-1 3.97	1-1-0 4.09
Baku	0-1-1 2.85	—	1-1-0 2.90	2-0-0 2.51	1-0-1 3.60	0-1-1 2.00	0-0-2 1.78	0-0-2 2.24	1-1-0 3.79	1-1-0 4.05	2-0-0 4.00	2-0-0 3.96
Gabala	0-1-1 2.77	0-1-1 2.64	—	0-2-0 2.54	1-0-1 3.70	1-0-1 1.88	1-0-1 1.79	1-1-0 2.11	1-0-1 3.69	1-0-1 4.01	2-0-0 3.82	2-0-0 4.02
Inter Baku	0-2-0 2.76	0-0-2 3.02	0-2-0 2.99	—	1-1-0 3.78	2-0-0 1.92	2-0-0 1.87	0-1-1 2.31	2-0-0 3.86	2-0-0 4.13	2-0-0 3.95	2-0-0 4.06
Kapaz	1-0-1 1.97	1-0-1 1.96	1-0-1 1.86	0-1-1 1.78	—	0-0-2 1.37	0-1-1 1.28	0-0-2 1.37	2-0-0 2.88	1-0-1 3.48	0-1-1 3.35	0-1-1 3.32
Khazar Lankaran	2-0-0 3.42	1-1-0 3.54	1-0-1 3.67	0-0-2 3.63	2-0-0 4.24	—	1-0-1 2.84	1-1-0 3.02	0-2-0 4.42	1-1-0 4.57	2-0-0 4.46	2-0-0 4.68
Neftchi Baku	1-0-1 3.67	2-0-0 3.78	1-0-1 3.76	0-0-2 3.69	1-1-0 4.34	1-0-1 2.69	—	2-0-0 3.09	2-0-0 4.48	2-0-0 4.65	2-0-0 4.61	2-0-0 4.80
Qarabag	2-0-0 3.36	2-0-0 3.30	0-1-1 3.43	1-1-0 3.23	2-0-0 4.23	0-1-1 2.51	0-0-2 2.44	—	1-1-0 4.19	2-0-0 4.57	0-1-1 4.37	2-0-0 4.45
Ravan Baku	2-0-0 1.83	0-1-1 1.77	1-0-1 1.87	0-0-2 1.72	0-0-2 2.65	0-2-0 1.20	0-0-2 1.15	0-1-1 1.41	—	0-2-0 3.13	1-1-0 2.99	2-0-0 3.17
Simurq Zaqatala	0-0-2 1.51	0-1-1 1.54	1-0-1 1.57	0-0-2 1.46	1-0-1 2.06	0-1-1 1.08	0-0-2 1.00	0-0-2 1.07	0-2-0 2.41	—	2-0-0 2.62	1-0-1 2.75
Sumgayit	1-0-1 1.61	0-0-2 1.58	0-0-2 1.74	0-0-2 1.64	1-1-0 2.19	0-0-2 1.16	0-0-2 1.03	1-1-0 1.25	0-1-1 2.54	0-0-2 2.92	—	1-0-1 2.93
Turan	0-1-1 1.50	0-0-2 1.62	0-0-2 1.56	0-0-2 1.52	1-1-0 2.23	0-0-2 0.98	0-0-2 0.87	0-0-2 1.17	0-0-2 2.38	1-0-1 2.79	1-0-1 2.61	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.54	+10.4
Allowed	0.78	-11.5
Differential	0.96	+8.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.85%	13.80%	5.21%	2.60%	0.78%	0.52%	31.77%
1	13.80%	11.98%	8.07%	2.60%	1.56%	0.78%	38.80%
2	5.21%	8.07%	1.56%	1.82%	0.78%	—	17.45%
3	2.60%	2.60%	1.82%	—	—	0.26%	7.29%
4	0.78%	1.56%	0.78%	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	0.52%	0.78%	—	0.26%	—	—	1.56%
Total	31.77%	38.80%	17.45%	7.29%	3.12%	1.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.17	1.17	+0.00
SD	1.17	1.17	1.68
CV	1.00	1.00	—
Max	7	7	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 192

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	9.38%	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	28.12%
1	6.25%	15.62%	6.25%	9.38%	—	3.12%	40.62%
2	9.38%	3.12%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
3	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	12.50%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	—	6.25%
Total	31.25%	34.38%	12.50%	18.75%	—	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.38	1.38	+0.00
SD	1.45	1.50	2.11
CV	1.06	1.09	—
Max	6	7	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.50%	12.50%	—	9.38%	3.12%	—	37.50%
1	12.50%	—	9.38%	3.12%	—	—	25.00%
2	9.38%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	—	18.75%
3	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	9.38%
4	—	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	40.62%	25.00%	18.75%	12.50%	3.12%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.12	+0.19
SD	1.40	1.18	1.99
CV	1.07	1.05	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	3.12%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	21.88%
1	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	43.75%
2	3.12%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	21.88%
3	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
4	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	—	—	9.38%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	37.50%	34.38%	18.75%	9.38%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.34	1.00	+0.34
SD	1.15	0.98	1.60
CV	0.86	0.98	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.50%	9.38%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	28.12%
1	31.25%	12.50%	9.38%	—	—	—	53.12%
2	9.38%	9.38%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	53.12%	31.25%	12.50%	3.12%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.91	0.66	+0.25
SD	0.69	0.83	1.16
CV	0.76	1.26	—
Max	2	3	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	12.50%	21.88%	—	—	—	37.50%
1	3.12%	12.50%	3.12%	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	34.38%
2	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	3.12%	—	12.50%
3	3.12%	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
4	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	37.50%	31.25%	6.25%	9.38%	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	1.72	-0.62
SD	1.15	1.25	1.77
CV	1.05	0.73	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	3.12%	21.88%
1	25.00%	12.50%	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	43.75%
2	3.12%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	15.62%
3	9.38%	3.12%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
4	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.75%	40.62%	9.38%	—	3.12%	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.38	0.88	+0.50
SD	1.16	1.16	1.74
CV	0.84	1.32	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	15.62%	3.12%	—	—	—	21.88%
1	15.62%	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	31.25%
2	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
3	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	9.38%
4	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	34.38%	46.88%	12.50%	3.12%	3.12%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.72	0.94	+0.78
SD	1.61	0.95	1.95
CV	0.94	1.01	—
Max	7	4	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.62%	9.38%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
1	21.88%	9.38%	9.38%	—	3.12%	—	43.75%
2	6.25%	9.38%	—	3.12%	3.12%	—	21.88%
3	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	9.38%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	46.88%	34.38%	9.38%	3.12%	6.25%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.16	0.88	+0.28
SD	0.92	1.13	1.30
CV	0.80	1.29	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	12.50%	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	28.12%
1	9.38%	21.88%	9.38%	—	—	—	40.62%
2	3.12%	6.25%	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
3	—	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	—	9.38%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	21.88%	46.88%	21.88%	6.25%	3.12%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	1.22	+0.00
SD	1.16	0.97	1.39
CV	0.95	0.80	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.50%	15.62%	12.50%	3.12%	—	—	43.75%
1	9.38%	15.62%	6.25%	—	—	3.12%	34.38%
2	3.12%	9.38%	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	18.75%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	3.12%	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	40.62%	25.00%	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.84	1.28	-0.44
SD	0.95	1.17	1.39
CV	1.13	0.91	—
Max	4	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	21.88%	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	—	43.75%
1	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	3.12%	3.12%	—	37.50%
2	3.12%	6.25%	—	3.12%	—	—	12.50%
3	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%	3.12%
4	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.62%	43.75%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.84	1.62	-0.78
SD	0.99	1.36	1.54
CV	1.17	0.84	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	31.25%	3.12%	—	—	3.12%	43.75%
1	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
2	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	12.50%
3	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	50.00%	18.75%	9.38%	—	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.81	1.31	-0.50
SD	0.90	1.09	1.44
CV	1.10	0.83	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 32

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Neftchi Baku	1514	49	43.58	+5.42	91.0%	30	36	40	44	47	51	55
Khazar Lankaran	1498	44	43.26	+0.74	54.0%	29	33	40	44	47	52	57
Qarabag	1460	41	39.45	+1.55	65.0%	19	28	35	40	43	50	58
Gabala	1443	35	32.72	+2.28	66.0%	22	23	28	32	37	42	48
Inter Baku	1421	45	34.71	+10.29	99.0%	21	25	31	34	38	44	47
Baku	1403	35	34.79	+0.21	51.0%	19	24	29	35	40	44	47
AZAL	1342	29	33.14	-4.14	26.0%	17	23	29	33	37	42	50
Ravan Baku	1270	25	22.99	+2.01	71.0%	9	13	20	22	26	34	42
Kapaz	1200	22	23.37	-1.37	40.0%	9	14	20	24	26	33	39
Simurq Zaqatala	1198	19	19.90	-0.90	48.0%	9	11	16	20	23	28	35
Turan	1198	11	19.32	-8.32	5.0%	6	11	15	18	22	31	37
Sumgayit	1183	15	20.62	-5.62	12.0%	11	12	17	20	24	29	34

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7.5% * Slight Edge: 7.5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+20.31%

Clear Edge

48.96%22.40%28.65%

Elo Value

Home Edge

228 Elo

0.004 goals per Elo point

071.57600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.40 goals

Neutral

-2+0.31+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.34 * Runaway: 0.34 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.4

Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

35%

Neftchi Baku, 2nd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.18/gm

Comfortable

00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.63 * Some Luck: 4.63 to 6.95 * Lucky: 6.95 to 9.27 * Wild Swing: 9.27 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.24 * Close: 1.24 to 1.85 * Off: 1.85 to 2.47 * Way Off: 2.47 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

4.72 points

Some Luck

05.7914

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

Pinpoint

01.554

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

99.00%

Inter Baku

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

5.00%

Turan

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.21 * Even: 0.21 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.15 * Moderate Separation: 2.15 to 2.3 * Strong Separation: 2.3 to 2.6 * Wide Separation: 2.6 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 73.5% * Slight Edge: 73.5% to 77.5% * Clear Edge: 77.5% to 84% * Wide Edge: 84% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92% * Clear Edge: 92% to 97% * Strong Edge: 97% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59% * Some Drama: 59% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 67% * Very Frequent: 67% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14% * Occasional: 14% to 17.5% * Frequent: 17.5% to 21.5% * Very Frequent: 21.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.22

Even

00.210.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 136.45

2.01

Coin-Flip Parity

12.152.63.25

Interquartile Edge

78%

Clear Edge

50%73.5%84%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 94%

91%

Even

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

70%

Very Frequent

0%63%100%

Blowouts

Expected

13%

Rare

0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.55 * Lopsided: 0.55 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.65 * Strong Carryover: 0.65 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 17.5% * Upset-Prone: 17.5% to 20.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 20.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 17.5% * Very Shaky: 17.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.57

Predictable

00.582

Matchup Imbalance

0.38

Very Even

00.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.69

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.88

Near-Lock

00.470.651

Upset Rate

Expected

23%

Very Upset-Prone

0%24%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

18%

Very Shaky

0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.

Probability calibration

0.04

Miscalibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.07

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.093

Well Within Noise

00.1200.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Neftchi Baku	35.00%	33.00%	19.00%	6.00%	4.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Inter Baku	3.00%	4.00%	12.00%	13.00%	27.00%	22.00%	11.00%	4.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—
Khazar Lankaran	39.00%	26.00%	13.00%	14.00%	5.00%	2.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—
Qarabag	14.00%	20.00%	24.00%	12.00%	14.00%	10.00%	3.00%	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Baku	3.00%	7.00%	18.00%	19.00%	15.00%	12.00%	10.00%	12.00%	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—
Gabala	2.00%	5.00%	5.00%	15.00%	16.00%	21.00%	19.00%	8.00%	7.00%	2.00%	—	—
AZAL	4.00%	5.00%	8.00%	15.00%	13.00%	19.00%	18.00%	11.00%	3.00%	4.00%	—	—
Ravan Baku	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%	4.00%	8.00%	23.00%	17.00%	19.00%	14.00%	10.00%
Kapaz	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	6.00%	11.00%	19.00%	19.00%	19.00%	15.00%	9.00%
Simurq Zaqatala	—	—	—	—	2.00%	—	3.00%	10.00%	23.00%	13.00%	26.00%	23.00%
Sumgayit	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	5.00%	9.00%	16.00%	29.00%	17.00%	22.00%
Turan	—	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	11.00%	3.00%	11.00%	9.00%	26.00%	35.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff final	Lost relegation playoff
AZAL	100%	—	—
Baku	100%	—	—
Gabala	100%	—	—
Inter Baku	100%	—	—
Khazar Lankaran	100%	—	—
Neftchi Baku	100%	—	—
Qarabag	100%	—	—
Kapaz	81.00%	8.00%	11.00%
Ravan Baku	79.00%	9.00%	12.00%
Sumgayit	54.00%	25.00%	21.00%
Simurq Zaqatala	47.00%	30.00%	23.00%
Turan	39.00%	28.00%	33.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff final	Lost relegation playoff
AZAL	99.99%	0.01%	—
Baku	100%	—	—
Gabala	100%	—	—
Inter Baku	100%	—	—
Khazar Lankaran	100%	—	—
Neftchi Baku	100%	—	—
Qarabag	100%	—	—
Ravan Baku	98.84%	1.13%	0.03%
Kapaz	95.25%	4.39%	0.36%
Simurq Zaqatala	68.62%	25.81%	5.57%
Sumgayit	31.24%	49.79%	18.97%
Turan	6.06%	18.87%	75.07%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2011-08-06	Ravan Baku	W 3-2	48.7	1273	1240	52.14%	22.85%	25.01%	+0.46	+4.7	3
2011-08-06	@ Kapaz	L 2-3	48.7	1240	1273	25.01%	22.85%	52.14%	-0.46	-4.7	0
2011-08-06	Sumgayit	W 2-1	39.5	1476	1240	72.53%	17.15%	10.32%	+1.35	+2.0	3
2011-08-06	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 1-2	39.5	1240	1476	10.32%	17.15%	72.53%	-1.35	-2.0	0
2011-08-06	Turan	W 1-0	34.2	1384	1211	67.12%	19.27%	13.62%	+1.07	+2.9	3
2011-08-06	@ Inter Baku	L 0-1	34.2	1211	1384	13.62%	19.27%	67.12%	-1.07	-2.9	0
2011-08-07	Baku	D 0-0	52.8	1384	1377	48.94%	23.23%	27.83%	+0.35	-1.0	1
2011-08-07	@ Gabala	D 0-0	52.8	1377	1384	27.83%	23.23%	48.94%	-0.35	+1.0	1
2011-08-07	AZAL	L 0-3	31.5	1190	1400	21.63%	22.19%	56.18%	-0.60	-12.5	0
2011-08-07	@ Simurq Zaqatala	W 3-0	31.5	1400	1190	56.18%	22.19%	21.63%	+0.60	+12.5	3
2011-08-13	Kapaz	W 3-1	44.1	1208	1277	38.52%	23.76%	37.72%	+0.01	+11.9	3
2011-08-13	@ Turan	L 1-3	44.1	1277	1208	37.72%	23.76%	38.52%	-0.01	-11.9	3
2011-08-14	Gabala	L 1-2	45.8	1238	1383	28.49%	23.30%	48.20%	-0.32	-5.5	0
2011-08-14	@ Sumgayit	W 2-1	45.8	1383	1238	48.20%	23.30%	28.49%	+0.32	+5.5	4
2011-08-14	Khazar Lankaran	L 0-3	42.4	1412	1478	39.04%	23.76%	37.21%	+0.03	-20.5	3
2011-08-14	@ AZAL	W 3-0	42.4	1478	1412	37.21%	23.76%	39.04%	-0.03	+20.5	6
2011-08-14	Neftchi Baku	L 0-1	37.3	1235	1497	17.26%	20.89%	61.85%	-0.83	-3.7	0
2011-08-14	@ Ravan Baku	W 1-0	37.3	1497	1235	61.85%	20.89%	17.26%	+0.83	+3.7	3
2011-08-14	Inter Baku	W 1-0	41.1	1460	1387	57.02%	22.02%	20.95%	+0.64	+4.4	3
2011-08-14	@ Qarabag	L 0-1	41.1	1387	1460	20.95%	22.02%	57.02%	-0.64	-4.4	3
2011-08-14	Simurq Zaqatala	D 0-0	52.1	1378	1178	69.55%	18.37%	12.08%	+1.19	-2.8	2
2011-08-14	@ Baku	D 0-0	52.1	1178	1378	12.08%	18.37%	69.55%	-1.19	+2.8	1
2011-08-19	Ravan Baku	D 1-1	55.1	1181	1232	41.03%	23.72%	35.24%	+0.09	-0.2	2
2011-08-19	@ Simurq Zaqatala	D 1-1	55.1	1232	1181	35.24%	23.72%	41.03%	-0.09	+0.2	1
2011-08-19	AZAL	D 1-1	58.2	1388	1392	47.54%	23.37%	29.10%	+0.30	-0.7	5
2011-08-19	@ Gabala	D 1-1	58.2	1392	1388	29.10%	23.37%	47.54%	-0.30	+0.7	4
2011-08-20	Baku	L 0-3	41.9	1382	1375	48.98%	23.23%	27.79%	+0.35	-24.6	3
2011-08-20	@ Inter Baku	W 3-0	41.9	1375	1382	27.79%	23.23%	48.98%	-0.35	+24.6	5
2011-08-20	Turan	W 3-1	34.7	1498	1220	75.77%	15.68%	8.54%	+1.53	+2.8	9
2011-08-20	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 1-3	34.7	1220	1498	8.54%	15.68%	75.77%	-1.53	-2.8	3
2011-08-21	Qarabag	L 1-2	45.0	1265	1465	22.59%	22.40%	55.01%	-0.56	-4.5	3
2011-08-21	@ Kapaz	W 2-1	45.0	1465	1265	55.01%	22.40%	22.59%	+0.56	+4.5	6
2011-08-21	Sumgayit	W 4-0	27.0	1500	1233	75.05%	16.02%	8.93%	+1.49	+6.5	6
2011-08-21	@ Neftchi Baku	L 0-4	27.0	1233	1500	8.93%	16.02%	75.05%	-1.49	-6.5	0
2011-08-27	Gabala	L 0-1	52.5	1469	1387	57.93%	21.84%	20.23%	+0.67	-10.4	6
2011-08-27	@ Qarabag	W 1-0	52.5	1387	1469	20.23%	21.84%	57.93%	-0.67	+10.4	8
2011-08-27	Kapaz	L 0-3	44.2	1399	1261	63.90%	20.31%	15.79%	+0.92	-31.0	5
2011-08-27	@ Baku	W 3-0	44.2	1261	1399	15.79%	20.31%	63.90%	-0.92	+31.0	6
2011-08-27	Khazar Lankaran	D 1-1	58.1	1232	1501	16.70%	20.68%	62.62%	-0.87	+2.0	2
2011-08-27	@ Ravan Baku	D 1-1	58.1	1501	1232	62.62%	20.68%	16.70%	+0.87	-1.9	10
2011-08-27	Neftchi Baku	W 3-1	52.0	1393	1507	32.24%	23.60%	44.16%	-0.19	+13.5	7
2011-08-27	@ AZAL	L 1-3	52.0	1507	1393	44.16%	23.60%	32.24%	+0.19	-13.5	6
2011-08-28	Simurq Zaqatala	W 1-0	37.8	1218	1180	52.72%	22.77%	24.52%	+0.48	+5.1	6
2011-08-28	@ Turan	L 0-1	37.8	1180	1218	24.52%	22.77%	52.72%	-0.48	-5.1	2
2011-09-10	Neftchi Baku	W 1-0	48.5	1499	1494	48.72%	23.25%	28.03%	+0.34	+5.8	13
2011-09-10	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 0-1	48.5	1494	1499	28.03%	23.25%	48.72%	-0.34	-5.8	6
2011-09-10	Ravan Baku	W 3-2	45.7	1368	1234	63.49%	20.43%	16.08%	+0.90	+3.1	8
2011-09-10	@ Baku	L 2-3	45.7	1234	1368	16.08%	20.43%	63.49%	-0.90	-3.1	2
2011-09-10	Simurq Zaqatala	W 1-0	33.6	1358	1175	68.01%	18.95%	13.04%	+1.11	+2.8	6
2011-09-10	@ Inter Baku	L 0-1	33.6	1175	1358	13.04%	18.95%	68.01%	-1.11	-2.8	2
2011-09-11	Qarabag	D 0-0	52.2	1226	1459	19.56%	21.65%	58.80%	-0.71	+1.8	1
2011-09-11	@ Sumgayit	D 0-0	52.2	1459	1226	58.80%	21.65%	19.56%	+0.71	-1.8	7
2011-09-11	AZAL	W 3-1	47.5	1292	1406	32.27%	23.60%	44.13%	-0.19	+13.5	9
2011-09-11	@ Kapaz	L 1-3	47.5	1406	1292	44.13%	23.60%	32.27%	+0.19	-13.5	7
2011-09-11	Turan	W 2-1	40.0	1398	1223	67.38%	19.17%	13.45%	+1.08	+2.7	11
2011-09-11	@ Gabala	L 1-2	40.0	1223	1398	13.45%	19.17%	67.38%	-1.08	-2.7	6
2011-09-14	Inter Baku	L 0-2	36.6	1228	1360	29.97%	23.44%	46.59%	-0.27	-11.5	1
2011-09-14	@ Sumgayit	W 2-0	36.6	1360	1228	46.59%	23.44%	29.97%	+0.27	+11.5	9
2011-09-17	Kapaz	W 4-2	50.1	1173	1305	29.92%	23.44%	46.64%	-0.27	+12.6	5
2011-09-17	@ Simurq Zaqatala	L 2-4	50.1	1305	1173	46.64%	23.44%	29.92%	+0.27	-12.6	9
2011-09-17	Khazar Lankaran	L 0-1	51.6	1457	1505	41.51%	23.71%	34.78%	+0.10	-7.9	7
2011-09-17	@ Qarabag	W 1-0	51.6	1505	1457	34.78%	23.71%	41.51%	-0.10	+7.8	16
2011-09-17	Inter Baku	D 1-1	58.0	1393	1372	50.70%	23.04%	26.27%	+0.41	-1.0	8
2011-09-17	@ AZAL	D 1-1	58.0	1372	1393	26.27%	23.04%	50.70%	-0.41	+1.0	10
2011-09-18	Baku	L 0-2	35.8	1220	1371	27.68%	23.22%	49.10%	-0.35	-10.7	6
2011-09-18	@ Turan	W 2-0	35.8	1371	1220	49.10%	23.22%	27.68%	+0.35	+10.7	11
2011-09-18	Gabala	W 2-0	38.2	1488	1401	58.55%	21.70%	19.75%	+0.70	+7.9	9
2011-09-18	@ Neftchi Baku	L 0-2	38.2	1401	1488	19.75%	21.70%	58.55%	-0.70	-7.9	11
2011-09-18	Sumgayit	D 0-0	50.3	1231	1216	49.88%	23.13%	26.99%	+0.38	-1.0	3
2011-09-18	@ Ravan Baku	D 0-0	50.3	1216	1231	26.99%	23.13%	49.88%	-0.38	+1.0	2
2011-09-23	Baku	W 1-0	40.7	1496	1382	61.37%	21.02%	17.61%	+0.81	+3.8	12
2011-09-23	@ Neftchi Baku	L 0-1	40.7	1382	1496	17.61%	21.02%	61.37%	-0.81	-3.8	11
2011-09-23	Gabala	W 2-1	47.1	1513	1393	62.02%	20.85%	17.13%	+0.84	+3.5	19
2011-09-23	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 1-2	47.1	1393	1513	17.13%	20.85%	62.02%	-0.84	-3.5	11
2011-09-23	Ravan Baku	L 0-1	44.4	1209	1230	45.26%	23.54%	31.20%	+0.22	-8.4	6
2011-09-23	@ Turan	W 1-0	44.4	1230	1209	31.20%	23.54%	45.26%	-0.22	+8.4	6
2011-09-24	Kapaz	D 0-0	51.9	1373	1293	57.75%	21.87%	20.37%	+0.67	-1.8	11
2011-09-24	@ Inter Baku	D 0-0	51.9	1293	1373	20.37%	21.87%	57.75%	-0.67	+1.7	10
2011-09-24	Qarabag	L 1-3	49.1	1392	1449	40.14%	23.74%	36.11%	+0.06	-12.5	8
2011-09-24	@ AZAL	W 3-1	49.1	1449	1392	36.11%	23.74%	40.14%	-0.06	+12.5	10
2011-09-24	Simurq Zaqatala	L 0-1	46.2	1218	1185	52.14%	22.85%	25.01%	+0.46	-9.5	2
2011-09-24	@ Sumgayit	W 1-0	46.2	1185	1218	25.01%	22.85%	52.14%	-0.46	+9.5	8
2011-09-30	Khazar Lankaran	W 1-0	50.9	1371	1516	28.45%	23.30%	48.25%	-0.32	+8.9	14
2011-09-30	@ Inter Baku	L 0-1	50.9	1516	1371	48.25%	23.30%	28.45%	+0.32	-8.9	19
2011-09-30	Neftchi Baku	L 1-2	41.1	1195	1499	14.27%	19.60%	66.13%	-1.02	-2.9	8
2011-09-30	@ Simurq Zaqatala	W 2-1	41.1	1499	1195	66.13%	19.60%	14.27%	+1.02	+2.9	15
2011-09-30	Ravan Baku	L 2-3	60.5	1389	1238	65.10%	19.94%	14.96%	+0.98	-10.3	11
2011-09-30	@ Gabala	W 3-2	60.5	1238	1389	14.96%	19.94%	65.10%	-0.98	+10.3	9
2011-09-30	AZAL	D 0-0	52.8	1378	1379	47.92%	23.33%	28.75%	+0.31	-0.9	12
2011-09-30	@ Baku	D 0-0	52.8	1379	1378	28.75%	23.33%	47.92%	-0.31	+0.9	9
2011-09-30	Sumgayit	D 1-1	55.9	1294	1208	58.46%	21.72%	19.82%	+0.69	-1.6	11
2011-09-30	@ Kapaz	D 1-1	55.9	1208	1294	19.82%	21.72%	58.46%	-0.69	+1.6	3
2011-09-30	Turan	W 3-1	34.4	1462	1201	74.51%	16.27%	9.22%	+1.46	+3.1	13
2011-09-30	@ Qarabag	L 1-3	34.4	1201	1462	9.22%	16.27%	74.51%	-1.46	-3.1	6
2011-10-15	AZAL	D 0-0	51.0	1198	1380	24.30%	22.73%	52.97%	-0.49	+1.3	7
2011-10-15	@ Turan	D 0-0	51.0	1380	1198	52.97%	22.73%	24.30%	+0.49	-1.3	10
2011-10-16	Baku	L 0-1	38.9	1210	1378	25.83%	22.97%	51.19%	-0.42	-5.4	3
2011-10-16	@ Sumgayit	W 1-0	38.9	1378	1210	51.19%	22.97%	25.83%	+0.42	+5.4	15
2011-10-16	Kapaz	W 2-0	33.7	1379	1293	58.42%	21.73%	19.85%	+0.69	+8.0	14
2011-10-16	@ Gabala	L 0-2	33.7	1293	1379	19.85%	21.73%	58.42%	-0.69	-8.0	11
2011-10-16	Qarabag	D 1-1	57.4	1249	1465	21.02%	22.04%	56.95%	-0.63	+1.5	10
2011-10-16	@ Ravan Baku	D 1-1	57.4	1465	1249	56.95%	22.04%	21.02%	+0.63	-1.5	14
2011-10-16	Inter Baku	L 0-1	54.2	1502	1380	62.29%	20.77%	16.94%	+0.85	-11.1	15
2011-10-16	@ Neftchi Baku	W 1-0	54.2	1380	1502	16.94%	20.77%	62.29%	-0.85	+11.1	17
2011-10-16	Simurq Zaqatala	W 1-0	31.8	1507	1192	78.42%	14.37%	7.21%	+1.70	+1.4	22
2011-10-16	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 0-1	31.8	1192	1507	7.21%	14.37%	78.42%	-1.70	-1.4	8
2011-10-21	Khazar Lankaran	D 2-2	66.6	1383	1509	30.81%	23.51%	45.68%	-0.24	+0.4	16
2011-10-21	@ Baku	D 2-2	66.6	1509	1383	45.68%	23.51%	30.81%	+0.24	-0.4	23
2011-10-21	Qarabag	L 0-1	35.9	1190	1463	16.42%	20.57%	63.02%	-0.88	-3.5	8
2011-10-21	@ Simurq Zaqatala	W 1-0	35.9	1463	1190	63.02%	20.57%	16.42%	+0.88	+3.5	17
2011-10-22	Neftchi Baku	D 1-1	58.4	1285	1491	21.91%	22.25%	55.84%	-0.59	+1.4	12
2011-10-22	@ Kapaz	D 1-1	58.4	1491	1285	55.84%	22.25%	21.91%	+0.59	-1.4	16
2011-10-22	Ravan Baku	L 1-2	55.4	1379	1250	62.91%	20.60%	16.49%	+0.88	-10.5	10
2011-10-22	@ AZAL	W 2-1	55.4	1250	1379	16.49%	20.60%	62.91%	-0.88	+10.5	13
2011-10-23	Gabala	D 1-1	58.1	1391	1387	48.55%	23.27%	28.18%	+0.33	-0.8	18
2011-10-23	@ Inter Baku	D 1-1	58.1	1387	1391	28.18%	23.27%	48.55%	-0.33	+0.8	15
2011-10-23	Sumgayit	W 1-0	39.5	1199	1204	47.32%	23.38%	29.30%	+0.29	+6.0	10
2011-10-23	@ Turan	L 0-1	39.5	1204	1199	29.30%	23.38%	47.32%	-0.29	-6.0	3
2011-10-25	Qarabag	W 3-2	56.9	1490	1467	51.00%	23.00%	26.00%	+0.42	+4.8	19
2011-10-25	@ Neftchi Baku	L 2-3	56.9	1467	1490	26.00%	23.00%	51.00%	-0.42	-4.8	17
2011-10-28	Baku	W 2-1	46.6	1462	1383	57.57%	21.91%	20.52%	+0.66	+4.1	20
2011-10-28	@ Qarabag	L 1-2	46.6	1383	1462	20.52%	21.91%	57.57%	-0.66	-4.1	16
2011-10-28	Kapaz	W 1-0	35.5	1508	1286	71.43%	17.62%	10.95%	+1.29	+2.3	26
2011-10-28	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 0-1	35.5	1286	1508	10.95%	17.62%	71.43%	-1.29	-2.3	12
2011-10-29	Simurq Zaqatala	L 0-2	46.9	1388	1187	69.65%	18.33%	12.01%	+1.20	-22.9	15
2011-10-29	@ Gabala	W 2-0	46.9	1187	1388	12.01%	18.33%	69.65%	-1.20	+22.9	11
2011-10-29	Turan	W 1-0	32.3	1495	1205	76.65%	15.26%	8.09%	+1.59	+1.6	22
2011-10-29	@ Neftchi Baku	L 0-1	32.3	1205	1495	8.09%	15.26%	76.65%	-1.59	-1.6	10
2011-10-30	Inter Baku	L 1-2	46.6	1261	1390	30.32%	23.47%	46.21%	-0.25	-5.8	13
2011-10-30	@ Ravan Baku	W 2-1	46.6	1390	1261	46.21%	23.47%	30.32%	+0.25	+5.8	21
2011-10-30	AZAL	W 2-1	52.2	1198	1368	25.63%	22.94%	51.43%	-0.43	+8.8	6
2011-10-30	@ Sumgayit	L 1-2	52.2	1368	1198	51.43%	22.94%	25.63%	+0.43	-8.8	10
2011-11-04	Baku	L 1-3	44.3	1284	1379	34.79%	23.71%	41.50%	-0.10	-11.2	12
2011-11-04	@ Kapaz	W 3-1	44.3	1379	1284	41.50%	23.71%	34.79%	+0.10	+11.2	19
2011-11-04	Simurq Zaqatala	D 1-1	55.5	1255	1210	53.69%	22.62%	23.69%	+0.51	-1.2	14
2011-11-04	@ Ravan Baku	D 1-1	55.5	1210	1255	23.69%	22.62%	53.69%	-0.51	+1.2	12
2011-11-05	Gabala	W 3-0	35.5	1359	1365	47.30%	23.39%	29.32%	+0.29	+16.3	13
2011-11-05	@ AZAL	L 0-3	35.5	1365	1359	29.32%	23.39%	47.30%	-0.29	-16.3	15
2011-11-05	Sumgayit	L 1-2	57.9	1466	1207	74.36%	16.34%	9.30%	+1.45	-12.1	20
2011-11-05	@ Qarabag	W 2-1	57.9	1207	1466	9.30%	16.34%	74.36%	-1.45	+12.1	9
2011-11-06	Khazar Lankaran	W 5-0	44.1	1496	1510	46.15%	23.48%	30.37%	+0.25	+27.1	25
2011-11-06	@ Neftchi Baku	L 0-5	44.1	1510	1496	30.37%	23.48%	46.15%	-0.25	-27.1	26
2011-11-06	Inter Baku	L 0-1	38.1	1203	1396	23.25%	22.53%	54.21%	-0.53	-4.9	10
2011-11-06	@ Turan	W 1-0	38.1	1396	1203	54.21%	22.53%	23.25%	+0.53	+4.9	24
2011-11-19	Kapaz	W 2-0	32.9	1376	1273	60.24%	21.31%	18.45%	+0.77	+7.4	16
2011-11-19	@ AZAL	L 0-2	32.9	1273	1376	18.45%	21.31%	60.24%	-0.77	-7.4	12
2011-11-19	Ravan Baku	D 1-1	59.2	1483	1254	72.07%	17.35%	10.58%	+1.32	-2.7	27
2011-11-19	@ Khazar Lankaran	D 1-1	59.2	1254	1483	10.58%	17.35%	72.07%	-1.32	+2.7	15
2011-11-19	Sumgayit	W 1-0	39.6	1211	1219	46.93%	23.42%	29.66%	+0.28	+6.0	15
2011-11-19	@ Simurq Zaqatala	L 0-1	39.6	1219	1211	29.66%	23.42%	46.93%	-0.28	-6.0	9
2011-11-20	Neftchi Baku	W 1-0	51.4	1348	1523	25.07%	22.86%	52.08%	-0.45	+9.5	18
2011-11-20	@ Gabala	L 0-1	51.4	1523	1348	52.08%	22.86%	25.07%	+0.45	-9.5	25
2011-11-20	Qarabag	D 0-0	54.9	1401	1454	40.76%	23.73%	35.51%	+0.08	-0.2	25
2011-11-20	@ Inter Baku	D 0-0	54.9	1454	1401	35.51%	23.73%	40.76%	-0.08	+0.2	21
2011-11-20	Turan	W 5-0	27.9	1390	1198	68.88%	18.63%	12.49%	+1.16	+11.7	22
2011-11-20	@ Baku	L 0-5	27.9	1198	1390	12.49%	18.63%	68.88%	-1.16	-11.7	10
2011-11-25	Khazar Lankaran	D 2-2	63.1	1217	1481	17.09%	20.83%	62.08%	-0.84	+1.4	16
2011-11-25	@ Simurq Zaqatala	D 2-2	63.1	1481	1217	62.08%	20.83%	17.09%	+0.84	-1.4	28
2011-11-25	Ravan Baku	L 0-1	43.6	1213	1256	42.17%	23.69%	34.14%	+0.13	-8.0	9
2011-11-25	@ Sumgayit	W 1-0	43.6	1256	1213	34.14%	23.69%	42.17%	-0.13	+8.0	18
2011-11-25	Turan	D 1-1	55.7	1265	1187	57.58%	21.91%	20.51%	+0.66	-1.5	13
2011-11-25	@ Kapaz	D 1-1	55.7	1187	1265	20.51%	21.91%	57.58%	-0.66	+1.5	11
2011-11-26	Gabala	W 2-1	45.9	1402	1358	53.58%	22.64%	23.78%	+0.51	+4.7	25
2011-11-26	@ Baku	L 1-2	45.9	1358	1402	23.78%	22.64%	53.58%	-0.51	-4.7	18
2011-11-26	Neftchi Baku	L 1-2	57.0	1454	1514	39.80%	23.75%	36.45%	+0.05	-7.2	21
2011-11-26	@ Qarabag	W 2-1	57.0	1514	1454	36.45%	23.75%	39.80%	-0.05	+7.2	28
2011-11-26	AZAL	D 1-1	58.3	1401	1383	50.28%	23.09%	26.64%	+0.39	-1.0	26
2011-11-26	@ Inter Baku	D 1-1	58.3	1383	1401	26.64%	23.09%	50.28%	-0.39	+1.0	17
2011-12-04	Baku	W 1-0	43.4	1384	1407	44.97%	23.56%	31.47%	+0.21	+6.3	20
2011-12-04	@ AZAL	L 0-1	43.4	1407	1384	31.47%	23.56%	44.97%	-0.21	-6.3	25
2011-12-04	Kapaz	L 1-2	51.1	1264	1264	48.06%	23.32%	28.62%	+0.32	-8.4	18
2011-12-04	@ Ravan Baku	W 2-1	51.1	1264	1264	28.62%	23.32%	48.06%	-0.32	+8.4	16
2011-12-04	Qarabag	L 0-1	36.2	1188	1447	17.47%	20.97%	61.57%	-0.82	-3.7	11
2011-12-04	@ Turan	W 1-0	36.2	1447	1188	61.57%	20.97%	17.47%	+0.82	+3.7	24
2011-12-04	Inter Baku	L 0-1	53.1	1479	1400	57.70%	21.88%	20.42%	+0.66	-10.4	28
2011-12-04	@ Khazar Lankaran	W 1-0	53.1	1400	1479	20.42%	21.88%	57.70%	-0.66	+10.4	29
2011-12-04	Simurq Zaqatala	W 4-2	37.9	1521	1218	77.56%	14.81%	7.63%	+1.64	+2.2	31
2011-12-04	@ Neftchi Baku	L 2-4	37.9	1218	1521	7.63%	14.81%	77.56%	-1.64	-2.2	16
2011-12-04	Sumgayit	W 3-1	36.5	1353	1205	64.82%	20.03%	15.15%	+0.96	+5.3	21
2011-12-04	@ Gabala	L 1-3	36.5	1205	1353	15.15%	20.03%	64.82%	-0.96	-5.3	9
2011-12-10	Baku	D 0-0	51.4	1256	1400	28.49%	23.30%	48.21%	-0.32	+0.9	19
2011-12-10	@ Ravan Baku	D 0-0	51.4	1400	1256	48.21%	23.30%	28.49%	+0.32	-0.9	26
2011-12-10	Qarabag	D 0-0	57.1	1469	1451	50.36%	23.08%	26.56%	+0.39	-1.1	29
2011-12-10	@ Khazar Lankaran	D 0-0	57.1	1451	1469	26.56%	23.08%	50.36%	-0.39	+1.1	25
2011-12-10	Turan	W 2-1	43.7	1216	1185	52.04%	22.86%	25.10%	+0.45	+4.9	19
2011-12-10	@ Simurq Zaqatala	L 1-2	43.7	1185	1216	25.10%	22.86%	52.04%	-0.45	-4.9	11
2011-12-11	Kapaz	W 4-1	41.1	1200	1272	38.03%	23.76%	38.21%	+0.00	+17.0	12
2011-12-11	@ Sumgayit	L 1-4	41.1	1272	1200	38.21%	23.76%	38.03%	+0.00	-17.0	16
2011-12-11	Inter Baku	D 0-0	52.8	1358	1410	40.98%	23.73%	35.29%	+0.09	-0.2	22
2011-12-11	@ Gabala	D 0-0	52.8	1410	1358	35.29%	23.73%	40.98%	-0.09	+0.2	30
2011-12-11	AZAL	W 7-1	37.7	1523	1390	63.35%	20.47%	16.18%	+0.90	+15.0	34
2011-12-11	@ Neftchi Baku	L 1-7	37.7	1390	1523	16.18%	20.47%	63.35%	-0.90	-15.0	20
2011-12-15	Gabala	L 0-1	38.3	1180	1358	24.69%	22.80%	52.51%	-0.47	-5.2	11
2011-12-15	@ Turan	W 1-0	38.3	1358	1180	52.51%	22.80%	24.69%	+0.47	+5.2	25
2011-12-15	Sumgayit	W 1-0	34.1	1400	1217	68.05%	18.93%	13.02%	+1.12	+2.8	29
2011-12-15	@ Baku	L 0-1	34.1	1217	1400	13.02%	18.93%	68.05%	-1.12	-2.8	12
2011-12-16	Khazar Lankaran	L 1-4	37.4	1255	1468	21.33%	22.12%	56.56%	-0.62	-10.4	16
2011-12-16	@ Kapaz	W 4-1	37.4	1468	1255	56.56%	22.12%	21.33%	+0.62	+10.4	32
2011-12-16	Ravan Baku	W 2-0	31.0	1452	1257	69.15%	18.53%	12.33%	+1.17	+4.9	28
2011-12-16	@ Qarabag	L 0-2	31.0	1257	1452	12.33%	18.53%	69.15%	-1.17	-4.9	19
2011-12-16	Simurq Zaqatala	W 5-1	31.8	1375	1221	65.43%	19.83%	14.74%	+0.99	+9.4	23
2011-12-16	@ AZAL	L 1-5	31.8	1221	1375	14.74%	19.83%	65.43%	-0.99	-9.4	19
2011-12-17	Neftchi Baku	W 2-1	58.1	1410	1538	30.50%	23.49%	46.01%	-0.25	+8.0	33
2011-12-17	@ Inter Baku	L 1-2	58.1	1538	1410	46.01%	23.49%	30.50%	+0.25	-8.0	34
2011-12-20	Inter Baku	L 0-2	34.1	1212	1418	21.90%	22.25%	55.85%	-0.59	-8.7	19
2011-12-20	@ Simurq Zaqatala	W 2-0	34.1	1418	1212	55.85%	22.25%	21.90%	+0.59	+8.7	36
2011-12-20	AZAL	W 3-1	47.5	1252	1385	29.90%	23.44%	46.67%	-0.27	+14.1	22
2011-12-20	@ Ravan Baku	L 1-3	47.5	1385	1252	46.67%	23.44%	29.90%	+0.27	-14.1	23
2011-12-20	Turan	W 1-0	37.7	1214	1175	53.03%	22.72%	24.25%	+0.49	+5.1	15
2011-12-20	@ Sumgayit	L 0-1	37.7	1175	1214	24.25%	22.72%	53.03%	-0.49	-5.1	11
2011-12-21	Baku	W 3-0	36.1	1478	1402	57.28%	21.97%	20.75%	+0.65	+12.1	35
2011-12-21	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 0-3	36.1	1402	1478	20.75%	21.97%	57.28%	-0.65	-12.1	29
2011-12-21	Kapaz	W 2-0	29.9	1530	1245	76.35%	15.41%	8.25%	+1.57	+3.1	37
2011-12-21	@ Neftchi Baku	L 0-2	29.9	1245	1530	8.25%	15.41%	76.35%	-1.57	-3.2	16
2011-12-21	Qarabag	D 0-0	54.0	1363	1457	35.07%	23.72%	41.21%	-0.10	+0.3	26
2011-12-21	@ Gabala	D 0-0	54.0	1457	1363	41.21%	23.72%	35.07%	+0.10	-0.3	29
2012-02-15	Neftchi Baku	L 0-3	30.1	1219	1533	13.70%	19.31%	66.99%	-1.06	-8.0	15
2012-02-15	@ Sumgayit	W 3-0	30.1	1533	1219	66.99%	19.31%	13.70%	+1.06	+8.0	40
2012-02-15	Qarabag	L 0-3	41.1	1390	1456	38.90%	23.76%	37.34%	+0.02	-20.4	29
2012-02-15	@ Baku	W 3-0	41.1	1456	1390	37.34%	23.76%	38.90%	-0.02	+20.4	32
2012-02-15	AZAL	W 1-0	40.1	1490	1371	61.99%	20.85%	17.15%	+0.84	+3.7	38
2012-02-15	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 0-1	40.1	1371	1490	17.15%	20.85%	61.99%	-0.84	-3.7	23
2012-02-16	Gabala	L 0-1	39.1	1203	1364	26.64%	23.09%	50.27%	-0.39	-5.5	19
2012-02-16	@ Simurq Zaqatala	W 1-0	39.1	1364	1203	50.27%	23.09%	26.64%	+0.39	+5.5	29
2012-02-16	Inter Baku	L 0-1	39.0	1242	1427	23.97%	22.67%	53.35%	-0.50	-5.0	16
2012-02-16	@ Kapaz	W 1-0	39.0	1427	1242	53.35%	22.67%	23.97%	+0.50	+5.0	39
2012-02-16	Turan	W 2-1	41.6	1266	1169	59.56%	21.47%	18.97%	+0.74	+3.8	25
2012-02-16	@ Ravan Baku	L 1-2	41.6	1169	1266	18.97%	21.47%	59.56%	-0.74	-3.8	11
2012-02-20	Baku	L 0-2	34.9	1198	1370	25.35%	22.90%	51.74%	-0.44	-10.0	19
2012-02-20	@ Simurq Zaqatala	W 2-0	34.9	1370	1198	51.74%	22.90%	25.35%	+0.44	+10.0	32
2012-02-20	Kapaz	W 1-0	33.6	1477	1237	72.92%	16.98%	10.09%	+1.37	+2.1	35
2012-02-20	@ Qarabag	L 0-1	33.6	1237	1477	10.09%	16.98%	72.92%	-1.37	-2.1	16
2012-02-20	Sumgayit	W 2-0	29.6	1432	1211	71.34%	17.66%	11.01%	+1.28	+4.4	42
2012-02-20	@ Inter Baku	L 0-2	29.6	1211	1432	11.01%	17.66%	71.34%	-1.28	-4.3	15
2012-02-21	Khazar Lankaran	W 2-1	55.1	1369	1494	30.91%	23.52%	45.57%	-0.23	+8.0	32
2012-02-21	@ Gabala	L 1-2	55.1	1494	1369	45.57%	23.52%	30.91%	+0.23	-8.0	38
2012-02-21	Ravan Baku	W 1-0	34.7	1541	1270	75.33%	15.89%	8.78%	+1.51	+1.8	43
2012-02-21	@ Neftchi Baku	L 0-1	34.7	1270	1541	8.78%	15.89%	75.33%	-1.51	-1.8	25
2012-02-21	Turan	W 3-2	43.5	1367	1166	69.70%	18.31%	11.99%	+1.20	+2.3	26
2012-02-21	@ AZAL	L 2-3	43.5	1166	1367	11.99%	18.31%	69.70%	-1.20	-2.3	11
2012-03-03	Gabala	L 0-4	35.4	1268	1377	32.92%	23.64%	43.44%	-0.17	-23.5	25
2012-03-03	@ Ravan Baku	W 4-0	35.4	1377	1268	43.44%	23.64%	32.92%	+0.17	+23.4	35
2012-03-03	Khazar Lankaran	L 0-3	30.2	1207	1486	15.97%	20.39%	63.64%	-0.91	-9.4	15
2012-03-03	@ Sumgayit	W 3-0	30.2	1486	1207	63.64%	20.39%	15.97%	+0.91	+9.3	41
2012-03-03	Neftchi Baku	L 0-1	33.6	1163	1543	10.26%	17.11%	72.63%	-1.35	-2.1	11
2012-03-03	@ Turan	W 1-0	33.6	1543	1163	72.63%	17.11%	10.26%	+1.35	+2.1	46
2012-03-03	Inter Baku	W 1-0	45.4	1380	1436	40.26%	23.74%	36.00%	+0.07	+7.0	35
2012-03-03	@ Baku	L 0-1	45.4	1436	1380	36.00%	23.74%	40.26%	-0.07	-7.0	42
2012-03-03	AZAL	W 1-0	40.0	1479	1369	60.96%	21.13%	17.91%	+0.80	+3.8	38
2012-03-03	@ Qarabag	L 0-1	40.0	1369	1479	17.91%	21.13%	60.96%	-0.80	-3.8	26
2012-03-03	Simurq Zaqatala	W 2-0	33.8	1234	1188	53.91%	22.58%	23.51%	+0.52	+9.3	19
2012-03-03	@ Kapaz	L 0-2	33.8	1188	1234	23.51%	22.58%	53.91%	-0.52	-9.3	19
2012-03-07	Gabala	W 3-2	57.0	1244	1401	27.07%	23.14%	49.79%	-0.37	+8.2	22
2012-03-07	@ Kapaz	L 2-3	57.0	1401	1244	49.79%	23.14%	27.07%	+0.37	-8.1	35
2012-03-07	Khazar Lankaran	L 0-1	34.2	1161	1495	12.55%	18.66%	68.79%	-1.15	-2.7	11
2012-03-07	@ Turan	W 1-0	34.2	1495	1161	68.79%	18.66%	12.55%	+1.15	+2.7	44
2012-03-07	Neftchi Baku	L 1-3	47.8	1387	1545	26.88%	23.12%	50.00%	-0.38	-9.1	35
2012-03-07	@ Baku	W 3-1	47.8	1545	1387	50.00%	23.12%	26.88%	+0.38	+9.1	49
2012-03-07	Ravan Baku	W 1-0	34.6	1429	1244	68.25%	18.86%	12.89%	+1.13	+2.7	45
2012-03-07	@ Inter Baku	L 0-1	34.6	1244	1429	12.89%	18.86%	68.25%	-1.13	-2.7	25
2012-03-07	Simurq Zaqatala	W 2-0	27.8	1483	1178	77.68%	14.75%	7.57%	+1.65	+2.9	41
2012-03-07	@ Qarabag	L 0-2	27.8	1178	1483	7.57%	14.75%	77.68%	-1.65	-2.9	19
2012-03-07	Sumgayit	W 6-3	35.9	1365	1198	66.70%	19.41%	13.89%	+1.05	+5.5	29
2012-03-07	@ AZAL	L 3-6	35.9	1198	1365	13.89%	19.41%	66.70%	-1.05	-5.5	15

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2012-03-11	Kapaz	D 1-1	55.1	1175	1252	37.41%	23.76%	38.83%	-0.02	+0.1	1
2012-03-11	@ Simurq Zaqatala	D 1-1	55.1	1252	1175	38.83%	23.76%	37.41%	+0.02	-0.1	1
2012-03-11	Khazar Lankaran	W 1-0	48.9	1486	1498	46.37%	23.46%	30.17%	+0.26	+6.1	3
2012-03-11	@ Qarabag	L 0-1	48.9	1498	1486	30.17%	23.46%	46.37%	-0.26	-6.1	0
2012-03-11	Neftchi Baku	W 4-1	52.2	1392	1554	26.49%	23.07%	50.44%	-0.40	+21.3	3
2012-03-11	@ Gabala	L 1-4	52.2	1554	1392	50.44%	23.07%	26.49%	+0.40	-21.3	0
2012-03-11	Ravan Baku	L 0-1	43.2	1192	1242	41.24%	23.72%	35.04%	+0.10	-7.8	0
2012-03-11	@ Sumgayit	W 1-0	43.2	1242	1192	35.04%	23.72%	41.24%	-0.10	+7.8	3
2012-03-11	Inter Baku	L 0-1	46.6	1378	1432	40.58%	23.73%	35.68%	+0.08	-7.7	0
2012-03-11	@ Baku	W 1-0	46.6	1432	1378	35.68%	23.73%	40.58%	-0.08	+7.7	3
2012-03-11	AZAL	W 3-0	41.6	1159	1371	21.36%	22.12%	56.52%	-0.62	+27.9	3
2012-03-11	@ Turan	L 0-3	41.6	1371	1159	56.52%	22.12%	21.36%	+0.62	-27.9	0
2012-03-17	Turan	D 1-1	55.1	1175	1186	46.56%	23.45%	30.00%	+0.27	-0.7	2
2012-03-17	@ Simurq Zaqatala	D 1-1	55.1	1186	1175	30.00%	23.45%	46.56%	-0.27	+0.6	4
2012-03-18	Gabala	D 1-1	62.0	1492	1414	57.52%	21.92%	20.56%	+0.66	-1.5	4
2012-03-18	@ Qarabag	D 1-1	62.0	1414	1492	20.56%	21.92%	57.52%	-0.66	+1.5	4
2012-03-18	Neftchi Baku	L 1-2	55.8	1440	1533	35.07%	23.72%	41.21%	-0.10	-6.5	3
2012-03-18	@ Inter Baku	W 2-1	55.8	1533	1440	41.21%	23.72%	35.07%	+0.10	+6.5	3
2012-03-18	AZAL	W 2-0	40.1	1250	1343	35.04%	23.72%	41.25%	-0.10	+14.7	6
2012-03-18	@ Ravan Baku	L 0-2	40.1	1343	1250	41.25%	23.72%	35.04%	+0.10	-14.7	0
2012-03-18	Sumgayit	W 4-1	35.5	1252	1184	56.34%	22.16%	21.51%	+0.61	+10.5	4
2012-03-18	@ Kapaz	L 1-4	35.5	1184	1252	21.51%	22.16%	56.34%	-0.61	-10.5	0
2012-03-19	Baku	L 0-1	53.6	1492	1370	62.22%	20.79%	16.99%	+0.85	-11.1	0
2012-03-19	@ Khazar Lankaran	W 1-0	53.6	1370	1492	16.99%	20.79%	62.22%	-0.85	+11.1	3
2012-03-24	Kapaz	W 2-0	33.7	1328	1262	56.15%	22.19%	21.66%	+0.60	+8.6	3
2012-03-24	@ AZAL	L 0-2	33.7	1262	1328	21.66%	22.19%	56.15%	-0.60	-8.6	4
2012-03-24	Khazar Lankaran	D 1-1	66.0	1540	1481	55.31%	22.35%	22.34%	+0.57	-1.4	4
2012-03-24	@ Neftchi Baku	D 1-1	66.0	1481	1540	22.34%	22.35%	55.31%	-0.57	+1.4	1
2012-03-24	Qarabag	L 1-2	51.6	1381	1490	32.94%	23.64%	43.42%	-0.16	-6.2	3
2012-03-24	@ Baku	W 2-1	51.6	1490	1381	43.42%	23.64%	32.94%	+0.16	+6.2	7
2012-03-24	Inter Baku	W 2-1	50.3	1415	1433	45.61%	23.51%	30.87%	+0.23	+5.9	7
2012-03-24	@ Gabala	L 1-2	50.3	1433	1415	30.87%	23.51%	45.61%	-0.23	-5.9	3
2012-03-25	Ravan Baku	W 2-1	48.3	1187	1264	37.32%	23.76%	38.93%	-0.02	+7.0	7
2012-03-25	@ Turan	L 1-2	48.3	1264	1187	38.93%	23.76%	37.32%	+0.02	-7.0	6
2012-03-25	Simurq Zaqatala	L 1-2	50.6	1174	1175	47.88%	23.33%	28.79%	+0.31	-8.3	0
2012-03-25	@ Sumgayit	W 2-1	50.6	1175	1174	28.79%	23.33%	47.88%	-0.31	+8.3	5
2012-04-01	Gabala	W 2-1	50.2	1375	1421	41.73%	23.70%	34.57%	+0.11	+6.4	6
2012-04-01	@ Baku	L 1-2	50.2	1421	1375	34.57%	23.70%	41.73%	-0.11	-6.4	7
2012-04-01	Neftchi Baku	D 0-0	61.2	1496	1538	42.34%	23.68%	33.98%	+0.13	-0.4	8
2012-04-01	@ Qarabag	D 0-0	61.2	1538	1496	33.98%	23.68%	42.34%	-0.13	+0.4	5
2012-04-01	Inter Baku	W 2-0	40.0	1482	1427	54.84%	22.43%	22.73%	+0.55	+9.0	4
2012-04-01	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 0-2	40.0	1427	1482	22.73%	22.43%	54.84%	-0.55	-9.0	3
2012-04-01	AZAL	L 1-2	44.8	1183	1337	27.41%	23.18%	49.41%	-0.36	-5.3	5
2012-04-01	@ Simurq Zaqatala	W 2-1	44.8	1337	1183	49.41%	23.18%	27.41%	+0.36	+5.3	6
2012-04-01	Turan	D 1-1	55.0	1165	1194	44.16%	23.60%	32.24%	+0.19	-0.5	1
2012-04-01	@ Sumgayit	D 1-1	55.0	1194	1165	32.24%	23.60%	44.16%	-0.19	+0.5	8
2012-04-02	Ravan Baku	W 1-0	39.7	1254	1257	47.55%	23.36%	29.08%	+0.30	+5.9	7
2012-04-02	@ Kapaz	L 0-1	39.7	1257	1254	29.08%	23.36%	47.55%	-0.30	-5.9	6
2012-04-07	Kapaz	W 2-0	38.3	1195	1260	39.06%	23.76%	37.19%	+0.03	+13.6	11
2012-04-07	@ Turan	L 0-2	38.3	1260	1195	37.19%	23.76%	39.06%	-0.03	-13.6	7
2012-04-07	Khazar Lankaran	L 0-1	48.4	1415	1491	37.41%	23.76%	38.83%	-0.02	-7.2	7
2012-04-07	@ Gabala	W 1-0	48.4	1491	1415	38.83%	23.76%	37.41%	+0.02	+7.2	7
2012-04-07	Qarabag	D 1-1	61.7	1418	1496	37.26%	23.76%	38.99%	-0.03	+0.1	4
2012-04-07	@ Inter Baku	D 1-1	61.7	1496	1418	38.99%	23.76%	37.26%	+0.03	-0.1	9
2012-04-08	Baku	W 2-1	46.5	1539	1381	65.71%	19.74%	14.55%	+1.00	+2.9	8
2012-04-08	@ Neftchi Baku	L 1-2	46.5	1381	1539	14.55%	19.74%	65.71%	-1.00	-2.9	6
2012-04-08	Simurq Zaqatala	D 0-0	50.6	1251	1178	57.02%	22.02%	20.96%	+0.64	-1.7	7
2012-04-08	@ Ravan Baku	D 0-0	50.6	1178	1251	20.96%	22.02%	57.02%	-0.64	+1.7	6
2012-04-08	Sumgayit	D 1-1	56.7	1342	1165	67.57%	19.11%	13.32%	+1.09	-2.3	7
2012-04-08	@ AZAL	D 1-1	56.7	1165	1342	13.32%	19.11%	67.57%	-1.09	+2.3	2
2012-04-14	Khazar Lankaran	W 4-1	48.4	1378	1498	31.52%	23.56%	44.92%	-0.21	+19.3	9
2012-04-14	@ Baku	L 1-4	48.4	1498	1378	44.92%	23.56%	31.52%	+0.21	-19.3	7
2012-04-14	Qarabag	W 1-0	49.2	1407	1496	35.73%	23.74%	40.53%	-0.07	+7.7	10
2012-04-14	@ Gabala	L 0-1	49.2	1496	1407	40.53%	23.74%	35.73%	+0.07	-7.7	9
2012-04-14	Ravan Baku	D 1-1	56.3	1340	1250	58.89%	21.63%	19.49%	+0.71	-1.7	8
2012-04-14	@ AZAL	D 1-1	56.3	1250	1340	19.49%	21.63%	58.89%	-0.71	+1.6	8
2012-04-14	Inter Baku	W 2-1	48.9	1542	1418	62.35%	20.76%	16.90%	+0.85	+3.4	11
2012-04-14	@ Neftchi Baku	L 1-2	48.9	1418	1542	16.90%	20.76%	62.35%	-0.85	-3.4	4
2012-04-15	Kapaz	W 2-0	38.8	1167	1246	37.10%	23.76%	39.15%	-0.03	+14.2	5
2012-04-15	@ Sumgayit	L 0-2	38.8	1246	1167	39.15%	23.76%	37.10%	+0.03	-14.1	7
2012-04-15	Simurq Zaqatala	D 0-0	50.3	1208	1179	51.69%	22.91%	25.40%	+0.44	-1.2	12
2012-04-15	@ Turan	D 0-0	50.3	1179	1208	25.40%	22.91%	51.69%	-0.44	+1.2	7
2012-04-21	Sumgayit	W 2-1	44.9	1181	1181	47.91%	23.33%	28.76%	+0.31	+5.5	10
2012-04-21	@ Simurq Zaqatala	L 1-2	44.9	1181	1181	28.76%	23.33%	47.91%	-0.31	-5.5	5
2012-04-21	Turan	D 2-2	61.1	1251	1207	53.59%	22.63%	23.77%	+0.51	-0.9	9
2012-04-21	@ Ravan Baku	D 2-2	61.1	1207	1251	23.77%	22.63%	53.59%	-0.51	+0.9	13
2012-04-22	Baku	L 2-4	58.8	1488	1398	58.91%	21.62%	19.47%	+0.71	-15.4	9
2012-04-22	@ Qarabag	W 4-2	58.8	1398	1488	19.47%	21.62%	58.91%	-0.71	+15.4	12
2012-04-22	Gabala	W 2-1	49.1	1415	1415	48.00%	23.32%	28.68%	+0.31	+5.5	7
2012-04-22	@ Inter Baku	L 1-2	49.1	1415	1415	28.68%	23.32%	48.00%	-0.31	-5.5	10
2012-04-22	Neftchi Baku	W 1-0	52.7	1479	1545	38.95%	23.76%	37.29%	+0.03	+7.2	10
2012-04-22	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 0-1	52.7	1545	1479	37.29%	23.76%	38.95%	-0.03	-7.2	11
2012-04-22	AZAL	L 0-2	37.5	1232	1338	33.30%	23.66%	43.05%	-0.15	-12.5	7
2012-04-22	@ Kapaz	W 2-0	37.5	1338	1232	43.05%	23.66%	33.30%	+0.15	+12.5	11
2012-04-28	Kapaz	W 5-1	35.3	1250	1219	51.96%	22.87%	25.17%	+0.45	+15.6	12
2012-04-28	@ Ravan Baku	L 1-5	35.3	1219	1250	25.17%	22.87%	51.96%	-0.45	-15.6	7
2012-04-28	Sumgayit	D 1-1	55.3	1208	1176	52.09%	22.85%	25.05%	+0.45	-1.1	14
2012-04-28	@ Turan	D 1-1	55.3	1176	1208	25.05%	22.85%	52.09%	-0.45	+1.1	6
2012-04-29	Baku	W 4-0	37.0	1410	1413	47.55%	23.36%	29.08%	+0.30	+21.2	13
2012-04-29	@ Gabala	L 0-4	37.0	1413	1410	29.08%	23.36%	47.55%	-0.30	-21.2	12
2012-04-29	Khazar Lankaran	D 0-0	56.5	1421	1486	38.95%	23.76%	37.29%	+0.03	-0.1	8
2012-04-29	@ Inter Baku	D 0-0	56.5	1486	1421	37.29%	23.76%	38.95%	-0.03	+0.1	11
2012-04-29	Qarabag	W 2-1	52.7	1538	1473	56.02%	22.22%	21.76%	+0.60	+4.3	14
2012-04-29	@ Neftchi Baku	L 1-2	52.7	1473	1538	21.76%	22.22%	56.02%	-0.60	-4.3	9
2012-04-29	Simurq Zaqatala	D 0-0	51.7	1351	1186	66.40%	19.51%	14.09%	+1.04	-2.5	12
2012-04-29	@ AZAL	D 0-0	51.7	1186	1351	14.09%	19.51%	66.40%	-1.04	+2.5	11
2012-05-05	Gabala	D 1-1	62.2	1486	1431	54.94%	22.41%	22.65%	+0.56	-1.3	12
2012-05-05	@ Khazar Lankaran	D 1-1	62.2	1431	1486	22.65%	22.41%	54.94%	-0.56	+1.3	14
2012-05-05	Neftchi Baku	W 2-0	48.9	1392	1542	27.85%	23.23%	48.92%	-0.34	+16.9	15
2012-05-05	@ Baku	L 0-2	48.9	1542	1392	48.92%	23.23%	27.85%	+0.34	-16.9	14
2012-05-05	Inter Baku	W 1-0	43.3	1468	1421	54.04%	22.56%	23.40%	+0.52	+4.9	12
2012-05-05	@ Qarabag	L 0-1	43.3	1421	1468	23.40%	22.56%	54.04%	-0.52	-4.9	8
2012-05-06	Ravan Baku	D 1-1	55.2	1189	1266	37.30%	23.76%	38.94%	-0.03	+0.1	12
2012-05-06	@ Simurq Zaqatala	D 1-1	55.2	1266	1189	38.94%	23.76%	37.30%	+0.03	-0.1	13
2012-05-06	AZAL	W 1-0	46.4	1177	1348	25.47%	22.92%	51.61%	-0.44	+9.4	9
2012-05-06	@ Sumgayit	L 0-1	46.4	1348	1177	51.61%	22.92%	25.47%	+0.44	-9.4	12
2012-05-06	Turan	W 2-1	45.1	1204	1207	47.62%	23.36%	29.02%	+0.30	+5.6	10
2012-05-06	@ Kapaz	L 1-2	45.1	1207	1204	29.02%	23.36%	47.62%	-0.30	-5.6	14
2012-05-11	Baku	W 1-0	43.0	1416	1409	48.89%	23.24%	27.87%	+0.34	+5.7	11
2012-05-11	@ Inter Baku	L 0-1	43.0	1409	1416	27.87%	23.24%	48.89%	-0.34	-5.7	15
2012-05-11	Gabala	L 0-1	56.1	1525	1432	59.17%	21.56%	19.27%	+0.72	-10.6	14
2012-05-11	@ Neftchi Baku	W 1-0	56.1	1432	1525	19.27%	21.56%	59.17%	-0.72	+10.6	17
2012-05-11	Qarabag	W 4-1	45.7	1485	1473	49.53%	23.17%	27.30%	+0.37	+13.0	15
2012-05-11	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 1-4	45.7	1473	1485	27.30%	23.17%	49.53%	-0.37	-13.0	12
2012-05-12	Simurq Zaqatala	L 0-1	45.8	1209	1189	50.67%	23.04%	26.29%	+0.40	-9.3	10
2012-05-12	@ Kapaz	W 1-0	45.8	1189	1209	26.29%	23.04%	50.67%	-0.40	+9.2	15
2012-05-12	Sumgayit	W 3-2	46.8	1266	1186	57.69%	21.89%	20.42%	+0.66	+3.9	16
2012-05-12	@ Ravan Baku	L 2-3	46.8	1186	1266	20.42%	21.89%	57.69%	-0.66	-3.9	9
2012-05-12	Turan	W 1-0	34.9	1339	1201	63.81%	20.34%	15.85%	+0.92	+3.4	15
2012-05-12	@ AZAL	L 0-1	34.9	1201	1339	15.85%	20.34%	63.81%	-0.92	-3.4	14

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2011-11-05	9.30%	Sumgayit	1207	2	@ Qarabag	1466	1
2	2011-10-29	12.01%	Simurq Zaqatala	1187	2	@ Gabala	1388	0
3	2011-09-30	14.96%	Ravan Baku	1238	3	@ Gabala	1389	2
4	2011-08-27	15.79%	Kapaz	1261	3	@ Baku	1399	0
5	2011-10-22	16.49%	Ravan Baku	1250	2	@ AZAL	1379	1
6	2011-10-16	16.94%	Inter Baku	1380	1	@ Neftchi Baku	1502	0
7	2012-03-19	16.99%	Baku	1370	1	@ Khazar Lankaran	1492	0
8	2012-05-11	19.27%	Gabala	1432	1	@ Neftchi Baku	1525	0
9	2012-04-22	19.47%	Baku	1398	4	@ Qarabag	1488	2
10	2011-08-27	20.23%	Gabala	1387	1	@ Qarabag	1469	0
11	2011-12-04	20.42%	Inter Baku	1400	1	@ Khazar Lankaran	1479	0
12	2012-03-11	21.36%	@ Turan	1159	3	AZAL	1371	0
13	2011-09-24	25.01%	Simurq Zaqatala	1185	1	@ Sumgayit	1218	0
14	2011-11-20	25.07%	@ Gabala	1348	1	Neftchi Baku	1523	0
15	2012-05-06	25.47%	@ Sumgayit	1177	1	AZAL	1348	0
16	2011-10-30	25.63%	@ Sumgayit	1198	2	AZAL	1368	1
17	2012-05-12	26.29%	Simurq Zaqatala	1189	1	@ Kapaz	1209	0
18	2012-03-11	26.49%	@ Gabala	1392	4	Neftchi Baku	1554	1
19	2012-03-07	27.07%	@ Kapaz	1244	3	Gabala	1401	2
20	2011-08-20	27.79%	Baku	1375	3	@ Inter Baku	1382	0
21	2012-05-05	27.85%	@ Baku	1392	2	Neftchi Baku	1542	0
22	2011-09-30	28.45%	@ Inter Baku	1371	1	Khazar Lankaran	1516	0
23	2011-12-04	28.62%	Kapaz	1264	2	@ Ravan Baku	1264	1
24	2012-03-25	28.79%	Simurq Zaqatala	1175	2	@ Sumgayit	1174	1
25	2011-12-20	29.90%	@ Ravan Baku	1252	3	AZAL	1385	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2011-08-27	31.00	Kapaz	3	1261	15.79%	@ Baku	0	1399	63.90%	20.31%
2	2012-03-11	27.86	@ Turan	3	1159	21.36%	AZAL	0	1371	56.52%	22.12%
3	2011-11-06	27.09	@ Neftchi Baku	5	1496	46.15%	Khazar Lankaran	0	1510	30.37%	23.48%
4	2011-08-20	24.62	Baku	3	1375	27.79%	@ Inter Baku	0	1382	48.98%	23.23%
5	2012-03-03	23.46	Gabala	4	1377	43.44%	@ Ravan Baku	0	1268	32.92%	23.64%
6	2011-10-29	22.93	Simurq Zaqatala	2	1187	12.01%	@ Gabala	0	1388	69.65%	18.33%
7	2012-03-11	21.29	@ Gabala	4	1392	26.49%	Neftchi Baku	1	1554	50.44%	23.07%
8	2012-04-29	21.21	@ Gabala	4	1410	47.55%	Baku	0	1413	29.08%	23.36%
9	2011-08-14	20.49	Khazar Lankaran	3	1478	37.21%	@ AZAL	0	1412	39.04%	23.76%
10	2012-02-15	20.44	Qarabag	3	1456	37.34%	@ Baku	0	1390	38.90%	23.76%
11	2012-04-14	19.32	@ Baku	4	1378	31.52%	Khazar Lankaran	1	1498	44.92%	23.56%
12	2011-12-11	17.01	@ Sumgayit	4	1200	38.03%	Kapaz	1	1272	38.21%	23.76%
13	2012-05-05	16.94	@ Baku	2	1392	27.85%	Neftchi Baku	0	1542	48.92%	23.23%
14	2011-11-05	16.34	@ AZAL	3	1359	47.30%	Gabala	0	1365	29.32%	23.39%
15	2012-04-28	15.63	@ Ravan Baku	5	1250	51.96%	Kapaz	1	1219	25.17%	22.87%
16	2012-04-22	15.41	Baku	4	1398	19.47%	@ Qarabag	2	1488	58.91%	21.62%
17	2011-12-11	14.96	@ Neftchi Baku	7	1523	63.35%	AZAL	1	1390	16.18%	20.47%
18	2012-03-18	14.73	@ Ravan Baku	2	1250	35.04%	AZAL	0	1343	41.25%	23.72%
19	2012-04-15	14.15	@ Sumgayit	2	1167	37.10%	Kapaz	0	1246	39.15%	23.76%
20	2011-12-20	14.10	@ Ravan Baku	3	1252	29.90%	AZAL	1	1385	46.67%	23.44%
21	2012-04-07	13.60	@ Turan	2	1195	39.06%	Kapaz	0	1260	37.19%	23.76%
22	2011-08-27	13.47	@ AZAL	3	1393	32.24%	Neftchi Baku	1	1507	44.16%	23.60%
23	2011-09-11	13.47	@ Kapaz	3	1292	32.27%	AZAL	1	1406	44.13%	23.60%
24	2012-05-11	12.98	@ Khazar Lankaran	4	1485	49.53%	Qarabag	1	1473	27.30%	23.17%
25	2011-09-17	12.60	@ Simurq Zaqatala	4	1173	29.92%	Kapaz	2	1305	46.64%	23.44%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2011-10-21	66.6	@ Baku	2	1383	30.81%	Khazar Lankaran	2	1509	45.68%	23.51%
2	2012-03-24	66.0	@ Neftchi Baku	1	1540	55.31%	Khazar Lankaran	1	1481	22.34%	22.35%
3	2011-11-25	63.1	@ Simurq Zaqatala	2	1217	17.09%	Khazar Lankaran	2	1481	62.08%	20.83%
4	2012-05-05	62.2	@ Khazar Lankaran	1	1486	54.94%	Gabala	1	1431	22.65%	22.41%
5	2012-03-18	62.0	@ Qarabag	1	1492	57.52%	Gabala	1	1414	20.56%	21.92%
6	2012-04-07	61.7	@ Inter Baku	1	1418	37.26%	Qarabag	1	1496	38.99%	23.76%
7	2012-04-01	61.2	@ Qarabag	0	1496	42.34%	Neftchi Baku	0	1538	33.98%	23.68%
8	2012-04-21	61.1	@ Ravan Baku	2	1251	53.59%	Turan	2	1207	23.77%	22.63%
9	2011-09-30	60.5	Ravan Baku	3	1238	14.96%	@ Gabala	2	1389	65.10%	19.94%
10	2011-11-19	59.2	@ Khazar Lankaran	1	1483	72.07%	Ravan Baku	1	1254	10.58%	17.35%
11	2012-04-22	58.8	Baku	4	1398	19.47%	@ Qarabag	2	1488	58.91%	21.62%
12	2011-10-22	58.4	@ Kapaz	1	1285	21.91%	Neftchi Baku	1	1491	55.84%	22.25%
13	2011-11-26	58.3	@ Inter Baku	1	1401	50.28%	AZAL	1	1383	26.64%	23.09%
14	2011-08-19	58.2	@ Gabala	1	1388	47.54%	AZAL	1	1392	29.10%	23.37%
15	2011-08-27	58.1	@ Ravan Baku	1	1232	16.70%	Khazar Lankaran	1	1501	62.62%	20.68%
16	2011-10-23	58.1	@ Inter Baku	1	1391	48.55%	Gabala	1	1387	28.18%	23.27%
17	2011-12-17	58.1	@ Inter Baku	2	1410	30.50%	Neftchi Baku	1	1538	46.01%	23.49%
18	2011-09-17	58.0	@ AZAL	1	1393	50.70%	Inter Baku	1	1372	26.27%	23.04%
19	2011-11-05	57.9	Sumgayit	2	1207	9.30%	@ Qarabag	1	1466	74.36%	16.34%
20	2011-10-16	57.4	@ Ravan Baku	1	1249	21.02%	Qarabag	1	1465	56.95%	22.04%
21	2011-12-10	57.1	@ Khazar Lankaran	0	1469	50.36%	Qarabag	0	1451	26.56%	23.08%
22	2011-11-26	57.0	Neftchi Baku	2	1514	36.45%	@ Qarabag	1	1454	39.80%	23.75%
23	2012-03-07	57.0	@ Kapaz	3	1244	27.07%	Gabala	2	1401	49.79%	23.14%
24	2011-10-25	56.9	@ Neftchi Baku	3	1490	51.00%	Qarabag	2	1467	26.00%	23.00%
25	2012-04-08	56.7	@ AZAL	1	1342	67.57%	Sumgayit	1	1165	13.32%	19.11%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2011-08-21	27.0	@ Neftchi Baku	4	1500	75.05%	Sumgayit	0	1233	8.93%	16.02%
2	2012-03-07	27.8	@ Qarabag	2	1483	77.68%	Simurq Zaqatala	0	1178	7.57%	14.75%
3	2011-11-20	27.9	@ Baku	5	1390	68.88%	Turan	0	1198	12.49%	18.63%
4	2012-02-20	29.6	@ Inter Baku	2	1432	71.34%	Sumgayit	0	1211	11.01%	17.66%
5	2011-12-21	29.9	@ Neftchi Baku	2	1530	76.35%	Kapaz	0	1245	8.25%	15.41%
6	2012-02-15	30.1	Neftchi Baku	3	1533	66.99%	@ Sumgayit	0	1219	13.70%	19.31%
7	2012-03-03	30.2	Khazar Lankaran	3	1486	63.64%	@ Sumgayit	0	1207	15.97%	20.39%
8	2011-12-16	31.0	@ Qarabag	2	1452	69.15%	Ravan Baku	0	1257	12.33%	18.53%
9	2011-08-07	31.5	AZAL	3	1400	56.18%	@ Simurq Zaqatala	0	1190	21.63%	22.19%
10	2011-10-16	31.8	@ Khazar Lankaran	1	1507	78.42%	Simurq Zaqatala	0	1192	7.21%	14.37%
11	2011-12-16	31.8	@ AZAL	5	1375	65.43%	Simurq Zaqatala	1	1221	14.74%	19.83%
12	2011-10-29	32.3	@ Neftchi Baku	1	1495	76.65%	Turan	0	1205	8.09%	15.26%
13	2011-11-19	32.9	@ AZAL	2	1376	60.24%	Kapaz	0	1273	18.45%	21.31%
14	2011-09-10	33.6	@ Inter Baku	1	1358	68.01%	Simurq Zaqatala	0	1175	13.04%	18.95%
15	2012-02-20	33.6	@ Qarabag	1	1477	72.92%	Kapaz	0	1237	10.09%	16.98%
16	2012-03-03	33.6	Neftchi Baku	1	1543	72.63%	@ Turan	0	1163	10.26%	17.11%
17	2011-10-16	33.7	@ Gabala	2	1379	58.42%	Kapaz	0	1293	19.85%	21.73%
18	2012-03-24	33.7	@ AZAL	2	1328	56.15%	Kapaz	0	1262	21.66%	22.19%
19	2012-03-03	33.8	@ Kapaz	2	1234	53.91%	Simurq Zaqatala	0	1188	23.51%	22.58%
20	2011-12-15	34.1	@ Baku	1	1400	68.05%	Sumgayit	0	1217	13.02%	18.93%
21	2011-12-20	34.1	Inter Baku	2	1418	55.85%	@ Simurq Zaqatala	0	1212	21.90%	22.25%
22	2011-08-06	34.2	@ Inter Baku	1	1384	67.12%	Turan	0	1211	13.62%	19.27%
23	2012-03-07	34.2	Khazar Lankaran	1	1495	68.79%	@ Turan	0	1161	12.55%	18.66%
24	2011-09-30	34.4	@ Qarabag	3	1462	74.51%	Turan	1	1201	9.22%	16.27%
25	2012-03-07	34.6	@ Inter Baku	1	1429	68.25%	Ravan Baku	0	1244	12.89%	18.86%