2012-13 Azerbaijan Premier League Season

192 games

Final

Champion

Neftchi Baku

44 points · 8th Title

Last Title: 2011-12

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Simurq Zaqatala

6.82 points above expected

36 points · 29.18 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Khazar Lankaran

8.53 points below expected

28 points · 36.53 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Neftchi Baku Champion	22	14	2	6	44	47	24	+23	39.19	+4.81
2	Inter Baku	22	11	8	3	41	24	12	+12	35.57	+5.43
3	Qarabag	22	10	9	3	39	30	19	+11	36.13	+2.87
4	Simurq Zaqatala	22	9	9	4	36	25	15	+10	29.18	+6.82
5	Gabala	22	9	5	8	32	26	27	-1	32.14	-0.14
6	Baku	22	6	12	4	30	24	15	+9	33.27	-3.27
7	AZAL	22	7	8	7	29	32	25	+7	32.76	-3.76
8	Khazar Lankaran	22	7	7	8	28	32	27	+5	36.53	-8.53
9	Turan	22	6	5	11	23	24	35	-11	22.87	+0.13
10	Ravan Baku	22	6	4	12	22	23	36	-13	23.99	-1.99
11	Sumgayit	22	5	7	10	22	20	39	-19	21.06	+0.94
12	Kapaz	22	2	4	16	10	12	45	-33	18.47	-8.47

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	AZAL	10	9	1	0	28	25	7	+18	47.78	-19.78
2	Qarabag	10	6	2	2	20	13	7	+6	53.62	-33.62
3	Ravan Baku	10	6	0	4	18	23	18	+5	35.52	-17.52
4	Neftchi Baku	10	5	3	2	18	12	8	+4	61.64	-43.64
5	Inter Baku	10	5	1	4	16	14	10	+4	55.63	-39.63
6	Sumgayit	10	4	1	5	13	11	10	+1	33.35	-20.35
7	Khazar Lankaran	10	3	3	4	12	8	10	-2	46.96	-34.96
8	Simurq Zaqatala	10	3	3	4	12	7	11	-4	47.09	-35.09
9	Baku	10	3	2	5	11	9	12	-3	43.91	-32.91
10	Kapaz	10	3	0	7	9	11	19	-8	17.88	-8.88
11	Turan	10	2	1	7	7	10	24	-14	34.89	-27.89
12	Gabala	10	1	3	6	6	6	13	-7	42.10	-36.10

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Simurq Zaqatala	36	29.18	+6.82
2	Inter Baku	41	35.57	+5.43
3	Neftchi Baku	44	39.19	+4.81
4	Qarabag	39	36.13	+2.87
5	Sumgayit	22	21.06	+0.94

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Khazar Lankaran	28	36.53	-8.53
2	Kapaz	10	18.47	-8.47
3	AZAL	29	32.76	-3.76
4	Baku	30	33.27	-3.27
5	Ravan Baku	22	23.99	-1.99

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Simurq Zaqatala	4	Aug 18 – Sep 24	1 in 80
2	Gabala	4	Oct 31 – Nov 25	1 in 60
3	Sumgayit	2	Sep 24 – Sep 30	1 in 28
4	Neftchi Baku	5	Feb 9 – Mar 3	1 in 27
5	Turan	2	Oct 20 – Oct 27	1 in 24

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kapaz	9	Nov 19 – Feb 23	1 in 132
2	Khazar Lankaran	3	Sep 15 – Sep 29	1 in 65
3	Ravan Baku	5	Nov 25 – Dec 20	1 in 50
4	Gabala	2	Sep 15 – Sep 24	1 in 29
5	Turan	4	Dec 20 – Feb 17	1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Simurq Zaqatala	8	Aug 4 – Oct 4	1 in 62
2	Qarabag	11	Nov 4 – Mar 3	1 in 36
3	Inter Baku	10	Aug 19 – Nov 18	1 in 22
4	Turan	4	Oct 20 – Nov 4	1 in 12
5	AZAL	6	Aug 4 – Sep 29	1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Baku	7	Sep 14 – Nov 3	1 in 50
2	Gabala	6	Sep 15 – Oct 27	1 in 31
3	Kapaz	15	Oct 4 – Mar 3	1 in 22
4	Qarabag	5	Sep 29 – Oct 31	1 in 20
5	Khazar Lankaran	4	Aug 19 – Sep 29	1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Neftchi Baku	1609	62	+2	8	9.4	-1.4
Qarabag	1577	59	+14	8	8.3	-0.3
AZAL	1548	57	+50	15	10.5	+4.5
Inter Baku	1545	57	-19	7	8.0	-1.0
Simurq Zaqatala	1440	48	+36	8	4.7	+3.3
Baku	1486	41	-14	6	6.4	-0.4
Ravan Baku	1344	40	-56	6	7.5	-1.5
Khazar Lankaran	1402	40	-42	6	9.1	-3.1
Gabala	1382	38	-20	4	4.2	-0.2
Sumgayit	1299	35	+17	6	6.0	-0.0
Turan	1198	30	-26	3	4.5	-1.5
Kapaz	1190	19	+56	9	3.6	+5.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AZA	BAK	GAB	IB	KAP	KL	NB	QAR	RB	SZ	SUM	TUR
AZAL	—	1-0-1 2.49	1-1-0 2.77	0-2-0 2.58	2-0-0 3.88	1-0-1 2.53	0-0-2 1.96	1-0-1 2.05	1-0-1 3.19	0-2-0 2.59	0-2-0 3.56	0-1-1 3.63
Baku	1-0-1 2.98	—	1-1-0 2.68	0-1-1 2.33	1-1-0 3.82	1-1-0 2.21	0-1-1 2.25	0-2-0 2.43	1-1-0 3.62	0-2-0 3.38	0-1-1 3.85	1-1-0 3.81
Gabala	0-1-1 2.68	0-1-1 2.77	—	1-0-1 2.49	1-0-1 3.96	1-1-0 2.32	1-0-1 2.26	1-1-0 2.29	1-0-1 3.43	0-1-1 3.34	2-0-0 3.84	1-0-1 3.37
Inter Baku	0-2-0 2.88	1-1-0 3.13	1-0-1 2.97	—	2-0-0 4.29	1-1-0 2.55	0-1-1 2.61	0-2-0 2.61	2-0-0 3.66	1-0-1 3.29	1-1-0 4.01	2-0-0 3.81
Kapaz	0-0-2 1.62	0-1-1 1.67	1-0-1 1.53	0-0-2 1.24	—	0-0-2 1.37	0-0-2 1.11	0-1-1 1.36	1-0-1 1.97	0-1-1 1.37	0-1-1 2.50	0-0-2 2.48
Khazar Lankaran	1-0-1 2.94	0-1-1 3.25	0-1-1 3.14	0-1-1 2.90	2-0-0 4.14	—	1-0-1 2.54	1-0-1 2.76	1-1-0 3.68	0-1-1 3.36	0-2-0 4.11	1-0-1 4.04
Neftchi Baku	2-0-0 3.50	1-1-0 3.20	1-0-1 3.19	1-1-0 2.85	2-0-0 4.44	1-0-1 2.91	—	0-0-2 3.08	1-0-1 4.02	2-0-0 3.33	1-0-1 4.23	2-0-0 4.40
Qarabag	1-0-1 3.41	0-2-0 3.03	0-1-1 3.17	0-2-0 2.84	1-1-0 4.16	1-0-1 2.70	2-0-0 2.38	—	1-1-0 3.96	1-1-0 3.14	2-0-0 3.98	1-1-0 3.91
Ravan Baku	1-0-1 2.27	0-1-1 1.86	1-0-1 2.04	0-0-2 1.82	1-0-1 3.50	0-1-1 1.80	1-0-1 1.48	0-1-1 1.53	—	0-0-2 2.31	1-0-1 3.02	1-1-0 2.72
Simurq Zaqatala	0-2-0 2.86	0-2-0 2.09	1-1-0 2.12	1-0-1 2.16	1-1-0 4.14	1-1-0 2.12	0-0-2 2.13	0-1-1 2.32	2-0-0 3.17	—	2-0-0 3.68	1-1-0 3.07
Sumgayit	0-2-0 1.92	1-1-0 1.64	0-0-2 1.64	0-1-1 1.49	1-1-0 2.96	0-2-0 1.40	1-0-1 1.29	0-0-2 1.52	1-0-1 2.43	0-0-2 1.80	—	1-0-1 2.66
Turan	1-1-0 1.84	0-1-1 1.68	1-0-1 2.09	0-0-2 1.67	2-0-0 2.98	1-0-1 1.46	0-0-2 1.15	0-1-1 1.58	0-1-1 2.73	0-1-1 2.38	1-0-1 2.80	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.54	+8.4
Allowed	0.71	-7.8
Differential	0.89	+5.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.90%	10.68%	7.55%	2.08%	1.30%	0.26%	31.77%
1	10.68%	13.54%	7.29%	2.34%	0.78%	1.04%	35.68%
2	7.55%	7.29%	2.60%	2.08%	0.52%	0.52%	20.57%
3	2.08%	2.34%	2.08%	—	—	0.52%	7.03%
4	1.30%	0.78%	0.52%	—	—	—	2.60%
5+	0.26%	1.04%	0.52%	0.52%	—	—	2.34%
Total	31.77%	35.68%	20.57%	7.03%	2.60%	2.34%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	1.22	+0.00
SD	1.24	1.24	1.76
CV	1.02	1.02	—
Max	8	8	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 192

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.50%	6.25%	9.38%	—	—	—	28.12%
1	3.12%	12.50%	3.12%	—	—	—	18.75%
2	15.62%	6.25%	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	28.12%
3	3.12%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	—	12.50%
4	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	9.38%
Total	37.50%	34.38%	21.88%	3.12%	3.12%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.78	1.00	+0.78
SD	1.70	1.02	1.81
CV	0.95	1.02	—
Max	6	4	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.62%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	28.12%
1	6.25%	28.12%	12.50%	3.12%	—	—	50.00%
2	9.38%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	15.62%
3	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
4	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	34.38%	50.00%	12.50%	3.12%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	0.84	+0.19
SD	0.93	0.77	1.23
CV	0.90	0.91	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	15.62%	9.38%	3.12%	—	—	31.25%
1	9.38%	21.88%	9.38%	3.12%	—	3.12%	46.88%
2	9.38%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	15.62%
3	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
4	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.88%	50.00%	18.75%	6.25%	—	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.25	-0.25
SD	0.95	1.19	1.67
CV	0.95	0.95	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	21.88%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	40.62%
1	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
2	12.50%	12.50%	—	3.12%	—	—	28.12%
3	—	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	—	9.38%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	50.00%	34.38%	12.50%	3.12%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.19	0.69	+0.50
SD	1.26	0.82	1.39
CV	1.06	1.19	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	12.50%	12.50%	9.38%	6.25%	—	50.00%
1	6.25%	3.12%	12.50%	12.50%	3.12%	3.12%	40.62%
2	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
3	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	3.12%	—	—	3.12%
Total	15.62%	21.88%	25.00%	25.00%	9.38%	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.72	2.00	-1.28
SD	1.05	1.34	1.63
CV	1.47	0.67	—
Max	5	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	9.38%	12.50%	—	—	—	28.12%
1	9.38%	15.62%	12.50%	—	—	—	37.50%
2	6.25%	6.25%	9.38%	3.12%	—	—	25.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	6.25%	—	3.12%	—	—	—	9.38%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.12%	31.25%	37.50%	3.12%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	1.16	+0.09
SD	1.16	0.88	1.53
CV	0.93	0.76	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.38%	3.12%	—	—	—	12.50%
1	6.25%	15.62%	9.38%	—	—	—	31.25%
2	12.50%	21.88%	—	3.12%	—	—	37.50%
3	6.25%	—	3.12%	—	—	—	9.38%
4	—	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	25.00%	53.12%	18.75%	3.12%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.84	1.00	+0.84
SD	1.53	0.76	1.74
CV	0.83	0.76	—
Max	8	3	+7
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	21.88%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	28.12%
1	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	37.50%
2	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	3.12%	15.62%
3	3.12%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	15.62%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	50.00%	31.25%	15.62%	—	—	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.34	0.81	+0.53
SD	1.33	1.20	1.54
CV	0.99	1.48	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	—	12.50%	3.12%	3.12%	—	21.88%
1	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	9.38%	3.12%	—	37.50%
2	9.38%	3.12%	3.12%	9.38%	—	—	25.00%
3	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	—	3.12%	12.50%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	3.12%	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	31.25%	12.50%	25.00%	21.88%	6.25%	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.44	1.69	-0.25
SD	1.27	1.45	2.00
CV	0.88	0.86	—
Max	6	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.50%	9.38%	3.12%	—	—	3.12%	28.12%
1	18.75%	21.88%	9.38%	—	—	—	50.00%
2	9.38%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	15.62%
3	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	46.88%	34.38%	15.62%	—	—	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	0.81	+0.19
SD	0.84	1.06	1.51
CV	0.84	1.31	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	25.00%	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
1	12.50%	9.38%	3.12%	—	3.12%	6.25%	34.38%
2	—	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	—	9.38%
3	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
4	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	40.62%	18.75%	6.25%	3.12%	6.25%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.53	-0.56
SD	1.18	1.76	2.09
CV	1.22	1.15	—
Max	4	8	+4
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	12.50%	15.62%	3.12%	6.25%	—	40.62%
1	12.50%	9.38%	3.12%	—	—	—	25.00%
2	—	9.38%	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	28.12%
3	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%	3.12%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	15.62%	34.38%	25.00%	9.38%	9.38%	6.25%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	1.84	-0.78
SD	1.16	1.51	1.75
CV	1.09	0.82	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Neftchi Baku	1609	44	39.19	+4.81	78.0%	20	27	35	40	43	50	51
Qarabag	1577	39	36.13	+2.87	75.0%	23	26	32	36	39	47	49
AZAL	1548	29	32.76	-3.76	24.0%	17	22	30	33	36	41	46
Inter Baku	1545	41	35.57	+5.43	84.0%	18	26	32	35	39	44	51
Baku	1486	30	33.27	-3.27	35.0%	23	24	29	33	37	43	46
Simurq Zaqatala	1440	36	29.18	+6.82	87.0%	13	20	25	28	33	38	52
Khazar Lankaran	1402	28	36.53	-8.53	9.0%	16	25	32	37	40	48	54
Gabala	1382	32	32.14	-0.14	50.0%	19	22	28	32	36	40	44
Ravan Baku	1344	22	23.99	-1.99	41.0%	11	15	20	24	28	33	41
Sumgayit	1299	22	21.06	+0.94	61.0%	7	12	17	21	25	31	35
Turan	1198	23	22.87	+0.13	55.0%	11	14	19	22	27	33	35
Kapaz	1190	10	18.47	-8.47	4.0%	5	11	14	18	22	27	38

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7.5% * Slight Edge: 7.5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+14.58%

Slight Edge

44.27%26.04%29.69%

Elo Value

Home Edge

184 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

051.03500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.35 goals

Neutral

-2+0.28+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.34 * Runaway: 0.34 and up.

Title-Race Openness

4.0

Wide Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

41%

Neftchi Baku, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.14/gm

Tight Race

00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.7 * Some Luck: 4.7 to 7.05 * Lucky: 7.05 to 9.4 * Wild Swing: 9.4 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.5 * Close: 1.5 to 2.25 * Off: 2.25 to 3.01 * Way Off: 3.01 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

4.82 points

Some Luck

05.8815

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.50

Pinpoint

01.884

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

87.00%

Simurq Zaqatala

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

4.00%

Kapaz

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.21 * Even: 0.21 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.15 * Moderate Separation: 2.15 to 2.3 * Strong Separation: 2.3 to 2.6 * Wide Separation: 2.6 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 73.5% * Slight Edge: 73.5% to 77.5% * Clear Edge: 77.5% to 84% * Wide Edge: 84% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92% * Clear Edge: 92% to 97% * Strong Edge: 97% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59% * Some Drama: 59% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 67% * Very Frequent: 67% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14% * Occasional: 14% to 17.5% * Frequent: 17.5% to 21.5% * Very Frequent: 21.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.17

Balanced

00.210.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 126.49

1.57

Coin-Flip Parity

12.152.63.25

Interquartile Edge

76%

Slight Edge

50%73.5%84%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

92%

Even

50%93%100%

Close Games

Expected

66%

Frequent

0%60%100%

Blowouts

Expected

12%

Rare

0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.55 * Lopsided: 0.55 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.65 * Strong Carryover: 0.65 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 17.5% * Upset-Prone: 17.5% to 20.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 20.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 17.5% * Very Shaky: 17.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.60

Predictable

00.602

Matchup Imbalance

0.38

Very Even

00.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.63

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.62

Some Carryover

00.470.651

Upset Rate

Expected

23%

Very Upset-Prone

0%23%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

24%

Very Shaky

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.

Probability calibration

0.32

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.94

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.083

Well Within Noise

00.1210.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Neftchi Baku	41.00%	15.00%	11.00%	9.00%	6.00%	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%
Inter Baku	13.00%	17.00%	11.00%	20.00%	13.00%	11.00%	5.00%	5.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%
Qarabag	13.00%	18.00%	19.00%	15.00%	6.00%	9.00%	9.00%	7.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—
Simurq Zaqatala	1.00%	2.00%	7.00%	7.00%	9.00%	12.00%	16.00%	16.00%	14.00%	11.00%	3.00%	2.00%
Gabala	2.00%	10.00%	12.00%	13.00%	12.00%	13.00%	13.00%	11.00%	8.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Baku	4.00%	9.00%	16.00%	12.00%	18.00%	11.00%	12.00%	9.00%	4.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—
AZAL	6.00%	8.00%	9.00%	10.00%	16.00%	20.00%	12.00%	7.00%	6.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—
Khazar Lankaran	20.00%	17.00%	15.00%	8.00%	11.00%	11.00%	7.00%	5.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%
Turan	—	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	4.00%	7.00%	10.00%	18.00%	16.00%	26.00%	15.00%
Ravan Baku	—	2.00%	—	—	4.00%	3.00%	10.00%	11.00%	21.00%	25.00%	13.00%	11.00%
Sumgayit	—	1.00%	—	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	11.00%	8.00%	24.00%	27.00%	22.00%
Kapaz	—	1.00%	—	2.00%	1.00%	—	2.00%	3.00%	11.00%	8.00%	26.00%	46.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Lost relegation playoff
Baku	100%	—
Inter Baku	100%	—
Khazar Lankaran	100%	—
Neftchi Baku	100%	—
Qarabag	100%	—
AZAL	99.00%	1.00%
Gabala	98.00%	2.00%
Simurq Zaqatala	95.00%	5.00%
Ravan Baku	77.00%	23.00%
Turan	66.00%	34.00%
Sumgayit	45.00%	55.00%
Kapaz	20.00%	80.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team	Same level	Lost relegation playoff
Baku	100%	—
Gabala	100%	—
Inter Baku	100%	—
Neftchi Baku	100%	—
Qarabag	100%	—
Simurq Zaqatala	100%	—
AZAL	99.82%	0.18%
Khazar Lankaran	99.67%	0.33%
Turan	72.31%	27.69%
Ravan Baku	72.23%	27.77%
Sumgayit	55.66%	44.34%
Kapaz	0.31%	99.69%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2012-08-04	Gabala	D 1-1	56.5	1330	1475	24.54%	26.98%	48.48%	-0.51	+1.7	1
2012-08-04	@ Simurq Zaqatala	D 1-1	56.5	1475	1330	48.48%	26.98%	24.54%	+0.51	-1.7	1
2012-08-04	AZAL	D 2-2	60.6	1325	1416	30.97%	27.52%	41.51%	-0.22	+0.5	1
2012-08-04	@ Sumgayit	D 2-2	60.6	1416	1325	41.51%	27.52%	30.97%	+0.22	-0.5	1
2012-08-04	Turan	L 1-2	50.9	1333	1338	42.80%	27.45%	29.75%	+0.25	-13.7	0
2012-08-04	@ Kapaz	W 2-1	50.9	1338	1333	29.75%	27.45%	42.80%	-0.25	+13.6	3
2012-08-05	Khazar Lankaran	D 1-1	58.6	1377	1508	26.06%	27.16%	46.78%	-0.43	+1.5	1
2012-08-05	@ Ravan Baku	D 1-1	58.6	1508	1377	46.78%	27.16%	26.06%	+0.43	-1.5	1
2012-08-05	Qarabag	D 1-1	60.6	1462	1485	40.31%	27.56%	32.12%	+0.15	-0.5	1
2012-08-05	@ Inter Baku	D 1-1	60.6	1485	1462	32.12%	27.56%	40.31%	-0.15	+0.6	1
2012-08-10	Kapaz	W 4-0	32.4	1507	1319	64.01%	23.53%	12.47%	+1.30	+18.2	4
2012-08-10	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 0-4	32.4	1319	1507	12.47%	23.53%	64.01%	-1.30	-18.2	0
2012-08-10	Inter Baku	W 1-0	46.7	1473	1461	45.18%	27.29%	27.53%	+0.34	+10.4	4
2012-08-10	@ Gabala	L 0-1	46.7	1461	1473	27.53%	27.29%	45.18%	-0.34	-10.4	1
2012-08-10	Simurq Zaqatala	D 0-0	51.6	1451	1332	57.54%	25.42%	17.03%	+0.92	-3.4	1
2012-08-10	@ Baku	D 0-0	51.6	1332	1451	17.03%	25.42%	57.54%	-0.92	+3.4	2
2012-08-11	Neftchi Baku	W 1-0	51.1	1486	1518	39.14%	27.59%	33.27%	+0.10	+12.0	4
2012-08-11	@ Qarabag	L 0-1	51.1	1518	1486	33.27%	27.59%	39.14%	-0.10	-12.0	0
2012-08-11	Ravan Baku	W 3-1	44.0	1416	1379	48.33%	27.00%	24.67%	+0.48	+15.5	4
2012-08-11	@ AZAL	L 1-3	44.0	1379	1416	24.67%	27.00%	48.33%	-0.48	-15.5	1
2012-08-11	Sumgayit	L 0-1	46.6	1352	1326	46.99%	27.14%	25.87%	+0.42	-15.6	3
2012-08-11	@ Turan	W 1-0	46.6	1326	1352	25.87%	27.14%	46.99%	-0.42	+15.6	4
2012-08-18	Baku	D 1-1	56.4	1363	1448	31.84%	27.55%	40.61%	-0.18	+0.6	2
2012-08-18	@ Ravan Baku	D 1-1	56.4	1448	1363	40.61%	27.55%	31.84%	+0.18	-0.6	2
2012-08-18	Gabala	W 3-0	43.3	1506	1484	46.55%	27.18%	26.27%	+0.40	+27.4	3
2012-08-18	@ Neftchi Baku	L 0-3	43.3	1484	1506	26.27%	27.18%	46.55%	-0.40	-27.4	4
2012-08-18	AZAL	L 0-2	37.9	1301	1431	26.12%	27.16%	46.72%	-0.43	-18.8	0
2012-08-18	@ Kapaz	W 2-0	37.9	1431	1301	46.72%	27.16%	26.12%	+0.43	+18.8	7
2012-08-18	Turan	W 3-0	36.2	1335	1336	43.42%	27.42%	29.16%	+0.27	+29.7	5
2012-08-18	@ Simurq Zaqatala	L 0-3	36.2	1336	1335	29.16%	27.42%	43.42%	-0.27	-29.7	3
2012-08-19	Khazar Lankaran	D 0-0	56.8	1451	1525	33.20%	27.59%	39.21%	-0.13	+0.5	2
2012-08-19	@ Inter Baku	D 0-0	56.8	1525	1451	39.21%	27.59%	33.20%	+0.13	-0.5	5
2012-08-19	Qarabag	L 1-6	39.7	1341	1498	23.25%	26.80%	49.95%	-0.57	-33.1	4
2012-08-19	@ Sumgayit	W 6-1	39.7	1498	1341	49.95%	26.80%	23.25%	+0.57	+33.1	7
2012-08-24	Ravan Baku	D 0-0	55.0	1531	1364	62.20%	24.13%	13.67%	+1.19	-4.1	8
2012-08-24	@ Qarabag	D 0-0	55.0	1364	1531	13.67%	24.13%	62.20%	-1.19	+4.1	3
2012-08-25	Inter Baku	L 2-3	51.2	1307	1451	24.57%	26.99%	48.44%	-0.51	-8.5	3
2012-08-25	@ Turan	W 3-2	51.2	1451	1307	48.44%	26.99%	24.57%	+0.51	+8.5	5
2012-08-26	Kapaz	W 3-1	38.7	1447	1282	61.98%	24.20%	13.82%	+1.17	+9.2	5
2012-08-26	@ Baku	L 1-3	38.7	1282	1447	13.82%	24.20%	61.98%	-1.17	-9.2	0
2012-08-26	Sumgayit	W 4-1	37.1	1456	1308	60.39%	24.68%	14.93%	+1.08	+14.1	7
2012-08-26	@ Gabala	L 1-4	37.1	1308	1456	14.93%	24.68%	60.39%	-1.08	-14.1	4
2012-09-14	Turan	D 1-1	56.2	1456	1298	61.33%	24.40%	14.27%	+1.13	-3.6	6
2012-09-14	@ Baku	D 1-1	56.2	1298	1456	14.27%	24.40%	61.33%	-1.13	+3.6	4
2012-09-15	Gabala	W 1-0	49.4	1273	1470	19.33%	26.05%	54.61%	-0.80	+17.8	3
2012-09-15	@ Kapaz	L 0-1	49.4	1470	1273	54.61%	26.05%	19.33%	+0.80	-17.8	7
2012-09-15	Khazar Lankaran	W 2-1	57.0	1534	1525	44.79%	27.32%	27.88%	+0.33	+9.9	6
2012-09-15	@ Neftchi Baku	L 1-2	57.0	1525	1534	27.88%	27.32%	44.79%	-0.33	-9.9	5
2012-09-15	Simurq Zaqatala	L 0-2	43.3	1368	1365	43.94%	27.38%	28.68%	+0.29	-27.9	3
2012-09-15	@ Ravan Baku	W 2-0	43.3	1365	1368	28.68%	27.38%	43.94%	-0.29	+27.9	8
2012-09-15	Sumgayit	W 1-0	36.8	1460	1294	62.01%	24.19%	13.80%	+1.17	+5.6	8
2012-09-15	@ Inter Baku	L 0-1	36.8	1294	1460	13.80%	24.19%	62.01%	-1.17	-5.7	4
2012-09-16	AZAL	L 2-6	55.2	1527	1450	53.04%	26.34%	20.62%	+0.69	-43.8	8
2012-09-16	@ Qarabag	W 6-2	55.2	1450	1527	20.62%	26.34%	53.04%	-0.69	+43.8	10
2012-09-20	Simurq Zaqatala	L 0-2	51.1	1515	1393	57.82%	25.36%	16.82%	+0.94	-35.2	5
2012-09-20	@ Khazar Lankaran	W 2-0	51.1	1393	1515	16.82%	25.36%	57.82%	-0.94	+35.2	11
2012-09-23	Qarabag	L 0-1	40.2	1302	1483	20.80%	26.38%	52.82%	-0.71	-8.2	4
2012-09-23	@ Turan	W 1-0	40.2	1483	1302	52.82%	26.38%	20.80%	+0.71	+8.2	11
2012-09-23	Inter Baku	D 0-0	56.3	1494	1465	47.29%	27.11%	25.61%	+0.43	-1.7	11
2012-09-23	@ AZAL	D 0-0	56.3	1465	1494	25.61%	27.11%	47.29%	-0.43	+1.7	9
2012-09-24	Kapaz	W 2-1	42.6	1428	1291	59.40%	24.95%	15.65%	+1.02	+6.0	14
2012-09-24	@ Simurq Zaqatala	L 1-2	42.6	1291	1428	15.65%	24.95%	59.40%	-1.02	-6.0	3
2012-09-24	Neftchi Baku	W 3-2	62.9	1289	1544	14.87%	24.65%	60.48%	-1.11	+17.4	7
2012-09-24	@ Sumgayit	L 2-3	62.9	1544	1289	60.48%	24.65%	14.87%	+1.11	-17.4	6
2012-09-24	Ravan Baku	L 1-3	53.2	1452	1340	56.88%	25.58%	17.54%	+0.89	-30.1	7
2012-09-24	@ Gabala	W 3-1	53.2	1340	1452	17.54%	25.58%	56.88%	-0.89	+30.1	6
2012-09-29	Khazar Lankaran	W 2-1	55.2	1294	1479	20.38%	26.29%	53.33%	-0.73	+16.4	7
2012-09-29	@ Turan	L 1-2	55.2	1479	1294	53.33%	26.29%	20.38%	+0.73	-16.4	5
2012-09-29	Qarabag	D 0-0	55.0	1434	1491	35.60%	27.63%	36.77%	-0.03	+0.1	15
2012-09-29	@ Simurq Zaqatala	D 0-0	55.0	1491	1434	36.77%	27.63%	35.60%	+0.03	-0.1	12
2012-09-29	AZAL	D 0-0	54.6	1422	1492	33.85%	27.61%	38.55%	-0.10	+0.3	8
2012-09-29	@ Gabala	D 0-0	54.6	1492	1422	38.55%	27.61%	33.85%	+0.10	-0.4	12
2012-09-30	Baku	W 1-0	48.2	1306	1453	24.31%	26.95%	48.74%	-0.52	+16.1	10
2012-09-30	@ Sumgayit	L 0-1	48.2	1453	1306	48.74%	26.95%	24.31%	+0.52	-16.1	6
2012-09-30	Kapaz	L 1-2	53.7	1370	1285	53.99%	26.17%	19.84%	+0.74	-16.6	6
2012-09-30	@ Ravan Baku	W 2-1	53.7	1285	1370	19.84%	26.17%	53.99%	-0.74	+16.6	6
2012-10-03	Khazar Lankaran	L 0-2	50.2	1492	1463	47.29%	27.11%	25.60%	+0.43	-29.6	12
2012-10-03	@ AZAL	W 2-0	50.2	1463	1492	25.60%	27.11%	47.29%	-0.43	+29.6	8
2012-10-04	Gabala	D 1-1	57.8	1437	1423	45.38%	27.28%	27.34%	+0.35	-1.2	7
2012-10-04	@ Baku	D 1-1	57.8	1423	1437	27.34%	27.28%	45.38%	-0.35	+1.2	9
2012-10-04	Qarabag	D 0-0	51.6	1301	1491	19.98%	26.20%	53.82%	-0.76	+2.8	7
2012-10-04	@ Kapaz	D 0-0	51.6	1491	1301	53.82%	26.20%	19.98%	+0.76	-2.8	13
2012-10-04	Inter Baku	L 0-2	40.3	1353	1467	28.15%	27.34%	44.51%	-0.34	-19.9	6
2012-10-04	@ Ravan Baku	W 2-0	40.3	1467	1353	44.51%	27.34%	28.15%	+0.34	+19.9	12
2012-10-04	Sumgayit	W 1-0	38.4	1434	1322	56.85%	25.58%	17.56%	+0.89	+7.1	18
2012-10-04	@ Simurq Zaqatala	L 0-1	38.4	1322	1434	17.56%	25.58%	56.85%	-0.89	-7.1	10
2012-10-08	Turan	W 2-1	42.9	1526	1310	66.42%	22.62%	10.96%	+1.45	+4.2	9
2012-10-08	@ Neftchi Baku	L 1-2	42.9	1310	1526	10.96%	22.62%	66.42%	-1.45	-4.2	7
2012-10-19	Kapaz	W 4-1	36.6	1531	1304	67.25%	22.29%	10.46%	+1.51	+9.8	12
2012-10-19	@ Neftchi Baku	L 1-4	36.6	1304	1531	10.46%	22.29%	67.25%	-1.51	-9.8	7
2012-10-20	Baku	D 1-1	60.0	1489	1435	50.30%	26.76%	22.95%	+0.57	-2.0	14
2012-10-20	@ Qarabag	D 1-1	60.0	1435	1489	22.95%	26.76%	50.30%	-0.57	+2.0	8
2012-10-20	AZAL	W 1-0	48.7	1306	1462	23.28%	26.81%	49.91%	-0.57	+16.4	10
2012-10-20	@ Turan	L 0-1	48.7	1462	1306	49.91%	26.81%	23.28%	+0.57	-16.4	12
2012-10-20	Simurq Zaqatala	W 1-0	45.3	1487	1441	49.35%	26.88%	23.77%	+0.52	+9.2	15
2012-10-20	@ Inter Baku	L 0-1	45.3	1441	1487	23.77%	26.88%	49.35%	-0.52	-9.2	18
2012-10-21	Gabala	D 1-1	59.8	1493	1424	52.09%	26.49%	21.41%	+0.65	-2.2	9
2012-10-21	@ Khazar Lankaran	D 1-1	59.8	1424	1493	21.41%	26.49%	52.09%	-0.65	+2.2	10
2012-10-21	Ravan Baku	L 0-1	44.6	1315	1334	41.05%	27.53%	31.41%	+0.18	-14.0	10
2012-10-21	@ Sumgayit	W 1-0	44.6	1334	1315	31.41%	27.53%	41.05%	-0.18	+14.0	9
2012-10-26	Inter Baku	D 0-0	55.2	1437	1496	35.39%	27.63%	36.99%	-0.04	+0.1	9
2012-10-26	@ Baku	D 0-0	55.2	1496	1437	36.99%	27.63%	35.39%	+0.04	-0.1	16
2012-10-26	AZAL	D 1-1	58.3	1432	1446	41.74%	27.50%	30.76%	+0.20	-0.8	19
2012-10-26	@ Simurq Zaqatala	D 1-1	58.3	1446	1432	30.76%	27.50%	41.74%	-0.20	+0.8	13
2012-10-26	Sumgayit	D 0-0	48.6	1294	1301	42.65%	27.46%	29.89%	+0.24	-1.0	8
2012-10-26	@ Kapaz	D 0-0	48.6	1301	1294	29.89%	27.46%	42.65%	-0.24	+1.0	11
2012-10-27	Qarabag	W 2-0	45.4	1490	1487	44.08%	27.37%	28.55%	+0.30	+20.1	12
2012-10-27	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 0-2	45.4	1487	1490	28.55%	27.37%	44.08%	-0.30	-20.1	14
2012-10-27	Turan	L 0-1	49.9	1426	1322	55.99%	25.77%	18.23%	+0.84	-18.2	10
2012-10-27	@ Gabala	W 1-0	49.9	1322	1426	18.23%	25.77%	55.99%	-0.84	+18.2	13
2012-10-28	Neftchi Baku	W 2-0	49.6	1348	1540	19.75%	26.15%	54.10%	-0.77	+33.2	12
2012-10-28	@ Ravan Baku	L 0-2	49.6	1540	1348	54.10%	26.15%	19.75%	+0.77	-33.2	12
2012-10-30	Baku	W 2-1	50.7	1446	1437	44.78%	27.33%	27.90%	+0.33	+9.9	16
2012-10-30	@ AZAL	L 1-2	50.7	1437	1446	27.90%	27.33%	44.78%	-0.33	-9.9	9
2012-10-30	Kapaz	W 3-1	38.8	1496	1293	65.29%	23.06%	11.65%	+1.38	+7.8	19
2012-10-30	@ Inter Baku	L 1-3	38.8	1293	1496	11.65%	23.06%	65.29%	-1.38	-7.8	8
2012-10-31	Gabala	L 1-2	57.1	1466	1408	50.90%	26.67%	22.43%	+0.59	-15.8	14
2012-10-31	@ Qarabag	W 2-1	57.1	1408	1466	22.43%	26.67%	50.90%	-0.59	+15.8	13
2012-10-31	Khazar Lankaran	D 1-1	57.0	1302	1511	18.37%	25.81%	55.82%	-0.86	+2.8	12
2012-10-31	@ Sumgayit	D 1-1	57.0	1511	1302	55.82%	25.81%	18.37%	+0.86	-2.8	13
2012-10-31	Ravan Baku	D 2-2	60.2	1340	1381	38.01%	27.61%	34.38%	+0.06	-0.2	14
2012-10-31	@ Turan	D 2-2	60.2	1381	1340	34.38%	27.61%	38.01%	-0.06	+0.2	13
2012-10-31	Simurq Zaqatala	W 2-1	50.1	1507	1431	52.90%	26.36%	20.74%	+0.69	+7.8	15
2012-10-31	@ Neftchi Baku	L 1-2	50.1	1431	1507	20.74%	26.36%	52.90%	-0.69	-7.8	19
2012-11-03	Baku	D 0-0	49.9	1285	1427	24.81%	27.01%	48.18%	-0.49	+1.9	9
2012-11-03	@ Kapaz	D 0-0	49.9	1427	1285	48.18%	27.01%	24.81%	+0.49	-1.8	10
2012-11-03	Neftchi Baku	W 2-1	56.7	1424	1515	30.98%	27.52%	41.51%	-0.22	+13.3	16
2012-11-03	@ Gabala	L 1-2	56.7	1515	1424	41.51%	27.52%	30.98%	+0.22	-13.3	15
2012-11-04	Ravan Baku	W 4-0	35.9	1508	1381	58.34%	25.23%	16.43%	+0.97	+23.9	16
2012-11-04	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 0-4	35.9	1381	1508	16.43%	25.23%	58.34%	-0.97	-23.9	13
2012-11-04	Inter Baku	D 0-0	52.0	1305	1504	19.20%	26.02%	54.78%	-0.80	+2.9	13
2012-11-04	@ Sumgayit	D 0-0	52.0	1504	1305	54.78%	26.02%	19.20%	+0.80	-2.9	20
2012-11-04	AZAL	W 2-0	43.3	1451	1456	42.82%	27.45%	29.73%	+0.25	+20.8	17
2012-11-04	@ Qarabag	L 0-2	43.3	1456	1451	29.73%	27.45%	42.82%	-0.25	-20.8	16
2012-11-04	Simurq Zaqatala	D 1-1	55.5	1340	1424	31.98%	27.56%	40.47%	-0.18	+0.6	15
2012-11-04	@ Turan	D 1-1	55.5	1424	1340	40.47%	27.56%	31.98%	+0.18	-0.6	20
2012-11-17	Sumgayit	W 8-1	34.4	1502	1308	64.54%	23.33%	12.12%	+1.33	+24.7	18
2012-11-17	@ Neftchi Baku	L 1-8	34.4	1308	1502	12.12%	23.33%	64.54%	-1.33	-24.7	13
2012-11-18	Khazar Lankaran	W 2-0	49.2	1426	1532	29.05%	27.41%	43.54%	-0.30	+27.7	13
2012-11-18	@ Baku	L 0-2	49.2	1532	1426	43.54%	27.41%	29.05%	+0.30	-27.7	16
2012-11-18	Simurq Zaqatala	W 2-1	49.6	1472	1423	49.72%	26.83%	23.45%	+0.54	+8.6	20
2012-11-18	@ Qarabag	L 1-2	49.6	1423	1472	23.45%	26.83%	49.72%	-0.54	-8.6	20
2012-11-18	Turan	W 2-0	35.7	1501	1341	61.52%	24.35%	14.14%	+1.15	+10.9	23
2012-11-18	@ Inter Baku	L 0-2	35.7	1341	1501	14.14%	24.35%	61.52%	-1.15	-10.9	15
2012-11-19	Kapaz	W 2-0	33.6	1437	1287	60.59%	24.62%	14.79%	+1.09	+11.4	19
2012-11-19	@ Gabala	L 0-2	33.6	1287	1437	14.79%	24.62%	60.59%	-1.09	-11.4	9
2012-11-19	AZAL	W 1-0	46.4	1357	1436	32.64%	27.58%	39.79%	-0.15	+13.7	16
2012-11-19	@ Ravan Baku	L 0-1	46.4	1436	1357	39.79%	27.58%	32.64%	+0.15	-13.7	16
2012-11-24	Khazar Lankaran	L 0-1	38.6	1276	1504	16.81%	25.35%	57.84%	-0.96	-6.8	9
2012-11-24	@ Kapaz	W 1-0	38.6	1504	1276	57.84%	25.35%	16.81%	+0.96	+6.8	19
2012-11-24	Inter Baku	W 1-0	50.9	1414	1512	30.18%	27.48%	42.34%	-0.25	+14.3	23
2012-11-24	@ Simurq Zaqatala	L 0-1	50.9	1512	1414	42.34%	27.48%	30.18%	+0.25	-14.3	23
2012-11-24	Turan	D 1-1	57.3	1480	1330	60.61%	24.62%	14.77%	+1.09	-3.5	21
2012-11-24	@ Qarabag	D 1-1	57.3	1330	1480	14.77%	24.62%	60.61%	-1.09	+3.5	16
2012-11-25	Gabala	L 1-3	47.2	1371	1449	32.74%	27.58%	39.68%	-0.15	-19.3	16
2012-11-25	@ Ravan Baku	W 3-1	47.2	1449	1371	39.68%	27.58%	32.74%	+0.15	+19.3	22
2012-11-25	Neftchi Baku	L 1-2	55.8	1453	1526	33.40%	27.60%	39.00%	-0.12	-11.3	13
2012-11-25	@ Baku	W 2-1	55.8	1526	1453	39.00%	27.60%	33.40%	+0.12	+11.3	21
2012-11-25	Sumgayit	D 1-1	55.3	1422	1283	59.54%	24.92%	15.54%	+1.03	-3.3	17
2012-11-25	@ AZAL	D 1-1	55.3	1283	1422	15.54%	24.92%	59.54%	-1.03	+3.3	14
2012-12-02	Baku	L 0-2	48.5	1468	1442	46.94%	27.14%	25.92%	+0.42	-29.4	22
2012-12-02	@ Gabala	W 2-0	48.5	1442	1468	25.92%	27.14%	46.94%	-0.42	+29.4	16
2012-12-02	Kapaz	W 5-1	36.3	1333	1269	51.60%	26.57%	21.83%	+0.63	+25.6	19
2012-12-02	@ Turan	L 1-5	36.3	1269	1333	21.83%	26.57%	51.60%	-0.63	-25.6	9
2012-12-02	Qarabag	L 0-1	56.6	1538	1477	51.20%	26.63%	22.17%	+0.61	-16.8	21
2012-12-02	@ Neftchi Baku	W 1-0	56.6	1477	1538	22.17%	26.63%	51.20%	-0.61	+16.8	24
2012-12-02	Ravan Baku	W 2-0	36.3	1497	1351	60.19%	24.73%	15.07%	+1.07	+11.6	26
2012-12-02	@ Inter Baku	L 0-2	36.3	1351	1497	15.07%	24.73%	60.19%	-1.07	-11.6	16
2012-12-02	Simurq Zaqatala	L 0-1	40.3	1286	1429	24.75%	27.01%	48.24%	-0.50	-9.5	14
2012-12-02	@ Sumgayit	W 1-0	40.3	1429	1286	48.24%	27.01%	24.75%	+0.50	+9.5	26
2012-12-03	AZAL	L 1-2	59.9	1511	1419	54.73%	26.03%	19.24%	+0.78	-16.8	19
2012-12-03	@ Khazar Lankaran	W 2-1	59.9	1419	1511	19.24%	26.03%	54.73%	-0.78	+16.8	20
2012-12-06	Baku	D 1-1	61.4	1494	1471	46.53%	27.18%	26.29%	+0.40	-1.4	20
2012-12-06	@ Khazar Lankaran	D 1-1	61.4	1471	1494	26.29%	27.18%	46.53%	-0.40	+1.4	17
2012-12-07	Kapaz	W 3-1	36.7	1493	1243	69.08%	21.50%	9.42%	+1.63	+6.2	27
2012-12-07	@ Qarabag	L 1-3	36.7	1243	1493	9.42%	21.50%	69.08%	-1.63	-6.2	9
2012-12-08	Gabala	L 0-1	39.6	1277	1438	22.72%	26.72%	50.56%	-0.60	-8.9	14
2012-12-08	@ Sumgayit	W 1-0	39.6	1438	1277	50.56%	26.72%	22.72%	+0.60	+8.9	25
2012-12-09	AZAL	D 0-0	56.0	1509	1435	52.65%	26.40%	20.95%	+0.68	-2.6	27
2012-12-09	@ Inter Baku	D 0-0	56.0	1435	1509	20.95%	26.40%	52.65%	-0.68	+2.6	21
2012-12-10	Khazar Lankaran	D 2-2	65.5	1438	1493	36.02%	27.63%	36.35%	-0.02	+0.0	27
2012-12-10	@ Simurq Zaqatala	D 2-2	65.5	1493	1438	36.35%	27.63%	36.02%	+0.02	-0.0	21
2012-12-10	Ravan Baku	W 2-0	35.7	1521	1340	63.42%	23.73%	12.85%	+1.26	+9.9	24
2012-12-10	@ Neftchi Baku	L 0-2	35.7	1340	1521	12.85%	23.73%	63.42%	-1.26	-9.9	16
2012-12-14	Neftchi Baku	W 2-1	57.6	1493	1531	38.34%	27.61%	34.05%	+0.07	+11.5	24
2012-12-14	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 1-2	57.6	1531	1493	34.05%	27.61%	38.34%	-0.07	-11.5	24
2012-12-15	Qarabag	D 0-0	56.7	1473	1500	39.92%	27.57%	32.51%	+0.13	-0.6	18
2012-12-15	@ Baku	D 0-0	56.7	1500	1473	32.51%	27.57%	39.92%	-0.13	+0.6	28
2012-12-15	Inter Baku	L 0-2	33.5	1237	1506	13.95%	24.26%	61.78%	-1.18	-10.8	9
2012-12-15	@ Kapaz	W 2-0	33.5	1506	1237	61.78%	24.26%	13.95%	+1.18	+10.8	30
2012-12-15	Turan	D 0-0	51.7	1438	1359	53.27%	26.30%	20.43%	+0.71	-2.7	22
2012-12-15	@ AZAL	D 0-0	51.7	1359	1438	20.43%	26.30%	53.27%	-0.71	+2.7	20
2012-12-16	Simurq Zaqatala	L 0-1	50.3	1447	1438	44.76%	27.33%	27.91%	+0.33	-15.0	25
2012-12-16	@ Gabala	W 1-0	50.3	1438	1447	27.91%	27.33%	44.76%	-0.33	+15.0	30
2012-12-16	Sumgayit	L 2-3	57.2	1330	1268	51.34%	26.61%	22.05%	+0.61	-15.1	16
2012-12-16	@ Ravan Baku	W 3-2	57.2	1268	1330	22.05%	26.61%	51.34%	-0.61	+15.0	17
2012-12-18	Baku	D 1-1	62.4	1519	1472	49.54%	26.85%	23.61%	+0.53	-1.8	25
2012-12-18	@ Neftchi Baku	D 1-1	62.4	1472	1519	23.61%	26.85%	49.54%	-0.53	+1.8	19
2012-12-20	Gabala	L 0-2	41.4	1362	1432	33.71%	27.60%	38.69%	-0.11	-22.8	20
2012-12-20	@ Turan	W 2-0	41.4	1432	1362	38.69%	27.60%	33.71%	+0.11	+22.8	28
2012-12-20	Kapaz	W 2-1	43.5	1283	1226	50.67%	26.71%	22.62%	+0.58	+8.4	20
2012-12-20	@ Sumgayit	L 1-2	43.5	1226	1283	22.62%	26.71%	50.67%	-0.58	-8.4	9
2012-12-20	Khazar Lankaran	W 1-0	50.0	1500	1504	43.04%	27.44%	29.52%	+0.26	+11.0	31
2012-12-20	@ Qarabag	L 0-1	50.0	1504	1500	29.52%	27.44%	43.04%	-0.26	-11.0	24
2012-12-20	Ravan Baku	W 3-0	32.8	1453	1315	59.49%	24.93%	15.58%	+1.03	+17.4	33
2012-12-20	@ Simurq Zaqatala	L 0-3	32.8	1315	1453	15.58%	24.93%	59.49%	-1.03	-17.4	16
2012-12-22	Baku	W 1-0	47.7	1517	1474	49.05%	26.91%	24.03%	+0.51	+9.3	33
2012-12-22	@ Inter Baku	L 0-1	47.7	1474	1517	24.03%	26.91%	49.05%	-0.51	-9.3	19
2012-12-22	AZAL	W 4-2	50.6	1517	1435	53.61%	26.24%	20.15%	+0.72	+11.7	28
2012-12-22	@ Neftchi Baku	L 2-4	50.6	1435	1517	20.15%	26.24%	53.61%	-0.72	-11.7	22
2012-12-25	Neftchi Baku	D 1-1	64.6	1526	1529	43.21%	27.43%	29.36%	+0.26	-0.9	34
2012-12-25	@ Inter Baku	D 1-1	64.6	1529	1526	29.36%	27.43%	43.21%	-0.26	+1.0	29
2013-02-09	Neftchi Baku	L 0-3	30.6	1218	1530	11.50%	22.97%	65.54%	-1.42	-12.8	9
2013-02-09	@ Kapaz	W 3-0	30.6	1530	1218	65.54%	22.97%	11.50%	+1.42	+12.8	32
2013-02-09	Simurq Zaqatala	D 1-1	58.8	1424	1471	37.04%	27.62%	35.33%	+0.02	-0.1	23
2013-02-09	@ AZAL	D 1-1	58.8	1471	1424	35.33%	27.62%	37.04%	-0.02	+0.1	34
2013-02-09	Turan	W 2-0	39.4	1297	1339	37.87%	27.62%	34.51%	+0.05	+23.2	19
2013-02-09	@ Ravan Baku	L 0-2	39.4	1339	1297	34.51%	27.62%	37.87%	-0.05	-23.2	20
2013-02-10	Qarabag	D 1-1	61.3	1455	1511	35.79%	27.63%	36.59%	-0.03	+0.0	29
2013-02-10	@ Gabala	D 1-1	61.3	1511	1455	36.59%	27.63%	35.79%	+0.03	-0.1	32
2013-02-10	Sumgayit	D 1-1	56.4	1465	1291	62.76%	23.95%	13.29%	+1.22	-3.8	20
2013-02-10	@ Baku	D 1-1	56.4	1291	1465	13.29%	23.95%	62.76%	-1.22	+3.8	21
2013-02-11	Inter Baku	L 2-3	63.6	1493	1525	39.16%	27.59%	33.25%	+0.10	-12.1	24
2013-02-11	@ Khazar Lankaran	W 3-2	63.6	1525	1493	33.25%	27.59%	39.16%	-0.10	+12.1	37
2013-02-13	Baku	L 0-4	35.9	1316	1461	24.45%	26.97%	48.58%	-0.51	-33.8	20
2013-02-13	@ Turan	W 4-0	35.9	1461	1316	48.58%	26.97%	24.45%	+0.51	+33.8	23
2013-02-13	Neftchi Baku	L 1-2	53.4	1423	1543	27.42%	27.29%	45.29%	-0.37	-9.8	23
2013-02-13	@ AZAL	W 2-1	53.4	1543	1423	45.29%	27.29%	27.42%	+0.37	+9.8	35
2013-02-16	Ravan Baku	L 0-2	36.6	1205	1321	27.90%	27.32%	44.78%	-0.35	-19.8	9
2013-02-16	@ Kapaz	W 2-0	36.6	1321	1205	44.78%	27.32%	27.90%	+0.35	+19.8	22
2013-02-16	AZAL	W 2-0	40.2	1495	1414	53.50%	26.26%	20.24%	+0.72	+15.2	26
2013-02-16	@ Baku	L 0-2	40.2	1414	1495	20.24%	26.26%	53.50%	-0.72	-15.2	23
2013-02-16	Sumgayit	W 3-0	31.5	1511	1295	66.40%	22.63%	10.97%	+1.45	+12.2	35
2013-02-16	@ Qarabag	L 0-3	31.5	1295	1511	10.97%	22.63%	66.40%	-1.45	-12.2	21
2013-02-17	Gabala	W 2-1	51.9	1538	1455	53.63%	26.24%	20.13%	+0.72	+7.6	40
2013-02-17	@ Inter Baku	L 1-2	51.9	1455	1538	20.13%	26.24%	53.63%	-0.72	-7.6	29
2013-02-17	Neftchi Baku	L 0-2	48.3	1471	1553	32.21%	27.56%	40.23%	-0.17	-22.1	34
2013-02-17	@ Simurq Zaqatala	W 2-0	48.3	1553	1471	40.23%	27.56%	32.21%	+0.17	+22.1	38
2013-02-17	Turan	W 4-2	41.9	1481	1282	65.00%	23.17%	11.83%	+1.36	+7.1	27
2013-02-17	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 2-4	41.9	1282	1481	11.83%	23.17%	65.00%	-1.36	-7.1	20
2013-02-22	Baku	D 0-0	56.2	1449	1510	35.05%	27.62%	37.33%	-0.05	+0.2	35
2013-02-22	@ Simurq Zaqatala	D 0-0	56.2	1510	1449	37.33%	27.62%	35.05%	+0.05	-0.2	27
2013-02-22	Qarabag	L 2-3	52.3	1340	1523	20.66%	26.35%	52.99%	-0.72	-7.3	22
2013-02-22	@ Ravan Baku	W 3-2	52.3	1523	1340	52.99%	26.35%	20.66%	+0.72	+7.3	38
2013-02-23	Kapaz	W 3-0	28.7	1399	1185	66.15%	22.73%	11.12%	+1.43	+12.4	26
2013-02-23	@ AZAL	L 0-3	28.7	1185	1399	11.12%	22.73%	66.15%	-1.43	-12.4	9
2013-02-23	Khazar Lankaran	W 2-0	45.7	1448	1488	38.00%	27.61%	34.39%	+0.06	+23.2	32
2013-02-23	@ Gabala	L 0-2	45.7	1488	1448	34.39%	27.61%	38.00%	-0.06	-23.2	27
2013-02-23	Inter Baku	W 2-0	49.5	1575	1545	47.41%	27.10%	25.50%	+0.44	+18.4	41
2013-02-23	@ Neftchi Baku	L 0-2	49.5	1545	1575	25.50%	27.10%	47.41%	-0.44	-18.4	40
2013-02-24	Turan	L 0-1	45.0	1283	1275	44.62%	27.34%	28.04%	+0.32	-15.0	21
2013-02-24	@ Sumgayit	W 1-0	45.0	1275	1283	28.04%	27.34%	44.62%	-0.32	+15.0	23
2013-03-03	Gabala	W 6-1	45.4	1411	1471	35.22%	27.62%	37.16%	-0.05	+47.5	29
2013-03-03	@ AZAL	L 1-6	45.4	1471	1411	37.16%	27.62%	35.22%	+0.05	-47.5	32
2013-03-03	Neftchi Baku	L 2-3	49.3	1290	1593	11.95%	23.24%	64.81%	-1.37	-4.4	23
2013-03-03	@ Turan	W 3-2	49.3	1593	1290	64.81%	23.24%	11.95%	+1.37	+4.4	44
2013-03-03	Ravan Baku	W 2-1	44.1	1510	1333	63.04%	23.86%	13.10%	+1.24	+5.0	30
2013-03-03	@ Baku	L 1-2	44.1	1333	1510	13.10%	23.86%	63.04%	-1.24	-5.0	22
2013-03-03	Inter Baku	D 0-0	59.9	1531	1527	44.10%	27.37%	28.53%	+0.30	-1.2	39
2013-03-03	@ Qarabag	D 0-0	59.9	1527	1531	28.53%	27.37%	44.10%	-0.30	+1.2	41
2013-03-03	Simurq Zaqatala	D 1-1	54.7	1173	1449	13.53%	24.07%	62.40%	-1.22	+3.7	10
2013-03-03	@ Kapaz	D 1-1	54.7	1449	1173	62.40%	24.07%	13.53%	+1.22	-3.7	36
2013-03-03	Sumgayit	D 2-2	61.7	1465	1268	64.82%	23.23%	11.94%	+1.35	-3.0	28
2013-03-03	@ Khazar Lankaran	D 2-2	61.7	1268	1465	11.94%	23.23%	64.82%	-1.35	+3.0	22

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2013-03-11	Turan	W 4-0	35.5	1271	1285	41.61%	27.51%	30.88%	+0.20	+40.6	3
2013-03-11	@ Sumgayit	L 0-4	35.5	1285	1271	30.88%	27.51%	41.61%	-0.20	-40.6	0
2013-03-12	Khazar Lankaran	W 1-0	48.4	1328	1462	25.73%	27.12%	47.15%	-0.45	+15.7	3
2013-03-12	@ Ravan Baku	L 0-1	48.4	1462	1328	47.15%	27.12%	25.73%	+0.45	-15.7	0
2013-03-12	Neftchi Baku	D 1-1	66.5	1515	1597	32.09%	27.56%	40.35%	-0.17	+0.6	1
2013-03-12	@ Baku	D 1-1	66.5	1597	1515	40.35%	27.56%	32.09%	+0.17	-0.6	1
2013-03-12	Qarabag	W 1-0	52.2	1445	1529	31.88%	27.55%	40.57%	-0.18	+13.9	3
2013-03-12	@ Simurq Zaqatala	L 0-1	52.2	1529	1445	40.57%	27.55%	31.88%	+0.18	-13.9	0
2013-03-13	Inter Baku	L 1-2	53.5	1423	1528	29.25%	27.42%	43.33%	-0.29	-10.3	0
2013-03-13	@ Gabala	W 2-1	53.5	1528	1423	43.33%	27.42%	29.25%	+0.29	+10.3	3
2013-03-13	AZAL	L 1-3	37.3	1177	1458	13.19%	23.90%	62.91%	-1.25	-8.8	0
2013-03-13	@ Kapaz	W 3-1	37.3	1458	1177	62.91%	23.90%	13.19%	+1.25	+8.8	3
2013-03-30	Baku	L 0-1	50.8	1459	1515	35.74%	27.63%	36.63%	-0.03	-12.6	3
2013-03-30	@ Simurq Zaqatala	W 1-0	50.8	1515	1459	36.63%	27.63%	35.74%	+0.03	+12.6	4
2013-03-30	Gabala	W 1-0	43.3	1516	1413	55.82%	25.81%	18.37%	+0.83	+7.4	3
2013-03-30	@ Qarabag	L 0-1	43.3	1413	1516	18.37%	25.81%	55.82%	-0.83	-7.4	0
2013-03-30	Kapaz	W 1-0	35.1	1311	1168	59.96%	24.80%	15.24%	+1.06	+6.2	6
2013-03-30	@ Sumgayit	L 0-1	35.1	1168	1311	15.24%	24.80%	59.96%	-1.06	-6.2	0
2013-03-30	Neftchi Baku	L 0-1	56.3	1538	1597	35.38%	27.63%	37.00%	-0.04	-12.5	3
2013-03-30	@ Inter Baku	W 1-0	56.3	1597	1538	37.00%	27.63%	35.38%	+0.04	+12.5	4
2013-03-30	Ravan Baku	L 2-6	40.4	1245	1344	29.95%	27.46%	42.58%	-0.26	-28.0	0
2013-03-30	@ Turan	W 6-2	40.4	1344	1245	42.58%	27.46%	29.95%	+0.26	+28.0	6
2013-03-30	AZAL	D 1-1	59.4	1446	1467	40.74%	27.55%	31.71%	+0.16	-0.6	1
2013-03-30	@ Khazar Lankaran	D 1-1	59.4	1467	1446	31.71%	27.55%	40.74%	-0.16	+0.6	4
2013-04-05	Simurq Zaqatala	D 1-1	57.5	1406	1447	37.95%	27.62%	34.43%	+0.06	-0.2	1
2013-04-05	@ Gabala	D 1-1	57.5	1447	1406	34.43%	27.62%	37.95%	-0.06	+0.2	4
2013-04-06	Khazar Lankaran	L 1-2	40.3	1162	1446	13.05%	23.83%	63.12%	-1.26	-5.0	0
2013-04-06	@ Kapaz	W 2-1	40.3	1446	1162	63.12%	23.83%	13.05%	+1.26	+5.0	4
2013-04-06	Qarabag	L 1-2	66.9	1609	1523	54.11%	26.15%	19.74%	+0.75	-16.6	4
2013-04-06	@ Neftchi Baku	W 2-1	66.9	1523	1609	19.74%	26.15%	54.11%	-0.75	+16.6	6
2013-04-06	Inter Baku	L 1-2	61.6	1528	1526	43.90%	27.39%	28.71%	+0.29	-13.9	4
2013-04-06	@ Baku	W 2-1	61.6	1526	1528	28.71%	27.39%	43.90%	-0.29	+13.9	6
2013-04-07	Sumgayit	W 3-0	34.3	1372	1318	50.40%	26.74%	22.85%	+0.57	+24.5	9
2013-04-07	@ Ravan Baku	L 0-3	34.3	1318	1372	22.85%	26.74%	50.40%	-0.57	-24.5	6
2013-04-07	Turan	W 2-0	30.5	1468	1217	69.16%	21.46%	9.38%	+1.64	+7.1	7
2013-04-07	@ AZAL	L 0-2	30.5	1217	1468	9.38%	21.46%	69.16%	-1.64	-7.1	0
2013-04-12	Kapaz	W 3-0	27.9	1396	1157	68.27%	21.86%	9.88%	+1.58	+10.9	12
2013-04-12	@ Ravan Baku	L 0-3	27.9	1157	1396	9.88%	21.86%	68.27%	-1.58	-10.9	0
2013-04-13	Baku	D 1-1	59.7	1406	1514	28.73%	27.39%	43.88%	-0.31	+1.0	2
2013-04-13	@ Gabala	D 1-1	59.7	1514	1406	43.88%	27.39%	28.73%	+0.31	-1.0	5
2013-04-13	Khazar Lankaran	D 2-2	60.2	1210	1451	15.85%	25.03%	59.12%	-1.03	+2.4	1
2013-04-13	@ Turan	D 2-2	60.2	1451	1210	59.12%	25.03%	15.85%	+1.03	-2.4	5
2013-04-13	Neftchi Baku	L 0-1	49.6	1447	1593	24.37%	26.96%	48.67%	-0.52	-9.4	4
2013-04-13	@ Simurq Zaqatala	W 1-0	49.6	1593	1447	48.67%	26.96%	24.37%	+0.52	+9.4	7
2013-04-13	Inter Baku	W 3-2	62.7	1540	1540	43.58%	27.41%	29.01%	+0.28	+9.7	9
2013-04-13	@ Qarabag	L 2-3	62.7	1540	1540	29.01%	27.41%	43.58%	-0.28	-9.7	6
2013-04-14	AZAL	L 0-2	36.6	1293	1475	20.76%	26.37%	52.87%	-0.71	-15.5	6
2013-04-14	@ Sumgayit	W 2-0	36.6	1475	1293	52.87%	26.37%	20.76%	+0.71	+15.5	10
2013-04-19	Ravan Baku	W 3-2	53.1	1490	1407	53.75%	26.21%	20.03%	+0.73	+7.1	13
2013-04-19	@ AZAL	L 2-3	53.1	1407	1490	20.03%	26.21%	53.75%	-0.73	-7.1	12
2013-04-19	Turan	L 0-1	41.4	1146	1212	34.32%	27.61%	38.06%	-0.08	-12.3	0
2013-04-19	@ Kapaz	W 1-0	41.4	1212	1146	38.06%	27.61%	34.32%	+0.08	+12.3	4
2013-04-20	Simurq Zaqatala	W 5-0	40.1	1530	1437	54.76%	26.03%	19.22%	+0.78	+34.0	9
2013-04-20	@ Inter Baku	L 0-5	40.1	1437	1530	19.22%	26.03%	54.76%	-0.78	-33.9	4
2013-04-21	Gabala	W 2-1	49.2	1602	1407	64.70%	23.28%	12.02%	+1.34	+4.6	10
2013-04-21	@ Neftchi Baku	L 1-2	49.2	1407	1602	12.02%	23.28%	64.70%	-1.34	-4.6	2
2013-04-21	Qarabag	L 0-1	54.9	1513	1549	38.61%	27.60%	33.78%	+0.08	-13.4	5
2013-04-21	@ Baku	W 1-0	54.9	1549	1513	33.78%	27.60%	38.61%	-0.08	+13.4	12
2013-04-21	Sumgayit	D 0-0	51.0	1448	1278	62.50%	24.04%	13.46%	+1.20	-4.2	6
2013-04-21	@ Khazar Lankaran	D 0-0	51.0	1278	1448	13.46%	24.04%	62.50%	-1.20	+4.2	7
2013-04-27	Sumgayit	W 1-0	45.7	1133	1282	24.14%	26.93%	48.93%	-0.53	+16.2	3
2013-04-27	@ Kapaz	L 0-1	45.7	1282	1133	48.93%	26.93%	24.14%	+0.53	-16.2	7
2013-04-27	Turan	W 1-0	34.9	1400	1224	62.94%	23.89%	13.17%	+1.23	+5.4	15
2013-04-27	@ Ravan Baku	L 0-1	34.9	1224	1400	13.17%	23.89%	62.94%	-1.23	-5.4	4
2013-04-28	Khazar Lankaran	W 2-0	42.3	1498	1444	50.32%	26.75%	22.93%	+0.57	+16.9	16
2013-04-28	@ AZAL	L 0-2	42.3	1444	1498	22.93%	26.75%	50.32%	-0.57	-16.9	6
2013-04-28	Qarabag	L 0-2	43.1	1402	1563	22.83%	26.74%	50.43%	-0.60	-16.8	2
2013-04-28	@ Gabala	W 2-0	43.1	1563	1402	50.43%	26.74%	22.83%	+0.60	+16.8	15
2013-04-28	Inter Baku	W 2-0	50.4	1607	1564	49.08%	26.91%	24.01%	+0.51	+17.5	13
2013-04-28	@ Neftchi Baku	L 0-2	50.4	1564	1607	24.01%	26.91%	49.08%	-0.51	-17.5	9
2013-04-28	Simurq Zaqatala	W 2-1	48.2	1500	1403	55.17%	25.94%	18.89%	+0.80	+7.1	8
2013-04-28	@ Baku	L 1-2	48.2	1403	1500	18.89%	25.94%	55.17%	-0.80	-7.2	4
2013-05-03	Gabala	W 2-0	39.2	1396	1385	45.04%	27.31%	27.65%	+0.34	+19.6	7
2013-05-03	@ Simurq Zaqatala	L 0-2	39.2	1385	1396	27.65%	27.31%	45.04%	-0.34	-19.6	2
2013-05-03	Kapaz	W 1-0	32.2	1427	1150	71.13%	20.54%	8.33%	+1.78	+3.3	9
2013-05-03	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 0-1	32.2	1150	1427	8.33%	20.54%	71.13%	-1.78	-3.3	3
2013-05-03	AZAL	L 0-2	32.7	1219	1514	12.38%	23.48%	64.13%	-1.33	-9.5	4
2013-05-03	@ Turan	W 2-0	32.7	1514	1219	64.13%	23.48%	12.38%	+1.33	+9.5	19
2013-05-04	Baku	W 2-1	55.6	1546	1507	48.61%	26.97%	24.42%	+0.49	+8.9	12
2013-05-04	@ Inter Baku	L 1-2	55.6	1507	1546	24.42%	26.97%	48.61%	-0.49	-8.9	8
2013-05-04	Neftchi Baku	L 1-2	64.2	1579	1624	37.35%	27.62%	35.03%	+0.03	-12.3	15
2013-05-04	@ Qarabag	W 2-1	64.2	1624	1579	35.03%	27.62%	37.35%	-0.03	+12.3	16
2013-05-04	Ravan Baku	W 4-1	46.4	1266	1405	25.07%	27.05%	47.88%	-0.48	+36.6	10
2013-05-04	@ Sumgayit	L 1-4	46.4	1405	1266	47.88%	27.05%	25.07%	+0.48	-36.6	15
2013-05-08	Ravan Baku	W 3-1	50.3	1146	1369	17.26%	25.49%	57.25%	-0.93	+30.2	6
2013-05-08	@ Kapaz	L 1-3	50.3	1369	1146	57.25%	25.49%	17.26%	+0.93	-30.2	15
2013-05-08	Sumgayit	W 1-0	36.9	1524	1302	66.86%	22.45%	10.69%	+1.48	+4.3	22
2013-05-08	@ AZAL	L 0-1	36.9	1302	1524	10.69%	22.45%	66.86%	-1.48	-4.3	10
2013-05-08	Turan	W 1-0	33.9	1431	1209	66.81%	22.47%	10.73%	+1.48	+4.4	12
2013-05-08	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 0-1	33.9	1209	1431	10.73%	22.47%	66.81%	-1.48	-4.4	4
2013-05-09	Gabala	L 0-1	53.2	1498	1365	58.90%	25.09%	16.01%	+1.00	-19.0	8
2013-05-09	@ Baku	W 1-0	53.2	1365	1498	16.01%	25.09%	58.90%	-1.00	+19.0	5
2013-05-09	Qarabag	D 0-0	62.0	1555	1567	41.96%	27.49%	30.55%	+0.21	-0.9	13
2013-05-09	@ Inter Baku	D 0-0	62.0	1567	1555	30.55%	27.49%	41.96%	-0.21	+0.9	16
2013-05-09	Simurq Zaqatala	D 1-1	66.0	1637	1416	66.79%	22.48%	10.74%	+1.48	-4.3	17
2013-05-09	@ Neftchi Baku	D 1-1	66.0	1416	1637	10.74%	22.48%	66.79%	-1.48	+4.3	8
2013-05-13	Kapaz	L 3-5	52.5	1205	1177	47.26%	27.11%	25.63%	+0.43	-21.7	4
2013-05-13	@ Turan	W 5-3	52.5	1177	1205	25.63%	27.11%	47.26%	-0.43	+21.7	9
2013-05-13	Khazar Lankaran	W 1-0	47.5	1298	1435	25.38%	27.08%	47.54%	-0.47	+15.8	13
2013-05-13	@ Sumgayit	L 0-1	47.5	1435	1298	47.54%	27.08%	25.38%	+0.47	-15.8	12
2013-05-14	Baku	W 3-1	50.4	1568	1479	54.38%	26.10%	19.52%	+0.76	+12.8	19
2013-05-14	@ Qarabag	L 1-3	50.4	1479	1568	19.52%	26.10%	54.38%	-0.76	-12.8	8
2013-05-14	Neftchi Baku	D 1-1	64.0	1384	1632	15.36%	24.85%	59.79%	-1.07	+3.3	6
2013-05-14	@ Gabala	D 1-1	64.0	1632	1384	59.79%	24.85%	15.36%	+1.07	-3.4	18
2013-05-14	Inter Baku	W 1-0	54.0	1420	1554	25.72%	27.12%	47.16%	-0.45	+15.7	11
2013-05-14	@ Simurq Zaqatala	L 0-1	54.0	1554	1420	47.16%	27.12%	25.72%	+0.45	-15.7	13
2013-05-14	AZAL	L 3-5	49.2	1338	1528	20.01%	26.21%	53.78%	-0.75	-11.0	15
2013-05-14	@ Ravan Baku	W 5-3	49.2	1528	1338	53.78%	26.21%	20.01%	+0.75	+11.0	25
2013-05-19	Baku	L 0-1	61.9	1629	1466	61.78%	24.26%	13.95%	+1.16	-19.8	18
2013-05-19	@ Neftchi Baku	W 1-0	61.9	1466	1629	13.95%	24.26%	61.78%	-1.16	+19.8	11
2013-05-19	Gabala	W 1-0	41.8	1539	1388	60.66%	24.60%	14.74%	+1.10	+6.0	16
2013-05-19	@ Inter Baku	L 0-1	41.8	1388	1539	14.74%	24.60%	60.66%	-1.10	-6.0	6
2013-05-19	Simurq Zaqatala	D 0-0	59.2	1581	1436	60.10%	24.76%	15.14%	+1.06	-3.8	20
2013-05-19	@ Qarabag	D 0-0	59.2	1436	1581	15.14%	24.76%	60.10%	-1.06	+3.8	12
2013-05-20	Kapaz	W 4-0	27.1	1539	1198	75.46%	18.28%	6.26%	+2.13	+8.6	28
2013-05-20	@ AZAL	L 0-4	27.1	1198	1539	6.26%	18.28%	75.46%	-2.13	-8.5	9
2013-05-20	Ravan Baku	L 1-2	55.1	1419	1327	54.66%	26.04%	19.29%	+0.77	-16.8	12
2013-05-20	@ Khazar Lankaran	W 2-1	55.1	1327	1419	19.29%	26.04%	54.66%	-0.77	+16.8	18
2013-05-20	Sumgayit	W 2-1	50.9	1183	1314	26.15%	27.17%	46.69%	-0.43	+14.6	7
2013-05-20	@ Turan	L 1-2	50.9	1314	1183	46.69%	27.17%	26.15%	+0.43	-14.7	13

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2013-05-19	13.95%	Baku	1466	1	@ Neftchi Baku	1629	0
2	2012-09-24	14.87%	@ Sumgayit	1289	3	Neftchi Baku	1544	2
3	2013-05-09	16.01%	Gabala	1365	1	@ Baku	1498	0
4	2012-09-20	16.82%	Simurq Zaqatala	1393	2	@ Khazar Lankaran	1515	0
5	2013-05-08	17.26%	@ Kapaz	1146	3	Ravan Baku	1369	1
6	2012-09-24	17.54%	Ravan Baku	1340	3	@ Gabala	1452	1
7	2012-10-27	18.23%	Turan	1322	1	@ Gabala	1426	0
8	2012-12-03	19.24%	AZAL	1419	2	@ Khazar Lankaran	1511	1
9	2013-05-20	19.29%	Ravan Baku	1327	2	@ Khazar Lankaran	1419	1
10	2012-09-15	19.33%	@ Kapaz	1273	1	Gabala	1470	0
11	2013-04-06	19.74%	Qarabag	1523	2	@ Neftchi Baku	1609	1
12	2012-10-28	19.75%	@ Ravan Baku	1348	2	Neftchi Baku	1540	0
13	2012-09-30	19.84%	Kapaz	1285	2	@ Ravan Baku	1370	1
14	2012-09-29	20.38%	@ Turan	1294	2	Khazar Lankaran	1479	1
15	2012-09-16	20.62%	AZAL	1450	6	@ Qarabag	1527	2
16	2012-12-16	22.05%	Sumgayit	1268	3	@ Ravan Baku	1330	2
17	2012-12-02	22.17%	Qarabag	1477	1	@ Neftchi Baku	1538	0
18	2012-10-31	22.43%	Gabala	1408	2	@ Qarabag	1466	1
19	2012-10-20	23.28%	@ Turan	1306	1	AZAL	1462	0
20	2013-04-27	24.14%	@ Kapaz	1133	1	Sumgayit	1282	0
21	2012-09-30	24.31%	@ Sumgayit	1306	1	Baku	1453	0
22	2013-05-04	25.07%	@ Sumgayit	1266	4	Ravan Baku	1405	1
23	2013-05-13	25.38%	@ Sumgayit	1298	1	Khazar Lankaran	1435	0
24	2012-10-03	25.60%	Khazar Lankaran	1463	2	@ AZAL	1492	0
25	2013-05-13	25.63%	Kapaz	1177	5	@ Turan	1205	3

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2013-03-03	47.47	@ AZAL	6	1411	35.22%	Gabala	1	1471	37.16%	27.62%
2	2012-09-16	43.80	AZAL	6	1450	20.62%	@ Qarabag	2	1527	53.04%	26.34%
3	2013-03-11	40.57	@ Sumgayit	4	1271	41.61%	Turan	0	1285	30.88%	27.51%
4	2013-05-04	36.64	@ Sumgayit	4	1266	25.07%	Ravan Baku	1	1405	47.88%	27.05%
5	2012-09-20	35.22	Simurq Zaqatala	2	1393	16.82%	@ Khazar Lankaran	0	1515	57.82%	25.36%
6	2013-04-20	33.95	@ Inter Baku	5	1530	54.76%	Simurq Zaqatala	0	1437	19.22%	26.03%
7	2013-02-13	33.78	Baku	4	1461	48.58%	@ Turan	0	1316	24.45%	26.97%
8	2012-10-28	33.22	@ Ravan Baku	2	1348	19.75%	Neftchi Baku	0	1540	54.10%	26.15%
9	2012-08-19	33.09	Qarabag	6	1498	49.95%	@ Sumgayit	1	1341	23.25%	26.80%
10	2013-05-08	30.23	@ Kapaz	3	1146	17.26%	Ravan Baku	1	1369	57.25%	25.49%
11	2012-09-24	30.06	Ravan Baku	3	1340	17.54%	@ Gabala	1	1452	56.88%	25.58%
12	2012-08-18	29.73	@ Simurq Zaqatala	3	1335	43.42%	Turan	0	1336	29.16%	27.42%
13	2012-10-03	29.61	Khazar Lankaran	2	1463	25.60%	@ AZAL	0	1492	47.29%	27.11%
14	2012-12-02	29.42	Baku	2	1442	25.92%	@ Gabala	0	1468	46.94%	27.14%
15	2013-03-30	28.03	Ravan Baku	6	1344	42.58%	@ Turan	2	1245	29.95%	27.46%
16	2012-09-15	27.88	Simurq Zaqatala	2	1365	28.68%	@ Ravan Baku	0	1368	43.94%	27.38%
17	2012-11-18	27.67	@ Baku	2	1426	29.05%	Khazar Lankaran	0	1532	43.54%	27.41%
18	2012-08-18	27.40	@ Neftchi Baku	3	1506	46.55%	Gabala	0	1484	26.27%	27.18%
19	2012-12-02	25.63	@ Turan	5	1333	51.60%	Kapaz	1	1269	21.83%	26.57%
20	2012-11-17	24.72	@ Neftchi Baku	8	1502	64.54%	Sumgayit	1	1308	12.12%	23.33%
21	2013-04-07	24.46	@ Ravan Baku	3	1372	50.40%	Sumgayit	0	1318	22.85%	26.74%
22	2012-11-04	23.89	@ Khazar Lankaran	4	1508	58.34%	Ravan Baku	0	1381	16.43%	25.23%
23	2013-02-09	23.22	@ Ravan Baku	2	1297	37.87%	Turan	0	1339	34.51%	27.62%
24	2013-02-23	23.16	@ Gabala	2	1448	38.00%	Khazar Lankaran	0	1488	34.39%	27.61%
25	2012-12-20	22.83	Gabala	2	1432	38.69%	@ Turan	0	1362	33.71%	27.60%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2013-04-06	66.9	Qarabag	2	1523	19.74%	@ Neftchi Baku	1	1609	54.11%	26.15%
2	2013-03-12	66.5	@ Baku	1	1515	32.09%	Neftchi Baku	1	1597	40.35%	27.56%
3	2013-05-09	66.0	@ Neftchi Baku	1	1637	66.79%	Simurq Zaqatala	1	1416	10.74%	22.48%
4	2012-12-10	65.5	@ Simurq Zaqatala	2	1438	36.02%	Khazar Lankaran	2	1493	36.35%	27.63%
5	2012-12-25	64.6	@ Inter Baku	1	1526	43.21%	Neftchi Baku	1	1529	29.36%	27.43%
6	2013-05-04	64.2	Neftchi Baku	2	1624	35.03%	@ Qarabag	1	1579	37.35%	27.62%
7	2013-05-14	64.0	@ Gabala	1	1384	15.36%	Neftchi Baku	1	1632	59.79%	24.85%
8	2013-02-11	63.6	Inter Baku	3	1525	33.25%	@ Khazar Lankaran	2	1493	39.16%	27.59%
9	2012-09-24	62.9	@ Sumgayit	3	1289	14.87%	Neftchi Baku	2	1544	60.48%	24.65%
10	2013-04-13	62.7	@ Qarabag	3	1540	43.58%	Inter Baku	2	1540	29.01%	27.41%
11	2012-12-18	62.4	@ Neftchi Baku	1	1519	49.54%	Baku	1	1472	23.61%	26.85%
12	2013-05-09	62.0	@ Inter Baku	0	1555	41.96%	Qarabag	0	1567	30.55%	27.49%
13	2013-05-19	61.9	Baku	1	1466	13.95%	@ Neftchi Baku	0	1629	61.78%	24.26%
14	2013-03-03	61.7	@ Khazar Lankaran	2	1465	64.82%	Sumgayit	2	1268	11.94%	23.23%
15	2013-04-06	61.6	Inter Baku	2	1526	28.71%	@ Baku	1	1528	43.90%	27.39%
16	2012-12-06	61.4	@ Khazar Lankaran	1	1494	46.53%	Baku	1	1471	26.29%	27.18%
17	2013-02-10	61.3	@ Gabala	1	1455	35.79%	Qarabag	1	1511	36.59%	27.63%
18	2012-08-04	60.6	@ Sumgayit	2	1325	30.97%	AZAL	2	1416	41.51%	27.52%
19	2012-08-05	60.6	@ Inter Baku	1	1462	40.31%	Qarabag	1	1485	32.12%	27.56%
20	2012-10-31	60.2	@ Turan	2	1340	38.01%	Ravan Baku	2	1381	34.38%	27.61%
21	2013-04-13	60.2	@ Turan	2	1210	15.85%	Khazar Lankaran	2	1451	59.12%	25.03%
22	2012-10-20	60.0	@ Qarabag	1	1489	50.30%	Baku	1	1435	22.95%	26.76%
23	2012-12-03	59.9	AZAL	2	1419	19.24%	@ Khazar Lankaran	1	1511	54.73%	26.03%
24	2013-03-03	59.9	@ Qarabag	0	1531	44.10%	Inter Baku	0	1527	28.53%	27.37%
25	2012-10-21	59.8	@ Khazar Lankaran	1	1493	52.09%	Gabala	1	1424	21.41%	26.49%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2013-05-20	27.1	@ AZAL	4	1539	75.46%	Kapaz	0	1198	6.26%	18.28%
2	2013-04-12	27.9	@ Ravan Baku	3	1396	68.27%	Kapaz	0	1157	9.88%	21.86%
3	2013-02-23	28.7	@ AZAL	3	1399	66.15%	Kapaz	0	1185	11.12%	22.73%
4	2013-04-07	30.5	@ AZAL	2	1468	69.16%	Turan	0	1217	9.38%	21.46%
5	2013-02-09	30.6	Neftchi Baku	3	1530	65.54%	@ Kapaz	0	1218	11.50%	22.97%
6	2013-02-16	31.5	@ Qarabag	3	1511	66.40%	Sumgayit	0	1295	10.97%	22.63%
7	2013-05-03	32.2	@ Khazar Lankaran	1	1427	71.13%	Kapaz	0	1150	8.33%	20.54%
8	2012-08-10	32.4	@ Khazar Lankaran	4	1507	64.01%	Kapaz	0	1319	12.47%	23.53%
9	2013-05-03	32.7	AZAL	2	1514	64.13%	@ Turan	0	1219	12.38%	23.48%
10	2012-12-20	32.8	@ Simurq Zaqatala	3	1453	59.49%	Ravan Baku	0	1315	15.58%	24.93%
11	2012-12-15	33.5	Inter Baku	2	1506	61.78%	@ Kapaz	0	1237	13.95%	24.26%
12	2012-11-19	33.6	@ Gabala	2	1437	60.59%	Kapaz	0	1287	14.79%	24.62%
13	2013-05-08	33.9	@ Khazar Lankaran	1	1431	66.81%	Turan	0	1209	10.73%	22.47%
14	2013-04-07	34.3	@ Ravan Baku	3	1372	50.40%	Sumgayit	0	1318	22.85%	26.74%
15	2012-11-17	34.4	@ Neftchi Baku	8	1502	64.54%	Sumgayit	1	1308	12.12%	23.33%
16	2013-04-27	34.9	@ Ravan Baku	1	1400	62.94%	Turan	0	1224	13.17%	23.89%
17	2013-03-30	35.1	@ Sumgayit	1	1311	59.96%	Kapaz	0	1168	15.24%	24.80%
18	2013-03-11	35.5	@ Sumgayit	4	1271	41.61%	Turan	0	1285	30.88%	27.51%
19	2012-11-18	35.7	@ Inter Baku	2	1501	61.52%	Turan	0	1341	14.14%	24.35%
20	2012-12-10	35.7	@ Neftchi Baku	2	1521	63.42%	Ravan Baku	0	1340	12.85%	23.73%
21	2012-11-04	35.9	@ Khazar Lankaran	4	1508	58.34%	Ravan Baku	0	1381	16.43%	25.23%
22	2013-02-13	35.9	Baku	4	1461	48.58%	@ Turan	0	1316	24.45%	26.97%
23	2012-08-18	36.2	@ Simurq Zaqatala	3	1335	43.42%	Turan	0	1336	29.16%	27.42%
24	2012-12-02	36.3	@ Turan	5	1333	51.60%	Kapaz	1	1269	21.83%	26.57%
25	2012-12-02	36.3	@ Inter Baku	2	1497	60.19%	Ravan Baku	0	1351	15.07%	24.73%