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1958-59 A Group Season

132 games

Final

Champion

CSKA Sofia

32 points · 9th Title

Last Title: 1958

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

CSKA Sofia

4.02 points above expected

32 points · 27.98 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Cherno More

9.07 points below expected

11 points · 20.07 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 CSKA Sofia Champion 22 13 6 3 32 37 16 +21 27.98 +4.02
2 Slavia Sofia 22 10 7 5 27 29 17 +12 24.28 +2.72
3 Levski Sofia 22 10 4 8 24 27 15 +12 24.31 -0.31
4 Spartak Plovdiv 22 8 8 6 24 33 29 +4 21.48 +2.52
5 Lokomotiv Sofia 22 10 3 9 23 33 28 +5 23.52 -0.52
6 Dunav Ruse 22 8 6 8 22 25 27 -2 18.62 +3.38
7 Spartak Pleven 22 8 6 8 22 24 30 -6 22.53 -0.53
8 Botev Plovdiv 22 8 6 8 22 28 41 -13 19.57 +2.43
9 Spartak Varna 22 6 9 7 21 21 24 -3 22.42 -1.42
10 Beroe 22 7 4 11 18 21 25 -4 17.84 +0.16
11 Minyor Pernik 22 7 4 11 18 27 32 -5 21.38 -3.38
12 Cherno More 22 3 5 14 11 15 36 -21 20.07 -9.07

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 CSKA Sofia 32 27.98 +4.02
2 Dunav Ruse 22 18.62 +3.38
3 Slavia Sofia 27 24.28 +2.72
4 Spartak Plovdiv 24 21.48 +2.52
5 Botev Plovdiv 22 19.57 +2.43

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Cherno More 11 20.07 -9.07
2 Minyor Pernik 18 21.38 -3.38
3 Spartak Varna 21 22.42 -1.42
4 Spartak Pleven 22 22.53 -0.53
5 Lokomotiv Sofia 23 23.52 -0.52

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 CSKA Sofia 9 Aug 23 – Nov 16 1 in 859
2 Spartak Plovdiv 4 Mar 8 – Mar 29 1 in 111
3 Spartak Pleven 4 Oct 26 – Nov 23 1 in 61
4 Lokomotiv Sofia 2 Mar 7 – Mar 15 1 in 52
5 Dunav Ruse 4 Nov 30 – Mar 22 1 in 48

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cherno More 4 Mar 29 – Apr 26 1 in 61
2 Botev Plovdiv 3 Mar 15 – Apr 5 1 in 50
3 Lokomotiv Sofia 3 Oct 26 – Nov 23 1 in 26
4 Spartak Pleven 3 Sep 14 – Oct 19 1 in 13
5 Minyor Pernik 3 Oct 26 – Nov 16 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Spartak Pleven 6 Oct 26 – Mar 8 1 in 47
2 CSKA Sofia 11 Aug 23 – Dec 28 1 in 26
3 Spartak Varna 6 Aug 24 – Oct 19 1 in 18
4 Spartak Plovdiv 8 Nov 23 – Apr 12 1 in 18
5 Botev Plovdiv 4 Apr 12 – May 3 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Spartak Varna 8 Aug 24 – Nov 3 1 in 73
2 CSKA Sofia 5 Apr 19 – Jun 6 1 in 33
3 Spartak Pleven 6 Aug 24 – Oct 19 1 in 20
4 Cherno More 8 Oct 19 – Mar 15 1 in 17
5 Spartak Plovdiv 5 Sep 21 – Nov 23 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
CSKA Sofia 1695 32 -8 4 5.9 -1.9
Slavia Sofia 1582 27 +9 6 5.0 +1.0
Levski Sofia 1614 24 -2 5 6.6 -1.6
Spartak Plovdiv 1549 24 -8 4 4.5 -0.5
Lokomotiv Sofia 1567 23 +11 7 5.5 +1.5
Botev Plovdiv 1478 22 +32 8 4.8 +3.2
Spartak Pleven 1530 22 -11 5 5.6 -0.6
Dunav Ruse 1475 22 -6 4 4.0 -0.0
Spartak Varna 1527 21 -16 3 4.2 -1.2
Beroe 1470 18 +35 6 3.7 +2.3
Minyor Pernik 1514 18 -6 5 5.4 -0.4
Cherno More 1426 11 -30 3 4.7 -1.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BER BP CS CM DR LS LS MP SS SP SP SV
Beroe —
0-0-2
2.54
0-1-1
1.37
2-0-0
2.57
1-0-1
2.61
1-0-1
1.88
1-0-1
2.14
1-0-1
2.38
0-1-1
2.09
0-0-2
2.28
1-1-0
2.06
0-1-1
2.26
Botev Plovdiv
2-0-0
2.94
—
0-0-2
1.88
1-1-0
2.74
0-1-1
2.91
1-0-1
2.04
0-1-1
2.25
2-0-0
2.38
1-0-1
2.18
1-0-1
2.39
0-2-0
2.33
0-1-1
2.44
CSKA Sofia
1-1-0
4.17
2-0-0
3.64
—
2-0-0
3.79
2-0-0
3.99
1-0-1
3.01
1-0-1
3.45
1-1-0
3.57
1-1-0
3.36
1-1-0
3.50
0-2-0
3.56
1-0-1
3.56
Cherno More
0-0-2
2.90
0-1-1
2.74
0-0-2
1.72
—
0-1-1
2.93
1-0-1
1.99
1-0-1
2.38
0-0-2
2.52
0-2-0
2.16
0-0-2
2.50
0-0-2
2.47
1-1-0
2.51
Dunav Ruse
1-0-1
2.87
1-1-0
2.56
0-0-2
1.53
1-1-0
2.55
—
1-0-1
2.03
1-0-1
2.37
1-0-1
2.46
0-1-1
2.15
0-1-1
2.43
1-1-0
2.29
1-1-0
2.37
Levski Sofia
1-0-1
3.62
1-0-1
3.45
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
3.50
1-0-1
3.47
—
1-0-1
2.97
1-1-0
3.13
0-1-1
2.94
2-0-0
3.08
1-0-1
3.02
0-2-0
3.08
Lokomotiv Sofia
1-0-1
3.35
1-1-0
3.23
1-0-1
2.05
1-0-1
3.10
1-0-1
3.11
1-0-1
2.51
—
2-0-0
2.86
1-0-1
2.69
0-1-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.79
0-1-1
2.87
Minyor Pernik
1-0-1
3.10
0-0-2
3.10
0-1-1
1.94
2-0-0
2.96
1-0-1
3.00
0-1-1
2.34
0-0-2
2.62
—
1-0-1
2.47
1-1-0
2.67
0-1-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.61
Slavia Sofia
1-1-0
3.41
1-0-1
3.31
0-1-1
2.13
0-2-0
3.33
1-1-0
3.33
1-1-0
2.54
1-0-1
2.81
1-0-1
3.00
—
1-0-1
2.90
1-1-0
2.95
2-0-0
2.95
Spartak Pleven
2-0-0
3.21
1-0-1
3.08
0-1-1
2.00
2-0-0
2.99
1-1-0
3.06
0-0-2
2.40
1-1-0
2.63
0-1-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.58
—
0-0-2
2.83
0-2-0
2.80
Spartak Plovdiv
0-1-1
3.43
0-2-0
3.16
0-2-0
1.93
2-0-0
3.00
0-1-1
3.19
1-0-1
2.46
1-0-1
2.68
1-1-0
2.72
0-1-1
2.52
2-0-0
2.64
—
1-0-1
2.80
Spartak Varna
1-1-0
3.23
1-1-0
3.03
1-0-1
1.94
0-1-1
2.98
0-1-1
3.12
0-2-0
2.40
1-1-0
2.61
1-0-1
2.87
0-0-2
2.53
0-2-0
2.67
1-0-1
2.67
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.72 +7.2
Allowed 0.41 -4.1
Differential 0.79 +3.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%10.61%7.20%2.27%1.14%0.38%33.71%
110.61%10.61%6.06%3.41%1.89%1.14%33.71%
27.20%6.06%3.03%1.14%1.14%0.76%19.32%
32.27%3.41%1.14%———6.82%
41.14%1.89%1.14%———4.17%
5+0.38%1.14%0.76%———2.27%
Total33.71%33.71%19.32%6.82%4.17%2.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.21 +0.00
SD 1.24 1.24 1.78
CV 1.02 1.02 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—18.18%9.09%———27.27%
122.73%13.64%13.64%9.09%——59.09%
2——4.55%———4.55%
39.09%—————9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.82%31.82%27.27%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.14 -0.18
SD 0.84 0.99 1.47
CV 0.88 0.87 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%—9.09%—18.18%
113.64%22.73%—4.55%9.09%4.55%54.55%
2—9.09%——4.55%—13.64%
3—9.09%————9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%45.45%4.55%4.55%22.73%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.86 -0.59
SD 1.03 1.73 2.20
CV 0.81 0.93 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%————18.18%
113.64%9.09%9.09%———31.82%
213.64%13.64%4.55%———31.82%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total45.45%36.36%18.18%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 0.73 +0.95
SD 1.43 0.77 1.50
CV 0.85 1.06 —
Max 6 2 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%18.18%9.09%9.09%——50.00%
1—9.09%4.55%13.64%4.55%—31.82%
24.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%36.36%13.64%27.27%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.68 1.64 -0.95
SD 0.78 1.22 1.36
CV 1.14 0.74 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%36.36%
19.09%13.64%9.09%———31.82%
29.09%4.55%—4.55%——18.18%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total36.36%27.27%22.73%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.23 -0.09
SD 1.17 1.31 1.87
CV 1.03 1.06 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%18.18%4.55%———40.91%
118.18%—9.09%—4.55%—31.82%
29.09%—————9.09%
34.55%—————4.55%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total59.09%22.73%13.64%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 0.68 +0.55
SD 1.51 1.04 1.99
CV 1.23 1.53 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%13.64%———36.36%
19.09%4.55%9.09%———22.73%
24.55%9.09%———4.55%18.18%
34.55%—————4.55%
4—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total27.27%31.82%36.36%——4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.27 +0.23
SD 1.60 1.16 1.80
CV 1.06 0.91 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%18.18%13.64%4.55%——45.45%
14.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
24.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
3—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total18.18%40.91%22.73%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.45 -0.23
SD 1.41 1.10 1.74
CV 1.15 0.76 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.73%4.55%4.55%———31.82%
19.09%9.09%9.09%———27.27%
218.18%———4.55%—22.73%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total54.55%22.73%18.18%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 0.77 +0.55
SD 1.21 1.07 1.47
CV 0.92 1.38 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%13.64%4.55%—4.55%—36.36%
113.64%4.55%—4.55%4.55%4.55%31.82%
2—13.64%9.09%———22.73%
3—4.55%————4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total31.82%36.36%13.64%4.55%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.36 -0.27
SD 1.11 1.47 1.91
CV 1.02 1.07 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%—4.55%9.09%——27.27%
19.09%18.18%4.55%4.55%——36.36%
29.09%—4.55%——4.55%18.18%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total31.82%31.82%18.18%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.32 +0.18
SD 1.54 1.32 1.99
CV 1.02 1.00 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%13.64%9.09%———36.36%
14.55%18.18%4.55%——4.55%31.82%
213.64%9.09%9.09%———31.82%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total31.82%40.91%22.73%——4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.09 -0.14
SD 0.84 1.15 1.42
CV 0.88 1.06 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
CSKA Sofia 1695 32 27.98 +4.02 92.0% 16 22 26 28 30 34 37
Levski Sofia 1614 24 24.31 -0.31 51.0% 15 19 22 24 26 30 34
Slavia Sofia 1582 27 24.28 +2.72 84.0% 11 19 22 24 26 30 33
Lokomotiv Sofia 1567 23 23.52 -0.52 47.0% 17 18 21 24 26 28 30
Spartak Plovdiv 1549 24 21.48 +2.52 82.0% 11 14 19 22 24 27 32
Spartak Pleven 1530 22 22.53 -0.53 52.0% 13 17 20 22 25 28 32
Spartak Varna 1527 21 22.42 -1.42 41.0% 11 16 19 22 26 28 32
Minyor Pernik 1514 18 21.38 -3.38 21.0% 12 15 19 22 24 28 30
Botev Plovdiv 1478 22 19.57 +2.43 86.0% 10 14 18 20 21 25 27
Dunav Ruse 1475 22 18.62 +3.38 88.0% 11 13 16 18 21 25 29
Beroe 1470 18 17.84 +0.16 54.0% 9 12 15 18 21 23 25
Cherno More 1426 11 20.07 -9.07 1.0% 10 16 17 20 22 25 28

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+36.36%
Strong Edge
55.30%25.76%18.94%
Elo Value
Home Edge
198 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0132.40500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.74 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.67+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.1
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
54%
CSKA Sofia, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Comfortable
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.83 * Some Luck: 2.83 to 4.24 * Lucky: 4.24 to 5.65 * Wild Swing: 5.65 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.9 * Close: 1.9 to 2.86 * Off: 2.86 to 3.81 * Way Off: 3.81 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.46 points
Some Luck
03.539
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.17
Close
02.385
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
92.00%
CSKA Sofia
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
Cherno More
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.12
Balanced
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 73.22
1.27
Coin-Flip Parity
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
63%
Even
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
83%
Even
50%81%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Occasional
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.57
Lopsided
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.04
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.57
Some Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Chalky
0%16%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.81
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.92
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.090
Well Within Noise
00.1160.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
CSKA Sofia54.00%16.00%16.00%7.00%1.00%1.00%—1.00%2.00%2.00%——
Slavia Sofia10.00%11.00%22.00%14.00%14.00%10.00%11.00%2.00%—3.00%2.00%1.00%
Levski Sofia8.00%20.00%19.00%12.00%7.00%13.00%8.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%
Spartak Plovdiv5.00%7.00%7.00%9.00%12.00%11.00%8.00%11.00%14.00%6.00%3.00%7.00%
Lokomotiv Sofia9.00%15.00%7.00%16.00%9.00%11.00%7.00%9.00%6.00%8.00%2.00%1.00%
Dunav Ruse—2.00%1.00%5.00%5.00%6.00%7.00%12.00%8.00%12.00%18.00%24.00%
Spartak Pleven3.00%7.00%8.00%15.00%11.00%8.00%9.00%16.00%11.00%4.00%7.00%1.00%
Botev Plovdiv—1.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%8.00%15.00%14.00%11.00%14.00%17.00%11.00%
Spartak Varna3.00%14.00%10.00%11.00%8.00%8.00%9.00%6.00%10.00%8.00%8.00%5.00%
Beroe1.00%——2.00%6.00%4.00%9.00%3.00%12.00%17.00%20.00%26.00%
Minyor Pernik4.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%18.00%10.00%10.00%8.00%10.00%7.00%7.00%11.00%
Cherno More3.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%5.00%10.00%7.00%12.00%14.00%17.00%14.00%12.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
CSKA Sofia 100% —
Levski Sofia 97.00% 3.00%
Lokomotiv Sofia 97.00% 3.00%
Slavia Sofia 97.00% 3.00%
Spartak Pleven 92.00% 8.00%
Spartak Plovdiv 90.00% 10.00%
Spartak Varna 87.00% 13.00%
Minyor Pernik 82.00% 18.00%
Cherno More 74.00% 26.00%
Botev Plovdiv 72.00% 28.00%
Dunav Ruse 58.00% 42.00%
Beroe 54.00% 46.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1958-08-23 CSKA Sofia L 0-262.2 1616 1638 57.20% 26.56% 16.24%+0.55 -18.4 0
1958-08-23 @ Levski Sofia W 2-062.2 1638 1616 16.24% 26.56% 57.20%-0.55 +18.4 2
1958-08-24 Beroe W 3-143.9 1496 1443 63.49% 25.23% 11.28%+0.93 +4.1 2
1958-08-24 @ Botev Plovdiv L 1-343.9 1443 1496 11.28% 25.23% 63.49%-0.93 -4.1 0
1958-08-24 Dunav Ruse D 0-057.5 1508 1443 64.36% 24.97% 10.67%+0.99 -2.5 1
1958-08-24 @ Cherno More D 0-057.5 1443 1508 10.67% 24.97% 64.36%-0.99 +2.5 1
1958-08-24 Slavia Sofia L 0-260.2 1576 1547 61.66% 25.71% 12.64%+0.81 -19.8 0
1958-08-24 @ Lokomotiv Sofia W 2-060.2 1547 1576 12.64% 25.71% 61.66%-0.81 +19.8 2
1958-08-24 Spartak Plovdiv D 1-166.7 1551 1526 61.27% 25.80% 12.93%+0.79 -2.0 1
1958-08-24 @ Minyor Pernik D 1-166.7 1526 1551 12.93% 25.80% 61.27%-0.79 +2.0 1
1958-08-24 Spartak Varna D 2-272.4 1553 1531 61.07% 25.84% 13.09%+0.78 -1.4 1
1958-08-24 @ Spartak Pleven D 2-272.4 1531 1553 13.09% 25.84% 61.07%-0.78 +1.4 1
1958-08-29 Minyor Pernik W 4-254.5 1556 1549 59.89% 26.09% 14.02%+0.71 +4.5 2
1958-08-29 @ Lokomotiv Sofia L 2-454.5 1549 1556 14.02% 26.09% 59.89%-0.71 -4.5 1
1958-08-30 Slavia Sofia D 1-163.7 1439 1567 45.83% 27.32% 26.84%+0.02 -0.7 1
1958-08-30 @ Beroe D 1-163.7 1567 1439 26.84% 27.32% 45.83%-0.02 +0.7 3
1958-08-30 Cherno More W 3-149.5 1657 1505 70.24% 22.71% 7.05%+1.43 +2.6 4
1958-08-30 @ CSKA Sofia L 1-349.5 1505 1657 7.05% 22.71% 70.24%-1.43 -2.5 1
1958-08-30 Botev Plovdiv D 1-161.5 1446 1500 54.11% 26.93% 18.96%+0.39 -1.3 2
1958-08-30 @ Dunav Ruse D 1-161.5 1500 1446 18.96% 26.93% 54.11%-0.39 +1.4 3
1958-08-30 Spartak Pleven W 5-146.3 1528 1551 57.16% 26.56% 16.28%+0.55 +10.6 3
1958-08-30 @ Spartak Plovdiv L 1-546.3 1551 1528 16.28% 26.56% 57.16%-0.55 -10.6 1
1958-08-30 Levski Sofia D 0-063.2 1532 1597 52.98% 27.03% 19.98%+0.34 -1.4 2
1958-08-30 @ Spartak Varna D 0-063.2 1597 1532 19.98% 27.03% 52.98%-0.34 +1.4 1
1958-09-06 Minyor Pernik W 3-259.2 1568 1544 61.20% 25.81% 12.99%+0.79 +2.6 5
1958-09-06 @ Slavia Sofia L 2-359.2 1544 1568 12.99% 25.81% 61.20%-0.79 -2.6 1
1958-09-07 Dunav Ruse W 1-041.6 1438 1444 58.69% 26.32% 14.99%+0.64 +3.3 3
1958-09-07 @ Beroe L 0-141.6 1444 1438 14.99% 26.32% 58.69%-0.64 -3.3 2
1958-09-07 CSKA Sofia L 0-453.2 1501 1659 42.02% 27.28% 30.70%-0.13 -26.6 3
1958-09-07 @ Botev Plovdiv W 4-053.2 1659 1501 30.70% 27.28% 42.02%+0.13 +26.6 6
1958-09-07 Spartak Varna D 0-060.0 1503 1531 56.66% 26.64% 16.71%+0.53 -1.8 2
1958-09-07 @ Cherno More D 0-060.0 1531 1503 16.71% 26.64% 56.66%-0.53 +1.8 3
1958-09-07 Spartak Plovdiv W 3-043.0 1599 1539 64.04% 25.07% 10.89%+0.97 +6.7 3
1958-09-07 @ Levski Sofia L 0-343.0 1539 1599 10.89% 25.07% 64.04%-0.97 -6.7 3
1958-09-07 Lokomotiv Sofia D 0-062.4 1541 1561 57.38% 26.53% 16.09%+0.56 -1.8 2
1958-09-07 @ Spartak Pleven D 0-062.4 1561 1541 16.09% 26.53% 57.38%-0.56 +1.8 3
1958-09-10 CSKA Sofia L 2-365.1 1441 1686 30.38% 26.53% 43.09%-0.57 -5.2 2
1958-09-10 @ Dunav Ruse W 3-265.1 1686 1441 43.09% 26.53% 30.38%+0.57 +5.2 8
1958-09-13 Levski Sofia W 2-157.9 1563 1605 55.28% 26.81% 17.92%+0.45 +3.6 5
1958-09-13 @ Lokomotiv Sofia L 1-257.9 1605 1563 17.92% 26.81% 55.28%-0.45 -3.6 3
1958-09-14 Beroe W 2-150.8 1691 1442 75.81% 19.72% 4.47%+1.92 +0.9 10
1958-09-14 @ CSKA Sofia L 1-250.8 1442 1691 4.47% 19.72% 75.81%-1.92 -0.9 3
1958-09-14 Slavia Sofia D 0-058.8 1436 1570 45.03% 27.32% 27.64%-0.01 -0.7 3
1958-09-14 @ Dunav Ruse D 0-058.8 1570 1436 27.64% 27.32% 45.03%+0.01 +0.7 6
1958-09-14 Spartak Pleven W 1-048.4 1542 1539 59.46% 26.18% 14.36%+0.68 +3.2 3
1958-09-14 @ Minyor Pernik L 0-148.4 1539 1542 14.36% 26.18% 59.46%-0.68 -3.2 2
1958-09-14 Cherno More W 4-144.9 1532 1501 61.84% 25.66% 12.50%+0.83 +6.5 5
1958-09-14 @ Spartak Plovdiv L 1-444.9 1501 1532 12.50% 25.66% 61.84%-0.83 -6.5 2
1958-09-14 Botev Plovdiv D 1-164.4 1532 1475 63.88% 25.11% 11.00%+0.96 -2.2 4
1958-09-14 @ Spartak Varna D 1-164.4 1475 1532 11.00% 25.11% 63.88%-0.96 +2.2 4
1958-09-20 Minyor Pernik W 2-045.5 1602 1545 63.83% 25.13% 11.04%+0.96 +4.7 5
1958-09-20 @ Levski Sofia L 0-245.5 1545 1602 11.04% 25.13% 63.83%-0.96 -4.7 3
1958-09-21 Spartak Varna D 1-162.4 1441 1530 50.35% 27.21% 22.44%+0.22 -1.0 4
1958-09-21 @ Beroe D 1-162.4 1530 1441 22.44% 27.21% 50.35%-0.22 +1.0 5
1958-09-21 Spartak Plovdiv D 1-164.1 1477 1539 53.34% 27.00% 19.65%+0.36 -1.3 5
1958-09-21 @ Botev Plovdiv D 1-164.1 1539 1477 19.65% 27.00% 53.34%-0.36 +1.3 6
1958-09-21 Lokomotiv Sofia W 2-155.5 1494 1566 52.24% 27.09% 20.67%+0.30 +4.1 4
1958-09-21 @ Cherno More L 1-255.5 1566 1494 20.67% 27.09% 52.24%-0.30 -4.1 5
1958-09-21 Spartak Pleven W 2-044.8 1571 1536 62.16% 25.58% 12.26%+0.85 +5.2 8
1958-09-21 @ Slavia Sofia L 0-244.8 1536 1571 12.26% 25.58% 62.16%-0.85 -5.2 2
1958-10-18 Botev Plovdiv W 4-143.8 1562 1476 65.99% 24.44% 9.57%+1.11 +5.0 7
1958-10-18 @ Lokomotiv Sofia L 1-443.8 1476 1562 9.57% 24.44% 65.99%-1.11 -5.0 5
1958-10-19 Slavia Sofia W 2-156.1 1692 1576 67.96% 23.70% 8.34%+1.25 +1.8 12
1958-10-19 @ CSKA Sofia L 1-256.1 1576 1692 8.34% 23.70% 67.96%-1.25 -1.8 8
1958-10-19 Cherno More W 3-147.8 1540 1498 62.66% 25.46% 11.89%+0.88 +4.4 5
1958-10-19 @ Minyor Pernik L 1-347.8 1498 1540 11.89% 25.46% 62.66%-0.88 -4.4 4
1958-10-19 Levski Sofia L 0-161.7 1530 1606 51.82% 27.12% 21.06%+0.28 -8.9 2
1958-10-19 @ Spartak Pleven W 1-061.7 1606 1530 21.06% 27.12% 51.82%-0.28 +8.9 7
1958-10-19 Beroe D 2-269.1 1540 1440 66.91% 24.11% 8.98%+1.17 -1.8 7
1958-10-19 @ Spartak Plovdiv D 2-269.1 1440 1540 8.98% 24.11% 66.91%-1.17 +1.8 5
1958-10-19 Dunav Ruse D 1-163.1 1531 1435 66.64% 24.21% 9.15%+1.15 -2.4 6
1958-10-19 @ Spartak Varna D 1-163.1 1435 1531 9.15% 24.21% 66.64%-1.15 +2.4 4
1958-10-25 Spartak Varna W 2-154.4 1694 1529 71.04% 22.33% 6.63%+1.50 +1.4 14
1958-10-25 @ CSKA Sofia L 1-254.4 1529 1694 6.63% 22.33% 71.04%-1.50 -1.4 6
1958-10-26 Lokomotiv Sofia W 1-049.8 1442 1567 46.09% 27.32% 26.59%+0.03 +5.3 7
1958-10-26 @ Beroe L 0-149.8 1567 1442 26.59% 27.32% 46.09%-0.03 -5.3 7
1958-10-26 Minyor Pernik W 1-048.3 1471 1544 52.07% 27.10% 20.83%+0.30 +4.4 7
1958-10-26 @ Botev Plovdiv L 0-148.3 1544 1471 20.83% 27.10% 52.07%-0.30 -4.4 5
1958-10-26 Spartak Pleven L 0-158.9 1494 1521 56.73% 26.62% 16.65%+0.53 -9.7 4
1958-10-26 @ Cherno More W 1-058.9 1521 1494 16.65% 26.62% 56.73%-0.53 +9.7 4
1958-10-26 Spartak Plovdiv W 3-149.6 1438 1538 49.09% 27.26% 23.65%+0.16 +7.9 6
1958-10-26 @ Dunav Ruse L 1-349.6 1538 1438 23.65% 27.26% 49.09%-0.16 -7.9 7
1958-10-26 Levski Sofia W 4-151.7 1574 1615 55.43% 26.79% 17.78%+0.46 +8.8 10
1958-10-26 @ Slavia Sofia L 1-451.7 1615 1574 17.78% 26.79% 55.43%-0.46 -8.9 7
1958-11-02 Cherno More W 1-046.1 1607 1484 68.39% 23.53% 8.09%+1.28 +1.8 9
1958-11-02 @ Levski Sofia L 0-146.1 1484 1607 8.09% 23.53% 68.39%-1.28 -1.8 4
1958-11-03 Slavia Sofia L 0-161.5 1528 1583 53.97% 26.95% 19.09%+0.39 -9.3 6
1958-11-03 @ Spartak Varna W 1-061.5 1583 1528 19.09% 26.95% 53.97%-0.39 +9.3 12
1958-11-04 Beroe W 2-040.5 1608 1447 70.85% 22.42% 6.73%+1.48 +2.8 11
1958-11-04 @ Levski Sofia L 0-240.5 1447 1608 6.73% 22.42% 70.85%-1.48 -2.8 7
1958-11-04 Botev Plovdiv W 4-038.2 1531 1475 63.77% 25.15% 11.08%+0.95 +8.9 6
1958-11-04 @ Spartak Pleven L 0-438.2 1475 1531 11.08% 25.15% 63.77%-0.95 -8.9 7
1958-11-11 CSKA Sofia L 0-161.3 1540 1695 42.39% 27.29% 30.31%-0.11 -7.5 5
1958-11-11 @ Minyor Pernik W 1-061.3 1695 1540 30.31% 27.29% 42.39%+0.11 +7.5 16
1958-11-15 Cherno More D 1-167.2 1592 1483 67.58% 23.85% 8.57%+1.22 -2.4 13
1958-11-15 @ Slavia Sofia D 1-167.2 1483 1592 8.57% 23.85% 67.58%-1.22 +2.5 5
1958-11-16 Spartak Pleven L 0-155.8 1444 1540 49.61% 27.24% 23.15%+0.18 -8.6 7
1958-11-16 @ Beroe W 1-055.8 1540 1444 23.15% 27.24% 49.61%-0.18 +8.6 8
1958-11-16 Levski Sofia W 1-053.0 1466 1611 43.66% 27.31% 29.02%-0.06 +5.7 9
1958-11-16 @ Botev Plovdiv L 0-153.0 1611 1466 29.02% 27.31% 43.66%+0.06 -5.6 11
1958-11-16 Lokomotiv Sofia W 2-046.4 1702 1562 69.55% 23.03% 7.42%+1.38 +3.1 18
1958-11-16 @ CSKA Sofia L 0-246.4 1562 1702 7.42% 23.03% 69.55%-1.38 -3.1 7
1958-11-16 Minyor Pernik W 3-041.5 1446 1533 50.62% 27.19% 22.19%+0.23 +12.6 8
1958-11-16 @ Dunav Ruse L 0-341.5 1533 1446 22.19% 27.19% 50.62%-0.23 -12.6 5
1958-11-16 Spartak Plovdiv W 2-153.2 1518 1530 58.16% 26.41% 15.43%+0.61 +3.2 8
1958-11-16 @ Spartak Varna L 1-253.2 1530 1518 15.43% 26.41% 58.16%-0.61 -3.2 7
1958-11-23 Botev Plovdiv D 1-162.2 1485 1472 60.35% 26.00% 13.65%+0.73 -1.9 6
1958-11-23 @ Cherno More D 1-162.2 1472 1485 13.65% 26.00% 60.35%-0.73 +1.9 10
1958-11-23 Spartak Varna L 0-259.0 1559 1522 62.32% 25.54% 12.14%+0.86 -20.0 7
1958-11-23 @ Lokomotiv Sofia W 2-059.0 1522 1559 12.14% 25.54% 62.32%-0.86 +20.0 10
1958-11-23 Dunav Ruse W 2-149.3 1549 1458 66.25% 24.35% 9.40%+1.12 +2.0 10
1958-11-23 @ Spartak Pleven L 1-249.3 1458 1549 9.40% 24.35% 66.25%-1.12 -2.0 8
1958-11-23 Slavia Sofia D 0-062.8 1527 1590 53.21% 27.02% 19.78%+0.35 -1.4 8
1958-11-23 @ Spartak Plovdiv D 0-062.8 1590 1527 19.78% 27.02% 53.21%-0.35 +1.4 14
1958-11-29 Spartak Pleven D 0-067.4 1706 1551 70.45% 22.61% 6.93%+1.45 -3.0 19
1958-11-29 @ CSKA Sofia D 0-067.4 1551 1706 6.93% 22.61% 70.45%-1.45 +3.0 11
1958-11-29 Dunav Ruse W 2-039.8 1539 1456 65.71% 24.54% 9.75%+1.09 +4.2 9
1958-11-29 @ Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-239.8 1456 1539 9.75% 24.54% 65.71%-1.09 -4.1 8
1958-11-29 Beroe W 3-143.8 1520 1436 65.83% 24.50% 9.68%+1.09 +3.6 7
1958-11-29 @ Minyor Pernik L 1-343.8 1436 1520 9.68% 24.50% 65.83%-1.09 -3.6 7
1958-11-30 Cherno More W 1-043.9 1432 1483 54.42% 26.90% 18.67%+0.41 +4.0 9
1958-11-30 @ Beroe L 0-143.9 1483 1432 18.67% 26.90% 54.42%-0.41 -4.0 6
1958-11-30 Levski Sofia W 1-052.7 1452 1606 42.57% 27.30% 30.13%-0.11 +5.8 10
1958-11-30 @ Dunav Ruse L 0-152.7 1606 1452 30.13% 27.30% 42.57%+0.11 -5.8 11
1958-11-30 Botev Plovdiv W 3-147.1 1591 1474 68.10% 23.64% 8.25%+1.26 +3.0 16
1958-11-30 @ Slavia Sofia L 1-347.1 1474 1591 8.25% 23.64% 68.10%-1.26 -3.0 10
1958-11-30 Lokomotiv Sofia W 5-249.8 1526 1543 57.65% 26.49% 15.86%+0.58 +6.9 10
1958-11-30 @ Spartak Plovdiv L 2-549.8 1543 1526 15.86% 26.49% 57.65%-0.58 -7.0 9
1958-11-30 Minyor Pernik W 2-043.8 1542 1524 60.75% 25.91% 13.34%+0.76 +5.6 12
1958-11-30 @ Spartak Varna L 0-243.8 1524 1542 13.34% 25.91% 60.75%-0.76 -5.6 7
1958-12-28 CSKA Sofia D 1-170.5 1533 1703 40.39% 27.23% 32.38%-0.19 -0.3 11
1958-12-28 @ Spartak Plovdiv D 1-170.5 1703 1533 32.38% 27.23% 40.39%+0.19 +0.3 20
1959-03-07 Lokomotiv Sofia L 2-469.9 1595 1536 63.93% 25.10% 10.97%+0.96 -15.8 16
1959-03-07 @ Slavia Sofia W 4-269.9 1536 1595 10.97% 25.10% 63.93%-0.96 +15.8 11
1959-03-08 Botev Plovdiv L 1-260.4 1436 1471 56.05% 26.72% 17.23%+0.49 -9.0 9
1959-03-08 @ Beroe W 2-160.4 1471 1436 17.23% 26.72% 56.05%-0.49 +9.0 12
1959-03-08 Levski Sofia L 0-168.8 1703 1600 67.12% 24.03% 8.85%+1.19 -11.3 20
1959-03-08 @ CSKA Sofia W 1-068.8 1600 1703 8.85% 24.03% 67.12%-1.19 +11.3 13
1959-03-08 Cherno More W 2-040.2 1458 1479 57.30% 26.54% 16.15%+0.56 +6.7 12
1959-03-08 @ Dunav Ruse L 0-240.2 1479 1458 16.15% 26.54% 57.30%-0.56 -6.7 6
1959-03-08 Minyor Pernik W 2-043.4 1532 1518 60.44% 25.98% 13.58%+0.74 +5.7 13
1959-03-08 @ Spartak Plovdiv L 0-243.4 1518 1532 13.58% 25.98% 60.44%-0.74 -5.7 7
1959-03-08 Spartak Pleven D 2-272.8 1547 1554 58.65% 26.33% 15.03%+0.64 -1.3 13
1959-03-08 @ Spartak Varna D 2-272.8 1554 1547 15.03% 26.33% 58.65%-0.64 +1.3 12
1959-03-15 Dunav Ruse L 2-462.6 1480 1464 60.51% 25.96% 13.52%+0.74 -15.1 12
1959-03-15 @ Botev Plovdiv W 4-262.6 1464 1480 13.52% 25.96% 60.51%-0.74 +15.1 14
1959-03-15 CSKA Sofia L 0-156.9 1472 1692 33.67% 26.84% 39.49%-0.44 -6.3 6
1959-03-15 @ Cherno More W 1-056.9 1692 1472 39.49% 26.84% 33.67%+0.44 +6.3 22
1959-03-15 Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-160.4 1512 1552 55.55% 26.78% 17.68%+0.47 -9.5 7
1959-03-15 @ Minyor Pernik W 1-060.4 1552 1512 17.68% 26.78% 55.55%-0.47 +9.5 13
1959-03-15 Beroe W 1-042.4 1579 1427 70.26% 22.70% 7.04%+1.43 +1.6 18
1959-03-15 @ Slavia Sofia L 0-142.4 1427 1579 7.04% 22.70% 70.26%-1.43 -1.6 9
1959-03-15 Spartak Plovdiv L 1-364.5 1555 1538 60.66% 25.93% 13.41%+0.75 -16.9 12
1959-03-15 @ Spartak Pleven W 3-164.5 1538 1555 13.41% 25.93% 60.66%-0.75 +16.9 15
1959-03-21 Botev Plovdiv W 6-142.9 1698 1465 74.96% 20.22% 4.81%+1.84 +3.7 24
1959-03-21 @ CSKA Sofia L 1-642.9 1465 1698 4.81% 20.22% 74.96%-1.84 -3.7 12
1959-03-22 Beroe W 2-037.2 1480 1425 63.61% 25.19% 11.19%+0.94 +4.8 16
1959-03-22 @ Dunav Ruse L 0-237.2 1425 1480 11.19% 25.19% 63.61%-0.94 -4.8 9
1959-03-22 Spartak Pleven L 0-163.0 1562 1538 61.20% 25.81% 12.99%+0.79 -10.4 13
1959-03-22 @ Lokomotiv Sofia W 1-063.0 1538 1562 12.99% 25.81% 61.20%-0.79 +10.4 14
1959-03-22 Slavia Sofia W 2-047.2 1503 1580 51.67% 27.13% 21.20%+0.28 +8.4 9
1959-03-22 @ Minyor Pernik L 0-247.2 1580 1503 21.20% 27.13% 51.67%-0.28 -8.3 18
1959-03-22 Levski Sofia W 1-052.7 1555 1611 53.91% 26.95% 19.14%+0.38 +4.1 17
1959-03-22 @ Spartak Plovdiv L 0-152.7 1611 1555 19.14% 26.95% 53.91%-0.38 -4.1 13
1959-03-22 Cherno More L 0-257.2 1546 1466 65.49% 24.61% 9.90%+1.07 -20.9 13
1959-03-22 @ Spartak Varna W 2-057.2 1466 1546 9.90% 24.61% 65.49%-1.07 +20.9 8
1959-03-29 Spartak Plovdiv L 0-255.2 1487 1559 52.27% 27.09% 20.64%+0.31 -16.9 8
1959-03-29 @ Cherno More W 2-055.2 1559 1487 20.64% 27.09% 52.27%-0.31 +17.0 19
1959-03-29 Minyor Pernik D 0-061.3 1548 1511 62.32% 25.54% 12.14%+0.86 -2.3 15
1959-03-29 @ Spartak Pleven D 0-061.3 1511 1548 12.14% 25.54% 62.32%-0.86 +2.3 10
1959-04-05 CSKA Sofia D 1-168.1 1421 1702 26.09% 25.95% 47.97%-0.75 +0.8 10
1959-04-05 @ Beroe D 1-168.1 1702 1421 47.97% 25.95% 26.09%+0.75 -0.8 25
1959-04-05 Spartak Varna L 0-253.2 1461 1525 53.09% 27.03% 19.89%+0.34 -17.2 12
1959-04-05 @ Botev Plovdiv W 2-053.2 1525 1461 19.89% 27.03% 53.09%-0.34 +17.2 15
1959-04-10 Lokomotiv Sofia W 1-049.5 1607 1551 63.74% 25.16% 11.10%+0.95 +2.5 15
1959-04-10 @ Levski Sofia L 0-149.5 1551 1607 11.10% 25.16% 63.74%-0.95 -2.5 13
1959-04-10 Dunav Ruse W 3-039.7 1572 1484 66.05% 24.42% 9.53%+1.11 +5.9 20
1959-04-10 @ Slavia Sofia L 0-339.7 1484 1572 9.53% 24.42% 66.05%-1.11 -5.9 16
1959-04-11 Dunav Ruse W 2-043.2 1701 1478 74.37% 20.57% 5.06%+1.79 +2.0 27
1959-04-11 @ CSKA Sofia L 0-243.2 1478 1701 5.06% 20.57% 74.37%-1.79 -2.0 16
1959-04-12 Cherno More W 3-038.6 1549 1470 65.40% 24.64% 9.96%+1.06 +6.1 15
1959-04-12 @ Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-338.6 1470 1549 9.96% 24.64% 65.40%-1.06 -6.2 8
1959-04-12 Levski Sofia D 0-062.9 1513 1609 49.60% 27.24% 23.16%+0.18 -1.1 11
1959-04-12 @ Minyor Pernik D 0-062.9 1609 1513 23.16% 27.24% 49.60%-0.18 +1.1 16
1959-04-12 Slavia Sofia W 2-156.3 1546 1578 56.34% 26.68% 16.98%+0.51 +3.5 17
1959-04-12 @ Spartak Pleven L 1-256.3 1578 1546 16.98% 26.68% 56.34%-0.51 -3.5 20
1959-04-12 Botev Plovdiv D 1-165.4 1576 1444 69.04% 23.25% 7.71%+1.34 -2.6 20
1959-04-12 @ Spartak Plovdiv D 1-165.4 1444 1576 7.71% 23.25% 69.04%-1.34 +2.6 13
1959-04-12 Beroe W 1-041.5 1542 1421 68.29% 23.57% 8.14%+1.28 +1.8 17
1959-04-12 @ Spartak Varna L 0-141.5 1421 1542 8.14% 23.57% 68.29%-1.28 -1.8 10
1959-04-18 Spartak Pleven W 4-043.2 1611 1550 64.12% 25.04% 10.84%+0.98 +8.7 18
1959-04-18 @ Levski Sofia L 0-443.2 1550 1611 10.84% 25.04% 64.12%-0.98 -8.7 17
1959-04-19 Spartak Plovdiv W 3-044.5 1420 1573 42.54% 27.30% 30.16%-0.11 +15.9 12
1959-04-19 @ Beroe L 0-344.5 1573 1420 30.16% 27.30% 42.54%+0.11 -15.9 20
1959-04-19 Lokomotiv Sofia D 0-058.6 1446 1555 48.15% 27.29% 24.56%+0.12 -1.0 14
1959-04-19 @ Botev Plovdiv D 0-058.6 1555 1446 24.56% 27.29% 48.15%-0.12 +1.0 16
1959-04-19 Minyor Pernik L 2-367.2 1464 1512 54.71% 26.87% 18.42%+0.42 -8.4 8
1959-04-19 @ Cherno More W 3-267.2 1512 1464 18.42% 26.87% 54.71%-0.42 +8.4 13
1959-04-19 Spartak Varna W 1-048.3 1476 1544 52.72% 27.06% 20.23%+0.33 +4.3 18
1959-04-19 @ Dunav Ruse L 0-148.3 1544 1476 20.23% 27.06% 52.72%-0.33 -4.3 17
1959-04-19 CSKA Sofia D 0-066.4 1574 1703 45.74% 27.32% 26.93%+0.02 -0.8 21
1959-04-19 @ Slavia Sofia D 0-066.4 1703 1574 26.93% 27.32% 45.74%-0.02 +0.8 28
1959-04-22 Spartak Varna D 0-064.7 1619 1540 65.48% 24.61% 9.90%+1.07 -2.6 19
1959-04-22 @ Levski Sofia D 0-064.7 1540 1619 9.90% 24.61% 65.48%-1.07 +2.6 18
1959-04-25 Beroe W 1-042.5 1556 1435 68.26% 23.58% 8.16%+1.27 +1.8 18
1959-04-25 @ Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-142.5 1435 1556 8.16% 23.58% 68.26%-1.27 -1.8 12
1959-04-26 Slavia Sofia D 0-065.3 1617 1574 62.78% 25.42% 11.80%+0.89 -2.3 20
1959-04-26 @ Levski Sofia D 0-065.3 1574 1617 11.80% 25.42% 62.78%-0.89 +2.3 22
1959-04-26 Botev Plovdiv L 1-360.9 1521 1445 65.19% 24.71% 10.10%+1.05 -18.0 13
1959-04-26 @ Minyor Pernik W 3-160.9 1445 1521 10.10% 24.71% 65.19%-1.05 +18.0 16
1959-04-26 Cherno More W 3-145.3 1541 1456 65.89% 24.47% 9.64%+1.10 +3.5 19
1959-04-26 @ Spartak Pleven L 1-345.3 1456 1541 9.64% 24.47% 65.89%-1.10 -3.5 8
1959-04-26 Dunav Ruse D 0-060.8 1557 1481 65.29% 24.68% 10.03%+1.06 -2.5 21
1959-04-26 @ Spartak Plovdiv D 0-060.8 1481 1557 10.03% 24.68% 65.29%-1.06 +2.5 19
1959-04-26 CSKA Sofia W 2-163.7 1542 1704 41.55% 27.27% 31.18%-0.15 +5.6 20
1959-04-26 @ Spartak Varna L 1-263.7 1704 1542 31.18% 27.27% 41.55%+0.15 -5.6 28
1959-04-29 Levski Sofia W 2-158.9 1452 1614 41.41% 27.27% 31.33%-0.15 +5.6 10
1959-04-29 @ Cherno More L 1-258.9 1614 1452 31.33% 27.27% 41.41%+0.15 -5.6 20
1959-04-29 Spartak Plovdiv D 0-067.3 1698 1555 69.72% 22.95% 7.33%+1.39 -2.9 29
1959-04-29 @ CSKA Sofia D 0-067.3 1555 1698 7.33% 22.95% 69.72%-1.39 +2.9 22
1959-05-01 Spartak Varna W 2-045.5 1576 1548 61.57% 25.73% 12.71%+0.81 +5.4 24
1959-05-01 @ Slavia Sofia L 0-245.5 1548 1576 12.71% 25.73% 61.57%-0.81 -5.4 20
1959-05-03 Minyor Pernik W 1-045.2 1434 1503 52.58% 27.07% 20.35%+0.32 +4.3 14
1959-05-03 @ Beroe L 0-145.2 1503 1434 20.35% 27.07% 52.58%-0.32 -4.3 13
1959-05-03 Spartak Pleven W 4-147.1 1463 1544 51.25% 27.16% 21.59%+0.26 +10.4 18
1959-05-03 @ Botev Plovdiv L 1-447.1 1544 1463 21.59% 27.16% 51.25%-0.26 -10.4 19
1959-05-03 Lokomotiv Sofia W 2-154.8 1483 1558 51.99% 27.11% 20.90%+0.29 +4.1 21
1959-05-03 @ Dunav Ruse L 1-254.8 1558 1483 20.90% 27.11% 51.99%-0.29 -4.1 18
1959-05-16 Botev Plovdiv W 4-144.4 1609 1474 69.22% 23.17% 7.61%+1.35 +3.9 22
1959-05-16 @ Levski Sofia L 1-444.4 1474 1609 7.61% 23.17% 69.22%-1.35 -3.9 18
1959-05-17 Slavia Sofia D 0-060.0 1458 1581 46.36% 27.32% 26.32%+0.04 -0.8 11
1959-05-17 @ Cherno More D 0-060.0 1581 1458 26.32% 27.32% 46.36%-0.04 +0.8 25
1959-05-17 CSKA Sofia W 2-163.0 1553 1695 44.10% 27.32% 28.58%-0.05 +5.3 20
1959-05-17 @ Lokomotiv Sofia L 1-263.0 1695 1553 28.58% 27.32% 44.10%+0.05 -5.3 29
1959-05-17 Dunav Ruse W 2-150.3 1498 1487 60.17% 26.04% 13.79%+0.72 +2.9 15
1959-05-17 @ Minyor Pernik L 1-250.3 1487 1498 13.79% 26.04% 60.17%-0.72 -2.9 21
1959-05-17 Beroe W 2-147.9 1534 1438 66.64% 24.21% 9.15%+1.15 +1.9 21
1959-05-17 @ Spartak Pleven L 1-247.9 1438 1534 9.15% 24.21% 66.64%-1.15 -2.0 14
1959-05-17 Spartak Varna W 1-048.8 1558 1543 60.52% 25.96% 13.51%+0.75 +3.0 24
1959-05-17 @ Spartak Plovdiv L 0-148.8 1543 1558 13.51% 25.96% 60.52%-0.75 -3.0 20
1959-06-06 Minyor Pernik D 2-276.8 1690 1501 72.46% 21.61% 5.93%+1.62 -2.1 30
1959-06-06 @ CSKA Sofia D 2-276.8 1501 1690 5.93% 21.61% 72.46%-1.62 +2.1 16
1959-06-07 Levski Sofia W 1-053.3 1436 1613 39.48% 27.20% 33.32%-0.22 +6.2 16
1959-06-07 @ Beroe L 0-153.3 1613 1436 33.32% 27.20% 39.48%+0.22 -6.2 22
1959-06-07 Cherno More W 2-148.1 1470 1457 60.32% 26.01% 13.68%+0.73 +2.9 20
1959-06-07 @ Botev Plovdiv L 1-248.1 1457 1470 13.68% 26.01% 60.32%-0.73 -2.9 11
1959-06-07 Spartak Pleven D 1-164.3 1484 1536 54.36% 26.91% 18.73%+0.41 -1.4 22
1959-06-07 @ Dunav Ruse D 1-164.3 1536 1484 18.73% 26.91% 54.36%-0.41 +1.4 22
1959-06-07 Spartak Plovdiv W 2-046.3 1582 1561 61.01% 25.85% 13.13%+0.77 +5.5 27
1959-06-07 @ Slavia Sofia L 0-246.3 1561 1582 13.13% 25.85% 61.01%-0.77 -5.5 24
1959-06-07 Lokomotiv Sofia D 1-167.2 1540 1559 57.50% 26.51% 15.99%+0.57 -1.6 21
1959-06-07 @ Spartak Varna D 1-167.2 1559 1540 15.99% 26.51% 57.50%-0.57 +1.6 21
1959-06-13 Spartak Plovdiv W 5-250.7 1560 1555 59.66% 26.14% 14.20%+0.69 +6.3 23
1959-06-13 @ Lokomotiv Sofia L 2-550.7 1555 1560 14.20% 26.14% 59.66%-0.69 -6.3 24
1959-06-13 CSKA Sofia L 0-161.3 1537 1688 42.99% 27.30% 29.71%-0.09 -7.6 22
1959-06-13 @ Spartak Pleven W 1-061.3 1688 1537 29.71% 27.30% 42.99%+0.09 +7.6 32
1959-06-14 Slavia Sofia W 1-051.3 1473 1588 47.39% 27.31% 25.31%+0.09 +5.1 22
1959-06-14 @ Botev Plovdiv L 0-151.3 1588 1473 25.31% 27.31% 47.39%-0.09 -5.1 27
1959-06-14 Beroe L 0-349.7 1454 1442 60.23% 26.02% 13.75%+0.73 -28.1 11
1959-06-14 @ Cherno More W 3-049.7 1442 1454 13.75% 26.02% 60.23%-0.73 +28.1 18
1959-06-14 Dunav Ruse W 5-040.3 1607 1483 68.47% 23.49% 8.04%+1.29 +8.0 24
1959-06-14 @ Levski Sofia L 0-540.3 1483 1607 8.04% 23.49% 68.47%-1.29 -8.0 22
1959-06-14 Spartak Varna W 5-145.3 1503 1538 56.05% 26.72% 17.23%+0.49 +11.1 18
1959-06-14 @ Minyor Pernik L 1-545.3 1538 1503 17.23% 26.72% 56.05%-0.49 -11.1 21

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1959-03-08 8.85% Levski Sofia 1600 1 @ CSKA Sofia 1703 0
2 1959-03-22 9.90% Cherno More 1466 2 @ Spartak Varna 1546 0
3 1959-04-26 10.10% Botev Plovdiv 1445 3 @ Minyor Pernik 1521 1
4 1959-03-07 10.97% Lokomotiv Sofia 1536 4 @ Slavia Sofia 1595 2
5 1958-11-23 12.14% Spartak Varna 1522 2 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1559 0
6 1958-08-24 12.64% Slavia Sofia 1547 2 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1576 0
7 1959-03-22 12.99% Spartak Pleven 1538 1 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1562 0
8 1959-03-15 13.41% Spartak Plovdiv 1538 3 @ Spartak Pleven 1555 1
9 1959-03-15 13.52% Dunav Ruse 1464 4 @ Botev Plovdiv 1480 2
10 1959-06-14 13.75% Beroe 1442 3 @ Cherno More 1454 0
11 1958-08-23 16.24% CSKA Sofia 1638 2 @ Levski Sofia 1616 0
12 1958-10-26 16.65% Spartak Pleven 1521 1 @ Cherno More 1494 0
13 1959-03-08 17.23% Botev Plovdiv 1471 2 @ Beroe 1436 1
14 1959-03-15 17.68% Lokomotiv Sofia 1552 1 @ Minyor Pernik 1512 0
15 1959-04-19 18.42% Minyor Pernik 1512 3 @ Cherno More 1464 2
16 1958-11-03 19.09% Slavia Sofia 1583 1 @ Spartak Varna 1528 0
17 1959-04-05 19.89% Spartak Varna 1525 2 @ Botev Plovdiv 1461 0
18 1959-03-29 20.64% Spartak Plovdiv 1559 2 @ Cherno More 1487 0
19 1958-10-19 21.06% Levski Sofia 1606 1 @ Spartak Pleven 1530 0
20 1958-11-16 23.15% Spartak Pleven 1540 1 @ Beroe 1444 0
21 1959-06-13 29.71% CSKA Sofia 1688 1 @ Spartak Pleven 1537 0
22 1958-11-11 30.31% CSKA Sofia 1695 1 @ Minyor Pernik 1540 0
23 1958-09-07 30.70% CSKA Sofia 1659 4 @ Botev Plovdiv 1501 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1959-06-14 28.12 Beroe 3 1442 13.75% @ Cherno More 0 1454 60.23% 26.02%
2 1958-09-07 26.63 CSKA Sofia 4 1659 30.70% @ Botev Plovdiv 0 1501 42.02% 27.28%
3 1959-03-22 20.92 Cherno More 2 1466 9.90% @ Spartak Varna 0 1546 65.49% 24.61%
4 1958-11-23 19.99 Spartak Varna 2 1522 12.14% @ Lokomotiv Sofia 0 1559 62.32% 25.54%
5 1958-08-24 19.79 Slavia Sofia 2 1547 12.64% @ Lokomotiv Sofia 0 1576 61.66% 25.71%
6 1958-08-23 18.44 CSKA Sofia 2 1638 16.24% @ Levski Sofia 0 1616 57.20% 26.56%
7 1959-04-26 18.04 Botev Plovdiv 3 1445 10.10% @ Minyor Pernik 1 1521 65.19% 24.71%
8 1959-04-05 17.20 Spartak Varna 2 1525 19.89% @ Botev Plovdiv 0 1461 53.09% 27.03%
9 1959-03-29 16.95 Spartak Plovdiv 2 1559 20.64% @ Cherno More 0 1487 52.27% 27.09%
10 1959-03-15 16.88 Spartak Plovdiv 3 1538 13.41% @ Spartak Pleven 1 1555 60.66% 25.93%
11 1959-04-19 15.90 @ Beroe 3 1420 42.54% Spartak Plovdiv 0 1573 30.16% 27.30%
12 1959-03-07 15.85 Lokomotiv Sofia 4 1536 10.97% @ Slavia Sofia 2 1595 63.93% 25.10%
13 1959-03-15 15.07 Dunav Ruse 4 1464 13.52% @ Botev Plovdiv 2 1480 60.51% 25.96%
14 1958-11-16 12.58 @ Dunav Ruse 3 1446 50.62% Minyor Pernik 0 1533 22.19% 27.19%
15 1959-03-08 11.34 Levski Sofia 1 1600 8.85% @ CSKA Sofia 0 1703 67.12% 24.03%
16 1959-06-14 11.13 @ Minyor Pernik 5 1503 56.05% Spartak Varna 1 1538 17.23% 26.72%
17 1958-08-30 10.60 @ Spartak Plovdiv 5 1528 57.16% Spartak Pleven 1 1551 16.28% 26.56%
18 1959-03-22 10.43 Spartak Pleven 1 1538 12.99% @ Lokomotiv Sofia 0 1562 61.20% 25.81%
19 1959-05-03 10.38 @ Botev Plovdiv 4 1463 51.25% Spartak Pleven 1 1544 21.59% 27.16%
20 1958-10-26 9.71 Spartak Pleven 1 1521 16.65% @ Cherno More 0 1494 56.73% 26.62%
21 1959-03-15 9.52 Lokomotiv Sofia 1 1552 17.68% @ Minyor Pernik 0 1512 55.55% 26.78%
22 1958-11-03 9.26 Slavia Sofia 1 1583 19.09% @ Spartak Varna 0 1528 53.97% 26.95%
23 1959-03-08 9.05 Botev Plovdiv 2 1471 17.23% @ Beroe 1 1436 56.05% 26.72%
24 1958-11-04 8.94 @ Spartak Pleven 4 1531 63.77% Botev Plovdiv 0 1475 11.08% 25.15%
25 1958-10-19 8.92 Levski Sofia 1 1606 21.06% @ Spartak Pleven 0 1530 51.82% 27.12%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1959-06-06 76.8 @ CSKA Sofia 2 1690 72.46% Minyor Pernik 2 1501 5.93% 21.61%
2 1959-03-08 72.8 @ Spartak Varna 2 1547 58.65% Spartak Pleven 2 1554 15.03% 26.33%
3 1958-08-24 72.4 @ Spartak Pleven 2 1553 61.07% Spartak Varna 2 1531 13.09% 25.84%
4 1958-12-28 70.5 @ Spartak Plovdiv 1 1533 40.39% CSKA Sofia 1 1703 32.38% 27.23%
5 1959-03-07 69.9 Lokomotiv Sofia 4 1536 10.97% @ Slavia Sofia 2 1595 63.93% 25.10%
6 1958-10-19 69.1 @ Spartak Plovdiv 2 1540 66.91% Beroe 2 1440 8.98% 24.11%
7 1959-03-08 68.8 Levski Sofia 1 1600 8.85% @ CSKA Sofia 0 1703 67.12% 24.03%
8 1959-04-05 68.1 @ Beroe 1 1421 26.09% CSKA Sofia 1 1702 47.97% 25.95%
9 1958-11-29 67.4 @ CSKA Sofia 0 1706 70.45% Spartak Pleven 0 1551 6.93% 22.61%
10 1959-04-29 67.3 @ CSKA Sofia 0 1698 69.72% Spartak Plovdiv 0 1555 7.33% 22.95%
11 1958-11-15 67.2 @ Slavia Sofia 1 1592 67.58% Cherno More 1 1483 8.57% 23.85%
12 1959-04-19 67.2 Minyor Pernik 3 1512 18.42% @ Cherno More 2 1464 54.71% 26.87%
13 1959-06-07 67.2 @ Spartak Varna 1 1540 57.50% Lokomotiv Sofia 1 1559 15.99% 26.51%
14 1958-08-24 66.7 @ Minyor Pernik 1 1551 61.27% Spartak Plovdiv 1 1526 12.93% 25.80%
15 1959-04-19 66.4 @ Slavia Sofia 0 1574 45.74% CSKA Sofia 0 1703 26.93% 27.32%
16 1959-04-12 65.4 @ Spartak Plovdiv 1 1576 69.04% Botev Plovdiv 1 1444 7.71% 23.25%
17 1959-04-26 65.3 @ Levski Sofia 0 1617 62.78% Slavia Sofia 0 1574 11.80% 25.42%
18 1958-09-10 65.1 CSKA Sofia 3 1686 43.09% @ Dunav Ruse 2 1441 30.38% 26.53%
19 1959-04-22 64.7 @ Levski Sofia 0 1619 65.48% Spartak Varna 0 1540 9.90% 24.61%
20 1959-03-15 64.5 Spartak Plovdiv 3 1538 13.41% @ Spartak Pleven 1 1555 60.66% 25.93%
21 1958-09-14 64.4 @ Spartak Varna 1 1532 63.88% Botev Plovdiv 1 1475 11.00% 25.11%
22 1959-06-07 64.3 @ Dunav Ruse 1 1484 54.36% Spartak Pleven 1 1536 18.73% 26.91%
23 1958-09-21 64.1 @ Botev Plovdiv 1 1477 53.34% Spartak Plovdiv 1 1539 19.65% 27.00%
24 1958-08-30 63.7 @ Beroe 1 1439 45.83% Slavia Sofia 1 1567 26.84% 27.32%
25 1959-04-26 63.7 @ Spartak Varna 2 1542 41.55% CSKA Sofia 1 1704 31.18% 27.27%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1959-03-22 37.2 @ Dunav Ruse 2 1480 63.61% Beroe 0 1425 11.19% 25.19%
2 1958-11-04 38.2 @ Spartak Pleven 4 1531 63.77% Botev Plovdiv 0 1475 11.08% 25.15%
3 1959-04-12 38.6 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 3 1549 65.40% Cherno More 0 1470 9.96% 24.64%
4 1959-04-10 39.7 @ Slavia Sofia 3 1572 66.05% Dunav Ruse 0 1484 9.53% 24.42%
5 1958-11-29 39.8 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 2 1539 65.71% Dunav Ruse 0 1456 9.75% 24.54%
6 1959-03-08 40.2 @ Dunav Ruse 2 1458 57.30% Cherno More 0 1479 16.15% 26.54%
7 1959-06-14 40.3 @ Levski Sofia 5 1607 68.47% Dunav Ruse 0 1483 8.04% 23.49%
8 1958-11-04 40.5 @ Levski Sofia 2 1608 70.85% Beroe 0 1447 6.73% 22.42%
9 1958-11-16 41.5 @ Dunav Ruse 3 1446 50.62% Minyor Pernik 0 1533 22.19% 27.19%
10 1959-04-12 41.5 @ Spartak Varna 1 1542 68.29% Beroe 0 1421 8.14% 23.57%
11 1958-09-07 41.6 @ Beroe 1 1438 58.69% Dunav Ruse 0 1444 14.99% 26.32%
12 1959-03-15 42.4 @ Slavia Sofia 1 1579 70.26% Beroe 0 1427 7.04% 22.70%
13 1959-04-25 42.5 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1 1556 68.26% Beroe 0 1435 8.16% 23.58%
14 1959-03-21 42.9 @ CSKA Sofia 6 1698 74.96% Botev Plovdiv 1 1465 4.81% 20.22%
15 1958-09-07 43.0 @ Levski Sofia 3 1599 64.04% Spartak Plovdiv 0 1539 10.89% 25.07%
16 1959-04-11 43.2 @ CSKA Sofia 2 1701 74.37% Dunav Ruse 0 1478 5.06% 20.57%
17 1959-04-18 43.2 @ Levski Sofia 4 1611 64.12% Spartak Pleven 0 1550 10.84% 25.04%
18 1959-03-08 43.4 @ Spartak Plovdiv 2 1532 60.44% Minyor Pernik 0 1518 13.58% 25.98%
19 1958-10-18 43.8 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 4 1562 65.99% Botev Plovdiv 1 1476 9.57% 24.44%
20 1958-11-29 43.8 @ Minyor Pernik 3 1520 65.83% Beroe 1 1436 9.68% 24.50%
21 1958-11-30 43.8 @ Spartak Varna 2 1542 60.75% Minyor Pernik 0 1524 13.34% 25.91%
22 1958-08-24 43.9 @ Botev Plovdiv 3 1496 63.49% Beroe 1 1443 11.28% 25.23%
23 1958-11-30 43.9 @ Beroe 1 1432 54.42% Cherno More 0 1483 18.67% 26.90%
24 1959-05-16 44.4 @ Levski Sofia 4 1609 69.22% Botev Plovdiv 1 1474 7.61% 23.17%
25 1959-04-19 44.5 @ Beroe 3 1420 42.54% Spartak Plovdiv 0 1573 30.16% 27.30%