2019-20 Prva HNL Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Dinamo Zagreb

80 points · 21st Title

Last Title: 2018-19

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Lokomotiva Zagreb

14.86 points above expected

65 points · 50.14 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Inter Zapresic

8.16 points below expected

17 points · 25.16 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Dinamo Zagreb Champion	36	25	5	6	80	62	20	+42	81.84	-1.84
2	Lokomotiva Zagreb	36	19	8	9	65	57	38	+19	50.14	+14.86
3	Rijeka	36	19	7	10	64	58	42	+16	63.47	+0.53
4	Osijek	36	17	11	8	62	47	29	+18	64.06	-2.06
5	Hajduk Split	36	18	6	12	60	60	41	+19	64.28	-4.28
6	Gorica	36	12	13	11	49	44	48	-4	53.86	-4.86
7	Slaven Belupo	36	10	9	17	39	34	51	-17	38.68	+0.32
8	Varazdin	36	9	9	18	36	29	50	-21	34.00	+2.00
9	Istra 1961	36	5	10	21	25	27	59	-32	28.20	-3.20
10	Inter Zapresic	36	3	8	25	17	32	72	-40	25.16	-8.16

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Lokomotiva Zagreb	65	50.14	+14.86
2	Varazdin	36	34.00	+2.00
3	Rijeka	64	63.47	+0.53
4	Slaven Belupo	39	38.68	+0.32
5	Dinamo Zagreb	80	81.84	-1.84

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Inter Zapresic	17	25.16	-8.16
2	Gorica	49	53.86	-4.86
3	Hajduk Split	60	64.28	-4.28
4	Istra 1961	25	28.20	-3.20
5	Osijek	62	64.06	-2.06

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Varazdin	3	Jun 16 – Jun 25	1 in 35
2	Lokomotiva Zagreb	5	Feb 14 – Mar 9	1 in 32
3	Dinamo Zagreb	6	Sep 27 – Nov 10	1 in 16
4	Gorica	2	Oct 26 – Nov 2	1 in 14
5	Rijeka	4	Nov 24 – Dec 14	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Inter Zapresic	15	Feb 15 – Jul 25	1 in 858
2	Dinamo Zagreb	2	Jul 5 – Jul 12	1 in 35
3	Osijek	2	Jul 18 – Jul 25	1 in 27
4	Rijeka	3	Oct 26 – Nov 10	1 in 25
5	Slaven Belupo	4	Sep 28 – Oct 26	1 in 7

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Inter Zapresic	4	Dec 7 – Feb 8	1 in 82
2	Lokomotiva Zagreb	9	Jun 12 – Jul 25	1 in 60
3	Osijek	9	Mar 7 – Jul 11	1 in 27
4	Varazdin	4	Jun 12 – Jun 25	1 in 18
5	Hajduk Split	7	Aug 31 – Oct 26	1 in 7

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rijeka	5	Jun 12 – Jul 1	1 in 49
2	Istra 1961	17	Aug 10 – Jan 31	1 in 46
3	Dinamo Zagreb	3	Jul 5 – Jul 18	1 in 34
4	Inter Zapresic	16	Feb 8 – Jul 25	1 in 17
5	Varazdin	9	Oct 25 – Feb 7	1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Dinamo Zagreb	1889	80	-25	7	11.9	-4.9
Lokomotiva Zagreb	1688	65	+13	11	9.1	+1.9
Rijeka	1752	64	+21	12	8.0	+4.0
Osijek	1741	62	-4	9	9.5	-0.5
Hajduk Split	1711	60	-9	6	7.2	-1.2
Gorica	1645	49	-2	6	8.6	-2.6
Slaven Belupo	1548	39	+8	8	7.5	+0.5
Varazdin	1509	36	+20	9	3.6	+5.4
Istra 1961	1416	25	-8	2	2.5	-0.5
Inter Zapresic	1361	17	-14	0	2.3	-2.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	DZ	GOR	HS	IZ	I1	LZ	OSI	RIJ	SB	VAR
Dinamo Zagreb	—	3-1-0 8.60	1-1-2 7.73	4-0-0 10.56	3-1-0 10.43	3-0-1 8.84	1-2-1 7.82	3-0-1 7.79	4-0-0 9.65	3-0-1 10.09
Gorica	0-1-3 2.62	—	2-0-2 4.50	2-2-0 8.64	1-3-0 8.55	0-2-2 5.80	1-1-2 4.52	3-1-0 4.34	1-2-1 7.17	2-1-1 7.91
Hajduk Split	2-1-1 3.40	2-0-2 6.54	—	3-1-0 9.48	3-1-0 9.18	2-1-1 7.06	1-1-2 5.57	0-1-3 5.60	2-0-2 8.26	3-0-1 8.61
Inter Zapresic	0-0-4 1.03	0-2-2 2.59	0-1-3 1.88	—	1-1-2 5.17	0-0-4 2.83	0-2-2 1.91	0-1-3 1.91	1-0-3 3.77	1-1-2 4.47
Istra 1961	0-1-3 1.13	0-3-1 2.66	0-1-3 2.12	2-1-1 5.87	—	0-1-3 3.11	1-1-2 2.10	0-0-4 2.06	0-2-2 4.14	2-0-2 4.85
Lokomotiva Zagreb	1-0-3 2.42	2-2-0 5.24	1-1-2 4.02	4-0-0 8.38	3-1-0 8.03	—	2-0-2 4.36	1-2-1 3.83	2-1-1 6.97	3-1-0 7.41
Osijek	1-2-1 3.31	2-1-1 6.53	2-1-1 5.45	2-2-0 9.44	2-1-1 9.22	2-0-2 6.69	—	2-1-1 5.47	3-1-0 8.00	1-2-1 8.74
Rijeka	1-0-3 3.33	0-1-3 6.72	3-1-0 5.43	3-1-0 9.45	4-0-0 9.27	1-2-1 7.24	1-1-2 5.55	—	3-0-1 8.33	3-1-0 8.76
Slaven Belupo	0-0-4 1.75	1-2-1 3.91	2-0-2 2.91	3-0-1 7.33	2-2-0 6.93	1-1-2 4.08	0-1-3 3.14	1-0-3 2.85	—	0-3-1 6.28
Varazdin	1-0-3 1.40	1-1-2 3.23	1-0-3 2.62	2-1-1 6.59	2-0-2 6.18	0-1-3 3.70	1-2-1 2.50	0-1-3 2.48	1-3-0 4.76	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.84	+13.3
Allowed	0.90	-12.9
Differential	0.99	+7.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.44%	9.44%	7.78%	3.89%	1.67%	0.56%	32.78%
1	9.44%	10.00%	5.56%	4.44%	1.11%	0.28%	30.83%
2	7.78%	5.56%	3.89%	2.78%	0.56%	—	20.56%
3	3.89%	4.44%	2.78%	0.56%	—	—	11.67%
4	1.67%	1.11%	0.56%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	0.56%	0.28%	—	—	—	—	0.83%
Total	32.78%	30.83%	20.56%	11.67%	3.33%	0.83%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	1.25	+0.00
SD	1.19	1.19	1.82
CV	0.95	0.95	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	25.00%
1	19.44%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	22.22%
2	13.89%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
3	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	19.44%
4	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	61.11%	25.00%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.72	0.56	+1.17
SD	1.41	0.81	1.58
CV	0.82	1.46	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	33.33%
1	2.78%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	25.00%
2	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	27.78%
3	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	30.56%	19.44%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	1.33	-0.11
SD	1.07	1.41	1.92
CV	0.88	1.06	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	19.44%
1	8.33%	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
2	8.33%	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
3	11.11%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	19.44%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	36.11%	30.56%	19.44%	11.11%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.67	1.14	+0.53
SD	1.33	1.13	1.93
CV	0.80	0.99	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.89%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	33.33%
1	2.78%	13.89%	11.11%	13.89%	8.33%	—	50.00%
2	2.78%	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
3	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.56%	30.56%	30.56%	25.00%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.89	2.00	-1.11
SD	0.82	1.07	1.30
CV	0.92	0.53	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	11.11%	19.44%	11.11%	—	—	50.00%
1	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	27.78%
2	5.56%	—	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	19.44%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	25.00%	33.33%	16.67%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.75	1.64	-0.89
SD	0.87	1.15	1.45
CV	1.17	0.70	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	13.89%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	30.56%
1	2.78%	13.89%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
2	13.89%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	—	30.56%
3	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	27.78%	55.56%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.58	1.06	+0.53
SD	1.44	1.04	2.02
CV	0.91	0.99	—
Max	6	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	27.78%
1	19.44%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	36.11%
2	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
3	—	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	50.00%	27.78%	13.89%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	0.81	+0.50
SD	1.17	0.98	1.32
CV	0.89	1.22	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	22.22%
1	11.11%	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	—	30.56%
2	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
3	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	36.11%	19.44%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.61	1.17	+0.44
SD	1.29	1.21	1.96
CV	0.80	1.03	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	8.33%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	44.44%
1	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	—	2.78%	27.78%
2	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
3	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	25.00%	19.44%	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.94	1.42	-0.47
SD	1.04	1.42	1.83
CV	1.10	1.00	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	11.11%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	41.67%
1	16.67%	8.33%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	41.67%
2	—	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	—	11.11%
3	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	22.22%	33.33%	16.67%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.81	1.39	-0.58
SD	0.86	1.08	1.40
CV	1.06	0.78	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Dinamo Zagreb	1889	80	81.84	-1.84	41.0%	62	71	78	82	86	92	94
Rijeka	1752	64	63.47	+0.53	55.0%	47	51	58	64	69	75	82
Osijek	1741	62	64.06	-2.06	45.0%	41	52	58	63	68	77	87
Hajduk Split	1711	60	64.28	-4.28	28.0%	51	54	60	65	69	75	77
Lokomotiva Zagreb	1688	65	50.14	+14.86	98.0%	29	39	45	50	54	64	69
Gorica	1645	49	53.86	-4.86	29.0%	34	42	49	53	59	67	71
Slaven Belupo	1548	39	38.68	+0.32	55.0%	23	26	33	38	44	49	57
Varazdin	1509	36	34.00	+2.00	66.0%	22	24	30	34	38	44	50
Istra 1961	1416	25	28.20	-3.20	32.0%	14	21	24	28	31	39	43
Inter Zapresic	1361	17	25.16	-8.16	14.0%	11	14	21	24	30	34	42

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 18.5% * Slight Edge: 18.5% to 25.5% * Clear Edge: 25.5% to 33% * Strong Edge: 33% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+25.00%

Slight Edge

50.56%23.89%25.56%

Elo Value

Home Edge

245 Elo

0.004 goals per Elo point

088.74800

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.42 goals

Neutral

-2+0.36+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.13 * Tight Race: 0.13 to 0.23 * Comfortable: 0.23 to 0.46 * Runaway: 0.46 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.3

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

89%

Dinamo Zagreb, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.42/gm

Comfortable

00.340.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.49 * Some Luck: 5.49 to 8.23 * Lucky: 8.23 to 10.98 * Wild Swing: 10.98 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.62 * Close: 0.62 to 0.93 * Off: 0.93 to 1.24 * Way Off: 1.24 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.89 points

Some Luck

06.8617

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

Off

00.782

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

98.00%

Lokomotiva Zagreb

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

14.00%

Inter Zapresic

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.22 * Lopsided: 0.22 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 67% * Clear Edge: 67% to 71% * Wide Edge: 71% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90% * Clear Edge: 90% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58% * Some Drama: 58% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 64% * Very Frequent: 64% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 16.5% * Frequent: 16.5% to 19.5% * Very Frequent: 19.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.21

Top-Heavy

00.170.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 164.72

2.51

Wide Separation

11.852.353.5

Interquartile Edge

77%

Wide Edge

50%65%71%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 96%

95%

Strong Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

59%

Some Drama

0%59%100%

Blowouts

Expected

15%

Occasional

0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.46 * Lopsided: 0.46 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.65 * Strong Carryover: 0.65 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 21.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 21.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 17% * Very Shaky: 17% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.53

Highly Predictable

00.532

Matchup Imbalance

0.51

Lopsided

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.71

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.87

Near-Lock

00.570.791

Upset Rate

Expected

16%

Chalky

0%19%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

13%

As Expected

0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.

Probability calibration

0.97

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.10

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.074

Well Within Noise

00.1210.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Dinamo Zagreb	89.00%	9.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Lokomotiva Zagreb	—	3.00%	4.00%	6.00%	31.00%	43.00%	10.00%	3.00%	—	—
Rijeka	3.00%	27.00%	31.00%	22.00%	11.00%	6.00%	—	—	—	—
Osijek	4.00%	29.00%	21.00%	35.00%	10.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—
Hajduk Split	3.00%	29.00%	32.00%	22.00%	10.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	—
Gorica	1.00%	3.00%	10.00%	15.00%	35.00%	28.00%	8.00%	—	—	—
Slaven Belupo	—	—	—	—	3.00%	16.00%	47.00%	22.00%	10.00%	2.00%
Varazdin	—	—	—	—	—	3.00%	23.00%	46.00%	21.00%	7.00%
Istra 1961	—	—	—	—	—	—	9.00%	17.00%	40.00%	34.00%
Inter Zapresic	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	12.00%	29.00%	57.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Lost relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Dinamo Zagreb	100%	—	—
Gorica	100%	—	—
Hajduk Split	100%	—	—
Lokomotiva Zagreb	100%	—	—
Osijek	100%	—	—
Rijeka	100%	—	—
Slaven Belupo	88.00%	10.00%	2.00%
Varazdin	72.00%	21.00%	7.00%
Inter Zapresic	14.00%	29.00%	57.00%
Istra 1961	—	100%	—

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2019-07-19	Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 3-0	44.2	1851	1600	75.77%	15.18%	9.05%	+1.39	+4.3	3
2019-07-19	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-3	44.2	1600	1851	9.05%	15.18%	75.77%	-1.39	-4.3	0
2019-07-19	Slaven Belupo	W 2-0	47.5	1712	1566	66.16%	19.68%	14.17%	+0.96	+4.9	3
2019-07-19	@ Osijek	L 0-2	47.5	1566	1712	14.17%	19.68%	66.16%	-0.96	-4.9	0
2019-07-20	Inter Zapresic	D 1-1	70.3	1668	1436	74.16%	16.00%	9.84%	+1.31	-2.4	1
2019-07-20	@ Gorica	D 1-1	70.3	1436	1668	9.84%	16.00%	74.16%	-1.31	+2.4	1
2019-07-20	Varazdin	W 2-1	55.0	1731	1526	71.77%	17.18%	11.05%	+1.20	+1.9	3
2019-07-20	@ Rijeka	L 1-2	55.0	1526	1731	11.05%	17.18%	71.77%	-1.20	-1.9	0
2019-07-21	Istra 1961	W 2-0	42.0	1720	1450	77.18%	14.44%	8.39%	+1.46	+2.7	3
2019-07-21	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-2	42.0	1450	1720	8.39%	14.44%	77.18%	-1.46	-2.7	0
2019-07-26	Istra 1961	L 0-2	47.4	1438	1447	48.34%	24.59%	27.07%	+0.33	-14.7	1
2019-07-26	@ Inter Zapresic	W 2-0	47.4	1447	1438	27.07%	24.59%	48.34%	-0.33	+14.6	3
2019-07-27	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-3	47.8	1561	1856	15.95%	20.81%	63.24%	-0.84	-8.1	0
2019-07-27	@ Slaven Belupo	W 3-0	47.8	1856	1561	63.24%	20.81%	15.95%	+0.84	+8.1	6
2019-07-27	Rijeka	L 0-1	58.1	1595	1733	30.76%	25.06%	44.18%	-0.20	-5.5	0
2019-07-27	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 1-0	58.1	1733	1595	44.18%	25.06%	30.76%	+0.20	+5.5	6
2019-07-28	Hajduk Split	L 0-3	49.2	1524	1722	23.85%	23.93%	52.22%	-0.45	-12.1	0
2019-07-28	@ Varazdin	W 3-0	49.2	1722	1524	52.22%	23.93%	23.85%	+0.45	+12.1	6
2019-07-28	Osijek	W 3-1	61.8	1666	1717	42.73%	25.17%	32.10%	+0.16	+9.2	4
2019-07-28	@ Gorica	L 1-3	61.8	1717	1666	32.10%	25.17%	42.73%	-0.16	-9.2	3
2019-08-02	Gorica	W 3-1	54.2	1864	1675	70.29%	17.87%	11.83%	+1.13	+3.5	9
2019-08-02	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-3	54.2	1675	1864	11.83%	17.87%	70.29%	-1.13	-3.5	4
2019-08-03	Slaven Belupo	W 3-1	52.6	1738	1553	69.96%	18.02%	12.01%	+1.12	+3.5	9
2019-08-03	@ Rijeka	L 1-3	52.6	1553	1738	12.01%	18.02%	69.96%	-1.12	-3.5	0
2019-08-03	Varazdin	W 3-1	51.8	1462	1512	42.86%	25.16%	31.98%	+0.16	+9.2	6
2019-08-03	@ Istra 1961	L 1-3	51.8	1512	1462	31.98%	25.16%	42.86%	-0.16	-9.2	0
2019-08-04	Inter Zapresic	W 3-1	46.7	1707	1424	78.26%	13.86%	7.89%	+1.52	+2.2	6
2019-08-04	@ Osijek	L 1-3	46.7	1424	1707	7.89%	13.86%	78.26%	-1.52	-2.2	1
2019-08-04	Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 3-0	46.2	1735	1590	66.07%	19.71%	14.22%	+0.95	+7.2	9
2019-08-04	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-3	46.2	1590	1735	14.22%	19.71%	66.07%	-0.95	-7.2	0
2019-08-09	Dinamo Zagreb	D 0-0	68.6	1710	1867	28.27%	24.77%	46.95%	-0.28	+0.7	7
2019-08-09	@ Osijek	D 0-0	68.6	1867	1710	46.95%	24.77%	28.27%	+0.28	-0.7	10
2019-08-10	Istra 1961	W 4-1	45.9	1583	1471	62.62%	21.03%	16.35%	+0.82	+7.0	3
2019-08-10	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 1-4	45.9	1471	1583	16.35%	21.03%	62.62%	-0.82	-7.0	6
2019-08-10	Varazdin	D 2-2	67.1	1422	1503	38.42%	25.34%	36.24%	+0.03	-0.1	2
2019-08-10	@ Inter Zapresic	D 2-2	67.1	1503	1422	36.24%	25.34%	38.42%	-0.03	+0.1	1
2019-08-11	Hajduk Split	W 2-1	69.7	1549	1742	24.49%	24.08%	51.42%	-0.42	+7.7	3
2019-08-11	@ Slaven Belupo	L 1-2	69.7	1742	1549	51.42%	24.08%	24.49%	+0.42	-7.7	9
2019-08-11	Rijeka	W 2-0	56.7	1672	1742	40.02%	25.30%	34.68%	+0.08	+11.3	7
2019-08-11	@ Gorica	L 0-2	56.7	1742	1672	34.68%	25.30%	40.02%	-0.08	-11.3	9
2019-08-16	Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-2	53.9	1421	1867	8.46%	14.51%	77.03%	-1.46	-1.4	2
2019-08-16	@ Inter Zapresic	W 2-1	53.9	1867	1421	77.03%	14.51%	8.46%	+1.46	+1.4	13
2019-08-17	Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 1-1	67.1	1503	1590	37.58%	25.35%	37.07%	+0.01	-0.0	2
2019-08-17	@ Varazdin	D 1-1	67.1	1590	1503	37.07%	25.35%	37.58%	-0.01	+0.0	4
2019-08-17	Slaven Belupo	L 2-3	63.6	1464	1557	36.74%	25.34%	37.92%	-0.02	-5.6	6
2019-08-17	@ Istra 1961	W 3-2	63.6	1557	1464	37.92%	25.34%	36.74%	+0.02	+5.6	6
2019-08-18	Gorica	W 3-0	50.0	1734	1683	55.85%	23.11%	21.04%	+0.57	+10.7	12
2019-08-18	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-3	50.0	1683	1734	21.04%	23.11%	55.85%	-0.57	-10.7	7
2019-08-18	Osijek	D 1-1	73.5	1730	1710	52.09%	23.96%	23.96%	+0.44	-1.0	10
2019-08-18	@ Rijeka	D 1-1	73.5	1710	1730	23.96%	23.96%	52.09%	-0.44	+1.0	8
2019-08-24	Varazdin	D 1-1	67.0	1563	1503	56.92%	22.83%	20.25%	+0.61	-1.3	7
2019-08-24	@ Slaven Belupo	D 1-1	67.0	1503	1563	20.25%	22.83%	56.92%	-0.61	+1.3	3
2019-08-25	Hajduk Split	W 1-0	58.8	1711	1745	45.08%	24.98%	29.94%	+0.23	+5.3	11
2019-08-25	@ Osijek	L 0-1	58.8	1745	1711	29.94%	24.98%	45.08%	-0.23	-5.3	12
2019-08-25	Istra 1961	D 1-1	70.9	1672	1459	72.54%	16.81%	10.66%	+1.23	-2.3	8
2019-08-25	@ Gorica	D 1-1	70.9	1459	1672	10.66%	16.81%	72.54%	-1.23	+2.3	7
2019-08-25	Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 1-2	54.9	1420	1590	26.93%	24.57%	48.50%	-0.33	-4.6	2
2019-08-25	@ Inter Zapresic	W 2-1	54.9	1590	1420	48.50%	24.57%	26.93%	+0.33	+4.6	7
2019-08-30	Slaven Belupo	W 6-1	49.4	1594	1561	53.67%	23.63%	22.71%	+0.50	+15.4	10
2019-08-30	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 1-6	49.4	1561	1594	22.71%	23.63%	53.67%	-0.50	-15.4	7
2019-08-31	Dinamo Zagreb	W 1-0	63.2	1739	1868	31.87%	25.15%	42.97%	-0.16	+7.1	15
2019-08-31	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-1	63.2	1868	1739	42.97%	25.15%	31.87%	+0.16	-7.1	13
2019-08-31	Osijek	D 0-0	65.5	1461	1717	18.78%	22.23%	58.99%	-0.68	+1.6	8
2019-08-31	@ Istra 1961	D 0-0	65.5	1717	1461	58.99%	22.23%	18.78%	+0.68	-1.6	12
2019-09-01	Gorica	L 1-3	57.0	1504	1670	27.33%	24.63%	48.03%	-0.32	-8.1	3
2019-09-01	@ Varazdin	W 3-1	57.0	1670	1504	48.03%	24.63%	27.33%	+0.32	+8.1	11
2019-09-01	Inter Zapresic	D 1-1	72.6	1729	1415	80.45%	12.64%	6.90%	+1.64	-2.7	11
2019-09-01	@ Rijeka	D 1-1	72.6	1415	1729	6.90%	12.64%	80.45%	-1.64	+2.7	3
2019-09-13	Istra 1961	W 1-0	45.6	1861	1463	85.74%	9.58%	4.68%	+1.99	+0.7	16
2019-09-13	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	45.6	1463	1861	4.68%	9.58%	85.74%	-1.99	-0.7	8
2019-09-14	Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 0-0	67.5	1678	1610	57.89%	22.56%	19.55%	+0.64	-1.5	12
2019-09-14	@ Gorica	D 0-0	67.5	1610	1678	19.55%	22.56%	57.89%	-0.64	+1.5	11
2019-09-14	Slaven Belupo	W 3-1	54.7	1418	1546	31.97%	25.16%	42.87%	-0.16	+11.5	6
2019-09-14	@ Inter Zapresic	L 1-3	54.7	1546	1418	42.87%	25.16%	31.97%	+0.16	-11.5	7
2019-09-15	Hajduk Split	D 1-1	73.4	1727	1746	46.93%	24.78%	28.30%	+0.28	-0.6	12
2019-09-15	@ Rijeka	D 1-1	73.4	1746	1727	28.30%	24.78%	46.93%	-0.28	+0.6	16
2019-09-15	Varazdin	D 2-2	79.1	1715	1496	73.01%	16.57%	10.42%	+1.26	-1.7	13
2019-09-15	@ Osijek	D 2-2	79.1	1496	1715	10.42%	16.57%	73.01%	-1.26	+1.7	4
2019-09-20	Osijek	W 2-1	66.8	1611	1713	35.45%	25.32%	39.23%	-0.05	+6.2	14
2019-09-20	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 1-2	66.8	1713	1611	39.23%	25.32%	35.45%	+0.05	-6.2	13
2019-09-21	Dinamo Zagreb	W 1-0	68.1	1498	1862	11.94%	17.96%	70.10%	-1.12	+10.5	7
2019-09-21	@ Varazdin	L 0-1	68.1	1862	1498	70.10%	17.96%	11.94%	+1.12	-10.5	16
2019-09-21	Gorica	W 2-0	57.1	1535	1677	30.18%	25.00%	44.81%	-0.22	+13.8	10
2019-09-21	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-2	57.1	1677	1535	44.81%	25.00%	30.18%	+0.22	-13.8	12
2019-09-22	Inter Zapresic	W 3-1	47.3	1747	1430	80.70%	12.50%	6.79%	+1.66	+1.8	19
2019-09-22	@ Hajduk Split	L 1-3	47.3	1430	1747	6.79%	12.50%	80.70%	-1.66	-1.8	6
2019-09-22	Rijeka	L 0-3	45.7	1462	1726	18.12%	21.94%	59.94%	-0.72	-9.3	8
2019-09-22	@ Istra 1961	W 3-0	45.7	1726	1462	59.94%	21.94%	18.12%	+0.72	+9.3	15
2019-09-27	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-4	49.9	1617	1851	20.58%	22.95%	56.47%	-0.59	-13.7	14
2019-09-27	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 4-0	49.9	1851	1617	56.47%	22.95%	20.58%	+0.59	+13.7	19
2019-09-28	Osijek	L 0-4	50.7	1548	1707	28.18%	24.76%	47.06%	-0.29	-18.2	10
2019-09-28	@ Slaven Belupo	W 4-0	50.7	1707	1548	47.06%	24.76%	28.18%	+0.29	+18.2	16
2019-09-28	Rijeka	L 0-2	50.1	1508	1735	21.16%	23.15%	55.69%	-0.57	-7.4	7
2019-09-28	@ Varazdin	W 2-0	50.1	1735	1508	55.69%	23.15%	21.16%	+0.57	+7.4	18
2019-09-29	Hajduk Split	D 1-1	71.6	1453	1749	15.84%	20.74%	63.42%	-0.85	+1.8	9
2019-09-29	@ Istra 1961	D 1-1	71.6	1749	1453	63.42%	20.74%	15.84%	+0.85	-1.8	20
2019-09-29	Gorica	L 0-2	45.8	1428	1663	20.48%	22.91%	56.61%	-0.60	-7.2	6
2019-09-29	@ Inter Zapresic	W 2-0	45.8	1663	1428	56.61%	22.91%	20.48%	+0.60	+7.2	15
2019-10-04	Inter Zapresic	D 2-2	66.1	1454	1421	53.77%	23.60%	22.63%	+0.50	-0.8	10
2019-10-04	@ Istra 1961	D 2-2	66.1	1421	1454	22.63%	23.60%	53.77%	-0.50	+0.8	7
2019-10-05	Gorica	W 2-1	61.2	1725	1670	56.35%	22.98%	20.67%	+0.59	+3.6	19
2019-10-05	@ Osijek	L 1-2	61.2	1670	1725	20.67%	22.98%	56.35%	-0.59	-3.6	15
2019-10-05	Slaven Belupo	W 1-0	47.4	1865	1530	81.88%	11.84%	6.28%	+1.73	+1.0	22
2019-10-05	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	47.4	1530	1865	6.28%	11.84%	81.88%	-1.73	-1.0	10
2019-10-05	Varazdin	W 2-0	44.3	1747	1501	75.32%	15.41%	9.27%	+1.37	+3.0	23
2019-10-05	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-2	44.3	1501	1747	9.27%	15.41%	75.32%	-1.37	-3.0	7
2019-10-06	Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 1-1	74.0	1743	1604	65.50%	19.94%	14.56%	+0.93	-1.9	19
2019-10-06	@ Rijeka	D 1-1	74.0	1604	1743	14.56%	19.94%	65.50%	-0.93	+1.9	15
2019-10-18	Dinamo Zagreb	L 2-4	63.2	1666	1866	23.75%	23.90%	52.34%	-0.45	-6.4	15
2019-10-18	@ Gorica	W 4-2	63.2	1866	1666	52.34%	23.90%	23.75%	+0.45	+6.4	25
2019-10-19	Istra 1961	W 1-0	44.7	1498	1454	55.04%	23.31%	21.65%	+0.54	+4.0	10
2019-10-19	@ Varazdin	L 0-1	44.7	1454	1498	21.65%	23.31%	55.04%	-0.54	-4.0	10
2019-10-19	Rijeka	L 1-2	60.6	1529	1741	22.58%	23.59%	53.84%	-0.50	-3.9	10
2019-10-19	@ Slaven Belupo	W 2-1	60.6	1741	1529	53.84%	23.59%	22.58%	+0.50	+4.0	22
2019-10-20	Hajduk Split	D 0-0	67.5	1606	1750	29.86%	24.97%	45.18%	-0.23	+0.6	16
2019-10-20	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 0-0	67.5	1750	1606	45.18%	24.97%	29.86%	+0.23	-0.6	24
2019-10-20	Osijek	D 3-3	80.1	1421	1729	15.13%	20.31%	64.56%	-0.89	+1.1	8
2019-10-20	@ Inter Zapresic	D 3-3	80.1	1729	1421	64.56%	20.31%	15.13%	+0.89	-1.1	20
2019-10-25	Inter Zapresic	L 0-1	54.6	1502	1423	59.10%	22.20%	18.70%	+0.69	-9.2	10
2019-10-25	@ Varazdin	W 1-0	54.6	1423	1502	18.70%	22.20%	59.10%	-0.69	+9.2	11
2019-10-26	Gorica	L 1-2	72.7	1745	1660	59.75%	22.00%	18.25%	+0.71	-8.7	22
2019-10-26	@ Rijeka	W 2-1	72.7	1660	1745	18.25%	22.00%	59.75%	-0.71	+8.7	18
2019-10-26	Slaven Belupo	W 2-0	45.3	1750	1525	73.48%	16.34%	10.18%	+1.28	+3.4	27
2019-10-26	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-2	45.3	1525	1750	10.18%	16.34%	73.48%	-1.28	-3.4	10
2019-10-27	Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 0-2	47.6	1449	1606	28.42%	24.79%	46.79%	-0.28	-9.7	10
2019-10-27	@ Istra 1961	W 2-0	47.6	1606	1449	46.79%	24.79%	28.42%	+0.28	+9.6	19
2019-10-27	Osijek	W 1-0	52.9	1872	1728	66.06%	19.71%	14.22%	+0.95	+2.6	28
2019-10-27	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	52.9	1728	1872	14.22%	19.71%	66.06%	-0.95	-2.6	20
2019-11-02	Hajduk Split	W 2-1	66.9	1669	1753	37.96%	25.34%	36.70%	+0.02	+5.9	21
2019-11-02	@ Gorica	L 1-2	66.9	1753	1669	36.70%	25.34%	37.96%	-0.02	-5.9	27
2019-11-02	Inter Zapresic	W 1-0	44.7	1875	1432	88.05%	8.17%	3.77%	+2.17	+0.6	31
2019-11-02	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	44.7	1432	1875	3.77%	8.17%	88.05%	-2.17	-0.6	11
2019-11-03	Istra 1961	D 0-0	58.3	1522	1440	59.42%	22.10%	18.48%	+0.70	-1.7	11
2019-11-03	@ Slaven Belupo	D 0-0	58.3	1440	1522	18.48%	22.10%	59.42%	-0.70	+1.7	11
2019-11-03	Rijeka	W 3-2	69.1	1725	1736	48.10%	24.62%	27.28%	+0.32	+4.4	23
2019-11-03	@ Osijek	L 2-3	69.1	1736	1725	27.28%	24.62%	48.10%	-0.32	-4.4	22
2019-11-04	Varazdin	W 2-1	53.8	1616	1493	63.88%	20.57%	15.55%	+0.87	+2.7	22
2019-11-04	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 1-2	53.8	1493	1616	15.55%	20.57%	63.88%	-0.87	-2.7	10
2019-11-08	Gorica	D 2-2	74.7	1442	1675	20.64%	22.97%	56.39%	-0.59	+1.0	12
2019-11-08	@ Istra 1961	D 2-2	74.7	1675	1442	56.39%	22.97%	20.64%	+0.59	-1.0	22
2019-11-09	Inter Zapresic	W 3-1	46.5	1619	1431	70.16%	17.93%	11.90%	+1.13	+3.5	25
2019-11-09	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 1-3	46.5	1431	1619	11.90%	17.93%	70.16%	-1.13	-3.5	11
2019-11-09	Slaven Belupo	D 0-0	59.2	1490	1520	45.52%	24.93%	29.55%	+0.24	-0.6	11
2019-11-09	@ Varazdin	D 0-0	59.2	1520	1490	29.55%	24.93%	45.52%	-0.24	+0.6	12
2019-11-10	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-5	54.3	1732	1876	29.95%	24.98%	45.07%	-0.23	-23.6	22
2019-11-10	@ Rijeka	W 5-0	54.3	1876	1732	45.07%	24.98%	29.95%	+0.23	+23.6	34
2019-11-10	Osijek	W 3-2	68.1	1747	1729	51.78%	24.02%	24.21%	+0.43	+4.0	30
2019-11-10	@ Hajduk Split	L 2-3	68.1	1729	1747	24.21%	24.02%	51.78%	-0.43	-4.0	23
2019-11-22	Hajduk Split	D 1-1	75.4	1899	1751	66.40%	19.58%	14.03%	+0.97	-1.9	35
2019-11-22	@ Dinamo Zagreb	D 1-1	75.4	1751	1899	14.03%	19.58%	66.40%	-0.97	+1.9	31
2019-11-23	Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 1-0	57.2	1521	1622	35.54%	25.33%	39.13%	-0.05	+6.6	15
2019-11-23	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-1	57.2	1622	1521	39.13%	25.33%	35.54%	+0.05	-6.6	25
2019-11-23	Varazdin	W 1-0	47.5	1674	1489	69.90%	18.05%	12.05%	+1.12	+2.2	25
2019-11-23	@ Gorica	L 0-1	47.5	1489	1674	12.05%	18.05%	69.90%	-1.12	-2.2	11
2019-11-24	Istra 1961	W 1-0	45.1	1725	1442	78.21%	13.88%	7.91%	+1.52	+1.3	26
2019-11-24	@ Osijek	L 0-1	45.1	1442	1725	7.91%	13.88%	78.21%	-1.52	-1.3	12
2019-11-24	Rijeka	L 1-4	48.9	1428	1708	16.93%	21.35%	61.72%	-0.78	-7.3	11
2019-11-24	@ Inter Zapresic	W 4-1	48.9	1708	1428	61.72%	21.35%	16.93%	+0.78	+7.3	25
2019-11-29	Gorica	W 4-0	53.0	1615	1676	41.37%	25.25%	33.38%	+0.12	+20.8	28
2019-11-29	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 0-4	53.0	1676	1615	33.38%	25.25%	41.37%	-0.12	-20.8	25
2019-11-29	Inter Zapresic	W 3-0	37.0	1527	1420	62.15%	21.20%	16.65%	+0.80	+8.5	18
2019-11-29	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-3	37.0	1420	1527	16.65%	21.20%	62.15%	-0.80	-8.5	11
2019-11-30	Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-2	54.3	1441	1897	8.07%	14.07%	77.86%	-1.50	-1.3	12
2019-11-30	@ Istra 1961	W 2-1	54.3	1897	1441	77.86%	14.07%	8.07%	+1.50	+1.3	38
2019-11-30	Osijek	D 1-1	71.2	1487	1727	20.06%	22.75%	57.18%	-0.62	+1.3	12
2019-11-30	@ Varazdin	D 1-1	71.2	1727	1487	57.18%	22.75%	20.06%	+0.62	-1.3	27
2019-12-01	Rijeka	L 0-4	60.1	1753	1715	54.26%	23.49%	22.25%	+0.52	-30.6	31
2019-12-01	@ Hajduk Split	W 4-0	60.1	1715	1753	22.25%	23.49%	54.26%	-0.52	+30.6	28
2019-12-06	Varazdin	W 1-0	46.0	1898	1488	86.38%	9.19%	4.43%	+2.04	+0.7	41
2019-12-06	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	46.0	1488	1898	4.43%	9.19%	86.38%	-2.04	-0.7	12
2019-12-07	Hajduk Split	D 1-1	70.0	1412	1722	14.93%	20.18%	64.89%	-0.91	+1.8	12
2019-12-07	@ Inter Zapresic	D 1-1	70.0	1722	1412	64.89%	20.18%	14.93%	+0.91	-1.9	32
2019-12-07	Slaven Belupo	W 2-0	46.7	1655	1536	63.45%	20.73%	15.82%	+0.85	+5.5	28
2019-12-07	@ Gorica	L 0-2	46.7	1536	1655	15.82%	20.73%	63.45%	-0.85	-5.5	18
2019-12-08	Istra 1961	W 2-0	41.6	1746	1440	79.90%	12.95%	7.15%	+1.61	+2.2	31
2019-12-08	@ Rijeka	L 0-2	41.6	1440	1746	7.15%	12.95%	79.90%	-1.61	-2.2	12
2019-12-08	Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 4-0	48.1	1725	1636	60.23%	21.85%	17.93%	+0.73	+12.0	30
2019-12-08	@ Osijek	L 0-4	48.1	1636	1725	17.93%	21.85%	60.23%	-0.73	-12.0	28
2019-12-13	Inter Zapresic	D 1-1	69.5	1660	1414	75.35%	15.40%	9.26%	+1.37	-2.5	29
2019-12-13	@ Gorica	D 1-1	69.5	1414	1660	9.26%	15.40%	75.35%	-1.37	+2.5	13
2019-12-14	Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 1-0	49.3	1899	1624	77.58%	14.22%	8.20%	+1.48	+1.4	44
2019-12-14	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	49.3	1624	1899	8.20%	14.22%	77.58%	-1.48	-1.4	28
2019-12-14	Varazdin	W 3-1	49.8	1748	1488	76.46%	14.82%	8.72%	+1.43	+2.4	34
2019-12-14	@ Rijeka	L 1-3	49.8	1488	1748	8.72%	14.82%	76.46%	-1.43	-2.5	12
2019-12-15	Istra 1961	W 2-1	50.9	1721	1438	78.20%	13.88%	7.91%	+1.52	+1.3	35
2019-12-15	@ Hajduk Split	L 1-2	50.9	1438	1721	7.91%	13.88%	78.20%	-1.52	-1.3	12
2019-12-15	Slaven Belupo	W 3-2	60.2	1737	1530	71.97%	17.08%	10.95%	+1.21	+1.8	33
2019-12-15	@ Osijek	L 2-3	60.2	1530	1737	10.95%	17.08%	71.97%	-1.21	-1.8	18
2019-12-18	Rijeka	W 3-0	47.5	1900	1751	66.58%	19.50%	13.92%	+0.97	+7.0	47
2019-12-18	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-3	47.5	1751	1900	13.92%	19.50%	66.58%	-0.97	-7.0	34
2020-01-31	Istra 1961	W 2-0	40.5	1416	1436	46.88%	24.78%	28.34%	+0.28	+9.6	16
2020-01-31	@ Inter Zapresic	L 0-2	40.5	1436	1416	28.34%	24.78%	46.88%	-0.28	-9.6	12
2020-02-01	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-2	47.4	1528	1908	11.21%	17.32%	71.46%	-1.19	-3.8	18
2020-02-01	@ Slaven Belupo	W 2-0	47.4	1908	1528	71.46%	17.32%	11.21%	+1.19	+3.8	50
2020-02-01	Rijeka	W 2-1	68.0	1623	1744	32.91%	25.22%	41.87%	-0.13	+6.5	31
2020-02-01	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 1-2	68.0	1744	1623	41.87%	25.22%	32.91%	+0.13	-6.5	34
2020-02-02	Hajduk Split	L 0-3	47.1	1485	1722	20.33%	22.86%	56.81%	-0.60	-10.4	12
2020-02-02	@ Varazdin	W 3-0	47.1	1722	1485	56.81%	22.86%	20.33%	+0.60	+10.4	38
2020-02-02	Osijek	D 0-0	67.8	1658	1739	38.41%	25.34%	36.25%	+0.03	-0.1	30
2020-02-02	@ Gorica	D 0-0	67.8	1739	1658	36.25%	25.34%	38.41%	-0.03	+0.1	34
2020-02-07	Varazdin	W 1-0	46.5	1427	1475	43.08%	25.15%	31.78%	+0.17	+5.6	15
2020-02-07	@ Istra 1961	L 0-1	46.5	1475	1427	31.78%	25.15%	43.08%	-0.17	-5.6	12
2020-02-08	Inter Zapresic	D 1-1	73.1	1739	1426	80.43%	12.66%	6.92%	+1.64	-2.7	35
2020-02-08	@ Osijek	D 1-1	73.1	1426	1739	6.92%	12.66%	80.43%	-1.64	+2.7	17
2020-02-08	Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 1-0	53.2	1732	1629	61.71%	21.35%	16.94%	+0.78	+3.2	41
2020-02-08	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-1	53.2	1629	1732	16.94%	21.35%	61.71%	-0.78	-3.2	31
2020-02-09	Gorica	W 2-0	46.5	1911	1658	75.89%	15.12%	9.00%	+1.40	+2.9	53
2020-02-09	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-2	46.5	1658	1911	9.00%	15.12%	75.89%	-1.40	-2.9	30
2020-02-09	Slaven Belupo	W 1-0	48.8	1737	1525	72.43%	16.86%	10.71%	+1.23	+1.9	37
2020-02-09	@ Rijeka	L 0-1	48.8	1525	1737	10.71%	16.86%	72.43%	-1.23	-1.9	18
2020-02-14	Istra 1961	W 2-0	40.5	1626	1432	70.78%	17.65%	11.58%	+1.15	+3.9	34
2020-02-14	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 0-2	40.5	1432	1626	11.58%	17.65%	70.78%	-1.15	-3.9	15
2020-02-15	Hajduk Split	W 2-1	69.8	1523	1735	22.49%	23.56%	53.94%	-0.51	+8.0	21
2020-02-15	@ Slaven Belupo	L 1-2	69.8	1735	1523	53.94%	23.56%	22.49%	+0.51	-8.0	41
2020-02-15	Varazdin	L 1-2	56.2	1429	1469	44.10%	25.07%	30.83%	+0.20	-6.8	17
2020-02-15	@ Inter Zapresic	W 2-1	56.2	1469	1429	30.83%	25.07%	44.10%	-0.20	+6.8	15
2020-02-16	Dinamo Zagreb	W 1-0	65.0	1737	1914	26.04%	24.41%	49.55%	-0.36	+7.9	38
2020-02-16	@ Osijek	L 0-1	65.0	1914	1737	49.55%	24.41%	26.04%	+0.36	-7.9	53
2020-02-16	Rijeka	D 0-0	67.7	1655	1739	38.02%	25.34%	36.64%	+0.02	-0.0	31
2020-02-16	@ Gorica	D 0-0	67.7	1739	1655	36.64%	25.34%	38.02%	-0.02	+0.0	38
2020-02-21	Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 0-2	49.4	1476	1630	28.71%	24.83%	46.46%	-0.27	-9.7	15
2020-02-21	@ Varazdin	W 2-0	49.4	1630	1476	46.46%	24.83%	28.71%	+0.27	+9.7	37
2020-02-22	Gorica	W 6-0	50.1	1727	1655	58.34%	22.43%	19.23%	+0.66	+18.8	44
2020-02-22	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-6	50.1	1655	1727	19.23%	22.43%	58.34%	-0.66	-18.8	31
2020-02-22	Osijek	W 1-0	57.8	1739	1745	48.81%	24.52%	26.67%	+0.34	+4.9	41
2020-02-22	@ Rijeka	L 0-1	57.8	1745	1739	26.67%	24.52%	48.81%	-0.34	-4.8	38
2020-02-23	Inter Zapresic	W 3-2	55.6	1906	1422	89.91%	7.02%	3.07%	+2.34	+0.4	56
2020-02-23	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 2-3	55.6	1422	1906	3.07%	7.02%	89.91%	-2.34	-0.4	17
2020-02-23	Slaven Belupo	D 1-1	62.3	1428	1531	35.39%	25.32%	39.29%	-0.06	+0.1	16
2020-02-23	@ Istra 1961	D 1-1	62.3	1531	1428	39.29%	25.32%	35.39%	+0.06	-0.1	22
2020-02-27	Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 0-2	45.4	1421	1640	21.93%	23.40%	54.68%	-0.53	-7.7	17
2020-02-27	@ Inter Zapresic	W 2-0	45.4	1640	1421	54.68%	23.40%	21.93%	+0.53	+7.7	40
2020-02-28	Istra 1961	W 3-0	38.4	1636	1429	72.01%	17.06%	10.93%	+1.21	+5.3	34
2020-02-28	@ Gorica	L 0-3	38.4	1429	1636	10.93%	17.06%	72.01%	-1.21	-5.3	16
2020-02-28	Varazdin	D 0-0	59.4	1531	1466	57.43%	22.69%	19.89%	+0.63	-1.5	23
2020-02-28	@ Slaven Belupo	D 0-0	59.4	1466	1531	19.89%	22.69%	57.43%	-0.63	+1.5	16
2020-02-29	Hajduk Split	D 0-0	68.5	1740	1746	48.69%	24.54%	26.77%	+0.34	-0.9	39
2020-02-29	@ Osijek	D 0-0	68.5	1746	1740	26.77%	24.54%	48.69%	-0.34	+0.8	45
2020-02-29	Rijeka	W 4-0	46.9	1907	1744	67.85%	18.96%	13.19%	+1.03	+8.6	59
2020-02-29	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-4	46.9	1744	1907	13.19%	18.96%	67.85%	-1.03	-8.6	41
2020-03-03	Inter Zapresic	W 4-1	43.5	1735	1414	80.99%	12.34%	6.67%	+1.68	+2.5	44
2020-03-03	@ Rijeka	L 1-4	43.5	1414	1735	6.67%	12.34%	80.99%	-1.68	-2.5	17
2020-03-03	Slaven Belupo	W 3-0	44.4	1648	1529	63.38%	20.76%	15.86%	+0.85	+8.1	43
2020-03-03	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 0-3	44.4	1529	1648	15.86%	20.76%	63.38%	-0.85	-8.1	23
2020-03-04	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-2	54.9	1747	1915	27.08%	24.59%	48.33%	-0.32	-9.3	45
2020-03-04	@ Hajduk Split	W 2-0	54.9	1915	1747	48.33%	24.59%	27.08%	+0.32	+9.3	62
2020-03-04	Gorica	D 2-2	74.0	1468	1641	26.47%	24.49%	49.04%	-0.35	+0.6	17
2020-03-04	@ Varazdin	D 2-2	74.0	1641	1468	49.04%	24.49%	26.47%	+0.35	-0.6	35
2020-03-04	Osijek	W 1-0	64.0	1423	1739	14.61%	19.98%	65.41%	-0.93	+10.0	19
2020-03-04	@ Istra 1961	L 0-1	64.0	1739	1423	65.41%	19.98%	14.61%	+0.93	-10.0	39
2020-03-07	Slaven Belupo	L 0-2	45.0	1411	1521	34.35%	25.29%	40.36%	-0.09	-11.2	17
2020-03-07	@ Inter Zapresic	W 2-0	45.0	1521	1411	40.36%	25.29%	34.35%	+0.09	+11.2	26
2020-03-07	Varazdin	W 2-0	42.9	1729	1468	76.46%	14.82%	8.73%	+1.43	+2.8	42
2020-03-07	@ Osijek	L 0-2	42.9	1468	1729	8.73%	14.82%	76.46%	-1.43	-2.8	17
2020-03-08	Hajduk Split	W 2-0	54.1	1738	1738	49.53%	24.41%	26.06%	+0.36	+9.0	47
2020-03-08	@ Rijeka	L 0-2	54.1	1738	1738	26.06%	24.41%	49.53%	-0.36	-9.0	45
2020-03-08	Istra 1961	W 2-0	41.2	1925	1433	90.19%	6.84%	2.97%	+2.37	+0.8	65
2020-03-08	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-2	41.2	1433	1925	2.97%	6.84%	90.19%	-2.37	-0.8	19
2020-03-09	Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 1-3	65.4	1641	1656	47.59%	24.69%	27.72%	+0.30	-12.5	35
2020-03-09	@ Gorica	W 3-1	65.4	1656	1641	27.72%	24.69%	47.59%	-0.30	+12.5	46
2020-06-05	Inter Zapresic	W 2-1	49.1	1729	1400	81.49%	12.06%	6.45%	+1.71	+1.0	48
2020-06-05	@ Hajduk Split	L 1-2	49.1	1400	1729	6.45%	12.06%	81.49%	-1.71	-1.0	17
2020-06-06	Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-3	51.2	1466	1925	7.93%	13.91%	78.16%	-1.52	-2.2	17
2020-06-06	@ Varazdin	W 3-1	51.2	1925	1466	78.16%	13.91%	7.93%	+1.52	+2.2	68
2020-06-06	Gorica	D 0-0	64.1	1532	1628	36.29%	25.34%	38.37%	-0.03	+0.1	27
2020-06-06	@ Slaven Belupo	D 0-0	64.1	1628	1532	38.37%	25.34%	36.29%	+0.03	-0.1	36
2020-06-07	Osijek	L 0-1	61.9	1668	1732	40.93%	25.27%	33.80%	+0.10	-6.8	46
2020-06-07	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 1-0	61.9	1732	1668	33.80%	25.27%	40.93%	-0.10	+6.8	45
2020-06-07	Rijeka	L 1-3	51.9	1432	1747	14.69%	20.03%	65.28%	-0.92	-4.4	19
2020-06-07	@ Istra 1961	W 3-1	51.9	1747	1432	65.28%	20.03%	14.69%	+0.92	+4.4	50
2020-06-11	Hajduk Split	L 0-1	49.1	1428	1730	15.47%	20.52%	64.00%	-0.87	-2.9	19
2020-06-11	@ Istra 1961	W 1-0	49.1	1730	1428	64.00%	20.52%	15.47%	+0.87	+2.9	51
2020-06-11	Gorica	L 0-3	41.9	1399	1628	20.96%	23.08%	55.96%	-0.57	-10.7	17
2020-06-11	@ Inter Zapresic	W 3-0	41.9	1628	1399	55.96%	23.08%	20.96%	+0.57	+10.7	39
2020-06-12	Dinamo Zagreb	W 1-0	67.4	1661	1928	17.96%	21.86%	60.17%	-0.72	+9.3	49
2020-06-12	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 0-1	67.4	1928	1661	60.17%	21.86%	17.96%	+0.72	-9.3	68
2020-06-12	Rijeka	D 0-0	66.7	1463	1751	16.41%	21.07%	62.52%	-0.81	+1.9	18
2020-06-12	@ Varazdin	D 0-0	66.7	1751	1463	62.52%	21.07%	16.41%	+0.81	-1.9	51
2020-06-13	Osijek	D 0-0	66.9	1532	1738	23.11%	23.74%	53.15%	-0.48	+1.2	28
2020-06-13	@ Slaven Belupo	D 0-0	66.9	1738	1532	53.15%	23.74%	23.11%	+0.48	-1.2	46
2020-06-16	Inter Zapresic	W 2-0	37.3	1425	1388	54.16%	23.52%	22.33%	+0.51	+7.8	22
2020-06-16	@ Istra 1961	L 0-2	37.3	1388	1425	22.33%	23.52%	54.16%	-0.51	-7.8	17
2020-06-16	Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 2-2	80.0	1749	1671	59.03%	22.22%	18.75%	+0.68	-1.1	52
2020-06-16	@ Rijeka	D 2-2	80.0	1671	1749	18.75%	22.22%	59.03%	-0.68	+1.1	50
2020-06-16	Varazdin	L 2-3	77.9	1733	1465	77.00%	14.53%	8.47%	+1.45	-10.1	51
2020-06-16	@ Hajduk Split	W 3-2	77.9	1465	1733	8.47%	14.53%	77.00%	-1.45	+10.0	21
2020-06-17	Gorica	W 2-1	59.6	1737	1639	61.23%	21.52%	17.26%	+0.76	+3.0	49
2020-06-17	@ Osijek	L 1-2	59.6	1639	1737	17.26%	21.52%	61.23%	-0.76	-3.0	39
2020-06-17	Slaven Belupo	W 3-2	58.0	1918	1534	84.97%	10.04%	4.99%	+1.93	+0.7	71
2020-06-17	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 2-3	58.0	1534	1918	4.99%	10.04%	84.97%	-1.93	-0.7	28
2020-06-20	Dinamo Zagreb	D 0-0	69.6	1636	1919	16.74%	21.25%	62.01%	-0.79	+1.9	40
2020-06-20	@ Gorica	D 0-0	69.6	1919	1636	62.01%	21.25%	16.74%	+0.79	-1.9	72
2020-06-20	Istra 1961	W 3-0	37.9	1475	1433	54.84%	23.36%	21.81%	+0.54	+11.1	24
2020-06-20	@ Varazdin	L 0-3	37.9	1433	1475	21.81%	23.36%	54.84%	-0.54	-11.1	22
2020-06-20	Osijek	L 0-1	46.3	1380	1740	12.14%	18.13%	69.72%	-1.11	-2.2	17
2020-06-20	@ Inter Zapresic	W 1-0	46.3	1740	1380	69.72%	18.13%	12.14%	+1.11	+2.2	52
2020-06-21	Hajduk Split	W 3-2	70.4	1672	1723	42.71%	25.17%	32.12%	+0.16	+5.1	53
2020-06-21	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 2-3	70.4	1723	1672	32.12%	25.17%	42.71%	-0.16	-5.1	51
2020-06-21	Rijeka	W 1-0	64.1	1533	1748	22.24%	23.49%	54.27%	-0.52	+8.6	31
2020-06-21	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-1	64.1	1748	1533	54.27%	23.49%	22.24%	+0.52	-8.6	52
2020-06-25	Inter Zapresic	W 1-0	39.6	1486	1378	62.30%	21.15%	16.55%	+0.80	+3.1	27
2020-06-25	@ Varazdin	L 0-1	39.6	1378	1486	16.55%	21.15%	62.30%	-0.80	-3.1	17
2020-06-25	Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 1-1	68.3	1422	1677	18.81%	22.25%	58.94%	-0.68	+1.5	23
2020-06-25	@ Istra 1961	D 1-1	68.3	1677	1422	58.94%	22.25%	18.81%	+0.68	-1.5	54
2020-06-26	Gorica	L 1-2	72.9	1740	1638	61.61%	21.39%	17.00%	+0.78	-9.0	52
2020-06-26	@ Rijeka	W 2-1	72.9	1638	1740	17.00%	21.39%	61.61%	-0.78	+9.0	43
2020-06-26	Slaven Belupo	W 2-1	55.8	1718	1541	69.12%	18.41%	12.47%	+1.08	+2.1	54
2020-06-26	@ Hajduk Split	L 1-2	55.8	1541	1718	12.47%	18.41%	69.12%	-1.08	-2.1	31
2020-06-27	Osijek	D 0-0	70.6	1917	1743	68.98%	18.47%	12.55%	+1.08	-2.4	73
2020-06-27	@ Dinamo Zagreb	D 0-0	70.6	1743	1917	12.55%	18.47%	68.98%	-1.08	+2.3	53
2020-06-30	Hajduk Split	W 3-1	62.6	1647	1720	39.59%	25.32%	35.09%	+0.06	+9.9	46
2020-06-30	@ Gorica	L 1-3	62.6	1720	1647	35.09%	25.32%	39.59%	-0.06	-9.9	54
2020-06-30	Istra 1961	W 3-0	37.3	1539	1423	63.13%	20.85%	16.02%	+0.84	+8.2	34
2020-06-30	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-3	37.3	1423	1539	16.02%	20.85%	63.13%	-0.84	-8.2	23
2020-06-30	Varazdin	W 2-0	44.0	1675	1490	70.04%	17.99%	11.97%	+1.12	+4.1	57
2020-06-30	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 0-2	44.0	1490	1675	11.97%	17.99%	70.04%	-1.12	-4.1	27
2020-07-01	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	45.8	1375	1915	5.54%	10.82%	83.64%	-1.84	-0.9	17
2020-07-01	@ Inter Zapresic	W 1-0	45.8	1915	1375	83.64%	10.82%	5.54%	+1.84	+0.9	76
2020-07-01	Rijeka	W 1-0	57.0	1745	1731	51.35%	24.10%	24.55%	+0.42	+4.5	56
2020-07-01	@ Osijek	L 0-1	57.0	1731	1745	24.55%	24.10%	51.35%	-0.42	-4.5	52
2020-07-04	Gorica	D 2-2	73.3	1415	1657	19.91%	22.70%	57.40%	-0.62	+1.0	24
2020-07-04	@ Istra 1961	D 2-2	73.3	1657	1415	57.40%	22.70%	19.91%	+0.62	-1.0	47
2020-07-04	Inter Zapresic	W 3-1	43.7	1680	1374	79.85%	12.98%	7.17%	+1.61	+1.9	60
2020-07-04	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 1-3	43.7	1374	1680	7.17%	12.98%	79.85%	-1.61	-1.9	17
2020-07-04	Slaven Belupo	W 1-0	51.9	1485	1547	41.13%	25.26%	33.61%	+0.11	+5.9	30
2020-07-04	@ Varazdin	L 0-1	51.9	1547	1485	33.61%	25.26%	41.13%	-0.11	-5.8	34
2020-07-05	Dinamo Zagreb	W 2-0	62.0	1726	1916	24.78%	24.15%	51.07%	-0.41	+15.3	55
2020-07-05	@ Rijeka	L 0-2	62.0	1916	1726	51.07%	24.15%	24.78%	+0.41	-15.3	76
2020-07-05	Osijek	L 0-1	63.2	1710	1749	44.25%	25.05%	30.69%	+0.20	-7.2	54
2020-07-05	@ Hajduk Split	W 1-0	63.2	1749	1710	30.69%	25.05%	44.25%	-0.20	+7.2	59
2020-07-10	Varazdin	L 0-1	64.1	1656	1491	68.00%	18.90%	13.10%	+1.03	-10.3	47
2020-07-10	@ Gorica	W 1-0	64.1	1491	1656	13.10%	18.90%	68.00%	-1.03	+10.3	33
2020-07-11	Istra 1961	W 2-0	40.6	1757	1416	82.26%	11.62%	6.12%	+1.75	+1.9	62
2020-07-11	@ Osijek	L 0-2	40.6	1416	1757	6.12%	11.62%	82.26%	-1.75	-1.9	24
2020-07-11	Rijeka	L 0-1	45.8	1372	1741	11.68%	17.74%	70.58%	-1.15	-2.1	17
2020-07-11	@ Inter Zapresic	W 1-0	45.8	1741	1372	70.58%	17.74%	11.68%	+1.15	+2.1	58
2020-07-12	Hajduk Split	L 2-3	80.5	1900	1703	71.12%	17.49%	11.39%	+1.17	-9.5	76
2020-07-12	@ Dinamo Zagreb	W 3-2	80.5	1703	1900	11.39%	17.49%	71.12%	-1.17	+9.5	57
2020-07-12	Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 1-1	70.7	1542	1681	30.45%	25.03%	44.52%	-0.21	+0.5	35
2020-07-12	@ Slaven Belupo	D 1-1	70.7	1681	1542	44.52%	25.03%	30.45%	+0.21	-0.5	61
2020-07-17	Inter Zapresic	W 3-1	41.9	1542	1370	68.73%	18.58%	12.69%	+1.06	+3.8	38
2020-07-17	@ Slaven Belupo	L 1-3	41.9	1370	1542	12.69%	18.58%	68.73%	-1.06	-3.8	17
2020-07-18	Dinamo Zagreb	D 0-0	70.5	1414	1891	7.37%	13.23%	79.40%	-1.58	+3.0	25
2020-07-18	@ Istra 1961	D 0-0	70.5	1891	1414	79.40%	13.23%	7.37%	+1.58	-3.0	77
2020-07-18	Osijek	W 1-0	64.9	1502	1759	18.67%	22.19%	59.14%	-0.69	+9.2	36
2020-07-18	@ Varazdin	L 0-1	64.9	1759	1502	59.14%	22.19%	18.67%	+0.69	-9.2	62
2020-07-19	Gorica	D 1-1	72.7	1681	1645	54.01%	23.55%	22.44%	+0.51	-1.1	62
2020-07-19	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 1-1	72.7	1645	1681	22.44%	23.55%	54.01%	-0.51	+1.1	48
2020-07-19	Rijeka	L 2-3	74.6	1712	1744	45.36%	24.95%	29.69%	+0.23	-6.6	57
2020-07-19	@ Hajduk Split	W 3-2	74.6	1744	1712	29.69%	24.95%	45.36%	-0.23	+6.6	61
2020-07-24	Slaven Belupo	D 0-0	66.1	1646	1546	61.48%	21.43%	17.09%	+0.77	-1.8	49
2020-07-24	@ Gorica	D 0-0	66.1	1546	1646	17.09%	21.43%	61.48%	-0.77	+1.8	39
2020-07-24	Varazdin	W 2-0	43.2	1888	1511	84.53%	10.30%	5.17%	+1.90	+1.5	80
2020-07-24	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-2	43.2	1511	1888	5.17%	10.30%	84.53%	-1.90	-1.5	36
2020-07-25	Hajduk Split	L 1-4	45.0	1366	1706	13.25%	19.01%	67.74%	-1.02	-5.6	17
2020-07-25	@ Inter Zapresic	W 4-1	45.0	1706	1366	67.74%	19.01%	13.25%	+1.02	+5.6	60
2020-07-25	Istra 1961	W 4-2	50.3	1750	1417	81.77%	11.90%	6.33%	+1.72	+1.5	64
2020-07-25	@ Rijeka	L 2-4	50.3	1417	1750	6.33%	11.90%	81.77%	-1.72	-1.5	25
2020-07-25	Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 1-2	72.5	1749	1680	58.00%	22.52%	19.47%	+0.65	-8.5	62
2020-07-25	@ Osijek	W 2-1	72.5	1680	1749	19.47%	22.52%	58.00%	-0.65	+8.5	65

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2020-06-16	8.47%	Varazdin	1465	3	@ Hajduk Split	1733	2
2	2020-07-12	11.39%	Hajduk Split	1703	3	@ Dinamo Zagreb	1900	2
3	2019-09-21	11.94%	@ Varazdin	1498	1	Dinamo Zagreb	1862	0
4	2020-07-10	13.10%	Varazdin	1491	1	@ Gorica	1656	0
5	2020-03-04	14.61%	@ Istra 1961	1423	1	Osijek	1739	0
6	2020-06-26	17.00%	Gorica	1638	2	@ Rijeka	1740	1
7	2020-06-12	17.96%	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	1661	1	Dinamo Zagreb	1928	0
8	2019-10-26	18.25%	Gorica	1660	2	@ Rijeka	1745	1
9	2020-07-18	18.67%	@ Varazdin	1502	1	Osijek	1759	0
10	2019-10-25	18.70%	Inter Zapresic	1423	1	@ Varazdin	1502	0
11	2020-07-25	19.47%	Lokomotiva Zagreb	1680	2	@ Osijek	1749	1
12	2020-06-21	22.24%	@ Slaven Belupo	1533	1	Rijeka	1748	0
13	2019-12-01	22.25%	Rijeka	1715	4	@ Hajduk Split	1753	0
14	2020-02-15	22.49%	@ Slaven Belupo	1523	2	Hajduk Split	1735	1
15	2019-08-11	24.49%	@ Slaven Belupo	1549	2	Hajduk Split	1742	1
16	2020-07-05	24.78%	@ Rijeka	1726	2	Dinamo Zagreb	1916	0
17	2020-02-16	26.04%	@ Osijek	1737	1	Dinamo Zagreb	1914	0
18	2019-07-26	27.07%	Istra 1961	1447	2	@ Inter Zapresic	1438	0
19	2020-03-09	27.72%	Lokomotiva Zagreb	1656	3	@ Gorica	1641	1
20	2020-07-19	29.69%	Rijeka	1744	3	@ Hajduk Split	1712	2
21	2019-09-21	30.18%	@ Slaven Belupo	1535	2	Gorica	1677	0
22	2020-07-05	30.69%	Osijek	1749	1	@ Hajduk Split	1710	0
23	2020-02-15	30.83%	Varazdin	1469	2	@ Inter Zapresic	1429	1
24	2019-08-31	31.87%	@ Hajduk Split	1739	1	Dinamo Zagreb	1868	0
25	2019-09-14	31.97%	@ Inter Zapresic	1418	3	Slaven Belupo	1546	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2019-12-01	30.61	Rijeka	4	1715	22.25%	@ Hajduk Split	0	1753	54.26%	23.49%
2	2019-11-10	23.57	Dinamo Zagreb	5	1876	45.07%	@ Rijeka	0	1732	29.95%	24.98%
3	2019-11-29	20.84	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	4	1615	41.37%	Gorica	0	1676	33.38%	25.25%
4	2020-02-22	18.83	@ Hajduk Split	6	1727	58.34%	Gorica	0	1655	19.23%	22.43%
5	2019-09-28	18.19	Osijek	4	1707	47.06%	@ Slaven Belupo	0	1548	28.18%	24.76%
6	2019-08-30	15.38	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	6	1594	53.67%	Slaven Belupo	1	1561	22.71%	23.63%
7	2020-07-05	15.34	@ Rijeka	2	1726	24.78%	Dinamo Zagreb	0	1916	51.07%	24.15%
8	2019-07-26	14.66	Istra 1961	2	1447	27.07%	@ Inter Zapresic	0	1438	48.34%	24.59%
9	2019-09-21	13.79	@ Slaven Belupo	2	1535	30.18%	Gorica	0	1677	44.81%	25.00%
10	2019-09-27	13.74	Dinamo Zagreb	4	1851	56.47%	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	0	1617	20.58%	22.95%
11	2020-03-09	12.53	Lokomotiva Zagreb	3	1656	27.72%	@ Gorica	1	1641	47.59%	24.69%
12	2019-07-28	12.06	Hajduk Split	3	1722	52.22%	@ Varazdin	0	1524	23.85%	23.93%
13	2019-12-08	11.99	@ Osijek	4	1725	60.23%	Lokomotiva Zagreb	0	1636	17.93%	21.85%
14	2019-09-14	11.53	@ Inter Zapresic	3	1418	31.97%	Slaven Belupo	1	1546	42.87%	25.16%
15	2019-08-11	11.31	@ Gorica	2	1672	40.02%	Rijeka	0	1742	34.68%	25.30%
16	2020-03-07	11.23	Slaven Belupo	2	1521	40.36%	@ Inter Zapresic	0	1411	34.35%	25.29%
17	2020-06-20	11.11	@ Varazdin	3	1475	54.84%	Istra 1961	0	1433	21.81%	23.36%
18	2019-08-18	10.74	@ Hajduk Split	3	1734	55.85%	Gorica	0	1683	21.04%	23.11%
19	2020-06-11	10.70	Gorica	3	1628	55.96%	@ Inter Zapresic	0	1399	20.96%	23.08%
20	2019-09-21	10.53	@ Varazdin	1	1498	11.94%	Dinamo Zagreb	0	1862	70.10%	17.96%
21	2020-02-02	10.40	Hajduk Split	3	1722	56.81%	@ Varazdin	0	1485	20.33%	22.86%
22	2020-07-10	10.29	Varazdin	1	1491	13.10%	@ Gorica	0	1656	68.00%	18.90%
23	2020-06-16	10.06	Varazdin	3	1465	8.47%	@ Hajduk Split	2	1733	77.00%	14.53%
24	2020-03-04	9.99	@ Istra 1961	1	1423	14.61%	Osijek	0	1739	65.41%	19.98%
25	2020-06-30	9.89	@ Gorica	3	1647	39.59%	Hajduk Split	1	1720	35.09%	25.32%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2020-07-12	80.5	Hajduk Split	3	1703	11.39%	@ Dinamo Zagreb	2	1900	71.12%	17.49%
2	2019-10-20	80.1	@ Inter Zapresic	3	1421	15.13%	Osijek	3	1729	64.56%	20.31%
3	2020-06-16	80.0	@ Rijeka	2	1749	59.03%	Lokomotiva Zagreb	2	1671	18.75%	22.22%
4	2019-09-15	79.1	@ Osijek	2	1715	73.01%	Varazdin	2	1496	10.42%	16.57%
5	2020-06-16	77.9	Varazdin	3	1465	8.47%	@ Hajduk Split	2	1733	77.00%	14.53%
6	2019-11-22	75.4	@ Dinamo Zagreb	1	1899	66.40%	Hajduk Split	1	1751	14.03%	19.58%
7	2019-11-08	74.7	@ Istra 1961	2	1442	20.64%	Gorica	2	1675	56.39%	22.97%
8	2020-07-19	74.6	Rijeka	3	1744	29.69%	@ Hajduk Split	2	1712	45.36%	24.95%
9	2019-10-06	74.0	@ Rijeka	1	1743	65.50%	Lokomotiva Zagreb	1	1604	14.56%	19.94%
10	2020-03-04	74.0	@ Varazdin	2	1468	26.47%	Gorica	2	1641	49.04%	24.49%
11	2019-08-18	73.5	@ Rijeka	1	1730	52.09%	Osijek	1	1710	23.96%	23.96%
12	2019-09-15	73.4	@ Rijeka	1	1727	46.93%	Hajduk Split	1	1746	28.30%	24.78%
13	2020-07-04	73.3	@ Istra 1961	2	1415	19.91%	Gorica	2	1657	57.40%	22.70%
14	2020-02-08	73.1	@ Osijek	1	1739	80.43%	Inter Zapresic	1	1426	6.92%	12.66%
15	2020-06-26	72.9	Gorica	2	1638	17.00%	@ Rijeka	1	1740	61.61%	21.39%
16	2019-10-26	72.7	Gorica	2	1660	18.25%	@ Rijeka	1	1745	59.75%	22.00%
17	2020-07-19	72.7	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	1	1681	54.01%	Gorica	1	1645	22.44%	23.55%
18	2019-09-01	72.6	@ Rijeka	1	1729	80.45%	Inter Zapresic	1	1415	6.90%	12.64%
19	2020-07-25	72.5	Lokomotiva Zagreb	2	1680	19.47%	@ Osijek	1	1749	58.00%	22.52%
20	2019-09-29	71.6	@ Istra 1961	1	1453	15.84%	Hajduk Split	1	1749	63.42%	20.74%
21	2019-11-30	71.2	@ Varazdin	1	1487	20.06%	Osijek	1	1727	57.18%	22.75%
22	2019-08-25	70.9	@ Gorica	1	1672	72.54%	Istra 1961	1	1459	10.66%	16.81%
23	2020-07-12	70.7	@ Slaven Belupo	1	1542	30.45%	Lokomotiva Zagreb	1	1681	44.52%	25.03%
24	2020-06-27	70.6	@ Dinamo Zagreb	0	1917	68.98%	Osijek	0	1743	12.55%	18.47%
25	2020-07-18	70.5	@ Istra 1961	0	1414	7.37%	Dinamo Zagreb	0	1891	79.40%	13.23%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2019-11-29	37.0	@ Slaven Belupo	3	1527	62.15%	Inter Zapresic	0	1420	16.65%	21.20%
2	2020-06-16	37.3	@ Istra 1961	2	1425	54.16%	Inter Zapresic	0	1388	22.33%	23.52%
3	2020-06-30	37.3	@ Slaven Belupo	3	1539	63.13%	Istra 1961	0	1423	16.02%	20.85%
4	2020-06-20	37.9	@ Varazdin	3	1475	54.84%	Istra 1961	0	1433	21.81%	23.36%
5	2020-02-28	38.4	@ Gorica	3	1636	72.01%	Istra 1961	0	1429	10.93%	17.06%
6	2020-06-25	39.6	@ Varazdin	1	1486	62.30%	Inter Zapresic	0	1378	16.55%	21.15%
7	2020-01-31	40.5	@ Inter Zapresic	2	1416	46.88%	Istra 1961	0	1436	28.34%	24.78%
8	2020-02-14	40.5	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	2	1626	70.78%	Istra 1961	0	1432	11.58%	17.65%
9	2020-07-11	40.6	@ Osijek	2	1757	82.26%	Istra 1961	0	1416	6.12%	11.62%
10	2020-03-08	41.2	@ Dinamo Zagreb	2	1925	90.19%	Istra 1961	0	1433	2.97%	6.84%
11	2019-12-08	41.6	@ Rijeka	2	1746	79.90%	Istra 1961	0	1440	7.15%	12.95%
12	2020-06-11	41.9	Gorica	3	1628	55.96%	@ Inter Zapresic	0	1399	20.96%	23.08%
13	2020-07-17	41.9	@ Slaven Belupo	3	1542	68.73%	Inter Zapresic	1	1370	12.69%	18.58%
14	2019-07-21	42.0	@ Hajduk Split	2	1720	77.18%	Istra 1961	0	1450	8.39%	14.44%
15	2020-03-07	42.9	@ Osijek	2	1729	76.46%	Varazdin	0	1468	8.73%	14.82%
16	2020-07-24	43.2	@ Dinamo Zagreb	2	1888	84.53%	Varazdin	0	1511	5.17%	10.30%
17	2020-03-03	43.5	@ Rijeka	4	1735	80.99%	Inter Zapresic	1	1414	6.67%	12.34%
18	2020-07-04	43.7	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	3	1680	79.85%	Inter Zapresic	1	1374	7.17%	12.98%
19	2020-06-30	44.0	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	2	1675	70.04%	Varazdin	0	1490	11.97%	17.99%
20	2019-07-19	44.2	@ Dinamo Zagreb	3	1851	75.77%	Lokomotiva Zagreb	0	1600	9.05%	15.18%
21	2019-10-05	44.3	@ Hajduk Split	2	1747	75.32%	Varazdin	0	1501	9.27%	15.41%
22	2020-03-03	44.4	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	3	1648	63.38%	Slaven Belupo	0	1529	15.86%	20.76%
23	2019-10-19	44.7	@ Varazdin	1	1498	55.04%	Istra 1961	0	1454	21.65%	23.31%
24	2019-11-02	44.7	@ Dinamo Zagreb	1	1875	88.05%	Inter Zapresic	0	1432	3.77%	8.17%
25	2020-03-07	45.0	Slaven Belupo	2	1521	40.36%	@ Inter Zapresic	0	1411	34.35%	25.29%