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1952 A Group Season

132 games

Final

Champion

CSKA Sofia

33 points · 3rd Title

Last Title: 1951

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Lokomotiv Sofia

6.19 points above expected

25 points · 18.81 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Spartak Varna

5.68 points below expected

14 points · 19.68 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 CSKA Sofia Champion 22 13 7 2 33 38 12 +26 30.04 +2.96
2 Spartak Sofia 22 9 8 5 26 30 13 +17 27.98 -1.98
3 Lokomotiv Sofia 22 11 3 8 25 30 22 +8 18.81 +6.19
4 Spartak Pleven 22 8 8 6 24 19 21 -2 19.55 +4.45
5 Levski Sofia 22 8 6 8 22 22 16 +6 27.25 -5.25
6 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 22 9 4 9 22 24 26 -2 19.81 +2.19
7 Cherno More 22 8 6 8 22 22 32 -10 23.63 -1.63
8 Slavia Sofia 22 8 5 9 21 29 22 +7 23.54 -2.54
9 Botev Plovdiv 22 9 1 12 19 17 25 -8 15.34 +3.66
10 Minyor Pernik 22 7 4 11 18 26 34 -8 16.98 +1.02
11 Akademik Sofia 22 6 6 10 18 19 32 -13 21.39 -3.39
12 Spartak Varna 22 4 6 12 14 16 37 -21 19.68 -5.68

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lokomotiv Sofia 25 18.81 +6.19
2 Spartak Pleven 24 19.55 +4.45
3 Botev Plovdiv 19 15.34 +3.66
4 CSKA Sofia 33 30.04 +2.96
5 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 22 19.81 +2.19

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Spartak Varna 14 19.68 -5.68
2 Levski Sofia 22 27.25 -5.25
3 Akademik Sofia 18 21.39 -3.39
4 Slavia Sofia 21 23.54 -2.54
5 Spartak Sofia 26 27.98 -1.98

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lokomotiv Sofia 5 Apr 6 – Aug 11 1 in 1,627
2 Botev Plovdiv 3 Oct 11 – Nov 17 1 in 295
3 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4 May 4 – May 25 1 in 48
4 Minyor Pernik 3 Aug 3 – Aug 28 1 in 29
5 Akademik Sofia 3 Jun 21 – Aug 24 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Akademik Sofia 5 Sep 14 – Sep 29 1 in 128
2 Slavia Sofia 3 Apr 10 – Apr 17 1 in 78
3 Spartak Varna 4 May 17 – Jul 6 1 in 43
4 Spartak Sofia 2 Oct 11 – Oct 15 1 in 35
5 Levski Sofia 3 Apr 5 – Apr 19 1 in 32

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lokomotiv Sofia 7 Mar 16 – Aug 11 1 in 212
2 Spartak Pleven 7 Aug 21 – Sep 28 1 in 77
3 CSKA Sofia 18 Mar 27 – Oct 14 1 in 72
4 Akademik Sofia 6 Apr 8 – Aug 24 1 in 21
5 Botev Plovdiv 3 Oct 11 – Nov 17 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cherno More 8 May 25 – Aug 21 1 in 119
2 Akademik Sofia 11 Sep 14 – Nov 16 1 in 83
3 Slavia Sofia 7 Sep 10 – Oct 30 1 in 80
4 Levski Sofia 5 Sep 23 – Nov 30 1 in 14
5 Lokomotiv Sofia 6 Aug 14 – Sep 6 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
CSKA Sofia 1801 33 +6 8 7.3 +0.7
Spartak Sofia 1741 26 -13 5 6.9 -1.9
Lokomotiv Sofia 1587 25 -16 4 5.1 -1.1
Spartak Pleven 1593 24 +9 6 4.1 +1.9
Cherno More 1636 22 +17 6 3.9 +2.1
Levski Sofia 1703 22 -13 3 5.3 -2.3
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1571 22 -21 1 3.6 -2.6
Slavia Sofia 1660 21 +5 6 5.2 +0.8
Botev Plovdiv 1531 19 +27 6 3.0 +3.0
Minyor Pernik 1549 18 +4 5 3.5 +1.5
Akademik Sofia 1560 18 -16 2 4.3 -2.3
Spartak Varna 1557 14 -8 4 2.8 +1.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS BP CS CM LS LP LS MP SS SP SS SV
Akademik Sofia —
1-0-1
3.26
0-1-1
1.44
1-0-1
2.73
0-1-1
1.97
1-1-0
2.75
1-0-1
3.08
0-1-1
3.35
0-1-1
2.26
0-1-1
2.99
0-0-2
1.83
2-0-0
3.03
Botev Plovdiv
1-0-1
2.23
 —
0-0-2
1.23
0-0-2
1.96
1-1-0
1.34
0-0-2
2.25
1-0-1
2.13
2-0-0
2.62
0-0-2
1.62
1-0-1
2.49
2-0-0
1.18
1-0-1
2.12
CSKA Sofia
1-1-0
4.09
2-0-0
4.32
 —
1-1-0
3.68
2-0-0
3.06
1-0-1
4.13
1-1-0
4.04
0-1-1
4.36
2-0-0
3.56
1-1-0
4.09
1-1-0
2.90
1-1-0
4.14
Cherno More
1-0-1
2.76
2-0-0
3.55
0-1-1
1.83
 —
1-0-1
2.31
0-2-0
3.08
1-0-1
3.06
1-0-1
3.68
1-0-1
2.53
0-0-2
3.53
0-2-0
2.12
1-1-0
3.14
Levski Sofia
1-1-0
3.53
0-1-1
4.20
0-0-2
2.42
1-0-1
3.19
 —
1-1-0
3.78
0-0-2
3.84
2-0-0
4.04
1-1-0
3.11
0-0-2
3.85
0-2-0
2.52
2-0-0
3.66
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0-1-1
2.74
2-0-0
3.24
1-0-1
1.41
0-2-0
2.41
0-1-1
1.74
 —
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
3.28
1-0-1
2.09
1-0-1
2.66
0-0-2
1.59
2-0-0
2.62
Lokomotiv Sofia
1-0-1
2.41
1-0-1
3.36
0-1-1
1.50
1-0-1
2.43
2-0-0
1.67
1-0-1
2.62
 —
1-0-1
3.17
1-0-1
2.09
1-1-0
2.76
1-0-1
1.63
1-1-0
2.23
Minyor Pernik
1-1-0
2.15
0-0-2
2.87
1-1-0
1.20
1-0-1
1.83
0-0-2
1.49
1-0-1
2.21
1-0-1
2.32
 —
1-0-1
1.86
0-1-1
2.52
0-1-1
1.47
1-0-1
2.30
Slavia Sofia
1-1-0
3.23
2-0-0
3.90
0-0-2
1.94
1-0-1
2.96
0-1-1
2.38
1-0-1
3.41
1-0-1
3.41
1-0-1
3.65
 —
1-1-0
3.34
0-1-1
2.21
0-1-1
3.57
Spartak Pleven
1-1-0
2.50
1-0-1
3.00
0-1-1
1.45
2-0-0
1.96
2-0-0
1.67
1-0-1
2.83
0-1-1
2.73
1-1-0
2.97
0-1-1
2.15
 —
0-1-1
1.64
0-2-0
2.52
Spartak Sofia
2-0-0
3.69
0-0-2
4.38
0-1-1
2.58
0-2-0
3.39
0-2-0
2.97
2-0-0
3.93
1-0-1
3.90
1-1-0
4.06
1-1-0
3.29
1-1-0
3.88
 —
1-0-1
4.10
Spartak Varna
0-0-2
2.45
1-0-1
3.37
0-1-1
1.40
0-1-1
2.35
0-0-2
1.85
0-0-2
2.87
0-1-1
3.26
1-0-1
3.19
1-1-0
1.93
0-2-0
2.97
1-0-1
1.43
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.65 +6.0
Allowed 0.70 -4.9
Differential 0.82 +3.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%14.77%4.92%2.65%1.89%1.52%39.39%
114.77%7.58%6.06%1.52%1.52%1.52%32.95%
24.92%6.06%3.03%1.52%——15.53%
32.65%1.52%1.52%———5.68%
41.89%1.52%————3.41%
5+1.52%1.52%————3.03%
Total39.39%32.95%15.53%5.68%3.41%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.11 +0.00
SD 1.28 1.28 1.93
CV 1.15 1.15 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%—9.09%9.09%—40.91%
14.55%18.18%4.55%——4.55%31.82%
218.18%4.55%—4.55%——27.27%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total31.82%36.36%4.55%13.64%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 1.45 -0.59
SD 0.83 1.53 1.97
CV 0.97 1.06 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%13.64%4.55%——36.36%
127.27%—18.18%—4.55%—50.00%
29.09%4.55%————13.64%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total40.91%18.18%31.82%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.14 -0.36
SD 0.69 1.17 1.53
CV 0.89 1.03 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%————18.18%
131.82%9.09%4.55%———45.45%
2——9.09%———9.09%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total59.09%27.27%13.64%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 0.55 +1.18
SD 1.58 0.74 1.65
CV 0.91 1.35 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.73%9.09%9.09%4.55%—4.55%50.00%
19.09%4.55%——4.55%4.55%22.73%
24.55%9.09%————13.64%
3——9.09%———9.09%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total36.36%27.27%18.18%4.55%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.45 -0.45
SD 1.35 1.71 2.18
CV 1.35 1.18 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%27.27%—4.55%——50.00%
113.64%9.09%—4.55%——27.27%
24.55%4.55%————9.09%
3—4.55%————4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total45.45%45.45%—9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 0.73 +0.27
SD 1.41 0.88 1.83
CV 1.41 1.21 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%18.18%4.55%4.55%——45.45%
118.18%—4.55%—4.55%4.55%31.82%
2—9.09%————9.09%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total36.36%36.36%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.18 -0.09
SD 1.54 1.37 2.00
CV 1.41 1.16 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%9.09%—4.55%—27.27%
131.82%4.55%4.55%———40.91%
2——9.09%4.55%——13.64%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total45.45%22.73%22.73%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.00 +0.36
SD 1.36 1.15 2.04
CV 1.00 1.15 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%—22.73%
19.09%9.09%18.18%9.09%4.55%—50.00%
2—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
34.55%—————4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total22.73%31.82%22.73%13.64%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.55 -0.36
SD 1.01 1.26 1.89
CV 0.85 0.82 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%18.18%4.55%———36.36%
14.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
29.09%9.09%—4.55%——22.73%
34.55%—————4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total31.82%45.45%13.64%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.00 +0.32
SD 1.52 0.93 1.78
CV 1.16 0.93 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%18.18%4.55%———40.91%
118.18%9.09%———4.55%31.82%
24.55%13.64%9.09%———27.27%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total40.91%40.91%13.64%——4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 0.95 -0.09
SD 0.83 1.33 1.44
CV 0.97 1.39 —
Max 2 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.73%18.18%4.55%———45.45%
14.55%13.64%————18.18%
24.55%—————4.55%
313.64%4.55%4.55%———22.73%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total50.00%40.91%9.09%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 0.59 +0.77
SD 1.59 0.67 1.77
CV 1.17 1.13 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%13.64%9.09%—4.55%13.64%59.09%
14.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
24.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
3———————
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total31.82%22.73%22.73%4.55%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.68 -0.95
SD 1.08 1.73 2.26
CV 1.48 1.03 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
CSKA Sofia 1801 33 30.04 +2.96 80.0% 22 24 28 30 33 35 38
Spartak Sofia 1741 26 27.98 -1.98 33.0% 19 22 25 28 31 33 36
Levski Sofia 1703 22 27.25 -5.25 7.0% 20 21 24 27 30 32 36
Slavia Sofia 1660 21 23.54 -2.54 30.0% 15 17 20 23 27 30 31
Cherno More 1636 22 23.63 -1.63 38.0% 17 17 21 23 26 30 33
Spartak Pleven 1593 24 19.55 +4.45 88.0% 11 13 17 20 22 25 28
Lokomotiv Sofia 1587 25 18.81 +6.19 95.0% 6 12 16 19 22 25 29
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1571 22 19.81 +2.19 74.0% 6 11 18 20 23 26 28
Akademik Sofia 1560 18 21.39 -3.39 26.0% 11 15 18 21 24 28 33
Spartak Varna 1557 14 19.68 -5.68 13.0% 11 13 17 19 22 26 29
Minyor Pernik 1549 18 16.98 +1.02 63.0% 8 11 14 17 19 23 28
Botev Plovdiv 1531 19 15.34 +3.66 86.0% 6 9 13 15 18 22 27

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+9.09%
No Edge
42.42%24.24%33.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 31.67 Elo pts.
256 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.29 goals
Neutral
-2+0.12+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.8
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
53%
CSKA Sofia, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.32/gm
Runaway
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.08 * Some Luck: 3.08 to 4.61 * Lucky: 4.61 to 6.15 * Wild Swing: 6.15 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.49 * Close: 1.49 to 2.23 * Off: 2.23 to 2.97 * Way Off: 2.97 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.77 points
Some Luck
03.8510
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.83
Off
01.864
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
95.00%
Lokomotiv Sofia
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
7.00%
Levski Sofia
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.11
Balanced
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 85.71
1.18
Coin-Flip Parity
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
66%
Slight Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
83%
Even
50%85%100%
Close Games
Expected
69%
Very Frequent
0%56%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Occasional
0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.65
Hard to Predict
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.34
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.96
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.36
Weak Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
31%
Very Upset-Prone
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Shaky
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.06
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.42
Overconfident
0.2420561.001.75794
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.134
Well Within Noise
00.1470.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
CSKA Sofia53.00%19.00%15.00%6.00%5.00%2.00%——————
Spartak Sofia21.00%33.00%17.00%12.00%8.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%———
Lokomotiv Sofia—1.00%1.00%4.00%11.00%11.00%18.00%8.00%8.00%20.00%9.00%9.00%
Spartak Pleven—1.00%3.00%6.00%7.00%9.00%16.00%13.00%13.00%15.00%8.00%9.00%
Levski Sofia16.00%26.00%22.00%17.00%7.00%7.00%3.00%2.00%————
Lokomotiv Plovdiv——4.00%7.00%11.00%14.00%8.00%14.00%14.00%14.00%6.00%8.00%
Cherno More4.00%8.00%10.00%14.00%14.00%13.00%16.00%11.00%3.00%4.00%3.00%—
Slavia Sofia4.00%7.00%14.00%15.00%17.00%13.00%8.00%9.00%9.00%3.00%1.00%—
Botev Plovdiv——1.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%5.00%7.00%6.00%15.00%26.00%36.00%
Minyor Pernik——1.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%7.00%11.00%15.00%8.00%30.00%19.00%
Akademik Sofia2.00%5.00%7.00%10.00%9.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%14.00%9.00%8.00%6.00%
Spartak Varna——5.00%6.00%7.00%11.00%7.00%14.00%16.00%12.00%9.00%13.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
CSKA Sofia 100% —
Levski Sofia 100% —
Spartak Sofia 100% —
Slavia Sofia 99.00% 1.00%
Cherno More 97.00% 3.00%
Akademik Sofia 86.00% 14.00%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 86.00% 14.00%
Spartak Pleven 83.00% 17.00%
Lokomotiv Sofia 82.00% 18.00%
Spartak Varna 78.00% 22.00%
Minyor Pernik 51.00% 49.00%
Botev Plovdiv 38.00% 62.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1952-03-13 Botev Plovdiv D 0-066.7 1717 1515 65.57% 22.43% 11.99%+0.91 -2.0 1
1952-03-13 @ Levski Sofia D 0-066.7 1515 1717 11.99% 22.43% 65.57%-0.91 +2.0 1
1952-03-15 Minyor Pernik D 0-064.1 1611 1540 53.11% 25.00% 21.90%+0.40 -1.1 1
1952-03-15 @ Akademik Sofia D 0-064.1 1540 1611 21.90% 25.00% 53.11%-0.40 +1.1 1
1952-03-16 Spartak Sofia D 1-173.1 1688 1733 38.10% 25.70% 36.21%-0.05 -0.0 1
1952-03-16 @ Cherno More D 1-173.1 1733 1688 36.21% 25.70% 38.10%+0.05 +0.1 1
1952-03-16 CSKA Sofia W 1-065.8 1558 1750 20.54% 24.18% 55.28%-0.63 +7.7 2
1952-03-16 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv L 0-165.8 1750 1558 55.28% 24.18% 20.54%+0.63 -7.7 0
1952-03-16 Spartak Varna W 5-055.5 1513 1638 27.61% 25.19% 47.19%-0.36 +29.7 2
1952-03-16 @ Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-555.5 1638 1513 47.19% 25.19% 27.61%+0.36 -29.8 0
1952-03-16 Slavia Sofia L 0-255.9 1577 1650 34.25% 25.61% 40.14%-0.16 -9.9 0
1952-03-16 @ Spartak Pleven W 2-055.9 1650 1577 40.14% 25.61% 34.25%+0.16 +9.9 2
1952-03-27 Lokomotiv Sofia D 2-278.3 1742 1543 65.41% 22.48% 12.10%+0.90 -1.3 1
1952-03-27 @ CSKA Sofia D 2-278.3 1543 1742 12.10% 22.48% 65.41%-0.90 +1.3 3
1952-03-28 Lokomotiv Plovdiv W 1-053.3 1715 1566 61.06% 23.65% 15.29%+0.71 +2.7 3
1952-03-28 @ Levski Sofia L 0-153.3 1566 1715 15.29% 23.65% 61.06%-0.71 -2.7 2
1952-03-29 Minyor Pernik W 3-047.5 1733 1541 64.85% 22.66% 12.50%+0.88 +6.0 3
1952-03-29 @ Spartak Sofia L 0-347.5 1541 1733 12.50% 22.66% 64.85%-0.88 -6.0 1
1952-03-30 Slavia Sofia L 0-355.8 1610 1660 37.46% 25.69% 36.85%-0.07 -15.4 1
1952-03-30 @ Akademik Sofia W 3-055.8 1660 1610 36.85% 25.69% 37.46%+0.07 +15.4 4
1952-03-30 Botev Plovdiv W 3-046.5 1741 1517 67.30% 21.87% 10.84%+1.00 +5.2 3
1952-03-30 @ CSKA Sofia L 0-346.5 1517 1741 10.84% 21.87% 67.30%-1.00 -5.2 1
1952-03-30 Spartak Varna D 0-064.5 1567 1608 38.77% 25.70% 35.53%-0.03 -0.1 1
1952-03-30 @ Spartak Pleven D 0-064.5 1608 1567 35.53% 25.70% 38.77%+0.03 +0.1 1
1952-04-04 Slavia Sofia D 0-068.1 1739 1675 52.27% 25.09% 22.65%+0.38 -1.0 4
1952-04-04 @ Spartak Sofia D 0-068.1 1675 1739 22.65% 25.09% 52.27%-0.38 +1.0 5
1952-04-05 Levski Sofia W 3-161.5 1746 1718 47.97% 25.45% 26.58%+0.23 +7.1 5
1952-04-05 @ CSKA Sofia L 1-361.5 1718 1746 26.58% 25.45% 47.97%-0.23 -7.1 3
1952-04-06 Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-167.9 1738 1544 64.98% 22.61% 12.40%+0.88 -9.0 4
1952-04-06 @ Spartak Sofia W 1-067.9 1544 1738 12.40% 22.61% 64.98%-0.88 +9.0 5
1952-04-07 Cherno More W 6-156.7 1676 1688 42.74% 25.67% 31.59%+0.08 +18.1 7
1952-04-07 @ Slavia Sofia L 1-656.7 1688 1676 31.59% 25.67% 42.74%-0.08 -18.1 1
1952-04-08 Akademik Sofia D 1-173.2 1753 1595 61.90% 23.45% 14.65%+0.74 -1.6 6
1952-04-08 @ CSKA Sofia D 1-173.2 1595 1753 14.65% 23.45% 61.90%-0.74 +1.6 2
1952-04-09 Spartak Pleven W 1-053.1 1729 1567 62.22% 23.37% 14.41%+0.76 +2.5 6
1952-04-09 @ Spartak Sofia L 0-153.1 1567 1729 14.41% 23.37% 62.22%-0.76 -2.5 1
1952-04-10 Minyor Pernik L 1-272.1 1694 1535 62.00% 23.43% 14.57%+0.75 -8.1 7
1952-04-10 @ Slavia Sofia W 2-172.1 1535 1694 14.57% 23.43% 62.00%-0.75 +8.1 3
1952-04-12 Cherno More L 2-370.2 1608 1670 35.73% 25.66% 38.61%-0.12 -4.9 1
1952-04-12 @ Spartak Varna W 3-270.2 1670 1608 38.61% 25.66% 35.73%+0.12 +4.8 3
1952-04-13 Spartak Sofia D 1-173.4 1752 1732 46.88% 25.52% 27.60%+0.20 -0.6 7
1952-04-13 @ CSKA Sofia D 1-173.4 1732 1752 27.60% 25.52% 46.88%-0.20 +0.6 7
1952-04-13 Levski Sofia W 1-063.9 1565 1711 25.18% 24.92% 49.90%-0.45 +7.1 3
1952-04-13 @ Spartak Pleven L 0-163.9 1711 1565 49.90% 24.92% 25.18%+0.45 -7.1 3
1952-04-14 Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-165.9 1686 1553 59.53% 23.98% 16.49%+0.64 -8.3 7
1952-04-14 @ Slavia Sofia W 1-065.9 1553 1686 16.49% 23.98% 59.53%-0.64 +8.3 7
1952-04-15 Spartak Varna W 2-055.5 1512 1603 31.83% 25.50% 42.67%-0.23 +11.7 3
1952-04-15 @ Botev Plovdiv L 0-255.5 1603 1512 42.67% 25.50% 31.83%+0.23 -11.7 1
1952-04-17 Slavia Sofia W 1-057.0 1751 1678 53.29% 24.97% 21.74%+0.41 +3.7 9
1952-04-17 @ CSKA Sofia L 0-157.0 1678 1751 21.74% 24.97% 53.29%-0.41 -3.7 7
1952-04-17 Spartak Sofia L 0-351.4 1563 1732 22.72% 24.57% 52.71%-0.54 -10.3 2
1952-04-17 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv W 3-051.4 1732 1563 52.71% 24.57% 22.72%+0.54 +10.3 9
1952-04-19 Levski Sofia W 1-063.7 1561 1704 25.59% 24.97% 49.44%-0.43 +7.0 9
1952-04-19 @ Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-163.7 1704 1561 49.44% 24.97% 25.59%+0.43 -7.0 3
1952-04-20 Minyor Pernik W 2-159.4 1524 1543 41.80% 25.69% 32.51%+0.05 +4.8 5
1952-04-20 @ Botev Plovdiv L 1-259.4 1543 1524 32.51% 25.69% 41.80%-0.05 -4.8 3
1952-04-20 Cherno More W 4-156.7 1755 1675 54.04% 24.88% 21.08%+0.44 +8.2 11
1952-04-20 @ CSKA Sofia L 1-456.7 1675 1755 21.08% 24.88% 54.04%-0.44 -8.2 3
1952-04-27 Botev Plovdiv W 2-157.8 1667 1529 59.97% 23.89% 16.14%+0.66 +2.7 5
1952-04-27 @ Cherno More L 1-257.8 1529 1667 16.14% 23.89% 59.97%-0.66 -2.7 5
1952-04-27 Minyor Pernik D 1-167.9 1572 1538 48.64% 25.41% 25.96%+0.26 -0.7 4
1952-04-27 @ Spartak Pleven D 1-167.9 1538 1572 25.96% 25.41% 48.64%-0.26 +0.7 4
1952-05-01 Minyor Pernik W 4-047.8 1591 1539 50.92% 25.22% 23.85%+0.33 +14.2 3
1952-05-01 @ Spartak Varna L 0-447.8 1539 1591 23.85% 25.22% 50.92%-0.33 -14.2 4
1952-05-04 Minyor Pernik W 2-157.5 1669 1524 60.62% 23.75% 15.63%+0.69 +2.6 7
1952-05-04 @ Cherno More L 1-257.5 1524 1669 15.63% 23.75% 60.62%-0.69 -2.6 4
1952-05-04 Spartak Pleven W 6-152.5 1553 1571 41.86% 25.69% 32.46%+0.05 +18.4 4
1952-05-04 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv L 1-652.5 1571 1553 32.46% 25.69% 41.86%-0.05 -18.5 4
1952-05-17 Lokomotiv Plovdiv L 1-267.6 1606 1571 48.71% 25.40% 25.89%+0.26 -6.5 3
1952-05-17 @ Spartak Varna W 2-167.6 1571 1606 25.89% 25.40% 48.71%-0.26 +6.6 6
1952-05-18 Spartak Pleven W 1-054.4 1526 1553 40.73% 25.70% 33.56%+0.02 +5.2 7
1952-05-18 @ Botev Plovdiv L 0-154.4 1553 1526 33.56% 25.70% 40.73%-0.02 -5.2 4
1952-05-21 Minyor Pernik W 4-151.9 1578 1522 51.29% 25.19% 23.52%+0.34 +9.0 8
1952-05-21 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv L 1-451.9 1522 1578 23.52% 25.19% 51.29%-0.34 -9.0 4
1952-05-25 Lokomotiv Plovdiv L 0-156.6 1531 1587 36.65% 25.68% 37.67%-0.09 -5.5 7
1952-05-25 @ Botev Plovdiv W 1-056.6 1587 1531 37.67% 25.68% 36.65%+0.09 +5.5 10
1952-05-25 Cherno More W 1-062.2 1547 1672 27.65% 25.19% 47.15%-0.36 +6.7 6
1952-05-25 @ Spartak Pleven L 0-162.2 1672 1547 47.15% 25.19% 27.65%+0.36 -6.7 7
1952-06-15 Akademik Sofia L 0-253.3 1526 1596 34.56% 25.62% 39.81%-0.15 -10.0 7
1952-06-15 @ Botev Plovdiv W 2-053.3 1596 1526 39.81% 25.62% 34.56%+0.15 +10.0 4
1952-06-18 Spartak Pleven D 1-169.4 1606 1554 50.84% 25.23% 23.93%+0.33 -0.8 5
1952-06-18 @ Akademik Sofia D 1-169.4 1554 1606 23.93% 25.23% 50.84%-0.33 +0.8 7
1952-06-18 Lokomotiv Plovdiv D 0-066.4 1665 1592 53.23% 24.98% 21.79%+0.41 -1.1 8
1952-06-18 @ Cherno More D 0-066.4 1592 1665 21.79% 24.98% 53.23%-0.41 +1.1 11
1952-06-21 Akademik Sofia L 0-160.6 1593 1605 42.72% 25.67% 31.60%+0.08 -6.2 11
1952-06-21 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv W 1-060.6 1605 1593 31.60% 25.67% 42.72%-0.08 +6.2 7
1952-06-21 Levski Sofia L 0-158.7 1599 1697 30.94% 25.45% 43.61%-0.26 -4.9 3
1952-06-21 @ Spartak Varna W 1-058.7 1697 1599 43.61% 25.45% 30.94%+0.26 +4.9 5
1952-06-24 Levski Sofia L 0-556.9 1664 1701 39.18% 25.70% 35.11%-0.02 -25.7 8
1952-06-24 @ Cherno More W 5-056.9 1701 1664 35.11% 25.70% 39.18%+0.02 +25.7 7
1952-06-27 Spartak Varna W 2-053.5 1612 1594 46.59% 25.53% 27.88%+0.19 +8.5 9
1952-06-27 @ Akademik Sofia L 0-253.5 1594 1612 27.88% 25.53% 46.59%-0.19 -8.5 3
1952-07-06 Spartak Varna W 1-056.1 1587 1586 44.52% 25.62% 29.86%+0.13 +4.7 13
1952-07-06 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv L 0-156.1 1586 1587 29.86% 25.62% 44.52%-0.13 -4.7 3
1952-07-06 Botev Plovdiv W 2-157.3 1555 1516 49.30% 25.36% 25.34%+0.28 +3.9 9
1952-07-06 @ Spartak Pleven L 1-257.3 1516 1555 25.34% 25.36% 49.30%-0.28 -3.9 7
1952-07-10 Botev Plovdiv W 2-048.5 1581 1512 52.82% 25.03% 22.16%+0.39 +7.0 5
1952-07-10 @ Spartak Varna L 0-248.5 1512 1581 22.16% 25.03% 52.82%-0.39 -7.0 7
1952-07-13 Spartak Pleven L 0-260.9 1638 1559 53.97% 24.89% 21.14%+0.43 -14.3 8
1952-07-13 @ Cherno More W 2-060.9 1559 1638 21.14% 24.89% 53.97%-0.43 +14.3 11
1952-07-13 Levski Sofia D 0-067.3 1592 1727 26.39% 25.07% 48.54%-0.41 +0.8 14
1952-07-13 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv D 0-067.3 1727 1592 48.54% 25.07% 26.39%+0.41 -0.8 8
1952-07-16 Spartak Pleven D 2-274.9 1588 1573 46.23% 25.55% 28.22%+0.18 -0.4 6
1952-07-16 @ Spartak Varna D 2-274.9 1573 1588 28.22% 25.55% 46.23%-0.18 +0.4 12
1952-07-20 Spartak Varna D 0-065.4 1624 1588 48.96% 25.38% 25.66%+0.27 -0.8 9
1952-07-20 @ Cherno More D 0-065.4 1588 1624 25.66% 25.38% 48.96%-0.27 +0.8 7
1952-07-20 Lokomotiv Plovdiv W 1-057.5 1513 1593 33.29% 25.57% 41.14%-0.19 +6.0 6
1952-07-20 @ Minyor Pernik L 0-157.5 1593 1513 41.14% 25.57% 33.29%+0.19 -6.0 14
1952-07-27 Botev Plovdiv L 0-156.1 1519 1505 46.15% 25.55% 28.29%+0.18 -6.6 6
1952-07-27 @ Minyor Pernik W 1-056.1 1505 1519 28.29% 25.55% 46.15%-0.18 +6.6 9
1952-07-31 Levski Sofia L 1-259.4 1512 1726 18.60% 23.74% 57.66%-0.71 -3.0 6
1952-07-31 @ Minyor Pernik W 2-159.4 1726 1512 57.66% 23.74% 18.60%+0.71 +3.0 10
1952-08-03 Botev Plovdiv W 2-157.0 1587 1511 53.50% 24.95% 21.55%+0.42 +3.4 16
1952-08-03 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv L 1-257.0 1511 1587 21.55% 24.95% 53.50%-0.42 -3.4 9
1952-08-03 Cherno More W 3-055.1 1509 1623 28.93% 25.31% 45.77%-0.32 +18.0 8
1952-08-03 @ Minyor Pernik L 0-355.1 1623 1509 45.77% 25.31% 28.93%+0.32 -18.0 9
1952-08-05 CSKA Sofia D 0-067.7 1574 1763 20.79% 24.23% 54.98%-0.62 +1.2 13
1952-08-05 @ Spartak Pleven D 0-067.7 1763 1574 54.98% 24.23% 20.79%+0.62 -1.2 12
1952-08-06 Cherno More W 1-057.7 1568 1605 39.29% 25.70% 35.00%-0.02 +5.4 11
1952-08-06 @ Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-157.7 1605 1568 35.00% 25.70% 39.29%+0.02 -5.3 9
1952-08-07 Spartak Varna W 4-051.9 1527 1588 35.87% 25.66% 38.47%-0.11 +20.5 10
1952-08-07 @ Minyor Pernik L 0-451.9 1588 1527 38.47% 25.66% 35.87%+0.11 -20.5 7
1952-08-08 Slavia Sofia L 0-256.0 1590 1674 32.71% 25.55% 41.74%-0.21 -9.6 16
1952-08-08 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv W 2-056.0 1674 1590 41.74% 25.55% 32.71%+0.21 +9.6 9
1952-08-11 Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-159.8 1575 1574 44.48% 25.62% 29.90%+0.13 -6.4 13
1952-08-11 @ Spartak Pleven W 1-059.8 1574 1575 29.90% 25.62% 44.48%-0.13 +6.4 13
1952-08-13 Slavia Sofia W 2-055.1 1729 1684 50.08% 25.30% 24.62%+0.30 +7.7 12
1952-08-13 @ Levski Sofia L 0-255.1 1684 1729 24.62% 25.30% 50.08%-0.30 -7.7 9
1952-08-14 Levski Sofia W 1-065.8 1508 1737 17.39% 23.43% 59.19%-0.77 +8.2 11
1952-08-14 @ Botev Plovdiv L 0-165.8 1737 1508 59.19% 23.43% 17.39%+0.77 -8.2 12
1952-08-14 Lokomotiv Sofia W 1-056.6 1516 1580 35.48% 25.65% 38.87%-0.13 +5.8 13
1952-08-14 @ Botev Plovdiv L 0-156.6 1580 1516 38.87% 25.65% 35.48%+0.13 -5.8 13
1952-08-19 Spartak Varna W 1-053.2 1729 1568 62.12% 23.40% 14.48%+0.75 +2.5 14
1952-08-19 @ Levski Sofia L 0-153.2 1568 1729 14.48% 23.40% 62.12%-0.75 -2.5 7
1952-08-20 Botev Plovdiv W 4-151.6 1676 1522 61.48% 23.55% 14.96%+0.73 +6.0 11
1952-08-20 @ Slavia Sofia L 1-451.6 1522 1676 14.96% 23.55% 61.48%-0.73 -6.0 13
1952-08-21 Cherno More D 0-064.6 1580 1600 41.73% 25.69% 32.58%+0.05 -0.3 17
1952-08-21 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv D 0-064.6 1600 1580 32.58% 25.69% 41.73%-0.05 +0.3 10
1952-08-21 Spartak Pleven D 2-274.3 1574 1568 45.09% 25.60% 29.31%+0.15 -0.3 14
1952-08-21 @ Lokomotiv Sofia D 2-274.3 1568 1574 29.31% 25.60% 45.09%-0.15 +0.3 14
1952-08-24 Cherno More L 0-252.6 1516 1600 32.72% 25.55% 41.73%-0.20 -9.6 13
1952-08-24 @ Botev Plovdiv W 2-052.6 1600 1516 41.73% 25.55% 32.72%+0.20 +9.6 12
1952-08-24 Akademik Sofia L 0-256.3 1574 1620 37.99% 25.70% 36.32%-0.06 -10.7 14
1952-08-24 @ Lokomotiv Sofia W 2-056.3 1620 1574 36.32% 25.70% 37.99%+0.06 +10.7 11
1952-08-28 Spartak Pleven L 0-167.5 1731 1569 62.25% 23.36% 14.38%+0.76 -8.7 14
1952-08-28 @ Levski Sofia W 1-067.5 1569 1731 14.38% 23.36% 62.25%-0.76 +8.7 16
1952-08-28 Akademik Sofia W 2-165.5 1548 1631 32.88% 25.56% 41.57%-0.20 +5.7 12
1952-08-28 @ Minyor Pernik L 1-265.5 1631 1548 41.57% 25.56% 32.88%+0.20 -5.7 11
1952-08-28 Lokomotiv Sofia D 1-168.4 1565 1563 44.58% 25.62% 29.80%+0.13 -0.4 8
1952-08-28 @ Spartak Varna D 1-168.4 1563 1565 29.80% 25.62% 44.58%-0.13 +0.4 15
1952-08-31 Spartak Pleven L 1-264.1 1554 1577 41.09% 25.70% 33.21%+0.03 -5.7 12
1952-08-31 @ Minyor Pernik W 2-164.1 1577 1554 33.21% 25.70% 41.09%-0.03 +5.7 18
1952-08-31 Slavia Sofia W 2-168.3 1565 1682 28.49% 25.27% 46.24%-0.34 +6.2 10
1952-08-31 @ Spartak Varna L 1-268.3 1682 1565 46.24% 25.27% 28.49%+0.34 -6.2 11
1952-09-01 Lokomotiv Sofia W 1-054.4 1610 1564 50.12% 25.29% 24.59%+0.30 +4.1 14
1952-09-01 @ Cherno More L 0-154.4 1564 1610 24.59% 25.29% 50.12%-0.30 -4.1 15
1952-09-04 CSKA Sofia L 0-152.9 1506 1762 15.42% 22.82% 61.76%-0.87 -2.7 13
1952-09-04 @ Botev Plovdiv W 1-052.9 1762 1506 61.76% 22.82% 15.42%+0.87 +2.7 14
1952-09-04 Slavia Sofia W 3-271.3 1614 1676 35.70% 25.66% 38.65%-0.12 +5.1 16
1952-09-04 @ Cherno More L 2-371.3 1676 1614 38.65% 25.66% 35.70%+0.12 -5.2 11
1952-09-04 Spartak Sofia D 0-068.2 1723 1743 41.61% 25.69% 32.70%+0.05 -0.3 15
1952-09-04 @ Levski Sofia D 0-068.2 1743 1723 32.70% 25.69% 41.61%-0.05 +0.3 10
1952-09-05 Akademik Sofia L 1-264.6 1571 1625 36.87% 25.68% 37.45%-0.09 -5.2 10
1952-09-05 @ Spartak Varna W 2-164.6 1625 1571 37.45% 25.68% 36.87%+0.09 +5.2 13
1952-09-06 Lokomotiv Sofia W 3-264.7 1580 1560 46.99% 25.51% 27.50%+0.20 +4.0 19
1952-09-06 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv L 2-364.7 1560 1580 27.50% 25.51% 46.99%-0.20 -4.0 15
1952-09-07 Slavia Sofia L 1-259.5 1504 1671 22.97% 24.61% 52.41%-0.53 -3.6 13
1952-09-07 @ Botev Plovdiv W 2-159.5 1671 1504 52.41% 24.61% 22.97%+0.53 +3.6 13
1952-09-07 CSKA Sofia L 0-163.5 1743 1764 41.44% 25.69% 32.86%+0.04 -6.1 10
1952-09-07 @ Spartak Sofia W 1-063.5 1764 1743 32.86% 25.69% 41.44%-0.04 +6.1 16
1952-09-08 Akademik Sofia L 0-258.9 1619 1630 42.79% 25.67% 31.54%+0.08 -11.8 16
1952-09-08 @ Cherno More W 2-058.9 1630 1619 31.54% 25.67% 42.79%-0.08 +11.8 15
1952-09-09 Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-362.7 1722 1556 62.63% 23.27% 14.10%+0.78 -23.9 15
1952-09-09 @ Levski Sofia W 3-062.7 1556 1722 14.10% 23.27% 62.63%-0.78 +23.8 17
1952-09-10 Spartak Sofia D 1-172.2 1548 1737 20.81% 24.23% 54.96%-0.62 +1.1 13
1952-09-10 @ Minyor Pernik D 1-172.2 1737 1548 54.96% 24.23% 20.81%+0.62 -1.1 11
1952-09-10 Lokomotiv Plovdiv L 0-165.2 1674 1584 55.15% 24.73% 20.12%+0.48 -7.8 13
1952-09-10 @ Slavia Sofia W 1-065.2 1584 1674 20.12% 24.73% 55.15%-0.48 +7.8 21
1952-09-11 CSKA Sofia D 0-067.9 1607 1770 23.33% 24.67% 52.00%-0.52 +1.0 17
1952-09-11 @ Cherno More D 0-067.9 1770 1607 52.00% 24.67% 23.33%+0.52 -1.0 17
1952-09-13 Minyor Pernik W 3-155.5 1699 1549 61.07% 23.65% 15.28%+0.71 +4.4 17
1952-09-13 @ Levski Sofia L 1-355.5 1549 1699 15.28% 23.65% 61.07%-0.71 -4.4 13
1952-09-14 Spartak Sofia L 2-370.0 1642 1736 31.42% 25.48% 43.10%-0.24 -4.4 15
1952-09-14 @ Akademik Sofia W 3-270.0 1736 1642 43.10% 25.48% 31.42%+0.24 +4.4 13
1952-09-14 CSKA Sofia D 0-067.8 1566 1769 19.50% 23.96% 56.55%-0.67 +1.3 11
1952-09-14 @ Spartak Varna D 0-067.8 1769 1566 56.55% 23.96% 19.50%+0.67 -1.3 18
1952-09-15 Spartak Pleven D 0-066.3 1667 1583 54.42% 24.83% 20.75%+0.45 -1.2 14
1952-09-15 @ Slavia Sofia D 0-066.3 1583 1667 20.75% 24.83% 54.42%-0.45 +1.2 19
1952-09-16 Akademik Sofia W 4-051.4 1703 1638 52.39% 25.08% 22.53%+0.38 +13.5 19
1952-09-16 @ Levski Sofia L 0-451.4 1638 1703 22.53% 25.08% 52.39%-0.38 -13.5 15
1952-09-16 Lokomotiv Plovdiv W 1-056.6 1579 1592 42.65% 25.67% 31.67%+0.08 +5.0 19
1952-09-16 @ Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-156.6 1592 1579 31.67% 25.67% 42.65%-0.08 -5.0 21
1952-09-19 Spartak Sofia D 0-067.4 1584 1740 24.11% 24.78% 51.11%-0.49 +0.9 20
1952-09-19 @ Spartak Pleven D 0-067.4 1740 1584 51.11% 24.78% 24.11%+0.49 -0.9 14
1952-09-20 Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-457.5 1624 1584 49.36% 25.35% 25.29%+0.28 -25.2 15
1952-09-20 @ Akademik Sofia W 4-057.5 1584 1624 25.29% 25.35% 49.36%-0.28 +25.1 21
1952-09-22 Spartak Sofia L 1-363.5 1665 1739 34.07% 25.61% 40.33%-0.17 -8.5 14
1952-09-22 @ Slavia Sofia W 3-163.5 1739 1665 40.33% 25.61% 34.07%+0.17 +8.6 16
1952-09-23 CSKA Sofia L 0-162.1 1716 1768 37.18% 25.69% 37.13%-0.08 -5.6 19
1952-09-23 @ Levski Sofia W 1-062.1 1768 1716 37.13% 25.69% 37.18%+0.08 +5.6 20
1952-09-23 Lokomotiv Sofia W 1-058.4 1545 1610 35.31% 25.65% 39.04%-0.13 +5.8 15
1952-09-23 @ Minyor Pernik L 0-158.4 1610 1545 39.04% 25.65% 35.31%+0.13 -5.8 21
1952-09-24 Akademik Sofia W 1-057.0 1585 1599 42.49% 25.68% 31.84%+0.07 +5.0 22
1952-09-24 @ Spartak Pleven L 0-157.0 1599 1585 31.84% 25.68% 42.49%-0.07 -5.0 15
1952-09-25 Cherno More D 0-068.0 1748 1608 60.17% 23.85% 15.98%+0.67 -1.6 17
1952-09-25 @ Spartak Sofia D 0-068.0 1608 1748 15.98% 23.85% 60.17%-0.67 +1.6 18
1952-09-26 Botev Plovdiv W 1-050.5 1604 1500 56.57% 24.52% 18.91%+0.53 +3.2 23
1952-09-26 @ Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-150.5 1500 1604 18.91% 24.52% 56.57%-0.53 -3.2 13
1952-09-27 Spartak Varna W 5-047.4 1774 1567 65.97% 22.31% 11.72%+0.93 +9.1 22
1952-09-27 @ CSKA Sofia L 0-547.4 1567 1774 11.72% 22.31% 65.97%-0.93 -9.1 11
1952-09-28 Lokomotiv Plovdiv W 2-161.9 1590 1587 44.75% 25.61% 29.64%+0.14 +4.5 24
1952-09-28 @ Spartak Pleven L 1-261.9 1587 1590 29.64% 25.61% 44.75%-0.14 -4.4 21
1952-09-29 Cherno More L 1-558.6 1594 1610 42.21% 25.68% 32.11%+0.06 -18.4 15
1952-09-29 @ Akademik Sofia W 5-158.6 1610 1594 32.11% 25.68% 42.21%-0.06 +18.4 20
1952-09-30 Spartak Varna D 0-065.7 1657 1558 56.07% 24.60% 19.34%+0.51 -1.3 15
1952-09-30 @ Slavia Sofia D 0-065.7 1558 1657 19.34% 24.60% 56.07%-0.51 +1.3 12
1952-10-01 CSKA Sofia L 0-451.5 1607 1783 22.09% 24.47% 53.44%-0.56 -13.2 23
1952-10-01 @ Lokomotiv Sofia W 4-051.5 1783 1607 53.44% 24.47% 22.09%+0.56 +13.2 24
1952-10-02 Cherno More L 0-166.0 1711 1628 54.35% 24.84% 20.81%+0.45 -7.7 19
1952-10-02 @ Levski Sofia W 1-066.0 1628 1711 20.81% 24.84% 54.35%-0.45 +7.7 22
1952-10-03 Spartak Varna W 5-047.5 1746 1559 64.36% 22.80% 12.84%+0.86 +10.0 19
1952-10-03 @ Spartak Sofia L 0-547.5 1559 1746 12.84% 22.80% 64.36%-0.86 -9.9 12
1952-10-04 Akademik Sofia D 1-171.1 1655 1576 54.04% 24.88% 21.08%+0.44 -1.0 16
1952-10-04 @ Slavia Sofia D 1-171.1 1576 1655 21.08% 24.88% 54.04%-0.44 +1.0 16
1952-10-05 CSKA Sofia D 2-278.8 1550 1796 16.12% 23.05% 60.83%-0.84 +1.1 16
1952-10-05 @ Minyor Pernik D 2-278.8 1796 1550 60.83% 23.05% 16.12%+0.84 -1.1 25
1952-10-07 Akademik Sofia W 3-048.5 1756 1577 63.75% 22.97% 13.28%+0.83 +6.4 21
1952-10-07 @ Spartak Sofia L 0-348.5 1577 1756 13.28% 22.97% 63.75%-0.83 -6.4 16
1952-10-09 Minyor Pernik W 3-156.6 1594 1552 49.69% 25.33% 24.98%+0.29 +6.7 25
1952-10-09 @ Lokomotiv Sofia L 1-356.6 1552 1594 24.98% 25.33% 49.69%-0.29 -6.7 16
1952-10-11 CSKA Sofia L 0-154.9 1570 1795 17.73% 23.52% 58.75%-0.76 -3.0 16
1952-10-11 @ Akademik Sofia W 1-054.9 1795 1570 58.75% 23.52% 17.73%+0.76 +3.0 27
1952-10-11 Spartak Sofia W 1-066.8 1497 1763 14.71% 22.56% 62.73%-0.92 +8.7 15
1952-10-11 @ Botev Plovdiv L 0-166.8 1763 1497 62.73% 22.56% 14.71%+0.92 -8.7 21
1952-10-14 Spartak Pleven W 1-053.0 1798 1595 65.70% 22.39% 11.90%+0.92 +2.1 29
1952-10-14 @ CSKA Sofia L 0-153.0 1595 1798 11.90% 22.39% 65.70%-0.92 -2.1 24
1952-10-15 Spartak Sofia W 1-066.1 1549 1754 19.41% 23.94% 56.65%-0.68 +7.9 14
1952-10-15 @ Spartak Varna L 0-166.1 1754 1549 56.65% 23.94% 19.41%+0.68 -7.9 21
1952-10-16 Levski Sofia D 1-172.6 1654 1703 37.61% 25.69% 36.70%-0.07 -0.0 17
1952-10-16 @ Slavia Sofia D 1-172.6 1703 1654 36.70% 25.69% 37.61%+0.07 +0.0 20
1952-10-22 Lokomotiv Plovdiv W 4-153.4 1746 1583 62.34% 23.34% 14.31%+0.76 +5.8 23
1952-10-22 @ Spartak Sofia L 1-453.4 1583 1746 14.31% 23.34% 62.34%-0.76 -5.8 21
1952-10-23 Minyor Pernik L 1-275.3 1800 1545 69.66% 20.99% 9.35%+1.12 -9.0 29
1952-10-23 @ CSKA Sofia W 2-175.3 1545 1800 9.35% 20.99% 69.66%-1.12 +9.0 18
1952-10-29 Levski Sofia D 1-171.8 1567 1703 26.31% 25.06% 48.64%-0.41 +0.7 17
1952-10-29 @ Akademik Sofia D 1-171.8 1703 1567 48.64% 25.06% 26.31%+0.41 -0.7 21
1952-10-30 CSKA Sofia L 0-158.4 1654 1791 26.24% 25.05% 48.71%-0.41 -4.2 17
1952-10-30 @ Slavia Sofia W 1-058.4 1791 1654 48.71% 25.05% 26.24%+0.41 +4.2 31
1952-11-11 Botev Plovdiv L 0-159.6 1568 1506 52.04% 25.11% 22.85%+0.37 -7.4 17
1952-11-11 @ Akademik Sofia W 1-059.6 1506 1568 22.85% 25.11% 52.04%-0.37 +7.4 17
1952-11-12 Lokomotiv Plovdiv W 5-150.6 1795 1577 66.92% 22.00% 11.09%+0.98 +5.8 33
1952-11-12 @ CSKA Sofia L 1-550.6 1577 1795 11.09% 22.00% 66.92%-0.98 -5.8 21
1952-11-14 Slavia Sofia L 0-157.2 1554 1650 31.11% 25.46% 43.43%-0.25 -4.9 18
1952-11-14 @ Minyor Pernik W 1-057.2 1650 1554 43.43% 25.46% 31.11%+0.25 +4.9 19
1952-11-16 Lokomotiv Plovdiv D 0-063.3 1561 1571 42.93% 25.67% 31.41%+0.08 -0.4 18
1952-11-16 @ Akademik Sofia D 0-063.3 1571 1561 31.41% 25.67% 42.93%-0.08 +0.4 22
1952-11-17 Botev Plovdiv L 0-265.6 1752 1513 68.47% 21.45% 10.09%+1.06 -17.8 23
1952-11-17 @ Spartak Sofia W 2-065.6 1513 1752 10.09% 21.45% 68.47%-1.06 +17.8 19
1952-11-18 Slavia Sofia L 1-265.7 1601 1655 36.79% 25.68% 37.53%-0.09 -5.2 25
1952-11-18 @ Lokomotiv Sofia W 2-165.7 1655 1601 37.53% 25.68% 36.79%+0.09 +5.2 21
1952-11-23 Spartak Sofia L 0-254.7 1595 1734 25.99% 25.02% 48.99%-0.42 -8.0 25
1952-11-23 @ Lokomotiv Sofia W 2-054.7 1734 1595 48.99% 25.02% 25.99%+0.42 +8.0 25
1952-11-30 Levski Sofia D 0-068.2 1742 1702 49.35% 25.36% 25.29%+0.28 -0.8 26
1952-11-30 @ Spartak Sofia D 0-068.2 1702 1742 25.29% 25.36% 49.35%-0.28 +0.8 22

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1952-10-23 9.35% Minyor Pernik 1545 2 @ CSKA Sofia 1800 1
2 1952-11-17 10.09% Botev Plovdiv 1513 2 @ Spartak Sofia 1752 0
3 1952-04-06 12.40% Lokomotiv Sofia 1544 1 @ Spartak Sofia 1738 0
4 1952-09-09 14.10% Lokomotiv Sofia 1556 3 @ Levski Sofia 1722 0
5 1952-08-28 14.38% Spartak Pleven 1569 1 @ Levski Sofia 1731 0
6 1952-04-10 14.57% Minyor Pernik 1535 2 @ Slavia Sofia 1694 1
7 1952-10-11 14.71% @ Botev Plovdiv 1497 1 Spartak Sofia 1763 0
8 1952-04-14 16.49% Lokomotiv Sofia 1553 1 @ Slavia Sofia 1686 0
9 1952-08-14 17.39% @ Botev Plovdiv 1508 1 Levski Sofia 1737 0
10 1952-10-15 19.41% @ Spartak Varna 1549 1 Spartak Sofia 1754 0
11 1952-09-10 20.12% Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1584 1 @ Slavia Sofia 1674 0
12 1952-03-16 20.54% @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1558 1 CSKA Sofia 1750 0
13 1952-10-02 20.81% Cherno More 1628 1 @ Levski Sofia 1711 0
14 1952-07-13 21.14% Spartak Pleven 1559 2 @ Cherno More 1638 0
15 1952-11-11 22.85% Botev Plovdiv 1506 1 @ Akademik Sofia 1568 0
16 1952-04-13 25.18% @ Spartak Pleven 1565 1 Levski Sofia 1711 0
17 1952-09-20 25.29% Lokomotiv Sofia 1584 4 @ Akademik Sofia 1624 0
18 1952-04-19 25.59% @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1561 1 Levski Sofia 1704 0
19 1952-05-17 25.89% Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1571 2 @ Spartak Varna 1606 1
20 1952-03-16 27.61% @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1513 5 Spartak Varna 1638 0
21 1952-05-25 27.65% @ Spartak Pleven 1547 1 Cherno More 1672 0
22 1952-07-27 28.29% Botev Plovdiv 1505 1 @ Minyor Pernik 1519 0
23 1952-08-31 28.49% @ Spartak Varna 1565 2 Slavia Sofia 1682 1
24 1952-08-03 28.93% @ Minyor Pernik 1509 3 Cherno More 1623 0
25 1952-08-11 29.90% Lokomotiv Sofia 1574 1 @ Spartak Pleven 1575 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1952-03-16 29.75 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 5 1513 27.61% Spartak Varna 0 1638 47.19% 25.19%
2 1952-06-24 25.67 Levski Sofia 5 1701 35.11% @ Cherno More 0 1664 39.18% 25.70%
3 1952-09-20 25.16 Lokomotiv Sofia 4 1584 25.29% @ Akademik Sofia 0 1624 49.36% 25.35%
4 1952-09-09 23.85 Lokomotiv Sofia 3 1556 14.10% @ Levski Sofia 0 1722 62.63% 23.27%
5 1952-08-07 20.53 @ Minyor Pernik 4 1527 35.87% Spartak Varna 0 1588 38.47% 25.66%
6 1952-05-04 18.45 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 6 1553 41.86% Spartak Pleven 1 1571 32.46% 25.69%
7 1952-09-29 18.40 Cherno More 5 1610 32.11% @ Akademik Sofia 1 1594 42.21% 25.68%
8 1952-04-07 18.07 @ Slavia Sofia 6 1676 42.74% Cherno More 1 1688 31.59% 25.67%
9 1952-08-03 18.01 @ Minyor Pernik 3 1509 28.93% Cherno More 0 1623 45.77% 25.31%
10 1952-11-17 17.76 Botev Plovdiv 2 1513 10.09% @ Spartak Sofia 0 1752 68.47% 21.45%
11 1952-03-30 15.40 Slavia Sofia 3 1660 36.85% @ Akademik Sofia 0 1610 37.46% 25.69%
12 1952-07-13 14.35 Spartak Pleven 2 1559 21.14% @ Cherno More 0 1638 53.97% 24.89%
13 1952-05-01 14.16 @ Spartak Varna 4 1591 50.92% Minyor Pernik 0 1539 23.85% 25.22%
14 1952-09-16 13.50 @ Levski Sofia 4 1703 52.39% Akademik Sofia 0 1638 22.53% 25.08%
15 1952-10-01 13.16 CSKA Sofia 4 1783 53.44% @ Lokomotiv Sofia 0 1607 22.09% 24.47%
16 1952-09-08 11.77 Akademik Sofia 2 1630 31.54% @ Cherno More 0 1619 42.79% 25.67%
17 1952-04-15 11.72 @ Botev Plovdiv 2 1512 31.83% Spartak Varna 0 1603 42.67% 25.50%
18 1952-08-24 10.72 Akademik Sofia 2 1620 36.32% @ Lokomotiv Sofia 0 1574 37.99% 25.70%
19 1952-04-17 10.32 Spartak Sofia 3 1732 52.71% @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 1563 22.72% 24.57%
20 1952-06-15 9.98 Akademik Sofia 2 1596 39.81% @ Botev Plovdiv 0 1526 34.56% 25.62%
21 1952-10-03 9.96 @ Spartak Sofia 5 1746 64.36% Spartak Varna 0 1559 12.84% 22.80%
22 1952-03-16 9.91 Slavia Sofia 2 1650 40.14% @ Spartak Pleven 0 1577 34.25% 25.61%
23 1952-08-08 9.57 Slavia Sofia 2 1674 41.74% @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 1590 32.71% 25.55%
24 1952-08-24 9.57 Cherno More 2 1600 41.73% @ Botev Plovdiv 0 1516 32.72% 25.55%
25 1952-09-27 9.09 @ CSKA Sofia 5 1774 65.97% Spartak Varna 0 1567 11.72% 22.31%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1952-10-05 78.8 @ Minyor Pernik 2 1550 16.12% CSKA Sofia 2 1796 60.83% 23.05%
2 1952-03-27 78.3 @ CSKA Sofia 2 1742 65.41% Lokomotiv Sofia 2 1543 12.10% 22.48%
3 1952-10-23 75.3 Minyor Pernik 2 1545 9.35% @ CSKA Sofia 1 1800 69.66% 20.99%
4 1952-07-16 74.9 @ Spartak Varna 2 1588 46.23% Spartak Pleven 2 1573 28.22% 25.55%
5 1952-08-21 74.3 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 2 1574 45.09% Spartak Pleven 2 1568 29.31% 25.60%
6 1952-04-13 73.4 @ CSKA Sofia 1 1752 46.88% Spartak Sofia 1 1732 27.60% 25.52%
7 1952-04-08 73.2 @ CSKA Sofia 1 1753 61.90% Akademik Sofia 1 1595 14.65% 23.45%
8 1952-03-16 73.1 @ Cherno More 1 1688 38.10% Spartak Sofia 1 1733 36.21% 25.70%
9 1952-10-16 72.6 @ Slavia Sofia 1 1654 37.61% Levski Sofia 1 1703 36.70% 25.69%
10 1952-09-10 72.2 @ Minyor Pernik 1 1548 20.81% Spartak Sofia 1 1737 54.96% 24.23%
11 1952-04-10 72.1 Minyor Pernik 2 1535 14.57% @ Slavia Sofia 1 1694 62.00% 23.43%
12 1952-10-29 71.8 @ Akademik Sofia 1 1567 26.31% Levski Sofia 1 1703 48.64% 25.06%
13 1952-09-04 71.3 @ Cherno More 3 1614 35.70% Slavia Sofia 2 1676 38.65% 25.66%
14 1952-10-04 71.1 @ Slavia Sofia 1 1655 54.04% Akademik Sofia 1 1576 21.08% 24.88%
15 1952-04-12 70.2 Cherno More 3 1670 38.61% @ Spartak Varna 2 1608 35.73% 25.66%
16 1952-09-14 70.0 Spartak Sofia 3 1736 43.10% @ Akademik Sofia 2 1642 31.42% 25.48%
17 1952-06-18 69.4 @ Akademik Sofia 1 1606 50.84% Spartak Pleven 1 1554 23.93% 25.23%
18 1952-08-28 68.4 @ Spartak Varna 1 1565 44.58% Lokomotiv Sofia 1 1563 29.80% 25.62%
19 1952-08-31 68.3 @ Spartak Varna 2 1565 28.49% Slavia Sofia 1 1682 46.24% 25.27%
20 1952-09-04 68.2 @ Levski Sofia 0 1723 41.61% Spartak Sofia 0 1743 32.70% 25.69%
21 1952-11-30 68.2 @ Spartak Sofia 0 1742 49.35% Levski Sofia 0 1702 25.29% 25.36%
22 1952-04-04 68.1 @ Spartak Sofia 0 1739 52.27% Slavia Sofia 0 1675 22.65% 25.09%
23 1952-09-25 68.0 @ Spartak Sofia 0 1748 60.17% Cherno More 0 1608 15.98% 23.85%
24 1952-04-06 67.9 Lokomotiv Sofia 1 1544 12.40% @ Spartak Sofia 0 1738 64.98% 22.61%
25 1952-04-27 67.9 @ Spartak Pleven 1 1572 48.64% Minyor Pernik 1 1538 25.96% 25.41%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1952-03-30 46.5 @ CSKA Sofia 3 1741 67.30% Botev Plovdiv 0 1517 10.84% 21.87%
2 1952-09-27 47.4 @ CSKA Sofia 5 1774 65.97% Spartak Varna 0 1567 11.72% 22.31%
3 1952-03-29 47.5 @ Spartak Sofia 3 1733 64.85% Minyor Pernik 0 1541 12.50% 22.66%
4 1952-10-03 47.5 @ Spartak Sofia 5 1746 64.36% Spartak Varna 0 1559 12.84% 22.80%
5 1952-05-01 47.8 @ Spartak Varna 4 1591 50.92% Minyor Pernik 0 1539 23.85% 25.22%
6 1952-07-10 48.5 @ Spartak Varna 2 1581 52.82% Botev Plovdiv 0 1512 22.16% 25.03%
7 1952-10-07 48.5 @ Spartak Sofia 3 1756 63.75% Akademik Sofia 0 1577 13.28% 22.97%
8 1952-09-26 50.5 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1 1604 56.57% Botev Plovdiv 0 1500 18.91% 24.52%
9 1952-11-12 50.6 @ CSKA Sofia 5 1795 66.92% Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 1577 11.09% 22.00%
10 1952-04-17 51.4 Spartak Sofia 3 1732 52.71% @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 1563 22.72% 24.57%
11 1952-09-16 51.4 @ Levski Sofia 4 1703 52.39% Akademik Sofia 0 1638 22.53% 25.08%
12 1952-10-01 51.5 CSKA Sofia 4 1783 53.44% @ Lokomotiv Sofia 0 1607 22.09% 24.47%
13 1952-08-20 51.6 @ Slavia Sofia 4 1676 61.48% Botev Plovdiv 1 1522 14.96% 23.55%
14 1952-05-21 51.9 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4 1578 51.29% Minyor Pernik 1 1522 23.52% 25.19%
15 1952-08-07 51.9 @ Minyor Pernik 4 1527 35.87% Spartak Varna 0 1588 38.47% 25.66%
16 1952-05-04 52.5 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 6 1553 41.86% Spartak Pleven 1 1571 32.46% 25.69%
17 1952-08-24 52.6 Cherno More 2 1600 41.73% @ Botev Plovdiv 0 1516 32.72% 25.55%
18 1952-09-04 52.9 CSKA Sofia 1 1762 61.76% @ Botev Plovdiv 0 1506 15.42% 22.82%
19 1952-10-14 53.0 @ CSKA Sofia 1 1798 65.70% Spartak Pleven 0 1595 11.90% 22.39%
20 1952-04-09 53.1 @ Spartak Sofia 1 1729 62.22% Spartak Pleven 0 1567 14.41% 23.37%
21 1952-08-19 53.2 @ Levski Sofia 1 1729 62.12% Spartak Varna 0 1568 14.48% 23.40%
22 1952-03-28 53.3 @ Levski Sofia 1 1715 61.06% Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 1566 15.29% 23.65%
23 1952-06-15 53.3 Akademik Sofia 2 1596 39.81% @ Botev Plovdiv 0 1526 34.56% 25.62%
24 1952-10-22 53.4 @ Spartak Sofia 4 1746 62.34% Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 1583 14.31% 23.34%
25 1952-06-27 53.5 @ Akademik Sofia 2 1612 46.59% Spartak Varna 0 1594 27.88% 25.53%