Home / Leagues / Bulgaria / A Group / 1951
‹ ›

1951 A Group Season

132 games

Final

Champion

CSKA Sofia

37 points · 2nd Title

Last Title: 1948

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Spartak Sofia

6.35 points above expected

36 points · 29.65 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Dunav Ruse

7.13 points below expected

4 points · 11.13 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 CSKA Sofia Champion 22 18 1 3 37 62 7 +55 31.90 +5.10
2 Spartak Sofia 22 14 8 0 36 27 7 +20 29.65 +6.35
3 Levski Sofia 22 9 8 5 26 37 16 +21 27.81 -1.81
4 Akademik Sofia 22 10 6 6 26 40 33 +7 24.94 +1.06
5 Spartak Varna 22 10 5 7 25 43 27 +16 22.87 +2.13
6 Cerveno Zname Sofia 22 6 11 5 23 26 21 +5 20.69 +2.31
7 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 22 7 9 6 23 21 20 +1 20.84 +2.16
8 Stroitel Sofia 22 7 7 8 21 25 25 0 22.62 -1.62
9 Minyor Pernik 22 9 2 11 20 37 39 -2 20.56 -0.56
10 Botev Plovdiv 22 6 6 10 18 27 32 -5 18.89 -0.89
11 Torpedo Pleven 22 1 3 18 5 16 59 -43 12.10 -7.10
12 Dunav Ruse 22 0 4 18 4 8 83 -75 11.13 -7.13

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Spartak Sofia 36 29.65 +6.35
2 CSKA Sofia 37 31.90 +5.10
3 Cerveno Zname Sofia 23 20.69 +2.31
4 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 23 20.84 +2.16
5 Spartak Varna 25 22.87 +2.13

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dunav Ruse 4 11.13 -7.13
2 Torpedo Pleven 5 12.10 -7.10
3 Levski Sofia 26 27.81 -1.81
4 Stroitel Sofia 21 22.62 -1.62
5 Botev Plovdiv 18 18.89 -0.89

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Spartak Sofia 6 Jul 8 – Sep 2 1 in 73
2 Minyor Pernik 3 Jul 8 – Jul 21 1 in 48
3 CSKA Sofia 9 Jun 3 – Jul 25 1 in 46
4 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3 Apr 29 – May 13 1 in 18
5 Spartak Varna 3 Apr 8 – Apr 21 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dunav Ruse 11 Mar 25 – Jun 17 1 in 919
2 Torpedo Pleven 10 Mar 25 – Jun 3 1 in 236
3 Levski Sofia 2 Jul 15 – Jul 21 1 in 39
4 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3 Jun 17 – Jun 24 1 in 21
5 Stroitel Sofia 2 Apr 1 – Apr 8 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Spartak Sofia 22 Mar 25 – Oct 7 1 in 153
2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 10 Apr 1 – Jun 1 1 in 90
3 Cerveno Zname Sofia 6 Jul 25 – Sep 23 1 in 18
4 Botev Plovdiv 5 Apr 19 – May 20 1 in 12
5 Stroitel Sofia 5 Apr 29 – May 27 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Spartak Sofia 4 May 27 – Jul 1 1 in 44
2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 7 May 20 – Jul 8 1 in 40
3 Dunav Ruse 22 Mar 25 – Sep 23 1 in 26
4 Stroitel Sofia 5 Apr 1 – Apr 25 1 in 11
5 Levski Sofia 4 May 6 – May 27 1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
CSKA Sofia 1914 37 -50 6 7.3 -1.3
Spartak Sofia 1906 36 +39 9 6.9 +2.1
Levski Sofia 1851 26 +55 8 6.7 +1.3
Akademik Sofia 1691 26 -10 5 4.6 +0.4
Spartak Varna 1730 25 +99 6 5.4 +0.6
Cerveno Zname Sofia 1639 23 +24 6 4.9 +1.1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1597 23 -5 4 4.6 -0.6
Stroitel Sofia 1608 21 -27 4 5.0 -1.0
Minyor Pernik 1563 20 -47 4 4.6 -0.6
Botev Plovdiv 1519 18 -2 3 4.7 -1.7
Torpedo Pleven 1260 5 -87 2 2.9 -0.9
Dunav Ruse 1219 4 -27 2 2.4 -0.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS BP CS CZS DR LS LP MP SS SV SS TP
Akademik Sofia —
2-0-0
3.47
0-0-2
1.39
0-1-1
3.26
2-0-0
4.08
0-2-0
2.55
0-1-1
3.39
2-0-0
3.19
0-1-1
2.28
1-0-1
3.49
2-0-0
3.07
1-1-0
4.49
Botev Plovdiv
0-0-2
1.97
 —
0-1-1
0.87
1-1-0
2.17
1-1-0
4.40
0-0-2
1.48
1-0-1
2.75
1-0-1
2.59
0-1-1
1.09
0-0-2
2.08
0-2-0
2.17
2-0-0
3.84
CSKA Sofia
2-0-0
4.07
1-1-0
4.63
 —
2-0-0
4.33
2-0-0
4.93
1-0-1
3.64
2-0-0
4.20
2-0-0
4.32
0-0-2
3.31
2-0-0
3.60
2-0-0
4.19
2-0-0
4.47
Cerveno Zname Sofia
1-1-0
2.19
0-1-1
3.27
0-0-2
1.14
 —
2-0-0
4.22
0-2-0
1.60
0-2-0
2.62
0-2-0
2.87
0-1-1
1.20
0-2-0
2.44
1-0-1
2.56
2-0-0
3.64
Dunav Ruse
0-0-2
1.40
0-1-1
1.07
0-0-2
0.63
0-0-2
1.25
 —
0-0-2
0.68
0-1-1
1.63
0-0-2
1.57
0-1-1
1.17
0-0-2
1.17
0-0-2
1.20
0-1-1
2.53
Levski Sofia
0-2-0
2.89
2-0-0
3.98
1-0-1
1.80
0-2-0
3.85
2-0-0
4.87
 —
0-1-1
3.56
0-0-2
3.48
0-1-1
2.82
2-0-0
2.99
0-2-0
3.68
2-0-0
4.45
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1-1-0
2.06
1-0-1
2.70
0-0-2
1.27
0-2-0
2.82
1-1-0
3.82
1-1-0
1.88
 —
1-0-1
2.95
0-1-1
1.53
1-1-0
2.62
0-1-1
2.89
1-1-0
4.28
Minyor Pernik
0-0-2
2.25
1-0-1
2.85
0-0-2
1.14
0-2-0
2.57
2-0-0
3.89
2-0-0
1.96
1-0-1
2.48
 —
0-0-2
1.63
0-0-2
2.51
1-0-1
2.12
2-0-0
4.35
Spartak Sofia
1-1-0
3.16
1-1-0
4.39
2-0-0
2.13
1-1-0
4.26
1-1-0
4.33
1-1-0
2.61
1-1-0
3.93
2-0-0
3.82
 —
1-1-0
4.05
1-1-0
4.19
2-0-0
4.60
Spartak Varna
1-0-1
1.95
2-0-0
3.36
0-0-2
1.85
0-2-0
3.00
2-0-0
4.30
0-0-2
2.45
0-1-1
2.82
2-0-0
2.93
0-1-1
1.41
 —
1-1-0
2.66
2-0-0
4.57
Stroitel Sofia
0-0-2
2.37
0-2-0
3.27
0-0-2
1.28
1-0-1
2.88
2-0-0
4.28
0-2-0
1.77
1-1-0
2.55
1-0-1
3.32
0-1-1
1.27
0-1-1
2.78
 —
2-0-0
3.99
Torpedo Pleven
0-1-1
0.99
0-0-2
1.61
0-0-2
1.04
0-0-2
1.81
1-1-0
2.91
0-0-2
1.03
0-1-1
1.18
0-0-2
1.12
0-0-2
0.89
0-0-2
0.92
0-0-2
1.47
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.56 +5.3
Allowed 0.85 -4.2
Differential 0.89 +2.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.36%9.09%5.68%3.41%1.52%4.55%35.61%
19.09%12.12%4.17%3.03%1.52%1.52%31.44%
25.68%4.17%1.52%1.52%—0.76%13.64%
33.41%3.03%1.52%1.52%——9.47%
41.52%1.52%————3.03%
5+4.55%1.52%0.76%———6.82%
Total35.61%31.44%13.64%9.47%3.03%6.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 1.40 +0.00
SD 1.69 1.69 2.63
CV 1.21 1.21 —
Max 12 12 +12
Min 0 0 -12

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—9.09%4.55%——22.73%
14.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
218.18%————4.55%22.73%
3—9.09%—9.09%——18.18%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total31.82%27.27%18.18%18.18%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.50 +0.32
SD 1.47 1.65 2.15
CV 0.81 1.10 —
Max 5 7 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%18.18%4.55%4.55%4.55%—36.36%
14.55%22.73%4.55%—4.55%—36.36%
2—9.09%———4.55%13.64%
34.55%—————4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total18.18%54.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.45 -0.23
SD 1.51 1.37 2.27
CV 1.23 0.94 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
113.64%—————13.64%
222.73%4.55%————27.27%
39.09%4.55%————13.64%
4———————
5+22.73%4.55%————27.27%
Total72.73%22.73%4.55%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.82 0.32 +2.50
SD 2.75 0.57 2.97
CV 0.98 1.78 —
Max 12 2 +12
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%13.64%4.55%——4.55%40.91%
14.55%22.73%————27.27%
29.09%4.55%9.09%———22.73%
34.55%—————4.55%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total36.36%45.45%13.64%——4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 0.95 +0.23
SD 1.59 1.13 2.02
CV 1.35 1.19 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%13.64%—31.82%63.64%
1—9.09%4.55%4.55%9.09%9.09%36.36%
2———————
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%13.64%9.09%18.18%9.09%40.91%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.36 3.77 -3.41
SD 0.49 2.71 2.82
CV 1.35 0.72 —
Max 1 12 +0
Min 0 0 -12

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%————22.73%
19.09%22.73%4.55%4.55%——40.91%
213.64%—————13.64%
3———4.55%——4.55%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+9.09%—————9.09%
Total50.00%36.36%4.55%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 0.73 +0.95
SD 1.70 0.94 2.13
CV 1.01 1.29 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
027.27%13.64%———4.55%45.45%
19.09%13.64%4.55%———27.27%
2—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
39.09%—4.55%———13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total45.45%36.36%9.09%4.55%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 0.91 +0.05
SD 1.09 1.23 1.59
CV 1.14 1.35 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%4.55%9.09%—22.73%
113.64%—9.09%13.64%4.55%—40.91%
2——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+9.09%—————9.09%
Total31.82%9.09%22.73%22.73%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.77 -0.09
SD 1.67 1.48 2.72
CV 0.99 0.83 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
027.27%—————27.27%
131.82%9.09%————40.91%
24.55%9.09%————13.64%
34.55%13.64%————18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total68.18%31.82%————100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 0.32 +0.91
SD 1.07 0.48 0.87
CV 0.87 1.50 —
Max 3 1 +3
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%—36.36%
14.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
2—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
34.55%—9.09%———13.64%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+4.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
Total31.82%27.27%31.82%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 1.23 +0.73
SD 2.15 1.11 2.62
CV 1.10 0.90 —
Max 7 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%13.64%———31.82%
113.64%18.18%4.55%9.09%——45.45%
2—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total31.82%36.36%18.18%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.14 +0.00
SD 1.36 1.04 1.80
CV 1.19 0.91 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—22.73%13.64%9.09%—13.64%59.09%
1—9.09%9.09%——9.09%27.27%
2———4.55%——4.55%
3———4.55%——4.55%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total—36.36%22.73%18.18%—22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 2.68 -1.95
SD 1.24 1.91 2.38
CV 1.71 0.71 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 1 -6

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
CSKA Sofia 1914 37 31.90 +5.10 95.0% 21 26 30 32 34 37 40
Spartak Sofia 1906 36 29.65 +6.35 95.0% 20 24 27 30 32 36 37
Levski Sofia 1851 26 27.81 -1.81 37.0% 19 22 25 28 30 34 35
Spartak Varna 1730 25 22.87 +2.13 76.0% 15 17 20 23 25 28 33
Akademik Sofia 1691 26 24.94 +1.06 66.0% 18 18 22 25 27 30 32
Cerveno Zname Sofia 1639 23 20.69 +2.31 81.0% 10 14 19 21 22 26 32
Stroitel Sofia 1608 21 22.62 -1.62 32.0% 13 16 19 23 25 29 33
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1597 23 20.84 +2.16 75.0% 14 15 18 20 23 27 30
Minyor Pernik 1563 20 20.56 -0.56 49.0% 13 14 18 21 23 26 27
Botev Plovdiv 1519 18 18.89 -0.89 48.0% 11 13 16 19 21 26 30
Torpedo Pleven 1260 5 12.10 -7.10 3.0% 3 6 9 12 14 19 20
Dunav Ruse 1219 4 11.13 -7.13 1.0% 2 7 9 11 13 17 21

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+6.82%
No Edge
40.15%26.52%33.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 23.73 Elo pts.
136 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.20 goals
Neutral
-2+0.17+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.5
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
55%
CSKA Sofia, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.87 * Some Luck: 2.87 to 4.31 * Lucky: 4.31 to 5.75 * Wild Swing: 5.75 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.15 * Close: 1.15 to 1.72 * Off: 1.72 to 2.29 * Way Off: 2.29 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.98 points
Some Luck
03.599
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.33
Pinpoint
01.433
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
95.00%
CSKA Sofia
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
Dunav Ruse
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.23
Lopsided
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 222.28
2.48
Wide Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
77%
Wide Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
56%
Some Drama
0%43%100%
Blowouts
Expected
27%
Very Frequent
0%34%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.48
Notable Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.31
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.64
Strong Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Chalky
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
13%
Solid Favorites
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.3 * Well Above Noise: 0.3 and up.
Probability calibration
0.61
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.29
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.088
Well Within Noise
00.1480.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
CSKA Sofia55.00%31.00%8.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%—————
Spartak Sofia27.00%32.00%22.00%9.00%6.00%1.00%3.00%—————
Levski Sofia13.00%24.00%26.00%18.00%8.00%5.00%4.00%—2.00%———
Akademik Sofia—6.00%22.00%24.00%12.00%12.00%8.00%8.00%7.00%1.00%——
Spartak Varna4.00%1.00%7.00%14.00%19.00%14.00%10.00%16.00%11.00%4.00%——
Cerveno Zname Sofia—2.00%2.00%8.00%6.00%19.00%20.00%17.00%9.00%12.00%5.00%—
Lokomotiv Plovdiv—1.00%3.00%7.00%8.00%12.00%14.00%17.00%18.00%16.00%4.00%—
Stroitel Sofia1.00%2.00%7.00%9.00%22.00%15.00%13.00%7.00%17.00%5.00%2.00%—
Minyor Pernik——2.00%4.00%12.00%16.00%16.00%17.00%13.00%17.00%2.00%1.00%
Botev Plovdiv—1.00%1.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%10.00%15.00%19.00%26.00%11.00%2.00%
Torpedo Pleven———————3.00%3.00%12.00%47.00%35.00%
Dunav Ruse——————1.00%—1.00%7.00%29.00%62.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
CSKA Sofia 100% —
Spartak Sofia 100% —
Levski Sofia 98.00% 2.00%
Akademik Sofia 92.00% 8.00%
Spartak Varna 85.00% 15.00%
Stroitel Sofia 76.00% 24.00%
Cerveno Zname Sofia 74.00% 26.00%
Minyor Pernik 67.00% 33.00%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 62.00% 38.00%
Botev Plovdiv 42.00% 58.00%
Torpedo Pleven 3.00% 97.00%
Dunav Ruse 1.00% 99.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1951-03-25 Botev Plovdiv W 1-056.6 1687 1600 51.46% 27.83% 20.71%+0.82 +13.3 2
1951-03-25 @ Akademik Sofia L 0-156.6 1600 1687 20.71% 27.83% 51.46%-0.82 -13.3 0
1951-03-25 Torpedo Pleven W 2-051.2 1749 1523 63.03% 26.72% 10.25%+1.84 +13.9 2
1951-03-25 @ Levski Sofia L 0-251.2 1523 1749 10.25% 26.72% 63.03%-1.84 -13.9 0
1951-03-25 Cerveno Zname Sofia D 2-271.1 1600 1547 47.63% 27.98% 24.39%+0.57 -1.9 1
1951-03-25 @ Minyor Pernik D 2-271.1 1547 1600 24.39% 27.98% 47.63%-0.57 +1.9 1
1951-03-25 Dunav Ruse W 1-056.2 1708 1600 53.62% 27.71% 18.67%+0.97 +12.3 2
1951-03-25 @ Spartak Sofia L 0-156.2 1600 1708 18.67% 27.71% 53.62%-0.97 -12.3 0
1951-03-25 CSKA Sofia L 0-357.1 1610 1664 33.42% 28.09% 38.49%-0.22 -52.5 0
1951-03-25 @ Spartak Varna W 3-057.1 1664 1610 38.49% 28.09% 33.42%+0.22 +52.5 2
1951-03-31 Spartak Varna D 1-165.1 1549 1558 39.73% 28.11% 32.16%+0.11 -0.8 2
1951-03-31 @ Cerveno Zname Sofia D 1-165.1 1558 1549 32.16% 28.11% 39.73%-0.11 +0.8 1
1951-04-01 Lokomotiv Plovdiv L 0-357.9 1587 1518 49.42% 27.92% 22.66%+0.68 -71.4 0
1951-04-01 @ Botev Plovdiv W 3-057.9 1518 1587 22.66% 27.92% 49.42%-0.68 +71.4 2
1951-04-01 Akademik Sofia L 1-459.3 1588 1701 25.76% 27.93% 46.31%-0.66 -36.4 0
1951-04-01 @ Dunav Ruse W 4-159.3 1701 1588 46.31% 27.93% 25.76%+0.66 +36.4 4
1951-04-01 Spartak Sofia L 1-368.8 1763 1721 46.30% 28.01% 25.69%+0.48 -40.2 2
1951-04-01 @ Levski Sofia W 3-168.8 1721 1763 25.69% 28.01% 46.30%-0.48 +40.2 4
1951-04-01 Minyor Pernik L 1-368.8 1687 1598 51.62% 27.82% 20.56%+0.83 -44.3 0
1951-04-01 @ Stroitel Sofia W 3-168.8 1598 1687 20.56% 27.82% 51.62%-0.83 +44.3 3
1951-04-01 CSKA Sofia L 0-549.6 1510 1716 16.37% 27.35% 56.27%-1.35 -48.5 0
1951-04-01 @ Torpedo Pleven W 5-049.6 1716 1510 56.27% 27.35% 16.37%+1.35 +48.5 4
1951-04-07 Torpedo Pleven W 2-049.0 1761 1461 67.23% 25.82% 6.95%+2.39 +9.7 6
1951-04-07 @ Spartak Sofia L 0-249.0 1461 1761 6.95% 25.82% 67.23%-2.39 -9.6 0
1951-04-08 Cerveno Zname Sofia W 5-049.1 1765 1548 62.44% 26.82% 10.74%+1.77 +33.8 6
1951-04-08 @ CSKA Sofia L 0-549.1 1548 1765 10.74% 26.82% 62.44%-1.77 -33.8 2
1951-04-08 Dunav Ruse W 3-052.1 1590 1551 45.83% 28.03% 26.14%+0.46 +43.7 4
1951-04-08 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv L 0-352.1 1551 1590 26.14% 28.03% 45.83%-0.46 -43.7 0
1951-04-08 Botev Plovdiv L 1-268.8 1643 1515 55.41% 27.59% 16.99%+1.11 -27.4 3
1951-04-08 @ Minyor Pernik W 2-168.8 1515 1643 16.99% 27.59% 55.41%-1.11 +27.4 2
1951-04-08 Stroitel Sofia W 3-270.5 1559 1643 29.30% 28.03% 42.67%-0.45 +20.6 3
1951-04-08 @ Spartak Varna L 2-370.5 1643 1559 42.67% 28.03% 29.30%+0.45 -20.6 0
1951-04-09 Stroitel Sofia D 1-168.8 1633 1622 42.40% 28.09% 29.51%+0.26 -1.4 5
1951-04-09 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv D 1-168.8 1622 1633 29.51% 28.09% 42.40%-0.26 +1.4 1
1951-04-11 Levski Sofia D 1-170.7 1737 1723 42.86% 28.08% 29.06%+0.28 -1.5 5
1951-04-11 @ Akademik Sofia D 1-170.7 1723 1737 29.06% 28.08% 42.86%-0.28 +1.5 3
1951-04-14 Akademik Sofia D 0-067.0 1771 1736 45.43% 28.03% 26.54%+0.43 -2.3 7
1951-04-14 @ Spartak Sofia D 0-067.0 1736 1771 26.54% 28.03% 45.43%-0.43 +2.3 6
1951-04-15 Spartak Varna L 0-157.6 1543 1579 35.84% 28.11% 36.05%-0.09 -20.1 2
1951-04-15 @ Botev Plovdiv W 1-057.6 1579 1543 36.05% 28.11% 35.84%+0.09 +20.2 5
1951-04-15 Minyor Pernik L 0-351.6 1508 1615 26.41% 27.95% 45.64%-0.62 -44.0 0
1951-04-15 @ Dunav Ruse W 3-051.6 1615 1508 45.64% 27.95% 26.41%+0.62 +44.0 5
1951-04-15 CSKA Sofia L 0-255.6 1624 1798 19.17% 27.59% 53.24%-1.11 -23.6 1
1951-04-15 @ Stroitel Sofia W 2-055.6 1798 1624 53.24% 27.59% 19.17%+1.11 +23.6 8
1951-04-15 Cerveno Zname Sofia L 0-150.9 1451 1514 32.12% 28.08% 39.80%-0.29 -18.6 0
1951-04-15 @ Torpedo Pleven W 1-050.9 1514 1451 39.80% 28.08% 32.12%+0.29 +18.6 4
1951-04-19 Botev Plovdiv D 0-066.7 1822 1523 67.21% 25.82% 6.97%+2.38 -8.7 9
1951-04-19 @ CSKA Sofia D 0-066.7 1523 1822 6.97% 25.82% 67.21%-2.38 +8.7 3
1951-04-21 Dunav Ruse W 6-147.8 1599 1464 56.18% 27.53% 16.29%+1.17 +40.1 7
1951-04-21 @ Spartak Varna L 1-647.8 1464 1599 16.29% 27.53% 56.18%-1.17 -40.1 0
1951-04-22 Torpedo Pleven W 2-047.8 1738 1433 67.49% 25.74% 6.76%+2.42 +9.4 8
1951-04-22 @ Akademik Sofia L 0-247.8 1433 1738 6.76% 25.74% 67.49%-2.42 -9.4 0
1951-04-22 Spartak Sofia D 0-066.5 1632 1768 23.09% 27.82% 49.09%-0.83 +3.3 6
1951-04-22 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv D 0-066.5 1768 1632 49.09% 27.82% 23.09%+0.83 -3.3 8
1951-04-22 Levski Sofia W 1-063.5 1659 1724 31.87% 28.08% 40.05%-0.30 +21.9 7
1951-04-22 @ Minyor Pernik L 0-163.5 1724 1659 40.05% 28.08% 31.87%+0.30 -21.9 3
1951-04-25 Stroitel Sofia W 2-057.5 1533 1600 31.58% 28.07% 40.35%-0.32 +41.5 6
1951-04-25 @ Cerveno Zname Sofia L 0-257.5 1600 1533 40.35% 28.07% 31.58%+0.32 -41.5 1
1951-04-29 Lokomotiv Plovdiv L 1-272.1 1747 1635 54.00% 27.69% 18.31%+1.00 -26.7 8
1951-04-29 @ Akademik Sofia W 2-172.1 1635 1747 18.31% 27.69% 54.00%-1.00 +26.7 8
1951-04-29 Cerveno Zname Sofia W 1-057.4 1531 1575 34.86% 28.11% 37.04%-0.14 +20.6 5
1951-04-29 @ Botev Plovdiv L 0-157.4 1575 1531 37.04% 28.11% 34.86%+0.14 -20.6 6
1951-04-29 Spartak Varna W 2-056.3 1702 1639 48.76% 27.94% 23.30%+0.64 +27.6 5
1951-04-29 @ Levski Sofia L 0-256.3 1639 1702 23.30% 27.94% 48.76%-0.64 -27.6 7
1951-04-29 Minyor Pernik W 3-161.0 1765 1681 51.10% 27.85% 21.05%+0.79 +22.1 10
1951-04-29 @ Spartak Sofia L 1-361.0 1681 1765 21.05% 27.85% 51.10%-0.79 -22.1 7
1951-04-29 Stroitel Sofia L 0-148.8 1423 1558 23.24% 27.83% 48.93%-0.82 -14.6 0
1951-04-29 @ Torpedo Pleven W 1-048.8 1558 1423 48.93% 27.83% 23.24%+0.82 +14.6 3
1951-05-04 Dunav Ruse W 2-151.1 1554 1424 55.71% 27.57% 16.72%+1.14 +10.6 8
1951-05-04 @ Cerveno Zname Sofia L 1-251.1 1424 1554 16.72% 27.57% 55.71%-1.14 -10.6 0
1951-05-05 Botev Plovdiv D 1-165.7 1573 1552 43.68% 28.07% 28.25%+0.33 -1.7 4
1951-05-05 @ Stroitel Sofia D 1-165.7 1552 1573 28.25% 28.07% 43.68%-0.33 +1.7 6
1951-05-06 Levski Sofia W 2-163.0 1813 1730 51.07% 27.85% 21.08%+0.79 +12.8 11
1951-05-06 @ CSKA Sofia L 1-263.0 1730 1813 21.08% 27.85% 51.07%-0.79 -12.8 5
1951-05-06 Torpedo Pleven W 1-047.3 1662 1409 64.72% 26.41% 8.87%+2.04 +6.4 10
1951-05-06 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv L 0-147.3 1409 1662 8.87% 26.41% 64.72%-2.04 -6.5 0
1951-05-06 Akademik Sofia L 1-364.1 1659 1721 32.28% 28.08% 39.63%-0.28 -30.5 7
1951-05-06 @ Minyor Pernik W 3-164.1 1721 1659 39.63% 28.08% 32.28%+0.28 +30.5 10
1951-05-06 Spartak Sofia D 1-170.5 1612 1787 19.13% 27.59% 53.29%-1.12 +4.0 8
1951-05-06 @ Spartak Varna D 1-170.5 1787 1612 53.29% 27.59% 19.13%+1.12 -4.0 11
1951-05-10 CSKA Sofia L 0-645.7 1413 1826 5.66% 24.87% 69.47%-2.87 -21.6 0
1951-05-10 @ Dunav Ruse W 6-045.7 1826 1413 69.47% 24.87% 5.66%+2.87 +21.6 13
1951-05-12 Spartak Varna W 2-054.3 1751 1616 56.18% 27.53% 16.29%+1.17 +20.7 12
1951-05-12 @ Akademik Sofia L 0-254.3 1616 1751 16.29% 27.53% 56.18%-1.17 -20.7 8
1951-05-13 Stroitel Sofia L 1-349.5 1391 1571 18.70% 27.56% 53.75%-1.15 -20.0 0
1951-05-13 @ Dunav Ruse W 3-149.5 1571 1391 53.75% 27.56% 18.70%+1.15 +20.0 6
1951-05-13 Cerveno Zname Sofia D 1-169.4 1717 1564 57.65% 27.41% 14.94%+1.30 -5.2 6
1951-05-13 @ Levski Sofia D 1-169.4 1564 1717 14.94% 27.41% 57.65%-1.30 +5.2 9
1951-05-13 Minyor Pernik W 3-267.2 1668 1629 46.04% 28.02% 25.94%+0.47 +14.2 12
1951-05-13 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv L 2-367.2 1629 1668 25.94% 28.02% 46.04%-0.47 -14.2 7
1951-05-13 CSKA Sofia W 1-064.4 1783 1848 31.90% 28.08% 40.03%-0.30 +21.9 13
1951-05-13 @ Spartak Sofia L 0-164.4 1848 1783 40.03% 28.08% 31.90%+0.30 -21.9 13
1951-05-13 Botev Plovdiv L 0-344.1 1402 1554 21.51% 27.74% 50.75%-0.94 -37.5 0
1951-05-13 @ Torpedo Pleven W 3-044.1 1554 1402 50.75% 27.74% 21.51%+0.94 +37.6 8
1951-05-19 Spartak Sofia L 0-155.3 1570 1805 14.15% 27.10% 58.75%-1.56 -9.7 9
1951-05-19 @ Cerveno Zname Sofia W 1-055.3 1805 1570 58.75% 27.10% 14.15%+1.56 +9.7 15
1951-05-20 Dunav Ruse W 4-145.1 1591 1371 62.67% 26.78% 10.55%+1.80 +17.4 10
1951-05-20 @ Botev Plovdiv L 1-445.1 1371 1591 10.55% 26.78% 62.67%-1.80 -17.4 0
1951-05-20 Torpedo Pleven W 1-044.0 1614 1365 64.51% 26.45% 9.04%+2.01 +6.6 9
1951-05-20 @ Minyor Pernik L 0-144.0 1365 1614 9.04% 26.45% 64.51%-2.01 -6.6 0
1951-05-20 Lokomotiv Plovdiv D 0-065.2 1595 1683 28.88% 28.02% 43.10%-0.47 +1.7 9
1951-05-20 @ Spartak Varna D 0-065.2 1683 1595 43.10% 28.02% 28.88%+0.47 -1.7 13
1951-05-20 Levski Sofia D 1-169.5 1591 1712 24.88% 27.90% 47.22%-0.71 +2.5 7
1951-05-20 @ Stroitel Sofia D 1-169.5 1712 1591 47.22% 27.90% 24.88%+0.71 -2.5 7
1951-05-27 Cerveno Zname Sofia L 0-267.6 1772 1560 62.15% 26.86% 10.98%+1.74 -61.4 12
1951-05-27 @ Akademik Sofia W 2-067.6 1560 1772 10.98% 26.86% 62.15%-1.74 +61.4 11
1951-05-27 Lokomotiv Plovdiv D 1-170.3 1709 1681 44.62% 28.05% 27.33%+0.38 -1.9 8
1951-05-27 @ Levski Sofia D 1-170.3 1681 1709 27.33% 28.05% 44.62%-0.38 +1.9 14
1951-05-27 Stroitel Sofia D 0-066.9 1815 1594 62.74% 26.77% 10.49%+1.80 -7.3 16
1951-05-27 @ Spartak Sofia D 0-066.9 1594 1815 10.49% 26.77% 62.74%-1.80 +7.3 8
1951-05-30 Botev Plovdiv W 4-052.5 1707 1609 52.65% 27.77% 19.58%+0.90 +45.6 10
1951-05-30 @ Levski Sofia L 0-452.5 1609 1707 19.58% 27.77% 52.65%-0.90 -45.6 10
1951-06-01 Lokomotiv Plovdiv D 0-065.5 1621 1683 32.32% 28.08% 39.60%-0.28 +0.9 12
1951-06-01 @ Cerveno Zname Sofia D 0-065.5 1683 1621 39.60% 28.08% 32.32%+0.28 -0.9 15
1951-06-02 Akademik Sofia L 1-361.5 1601 1711 26.17% 27.94% 45.88%-0.63 -26.1 8
1951-06-02 @ Stroitel Sofia W 3-161.5 1711 1601 45.88% 27.94% 26.17%+0.63 +26.1 14
1951-06-03 Spartak Sofia D 1-170.5 1563 1807 13.51% 27.01% 59.47%-1.63 +5.6 11
1951-06-03 @ Botev Plovdiv D 1-170.5 1807 1563 59.47% 27.01% 13.51%+1.63 -5.6 17
1951-06-03 Minyor Pernik W 3-051.8 1826 1621 61.66% 26.93% 11.40%+1.69 +22.2 15
1951-06-03 @ CSKA Sofia L 0-351.8 1621 1826 11.40% 26.93% 61.66%-1.69 -22.2 9
1951-06-03 Levski Sofia L 0-542.7 1354 1753 6.08% 25.08% 68.84%-2.77 -19.6 0
1951-06-03 @ Dunav Ruse W 5-042.7 1753 1354 68.84% 25.08% 6.08%+2.77 +19.6 12
1951-06-03 Torpedo Pleven W 3-040.1 1597 1358 63.85% 26.58% 9.58%+1.93 +18.9 11
1951-06-03 @ Spartak Varna L 0-340.1 1358 1597 9.58% 26.58% 63.85%-1.93 -18.9 0
1951-06-10 Akademik Sofia W 2-056.0 1848 1737 53.91% 27.69% 18.40%+1.00 +22.9 17
1951-06-10 @ CSKA Sofia L 0-256.0 1737 1848 18.40% 27.69% 53.91%-1.00 -22.9 14
1951-06-17 CSKA Sofia L 0-552.9 1682 1871 17.88% 27.49% 54.63%-1.22 -52.1 15
1951-06-17 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv W 5-052.9 1871 1682 54.63% 27.49% 17.88%+1.22 +52.1 19
1951-06-17 Spartak Varna L 0-456.7 1599 1616 38.58% 28.11% 33.30%+0.05 -76.1 9
1951-06-17 @ Minyor Pernik W 4-056.7 1616 1599 33.30% 28.11% 38.58%-0.05 +76.1 13
1951-06-17 Dunav Ruse W 5-142.8 1339 1334 41.58% 28.10% 30.32%+0.21 +53.2 2
1951-06-17 @ Torpedo Pleven L 1-542.8 1334 1339 30.32% 28.10% 41.58%-0.21 -53.2 0
1951-06-20 Botev Plovdiv L 1-267.9 1630 1569 48.57% 27.95% 23.48%+0.63 -24.2 15
1951-06-20 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv W 2-167.9 1569 1630 23.48% 27.95% 48.57%-0.63 +24.2 13
1951-06-24 Minyor Pernik D 0-062.4 1622 1523 52.74% 27.76% 19.50%+0.91 -4.3 13
1951-06-24 @ Cerveno Zname Sofia D 0-062.4 1523 1622 19.50% 27.76% 52.74%-0.91 +4.3 10
1951-06-24 Spartak Varna W 1-054.9 1923 1692 63.40% 26.66% 9.95%+1.88 +7.2 21
1951-06-24 @ CSKA Sofia L 0-154.9 1692 1923 9.95% 26.66% 63.40%-1.88 -7.1 13
1951-06-24 Spartak Sofia D 0-061.9 1281 1802 3.26% 23.08% 73.66%-3.66 +10.3 1
1951-06-24 @ Dunav Ruse D 0-061.9 1802 1281 73.66% 23.08% 3.26%+3.66 -10.3 18
1951-06-24 Lokomotiv Plovdiv W 1-059.0 1575 1606 36.68% 28.11% 35.21%-0.05 +19.9 10
1951-06-24 @ Stroitel Sofia L 0-159.0 1606 1575 35.21% 28.11% 36.68%+0.05 -19.9 15
1951-06-24 Levski Sofia L 0-149.2 1393 1773 6.71% 25.36% 67.93%-2.63 -4.9 2
1951-06-24 @ Torpedo Pleven W 1-049.2 1773 1393 67.93% 25.36% 6.71%+2.63 +4.9 14
1951-07-01 Dunav Ruse W 2-040.9 1714 1292 72.35% 23.96% 3.70%+3.29 +5.1 16
1951-07-01 @ Akademik Sofia L 0-240.9 1292 1714 3.70% 23.96% 72.35%-3.29 -5.1 1
1951-07-01 Torpedo Pleven W 5-149.1 1930 1388 76.18% 21.81% 2.01%+4.17 +4.2 23
1951-07-01 @ CSKA Sofia L 1-549.1 1388 1930 2.01% 21.81% 76.18%-4.17 -4.2 2
1951-07-01 Stroitel Sofia L 1-260.8 1527 1595 31.43% 28.07% 40.50%-0.33 -17.3 10
1951-07-01 @ Minyor Pernik W 2-160.8 1595 1527 40.50% 28.07% 31.43%+0.33 +17.3 12
1951-07-01 Levski Sofia D 0-067.1 1791 1777 42.76% 28.08% 29.16%+0.28 -1.7 19
1951-07-01 @ Spartak Sofia D 0-067.1 1777 1791 29.16% 28.08% 42.76%-0.28 +1.7 15
1951-07-01 Cerveno Zname Sofia D 2-274.2 1685 1618 49.22% 27.92% 22.86%+0.67 -2.2 14
1951-07-01 @ Spartak Varna D 2-274.2 1618 1685 22.86% 27.92% 49.22%-0.67 +2.2 14
1951-07-08 Minyor Pernik L 1-462.6 1593 1510 51.02% 27.85% 21.13%+0.79 -62.0 13
1951-07-08 @ Botev Plovdiv W 4-162.6 1510 1593 21.13% 27.85% 51.02%-0.79 +62.0 12
1951-07-08 CSKA Sofia L 0-252.8 1620 1934 9.43% 26.24% 64.33%-2.14 -12.8 14
1951-07-08 @ Cerveno Zname Sofia W 2-052.8 1934 1620 64.33% 26.24% 9.43%+2.14 +12.8 25
1951-07-08 Lokomotiv Plovdiv D 0-053.4 1286 1586 10.19% 26.42% 63.39%-2.03 +7.5 2
1951-07-08 @ Dunav Ruse D 0-053.4 1586 1286 63.39% 26.42% 10.19%+2.03 -7.5 16
1951-07-08 Akademik Sofia D 3-379.2 1779 1719 48.47% 27.95% 23.58%+0.62 -1.7 16
1951-07-08 @ Levski Sofia D 3-379.2 1719 1779 23.58% 27.95% 48.47%-0.62 +1.7 17
1951-07-08 Spartak Varna D 0-065.4 1612 1682 31.14% 28.06% 40.79%-0.34 +1.2 13
1951-07-08 @ Stroitel Sofia D 0-065.4 1682 1612 40.79% 28.06% 31.14%+0.34 -1.2 15
1951-07-08 Spartak Sofia L 1-253.6 1384 1790 5.86% 24.97% 69.17%-2.82 -4.0 2
1951-07-08 @ Torpedo Pleven W 2-153.6 1790 1384 69.17% 24.97% 5.86%+2.82 +4.0 21
1951-07-15 Spartak Sofia L 0-358.2 1721 1794 30.74% 28.06% 41.20%-0.36 -49.3 17
1951-07-15 @ Akademik Sofia W 3-058.2 1794 1721 41.20% 28.06% 30.74%+0.36 +49.4 23
1951-07-15 Torpedo Pleven W 7-142.0 1607 1380 63.19% 26.69% 10.12%+1.85 +31.4 16
1951-07-15 @ Cerveno Zname Sofia L 1-742.0 1380 1607 10.12% 26.69% 63.19%-1.85 -31.4 2
1951-07-15 Stroitel Sofia W 1-053.2 1947 1613 68.82% 25.34% 5.84%+2.63 +4.3 27
1951-07-15 @ CSKA Sofia L 0-153.2 1613 1947 5.84% 25.34% 68.82%-2.63 -4.3 13
1951-07-15 Levski Sofia W 1-067.7 1578 1777 16.99% 27.41% 55.60%-1.29 +29.1 18
1951-07-15 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv L 0-167.7 1777 1578 55.60% 27.41% 16.99%+1.29 -29.1 16
1951-07-15 Dunav Ruse W 5-035.1 1572 1294 66.10% 26.10% 7.80%+2.22 +25.2 14
1951-07-15 @ Minyor Pernik L 0-535.1 1294 1572 7.80% 26.10% 66.10%-2.22 -25.2 2
1951-07-15 Botev Plovdiv W 2-158.0 1681 1531 57.48% 27.42% 15.10%+1.28 +9.7 17
1951-07-15 @ Spartak Varna L 1-258.0 1531 1681 15.10% 27.42% 57.48%-1.28 -9.7 13
1951-07-21 Minyor Pernik L 0-168.2 1748 1597 57.57% 27.41% 15.02%+1.29 -30.1 16
1951-07-21 @ Levski Sofia W 1-068.2 1597 1748 15.02% 27.41% 57.57%-1.29 +30.1 16
1951-07-22 CSKA Sofia L 0-250.8 1521 1951 5.18% 24.60% 70.22%-3.00 -7.1 13
1951-07-22 @ Botev Plovdiv W 2-050.8 1951 1521 70.22% 24.60% 5.18%+3.00 +7.1 29
1951-07-22 Spartak Varna L 0-537.1 1269 1691 5.39% 24.72% 69.88%-2.94 -17.4 2
1951-07-22 @ Dunav Ruse W 5-037.1 1691 1269 69.88% 24.72% 5.39%+2.94 +17.4 19
1951-07-22 Lokomotiv Plovdiv W 1-054.3 1843 1607 63.69% 26.60% 9.70%+1.91 +7.0 25
1951-07-22 @ Spartak Sofia L 0-154.3 1607 1843 9.70% 26.60% 63.69%-1.91 -7.0 18
1951-07-22 Cerveno Zname Sofia W 1-060.4 1609 1639 36.80% 28.11% 35.09%-0.04 +19.9 15
1951-07-22 @ Stroitel Sofia L 0-160.4 1639 1609 35.09% 28.11% 36.80%+0.04 -19.8 16
1951-07-22 Akademik Sofia D 3-370.9 1348 1671 9.00% 26.13% 64.87%-2.21 +4.4 3
1951-07-22 @ Torpedo Pleven D 3-370.9 1671 1348 64.87% 26.13% 9.00%+2.21 -4.4 18
1951-07-25 Botev Plovdiv D 1-166.0 1619 1514 53.28% 27.73% 18.99%+0.95 -4.0 17
1951-07-25 @ Cerveno Zname Sofia D 1-166.0 1514 1619 18.99% 27.73% 53.28%-0.95 +4.0 14
1951-07-25 Dunav Ruse W 12-042.3 1958 1251 80.52% 18.62% 0.87%+5.39 +5.6 31
1951-07-25 @ CSKA Sofia L 0-1242.3 1251 1958 0.87% 18.62% 80.52%-5.39 -5.6 2
1951-07-28 Spartak Sofia L 1-359.2 1627 1850 15.05% 27.21% 57.74%-1.47 -16.7 16
1951-07-28 @ Minyor Pernik W 3-159.2 1850 1627 57.74% 27.21% 15.05%+1.47 +16.7 27
1951-07-29 Cerveno Zname Sofia L 0-335.9 1246 1615 7.09% 25.51% 67.39%-2.55 -14.1 2
1951-07-29 @ Dunav Ruse W 3-035.9 1615 1246 67.39% 25.51% 7.09%+2.55 +14.1 19
1951-07-29 Akademik Sofia D 0-065.0 1600 1667 31.62% 28.07% 40.30%-0.32 +1.0 19
1951-07-29 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv D 0-065.0 1667 1600 40.30% 28.07% 31.62%+0.32 -1.0 19
1951-07-29 Levski Sofia L 0-459.5 1708 1718 39.57% 28.11% 32.32%+0.10 -77.6 19
1951-07-29 @ Spartak Varna W 4-059.5 1718 1708 32.32% 28.11% 39.57%-0.10 +77.6 18
1951-07-29 Torpedo Pleven W 2-148.1 1629 1353 66.03% 26.12% 7.85%+2.21 +5.4 17
1951-07-29 @ Stroitel Sofia L 1-248.1 1353 1629 7.85% 26.12% 66.03%-2.21 -5.4 3
1951-08-26 Minyor Pernik W 4-158.7 1666 1610 47.92% 27.97% 24.11%+0.58 +34.7 21
1951-08-26 @ Akademik Sofia L 1-458.7 1610 1666 24.11% 27.97% 47.92%-0.58 -34.7 16
1951-08-26 Stroitel Sofia D 1-166.5 1518 1634 25.35% 27.92% 46.73%-0.68 +2.4 15
1951-08-26 @ Botev Plovdiv D 1-166.5 1634 1518 46.73% 27.92% 25.35%+0.68 -2.4 18
1951-08-26 Spartak Varna W 1-054.5 1867 1631 63.71% 26.60% 9.69%+1.92 +7.0 29
1951-08-26 @ Spartak Sofia L 0-154.5 1631 1867 9.69% 26.60% 63.71%-1.92 -7.0 19
1951-08-26 Lokomotiv Plovdiv D 1-159.8 1347 1601 12.85% 26.92% 60.24%-1.70 +5.8 4
1951-08-26 @ Torpedo Pleven D 1-159.8 1601 1347 60.24% 26.92% 12.85%+1.70 -5.8 20
1951-09-01 Levski Sofia D 1-170.7 1629 1796 19.95% 27.64% 52.41%-1.05 +3.8 20
1951-09-01 @ Cerveno Zname Sofia D 1-170.7 1796 1629 52.41% 27.64% 19.95%+1.05 -3.8 19
1951-09-01 Dunav Ruse W 6-033.3 1632 1232 71.55% 24.32% 4.14%+3.13 +15.9 20
1951-09-01 @ Stroitel Sofia L 0-633.3 1232 1632 4.14% 24.32% 71.55%-3.13 -15.9 2
1951-09-02 Torpedo Pleven W 6-037.3 1520 1353 58.88% 27.28% 13.84%+1.41 +50.1 17
1951-09-02 @ Botev Plovdiv L 0-637.3 1353 1520 13.84% 27.28% 58.88%-1.41 -50.1 4
1951-09-02 Spartak Sofia L 0-167.9 1964 1874 51.77% 27.81% 20.41%+0.84 -27.2 31
1951-09-02 @ CSKA Sofia W 1-067.9 1874 1964 20.41% 27.81% 51.77%-0.84 +27.2 31
1951-09-02 Lokomotiv Plovdiv W 3-267.2 1576 1596 38.17% 28.11% 33.72%+0.03 +17.2 18
1951-09-02 @ Minyor Pernik L 2-367.2 1596 1576 33.72% 28.11% 38.17%-0.03 -17.2 20
1951-09-02 Akademik Sofia W 7-263.1 1624 1701 30.28% 28.05% 41.67%-0.39 +69.0 21
1951-09-02 @ Spartak Varna L 2-763.1 1701 1624 41.67% 28.05% 30.28%+0.39 -69.0 21
1951-09-09 CSKA Sofia L 1-357.6 1632 1937 9.87% 26.35% 63.78%-2.08 -11.5 21
1951-09-09 @ Akademik Sofia W 3-157.6 1937 1632 63.78% 26.35% 9.87%+2.08 +11.5 33
1951-09-09 Botev Plovdiv D 1-155.4 1216 1571 7.64% 25.71% 66.65%-2.44 +7.6 3
1951-09-09 @ Dunav Ruse D 1-155.4 1571 1216 66.65% 25.71% 7.64%+2.44 -7.6 18
1951-09-09 Stroitel Sofia D 0-066.9 1792 1648 56.94% 27.47% 15.59%+1.24 -5.5 20
1951-09-09 @ Levski Sofia D 0-066.9 1648 1792 15.59% 27.47% 56.94%-1.24 +5.5 21
1951-09-09 Spartak Varna W 2-168.6 1578 1693 25.57% 27.92% 46.51%-0.67 +23.3 22
1951-09-09 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv L 1-268.6 1693 1578 46.51% 27.92% 25.57%+0.67 -23.3 21
1951-09-09 Cerveno Zname Sofia D 0-067.6 1901 1633 65.58% 26.22% 8.20%+2.15 -8.2 32
1951-09-09 @ Spartak Sofia D 0-067.6 1633 1901 8.20% 26.22% 65.58%-2.15 +8.2 21
1951-09-09 Minyor Pernik L 0-636.9 1303 1593 10.68% 26.53% 62.79%-1.96 -39.7 4
1951-09-09 @ Torpedo Pleven W 6-036.9 1593 1303 62.79% 26.53% 10.68%+1.96 +39.7 20
1951-09-12 CSKA Sofia W 2-066.2 1786 1948 20.42% 27.68% 51.90%-1.02 +51.3 22
1951-09-12 @ Levski Sofia L 0-266.2 1948 1786 51.90% 27.68% 20.42%+1.02 -51.3 33
1951-09-13 Spartak Sofia L 1-260.6 1653 1893 13.86% 27.06% 59.08%-1.59 -9.0 21
1951-09-13 @ Stroitel Sofia W 2-160.6 1893 1653 59.08% 27.06% 13.86%+1.59 +9.0 34
1951-09-16 Levski Sofia L 0-154.6 1563 1838 11.55% 26.70% 61.75%-1.85 -8.1 18
1951-09-16 @ Botev Plovdiv W 1-054.6 1838 1563 61.75% 26.70% 11.55%+1.85 +8.1 24
1951-09-16 Akademik Sofia D 1-168.9 1641 1620 43.67% 28.07% 28.26%+0.33 -1.7 22
1951-09-16 @ Cerveno Zname Sofia D 1-168.9 1620 1641 28.26% 28.07% 43.67%-0.33 +1.7 22
1951-09-16 Torpedo Pleven D 1-151.7 1223 1263 35.34% 28.11% 36.55%-0.12 +0.1 4
1951-09-16 @ Dunav Ruse D 1-151.7 1263 1223 36.55% 28.11% 35.34%+0.12 -0.1 5
1951-09-16 Minyor Pernik W 4-054.4 1669 1633 45.68% 28.03% 26.29%+0.45 +57.4 23
1951-09-16 @ Spartak Varna L 0-454.4 1633 1669 26.29% 28.03% 45.68%-0.45 -57.4 20
1951-09-23 Stroitel Sofia W 2-058.7 1622 1644 37.77% 28.11% 34.11%+0.01 +36.7 24
1951-09-23 @ Akademik Sofia L 0-258.7 1644 1622 34.11% 28.11% 37.77%-0.01 -36.7 21
1951-09-23 Dunav Ruse W 6-038.5 1846 1223 78.39% 20.27% 1.33%+4.76 +4.7 26
1951-09-23 @ Levski Sofia L 0-638.5 1223 1846 1.33% 20.27% 78.39%-4.76 -4.7 4
1951-09-23 Cerveno Zname Sofia D 0-064.6 1602 1639 35.63% 28.11% 36.26%-0.10 +0.1 23
1951-09-23 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv D 0-064.6 1639 1602 36.26% 28.11% 35.63%+0.10 -0.1 23
1951-09-23 Spartak Varna L 2-351.1 1263 1727 4.36% 24.05% 71.59%-3.24 -2.8 5
1951-09-23 @ Torpedo Pleven W 3-251.1 1727 1263 71.59% 24.05% 4.36%+3.24 +2.8 25
1951-10-07 Botev Plovdiv W 1-052.7 1902 1555 69.41% 25.15% 5.44%+2.73 +4.0 36
1951-10-07 @ Spartak Sofia L 0-152.7 1555 1902 5.44% 25.15% 69.41%-2.73 -4.0 18
1951-10-14 Akademik Sofia L 2-560.9 1551 1658 26.39% 27.95% 45.65%-0.62 -32.1 18
1951-10-14 @ Botev Plovdiv W 5-260.9 1658 1551 45.65% 27.95% 26.39%+0.62 +32.1 26
1951-10-14 CSKA Sofia L 0-252.4 1575 1897 9.06% 26.15% 64.80%-2.20 -12.3 20
1951-10-14 @ Minyor Pernik W 2-052.4 1897 1575 64.80% 26.15% 9.06%+2.20 +12.3 35
1951-10-25 Lokomotiv Plovdiv W 1-053.4 1909 1602 67.62% 25.71% 6.67%+2.44 +4.9 37
1951-10-25 @ CSKA Sofia L 0-153.4 1602 1909 6.67% 25.71% 67.62%-2.44 -4.9 23

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1951-05-27 10.98% Cerveno Zname Sofia 1560 2 @ Akademik Sofia 1772 0
2 1951-07-21 15.02% Minyor Pernik 1597 1 @ Levski Sofia 1748 0
3 1951-04-08 16.99% Botev Plovdiv 1515 2 @ Minyor Pernik 1643 1
4 1951-07-15 16.99% @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1578 1 Levski Sofia 1777 0
5 1951-04-29 18.31% Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1635 2 @ Akademik Sofia 1747 1
6 1951-09-02 20.41% Spartak Sofia 1874 1 @ CSKA Sofia 1964 0
7 1951-09-12 20.42% @ Levski Sofia 1786 2 CSKA Sofia 1948 0
8 1951-04-01 20.56% Minyor Pernik 1598 3 @ Stroitel Sofia 1687 1
9 1951-07-08 21.13% Minyor Pernik 1510 4 @ Botev Plovdiv 1593 1
10 1951-04-01 22.66% Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1518 3 @ Botev Plovdiv 1587 0
11 1951-06-20 23.48% Botev Plovdiv 1569 2 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1630 1
12 1951-09-09 25.57% @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1578 2 Spartak Varna 1693 1
13 1951-04-01 25.69% Spartak Sofia 1721 3 @ Levski Sofia 1763 1
14 1951-04-08 29.30% @ Spartak Varna 1559 3 Stroitel Sofia 1643 2
15 1951-09-02 30.28% @ Spartak Varna 1624 7 Akademik Sofia 1701 2
16 1951-04-25 31.58% @ Cerveno Zname Sofia 1533 2 Stroitel Sofia 1600 0
17 1951-04-22 31.87% @ Minyor Pernik 1659 1 Levski Sofia 1724 0
18 1951-05-13 31.90% @ Spartak Sofia 1783 1 CSKA Sofia 1848 0
19 1951-07-29 32.32% Levski Sofia 1718 4 @ Spartak Varna 1708 0
20 1951-06-17 33.30% Spartak Varna 1616 4 @ Minyor Pernik 1599 0
21 1951-04-29 34.86% @ Botev Plovdiv 1531 1 Cerveno Zname Sofia 1575 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1951-07-29 77.61 Levski Sofia 4 1718 32.32% @ Spartak Varna 0 1708 39.57% 28.11%
2 1951-06-17 76.13 Spartak Varna 4 1616 33.30% @ Minyor Pernik 0 1599 38.58% 28.11%
3 1951-04-01 71.43 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3 1518 22.66% @ Botev Plovdiv 0 1587 49.42% 27.92%
4 1951-09-02 68.98 @ Spartak Varna 7 1624 30.28% Akademik Sofia 2 1701 41.67% 28.05%
5 1951-07-08 61.99 Minyor Pernik 4 1510 21.13% @ Botev Plovdiv 1 1593 51.02% 27.85%
6 1951-05-27 61.41 Cerveno Zname Sofia 2 1560 10.98% @ Akademik Sofia 0 1772 62.15% 26.86%
7 1951-09-16 57.40 @ Spartak Varna 4 1669 45.68% Minyor Pernik 0 1633 26.29% 28.03%
8 1951-06-17 53.21 @ Torpedo Pleven 5 1339 41.58% Dunav Ruse 1 1334 30.32% 28.10%
9 1951-03-25 52.46 CSKA Sofia 3 1664 38.49% @ Spartak Varna 0 1610 33.42% 28.09%
10 1951-06-17 52.12 CSKA Sofia 5 1871 54.63% @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 1682 17.88% 27.49%
11 1951-09-12 51.35 @ Levski Sofia 2 1786 20.42% CSKA Sofia 0 1948 51.90% 27.68%
12 1951-09-02 50.14 @ Botev Plovdiv 6 1520 58.88% Torpedo Pleven 0 1353 13.84% 27.28%
13 1951-07-15 49.35 Spartak Sofia 3 1794 41.20% @ Akademik Sofia 0 1721 30.74% 28.06%
14 1951-04-01 48.46 CSKA Sofia 5 1716 56.27% @ Torpedo Pleven 0 1510 16.37% 27.35%
15 1951-05-30 45.63 @ Levski Sofia 4 1707 52.65% Botev Plovdiv 0 1609 19.58% 27.77%
16 1951-04-01 44.31 Minyor Pernik 3 1598 20.56% @ Stroitel Sofia 1 1687 51.62% 27.82%
17 1951-04-15 44.03 Minyor Pernik 3 1615 45.64% @ Dunav Ruse 0 1508 26.41% 27.95%
18 1951-04-08 43.74 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3 1590 45.83% Dunav Ruse 0 1551 26.14% 28.03%
19 1951-04-25 41.51 @ Cerveno Zname Sofia 2 1533 31.58% Stroitel Sofia 0 1600 40.35% 28.07%
20 1951-04-01 40.22 Spartak Sofia 3 1721 25.69% @ Levski Sofia 1 1763 46.30% 28.01%
21 1951-04-21 40.10 @ Spartak Varna 6 1599 56.18% Dunav Ruse 1 1464 16.29% 27.53%
22 1951-09-09 39.71 Minyor Pernik 6 1593 62.79% @ Torpedo Pleven 0 1303 10.68% 26.53%
23 1951-05-13 37.56 Botev Plovdiv 3 1554 50.75% @ Torpedo Pleven 0 1402 21.51% 27.74%
24 1951-09-23 36.67 @ Akademik Sofia 2 1622 37.77% Stroitel Sofia 0 1644 34.11% 28.11%
25 1951-04-01 36.43 Akademik Sofia 4 1701 46.31% @ Dunav Ruse 1 1588 25.76% 27.93%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1951-07-08 79.2 @ Levski Sofia 3 1779 48.47% Akademik Sofia 3 1719 23.58% 27.95%
2 1951-07-01 74.2 @ Spartak Varna 2 1685 49.22% Cerveno Zname Sofia 2 1618 22.86% 27.92%
3 1951-04-29 72.1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2 1635 18.31% @ Akademik Sofia 1 1747 54.00% 27.69%
4 1951-03-25 71.1 @ Minyor Pernik 2 1600 47.63% Cerveno Zname Sofia 2 1547 24.39% 27.98%
5 1951-07-22 70.9 @ Torpedo Pleven 3 1348 9.00% Akademik Sofia 3 1671 64.87% 26.13%
6 1951-04-11 70.7 @ Akademik Sofia 1 1737 42.86% Levski Sofia 1 1723 29.06% 28.08%
7 1951-09-01 70.7 @ Cerveno Zname Sofia 1 1629 19.95% Levski Sofia 1 1796 52.41% 27.64%
8 1951-04-08 70.5 @ Spartak Varna 3 1559 29.30% Stroitel Sofia 2 1643 42.67% 28.03%
9 1951-05-06 70.5 @ Spartak Varna 1 1612 19.13% Spartak Sofia 1 1787 53.29% 27.59%
10 1951-06-03 70.5 @ Botev Plovdiv 1 1563 13.51% Spartak Sofia 1 1807 59.47% 27.01%
11 1951-05-27 70.3 @ Levski Sofia 1 1709 44.62% Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 1681 27.33% 28.05%
12 1951-05-20 69.5 @ Stroitel Sofia 1 1591 24.88% Levski Sofia 1 1712 47.22% 27.90%
13 1951-05-13 69.4 @ Levski Sofia 1 1717 57.65% Cerveno Zname Sofia 1 1564 14.94% 27.41%
14 1951-09-16 68.9 @ Cerveno Zname Sofia 1 1641 43.67% Akademik Sofia 1 1620 28.26% 28.07%
15 1951-04-01 68.8 Spartak Sofia 3 1721 25.69% @ Levski Sofia 1 1763 46.30% 28.01%
16 1951-04-01 68.8 Minyor Pernik 3 1598 20.56% @ Stroitel Sofia 1 1687 51.62% 27.82%
17 1951-04-08 68.8 Botev Plovdiv 2 1515 16.99% @ Minyor Pernik 1 1643 55.41% 27.59%
18 1951-04-09 68.8 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 1633 42.40% Stroitel Sofia 1 1622 29.51% 28.09%
19 1951-09-09 68.6 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2 1578 25.57% Spartak Varna 1 1693 46.51% 27.92%
20 1951-07-21 68.2 Minyor Pernik 1 1597 15.02% @ Levski Sofia 0 1748 57.57% 27.41%
21 1951-06-20 67.9 Botev Plovdiv 2 1569 23.48% @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 1630 48.57% 27.95%
22 1951-09-02 67.9 Spartak Sofia 1 1874 20.41% @ CSKA Sofia 0 1964 51.77% 27.81%
23 1951-07-15 67.7 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 1578 16.99% Levski Sofia 0 1777 55.60% 27.41%
24 1951-05-27 67.6 Cerveno Zname Sofia 2 1560 10.98% @ Akademik Sofia 0 1772 62.15% 26.86%
25 1951-09-09 67.6 @ Spartak Sofia 0 1901 65.58% Cerveno Zname Sofia 0 1633 8.20% 26.22%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1951-09-01 33.3 @ Stroitel Sofia 6 1632 71.55% Dunav Ruse 0 1232 4.14% 24.32%
2 1951-07-15 35.1 @ Minyor Pernik 5 1572 66.10% Dunav Ruse 0 1294 7.80% 26.10%
3 1951-07-29 35.9 Cerveno Zname Sofia 3 1615 67.39% @ Dunav Ruse 0 1246 7.09% 25.51%
4 1951-09-09 36.9 Minyor Pernik 6 1593 62.79% @ Torpedo Pleven 0 1303 10.68% 26.53%
5 1951-07-22 37.1 Spartak Varna 5 1691 69.88% @ Dunav Ruse 0 1269 5.39% 24.72%
6 1951-09-02 37.3 @ Botev Plovdiv 6 1520 58.88% Torpedo Pleven 0 1353 13.84% 27.28%
7 1951-09-23 38.5 @ Levski Sofia 6 1846 78.39% Dunav Ruse 0 1223 1.33% 20.27%
8 1951-06-03 40.1 @ Spartak Varna 3 1597 63.85% Torpedo Pleven 0 1358 9.58% 26.58%
9 1951-07-01 40.9 @ Akademik Sofia 2 1714 72.35% Dunav Ruse 0 1292 3.70% 23.96%
10 1951-07-15 42.0 @ Cerveno Zname Sofia 7 1607 63.19% Torpedo Pleven 1 1380 10.12% 26.69%
11 1951-07-25 42.3 @ CSKA Sofia 12 1958 80.52% Dunav Ruse 0 1251 0.87% 18.62%
12 1951-06-03 42.7 Levski Sofia 5 1753 68.84% @ Dunav Ruse 0 1354 6.08% 25.08%
13 1951-06-17 42.8 @ Torpedo Pleven 5 1339 41.58% Dunav Ruse 1 1334 30.32% 28.10%
14 1951-05-20 44.0 @ Minyor Pernik 1 1614 64.51% Torpedo Pleven 0 1365 9.04% 26.45%
15 1951-05-13 44.1 Botev Plovdiv 3 1554 50.75% @ Torpedo Pleven 0 1402 21.51% 27.74%
16 1951-05-20 45.1 @ Botev Plovdiv 4 1591 62.67% Dunav Ruse 1 1371 10.55% 26.78%
17 1951-05-10 45.7 CSKA Sofia 6 1826 69.47% @ Dunav Ruse 0 1413 5.66% 24.87%
18 1951-05-06 47.3 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 1662 64.72% Torpedo Pleven 0 1409 8.87% 26.41%
19 1951-04-21 47.8 @ Spartak Varna 6 1599 56.18% Dunav Ruse 1 1464 16.29% 27.53%
20 1951-04-22 47.8 @ Akademik Sofia 2 1738 67.49% Torpedo Pleven 0 1433 6.76% 25.74%
21 1951-07-29 48.1 @ Stroitel Sofia 2 1629 66.03% Torpedo Pleven 1 1353 7.85% 26.12%
22 1951-04-29 48.8 Stroitel Sofia 1 1558 48.93% @ Torpedo Pleven 0 1423 23.24% 27.83%
23 1951-04-07 49.0 @ Spartak Sofia 2 1761 67.23% Torpedo Pleven 0 1461 6.95% 25.82%
24 1951-04-08 49.1 @ CSKA Sofia 5 1765 62.44% Cerveno Zname Sofia 0 1548 10.74% 26.82%
25 1951-07-01 49.1 @ CSKA Sofia 5 1930 76.18% Torpedo Pleven 1 1388 2.01% 21.81%