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1957 A Group Season

132 games

Final

Champion

CSKA Sofia

34 points · 7th Title

Last Title: 1956

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Lokomotiv Sofia

9.02 points above expected

33 points · 23.98 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Spartak Sofia

3.98 points below expected

14 points · 17.98 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 CSKA Sofia Champion 22 15 4 3 34 53 16 +37 29.86 +4.14
2 Lokomotiv Sofia 22 16 1 5 33 34 20 +14 23.98 +9.02
3 Levski Sofia 22 12 6 4 30 46 21 +25 24.98 +5.02
4 Spartak Pleven 22 8 8 6 24 28 28 0 21.72 +2.28
5 Minyor Pernik 22 8 6 8 22 30 26 +4 23.84 -1.84
6 Slavia Sofia 22 8 5 9 21 38 35 +3 23.74 -2.74
7 Spartak Varna 22 7 6 9 20 26 33 -7 21.04 -1.04
8 Spartak Plovdiv 22 7 5 10 19 33 41 -8 21.20 -2.20
9 Cherno More 22 5 8 9 18 19 22 -3 19.82 -1.82
10 Botev Plovdiv 22 6 6 10 18 20 36 -16 21.56 -3.56
11 Spartak Sofia 22 3 8 11 14 21 36 -15 17.98 -3.98
12 Marek Dupnitsa 22 2 7 13 11 20 54 -34 14.28 -3.28

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lokomotiv Sofia 33 23.98 +9.02
2 Levski Sofia 30 24.98 +5.02
3 CSKA Sofia 34 29.86 +4.14
4 Spartak Pleven 24 21.72 +2.28
5 Spartak Varna 20 21.04 -1.04

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Spartak Sofia 14 17.98 -3.98
2 Botev Plovdiv 18 21.56 -3.56
3 Marek Dupnitsa 11 14.28 -3.28
4 Slavia Sofia 21 23.74 -2.74
5 Spartak Plovdiv 19 21.20 -2.20

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lokomotiv Sofia 10 May 11 – Oct 12 1 in 15,337
2 Levski Sofia 7 May 12 – Aug 18 1 in 296
3 Cherno More 4 Sep 1 – Nov 10 1 in 67
4 CSKA Sofia 4 Apr 14 – May 12 1 in 21
5 Spartak Pleven 2 Jun 30 – Jul 6 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Spartak Plovdiv 5 Jun 30 – Aug 25 1 in 94
2 Cherno More 4 Mar 31 – Apr 21 1 in 42
3 Lokomotiv Sofia 3 Apr 14 – Apr 25 1 in 22
4 Botev Plovdiv 4 Nov 10 – Nov 30 1 in 21
5 Slavia Sofia 2 Aug 31 – Oct 12 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Levski Sofia 10 Apr 21 – Aug 28 1 in 49
2 Lokomotiv Sofia 10 May 11 – Oct 12 1 in 44
3 Cherno More 6 Sep 1 – Nov 24 1 in 20
4 Marek Dupnitsa 4 Apr 14 – May 12 1 in 14
5 Spartak Sofia 5 Mar 24 – Apr 20 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cherno More 15 Mar 17 – Aug 24 1 in 171
2 Spartak Sofia 15 Mar 17 – Aug 25 1 in 155
3 Botev Plovdiv 8 Apr 20 – Jul 14 1 in 23
4 Slavia Sofia 5 Aug 31 – Nov 17 1 in 19
5 Spartak Plovdiv 7 Jun 2 – Aug 25 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
CSKA Sofia 1738 34 +47 9 7.5 +1.5
Lokomotiv Sofia 1610 33 -11 5 6.4 -1.4
Levski Sofia 1657 30 +20 7 6.4 +0.6
Spartak Pleven 1508 24 +12 6 5.0 +1.0
Minyor Pernik 1528 22 +6 3 5.1 -2.1
Slavia Sofia 1517 21 -35 4 5.0 -1.0
Spartak Varna 1467 20 -17 4 4.7 -0.7
Spartak Plovdiv 1444 19 +16 6 4.8 +1.2
Cherno More 1486 18 +17 7 4.5 +2.5
Botev Plovdiv 1397 16 -49 2 3.6 -1.6
Spartak Sofia 1426 14 +48 5 3.6 +1.4
Marek Dupnitsa 1292 11 -54 2 3.1 -1.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BP CS CM LS LS MD MP SS SP SP SS SV
Botev Plovdiv —
0-0-2
1.46
1-0-1
2.97
0-1-1
2.26
0-0-2
2.05
1-1-0
3.55
1-0-1
2.39
1-1-0
2.07
1-1-0
2.53
0-1-1
2.63
1-1-0
3.11
0-0-2
2.74
CSKA Sofia
2-0-0
3.97
—
0-2-0
4.11
1-1-0
3.14
2-0-0
3.40
2-0-0
4.15
0-1-1
3.56
1-0-1
3.66
2-0-0
3.74
1-0-1
3.67
2-0-0
4.26
2-0-0
3.55
Cherno More
1-0-1
2.44
0-2-0
1.34
—
0-1-1
2.13
1-0-1
2.06
1-0-1
3.33
0-1-1
2.29
0-0-2
2.00
0-1-1
2.46
1-1-0
2.56
0-1-1
3.38
1-1-0
2.55
Levski Sofia
1-1-0
3.15
0-1-1
2.27
1-1-0
3.29
—
0-0-2
2.84
2-0-0
4.14
2-0-0
2.84
0-2-0
2.66
1-0-1
3.42
2-0-0
3.09
1-1-0
3.67
2-0-0
3.53
Lokomotiv Sofia
2-0-0
3.38
0-0-2
2.01
1-0-1
3.35
2-0-0
2.57
—
1-1-0
4.08
2-0-0
2.76
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
3.11
2-0-0
2.88
2-0-0
3.36
2-0-0
3.05
Marek Dupnitsa
0-1-1
1.87
0-0-2
1.30
1-0-1
2.08
0-0-2
1.31
0-1-1
1.38
—
0-1-1
1.54
0-0-2
1.73
0-2-0
1.72
1-0-1
1.77
0-1-1
2.22
0-1-1
1.95
Minyor Pernik
1-0-1
3.02
1-1-0
1.85
1-1-0
3.11
0-0-2
2.58
0-0-2
2.64
1-1-0
3.90
—
1-0-1
2.37
0-1-1
2.95
1-0-1
3.21
1-1-0
3.33
1-1-0
3.12
Slavia Sofia
0-1-1
3.34
1-0-1
1.77
2-0-0
3.42
0-2-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.67
2-0-0
3.71
1-0-1
3.04
—
0-0-2
3.18
0-0-2
3.36
0-1-1
3.78
1-1-0
3.16
Spartak Pleven
0-1-1
2.88
0-0-2
1.68
1-1-0
2.94
1-0-1
1.99
1-0-1
2.30
0-2-0
3.70
1-1-0
2.45
2-0-0
2.23
—
1-1-0
2.78
1-1-0
3.18
0-1-1
2.91
Spartak Plovdiv
1-1-0
2.77
1-0-1
1.75
0-1-1
2.85
0-0-2
2.34
0-0-2
2.52
1-0-1
3.65
1-0-1
2.19
2-0-0
2.05
0-1-1
2.62
—
1-1-0
2.95
0-1-1
2.78
Spartak Sofia
0-1-1
2.30
0-0-2
1.21
1-1-0
2.03
0-1-1
1.75
0-0-2
2.07
1-1-0
3.18
0-1-1
2.08
1-1-0
1.65
0-1-1
2.23
0-1-1
2.45
—
0-0-2
2.42
Spartak Varna
2-0-0
2.66
0-0-2
1.88
0-1-1
2.85
0-0-2
1.88
0-0-2
2.36
1-1-0
3.47
0-1-1
2.29
0-1-1
2.25
1-1-0
2.49
1-1-0
2.63
2-0-0
2.98
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.68 +5.4
Allowed 0.69 -5.6
Differential 0.88 +3.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%10.23%3.41%3.41%1.89%1.52%28.79%
110.23%12.12%4.17%4.55%1.89%0.76%33.71%
23.41%4.17%5.30%3.03%0.38%0.76%17.05%
33.41%4.55%3.03%0.76%——11.74%
41.89%1.89%0.38%——0.38%4.55%
5+1.52%0.76%0.76%—0.38%0.76%4.17%
Total28.79%33.71%17.05%11.74%4.55%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.39 +0.00
SD 1.37 1.37 1.98
CV 0.99 0.99 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min -1 -1 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%36.36%
113.64%9.09%4.55%9.09%——36.36%
2——9.09%4.55%——13.64%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+—————4.55%4.55%
Total22.73%22.73%22.73%18.18%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 1.59 -0.73
SD 1.04 1.50 1.72
CV 1.20 0.94 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min -1 -1 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%————18.18%
14.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
213.64%4.55%————18.18%
313.64%—————13.64%
44.55%13.64%————18.18%
5+—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
Total45.45%40.91%9.09%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.41 0.73 +1.68
SD 1.82 0.83 1.81
CV 0.75 1.14 —
Max 6 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%13.64%4.55%4.55%——40.91%
113.64%18.18%9.09%4.55%——45.45%
2———4.55%——4.55%
34.55%—————4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total40.91%31.82%13.64%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 1.00 -0.14
SD 1.04 1.07 1.55
CV 1.20 1.07 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%——4.55%—27.27%
14.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
24.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
49.09%—4.55%———13.64%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total40.91%31.82%22.73%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 0.95 +1.14
SD 1.87 1.05 2.27
CV 0.90 1.10 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
136.36%—————36.36%
2—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
34.55%4.55%13.64%———22.73%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total45.45%22.73%27.27%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 0.91 +0.64
SD 1.34 0.97 1.71
CV 0.86 1.07 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%13.64%40.91%
14.55%13.64%9.09%—9.09%—36.36%
2——9.09%4.55%—4.55%18.18%
3———————
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%18.18%22.73%9.09%13.64%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 2.45 -1.55
SD 1.02 1.95 2.36
CV 1.12 0.79 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%13.64%————27.27%
19.09%9.09%4.55%9.09%——31.82%
29.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total36.36%31.82%13.64%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.18 +0.18
SD 1.26 1.22 1.65
CV 0.92 1.03 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
1—9.09%9.09%9.09%——27.27%
24.55%9.09%13.64%———27.27%
39.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
4—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
5+—————4.55%4.55%
Total13.64%31.82%31.82%13.64%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.55 +0.14
SD 1.32 1.30 1.73
CV 0.79 0.84 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%——4.55%—22.73%
113.64%18.18%4.55%9.09%——45.45%
2—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
3—13.64%—4.55%——18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%50.00%9.09%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.27 +0.00
SD 1.03 1.12 1.45
CV 0.81 0.88 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
19.09%9.09%—9.09%——27.27%
24.55%—4.55%4.55%—4.55%18.18%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
4———————
5+4.55%———4.55%—9.09%
Total22.73%22.73%18.18%22.73%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.86 -0.36
SD 1.54 1.49 2.04
CV 1.02 0.80 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%27.27%—4.55%——40.91%
1—22.73%——4.55%9.09%36.36%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
34.55%—————4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%59.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.64 -0.68
SD 1.09 1.59 1.89
CV 1.14 0.97 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
113.64%22.73%4.55%—9.09%—50.00%
24.55%——9.09%——13.64%
3—13.64%————13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%40.91%9.09%18.18%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.50 -0.32
SD 0.96 1.30 1.70
CV 0.81 0.87 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
CSKA Sofia 1738 34 29.86 +4.14 92.0% 20 24 28 30 32 35 38
Levski Sofia 1657 30 24.98 +5.02 91.0% 14 18 23 25 28 31 33
Lokomotiv Sofia 1610 33 23.98 +9.02 100.0% 13 18 22 24 26 29 33
Minyor Pernik 1528 22 23.84 -1.84 37.0% 15 17 21 24 27 31 34
Slavia Sofia 1517 21 23.74 -2.74 24.0% 14 18 22 24 26 29 34
Spartak Pleven 1508 24 21.72 +2.28 79.0% 13 15 19 22 24 28 32
Cherno More 1486 18 19.82 -1.82 36.0% 8 13 18 19 22 26 28
Spartak Varna 1467 20 21.04 -1.04 42.0% 15 15 19 21 23 26 31
Spartak Plovdiv 1444 19 21.20 -2.20 27.0% 11 14 19 21 24 27 32
Spartak Sofia 1426 14 17.98 -3.98 20.0% 8 11 15 18 21 24 27
Botev Plovdiv 1397 18 21.56 -3.56 20.0% 15 17 19 21 24 28 34
Marek Dupnitsa 1292 11 14.28 -3.28 20.0% 7 10 12 14 16 19 21

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.91%
Slight Edge
44.70%26.52%28.79%
Elo Value
Home Edge
135 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
053.05400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.29 goals
Neutral
-2+0.39+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.4
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
63%
CSKA Sofia, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.92 * Some Luck: 2.92 to 4.37 * Lucky: 4.37 to 5.83 * Wild Swing: 5.83 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.7 * Close: 1.7 to 2.54 * Off: 2.54 to 3.39 * Way Off: 3.39 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.96 points
Some Luck
03.649
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
02.125
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Lokomotiv Sofia
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
20.00%
Botev Plovdiv
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Top-Heavy
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 119.78
1.78
Moderate Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
65%
Slight Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
93%
Strong Edge
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
63%
Frequent
0%55%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Frequent
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.35
Slight Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.21
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.60
Strong Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Shaky Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.23 * Above Noise: 0.23 to 0.31 * Well Above Noise: 0.31 and up.
Probability calibration
0.90
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.15
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.137
Well Within Noise
00.1530.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
CSKA Sofia63.00%16.00%11.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%—————
Lokomotiv Sofia6.00%16.00%17.00%11.00%8.00%13.00%12.00%6.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%
Levski Sofia10.00%22.00%19.00%15.00%8.00%8.00%5.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%
Spartak Pleven2.00%5.00%8.00%8.00%13.00%13.00%17.00%8.00%5.00%12.00%6.00%3.00%
Minyor Pernik8.00%17.00%10.00%11.00%8.00%12.00%10.00%5.00%9.00%5.00%5.00%—
Slavia Sofia5.00%9.00%13.00%17.00%21.00%10.00%9.00%7.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%
Spartak Varna1.00%2.00%10.00%5.00%10.00%10.00%12.00%14.00%11.00%10.00%12.00%3.00%
Spartak Plovdiv2.00%4.00%3.00%9.00%12.00%12.00%10.00%13.00%12.00%13.00%8.00%2.00%
Cherno More—3.00%4.00%10.00%6.00%7.00%4.00%14.00%15.00%17.00%14.00%6.00%
Botev Plovdiv3.00%6.00%3.00%7.00%8.00%9.00%13.00%12.00%20.00%7.00%10.00%2.00%
Spartak Sofia——2.00%1.00%4.00%5.00%6.00%12.00%12.00%23.00%20.00%15.00%
Marek Dupnitsa——————1.00%3.00%6.00%6.00%20.00%64.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
CSKA Sofia 100% —
Levski Sofia 97.00% 3.00%
Lokomotiv Sofia 97.00% 3.00%
Slavia Sofia 96.00% 4.00%
Minyor Pernik 95.00% 5.00%
Spartak Pleven 91.00% 9.00%
Spartak Plovdiv 90.00% 10.00%
Botev Plovdiv 88.00% 12.00%
Spartak Varna 85.00% 15.00%
Cherno More 80.00% 20.00%
Spartak Sofia 65.00% 35.00%
Marek Dupnitsa 16.00% 84.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1957-03-16 Marek Dupnitsa W 2-042.7 1576 1434 58.41% 28.30% 13.29%+1.44 +9.9 2
1957-03-16 @ CSKA Sofia L 0-242.7 1434 1576 13.29% 28.30% 58.41%-1.44 -9.9 0
1957-03-17 Botev Plovdiv D 0-057.9 1520 1504 45.69% 29.78% 24.53%+0.51 -1.5 1
1957-03-17 @ Levski Sofia D 0-057.9 1504 1520 24.53% 29.78% 45.69%-0.51 +1.5 1
1957-03-17 Cherno More W 2-047.5 1517 1510 44.46% 29.83% 25.71%+0.44 +16.9 2
1957-03-17 @ Minyor Pernik L 0-247.5 1510 1517 25.71% 29.83% 44.46%-0.44 -16.9 0
1957-03-17 Slavia Sofia W 1-052.2 1489 1531 38.15% 29.95% 31.90%+0.08 +10.5 2
1957-03-17 @ Spartak Pleven L 0-152.2 1531 1489 31.90% 29.95% 38.15%-0.08 -10.5 0
1957-03-17 Lokomotiv Sofia L 2-365.1 1503 1504 43.52% 29.86% 26.61%+0.38 -11.8 0
1957-03-17 @ Spartak Plovdiv W 3-265.1 1504 1503 26.61% 29.86% 43.52%-0.38 +11.8 2
1957-03-17 Spartak Sofia W 1-048.7 1496 1486 45.00% 29.81% 25.19%+0.47 +8.8 2
1957-03-17 @ Spartak Varna L 0-148.7 1486 1496 25.19% 29.81% 45.00%-0.47 -8.8 0
1957-03-21 Spartak Plovdiv L 0-160.7 1586 1491 54.21% 29.02% 16.78%+1.09 -16.0 2
1957-03-21 @ CSKA Sofia W 1-060.7 1491 1586 16.78% 29.02% 54.21%-1.09 +16.0 2
1957-03-23 Spartak Varna W 3-260.1 1516 1505 45.04% 29.81% 25.16%+0.47 +7.9 4
1957-03-23 @ Lokomotiv Sofia L 2-360.1 1505 1516 25.16% 29.81% 45.04%-0.47 -7.9 2
1957-03-24 Spartak Pleven W 3-152.0 1506 1500 44.42% 29.83% 25.75%+0.44 +14.7 3
1957-03-24 @ Botev Plovdiv L 1-352.0 1500 1506 25.75% 29.83% 44.42%-0.44 -14.7 2
1957-03-24 Levski Sofia D 1-161.6 1494 1519 40.36% 29.94% 29.70%+0.20 -0.6 1
1957-03-24 @ Cherno More D 1-161.6 1519 1494 29.70% 29.94% 40.36%-0.20 +0.6 2
1957-03-24 Slavia Sofia L 0-343.9 1424 1521 30.60% 29.81% 39.60%-0.32 -27.9 0
1957-03-24 @ Marek Dupnitsa W 3-043.9 1521 1424 39.60% 29.81% 30.60%+0.32 +27.9 2
1957-03-24 Minyor Pernik D 2-266.8 1477 1534 36.06% 29.94% 34.00%-0.03 -0.1 1
1957-03-24 @ Spartak Sofia D 2-266.8 1534 1477 34.00% 29.94% 36.06%+0.03 +0.1 3
1957-03-30 Spartak Sofia D 0-056.9 1520 1477 48.81% 29.58% 21.61%+0.71 -1.9 3
1957-03-30 @ Levski Sofia D 0-056.9 1477 1520 21.61% 29.58% 48.81%-0.71 +1.9 2
1957-03-31 Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-157.4 1534 1524 44.90% 29.81% 25.28%+0.47 -13.6 3
1957-03-31 @ Minyor Pernik W 1-057.4 1524 1534 25.28% 29.81% 44.90%-0.47 +13.6 6
1957-03-31 Botev Plovdiv D 2-269.1 1548 1520 47.10% 29.70% 23.20%+0.60 -1.1 3
1957-03-31 @ Slavia Sofia D 2-269.1 1520 1548 23.20% 29.70% 47.10%-0.60 +1.1 4
1957-03-31 Cherno More W 3-151.5 1485 1493 42.69% 29.89% 27.42%+0.33 +15.4 4
1957-03-31 @ Spartak Pleven L 1-351.5 1493 1485 27.42% 29.89% 42.69%-0.33 -15.4 1
1957-03-31 Marek Dupnitsa W 5-037.2 1507 1396 55.71% 28.79% 15.50%+1.21 +26.5 4
1957-03-31 @ Spartak Plovdiv L 0-537.2 1396 1507 15.50% 28.79% 55.71%-1.21 -26.5 0
1957-03-31 CSKA Sofia L 1-454.2 1497 1570 33.82% 29.91% 36.28%-0.14 -25.2 2
1957-03-31 @ Spartak Varna W 4-154.2 1570 1497 36.28% 29.91% 33.82%+0.14 +25.2 4
1957-04-05 Minyor Pernik L 0-161.4 1595 1520 52.24% 29.26% 18.49%+0.95 -15.5 4
1957-04-05 @ CSKA Sofia W 1-061.4 1520 1595 18.49% 29.26% 52.24%-0.95 +15.5 5
1957-04-06 Levski Sofia W 1-051.1 1537 1518 46.11% 29.75% 24.14%+0.54 +8.6 8
1957-04-06 @ Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-151.1 1518 1537 24.14% 29.75% 46.11%-0.54 -8.6 3
1957-04-07 Slavia Sofia L 1-258.1 1477 1547 34.21% 29.91% 35.88%-0.12 -10.4 1
1957-04-07 @ Cherno More W 2-158.1 1547 1477 35.88% 29.91% 34.21%+0.12 +10.4 5
1957-04-07 Botev Plovdiv L 2-354.9 1370 1521 23.88% 29.36% 46.76%-0.73 -7.6 0
1957-04-07 @ Marek Dupnitsa W 3-254.9 1521 1370 46.76% 29.36% 23.88%+0.73 +7.6 6
1957-04-07 Spartak Varna D 1-161.5 1534 1472 50.86% 29.41% 19.73%+0.85 -2.0 5
1957-04-07 @ Spartak Plovdiv D 1-161.5 1472 1534 19.73% 29.41% 50.86%-0.85 +2.0 3
1957-04-07 Spartak Pleven D 1-160.4 1479 1500 40.85% 29.93% 29.22%+0.23 -0.7 3
1957-04-07 @ Spartak Sofia D 1-160.4 1500 1479 29.22% 29.93% 40.85%-0.23 +0.7 5
1957-04-13 Spartak Sofia D 1-162.7 1558 1478 52.74% 29.21% 18.06%+0.98 -2.3 6
1957-04-13 @ Slavia Sofia D 1-162.7 1478 1558 18.06% 29.21% 52.74%-0.98 +2.3 4
1957-04-14 Cherno More W 1-047.5 1529 1467 50.89% 29.40% 19.71%+0.85 +7.3 8
1957-04-14 @ Botev Plovdiv L 0-147.5 1467 1529 19.71% 29.40% 50.89%-0.85 -7.3 1
1957-04-14 CSKA Sofia L 0-449.5 1509 1580 34.13% 29.91% 35.96%-0.13 -39.4 3
1957-04-14 @ Levski Sofia W 4-049.5 1580 1509 35.96% 29.91% 34.13%+0.13 +39.4 6
1957-04-14 Spartak Plovdiv W 2-049.1 1536 1532 44.18% 29.84% 25.98%+0.42 +17.1 7
1957-04-14 @ Minyor Pernik L 0-249.1 1532 1536 25.98% 29.84% 44.18%-0.42 -17.1 5
1957-04-14 Lokomotiv Sofia W 1-053.3 1501 1546 37.73% 29.95% 32.32%+0.06 +10.6 7
1957-04-14 @ Spartak Pleven L 0-153.3 1546 1501 32.32% 29.95% 37.73%-0.06 -10.6 8
1957-04-14 Marek Dupnitsa D 1-156.1 1474 1362 55.79% 28.78% 15.43%+1.22 -2.7 4
1957-04-14 @ Spartak Varna D 1-156.1 1362 1474 15.43% 28.78% 55.79%-1.22 +2.7 1
1957-04-19 Slavia Sofia L 0-254.4 1535 1555 41.09% 29.92% 28.99%+0.24 -23.8 8
1957-04-19 @ Lokomotiv Sofia W 2-054.4 1555 1535 28.99% 29.92% 41.09%-0.24 +23.8 8
1957-04-20 Botev Plovdiv D 1-161.8 1480 1536 36.15% 29.94% 33.91%-0.02 -0.1 5
1957-04-20 @ Spartak Sofia D 1-161.8 1536 1480 33.91% 29.94% 36.15%+0.02 +0.1 9
1957-04-21 Spartak Pleven W 1-050.8 1619 1512 55.39% 28.84% 15.77%+1.19 +6.1 8
1957-04-21 @ CSKA Sofia L 0-150.8 1512 1619 15.77% 28.84% 55.39%-1.19 -6.1 7
1957-04-21 Cherno More W 1-047.9 1365 1460 30.80% 29.81% 39.38%-0.31 +12.2 3
1957-04-21 @ Marek Dupnitsa L 0-147.9 1460 1365 39.38% 29.81% 30.80%+0.31 -12.2 1
1957-04-21 Levski Sofia L 0-155.9 1515 1470 49.01% 29.57% 21.42%+0.72 -14.6 5
1957-04-21 @ Spartak Plovdiv W 1-055.9 1470 1515 21.42% 29.57% 49.01%-0.72 +14.6 5
1957-04-21 Minyor Pernik D 0-057.8 1471 1553 32.59% 29.87% 37.53%-0.21 +0.3 5
1957-04-21 @ Spartak Varna D 0-057.8 1553 1471 37.53% 29.87% 32.59%+0.21 -0.3 8
1957-04-24 Spartak Plovdiv L 2-363.4 1480 1500 41.12% 29.92% 28.96%+0.25 -11.3 5
1957-04-24 @ Spartak Sofia W 3-263.4 1500 1480 28.96% 29.92% 41.12%-0.25 +11.3 7
1957-04-25 CSKA Sofia L 0-252.0 1512 1625 28.38% 29.70% 41.92%-0.45 -18.2 8
1957-04-25 @ Lokomotiv Sofia W 2-052.0 1625 1512 41.92% 29.70% 28.38%+0.45 +18.2 10
1957-04-26 Minyor Pernik L 2-367.5 1536 1552 41.64% 29.91% 28.44%+0.28 -11.4 9
1957-04-26 @ Botev Plovdiv W 3-267.5 1552 1536 28.44% 29.91% 41.64%-0.28 +11.4 10
1957-04-26 Spartak Varna D 1-158.2 1448 1472 40.57% 29.93% 29.50%+0.22 -0.7 2
1957-04-26 @ Cherno More D 1-158.2 1472 1448 29.50% 29.93% 40.57%-0.22 +0.7 6
1957-04-26 Slavia Sofia D 2-268.8 1484 1579 30.78% 29.81% 39.41%-0.31 +0.4 6
1957-04-26 @ Levski Sofia D 2-268.8 1579 1484 39.41% 29.81% 30.78%+0.31 -0.4 9
1957-04-28 Marek Dupnitsa D 1-157.5 1506 1377 57.29% 28.52% 14.19%+1.34 -2.9 8
1957-04-28 @ Spartak Pleven D 1-157.5 1377 1506 14.19% 28.52% 57.29%-1.34 +2.9 4
1957-05-11 Cherno More W 1-045.9 1493 1447 49.21% 29.55% 21.24%+0.74 +7.8 10
1957-05-11 @ Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-145.9 1447 1493 21.24% 29.55% 49.21%-0.74 -7.8 2
1957-05-12 Botev Plovdiv W 2-048.5 1643 1525 56.38% 28.68% 14.94%+1.27 +11.0 12
1957-05-12 @ CSKA Sofia L 0-248.5 1525 1643 14.94% 28.68% 56.38%-1.27 -11.0 9
1957-05-12 Spartak Sofia D 0-051.8 1380 1469 31.62% 29.84% 38.53%-0.26 +0.5 5
1957-05-12 @ Marek Dupnitsa D 0-051.8 1469 1380 38.53% 29.84% 31.62%+0.26 -0.5 6
1957-05-12 Levski Sofia L 2-465.4 1564 1485 52.66% 29.21% 18.13%+0.98 -22.8 10
1957-05-12 @ Minyor Pernik W 4-265.4 1485 1564 18.13% 29.21% 52.66%-0.98 +22.8 8
1957-05-12 Slavia Sofia W 5-469.7 1511 1579 34.51% 29.92% 35.57%-0.11 +9.8 9
1957-05-12 @ Spartak Plovdiv L 4-569.7 1579 1511 35.57% 29.92% 34.51%+0.11 -9.8 9
1957-05-12 Spartak Pleven W 3-152.3 1472 1503 39.69% 29.94% 30.37%+0.17 +16.6 8
1957-05-12 @ Spartak Varna L 1-352.3 1503 1472 30.37% 29.94% 39.69%-0.17 -16.5 8
1957-05-31 Marek Dupnitsa W 6-036.9 1508 1381 57.16% 28.54% 14.30%+1.33 +29.4 10
1957-05-31 @ Levski Sofia L 0-636.9 1381 1508 14.30% 28.54% 57.16%-1.33 -29.4 5
1957-06-01 Spartak Varna W 3-044.1 1569 1489 52.80% 29.20% 18.01%+0.99 +18.6 11
1957-06-01 @ Slavia Sofia L 0-344.1 1489 1569 18.01% 29.20% 52.80%-0.99 -18.6 8
1957-06-02 Spartak Plovdiv D 2-267.8 1514 1521 42.81% 29.89% 27.31%+0.34 -0.7 10
1957-06-02 @ Botev Plovdiv D 2-267.8 1521 1514 27.31% 29.89% 42.81%-0.34 +0.7 10
1957-06-02 CSKA Sofia D 1-165.0 1439 1654 17.68% 28.50% 53.82%-1.20 +2.4 3
1957-06-02 @ Cherno More D 1-165.0 1654 1439 53.82% 28.50% 17.68%+1.20 -2.4 13
1957-06-02 Minyor Pernik W 3-155.2 1486 1541 36.34% 29.94% 33.71%-0.01 +17.8 10
1957-06-02 @ Spartak Pleven L 1-355.2 1541 1486 33.71% 29.94% 36.34%+0.01 -17.8 10
1957-06-02 Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-347.4 1468 1501 39.37% 29.95% 30.68%+0.15 -33.5 6
1957-06-02 @ Spartak Sofia W 3-047.4 1501 1468 30.68% 29.95% 39.37%-0.15 +33.4 12
1957-06-08 Spartak Pleven W 4-044.3 1537 1504 47.66% 29.66% 22.68%+0.64 +29.2 12
1957-06-08 @ Levski Sofia L 0-444.3 1504 1537 22.68% 29.66% 47.66%-0.64 -29.2 10
1957-06-09 Lokomotiv Sofia L 1-248.8 1351 1535 20.57% 28.97% 50.46%-0.96 -7.1 5
1957-06-09 @ Marek Dupnitsa W 2-148.8 1535 1351 50.46% 28.97% 20.57%+0.96 +7.1 14
1957-06-09 Slavia Sofia W 3-158.6 1523 1588 34.95% 29.93% 35.13%-0.09 +18.4 12
1957-06-09 @ Minyor Pernik L 1-358.6 1588 1523 35.13% 29.93% 34.95%+0.09 -18.3 11
1957-06-09 Cherno More D 0-055.8 1522 1442 52.78% 29.20% 18.02%+0.99 -2.5 11
1957-06-09 @ Spartak Plovdiv D 0-055.8 1442 1522 18.02% 29.20% 52.78%-0.99 +2.5 4
1957-06-09 CSKA Sofia L 1-547.9 1435 1652 17.52% 28.47% 54.02%-1.21 -19.6 6
1957-06-09 @ Spartak Sofia W 5-147.9 1652 1435 54.02% 28.47% 17.52%+1.21 +19.6 15
1957-06-09 Botev Plovdiv W 3-153.1 1470 1513 37.95% 29.95% 32.10%+0.07 +17.2 10
1957-06-09 @ Spartak Varna L 1-353.1 1513 1470 32.10% 29.95% 37.95%-0.07 -17.2 10
1957-06-13 Spartak Varna W 2-046.0 1566 1487 52.64% 29.22% 18.14%+0.98 +12.9 14
1957-06-13 @ Levski Sofia L 0-246.0 1487 1566 18.14% 29.22% 52.64%-0.98 -12.9 10
1957-06-17 Spartak Varna L 0-148.7 1415 1474 35.72% 29.94% 34.34%-0.05 -11.4 6
1957-06-17 @ Spartak Sofia W 1-048.7 1474 1415 34.34% 29.94% 35.72%+0.05 +11.4 12
1957-06-30 Lokomotiv Sofia L 1-259.7 1496 1542 37.63% 29.95% 32.42%+0.06 -11.1 10
1957-06-30 @ Botev Plovdiv W 2-159.7 1542 1496 32.42% 29.95% 37.63%-0.06 +11.1 16
1957-06-30 Spartak Sofia D 1-156.1 1444 1404 48.50% 29.61% 21.90%+0.69 -1.7 5
1957-06-30 @ Cherno More D 1-156.1 1404 1444 21.90% 29.61% 48.50%-0.69 +1.7 7
1957-06-30 Marek Dupnitsa D 1-157.9 1541 1344 62.69% 27.22% 10.09%+1.85 -3.7 13
1957-06-30 @ Minyor Pernik D 1-157.9 1344 1541 10.09% 27.22% 62.69%-1.85 +3.7 6
1957-06-30 Spartak Plovdiv W 3-153.6 1475 1519 37.80% 29.95% 32.25%+0.06 +17.3 12
1957-06-30 @ Spartak Pleven L 1-353.6 1519 1475 32.25% 29.95% 37.80%-0.06 -17.3 11
1957-07-02 CSKA Sofia W 3-163.4 1569 1671 29.84% 29.77% 40.38%-0.36 +20.3 13
1957-07-02 @ Slavia Sofia L 1-363.4 1671 1569 40.38% 29.77% 29.84%+0.36 -20.3 15
1957-07-06 Spartak Pleven L 1-266.0 1590 1492 54.49% 28.98% 16.53%+1.11 -15.2 13
1957-07-06 @ Slavia Sofia W 2-166.0 1492 1590 16.53% 28.98% 54.49%-1.11 +15.2 14
1957-07-07 Levski Sofia L 0-447.7 1485 1579 30.89% 29.82% 39.29%-0.30 -36.7 10
1957-07-07 @ Botev Plovdiv W 4-047.7 1579 1485 39.29% 29.82% 30.89%+0.30 +36.7 16
1957-07-07 Minyor Pernik D 0-056.2 1442 1538 30.70% 29.81% 39.49%-0.31 +0.6 6
1957-07-07 @ Cherno More D 0-056.2 1538 1442 39.49% 29.81% 30.70%+0.31 -0.6 14
1957-07-07 Spartak Plovdiv W 1-050.0 1553 1502 49.71% 29.51% 20.78%+0.77 +7.6 18
1957-07-07 @ Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-150.0 1502 1553 20.78% 29.51% 49.71%-0.77 -7.6 11
1957-07-07 CSKA Sofia L 2-644.3 1348 1651 11.54% 26.76% 61.70%-1.85 -11.4 6
1957-07-07 @ Marek Dupnitsa W 6-244.3 1651 1348 61.70% 26.76% 11.54%+1.85 +11.4 17
1957-07-12 Cherno More W 3-256.7 1616 1443 60.89% 27.72% 11.39%+1.67 +4.1 18
1957-07-12 @ Levski Sofia L 2-356.7 1443 1616 11.39% 27.72% 60.89%-1.67 -4.1 6
1957-07-13 CSKA Sofia L 2-556.1 1494 1662 22.08% 29.17% 48.75%-0.85 -15.9 11
1957-07-13 @ Spartak Plovdiv W 5-256.1 1662 1494 48.75% 29.17% 22.08%+0.85 +15.9 19
1957-07-14 Spartak Sofia W 1-043.5 1537 1406 57.57% 28.47% 13.96%+1.37 +5.5 16
1957-07-14 @ Minyor Pernik L 0-143.5 1406 1537 13.96% 28.47% 57.57%-1.37 -5.5 7
1957-07-14 Marek Dupnitsa W 4-139.8 1575 1336 65.44% 26.29% 8.26%+2.15 +7.7 15
1957-07-14 @ Slavia Sofia L 1-439.8 1336 1575 8.26% 26.29% 65.44%-2.15 -7.7 6
1957-07-14 Botev Plovdiv D 1-159.7 1507 1448 50.56% 29.44% 20.00%+0.83 -2.0 15
1957-07-14 @ Spartak Pleven D 1-159.7 1448 1507 20.00% 29.44% 50.56%-0.83 +2.0 11
1957-07-14 Lokomotiv Sofia L 2-363.5 1486 1560 33.52% 29.90% 36.58%-0.16 -9.7 12
1957-07-14 @ Spartak Varna W 3-263.5 1560 1486 36.58% 29.90% 33.52%+0.16 +9.7 20
1957-08-16 Spartak Varna W 4-148.9 1678 1476 63.05% 27.11% 9.84%+1.89 +9.2 21
1957-08-16 @ CSKA Sofia L 1-448.9 1476 1678 9.84% 27.11% 63.05%-1.89 -9.2 12
1957-08-17 Minyor Pernik W 1-052.8 1570 1543 47.03% 29.70% 23.26%+0.60 +8.3 22
1957-08-17 @ Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-152.8 1543 1570 23.26% 29.70% 47.03%-0.60 -8.3 16
1957-08-18 Slavia Sofia FW56.0 1450 1582 26.12% 29.55% 44.33%-0.58 +0.0 13
1957-08-18 @ Botev Plovdiv FL56.0 1582 1450 44.33% 29.55% 26.12%+0.58 +0.0 15
1957-08-18 Spartak Pleven D 0-054.8 1439 1505 34.69% 29.92% 35.39%-0.10 +0.0 7
1957-08-18 @ Cherno More D 0-054.8 1505 1439 35.39% 29.92% 34.69%+0.10 -0.0 16
1957-08-18 Spartak Plovdiv W 4-043.7 1329 1478 24.09% 29.38% 46.53%-0.71 +49.8 8
1957-08-18 @ Marek Dupnitsa L 0-443.7 1478 1329 46.53% 29.38% 24.09%+0.71 -49.8 11
1957-08-18 Levski Sofia L 1-644.6 1400 1620 17.28% 28.42% 54.30%-1.23 -23.7 7
1957-08-18 @ Spartak Sofia W 6-144.6 1620 1400 54.30% 28.42% 17.28%+1.23 +23.7 20
1957-08-22 CSKA Sofia D 1-168.2 1534 1688 23.69% 29.34% 46.97%-0.74 +1.5 17
1957-08-22 @ Minyor Pernik D 1-168.2 1688 1534 46.97% 29.34% 23.69%+0.74 -1.5 22
1957-08-24 Cherno More W 2-151.2 1582 1439 58.56% 28.27% 13.17%+1.45 +4.9 17
1957-08-24 @ Slavia Sofia L 1-251.2 1439 1582 13.17% 28.27% 58.56%-1.45 -4.9 7
1957-08-25 Marek Dupnitsa D 0-051.4 1450 1379 51.92% 29.30% 18.78%+0.92 -2.4 14
1957-08-25 @ Botev Plovdiv D 0-051.4 1379 1450 18.78% 29.30% 51.92%-0.92 +2.4 9
1957-08-25 Spartak Sofia W 1-041.5 1505 1376 57.33% 28.51% 14.16%+1.35 +5.5 18
1957-08-25 @ Spartak Pleven L 0-141.5 1376 1505 14.16% 28.51% 57.33%-1.35 -5.6 7
1957-08-25 Spartak Plovdiv W 2-041.6 1467 1429 48.29% 29.62% 22.09%+0.68 +15.1 14
1957-08-25 @ Spartak Varna L 0-241.6 1429 1467 22.09% 29.62% 48.29%-0.68 -15.1 11
1957-08-28 Levski Sofia D 0-065.5 1686 1643 48.77% 29.59% 21.64%+0.71 -1.9 23
1957-08-28 @ CSKA Sofia D 0-065.5 1643 1686 21.64% 29.59% 48.77%-0.71 +1.9 21
1957-08-31 Slavia Sofia W 2-161.1 1371 1587 17.56% 28.47% 53.97%-1.21 +14.9 9
1957-08-31 @ Spartak Sofia L 1-261.1 1587 1371 53.97% 28.47% 17.56%+1.21 -14.9 17
1957-09-01 Botev Plovdiv W 1-046.2 1434 1448 41.89% 29.91% 28.20%+0.29 +9.6 9
1957-09-01 @ Cherno More L 0-146.2 1448 1434 28.20% 29.91% 41.89%-0.29 -9.6 14
1957-09-01 Spartak Pleven W 1-050.7 1579 1511 51.50% 29.34% 19.15%+0.89 +7.2 24
1957-09-01 @ Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-150.7 1511 1579 19.15% 29.34% 51.50%-0.89 -7.2 18
1957-09-01 Spartak Varna L 0-146.1 1381 1482 29.97% 29.78% 40.25%-0.35 -10.0 9
1957-09-01 @ Marek Dupnitsa W 1-046.1 1482 1381 40.25% 29.78% 29.97%+0.35 +10.0 16
1957-09-01 Minyor Pernik W 3-155.1 1413 1536 27.27% 29.63% 43.10%-0.51 +21.4 13
1957-09-01 @ Spartak Plovdiv L 1-355.1 1536 1413 43.10% 29.63% 27.27%+0.51 -21.4 17
1957-09-05 Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-163.9 1645 1586 50.66% 29.43% 19.92%+0.83 -15.1 21
1957-09-05 @ Levski Sofia W 1-063.9 1586 1645 19.92% 29.43% 50.66%-0.83 +15.0 26
1957-10-12 Lokomotiv Sofia L 1-361.8 1572 1601 39.97% 29.94% 30.09%+0.18 -20.2 17
1957-10-12 @ Slavia Sofia W 3-161.8 1601 1572 30.09% 29.94% 39.97%-0.18 +20.2 28
1957-10-13 Spartak Sofia W 1-042.2 1438 1386 49.88% 29.50% 20.62%+0.78 +7.6 16
1957-10-13 @ Botev Plovdiv L 0-142.2 1386 1438 20.62% 29.50% 49.88%-0.78 -7.6 9
1957-10-13 Marek Dupnitsa W 4-035.5 1444 1371 52.02% 29.29% 18.70%+0.93 +25.1 11
1957-10-13 @ Cherno More L 0-435.5 1371 1444 18.70% 29.29% 52.02%-0.93 -25.1 9
1957-10-13 Spartak Plovdiv W 3-148.8 1630 1435 62.58% 27.25% 10.17%+1.84 +6.7 23
1957-10-13 @ Levski Sofia L 1-348.8 1435 1630 10.17% 27.25% 62.58%-1.84 -6.7 13
1957-10-13 Spartak Varna W 2-154.3 1514 1492 46.44% 29.74% 23.82%+0.56 +8.0 19
1957-10-13 @ Minyor Pernik L 1-254.3 1492 1514 23.82% 29.74% 46.44%-0.56 -8.0 16
1957-10-13 CSKA Sofia L 1-259.0 1504 1684 20.84% 29.01% 50.15%-0.94 -7.1 18
1957-10-13 @ Spartak Pleven W 2-159.0 1684 1504 50.15% 29.01% 20.84%+0.94 +7.1 25
1957-10-19 Levski Sofia D 2-272.6 1552 1637 32.10% 29.86% 38.04%-0.24 +0.3 18
1957-10-19 @ Slavia Sofia D 2-272.6 1637 1552 38.04% 29.86% 32.10%+0.24 -0.3 24
1957-10-20 Lokomotiv Sofia W 3-050.5 1691 1621 51.79% 29.31% 18.90%+0.91 +19.4 27
1957-10-20 @ CSKA Sofia L 0-350.5 1621 1691 18.90% 29.31% 51.79%-0.91 -19.4 28
1957-10-20 Spartak Pleven D 2-261.3 1346 1496 23.97% 29.37% 46.66%-0.72 +1.1 10
1957-10-20 @ Marek Dupnitsa D 2-261.3 1496 1346 46.66% 29.37% 23.97%+0.72 -1.1 19
1957-10-20 Botev Plovdiv L 0-156.2 1522 1446 52.41% 29.24% 18.34%+0.96 -15.5 19
1957-10-20 @ Minyor Pernik W 1-056.2 1446 1522 18.34% 29.24% 52.41%-0.96 +15.5 18
1957-10-20 Spartak Sofia D 1-155.1 1428 1378 49.59% 29.52% 20.89%+0.76 -1.8 14
1957-10-20 @ Spartak Plovdiv D 1-155.1 1378 1428 20.89% 29.52% 49.59%-0.76 +1.8 10
1957-10-20 Cherno More L 0-153.8 1484 1469 45.57% 29.78% 24.65%+0.51 -13.7 16
1957-10-20 @ Spartak Varna W 1-053.8 1469 1484 24.65% 29.78% 45.57%-0.51 +13.7 13
1957-11-08 Marek Dupnitsa W 4-140.6 1380 1347 47.69% 29.66% 22.65%+0.64 +18.8 12
1957-11-08 @ Spartak Sofia L 1-440.6 1347 1380 22.65% 29.66% 47.69%-0.64 -18.8 10
1957-11-09 Spartak Plovdiv L 0-254.7 1552 1426 57.09% 28.56% 14.35%+1.33 -31.7 18
1957-11-09 @ Slavia Sofia W 2-054.7 1426 1552 14.35% 28.56% 57.09%-1.33 +31.7 16
1957-11-10 CSKA Sofia L 0-346.3 1461 1711 14.98% 27.89% 57.13%-1.45 -15.7 18
1957-11-10 @ Botev Plovdiv W 3-046.3 1711 1461 57.13% 27.89% 14.98%+1.45 +15.7 29
1957-11-10 Lokomotiv Sofia W 1-057.7 1482 1602 27.68% 29.66% 42.67%-0.49 +13.0 15
1957-11-10 @ Cherno More L 0-157.7 1602 1482 42.67% 29.66% 27.68%+0.49 -13.0 28
1957-11-10 Minyor Pernik W 2-155.7 1637 1507 57.42% 28.49% 14.08%+1.35 +5.2 26
1957-11-10 @ Levski Sofia L 1-255.7 1507 1637 14.08% 28.49% 57.42%-1.35 -5.2 19
1957-11-10 Spartak Varna D 1-160.0 1495 1470 46.76% 29.72% 23.52%+0.58 -1.5 20
1957-11-10 @ Spartak Pleven D 1-160.0 1470 1495 23.52% 29.72% 46.76%-0.58 +1.5 17
1957-11-16 Spartak Sofia W 1-043.8 1589 1399 62.15% 27.38% 10.47%+1.80 +4.2 30
1957-11-16 @ Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-143.8 1399 1589 10.47% 27.38% 62.15%-1.80 -4.2 12
1957-11-17 Cherno More D 0-064.8 1726 1495 64.99% 26.46% 8.55%+2.10 -4.5 30
1957-11-17 @ CSKA Sofia D 0-064.8 1495 1726 8.55% 26.46% 64.99%-2.10 +4.5 16
1957-11-17 Levski Sofia L 1-248.1 1328 1642 10.95% 26.51% 62.54%-1.93 -4.1 10
1957-11-17 @ Marek Dupnitsa W 2-148.1 1642 1328 62.54% 26.51% 10.95%+1.93 +4.0 28
1957-11-17 Spartak Pleven D 0-056.8 1502 1494 44.65% 29.82% 25.53%+0.45 -1.3 20
1957-11-17 @ Minyor Pernik D 0-056.8 1494 1502 25.53% 29.82% 44.65%-0.45 +1.3 21
1957-11-17 Botev Plovdiv W 1-045.9 1458 1446 45.20% 29.80% 25.00%+0.48 +8.8 18
1957-11-17 @ Spartak Plovdiv L 0-145.9 1446 1458 25.00% 29.80% 45.20%-0.48 -8.8 18
1957-11-17 Slavia Sofia D 1-160.9 1472 1521 37.16% 29.95% 32.89%+0.03 -0.2 18
1957-11-17 @ Spartak Varna D 1-160.9 1521 1472 32.89% 29.95% 37.16%-0.03 +0.2 19
1957-11-22 Spartak Sofia W 4-145.5 1722 1395 70.65% 23.97% 5.39%+2.81 +4.9 32
1957-11-22 @ CSKA Sofia L 1-445.5 1395 1722 5.39% 23.97% 70.65%-2.81 -4.9 12
1957-11-23 Marek Dupnitsa D 2-264.8 1593 1324 67.34% 25.53% 7.12%+2.38 -3.2 31
1957-11-23 @ Lokomotiv Sofia D 2-264.8 1324 1593 7.12% 25.53% 67.34%-2.38 +3.2 11
1957-11-24 Spartak Varna L 1-352.6 1437 1471 39.14% 29.95% 30.91%+0.14 -19.9 18
1957-11-24 @ Botev Plovdiv W 3-152.6 1471 1437 30.91% 29.95% 39.14%-0.14 +19.9 20
1957-11-24 Spartak Plovdiv W 3-042.2 1500 1467 47.69% 29.66% 22.64%+0.64 +22.3 18
1957-11-24 @ Cherno More L 0-342.2 1467 1500 22.64% 29.66% 47.69%-0.64 -22.3 18
1957-11-24 Minyor Pernik W 3-259.7 1521 1500 46.20% 29.75% 24.05%+0.54 +7.6 21
1957-11-24 @ Slavia Sofia L 2-359.7 1500 1521 24.05% 29.75% 46.20%-0.54 -7.6 20
1957-11-24 Levski Sofia W 2-165.6 1495 1646 23.95% 29.37% 46.68%-0.72 +13.2 23
1957-11-24 @ Spartak Pleven L 1-265.6 1646 1495 46.68% 29.37% 23.95%+0.72 -13.2 28
1957-11-26 Levski Sofia L 0-348.5 1491 1633 24.99% 29.46% 45.55%-0.66 -24.0 20
1957-11-26 @ Spartak Varna W 3-048.5 1633 1491 45.55% 29.46% 24.99%+0.66 +24.0 30
1957-11-29 Cherno More W 3-046.8 1390 1522 26.05% 29.55% 44.41%-0.59 +36.7 14
1957-11-29 @ Spartak Sofia L 0-346.8 1522 1390 44.41% 29.55% 26.05%+0.59 -36.7 18
1957-11-30 Botev Plovdiv W 5-039.4 1590 1417 60.88% 27.73% 11.40%+1.67 +20.2 33
1957-11-30 @ Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-539.4 1417 1590 11.40% 27.73% 60.88%-1.67 -20.2 18
1957-12-01 Slavia Sofia W 3-046.4 1727 1529 62.77% 27.19% 10.03%+1.86 +11.1 34
1957-12-01 @ CSKA Sofia L 0-346.4 1529 1727 10.03% 27.19% 62.77%-1.86 -11.1 21
1957-12-01 Minyor Pernik L 0-537.0 1327 1493 22.36% 29.20% 48.44%-0.83 -35.4 11
1957-12-01 @ Marek Dupnitsa W 5-037.0 1493 1327 48.44% 29.20% 22.36%+0.83 +35.4 22
1957-12-01 Spartak Pleven D 3-368.6 1444 1508 35.02% 29.93% 35.05%-0.08 +0.0 19
1957-12-01 @ Spartak Plovdiv D 3-368.6 1508 1444 35.05% 29.93% 35.02%+0.08 +0.0 24

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1957-11-09 14.35% Spartak Plovdiv 1426 2 @ Slavia Sofia 1552 0
2 1957-07-06 16.53% Spartak Pleven 1492 2 @ Slavia Sofia 1590 1
3 1957-03-21 16.78% Spartak Plovdiv 1491 1 @ CSKA Sofia 1586 0
4 1957-08-31 17.56% @ Spartak Sofia 1371 2 Slavia Sofia 1587 1
5 1957-05-12 18.13% Levski Sofia 1485 4 @ Minyor Pernik 1564 2
6 1957-10-20 18.34% Botev Plovdiv 1446 1 @ Minyor Pernik 1522 0
7 1957-04-05 18.49% Minyor Pernik 1520 1 @ CSKA Sofia 1595 0
8 1957-09-05 19.92% Lokomotiv Sofia 1586 1 @ Levski Sofia 1645 0
9 1957-04-21 21.42% Levski Sofia 1470 1 @ Spartak Plovdiv 1515 0
10 1957-11-24 23.95% @ Spartak Pleven 1495 2 Levski Sofia 1646 1
11 1957-08-18 24.09% @ Marek Dupnitsa 1329 4 Spartak Plovdiv 1478 0
12 1957-10-20 24.65% Cherno More 1469 1 @ Spartak Varna 1484 0
13 1957-03-31 25.28% Lokomotiv Sofia 1524 1 @ Minyor Pernik 1534 0
14 1957-11-29 26.05% @ Spartak Sofia 1390 3 Cherno More 1522 0
15 1957-03-17 26.61% Lokomotiv Sofia 1504 3 @ Spartak Plovdiv 1503 2
16 1957-09-01 27.27% @ Spartak Plovdiv 1413 3 Minyor Pernik 1536 1
17 1957-11-10 27.68% @ Cherno More 1482 1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1602 0
18 1957-04-26 28.44% Minyor Pernik 1552 3 @ Botev Plovdiv 1536 2
19 1957-04-24 28.96% Spartak Plovdiv 1500 3 @ Spartak Sofia 1480 2
20 1957-04-19 28.99% Slavia Sofia 1555 2 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1535 0
21 1957-07-02 29.84% @ Slavia Sofia 1569 3 CSKA Sofia 1671 1
22 1957-10-12 30.09% Lokomotiv Sofia 1601 3 @ Slavia Sofia 1572 1
23 1957-06-02 30.68% Lokomotiv Sofia 1501 3 @ Spartak Sofia 1468 0
24 1957-04-21 30.80% @ Marek Dupnitsa 1365 1 Cherno More 1460 0
25 1957-11-24 30.91% Spartak Varna 1471 3 @ Botev Plovdiv 1437 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1957-08-18 49.80 @ Marek Dupnitsa 4 1329 24.09% Spartak Plovdiv 0 1478 46.53% 29.38%
2 1957-04-14 39.38 CSKA Sofia 4 1580 35.96% @ Levski Sofia 0 1509 34.13% 29.91%
3 1957-11-29 36.69 @ Spartak Sofia 3 1390 26.05% Cherno More 0 1522 44.41% 29.55%
4 1957-07-07 36.66 Levski Sofia 4 1579 39.29% @ Botev Plovdiv 0 1485 30.89% 29.82%
5 1957-12-01 35.39 Minyor Pernik 5 1493 48.44% @ Marek Dupnitsa 0 1327 22.36% 29.20%
6 1957-06-02 33.45 Lokomotiv Sofia 3 1501 30.68% @ Spartak Sofia 0 1468 39.37% 29.95%
7 1957-11-09 31.68 Spartak Plovdiv 2 1426 14.35% @ Slavia Sofia 0 1552 57.09% 28.56%
8 1957-05-31 29.36 @ Levski Sofia 6 1508 57.16% Marek Dupnitsa 0 1381 14.30% 28.54%
9 1957-06-08 29.22 @ Levski Sofia 4 1537 47.66% Spartak Pleven 0 1504 22.68% 29.66%
10 1957-03-24 27.87 Slavia Sofia 3 1521 39.60% @ Marek Dupnitsa 0 1424 30.60% 29.81%
11 1957-03-31 26.49 @ Spartak Plovdiv 5 1507 55.71% Marek Dupnitsa 0 1396 15.50% 28.79%
12 1957-03-31 25.25 CSKA Sofia 4 1570 36.28% @ Spartak Varna 1 1497 33.82% 29.91%
13 1957-10-13 25.11 @ Cherno More 4 1444 52.02% Marek Dupnitsa 0 1371 18.70% 29.29%
14 1957-11-26 23.96 Levski Sofia 3 1633 45.55% @ Spartak Varna 0 1491 24.99% 29.46%
15 1957-04-19 23.81 Slavia Sofia 2 1555 28.99% @ Lokomotiv Sofia 0 1535 41.09% 29.92%
16 1957-08-18 23.73 Levski Sofia 6 1620 54.30% @ Spartak Sofia 1 1400 17.28% 28.42%
17 1957-05-12 22.76 Levski Sofia 4 1485 18.13% @ Minyor Pernik 2 1564 52.66% 29.21%
18 1957-11-24 22.34 @ Cherno More 3 1500 47.69% Spartak Plovdiv 0 1467 22.64% 29.66%
19 1957-09-01 21.36 @ Spartak Plovdiv 3 1413 27.27% Minyor Pernik 1 1536 43.10% 29.63%
20 1957-07-02 20.31 @ Slavia Sofia 3 1569 29.84% CSKA Sofia 1 1671 40.38% 29.77%
21 1957-10-12 20.18 Lokomotiv Sofia 3 1601 30.09% @ Slavia Sofia 1 1572 39.97% 29.94%
22 1957-11-30 20.18 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 5 1590 60.88% Botev Plovdiv 0 1417 11.40% 27.73%
23 1957-11-24 19.86 Spartak Varna 3 1471 30.91% @ Botev Plovdiv 1 1437 39.14% 29.95%
24 1957-06-09 19.60 CSKA Sofia 5 1652 54.02% @ Spartak Sofia 1 1435 17.52% 28.47%
25 1957-10-20 19.39 @ CSKA Sofia 3 1691 51.79% Lokomotiv Sofia 0 1621 18.90% 29.31%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1957-10-19 72.6 @ Slavia Sofia 2 1552 32.10% Levski Sofia 2 1637 38.04% 29.86%
2 1957-05-12 69.7 @ Spartak Plovdiv 5 1511 34.51% Slavia Sofia 4 1579 35.57% 29.92%
3 1957-03-31 69.1 @ Slavia Sofia 2 1548 47.10% Botev Plovdiv 2 1520 23.20% 29.70%
4 1957-04-26 68.8 @ Levski Sofia 2 1484 30.78% Slavia Sofia 2 1579 39.41% 29.81%
5 1957-12-01 68.6 @ Spartak Plovdiv 3 1444 35.02% Spartak Pleven 3 1508 35.05% 29.93%
6 1957-08-22 68.2 @ Minyor Pernik 1 1534 23.69% CSKA Sofia 1 1688 46.97% 29.34%
7 1957-06-02 67.8 @ Botev Plovdiv 2 1514 42.81% Spartak Plovdiv 2 1521 27.31% 29.89%
8 1957-04-26 67.5 Minyor Pernik 3 1552 28.44% @ Botev Plovdiv 2 1536 41.64% 29.91%
9 1957-03-24 66.8 @ Spartak Sofia 2 1477 36.06% Minyor Pernik 2 1534 34.00% 29.94%
10 1957-07-06 66.0 Spartak Pleven 2 1492 16.53% @ Slavia Sofia 1 1590 54.49% 28.98%
11 1957-11-24 65.6 @ Spartak Pleven 2 1495 23.95% Levski Sofia 1 1646 46.68% 29.37%
12 1957-08-28 65.5 @ CSKA Sofia 0 1686 48.77% Levski Sofia 0 1643 21.64% 29.59%
13 1957-05-12 65.4 Levski Sofia 4 1485 18.13% @ Minyor Pernik 2 1564 52.66% 29.21%
14 1957-03-17 65.1 Lokomotiv Sofia 3 1504 26.61% @ Spartak Plovdiv 2 1503 43.52% 29.86%
15 1957-06-02 65.0 @ Cherno More 1 1439 17.68% CSKA Sofia 1 1654 53.82% 28.50%
16 1957-11-17 64.8 @ CSKA Sofia 0 1726 64.99% Cherno More 0 1495 8.55% 26.46%
17 1957-11-23 64.8 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 2 1593 67.34% Marek Dupnitsa 2 1324 7.12% 25.53%
18 1957-09-05 63.9 Lokomotiv Sofia 1 1586 19.92% @ Levski Sofia 0 1645 50.66% 29.43%
19 1957-07-14 63.5 Lokomotiv Sofia 3 1560 36.58% @ Spartak Varna 2 1486 33.52% 29.90%
20 1957-04-24 63.4 Spartak Plovdiv 3 1500 28.96% @ Spartak Sofia 2 1480 41.12% 29.92%
21 1957-07-02 63.4 @ Slavia Sofia 3 1569 29.84% CSKA Sofia 1 1671 40.38% 29.77%
22 1957-04-13 62.7 @ Slavia Sofia 1 1558 52.74% Spartak Sofia 1 1478 18.06% 29.21%
23 1957-04-20 61.8 @ Spartak Sofia 1 1480 36.15% Botev Plovdiv 1 1536 33.91% 29.94%
24 1957-10-12 61.8 Lokomotiv Sofia 3 1601 30.09% @ Slavia Sofia 1 1572 39.97% 29.94%
25 1957-03-24 61.6 @ Cherno More 1 1494 40.36% Levski Sofia 1 1519 29.70% 29.94%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1957-10-13 35.5 @ Cherno More 4 1444 52.02% Marek Dupnitsa 0 1371 18.70% 29.29%
2 1957-05-31 36.9 @ Levski Sofia 6 1508 57.16% Marek Dupnitsa 0 1381 14.30% 28.54%
3 1957-12-01 37.0 Minyor Pernik 5 1493 48.44% @ Marek Dupnitsa 0 1327 22.36% 29.20%
4 1957-03-31 37.2 @ Spartak Plovdiv 5 1507 55.71% Marek Dupnitsa 0 1396 15.50% 28.79%
5 1957-11-30 39.4 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 5 1590 60.88% Botev Plovdiv 0 1417 11.40% 27.73%
6 1957-07-14 39.8 @ Slavia Sofia 4 1575 65.44% Marek Dupnitsa 1 1336 8.26% 26.29%
7 1957-11-08 40.6 @ Spartak Sofia 4 1380 47.69% Marek Dupnitsa 1 1347 22.65% 29.66%
8 1957-08-25 41.5 @ Spartak Pleven 1 1505 57.33% Spartak Sofia 0 1376 14.16% 28.51%
9 1957-08-25 41.6 @ Spartak Varna 2 1467 48.29% Spartak Plovdiv 0 1429 22.09% 29.62%
10 1957-10-13 42.2 @ Botev Plovdiv 1 1438 49.88% Spartak Sofia 0 1386 20.62% 29.50%
11 1957-11-24 42.2 @ Cherno More 3 1500 47.69% Spartak Plovdiv 0 1467 22.64% 29.66%
12 1957-03-16 42.7 @ CSKA Sofia 2 1576 58.41% Marek Dupnitsa 0 1434 13.29% 28.30%
13 1957-07-14 43.5 @ Minyor Pernik 1 1537 57.57% Spartak Sofia 0 1406 13.96% 28.47%
14 1957-08-18 43.7 @ Marek Dupnitsa 4 1329 24.09% Spartak Plovdiv 0 1478 46.53% 29.38%
15 1957-11-16 43.8 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1 1589 62.15% Spartak Sofia 0 1399 10.47% 27.38%
16 1957-03-24 43.9 Slavia Sofia 3 1521 39.60% @ Marek Dupnitsa 0 1424 30.60% 29.81%
17 1957-06-01 44.1 @ Slavia Sofia 3 1569 52.80% Spartak Varna 0 1489 18.01% 29.20%
18 1957-06-08 44.3 @ Levski Sofia 4 1537 47.66% Spartak Pleven 0 1504 22.68% 29.66%
19 1957-07-07 44.3 CSKA Sofia 6 1651 61.70% @ Marek Dupnitsa 2 1348 11.54% 26.76%
20 1957-08-18 44.6 Levski Sofia 6 1620 54.30% @ Spartak Sofia 1 1400 17.28% 28.42%
21 1957-11-22 45.5 @ CSKA Sofia 4 1722 70.65% Spartak Sofia 1 1395 5.39% 23.97%
22 1957-05-11 45.9 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1 1493 49.21% Cherno More 0 1447 21.24% 29.55%
23 1957-11-17 45.9 @ Spartak Plovdiv 1 1458 45.20% Botev Plovdiv 0 1446 25.00% 29.80%
24 1957-06-13 46.0 @ Levski Sofia 2 1566 52.64% Spartak Varna 0 1487 18.14% 29.22%
25 1957-09-01 46.1 Spartak Varna 1 1482 40.25% @ Marek Dupnitsa 0 1381 29.97% 29.78%