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2018-19 Prva HNL Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Dinamo Zagreb

92 points · 20th Title

Last Title: 2017-18

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Gorica

16.12 points above expected

59 points · 42.88 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Rudes

11.79 points below expected

14 points · 25.79 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Dinamo Zagreb Champion 36 29 5 2 92 74 20 +54 77.27 +14.73
2 Rijeka 36 19 10 7 67 70 36 +34 68.86 -1.86
3 Osijek 36 18 8 10 62 61 36 +25 62.11 -0.11
4 Hajduk Split 36 17 11 8 62 59 39 +20 59.66 +2.34
5 Gorica 36 17 8 11 59 57 46 +11 42.88 +16.12
6 Lokomotiva Zagreb 36 13 10 13 49 51 43 +8 59.15 -10.15
7 Slaven Belupo 36 7 16 13 37 41 53 -12 41.99 -4.99
8 Inter Zapresic 36 9 4 23 31 40 84 -44 31.22 -0.22
9 Istra 1961 36 6 7 23 25 31 73 -42 30.91 -5.91
10 Rudes 36 3 5 28 14 26 80 -54 25.79 -11.79

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Gorica 59 42.88 +16.12
2 Dinamo Zagreb 92 77.27 +14.73
3 Hajduk Split 62 59.66 +2.34
4 Osijek 62 62.11 -0.11
5 Inter Zapresic 31 31.22 -0.22

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rudes 14 25.79 -11.79
2 Lokomotiva Zagreb 49 59.15 -10.15
3 Istra 1961 25 30.91 -5.91
4 Slaven Belupo 37 41.99 -4.99
5 Rijeka 67 68.86 -1.86

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gorica 3 Aug 19 – Sep 2 1 in 68
2 Rijeka 5 Nov 5 – Dec 8 1 in 46
3 Lokomotiva Zagreb 3 Sep 16 – Sep 30 1 in 15
4 Dinamo Zagreb 7 Dec 2 – Feb 24 1 in 12
5 Slaven Belupo 2 Apr 28 – May 5 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rudes 8 Oct 1 – Dec 1 1 in 63
2 Istra 1961 5 Mar 1 – Apr 4 1 in 33
3 Inter Zapresic 4 Sep 8 – Sep 29 1 in 18
4 Gorica 3 Nov 24 – Dec 9 1 in 13
5 Hajduk Split 2 Oct 7 – Oct 21 1 in 5

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Slaven Belupo 6 Nov 25 – Feb 9 1 in 63
2 Hajduk Split 8 Feb 3 – Mar 30 1 in 16
3 Gorica 6 Apr 6 – May 10 1 in 13
4 Rijeka 8 Oct 19 – Jan 30 1 in 10
5 Lokomotiva Zagreb 5 Feb 15 – Mar 16 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rijeka 6 Aug 26 – Oct 6 1 in 148
2 Rudes 23 Jul 27 – Mar 2 1 in 103
3 Hajduk Split 6 Jul 29 – Sep 1 1 in 60
4 Slaven Belupo 9 Oct 21 – Feb 2 1 in 30
5 Lokomotiva Zagreb 6 Apr 26 – May 26 1 in 19

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Dinamo Zagreb 1979 92 +32 13 11.0 +2.0
Rijeka 1802 67 +17 8 8.7 -0.7
Hajduk Split 1787 62 +17 12 10.1 +1.9
Osijek 1777 62 +31 9 8.8 +0.2
Gorica 1720 59 +26 10 7.7 +2.3
Lokomotiva Zagreb 1627 49 -85 1 5.5 -4.5
Slaven Belupo 1578 37 +24 8 5.1 +2.9
Inter Zapresic 1402 31 -40 3 3.9 -0.9
Istra 1961 1417 25 -29 3 4.3 -1.3
Rudes 1388 14 +7 4 4.4 -0.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team DZ GOR HS IZ I1 LZ OSI RIJ RUD SB
Dinamo Zagreb —
4-0-0
8.94
3-1-0
7.90
4-0-0
9.90
4-0-0
9.55
3-1-0
7.78
3-0-1
7.36
1-2-1
6.98
3-1-0
9.73
4-0-0
9.12
Gorica
0-0-4
2.20
 —
2-2-0
3.44
1-2-1
7.03
3-0-1
7.35
1-1-2
4.31
2-1-1
3.52
3-0-1
2.42
3-1-0
7.77
2-1-1
5.63
Hajduk Split
0-1-3
3.17
0-2-2
7.63
 —
3-1-0
8.49
4-0-0
8.81
2-1-1
5.40
1-1-2
5.36
1-3-0
4.15
4-0-0
9.05
2-2-0
7.64
Inter Zapresic
0-0-4
1.41
1-2-1
4.01
0-1-3
2.62
 —
3-0-1
5.30
2-0-2
2.54
0-0-4
2.25
0-0-4
2.04
2-0-2
6.32
1-1-2
4.30
Istra 1961
0-0-4
1.70
1-0-3
3.72
0-0-4
2.35
1-0-3
5.71
 —
0-2-2
2.53
1-1-2
2.24
0-1-3
1.99
3-0-1
6.05
0-3-1
4.47
Lokomotiva Zagreb
0-1-3
3.29
2-1-1
6.73
1-1-2
5.62
2-0-2
8.58
2-2-0
8.59
 —
0-2-2
5.14
1-0-3
4.06
3-1-0
8.89
2-2-0
7.46
Osijek
1-0-3
3.69
1-1-2
7.53
2-1-1
5.66
4-0-0
8.90
2-1-1
8.90
2-2-0
5.87
 —
1-1-2
4.77
4-0-0
9.08
1-2-1
8.08
Rijeka
1-2-1
4.05
1-0-3
8.71
0-3-1
6.88
4-0-0
9.13
3-1-0
9.18
3-0-1
6.98
2-1-1
6.24
 —
4-0-0
9.46
1-3-0
8.75
Rudes
0-1-3
1.56
0-1-3
3.32
0-0-4
2.11
2-0-2
4.69
1-0-3
4.97
0-1-3
2.27
0-0-4
2.10
0-0-4
1.77
 —
0-2-2
3.43
Slaven Belupo
0-0-4
2.06
1-1-2
5.39
0-2-2
3.42
2-1-1
6.73
1-3-0
6.55
0-2-2
3.60
1-2-1
3.00
0-3-1
2.38
2-2-0
7.62
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.96 +14.1
Allowed 0.88 -10.3
Differential 0.95 +6.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%8.33%6.67%4.72%1.67%0.83%27.22%
18.33%12.78%5.83%4.72%1.94%0.28%33.89%
26.67%5.83%3.89%1.67%0.56%0.56%19.17%
34.72%4.72%1.67%1.67%0.28%0.28%13.33%
41.67%1.94%0.56%0.28%——4.44%
5+0.83%0.28%0.56%0.28%——1.94%
Total27.22%33.89%19.17%13.33%4.44%1.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.42 +0.00
SD 1.32 1.32 2.02
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%————8.33%
125.00%8.33%2.78%———36.11%
211.11%8.33%————19.44%
313.89%8.33%2.78%———25.00%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+——2.78%2.78%——5.56%
Total58.33%30.56%8.33%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.06 0.56 +1.50
SD 1.47 0.77 1.32
CV 0.72 1.39 —
Max 7 3 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%11.11%2.78%——22.22%
113.89%5.56%5.56%2.78%——27.78%
28.33%2.78%11.11%2.78%——25.00%
35.56%8.33%2.78%2.78%——19.44%
4—2.78%—2.78%——5.56%
5+———————
Total30.56%25.00%30.56%13.89%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.28 +0.31
SD 1.20 1.06 1.60
CV 0.76 0.83 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%8.33%2.78%——27.78%
15.56%13.89%—2.78%2.78%—25.00%
25.56%5.56%5.56%———16.67%
35.56%8.33%2.78%———16.67%
42.78%8.33%2.78%———13.89%
5+———————
Total30.56%41.67%19.44%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.08 +0.56
SD 1.42 1.00 1.81
CV 0.86 0.92 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%2.78%8.33%11.11%5.56%5.56%36.11%
18.33%—8.33%13.89%——30.56%
22.78%2.78%8.33%5.56%——19.44%
32.78%2.78%5.56%——2.78%13.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%8.33%30.56%30.56%5.56%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 2.33 -1.22
SD 1.06 1.62 2.17
CV 0.96 0.69 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%13.89%11.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%41.67%
15.56%11.11%5.56%8.33%8.33%—38.89%
25.56%2.78%——2.78%—11.11%
32.78%——5.56%——8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%27.78%16.67%22.22%13.89%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 2.03 -1.17
SD 0.93 1.58 1.92
CV 1.08 0.78 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%—5.56%2.78%—25.00%
15.56%16.67%11.11%———33.33%
211.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%——27.78%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
45.56%—————5.56%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total30.56%36.11%19.44%11.11%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.19 +0.22
SD 1.25 1.09 1.82
CV 0.88 0.91 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%13.89%2.78%2.78%——22.22%
15.56%13.89%5.56%2.78%——27.78%
28.33%11.11%5.56%———25.00%
35.56%5.56%2.78%———13.89%
42.78%5.56%————8.33%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total27.78%50.00%16.67%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.00 +0.69
SD 1.43 0.83 1.86
CV 0.84 0.83 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%2.78%—2.78%—16.67%
15.56%16.67%5.56%5.56%——33.33%
28.33%13.89%————22.22%
35.56%5.56%—2.78%——13.89%
42.78%—2.78%———5.56%
5+5.56%2.78%————8.33%
Total36.11%41.67%11.11%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.94 1.00 +0.94
SD 1.76 1.04 2.25
CV 0.90 1.04 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%16.67%11.11%11.11%2.78%—44.44%
12.78%11.11%8.33%8.33%8.33%2.78%41.67%
22.78%——2.78%2.78%2.78%11.11%
32.78%—————2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.11%27.78%19.44%22.22%13.89%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.72 2.22 -1.50
SD 0.78 1.57 1.65
CV 1.08 0.71 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%11.11%2.78%——27.78%
15.56%30.56%5.56%2.78%——44.44%
22.78%5.56%2.78%——2.78%13.89%
3—5.56%—5.56%2.78%—13.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.89%50.00%19.44%11.11%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.47 -0.33
SD 0.99 1.13 1.26
CV 0.87 0.77 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Dinamo Zagreb 1979 92 77.27 +14.73 97.0% 62 66 71 78 82 88 94
Rijeka 1802 67 68.86 -1.86 47.0% 55 59 64 68 73 83 90
Hajduk Split 1787 62 59.66 +2.34 66.0% 39 48 54 60 64 71 76
Osijek 1777 62 62.11 -0.11 53.0% 47 50 56 62 68 74 78
Gorica 1720 59 42.88 +16.12 100.0% 26 30 37 42 49 56 58
Lokomotiva Zagreb 1627 49 59.15 -10.15 11.0% 39 46 55 59 63 71 79
Slaven Belupo 1578 37 41.99 -4.99 27.0% 25 31 37 42 47 52 57
Istra 1961 1417 25 30.91 -5.91 20.0% 13 20 26 32 36 41 46
Inter Zapresic 1402 31 31.22 -0.22 55.0% 17 21 26 31 36 42 49
Rudes 1388 14 25.79 -11.79 5.0% 8 14 21 25 31 38 43

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 18.5% * Slight Edge: 18.5% to 25.5% * Clear Edge: 25.5% to 33% * Strong Edge: 33% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+6.67%
No Edge
41.67%23.33%35.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 23.20 Elo pts.
189 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.18 goals
Neutral
-2+0.12+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.13 * Tight Race: 0.13 to 0.23 * Comfortable: 0.23 to 0.46 * Runaway: 0.46 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.7
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
74%
Dinamo Zagreb, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.69/gm
Runaway
00.231/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.78 * Some Luck: 5.78 to 8.67 * Lucky: 8.67 to 11.56 * Wild Swing: 11.56 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.68 * Close: 0.68 to 1.02 * Off: 1.02 to 1.36 * Way Off: 1.36 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.87 points
Lucky
07.2218
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.20
Pinpoint
00.852
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
100.00%
Gorica
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
5.00%
Rudes
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.22 * Lopsided: 0.22 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 67% * Clear Edge: 67% to 71% * Wide Edge: 71% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90% * Clear Edge: 90% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58% * Some Drama: 58% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 64% * Very Frequent: 64% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 16.5% * Frequent: 16.5% to 19.5% * Very Frequent: 19.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.25
Lopsided
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 200.25
2.92
Wide Separation
11.852.353.5
Interquartile Edge
87%
Wide Edge
50%65%71%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
97%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
56%
Few
0%54%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Very Frequent
0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.46 * Lopsided: 0.46 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.65 * Strong Carryover: 0.65 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 21.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 21.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 17% * Very Shaky: 17% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.53
Highly Predictable
00.552
Matchup Imbalance
0.50
Lopsided
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.45
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.72
Strong Carryover
00.570.791
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
As Expected
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
As Expected
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.73
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.08
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.063
Well Within Noise
00.1230.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Dinamo Zagreb74.00%16.00%7.00%2.00%1.00%—————
Rijeka20.00%35.00%28.00%13.00%4.00%—————
Osijek3.00%23.00%28.00%18.00%24.00%4.00%————
Hajduk Split1.00%14.00%16.00%40.00%22.00%5.00%2.00%———
Gorica———3.00%14.00%37.00%26.00%9.00%10.00%1.00%
Lokomotiva Zagreb2.00%12.00%21.00%24.00%31.00%7.00%2.00%—1.00%—
Slaven Belupo————4.00%38.00%42.00%9.00%6.00%1.00%
Inter Zapresic—————3.00%17.00%32.00%28.00%20.00%
Istra 1961—————5.00%10.00%34.00%32.00%19.00%
Rudes—————1.00%1.00%16.00%23.00%59.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff Direct relegation
Dinamo Zagreb 100% — —
Hajduk Split 100% — —
Osijek 100% — —
Rijeka 100% — —
Lokomotiva Zagreb 99.00% 1.00% —
Slaven Belupo 93.00% 6.00% 1.00%
Gorica 89.00% 10.00% 1.00%
Inter Zapresic 52.00% 28.00% 20.00%
Istra 1961 — 100% —
Rudes — 100% —

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2018-07-27 Rudes D 1-172.5 1786 1594 62.99% 22.52% 14.49%+1.13 -4.1 1
2018-07-27 @ Dinamo Zagreb D 1-172.5 1594 1786 14.49% 22.52% 62.99%-1.13 +4.1 1
2018-07-28 Gorica W 2-046.7 1798 1501 71.05% 20.16% 8.79%+1.69 +7.3 3
2018-07-28 @ Rijeka L 0-246.7 1501 1798 8.79% 20.16% 71.05%-1.69 -7.3 0
2018-07-28 Inter Zapresic W 4-046.7 1659 1537 56.27% 23.69% 20.05%+0.77 +30.7 3
2018-07-28 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb L 0-446.7 1537 1659 20.05% 23.69% 56.27%-0.77 -30.7 0
2018-07-29 Hajduk Split W 4-163.3 1689 1768 30.36% 24.61% 45.03%-0.29 +38.0 3
2018-07-29 @ Osijek L 1-463.3 1768 1689 45.03% 24.61% 30.36%+0.29 -38.0 0
2018-07-29 Slaven Belupo D 1-168.0 1554 1594 35.49% 24.74% 39.78%-0.09 +0.3 1
2018-07-29 @ Istra 1961 D 1-168.0 1594 1554 39.78% 24.74% 35.49%+0.09 -0.3 1
2018-08-03 Inter Zapresic W 4-044.2 1805 1506 71.16% 20.12% 8.72%+1.70 +13.7 6
2018-08-03 @ Rijeka L 0-444.2 1506 1805 8.72% 20.12% 71.16%-1.70 -13.7 0
2018-08-03 Istra 1961 W 3-046.6 1782 1554 66.00% 21.78% 12.22%+1.32 +14.8 4
2018-08-03 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-346.6 1554 1782 12.22% 21.78% 66.00%-1.32 -14.8 1
2018-08-04 Slaven Belupo D 3-376.0 1493 1594 27.68% 24.47% 47.85%-0.41 +1.0 1
2018-08-04 @ Gorica D 3-376.0 1594 1493 47.85% 24.47% 27.68%+0.41 -1.0 2
2018-08-05 Lokomotiva Zagreb D 1-172.2 1730 1689 46.62% 24.53% 28.84%+0.33 -1.4 1
2018-08-05 @ Hajduk Split D 1-172.2 1689 1730 28.84% 24.53% 46.62%-0.33 +1.4 4
2018-08-05 Rudes W 3-264.9 1727 1598 56.99% 23.59% 19.42%+0.80 +7.5 6
2018-08-05 @ Osijek L 2-364.9 1598 1727 19.42% 23.59% 56.99%-0.80 -7.5 1
2018-08-10 Slaven Belupo W 2-158.2 1796 1593 64.03% 22.28% 13.69%+1.20 +5.7 7
2018-08-10 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 1-258.2 1593 1796 13.69% 22.28% 64.03%-1.20 -5.7 2
2018-08-11 Inter Zapresic L 2-362.9 1494 1492 41.46% 24.71% 33.83%+0.13 -13.8 1
2018-08-11 @ Gorica W 3-262.9 1492 1494 33.83% 24.71% 41.46%-0.13 +13.8 3
2018-08-11 Rudes W 1-054.7 1691 1591 53.88% 23.97% 22.15%+0.65 +9.3 7
2018-08-11 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb L 0-154.7 1591 1691 22.15% 23.97% 53.88%-0.65 -9.3 1
2018-08-12 Hajduk Split D 1-172.8 1819 1728 52.81% 24.08% 23.11%+0.60 -2.4 7
2018-08-12 @ Rijeka D 1-172.8 1728 1819 23.11% 24.08% 52.81%-0.60 +2.4 2
2018-08-12 Istra 1961 W 3-046.6 1734 1539 63.31% 22.45% 14.24%+1.15 +17.1 9
2018-08-12 @ Osijek L 0-346.6 1539 1734 14.24% 22.45% 63.31%-1.15 -17.2 1
2018-08-17 Osijek W 2-163.7 1802 1752 47.95% 24.46% 27.59%+0.39 +10.6 10
2018-08-17 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 1-263.7 1752 1802 27.59% 24.46% 47.95%-0.39 -10.6 9
2018-08-18 Lokomotiva Zagreb L 1-258.2 1522 1700 19.54% 23.61% 56.86%-0.82 -7.9 1
2018-08-18 @ Istra 1961 W 2-158.2 1700 1522 56.86% 23.61% 19.54%+0.82 +7.9 10
2018-08-19 Gorica L 0-263.2 1731 1481 67.72% 21.29% 11.00%+1.44 -44.7 2
2018-08-19 @ Hajduk Split W 2-063.2 1481 1731 11.00% 21.29% 67.72%-1.44 +44.7 4
2018-08-19 Rijeka L 1-258.7 1581 1817 14.97% 22.65% 62.38%-1.12 -6.2 1
2018-08-19 @ Rudes W 2-158.7 1817 1581 62.38% 22.65% 14.97%+1.12 +6.2 10
2018-08-24 Slaven Belupo D 1-171.9 1741 1587 59.52% 23.20% 17.28%+0.94 -3.5 10
2018-08-24 @ Osijek D 1-171.9 1587 1741 17.28% 23.20% 59.52%-0.94 +3.5 3
2018-08-25 Lokomotiva Zagreb W 1-056.3 1813 1708 54.39% 23.92% 21.69%+0.67 +9.2 13
2018-08-25 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-156.3 1708 1813 21.69% 23.92% 54.39%-0.67 -9.2 10
2018-08-25 Rudes W 2-053.2 1525 1575 34.16% 24.72% 41.12%-0.14 +28.8 7
2018-08-25 @ Gorica L 0-253.2 1575 1525 41.12% 24.72% 34.16%+0.14 -28.8 1
2018-08-26 Hajduk Split D 2-275.2 1506 1686 19.40% 23.58% 57.02%-0.83 +2.3 4
2018-08-26 @ Inter Zapresic D 2-275.2 1686 1506 57.02% 23.58% 19.40%+0.83 -2.3 3
2018-08-26 Istra 1961 D 3-382.7 1823 1514 71.79% 19.88% 8.33%+1.75 -3.4 11
2018-08-26 @ Rijeka D 3-382.7 1514 1823 8.33% 19.88% 71.79%-1.75 +3.4 2
2018-08-31 Rudes W 3-049.1 1509 1546 35.85% 24.74% 39.41%-0.08 +40.5 7
2018-08-31 @ Inter Zapresic L 0-349.1 1546 1509 39.41% 24.74% 35.85%+0.08 -40.5 1
2018-09-01 Hajduk Split D 1-170.8 1590 1684 28.55% 24.52% 46.93%-0.37 +1.4 4
2018-09-01 @ Slaven Belupo D 1-170.8 1684 1590 46.93% 24.52% 28.55%+0.37 -1.4 4
2018-09-01 Lokomotiva Zagreb W 2-163.8 1738 1699 46.42% 24.54% 29.03%+0.33 +11.0 13
2018-09-01 @ Osijek L 1-263.8 1699 1738 29.03% 24.54% 46.42%-0.33 -11.0 10
2018-09-02 Gorica L 0-250.7 1517 1554 36.02% 24.74% 39.24%-0.07 -26.0 2
2018-09-02 @ Istra 1961 W 2-050.7 1554 1517 39.24% 24.74% 36.02%+0.07 +26.1 10
2018-09-02 Rijeka D 1-172.8 1822 1819 41.55% 24.71% 33.74%+0.14 -0.6 14
2018-09-02 @ Dinamo Zagreb D 1-172.8 1819 1822 33.74% 24.71% 41.55%-0.14 +0.6 12
2018-09-08 Inter Zapresic W 2-159.2 1592 1549 46.96% 24.52% 28.52%+0.35 +10.9 7
2018-09-08 @ Slaven Belupo L 1-259.2 1549 1592 28.52% 24.52% 46.96%-0.35 -10.9 7
2018-09-14 Istra 1961 L 1-261.1 1538 1491 47.47% 24.49% 28.05%+0.37 -16.2 7
2018-09-14 @ Inter Zapresic W 2-161.1 1491 1538 28.05% 24.49% 47.47%-0.37 +16.2 5
2018-09-15 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-153.2 1580 1821 14.56% 22.54% 62.90%-1.15 -6.4 10
2018-09-15 @ Gorica W 1-053.2 1821 1580 62.90% 22.54% 14.56%+1.15 +6.4 17
2018-09-15 Rudes W 3-153.2 1682 1506 61.63% 22.81% 15.57%+1.05 +11.1 7
2018-09-15 @ Hajduk Split L 1-353.2 1506 1682 15.57% 22.81% 61.63%-1.05 -11.1 1
2018-09-16 Lokomotiva Zagreb L 2-560.0 1603 1688 29.55% 24.57% 45.88%-0.33 -23.7 7
2018-09-16 @ Slaven Belupo W 5-260.0 1688 1603 45.88% 24.57% 29.55%+0.33 +23.7 13
2018-09-16 Osijek D 1-172.8 1820 1749 50.54% 24.28% 25.18%+0.50 -2.0 13
2018-09-16 @ Rijeka D 1-172.8 1749 1820 25.18% 24.28% 50.54%-0.50 +2.0 14
2018-09-21 Rudes D 1-165.8 1579 1495 52.07% 24.15% 23.77%+0.57 -2.2 8
2018-09-21 @ Slaven Belupo D 1-165.8 1495 1579 23.77% 24.15% 52.07%-0.57 +2.3 2
2018-09-22 Gorica L 0-166.7 1751 1574 61.67% 22.80% 15.53%+1.06 -21.8 14
2018-09-22 @ Osijek W 1-066.7 1574 1751 15.53% 22.80% 61.67%-1.06 +21.8 13
2018-09-22 Rijeka W 2-061.4 1712 1818 26.96% 24.42% 48.62%-0.44 +33.1 16
2018-09-22 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb L 0-261.4 1818 1712 48.62% 24.42% 26.96%+0.44 -33.1 13
2018-09-23 Hajduk Split L 2-458.7 1508 1693 18.87% 23.50% 57.64%-0.86 -11.9 5
2018-09-23 @ Istra 1961 W 4-258.7 1693 1508 57.64% 23.50% 18.87%+0.86 +11.9 10
2018-09-23 Inter Zapresic W 5-358.6 1828 1522 71.59% 19.95% 8.45%+1.74 +5.1 20
2018-09-23 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 3-558.6 1522 1828 8.45% 19.95% 71.59%-1.74 -5.1 7
2018-09-29 Dinamo Zagreb D 0-068.3 1705 1833 24.57% 24.23% 51.21%-0.55 +2.4 11
2018-09-29 @ Hajduk Split D 0-068.3 1833 1705 51.21% 24.23% 24.57%+0.55 -2.4 21
2018-09-29 Osijek L 0-347.1 1517 1729 16.70% 23.07% 60.22%-1.00 -19.9 7
2018-09-29 @ Inter Zapresic W 3-047.1 1729 1517 60.22% 23.07% 16.70%+1.00 +19.9 17
2018-09-30 Lokomotiva Zagreb L 0-350.3 1595 1745 22.30% 23.99% 53.71%-0.66 -25.7 13
2018-09-30 @ Gorica W 3-050.3 1745 1595 53.71% 23.99% 22.30%+0.66 +25.7 19
2018-09-30 Slaven Belupo D 0-068.1 1785 1577 64.39% 22.19% 13.41%+1.22 -4.8 14
2018-09-30 @ Rijeka D 0-068.1 1577 1785 13.41% 22.19% 64.39%-1.22 +4.8 9
2018-10-01 Istra 1961 L 0-347.4 1497 1496 41.37% 24.71% 33.92%+0.13 -42.1 2
2018-10-01 @ Rudes W 3-047.4 1496 1497 33.92% 24.71% 41.37%-0.13 +42.1 8
2018-10-05 Lokomotiva Zagreb W 2-172.3 1497 1770 12.51% 21.89% 65.60%-1.32 +21.7 10
2018-10-05 @ Inter Zapresic L 1-272.3 1770 1497 65.60% 21.89% 12.51%+1.32 -21.7 19
2018-10-06 Istra 1961 W 3-155.7 1582 1538 47.08% 24.51% 28.41%+0.35 +18.8 12
2018-10-06 @ Slaven Belupo L 1-355.7 1538 1582 28.41% 24.51% 47.08%-0.35 -18.7 8
2018-10-06 Rijeka W 2-172.0 1570 1780 16.83% 23.10% 60.07%-0.99 +20.0 16
2018-10-06 @ Gorica L 1-272.0 1780 1570 60.07% 23.10% 16.83%+0.99 -20.0 14
2018-10-07 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-343.9 1455 1830 7.71% 19.46% 72.82%-1.86 -9.2 2
2018-10-07 @ Rudes W 3-043.9 1830 1455 72.82% 19.46% 7.71%+1.86 +9.2 24
2018-10-07 Osijek L 0-257.3 1708 1749 35.38% 24.74% 39.89%-0.09 -25.7 11
2018-10-07 @ Hajduk Split W 2-057.3 1749 1708 39.89% 24.74% 35.38%+0.09 +25.7 20
2018-10-19 Rijeka L 1-257.4 1519 1760 14.55% 22.54% 62.91%-1.15 -6.0 10
2018-10-19 @ Inter Zapresic W 2-157.4 1760 1519 62.91% 22.54% 14.55%+1.15 +6.0 17
2018-10-20 Dinamo Zagreb L 1-451.0 1519 1840 10.01% 20.83% 69.16%-1.57 -10.2 8
2018-10-20 @ Istra 1961 W 4-151.0 1840 1519 69.16% 20.83% 10.01%+1.57 +10.2 27
2018-10-20 Osijek L 1-448.9 1446 1774 9.63% 20.63% 69.74%-1.61 -9.8 2
2018-10-20 @ Rudes W 4-148.9 1774 1446 69.74% 20.63% 9.63%+1.61 +9.8 23
2018-10-21 Hajduk Split W 2-054.1 1749 1682 49.97% 24.33% 25.71%+0.47 +19.9 22
2018-10-21 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb L 0-254.1 1682 1749 25.71% 24.33% 49.97%-0.47 -20.0 11
2018-10-21 Gorica L 0-159.3 1600 1590 42.68% 24.68% 32.64%+0.18 -15.8 12
2018-10-21 @ Slaven Belupo W 1-059.3 1590 1600 32.64% 24.68% 42.68%-0.18 +15.8 19
2018-10-26 Lokomotiva Zagreb L 0-442.7 1436 1769 9.45% 20.53% 70.02%-1.63 -14.9 2
2018-10-26 @ Rudes W 4-042.7 1769 1436 70.02% 20.53% 9.45%+1.63 +14.9 25
2018-10-27 Gorica L 1-355.7 1513 1606 28.59% 24.52% 46.89%-0.37 -18.8 10
2018-10-27 @ Inter Zapresic W 3-155.7 1606 1513 46.89% 24.52% 28.59%+0.37 +18.8 22
2018-10-27 Osijek D 1-171.8 1509 1784 12.40% 21.85% 65.75%-1.33 +4.5 9
2018-10-27 @ Istra 1961 D 1-171.8 1784 1509 65.75% 21.85% 12.40%+1.33 -4.6 24
2018-10-28 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-249.7 1585 1850 13.00% 22.06% 64.94%-1.28 -10.8 12
2018-10-28 @ Slaven Belupo W 2-049.7 1850 1585 64.94% 22.06% 13.00%+1.28 +10.8 30
2018-10-28 Rijeka D 1-172.3 1662 1766 27.23% 24.44% 48.33%-0.43 +1.6 12
2018-10-28 @ Hajduk Split D 1-172.3 1766 1662 48.33% 24.44% 27.23%+0.43 -1.6 18
2018-11-03 Istra 1961 W 1-050.3 1783 1513 69.16% 20.83% 10.01%+1.55 +4.4 28
2018-11-03 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb L 0-150.3 1513 1783 10.01% 20.83% 69.16%-1.55 -4.4 9
2018-11-04 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-256.1 1780 1861 30.06% 24.59% 45.34%-0.31 -22.6 24
2018-11-04 @ Osijek W 2-056.1 1861 1780 45.34% 24.59% 30.06%+0.31 +22.7 33
2018-11-04 Hajduk Split D 1-170.9 1624 1664 35.65% 24.74% 39.61%-0.08 +0.3 23
2018-11-04 @ Gorica D 1-170.9 1664 1624 39.61% 24.74% 35.65%+0.08 -0.3 13
2018-11-05 Rudes W 5-145.1 1764 1421 73.94% 18.99% 7.07%+1.94 +9.1 21
2018-11-05 @ Rijeka L 1-545.1 1421 1764 7.07% 18.99% 73.94%-1.94 -9.1 2
2018-11-05 Slaven Belupo D 0-061.1 1494 1574 30.19% 24.60% 45.21%-0.30 +1.3 11
2018-11-05 @ Inter Zapresic D 0-061.1 1574 1494 45.21% 24.60% 30.19%+0.30 -1.3 13
2018-11-09 Gorica L 0-146.2 1412 1625 16.64% 23.06% 60.31%-1.00 -7.2 2
2018-11-09 @ Rudes W 1-046.2 1625 1412 60.31% 23.06% 16.64%+1.00 +7.2 26
2018-11-10 Inter Zapresic W 3-044.9 1663 1495 60.87% 22.95% 16.18%+1.01 +19.3 16
2018-11-10 @ Hajduk Split L 0-344.9 1495 1663 16.18% 22.95% 60.87%-1.01 -19.3 11
2018-11-10 Osijek L 0-251.1 1573 1757 18.97% 23.51% 57.51%-0.85 -15.4 13
2018-11-10 @ Slaven Belupo W 2-051.1 1757 1573 57.51% 23.51% 18.97%+0.85 +15.4 27
2018-11-11 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-158.7 1788 1883 28.28% 24.50% 47.22%-0.38 -11.4 28
2018-11-11 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb W 1-058.7 1883 1788 47.22% 24.50% 28.28%+0.38 +11.4 36
2018-11-11 Rijeka L 1-256.8 1509 1774 13.05% 22.07% 64.88%-1.27 -5.4 9
2018-11-11 @ Istra 1961 W 2-156.8 1774 1509 64.88% 22.07% 13.05%+1.27 +5.4 24
2018-11-23 Inter Zapresic L 0-145.6 1405 1476 31.33% 24.64% 44.03%-0.25 -12.4 2
2018-11-23 @ Rudes W 1-045.6 1476 1405 44.03% 24.64% 31.33%+0.25 +12.4 14
2018-11-24 Dinamo Zagreb W 1-065.1 1779 1895 25.88% 24.34% 49.78%-0.49 +17.9 27
2018-11-24 @ Rijeka L 0-165.1 1895 1779 49.78% 24.34% 25.88%+0.49 -17.9 36
2018-11-24 Istra 1961 L 0-258.7 1632 1504 56.93% 23.60% 19.47%+0.80 -38.1 26
2018-11-24 @ Gorica W 2-058.7 1504 1632 19.47% 23.60% 56.93%-0.80 +38.1 12
2018-11-25 Osijek D 2-278.4 1776 1772 41.77% 24.70% 33.52%+0.14 -0.5 29
2018-11-25 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb D 2-278.4 1772 1776 33.52% 24.70% 41.77%-0.14 +0.5 28
2018-11-25 Slaven Belupo D 2-276.2 1683 1557 56.63% 23.64% 19.73%+0.78 -2.2 17
2018-11-25 @ Hajduk Split D 2-276.2 1557 1683 19.73% 23.64% 56.63%-0.78 +2.2 14
2018-11-30 Inter Zapresic L 0-252.8 1542 1488 48.33% 24.44% 27.23%+0.41 -32.9 12
2018-11-30 @ Istra 1961 W 2-052.8 1488 1542 27.23% 24.44% 48.33%-0.41 +32.9 17
2018-11-30 Slaven Belupo D 1-172.3 1776 1559 65.10% 22.02% 12.88%+1.27 -4.4 30
2018-11-30 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb D 1-172.3 1559 1776 12.88% 22.02% 65.10%-1.27 +4.4 15
2018-12-01 Hajduk Split L 1-445.7 1392 1680 11.67% 21.57% 66.76%-1.40 -11.9 2
2018-12-01 @ Rudes W 4-145.7 1680 1392 66.76% 21.57% 11.67%+1.40 +11.9 20
2018-12-01 Rijeka L 1-266.9 1773 1797 37.81% 24.75% 37.44%+0.00 -13.5 28
2018-12-01 @ Osijek W 2-166.9 1797 1773 37.44% 24.75% 37.81%+0.00 +13.5 30
2018-12-02 Gorica W 1-051.4 1877 1594 70.08% 20.51% 9.41%+1.62 +4.1 39
2018-12-02 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-151.4 1594 1877 9.41% 20.51% 70.08%-1.62 -4.1 26
2018-12-08 Istra 1961 W 3-153.3 1692 1509 62.26% 22.68% 15.06%+1.09 +10.8 23
2018-12-08 @ Hajduk Split L 1-353.3 1509 1692 15.06% 22.68% 62.26%-1.09 -10.8 12
2018-12-08 Lokomotiva Zagreb W 3-053.7 1810 1772 46.44% 24.54% 29.02%+0.33 +32.0 33
2018-12-08 @ Rijeka L 0-353.7 1772 1810 29.02% 24.54% 46.44%-0.33 -32.0 30
2018-12-09 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-247.4 1521 1881 8.31% 19.86% 71.83%-1.78 -6.8 17
2018-12-09 @ Inter Zapresic W 2-047.4 1881 1521 71.83% 19.86% 8.31%+1.78 +6.8 42
2018-12-09 Osijek L 1-260.3 1590 1759 20.31% 23.73% 55.96%-0.77 -8.2 26
2018-12-09 @ Gorica W 2-160.3 1759 1590 55.96% 23.73% 20.31%+0.77 +8.2 31
2018-12-10 Slaven Belupo D 1-161.3 1380 1564 19.06% 23.53% 57.41%-0.85 +3.2 3
2018-12-10 @ Rudes D 1-161.3 1564 1380 57.41% 23.53% 19.06%+0.85 -3.1 16
2018-12-14 Gorica D 2-277.5 1740 1581 59.91% 23.13% 16.96%+0.96 -2.7 31
2018-12-14 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb D 2-277.5 1581 1740 16.96% 23.13% 59.91%-0.96 +2.7 27
2018-12-16 Hajduk Split W 1-054.0 1888 1703 62.38% 22.65% 14.97%+1.10 +6.6 45
2018-12-16 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-154.0 1703 1888 14.97% 22.65% 62.38%-1.10 -6.6 23
2018-12-16 Inter Zapresic W 6-045.8 1767 1514 67.95% 21.22% 10.84%+1.46 +25.1 34
2018-12-16 @ Osijek L 0-645.8 1514 1767 10.84% 21.22% 67.95%-1.46 -25.1 17
2018-12-16 Rudes W 1-042.2 1498 1383 55.47% 23.79% 20.74%+0.73 +8.8 15
2018-12-16 @ Istra 1961 L 0-142.2 1383 1498 20.74% 23.79% 55.47%-0.73 -8.8 3
2019-01-30 Rijeka D 1-172.9 1561 1842 12.03% 21.71% 66.26%-1.36 +4.6 17
2019-01-30 @ Slaven Belupo D 1-172.9 1842 1561 66.26% 21.71% 12.03%+1.36 -4.6 34
2019-02-01 Inter Zapresic W 2-046.5 1737 1489 67.54% 21.34% 11.12%+1.43 +9.3 34
2019-02-01 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb L 0-246.5 1489 1737 11.12% 21.34% 67.54%-1.43 -9.3 17
2019-02-02 Rudes W 7-244.3 1894 1375 82.73% 14.24% 3.02%+2.87 +3.6 48
2019-02-02 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 2-744.3 1375 1894 3.02% 14.24% 82.73%-2.87 -3.6 3
2019-02-02 Slaven Belupo D 1-165.6 1507 1565 33.00% 24.69% 42.30%-0.19 +0.7 16
2019-02-02 @ Istra 1961 D 1-165.6 1565 1507 42.30% 24.69% 33.00%+0.19 -0.7 18
2019-02-03 Hajduk Split L 0-165.7 1793 1696 53.42% 24.02% 22.56%+0.63 -19.1 34
2019-02-03 @ Osijek W 1-065.7 1696 1793 22.56% 24.02% 53.42%-0.63 +19.1 26
2019-02-03 Gorica L 1-371.6 1838 1584 67.97% 21.21% 10.82%+1.46 -38.8 34
2019-02-03 @ Rijeka W 3-171.6 1584 1838 10.82% 21.21% 67.97%-1.46 +38.8 30
2019-02-08 Osijek L 0-145.6 1371 1773 6.79% 18.76% 74.45%-2.00 -2.9 3
2019-02-08 @ Rudes W 1-045.6 1773 1371 74.45% 18.76% 6.79%+2.00 +2.9 37
2019-02-09 Gorica W 2-056.1 1565 1623 33.02% 24.69% 42.29%-0.19 +29.5 21
2019-02-09 @ Slaven Belupo L 0-256.1 1623 1565 42.29% 24.69% 33.02%+0.19 -29.5 30
2019-02-09 Istra 1961 W 1-049.1 1898 1508 76.61% 17.74% 5.65%+2.18 +2.4 51
2019-02-09 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-149.1 1508 1898 5.65% 17.74% 76.61%-2.18 -2.4 16
2019-02-10 Lokomotiva Zagreb W 2-166.8 1716 1746 36.86% 24.75% 38.39%-0.04 +13.7 29
2019-02-10 @ Hajduk Split L 1-266.8 1746 1716 38.39% 24.75% 36.86%+0.04 -13.7 34
2019-02-10 Rijeka L 0-345.0 1480 1799 10.09% 20.86% 69.05%-1.56 -12.2 17
2019-02-10 @ Inter Zapresic W 3-045.0 1799 1480 69.05% 20.86% 10.09%+1.56 +12.2 37
2019-02-15 Rudes D 0-064.0 1732 1368 75.17% 18.43% 6.40%+2.05 -6.7 35
2019-02-15 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb D 0-064.0 1368 1732 6.40% 18.43% 75.17%-2.05 +6.7 4
2019-02-16 Hajduk Split D 0-068.4 1811 1729 51.78% 24.18% 24.05%+0.55 -2.5 38
2019-02-16 @ Rijeka D 0-068.4 1729 1811 24.05% 24.18% 51.78%-0.55 +2.5 30
2019-02-16 Inter Zapresic D 2-271.3 1593 1468 56.66% 23.63% 19.70%+0.79 -2.2 31
2019-02-16 @ Gorica D 2-271.3 1468 1593 19.70% 23.63% 56.66%-0.79 +2.2 18
2019-02-17 Istra 1961 W 1-050.0 1776 1505 69.25% 20.80% 9.95%+1.55 +4.4 40
2019-02-17 @ Osijek L 0-150.0 1505 1776 9.95% 20.80% 69.25%-1.55 -4.4 16
2019-02-17 Slaven Belupo W 3-045.9 1900 1594 71.63% 19.94% 8.43%+1.74 +10.1 54
2019-02-17 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-345.9 1594 1900 8.43% 19.94% 71.63%-1.74 -10.1 21
2019-02-22 Rijeka L 2-452.8 1375 1809 5.85% 17.93% 76.22%-2.17 -3.6 4
2019-02-22 @ Rudes W 4-252.8 1809 1375 76.22% 17.93% 5.85%+2.17 +3.6 41
2019-02-23 Gorica D 0-067.3 1732 1591 58.18% 23.41% 18.41%+0.86 -3.7 31
2019-02-23 @ Hajduk Split D 0-067.3 1591 1732 18.41% 23.41% 58.18%-0.86 +3.7 32
2019-02-23 Inter Zapresic L 0-158.7 1584 1470 55.41% 23.80% 20.79%+0.72 -19.7 21
2019-02-23 @ Slaven Belupo W 1-058.7 1470 1584 20.79% 23.80% 55.41%-0.72 +19.7 21
2019-02-24 Lokomotiva Zagreb D 0-066.0 1501 1726 15.71% 22.84% 61.45%-1.07 +4.3 17
2019-02-24 @ Istra 1961 D 0-066.0 1726 1501 61.45% 22.84% 15.71%+1.07 -4.3 36
2019-02-24 Osijek W 3-050.6 1910 1781 57.08% 23.58% 19.35%+0.81 +22.7 57
2019-02-24 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-350.6 1781 1910 19.35% 23.58% 57.08%-0.81 -22.7 40
2019-03-01 Istra 1961 W 2-046.7 1812 1505 71.69% 19.92% 8.39%+1.74 +6.9 44
2019-03-01 @ Rijeka L 0-246.7 1505 1812 8.39% 19.92% 71.69%-1.74 -6.9 17
2019-03-02 Dinamo Zagreb D 1-173.3 1722 1933 16.72% 23.08% 60.20%-0.99 +3.6 37
2019-03-02 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb D 1-173.3 1933 1722 60.20% 23.08% 16.72%+0.99 -3.6 58
2019-03-02 Rudes W 3-144.7 1595 1371 65.68% 21.87% 12.45%+1.30 +9.0 35
2019-03-02 @ Gorica L 1-344.7 1371 1595 12.45% 21.87% 65.68%-1.30 -9.0 4
2019-03-03 Hajduk Split L 1-353.6 1490 1728 14.76% 22.59% 62.65%-1.14 -10.6 21
2019-03-03 @ Inter Zapresic W 3-153.6 1728 1490 62.65% 22.59% 14.76%+1.14 +10.6 34
2019-03-03 Slaven Belupo D 1-172.0 1758 1564 63.18% 22.48% 14.35%+1.15 -4.1 41
2019-03-03 @ Osijek D 1-172.0 1564 1758 14.35% 22.48% 63.18%-1.15 +4.1 22
2019-03-08 Inter Zapresic W 2-046.8 1362 1479 25.75% 24.33% 49.92%-0.50 +33.9 7
2019-03-08 @ Rudes L 0-246.8 1479 1362 49.92% 24.33% 25.75%+0.50 -33.9 21
2019-03-09 Hajduk Split L 1-259.8 1568 1739 20.26% 23.72% 56.02%-0.78 -8.2 22
2019-03-09 @ Slaven Belupo W 2-159.8 1739 1568 56.02% 23.72% 20.26%+0.78 +8.2 37
2019-03-09 Gorica L 0-347.0 1498 1604 27.04% 24.42% 48.53%-0.44 -30.2 17
2019-03-09 @ Istra 1961 W 3-047.0 1604 1498 48.53% 24.42% 27.04%+0.44 +30.2 38
2019-03-10 Lokomotiva Zagreb D 1-172.5 1754 1725 45.12% 24.60% 30.28%+0.27 -1.1 42
2019-03-10 @ Osijek D 1-172.5 1725 1754 30.28% 24.60% 45.12%-0.27 +1.1 38
2019-03-10 Rijeka W 3-159.1 1930 1819 55.03% 23.84% 21.13%+0.71 +14.6 61
2019-03-10 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 1-359.1 1819 1930 21.13% 23.84% 55.03%-0.71 -14.7 44
2019-03-15 Istra 1961 W 3-151.1 1445 1468 38.00% 24.75% 37.25%+0.00 +23.2 24
2019-03-15 @ Inter Zapresic L 1-351.1 1468 1445 37.25% 24.75% 38.00%+0.00 -23.1 17
2019-03-16 Rudes W 3-040.5 1747 1396 74.38% 18.79% 6.83%+1.97 +8.0 40
2019-03-16 @ Hajduk Split L 0-340.5 1396 1747 6.83% 18.79% 74.38%-1.97 -8.1 7
2019-03-16 Slaven Belupo W 3-155.3 1726 1560 60.67% 22.99% 16.34%+1.00 +11.6 41
2019-03-16 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb L 1-355.3 1560 1726 16.34% 22.99% 60.67%-1.00 -11.6 22
2019-03-17 Dinamo Zagreb L 1-257.6 1634 1944 10.51% 21.07% 68.42%-1.51 -4.4 38
2019-03-17 @ Gorica W 2-157.6 1944 1634 68.42% 21.07% 10.51%+1.51 +4.4 64
2019-03-17 Osijek W 3-160.9 1804 1753 48.09% 24.45% 27.46%+0.40 +18.2 47
2019-03-17 @ Rijeka L 1-360.9 1753 1804 27.46% 24.45% 48.09%-0.40 -18.2 42
2019-03-28 Rudes W 2-148.0 1549 1388 60.16% 23.08% 16.76%+0.97 +6.9 25
2019-03-28 @ Slaven Belupo L 1-248.0 1388 1549 16.76% 23.08% 60.16%-0.97 -6.9 7
2019-03-29 Gorica D 2-277.7 1735 1630 54.41% 23.91% 21.68%+0.68 -2.0 43
2019-03-29 @ Osijek D 2-277.7 1630 1735 21.68% 23.91% 54.41%-0.68 +2.0 39
2019-03-29 Rijeka L 1-264.4 1738 1823 29.59% 24.57% 45.84%-0.33 -11.2 41
2019-03-29 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb W 2-164.4 1823 1738 45.84% 24.57% 29.59%+0.33 +11.2 50
2019-03-30 Hajduk Split L 0-245.7 1445 1755 10.52% 21.07% 68.41%-1.51 -8.8 17
2019-03-30 @ Istra 1961 W 2-045.7 1755 1445 68.41% 21.07% 10.52%+1.51 +8.8 43
2019-03-30 Inter Zapresic W 1-047.8 1949 1468 81.03% 15.30% 3.67%+2.66 +1.5 67
2019-03-30 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-147.8 1468 1949 3.67% 15.30% 81.03%-2.66 -1.5 24
2019-04-02 Lokomotiva Zagreb L 0-254.5 1632 1727 28.32% 24.50% 47.18%-0.38 -21.6 39
2019-04-02 @ Gorica W 2-054.5 1727 1632 47.18% 24.50% 28.32%+0.38 +21.6 44
2019-04-02 Slaven Belupo W 2-047.9 1834 1555 69.76% 20.62% 9.62%+1.59 +8.0 53
2019-04-02 @ Rijeka L 0-247.9 1555 1834 9.62% 20.62% 69.76%-1.59 -8.0 25
2019-04-03 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-155.6 1764 1950 18.79% 23.48% 57.72%-0.86 -8.1 43
2019-04-03 @ Hajduk Split W 1-055.6 1950 1764 57.72% 23.48% 18.79%+0.86 +8.1 70
2019-04-03 Osijek L 1-352.5 1467 1733 12.97% 22.05% 64.98%-1.28 -9.3 24
2019-04-03 @ Inter Zapresic W 3-152.5 1733 1467 64.98% 22.05% 12.97%+1.28 +9.4 46
2019-04-04 Istra 1961 W 1-047.0 1381 1436 33.48% 24.70% 41.81%-0.17 +15.5 10
2019-04-04 @ Rudes L 0-147.0 1436 1381 41.81% 24.70% 33.48%+0.17 -15.5 17
2019-04-06 Lokomotiva Zagreb W 3-276.6 1458 1748 11.52% 21.51% 66.97%-1.41 +21.0 27
2019-04-06 @ Inter Zapresic L 2-376.6 1748 1458 66.97% 21.51% 11.52%+1.41 -21.0 44
2019-04-06 Rijeka W 1-067.8 1610 1842 15.22% 22.72% 62.07%-1.10 +21.9 42
2019-04-06 @ Gorica L 0-167.8 1842 1610 62.07% 22.72% 15.22%+1.10 -21.9 53
2019-04-07 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-243.9 1397 1958 3.16% 14.47% 82.37%-2.84 -2.3 10
2019-04-07 @ Rudes W 2-043.9 1958 1397 82.37% 14.47% 3.16%+2.84 +2.3 73
2019-04-07 Osijek D 0-068.1 1755 1742 43.07% 24.67% 32.25%+0.19 -0.9 44
2019-04-07 @ Hajduk Split D 0-068.1 1742 1755 32.25% 24.67% 43.07%-0.19 +0.9 47
2019-04-08 Istra 1961 D 3-371.9 1548 1421 56.79% 23.62% 19.59%+0.79 -1.9 26
2019-04-08 @ Slaven Belupo D 3-371.9 1421 1548 19.59% 23.62% 56.79%-0.79 +1.9 18
2019-04-12 Rudes W 2-042.3 1743 1394 74.25% 18.85% 6.90%+1.96 +5.6 50
2019-04-12 @ Osijek L 0-242.3 1394 1743 6.90% 18.85% 74.25%-1.96 -5.6 10
2019-04-13 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-441.8 1422 1961 3.54% 15.10% 81.36%-2.72 -5.1 18
2019-04-13 @ Istra 1961 W 4-041.8 1961 1422 81.36% 15.10% 3.54%+2.72 +5.1 76
2019-04-13 Inter Zapresic W 7-044.8 1820 1479 73.83% 19.04% 7.13%+1.92 +18.7 56
2019-04-13 @ Rijeka L 0-744.8 1479 1820 7.13% 19.04% 73.83%-1.92 -18.7 27
2019-04-14 Hajduk Split L 0-161.1 1727 1755 37.35% 24.75% 37.90%-0.02 -14.2 44
2019-04-14 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb W 1-061.1 1755 1727 37.90% 24.75% 37.35%+0.02 +14.2 47
2019-04-14 Slaven Belupo W 4-366.5 1632 1546 52.31% 24.13% 23.56%+0.58 +8.6 45
2019-04-14 @ Gorica L 3-466.5 1546 1632 23.56% 24.13% 52.31%-0.58 -8.6 26
2019-04-19 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-149.7 1537 1966 5.99% 18.07% 75.94%-2.14 -2.5 26
2019-04-19 @ Slaven Belupo W 1-049.7 1966 1537 75.94% 18.07% 5.99%+2.14 +2.6 79
2019-04-19 Osijek W 1-065.6 1417 1748 9.52% 20.57% 69.91%-1.63 +24.4 21
2019-04-19 @ Istra 1961 L 0-165.6 1748 1417 69.91% 20.57% 9.52%+1.63 -24.4 50
2019-04-20 Gorica D 2-272.7 1460 1641 19.31% 23.57% 57.13%-0.83 +2.3 28
2019-04-20 @ Inter Zapresic D 2-272.7 1641 1460 57.13% 23.57% 19.31%+0.83 -2.3 46
2019-04-20 Lokomotiva Zagreb L 1-251.2 1389 1713 9.82% 20.73% 69.45%-1.59 -4.1 10
2019-04-20 @ Rudes W 2-151.2 1713 1389 69.45% 20.73% 9.82%+1.59 +4.1 47
2019-04-20 Rijeka W 4-057.6 1769 1839 31.48% 24.65% 43.87%-0.25 +57.6 50
2019-04-20 @ Hajduk Split L 0-457.6 1839 1769 43.87% 24.65% 31.48%+0.25 -57.6 56
2019-04-26 Istra 1961 D 1-169.5 1717 1442 69.56% 20.69% 9.75%+1.58 -5.2 48
2019-04-26 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb D 1-169.5 1442 1717 9.75% 20.69% 69.56%-1.58 +5.2 22
2019-04-27 Dinamo Zagreb W 2-174.0 1724 1968 14.36% 22.48% 63.15%-1.17 +21.0 53
2019-04-27 @ Osijek L 1-274.0 1968 1724 63.15% 22.48% 14.36%+1.17 -21.0 79
2019-04-27 Hajduk Split W 3-061.7 1638 1826 18.66% 23.46% 57.89%-0.87 +56.2 49
2019-04-27 @ Gorica L 0-361.7 1826 1638 57.89% 23.46% 18.66%+0.87 -56.2 50
2019-04-28 Rudes W 3-148.1 1781 1385 76.94% 17.57% 5.49%+2.22 +3.8 59
2019-04-28 @ Rijeka L 1-348.1 1385 1781 5.49% 17.57% 76.94%-2.22 -3.8 10
2019-04-28 Slaven Belupo L 1-352.3 1462 1534 31.18% 24.64% 44.18%-0.26 -20.2 28
2019-04-28 @ Inter Zapresic W 3-152.3 1534 1462 44.18% 24.64% 31.18%+0.26 +20.2 29
2019-05-03 Gorica D 1-166.8 1381 1694 10.34% 20.99% 68.67%-1.53 +5.0 11
2019-05-03 @ Rudes D 1-166.8 1694 1381 68.67% 20.99% 10.34%+1.53 -5.0 50
2019-05-04 Inter Zapresic W 3-258.3 1770 1442 73.02% 19.38% 7.60%+1.85 +2.9 53
2019-05-04 @ Hajduk Split L 2-358.3 1442 1770 7.60% 19.38% 73.02%-1.85 -3.0 28
2019-05-04 Rijeka L 0-744.8 1447 1785 9.22% 20.41% 70.38%-1.66 -24.6 22
2019-05-04 @ Istra 1961 W 7-044.8 1785 1447 70.38% 20.41% 9.22%+1.66 +24.6 62
2019-05-05 Lokomotiva Zagreb W 3-047.8 1947 1712 66.57% 21.62% 11.81%+1.36 +14.3 82
2019-05-05 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-347.8 1712 1947 11.81% 21.62% 66.57%-1.36 -14.3 48
2019-05-05 Osijek W 1-065.5 1555 1745 18.46% 23.42% 58.12%-0.88 +20.6 32
2019-05-05 @ Slaven Belupo L 0-165.5 1745 1555 58.12% 23.42% 18.46%+0.88 -20.6 53
2019-05-09 Rudes L 0-343.9 1439 1386 48.29% 24.44% 27.27%+0.40 -47.8 28
2019-05-09 @ Inter Zapresic W 3-043.9 1386 1439 27.27% 24.44% 48.29%-0.40 +47.8 14
2019-05-10 Istra 1961 W 4-146.3 1689 1422 68.96% 20.89% 10.15%+1.53 +10.3 53
2019-05-10 @ Gorica L 1-446.3 1422 1689 10.15% 20.89% 68.96%-1.53 -10.3 22
2019-05-10 Slaven Belupo W 2-049.5 1773 1575 63.53% 22.40% 14.07%+1.17 +11.7 56
2019-05-10 @ Hajduk Split L 0-249.5 1575 1773 14.07% 22.40% 63.53%-1.17 -11.7 32
2019-05-11 Dinamo Zagreb D 0-068.7 1809 1961 22.01% 23.96% 54.03%-0.68 +2.9 63
2019-05-11 @ Rijeka D 0-068.7 1961 1809 54.03% 23.96% 22.01%+0.68 -2.9 83
2019-05-11 Osijek L 0-455.1 1698 1724 37.43% 24.75% 37.82%-0.02 -50.9 48
2019-05-11 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb W 4-055.1 1724 1698 37.82% 24.75% 37.43%+0.02 +50.9 56
2019-05-14 Hajduk Split L 1-448.4 1434 1785 8.66% 20.08% 71.26%-1.73 -8.8 14
2019-05-14 @ Rudes W 4-148.4 1785 1434 71.26% 20.08% 8.66%+1.73 +8.8 59
2019-05-14 Inter Zapresic L 0-147.3 1412 1391 44.05% 24.64% 31.31%+0.23 -16.2 22
2019-05-14 @ Istra 1961 W 1-047.3 1391 1412 31.31% 24.64% 44.05%-0.23 +16.2 31
2019-05-15 Gorica W 3-155.0 1959 1700 68.36% 21.09% 10.55%+1.49 +7.6 86
2019-05-15 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 1-355.0 1700 1959 10.55% 21.09% 68.36%-1.49 -7.6 53
2019-05-15 Lokomotiva Zagreb D 1-169.6 1564 1647 29.77% 24.58% 45.65%-0.32 +1.2 33
2019-05-15 @ Slaven Belupo D 1-169.6 1647 1564 45.65% 24.58% 29.77%+0.32 -1.2 49
2019-05-15 Rijeka W 2-167.4 1775 1812 35.97% 24.74% 39.29%-0.07 +13.9 59
2019-05-15 @ Osijek L 1-267.4 1812 1775 39.29% 24.74% 35.97%+0.07 -13.9 63
2019-05-18 Dinamo Zagreb L 2-357.8 1407 1966 3.20% 14.55% 82.25%-2.83 -1.1 31
2019-05-18 @ Inter Zapresic W 3-257.8 1966 1407 82.25% 14.55% 3.20%+2.83 +1.1 89
2019-05-18 Lokomotiva Zagreb W 1-054.5 1798 1646 59.39% 23.22% 17.39%+0.93 +7.5 66
2019-05-18 @ Rijeka L 0-154.5 1646 1798 17.39% 23.22% 59.39%-0.93 -7.5 49
2019-05-19 Istra 1961 W 4-146.0 1794 1396 77.01% 17.54% 5.46%+2.22 +5.3 62
2019-05-19 @ Hajduk Split L 1-446.0 1396 1794 5.46% 17.54% 77.01%-2.22 -5.3 22
2019-05-19 Osijek W 1-064.0 1692 1789 28.07% 24.49% 47.44%-0.39 +17.2 56
2019-05-19 @ Gorica L 0-164.0 1789 1692 47.44% 24.49% 28.07%+0.39 -17.2 59
2019-05-20 Slaven Belupo L 0-146.8 1425 1565 23.24% 24.10% 52.66%-0.62 -9.7 14
2019-05-20 @ Rudes W 1-046.8 1565 1425 52.66% 24.10% 23.24%+0.62 +9.7 36
2019-05-24 Rudes W 2-042.4 1390 1415 37.72% 24.75% 37.53%-0.01 +26.9 25
2019-05-24 @ Istra 1961 L 0-242.4 1415 1390 37.53% 24.75% 37.72%+0.01 -26.9 14
2019-05-25 Rijeka D 1-172.5 1575 1806 15.25% 22.72% 62.03%-1.10 +3.9 37
2019-05-25 @ Slaven Belupo D 1-172.5 1806 1575 62.03% 22.72% 15.25%+1.10 -3.9 67
2019-05-26 Hajduk Split W 3-157.3 1967 1799 60.89% 22.95% 16.16%+1.01 +11.5 92
2019-05-26 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 1-357.3 1799 1967 16.16% 22.95% 60.89%-1.01 -11.5 62
2019-05-26 Gorica L 2-369.0 1638 1709 31.32% 24.64% 44.04%-0.25 -11.1 49
2019-05-26 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb W 3-269.0 1709 1638 44.04% 24.64% 31.32%+0.25 +11.1 59
2019-05-26 Inter Zapresic W 3-148.9 1772 1406 75.25% 18.40% 6.35%+2.05 +4.5 62
2019-05-26 @ Osijek L 1-348.9 1406 1772 6.35% 18.40% 75.25%-2.05 -4.4 31

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2019-04-19 9.52% @ Istra 1961 1417 1 Osijek 1748 0
2 2019-02-03 10.82% Gorica 1584 3 @ Rijeka 1838 1
3 2018-08-19 11.00% Gorica 1481 2 @ Hajduk Split 1731 0
4 2019-04-06 11.52% @ Inter Zapresic 1458 3 Lokomotiva Zagreb 1748 2
5 2018-10-05 12.51% @ Inter Zapresic 1497 2 Lokomotiva Zagreb 1770 1
6 2019-04-27 14.36% @ Osijek 1724 2 Dinamo Zagreb 1968 1
7 2019-04-06 15.22% @ Gorica 1610 1 Rijeka 1842 0
8 2018-09-22 15.53% Gorica 1574 1 @ Osijek 1751 0
9 2018-10-06 16.83% @ Gorica 1570 2 Rijeka 1780 1
10 2019-05-05 18.46% @ Slaven Belupo 1555 1 Osijek 1745 0
11 2019-04-27 18.66% @ Gorica 1638 3 Hajduk Split 1826 0
12 2018-11-24 19.47% Istra 1961 1504 2 @ Gorica 1632 0
13 2019-02-23 20.79% Inter Zapresic 1470 1 @ Slaven Belupo 1584 0
14 2019-02-03 22.56% Hajduk Split 1696 1 @ Osijek 1793 0
15 2019-03-08 25.75% @ Rudes 1362 2 Inter Zapresic 1479 0
16 2018-11-24 25.88% @ Rijeka 1779 1 Dinamo Zagreb 1895 0
17 2018-09-22 26.96% @ Lokomotiva Zagreb 1712 2 Rijeka 1818 0
18 2018-11-30 27.23% Inter Zapresic 1488 2 @ Istra 1961 1542 0
19 2019-05-09 27.27% Rudes 1386 3 @ Inter Zapresic 1439 0
20 2018-09-14 28.05% Istra 1961 1491 2 @ Inter Zapresic 1538 1
21 2019-05-19 28.07% @ Gorica 1692 1 Osijek 1789 0
22 2018-07-29 30.36% @ Osijek 1689 4 Hajduk Split 1768 1
23 2019-05-14 31.31% Inter Zapresic 1391 1 @ Istra 1961 1412 0
24 2019-04-20 31.48% @ Hajduk Split 1769 4 Rijeka 1839 0
25 2018-10-21 32.64% Gorica 1590 1 @ Slaven Belupo 1600 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-04-20 57.63 @ Hajduk Split 4 1769 31.48% Rijeka 0 1839 43.87% 24.65%
2 2019-04-27 56.21 @ Gorica 3 1638 18.66% Hajduk Split 0 1826 57.89% 23.46%
3 2019-05-11 50.89 Osijek 4 1724 37.82% @ Lokomotiva Zagreb 0 1698 37.43% 24.75%
4 2019-05-09 47.80 Rudes 3 1386 27.27% @ Inter Zapresic 0 1439 48.29% 24.44%
5 2018-08-19 44.70 Gorica 2 1481 11.00% @ Hajduk Split 0 1731 67.72% 21.29%
6 2018-10-01 42.08 Istra 1961 3 1496 33.92% @ Rudes 0 1497 41.37% 24.71%
7 2018-08-31 40.52 @ Inter Zapresic 3 1509 35.85% Rudes 0 1546 39.41% 24.74%
8 2019-02-03 38.84 Gorica 3 1584 10.82% @ Rijeka 1 1838 67.97% 21.21%
9 2018-11-24 38.11 Istra 1961 2 1504 19.47% @ Gorica 0 1632 56.93% 23.60%
10 2018-07-29 38.01 @ Osijek 4 1689 30.36% Hajduk Split 1 1768 45.03% 24.61%
11 2019-03-08 33.88 @ Rudes 2 1362 25.75% Inter Zapresic 0 1479 49.92% 24.33%
12 2018-09-22 33.10 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb 2 1712 26.96% Rijeka 0 1818 48.62% 24.42%
13 2018-11-30 32.94 Inter Zapresic 2 1488 27.23% @ Istra 1961 0 1542 48.33% 24.44%
14 2018-12-08 31.97 @ Rijeka 3 1810 46.44% Lokomotiva Zagreb 0 1772 29.02% 24.54%
15 2018-07-28 30.66 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb 4 1659 56.27% Inter Zapresic 0 1537 20.05% 23.69%
16 2019-03-09 30.21 Gorica 3 1604 48.53% @ Istra 1961 0 1498 27.04% 24.42%
17 2019-02-09 29.48 @ Slaven Belupo 2 1565 33.02% Gorica 0 1623 42.29% 24.69%
18 2018-08-25 28.84 @ Gorica 2 1525 34.16% Rudes 0 1575 41.12% 24.72%
19 2019-05-24 26.88 @ Istra 1961 2 1390 37.72% Rudes 0 1415 37.53% 24.75%
20 2018-09-02 26.06 Gorica 2 1554 39.24% @ Istra 1961 0 1517 36.02% 24.74%
21 2018-09-30 25.73 Lokomotiva Zagreb 3 1745 53.71% @ Gorica 0 1595 22.30% 23.99%
22 2018-10-07 25.70 Osijek 2 1749 39.89% @ Hajduk Split 0 1708 35.38% 24.74%
23 2018-12-16 25.06 @ Osijek 6 1767 67.95% Inter Zapresic 0 1514 10.84% 21.22%
24 2019-05-04 24.56 Rijeka 7 1785 70.38% @ Istra 1961 0 1447 9.22% 20.41%
25 2019-04-19 24.37 @ Istra 1961 1 1417 9.52% Osijek 0 1748 69.91% 20.57%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-08-26 82.7 @ Rijeka 3 1823 71.79% Istra 1961 3 1514 8.33% 19.88%
2 2018-11-25 78.4 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb 2 1776 41.77% Osijek 2 1772 33.52% 24.70%
3 2019-03-29 77.7 @ Osijek 2 1735 54.41% Gorica 2 1630 21.68% 23.91%
4 2018-12-14 77.5 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb 2 1740 59.91% Gorica 2 1581 16.96% 23.13%
5 2019-04-06 76.6 @ Inter Zapresic 3 1458 11.52% Lokomotiva Zagreb 2 1748 66.97% 21.51%
6 2018-11-25 76.2 @ Hajduk Split 2 1683 56.63% Slaven Belupo 2 1557 19.73% 23.64%
7 2018-08-04 76.0 @ Gorica 3 1493 27.68% Slaven Belupo 3 1594 47.85% 24.47%
8 2018-08-26 75.2 @ Inter Zapresic 2 1506 19.40% Hajduk Split 2 1686 57.02% 23.58%
9 2019-04-27 74.0 @ Osijek 2 1724 14.36% Dinamo Zagreb 1 1968 63.15% 22.48%
10 2019-03-02 73.3 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb 1 1722 16.72% Dinamo Zagreb 1 1933 60.20% 23.08%
11 2019-01-30 72.9 @ Slaven Belupo 1 1561 12.03% Rijeka 1 1842 66.26% 21.71%
12 2018-08-12 72.8 @ Rijeka 1 1819 52.81% Hajduk Split 1 1728 23.11% 24.08%
13 2018-09-02 72.8 @ Dinamo Zagreb 1 1822 41.55% Rijeka 1 1819 33.74% 24.71%
14 2018-09-16 72.8 @ Rijeka 1 1820 50.54% Osijek 1 1749 25.18% 24.28%
15 2019-04-20 72.7 @ Inter Zapresic 2 1460 19.31% Gorica 2 1641 57.13% 23.57%
16 2018-07-27 72.5 @ Dinamo Zagreb 1 1786 62.99% Rudes 1 1594 14.49% 22.52%
17 2019-03-10 72.5 @ Osijek 1 1754 45.12% Lokomotiva Zagreb 1 1725 30.28% 24.60%
18 2019-05-25 72.5 @ Slaven Belupo 1 1575 15.25% Rijeka 1 1806 62.03% 22.72%
19 2018-10-05 72.3 @ Inter Zapresic 2 1497 12.51% Lokomotiva Zagreb 1 1770 65.60% 21.89%
20 2018-10-28 72.3 @ Hajduk Split 1 1662 27.23% Rijeka 1 1766 48.33% 24.44%
21 2018-11-30 72.3 @ Lokomotiva Zagreb 1 1776 65.10% Slaven Belupo 1 1559 12.88% 22.02%
22 2018-08-05 72.2 @ Hajduk Split 1 1730 46.62% Lokomotiva Zagreb 1 1689 28.84% 24.53%
23 2018-10-06 72.0 @ Gorica 2 1570 16.83% Rijeka 1 1780 60.07% 23.10%
24 2019-03-03 72.0 @ Osijek 1 1758 63.18% Slaven Belupo 1 1564 14.35% 22.48%
25 2018-08-24 71.9 @ Osijek 1 1741 59.52% Slaven Belupo 1 1587 17.28% 23.20%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-03-16 40.5 @ Hajduk Split 3 1747 74.38% Rudes 0 1396 6.83% 18.79%
2 2019-04-13 41.8 Dinamo Zagreb 4 1961 81.36% @ Istra 1961 0 1422 3.54% 15.10%
3 2018-12-16 42.2 @ Istra 1961 1 1498 55.47% Rudes 0 1383 20.74% 23.79%
4 2019-04-12 42.3 @ Osijek 2 1743 74.25% Rudes 0 1394 6.90% 18.85%
5 2019-05-24 42.4 @ Istra 1961 2 1390 37.72% Rudes 0 1415 37.53% 24.75%
6 2018-10-26 42.7 Lokomotiva Zagreb 4 1769 70.02% @ Rudes 0 1436 9.45% 20.53%
7 2018-10-07 43.9 Dinamo Zagreb 3 1830 72.82% @ Rudes 0 1455 7.71% 19.46%
8 2019-04-07 43.9 Dinamo Zagreb 2 1958 82.37% @ Rudes 0 1397 3.16% 14.47%
9 2019-05-09 43.9 Rudes 3 1386 27.27% @ Inter Zapresic 0 1439 48.29% 24.44%
10 2018-08-03 44.2 @ Rijeka 4 1805 71.16% Inter Zapresic 0 1506 8.72% 20.12%
11 2019-02-02 44.3 @ Dinamo Zagreb 7 1894 82.73% Rudes 2 1375 3.02% 14.24%
12 2019-03-02 44.7 @ Gorica 3 1595 65.68% Rudes 1 1371 12.45% 21.87%
13 2019-04-13 44.8 @ Rijeka 7 1820 73.83% Inter Zapresic 0 1479 7.13% 19.04%
14 2019-05-04 44.8 Rijeka 7 1785 70.38% @ Istra 1961 0 1447 9.22% 20.41%
15 2018-11-10 44.9 @ Hajduk Split 3 1663 60.87% Inter Zapresic 0 1495 16.18% 22.95%
16 2019-02-10 45.0 Rijeka 3 1799 69.05% @ Inter Zapresic 0 1480 10.09% 20.86%
17 2018-11-05 45.1 @ Rijeka 5 1764 73.94% Rudes 1 1421 7.07% 18.99%
18 2018-11-23 45.6 Inter Zapresic 1 1476 44.03% @ Rudes 0 1405 31.33% 24.64%
19 2019-02-08 45.6 Osijek 1 1773 74.45% @ Rudes 0 1371 6.79% 18.76%
20 2018-12-01 45.7 Hajduk Split 4 1680 66.76% @ Rudes 1 1392 11.67% 21.57%
21 2019-03-30 45.7 Hajduk Split 2 1755 68.41% @ Istra 1961 0 1445 10.52% 21.07%
22 2018-12-16 45.8 @ Osijek 6 1767 67.95% Inter Zapresic 0 1514 10.84% 21.22%
23 2019-02-17 45.9 @ Dinamo Zagreb 3 1900 71.63% Slaven Belupo 0 1594 8.43% 19.94%
24 2019-05-19 46.0 @ Hajduk Split 4 1794 77.01% Istra 1961 1 1396 5.46% 17.54%
25 2018-11-09 46.2 Gorica 1 1625 60.31% @ Rudes 0 1412 16.64% 23.06%