2013-14 Azerbaijan Premier League Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Qarabag

72 points · 2nd Title

Last Title: 1993

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Inter Baku

10.37 points above expected

67 points · 56.63 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

AZAL

15.70 points below expected

31 points · 46.70 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Qarabag Champion	36	21	9	6	72	66	21	+45	67.62	+4.38
2	Inter Baku	36	20	7	9	67	60	37	+23	56.63	+10.37
3	Gabala	36	18	7	11	61	48	36	+12	51.19	+9.81
4	Neftchi Baku	36	17	9	10	60	48	42	+6	60.10	-0.10
5	Baku	36	16	9	11	57	53	43	+10	55.50	+1.50
6	Khazar Lankaran	36	12	13	11	49	44	49	-5	43.20	+5.80
7	Simurq Zaqatala	36	11	13	12	46	35	28	+7	49.89	-3.89
8	AZAL	36	6	13	17	31	29	49	-20	46.70	-15.70
9	Sumgayit	36	5	10	21	25	27	61	-34	30.69	-5.69
10	Ravan Baku	36	4	10	22	22	22	66	-44	29.82	-7.82

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Inter Baku	67	56.63	+10.37
2	Gabala	61	51.19	+9.81
3	Khazar Lankaran	49	43.20	+5.80
4	Qarabag	72	67.62	+4.38
5	Baku	57	55.50	+1.50

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	AZAL	31	46.70	-15.70
2	Ravan Baku	22	29.82	-7.82
3	Sumgayit	25	30.69	-5.69
4	Simurq Zaqatala	46	49.89	-3.89
5	Neftchi Baku	60	60.10	-0.10

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Inter Baku	7	Mar 23 – May 2	1 in 155
2	Gabala	4	Apr 20 – May 7	1 in 55
3	AZAL	4	Aug 10 – Sep 1	1 in 54
4	Neftchi Baku	5	Mar 9 – Apr 6	1 in 53
5	Qarabag	7	Feb 28 – Apr 12	1 in 37

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	AZAL	6	Feb 28 – Apr 5	1 in 253
2	Qarabag	2	May 12 – May 17	1 in 87
3	Ravan Baku	6	Nov 29 – Feb 8	1 in 33
4	Inter Baku	3	Aug 4 – Aug 18	1 in 31
5	Sumgayit	6	Nov 22 – Feb 2	1 in 29

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Khazar Lankaran	7	Nov 30 – Feb 15	1 in 70
2	Sumgayit	5	Mar 28 – Apr 27	1 in 45
3	AZAL	5	Apr 12 – May 7	1 in 21
4	Gabala	7	Apr 12 – May 17	1 in 17
5	Qarabag	11	Sep 13 – Dec 8	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	AZAL	18	Feb 2 – May 17	1 in 779
2	Sumgayit	19	Aug 23 – Feb 19	1 in 89
3	Gabala	8	Feb 23 – Apr 12	1 in 70
4	Ravan Baku	18	Sep 13 – Feb 23	1 in 46
5	Baku	6	Apr 6 – May 7	1 in 21

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Qarabag	1646	72	-20	5	10.2	-5.2
Inter Baku	1593	67	+4	10	9.5	+0.5
Gabala	1483	61	+45	13	6.8	+6.2
Neftchi Baku	1474	60	-6	6	7.4	-1.4
Baku	1476	57	-5	8	7.9	+0.1
Khazar Lankaran	1427	49	+37	10	6.2	+3.8
Simurq Zaqatala	1454	46	-28	3	8.5	-5.5
AZAL	1339	31	-12	3	5.2	-2.2
Sumgayit	1291	25	-6	4	3.2	+0.8
Ravan Baku	1239	22	-10	4	3.6	+0.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AZA	BAK	GAB	IB	KL	NB	QAR	RB	SZ	SUM
AZAL	—	1-1-2 4.48	0-1-3 5.08	1-0-3 4.37	0-3-1 5.87	1-1-2 3.98	1-1-2 3.20	1-2-1 7.47	0-2-2 5.00	1-2-1 7.44
Baku	2-1-1 6.39	—	0-1-3 5.99	0-2-2 5.55	2-1-1 7.18	2-0-2 4.94	1-1-2 4.05	3-1-0 7.90	4-0-0 6.10	2-2-0 8.26
Gabala	3-1-0 5.78	3-1-0 4.85	—	2-1-1 4.56	1-1-2 6.30	1-0-3 4.82	0-0-4 3.67	3-1-0 7.83	2-2-0 5.62	3-0-1 7.63
Inter Baku	3-0-1 6.51	2-2-0 5.27	1-1-2 6.30	—	2-2-0 7.15	2-1-1 5.06	0-0-4 4.50	4-0-0 8.16	2-1-1 6.48	4-0-0 8.41
Khazar Lankaran	1-3-0 4.98	1-1-2 3.71	2-1-1 4.54	0-2-2 3.78	—	0-2-2 3.49	2-0-2 3.09	2-1-1 7.11	1-2-1 4.74	3-1-0 6.88
Neftchi Baku	2-1-1 6.89	2-0-2 5.90	3-0-1 6.02	1-1-2 5.79	2-2-0 7.42	—	0-2-2 4.37	4-0-0 8.23	2-2-0 6.53	1-1-2 8.65
Qarabag	2-1-1 7.77	2-1-1 6.82	4-0-0 7.25	4-0-0 6.35	2-0-2 7.88	2-2-0 6.53	—	2-2-0 9.15	0-3-1 7.64	3-0-1 8.99
Ravan Baku	1-2-1 3.45	0-1-3 3.07	0-1-3 3.13	0-0-4 2.87	1-1-2 3.78	0-0-4 2.79	0-2-2 2.05	—	1-0-3 3.29	1-3-0 5.26
Simurq Zaqatala	2-2-0 5.87	0-0-4 4.74	0-2-2 5.21	1-1-2 4.37	1-2-1 6.10	0-2-2 4.33	1-3-0 3.29	3-0-1 7.66	—	3-1-0 7.54
Sumgayit	1-2-1 3.48	0-2-2 2.76	1-0-3 3.33	0-0-4 2.66	0-1-3 4.00	2-1-1 2.43	1-0-3 2.18	0-3-1 5.58	0-1-3 3.39	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.94	+11.7
Allowed	0.69	-10.6
Differential	0.92	+6.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	14.44%	8.61%	5.00%	4.44%	1.11%	0.28%	33.89%
1	8.61%	8.89%	9.17%	2.78%	1.67%	1.11%	32.22%
2	5.00%	9.17%	4.44%	1.39%	—	—	20.00%
3	4.44%	2.78%	1.39%	—	0.56%	—	9.17%
4	1.11%	1.67%	—	0.56%	—	—	3.33%
5+	0.28%	1.11%	—	—	—	—	1.39%
Total	33.89%	32.22%	20.00%	9.17%	3.33%	1.39%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.20	1.20	+0.00
SD	1.18	1.18	1.72
CV	0.98	0.98	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	36.11%
1	8.33%	11.11%	19.44%	5.56%	2.78%	—	47.22%
2	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	27.78%	36.11%	8.33%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.81	1.36	-0.56
SD	0.71	1.05	1.11
CV	0.88	0.77	—
Max	2	4	+1
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	—	27.78%
1	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
2	5.56%	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	—	25.00%
3	8.33%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	33.33%	30.56%	25.00%	5.56%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.47	1.19	+0.28
SD	1.34	1.14	1.98
CV	0.91	0.96	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
1	11.11%	2.78%	11.11%	—	2.78%	—	27.78%
2	8.33%	16.67%	—	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
3	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	41.67%	33.33%	13.89%	5.56%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.33	1.00	+0.33
SD	1.07	1.15	1.43
CV	0.80	1.15	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
1	13.89%	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	33.33%
2	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
3	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	41.67%	27.78%	19.44%	8.33%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.67	1.03	+0.64
SD	1.24	1.11	1.76
CV	0.75	1.08	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	5.56%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	33.33%
1	11.11%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	33.33%
2	—	8.33%	11.11%	—	—	—	19.44%
3	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	33.33%	25.00%	13.89%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	1.36	-0.14
SD	1.22	1.10	1.62
CV	1.00	0.81	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
1	11.11%	2.78%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	33.33%
2	2.78%	22.22%	5.56%	—	—	—	30.56%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	33.33%	19.44%	11.11%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.33	1.17	+0.17
SD	1.10	1.11	1.58
CV	0.82	0.95	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	27.78%
1	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	19.44%
2	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
3	16.67%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	19.44%
4	2.78%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	52.78%	38.89%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.83	0.58	+1.25
SD	1.58	0.73	1.65
CV	0.86	1.25	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	8.33%	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	47.22%
1	8.33%	13.89%	13.89%	—	—	8.33%	44.44%
2	—	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	—	8.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	25.00%	25.00%	13.89%	2.78%	11.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.61	1.83	-1.22
SD	0.64	1.56	1.62
CV	1.06	0.85	—
Max	2	5	+1
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	27.78%	16.67%	—	5.56%	—	—	50.00%
1	5.56%	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	—	19.44%
2	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
3	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	50.00%	30.56%	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	0.78	+0.19
SD	1.18	0.96	1.55
CV	1.22	1.23	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	16.67%	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	—	47.22%
1	2.78%	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	36.11%
2	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.89%	41.67%	19.44%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.75	1.69	-0.94
SD	0.87	1.28	1.51
CV	1.17	0.76	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Qarabag	1646	72	67.62	+4.38	75.0%	46	55	63	68	72	79	84
Inter Baku	1593	67	56.63	+10.37	92.0%	32	41	52	56	62	69	79
Gabala	1483	61	51.19	+9.81	92.0%	25	37	46	51	56	62	71
Baku	1476	57	55.50	+1.50	61.0%	38	43	51	56	60	66	73
Neftchi Baku	1474	60	60.10	-0.10	52.0%	45	46	56	60	65	71	74
Simurq Zaqatala	1454	46	49.89	-3.89	34.0%	31	36	45	50	55	61	66
Khazar Lankaran	1427	49	43.20	+5.80	82.0%	26	32	39	42	48	55	60
AZAL	1339	31	46.70	-15.70	0.0%	33	36	42	46	51	57	68
Sumgayit	1291	25	30.69	-5.69	21.0%	14	19	26	30	35	44	47
Ravan Baku	1239	22	29.82	-7.82	13.0%	16	19	25	30	34	40	45

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7.5% * Slight Edge: 7.5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+12.22%

Slight Edge

42.22%27.78%30.00%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 42.68 Elo pts.

181 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.31 goals

Neutral

-2+0.24+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.34 * Runaway: 0.34 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.1

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

66%

Qarabag, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.14/gm

Tight Race

00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.68 * Some Luck: 5.68 to 8.52 * Lucky: 8.52 to 11.36 * Wild Swing: 11.36 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.94 * Close: 0.94 to 1.41 * Off: 1.41 to 1.87 * Way Off: 1.87 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.83 points

Some Luck

07.1018

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

01.172.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

92.00%

Inter Baku

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

0.00%

AZAL

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.21 * Even: 0.21 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.15 * Moderate Separation: 2.15 to 2.3 * Strong Separation: 2.3 to 2.6 * Wide Separation: 2.6 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 73.5% * Slight Edge: 73.5% to 77.5% * Clear Edge: 77.5% to 84% * Wide Edge: 84% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92% * Clear Edge: 92% to 97% * Strong Edge: 97% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59% * Some Drama: 59% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 67% * Very Frequent: 67% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14% * Occasional: 14% to 17.5% * Frequent: 17.5% to 21.5% * Very Frequent: 21.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.19

Balanced

00.210.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 126.14

2.28

Moderate Separation

12.152.63.25

Interquartile Edge

67%

Even

50%73.5%84%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

91%

Even

50%92%100%

Close Games

Expected

67%

Very Frequent

0%61%100%

Blowouts

Expected

17%

Occasional

0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.55 * Lopsided: 0.55 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.65 * Strong Carryover: 0.65 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 17.5% * Upset-Prone: 17.5% to 20.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 20.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 17.5% * Very Shaky: 17.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.60

Predictable

00.612

Matchup Imbalance

0.38

Very Even

00.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.22

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.59

Some Carryover

00.470.651

Upset Rate

Expected

21%

Very Upset-Prone

0%22%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

17%

Shaky Favorites

0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.

Probability calibration

0.71

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.06

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.067

Well Within Noise

00.1330.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Qarabag	66.00%	18.00%	9.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	2.00%	—	—	—
Inter Baku	10.00%	24.00%	17.00%	17.00%	11.00%	11.00%	5.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—
Gabala	1.00%	9.00%	14.00%	17.00%	20.00%	15.00%	10.00%	11.00%	1.00%	2.00%
Neftchi Baku	15.00%	29.00%	25.00%	15.00%	10.00%	2.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—
Baku	5.00%	13.00%	23.00%	21.00%	16.00%	13.00%	7.00%	2.00%	—	—
Khazar Lankaran	—	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	7.00%	17.00%	24.00%	32.00%	9.00%	5.00%
Simurq Zaqatala	2.00%	5.00%	6.00%	14.00%	22.00%	22.00%	12.00%	14.00%	3.00%	—
AZAL	1.00%	1.00%	5.00%	9.00%	12.00%	17.00%	30.00%	18.00%	6.00%	1.00%
Sumgayit	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	6.00%	9.00%	35.00%	48.00%
Ravan Baku	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	9.00%	45.00%	44.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Baku	100%	—
Inter Baku	100%	—
Neftchi Baku	100%	—
Qarabag	100%	—
Simurq Zaqatala	100%	—
AZAL	99.00%	1.00%
Gabala	98.00%	2.00%
Khazar Lankaran	95.00%	5.00%
Ravan Baku	56.00%	44.00%
Sumgayit	52.00%	48.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2013-08-02	Gabala	L 1-2	56.7	1454	1403	48.10%	28.37%	23.53%	+0.52	-11.5	0
2013-08-02	@ Baku	W 2-1	56.7	1403	1454	23.53%	28.37%	48.10%	-0.52	+11.5	3
2013-08-03	Ravan Baku	W 2-0	39.1	1429	1385	47.14%	28.53%	24.33%	+0.48	+13.8	3
2013-08-03	@ Simurq Zaqatala	L 0-2	39.1	1385	1429	24.33%	28.53%	47.14%	-0.48	-13.8	0
2013-08-03	AZAL	W 4-1	48.6	1512	1484	44.98%	28.85%	26.17%	+0.39	+17.9	3
2013-08-03	@ Neftchi Baku	L 1-4	48.6	1484	1512	26.17%	28.85%	44.98%	-0.39	-17.9	0
2013-08-04	Khazar Lankaran	D 1-1	55.6	1362	1413	34.12%	29.46%	36.43%	-0.04	+0.1	1
2013-08-04	@ Sumgayit	D 1-1	55.6	1413	1362	36.43%	29.46%	34.12%	+0.04	-0.1	1
2013-08-04	Qarabag	L 1-2	58.4	1482	1497	39.30%	29.36%	31.34%	+0.16	-9.9	0
2013-08-04	@ Inter Baku	W 2-1	58.4	1497	1482	31.34%	29.36%	39.30%	-0.16	+9.9	3
2013-08-10	Baku	W 1-0	46.1	1466	1443	44.45%	28.92%	26.63%	+0.37	+7.8	3
2013-08-10	@ AZAL	L 0-1	46.1	1443	1466	26.63%	28.92%	44.45%	-0.37	-7.8	0
2013-08-10	Neftchi Baku	L 0-2	40.5	1371	1530	21.43%	27.84%	50.73%	-0.64	-12.3	0
2013-08-10	@ Ravan Baku	W 2-0	40.5	1530	1371	50.73%	27.84%	21.43%	+0.64	+12.4	6
2013-08-11	Inter Baku	W 3-2	59.5	1414	1472	33.06%	29.43%	37.51%	-0.09	+9.0	6
2013-08-11	@ Gabala	L 2-3	59.5	1472	1414	37.51%	29.43%	33.06%	+0.09	-9.0	0
2013-08-11	Simurq Zaqatala	D 0-0	52.5	1413	1443	37.09%	29.44%	33.47%	+0.07	-0.2	2
2013-08-11	@ Khazar Lankaran	D 0-0	52.5	1443	1413	33.47%	29.44%	37.09%	-0.07	+0.2	4
2013-08-11	Sumgayit	W 5-1	38.5	1506	1363	58.72%	25.49%	15.79%	+1.03	+14.7	6
2013-08-11	@ Qarabag	L 1-5	38.5	1363	1506	15.79%	25.49%	58.72%	-1.03	-14.7	1
2013-08-17	Simurq Zaqatala	W 1-0	46.0	1542	1443	53.76%	27.08%	19.16%	+0.78	+5.9	9
2013-08-17	@ Neftchi Baku	L 0-1	46.0	1443	1542	19.16%	27.08%	53.76%	-0.78	-5.9	4
2013-08-18	Khazar Lankaran	W 2-0	40.3	1521	1413	54.82%	26.78%	18.40%	+0.83	+10.8	9
2013-08-18	@ Qarabag	L 0-2	40.3	1413	1521	18.40%	26.78%	54.82%	-0.83	-10.8	2
2013-08-18	Ravan Baku	W 5-0	36.0	1435	1359	51.08%	27.76%	21.16%	+0.66	+28.6	3
2013-08-18	@ Baku	L 0-5	36.0	1359	1435	21.16%	27.76%	51.08%	-0.66	-28.6	0
2013-08-18	AZAL	L 1-2	57.1	1463	1474	39.77%	29.34%	30.90%	+0.18	-9.9	0
2013-08-18	@ Inter Baku	W 2-1	57.1	1474	1463	30.90%	29.34%	39.77%	-0.18	+9.9	6
2013-08-19	Gabala	W 2-1	52.4	1348	1423	30.79%	29.33%	39.88%	-0.18	+10.0	4
2013-08-19	@ Sumgayit	L 1-2	52.4	1423	1348	39.88%	29.33%	30.79%	+0.18	-10.0	6
2013-08-23	Sumgayit	W 1-0	40.3	1484	1358	56.85%	26.14%	17.01%	+0.93	+5.3	9
2013-08-23	@ AZAL	L 0-1	40.3	1358	1484	17.01%	26.14%	56.85%	-0.93	-5.3	4
2013-08-24	Baku	L 0-3	43.9	1437	1464	37.61%	29.43%	32.96%	+0.09	-27.7	4
2013-08-24	@ Simurq Zaqatala	W 3-0	43.9	1464	1437	32.96%	29.43%	37.61%	-0.09	+27.7	6
2013-08-25	Neftchi Baku	D 0-0	55.9	1402	1548	22.64%	28.16%	49.20%	-0.57	+1.6	3
2013-08-25	@ Khazar Lankaran	D 0-0	55.9	1548	1402	49.20%	28.16%	22.64%	+0.57	-1.6	10
2013-08-25	Qarabag	L 0-1	46.9	1413	1532	25.52%	28.75%	45.73%	-0.42	-7.6	6
2013-08-25	@ Gabala	W 1-0	46.9	1532	1413	45.73%	28.75%	25.52%	+0.42	+7.6	12
2013-08-25	Inter Baku	L 1-5	40.1	1330	1453	25.03%	28.66%	46.31%	-0.44	-22.2	0
2013-08-25	@ Ravan Baku	W 5-1	40.1	1453	1330	46.31%	28.66%	25.03%	+0.44	+22.2	3
2013-08-31	Khazar Lankaran	W 2-0	40.6	1406	1404	41.53%	29.22%	29.25%	+0.25	+15.9	9
2013-08-31	@ Gabala	L 0-2	40.6	1404	1406	29.25%	29.22%	41.53%	-0.25	-15.9	3
2013-08-31	Neftchi Baku	W 3-0	48.7	1491	1547	33.50%	29.44%	37.06%	-0.07	+27.4	9
2013-08-31	@ Baku	L 0-3	48.7	1547	1491	37.06%	29.44%	33.50%	+0.07	-27.4	10
2013-08-31	Ravan Baku	L 0-1	46.9	1353	1308	47.16%	28.53%	24.31%	+0.48	-12.0	4
2013-08-31	@ Sumgayit	W 1-0	46.9	1308	1353	24.31%	28.53%	47.16%	-0.48	+12.0	3
2013-09-01	AZAL	L 0-1	56.7	1539	1490	47.84%	28.41%	23.74%	+0.51	-12.2	12
2013-09-01	@ Qarabag	W 1-0	56.7	1490	1539	23.74%	28.41%	47.84%	-0.51	+12.2	12
2013-09-01	Simurq Zaqatala	L 1-2	58.0	1476	1410	49.86%	28.02%	22.11%	+0.60	-11.9	3
2013-09-01	@ Inter Baku	W 2-1	58.0	1410	1476	22.11%	28.02%	49.86%	-0.60	+11.9	7
2013-09-12	Inter Baku	W 3-1	49.9	1519	1464	48.52%	28.29%	23.19%	+0.54	+11.5	13
2013-09-12	@ Neftchi Baku	L 1-3	49.9	1464	1519	23.19%	28.29%	48.52%	-0.54	-11.4	3
2013-09-13	Qarabag	D 1-1	58.2	1320	1527	17.35%	26.31%	56.34%	-0.91	+2.2	4
2013-09-13	@ Ravan Baku	D 1-1	58.2	1527	1320	56.34%	26.31%	17.35%	+0.91	-2.2	13
2013-09-14	Baku	W 2-1	58.0	1388	1519	24.19%	28.51%	47.30%	-0.49	+11.4	6
2013-09-14	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 1-2	58.0	1519	1388	47.30%	28.51%	24.19%	+0.49	-11.4	9
2013-09-15	Gabala	L 1-2	59.6	1502	1421	51.58%	27.64%	20.78%	+0.68	-12.2	12
2013-09-15	@ AZAL	W 2-1	59.6	1421	1502	20.78%	27.64%	51.58%	-0.68	+12.2	12
2013-09-15	Sumgayit	W 3-1	42.4	1421	1340	51.66%	27.62%	20.72%	+0.68	+10.4	10
2013-09-15	@ Simurq Zaqatala	L 1-3	42.4	1340	1421	20.72%	27.62%	51.66%	-0.68	-10.4	4
2013-09-20	Ravan Baku	W 3-0	33.6	1434	1322	55.18%	26.67%	18.15%	+0.85	+15.4	15
2013-09-20	@ Gabala	L 0-3	33.6	1322	1434	18.15%	26.67%	55.18%	-0.85	-15.4	4
2013-09-21	Baku	D 2-2	66.8	1452	1507	33.53%	29.44%	37.03%	-0.07	+0.1	4
2013-09-21	@ Inter Baku	D 2-2	66.8	1507	1452	37.03%	29.44%	33.53%	+0.07	-0.1	10
2013-09-21	Simurq Zaqatala	D 0-0	56.4	1525	1432	53.10%	27.26%	19.64%	+0.75	-2.1	14
2013-09-21	@ Qarabag	D 0-0	56.4	1432	1525	19.64%	27.26%	53.10%	-0.75	+2.1	11
2013-09-21	Sumgayit	D 0-0	54.5	1531	1330	64.43%	23.12%	12.45%	+1.34	-3.4	14
2013-09-21	@ Neftchi Baku	D 0-0	54.5	1330	1531	12.45%	23.12%	64.43%	-1.34	+3.4	5
2013-09-22	Khazar Lankaran	L 1-3	55.1	1490	1399	52.77%	27.35%	19.89%	+0.74	-21.5	12
2013-09-22	@ AZAL	W 3-1	55.1	1399	1490	19.89%	27.35%	52.77%	-0.74	+21.5	9
2013-09-27	Inter Baku	L 0-1	48.2	1421	1453	36.82%	29.45%	33.73%	+0.06	-10.0	9
2013-09-27	@ Khazar Lankaran	W 1-0	48.2	1453	1421	33.73%	29.45%	36.82%	-0.06	+10.0	7
2013-09-28	Qarabag	D 0-0	59.3	1527	1523	41.85%	29.19%	28.96%	+0.26	-0.8	15
2013-09-28	@ Neftchi Baku	D 0-0	59.3	1523	1527	28.96%	29.19%	41.85%	-0.26	+0.8	15
2013-09-28	Sumgayit	W 1-0	38.8	1507	1333	61.81%	24.28%	13.92%	+1.20	+4.3	13
2013-09-28	@ Baku	L 0-1	38.8	1333	1507	13.92%	24.28%	61.81%	-1.20	-4.3	5
2013-09-29	Gabala	D 0-0	53.3	1434	1449	39.17%	29.37%	31.46%	+0.15	-0.4	12
2013-09-29	@ Simurq Zaqatala	D 0-0	53.3	1449	1434	31.46%	29.37%	39.17%	-0.15	+0.4	16
2013-09-29	AZAL	D 0-0	51.0	1307	1468	21.19%	27.77%	51.04%	-0.65	+1.8	5
2013-09-29	@ Ravan Baku	D 0-0	51.0	1468	1307	51.04%	27.77%	21.19%	+0.65	-1.8	13
2013-10-04	Baku	W 3-0	45.8	1524	1512	42.93%	29.09%	27.98%	+0.30	+22.3	18
2013-10-04	@ Qarabag	L 0-3	45.8	1512	1524	27.98%	29.09%	42.93%	-0.30	-22.3	13
2013-10-04	Khazar Lankaran	D 1-1	54.8	1309	1411	27.44%	29.02%	43.54%	-0.33	+0.8	6
2013-10-04	@ Ravan Baku	D 1-1	54.8	1411	1309	43.54%	29.02%	27.44%	+0.33	-0.8	10
2013-10-04	Neftchi Baku	L 1-2	55.7	1450	1526	30.58%	29.32%	40.11%	-0.19	-8.2	16
2013-10-04	@ Gabala	W 2-1	55.7	1526	1450	40.11%	29.32%	30.58%	+0.19	+8.2	18
2013-10-04	Inter Baku	L 0-2	38.4	1329	1462	23.94%	28.45%	47.61%	-0.50	-13.6	5
2013-10-04	@ Sumgayit	W 2-0	38.4	1462	1329	47.61%	28.45%	23.94%	+0.50	+13.6	10
2013-10-04	Simurq Zaqatala	D 1-1	59.1	1466	1433	45.64%	28.76%	25.60%	+0.42	-1.1	14
2013-10-04	@ AZAL	D 1-1	59.1	1433	1466	25.60%	28.76%	45.64%	-0.42	+1.1	13
2013-10-19	Gabala	L 0-1	52.1	1476	1441	45.91%	28.72%	25.37%	+0.43	-11.8	10
2013-10-19	@ Inter Baku	W 1-0	52.1	1441	1476	25.37%	28.72%	45.91%	-0.43	+11.8	19
2013-10-19	Khazar Lankaran	L 1-2	55.4	1435	1410	44.59%	28.90%	26.51%	+0.37	-10.9	13
2013-10-19	@ Simurq Zaqatala	W 2-1	55.4	1410	1435	26.51%	28.90%	44.59%	-0.37	+10.9	13
2013-10-19	Ravan Baku	W 2-1	43.4	1535	1310	66.75%	22.01%	11.24%	+1.48	+3.2	21
2013-10-19	@ Neftchi Baku	L 1-2	43.4	1310	1535	11.24%	22.01%	66.75%	-1.48	-3.2	6
2013-10-20	Qarabag	L 0-3	34.9	1316	1546	15.71%	25.44%	58.85%	-1.04	-13.4	5
2013-10-20	@ Sumgayit	W 3-0	34.9	1546	1316	58.85%	25.44%	15.71%	+1.04	+13.4	21
2013-10-20	AZAL	D 2-2	66.8	1489	1465	44.52%	28.91%	26.57%	+0.37	-0.7	14
2013-10-20	@ Baku	D 2-2	66.8	1465	1489	26.57%	28.91%	44.52%	-0.37	+0.7	15
2013-10-25	Baku	D 0-0	51.6	1306	1489	19.33%	27.15%	53.52%	-0.77	+2.1	7
2013-10-25	@ Ravan Baku	D 0-0	51.6	1489	1306	53.52%	27.15%	19.33%	+0.77	-2.1	15
2013-10-25	Sumgayit	W 2-0	34.1	1453	1302	59.47%	25.21%	15.32%	+1.07	+9.0	22
2013-10-25	@ Gabala	L 0-2	34.1	1302	1453	15.32%	25.21%	59.47%	-1.07	-9.0	5
2013-10-26	Inter Baku	L 0-2	47.9	1466	1464	41.48%	29.22%	29.30%	+0.24	-20.5	15
2013-10-26	@ AZAL	W 2-0	47.9	1464	1466	29.30%	29.22%	41.48%	-0.24	+20.5	13
2013-10-27	Neftchi Baku	D 0-0	56.1	1424	1538	26.03%	28.83%	45.13%	-0.39	+1.1	14
2013-10-27	@ Simurq Zaqatala	D 0-0	56.1	1538	1424	45.13%	28.83%	26.03%	+0.39	-1.1	22
2013-10-27	Qarabag	L 0-3	42.1	1421	1559	23.38%	28.33%	48.28%	-0.53	-19.3	13
2013-10-27	@ Khazar Lankaran	W 3-0	42.1	1559	1421	48.28%	28.33%	23.38%	+0.53	+19.3	24
2013-11-01	Simurq Zaqatala	W 3-2	55.5	1486	1425	49.30%	28.14%	22.56%	+0.58	+6.1	18
2013-11-01	@ Baku	L 2-3	55.5	1425	1486	22.56%	28.14%	49.30%	-0.58	-6.1	14
2013-11-02	Khazar Lankaran	W 4-1	42.6	1537	1401	57.81%	25.81%	16.38%	+0.98	+11.8	25
2013-11-02	@ Neftchi Baku	L 1-4	42.6	1401	1537	16.38%	25.81%	57.81%	-0.98	-11.8	13
2013-11-02	Ravan Baku	W 3-2	48.4	1485	1308	62.07%	24.17%	13.76%	+1.21	+3.8	16
2013-11-02	@ Inter Baku	L 2-3	48.4	1308	1485	13.76%	24.17%	62.07%	-1.21	-3.8	7
2013-11-03	Gabala	W 4-3	60.5	1579	1462	55.77%	26.49%	17.74%	+0.88	+4.8	27
2013-11-03	@ Qarabag	L 3-4	60.5	1462	1579	17.74%	26.49%	55.77%	-0.88	-4.8	22
2013-11-03	AZAL	D 0-0	50.3	1293	1445	22.05%	28.01%	49.94%	-0.60	+1.7	6
2013-11-03	@ Sumgayit	D 0-0	50.3	1445	1293	49.94%	28.01%	22.05%	+0.60	-1.7	16
2013-11-08	Sumgayit	D 1-1	53.5	1305	1295	42.60%	29.12%	28.28%	+0.29	-0.8	8
2013-11-08	@ Ravan Baku	D 1-1	53.5	1295	1305	28.28%	29.12%	42.60%	-0.29	+0.8	7
2013-11-09	Qarabag	D 1-1	63.8	1444	1584	23.25%	28.30%	48.45%	-0.54	+1.4	17
2013-11-09	@ AZAL	D 1-1	63.8	1584	1444	48.45%	28.30%	23.25%	+0.54	-1.4	28
2013-11-09	Simurq Zaqatala	D 0-0	54.5	1489	1419	50.33%	27.93%	21.75%	+0.62	-1.8	17
2013-11-09	@ Inter Baku	D 0-0	54.5	1419	1489	21.75%	27.93%	50.33%	-0.62	+1.8	15
2013-11-10	Baku	W 2-1	55.6	1549	1493	48.61%	28.27%	23.12%	+0.55	+6.6	28
2013-11-10	@ Neftchi Baku	L 1-2	55.6	1493	1549	23.12%	28.27%	48.61%	-0.55	-6.6	18
2013-11-10	Gabala	D 0-0	52.2	1390	1457	31.79%	29.39%	38.82%	-0.14	+0.4	14
2013-11-10	@ Khazar Lankaran	D 0-0	52.2	1457	1390	38.82%	29.39%	31.79%	+0.14	-0.4	23
2013-11-22	Khazar Lankaran	W 3-0	37.0	1486	1390	53.41%	27.18%	19.42%	+0.77	+16.4	21
2013-11-22	@ Baku	L 0-3	37.0	1390	1486	19.42%	27.18%	53.41%	-0.77	-16.4	14
2013-11-22	AZAL	W 1-0	46.3	1457	1445	42.90%	29.09%	28.01%	+0.30	+8.2	26
2013-11-22	@ Gabala	L 0-1	46.3	1445	1457	28.01%	29.09%	42.90%	-0.30	-8.2	17
2013-11-22	Simurq Zaqatala	L 0-1	40.9	1296	1420	24.85%	28.63%	46.52%	-0.45	-7.4	7
2013-11-22	@ Sumgayit	W 1-0	40.9	1420	1296	46.52%	28.63%	24.85%	+0.45	+7.4	18
2013-11-23	Neftchi Baku	W 3-1	57.1	1487	1555	31.72%	29.38%	38.90%	-0.14	+16.9	20
2013-11-23	@ Inter Baku	L 1-3	57.1	1555	1487	38.90%	29.38%	31.72%	+0.14	-16.9	28
2013-11-24	Ravan Baku	D 0-0	56.3	1582	1304	71.45%	19.53%	9.02%	+1.77	-4.1	29
2013-11-24	@ Qarabag	D 0-0	56.3	1304	1582	9.02%	19.53%	71.45%	-1.77	+4.1	9
2013-11-29	Gabala	L 0-1	40.6	1308	1465	21.57%	27.88%	50.55%	-0.63	-6.6	9
2013-11-29	@ Ravan Baku	W 1-0	40.6	1465	1308	50.55%	27.88%	21.57%	+0.63	+6.6	29
2013-11-30	Neftchi Baku	L 1-2	44.7	1288	1538	14.46%	24.66%	60.88%	-1.15	-4.2	7
2013-11-30	@ Sumgayit	W 2-1	44.7	1538	1288	60.88%	24.66%	14.46%	+1.15	+4.2	31
2013-11-30	Qarabag	D 0-0	58.0	1428	1578	22.23%	28.05%	49.72%	-0.59	+1.7	19
2013-11-30	@ Simurq Zaqatala	D 0-0	58.0	1578	1428	49.72%	28.05%	22.23%	+0.59	-1.7	30
2013-11-30	Inter Baku	L 0-1	54.0	1502	1504	41.08%	29.25%	29.67%	+0.23	-10.8	21
2013-11-30	@ Baku	W 1-0	54.0	1504	1502	29.67%	29.25%	41.08%	-0.23	+10.8	23
2013-11-30	AZAL	D 1-1	56.4	1374	1437	32.40%	29.41%	38.19%	-0.11	+0.3	15
2013-11-30	@ Khazar Lankaran	D 1-1	56.4	1437	1374	38.19%	29.41%	32.40%	+0.11	-0.3	18
2013-12-08	Baku	L 1-2	44.9	1284	1492	17.32%	26.29%	56.39%	-0.91	-5.1	7
2013-12-08	@ Sumgayit	W 2-1	44.9	1492	1284	56.39%	26.29%	17.32%	+0.91	+5.1	24
2013-12-08	Khazar Lankaran	D 0-0	54.6	1515	1374	58.39%	25.61%	16.00%	+1.01	-2.7	24
2013-12-08	@ Inter Baku	D 0-0	54.6	1374	1515	16.00%	25.61%	58.39%	-1.01	+2.7	16
2013-12-08	Neftchi Baku	W 3-1	55.5	1577	1542	45.83%	28.73%	25.44%	+0.42	+12.3	33
2013-12-08	@ Qarabag	L 1-3	55.5	1542	1577	25.44%	28.73%	45.83%	-0.42	-12.4	31
2013-12-08	Ravan Baku	W 2-1	43.8	1436	1301	57.79%	25.82%	16.39%	+0.98	+4.8	21
2013-12-08	@ AZAL	L 1-2	43.8	1301	1436	16.39%	25.82%	57.79%	-0.98	-4.8	9
2013-12-08	Simurq Zaqatala	W 2-1	51.0	1472	1430	46.86%	28.58%	24.57%	+0.47	+6.9	32
2013-12-08	@ Gabala	L 1-2	51.0	1430	1472	24.57%	28.58%	46.86%	-0.47	-6.9	19
2013-12-14	AZAL	W 3-0	41.1	1423	1441	38.68%	29.39%	31.93%	+0.13	+24.6	22
2013-12-14	@ Simurq Zaqatala	L 0-3	41.1	1441	1423	31.93%	29.39%	38.68%	-0.13	-24.6	21
2013-12-14	Sumgayit	W 2-0	32.4	1512	1279	67.48%	21.65%	10.87%	+1.52	+6.2	27
2013-12-14	@ Inter Baku	L 0-2	32.4	1279	1512	10.87%	21.65%	67.48%	-1.52	-6.2	7
2013-12-15	Gabala	W 2-1	54.5	1530	1479	48.05%	28.38%	23.58%	+0.52	+6.7	34
2013-12-15	@ Neftchi Baku	L 1-2	54.5	1479	1530	23.58%	28.38%	48.05%	-0.52	-6.7	32
2013-12-15	Qarabag	W 2-1	63.2	1497	1589	28.63%	29.16%	42.21%	-0.27	+10.4	27
2013-12-15	@ Baku	L 1-2	63.2	1589	1497	42.21%	29.16%	28.63%	+0.27	-10.4	33
2013-12-15	Ravan Baku	W 1-0	38.8	1377	1297	51.55%	27.65%	20.80%	+0.68	+6.4	19
2013-12-15	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 0-1	38.8	1297	1377	20.80%	27.65%	51.55%	-0.68	-6.4	9
2013-12-20	Baku	W 2-0	47.5	1472	1507	36.34%	29.46%	34.20%	+0.04	+17.8	35
2013-12-20	@ Gabala	L 0-2	47.5	1507	1472	34.20%	29.46%	36.34%	-0.04	-17.8	27
2013-12-20	Neftchi Baku	W 2-1	59.3	1417	1537	25.37%	28.72%	45.91%	-0.43	+11.1	24
2013-12-20	@ AZAL	L 1-2	59.3	1537	1417	45.91%	28.72%	25.37%	+0.43	-11.1	34
2013-12-20	Inter Baku	W 2-0	47.9	1578	1518	49.15%	28.17%	22.68%	+0.57	+13.0	36
2013-12-20	@ Qarabag	L 0-2	47.9	1518	1578	22.68%	28.17%	49.15%	-0.57	-13.0	27
2013-12-20	Simurq Zaqatala	L 0-3	34.6	1290	1447	21.57%	27.88%	50.55%	-0.63	-18.1	9
2013-12-20	@ Ravan Baku	W 3-0	34.6	1447	1290	50.55%	27.88%	21.57%	+0.63	+18.0	25
2013-12-20	Sumgayit	W 4-3	50.6	1383	1273	55.05%	26.71%	18.24%	+0.85	+4.9	22
2013-12-20	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 3-4	50.6	1273	1383	18.24%	26.71%	55.05%	-0.85	-5.0	7
2014-02-01	Khazar Lankaran	L 0-1	58.2	1591	1388	64.72%	22.99%	12.29%	+1.36	-15.5	36
2014-02-01	@ Qarabag	W 1-0	58.2	1388	1591	12.29%	22.99%	64.72%	-1.36	+15.6	25
2014-02-02	Gabala	L 0-3	32.8	1268	1490	16.29%	25.77%	57.95%	-0.99	-13.9	7
2014-02-02	@ Sumgayit	W 3-0	32.8	1490	1268	57.95%	25.77%	16.29%	+0.99	+13.9	38
2014-02-02	Ravan Baku	W 5-1	33.7	1489	1272	66.01%	22.38%	11.62%	+1.44	+10.5	30
2014-02-02	@ Baku	L 1-5	33.7	1272	1489	11.62%	22.38%	66.01%	-1.44	-10.5	9
2014-02-02	AZAL	W 2-1	50.8	1505	1428	51.23%	27.72%	21.05%	+0.66	+6.1	30
2014-02-02	@ Inter Baku	L 1-2	50.8	1428	1505	21.05%	27.72%	51.23%	-0.66	-6.1	24
2014-02-02	Simurq Zaqatala	W 3-0	42.3	1526	1465	49.15%	28.17%	22.68%	+0.57	+18.8	37
2014-02-02	@ Neftchi Baku	L 0-3	42.3	1465	1526	22.68%	28.17%	49.15%	-0.57	-18.8	25
2014-02-08	Qarabag	L 0-1	53.8	1504	1576	31.18%	29.35%	39.47%	-0.16	-8.8	38
2014-02-08	@ Gabala	W 1-0	53.8	1576	1504	39.47%	29.35%	31.18%	+0.16	+8.8	39
2014-02-08	Inter Baku	L 1-2	43.5	1262	1511	14.48%	24.67%	60.85%	-1.14	-4.2	9
2014-02-08	@ Ravan Baku	W 2-1	43.5	1511	1262	60.85%	24.67%	14.48%	+1.14	+4.2	33
2014-02-08	Sumgayit	D 2-2	61.4	1422	1254	61.21%	24.52%	14.27%	+1.16	-2.0	25
2014-02-08	@ AZAL	D 2-2	61.4	1254	1422	14.27%	24.52%	61.21%	-1.16	+2.0	8
2014-02-09	Baku	L 0-1	49.7	1446	1500	33.76%	29.45%	36.79%	-0.06	-9.4	25
2014-02-09	@ Simurq Zaqatala	W 1-0	49.7	1500	1446	36.79%	29.45%	33.76%	+0.06	+9.4	33
2014-02-09	Neftchi Baku	D 2-2	66.7	1403	1544	23.15%	28.28%	48.57%	-0.54	+1.0	26
2014-02-09	@ Khazar Lankaran	D 2-2	66.7	1544	1403	48.57%	28.28%	23.15%	+0.54	-1.0	38
2014-02-14	Inter Baku	L 0-1	48.8	1437	1515	30.38%	29.30%	40.31%	-0.20	-8.7	25
2014-02-14	@ Simurq Zaqatala	W 1-0	48.8	1515	1437	40.31%	29.30%	30.38%	+0.20	+8.7	36
2014-02-15	Khazar Lankaran	L 2-3	63.9	1495	1405	52.75%	27.35%	19.90%	+0.73	-11.8	38
2014-02-15	@ Gabala	W 3-2	63.9	1405	1495	19.90%	27.35%	52.75%	-0.73	+11.8	29
2014-02-15	Neftchi Baku	W 2-0	50.2	1509	1543	36.47%	29.46%	34.08%	+0.05	+17.8	36
2014-02-15	@ Baku	L 0-2	50.2	1543	1509	34.08%	29.46%	36.47%	-0.05	-17.8	38
2014-02-15	Ravan Baku	D 1-1	53.0	1256	1257	41.08%	29.25%	29.67%	+0.23	-0.6	9
2014-02-15	@ Sumgayit	D 1-1	53.0	1257	1256	29.67%	29.25%	41.08%	-0.23	+0.6	10
2014-02-15	AZAL	W 2-1	50.5	1585	1420	60.92%	24.64%	14.44%	+1.15	+4.2	42
2014-02-15	@ Qarabag	L 1-2	50.5	1420	1585	14.44%	24.64%	60.92%	-1.15	-4.2	25
2014-02-19	Baku	L 0-2	43.7	1416	1527	26.44%	28.89%	44.67%	-0.38	-14.7	29
2014-02-19	@ Khazar Lankaran	W 2-0	43.7	1527	1416	44.67%	28.89%	26.44%	+0.38	+14.7	39
2014-02-19	Gabala	L 1-2	53.4	1415	1483	31.81%	29.39%	38.80%	-0.14	-8.5	25
2014-02-19	@ AZAL	W 2-1	53.4	1483	1415	38.80%	29.39%	31.81%	+0.14	+8.5	41
2014-02-19	Qarabag	L 0-2	33.4	1258	1589	10.32%	21.06%	68.62%	-1.59	-5.8	10
2014-02-19	@ Ravan Baku	W 2-0	33.4	1589	1258	68.62%	21.06%	10.32%	+1.59	+5.8	45
2014-02-19	Inter Baku	D 2-2	70.2	1526	1524	41.49%	29.22%	29.29%	+0.24	-0.5	39
2014-02-19	@ Neftchi Baku	D 2-2	70.2	1524	1526	29.29%	29.22%	41.49%	-0.24	+0.5	37
2014-02-19	Sumgayit	W 4-0	30.4	1428	1255	61.75%	24.30%	13.95%	+1.19	+15.5	28
2014-02-19	@ Simurq Zaqatala	L 0-4	30.4	1255	1428	13.95%	24.30%	61.75%	-1.19	-15.5	9
2014-02-23	Baku	D 1-1	64.9	1525	1542	38.92%	29.38%	31.70%	+0.14	-0.4	38
2014-02-23	@ Inter Baku	D 1-1	64.9	1542	1525	31.70%	29.38%	38.92%	-0.14	+0.4	40
2014-02-23	Khazar Lankaran	D 2-2	62.2	1407	1402	42.01%	29.18%	28.81%	+0.27	-0.5	26
2014-02-23	@ AZAL	D 2-2	62.2	1402	1407	28.81%	29.18%	42.01%	-0.27	+0.5	30
2014-02-23	Neftchi Baku	W 2-0	48.4	1240	1525	12.47%	23.14%	64.39%	-1.34	+29.2	12
2014-02-23	@ Sumgayit	L 0-2	48.4	1525	1240	64.39%	23.14%	12.47%	+1.34	-29.2	39
2014-02-23	Ravan Baku	D 0-0	52.4	1491	1252	68.05%	21.36%	10.60%	+1.56	-3.7	42
2014-02-23	@ Gabala	D 0-0	52.4	1252	1491	10.60%	21.36%	68.05%	-1.56	+3.8	11
2014-02-23	Simurq Zaqatala	D 0-0	60.1	1595	1444	59.46%	25.21%	15.33%	+1.07	-2.8	46
2014-02-23	@ Qarabag	D 0-0	60.1	1444	1595	15.33%	25.21%	59.46%	-1.07	+2.8	29
2014-02-28	Gabala	D 0-0	55.0	1447	1488	35.52%	29.46%	35.02%	+0.01	-0.0	30
2014-02-28	@ Simurq Zaqatala	D 0-0	55.0	1488	1447	35.02%	29.46%	35.52%	-0.01	+0.0	43
2014-02-28	Qarabag	L 1-4	52.6	1496	1592	28.17%	29.11%	42.72%	-0.29	-18.9	39
2014-02-28	@ Neftchi Baku	W 4-1	52.6	1592	1496	42.72%	29.11%	28.17%	+0.29	+18.9	49
2014-02-28	Inter Baku	D 1-1	60.0	1402	1524	25.14%	28.68%	46.17%	-0.44	+1.1	31
2014-02-28	@ Khazar Lankaran	D 1-1	60.0	1524	1402	46.17%	28.68%	25.14%	+0.44	-1.1	39
2014-02-28	AZAL	W 1-0	47.5	1256	1406	22.19%	28.04%	49.77%	-0.60	+12.6	14
2014-02-28	@ Ravan Baku	L 0-1	47.5	1406	1256	49.77%	28.04%	22.19%	+0.60	-12.6	26
2014-02-28	Sumgayit	D 0-0	54.2	1542	1269	70.99%	19.79%	9.22%	+1.74	-4.0	41
2014-02-28	@ Baku	D 0-0	54.2	1269	1542	9.22%	19.79%	70.99%	-1.74	+4.0	13
2014-03-08	Khazar Lankaran	W 2-1	53.1	1268	1403	23.78%	28.42%	47.80%	-0.51	+11.5	17
2014-03-08	@ Ravan Baku	L 1-2	53.1	1403	1268	47.80%	28.42%	23.78%	+0.51	-11.5	31
2014-03-08	Inter Baku	L 0-1	38.0	1273	1523	14.45%	24.65%	60.89%	-1.15	-4.5	13
2014-03-08	@ Sumgayit	W 1-0	38.0	1523	1273	60.89%	24.65%	14.45%	+1.15	+4.5	42
2014-03-08	Simurq Zaqatala	L 0-2	42.8	1394	1447	33.83%	29.45%	36.72%	-0.06	-17.7	26
2014-03-08	@ AZAL	W 2-0	42.8	1447	1394	36.72%	29.45%	33.83%	+0.06	+17.7	33
2014-03-09	Baku	W 4-0	47.1	1611	1538	50.69%	27.85%	21.47%	+0.64	+23.5	52
2014-03-09	@ Qarabag	L 0-4	47.1	1538	1611	21.47%	27.85%	50.69%	-0.64	-23.5	41
2014-03-09	Neftchi Baku	L 1-2	58.9	1488	1477	42.72%	29.11%	28.17%	+0.29	-10.5	43
2014-03-09	@ Gabala	W 2-1	58.9	1477	1488	28.17%	29.11%	42.72%	-0.29	+10.5	42
2014-03-16	Gabala	D 1-1	62.4	1514	1477	46.24%	28.67%	25.09%	+0.44	-1.1	42
2014-03-16	@ Baku	D 1-1	62.4	1477	1514	25.09%	28.67%	46.24%	-0.44	+1.1	44
2014-03-16	Khazar Lankaran	L 0-1	40.3	1269	1392	25.02%	28.66%	46.32%	-0.45	-7.5	13
2014-03-16	@ Sumgayit	W 1-0	40.3	1392	1269	46.32%	28.66%	25.02%	+0.45	+7.5	34
2014-03-16	Qarabag	L 0-3	49.5	1528	1634	26.89%	28.95%	44.16%	-0.35	-21.6	42
2014-03-16	@ Inter Baku	W 3-0	49.5	1634	1528	44.16%	28.95%	26.89%	+0.35	+21.6	55
2014-03-16	Ravan Baku	W 2-0	32.9	1464	1280	62.88%	23.82%	13.30%	+1.26	+7.8	36
2014-03-16	@ Simurq Zaqatala	L 0-2	32.9	1280	1464	13.30%	23.82%	62.88%	-1.26	-7.8	17
2014-03-16	AZAL	W 2-1	47.4	1488	1376	55.17%	26.67%	18.16%	+0.85	+5.3	45
2014-03-16	@ Neftchi Baku	L 1-2	47.4	1376	1488	18.16%	26.67%	55.17%	-0.85	-5.3	26
2014-03-23	Baku	L 1-2	49.9	1371	1513	23.00%	28.25%	48.75%	-0.55	-6.6	26
2014-03-23	@ AZAL	W 2-1	49.9	1513	1371	48.75%	28.25%	23.00%	+0.55	+6.6	45
2014-03-23	Neftchi Baku	L 0-1	38.3	1272	1493	16.37%	25.81%	57.82%	-0.98	-5.1	17
2014-03-23	@ Ravan Baku	W 1-0	38.3	1493	1272	57.82%	25.81%	16.37%	+0.98	+5.1	48
2014-03-23	Inter Baku	L 1-4	51.7	1478	1506	37.42%	29.44%	33.15%	+0.08	-23.3	44
2014-03-23	@ Gabala	W 4-1	51.7	1506	1478	33.15%	29.44%	37.42%	-0.08	+23.3	45
2014-03-23	Simurq Zaqatala	L 1-3	48.7	1399	1472	31.09%	29.35%	39.56%	-0.17	-14.4	34
2014-03-23	@ Khazar Lankaran	W 3-1	48.7	1472	1399	39.56%	29.35%	31.09%	+0.17	+14.4	39
2014-03-23	Sumgayit	W 3-0	30.3	1656	1261	80.25%	14.26%	5.49%	+2.42	+3.9	58
2014-03-23	@ Qarabag	L 0-3	30.3	1261	1656	5.49%	14.26%	80.25%	-2.42	-4.0	13
2014-03-28	AZAL	W 2-1	51.7	1257	1364	26.83%	28.95%	44.22%	-0.36	+10.8	16
2014-03-28	@ Sumgayit	L 1-2	51.7	1364	1257	44.22%	28.95%	26.83%	+0.36	-10.8	26
2014-03-29	Khazar Lankaran	W 1-0	42.0	1498	1385	55.38%	26.61%	18.01%	+0.86	+5.6	51
2014-03-29	@ Neftchi Baku	L 0-1	42.0	1385	1498	18.01%	26.61%	55.38%	-0.86	-5.6	34
2014-03-29	Simurq Zaqatala	W 2-1	55.2	1520	1487	45.73%	28.75%	25.52%	+0.42	+7.1	48
2014-03-29	@ Baku	L 1-2	55.2	1487	1520	25.52%	28.75%	45.73%	-0.42	-7.1	39
2014-03-30	Gabala	W 3-0	42.0	1660	1455	64.85%	22.93%	12.22%	+1.37	+10.3	61
2014-03-30	@ Qarabag	L 0-3	42.0	1455	1660	12.22%	22.93%	64.85%	-1.37	-10.3	44
2014-03-31	Ravan Baku	W 3-0	29.9	1529	1267	70.07%	20.29%	9.64%	+1.68	+7.8	48
2014-03-31	@ Inter Baku	L 0-3	29.9	1267	1529	9.64%	20.29%	70.07%	-1.68	-7.8	17
2014-04-05	Gabala	W 1-0	47.3	1379	1445	32.07%	29.40%	38.53%	-0.13	+10.3	37
2014-04-05	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 0-1	47.3	1445	1379	38.53%	29.40%	32.07%	+0.13	-10.3	44
2014-04-05	Qarabag	L 0-2	39.9	1354	1670	10.95%	21.73%	67.32%	-1.51	-6.2	26
2014-04-05	@ AZAL	W 2-0	39.9	1670	1354	67.32%	21.73%	10.95%	+1.51	+6.2	64
2014-04-05	Sumgayit	D 1-1	53.1	1259	1268	40.08%	29.32%	30.61%	+0.19	-0.5	18
2014-04-05	@ Ravan Baku	D 1-1	53.1	1268	1259	30.61%	29.32%	40.08%	-0.19	+0.5	17
2014-04-06	Baku	W 1-0	52.4	1504	1527	38.00%	29.42%	32.58%	+0.11	+9.1	54
2014-04-06	@ Neftchi Baku	L 0-1	52.4	1527	1504	32.58%	29.42%	38.00%	-0.11	-9.1	48
2014-04-06	Inter Baku	L 0-1	52.1	1479	1537	33.16%	29.44%	37.41%	-0.08	-9.2	39
2014-04-06	@ Simurq Zaqatala	W 1-0	52.1	1537	1479	37.41%	29.44%	33.16%	+0.08	+9.2	51
2014-04-12	Khazar Lankaran	D 2-2	66.0	1518	1390	57.06%	26.07%	16.87%	+0.95	-1.7	49
2014-04-12	@ Baku	D 2-2	66.0	1390	1518	16.87%	26.07%	57.06%	-0.95	+1.7	38
2014-04-12	Neftchi Baku	W 2-1	57.1	1546	1513	45.76%	28.74%	25.50%	+0.42	+7.1	54
2014-04-12	@ Inter Baku	L 1-2	57.1	1513	1546	25.50%	28.74%	45.76%	-0.42	-7.1	54
2014-04-12	Ravan Baku	W 5-1	33.8	1676	1259	81.73%	13.32%	4.96%	+2.54	+3.8	67
2014-04-12	@ Qarabag	L 1-5	33.8	1259	1676	4.96%	13.32%	81.73%	-2.54	-3.8	18
2014-04-12	AZAL	D 0-0	51.2	1434	1347	52.39%	27.44%	20.17%	+0.72	-2.0	45
2014-04-12	@ Gabala	D 0-0	51.2	1347	1434	20.17%	27.44%	52.39%	-0.72	+2.0	27
2014-04-12	Simurq Zaqatala	D 1-1	55.8	1268	1470	17.76%	26.50%	55.74%	-0.88	+2.1	18
2014-04-12	@ Sumgayit	D 1-1	55.8	1470	1268	55.74%	26.50%	17.76%	+0.88	-2.1	40
2014-04-20	Gabala	L 1-2	44.5	1255	1433	19.73%	27.29%	52.98%	-0.75	-5.7	18
2014-04-20	@ Ravan Baku	W 2-1	44.5	1433	1255	52.98%	27.29%	19.73%	+0.75	+5.7	48
2014-04-20	Qarabag	W 1-0	62.7	1468	1680	16.98%	26.13%	56.89%	-0.94	+14.0	43
2014-04-20	@ Simurq Zaqatala	L 0-1	62.7	1680	1468	56.89%	26.13%	16.98%	+0.94	-14.0	67
2014-04-20	Inter Baku	L 0-4	49.4	1516	1553	36.06%	29.46%	34.48%	+0.03	-35.1	49
2014-04-20	@ Baku	W 4-0	49.4	1553	1516	34.48%	29.46%	36.06%	-0.03	+35.1	57
2014-04-20	AZAL	D 1-1	55.2	1391	1349	46.83%	28.58%	24.59%	+0.47	-1.2	39
2014-04-20	@ Khazar Lankaran	D 1-1	55.2	1349	1391	24.59%	28.58%	46.83%	-0.47	+1.2	28
2014-04-20	Sumgayit	L 1-3	55.0	1506	1271	67.66%	21.55%	10.79%	+1.53	-26.3	54
2014-04-20	@ Neftchi Baku	W 3-1	55.0	1271	1506	10.79%	21.55%	67.66%	-1.53	+26.2	21
2014-04-27	Baku	D 1-1	56.4	1297	1481	19.15%	27.08%	53.77%	-0.78	+1.9	22
2014-04-27	@ Sumgayit	D 1-1	56.4	1481	1297	53.77%	27.08%	19.15%	+0.78	-1.9	50
2014-04-27	Khazar Lankaran	W 3-0	37.3	1589	1390	64.25%	23.21%	12.55%	+1.33	+10.6	60
2014-04-27	@ Inter Baku	L 0-3	37.3	1390	1589	12.55%	23.21%	64.25%	-1.33	-10.6	39
2014-04-27	Neftchi Baku	D 1-1	69.2	1666	1479	63.11%	23.72%	13.17%	+1.27	-2.9	68
2014-04-27	@ Qarabag	D 1-1	69.2	1479	1666	13.17%	23.72%	63.11%	-1.27	+2.9	55
2014-04-27	Ravan Baku	D 0-0	49.1	1350	1249	54.04%	27.00%	18.96%	+0.80	-2.2	29
2014-04-27	@ AZAL	D 0-0	49.1	1249	1350	18.96%	27.00%	54.04%	-0.80	+2.2	19
2014-04-27	Simurq Zaqatala	W 1-0	49.3	1438	1482	35.10%	29.46%	35.43%	-0.01	+9.7	51
2014-04-27	@ Gabala	L 0-1	49.3	1482	1438	35.43%	29.46%	35.10%	+0.01	-9.7	43
2014-05-02	Gabala	L 1-2	58.5	1482	1448	45.85%	28.73%	25.42%	+0.43	-11.1	55
2014-05-02	@ Neftchi Baku	W 2-1	58.5	1448	1482	25.42%	28.73%	45.85%	-0.43	+11.1	54
2014-05-02	Qarabag	D 0-0	63.0	1479	1663	19.18%	27.09%	53.74%	-0.78	+2.1	51
2014-05-02	@ Baku	D 0-0	63.0	1663	1479	53.74%	27.09%	19.18%	+0.78	-2.1	69
2014-05-02	Ravan Baku	W 4-0	31.3	1379	1251	57.03%	26.08%	16.89%	+0.94	+18.8	42
2014-05-02	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 0-4	31.3	1251	1379	16.89%	26.08%	57.03%	-0.94	-18.8	19
2014-05-02	AZAL	D 0-0	52.5	1472	1348	56.59%	26.23%	17.19%	+0.92	-2.5	44
2014-05-02	@ Simurq Zaqatala	D 0-0	52.5	1348	1472	17.19%	26.23%	56.59%	-0.92	+2.5	30
2014-05-02	Sumgayit	W 2-0	33.6	1599	1299	73.27%	18.50%	8.22%	+1.90	+4.4	63
2014-05-02	@ Inter Baku	L 0-2	33.6	1299	1599	8.22%	18.50%	73.27%	-1.90	-4.4	22
2014-05-07	Baku	W 3-1	51.4	1459	1481	38.17%	29.41%	32.42%	+0.11	+14.9	57
2014-05-07	@ Gabala	L 1-3	51.4	1481	1459	32.42%	29.41%	38.17%	-0.11	-14.9	51
2014-05-07	Neftchi Baku	D 0-0	51.8	1351	1471	25.34%	28.72%	45.94%	-0.43	+1.2	31
2014-05-07	@ AZAL	D 0-0	51.8	1471	1351	45.94%	28.72%	25.34%	+0.43	-1.2	56
2014-05-07	Inter Baku	W 4-1	55.1	1661	1604	48.81%	28.24%	22.95%	+0.55	+16.0	72
2014-05-07	@ Qarabag	L 1-4	55.1	1604	1661	22.95%	28.24%	48.81%	-0.55	-16.0	63
2014-05-07	Simurq Zaqatala	W 1-0	50.1	1233	1470	15.25%	25.17%	59.58%	-1.08	+14.6	22
2014-05-07	@ Ravan Baku	L 0-1	50.1	1470	1233	59.58%	25.17%	15.25%	+1.08	-14.6	44
2014-05-07	Sumgayit	W 4-1	37.7	1398	1294	54.34%	26.92%	18.74%	+0.81	+13.4	45
2014-05-07	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 1-4	37.7	1294	1398	18.74%	26.92%	54.34%	-0.81	-13.4	22
2014-05-12	Gabala	D 0-0	60.5	1588	1474	55.43%	26.59%	17.98%	+0.86	-2.4	64
2014-05-12	@ Inter Baku	D 0-0	60.5	1474	1588	17.98%	26.59%	55.43%	-0.86	+2.4	58
2014-05-12	Khazar Lankaran	D 2-2	64.0	1455	1412	47.05%	28.55%	24.40%	+0.48	-0.9	45
2014-05-12	@ Simurq Zaqatala	D 2-2	64.0	1412	1455	24.40%	28.55%	47.05%	-0.48	+0.9	46
2014-05-12	Qarabag	W 1-0	58.8	1281	1677	7.87%	18.01%	74.12%	-1.95	+17.1	25
2014-05-12	@ Sumgayit	L 0-1	58.8	1677	1281	74.12%	18.01%	7.87%	+1.95	-17.1	72
2014-05-12	Ravan Baku	W 2-1	40.8	1470	1247	66.54%	22.12%	11.35%	+1.47	+3.2	59
2014-05-12	@ Neftchi Baku	L 1-2	40.8	1247	1470	11.35%	22.12%	66.54%	-1.47	-3.2	22
2014-05-12	AZAL	W 1-0	40.1	1466	1352	55.52%	26.56%	17.91%	+0.87	+5.6	54
2014-05-12	@ Baku	L 0-1	40.1	1352	1466	17.91%	26.56%	55.52%	-0.87	-5.6	31
2014-05-17	Baku	L 2-3	48.0	1244	1472	15.86%	25.53%	58.61%	-1.03	-4.4	22
2014-05-17	@ Ravan Baku	W 3-2	48.0	1472	1244	58.61%	25.53%	15.86%	+1.03	+4.4	57
2014-05-17	Neftchi Baku	D 0-0	54.7	1454	1473	38.68%	29.39%	31.93%	+0.13	-0.4	46
2014-05-17	@ Simurq Zaqatala	D 0-0	54.7	1473	1454	31.93%	29.39%	38.68%	-0.13	+0.4	60
2014-05-17	Qarabag	W 2-1	66.9	1413	1660	14.61%	24.76%	60.63%	-1.13	+13.9	49
2014-05-17	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 1-2	66.9	1660	1413	60.63%	24.76%	14.61%	+1.13	-13.9	72
2014-05-17	Inter Baku	L 1-3	44.6	1346	1585	15.17%	25.12%	59.72%	-1.08	-7.7	31
2014-05-17	@ AZAL	W 3-1	44.6	1585	1346	59.72%	25.12%	15.17%	+1.08	+7.7	67
2014-05-17	Sumgayit	W 3-1	39.5	1476	1298	62.26%	24.09%	13.65%	+1.22	+6.9	61
2014-05-17	@ Gabala	L 1-3	39.5	1298	1476	13.65%	24.09%	62.26%	-1.22	-6.9	25

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2014-05-12	7.87%	@ Sumgayit	1281	1	Qarabag	1677	0
2	2014-04-20	10.79%	Sumgayit	1271	3	@ Neftchi Baku	1506	1
3	2014-02-01	12.29%	Khazar Lankaran	1388	1	@ Qarabag	1591	0
4	2014-02-23	12.47%	@ Sumgayit	1240	2	Neftchi Baku	1525	0
5	2014-05-17	14.61%	@ Khazar Lankaran	1413	2	Qarabag	1660	1
6	2014-05-07	15.25%	@ Ravan Baku	1233	1	Simurq Zaqatala	1470	0
7	2014-04-20	16.98%	@ Simurq Zaqatala	1468	1	Qarabag	1680	0
8	2013-09-22	19.89%	Khazar Lankaran	1399	3	@ AZAL	1490	1
9	2014-02-15	19.90%	Khazar Lankaran	1405	3	@ Gabala	1495	2
10	2013-09-15	20.78%	Gabala	1421	2	@ AZAL	1502	1
11	2013-09-01	22.11%	Simurq Zaqatala	1410	2	@ Inter Baku	1476	1
12	2014-02-28	22.19%	@ Ravan Baku	1256	1	AZAL	1406	0
13	2013-08-02	23.53%	Gabala	1403	2	@ Baku	1454	1
14	2013-09-01	23.74%	AZAL	1490	1	@ Qarabag	1539	0
15	2014-03-08	23.78%	@ Ravan Baku	1268	2	Khazar Lankaran	1403	1
16	2013-09-14	24.19%	@ Khazar Lankaran	1388	2	Baku	1519	1
17	2013-08-31	24.31%	Ravan Baku	1308	1	@ Sumgayit	1353	0
18	2013-10-19	25.37%	Gabala	1441	1	@ Inter Baku	1476	0
19	2013-12-20	25.37%	@ AZAL	1417	2	Neftchi Baku	1537	1
20	2014-05-02	25.42%	Gabala	1448	2	@ Neftchi Baku	1482	1
21	2013-10-19	26.51%	Khazar Lankaran	1410	2	@ Simurq Zaqatala	1435	1
22	2014-03-28	26.83%	@ Sumgayit	1257	2	AZAL	1364	1
23	2014-03-09	28.17%	Neftchi Baku	1477	2	@ Gabala	1488	1
24	2013-12-15	28.63%	@ Baku	1497	2	Qarabag	1589	1
25	2013-10-26	29.30%	Inter Baku	1464	2	@ AZAL	1466	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2014-04-20	35.12	Inter Baku	4	1553	34.48%	@ Baku	0	1516	36.06%	29.46%
2	2014-02-23	29.22	@ Sumgayit	2	1240	12.47%	Neftchi Baku	0	1525	64.39%	23.14%
3	2013-08-18	28.58	@ Baku	5	1435	51.08%	Ravan Baku	0	1359	21.16%	27.76%
4	2013-08-24	27.71	Baku	3	1464	32.96%	@ Simurq Zaqatala	0	1437	37.61%	29.43%
5	2013-08-31	27.42	@ Baku	3	1491	33.50%	Neftchi Baku	0	1547	37.06%	29.44%
6	2014-04-20	26.26	Sumgayit	3	1271	10.79%	@ Neftchi Baku	1	1506	67.66%	21.55%
7	2013-12-14	24.64	@ Simurq Zaqatala	3	1423	38.68%	AZAL	0	1441	31.93%	29.39%
8	2014-03-09	23.48	@ Qarabag	4	1611	50.69%	Baku	0	1538	21.47%	27.85%
9	2014-03-23	23.28	Inter Baku	4	1506	33.15%	@ Gabala	1	1478	37.42%	29.44%
10	2013-10-04	22.32	@ Qarabag	3	1524	42.93%	Baku	0	1512	27.98%	29.09%
11	2013-08-25	22.25	Inter Baku	5	1453	46.31%	@ Ravan Baku	1	1330	25.03%	28.66%
12	2014-03-16	21.64	Qarabag	3	1634	44.16%	@ Inter Baku	0	1528	26.89%	28.95%
13	2013-09-22	21.55	Khazar Lankaran	3	1399	19.89%	@ AZAL	1	1490	52.77%	27.35%
14	2013-10-26	20.53	Inter Baku	2	1464	29.30%	@ AZAL	0	1466	41.48%	29.22%
15	2013-10-27	19.33	Qarabag	3	1559	48.28%	@ Khazar Lankaran	0	1421	23.38%	28.33%
16	2014-02-28	18.92	Qarabag	4	1592	42.72%	@ Neftchi Baku	1	1496	28.17%	29.11%
17	2014-02-02	18.84	@ Neftchi Baku	3	1526	49.15%	Simurq Zaqatala	0	1465	22.68%	28.17%
18	2014-05-02	18.82	@ Khazar Lankaran	4	1379	57.03%	Ravan Baku	0	1251	16.89%	26.08%
19	2013-12-20	18.05	Simurq Zaqatala	3	1447	50.55%	@ Ravan Baku	0	1290	21.57%	27.88%
20	2013-08-03	17.86	@ Neftchi Baku	4	1512	44.98%	AZAL	1	1484	26.17%	28.85%
21	2013-12-20	17.83	@ Gabala	2	1472	36.34%	Baku	0	1507	34.20%	29.46%
22	2014-02-15	17.79	@ Baku	2	1509	36.47%	Neftchi Baku	0	1543	34.08%	29.46%
23	2014-03-08	17.69	Simurq Zaqatala	2	1447	36.72%	@ AZAL	0	1394	33.83%	29.45%
24	2014-05-12	17.10	@ Sumgayit	1	1281	7.87%	Qarabag	0	1677	74.12%	18.01%
25	2013-11-23	16.94	@ Inter Baku	3	1487	31.72%	Neftchi Baku	1	1555	38.90%	29.38%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2014-02-19	70.2	@ Neftchi Baku	2	1526	41.49%	Inter Baku	2	1524	29.29%	29.22%
2	2014-04-27	69.2	@ Qarabag	1	1666	63.11%	Neftchi Baku	1	1479	13.17%	23.72%
3	2014-05-17	66.9	@ Khazar Lankaran	2	1413	14.61%	Qarabag	1	1660	60.63%	24.76%
4	2013-09-21	66.8	@ Inter Baku	2	1452	33.53%	Baku	2	1507	37.03%	29.44%
5	2013-10-20	66.8	@ Baku	2	1489	44.52%	AZAL	2	1465	26.57%	28.91%
6	2014-02-09	66.7	@ Khazar Lankaran	2	1403	23.15%	Neftchi Baku	2	1544	48.57%	28.28%
7	2014-04-12	66.0	@ Baku	2	1518	57.06%	Khazar Lankaran	2	1390	16.87%	26.07%
8	2014-02-23	64.9	@ Inter Baku	1	1525	38.92%	Baku	1	1542	31.70%	29.38%
9	2014-05-12	64.0	@ Simurq Zaqatala	2	1455	47.05%	Khazar Lankaran	2	1412	24.40%	28.55%
10	2014-02-15	63.9	Khazar Lankaran	3	1405	19.90%	@ Gabala	2	1495	52.75%	27.35%
11	2013-11-09	63.8	@ AZAL	1	1444	23.25%	Qarabag	1	1584	48.45%	28.30%
12	2013-12-15	63.2	@ Baku	2	1497	28.63%	Qarabag	1	1589	42.21%	29.16%
13	2014-05-02	63.0	@ Baku	0	1479	19.18%	Qarabag	0	1663	53.74%	27.09%
14	2014-04-20	62.7	@ Simurq Zaqatala	1	1468	16.98%	Qarabag	0	1680	56.89%	26.13%
15	2014-03-16	62.4	@ Baku	1	1514	46.24%	Gabala	1	1477	25.09%	28.67%
16	2014-02-23	62.2	@ AZAL	2	1407	42.01%	Khazar Lankaran	2	1402	28.81%	29.18%
17	2014-02-08	61.4	@ AZAL	2	1422	61.21%	Sumgayit	2	1254	14.27%	24.52%
18	2013-11-03	60.5	@ Qarabag	4	1579	55.77%	Gabala	3	1462	17.74%	26.49%
19	2014-05-12	60.5	@ Inter Baku	0	1588	55.43%	Gabala	0	1474	17.98%	26.59%
20	2014-02-23	60.1	@ Qarabag	0	1595	59.46%	Simurq Zaqatala	0	1444	15.33%	25.21%
21	2014-02-28	60.0	@ Khazar Lankaran	1	1402	25.14%	Inter Baku	1	1524	46.17%	28.68%
22	2013-09-15	59.6	Gabala	2	1421	20.78%	@ AZAL	1	1502	51.58%	27.64%
23	2013-08-11	59.5	@ Gabala	3	1414	33.06%	Inter Baku	2	1472	37.51%	29.43%
24	2013-09-28	59.3	@ Neftchi Baku	0	1527	41.85%	Qarabag	0	1523	28.96%	29.19%
25	2013-12-20	59.3	@ AZAL	2	1417	25.37%	Neftchi Baku	1	1537	45.91%	28.72%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2014-03-31	29.9	@ Inter Baku	3	1529	70.07%	Ravan Baku	0	1267	9.64%	20.29%
2	2014-03-23	30.3	@ Qarabag	3	1656	80.25%	Sumgayit	0	1261	5.49%	14.26%
3	2014-02-19	30.4	@ Simurq Zaqatala	4	1428	61.75%	Sumgayit	0	1255	13.95%	24.30%
4	2014-05-02	31.3	@ Khazar Lankaran	4	1379	57.03%	Ravan Baku	0	1251	16.89%	26.08%
5	2013-12-14	32.4	@ Inter Baku	2	1512	67.48%	Sumgayit	0	1279	10.87%	21.65%
6	2014-02-02	32.8	Gabala	3	1490	57.95%	@ Sumgayit	0	1268	16.29%	25.77%
7	2014-03-16	32.9	@ Simurq Zaqatala	2	1464	62.88%	Ravan Baku	0	1280	13.30%	23.82%
8	2014-02-19	33.4	Qarabag	2	1589	68.62%	@ Ravan Baku	0	1258	10.32%	21.06%
9	2013-09-20	33.6	@ Gabala	3	1434	55.18%	Ravan Baku	0	1322	18.15%	26.67%
10	2014-05-02	33.6	@ Inter Baku	2	1599	73.27%	Sumgayit	0	1299	8.22%	18.50%
11	2014-02-02	33.7	@ Baku	5	1489	66.01%	Ravan Baku	1	1272	11.62%	22.38%
12	2014-04-12	33.8	@ Qarabag	5	1676	81.73%	Ravan Baku	1	1259	4.96%	13.32%
13	2013-10-25	34.1	@ Gabala	2	1453	59.47%	Sumgayit	0	1302	15.32%	25.21%
14	2013-12-20	34.6	Simurq Zaqatala	3	1447	50.55%	@ Ravan Baku	0	1290	21.57%	27.88%
15	2013-10-20	34.9	Qarabag	3	1546	58.85%	@ Sumgayit	0	1316	15.71%	25.44%
16	2013-08-18	36.0	@ Baku	5	1435	51.08%	Ravan Baku	0	1359	21.16%	27.76%
17	2013-11-22	37.0	@ Baku	3	1486	53.41%	Khazar Lankaran	0	1390	19.42%	27.18%
18	2014-04-27	37.3	@ Inter Baku	3	1589	64.25%	Khazar Lankaran	0	1390	12.55%	23.21%
19	2014-05-07	37.7	@ Khazar Lankaran	4	1398	54.34%	Sumgayit	1	1294	18.74%	26.92%
20	2014-03-08	38.0	Inter Baku	1	1523	60.89%	@ Sumgayit	0	1273	14.45%	24.65%
21	2014-03-23	38.3	Neftchi Baku	1	1493	57.82%	@ Ravan Baku	0	1272	16.37%	25.81%
22	2013-10-04	38.4	Inter Baku	2	1462	47.61%	@ Sumgayit	0	1329	23.94%	28.45%
23	2013-08-11	38.5	@ Qarabag	5	1506	58.72%	Sumgayit	1	1363	15.79%	25.49%
24	2013-09-28	38.8	@ Baku	1	1507	61.81%	Sumgayit	0	1333	13.92%	24.28%
25	2013-12-15	38.8	@ Khazar Lankaran	1	1377	51.55%	Ravan Baku	0	1297	20.80%	27.65%