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1959-60 A Group Season

132 games

Final

Champion

CSKA Sofia

32 points · 10th Title

Last Title: 1958-59

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

CSKA Sofia

3.32 points above expected

32 points · 28.68 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Spartak Pleven

6.71 points below expected

14 points · 20.71 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 CSKA Sofia Champion 22 12 8 2 32 42 18 +24 28.68 +3.32
2 Levski Sofia 22 11 6 5 28 32 21 +11 25.97 +2.03
3 Lokomotiv Sofia 22 7 9 6 23 30 22 +8 22.61 +0.39
4 Slavia Sofia 22 7 9 6 23 30 28 +2 22.88 +0.12
5 Septemvri Sofia 22 7 8 7 22 34 31 +3 21.04 +0.96
6 Minyor Pernik 22 8 6 8 22 27 25 +2 21.84 +0.16
7 Botev Plovdiv 22 8 5 9 21 30 31 -1 19.85 +1.15
8 Dunav Ruse 22 7 6 9 20 29 34 -5 19.17 +0.83
9 Spartak Plovdiv 22 4 12 6 20 21 28 -7 22.34 -2.34
10 Spartak Varna 22 6 8 8 20 27 38 -11 20.79 -0.79
11 Spartak Sofia 22 5 9 8 19 21 29 -8 18.12 +0.88
12 Spartak Pleven 22 3 8 11 14 14 32 -18 20.71 -6.71

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 CSKA Sofia 32 28.68 +3.32
2 Levski Sofia 28 25.97 +2.03
3 Botev Plovdiv 21 19.85 +1.15
4 Septemvri Sofia 22 21.04 +0.96
5 Spartak Sofia 19 18.12 +0.88

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Spartak Pleven 14 20.71 -6.71
2 Spartak Plovdiv 20 22.34 -2.34
3 Spartak Varna 20 20.79 -0.79
4 Slavia Sofia 23 22.88 +0.12
5 Minyor Pernik 22 21.84 +0.16

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 CSKA Sofia 4 Aug 28 – Oct 3 1 in 22
2 Botev Plovdiv 2 Nov 22 – Nov 29 1 in 18
3 Levski Sofia 3 Dec 13 – Mar 13 1 in 15
4 Minyor Pernik 2 Sep 20 – Sep 25 1 in 14
5 Lokomotiv Sofia 2 Mar 5 – Mar 13 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Levski Sofia 4 May 15 – Jun 12 1 in 521
2 Lokomotiv Sofia 3 Sep 19 – Oct 4 1 in 88
3 Minyor Pernik 3 Mar 18 – Apr 16 1 in 79
4 Spartak Pleven 3 Apr 16 – May 15 1 in 25
5 Spartak Plovdiv 2 Nov 29 – Dec 12 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lokomotiv Sofia 11 Mar 5 – Jul 2 1 in 54
2 Spartak Plovdiv 8 Aug 14 – Nov 20 1 in 30
3 Levski Sofia 13 Sep 27 – May 6 1 in 27
4 Dunav Ruse 6 Nov 27 – Mar 18 1 in 18
5 Spartak Sofia 5 Apr 16 – Jun 5 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Spartak Plovdiv 12 Aug 23 – Mar 13 1 in 137
2 Spartak Pleven 11 Nov 22 – May 15 1 in 37
3 Lokomotiv Sofia 8 Sep 19 – Dec 20 1 in 18
4 Levski Sofia 4 May 15 – Jun 12 1 in 8
5 Septemvri Sofia 5 Oct 2 – Nov 28 1 in 6

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
CSKA Sofia 1647 32 +14 7 6.5 +0.5
Levski Sofia 1583 28 -28 2 5.6 -3.6
Lokomotiv Sofia 1558 23 +26 8 5.2 +2.8
Slavia Sofia 1534 23 +18 6 5.2 +0.8
Minyor Pernik 1507 22 +22 7 4.6 +2.4
Septemvri Sofia 1493 22 -17 4 5.3 -1.3
Botev Plovdiv 1468 21 +17 7 4.5 +2.5
Dunav Ruse 1467 20 +2 5 5.1 -0.1
Spartak Varna 1457 20 -13 4 5.0 -1.0
Spartak Plovdiv 1484 20 -12 3 4.5 -1.5
Spartak Sofia 1418 19 -8 4 4.1 -0.1
Spartak Pleven 1418 14 -20 3 4.4 -1.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BP CS DR LS LS MP SS SS SP SP SS SV
Botev Plovdiv —
0-2-0
1.64
1-0-1
2.66
1-0-1
1.91
1-0-1
2.33
1-0-1
2.33
0-0-2
2.51
1-1-0
2.19
1-0-1
2.49
1-1-0
2.32
1-0-1
2.82
0-1-1
2.52
CSKA Sofia
0-2-0
3.66
 —
1-0-1
3.68
1-1-0
2.95
1-1-0
3.44
1-0-1
3.57
2-0-0
3.45
1-1-0
3.39
1-1-0
3.59
1-1-0
3.54
1-1-0
3.81
2-0-0
3.59
Dunav Ruse
1-0-1
2.60
1-0-1
1.62
 —
0-0-2
1.83
0-1-1
2.28
1-0-1
2.29
1-0-1
2.41
0-2-0
2.20
1-0-1
2.62
0-1-1
2.28
1-1-0
2.78
1-1-0
2.50
Levski Sofia
1-0-1
3.38
0-1-1
2.30
2-0-0
3.46
 —
0-1-1
3.09
1-0-1
3.34
1-1-0
3.18
1-0-1
3.06
2-0-0
3.12
1-1-0
3.05
1-1-0
3.53
1-1-0
3.17
Lokomotiv Sofia
1-0-1
2.93
0-1-1
1.84
1-1-0
2.99
1-1-0
2.17
 —
0-1-1
2.76
1-1-0
2.67
0-1-1
2.65
1-1-0
2.80
1-1-0
2.68
1-0-1
3.07
0-1-1
2.90
Minyor Pernik
1-0-1
2.93
1-0-1
1.73
1-0-1
2.96
1-0-1
1.93
1-1-0
2.50
 —
0-1-1
2.64
1-0-1
2.46
1-1-0
2.68
0-2-0
2.57
0-1-1
3.00
1-0-1
2.69
Septemvri Sofia
2-0-0
2.74
0-0-2
1.84
1-0-1
2.85
0-1-1
2.09
0-1-1
2.59
1-1-0
2.61
 —
0-1-1
2.54
1-1-0
2.75
2-0-0
2.61
0-1-1
3.11
0-2-0
2.76
Slavia Sofia
0-1-1
3.08
0-1-1
1.90
0-2-0
3.06
1-0-1
2.20
1-1-0
2.60
1-0-1
2.80
1-1-0
2.72
 —
1-1-0
3.01
0-1-1
2.76
1-1-0
3.28
1-0-1
2.89
Spartak Pleven
1-0-1
2.76
0-1-1
1.70
1-0-1
2.64
0-0-2
2.15
0-1-1
2.46
0-1-1
2.57
0-1-1
2.50
0-1-1
2.26
 —
0-1-1
2.43
0-2-0
2.78
1-0-1
2.48
Spartak Plovdiv
0-1-1
2.93
0-1-1
1.75
1-1-0
2.98
0-1-1
2.21
0-1-1
2.58
0-2-0
2.69
0-0-2
2.64
1-1-0
2.49
1-1-0
2.82
 —
1-1-0
3.04
0-2-0
2.76
Spartak Sofia
1-0-1
2.44
0-1-1
1.53
0-1-1
2.48
0-1-1
1.76
1-0-1
2.20
1-1-0
2.27
1-1-0
2.15
0-1-1
1.99
0-2-0
2.48
0-1-1
2.22
 —
1-0-1
2.36
Spartak Varna
1-1-0
2.73
0-0-2
1.71
0-1-1
2.75
0-1-1
2.12
1-1-0
2.36
1-0-1
2.56
0-2-0
2.49
1-0-1
2.37
1-0-1
2.76
0-2-0
2.50
1-0-1
2.90
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.79 +5.6
Allowed 0.58 -6.0
Differential 0.92 +3.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%8.71%6.44%0.76%0.76%0.38%26.14%
18.71%18.94%6.44%3.41%1.52%0.76%39.77%
26.44%6.44%6.06%2.27%0.38%0.38%21.97%
30.76%3.41%2.27%1.52%——7.95%
40.76%1.52%0.38%———2.65%
5+0.38%0.76%0.38%———1.52%
Total26.14%39.77%21.97%7.95%2.65%1.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.28 +0.00
SD 1.19 1.19 1.64
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 8 8 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
14.55%13.64%13.64%9.09%——40.91%
24.55%13.64%————18.18%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%45.45%27.27%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.41 -0.05
SD 1.14 0.91 1.29
CV 0.83 0.64 —
Max 4 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%————18.18%
14.55%27.27%————31.82%
29.09%9.09%————18.18%
34.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
4———————
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total27.27%63.64%9.09%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 0.82 +1.09
SD 1.72 0.59 1.66
CV 0.90 0.72 —
Max 7 2 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
19.09%13.64%13.64%——4.55%40.91%
24.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
34.55%——4.55%——9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%36.36%31.82%4.55%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.55 -0.23
SD 1.09 1.26 1.82
CV 0.82 0.82 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
122.73%18.18%————40.91%
29.09%9.09%4.55%13.64%——36.36%
3—4.55%————4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total40.91%36.36%9.09%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 0.95 +0.50
SD 0.96 1.05 1.34
CV 0.66 1.10 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%————22.73%
19.09%22.73%9.09%4.55%——45.45%
2—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
3—4.55%————4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total27.27%50.00%18.18%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.00 +0.36
SD 1.29 0.82 1.62
CV 0.95 0.82 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%4.55%———27.27%
19.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
218.18%—4.55%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.36%31.82%18.18%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.14 +0.09
SD 0.97 1.17 1.38
CV 0.79 1.03 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%———13.64%
19.09%22.73%13.64%4.55%4.55%—54.55%
24.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
3———————
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total18.18%36.36%36.36%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.41 +0.14
SD 1.68 1.01 1.91
CV 1.09 0.72 —
Max 8 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%4.55%9.09%———31.82%
14.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
29.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
3—4.55%4.55%9.09%——18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total31.82%27.27%22.73%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.27 +0.09
SD 1.26 1.12 1.41
CV 0.92 0.88 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%18.18%18.18%———54.55%
19.09%18.18%——4.55%—31.82%
2———4.55%—4.55%9.09%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%40.91%18.18%4.55%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.64 1.45 -0.82
SD 0.85 1.79 1.65
CV 1.33 1.23 —
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%—4.55%4.55%—27.27%
14.55%31.82%9.09%—4.55%—50.00%
29.09%4.55%9.09%———22.73%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%40.91%18.18%4.55%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.27 -0.32
SD 0.72 1.20 1.46
CV 0.76 0.94 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%4.55%——4.55%31.82%
14.55%22.73%9.09%—4.55%—40.91%
29.09%9.09%9.09%———27.27%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%45.45%22.73%—4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.32 -0.36
SD 0.79 1.25 1.56
CV 0.82 0.95 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—13.64%4.55%——27.27%
113.64%13.64%—9.09%—4.55%40.91%
2——13.64%4.55%——18.18%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total22.73%22.73%31.82%18.18%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.73 -0.50
SD 1.11 1.58 1.92
CV 0.90 0.91 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
CSKA Sofia 1647 32 28.68 +3.32 86.0% 20 23 26 29 31 35 37
Levski Sofia 1583 28 25.97 +2.03 78.0% 17 22 24 26 28 31 33
Lokomotiv Sofia 1558 23 22.61 +0.39 63.0% 15 18 20 22 24 28 32
Slavia Sofia 1534 23 22.88 +0.12 63.0% 14 17 20 22 26 31 33
Minyor Pernik 1507 22 21.84 +0.16 52.0% 14 16 19 22 24 27 32
Septemvri Sofia 1493 22 21.04 +0.96 65.0% 14 15 19 21 23 26 30
Spartak Plovdiv 1484 20 22.34 -2.34 26.0% 12 16 20 22 24 27 33
Botev Plovdiv 1468 21 19.85 +1.15 66.0% 11 13 17 20 23 26 29
Dunav Ruse 1467 20 19.17 +0.83 63.0% 10 13 16 19 22 25 27
Spartak Varna 1457 20 20.79 -0.79 44.0% 10 13 19 21 23 26 29
Spartak Sofia 1418 19 18.12 +0.88 64.0% 10 12 16 18 21 23 26
Spartak Pleven 1418 14 20.71 -6.71 5.0% 12 14 18 21 23 26 29

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.91%
Slight Edge
40.15%35.61%24.24%
Elo Value
Home Edge
165 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
055.75500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.34 goals
Neutral
-2+0.34+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.3
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
63%
CSKA Sofia, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.18/gm
Comfortable
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.8 * Some Luck: 2.8 to 4.21 * Lucky: 4.21 to 5.61 * Wild Swing: 5.61 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.94 * Close: 1.94 to 2.9 * Off: 2.9 to 3.87 * Way Off: 3.87 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.42 points
As Expected
03.509
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.67
Pinpoint
02.425
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
86.00%
CSKA Sofia
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
5.00%
Spartak Pleven
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.10
Balanced
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 67.83
1.20
Coin-Flip Parity
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
61%
Even
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
79%
Even
50%79%100%
Close Games
Expected
70%
Very Frequent
0%64%100%
Blowouts
Expected
9%
Rare
0%13%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Slight Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.49
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.69
Strong Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.3 * Well Above Noise: 0.3 and up.
Probability calibration
0.62
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.18
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.045
Well Within Noise
00.1490.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
CSKA Sofia63.00%18.00%5.00%8.00%1.00%2.00%—3.00%————
Levski Sofia19.00%30.00%18.00%17.00%2.00%8.00%3.00%2.00%—1.00%——
Lokomotiv Sofia4.00%9.00%13.00%12.00%12.00%13.00%7.00%8.00%10.00%6.00%3.00%3.00%
Slavia Sofia8.00%12.00%11.00%6.00%9.00%11.00%5.00%16.00%6.00%7.00%6.00%3.00%
Septemvri Sofia1.00%4.00%4.00%11.00%10.00%12.00%17.00%10.00%7.00%11.00%8.00%5.00%
Minyor Pernik1.00%7.00%12.00%7.00%14.00%11.00%8.00%10.00%8.00%11.00%10.00%1.00%
Botev Plovdiv—2.00%8.00%4.00%13.00%5.00%7.00%8.00%14.00%15.00%8.00%16.00%
Dunav Ruse—1.00%4.00%9.00%4.00%5.00%10.00%9.00%13.00%6.00%20.00%19.00%
Spartak Plovdiv4.00%5.00%12.00%11.00%11.00%11.00%13.00%11.00%7.00%7.00%5.00%3.00%
Spartak Varna—5.00%5.00%8.00%12.00%8.00%11.00%9.00%12.00%6.00%11.00%13.00%
Spartak Sofia—2.00%——8.00%4.00%10.00%5.00%7.00%19.00%16.00%29.00%
Spartak Pleven—5.00%8.00%7.00%4.00%10.00%9.00%9.00%16.00%11.00%13.00%8.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
CSKA Sofia 100% —
Levski Sofia 100% —
Minyor Pernik 99.00% 1.00%
Lokomotiv Sofia 97.00% 3.00%
Slavia Sofia 97.00% 3.00%
Spartak Plovdiv 97.00% 3.00%
Septemvri Sofia 95.00% 5.00%
Spartak Pleven 92.00% 8.00%
Spartak Varna 87.00% 13.00%
Botev Plovdiv 84.00% 16.00%
Dunav Ruse 81.00% 19.00%
Spartak Sofia 71.00% 29.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1959-08-14 Spartak Plovdiv L 0-151.0 1441 1508 33.47% 37.76% 28.77%-0.07 -6.5 0
1959-08-14 @ Spartak Sofia W 1-051.0 1508 1441 28.77% 37.76% 33.47%+0.07 +6.5 2
1959-08-15 Dunav Ruse W 5-145.6 1593 1464 55.29% 33.89% 10.83%+1.12 +8.5 2
1959-08-15 @ CSKA Sofia L 1-545.6 1464 1593 10.83% 33.89% 55.29%-1.12 -8.4 0
1959-08-16 Lokomotiv Sofia W 3-152.6 1465 1520 35.05% 37.78% 27.17%+0.00 +9.4 2
1959-08-16 @ Botev Plovdiv L 1-352.6 1520 1465 27.17% 37.78% 35.05%+0.00 -9.4 0
1959-08-16 Minyor Pernik W 2-153.5 1482 1488 41.27% 37.48% 21.24%+0.30 +4.6 2
1959-08-16 @ Septemvri Sofia L 1-253.5 1488 1482 21.24% 37.48% 41.27%-0.30 -4.6 0
1959-08-16 Levski Sofia L 0-155.1 1496 1553 34.89% 37.78% 27.33%+0.00 -6.7 0
1959-08-16 @ Spartak Pleven W 1-055.1 1553 1496 27.33% 37.78% 34.89%+0.00 +6.7 2
1959-08-16 Slavia Sofia W 3-153.2 1495 1529 37.86% 37.72% 24.42%+0.13 +8.7 2
1959-08-16 @ Spartak Varna L 1-353.2 1529 1495 24.42% 37.72% 37.86%-0.13 -8.7 0
1959-08-21 Septemvri Sofia D 1-158.7 1510 1486 44.88% 37.00% 18.12%+0.49 -1.0 1
1959-08-21 @ Lokomotiv Sofia D 1-158.7 1486 1510 18.12% 37.00% 44.88%-0.49 +1.0 3
1959-08-22 Botev Plovdiv D 0-057.8 1601 1474 55.14% 33.95% 10.91%+1.11 -2.0 3
1959-08-22 @ CSKA Sofia D 0-057.8 1474 1601 10.91% 33.95% 55.14%-1.11 +1.9 3
1959-08-23 Slavia Sofia D 1-157.7 1455 1520 33.73% 37.77% 28.50%-0.06 -0.2 1
1959-08-23 @ Dunav Ruse D 1-157.7 1520 1455 28.50% 37.77% 33.73%+0.06 +0.2 1
1959-08-23 Spartak Sofia D 1-159.5 1560 1435 54.92% 34.04% 11.03%+1.10 -1.7 3
1959-08-23 @ Levski Sofia D 1-159.5 1435 1560 11.03% 34.04% 54.92%-1.10 +1.7 1
1959-08-23 Spartak Pleven D 1-157.7 1484 1490 41.32% 37.48% 21.20%+0.30 -0.7 1
1959-08-23 @ Minyor Pernik D 1-157.7 1490 1484 21.20% 37.48% 41.32%-0.30 +0.7 1
1959-08-23 Spartak Varna D 1-159.4 1515 1504 43.35% 37.24% 19.41%+0.40 -0.9 3
1959-08-23 @ Spartak Plovdiv D 1-159.4 1504 1515 19.41% 37.24% 43.35%-0.40 +0.8 3
1959-08-28 CSKA Sofia L 1-259.6 1487 1599 27.34% 37.39% 35.27%-0.34 -5.4 3
1959-08-28 @ Septemvri Sofia W 2-159.6 1599 1487 35.27% 37.39% 27.34%+0.34 +5.4 5
1959-08-30 Dunav Ruse W 2-151.1 1476 1455 44.46% 37.07% 18.47%+0.46 +4.2 5
1959-08-30 @ Botev Plovdiv L 1-251.1 1455 1476 18.47% 37.07% 44.46%-0.46 -4.2 1
1959-08-30 Minyor Pernik D 1-155.7 1437 1483 36.26% 37.77% 25.98%+0.06 -0.3 2
1959-08-30 @ Spartak Sofia D 1-155.7 1483 1437 25.98% 37.77% 36.26%-0.06 +0.4 2
1959-08-30 Levski Sofia L 0-252.3 1505 1558 35.33% 37.78% 26.89%+0.02 -12.8 3
1959-08-30 @ Spartak Varna W 2-052.3 1558 1505 26.89% 37.78% 35.33%-0.02 +12.8 5
1959-09-02 Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-154.7 1490 1510 39.74% 37.61% 22.64%+0.22 -7.4 1
1959-09-02 @ Spartak Pleven W 1-054.7 1510 1490 22.64% 37.61% 39.74%-0.22 +7.4 3
1959-09-05 Spartak Plovdiv D 0-055.3 1521 1514 42.84% 37.31% 19.85%+0.38 -0.9 2
1959-09-05 @ Slavia Sofia D 0-055.3 1514 1521 19.85% 37.31% 42.84%-0.38 +0.9 4
1959-09-18 Spartak Pleven W 2-044.9 1605 1483 54.62% 34.17% 11.20%+1.08 +5.5 7
1959-09-18 @ CSKA Sofia L 0-244.9 1483 1605 11.20% 34.17% 54.62%-1.08 -5.5 1
1959-09-19 Spartak Sofia L 1-261.2 1517 1436 50.78% 35.59% 13.63%+0.83 -8.5 3
1959-09-19 @ Lokomotiv Sofia W 2-161.2 1436 1517 13.63% 35.59% 50.78%-0.83 +8.5 4
1959-09-20 Septemvri Sofia L 0-250.5 1480 1482 41.86% 37.42% 20.71%+0.33 -14.5 5
1959-09-20 @ Botev Plovdiv W 2-050.5 1482 1480 20.71% 37.42% 41.86%-0.33 +14.5 5
1959-09-20 Spartak Plovdiv D 1-157.3 1451 1515 33.89% 37.77% 28.34%-0.05 -0.2 2
1959-09-20 @ Dunav Ruse D 1-157.3 1515 1451 28.34% 37.77% 33.89%+0.05 +0.2 5
1959-09-20 Slavia Sofia L 2-370.4 1571 1520 47.78% 36.41% 15.81%+0.65 -7.6 5
1959-09-20 @ Levski Sofia W 3-270.4 1520 1571 15.81% 36.41% 47.78%-0.65 +7.6 4
1959-09-20 Spartak Varna W 2-044.9 1483 1492 41.00% 37.51% 21.49%+0.28 +9.3 4
1959-09-20 @ Minyor Pernik L 0-244.9 1492 1483 21.49% 37.51% 41.00%-0.28 -9.3 3
1959-09-25 Minyor Pernik L 0-253.7 1527 1492 46.04% 36.79% 17.17%+0.55 -15.6 4
1959-09-25 @ Slavia Sofia W 2-053.7 1492 1527 17.17% 36.79% 46.04%-0.55 +15.6 6
1959-09-26 Dunav Ruse W 2-150.9 1496 1451 47.17% 36.55% 16.28%+0.61 +3.8 7
1959-09-26 @ Septemvri Sofia L 1-250.9 1451 1496 16.28% 36.55% 47.17%-0.61 -3.8 2
1959-09-27 Botev Plovdiv W 1-046.3 1478 1466 43.47% 37.22% 19.30%+0.41 +4.6 3
1959-09-27 @ Spartak Pleven L 0-146.3 1466 1478 19.30% 37.22% 43.47%-0.41 -4.6 5
1959-09-27 Levski Sofia D 2-267.0 1515 1563 36.02% 37.77% 26.20%+0.05 -0.2 6
1959-09-27 @ Spartak Plovdiv D 2-267.0 1563 1515 26.20% 37.77% 36.02%-0.05 +0.2 6
1959-09-27 CSKA Sofia L 1-256.3 1445 1610 21.24% 36.34% 42.42%-0.67 -4.5 4
1959-09-27 @ Spartak Sofia W 2-156.3 1610 1445 42.42% 36.34% 21.24%+0.67 +4.5 9
1959-09-27 Lokomotiv Sofia W 1-049.5 1483 1508 38.91% 37.67% 23.42%+0.18 +5.2 5
1959-09-27 @ Spartak Varna L 0-149.5 1508 1483 23.42% 37.67% 38.91%-0.18 -5.2 3
1959-10-02 Spartak Pleven D 1-158.1 1500 1482 44.14% 37.12% 18.73%+0.45 -0.9 8
1959-10-02 @ Septemvri Sofia D 1-158.1 1482 1500 18.73% 37.12% 44.14%-0.45 +0.9 4
1959-10-03 Spartak Varna W 7-146.8 1615 1488 55.09% 33.97% 10.94%+1.11 +12.4 11
1959-10-03 @ CSKA Sofia L 1-746.8 1488 1615 10.94% 33.97% 55.09%-1.11 -12.4 5
1959-10-04 Spartak Sofia W 1-044.6 1461 1440 44.48% 37.07% 18.45%+0.46 +4.4 7
1959-10-04 @ Botev Plovdiv L 0-144.6 1440 1461 18.45% 37.07% 44.48%-0.46 -4.4 4
1959-10-04 Levski Sofia L 0-151.1 1447 1563 26.81% 37.33% 35.86%-0.37 -5.6 2
1959-10-04 @ Dunav Ruse W 1-051.1 1563 1447 35.86% 37.33% 26.81%+0.37 +5.6 8
1959-10-04 Slavia Sofia L 1-261.1 1503 1512 41.05% 37.51% 21.45%+0.29 -7.1 3
1959-10-04 @ Lokomotiv Sofia W 2-161.1 1512 1503 21.45% 37.51% 41.05%-0.29 +7.1 6
1959-10-04 Spartak Plovdiv D 2-265.1 1508 1515 41.25% 37.49% 21.27%+0.30 -0.5 7
1959-10-04 @ Minyor Pernik D 2-265.1 1515 1508 21.27% 37.49% 41.25%-0.30 +0.5 7
1959-11-08 Minyor Pernik W 2-046.1 1441 1508 33.59% 37.77% 28.65%-0.06 +11.2 4
1959-11-08 @ Dunav Ruse L 0-246.1 1508 1441 28.65% 37.77% 33.59%+0.06 -11.2 7
1959-11-13 Minyor Pernik W 1-048.9 1569 1496 49.99% 35.83% 14.19%+0.78 +3.6 10
1959-11-13 @ Levski Sofia L 0-148.9 1496 1569 14.19% 35.83% 49.99%-0.78 -3.6 7
1959-11-14 Septemvri Sofia W 2-045.5 1436 1499 33.97% 37.77% 28.26%-0.05 +11.1 6
1959-11-14 @ Spartak Sofia L 0-245.5 1499 1436 28.26% 37.77% 33.97%+0.05 -11.1 8
1959-11-15 CSKA Sofia D 0-058.9 1519 1627 27.84% 37.44% 34.72%-0.32 +0.3 7
1959-11-15 @ Slavia Sofia D 0-058.9 1627 1519 34.72% 37.44% 27.84%+0.32 -0.2 12
1959-11-15 Dunav Ruse W 1-045.4 1483 1453 45.56% 36.88% 17.56%+0.52 +4.3 6
1959-11-15 @ Spartak Pleven L 0-145.4 1453 1483 17.56% 36.88% 45.56%-0.52 -4.3 4
1959-11-15 Lokomotiv Sofia D 1-159.2 1515 1496 44.31% 37.10% 18.60%+0.46 -0.9 8
1959-11-15 @ Spartak Plovdiv D 1-159.2 1496 1515 18.60% 37.10% 44.31%-0.46 +0.9 4
1959-11-15 Botev Plovdiv W 1-046.3 1476 1465 43.26% 37.25% 19.49%+0.40 +4.6 7
1959-11-15 @ Spartak Varna L 0-146.3 1465 1476 19.49% 37.25% 43.26%-0.40 -4.6 7
1959-11-18 Septemvri Sofia D 1-161.5 1573 1488 51.17% 35.46% 13.37%+0.85 -1.4 11
1959-11-18 @ Levski Sofia D 1-161.5 1488 1573 13.37% 35.46% 51.17%-0.85 +1.5 9
1959-11-20 Spartak Plovdiv D 1-164.4 1627 1514 53.78% 34.52% 11.70%+1.02 -1.6 13
1959-11-20 @ CSKA Sofia D 1-164.4 1514 1627 11.70% 34.52% 53.78%-1.02 +1.6 9
1959-11-21 Spartak Varna D 2-263.2 1489 1480 43.16% 37.26% 19.58%+0.39 -0.6 10
1959-11-21 @ Septemvri Sofia D 2-263.2 1480 1489 19.58% 37.26% 43.16%-0.39 +0.6 8
1959-11-22 Slavia Sofia W 2-155.9 1461 1519 34.65% 37.78% 27.57%-0.02 +5.5 9
1959-11-22 @ Botev Plovdiv L 1-255.9 1519 1461 27.57% 37.78% 34.65%+0.02 -5.4 7
1959-11-22 Levski Sofia D 1-161.1 1497 1571 32.48% 37.74% 29.78%-0.11 -0.1 5
1959-11-22 @ Lokomotiv Sofia D 1-161.1 1571 1497 29.78% 37.74% 32.48%+0.11 +0.1 12
1959-11-22 Spartak Sofia D 0-051.8 1487 1447 46.65% 36.67% 16.69%+0.58 -1.2 7
1959-11-22 @ Spartak Pleven D 0-051.8 1447 1487 16.69% 36.67% 46.65%-0.58 +1.2 7
1959-11-27 Dunav Ruse L 0-151.6 1448 1448 42.03% 37.40% 20.56%+0.34 -7.7 7
1959-11-27 @ Spartak Sofia W 1-051.6 1448 1448 20.56% 37.40% 42.03%-0.34 +7.7 6
1959-11-28 Septemvri Sofia D 0-054.2 1514 1489 44.93% 36.99% 18.08%+0.49 -1.1 8
1959-11-28 @ Slavia Sofia D 0-054.2 1489 1514 18.08% 36.99% 44.93%-0.49 +1.1 11
1959-11-29 CSKA Sofia D 1-164.9 1571 1625 35.25% 37.78% 26.98%+0.01 -0.3 13
1959-11-29 @ Levski Sofia D 1-164.9 1625 1571 26.98% 37.78% 35.25%-0.01 +0.3 14
1959-11-29 Lokomotiv Sofia W 1-048.6 1493 1497 41.57% 37.45% 20.98%+0.31 +4.8 9
1959-11-29 @ Minyor Pernik L 0-148.6 1497 1493 20.98% 37.45% 41.57%-0.31 -4.8 5
1959-11-29 Botev Plovdiv L 1-261.6 1516 1466 47.65% 36.44% 15.91%+0.64 -8.0 9
1959-11-29 @ Spartak Plovdiv W 2-161.6 1466 1516 15.91% 36.44% 47.65%-0.64 +8.0 11
1959-11-29 Spartak Pleven W 1-047.8 1481 1486 41.43% 37.47% 21.10%+0.31 +4.9 10
1959-11-29 @ Spartak Varna L 0-147.8 1486 1481 21.10% 37.47% 41.43%-0.31 -4.8 7
1959-12-11 Minyor Pernik W 3-151.4 1625 1498 55.19% 33.93% 10.88%+1.11 +4.6 16
1959-12-11 @ CSKA Sofia L 1-351.4 1498 1625 10.88% 33.93% 55.19%-1.11 -4.7 9
1959-12-12 Spartak Plovdiv W 4-149.2 1490 1508 39.85% 37.61% 22.54%+0.23 +11.7 13
1959-12-12 @ Septemvri Sofia L 1-449.2 1508 1490 22.54% 37.61% 39.85%-0.23 -11.7 9
1959-12-13 Levski Sofia L 1-355.4 1474 1571 29.36% 37.57% 33.07%-0.25 -9.8 11
1959-12-13 @ Botev Plovdiv W 3-155.4 1571 1474 33.07% 37.57% 29.36%+0.25 +9.8 15
1959-12-13 Lokomotiv Sofia D 2-262.3 1456 1492 37.58% 37.73% 24.68%+0.12 -0.3 7
1959-12-13 @ Dunav Ruse D 2-262.3 1492 1456 24.68% 37.73% 37.58%-0.12 +0.3 6
1959-12-13 Slavia Sofia D 0-053.7 1481 1513 38.20% 37.71% 24.10%+0.15 -0.5 8
1959-12-13 @ Spartak Pleven D 0-053.7 1513 1481 24.10% 37.71% 38.20%-0.15 +0.5 9
1959-12-13 Spartak Varna W 2-044.5 1440 1486 36.39% 37.77% 25.85%+0.06 +10.5 9
1959-12-13 @ Spartak Sofia L 0-244.5 1486 1440 25.85% 37.77% 36.39%-0.06 -10.5 10
1959-12-19 Spartak Sofia W 2-042.1 1513 1451 48.94% 36.12% 14.94%+0.72 +7.1 11
1959-12-19 @ Slavia Sofia L 0-242.1 1451 1513 14.94% 36.12% 48.94%-0.72 -7.1 9
1959-12-20 CSKA Sofia L 0-154.1 1492 1630 24.25% 36.97% 38.79%-0.50 -5.3 6
1959-12-20 @ Lokomotiv Sofia W 1-054.1 1630 1492 38.79% 36.97% 24.25%+0.50 +5.3 18
1959-12-20 Botev Plovdiv W 3-148.5 1493 1464 45.34% 36.92% 17.74%+0.51 +7.0 11
1959-12-20 @ Minyor Pernik L 1-348.5 1464 1493 17.74% 36.92% 45.34%-0.51 -7.0 11
1959-12-20 Spartak Pleven D 1-157.9 1496 1481 43.90% 37.16% 18.94%+0.43 -0.9 10
1959-12-20 @ Spartak Plovdiv D 1-157.9 1481 1496 18.94% 37.16% 43.90%-0.43 +0.9 9
1959-12-20 Dunav Ruse D 1-156.3 1475 1456 44.33% 37.09% 18.58%+0.46 -0.9 11
1959-12-20 @ Spartak Varna D 1-156.3 1456 1475 18.58% 37.09% 44.33%-0.46 +0.9 8
1960-03-05 CSKA Sofia W 1-058.8 1457 1635 19.94% 35.98% 44.08%-0.75 +7.9 10
1960-03-05 @ Dunav Ruse L 0-158.8 1635 1457 44.08% 35.98% 19.94%+0.75 -7.9 18
1960-03-05 Spartak Pleven W 1-048.0 1581 1482 52.56% 34.98% 12.46%+0.94 +3.2 17
1960-03-05 @ Levski Sofia L 0-148.0 1482 1581 12.46% 34.98% 52.56%-0.94 -3.2 9
1960-03-05 Botev Plovdiv W 2-151.3 1487 1458 45.47% 36.90% 17.63%+0.52 +4.0 8
1960-03-05 @ Lokomotiv Sofia L 1-251.3 1458 1487 17.63% 36.90% 45.47%-0.52 -4.0 11
1960-03-05 Septemvri Sofia D 1-158.7 1500 1502 41.87% 37.42% 20.71%+0.33 -0.8 12
1960-03-05 @ Minyor Pernik D 1-158.7 1502 1500 20.71% 37.42% 41.87%-0.33 +0.7 14
1960-03-05 Spartak Varna W 3-149.3 1520 1474 47.23% 36.54% 16.23%+0.62 +6.5 13
1960-03-05 @ Slavia Sofia L 1-349.3 1474 1520 16.23% 36.54% 47.23%-0.62 -6.5 11
1960-03-05 Spartak Sofia D 1-156.8 1495 1444 47.85% 36.40% 15.76%+0.65 -1.2 11
1960-03-05 @ Spartak Plovdiv D 1-156.8 1444 1495 15.76% 36.40% 47.85%-0.65 +1.2 10
1960-03-13 CSKA Sofia D 1-162.0 1453 1627 20.39% 36.11% 43.49%-0.72 +0.8 12
1960-03-13 @ Botev Plovdiv D 1-162.0 1627 1453 43.49% 36.11% 20.39%+0.72 -0.8 19
1960-03-13 Lokomotiv Sofia L 1-357.6 1502 1491 43.38% 37.23% 19.39%+0.41 -12.9 14
1960-03-13 @ Septemvri Sofia W 3-157.6 1491 1502 19.39% 37.23% 43.38%-0.41 +12.9 10
1960-03-13 Dunav Ruse D 3-368.0 1527 1465 48.93% 36.12% 14.95%+0.72 -0.8 14
1960-03-13 @ Slavia Sofia D 3-368.0 1465 1527 14.95% 36.12% 48.93%-0.72 +0.8 11
1960-03-13 Minyor Pernik L 2-364.1 1478 1499 39.52% 37.63% 22.85%+0.21 -6.6 9
1960-03-13 @ Spartak Pleven W 3-264.1 1499 1478 22.85% 37.63% 39.52%-0.21 +6.6 14
1960-03-13 Levski Sofia L 1-256.4 1445 1584 24.08% 36.94% 38.98%-0.51 -5.0 10
1960-03-13 @ Spartak Sofia W 2-156.4 1584 1445 38.98% 36.94% 24.08%+0.51 +5.0 19
1960-03-13 Spartak Plovdiv D 0-052.5 1468 1494 38.80% 37.67% 23.52%+0.18 -0.6 12
1960-03-13 @ Spartak Varna D 0-052.5 1494 1468 23.52% 37.67% 38.80%-0.18 +0.6 12
1960-03-18 Septemvri Sofia W 2-045.4 1627 1489 56.01% 33.56% 10.43%+1.17 +5.1 21
1960-03-18 @ CSKA Sofia L 0-245.4 1489 1627 10.43% 33.56% 56.01%-1.17 -5.2 14
1960-03-18 Botev Plovdiv W 2-151.1 1465 1454 43.36% 37.24% 19.40%+0.41 +4.3 13
1960-03-18 @ Dunav Ruse L 1-251.1 1454 1465 19.40% 37.24% 43.36%-0.41 -4.3 12
1960-03-18 Spartak Varna D 0-057.0 1589 1467 54.65% 34.16% 11.19%+1.08 -1.9 20
1960-03-18 @ Levski Sofia D 0-057.0 1467 1589 11.19% 34.16% 54.65%-1.08 +1.9 13
1960-03-18 Spartak Pleven D 0-053.2 1504 1472 45.76% 36.84% 17.39%+0.53 -1.2 11
1960-03-18 @ Lokomotiv Sofia D 0-053.2 1472 1504 17.39% 36.84% 45.76%-0.53 +1.2 10
1960-03-18 Spartak Sofia L 0-155.1 1506 1440 49.30% 36.02% 14.68%+0.74 -8.8 14
1960-03-18 @ Minyor Pernik W 1-055.1 1440 1506 14.68% 36.02% 49.30%-0.74 +8.8 12
1960-03-18 Slavia Sofia W 2-047.4 1495 1526 38.23% 37.70% 24.07%+0.15 +10.0 14
1960-03-18 @ Spartak Plovdiv L 0-247.4 1526 1495 24.07% 37.70% 38.23%-0.15 -10.0 14
1960-04-10 Botev Plovdiv W 1-045.3 1484 1450 45.99% 36.80% 17.21%+0.55 +4.2 16
1960-04-10 @ Septemvri Sofia L 0-145.3 1450 1484 17.21% 36.80% 45.99%-0.55 -4.2 12
1960-04-10 Levski Sofia L 0-156.3 1516 1587 32.90% 37.75% 29.35%-0.09 -6.5 14
1960-04-10 @ Slavia Sofia W 1-056.3 1587 1516 29.35% 37.75% 32.90%+0.09 +6.5 22
1960-04-10 CSKA Sofia D 1-162.7 1473 1632 21.92% 36.50% 41.58%-0.63 +0.7 11
1960-04-10 @ Spartak Pleven D 1-162.7 1632 1473 41.58% 36.50% 21.92%+0.63 -0.7 22
1960-04-10 Dunav Ruse W 2-152.2 1505 1470 46.08% 36.78% 17.14%+0.55 +3.9 16
1960-04-10 @ Spartak Plovdiv L 1-252.2 1470 1505 17.14% 36.78% 46.08%-0.55 -3.9 13
1960-04-10 Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-547.4 1449 1503 35.20% 37.78% 27.02%+0.01 -29.8 12
1960-04-10 @ Spartak Sofia W 5-047.4 1503 1449 27.02% 37.78% 35.20%-0.01 +29.8 13
1960-04-10 Minyor Pernik W 3-259.0 1469 1497 38.62% 37.68% 23.69%+0.17 +4.7 15
1960-04-10 @ Spartak Varna L 2-359.0 1497 1469 23.69% 37.68% 38.62%-0.17 -4.7 14
1960-04-16 Spartak Pleven W 2-043.6 1446 1474 38.64% 37.68% 23.68%+0.17 +9.9 14
1960-04-16 @ Botev Plovdiv L 0-243.6 1474 1446 23.68% 37.68% 38.64%-0.17 -9.9 11
1960-04-16 Spartak Sofia D 1-162.7 1631 1419 62.27% 30.18% 7.54%+1.63 -2.2 23
1960-04-16 @ CSKA Sofia D 1-162.7 1419 1631 7.54% 30.18% 62.27%-1.63 +2.2 13
1960-04-16 Septemvri Sofia W 2-153.5 1466 1489 39.27% 37.65% 23.08%+0.20 +4.9 15
1960-04-16 @ Dunav Ruse L 1-253.5 1489 1466 23.08% 37.65% 39.27%-0.20 -4.9 16
1960-04-16 Spartak Plovdiv W 4-044.8 1594 1509 51.18% 35.46% 13.37%+0.85 +12.3 24
1960-04-16 @ Levski Sofia L 0-444.8 1509 1594 13.37% 35.46% 51.18%-0.85 -12.3 16
1960-04-16 Spartak Varna D 2-264.9 1533 1474 48.60% 36.21% 15.19%+0.70 -0.9 14
1960-04-16 @ Lokomotiv Sofia D 2-264.9 1474 1533 15.19% 36.21% 48.60%-0.70 +0.9 16
1960-04-16 Slavia Sofia L 0-154.8 1492 1509 39.98% 37.60% 22.42%+0.23 -7.4 14
1960-04-16 @ Minyor Pernik W 1-054.8 1509 1492 22.42% 37.60% 39.98%-0.23 +7.4 16
1960-05-06 Dunav Ruse W 2-044.1 1606 1471 55.85% 33.64% 10.52%+1.16 +5.2 26
1960-05-06 @ Levski Sofia L 0-244.1 1471 1606 10.52% 33.64% 55.85%-1.16 -5.2 15
1960-05-06 Lokomotiv Sofia D 1-160.4 1517 1532 40.26% 37.57% 22.17%+0.25 -0.6 17
1960-05-06 @ Slavia Sofia D 1-160.4 1532 1517 22.17% 37.57% 40.26%-0.25 +0.6 15
1960-05-06 Septemvri Sofia L 2-851.5 1464 1484 39.64% 37.62% 22.74%+0.22 -26.3 11
1960-05-06 @ Spartak Pleven W 8-251.5 1484 1464 22.74% 37.62% 39.64%-0.22 +26.3 18
1960-05-06 Minyor Pernik D 0-053.3 1497 1485 43.43% 37.23% 19.35%+0.41 -1.0 17
1960-05-06 @ Spartak Plovdiv D 0-053.3 1485 1497 19.35% 37.23% 43.43%-0.41 +1.0 15
1960-05-06 Botev Plovdiv W 2-151.4 1421 1456 37.79% 37.72% 24.49%+0.13 +5.0 15
1960-05-06 @ Spartak Sofia L 1-251.4 1456 1421 24.49% 37.72% 37.79%-0.13 -5.1 14
1960-05-06 CSKA Sofia L 2-363.2 1475 1629 22.41% 36.61% 40.98%-0.60 -4.5 16
1960-05-06 @ Spartak Varna W 3-263.2 1629 1475 40.98% 36.61% 22.41%+0.60 +4.5 25
1960-05-15 Spartak Varna D 1-155.7 1451 1470 39.68% 37.62% 22.70%+0.22 -0.6 15
1960-05-15 @ Botev Plovdiv D 1-155.7 1470 1451 22.70% 37.62% 39.68%-0.22 +0.6 17
1960-05-15 Slavia Sofia W 3-152.5 1633 1516 54.22% 34.34% 11.44%+1.05 +4.9 27
1960-05-15 @ CSKA Sofia L 1-352.5 1516 1633 11.44% 34.34% 54.22%-1.05 -4.9 17
1960-05-15 Spartak Pleven W 4-144.2 1465 1437 45.28% 36.93% 17.79%+0.51 +9.9 17
1960-05-15 @ Dunav Ruse L 1-444.2 1437 1465 17.79% 36.93% 45.28%-0.51 -9.9 11
1960-05-15 Spartak Plovdiv W 2-154.2 1532 1496 46.26% 36.75% 16.99%+0.56 +3.9 17
1960-05-15 @ Lokomotiv Sofia L 1-254.2 1496 1532 16.99% 36.75% 46.26%-0.56 -3.9 17
1960-05-15 Levski Sofia W 2-053.9 1486 1611 25.72% 37.19% 37.08%-0.42 +13.2 17
1960-05-15 @ Minyor Pernik L 0-253.9 1611 1486 37.08% 37.19% 25.72%+0.42 -13.2 26
1960-05-15 Spartak Sofia D 1-156.9 1510 1426 51.09% 35.49% 13.43%+0.85 -1.5 19
1960-05-15 @ Septemvri Sofia D 1-156.9 1426 1510 13.43% 35.49% 51.09%-0.85 +1.5 16
1960-05-29 Spartak Plovdiv D 1-156.4 1450 1492 36.86% 37.75% 25.38%+0.09 -0.4 16
1960-05-29 @ Botev Plovdiv D 1-156.4 1492 1450 25.38% 37.75% 36.86%-0.09 +0.4 18
1960-05-29 Levski Sofia W 3-264.9 1638 1598 46.64% 36.67% 16.69%+0.58 +3.7 29
1960-05-29 @ CSKA Sofia L 2-364.9 1598 1638 16.69% 36.67% 46.64%-0.58 -3.7 26
1960-05-29 Spartak Sofia D 2-261.1 1475 1428 47.41% 36.50% 16.09%+0.63 -0.9 18
1960-05-29 @ Dunav Ruse D 2-261.1 1428 1475 16.09% 36.50% 47.41%-0.63 +0.9 17
1960-05-29 Minyor Pernik D 0-055.5 1536 1499 46.31% 36.74% 16.96%+0.56 -1.2 18
1960-05-29 @ Lokomotiv Sofia D 0-055.5 1499 1536 16.96% 36.74% 46.31%-0.56 +1.2 18
1960-05-29 Slavia Sofia L 1-455.8 1509 1511 41.73% 37.44% 20.84%+0.32 -17.7 19
1960-05-29 @ Septemvri Sofia W 4-155.8 1511 1509 20.84% 37.44% 41.73%-0.32 +17.7 19
1960-05-29 Spartak Varna W 3-149.0 1427 1471 36.64% 37.76% 25.60%+0.08 +9.0 13
1960-05-29 @ Spartak Pleven L 1-349.0 1471 1427 25.60% 37.76% 36.64%-0.08 -9.0 17
1960-06-05 Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-161.4 1594 1535 48.60% 36.21% 15.19%+0.70 -8.7 26
1960-06-05 @ Levski Sofia W 1-061.4 1535 1594 15.19% 36.21% 48.60%-0.70 +8.7 20
1960-06-05 Dunav Ruse W 2-043.6 1500 1474 45.04% 36.97% 17.98%+0.50 +8.2 20
1960-06-05 @ Minyor Pernik L 0-243.6 1474 1500 17.98% 36.97% 45.04%-0.50 -8.2 18
1960-06-05 Botev Plovdiv D 3-367.7 1529 1450 50.66% 35.62% 13.72%+0.82 -0.9 20
1960-06-05 @ Slavia Sofia D 3-367.7 1450 1529 13.72% 35.62% 50.66%-0.82 +0.9 17
1960-06-05 CSKA Sofia L 0-349.0 1492 1642 22.88% 36.71% 40.41%-0.57 -13.9 18
1960-06-05 @ Spartak Plovdiv W 3-049.0 1642 1492 40.41% 36.71% 22.88%+0.57 +13.9 31
1960-06-05 Spartak Pleven D 0-049.3 1429 1436 41.11% 37.50% 21.39%+0.29 -0.8 18
1960-06-05 @ Spartak Sofia D 0-049.3 1436 1429 21.39% 37.50% 41.11%-0.29 +0.8 14
1960-06-05 Septemvri Sofia D 2-262.4 1462 1491 38.48% 37.69% 23.83%+0.16 -0.4 18
1960-06-05 @ Spartak Varna D 2-262.4 1491 1462 23.83% 37.69% 38.48%-0.16 +0.4 20
1960-06-12 Botev Plovdiv L 2-370.0 1586 1451 55.83% 33.65% 10.53%+1.16 -8.7 26
1960-06-12 @ Levski Sofia W 3-270.0 1451 1586 10.53% 33.65% 55.83%-1.16 +8.7 19
1960-06-12 Dunav Ruse W 4-041.7 1544 1466 50.47% 35.68% 13.85%+0.81 +12.6 22
1960-06-12 @ Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-441.7 1466 1544 13.85% 35.68% 50.47%-0.81 -12.6 18
1960-06-12 CSKA Sofia W 1-060.0 1508 1656 23.16% 36.77% 40.08%-0.56 +7.4 22
1960-06-12 @ Minyor Pernik L 0-160.0 1656 1508 40.08% 36.77% 23.16%+0.56 -7.4 31
1960-06-12 Spartak Pleven W 2-041.3 1528 1437 51.78% 35.26% 12.96%+0.89 +6.3 22
1960-06-12 @ Slavia Sofia L 0-241.3 1437 1528 12.96% 35.26% 51.78%-0.89 -6.3 14
1960-06-12 Septemvri Sofia L 0-153.7 1478 1491 40.48% 37.56% 21.96%+0.26 -7.5 18
1960-06-12 @ Spartak Plovdiv W 1-053.7 1491 1478 21.96% 37.56% 40.48%-0.26 +7.5 22
1960-06-12 Spartak Sofia W 4-143.6 1461 1428 45.91% 36.81% 17.28%+0.54 +9.7 20
1960-06-12 @ Spartak Varna L 1-443.6 1428 1461 17.28% 36.81% 45.91%-0.54 -9.7 18
1960-07-02 Minyor Pernik W 4-255.9 1459 1516 34.88% 37.78% 27.34%-0.01 +8.4 21
1960-07-02 @ Botev Plovdiv L 2-455.9 1516 1459 27.34% 37.78% 34.88%+0.01 -8.4 22
1960-07-02 Lokomotiv Sofia D 1-165.8 1648 1556 51.87% 35.23% 12.90%+0.90 -1.5 32
1960-07-02 @ CSKA Sofia D 1-165.8 1556 1648 12.90% 35.23% 51.87%-0.90 +1.5 23
1960-07-02 Spartak Varna W 3-041.7 1454 1471 39.94% 37.60% 22.46%+0.23 +13.9 20
1960-07-02 @ Dunav Ruse L 0-341.7 1471 1454 22.46% 37.60% 39.94%-0.23 -13.9 20
1960-07-02 Levski Sofia L 1-260.7 1499 1577 31.93% 37.72% 30.35%-0.14 -6.0 22
1960-07-02 @ Septemvri Sofia W 2-160.7 1577 1499 30.35% 37.72% 31.93%+0.14 +6.0 28
1960-07-02 Spartak Plovdiv L 0-247.0 1431 1471 37.11% 37.75% 25.14%+0.10 -13.2 14
1960-07-02 @ Spartak Pleven W 2-047.0 1471 1431 25.14% 37.75% 37.11%-0.10 +13.2 20
1960-07-02 Slavia Sofia D 2-262.5 1418 1535 26.79% 37.33% 35.88%-0.37 +0.2 19
1960-07-02 @ Spartak Sofia D 2-262.5 1535 1418 35.88% 37.33% 26.79%+0.37 -0.2 23

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1960-06-12 10.53% Botev Plovdiv 1451 3 @ Levski Sofia 1586 2
2 1959-09-19 13.63% Spartak Sofia 1436 2 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1517 1
3 1960-03-18 14.68% Spartak Sofia 1440 1 @ Minyor Pernik 1506 0
4 1960-06-05 15.19% Lokomotiv Sofia 1535 1 @ Levski Sofia 1594 0
5 1959-09-20 15.81% Slavia Sofia 1520 3 @ Levski Sofia 1571 2
6 1959-11-29 15.91% Botev Plovdiv 1466 2 @ Spartak Plovdiv 1516 1
7 1959-09-25 17.17% Minyor Pernik 1492 2 @ Slavia Sofia 1527 0
8 1960-03-13 19.39% Lokomotiv Sofia 1491 3 @ Septemvri Sofia 1502 1
9 1960-03-05 19.94% @ Dunav Ruse 1457 1 CSKA Sofia 1635 0
10 1959-11-27 20.56% Dunav Ruse 1448 1 @ Spartak Sofia 1448 0
11 1959-09-20 20.71% Septemvri Sofia 1482 2 @ Botev Plovdiv 1480 0
12 1960-05-29 20.84% Slavia Sofia 1511 4 @ Septemvri Sofia 1509 1
13 1959-10-04 21.45% Slavia Sofia 1512 2 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1503 1
14 1960-06-12 21.96% Septemvri Sofia 1491 1 @ Spartak Plovdiv 1478 0
15 1960-04-16 22.42% Slavia Sofia 1509 1 @ Minyor Pernik 1492 0
16 1959-09-02 22.64% Lokomotiv Sofia 1510 1 @ Spartak Pleven 1490 0
17 1960-05-06 22.74% Septemvri Sofia 1484 8 @ Spartak Pleven 1464 2
18 1960-03-13 22.85% Minyor Pernik 1499 3 @ Spartak Pleven 1478 2
19 1960-06-12 23.16% @ Minyor Pernik 1508 1 CSKA Sofia 1656 0
20 1960-07-02 25.14% Spartak Plovdiv 1471 2 @ Spartak Pleven 1431 0
21 1960-05-15 25.72% @ Minyor Pernik 1486 2 Levski Sofia 1611 0
22 1959-08-30 26.89% Levski Sofia 1558 2 @ Spartak Varna 1505 0
23 1960-04-10 27.02% Lokomotiv Sofia 1503 5 @ Spartak Sofia 1449 0
24 1959-08-16 27.33% Levski Sofia 1553 1 @ Spartak Pleven 1496 0
25 1959-08-14 28.77% Spartak Plovdiv 1508 1 @ Spartak Sofia 1441 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1960-04-10 29.82 Lokomotiv Sofia 5 1503 27.02% @ Spartak Sofia 0 1449 35.20% 37.78%
2 1960-05-06 26.35 Septemvri Sofia 8 1484 22.74% @ Spartak Pleven 2 1464 39.64% 37.62%
3 1960-05-29 17.68 Slavia Sofia 4 1511 20.84% @ Septemvri Sofia 1 1509 41.73% 37.44%
4 1959-09-25 15.62 Minyor Pernik 2 1492 17.17% @ Slavia Sofia 0 1527 46.04% 36.79%
5 1959-09-20 14.48 Septemvri Sofia 2 1482 20.71% @ Botev Plovdiv 0 1480 41.86% 37.42%
6 1960-07-02 13.87 @ Dunav Ruse 3 1454 39.94% Spartak Varna 0 1471 22.46% 37.60%
7 1960-06-05 13.86 CSKA Sofia 3 1642 40.41% @ Spartak Plovdiv 0 1492 22.88% 36.71%
8 1960-07-02 13.23 Spartak Plovdiv 2 1471 25.14% @ Spartak Pleven 0 1431 37.11% 37.75%
9 1960-05-15 13.16 @ Minyor Pernik 2 1486 25.72% Levski Sofia 0 1611 37.08% 37.19%
10 1960-03-13 12.89 Lokomotiv Sofia 3 1491 19.39% @ Septemvri Sofia 1 1502 43.38% 37.23%
11 1959-08-30 12.78 Levski Sofia 2 1558 26.89% @ Spartak Varna 0 1505 35.33% 37.78%
12 1960-06-12 12.64 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 4 1544 50.47% Dunav Ruse 0 1466 13.85% 35.68%
13 1959-10-03 12.36 @ CSKA Sofia 7 1615 55.09% Spartak Varna 1 1488 10.94% 33.97%
14 1960-04-16 12.27 @ Levski Sofia 4 1594 51.18% Spartak Plovdiv 0 1509 13.37% 35.46%
15 1959-12-12 11.72 @ Septemvri Sofia 4 1490 39.85% Spartak Plovdiv 1 1508 22.54% 37.61%
16 1959-11-08 11.16 @ Dunav Ruse 2 1441 33.59% Minyor Pernik 0 1508 28.65% 37.77%
17 1959-11-14 11.07 @ Spartak Sofia 2 1436 33.97% Septemvri Sofia 0 1499 28.26% 37.77%
18 1959-12-13 10.46 @ Spartak Sofia 2 1440 36.39% Spartak Varna 0 1486 25.85% 37.77%
19 1960-03-18 9.99 @ Spartak Plovdiv 2 1495 38.23% Slavia Sofia 0 1526 24.07% 37.70%
20 1960-05-15 9.93 @ Dunav Ruse 4 1465 45.28% Spartak Pleven 1 1437 17.79% 36.93%
21 1960-04-16 9.89 @ Botev Plovdiv 2 1446 38.64% Spartak Pleven 0 1474 23.68% 37.68%
22 1959-12-13 9.80 Levski Sofia 3 1571 33.07% @ Botev Plovdiv 1 1474 29.36% 37.57%
23 1960-06-12 9.71 @ Spartak Varna 4 1461 45.91% Spartak Sofia 1 1428 17.28% 36.81%
24 1959-08-16 9.36 @ Botev Plovdiv 3 1465 35.05% Lokomotiv Sofia 1 1520 27.17% 37.78%
25 1959-09-20 9.26 @ Minyor Pernik 2 1483 41.00% Spartak Varna 0 1492 21.49% 37.51%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1959-09-20 70.4 Slavia Sofia 3 1520 15.81% @ Levski Sofia 2 1571 47.78% 36.41%
2 1960-06-12 70.0 Botev Plovdiv 3 1451 10.53% @ Levski Sofia 2 1586 55.83% 33.65%
3 1960-03-13 68.0 @ Slavia Sofia 3 1527 48.93% Dunav Ruse 3 1465 14.95% 36.12%
4 1960-06-05 67.7 @ Slavia Sofia 3 1529 50.66% Botev Plovdiv 3 1450 13.72% 35.62%
5 1959-09-27 67.0 @ Spartak Plovdiv 2 1515 36.02% Levski Sofia 2 1563 26.20% 37.77%
6 1960-07-02 65.8 @ CSKA Sofia 1 1648 51.87% Lokomotiv Sofia 1 1556 12.90% 35.23%
7 1959-10-04 65.1 @ Minyor Pernik 2 1508 41.25% Spartak Plovdiv 2 1515 21.27% 37.49%
8 1959-11-29 64.9 @ Levski Sofia 1 1571 35.25% CSKA Sofia 1 1625 26.98% 37.78%
9 1960-04-16 64.9 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 2 1533 48.60% Spartak Varna 2 1474 15.19% 36.21%
10 1960-05-29 64.9 @ CSKA Sofia 3 1638 46.64% Levski Sofia 2 1598 16.69% 36.67%
11 1959-11-20 64.4 @ CSKA Sofia 1 1627 53.78% Spartak Plovdiv 1 1514 11.70% 34.52%
12 1960-03-13 64.1 Minyor Pernik 3 1499 22.85% @ Spartak Pleven 2 1478 39.52% 37.63%
13 1959-11-21 63.2 @ Septemvri Sofia 2 1489 43.16% Spartak Varna 2 1480 19.58% 37.26%
14 1960-05-06 63.2 CSKA Sofia 3 1629 40.98% @ Spartak Varna 2 1475 22.41% 36.61%
15 1960-04-10 62.7 @ Spartak Pleven 1 1473 21.92% CSKA Sofia 1 1632 41.58% 36.50%
16 1960-04-16 62.7 @ CSKA Sofia 1 1631 62.27% Spartak Sofia 1 1419 7.54% 30.18%
17 1960-07-02 62.5 @ Spartak Sofia 2 1418 26.79% Slavia Sofia 2 1535 35.88% 37.33%
18 1960-06-05 62.4 @ Spartak Varna 2 1462 38.48% Septemvri Sofia 2 1491 23.83% 37.69%
19 1959-12-13 62.3 @ Dunav Ruse 2 1456 37.58% Lokomotiv Sofia 2 1492 24.68% 37.73%
20 1960-03-13 62.0 @ Botev Plovdiv 1 1453 20.39% CSKA Sofia 1 1627 43.49% 36.11%
21 1959-11-29 61.6 Botev Plovdiv 2 1466 15.91% @ Spartak Plovdiv 1 1516 47.65% 36.44%
22 1959-11-18 61.5 @ Levski Sofia 1 1573 51.17% Septemvri Sofia 1 1488 13.37% 35.46%
23 1960-06-05 61.4 Lokomotiv Sofia 1 1535 15.19% @ Levski Sofia 0 1594 48.60% 36.21%
24 1959-09-19 61.2 Spartak Sofia 2 1436 13.63% @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1 1517 50.78% 35.59%
25 1959-10-04 61.1 Slavia Sofia 2 1512 21.45% @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1 1503 41.05% 37.51%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1960-06-12 41.3 @ Slavia Sofia 2 1528 51.78% Spartak Pleven 0 1437 12.96% 35.26%
2 1960-06-12 41.7 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 4 1544 50.47% Dunav Ruse 0 1466 13.85% 35.68%
3 1960-07-02 41.7 @ Dunav Ruse 3 1454 39.94% Spartak Varna 0 1471 22.46% 37.60%
4 1959-12-19 42.1 @ Slavia Sofia 2 1513 48.94% Spartak Sofia 0 1451 14.94% 36.12%
5 1960-04-16 43.6 @ Botev Plovdiv 2 1446 38.64% Spartak Pleven 0 1474 23.68% 37.68%
6 1960-06-05 43.6 @ Minyor Pernik 2 1500 45.04% Dunav Ruse 0 1474 17.98% 36.97%
7 1960-06-12 43.6 @ Spartak Varna 4 1461 45.91% Spartak Sofia 1 1428 17.28% 36.81%
8 1960-05-06 44.1 @ Levski Sofia 2 1606 55.85% Dunav Ruse 0 1471 10.52% 33.64%
9 1960-05-15 44.2 @ Dunav Ruse 4 1465 45.28% Spartak Pleven 1 1437 17.79% 36.93%
10 1959-12-13 44.5 @ Spartak Sofia 2 1440 36.39% Spartak Varna 0 1486 25.85% 37.77%
11 1959-10-04 44.6 @ Botev Plovdiv 1 1461 44.48% Spartak Sofia 0 1440 18.45% 37.07%
12 1960-04-16 44.8 @ Levski Sofia 4 1594 51.18% Spartak Plovdiv 0 1509 13.37% 35.46%
13 1959-09-18 44.9 @ CSKA Sofia 2 1605 54.62% Spartak Pleven 0 1483 11.20% 34.17%
14 1959-09-20 44.9 @ Minyor Pernik 2 1483 41.00% Spartak Varna 0 1492 21.49% 37.51%
15 1960-04-10 45.3 @ Septemvri Sofia 1 1484 45.99% Botev Plovdiv 0 1450 17.21% 36.80%
16 1959-11-15 45.4 @ Spartak Pleven 1 1483 45.56% Dunav Ruse 0 1453 17.56% 36.88%
17 1960-03-18 45.4 @ CSKA Sofia 2 1627 56.01% Septemvri Sofia 0 1489 10.43% 33.56%
18 1959-11-14 45.5 @ Spartak Sofia 2 1436 33.97% Septemvri Sofia 0 1499 28.26% 37.77%
19 1959-08-15 45.6 @ CSKA Sofia 5 1593 55.29% Dunav Ruse 1 1464 10.83% 33.89%
20 1959-11-08 46.1 @ Dunav Ruse 2 1441 33.59% Minyor Pernik 0 1508 28.65% 37.77%
21 1959-09-27 46.3 @ Spartak Pleven 1 1478 43.47% Botev Plovdiv 0 1466 19.30% 37.22%
22 1959-11-15 46.3 @ Spartak Varna 1 1476 43.26% Botev Plovdiv 0 1465 19.49% 37.25%
23 1959-10-03 46.8 @ CSKA Sofia 7 1615 55.09% Spartak Varna 1 1488 10.94% 33.97%
24 1960-07-02 47.0 Spartak Plovdiv 2 1471 25.14% @ Spartak Pleven 0 1431 37.11% 37.75%
25 1960-03-18 47.4 @ Spartak Plovdiv 2 1495 38.23% Slavia Sofia 0 1526 24.07% 37.70%