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1956 A Group Season

132 games

Final

Champion

CSKA Sofia

31 points · 6th Title

Last Title: 1955

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Levski Sofia

4.01 points above expected

26 points · 21.99 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Zavod 12 Sofia

2.48 points below expected

19 points · 21.48 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 CSKA Sofia Champion 22 11 9 2 31 46 25 +21 27.03 +3.97
2 Levski Sofia 22 8 10 4 26 30 24 +6 21.99 +4.01
3 Botev Plovdiv 22 9 7 6 25 27 20 +7 22.20 +2.80
4 Slavia Sofia 22 8 7 7 23 37 31 +6 24.15 -1.15
5 Minyor Pernik 22 8 6 8 22 40 34 +6 22.58 -0.58
6 Spartak Plovdiv 22 7 7 8 21 28 29 -1 20.75 +0.25
7 Lokomotiv Sofia 22 5 11 6 21 20 22 -2 22.18 -1.18
8 Spartak Pleven 22 6 9 7 21 19 26 -7 21.14 -0.14
9 Spartak Sofia 22 5 9 8 19 25 30 -5 20.96 -1.96
10 Spartak Varna 22 5 9 8 19 22 28 -6 21.06 -2.06
11 Zavod 12 Sofia 22 5 9 8 19 20 29 -9 21.48 -2.48
12 Dunav Ruse 22 2 13 7 17 16 32 -16 18.48 -1.48

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Levski Sofia 26 21.99 +4.01
2 CSKA Sofia 31 27.03 +3.97
3 Botev Plovdiv 25 22.20 +2.80
4 Spartak Plovdiv 21 20.75 +0.25
5 Spartak Pleven 21 21.14 -0.14

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Zavod 12 Sofia 19 21.48 -2.48
2 Spartak Varna 19 21.06 -2.06
3 Spartak Sofia 19 20.96 -1.96
4 Dunav Ruse 17 18.48 -1.48
5 Lokomotiv Sofia 21 22.18 -1.18

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Botev Plovdiv 4 Mar 4 – Mar 25 1 in 111
2 CSKA Sofia 3 Apr 15 – May 24 1 in 37
3 Spartak Sofia 2 Jul 1 – Jul 22 1 in 23
4 Levski Sofia 2 Jun 17 – Jul 8 1 in 16
5 Minyor Pernik 2 Sep 2 – Sep 16 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Spartak Pleven 3 May 27 – Jun 17 1 in 34
2 Zavod 12 Sofia 5 May 28 – Jul 9 1 in 28
3 Levski Sofia 2 Mar 4 – Mar 10 1 in 26
4 Lokomotiv Sofia 2 Mar 3 – Mar 11 1 in 25
5 Botev Plovdiv 3 Apr 6 – May 19 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Botev Plovdiv 11 May 26 – Sep 1 1 in 122
2 Lokomotiv Sofia 9 Apr 7 – Jul 17 1 in 54
3 Dunav Ruse 6 Aug 5 – Sep 30 1 in 36
4 Levski Sofia 7 Mar 18 – Jun 2 1 in 20
5 Slavia Sofia 8 May 29 – Aug 19 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lokomotiv Sofia 12 May 31 – Sep 26 1 in 64
2 Spartak Pleven 10 Apr 14 – Jul 29 1 in 38
3 Dunav Ruse 12 Jul 1 – Oct 7 1 in 27
4 Spartak Varna 6 Mar 11 – May 18 1 in 11
5 Minyor Pernik 5 Apr 7 – Jun 3 1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
CSKA Sofia 1490 31 -6 4 5.4 -1.4
Levski Sofia 1389 26 +14 8 6.4 +1.6
Botev Plovdiv 1354 25 -13 3 4.5 -1.5
Slavia Sofia 1403 23 -13 3 4.3 -1.3
Minyor Pernik 1373 22 +10 6 4.7 +1.3
Spartak Pleven 1334 21 +16 7 4.5 +2.5
Lokomotiv Sofia 1354 21 +1 6 5.3 +0.7
Spartak Plovdiv 1350 21 +3 5 4.6 +0.4
Zavod 12 Sofia 1327 19 +3 6 5.8 +0.2
Spartak Varna 1337 19 +2 5 5.0 -0.0
Spartak Sofia 1315 19 -14 3 5.2 -2.2
Dunav Ruse 1241 17 -3 4 4.2 -0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BP CS DR LS LS MP SS SP SP SS SV Z1S
Botev Plovdiv —
0-1-1
1.96
0-1-1
2.99
1-1-0
2.51
0-1-1
2.59
1-1-0
2.51
1-0-1
2.35
1-0-1
2.70
2-0-0
2.65
1-1-0
2.74
1-1-0
2.65
1-0-1
2.70
CSKA Sofia
1-1-0
3.27
 —
1-1-0
3.83
1-1-0
3.09
0-2-0
3.25
2-0-0
3.09
1-0-1
2.89
1-1-0
3.20
1-1-0
3.30
1-1-0
3.30
1-0-1
3.33
1-1-0
3.34
Dunav Ruse
1-1-0
2.25
0-1-1
1.47
 —
0-2-0
2.22
0-1-1
2.17
0-0-2
2.16
0-2-0
1.97
0-1-1
2.31
0-1-1
2.39
0-1-1
2.38
0-2-0
2.24
1-1-0
2.28
Levski Sofia
0-1-1
2.69
0-1-1
2.13
0-2-0
3.01
 —
2-0-0
2.62
1-0-1
2.62
0-2-0
2.38
1-1-0
2.79
1-1-0
2.75
1-1-0
2.78
1-0-1
2.72
1-1-0
2.74
Lokomotiv Sofia
1-1-0
2.60
0-2-0
1.98
1-1-0
3.04
0-0-2
2.57
 —
1-1-0
2.53
1-1-0
2.37
0-1-1
2.76
0-2-0
2.77
0-0-2
2.75
0-2-0
2.68
1-0-1
2.67
Minyor Pernik
0-1-1
2.67
0-0-2
2.14
2-0-0
3.05
1-0-1
2.57
0-1-1
2.66
 —
1-0-1
2.43
1-1-0
2.72
0-1-1
2.75
1-1-0
2.76
0-1-1
2.72
2-0-0
2.66
Slavia Sofia
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
2.30
0-2-0
3.29
0-2-0
2.82
0-1-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.77
 —
1-1-0
3.00
1-0-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.94
1-1-0
2.97
Spartak Pleven
1-0-1
2.48
0-1-1
2.05
1-1-0
2.88
0-1-1
2.41
1-1-0
2.43
0-1-1
2.49
0-1-1
2.20
 —
1-0-1
2.61
1-1-0
2.60
1-0-1
2.56
0-2-0
2.60
Spartak Plovdiv
0-0-2
2.53
0-1-1
1.94
1-1-0
2.81
0-1-1
2.44
0-2-0
2.44
1-1-0
2.45
1-0-1
2.22
1-0-1
2.56
 —
1-0-1
2.66
2-0-0
2.56
0-1-1
2.61
Spartak Sofia
0-1-1
2.45
0-1-1
1.94
1-1-0
2.82
0-1-1
2.42
2-0-0
2.44
0-1-1
2.44
1-0-1
2.22
0-1-1
2.60
1-0-1
2.52
 —
0-2-0
2.52
0-1-1
2.58
Spartak Varna
0-1-1
2.54
1-0-1
1.92
0-2-0
2.96
1-0-1
2.48
0-2-0
2.52
1-1-0
2.48
1-0-1
2.26
1-0-1
2.62
0-0-2
2.63
0-2-0
2.67
 —
0-1-1
2.65
Zavod 12 Sofia
1-0-1
2.50
0-1-1
1.90
0-1-1
2.93
0-1-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.51
0-0-2
2.54
0-1-1
2.23
0-2-0
2.60
1-1-0
2.60
1-1-0
2.62
1-1-0
2.54
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.60 +3.2
Allowed 0.24 -4.5
Differential 0.89 +3.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.39%7.20%3.79%2.65%0.38%1.52%29.92%
17.20%20.45%4.92%2.65%1.89%0.38%37.50%
23.79%4.92%5.30%3.79%0.38%—18.18%
32.65%2.65%3.79%——0.38%9.47%
40.38%1.89%0.38%———2.65%
5+1.52%0.38%—0.38%——2.27%
Total29.92%37.50%18.18%9.47%2.65%2.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.25 +0.00
SD 1.21 1.21 1.69
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
118.18%22.73%13.64%———54.55%
213.64%4.55%4.55%———22.73%
3———————
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total40.91%31.82%22.73%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 0.91 +0.32
SD 1.07 0.92 1.64
CV 0.87 1.01 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%——4.55%——13.64%
14.55%22.73%4.55%———31.82%
24.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
3—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+4.55%——4.55%——9.09%
Total22.73%50.00%18.18%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 1.14 +0.95
SD 1.72 0.89 1.81
CV 0.82 0.78 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.73%9.09%—4.55%4.55%4.55%45.45%
14.55%22.73%4.55%—4.55%—36.36%
2—4.55%13.64%———18.18%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%36.36%18.18%4.55%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.45 -0.73
SD 0.77 1.44 1.58
CV 1.06 0.99 —
Max 2 5 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%9.09%————27.27%
14.55%27.27%—4.55%4.55%—40.91%
24.55%4.55%————9.09%
3—4.55%13.64%———18.18%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total27.27%50.00%13.64%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.09 +0.27
SD 1.33 1.02 1.42
CV 0.97 0.93 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
027.27%9.09%————36.36%
118.18%13.64%4.55%4.55%——40.91%
2——9.09%9.09%——18.18%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total45.45%22.73%18.18%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.00 -0.09
SD 0.87 1.11 0.81
CV 0.95 1.11 —
Max 3 3 +1
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
14.55%18.18%4.55%——4.55%31.82%
2———9.09%——9.09%
34.55%4.55%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
4—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total22.73%40.91%18.18%9.09%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.55 +0.27
SD 1.56 1.57 2.12
CV 0.86 1.01 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%9.09%———22.73%
1—13.64%——9.09%—22.73%
24.55%4.55%9.09%9.09%——27.27%
39.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total27.27%31.82%22.73%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.41 +0.27
SD 1.32 1.26 2.00
CV 0.79 0.89 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%36.36%
113.64%27.27%—4.55%——45.45%
24.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
34.55%—————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.36%36.36%9.09%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 1.18 -0.32
SD 0.83 1.33 1.73
CV 0.97 1.13 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%18.18%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
1—18.18%—4.55%4.55%—27.27%
2—18.18%9.09%———27.27%
39.09%—————9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%59.09%13.64%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.32 -0.05
SD 1.16 0.99 1.70
CV 0.91 0.75 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%—4.55%——22.73%
113.64%27.27%4.55%9.09%——54.55%
2———9.09%4.55%—13.64%
3——4.55%———4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total31.82%31.82%9.09%22.73%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.36 -0.23
SD 0.99 1.29 1.45
CV 0.87 0.95 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%4.55%4.55%——4.55%31.82%
14.55%18.18%18.18%———40.91%
29.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.82%27.27%31.82%4.55%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.27 -0.27
SD 0.87 1.24 1.45
CV 0.87 0.98 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.73%9.09%9.09%4.55%—4.55%50.00%
1—13.64%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
24.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.82%31.82%22.73%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.32 -0.41
SD 1.11 1.43 1.89
CV 1.22 1.08 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
CSKA Sofia 1490 31 27.03 +3.97 92.0% 14 23 25 27 29 32 33
Slavia Sofia 1403 23 24.15 -1.15 41.0% 16 20 22 24 26 29 32
Levski Sofia 1389 26 21.99 +4.01 94.0% 15 16 20 22 24 27 29
Minyor Pernik 1373 22 22.58 -0.58 47.0% 13 18 20 23 25 28 30
Botev Plovdiv 1354 25 22.20 +2.80 89.0% 16 17 20 23 24 27 28
Lokomotiv Sofia 1354 21 22.18 -1.18 44.0% 12 17 20 22 24 28 30
Spartak Plovdiv 1350 21 20.75 +0.25 60.0% 13 16 18 21 23 26 27
Spartak Varna 1337 19 21.06 -2.06 33.0% 13 15 18 22 23 26 28
Spartak Pleven 1334 21 21.14 -0.14 60.0% 15 17 19 21 23 27 28
Zavod 12 Sofia 1327 19 21.48 -2.48 22.0% 14 15 20 21 24 27 30
Spartak Sofia 1315 19 20.96 -1.96 28.0% 14 16 19 21 23 25 27
Dunav Ruse 1241 17 18.48 -1.48 38.0% 10 12 16 18 21 24 26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+34.09%
Strong Edge
46.97%40.15%12.88%
Elo Value
Home Edge
170 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0123.38500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.74 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.72+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.8
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
57%
CSKA Sofia, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Comfortable
00.100.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.48 * Some Luck: 2.48 to 3.71 * Lucky: 3.71 to 4.95 * Wild Swing: 4.95 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.2 * Close: 2.2 to 3.29 * Off: 3.29 to 4.39 * Way Off: 4.39 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.22 points
As Expected
03.098
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.83
Pinpoint
02.746
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
94.00%
Levski Sofia
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
22.00%
Zavod 12 Sofia
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.09
Balanced
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 58.84
1.06
Coin-Flip Parity
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
56%
Even
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
81%
Even
50%76%100%
Close Games
Expected
72%
Very Frequent
0%62%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Rare
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.63
Lopsided
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.53
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.62
Strong Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
13%
Chalky
0%11%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
13%
Solid Favorites
0%10%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.48
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.33
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.043
Well Within Noise
00.1130.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
CSKA Sofia57.00%21.00%10.00%6.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%————1.00%
Levski Sofia3.00%9.00%11.00%11.00%10.00%11.00%10.00%9.00%3.00%12.00%6.00%5.00%
Botev Plovdiv4.00%6.00%19.00%10.00%13.00%7.00%7.00%10.00%7.00%7.00%8.00%2.00%
Slavia Sofia13.00%22.00%11.00%10.00%14.00%13.00%6.00%5.00%4.00%—1.00%1.00%
Minyor Pernik8.00%7.00%12.00%11.00%9.00%10.00%10.00%9.00%10.00%9.00%3.00%2.00%
Spartak Plovdiv1.00%6.00%5.00%8.00%8.00%7.00%6.00%10.00%12.00%18.00%6.00%13.00%
Lokomotiv Sofia7.00%5.00%6.00%14.00%5.00%11.00%9.00%13.00%9.00%9.00%5.00%7.00%
Spartak Pleven1.00%8.00%5.00%1.00%10.00%6.00%12.00%12.00%17.00%12.00%9.00%7.00%
Spartak Sofia1.00%3.00%6.00%8.00%5.00%9.00%17.00%7.00%12.00%7.00%15.00%10.00%
Spartak Varna2.00%4.00%7.00%8.00%10.00%12.00%10.00%6.00%7.00%13.00%14.00%7.00%
Zavod 12 Sofia3.00%9.00%4.00%9.00%10.00%7.00%10.00%12.00%10.00%8.00%10.00%8.00%
Dunav Ruse——4.00%4.00%5.00%5.00%1.00%7.00%9.00%5.00%23.00%37.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
CSKA Sofia 99.00% 1.00%
Slavia Sofia 98.00% 2.00%
Minyor Pernik 95.00% 5.00%
Botev Plovdiv 90.00% 10.00%
Levski Sofia 89.00% 11.00%
Lokomotiv Sofia 88.00% 12.00%
Spartak Pleven 84.00% 16.00%
Zavod 12 Sofia 82.00% 18.00%
Spartak Plovdiv 81.00% 19.00%
Spartak Varna 79.00% 21.00%
Spartak Sofia 75.00% 25.00%
Dunav Ruse 40.00% 60.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1956-03-02 Dunav Ruse D 2-254.7 1330 1279 53.86% 38.49% 7.65%+1.02 -1.3 1
1956-03-02 @ Spartak Plovdiv D 2-254.7 1279 1330 7.65% 38.49% 53.86%-1.02 +1.3 1
1956-03-03 Spartak Pleven L 0-151.0 1368 1343 51.83% 39.52% 8.65%+0.87 -8.8 0
1956-03-03 @ Lokomotiv Sofia W 1-051.0 1343 1368 8.65% 39.52% 51.83%-0.87 +8.8 2
1956-03-04 Spartak Plovdiv W 1-038.2 1322 1328 49.22% 40.61% 10.17%+0.69 +2.9 2
1956-03-04 @ Botev Plovdiv L 0-138.2 1328 1322 10.17% 40.61% 49.22%-0.69 -2.9 1
1956-03-04 Slavia Sofia W 3-251.3 1463 1413 53.82% 38.51% 7.67%+1.02 +2.0 2
1956-03-04 @ CSKA Sofia L 2-351.3 1413 1463 7.67% 38.51% 53.82%-1.02 -2.0 0
1956-03-04 Levski Sofia W 1-039.3 1349 1369 48.02% 41.02% 10.95%+0.61 +3.1 2
1956-03-04 @ Spartak Varna L 0-139.3 1369 1349 10.95% 41.02% 48.02%-0.61 -3.1 0
1956-03-05 Minyor Pernik L 1-352.9 1350 1358 49.06% 40.67% 10.27%+0.68 -13.6 0
1956-03-05 @ Zavod 12 Sofia W 3-152.9 1358 1350 10.27% 40.67% 49.06%-0.68 +13.7 2
1956-03-09 Zavod 12 Sofia W 2-034.4 1411 1336 55.79% 37.37% 6.84%+1.16 +3.8 2
1956-03-09 @ Slavia Sofia L 0-234.4 1336 1411 6.84% 37.37% 55.79%-1.16 -3.8 0
1956-03-10 Botev Plovdiv L 0-151.0 1366 1325 53.09% 38.90% 8.01%+0.96 -8.9 0
1956-03-10 @ Levski Sofia W 1-051.0 1325 1366 8.01% 38.90% 53.09%-0.96 +8.9 4
1956-03-11 CSKA Sofia D 0-046.3 1352 1465 38.77% 42.55% 18.68%+0.06 -0.7 3
1956-03-11 @ Spartak Pleven D 0-046.3 1465 1352 18.68% 42.55% 38.77%-0.06 +0.7 3
1956-03-11 Lokomotiv Sofia W 1-039.3 1325 1360 46.71% 41.41% 11.88%+0.52 +3.3 2
1956-03-11 @ Spartak Sofia L 0-139.3 1360 1325 11.88% 41.41% 46.71%-0.52 -3.3 0
1956-03-11 Minyor Pernik D 0-044.9 1352 1371 48.05% 41.01% 10.93%+0.61 -1.5 3
1956-03-11 @ Spartak Varna D 0-044.9 1371 1352 10.93% 41.01% 48.05%-0.61 +1.5 3
1956-03-16 Spartak Sofia W 3-139.3 1466 1328 60.50% 34.18% 5.32%+1.53 +2.4 5
1956-03-16 @ CSKA Sofia L 1-339.3 1328 1466 5.32% 34.18% 60.50%-1.53 -2.4 2
1956-03-17 Spartak Pleven W 3-140.5 1415 1351 54.88% 37.92% 7.21%+1.10 +3.5 4
1956-03-17 @ Slavia Sofia L 1-340.5 1351 1415 7.21% 37.92% 54.88%-1.10 -3.5 3
1956-03-17 Lokomotiv Sofia D 1-149.0 1326 1356 47.07% 41.31% 11.62%+0.54 -1.2 2
1956-03-17 @ Spartak Plovdiv D 1-149.0 1356 1326 11.62% 41.31% 47.07%-0.54 +1.3 1
1956-03-18 Minyor Pernik W 2-036.6 1334 1373 46.31% 41.51% 12.17%+0.49 +6.3 6
1956-03-18 @ Botev Plovdiv L 0-236.6 1373 1334 12.17% 41.51% 46.31%-0.49 -6.3 3
1956-03-18 Levski Sofia D 0-043.6 1281 1357 42.72% 42.21% 15.06%+0.28 -1.0 2
1956-03-18 @ Dunav Ruse D 0-043.6 1357 1281 15.06% 42.21% 42.72%-0.28 +1.0 1
1956-03-18 Spartak Varna W 2-144.3 1332 1350 48.20% 40.97% 10.83%+0.62 +2.9 2
1956-03-18 @ Zavod 12 Sofia L 1-244.3 1350 1332 10.83% 40.97% 48.20%-0.62 -2.9 3
1956-03-23 Slavia Sofia W 1-041.8 1326 1418 40.99% 42.41% 16.60%+0.18 +4.1 4
1956-03-23 @ Spartak Sofia L 0-141.8 1418 1326 16.60% 42.41% 40.99%-0.18 -4.1 4
1956-03-24 Spartak Plovdiv W 4-136.8 1468 1324 60.97% 33.83% 5.20%+1.57 +3.3 7
1956-03-24 @ CSKA Sofia L 1-436.8 1324 1468 5.20% 33.83% 60.97%-1.57 -3.3 2
1956-03-25 Spartak Varna W 2-035.5 1340 1347 49.15% 40.64% 10.21%+0.68 +5.5 8
1956-03-25 @ Botev Plovdiv L 0-235.5 1347 1340 10.21% 40.64% 49.15%-0.68 -5.5 3
1956-03-25 Lokomotiv Sofia W 2-144.2 1358 1358 49.78% 40.40% 9.82%+0.72 +2.7 3
1956-03-25 @ Levski Sofia L 1-244.2 1358 1358 9.82% 40.40% 49.78%-0.72 -2.7 1
1956-03-25 Dunav Ruse W 5-031.8 1367 1280 56.69% 36.80% 6.50%+1.23 +8.3 5
1956-03-25 @ Minyor Pernik L 0-531.8 1280 1367 6.50% 36.80% 56.69%-1.23 -8.4 2
1956-03-25 Zavod 12 Sofia D 1-149.4 1348 1335 50.85% 39.96% 9.18%+0.80 -1.5 4
1956-03-25 @ Spartak Pleven D 1-149.4 1335 1348 9.18% 39.96% 50.85%-0.80 +1.5 3
1956-04-01 Spartak Sofia D 0-043.4 1271 1330 44.47% 41.93% 13.61%+0.38 -1.2 3
1956-04-01 @ Dunav Ruse D 0-043.4 1330 1271 13.61% 41.93% 44.47%-0.38 +1.2 5
1956-04-06 Botev Plovdiv W 3-033.9 1337 1346 48.98% 40.70% 10.32%+0.67 +8.0 5
1956-04-06 @ Zavod 12 Sofia L 0-333.9 1346 1337 10.32% 40.70% 48.98%-0.67 -8.0 8
1956-04-07 Minyor Pernik W 1-039.5 1355 1375 48.02% 41.02% 10.95%+0.61 +3.1 3
1956-04-07 @ Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-139.5 1375 1355 10.95% 41.02% 48.02%-0.61 -3.1 5
1956-04-08 CSKA Sofia D 1-151.4 1360 1471 38.97% 42.54% 18.49%+0.07 -0.7 4
1956-04-08 @ Levski Sofia D 1-151.4 1471 1360 18.49% 42.54% 38.97%-0.07 +0.7 8
1956-04-08 Spartak Sofia W 3-033.2 1346 1331 51.05% 39.88% 9.07%+0.81 +7.2 6
1956-04-08 @ Spartak Pleven L 0-333.2 1331 1346 9.07% 39.88% 51.05%-0.81 -7.2 5
1956-04-08 Dunav Ruse D 1-149.5 1342 1270 55.52% 37.53% 6.95%+1.14 -1.9 4
1956-04-08 @ Spartak Varna D 1-149.5 1270 1342 6.95% 37.53% 55.52%-1.14 +1.9 4
1956-04-09 Spartak Plovdiv W 3-032.2 1414 1321 57.17% 36.50% 6.34%+1.27 +5.0 6
1956-04-09 @ Slavia Sofia L 0-332.2 1321 1414 6.34% 36.50% 57.17%-1.27 -5.0 2
1956-04-14 Levski Sofia D 0-046.8 1419 1360 54.57% 38.09% 7.34%+1.07 -2.0 7
1956-04-14 @ Slavia Sofia D 0-046.8 1360 1419 7.34% 38.09% 54.57%-1.07 +2.0 5
1956-04-14 Spartak Pleven W 3-034.5 1316 1354 46.44% 41.48% 12.08%+0.50 +9.0 4
1956-04-14 @ Spartak Plovdiv L 0-334.5 1354 1316 12.08% 41.48% 46.44%-0.50 -9.0 6
1956-04-15 Botev Plovdiv W 2-144.9 1272 1338 43.77% 42.05% 14.18%+0.34 +3.5 6
1956-04-15 @ Dunav Ruse L 1-244.9 1338 1272 14.18% 42.05% 43.77%-0.34 -3.5 8
1956-04-15 CSKA Sofia L 3-654.6 1372 1472 40.18% 42.47% 17.35%+0.14 -13.1 5
1956-04-15 @ Minyor Pernik W 6-354.6 1472 1372 17.35% 42.47% 40.18%-0.14 +13.1 10
1956-04-15 Lokomotiv Sofia D 0-044.6 1340 1358 48.21% 40.96% 10.83%+0.62 -1.5 5
1956-04-15 @ Spartak Varna D 0-044.6 1358 1340 10.83% 40.96% 48.21%-0.62 +1.5 4
1956-04-15 Spartak Sofia W 3-247.9 1345 1324 51.49% 39.68% 8.83%+0.85 +2.3 7
1956-04-15 @ Zavod 12 Sofia L 2-347.9 1324 1345 8.83% 39.68% 51.49%-0.85 -2.3 5
1956-05-18 Spartak Varna W 5-033.4 1417 1339 56.06% 37.20% 6.74%+1.19 +8.7 9
1956-05-18 @ Slavia Sofia L 0-533.4 1339 1417 6.74% 37.20% 56.06%-1.19 -8.7 5
1956-05-19 CSKA Sofia L 1-254.2 1334 1485 34.22% 42.50% 23.28%-0.16 -5.9 8
1956-05-19 @ Botev Plovdiv W 2-154.2 1485 1334 23.28% 42.50% 34.22%+0.16 +5.9 12
1956-05-19 Minyor Pernik D 0-044.7 1345 1359 48.54% 40.85% 10.61%+0.64 -1.5 7
1956-05-19 @ Spartak Pleven D 0-044.7 1359 1345 10.61% 40.85% 48.54%-0.64 +1.5 6
1956-05-20 Dunav Ruse W 1-035.8 1359 1275 56.46% 36.95% 6.59%+1.22 +1.9 6
1956-05-20 @ Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-135.8 1275 1359 6.59% 36.95% 56.46%-1.22 -1.9 6
1956-05-20 Levski Sofia D 0-044.2 1322 1362 46.20% 41.54% 12.26%+0.49 -1.3 6
1956-05-20 @ Spartak Sofia D 0-044.2 1362 1322 12.26% 41.54% 46.20%-0.49 +1.3 6
1956-05-20 Spartak Plovdiv W 2-034.6 1347 1325 51.58% 39.64% 8.78%+0.85 +4.8 9
1956-05-20 @ Zavod 12 Sofia L 0-234.6 1325 1347 8.78% 39.64% 51.58%-0.85 -4.8 4
1956-05-24 Dunav Ruse W 4-134.7 1491 1274 66.41% 29.59% 3.99%+2.00 +2.3 14
1956-05-24 @ CSKA Sofia L 1-434.7 1274 1491 3.99% 29.59% 66.41%-2.00 -2.3 6
1956-05-26 Botev Plovdiv L 0-249.4 1426 1328 57.51% 36.27% 6.22%+1.30 -17.9 9
1956-05-26 @ Slavia Sofia W 2-049.4 1328 1426 6.22% 36.27% 57.51%-1.30 +17.9 10
1956-05-27 Spartak Sofia D 1-149.7 1360 1320 53.06% 38.92% 8.03%+0.96 -1.7 7
1956-05-27 @ Minyor Pernik D 1-149.7 1320 1360 8.03% 38.92% 53.06%-0.96 +1.7 7
1956-05-27 Levski Sofia D 1-148.9 1320 1363 45.95% 41.61% 12.45%+0.47 -1.2 5
1956-05-27 @ Spartak Plovdiv D 1-148.9 1363 1320 12.45% 41.61% 45.95%-0.47 +1.2 7
1956-05-27 Spartak Pleven W 2-035.5 1330 1343 48.62% 40.82% 10.55%+0.65 +5.6 7
1956-05-27 @ Spartak Varna L 0-235.5 1343 1330 10.55% 40.82% 48.62%-0.65 -5.6 7
1956-05-28 Zavod 12 Sofia W 1-038.5 1361 1352 50.58% 40.08% 9.34%+0.78 +2.7 8
1956-05-28 @ Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-138.5 1352 1361 9.34% 40.08% 50.58%-0.78 -2.7 9
1956-05-29 Slavia Sofia D 2-254.1 1271 1408 35.97% 42.56% 21.47%-0.08 -0.3 7
1956-05-29 @ Dunav Ruse D 2-254.1 1408 1271 21.47% 42.56% 35.97%+0.08 +0.3 10
1956-05-31 Lokomotiv Sofia D 0-049.7 1493 1364 59.88% 34.63% 5.49%+1.48 -2.4 15
1956-05-31 @ CSKA Sofia D 0-049.7 1364 1493 5.49% 34.63% 59.88%-1.48 +2.4 9
1956-06-02 Zavod 12 Sofia W 2-035.3 1364 1349 51.04% 39.88% 9.08%+0.81 +5.0 9
1956-06-02 @ Levski Sofia L 0-235.3 1349 1364 9.08% 39.88% 51.04%-0.81 -5.0 9
1956-06-03 Spartak Pleven W 5-034.0 1346 1337 50.49% 40.12% 9.39%+0.77 +12.0 12
1956-06-03 @ Botev Plovdiv L 0-534.0 1337 1346 9.39% 40.12% 50.49%-0.77 -12.0 7
1956-06-03 Spartak Plovdiv D 1-149.7 1359 1319 53.01% 38.94% 8.05%+0.96 -1.7 8
1956-06-03 @ Minyor Pernik D 1-149.7 1319 1359 8.05% 38.94% 53.01%-0.96 +1.7 6
1956-06-03 Spartak Sofia D 1-149.2 1335 1322 50.90% 39.94% 9.16%+0.80 -1.5 8
1956-06-03 @ Spartak Varna D 1-149.2 1322 1335 9.16% 39.94% 50.90%-0.80 +1.5 8
1956-06-09 Levski Sofia W 4-139.3 1357 1369 48.71% 40.79% 10.49%+0.65 +6.9 10
1956-06-09 @ Minyor Pernik L 1-439.3 1369 1357 10.49% 40.79% 48.71%-0.65 -6.8 9
1956-06-11 Spartak Varna W 2-143.9 1321 1334 48.63% 40.82% 10.55%+0.65 +2.8 8
1956-06-11 @ Spartak Plovdiv L 1-243.9 1334 1321 10.55% 40.82% 48.63%-0.65 -2.8 8
1956-06-16 Lokomotiv Sofia D 0-045.0 1358 1366 49.04% 40.68% 10.28%+0.67 -1.6 13
1956-06-16 @ Botev Plovdiv D 0-045.0 1366 1358 10.28% 40.68% 49.04%-0.67 +1.6 10
1956-06-17 Zavod 12 Sofia W 1-039.7 1271 1344 43.03% 42.17% 14.80%+0.30 +3.8 9
1956-06-17 @ Dunav Ruse L 0-139.7 1344 1271 14.80% 42.17% 43.03%-0.30 -3.8 9
1956-06-17 Minyor Pernik W 3-248.8 1408 1364 53.40% 38.74% 7.86%+0.98 +2.1 12
1956-06-17 @ Slavia Sofia L 2-348.8 1364 1408 7.86% 38.74% 53.40%-0.98 -2.1 10
1956-06-17 Levski Sofia L 0-149.7 1326 1362 46.51% 41.46% 12.03%+0.51 -8.0 7
1956-06-17 @ Spartak Pleven W 1-049.7 1362 1326 12.03% 41.46% 46.51%-0.51 +8.0 11
1956-06-17 Spartak Sofia W 2-143.4 1324 1323 49.77% 40.41% 9.82%+0.72 +2.7 10
1956-06-17 @ Spartak Plovdiv L 1-243.4 1323 1324 9.82% 40.41% 49.77%-0.72 -2.7 8
1956-06-19 Spartak Varna W 2-142.6 1491 1331 62.17% 32.93% 4.90%+1.66 +1.2 17
1956-06-19 @ CSKA Sofia L 1-242.6 1331 1491 4.90% 32.93% 62.17%-1.66 -1.2 8
1956-06-25 Botev Plovdiv D 1-148.9 1321 1356 46.61% 41.44% 11.95%+0.51 -1.2 9
1956-06-25 @ Spartak Sofia D 1-148.9 1356 1321 11.95% 41.44% 46.61%-0.51 +1.2 14
1956-06-30 CSKA Sofia W 3-040.8 1410 1492 42.13% 42.29% 15.58%+0.24 +10.7 14
1956-06-30 @ Slavia Sofia L 0-340.8 1492 1410 15.58% 42.29% 42.13%-0.24 -10.7 17
1956-07-01 Lokomotiv Sofia D 1-148.9 1318 1368 45.23% 41.77% 13.00%+0.43 -1.1 8
1956-07-01 @ Spartak Pleven D 1-148.9 1368 1318 13.00% 41.77% 45.23%-0.43 +1.1 11
1956-07-01 Botev Plovdiv L 0-149.8 1326 1358 47.00% 41.33% 11.67%+0.54 -8.1 10
1956-07-01 @ Spartak Plovdiv W 1-049.8 1358 1326 11.67% 41.33% 47.00%-0.54 +8.1 16
1956-07-01 Dunav Ruse W 4-031.7 1320 1275 53.42% 38.73% 7.85%+0.99 +8.2 11
1956-07-01 @ Spartak Sofia L 0-431.7 1275 1320 7.85% 38.73% 53.42%-0.99 -8.3 9
1956-07-08 Spartak Varna W 3-247.8 1370 1330 53.08% 38.90% 8.01%+0.96 +2.1 13
1956-07-08 @ Levski Sofia L 2-347.8 1330 1370 8.01% 38.90% 53.08%-0.96 -2.1 8
1956-07-08 Zavod 12 Sofia W 3-033.4 1362 1340 51.56% 39.65% 8.79%+0.85 +7.0 12
1956-07-08 @ Minyor Pernik L 0-333.4 1340 1362 8.79% 39.65% 51.56%-0.85 -7.0 9
1956-07-08 Dunav Ruse D 1-149.0 1316 1267 53.82% 38.51% 7.67%+1.02 -1.7 9
1956-07-08 @ Spartak Pleven D 1-149.0 1267 1316 7.67% 38.51% 53.82%-1.02 +1.8 10
1956-07-09 Zavod 12 Sofia W 6-033.8 1481 1333 61.31% 33.58% 5.11%+1.59 +7.3 19
1956-07-09 @ CSKA Sofia L 0-633.8 1333 1481 5.11% 33.58% 61.31%-1.59 -7.3 9
1956-07-09 Lokomotiv Sofia D 2-257.1 1421 1369 53.99% 38.42% 7.59%+1.03 -1.3 15
1956-07-09 @ Slavia Sofia D 2-257.1 1369 1421 7.59% 38.42% 53.99%-1.03 +1.3 12
1956-07-15 Levski Sofia D 1-150.0 1366 1372 49.19% 40.62% 10.19%+0.68 -1.4 17
1956-07-15 @ Botev Plovdiv D 1-150.0 1372 1366 10.19% 40.62% 49.19%-0.68 +1.4 14
1956-07-15 Spartak Varna L 2-361.2 1369 1328 53.12% 38.88% 7.99%+0.96 -8.0 12
1956-07-15 @ Minyor Pernik W 3-261.2 1328 1369 7.99% 38.88% 53.12%-0.96 +8.0 10
1956-07-16 Spartak Pleven W 2-033.3 1489 1315 63.23% 32.12% 4.65%+1.75 +2.3 21
1956-07-16 @ CSKA Sofia L 0-233.3 1315 1489 4.65% 32.12% 63.23%-1.75 -2.3 9
1956-07-17 Spartak Plovdiv D 0-045.2 1370 1318 54.02% 38.40% 7.58%+1.03 -2.0 13
1956-07-17 @ Lokomotiv Sofia D 0-045.2 1318 1370 7.58% 38.40% 54.02%-1.03 +2.0 11
1956-07-18 Spartak Plovdiv L 0-343.9 1268 1320 45.11% 41.80% 13.09%+0.42 -21.3 10
1956-07-18 @ Dunav Ruse W 3-043.9 1320 1268 13.09% 41.80% 45.11%-0.42 +21.3 13
1956-07-18 Slavia Sofia D 1-149.6 1326 1420 40.84% 42.42% 16.74%+0.17 -0.8 10
1956-07-18 @ Zavod 12 Sofia D 1-149.6 1420 1326 16.74% 42.42% 40.84%-0.17 +0.8 16
1956-07-21 Dunav Ruse D 1-150.4 1374 1247 59.71% 34.75% 5.54%+1.47 -2.1 15
1956-07-21 @ Levski Sofia D 1-150.4 1247 1374 5.54% 34.75% 59.71%-1.47 +2.1 11
1956-07-22 Spartak Sofia L 2-361.2 1368 1328 53.10% 38.90% 8.01%+0.96 -8.0 13
1956-07-22 @ Lokomotiv Sofia W 3-261.2 1328 1368 8.01% 38.90% 53.10%-0.96 +8.0 13
1956-07-22 Botev Plovdiv D 1-149.8 1361 1364 49.46% 40.52% 10.02%+0.70 -1.4 13
1956-07-22 @ Minyor Pernik D 1-149.8 1364 1361 10.02% 40.52% 49.46%-0.70 +1.4 18
1956-07-22 Slavia Sofia D 1-149.3 1312 1421 39.27% 42.53% 18.20%+0.09 -0.7 10
1956-07-22 @ Spartak Pleven D 1-149.3 1421 1312 18.20% 42.53% 39.27%-0.09 +0.7 17
1956-07-22 Zavod 12 Sofia D 0-044.4 1336 1325 50.66% 40.05% 9.30%+0.79 -1.7 11
1956-07-22 @ Spartak Varna D 0-044.4 1325 1336 9.30% 40.05% 50.66%-0.79 +1.7 11
1956-07-26 CSKA Sofia D 1-151.3 1336 1491 33.67% 42.47% 23.86%-0.19 -0.3 14
1956-07-26 @ Spartak Sofia D 1-151.3 1491 1336 23.86% 42.47% 33.67%+0.19 +0.3 22
1956-07-28 Levski Sofia L 2-361.0 1361 1372 48.80% 40.77% 10.44%+0.66 -7.4 13
1956-07-28 @ Lokomotiv Sofia W 3-261.0 1372 1361 10.44% 40.77% 48.80%-0.66 +7.5 17
1956-07-29 Minyor Pernik L 0-147.1 1249 1359 39.04% 42.54% 18.42%+0.08 -6.9 11
1956-07-29 @ Dunav Ruse W 1-047.1 1359 1249 18.42% 42.54% 39.04%-0.08 +6.9 15
1956-07-29 Botev Plovdiv D 1-149.2 1334 1366 46.98% 41.34% 11.69%+0.54 -1.2 12
1956-07-29 @ Spartak Varna D 1-149.2 1366 1334 11.69% 41.34% 46.98%-0.54 +1.2 19
1956-07-29 Spartak Pleven D 0-044.3 1327 1312 51.02% 39.89% 9.09%+0.81 -1.7 12
1956-07-29 @ Zavod 12 Sofia D 0-044.3 1312 1327 9.09% 39.89% 51.02%-0.81 +1.7 11
1956-07-30 Spartak Sofia W 3-139.8 1421 1335 56.61% 36.86% 6.53%+1.23 +3.1 19
1956-07-30 @ Slavia Sofia L 1-339.8 1335 1421 6.53% 36.86% 56.61%-1.23 -3.1 14
1956-08-01 Levski Sofia W 3-141.9 1491 1379 58.60% 35.53% 5.87%+1.38 +2.7 24
1956-08-01 @ CSKA Sofia L 1-341.9 1379 1491 5.87% 35.53% 58.60%-1.38 -2.7 17
1956-08-02 Lokomotiv Sofia D 1-149.9 1366 1353 50.87% 39.95% 9.17%+0.80 -1.5 16
1956-08-02 @ Minyor Pernik D 1-149.9 1353 1366 9.17% 39.95% 50.87%-0.80 +1.5 14
1956-08-05 Zavod 12 Sofia W 2-142.9 1367 1325 53.20% 38.84% 7.96%+0.97 +2.2 21
1956-08-05 @ Botev Plovdiv L 1-242.9 1325 1367 7.96% 38.84% 53.20%-0.97 -2.2 12
1956-08-05 Spartak Varna D 2-253.3 1242 1333 41.19% 42.39% 16.42%+0.19 -0.6 12
1956-08-05 @ Dunav Ruse D 2-253.3 1333 1242 16.42% 42.39% 41.19%-0.19 +0.6 13
1956-08-14 CSKA Sofia D 1-151.5 1341 1494 34.00% 42.49% 23.52%-0.17 -0.3 14
1956-08-14 @ Spartak Plovdiv D 1-151.5 1494 1341 23.52% 42.49% 34.00%+0.17 +0.3 25
1956-08-17 Zavod 12 Sofia D 0-044.4 1332 1323 50.56% 40.09% 9.35%+0.78 -1.7 15
1956-08-17 @ Spartak Sofia D 0-044.4 1323 1332 9.35% 40.09% 50.56%-0.78 +1.7 13
1956-08-18 Minyor Pernik W 1-038.8 1494 1365 59.92% 34.60% 5.48%+1.48 +1.5 27
1956-08-18 @ CSKA Sofia L 0-138.8 1365 1494 5.48% 34.60% 59.92%-1.48 -1.5 16
1956-08-19 Dunav Ruse D 1-150.3 1369 1242 59.77% 34.71% 5.52%+1.47 -2.1 22
1956-08-19 @ Botev Plovdiv D 1-150.3 1242 1369 5.52% 34.71% 59.77%-1.47 +2.1 13
1956-08-19 Slavia Sofia D 1-150.9 1377 1424 45.48% 41.72% 12.81%+0.44 -1.1 18
1956-08-19 @ Levski Sofia D 1-150.9 1424 1377 12.81% 41.72% 45.48%-0.44 +1.1 20
1956-08-20 Spartak Plovdiv W 1-038.8 1313 1341 47.35% 41.23% 11.42%+0.56 +3.2 13
1956-08-20 @ Spartak Pleven L 0-138.8 1341 1313 11.42% 41.23% 47.35%-0.56 -3.2 14
1956-08-28 Spartak Pleven D 1-149.1 1331 1317 50.94% 39.92% 9.13%+0.81 -1.6 16
1956-08-28 @ Spartak Sofia D 1-149.1 1317 1331 9.13% 39.92% 50.94%-0.81 +1.5 14
1956-08-29 Spartak Varna D 0-044.9 1355 1333 51.53% 39.66% 8.81%+0.85 -1.8 15
1956-08-29 @ Lokomotiv Sofia D 0-044.9 1333 1355 8.81% 39.66% 51.53%-0.85 +1.8 14
1956-08-30 Slavia Sofia W 4-142.1 1338 1426 41.51% 42.36% 16.13%+0.21 +9.3 16
1956-08-30 @ Spartak Plovdiv L 1-442.1 1426 1338 16.13% 42.36% 41.51%-0.21 -9.2 20
1956-09-01 Botev Plovdiv D 2-260.1 1496 1367 59.86% 34.65% 5.50%+1.48 -1.6 28
1956-09-01 @ CSKA Sofia D 2-260.1 1367 1496 5.50% 34.65% 59.86%-1.48 +1.6 23
1956-09-02 Lokomotiv Sofia D 0-043.2 1244 1353 39.17% 42.53% 18.30%+0.08 -0.8 14
1956-09-02 @ Dunav Ruse D 0-043.2 1353 1244 18.30% 42.53% 39.17%-0.08 +0.8 16
1956-09-02 Spartak Sofia W 3-247.7 1375 1329 53.54% 38.67% 7.80%+1.00 +2.1 20
1956-09-02 @ Levski Sofia L 2-347.7 1329 1375 7.80% 38.67% 53.54%-1.00 -2.0 16
1956-09-02 Spartak Pleven W 3-247.4 1363 1318 53.45% 38.71% 7.84%+0.99 +2.1 18
1956-09-02 @ Minyor Pernik L 2-347.4 1318 1363 7.84% 38.71% 53.45%-0.99 -2.1 14
1956-09-02 Zavod 12 Sofia D 2-254.9 1347 1325 51.64% 39.61% 8.75%+0.86 -1.2 17
1956-09-02 @ Spartak Plovdiv D 2-254.9 1325 1347 8.75% 39.61% 51.64%-0.86 +1.2 14
1956-09-03 Slavia Sofia W 2-038.5 1335 1416 42.19% 42.28% 15.53%+0.25 +7.4 16
1956-09-03 @ Spartak Varna L 0-238.5 1416 1335 15.53% 42.28% 42.19%-0.25 -7.4 20
1956-09-12 Spartak Plovdiv W 3-140.5 1377 1346 52.36% 39.27% 8.37%+0.91 +4.0 22
1956-09-12 @ Levski Sofia L 1-340.5 1346 1377 8.37% 39.27% 52.36%-0.91 -4.0 17
1956-09-15 Lokomotiv Sofia W 3-141.4 1326 1354 47.33% 41.24% 11.43%+0.56 +5.2 16
1956-09-15 @ Zavod 12 Sofia L 1-341.4 1354 1326 11.43% 41.24% 47.33%-0.56 -5.2 16
1956-09-16 Slavia Sofia L 1-256.5 1369 1409 46.20% 41.54% 12.26%+0.49 -7.5 23
1956-09-16 @ Botev Plovdiv W 2-156.5 1409 1369 12.26% 41.54% 46.20%-0.49 +7.5 22
1956-09-16 CSKA Sofia D 1-150.0 1243 1494 21.73% 40.51% 37.76%-0.75 +0.5 15
1956-09-16 @ Dunav Ruse D 1-150.0 1494 1243 37.76% 40.51% 21.73%+0.75 -0.5 29
1956-09-16 Spartak Varna W 1-038.8 1316 1343 47.45% 41.20% 11.35%+0.57 +3.2 16
1956-09-16 @ Spartak Pleven L 0-138.8 1343 1316 11.35% 41.20% 47.45%-0.57 -3.1 16
1956-09-16 Minyor Pernik L 2-455.7 1327 1365 46.39% 41.50% 12.12%+0.50 -11.6 16
1956-09-16 @ Spartak Sofia W 4-255.7 1365 1327 12.12% 41.50% 46.39%-0.50 +11.6 20
1956-09-22 Spartak Varna D 1-148.8 1315 1339 47.68% 41.13% 11.19%+0.58 -1.3 17
1956-09-22 @ Spartak Sofia D 1-148.8 1339 1315 11.19% 41.13% 47.68%-0.58 +1.3 17
1956-09-23 Botev Plovdiv W 2-036.4 1319 1361 46.03% 41.58% 12.38%+0.48 +6.3 18
1956-09-23 @ Spartak Pleven L 0-236.4 1361 1319 12.38% 41.58% 46.03%-0.48 -6.3 23
1956-09-23 Minyor Pernik W 2-145.2 1342 1377 46.69% 41.42% 11.90%+0.52 +3.1 19
1956-09-23 @ Spartak Plovdiv L 1-245.2 1377 1342 11.90% 41.42% 46.69%-0.52 -3.1 20
1956-09-24 Dunav Ruse D 0-046.8 1416 1243 63.15% 32.18% 4.67%+1.74 -2.5 23
1956-09-24 @ Slavia Sofia D 0-046.8 1243 1416 4.67% 32.18% 63.15%-1.74 +2.5 16
1956-09-25 Levski Sofia D 0-044.5 1331 1381 45.23% 41.77% 13.00%+0.43 -1.2 17
1956-09-25 @ Zavod 12 Sofia D 0-044.5 1381 1331 13.00% 41.77% 45.23%-0.43 +1.2 23
1956-09-26 CSKA Sofia D 2-257.1 1348 1494 34.90% 42.53% 22.57%-0.13 -0.3 17
1956-09-26 @ Lokomotiv Sofia D 2-257.1 1494 1348 22.57% 42.53% 34.90%+0.13 +0.3 30
1956-09-29 Spartak Pleven D 1-150.3 1383 1326 54.39% 38.19% 7.41%+1.06 -1.8 24
1956-09-29 @ Levski Sofia D 1-150.3 1326 1383 7.41% 38.19% 54.39%-1.06 +1.8 19
1956-09-30 Slavia Sofia W 4-141.2 1374 1414 46.22% 41.54% 12.24%+0.49 +7.7 22
1956-09-30 @ Minyor Pernik L 1-441.2 1414 1374 12.24% 41.54% 46.22%-0.49 -7.7 23
1956-09-30 CSKA Sofia W 2-151.4 1341 1494 33.90% 42.48% 23.62%-0.18 +4.7 19
1956-09-30 @ Spartak Varna L 1-251.4 1494 1341 23.62% 42.48% 33.90%+0.18 -4.8 30
1956-09-30 Dunav Ruse D 0-044.7 1330 1246 56.44% 36.96% 6.59%+1.21 -2.2 18
1956-09-30 @ Zavod 12 Sofia D 0-044.7 1246 1330 6.59% 36.96% 56.44%-1.21 +2.1 17
1956-10-01 Spartak Plovdiv W 1-038.9 1314 1345 47.05% 41.32% 11.63%+0.54 +3.2 19
1956-10-01 @ Spartak Sofia L 0-138.9 1345 1314 11.63% 41.32% 47.05%-0.54 -3.2 19
1956-10-03 Botev Plovdiv W 1-038.8 1348 1355 49.18% 40.63% 10.19%+0.68 +2.9 19
1956-10-03 @ Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-138.8 1355 1348 10.19% 40.63% 49.18%-0.68 -2.9 23
1956-10-04 CSKA Sofia D 1-151.0 1327 1489 32.83% 42.41% 24.76%-0.23 -0.2 19
1956-10-04 @ Zavod 12 Sofia D 1-151.0 1489 1327 24.76% 42.41% 32.83%+0.23 +0.2 31
1956-10-06 Spartak Sofia W 1-037.3 1352 1317 52.61% 39.14% 8.24%+0.93 +2.4 25
1956-10-06 @ Botev Plovdiv L 0-137.3 1317 1352 8.24% 39.14% 52.61%-0.93 -2.4 19
1956-10-07 Spartak Pleven L 1-253.2 1248 1327 42.39% 42.26% 15.35%+0.26 -7.0 17
1956-10-07 @ Dunav Ruse W 2-153.2 1327 1248 15.35% 42.26% 42.39%-0.26 +7.0 21
1956-10-07 Slavia Sofia W 3-251.1 1351 1406 44.79% 41.86% 13.35%+0.40 +3.2 21
1956-10-07 @ Lokomotiv Sofia L 2-351.1 1406 1351 13.35% 41.86% 44.79%-0.40 -3.2 23
1956-10-07 Spartak Plovdiv L 1-255.9 1345 1342 50.07% 40.29% 9.64%+0.74 -8.0 19
1956-10-07 @ Spartak Varna W 2-155.9 1342 1345 9.64% 40.29% 50.07%-0.74 +8.0 21
1956-10-09 Minyor Pernik W 5-138.4 1381 1382 49.71% 40.43% 9.86%+0.72 +8.4 26
1956-10-09 @ Levski Sofia L 1-538.4 1382 1381 9.86% 40.43% 49.71%-0.72 -8.4 22

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1956-05-26 6.22% Botev Plovdiv 1328 2 @ Slavia Sofia 1426 0
2 1956-07-15 7.99% Spartak Varna 1328 3 @ Minyor Pernik 1369 2
3 1956-03-10 8.01% Botev Plovdiv 1325 1 @ Levski Sofia 1366 0
4 1956-07-22 8.01% Spartak Sofia 1328 3 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1368 2
5 1956-03-03 8.65% Spartak Pleven 1343 1 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1368 0
6 1956-10-07 9.64% Spartak Plovdiv 1342 2 @ Spartak Varna 1345 1
7 1956-03-05 10.27% Minyor Pernik 1358 3 @ Zavod 12 Sofia 1350 1
8 1956-07-28 10.44% Levski Sofia 1372 3 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1361 2
9 1956-07-01 11.67% Botev Plovdiv 1358 1 @ Spartak Plovdiv 1326 0
10 1956-06-17 12.03% Levski Sofia 1362 1 @ Spartak Pleven 1326 0
11 1956-09-16 12.12% Minyor Pernik 1365 4 @ Spartak Sofia 1327 2
12 1956-09-16 12.26% Slavia Sofia 1409 2 @ Botev Plovdiv 1369 1
13 1956-07-18 13.09% Spartak Plovdiv 1320 3 @ Dunav Ruse 1268 0
14 1956-10-07 15.35% Spartak Pleven 1327 2 @ Dunav Ruse 1248 1
15 1956-04-15 17.35% CSKA Sofia 1472 6 @ Minyor Pernik 1372 3
16 1956-07-29 18.42% Minyor Pernik 1359 1 @ Dunav Ruse 1249 0
17 1956-05-19 23.28% CSKA Sofia 1485 2 @ Botev Plovdiv 1334 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1956-07-18 21.33 Spartak Plovdiv 3 1320 13.09% @ Dunav Ruse 0 1268 45.11% 41.80%
2 1956-05-26 17.88 Botev Plovdiv 2 1328 6.22% @ Slavia Sofia 0 1426 57.51% 36.27%
3 1956-03-05 13.65 Minyor Pernik 3 1358 10.27% @ Zavod 12 Sofia 1 1350 49.06% 40.67%
4 1956-04-15 13.12 CSKA Sofia 6 1472 17.35% @ Minyor Pernik 3 1372 40.18% 42.47%
5 1956-06-03 11.97 @ Botev Plovdiv 5 1346 50.49% Spartak Pleven 0 1337 9.39% 40.12%
6 1956-09-16 11.64 Minyor Pernik 4 1365 12.12% @ Spartak Sofia 2 1327 46.39% 41.50%
7 1956-06-30 10.74 @ Slavia Sofia 3 1410 42.13% CSKA Sofia 0 1492 15.58% 42.29%
8 1956-08-30 9.26 @ Spartak Plovdiv 4 1338 41.51% Slavia Sofia 1 1426 16.13% 42.36%
9 1956-04-14 9.03 @ Spartak Plovdiv 3 1316 46.44% Spartak Pleven 0 1354 12.08% 41.48%
10 1956-03-10 8.93 Botev Plovdiv 1 1325 8.01% @ Levski Sofia 0 1366 53.09% 38.90%
11 1956-03-03 8.76 Spartak Pleven 1 1343 8.65% @ Lokomotiv Sofia 0 1368 51.83% 39.52%
12 1956-05-18 8.68 @ Slavia Sofia 5 1417 56.06% Spartak Varna 0 1339 6.74% 37.20%
13 1956-10-09 8.42 @ Levski Sofia 5 1381 49.71% Minyor Pernik 1 1382 9.86% 40.43%
14 1956-03-25 8.35 @ Minyor Pernik 5 1367 56.69% Dunav Ruse 0 1280 6.50% 36.80%
15 1956-07-01 8.26 @ Spartak Sofia 4 1320 53.42% Dunav Ruse 0 1275 7.85% 38.73%
16 1956-07-01 8.07 Botev Plovdiv 1 1358 11.67% @ Spartak Plovdiv 0 1326 47.00% 41.33%
17 1956-04-06 8.03 @ Zavod 12 Sofia 3 1337 48.98% Botev Plovdiv 0 1346 10.32% 40.70%
18 1956-10-07 8.02 Spartak Plovdiv 2 1342 9.64% @ Spartak Varna 1 1345 50.07% 40.29%
19 1956-06-17 7.99 Levski Sofia 1 1362 12.03% @ Spartak Pleven 0 1326 46.51% 41.46%
20 1956-07-15 7.99 Spartak Varna 3 1328 7.99% @ Minyor Pernik 2 1369 53.12% 38.88%
21 1956-07-22 7.99 Spartak Sofia 3 1328 8.01% @ Lokomotiv Sofia 2 1368 53.10% 38.90%
22 1956-09-30 7.69 @ Minyor Pernik 4 1374 46.22% Slavia Sofia 1 1414 12.24% 41.54%
23 1956-09-16 7.49 Slavia Sofia 2 1409 12.26% @ Botev Plovdiv 1 1369 46.20% 41.54%
24 1956-07-28 7.45 Levski Sofia 3 1372 10.44% @ Lokomotiv Sofia 2 1361 48.80% 40.77%
25 1956-09-03 7.38 @ Spartak Varna 2 1335 42.19% Slavia Sofia 0 1416 15.53% 42.28%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1956-07-15 61.2 Spartak Varna 3 1328 7.99% @ Minyor Pernik 2 1369 53.12% 38.88%
2 1956-07-22 61.2 Spartak Sofia 3 1328 8.01% @ Lokomotiv Sofia 2 1368 53.10% 38.90%
3 1956-07-28 61.0 Levski Sofia 3 1372 10.44% @ Lokomotiv Sofia 2 1361 48.80% 40.77%
4 1956-09-01 60.1 @ CSKA Sofia 2 1496 59.86% Botev Plovdiv 2 1367 5.50% 34.65%
5 1956-07-09 57.1 @ Slavia Sofia 2 1421 53.99% Lokomotiv Sofia 2 1369 7.59% 38.42%
6 1956-09-26 57.1 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 2 1348 34.90% CSKA Sofia 2 1494 22.57% 42.53%
7 1956-09-16 56.5 Slavia Sofia 2 1409 12.26% @ Botev Plovdiv 1 1369 46.20% 41.54%
8 1956-10-07 55.9 Spartak Plovdiv 2 1342 9.64% @ Spartak Varna 1 1345 50.07% 40.29%
9 1956-09-16 55.7 Minyor Pernik 4 1365 12.12% @ Spartak Sofia 2 1327 46.39% 41.50%
10 1956-09-02 54.9 @ Spartak Plovdiv 2 1347 51.64% Zavod 12 Sofia 2 1325 8.75% 39.61%
11 1956-03-02 54.7 @ Spartak Plovdiv 2 1330 53.86% Dunav Ruse 2 1279 7.65% 38.49%
12 1956-04-15 54.6 CSKA Sofia 6 1472 17.35% @ Minyor Pernik 3 1372 40.18% 42.47%
13 1956-05-19 54.2 CSKA Sofia 2 1485 23.28% @ Botev Plovdiv 1 1334 34.22% 42.50%
14 1956-05-29 54.1 @ Dunav Ruse 2 1271 35.97% Slavia Sofia 2 1408 21.47% 42.56%
15 1956-08-05 53.3 @ Dunav Ruse 2 1242 41.19% Spartak Varna 2 1333 16.42% 42.39%
16 1956-10-07 53.2 Spartak Pleven 2 1327 15.35% @ Dunav Ruse 1 1248 42.39% 42.26%
17 1956-03-05 52.9 Minyor Pernik 3 1358 10.27% @ Zavod 12 Sofia 1 1350 49.06% 40.67%
18 1956-08-14 51.5 @ Spartak Plovdiv 1 1341 34.00% CSKA Sofia 1 1494 23.52% 42.49%
19 1956-04-08 51.4 @ Levski Sofia 1 1360 38.97% CSKA Sofia 1 1471 18.49% 42.54%
20 1956-09-30 51.4 @ Spartak Varna 2 1341 33.90% CSKA Sofia 1 1494 23.62% 42.48%
21 1956-03-04 51.3 @ CSKA Sofia 3 1463 53.82% Slavia Sofia 2 1413 7.67% 38.51%
22 1956-07-26 51.3 @ Spartak Sofia 1 1336 33.67% CSKA Sofia 1 1491 23.86% 42.47%
23 1956-10-07 51.1 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 3 1351 44.79% Slavia Sofia 2 1406 13.35% 41.86%
24 1956-03-03 51.0 Spartak Pleven 1 1343 8.65% @ Lokomotiv Sofia 0 1368 51.83% 39.52%
25 1956-03-10 51.0 Botev Plovdiv 1 1325 8.01% @ Levski Sofia 0 1366 53.09% 38.90%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1956-07-01 31.7 @ Spartak Sofia 4 1320 53.42% Dunav Ruse 0 1275 7.85% 38.73%
2 1956-03-25 31.8 @ Minyor Pernik 5 1367 56.69% Dunav Ruse 0 1280 6.50% 36.80%
3 1956-04-09 32.2 @ Slavia Sofia 3 1414 57.17% Spartak Plovdiv 0 1321 6.34% 36.50%
4 1956-04-08 33.2 @ Spartak Pleven 3 1346 51.05% Spartak Sofia 0 1331 9.07% 39.88%
5 1956-07-16 33.3 @ CSKA Sofia 2 1489 63.23% Spartak Pleven 0 1315 4.65% 32.12%
6 1956-05-18 33.4 @ Slavia Sofia 5 1417 56.06% Spartak Varna 0 1339 6.74% 37.20%
7 1956-07-08 33.4 @ Minyor Pernik 3 1362 51.56% Zavod 12 Sofia 0 1340 8.79% 39.65%
8 1956-07-09 33.8 @ CSKA Sofia 6 1481 61.31% Zavod 12 Sofia 0 1333 5.11% 33.58%
9 1956-04-06 33.9 @ Zavod 12 Sofia 3 1337 48.98% Botev Plovdiv 0 1346 10.32% 40.70%
10 1956-06-03 34.0 @ Botev Plovdiv 5 1346 50.49% Spartak Pleven 0 1337 9.39% 40.12%
11 1956-03-09 34.4 @ Slavia Sofia 2 1411 55.79% Zavod 12 Sofia 0 1336 6.84% 37.37%
12 1956-04-14 34.5 @ Spartak Plovdiv 3 1316 46.44% Spartak Pleven 0 1354 12.08% 41.48%
13 1956-05-20 34.6 @ Zavod 12 Sofia 2 1347 51.58% Spartak Plovdiv 0 1325 8.78% 39.64%
14 1956-05-24 34.7 @ CSKA Sofia 4 1491 66.41% Dunav Ruse 1 1274 3.99% 29.59%
15 1956-06-02 35.3 @ Levski Sofia 2 1364 51.04% Zavod 12 Sofia 0 1349 9.08% 39.88%
16 1956-03-25 35.5 @ Botev Plovdiv 2 1340 49.15% Spartak Varna 0 1347 10.21% 40.64%
17 1956-05-27 35.5 @ Spartak Varna 2 1330 48.62% Spartak Pleven 0 1343 10.55% 40.82%
18 1956-05-20 35.8 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1 1359 56.46% Dunav Ruse 0 1275 6.59% 36.95%
19 1956-09-23 36.4 @ Spartak Pleven 2 1319 46.03% Botev Plovdiv 0 1361 12.38% 41.58%
20 1956-03-18 36.6 @ Botev Plovdiv 2 1334 46.31% Minyor Pernik 0 1373 12.17% 41.51%
21 1956-03-24 36.8 @ CSKA Sofia 4 1468 60.97% Spartak Plovdiv 1 1324 5.20% 33.83%
22 1956-10-06 37.3 @ Botev Plovdiv 1 1352 52.61% Spartak Sofia 0 1317 8.24% 39.14%
23 1956-03-04 38.2 @ Botev Plovdiv 1 1322 49.22% Spartak Plovdiv 0 1328 10.17% 40.61%
24 1956-10-09 38.4 @ Levski Sofia 5 1381 49.71% Minyor Pernik 1 1382 9.86% 40.43%
25 1956-05-28 38.5 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1 1361 50.58% Zavod 12 Sofia 0 1352 9.34% 40.08%